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1945 Nemzeti Bajnokság I Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Ujpest

37 points · 6th Title

Last Title: 1938-39

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

kispest

7.41 points above expected

30 points · 22.59 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Budapesti MAVAG SK

5.95 points below expected

9 points · 14.95 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Ujpest Champion 22 18 1 3 37 125 27 +98 32.97 +4.03
2 Ferencvaros 22 16 2 4 34 87 18 +69 30.94 +3.06
3 Csepel 22 15 2 5 32 91 41 +50 30.10 +1.90
4 kispest 22 14 2 6 30 74 55 +19 22.59 +7.41
5 Vasas 22 10 7 5 27 69 38 +31 26.43 +0.57
6 MTK Budapest 22 11 3 8 25 53 51 +2 27.99 -2.99
7 ESMTK 22 10 1 11 21 54 48 +6 22.76 -1.76
8 Gamma FC 22 9 2 11 20 47 58 -11 19.25 +0.75
9 Zugloi SE 22 7 4 11 18 55 64 -9 16.47 +1.53
10 Budapesti MAVAG SK 22 4 1 17 9 29 82 -53 14.95 -5.95
11 Ganz-MAVAG SE 22 2 2 18 6 26 123 -97 11.07 -5.07
12 Nemzeti SC 22 2 1 19 5 16 121 -105 8.48 -3.48

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 kispest 30 22.59 +7.41
2 Ujpest 37 32.97 +4.03
3 Ferencvaros 34 30.94 +3.06
4 Csepel 32 30.10 +1.90
5 Zugloi SE 18 16.47 +1.53

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Budapesti MAVAG SK 9 14.95 -5.95
2 Ganz-MAVAG SE 6 11.07 -5.07
3 Nemzeti SC 5 8.48 -3.48
4 MTK Budapest 25 27.99 -2.99
5 ESMTK 21 22.76 -1.76

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 kispest 6 Jun 17 – Jul 7 1 in 653
2 Ujpest 8 May 20 – Jun 16 1 in 28
3 ESMTK 3 May 6 – May 13 1 in 12
4 Nemzeti SC 1 Jun 17 – Jun 17 1 in 8
5 Vasas 5 May 20 – Jun 3 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Budapesti MAVAG SK 11 Jun 3 – Jul 22 1 in 1,723
2 ESMTK 6 May 27 – Jun 17 1 in 107
3 Nemzeti SC 9 May 6 – Jun 9 1 in 77
4 MTK Budapest 3 Jun 16 – Jun 24 1 in 46
5 Gamma FC 5 May 10 – May 27 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 kispest 12 Jun 3 – Jul 22 1 in 534
2 Nemzeti SC 2 Jun 10 – Jun 17 1 in 20
3 Ujpest 11 May 20 – Jun 28 1 in 11
4 Vasas 7 May 13 – Jun 9 1 in 9
5 Zugloi SE 4 Jul 18 – Aug 4 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Budapesti MAVAG SK 15 Jun 3 – Aug 5 1 in 177
2 ESMTK 6 May 27 – Jun 17 1 in 24
3 Nemzeti SC 10 May 6 – Jun 10 1 in 15
4 MTK Budapest 3 Jun 16 – Jun 24 1 in 15
5 Vasas 6 Jun 9 – Jun 28 1 in 14

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Ujpest 1971 37 +83 8 8.1 -0.1
Ferencvaros 1826 34 +25 8 6.9 +1.1
Csepel 1671 32 -128 4 5.7 -1.7
kispest 1789 30 +31 8 7.9 +0.1
Vasas 1663 27 +26 7 6.6 +0.4
MTK Budapest 1517 25 -31 5 5.5 -0.5
ESMTK 1574 19 +84 7 5.3 +1.7
Zugloi SE 1454 18 +7 6 5.3 +0.7
Gamma FC 1485 18 -9 4 2.9 +1.1
Budapesti MAVAG SK 1250 9 -27 1 2.3 -1.3
Ganz-MAVAG SE 1151 6 -39 2 2.5 -0.5
Nemzeti SC 1118 5 -4 2 1.9 +0.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BMS CSE ESM FER GAM GS MB NS UJP VAS ZS KIS
Budapesti MAVAG SK —
0-0-2
0.52
1-0-1
2.00
0-0-2
0.78
0-0-2
3.00
1-0-1
3.88
0-0-2
1.56
1-0-1
3.11
0-0-2
0.30
0-1-1
1.42
1-0-1
2.42
0-0-2
2.30
Csepel
2-0-0
5.25
—
2-0-0
4.22
0-1-1
2.57
2-0-0
4.76
2-0-0
4.40
1-0-1
3.71
2-0-0
5.31
0-0-2
2.75
1-1-0
3.66
2-0-0
4.95
1-0-1
2.93
ESMTK
1-0-1
3.76
0-0-2
1.54
—
0-0-2
2.44
2-0-0
2.71
2-0-0
4.62
0-0-2
1.39
2-0-0
4.60
0-0-2
1.54
1-0-1
1.91
1-1-0
3.34
1-0-1
3.13
Ferencvaros
2-0-0
4.98
1-1-0
3.18
2-0-0
3.32
—
2-0-0
4.81
2-0-0
5.11
1-0-1
3.10
2-0-0
5.44
1-0-1
2.02
0-1-1
3.36
2-0-0
4.21
1-0-1
4.42
Gamma FC
2-0-0
2.76
0-0-2
1.00
0-0-2
3.04
0-0-2
0.95
—
1-1-0
4.53
1-0-1
1.84
2-0-0
4.82
1-0-1
1.24
1-0-1
1.48
1-0-1
3.80
0-1-1
1.25
Ganz-MAVAG SE
1-0-1
1.88
0-0-2
1.36
0-0-2
1.14
0-0-2
0.65
0-1-1
1.23
—
0-1-1
0.79
1-0-1
3.10
0-0-2
0.38
0-0-2
1.43
0-0-2
2.35
0-0-2
0.36
MTK Budapest
2-0-0
4.20
1-0-1
2.05
2-0-0
4.37
1-0-1
2.65
1-0-1
3.92
1-1-0
4.97
—
2-0-0
5.00
0-0-2
2.92
0-1-1
1.87
1-1-0
4.73
0-0-2
4.20
Nemzeti SC
1-0-1
2.65
0-0-2
0.46
0-0-2
1.16
0-0-2
0.34
0-0-2
0.95
1-0-1
2.65
0-0-2
0.76
—
0-0-2
0.87
0-0-2
0.54
0-0-2
1.13
0-1-1
1.23
Ujpest
2-0-0
5.47
2-0-0
3.00
2-0-0
4.23
1-0-1
3.74
1-0-1
4.52
2-0-0
5.39
2-0-0
2.84
2-0-0
4.89
—
1-1-0
4.47
2-0-0
5.10
1-0-1
4.57
Vasas
1-1-0
4.34
0-1-1
2.09
1-0-1
3.85
1-1-0
2.40
1-0-1
4.28
2-0-0
4.33
1-1-0
3.89
2-0-0
5.22
0-1-1
1.29
—
0-2-0
3.71
1-0-1
2.24
Zugloi SE
1-0-1
3.34
0-0-2
0.81
0-1-1
2.42
0-0-2
1.55
1-0-1
1.96
2-0-0
3.41
0-1-1
1.03
2-0-0
4.63
0-0-2
0.66
0-2-0
2.05
—
1-0-1
1.87
kispest
2-0-0
3.46
1-0-1
2.83
1-0-1
2.63
1-0-1
1.34
1-1-0
4.51
2-0-0
5.41
2-0-0
1.56
1-1-0
4.53
1-0-1
1.19
1-0-1
3.52
1-0-1
3.89
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.89 +3.3
Allowed 0.86 -3.0
Differential 0.95 +1.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
00.76%2.65%2.65%2.27%1.52%9.85%19.70%
12.65%3.03%3.03%4.17%0.76%5.30%18.94%
22.65%3.03%5.30%1.89%2.27%4.17%19.32%
32.27%4.17%1.89%1.52%1.52%1.52%12.88%
41.52%0.76%2.27%1.52%—0.38%6.44%
5+9.85%5.30%4.17%1.52%0.38%1.52%22.73%
Total19.70%18.94%19.32%12.88%6.44%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.73 2.73 +0.00
SD 2.83 2.83 4.72
CV 1.03 1.03 —
Max 16 16 +16
Min -1 -1 -16

