2025-26 Nemzeti Bajnokság I Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Gyor

69 points · 5th Title

Last Title: 2012-13

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Gyor

9.23 points above expected

69 points · 59.77 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Kazincbarcika

10.87 points below expected

22 points · 32.87 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Gyor Champion	33	20	9	4	69	65	30	+35	59.77	+9.23
2	Ferencvaros	33	21	5	7	68	67	31	+36	64.06	+3.94
3	Paks	33	15	8	10	53	63	46	+17	56.23	-3.23
4	Debrecen VSC	33	14	11	8	53	51	41	+10	46.62	+6.38
5	Zalaegerszeg	33	13	9	11	48	49	43	+6	44.39	+3.61
6	Puskas	33	13	7	13	46	43	43	0	51.29	-5.29
7	Ujpest	33	11	7	15	40	48	57	-9	38.96	+1.04
8	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	33	10	10	13	40	47	57	-10	34.85	+5.15
9	Kisvarda	33	11	7	15	40	36	49	-13	37.72	+2.28
10	MTK Budapest	33	9	11	13	38	55	62	-7	41.50	-3.50
11	Diosgyor	33	6	10	17	28	39	65	-26	36.54	-8.54
12	Kazincbarcika	33	6	4	23	22	31	70	-39	32.87	-10.87

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Gyor	69	59.77	+9.23
2	Debrecen VSC	53	46.62	+6.38
3	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	40	34.85	+5.15
4	Ferencvaros	68	64.06	+3.94
5	Zalaegerszeg	48	44.39	+3.61

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Kazincbarcika	22	32.87	-10.87
2	Diosgyor	28	36.54	-8.54
3	Puskas	46	51.29	-5.29
4	MTK Budapest	38	41.50	-3.50
5	Paks	53	56.23	-3.23

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Zalaegerszeg	4	Nov 8 – Dec 7	1 in 94
2	Gyor	6	Nov 29 – Jan 25	1 in 66
3	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	3	Feb 1 – Feb 15	1 in 44
4	Kisvarda	3	Aug 10 – Aug 30	1 in 43
5	MTK Budapest	3	Aug 30 – Sep 28	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Paks	5	Feb 1 – Feb 28	1 in 407
2	Kisvarda	4	Apr 18 – May 16	1 in 61
3	MTK Budapest	4	Nov 23 – Dec 13	1 in 55
4	Diosgyor	5	Mar 13 – Apr 18	1 in 55
5	Kazincbarcika	5	Dec 3 – Jan 25	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Zalaegerszeg	8	Feb 8 – Apr 4	1 in 55
2	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	6	Jan 24 – Mar 1	1 in 40
3	Diosgyor	5	Aug 16 – Sep 27	1 in 28
4	Paks	10	Jul 27 – Oct 18	1 in 23
5	MTK Budapest	6	Apr 4 – May 15	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Paks	7	Feb 1 – Mar 14	1 in 64
2	MTK Budapest	9	Jan 31 – Apr 4	1 in 30
3	Kisvarda	8	Mar 14 – May 16	1 in 26
4	Diosgyor	8	Feb 21 – Apr 18	1 in 20
5	Zalaegerszeg	7	Jul 26 – Sep 21	1 in 19

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Gyor	1757	69	+31	13	9.3	+3.7
Ferencvaros	1785	68	+33	12	9.2	+2.8
Paks	1662	53	-2	9	7.9	+1.1
Debrecen VSC	1623	53	+14	8	7.4	+0.6
Zalaegerszeg	1596	48	-45	3	7.8	-4.8
Puskas	1625	46	+14	7	6.6	+0.4
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	1535	40	+5	8	6.3	+1.7
Ujpest	1535	40	+5	6	6.0	+0.0
Kisvarda	1515	40	-27	1	6.6	-5.6
MTK Budapest	1551	38	+32	9	6.7	+2.3
Diosgyor	1453	28	-32	3	3.7	-0.7
Kazincbarcika	1432	22	-18	5	4.7	+0.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	DV	DIO	FER	GYO	KAZ	KIS	MB	NS	PAK	PUS	UJP	ZAL
Debrecen VSC	—	2-1-0 5.09	1-0-2 2.70	0-3-0 2.99	3-0-0 5.18	1-1-1 4.77	1-1-1 4.52	1-1-1 5.25	1-1-1 3.33	1-1-1 3.60	2-0-1 5.00	1-2-0 4.26
Diosgyor	0-1-2 3.15	—	0-1-2 1.92	0-1-2 2.09	0-2-1 4.58	1-1-1 3.75	1-1-1 3.48	2-0-1 4.12	2-0-1 2.35	0-1-2 2.80	0-0-3 3.95	0-2-1 3.54
Ferencvaros	2-0-1 5.57	2-1-0 6.45	—	1-0-2 4.52	3-0-0 6.46	2-1-0 6.12	2-1-0 5.77	2-0-1 6.42	2-1-0 4.93	2-0-1 5.32	2-1-0 6.19	1-0-2 6.01
Gyor	0-3-0 5.25	2-1-0 6.26	2-0-1 3.70	—	3-0-0 6.26	2-0-1 6.02	2-1-0 5.31	3-0-0 6.18	1-2-0 4.15	3-0-0 4.70	2-1-0 5.51	0-1-2 5.24
Kazincbarcika	0-0-3 3.06	1-2-0 3.65	0-0-3 1.91	0-0-3 2.08	—	1-0-2 3.51	2-1-0 2.92	1-1-1 3.71	0-0-3 2.28	0-0-3 2.72	1-0-2 3.44	0-0-3 3.00
Kisvarda	1-1-1 3.45	1-1-1 4.47	0-1-2 2.21	1-0-2 2.30	2-0-1 4.72	—	0-0-3 3.83	0-3-0 4.51	1-0-2 2.79	2-0-1 2.94	2-0-1 3.89	1-1-1 3.48
MTK Budapest	1-1-1 3.70	1-1-1 4.75	0-1-2 2.52	0-1-2 2.95	0-1-2 5.33	3-0-0 4.39	—	1-1-1 4.83	0-0-3 2.99	0-3-0 3.27	1-1-1 4.14	2-1-0 3.68
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	1-1-1 3.00	1-0-2 4.10	1-0-2 1.95	0-0-3 2.15	1-1-1 4.52	0-3-0 3.70	1-1-1 3.39	—	1-1-1 2.30	1-1-1 2.54	0-2-1 3.54	3-0-0 2.99
Paks	1-1-1 4.90	1-0-2 5.96	0-1-2 3.31	0-2-1 4.07	3-0-0 6.04	2-0-1 5.47	3-0-0 5.26	1-1-1 6.01	—	3-0-0 4.70	1-1-1 5.44	0-2-1 5.06
Puskas	1-1-1 4.63	2-1-0 5.46	1-0-2 2.93	0-0-3 3.52	3-0-0 5.54	1-0-2 5.31	0-3-0 4.96	1-1-1 5.75	0-0-3 3.52	—	2-1-0 4.99	2-0-1 4.54
Ujpest	1-0-2 3.24	3-0-0 4.27	0-1-2 2.14	0-1-2 2.76	2-0-1 4.79	1-0-2 4.32	1-1-1 4.08	1-2-0 4.68	1-1-1 2.82	0-1-2 3.24	—	1-0-2 3.52
Zalaegerszeg	0-2-1 3.95	1-2-0 4.68	2-0-1 2.30	2-1-0 3.00	3-0-0 5.26	1-1-1 4.75	0-1-2 4.55	0-0-3 5.26	1-2-0 3.17	1-0-2 3.68	2-0-1 4.70	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.75	+10.6
Allowed	0.92	-10.5
Differential	0.98	+6.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.04%	7.58%	4.29%	3.54%	1.52%	1.01%	21.97%
1	7.58%	12.63%	8.33%	5.81%	1.26%	0.76%	36.36%
2	4.29%	8.33%	6.57%	1.52%	0.25%	1.01%	21.97%
3	3.54%	5.81%	1.52%	1.52%	0.51%	0.25%	13.13%
4	1.52%	1.26%	0.25%	0.51%	—	—	3.54%
5+	1.01%	0.76%	1.01%	0.25%	—	—	3.03%
Total	21.97%	36.36%	21.97%	13.13%	3.54%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.50	+0.00
SD	1.27	1.27	1.91
CV	0.85	0.85	—
Max	7	7	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	21.21%
1	12.12%	18.18%	6.06%	—	—	—	36.36%
2	—	12.12%	6.06%	—	—	3.03%	21.21%
3	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	15.15%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
Total	27.27%	39.39%	21.21%	9.09%	—	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	1.24	+0.30
SD	1.33	1.15	1.74
CV	0.86	0.92	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	—	6.06%	6.06%	24.24%
1	—	18.18%	9.09%	18.18%	—	—	45.45%
2	3.03%	9.09%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	24.24%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	36.36%	21.21%	21.21%	6.06%	6.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.97	-0.79
SD	1.01	1.33	2.00
CV	0.86	0.68	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	6.06%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
1	9.09%	9.09%	6.06%	9.09%	—	—	33.33%
2	9.09%	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	—	24.24%
3	15.15%	12.12%	—	—	—	—	27.27%
4	—	6.06%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	36.36%	42.42%	12.12%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.03	0.94	+1.09
SD	1.19	0.93	1.76
CV	0.58	0.99	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	12.12%
1	18.18%	15.15%	3.03%	—	—	—	36.36%
2	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	15.15%
3	6.06%	15.15%	—	3.03%	—	—	24.24%
4	3.03%	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	39.39%	39.39%	12.12%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.97	0.91	+1.06
SD	1.51	0.95	1.52
CV	0.77	1.04	—
Max	7	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	9.09%	6.06%	12.12%	6.06%	3.03%	39.39%
1	3.03%	3.03%	15.15%	15.15%	—	3.03%	39.39%
2	3.03%	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	—	12.12%
3	—	6.06%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
4	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.12%	21.21%	27.27%	27.27%	6.06%	6.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.94	2.12	-1.18
SD	1.03	1.34	2.01
CV	1.10	0.63	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	12.12%	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	—	30.30%
1	18.18%	9.09%	12.12%	—	—	3.03%	42.42%
2	—	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	15.15%
3	3.03%	—	3.03%	3.03%	—	3.03%	12.12%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	30.30%	24.24%	9.09%	3.03%	6.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	1.48	-0.39
SD	0.98	1.39	1.54
CV	0.90	0.94	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	18.18%
1	3.03%	15.15%	—	12.12%	3.03%	—	33.33%
2	—	6.06%	12.12%	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	27.27%
3	6.06%	—	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	12.12%
4	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
Total	21.21%	27.27%	18.18%	18.18%	12.12%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.67	1.88	-0.21
SD	1.34	1.62	2.26
CV	0.80	0.86	—
Max	5	7	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	12.12%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	21.21%
1	3.03%	18.18%	3.03%	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	36.36%
2	3.03%	9.09%	9.09%	3.03%	—	3.03%	27.27%
3	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.12%	48.48%	18.18%	9.09%	6.06%	6.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	1.73	-0.30
SD	1.12	1.53	1.93
CV	0.79	0.88	—
Max	4	7	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	—	21.21%
1	3.03%	9.09%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	24.24%
2	6.06%	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	—	21.21%
3	3.03%	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	—	21.21%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	12.12%
Total	18.18%	39.39%	30.30%	9.09%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.91	1.39	+0.52
SD	1.57	1.00	1.64
CV	0.82	0.72	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	—	18.18%
1	9.09%	12.12%	15.15%	3.03%	3.03%	—	42.42%
2	9.09%	12.12%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	30.30%
3	—	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.21%	39.39%	30.30%	6.06%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.30	1.30	+0.00
SD	0.88	0.98	1.35
CV	0.68	0.75	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	6.06%	12.12%	9.09%	—	3.03%	36.36%
1	—	9.09%	12.12%	—	—	—	21.21%
2	—	12.12%	6.06%	—	—	3.03%	21.21%
3	3.03%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	12.12%
4	—	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	6.06%
5+	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	9.09%	39.39%	33.33%	12.12%	—	6.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.73	-0.27
SD	1.60	1.18	2.10
CV	1.10	0.68	—
Max	7	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	—	6.06%	—	—	15.15%
1	12.12%	15.15%	9.09%	6.06%	3.03%	—	45.45%
2	12.12%	6.06%	6.06%	—	—	—	24.24%
3	—	3.03%	—	6.06%	—	—	9.09%
4	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	30.30%	33.33%	15.15%	18.18%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.48	1.30	+0.18
SD	1.15	1.19	1.83
CV	0.77	0.91	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Ferencvaros	1785	68	64.06	+3.94	75.0%	51	53	59	63	68	75	83
Gyor	1757	69	59.77	+9.23	94.0%	44	48	56	59	65	70	77
Paks	1662	53	56.23	-3.23	33.0%	43	45	52	56	60	66	77
Puskas	1625	46	51.29	-5.29	32.0%	31	38	45	52	58	64	74
Debrecen VSC	1623	53	46.62	+6.38	83.0%	29	33	42	46	51	57	68
Zalaegerszeg	1596	48	44.39	+3.61	71.0%	26	33	38	45	50	56	60
MTK Budapest	1551	38	41.50	-3.50	33.0%	24	31	37	41	46	51	65
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	1535	40	34.85	+5.15	77.0%	18	24	30	34	40	45	54
Ujpest	1535	40	38.96	+1.04	59.0%	26	28	33	38	44	54	57
Kisvarda	1515	40	37.72	+2.28	65.0%	24	28	32	36	42	51	62
Diosgyor	1453	28	36.54	-8.54	12.0%	23	27	32	36	41	47	49
Kazincbarcika	1432	22	32.87	-10.87	5.0%	14	19	29	33	38	44	45

