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2024-25 Super League 1 Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Olympiacos Piraeus

60 points · 48th Title

Last Title: 2021-22

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Olympiacos Piraeus

9.36 points above expected

60 points · 50.64 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lamia

9.11 points below expected

15 points · 24.11 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Olympiacos Piraeus Champion 26 18 6 2 60 45 16 +29 50.64 +9.36
2 AEK Athens 26 16 5 5 53 44 16 +28 53.47 -0.47
3 Panathinaikos 26 14 8 4 50 31 22 +9 49.33 +0.67
4 PAOK 26 14 4 8 46 51 26 +25 49.88 -3.88
5 Aris 26 12 6 8 42 31 28 +3 42.00 +0.00
6 OFI Crete 26 10 6 10 36 37 38 -1 31.68 +4.32
7 Atromitos 26 10 5 11 35 32 32 0 31.78 +3.22
8 Asteras Tripolis 26 10 5 11 35 27 29 -2 31.18 +3.82
9 Panetolikos 26 9 6 11 33 20 22 -2 28.69 +4.31
10 Levadiakos 26 6 10 10 28 30 34 -4 31.75 -3.75
11 Panserraikos 26 8 4 14 28 30 47 -17 26.70 +1.30
12 Volos 26 6 4 16 22 20 42 -22 25.44 -3.44
13 Kallithea 26 4 9 13 21 24 40 -16 29.86 -8.86
14 Lamia 26 3 6 17 15 14 44 -30 24.11 -9.11

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Olympiacos Piraeus 60 50.64 +9.36
2 OFI Crete 36 31.68 +4.32
3 Panetolikos 33 28.69 +4.31
4 Asteras Tripolis 35 31.18 +3.82
5 Atromitos 35 31.78 +3.22

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lamia 15 24.11 -9.11
2 Kallithea 21 29.86 -8.86
3 PAOK 46 49.88 -3.88
4 Levadiakos 28 31.75 -3.75
5 Volos 22 25.44 -3.44

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Asteras Tripolis 6 Dec 23 – Feb 3 1 in 344
2 Panetolikos 3 Sep 29 – Oct 19 1 in 66
3 Aris 4 Sep 21 – Oct 20 1 in 57
4 Olympiacos Piraeus 5 Nov 2 – Dec 7 1 in 26
5 Panserraikos 2 Oct 19 – Oct 26 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lamia 10 Dec 8 – Feb 16 1 in 265
2 Aris 3 Nov 9 – Nov 30 1 in 46
3 Asteras Tripolis 5 Nov 9 – Dec 14 1 in 32
4 PAOK 2 Jan 5 – Jan 12 1 in 25
5 Kallithea 3 Oct 6 – Oct 27 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Panetolikos 6 Aug 31 – Oct 19 1 in 72
2 Panathinaikos 15 Oct 6 – Feb 1 1 in 66
3 Olympiacos Piraeus 17 Nov 2 – Mar 9 1 in 63
4 Asteras Tripolis 7 Dec 23 – Feb 9 1 in 53
5 Aris 6 Sep 21 – Nov 3 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kallithea 16 Aug 18 – Dec 22 1 in 469
2 Lamia 22 Aug 24 – Feb 16 1 in 304
3 Levadiakos 10 Aug 18 – Nov 3 1 in 45
4 AEK Athens 3 Oct 5 – Oct 26 1 in 20
5 Volos 8 Jan 18 – Mar 9 1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Olympiacos Piraeus 1941 60 +19 13 9.5 +3.5
AEK Athens 1936 53 +9 10 10.3 -0.3
Panathinaikos 1865 50 -27 7 10.7 -3.7
PAOK 1891 46 +13 9 10.1 -1.1
Aris 1768 42 +2 8 7.3 +0.7
OFI Crete 1700 36 +8 9 6.2 +2.8
Atromitos 1684 35 +4 7 5.8 +1.2
Asteras Tripolis 1671 35 -23 1 5.0 -4.0
Panetolikos 1666 33 +7 7 6.0 +1.0
Levadiakos 1696 28 +24 10 7.6 +2.4
Panserraikos 1625 28 -7 6 4.6 +1.4
Volos 1585 22 -17 1 5.0 -4.0
Kallithea 1635 21 -10 6 5.7 +0.3
Lamia 1550 15 -2 6 3.8 +2.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AA ARI AT ATR KAL LAM LEV OC OP PAO PAN PAN PAN VOL
AEK Athens —
1-1-0
3.84
2-0-0
4.40
2-0-0
4.47
1-1-0
4.45
1-1-0
4.72
1-1-0
4.36
2-0-0
4.42
0-0-2
2.95
1-1-0
3.03
1-0-1
3.15
1-0-1
4.51
1-0-1
4.66
2-0-0
4.69
Aris
0-1-1
1.71
 —
0-1-1
3.76
1-1-0
3.61
2-0-0
3.61
2-0-0
4.11
1-0-1
3.62
0-0-2
3.51
1-0-1
1.74
1-1-0
1.83
1-1-0
2.02
1-0-1
3.63
2-0-0
3.79
0-1-1
4.05
Asteras Tripolis
0-0-2
1.22
1-1-0
1.79
 —
1-0-1
2.71
2-0-0
2.65
1-1-0
3.48
1-1-0
2.55
1-0-1
2.72
1-1-0
1.26
0-0-2
1.36
1-0-1
1.32
1-1-0
2.69
0-0-2
3.14
0-0-2
2.99
Atromitos
0-0-2
1.16
0-1-1
1.93
1-0-1
2.80
 —
1-0-1
2.77
2-0-0
3.22
2-0-0
2.61
0-2-0
2.75
0-0-2
1.26
0-0-2
1.28
0-2-0
1.45
1-0-1
2.75
2-0-0
3.09
1-0-1
3.19
Kallithea
0-1-1
1.18
0-0-2
1.92
0-0-2
2.86
1-0-1
2.75
 —
1-1-0
3.29
0-1-1
2.69
0-1-1
2.53
0-1-1
1.29
1-1-0
1.16
0-1-1
1.42
0-1-1
2.65
0-0-2
2.96
1-1-0
3.19
Lamia
0-1-1
0.95
0-0-2
1.47
0-1-1
2.06
0-0-2
2.30
0-1-1
2.23
 —
0-1-1
1.99
0-1-1
1.96
0-0-2
1.04
0-0-2
0.94
1-0-1
0.97
1-0-1
2.33
0-0-2
2.50
1-1-0
2.42
Levadiakos
0-1-1
1.26
1-0-1
1.91
0-1-1
2.96
0-0-2
2.91
1-1-0
2.82
1-1-0
3.54
 —
0-2-0
2.70
0-1-1
1.28
0-0-2
1.39
0-0-2
1.50
0-2-0
2.86
1-1-0
3.21
2-0-0
3.36
OFI Crete
0-0-2
1.21
2-0-0
2.02
1-0-1
2.79
0-2-0
2.76
1-1-0
2.99
1-1-0
3.58
0-2-0
2.81
 —
0-0-2
1.25
1-0-1
1.41
0-0-2
1.48
0-0-2
3.05
2-0-0
3.19
2-0-0
3.02
Olympiacos Piraeus
2-0-0
2.56
1-0-1
3.81
0-1-1
4.35
2-0-0
4.35
1-1-0
4.32
2-0-0
4.62
1-1-0
4.33
2-0-0
4.36
 —
2-0-0
2.83
0-2-0
3.00
1-1-0
4.39
2-0-0
4.54
2-0-0
4.49
PAOK
0-1-1
2.48
0-1-1
3.71
2-0-0
4.24
2-0-0
4.32
0-1-1
4.47
2-0-0
4.74
2-0-0
4.20
1-0-1
4.18
0-0-2
2.68
 —
0-1-1
2.95
2-0-0
4.33
2-0-0
4.39
1-0-1
4.57
Panathinaikos
1-0-1
2.36
0-1-1
3.51
1-0-1
4.29
0-2-0
4.13
1-1-0
4.18
1-0-1
4.70
2-0-0
4.07
2-0-0
4.11
0-2-0
2.51
1-1-0
2.57
 —
2-0-0
4.12
1-1-0
4.45
2-0-0
4.48
Panetolikos
1-0-1
1.12
1-0-1
1.91
0-1-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.76
1-1-0
2.87
1-0-1
3.18
0-2-0
2.65
2-0-0
2.47
0-1-1
1.23
0-0-2
1.28
0-0-2
1.46
 —
1-1-0
2.92
1-0-1
3.23
Panserraikos
1-0-1
1.00
0-0-2
1.76
2-0-0
2.37
0-0-2
2.42
2-0-0
2.55
2-0-0
3.01
0-1-1
2.31
0-0-2
2.32
0-0-2
1.11
0-0-2
1.23
0-1-1
1.18
0-1-1
2.59
 —
1-1-0
2.85
Volos
0-0-2
0.98
1-1-0
1.52
2-0-0
2.52
1-0-1
2.33
0-1-1
2.33
0-1-1
3.09
0-0-2
2.16
0-0-2
2.50
0-0-2
1.15
1-0-1
1.08
0-0-2
1.15
1-0-1
2.29
0-1-1
2.66
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.66 +10.2
Allowed 0.76 -11.2
Differential 0.90 +6.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.26%6.04%3.30%0.82%0.82%29.95%
111.26%11.54%10.44%1.65%1.10%—35.99%
26.04%10.44%3.85%2.20%0.82%—23.35%
33.30%1.65%2.20%———7.14%
40.82%1.10%0.82%———2.75%
5+0.82%—————0.82%
Total29.95%35.99%23.35%7.14%2.75%0.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.20 +0.00
SD 1.10 1.10 1.66
CV 0.92 0.92 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%15.38%————23.08%
111.54%11.54%——3.85%—26.92%
211.54%11.54%————23.08%
315.38%—————15.38%
43.85%—3.85%———7.69%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total53.85%38.46%3.85%—3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 0.62 +1.08
SD 1.41 0.90 1.81
CV 0.83 1.46 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%3.85%—3.85%—19.23%
115.38%15.38%11.54%—3.85%—46.15%
215.38%11.54%—3.85%——30.77%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total38.46%34.62%15.38%3.85%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.08 +0.12
