2025-26 Bundesliga Season
306 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams
Champion
Bayern Munich
89 points · 34th Title
Last Title: 2024-25
Relegated
1. FC Heidenheim
26 pts
St. Pauli · 26 pts
VfL Wolfsburg · via playoff
Biggest Overachiever
Bayern Munich
12.51 points above expected
89 points · 76.49 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
VfL Wolfsburg
10.25 points below expected
29 points · 39.25 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich Champion | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 89 | 122 | 36 | +86 | 76.49 | +12.51 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 73 | 70 | 34 | +36 | 62.09 | +10.91 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 65 | 66 | 47 | +19 | 57.85 | +7.15 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 | 71 | 49 | +22 | 57.57 | +4.43 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 61 | 65 | 52 | +13 | 49.75 | +11.25 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59 | 68 | 47 | +21 | 61.70 | -2.70 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 45.45 | +1.55 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 51.18 | -7.18 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 43 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 37.38 | +5.62 |
| 10 | Mainz 05 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 43.23 | -3.23 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 37.94 | +1.06 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 40.34 | -2.34 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 40.06 | -2.06 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 32 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 37.22 | -5.22 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 40.68 | -8.68 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg Relegated | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 39.25 | -10.25 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim Relegated | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 31.64 | -5.64 |
| 18 | St. Pauli Relegated | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 35.28 | -9.28 |
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Promotion Playoff
The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.
Finals
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 2257 | 89 | 76.49 | +12.51 | 98.0% | 51 | 65 | 72 | 77 | 81 | 87 | 98 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 2107 | 73 | 62.09 | +10.91 | 94.3% | 32 | 50 | 57 | 62 | 67 | 74 | 92 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 2065 | 62 | 57.57 | +4.43 | 74.8% | 24 | 46 | 53 | 58 | 63 | 70 | 87 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 2059 | 59 | 61.70 | -2.70 | 37.7% | 29 | 50 | 57 | 62 | 67 | 73 | 90 |
| RB Leipzig | 2036 | 65 | 57.85 | +7.15 | 84.7% | 31 | 46 | 53 | 58 | 63 | 70 | 86 |
| Hoffenheim | 1955 | 61 | 49.75 | +11.25 | 94.6% | 23 | 38 | 45 | 50 | 55 | 62 | 77 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 1936 | 44 | 51.18 | -7.18 | 18.4% | 21 | 39 | 46 | 51 | 56 | 63 | 82 |
| SC Freiburg | 1924 | 47 | 45.45 | +1.55 | 61.7% | 21 | 34 | 41 | 45 | 50 | 58 | 72 |
| Mainz 05 | 1912 | 40 | 43.23 | -3.23 | 36.2% | 17 | 31 | 38 | 43 | 48 | 56 | 71 |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 1904 | 38 | 40.34 | -2.34 | 40.1% | 16 | 29 | 35 | 40 | 45 | 52 | 71 |
| Hamburger SV | 1869 | 38 | 40.06 | -2.06 | 42.1% | 15 | 28 | 35 | 40 | 45 | 52 | 70 |
| Union Berlin | 1860 | 39 | 37.94 | +1.06 | 59.7% | 11 | 27 | 33 | 38 | 43 | 50 | 69 |
| FC Augsburg | 1858 | 43 | 37.38 | +5.62 | 80.5% | 12 | 26 | 32 | 37 | 42 | 49 | 66 |
| Werder Bremen | 1838 | 32 | 40.68 | -8.68 | 13.0% | 15 | 29 | 36 | 41 | 46 | 53 | 67 |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 1833 | 29 | 39.25 | -10.25 | 8.7% | 16 | 28 | 34 | 39 | 44 | 51 | 69 |
| 1. FC Koln | 1825 | 32 | 37.22 | -5.22 | 25.2% | 12 | 26 | 32 | 37 | 42 | 49 | 65 |
| 1. FC Heidenheim | 1788 | 26 | 31.64 | -5.64 | 23.4% | 7 | 21 | 27 | 31 | 36 | 43 | 59 |
| St. Pauli | 1774 | 26 | 35.28 | -9.28 | 10.9% | 12 | 24 | 30 | 35 | 40 | 47 | 65 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | 1FH | 1FK | BL | BM | BD | BM | EF | FA | HS | HOF | M0 | RL | SF | SP | UB | VS | VW | WB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Heidenheim | — |
1-1-0
2.33
|
0-1-1
1.14
|
0-1-1
0.64
|
0-0-2
1.40
|
0-1-1
2.06
|
0-1-1
1.56
|
1-0-1
2.37
|
0-0-2
2.31
|
0-0-2
1.67
|
0-0-2
2.10
|
0-0-2
1.63
|
1-0-1
1.77
|
1-0-1
2.61
|
2-0-0
2.16
|
0-1-1
1.37
|
0-1-1
2.29
|
0-1-1
2.19
|
| 1. FC Koln |
0-1-1
3.16
|
— |
0-0-2
1.44
|
0-0-2
0.73
|
0-0-2
1.38
|
0-1-1
2.59
|
0-1-1
1.88
|
0-1-1
2.70
|
1-1-0
2.46
|
1-1-0
1.98
|
2-0-0
2.27
|
0-0-2
1.79
|
1-0-1
2.29
|
0-2-0
3.12
|
0-1-1
2.84
|
0-0-2
1.72
|
1-1-0
2.47
|
1-1-0
2.46
|
| Bayer Leverkusen |
1-1-0
4.47
|
2-0-0
4.12
|
— |
0-1-1
1.72
|
1-0-1
2.70
|
0-2-0
4.00
|
2-0-0
3.29
|
0-0-2
4.29
|
1-1-0
4.02
|
0-0-2
3.60
|
1-1-0
3.87
|
2-0-0
2.74
|
1-1-0
3.77
|
2-0-0
4.06
|
1-0-1
4.16
|
0-0-2
3.06
|
2-0-0
4.18
|
1-1-0
3.81
|
| Bayern Munich |
1-1-0
5.10
|
2-0-0
4.99
|
1-1-0
3.80
|
— |
2-0-0
3.71
|
2-0-0
4.76
|
2-0-0
4.15
|
1-0-1
4.54
|
1-1-0
4.59
|
2-0-0
4.20
|
1-1-0
4.79
|
2-0-0
3.80
|
2-0-0
4.61
|
2-0-0
5.03
|
1-1-0
4.84
|
2-0-0
4.06
|
2-0-0
4.93
|
2-0-0
4.59
|
| Borussia Dortmund |
2-0-0
4.19
|
2-0-0
4.19
|
1-0-1
2.80
|
0-0-2
1.81
|
— |
1-0-1
4.12
|
1-1-0
3.66
|
2-0-0
4.17
|
1-1-0
4.06
|
1-0-1
3.63
|
2-0-0
3.62
|
0-2-0
3.23
|
1-1-0
3.82
|
1-1-0
3.95
|
2-0-0
3.91
|
1-1-0
3.00
|
2-0-0
3.89
|
2-0-0
4.24
|
| Borussia Monchengladbach |
1-1-0
3.45
|
1-1-0
2.89
|
0-2-0
1.55
|
0-0-2
0.91
|
1-0-1
1.43
|
— |
0-0-2
2.10
|
1-0-1
2.94
|
0-2-0
2.89
|
1-0-1
2.12
|
1-1-0
2.70
|
0-1-1
1.71
|
0-1-1
2.30
|
2-0-0
2.85
|
1-0-1
2.80
|
0-0-2
1.95
|
0-1-1
3.05
|
0-1-1
2.77
|
| Eintracht Frankfurt |
1-1-0
3.99
|
1-1-0
3.64
|
0-0-2
2.20
|
0-0-2
1.44
|
0-1-1
1.86
|
2-0-0
3.39
|
— |
1-1-0
3.49
|
0-1-1
3.48
|
1-0-1
3.03
|
1-0-1
3.27
|
0-0-2
2.20
|
1-1-0
3.05
|
1-1-0
3.67
|
0-1-1
3.57
|
0-1-1
2.01
|
1-1-0
3.69
|
1-1-0
3.29
|
| FC Augsburg |
1-0-1
3.12
|
1-1-0
2.78
|
2-0-0
1.29
|
1-0-1
1.10
|
0-0-2
1.40
|
1-0-1
2.55
|
0-1-1
2.02
|
— |
1-1-0
2.47
|
0-1-1
1.94
|
0-0-2
2.40
|
0-0-2
1.77
|
1-1-0
2.21
|
1-0-1
2.84
|
0-1-1
2.78
|
0-0-2
1.50
|
2-0-0
2.48
|
1-1-0
2.60
|
| Hamburger SV |
2-0-0
3.18
|
0-1-1
3.03
|
0-1-1
1.53
|
0-1-1
1.04
|
0-1-1
1.50
|
0-2-0
2.59
|
1-1-0
2.02
|
0-1-1
3.02
|
— |
0-0-2
2.05
|
1-1-0
2.46
|
0-0-2
1.91
|
1-0-1
2.31
|
0-1-1
3.02
|
1-1-0
2.91
|
1-0-1
1.67
|
1-0-1
2.95
|
1-0-1
2.66
|
| Hoffenheim |
2-0-0
3.87
|
0-1-1
3.52
|
2-0-0
1.93
|
0-0-2
1.36
|
1-0-1
1.88
|
1-0-1
3.37
|
1-0-1
2.45
|
1-1-0
3.56
|
2-0-0
3.45
|
— |
0-1-1
3.15
|
1-0-1
2.22
|
1-1-0
2.87
|
1-0-1
3.37
|
2-0-0
3.35
|
0-2-0
2.26
|
1-1-0
3.42
|
2-0-0
3.70
|
| Mainz 05 |
2-0-0
3.40
|
0-0-2
3.23
|
0-1-1
1.67
|
0-1-1
0.88
|
0-0-2
1.91
|
0-1-1
2.78
|
1-0-1
2.23
|
2-0-0
3.09
|
0-1-1
3.02
|
1-1-0
2.35
|
— |
1-0-1
2.19
|
0-0-2
2.73
|
1-1-0
3.43
|
0-1-1
3.09
|
0-1-1
1.77
|
1-1-0
2.76
|
1-1-0
2.76
|
| RB Leipzig |
2-0-0
3.90
|
2-0-0
3.73
|
0-0-2
2.74
|
0-0-2
1.72
|
0-2-0
2.26
|
1-1-0
3.83
|
2-0-0
3.29
|
2-0-0
3.75
|
2-0-0
3.59
|
1-0-1
3.27
|
1-0-1
3.33
|
— |
1-0-1
3.68
|
1-1-0
4.37
|
1-0-1
4.29
|
1-0-1
2.71
|
1-1-0
3.54
|
2-0-0
3.81
|
| SC Freiburg |
1-0-1
3.76
|
1-0-1
3.21
|
0-1-1
1.75
|
0-0-2
1.02
|
0-1-1
1.71
|
1-1-0
3.19
|
0-1-1
2.44
|
0-1-1
3.28
|
1-0-1
3.18
|
0-1-1
2.63
|
2-0-0
2.76
|
1-0-1
1.83
|
— |
2-0-0
3.44
|
0-1-1
3.28
|
1-0-1
1.96
|
1-1-0
3.17
|
2-0-0
2.85
|
| St. Pauli |
1-0-1
2.88
|
0-2-0
2.37
|
0-0-2
1.50
|
0-0-2
0.69
|
0-1-1
1.61
|
0-0-2
2.64
|
0-1-1
1.84
|
1-0-1
2.65
|
1-1-0
2.46
|
1-0-1
2.17
|
0-1-1
2.07
|
0-1-1
1.23
|
0-0-2
2.07
|
— |
0-1-1
2.47
|
1-0-1
1.67
|
0-0-2
2.34
|
1-0-1
2.52
|
| Union Berlin |
0-0-2
3.34
|
1-1-0
2.65
|
1-0-1
1.41
|
0-1-1
0.84
|
0-0-2
1.62
|
1-0-1
2.69
|
1-1-0
1.95
|
1-1-0
2.70
|
0-1-1
2.58
|
0-0-2
2.16
|
1-1-0
2.41
|
1-0-1
1.30
|
1-1-0
2.22
|
1-1-0
3.02
|
— |
1-1-0
1.74
|
0-0-2
2.72
|
0-0-2
2.57
|
| VfB Stuttgart |
1-1-0
4.19
|
2-0-0
3.81
|
2-0-0
2.43
|
0-0-2
1.49
|
0-1-1
2.48
|
2-0-0
3.56
|
1-1-0
3.49
|
2-0-0
4.04
|
1-0-1
3.87
|
0-2-0
3.23
|
1-1-0
3.74
|
1-0-1
2.78
|
1-0-1
3.55
|
1-0-1
3.86
|
0-1-1
3.79
|
— |
2-0-0
3.73
|
1-1-0
3.67
|
| VfL Wolfsburg |
1-1-0
3.20
|
0-1-1
3.02
|
0-0-2
1.39
|
0-0-2
0.77
|
0-0-2
1.64
|
1-1-0
2.44
|
0-1-1
1.83
|
0-0-2
3.00
|
1-0-1
2.53
|
0-1-1
2.11
|
0-1-1
2.72
|
0-1-1
1.98
|
0-1-1
2.32
|
2-0-0
3.15
|
2-0-0
2.77
|
0-0-2
1.80
|
— |
0-0-2
2.53
|
| Werder Bremen |
1-1-0
3.31
|
0-1-1
3.03
|
0-1-1
1.72
|
0-0-2
1.04
|
0-0-2
1.33
|
1-1-0
2.72
|
0-1-1
2.20
|
0-1-1
2.88
|
1-0-1
2.82
|
0-0-2
1.82
|
0-1-1
2.72
|
0-0-2
1.72
|
0-0-2
2.66
|
1-0-1
2.96
|
2-0-0
2.92
|
0-1-1
1.86
|
2-0-0
2.95
|
— |
Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential
Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).