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 20.5% * Clear Edge: 20.5% to 27% * Strong Edge: 27% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+3.54%

No Edge

39.39%24.75%35.86%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 12.29 Elo pts.

164 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.11 goals

Neutral

-2+0.07+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.7

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

25%

Gyor, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.03/gm

Photo Finish

00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.67 * Some Luck: 5.67 to 8.5 * Lucky: 8.5 to 11.33 * Wild Swing: 11.33 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.3 * Close: 1.3 to 1.94 * Off: 1.94 to 2.59 * Way Off: 2.59 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.98 points

Some Luck

07.0818

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.17

Pinpoint

01.624

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

94.00%

Gyor

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

5.00%

Kazincbarcika

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.6 * Moderate Separation: 1.6 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65.5% * Slight Edge: 65.5% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 88.5% * Clear Edge: 88.5% to 92.5% * Strong Edge: 92.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50% * Some Drama: 50% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 20% * Frequent: 20% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.16

Even

00.150.210.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 108.95

1.86

Strong Separation

11.61.852.152.75

Interquartile Edge

65%

Even

50%65.5%75.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

88%

Even

50%90%100%

Close Games

Expected

61%

Frequent

0%57%100%

Blowouts

Expected

18%

Occasional

0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.47 * Notable Separation: 0.47 to 0.53 * Lopsided: 0.53 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.45 * Some Carryover: 0.45 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.72 * Near-Lock: 0.72 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.61

Predictable

00.622

Matchup Imbalance

0.31

Very Even

00.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.78

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.66

Strong Carryover

00.450.590.721

Upset Rate

Expected

24%

Very Upset-Prone

0%26%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

24%

Very Shaky

0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.

