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1938-39 Nemzeti Bajnokság I Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Ujpest

44 points · 5th Title

Last Title: 1934-35

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Szegedi AK

5.74 points above expected

31 points · 25.26 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bocskai FC

7.31 points below expected

13 points · 20.31 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Ujpest Champion 26 20 4 2 44 107 26 +81 39.56 +4.44
2 Ferencvaros 26 19 5 2 43 121 44 +77 38.19 +4.81
3 Hungaria 26 18 5 3 41 74 32 +42 38.21 +2.79
4 Kispest 26 15 4 7 34 62 42 +20 29.31 +4.69
5 Szegedi AK 26 12 7 7 31 58 42 +16 25.26 +5.74
6 Nemzeti SC 26 10 8 8 28 57 53 +4 27.70 +0.30
7 Gamma FC 26 9 7 10 25 44 52 -8 24.88 +0.12
8 Phobus 26 9 6 11 24 61 63 -2 25.42 -1.42
9 Szolnok 26 10 3 13 23 44 59 -15 21.08 +1.92
10 Elektromos 26 7 7 12 21 45 51 -6 22.79 -1.79
11 Szurketaxi FC 26 7 6 13 20 62 70 -8 22.89 -2.89
12 Bocskai FC 26 4 5 17 13 33 80 -47 20.31 -7.31
13 Zugloi SE 26 2 5 19 9 31 97 -66 15.75 -6.75
14 Salgotarjan 26 3 2 21 8 28 116 -88 12.65 -4.65

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Szegedi AK 31 25.26 +5.74
2 Ferencvaros 43 38.19 +4.81
3 Kispest 34 29.31 +4.69
4 Ujpest 44 39.56 +4.44
5 Hungaria 41 38.21 +2.79

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Bocskai FC 13 20.31 -7.31
2 Zugloi SE 9 15.75 -6.75
3 Salgotarjan 8 12.65 -4.65
4 Szurketaxi FC 20 22.89 -2.89
5 Elektromos 21 22.79 -1.79

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Szolnok 4 Oct 30 – Nov 20 1 in 134
2 Ferencvaros 8 Oct 6 – Nov 20 1 in 49
3 Gamma FC 3 Sep 4 – Sep 18 1 in 36
4 Hungaria 8 Apr 16 – Jun 4 1 in 24
5 Kispest 5 Sep 4 – Oct 23 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Szurketaxi FC 5 Aug 28 – Sep 24 1 in 37
2 Salgotarjan 8 Sep 18 – Nov 20 1 in 30
3 Hungaria 2 Mar 12 – Mar 26 1 in 26
4 Bocskai FC 5 Aug 21 – Sep 18 1 in 22
5 Gamma FC 4 Sep 25 – Oct 30 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Nemzeti SC 9 Feb 12 – May 14 1 in 85
2 Ferencvaros 18 Oct 6 – May 14 1 in 41
3 Phobus 6 Nov 6 – Mar 26 1 in 23
4 Szegedi AK 4 Nov 6 – Nov 27 1 in 23
5 Gamma FC 6 Nov 27 – Apr 23 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Szurketaxi FC 9 Nov 6 – Apr 30 1 in 78
2 Hungaria 4 Nov 27 – Mar 26 1 in 65
3 Nemzeti SC 6 Oct 9 – Feb 5 1 in 26
4 Phobus 5 Oct 30 – Nov 27 1 in 18
5 Elektromos 7 Aug 28 – Oct 23 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Ujpest 1848 44 +47 8 7.3 +0.7
Ferencvaros 1817 43 +25 8 8.1 -0.1
Hungaria 1825 41 +33 9 7.2 +1.8
Kispest 1634 34 +3 5 5.4 -0.4
Szegedi AK 1630 31 +53 8 4.7 +3.3
Nemzeti SC 1489 26 -52 2 4.2 -2.2
Gamma FC 1472 25 -14 5 4.6 +0.4
Phobus 1494 24 -14 4 4.4 -0.4
Szolnok 1368 23 -99 2 5.5 -3.5
Elektromos 1485 21 +44 6 6.0 +0.0
Szurketaxi FC 1459 20 +3 5 4.0 +1.0
Bocskai FC 1297 13 -27 3 3.4 -0.4
Zugloi SE 1203 9 -22 2 3.0 -1.0
Salgotarjan 1212 8 +20 3 2.4 +0.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOC ELE FER GAM HUN KIS NS PHO SAL SA SZO SZU UJP ZS
Bocskai FC —
0-1-1
2.41
0-0-2
0.73
0-0-2
1.99
0-0-2
0.88
0-0-2
1.93
0-1-1
1.94
0-0-2
2.26
2-0-0
3.50
0-1-1
2.39
1-0-1
2.31
0-1-1
2.00
0-0-2
0.73
1-1-0
3.55
Elektromos
1-1-0
3.16
—
0-0-2
1.10
0-1-1
2.63
1-0-1
1.02
0-0-2
1.99
0-2-0
2.06
1-0-1
2.16
2-0-0
4.22
1-0-1
2.63
1-0-1
3.21
0-1-1
2.70
0-0-2
1.13
0-2-0
3.90
Ferencvaros
2-0-0
4.89
2-0-0
4.49
—
1-1-0
4.35
1-0-1
3.07
2-0-0
3.94
1-1-0
4.06
1-1-0
4.45
2-0-0
5.11
1-0-1
4.31
1-1-0
4.66
2-0-0
4.50
1-1-0
2.46
2-0-0
4.83
Gamma FC
2-0-0
3.58
1-1-0
2.94
0-1-1
1.24
—
1-0-1
1.11
0-1-1
1.75
0-1-1
2.64
0-1-1
2.77
2-0-0
4.13
0-1-1
2.74
1-0-1
3.22
0-1-1
3.01
0-0-2
1.06
2-0-0
4.16
Hungaria
2-0-0
4.73
1-0-1
4.57
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
4.48
—
1-1-0
3.96
1-1-0
4.20
2-0-0
4.27
2-0-0
4.90
1-1-0
4.29
1-1-0
4.59
2-0-0
4.31
1-1-0
2.42
2-0-0
5.07
Kispest
2-0-0
3.65
2-0-0
3.58
0-0-2
1.63
1-1-0
3.83
0-1-1
1.62
—
1-0-1
3.45
1-1-0
3.30
2-0-0
4.66
0-0-2
3.52
2-0-0
3.86
2-0-0
3.39
0-1-1
1.62
2-0-0
4.45
Nemzeti SC
1-1-0
3.63
0-2-0
3.51
0-1-1
1.52
1-1-0
2.92
0-1-1
1.38
1-0-1
2.12
—
1-1-0
2.87
2-0-0
4.25
1-1-0
2.94
0-0-2
3.42
2-0-0
3.17
0-0-2
1.23
1-0-1
4.26
Phobus
2-0-0
3.31
1-0-1
3.41
0-1-1
1.14
1-1-0
2.80
0-0-2
1.32
0-1-1
2.27
0-1-1
2.70
—
2-0-0
4.43
0-1-1
2.46
1-0-1
3.34
0-1-1
3.00
0-0-2
1.26
2-0-0
3.96
Salgotarjan
0-0-2
2.07
0-0-2
1.36
0-0-2
0.54
0-0-2
1.46
0-0-2
0.74
0-0-2
0.94
0-0-2
1.34
0-0-2
1.16
—
1-0-1
1.32
2-0-0
1.17
0-1-1
1.23
0-0-2
0.49
0-1-1
2.40
Szegedi AK
1-1-0
3.18
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
1.28
1-1-0
2.83
0-1-1
1.30
2-0-0
2.05
0-1-1
2.62
1-1-0
3.11
1-0-1
4.27
—
1-0-1
3.25
1-1-0
3.24
0-1-1
1.03
2-0-0
3.96
Szolnok
1-0-1
3.26
1-0-1
2.36
0-1-1
0.94
1-0-1
2.35
0-1-1
1.01
0-0-2
1.71
2-0-0
2.15
1-0-1
2.23
0-0-2
4.42
1-0-1
2.32
—
2-0-0
2.49
0-0-2
0.97
1-1-0
3.50
Szurketaxi FC
1-1-0
3.58
1-1-0
2.86
0-0-2
1.09
1-1-0
2.56
0-0-2
1.27
0-0-2
2.19
0-0-2
2.40
1-1-0
2.57
1-1-0
4.35
0-1-1
2.33
0-0-2
3.08
—
0-0-2
1.20
2-0-0
3.56
Ujpest
2-0-0
4.89
2-0-0
4.47
0-1-1
3.10
2-0-0
4.54
0-1-1
3.15
1-1-0
3.96
2-0-0
4.37
2-0-0
4.34
2-0-0
5.17
1-1-0
4.56
2-0-0
4.63
2-0-0
4.40
—
2-0-0
4.93
Zugloi SE
0-1-1
2.02
0-2-0
1.67
0-0-2
0.79
0-0-2
1.42
0-0-2
0.57
0-0-2
1.14
1-0-1
1.33
0-0-2
1.62
1-1-0
3.17
0-0-2
1.61
0-1-1
2.07
0-0-2
2.01
0-0-2
0.69
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.78 +3.8
Allowed 0.83 -4.3
Differential 0.95 +2.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.20%2.20%1.65%3.85%2.20%3.30%15.38%
12.20%6.59%7.14%3.30%2.20%4.67%26.10%
21.65%7.14%6.04%4.40%2.75%0.27%22.25%
33.85%3.30%4.40%3.85%0.55%1.10%17.03%
42.20%2.20%2.75%0.55%1.10%—8.79%
5+3.30%4.67%0.27%1.10%—1.10%10.44%
Total15.38%26.10%22.25%17.03%8.79%10.44%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 2.27 +0.00
SD 2.11 2.11 3.39
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 13 13 +13
Min -1 -1 -13

