1934-35 Nemzeti Liga Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Ujpest

35 points · 4th Title

Last Title: 1932-33

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Soroksar FC

7.54 points above expected

21 points · 13.46 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bocskai FC

6.69 points below expected

17 points · 23.69 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Ujpest Champion	22	15	5	2	35	66	17	+49	32.26	+2.74
2	Ferencvaros	22	14	5	3	33	72	32	+40	32.46	+0.54
3	Hungaria	22	13	3	6	29	63	32	+31	30.35	-1.35
4	Szegedi AK	22	11	5	6	27	44	44	0	20.21	+6.79
5	Kispest	22	8	7	7	23	41	50	-9	20.55	+2.45
6	Phobus	22	8	5	9	21	48	46	+2	22.42	-1.42
7	Soroksar FC	22	7	7	8	21	35	47	-12	13.46	+7.54
8	33FC	22	7	6	9	20	36	36	0	21.28	-1.28
9	Bocskai FC	22	6	5	11	17	35	39	-4	23.69	-6.69
10	III. Kerulet	22	6	5	11	17	35	44	-9	18.68	-1.68
11	Attila FC	22	6	3	13	15	24	57	-33	17.02	-2.02
12	Somogy FC	22	1	4	17	6	24	79	-55	11.62	-5.62

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Soroksar FC	21	13.46	+7.54
2	Szegedi AK	27	20.21	+6.79
3	Ujpest	35	32.26	+2.74
4	Kispest	23	20.55	+2.45
5	Ferencvaros	33	32.46	+0.54

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Bocskai FC	17	23.69	-6.69
2	Somogy FC	6	11.62	-5.62
3	Attila FC	15	17.02	-2.02
4	III. Kerulet	17	18.68	-1.68
5	Phobus	21	22.42	-1.42

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Ujpest	13	Nov 11 – May 5	1 in 399
2	Szegedi AK	4	Oct 14 – Nov 11	1 in 157
3	Soroksar FC	2	Nov 18 – Nov 25	1 in 52
4	33FC	3	Oct 21 – Nov 4	1 in 42
5	Attila FC	2	Sep 2 – Sep 9	1 in 21

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Bocskai FC	7	Nov 25 – Mar 24	1 in 2,051
2	Attila FC	6	Mar 9 – Apr 28	1 in 49
3	33FC	3	Feb 24 – Mar 9	1 in 29
4	Hungaria	2	Mar 24 – Mar 31	1 in 27
5	Somogy FC	6	Nov 18 – Mar 17	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Soroksar FC	5	Nov 18 – Mar 3	1 in 112
2	Szegedi AK	6	Oct 14 – Nov 29	1 in 49
3	Kispest	5	Sep 23 – Nov 11	1 in 26
4	33FC	5	Sep 30 – Nov 4	1 in 20
5	Ujpest	14	Oct 28 – May 5	1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Bocskai FC	7	Nov 25 – Mar 24	1 in 38
2	33FC	6	Nov 11 – Mar 9	1 in 33
3	Somogy FC	15	Aug 26 – Mar 17	1 in 19
4	III. Kerulet	5	Mar 24 – May 5	1 in 10
5	Ferencvaros	2	Oct 28 – Nov 4	1 in 6

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Ujpest	1764	35	+13	7	7.7	-0.7
Ferencvaros	1744	33	+52	9	6.9	+2.1
Hungaria	1618	29	-25	6	6.7	-0.7
Szegedi AK	1508	27	+18	7	5.2	+1.8
Kispest	1394	23	-6	5	4.2	+0.8
Phobus	1460	21	-13	6	5.6	+0.4
Soroksar FC	1342	21	+9	5	3.8	+1.2
33FC	1390	20	-33	4	5.6	-1.6
III. Kerulet	1466	17	+76	5	3.9	+1.1
Bocskai FC	1414	17	-27	3	4.8	-1.8
Attila FC	1282	15	-50	2	3.6	-1.6
Somogy FC	1168	6	-13	1	2.1	-1.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	33F	ATT	BOC	FER	HUN	IK	KIS	PHO	SOM	SOR	SA	UJP
33FC	—	2-0-0 2.98	1-1-0 2.33	2-0-0 1.16	0-1-1 1.55	1-0-1 3.09	0-1-1 3.09	0-1-1 2.45	1-1-0 4.19	0-0-2 4.08	0-1-1 3.06	0-0-2 1.59
Attila FC	0-0-2 2.54	—	1-0-1 1.77	1-0-1 1.14	0-0-2 1.06	1-1-0 2.13	0-0-2 2.24	0-1-1 2.11	2-0-0 3.75	0-1-1 3.20	1-0-1 2.21	0-0-2 0.96
Bocskai FC	0-1-1 3.19	1-0-1 3.76	—	0-0-2 1.64	1-0-1 1.90	0-0-2 3.48	0-1-1 3.27	2-0-0 2.99	2-0-0 4.13	0-2-0 4.16	0-0-2 3.77	0-1-1 1.36
Ferencvaros	0-0-2 4.39	1-0-1 4.42	2-0-0 3.88	—	2-0-0 3.01	2-0-0 4.53	2-0-0 4.34	1-1-0 4.07	2-0-0 4.94	1-1-0 4.78	1-1-0 4.27	0-2-0 2.86
Hungaria	1-1-0 3.99	2-0-0 4.50	1-0-1 3.63	0-0-2 2.51	—	2-0-0 4.16	1-1-0 4.00	1-0-1 3.88	2-0-0 4.75	1-0-1 4.69	2-0-0 4.02	0-1-1 2.41
III. Kerulet	1-0-1 2.43	0-1-1 3.39	2-0-0 2.05	0-0-2 1.02	0-0-2 1.38	—	1-1-0 2.52	1-0-1 2.16	0-1-1 3.89	0-1-1 3.78	1-0-1 2.56	0-1-1 1.26
Kispest	1-1-0 2.43	2-0-0 3.28	1-1-0 2.25	0-0-2 1.21	0-1-1 1.53	0-1-1 3.01	—	0-1-1 2.31	2-0-0 4.12	2-0-0 3.69	0-2-0 2.58	0-0-2 1.17
Phobus	1-1-0 3.07	1-1-0 3.42	0-0-2 2.53	0-1-1 1.46	1-0-1 1.65	1-0-1 3.36	1-1-0 3.21	—	1-1-0 4.19	1-0-1 3.82	1-0-1 2.75	0-0-2 1.36
Somogy FC	0-1-1 1.35	0-0-2 1.77	0-0-2 1.41	0-0-2 0.67	0-0-2 0.83	1-1-0 1.64	0-0-2 1.41	0-1-1 1.35	—	0-1-1 2.38	0-0-2 1.41	0-0-2 0.67
Soroksar FC	2-0-0 1.46	1-1-0 2.32	0-2-0 1.38	0-1-1 0.80	1-0-1 0.88	1-1-0 1.75	0-0-2 1.84	1-0-1 1.71	1-1-0 3.14	—	0-1-1 1.66	0-0-2 0.77
Szegedi AK	1-1-0 2.46	1-0-1 3.31	2-0-0 1.76	0-1-1 1.27	0-0-2 1.51	1-0-1 2.97	0-2-0 2.94	1-0-1 2.77	2-0-0 4.12	1-1-0 3.86	—	2-0-0 1.07
Ujpest	2-0-0 3.94	2-0-0 4.60	1-1-0 4.17	0-2-0 2.66	1-1-0 3.11	1-1-0 4.29	2-0-0 4.38	2-0-0 4.18	2-0-0 4.93	2-0-0 4.82	0-0-2 4.49	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.84	+4.7
Allowed	0.75	-4.6
Differential	0.89	+2.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.27%	3.41%	4.92%	2.27%	1.52%	3.41%	17.80%
1	3.41%	11.36%	5.68%	4.55%	1.89%	3.79%	30.68%
2	4.92%	5.68%	4.55%	2.65%	1.89%	1.14%	20.83%
3	2.27%	4.55%	2.65%	3.03%	0.38%	1.14%	14.02%
4	1.52%	1.89%	1.89%	0.38%	1.52%	—	7.20%
5+	3.41%	3.79%	1.14%	1.14%	—	—	9.47%
Total	17.80%	30.68%	20.83%	14.02%	7.20%	9.47%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.98	1.98	+0.00
SD	1.72	1.72	2.69
CV	0.87	0.87	—
Max	10	10	+10
Min	0	0	-10

