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1970 Nemzeti Bajnokság I Season

128 games

Final

Champion

Ujpest

23 points · 11th Title

Last Title: 1969

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Diosgyor

5.54 points above expected

18 points · 12.46 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Gyor

6.84 points below expected

7 points · 13.84 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Ujpest Champion 14 11 1 2 23 37 13 +24 19.46 +3.54
2 Ferencvaros 14 8 4 2 20 17 8 +9 17.74 +2.26
3 Honved 14 8 2 4 18 26 9 +17 16.85 +1.15
4 MTK Budapest 14 8 2 4 18 19 12 +7 12.58 +5.42
5 Vasas 14 7 4 3 18 19 13 +6 17.01 +0.99
6 Diosgyor 14 7 4 3 18 16 13 +3 12.46 +5.54
7 Csepel 14 6 5 3 17 18 6 +12 15.41 +1.59
8 Pecsi MFC 14 6 4 4 16 18 11 +7 14.84 +1.16
9 Tatabanya 14 4 4 6 12 15 17 -2 13.95 -1.95
10 Dunaujvaros 14 4 4 6 12 15 22 -7 12.73 -0.73
11 Szombathelyi Haladas 14 3 5 6 11 13 22 -9 13.21 -2.21
12 Salgotarjan 14 3 4 7 10 14 25 -11 12.03 -2.03
13 Fehervar 14 3 2 9 8 16 28 -12 11.18 -3.18
14 Komlo Banyasz 14 3 2 9 8 14 26 -12 11.52 -3.52
15 Szegedi EAC 14 3 2 9 8 15 33 -18 9.19 -1.19
16 Gyor 14 3 1 10 7 9 23 -14 13.84 -6.84
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Pecsi MFC 2 2 0 0 4 9 4 +5 — —
2 Honved 2 2 0 0 4 6 2 +4 — —
3 Ujpest 2 1 1 0 3 4 3 +1 — —
4 Tatabanya 2 1 1 0 3 2 1 +1 — —
5 Fehervar 2 1 0 1 2 8 4 +4 — —
6 Vasas 2 1 0 1 2 5 2 +3 — —
7 Komlo Banyasz 2 1 0 1 2 4 3 +1 — —
8 Gyor 2 1 0 1 2 3 3 0 — —
9 Szegedi EAC 2 1 0 1 2 3 3 0 — —
10 Salgotarjan 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 -1 — —
11 Csepel 2 1 0 1 2 2 5 -3 — —
12 Szombathelyi Haladas 2 1 0 1 2 4 8 -4 — —
13 Ferencvaros 2 0 1 1 1 3 4 -1 — —
14 Dunaujvaros 2 0 1 1 1 1 2 -1 — —
15 MTK Budapest 2 0 0 2 0 2 6 -4 — —
16 Diosgyor 2 0 0 2 0 4 9 -5 — —

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Diosgyor 18 12.46 +5.54
2 MTK Budapest 18 12.58 +5.42
3 Ujpest 23 19.46 +3.54
4 Ferencvaros 20 17.74 +2.26
5 Csepel 17 15.41 +1.59

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Gyor 7 13.84 -6.84
2 Komlo Banyasz 8 11.52 -3.52
3 Fehervar 8 11.18 -3.18
4 Szombathelyi Haladas 11 13.21 -2.21
5 Salgotarjan 10 12.03 -2.03

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 MTK Budapest 3 May 10 – May 23 1 in 88
2 Csepel 3 Mar 7 – Mar 21 1 in 62
3 Diosgyor 3 May 24 – May 31 1 in 46
4 Ujpest 5 May 6 – May 27 1 in 11
5 Vasas 3 Feb 28 – Mar 15 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tatabanya 3 May 10 – May 24 1 in 34
2 Gyor 3 Mar 29 – Apr 19 1 in 18
3 Komlo Banyasz 4 Mar 8 – Mar 28 1 in 17
4 Vasas 2 May 23 – May 27 1 in 15
5 Szegedi EAC 4 Mar 1 – Mar 22 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pecsi MFC 7 Apr 19 – May 27 1 in 36
2 Ferencvaros 10 Mar 1 – May 10 1 in 31
3 MTK Budapest 5 Apr 26 – May 23 1 in 27
4 Tatabanya 6 Mar 22 – May 6 1 in 25
5 Diosgyor 5 May 10 – May 31 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Csepel 5 Apr 25 – May 23 1 in 49
2 Szombathelyi Haladas 8 Apr 19 – May 31 1 in 39
3 Salgotarjan 7 Mar 29 – May 20 1 in 22
4 Tatabanya 5 Apr 26 – May 24 1 in 15
5 Fehervar 5 Apr 5 – May 10 1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Ujpest 2039 26 +6 7 6.4 +0.6
Honved 1955 22 +26 7 6.3 +0.7
Ferencvaros 1926 21 -11 5 5.3 -0.3
Pecsi MFC 1884 20 +43 7 4.6 +2.4
Vasas 1934 20 -9 4 5.9 -1.9
Csepel 1872 19 -5 5 4.7 +0.3
Diosgyor 1795 18 +11 6 4.5 +1.5
MTK Budapest 1824 18 +6 4 3.5 +0.5
Tatabanya 1790 15 -22 5 5.7 -0.7
Dunaujvaros 1751 13 +15 5 5.3 -0.3
Szombathelyi Haladas 1716 13 -23 4 4.6 -0.6
Salgotarjan 1746 12 +6 6 5.0 +1.0
Komlo Banyasz 1727 10 -4 5 4.5 +0.5
Fehervar 1716 10 +7 3 4.2 -1.2
Szegedi EAC 1634 10 -25 3 3.7 -0.7
Gyor 1730 9 -20 4 5.7 -1.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team CSE DIO DUN FEH FER GYO HON KB MB PM SAL SE SH TAT UJP VAS
Csepel —
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
3.42
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.45
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.50
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.91
2-0-0
3.39
1-0-1
4.07
0-1-1
3.19
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Diosgyor
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.03
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.97
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
2.77
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.66
0-1-1
1.55
0-2-0
1.93
Dunaujvaros
0-1-1
2.14
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
1.75
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.10
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.51
1-1-0
2.81
2-0-0
3.32
0-1-1
2.73
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Fehervar
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.53
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.39
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.49
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.25
0-0-2
1.49
0-1-1
1.69
Ferencvaros
1-1-0
3.11
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
3.82
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.94
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
3.35
2-0-0
3.58
1-0-1
4.40
1-1-0
3.66
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Gyor
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.59
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
3.16
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
3.13
0-0-2
2.96
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.69
1-0-1
1.60
0-0-2
2.32
Honved
0-1-1
3.07
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
3.47
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.62
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
3.07
1-0-1
3.78
2-0-0
4.22
2-0-0
3.43
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Komlo Banyasz
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.62
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.74
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.43
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-2
2.60
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.39
0-0-2
1.27
0-0-2
1.77
MTK Budapest
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.79
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
3.07
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.60
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.97
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
2.53
1-0-1
1.56
1-0-1
1.97
Pecsi MFC
0-1-1
2.65
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.05
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.21
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.49
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
1-1-0
3.14
2-0-0
3.74
1-0-1
3.14
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Salgotarjan
0-0-2
2.17
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.75
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
1.79
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.42
 —
1-1-0
3.48
1-1-0
2.70
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Szegedi EAC
1-0-1
1.51
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.24
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
1.21
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
1.37
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
1.84
0-1-1
2.08
 —
1-1-0
1.89
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Szombathelyi Haladas
1-1-0
2.38
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.83
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
1.92
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.13
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.42
0-1-1
2.86
0-1-1
3.68
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Tatabanya
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.90
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
3.31
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.88
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
3.18
0-2-0
3.03
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-2
1.74
0-1-1
2.25
Ujpest
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
4.03
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
4.10
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
3.99
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
4.33
1-0-1
4.03
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.84
 —
2-0-0
3.16
Vasas
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
3.64
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
3.89
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.25
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.80
1-0-1
3.60
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
3.31
0-0-2
2.40
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.56 +6.0
Allowed 0.76 -5.5
Differential 0.90 +3.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.81%9.38%6.64%3.91%1.56%1.17%30.47%
19.38%10.16%6.64%5.08%1.95%0.78%33.98%
26.64%6.64%3.12%0.78%—0.78%17.97%
33.91%5.08%0.78%—0.39%0.39%10.55%
41.56%1.95%—0.39%——3.91%
5+1.17%0.78%0.78%0.39%——3.12%
Total30.47%33.98%17.97%10.55%3.91%3.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.34 1.34 +0.00
SD 1.34 1.34 2.05
CV 1.00 1.00 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 128