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%—19.23%—3.85%34.62%
13.85%7.69%—11.54%7.69%11.54%42.31%
2——3.85%———3.85%
3—3.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%15.38%
4———————
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total11.54%19.23%7.69%34.62%7.69%19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 3.08 -1.81
SD 1.71 2.61 3.20
CV 1.35 0.85 —
Max 8 12 +8
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%—7.69%3.85%—19.23%
1—11.54%11.54%—3.85%3.85%30.77%
23.85%7.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%—30.77%
3——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
47.69%—————7.69%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total11.54%30.77%26.92%15.38%11.54%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.96 -0.23
SD 1.56 1.34 2.39
CV 0.90 0.68 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———3.85%——3.85%
13.85%3.85%————7.69%
2—7.69%3.85%—3.85%—15.38%
33.85%3.85%11.54%7.69%——26.92%
4—3.85%——3.85%—7.69%
5+7.69%19.23%—11.54%——38.46%
Total15.38%38.46%15.38%23.08%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 4.65 1.69 +2.96
SD 3.43 1.23 3.89
CV 0.74 0.72 —
Max 13 4 +13
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%————3.85%7.69%
17.69%11.54%23.08%3.85%—3.85%50.00%
2—3.85%7.69%—3.85%—15.38%
37.69%11.54%————19.23%
4—3.85%——3.85%—7.69%
5+———————
Total19.23%30.77%30.77%3.85%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 2.00 -0.31
SD 1.12 2.21 2.71
CV 0.66 1.10 —
Max 4 9 +3
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
13.85%11.54%3.85%———19.23%
2—15.38%3.85%———19.23%
37.69%—7.69%3.85%——19.23%
4—7.69%7.69%———15.38%
5+7.69%7.69%3.85%———19.23%
Total19.23%46.15%26.92%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.85 1.23 +1.62
SD 1.80 0.86 2.12
CV 0.63 0.70 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—7.69%3.85%——15.38%
13.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%—15.38%
23.85%7.69%—3.85%3.85%—19.23%
33.85%3.85%15.38%7.69%——30.77%
47.69%—3.85%———11.54%
5+—7.69%————7.69%
Total23.08%23.08%30.77%15.38%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.38 1.62 +0.77
SD 1.65 1.24 2.25
CV 0.69 0.76 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%——7.69%—15.38%
1—15.38%7.69%——3.85%26.92%
2—7.69%—3.85%3.85%—15.38%
33.85%3.85%—7.69%——15.38%
4——7.69%3.85%——11.54%
5+—7.69%———7.69%15.38%
Total7.69%38.46%15.38%15.38%11.54%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.15 2.00 +0.15
SD 2.01 1.65 2.48
CV 0.93 0.82 —
Max 8 6 +7
Min -1 -1 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—7.69%—3.85%—15.38%
13.85%3.85%7.69%—3.85%3.85%23.08%
2—7.69%3.85%11.54%—3.85%26.92%
33.85%3.85%—7.69%——15.38%
4———3.85%3.85%—7.69%
5+3.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
Total15.38%19.23%19.23%26.92%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.35 2.42 -0.08
SD 2.28 2.00 3.32
CV 0.97 0.83 —
Max 11 9 +11
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%—3.85%11.54%19.23%38.46%
1——7.69%3.85%—15.38%26.92%
2—3.85%7.69%11.54%——23.08%
33.85%3.85%——3.85%—11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total3.85%11.54%15.38%19.23%15.38%34.62%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 4.46 -3.38
SD 1.06 3.34 4.01
CV 0.98 0.75 —
Max 3 13 +3
Min 0 0 -13

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—————3.85%
1—11.54%3.85%7.69%—3.85%26.92%
211.54%7.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%—38.46%
37.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
43.85%—3.85%———7.69%
5+3.85%————3.85%7.69%
Total30.77%23.08%19.23%15.38%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.62 +0.62
SD 1.37 1.55 2.14
CV 0.61 0.96 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.85%11.54%—3.85%19.23%
13.85%3.85%11.54%7.69%——26.92%
2—19.23%7.69%—3.85%—30.77%
3——3.85%——7.69%11.54%
4—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
5+———————
Total3.85%30.77%30.77%19.23%3.85%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 2.27 -0.58
SD 1.26 1.46 2.10
CV 0.74 0.64 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—————7.69%7.69%
1——11.54%——3.85%15.38%
2—3.85%15.38%11.54%3.85%—34.62%
3—3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%23.08%
4—3.85%——3.85%—7.69%
5+—7.69%———3.85%11.54%
Total—19.23%34.62%15.38%11.54%19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.35 2.65 -0.31
SD 1.90 1.74 2.83
CV 0.81 0.66 —
Max 9 6 +8
Min -1 -1 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—————3.85%
1—7.69%—3.85%—3.85%15.38%
23.85%—————3.85%
311.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
411.54%3.85%11.54%———26.92%
5+19.23%7.69%————26.92%
Total50.00%23.08%15.38%7.69%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 4.12 1.00 +3.12
SD 2.80 1.41 3.57
CV 0.68 1.41 —
Max 11 6 +11
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%7.69%23.08%
1——7.69%7.69%11.54%11.54%38.46%
2—7.69%11.54%7.69%7.69%—34.62%
3———3.85%——3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total3.85%11.54%23.08%19.23%23.08%19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 3.73 -2.54
SD 0.85 2.81 3.18
CV 0.71 0.75 —
Max 3 11 +1
Min 0 0 -11

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Ujpest 1848 44 39.56 +4.44 93.0% 32 34 37 39 42 45 47
Hungaria 1825 41 38.21 +2.79 81.0% 32 32 36 38 41 44 45
Ferencvaros 1817 43 38.19 +4.81 95.0% 27 32 35 39 41 43 45
Kispest 1634 34 29.31 +4.69 93.0% 20 23 27 29 32 35 38
Szegedi AK 1630 31 25.26 +5.74 96.0% 18 19 22 25 28 31 35
Phobus 1494 24 25.42 -1.42 38.0% 15 20 23 25 28 31 34
Nemzeti SC 1489 28 27.70 +0.30 59.0% 18 22 25 27 30 34 38
Elektromos 1485 21 22.79 -1.79 37.0% 13 15 20 23 25 30 33
Gamma FC 1472 25 24.88 +0.12 54.0% 16 18 23 25 27 30 39
Szurketaxi FC 1459 20 22.89 -2.89 32.0% 14 16 20 23 26 28 32
Szolnok 1368 23 21.08 +1.92 75.0% 11 14 19 21 23 29 29
Bocskai FC 1297 13 20.31 -7.31 3.0% 9 14 17 20 23 27 28
Salgotarjan 1212 8 12.65 -4.65 9.0% 6 7 11 12 15 18 24
Zugloi SE 1203 9 15.75 -6.75 7.0% 6 9 13 15 18 23 27