SD 0.80 1.20 1.56
CV 0.67 1.11 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%7.69%——23.08%
119.23%15.38%23.08%———57.69%
23.85%7.69%————11.54%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.77%34.62%26.92%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.12 -0.08
SD 0.82 0.95 1.47
CV 0.79 0.85 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%——23.08%
111.54%15.38%23.08%———50.00%
2—11.54%————11.54%
37.69%—3.85%———11.54%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total23.08%34.62%38.46%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.23 +0.00
SD 1.07 0.86 1.47
CV 0.87 0.70 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%11.54%3.85%——38.46%
1—11.54%11.54%7.69%——30.77%
23.85%11.54%11.54%—3.85%—30.77%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%34.62%34.62%11.54%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.54 -0.62
SD 0.84 1.03 1.20
CV 0.92 0.67 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%19.23%15.38%11.54%—3.85%61.54%
17.69%7.69%11.54%———26.92%
2——3.85%—3.85%—7.69%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.23%30.77%30.77%11.54%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.54 1.69 -1.15
SD 0.81 1.52 1.74
CV 1.51 0.90 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%15.38%3.85%3.85%——34.62%
13.85%15.38%11.54%3.85%——34.62%
23.85%3.85%11.54%———19.23%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+———————
Total19.23%38.46%34.62%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.31 -0.15
SD 1.19 0.88 1.32
CV 1.03 0.68 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%3.85%7.69%—3.85%34.62%
1—11.54%7.69%———19.23%
23.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
33.85%7.69%11.54%———23.08%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total19.23%38.46%26.92%11.54%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.46 -0.04
SD 1.30 1.17 1.95
CV 0.91 0.80 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%————11.54%
115.38%11.54%3.85%———30.77%
215.38%19.23%3.85%———38.46%
37.69%—3.85%———11.54%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+———————
Total50.00%38.46%11.54%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 0.62 +1.12
SD 1.08 0.70 1.24
CV 0.62 1.13 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%————11.54%
17.69%3.85%23.08%———34.62%
211.54%11.54%3.85%3.85%——30.77%
33.85%—3.85%———7.69%
4—7.69%————7.69%
5+7.69%—————7.69%
Total38.46%26.92%30.77%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 1.00 +0.96
SD 1.61 0.94 2.03
CV 0.82 0.94 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%7.69%———19.23%
130.77%15.38%—3.85%——50.00%
23.85%11.54%7.69%———23.08%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total42.31%34.62%19.23%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 0.85 +0.35
SD 0.85 0.88 1.09
CV 0.71 1.04 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%19.23%15.38%———46.15%
115.38%11.54%7.69%———34.62%
27.69%7.69%————15.38%
33.85%—————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total38.46%38.46%23.08%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 0.85 -0.08
SD 0.86 0.78 1.35
CV 1.12 0.93 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%—3.85%3.85%3.85%30.77%
17.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%—23.08%
23.85%19.23%7.69%15.38%——46.15%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%38.46%11.54%23.08%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.81 -0.65
SD 0.88 1.39 1.70
CV 0.76 0.77 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%19.23%11.54%3.85%3.85%—42.31%
111.54%11.54%7.69%3.85%3.85%—38.46%
2—11.54%—3.85%3.85%—19.23%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%42.31%19.23%11.54%11.54%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.62 -0.85
SD 0.76 1.24 1.41
CV 0.99 0.76 —
Max 2 4 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Olympiacos Piraeus 1941 60 50.64 +9.36 95.0% 33 39 46 51 55 60 65
AEK Athens 1936 53 53.47 -0.47 54.0% 34 41 50 53 58 65 67
PAOK 1891 46 49.88 -3.88 28.0% 39 41 45 50 54 58 65
Panathinaikos 1865 50 49.33 +0.67 58.0% 29 37 46 49 54 59 65
Aris 1768 42 42.00 +0.00 55.0% 25 29 37 42 47 55 58
OFI Crete 1700 36 31.68 +4.32 77.0% 17 19 26 32 36 45 52
Levadiakos 1696 28 31.75 -3.75 28.0% 17 19 28 32 36 42 50
Atromitos 1684 35 31.78 +3.22 70.0% 19 22 27 31 36 41 49
Asteras Tripolis 1671 35 31.18 +3.82 77.0% 16 20 27 31 35 42 46
Panetolikos 1666 33 28.69 +4.31 77.0% 13 18 24 29 32 39 44
Kallithea 1635 21 29.86 -8.86 7.0% 14 20 26 29 34 40 43
Panserraikos 1625 28 26.70 +1.30 67.0% 14 19 23 26 30 36 44
Volos 1585 22 25.44 -3.44 34.0% 12 17 20 25 30 36 43
Lamia 1550 15 24.11 -9.11 4.0% 9 16 20 24 28 33 40

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 21% * Slight Edge: 21% to 30.5% * Clear Edge: 30.5% to 37.5% * Strong Edge: 37.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+3.30%
No Edge
40.11%23.08%36.81%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 11.46 Elo pts.
201 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.13 goals
Neutral
-2+0.06+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.5
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
25%
Olympiacos Piraeus, 2nd of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.27/gm
Runaway
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.08 * Some Luck: 5.08 to 7.62 * Lucky: 7.62 to 10.17 * Wild Swing: 10.17 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.56 * Close: 1.56 to 2.35 * Off: 2.35 to 3.13 * Way Off: 3.13 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.03 points
As Expected
06.3516
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.29
Pinpoint
01.964
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
95.00%
Olympiacos Piraeus
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
4.00%
Lamia
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.11 * Even: 0.11 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.55 * Moderate Separation: 1.55 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 67% * Slight Edge: 67% to 71.5% * Clear Edge: 71.5% to 76% * Wide Edge: 76% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 97% * Dominant: 97% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 60.5% * Some Drama: 60.5% to 63% * Frequent: 63% to 67% * Very Frequent: 67% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 13.5% * Occasional: 13.5% to 16.5% * Frequent: 16.5% to 18% * Very Frequent: 18% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.110.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 129.40
