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1918-19 I. Osztály Season

129 games

Final

Champion

MTK Budapest

39 points · 5th Title

Last Title: 1917-18

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Terezvarosi TC

6.69 points above expected

23 points · 16.31 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Torekves SC

11.00 points below expected

14 points · 25.00 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 MTK Budapest Champion 22 18 3 1 39 116 20 +96 36.79 +2.21
2 Ferencvaros 21 15 5 1 35 43 8 +35 30.04 +4.96
3 Ujpest 22 12 6 4 30 39 19 +20 25.61 +4.39
4 Vasas 21 9 6 6 24 20 19 +1 23.98 +0.02
5 Terezvarosi TC 22 9 5 8 23 29 45 -16 16.31 +6.69
6 III. Kerulet 22 6 8 8 20 33 35 -2 22.02 -2.02
7 33FC 22 5 7 10 17 17 31 -14 19.88 -2.88
8 Kispest 22 8 1 13 17 27 52 -25 17.08 -0.08
9 Budapest TC 22 6 5 11 17 22 48 -26 13.20 +3.80
10 Torekves SC 21 3 8 10 14 27 32 -5 25.00 -11.00
11 Budapesti AK 21 4 5 12 13 21 41 -20 16.53 -3.53
12 Budapesti MAVAG SK 20 3 3 14 9 22 66 -44 11.56 -2.56

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Terezvarosi TC 23 16.31 +6.69
2 Ferencvaros 35 30.04 +4.96
3 Ujpest 30 25.61 +4.39
4 Budapest TC 17 13.20 +3.80
5 MTK Budapest 39 36.79 +2.21

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Torekves SC 14 25.00 -11.00
2 Budapesti AK 13 16.53 -3.53
3 33FC 17 19.88 -2.88
4 Budapesti MAVAG SK 9 11.56 -2.56
5 III. Kerulet 20 22.02 -2.02

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Budapest TC 3 Feb 23 – Mar 9 1 in 213
2 Budapesti MAVAG SK 2 Dec 22 – Feb 16 1 in 23
3 Kispest 2 Sep 29 – Oct 13 1 in 19
4 Terezvarosi TC 2 Sep 29 – Oct 20 1 in 17
5 MTK Budapest 10 Nov 24 – Mar 30 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kispest 6 Mar 2 – Jun 1 1 in 93
2 33FC 5 Mar 2 – Mar 30 1 in 72
3 Torekves SC 3 Sep 8 – Sep 29 1 in 54
4 Vasas 2 Oct 20 – Nov 17 1 in 24
5 Budapesti AK 3 Dec 8 – Dec 22 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vasas 6 Mar 2 – Jun 8 1 in 39
2 Ferencvaros 19 Aug 25 – Apr 13 1 in 32
3 Budapest TC 4 Feb 23 – Mar 16 1 in 25
4 33FC 7 Aug 25 – Oct 20 1 in 23
5 Terezvarosi TC 5 Apr 13 – Jul 24 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 III. Kerulet 7 Feb 23 – Apr 13 1 in 89
2 Torekves SC 7 Aug 25 – Oct 20 1 in 61
3 Budapesti AK 7 Nov 10 – Feb 23 1 in 11
4 33FC 7 Sep 29 – Feb 16 1 in 10
5 Vasas 4 Dec 8 – Feb 23 1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
MTK Budapest 1891 39 +25 9 8.2 +0.8
Ferencvaros 1732 35 +24 7 6.3 +0.7
Ujpest 1597 30 +3 7 7.3 -0.3
Vasas 1521 24 +26 6 4.2 +1.8
Terezvarosi TC 1445 23 +118 9 4.6 +4.4
III. Kerulet 1454 20 -10 4 4.8 -0.8
33FC 1360 17 -8 5 4.6 +0.4
Budapest TC 1291 17 +14 5 4.0 +1.0
Kispest 1311 17 -29 4 4.1 -0.1
Torekves SC 1416 14 -82 1 5.4 -4.4
Budapesti AK 1302 13 -13 3 3.4 -0.4
Budapesti MAVAG SK 1213 9 -57 1 3.3 -2.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team 33F BT BA BMS FER IK KIS MB TT TS UJP VAS
33FC —
1-0-1
3.66
1-1-0
3.33
1-1-0
3.86
0-0-2
1.20
0-2-0
2.58
0-1-1
3.52
0-1-1
0.84
0-0-2
3.69
1-0-1
2.09
0-0-2
1.95
1-1-0
1.97
Budapest TC
1-0-1
1.84
—
1-0-1
2.32
1-1-0
2.81
0-0-2
0.75
1-0-1
1.63
1-0-1
2.61
0-0-2
0.52
0-1-1
2.50
0-2-0
1.08
0-1-1
1.23
1-0-1
1.32
Budapesti AK
0-1-1
2.17
1-0-1
3.18
—
1-0-1
3.41
0-1-1
1.03
0-1-1
2.00
1-0-1
2.71
0-0-2
0.64
1-0-1
2.74
0-1-0
0.50
0-0-2
1.72
0-1-1
1.86
Budapesti MAVAG SK
0-1-1
1.64
0-1-1
2.68
1-0-1
2.08
—
0-0-1
0.29
0-0-2
1.51
0-0-2
2.38
0-0-2
0.47
1-1-0
2.34
1-0-1
0.97
0-0-2
1.19
0-0-1
0.43
Ferencvaros
2-0-0
4.33
2-0-0
4.83
1-1-0
4.50
1-0-0
2.51
—
2-0-0
4.18
2-0-0
4.41
0-1-1
1.70
2-0-0
4.61
1-1-0
3.92
1-1-0
3.55
1-1-0
3.58
III. Kerulet
0-2-0
2.91
1-0-1
3.88
1-1-0
3.50
2-0-0
4.01
0-0-2
1.34
—
2-0-0
3.25
0-0-2
0.78
0-1-1
3.84
0-2-0
2.39
0-1-1
2.18
0-1-1
2.35
Kispest
1-1-0
1.98
1-0-1
2.88
1-0-1
2.78
2-0-0
3.12
0-0-2
1.12
0-0-2
2.25
—
0-0-2
0.66
0-0-2
2.93
2-0-0
1.62
1-0-1
1.23
0-0-2
1.87
MTK Budapest
1-1-0
4.74
2-0-0
5.12
2-0-0
4.95
2-0-0
5.18
1-1-0
3.80
2-0-0
4.79
2-0-0
4.94
—
2-0-0
4.97
2-0-0
4.30
1-0-1
4.41
1-1-0
4.63
Terezvarosi TC
2-0-0
1.81
1-1-0
3.00
1-0-1
2.77
0-1-1
3.16
0-0-2
0.94
1-1-0
1.67
2-0-0
2.56
0-0-2
0.63
—
1-0-1
1.86
0-2-0
1.64
1-0-1
1.66
Torekves SC
1-0-1
3.41
0-2-0
4.45
0-1-0
2.27
1-0-1
4.57
0-1-1
1.59
0-2-0
3.11
0-0-2
3.90
0-0-2
1.23
1-0-1
3.63
—
0-1-1
2.71
0-1-1
3.07
Ujpest
2-0-0
3.56
1-1-0
4.29
2-0-0
3.80
2-0-0
4.33
0-1-1
1.95
1-1-0
3.32
1-0-1
4.30
1-0-1
1.12
0-2-0
3.87
1-1-0
2.79
—
1-0-1
2.91
Vasas
0-1-1
3.53
1-0-1
4.20
1-1-0
3.64
1-0-0
2.34
0-1-1
1.93
1-1-0
3.14
2-0-0
3.63
0-1-1
0.92
1-0-1
3.85
1-1-0
2.43
1-0-1
2.58
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.57 +2.6
Allowed 0.63 -4.3
Differential 0.82 +2.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.75%6.98%6.59%3.88%3.10%2.33%30.62%
16.98%11.63%5.43%1.94%0.39%3.49%29.84%
26.59%5.43%3.88%1.94%0.78%0.78%19.38%
33.88%1.94%1.94%0.78%—0.39%8.91%
43.10%0.39%0.78%———4.26%
5+2.33%3.49%0.78%0.39%——6.98%
Total30.62%29.84%19.38%8.91%4.26%6.98%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.61 +0.00
SD 1.96 1.96 3.02
CV 1.22 1.22 —
Max 14 14 +13
Min 0 0 -13