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 20.5% * Clear Edge: 20.5% to 27% * Strong Edge: 27% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+10.44%
No Edge
45.05%20.33%34.62%
Elo Value
Home Edge
99 Elo
0.010 goals per Elo point
034.47250
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.49 goals
Neutral
-2+0.35+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.8
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
46%
Ujpest, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.04/gm
Photo Finish
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.01 * Some Luck: 3.01 to 4.51 * Lucky: 4.51 to 6.02 * Wild Swing: 6.02 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.2 * Close: 1.2 to 1.8 * Off: 1.8 to 2.39 * Way Off: 2.39 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.17 points
Some Luck
03.769
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.86
Pinpoint
01.503
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
96.00%
Szegedi AK
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
3.00%
Bocskai FC
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.6 * Moderate Separation: 1.6 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65.5% * Slight Edge: 65.5% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 88.5% * Clear Edge: 88.5% to 92.5% * Strong Edge: 92.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50% * Some Drama: 50% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 20% * Frequent: 20% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.25
Lopsided
00.150.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 213.29
2.58
Wide Separation
11.61.852.152.75
Interquartile Edge
80%
Wide Edge
50%65.5%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
49%
Few
0%34%100%
Blowouts
Expected
34%
Very Frequent
0%46%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.47 * Notable Separation: 0.47 to 0.53 * Lopsided: 0.53 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.45 * Some Carryover: 0.45 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.72 * Near-Lock: 0.72 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.49
Highly Predictable
00.552
Matchup Imbalance
0.48
Notable Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.25
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.85
Near-Lock
00.450.590.721
Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Chalky
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Solid Favorites
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.04
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.33
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.048
Well Within Noise
00.1190.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Ujpest46.00%38.00%16.00%———————————
Ferencvaros29.00%29.00%34.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%————————
Hungaria24.00%30.00%40.00%5.00%1.00%—————————
Kispest—1.00%5.00%39.00%26.00%8.00%11.00%5.00%4.00%—1.00%———
Szegedi AK———9.00%20.00%9.00%18.00%11.00%8.00%15.00%7.00%2.00%1.00%—
Nemzeti SC—2.00%3.00%17.00%23.00%20.00%14.00%8.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%—1.00%—
Gamma FC1.00%—1.00%7.00%5.00%13.00%17.00%21.00%13.00%6.00%10.00%5.00%1.00%—
Phobus———6.00%13.00%23.00%7.00%14.00%18.00%10.00%6.00%1.00%2.00%—
Szolnok———3.00%4.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%14.00%18.00%20.00%19.00%6.00%4.00%
Elektromos——1.00%6.00%1.00%8.00%6.00%17.00%16.00%13.00%15.00%9.00%7.00%1.00%
Szurketaxi FC———2.00%6.00%11.00%14.00%7.00%12.00%15.00%14.00%16.00%3.00%—
Bocskai FC—————4.00%7.00%7.00%8.00%15.00%18.00%26.00%12.00%3.00%
Zugloi SE——————2.00%5.00%1.00%3.00%5.00%18.00%44.00%22.00%
Salgotarjan————————1.00%—2.00%4.00%23.00%70.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Bocskai FC 100%
Elektromos 100%
Ferencvaros 100%
Gamma FC 100%
Hungaria 100%
Kispest 100%
Nemzeti SC 100%
Phobus 100%
Salgotarjan 100%
Szegedi AK 100%
Szolnok 100%
Szurketaxi FC 100%
Ujpest 100%
Zugloi SE 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1938-08-21 Kispest L 1-353.1 1474 1530 38.63% 21.67% 39.70%-0.21 -19.7 0
1938-08-21 @ Bocskai FC W 3-153.1 1530 1474 39.70% 21.67% 38.63%+0.21 +19.7 2
1938-08-21 Szegedi AK W 3-254.1 1517 1476 51.53% 21.58% 26.89%+0.76 +8.1 2
1938-08-21 @ Elektromos L 2-354.1 1476 1517 26.89% 21.58% 51.53%-0.76 -8.1 0
1938-08-21 Nemzeti SC D 1-158.1 1463 1477 44.48% 21.67% 33.85%+0.21 -0.7 1
1938-08-21 @ Gamma FC D 1-158.1 1477 1463 33.85% 21.67% 44.48%-0.21 +0.7 1
1938-08-21 Ujpest L 0-251.0 1516 1711 21.48% 21.23% 57.29%-1.62 -14.0 0
1938-08-21 @ Phobus W 2-051.0 1711 1516 57.29% 21.23% 21.48%+1.62 +14.0 2
1938-08-21 Hungaria L 2-351.3 1362 1698 10.80% 20.15% 69.05%-3.05 -3.5 0
1938-08-21 @ Salgotarjan W 3-251.3 1698 1362 69.05% 20.15% 10.80%+3.05 +3.6 2
1938-08-21 Zugloi SE W 9-141.2 1456 1422 50.65% 21.60% 27.75%+0.69 +52.3 2
1938-08-21 @ Szurketaxi FC L 1-941.2 1422 1456 27.75% 21.60% 50.65%-0.69 -52.3 0
1938-08-28 Phobus D 3-369.8 1549 1502 52.33% 21.56% 26.10%+0.83 -1.1 3
1938-08-28 @ Kispest D 3-369.8 1502 1549 26.10% 21.56% 52.33%-0.83 +1.1 1
1938-08-28 Salgotarjan W 8-137.6 1478 1358 59.99% 21.27% 18.74%+1.55 +33.0 3
1938-08-28 @ Nemzeti SC L 1-837.6 1358 1478 18.74% 21.27% 59.99%-1.55 -33.0 0
1938-08-28 Gamma FC D 1-157.8 1468 1462 47.12% 21.65% 31.22%+0.41 -1.0 1
1938-08-28 @ Szegedi AK D 1-157.8 1462 1468 31.22% 21.65% 47.12%-0.41 +1.0 2
1938-08-28 Elektromos W 4-152.2 1422 1525 32.14% 21.60% 46.26%-0.69 +32.3 2
1938-08-28 @ Szolnok L 1-452.2 1525 1422 46.26% 21.60% 32.14%+0.69 -32.3 2
1938-08-28 Ujpest L 2-458.0 1508 1725 19.42% 21.11% 59.48%-1.84 -9.9 2
1938-08-28 @ Szurketaxi FC W 4-258.0 1725 1508 59.48% 21.11% 19.42%+1.84 +9.9 4
1938-08-30 Bocskai FC W 4-148.2 1702 1454 69.76% 20.33% 9.91%+2.85 +8.5 4
1938-08-30 @ Hungaria L 1-448.2 1454 1702 9.91% 20.33% 69.76%-2.85 -8.5 0
1938-08-30 Ferencvaros L 1-843.1 1370 1706 10.81% 20.15% 69.04%-3.05 -19.8 0
1938-08-30 @ Zugloi SE W 8-143.1 1706 1370 69.04% 20.15% 10.81%+3.05 +19.8 2
1938-09-04 Nemzeti SC L 0-346.0 1446 1511 37.29% 21.67% 41.05%-0.31 -32.1 0
1938-09-04 @ Bocskai FC W 3-046.0 1511 1446 41.05% 21.67% 37.29%+0.31 +32.1 5
1938-09-04 Zugloi SE D 3-362.8 1493 1350 62.13% 21.13% 16.73%+1.79 -2.0 3
1938-09-04 @ Elektromos D 3-362.8 1350 1493 16.73% 21.13% 62.13%-1.79 +2.0 1
1938-09-04 Hungaria L 2-358.9 1503 1710 20.30% 21.16% 58.54%-1.75 -6.3 1