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
025.00%12.50%——6.25%—43.75%
112.50%6.25%6.25%———25.00%
26.25%6.25%————12.50%
36.25%—————6.25%
4—6.25%————6.25%
5+6.25%—————6.25%
Total56.25%31.25%6.25%—6.25%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 0.69 +0.56
SD 1.57 1.08 2.06
CV 1.26 1.57 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%—6.25%6.25%——18.75%
131.25%18.75%—6.25%6.25%—62.50%
26.25%—————6.25%
3—————6.25%6.25%
4———————
5+——6.25%———6.25%
Total43.75%18.75%12.50%12.50%6.25%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.38 -0.12
SD 1.24 1.63 1.78
CV 0.99 1.18 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%6.25%12.50%—6.25%6.25%43.75%
16.25%18.75%12.50%———37.50%
2—6.25%————6.25%
3———————
4—12.50%————12.50%
5+———————
Total18.75%43.75%25.00%—6.25%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.50 -0.50
SD 1.32 1.37 2.13
CV 1.32 0.91 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—12.50%12.50%6.25%——31.25%
1—6.25%6.25%12.50%—6.25%31.25%
2—6.25%6.25%——6.25%18.75%
312.50%—————12.50%
4———————
5+—6.25%————6.25%
Total12.50%31.25%25.00%18.75%—12.50%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.00 -0.50
SD 1.79 1.51 2.63
CV 1.19 0.75 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%6.25%—6.25%——25.00%
118.75%18.75%————37.50%
212.50%12.50%—6.25%——31.25%
3———————
46.25%—————6.25%
5+———————
Total50.00%37.50%—12.50%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 0.75 +0.50
SD 1.06 1.00 1.55
CV 0.85 1.33 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—25.00%12.50%18.75%——56.25%
1——6.25%6.25%——12.50%
212.50%12.50%6.25%———31.25%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total12.50%37.50%25.00%25.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.75 1.62 -0.88
SD 0.93 1.02 1.67
CV 1.24 0.63 —
Max 2 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%12.50%6.25%———25.00%
112.50%6.25%6.25%———25.00%
26.25%—————6.25%
312.50%18.75%————31.25%
4—6.25%————6.25%
5+6.25%—————6.25%
Total43.75%43.75%12.50%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 0.69 +1.31
SD 1.90 0.70 2.21
CV 0.95 1.02 —
Max 7 2 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—12.50%6.25%6.25%—6.25%31.25%
1—6.25%18.75%12.50%——37.50%
26.25%6.25%6.25%———18.75%
36.25%6.25%————12.50%
4———————
5+———————
Total12.50%31.25%31.25%18.75%—6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.81 -0.69
SD 1.02 1.28 2.02
CV 0.91 0.70 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%12.50%—6.25%——31.25%
16.25%——12.50%——18.75%
218.75%12.50%—6.25%——37.50%
3—12.50%————12.50%
4———————
5+———————
Total37.50%37.50%—25.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.12 +0.19
SD 1.08 1.20 1.68
CV 0.82 1.07 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%18.75%————31.25%
16.25%12.50%—6.25%——25.00%
218.75%—————18.75%
3———————
46.25%6.25%—6.25%——18.75%
5+———6.25%——6.25%
Total43.75%37.50%—18.75%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 0.94 +0.75
SD 1.70 1.12 1.65
CV 1.01 1.20 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%12.50%———25.00%
16.25%6.25%6.25%6.25%18.75%—43.75%
26.25%12.50%12.50%———31.25%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total18.75%25.00%31.25%6.25%18.75%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.81 -0.75
SD 0.77 1.38 1.61
CV 0.73 0.76 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—12.50%12.50%6.25%6.25%6.25%43.75%
16.25%6.25%—6.25%6.25%—25.00%
2—6.25%6.25%———12.50%
3—6.25%——6.25%—12.50%
46.25%—————6.25%
5+———————
Total12.50%31.25%18.75%12.50%18.75%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 2.25 -1.12
SD 1.31 1.84 2.58
CV 1.16 0.82 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%—12.50%6.25%6.25%—31.25%
16.25%18.75%12.50%——6.25%43.75%
2—6.25%6.25%———12.50%
3—12.50%————12.50%
4———————
5+———————
Total12.50%37.50%31.25%6.25%6.25%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.88 -0.81
SD 1.00 1.71 2.17
CV 0.94 0.91 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.75%12.50%————31.25%
16.25%12.50%18.75%———37.50%
26.25%12.50%———6.25%25.00%
3—6.25%————6.25%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.25%43.75%18.75%——6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.12 -0.06
SD 0.93 1.26 1.29
CV 0.87 1.12 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——12.50%———12.50%
16.25%12.50%————18.75%
2—6.25%————6.25%
318.75%12.50%12.50%———43.75%
4———————
5+6.25%6.25%6.25%———18.75%
Total31.25%37.50%31.25%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.56 1.00 +1.56
SD 1.63 0.82 1.97
CV 0.64 0.82 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%—————6.25%
125.00%12.50%12.50%12.50%——62.50%
26.25%—6.25%———12.50%
36.25%6.25%————12.50%
46.25%—————6.25%
5+———————
Total50.00%18.75%18.75%12.50%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 0.94 +0.56
SD 1.03 1.12 1.67
CV 0.69 1.20 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 16

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Ujpest 2039 23 19.46 +3.54 91.0% 13 15 17 19 21 24 26
Honved 1955 18 16.85 +1.15 71.0% 8 12 15 17 19 22 24
Vasas 1934 18 17.01 +0.99 71.0% 10 12 15 17 19 21 23
Ferencvaros 1926 20 17.74 +2.26 83.0% 12 13 15 18 20 23 26
Pecsi MFC 1884 16 14.84 +1.16 71.0% 7 11 13 15 17 19 21
Csepel 1872 17 15.41 +1.59 76.0% 8 9 13 16 17 21 22
MTK Budapest 1824 18 12.58 +5.42 98.0% 6 8 11 12 14 17 22
Diosgyor 1795 18 12.46 +5.54 99.0% 4 8 11 13 14 17 20
Tatabanya 1790 12 13.95 -1.95 28.0% 8 9 12 14 16 18 23
Dunaujvaros 1751 12 12.73 -0.73 46.0% 6 8 11 13 14 17 20
Salgotarjan 1746 10 12.03 -2.03 32.0% 3 7 10 12 14 18 20
Gyor 1730 7 13.84 -6.84 0.0% 9 10 12 14 16 18 24
Komlo Banyasz 1727 8 11.52 -3.52 16.0% 6 7 9 11 14 16 18
Fehervar 1716 8 11.18 -3.18 17.0% 5 7 9 11 13 16 18
Szombathelyi Haladas 1716 11 13.21 -2.21 27.0% 5 9 11 13 15 18 19
Szegedi EAC 1634 8 9.19 -1.19 41.0% 3 4 7 9 11 15 17