Fit Metrics
| R² | Slope | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.84 | +7.7 |
| Allowed | 0.77 | -15.4 |
| Differential | 0.94 | +5.9 |
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.92% | 6.21% | 4.41% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 1.31% | 21.08% |
| 1 | 6.21% | 11.11% | 7.84% | 5.72% | 1.80% | 0.82% | 33.50% |
| 2 | 4.41% | 7.84% | 5.56% | 2.45% | 0.49% | 0.33% | 21.08% |
| 3 | 2.61% | 5.72% | 2.45% | 3.92% | 0.82% | 0.16% | 15.69% |
| 4 | 2.61% | 1.80% | 0.49% | 0.82% | — | 0.16% | 5.88% |
| 5+ | 1.31% | 0.82% | 0.33% | 0.16% | 0.16% | — | 2.78% |
| Total | 21.08% | 33.50% | 21.08% | 15.69% | 5.88% | 2.78% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.62 | 1.62 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.34 | 1.34 | 2.03 |
| CV | 0.83 | 0.83 | — |
| Max | 8 | 8 | +7 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -7 |
Games Played: 306
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 8.82% | 14.71% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 35.29% |
| 1 | — | 5.88% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 26.47% |
| 3 | — | 5.88% | — | 8.82% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 2.94% | 29.41% | 35.29% | 23.53% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.21 | 2.12 | -0.91 |
| SD | 1.09 | 1.17 | 1.71 |
| CV | 0.91 | 0.55 | — |
| Max | 3 | 6 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 14.71% | 14.71% | 14.71% | — | 2.94% | 55.88% |
| 2 | — | 2.94% | 11.76% | — | — | — | 14.71% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 8.82% | 32.35% | 32.35% | 20.59% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.44 | 1.85 | -0.41 |
| SD | 1.05 | 1.13 | 1.48 |
| CV | 0.73 | 0.61 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 14.71% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 38.24% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 14.71% |
| 3 | — | 11.76% | — | 8.82% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 4 | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% |
| Total | 23.53% | 41.18% | 11.76% | 20.59% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.00 | 1.38 | +0.62 |
| SD | 1.56 | 1.16 | 1.92 |
| CV | 0.78 | 0.84 | — |
| Max | 6 | 4 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 2 | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 3 | 11.76% | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | 32.35% |
| 4 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 5+ | 11.76% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 26.47% |
| Total | 35.29% | 29.41% | 29.41% | 5.88% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 3.59 | 1.06 | +2.53 |
| SD | 1.54 | 0.95 | 1.97 |
| CV | 0.43 | 0.90 | — |
| Max | 8 | 3 | +7 |
| Min | 1 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 2 | 20.59% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 35.29% |
| 3 | 8.82% | — | 11.76% | 8.82% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 4 | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 44.12% | 23.53% | 20.59% | 11.76% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.06 | 1.00 | +1.06 |
| SD | 1.01 | 1.07 | 1.39 |
| CV | 0.49 | 1.07 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.71% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 35.29% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 38.24% |
| 2 | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | 8.82% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | 11.76% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 38.24% | 20.59% | 8.82% | 20.59% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.24 | 1.56 | -0.32 |
| SD | 1.35 | 1.67 | 2.17 |
| CV | 1.09 | 1.07 | — |
| Max | 4 | 6 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 8.82% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 14.71% | 5.88% | 11.76% | — | — | 41.18% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 2.94% | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 14.71% |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 20.59% | 23.53% | 14.71% | 32.35% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.79 | 1.91 | -0.12 |
| SD | 1.27 | 1.46 | 1.79 |
| CV | 0.71 | 0.77 | — |
| Max | 6 | 6 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 26.47% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | — | 29.41% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 29.41% |
| 3 | — | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 14.71% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 14.71% | 38.24% | 23.53% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.32 | 1.79 | -0.47 |
| SD | 1.04 | 1.47 | 2.00 |
| CV | 0.78 | 0.82 | — |
| Max | 3 | 6 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.76% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 29.41% |
| 1 | — | 17.65% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 38.24% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 3 | — | — | 8.82% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 17.65% | 38.24% | 26.47% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.18 | 1.59 | -0.41 |
| SD | 1.06 | 1.28 | 1.71 |
| CV | 0.90 | 0.81 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 17.65% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 26.47% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 3 | 8.82% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 20.59% | 41.18% | 20.59% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.91 | 1.53 | +0.38 |
| SD | 1.38 | 1.38 | 2.19 |
| CV | 0.72 | 0.90 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | 8.82% | — | 29.41% |
| 1 | — | 17.65% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 14.71% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 32.35% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 11.76% | 52.94% | 17.65% | 2.94% | 14.71% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.29 | 1.56 | -0.26 |
| SD | 1.09 | 1.21 | 1.68 |
| CV | 0.84 | 0.78 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% | 8.82% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 35.29% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 17.65% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 32.35% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 11.76% | — | — | — | — | 14.71% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | 8.82% | — | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| Total | 32.35% | 38.24% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.94 | 1.38 | +0.56 |
| SD | 1.46 | 1.56 | 2.56 |
| CV | 0.75 | 1.13 | — |
| Max | 6 | 6 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 26.47% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 2 | — | 17.65% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 32.35% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 17.65% | 38.24% | 17.65% | 17.65% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.50 | 1.68 | -0.18 |
| SD | 1.24 | 1.39 | 1.88 |
| CV | 0.82 | 0.83 | — |
| Max | 4 | 6 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 38.24% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 11.76% | 20.59% | 5.88% | — | — | 41.18% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 11.76% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 3 | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 14.71% | 29.41% | 32.35% | 14.71% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.85 | 1.76 | -0.91 |
| SD | 0.82 | 1.23 | 1.56 |
| CV | 0.96 | 0.70 | — |
| Max | 3 | 5 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 44.12% |
| 2 | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 17.65% |
| 3 | — | 8.82% | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.59% | 29.41% | 17.65% | 23.53% | 8.82% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.29 | 1.71 | -0.41 |
| SD | 1.12 | 1.29 | 1.74 |
| CV | 0.86 | 0.76 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% | 8.82% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | 32.35% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | 17.65% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 4 | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 5+ | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 32.35% | 20.59% | 26.47% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.09 | 1.44 | +0.65 |
| SD | 1.31 | 1.33 | 2.01 |
| CV | 0.63 | 0.92 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 14.71% | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 14.71% | 11.76% | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | 41.18% |
| 2 | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 3 | — | 11.76% | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 20.59% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 5.88% | 47.06% | 14.71% | 20.59% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.32 | 2.03 | -0.71 |
| SD | 1.07 | 1.66 | 1.82 |
| CV | 0.80 | 0.82 | — |
| Max | 3 | 8 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -7 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 11.76% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | 38.24% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 35.29% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | — | 5.88% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 17.65% | 29.41% | 20.59% | 23.53% | 8.82% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.09 | 1.76 | -0.68 |
| SD | 1.19 | 1.26 | 1.90 |
| CV | 1.09 | 0.71 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 89 | 76.49 | +12.51 |
| 2 | Hoffenheim | 61 | 49.75 | +11.25 |
| 3 | Borussia Dortmund | 73 | 62.09 | +10.91 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 65 | 57.85 | +7.15 |
| 5 | FC Augsburg | 43 | 37.38 | +5.62 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 29 | 39.25 | -10.25 |
| 2 | St. Pauli | 26 | 35.28 | -9.28 |
| 3 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 40.68 | -8.68 |
| 4 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 44 | 51.18 | -7.18 |
| 5 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 26 | 31.64 | -5.64 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Most Unlikely Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 9 | Aug 22 – Nov 1 | 1 in 107 |
| 2 | Hoffenheim | 5 | Jan 14 – Jan 31 | 1 in 65 |
| 3 | Mainz 05 | 3 | Jan 24 – Feb 7 | 1 in 31 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 5 | Sep 19 – Oct 26 | 1 in 27 |
| 5 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 3 | Nov 1 – Nov 22 | 1 in 19 |
Most Unlikely Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Pauli | 9 | Sep 19 – Nov 29 | 1 in 989 |
| 2 | VfL Wolfsburg | 4 | Sep 21 – Oct 18 | 1 in 28 |
| 3 | FC Augsburg | 4 | Aug 30 – Sep 27 | 1 in 28 |
| 4 | Mainz 05 | 4 | Sep 27 – Oct 26 | 1 in 26 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | Nov 29 – Dec 6 | 1 in 23 |
Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 16 | Oct 25 – Feb 21 | 1 in 60 |
| 2 | FC Augsburg | 6 | Apr 4 – May 9 | 1 in 52 |
| 3 | Mainz 05 | 6 | Feb 20 – Apr 4 | 1 in 46 |
| 4 | Hamburger SV | 6 | Jan 17 – Feb 20 | 1 in 31 |
| 5 | Union Berlin | 5 | Dec 12 – Jan 18 | 1 in 25 |
Most Unlikely Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mainz 05 | 12 | Sep 27 – Jan 10 | 1 in 104 |
| 2 | Werder Bremen | 13 | Nov 23 – Feb 22 | 1 in 96 |
| 3 | VfL Wolfsburg | 12 | Jan 17 – Apr 11 | 1 in 77 |
| 4 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 15 | Dec 13 – Apr 4 | 1 in 33 |
| 5 | St. Pauli | 10 | Sep 19 – Dec 6 | 1 in 28 |
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 85.17% | 10.81% | 2.67% | 0.82% | 0.38% | 0.11% | 0.03% | 0.01% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund | 5.59% | 31.54% | 22.92% | 16.17% | 10.55% | 6.12% | 3.18% | 1.85% | 0.87% | 0.55% | 0.32% | 0.17% | 0.05% | 0.08% | 0.03% | — | — | 0.01% |
| RB Leipzig | 2.08% | 13.30% | 17.82% | 19.59% | 16.82% | 12.20% | 7.33% | 4.55% | 2.53% | 1.35% | 0.98% | 0.65% | 0.34% | 0.23% | 0.11% | 0.08% | 0.04% | — |
| VfB Stuttgart | 1.77% | 12.19% | 18.01% | 19.89% | 17.71% | 11.66% | 7.59% | 4.72% | 2.49% | 1.52% | 1.12% | 0.55% | 0.32% | 0.17% | 0.14% | 0.05% | 0.06% | 0.04% |
| Hoffenheim | 0.17% | 1.88% | 4.43% | 7.56% | 11.56% | 15.01% | 14.89% | 12.19% | 9.26% | 7.08% | 4.94% | 3.91% | 2.54% | 1.83% | 1.17% | 0.81% | 0.52% | 0.25% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 4.94% | 26.46% | 24.55% | 17.51% | 11.99% | 6.68% | 3.83% | 1.93% | 0.95% | 0.63% | 0.23% | 0.18% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.04% | 0.02% | 0.01% | — |
| SC Freiburg | 0.01% | 0.45% | 1.56% | 3.11% | 5.32% | 8.81% | 10.87% | 12.68% | 11.65% | 10.15% | 8.85% | 6.77% | 5.69% | 4.82% | 3.72% | 2.77% | 1.84% | 0.93% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 0.22% | 2.67% | 5.71% | 9.41% | 13.81% | 15.62% | 14.47% | 10.94% | 8.42% | 5.85% | 4.19% | 3.04% | 2.37% | 1.41% | 0.90% | 0.54% | 0.33% | 0.10% |
| FC Augsburg | — | 0.02% | 0.10% | 0.28% | 0.58% | 1.71% | 2.84% | 4.05% | 5.22% | 7.09% | 7.40% | 8.86% | 9.51% | 10.07% | 10.92% | 11.60% | 10.58% | 9.17% |
| Mainz 05 | 0.02% | 0.34% | 0.85% | 1.99% | 3.25% | 5.86% | 8.46% | 9.71% | 11.34% | 9.80% | 9.66% | 8.84% | 7.73% | 7.13% | 5.30% | 4.40% | 3.49% | 1.83% |
| Union Berlin | — | 0.03% | 0.17% | 0.34% | 0.80% | 1.68% | 3.08% | 4.37% | 5.72% | 7.40% | 8.06% | 9.25% | 9.89% | 10.77% | 10.87% | 10.31% | 9.46% | 7.80% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | — | 0.07% | 0.34% | 0.76% | 1.68% | 3.09% | 4.84% | 7.40% | 8.48% | 9.07% | 9.99% | 9.84% | 8.92% | 9.17% | 8.07% | 7.62% | 6.01% | 4.65% |
| Hamburger SV | 0.02% | 0.08% | 0.25% | 0.71% | 1.62% | 3.12% | 4.81% | 6.13% | 8.36% | 9.01% | 9.51% | 9.53% | 9.03% | 9.19% | 8.48% | 8.23% | 6.93% | 4.99% |
| 1. FC Koln | — | 0.02% | 0.08% | 0.33% | 0.72% | 1.42% | 2.48% | 3.81% | 5.02% | 6.76% | 7.70% | 8.34% | 10.33% | 10.61% | 10.86% | 10.92% | 11.07% | 9.53% |
| Werder Bremen | — | 0.08% | 0.37% | 0.76% | 1.76% | 3.35% | 5.38% | 7.14% | 7.97% | 9.04% | 9.20% | 9.37% | 9.99% | 8.35% | 8.94% | 7.60% | 6.57% | 4.13% |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 0.01% | 0.05% | 0.15% | 0.51% | 1.05% | 2.45% | 4.02% | 5.37% | 6.94% | 7.55% | 9.30% | 9.37% | 9.71% | 9.53% | 9.81% | 9.20% | 8.61% | 6.37% |
| 1. FC Heidenheim | — | — | — | 0.05% | 0.10% | 0.21% | 0.42% | 1.00% | 1.39% | 2.41% | 2.85% | 4.09% | 5.60% | 7.11% | 9.36% | 12.76% | 19.09% | 33.56% |
| St. Pauli | — | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.21% | 0.30% | 0.90% | 1.48% | 2.15% | 3.39% | 4.74% | 5.70% | 7.24% | 7.96% | 9.50% | 11.28% | 13.09% | 15.39% | 16.64% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.
Edges & Scoring
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Home Edge
- Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
- Elo Value
- Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
- Scoring Tilt
- Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Title Race
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Title-Race Openness
- Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
- Champion Preseason Odds
- Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 9th * Longshot: 10th or lower.
- Title Margin
- Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Simulation-Based Surprises
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Luck Spread
- Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.As Expected: under 5.74 * Some Luck: 5.74 to 8.61 * Lucky: 8.61 to 11.48 * Wild Swing: 11.48 and up.
- Average Finish Error
- Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.Pinpoint: under 1.93 * Close: 1.93 to 2.9 * Off: 2.9 to 3.87 * Way Off: 3.87 and up.
- Biggest Overachiever
- The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 18 typically lands.
- Biggest Underachiever
- The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 18 typically lands.
- Season Outliers
- Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.Minimal Outliers: under 18 * As Expected: 18 to 28.8 * Several Outliers: 28.8 to 39.6 * Many Outliers: 39.6 and up.
- Unexpected Relegations
- Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.As Expected: under 1.58 * A Surprise: 1.58 to 2.53 * Several Surprises: 2.53 to 3.47 * Many Surprises: 3.47 and up.
Parity
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Gini Index
- How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
- Noll-Scully
- How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
- Interquartile Edge
- Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
- Best vs. Worst
- Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
- Close Games
- Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
- Blowouts
- Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Predictability
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Brier Score
- How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
- Matchup Imbalance
- How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
- Strangeness
- How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
- Repeatability
- How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
- Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
- Clear Favorite Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Calibration
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Probability calibration
- An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
- Calibration slope
- Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
- Calibration error (ECE)
- The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.14 * Above Noise: 0.14 to 0.19 * Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.
Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.