1938-09-04 @ Phobus W 3-258.9 1710 1503 58.54% 21.16% 20.30%+1.75 +6.3 6
1938-09-04 Gamma FC L 1-244.1 1325 1463 27.75% 21.49% 50.76%-1.05 -8.7 0
1938-09-04 @ Salgotarjan W 2-144.1 1463 1325 50.76% 21.49% 27.75%+1.05 +8.7 4
1938-09-04 Szolnok W 3-042.7 1467 1454 48.02% 21.64% 30.34%+0.48 +27.2 3
1938-09-04 @ Szegedi AK L 0-342.7 1454 1467 30.34% 21.64% 48.02%-0.48 -27.2 2
1938-09-04 Kispest L 2-359.9 1498 1548 39.45% 21.68% 38.88%-0.16 -11.0 2
1938-09-04 @ Szurketaxi FC W 3-259.9 1548 1498 38.88% 21.68% 39.45%+0.16 +11.0 5
1938-09-08 Bocskai FC W 1-042.7 1472 1414 53.61% 21.53% 24.86%+0.94 +8.4 6
1938-09-08 @ Gamma FC L 0-142.7 1414 1472 24.86% 21.53% 53.61%-0.94 -8.4 0
1938-09-08 Szurketaxi FC W 2-151.7 1717 1487 68.63% 20.50% 10.87%+2.67 +3.8 8
1938-09-08 @ Hungaria L 1-251.7 1487 1717 10.87% 20.50% 68.63%-2.67 -3.8 2
1938-09-08 Phobus D 0-059.3 1543 1497 52.20% 21.57% 26.23%+0.82 -1.9 6
1938-09-08 @ Nemzeti SC D 0-059.3 1497 1543 26.23% 21.57% 52.20%-0.82 +2.0 2
1938-09-08 Szolnok D 2-257.2 1352 1427 35.89% 21.65% 42.45%-0.41 +0.3 2
1938-09-08 @ Zugloi SE D 2-257.2 1427 1352 42.45% 21.65% 35.89%+0.41 -0.3 3
1938-09-10 Ujpest L 2-457.1 1491 1735 17.05% 20.93% 62.02%-2.12 -8.9 3
1938-09-10 @ Elektromos W 4-257.1 1735 1491 62.02% 20.93% 17.05%+2.12 +8.9 6
1938-09-11 Szegedi AK W 3-151.8 1317 1494 23.27% 21.32% 55.40%-1.45 +26.8 2
1938-09-11 @ Salgotarjan L 1-351.8 1494 1317 55.40% 21.32% 23.27%+1.45 -26.8 3
1938-09-18 Ferencvaros L 1-253.8 1482 1726 17.07% 20.93% 62.00%-2.11 -5.7 3
1938-09-18 @ Elektromos W 2-153.8 1726 1482 62.00% 20.93% 17.07%+2.11 +5.7 4
1938-09-18 Salgotarjan W 6-138.3 1559 1344 67.74% 20.61% 11.65%+2.53 +15.7 7
1938-09-18 @ Kispest L 1-638.3 1344 1559 11.65% 20.61% 67.74%-2.53 -15.7 2
1938-09-18 Gamma FC L 0-363.2 1720 1481 69.29% 20.40% 10.31%+2.77 -56.3 8
1938-09-18 @ Hungaria W 3-063.2 1481 1720 10.31% 20.40% 69.29%-2.77 +56.3 8
1938-09-18 Nemzeti SC L 2-456.5 1468 1541 36.13% 21.66% 42.21%-0.39 -16.7 3
1938-09-18 @ Szegedi AK W 4-256.5 1541 1468 42.21% 21.66% 36.13%+0.39 +16.7 8
1938-09-18 Szurketaxi FC W 3-255.0 1427 1483 38.51% 21.67% 39.82%-0.22 +11.0 5
1938-09-18 @ Szolnok L 2-355.0 1483 1427 39.82% 21.67% 38.51%+0.22 -11.0 2
1938-09-18 Bocskai FC W 6-144.9 1744 1405 74.41% 19.40% 6.19%+3.77 +8.5 8
1938-09-18 @ Ujpest L 1-644.9 1405 1744 6.19% 19.40% 74.41%-3.77 -8.5 0
1938-09-18 Phobus L 0-142.2 1352 1498 26.80% 21.46% 51.74%-1.13 -9.0 2
1938-09-18 @ Zugloi SE W 1-042.2 1498 1352 51.74% 21.46% 26.80%+1.13 +9.0 4
1938-09-24 Kispest L 0-447.2 1476 1575 32.73% 21.61% 45.66%-0.65 -37.8 3
1938-09-24 @ Elektromos W 4-047.2 1575 1476 45.66% 21.61% 32.73%+0.65 +37.8 9
1938-09-24 Nemzeti SC L 3-461.4 1472 1558 34.50% 21.64% 43.87%-0.51 -9.6 2
1938-09-24 @ Szurketaxi FC W 4-361.4 1558 1472 43.87% 21.64% 34.50%+0.51 +9.6 10
1938-09-25 Salgotarjan W 8-034.5 1397 1328 54.77% 21.49% 23.73%+1.04 +55.9 2
1938-09-25 @ Bocskai FC L 0-834.5 1328 1397 23.73% 21.49% 54.77%-1.04 -55.9 2
1938-09-25 Hungaria L 0-361.8 1732 1664 54.62% 21.50% 23.88%+1.03 -44.4 4
1938-09-25 @ Ferencvaros W 3-061.8 1664 1732 23.88% 21.50% 54.62%-1.03 +44.4 10
1938-09-25 Gamma FC W 2-154.8 1507 1537 42.35% 21.68% 35.97%+0.05 +10.8 6
1938-09-25 @ Phobus L 1-254.8 1537 1507 35.97% 21.68% 42.35%-0.05 -10.8 8
1938-09-25 Zugloi SE W 2-037.1 1451 1343 58.84% 21.33% 19.83%+1.43 +13.1 5
1938-09-25 @ Szegedi AK L 0-237.1 1343 1451 19.83% 21.33% 58.84%-1.43 -13.1 2
1938-09-25 Ujpest L 0-345.8 1438 1752 12.06% 20.36% 67.59%-2.83 -12.1 5
1938-09-25 @ Szolnok W 3-045.8 1752 1438 67.59% 20.36% 12.06%+2.83 +12.1 10
1938-10-06 Ujpest W 3-163.5 1687 1764 35.61% 21.65% 42.74%-0.43 +21.3 6
1938-10-06 @ Ferencvaros L 1-363.5 1764 1687 42.74% 21.65% 35.61%+0.43 -21.4 10
1938-10-09 Szegedi AK D 1-157.3 1453 1464 44.82% 21.67% 33.51%+0.23 -0.7 3
1938-10-09 @ Bocskai FC D 1-157.3 1464 1453 33.51% 21.67% 44.82%-0.23 +0.7 6
1938-10-09 Szurketaxi FC L 1-258.2 1526 1463 54.16% 21.51% 24.33%+0.99 -15.2 8
1938-10-09 @ Gamma FC W 2-158.2 1463 1526 24.33% 21.51% 54.16%-0.99 +15.2 4
1938-10-09 Elektromos W 2-149.6 1709 1439 71.04% 20.12% 8.83%+3.08 +3.1 12
1938-10-09 @ Hungaria L 1-249.6 1439 1709 8.83% 20.12% 71.04%-3.08 -3.1 3
1938-10-09 Ferencvaros L 2-362.2 1567 1709 27.38% 21.48% 51.13%-1.08 -8.2 10
1938-10-09 @ Nemzeti SC W 3-262.2 1709 1567 51.13% 21.48% 27.38%+1.08 +8.2 8
1938-10-09 Phobus L 3-448.2 1272 1518 16.87% 20.91% 62.22%-2.14 -5.2 2
1938-10-09 @ Salgotarjan W 4-348.2 1518 1272 62.22% 20.91% 16.87%+2.14 +5.2 8
1938-10-09 Kispest L 1-250.4 1426 1613 22.33% 21.28% 56.39%-1.54 -7.2 5
1938-10-09 @ Szolnok W 2-150.4 1613 1426 56.39% 21.28% 22.33%+1.54 +7.2 11
1938-10-09 Zugloi SE W 4-038.5 1743 1330 77.29% 18.50% 4.21%+4.52 +5.6 12
1938-10-09 @ Ujpest L 0-438.5 1330 1743 4.21% 18.50% 77.29%-4.52 -5.6 2
1938-10-23 Nemzeti SC D 1-160.2 1435 1559 29.49% 21.54% 48.96%-0.90 +1.3 4
1938-10-23 @ Elektromos D 1-160.2 1559 1435 48.96% 21.54% 29.49%+0.90 -1.3 11
1938-10-23 Gamma FC W 2-152.7 1717 1511 67.06% 20.69% 12.25%+2.43 +4.2 10
1938-10-23 @ Ferencvaros L 1-252.7 1511 1717 12.25% 20.69% 67.06%-2.43 -4.2 8
1938-10-23 Bocskai FC W 3-147.4 1523 1452 55.08% 21.48% 23.43%+1.07 +13.1 10
1938-10-23 @ Phobus L 1-347.4 1452 1523 23.43% 21.48% 55.08%-1.07 -13.1 3
1938-10-23 Hungaria L 2-453.5 1419 1712 13.41% 20.55% 66.04%-2.61 -7.1 5
1938-10-23 @ Szolnok W 4-253.5 1712 1419 66.04% 20.55% 13.41%+2.61 +7.1 14
1938-10-23 Salgotarjan W 3-242.1 1478 1267 67.44% 20.65% 11.91%+2.48 +3.9 6
1938-10-23 @ Szurketaxi FC L 2-342.1 1267 1478 11.91% 20.65% 67.44%-2.48 -3.9 2
1938-10-23 Kispest L 2-347.9 1325 1620 13.26% 20.53% 66.22%-2.64 -4.3 2
1938-10-23 @ Zugloi SE W 3-247.9 1620 1325 66.22% 20.53% 13.26%+2.64 +4.3 13
1938-10-30 Szurketaxi FC W 6-355.7 1721 1482 69.24% 20.41% 10.35%+2.76 +7.1 12
1938-10-30 @ Ferencvaros L 3-655.7 1482 1721 10.35% 20.41% 69.24%-2.76 -7.1 6
1938-10-30 Elektromos L 0-254.1 1537 1437 58.07% 21.37% 20.57%+1.36 -32.4 10
1938-10-30 @ Phobus W 2-054.1 1437 1537 20.57% 21.37% 58.07%-1.36 +32.4 6
1938-10-30 Hungaria D 1-166.6 1465 1719 16.25% 20.85% 62.90%-2.22 +3.3 7
1938-10-30 @ Szegedi AK D 1-166.6 1719 1465 62.90% 20.85% 16.25%+2.22 -3.3 15
1938-10-30 Bocskai FC W 1-044.9 1412 1439 42.68% 21.68% 35.64%+0.07 +11.3 7
1938-10-30 @ Szolnok L 0-144.9 1439 1412 35.64% 21.68% 42.68%-0.07 -11.3 3