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%9.09%—27.27%50.00%
1—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%22.73%
2—9.09%————9.09%
3————4.55%4.55%9.09%
4———————
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total4.55%27.27%9.09%13.64%9.09%36.36%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 3.73 -2.41
SD 2.08 2.99 4.03
CV 1.58 0.80 —
Max 7 12 +7
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
1——4.55%——9.09%13.64%
29.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
3—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+13.64%4.55%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
Total27.27%18.18%36.36%9.09%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 4.14 1.86 +2.27
SD 3.45 2.21 4.79
CV 0.84 1.19 —
Max 13 10 +13
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%13.64%——4.55%27.27%
1——4.55%9.09%——13.64%
2—————9.09%9.09%
313.64%————4.55%18.18%
4——9.09%———9.09%
5+4.55%13.64%———4.55%22.73%
Total22.73%18.18%27.27%9.09%—22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.41 2.14 +0.27
SD 2.61 2.36 3.83
CV 1.08 1.10 —
Max 9 7 +8
Min -1 -1 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
19.09%—4.55%4.55%——18.18%
29.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
39.09%—————9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+22.73%9.09%4.55%———36.36%
Total54.55%18.18%18.18%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.95 0.82 +3.14
SD 3.23 1.05 3.73
CV 0.82 1.29 —
Max 11 3 +11
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%——4.55%4.55%13.64%
19.09%——4.55%—9.09%22.73%
2—4.55%4.55%—9.09%4.55%22.73%
3———4.55%9.09%—13.64%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+9.09%—4.55%——4.55%18.18%
Total18.18%13.64%13.64%9.09%22.73%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 2.59 -0.50
SD 1.74 2.20 3.07
CV 0.83 0.85 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min -1 -1 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———9.09%—22.73%31.82%
14.55%4.55%—9.09%—22.73%40.91%
2——4.55%—4.55%9.09%18.18%
3—————4.55%4.55%
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total4.55%4.55%9.09%18.18%4.55%59.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 5.59 -4.41
SD 1.37 3.46 4.07
CV 1.16 0.62 —
Max 6 13 +4
Min 0 0 -11

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0————9.09%4.55%13.64%
14.55%9.09%—9.09%——22.73%
24.55%4.55%—4.55%4.55%4.55%22.73%
3—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
4———13.64%——13.64%
5+9.09%—4.55%———13.64%
Total18.18%22.73%4.55%31.82%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.41 2.32 +0.09
SD 1.84 1.73 2.94
CV 0.76 0.75 —
Max 7 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%4.55%4.55%40.91%59.09%
1——4.55%——9.09%13.64%
2—4.55%4.55%——9.09%18.18%
3———————
4———————
5+———4.55%—4.55%9.09%
Total—4.55%18.18%9.09%4.55%63.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.68 5.45 -4.77
SD 1.29 3.84 4.28
CV 1.89 0.70 —
Max 5 16 +2
Min -1 -1 -16

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
14.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
2———————
3—4.55%13.64%———18.18%
44.55%——4.55%——9.09%
5+27.27%9.09%4.55%9.09%——50.00%
Total36.36%22.73%22.73%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 5.68 1.23 +4.45
SD 4.35 1.15 4.71
CV 0.77 0.94 —
Max 16 3 +16
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
1—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
24.55%4.55%18.18%4.55%9.09%—40.91%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+9.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
Total13.64%31.82%31.82%13.64%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.14 1.73 +1.41
SD 2.40 1.16 3.05
CV 0.76 0.67 —
Max 9 4 +9
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——4.55%——9.09%
1—4.55%9.09%—4.55%9.09%27.27%
2——9.09%——9.09%18.18%
3—9.09%——4.55%4.55%18.18%
44.55%————4.55%9.09%
5+4.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
Total13.64%18.18%27.27%4.55%9.09%27.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 2.91 -0.41
SD 1.74 2.37 3.33
CV 0.70 0.81 —
Max 6 8 +6
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—————13.64%13.64%
1———————
24.55%—4.55%4.55%—4.55%18.18%
34.55%13.64%—4.55%——22.73%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+13.64%9.09%4.55%—4.55%4.55%36.36%
Total22.73%27.27%13.64%9.09%4.55%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.32 2.45 +0.86
SD 2.48 3.29 5.00
CV 0.75 1.34 —
Max 9 13 +9
Min -1 -1 -13

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Ujpest 1971 37 32.97 +4.03 88.0% 24 28 31 33 35 38 41
Ferencvaros 1826 34 30.94 +3.06 83.0% 24 25 28 31 33 37 38
kispest 1789 30 22.59 +7.41 98.0% 16 17 20 23 25 27 32
Csepel 1671 32 30.10 +1.90 76.0% 20 25 28 29 32 36 41
Vasas 1663 27 26.43 +0.57 60.0% 18 21 24 26 29 31 36
ESMTK 1574 21 22.76 -1.76 37.0% 14 16 21 23 25 28 34
MTK Budapest 1517 25 27.99 -2.99 20.0% 18 20 26 28 30 34 40
Gamma FC 1485 20 19.25 +0.75 62.0% 9 13 17 19 21 26 28
Zugloi SE 1454 18 16.47 +1.53 75.0% 8 12 14 16 18 22 26
Budapesti MAVAG SK 1250 9 14.95 -5.95 6.0% 8 9 12 14 17 22 26
Ganz-MAVAG SE 1151 6 11.07 -5.07 8.0% 2 6 9 11 13 17 21
Nemzeti SC 1118 5 8.48 -3.48 19.0% 2 4 6 8 11 13 17

