2026-27 Serie A Season
50 games played · 20 teams
Season Status
In Progress
Awaiting final results
Title Favorite
Inter Milan
53.86% chance to win the title
Biggest Overachiever
Cagliari
6.25 points above expected
12 points · 5.75 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Venezia
6.25 points below expected
0 points · 6.25 expected points
League Table
Each team's record through games played. SimPts is the model's expected points through the same games — the sum over completed games of pregame win-probability × 3 plus tie-probability × 1. vsSim shows actual points minus that expectation — positive means the team has overachieved against the model so far.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 8.74 | +4.26 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 9.50 | +3.50 |
| 3 | Lazio Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 7.68 | +5.32 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 5.75 | +6.25 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 7.72 | +3.28 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 6.60 | +3.40 |
| 7 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 8.66 | +1.34 |
| 8 | Como | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 8.63 | +1.37 |
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7.79 | -0.79 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6.40 | +0.60 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 7.65 | -1.65 |
| 12 | Lecce | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5.30 | +0.70 |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 5.90 | -1.90 |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5.43 | -1.43 |
| 15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5.56 | -1.56 |
| 16 | Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5.61 | -1.61 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 5.89 | -1.89 |
| 18 | Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 6.48 | -4.48 |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 5.30 | -4.30 |
| 20 | Venezia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 6.25 | -6.25 |
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cagliari | 12 | 5.75 | +6.25 |
| 2 | Lazio Roma | 13 | 7.68 | +5.32 |
| 3 | Roma | 13 | 8.74 | +4.26 |
| 4 | Inter Milan | 13 | 9.50 | +3.50 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 10 | 6.60 | +3.40 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venezia | 0 | 6.25 | -6.25 |
| 2 | Bologna | 2 | 6.48 | -4.48 |
| 3 | Genoa | 1 | 5.30 | -4.30 |
| 4 | Udinese | 4 | 5.90 | -1.90 |
| 5 | Fiorentina | 4 | 5.89 | -1.89 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.
Most Unlikely Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cagliari | 3 | Sep 7 – Sep 19 | 1 in 33 |
| 2 | Lazio Roma | 3 | Aug 24 – Sep 7 | 1 in 15 |
| 3 | Roma | 4 | Aug 24 – Sep 14 | 1 in 13 |
| 4 | Como | 3 | Aug 30 – Sep 14 | 1 in 9 |
| 5 | Inter Milan | 4 | Aug 22 – Sep 14 | 1 in 8 |
Most Unlikely Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venezia | 5 | Aug 23 – Sep 19 | 1 in 108 |
| 2 | Atalanta | 3 | Sep 5 – Sep 20 | 1 in 25 |
| 3 | Fiorentina | 3 | Aug 24 – Sep 5 | 1 in 16 |
| 4 | Udinese | 3 | Sep 7 – Sep 19 | 1 in 12 |
| 5 | Genoa | 3 | Aug 22 – Sep 4 | 1 in 8 |
Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AC Milan | 5 | Aug 23 – Sep 20 | 1 in 7 |
| 2 | Lazio Roma | 5 | Aug 24 – Sep 19 | 1 in 7 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 4 | Aug 29 – Sep 20 | 1 in 6 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 3 | Sep 7 – Sep 19 | 1 in 5 |
| 5 | Sassuolo | 3 | Aug 29 – Sep 13 | 1 in 5 |
Most Unlikely Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bologna | 5 | Aug 24 – Sep 19 | 1 in 9 |
| 2 | Venezia | 5 | Aug 23 – Sep 19 | 1 in 8 |
| 3 | Genoa | 5 | Aug 22 – Sep 20 | 1 in 5 |
| 4 | Atalanta | 3 | Sep 5 – Sep 20 | 1 in 4 |
| 5 | Monza | 4 | Aug 22 – Sep 13 | 1 in 4 |
Position Race
Each team’s league position across the whole season. The current top 3 and bottom 3 are highlighted; everyone else is gray as context.
Recent Elo Movers
Which teams are the hottest and coldest over the last 14 days according to their Elo ratings?
Biggest Elo Gainers
| # | Team | Δ Elo | Current Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | +0.01 | 2093 |
| 2 | Cagliari | +0.01 | 2005 |
| 3 | Fiorentina | +0.01 | 1952 |
| 4 | Sassuolo | +0.01 | 1996 |
| 5 | AC Milan | +0.00 | 2091 |
Biggest Elo Losers
| # | Team | Δ Elo | Current Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bologna | -0.01 | 1992 |
| 2 | Torino | -0.01 | 1947 |
| 3 | AC Milan | +0.00 | 2091 |
| 4 | Atalanta | +0.00 | 2055 |
| 5 | Como | +0.00 | 2098 |
Recent Form
Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.
| Team | Elo | Season Pts | Form | Elo Δ (5) | Points (5) | Expected (5) | Actual − Exp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan | 2206 | 13 | +33 | 13 | 9.5 | +3.5 | |
| Lazio Roma | 2074 | 13 | +49 | 13 | 7.7 | +5.3 | |
| Roma | 2180 | 13 | +78 | 13 | 8.7 | +4.3 | |
| Cagliari | 2005 | 12 | +47 | 12 | 5.8 | +6.2 | |
| AC Milan | 2091 | 11 | +49 | 11 | 7.7 | +3.3 | |
| Como | 2098 | 10 | +5 | 10 | 8.6 | +1.4 | |
| Frosinone | 2049 | 10 | +64 | 10 | 6.6 | +3.4 | |
| Juventus | 2121 | 10 | +27 | 10 | 8.7 | +1.3 | |
| Napoli | 2093 | 7 | +3 | 7 | 7.8 | -0.8 | |
| Sassuolo | 1996 | 7 | +3 | 7 | 6.4 | +0.6 | |
| Lecce | 1920 | 6 | -18 | 6 | 5.3 | +0.7 | |
| Atalanta | 2055 | 6 | -29 | 6 | 7.6 | -1.6 | |
| Monza | 1940 | 4 | -19 | 4 | 5.6 | -1.6 | |
| Udinese | 1976 | 4 | -20 | 4 | 5.9 | -1.9 | |
| Parma | 1932 | 4 | -19 | 4 | 5.6 | -1.6 | |
| Torino | 1947 | 4 | -18 | 4 | 5.4 | -1.4 | |
| Fiorentina | 1952 | 4 | -56 | 4 | 5.9 | -1.9 | |
| Bologna | 1992 | 2 | -33 | 2 | 6.5 | -4.5 | |
| Genoa | 1923 | 1 | -55 | 1 | 5.3 | -4.3 | |
| Venezia | 1914 | 0 | -92 | 0 | 6.3 | -6.3 |
Upcoming Matches
The next slate of games with the model’s win / draw probabilities and an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo.
| Date | Favored By | Home | Win% – Draw% – Win% | Away | Favored By | Excitement | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | 0.83 | Atalanta | 6 pts·2055 | 56% – 25% – 18% | Venezia | 0 pts·1914 | 50.4 | |
| 2026-10-11 | 0.31 | Napoli | 7 pts·2093 | 45% – 27% – 29% | Frosinone | 10 pts·2049 | 70.3 | |
| 2026-10-11 | Sassuolo | 7 pts·1996 | 26% – 27% – 47% | AC Milan | 11 pts·2091 | 0.42 | 66.9 | |
| 2026-10-11 | 0.79 | Lazio Roma | 13 pts·2074 | 55% – 25% – 19% | Monza | 4 pts·1940 | 58.2 | |
| 2026-10-11 | 1.54 | Inter Milan | 13 pts·2206 | 68% – 22% – 10% | Parma | 4 pts·1932 | 50.2 | |
| 2026-10-11 | Lecce | 6 pts·1920 | 29% – 27% – 44% | Bologna | 2 pts·1992 | 0.30 | 59.2 | |
| 2026-10-11 | Como | 10 pts·2098 | 28% – 27% – 46% | Roma | 13 pts·2180 | 0.35 | 71.5 | |
| 2026-10-11 | Genoa | 1 pts·1923 | 35% – 27% – 38% | Fiorentina | 4 pts·1952 | 0.07 | 65.2 | |
| 2026-10-11 | Cagliari | 12 pts·2005 | 24% – 26% – 50% | Juventus | 10 pts·2121 | 0.53 | 57.9 | |
| 2026-10-11 | Torino | 4 pts·1947 | 35% – 27% – 38% | Udinese | 4 pts·1976 | 0.07 | 69.0 | |
| 2026-10-18 | 0.00 | Parma | 4 pts·1932 | 36% – 27% – 36% | Torino | 4 pts·1947 | 66.5 | |
| 2026-10-18 | Fiorentina | 4 pts·1952 | 21% – 26% – 53% | Como | 10 pts·2098 | 0.70 | 56.4 | |
| 2026-10-18 | 0.28 | AC Milan | 11 pts·2091 | 44% – 27% – 29% | Atalanta | 6 pts·2055 | 70.0 | |
| 2026-10-18 | Monza | 4 pts·1940 | 30% – 27% – 43% | Cagliari | 12 pts·2005 | 0.26 | 64.7 | |
| 2026-10-18 | 1.44 | Roma | 13 pts·2180 | 67% – 22% – 11% | Genoa | 1 pts·1923 | 49.1 | |
| 2026-10-18 | Bologna | 2 pts·1992 | 15% – 24% – 60% | Inter Milan | 13 pts·2206 | 1.05 | 53.5 | |
| 2026-10-18 | Venezia | 0 pts·1914 | 18% – 25% – 57% | Napoli | 7 pts·2093 | 0.87 | 48.8 | |
| 2026-10-18 | 0.36 | Frosinone | 10 pts·2049 | 46% – 27% – 27% | Sassuolo | 7 pts·1996 | 71.1 | |
| 2026-10-18 | 0.33 | Juventus | 10 pts·2121 | 45% – 27% – 28% | Lazio Roma | 13 pts·2074 | 69.9 | |
| 2026-10-18 | 0.38 | Udinese | 4 pts·1976 | 46% – 27% – 27% | Lecce | 6 pts·1920 | 65.4 |
Recent Matches
The most recent results with an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo · Elo change.
| Date | Favored By | Home | Score | Away | Favored By | Excitement | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Fiorentina | 4 pts·1949·+2.31 | 1 – 1 | Napoli | 7 pts·2095·-2.30 | 0.69 | 73.1 | |
| 2026-09-20 | Frosinone | 10 pts·2020·+29.58 | 2 – 0 | Como | 10 pts·2128·-29.58 | 0.49 | 59.6 | |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.00 | Parma | 4 pts·1920·+11.72 | 2 – 1 | Genoa | 1 pts·1935·-11.72 | 66.6 | |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.21 | Juventus | 10 pts·2100·+20.75 | 2 – 0 | Atalanta | 6 pts·2075·-20.76 | 54.4 | |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.77 | AC Milan | 11 pts·2071·+20.55 | 3 – 0 | Lecce | 6 pts·1940·-20.55 | 48.3 | |
| 2026-09-19 | 0.33 | Bologna | 2 pts·1993·-1.15 | 1 – 1 | Torino | 4 pts·1946·+1.14 | 72.8 | |
| 2026-09-19 | 0.07 | Udinese | 4 pts·1989·-12.90 | 0 – 1 | Cagliari | 12 pts·1992·+12.91 | 61.3 | |
| 2026-09-19 | Roma | 13 pts·2180·+0.14 | 2 – 2 | Inter Milan | 13 pts·2206·-0.14 | 0.06 | 79.0 | |
| 2026-09-19 | Venezia | 0 pts·1930·-16.12 | 0 – 2 | Lazio Roma | 13 pts·2058·+16.11 | 0.60 | 51.6 | |
| 2026-09-18 | Monza | 4 pts·1926·+14.02 | 2 – 1 | Sassuolo | 7 pts·2010·-14.02 | 0.36 | 69.4 | |
| 2026-09-14 | Torino | 4 pts·1958·-11.52 | 0 – 2 | Roma | 13 pts·2168·+11.52 | 1.03 | 49.0 | |
| 2026-09-14 | 1.13 | Como | 10 pts·2123·+5.32 | 2 – 1 | Parma | 4 pts·1925·-5.32 | 59.1 | |
| 2026-09-14 | 1.15 | Inter Milan | 13 pts·2198·+7.65 | 5 – 3 | Udinese | 4 pts·1997·-7.66 | 60.6 | |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.04 | Lecce | 6 pts·1930·+10.86 | 3 – 2 | Monza | 4 pts·1937·-10.86 | 71.9 | |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.53 | Napoli | 7 pts·2086·+8.96 | 1 – 0 | Bologna | 2 pts·2002·-8.96 | 56.8 | |
| 2026-09-13 | Sassuolo | 7 pts·1996·+14.34 | 3 – 2 | Juventus | 10 pts·2114·-14.34 | 0.55 | 76.2 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | AM | ATA | BOL | CAG | COM | FIO | FRO | GEN | IM | JUV | LR | LEC | MON | NAP | PAR | ROM | SAS | TOR | UDI | VEN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | — |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.12
|
0-1-0
1.35
|
1-0-0
1.91
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.62
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.73
|
| Atalanta |
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
1-0-0
1.74
|
0-0-1
1.86
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.20
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.07
|
1-0-0
1.78
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Bologna |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.99
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.43
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.98
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.46
|
0-1-0
1.62
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Cagliari |
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
0.88
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.70
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.53
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.33
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.31
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Como |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.73
|
1-0-0
1.88
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.24
|
1-0-0
2.09
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.69
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Fiorentina |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-1
1.43
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
0.88
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.95
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.41
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.21
|
| Frosinone |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.00
|
1-0-0
1.30
|
— |
0-1-0
1.65
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.64
|
| Genoa |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.86
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.08
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.99
|
0-0-1
1.36
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Inter Milan |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
2.05
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
2.13
|
1-0-0
1.80
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.41
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
2.10
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Juventus |
0-1-0
1.62
|
1-0-0
1.53
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.73
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
2.01
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.77
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Lazio Roma |
0-1-0
1.38
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.30
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.73
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.47
|
1-0-0
1.80
|
| Lecce |
0-0-1
0.84
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.20
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
1-0-0
1.40
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.83
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.04
|
| Monza |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.63
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.33
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.35
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.09
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.22
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Napoli |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.76
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.49
|
0-1-0
1.86
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.74
|
0-0-1
0.94
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Parma |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.40
|
0-0-1
0.67
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.37
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.74
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.38
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Roma |
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.66
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.79
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.32
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.92
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
2.05
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Sassuolo |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.96
|
0-1-0
1.27
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
0.97
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.64
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
1-0-0
1.55
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Torino |
0-0-1
1.12
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.11
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.32
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.71
|
0-0-1
1.18
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Udinese |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.42
|
0-1-0
1.04
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.66
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.26
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.51
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Venezia |
0-0-1
1.01
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.52
|
0-0-1
1.09
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.94
|
0-0-1
1.70
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential
Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).