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	22.73%
1	9.09%	18.18%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	36.36%
2	4.55%	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	18.18%
3	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	18.18%	40.91%	9.09%	22.73%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.64	+0.00
SD	1.59	1.29	2.31
CV	0.97	0.79	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%	31.82%
1	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	—	9.09%	36.36%
2	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	22.73%	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	27.27%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	2.59	-1.50
SD	0.97	2.20	2.79
CV	0.89	0.85	—
Max	3	8	+3
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	31.82%
1	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	22.73%
2	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	31.82%	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.59	1.77	-0.18
SD	1.84	1.60	2.72
CV	1.16	0.90	—
Max	8	5	+8
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
1	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
2	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
3	—	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%	—	13.64%
5+	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
Total	22.73%	40.91%	13.64%	13.64%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.27	1.45	+1.82
SD	2.14	1.26	2.28
CV	0.65	0.87	—
Max	7	4	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
1	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
2	9.09%	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	22.73%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
Total	18.18%	36.36%	27.27%	18.18%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.86	1.45	+1.41
SD	2.25	1.01	2.48
CV	0.79	0.69	—
Max	7	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
1	—	13.64%	18.18%	13.64%	—	4.55%	50.00%
2	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	22.73%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	9.09%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	22.73%	22.73%	18.18%	—	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.59	2.00	-0.41
SD	1.10	1.83	2.22
CV	0.69	0.91	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	13.64%
1	4.55%	9.09%	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	27.27%
2	—	13.64%	18.18%	—	—	—	31.82%
3	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	4.55%	27.27%	31.82%	13.64%	18.18%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.86	2.27	-0.41
SD	1.28	1.32	2.15
CV	0.69	0.58	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
1	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	22.73%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	22.73%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	18.18%	27.27%	18.18%	18.18%	4.55%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.18	2.09	+0.09
SD	1.62	1.74	2.67
CV	0.74	0.83	—
Max	5	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	13.64%	22.73%
1	—	13.64%	18.18%	—	9.09%	9.09%	50.00%
2	—	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	22.73%
3	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.18%	27.27%	13.64%	9.09%	31.82%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	3.59	-2.50
SD	0.81	2.42	2.63
CV	0.74	0.67	—
Max	3	10	+1
Min	0	1	-10

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	22.73%
1	—	22.73%	—	—	—	4.55%	27.27%
2	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	9.09%	—	22.73%
3	—	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
4	—	—	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	4.55%	45.45%	13.64%	18.18%	13.64%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.59	2.14	-0.55
SD	1.22	1.61	2.02
CV	0.77	0.75	—
Max	4	7	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
1	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	9.09%	31.82%
2	—	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	27.27%	36.36%	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	2.00	+0.00
SD	1.27	1.57	2.12
CV	0.64	0.79	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
1	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
2	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
3	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
5+	13.64%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
Total	50.00%	27.27%	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.00	0.77	+2.23
SD	2.31	0.92	2.52
CV	0.77	1.19	—
Max	10	3	+10
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Ujpest	1764	35	32.26	+2.74	84.0%	23	26	30	32	34	38	40
Ferencvaros	1744	33	32.46	+0.54	64.0%	25	27	30	33	35	37	40
Hungaria	1618	29	30.35	-1.35	39.0%	23	24	28	30	33	35	37
Szegedi AK	1508	27	20.21	+6.79	98.0%	11	15	17	20	23	26	31
III. Kerulet	1466	17	18.68	-1.68	31.0%	10	12	17	18	21	24	28
Phobus	1460	21	22.42	-1.42	39.0%	15	17	20	23	24	28	30
Bocskai FC	1414	17	23.69	-6.69	4.0%	12	18	22	24	26	28	32
Kispest	1394	23	20.55	+2.45	80.0%	10	15	19	20	23	25	29
33FC	1390	20	21.28	-1.28	42.0%	13	17	19	21	24	26	30
Soroksar FC	1342	21	13.46	+7.54	98.0%	5	8	11	13	16	19	23
Attila FC	1282	15	17.02	-2.02	38.0%	7	10	14	17	20	23	25
Somogy FC	1168	6	11.62	-5.62	5.0%	3	6	9	12	14	17	21

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 20.5% * Clear Edge: 20.5% to 27% * Strong Edge: 27% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+13.64%

No Edge

45.45%22.73%31.82%

Elo Value

Home Edge

137 Elo

0.007 goals per Elo point

047.67400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.55 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.35+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.6

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

43%

Ujpest, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.09/gm

Tight Race

00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.74 * Some Luck: 2.74 to 4.11 * Lucky: 4.11 to 5.48 * Wild Swing: 5.48 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.03 * Close: 1.03 to 1.55 * Off: 1.55 to 2.07 * Way Off: 2.07 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

4.14 points

Lucky

03.429

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.83

Off

01.293

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

98.00%

Szegedi AK

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

4.00%

Bocskai FC

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.6 * Moderate Separation: 1.6 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65.5% * Slight Edge: 65.5% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 88.5% * Clear Edge: 88.5% to 92.5% * Strong Edge: 92.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50% * Some Drama: 50% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 20% * Frequent: 20% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.20

Top-Heavy

00.150.210.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 176.49

1.97

Strong Separation

11.61.852.152.75

Interquartile Edge

71%

Clear Edge

50%65.5%75.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 97%

97%

Dominant

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

47%

Few

0%42%100%

Blowouts

Expected

30%

Frequent

0%36%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.47 * Notable Separation: 0.47 to 0.53 * Lopsided: 0.53 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.45 * Some Carryover: 0.45 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.72 * Near-Lock: 0.72 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.57

Predictable

00.562

Matchup Imbalance

0.50

Notable Separation

00.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.38

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.60

Strong Carryover

00.450.590.721

Upset Rate

Expected

23%

Upset-Prone

0%19%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

20%

Shaky Favorites

0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.