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 20.5% * Clear Edge: 20.5% to 27% * Strong Edge: 27% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+10.61%
No Edge
50.00%10.61%39.39%
Elo Value
Home Edge
96 Elo
0.010 goals per Elo point
042.32250
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.68 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.44+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.9
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
51%
Ujpest, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Tight Race
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.85 * Some Luck: 2.85 to 4.27 * Lucky: 4.27 to 5.69 * Wild Swing: 5.69 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.84 * Close: 0.84 to 1.26 * Off: 1.26 to 1.68 * Way Off: 1.68 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.79 points
Some Luck
03.569
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.50
Pinpoint
01.052.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
kispest
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
6.00%
Budapesti MAVAG SK
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.6 * Moderate Separation: 1.6 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65.5% * Slight Edge: 65.5% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 88.5% * Clear Edge: 88.5% to 92.5% * Strong Edge: 92.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50% * Some Drama: 50% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 20% * Frequent: 20% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.27
Lopsided
00.150.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 267.60
2.45
Wide Separation
11.61.852.152.75
Interquartile Edge
85%
Wide Edge
50%65.5%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 100%
99%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
31%
Few
0%25%100%
Blowouts
Expected
49%
Very Frequent
0%60%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.47 * Notable Separation: 0.47 to 0.53 * Lopsided: 0.53 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.45 * Some Carryover: 0.45 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.72 * Near-Lock: 0.72 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.43
Highly Predictable
00.452
Matchup Imbalance
0.55
Lopsided
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.19
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.39
Weak Carryover
00.450.590.721
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.59
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.05
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.068
Well Within Noise
00.1250.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Ujpest51.00%23.00%13.00%10.00%3.00%———————
Ferencvaros24.00%38.00%14.00%16.00%7.00%—1.00%—————
Csepel17.00%20.00%31.00%14.00%11.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%————
kispest—1.00%1.00%7.00%15.00%23.00%34.00%15.00%4.00%———
Vasas3.00%4.00%19.00%15.00%26.00%19.00%10.00%4.00%————
MTK Budapest5.00%12.00%17.00%30.00%12.00%15.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%———
ESMTK—2.00%4.00%4.00%19.00%26.00%21.00%14.00%8.00%2.00%——
Gamma FC——1.00%2.00%7.00%8.00%12.00%34.00%19.00%14.00%2.00%1.00%
Zugloi SE———1.00%—2.00%8.00%18.00%42.00%23.00%6.00%—
Budapesti MAVAG SK———1.00%—3.00%7.00%8.00%20.00%40.00%14.00%7.00%
Ganz-MAVAG SE——————1.00%2.00%5.00%16.00%45.00%31.00%
Nemzeti SC————————1.00%5.00%33.00%61.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Budapesti MAVAG SK 100%
Csepel 100%
ESMTK 100%
Ferencvaros 100%
Gamma FC 100%
Ganz-MAVAG SE 100%
MTK Budapest 100%
Nemzeti SC 100%
Ujpest 100%
Vasas 100%
Zugloi SE 100%
kispest 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1945-05-06 ESMTK FL62.2 1518 1525 51.89% 12.14% 35.96%+0.36 +0.0 0
1945-05-06 @ kispest FW62.2 1525 1518 35.96% 12.14% 51.89%-0.36 +0.0 2
1945-05-06 Ganz-MAVAG SE W 10-147.6 1537 1525 54.46% 12.14% 33.40%+0.57 +84.7 2
1945-05-06 @ Csepel L 1-1047.6 1525 1537 33.40% 12.14% 54.46%-0.57 -84.7 0
1945-05-06 Vasas L 1-263.7 1604 1509 64.29% 12.10% 23.61%+1.43 -23.0 0
1945-05-06 @ Ferencvaros W 2-163.7 1509 1604 23.61% 12.10% 64.29%-1.43 +23.0 2
1945-05-06 Zugloi SE W 4-142.6 1572 1395 71.84% 12.04% 16.12%+2.29 +15.8 2
1945-05-06 @ Gamma FC L 1-442.6 1395 1572 16.12% 12.04% 71.84%-2.29 -15.8 0
1945-05-06 Budapesti MAVAG SK L 0-752.5 1547 1422 67.31% 12.08% 20.61%+1.75 -155.0 0
1945-05-06 @ Nemzeti SC W 7-052.5 1422 1547 20.61% 12.08% 67.31%-1.75 +155.0 2
1945-05-06 MTK Budapest W 3-162.1 1611 1699 40.59% 12.14% 47.27%-0.48 +29.8 2
1945-05-06 @ Ujpest L 1-362.1 1699 1611 47.27% 12.14% 40.59%+0.48 -29.8 0
1945-05-10 Ferencvaros D 2-273.0 1622 1581 58.12% 12.13% 29.75%+0.87 -1.9 3
1945-05-10 @ Csepel D 2-273.0 1581 1622 29.75% 12.13% 58.12%-0.87 +1.9 1
1945-05-10 Nemzeti SC W 9-138.7 1525 1392 68.10% 12.08% 19.83%+1.83 +46.9 4
1945-05-10 @ ESMTK L 1-938.7 1392 1525 19.83% 12.08% 68.10%-1.83 -46.9 0
1945-05-10 Zugloi SE L 1-550.6 1441 1380 60.54% 12.12% 27.34%+1.08 -68.6 0
1945-05-10 @ Ganz-MAVAG SE W 5-150.6 1380 1441 27.34% 12.12% 60.54%-1.08 +68.6 2
1945-05-10 Vasas W 4-256.0 1518 1532 50.97% 12.14% 36.88%+0.29 +21.4 2
1945-05-10 @ kispest L 2-456.0 1532 1518 36.88% 12.14% 50.97%-0.29 -21.4 2
1945-05-10 Budapesti MAVAG SK W 5-048.7 1669 1577 63.94% 12.10% 23.95%+1.40 +43.6 2
1945-05-10 @ MTK Budapest L 0-548.7 1577 1669 23.95% 12.10% 63.94%-1.40 -43.6 2
1945-05-10 Gamma FC W 4-362.2 1641 1588 59.54% 12.12% 28.33%+0.99 +10.1 4
1945-05-10 @ Ujpest L 3-462.2 1588 1641 28.33% 12.12% 59.54%-0.99 -10.1 2
1945-05-13 Ganz-MAVAG SE W 7-138.7 1534 1372 70.59% 12.05% 17.35%+2.13 +31.6 4
1945-05-13 @ Budapesti MAVAG SK L 1-738.7 1372 1534 17.35% 12.05% 70.59%-2.13 -31.6 0
1945-05-13 kispest W 13-046.4 1620 1539 62.76% 12.11% 25.13%+1.29 +113.5 5
1945-05-13 @ Csepel L 0-1346.4 1539 1620 25.13% 12.11% 62.76%-1.29 -113.5 2
1945-05-13 Ujpest W 1-058.4 1583 1651 43.49% 12.14% 44.37%-0.26 +17.2 3
1945-05-13 @ Ferencvaros L 0-158.4 1651 1583 44.37% 12.14% 43.49%+0.26 -17.2 4