Fit Metrics
| R² | Slope | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.55 | +9.5 |
| Allowed | 0.59 | -9.6 |
| Differential | 0.88 | +7.4 |
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 9.00% | 8.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | — | 21.00% |
| 1 | 9.00% | 12.00% | 11.00% | — | 2.00% | — | 34.00% |
| 2 | 8.00% | 11.00% | 6.00% | 5.00% | 1.00% | — | 31.00% |
| 3 | 2.00% | — | 5.00% | — | — | 1.00% | 8.00% |
| 4 | 2.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | — | — | — | 5.00% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | 1.00% | — | — | 1.00% |
| Total | 21.00% | 34.00% | 31.00% | 8.00% | 5.00% | 1.00% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.45 | 1.45 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.12 | 1.12 | 1.64 |
| CV | 0.77 | 0.77 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 50
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 2 | 20.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 60.00% |
| 3 | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 40.00% | 40.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.00 | 0.80 | +1.20 |
| SD | 0.71 | 0.84 | 1.30 |
| CV | 0.35 | 1.05 | — |
| Max | 3 | 2 | +3 |
| Min | 1 | 0 | +0 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | 20.00% | — | 40.00% | — | — | — | 60.00% |
| 2 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.00% | 20.00% | 60.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.00 | 1.40 | -0.40 |
| SD | 0.71 | 0.89 | 1.34 |
| CV | 0.71 | 0.64 | — |
| Max | 2 | 2 | +1 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 60.00% | — | — | — | — | 60.00% |
| 1 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 2 | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 80.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.60 | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| SD | 0.89 | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| CV | 1.49 | 0.37 | — |
| Max | 2 | 2 | +0 |
| Min | 0 | 1 | -1 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | 60.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 60.00% |
| 2 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 60.00% | 40.00% | — | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.00 | 0.40 | +0.60 |
| SD | 0.71 | 0.55 | 0.89 |
| CV | 0.71 | 1.37 | — |
| Max | 2 | 1 | +1 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 2 | — | 40.00% | — | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 80.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.80 | 1.20 | +0.60 |
| SD | 1.48 | 0.45 | 1.82 |
| CV | 0.82 | 0.37 | — |
| Max | 4 | 2 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | 40.00% |
| 1 | — | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 20.00% | 40.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.20 | 2.40 | -1.20 |
| SD | 1.64 | 1.14 | 2.39 |
| CV | 1.37 | 0.48 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 1 | -4 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 2 | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | 20.00% | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 40.00% | 40.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.80 | 0.80 | +1.00 |
| SD | 1.30 | 0.84 | 1.58 |
| CV | 0.72 | 1.05 | — |
| Max | 3 | 2 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 1 | — | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | 20.00% | — | 60.00% |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 40.00% | 40.00% | — | 20.00% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.60 | 2.00 | -1.40 |
| SD | 0.55 | 1.22 | 1.14 |
| CV | 0.91 | 0.61 | — |
| Max | 1 | 4 | +0 |
| Min | 0 | 1 | -3 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 2 | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 4 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | 20.00% |
| Total | 20.00% | 20.00% | 40.00% | 20.00% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 3.00 | 1.60 | +1.40 |
| SD | 1.58 | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| CV | 0.53 | 0.71 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 1 | 0 | +0 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | 40.00% | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | 60.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 60.00% | 20.00% | — | 20.00% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.60 | 0.80 | +0.80 |
| SD | 0.55 | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| CV | 0.34 | 1.63 | — |
| Max | 2 | 3 | +2 |
| Min | 1 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | 40.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | 20.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 60.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 60.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.60 | 0.60 | +1.00 |
| SD | 0.55 | 0.89 | 0.71 |
| CV | 0.34 | 1.49 | — |
| Max | 2 | 2 | +2 |
| Min | 1 | 0 | +0 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 20.00% | — | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | 60.00% |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.00 | 2.00 | -1.00 |
| SD | 1.41 | 1.58 | 2.55 |
| CV | 1.41 | 0.79 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | — | 20.00% | — | — | 20.00% | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | — | 20.00% | — | 40.00% | — | — | 60.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 40.00% | — | 40.00% | 20.00% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.60 | 2.40 | -0.80 |
| SD | 0.55 | 1.34 | 1.48 |
| CV | 0.34 | 0.56 | — |
| Max | 2 | 4 | +1 |
| Min | 1 | 1 | -3 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | 20.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 60.00% |
| 2 | 20.00% | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | 40.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 40.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.40 | 1.20 | +0.20 |
| SD | 0.55 | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| CV | 0.39 | 1.09 | — |
| Max | 2 | 3 | +2 |
| Min | 1 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 1 | — | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 60.00% | 40.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.80 | 1.40 | -0.60 |
| SD | 0.84 | 0.55 | 1.14 |
| CV | 1.05 | 0.39 | — |
| Max | 2 | 2 | +1 |
| Min | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | 20.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 60.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | 40.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 60.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.80 | 0.60 | +2.20 |
| SD | 1.10 | 0.89 | 1.79 |
| CV | 0.39 | 1.49 | — |
| Max | 4 | 2 | +4 |
| Min | 2 | 0 | +0 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | — | — | 40.00% | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | — | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 3 | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 20.00% | 80.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.80 | 1.80 | +0.00 |
| SD | 0.84 | 0.45 | 1.00 |
| CV | 0.46 | 0.25 | — |
| Max | 3 | 2 | +1 |
| Min | 1 | 1 | -1 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | — | 20.00% | 40.00% | — | — | — | 60.00% |
| 2 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 40.00% | 60.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.00 | 1.60 | -0.60 |
| SD | 0.71 | 0.55 | 1.14 |
| CV | 0.71 | 0.34 | — |
| Max | 2 | 2 | +1 |
| Min | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | — | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | 20.00% | 40.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 40.00% | 40.00% | — | — | 20.00% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.60 | 2.20 | -0.60 |
| SD | 1.34 | 1.64 | 1.14 |
| CV | 0.84 | 0.75 | — |
| Max | 3 | 5 | +1 |
| Min | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | 60.00% | — | — | — | 60.00% |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | — | — | — | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | 40.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | — | 60.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.80 | 2.60 | -1.80 |
| SD | 1.10 | 0.89 | 0.45 |
| CV | 1.37 | 0.34 | — |
| Max | 2 | 4 | -1 |
| Min | 0 | 2 | -2 |
Games Played: 5
Season Summary
Every team's season-to-date record alongside the projected end-of-season points totals from 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Exp. Pts. Rem. is the expected additional points the model thinks the team will accumulate over the rest of the season.
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Exp. Pts. Rem. | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan | 2206 | 13 | 79.79 | 66.79 | 54 | 68 | 75 | 80 | 85 | 91 | 102 |
| Roma | 2180 | 13 | 76.87 | 63.87 | 45 | 65 | 72 | 77 | 82 | 88 | 104 |
| Juventus | 2121 | 10 | 67.33 | 57.33 | 39 | 55 | 62 | 67 | 72 | 79 | 95 |
| Como | 2098 | 10 | 64.44 | 54.44 | 38 | 53 | 60 | 64 | 69 | 76 | 90 |
| Napoli | 2093 | 7 | 61.32 | 54.32 | 35 | 49 | 56 | 61 | 66 | 73 | 88 |
| AC Milan | 2091 | 11 | 64.52 | 53.52 | 35 | 52 | 60 | 65 | 69 | 76 | 90 |
| Lazio Roma | 2074 | 13 | 63.89 | 50.89 | 35 | 52 | 59 | 64 | 69 | 76 | 90 |
| Atalanta | 2055 | 6 | 55.97 | 49.97 | 32 | 44 | 51 | 56 | 61 | 68 | 82 |
| Frosinone | 2049 | 10 | 58.18 | 48.18 | 33 | 46 | 53 | 58 | 63 | 70 | 86 |
| Cagliari | 2005 | 12 | 54.89 | 42.89 | 29 | 43 | 50 | 55 | 60 | 67 | 82 |
| Sassuolo | 1996 | 7 | 48.79 | 41.79 | 24 | 37 | 44 | 49 | 53 | 61 | 78 |
| Bologna | 1992 | 2 | 43.64 | 41.64 | 20 | 32 | 39 | 44 | 48 | 56 | 71 |
| Udinese | 1976 | 4 | 43.96 | 39.96 | 16 | 32 | 39 | 44 | 49 | 56 | 70 |
| Fiorentina | 1952 | 4 | 40.57 | 36.57 | 17 | 29 | 36 | 40 | 45 | 52 | 67 |
| Torino | 1947 | 4 | 40.24 | 36.24 | 18 | 29 | 35 | 40 | 45 | 52 | 66 |
| Monza | 1940 | 4 | 38.51 | 34.51 | 13 | 27 | 34 | 38 | 43 | 50 | 66 |
| Parma | 1932 | 4 | 37.82 | 33.82 | 17 | 27 | 33 | 38 | 42 | 49 | 65 |
| Genoa | 1923 | 1 | 34.36 | 33.36 | 12 | 23 | 30 | 34 | 39 | 46 | 64 |
| Lecce | 1920 | 6 | 38.61 | 32.61 | 16 | 28 | 34 | 38 | 43 | 50 | 67 |
| Venezia | 1914 | 0 | 31.67 | 31.67 | 8 | 21 | 27 | 32 | 36 | 43 | 61 |
Point Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.