Probability calibration

0.49

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.78

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.095

Well Within Noise

00.1420.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Ujpest	43.00%	30.00%	22.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Ferencvaros	42.00%	37.00%	19.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Hungaria	15.00%	30.00%	40.00%	10.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Szegedi AK	—	—	2.00%	14.00%	9.00%	17.00%	8.00%	16.00%	15.00%	12.00%	6.00%	1.00%
Kispest	—	—	2.00%	6.00%	18.00%	13.00%	21.00%	12.00%	11.00%	12.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Phobus	—	1.00%	4.00%	16.00%	25.00%	24.00%	16.00%	5.00%	5.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—
Soroksar FC	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	5.00%	12.00%	15.00%	38.00%	27.00%
33FC	—	1.00%	3.00%	10.00%	18.00%	14.00%	17.00%	19.00%	11.00%	7.00%	—	—
Bocskai FC	—	1.00%	7.00%	32.00%	18.00%	12.00%	15.00%	6.00%	5.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—
III. Kerulet	—	—	1.00%	6.00%	2.00%	10.00%	11.00%	21.00%	23.00%	17.00%	8.00%	1.00%
Attila FC	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	8.00%	11.00%	13.00%	16.00%	19.00%	15.00%	14.00%
Somogy FC	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.00%	2.00%	13.00%	26.00%	56.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level
33FC	100%
Attila FC	100%
Bocskai FC	100%
Ferencvaros	100%
Hungaria	100%
III. Kerulet	100%
Kispest	100%
Phobus	100%
Somogy FC	100%
Soroksar FC	100%
Szegedi AK	100%
Ujpest	100%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1934-08-26	Somogy FC	W 7-1	36.2	1584	1327	69.77%	22.21%	8.01%	+2.22	+15.6	2
1934-08-26	@ Hungaria	L 1-7	36.2	1327	1584	8.01%	22.21%	69.77%	-2.22	-15.6	0
1934-09-02	III. Kerulet	D 2-2	58.0	1311	1438	30.37%	23.97%	45.66%	-0.58	+0.9	1
1934-09-02	@ Somogy FC	D 2-2	58.0	1438	1311	45.66%	23.97%	30.37%	+0.58	-0.8	1
1934-09-02	Kispest	L 0-1	38.7	1244	1426	23.78%	23.72%	52.50%	-0.98	-9.5	0
1934-09-02	@ Soroksar FC	W 1-0	38.7	1426	1244	52.50%	23.72%	23.78%	+0.98	+9.5	2
1934-09-02	Attila FC	L 1-2	52.8	1416	1406	48.85%	24.03%	27.11%	+0.42	-16.0	0
1934-09-02	@ Szegedi AK	W 2-1	52.8	1406	1416	27.11%	24.03%	48.85%	-0.42	+16.0	2
1934-09-06	Somogy FC	W 4-1	37.5	1508	1312	66.12%	22.88%	11.01%	+1.77	+11.3	2
1934-09-06	@ Bocskai FC	L 1-4	37.5	1312	1508	11.01%	22.88%	66.12%	-1.77	-11.3	1
1934-09-08	Ujpest	D 1-1	63.7	1437	1635	22.18%	23.63%	54.19%	-1.09	+2.5	2
1934-09-08	@ III. Kerulet	D 1-1	63.7	1635	1437	54.19%	23.63%	22.18%	+1.09	-2.5	1
1934-09-09	Szegedi AK	D 2-2	59.9	1436	1400	51.94%	23.96%	24.10%	+0.61	-1.6	3
1934-09-09	@ Kispest	D 2-2	59.9	1400	1436	24.10%	23.96%	51.94%	-0.61	+1.6	1
1934-09-09	Ferencvaros	W 3-1	62.8	1422	1666	17.87%	23.30%	58.83%	-1.43	+32.9	4
1934-09-09	@ Attila FC	L 1-3	62.8	1666	1422	58.83%	23.30%	17.87%	+1.43	-32.9	0
1934-09-09	Soroksar FC	W 7-1	32.4	1600	1234	74.63%	20.78%	4.59%	+3.01	+8.9	4
1934-09-09	@ Hungaria	L 1-7	32.4	1234	1600	4.59%	20.78%	74.63%	-3.01	-8.9	0
1934-09-09	33FC	W 3-1	45.9	1466	1434	51.58%	23.97%	24.45%	+0.59	+16.0	2
1934-09-09	@ Phobus	L 1-3	45.9	1434	1466	24.45%	23.97%	51.58%	-0.59	-16.0	0
1934-09-16	Attila FC	W 5-1	44.6	1418	1455	42.71%	24.10%	33.19%	+0.07	+37.2	2
1934-09-16	@ 33FC	L 1-5	44.6	1455	1418	33.19%	24.10%	42.71%	-0.07	-37.2	4
1934-09-16	Kispest	W 3-1	47.6	1633	1434	66.28%	22.85%	10.86%	+1.79	+7.9	2
1934-09-16	@ Ferencvaros	L 1-3	47.6	1434	1633	10.86%	22.85%	66.28%	-1.79	-7.9	3
1934-09-16	III. Kerulet	W 3-1	50.3	1225	1440	20.51%	23.52%	55.97%	-1.22	+31.4	2
1934-09-16	@ Soroksar FC	L 1-3	50.3	1440	1225	55.97%	23.52%	20.51%	+1.22	-31.4	2
1934-09-16	Hungaria	L 0-2	44.5	1402	1609	21.23%	23.57%	55.20%	-1.16	-16.4	1
1934-09-16	@ Szegedi AK	W 2-0	44.5	1609	1402	55.20%	23.57%	21.23%	+1.16	+16.3	6
1934-09-16	Somogy FC	W 10-0	34.8	1633	1301	73.28%	21.26%	5.46%	+2.76	+21.0	3
1934-09-16	@ Ujpest	L 0-10	34.8	1301	1633	5.46%	21.26%	73.28%	-2.76	-21.0	1
1934-09-23	33FC	W 3-2	53.9	1426	1455	43.96%	24.10%	31.94%	+0.14	+10.8	5
1934-09-23	@ Kispest	L 2-3	53.9	1455	1426	31.94%	24.10%	43.96%	-0.14	-10.8	2
1934-09-23	Szegedi AK	W 2-0	39.0	1409	1385	50.47%	24.00%	25.53%	+0.52	+19.1	4
1934-09-23	@ III. Kerulet	L 0-2	39.0	1385	1409	25.53%	24.00%	50.47%	-0.52	-19.1	1
1934-09-23	Phobus	D 2-2	61.7	1418	1482	38.95%	24.10%	36.95%	-0.12	-0.1	5
1934-09-23	@ Attila FC	D 2-2	61.7	1482	1418	36.95%	24.10%	38.95%	+0.12	+0.1	3