Games Played: 129

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%—45.45%
19.09%13.64%—9.09%——31.82%
24.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%36.36%13.64%13.64%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.41 -0.64
SD 0.81 1.30 1.50
CV 1.05 0.92 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%40.91%
113.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
2—4.55%9.09%——4.55%18.18%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%22.73%27.27%13.64%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.18 -1.18
SD 1.11 1.99 2.30
CV 1.11 0.91 —
Max 4 8 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%9.52%19.05%4.76%——42.86%
1—9.52%14.29%——9.52%33.33%
2—4.76%————4.76%
3—9.52%4.76%4.76%——19.05%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.52%33.33%38.10%9.52%—9.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.95 -0.95
SD 1.14 1.56 1.88
CV 1.14 0.80 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.00%5.00%15.00%5.00%10.00%40.00%
1—5.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%10.00%30.00%
25.00%—10.00%5.00%——20.00%
3——5.00%———5.00%
4———————
5+—5.00%————5.00%
Total5.00%15.00%25.00%25.00%10.00%20.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 3.30 -2.20
SD 1.29 2.79 3.50
CV 1.18 0.85 —
Max 5 13 +4
Min 0 0 -13

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%—4.76%———19.05%
114.29%4.76%————19.05%
214.29%9.52%4.76%———28.57%
314.29%—————14.29%
414.29%—————14.29%
5+—4.76%————4.76%
Total71.43%19.05%9.52%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 0.38 +1.67
SD 1.60 0.67 1.77
CV 0.78 1.76 —
Max 6 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—27.27%
14.55%18.18%4.55%——9.09%36.36%
24.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
34.55%——4.55%——9.09%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total31.82%31.82%13.64%9.09%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.59 -0.09
SD 1.47 1.84 2.56
CV 0.98 1.16 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%36.36%
19.09%4.55%4.55%——4.55%22.73%
213.64%——4.55%4.55%4.55%27.27%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%13.64%18.18%13.64%13.64%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 2.36 -1.14
SD 1.19 2.32 2.88
CV 0.97 0.98 —
Max 4 9 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
1—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
24.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
3———————
49.09%—————9.09%
5+18.18%27.27%9.09%4.55%——59.09%
Total36.36%40.91%18.18%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 5.27 0.91 +4.36
SD 3.63 0.87 3.79
CV 0.69 0.95 —
Max 14 3 +13
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%——9.09%18.18%
113.64%22.73%4.55%4.55%—4.55%50.00%
213.64%——4.55%——18.18%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total36.36%31.82%9.09%9.09%—13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 2.05 -0.73
SD 1.04 3.34 3.84
CV 0.79 1.64 —
Max 4 14 +4
Min 0 0 -13

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%9.52%14.29%———38.10%
1—19.05%9.52%——4.76%33.33%
2——4.76%4.76%——9.52%
34.76%4.76%———4.76%14.29%
4———————
5+4.76%—————4.76%
Total23.81%33.33%28.57%4.76%—9.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.52 -0.24
SD 1.68 1.44 2.21
CV 1.30 0.94 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%————13.64%
19.09%18.18%9.09%———36.36%
24.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
313.64%—4.55%———18.18%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total36.36%40.91%22.73%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 0.86 +0.91
SD 1.31 0.77 1.57
CV 0.74 0.90 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.05%9.52%4.76%4.76%4.76%—42.86%
19.52%9.52%4.76%———23.81%
214.29%14.29%————28.57%
3—4.76%————4.76%
4———————
5+———————
Total42.86%38.10%9.52%4.76%4.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 0.90 +0.05
SD 0.97 1.09 1.63
CV 1.02 1.21 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 21