1945-05-13 ESMTK L 0-754.6 1578 1572 53.62% 12.14% 34.24%+0.50 -124.1 2
1945-05-13 @ Gamma FC W 7-054.6 1572 1578 34.24% 12.14% 53.62%-0.50 +124.1 6
1945-05-13 MTK Budapest L 0-539.9 1345 1712 11.88% 11.91% 76.21%-3.39 -22.4 0
1945-05-13 @ Nemzeti SC W 5-039.9 1712 1345 76.21% 11.91% 11.88%+3.39 +22.4 4
1945-05-13 Vasas D 2-265.0 1448 1511 44.19% 12.14% 43.66%-0.21 -0.0 3
1945-05-13 @ Zugloi SE D 2-265.0 1511 1448 43.66% 12.14% 44.19%+0.21 +0.0 3
1945-05-20 ESMTK W 2-163.9 1565 1696 34.67% 12.13% 53.20%-0.93 +19.2 6
1945-05-20 @ Budapesti MAVAG SK L 1-263.9 1696 1565 53.20% 12.13% 34.67%+0.93 -19.2 6
1945-05-20 kispest W 7-039.3 1600 1426 71.66% 12.04% 16.30%+2.26 +41.8 5
1945-05-20 @ Ferencvaros L 0-739.3 1426 1600 16.30% 12.04% 71.66%-2.26 -41.8 2
1945-05-20 Csepel L 0-446.5 1454 1734 18.26% 12.02% 69.72%-2.48 -27.4 2
1945-05-20 @ Gamma FC W 4-046.5 1734 1454 69.72% 12.02% 18.26%+2.48 +27.4 7
1945-05-20 Ujpest L 0-736.5 1323 1633 15.76% 11.99% 72.26%-2.80 -40.4 0
1945-05-20 @ Nemzeti SC W 7-036.5 1633 1323 72.26% 11.99% 15.76%+2.80 +40.4 6
1945-05-20 Ganz-MAVAG SE W 7-136.8 1511 1341 71.32% 12.04% 16.63%+2.22 +30.3 5
1945-05-20 @ Vasas L 1-736.8 1341 1511 16.63% 12.04% 71.32%-2.22 -30.4 0
1945-05-20 MTK Budapest L 3-458.0 1448 1735 17.68% 12.01% 70.31%-2.55 -6.5 3
1945-05-20 @ Zugloi SE W 4-358.0 1735 1448 70.31% 12.01% 17.68%+2.55 +6.5 6
1945-05-21 Gamma FC W 4-251.1 1761 1426 81.00% 11.83% 7.17%+3.94 +4.5 9
1945-05-21 @ Csepel L 2-451.1 1426 1761 7.17% 11.83% 81.00%-3.94 -4.5 2
1945-05-21 Budapesti MAVAG SK W 3-050.6 1677 1584 64.07% 12.10% 23.83%+1.41 +26.9 8
1945-05-21 @ ESMTK L 0-350.6 1584 1677 23.83% 12.10% 64.07%-1.41 -26.9 6
1945-05-21 Vasas L 0-935.1 1310 1541 22.88% 12.07% 65.05%-1.97 -73.0 0
1945-05-21 @ Ganz-MAVAG SE W 9-035.1 1541 1310 65.05% 12.07% 22.88%+1.97 +73.0 7
1945-05-21 Ferencvaros W 3-161.0 1384 1642 20.23% 12.04% 67.73%-2.25 +42.0 4
1945-05-21 @ kispest L 1-361.0 1642 1384 67.73% 12.04% 20.23%+2.25 -42.0 5
1945-05-21 Zugloi SE D 1-169.8 1741 1442 79.48% 11.89% 8.63%+3.57 -6.9 7
1945-05-21 @ MTK Budapest D 1-169.8 1442 1741 8.63% 11.89% 79.48%-3.57 +6.9 4
1945-05-21 Nemzeti SC W 16-033.4 1674 1282 82.98% 11.74% 5.28%+4.53 +31.1 8
1945-05-21 @ Ujpest L 0-1633.4 1282 1674 5.28% 11.74% 82.98%-4.53 -31.0 0
1945-05-27 Ferencvaros L 0-264.7 1704 1600 65.25% 12.10% 22.65%+1.53 -46.7 8
1945-05-27 @ ESMTK W 2-064.7 1600 1704 22.65% 12.10% 65.25%-1.53 +46.7 7
1945-05-27 Nemzeti SC W 6-242.9 1237 1251 51.00% 12.14% 36.85%+0.29 +37.0 2
1945-05-27 @ Ganz-MAVAG SE L 2-642.9 1251 1237 36.85% 12.14% 51.00%-0.29 -37.0 0
1945-05-27 Zugloi SE L 2-552.9 1426 1449 49.84% 12.14% 38.01%+0.21 -38.3 4
1945-05-27 @ kispest W 5-252.9 1449 1426 38.01% 12.14% 49.84%-0.21 +38.2 6
1945-05-27 Gamma FC W 4-354.4 1735 1422 80.08% 11.87% 8.05%+3.71 +3.1 9
1945-05-27 @ MTK Budapest L 3-454.4 1422 1735 8.05% 11.87% 80.08%-3.71 -3.0 2
1945-05-27 Csepel W 3-266.0 1705 1766 44.47% 12.14% 43.38%-0.19 +15.1 10
1945-05-27 @ Ujpest L 2-366.0 1766 1705 43.38% 12.14% 44.47%+0.19 -15.1 9
1945-05-27 Budapesti MAVAG SK W 8-150.3 1614 1558 60.03% 12.12% 27.85%+1.03 +56.6 9
1945-05-27 @ Vasas L 1-850.3 1558 1614 27.85% 12.12% 60.03%-1.03 -56.6 6
1945-05-31 Zugloi SE W 2-149.9 1501 1487 54.74% 12.14% 33.13%+0.59 +12.5 8
1945-05-31 @ Budapesti MAVAG SK L 1-249.9 1487 1501 33.13% 12.14% 54.74%-0.59 -12.5 6
1945-05-31 ESMTK W 6-361.4 1750 1658 64.08% 12.10% 23.82%+1.41 +18.2 11
1945-05-31 @ Csepel L 3-661.4 1658 1750 23.82% 12.10% 64.08%-1.41 -18.2 8
1945-05-31 MTK Budapest L 0-159.1 1647 1738 40.18% 12.14% 47.68%-0.51 -15.8 7
1945-05-31 @ Ferencvaros W 1-059.1 1738 1647 47.68% 12.14% 40.18%+0.51 +15.8 11
1945-05-31 Ganz-MAVAG SE W 5-239.8 1419 1274 69.11% 12.07% 18.82%+1.95 +15.8 4
1945-05-31 @ Gamma FC L 2-539.8 1274 1419 18.82% 12.07% 69.11%-1.95 -15.8 2
1945-05-31 Vasas L 0-235.1 1214 1671 7.46% 11.77% 80.77%-4.32 -6.1 0
1945-05-31 @ Nemzeti SC W 2-035.1 1671 1214 80.77% 11.77% 7.46%+4.32 +6.1 11
1945-05-31 kispest W 8-039.2 1720 1388 80.90% 11.84% 7.26%+3.91 +21.8 12
1945-05-31 @ Ujpest L 0-839.2 1388 1720 7.26% 11.84% 80.90%-3.91 -21.8 4
1945-06-03 Ujpest L 0-753.9 1639 1742 38.56% 12.14% 49.30%-0.63 -92.3 8
1945-06-03 @ ESMTK W 7-053.9 1742 1639 49.30% 12.14% 38.56%+0.63 +92.3 14
1945-06-03 Ferencvaros L 0-335.4 1259 1631 11.56% 11.91% 76.53%-3.45 -13.6 2
1945-06-03 @ Ganz-MAVAG SE W 3-035.4 1631 1259 76.53% 11.91% 11.56%+3.45 +13.6 9
1945-06-03 Budapesti MAVAG SK W 4-151.4 1366 1513 32.56% 12.12% 55.32%-1.10 +48.7 6
1945-06-03 @ kispest L 1-451.4 1513 1366 55.32% 12.12% 32.56%+1.10 -48.7 8
1945-06-03 Csepel L 2-368.4 1753 1769 50.84% 12.14% 37.02%+0.28 -17.4 11
1945-06-03 @ MTK Budapest W 3-268.4 1769 1753 37.02% 12.14% 50.84%-0.28 +17.4 13
1945-06-03 Gamma FC W 4-250.4 1677 1434 76.43% 11.97% 11.61%+2.97 +7.3 13
1945-06-03 @ Vasas L 2-450.4 1434 1677 11.61% 11.97% 76.43%-2.97 -7.3 4
1945-06-03 Nemzeti SC W 5-237.0 1474 1208 77.78% 11.94% 10.29%+3.22 +8.9 8
1945-06-03 @ Zugloi SE L 2-537.0 1208 1474 10.29% 11.94% 77.78%-3.22 -8.9 0
1945-06-09 Gamma FC L 0-151.5 1465 1427 57.71% 12.13% 30.16%+0.83 -22.0 8
1945-06-09 @ Budapesti MAVAG SK W 1-051.5 1427 1465 30.16% 12.13% 57.71%-0.83 +22.0 6
1945-06-09 Ujpest L 0-937.0 1245 1834 3.63% 11.51% 84.86%-5.71 -12.2 2
1945-06-09 @ Ganz-MAVAG SE W 9-037.0 1834 1245 84.86% 11.51% 3.63%+5.71 +12.2 16
1945-06-09 ESMTK W 7-252.8 1736 1547 72.79% 12.03% 15.19%+2.41 +19.7 13
1945-06-09 @ MTK Budapest L 2-752.8 1547 1736 15.19% 12.03% 72.79%-2.41 -19.7 8
1945-06-09 kispest L 1-735.3 1199 1415 24.53% 12.08% 63.39%-1.81 -43.6 0
1945-06-09 @ Nemzeti SC W 7-135.3 1415 1199 63.39% 12.08% 24.53%+1.81 +43.6 8
1945-06-09 Csepel D 2-276.0 1684 1786 38.65% 12.14% 49.22%-0.62 +0.7 14
1945-06-09 @ Vasas D 2-276.0 1786 1684 49.22% 12.14% 38.65%+0.62 -0.7 14
1945-06-09 Ferencvaros L 2-655.1 1483 1645 30.80% 12.11% 57.09%-1.24 -31.5 8
1945-06-09 @ Zugloi SE W 6-255.1 1645 1483 57.09% 12.11% 30.80%+1.24 +31.5 11