Probability calibration

0.60

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.96

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.077

Well Within Noise

00.1220.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Gyor	25.00%	40.00%	21.00%	8.00%	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Ferencvaros	54.00%	24.00%	12.00%	9.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Paks	13.00%	14.00%	34.00%	25.00%	7.00%	3.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Debrecen VSC	—	4.00%	5.00%	18.00%	21.00%	18.00%	12.00%	11.00%	4.00%	3.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Zalaegerszeg	—	2.00%	6.00%	9.00%	22.00%	15.00%	13.00%	6.00%	15.00%	9.00%	—	3.00%
Puskas	6.00%	14.00%	15.00%	16.00%	17.00%	13.00%	5.00%	7.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%
Ujpest	—	2.00%	3.00%	6.00%	6.00%	10.00%	13.00%	10.00%	13.00%	17.00%	10.00%	10.00%
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	—	—	—	2.00%	5.00%	2.00%	9.00%	14.00%	11.00%	18.00%	19.00%	20.00%
Kisvarda	1.00%	—	3.00%	1.00%	4.00%	8.00%	12.00%	9.00%	16.00%	18.00%	17.00%	11.00%
MTK Budapest	1.00%	—	1.00%	6.00%	6.00%	17.00%	17.00%	23.00%	13.00%	7.00%	6.00%	3.00%
Diosgyor	—	—	—	—	5.00%	8.00%	11.00%	11.00%	15.00%	15.00%	19.00%	16.00%
Kazincbarcika	—	—	—	—	2.00%	5.00%	4.00%	8.00%	9.00%	11.00%	26.00%	35.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Ferencvaros	100%	—
Gyor	100%	—
Paks	100%	—
Puskas	99.00%	1.00%
Zalaegerszeg	97.00%	3.00%
Debrecen VSC	96.00%	4.00%
MTK Budapest	91.00%	9.00%
Ujpest	80.00%	20.00%
Kisvarda	72.00%	28.00%
Diosgyor	65.00%	35.00%
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	61.00%	39.00%
Kazincbarcika	39.00%	61.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2025-07-25	Diosgyor	W 3-1	55.9	1559	1542	40.98%	26.15%	32.87%	+0.18	+11.0	3
2025-07-25	@ Ujpest	L 1-3	55.9	1542	1559	32.87%	26.15%	40.98%	-0.18	-11.0	0
2025-07-26	Ferencvaros	D 1-1	70.4	1574	1712	21.94%	24.50%	53.56%	-0.76	+1.3	1
2025-07-26	@ MTK Budapest	D 1-1	70.4	1712	1574	53.56%	24.50%	21.94%	+0.76	-1.3	1
2025-07-26	Debrecen VSC	D 3-3	76.7	1564	1574	37.22%	26.25%	36.54%	+0.01	-0.0	1
2025-07-26	@ Zalaegerszeg	D 3-3	76.7	1574	1564	36.54%	26.25%	37.22%	-0.01	+0.0	1
2025-07-27	Kisvarda	D 1-1	63.8	1511	1539	34.63%	26.22%	39.15%	-0.10	+0.2	1
2025-07-27	@ Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	D 1-1	63.8	1539	1511	39.15%	26.22%	34.63%	+0.10	-0.2	1
2025-07-27	Gyor	D 3-3	79.9	1651	1635	40.79%	26.16%	33.05%	+0.17	-0.2	1
2025-07-27	@ Paks	D 3-3	79.9	1635	1651	33.05%	26.16%	40.79%	-0.17	+0.2	1
2025-07-27	Kazincbarcika	W 2-1	58.5	1652	1554	51.81%	24.86%	23.33%	+0.68	+4.8	3
2025-07-27	@ Puskas	L 1-2	58.5	1554	1652	23.33%	24.86%	51.81%	-0.68	-4.8	0
2025-08-01	MTK Budapest	W 1-0	55.8	1574	1576	38.40%	26.23%	35.37%	+0.06	+7.1	4
2025-08-01	@ Debrecen VSC	L 0-1	55.8	1576	1574	35.37%	26.23%	38.40%	-0.06	-7.1	1
2025-08-02	Zalaegerszeg	D 2-2	71.2	1531	1564	34.01%	26.20%	39.80%	-0.12	+0.2	1
2025-08-02	@ Diosgyor	D 2-2	71.2	1564	1531	39.80%	26.20%	34.01%	+0.12	-0.2	2
2025-08-02	Kazincbarcika	W 3-0	46.5	1711	1549	59.15%	23.01%	17.84%	+1.06	+10.8	4
2025-08-02	@ Ferencvaros	L 0-3	46.5	1549	1711	17.84%	23.01%	59.15%	-1.06	-10.8	0
2025-08-03	Ujpest	D 1-1	68.6	1636	1570	47.64%	25.55%	26.81%	+0.48	-0.8	2
2025-08-03	@ Gyor	D 1-1	68.6	1570	1636	26.81%	25.55%	47.64%	-0.48	+0.8	4
2025-08-03	Paks	L 1-5	51.6	1539	1651	24.53%	25.14%	50.33%	-0.60	-15.8	1
2025-08-03	@ Kisvarda	W 5-1	51.6	1651	1539	50.33%	25.14%	24.53%	+0.60	+15.8	4
2025-08-03	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	W 3-2	61.3	1657	1511	57.39%	23.53%	19.07%	+0.96	+3.8	6
2025-08-03	@ Puskas	L 2-3	61.3	1511	1657	19.07%	23.53%	57.39%	-0.96	-3.8	1
2025-08-08	Debrecen VSC	L 1-2	59.4	1538	1581	32.63%	26.14%	41.23%	-0.19	-6.3	0
2025-08-08	@ Kazincbarcika	W 2-1	59.4	1581	1538	41.23%	26.14%	32.63%	+0.19	+6.3	7
2025-08-09	Diosgyor	W 5-0	47.5	1569	1532	43.81%	25.96%	30.22%	+0.30	+27.9	4
2025-08-09	@ MTK Budapest	L 0-5	47.5	1532	1569	30.22%	25.96%	43.81%	-0.30	-27.9	1
2025-08-09	Ferencvaros	L 1-4	50.4	1508	1721	15.87%	22.02%	62.11%	-1.23	-8.1	1
2025-08-09	@ Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	W 4-1	50.4	1721	1508	62.11%	22.02%	15.87%	+1.23	+8.1	7
2025-08-10	Puskas	W 2-1	67.0	1523	1661	21.94%	24.50%	53.57%	-0.76	+9.3	4
2025-08-10	@ Kisvarda	L 1-2	67.0	1661	1523	53.57%	24.50%	21.94%	+0.76	-9.3	6
2025-08-10	Paks	L 1-2	60.2	1571	1666	26.22%	25.45%	48.33%	-0.51	-5.3	4
2025-08-10	@ Ujpest	W 2-1	60.2	1666	1571	48.33%	25.45%	26.22%	+0.51	+5.3	7
2025-08-10	Gyor	D 1-1	68.4	1564	1635	29.09%	25.85%	45.06%	-0.36	+0.6	3
2025-08-10	@ Zalaegerszeg	D 1-1	68.4	1635	1564	45.06%	25.85%	29.09%	+0.36	-0.6	3
2025-08-15	Kisvarda	L 0-1	56.5	1565	1533	43.22%	26.01%	30.77%	+0.27	-8.3	4
2025-08-15	@ Ujpest	W 1-0	56.5	1533	1565	30.77%	26.01%	43.22%	-0.27	+8.3	7
2025-08-16	Kazincbarcika	D 2-2	69.1	1504	1532	34.62%	26.22%	39.16%	-0.10	+0.1	2
2025-08-16	@ Diosgyor	D 2-2	69.1	1532	1504	39.16%	26.22%	34.62%	+0.10	-0.1	1
2025-08-16	Puskas	L 1-2	68.8	1730	1652	49.22%	25.32%	25.46%	+0.55	-8.7	7
2025-08-16	@ Ferencvaros	W 2-1	68.8	1652	1730	25.46%	25.32%	49.22%	-0.55	+8.7	9
2025-08-17	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	L 1-2	63.4	1588	1500	50.50%	25.11%	24.39%	+0.61	-8.9	7
2025-08-17	@ Debrecen VSC	W 2-1	63.4	1500	1588	24.39%	25.11%	50.50%	-0.61	+8.9	4
2025-08-17	Gyor	L 2-7	56.0	1596	1634	33.33%	26.17%	40.50%	-0.16	-20.8	4
2025-08-17	@ MTK Budapest	W 7-2	56.0	1634	1596	40.50%	26.17%	33.33%	+0.16	+20.8	6
2025-08-17	Zalaegerszeg	D 2-2	75.3	1672	1565	52.86%	24.65%	22.49%	+0.73	-0.9	8
2025-08-17	@ Paks	D 2-2	75.3	1565	1672	22.49%	24.65%	52.86%	-0.73	+0.9	4
2025-08-22	Debrecen VSC	L 1-3	64.2	1660	1579	49.70%	25.24%	25.06%	+0.57	-15.2	9
2025-08-22	@ Puskas	W 3-1	64.2	1579	1660	25.06%	25.24%	49.70%	-0.57	+15.2	10
2025-08-23	Diosgyor	L 1-4	52.2	1508	1504	39.29%	26.21%	34.49%	+0.10	-17.8	4
2025-08-23	@ Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	W 4-1	52.2	1504	1508	34.49%	26.21%	39.29%	-0.10	+17.8	5
2025-08-23	Ujpest	L 1-4	56.2	1566	1557	39.82%	26.20%	33.98%	+0.13	-18.0	4
2025-08-23	@ Zalaegerszeg	W 4-1	56.2	1557	1566	33.98%	26.20%	39.82%	-0.13	+18.0	7
2025-08-24	Paks	L 2-3	65.7	1576	1671	26.27%	25.46%	48.27%	-0.51	-5.0	4
2025-08-24	@ MTK Budapest	W 3-2	65.7	1671	1576	48.27%	25.46%	26.27%	+0.51	+5.0	11
2025-08-29	Kazincbarcika	W 3-0	46.1	1676	1532	57.19%	23.59%	19.22%	+0.95	+11.7	14
2025-08-29	@ Paks	L 0-3	46.1	1532	1676	19.22%	23.59%	57.19%	-0.95	-11.6	1
2025-08-30	Puskas	D 1-1	67.9	1522	1645	23.28%	24.85%	51.86%	-0.68	+1.2	6
2025-08-30	@ Diosgyor	D 1-1	67.9	1645	1522	51.86%	24.85%	23.28%	+0.68	-1.2	10
2025-08-30	MTK Budapest	L 1-2	62.2	1575	1571	39.29%	26.21%	34.50%	+0.10	-7.3	7
2025-08-30	@ Ujpest	W 2-1	62.2	1571	1575	34.50%	26.21%	39.29%	-0.10	+7.3	7
2025-08-30	Kisvarda	L 1-2	60.5	1548	1541	39.55%	26.21%	34.24%	+0.11	-7.3	4