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
MTK Budapest 1891 39 36.79 +2.21 80.0% 29 30 35 37 39 41 41
Ferencvaros 1732 35 31.04 +3.96 88.0% 20 25 28 31 33 36 40
Ujpest 1597 30 25.61 +4.39 92.0% 15 20 24 26 28 31 34
Vasas 1521 24 24.98 -0.98 44.0% 13 19 22 25 28 32 33
III. Kerulet 1454 20 22.02 -2.02 36.0% 15 15 19 22 24 28 32
Terezvarosi TC 1445 23 16.31 +6.69 100.0% 7 11 15 16 18 22 23
Torekves SC 1416 14 26.00 -12.00 0.0% 17 20 24 27 28 31 33
33FC 1360 17 19.88 -2.88 28.0% 11 12 17 20 23 26 31
Kispest 1311 17 17.08 -0.08 51.0% 9 11 14 17 20 23 25
Budapesti AK 1302 13 17.53 -4.53 16.0% 9 11 15 17 20 24 25
Budapest TC 1291 17 13.20 +3.80 93.0% 7 9 11 13 15 18 20
Budapesti MAVAG SK 1213 9 13.56 -4.56 7.0% 6 8 11 14 15 19 24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 20.5% * Clear Edge: 20.5% to 27% * Strong Edge: 27% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+18.60%
Slight Edge
47.29%24.03%28.68%
Elo Value
Home Edge
119 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
065.40300
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.47 goals
Neutral
-2+0.55+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.3
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
86%
MTK Budapest, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.18/gm
Comfortable
00.250.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.81 * Some Luck: 2.81 to 4.21 * Lucky: 4.21 to 5.62 * Wild Swing: 5.62 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.99 * Close: 0.99 to 1.49 * Off: 1.49 to 1.99 * Way Off: 1.99 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.96 points
Lucky
03.519
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.83
Off
01.242.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Terezvarosi TC
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
Torekves SC
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.6 * Moderate Separation: 1.6 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65.5% * Slight Edge: 65.5% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 88.5% * Clear Edge: 88.5% to 92.5% * Strong Edge: 92.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50% * Some Drama: 50% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 20% * Frequent: 20% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Lopsided
00.150.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 198.09
2.23
Wide Separation
11.61.852.152.75
Interquartile Edge
79%
Wide Edge
50%65.5%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
53%
Some Drama
0%38%100%
Blowouts
Expected
28%
Frequent
0%41%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.47 * Notable Separation: 0.47 to 0.53 * Lopsided: 0.53 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.45 * Some Carryover: 0.45 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.72 * Near-Lock: 0.72 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.542
Matchup Imbalance
0.53
Lopsided
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
2.21
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.64
Strong Carryover
00.450.590.721
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
As Expected
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Solid Favorites
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.87
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.93
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.056
Well Within Noise
00.1390.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
MTK Budapest86.00%11.00%3.00%—————————
Ferencvaros13.00%58.00%20.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%—1.00%————
Ujpest—9.00%22.00%33.00%16.00%10.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%——
Vasas1.00%12.00%17.00%22.00%20.00%14.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%—1.00%
Terezvarosi TC————4.00%4.00%8.00%20.00%20.00%25.00%7.00%12.00%
III. Kerulet—2.00%6.00%12.00%16.00%29.00%16.00%7.00%10.00%2.00%——
33FC—2.00%—5.00%15.00%15.00%22.00%17.00%12.00%3.00%2.00%7.00%
Kispest——1.00%—2.00%8.00%15.00%18.00%16.00%21.00%11.00%8.00%
Budapest TC——————1.00%6.00%9.00%16.00%35.00%33.00%
Torekves SC—6.00%31.00%22.00%20.00%10.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%——
Budapesti AK————6.00%8.00%21.00%14.00%19.00%15.00%10.00%7.00%
Budapesti MAVAG SK—————1.00%—8.00%10.00%14.00%35.00%32.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
33FC 100%
Budapest TC 100%
Budapesti AK 100%
Budapesti MAVAG SK 100%
Ferencvaros 100%
III. Kerulet 100%
Kispest 100%
MTK Budapest 100%
Terezvarosi TC 100%
Torekves SC 100%
Ujpest 100%
Vasas 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1918-08-25 Budapest TC W 2-141.8 1462 1313 63.94% 24.26% 11.80%+1.80 +4.6 2
1918-08-25 @ 33FC L 1-241.8 1313 1462 11.80% 24.26% 63.94%-1.80 -4.6 0
1918-08-25 Terezvarosi TC W 3-249.2 1279 1320 45.12% 25.47% 29.41%+0.21 +9.5 2
1918-08-25 @ Budapesti MAVAG SK L 2-349.2 1320 1279 29.41% 25.47% 45.12%-0.21 -9.5 0
