1924-25 I. Osztály Season

132 games

Final

Champion

MTK Budapest

38 points · 11th Title

Last Title: 1923-24

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Nemzeti SC

7.73 points above expected

22 points · 14.27 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Budapest TC

7.33 points below expected

12 points · 19.33 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	MTK Budapest Champion	22	18	2	2	38	65	16	+49	32.94	+5.06
2	Ferencvaros	22	11	8	3	30	37	24	+13	28.24	+1.76
3	Vasas	22	10	7	5	27	38	25	+13	23.96	+3.04
4	III. Kerulet	22	7	9	6	23	24	25	-1	20.63	+2.37
5	Ujpest	22	7	8	7	22	29	18	+11	27.29	-5.29
6	Nemzeti SC	22	8	6	8	22	29	32	-3	14.27	+7.73
7	VAC Budapest	22	7	8	7	22	19	23	-4	22.21	-0.21
8	Kispest	22	6	7	9	19	20	28	-8	19.99	-0.99
9	Budapesti EAC	22	7	4	11	18	21	45	-24	13.41	+4.59
10	Torekves SC	22	4	8	10	16	30	34	-4	22.70	-6.70
11	Zugloi AC	22	4	7	11	15	23	42	-19	19.03	-4.03
12	Budapest TC	22	3	6	13	12	13	36	-23	19.33	-7.33

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Nemzeti SC	22	14.27	+7.73
2	MTK Budapest	38	32.94	+5.06
3	Budapesti EAC	18	13.41	+4.59
4	Vasas	27	23.96	+3.04
5	III. Kerulet	23	20.63	+2.37

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Budapest TC	12	19.33	-7.33
2	Torekves SC	16	22.70	-6.70
3	Ujpest	22	27.29	-5.29
4	Zugloi AC	15	19.03	-4.03
5	Kispest	19	19.99	-0.99

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Budapesti EAC	4	Apr 5 – May 25	1 in 2,572
2	MTK Budapest	13	Oct 12 – Mar 22	1 in 1,060
3	Nemzeti SC	3	Nov 30 – Feb 15	1 in 189
4	Ferencvaros	4	Mar 15 – Apr 12	1 in 47
5	Budapest TC	2	Mar 22 – Mar 29	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Budapest TC	5	Dec 7 – Mar 1	1 in 83
2	Ujpest	3	Sep 7 – Oct 12	1 in 61
3	Budapesti EAC	6	Oct 26 – Dec 7	1 in 47
4	Torekves SC	4	Mar 1 – Mar 22	1 in 36
5	Zugloi AC	3	Oct 19 – Nov 1	1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Budapesti EAC	4	Apr 5 – May 25	1 in 30
2	Nemzeti SC	4	Nov 23 – Feb 15	1 in 29
3	Kispest	6	Oct 12 – Nov 23	1 in 22
4	VAC Budapest	8	Sep 7 – Nov 9	1 in 21
5	Vasas	7	Sep 28 – Nov 9	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Budapest TC	14	Sep 7 – Mar 1	1 in 238
2	Ujpest	8	Sep 7 – Nov 16	1 in 110
3	Torekves SC	10	Nov 9 – Mar 22	1 in 64
4	Zugloi AC	10	Nov 30 – Apr 26	1 in 46
5	Ferencvaros	3	Feb 22 – Mar 8	1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
MTK Budapest	2002	38	+19	8	7.6	+0.4
Ferencvaros	1885	30	-3	6	6.4	-0.4
Vasas	1802	27	-12	5	6.1	-1.1
III. Kerulet	1729	23	-12	5	4.8	+0.2
Ujpest	1861	22	+36	9	6.3	+2.7
VAC Budapest	1719	22	-18	5	5.1	-0.1
Nemzeti SC	1624	22	-3	3	3.5	-0.5
Kispest	1677	19	-28	1	4.1	-3.1
Budapesti EAC	1637	18	+77	8	2.8	+5.2
Torekves SC	1716	16	+0	5	4.6	+0.4
Zugloi AC	1653	15	-18	3	4.0	-1.0
Budapest TC	1631	12	-21	3	3.8	-0.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BT	BE	FER	IK	KIS	MB	NS	TS	UJP	VB	VAS	ZA
Budapest TC	—	0-1-1 3.59	1-0-1 1.51	0-1-1 2.47	0-1-1 2.52	0-0-2 1.03	1-0-1 3.47	0-1-1 2.15	0-1-1 1.69	1-0-1 2.15	0-1-1 2.16	0-0-2 2.84
Budapesti EAC	1-1-0 1.79	—	1-0-1 1.10	1-0-1 1.61	1-0-1 1.90	0-1-1 0.84	0-0-2 2.42	0-1-1 1.55	1-0-1 1.07	1-1-0 1.54	0-0-2 1.23	1-0-1 1.70
Ferencvaros	1-0-1 3.91	1-0-1 4.38	—	1-1-0 3.69	2-0-0 3.93	1-0-1 2.13	0-2-0 4.34	1-1-0 3.55	1-1-0 2.82	1-1-0 3.61	1-1-0 3.29	1-1-0 3.99
III. Kerulet	1-1-0 2.89	1-0-1 3.80	0-1-1 1.71	—	1-0-1 2.85	0-0-2 1.29	1-1-0 3.68	1-1-0 2.55	1-1-0 1.78	1-1-0 2.42	0-1-1 2.40	0-2-0 3.03
Kispest	1-1-0 2.84	1-0-1 3.48	0-0-2 1.48	1-0-1 2.50	—	0-0-2 1.09	0-1-1 3.54	2-0-0 2.29	0-2-0 1.72	0-1-1 2.27	0-1-1 2.01	1-1-0 2.82
MTK Budapest	2-0-0 4.48	1-1-0 4.73	1-0-1 3.24	2-0-0 4.15	2-0-0 4.40	—	2-0-0 4.69	1-1-0 4.21	1-0-1 3.52	2-0-0 4.14	2-0-0 3.89	2-0-0 4.25
Nemzeti SC	1-0-1 1.91	2-0-0 2.94	0-2-0 1.14	0-1-1 1.71	1-1-0 1.84	0-0-2 0.86	—	1-1-0 1.71	1-0-1 1.31	0-1-1 1.73	0-0-2 1.54	2-0-0 2.09
Torekves SC	1-1-0 3.22	1-1-0 3.86	0-1-1 1.84	0-1-1 2.81	0-0-2 3.07	0-1-1 1.24	0-1-1 3.70	—	0-1-1 2.01	0-1-1 2.88	0-0-2 2.45	2-0-0 3.13
Ujpest	1-1-0 3.71	1-0-1 4.42	0-1-1 2.54	0-1-1 3.60	0-2-0 3.67	1-0-1 1.88	1-0-1 4.13	1-1-0 3.37	—	1-0-1 3.51	1-1-0 2.98	0-1-1 3.86
VAC Budapest	1-0-1 3.22	0-1-1 3.86	0-1-1 1.78	0-1-1 2.94	1-1-0 3.09	0-0-2 1.30	1-1-0 3.67	1-1-0 2.48	1-0-1 1.86	—	1-1-0 2.34	1-1-0 3.16
Vasas	1-1-0 3.21	2-0-0 4.22	0-1-1 2.08	1-1-0 2.96	1-1-0 3.37	0-0-2 1.52	2-0-0 3.87	2-0-0 2.91	0-1-1 2.38	0-1-1 3.02	—	1-1-0 3.32
Zugloi AC	2-0-0 2.52	1-0-1 3.69	0-1-1 1.44	0-2-0 2.33	0-1-1 2.53	0-0-2 1.23	0-0-2 3.28	0-0-2 2.23	1-1-0 1.55	0-1-1 2.20	0-1-1 2.05	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.78	+4.7
Allowed	0.55	-5.9
Differential	0.86	+3.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	6.44%	4.92%	0.76%	2.27%	32.58%
1	9.09%	15.15%	6.44%	1.52%	—	0.76%	32.95%
2	6.44%	6.44%	4.55%	1.14%	0.38%	1.14%	20.08%
3	4.92%	1.52%	1.14%	1.52%	—	—	9.09%
4	0.76%	—	0.38%	—	—	—	1.14%
5+	2.27%	0.76%	1.14%	—	—	—	4.17%
Total	32.58%	32.95%	20.08%	9.09%	1.14%	4.17%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.32	+0.00
SD	1.51	1.51	2.27
CV	1.15	1.15	—
Max	11	11	+9
Min	0	0	-9