| Team | Same level | Lost relegation playoff | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 100% | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund | 99.99% | — | 0.01% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 99.97% | 0.02% | 0.01% |
| RB Leipzig | 99.88% | 0.08% | 0.04% |
| VfB Stuttgart | 99.85% | 0.05% | 0.10% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 99.03% | 0.54% | 0.43% |
| Hoffenheim | 98.42% | 0.81% | 0.77% |
| SC Freiburg | 94.46% | 2.77% | 2.77% |
| Mainz 05 | 90.28% | 4.40% | 5.32% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 81.72% | 7.62% | 10.66% |
| Werder Bremen | 81.70% | 7.60% | 10.70% |
| Hamburger SV | 79.85% | 8.23% | 11.92% |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 75.82% | 9.20% | 14.98% |
| Union Berlin | 72.43% | 10.31% | 17.26% |
| FC Augsburg | 68.65% | 11.60% | 19.75% |
| 1. FC Koln | 68.48% | 10.92% | 20.60% |
| St. Pauli | 54.88% | 13.09% | 32.03% |
| 1. FC Heidenheim | 34.59% | 12.76% | 52.65% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | 1. FC Heidenheim | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1. FC Koln | 1. FC Magdeburg | 1. FC Nurnberg | Arminia Bielefeld | Borussia Monchengladbach | Dusseldorf | Dynamo Dresden | Eintracht Braunschweig | Eintracht Frankfurt | Elversberg | FC Augsburg | Greuther Furth | Hamburger SV | Hannover 96 | Hertha BSC | Hoffenheim | Holstein Kiel | Karlsruher SC | Mainz 05 | Paderborn 07 | Preussen Munster | RB Leipzig | SC Freiburg | SV Darmstadt 98 | Schalke 04 | St. Pauli | Union Berlin | VfB Stuttgart | VfL Bochum | VfL Wolfsburg | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Heidenheim | 55.8%95.00% | 61.9%21.00% | 56.5%23.00% | 63.2%19.00% | 71.1%38.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 43.7%174.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 37.9%132.00% | 49.0%98.00% | 57.9%107.00% | 57.9%38.00% | 47.5%162.00% | 77.8%9.00% | 56.5%147.00% | 42.7%131.00% | 64.2%109.00% | |||||||||||||||
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 44.2%95.00% | 43.0%86.00% | 23.5%51.00% | 16.7%6.00% | 36.5%63.00% | 29.4%51.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 26.7%30.00% | 22.2%9.00% | 37.2%94.00% | 23.3%73.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 29.3%58.00% | 33.3%57.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1. FC Koln | 57.0%86.00% | 44.4%18.00% | 52.4%21.00% | 80.0%20.00% | 75.0%20.00% | 100.0%5.00% | 48.8%162.00% | 51.3%113.00% | 64.3%98.00% | 56.2%73.00% | 70.4%54.00% | 52.1%140.00% | 91.7%12.00% | 53.6%125.00% | 57.0%121.00% | 52.5%80.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 38.1%21.00% | 55.6%18.00% | 42.9%7.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 18.2%11.00% | 25.0%8.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 10.5%19.00% | 56.2%16.00% | 17.6%17.00% | 20.0%15.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 43.5%23.00% | 47.6%21.00% | 50.0%10.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 18.2%22.00% | 28.6%14.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 40.0%5.00% | 12.5%8.00% | 47.8%23.00% | 18.2%22.00% | 53.3%15.00% | 23.5%17.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Arminia Bielefeld | 36.8%19.00% | 20.0%20.00% | 25.0%12.00% | 35.0%20.00% | 33.3%18.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 55.2%29.00% | 31.6%19.00% | 30.8%13.00% | 46.2%13.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 76.5%51.00% | 57.1%7.00% | 50.0%10.00% | 75.0%12.00% | 80.0%15.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 62.4%85.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 54.5%77.00% | 68.8%64.00% | 69.4%62.00% | 88.1%42.00% | 57.6%85.00% | 100.0%3.00% | 72.8%81.00% | 68.8%64.00% | 77.2%57.00% | ||||||||||||||||
| Dusseldorf | 28.9%38.00% | 25.0%20.00% | 20.0%15.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 14.3%28.00% | 6.2%16.00% | 16.7%6.00% | 42.9%7.00% | 28.6%7.00% | 40.0%20.00% | 8.3%12.00% | 20.0%15.00% | 35.7%14.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Dynamo Dresden | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%5.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 16.7%6.00% | 40.0%5.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%7.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 77.8%9.00% | 100.0%4.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Eintracht Braunschweig | 25.0%4.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%3.00% | 100.0%1.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 83.3%6.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 85.7%7.00% | 80.0%5.00% | 100.0%6.00% | 50.0%4.00% | 100.0%3.00% | 85.7%7.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 77.8%9.00% | 42.9%7.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| Elversberg | 56.3%174.00% | 51.2%162.00% | 37.6%85.00% | 14.3%7.00% | 46.9%130.00% | 56.3%96.00% | 16.7%12.00% | 38.2%55.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 33.3%42.00% | 59.3%177.00% | 50.0%126.00% | 48.8%123.00% | 44.8%87.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| FC Augsburg | 63.5%63.00% | 81.8%11.00% | 81.8%22.00% | 65.0%20.00% | 85.7%28.00% | 83.3%6.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 53.1%130.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 59.6%141.00% | 75.3%93.00% | 68.6%86.00% | 62.2%45.00% | 56.9%137.00% | 83.3%12.00% | 60.3%116.00% | 57.9%95.00% | 70.2%104.00% | |||||||||||||||
| Greuther Furth | 50.0%2.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 0.0%1.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Hamburger SV | 70.6%51.00% | 75.0%8.00% | 71.4%14.00% | 66.7%18.00% | 93.8%16.00% | 60.0%5.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 43.8%96.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 58.3%103.00% | 79.7%59.00% | 68.1%72.00% | 77.8%36.00% | 67.0%100.00% | 87.5%8.00% | 76.7%86.00% | 58.0%81.00% | 66.2%77.00% | |||||||||||||||
| Hannover 96 | 62.1%132.00% | 48.7%113.00% | 45.5%77.00% | 20.0%5.00% | 40.4%141.00% | 41.7%103.00% | 23.1%13.00% | 31.7%60.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 59.1%22.00% | 55.9%152.00% | 36.7%139.00% | 47.3%110.00% | 37.0%73.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| Hertha BSC | 51.0%98.00% | 35.7%98.00% | 31.2%64.00% | 0.0%6.00% | 24.7%93.00% | 20.3%59.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 13.6%44.00% | 47.1%17.00% | 49.4%87.00% | 25.6%78.00% | 38.2%68.00% | 35.9%64.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Hoffenheim | 100.0%4.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 83.3%6.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 83.3%12.00% | 76.9%13.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 100.0%8.00% | 66.7%6.00% | 62.5%8.00% | 75.0%8.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| Holstein Kiel | 42.1%107.00% | 43.8%73.00% | 30.6%62.00% | 50.0%4.00% | 31.4%86.00% | 31.9%72.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 20.0%40.00% | 20.0%25.00% | 45.2%104.00% | 23.3%86.00% | 34.1%82.00% | 23.9%67.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Karlsruher SC | 42.1%38.00% | 29.6%54.00% | 11.9%42.00% | 0.0%3.00% | 37.8%45.00% | 22.2%36.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 20.0%25.00% | 18.2%11.00% | 25.0%60.00% | 22.9%48.00% | 24.4%45.00% | 31.2%32.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Mainz 05 | 73.3%30.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 60.0%5.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 57.1%7.00% | 61.8%55.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 68.3%60.00% | 86.4%44.00% | 80.0%40.00% | 80.0%25.00% | 67.3%52.00% | 80.0%5.00% | 72.1%43.00% | 57.6%33.00% | 62.9%35.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| Paderborn 07 | 52.5%162.00% | 47.9%140.00% | 42.4%85.00% | 14.3%7.00% | 43.1%137.00% | 33.0%100.00% | 0.0%8.00% | 32.7%52.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 25.8%31.00% | 54.0%163.00% | 40.7%123.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 52.8%106.00% | 52.2%90.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| Preussen Munster | 22.2%9.00% | 8.3%12.00% | 0.0%3.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 16.7%12.00% | 12.5%8.00% | 20.0%5.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 45.5%11.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 28.6%7.00% | 14.3%7.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||
| RB Leipzig | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| SC Freiburg | 77.8%9.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 87.5%8.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 71.4%7.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 66.7%42.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 40.9%22.00% | 52.9%17.00% | 80.0%25.00% | 81.8%11.00% | 74.2%31.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 68.0%25.00% | 79.2%24.00% | 61.1%18.00% | ||||||||||||||||
| SV Darmstadt 98 | 43.5%147.00% | 46.4%125.00% | 27.2%81.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 39.7%116.00% | 23.3%86.00% | 33.3%6.00% | 27.9%43.00% | 32.0%25.00% | 54.5%145.00% | 32.5%117.00% | 26.4%87.00% | 33.8%77.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Schalke 04 | 57.3%131.00% | 43.0%121.00% | 31.2%64.00% | 22.2%9.00% | 42.1%95.00% | 42.0%81.00% | 37.5%8.00% | 42.4%33.00% | 20.8%24.00% | 55.0%111.00% | 48.6%109.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 50.6%87.00% | 42.1%76.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| St. Pauli | 62.8%94.00% | 89.5%19.00% | 52.2%23.00% | 44.8%29.00% | 60.0%20.00% | 100.0%7.00% | 100.0%3.00% | 40.7%177.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 44.1%152.00% | 50.6%87.00% | 54.8%104.00% | 75.0%60.00% | 46.0%163.00% | 54.5%11.00% | 45.5%145.00% | 45.0%111.00% | 50.0%100.00% | |||||||||||||||
| Union Berlin | 76.7%73.00% | 43.8%16.00% | 81.8%22.00% | 68.4%19.00% | 91.7%12.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 50.0%126.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 63.3%139.00% | 74.4%78.00% | 76.7%86.00% | 77.1%48.00% | 59.3%123.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 67.5%117.00% | 51.4%109.00% | 75.6%86.00% | ||||||||||||||||
| VfB Stuttgart | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 66.7%3.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| VfL Bochum | 35.8%109.00% | 47.5%80.00% | 22.8%57.00% | 57.1%7.00% | 29.8%104.00% | 33.8%77.00% | 25.0%8.00% | 37.1%35.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 38.9%18.00% | 50.0%100.00% | 24.4%86.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 29.6%71.00% | 43.9%57.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| VfL Wolfsburg | 70.7%58.00% | 82.4%17.00% | 46.7%15.00% | 69.2%13.00% | 80.0%15.00% | 22.2%9.00% | 51.2%123.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 52.7%110.00% | 61.8%68.00% | 65.9%82.00% | 75.6%45.00% | 47.2%106.00% | 71.4%7.00% | 73.6%87.00% | 49.4%87.00% | 70.4%71.00% | ||||||||||||||||
| Werder Bremen | 66.7%57.00% | 80.0%15.00% | 76.5%17.00% | 53.8%13.00% | 64.3%14.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 55.2%87.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 63.0%73.00% | 64.1%64.00% | 76.1%67.00% | 68.8%32.00% | 47.8%90.00% | 85.7%7.00% | 66.2%77.00% | 57.9%76.00% | 56.1%57.00% |
Overall Game Log
Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-22 | RB Leipzig | W 6-0 | 2076 | 1978 | 55.4% | 23.9% | 20.7% | +23.9 | 3 |
| 2025-08-22 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-6 | 1978 | 2076 | 20.7% | 23.9% | 55.4% | -23.9 | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-3 | 1873 | 1909 | 37.9% | 26.0% | 36.1% | -12.3 | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | W 3-1 | 1909 | 1873 | 36.1% | 26.0% | 37.9% | +12.3 | 3 |
| 2025-08-23 | Hoffenheim | L 1-2 | 2051 | 1890 | 62.4% | 21.8% | 15.8% | -10.7 | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | W 2-1 | 1890 | 2051 | 15.8% | 21.8% | 62.4% | +10.7 | 3 |
| 2025-08-23 | Werder Bremen | W 4-1 | 1977 | 1925 | 49.8% | 25.0% | 25.1% | +12.6 | 3 |
| 2025-08-23 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-4 | 1925 | 1977 | 25.1% | 25.0% | 49.8% | -12.6 | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | FC Augsburg | L 1-3 | 1916 | 1885 | 47.2% | 25.4% | 27.4% | -14.6 | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | @ SC Freiburg | W 3-1 | 1885 | 1916 | 27.4% | 25.4% | 47.2% | +14.6 | 3 |
| 2025-08-23 | Borussia Dortmund | D 3-3 | 1884 | 1993 | 28.3% | 25.5% | 46.2% | +0.5 | 1 |
| 2025-08-23 | @ St. Pauli | D 3-3 | 1993 | 1884 | 46.2% | 25.5% | 28.3% | -0.5 | 1 |
| 2025-08-23 | VfB Stuttgart | W 2-1 | 1861 | 1990 | 25.9% | 25.2% | 48.9% | +8.7 | 3 |
| 2025-08-23 | @ Union Berlin | L 1-2 | 1990 | 1861 | 48.9% | 25.2% | 25.9% | -8.7 | 0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Hamburger SV | D 0-0 | 1904 | 1897 | 44.0% | 25.7% | 30.3% | -0.6 | 1 |
| 2025-08-24 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | D 0-0 | 1897 | 1904 | 30.3% | 25.7% | 44.0% | +0.6 | 1 |
| 2025-08-24 | 1. FC Koln | L 0-1 | 1954 | 1846 | 56.6% | 23.6% | 19.8% | -10.4 | 0 |
| 2025-08-24 | @ Mainz 05 | W 1-0 | 1846 | 1954 | 19.8% | 23.6% | 56.6% | +10.4 | 3 |
| 2025-08-29 | St. Pauli | L 0-2 | 1897 | 1884 | 44.7% | 25.7% | 29.6% | -16.1 | 1 |
| 2025-08-29 | @ Hamburger SV | W 2-0 | 1884 | 1897 | 29.6% | 25.7% | 44.7% | +16.1 | 4 |