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 20.5% * Clear Edge: 20.5% to 27% * Strong Edge: 27% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+33.59%
Strong Edge
56.25%21.09%22.66%
Elo Value
Home Edge
157 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0121.43400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.77 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.77+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.1
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
69%
Ujpest, 1st of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.21/gm
Comfortable
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.31 * Some Luck: 2.31 to 3.46 * Lucky: 3.46 to 4.61 * Wild Swing: 4.61 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.31 * Close: 2.31 to 3.47 * Off: 3.47 to 4.63 * Way Off: 4.63 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.24 points
Some Luck
02.887
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.25
Pinpoint
02.896
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
99.00%
Diosgyor
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
0.00%
Gyor
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.6 * Moderate Separation: 1.6 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65.5% * Slight Edge: 65.5% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 88.5% * Clear Edge: 88.5% to 92.5% * Strong Edge: 92.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50% * Some Drama: 50% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 20% * Frequent: 20% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.150.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 107.21
1.52
Coin-Flip Parity
11.61.852.152.75
Interquartile Edge
71%
Clear Edge
50%65.5%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
91%
Clear Edge
50%91%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Some Drama
0%53%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Frequent
0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.47 * Notable Separation: 0.47 to 0.53 * Lopsided: 0.53 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.45 * Some Carryover: 0.45 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.72 * Near-Lock: 0.72 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.542
Matchup Imbalance
0.52
Notable Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.34
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.63
Strong Carryover
00.450.590.721
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Upset-Prone
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Shaky Favorites
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.25
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.16
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.106
Well Within Noise
00.1220.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Ujpest69.00%18.00%10.00%—1.00%2.00%——
Ferencvaros38.00%28.00%13.00%11.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%—
Honved27.00%30.00%14.00%15.00%6.00%6.00%—2.00%
MTK Budapest2.00%6.00%14.00%15.00%22.00%14.00%15.00%12.00%
Vasas20.00%43.00%14.00%10.00%6.00%5.00%2.00%—
Diosgyor3.00%7.00%11.00%11.00%19.00%18.00%20.00%11.00%
Csepel15.00%18.00%28.00%10.00%9.00%10.00%8.00%2.00%
Pecsi MFC13.00%11.00%23.00%16.00%21.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%
Tatabanya3.00%11.00%18.00%24.00%15.00%15.00%7.00%7.00%
Dunaujvaros2.00%4.00%5.00%9.00%24.00%29.00%21.00%6.00%
Szombathelyi Haladas2.00%6.00%10.00%23.00%15.00%15.00%16.00%13.00%
Salgotarjan3.00%2.00%4.00%12.00%14.00%21.00%28.00%16.00%
Fehervar—5.00%7.00%4.00%15.00%17.00%22.00%30.00%
Komlo Banyasz—1.00%13.00%11.00%7.00%19.00%19.00%30.00%
Szegedi EAC—1.00%3.00%4.00%6.00%7.00%20.00%59.00%
Gyor3.00%9.00%13.00%25.00%15.00%10.00%15.00%10.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Csepel 85.00%
Diosgyor 97.00%
Dunaujvaros 98.00%
Fehervar 100%
Ferencvaros —
Gyor 97.00%
Honved 73.00%
Komlo Banyasz 100%
MTK Budapest 98.00%
Pecsi MFC 87.00%
Salgotarjan 97.00%
Szegedi EAC 100%
Szombathelyi Haladas 98.00%
Tatabanya 97.00%
Ujpest —
Vasas 80.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team Same level
Csepel 100%
Diosgyor 100%
Dunaujvaros 100%
Fehervar 100%
Ferencvaros —
Gyor 100%
Honved 100%
Komlo Banyasz 100%
MTK Budapest 100%
Pecsi MFC 100%
Salgotarjan 100%
Szegedi EAC 100%
Szombathelyi Haladas 100%
Tatabanya 100%
Ujpest —
Vasas 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1970-02-28 Diosgyor W 3-046.5 1984 1776 73.91% 19.94% 6.14%+2.09 +5.1 2
1970-02-28 @ Ujpest L 0-346.5 1776 1984 6.14% 19.94% 73.91%-2.09 -5.1 0
1970-02-28 Tatabanya W 1-053.1 1902 1807 67.80% 21.28% 10.92%+1.37 +3.3 2
1970-02-28 @ Vasas L 0-153.1 1807 1902 10.92% 21.28% 67.80%-1.37 -3.3 0
1970-03-01 Honved W 2-165.1 1774 1895 47.16% 22.37% 30.46%+0.00 +7.6 2
1970-03-01 @ Dunaujvaros L 1-265.1 1895 1774 30.46% 22.37% 47.16%+0.00 -7.6 0
1970-03-01 Gyor D 2-280.3 1767 1846 52.27% 22.33% 25.40%+0.27 -1.1 1
1970-03-01 @ Komlo Banyasz D 2-280.3 1846 1767 25.40% 22.33% 52.27%-0.27 +1.1 1
1970-03-01 Fehervar L 0-364.5 1784 1716 65.98% 21.53% 12.50%+1.20 -43.1 0
1970-03-01 @ MTK Budapest W 3-064.5 1716 1784 12.50% 21.53% 65.98%-1.20 +43.1 2
1970-03-01 Ferencvaros L 1-269.8 1789 1919 45.95% 22.37% 31.68%-0.06 -10.5 0
1970-03-01 @ Salgotarjan W 2-169.8 1919 1789 31.68% 22.37% 45.95%+0.06 +10.5 2
1970-03-01 Pecsi MFC L 3-474.8 1643 1818 39.85% 22.30% 37.85%-0.34 -8.7 0