2025-08-30	@ Zalaegerszeg	W 2-1	60.5	1541	1548	34.24%	26.21%	39.55%	-0.11	+7.3	10
2025-08-31	Ferencvaros	L 0-3	49.3	1594	1721	22.94%	24.77%	52.29%	-0.70	-13.7	10
2025-08-31	@ Debrecen VSC	W 3-0	49.3	1721	1594	52.29%	24.77%	22.94%	+0.70	+13.7	10
2025-08-31	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	W 1-0	49.4	1655	1491	59.47%	22.91%	17.62%	+1.08	+3.9	9
2025-08-31	@ Gyor	L 0-1	49.4	1491	1655	17.62%	22.91%	59.47%	-1.08	-3.9	4
2025-09-19	Diosgyor	D 2-2	76.7	1735	1523	64.41%	21.16%	14.43%	+1.37	-1.6	11
2025-09-19	@ Ferencvaros	D 2-2	76.7	1523	1735	14.43%	21.16%	64.41%	-1.37	+1.6	7
2025-09-20	Ujpest	W 2-0	52.4	1520	1568	32.00%	26.10%	41.90%	-0.22	+15.3	4
2025-09-20	@ Kazincbarcika	L 0-2	52.4	1568	1520	41.90%	26.10%	32.00%	+0.22	-15.3	7
2025-09-20	Paks	D 1-1	68.8	1487	1687	16.77%	22.50%	60.73%	-1.15	+1.9	5
2025-09-20	@ Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	D 1-1	68.8	1687	1487	60.73%	22.50%	16.77%	+1.15	-1.9	15
2025-09-20	Gyor	L 0-2	55.8	1644	1659	36.49%	26.25%	37.26%	-0.02	-13.8	10
2025-09-20	@ Puskas	W 2-0	55.8	1659	1644	37.26%	26.25%	36.49%	+0.02	+13.8	12
2025-09-21	Debrecen VSC	L 0-1	54.8	1548	1580	34.15%	26.20%	39.65%	-0.12	-6.9	10
2025-09-21	@ Kisvarda	W 1-0	54.8	1580	1548	39.65%	26.20%	34.15%	+0.12	+6.9	13
2025-09-21	Zalaegerszeg	W 1-0	53.2	1578	1540	43.89%	25.96%	30.15%	+0.30	+6.3	10
2025-09-21	@ MTK Budapest	L 0-1	53.2	1540	1578	30.15%	25.96%	43.89%	-0.30	-6.3	4
2025-09-26	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	D 2-2	69.5	1553	1489	47.42%	25.58%	27.00%	+0.47	-0.6	8
2025-09-26	@ Ujpest	D 2-2	69.5	1489	1553	27.00%	25.58%	47.42%	-0.47	+0.6	6
2025-09-27	Debrecen VSC	D 0-0	61.8	1524	1587	30.10%	25.95%	43.95%	-0.31	+0.6	8
2025-09-27	@ Diosgyor	D 0-0	61.8	1587	1524	43.95%	25.95%	30.10%	+0.31	-0.6	14
2025-09-27	Puskas	W 3-2	67.3	1686	1630	46.28%	25.72%	28.00%	+0.41	+5.3	18
2025-09-27	@ Paks	L 2-3	67.3	1630	1686	28.00%	25.72%	46.28%	-0.41	-5.3	10
2025-09-27	Kazincbarcika	W 5-0	48.0	1534	1535	38.42%	26.23%	35.35%	+0.07	+31.4	7
2025-09-27	@ Zalaegerszeg	L 0-5	48.0	1535	1534	35.35%	26.23%	38.42%	-0.07	-31.4	4
2025-09-28	Ferencvaros	L 0-2	54.8	1673	1733	30.40%	25.98%	43.63%	-0.29	-12.0	12
2025-09-28	@ Gyor	W 2-0	54.8	1733	1673	43.63%	25.98%	30.40%	+0.29	+12.0	14
2025-09-28	Kisvarda	W 4-0	47.4	1584	1541	44.58%	25.90%	29.52%	+0.34	+22.2	13
2025-09-28	@ MTK Budapest	L 0-4	47.4	1541	1584	29.52%	25.90%	44.58%	-0.34	-22.2	10
2025-10-03	MTK Budapest	W 3-1	60.9	1504	1606	25.48%	25.32%	49.20%	-0.55	+15.1	7
2025-10-03	@ Kazincbarcika	L 1-3	60.9	1606	1504	49.20%	25.32%	25.48%	+0.55	-15.0	13
2025-10-04	Gyor	D 1-1	69.4	1586	1661	28.67%	25.80%	45.52%	-0.38	+0.7	15
2025-10-04	@ Debrecen VSC	D 1-1	69.4	1661	1586	45.52%	25.80%	28.67%	+0.38	-0.7	13
2025-10-04	Zalaegerszeg	W 3-1	58.1	1489	1565	28.45%	25.78%	45.77%	-0.39	+14.2	9
2025-10-04	@ Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	L 1-3	58.1	1565	1489	45.77%	25.78%	28.45%	+0.39	-14.2	7
2025-10-04	Ujpest	D 0-0	63.8	1625	1552	48.57%	25.42%	26.01%	+0.52	-1.0	11
2025-10-04	@ Puskas	D 0-0	63.8	1552	1625	26.01%	25.42%	48.57%	-0.52	+1.0	9
2025-10-05	Paks	D 2-2	77.2	1745	1691	46.10%	25.74%	28.16%	+0.40	-0.5	15
2025-10-05	@ Ferencvaros	D 2-2	77.2	1691	1745	28.16%	25.74%	46.10%	-0.40	+0.5	19
2025-10-05	Diosgyor	W 1-0	52.5	1519	1525	37.82%	26.24%	35.94%	+0.04	+7.2	13
2025-10-05	@ Kisvarda	L 0-1	52.5	1525	1519	35.94%	26.24%	37.82%	-0.04	-7.2	8
2025-10-18	Diosgyor	W 3-1	53.3	1660	1518	57.00%	23.64%	19.36%	+0.94	+7.0	16
2025-10-18	@ Gyor	L 1-3	53.3	1518	1660	19.36%	23.64%	57.00%	-0.94	-7.0	8
2025-10-18	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	W 5-1	48.9	1591	1503	50.49%	25.11%	24.40%	+0.61	+15.8	16
2025-10-18	@ MTK Budapest	L 1-5	48.9	1503	1591	24.40%	25.11%	50.49%	-0.61	-15.8	9
2025-10-18	Debrecen VSC	D 1-1	70.2	1691	1587	52.52%	24.72%	22.76%	+0.71	-1.2	20
2025-10-18	@ Paks	D 1-1	70.2	1587	1691	22.76%	24.72%	52.52%	-0.71	+1.2	16
2025-10-19	Kisvarda	L 0-1	53.1	1519	1526	37.58%	26.24%	36.18%	+0.03	-7.5	7
2025-10-19	@ Kazincbarcika	W 1-0	53.1	1526	1519	36.18%	26.24%	37.58%	-0.03	+7.5	16
2025-10-19	Ferencvaros	D 1-1	71.0	1553	1744	17.45%	22.83%	59.72%	-1.09	+1.8	10
2025-10-19	@ Ujpest	D 1-1	71.0	1744	1553	59.72%	22.83%	17.45%	+1.09	-1.8	16
2025-10-19	Puskas	L 0-1	54.4	1551	1624	28.86%	25.82%	45.31%	-0.37	-6.1	7
2025-10-19	@ Zalaegerszeg	W 1-0	54.4	1624	1551	45.31%	25.82%	28.86%	+0.37	+6.1	14
2025-10-25	Paks	W 2-1	68.4	1511	1690	18.36%	23.24%	58.41%	-1.02	+10.0	11
2025-10-25	@ Diosgyor	L 1-2	68.4	1690	1511	58.41%	23.24%	18.36%	+1.02	-10.0	20
2025-10-25	Kazincbarcika	L 0-1	50.6	1488	1512	35.22%	26.23%	38.55%	-0.07	-7.1	9
2025-10-25	@ Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	W 1-0	50.6	1512	1488	38.55%	26.23%	35.22%	+0.07	+7.1	10
2025-10-25	MTK Budapest	D 1-1	69.1	1630	1607	41.86%	26.10%	32.04%	+0.21	-0.4	15
2025-10-25	@ Puskas	D 1-1	69.1	1607	1630	32.04%	26.10%	41.86%	-0.21	+0.4	17
2025-10-26	Ujpest	W 5-2	56.9	1588	1555	43.33%	26.00%	30.67%	+0.28	+12.8	19
2025-10-26	@ Debrecen VSC	L 2-5	56.9	1555	1588	30.67%	26.00%	43.33%	-0.28	-12.8	10
2025-10-26	Zalaegerszeg	L 1-2	70.9	1743	1545	62.97%	21.71%	15.32%	+1.28	-10.7	16
2025-10-26	@ Ferencvaros	W 2-1	70.9	1545	1743	15.32%	21.71%	62.97%	-1.28	+10.7	10
2025-10-26	Gyor	W 3-2	72.6	1534	1667	22.35%	24.61%	53.03%	-0.74	+8.8	19
2025-10-26	@ Kisvarda	L 2-3	72.6	1667	1534	53.03%	24.61%	22.35%	+0.74	-8.8	16
2025-10-31	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	D 0-0	58.8	1543	1481	47.18%	25.61%	27.21%	+0.45	-0.9	20
2025-10-31	@ Kisvarda	D 0-0	58.8	1481	1543	27.21%	25.61%	47.18%	-0.45	+0.9	10
2025-11-01	MTK Budapest	W 4-1	54.1	1732	1607	54.94%	24.18%	20.89%	+0.83	+10.6	19
2025-11-01	@ Ferencvaros	L 1-4	54.1	1607	1732	20.89%	24.18%	54.94%	-0.83	-10.6	17
2025-11-01	Paks	D 0-0	66.3	1658	1680	35.51%	26.24%	38.25%	-0.06	+0.1	17
2025-11-01	@ Gyor	D 0-0	66.3	1680	1658	38.25%	26.24%	35.51%	+0.06	-0.1	21
2025-11-01	Puskas	L 1-3	54.5	1519	1630	24.57%	25.14%	50.28%	-0.60	-8.7	10
2025-11-01	@ Kazincbarcika	W 3-1	54.5	1630	1519	50.28%	25.14%	24.57%	+0.60	+8.7	18
2025-11-02	Zalaegerszeg	W 2-1	59.4	1601	1556	44.94%	25.86%	29.20%	+0.35	+5.8	22
2025-11-02	@ Debrecen VSC	L 1-2	59.4	1556	1601	29.20%	25.86%	44.94%	-0.35	-5.8	10
2025-11-02	Ujpest	L 1-3	55.4	1521	1542	35.61%	26.24%	38.16%	-0.05	-11.7	11
2025-11-02	@ Diosgyor	W 3-1	55.4	1542	1521	38.16%	26.24%	35.61%	+0.05	+11.7	13
2025-11-08	Kisvarda	W 5-3	60.6	1680	1542	56.53%	23.77%	19.70%	+0.92	+6.0	24
2025-11-08	@ Paks	L 3-5	60.6	1542	1680	19.70%	23.77%	56.53%	-0.92	-6.0	20
2025-11-08	Gyor	L 0-3	48.5	1554	1658	25.23%	25.28%	49.49%	-0.56	-14.9	13
2025-11-08	@ Ujpest	W 3-0	48.5	1658	1554	49.49%	25.28%	25.23%	+0.56	+14.9	20
2025-11-08	Diosgyor	W 2-0	47.7	1550	1509	44.32%	25.92%	29.76%	+0.32	+11.8	13
2025-11-08	@ Zalaegerszeg	L 0-2	47.7	1509	1550	29.76%	25.92%	44.32%	-0.32	-11.8	11
2025-11-09	Ferencvaros	L 1-3	52.8	1510	1743	14.66%	21.31%	64.03%	-1.34	-5.3	10