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	22.73%	4.55%	13.64%	—	4.55%	54.55%
1	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
2	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
3	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	31.82%	18.18%	22.73%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.59	1.64	-1.05
SD	0.80	1.47	1.65
CV	1.35	0.90	—
Max	3	6	+1
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	50.00%
1	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	27.27%
2	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%
3	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	31.82%	18.18%	22.73%	4.55%	9.09%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.95	2.05	-1.09
SD	1.33	2.34	2.84
CV	1.39	1.14	—
Max	5	9	+5
Min	0	0	-9

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
1	4.55%	18.18%	—	—	—	—	22.73%
2	22.73%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	40.91%
3	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	50.00%	36.36%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	1.09	+0.59
SD	1.21	2.35	2.59
CV	0.72	2.15	—
Max	5	11	+5
Min	0	0	-9

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	27.27%
1	13.64%	27.27%	9.09%	—	—	—	50.00%
2	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
3	13.64%	—	—	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.91%	27.27%	18.18%	9.09%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	1.14	-0.05
SD	0.97	1.32	1.99
CV	0.89	1.16	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	36.36%
1	9.09%	27.27%	4.55%	—	—	—	40.91%
2	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	45.45%	18.18%	9.09%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.91	1.27	-0.36
SD	0.87	1.08	1.59
CV	0.95	0.85	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
1	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
2	9.09%	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	—	31.82%
3	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
Total	45.45%	36.36%	18.18%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.95	0.73	+2.23
SD	2.57	0.77	2.43
CV	0.87	1.06	—
Max	11	2	+9
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	31.82%
1	9.09%	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	27.27%
2	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	31.82%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	36.36%	18.18%	36.36%	—	—	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.45	-0.14
SD	1.39	1.71	2.19
CV	1.06	1.18	—
Max	6	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
1	4.55%	18.18%	13.64%	9.09%	—	4.55%	50.00%
2	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	18.18%	31.82%	36.36%	9.09%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.55	-0.18
SD	1.92	1.18	2.42
CV	1.41	0.77	—
Max	9	5	+9
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	31.82%
1	9.09%	27.27%	9.09%	—	—	—	45.45%
2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
3	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	36.36%	45.45%	18.18%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	0.82	+0.50
SD	1.55	0.73	1.99
CV	1.18	0.90	—
Max	6	2	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	45.45%
1	9.09%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
2	9.09%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	31.82%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.36%	36.36%	13.64%	13.64%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.86	1.05	-0.18
SD	0.89	1.05	1.40
CV	1.03	1.00	—
Max	2	3	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
1	—	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
2	4.55%	22.73%	4.55%	—	—	—	31.82%
3	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	27.27%	40.91%	22.73%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	1.14	+0.59
SD	1.49	0.94	1.89
CV	0.86	0.83	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	13.64%	—	4.55%	36.36%
1	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	31.82%
2	9.09%	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	27.27%	13.64%	27.27%	—	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.05	1.91	-0.86
SD	1.00	1.77	2.21
CV	0.96	0.93	—
Max	3	7	+3
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
MTK Budapest	2002	38	32.94	+5.06	98.0%	25	28	31	33	35	37	42
Ferencvaros	1885	30	28.24	+1.76	75.0%	21	23	25	28	30	33	35
Ujpest	1861	22	27.29	-5.29	10.0%	17	20	25	28	30	33	35
Vasas	1802	27	23.96	+3.04	79.0%	16	18	21	24	27	30	37
III. Kerulet	1729	23	20.63	+2.37	75.0%	10	14	18	20	23	27	29
VAC Budapest	1719	22	22.21	-0.21	51.0%	11	17	20	22	25	27	32
Torekves SC	1716	16	22.70	-6.70	4.0%	12	17	20	23	25	29	33
Kispest	1677	19	19.99	-0.99	41.0%	6	13	17	21	22	25	26
Zugloi AC	1653	15	19.03	-4.03	16.0%	9	13	17	19	21	24	30
Budapesti EAC	1637	18	13.41	+4.59	90.0%	5	8	11	13	15	20	23
Budapest TC	1631	12	19.33	-7.33	2.0%	12	14	17	19	22	25	29
Nemzeti SC	1624	22	14.27	+7.73	98.0%	7	9	12	15	16	20	24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 20.5% * Clear Edge: 20.5% to 27% * Strong Edge: 27% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+4.55%

No Edge

37.12%30.30%32.58%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 15.80 Elo pts.

174 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.23 goals

Neutral

-2+0.09+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.4

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

84%

MTK Budapest, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.36/gm

Runaway

00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.86 * Some Luck: 2.86 to 4.28 * Lucky: 4.28 to 5.71 * Wild Swing: 5.71 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.22 * Close: 1.22 to 1.83 * Off: 1.83 to 2.44 * Way Off: 2.44 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

4.73 points

Lucky

03.579

Average Finish Error

Expected

2.00

Off

01.524

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

98.00%

MTK Budapest

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

2.00%

Budapest TC

050

Season Outliers

Expected

4 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.6 * Moderate Separation: 1.6 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65.5% * Slight Edge: 65.5% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 88.5% * Clear Edge: 88.5% to 92.5% * Strong Edge: 92.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50% * Some Drama: 50% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 20% * Frequent: 20% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.17

Even

00.150.210.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 119.42

1.82

Moderate Separation

11.61.852.152.75

Interquartile Edge

72%

Clear Edge

50%65.5%75.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

90%

Clear Edge

50%92%100%

Close Games

Expected

64%

Very Frequent

0%49%100%

Blowouts

Expected

20%

Occasional

0%27%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.47 * Notable Separation: 0.47 to 0.53 * Lopsided: 0.53 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.45 * Some Carryover: 0.45 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.72 * Near-Lock: 0.72 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.63

Hard to Predict

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.41

Slight Separation

00.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.82

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.44

Weak Carryover

00.450.590.721

Upset Rate

Expected

20%

As Expected

0%21%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

24%

Very Shaky

0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.23 * Above Noise: 0.23 to 0.31 * Well Above Noise: 0.31 and up.