Final Table Odds
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roma | 35.15% | 36.13% | 14.33% | 7.07% | 3.76% | 1.95% | 0.86% | 0.35% | 0.30% | 0.07% | 0.02% | — | — | 0.01% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Inter Milan | 53.86% | 28.73% | 10.05% | 4.13% | 1.92% | 0.74% | 0.38% | 0.12% | 0.05% | 0.01% | 0.01% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lazio Roma | 1.74% | 5.64% | 12.97% | 14.40% | 15.62% | 14.15% | 11.55% | 9.25% | 6.75% | 4.27% | 1.90% | 1.10% | 0.33% | 0.20% | 0.06% | 0.05% | 0.02% | — | — | — |
| Cagliari | 0.05% | 0.64% | 1.45% | 3.23% | 4.88% | 7.27% | 10.70% | 12.58% | 15.24% | 15.72% | 10.83% | 6.75% | 4.70% | 2.67% | 1.52% | 0.87% | 0.52% | 0.27% | 0.10% | 0.01% |
| AC Milan | 2.07% | 6.55% | 14.64% | 17.00% | 15.09% | 12.89% | 10.69% | 8.76% | 5.78% | 3.37% | 1.77% | 0.70% | 0.46% | 0.15% | 0.06% | 0.01% | — | 0.01% | — | — |
| Frosinone | 0.40% | 1.41% | 3.88% | 6.63% | 9.19% | 11.72% | 13.30% | 14.31% | 13.38% | 10.63% | 6.70% | 3.84% | 2.35% | 1.26% | 0.49% | 0.29% | 0.16% | 0.06% | — | — |
| Juventus | 4.02% | 11.62% | 19.90% | 17.49% | 14.68% | 11.52% | 8.17% | 6.08% | 3.56% | 1.84% | 0.64% | 0.33% | 0.07% | 0.06% | 0.01% | 0.01% | — | — | — | — |
| Como | 1.74% | 5.75% | 13.32% | 15.33% | 15.33% | 14.22% | 11.69% | 9.40% | 6.77% | 3.50% | 1.69% | 0.73% | 0.39% | 0.07% | 0.04% | 0.02% | 0.01% | — | — | — |
| Napoli | 0.81% | 2.89% | 7.03% | 10.12% | 12.42% | 13.72% | 14.99% | 12.93% | 10.17% | 7.23% | 3.78% | 2.13% | 0.90% | 0.45% | 0.24% | 0.09% | 0.09% | 0.01% | — | — |
| Sassuolo | — | 0.02% | 0.20% | 0.58% | 1.08% | 2.18% | 3.67% | 5.62% | 8.98% | 13.64% | 16.57% | 14.89% | 10.24% | 7.81% | 5.58% | 3.71% | 2.59% | 1.44% | 0.94% | 0.26% |
| Atalanta | 0.16% | 0.61% | 2.20% | 3.80% | 5.39% | 8.24% | 10.96% | 13.73% | 15.29% | 14.08% | 10.57% | 6.25% | 4.06% | 2.22% | 1.12% | 0.77% | 0.40% | 0.12% | 0.03% | — |
| Lecce | — | — | — | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.10% | 0.10% | 0.35% | 0.99% | 1.80% | 3.66% | 5.92% | 8.05% | 10.43% | 11.36% | 12.48% | 12.93% | 12.93% | 11.17% | 7.68% |
| Udinese | — | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.07% | 0.22% | 0.50% | 1.11% | 1.99% | 4.04% | 6.66% | 10.75% | 13.05% | 13.18% | 11.76% | 10.45% | 8.61% | 6.78% | 5.29% | 3.61% | 1.91% |
| Torino | — | — | — | 0.01% | 0.08% | 0.13% | 0.30% | 0.81% | 1.53% | 3.09% | 5.89% | 8.00% | 10.54% | 11.51% | 12.38% | 11.99% | 11.04% | 9.95% | 8.02% | 4.73% |
| Parma | — | — | — | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.10% | 0.28% | 0.69% | 1.71% | 3.74% | 5.72% | 7.38% | 9.50% | 11.29% | 12.35% | 13.46% | 12.76% | 11.89% | 9.06% |
| Monza | — | — | — | 0.03% | 0.05% | 0.09% | 0.17% | 0.41% | 0.95% | 1.95% | 3.87% | 6.09% | 8.31% | 9.90% | 11.55% | 11.99% | 12.16% | 12.70% | 11.80% | 7.98% |
| Fiorentina | — | — | — | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.19% | 0.29% | 1.01% | 1.54% | 3.29% | 5.65% | 7.82% | 9.82% | 11.75% | 12.19% | 11.83% | 11.30% | 10.06% | 8.32% | 4.90% |
| Bologna | — | — | 0.02% | 0.08% | 0.18% | 0.35% | 0.94% | 1.97% | 3.62% | 6.31% | 10.21% | 13.17% | 13.40% | 11.78% | 10.02% | 9.36% | 7.50% | 5.13% | 3.87% | 2.09% |
| Genoa | — | — | — | — | 0.01% | — | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.29% | 0.58% | 1.24% | 2.41% | 3.78% | 5.14% | 7.26% | 9.59% | 11.42% | 16.04% | 19.68% | 22.51% |
| Venezia | — | — | — | — | — | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.08% | 0.25% | 0.51% | 1.10% | 2.04% | 3.33% | 4.38% | 5.98% | 9.62% | 13.23% | 20.57% | 38.87% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Same level | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|
| Como | 100% | — |
| Inter Milan | 100% | — |
| Juventus | 100% | — |
| Lazio Roma | 100% | — |
| Roma | 100% | — |
| AC Milan | 99.99% | 0.01% |
| Napoli | 99.99% | 0.01% |
| Frosinone | 99.94% | 0.06% |
| Atalanta | 99.85% | 0.15% |
| Cagliari | 99.62% | 0.38% |
| Sassuolo | 97.36% | 2.64% |
| Udinese | 89.19% | 10.81% |
| Bologna | 88.91% | 11.09% |
| Torino | 77.30% | 22.70% |
| Fiorentina | 76.72% | 23.28% |
| Lecce | 68.22% | 31.78% |
| Monza | 67.52% | 32.48% |
| Parma | 66.29% | 33.71% |
| Genoa | 41.77% | 58.23% |
| Venezia | 27.33% | 72.67% |
Overall Game Log
Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Excitement | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Proj. Margin | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Monza | W 4-1 | 51.5 | 2172 | 1959 | 63.24% | 23.46% | 13.29% | +1.21 | +12.1 | 3 |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Inter Milan | L 1-4 | 51.5 | 1959 | 2172 | 13.29% | 23.46% | 63.24% | -1.21 | -12.1 | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Como | D 1-1 | 72.8 | 1996 | 2093 | 25.86% | 26.58% | 47.55% | -0.43 | +1.5 | 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Udinese | D 1-1 | 72.8 | 2093 | 1996 | 47.55% | 26.58% | 25.86% | +0.43 | -1.5 | 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Napoli | L 0-2 | 52.2 | 1978 | 2090 | 24.30% | 26.40% | 49.31% | -0.51 | -17.1 | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Genoa | W 2-0 | 52.2 | 2090 | 1978 | 49.31% | 26.40% | 24.30% | +0.51 | +17.1 | 3 |
| 2026-08-22 | Cagliari | L 0-1 | 61.1 | 1950 | 1958 | 37.57% | 27.08% | 35.35% | +0.04 | -12.7 | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Parma | W 1-0 | 61.1 | 1958 | 1950 | 35.35% | 27.08% | 37.57% | -0.04 | +12.7 | 3 |
| 2026-08-23 | Lecce | L 0-2 | 59.3 | 2005 | 1938 | 47.70% | 26.57% | 25.73% | +0.44 | -29.0 | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | @ Venezia | W 2-0 | 59.3 | 1938 | 2005 | 25.73% | 26.57% | 47.70% | -0.44 | +29.0 | 3 |
| 2026-08-23 | Juventus | L 0-1 | 57.0 | 1986 | 2094 | 24.60% | 26.44% | 48.96% | -0.49 | -9.2 | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | @ Frosinone | W 1-0 | 57.0 | 2094 | 1986 | 48.96% | 26.44% | 24.60% | +0.49 | +9.2 | 3 |
| 2026-08-23 | Sassuolo | W 2-1 | 62.5 | 2083 | 1994 | 50.44% | 26.26% | 23.30% | +0.56 | +8.3 | 3 |
| 2026-08-23 | @ Atalanta | L 1-2 | 62.5 | 1994 | 2083 | 23.30% | 26.26% | 50.44% | -0.56 | -8.3 | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | AC Milan | L 1-2 | 64.1 | 1965 | 2042 | 28.25% | 26.80% | 44.95% | -0.33 | -9.7 | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | @ Torino | W 2-1 | 64.1 | 2042 | 1965 | 44.95% | 26.80% | 28.25% | +0.33 | +9.7 | 3 |
| 2026-08-24 | Lazio Roma | L 0-1 | 61.4 | 2025 | 2025 | 38.62% | 27.07% | 34.32% | +0.08 | -13.0 | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | @ Bologna | W 1-0 | 61.4 | 2025 | 2025 | 34.32% | 27.07% | 38.62% | -0.08 | +13.0 | 3 |
| 2026-08-24 | Fiorentina | W 4-0 | 50.0 | 2102 | 2008 | 50.91% | 26.20% | 22.89% | +0.58 | +31.0 | 3 |
| 2026-08-24 | @ Roma | L 0-4 | 50.0 | 2008 | 2102 | 22.89% | 26.20% | 50.91% | -0.58 | -31.0 | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Venezia | W 2-0 | 52.4 | 2052 | 1976 | 48.74% | 26.46% | 24.80% | +0.48 | +17.4 | 6 |
| 2026-08-28 | @ AC Milan | L 0-2 | 52.4 | 1976 | 2052 | 24.80% | 26.46% | 48.74% | -0.48 | -17.4 | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Frosinone | L 0-3 | 54.6 | 1977 | 1976 | 38.76% | 27.06% | 34.18% | +0.09 | -35.7 | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Fiorentina | W 3-0 | 54.6 | 1976 | 1977 | 34.18% | 27.06% | 38.76% | -0.09 | +35.7 | 3 |
| 2026-08-29 | Udinese | L 2-3 | 70.8 | 1947 | 1998 | 31.57% | 26.99% | 41.44% | -0.19 | -10.0 | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Monza | W 3-2 | 70.8 | 1998 | 1947 | 41.44% | 26.99% | 31.57% | +0.19 | +10.0 | 4 |
| 2026-08-29 | Torino | W 2-1 | 64.8 | 1985 | 1956 | 42.75% | 26.93% | 30.32% | +0.24 | +10.2 | 3 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Sassuolo | L 1-2 | 64.8 | 1956 | 1985 | 30.32% | 26.93% | 42.75% | -0.24 | -10.2 | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Parma | W 2-0 | 49.4 | 2103 | 1938 | 58.76% | 24.73% | 16.51% | +0.96 | +12.2 | 6 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Juventus | L 0-2 | 49.4 | 1938 | 2103 | 16.51% | 24.73% | 58.76% | -0.96 | -12.2 | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Como | L 1-2 | 67.9 | 2107 | 2092 | 40.75% | 27.01% | 32.23% | +0.16 | -12.8 | 3 |