1945-06-10 Vasas W 3-156.1 1785 1685 64.86% 12.10% 23.04%+1.49 +15.6 16
1945-06-10 @ Csepel L 1-356.1 1685 1785 23.04% 12.10% 64.86%-1.49 -15.6 14
1945-06-10 MTK Budapest L 1-354.5 1527 1756 23.16% 12.07% 64.77%-1.94 -15.6 8
1945-06-10 @ ESMTK W 3-154.5 1756 1527 64.77% 12.07% 23.16%+1.94 +15.6 15
1945-06-10 Zugloi SE W 8-144.5 1676 1452 75.28% 11.99% 12.73%+2.78 +27.2 13
1945-06-10 @ Ferencvaros L 1-844.5 1452 1676 12.73% 11.99% 75.28%-2.78 -27.2 8
1945-06-10 Budapesti MAVAG SK W 5-040.7 1449 1443 53.74% 12.14% 34.12%+0.51 +60.2 8
1945-06-10 @ Gamma FC L 0-540.7 1443 1449 34.12% 12.14% 53.74%-0.51 -60.2 8
1945-06-10 Nemzeti SC D 2-257.7 1458 1156 79.62% 11.88% 8.50%+3.60 -5.1 9
1945-06-10 @ kispest D 2-257.7 1156 1458 8.50% 11.88% 79.62%-3.60 +5.2 1
1945-06-10 Ganz-MAVAG SE W 13-238.4 1846 1233 87.22% 11.24% 1.54%+6.85 +4.2 18
1945-06-10 @ Ujpest L 2-1338.4 1233 1846 1.54% 11.24% 87.22%-6.85 -4.2 2
1945-06-16 Ujpest L 0-457.4 1771 1850 41.83% 12.14% 46.03%-0.38 -58.5 15
1945-06-16 @ MTK Budapest W 4-057.4 1850 1771 46.03% 12.14% 41.83%+0.38 +58.5 20
1945-06-16 Gamma FC W 3-151.4 1425 1509 41.04% 12.14% 46.82%-0.44 +29.5 10
1945-06-16 @ Zugloi SE L 1-351.4 1509 1425 46.82% 12.14% 41.04%+0.44 -29.5 8
1945-06-17 Nemzeti SC L 1-253.6 1383 1161 75.10% 11.99% 12.90%+2.76 -27.0 8
1945-06-17 @ Budapesti MAVAG SK W 2-153.6 1161 1383 12.90% 11.99% 75.10%-2.76 +27.0 3
1945-06-17 kispest L 0-253.7 1512 1453 60.23% 12.12% 27.64%+1.05 -43.2 8
1945-06-17 @ ESMTK W 2-053.7 1453 1512 27.64% 12.12% 60.23%-1.05 +43.1 11
1945-06-17 Csepel L 1-341.9 1229 1801 3.98% 11.54% 84.47%-5.54 -2.8 2
1945-06-17 @ Ganz-MAVAG SE W 3-141.9 1801 1229 84.47% 11.54% 3.98%+5.54 +2.8 18
1945-06-17 Ferencvaros D 2-275.4 1669 1703 48.28% 12.14% 39.58%+0.09 -0.6 15
1945-06-17 @ Vasas D 2-275.4 1703 1669 39.58% 12.14% 48.28%-0.09 +0.6 14
1945-06-23 Zugloi SE W 2-149.8 1804 1454 81.58% 11.81% 6.61%+4.09 +2.7 20
1945-06-23 @ Csepel L 1-249.8 1454 1804 6.61% 11.81% 81.58%-4.09 -2.7 10
1945-06-23 Ganz-MAVAG SE W 6-132.8 1469 1226 76.45% 11.97% 11.59%+2.98 +18.2 10
1945-06-23 @ ESMTK L 1-632.8 1226 1469 11.59% 11.97% 76.45%-2.98 -18.2 2
1945-06-23 Budapesti MAVAG SK W 5-038.4 1704 1356 81.52% 11.81% 6.67%+4.08 +12.8 16
1945-06-23 @ Ferencvaros L 0-538.4 1356 1704 6.67% 11.81% 81.52%-4.08 -12.8 8
1945-06-23 Nemzeti SC W 5-028.4 1480 1188 79.11% 11.90% 8.99%+3.49 +17.2 10
1945-06-23 @ Gamma FC L 0-528.4 1188 1480 8.99% 11.90% 79.11%-3.49 -17.2 3
1945-06-23 MTK Budapest W 3-165.3 1496 1713 24.41% 12.08% 63.51%-1.82 +39.4 13
1945-06-23 @ kispest L 1-365.3 1713 1496 63.51% 12.08% 24.41%+1.82 -39.4 15
1945-06-23 Vasas D 1-173.6 1909 1669 76.28% 11.97% 11.75%+2.95 -6.2 21
1945-06-23 @ Ujpest D 1-173.6 1669 1909 11.75% 11.97% 76.28%-2.95 +6.2 16
1945-06-24 Gamma FC FL52.2 1171 1497 14.59% 11.97% 73.44%-2.96 +0.0 3
1945-06-24 @ Nemzeti SC FW52.2 1497 1171 73.44% 11.97% 14.59%+2.96 +0.0 12
1945-06-24 Ferencvaros L 0-341.5 1343 1717 11.48% 11.91% 76.61%-3.46 -13.5 8
1945-06-24 @ Budapesti MAVAG SK W 3-041.5 1717 1343 76.61% 11.91% 11.48%+3.46 +13.5 18
1945-06-24 ESMTK L 2-440.3 1208 1487 18.32% 12.02% 69.66%-2.47 -11.2 2
1945-06-24 @ Ganz-MAVAG SE W 4-240.3 1487 1208 69.66% 12.02% 18.32%+2.47 +11.2 12
1945-06-24 kispest L 0-660.9 1673 1536 68.51% 12.07% 19.42%+1.88 -136.3 15
1945-06-24 @ MTK Budapest W 6-060.9 1536 1673 19.42% 12.07% 68.51%-1.88 +136.3 15
1945-06-24 Ujpest L 2-360.2 1675 1903 23.22% 12.07% 64.71%-1.94 -8.6 16
1945-06-24 @ Vasas W 3-260.2 1903 1675 64.71% 12.07% 23.22%+1.94 +8.6 23
1945-06-24 Csepel L 2-652.6 1451 1807 12.63% 11.93% 75.44%-3.27 -13.7 10
1945-06-24 @ Zugloi SE W 6-252.6 1807 1451 75.44% 11.93% 12.63%+3.27 +13.7 22
1945-06-28 kispest L 0-538.3 1329 1672 13.44% 11.95% 74.61%-3.14 -25.3 8
1945-06-28 @ Budapesti MAVAG SK W 5-038.3 1672 1329 74.61% 11.95% 13.44%+3.14 +25.3 17
1945-06-28 MTK Budapest L 0-269.2 1820 1537 78.67% 11.91% 9.41%+3.40 -56.7 22
1945-06-28 @ Csepel W 2-069.2 1537 1820 9.41% 11.91% 78.67%-3.40 +56.7 17
1945-06-28 Ganz-MAVAG SE W 11-031.2 1730 1196 86.15% 11.44% 2.41%+6.02 +9.9 20
1945-06-28 @ Ferencvaros L 0-1131.2 1196 1730 2.41% 11.44% 86.15%-6.02 -9.9 2
1945-06-28 Vasas W 1-060.9 1497 1666 29.80% 12.11% 58.09%-1.33 +22.1 14
1945-06-28 @ Gamma FC L 0-160.9 1666 1497 58.09% 12.11% 29.80%+1.33 -22.1 16
1945-06-28 Zugloi SE L 0-431.8 1171 1438 19.41% 12.03% 68.56%-2.35 -29.0 3
1945-06-28 @ Nemzeti SC W 4-031.8 1438 1171 68.56% 12.03% 19.41%+2.35 +29.0 12
1945-06-28 ESMTK W 1-048.4 1911 1498 83.62% 11.69% 4.68%+4.76 +2.1 25
1945-06-28 @ Ujpest L 0-148.4 1498 1911 4.68% 11.69% 83.62%-4.76 -2.0 12
1945-07-01 Csepel L 2-654.7 1496 1763 19.36% 12.03% 68.61%-2.35 -20.5 12
1945-07-01 @ ESMTK W 6-254.7 1763 1496 68.61% 12.03% 19.36%+2.35 +20.5 24
1945-07-01 Gamma FC D 2-258.6 1186 1519 14.13% 11.96% 73.91%-3.03 +4.3 3
1945-07-01 @ Ganz-MAVAG SE D 2-258.6 1519 1186 73.91% 11.96% 14.13%+3.03 -4.3 15
1945-07-01 Ujpest W 3-168.6 1697 1913 24.45% 12.08% 63.47%-1.81 +39.3 19
1945-07-01 @ kispest L 1-368.6 1913 1697 63.47% 12.08% 24.45%+1.81 -39.4 25
1945-07-01 Ferencvaros L 0-453.3 1594 1740 32.72% 12.12% 55.16%-1.08 -47.0 17
1945-07-01 @ MTK Budapest W 4-053.3 1740 1594 55.16% 12.12% 32.72%+1.08 +47.0 22
1945-07-01 Nemzeti SC W 6-027.8 1644 1142 85.63% 11.51% 2.87%+5.69 +6.6 18
1945-07-01 @ Vasas L 0-627.8 1142 1644 2.87% 11.51% 85.63%-5.69 -6.6 3
1945-07-07 Csepel L 0-242.0 1304 1784 6.58% 11.73% 81.69%-4.57 -5.4 8
1945-07-07 @ Budapesti MAVAG SK W 2-042.0 1784 1304 81.69% 11.73% 6.58%+4.57 +5.4 26
1945-07-07 kispest L 2-655.9 1515 1737 23.83% 12.07% 64.09%-1.87 -24.9 15
1945-07-07 @ Gamma FC W 6-255.9 1737 1515 64.09% 12.07% 23.83%+1.87 +24.9 21
1945-07-07 MTK Budapest L 1-335.9 1191 1547 12.56% 11.93% 75.51%-3.28 -8.8 3
1945-07-07 @ Ganz-MAVAG SE W 3-135.9 1547 1191 75.51% 11.93% 12.56%+3.28 +8.8 19
1945-07-07 Ferencvaros L 0-1031.0 1135 1787 2.57% 11.36% 86.07%-6.36 -9.6 3
1945-07-07 @ Nemzeti SC W 10-031.0 1787 1135 86.07% 11.36% 2.57%+6.36 +9.6 24