2025-11-09	@ Kazincbarcika	W 3-1	52.8	1743	1510	64.03%	21.31%	14.66%	+1.34	+5.3	22
2025-11-09	Debrecen VSC	W 3-0	52.0	1597	1607	37.19%	26.25%	36.56%	+0.01	+20.0	20
2025-11-09	@ MTK Budapest	L 0-3	52.0	1607	1597	36.56%	26.25%	37.19%	-0.01	-20.0	22
2025-11-09	Puskas	D 1-1	66.9	1481	1638	20.20%	23.95%	55.85%	-0.88	+1.5	11
2025-11-09	@ Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	D 1-1	66.9	1638	1481	55.85%	23.95%	20.20%	+0.88	-1.5	19
2025-11-21	Zalaegerszeg	L 0-1	62.7	1673	1562	53.40%	24.53%	22.06%	+0.76	-9.9	20
2025-11-21	@ Gyor	W 1-0	62.7	1562	1673	22.06%	24.53%	53.40%	-0.76	+9.9	16
2025-11-22	Kazincbarcika	W 2-1	55.9	1587	1505	49.76%	25.23%	25.01%	+0.58	+5.1	25
2025-11-22	@ Debrecen VSC	L 1-2	55.9	1505	1587	25.01%	25.23%	49.76%	-0.58	-5.1	10
2025-11-22	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	L 1-3	68.1	1748	1483	69.48%	18.98%	11.54%	+1.69	-20.0	22
2025-11-22	@ Ferencvaros	W 3-1	68.1	1483	1748	11.54%	18.98%	69.48%	-1.69	+20.0	14
2025-11-22	Kisvarda	W 2-0	48.9	1637	1536	52.11%	24.80%	23.08%	+0.69	+9.5	22
2025-11-22	@ Puskas	L 0-2	48.9	1536	1637	23.08%	24.80%	52.11%	-0.69	-9.5	20
2025-11-23	MTK Budapest	W 4-0	53.3	1497	1617	23.69%	24.95%	51.36%	-0.65	+34.2	14
2025-11-23	@ Diosgyor	L 0-4	53.3	1617	1497	51.36%	24.95%	23.69%	+0.65	-34.2	20
2025-11-23	Ujpest	L 1-3	65.8	1686	1539	57.56%	23.49%	18.96%	+0.97	-17.2	24
2025-11-23	@ Paks	W 3-1	65.8	1539	1686	18.96%	23.49%	57.56%	-0.97	+17.2	16
2025-11-28	Debrecen VSC	L 0-3	45.9	1503	1592	26.94%	25.57%	47.49%	-0.47	-15.8	14
2025-11-28	@ Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	W 3-0	45.9	1592	1503	47.49%	25.57%	26.94%	+0.47	+15.8	28
2025-11-29	MTK Budapest	W 3-0	49.1	1663	1583	49.59%	25.26%	25.15%	+0.57	+14.9	23
2025-11-29	@ Gyor	L 0-3	49.1	1583	1663	25.15%	25.26%	49.59%	-0.57	-14.9	20
2025-11-29	Diosgyor	D 1-1	63.1	1500	1532	34.12%	26.20%	39.68%	-0.12	+0.2	11
2025-11-29	@ Kazincbarcika	D 1-1	63.1	1532	1500	39.68%	26.20%	34.12%	+0.12	-0.2	15
2025-11-29	Paks	W 1-0	61.6	1572	1669	26.03%	25.42%	48.55%	-0.52	+9.1	19
2025-11-29	@ Zalaegerszeg	L 0-1	61.6	1669	1572	48.55%	25.42%	26.03%	+0.52	-9.1	24
2025-11-30	Ujpest	W 3-0	49.4	1526	1556	34.42%	26.21%	39.36%	-0.11	+21.2	23
2025-11-30	@ Kisvarda	L 0-3	49.4	1556	1526	39.36%	26.21%	34.42%	+0.11	-21.2	16
2025-11-30	Ferencvaros	L 1-2	62.5	1646	1728	27.81%	25.69%	46.49%	-0.42	-5.6	22
2025-11-30	@ Puskas	W 2-1	62.5	1728	1646	46.49%	25.69%	27.81%	+0.42	+5.6	25
2025-12-03	Gyor	L 1-3	52.9	1500	1678	18.43%	23.27%	58.30%	-1.01	-6.7	11
2025-12-03	@ Kazincbarcika	W 3-1	52.9	1678	1500	58.30%	23.27%	18.43%	+1.01	+6.7	26
2025-12-04	Ferencvaros	L 0-1	52.3	1547	1733	17.85%	23.02%	59.13%	-1.06	-4.0	23
2025-12-04	@ Kisvarda	W 1-0	52.3	1733	1547	59.13%	23.02%	17.85%	+1.06	+3.9	28
2025-12-06	Puskas	L 0-1	57.6	1608	1641	33.98%	26.20%	39.83%	-0.13	-6.9	28
2025-12-06	@ Debrecen VSC	W 1-0	57.6	1641	1608	39.83%	26.20%	33.98%	+0.13	+6.9	25
2025-12-06	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	W 2-0	46.1	1531	1487	44.79%	25.88%	29.34%	+0.34	+11.6	18
2025-12-06	@ Diosgyor	L 0-2	46.1	1487	1531	29.34%	25.88%	44.79%	-0.34	-11.6	14
2025-12-06	MTK Budapest	W 3-1	56.2	1660	1568	51.00%	25.02%	23.99%	+0.64	+8.5	27
2025-12-06	@ Paks	L 1-3	56.2	1568	1660	23.99%	25.02%	51.00%	-0.64	-8.5	20
2025-12-07	Kisvarda	W 3-0	45.8	1737	1544	62.59%	21.85%	15.56%	+1.26	+9.4	31
2025-12-07	@ Ferencvaros	L 0-3	45.8	1544	1737	15.56%	21.85%	62.59%	-1.26	-9.4	23
2025-12-07	Kazincbarcika	W 3-1	51.7	1685	1493	62.38%	21.93%	15.69%	+1.24	+5.7	29
2025-12-07	@ Gyor	L 1-3	51.7	1493	1685	15.69%	21.93%	62.38%	-1.24	-5.7	11
2025-12-07	Zalaegerszeg	L 0-2	50.4	1535	1581	32.25%	26.12%	41.63%	-0.20	-12.5	16
2025-12-07	@ Ujpest	W 2-0	50.4	1581	1535	41.63%	26.12%	32.25%	+0.20	+12.5	22
2025-12-13	Ujpest	L 3-4	69.8	1559	1522	43.80%	25.97%	30.24%	+0.30	-7.3	20
2025-12-13	@ MTK Budapest	W 4-3	69.8	1522	1559	30.24%	25.97%	43.80%	-0.30	+7.3	19
2025-12-13	Gyor	L 0-1	49.1	1475	1691	15.77%	21.97%	62.25%	-1.24	-3.5	14
2025-12-13	@ Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	W 1-0	49.1	1691	1475	62.25%	21.97%	15.77%	+1.24	+3.5	32
2025-12-13	Diosgyor	W 2-1	57.9	1648	1543	52.56%	24.71%	22.72%	+0.71	+4.7	28
2025-12-13	@ Puskas	L 1-2	57.9	1543	1648	22.72%	24.71%	52.56%	-0.71	-4.7	18
2025-12-14	Debrecen VSC	L 0-1	65.1	1747	1601	57.42%	23.53%	19.06%	+0.97	-10.5	31
2025-12-14	@ Ferencvaros	W 1-0	65.1	1601	1747	19.06%	23.53%	57.42%	-0.97	+10.5	31
2025-12-14	Paks	L 0-2	46.5	1488	1668	18.25%	23.19%	58.56%	-1.03	-7.6	11
2025-12-14	@ Kazincbarcika	W 2-0	46.5	1668	1488	58.56%	23.19%	18.25%	+1.03	+7.6	30
2025-12-14	Zalaegerszeg	D 3-3	76.5	1534	1593	30.53%	25.99%	43.47%	-0.29	+0.3	24
2025-12-14	@ Kisvarda	D 3-3	76.5	1593	1534	43.47%	25.99%	30.53%	+0.29	-0.3	23
2025-12-19	Ferencvaros	L 0-1	51.8	1538	1736	16.96%	22.60%	60.44%	-1.13	-3.8	18
2025-12-19	@ Diosgyor	W 1-0	51.8	1736	1538	60.44%	22.60%	16.96%	+1.13	+3.8	34
2025-12-20	Puskas	W 2-0	54.1	1694	1652	44.46%	25.91%	29.63%	+0.33	+11.7	35
2025-12-20	@ Gyor	L 0-2	54.1	1652	1694	29.63%	25.91%	44.46%	-0.33	-11.7	28
2025-12-20	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	W 2-1	53.5	1676	1472	63.62%	21.47%	14.91%	+1.32	+3.1	33
2025-12-20	@ Paks	L 1-2	53.5	1472	1676	14.91%	21.47%	63.62%	-1.32	-3.1	14
2025-12-20	MTK Budapest	D 1-1	67.0	1593	1552	44.35%	25.92%	29.74%	+0.32	-0.6	24
2025-12-20	@ Zalaegerszeg	D 1-1	67.0	1552	1593	29.74%	25.92%	44.35%	-0.32	+0.6	21
2025-12-21	Kisvarda	L 0-1	59.5	1611	1534	49.09%	25.34%	25.57%	+0.54	-9.2	31
2025-12-21	@ Debrecen VSC	W 1-0	59.5	1534	1611	25.57%	25.34%	49.09%	-0.54	+9.2	27
2025-12-21	Kazincbarcika	W 2-1	54.3	1530	1480	45.53%	25.80%	28.67%	+0.38	+5.7	22
2025-12-21	@ Ujpest	L 1-2	54.3	1480	1530	28.67%	25.80%	45.53%	-0.38	-5.7	11
2026-01-24	MTK Budapest	L 2-3	65.4	1544	1553	37.36%	26.24%	36.39%	+0.02	-6.6	27
2026-01-24	@ Kisvarda	W 3-2	65.4	1553	1544	36.39%	26.24%	37.36%	-0.02	+6.7	24
2026-01-24	Ujpest	D 1-1	62.2	1469	1535	29.62%	25.91%	44.47%	-0.33	+0.6	15
2026-01-24	@ Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	D 1-1	62.2	1535	1469	44.47%	25.91%	29.62%	+0.33	-0.6	23
2026-01-24	Paks	L 1-2	63.7	1641	1679	33.24%	26.17%	40.59%	-0.16	-6.4	28
2026-01-24	@ Puskas	W 2-1	63.7	1679	1641	40.59%	26.17%	33.24%	+0.16	+6.4	36
2026-01-25	Diosgyor	W 3-2	63.2	1602	1535	47.89%	25.51%	26.60%	+0.49	+5.1	34
2026-01-25	@ Debrecen VSC	L 2-3	63.2	1535	1602	26.60%	25.51%	47.89%	-0.49	-5.1	18
2026-01-25	Gyor	L 1-3	64.7	1740	1706	43.42%	26.00%	30.58%	+0.28	-13.6	34
2026-01-25	@ Ferencvaros	W 3-1	64.7	1706	1740	30.58%	26.00%	43.42%	-0.28	+13.6	38
2026-01-25	Zalaegerszeg	L 0-1	49.3	1474	1592	23.82%	24.98%	51.20%	-0.65	-5.2	11
2026-01-25	@ Kazincbarcika	W 1-0	49.3	1592	1474	51.20%	24.98%	23.82%	+0.65	+5.2	27
2026-01-31	Debrecen VSC	D 2-2	76.7	1719	1607	53.48%	24.52%	22.00%	+0.76	-1.0	39
2026-01-31	@ Gyor	D 2-2	76.7	1607	1719	22.00%	24.52%	53.48%	-0.76	+1.0	35