| 2026-08-30 | @ Napoli | W 2-1 | 67.9 | 2092 | 2107 | 32.23% | 27.01% | 40.75% | -0.16 | +12.8 | 4 |
| 2026-08-30 | Inter Milan | L 0-1 | 53.6 | 1971 | 2184 | 15.30% | 24.31% | 60.39% | -1.05 | -6.0 | 3 |
| 2026-08-30 | @ Cagliari | W 1-0 | 53.6 | 2184 | 1971 | 60.39% | 24.31% | 15.30% | +1.05 | +6.0 | 6 |
| 2026-08-30 | Genoa | W 1-0 | 57.1 | 2038 | 1961 | 48.89% | 26.44% | 24.66% | +0.49 | +9.2 | 6 |
| 2026-08-30 | @ Lazio Roma | L 0-1 | 57.1 | 1961 | 2038 | 24.66% | 26.44% | 48.89% | -0.49 | -9.2 | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Roma | L 0-4 | 48.6 | 1967 | 2133 | 19.04% | 25.45% | 55.52% | -0.80 | -26.4 | 3 |
| 2026-08-31 | @ Lecce | W 4-0 | 48.6 | 2133 | 1967 | 55.52% | 25.45% | 19.04% | +0.80 | +26.4 | 6 |
| 2026-08-31 | Bologna | W 1-0 | 57.0 | 2092 | 2012 | 49.26% | 26.40% | 24.34% | +0.51 | +9.1 | 6 |
| 2026-08-31 | @ Atalanta | L 0-1 | 57.0 | 2012 | 2092 | 24.34% | 26.40% | 49.26% | -0.51 | -9.1 | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Como | L 1-4 | 54.3 | 1952 | 2105 | 20.17% | 25.70% | 54.13% | -0.73 | -17.9 | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | @ Genoa | W 4-1 | 54.3 | 2105 | 1952 | 54.13% | 25.70% | 20.17% | +0.73 | +17.9 | 7 |
| 2026-09-05 | Torino | L 1-2 | 67.1 | 1941 | 1946 | 38.07% | 27.07% | 34.85% | +0.06 | -12.1 | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Fiorentina | W 2-1 | 67.1 | 1946 | 1941 | 34.85% | 27.07% | 38.07% | -0.06 | +12.1 | 3 |
| 2026-09-05 | Napoli | W 3-2 | 67.9 | 2190 | 2094 | 51.23% | 26.15% | 22.61% | +0.59 | +7.7 | 9 |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Inter Milan | L 2-3 | 67.9 | 2094 | 2190 | 22.61% | 26.15% | 51.23% | -0.59 | -7.7 | 3 |
| 2026-09-05 | Atalanta | W 2-1 | 63.6 | 2159 | 2101 | 46.55% | 26.67% | 26.77% | +0.39 | +9.3 | 9 |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Roma | L 1-2 | 63.6 | 2101 | 2159 | 26.77% | 26.67% | 46.55% | -0.39 | -9.3 | 6 |
| 2026-09-06 | Venezia | W 3-2 | 69.5 | 2012 | 1959 | 45.87% | 26.73% | 27.40% | +0.36 | +9.0 | 6 |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Frosinone | L 2-3 | 69.5 | 1959 | 2012 | 27.40% | 26.73% | 45.87% | -0.36 | -9.0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-06 | Monza | D 1-1 | 72.7 | 1925 | 1937 | 37.07% | 27.08% | 35.85% | +0.02 | -0.1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Parma | D 1-1 | 72.7 | 1937 | 1925 | 35.85% | 27.08% | 37.07% | -0.02 | +0.1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | Sassuolo | D 2-2 | 79.0 | 2002 | 1995 | 39.66% | 27.05% | 33.29% | +0.12 | -0.3 | 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Bologna | D 2-2 | 79.0 | 1995 | 2002 | 33.29% | 27.05% | 39.66% | -0.12 | +0.3 | 4 |
| 2026-09-06 | AC Milan | D 1-1 | 72.8 | 2116 | 2070 | 44.95% | 26.80% | 28.25% | +0.33 | -1.1 | 7 |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Juventus | D 1-1 | 72.8 | 2070 | 2116 | 28.25% | 26.80% | 44.95% | -0.33 | +1.1 | 7 |
| 2026-09-07 | Lecce | W 1-0 | 59.1 | 1965 | 1941 | 42.04% | 26.96% | 31.00% | +0.21 | +11.0 | 6 |
| 2026-09-07 | @ Cagliari | L 0-1 | 59.1 | 1941 | 1965 | 31.00% | 26.96% | 42.04% | -0.21 | -11.0 | 3 |
| 2026-09-07 | Lazio Roma | L 1-2 | 65.6 | 2008 | 2047 | 33.09% | 27.04% | 39.87% | -0.13 | -10.9 | 4 |
| 2026-09-07 | @ Udinese | W 2-1 | 65.6 | 2047 | 2008 | 39.87% | 27.04% | 33.09% | +0.13 | +10.9 | 9 |
| 2026-09-11 | Fiorentina | L 2-4 | 68.1 | 1950 | 1929 | 41.58% | 26.98% | 31.44% | +0.19 | -20.1 | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | @ Venezia | W 4-2 | 68.1 | 1929 | 1950 | 31.44% | 26.98% | 41.58% | -0.19 | +20.1 | 3 |
| 2026-09-12 | Frosinone | D 1-1 | 72.8 | 1934 | 2021 | 27.04% | 26.70% | 46.26% | -0.38 | +1.3 | 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Genoa | D 1-1 | 72.8 | 2021 | 1934 | 46.26% | 26.70% | 27.04% | +0.38 | -1.3 | 7 |
| 2026-09-12 | AC Milan | D 2-2 | 79.0 | 2058 | 2071 | 36.87% | 27.08% | 36.04% | +0.02 | -0.0 | 10 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Lazio Roma | D 2-2 | 79.0 | 2071 | 2058 | 36.04% | 27.08% | 36.87% | -0.02 | +0.0 | 8 |
| 2026-09-12 | Cagliari | L 1-2 | 71.4 | 2091 | 1976 | 53.44% | 25.82% | 20.74% | +0.70 | -16.0 | 6 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Atalanta | W 2-1 | 71.4 | 1976 | 2091 | 20.74% | 25.82% | 53.44% | -0.70 | +16.0 | 9 |
| 2026-09-13 | Monza | W 3-2 | 71.9 | 1930 | 1937 | 37.66% | 27.08% | 35.27% | +0.04 | +10.9 | 6 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ Lecce | L 2-3 | 71.9 | 1937 | 1930 | 35.27% | 27.08% | 37.66% | -0.04 | -10.9 | 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | Bologna | W 1-0 | 56.8 | 2086 | 2002 | 49.77% | 26.34% | 23.88% | +0.53 | +9.0 | 6 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ Napoli | L 0-1 | 56.8 | 2002 | 2086 | 23.88% | 26.34% | 49.77% | -0.53 | -9.0 | 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | Juventus | W 3-2 | 76.2 | 1996 | 2114 | 23.53% | 26.29% | 50.18% | -0.55 | +14.3 | 7 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ Sassuolo | L 2-3 | 76.2 | 2114 | 1996 | 50.18% | 26.29% | 23.53% | +0.55 | -14.3 | 7 |
| 2026-09-14 | Roma | L 0-2 | 49.0 | 1958 | 2168 | 15.52% | 24.39% | 60.09% | -1.03 | -11.5 | 3 |
| 2026-09-14 | @ Torino | W 2-0 | 49.0 | 2168 | 1958 | 60.09% | 24.39% | 15.52% | +1.03 | +11.5 | 12 |
| 2026-09-14 | Parma | W 2-1 | 59.1 | 2123 | 1925 | 61.78% | 23.92% | 14.30% | +1.13 | +5.3 | 10 |
| 2026-09-14 | @ Como | L 1-2 | 59.1 | 1925 | 2123 | 14.30% | 23.92% | 61.78% | -1.13 | -5.3 | 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | Udinese | W 5-3 | 60.6 | 2198 | 1997 | 62.15% | 23.80% | 14.04% | +1.15 | +7.6 | 12 |
| 2026-09-14 | @ Inter Milan | L 3-5 | 60.6 | 1997 | 2198 | 14.04% | 23.80% | 62.15% | -1.15 | -7.7 | 4 |
| 2026-09-18 | Sassuolo | W 2-1 | 69.4 | 1926 | 2010 | 27.38% | 26.73% | 45.89% | -0.36 | +14.0 | 4 |
| 2026-09-18 | @ Monza | L 1-2 | 69.4 | 2010 | 1926 | 45.89% | 26.73% | 27.38% | +0.36 | -14.0 | 7 |
| 2026-09-19 | Torino | D 1-1 | 72.8 | 1993 | 1946 | 45.09% | 26.79% | 28.12% | +0.33 | -1.2 | 2 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Bologna | D 1-1 | 72.8 | 1946 | 1993 | 28.12% | 26.79% | 45.09% | -0.33 | +1.1 | 4 |
| 2026-09-19 | Cagliari | L 0-1 | 61.3 | 1989 | 1992 | 38.29% | 27.07% | 34.64% | +0.07 | -12.9 | 4 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Udinese | W 1-0 | 61.3 | 1992 | 1989 | 34.64% | 27.07% | 38.29% | -0.07 | +12.9 | 12 |
| 2026-09-19 | Inter Milan | D 2-2 | 79.0 | 2180 | 2206 | 34.97% | 27.08% | 37.95% | -0.06 | +0.1 | 13 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Roma | D 2-2 | 79.0 | 2206 | 2180 | 37.95% | 27.08% | 34.97% | +0.06 | -0.1 | 13 |
| 2026-09-19 | Lazio Roma | L 0-2 | 51.6 | 1930 | 2058 | 22.56% | 26.15% | 51.30% | -0.60 | -16.1 | 0 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Venezia | W 2-0 | 51.6 | 2058 | 1930 | 51.30% | 26.15% | 22.56% | +0.60 | +16.1 | 13 |
| 2026-09-20 | Napoli | D 1-1 | 73.1 | 1949 | 2095 | 20.80% | 25.83% | 53.37% | -0.69 | +2.3 | 4 |
| 2026-09-20 | @ Fiorentina | D 1-1 | 73.1 | 2095 | 1949 | 53.37% | 25.83% | 20.80% | +0.69 | -2.3 | 7 |
| 2026-09-20 | Como | W 2-0 | 59.6 | 2020 | 2128 | 24.65% | 26.44% | 48.91% | -0.49 | +29.6 | 10 |
| 2026-09-20 | @ Frosinone | L 0-2 | 59.6 | 2128 | 2020 | 48.91% | 26.44% | 24.65% | +0.49 | -29.6 | 10 |
| 2026-09-20 | Genoa | W 2-1 | 66.6 | 1920 | 1935 | 36.50% | 27.08% | 36.41% | +0.00 | +11.7 | 4 |
| 2026-09-20 | @ Parma | L 1-2 | 66.6 | 1935 | 1920 | 36.41% | 27.08% | 36.50% | +0.00 | -11.7 | 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | Atalanta | W 2-0 | 54.4 | 2100 | 2075 | 42.11% | 26.96% | 30.93% | +0.21 | +20.8 | 10 |
| 2026-09-20 | @ Juventus | L 0-2 | 54.4 | 2075 | 2100 | 30.93% | 26.96% | 42.11% | -0.21 | -20.8 | 6 |
| 2026-09-20 | Lecce | W 3-0 | 48.3 | 2071 | 1940 | 55.07% | 25.53% | 19.40% | +0.77 | +20.5 | 11 |