1938-10-30 Gamma FC W 8-147.7 1749 1507 69.42% 20.39% 10.19%+2.79 +18.9 14
1938-10-30 @ Ujpest L 1-847.7 1507 1749 10.19% 20.39% 69.42%-2.79 -18.9 8
1938-10-30 Salgotarjan W 2-140.7 1320 1263 53.50% 21.53% 24.97%+0.93 +8.0 4
1938-10-30 @ Zugloi SE L 1-240.7 1263 1320 24.97% 21.53% 53.50%-0.93 -8.0 2
1938-11-01 Szegedi AK W 3-254.9 1728 1468 70.48% 20.22% 9.30%+2.98 +3.1 14
1938-11-01 @ Ferencvaros L 2-354.9 1468 1728 9.30% 20.22% 70.48%-2.98 -3.1 7
1938-11-01 Kispest D 0-061.9 1488 1624 27.94% 21.50% 50.56%-1.03 +1.7 9
1938-11-01 @ Gamma FC D 0-061.9 1624 1488 50.56% 21.50% 27.94%+1.03 -1.7 14
1938-11-01 Szolnok L 1-256.5 1504 1423 56.13% 21.45% 22.42%+1.17 -15.7 10
1938-11-01 @ Phobus W 2-156.5 1423 1504 22.42% 21.45% 56.13%-1.17 +15.7 9
1938-11-01 Elektromos W 5-146.7 1475 1469 47.10% 21.65% 31.25%+0.40 +30.4 8
1938-11-01 @ Szurketaxi FC L 1-546.7 1469 1475 31.25% 21.65% 47.10%-0.40 -30.4 6
1938-11-01 Salgotarjan W 11-036.2 1768 1255 80.36% 17.15% 2.50%+5.53 +8.5 16
1938-11-01 @ Ujpest L 0-1136.2 1255 1768 2.50% 17.15% 80.36%-5.53 -8.5 2
1938-11-06 Szurketaxi FC D 2-261.5 1427 1505 35.53% 21.65% 42.82%-0.44 +0.4 4
1938-11-06 @ Bocskai FC D 2-261.5 1505 1427 42.82% 21.65% 35.53%+0.44 -0.4 9
1938-11-06 Elektromos W 1-044.3 1490 1439 52.70% 21.55% 25.75%+0.86 +8.7 11
1938-11-06 @ Gamma FC L 0-144.3 1439 1490 25.75% 21.55% 52.70%-0.86 -8.7 6
1938-11-06 Zugloi SE W 2-144.6 1716 1328 76.36% 18.82% 4.82%+4.26 +1.7 17
1938-11-06 @ Hungaria L 1-244.6 1328 1716 4.82% 18.82% 76.36%-4.26 -1.7 4
1938-11-06 Szolnok L 2-463.0 1558 1439 59.99% 21.27% 18.74%+1.55 -26.0 11
1938-11-06 @ Nemzeti SC W 4-263.0 1439 1558 18.74% 21.27% 59.99%-1.55 +25.9 11
1938-11-06 Szegedi AK D 2-262.2 1488 1465 49.38% 21.62% 28.99%+0.59 -1.0 11
1938-11-06 @ Phobus D 2-262.2 1465 1488 28.99% 21.62% 49.38%-0.59 +1.0 8
1938-11-06 Ferencvaros L 1-837.3 1246 1731 5.04% 18.46% 76.50%-4.55 -9.3 2
1938-11-06 @ Salgotarjan W 8-137.3 1731 1246 76.50% 18.46% 5.04%+4.55 +9.3 16
1938-11-06 Kispest W 3-050.0 1776 1623 63.04% 21.07% 15.89%+1.90 +15.7 18
1938-11-06 @ Ujpest L 0-350.0 1623 1776 15.89% 21.07% 63.04%-1.90 -15.7 14
1938-11-13 Kispest W 4-154.1 1740 1607 61.30% 21.19% 17.51%+1.70 +14.4 18
1938-11-13 @ Ferencvaros L 1-454.1 1607 1740 17.51% 21.19% 61.30%-1.70 -14.4 14
1938-11-13 Ujpest D 0-065.7 1466 1792 11.38% 20.25% 68.36%-2.94 +4.6 9
1938-11-13 @ Szegedi AK D 0-065.7 1792 1466 68.36% 20.25% 11.38%+2.94 -4.6 19
1938-11-13 Zugloi SE W 3-245.1 1428 1327 58.19% 21.36% 20.45%+1.37 +6.4 6
1938-11-13 @ Bocskai FC L 2-345.1 1327 1428 20.45% 21.36% 58.19%-1.37 -6.4 4
1938-11-13 Hungaria D 1-167.8 1532 1717 22.50% 21.29% 56.21%-1.52 +2.3 12
1938-11-13 @ Nemzeti SC D 1-167.8 1717 1532 56.21% 21.29% 22.50%+1.52 -2.3 18
1938-11-20 Salgotarjan W 4-030.6 1430 1237 66.16% 20.79% 13.05%+2.30 +17.1 8
1938-11-20 @ Elektromos L 0-430.6 1237 1430 13.05% 20.79% 66.16%-2.30 -17.1 2
1938-11-20 Bocskai FC W 5-146.9 1755 1434 73.61% 19.60% 6.80%+3.59 +7.6 20
1938-11-20 @ Ferencvaros L 1-546.9 1434 1755 6.80% 19.60% 73.61%-3.59 -7.6 6
1938-11-20 Kispest W 2-054.7 1471 1593 29.72% 21.55% 48.74%-0.88 +27.6 11
1938-11-20 @ Szegedi AK L 0-254.7 1593 1471 48.74% 21.55% 29.72%+0.88 -27.5 14
1938-11-20 Gamma FC W 2-152.0 1465 1498 41.76% 21.68% 36.55%+0.01 +10.9 13
1938-11-20 @ Szolnok L 1-252.0 1498 1465 36.55% 21.68% 41.76%-0.01 -10.9 11
1938-11-20 Phobus D 3-367.6 1505 1487 48.62% 21.63% 29.74%+0.52 -0.8 10
1938-11-20 @ Szurketaxi FC D 3-367.6 1487 1505 29.74% 21.63% 48.62%-0.52 +0.8 12
1938-11-20 Hungaria L 1-664.7 1787 1715 55.15% 21.48% 23.37%+1.08 -59.8 19
1938-11-20 @ Ujpest W 6-164.7 1715 1787 23.37% 21.48% 55.15%-1.08 +59.8 20
1938-11-27 Elektromos D 1-155.9 1426 1447 43.56% 21.68% 34.76%+0.14 -0.6 7
1938-11-27 @ Bocskai FC D 1-155.9 1447 1426 34.76% 21.68% 43.56%-0.14 +0.6 9
1938-11-27 Zugloi SE W 3-139.4 1487 1320 64.16% 20.98% 14.86%+2.04 +8.8 13
1938-11-27 @ Gamma FC L 1-339.4 1320 1487 14.86% 20.98% 64.16%-2.04 -8.8 4
1938-11-27 Kispest D 3-376.7 1775 1565 67.33% 20.66% 12.01%+2.47 -2.5 21
1938-11-27 @ Hungaria D 3-376.7 1565 1775 12.01% 20.66% 67.33%-2.47 +2.5 15
1938-11-27 Ujpest L 0-449.4 1534 1727 21.70% 21.24% 57.05%-1.60 -26.8 12
1938-11-27 @ Nemzeti SC W 4-049.4 1727 1534 57.05% 21.24% 21.70%+1.60 +26.8 21
1938-11-27 Ferencvaros D 4-478.7 1488 1762 14.71% 20.70% 64.59%-2.42 +1.9 13
1938-11-27 @ Phobus D 4-478.7 1762 1488 64.59% 20.70% 14.71%+2.42 -1.9 21
1938-11-27 Szolnok W 2-152.9 1220 1475 16.13% 20.84% 63.03%-2.23 +17.5 4
1938-11-27 @ Salgotarjan L 1-252.9 1475 1220 63.03% 20.84% 16.13%+2.23 -17.6 13
1938-11-27 Szegedi AK D 2-264.0 1504 1498 47.14% 21.65% 31.21%+0.41 -0.8 11
1938-11-27 @ Szurketaxi FC D 2-264.0 1498 1504 31.21% 21.65% 47.14%-0.41 +0.8 12
1939-02-05 Nemzeti SC W 2-153.5 1311 1507 21.41% 21.23% 57.37%-1.63 +16.0 6
1939-02-05 @ Zugloi SE L 1-253.5 1507 1311 57.37% 21.23% 21.41%+1.63 -16.0 12
1939-02-12 Nemzeti SC L 1-261.2 1568 1491 55.56% 21.47% 22.97%+1.12 -15.5 15
1939-02-12 @ Kispest W 2-161.2 1491 1568 22.97% 21.47% 55.56%-1.12 +15.5 14
1939-02-19 Szolnok W 5-356.9 1761 1458 72.75% 19.79% 7.46%+3.41 +3.9 23
1939-02-19 @ Ferencvaros L 3-556.9 1458 1761 7.46% 19.79% 72.75%-3.41 -3.9 13
1939-03-04 Elektromos D 1-158.7 1507 1448 53.69% 21.53% 24.79%+0.95 -2.0 15
1939-03-04 @ Nemzeti SC D 1-158.7 1448 1507 24.79% 21.53% 53.69%-0.95 +2.0 10
1939-03-05 Phobus L 0-344.6 1426 1490 37.43% 21.67% 40.90%-0.30 -32.2 7
1939-03-05 @ Bocskai FC W 3-044.6 1490 1426 40.90% 21.67% 37.43%+0.30 +32.2 15
1939-03-05 Ferencvaros D 2-271.7 1496 1764 15.15% 20.75% 64.10%-2.36 +2.6 14
1939-03-05 @ Gamma FC D 2-271.7 1764 1496 64.10% 20.75% 15.15%+2.36 -2.6 24
1939-03-05 Zugloi SE W 4-244.1 1552 1327 68.32% 20.54% 11.14%+2.62 +6.0 17
1939-03-05 @ Kispest L 2-444.1 1327 1552 11.14% 20.54% 68.32%-2.62 -6.0 6
1939-03-05 Szolnok D 2-271.5 1772 1454 73.49% 19.62% 6.89%+3.56 -3.7 22
1939-03-05 @ Hungaria D 2-271.5 1454 1772 6.89% 19.62% 73.49%-3.56 +3.7 14
1939-03-05 Szurketaxi FC D 2-256.7 1237 1503 15.34% 20.77% 63.90%-2.34 +2.6 5
1939-03-05 @ Salgotarjan D 2-256.7 1503 1237 63.90% 20.77% 15.34%+2.34 -2.6 12
1939-03-05 Szegedi AK W 3-151.2 1754 1499 70.21% 20.26% 9.53%+2.93 +5.8 23
1939-03-05 @ Ujpest L 1-351.2 1499 1754 9.53% 20.26% 70.21%-2.93 -5.8 12
1939-03-12 Hungaria W 2-169.1 1450 1769 11.79% 20.32% 67.89%-2.87 +18.9 12
1939-03-12 @ Elektromos L 1-269.1 1769 1450 67.89% 20.32% 11.79%+2.87 -18.9 22