1970-03-01 @ Szegedi EAC W 4-374.8 1818 1643 37.85% 22.30% 39.85%+0.34 +8.7 2
1970-03-01 Csepel W 1-056.5 1789 1832 56.32% 22.23% 21.45%+0.50 +6.0 2
1970-03-01 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 0-156.5 1832 1789 21.45% 22.23% 56.32%-0.50 -6.0 0
1970-03-07 Szegedi EAC W 3-046.1 1826 1634 73.18% 20.16% 6.66%+1.99 +5.6 2
1970-03-07 @ Csepel L 0-346.1 1634 1826 6.66% 20.16% 73.18%-1.99 -5.6 0
1970-03-07 Ujpest L 2-562.3 1759 1989 32.35% 22.09% 45.56%-0.69 -16.8 2
1970-03-07 @ Fehervar W 5-262.3 1989 1759 45.56% 22.09% 32.35%+0.69 +16.8 4
1970-03-07 Dunaujvaros W 2-049.2 1930 1782 70.97% 20.70% 8.33%+1.71 +4.8 4
1970-03-07 @ Ferencvaros L 0-249.2 1782 1930 8.33% 20.70% 70.97%-1.71 -4.8 2
1970-03-08 Komlo Banyasz W 1-054.9 1771 1766 61.00% 21.99% 17.01%+0.81 +4.9 2
1970-03-08 @ Diosgyor L 0-154.9 1766 1771 17.01% 21.99% 61.00%-0.81 -4.9 1
1970-03-08 Vasas L 0-361.7 1847 1905 54.71% 22.28% 23.02%+0.40 -35.8 1
1970-03-08 @ Gyor W 3-061.7 1905 1847 23.02% 22.28% 54.71%-0.40 +35.8 4
1970-03-08 Szombathelyi Haladas W 3-048.3 1888 1795 67.67% 21.30% 11.03%+1.36 +9.1 2
1970-03-08 @ Honved L 0-348.3 1795 1888 11.03% 21.30% 67.67%-1.36 -9.1 2
1970-03-08 Salgotarjan W 2-051.1 1827 1778 64.56% 21.69% 13.75%+1.08 +7.7 4
1970-03-08 @ Pecsi MFC L 0-251.1 1778 1827 13.75% 21.69% 64.56%-1.08 -7.7 0
1970-03-08 MTK Budapest D 0-069.6 1804 1741 65.65% 21.57% 12.79%+1.17 -3.4 1
1970-03-08 @ Tatabanya D 0-069.6 1741 1804 12.79% 21.57% 65.65%-1.17 +3.4 1
1970-03-14 Gyor W 2-054.2 1744 1811 53.66% 22.30% 24.04%+0.34 +12.5 3
1970-03-14 @ MTK Budapest L 0-254.2 1811 1744 24.04% 22.30% 53.66%-0.34 -12.5 1
1970-03-15 Fehervar W 2-051.2 1776 1742 63.41% 21.80% 14.80%+0.99 +8.2 4
1970-03-15 @ Diosgyor L 0-251.2 1742 1776 14.80% 21.80% 63.41%-0.99 -8.2 2
1970-03-15 Salgotarjan W 4-155.0 1777 1770 61.08% 21.98% 16.93%+0.81 +11.3 4
1970-03-15 @ Dunaujvaros L 1-455.0 1770 1777 16.93% 21.98% 61.08%-0.81 -11.3 0
1970-03-15 Csepel L 0-168.3 1834 1831 60.77% 22.00% 17.23%+0.79 -14.5 4
1970-03-15 @ Pecsi MFC W 1-068.3 1831 1834 17.23% 22.00% 60.77%-0.79 +14.5 4
1970-03-15 Honved L 1-360.9 1629 1897 27.59% 21.86% 50.55%-0.93 -12.0 0
1970-03-15 @ Szegedi EAC W 3-160.9 1897 1629 50.55% 21.86% 27.59%+0.93 +12.1 4
1970-03-15 Ferencvaros D 1-174.5 1786 1934 43.56% 22.36% 34.08%-0.17 -0.5 3
1970-03-15 @ Szombathelyi Haladas D 1-174.5 1934 1786 34.08% 22.36% 43.56%+0.17 +0.5 5
1970-03-15 Tatabanya W 2-157.2 2006 1800 73.81% 19.97% 6.21%+2.07 +1.8 6
1970-03-15 @ Ujpest L 1-257.2 1800 2006 6.21% 19.97% 73.81%-2.07 -1.8 1
1970-03-15 Komlo Banyasz W 2-048.7 1941 1761 72.64% 20.30% 7.05%+1.92 +4.0 6
1970-03-15 @ Vasas L 0-248.7 1761 1941 7.05% 20.30% 72.64%-1.92 -4.1 1
1970-03-21 Csepel L 0-266.7 1909 1846 65.63% 21.57% 12.81%+1.17 -29.5 4
1970-03-21 @ Honved W 2-066.7 1846 1909 12.81% 21.57% 65.63%-1.17 +29.5 6
1970-03-22 Pecsi MFC L 0-264.3 1788 1820 57.46% 22.18% 20.36%+0.57 -25.8 4
1970-03-22 @ Dunaujvaros W 2-064.3 1820 1788 20.36% 22.18% 57.46%-0.57 +25.8 6
1970-03-22 Szegedi EAC W 4-044.3 1935 1617 78.26% 18.27% 3.48%+2.79 +3.7 7
1970-03-22 @ Ferencvaros L 0-444.3 1617 1935 3.48% 18.27% 78.26%-2.79 -3.7 0
1970-03-22 Ujpest W 2-060.0 1799 2007 35.19% 22.19% 42.62%-0.55 +19.7 3
1970-03-22 @ Gyor L 0-260.0 2007 1799 42.62% 22.19% 35.19%+0.55 -19.8 6
1970-03-22 MTK Budapest L 1-370.8 1757 1757 60.49% 22.02% 17.49%+0.77 -23.5 1
1970-03-22 @ Komlo Banyasz W 3-170.8 1757 1757 17.49% 22.02% 60.49%-0.77 +23.5 5
1970-03-22 Szombathelyi Haladas W 2-161.7 1759 1786 57.97% 22.16% 19.87%+0.60 +5.3 2
1970-03-22 @ Salgotarjan L 1-261.7 1786 1759 19.87% 22.16% 57.97%-0.60 -5.3 3
1970-03-22 Fehervar W 2-050.5 1799 1734 65.76% 21.55% 12.69%+1.18 +7.1 3
1970-03-22 @ Tatabanya L 0-250.5 1734 1799 12.69% 21.55% 65.76%-1.18 -7.1 2
1970-03-22 Diosgyor D 1-175.1 1945 1784 71.65% 20.55% 7.80%+1.79 -3.8 7
1970-03-22 @ Vasas D 1-175.1 1784 1945 7.80% 20.55% 71.65%-1.79 +3.8 5
1970-03-28 Ferencvaros D 0-069.6 1875 1939 54.12% 22.29% 23.59%+0.37 -1.9 7
1970-03-28 @ Csepel D 0-069.6 1939 1875 23.59% 22.29% 54.12%-0.37 +1.9 8
1970-03-28 Vasas L 0-162.7 1780 1941 41.82% 22.34% 35.84%-0.25 -10.3 5
1970-03-28 @ MTK Budapest W 1-062.7 1941 1780 35.84% 22.34% 41.82%+0.25 +10.3 9
1970-03-28 Komlo Banyasz W 5-045.5 1988 1733 75.92% 19.26% 4.82%+2.39 +6.4 8
1970-03-28 @ Ujpest L 0-545.5 1733 1988 4.82% 19.26% 75.92%-2.39 -6.4 1
1970-03-29 Tatabanya D 1-174.4 1788 1806 58.84% 22.12% 19.05%+0.66 -2.2 6
1970-03-29 @ Diosgyor D 1-174.4 1806 1788 19.05% 22.12% 58.84%-0.66 +2.2 4
1970-03-29 Gyor W 3-053.1 1727 1819 50.81% 22.35% 26.83%+0.19 +19.9 4
1970-03-29 @ Fehervar L 0-353.1 1819 1727 26.83% 22.35% 50.81%-0.19 -19.9 3
1970-03-29 Honved L 0-167.3 1846 1879 57.27% 22.19% 20.54%+0.56 -13.7 6
1970-03-29 @ Pecsi MFC W 1-067.3 1879 1846 20.54% 22.19% 57.27%-0.56 +13.7 6
1970-03-29 Salgotarjan D 2-279.3 1613 1764 43.16% 22.35% 34.49%-0.19 -0.3 1
1970-03-29 @ Szegedi EAC D 2-279.3 1764 1613 34.49% 22.35% 43.16%+0.19 +0.3 3
1970-03-29 Dunaujvaros W 2-160.5 1780 1762 62.05% 21.91% 16.04%+0.88 +4.4 5
1970-03-29 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 1-260.5 1762 1780 16.04% 21.91% 62.05%-0.88 -4.4 4
1970-04-04 Szegedi EAC W 1-051.1 1758 1613 70.84% 20.73% 8.43%+1.70 +2.6 6
1970-04-04 @ Dunaujvaros L 0-151.1 1613 1758 8.43% 20.73% 70.84%-1.70 -2.6 1
1970-04-04 Tatabanya L 0-167.9 1799 1808 59.63% 22.07% 18.30%+0.71 -14.2 3