| 2026-09-20 | @ AC Milan | L 0-3 | 48.3 | 1940 | 2071 | 19.40% | 25.53% | 55.07% | -0.77 | -20.6 | 6 |
Upcoming Games
Remaining games on the team's schedule
| Date | Opponent | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Proj. Margin | Excitement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Venezia | 2055 | 1914 | 56.19% | 25.31% | 18.50% | +0.83 | 50.4 |
| 2026-10-11 | @ Atalanta | 1914 | 2055 | 18.50% | 25.31% | 56.19% | -0.83 | 50.4 |
| 2026-10-11 | Juventus | 2005 | 2121 | 23.78% | 26.33% | 49.89% | -0.53 | 57.9 |
| 2026-10-11 | @ Cagliari | 2121 | 2005 | 49.89% | 26.33% | 23.78% | +0.53 | 57.9 |
| 2026-10-11 | Fiorentina | 1923 | 1952 | 34.67% | 27.07% | 38.25% | -0.07 | 65.2 |
| 2026-10-11 | @ Genoa | 1952 | 1923 | 38.25% | 27.07% | 34.67% | +0.07 | 65.2 |
| 2026-10-11 | Roma | 2098 | 2180 | 27.71% | 26.76% | 45.54% | -0.35 | 71.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | @ Como | 2180 | 2098 | 45.54% | 26.76% | 27.71% | +0.35 | 71.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | Udinese | 1947 | 1976 | 34.58% | 27.07% | 38.35% | -0.07 | 69.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | @ Torino | 1976 | 1947 | 38.35% | 27.07% | 34.58% | +0.07 | 69.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | Parma | 2206 | 1932 | 68.28% | 21.60% | 10.11% | +1.54 | 50.2 |
| 2026-10-11 | @ Inter Milan | 1932 | 2206 | 10.11% | 21.60% | 68.28% | -1.54 | 50.2 |
| 2026-10-11 | Monza | 2074 | 1940 | 55.49% | 25.45% | 19.06% | +0.79 | 58.2 |
| 2026-10-11 | @ Lazio Roma | 1940 | 2074 | 19.06% | 25.45% | 55.49% | -0.79 | 58.2 |
| 2026-10-11 | AC Milan | 1996 | 2091 | 26.10% | 26.61% | 47.29% | -0.42 | 66.9 |
| 2026-10-11 | @ Sassuolo | 2091 | 1996 | 47.29% | 26.61% | 26.10% | +0.42 | 66.9 |
| 2026-10-11 | Frosinone | 2093 | 2049 | 44.66% | 26.82% | 28.52% | +0.31 | 70.3 |
| 2026-10-11 | @ Napoli | 2049 | 2093 | 28.52% | 26.82% | 44.66% | -0.31 | 70.3 |
| 2026-10-11 | Bologna | 1920 | 1992 | 28.85% | 26.84% | 44.31% | -0.30 | 59.2 |
| 2026-10-11 | @ Lecce | 1992 | 1920 | 44.31% | 26.84% | 28.85% | +0.30 | 59.2 |
| 2026-10-18 | Como | 1952 | 2098 | 20.73% | 25.82% | 53.45% | -0.70 | 56.4 |
| 2026-10-18 | @ Fiorentina | 2098 | 1952 | 53.45% | 25.82% | 20.73% | +0.70 | 56.4 |
| 2026-10-18 | Atalanta | 2091 | 2055 | 43.72% | 26.88% | 29.40% | +0.28 | 70.0 |
| 2026-10-18 | @ AC Milan | 2055 | 2091 | 29.40% | 26.88% | 43.72% | -0.28 | 70.0 |
| 2026-10-18 | Cagliari | 1940 | 2005 | 29.78% | 26.90% | 43.32% | -0.26 | 64.7 |
| 2026-10-18 | @ Monza | 2005 | 1940 | 43.32% | 26.90% | 29.78% | +0.26 | 64.7 |
| 2026-10-18 | Genoa | 2180 | 1923 | 66.89% | 22.17% | 10.94% | +1.44 | 49.1 |
| 2026-10-18 | @ Roma | 1923 | 2180 | 10.94% | 22.17% | 66.89% | -1.44 | 49.1 |
| 2026-10-18 | Inter Milan | 1992 | 2206 | 15.31% | 24.31% | 60.38% | -1.05 | 53.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | @ Bologna | 2206 | 1992 | 60.38% | 24.31% | 15.31% | +1.05 | 53.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | Napoli | 1914 | 2093 | 17.90% | 25.15% | 56.95% | -0.87 | 48.8 |
| 2026-10-18 | @ Venezia | 2093 | 1914 | 56.95% | 25.15% | 17.90% | +0.87 | 48.8 |
| 2026-10-18 | Sassuolo | 2049 | 1996 | 45.89% | 26.73% | 27.38% | +0.36 | 71.1 |
| 2026-10-18 | @ Frosinone | 1996 | 2049 | 27.38% | 26.73% | 45.89% | -0.36 | 71.1 |
| 2026-10-18 | Lazio Roma | 2121 | 2074 | 45.05% | 26.79% | 28.16% | +0.33 | 69.9 |
| 2026-10-18 | @ Juventus | 2074 | 2121 | 28.16% | 26.79% | 45.05% | -0.33 | 69.9 |
| 2026-10-18 | Torino | 1932 | 1947 | 36.44% | 27.08% | 36.47% | +0.00 | 66.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | @ Parma | 1947 | 1932 | 36.47% | 27.08% | 36.44% | +0.00 | 66.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | Lecce | 1976 | 1920 | 46.29% | 26.70% | 27.02% | +0.38 | 65.4 |
| 2026-10-18 | @ Udinese | 1920 | 1976 | 27.02% | 26.70% | 46.29% | -0.38 | 65.4 |
| 2026-10-25 | Frosinone | 2055 | 2049 | 39.43% | 27.05% | 33.52% | +0.11 | 72.2 |
| 2026-10-25 | @ Atalanta | 2049 | 2055 | 33.52% | 27.05% | 39.43% | -0.11 | 72.2 |
| 2026-10-25 | Bologna | 2005 | 1992 | 40.44% | 27.02% | 32.54% | +0.15 | 65.9 |
| 2026-10-25 | @ Cagliari | 1992 | 2005 | 32.54% | 27.02% | 40.44% | -0.15 | 65.9 |
| 2026-10-25 | Venezia | 1923 | 1914 | 40.03% | 27.04% | 32.94% | +0.13 | 65.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | @ Genoa | 1914 | 1923 | 32.94% | 27.04% | 40.03% | -0.13 | 65.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | Sassuolo | 2098 | 1996 | 51.91% | 26.06% | 22.03% | +0.62 | 64.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | @ Como | 1996 | 2098 | 22.03% | 26.06% | 51.91% | -0.62 | 64.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | Monza | 1947 | 1940 | 39.72% | 27.04% | 33.24% | +0.12 | 70.9 |
| 2026-10-25 | @ Torino | 1940 | 1947 | 33.24% | 27.04% | 39.72% | -0.12 | 70.9 |
| 2026-10-25 | Fiorentina | 2206 | 1952 | 66.69% | 22.24% | 11.06% | +1.43 | 52.7 |
| 2026-10-25 | @ Inter Milan | 1952 | 2206 | 11.06% | 22.24% | 66.69% | -1.43 | 52.7 |
| 2026-10-25 | Parma | 2074 | 1932 | 56.37% | 25.27% | 18.36% | +0.84 | 52.9 |
| 2026-10-25 | @ Lazio Roma | 1932 | 2074 | 18.36% | 25.27% | 56.37% | -0.84 | 52.9 |
| 2026-10-25 | Roma | 2093 | 2180 | 27.07% | 26.70% | 46.23% | -0.38 | 69.6 |
| 2026-10-25 | @ Napoli | 2180 | 2093 | 46.23% | 26.70% | 27.07% | +0.38 | 69.6 |
| 2026-10-25 | AC Milan | 1976 | 2091 | 23.89% | 26.34% | 49.77% | -0.53 | 63.4 |
| 2026-10-25 | @ Udinese | 2091 | 1976 | 49.77% | 26.34% | 23.89% | +0.53 | 63.4 |
| 2026-10-25 | Juventus | 1920 | 2121 | 16.20% | 24.63% | 59.16% | -0.98 | 49.0 |
| 2026-10-25 | @ Lecce | 2121 | 1920 | 59.16% | 24.63% | 16.20% | +0.98 | 49.0 |
| 2026-10-28 | Atalanta | 1952 | 2055 | 25.22% | 26.51% | 48.27% | -0.46 | 57.6 |
| 2026-10-28 | @ Fiorentina | 2055 | 1952 | 48.27% | 26.51% | 25.22% | +0.46 | 57.6 |
| 2026-10-28 | Bologna | 2091 | 1992 | 51.57% | 26.11% | 22.32% | +0.61 | 59.5 |
| 2026-10-28 | @ AC Milan | 1992 | 2091 | 22.32% | 26.11% | 51.57% | -0.61 | 59.5 |
| 2026-10-28 | Napoli | 1940 | 2093 | 20.15% | 25.70% | 54.15% | -0.73 | 55.7 |
| 2026-10-28 | @ Monza | 2093 | 1940 | 54.15% | 25.70% | 20.15% | +0.73 | 55.7 |
| 2026-10-28 | Cagliari | 2180 | 2005 | 59.69% | 24.50% | 15.81% | +1.01 | 56.7 |
| 2026-10-28 | @ Roma | 2005 | 2180 | 15.81% | 24.50% | 59.69% | -1.01 | 56.7 |
| 2026-10-28 | Juventus | 1923 | 2121 | 16.47% | 24.72% | 58.81% | -0.96 | 47.3 |
| 2026-10-28 | @ Genoa | 2121 | 1923 | 58.81% | 24.72% | 16.47% | +0.96 | 47.3 |
| 2026-10-28 | Como | 1947 | 2098 | 20.34% | 25.74% | 53.93% | -0.72 | 54.8 |
| 2026-10-28 | @ Torino | 2098 | 1947 | 53.93% | 25.74% | 20.34% | +0.72 | 54.8 |
| 2026-10-28 | Inter Milan | 1914 | 2206 | 10.74% | 22.03% | 67.23% | -1.46 | 50.2 |
| 2026-10-28 | @ Venezia | 2206 | 1914 | 67.23% | 22.03% | 10.74% | +1.46 | 50.2 |
| 2026-10-28 | Lecce | 2049 | 1920 | 54.97% | 25.55% | 19.48% | +0.77 | 56.6 |
| 2026-10-28 | @ Frosinone | 1920 | 2049 | 19.48% | 25.55% | 54.97% | -0.77 | 56.6 |
| 2026-10-28 | Udinese | 1932 | 1976 | 32.43% | 27.02% | 40.55% | -0.15 | 66.2 |
| 2026-10-28 | @ Parma | 1976 | 1932 | 40.55% | 27.02% | 32.43% | +0.15 | 66.2 |
| 2026-10-28 | Lazio Roma | 1996 | 2074 | 28.13% | 26.79% | 45.08% | -0.33 | 67.3 |
| 2026-10-28 | @ Sassuolo | 2074 | 1996 | 45.08% | 26.79% | 28.13% | +0.33 | 67.3 |
| 2026-11-01 | Inter Milan | 2091 | 2206 | 23.99% | 26.36% | 49.65% | -0.52 | 68.0 |
| 2026-11-01 | @ AC Milan | 2206 | 2091 | 49.65% | 26.36% | 23.99% | +0.52 | 68.0 |
| 2026-11-01 | Parma | 2055 | 1932 | 54.26% | 25.68% | 20.06% | +0.73 | 52.6 |
| 2026-11-01 | @ Atalanta | 1932 | 2055 | 20.06% | 25.68% | 54.26% | -0.73 | 52.6 |
| 2026-11-01 | Venezia | 2098 | 1914 | 60.58% | 24.26% | 15.16% | +1.06 | 49.6 |
| 2026-11-01 | @ Como | 1914 | 2098 | 15.16% | 24.26% | 60.58% | -1.06 | 49.6 |
| 2026-11-01 | Monza | 1992 | 1940 | 45.76% | 26.74% | 27.50% | +0.36 | 63.9 |
| 2026-11-01 | @ Bologna | 1940 | 1992 | 27.50% | 26.74% | 45.76% | -0.36 | 63.9 |