Probability calibration

0.34

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.65

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.183

Near Noise Ceiling

00.1530.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
MTK Budapest	84.00%	9.00%	6.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Ferencvaros	7.00%	46.00%	21.00%	13.00%	10.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Vasas	1.00%	11.00%	16.00%	13.00%	22.00%	13.00%	9.00%	5.00%	7.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—
III. Kerulet	—	—	6.00%	12.00%	13.00%	9.00%	11.00%	16.00%	13.00%	9.00%	8.00%	3.00%
Ujpest	7.00%	27.00%	29.00%	17.00%	7.00%	5.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—
Nemzeti SC	—	—	—	2.00%	—	—	1.00%	5.00%	8.00%	22.00%	30.00%	32.00%
VAC Budapest	1.00%	—	8.00%	16.00%	11.00%	21.00%	13.00%	17.00%	7.00%	1.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Kispest	—	—	2.00%	8.00%	8.00%	18.00%	16.00%	10.00%	15.00%	13.00%	7.00%	3.00%
Budapesti EAC	—	—	—	—	—	—	5.00%	2.00%	6.00%	10.00%	25.00%	52.00%
Torekves SC	—	5.00%	10.00%	12.00%	17.00%	16.00%	16.00%	5.00%	8.00%	8.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Zugloi AC	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	6.00%	9.00%	15.00%	18.00%	21.00%	14.00%	8.00%	7.00%
Budapest TC	—	2.00%	1.00%	5.00%	6.00%	7.00%	11.00%	20.00%	13.00%	20.00%	14.00%	1.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level
Budapest TC	100%
Budapesti EAC	100%
Ferencvaros	100%
III. Kerulet	100%
Kispest	100%
MTK Budapest	100%
Nemzeti SC	100%
Torekves SC	100%
Ujpest	100%
VAC Budapest	100%
Vasas	100%
Zugloi AC	100%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1924-09-07	Zugloi AC	D 1-1	69.3	1729	1716	39.65%	32.05%	28.30%	+0.17	-0.4	1
1924-09-07	@ III. Kerulet	D 1-1	69.3	1716	1729	28.30%	32.05%	39.65%	-0.17	+0.4	1
1924-09-07	Budapest TC	W 2-1	71.3	1556	1744	16.42%	29.55%	54.03%	-0.99	+9.9	2
1924-09-07	@ Nemzeti SC	L 1-2	71.3	1744	1556	54.03%	29.55%	16.42%	+0.99	-9.9	0
1924-09-07	Budapesti EAC	W 9-0	52.9	1752	1635	52.11%	30.45%	17.43%	+0.76	+34.2	2
1924-09-07	@ Torekves SC	L 0-9	52.9	1635	1752	17.43%	30.45%	52.11%	-0.76	-34.2	0
1924-09-07	Ujpest	W 2-0	64.9	1733	1873	20.48%	30.77%	48.75%	-0.72	+18.1	2
1924-09-07	@ VAC Budapest	L 0-2	64.9	1873	1733	48.75%	30.77%	20.48%	+0.72	-18.1	0
1924-09-08	Kispest	W 2-0	53.9	1853	1693	56.52%	29.26%	14.21%	+1.01	+7.0	2
1924-09-08	@ Ferencvaros	L 0-2	53.9	1693	1853	14.21%	29.26%	56.52%	-1.01	-7.0	0
1924-09-14	Nemzeti SC	D 1-1	67.9	1686	1566	52.39%	30.39%	17.22%	+0.78	-1.5	1
1924-09-14	@ Kispest	D 1-1	67.9	1566	1686	17.22%	30.39%	52.39%	-0.78	+1.5	3
1924-09-14	Zugloi AC	W 3-2	68.0	1786	1716	46.78%	31.42%	21.80%	+0.49	+4.8	4
1924-09-14	@ Torekves SC	L 2-3	68.0	1716	1786	21.80%	31.42%	46.78%	-0.49	-4.8	1
1924-09-28	Budapesti EAC	D 0-0	64.9	1735	1600	53.92%	30.01%	16.07%	+0.86	-1.8	1
1924-09-28	@ Budapest TC	D 0-0	64.9	1600	1735	16.07%	30.01%	53.92%	-0.86	+1.8	1
1924-09-28	Vasas	L 1-2	65.5	1684	1751	28.64%	31.92%	39.43%	-0.29	-6.1	1
1924-09-28	@ Kispest	W 2-1	65.5	1751	1684	39.43%	31.92%	28.64%	+0.29	+6.1	2
1924-09-28	Ferencvaros	L 0-3	55.1	1729	1860	21.31%	30.95%	47.73%	-0.67	-14.2	1
1924-09-28	@ III. Kerulet	W 3-0	55.1	1860	1729	47.73%	30.95%	21.31%	+0.67	+14.2	4
1924-09-28	Nemzeti SC	D 0-0	65.2	1751	1568	58.63%	28.55%	12.82%	+1.14	-2.3	3
1924-09-28	@ VAC Budapest	D 0-0	65.2	1568	1751	12.82%	28.55%	58.63%	-1.14	+2.3	4
1924-09-28	MTK Budapest	L 1-5	56.0	1711	1902	16.22%	29.47%	54.31%	-1.01	-12.3	1
1924-09-28	@ Zugloi AC	W 5-1	56.0	1902	1711	54.31%	29.47%	16.22%	+1.01	+12.3	2
1924-10-05	MTK Budapest	D 0-0	67.5	1602	1914	9.44%	25.13%	65.44%	-1.70	+2.9	2
1924-10-05	@ Budapesti EAC	D 0-0	67.5	1914	1602	65.44%	25.13%	9.44%	+1.70	-2.8	3
1924-10-05	Ujpest	W 1-0	66.9	1714	1855	20.46%	30.77%	48.77%	-0.72	+9.6	3
1924-10-05	@ III. Kerulet	L 0-1	66.9	1855	1714	48.77%	30.77%	20.46%	+0.72	-9.6	0
1924-10-05	Budapest TC	D 3-3	78.0	1757	1733	41.15%	31.97%	26.88%	+0.23	-0.4	3
1924-10-05	@ Vasas	D 3-3	78.0	1733	1757	26.88%	31.97%	41.15%	-0.23	+0.3	2
1924-10-05	VAC Budapest	L 1-2	70.3	1791	1749	43.39%	31.80%	24.81%	+0.33	-8.3	4
1924-10-05	@ Torekves SC	W 2-1	70.3	1749	1791	24.81%	31.80%	43.39%	-0.33	+8.3	5
1924-10-12	Zugloi AC	L 0-1	64.8	1733	1699	42.37%	31.88%	25.75%	+0.29	-8.6	2
1924-10-12	@ Budapest TC	W 1-0	64.8	1699	1733	25.75%	31.88%	42.37%	-0.29	+8.6	3
1924-10-12	Kispest	L 0-2	57.0	1605	1678	27.86%	31.86%	40.27%	-0.33	-12.0	2
1924-10-12	@ Budapesti EAC	W 2-0	57.0	1678	1605	40.27%	31.86%	27.86%	+0.33	+12.0	3