1970-04-04 @ Gyor W 1-067.9 1808 1799 18.30% 22.07% 59.63%-0.71 +14.2 6
1970-04-05 Honved W 1-054.2 1940 1893 64.46% 21.70% 13.84%+1.07 +4.1 10
1970-04-05 @ Ferencvaros L 0-154.2 1893 1940 13.84% 21.70% 64.46%-1.07 -4.1 6
1970-04-05 Fehervar W 3-050.6 1727 1747 58.61% 22.13% 19.27%+0.64 +15.1 3
1970-04-05 @ Komlo Banyasz L 0-350.6 1747 1727 19.27% 22.13% 58.61%-0.64 -15.1 4
1970-04-05 Diosgyor W 3-158.5 1770 1786 58.98% 22.11% 18.91%+0.67 +8.8 7
1970-04-05 @ MTK Budapest L 1-358.5 1786 1770 18.91% 22.11% 58.98%-0.67 -8.8 6
1970-04-05 Csepel L 0-164.7 1765 1874 48.72% 22.37% 28.90%+0.08 -11.8 3
1970-04-05 @ Salgotarjan W 1-064.7 1874 1765 28.90% 22.37% 48.72%-0.08 +11.8 9
1970-04-05 Pecsi MFC W 3-159.6 1785 1832 55.82% 22.24% 21.94%+0.47 +10.0 7
1970-04-05 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 1-359.6 1832 1785 21.94% 22.24% 55.82%-0.47 -10.0 6
1970-04-05 Ujpest L 1-370.0 1951 1994 56.34% 22.22% 21.43%+0.50 -22.0 9
1970-04-05 @ Vasas W 3-170.0 1994 1951 21.43% 22.22% 56.34%-0.50 +22.0 10
1970-04-18 Dunaujvaros W 5-047.3 1885 1761 69.66% 20.97% 9.37%+1.56 +12.5 11
1970-04-18 @ Csepel L 0-547.3 1761 1885 9.37% 20.97% 69.66%-1.56 -12.5 6
1970-04-18 MTK Budapest W 3-261.8 2016 1779 75.22% 19.52% 5.26%+2.28 +1.4 12
1970-04-18 @ Ujpest L 2-361.8 1779 2016 5.26% 19.52% 75.22%-2.28 -1.4 7
1970-04-19 Gyor W 1-055.3 1777 1785 59.81% 22.06% 18.13%+0.72 +5.2 8
1970-04-19 @ Diosgyor L 0-155.3 1785 1777 18.13% 22.06% 59.81%-0.72 -5.2 3
1970-04-19 Vasas D 2-280.4 1732 1930 36.64% 22.23% 41.13%-0.49 +0.2 5
1970-04-19 @ Fehervar D 2-280.4 1930 1732 41.13% 22.23% 36.64%+0.49 -0.2 10
1970-04-19 Salgotarjan W 4-152.4 1889 1753 70.31% 20.84% 8.85%+1.64 +6.2 8
1970-04-19 @ Honved L 1-452.4 1753 1889 8.85% 20.84% 70.31%-1.64 -6.2 3
1970-04-19 Ferencvaros D 0-069.6 1822 1945 47.00% 22.37% 30.62%-0.01 -1.0 7
1970-04-19 @ Pecsi MFC D 0-069.6 1945 1822 30.62% 22.37% 47.00%+0.01 +1.0 11
1970-04-19 Szombathelyi Haladas W 4-055.7 1610 1795 38.51% 22.28% 39.21%-0.40 +35.1 3
1970-04-19 @ Szegedi EAC L 0-455.7 1795 1610 39.21% 22.28% 38.51%+0.40 -35.1 7
1970-04-19 Komlo Banyasz W 3-156.1 1822 1742 66.87% 21.41% 11.72%+1.28 +5.7 8
1970-04-19 @ Tatabanya L 1-356.1 1742 1822 11.72% 21.41% 66.87%-1.28 -5.7 3
1970-04-25 Szombathelyi Haladas D 0-070.0 1898 1760 70.44% 20.81% 8.75%+1.65 -4.1 12
1970-04-25 @ Csepel D 0-070.0 1760 1898 8.75% 20.81% 70.44%-1.65 +4.1 8
1970-04-25 Dunaujvaros W 1-052.1 1895 1748 70.93% 20.71% 8.36%+1.71 +2.5 10
1970-04-25 @ Honved L 0-152.1 1748 1895 8.36% 20.71% 70.93%-1.71 -2.5 6
1970-04-26 Ujpest D 1-174.6 1782 2017 31.66% 22.06% 46.28%-0.72 +0.8 9
1970-04-26 @ Diosgyor D 1-174.6 2017 1782 46.28% 22.06% 31.66%+0.72 -0.8 13
1970-04-26 MTK Budapest L 0-166.6 1732 1777 56.05% 22.23% 21.72%+0.48 -13.4 5
1970-04-26 @ Fehervar W 1-066.6 1777 1732 21.72% 22.23% 56.05%-0.48 +13.4 9
1970-04-26 Salgotarjan W 2-048.5 1946 1747 73.53% 20.06% 6.42%+2.03 +3.7 13
1970-04-26 @ Ferencvaros L 0-248.5 1747 1946 6.42% 20.06% 73.53%-2.03 -3.7 3
1970-04-26 Komlo Banyasz W 2-159.8 1779 1736 64.15% 21.73% 14.12%+1.05 +3.9 5
1970-04-26 @ Gyor L 1-259.8 1736 1779 14.12% 21.73% 64.15%-1.05 -3.9 3
1970-04-26 Szegedi EAC W 1-051.2 1821 1645 72.43% 20.36% 7.21%+1.89 +2.2 9
1970-04-26 @ Pecsi MFC L 0-151.2 1645 1821 7.21% 20.36% 72.43%-1.89 -2.2 3
1970-04-26 Vasas D 1-174.5 1828 1929 49.66% 22.36% 27.97%+0.13 -1.1 9
1970-04-26 @ Tatabanya D 1-174.5 1929 1828 27.97% 22.36% 49.66%-0.13 +1.2 11
1970-05-06 Ferencvaros D 1-174.5 1746 1949 35.85% 22.21% 41.94%-0.52 +0.3 7
1970-05-06 @ Dunaujvaros D 1-174.5 1949 1746 41.94% 22.21% 35.85%+0.52 -0.3 14
1970-05-06 Diosgyor W 2-053.6 1732 1783 55.44% 22.26% 22.31%+0.45 +11.7 5
1970-05-06 @ Komlo Banyasz L 0-253.6 1783 1732 22.31% 22.26% 55.44%-0.45 -11.7 9
1970-05-06 Tatabanya D 0-069.5 1791 1827 56.99% 22.20% 20.81%+0.54 -2.2 10
1970-05-06 @ MTK Budapest D 0-069.5 1827 1791 20.81% 22.20% 56.99%-0.54 +2.2 10
1970-05-06 Pecsi MFC D 1-174.3 1743 1823 52.17% 22.33% 25.50%+0.26 -1.4 4
1970-05-06 @ Salgotarjan D 1-174.3 1823 1743 25.50% 22.33% 52.17%-0.26 +1.4 10
1970-05-06 Csepel W 2-170.2 1643 1894 29.68% 21.97% 48.35%-0.82 +11.0 5
1970-05-06 @ Szegedi EAC L 1-270.2 1894 1643 48.35% 21.97% 29.68%+0.82 -11.0 12
1970-05-06 Honved L 0-260.9 1764 1898 45.49% 22.37% 32.14%-0.08 -20.9 8
1970-05-06 @ Szombathelyi Haladas W 2-060.9 1898 1764 32.14% 22.37% 45.49%+0.08 +20.9 12
1970-05-06 Fehervar W 5-148.4 2017 1718 77.56% 18.59% 3.85%+2.67 +3.4 15
1970-05-06 @ Ujpest L 1-548.4 1718 2017 3.85% 18.59% 77.56%-2.67 -3.4 5
1970-05-06 Gyor W 1-052.2 1930 1783 70.94% 20.71% 8.35%+1.71 +2.5 13
1970-05-06 @ Vasas L 0-152.2 1783 1930 8.35% 20.71% 70.94%-1.71 -2.5 5
1970-05-10 Pecsi MFC D 0-069.8 1883 1825 65.26% 21.61% 13.13%+1.14 -3.4 13
1970-05-10 @ Csepel D 0-069.8 1825 1883 13.13% 21.61% 65.26%-1.14 +3.4 11
1970-05-10 Diosgyor L 0-166.2 1715 1771 54.87% 22.27% 22.86%+0.41 -13.1 5
1970-05-10 @ Fehervar W 1-066.2 1771 1715 22.86% 22.27% 54.87%-0.41 +13.1 11
1970-05-10 Szombathelyi Haladas W 2-157.1 1949 1743 73.86% 19.96% 6.18%+2.08 +1.8 16
1970-05-10 @ Ferencvaros L 1-257.1 1743 1949 6.18% 19.96% 73.86%-2.08 -1.8 8
1970-05-10 MTK Budapest L 0-264.9 1781 1788 59.79% 22.06% 18.15%+0.72 -26.9 5
1970-05-10 @ Gyor W 2-064.9 1788 1781 18.15% 22.06% 59.79%-0.72 +26.9 12
1970-05-10 Szegedi EAC W 7-046.1 1919 1654 76.31% 19.11% 4.58%+2.45 +8.4 14