1.91
Moderate Separation
11.551.952.152.75
Interquartile Edge
76%
Clear Edge
50%67%76%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
90%
Even
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
71%
Very Frequent
0%63%100%
Blowouts
Expected
12%
Rare
0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.43 * Slight Separation: 0.43 to 0.48 * Notable Separation: 0.48 to 0.59 * Lopsided: 0.59 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.6 * Some Carryover: 0.6 to 0.72 * Strong Carryover: 0.72 to 0.8 * Near-Lock: 0.8 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 16.5% * Upset-Prone: 16.5% to 19% * Very Upset-Prone: 19% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 14% * Shaky Favorites: 14% to 15.5% * Very Shaky: 15.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.38
Very Even
00.430.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.68
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.77
Strong Carryover
00.60.721
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Very Shaky
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.46
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.01
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.103
Well Within Noise
00.1230.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Olympiacos Piraeus25.00%26.00%21.00%14.00%9.00%3.00%—1.00%1.00%—————
AEK Athens42.00%23.00%19.00%8.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%——————
Panathinaikos13.00%21.00%22.00%26.00%10.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%————
PAOK18.00%26.00%18.00%22.00%14.00%2.00%————————
Aris2.00%4.00%16.00%15.00%24.00%19.00%7.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%——
OFI Crete——1.00%2.00%11.00%10.00%14.00%14.00%8.00%11.00%6.00%12.00%7.00%4.00%
Atromitos——1.00%4.00%6.00%18.00%10.00%12.00%11.00%16.00%6.00%4.00%9.00%3.00%
Asteras Tripolis——1.00%3.00%6.00%11.00%10.00%9.00%17.00%9.00%14.00%8.00%7.00%5.00%
Panetolikos———2.00%2.00%5.00%13.00%10.00%13.00%9.00%14.00%12.00%11.00%9.00%
Levadiakos——1.00%1.00%7.00%15.00%19.00%11.00%15.00%9.00%6.00%3.00%7.00%6.00%
Panserraikos————1.00%2.00%9.00%8.00%9.00%9.00%16.00%16.00%15.00%15.00%
Volos———1.00%1.00%1.00%5.00%7.00%7.00%12.00%10.00%15.00%18.00%23.00%
Kallithea———2.00%4.00%10.00%8.00%16.00%7.00%15.00%14.00%12.00%7.00%5.00%
Lamia————1.00%—2.00%3.00%9.00%8.00%12.00%16.00%19.00%30.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Relegated
AEK Athens 100% —
Aris 100% —
Olympiacos Piraeus 100% —
PAOK 100% —
Panathinaikos 100% —
Atromitos 95.00% 5.00%
Asteras Tripolis 92.00% 8.00%
Levadiakos 89.00% 11.00%
OFI Crete 89.00% 11.00%
Kallithea 85.00% 15.00%
Panetolikos 80.00% 20.00%
Panserraikos 69.00% 31.00%
Volos 59.00% 41.00%
Lamia 42.00% 58.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Relegated
AEK Athens 100% —
Aris 100% —
Asteras Tripolis 100% —
Atromitos 100% —
OFI Crete 100% —
Olympiacos Piraeus 100% —
PAOK 100% —
Panathinaikos 100% —
Panetolikos 100% —
Levadiakos 99.48% 0.52%
Panserraikos 98.71% 1.29%
Volos 51.83% 48.17%
Kallithea 49.06% 50.94%
Lamia 0.92% 99.08%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2024-08-17 Olympiacos Piraeus L 0-248.5 1636 1877 14.61% 19.38% 66.02%-1.14 -4.9 0
2024-08-17 @ Volos W 2-048.5 1877 1636 66.02% 19.38% 14.61%+1.14 +4.9 3
2024-08-17 Panserraikos W 3-263.1 1881 1644 67.82% 18.67% 13.52%+1.23 +2.1 3
2024-08-17 @ PAOK L 2-363.1 1644 1881 13.52% 18.67% 67.82%-1.23 -2.1 0
2024-08-18 Aris D 1-173.5 1656 1773 24.72% 23.28% 52.00%-0.52 +0.9 1
2024-08-18 @ Atromitos D 1-173.5 1773 1656 52.00% 23.28% 24.72%+0.52 -0.9 1
2024-08-18 Asteras Tripolis L 0-167.6 1873 1640 67.38% 18.84% 13.78%+1.21 -9.9 0
2024-08-18 @ Panathinaikos W 1-067.6 1640 1873 13.78% 18.84% 67.38%-1.21 +9.9 3
2024-08-18 Kallithea D 0-067.5 1695 1698 39.02% 24.47% 36.51%+0.04 -0.1 1
2024-08-18 @ Levadiakos D 0-067.5 1698 1695 36.51% 24.47% 39.02%-0.04 +0.1 1
2024-08-18 OFI Crete W 3-046.6 1907 1674 67.42% 18.82% 13.75%+1.21 +6.7 3
2024-08-18 @ AEK Athens L 0-346.6 1674 1907 13.75% 18.82% 67.42%-1.21 -6.7 0
2024-08-19 Lamia L 0-159.9 1642 1616 43.07% 24.32% 32.62%+0.19 -6.8 0
2024-08-19 @ Panetolikos W 1-059.9 1616 1642 32.62% 24.32% 43.07%-0.19 +6.8 3
2024-08-24 Aris L 0-155.2 1642 1772 23.40% 22.97% 53.63%-0.59 -4.2 0
2024-08-24 @ Panserraikos W 1-055.2 1772 1642 53.63% 22.97% 23.40%+0.59 +4.2 4
2024-08-24 Atromitos D 1-172.4 1668 1657 40.87% 24.42% 34.71%+0.11 -0.2 1
2024-08-24 @ OFI Crete D 1-172.4 1657 1668 34.71% 24.42% 40.87%-0.11 +0.2 2
2024-08-24 Lamia D 1-176.0 1913 1623 72.69% 16.53% 10.77%+1.50 -2.2 4
2024-08-24 @ AEK Athens D 1-176.0 1623 1913 10.77% 16.53% 72.69%-1.50 +2.2 4
2024-08-25 Levadiakos W 1-053.6 1863 1695 60.72% 21.19% 18.09%+0.89 +3.2 3
2024-08-25 @ Panathinaikos L 0-153.6 1695 1863 18.09% 21.19% 60.72%-0.89 -3.2 1
2024-08-25 Panetolikos W 2-047.6 1883 1636 68.86% 18.24% 12.91%+1.29 +4.3 6
2024-08-25 @ PAOK L 0-247.6 1636 1883 12.91% 18.24% 68.86%-1.29 -4.3 0
2024-08-25 Volos L 0-160.0 1650 1631 42.15% 24.37% 33.48%+0.15 -6.7 3
2024-08-25 @ Asteras Tripolis W 1-060.0 1631 1650 33.48% 24.37% 42.15%-0.15 +6.7 3
2024-08-26 Kallithea W 2-159.7 1882 1698 62.49% 20.63% 16.88%+0.97 +2.9 6
2024-08-26 @ Olympiacos Piraeus L 1-259.7 1698 1882 16.88% 20.63% 62.49%-0.97 -2.9 1
2024-08-31 Asteras Tripolis D 1-173.8 1776 1644 56.72% 22.29% 20.99%+0.71 -1.2 5
2024-08-31 @ Aris D 1-173.8 1644 1776 20.99% 22.29% 56.72%-0.71 +1.2 4
2024-08-31 Olympiacos Piraeus L 0-346.4 1626 1885 13.54% 18.68% 67.78%-1.23 -6.5 4
2024-08-31 @ Lamia W 3-046.4 1885 1626 67.78% 18.68% 13.54%+1.23 +6.6 9
2024-08-31 Panserraikos W 3-053.2 1631 1638 38.44% 24.47% 37.09%+0.02 +16.7 3
2024-08-31 @ Panetolikos L 0-353.2 1638 1631 37.09% 24.47% 38.44%-0.02 -16.7 0
2024-09-01 AEK Athens L 0-347.8 1692 1911 16.01% 20.19% 63.80%-1.03 -7.9 1
2024-09-01 @ Levadiakos W 3-047.8 1911 1692 63.80% 20.19% 16.01%+1.03 +7.9 7
2024-09-01 OFI Crete L 1-361.1 1638 1667 35.19% 24.44% 40.37%-0.09 -9.6 3
2024-09-01 @ Volos W 3-161.1 1667 1638 40.37% 24.44% 35.19%+0.09 +9.6 4
2024-09-01 Panathinaikos D 2-280.8 1695 1866 19.65% 21.82% 58.53%-0.79 +1.0 2
2024-09-01 @ Kallithea D 2-280.8 1866 1695 58.53% 21.82% 19.65%+0.79 -1.0 4
2024-09-01 PAOK L 1-258.9 1657 1887 15.31% 19.79% 64.90%-1.09 -2.6 2
2024-09-01 @ Atromitos W 2-158.9 1887 1657 64.90% 19.79% 15.31%+1.09 +2.6 9