1934-09-23	Ferencvaros	L 2-3	69.8	1625	1641	45.66%	24.08%	30.26%	+0.23	-14.3	6
1934-09-23	@ Hungaria	W 3-2	69.8	1641	1625	30.26%	24.08%	45.66%	-0.23	+14.3	4
1934-09-23	Soroksar FC	D 1-1	51.5	1280	1257	50.44%	24.00%	25.56%	+0.52	-1.9	2
1934-09-23	@ Somogy FC	D 1-1	51.5	1257	1280	25.56%	24.00%	50.44%	-0.52	+1.9	3
1934-09-23	Bocskai FC	D 0-0	63.8	1654	1519	61.61%	23.41%	14.98%	+1.33	-4.2	4
1934-09-23	@ Ujpest	D 0-0	63.8	1519	1654	14.98%	23.41%	61.61%	-1.33	+4.2	3
1934-09-30	Bocskai FC	D 3-3	68.4	1444	1523	36.81%	24.08%	39.10%	-0.23	+0.1	3
1934-09-30	@ 33FC	D 3-3	68.4	1523	1444	39.10%	24.08%	36.81%	+0.23	-0.1	4
1934-09-30	Phobus	W 6-1	46.3	1655	1482	64.51%	23.10%	12.39%	+1.60	+19.9	6
1934-09-30	@ Ferencvaros	L 1-6	46.3	1482	1655	12.39%	23.10%	64.51%	-1.60	-19.9	3
1934-09-30	Hungaria	D 1-1	68.5	1650	1611	52.25%	23.95%	23.81%	+0.63	-2.2	5
1934-09-30	@ Ujpest	D 1-1	68.5	1611	1650	23.81%	23.95%	52.25%	-0.63	+2.2	7
1934-10-13	III. Kerulet	W 3-1	47.9	1675	1428	69.20%	22.34%	8.46%	+2.15	+6.2	8
1934-10-13	@ Ferencvaros	L 1-3	47.9	1428	1675	8.46%	22.34%	69.20%	-2.15	-6.2	4
1934-10-14	Hungaria	D 1-1	63.1	1444	1613	25.30%	23.79%	50.91%	-0.88	+2.0	4
1934-10-14	@ 33FC	D 1-1	63.1	1613	1444	50.91%	23.79%	25.30%	+0.88	-2.0	8
1934-10-14	Attila FC	W 8-0	38.5	1523	1418	59.07%	23.61%	17.32%	+1.11	+50.5	6
1934-10-14	@ Bocskai FC	L 0-8	38.5	1418	1523	17.32%	23.61%	59.07%	-1.11	-50.5	5
1934-10-14	Kispest	D 3-3	66.1	1463	1437	50.70%	23.99%	25.31%	+0.53	-1.2	4
1934-10-14	@ Phobus	D 3-3	66.1	1437	1463	25.31%	23.99%	50.70%	-0.53	+1.2	6
1934-10-14	Ujpest	L 0-3	34.4	1258	1648	8.65%	21.77%	69.58%	-2.48	-10.5	3
1934-10-14	@ Soroksar FC	W 3-0	34.4	1648	1258	69.58%	21.77%	8.65%	+2.48	+10.5	7
1934-10-14	Somogy FC	W 2-1	40.8	1366	1278	57.46%	23.71%	18.83%	+0.99	+7.4	3
1934-10-14	@ Szegedi AK	L 1-2	40.8	1278	1366	18.83%	23.71%	57.46%	-0.99	-7.4	2
1934-10-21	Attila FC	W 5-1	38.9	1439	1367	55.75%	23.81%	20.44%	+0.87	+25.2	8
1934-10-21	@ Kispest	L 1-5	38.9	1367	1439	20.44%	23.81%	55.75%	-0.87	-25.2	5
1934-10-21	33FC	L 1-3	51.0	1421	1446	44.46%	24.09%	31.45%	+0.17	-25.6	4
1934-10-21	@ III. Kerulet	W 3-1	51.0	1446	1421	31.45%	24.09%	44.46%	-0.17	+25.6	6
1934-10-21	Phobus	W 5-2	50.8	1611	1461	62.81%	23.29%	13.90%	+1.44	+12.1	10
1934-10-21	@ Hungaria	L 2-5	50.8	1461	1611	13.90%	23.29%	62.81%	-1.44	-12.1	4
1934-10-21	Ferencvaros	L 3-7	43.3	1270	1681	7.74%	21.49%	70.77%	-2.64	-7.9	2
1934-10-21	@ Somogy FC	W 7-3	43.3	1681	1270	70.77%	21.49%	7.74%	+2.64	+7.9	10
1934-10-21	Bocskai FC	D 1-1	55.5	1248	1574	11.91%	22.52%	65.56%	-2.02	+4.5	4
1934-10-21	@ Soroksar FC	D 1-1	55.5	1574	1248	65.56%	22.52%	11.91%	+2.02	-4.5	7
1934-10-21	Szegedi AK	L 1-2	65.8	1658	1374	71.12%	21.89%	6.99%	+2.42	-23.1	7
1934-10-21	@ Ujpest	W 2-1	65.8	1374	1658	6.99%	21.89%	71.12%	-2.42	+23.1	5
1934-10-28	Somogy FC	W 6-0	29.7	1472	1262	66.97%	22.75%	10.29%	+1.87	+24.0	8
1934-10-28	@ 33FC	L 0-6	29.7	1262	1472	10.29%	22.75%	66.97%	-1.87	-24.0	2
1934-10-28	Kispest	D 2-2	66.7	1569	1464	59.08%	23.61%	17.31%	+1.12	-2.5	8
1934-10-28	@ Bocskai FC	D 2-2	66.7	1464	1569	17.31%	23.61%	59.08%	-1.12	+2.5	9
1934-10-28	Ujpest	D 1-1	69.4	1689	1635	53.96%	23.88%	22.16%	+0.74	-2.5	11
1934-10-28	@ Ferencvaros	D 1-1	69.4	1635	1689	22.16%	23.88%	53.96%	-0.74	+2.5	8
1934-10-28	Hungaria	L 0-2	40.7	1342	1623	14.88%	22.98%	62.15%	-1.70	-12.0	5
1934-10-28	@ Attila FC	W 2-0	40.7	1623	1342	62.15%	22.98%	14.88%	+1.70	+12.0	12
1934-10-28	III. Kerulet	W 2-1	45.3	1449	1396	53.88%	23.89%	22.23%	+0.74	+8.5	6
1934-10-28	@ Phobus	L 1-2	45.3	1396	1449	22.23%	23.89%	53.88%	-0.74	-8.5	4
1934-10-28	Soroksar FC	W 4-2	42.0	1397	1252	62.37%	23.33%	14.30%	+1.40	+9.1	7
1934-10-28	@ Szegedi AK	L 2-4	42.0	1252	1397	14.30%	23.33%	62.37%	-1.40	-9.1	4
1934-11-04	Phobus	W 2-1	49.8	1567	1458	59.38%	23.59%	17.03%	+1.14	+6.8	10
1934-11-04	@ Bocskai FC	L 1-2	49.8	1458	1567	17.03%	23.59%	59.38%	-1.14	-6.8	6
1934-11-04	33FC	L 0-2	63.2	1687	1496	65.79%	22.93%	11.28%	+1.74	-42.7	11
1934-11-04	@ Ferencvaros	W 2-0	63.2	1496	1687	11.28%	22.93%	65.79%	-1.74	+42.7	10
1934-11-11	Attila FC	D 0-0	50.1	1387	1330	54.28%	23.87%	21.85%	+0.76	-2.8	5
1934-11-11	@ III. Kerulet	D 0-0	50.1	1330	1387	21.85%	23.87%	54.28%	-0.76	+2.8	6
1934-11-11	Kispest	D 1-1	64.8	1635	1466	64.26%	23.13%	12.61%	+1.58	-4.3	13
1934-11-11	@ Hungaria	D 1-1	64.8	1466	1635	12.61%	23.13%	64.26%	-1.58	+4.3	10
1934-11-11	Phobus	D 1-1	52.9	1238	1451	20.72%	23.53%	55.75%	-1.20	+2.8	3
1934-11-11	@ Somogy FC	D 1-1	52.9	1451	1238	55.75%	23.53%	20.72%	+1.20	-2.8	7