1924-10-12	III. Kerulet	L 0-2	54.1	1570	1724	19.23%	30.46%	50.31%	-0.79	-9.0	4
1924-10-12	@ Nemzeti SC	W 2-0	54.1	1724	1570	50.31%	30.46%	19.23%	+0.79	+9.0	5
1924-10-12	Ferencvaros	D 1-1	70.0	1782	1875	25.54%	31.63%	42.83%	-0.44	+0.7	5
1924-10-12	@ Torekves SC	D 1-1	70.0	1875	1782	42.83%	31.63%	25.54%	+0.44	-0.7	5
1924-10-12	MTK Budapest	L 0-1	61.4	1845	1912	28.71%	31.93%	39.36%	-0.29	-6.5	0
1924-10-12	@ Ujpest	W 1-0	61.4	1912	1845	39.36%	31.93%	28.71%	+0.29	+6.5	5
1924-10-12	VAC Budapest	D 2-2	74.5	1757	1757	37.86%	32.11%	30.02%	+0.09	-0.2	4
1924-10-12	@ Vasas	D 2-2	74.5	1757	1757	30.02%	32.11%	37.86%	-0.09	+0.2	6
1924-10-19	Ujpest	D 0-0	65.7	1724	1839	23.10%	31.29%	45.61%	-0.57	+1.0	3
1924-10-19	@ Budapest TC	D 0-0	65.7	1839	1724	45.61%	31.29%	23.10%	+0.57	-1.0	1
1924-10-19	Zugloi AC	W 1-0	61.7	1690	1708	35.40%	32.15%	32.45%	-0.01	+7.1	5
1924-10-19	@ Kispest	L 0-1	61.7	1708	1690	32.45%	32.15%	35.40%	+0.01	-7.1	3
1924-10-19	Vasas	D 0-0	65.3	1733	1757	34.52%	32.14%	33.34%	-0.05	-0.0	6
1924-10-19	@ III. Kerulet	D 0-0	65.3	1757	1733	33.34%	32.14%	34.52%	+0.05	+0.0	5
1924-10-19	Ferencvaros	W 11-2	57.1	1918	1874	43.68%	31.77%	24.55%	+0.34	+30.0	7
1924-10-19	@ MTK Budapest	L 2-11	57.1	1874	1918	24.55%	31.77%	43.68%	-0.34	-30.0	5
1924-10-19	Nemzeti SC	L 0-1	68.7	1783	1561	62.04%	27.20%	10.76%	+1.36	-11.9	5
1924-10-19	@ Torekves SC	W 1-0	68.7	1561	1783	10.76%	27.20%	62.04%	-1.36	+11.8	6
1924-10-19	Budapesti EAC	D 1-1	69.5	1757	1593	56.86%	29.16%	13.99%	+1.03	-1.9	7
1924-10-19	@ VAC Budapest	D 1-1	69.5	1593	1757	13.99%	29.16%	56.86%	-1.03	+1.9	3
1924-10-26	III. Kerulet	L 0-1	57.2	1595	1733	20.70%	30.82%	48.48%	-0.70	-5.1	3
1924-10-26	@ Budapesti EAC	W 1-0	57.2	1733	1595	48.48%	30.82%	20.70%	+0.70	+5.1	8
1924-10-26	Budapest TC	W 2-0	55.3	1844	1726	52.28%	30.42%	17.31%	+0.77	+8.3	7
1924-10-26	@ Ferencvaros	L 0-2	55.3	1726	1844	17.31%	30.42%	52.28%	-0.77	-8.3	3
1924-10-26	MTK Budapest	L 2-6	52.9	1573	1948	7.20%	22.50%	70.30%	-2.06	-4.4	6
1924-10-26	@ Nemzeti SC	W 6-2	52.9	1948	1573	70.30%	22.50%	7.20%	+2.06	+4.4	9
1924-10-26	Kispest	D 1-1	70.3	1838	1697	54.54%	29.85%	15.61%	+0.90	-1.7	2
1924-10-26	@ Ujpest	D 1-1	70.3	1697	1838	15.61%	29.85%	54.54%	-0.90	+1.7	6
1924-10-26	Torekves SC	W 2-1	67.0	1757	1771	35.86%	32.15%	31.99%	+0.01	+6.6	7
1924-10-26	@ Vasas	L 1-2	67.0	1771	1757	31.99%	32.15%	35.86%	-0.01	-6.6	5
1924-10-26	VAC Budapest	L 1-2	66.2	1701	1755	30.25%	32.02%	37.73%	-0.22	-6.4	3
1924-10-26	@ Zugloi AC	W 2-1	66.2	1755	1701	37.73%	32.02%	30.25%	+0.22	+6.4	9
1924-11-01	MTK Budapest	L 1-2	61.0	1738	1953	14.55%	28.74%	56.71%	-1.14	-3.5	8
1924-11-01	@ III. Kerulet	W 2-1	61.0	1953	1738	56.71%	28.74%	14.55%	+1.14	+3.5	11
1924-11-01	Budapesti EAC	W 6-2	59.2	1569	1590	34.86%	32.15%	32.99%	-0.03	+18.2	8
1924-11-01	@ Nemzeti SC	L 2-6	59.2	1590	1569	32.99%	32.15%	34.86%	+0.03	-18.2	3
1924-11-01	Ferencvaros	D 1-1	69.9	1836	1852	35.58%	32.15%	32.28%	+0.00	-0.1	3
1924-11-01	@ Ujpest	D 1-1	69.9	1852	1836	32.28%	32.15%	35.58%	+0.00	+0.1	8
1924-11-01	Kispest	D 1-1	69.6	1762	1699	45.94%	31.53%	22.53%	+0.45	-1.0	10
1924-11-01	@ VAC Budapest	D 1-1	69.6	1699	1762	22.53%	31.53%	45.94%	-0.45	+1.0	7
1924-11-01	Vasas	L 0-3	57.1	1694	1763	28.35%	31.90%	39.75%	-0.31	-17.7	3
1924-11-01	@ Zugloi AC	W 3-0	57.1	1763	1694	39.75%	31.90%	28.35%	+0.31	+17.7	9
1924-11-02	Torekves SC	L 1-3	64.6	1717	1764	31.23%	32.07%	36.70%	-0.18	-11.3	3
1924-11-02	@ Budapest TC	W 3-1	64.6	1764	1717	36.70%	32.07%	31.23%	+0.18	+11.3	7
1924-11-09	Budapesti EAC	W 5-0	47.9	1852	1572	66.79%	24.90%	8.31%	+1.70	+9.3	10
1924-11-09	@ Ferencvaros	L 0-5	47.9	1572	1852	8.31%	24.90%	66.79%	-1.70	-9.4	3
1924-11-09	VAC Budapest	D 0-0	65.3	1735	1761	34.19%	32.14%	33.67%	-0.06	-0.0	9
1924-11-09	@ III. Kerulet	D 0-0	65.3	1761	1735	33.67%	32.14%	34.19%	+0.06	+0.0	11
1924-11-09	Vasas	L 1-2	60.5	1587	1781	15.95%	29.36%	54.69%	-1.03	-3.8	8
1924-11-09	@ Nemzeti SC	W 2-1	60.5	1781	1587	54.69%	29.36%	15.95%	+1.03	+3.8	11
1924-11-09	Kispest	L 1-3	69.2	1776	1700	47.52%	31.31%	21.17%	+0.53	-15.4	7
1924-11-09	@ Torekves SC	W 3-1	69.2	1700	1776	21.17%	31.31%	47.52%	-0.53	+15.4	9
1924-11-09	Ujpest	W 2-0	65.2	1677	1836	18.75%	30.32%	50.92%	-0.82	+18.8	5
1924-11-09	@ Zugloi AC	L 0-2	65.2	1836	1677	50.92%	30.32%	18.75%	+0.82	-18.8	3
1924-11-16	Vasas	W 1-0	56.0	1956	1785	57.52%	28.94%	13.54%	+1.07	+3.5	13
1924-11-16	@ MTK Budapest	L 0-1	56.0	1785	1956	13.54%	28.94%	57.52%	-1.07	-3.5	11
1924-11-16	Ujpest	D 1-1	69.8	1760	1817	29.96%	32.01%	38.03%	-0.24	+0.3	8
1924-11-16	@ Torekves SC	D 1-1	69.8	1817	1760	38.03%	32.01%	29.96%	+0.24	-0.3	4