1945-07-07 ESMTK L 2-468.9 1651 1475 71.75% 12.04% 16.21%+2.27 -39.9 18
1945-07-07 @ Vasas W 4-268.9 1475 1651 16.21% 12.04% 71.75%-2.27 +39.9 14
1945-07-07 Ujpest L 3-557.5 1467 1874 9.66% 11.86% 78.48%-3.81 -5.8 12
1945-07-07 @ Zugloi SE W 5-357.5 1874 1467 78.48% 11.86% 9.66%+3.81 +5.8 27
1945-07-08 Budapesti MAVAG SK W 8-037.2 1789 1299 85.40% 11.54% 3.06%+5.57 +9.2 28
1945-07-08 @ Csepel L 0-837.2 1299 1789 3.06% 11.54% 85.40%-5.57 -9.2 8
1945-07-08 Vasas L 1-356.0 1515 1611 39.49% 12.14% 48.37%-0.56 -25.4 14
1945-07-08 @ ESMTK W 3-156.0 1611 1515 48.37% 12.14% 39.49%+0.56 +25.4 20
1945-07-08 Nemzeti SC W 9-030.4 1797 1126 87.80% 11.08% 1.12%+7.45 +3.8 26
1945-07-08 @ Ferencvaros L 0-930.4 1126 1797 1.12% 11.08% 87.80%-7.45 -3.8 3
1945-07-08 Gamma FC D 3-377.2 1762 1490 78.08% 11.93% 9.99%+3.28 -4.1 22
1945-07-08 @ kispest D 3-377.2 1490 1762 9.99% 11.93% 78.08%-3.28 +4.1 16
1945-07-08 Ganz-MAVAG SE D 1-156.3 1556 1182 82.42% 11.77% 5.81%+4.34 -7.5 20
1945-07-08 @ MTK Budapest D 1-156.3 1182 1556 5.81% 11.77% 82.42%-4.34 +7.5 4
1945-07-08 Zugloi SE W 7-146.7 1880 1461 83.77% 11.68% 4.55%+4.81 +8.6 29
1945-07-08 @ Ujpest L 1-746.7 1461 1880 4.55% 11.68% 83.77%-4.81 -8.6 12
1945-07-15 Ujpest L 1-1057.3 1799 1888 40.32% 12.14% 47.54%-0.50 -100.1 28
1945-07-15 @ Csepel W 10-157.3 1888 1799 47.54% 12.14% 40.32%+0.50 +100.1 31
1945-07-15 ESMTK W 2-047.3 1800 1490 79.97% 11.87% 8.15%+3.68 +6.7 28
1945-07-15 @ Ferencvaros L 0-247.3 1490 1800 8.15% 11.87% 79.97%-3.68 -6.7 14
1945-07-15 MTK Budapest W 4-257.3 1494 1548 45.42% 12.14% 42.44%-0.12 +24.2 18
1945-07-15 @ Gamma FC L 2-457.3 1548 1494 42.44% 12.14% 45.42%+0.12 -24.2 20
1945-07-15 Ganz-MAVAG SE W 5-349.6 1122 1189 43.48% 12.14% 44.37%-0.26 +23.8 5
1945-07-15 @ Nemzeti SC L 3-549.6 1189 1122 44.37% 12.14% 43.48%+0.26 -23.8 4
1945-07-15 kispest L 4-561.0 1452 1757 16.18% 11.99% 71.82%-2.74 -5.9 12
1945-07-15 @ Zugloi SE W 5-461.0 1757 1452 71.82% 11.99% 16.18%+2.74 +5.9 24
1945-07-18 Budapesti MAVAG SK W 3-137.5 1447 1289 70.23% 12.06% 17.71%+2.08 +12.2 14
1945-07-18 @ Zugloi SE L 1-337.5 1289 1447 17.71% 12.06% 70.23%-2.08 -12.2 8
1945-07-22 Gamma FC W 5-150.3 1483 1518 48.12% 12.14% 39.74%+0.08 +46.6 16
1945-07-22 @ ESMTK L 1-550.3 1518 1483 39.74% 12.14% 48.12%-0.08 -46.6 18
1945-07-22 Budapesti MAVAG SK W 1-043.5 1166 1277 37.30% 12.13% 50.56%-0.72 +19.4 6
1945-07-22 @ Ganz-MAVAG SE L 0-143.5 1277 1166 50.56% 12.13% 37.30%+0.72 -19.4 8
1945-07-22 Csepel W 5-155.8 1763 1698 60.98% 12.12% 26.91%+1.12 +32.8 26
1945-07-22 @ kispest L 1-555.8 1698 1763 26.91% 12.12% 60.98%-1.12 -32.8 28
1945-07-22 Nemzeti SC W 2-133.6 1524 1146 82.57% 11.76% 5.67%+4.39 +2.3 22
1945-07-22 @ MTK Budapest L 1-233.6 1146 1524 5.67% 11.76% 82.57%-4.39 -2.3 5
1945-07-22 Ferencvaros W 3-258.2 1989 1807 72.22% 12.03% 15.74%+2.34 +6.0 33
1945-07-22 @ Ujpest L 2-358.2 1807 1989 15.74% 12.03% 72.22%-2.34 -6.0 28
1945-07-22 Zugloi SE D 2-270.0 1636 1459 71.92% 12.04% 16.04%+2.30 -4.0 21
1945-07-22 @ Vasas D 2-270.0 1459 1636 16.04% 12.04% 71.92%-2.30 +4.0 15
1945-07-26 Vasas D 1-159.9 1258 1633 11.43% 11.90% 76.66%-3.47 +6.3 9
1945-07-26 @ Budapesti MAVAG SK D 1-159.9 1633 1258 76.66% 11.90% 11.43%+3.47 -6.3 22
1945-07-29 MTK Budapest L 3-446.2 1264 1526 19.85% 12.04% 68.11%-2.29 -7.2 9
1945-07-29 @ Budapesti MAVAG SK W 4-346.2 1526 1264 68.11% 12.04% 19.85%+2.29 +7.2 24
1945-07-29 Csepel W 2-155.7 1801 1666 68.30% 12.07% 19.63%+1.86 +7.7 30
1945-07-29 @ Ferencvaros L 1-255.7 1666 1801 19.63% 12.07% 68.30%-1.86 -7.7 28
1945-07-29 Ujpest W 2-174.6 1472 1995 5.22% 11.65% 83.13%-5.02 +30.1 20
1945-07-29 @ Gamma FC L 1-274.6 1995 1472 83.13% 11.65% 5.22%+5.02 -30.0 33
1945-07-29 ESMTK L 0-330.7 1143 1530 10.76% 11.89% 77.36%-3.59 -12.7 5
1945-07-29 @ Nemzeti SC W 3-030.7 1530 1143 77.36% 11.89% 10.76%+3.59 +12.7 18
1945-07-29 kispest W 3-270.1 1626 1796 29.75% 12.11% 58.14%-1.33 +19.8 24
1945-07-29 @ Vasas L 2-370.1 1796 1626 58.14% 12.11% 29.75%+1.33 -19.8 26
1945-07-29 Ganz-MAVAG SE W 6-027.9 1463 1185 78.40% 11.92% 9.68%+3.34 +21.9 17
1945-07-29 @ Zugloi SE L 0-627.9 1185 1463 9.68% 11.92% 78.40%-3.34 -21.9 6
1945-08-01 Ujpest L 0-740.5 1257 1964 1.88% 11.22% 86.90%-6.95 -5.0 9
1945-08-01 @ Budapesti MAVAG SK W 7-040.5 1964 1257 86.90% 11.22% 1.88%+6.95 +5.0 35
1945-08-04 Ferencvaros L 0-151.0 1502 1809 16.02% 11.99% 71.99%-2.77 -6.8 20
1945-08-04 @ Gamma FC W 1-051.0 1809 1502 71.99% 11.99% 16.02%+2.77 +6.8 32
1945-08-04 kispest L 0-931.8 1163 1776 3.18% 11.45% 85.37%-5.96 -10.7 6
1945-08-04 @ Ganz-MAVAG SE W 9-031.8 1776 1163 85.37% 11.45% 3.18%+5.96 +10.7 28
1945-08-04 Csepel L 0-231.8 1131 1658 5.10% 11.64% 83.26%-5.06 -4.2 5
1945-08-04 @ Nemzeti SC W 2-031.8 1658 1131 83.26% 11.64% 5.10%+5.06 +4.2 30
1945-08-04 MTK Budapest W 5-254.7 1646 1533 66.10% 12.09% 21.81%+1.62 +18.1 26
1945-08-04 @ Vasas L 2-554.7 1533 1646 21.81% 12.09% 66.10%-1.62 -18.1 24
1945-08-04 ESMTK D 0-062.8 1485 1543 44.87% 12.14% 42.99%-0.16 -0.2 18
1945-08-04 @ Zugloi SE D 0-062.8 1543 1485 42.99% 12.14% 44.87%+0.16 +0.2 19
1945-08-05 Nemzeti SC W 10-027.2 1662 1126 86.18% 11.43% 2.38%+6.04 +8.9 32
1945-08-05 @ Csepel L 0-1027.2 1126 1662 2.38% 11.43% 86.18%-6.04 -8.9 5
1945-08-05 Zugloi SE W 3-045.3 1543 1484 60.21% 12.12% 27.67%+1.05 +30.9 21
1945-08-05 @ ESMTK L 0-345.3 1484 1543 27.67% 12.12% 60.21%-1.05 -30.9 18
1945-08-05 Gamma FC W 5-148.8 1816 1495 80.42% 11.86% 7.72%+3.79 +10.0 34
1945-08-05 @ Ferencvaros L 1-548.8 1495 1816 7.72% 11.86% 80.42%-3.79 -10.0 20
1945-08-05 Ganz-MAVAG SE W 3-033.8 1787 1152 87.45% 11.18% 1.37%+7.07 +1.6 30
1945-08-05 @ kispest L 0-333.8 1152 1787 1.37% 11.18% 87.45%-7.07 -1.6 6
1945-08-05 Vasas D 3-375.7 1515 1664 32.38% 12.12% 55.50%-1.11 +1.3 25
1945-08-05 @ MTK Budapest D 3-375.7 1664 1515 55.50% 12.12% 32.38%+1.11 -1.3 27
1945-08-05 Budapesti MAVAG SK W 12-344.0 1969 1252 88.19% 10.95% 0.86%+7.93 +1.7 37
1945-08-05 @ Ujpest L 3-1244.0 1252 1969 0.86% 10.95% 88.19%-7.93 -1.7 9