| 2026-11-01 | Torino | 2049 | 1947 | 51.88% | 26.06% | 22.06% | +0.62 | 60.3 |
| 2026-11-01 | @ Frosinone | 1947 | 2049 | 22.06% | 26.06% | 51.88% | -0.62 | 60.3 |
| 2026-11-01 | Napoli | 2121 | 2093 | 42.54% | 26.94% | 30.52% | +0.23 | 71.1 |
| 2026-11-01 | @ Juventus | 2093 | 2121 | 30.52% | 26.94% | 42.54% | -0.23 | 71.1 |
| 2026-11-01 | Cagliari | 2074 | 2005 | 47.97% | 26.54% | 25.49% | +0.45 | 63.6 |
| 2026-11-01 | @ Lazio Roma | 2005 | 2074 | 25.49% | 26.54% | 47.97% | -0.45 | 63.6 |
| 2026-11-01 | Fiorentina | 1996 | 1952 | 44.76% | 26.81% | 28.43% | +0.32 | 69.1 |
| 2026-11-01 | @ Sassuolo | 1952 | 1996 | 28.43% | 26.81% | 44.76% | -0.32 | 69.1 |
| 2026-11-01 | Roma | 1976 | 2180 | 16.00% | 24.56% | 59.44% | -1.00 | 57.3 |
| 2026-11-01 | @ Udinese | 2180 | 1976 | 59.44% | 24.56% | 16.00% | +1.00 | 57.3 |
| 2026-11-01 | Genoa | 1920 | 1923 | 38.17% | 27.07% | 34.76% | +0.06 | 66.8 |
| 2026-11-01 | @ Lecce | 1923 | 1920 | 34.76% | 27.07% | 38.17% | -0.06 | 66.8 |
| 2026-11-08 | Juventus | 1952 | 2121 | 18.72% | 25.37% | 55.91% | -0.82 | 52.9 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ Fiorentina | 2121 | 1952 | 55.91% | 25.37% | 18.72% | +0.82 | 52.9 |
| 2026-11-08 | Atalanta | 1940 | 2055 | 23.94% | 26.35% | 49.71% | -0.53 | 58.1 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ Monza | 2055 | 1940 | 49.71% | 26.35% | 23.94% | +0.53 | 58.1 |
| 2026-11-08 | Sassuolo | 2180 | 1996 | 60.51% | 24.28% | 15.21% | +1.06 | 58.7 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ Roma | 1996 | 2180 | 15.21% | 24.28% | 60.51% | -1.06 | 58.7 |
| 2026-11-08 | Frosinone | 2005 | 2049 | 32.41% | 27.02% | 40.57% | -0.15 | 68.3 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ Cagliari | 2049 | 2005 | 40.57% | 27.02% | 32.41% | +0.15 | 68.3 |
| 2026-11-08 | AC Milan | 1923 | 2091 | 18.84% | 25.40% | 55.76% | -0.81 | 51.9 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ Genoa | 2091 | 1923 | 55.76% | 25.40% | 18.84% | +0.81 | 51.9 |
| 2026-11-08 | Lecce | 1947 | 1920 | 42.48% | 26.94% | 30.57% | +0.23 | 65.9 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ Torino | 1920 | 1947 | 30.57% | 26.94% | 42.48% | -0.23 | 65.9 |
| 2026-11-08 | Udinese | 1914 | 1976 | 30.10% | 26.92% | 42.98% | -0.25 | 64.0 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ Venezia | 1976 | 1914 | 42.98% | 26.92% | 30.10% | +0.25 | 64.0 |
| 2026-11-08 | Como | 2206 | 2098 | 52.49% | 25.97% | 21.54% | +0.65 | 67.9 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ Inter Milan | 2098 | 2206 | 21.54% | 25.97% | 52.49% | -0.65 | 67.9 |
| 2026-11-08 | Bologna | 1932 | 1992 | 30.34% | 26.93% | 42.73% | -0.24 | 60.1 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ Parma | 1992 | 1932 | 42.73% | 26.93% | 30.34% | +0.24 | 60.1 |
| 2026-11-08 | Lazio Roma | 2093 | 2074 | 41.30% | 26.99% | 31.70% | +0.18 | 72.0 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ Napoli | 2074 | 2093 | 31.70% | 26.99% | 41.30% | -0.18 | 72.0 |
| 2026-11-22 | Frosinone | 2091 | 2049 | 44.44% | 26.83% | 28.73% | +0.31 | 73.5 |
| 2026-11-22 | @ AC Milan | 2049 | 2091 | 28.73% | 26.83% | 44.44% | -0.31 | 73.5 |
| 2026-11-22 | Fiorentina | 1940 | 1952 | 37.01% | 27.08% | 35.90% | +0.02 | 71.7 |
| 2026-11-22 | @ Monza | 1952 | 1940 | 35.90% | 27.08% | 37.01% | -0.02 | 71.7 |
| 2026-11-22 | Inter Milan | 2055 | 2206 | 20.35% | 25.74% | 53.92% | -0.72 | 60.8 |
| 2026-11-22 | @ Atalanta | 2206 | 2055 | 53.92% | 25.74% | 20.35% | +0.72 | 60.8 |
| 2026-11-22 | Cagliari | 2098 | 2005 | 50.91% | 26.20% | 22.89% | +0.58 | 61.4 |
| 2026-11-22 | @ Como | 2005 | 2098 | 22.89% | 26.20% | 50.91% | -0.58 | 61.4 |
| 2026-11-22 | Udinese | 1992 | 1976 | 40.91% | 27.01% | 32.09% | +0.17 | 68.1 |
| 2026-11-22 | @ Bologna | 1976 | 1992 | 32.09% | 27.01% | 40.91% | -0.17 | 68.1 |
| 2026-11-22 | Venezia | 2121 | 1914 | 62.66% | 23.65% | 13.69% | +1.18 | 46.8 |
| 2026-11-22 | @ Juventus | 1914 | 2121 | 13.69% | 23.65% | 62.66% | -1.18 | 46.8 |
| 2026-11-22 | Lecce | 2074 | 1920 | 57.60% | 25.01% | 17.40% | +0.90 | 52.6 |
| 2026-11-22 | @ Lazio Roma | 1920 | 2074 | 17.40% | 25.01% | 57.60% | -0.90 | 52.6 |
| 2026-11-22 | Roma | 1932 | 2180 | 13.07% | 23.36% | 63.57% | -1.23 | 51.3 |
| 2026-11-22 | @ Parma | 2180 | 1932 | 63.57% | 23.36% | 13.07% | +1.23 | 51.3 |
| 2026-11-22 | Genoa | 1996 | 1923 | 48.36% | 26.50% | 25.14% | +0.47 | 62.1 |
| 2026-11-22 | @ Sassuolo | 1923 | 1996 | 25.14% | 26.50% | 48.36% | -0.47 | 62.1 |
| 2026-11-22 | Torino | 2093 | 1947 | 56.70% | 25.20% | 18.09% | +0.86 | 52.5 |
| 2026-11-22 | @ Napoli | 1947 | 2093 | 18.09% | 25.20% | 56.70% | -0.86 | 52.5 |
| 2026-11-29 | Monza | 2180 | 1940 | 65.54% | 22.68% | 11.79% | +1.36 | 54.1 |
| 2026-11-29 | @ Roma | 1940 | 2180 | 11.79% | 22.68% | 65.54% | -1.36 | 54.1 |
| 2026-11-29 | AC Milan | 2005 | 2091 | 27.09% | 26.70% | 46.20% | -0.38 | 64.0 |
| 2026-11-29 | @ Cagliari | 2091 | 2005 | 46.20% | 26.70% | 27.09% | +0.38 | 64.0 |
| 2026-11-29 | Juventus | 2098 | 2121 | 35.46% | 27.08% | 37.46% | -0.04 | 74.0 |
| 2026-11-29 | @ Como | 2121 | 2098 | 37.46% | 27.08% | 35.46% | +0.04 | 74.0 |
| 2026-11-29 | Lazio Roma | 1947 | 2074 | 22.68% | 26.17% | 51.15% | -0.59 | 56.5 |
| 2026-11-29 | @ Torino | 2074 | 1947 | 51.15% | 26.17% | 22.68% | +0.59 | 56.5 |
| 2026-11-29 | Bologna | 1914 | 1992 | 28.11% | 26.79% | 45.10% | -0.33 | 57.8 |
| 2026-11-29 | @ Venezia | 1992 | 1914 | 45.10% | 26.79% | 28.11% | +0.33 | 57.8 |
| 2026-11-29 | Parma | 2049 | 1932 | 53.67% | 25.78% | 20.55% | +0.71 | 57.1 |
| 2026-11-29 | @ Frosinone | 1932 | 2049 | 20.55% | 25.78% | 53.67% | -0.71 | 57.1 |
| 2026-11-29 | Genoa | 2206 | 1923 | 68.92% | 21.34% | 9.75% | +1.58 | 48.9 |
| 2026-11-29 | @ Inter Milan | 1923 | 2206 | 9.75% | 21.34% | 68.92% | -1.58 | 48.9 |
| 2026-11-29 | Napoli | 1996 | 2093 | 25.91% | 26.59% | 47.50% | -0.43 | 63.7 |
| 2026-11-29 | @ Sassuolo | 2093 | 1996 | 47.50% | 26.59% | 25.91% | +0.43 | 63.7 |
| 2026-11-29 | Fiorentina | 1976 | 1952 | 42.08% | 26.96% | 30.95% | +0.21 | 70.3 |
| 2026-11-29 | @ Udinese | 1952 | 1976 | 30.95% | 26.96% | 42.08% | -0.21 | 70.3 |
| 2026-11-29 | Atalanta | 1920 | 2055 | 21.89% | 26.03% | 52.08% | -0.63 | 52.6 |
| 2026-11-29 | @ Lecce | 2055 | 1920 | 52.08% | 26.03% | 21.89% | +0.63 | 52.6 |
| 2026-12-06 | Cagliari | 1952 | 2005 | 31.29% | 26.98% | 41.73% | -0.20 | 64.1 |
| 2026-12-06 | @ Fiorentina | 2005 | 1952 | 41.73% | 26.98% | 31.29% | +0.20 | 64.1 |
| 2026-12-06 | Parma | 2091 | 1932 | 58.14% | 24.88% | 16.98% | +0.93 | 53.1 |
| 2026-12-06 | @ AC Milan | 1932 | 2091 | 16.98% | 24.88% | 58.14% | -0.93 | 53.1 |
| 2026-12-06 | Como | 1940 | 2098 | 19.66% | 25.59% | 54.74% | -0.76 | 57.2 |
| 2026-12-06 | @ Monza | 2098 | 1940 | 54.74% | 25.59% | 19.66% | +0.76 | 57.2 |
| 2026-12-06 | Torino | 1923 | 1947 | 35.27% | 27.08% | 37.65% | -0.04 | 64.9 |
| 2026-12-06 | @ Genoa | 1947 | 1923 | 37.65% | 27.08% | 35.27% | +0.04 | 64.9 |
| 2026-12-06 | Roma | 1992 | 2180 | 17.21% | 24.95% | 57.84% | -0.91 | 54.5 |
| 2026-12-06 | @ Bologna | 2180 | 1992 | 57.84% | 24.95% | 17.21% | +0.91 | 54.5 |
| 2026-12-06 | Sassuolo | 1914 | 1996 | 27.62% | 26.75% | 45.63% | -0.35 | 62.4 |
| 2026-12-06 | @ Venezia | 1996 | 1914 | 45.63% | 26.75% | 27.62% | +0.35 | 62.4 |
| 2026-12-06 | Inter Milan | 2049 | 2206 | 19.86% | 25.63% | 54.51% | -0.75 | 62.6 |
| 2026-12-06 | @ Frosinone | 2206 | 2049 | 54.51% | 25.63% | 19.86% | +0.75 | 62.6 |
| 2026-12-06 | Udinese | 2121 | 1976 | 56.61% | 25.22% | 18.17% | +0.85 | 57.0 |
| 2026-12-06 | @ Juventus | 1976 | 2121 | 18.17% | 25.22% | 56.61% | -0.85 | 57.0 |
| 2026-12-06 | Atalanta | 2074 | 2055 | 41.40% | 26.99% | 31.61% | +0.19 | 69.8 |
| 2026-12-06 | @ Lazio Roma | 2055 | 2074 | 31.61% | 26.99% | 41.40% | -0.19 | 69.8 |
| 2026-12-06 | Lecce | 2093 | 1920 | 59.48% | 24.55% | 15.97% | +1.00 | 49.6 |
| 2026-12-06 | @ Napoli | 1920 | 2093 | 15.97% | 24.55% | 59.48% | -1.00 | 49.6 |
| 2026-12-13 | Genoa | 2055 | 1923 | 55.16% | 25.51% | 19.33% | +0.78 | 50.8 |
| 2026-12-13 | @ Atalanta | 1923 | 2055 | 19.33% | 25.51% | 55.16% | -0.78 | 50.8 |