2024-09-14 Atromitos L 1-265.5 1645 1655 37.97% 24.47% 37.55%+0.01 -5.8 4
2024-09-14 @ Asteras Tripolis W 2-165.5 1655 1645 37.55% 24.47% 37.97%-0.01 +5.9 5
2024-09-14 Kallithea D 0-066.9 1619 1696 29.08% 24.00% 46.92%-0.33 +0.7 5
2024-09-14 @ Lamia D 0-066.9 1696 1619 46.92% 24.00% 29.08%+0.33 -0.7 3
2024-09-15 Aris W 3-275.1 1677 1775 26.72% 23.66% 49.63%-0.43 +6.9 7
2024-09-15 @ OFI Crete L 2-375.1 1775 1677 49.63% 23.66% 26.72%+0.43 -6.9 5
2024-09-15 Levadiakos D 2-278.6 1621 1684 30.86% 24.18% 44.96%-0.25 +0.3 1
2024-09-15 @ Panserraikos D 2-278.6 1684 1621 44.96% 24.18% 30.86%+0.25 -0.3 2
2024-09-15 Panathinaikos D 0-068.5 1890 1865 42.95% 24.32% 32.72%+0.18 -0.4 10
2024-09-15 @ PAOK D 0-068.5 1865 1890 32.72% 24.32% 42.95%-0.18 +0.4 5
2024-09-15 Panetolikos D 0-070.0 1891 1648 68.45% 18.41% 13.14%+1.27 -2.2 10
2024-09-15 @ Olympiacos Piraeus D 0-070.0 1648 1891 13.14% 18.41% 68.45%-1.27 +2.2 4
2024-09-16 Volos W 2-046.5 1919 1628 72.77% 16.50% 10.73%+1.50 +3.5 10
2024-09-16 @ AEK Athens L 0-246.5 1628 1919 10.73% 16.50% 72.77%-1.50 -3.5 3
2024-09-21 Asteras Tripolis D 1-171.9 1650 1639 41.00% 24.42% 34.58%+0.11 -0.2 5
2024-09-21 @ Panetolikos D 1-171.9 1639 1650 34.58% 24.42% 41.00%-0.11 +0.2 5
2024-09-21 Olympiacos Piraeus W 2-171.3 1768 1889 24.20% 23.16% 52.64%-0.55 +7.6 8
2024-09-21 @ Aris L 1-271.3 1889 1768 52.64% 23.16% 24.20%+0.55 -7.6 10
2024-09-21 PAOK L 1-451.3 1625 1890 13.21% 18.45% 68.34%-1.26 -5.4 3
2024-09-21 @ Volos W 4-151.3 1890 1625 68.34% 18.45% 13.21%+1.26 +5.4 13
2024-09-22 AEK Athens D 0-069.7 1695 1922 15.50% 19.90% 64.60%-1.07 +2.0 4
2024-09-22 @ Kallithea D 0-069.7 1922 1695 64.60% 19.90% 15.50%+1.07 -2.0 11
2024-09-22 Lamia W 4-262.8 1661 1620 45.14% 24.17% 30.69%+0.26 +7.7 8
2024-09-22 @ Atromitos L 2-462.8 1620 1661 30.69% 24.17% 45.14%-0.26 -7.7 5
2024-09-22 OFI Crete D 1-172.8 1684 1684 39.39% 24.46% 36.15%+0.06 -0.1 3
2024-09-22 @ Levadiakos D 1-172.8 1684 1684 36.15% 24.46% 39.39%-0.06 +0.1 8
2024-09-22 Panserraikos W 3-154.0 1865 1622 68.47% 18.40% 13.13%+1.27 +3.8 8
2024-09-22 @ Panathinaikos L 1-354.0 1622 1865 13.13% 18.40% 68.47%-1.27 -3.8 1
2024-09-28 Kallithea D 1-172.4 1619 1697 28.95% 23.98% 47.07%-0.33 +0.6 4
2024-09-28 @ Volos D 1-172.4 1697 1619 47.07% 23.98% 28.95%+0.33 -0.6 5
2024-09-28 Levadiakos D 1-172.4 1639 1684 33.21% 24.35% 42.43%-0.16 +0.3 6
2024-09-28 @ Asteras Tripolis D 1-172.4 1684 1639 42.43% 24.35% 33.21%+0.16 -0.3 4
2024-09-29 Aris L 0-165.4 1895 1775 55.24% 22.63% 22.12%+0.65 -8.4 13
2024-09-29 @ PAOK W 1-065.4 1775 1895 22.12% 22.63% 55.24%-0.65 +8.4 11
2024-09-29 Atromitos W 2-048.7 1881 1668 65.50% 19.57% 14.93%+1.12 +5.0 13
2024-09-29 @ Olympiacos Piraeus L 0-248.7 1668 1881 14.93% 19.57% 65.50%-1.12 -5.0 8
2024-09-29 Panathinaikos W 2-054.7 1921 1869 46.56% 24.03% 29.40%+0.31 +9.6 14
2024-09-29 @ AEK Athens L 0-254.7 1869 1921 29.40% 24.03% 46.56%-0.31 -9.6 8
2024-09-29 Panetolikos L 1-267.7 1684 1650 44.15% 24.25% 31.60%+0.23 -6.6 8
2024-09-29 @ OFI Crete W 2-167.7 1650 1684 31.60% 24.25% 44.15%-0.23 +6.6 8
2024-09-30 Panserraikos L 1-264.6 1612 1618 38.55% 24.47% 36.97%+0.03 -5.9 5
2024-09-30 @ Lamia W 2-164.6 1618 1612 36.97% 24.47% 38.55%-0.03 +5.9 4
2024-10-05 AEK Athens W 1-068.1 1657 1930 12.74% 18.12% 69.14%-1.30 +10.1 11
2024-10-05 @ Panetolikos L 0-168.1 1930 1657 69.14% 18.12% 12.74%+1.30 -10.1 14
2024-10-05 Lamia W 2-049.1 1784 1606 61.81% 20.85% 17.34%+0.94 +5.9 14
2024-10-05 @ Aris L 0-249.1 1606 1784 17.34% 20.85% 61.81%-0.94 -5.9 5
2024-10-05 Volos L 1-267.4 1663 1620 45.48% 24.14% 30.38%+0.27 -6.7 8
2024-10-05 @ Atromitos W 2-167.4 1620 1663 30.38% 24.14% 45.48%-0.27 +6.7 7
2024-10-06 Asteras Tripolis L 1-365.0 1697 1640 47.34% 23.95% 28.71%+0.34 -12.1 5
2024-10-06 @ Kallithea W 3-165.0 1640 1697 28.71% 23.95% 47.34%-0.34 +12.1 9
2024-10-06 OFI Crete L 2-368.8 1624 1677 32.03% 24.28% 43.69%-0.21 -4.9 4
2024-10-06 @ Panserraikos W 3-268.8 1677 1624 43.69% 24.28% 32.03%+0.21 +4.9 11
2024-10-06 Olympiacos Piraeus D 0-068.5 1859 1886 35.57% 24.45% 39.99%-0.08 +0.2 9
2024-10-06 @ Panathinaikos D 0-068.5 1886 1859 39.99% 24.45% 35.57%+0.08 -0.2 14
2024-10-06 PAOK L 0-249.8 1683 1887 17.13% 20.75% 62.12%-0.95 -5.8 4
2024-10-06 @ Levadiakos W 2-049.8 1887 1683 62.12% 20.75% 17.13%+0.95 +5.8 16
2024-10-19 Asteras Tripolis D 0-065.9 1600 1652 32.30% 24.30% 43.41%-0.20 +0.4 6
2024-10-19 @ Lamia D 0-065.9 1652 1600 43.41% 24.30% 32.30%+0.20 -0.4 10
2024-10-19 Panetolikos L 0-255.8 1657 1667 37.95% 24.47% 37.57%+0.01 -11.7 8
2024-10-19 @ Atromitos W 2-055.8 1667 1657 37.57% 24.47% 37.95%-0.01 +11.7 14
2024-10-19 Panserraikos L 0-158.9 1627 1619 40.48% 24.43% 35.09%+0.09 -6.5 7
2024-10-19 @ Volos W 1-058.9 1619 1627 35.09% 24.43% 40.48%-0.09 +6.5 7
2024-10-20 Kallithea W 2-052.1 1790 1685 53.43% 23.01% 23.56%+0.58 +7.9 17
2024-10-20 @ Aris L 0-252.1 1685 1790 23.56% 23.01% 53.43%-0.58 -7.9 5
2024-10-20 Levadiakos D 2-281.5 1886 1677 65.08% 19.73% 15.20%+1.10 -1.3 15
2024-10-20 @ Olympiacos Piraeus D 2-281.5 1677 1886 15.20% 19.73% 65.08%-1.10 +1.3 5
2024-10-20 Panathinaikos L 0-154.0 1682 1860 19.10% 21.61% 59.28%-0.83 -3.4 11
2024-10-20 @ OFI Crete W 1-054.0 1860 1682 59.28% 21.61% 19.10%+0.83 +3.4 12
2024-10-20 PAOK D 1-174.0 1920 1892 43.29% 24.30% 32.41%+0.19 -0.4 15
2024-10-20 @ AEK Athens D 1-174.0 1892 1920 32.41% 24.30% 43.29%-0.19 +0.4 17
2024-10-26 AEK Athens W 1-068.3 1626 1920 11.68% 17.29% 71.03%-1.41 +10.3 10
2024-10-26 @ Panserraikos L 0-168.3 1920 1626 71.03% 17.29% 11.68%+1.41 -10.3 15
2024-10-26 Lamia D 2-278.4 1679 1601 50.07% 23.59% 26.34%+0.45 -0.6 6
2024-10-26 @ Levadiakos D 2-278.4 1601 1679 26.34% 23.59% 50.07%-0.45 +0.6 7
2024-10-26 Volos L 0-161.7 1678 1620 47.48% 23.93% 28.58%+0.35 -7.4 14
2024-10-26 @ Panetolikos W 1-061.7 1620 1678 28.58% 23.93% 47.48%-0.35 +7.4 10
2024-10-27 Aris D 1-174.0 1863 1797 48.44% 23.82% 27.75%+0.38 -0.7 13
2024-10-27 @ Panathinaikos D 1-174.0 1797 1863 27.75% 23.82% 48.44%-0.38 +0.7 18
2024-10-27 Atromitos L 0-355.9 1677 1645 43.89% 24.26% 31.84%+0.22 -19.0 5
2024-10-27 @ Kallithea W 3-055.9 1645 1677 31.84% 24.26% 43.89%-0.22 +19.0 11
2024-10-27 OFI Crete L 1-274.0 1893 1679 65.60% 19.53% 14.87%+1.12 -9.2 17
2024-10-27 @ PAOK W 2-174.0 1679 1893 14.87% 19.53% 65.60%-1.12 +9.1 14
2024-10-27 Olympiacos Piraeus W 1-067.3 1651 1885 15.07% 19.65% 65.28%-1.11 +9.7 13
2024-10-27 @ Asteras Tripolis L 0-167.3 1885 1651 65.28% 19.65% 15.07%+1.11 -9.7 15