1970-05-10 @ Honved L 0-746.1 1654 1919 4.58% 19.11% 76.31%-2.45 -8.4 5
1970-05-10 Vasas L 0-161.5 1744 1933 37.84% 22.26% 39.90%-0.43 -9.5 5
1970-05-10 @ Komlo Banyasz W 1-061.5 1933 1744 39.90% 22.26% 37.84%+0.43 +9.5 15
1970-05-10 Dunaujvaros D 0-069.3 1742 1746 60.10% 22.04% 17.85%+0.74 -2.6 5
1970-05-10 @ Salgotarjan D 0-069.3 1746 1742 17.85% 22.04% 60.10%-0.74 +2.7 8
1970-05-10 Ujpest L 0-161.5 1829 2020 37.61% 22.26% 40.14%-0.44 -9.5 10
1970-05-10 @ Tatabanya W 1-061.5 2020 1829 40.14% 22.26% 37.61%+0.44 +9.5 17
1970-05-20 Honved D 0-069.7 1879 1927 55.82% 22.24% 21.94%+0.47 -2.1 14
1970-05-20 @ Csepel D 0-069.7 1927 1879 21.94% 22.24% 55.82%-0.47 +2.1 15
1970-05-20 Vasas D 0-069.6 1784 1943 42.23% 22.34% 35.43%-0.23 -0.4 12
1970-05-20 @ Diosgyor D 0-069.6 1943 1784 35.43% 22.34% 42.23%+0.23 +0.4 16
1970-05-20 Tatabanya W 2-164.7 1702 1820 47.59% 22.37% 30.03%+0.02 +7.5 7
1970-05-20 @ Fehervar L 1-264.7 1820 1702 30.03% 22.37% 47.59%-0.02 -7.5 10
1970-05-20 Komlo Banyasz W 2-159.0 1815 1734 66.90% 21.41% 11.70%+1.29 +3.3 14
1970-05-20 @ MTK Budapest L 1-259.0 1734 1815 11.70% 21.41% 66.90%-1.29 -3.3 5
1970-05-20 Dunaujvaros W 4-047.8 1828 1749 66.80% 21.42% 11.78%+1.28 +12.6 13
1970-05-20 @ Pecsi MFC L 0-447.8 1749 1828 11.78% 21.42% 66.80%-1.28 -12.6 8
1970-05-20 Ferencvaros W 1-066.3 1646 1951 23.47% 21.58% 54.96%-1.17 +13.0 7
1970-05-20 @ Szegedi EAC L 0-166.3 1951 1646 54.96% 21.58% 23.47%+1.17 -13.1 16
1970-05-20 Salgotarjan D 2-280.0 1741 1739 60.68% 22.01% 17.31%+0.78 -1.8 9
1970-05-20 @ Szombathelyi Haladas D 2-280.0 1739 1741 17.31% 22.01% 60.68%-0.78 +1.8 6
1970-05-20 Gyor W 3-045.6 2030 1754 76.74% 18.94% 4.32%+2.52 +3.6 19
1970-05-20 @ Ujpest L 0-345.6 1754 2030 4.32% 18.94% 76.74%-2.52 -3.6 5
1970-05-23 Csepel W 1-053.9 1938 1877 65.43% 21.59% 12.98%+1.15 +3.9 18
1970-05-23 @ Ferencvaros L 0-153.9 1877 1938 12.98% 21.59% 65.43%-1.15 -3.9 14
1970-05-23 MTK Budapest L 1-276.5 1943 1819 69.65% 20.97% 9.38%+1.56 -15.7 16
1970-05-23 @ Vasas W 2-176.5 1819 1943 9.38% 20.97% 69.65%-1.56 +15.7 16
1970-05-24 Szombathelyi Haladas D 1-174.1 1736 1739 60.19% 22.04% 17.77%+0.75 -2.4 9
1970-05-24 @ Dunaujvaros D 1-174.1 1739 1736 17.77% 22.04% 60.19%-0.75 +2.4 10
1970-05-24 Fehervar W 2-159.6 1750 1709 63.95% 21.75% 14.30%+1.03 +4.0 7
1970-05-24 @ Gyor L 1-259.6 1709 1750 14.30% 21.75% 63.95%-1.03 -4.0 7
1970-05-24 Pecsi MFC D 1-174.8 1929 1841 67.38% 21.34% 11.28%+1.33 -3.3 16
1970-05-24 @ Honved D 1-174.8 1841 1929 11.28% 21.34% 67.38%-1.33 +3.3 14
1970-05-24 Ujpest L 0-352.3 1731 2033 23.76% 21.60% 54.64%-1.15 -17.8 5
1970-05-24 @ Komlo Banyasz W 3-052.3 2033 1731 54.64% 21.60% 23.76%+1.15 +17.8 21
1970-05-24 Szegedi EAC W 2-049.6 1741 1659 66.97% 21.40% 11.63%+1.29 +6.6 8
1970-05-24 @ Salgotarjan L 0-249.6 1659 1741 11.63% 21.40% 66.97%-1.29 -6.6 7
1970-05-24 Diosgyor L 2-571.2 1812 1784 62.92% 21.84% 15.24%+0.95 -30.0 10
1970-05-24 @ Tatabanya W 5-271.2 1784 1812 15.24% 21.84% 62.92%-0.95 +30.0 14
1970-05-27 Salgotarjan W 4-152.6 1873 1747 69.75% 20.95% 9.30%+1.57 +6.5 16
1970-05-27 @ Csepel L 1-452.6 1747 1873 9.30% 20.95% 69.75%-1.57 -6.5 8
1970-05-27 MTK Budapest W 1-055.8 1814 1834 58.60% 22.13% 19.27%+0.64 +5.5 16
1970-05-27 @ Diosgyor L 0-155.8 1834 1814 19.27% 22.13% 58.60%-0.64 -5.5 16
1970-05-27 Komlo Banyasz D 1-173.9 1705 1713 59.78% 22.06% 18.15%+0.72 -2.3 8
1970-05-27 @ Fehervar D 1-173.9 1713 1705 18.15% 22.06% 59.78%-0.72 +2.3 6
1970-05-27 Ferencvaros W 3-051.0 1926 1941 59.03% 22.11% 18.87%+0.67 +14.8 18
1970-05-27 @ Honved L 0-351.0 1941 1926 18.87% 22.11% 59.03%-0.67 -14.8 18
1970-05-27 Szombathelyi Haladas W 2-049.9 1844 1742 68.31% 21.20% 10.49%+1.42 +6.0 16
1970-05-27 @ Pecsi MFC L 0-249.9 1742 1844 10.49% 21.20% 68.31%-1.42 -6.0 10
1970-05-27 Dunaujvaros L 1-464.9 1652 1733 52.04% 22.34% 25.62%+0.25 -28.8 7
1970-05-27 @ Szegedi EAC W 4-164.9 1733 1652 25.62% 22.34% 52.04%-0.25 +28.8 11
1970-05-27 Gyor W 2-160.2 1782 1754 62.90% 21.84% 15.25%+0.95 +4.2 12
1970-05-27 @ Tatabanya L 1-260.2 1754 1782 15.25% 21.84% 62.90%-0.95 -4.2 7
1970-05-27 Vasas W 3-155.6 2051 1927 69.60% 20.98% 9.42%+1.56 +4.7 23
1970-05-27 @ Ujpest L 1-355.6 1927 2051 9.42% 20.98% 69.60%-1.56 -4.7 16
1970-05-30 Pecsi MFC W 1-053.5 1927 1850 66.59% 21.45% 11.96%+1.26 +3.6 20
1970-05-30 @ Ferencvaros L 0-153.5 1850 1927 11.96% 21.45% 66.59%-1.26 -3.6 16
1970-05-30 Fehervar W 3-154.0 1923 1703 74.46% 19.77% 5.77%+2.17 +2.9 18
1970-05-30 @ Vasas L 1-354.0 1703 1923 5.77% 19.77% 74.46%-2.17 -2.9 8
1970-05-31 Csepel D 1-174.4 1762 1880 47.61% 22.37% 30.02%+0.02 -0.9 12
1970-05-31 @ Dunaujvaros D 1-174.4 1880 1762 30.02% 22.37% 47.61%-0.02 +0.9 17
1970-05-31 Diosgyor L 0-166.0 1750 1820 53.41% 22.31% 24.28%+0.33 -12.8 7
1970-05-31 @ Gyor W 1-066.0 1820 1750 24.28% 22.31% 53.41%-0.33 +12.8 18
1970-05-31 Tatabanya W 2-163.0 1715 1786 53.25% 22.31% 24.44%+0.32 +6.3 8
1970-05-31 @ Komlo Banyasz L 1-263.0 1786 1715 24.44% 22.31% 53.25%-0.32 -6.3 12
1970-05-31 Ujpest W 2-060.8 1829 2056 32.72% 22.11% 45.17%-0.67 +20.7 18
1970-05-31 @ MTK Budapest L 0-260.8 2056 1829 45.17% 22.11% 32.72%+0.67 -20.7 23
1970-05-31 Honved W 1-062.5 1741 1941 36.39% 22.23% 41.38%-0.50 +10.2 10
1970-05-31 @ Salgotarjan L 0-162.5 1941 1741 41.38% 22.23% 36.39%+0.50 -10.2 18
1970-05-31 Szegedi EAC D 1-173.7 1736 1623 68.93% 21.10% 9.98%+1.49 -3.5 11
1970-05-31 @ Szombathelyi Haladas D 1-173.7 1623 1736 9.98% 21.10% 68.93%-1.49 +3.5 8