1934-11-11	Ferencvaros	L 0-2	35.6	1243	1644	8.16%	21.63%	70.21%	-2.57	-6.8	4
1934-11-11	@ Soroksar FC	W 2-0	35.6	1644	1243	70.21%	21.63%	8.16%	+2.57	+6.8	13
1934-11-11	Bocskai FC	W 3-1	56.6	1406	1574	25.44%	23.80%	50.77%	-0.88	+28.7	9
1934-11-11	@ Szegedi AK	L 1-3	56.6	1574	1406	50.77%	23.80%	25.44%	+0.88	-28.7	10
1934-11-11	33FC	W 3-0	46.9	1637	1538	58.48%	23.65%	17.87%	+1.07	+20.6	10
1934-11-11	@ Ujpest	L 0-3	46.9	1538	1637	17.87%	23.65%	58.48%	-1.07	-20.6	10
1934-11-18	Soroksar FC	L 0-2	51.2	1518	1237	70.96%	21.93%	7.11%	+2.39	-46.1	10
1934-11-18	@ 33FC	W 2-0	51.2	1237	1518	7.11%	21.93%	70.96%	-2.39	+46.1	6
1934-11-18	Hungaria	W 2-0	55.6	1545	1631	35.89%	24.07%	40.04%	-0.28	+27.1	12
1934-11-18	@ Bocskai FC	L 0-2	55.6	1631	1545	40.04%	24.07%	35.89%	+0.28	-27.1	13
1934-11-18	III. Kerulet	L 1-3	54.3	1470	1384	57.23%	23.73%	19.04%	+0.97	-32.2	10
1934-11-18	@ Kispest	W 3-1	54.3	1384	1470	19.04%	23.73%	57.23%	-0.97	+32.2	7
1934-11-18	Somogy FC	W 2-0	34.1	1333	1241	57.79%	23.69%	18.52%	+1.01	+14.6	8
1934-11-18	@ Attila FC	L 0-2	34.1	1241	1333	18.52%	23.69%	57.79%	-1.01	-14.6	3
1934-11-18	Ujpest	L 3-5	59.4	1448	1658	21.00%	23.55%	55.44%	-1.18	-11.9	7
1934-11-18	@ Phobus	W 5-3	59.4	1658	1448	55.44%	23.55%	21.00%	+1.18	+11.9	12
1934-11-25	Bocskai FC	W 5-1	51.7	1651	1572	56.50%	23.77%	19.73%	+0.92	+24.4	15
1934-11-25	@ Ferencvaros	L 1-5	51.7	1572	1651	19.73%	23.77%	56.50%	-0.92	-24.4	12
1934-11-25	Hungaria	L 3-6	54.0	1417	1604	23.31%	23.69%	53.00%	-1.02	-17.4	7
1934-11-25	@ III. Kerulet	W 6-3	54.0	1604	1417	53.00%	23.69%	23.31%	+1.02	+17.4	15
1934-11-25	Kispest	L 1-2	41.5	1226	1438	20.80%	23.54%	55.67%	-1.19	-8.0	3
1934-11-25	@ Somogy FC	W 2-1	41.5	1438	1226	55.67%	23.54%	20.80%	+1.19	+8.0	12
1934-11-25	Phobus	W 3-2	55.4	1283	1436	27.08%	23.87%	49.05%	-0.77	+15.2	8
1934-11-25	@ Soroksar FC	L 2-3	55.4	1436	1283	49.05%	23.87%	27.08%	+0.77	-15.2	7
1934-11-25	33FC	D 1-1	57.5	1434	1472	42.75%	24.10%	33.15%	+0.08	-0.7	10
1934-11-25	@ Szegedi AK	D 1-1	57.5	1472	1434	33.15%	24.10%	42.75%	-0.08	+0.7	11
1934-11-25	Attila FC	W 5-0	36.0	1670	1348	72.85%	21.40%	5.75%	+2.69	+11.5	14
1934-11-25	@ Ujpest	L 0-5	36.0	1348	1670	5.75%	21.40%	72.85%	-2.69	-11.4	8
1934-11-29	Szegedi AK	D 4-4	76.9	1675	1434	68.88%	22.40%	8.71%	+2.10	-2.8	16
1934-11-29	@ Ferencvaros	D 4-4	76.9	1434	1675	8.71%	22.40%	68.88%	-2.10	+2.8	11
1934-12-02	III. Kerulet	L 0-2	54.5	1548	1399	62.70%	23.30%	14.00%	+1.43	-40.7	12
1934-12-02	@ Bocskai FC	W 2-0	54.5	1399	1548	14.00%	23.30%	62.70%	-1.43	+40.7	9
1934-12-02	Ujpest	L 1-4	50.3	1446	1681	18.63%	23.37%	58.00%	-1.36	-17.9	12
1934-12-02	@ Kispest	W 4-1	50.3	1681	1446	58.00%	23.37%	18.63%	+1.36	+17.9	16
1934-12-02	Soroksar FC	D 1-1	52.2	1336	1298	52.20%	23.95%	23.85%	+0.63	-2.2	9
1934-12-02	@ Attila FC	D 1-1	52.2	1298	1336	23.85%	23.95%	52.20%	-0.63	+2.2	9
1934-12-02	Szegedi AK	W 5-1	43.3	1421	1436	45.68%	24.08%	30.24%	+0.24	+34.6	9
1934-12-02	@ Phobus	L 1-5	43.3	1436	1421	30.24%	24.08%	45.68%	-0.24	-34.6	11
1935-02-23	Hungaria	L 0-5	42.9	1428	1621	22.72%	23.66%	53.62%	-1.06	-40.5	12
1935-02-23	@ Kispest	W 5-0	42.9	1621	1428	53.62%	23.66%	22.72%	+1.06	+40.5	17
1935-02-24	Ujpest	L 0-1	51.4	1472	1699	19.36%	23.43%	57.21%	-1.30	-8.0	11
1935-02-24	@ 33FC	W 1-0	51.4	1699	1472	57.21%	23.43%	19.36%	+1.30	+8.0	18
1935-02-24	Szegedi AK	L 2-4	60.8	1507	1402	59.04%	23.61%	17.35%	+1.11	-29.7	12
1935-02-24	@ Bocskai FC	W 4-2	60.8	1402	1507	17.35%	23.61%	59.04%	-1.11	+29.7	13
1935-02-24	Soroksar FC	D 4-4	72.6	1672	1300	74.87%	20.69%	4.44%	+3.06	-3.3	17
1935-02-24	@ Ferencvaros	D 4-4	72.6	1300	1672	4.44%	20.69%	74.87%	-3.06	+3.3	10
1935-02-24	III. Kerulet	W 3-0	41.8	1334	1440	33.16%	24.03%	42.81%	-0.42	+41.6	11
1935-02-24	@ Attila FC	L 0-3	41.8	1440	1334	42.81%	24.03%	33.16%	+0.42	-41.6	9
1935-02-24	Somogy FC	W 5-0	28.2	1456	1218	68.65%	22.45%	8.91%	+2.07	+17.6	11
1935-02-24	@ Phobus	L 0-5	28.2	1218	1456	8.91%	22.45%	68.65%	-2.07	-17.6	3
1935-03-03	Kispest	D 1-1	54.3	1398	1388	48.91%	24.03%	27.06%	+0.42	-1.6	10
1935-03-03	@ III. Kerulet	D 1-1	54.3	1388	1398	27.06%	24.03%	48.91%	-0.42	+1.6	13
1935-03-03	Bocskai FC	W 4-2	54.5	1662	1477	65.34%	22.99%	11.67%	+1.69	+7.5	19
1935-03-03	@ Hungaria	L 2-4	54.5	1477	1662	11.67%	22.99%	65.34%	-1.69	-7.5	12
1935-03-03	Attila FC	L 1-2	42.1	1201	1376	24.68%	23.76%	51.56%	-0.92	-9.3	3
1935-03-03	@ Somogy FC	W 2-1	42.1	1376	1201	51.56%	23.76%	24.68%	+0.92	+9.3	13