1918-08-25 Kispest W 4-037.7 1608 1352 70.29% 22.85% 6.86%+2.69 +10.5 2
1918-08-25 @ Ferencvaros L 0-437.7 1352 1608 6.86% 22.85% 70.29%-2.69 -10.5 0
1918-08-25 Vasas L 0-250.8 1439 1512 40.83% 25.49% 33.68%-0.06 -25.7 0
1918-08-25 @ III. Kerulet W 2-050.8 1512 1439 33.68% 25.49% 40.83%+0.06 +25.7 2
1918-08-25 Budapesti AK W 6-145.8 1800 1390 76.73% 20.14% 3.13%+3.99 +4.7 2
1918-08-25 @ MTK Budapest L 1-645.8 1390 1800 3.13% 20.14% 76.73%-3.99 -4.7 0
1918-08-25 Ujpest D 1-163.6 1571 1487 58.72% 24.89% 16.39%+1.25 -3.2 1
1918-08-25 @ Torekves SC D 1-163.6 1487 1571 16.39% 24.89% 58.72%-1.25 +3.2 1
1918-09-01 33FC D 0-052.9 1385 1467 39.51% 25.48% 35.01%-0.14 -0.3 1
1918-09-01 @ Budapesti AK D 0-052.9 1467 1385 35.01% 25.48% 39.51%+0.14 +0.3 3
1918-09-01 Budapest TC W 3-036.5 1341 1308 53.76% 25.23% 21.02%+0.82 +22.3 2
1918-09-01 @ Kispest L 0-336.5 1308 1341 21.02% 25.23% 53.76%-0.82 -22.3 0
1918-09-01 Budapesti MAVAG SK W 3-034.3 1490 1288 67.30% 23.63% 9.07%+2.24 +10.5 3
1918-09-01 @ Ujpest L 0-334.3 1288 1490 9.07% 23.63% 67.30%-2.24 -10.5 2
1918-09-01 Torekves SC D 1-165.0 1538 1567 46.53% 25.46% 28.01%+0.30 -1.3 3
1918-09-01 @ Vasas D 1-165.0 1567 1538 28.01% 25.46% 46.53%-0.30 +1.3 2
1918-09-08 Terezvarosi TC D 1-152.2 1286 1310 47.20% 25.44% 27.35%+0.35 -1.4 1
1918-09-08 @ Budapest TC D 1-152.2 1310 1286 27.35% 25.44% 47.20%-0.35 +1.4 1
1918-09-08 Ujpest W 2-153.6 1618 1500 61.56% 24.59% 13.85%+1.53 +5.4 4
1918-09-08 @ Ferencvaros L 1-253.6 1500 1618 13.85% 24.59% 61.56%-1.53 -5.4 3
1918-09-08 33FC D 1-157.1 1414 1467 43.42% 25.49% 31.10%+0.10 -0.8 1
1918-09-08 @ III. Kerulet D 1-157.1 1467 1414 31.10% 25.49% 43.42%-0.10 +0.8 4
1918-09-08 MTK Budapest L 3-564.9 1569 1805 20.50% 24.70% 54.80%-1.43 -10.9 2
1918-09-08 @ Torekves SC W 5-364.9 1805 1569 54.80% 24.70% 20.50%+1.43 +10.9 4
1918-09-08 Budapesti MAVAG SK W 2-140.7 1537 1278 70.43% 22.81% 6.77%+2.72 +2.7 5
1918-09-08 @ Vasas L 1-240.7 1278 1537 6.77% 22.81% 70.43%-2.72 -2.7 2
1918-09-15 III. Kerulet W 7-145.8 1816 1413 76.45% 20.29% 3.26%+3.93 +5.8 6
1918-09-15 @ MTK Budapest L 1-745.8 1413 1816 3.26% 20.29% 76.45%-3.93 -5.8 1
1918-09-15 Budapesti AK D 1-162.3 1623 1384 69.41% 23.10% 7.49%+2.55 -4.9 5
1918-09-15 @ Ferencvaros D 1-162.3 1384 1623 7.49% 23.10% 69.41%-2.55 +4.9 2
1918-09-15 Kispest D 1-155.9 1468 1363 60.52% 24.71% 14.77%+1.43 -3.5 5
1918-09-15 @ 33FC D 1-155.9 1363 1468 14.77% 24.71% 60.52%-1.43 +3.5 3
1918-09-22 Torekves SC W 1-053.6 1465 1558 37.99% 25.47% 36.54%-0.23 +12.5 7
1918-09-22 @ 33FC L 0-153.6 1558 1465 36.54% 25.47% 37.99%+0.23 -12.5 2
1918-09-22 Terezvarosi TC W 2-142.4 1389 1311 58.18% 24.93% 16.89%+1.20 +6.4 4
1918-09-22 @ Budapesti AK L 1-242.4 1311 1389 16.89% 24.93% 58.18%-1.20 -6.4 1
1918-09-22 III. Kerulet L 0-246.9 1367 1407 45.15% 25.47% 29.37%+0.21 -27.9 3
1918-09-22 @ Kispest W 2-046.9 1407 1367 29.37% 25.47% 45.15%-0.21 +27.9 3
1918-09-22 Budapest TC D 2-259.0 1495 1285 67.84% 23.51% 8.66%+2.31 -3.5 4
1918-09-22 @ Ujpest D 2-259.0 1285 1495 8.66% 23.51% 67.84%-2.31 +3.5 2
1918-09-22 Ferencvaros L 0-257.6 1539 1619 39.94% 25.49% 34.57%-0.12 -25.3 5
1918-09-22 @ Vasas W 2-057.6 1619 1539 34.57% 25.49% 39.94%+0.12 +25.3 7
1918-09-28 MTK Budapest D 2-274.7 1644 1822 26.76% 25.15% 48.10%-0.94 +1.1 8
1918-09-28 @ Ferencvaros D 2-274.7 1822 1644 48.10% 25.15% 26.76%+0.94 -1.1 7
1918-09-29 33FC D 2-258.1 1275 1477 24.03% 24.98% 50.99%-1.15 +1.4 3
1918-09-29 @ Budapesti MAVAG SK D 2-258.1 1477 1275 50.99% 24.98% 24.03%+1.15 -1.4 8
1918-09-29 Terezvarosi TC L 0-152.7 1435 1305 62.51% 24.47% 13.02%+1.64 -20.0 3
1918-09-29 @ III. Kerulet W 1-052.7 1305 1435 13.02% 24.47% 62.51%-1.64 +20.0 3
1918-09-29 Kispest L 2-365.0 1545 1339 67.60% 23.56% 8.84%+2.28 -19.4 2
1918-09-29 @ Torekves SC W 3-265.0 1339 1545 8.84% 23.56% 67.60%-2.28 +19.4 5
1918-09-29 Budapest TC W 2-035.7 1514 1288 68.72% 23.29% 7.99%+2.44 +6.4 7
1918-09-29 @ Vasas L 0-235.7 1288 1514 7.99% 23.29% 68.72%-2.44 -6.4 2
1918-10-06 Budapesti MAVAG SK W 3-247.3 1282 1277 50.68% 25.36% 23.96%+0.59 +8.1 4
1918-10-06 @ Budapest TC L 2-347.3 1277 1282 23.96% 25.36% 50.68%-0.59 -8.1 3
1918-10-13 Budapesti MAVAG SK W 2-036.0 1358 1269 59.23% 24.84% 15.93%+1.30 +12.1 7
1918-10-13 @ Kispest L 0-236.0 1269 1358 15.93% 24.84% 59.23%-1.30 -12.1 3
1918-10-13 III. Kerulet D 1-158.1 1492 1415 58.04% 24.95% 17.01%+1.19 -3.0 5
1918-10-13 @ Ujpest D 1-158.1 1415 1492 17.01% 24.95% 58.04%-1.19 +3.0 4
1918-10-13 Budapesti AK W 2-146.2 1521 1396 62.11% 24.52% 13.37%+1.59 +5.2 9
1918-10-13 @ Vasas L 1-246.2 1396 1521 13.37% 24.52% 62.11%-1.59 -5.2 4
1918-10-13 Torekves SC D 0-063.9 1645 1526 61.65% 24.58% 13.77%+1.54 -4.1 9
1918-10-13 @ Ferencvaros D 0-063.9 1526 1645 13.77% 24.58% 61.65%-1.54 +4.1 3
1918-10-20 MTK Budapest D 1-169.9 1476 1821 12.10% 23.46% 64.44%-2.34 +4.0 9
1918-10-20 @ 33FC D 1-169.9 1821 1476 64.44% 23.46% 12.10%+2.34 -4.0 8