1939-03-12 Nemzeti SC D 3-375.9 1762 1505 70.30% 20.25% 9.45%+2.94 -2.8 25
1939-03-12 @ Ferencvaros D 3-375.9 1505 1762 9.45% 20.25% 70.30%-2.94 +2.8 16
1939-03-12 Szolnok W 2-044.4 1558 1458 58.12% 21.36% 20.52%+1.36 +13.5 19
1939-03-12 @ Kispest L 0-244.4 1458 1558 20.52% 21.36% 58.12%-1.36 -13.5 14
1939-03-12 Salgotarjan W 5-134.3 1522 1240 71.71% 20.00% 8.29%+3.20 +9.3 17
1939-03-12 @ Phobus L 1-534.3 1240 1522 8.29% 20.00% 71.71%-3.20 -9.3 5
1939-03-12 Bocskai FC W 6-036.9 1493 1394 58.03% 21.37% 20.60%+1.35 +37.7 14
1939-03-12 @ Szegedi AK L 0-636.9 1394 1493 20.60% 21.37% 58.03%-1.35 -37.7 7
1939-03-12 Gamma FC D 4-471.0 1501 1499 46.63% 21.66% 31.71%+0.37 -0.5 13
1939-03-12 @ Szurketaxi FC D 4-471.0 1499 1501 31.71% 21.66% 46.63%-0.37 +0.5 15
1939-03-12 Ujpest L 2-449.4 1321 1760 6.40% 19.04% 74.56%-4.08 -3.5 6
1939-03-12 @ Zugloi SE W 4-249.4 1760 1321 74.56% 19.04% 6.40%+4.08 +3.5 25
1939-03-15 Bocskai FC W 3-036.9 1571 1356 67.72% 20.61% 11.66%+2.53 +11.8 21
1939-03-15 @ Kispest L 0-336.9 1356 1571 11.66% 20.61% 67.72%-2.53 -11.8 7
1939-03-26 Szurketaxi FC FW56.7 1508 1500 47.37% 21.65% 30.98%+0.43 +0.0 18
1939-03-26 @ Nemzeti SC FL56.7 1500 1508 30.98% 21.65% 47.37%-0.43 +0.0 13
1939-03-26 Phobus D 1-161.5 1499 1532 41.95% 21.68% 36.37%+0.02 -0.4 16
1939-03-26 @ Gamma FC D 1-161.5 1532 1499 36.37% 21.68% 41.95%-0.02 +0.4 18
1939-03-26 Elektromos W 1-046.8 1583 1469 59.53% 21.29% 19.17%+1.51 +6.8 23
1939-03-26 @ Kispest L 0-146.8 1469 1583 19.17% 21.29% 59.53%-1.51 -6.8 12
1939-03-26 Ferencvaros L 0-162.4 1750 1759 45.09% 21.67% 33.23%+0.25 -13.7 22
1939-03-26 @ Hungaria W 1-062.4 1759 1750 33.23% 21.67% 45.09%-0.25 +13.7 27
1939-03-26 Bocskai FC L 0-139.3 1231 1344 30.79% 21.57% 47.64%-0.80 -10.1 5
1939-03-26 @ Salgotarjan W 1-039.3 1344 1231 47.64% 21.57% 30.79%+0.80 +10.1 9
1939-03-26 Szolnok W 6-042.8 1763 1444 73.54% 19.61% 6.85%+3.57 +13.5 27
1939-03-26 @ Ujpest L 0-642.8 1444 1763 6.85% 19.61% 73.54%-3.57 -13.5 14
1939-03-26 Szegedi AK L 1-243.0 1318 1531 19.79% 21.13% 59.08%-1.80 -6.5 6
1939-03-26 @ Zugloi SE W 2-143.0 1531 1318 59.08% 21.13% 19.79%+1.80 +6.5 16
1939-04-16 Gamma FC L 1-443.4 1354 1499 26.98% 21.47% 51.55%-1.11 -20.8 9
1939-04-16 @ Bocskai FC W 4-143.4 1499 1354 51.55% 21.47% 26.98%+1.11 +20.8 18
1939-04-16 Ferencvaros L 2-361.8 1590 1773 22.76% 21.30% 55.94%-1.50 -7.0 23
1939-04-16 @ Kispest W 3-261.8 1773 1590 55.94% 21.30% 22.76%+1.50 +7.0 29
1939-04-16 Nemzeti SC L 1-258.7 1532 1508 49.47% 21.62% 28.91%+0.59 -14.0 18
1939-04-16 @ Phobus W 2-158.7 1508 1532 28.91% 21.62% 49.47%-0.59 +14.0 20
1939-04-16 Salgotarjan W 4-029.7 1537 1221 73.41% 19.64% 6.94%+3.55 +9.3 18
1939-04-16 @ Szegedi AK L 0-429.7 1221 1537 6.94% 19.64% 73.41%-3.55 -9.3 5
1939-04-16 Zugloi SE W 4-138.4 1431 1311 59.97% 21.27% 18.76%+1.55 +15.3 16
1939-04-16 @ Szolnok L 1-438.4 1311 1431 18.76% 21.27% 59.97%-1.55 -15.3 6
1939-04-16 Hungaria L 0-647.0 1500 1736 17.75% 20.98% 61.27%-2.03 -32.9 13
1939-04-16 @ Szurketaxi FC W 6-047.0 1736 1500 61.27% 20.98% 17.75%+2.03 +32.9 24
1939-04-16 Elektromos W 3-254.9 1777 1462 73.34% 19.66% 7.00%+3.53 +2.3 29
1939-04-16 @ Ujpest L 2-354.9 1462 1777 7.00% 19.66% 73.34%-3.53 -2.4 12
1939-04-23 Salgotarjan W 3-030.4 1520 1211 73.02% 19.73% 7.25%+3.46 +7.5 20
1939-04-23 @ Gamma FC L 0-330.4 1211 1520 7.25% 19.73% 73.02%-3.46 -7.4 5
1939-04-23 Szurketaxi FC W 3-253.8 1583 1467 59.64% 21.29% 19.07%+1.52 +6.0 25
1939-04-23 @ Kispest L 2-353.8 1467 1583 19.07% 21.29% 59.64%-1.52 -6.0 13
1939-04-23 Phobus W 6-253.0 1769 1518 69.95% 20.30% 9.74%+2.88 +9.2 26
1939-04-23 @ Hungaria L 2-653.0 1518 1769 9.74% 20.30% 69.95%-2.88 -9.2 18
1939-04-23 Bocskai FC D 3-363.2 1522 1333 65.81% 20.83% 13.37%+2.25 -2.3 21
1939-04-23 @ Nemzeti SC D 3-363.2 1333 1522 13.37% 20.83% 65.81%-2.25 +2.3 10
1939-04-23 Szegedi AK W 2-155.9 1446 1547 32.45% 21.60% 45.94%-0.67 +13.1 18
1939-04-23 @ Szolnok L 1-255.9 1547 1446 45.94% 21.60% 32.45%+0.67 -13.1 18
1939-04-23 Ferencvaros D 3-377.6 1779 1780 46.30% 21.66% 32.04%+0.34 -0.6 30
1939-04-23 @ Ujpest D 3-377.6 1780 1779 32.04% 21.66% 46.30%-0.34 +0.6 30
1939-04-23 Elektromos D 2-256.8 1296 1460 24.83% 21.39% 53.78%-1.30 +1.5 7
1939-04-23 @ Zugloi SE D 2-256.8 1460 1296 53.78% 21.39% 24.83%+1.30 -1.5 13
1939-04-30 Hungaria L 0-341.5 1336 1778 6.28% 19.00% 74.72%-4.12 -6.4 10
1939-04-30 @ Bocskai FC W 3-041.5 1778 1336 74.72% 19.00% 6.28%+4.12 +6.4 28
1939-04-30 Szolnok W 2-149.0 1458 1459 46.23% 21.66% 32.11%+0.34 +9.8 15
1939-04-30 @ Elektromos L 1-249.0 1459 1458 32.11% 21.66% 46.23%-0.34 -9.8 18
1939-04-30 Zugloi SE W 10-038.2 1780 1298 79.51% 17.57% 2.92%+5.23 +9.2 32
1939-04-30 @ Ferencvaros L 0-1038.2 1298 1780 2.92% 17.57% 79.51%-5.23 -9.2 7
1939-04-30 Szegedi AK L 1-357.2 1527 1534 45.51% 21.67% 32.83%+0.28 -22.5 20
1939-04-30 @ Gamma FC W 3-157.2 1534 1527 32.83% 21.67% 45.51%-0.28 +22.5 20
1939-04-30 Kispest L 0-449.5 1509 1589 35.19% 21.64% 43.17%-0.46 -40.1 18
1939-04-30 @ Phobus W 4-049.5 1589 1509 43.17% 21.64% 35.19%+0.46 +40.1 27
1939-04-30 Nemzeti SC L 1-336.8 1204 1519 11.98% 20.35% 67.67%-2.84 -7.2 5
1939-04-30 @ Salgotarjan W 3-136.8 1519 1204 67.67% 20.35% 11.98%+2.84 +7.2 23
1939-04-30 Szurketaxi FC W 5-043.6 1779 1461 73.45% 19.63% 6.92%+3.56 +11.5 32
1939-04-30 @ Ujpest L 0-543.6 1461 1779 6.92% 19.63% 73.45%-3.56 -11.5 13
1939-05-03 Salgotarjan W 5-033.1 1784 1197 82.25% 16.06% 1.69%+6.29 +2.6 30
1939-05-03 @ Hungaria L 0-533.1 1197 1784 1.69% 16.06% 82.25%-6.29 -2.6 5
1939-05-07 Gamma FC W 4-255.2 1527 1505 49.21% 21.63% 29.17%+0.57 +14.1 25
1939-05-07 @ Nemzeti SC L 2-455.2 1505 1527 29.17% 21.63% 49.21%-0.57 -14.1 20
1939-05-07 Elektromos W 3-043.8 1556 1468 56.86% 21.42% 21.72%+1.24 +20.6 22
1939-05-07 @ Szegedi AK L 0-343.8 1468 1556 21.72% 21.42% 56.86%-1.24 -20.6 15
1939-05-07 Ferencvaros D 1-167.9 1449 1789 10.59% 20.11% 69.30%-3.09 +4.3 19
1939-05-07 @ Szolnok D 1-167.9 1789 1449 69.30% 20.11% 10.59%+3.09 -4.3 33
1939-05-07 Phobus W 4-149.2 1790 1469 73.64% 19.59% 6.77%+3.60 +5.9 34
1939-05-07 @ Ujpest L 1-449.2 1469 1790 6.77% 19.59% 73.64%-3.60 -5.9 18
1939-05-07 Szurketaxi FC L 1-440.2 1288 1450 25.06% 21.40% 53.54%-1.28 -19.6 7
1939-05-07 @ Zugloi SE W 4-140.2 1450 1288 53.54% 21.40% 25.06%+1.28 +19.6 15
1939-05-14 Ujpest L 0-341.6 1329 1796 5.54% 18.70% 75.77%-4.37 -5.6 10