1924-11-16	VAC Budapest	W 2-0	55.9	1862	1761	50.41%	30.81%	18.78%	+0.67	+8.9	12
1924-11-16	@ Ferencvaros	L 0-2	55.9	1761	1862	18.78%	30.81%	50.41%	-0.67	-8.9	11
1924-11-23	Zugloi AC	L 0-2	54.3	1562	1695	21.18%	30.92%	47.89%	-0.67	-9.8	3
1924-11-23	@ Budapesti EAC	W 2-0	54.3	1695	1562	47.89%	30.92%	21.18%	+0.67	+9.8	7
1924-11-23	Nemzeti SC	D 2-2	76.5	1871	1583	67.33%	24.61%	8.06%	+1.74	-2.0	13
1924-11-23	@ Ferencvaros	D 2-2	76.5	1583	1871	8.06%	24.61%	67.33%	-1.74	+2.0	9
1924-11-23	Budapest TC	D 1-1	69.2	1715	1706	39.14%	32.07%	28.79%	+0.15	-0.4	10
1924-11-23	@ Kispest	D 1-1	69.2	1706	1715	28.79%	32.07%	39.14%	-0.15	+0.4	4
1924-11-23	III. Kerulet	D 1-1	69.6	1761	1735	41.35%	31.96%	26.70%	+0.24	-0.6	9
1924-11-23	@ Torekves SC	D 1-1	69.6	1735	1761	26.70%	31.96%	41.35%	-0.24	+0.6	10
1924-11-23	Vasas	W 3-0	56.7	1817	1781	42.54%	31.87%	25.59%	+0.29	+16.5	6
1924-11-23	@ Ujpest	L 0-3	56.7	1781	1817	25.59%	31.87%	42.54%	-0.29	-16.5	11
1924-11-23	MTK Budapest	L 0-1	56.4	1752	1960	15.00%	28.95%	56.06%	-1.10	-3.8	11
1924-11-23	@ VAC Budapest	W 1-0	56.4	1960	1752	56.06%	28.95%	15.00%	+1.10	+3.8	15
1924-11-30	Ujpest	L 0-4	49.0	1553	1833	10.83%	26.38%	62.79%	-1.52	-9.9	3
1924-11-30	@ Budapesti EAC	W 4-0	49.0	1833	1553	62.79%	26.38%	10.83%	+1.52	+9.9	8
1924-11-30	Vasas	D 1-1	70.2	1869	1765	50.68%	30.76%	18.56%	+0.69	-1.4	14
1924-11-30	@ Ferencvaros	D 1-1	70.2	1765	1869	18.56%	30.76%	50.68%	-0.69	+1.4	12
1924-11-30	Budapest TC	D 1-1	69.4	1735	1706	41.70%	31.93%	26.37%	+0.26	-0.6	11
1924-11-30	@ III. Kerulet	D 1-1	69.4	1706	1735	26.37%	31.93%	41.70%	-0.26	+0.6	5
1924-11-30	Kispest	W 2-0	51.8	1963	1715	64.25%	26.19%	9.57%	+1.52	+4.7	17
1924-11-30	@ MTK Budapest	L 0-2	51.8	1715	1963	9.57%	26.19%	64.25%	-1.52	-4.7	10
1924-11-30	Nemzeti SC	L 0-2	64.0	1705	1585	52.46%	30.37%	17.16%	+0.78	-19.4	7
1924-11-30	@ Zugloi AC	W 2-0	64.0	1585	1705	17.16%	30.37%	52.46%	-0.78	+19.4	11
1924-12-07	VAC Budapest	L 0-1	61.9	1707	1748	32.09%	32.10%	35.81%	-0.14	-7.1	5
1924-12-07	@ Budapest TC	W 1-0	61.9	1748	1707	35.81%	32.10%	32.09%	+0.14	+7.1	13
1924-12-07	Zugloi AC	W 3-0	51.8	1867	1686	58.49%	28.60%	12.91%	+1.13	+9.2	16
1924-12-07	@ Ferencvaros	L 0-3	51.8	1686	1867	12.91%	28.60%	58.49%	-1.13	-9.3	7
1924-12-07	III. Kerulet	W 2-0	60.2	1710	1735	34.46%	32.14%	33.39%	-0.05	+13.7	12
1924-12-07	@ Kispest	L 0-2	60.2	1735	1710	33.39%	32.14%	34.46%	+0.05	-13.7	11
1924-12-07	Torekves SC	W 5-1	54.2	1968	1760	60.87%	27.69%	11.44%	+1.29	+8.9	19
1924-12-07	@ MTK Budapest	L 1-5	54.2	1760	1968	11.44%	27.69%	60.87%	-1.29	-8.9	9
1924-12-07	Ujpest	W 2-1	73.5	1604	1843	13.04%	27.92%	59.04%	-1.28	+10.7	13
1924-12-07	@ Nemzeti SC	L 1-2	73.5	1843	1604	59.04%	27.92%	13.04%	+1.28	-10.7	8
1924-12-07	Budapesti EAC	W 3-0	49.2	1766	1543	62.21%	27.12%	10.67%	+1.38	+7.6	14
1924-12-07	@ Vasas	L 0-3	49.2	1543	1766	10.67%	27.12%	62.21%	-1.38	-7.6	3
1924-12-14	Budapest TC	W 2-1	58.0	1977	1700	66.52%	25.04%	8.44%	+1.68	+2.0	21
1924-12-14	@ MTK Budapest	L 1-2	58.0	1700	1977	8.44%	25.04%	66.52%	-1.68	-2.0	5
1925-02-15	III. Kerulet	L 0-3	58.9	1698	1721	34.62%	32.14%	33.23%	-0.04	-20.4	5
1925-02-15	@ Budapest TC	W 3-0	58.9	1721	1698	33.23%	32.14%	34.62%	+0.04	+20.4	13
1925-02-15	Torekves SC	D 1-1	68.9	1535	1751	14.45%	28.69%	56.87%	-1.15	+1.9	4
1925-02-15	@ Budapesti EAC	D 1-1	68.9	1751	1535	56.87%	28.69%	14.45%	+1.15	-1.9	10
1925-02-15	Kispest	W 2-0	62.7	1615	1724	23.66%	31.38%	44.96%	-0.54	+17.0	15
1925-02-15	@ Nemzeti SC	L 0-2	62.7	1724	1615	44.96%	31.38%	23.66%	+0.54	-17.0	12
1925-02-15	VAC Budapest	W 3-0	55.1	1832	1755	47.73%	31.28%	20.99%	+0.54	+14.2	10
1925-02-15	@ Ujpest	L 0-3	55.1	1755	1832	20.99%	31.28%	47.73%	-0.54	-14.2	13
1925-02-15	Zugloi AC	D 0-0	65.5	1774	1677	50.00%	30.89%	19.10%	+0.65	-1.5	15
1925-02-15	@ Vasas	D 0-0	65.5	1677	1774	19.10%	30.89%	50.00%	-0.65	+1.5	8
1925-02-22	Kispest	L 0-1	62.0	1677	1707	33.69%	32.14%	34.18%	-0.08	-7.3	5
1925-02-22	@ Budapest TC	W 1-0	62.0	1707	1677	34.18%	32.14%	33.69%	+0.08	+7.3	14
1925-02-22	Budapesti EAC	W 2-0	47.5	1979	1537	77.77%	18.09%	4.14%	+2.63	+1.7	23
1925-02-22	@ MTK Budapest	L 0-2	47.5	1537	1979	4.14%	18.09%	77.77%	-2.63	-1.7	4
1925-02-22	III. Kerulet	D 1-1	70.2	1847	1741	50.88%	30.72%	18.40%	+0.70	-1.4	11
1925-02-22	@ Ujpest	D 1-1	70.2	1741	1847	18.40%	30.72%	50.88%	-0.70	+1.4	14
1925-02-22	Nemzeti SC	W 2-1	60.8	1773	1632	54.56%	29.84%	15.60%	+0.90	+3.8	17
1925-02-22	@ Vasas	L 1-2	60.8	1632	1773	15.60%	29.84%	54.56%	-0.90	-3.8	15
1925-02-22	Torekves SC	D 0-0	65.3	1741	1749	36.67%	32.14%	31.19%	+0.04	-0.2	14