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1945-07-29 5.22% @ Gamma FC 1472 2 Ujpest 1995 1
2 1945-06-28 9.41% MTK Budapest 1537 2 @ Csepel 1820 0
3 1945-06-17 12.90% Nemzeti SC 1161 2 @ Budapesti MAVAG SK 1383 1
4 1945-07-07 16.21% ESMTK 1475 4 @ Vasas 1651 2
5 1945-06-24 19.42% kispest 1536 6 @ MTK Budapest 1673 0
6 1945-05-21 20.23% @ kispest 1384 3 Ferencvaros 1642 1
7 1945-05-06 20.61% Budapesti MAVAG SK 1422 7 @ Nemzeti SC 1547 0
8 1945-05-27 22.65% Ferencvaros 1600 2 @ ESMTK 1704 0
9 1945-05-06 23.61% Vasas 1509 2 @ Ferencvaros 1604 1
10 1945-06-23 24.41% @ kispest 1496 3 MTK Budapest 1713 1
11 1945-07-01 24.45% @ kispest 1697 3 Ujpest 1913 1
12 1945-05-10 27.34% Zugloi SE 1380 5 @ Ganz-MAVAG SE 1441 1
13 1945-06-17 27.64% kispest 1453 2 @ ESMTK 1512 0
14 1945-07-29 29.75% @ Vasas 1626 3 kispest 1796 2
15 1945-06-28 29.80% @ Gamma FC 1497 1 Vasas 1666 0
16 1945-06-09 30.16% Gamma FC 1427 1 @ Budapesti MAVAG SK 1465 0
17 1945-06-03 32.56% @ kispest 1366 4 Budapesti MAVAG SK 1513 1
18 1945-05-13 34.24% ESMTK 1572 7 @ Gamma FC 1578 0
19 1945-05-20 34.67% @ Budapesti MAVAG SK 1565 2 ESMTK 1696 1
20 1945-06-03 37.02% Csepel 1769 3 @ MTK Budapest 1753 2
21 1945-07-22 37.30% @ Ganz-MAVAG SE 1166 1 Budapesti MAVAG SK 1277 0
22 1945-05-27 38.01% Zugloi SE 1449 5 @ kispest 1426 2
23 1945-05-06 40.59% @ Ujpest 1611 3 MTK Budapest 1699 1
24 1945-06-16 41.04% @ Zugloi SE 1425 3 Gamma FC 1509 1
25 1945-07-15 43.48% @ Nemzeti SC 1122 5 Ganz-MAVAG SE 1189 3