1935-03-03	33FC	W 3-2	56.4	1303	1464	26.25%	23.83%	49.92%	-0.82	+15.5	12
1935-03-03	@ Soroksar FC	L 2-3	56.4	1464	1303	49.92%	23.83%	26.25%	+0.82	-15.5	11
1935-03-03	Ferencvaros	L 1-6	47.0	1431	1669	18.40%	23.35%	58.25%	-1.38	-28.0	13
1935-03-03	@ Szegedi AK	W 6-1	47.0	1669	1431	58.25%	23.35%	18.40%	+1.38	+28.0	19
1935-03-03	Phobus	W 2-0	46.0	1707	1473	68.45%	22.49%	9.07%	+2.05	+7.7	20
1935-03-03	@ Ujpest	L 0-2	46.0	1473	1707	9.07%	22.49%	68.45%	-2.05	-7.7	11
1935-03-09	Szegedi AK	L 0-4	45.6	1449	1403	52.99%	23.92%	23.09%	+0.68	-65.5	11
1935-03-09	@ 33FC	W 4-0	45.6	1403	1449	23.09%	23.92%	52.99%	-0.68	+65.5	15
1935-03-09	Ferencvaros	L 0-1	51.3	1470	1697	19.33%	23.43%	57.24%	-1.31	-8.0	12
1935-03-09	@ Bocskai FC	W 1-0	51.3	1697	1470	57.24%	23.43%	19.33%	+1.31	+8.0	21
1935-03-09	Somogy FC	W 3-2	42.3	1390	1192	66.25%	22.86%	10.89%	+1.79	+4.3	15
1935-03-09	@ Kispest	L 2-3	42.3	1192	1390	10.89%	22.86%	66.25%	-1.79	-4.3	3
1935-03-09	Ujpest	L 2-4	53.2	1385	1715	11.66%	22.48%	65.86%	-2.06	-7.4	13
1935-03-09	@ Attila FC	W 4-2	53.2	1715	1385	65.86%	22.48%	11.66%	+2.06	+7.4	22
1935-03-09	III. Kerulet	W 2-1	48.0	1669	1397	70.53%	22.04%	7.43%	+2.33	+3.2	21
1935-03-09	@ Hungaria	L 1-2	48.0	1397	1669	7.43%	22.04%	70.53%	-2.33	-3.2	10
1935-03-09	Soroksar FC	W 3-0	33.2	1466	1319	62.58%	23.31%	14.10%	+1.42	+16.8	13
1935-03-09	@ Phobus	L 0-3	33.2	1319	1466	14.10%	23.31%	62.58%	-1.42	-16.8	12
1935-03-17	Ferencvaros	W 1-0	62.5	1383	1705	12.16%	22.57%	65.28%	-1.99	+22.4	13
1935-03-17	@ 33FC	L 0-1	62.5	1705	1383	65.28%	22.57%	12.16%	+1.99	-22.3	21
1935-03-17	Bocskai FC	W 2-0	44.1	1394	1462	38.41%	24.10%	37.49%	-0.15	+25.8	12
1935-03-17	@ III. Kerulet	L 0-2	44.1	1462	1394	37.49%	24.10%	38.41%	+0.15	-25.8	12
1935-03-17	Hungaria	L 2-6	37.7	1187	1672	5.30%	20.43%	74.27%	-3.18	-5.9	3
1935-03-17	@ Somogy FC	W 6-2	37.7	1672	1187	74.27%	20.43%	5.30%	+3.18	+5.9	23
1935-03-17	Attila FC	W 3-1	45.4	1302	1377	37.41%	24.09%	38.50%	-0.20	+22.8	14
1935-03-17	@ Soroksar FC	L 1-3	45.4	1377	1302	38.50%	24.09%	37.41%	+0.20	-22.8	13
1935-03-17	Phobus	W 1-0	47.4	1469	1482	45.89%	24.08%	30.03%	+0.25	+11.5	17
1935-03-17	@ Szegedi AK	L 0-1	47.4	1482	1469	30.03%	24.08%	45.89%	-0.25	-11.5	13
1935-03-17	Kispest	W 4-0	39.7	1722	1394	73.12%	21.32%	5.57%	+2.74	+9.0	24
1935-03-17	@ Ujpest	L 0-4	39.7	1394	1722	5.57%	21.32%	73.12%	-2.74	-9.0	15
1935-03-23	Ferencvaros	D 3-3	75.0	1471	1683	20.80%	23.54%	55.66%	-1.19	+1.7	14
1935-03-23	@ Phobus	D 3-3	75.0	1683	1471	55.66%	23.54%	20.80%	+1.19	-1.7	22
1935-03-24	33FC	L 0-1	50.2	1436	1406	51.29%	23.98%	24.73%	+0.57	-17.8	12
1935-03-24	@ Bocskai FC	W 1-0	50.2	1406	1436	24.73%	23.98%	51.29%	-0.57	+17.8	15
1935-03-24	Soroksar FC	W 4-2	45.0	1385	1325	54.59%	23.86%	21.55%	+0.78	+12.9	17
1935-03-24	@ Kispest	L 2-4	45.0	1325	1385	21.55%	23.86%	54.59%	-0.78	-12.9	14
1935-03-24	Somogy FC	L 1-2	55.0	1419	1181	68.69%	22.44%	8.87%	+2.08	-22.3	12
1935-03-24	@ III. Kerulet	W 2-1	55.0	1181	1419	8.87%	22.44%	68.69%	-2.08	+22.3	5
1935-03-24	Szegedi AK	L 0-1	43.8	1355	1480	30.54%	23.97%	45.49%	-0.57	-11.7	13
1935-03-24	@ Attila FC	W 1-0	43.8	1480	1355	45.49%	23.97%	30.54%	+0.57	+11.7	19
1935-03-24	Ujpest	L 2-3	69.8	1678	1731	40.57%	24.10%	35.32%	-0.04	-13.0	23
1935-03-24	@ Hungaria	W 3-2	69.8	1731	1678	35.32%	24.10%	40.57%	+0.04	+13.0	26
1935-03-31	Phobus	D 1-1	57.2	1423	1473	41.10%	24.11%	34.80%	-0.01	-0.5	16
1935-03-31	@ 33FC	D 1-1	57.2	1473	1423	34.80%	24.11%	41.10%	+0.01	+0.5	15
1935-03-31	Attila FC	W 5-0	36.0	1681	1343	73.52%	21.18%	5.30%	+2.81	+10.5	24
1935-03-31	@ Ferencvaros	L 0-5	36.0	1343	1681	5.30%	21.18%	73.52%	-2.81	-10.5	13
1935-03-31	Bocskai FC	L 0-3	33.0	1204	1418	20.53%	23.52%	55.95%	-1.21	-23.1	5
1935-03-31	@ Somogy FC	W 3-0	33.0	1418	1204	55.95%	23.52%	20.53%	+1.21	+23.1	14
1935-03-31	Hungaria	W 2-1	62.8	1312	1665	10.37%	22.21%	67.42%	-2.22	+21.8	16
1935-03-31	@ Soroksar FC	L 1-2	62.8	1665	1312	67.42%	22.21%	10.37%	+2.22	-21.8	23
1935-03-31	Kispest	D 2-2	61.5	1492	1398	58.03%	23.68%	18.29%	+1.03	-2.4	20
1935-03-31	@ Szegedi AK	D 2-2	61.5	1398	1492	18.29%	23.68%	58.03%	-1.03	+2.4	18
1935-03-31	III. Kerulet	W 5-1	44.5	1744	1397	73.90%	21.05%	5.05%	+2.87	+6.8	28
1935-03-31	@ Ujpest	L 1-5	44.5	1397	1744	5.05%	21.05%	73.90%	-2.87	-6.8	12
1935-04-06	Ujpest	L 1-4	37.5	1181	1751	3.42%	19.09%	77.50%	-3.81	-3.4	5
1935-04-06	@ Somogy FC	W 4-1	37.5	1751	1181	77.50%	19.09%	3.42%	+3.81	+3.4	30
1935-04-07	Ferencvaros	L 0-4	41.9	1400	1692	14.15%	22.88%	62.98%	-1.77	-21.8	18