2026-01-31	Kazincbarcika	L 1-3	58.4	1559	1469	50.77%	25.06%	24.17%	+0.63	-15.5	24
2026-01-31	@ MTK Budapest	W 3-1	58.4	1469	1559	24.17%	25.06%	50.77%	-0.63	+15.5	14
2026-01-31	Puskas	L 0-1	53.2	1535	1634	25.80%	25.38%	48.82%	-0.53	-5.5	23
2026-01-31	@ Ujpest	W 1-0	53.2	1634	1535	48.82%	25.38%	25.80%	+0.53	+5.5	31
2026-02-01	Kisvarda	D 1-1	64.4	1529	1537	37.56%	26.24%	36.19%	+0.03	-0.0	19
2026-02-01	@ Diosgyor	D 1-1	64.4	1537	1529	36.19%	26.24%	37.56%	-0.03	+0.0	28
2026-02-01	Ferencvaros	L 0-1	59.1	1685	1726	32.89%	26.15%	40.96%	-0.18	-6.8	36
2026-02-01	@ Paks	W 1-0	59.1	1726	1685	40.96%	26.15%	32.89%	+0.18	+6.7	37
2026-02-01	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	L 0-1	58.5	1598	1469	55.36%	24.07%	20.57%	+0.86	-10.2	27
2026-02-01	@ Zalaegerszeg	W 1-0	58.5	1469	1598	20.57%	24.07%	55.36%	-0.86	+10.2	18
2026-02-06	Kazincbarcika	W 1-0	49.3	1537	1484	45.91%	25.76%	28.33%	+0.40	+6.0	31
2026-02-06	@ Kisvarda	L 0-1	49.3	1484	1537	28.33%	25.76%	45.91%	-0.40	-6.0	14
2026-02-07	Paks	W 1-0	61.4	1608	1679	29.13%	25.86%	45.01%	-0.35	+8.6	38
2026-02-07	@ Debrecen VSC	L 0-1	61.4	1679	1608	45.01%	25.86%	29.13%	+0.35	-8.6	36
2026-02-07	Gyor	D 1-1	70.3	1529	1718	17.61%	22.91%	59.48%	-1.08	+1.8	20
2026-02-07	@ Diosgyor	D 1-1	70.3	1718	1529	59.48%	22.91%	17.61%	+1.08	-1.8	40
2026-02-07	Ujpest	W 3-0	45.2	1733	1529	63.63%	21.46%	14.91%	+1.32	+9.0	40
2026-02-07	@ Ferencvaros	L 0-3	45.2	1529	1733	14.91%	21.46%	63.63%	-1.32	-9.0	23
2026-02-08	MTK Budapest	W 4-2	60.7	1480	1544	29.92%	25.94%	44.14%	-0.32	+12.3	21
2026-02-08	@ Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	L 2-4	60.7	1544	1480	44.14%	25.94%	29.92%	+0.32	-12.3	24
2026-02-08	Zalaegerszeg	L 0-1	60.6	1640	1587	45.88%	25.76%	28.36%	+0.39	-8.7	31
2026-02-08	@ Puskas	W 1-0	60.6	1587	1640	28.36%	25.76%	45.88%	-0.39	+8.7	30
2026-02-13	Debrecen VSC	W 2-1	64.5	1520	1617	26.11%	25.43%	48.46%	-0.51	+8.6	26
2026-02-13	@ Ujpest	L 1-2	64.5	1617	1520	48.46%	25.43%	26.11%	+0.51	-8.6	38
2026-02-14	Puskas	D 2-2	73.4	1531	1631	25.77%	25.38%	48.85%	-0.53	+0.7	25
2026-02-14	@ MTK Budapest	D 2-2	73.4	1631	1531	48.85%	25.38%	25.77%	+0.53	-0.7	32
2026-02-14	Diosgyor	L 1-2	68.0	1670	1531	56.62%	23.75%	19.64%	+0.92	-9.8	36
2026-02-14	@ Paks	W 2-1	68.0	1531	1670	19.64%	23.75%	56.62%	-0.92	+9.8	23
2026-02-14	Ferencvaros	W 3-1	66.8	1596	1742	21.14%	24.26%	54.60%	-0.82	+16.4	33
2026-02-14	@ Zalaegerszeg	L 1-3	66.8	1742	1596	54.60%	24.26%	21.14%	+0.82	-16.4	40
2026-02-15	Kisvarda	W 1-0	51.6	1717	1543	60.47%	22.59%	16.94%	+1.13	+3.8	43
2026-02-15	@ Gyor	L 0-1	51.6	1543	1717	16.94%	22.59%	60.47%	-1.13	-3.8	31
2026-02-15	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	L 0-4	44.1	1478	1492	36.70%	26.25%	37.05%	-0.01	-26.2	14
2026-02-15	@ Kazincbarcika	W 4-0	44.1	1492	1478	37.05%	26.25%	36.70%	+0.01	+26.2	24
2026-02-21	Puskas	L 0-2	44.3	1452	1630	18.46%	23.28%	58.26%	-1.01	-7.7	14
2026-02-21	@ Kazincbarcika	W 2-0	44.3	1630	1452	58.26%	23.28%	18.46%	+1.01	+7.7	35
2026-02-21	Kisvarda	D 2-2	69.9	1518	1539	35.63%	26.24%	38.13%	-0.05	+0.1	25
2026-02-21	@ Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	D 2-2	69.9	1539	1518	38.13%	26.24%	35.63%	+0.05	-0.1	32
2026-02-21	Diosgyor	W 2-1	59.0	1529	1541	36.90%	26.25%	36.86%	+0.00	+6.9	29
2026-02-21	@ Ujpest	L 1-2	59.0	1541	1529	36.86%	26.25%	36.90%	+0.00	-6.9	23
2026-02-22	Gyor	L 3-4	71.7	1660	1720	30.41%	25.98%	43.61%	-0.29	-5.5	36
2026-02-22	@ Paks	W 4-3	71.7	1720	1660	43.61%	25.98%	30.41%	+0.29	+5.5	46
2026-02-22	Debrecen VSC	D 1-1	68.8	1612	1608	39.25%	26.21%	34.54%	+0.10	-0.2	34
2026-02-22	@ Zalaegerszeg	D 1-1	68.8	1608	1612	34.54%	26.21%	39.25%	-0.10	+0.2	39
2026-02-23	Ferencvaros	L 1-3	54.1	1532	1726	17.27%	22.75%	59.98%	-1.11	-6.2	25
2026-02-23	@ MTK Budapest	W 3-1	54.1	1726	1532	59.98%	22.75%	17.27%	+1.11	+6.3	43
2026-02-27	MTK Budapest	D 2-2	72.7	1608	1526	49.81%	25.22%	24.97%	+0.58	-0.8	40
2026-02-27	@ Debrecen VSC	D 2-2	72.7	1526	1608	24.97%	25.22%	49.81%	-0.58	+0.8	26
2026-02-28	Zalaegerszeg	D 1-1	67.1	1534	1612	28.20%	25.74%	46.06%	-0.40	+0.7	24
2026-02-28	@ Diosgyor	D 1-1	67.1	1612	1534	46.06%	25.74%	28.20%	+0.40	-0.7	35
2026-02-28	Ujpest	W 2-1	56.4	1726	1536	62.22%	21.98%	15.79%	+1.24	+3.3	49
2026-02-28	@ Gyor	L 1-2	56.4	1536	1726	15.79%	21.98%	62.22%	-1.24	-3.3	29
2026-02-28	Paks	W 2-1	66.5	1539	1655	24.08%	25.04%	50.88%	-0.63	+8.9	35
2026-02-28	@ Kisvarda	L 1-2	66.5	1655	1539	50.88%	25.04%	24.08%	+0.63	-8.9	36
2026-03-01	Kazincbarcika	W 2-1	51.9	1732	1445	71.49%	18.03%	10.49%	+1.83	+2.1	46
2026-03-01	@ Ferencvaros	L 1-2	51.9	1445	1732	10.49%	18.03%	71.49%	-1.83	-2.1	14
2026-03-01	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	L 1-2	66.4	1638	1518	54.38%	24.31%	21.31%	+0.81	-9.4	35
2026-03-01	@ Puskas	W 2-1	66.4	1518	1638	21.31%	24.31%	54.38%	-0.81	+9.5	28
2026-03-06	Puskas	W 1-0	59.6	1548	1629	27.94%	25.71%	46.35%	-0.42	+8.8	38
2026-03-06	@ Kisvarda	L 0-1	59.6	1629	1548	46.35%	25.71%	27.94%	+0.42	-8.8	35
2026-03-07	Paks	D 0-0	63.9	1532	1646	24.31%	25.09%	50.60%	-0.62	+1.2	30
2026-03-07	@ Ujpest	D 0-0	63.9	1646	1532	50.60%	25.09%	24.31%	+0.62	-1.2	37
2026-03-07	Gyor	W 2-1	69.0	1612	1729	23.87%	24.99%	51.14%	-0.64	+9.0	38
2026-03-07	@ Zalaegerszeg	L 1-2	69.0	1729	1612	51.14%	24.99%	23.87%	+0.64	-9.0	49
2026-03-08	Debrecen VSC	L 0-3	41.5	1442	1608	19.50%	23.70%	56.81%	-0.93	-11.8	14
2026-03-08	@ Kazincbarcika	W 3-0	41.5	1608	1442	56.81%	23.70%	19.50%	+0.93	+11.8	43
2026-03-08	Diosgyor	D 1-1	64.2	1527	1535	37.47%	26.24%	36.28%	+0.03	-0.0	27
2026-03-08	@ MTK Budapest	D 1-1	64.2	1535	1527	36.28%	26.24%	37.47%	-0.03	+0.0	25
2026-03-08	Ferencvaros	L 1-3	53.7	1528	1734	16.37%	22.30%	61.34%	-1.18	-5.9	28
2026-03-08	@ Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	W 3-1	53.7	1734	1528	61.34%	22.30%	16.37%	+1.18	+5.9	49
2026-03-13	Kazincbarcika	L 0-4	48.2	1535	1431	52.50%	24.72%	22.77%	+0.71	-34.8	25
2026-03-13	@ Diosgyor	W 4-0	48.2	1431	1535	22.77%	24.72%	52.50%	-0.71	+34.8	17
2026-03-13	MTK Budapest	D 0-0	66.3	1720	1527	62.59%	21.85%	15.56%	+1.26	-2.3	50
2026-03-13	@ Gyor	D 0-0	66.3	1527	1720	15.56%	21.85%	62.59%	-1.26	+2.3	28
2026-03-14	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	D 1-1	67.2	1619	1522	51.70%	24.88%	23.42%	+0.67	-1.2	44
2026-03-14	@ Debrecen VSC	D 1-1	67.2	1522	1619	23.42%	24.88%	51.70%	-0.67	+1.2	29
2026-03-14	Zalaegerszeg	D 1-1	69.6	1645	1621	42.02%	26.09%	31.88%	+0.22	-0.4	38
2026-03-14	@ Paks	D 1-1	69.6	1621	1645	31.88%	26.09%	42.02%	-0.22	+0.4	39
2026-03-14	Kisvarda	W 2-1	60.2	1534	1557	35.32%	26.23%	38.45%	-0.07	+7.2	33
2026-03-14	@ Ujpest	L 1-2	60.2	1557	1534	38.45%	26.23%	35.32%	+0.07	-7.2	38
2026-03-20	Paks	L 0-2	49.3	1529	1644	24.10%	25.04%	50.86%	-0.63	-9.9	28
2026-03-20	@ MTK Budapest	W 2-0	49.3	1644	1529	50.86%	25.04%	24.10%	+0.63	+9.9	41
2026-03-21	Diosgyor	W 3-1	52.9	1523	1500	41.88%	26.10%	32.02%	+0.22	+10.8	32