| 2026-12-13 | Venezia | 2005 | 1914 | 50.56% | 26.24% | 23.19% | +0.56 | 56.9 |
| 2026-12-13 | @ Cagliari | 1914 | 2005 | 23.19% | 26.24% | 50.56% | -0.56 | 56.9 |
| 2026-12-13 | Bologna | 2098 | 1992 | 52.38% | 25.99% | 21.63% | +0.65 | 57.5 |
| 2026-12-13 | @ Como | 1992 | 2098 | 21.63% | 25.99% | 52.38% | -0.65 | 57.5 |
| 2026-12-13 | Torino | 2206 | 1947 | 67.04% | 22.11% | 10.85% | +1.45 | 51.8 |
| 2026-12-13 | @ Inter Milan | 1947 | 2206 | 10.85% | 22.11% | 67.04% | -1.45 | 51.8 |
| 2026-12-13 | Monza | 2121 | 1940 | 60.24% | 24.35% | 15.41% | +1.04 | 53.2 |
| 2026-12-13 | @ Juventus | 1940 | 2121 | 15.41% | 24.35% | 60.24% | -1.04 | 53.2 |
| 2026-12-13 | Roma | 2074 | 2180 | 24.92% | 26.48% | 48.60% | -0.48 | 67.7 |
| 2026-12-13 | @ Lazio Roma | 2180 | 2074 | 48.60% | 26.48% | 24.92% | +0.48 | 67.7 |
| 2026-12-13 | Fiorentina | 1932 | 1952 | 35.83% | 27.08% | 37.09% | -0.02 | 66.9 |
| 2026-12-13 | @ Parma | 1952 | 1932 | 37.09% | 27.08% | 35.83% | +0.02 | 66.9 |
| 2026-12-13 | AC Milan | 2093 | 2091 | 38.91% | 27.06% | 34.03% | +0.09 | 75.8 |
| 2026-12-13 | @ Napoli | 2091 | 2093 | 34.03% | 27.06% | 38.91% | -0.09 | 75.8 |
| 2026-12-13 | Frosinone | 1976 | 2049 | 28.73% | 26.83% | 44.44% | -0.31 | 68.0 |
| 2026-12-13 | @ Udinese | 2049 | 1976 | 44.44% | 26.83% | 28.73% | +0.31 | 68.0 |
| 2026-12-13 | Sassuolo | 1920 | 1996 | 28.35% | 26.81% | 44.84% | -0.32 | 64.3 |
| 2026-12-13 | @ Lecce | 1996 | 1920 | 44.84% | 26.81% | 28.35% | +0.32 | 64.3 |
| 2026-12-20 | Bologna | 1952 | 1992 | 32.97% | 27.04% | 39.99% | -0.13 | 63.9 |
| 2026-12-20 | @ Fiorentina | 1992 | 1952 | 39.99% | 27.04% | 32.97% | +0.13 | 63.9 |
| 2026-12-20 | Como | 2091 | 2098 | 37.68% | 27.08% | 35.24% | +0.05 | 77.3 |
| 2026-12-20 | @ AC Milan | 2098 | 2091 | 35.24% | 27.08% | 37.68% | -0.05 | 77.3 |
| 2026-12-20 | Juventus | 2180 | 2121 | 46.64% | 26.67% | 26.69% | +0.40 | 73.5 |
| 2026-12-20 | @ Roma | 2121 | 2180 | 26.69% | 26.67% | 46.64% | -0.40 | 73.5 |
| 2026-12-20 | Napoli | 2055 | 2093 | 33.26% | 27.04% | 39.70% | -0.12 | 66.9 |
| 2026-12-20 | @ Atalanta | 2093 | 2055 | 39.70% | 27.04% | 33.26% | +0.12 | 66.9 |
| 2026-12-20 | Udinese | 1923 | 1976 | 31.34% | 26.98% | 41.68% | -0.20 | 64.2 |
| 2026-12-20 | @ Genoa | 1976 | 1923 | 41.68% | 26.98% | 31.34% | +0.20 | 64.2 |
| 2026-12-20 | Cagliari | 1947 | 2005 | 30.73% | 26.95% | 42.31% | -0.22 | 62.7 |
| 2026-12-20 | @ Torino | 2005 | 1947 | 42.31% | 26.95% | 30.73% | +0.22 | 62.7 |
| 2026-12-20 | Monza | 1914 | 1940 | 34.97% | 27.08% | 37.96% | -0.06 | 68.2 |
| 2026-12-20 | @ Venezia | 1940 | 1914 | 37.96% | 27.08% | 34.97% | +0.06 | 68.2 |
| 2026-12-20 | Lazio Roma | 2049 | 2074 | 35.13% | 27.08% | 37.80% | -0.05 | 73.7 |
| 2026-12-20 | @ Frosinone | 2074 | 2049 | 37.80% | 27.08% | 35.13% | +0.05 | 73.7 |
| 2026-12-20 | Parma | 1996 | 1932 | 47.33% | 26.60% | 26.07% | +0.42 | 64.3 |
| 2026-12-20 | @ Sassuolo | 1932 | 1996 | 26.07% | 26.60% | 47.33% | -0.42 | 64.3 |
| 2026-12-20 | Inter Milan | 1920 | 2206 | 11.03% | 22.22% | 66.74% | -1.43 | 51.3 |
| 2026-12-20 | @ Lecce | 2206 | 1920 | 66.74% | 22.22% | 11.03% | +1.43 | 51.3 |
| 2027-01-03 | Lazio Roma | 1952 | 2074 | 23.12% | 26.23% | 50.65% | -0.57 | 58.2 |
| 2027-01-03 | @ Fiorentina | 2074 | 1952 | 50.65% | 26.23% | 23.12% | +0.57 | 58.2 |
| 2027-01-03 | AC Milan | 1940 | 2091 | 20.30% | 25.73% | 53.97% | -0.72 | 59.0 |
| 2027-01-03 | @ Monza | 2091 | 1940 | 53.97% | 25.73% | 20.30% | +0.72 | 59.0 |
| 2027-01-03 | Frosinone | 2180 | 2049 | 55.10% | 25.53% | 19.38% | +0.78 | 64.4 |
| 2027-01-03 | @ Roma | 2049 | 2180 | 19.38% | 25.53% | 55.10% | -0.78 | 64.4 |
| 2027-01-03 | Genoa | 2005 | 1923 | 49.41% | 26.39% | 24.21% | +0.51 | 57.5 |
| 2027-01-03 | @ Cagliari | 1923 | 2005 | 24.21% | 26.39% | 49.41% | -0.51 | 57.5 |
| 2027-01-03 | Lecce | 2098 | 1920 | 60.00% | 24.42% | 15.58% | +1.03 | 51.3 |
| 2027-01-03 | @ Como | 1920 | 2098 | 15.58% | 24.42% | 60.00% | -1.03 | 51.3 |
| 2027-01-03 | Juventus | 1992 | 2121 | 22.48% | 26.13% | 51.39% | -0.60 | 54.2 |
| 2027-01-03 | @ Bologna | 2121 | 1992 | 51.39% | 26.13% | 22.48% | +0.60 | 54.2 |
| 2027-01-03 | Venezia | 1947 | 1914 | 43.29% | 26.90% | 29.81% | +0.26 | 64.4 |
| 2027-01-03 | @ Torino | 1914 | 1947 | 29.81% | 26.90% | 43.29% | -0.26 | 64.4 |
| 2027-01-03 | Sassuolo | 2206 | 1996 | 62.89% | 23.58% | 13.53% | +1.19 | 57.1 |
| 2027-01-03 | @ Inter Milan | 1996 | 2206 | 13.53% | 23.58% | 62.89% | -1.19 | 57.1 |
| 2027-01-03 | Napoli | 1932 | 2093 | 19.41% | 25.53% | 55.06% | -0.77 | 50.5 |
| 2027-01-03 | @ Parma | 2093 | 1932 | 55.06% | 25.53% | 19.41% | +0.77 | 50.5 |
| 2027-01-03 | Atalanta | 1976 | 2055 | 28.07% | 26.78% | 45.14% | -0.33 | 62.9 |
| 2027-01-03 | @ Udinese | 2055 | 1976 | 45.14% | 26.78% | 28.07% | +0.33 | 62.9 |
| 2027-01-06 | Fiorentina | 2091 | 1952 | 56.08% | 25.33% | 18.59% | +0.82 | 57.6 |
| 2027-01-06 | @ AC Milan | 1952 | 2091 | 18.59% | 25.33% | 56.08% | -0.82 | 57.6 |
| 2027-01-06 | Como | 2055 | 2098 | 32.53% | 27.02% | 40.45% | -0.15 | 68.4 |
| 2027-01-06 | @ Atalanta | 2098 | 2055 | 40.45% | 27.02% | 32.53% | +0.15 | 68.4 |
| 2027-01-06 | Monza | 1923 | 1940 | 36.33% | 27.08% | 36.58% | +0.00 | 68.1 |
| 2027-01-06 | @ Genoa | 1940 | 1923 | 36.58% | 27.08% | 36.33% | +0.00 | 68.1 |
| 2027-01-06 | Roma | 1914 | 2180 | 12.06% | 22.83% | 65.11% | -1.33 | 50.4 |
| 2027-01-06 | @ Venezia | 2180 | 1914 | 65.11% | 22.83% | 12.06% | +1.33 | 50.4 |
| 2027-01-06 | Bologna | 2049 | 1992 | 46.41% | 26.69% | 26.90% | +0.39 | 64.2 |
| 2027-01-06 | @ Frosinone | 1992 | 2049 | 26.90% | 26.69% | 46.41% | -0.39 | 64.2 |
| 2027-01-06 | Torino | 2121 | 1947 | 59.52% | 24.54% | 15.94% | +1.00 | 50.6 |
| 2027-01-06 | @ Juventus | 1947 | 2121 | 15.94% | 24.54% | 59.52% | -1.00 | 50.6 |
| 2027-01-06 | Inter Milan | 2074 | 2206 | 22.22% | 26.09% | 51.69% | -0.61 | 65.0 |
| 2027-01-06 | @ Lazio Roma | 2206 | 2074 | 51.69% | 26.09% | 22.22% | +0.61 | 65.0 |
| 2027-01-06 | Udinese | 1996 | 1976 | 41.46% | 26.99% | 31.55% | +0.19 | 74.0 |
| 2027-01-06 | @ Sassuolo | 1976 | 1996 | 31.55% | 26.99% | 41.46% | -0.19 | 74.0 |
| 2027-01-06 | Cagliari | 2093 | 2005 | 50.28% | 26.28% | 23.44% | +0.55 | 60.0 |
| 2027-01-06 | @ Napoli | 2005 | 2093 | 23.44% | 26.28% | 50.28% | -0.55 | 60.0 |
| 2027-01-06 | Parma | 1920 | 1932 | 37.00% | 27.08% | 35.92% | +0.02 | 66.8 |
| 2027-01-06 | @ Lecce | 1932 | 1920 | 35.92% | 27.08% | 37.00% | -0.02 | 66.8 |
| 2027-01-10 | Lecce | 1952 | 1920 | 43.06% | 26.91% | 30.03% | +0.25 | 66.4 |
| 2027-01-10 | @ Fiorentina | 1920 | 1952 | 30.03% | 26.91% | 43.06% | -0.25 | 66.4 |
| 2027-01-10 | Frosinone | 1940 | 2049 | 24.52% | 26.43% | 49.05% | -0.50 | 63.1 |
| 2027-01-10 | @ Monza | 2049 | 1940 | 49.05% | 26.43% | 24.52% | +0.50 | 63.1 |
| 2027-01-10 | AC Milan | 2180 | 2091 | 50.30% | 26.28% | 23.42% | +0.55 | 70.5 |
| 2027-01-10 | @ Roma | 2091 | 2180 | 23.42% | 26.28% | 50.30% | -0.55 | 70.5 |
| 2027-01-10 | Sassuolo | 2005 | 1996 | 39.88% | 27.04% | 33.09% | +0.13 | 71.9 |
| 2027-01-10 | @ Cagliari | 1996 | 2005 | 33.09% | 27.04% | 39.88% | -0.13 | 71.9 |
| 2027-01-10 | Lazio Roma | 2098 | 2074 | 42.04% | 26.96% | 31.00% | +0.21 | 73.6 |
| 2027-01-10 | @ Como | 2074 | 2098 | 31.00% | 26.96% | 42.04% | -0.21 | 73.6 |
| 2027-01-10 | Genoa | 1992 | 1923 | 47.85% | 26.55% | 25.59% | +0.45 | 58.0 |
| 2027-01-10 | @ Bologna | 1923 | 1992 | 25.59% | 26.55% | 47.85% | -0.45 | 58.0 |
| 2027-01-10 | Atalanta | 1947 | 2055 | 24.74% | 26.45% | 48.80% | -0.49 | 56.1 |
| 2027-01-10 | @ Torino | 2055 | 1947 | 48.80% | 26.45% | 24.74% | +0.49 | 56.1 |
| 2027-01-10 | Juventus | 2206 | 2121 | 49.84% | 26.34% | 23.83% | +0.53 | 70.6 |
| 2027-01-10 | @ Inter Milan | 2121 | 2206 | 23.83% | 26.34% | 49.84% | -0.53 | 70.6 |
| 2027-01-10 | Venezia | 1932 | 1914 | 41.16% | 27.00% | 31.84% | +0.18 | 65.4 |
| 2027-01-10 | @ Parma | 1914 | 1932 | 31.84% | 27.00% | 41.16% | -0.18 | 65.4 |
| 2027-01-10 | Napoli | 1976 | 2093 | 23.71% | 26.32% | 49.97% | -0.54 | 60.0 |
| 2027-01-10 | @ Udinese | 2093 | 1976 | 49.97% | 26.32% | 23.71% | +0.54 | 60.0 |