1918-10-20 Budapest TC W 3-140.2 1391 1290 60.18% 24.75% 15.07%+1.39 +10.0 6
1918-10-20 @ Budapesti AK L 1-340.2 1290 1391 15.07% 24.75% 60.18%-1.39 -10.0 4
1918-10-20 Kispest W 3-039.8 1325 1370 44.51% 25.48% 30.01%+0.17 +29.6 5
1918-10-20 @ Terezvarosi TC L 0-339.8 1370 1325 30.01% 25.48% 44.51%-0.17 -29.6 7
1918-10-20 III. Kerulet D 1-159.6 1530 1418 61.10% 24.64% 14.26%+1.49 -3.5 4
1918-10-20 @ Torekves SC D 1-159.6 1418 1530 14.26% 24.64% 61.10%-1.49 +3.5 5
1918-10-20 Vasas W 3-048.2 1488 1526 45.55% 25.47% 28.98%+0.24 +28.8 7
1918-10-20 @ Ujpest L 0-348.2 1526 1488 28.98% 25.47% 45.55%-0.24 -28.8 9
1918-10-27 MTK Budapest L 2-649.8 1341 1817 6.29% 21.36% 72.35%-3.44 -6.6 7
1918-10-27 @ Kispest W 6-249.8 1817 1341 72.35% 21.36% 6.29%+3.44 +6.6 10
1918-11-01 Ujpest D 1-156.9 1355 1517 28.63% 25.23% 46.13%-0.81 +1.2 6
1918-11-01 @ Terezvarosi TC D 1-156.9 1517 1355 46.13% 25.23% 28.63%+0.81 -1.2 8
1918-11-10 Budapesti MAVAG SK W 13-038.3 1823 1256 81.56% 17.02% 1.42%+5.30 +5.9 12
1918-11-10 @ MTK Budapest L 0-1338.3 1256 1823 1.42% 17.02% 81.56%-5.30 -5.9 3
1918-11-10 Ujpest L 0-247.7 1401 1516 34.83% 25.42% 39.75%-0.42 -22.8 6
1918-11-10 @ Budapesti AK W 2-047.7 1516 1401 39.75% 25.42% 34.83%+0.42 +22.8 10
1918-11-10 33FC W 3-046.1 1641 1480 64.73% 24.13% 11.14%+1.90 +12.8 11
1918-11-10 @ Ferencvaros L 0-346.1 1480 1641 11.14% 24.13% 64.73%-1.90 -12.8 9
1918-11-10 Torekves SC L 0-741.0 1356 1526 27.65% 25.19% 47.16%-0.88 -61.2 6
1918-11-10 @ Terezvarosi TC W 7-041.0 1526 1356 47.16% 25.19% 27.65%+0.88 +61.2 6
1918-11-10 III. Kerulet L 0-439.2 1280 1422 31.26% 25.33% 43.41%-0.64 -39.8 4
1918-11-10 @ Budapest TC W 4-039.2 1422 1280 43.41% 25.33% 31.26%+0.64 +39.8 7
1918-11-16 MTK Budapest W 2-172.0 1539 1829 15.82% 24.15% 60.03%-1.89 +18.0 12
1918-11-16 @ Ujpest L 1-272.0 1829 1539 60.03% 24.15% 15.82%+1.89 -18.0 12
1918-11-17 Budapest TC W 4-033.5 1654 1240 76.83% 20.09% 3.09%+4.01 +4.5 13
1918-11-17 @ Ferencvaros L 0-433.5 1240 1654 3.09% 20.09% 76.83%-4.01 -4.5 4
1918-11-17 Budapesti MAVAG SK W 4-032.0 1461 1250 67.86% 23.50% 8.64%+2.32 +13.1 9
1918-11-17 @ III. Kerulet L 0-432.0 1250 1461 8.64% 23.50% 67.86%-2.32 -13.1 3
1918-11-17 Budapesti AK D 0-057.3 1588 1378 67.80% 23.52% 8.68%+2.31 -5.2 7
1918-11-17 @ Torekves SC D 0-057.3 1378 1588 8.68% 23.52% 67.80%-2.31 +5.2 7
1918-11-17 Terezvarosi TC L 0-154.9 1497 1295 67.36% 23.62% 9.02%+2.24 -21.6 9
1918-11-17 @ Vasas W 1-054.9 1295 1497 9.02% 23.62% 67.36%-2.24 +21.6 8
1918-11-24 Budapest TC W 8-240.3 1811 1235 81.80% 16.84% 1.36%+5.37 +1.8 14
1918-11-24 @ MTK Budapest L 2-840.3 1235 1811 1.36% 16.84% 81.80%-5.37 -1.8 4
1918-11-24 33FC W 3-150.9 1316 1467 30.11% 25.29% 44.60%-0.72 +23.9 10
1918-11-24 @ Terezvarosi TC L 1-350.9 1467 1316 44.60% 25.29% 30.11%+0.72 -23.9 9
1918-12-01 Budapesti MAVAG SK W 6-135.8 1658 1237 77.07% 19.95% 2.98%+4.07 +4.5 15
1918-12-01 @ Ferencvaros L 1-635.8 1237 1658 2.98% 19.95% 77.07%-4.07 -4.5 3
1918-12-01 Ujpest L 2-458.3 1443 1557 35.09% 25.43% 39.49%-0.40 -17.7 9
1918-12-01 @ 33FC W 4-258.3 1557 1443 39.49% 25.43% 35.09%+0.40 +17.7 14
1918-12-01 Torekves SC D 0-052.6 1234 1582 11.87% 23.40% 64.73%-2.38 +4.5 5
1918-12-01 @ Budapest TC D 0-052.6 1582 1234 64.73% 23.40% 11.87%+2.38 -4.5 8
1918-12-01 Terezvarosi TC W 14-141.6 1813 1340 78.79% 18.92% 2.29%+4.51 +8.2 16
1918-12-01 @ MTK Budapest L 1-1441.6 1340 1813 2.29% 18.92% 78.79%-4.51 -8.2 10
1918-12-01 Kispest W 2-142.8 1475 1334 63.33% 24.35% 12.31%+1.73 +4.8 11
1918-12-01 @ Vasas L 1-242.8 1334 1475 12.31% 24.35% 63.33%-1.73 -4.8 7
1918-12-08 Terezvarosi TC W 2-040.3 1663 1332 73.69% 21.62% 4.70%+3.32 +3.8 17
1918-12-08 @ Ferencvaros L 0-240.3 1332 1663 4.70% 21.62% 73.69%-3.32 -3.7 10
1918-12-08 Budapesti MAVAG SK W 3-032.9 1578 1233 74.27% 21.36% 4.37%+3.44 +5.0 10
1918-12-08 @ Torekves SC L 0-332.9 1233 1578 4.37% 21.36% 74.27%-3.44 -5.0 3
1918-12-08 III. Kerulet L 0-148.4 1383 1474 38.21% 25.47% 36.31%-0.22 -13.0 7
1918-12-08 @ Budapesti AK W 1-048.4 1474 1383 36.31% 25.47% 38.21%+0.22 +13.0 11
1918-12-08 Ujpest W 1-054.8 1329 1575 19.68% 24.62% 55.70%-1.51 +17.8 9
1918-12-08 @ Kispest L 0-154.8 1575 1329 55.70% 24.62% 19.68%+1.51 -17.8 14
1918-12-08 Vasas W 4-046.2 1821 1480 74.11% 21.43% 4.46%+3.41 +6.7 18
1918-12-08 @ MTK Budapest L 0-446.2 1480 1821 4.46% 21.43% 74.11%-3.41 -6.7 11
1918-12-15 Budapesti AK W 1-042.1 1347 1370 47.37% 25.44% 27.19%+0.36 +10.0 11
1918-12-15 @ Kispest L 0-142.1 1370 1347 27.19% 25.44% 47.37%-0.36 -10.0 7
1918-12-15 33FC D 0-054.5 1474 1426 55.31% 25.14% 19.55%+0.95 -2.9 12
1918-12-15 @ Vasas D 0-054.5 1426 1474 19.55% 25.14% 55.31%-0.95 +2.9 10
1918-12-15 III. Kerulet W 2-153.3 1666 1487 65.92% 23.92% 10.16%+2.05 +4.0 19
1918-12-15 @ Ferencvaros L 1-253.3 1487 1666 10.16% 23.92% 65.92%-2.05 -4.0 11
1918-12-22 Budapesti AK W 2-043.8 1228 1360 32.54% 25.37% 42.09%-0.56 +26.3 5
1918-12-22 @ Budapesti MAVAG SK L 0-243.8 1360 1228 42.09% 25.37% 32.54%+0.56 -26.3 7