1939-05-14 @ Bocskai FC W 3-041.6 1796 1329 75.77% 18.70% 5.54%+4.37 +5.6 36
1939-05-14 Elektromos W 3-044.6 1785 1447 74.37% 19.41% 6.22%+3.76 +6.4 35
1939-05-14 @ Ferencvaros L 0-344.6 1447 1785 6.22% 19.41% 74.37%-3.76 -6.4 15
1939-05-14 Hungaria L 1-253.8 1491 1787 13.18% 20.52% 66.30%-2.65 -4.5 20
1939-05-14 @ Gamma FC W 2-153.8 1787 1491 66.30% 20.52% 13.18%+2.65 +4.5 32
1939-05-14 Szegedi AK D 5-577.2 1541 1577 41.45% 21.68% 36.87%-0.01 -0.1 26
1939-05-14 @ Nemzeti SC D 5-577.2 1577 1541 36.87% 21.68% 41.45%+0.01 +0.1 23
1939-05-14 Zugloi SE W 11-032.0 1463 1269 66.22% 20.78% 13.00%+2.31 +44.5 20
1939-05-14 @ Phobus L 0-1132.0 1269 1463 13.00% 20.78% 66.22%-2.31 -44.5 7
1939-05-14 Kispest L 2-341.7 1194 1629 6.52% 19.08% 74.40%-4.05 -2.2 5
1939-05-14 @ Salgotarjan W 3-241.7 1629 1194 74.40% 19.08% 6.52%+4.05 +2.2 29
1939-05-14 Szolnok L 1-254.1 1469 1454 48.42% 21.64% 29.94%+0.51 -13.7 15
1939-05-14 @ Szurketaxi FC W 2-154.1 1454 1469 29.94% 21.64% 48.42%-0.51 +13.7 21
1939-05-21 Szurketaxi FC D 2-260.2 1441 1456 44.38% 21.67% 33.95%+0.20 -0.5 16
1939-05-21 @ Elektromos D 2-260.2 1456 1441 33.95% 21.67% 44.38%-0.20 +0.5 16
1939-05-21 Nemzeti SC W 1-050.3 1792 1541 69.96% 20.30% 9.74%+2.88 +3.6 34
1939-05-21 @ Hungaria L 0-150.3 1541 1792 9.74% 20.30% 69.96%-2.88 -3.6 26
1939-05-21 Ujpest L 0-1034.8 1192 1802 2.63% 16.75% 80.62%-5.81 -8.1 5
1939-05-21 @ Salgotarjan W 10-034.8 1802 1192 80.62% 16.75% 2.63%+5.81 +8.1 38
1939-05-21 Ferencvaros W 4-271.7 1577 1792 19.61% 21.12% 59.27%-1.82 +25.6 25
1939-05-21 @ Szegedi AK L 2-471.7 1792 1577 59.27% 21.12% 19.61%+1.82 -25.6 35
1939-05-21 Bocskai FC D 0-048.5 1224 1324 32.61% 21.61% 45.78%-0.66 +1.0 8
1939-05-21 @ Zugloi SE D 0-048.5 1324 1224 45.78% 21.61% 32.61%+0.66 -1.0 11
1939-05-27 Szolnok W 3-150.2 1323 1467 27.00% 21.47% 51.53%-1.11 +25.1 13
1939-05-27 @ Bocskai FC L 1-350.2 1467 1323 51.53% 21.47% 27.00%+1.11 -25.1 21
1939-05-27 Phobus L 1-251.6 1440 1507 37.04% 21.66% 41.30%-0.33 -11.0 16
1939-05-27 @ Elektromos W 2-151.6 1507 1440 41.30% 21.66% 37.04%+0.33 +11.0 22
1939-05-27 Ujpest L 0-946.6 1486 1810 11.51% 20.27% 68.22%-2.92 -32.5 20
1939-05-27 @ Gamma FC W 9-046.6 1810 1486 68.22% 20.27% 11.51%+2.92 +32.5 40
1939-05-27 Szegedi AK W 5-152.1 1795 1602 66.13% 20.79% 13.07%+2.30 +14.3 36
1939-05-27 @ Hungaria L 1-552.1 1602 1795 13.07% 20.79% 66.13%-2.30 -14.3 25
1939-05-27 Kispest L 1-654.2 1537 1631 33.28% 21.62% 45.10%-0.61 -39.1 26
1939-05-27 @ Nemzeti SC W 6-154.2 1631 1537 45.10% 21.62% 33.28%+0.61 +39.1 31
1939-05-27 Zugloi SE D 2-254.2 1184 1225 40.67% 21.68% 37.65%-0.07 -0.2 6
1939-05-27 @ Salgotarjan D 2-254.2 1225 1184 37.65% 21.68% 40.67%+0.07 +0.1 9
1939-05-27 Ferencvaros L 1-648.8 1456 1766 12.33% 20.40% 67.27%-2.78 -16.5 16
1939-05-27 @ Szurketaxi FC W 6-148.8 1766 1456 67.27% 20.40% 12.33%+2.78 +16.5 37
1939-05-28 Nemzeti SC W 2-152.1 1442 1498 38.64% 21.67% 39.69%-0.21 +11.6 23
1939-05-28 @ Szolnok L 1-252.1 1498 1442 39.69% 21.67% 38.64%+0.21 -11.6 26
1939-05-29 Salgotarjan W 13-033.7 1782 1184 82.51% 15.90% 1.59%+6.40 +6.2 39
1939-05-29 @ Ferencvaros L 0-1333.7 1184 1782 1.59% 15.90% 82.51%-6.40 -6.2 6
1939-05-29 Ujpest D 1-170.0 1670 1842 23.91% 21.35% 54.74%-1.39 +2.1 32
1939-05-29 @ Kispest D 1-170.0 1842 1670 54.74% 21.35% 23.91%+1.39 -2.1 41
1939-06-01 Phobus L 3-558.6 1454 1518 37.38% 21.67% 40.96%-0.30 -16.2 23
1939-06-01 @ Szolnok W 5-358.6 1518 1454 40.96% 21.67% 37.38%+0.30 +16.2 24
1939-06-04 Bocskai FC W 7-137.8 1429 1348 56.16% 21.45% 22.40%+1.17 +33.4 18
1939-06-04 @ Elektromos L 1-737.8 1348 1429 22.40% 21.45% 56.16%-1.17 -33.4 13
1939-06-04 Phobus W 9-148.0 1789 1535 70.14% 20.27% 9.58%+2.92 +20.2 41
1939-06-04 @ Ferencvaros L 1-948.0 1535 1789 9.58% 20.27% 70.14%-2.92 -20.2 24
1939-06-04 Hungaria L 2-463.1 1673 1809 27.88% 21.50% 50.62%-1.04 -13.5 32
1939-06-04 @ Kispest W 4-263.1 1809 1673 50.62% 21.50% 27.88%+1.04 +13.5 38
1939-06-04 Szurketaxi FC W 2-148.1 1588 1440 62.61% 21.10% 16.29%+1.85 +5.5 27
1939-06-04 @ Szegedi AK L 1-248.1 1440 1588 16.29% 21.10% 62.61%-1.85 -5.5 16
1939-06-04 Salgotarjan L 0-348.2 1438 1178 70.49% 20.22% 9.30%+2.98 -57.3 23
1939-06-04 @ Szolnok W 3-048.2 1178 1438 9.30% 20.22% 70.49%-2.98 +57.3 8
1939-06-04 Nemzeti SC W 4-044.9 1840 1486 75.06% 19.22% 5.72%+3.92 +7.7 43
1939-06-04 @ Ujpest L 0-444.9 1486 1840 5.72% 19.22% 75.06%-3.92 -7.7 26
1939-06-04 Gamma FC L 1-338.3 1225 1454 18.41% 21.03% 60.55%-1.96 -10.6 9
1939-06-04 @ Zugloi SE W 3-138.3 1454 1225 60.55% 21.03% 18.41%+1.96 +10.6 22
1939-06-11 Ferencvaros L 3-1242.9 1315 1809 4.80% 18.34% 76.86%-4.65 -8.0 13
1939-06-11 @ Bocskai FC W 12-342.9 1809 1315 76.86% 18.34% 4.80%+4.65 +8.0 43
1939-06-11 Szolnok W 3-142.7 1464 1380 56.41% 21.44% 22.16%+1.20 +12.5 24
1939-06-11 @ Gamma FC L 1-342.7 1380 1464 22.16% 21.44% 56.41%-1.20 -12.5 23
1939-06-11 Szegedi AK L 0-261.4 1659 1594 54.38% 21.51% 24.11%+1.01 -30.5 32
1939-06-11 @ Kispest W 2-061.4 1594 1659 24.11% 21.51% 54.38%-1.01 +30.5 29
1939-06-11 Ujpest D 1-170.2 1823 1848 43.00% 21.68% 35.32%+0.10 -0.5 39
1939-06-11 @ Hungaria D 1-170.2 1848 1823 35.32% 21.68% 43.00%-0.10 +0.5 44
1939-06-11 Zugloi SE W 5-133.5 1479 1215 70.69% 20.18% 9.12%+3.01 +10.2 28
1939-06-11 @ Nemzeti SC L 1-533.5 1215 1479 9.12% 20.18% 70.69%-3.01 -10.2 9
1939-06-11 Szurketaxi FC L 2-361.1 1514 1434 56.01% 21.45% 22.54%+1.16 -14.9 24
1939-06-11 @ Phobus W 3-261.1 1434 1514 22.54% 21.45% 56.01%-1.16 +14.9 18
1939-06-11 Elektromos L 0-432.7 1235 1463 18.42% 21.04% 60.55%-1.95 -23.2 8
1939-06-11 @ Salgotarjan W 4-032.7 1463 1235 60.55% 21.04% 18.42%+1.95 +23.2 20
1939-06-17 Bocskai FC W 3-139.0 1449 1307 62.10% 21.14% 16.76%+1.79 +9.8 20
1939-06-17 @ Szurketaxi FC L 1-339.0 1307 1449 16.76% 21.14% 62.10%-1.79 -9.8 13
1939-06-18 Gamma FC D 2-262.6 1486 1477 47.59% 21.65% 30.76%+0.44 -0.8 21
1939-06-18 @ Elektromos D 2-262.6 1477 1486 30.76% 21.65% 47.59%-0.44 +0.8 25
1939-06-18 Phobus W 3-256.0 1624 1499 60.48% 21.24% 18.28%+1.61 +5.8 31
1939-06-18 @ Szegedi AK L 2-356.0 1499 1624 18.28% 21.24% 60.48%-1.61 -5.8 24
1939-06-18 Hungaria L 1-440.6 1205 1823 2.52% 16.64% 80.85%-5.89 -2.1 9
1939-06-18 @ Zugloi SE W 4-140.6 1823 1205 80.85% 16.64% 2.52%+5.89 +2.1 41
1939-06-22 Gamma FC W 2-150.8 1629 1477 62.84% 21.08% 16.08%+1.87 +5.5 34
1939-06-22 @ Kispest L 1-250.8 1477 1629 16.08% 21.08% 62.84%-1.87 -5.5 25