2026-03-21	@ Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	L 1-3	52.9	1500	1523	32.02%	26.10%	41.88%	-0.22	-10.8	25
2026-03-21	Ujpest	W 2-0	49.4	1621	1541	49.51%	25.27%	25.22%	+0.56	+10.3	42
2026-03-21	@ Zalaegerszeg	L 0-2	49.4	1541	1621	25.22%	25.27%	49.51%	-0.56	-10.3	33
2026-03-22	Gyor	L 1-3	50.7	1465	1718	13.47%	20.51%	66.02%	-1.47	-4.8	17
2026-03-22	@ Kazincbarcika	W 3-1	50.7	1718	1465	66.02%	20.51%	13.47%	+1.47	+4.8	53
2026-03-22	Ferencvaros	D 1-1	70.9	1550	1740	17.52%	22.87%	59.61%	-1.09	+1.8	39
2026-03-22	@ Kisvarda	D 1-1	70.9	1740	1550	59.61%	22.87%	17.52%	+1.09	-1.8	50
2026-03-22	Debrecen VSC	D 1-1	69.1	1620	1618	38.86%	26.22%	34.92%	+0.08	-0.1	36
2026-03-22	@ Puskas	D 1-1	69.1	1618	1620	34.92%	26.22%	38.86%	-0.08	+0.2	45
2026-04-04	Kazincbarcika	W 5-1	45.9	1654	1461	62.55%	21.86%	15.58%	+1.26	+10.3	44
2026-04-04	@ Paks	L 1-5	45.9	1461	1654	15.58%	21.86%	62.55%	-1.26	-10.3	17
2026-04-04	MTK Budapest	D 2-2	69.6	1531	1519	40.28%	26.18%	33.54%	+0.15	-0.2	34
2026-04-04	@ Ujpest	D 2-2	69.6	1519	1531	33.54%	26.18%	40.28%	-0.15	+0.2	29
2026-04-04	Kisvarda	W 2-0	49.9	1631	1552	49.45%	25.28%	25.27%	+0.56	+10.3	45
2026-04-04	@ Zalaegerszeg	L 0-2	49.9	1552	1631	25.27%	25.28%	49.45%	-0.56	-10.3	39
2026-04-05	Ferencvaros	L 0-2	52.1	1618	1738	23.65%	24.94%	51.41%	-0.66	-9.7	45
2026-04-05	@ Debrecen VSC	W 2-0	52.1	1738	1618	51.41%	24.94%	23.65%	+0.66	+9.7	53
2026-04-05	Puskas	L 1-2	55.6	1489	1620	22.60%	24.68%	52.72%	-0.72	-4.7	25
2026-04-05	@ Diosgyor	W 2-1	55.6	1620	1489	52.72%	24.68%	22.60%	+0.72	+4.7	39
2026-04-05	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	W 1-0	51.0	1723	1534	62.10%	22.03%	15.87%	+1.23	+3.5	56
2026-04-05	@ Gyor	L 0-1	51.0	1534	1723	15.87%	22.03%	62.10%	-1.23	-3.5	32
2026-04-10	Diosgyor	W 3-1	50.8	1748	1484	69.35%	19.04%	11.61%	+1.68	+4.1	56
2026-04-10	@ Ferencvaros	L 1-3	50.8	1484	1748	11.61%	19.04%	69.35%	-1.68	-4.1	25
2026-04-10	Gyor	L 1-4	56.0	1624	1726	25.50%	25.33%	49.17%	-0.55	-12.7	39
2026-04-10	@ Puskas	W 4-1	56.0	1726	1624	49.17%	25.33%	25.50%	+0.55	+12.7	59
2026-04-11	Ujpest	L 0-3	42.1	1450	1530	28.00%	25.72%	46.28%	-0.41	-16.3	17
2026-04-11	@ Kazincbarcika	W 3-0	42.1	1530	1450	46.28%	25.72%	28.00%	+0.41	+16.3	37
2026-04-11	Zalaegerszeg	W 3-0	55.1	1519	1641	23.40%	24.88%	51.72%	-0.67	+26.3	32
2026-04-11	@ MTK Budapest	L 0-3	55.1	1641	1519	51.72%	24.88%	23.40%	+0.67	-26.3	45
2026-04-11	Paks	W 2-0	58.4	1530	1664	22.26%	24.59%	53.16%	-0.74	+18.5	35
2026-04-11	@ Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	L 0-2	58.4	1664	1530	53.16%	24.59%	22.26%	+0.74	-18.5	44
2026-04-13	Debrecen VSC	D 0-0	62.9	1541	1609	29.50%	25.89%	44.60%	-0.34	+0.7	40
2026-04-13	@ Kisvarda	D 0-0	62.9	1609	1541	44.60%	25.89%	29.50%	+0.34	-0.7	46
2026-04-14	Puskas	W 2-1	59.3	1752	1612	56.79%	23.70%	19.51%	+0.93	+4.1	59
2026-04-14	@ Ferencvaros	L 1-2	59.3	1612	1752	19.51%	23.70%	56.79%	-0.93	-4.1	39
2026-04-17	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	W 7-2	53.1	1547	1549	38.32%	26.23%	35.44%	+0.06	+21.8	40
2026-04-17	@ Ujpest	L 2-7	53.1	1549	1547	35.44%	26.23%	38.32%	-0.06	-21.8	35
2026-04-18	Debrecen VSC	L 0-5	44.5	1480	1608	22.88%	24.75%	52.37%	-0.70	-22.1	25
2026-04-18	@ Diosgyor	W 5-0	44.5	1608	1480	52.37%	24.75%	22.88%	+0.70	+22.0	49
2026-04-18	Kisvarda	W 2-1	59.0	1545	1542	39.14%	26.22%	34.65%	+0.10	+6.6	35
2026-04-18	@ MTK Budapest	L 1-2	59.0	1542	1545	34.65%	26.22%	39.14%	-0.10	-6.6	40
2026-04-18	Kazincbarcika	W 4-0	39.8	1615	1434	61.26%	22.32%	16.42%	+1.18	+13.0	48
2026-04-18	@ Zalaegerszeg	L 0-4	39.8	1434	1615	16.42%	22.32%	61.26%	-1.18	-13.0	17
2026-04-19	Ferencvaros	W 1-0	60.9	1739	1756	36.20%	26.24%	37.56%	-0.03	+7.5	62
2026-04-19	@ Gyor	L 0-1	60.9	1756	1739	37.56%	26.24%	36.20%	+0.03	-7.4	59
2026-04-19	Puskas	W 1-0	56.4	1646	1608	43.98%	25.95%	30.07%	+0.31	+6.3	47
2026-04-19	@ Paks	L 0-1	56.4	1608	1646	30.07%	25.95%	43.98%	-0.31	-6.3	39
2026-04-24	MTK Budapest	D 0-0	57.2	1421	1552	22.55%	24.67%	52.78%	-0.72	+1.4	18
2026-04-24	@ Kazincbarcika	D 0-0	57.2	1552	1421	52.78%	24.67%	22.55%	+0.72	-1.4	36
2026-04-25	Diosgyor	L 1-2	59.7	1535	1458	49.10%	25.34%	25.57%	+0.54	-8.7	40
2026-04-25	@ Kisvarda	W 2-1	59.7	1458	1535	25.57%	25.34%	49.10%	-0.54	+8.7	28
2026-04-25	Zalaegerszeg	W 2-1	65.1	1527	1628	25.60%	25.34%	49.06%	-0.54	+8.7	38
2026-04-25	@ Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	L 1-2	65.1	1628	1527	49.06%	25.34%	25.60%	+0.54	-8.7	48
2026-04-25	Ujpest	W 2-0	51.5	1601	1568	43.24%	26.01%	30.75%	+0.28	+12.1	42
2026-04-25	@ Puskas	L 0-2	51.5	1568	1601	30.75%	26.01%	43.24%	-0.28	-12.1	40
2026-04-26	Paks	W 2-0	52.4	1749	1652	51.57%	24.91%	23.52%	+0.66	+9.7	62
2026-04-26	@ Ferencvaros	L 0-2	52.4	1652	1749	23.52%	24.91%	51.57%	-0.66	-9.7	47
2026-04-26	Gyor	D 1-1	71.2	1630	1747	23.99%	25.02%	50.99%	-0.64	+1.1	50
2026-04-26	@ Debrecen VSC	D 1-1	71.2	1747	1630	50.99%	25.02%	23.99%	+0.64	-1.1	63
2026-05-01	Puskas	L 1-3	61.3	1620	1613	39.52%	26.21%	34.28%	+0.11	-12.7	48
2026-05-01	@ Zalaegerszeg	W 3-1	61.3	1613	1620	34.28%	26.21%	39.52%	-0.11	+12.7	45
2026-05-02	Diosgyor	W 4-0	41.8	1745	1467	70.69%	18.41%	10.90%	+1.77	+8.3	66
2026-05-02	@ Gyor	L 0-4	41.8	1467	1745	10.90%	18.41%	70.69%	-1.77	-8.3	28
2026-05-02	Kisvarda	W 2-1	58.1	1422	1527	25.28%	25.28%	49.43%	-0.56	+8.7	21
2026-05-02	@ Kazincbarcika	L 1-2	58.1	1527	1422	49.43%	25.28%	25.28%	+0.56	-8.7	40
2026-05-02	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	D 1-1	65.1	1551	1536	40.76%	26.16%	33.08%	+0.17	-0.3	37
2026-05-02	@ MTK Budapest	D 1-1	65.1	1536	1551	33.08%	26.16%	40.76%	-0.17	+0.3	39
2026-05-03	Debrecen VSC	W 5-2	60.7	1642	1631	40.24%	26.18%	33.58%	+0.14	+13.7	50
2026-05-03	@ Paks	L 2-5	60.7	1631	1642	33.58%	26.18%	40.24%	-0.14	-13.7	50
2026-05-03	Ferencvaros	L 0-5	47.0	1556	1758	16.68%	22.46%	60.87%	-1.16	-16.3	40
2026-05-03	@ Ujpest	W 5-0	47.0	1758	1556	60.87%	22.46%	16.68%	+1.16	+16.3	65
2026-05-15	Kazincbarcika	D 2-2	67.0	1536	1431	52.58%	24.71%	22.71%	+0.71	-0.9	40
2026-05-15	@ Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	D 2-2	67.0	1431	1536	22.71%	24.71%	52.58%	-0.71	+0.9	22
2026-05-15	MTK Budapest	D 2-2	73.8	1626	1550	48.93%	25.36%	25.71%	+0.54	-0.7	46
2026-05-15	@ Puskas	D 2-2	73.8	1550	1626	25.71%	25.36%	48.93%	-0.54	+0.7	38
2026-05-16	Ujpest	W 2-1	58.1	1617	1540	49.16%	25.33%	25.51%	+0.55	+5.2	53
2026-05-16	@ Debrecen VSC	L 1-2	58.1	1540	1617	25.51%	25.33%	49.16%	-0.55	-5.2	40
2026-05-16	Paks	L 1-3	50.5	1459	1656	17.00%	22.62%	60.38%	-1.13	-6.2	28
2026-05-16	@ Diosgyor	W 3-1	50.5	1656	1459	60.38%	22.62%	17.00%	+1.13	+6.2	53
2026-05-16	Zalaegerszeg	W 3-0	47.7	1775	1607	59.83%	22.80%	17.37%	+1.10	+10.6	68
2026-05-16	@ Ferencvaros	L 0-3	47.7	1607	1775	17.37%	22.80%	59.83%	-1.10	-10.5	48
2026-05-16	Gyor	L 0-1	50.6	1518	1754	14.46%	21.18%	64.36%	-1.36	-3.2	40
2026-05-16	@ Kisvarda	W 1-0	50.6	1754	1518	64.36%	21.18%	14.46%	+1.36	+3.2	69