1925-02-22	@ VAC Budapest	D 0-0	65.3	1749	1741	31.19%	32.14%	36.67%	-0.04	+0.2	11
1925-02-22	Ferencvaros	D 3-3	79.0	1678	1877	15.65%	29.24%	55.11%	-1.05	+1.1	9
1925-02-22	@ Zugloi AC	D 3-3	79.0	1877	1678	55.11%	29.24%	15.65%	+1.05	-1.1	17
1925-03-01	Vasas	L 0-6	54.8	1670	1776	23.98%	31.42%	44.60%	-0.52	-29.9	5
1925-03-01	@ Budapest TC	W 6-0	54.8	1776	1670	44.60%	31.42%	23.98%	+0.52	+29.9	19
1925-03-01	Ujpest	D 0-0	65.8	1714	1845	21.39%	30.97%	47.64%	-0.66	+1.2	15
1925-03-01	@ Kispest	D 0-0	65.8	1845	1714	47.64%	30.97%	21.39%	+0.66	-1.2	12
1925-03-01	Torekves SC	W 1-0	61.7	1743	1749	36.89%	32.13%	30.98%	+0.05	+6.9	16
1925-03-01	@ III. Kerulet	L 0-1	61.7	1749	1743	30.98%	32.13%	36.89%	-0.05	-6.9	11
1925-03-01	VAC Budapest	W 3-1	56.9	1981	1741	63.59%	26.50%	9.91%	+1.47	+4.2	25
1925-03-01	@ MTK Budapest	L 1-3	56.9	1741	1981	9.91%	26.50%	63.59%	-1.47	-4.2	14
1925-03-01	Ferencvaros	D 0-0	66.7	1628	1875	12.55%	27.62%	59.83%	-1.33	+2.4	16
1925-03-01	@ Nemzeti SC	D 0-0	66.7	1875	1628	59.83%	27.62%	12.55%	+1.33	-2.4	18
1925-03-01	Budapesti EAC	L 2-3	74.6	1679	1535	54.89%	29.75%	15.36%	+0.92	-9.6	9
1925-03-01	@ Zugloi AC	W 3-2	74.6	1535	1679	15.36%	29.75%	54.89%	-0.92	+9.6	6
1925-03-08	Ferencvaros	W 1-0	68.9	1640	1873	13.39%	28.13%	58.48%	-1.25	+11.2	7
1925-03-08	@ Budapest TC	L 0-1	68.9	1873	1640	58.48%	28.13%	13.39%	+1.25	-11.2	18
1925-03-08	Nemzeti SC	L 0-1	56.5	1545	1631	26.31%	31.72%	41.97%	-0.40	-6.1	6
1925-03-08	@ Budapesti EAC	W 1-0	56.5	1631	1545	41.97%	31.72%	26.31%	+0.40	+6.1	18
1925-03-08	Torekves SC	W 2-1	67.3	1716	1743	34.05%	32.14%	33.81%	-0.06	+6.9	17
1925-03-08	@ Kispest	L 1-2	67.3	1743	1716	33.81%	32.14%	34.05%	+0.06	-6.9	11
1925-03-08	III. Kerulet	W 3-0	50.6	1985	1749	63.20%	26.68%	10.12%	+1.44	+7.2	27
1925-03-08	@ MTK Budapest	L 0-3	50.6	1749	1985	10.12%	26.68%	63.20%	-1.44	-7.2	16
1925-03-08	Ujpest	D 1-1	69.8	1806	1844	32.53%	32.11%	35.36%	-0.13	+0.1	20
1925-03-08	@ Vasas	D 1-1	69.8	1844	1806	35.36%	32.11%	32.53%	+0.13	-0.1	13
1925-03-08	Zugloi AC	D 2-2	74.2	1736	1669	46.46%	31.46%	22.08%	+0.47	-0.8	15
1925-03-08	@ VAC Budapest	D 2-2	74.2	1669	1736	22.08%	31.46%	46.46%	-0.47	+0.8	10
1925-03-15	Budapest TC	W 1-0	62.4	1539	1652	23.25%	31.31%	45.44%	-0.56	+9.1	8
1925-03-15	@ Budapesti EAC	L 0-1	62.4	1652	1539	45.44%	31.31%	23.25%	+0.56	-9.1	7
1925-03-15	Ujpest	W 2-1	65.9	1862	1844	40.27%	32.02%	27.71%	+0.19	+6.0	20
1925-03-15	@ Ferencvaros	L 1-2	65.9	1844	1862	27.71%	32.02%	40.27%	-0.19	-6.0	13
1925-03-15	VAC Budapest	L 0-2	57.0	1637	1736	24.79%	31.54%	43.67%	-0.48	-11.0	18
1925-03-15	@ Nemzeti SC	W 2-0	57.0	1736	1637	43.67%	31.54%	24.79%	+0.48	+11.0	17
1925-03-15	Vasas	L 0-2	58.9	1736	1806	28.17%	31.89%	39.94%	-0.32	-12.1	11
1925-03-15	@ Torekves SC	W 2-0	58.9	1806	1736	39.94%	31.89%	28.17%	+0.32	+12.1	22
1925-03-15	III. Kerulet	D 1-1	69.2	1670	1742	28.00%	31.88%	40.12%	-0.32	+0.5	11
1925-03-15	@ Zugloi AC	D 1-1	69.2	1742	1670	40.12%	31.88%	28.00%	+0.32	-0.5	17
1925-03-22	Torekves SC	W 2-0	54.5	1868	1724	54.94%	29.74%	15.33%	+0.92	+7.5	22
1925-03-22	@ Ferencvaros	L 0-2	54.5	1724	1868	15.33%	29.74%	54.94%	-0.92	-7.5	11
1925-03-22	Nemzeti SC	D 2-2	74.2	1742	1626	52.03%	30.47%	17.50%	+0.76	-1.1	18
1925-03-22	@ III. Kerulet	D 2-2	74.2	1626	1742	17.50%	30.47%	52.03%	-0.76	+1.1	19
1925-03-22	Budapesti EAC	L 0-1	69.8	1838	1548	67.52%	24.51%	7.98%	+1.76	-12.6	13
1925-03-22	@ Ujpest	W 1-0	69.8	1548	1838	7.98%	24.51%	67.52%	-1.76	+12.6	10
1925-03-22	MTK Budapest	L 1-2	62.3	1818	1992	17.54%	29.95%	52.51%	-0.91	-4.2	22
1925-03-22	@ Vasas	W 2-1	62.3	1992	1818	52.51%	29.95%	17.54%	+0.91	+4.2	29
1925-03-22	Budapest TC	L 0-1	66.7	1747	1642	50.74%	30.75%	18.51%	+0.69	-10.0	17
1925-03-22	@ VAC Budapest	W 1-0	66.7	1642	1747	18.51%	30.75%	50.74%	-0.69	+10.0	9
1925-03-22	Kispest	D 1-1	69.0	1671	1722	30.63%	32.04%	37.33%	-0.21	+0.3	12
1925-03-22	@ Zugloi AC	D 1-1	69.0	1722	1671	37.33%	32.04%	30.63%	+0.21	-0.3	18
1925-03-29	Nemzeti SC	W 1-0	58.7	1652	1627	41.29%	31.96%	26.75%	+0.24	+6.2	11
1925-03-29	@ Budapest TC	L 0-1	58.7	1627	1652	26.75%	31.96%	41.29%	-0.24	-6.2	19
1925-03-29	Vasas	L 2-4	60.4	1560	1814	12.18%	27.38%	60.44%	-1.37	-4.6	10
1925-03-29	@ Budapesti EAC	W 4-2	60.4	1814	1560	60.44%	27.38%	12.18%	+1.37	+4.6	24
1925-03-29	Kispest	W 3-0	57.0	1741	1722	40.34%	32.02%	27.64%	+0.20	+17.4	20
1925-03-29	@ III. Kerulet	L 0-3	57.0	1722	1741	27.64%	32.02%	40.34%	-0.20	-17.4	18
1925-03-29	Ujpest	L 0-1	69.2	1996	1825	57.53%	28.93%	13.54%	+1.07	-11.1	29