2024-11-02 Panetolikos D 1-172.4 1658 1671 37.51% 24.47% 38.01%-0.01 +0.0 6
2024-11-02 @ Kallithea D 1-172.4 1671 1658 38.01% 24.47% 37.51%+0.01 -0.0 15
2024-11-02 Panserraikos W 2-157.8 1875 1636 68.09% 18.56% 13.36%+1.25 +2.2 18
2024-11-02 @ Olympiacos Piraeus L 1-257.8 1636 1875 13.36% 18.56% 68.09%-1.25 -2.2 10
2024-11-03 AEK Athens L 0-152.0 1664 1909 14.35% 19.21% 66.43%-1.16 -2.6 11
2024-11-03 @ Atromitos W 1-052.0 1909 1664 66.43% 19.21% 14.35%+1.16 +2.5 18
2024-11-03 Levadiakos W 3-157.9 1798 1678 55.27% 22.63% 22.10%+0.65 +6.5 21
2024-11-03 @ Aris L 1-357.9 1678 1798 22.10% 22.63% 55.27%-0.65 -6.5 6
2024-11-03 Panathinaikos L 0-152.0 1627 1862 15.00% 19.61% 65.39%-1.11 -2.7 10
2024-11-03 @ Volos W 1-052.0 1862 1627 65.39% 19.61% 15.00%+1.11 +2.7 16
2024-11-03 PAOK L 1-257.2 1601 1884 12.27% 17.76% 69.96%-1.35 -2.0 7
2024-11-03 @ Lamia W 2-157.2 1884 1601 69.96% 17.76% 12.27%+1.35 +2.0 20
2024-11-04 OFI Crete W 3-055.1 1661 1688 35.56% 24.45% 39.99%-0.08 +17.7 16
2024-11-04 @ Asteras Tripolis L 0-355.1 1688 1661 39.99% 24.45% 35.56%+0.08 -17.7 14
2024-11-09 Aris W 2-171.2 1671 1805 22.99% 22.87% 54.14%-0.61 +7.8 18
2024-11-09 @ Panetolikos L 1-271.2 1805 1671 54.14% 22.87% 22.99%+0.61 -7.8 21
2024-11-09 Asteras Tripolis W 3-046.6 1912 1678 67.50% 18.79% 13.71%+1.22 +6.6 21
2024-11-09 @ AEK Athens L 0-346.6 1678 1912 13.71% 18.79% 67.50%-1.22 -6.7 16
2024-11-09 Atromitos L 2-369.8 1634 1661 35.46% 24.45% 40.09%-0.08 -5.3 10
2024-11-09 @ Panserraikos W 3-269.8 1661 1634 40.09% 24.45% 35.46%+0.08 +5.3 14
2024-11-10 Kallithea D 2-278.8 1670 1658 41.16% 24.41% 34.43%+0.12 -0.2 15
2024-11-10 @ OFI Crete D 2-278.8 1658 1670 34.43% 24.41% 41.16%-0.12 +0.2 7
2024-11-10 Lamia W 1-050.4 1865 1599 70.54% 17.51% 11.95%+1.38 +2.1 19
2024-11-10 @ Panathinaikos L 0-150.4 1599 1865 11.95% 17.51% 70.54%-1.38 -2.1 7
2024-11-10 Olympiacos Piraeus L 2-373.2 1886 1877 40.56% 24.43% 35.01%+0.10 -5.8 20
2024-11-10 @ PAOK W 3-273.2 1877 1886 35.01% 24.43% 40.56%-0.10 +5.8 21
2024-11-10 Volos W 3-268.1 1672 1625 45.95% 24.09% 29.96%+0.29 +4.6 9
2024-11-10 @ Levadiakos L 2-368.1 1625 1672 29.96% 24.09% 45.95%-0.29 -4.6 10
2024-11-22 Panserraikos L 1-267.0 1658 1628 43.58% 24.29% 32.14%+0.20 -6.5 7
2024-11-22 @ Kallithea W 2-167.0 1628 1658 32.14% 24.29% 43.58%-0.20 +6.5 13
2024-11-23 OFI Crete D 1-171.7 1597 1670 29.59% 24.05% 46.35%-0.31 +0.6 8
2024-11-23 @ Lamia D 1-171.7 1670 1597 46.35% 24.05% 29.59%+0.31 -0.6 16
2024-11-23 Volos L 0-166.1 1797 1620 61.71% 20.88% 17.41%+0.94 -9.2 21
2024-11-23 @ Aris W 1-066.1 1620 1797 17.41% 20.88% 61.71%-0.94 +9.2 13
2024-11-24 AEK Athens W 4-161.8 1883 1918 34.45% 24.41% 41.14%-0.12 +15.2 24
2024-11-24 @ Olympiacos Piraeus L 1-461.8 1918 1883 41.14% 24.41% 34.45%+0.12 -15.2 21
2024-11-24 Panathinaikos L 1-260.2 1679 1867 18.25% 21.26% 60.48%-0.88 -3.1 18
2024-11-24 @ Panetolikos W 2-160.2 1867 1679 60.48% 21.26% 18.25%+0.88 +3.1 22
2024-11-24 PAOK L 1-259.6 1672 1880 16.80% 20.59% 62.61%-0.98 -2.8 16
2024-11-24 @ Asteras Tripolis W 2-159.6 1880 1672 62.61% 20.59% 16.80%+0.98 +2.9 23
2024-11-25 Levadiakos W 2-165.9 1667 1676 38.02% 24.47% 37.51%+0.01 +5.8 17
2024-11-25 @ Atromitos L 1-265.9 1676 1667 37.51% 24.47% 38.02%-0.01 -5.8 9
2024-11-30 Aris W 4-050.8 1903 1788 54.76% 22.74% 22.50%+0.63 +14.4 24
2024-11-30 @ AEK Athens L 0-450.8 1788 1903 22.50% 22.74% 54.76%-0.63 -14.3 21
2024-11-30 Lamia D 0-065.5 1629 1598 43.86% 24.27% 31.87%+0.21 -0.5 14
2024-11-30 @ Volos D 0-065.5 1598 1629 31.87% 24.27% 43.86%-0.21 +0.4 9
2024-11-30 Panetolikos D 1-172.6 1671 1676 38.66% 24.47% 36.86%+0.03 -0.1 10
2024-11-30 @ Levadiakos D 1-172.6 1676 1671 36.86% 24.47% 38.66%-0.03 +0.1 19
2024-12-01 Asteras Tripolis W 2-166.5 1635 1669 34.58% 24.42% 41.00%-0.11 +6.2 16
2024-12-01 @ Panserraikos L 1-266.5 1669 1635 41.00% 24.42% 34.58%+0.11 -6.2 16
2024-12-01 Atromitos D 1-174.9 1870 1672 63.94% 20.14% 15.92%+1.04 -1.7 23
2024-12-01 @ Panathinaikos D 1-174.9 1672 1870 15.92% 20.14% 63.94%-1.04 +1.7 18
2024-12-01 Kallithea D 2-281.7 1883 1652 67.29% 18.88% 13.83%+1.21 -1.4 24
2024-12-01 @ PAOK D 2-281.7 1652 1883 13.83% 18.88% 67.29%-1.21 +1.4 8
2024-12-01 Olympiacos Piraeus L 0-249.0 1669 1899 15.37% 19.83% 64.81%-1.08 -5.2 16
2024-12-01 @ OFI Crete W 2-049.0 1899 1669 64.81% 19.83% 15.37%+1.08 +5.2 27
2024-12-07 Atromitos W 2-162.2 1773 1674 52.71% 23.15% 24.14%+0.55 +4.0 24
2024-12-07 @ Aris L 1-262.2 1674 1773 24.14% 23.15% 52.71%-0.55 -4.0 18
2024-12-07 Volos W 3-045.4 1904 1629 71.35% 17.15% 11.50%+1.42 +5.5 30
2024-12-07 @ Olympiacos Piraeus L 0-345.4 1629 1904 11.50% 17.15% 71.35%-1.42 -5.5 14
2024-12-08 AEK Athens L 1-258.3 1664 1918 13.88% 18.91% 67.22%-1.20 -2.3 16
2024-12-08 @ OFI Crete W 2-158.3 1918 1664 67.22% 18.91% 13.88%+1.20 +2.3 27
2024-12-08 Panathinaikos L 0-153.1 1663 1868 16.96% 20.67% 62.36%-0.97 -3.0 16
2024-12-08 @ Asteras Tripolis W 1-053.1 1868 1663 62.36% 20.67% 16.96%+0.97 +3.0 26
2024-12-08 Panetolikos L 0-155.8 1598 1676 29.02% 23.99% 46.99%-0.33 -5.0 9
2024-12-08 @ Lamia W 1-055.8 1676 1598 46.99% 23.99% 29.02%+0.33 +5.0 22
2024-12-08 PAOK L 1-452.1 1641 1881 14.67% 19.41% 65.92%-1.14 -6.0 16
2024-12-08 @ Panserraikos W 4-152.1 1881 1641 65.92% 19.41% 14.67%+1.14 +6.0 27
2024-12-09 Levadiakos L 2-465.3 1653 1670 36.89% 24.47% 38.64%-0.03 -8.9 8
2024-12-09 @ Kallithea W 4-265.3 1670 1653 38.64% 24.47% 36.89%+0.03 +8.9 13
2024-12-14 AEK Athens L 0-149.6 1593 1920 10.15% 15.97% 73.87%-1.57 -1.7 9
2024-12-14 @ Lamia W 1-049.6 1920 1593 73.87% 15.97% 10.15%+1.57 +1.7 30
2024-12-14 Asteras Tripolis W 2-166.3 1623 1660 34.29% 24.41% 41.30%-0.12 +6.2 17
2024-12-14 @ Volos L 1-266.3 1660 1623 41.30% 24.41% 34.29%+0.12 -6.2 16
2024-12-14 OFI Crete D 0-067.0 1670 1662 40.57% 24.43% 35.00%+0.10 -0.2 19
2024-12-14 @ Atromitos D 0-067.0 1662 1670 35.00% 24.43% 40.57%-0.10 +0.2 17
2024-12-15 Panathinaikos L 0-153.6 1679 1872 17.96% 21.13% 60.91%-0.90 -3.2 13
2024-12-15 @ Levadiakos W 1-053.6 1872 1679 60.91% 21.13% 17.96%+0.90 +3.2 29
2024-12-15 Panserraikos W 1-053.9 1777 1635 57.88% 22.00% 20.13%+0.76 +3.6 27
2024-12-15 @ Aris L 0-153.9 1635 1777 20.13% 22.00% 57.88%-0.76 -3.6 16
2024-12-15 PAOK L 0-153.1 1681 1887 16.91% 20.64% 62.45%-0.97 -3.0 22
2024-12-15 @ Panetolikos W 1-053.1 1887 1681 62.45% 20.64% 16.91%+0.97 +3.0 30
2024-12-16 Olympiacos Piraeus D 1-175.4 1644 1909 13.20% 18.45% 68.35%-1.26 +2.0 9
2024-12-16 @ Kallithea D 1-175.4 1909 1644 68.35% 18.45% 13.20%+1.26 -2.0 31