| 2025-08-30 | Bayern Munich | L 2-3 | 1899 | 2099 | 19.1% | 23.4% | 57.5% | -3.8 | 3 |
| 2025-08-30 | @ FC Augsburg | W 3-2 | 2099 | 1899 | 57.5% | 23.4% | 19.1% | +3.8 | 6 |
| 2025-08-30 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-3 | 1900 | 1990 | 30.6% | 25.7% | 43.6% | -10.5 | 3 |
| 2025-08-30 | @ Hoffenheim | W 3-1 | 1990 | 1900 | 43.6% | 25.7% | 30.6% | +10.5 | 6 |
| 2025-08-30 | 1. FC Heidenheim | W 2-0 | 1954 | 1861 | 54.8% | 24.0% | 21.1% | +8.8 | 3 |
| 2025-08-30 | @ RB Leipzig | L 0-2 | 1861 | 1954 | 21.1% | 24.0% | 54.8% | -8.8 | 0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 1-0 | 1982 | 1903 | 53.1% | 24.4% | 22.4% | +4.9 | 3 |
| 2025-08-30 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-1 | 1903 | 1982 | 22.4% | 24.4% | 53.1% | -4.9 | 1 |
| 2025-08-30 | Bayer Leverkusen | D 3-3 | 1913 | 2041 | 26.1% | 25.2% | 48.8% | +0.6 | 1 |
| 2025-08-30 | @ Werder Bremen | D 3-3 | 2041 | 1913 | 48.8% | 25.2% | 26.1% | -0.6 | 1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Union Berlin | W 3-0 | 1992 | 1870 | 58.2% | 23.2% | 18.6% | +11.3 | 4 |
| 2025-08-31 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-3 | 1870 | 1992 | 18.6% | 23.2% | 58.2% | -11.3 | 3 |
| 2025-08-31 | SC Freiburg | W 4-1 | 1856 | 1901 | 36.6% | 26.0% | 37.4% | +17.2 | 6 |
| 2025-08-31 | @ 1. FC Koln | L 1-4 | 1901 | 1856 | 37.4% | 26.0% | 36.6% | -17.2 | 0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1922 | 1943 | 39.9% | 25.9% | 34.1% | -0.2 | 4 |
| 2025-08-31 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 1-1 | 1943 | 1922 | 34.1% | 25.9% | 39.9% | +0.2 | 1 |
| 2025-09-12 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 3-1 | 2040 | 2000 | 48.3% | 25.2% | 26.5% | +9.3 | 4 |
| 2025-09-12 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-3 | 2000 | 2040 | 26.5% | 25.2% | 48.3% | -9.3 | 6 |
| 2025-09-13 | Borussia Dortmund | L 0-2 | 1852 | 2003 | 23.6% | 24.7% | 51.7% | -9.7 | 0 |
| 2025-09-13 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | W 2-0 | 2003 | 1852 | 51.7% | 24.7% | 23.6% | +9.7 | 7 |
| 2025-09-13 | Hamburger SV | W 5-0 | 2103 | 1881 | 68.3% | 19.5% | 12.2% | +11.7 | 9 |
| 2025-09-13 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-5 | 1881 | 2103 | 12.2% | 19.5% | 68.3% | -11.7 | 1 |
| 2025-09-13 | VfB Stuttgart | W 3-1 | 1884 | 1987 | 29.0% | 25.6% | 45.4% | +14.2 | 3 |
| 2025-09-13 | @ SC Freiburg | L 1-3 | 1987 | 1884 | 45.4% | 25.6% | 29.0% | -14.2 | 3 |
| 2025-09-13 | RB Leipzig | L 0-1 | 1944 | 1963 | 40.3% | 25.9% | 33.8% | -7.9 | 1 |
| 2025-09-13 | @ Mainz 05 | W 1-0 | 1963 | 1944 | 33.8% | 25.9% | 40.3% | +7.9 | 6 |
| 2025-09-13 | Hoffenheim | L 2-4 | 1859 | 1890 | 38.6% | 26.0% | 35.4% | -11.2 | 3 |
| 2025-09-13 | @ Union Berlin | W 4-2 | 1890 | 1859 | 35.4% | 26.0% | 38.6% | +11.1 | 6 |
| 2025-09-13 | 1. FC Koln | D 3-3 | 1921 | 1874 | 49.3% | 25.1% | 25.6% | -0.6 | 5 |
| 2025-09-13 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 3-3 | 1874 | 1921 | 25.6% | 25.1% | 49.3% | +0.6 | 7 |
| 2025-09-14 | Werder Bremen | L 0-4 | 1898 | 1913 | 40.9% | 25.9% | 33.2% | -28.5 | 1 |
| 2025-09-14 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 4-0 | 1913 | 1898 | 33.2% | 25.9% | 40.9% | +28.5 | 4 |
| 2025-09-14 | FC Augsburg | W 2-1 | 1901 | 1895 | 43.7% | 25.7% | 30.6% | +6.0 | 7 |
| 2025-09-14 | @ St. Pauli | L 1-2 | 1895 | 1901 | 30.6% | 25.7% | 43.7% | -6.0 | 3 |
| 2025-09-19 | St. Pauli | W 2-0 | 1972 | 1907 | 51.6% | 24.7% | 23.7% | +9.8 | 6 |
| 2025-09-19 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-2 | 1907 | 1972 | 23.7% | 24.7% | 51.6% | -9.7 | 7 |
| 2025-09-20 | Mainz 05 | L 1-4 | 1889 | 1936 | 36.4% | 26.0% | 37.6% | -16.9 | 3 |
| 2025-09-20 | @ FC Augsburg | W 4-1 | 1936 | 1889 | 37.6% | 26.0% | 36.4% | +16.9 | 4 |
| 2025-09-20 | 1. FC Heidenheim | W 2-1 | 1869 | 1842 | 46.6% | 25.5% | 27.9% | +5.6 | 4 |
| 2025-09-20 | @ Hamburger SV | L 1-2 | 1842 | 1869 | 27.9% | 25.5% | 46.6% | -5.6 | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Bayern Munich | L 1-4 | 1901 | 2115 | 18.1% | 22.9% | 59.0% | -9.3 | 6 |
| 2025-09-20 | @ Hoffenheim | W 4-1 | 2115 | 1901 | 59.0% | 22.9% | 18.1% | +9.3 | 12 |
| 2025-09-20 | 1. FC Koln | W 3-1 | 1970 | 1874 | 55.2% | 23.9% | 20.8% | +7.5 | 9 |
| 2025-09-20 | @ RB Leipzig | L 1-3 | 1874 | 1970 | 20.8% | 23.9% | 55.2% | -7.5 | 7 |
| 2025-09-20 | SC Freiburg | L 0-3 | 1942 | 1898 | 48.8% | 25.2% | 26.1% | -25.2 | 4 |
| 2025-09-20 | @ Werder Bremen | W 3-0 | 1898 | 1942 | 26.1% | 25.2% | 48.8% | +25.2 | 6 |
| 2025-09-21 | Borussia Monchengladbach | D 1-1 | 2049 | 1870 | 64.2% | 21.1% | 14.6% | -2.2 | 5 |
| 2025-09-21 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | D 1-1 | 1870 | 2049 | 14.6% | 21.1% | 64.2% | +2.2 | 2 |
| 2025-09-21 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 1-0 | 2013 | 1921 | 54.8% | 24.1% | 21.1% | +4.7 | 10 |
| 2025-09-21 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-1 | 1921 | 2013 | 21.1% | 24.1% | 54.8% | -4.7 | 5 |
| 2025-09-21 | Union Berlin | L 3-4 | 1991 | 1848 | 60.5% | 22.5% | 17.0% | -9.6 | 6 |
| 2025-09-21 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 4-3 | 1848 | 1991 | 17.0% | 22.5% | 60.5% | +9.6 | 6 |
| 2025-09-26 | Werder Bremen | W 4-0 | 2124 | 1917 | 67.0% | 20.1% | 13.0% | +10.2 | 15 |
| 2025-09-26 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-4 | 1917 | 2124 | 13.0% | 20.1% | 67.0% | -10.2 | 4 |
| 2025-09-27 | FC Augsburg | W 2-1 | 1837 | 1873 | 38.0% | 26.0% | 36.1% | +6.8 | 3 |
| 2025-09-27 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | L 1-2 | 1873 | 1837 | 36.1% | 26.0% | 38.0% | -6.8 | 3 |
| 2025-09-27 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 4-6 | 1872 | 1981 | 28.2% | 25.5% | 46.3% | -8.0 | 2 |
| 2025-09-27 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 6-4 | 1981 | 1872 | 46.3% | 25.5% | 28.2% | +8.0 | 9 |
| 2025-09-27 | Borussia Dortmund | L 0-2 | 1953 | 2018 | 33.8% | 25.9% | 40.3% | -13.0 | 4 |
| 2025-09-27 | @ Mainz 05 | W 2-0 | 2018 | 1953 | 40.3% | 25.9% | 33.8% | +13.0 | 13 |
| 2025-09-27 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-2 | 1897 | 2047 | 23.7% | 24.7% | 51.6% | -4.9 | 7 |
| 2025-09-27 | @ St. Pauli | W 2-1 | 2047 | 1897 | 51.6% | 24.7% | 23.7% | +4.9 | 8 |
| 2025-09-27 | RB Leipzig | L 0-1 | 1916 | 1978 | 34.2% | 25.9% | 39.8% | -7.0 | 5 |
| 2025-09-27 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 1-0 | 1978 | 1916 | 39.8% | 25.9% | 34.2% | +7.0 | 12 |
| 2025-09-28 | Hoffenheim | D 1-1 | 1923 | 1892 | 47.2% | 25.4% | 27.4% | -0.8 | 7 |
| 2025-09-28 | @ SC Freiburg | D 1-1 | 1892 | 1923 | 27.4% | 25.4% | 47.2% | +0.8 | 7 |
| 2025-09-28 | VfB Stuttgart | L 1-2 | 1867 | 1982 | 27.5% | 25.4% | 47.1% | -5.5 | 7 |
| 2025-09-28 | @ 1. FC Koln | W 2-1 | 1982 | 1867 | 47.1% | 25.4% | 27.5% | +5.5 | 9 |
| 2025-09-28 | Hamburger SV | D 0-0 | 1857 | 1875 | 40.5% | 25.9% | 33.6% | -0.3 | 7 |
| 2025-09-28 | @ Union Berlin | D 0-0 | 1875 | 1857 | 33.6% | 25.9% | 40.5% | +0.3 | 5 |
| 2025-10-03 | 1. FC Koln | L 0-1 | 1892 | 1861 | 47.2% | 25.4% | 27.4% | -8.9 | 7 |
| 2025-10-03 | @ Hoffenheim | W 1-0 | 1861 | 1892 | 27.4% | 25.4% | 47.2% | +8.9 | 10 |
| 2025-10-04 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 3-1 | 1866 | 1909 | 36.8% | 26.0% | 37.2% | +12.1 | 6 |
| 2025-10-04 | @ FC Augsburg | L 1-3 | 1909 | 1866 | 37.2% | 26.0% | 36.8% | -12.1 | 5 |
| 2025-10-04 | Union Berlin | W 2-0 | 2052 | 1857 | 65.8% | 20.5% | 13.7% | +5.7 | 11 |
| 2025-10-04 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-2 | 1857 | 2052 | 13.7% | 20.5% | 65.8% | -5.7 | 7 |
| 2025-10-04 | RB Leipzig | D 1-1 | 2031 | 1985 | 49.1% | 25.1% | 25.8% | -1.0 | 14 |
| 2025-10-04 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1985 | 2031 | 25.8% | 25.1% | 49.1% | +0.9 | 13 |
| 2025-10-04 | Bayern Munich | L 0-3 | 1989 | 2134 | 24.2% | 24.8% | 51.0% | -14.4 | 9 |
| 2025-10-04 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 3-0 | 2134 | 1989 | 51.0% | 24.8% | 24.2% | +14.4 | 18 |
| 2025-10-04 | St. Pauli | W 1-0 | 1906 | 1892 | 44.9% | 25.6% | 29.4% | +6.2 | 7 |
| 2025-10-04 | @ Werder Bremen | L 0-1 | 1892 | 1906 | 29.4% | 25.6% | 44.9% | -6.2 | 7 |
| 2025-10-05 | SC Freiburg | D 0-0 | 1864 | 1923 | 34.7% | 26.0% | 39.4% | +0.2 | 3 |
| 2025-10-05 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | D 0-0 | 1923 | 1864 | 39.4% | 26.0% | 34.7% | -0.2 | 8 |
| 2025-10-05 | Mainz 05 | W 4-0 | 1875 | 1940 | 33.9% | 25.9% | 40.1% | +28.1 | 8 |
| 2025-10-05 | @ Hamburger SV | L 0-4 | 1940 | 1875 | 40.1% | 25.9% | 33.9% | -28.1 | 4 |
| 2025-10-05 | 1. FC Heidenheim | W 1-0 | 1988 | 1844 | 60.6% | 22.4% | 17.0% | +3.8 | 12 |
| 2025-10-05 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-1 | 1844 | 1988 | 17.0% | 22.4% | 60.6% | -3.8 | 3 |
| 2025-10-17 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 3-1 | 1851 | 1864 | 41.2% | 25.9% | 32.9% | +11.1 | 10 |
| 2025-10-17 | @ Union Berlin | L 1-3 | 1864 | 1851 | 32.9% | 25.9% | 41.2% | -11.1 | 3 |
| 2025-10-18 | Werder Bremen | D 2-2 | 1840 | 1913 | 32.8% | 25.9% | 41.3% | +0.2 | 4 |
| 2025-10-18 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | D 2-2 | 1913 | 1840 | 41.3% | 25.9% | 32.8% | -0.2 | 8 |
| 2025-10-18 | Borussia Dortmund | W 2-1 | 2149 | 2030 | 57.8% | 23.3% | 18.9% | +4.0 | 21 |
| 2025-10-18 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-2 | 2030 | 2149 | 18.9% | 23.3% | 57.8% | -3.9 | 14 |
| 2025-10-18 | FC Augsburg | D 1-1 | 1870 | 1878 | 41.9% | 25.9% | 32.2% | -0.4 | 11 |
| 2025-10-18 | @ 1. FC Koln | D 1-1 | 1878 | 1870 | 32.2% | 25.9% | 41.9% | +0.4 | 7 |
| 2025-10-18 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 3-4 | 1911 | 2058 | 24.1% | 24.8% | 51.1% | -4.6 | 4 |
| 2025-10-18 | @ Mainz 05 | W 4-3 | 2058 | 1911 | 51.1% | 24.8% | 24.1% | +4.6 | 14 |
| 2025-10-18 | Hamburger SV | W 2-1 | 1986 | 1903 | 53.6% | 24.3% | 22.1% | +4.6 | 16 |
| 2025-10-18 | @ RB Leipzig | L 1-2 | 1903 | 1986 | 22.1% | 24.3% | 53.6% | -4.6 | 8 |
| 2025-10-18 | VfB Stuttgart | L 0-3 | 1897 | 1992 | 30.0% | 25.7% | 44.4% | -17.2 | 5 |
| 2025-10-18 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 3-0 | 1992 | 1897 | 44.4% | 25.7% | 30.0% | +17.2 | 15 |
| 2025-10-19 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 2-2 | 1922 | 1975 | 35.6% | 26.0% | 38.5% | +0.1 | 9 |
| 2025-10-19 | @ SC Freiburg | D 2-2 | 1975 | 1922 | 38.5% | 26.0% | 35.6% | -0.1 | 10 |
| 2025-10-19 | Hoffenheim | L 0-3 | 1886 | 1883 | 43.3% | 25.8% | 31.0% | -22.8 | 7 |
| 2025-10-19 | @ St. Pauli | W 3-0 | 1883 | 1886 | 31.0% | 25.8% | 43.3% | +22.8 | 10 |
| 2025-10-24 | Union Berlin | W 1-0 | 1912 | 1862 | 49.6% | 25.1% | 25.3% | +5.5 | 11 |
| 2025-10-24 | @ Werder Bremen | L 0-1 | 1862 | 1912 | 25.3% | 25.1% | 49.6% | -5.5 | 10 |
| 2025-10-25 | RB Leipzig | L 0-6 | 1878 | 1990 | 27.8% | 25.4% | 46.7% | -31.0 | 7 |
| 2025-10-25 | @ FC Augsburg | W 6-0 | 1990 | 1878 | 46.7% | 25.4% | 27.8% | +31.0 | 19 |
| 2025-10-25 | 1. FC Koln | W 1-0 | 2026 | 1870 | 61.9% | 22.0% | 16.1% | +3.6 | 17 |
| 2025-10-25 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-1 | 1870 | 2026 | 16.1% | 22.0% | 61.9% | -3.6 | 11 |
| 2025-10-25 | Bayern Munich | L 0-3 | 1853 | 2153 | 12.6% | 19.8% | 67.7% | -7.5 | 3 |
| 2025-10-25 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 3-0 | 2153 | 1853 | 67.7% | 19.8% | 12.6% | +7.5 | 24 |
| 2025-10-25 | St. Pauli | W 2-0 | 1975 | 1863 | 57.0% | 23.5% | 19.5% | +8.1 | 13 |
| 2025-10-25 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-2 | 1863 | 1975 | 19.5% | 23.5% | 57.0% | -8.2 | 7 |
| 2025-10-25 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-1 | 1899 | 1880 | 45.6% | 25.6% | 28.9% | -8.7 | 8 |
| 2025-10-25 | @ Hamburger SV | W 1-0 | 1880 | 1899 | 28.9% | 25.6% | 45.6% | +8.7 | 8 |
| 2025-10-25 | 1. FC Heidenheim | W 3-1 | 1906 | 1840 | 51.6% | 24.7% | 23.7% | +8.4 | 13 |
| 2025-10-25 | @ Hoffenheim | L 1-3 | 1840 | 1906 | 23.7% | 24.7% | 51.6% | -8.4 | 4 |
| 2025-10-26 | SC Freiburg | W 2-0 | 2062 | 1923 | 60.1% | 22.6% | 17.3% | +7.2 | 17 |
| 2025-10-26 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-2 | 1923 | 2062 | 17.3% | 22.6% | 60.1% | -7.2 | 9 |
| 2025-10-26 | Mainz 05 | W 2-1 | 2009 | 1907 | 55.9% | 23.8% | 20.3% | +4.2 | 18 |
| 2025-10-26 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 1-2 | 1907 | 2009 | 20.3% | 23.8% | 55.9% | -4.2 | 4 |
| 2025-10-31 | Borussia Dortmund | L 0-1 | 1847 | 2030 | 20.7% | 23.9% | 55.4% | -4.6 | 7 |
| 2025-10-31 | @ FC Augsburg | W 1-0 | 2030 | 1847 | 55.4% | 23.9% | 20.7% | +4.6 | 20 |
| 2025-11-01 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1832 | 1983 | 23.6% | 24.7% | 51.7% | +1.2 | 5 |
| 2025-11-01 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | D 1-1 | 1983 | 1832 | 51.7% | 24.7% | 23.6% | -1.1 | 14 |
| 2025-11-01 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 3-0 | 2160 | 2069 | 54.6% | 24.1% | 21.3% | +12.9 | 27 |
| 2025-11-01 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-3 | 2069 | 2160 | 21.3% | 24.1% | 54.6% | -12.9 | 17 |
| 2025-11-01 | Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 1903 | 1918 | 40.8% | 25.9% | 33.2% | -0.3 | 5 |
| 2025-11-01 | @ Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1918 | 1903 | 33.2% | 25.9% | 40.8% | +0.3 | 12 |
| 2025-11-01 | VfB Stuttgart | W 3-1 | 2021 | 2013 | 44.1% | 25.7% | 30.2% | +10.3 | 22 |