1925-03-29	@ MTK Budapest	W 1-0	69.2	1825	1996	13.54%	28.93%	57.53%	-1.07	+11.1	15
1925-03-29	Torekves SC	L 0-1	61.3	1671	1716	31.52%	32.08%	36.40%	-0.17	-7.0	12
1925-03-29	@ Zugloi AC	W 1-0	61.3	1716	1671	36.40%	32.08%	31.52%	+0.17	+7.0	13
1925-04-05	Budapesti EAC	L 2-3	75.5	1705	1556	55.40%	29.60%	14.99%	+0.95	-9.6	18
1925-04-05	@ Kispest	W 3-2	75.5	1556	1705	14.99%	29.60%	55.40%	-0.95	+9.6	12
1925-04-05	MTK Budapest	D 2-2	76.3	1723	1985	11.74%	27.07%	61.18%	-1.42	+1.7	14
1925-04-05	@ Torekves SC	D 2-2	76.3	1985	1723	61.18%	27.07%	11.74%	+1.42	-1.7	30
1925-04-05	Ferencvaros	L 0-2	59.7	1819	1875	29.99%	32.01%	38.00%	-0.23	-12.7	24
1925-04-05	@ Vasas	W 2-0	59.7	1875	1819	38.00%	32.01%	29.99%	+0.23	+12.7	24
1925-04-05	Budapest TC	W 1-0	55.4	1836	1659	58.15%	28.72%	13.13%	+1.11	+3.4	17
1925-04-05	@ Ujpest	L 0-1	55.4	1659	1836	13.13%	28.72%	58.15%	-1.11	-3.4	11
1925-04-12	MTK Budapest	W 2-1	70.5	1888	1984	25.17%	31.59%	43.25%	-0.46	+8.2	26
1925-04-12	@ Ferencvaros	L 1-2	70.5	1984	1888	43.25%	31.59%	25.17%	+0.46	-8.2	30
1925-04-12	III. Kerulet	W 2-1	64.6	1806	1758	44.17%	31.72%	24.11%	+0.37	+5.4	26
1925-04-12	@ Vasas	L 1-2	64.6	1758	1806	24.11%	31.72%	44.17%	-0.37	-5.4	20
1925-04-26	MTK Budapest	L 0-3	49.7	1655	1975	9.12%	24.80%	66.08%	-1.75	-6.3	11
1925-04-26	@ Budapest TC	W 3-0	49.7	1975	1655	66.08%	24.80%	9.12%	+1.75	+6.3	32
1925-04-26	VAC Budapest	W 1-0	66.1	1565	1737	17.75%	30.02%	52.24%	-0.89	+10.2	14
1925-04-26	@ Budapesti EAC	L 0-1	66.1	1737	1565	52.24%	30.02%	17.75%	+0.89	-10.2	17
1925-04-26	III. Kerulet	D 1-1	70.6	1896	1753	54.87%	29.75%	15.37%	+0.92	-1.7	27
1925-04-26	@ Ferencvaros	D 1-1	70.6	1753	1896	15.37%	29.75%	54.87%	-0.92	+1.7	21
1925-04-26	Zugloi AC	W 3-0	58.1	1621	1664	31.74%	32.09%	36.17%	-0.16	+21.0	21
1925-04-26	@ Nemzeti SC	L 0-3	58.1	1664	1621	36.17%	32.09%	31.74%	+0.16	-21.0	12
1925-04-26	Kispest	D 1-1	70.1	1812	1695	52.07%	30.46%	17.47%	+0.76	-1.5	27
1925-04-26	@ Vasas	D 1-1	70.1	1695	1812	17.47%	30.46%	52.07%	-0.76	+1.5	19
1925-05-03	Budapest TC	W 3-0	56.6	1643	1649	37.03%	32.13%	30.84%	+0.06	+18.8	14
1925-05-03	@ Zugloi AC	L 0-3	56.6	1649	1643	30.84%	32.13%	37.03%	-0.06	-18.8	11
1925-05-08	Nemzeti SC	W 2-1	56.6	1982	1642	71.16%	22.41%	6.44%	+2.05	+1.5	34
1925-05-08	@ MTK Budapest	L 1-2	56.6	1642	1982	6.44%	22.41%	71.16%	-2.05	-1.5	21
1925-05-09	Budapest TC	D 2-2	73.9	1725	1630	49.68%	30.95%	19.37%	+0.63	-1.0	15
1925-05-09	@ Torekves SC	D 2-2	73.9	1630	1725	19.37%	30.95%	49.68%	-0.63	+1.0	12
1925-05-09	Vasas	W 2-1	69.8	1726	1810	26.56%	31.74%	41.69%	-0.39	+8.0	19
1925-05-09	@ VAC Budapest	L 1-2	69.8	1810	1726	41.69%	31.74%	26.56%	+0.39	-8.0	27
1925-05-10	Ferencvaros	L 0-1	56.5	1697	1895	15.69%	29.25%	55.05%	-1.05	-4.0	19
1925-05-10	@ Kispest	W 1-0	56.5	1895	1697	55.05%	29.25%	15.69%	+1.05	+4.0	29
1925-05-10	Budapesti EAC	L 0-5	63.3	1754	1576	58.24%	28.69%	13.07%	+1.12	-49.6	21
1925-05-10	@ III. Kerulet	W 5-0	63.3	1576	1754	13.07%	28.69%	58.24%	-1.12	+49.6	16
1925-05-10	Zugloi AC	D 1-1	70.6	1840	1662	58.17%	28.71%	13.11%	+1.11	-2.0	18
1925-05-10	@ Ujpest	D 1-1	70.6	1662	1840	13.11%	28.71%	58.17%	-1.11	+2.0	15
1925-05-13	Torekves SC	D 0-0	64.7	1640	1724	26.56%	31.74%	41.69%	-0.39	+0.7	22
1925-05-13	@ Nemzeti SC	D 0-0	64.7	1724	1640	41.69%	31.74%	26.56%	+0.39	-0.7	16
1925-05-16	Nemzeti SC	W 6-0	50.4	1838	1641	59.90%	28.08%	12.02%	+1.22	+16.5	20
1925-05-16	@ Ujpest	L 0-6	50.4	1641	1838	12.02%	28.08%	59.90%	-1.22	-16.5	22
1925-05-16	VAC Budapest	L 0-1	61.7	1693	1734	31.97%	32.10%	35.93%	-0.15	-7.0	19
1925-05-16	@ Kispest	W 1-0	61.7	1734	1693	35.93%	32.10%	31.97%	+0.15	+7.0	21
1925-05-16	Zugloi AC	W 7-0	48.1	1983	1664	69.67%	23.29%	7.04%	+1.93	+10.6	36
1925-05-16	@ MTK Budapest	L 0-7	48.1	1664	1983	7.04%	23.29%	69.67%	-1.93	-10.6	15
1925-05-25	Ferencvaros	W 1-0	69.5	1625	1899	11.18%	26.65%	62.17%	-1.48	+11.8	18
1925-05-25	@ Budapesti EAC	L 0-1	69.5	1899	1625	62.17%	26.65%	11.18%	+1.48	-11.8	29
1925-05-31	MTK Budapest	L 0-4	49.3	1686	1994	9.60%	25.29%	65.11%	-1.68	-8.7	19
1925-05-31	@ Kispest	W 4-0	49.3	1994	1686	65.11%	25.29%	9.60%	+1.68	+8.7	38
1925-06-05	Ferencvaros	D 0-0	66.0	1741	1887	20.01%	30.66%	49.33%	-0.74	+1.4	22
1925-06-05	@ VAC Budapest	D 0-0	66.0	1887	1741	49.33%	30.66%	20.01%	+0.74	-1.4	30
1925-06-07	III. Kerulet	L 0-3	61.4	1743	1705	42.89%	31.84%	25.27%	+0.31	-23.8	22
1925-06-07	@ VAC Budapest	W 3-0	61.4	1705	1743	25.27%	31.84%	42.89%	-0.31	+23.8	23
1925-06-07	Torekves SC	W 3-1	59.8	1854	1723	53.62%	30.09%	16.29%	+0.84	+6.8	22
1925-06-07	@ Ujpest	L 1-3	59.8	1723	1854	16.29%	30.09%	53.62%	-0.84	-6.8	16