1919-02-16 Ferencvaros L 0-337.0 1238 1670 7.82% 22.12% 70.06%-3.07 -8.9 5
1919-02-16 @ Budapest TC W 3-037.0 1670 1238 70.06% 22.12% 7.82%+3.07 +8.9 21
1919-02-16 Vasas D 1-155.1 1334 1471 31.93% 25.35% 42.72%-0.60 +0.7 8
1919-02-16 @ Budapesti AK D 1-155.1 1471 1334 42.72% 25.35% 31.93%+0.60 -0.7 13
1919-02-16 Torekves SC W 5-154.4 1254 1583 13.11% 23.67% 63.22%-2.21 +59.9 7
1919-02-16 @ Budapesti MAVAG SK L 1-554.4 1583 1254 63.22% 23.67% 13.11%+2.21 -59.9 10
1919-02-16 Kispest W 3-037.3 1483 1357 62.22% 24.51% 13.28%+1.61 +15.0 13
1919-02-16 @ III. Kerulet L 0-337.3 1357 1483 13.28% 24.51% 62.22%-1.61 -15.0 11
1919-02-16 MTK Budapest L 0-742.5 1328 1828 5.58% 20.93% 73.50%-3.64 -13.9 10
1919-02-16 @ Terezvarosi TC W 7-042.5 1828 1328 73.50% 20.93% 5.58%+3.64 +13.9 20
1919-02-16 33FC W 1-044.9 1557 1428 62.38% 24.49% 13.13%+1.62 +5.4 16
1919-02-16 @ Ujpest L 0-144.9 1428 1557 13.13% 24.49% 62.38%-1.62 -5.4 10
1919-02-23 Budapesti AK W 2-037.7 1423 1334 59.12% 24.85% 16.03%+1.29 +12.2 12
1919-02-23 @ 33FC L 0-237.7 1334 1423 16.03% 24.85% 59.12%-1.29 -12.2 8
1919-02-23 Vasas W 1-050.0 1229 1470 20.10% 24.66% 55.24%-1.47 +17.6 7
1919-02-23 @ Budapest TC L 0-150.0 1470 1229 55.24% 24.66% 20.10%+1.47 -17.6 13
1919-02-23 Kispest L 1-448.2 1314 1342 46.70% 25.45% 27.85%+0.31 -35.2 7
1919-02-23 @ Budapesti MAVAG SK W 4-148.2 1342 1314 27.85% 25.45% 46.70%-0.31 +35.2 13
1919-02-23 Torekves SC W 2-154.7 1842 1523 73.19% 21.82% 4.99%+3.22 +2.0 22
1919-02-23 @ MTK Budapest L 1-254.7 1523 1842 4.99% 21.82% 73.19%-3.22 -2.0 10
1919-02-23 III. Kerulet D 1-155.3 1314 1498 26.05% 25.11% 48.84%-0.99 +1.6 11
1919-02-23 @ Terezvarosi TC D 1-155.3 1498 1314 48.84% 25.11% 26.05%+0.99 -1.6 14
1919-02-23 Ferencvaros D 0-065.2 1562 1679 34.60% 25.42% 39.99%-0.43 +0.4 17
1919-02-23 @ Ujpest D 0-065.2 1679 1562 39.99% 25.42% 34.60%+0.43 -0.4 22
1919-03-02 Terezvarosi TC L 0-251.2 1435 1316 61.68% 24.58% 13.74%+1.55 -37.3 12
1919-03-02 @ 33FC W 2-051.2 1316 1435 13.74% 24.58% 61.68%-1.55 +37.3 13
1919-03-02 Budapesti MAVAG SK W 3-141.1 1322 1279 54.85% 25.17% 19.98%+0.91 +12.7 10
1919-03-02 @ Budapesti AK L 1-341.1 1279 1322 19.98% 25.17% 54.85%-0.91 -12.7 7
1919-03-02 Ferencvaros L 0-246.4 1377 1679 14.99% 24.02% 60.99%-1.98 -11.4 13
1919-03-02 @ Kispest W 2-046.4 1679 1377 60.99% 24.02% 14.99%+1.98 +11.3 24
1919-03-02 Budapest TC L 0-154.6 1497 1247 69.98% 22.94% 7.08%+2.64 -22.4 14
1919-03-02 @ III. Kerulet W 1-054.6 1247 1497 7.08% 22.94% 69.98%-2.64 +22.4 9
1919-03-02 Ujpest W 2-155.5 1844 1563 71.52% 22.45% 6.03%+2.91 +2.4 24
1919-03-02 @ MTK Budapest L 1-255.5 1563 1844 6.03% 22.45% 71.52%-2.91 -2.4 17
1919-03-02 Vasas L 0-256.3 1521 1452 57.34% 25.00% 17.66%+1.13 -34.7 10
1919-03-02 @ Torekves SC W 2-056.3 1452 1521 17.66% 25.00% 57.34%-1.13 +34.7 15
1919-03-09 33FC W 1-045.8 1269 1398 33.02% 25.38% 41.60%-0.53 +13.8 11
1919-03-09 @ Budapest TC L 0-145.8 1398 1269 41.60% 25.38% 33.02%+0.53 -13.8 12
1919-03-09 Ferencvaros L 0-342.7 1335 1690 11.50% 23.31% 65.19%-2.43 -12.9 10
1919-03-09 @ Budapesti AK W 3-042.7 1690 1335 65.19% 23.31% 11.50%+2.43 +12.9 26
1919-03-09 Torekves SC D 2-263.8 1474 1486 48.69% 25.41% 25.90%+0.45 -1.2 15
1919-03-09 @ III. Kerulet D 2-263.8 1486 1474 25.90% 25.41% 48.69%-0.45 +1.2 11
1919-03-09 Kispest W 9-143.6 1846 1366 79.02% 18.78% 2.20%+4.57 +5.0 26
1919-03-09 @ MTK Budapest L 1-943.6 1366 1846 2.20% 18.78% 79.02%-4.57 -5.0 13
1919-03-09 Budapesti MAVAG SK D 1-152.5 1353 1266 58.99% 24.86% 16.15%+1.28 -3.2 14
1919-03-09 @ Terezvarosi TC D 1-152.5 1266 1353 16.15% 24.86% 58.99%-1.28 +3.2 8
1919-03-16 MTK Budapest L 1-645.9 1322 1851 4.81% 20.38% 74.81%-3.89 -7.2 10
1919-03-16 @ Budapesti AK W 6-145.9 1851 1322 74.81% 20.38% 4.81%+3.89 +7.2 28
1919-03-16 Budapest TC D 2-255.9 1269 1283 48.48% 25.42% 26.11%+0.43 -1.2 9
1919-03-16 @ Budapesti MAVAG SK D 2-255.9 1283 1269 26.11% 25.42% 48.48%-0.43 +1.2 12
1919-03-16 Vasas L 0-146.6 1361 1487 33.41% 25.39% 41.20%-0.51 -11.7 13
1919-03-16 @ Kispest W 1-046.6 1487 1361 41.20% 25.39% 33.41%+0.51 +11.7 17
1919-03-16 Ujpest L 2-362.3 1473 1560 38.86% 25.48% 35.66%-0.18 -11.7 15
1919-03-16 @ III. Kerulet W 3-262.3 1560 1473 35.66% 25.48% 38.86%+0.18 +11.7 19
1919-03-16 Ferencvaros L 0-146.6 1350 1703 11.62% 23.34% 65.04%-2.41 -4.8 14
1919-03-16 @ Terezvarosi TC W 1-046.6 1703 1350 65.04% 23.34% 11.62%+2.41 +4.8 28
1919-03-16 33FC W 3-144.0 1488 1384 60.40% 24.72% 14.88%+1.42 +9.9 13
1919-03-16 @ Torekves SC L 1-344.0 1384 1488 14.88% 24.72% 60.40%-1.42 -9.9 12
1919-03-23 MTK Budapest L 0-641.3 1284 1858 3.84% 19.51% 76.65%-4.26 -8.1 12
1919-03-23 @ Budapest TC W 6-041.3 1858 1284 76.65% 19.51% 3.84%+4.26 +8.1 30
1919-03-23 III. Kerulet D 0-056.6 1499 1462 54.19% 25.20% 20.60%+0.86 -2.7 18
1919-03-23 @ Vasas D 0-056.6 1462 1499 20.60% 25.20% 54.19%-0.86 +2.7 16
1919-03-23 Ferencvaros L 0-148.1 1374 1708 12.80% 23.61% 63.60%-2.25 -5.2 12