| 2025-11-01 | @ RB Leipzig | L 1-3 | 2013 | 2021 | 30.2% | 25.7% | 44.1% | -10.3 | 18 |
| 2025-11-01 | Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-4 | 1855 | 1846 | 44.2% | 25.7% | 30.1% | -30.3 | 7 |
| 2025-11-01 | @ St. Pauli | W 4-0 | 1846 | 1855 | 30.1% | 25.7% | 44.2% | +30.4 | 6 |
| 2025-11-01 | SC Freiburg | D 0-0 | 1857 | 1915 | 34.7% | 26.0% | 39.3% | +0.2 | 11 |
| 2025-11-01 | @ Union Berlin | D 0-0 | 1915 | 1857 | 39.3% | 26.0% | 34.7% | -0.2 | 10 |
| 2025-11-02 | Hamburger SV | W 4-1 | 1866 | 1890 | 39.6% | 25.9% | 34.4% | +16.2 | 14 |
| 2025-11-02 | @ 1. FC Koln | L 1-4 | 1890 | 1866 | 34.4% | 25.9% | 39.6% | -16.2 | 8 |
| 2025-11-02 | Hoffenheim | L 2-3 | 1888 | 1915 | 39.3% | 26.0% | 34.8% | -6.9 | 8 |
| 2025-11-02 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 3-2 | 1915 | 1888 | 34.8% | 26.0% | 39.3% | +6.9 | 16 |
| 2025-11-07 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-1 | 1918 | 1881 | 47.9% | 25.3% | 26.8% | +5.4 | 15 |
| 2025-11-07 | @ Werder Bremen | L 1-2 | 1881 | 1918 | 26.8% | 25.3% | 47.9% | -5.4 | 8 |
| 2025-11-08 | 1. FC Heidenheim | W 6-0 | 2057 | 1833 | 68.5% | 19.4% | 12.1% | +13.8 | 20 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-6 | 1833 | 2057 | 12.1% | 19.4% | 68.5% | -13.8 | 5 |
| 2025-11-08 | 1. FC Koln | W 3-1 | 1876 | 1882 | 42.1% | 25.9% | 32.1% | +10.8 | 9 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 1-3 | 1882 | 1876 | 32.1% | 25.9% | 42.1% | -10.8 | 14 |
| 2025-11-08 | Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1874 | 2034 | 22.7% | 24.5% | 52.8% | +1.2 | 9 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 2034 | 1874 | 52.8% | 24.5% | 22.7% | -1.2 | 21 |
| 2025-11-08 | RB Leipzig | W 3-1 | 1922 | 2032 | 28.1% | 25.5% | 46.4% | +14.4 | 19 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ Hoffenheim | L 1-3 | 2032 | 1922 | 46.4% | 25.5% | 28.1% | -14.4 | 22 |
| 2025-11-08 | Bayern Munich | D 2-2 | 1857 | 2173 | 11.7% | 19.1% | 69.2% | +1.9 | 12 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ Union Berlin | D 2-2 | 2173 | 1857 | 69.2% | 19.1% | 11.7% | -1.9 | 28 |
| 2025-11-09 | Mainz 05 | W 1-0 | 1982 | 1902 | 53.2% | 24.4% | 22.4% | +4.9 | 17 |
| 2025-11-09 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-1 | 1902 | 1982 | 22.4% | 24.4% | 53.2% | -4.9 | 5 |
| 2025-11-09 | St. Pauli | W 2-1 | 1915 | 1824 | 54.6% | 24.1% | 21.3% | +4.4 | 13 |
| 2025-11-09 | @ SC Freiburg | L 1-2 | 1824 | 1915 | 21.3% | 24.1% | 54.6% | -4.4 | 7 |
| 2025-11-09 | FC Augsburg | W 3-2 | 2003 | 1843 | 62.3% | 21.9% | 15.9% | +3.1 | 21 |
| 2025-11-09 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 2-3 | 1843 | 2003 | 15.9% | 21.9% | 62.3% | -3.1 | 7 |
| 2025-11-21 | Hoffenheim | D 1-1 | 1897 | 1936 | 37.5% | 26.0% | 36.5% | -0.0 | 6 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1936 | 1897 | 36.5% | 26.0% | 37.5% | +0.0 | 20 |
| 2025-11-22 | Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-3 | 1819 | 1887 | 33.5% | 25.9% | 40.6% | -18.8 | 5 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | W 3-0 | 1887 | 1819 | 40.6% | 25.9% | 33.5% | +18.8 | 12 |
| 2025-11-22 | Hamburger SV | W 1-0 | 1839 | 1875 | 37.9% | 26.0% | 36.1% | +7.3 | 10 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ FC Augsburg | L 0-1 | 1875 | 1839 | 36.1% | 26.0% | 37.9% | -7.3 | 9 |
| 2025-11-22 | SC Freiburg | W 6-2 | 2171 | 1920 | 71.0% | 18.2% | 10.8% | +5.8 | 31 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ Bayern Munich | L 2-6 | 1920 | 2171 | 10.8% | 18.2% | 71.0% | -5.8 | 13 |
| 2025-11-22 | VfB Stuttgart | D 3-3 | 2033 | 2006 | 46.6% | 25.5% | 27.9% | -0.5 | 22 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 3-3 | 2006 | 2033 | 27.9% | 25.5% | 46.6% | +0.5 | 22 |
| 2025-11-22 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 3-4 | 1872 | 1987 | 27.5% | 25.4% | 47.1% | -5.1 | 14 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ 1. FC Koln | W 4-3 | 1987 | 1872 | 47.1% | 25.4% | 27.5% | +5.1 | 20 |
| 2025-11-22 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-3 | 1876 | 2070 | 19.6% | 23.5% | 56.8% | -7.1 | 8 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 3-1 | 2070 | 1876 | 56.8% | 23.5% | 19.6% | +7.1 | 23 |
| 2025-11-23 | Werder Bremen | W 2-0 | 2017 | 1924 | 55.0% | 24.0% | 21.0% | +8.8 | 25 |
| 2025-11-23 | @ RB Leipzig | L 0-2 | 1924 | 2017 | 21.0% | 24.0% | 55.0% | -8.8 | 15 |
| 2025-11-23 | Union Berlin | L 0-1 | 1820 | 1859 | 37.5% | 26.0% | 36.5% | -7.5 | 7 |
| 2025-11-23 | @ St. Pauli | W 1-0 | 1859 | 1820 | 36.5% | 26.0% | 37.5% | +7.5 | 15 |
| 2025-11-28 | RB Leipzig | D 0-0 | 1906 | 2026 | 26.9% | 25.3% | 47.8% | +1.0 | 13 |
| 2025-11-28 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | D 0-0 | 2026 | 1906 | 47.8% | 25.3% | 26.9% | -0.9 | 26 |
| 2025-11-29 | Borussia Dortmund | L 1-2 | 2077 | 2032 | 49.0% | 25.1% | 25.9% | -8.7 | 23 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | W 2-1 | 2032 | 2077 | 25.9% | 25.1% | 49.0% | +8.7 | 25 |
| 2025-11-29 | St. Pauli | W 3-1 | 2177 | 1813 | 79.8% | 13.6% | 6.6% | +2.1 | 34 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-3 | 1813 | 2177 | 6.6% | 13.6% | 79.8% | -2.1 | 7 |
| 2025-11-29 | FC Augsburg | W 3-0 | 1936 | 1847 | 54.4% | 24.1% | 21.4% | +12.9 | 23 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ Hoffenheim | L 0-3 | 1847 | 1936 | 21.4% | 24.1% | 54.4% | -12.9 | 10 |
| 2025-11-29 | 1. FC Heidenheim | L 1-2 | 1866 | 1800 | 51.6% | 24.7% | 23.7% | -9.1 | 15 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ Union Berlin | W 2-1 | 1800 | 1866 | 23.7% | 24.7% | 51.6% | +9.1 | 8 |
| 2025-11-29 | 1. FC Koln | D 1-1 | 1915 | 1866 | 49.4% | 25.1% | 25.5% | -1.0 | 16 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 1866 | 1915 | 25.5% | 25.1% | 49.4% | +1.0 | 15 |
| 2025-11-30 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 1-1 | 1992 | 1869 | 58.3% | 23.2% | 18.6% | -1.7 | 21 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1869 | 1992 | 18.6% | 23.2% | 58.3% | +1.7 | 9 |
| 2025-11-30 | Mainz 05 | W 4-0 | 1914 | 1897 | 45.2% | 25.6% | 29.2% | +22.0 | 16 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ SC Freiburg | L 0-4 | 1897 | 1914 | 29.2% | 25.6% | 45.2% | -22.0 | 6 |
| 2025-11-30 | VfB Stuttgart | W 2-1 | 1868 | 2006 | 24.9% | 25.0% | 50.1% | +8.9 | 12 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ Hamburger SV | L 1-2 | 2006 | 1868 | 50.1% | 25.0% | 24.9% | -8.9 | 22 |
| 2025-12-05 | Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-1 | 1875 | 1906 | 38.6% | 26.0% | 35.4% | -7.6 | 6 |
| 2025-12-05 | @ Mainz 05 | W 1-0 | 1906 | 1875 | 35.4% | 26.0% | 38.6% | +7.6 | 16 |
| 2025-12-06 | SC Freiburg | W 2-1 | 1809 | 1936 | 26.2% | 25.2% | 48.5% | +8.6 | 11 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | L 1-2 | 1936 | 1809 | 48.5% | 25.2% | 26.2% | -8.6 | 16 |
| 2025-12-06 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 2-0 | 1834 | 2069 | 16.5% | 22.2% | 61.3% | +21.0 | 13 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ FC Augsburg | L 0-2 | 2069 | 1834 | 61.3% | 22.2% | 16.5% | -21.0 | 23 |
| 2025-12-06 | St. Pauli | D 1-1 | 1867 | 1810 | 50.5% | 24.9% | 24.6% | -1.1 | 16 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ 1. FC Koln | D 1-1 | 1810 | 1867 | 24.6% | 24.9% | 50.5% | +1.1 | 8 |
| 2025-12-06 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 6-0 | 2025 | 1990 | 47.7% | 25.3% | 27.0% | +30.2 | 29 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ RB Leipzig | L 0-6 | 1990 | 2025 | 27.0% | 25.3% | 47.7% | -30.2 | 21 |
| 2025-12-06 | Bayern Munich | L 0-5 | 1997 | 2179 | 20.7% | 23.9% | 55.4% | -20.2 | 22 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 5-0 | 2179 | 1997 | 55.4% | 23.9% | 20.7% | +20.2 | 37 |
| 2025-12-06 | Union Berlin | W 3-1 | 1871 | 1857 | 44.8% | 25.6% | 29.6% | +10.2 | 12 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-3 | 1857 | 1871 | 29.6% | 25.6% | 44.8% | -10.2 | 15 |
| 2025-12-07 | Hoffenheim | W 2-0 | 2041 | 1949 | 54.8% | 24.1% | 21.2% | +8.8 | 28 |
| 2025-12-07 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-2 | 1949 | 2041 | 21.2% | 24.1% | 54.8% | -8.8 | 23 |
| 2025-12-07 | Werder Bremen | W 3-2 | 1877 | 1914 | 37.8% | 26.0% | 36.3% | +6.5 | 15 |
| 2025-12-07 | @ Hamburger SV | L 2-3 | 1914 | 1877 | 36.3% | 26.0% | 37.8% | -6.5 | 16 |
| 2025-12-12 | RB Leipzig | W 3-1 | 1847 | 2055 | 18.5% | 23.1% | 58.4% | +17.5 | 18 |
| 2025-12-12 | @ Union Berlin | L 1-3 | 2055 | 1847 | 58.4% | 23.1% | 18.5% | -17.5 | 29 |
| 2025-12-13 | 1. FC Koln | W 2-0 | 2048 | 1866 | 64.5% | 21.1% | 14.5% | +6.0 | 26 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-2 | 1866 | 2048 | 14.5% | 21.1% | 64.5% | -6.0 | 16 |
| 2025-12-13 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-3 | 1914 | 1881 | 47.4% | 25.4% | 27.2% | -14.7 | 16 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 3-1 | 1881 | 1914 | 27.2% | 25.4% | 47.4% | +14.7 | 15 |
| 2025-12-13 | FC Augsburg | W 1-0 | 1960 | 1855 | 56.3% | 23.7% | 20.1% | +4.4 | 24 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-1 | 1855 | 1960 | 20.1% | 23.7% | 56.3% | -4.4 | 13 |
| 2025-12-13 | Hamburger SV | W 4-1 | 1940 | 1883 | 50.5% | 24.9% | 24.6% | +12.3 | 26 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ Hoffenheim | L 1-4 | 1883 | 1940 | 24.6% | 24.9% | 50.5% | -12.3 | 15 |
| 2025-12-13 | 1. FC Heidenheim | W 2-1 | 1811 | 1818 | 42.0% | 25.9% | 32.1% | +6.3 | 11 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ St. Pauli | L 1-2 | 1818 | 1811 | 32.1% | 25.9% | 42.0% | -6.3 | 11 |
| 2025-12-14 | Mainz 05 | D 2-2 | 2199 | 1868 | 77.4% | 14.9% | 7.6% | -2.3 | 38 |
| 2025-12-14 | @ Bayern Munich | D 2-2 | 1868 | 2199 | 7.6% | 14.9% | 77.4% | +2.3 | 7 |
| 2025-12-14 | Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1927 | 2050 | 26.6% | 25.3% | 48.1% | +0.9 | 17 |
| 2025-12-14 | @ SC Freiburg | D 1-1 | 2050 | 1927 | 48.1% | 25.3% | 26.6% | -0.9 | 29 |
| 2025-12-14 | VfB Stuttgart | L 0-4 | 1907 | 1977 | 33.1% | 25.9% | 40.9% | -24.4 | 16 |
| 2025-12-14 | @ Werder Bremen | W 4-0 | 1977 | 1907 | 40.9% | 25.9% | 33.1% | +24.4 | 25 |
| 2025-12-19 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 2-0 | 2049 | 1899 | 61.2% | 22.2% | 16.6% | +6.9 | 32 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-2 | 1899 | 2049 | 16.6% | 22.2% | 61.2% | -6.9 | 16 |
| 2025-12-20 | Werder Bremen | D 0-0 | 1850 | 1883 | 38.4% | 26.0% | 35.6% | -0.1 | 14 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ FC Augsburg | D 0-0 | 1883 | 1850 | 35.6% | 26.0% | 38.4% | +0.1 | 17 |
| 2025-12-20 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1871 | 1964 | 30.1% | 25.7% | 44.1% | +0.5 | 16 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1964 | 1871 | 44.1% | 25.7% | 30.1% | -0.6 | 25 |
| 2025-12-20 | Union Berlin | L 0-1 | 1860 | 1865 | 42.4% | 25.8% | 31.8% | -8.2 | 16 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ 1. FC Koln | W 1-0 | 1865 | 1860 | 31.8% | 25.8% | 42.4% | +8.2 | 21 |
| 2025-12-20 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-3 | 2038 | 2054 | 40.8% | 25.9% | 33.3% | -13.0 | 29 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ RB Leipzig | W 3-1 | 2054 | 2038 | 33.3% | 25.9% | 40.8% | +13.0 | 29 |
| 2025-12-20 | Hoffenheim | D 0-0 | 2002 | 1953 | 49.5% | 25.1% | 25.4% | -1.1 | 26 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ VfB Stuttgart | D 0-0 | 1953 | 2002 | 25.4% | 25.1% | 49.5% | +1.1 | 27 |
| 2025-12-20 | SC Freiburg | L 3-4 | 1895 | 1928 | 38.4% | 26.0% | 35.6% | -6.6 | 15 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 4-3 | 1928 | 1895 | 35.6% | 26.0% | 38.4% | +6.6 | 20 |
| 2025-12-21 | Bayern Munich | L 0-4 | 1812 | 2197 | 8.7% | 16.2% | 75.1% | -6.5 | 11 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | W 4-0 | 2197 | 1812 | 75.1% | 16.2% | 8.7% | +6.5 | 41 |
| 2025-12-21 | St. Pauli | D 0-0 | 1870 | 1818 | 49.9% | 25.0% | 25.1% | -1.1 | 8 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ Mainz 05 | D 0-0 | 1818 | 1870 | 25.1% | 25.0% | 49.9% | +1.1 | 12 |
| 2026-01-09 | Borussia Dortmund | D 3-3 | 1964 | 2056 | 30.2% | 25.7% | 44.0% | +0.3 | 26 |
| 2026-01-09 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 3-3 | 2056 | 1964 | 44.0% | 25.7% | 30.2% | -0.3 | 33 |
| 2026-01-10 | 1. FC Koln | D 2-2 | 1805 | 1852 | 36.4% | 26.0% | 37.6% | +0.0 | 12 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | D 2-2 | 1852 | 1805 | 37.6% | 26.0% | 36.4% | -0.0 | 17 |
| 2026-01-10 | VfB Stuttgart | L 1-4 | 2067 | 2000 | 51.6% | 24.7% | 23.6% | -22.3 | 29 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | W 4-1 | 2000 | 2067 | 23.6% | 24.7% | 51.6% | +22.2 | 29 |
| 2026-01-10 | Hamburger SV | W 2-1 | 1935 | 1872 | 51.2% | 24.8% | 24.0% | +4.9 | 23 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ SC Freiburg | L 1-2 | 1872 | 1935 | 24.0% | 24.8% | 51.2% | -4.9 | 16 |
| 2026-01-10 | Mainz 05 | D 2-2 | 1873 | 1869 | 43.5% | 25.8% | 30.7% | -0.4 | 22 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ Union Berlin | D 2-2 | 1869 | 1873 | 30.7% | 25.8% | 43.5% | +0.4 | 9 |
| 2026-01-11 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 8-1 | 2204 | 1889 | 76.2% | 15.6% | 8.2% | +8.4 | 44 |
| 2026-01-11 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-8 | 1889 | 2204 | 8.2% | 15.6% | 76.2% | -8.4 | 15 |
| 2026-01-11 | FC Augsburg | W 4-0 | 1893 | 1850 | 48.6% | 25.2% | 26.2% | +20.2 | 19 |