2024-12-21 Lamia W 1-049.2 1907 1591 74.87% 15.49% 9.64%+1.63 +1.6 34
2024-12-21 @ Olympiacos Piraeus L 0-149.2 1591 1907 9.64% 15.49% 74.87%-1.63 -1.6 9
2024-12-22 Atromitos W 3-047.0 1890 1670 66.23% 19.29% 14.48%+1.15 +7.0 33
2024-12-22 @ PAOK L 0-347.0 1670 1890 14.48% 19.29% 66.23%-1.15 -7.0 19
2024-12-22 Kallithea W 1-051.6 1875 1646 67.05% 18.97% 13.98%+1.19 +2.5 32
2024-12-22 @ Panathinaikos L 0-151.6 1646 1875 13.98% 18.97% 67.05%-1.19 -2.5 9
2024-12-22 Levadiakos D 1-175.6 1922 1676 68.67% 18.32% 13.02%+1.28 -2.0 31
2024-12-22 @ AEK Athens D 1-175.6 1676 1922 13.02% 18.32% 68.67%-1.28 +2.0 14
2024-12-22 Panetolikos D 0-066.8 1631 1678 32.95% 24.34% 42.71%-0.17 +0.4 17
2024-12-22 @ Panserraikos D 0-066.8 1678 1631 42.71% 24.34% 32.95%+0.17 -0.4 23
2024-12-23 Aris W 2-170.9 1654 1781 23.60% 23.02% 53.38%-0.58 +7.7 19
2024-12-23 @ Asteras Tripolis L 1-270.9 1781 1654 53.38% 23.02% 23.60%+0.58 -7.7 27
2024-12-23 Volos W 4-052.1 1662 1630 43.96% 24.26% 31.78%+0.22 +19.3 20
2024-12-23 @ OFI Crete L 0-452.1 1630 1662 31.78% 24.26% 43.96%-0.22 -19.3 17
2025-01-04 Lamia W 2-161.7 1644 1590 46.87% 24.00% 29.13%+0.32 +4.8 12
2025-01-04 @ Kallithea L 1-261.7 1590 1644 29.13% 24.00% 46.87%-0.32 -4.8 9
2025-01-05 AEK Athens L 2-456.4 1610 1920 10.95% 16.68% 72.37%-1.48 -2.8 17
2025-01-05 @ Volos W 4-256.4 1920 1610 72.37% 16.68% 10.95%+1.48 +2.8 34
2025-01-05 Asteras Tripolis L 0-159.8 1663 1661 39.64% 24.46% 35.90%+0.07 -6.4 19
2025-01-05 @ Atromitos W 1-059.8 1661 1663 35.90% 24.46% 39.64%-0.07 +6.4 22
2025-01-05 OFI Crete L 0-260.6 1773 1681 51.79% 23.31% 24.89%+0.51 -15.0 27
2025-01-05 @ Aris W 2-060.6 1681 1773 24.89% 23.31% 51.79%-0.51 +15.0 23
2025-01-05 Panserraikos W 1-056.6 1678 1632 45.86% 24.10% 30.03%+0.29 +5.2 17
2025-01-05 @ Levadiakos L 0-156.6 1632 1678 30.03% 24.10% 45.86%-0.29 -5.2 17
2025-01-05 PAOK W 2-167.7 1877 1897 36.53% 24.47% 39.00%-0.04 +6.0 35
2025-01-05 @ Panathinaikos L 1-267.7 1897 1877 39.00% 24.47% 36.53%+0.04 -6.0 33
2025-01-06 Olympiacos Piraeus L 0-248.9 1677 1909 15.22% 19.74% 65.05%-1.09 -5.1 23
2025-01-06 @ Panetolikos W 2-048.9 1909 1677 65.05% 19.74% 15.22%+1.09 +5.1 37
2025-01-11 Aris W 2-160.7 1914 1758 59.43% 21.57% 19.00%+0.83 +3.2 40
2025-01-11 @ Olympiacos Piraeus L 1-260.7 1758 1914 19.00% 21.57% 59.43%-0.83 -3.2 27
2025-01-12 Atromitos L 0-350.5 1585 1656 29.76% 24.07% 46.16%-0.30 -14.0 9
2025-01-12 @ Lamia W 3-050.5 1656 1585 46.16% 24.07% 29.76%+0.30 +14.0 22
2025-01-12 Kallithea W 2-047.0 1922 1648 71.29% 17.18% 11.53%+1.42 +3.8 37
2025-01-12 @ AEK Athens L 0-247.0 1648 1922 11.53% 17.18% 71.29%-1.42 -3.8 12
2025-01-12 Panathinaikos D 2-281.6 1627 1883 13.69% 18.78% 67.53%-1.22 +1.5 18
2025-01-12 @ Panserraikos D 2-281.6 1883 1627 67.53% 18.78% 13.69%+1.22 -1.4 36
2025-01-12 Volos L 1-274.9 1891 1608 72.14% 16.79% 11.07%+1.47 -9.8 33
2025-01-12 @ PAOK W 2-174.9 1608 1891 11.07% 16.79% 72.14%-1.47 +9.8 20
2025-01-13 Levadiakos D 0-067.4 1696 1683 41.28% 24.41% 34.31%+0.12 -0.3 24
2025-01-13 @ OFI Crete D 0-067.4 1683 1696 34.31% 24.41% 41.28%-0.12 +0.2 18
2025-01-13 Panetolikos W 2-055.6 1668 1672 38.74% 24.47% 36.79%+0.03 +11.4 25
2025-01-13 @ Asteras Tripolis L 0-255.6 1672 1668 36.79% 24.47% 38.74%-0.03 -11.4 23
2025-01-18 Volos W 2-053.3 1645 1617 43.22% 24.31% 32.47%+0.19 +10.4 15
2025-01-18 @ Kallithea L 0-253.3 1617 1645 32.47% 24.31% 43.22%-0.19 -10.4 20
2025-01-19 AEK Athens W 1-062.2 1882 1926 33.20% 24.35% 42.44%-0.16 +6.8 39
2025-01-19 @ Panathinaikos L 0-162.2 1926 1882 42.44% 24.35% 33.20%+0.16 -6.8 37
2025-01-19 Asteras Tripolis L 1-266.8 1684 1679 40.04% 24.45% 35.51%+0.08 -6.1 18
2025-01-19 @ Levadiakos W 2-166.8 1679 1684 35.51% 24.45% 40.04%-0.08 +6.1 28
2025-01-19 OFI Crete W 1-060.6 1661 1696 34.41% 24.41% 41.18%-0.12 +6.6 26
2025-01-19 @ Panetolikos L 0-160.6 1696 1661 41.18% 24.41% 34.41%+0.12 -6.6 24
2025-01-19 Olympiacos Piraeus L 1-258.5 1670 1917 14.27% 19.16% 66.57%-1.17 -2.4 22
2025-01-19 @ Atromitos W 2-158.5 1917 1670 66.57% 19.16% 14.27%+1.17 +2.4 43
2025-01-19 PAOK D 0-068.8 1755 1881 23.67% 23.04% 53.29%-0.57 +1.1 28
2025-01-19 @ Aris D 0-068.8 1881 1755 53.29% 23.04% 23.67%+0.57 -1.1 34
2025-01-20 Lamia W 2-050.8 1628 1571 47.31% 23.95% 28.74%+0.34 +9.4 21
2025-01-20 @ Panserraikos L 0-250.8 1571 1628 28.74% 23.95% 47.31%-0.34 -9.4 9
2025-01-24 Atromitos L 0-156.5 1607 1668 31.06% 24.20% 44.74%-0.25 -5.3 20
2025-01-24 @ Volos W 1-056.5 1668 1607 44.74% 24.20% 31.06%+0.25 +5.3 25
2025-01-25 Kallithea W 1-057.6 1685 1655 43.66% 24.28% 32.06%+0.21 +5.4 31
2025-01-25 @ Asteras Tripolis L 0-157.6 1655 1685 32.06% 24.28% 43.66%-0.21 -5.4 15
2025-01-25 Panetolikos W 1-051.1 1919 1667 69.27% 18.06% 12.67%+1.31 +2.2 40
2025-01-25 @ AEK Athens L 0-151.1 1667 1919 12.67% 18.06% 69.27%-1.31 -2.2 26
2025-01-25 Panserraikos W 3-268.2 1690 1637 46.65% 24.02% 29.32%+0.32 +4.5 27
2025-01-25 @ OFI Crete L 2-368.2 1637 1690 29.32% 24.02% 46.65%-0.32 -4.5 21
2025-01-26 Aris L 0-248.6 1562 1756 17.78% 21.06% 61.16%-0.91 -6.0 9
2025-01-26 @ Lamia W 2-048.6 1756 1562 61.16% 21.06% 17.78%+0.91 +6.0 31
2025-01-26 Levadiakos W 1-052.5 1880 1677 64.47% 19.95% 15.58%+1.07 +2.8 37
2025-01-26 @ PAOK L 0-152.5 1677 1880 15.58% 19.95% 64.47%-1.07 -2.8 18
2025-01-26 Panathinaikos D 1-174.0 1920 1888 43.78% 24.27% 31.95%+0.21 -0.4 44
2025-01-26 @ Olympiacos Piraeus D 1-174.0 1888 1920 31.95% 24.27% 43.78%-0.21 +0.4 40
2025-02-01 OFI Crete W 3-264.5 1889 1694 63.63% 20.25% 16.13%+1.03 +2.6 43
2025-02-01 @ Panathinaikos L 2-364.5 1694 1889 16.13% 20.25% 63.63%-1.03 -2.6 27
2025-02-01 Volos D 1-171.1 1633 1602 43.78% 24.27% 31.95%+0.21 -0.4 22
2025-02-01 @ Panserraikos D 1-171.1 1602 1633 31.95% 24.27% 43.78%-0.21 +0.4 21
2025-02-02 AEK Athens L 1-266.2 1883 1922 34.00% 24.39% 41.61%-0.13 -5.4 37
2025-02-02 @ PAOK W 2-166.2 1922 1883 41.61% 24.39% 34.00%+0.13 +5.4 43
2025-02-02 Aris L 0-155.8 1649 1762 25.10% 23.36% 51.54%-0.50 -4.4 15
2025-02-02 @ Kallithea W 1-055.8 1762 1649 51.54% 23.36% 25.10%+0.50 +4.4 34
2025-02-02 Atromitos L 0-159.5 1665 1673 38.23% 24.47% 37.29%+0.02 -6.2 26
2025-02-02 @ Panetolikos W 1-059.5 1673 1665 37.29% 24.47% 38.23%-0.02 +6.2 28
2025-02-02 Olympiacos Piraeus L 0-152.0 1675 1919 14.40% 19.25% 66.36%-1.16 -2.6 18
2025-02-02 @ Levadiakos W 1-052.0 1919 1675 66.36% 19.25% 14.40%+1.16 +2.6 47
2025-02-03 Lamia W 1-052.3 1691 1556 57.05% 22.21% 20.74%+0.73 +3.7 34
2025-02-03 @ Asteras Tripolis L 0-152.3 1556 1691 20.74% 22.21% 57.05%-0.73 -3.7 9