1919-03-23 @ 33FC W 1-048.1 1708 1374 63.60% 23.61% 12.80%+2.25 +5.2 30
1919-03-30 Ujpest L 0-337.6 1268 1572 14.83% 23.99% 61.18%-2.00 -16.3 9
1919-03-30 @ Budapesti MAVAG SK W 3-037.6 1572 1268 61.18% 23.99% 14.83%+2.00 +16.3 21
1919-03-30 Budapesti AK D 3-362.3 1464 1315 63.92% 24.26% 11.82%+1.80 -2.5 17
1919-03-30 @ III. Kerulet D 3-362.3 1315 1464 11.82% 24.26% 63.92%-1.80 +2.5 11
1919-03-30 Vasas L 1-347.9 1345 1496 30.13% 25.29% 44.58%-0.71 -17.6 14
1919-03-30 @ Terezvarosi TC W 3-147.9 1496 1345 44.58% 25.29% 30.13%+0.71 +17.6 20
1919-03-30 Ferencvaros L 0-155.0 1498 1713 22.59% 24.88% 52.53%-1.26 -8.6 13
1919-03-30 @ Torekves SC W 1-055.0 1713 1498 52.53% 24.88% 22.59%+1.26 +8.6 32
1919-03-30 33FC W 4-043.5 1867 1369 79.55% 18.43% 2.02%+4.72 +2.9 32
1919-03-30 @ MTK Budapest L 0-443.5 1369 1867 2.02% 18.43% 79.55%-4.72 -2.9 12
1919-04-13 Budapesti MAVAG SK W 1-036.8 1366 1252 61.28% 24.62% 14.09%+1.51 +5.8 14
1919-04-13 @ 33FC L 0-136.8 1252 1366 14.09% 24.62% 61.28%-1.51 -5.8 9
1919-04-13 Kispest W 3-249.4 1317 1349 46.23% 25.46% 28.31%+0.28 +9.2 13
1919-04-13 @ Budapesti AK L 2-349.4 1349 1317 28.31% 25.46% 46.23%-0.28 -9.2 13
1919-04-13 Budapest TC W 1-038.4 1328 1276 55.65% 25.12% 19.23%+0.98 +7.5 16
1919-04-13 @ Terezvarosi TC L 0-138.4 1276 1328 19.23% 25.12% 55.65%-0.98 -7.6 12
1919-04-13 Torekves SC W 2-152.7 1588 1489 60.05% 24.76% 15.19%+1.38 +5.8 23
1919-04-13 @ Ujpest L 1-252.7 1489 1588 15.19% 24.76% 60.05%-1.38 -5.8 13
1919-04-13 Ferencvaros L 0-449.1 1462 1722 18.34% 24.48% 57.19%-1.63 -25.7 17
1919-04-13 @ III. Kerulet W 4-049.1 1722 1462 57.19% 24.48% 18.34%+1.63 +25.7 34
1919-04-27 III. Kerulet L 1-540.6 1246 1436 25.38% 25.07% 49.55%-1.04 -28.1 9
1919-04-27 @ Budapesti MAVAG SK W 5-140.6 1436 1246 49.55% 25.07% 25.38%+1.04 +28.1 19
1919-04-27 Terezvarosi TC L 0-444.7 1340 1335 50.69% 25.36% 23.95%+0.59 -58.6 13
1919-04-27 @ Kispest W 4-044.7 1335 1340 23.95% 25.36% 50.69%-0.59 +58.6 18
1919-04-27 Budapest TC D 1-154.6 1483 1269 68.07% 23.45% 8.48%+2.35 -4.7 14
1919-04-27 @ Torekves SC D 1-154.6 1269 1483 8.48% 23.45% 68.07%-2.35 +4.7 13
1919-04-27 Budapesti AK W 2-143.7 1594 1327 70.85% 22.67% 6.48%+2.79 +2.6 25
1919-04-27 @ Ujpest L 1-243.7 1327 1594 6.48% 22.67% 70.85%-2.79 -2.6 13
1919-04-27 MTK Budapest D 0-067.6 1513 1869 11.46% 23.30% 65.24%-2.43 +4.6 21
1919-04-27 @ Vasas D 0-067.6 1869 1513 65.24% 23.30% 11.46%+2.43 -4.6 33
1919-05-04 MTK Budapest L 0-638.6 1218 1865 2.66% 18.06% 79.28%-4.87 -5.4 9
1919-05-04 @ Budapesti MAVAG SK W 6-038.6 1865 1218 79.28% 18.06% 2.66%+4.87 +5.4 35
1919-06-01 Kispest W 4-246.1 1273 1282 49.13% 25.40% 25.46%+0.48 +13.9 15
1919-06-01 @ Budapest TC L 2-446.1 1282 1273 25.46% 25.40% 49.13%-0.48 -13.9 13
1919-06-08 Ujpest W 1-056.2 1518 1597 40.03% 25.49% 34.48%-0.11 +12.0 23
1919-06-08 @ Vasas L 0-156.2 1597 1518 34.48% 25.49% 40.03%+0.11 -12.0 25
1919-06-08 Ferencvaros W 2-053.9 1870 1747 61.96% 24.54% 13.50%+1.58 +10.5 37
1919-06-08 @ MTK Budapest L 0-253.9 1747 1870 13.50% 24.54% 61.96%-1.58 -10.5 34
1919-06-08 Vasas W 2-155.6 1372 1530 29.18% 25.26% 45.56%-0.78 +14.0 16
1919-06-08 @ 33FC L 1-255.6 1530 1372 45.56% 25.26% 29.18%+0.78 -14.0 23
1919-06-09 Budapesti AK W 2-145.2 1287 1324 45.60% 25.47% 28.93%+0.24 +9.9 17
1919-06-09 @ Budapest TC L 1-245.2 1324 1287 28.93% 25.47% 45.60%-0.24 -9.9 13
1919-06-09 Terezvarosi TC D 1-161.0 1585 1394 66.68% 23.76% 9.56%+2.15 -4.5 26
1919-06-09 @ Ujpest D 1-161.0 1394 1585 9.56% 23.76% 66.68%-2.15 +4.5 19
1919-06-15 MTK Budapest L 1-551.7 1464 1881 8.47% 22.38% 69.16%-2.94 -10.5 19
1919-06-15 @ III. Kerulet W 5-151.7 1881 1464 69.16% 22.38% 8.47%+2.94 +10.5 39
1919-06-15 Ujpest L 0-142.0 1297 1580 16.40% 24.23% 59.37%-1.82 -6.5 17
1919-06-15 @ Budapest TC W 1-042.0 1580 1297 59.37% 24.23% 16.40%+1.82 +6.5 28
1919-06-15 Budapesti AK W 2-037.1 1398 1314 58.72% 24.89% 16.39%+1.25 +12.4 21
1919-06-15 @ Terezvarosi TC L 0-237.1 1314 1398 16.39% 24.89% 58.72%-1.25 -12.4 13
1919-06-16 Vasas D 0-066.0 1737 1516 68.42% 23.36% 8.21%+2.40 -5.3 35
1919-06-16 @ Ferencvaros D 0-066.0 1516 1737 8.21% 23.36% 68.42%-2.40 +5.3 24
1919-06-19 33FC W 2-043.7 1268 1386 34.44% 25.41% 40.14%-0.44 +25.3 15
1919-06-19 @ Kispest L 0-243.7 1386 1268 40.14% 25.41% 34.44%+0.44 -25.4 16
1919-06-22 Kispest W 5-033.8 1587 1293 72.08% 22.25% 5.67%+3.01 +10.6 30
1919-06-22 @ Ujpest L 0-533.8 1293 1587 5.67% 22.25% 72.08%-3.01 -10.6 15
1919-06-29 III. Kerulet D 0-052.0 1361 1454 37.98% 25.47% 36.55%-0.23 -0.1 17
1919-06-29 @ 33FC D 0-052.0 1454 1361 36.55% 25.47% 37.98%+0.23 +0.1 20
1919-07-24 Terezvarosi TC L 0-253.4 1478 1411 57.24% 25.01% 17.75%+1.12 -34.6 14
1919-07-24 @ Torekves SC W 2-053.4 1411 1478 17.75% 25.01% 57.24%-1.12 +34.6 23
1919-07-31 Torekves SC W 2-046.3 1282 1444 28.78% 25.24% 45.98%-0.80 +28.3 17
1919-07-31 @ Kispest L 0-246.3 1444 1282 45.98% 25.24% 28.78%+0.80 -28.3 14