| 2026-01-11 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-4 | 1850 | 1893 | 26.2% | 25.2% | 48.6% | -20.2 | 14 |
| 2026-01-13 | Werder Bremen | W 3-0 | 2056 | 1883 | 63.5% | 21.4% | 15.0% | +9.1 | 36 |
| 2026-01-13 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-3 | 1883 | 2056 | 15.0% | 21.4% | 63.5% | -9.1 | 17 |
| 2026-01-13 | 1. FC Heidenheim | W 2-1 | 1869 | 1805 | 51.3% | 24.8% | 23.9% | +4.9 | 12 |
| 2026-01-13 | @ Mainz 05 | L 1-2 | 1805 | 1869 | 23.9% | 24.8% | 51.3% | -4.9 | 12 |
| 2026-01-13 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 3-2 | 2023 | 1964 | 50.7% | 24.9% | 24.4% | +4.8 | 32 |
| 2026-01-13 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 2-3 | 1964 | 2023 | 24.4% | 24.9% | 50.7% | -4.8 | 26 |
| 2026-01-14 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 5-1 | 1954 | 1913 | 48.4% | 25.2% | 26.3% | +16.9 | 30 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ Hoffenheim | L 1-5 | 1913 | 1954 | 26.3% | 25.2% | 48.4% | -16.9 | 19 |
| 2026-01-14 | Bayern Munich | L 1-3 | 1852 | 2212 | 9.7% | 17.3% | 73.0% | -3.3 | 17 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ 1. FC Koln | W 3-1 | 2212 | 1852 | 73.0% | 17.3% | 9.7% | +3.3 | 47 |
| 2026-01-14 | SC Freiburg | W 2-0 | 2025 | 1940 | 54.0% | 24.2% | 21.8% | +9.0 | 32 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ RB Leipzig | L 0-2 | 1940 | 2025 | 21.8% | 24.2% | 54.0% | -9.0 | 23 |
| 2026-01-14 | St. Pauli | W 2-1 | 1880 | 1819 | 51.1% | 24.8% | 24.1% | +5.0 | 18 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-2 | 1819 | 1880 | 24.1% | 24.8% | 51.1% | -4.9 | 12 |
| 2026-01-15 | Union Berlin | D 1-1 | 1830 | 1872 | 37.0% | 26.0% | 37.0% | +0.0 | 15 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ FC Augsburg | D 1-1 | 1872 | 1830 | 37.0% | 26.0% | 37.0% | +0.0 | 23 |
| 2026-01-16 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 3-3 | 1874 | 1959 | 31.1% | 25.8% | 43.1% | +0.3 | 18 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ Werder Bremen | D 3-3 | 1959 | 1874 | 43.1% | 25.8% | 31.1% | -0.3 | 27 |
| 2026-01-17 | St. Pauli | W 3-2 | 2065 | 1814 | 70.9% | 18.3% | 10.8% | +2.1 | 39 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 2-3 | 1814 | 2065 | 10.8% | 18.3% | 70.9% | -2.1 | 12 |
| 2026-01-17 | Borussia Monchengladbach | D 0-0 | 1867 | 1896 | 38.9% | 26.0% | 35.1% | -0.2 | 17 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ Hamburger SV | D 0-0 | 1896 | 1867 | 35.1% | 26.0% | 38.9% | +0.2 | 20 |
| 2026-01-17 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 1-0 | 1971 | 2045 | 32.6% | 25.9% | 41.5% | +8.1 | 33 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ Hoffenheim | L 0-1 | 2045 | 1971 | 41.5% | 25.9% | 32.6% | -8.1 | 29 |
| 2026-01-17 | Mainz 05 | W 2-1 | 1849 | 1874 | 39.4% | 26.0% | 34.6% | +6.6 | 20 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ 1. FC Koln | L 1-2 | 1874 | 1849 | 34.6% | 26.0% | 39.4% | -6.6 | 12 |
| 2026-01-17 | Bayern Munich | L 1-5 | 2034 | 2215 | 20.8% | 23.9% | 55.3% | -13.7 | 32 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ RB Leipzig | W 5-1 | 2215 | 2034 | 55.3% | 23.9% | 20.8% | +13.7 | 50 |
| 2026-01-17 | 1. FC Heidenheim | D 1-1 | 1885 | 1800 | 53.9% | 24.2% | 21.8% | -1.3 | 19 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 1-1 | 1800 | 1885 | 21.8% | 24.2% | 53.9% | +1.3 | 13 |
| 2026-01-18 | SC Freiburg | D 2-2 | 1830 | 1930 | 29.2% | 25.6% | 45.1% | +0.5 | 16 |
| 2026-01-18 | @ FC Augsburg | D 2-2 | 1930 | 1830 | 45.1% | 25.6% | 29.2% | -0.5 | 24 |
| 2026-01-18 | Union Berlin | D 1-1 | 2028 | 1872 | 61.8% | 22.1% | 16.2% | -2.0 | 33 |
| 2026-01-18 | @ VfB Stuttgart | D 1-1 | 1872 | 2028 | 16.2% | 22.1% | 61.8% | +2.0 | 24 |
| 2026-01-23 | Hamburger SV | D 0-0 | 1812 | 1866 | 35.2% | 26.0% | 38.8% | +0.2 | 13 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ St. Pauli | D 0-0 | 1866 | 1812 | 38.8% | 26.0% | 35.2% | -0.2 | 18 |
| 2026-01-24 | RB Leipzig | L 0-3 | 1802 | 2020 | 17.7% | 22.8% | 59.5% | -10.8 | 13 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | W 3-0 | 2020 | 1802 | 59.5% | 22.8% | 17.7% | +10.8 | 35 |
| 2026-01-24 | Werder Bremen | W 1-0 | 2036 | 1874 | 62.5% | 21.8% | 15.7% | +3.5 | 32 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-1 | 1874 | 2036 | 15.7% | 21.8% | 62.5% | -3.5 | 18 |
| 2026-01-24 | FC Augsburg | L 1-2 | 2229 | 1831 | 82.0% | 12.3% | 5.7% | -12.9 | 50 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ Bayern Munich | W 2-1 | 1831 | 2229 | 5.7% | 12.3% | 82.0% | +12.9 | 19 |
| 2026-01-24 | Hoffenheim | L 1-3 | 1959 | 1979 | 40.2% | 25.9% | 33.9% | -12.9 | 27 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 3-1 | 1979 | 1959 | 33.9% | 25.9% | 40.2% | +12.9 | 36 |
| 2026-01-24 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 3-1 | 1867 | 1884 | 40.6% | 25.9% | 33.4% | +11.2 | 15 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ Mainz 05 | L 1-3 | 1884 | 1867 | 33.4% | 25.9% | 40.6% | -11.2 | 19 |
| 2026-01-24 | Borussia Dortmund | L 0-3 | 1874 | 2067 | 19.8% | 23.6% | 56.6% | -12.0 | 24 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ Union Berlin | W 3-0 | 2067 | 1874 | 56.6% | 23.6% | 19.8% | +12.0 | 42 |
| 2026-01-25 | VfB Stuttgart | L 0-3 | 1896 | 2026 | 25.9% | 25.1% | 49.0% | -15.3 | 20 |
| 2026-01-25 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 3-0 | 2026 | 1896 | 49.0% | 25.1% | 25.9% | +15.3 | 36 |
| 2026-01-25 | 1. FC Koln | W 2-1 | 1930 | 1855 | 52.7% | 24.5% | 22.8% | +4.7 | 27 |
| 2026-01-25 | @ SC Freiburg | L 1-2 | 1855 | 1930 | 22.8% | 24.5% | 52.7% | -4.7 | 20 |
| 2026-01-27 | RB Leipzig | D 1-1 | 1812 | 2031 | 17.7% | 22.8% | 59.6% | +1.8 | 14 |
| 2026-01-27 | @ St. Pauli | D 1-1 | 2031 | 1812 | 59.6% | 22.8% | 17.7% | -1.8 | 36 |
| 2026-01-27 | Hoffenheim | L 0-2 | 1871 | 1991 | 26.9% | 25.3% | 47.8% | -10.8 | 18 |
| 2026-01-27 | @ Werder Bremen | W 2-0 | 1991 | 1871 | 47.8% | 25.3% | 26.9% | +10.8 | 39 |
| 2026-01-30 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 1-0 | 1851 | 1873 | 39.9% | 25.9% | 34.2% | +7.0 | 23 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ 1. FC Koln | L 0-1 | 1873 | 1851 | 34.2% | 25.9% | 39.9% | -7.0 | 19 |
| 2026-01-31 | St. Pauli | W 2-1 | 1843 | 1814 | 47.0% | 25.4% | 27.6% | +5.5 | 22 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ FC Augsburg | L 1-2 | 1814 | 1843 | 27.6% | 25.4% | 47.0% | -5.5 | 14 |
| 2026-01-31 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-3 | 1946 | 2040 | 30.0% | 25.7% | 44.3% | -10.3 | 27 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 3-1 | 2040 | 1946 | 44.3% | 25.7% | 30.0% | +10.3 | 35 |
| 2026-01-31 | Bayern Munich | D 2-2 | 1866 | 2216 | 10.2% | 17.7% | 72.2% | +2.0 | 19 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ Hamburger SV | D 2-2 | 2216 | 1866 | 72.2% | 17.7% | 10.2% | -2.0 | 51 |
| 2026-01-31 | Union Berlin | W 3-1 | 2002 | 1862 | 60.2% | 22.6% | 17.3% | +6.3 | 42 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ Hoffenheim | L 1-3 | 1862 | 2002 | 17.3% | 22.6% | 60.2% | -6.3 | 24 |
| 2026-01-31 | Mainz 05 | L 1-2 | 2029 | 1879 | 61.3% | 22.2% | 16.5% | -10.5 | 36 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ RB Leipzig | W 2-1 | 1879 | 2029 | 16.5% | 22.2% | 61.3% | +10.5 | 18 |
| 2026-01-31 | Borussia Monchengladbach | D 1-1 | 1860 | 1881 | 40.1% | 25.9% | 34.0% | -0.2 | 19 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 1881 | 1860 | 34.0% | 25.9% | 40.1% | +0.2 | 21 |
| 2026-02-01 | SC Freiburg | W 1-0 | 2041 | 1935 | 56.4% | 23.7% | 20.0% | +4.4 | 39 |
| 2026-02-01 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-1 | 1935 | 2041 | 20.0% | 23.7% | 56.4% | -4.4 | 27 |
| 2026-02-01 | 1. FC Heidenheim | W 3-2 | 2079 | 1791 | 74.0% | 16.8% | 9.2% | +1.7 | 45 |
| 2026-02-01 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 2-3 | 1791 | 2079 | 9.2% | 16.8% | 74.0% | -1.7 | 13 |
| 2026-02-06 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1856 | 1936 | 31.9% | 25.8% | 42.3% | +0.4 | 25 |
| 2026-02-06 | @ Union Berlin | D 1-1 | 1936 | 1856 | 42.3% | 25.8% | 31.9% | -0.4 | 28 |
| 2026-02-07 | Hamburger SV | L 0-2 | 1789 | 1868 | 31.9% | 25.8% | 42.2% | -12.5 | 13 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | W 2-0 | 1868 | 1789 | 42.2% | 25.8% | 31.9% | +12.5 | 22 |
| 2026-02-07 | Bayer Leverkusen | D 1-1 | 1881 | 2050 | 21.8% | 24.2% | 53.9% | +1.3 | 22 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | D 1-1 | 2050 | 1881 | 53.9% | 24.2% | 21.8% | -1.3 | 36 |
| 2026-02-07 | Werder Bremen | W 1-0 | 1930 | 1860 | 52.2% | 24.6% | 23.2% | +5.1 | 30 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ SC Freiburg | L 0-1 | 1860 | 1930 | 23.2% | 24.6% | 52.2% | -5.1 | 19 |
| 2026-02-07 | VfB Stuttgart | W 2-1 | 1808 | 2045 | 16.4% | 22.1% | 61.5% | +10.5 | 17 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ St. Pauli | L 1-2 | 2045 | 1808 | 61.5% | 22.1% | 16.4% | -10.5 | 39 |
| 2026-02-07 | Borussia Dortmund | L 1-2 | 1866 | 2081 | 18.0% | 22.9% | 59.1% | -3.8 | 19 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-1 | 2081 | 1866 | 59.1% | 22.9% | 18.0% | +3.8 | 48 |
| 2026-02-07 | FC Augsburg | W 2-0 | 1889 | 1849 | 48.3% | 25.2% | 26.4% | +10.7 | 21 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ Mainz 05 | L 0-2 | 1849 | 1889 | 26.4% | 25.2% | 48.3% | -10.7 | 22 |
| 2026-02-08 | RB Leipzig | L 1-2 | 1858 | 2019 | 22.6% | 24.5% | 52.9% | -4.7 | 23 |
| 2026-02-08 | @ 1. FC Koln | W 2-1 | 2019 | 1858 | 52.9% | 24.5% | 22.6% | +4.7 | 39 |
| 2026-02-08 | Hoffenheim | W 5-1 | 2214 | 2009 | 66.8% | 20.1% | 13.1% | +8.5 | 54 |
| 2026-02-08 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-5 | 2009 | 2214 | 13.1% | 20.1% | 66.8% | -8.5 | 42 |
| 2026-02-13 | Mainz 05 | W 4-0 | 2084 | 1900 | 64.7% | 21.0% | 14.3% | +11.3 | 51 |
| 2026-02-13 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-4 | 1900 | 2084 | 14.3% | 21.0% | 64.7% | -11.3 | 21 |
| 2026-02-14 | St. Pauli | W 4-0 | 2049 | 1819 | 69.1% | 19.1% | 11.8% | +9.1 | 39 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-4 | 1819 | 2049 | 11.8% | 19.1% | 69.1% | -9.1 | 17 |
| 2026-02-14 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 3-0 | 1935 | 1882 | 50.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | +14.8 | 31 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-3 | 1882 | 1935 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 50.0% | -14.8 | 22 |
| 2026-02-14 | Union Berlin | W 3-2 | 1881 | 1856 | 46.3% | 25.5% | 28.2% | +5.4 | 25 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ Hamburger SV | L 2-3 | 1856 | 1881 | 28.2% | 25.5% | 46.3% | -5.4 | 25 |
| 2026-02-14 | SC Freiburg | W 3-0 | 2000 | 1935 | 51.4% | 24.7% | 23.8% | +14.2 | 45 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ Hoffenheim | L 0-3 | 1935 | 2000 | 23.8% | 24.7% | 51.4% | -14.2 | 30 |
| 2026-02-14 | 1. FC Koln | W 3-1 | 2035 | 1853 | 64.5% | 21.1% | 14.5% | +5.2 | 42 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 1-3 | 1853 | 2035 | 14.5% | 21.1% | 64.5% | -5.2 | 23 |
| 2026-02-14 | Bayern Munich | L 0-3 | 1855 | 2223 | 9.4% | 16.9% | 73.7% | -5.4 | 19 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ Werder Bremen | W 3-0 | 2223 | 1855 | 73.7% | 16.9% | 9.4% | +5.4 | 57 |
| 2026-02-15 | 1. FC Heidenheim | W 1-0 | 1838 | 1777 | 51.0% | 24.8% | 24.1% | +5.2 | 25 |
| 2026-02-15 | @ FC Augsburg | L 0-1 | 1777 | 1838 | 24.1% | 24.8% | 51.0% | -5.2 | 13 |
| 2026-02-15 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 2-2 | 2024 | 1862 | 62.4% | 21.8% | 15.8% | -1.5 | 40 |
| 2026-02-15 | @ RB Leipzig | D 2-2 | 1862 | 2024 | 15.8% | 21.8% | 62.4% | +1.5 | 20 |
| 2026-02-20 | Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1889 | 1886 | 43.3% | 25.8% | 30.9% | -0.5 | 22 |
| 2026-02-20 | @ Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1886 | 1889 | 30.9% | 25.8% | 43.3% | +0.5 | 26 |
| 2026-02-21 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 3-2 | 2228 | 1950 | 73.2% | 17.2% | 9.6% | +1.8 | 60 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ Bayern Munich | L 2-3 | 1950 | 2228 | 9.6% | 17.2% | 73.2% | -1.8 | 31 |
| 2026-02-21 | Hoffenheim | D 2-2 | 1848 | 2014 | 22.1% | 24.3% | 53.6% | +1.0 | 24 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ 1. FC Koln | D 2-2 | 2014 | 1848 | 53.6% | 24.3% | 22.1% | -1.0 | 46 |
| 2026-02-21 | Borussia Dortmund | D 2-2 | 2022 | 2096 | 32.7% | 25.9% | 41.4% | +0.2 | 41 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ RB Leipzig | D 2-2 | 2096 | 2022 | 41.4% | 25.9% | 32.7% | -0.3 | 52 |
| 2026-02-21 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 1-0 | 1851 | 2058 | 18.6% | 23.2% | 58.2% | +10.7 | 28 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ Union Berlin | L 0-1 | 2058 | 1851 | 58.2% | 23.2% | 18.6% | -10.7 | 39 |
| 2026-02-21 | FC Augsburg | L 2-3 | 1864 | 1844 | 45.7% | 25.6% | 28.7% | -7.8 | 20 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 3-2 | 1844 | 1864 | 28.7% | 25.6% | 45.7% | +7.8 | 28 |
| 2026-02-22 | VfB Stuttgart | D 3-3 | 1772 | 2040 | 14.3% | 21.0% | 64.7% | +1.4 | 14 |
| 2026-02-22 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | D 3-3 | 2040 | 1772 | 64.7% | 21.0% | 14.3% | -1.4 | 43 |
| 2026-02-22 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 2-1 | 1921 | 1867 | 50.1% | 25.0% | 24.9% | +5.1 | 33 |
| 2026-02-22 | @ SC Freiburg | L 1-2 | 1867 | 1921 | 24.9% | 25.0% | 50.1% | -5.1 | 22 |