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1970-06-06 Ferencvaros W 3-263.8 2035 1930 68.44% 21.18% 10.38%+1.44 +2.8 2
1970-06-06 @ Ujpest L 2-363.8 1930 2035 10.38% 21.18% 68.44%-1.44 -2.8 0
1970-06-07 Pecsi MFC L 1-467.9 1832 1846 59.18% 22.10% 18.72%+0.68 -32.6 0
1970-06-07 @ Diosgyor W 4-167.9 1846 1832 18.72% 22.10% 59.18%-0.68 +32.6 2
1970-06-07 Szombathelyi Haladas W 7-152.3 1700 1732 57.43% 22.18% 20.39%+0.57 +24.9 2
1970-06-07 @ Fehervar L 1-752.3 1732 1700 20.39% 22.18% 57.43%-0.57 -24.9 0
1970-06-07 Szegedi EAC W 2-048.8 1737 1627 68.81% 21.12% 10.07%+1.47 +5.7 2
1970-06-07 @ Gyor L 0-248.8 1627 1737 10.07% 21.12% 68.81%-1.47 -5.8 0
1970-06-07 Salgotarjan W 3-158.6 1722 1751 57.70% 22.17% 20.13%+0.59 +9.3 2
1970-06-07 @ Komlo Banyasz L 1-358.6 1751 1722 20.13% 22.17% 57.70%-0.59 -9.3 0
1970-06-07 Honved L 1-368.8 1849 1930 52.11% 22.33% 25.56%+0.26 -20.4 0
1970-06-07 @ MTK Budapest W 3-168.8 1930 1849 25.56% 22.33% 52.11%-0.26 +20.4 2
1970-06-07 Dunaujvaros D 0-069.5 1780 1761 62.13% 21.91% 15.97%+0.89 -2.9 1
1970-06-07 @ Tatabanya D 0-069.5 1761 1780 15.97% 21.91% 62.13%-0.89 +2.9 1
1970-06-07 Csepel W 4-048.8 1925 1881 64.24% 21.72% 14.04%+1.05 +14.9 2
1970-06-07 @ Vasas L 0-448.8 1881 1925 14.04% 21.72% 64.24%-1.05 -14.9 0
1970-06-13 Vasas W 2-163.5 1866 1940 52.87% 22.32% 24.81%+0.30 +6.4 2
1970-06-13 @ Csepel L 1-263.5 1940 1866 24.81% 22.32% 52.87%-0.30 -6.4 2
1970-06-13 MTK Budapest W 3-155.6 1951 1829 69.49% 21.00% 9.52%+1.54 +4.7 4
1970-06-13 @ Honved L 1-355.6 1829 1951 9.52% 21.00% 69.49%-1.54 -4.7 0
1970-06-13 Diosgyor W 5-361.4 1879 1800 66.78% 21.42% 11.80%+1.28 +4.9 4
1970-06-13 @ Pecsi MFC L 3-561.4 1800 1879 11.80% 21.42% 66.78%-1.28 -4.9 0
1970-06-13 Komlo Banyasz W 2-160.4 1742 1731 61.44% 21.96% 16.60%+0.84 +4.5 2
1970-06-13 @ Salgotarjan L 1-260.4 1731 1742 16.60% 21.96% 61.44%-0.84 -4.5 2
1970-06-14 Tatabanya L 1-273.5 1764 1777 59.31% 22.09% 18.60%+0.69 -13.3 1
1970-06-14 @ Dunaujvaros W 2-173.5 1777 1764 18.60% 22.09% 59.31%-0.69 +13.3 3
1970-06-14 Gyor W 3-161.2 1621 1743 47.05% 22.37% 30.58%+0.00 +13.2 2
1970-06-14 @ Szegedi EAC L 1-361.2 1743 1621 30.58% 22.37% 47.05%+0.00 -13.2 2
1970-06-14 Fehervar W 3-158.1 1707 1725 58.82% 22.12% 19.07%+0.66 +8.9 2
1970-06-14 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 1-358.1 1725 1707 19.07% 22.12% 58.82%-0.66 -8.9 2
1970-06-27 Ujpest D 1-174.6 1927 2038 48.55% 22.37% 29.08%+0.07 -1.0 1
1970-06-27 @ Ferencvaros D 1-174.6 2038 1927 29.08% 22.37% 48.55%-0.07 +1.0 3