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1925-03-22	7.98%	Budapesti EAC	1548	1	@ Ujpest	1838	0
2	1924-10-19	10.76%	Nemzeti SC	1561	1	@ Torekves SC	1783	0
3	1925-05-25	11.18%	@ Budapesti EAC	1625	1	Ferencvaros	1899	0
4	1924-12-07	13.04%	@ Nemzeti SC	1604	2	Ujpest	1843	1
5	1925-05-10	13.07%	Budapesti EAC	1576	5	@ III. Kerulet	1754	0
6	1925-03-08	13.39%	@ Budapest TC	1640	1	Ferencvaros	1873	0
7	1925-03-29	13.54%	Ujpest	1825	1	@ MTK Budapest	1996	0
8	1925-04-05	14.99%	Budapesti EAC	1556	3	@ Kispest	1705	2
9	1925-03-01	15.36%	Budapesti EAC	1535	3	@ Zugloi AC	1679	2
10	1924-09-07	16.42%	@ Nemzeti SC	1556	2	Budapest TC	1744	1
11	1924-11-30	17.16%	Nemzeti SC	1585	2	@ Zugloi AC	1705	0
12	1925-04-26	17.75%	@ Budapesti EAC	1565	1	VAC Budapest	1737	0
13	1925-03-22	18.51%	Budapest TC	1642	1	@ VAC Budapest	1747	0
14	1924-11-09	18.75%	@ Zugloi AC	1677	2	Ujpest	1836	0
15	1924-10-05	20.46%	@ III. Kerulet	1714	1	Ujpest	1855	0
16	1924-09-07	20.48%	@ VAC Budapest	1733	2	Ujpest	1873	0
17	1924-11-09	21.17%	Kispest	1700	3	@ Torekves SC	1776	1
18	1925-03-15	23.25%	@ Budapesti EAC	1539	1	Budapest TC	1652	0
19	1925-02-15	23.66%	@ Nemzeti SC	1615	2	Kispest	1724	0
20	1924-10-05	24.81%	VAC Budapest	1749	2	@ Torekves SC	1791	1
21	1925-04-12	25.17%	@ Ferencvaros	1888	2	MTK Budapest	1984	1
22	1925-06-07	25.27%	III. Kerulet	1705	3	@ VAC Budapest	1743	0
23	1924-10-12	25.75%	Zugloi AC	1699	1	@ Budapest TC	1733	0
24	1925-05-09	26.56%	@ VAC Budapest	1726	2	Vasas	1810	1
25	1925-04-26	31.74%	@ Nemzeti SC	1621	3	Zugloi AC	1664	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1925-05-10	49.56	Budapesti EAC	5	1576	13.07%	@ III. Kerulet	0	1754	58.24%	28.69%
2	1924-09-07	34.23	@ Torekves SC	9	1752	52.11%	Budapesti EAC	0	1635	17.43%	30.45%
3	1924-10-19	29.96	@ MTK Budapest	11	1918	43.68%	Ferencvaros	2	1874	24.55%	31.77%
4	1925-03-01	29.88	Vasas	6	1776	44.60%	@ Budapest TC	0	1670	23.98%	31.42%
5	1925-06-07	23.84	III. Kerulet	3	1705	25.27%	@ VAC Budapest	0	1743	42.89%	31.84%
6	1925-04-26	20.98	@ Nemzeti SC	3	1621	31.74%	Zugloi AC	0	1664	36.17%	32.09%
7	1925-02-15	20.36	III. Kerulet	3	1721	33.23%	@ Budapest TC	0	1698	34.62%	32.14%
8	1924-11-30	19.38	Nemzeti SC	2	1585	17.16%	@ Zugloi AC	0	1705	52.46%	30.37%
9	1924-11-09	18.82	@ Zugloi AC	2	1677	18.75%	Ujpest	0	1836	50.92%	30.32%
10	1925-05-03	18.81	@ Zugloi AC	3	1643	37.03%	Budapest TC	0	1649	30.84%	32.13%
11	1924-11-01	18.19	@ Nemzeti SC	6	1569	34.86%	Budapesti EAC	2	1590	32.99%	32.15%
12	1924-09-07	18.15	@ VAC Budapest	2	1733	20.48%	Ujpest	0	1873	48.75%	30.77%
13	1924-11-01	17.70	Vasas	3	1763	39.75%	@ Zugloi AC	0	1694	28.35%	31.90%
14	1925-03-29	17.41	@ III. Kerulet	3	1741	40.34%	Kispest	0	1722	27.64%	32.02%
15	1925-02-15	17.00	@ Nemzeti SC	2	1615	23.66%	Kispest	0	1724	44.96%	31.38%
16	1925-05-16	16.51	@ Ujpest	6	1838	59.90%	Nemzeti SC	0	1641	12.02%	28.08%
17	1924-11-23	16.46	@ Ujpest	3	1817	42.54%	Vasas	0	1781	25.59%	31.87%
18	1924-11-09	15.44	Kispest	3	1700	21.17%	@ Torekves SC	1	1776	47.52%	31.31%
19	1924-09-28	14.25	Ferencvaros	3	1860	47.73%	@ III. Kerulet	0	1729	21.31%	30.95%
20	1925-02-15	14.17	@ Ujpest	3	1832	47.73%	VAC Budapest	0	1755	20.99%	31.28%
21	1924-12-07	13.68	@ Kispest	2	1710	34.46%	III. Kerulet	0	1735	33.39%	32.14%
22	1925-04-05	12.69	Ferencvaros	2	1875	38.00%	@ Vasas	0	1819	29.99%	32.01%
23	1925-03-22	12.63	Budapesti EAC	1	1548	7.98%	@ Ujpest	0	1838	67.52%	24.51%
24	1924-09-28	12.30	MTK Budapest	5	1902	54.31%	@ Zugloi AC	1	1711	16.22%	29.47%
25	1925-03-15	12.13	Vasas	2	1806	39.94%	@ Torekves SC	0	1736	28.17%	31.89%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1925-02-22	79.0	@ Zugloi AC	3	1678	15.65%	Ferencvaros	3	1877	55.11%	29.24%
2	1924-10-05	78.0	@ Vasas	3	1757	41.15%	Budapest TC	3	1733	26.88%	31.97%
3	1924-11-23	76.5	@ Ferencvaros	2	1871	67.33%	Nemzeti SC	2	1583	8.06%	24.61%
4	1925-04-05	76.3	@ Torekves SC	2	1723	11.74%	MTK Budapest	2	1985	61.18%	27.07%
5	1925-04-05	75.5	Budapesti EAC	3	1556	14.99%	@ Kispest	2	1705	55.40%	29.60%
6	1925-03-01	74.6	Budapesti EAC	3	1535	15.36%	@ Zugloi AC	2	1679	54.89%	29.75%
7	1924-10-12	74.5	@ Vasas	2	1757	37.86%	VAC Budapest	2	1757	30.02%	32.11%
8	1925-03-08	74.2	@ VAC Budapest	2	1736	46.46%	Zugloi AC	2	1669	22.08%	31.46%
9	1925-03-22	74.2	@ III. Kerulet	2	1742	52.03%	Nemzeti SC	2	1626	17.50%	30.47%
10	1925-05-09	73.9	@ Torekves SC	2	1725	49.68%	Budapest TC	2	1630	19.37%	30.95%
11	1924-12-07	73.5	@ Nemzeti SC	2	1604	13.04%	Ujpest	1	1843	59.04%	27.92%
12	1924-09-07	71.3	@ Nemzeti SC	2	1556	16.42%	Budapest TC	1	1744	54.03%	29.55%
13	1925-04-26	70.6	@ Ferencvaros	1	1896	54.87%	III. Kerulet	1	1753	15.37%	29.75%
14	1925-05-10	70.6	@ Ujpest	1	1840	58.17%	Zugloi AC	1	1662	13.11%	28.71%
15	1925-04-12	70.5	@ Ferencvaros	2	1888	25.17%	MTK Budapest	1	1984	43.25%	31.59%
16	1924-10-05	70.3	VAC Budapest	2	1749	24.81%	@ Torekves SC	1	1791	43.39%	31.80%
17	1924-10-26	70.3	@ Ujpest	1	1838	54.54%	Kispest	1	1697	15.61%	29.85%
18	1924-11-30	70.2	@ Ferencvaros	1	1869	50.68%	Vasas	1	1765	18.56%	30.76%
19	1925-02-22	70.2	@ Ujpest	1	1847	50.88%	III. Kerulet	1	1741	18.40%	30.72%
20	1925-04-26	70.1	@ Vasas	1	1812	52.07%	Kispest	1	1695	17.47%	30.46%
21	1924-10-12	70.0	@ Torekves SC	1	1782	25.54%	Ferencvaros	1	1875	42.83%	31.63%
22	1924-11-01	69.9	@ Ujpest	1	1836	35.58%	Ferencvaros	1	1852	32.28%	32.15%
23	1924-11-16	69.8	@ Torekves SC	1	1760	29.96%	Ujpest	1	1817	38.03%	32.01%
24	1925-03-08	69.8	@ Vasas	1	1806	32.53%	Ujpest	1	1844	35.36%	32.11%
25	1925-03-22	69.8	Budapesti EAC	1	1548	7.98%	@ Ujpest	0	1838	67.52%	24.51%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1925-02-22	47.5	@ MTK Budapest	2	1979	77.77%	Budapesti EAC	0	1537	4.14%	18.09%
2	1924-11-09	47.9	@ Ferencvaros	5	1852	66.79%	Budapesti EAC	0	1572	8.31%	24.90%
3	1925-05-16	48.1	@ MTK Budapest	7	1983	69.67%	Zugloi AC	0	1664	7.04%	23.29%
4	1924-11-30	49.0	Ujpest	4	1833	62.79%	@ Budapesti EAC	0	1553	10.83%	26.38%
5	1924-12-07	49.2	@ Vasas	3	1766	62.21%	Budapesti EAC	0	1543	10.67%	27.12%
6	1925-05-31	49.3	MTK Budapest	4	1994	65.11%	@ Kispest	0	1686	9.60%	25.29%
7	1925-04-26	49.7	MTK Budapest	3	1975	66.08%	@ Budapest TC	0	1655	9.12%	24.80%
8	1925-05-16	50.4	@ Ujpest	6	1838	59.90%	Nemzeti SC	0	1641	12.02%	28.08%
9	1925-03-08	50.6	@ MTK Budapest	3	1985	63.20%	III. Kerulet	0	1749	10.12%	26.68%
10	1924-11-30	51.8	@ MTK Budapest	2	1963	64.25%	Kispest	0	1715	9.57%	26.19%
11	1924-12-07	51.8	@ Ferencvaros	3	1867	58.49%	Zugloi AC	0	1686	12.91%	28.60%
12	1924-09-07	52.9	@ Torekves SC	9	1752	52.11%	Budapesti EAC	0	1635	17.43%	30.45%
13	1924-10-26	52.9	MTK Budapest	6	1948	70.30%	@ Nemzeti SC	2	1573	7.20%	22.50%
14	1924-09-08	53.9	@ Ferencvaros	2	1853	56.52%	Kispest	0	1693	14.21%	29.26%
15	1924-10-12	54.1	III. Kerulet	2	1724	50.31%	@ Nemzeti SC	0	1570	19.23%	30.46%
16	1924-12-07	54.2	@ MTK Budapest	5	1968	60.87%	Torekves SC	1	1760	11.44%	27.69%
17	1924-11-23	54.3	Zugloi AC	2	1695	47.89%	@ Budapesti EAC	0	1562	21.18%	30.92%
18	1925-03-22	54.5	@ Ferencvaros	2	1868	54.94%	Torekves SC	0	1724	15.33%	29.74%
19	1925-03-01	54.8	Vasas	6	1776	44.60%	@ Budapest TC	0	1670	23.98%	31.42%
20	1924-09-28	55.1	Ferencvaros	3	1860	47.73%	@ III. Kerulet	0	1729	21.31%	30.95%
21	1925-02-15	55.1	@ Ujpest	3	1832	47.73%	VAC Budapest	0	1755	20.99%	31.28%
22	1924-10-26	55.3	@ Ferencvaros	2	1844	52.28%	Budapest TC	0	1726	17.31%	30.42%
23	1925-04-05	55.4	@ Ujpest	1	1836	58.15%	Budapest TC	0	1659	13.13%	28.72%
24	1924-11-16	55.9	@ Ferencvaros	2	1862	50.41%	VAC Budapest	0	1761	18.78%	30.81%
25	1924-09-28	56.0	MTK Budapest	5	1902	54.31%	@ Zugloi AC	1	1711	16.22%	29.47%