| 2026-02-22 | Werder Bremen | W 2-1 | 1810 | 1849 | 37.4% | 26.0% | 36.6% | +6.9 | 20 |
| 2026-02-22 | @ St. Pauli | L 1-2 | 1849 | 1810 | 36.6% | 26.0% | 37.4% | -6.9 | 19 |
| 2026-02-27 | 1. FC Koln | W 2-0 | 1851 | 1849 | 43.3% | 25.8% | 30.9% | +12.2 | 31 |
| 2026-02-27 | @ FC Augsburg | L 0-2 | 1849 | 1851 | 30.9% | 25.8% | 43.3% | -12.2 | 24 |
| 2026-02-28 | Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 2047 | 1888 | 62.2% | 21.9% | 15.9% | -2.0 | 40 |
| 2026-02-28 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | D 1-1 | 1888 | 2047 | 15.9% | 21.9% | 62.2% | +2.0 | 23 |
| 2026-02-28 | Bayern Munich | L 2-3 | 2095 | 2230 | 25.4% | 25.1% | 49.6% | -4.9 | 52 |
| 2026-02-28 | @ Borussia Dortmund | W 3-2 | 2230 | 2095 | 49.6% | 25.1% | 25.4% | +4.9 | 63 |
| 2026-02-28 | Union Berlin | W 1-0 | 1862 | 1862 | 43.0% | 25.8% | 31.2% | +6.5 | 25 |
| 2026-02-28 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-1 | 1862 | 1862 | 31.2% | 25.8% | 43.0% | -6.5 | 28 |
| 2026-02-28 | St. Pauli | L 0-1 | 2013 | 1817 | 65.9% | 20.5% | 13.6% | -11.8 | 46 |
| 2026-02-28 | @ Hoffenheim | W 1-0 | 1817 | 2013 | 13.6% | 20.5% | 65.9% | +11.8 | 23 |
| 2026-02-28 | 1. FC Heidenheim | W 2-0 | 1842 | 1773 | 52.0% | 24.6% | 23.3% | +9.6 | 22 |
| 2026-02-28 | @ Werder Bremen | L 0-2 | 1773 | 1842 | 23.3% | 24.6% | 52.0% | -9.6 | 14 |
| 2026-03-01 | SC Freiburg | W 2-0 | 1948 | 1926 | 46.0% | 25.5% | 28.5% | +11.4 | 34 |
| 2026-03-01 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-2 | 1926 | 1948 | 28.5% | 25.5% | 46.0% | -11.4 | 33 |
| 2026-03-01 | RB Leipzig | L 1-2 | 1887 | 2022 | 25.2% | 25.0% | 49.8% | -5.1 | 26 |
| 2026-03-01 | @ Hamburger SV | W 2-1 | 2022 | 1887 | 49.8% | 25.0% | 25.2% | +5.2 | 44 |
| 2026-03-01 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 4-0 | 2039 | 1856 | 64.6% | 21.0% | 14.4% | +11.4 | 46 |
| 2026-03-01 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-4 | 1856 | 2039 | 14.4% | 21.0% | 64.6% | -11.4 | 20 |
| 2026-03-04 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-1 | 1882 | 2045 | 22.4% | 24.4% | 53.2% | -4.9 | 26 |
| 2026-03-04 | @ Hamburger SV | W 1-0 | 2045 | 1882 | 53.2% | 24.4% | 22.4% | +4.9 | 43 |
| 2026-03-06 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 4-1 | 2235 | 1869 | 79.9% | 13.6% | 6.6% | +3.0 | 66 |
| 2026-03-06 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-4 | 1869 | 2235 | 6.6% | 13.6% | 79.9% | -3.0 | 25 |
| 2026-03-07 | Hoffenheim | L 2-4 | 1763 | 2001 | 16.3% | 22.1% | 61.6% | -5.3 | 14 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | W 4-2 | 2001 | 1763 | 61.6% | 22.1% | 16.3% | +5.3 | 49 |
| 2026-03-07 | Bayer Leverkusen | D 3-3 | 1915 | 2050 | 25.2% | 25.0% | 49.7% | +0.6 | 34 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ SC Freiburg | D 3-3 | 2050 | 1915 | 49.7% | 25.0% | 25.2% | -0.6 | 44 |
| 2026-03-07 | Borussia Dortmund | L 1-2 | 1837 | 2090 | 15.2% | 21.5% | 63.2% | -3.2 | 24 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ 1. FC Koln | W 2-1 | 2090 | 1837 | 63.2% | 21.5% | 15.2% | +3.2 | 55 |
| 2026-03-07 | VfB Stuttgart | D 2-2 | 1890 | 2050 | 22.7% | 24.5% | 52.8% | +0.9 | 24 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ Mainz 05 | D 2-2 | 2050 | 1890 | 52.8% | 24.5% | 22.7% | -0.9 | 47 |
| 2026-03-07 | FC Augsburg | W 2-1 | 2027 | 1863 | 62.7% | 21.7% | 15.6% | +3.3 | 47 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ RB Leipzig | L 1-2 | 1863 | 2027 | 15.6% | 21.7% | 62.7% | -3.3 | 31 |
| 2026-03-07 | Hamburger SV | L 1-2 | 1844 | 1877 | 38.4% | 26.0% | 35.6% | -7.2 | 20 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-1 | 1877 | 1844 | 35.6% | 26.0% | 38.4% | +7.2 | 29 |
| 2026-03-08 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 0-0 | 1828 | 1960 | 25.7% | 25.1% | 49.2% | +1.1 | 24 |
| 2026-03-08 | @ St. Pauli | D 0-0 | 1960 | 1828 | 49.2% | 25.1% | 25.7% | -1.1 | 35 |
| 2026-03-08 | Werder Bremen | L 1-4 | 1855 | 1852 | 43.4% | 25.8% | 30.8% | -19.3 | 28 |
| 2026-03-08 | @ Union Berlin | W 4-1 | 1852 | 1855 | 30.8% | 25.8% | 43.4% | +19.3 | 25 |
| 2026-03-13 | St. Pauli | W 2-0 | 1866 | 1829 | 47.9% | 25.3% | 26.9% | +10.9 | 28 |
| 2026-03-13 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-2 | 1829 | 1866 | 26.9% | 25.3% | 47.9% | -10.8 | 24 |
| 2026-03-14 | Bayern Munich | D 1-1 | 2050 | 2238 | 20.2% | 23.7% | 56.1% | +1.5 | 45 |
| 2026-03-14 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | D 1-1 | 2238 | 2050 | 56.1% | 23.7% | 20.2% | -1.5 | 67 |
| 2026-03-14 | FC Augsburg | W 2-0 | 2094 | 1860 | 69.4% | 19.0% | 11.6% | +4.7 | 58 |
| 2026-03-14 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-2 | 1860 | 2094 | 11.6% | 19.0% | 69.4% | -4.7 | 31 |
| 2026-03-14 | 1. FC Heidenheim | W 1-0 | 1959 | 1758 | 66.3% | 20.3% | 13.4% | +2.9 | 38 |
| 2026-03-14 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-1 | 1758 | 1959 | 13.4% | 20.3% | 66.3% | -2.9 | 14 |
| 2026-03-14 | 1. FC Koln | D 1-1 | 1884 | 1833 | 49.7% | 25.0% | 25.3% | -1.0 | 30 |
| 2026-03-14 | @ Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1833 | 1884 | 25.3% | 25.0% | 49.7% | +1.0 | 25 |
| 2026-03-14 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 1-1 | 2007 | 1837 | 63.2% | 21.5% | 15.2% | -2.1 | 50 |
| 2026-03-14 | @ Hoffenheim | D 1-1 | 1837 | 2007 | 15.2% | 21.5% | 63.2% | +2.1 | 21 |
| 2026-03-15 | Union Berlin | L 0-1 | 1915 | 1836 | 53.3% | 24.4% | 22.4% | -9.9 | 34 |
| 2026-03-15 | @ SC Freiburg | W 1-0 | 1836 | 1915 | 22.4% | 24.4% | 53.3% | +9.9 | 31 |
| 2026-03-15 | RB Leipzig | W 1-0 | 2049 | 2031 | 45.5% | 25.6% | 29.0% | +6.1 | 50 |
| 2026-03-15 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-1 | 2031 | 2049 | 29.0% | 25.6% | 45.5% | -6.1 | 47 |
| 2026-03-15 | Mainz 05 | L 0-2 | 1871 | 1891 | 40.2% | 25.9% | 33.9% | -14.8 | 25 |
| 2026-03-15 | @ Werder Bremen | W 2-0 | 1891 | 1871 | 33.9% | 25.9% | 40.2% | +14.8 | 27 |
| 2026-03-20 | Hoffenheim | W 5-0 | 2025 | 2005 | 45.7% | 25.6% | 28.8% | +26.9 | 50 |
| 2026-03-20 | @ RB Leipzig | L 0-5 | 2005 | 2025 | 28.8% | 25.6% | 45.7% | -26.9 | 50 |
| 2026-03-21 | Bayer Leverkusen | D 3-3 | 1755 | 2051 | 12.8% | 19.9% | 67.4% | +1.5 | 15 |
| 2026-03-21 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | D 3-3 | 2051 | 1755 | 67.4% | 19.9% | 12.8% | -1.5 | 46 |
| 2026-03-21 | Union Berlin | W 4-0 | 2236 | 1846 | 81.5% | 12.6% | 5.9% | +4.1 | 70 |
| 2026-03-21 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-4 | 1846 | 2236 | 5.9% | 12.6% | 81.5% | -4.0 | 31 |
| 2026-03-21 | Hamburger SV | W 3-2 | 2098 | 1883 | 67.7% | 19.7% | 12.5% | +2.4 | 61 |
| 2026-03-21 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 2-3 | 1883 | 2098 | 12.5% | 19.7% | 67.7% | -2.5 | 30 |
| 2026-03-21 | Borussia Monchengladbach | D 3-3 | 1834 | 1877 | 37.0% | 26.0% | 37.0% | +0.0 | 26 |
| 2026-03-21 | @ 1. FC Koln | D 3-3 | 1877 | 1834 | 37.0% | 26.0% | 37.0% | +0.0 | 29 |
| 2026-03-21 | Werder Bremen | L 0-1 | 1839 | 1856 | 40.6% | 25.9% | 33.5% | -7.9 | 21 |
| 2026-03-21 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 1-0 | 1856 | 1839 | 33.5% | 25.9% | 40.6% | +7.9 | 28 |
| 2026-03-22 | VfB Stuttgart | L 2-5 | 1855 | 2055 | 19.2% | 23.4% | 57.4% | -8.5 | 31 |
| 2026-03-22 | @ FC Augsburg | W 5-2 | 2055 | 1855 | 57.4% | 23.4% | 19.2% | +8.5 | 53 |
| 2026-03-22 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-1 | 1906 | 1962 | 35.1% | 26.0% | 39.0% | +7.2 | 30 |
| 2026-03-22 | @ Mainz 05 | L 1-2 | 1962 | 1906 | 39.0% | 26.0% | 35.1% | -7.2 | 38 |
| 2026-03-22 | SC Freiburg | L 1-2 | 1819 | 1906 | 30.9% | 25.8% | 43.3% | -6.1 | 24 |
| 2026-03-22 | @ St. Pauli | W 2-1 | 1906 | 1819 | 43.3% | 25.8% | 30.9% | +6.1 | 37 |
| 2026-04-04 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 6-3 | 2050 | 1831 | 68.0% | 19.6% | 12.4% | +5.0 | 49 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 3-6 | 1831 | 2050 | 12.4% | 19.6% | 68.0% | -5.0 | 21 |
| 2026-04-04 | 1. FC Heidenheim | D 2-2 | 1877 | 1757 | 58.0% | 23.2% | 18.8% | -1.2 | 30 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | D 2-2 | 1757 | 1877 | 18.8% | 23.2% | 58.0% | +1.2 | 16 |
| 2026-04-04 | Bayern Munich | L 2-3 | 1912 | 2240 | 11.1% | 18.6% | 70.3% | -2.1 | 37 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ SC Freiburg | W 3-2 | 2240 | 1912 | 70.3% | 18.6% | 11.1% | +2.1 | 73 |
| 2026-04-04 | FC Augsburg | D 1-1 | 1880 | 1847 | 47.4% | 25.4% | 27.2% | -0.8 | 31 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1847 | 1880 | 27.2% | 25.4% | 47.4% | +0.8 | 32 |
| 2026-04-04 | Mainz 05 | L 1-2 | 1978 | 1913 | 51.5% | 24.7% | 23.8% | -9.1 | 50 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ Hoffenheim | W 2-1 | 1913 | 1978 | 23.8% | 24.7% | 51.5% | +9.1 | 33 |
| 2026-04-04 | Borussia Dortmund | L 0-2 | 2064 | 2101 | 37.7% | 26.0% | 36.3% | -14.2 | 53 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 2-0 | 2101 | 2064 | 36.3% | 26.0% | 37.7% | +14.2 | 64 |
| 2026-04-04 | RB Leipzig | L 1-2 | 1864 | 2051 | 20.2% | 23.8% | 56.0% | -4.2 | 28 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ Werder Bremen | W 2-1 | 2051 | 1864 | 56.0% | 23.8% | 20.2% | +4.2 | 53 |
| 2026-04-05 | 1. FC Koln | D 2-2 | 1954 | 1834 | 58.0% | 23.2% | 18.8% | -1.2 | 39 |
| 2026-04-05 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 2-2 | 1834 | 1954 | 18.8% | 23.2% | 58.0% | +1.2 | 27 |
| 2026-04-05 | St. Pauli | D 1-1 | 1842 | 1812 | 46.9% | 25.4% | 27.7% | -0.8 | 32 |
| 2026-04-05 | @ Union Berlin | D 1-1 | 1812 | 1842 | 27.7% | 25.4% | 46.9% | +0.8 | 25 |
| 2026-04-10 | Hoffenheim | D 2-2 | 1848 | 1969 | 26.8% | 25.3% | 47.9% | +0.6 | 33 |
| 2026-04-10 | @ FC Augsburg | D 2-2 | 1969 | 1848 | 47.9% | 25.3% | 26.8% | -0.6 | 51 |
| 2026-04-11 | Union Berlin | W 3-1 | 1758 | 1841 | 31.4% | 25.8% | 42.8% | +13.5 | 19 |
| 2026-04-11 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | L 1-3 | 1841 | 1758 | 42.8% | 25.8% | 31.4% | -13.5 | 32 |
| 2026-04-11 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-1 | 2115 | 2055 | 50.9% | 24.8% | 24.3% | -9.5 | 64 |
| 2026-04-11 | @ Borussia Dortmund | W 1-0 | 2055 | 2115 | 24.3% | 24.8% | 50.9% | +9.5 | 52 |
| 2026-04-11 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 1-0 | 2056 | 1875 | 64.3% | 21.1% | 14.6% | +3.2 | 56 |
| 2026-04-11 | @ RB Leipzig | L 0-1 | 1875 | 2056 | 14.6% | 21.1% | 64.3% | -3.2 | 30 |
| 2026-04-11 | Bayern Munich | L 0-5 | 1813 | 2242 | 7.2% | 14.4% | 78.4% | -6.3 | 25 |
| 2026-04-11 | @ St. Pauli | W 5-0 | 2242 | 1813 | 78.4% | 14.4% | 7.2% | +6.3 | 76 |
| 2026-04-11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-2 | 1826 | 1953 | 26.2% | 25.2% | 48.6% | -5.3 | 21 |
| 2026-04-11 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-1 | 1953 | 1826 | 48.6% | 25.2% | 26.2% | +5.3 | 42 |
| 2026-04-12 | Werder Bremen | W 3-1 | 1836 | 1860 | 39.5% | 25.9% | 34.5% | +11.5 | 30 |
| 2026-04-12 | @ 1. FC Koln | L 1-3 | 1860 | 1836 | 34.5% | 25.9% | 39.5% | -11.5 | 28 |
| 2026-04-12 | SC Freiburg | L 0-1 | 1922 | 1910 | 44.7% | 25.7% | 29.7% | -8.6 | 33 |
| 2026-04-12 | @ Mainz 05 | W 1-0 | 1910 | 1922 | 29.7% | 25.7% | 44.7% | +8.5 | 40 |
| 2026-04-12 | Hamburger SV | W 4-0 | 2050 | 1880 | 63.3% | 21.5% | 15.2% | +12.1 | 56 |
| 2026-04-12 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-4 | 1880 | 2050 | 15.2% | 21.5% | 63.3% | -12.0 | 31 |
| 2026-04-17 | 1. FC Koln | D 1-1 | 1807 | 1847 | 37.3% | 26.0% | 36.7% | -0.0 | 26 |
| 2026-04-17 | @ St. Pauli | D 1-1 | 1847 | 1807 | 36.7% | 26.0% | 37.3% | +0.0 | 31 |
| 2026-04-18 | FC Augsburg | L 1-2 | 2064 | 1848 | 67.8% | 19.7% | 12.5% | -11.4 | 52 |
| 2026-04-18 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | W 2-1 | 1848 | 2064 | 12.5% | 19.7% | 67.8% | +11.4 | 36 |
| 2026-04-18 | RB Leipzig | L 1-3 | 1958 | 2059 | 29.2% | 25.6% | 45.1% | -10.1 | 42 |
| 2026-04-18 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 3-1 | 2059 | 1958 | 45.1% | 25.6% | 29.2% | +10.1 | 59 |
| 2026-04-18 | Borussia Dortmund | W 2-1 | 1968 | 2105 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 50.0% | +8.8 | 54 |
| 2026-04-18 | @ Hoffenheim | L 1-2 | 2105 | 1968 | 50.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | -8.8 | 64 |
| 2026-04-18 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-2 | 1828 | 1821 | 43.9% | 25.7% | 30.4% | -7.9 | 32 |
| 2026-04-18 | @ Union Berlin | W 2-1 | 1821 | 1828 | 30.4% | 25.7% | 43.9% | +7.9 | 24 |
| 2026-04-18 | Hamburger SV | W 3-1 | 1849 | 1867 | 40.3% | 25.9% | 33.7% | +11.3 | 31 |
| 2026-04-18 | @ Werder Bremen | L 1-3 | 1867 | 1849 | 33.7% | 25.9% | 40.3% | -11.3 | 31 |
| 2026-04-19 | VfB Stuttgart | W 4-2 | 2249 | 2062 | 65.0% | 20.9% | 14.1% | +4.6 | 79 |
| 2026-04-19 | @ Bayern Munich | L 2-4 | 2062 | 2249 | 14.1% | 20.9% | 65.0% | -4.6 | 56 |
| 2026-04-19 | Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1872 | 1914 | 37.1% | 26.0% | 36.9% | -0.0 | 31 |
| 2026-04-19 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | D 1-1 | 1914 | 1872 | 36.9% | 26.0% | 37.1% | +0.0 | 34 |
| 2026-04-19 | 1. FC Heidenheim | W 2-1 | 1918 | 1771 | 60.9% | 22.4% | 16.8% | +3.5 | 43 |
| 2026-04-19 | @ SC Freiburg | L 1-2 | 1771 | 1918 | 16.8% | 22.4% | 60.9% | -3.5 | 19 |
| 2026-04-24 | Union Berlin | W 3-1 | 2069 | 1820 | 70.8% | 18.4% | 10.9% | +3.8 | 62 |
| 2026-04-24 | @ RB Leipzig | L 1-3 | 1820 | 2069 | 10.9% | 18.4% | 70.8% | -3.8 | 32 |