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1970-05-23 9.38% MTK Budapest 1819 2 @ Vasas 1943 1
2 1970-03-01 12.50% Fehervar 1716 3 @ MTK Budapest 1784 0
3 1970-03-21 12.81% Csepel 1846 2 @ Honved 1909 0
4 1970-05-24 15.24% Diosgyor 1784 5 @ Tatabanya 1812 2
5 1970-03-15 17.23% Csepel 1831 1 @ Pecsi MFC 1834 0
6 1970-03-22 17.49% MTK Budapest 1757 3 @ Komlo Banyasz 1757 1
7 1970-05-10 18.15% MTK Budapest 1788 2 @ Gyor 1781 0
8 1970-04-04 18.30% Tatabanya 1808 1 @ Gyor 1799 0
9 1970-06-14 18.60% Tatabanya 1777 2 @ Dunaujvaros 1764 1
10 1970-06-07 18.72% Pecsi MFC 1846 4 @ Diosgyor 1832 1
11 1970-03-22 20.36% Pecsi MFC 1820 2 @ Dunaujvaros 1788 0
12 1970-03-29 20.54% Honved 1879 1 @ Pecsi MFC 1846 0
13 1970-04-05 21.43% Ujpest 1994 3 @ Vasas 1951 1
14 1970-04-26 21.72% MTK Budapest 1777 1 @ Fehervar 1732 0
15 1970-05-10 22.86% Diosgyor 1771 1 @ Fehervar 1715 0
16 1970-03-08 23.02% Vasas 1905 3 @ Gyor 1847 0
17 1970-05-20 23.47% @ Szegedi EAC 1646 1 Ferencvaros 1951 0
18 1970-05-31 24.28% Diosgyor 1820 1 @ Gyor 1750 0
19 1970-06-07 25.56% Honved 1930 3 @ MTK Budapest 1849 1
20 1970-05-27 25.62% Dunaujvaros 1733 4 @ Szegedi EAC 1652 1
21 1970-04-05 28.90% Csepel 1874 1 @ Salgotarjan 1765 0
22 1970-05-06 29.68% @ Szegedi EAC 1643 2 Csepel 1894 1
23 1970-03-01 31.68% Ferencvaros 1919 2 @ Salgotarjan 1789 1
24 1970-05-06 32.14% Honved 1898 2 @ Szombathelyi Haladas 1764 0
25 1970-05-31 32.72% @ MTK Budapest 1829 2 Ujpest 2056 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1970-03-01 43.11 Fehervar 3 1716 12.50% @ MTK Budapest 0 1784 65.98% 21.53%
2 1970-03-08 35.82 Vasas 3 1905 23.02% @ Gyor 0 1847 54.71% 22.28%
3 1970-04-19 35.08 @ Szegedi EAC 4 1610 38.51% Szombathelyi Haladas 0 1795 39.21% 22.28%
4 1970-06-07 32.59 Pecsi MFC 4 1846 18.72% @ Diosgyor 1 1832 59.18% 22.10%
5 1970-05-24 30.00 Diosgyor 5 1784 15.24% @ Tatabanya 2 1812 62.92% 21.84%
6 1970-03-21 29.52 Csepel 2 1846 12.81% @ Honved 0 1909 65.63% 21.57%
7 1970-05-27 28.83 Dunaujvaros 4 1733 25.62% @ Szegedi EAC 1 1652 52.04% 22.34%
8 1970-05-10 26.88 MTK Budapest 2 1788 18.15% @ Gyor 0 1781 59.79% 22.06%
9 1970-03-22 25.85 Pecsi MFC 2 1820 20.36% @ Dunaujvaros 0 1788 57.46% 22.18%
10 1970-06-07 24.94 @ Fehervar 7 1700 57.43% Szombathelyi Haladas 1 1732 20.39% 22.18%
11 1970-03-22 23.55 MTK Budapest 3 1757 17.49% @ Komlo Banyasz 1 1757 60.49% 22.02%
12 1970-04-05 21.97 Ujpest 3 1994 21.43% @ Vasas 1 1951 56.34% 22.22%
13 1970-05-06 20.89 Honved 2 1898 32.14% @ Szombathelyi Haladas 0 1764 45.49% 22.37%
14 1970-05-31 20.72 @ MTK Budapest 2 1829 32.72% Ujpest 0 2056 45.17% 22.11%
15 1970-06-07 20.41 Honved 3 1930 25.56% @ MTK Budapest 1 1849 52.11% 22.33%
16 1970-03-29 19.89 @ Fehervar 3 1727 50.81% Gyor 0 1819 26.83% 22.35%
17 1970-03-22 19.75 @ Gyor 2 1799 35.19% Ujpest 0 2007 42.62% 22.19%
18 1970-05-24 17.80 Ujpest 3 2033 54.64% @ Komlo Banyasz 0 1731 23.76% 21.60%
19 1970-03-07 16.81 Ujpest 5 1989 45.56% @ Fehervar 2 1759 32.35% 22.09%
20 1970-05-23 15.68 MTK Budapest 2 1819 9.38% @ Vasas 1 1943 69.65% 20.97%
21 1970-04-05 15.06 @ Komlo Banyasz 3 1727 58.61% Fehervar 0 1747 19.27% 22.13%
22 1970-06-07 14.87 @ Vasas 4 1925 64.24% Csepel 0 1881 14.04% 21.72%
23 1970-05-27 14.79 @ Honved 3 1926 59.03% Ferencvaros 0 1941 18.87% 22.11%
24 1970-03-15 14.49 Csepel 1 1831 17.23% @ Pecsi MFC 0 1834 60.77% 22.00%
25 1970-04-04 14.22 Tatabanya 1 1808 18.30% @ Gyor 0 1799 59.63% 22.07%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1970-04-19 80.4 @ Fehervar 2 1732 36.64% Vasas 2 1930 41.13% 22.23%
2 1970-03-01 80.3 @ Komlo Banyasz 2 1767 52.27% Gyor 2 1846 25.40% 22.33%
3 1970-05-20 80.0 @ Szombathelyi Haladas 2 1741 60.68% Salgotarjan 2 1739 17.31% 22.01%
4 1970-03-29 79.3 @ Szegedi EAC 2 1613 43.16% Salgotarjan 2 1764 34.49% 22.35%
5 1970-05-23 76.5 MTK Budapest 2 1819 9.38% @ Vasas 1 1943 69.65% 20.97%
6 1970-03-22 75.1 @ Vasas 1 1945 71.65% Diosgyor 1 1784 7.80% 20.55%
7 1970-03-01 74.8 Pecsi MFC 4 1818 37.85% @ Szegedi EAC 3 1643 39.85% 22.30%
8 1970-05-24 74.8 @ Honved 1 1929 67.38% Pecsi MFC 1 1841 11.28% 21.34%
9 1970-04-26 74.6 @ Diosgyor 1 1782 31.66% Ujpest 1 2017 46.28% 22.06%
10 1970-06-27 74.6 @ Ferencvaros 1 1927 48.55% Ujpest 1 2038 29.08% 22.37%
11 1970-03-15 74.5 @ Szombathelyi Haladas 1 1786 43.56% Ferencvaros 1 1934 34.08% 22.36%
12 1970-04-26 74.5 @ Tatabanya 1 1828 49.66% Vasas 1 1929 27.97% 22.36%
13 1970-05-06 74.5 @ Dunaujvaros 1 1746 35.85% Ferencvaros 1 1949 41.94% 22.21%
14 1970-03-29 74.4 @ Diosgyor 1 1788 58.84% Tatabanya 1 1806 19.05% 22.12%
15 1970-05-31 74.4 @ Dunaujvaros 1 1762 47.61% Csepel 1 1880 30.02% 22.37%
16 1970-05-06 74.3 @ Salgotarjan 1 1743 52.17% Pecsi MFC 1 1823 25.50% 22.33%
17 1970-05-24 74.1 @ Dunaujvaros 1 1736 60.19% Szombathelyi Haladas 1 1739 17.77% 22.04%
18 1970-05-27 73.9 @ Fehervar 1 1705 59.78% Komlo Banyasz 1 1713 18.15% 22.06%
19 1970-05-31 73.7 @ Szombathelyi Haladas 1 1736 68.93% Szegedi EAC 1 1623 9.98% 21.10%
20 1970-06-14 73.5 Tatabanya 2 1777 18.60% @ Dunaujvaros 1 1764 59.31% 22.09%
21 1970-05-24 71.2 Diosgyor 5 1784 15.24% @ Tatabanya 2 1812 62.92% 21.84%
22 1970-03-22 70.8 MTK Budapest 3 1757 17.49% @ Komlo Banyasz 1 1757 60.49% 22.02%
23 1970-05-06 70.2 @ Szegedi EAC 2 1643 29.68% Csepel 1 1894 48.35% 21.97%
24 1970-04-05 70.0 Ujpest 3 1994 21.43% @ Vasas 1 1951 56.34% 22.22%
25 1970-04-25 70.0 @ Csepel 0 1898 70.44% Szombathelyi Haladas 0 1760 8.75% 20.81%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1970-03-22 44.3 @ Ferencvaros 4 1935 78.26% Szegedi EAC 0 1617 3.48% 18.27%
2 1970-03-28 45.5 @ Ujpest 5 1988 75.92% Komlo Banyasz 0 1733 4.82% 19.26%
3 1970-05-20 45.6 @ Ujpest 3 2030 76.74% Gyor 0 1754 4.32% 18.94%
4 1970-03-07 46.1 @ Csepel 3 1826 73.18% Szegedi EAC 0 1634 6.66% 20.16%
5 1970-05-10 46.1 @ Honved 7 1919 76.31% Szegedi EAC 0 1654 4.58% 19.11%
6 1970-02-28 46.5 @ Ujpest 3 1984 73.91% Diosgyor 0 1776 6.14% 19.94%
7 1970-04-18 47.3 @ Csepel 5 1885 69.66% Dunaujvaros 0 1761 9.37% 20.97%
8 1970-05-20 47.8 @ Pecsi MFC 4 1828 66.80% Dunaujvaros 0 1749 11.78% 21.42%
9 1970-03-08 48.3 @ Honved 3 1888 67.67% Szombathelyi Haladas 0 1795 11.03% 21.30%
10 1970-05-06 48.4 @ Ujpest 5 2017 77.56% Fehervar 1 1718 3.85% 18.59%
11 1970-04-26 48.5 @ Ferencvaros 2 1946 73.53% Salgotarjan 0 1747 6.42% 20.06%
12 1970-03-15 48.7 @ Vasas 2 1941 72.64% Komlo Banyasz 0 1761 7.05% 20.30%
13 1970-06-07 48.8 @ Gyor 2 1737 68.81% Szegedi EAC 0 1627 10.07% 21.12%
14 1970-06-07 48.8 @ Vasas 4 1925 64.24% Csepel 0 1881 14.04% 21.72%
15 1970-03-07 49.2 @ Ferencvaros 2 1930 70.97% Dunaujvaros 0 1782 8.33% 20.70%
16 1970-05-24 49.6 @ Salgotarjan 2 1741 66.97% Szegedi EAC 0 1659 11.63% 21.40%
17 1970-05-27 49.9 @ Pecsi MFC 2 1844 68.31% Szombathelyi Haladas 0 1742 10.49% 21.20%
18 1970-03-22 50.5 @ Tatabanya 2 1799 65.76% Fehervar 0 1734 12.69% 21.55%
19 1970-04-05 50.6 @ Komlo Banyasz 3 1727 58.61% Fehervar 0 1747 19.27% 22.13%
20 1970-05-27 51.0 @ Honved 3 1926 59.03% Ferencvaros 0 1941 18.87% 22.11%
21 1970-03-08 51.1 @ Pecsi MFC 2 1827 64.56% Salgotarjan 0 1778 13.75% 21.69%
22 1970-04-04 51.1 @ Dunaujvaros 1 1758 70.84% Szegedi EAC 0 1613 8.43% 20.73%
23 1970-03-15 51.2 @ Diosgyor 2 1776 63.41% Fehervar 0 1742 14.80% 21.80%
24 1970-04-26 51.2 @ Pecsi MFC 1 1821 72.43% Szegedi EAC 0 1645 7.21% 20.36%
25 1970-04-25 52.1 @ Honved 1 1895 70.93% Dunaujvaros 0 1748 8.36% 20.71%