1935-04-07	@ Kispest	W 4-0	41.9	1692	1400	62.98%	22.88%	14.15%	+1.77	+21.8	26
1935-04-07	Soroksar FC	D 1-1	53.2	1390	1334	54.21%	23.87%	21.92%	+0.76	-2.5	13
1935-04-07	@ III. Kerulet	D 1-1	53.2	1334	1390	21.92%	23.87%	54.21%	-0.76	+2.5	17
1935-04-07	33FC	L 1-3	45.5	1332	1423	35.26%	24.07%	40.68%	-0.31	-21.3	13
1935-04-07	@ Attila FC	W 3-1	45.5	1423	1332	40.68%	24.07%	35.26%	+0.31	+21.3	18
1935-04-07	Szegedi AK	W 4-1	49.0	1644	1490	63.12%	23.26%	13.63%	+1.47	+13.7	25
1935-04-07	@ Hungaria	L 1-4	49.0	1490	1644	13.63%	23.26%	63.12%	-1.47	-13.7	20
1935-04-07	Bocskai FC	L 0-2	50.1	1473	1441	51.46%	23.97%	24.57%	+0.58	-33.6	15
1935-04-07	@ Phobus	W 2-0	50.1	1441	1473	24.57%	23.97%	51.46%	-0.58	+33.6	16
1935-04-27	Ujpest	L 0-5	45.5	1475	1755	14.99%	22.99%	62.02%	-1.69	-28.3	16
1935-04-27	@ Bocskai FC	W 5-0	45.5	1755	1475	62.02%	22.99%	14.99%	+1.69	+28.2	32
1935-04-28	Kispest	D 2-2	59.6	1444	1378	55.20%	23.83%	20.97%	+0.83	-2.0	19
1935-04-28	@ 33FC	D 2-2	59.6	1378	1444	20.97%	23.83%	55.20%	-0.83	+2.0	19
1935-04-28	Hungaria	W 3-1	57.6	1713	1657	54.16%	23.88%	21.96%	+0.75	+14.6	28
1935-04-28	@ Ferencvaros	L 1-3	57.6	1657	1713	21.96%	23.88%	54.16%	-0.75	-14.6	25
1935-04-28	Attila FC	W 5-0	31.5	1440	1311	61.08%	23.45%	15.46%	+1.28	+29.3	17
1935-04-28	@ Phobus	L 0-5	31.5	1311	1440	15.46%	23.45%	61.08%	-1.28	-29.3	13
1935-04-28	Somogy FC	W 2-1	38.2	1336	1177	63.52%	23.21%	13.26%	+1.50	+5.5	19
1935-04-28	@ Soroksar FC	L 1-2	38.2	1177	1336	13.26%	23.21%	63.52%	-1.50	-5.5	5
1935-04-28	III. Kerulet	W 2-1	44.8	1476	1388	57.46%	23.71%	18.83%	+0.99	+7.4	22
1935-04-28	@ Szegedi AK	L 1-2	44.8	1388	1476	18.83%	23.71%	57.46%	-0.99	-7.4	13
1935-05-05	Phobus	L 3-4	57.8	1380	1469	35.57%	24.07%	40.36%	-0.30	-11.5	19
1935-05-05	@ Kispest	W 4-3	57.8	1469	1380	40.36%	24.07%	35.57%	+0.30	+11.5	19
1935-05-05	Ferencvaros	L 2-6	48.5	1380	1728	10.67%	22.28%	67.05%	-2.18	-11.8	13
1935-05-05	@ III. Kerulet	W 6-2	48.5	1728	1380	67.05%	22.28%	10.67%	+2.18	+11.8	30
1935-05-05	Bocskai FC	W 1-0	47.5	1282	1447	25.79%	23.81%	50.40%	-0.85	+17.5	15
1935-05-05	@ Attila FC	L 0-1	47.5	1447	1282	50.40%	23.81%	25.79%	+0.85	-17.5	16
1935-05-05	33FC	W 1-0	46.1	1643	1442	66.40%	22.84%	10.76%	+1.80	+4.8	27
1935-05-05	@ Hungaria	L 0-1	46.1	1442	1643	10.76%	22.84%	66.40%	-1.80	-4.8	19
1935-05-05	Szegedi AK	L 2-3	43.3	1172	1483	12.78%	22.67%	64.55%	-1.92	-5.0	5
1935-05-05	@ Somogy FC	W 3-2	43.3	1483	1172	64.55%	22.67%	12.78%	+1.92	+5.0	24
1935-05-05	Soroksar FC	W 3-0	39.9	1783	1342	77.25%	19.64%	3.11%	+3.56	+3.8	34
1935-05-05	@ Ujpest	L 0-3	39.9	1342	1783	3.11%	19.64%	77.25%	-3.56	-3.8	19
1935-05-26	III. Kerulet	L 1-4	50.9	1438	1368	55.53%	23.82%	20.65%	+0.85	-44.2	19
1935-05-26	@ 33FC	W 4-1	50.9	1368	1438	20.65%	23.82%	55.53%	-0.85	+44.2	15
1935-05-26	Soroksar FC	D 1-1	54.0	1429	1338	57.74%	23.70%	18.57%	+1.01	-3.1	17
1935-05-26	@ Bocskai FC	D 1-1	54.0	1338	1429	18.57%	23.70%	57.74%	-1.01	+3.1	20
1935-05-26	Somogy FC	W 5-1	34.2	1740	1167	80.99%	17.43%	1.58%	+4.52	+2.0	32
1935-05-26	@ Ferencvaros	L 1-5	34.2	1167	1740	1.58%	17.43%	80.99%	-4.52	-2.0	5
1935-05-26	Kispest	L 1-2	46.9	1299	1369	38.20%	24.09%	37.70%	-0.16	-13.1	15
1935-05-26	@ Attila FC	W 2-1	46.9	1369	1299	37.70%	24.09%	38.20%	+0.16	+13.1	21
1935-05-26	Hungaria	W 2-0	57.4	1480	1647	25.53%	23.80%	50.66%	-0.87	+33.1	21
1935-05-26	@ Phobus	L 0-2	57.4	1647	1480	50.66%	23.80%	25.53%	+0.87	-33.1	27
1935-05-26	Ujpest	W 2-1	70.4	1488	1787	13.68%	22.81%	63.51%	-1.82	+20.5	26
1935-05-26	@ Szegedi AK	L 1-2	70.4	1787	1488	63.51%	22.81%	13.68%	+1.82	-20.5	34
1935-05-30	33FC	D 1-1	51.8	1165	1393	19.21%	23.42%	57.37%	-1.32	+3.0	6
1935-05-30	@ Somogy FC	D 1-1	51.8	1393	1165	57.37%	23.42%	19.21%	+1.32	-3.0	20
1935-05-30	Szegedi AK	D 3-3	64.6	1341	1509	25.45%	23.80%	50.75%	-0.87	+1.2	21
1935-05-30	@ Soroksar FC	D 3-3	64.6	1509	1341	50.75%	23.80%	25.45%	+0.87	-1.2	27
1935-06-02	Bocskai FC	W 2-1	48.0	1382	1426	41.82%	24.10%	34.08%	+0.03	+12.0	23
1935-06-02	@ Kispest	L 1-2	48.0	1426	1382	34.08%	24.10%	41.82%	-0.03	-12.0	17
1935-06-02	Phobus	W 4-0	44.6	1413	1513	33.87%	24.05%	42.09%	-0.39	+53.6	17
1935-06-02	@ III. Kerulet	L 0-4	44.6	1513	1413	42.09%	24.05%	33.87%	+0.39	-53.6	21
1935-06-02	Attila FC	W 3-1	39.5	1614	1286	73.11%	21.32%	5.57%	+2.74	+4.1	29
1935-06-02	@ Hungaria	L 1-3	39.5	1286	1614	5.57%	21.32%	73.11%	-2.74	-4.1	15
1935-06-02	Ferencvaros	D 0-0	67.5	1766	1742	50.58%	23.99%	25.42%	+0.52	-2.1	35
1935-06-02	@ Ujpest	D 0-0	67.5	1742	1766	25.42%	23.99%	50.58%	-0.52	+2.2	33