2025-02-08 Panetolikos L 0-156.4 1602 1659 31.60% 24.24% 44.16%-0.23 -5.4 21
2025-02-08 @ Volos W 1-056.4 1659 1602 44.16% 24.24% 31.60%+0.23 +5.4 29
2025-02-08 PAOK L 0-549.8 1692 1878 18.41% 21.33% 60.25%-0.87 -14.6 27
2025-02-08 @ OFI Crete W 5-049.8 1878 1692 60.25% 21.33% 18.41%+0.87 +14.6 40
2025-02-09 Asteras Tripolis D 1-175.4 1922 1694 66.93% 19.02% 14.05%+1.19 -1.9 48
2025-02-09 @ Olympiacos Piraeus D 1-175.4 1694 1922 14.05% 19.02% 66.93%-1.19 +1.9 35
2025-02-09 Panathinaikos W 2-061.4 1766 1891 23.83% 23.08% 53.09%-0.56 +15.3 37
2025-02-09 @ Aris L 0-261.4 1891 1766 53.09% 23.08% 23.83%+0.56 -15.3 43
2025-02-09 Panserraikos W 5-045.9 1927 1633 73.07% 16.35% 10.57%+1.52 +8.0 46
2025-02-09 @ AEK Athens L 0-545.9 1633 1927 10.57% 16.35% 73.07%-1.52 -8.0 22
2025-02-10 Kallithea L 1-267.6 1680 1645 44.26% 24.24% 31.50%+0.23 -6.6 28
2025-02-10 @ Atromitos W 2-167.6 1645 1680 31.50% 24.24% 44.26%-0.23 +6.6 18
2025-02-10 Levadiakos L 0-249.8 1552 1672 24.31% 23.19% 52.50%-0.54 -8.1 9
2025-02-10 @ Lamia W 2-049.8 1672 1552 52.50% 23.19% 24.31%+0.54 +8.1 21
2025-02-15 Asteras Tripolis W 2-166.5 1677 1696 36.66% 24.47% 38.88%-0.04 +6.0 30
2025-02-15 @ OFI Crete L 1-266.5 1696 1677 38.88% 24.47% 36.66%+0.04 -6.0 35
2025-02-15 Atromitos W 2-157.4 1935 1673 70.19% 17.66% 12.14%+1.36 +2.0 49
2025-02-15 @ AEK Athens L 1-257.4 1673 1935 12.14% 17.66% 70.19%-1.36 -2.0 28
2025-02-16 Aris W 4-163.7 1680 1782 26.28% 23.58% 50.14%-0.45 +17.9 24
2025-02-16 @ Levadiakos L 1-463.7 1782 1680 50.14% 23.58% 26.28%+0.45 -17.9 37
2025-02-16 Kallithea W 2-054.6 1664 1652 41.21% 24.41% 34.38%+0.12 +10.8 32
2025-02-16 @ Panetolikos L 0-254.6 1652 1664 34.38% 24.41% 41.21%-0.12 -10.8 18
2025-02-16 Lamia W 7-045.4 1892 1544 77.46% 14.18% 8.36%+1.79 +8.4 43
2025-02-16 @ PAOK L 0-745.4 1544 1892 8.36% 14.18% 77.46%-1.79 -8.4 9
2025-02-16 Olympiacos Piraeus L 0-445.6 1625 1920 11.62% 17.25% 71.14%-1.41 -7.2 22
2025-02-16 @ Panserraikos W 4-045.6 1920 1625 71.14% 17.25% 11.62%+1.41 +7.2 51
2025-02-16 Volos W 2-156.6 1876 1597 71.75% 16.97% 11.28%+1.45 +1.8 46
2025-02-16 @ Panathinaikos L 1-256.6 1597 1876 11.28% 16.97% 71.75%-1.45 -1.8 21
2025-02-22 Levadiakos L 1-261.6 1595 1698 26.12% 23.55% 50.33%-0.46 -4.3 21
2025-02-22 @ Volos W 2-161.6 1698 1595 50.33% 23.55% 26.12%+0.46 +4.3 27
2025-02-22 OFI Crete L 1-360.8 1641 1683 33.50% 24.37% 42.13%-0.15 -9.2 18
2025-02-22 @ Kallithea W 3-160.8 1683 1641 42.13% 24.37% 33.50%+0.15 +9.2 33
2025-02-22 Panserraikos W 1-056.0 1671 1617 46.86% 24.00% 29.14%+0.32 +5.0 31
2025-02-22 @ Atromitos L 0-156.0 1617 1671 29.14% 24.00% 46.86%-0.32 -5.0 22
2025-02-23 AEK Athens L 0-347.0 1690 1937 14.27% 19.16% 66.57%-1.17 -6.9 35
2025-02-23 @ Asteras Tripolis W 3-047.0 1937 1690 66.57% 19.16% 14.27%+1.17 +6.9 52
2025-02-23 Panathinaikos W 3-171.4 1535 1878 9.48% 15.33% 75.18%-1.65 +17.6 12
2025-02-23 @ Lamia L 1-371.4 1878 1535 75.18% 15.33% 9.48%+1.65 -17.6 46
2025-02-23 Panetolikos W 2-162.6 1764 1675 51.42% 23.38% 25.20%+0.50 +4.2 40
2025-02-23 @ Aris L 1-262.6 1675 1764 25.20% 23.38% 51.42%-0.50 -4.2 32
2025-02-23 PAOK W 2-165.7 1927 1901 43.12% 24.31% 32.57%+0.19 +5.2 54
2025-02-23 @ Olympiacos Piraeus L 1-265.7 1901 1927 32.57% 24.31% 43.12%-0.19 -5.2 43
2025-03-01 Aris D 1-173.5 1591 1768 19.10% 21.61% 59.28%-0.83 +1.4 22
2025-03-01 @ Volos D 1-173.5 1768 1591 59.28% 21.61% 19.10%+0.83 -1.4 41
2025-03-01 Kallithea W 2-164.9 1612 1632 36.64% 24.47% 38.89%-0.04 +6.0 25
2025-03-01 @ Panserraikos L 1-264.9 1632 1612 38.89% 24.47% 36.64%+0.04 -6.0 18
2025-03-01 Panetolikos W 2-049.4 1860 1671 63.07% 20.44% 16.49%+1.00 +5.6 49
2025-03-01 @ Panathinaikos L 0-249.4 1671 1860 16.49% 20.44% 63.07%-1.00 -5.6 32
2025-03-02 Asteras Tripolis W 2-048.8 1896 1683 65.42% 19.60% 14.98%+1.11 +5.0 46
2025-03-02 @ PAOK L 0-248.8 1683 1896 14.98% 19.60% 65.42%-1.11 -5.0 35
2025-03-02 Atromitos L 1-267.8 1702 1676 43.12% 24.31% 32.57%+0.19 -6.5 27
2025-03-02 @ Levadiakos W 2-167.8 1676 1702 32.57% 24.31% 43.12%-0.19 +6.5 34
2025-03-02 Lamia W 3-047.1 1692 1553 57.54% 22.08% 20.38%+0.75 +10.0 36
2025-03-02 @ OFI Crete L 0-347.1 1553 1692 20.38% 22.08% 57.54%-0.75 -10.0 12
2025-03-02 Olympiacos Piraeus L 0-161.8 1944 1932 41.06% 24.41% 34.52%+0.12 -6.6 52
2025-03-02 @ AEK Athens W 1-061.8 1932 1944 34.52% 24.41% 41.06%-0.12 +6.6 57
2025-03-09 AEK Athens D 0-069.2 1767 1937 19.66% 21.83% 58.51%-0.79 +1.5 42
2025-03-09 @ Aris D 0-069.2 1937 1767 58.51% 21.83% 19.66%+0.79 -1.5 53
2025-03-09 Levadiakos D 0-067.3 1665 1696 35.08% 24.43% 40.49%-0.09 +0.2 33
2025-03-09 @ Panetolikos D 0-067.3 1696 1665 40.49% 24.43% 35.08%+0.09 -0.2 28
2025-03-09 OFI Crete W 1-051.6 1939 1702 67.83% 18.66% 13.51%+1.23 +2.4 60
2025-03-09 @ Olympiacos Piraeus L 0-151.6 1702 1939 13.51% 18.66% 67.83%-1.23 -2.4 36
2025-03-09 Panathinaikos D 1-174.5 1683 1866 18.63% 21.42% 59.95%-0.86 +1.5 35
2025-03-09 @ Atromitos D 1-174.5 1866 1683 59.95% 21.42% 18.63%+0.86 -1.5 50
2025-03-09 Panserraikos L 1-268.2 1678 1618 47.70% 23.91% 28.39%+0.36 -7.0 35
2025-03-09 @ Asteras Tripolis W 2-168.2 1618 1678 28.39% 23.91% 47.70%-0.36 +7.0 28
2025-03-09 PAOK W 2-174.5 1626 1901 12.66% 18.06% 69.28%-1.31 +9.6 21
2025-03-09 @ Kallithea L 1-274.5 1901 1626 69.28% 18.06% 12.66%+1.31 -9.6 46
2025-03-09 Volos W 1-057.1 1543 1592 32.58% 24.32% 43.11%-0.19 +6.8 15
2025-03-09 @ Lamia L 0-157.1 1592 1543 43.11% 24.32% 32.58%+0.19 -6.8 22

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2025-02-23 9.48% @ Lamia 1535 3 Panathinaikos 1878 1
2 2025-01-12 11.07% Volos 1608 2 @ PAOK 1891 1
3 2024-10-26 11.68% @ Panserraikos 1626 1 AEK Athens 1920 0
4 2025-03-09 12.66% @ Kallithea 1626 2 PAOK 1901 1
5 2024-10-05 12.74% @ Panetolikos 1657 1 AEK Athens 1930 0
6 2024-08-18 13.78% Asteras Tripolis 1640 1 @ Panathinaikos 1873 0
7 2024-10-27 14.87% OFI Crete 1679 2 @ PAOK 1893 1
8 2024-10-27 15.07% @ Asteras Tripolis 1651 1 Olympiacos Piraeus 1885 0
9 2024-11-23 17.41% Volos 1620 1 @ Aris 1797 0
10 2024-09-29 22.12% Aris 1775 1 @ PAOK 1895 0
11 2024-11-09 22.99% @ Panetolikos 1671 2 Aris 1805 1
12 2024-12-23 23.60% @ Asteras Tripolis 1654 2 Aris 1781 1
13 2025-02-09 23.83% @ Aris 1766 2 Panathinaikos 1891 0
14 2024-09-21 24.20% @ Aris 1768 2 Olympiacos Piraeus 1889 1
15 2025-01-05 24.89% OFI Crete 1681 2 @ Aris 1773 0
16 2025-02-16 26.28% @ Levadiakos 1680 4 Aris 1782 1
17 2024-09-15 26.72% @ OFI Crete 1677 3 Aris 1775 2