| 2026-04-25 | St. Pauli | W 2-0 | 1768 | 1807 | 37.5% | 26.0% | 36.5% | +13.8 | 22 |
| 2026-04-25 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | L 0-2 | 1807 | 1768 | 36.5% | 26.0% | 37.5% | -13.8 | 26 |
| 2026-04-25 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1860 | 1948 | 30.7% | 25.8% | 43.5% | +0.5 | 37 |
| 2026-04-25 | @ FC Augsburg | D 1-1 | 1948 | 1860 | 43.5% | 25.8% | 30.7% | -0.5 | 43 |
| 2026-04-25 | Hoffenheim | L 1-2 | 1856 | 1977 | 26.9% | 25.3% | 47.8% | -5.4 | 31 |
| 2026-04-25 | @ Hamburger SV | W 2-1 | 1977 | 1856 | 47.8% | 25.3% | 26.9% | +5.4 | 57 |
| 2026-04-25 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-2 | 1847 | 2053 | 18.7% | 23.2% | 58.1% | -3.9 | 31 |
| 2026-04-25 | @ 1. FC Koln | W 2-1 | 2053 | 1847 | 58.1% | 23.2% | 18.7% | +3.9 | 55 |
| 2026-04-25 | Bayern Munich | L 3-4 | 1914 | 2253 | 10.6% | 18.1% | 71.3% | -2.0 | 34 |
| 2026-04-25 | @ Mainz 05 | W 4-3 | 2253 | 1914 | 71.3% | 18.1% | 10.6% | +2.0 | 82 |
| 2026-04-25 | Borussia Monchengladbach | D 0-0 | 1829 | 1872 | 36.9% | 26.0% | 37.1% | +0.0 | 25 |
| 2026-04-25 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 0-0 | 1872 | 1829 | 37.1% | 26.0% | 36.9% | -0.0 | 32 |
| 2026-04-26 | SC Freiburg | W 4-0 | 2097 | 1922 | 63.8% | 21.3% | 14.9% | +11.8 | 67 |
| 2026-04-26 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-4 | 1922 | 2097 | 14.9% | 21.3% | 63.8% | -11.8 | 43 |
| 2026-04-26 | Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 2057 | 1860 | 66.0% | 20.5% | 13.6% | -2.3 | 57 |
| 2026-04-26 | @ VfB Stuttgart | D 1-1 | 1860 | 2057 | 13.6% | 20.5% | 66.0% | +2.3 | 32 |
| 2026-05-02 | RB Leipzig | W 4-1 | 2057 | 2073 | 40.7% | 25.9% | 33.3% | +15.8 | 58 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-4 | 2073 | 2057 | 33.3% | 25.9% | 40.7% | -15.8 | 62 |
| 2026-05-02 | 1. FC Heidenheim | D 3-3 | 2255 | 1782 | 86.3% | 9.7% | 4.0% | -2.1 | 83 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Bayern Munich | D 3-3 | 1782 | 2255 | 4.0% | 9.7% | 86.3% | +2.1 | 23 |
| 2026-05-02 | Hamburger SV | L 1-2 | 1948 | 1851 | 55.3% | 23.9% | 20.7% | -9.6 | 43 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-1 | 1851 | 1948 | 20.7% | 23.9% | 55.3% | +9.6 | 34 |
| 2026-05-02 | VfB Stuttgart | D 3-3 | 1982 | 2055 | 32.8% | 25.9% | 41.3% | +0.2 | 58 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Hoffenheim | D 3-3 | 2055 | 1982 | 41.3% | 25.9% | 32.8% | -0.2 | 58 |
| 2026-05-02 | 1. FC Koln | D 2-2 | 1816 | 1843 | 39.1% | 26.0% | 34.9% | -0.1 | 33 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Union Berlin | D 2-2 | 1843 | 1816 | 34.9% | 26.0% | 39.1% | +0.1 | 32 |
| 2026-05-02 | FC Augsburg | L 1-3 | 1862 | 1860 | 43.2% | 25.8% | 31.0% | -13.6 | 32 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Werder Bremen | W 3-1 | 1860 | 1862 | 31.0% | 25.8% | 43.2% | +13.6 | 40 |
| 2026-05-03 | Borussia Dortmund | W 1-0 | 1872 | 2108 | 16.4% | 22.2% | 61.4% | +11.1 | 35 |
| 2026-05-03 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-1 | 2108 | 1872 | 61.4% | 22.2% | 16.4% | -11.1 | 67 |
| 2026-05-03 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 1-1 | 1910 | 1829 | 53.4% | 24.4% | 22.2% | -1.3 | 44 |
| 2026-05-03 | @ SC Freiburg | D 1-1 | 1829 | 1910 | 22.2% | 24.4% | 53.4% | +1.3 | 26 |
| 2026-05-03 | Mainz 05 | L 1-2 | 1793 | 1912 | 27.1% | 25.3% | 47.5% | -5.5 | 26 |
| 2026-05-03 | @ St. Pauli | W 2-1 | 1912 | 1793 | 47.5% | 25.3% | 27.1% | +5.5 | 37 |
| 2026-05-08 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 3-2 | 2097 | 1938 | 62.2% | 21.9% | 15.9% | +3.2 | 70 |
| 2026-05-08 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 2-3 | 1938 | 2097 | 15.9% | 21.9% | 62.2% | -3.2 | 43 |
| 2026-05-09 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 3-1 | 1874 | 1883 | 41.6% | 25.9% | 32.5% | +10.9 | 43 |
| 2026-05-09 | @ FC Augsburg | L 1-3 | 1883 | 1874 | 32.5% | 25.9% | 41.6% | -10.9 | 35 |
| 2026-05-09 | Werder Bremen | W 1-0 | 1983 | 1849 | 59.5% | 22.8% | 17.7% | +3.9 | 61 |
| 2026-05-09 | @ Hoffenheim | L 0-1 | 1849 | 1983 | 17.7% | 22.8% | 59.5% | -3.9 | 32 |
| 2026-05-09 | St. Pauli | W 2-1 | 2057 | 1788 | 72.5% | 17.5% | 10.0% | +2.0 | 65 |
| 2026-05-09 | @ RB Leipzig | L 1-2 | 1788 | 2057 | 10.0% | 17.5% | 72.5% | -2.0 | 26 |
| 2026-05-09 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 3-1 | 2055 | 2073 | 40.5% | 25.9% | 33.6% | +11.2 | 61 |
| 2026-05-09 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 1-3 | 2073 | 2055 | 33.6% | 25.9% | 40.5% | -11.2 | 58 |
| 2026-05-09 | Bayern Munich | L 0-1 | 1830 | 2253 | 7.4% | 14.7% | 77.9% | -1.5 | 26 |
| 2026-05-09 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 1-0 | 2253 | 1830 | 77.9% | 14.7% | 7.4% | +1.5 | 86 |
| 2026-05-10 | SC Freiburg | W 3-2 | 1860 | 1909 | 36.2% | 26.0% | 37.9% | +6.7 | 37 |
| 2026-05-10 | @ Hamburger SV | L 2-3 | 1909 | 1860 | 37.9% | 26.0% | 36.2% | -6.7 | 44 |
| 2026-05-10 | 1. FC Heidenheim | L 1-3 | 1843 | 1784 | 50.8% | 24.9% | 24.3% | -15.5 | 32 |
| 2026-05-10 | @ 1. FC Koln | W 3-1 | 1784 | 1843 | 24.3% | 24.9% | 50.8% | +15.5 | 26 |
| 2026-05-10 | Union Berlin | L 1-3 | 1917 | 1816 | 55.9% | 23.8% | 20.4% | -16.8 | 37 |
| 2026-05-10 | @ Mainz 05 | W 3-1 | 1816 | 1917 | 20.4% | 23.8% | 55.9% | +16.8 | 36 |
| 2026-05-16 | Mainz 05 | L 0-2 | 1799 | 1900 | 29.2% | 25.6% | 45.2% | -11.6 | 26 |
| 2026-05-16 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | W 2-0 | 1900 | 1799 | 45.2% | 25.6% | 29.2% | +11.6 | 40 |
| 2026-05-16 | Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 2061 | 1867 | 65.7% | 20.6% | 13.7% | -2.3 | 59 |
| 2026-05-16 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | D 1-1 | 1867 | 2061 | 13.7% | 20.6% | 65.7% | +2.3 | 38 |
| 2026-05-16 | 1. FC Koln | W 5-1 | 2255 | 1828 | 83.7% | 11.3% | 5.0% | +2.8 | 89 |
| 2026-05-16 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-5 | 1828 | 2255 | 5.0% | 11.3% | 83.7% | -2.8 | 32 |
| 2026-05-16 | Hoffenheim | W 4-0 | 1872 | 1987 | 27.6% | 25.4% | 47.0% | +31.9 | 38 |
| 2026-05-16 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-4 | 1987 | 1872 | 47.0% | 25.4% | 27.6% | -31.9 | 61 |
| 2026-05-16 | VfB Stuttgart | D 2-2 | 1935 | 2066 | 25.8% | 25.1% | 49.1% | +0.7 | 44 |
| 2026-05-16 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 2-2 | 2066 | 1935 | 49.1% | 25.1% | 25.8% | -0.7 | 62 |
| 2026-05-16 | RB Leipzig | W 4-1 | 1902 | 2059 | 23.0% | 24.6% | 52.4% | +22.5 | 47 |
| 2026-05-16 | @ SC Freiburg | L 1-4 | 2059 | 1902 | 52.4% | 24.6% | 23.0% | -22.5 | 65 |
| 2026-05-16 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-3 | 1786 | 1829 | 36.9% | 26.0% | 37.1% | -12.0 | 26 |
| 2026-05-16 | @ St. Pauli | W 3-1 | 1829 | 1786 | 37.1% | 26.0% | 36.9% | +12.0 | 29 |
| 2026-05-16 | FC Augsburg | W 4-0 | 1832 | 1885 | 35.6% | 26.0% | 38.5% | +27.2 | 39 |
| 2026-05-16 | @ Union Berlin | L 0-4 | 1885 | 1832 | 38.5% | 26.0% | 35.6% | -27.2 | 43 |
| 2026-05-16 | Borussia Dortmund | L 0-2 | 1845 | 2100 | 15.1% | 21.5% | 63.4% | -6.3 | 32 |
| 2026-05-16 | @ Werder Bremen | W 2-0 | 2100 | 1845 | 63.4% | 21.5% | 15.1% | +6.3 | 73 |
Playoff Game Log
Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-21 | Paderborn 07 | D 0-0 | 1841 | 1815 | 46.5% | 25.5% | 28.1% | -0.8 | 0-0-1 |
| 2026-05-21 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 0-0 | 1815 | 1841 | 28.1% | 25.5% | 46.5% | +0.8 | 0-0-1 |
| 2026-05-25 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-1 | 1816 | 1840 | 39.6% | 25.9% | 34.5% | +6.6 | 1-0-1 |
| 2026-05-25 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 1-2 | 1840 | 1816 | 34.5% | 25.9% | 39.6% | -6.6 | 0-1-1 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2026-01-24 | 5.66% | FC Augsburg | 1831 | 2 | @ Bayern Munich | 2229 | 1 |
| 2 | 2026-04-18 | 12.52% | FC Augsburg | 1848 | 2 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 2064 | 1 |
| 3 | 2026-02-28 | 13.58% | St. Pauli | 1817 | 1 | @ Hoffenheim | 2013 | 0 |
| 4 | 2025-08-23 | 15.75% | Hoffenheim | 1890 | 2 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 2051 | 1 |
| 5 | 2026-02-07 | 16.37% | @ St. Pauli | 1808 | 2 | VfB Stuttgart | 2045 | 1 |
| 6 | 2026-05-03 | 16.43% | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 1872 | 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 2108 | 0 |
| 7 | 2026-01-31 | 16.50% | Mainz 05 | 1879 | 2 | @ RB Leipzig | 2029 | 1 |
| 8 | 2025-12-06 | 16.51% | @ FC Augsburg | 1834 | 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2069 | 0 |
| 9 | 2025-09-21 | 17.03% | Union Berlin | 1848 | 4 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 1991 | 3 |
| 10 | 2025-12-12 | 18.49% | @ Union Berlin | 1847 | 3 | RB Leipzig | 2055 | 1 |
| 11 | 2026-02-21 | 18.60% | @ Union Berlin | 1851 | 1 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2058 | 0 |
| 12 | 2025-08-24 | 19.81% | 1. FC Koln | 1846 | 1 | @ Mainz 05 | 1954 | 0 |
| 13 | 2026-05-10 | 20.36% | Union Berlin | 1816 | 3 | @ Mainz 05 | 1917 | 1 |
| 14 | 2026-05-02 | 20.74% | Hamburger SV | 1851 | 2 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 1948 | 1 |
| 15 | 2026-03-15 | 22.35% | Union Berlin | 1836 | 1 | @ SC Freiburg | 1915 | 0 |
| 16 | 2026-05-16 | 23.01% | @ SC Freiburg | 1902 | 4 | RB Leipzig | 2059 | 1 |
| 17 | 2026-01-10 | 23.65% | VfB Stuttgart | 2000 | 4 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 2067 | 1 |
| 18 | 2025-11-29 | 23.68% | 1. FC Heidenheim | 1800 | 2 | @ Union Berlin | 1866 | 1 |
| 19 | 2026-04-04 | 23.80% | Mainz 05 | 1913 | 2 | @ Hoffenheim | 1978 | 1 |
| 20 | 2026-04-11 | 24.27% | Bayer Leverkusen | 2055 | 1 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 2115 | 0 |
| 21 | 2026-05-10 | 24.35% | 1. FC Heidenheim | 1784 | 3 | @ 1. FC Koln | 1843 | 1 |
| 22 | 2025-11-30 | 24.94% | @ Hamburger SV | 1868 | 2 | VfB Stuttgart | 2006 | 1 |
| 23 | 2026-04-18 | 25.04% | @ Hoffenheim | 1968 | 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 2105 | 1 |
| 24 | 2025-11-29 | 25.88% | Borussia Dortmund | 2032 | 2 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 2077 | 1 |
| 25 | 2025-08-23 | 25.94% | @ Union Berlin | 1861 | 2 | VfB Stuttgart | 1990 | 1 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-05-16 | 31.87 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 4 | 1872 | 27.62% | Hoffenheim | 0 | 1987 | 46.97% | 25.42% |
| 2 | 2025-10-25 | 31.04 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 1990 | 46.72% | @ FC Augsburg | 0 | 1878 | 27.84% | 25.44% |
| 3 | 2025-11-01 | 30.35 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 4 | 1846 | 30.09% | @ St. Pauli | 0 | 1855 | 44.22% | 25.69% |
| 4 | 2025-12-06 | 30.25 | @ RB Leipzig | 6 | 2025 | 47.69% | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 1990 | 26.98% | 25.33% |
| 5 | 2025-09-14 | 28.55 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 1913 | 33.20% | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 0 | 1898 | 40.89% | 25.91% |
| 6 | 2025-10-05 | 28.14 | @ Hamburger SV | 4 | 1875 | 33.92% | Mainz 05 | 0 | 1940 | 40.14% | 25.94% |
| 7 | 2026-05-16 | 27.24 | @ Union Berlin | 4 | 1832 | 35.56% | FC Augsburg | 0 | 1885 | 38.46% | 25.98% |
| 8 | 2026-03-20 | 26.85 | @ RB Leipzig | 5 | 2025 | 45.66% | Hoffenheim | 0 | 2005 | 28.78% | 25.56% |
| 9 | 2025-09-20 | 25.15 | SC Freiburg | 3 | 1898 | 26.06% | @ Werder Bremen | 0 | 1942 | 48.76% | 25.18% |
| 10 | 2025-12-14 | 24.37 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1977 | 40.94% | @ Werder Bremen | 0 | 1907 | 33.15% | 25.90% |
| 11 | 2025-08-22 | 23.92 | @ Bayern Munich | 6 | 2076 | 55.44% | RB Leipzig | 0 | 1978 | 20.67% | 23.90% |
| 12 | 2025-10-19 | 22.84 | Hoffenheim | 3 | 1883 | 30.96% | @ St. Pauli | 0 | 1886 | 43.27% | 25.77% |
| 13 | 2026-05-16 | 22.54 | @ SC Freiburg | 4 | 1902 | 23.01% | RB Leipzig | 1 | 2059 | 52.43% | 24.56% |
| 14 | 2026-01-10 | 22.25 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 2000 | 23.65% | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 2067 | 51.65% | 24.71% |
| 15 | 2025-11-30 | 22.05 | @ SC Freiburg | 4 | 1914 | 45.19% | Mainz 05 | 0 | 1897 | 29.20% | 25.61% |
| 16 | 2025-12-06 | 20.98 | @ FC Augsburg | 2 | 1834 | 16.51% | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 2069 | 61.28% | 22.21% |
| 17 | 2025-12-06 | 20.18 | Bayern Munich | 5 | 2179 | 55.37% | @ VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 1997 | 20.72% | 23.91% |
| 18 | 2026-01-11 | 20.15 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 4 | 1893 | 48.61% | FC Augsburg | 0 | 1850 | 26.19% | 25.20% |
| 19 | 2026-03-08 | 19.32 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 1852 | 30.82% | @ Union Berlin | 1 | 1855 | 43.43% | 25.76% |
| 20 | 2025-11-22 | 18.78 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 3 | 1887 | 40.62% | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | 0 | 1819 | 33.46% | 25.92% |
| 21 | 2025-12-12 | 17.46 | @ Union Berlin | 3 | 1847 | 18.49% | RB Leipzig | 1 | 2055 | 58.40% | 23.11% |
| 22 | 2025-10-18 | 17.23 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 1992 | 44.35% | @ VfL Wolfsburg | 0 | 1897 | 29.96% | 25.68% |
| 23 | 2025-08-31 | 17.22 | @ 1. FC Koln | 4 | 1856 | 36.61% | SC Freiburg | 1 | 1901 | 37.40% | 25.99% |
| 24 | 2025-09-20 | 16.89 | Mainz 05 | 4 | 1936 | 37.58% | @ FC Augsburg | 1 | 1889 | 36.43% | 25.99% |
| 25 | 2026-01-14 | 16.87 | @ Hoffenheim | 5 | 1954 | 48.44% | Borussia Monchengladbach | 1 | 1913 | 26.33% | 25.22% |