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1934-10-21	6.99%	Szegedi AK	1374	2	@ Ujpest	1658	1
2	1934-11-18	7.11%	Soroksar FC	1237	2	@ 33FC	1518	0
3	1935-03-24	8.87%	Somogy FC	1181	2	@ III. Kerulet	1419	1
4	1935-03-31	10.37%	@ Soroksar FC	1312	2	Hungaria	1665	1
5	1934-11-04	11.28%	33FC	1496	2	@ Ferencvaros	1687	0
6	1935-03-17	12.16%	@ 33FC	1383	1	Ferencvaros	1705	0
7	1935-05-26	13.68%	@ Szegedi AK	1488	2	Ujpest	1787	1
8	1934-12-02	14.00%	III. Kerulet	1399	2	@ Bocskai FC	1548	0
9	1935-02-24	17.35%	Szegedi AK	1402	4	@ Bocskai FC	1507	2
10	1934-09-09	17.87%	@ Attila FC	1422	3	Ferencvaros	1666	1
11	1934-11-18	19.04%	III. Kerulet	1384	3	@ Kispest	1470	1
12	1934-09-16	20.51%	@ Soroksar FC	1225	3	III. Kerulet	1440	1
13	1935-05-26	20.65%	III. Kerulet	1368	4	@ 33FC	1438	1
14	1935-03-09	23.09%	Szegedi AK	1403	4	@ 33FC	1449	0
15	1935-04-07	24.57%	Bocskai FC	1441	2	@ Phobus	1473	0
16	1935-03-24	24.73%	33FC	1406	1	@ Bocskai FC	1436	0
17	1934-11-11	25.44%	@ Szegedi AK	1406	3	Bocskai FC	1574	1
18	1935-05-26	25.53%	@ Phobus	1480	2	Hungaria	1647	0
19	1935-05-05	25.79%	@ Attila FC	1282	1	Bocskai FC	1447	0
20	1935-03-03	26.25%	@ Soroksar FC	1303	3	33FC	1464	2
21	1934-11-25	27.08%	@ Soroksar FC	1283	3	Phobus	1436	2
22	1934-09-02	27.11%	Attila FC	1406	2	@ Szegedi AK	1416	1
23	1934-09-23	30.26%	Ferencvaros	1641	3	@ Hungaria	1625	2
24	1934-10-21	31.45%	33FC	1446	3	@ III. Kerulet	1421	1
25	1935-02-24	33.16%	@ Attila FC	1334	3	III. Kerulet	1440	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1935-03-09	65.48	Szegedi AK	4	1403	23.09%	@ 33FC	0	1449	52.99%	23.92%
2	1935-06-02	53.60	@ III. Kerulet	4	1413	33.87%	Phobus	0	1513	42.09%	24.05%
3	1934-10-14	50.47	@ Bocskai FC	8	1523	59.07%	Attila FC	0	1418	17.32%	23.61%
4	1934-11-18	46.07	Soroksar FC	2	1237	7.11%	@ 33FC	0	1518	70.96%	21.93%
5	1935-05-26	44.17	III. Kerulet	4	1368	20.65%	@ 33FC	1	1438	55.53%	23.82%
6	1934-11-04	42.70	33FC	2	1496	11.28%	@ Ferencvaros	0	1687	65.79%	22.93%
7	1935-02-24	41.60	@ Attila FC	3	1334	33.16%	III. Kerulet	0	1440	42.81%	24.03%
8	1934-12-02	40.66	III. Kerulet	2	1399	14.00%	@ Bocskai FC	0	1548	62.70%	23.30%
9	1935-02-23	40.50	Hungaria	5	1621	53.62%	@ Kispest	0	1428	22.72%	23.66%
10	1934-09-16	37.19	@ 33FC	5	1418	42.71%	Attila FC	1	1455	33.19%	24.10%
11	1934-12-02	34.59	@ Phobus	5	1421	45.68%	Szegedi AK	1	1436	30.24%	24.08%
12	1935-04-07	33.59	Bocskai FC	2	1441	24.57%	@ Phobus	0	1473	51.46%	23.97%
13	1935-05-26	33.06	@ Phobus	2	1480	25.53%	Hungaria	0	1647	50.66%	23.80%
14	1934-09-09	32.92	@ Attila FC	3	1422	17.87%	Ferencvaros	1	1666	58.83%	23.30%
15	1934-11-18	32.16	III. Kerulet	3	1384	19.04%	@ Kispest	1	1470	57.23%	23.73%
16	1934-09-16	31.39	@ Soroksar FC	3	1225	20.51%	III. Kerulet	1	1440	55.97%	23.52%
17	1935-02-24	29.65	Szegedi AK	4	1402	17.35%	@ Bocskai FC	2	1507	59.04%	23.61%
18	1935-04-28	29.28	@ Phobus	5	1440	61.08%	Attila FC	0	1311	15.46%	23.45%
19	1934-11-11	28.68	@ Szegedi AK	3	1406	25.44%	Bocskai FC	1	1574	50.77%	23.80%
20	1935-04-27	28.26	Ujpest	5	1755	62.02%	@ Bocskai FC	0	1475	14.99%	22.99%
21	1935-03-03	28.02	Ferencvaros	6	1669	58.25%	@ Szegedi AK	1	1431	18.40%	23.35%
22	1934-11-18	27.15	@ Bocskai FC	2	1545	35.89%	Hungaria	0	1631	40.04%	24.07%
23	1935-03-17	25.82	@ III. Kerulet	2	1394	38.41%	Bocskai FC	0	1462	37.49%	24.10%
24	1934-10-21	25.60	33FC	3	1446	31.45%	@ III. Kerulet	1	1421	44.46%	24.09%
25	1934-10-21	25.17	@ Kispest	5	1439	55.75%	Attila FC	1	1367	20.44%	23.81%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1934-11-29	76.9	@ Ferencvaros	4	1675	68.88%	Szegedi AK	4	1434	8.71%	22.40%
2	1935-03-23	75.0	@ Phobus	3	1471	20.80%	Ferencvaros	3	1683	55.66%	23.54%
3	1935-02-24	72.6	@ Ferencvaros	4	1672	74.87%	Soroksar FC	4	1300	4.44%	20.69%
4	1935-05-26	70.4	@ Szegedi AK	2	1488	13.68%	Ujpest	1	1787	63.51%	22.81%
5	1934-09-23	69.8	Ferencvaros	3	1641	30.26%	@ Hungaria	2	1625	45.66%	24.08%
6	1935-03-24	69.8	Ujpest	3	1731	35.32%	@ Hungaria	2	1678	40.57%	24.10%
7	1934-10-28	69.4	@ Ferencvaros	1	1689	53.96%	Ujpest	1	1635	22.16%	23.88%
8	1934-09-30	68.5	@ Ujpest	1	1650	52.25%	Hungaria	1	1611	23.81%	23.95%
9	1934-09-30	68.4	@ 33FC	3	1444	36.81%	Bocskai FC	3	1523	39.10%	24.08%
10	1935-06-02	67.5	@ Ujpest	0	1766	50.58%	Ferencvaros	0	1742	25.42%	23.99%
11	1934-10-28	66.7	@ Bocskai FC	2	1569	59.08%	Kispest	2	1464	17.31%	23.61%
12	1934-10-14	66.1	@ Phobus	3	1463	50.70%	Kispest	3	1437	25.31%	23.99%
13	1934-10-21	65.8	Szegedi AK	2	1374	6.99%	@ Ujpest	1	1658	71.12%	21.89%
14	1934-11-11	64.8	@ Hungaria	1	1635	64.26%	Kispest	1	1466	12.61%	23.13%
15	1935-05-30	64.6	@ Soroksar FC	3	1341	25.45%	Szegedi AK	3	1509	50.75%	23.80%
16	1934-09-23	63.8	@ Ujpest	0	1654	61.61%	Bocskai FC	0	1519	14.98%	23.41%
17	1934-09-08	63.7	@ III. Kerulet	1	1437	22.18%	Ujpest	1	1635	54.19%	23.63%
18	1934-11-04	63.2	33FC	2	1496	11.28%	@ Ferencvaros	0	1687	65.79%	22.93%
19	1934-10-14	63.1	@ 33FC	1	1444	25.30%	Hungaria	1	1613	50.91%	23.79%
20	1934-09-09	62.8	@ Attila FC	3	1422	17.87%	Ferencvaros	1	1666	58.83%	23.30%
21	1935-03-31	62.8	@ Soroksar FC	2	1312	10.37%	Hungaria	1	1665	67.42%	22.21%
22	1935-03-17	62.5	@ 33FC	1	1383	12.16%	Ferencvaros	0	1705	65.28%	22.57%
23	1934-09-23	61.7	@ Attila FC	2	1418	38.95%	Phobus	2	1482	36.95%	24.10%
24	1935-03-31	61.5	@ Szegedi AK	2	1492	58.03%	Kispest	2	1398	18.29%	23.68%
25	1935-02-24	60.8	Szegedi AK	4	1402	17.35%	@ Bocskai FC	2	1507	59.04%	23.61%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1935-02-24	28.2	@ Phobus	5	1456	68.65%	Somogy FC	0	1218	8.91%	22.45%
2	1934-10-28	29.7	@ 33FC	6	1472	66.97%	Somogy FC	0	1262	10.29%	22.75%
3	1935-04-28	31.5	@ Phobus	5	1440	61.08%	Attila FC	0	1311	15.46%	23.45%
4	1934-09-09	32.4	@ Hungaria	7	1600	74.63%	Soroksar FC	1	1234	4.59%	20.78%
5	1935-03-31	33.0	Bocskai FC	3	1418	55.95%	@ Somogy FC	0	1204	20.53%	23.52%
6	1935-03-09	33.2	@ Phobus	3	1466	62.58%	Soroksar FC	0	1319	14.10%	23.31%
7	1934-11-18	34.1	@ Attila FC	2	1333	57.79%	Somogy FC	0	1241	18.52%	23.69%
8	1935-05-26	34.2	@ Ferencvaros	5	1740	80.99%	Somogy FC	1	1167	1.58%	17.43%
9	1934-10-14	34.4	Ujpest	3	1648	69.58%	@ Soroksar FC	0	1258	8.65%	21.77%
10	1934-09-16	34.8	@ Ujpest	10	1633	73.28%	Somogy FC	0	1301	5.46%	21.26%
11	1934-11-11	35.6	Ferencvaros	2	1644	70.21%	@ Soroksar FC	0	1243	8.16%	21.63%
12	1934-11-25	36.0	@ Ujpest	5	1670	72.85%	Attila FC	0	1348	5.75%	21.40%
13	1935-03-31	36.0	@ Ferencvaros	5	1681	73.52%	Attila FC	0	1343	5.30%	21.18%
14	1934-08-26	36.2	@ Hungaria	7	1584	69.77%	Somogy FC	1	1327	8.01%	22.21%
15	1934-09-06	37.5	@ Bocskai FC	4	1508	66.12%	Somogy FC	1	1312	11.01%	22.88%
16	1935-04-06	37.5	Ujpest	4	1751	77.50%	@ Somogy FC	1	1181	3.42%	19.09%
17	1935-03-17	37.7	Hungaria	6	1672	74.27%	@ Somogy FC	2	1187	5.30%	20.43%
18	1935-04-28	38.2	@ Soroksar FC	2	1336	63.52%	Somogy FC	1	1177	13.26%	23.21%
19	1934-10-14	38.5	@ Bocskai FC	8	1523	59.07%	Attila FC	0	1418	17.32%	23.61%
20	1934-09-02	38.7	Kispest	1	1426	52.50%	@ Soroksar FC	0	1244	23.78%	23.72%
21	1934-10-21	38.9	@ Kispest	5	1439	55.75%	Attila FC	1	1367	20.44%	23.81%
22	1934-09-23	39.0	@ III. Kerulet	2	1409	50.47%	Szegedi AK	0	1385	25.53%	24.00%
23	1935-06-02	39.5	@ Hungaria	3	1614	73.11%	Attila FC	1	1286	5.57%	21.32%
24	1935-03-17	39.7	@ Ujpest	4	1722	73.12%	Kispest	0	1394	5.57%	21.32%
25	1935-05-05	39.9	@ Ujpest	3	1783	77.25%	Soroksar FC	0	1342	3.11%	19.64%