18 2025-03-09 28.39% Panserraikos 1618 2 @ Asteras Tripolis 1678 1
19 2024-10-26 28.58% Volos 1620 1 @ Panetolikos 1678 0
20 2024-10-06 28.71% Asteras Tripolis 1640 3 @ Kallithea 1697 1
21 2024-10-05 30.38% Volos 1620 2 @ Atromitos 1663 1
22 2025-02-10 31.50% Kallithea 1645 2 @ Atromitos 1680 1
23 2024-09-29 31.60% Panetolikos 1650 2 @ OFI Crete 1684 1
24 2024-10-27 31.84% Atromitos 1645 3 @ Kallithea 1677 0
25 2024-11-22 32.14% Panserraikos 1628 2 @ Kallithea 1658 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-12-23 19.33 @ OFI Crete 4 1662 43.96% Volos 0 1630 31.78% 24.26%
2 2024-10-27 19.03 Atromitos 3 1645 31.84% @ Kallithea 0 1677 43.89% 24.26%
3 2025-02-16 17.90 @ Levadiakos 4 1680 26.28% Aris 1 1782 50.14% 23.58%
4 2024-11-04 17.68 @ Asteras Tripolis 3 1661 35.56% OFI Crete 0 1688 39.99% 24.45%
5 2025-02-23 17.57 @ Lamia 3 1535 9.48% Panathinaikos 1 1878 75.18% 15.33%
6 2024-08-31 16.69 @ Panetolikos 3 1631 38.44% Panserraikos 0 1638 37.09% 24.47%
7 2025-02-09 15.33 @ Aris 2 1766 23.83% Panathinaikos 0 1891 53.09% 23.08%
8 2024-11-24 15.24 @ Olympiacos Piraeus 4 1883 34.45% AEK Athens 1 1918 41.14% 24.41%
9 2025-01-05 15.01 OFI Crete 2 1681 24.89% @ Aris 0 1773 51.79% 23.31%
10 2025-02-08 14.59 PAOK 5 1878 60.25% @ OFI Crete 0 1692 18.41% 21.33%
11 2024-11-30 14.36 @ AEK Athens 4 1903 54.76% Aris 0 1788 22.50% 22.74%
12 2025-01-12 14.03 Atromitos 3 1656 46.16% @ Lamia 0 1585 29.76% 24.07%
13 2024-10-06 12.06 Asteras Tripolis 3 1640 28.71% @ Kallithea 1 1697 47.34% 23.95%
14 2024-10-19 11.70 Panetolikos 2 1667 37.57% @ Atromitos 0 1657 37.95% 24.47%
15 2025-01-13 11.42 @ Asteras Tripolis 2 1668 38.74% Panetolikos 0 1672 36.79% 24.47%
16 2025-02-16 10.84 @ Panetolikos 2 1664 41.21% Kallithea 0 1652 34.38% 24.41%
17 2025-01-18 10.37 @ Kallithea 2 1645 43.22% Volos 0 1617 32.47% 24.31%
18 2024-10-26 10.33 @ Panserraikos 1 1626 11.68% AEK Athens 0 1920 71.03% 17.29%
19 2024-10-05 10.12 @ Panetolikos 1 1657 12.74% AEK Athens 0 1930 69.14% 18.12%
20 2025-03-02 10.01 @ OFI Crete 3 1692 57.54% Lamia 0 1553 20.38% 22.08%
21 2024-08-18 9.92 Asteras Tripolis 1 1640 13.78% @ Panathinaikos 0 1873 67.38% 18.84%
22 2025-01-12 9.85 Volos 2 1608 11.07% @ PAOK 1 1891 72.14% 16.79%
23 2024-10-27 9.67 @ Asteras Tripolis 1 1651 15.07% Olympiacos Piraeus 0 1885 65.28% 19.65%
24 2024-09-01 9.56 OFI Crete 3 1667 40.37% @ Volos 1 1638 35.19% 24.44%
25 2024-09-29 9.56 @ AEK Athens 2 1921 46.56% Panathinaikos 0 1869 29.40% 24.03%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-12-01 81.7 @ PAOK 2 1883 67.29% Kallithea 2 1652 13.83% 18.88%
2 2025-01-12 81.6 @ Panserraikos 2 1627 13.69% Panathinaikos 2 1883 67.53% 18.78%
3 2024-10-20 81.5 @ Olympiacos Piraeus 2 1886 65.08% Levadiakos 2 1677 15.20% 19.73%
4 2024-09-01 80.8 @ Kallithea 2 1695 19.65% Panathinaikos 2 1866 58.53% 21.82%
5 2024-11-10 78.8 @ OFI Crete 2 1670 41.16% Kallithea 2 1658 34.43% 24.41%
6 2024-09-15 78.6 @ Panserraikos 2 1621 30.86% Levadiakos 2 1684 44.96% 24.18%
7 2024-10-26 78.4 @ Levadiakos 2 1679 50.07% Lamia 2 1601 26.34% 23.59%
8 2024-08-24 76.0 @ AEK Athens 1 1913 72.69% Lamia 1 1623 10.77% 16.53%
9 2024-12-22 75.6 @ AEK Athens 1 1922 68.67% Levadiakos 1 1676 13.02% 18.32%
10 2024-12-16 75.4 @ Kallithea 1 1644 13.20% Olympiacos Piraeus 1 1909 68.35% 18.45%
11 2025-02-09 75.4 @ Olympiacos Piraeus 1 1922 66.93% Asteras Tripolis 1 1694 14.05% 19.02%
12 2024-09-15 75.1 @ OFI Crete 3 1677 26.72% Aris 2 1775 49.63% 23.66%
13 2024-12-01 74.9 @ Panathinaikos 1 1870 63.94% Atromitos 1 1672 15.92% 20.14%
14 2025-01-12 74.9 Volos 2 1608 11.07% @ PAOK 1 1891 72.14% 16.79%
15 2025-03-09 74.5 @ Atromitos 1 1683 18.63% Panathinaikos 1 1866 59.95% 21.42%
16 2025-03-09 74.5 @ Kallithea 2 1626 12.66% PAOK 1 1901 69.28% 18.06%
17 2024-10-20 74.0 @ AEK Athens 1 1920 43.29% PAOK 1 1892 32.41% 24.30%
18 2024-10-27 74.0 @ Panathinaikos 1 1863 48.44% Aris 1 1797 27.75% 23.82%
19 2024-10-27 74.0 OFI Crete 2 1679 14.87% @ PAOK 1 1893 65.60% 19.53%
20 2025-01-26 74.0 @ Olympiacos Piraeus 1 1920 43.78% Panathinaikos 1 1888 31.95% 24.27%
21 2024-08-31 73.8 @ Aris 1 1776 56.72% Asteras Tripolis 1 1644 20.99% 22.29%
22 2024-08-18 73.5 @ Atromitos 1 1656 24.72% Aris 1 1773 52.00% 23.28%
23 2025-03-01 73.5 @ Volos 1 1591 19.10% Aris 1 1768 59.28% 21.61%
24 2024-11-10 73.2 Olympiacos Piraeus 3 1877 35.01% @ PAOK 2 1886 40.56% 24.43%
25 2024-09-22 72.8 @ Levadiakos 1 1684 39.39% OFI Crete 1 1684 36.15% 24.46%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-12-07 45.4 @ Olympiacos Piraeus 3 1904 71.35% Volos 0 1629 11.50% 17.15%
2 2025-02-16 45.4 @ PAOK 7 1892 77.46% Lamia 0 1544 8.36% 14.18%
3 2025-02-16 45.6 Olympiacos Piraeus 4 1920 71.14% @ Panserraikos 0 1625 11.62% 17.25%
4 2025-02-09 45.9 @ AEK Athens 5 1927 73.07% Panserraikos 0 1633 10.57% 16.35%
5 2024-08-31 46.4 Olympiacos Piraeus 3 1885 67.78% @ Lamia 0 1626 13.54% 18.68%
6 2024-09-16 46.5 @ AEK Athens 2 1919 72.77% Volos 0 1628 10.73% 16.50%
7 2024-08-18 46.6 @ AEK Athens 3 1907 67.42% OFI Crete 0 1674 13.75% 18.82%
8 2024-11-09 46.6 @ AEK Athens 3 1912 67.50% Asteras Tripolis 0 1678 13.71% 18.79%
9 2024-12-22 47.0 @ PAOK 3 1890 66.23% Atromitos 0 1670 14.48% 19.29%
10 2025-01-12 47.0 @ AEK Athens 2 1922 71.29% Kallithea 0 1648 11.53% 17.18%
11 2025-02-23 47.0 AEK Athens 3 1937 66.57% @ Asteras Tripolis 0 1690 14.27% 19.16%
12 2025-03-02 47.1 @ OFI Crete 3 1692 57.54% Lamia 0 1553 20.38% 22.08%
13 2024-08-25 47.6 @ PAOK 2 1883 68.86% Panetolikos 0 1636 12.91% 18.24%
14 2024-09-01 47.8 AEK Athens 3 1911 63.80% @ Levadiakos 0 1692 16.01% 20.19%
15 2024-08-17 48.5 Olympiacos Piraeus 2 1877 66.02% @ Volos 0 1636 14.61% 19.38%
16 2025-01-26 48.6 Aris 2 1756 61.16% @ Lamia 0 1562 17.78% 21.06%
17 2024-09-29 48.7 @ Olympiacos Piraeus 2 1881 65.50% Atromitos 0 1668 14.93% 19.57%
18 2025-03-02 48.8 @ PAOK 2 1896 65.42% Asteras Tripolis 0 1683 14.98% 19.60%
19 2025-01-06 48.9 Olympiacos Piraeus 2 1909 65.05% @ Panetolikos 0 1677 15.22% 19.74%
20 2024-12-01 49.0 Olympiacos Piraeus 2 1899 64.81% @ OFI Crete 0 1669 15.37% 19.83%
21 2024-10-05 49.1 @ Aris 2 1784 61.81% Lamia 0 1606 17.34% 20.85%
22 2024-12-21 49.2 @ Olympiacos Piraeus 1 1907 74.87% Lamia 0 1591 9.64% 15.49%
23 2025-03-01 49.4 @ Panathinaikos 2 1860 63.07% Panetolikos 0 1671 16.49% 20.44%
24 2024-12-14 49.6 AEK Athens 1 1920 73.87% @ Lamia 0 1593 10.15% 15.97%
25 2024-10-06 49.8 PAOK 2 1887 62.12% @ Levadiakos 0 1683 17.13% 20.75%