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1939-06-04 9.30% Salgotarjan 1178 3 @ Szolnok 1438 0
2 1938-09-18 10.31% Gamma FC 1481 3 @ Hungaria 1720 0
3 1939-03-12 11.79% @ Elektromos 1450 2 Hungaria 1769 1
4 1938-11-27 16.13% @ Salgotarjan 1220 2 Szolnok 1475 1
5 1938-11-06 18.74% Szolnok 1439 4 @ Nemzeti SC 1558 2
6 1939-05-21 19.61% @ Szegedi AK 1577 4 Ferencvaros 1792 2
7 1938-10-30 20.57% Elektromos 1437 2 @ Phobus 1537 0
8 1939-02-05 21.41% @ Zugloi SE 1311 2 Nemzeti SC 1507 1
9 1938-11-01 22.42% Szolnok 1423 2 @ Phobus 1504 1
10 1939-06-11 22.54% Szurketaxi FC 1434 3 @ Phobus 1514 2
11 1939-02-12 22.97% Nemzeti SC 1491 2 @ Kispest 1568 1
12 1938-09-11 23.27% @ Salgotarjan 1317 3 Szegedi AK 1494 1
13 1938-11-20 23.37% Hungaria 1715 6 @ Ujpest 1787 1
14 1938-09-25 23.88% Hungaria 1664 3 @ Ferencvaros 1732 0
15 1939-06-11 24.11% Szegedi AK 1594 2 @ Kispest 1659 0
16 1938-10-09 24.33% Szurketaxi FC 1463 2 @ Gamma FC 1526 1
17 1939-05-27 27.00% @ Bocskai FC 1323 3 Szolnok 1467 1
18 1939-04-16 28.91% Nemzeti SC 1508 2 @ Phobus 1532 1
19 1938-11-20 29.72% @ Szegedi AK 1471 2 Kispest 1593 0
20 1939-05-14 29.94% Szolnok 1454 2 @ Szurketaxi FC 1469 1
21 1938-08-28 32.14% @ Szolnok 1422 4 Elektromos 1525 1
22 1939-04-23 32.45% @ Szolnok 1446 2 Szegedi AK 1547 1
23 1939-04-30 32.83% Szegedi AK 1534 3 @ Gamma FC 1527 1
24 1939-03-26 33.23% Ferencvaros 1759 1 @ Hungaria 1750 0
25 1938-10-06 35.61% @ Ferencvaros 1687 3 Ujpest 1764 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1938-11-20 59.80 Hungaria 6 1715 23.37% @ Ujpest 1 1787 55.15% 21.48%
2 1939-06-04 57.28 Salgotarjan 3 1178 9.30% @ Szolnok 0 1438 70.49% 20.22%
3 1938-09-18 56.29 Gamma FC 3 1481 10.31% @ Hungaria 0 1720 69.29% 20.40%
4 1938-09-25 55.88 @ Bocskai FC 8 1397 54.77% Salgotarjan 0 1328 23.73% 21.49%
5 1938-08-21 52.30 @ Szurketaxi FC 9 1456 50.65% Zugloi SE 1 1422 27.75% 21.60%
6 1939-05-14 44.53 @ Phobus 11 1463 66.22% Zugloi SE 0 1269 13.00% 20.78%
7 1938-09-25 44.44 Hungaria 3 1664 23.88% @ Ferencvaros 0 1732 54.62% 21.50%
8 1939-04-30 40.08 Kispest 4 1589 43.17% @ Phobus 0 1509 35.19% 21.64%
9 1939-05-27 39.12 Kispest 6 1631 45.10% @ Nemzeti SC 1 1537 33.28% 21.62%
10 1938-09-24 37.81 Kispest 4 1575 45.66% @ Elektromos 0 1476 32.73% 21.61%
11 1939-03-12 37.66 @ Szegedi AK 6 1493 58.03% Bocskai FC 0 1394 20.60% 21.37%
12 1939-06-04 33.38 @ Elektromos 7 1429 56.16% Bocskai FC 1 1348 22.40% 21.45%
13 1938-08-28 33.04 @ Nemzeti SC 8 1478 59.99% Salgotarjan 1 1358 18.74% 21.27%
14 1939-04-16 32.92 Hungaria 6 1736 61.27% @ Szurketaxi FC 0 1500 17.75% 20.98%
15 1939-05-27 32.53 Ujpest 9 1810 68.22% @ Gamma FC 0 1486 11.51% 20.27%
16 1938-10-30 32.44 Elektromos 2 1437 20.57% @ Phobus 0 1537 58.07% 21.37%
17 1938-08-28 32.26 @ Szolnok 4 1422 32.14% Elektromos 1 1525 46.26% 21.60%
18 1939-03-05 32.22 Phobus 3 1490 40.90% @ Bocskai FC 0 1426 37.43% 21.67%
19 1938-09-04 32.12 Nemzeti SC 3 1511 41.05% @ Bocskai FC 0 1446 37.29% 21.67%
20 1939-06-11 30.48 Szegedi AK 2 1594 24.11% @ Kispest 0 1659 54.38% 21.51%
21 1938-11-01 30.38 @ Szurketaxi FC 5 1475 47.10% Elektromos 1 1469 31.25% 21.65%
22 1938-11-20 27.55 @ Szegedi AK 2 1471 29.72% Kispest 0 1593 48.74% 21.55%
23 1938-09-04 27.24 @ Szegedi AK 3 1467 48.02% Szolnok 0 1454 30.34% 21.64%
24 1938-11-27 26.83 Ujpest 4 1727 57.05% @ Nemzeti SC 0 1534 21.70% 21.24%
25 1938-09-11 26.82 @ Salgotarjan 3 1317 23.27% Szegedi AK 1 1494 55.40% 21.32%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1938-11-27 78.7 @ Phobus 4 1488 14.71% Ferencvaros 4 1762 64.59% 20.70%
2 1939-04-23 77.6 @ Ujpest 3 1779 46.30% Ferencvaros 3 1780 32.04% 21.66%
3 1939-05-14 77.2 @ Nemzeti SC 5 1541 41.45% Szegedi AK 5 1577 36.87% 21.68%
4 1938-11-27 76.7 @ Hungaria 3 1775 67.33% Kispest 3 1565 12.01% 20.66%
5 1939-03-12 75.9 @ Ferencvaros 3 1762 70.30% Nemzeti SC 3 1505 9.45% 20.25%
6 1939-03-05 71.7 @ Gamma FC 2 1496 15.15% Ferencvaros 2 1764 64.10% 20.75%
7 1939-05-21 71.7 @ Szegedi AK 4 1577 19.61% Ferencvaros 2 1792 59.27% 21.12%
8 1939-03-05 71.5 @ Hungaria 2 1772 73.49% Szolnok 2 1454 6.89% 19.62%
9 1939-03-12 71.0 @ Szurketaxi FC 4 1501 46.63% Gamma FC 4 1499 31.71% 21.66%
10 1939-06-11 70.2 @ Hungaria 1 1823 43.00% Ujpest 1 1848 35.32% 21.68%
11 1939-05-29 70.0 @ Kispest 1 1670 23.91% Ujpest 1 1842 54.74% 21.35%
12 1938-08-28 69.8 @ Kispest 3 1549 52.33% Phobus 3 1502 26.10% 21.56%
13 1939-03-12 69.1 @ Elektromos 2 1450 11.79% Hungaria 1 1769 67.89% 20.32%
14 1939-05-07 67.9 @ Szolnok 1 1449 10.59% Ferencvaros 1 1789 69.30% 20.11%
15 1938-11-13 67.8 @ Nemzeti SC 1 1532 22.50% Hungaria 1 1717 56.21% 21.29%
16 1938-11-20 67.6 @ Szurketaxi FC 3 1505 48.62% Phobus 3 1487 29.74% 21.63%
17 1938-10-30 66.6 @ Szegedi AK 1 1465 16.25% Hungaria 1 1719 62.90% 20.85%
18 1938-11-13 65.7 @ Szegedi AK 0 1466 11.38% Ujpest 0 1792 68.36% 20.25%
19 1938-11-20 64.7 Hungaria 6 1715 23.37% @ Ujpest 1 1787 55.15% 21.48%
20 1938-11-27 64.0 @ Szurketaxi FC 2 1504 47.14% Szegedi AK 2 1498 31.21% 21.65%
21 1938-10-06 63.5 @ Ferencvaros 3 1687 35.61% Ujpest 1 1764 42.74% 21.65%
22 1938-09-18 63.2 Gamma FC 3 1481 10.31% @ Hungaria 0 1720 69.29% 20.40%
23 1939-04-23 63.2 @ Nemzeti SC 3 1522 65.81% Bocskai FC 3 1333 13.37% 20.83%
24 1939-06-04 63.1 Hungaria 4 1809 50.62% @ Kispest 2 1673 27.88% 21.50%
25 1938-11-06 63.0 Szolnok 4 1439 18.74% @ Nemzeti SC 2 1558 59.99% 21.27%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1939-04-16 29.7 @ Szegedi AK 4 1537 73.41% Salgotarjan 0 1221 6.94% 19.64%
2 1939-04-23 30.4 @ Gamma FC 3 1520 73.02% Salgotarjan 0 1211 7.25% 19.73%
3 1938-11-20 30.6 @ Elektromos 4 1430 66.16% Salgotarjan 0 1237 13.05% 20.79%
4 1939-05-14 32.0 @ Phobus 11 1463 66.22% Zugloi SE 0 1269 13.00% 20.78%
5 1939-06-11 32.7 Elektromos 4 1463 60.55% @ Salgotarjan 0 1235 18.42% 21.04%
6 1939-05-03 33.1 @ Hungaria 5 1784 82.25% Salgotarjan 0 1197 1.69% 16.06%
7 1939-06-11 33.5 @ Nemzeti SC 5 1479 70.69% Zugloi SE 1 1215 9.12% 20.18%
8 1939-05-29 33.7 @ Ferencvaros 13 1782 82.51% Salgotarjan 0 1184 1.59% 15.90%
9 1939-03-12 34.3 @ Phobus 5 1522 71.71% Salgotarjan 1 1240 8.29% 20.00%
10 1938-09-25 34.5 @ Bocskai FC 8 1397 54.77% Salgotarjan 0 1328 23.73% 21.49%
11 1939-05-21 34.8 Ujpest 10 1802 80.62% @ Salgotarjan 0 1192 2.63% 16.75%
12 1938-11-01 36.2 @ Ujpest 11 1768 80.36% Salgotarjan 0 1255 2.50% 17.15%
13 1939-04-30 36.8 Nemzeti SC 3 1519 67.67% @ Salgotarjan 1 1204 11.98% 20.35%
14 1939-03-12 36.9 @ Szegedi AK 6 1493 58.03% Bocskai FC 0 1394 20.60% 21.37%
15 1939-03-15 36.9 @ Kispest 3 1571 67.72% Bocskai FC 0 1356 11.66% 20.61%
16 1938-09-25 37.1 @ Szegedi AK 2 1451 58.84% Zugloi SE 0 1343 19.83% 21.33%
17 1938-11-06 37.3 Ferencvaros 8 1731 76.50% @ Salgotarjan 1 1246 5.04% 18.46%
18 1938-08-28 37.6 @ Nemzeti SC 8 1478 59.99% Salgotarjan 1 1358 18.74% 21.27%
19 1939-06-04 37.8 @ Elektromos 7 1429 56.16% Bocskai FC 1 1348 22.40% 21.45%
20 1939-04-30 38.2 @ Ferencvaros 10 1780 79.51% Zugloi SE 0 1298 2.92% 17.57%
21 1938-09-18 38.3 @ Kispest 6 1559 67.74% Salgotarjan 1 1344 11.65% 20.61%
22 1939-06-04 38.3 Gamma FC 3 1454 60.55% @ Zugloi SE 1 1225 18.41% 21.03%
23 1939-04-16 38.4 @ Szolnok 4 1431 59.97% Zugloi SE 1 1311 18.76% 21.27%
24 1938-10-09 38.5 @ Ujpest 4 1743 77.29% Zugloi SE 0 1330 4.21% 18.50%
25 1939-06-17 39.0 @ Szurketaxi FC 3 1449 62.10% Bocskai FC 1 1307 16.76% 21.14%