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1945-05-06 154.97 Budapesti MAVAG SK 7 1422 20.61% @ Nemzeti SC 0 1547 67.31% 12.08%
2 1945-06-24 136.32 kispest 6 1536 19.42% @ MTK Budapest 0 1673 68.51% 12.07%
3 1945-05-13 124.10 ESMTK 7 1572 34.24% @ Gamma FC 0 1578 53.62% 12.14%
4 1945-05-13 113.49 @ Csepel 13 1620 62.76% kispest 0 1539 25.13% 12.11%
5 1945-07-15 100.15 Ujpest 10 1888 47.54% @ Csepel 1 1799 40.32% 12.14%
6 1945-06-03 92.27 Ujpest 7 1742 49.30% @ ESMTK 0 1639 38.56% 12.14%
7 1945-05-06 84.65 @ Csepel 10 1537 54.46% Ganz-MAVAG SE 1 1525 33.40% 12.14%
8 1945-05-21 72.98 Vasas 9 1541 65.05% @ Ganz-MAVAG SE 0 1310 22.88% 12.07%
9 1945-05-10 68.57 Zugloi SE 5 1380 27.34% @ Ganz-MAVAG SE 1 1441 60.54% 12.12%
10 1945-06-10 60.16 @ Gamma FC 5 1449 53.74% Budapesti MAVAG SK 0 1443 34.12% 12.14%
11 1945-06-16 58.53 Ujpest 4 1850 46.03% @ MTK Budapest 0 1771 41.83% 12.14%
12 1945-06-28 56.74 MTK Budapest 2 1537 9.41% @ Csepel 0 1820 78.67% 11.91%
13 1945-05-27 56.63 @ Vasas 8 1614 60.03% Budapesti MAVAG SK 1 1558 27.85% 12.12%
14 1945-06-03 48.68 @ kispest 4 1366 32.56% Budapesti MAVAG SK 1 1513 55.32% 12.12%
15 1945-07-01 46.99 Ferencvaros 4 1740 55.16% @ MTK Budapest 0 1594 32.72% 12.12%
16 1945-05-10 46.89 @ ESMTK 9 1525 68.10% Nemzeti SC 1 1392 19.83% 12.08%
17 1945-05-27 46.72 Ferencvaros 2 1600 22.65% @ ESMTK 0 1704 65.25% 12.10%
18 1945-07-22 46.61 @ ESMTK 5 1483 48.12% Gamma FC 1 1518 39.74% 12.14%
19 1945-06-09 43.63 kispest 7 1415 63.39% @ Nemzeti SC 1 1199 24.53% 12.08%
20 1945-05-10 43.58 @ MTK Budapest 5 1669 63.94% Budapesti MAVAG SK 0 1577 23.95% 12.10%
21 1945-06-17 43.15 kispest 2 1453 27.64% @ ESMTK 0 1512 60.23% 12.12%
22 1945-05-21 42.00 @ kispest 3 1384 20.23% Ferencvaros 1 1642 67.73% 12.04%
23 1945-05-20 41.78 @ Ferencvaros 7 1600 71.66% kispest 0 1426 16.30% 12.04%
24 1945-05-20 40.43 Ujpest 7 1633 72.26% @ Nemzeti SC 0 1323 15.76% 11.99%
25 1945-07-07 39.88 ESMTK 4 1475 16.21% @ Vasas 2 1651 71.75% 12.04%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1945-07-08 77.2 @ kispest 3 1762 78.08% Gamma FC 3 1490 9.99% 11.93%
2 1945-06-09 76.0 @ Vasas 2 1684 38.65% Csepel 2 1786 49.22% 12.14%
3 1945-08-05 75.7 @ MTK Budapest 3 1515 32.38% Vasas 3 1664 55.50% 12.12%
4 1945-06-17 75.4 @ Vasas 2 1669 48.28% Ferencvaros 2 1703 39.58% 12.14%
5 1945-07-29 74.6 @ Gamma FC 2 1472 5.22% Ujpest 1 1995 83.13% 11.65%
6 1945-06-23 73.6 @ Ujpest 1 1909 76.28% Vasas 1 1669 11.75% 11.97%
7 1945-05-10 73.0 @ Csepel 2 1622 58.12% Ferencvaros 2 1581 29.75% 12.13%
8 1945-07-29 70.1 @ Vasas 3 1626 29.75% kispest 2 1796 58.14% 12.11%
9 1945-07-22 70.0 @ Vasas 2 1636 71.92% Zugloi SE 2 1459 16.04% 12.04%
10 1945-05-21 69.8 @ MTK Budapest 1 1741 79.48% Zugloi SE 1 1442 8.63% 11.89%
11 1945-06-28 69.2 MTK Budapest 2 1537 9.41% @ Csepel 0 1820 78.67% 11.91%
12 1945-07-07 68.9 ESMTK 4 1475 16.21% @ Vasas 2 1651 71.75% 12.04%
13 1945-07-01 68.6 @ kispest 3 1697 24.45% Ujpest 1 1913 63.47% 12.08%
14 1945-06-03 68.4 Csepel 3 1769 37.02% @ MTK Budapest 2 1753 50.84% 12.14%
15 1945-05-27 66.0 @ Ujpest 3 1705 44.47% Csepel 2 1766 43.38% 12.14%
16 1945-06-23 65.3 @ kispest 3 1496 24.41% MTK Budapest 1 1713 63.51% 12.08%
17 1945-05-13 65.0 @ Zugloi SE 2 1448 44.19% Vasas 2 1511 43.66% 12.14%
18 1945-05-27 64.7 Ferencvaros 2 1600 22.65% @ ESMTK 0 1704 65.25% 12.10%
19 1945-05-20 63.9 @ Budapesti MAVAG SK 2 1565 34.67% ESMTK 1 1696 53.20% 12.13%
20 1945-05-06 63.7 Vasas 2 1509 23.61% @ Ferencvaros 1 1604 64.29% 12.10%
21 1945-08-04 62.8 @ Zugloi SE 0 1485 44.87% ESMTK 0 1543 42.99% 12.14%
22 1945-05-10 62.2 @ Ujpest 4 1641 59.54% Gamma FC 3 1588 28.33% 12.12%
23 1945-05-06 62.1 @ Ujpest 3 1611 40.59% MTK Budapest 1 1699 47.27% 12.14%
24 1945-05-31 61.4 @ Csepel 6 1750 64.08% ESMTK 3 1658 23.82% 12.10%
25 1945-05-21 61.0 @ kispest 3 1384 20.23% Ferencvaros 1 1642 67.73% 12.04%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1945-08-05 27.2 @ Csepel 10 1662 86.18% Nemzeti SC 0 1126 2.38% 11.43%
2 1945-07-01 27.8 @ Vasas 6 1644 85.63% Nemzeti SC 0 1142 2.87% 11.51%
3 1945-07-29 27.9 @ Zugloi SE 6 1463 78.40% Ganz-MAVAG SE 0 1185 9.68% 11.92%
4 1945-06-23 28.4 @ Gamma FC 5 1480 79.11% Nemzeti SC 0 1188 8.99% 11.90%
5 1945-07-08 30.4 @ Ferencvaros 9 1797 87.80% Nemzeti SC 0 1126 1.12% 11.08%
6 1945-07-29 30.7 ESMTK 3 1530 77.36% @ Nemzeti SC 0 1143 10.76% 11.89%
7 1945-07-07 31.0 Ferencvaros 10 1787 86.07% @ Nemzeti SC 0 1135 2.57% 11.36%
8 1945-06-28 31.2 @ Ferencvaros 11 1730 86.15% Ganz-MAVAG SE 0 1196 2.41% 11.44%
9 1945-06-28 31.8 Zugloi SE 4 1438 68.56% @ Nemzeti SC 0 1171 19.41% 12.03%
10 1945-08-04 31.8 kispest 9 1776 85.37% @ Ganz-MAVAG SE 0 1163 3.18% 11.45%
11 1945-08-04 31.8 Csepel 2 1658 83.26% @ Nemzeti SC 0 1131 5.10% 11.64%
12 1945-06-23 32.8 @ ESMTK 6 1469 76.45% Ganz-MAVAG SE 1 1226 11.59% 11.97%
13 1945-05-21 33.4 @ Ujpest 16 1674 82.98% Nemzeti SC 0 1282 5.28% 11.74%
14 1945-07-22 33.6 @ MTK Budapest 2 1524 82.57% Nemzeti SC 1 1146 5.67% 11.76%
15 1945-08-05 33.8 @ kispest 3 1787 87.45% Ganz-MAVAG SE 0 1152 1.37% 11.18%
16 1945-05-21 35.1 Vasas 9 1541 65.05% @ Ganz-MAVAG SE 0 1310 22.88% 12.07%
17 1945-05-31 35.1 Vasas 2 1671 80.77% @ Nemzeti SC 0 1214 7.46% 11.77%
18 1945-06-09 35.3 kispest 7 1415 63.39% @ Nemzeti SC 1 1199 24.53% 12.08%
19 1945-06-03 35.4 Ferencvaros 3 1631 76.53% @ Ganz-MAVAG SE 0 1259 11.56% 11.91%
20 1945-07-07 35.9 MTK Budapest 3 1547 75.51% @ Ganz-MAVAG SE 1 1191 12.56% 11.93%
21 1945-05-20 36.5 Ujpest 7 1633 72.26% @ Nemzeti SC 0 1323 15.76% 11.99%
22 1945-05-20 36.8 @ Vasas 7 1511 71.32% Ganz-MAVAG SE 1 1341 16.63% 12.04%
23 1945-06-03 37.0 @ Zugloi SE 5 1474 77.78% Nemzeti SC 2 1208 10.29% 11.94%
24 1945-06-09 37.0 Ujpest 9 1834 84.86% @ Ganz-MAVAG SE 0 1245 3.63% 11.51%
25 1945-07-08 37.2 @ Csepel 8 1789 85.40% Budapesti MAVAG SK 0 1299 3.06% 11.54%