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2025-11-22	11.54%	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	1483	3	@ Ferencvaros	1748	1
2	2025-10-26	15.32%	Zalaegerszeg	1545	2	@ Ferencvaros	1743	1
3	2025-10-25	18.36%	@ Diosgyor	1511	2	Paks	1690	1
4	2025-11-23	18.96%	Ujpest	1539	3	@ Paks	1686	1
5	2025-12-14	19.06%	Debrecen VSC	1601	1	@ Ferencvaros	1747	0
6	2026-02-14	19.64%	Diosgyor	1531	2	@ Paks	1670	1
7	2026-02-01	20.57%	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	1469	1	@ Zalaegerszeg	1598	0
8	2026-02-14	21.14%	@ Zalaegerszeg	1596	3	Ferencvaros	1742	1
9	2026-03-01	21.31%	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	1518	2	@ Puskas	1638	1
10	2025-08-10	21.94%	@ Kisvarda	1523	2	Puskas	1661	1
11	2025-11-21	22.06%	Zalaegerszeg	1562	1	@ Gyor	1673	0
12	2026-04-11	22.26%	@ Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	1530	2	Paks	1664	0
13	2025-10-26	22.35%	@ Kisvarda	1534	3	Gyor	1667	2
14	2026-03-13	22.77%	Kazincbarcika	1431	4	@ Diosgyor	1535	0
15	2026-04-11	23.40%	@ MTK Budapest	1519	3	Zalaegerszeg	1641	0
16	2025-11-23	23.69%	@ Diosgyor	1497	4	MTK Budapest	1617	0
17	2026-03-07	23.87%	@ Zalaegerszeg	1612	2	Gyor	1729	1
18	2026-02-28	24.08%	@ Kisvarda	1539	2	Paks	1655	1
19	2026-01-31	24.17%	Kazincbarcika	1469	3	@ MTK Budapest	1559	1
20	2025-08-17	24.39%	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	1500	2	@ Debrecen VSC	1588	1
21	2025-08-22	25.06%	Debrecen VSC	1579	3	@ Puskas	1660	1
22	2026-05-02	25.28%	@ Kazincbarcika	1422	2	Kisvarda	1527	1
23	2025-08-16	25.46%	Puskas	1652	2	@ Ferencvaros	1730	1
24	2025-10-03	25.48%	@ Kazincbarcika	1504	3	MTK Budapest	1606	1
25	2025-12-21	25.57%	Kisvarda	1534	1	@ Debrecen VSC	1611	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2026-03-13	34.82	Kazincbarcika	4	1431	22.77%	@ Diosgyor	0	1535	52.50%	24.72%
2	2025-11-23	34.18	@ Diosgyor	4	1497	23.69%	MTK Budapest	0	1617	51.36%	24.95%
3	2025-09-27	31.43	@ Zalaegerszeg	5	1534	38.42%	Kazincbarcika	0	1535	35.35%	26.23%
4	2025-08-09	27.86	@ MTK Budapest	5	1569	43.81%	Diosgyor	0	1532	30.22%	25.96%
5	2026-04-11	26.32	@ MTK Budapest	3	1519	23.40%	Zalaegerszeg	0	1641	51.72%	24.88%
6	2026-02-15	26.22	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	4	1492	37.05%	@ Kazincbarcika	0	1478	36.70%	26.25%
7	2025-09-28	22.18	@ MTK Budapest	4	1584	44.58%	Kisvarda	0	1541	29.52%	25.90%
8	2026-04-18	22.05	Debrecen VSC	5	1608	52.37%	@ Diosgyor	0	1480	22.88%	24.75%
9	2026-04-17	21.82	@ Ujpest	7	1547	38.32%	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	2	1549	35.44%	26.23%
10	2025-11-30	21.15	@ Kisvarda	3	1526	34.42%	Ujpest	0	1556	39.36%	26.21%
11	2025-08-17	20.83	Gyor	7	1634	40.50%	@ MTK Budapest	2	1596	33.33%	26.17%
12	2025-11-09	20.02	@ MTK Budapest	3	1597	37.19%	Debrecen VSC	0	1607	36.56%	26.25%
13	2025-11-22	19.97	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	3	1483	11.54%	@ Ferencvaros	1	1748	69.48%	18.98%
14	2026-04-11	18.54	@ Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	2	1530	22.26%	Paks	0	1664	53.16%	24.59%
15	2025-08-23	17.99	Ujpest	4	1557	33.98%	@ Zalaegerszeg	1	1566	39.82%	26.20%
16	2025-08-23	17.81	Diosgyor	4	1504	34.49%	@ Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	1	1508	39.29%	26.21%
17	2025-11-23	17.17	Ujpest	3	1539	18.96%	@ Paks	1	1686	57.56%	23.49%
18	2026-02-14	16.42	@ Zalaegerszeg	3	1596	21.14%	Ferencvaros	1	1742	54.60%	24.26%
19	2026-05-03	16.30	Ferencvaros	5	1758	60.87%	@ Ujpest	0	1556	16.68%	22.46%
20	2026-04-11	16.27	Ujpest	3	1530	46.28%	@ Kazincbarcika	0	1450	28.00%	25.72%
21	2025-08-03	15.85	Paks	5	1651	50.33%	@ Kisvarda	1	1539	24.53%	25.14%
22	2025-10-18	15.77	@ MTK Budapest	5	1591	50.49%	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	1	1503	24.40%	25.11%
23	2025-11-28	15.76	Debrecen VSC	3	1592	47.49%	@ Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	0	1503	26.94%	25.57%
24	2026-01-31	15.46	Kazincbarcika	3	1469	24.17%	@ MTK Budapest	1	1559	50.77%	25.06%
25	2025-09-20	15.28	@ Kazincbarcika	2	1520	32.00%	Ujpest	0	1568	41.90%	26.10%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2025-07-27	79.9	@ Paks	3	1651	40.79%	Gyor	3	1635	33.05%	26.16%
2	2025-10-05	77.2	@ Ferencvaros	2	1745	46.10%	Paks	2	1691	28.16%	25.74%
3	2025-07-26	76.7	@ Zalaegerszeg	3	1564	37.22%	Debrecen VSC	3	1574	36.54%	26.25%
4	2025-09-19	76.7	@ Ferencvaros	2	1735	64.41%	Diosgyor	2	1523	14.43%	21.16%
5	2026-01-31	76.7	@ Gyor	2	1719	53.48%	Debrecen VSC	2	1607	22.00%	24.52%
6	2025-12-14	76.5	@ Kisvarda	3	1534	30.53%	Zalaegerszeg	3	1593	43.47%	25.99%
7	2025-08-17	75.3	@ Paks	2	1672	52.86%	Zalaegerszeg	2	1565	22.49%	24.65%
8	2026-05-15	73.8	@ Puskas	2	1626	48.93%	MTK Budapest	2	1550	25.71%	25.36%
9	2026-02-14	73.4	@ MTK Budapest	2	1531	25.77%	Puskas	2	1631	48.85%	25.38%
10	2026-02-27	72.7	@ Debrecen VSC	2	1608	49.81%	MTK Budapest	2	1526	24.97%	25.22%
11	2025-10-26	72.6	@ Kisvarda	3	1534	22.35%	Gyor	2	1667	53.03%	24.61%
12	2026-02-22	71.7	Gyor	4	1720	43.61%	@ Paks	3	1660	30.41%	25.98%
13	2025-08-02	71.2	@ Diosgyor	2	1531	34.01%	Zalaegerszeg	2	1564	39.80%	26.20%
14	2026-04-26	71.2	@ Debrecen VSC	1	1630	23.99%	Gyor	1	1747	50.99%	25.02%
15	2025-10-19	71.0	@ Ujpest	1	1553	17.45%	Ferencvaros	1	1744	59.72%	22.83%
16	2025-10-26	70.9	Zalaegerszeg	2	1545	15.32%	@ Ferencvaros	1	1743	62.97%	21.71%
17	2026-03-22	70.9	@ Kisvarda	1	1550	17.52%	Ferencvaros	1	1740	59.61%	22.87%
18	2025-07-26	70.4	@ MTK Budapest	1	1574	21.94%	Ferencvaros	1	1712	53.56%	24.50%
19	2026-02-07	70.3	@ Diosgyor	1	1529	17.61%	Gyor	1	1718	59.48%	22.91%
20	2025-10-18	70.2	@ Paks	1	1691	52.52%	Debrecen VSC	1	1587	22.76%	24.72%
21	2026-02-21	69.9	@ Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	2	1518	35.63%	Kisvarda	2	1539	38.13%	26.24%
22	2025-12-13	69.8	Ujpest	4	1522	30.24%	@ MTK Budapest	3	1559	43.80%	25.97%
23	2026-03-14	69.6	@ Paks	1	1645	42.02%	Zalaegerszeg	1	1621	31.88%	26.09%
24	2026-04-04	69.6	@ Ujpest	2	1531	40.28%	MTK Budapest	2	1519	33.54%	26.18%
25	2025-09-26	69.5	@ Ujpest	2	1553	47.42%	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	2	1489	27.00%	25.58%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2026-04-18	39.8	@ Zalaegerszeg	4	1615	61.26%	Kazincbarcika	0	1434	16.42%	22.32%
2	2026-03-08	41.5	Debrecen VSC	3	1608	56.81%	@ Kazincbarcika	0	1442	19.50%	23.70%
3	2026-05-02	41.8	@ Gyor	4	1745	70.69%	Diosgyor	0	1467	10.90%	18.41%
4	2026-04-11	42.1	Ujpest	3	1530	46.28%	@ Kazincbarcika	0	1450	28.00%	25.72%
5	2026-02-15	44.1	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	4	1492	37.05%	@ Kazincbarcika	0	1478	36.70%	26.25%
6	2026-02-21	44.3	Puskas	2	1630	58.26%	@ Kazincbarcika	0	1452	18.46%	23.28%
7	2026-04-18	44.5	Debrecen VSC	5	1608	52.37%	@ Diosgyor	0	1480	22.88%	24.75%
8	2026-02-07	45.2	@ Ferencvaros	3	1733	63.63%	Ujpest	0	1529	14.91%	21.46%
9	2025-12-07	45.8	@ Ferencvaros	3	1737	62.59%	Kisvarda	0	1544	15.56%	21.85%
10	2025-11-28	45.9	Debrecen VSC	3	1592	47.49%	@ Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	0	1503	26.94%	25.57%
11	2026-04-04	45.9	@ Paks	5	1654	62.55%	Kazincbarcika	1	1461	15.58%	21.86%
12	2025-08-29	46.1	@ Paks	3	1676	57.19%	Kazincbarcika	0	1532	19.22%	23.59%
13	2025-12-06	46.1	@ Diosgyor	2	1531	44.79%	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	0	1487	29.34%	25.88%
14	2025-08-02	46.5	@ Ferencvaros	3	1711	59.15%	Kazincbarcika	0	1549	17.84%	23.01%
15	2025-12-14	46.5	Paks	2	1668	58.56%	@ Kazincbarcika	0	1488	18.25%	23.19%
16	2026-05-03	47.0	Ferencvaros	5	1758	60.87%	@ Ujpest	0	1556	16.68%	22.46%
17	2025-09-28	47.4	@ MTK Budapest	4	1584	44.58%	Kisvarda	0	1541	29.52%	25.90%
18	2025-08-09	47.5	@ MTK Budapest	5	1569	43.81%	Diosgyor	0	1532	30.22%	25.96%
19	2025-11-08	47.7	@ Zalaegerszeg	2	1550	44.32%	Diosgyor	0	1509	29.76%	25.92%
20	2026-05-16	47.7	@ Ferencvaros	3	1775	59.83%	Zalaegerszeg	0	1607	17.37%	22.80%
21	2025-09-27	48.0	@ Zalaegerszeg	5	1534	38.42%	Kazincbarcika	0	1535	35.35%	26.23%
22	2026-03-13	48.2	Kazincbarcika	4	1431	22.77%	@ Diosgyor	0	1535	52.50%	24.72%
23	2025-11-08	48.5	Gyor	3	1658	49.49%	@ Ujpest	0	1554	25.23%	25.28%
24	2025-10-18	48.9	@ MTK Budapest	5	1591	50.49%	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	1	1503	24.40%	25.11%
25	2025-11-22	48.9	@ Puskas	2	1637	52.11%	Kisvarda	0	1536	23.08%	24.80%