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1919-03-02 7.08% Budapest TC 1247 1 @ III. Kerulet 1497 0
2 1918-09-29 8.84% Kispest 1339 3 @ Torekves SC 1545 2
3 1918-11-17 9.02% Terezvarosi TC 1295 1 @ Vasas 1497 0
4 1918-09-29 13.02% Terezvarosi TC 1305 1 @ III. Kerulet 1435 0
5 1919-02-16 13.11% @ Budapesti MAVAG SK 1254 5 Torekves SC 1583 1
6 1919-03-02 13.74% Terezvarosi TC 1316 2 @ 33FC 1435 0
7 1918-11-16 15.82% @ Ujpest 1539 2 MTK Budapest 1829 1
8 1919-03-02 17.66% Vasas 1452 2 @ Torekves SC 1521 0
9 1919-07-24 17.75% Terezvarosi TC 1411 2 @ Torekves SC 1478 0
10 1918-12-08 19.68% @ Kispest 1329 1 Ujpest 1575 0
11 1919-02-23 20.10% @ Budapest TC 1229 1 Vasas 1470 0
12 1919-04-27 23.95% Terezvarosi TC 1335 4 @ Kispest 1340 0
13 1919-02-23 27.85% Kispest 1342 4 @ Budapesti MAVAG SK 1314 1
14 1919-07-31 28.78% @ Kispest 1282 2 Torekves SC 1444 0
15 1919-06-08 29.18% @ 33FC 1372 2 Vasas 1530 1
16 1918-09-22 29.37% III. Kerulet 1407 2 @ Kispest 1367 0
17 1918-11-24 30.11% @ Terezvarosi TC 1316 3 33FC 1467 1
18 1918-12-22 32.54% @ Budapesti MAVAG SK 1228 2 Budapesti AK 1360 0
19 1919-03-09 33.02% @ Budapest TC 1269 1 33FC 1398 0
20 1918-08-25 33.68% Vasas 1512 2 @ III. Kerulet 1439 0
21 1919-06-19 34.44% @ Kispest 1268 2 33FC 1386 0
22 1918-09-22 34.57% Ferencvaros 1619 2 @ Vasas 1539 0
23 1919-03-16 35.66% Ujpest 1560 3 @ III. Kerulet 1473 2
24 1918-12-08 36.31% III. Kerulet 1474 1 @ Budapesti AK 1383 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1918-11-10 61.18 Torekves SC 7 1526 47.16% @ Terezvarosi TC 0 1356 27.65% 25.19%
2 1919-02-16 59.90 @ Budapesti MAVAG SK 5 1254 13.11% Torekves SC 1 1583 63.22% 23.67%
3 1919-04-27 58.58 Terezvarosi TC 4 1335 23.95% @ Kispest 0 1340 50.69% 25.36%
4 1918-11-10 39.76 III. Kerulet 4 1422 43.41% @ Budapest TC 0 1280 31.26% 25.33%
5 1919-03-02 37.26 Terezvarosi TC 2 1316 13.74% @ 33FC 0 1435 61.68% 24.58%
6 1919-02-23 35.17 Kispest 4 1342 27.85% @ Budapesti MAVAG SK 1 1314 46.70% 25.45%
7 1919-03-02 34.66 Vasas 2 1452 17.66% @ Torekves SC 0 1521 57.34% 25.00%
8 1919-07-24 34.61 Terezvarosi TC 2 1411 17.75% @ Torekves SC 0 1478 57.24% 25.01%
9 1918-10-20 29.55 @ Terezvarosi TC 3 1325 44.51% Kispest 0 1370 30.01% 25.48%
10 1918-10-20 28.77 @ Ujpest 3 1488 45.55% Vasas 0 1526 28.98% 25.47%
11 1919-07-31 28.27 @ Kispest 2 1282 28.78% Torekves SC 0 1444 45.98% 25.24%
12 1919-04-27 28.10 III. Kerulet 5 1436 49.55% @ Budapesti MAVAG SK 1 1246 25.38% 25.07%
13 1918-09-22 27.91 III. Kerulet 2 1407 29.37% @ Kispest 0 1367 45.15% 25.47%
14 1918-12-22 26.31 @ Budapesti MAVAG SK 2 1228 32.54% Budapesti AK 0 1360 42.09% 25.37%
15 1918-08-25 25.70 Vasas 2 1512 33.68% @ III. Kerulet 0 1439 40.83% 25.49%
16 1919-04-13 25.70 Ferencvaros 4 1722 57.19% @ III. Kerulet 0 1462 18.34% 24.48%
17 1919-06-19 25.35 @ Kispest 2 1268 34.44% 33FC 0 1386 40.14% 25.41%
18 1918-09-22 25.27 Ferencvaros 2 1619 34.57% @ Vasas 0 1539 39.94% 25.49%
19 1918-11-24 23.88 @ Terezvarosi TC 3 1316 30.11% 33FC 1 1467 44.60% 25.29%
20 1918-11-10 22.77 Ujpest 2 1516 39.75% @ Budapesti AK 0 1401 34.83% 25.42%
21 1919-03-02 22.39 Budapest TC 1 1247 7.08% @ III. Kerulet 0 1497 69.98% 22.94%
22 1918-09-01 22.27 @ Kispest 3 1341 53.76% Budapest TC 0 1308 21.02% 25.23%
23 1918-11-17 21.58 Terezvarosi TC 1 1295 9.02% @ Vasas 0 1497 67.36% 23.62%
24 1918-09-29 20.03 Terezvarosi TC 1 1305 13.02% @ III. Kerulet 0 1435 62.51% 24.47%
25 1918-09-29 19.38 Kispest 3 1339 8.84% @ Torekves SC 2 1545 67.60% 23.56%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1918-09-28 74.7 @ Ferencvaros 2 1644 26.76% MTK Budapest 2 1822 48.10% 25.15%
2 1918-11-16 72.0 @ Ujpest 2 1539 15.82% MTK Budapest 1 1829 60.03% 24.15%
3 1918-10-20 69.9 @ 33FC 1 1476 12.10% MTK Budapest 1 1821 64.44% 23.46%
4 1919-04-27 67.6 @ Vasas 0 1513 11.46% MTK Budapest 0 1869 65.24% 23.30%
5 1919-06-16 66.0 @ Ferencvaros 0 1737 68.42% Vasas 0 1516 8.21% 23.36%
6 1919-02-23 65.2 @ Ujpest 0 1562 34.60% Ferencvaros 0 1679 39.99% 25.42%
7 1918-09-01 65.0 @ Vasas 1 1538 46.53% Torekves SC 1 1567 28.01% 25.46%
8 1918-09-29 65.0 Kispest 3 1339 8.84% @ Torekves SC 2 1545 67.60% 23.56%
9 1918-09-08 64.9 MTK Budapest 5 1805 54.80% @ Torekves SC 3 1569 20.50% 24.70%
10 1918-10-13 63.9 @ Ferencvaros 0 1645 61.65% Torekves SC 0 1526 13.77% 24.58%
11 1919-03-09 63.8 @ III. Kerulet 2 1474 48.69% Torekves SC 2 1486 25.90% 25.41%
12 1918-08-25 63.6 @ Torekves SC 1 1571 58.72% Ujpest 1 1487 16.39% 24.89%
13 1918-09-15 62.3 @ Ferencvaros 1 1623 69.41% Budapesti AK 1 1384 7.49% 23.10%
14 1919-03-16 62.3 Ujpest 3 1560 35.66% @ III. Kerulet 2 1473 38.86% 25.48%
15 1919-03-30 62.3 @ III. Kerulet 3 1464 63.92% Budapesti AK 3 1315 11.82% 24.26%
16 1919-06-09 61.0 @ Ujpest 1 1585 66.68% Terezvarosi TC 1 1394 9.56% 23.76%
17 1918-10-20 59.6 @ Torekves SC 1 1530 61.10% III. Kerulet 1 1418 14.26% 24.64%
18 1918-09-22 59.0 @ Ujpest 2 1495 67.84% Budapest TC 2 1285 8.66% 23.51%
19 1918-12-01 58.3 Ujpest 4 1557 39.49% @ 33FC 2 1443 35.09% 25.43%
20 1918-09-29 58.1 @ Budapesti MAVAG SK 2 1275 24.03% 33FC 2 1477 50.99% 24.98%
21 1918-10-13 58.1 @ Ujpest 1 1492 58.04% III. Kerulet 1 1415 17.01% 24.95%
22 1918-09-22 57.6 Ferencvaros 2 1619 34.57% @ Vasas 0 1539 39.94% 25.49%
23 1918-11-17 57.3 @ Torekves SC 0 1588 67.80% Budapesti AK 0 1378 8.68% 23.52%
24 1918-09-08 57.1 @ III. Kerulet 1 1414 43.42% 33FC 1 1467 31.10% 25.49%
25 1918-11-01 56.9 @ Terezvarosi TC 1 1355 28.63% Ujpest 1 1517 46.13% 25.23%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1918-11-17 32.0 @ III. Kerulet 4 1461 67.86% Budapesti MAVAG SK 0 1250 8.64% 23.50%
2 1918-12-08 32.9 @ Torekves SC 3 1578 74.27% Budapesti MAVAG SK 0 1233 4.37% 21.36%
3 1918-11-17 33.5 @ Ferencvaros 4 1654 76.83% Budapest TC 0 1240 3.09% 20.09%
4 1919-06-22 33.8 @ Ujpest 5 1587 72.08% Kispest 0 1293 5.67% 22.25%
5 1918-09-01 34.3 @ Ujpest 3 1490 67.30% Budapesti MAVAG SK 0 1288 9.07% 23.63%
6 1918-09-29 35.7 @ Vasas 2 1514 68.72% Budapest TC 0 1288 7.99% 23.29%
7 1918-12-01 35.8 @ Ferencvaros 6 1658 77.07% Budapesti MAVAG SK 1 1237 2.98% 19.95%
8 1918-10-13 36.0 @ Kispest 2 1358 59.23% Budapesti MAVAG SK 0 1269 15.93% 24.84%
9 1918-09-01 36.5 @ Kispest 3 1341 53.76% Budapest TC 0 1308 21.02% 25.23%
10 1919-04-13 36.8 @ 33FC 1 1366 61.28% Budapesti MAVAG SK 0 1252 14.09% 24.62%
11 1919-02-16 37.0 Ferencvaros 3 1670 70.06% @ Budapest TC 0 1238 7.82% 22.12%
12 1919-06-15 37.1 @ Terezvarosi TC 2 1398 58.72% Budapesti AK 0 1314 16.39% 24.89%
13 1919-02-16 37.3 @ III. Kerulet 3 1483 62.22% Kispest 0 1357 13.28% 24.51%
14 1919-03-30 37.6 Ujpest 3 1572 61.18% @ Budapesti MAVAG SK 0 1268 14.83% 23.99%
15 1918-08-25 37.7 @ Ferencvaros 4 1608 70.29% Kispest 0 1352 6.86% 22.85%
16 1919-02-23 37.7 @ 33FC 2 1423 59.12% Budapesti AK 0 1334 16.03% 24.85%
17 1918-11-10 38.3 @ MTK Budapest 13 1823 81.56% Budapesti MAVAG SK 0 1256 1.42% 17.02%
18 1919-04-13 38.4 @ Terezvarosi TC 1 1328 55.65% Budapest TC 0 1276 19.23% 25.12%
19 1919-05-04 38.6 MTK Budapest 6 1865 79.28% @ Budapesti MAVAG SK 0 1218 2.66% 18.06%
20 1918-11-10 39.2 III. Kerulet 4 1422 43.41% @ Budapest TC 0 1280 31.26% 25.33%
21 1918-10-20 39.8 @ Terezvarosi TC 3 1325 44.51% Kispest 0 1370 30.01% 25.48%
22 1918-10-20 40.2 @ Budapesti AK 3 1391 60.18% Budapest TC 1 1290 15.07% 24.75%
23 1918-11-24 40.3 @ MTK Budapest 8 1811 81.80% Budapest TC 2 1235 1.36% 16.84%
24 1918-12-08 40.3 @ Ferencvaros 2 1663 73.69% Terezvarosi TC 0 1332 4.70% 21.62%
25 1919-04-27 40.6 III. Kerulet 5 1436 49.55% @ Budapesti MAVAG SK 1 1246 25.38% 25.07%