| 2027-01-17 | Torino | 2091 | 1947 | 56.53% | 25.24% | 18.23% | +0.85 | 56.0 |
| 2027-01-17 | @ AC Milan | 1947 | 2091 | 18.23% | 25.24% | 56.53% | -0.85 | 56.0 |
| 2027-01-17 | Roma | 2055 | 2180 | 22.84% | 26.19% | 50.97% | -0.58 | 63.0 |
| 2027-01-17 | @ Atalanta | 2180 | 2055 | 50.97% | 26.19% | 22.84% | +0.58 | 63.0 |
| 2027-01-17 | Como | 2005 | 2098 | 26.27% | 26.63% | 47.10% | -0.41 | 62.0 |
| 2027-01-17 | @ Cagliari | 2098 | 2005 | 47.10% | 26.63% | 26.27% | +0.41 | 62.0 |
| 2027-01-17 | Frosinone | 1914 | 2049 | 21.82% | 26.02% | 52.15% | -0.64 | 55.5 |
| 2027-01-17 | @ Venezia | 2049 | 1914 | 52.15% | 26.02% | 21.82% | +0.64 | 55.5 |
| 2027-01-17 | Genoa | 2121 | 1923 | 61.79% | 23.92% | 14.30% | +1.13 | 46.5 |
| 2027-01-17 | @ Juventus | 1923 | 2121 | 14.30% | 23.92% | 61.79% | -1.13 | 46.5 |
| 2027-01-17 | Bologna | 2074 | 1992 | 49.52% | 26.37% | 24.11% | +0.52 | 59.9 |
| 2027-01-17 | @ Lazio Roma | 1992 | 2074 | 24.11% | 26.37% | 49.52% | -0.52 | 59.9 |
| 2027-01-17 | Inter Milan | 1932 | 2206 | 11.64% | 22.59% | 65.77% | -1.37 | 51.0 |
| 2027-01-17 | @ Parma | 2206 | 1932 | 65.77% | 22.59% | 11.64% | +1.37 | 51.0 |
| 2027-01-17 | Monza | 1996 | 1940 | 46.28% | 26.70% | 27.02% | +0.38 | 69.7 |
| 2027-01-17 | @ Sassuolo | 1940 | 1996 | 27.02% | 26.70% | 46.28% | -0.38 | 69.7 |
| 2027-01-17 | Fiorentina | 2093 | 1952 | 56.25% | 25.30% | 18.45% | +0.83 | 54.1 |
| 2027-01-17 | @ Napoli | 1952 | 2093 | 18.45% | 25.30% | 56.25% | -0.83 | 54.1 |
| 2027-01-17 | Udinese | 1920 | 1976 | 30.87% | 26.96% | 42.17% | -0.22 | 65.8 |
| 2027-01-17 | @ Lecce | 1976 | 1920 | 42.17% | 26.96% | 30.87% | +0.22 | 65.8 |
| 2027-01-24 | Sassuolo | 1952 | 1996 | 32.42% | 27.02% | 40.56% | -0.15 | 69.4 |
| 2027-01-24 | @ Fiorentina | 1996 | 1952 | 40.56% | 27.02% | 32.42% | +0.15 | 69.4 |
| 2027-01-24 | Lazio Roma | 1940 | 2074 | 21.94% | 26.04% | 52.02% | -0.63 | 58.9 |
| 2027-01-24 | @ Monza | 2074 | 1940 | 52.02% | 26.04% | 21.94% | +0.63 | 58.9 |
| 2027-01-24 | Udinese | 2180 | 1976 | 62.37% | 23.74% | 13.89% | +1.16 | 56.5 |
| 2027-01-24 | @ Roma | 1976 | 2180 | 13.89% | 23.74% | 62.37% | -1.16 | 56.5 |
| 2027-01-24 | Parma | 1923 | 1932 | 37.51% | 27.08% | 35.41% | +0.04 | 65.7 |
| 2027-01-24 | @ Genoa | 1932 | 1923 | 35.41% | 27.08% | 37.51% | -0.04 | 65.7 |
| 2027-01-24 | Napoli | 2098 | 2093 | 39.43% | 27.05% | 33.52% | +0.11 | 74.4 |
| 2027-01-24 | @ Como | 2093 | 2098 | 33.52% | 27.05% | 39.43% | -0.11 | 74.4 |
| 2027-01-24 | Atalanta | 1992 | 2055 | 30.06% | 26.92% | 43.03% | -0.25 | 60.5 |
| 2027-01-24 | @ Bologna | 2055 | 1992 | 43.03% | 26.92% | 30.06% | +0.25 | 60.5 |
| 2027-01-24 | AC Milan | 2049 | 2091 | 32.76% | 27.03% | 40.21% | -0.14 | 73.8 |
| 2027-01-24 | @ Frosinone | 2091 | 2049 | 40.21% | 27.03% | 32.76% | +0.14 | 73.8 |
| 2027-01-24 | Venezia | 2206 | 1914 | 69.65% | 21.02% | 9.33% | +1.63 | 49.5 |
| 2027-01-24 | @ Inter Milan | 1914 | 2206 | 9.33% | 21.02% | 69.65% | -1.63 | 49.5 |
| 2027-01-24 | Cagliari | 2121 | 2005 | 53.51% | 25.81% | 20.68% | +0.70 | 57.3 |
| 2027-01-24 | @ Juventus | 2005 | 2121 | 20.68% | 25.81% | 53.51% | -0.70 | 57.3 |
| 2027-01-24 | Torino | 1920 | 1947 | 34.77% | 27.07% | 38.16% | -0.06 | 66.1 |
| 2027-01-24 | @ Lecce | 1947 | 1920 | 38.16% | 27.07% | 34.77% | +0.06 | 66.1 |
| 2027-01-31 | Juventus | 2091 | 2121 | 34.47% | 27.07% | 38.46% | -0.07 | 74.2 |
| 2027-01-31 | @ AC Milan | 2121 | 2091 | 38.46% | 27.07% | 34.47% | +0.07 | 74.2 |
| 2027-01-31 | Roma | 1940 | 2180 | 13.57% | 23.59% | 62.83% | -1.19 | 54.9 |
| 2027-01-31 | @ Monza | 2180 | 1940 | 62.83% | 23.59% | 13.57% | +1.19 | 54.9 |
| 2027-01-31 | Fiorentina | 2055 | 1952 | 52.01% | 26.04% | 21.95% | +0.63 | 57.0 |
| 2027-01-31 | @ Atalanta | 1952 | 2055 | 21.95% | 26.04% | 52.01% | -0.63 | 57.0 |
| 2027-01-31 | Parma | 2005 | 1932 | 48.40% | 26.50% | 25.10% | +0.47 | 59.4 |
| 2027-01-31 | @ Cagliari | 1932 | 2005 | 25.10% | 26.50% | 48.40% | -0.47 | 59.4 |
| 2027-01-31 | Lecce | 1923 | 1920 | 39.19% | 27.06% | 33.76% | +0.10 | 66.7 |
| 2027-01-31 | @ Genoa | 1920 | 1923 | 33.76% | 27.06% | 39.19% | -0.10 | 66.7 |
| 2027-01-31 | Frosinone | 1947 | 2049 | 25.34% | 26.53% | 48.14% | -0.46 | 60.8 |
| 2027-01-31 | @ Torino | 2049 | 1947 | 48.14% | 26.53% | 25.34% | +0.46 | 60.8 |
| 2027-01-31 | Venezia | 2074 | 1914 | 58.21% | 24.87% | 16.93% | +0.93 | 50.9 |
| 2027-01-31 | @ Lazio Roma | 1914 | 2074 | 16.93% | 24.87% | 58.21% | -0.93 | 50.9 |
| 2027-01-31 | Como | 1996 | 2098 | 25.31% | 26.52% | 48.17% | -0.46 | 65.1 |
| 2027-01-31 | @ Sassuolo | 2098 | 1996 | 48.17% | 26.52% | 25.31% | +0.46 | 65.1 |
| 2027-01-31 | Inter Milan | 2093 | 2206 | 24.17% | 26.38% | 49.45% | -0.51 | 66.8 |
| 2027-01-31 | @ Napoli | 2206 | 2093 | 49.45% | 26.38% | 24.17% | +0.51 | 66.8 |
| 2027-01-31 | Bologna | 1976 | 1992 | 36.40% | 27.08% | 36.51% | +0.00 | 68.2 |
| 2027-01-31 | @ Udinese | 1992 | 1976 | 36.51% | 27.08% | 36.40% | +0.00 | 68.2 |
| 2027-02-07 | Udinese | 1952 | 1976 | 35.18% | 27.08% | 37.75% | -0.05 | 70.5 |
| 2027-02-07 | @ Fiorentina | 1976 | 1952 | 37.75% | 27.08% | 35.18% | +0.05 | 70.5 |
| 2027-02-07 | Torino | 2180 | 1947 | 64.91% | 22.90% | 12.19% | +1.32 | 52.4 |
| 2027-02-07 | @ Roma | 1947 | 2180 | 12.19% | 22.90% | 64.91% | -1.32 | 52.4 |
| 2027-02-07 | Lazio Roma | 2055 | 2074 | 35.89% | 27.08% | 37.03% | -0.02 | 69.9 |
| 2027-02-07 | @ Atalanta | 2074 | 2055 | 37.03% | 27.08% | 35.89% | +0.02 | 69.9 |
| 2027-02-07 | Monza | 2098 | 1940 | 58.02% | 24.91% | 17.07% | +0.92 | 56.5 |
| 2027-02-07 | @ Como | 1940 | 2098 | 17.07% | 24.91% | 58.02% | -0.92 | 56.5 |
| 2027-02-07 | AC Milan | 1992 | 2091 | 25.64% | 26.56% | 47.80% | -0.44 | 60.1 |
| 2027-02-07 | @ Bologna | 2091 | 1992 | 47.80% | 26.56% | 25.64% | +0.44 | 60.1 |
| 2027-02-07 | Genoa | 1914 | 1923 | 37.31% | 27.08% | 35.61% | +0.03 | 65.6 |
| 2027-02-07 | @ Venezia | 1923 | 1914 | 35.61% | 27.08% | 37.31% | -0.03 | 65.6 |
| 2027-02-07 | Cagliari | 2206 | 2005 | 62.11% | 23.82% | 14.07% | +1.15 | 55.4 |
| 2027-02-07 | @ Inter Milan | 2005 | 2206 | 14.07% | 23.82% | 62.11% | -1.15 | 55.4 |
| 2027-02-07 | Sassuolo | 2121 | 1996 | 54.46% | 25.64% | 19.90% | +0.74 | 60.5 |
| 2027-02-07 | @ Juventus | 1996 | 2121 | 19.90% | 25.64% | 54.46% | -0.74 | 60.5 |
| 2027-02-07 | Frosinone | 1932 | 2049 | 23.64% | 26.31% | 50.05% | -0.54 | 57.7 |
| 2027-02-07 | @ Parma | 2049 | 1932 | 50.05% | 26.31% | 23.64% | +0.54 | 57.7 |
| 2027-02-07 | Napoli | 1920 | 2093 | 18.40% | 25.28% | 56.32% | -0.84 | 50.4 |
| 2027-02-07 | @ Lecce | 2093 | 1920 | 56.32% | 25.28% | 18.40% | +0.84 | 50.4 |
| 2027-02-14 | Lecce | 1940 | 1920 | 41.47% | 26.99% | 31.54% | +0.19 | 69.7 |
| 2027-02-14 | @ Monza | 1920 | 1940 | 31.54% | 26.99% | 41.47% | -0.19 | 69.7 |
| 2027-02-14 | Parma | 2180 | 1932 | 66.22% | 22.42% | 11.36% | +1.40 | 50.6 |
| 2027-02-14 | @ Roma | 1932 | 2180 | 11.36% | 22.42% | 66.22% | -1.40 | 50.6 |
| 2027-02-14 | Lazio Roma | 2005 | 2074 | 29.18% | 26.86% | 43.96% | -0.29 | 64.1 |
| 2027-02-14 | @ Cagliari | 2074 | 2005 | 43.96% | 26.86% | 29.18% | +0.29 | 64.1 |
| 2027-02-14 | Atalanta | 1923 | 2055 | 22.24% | 26.09% | 51.66% | -0.61 | 51.5 |
| 2027-02-14 | @ Genoa | 2055 | 1923 | 51.66% | 26.09% | 22.24% | +0.61 | 51.5 |
| 2027-02-14 | Como | 1992 | 2098 | 24.86% | 26.47% | 48.68% | -0.48 | 58.1 |
| 2027-02-14 | @ Bologna | 2098 | 1992 | 48.68% | 26.47% | 24.86% | +0.48 | 58.1 |
| 2027-02-14 | Sassuolo | 1947 | 1996 | 31.85% | 27.00% | 41.15% | -0.18 | 67.8 |
| 2027-02-14 | @ Torino | 1996 | 1947 | 41.15% | 27.00% | 31.85% | +0.18 | 67.8 |
| 2027-02-14 | Fiorentina | 2049 | 1952 | 51.38% | 26.13% | 22.48% | +0.60 | 62.0 |
| 2027-02-14 | @ Frosinone | 1952 | 2049 | 22.48% | 26.13% | 51.38% | -0.60 | 62.0 |
| 2027-02-14 | AC Milan | 2206 | 2091 | 53.29% | 25.84% | 20.87% | +0.69 | 67.4 |
| 2027-02-14 | @ Inter Milan | 2091 | 2206 | 20.87% | 25.84% | 53.29% | -0.69 | 67.4 |
| 2027-02-14 | Juventus | 2093 | 2121 | 34.71% | 27.07% | 38.22% | -0.07 | 71.3 |
| 2027-02-14 | @ Napoli | 2121 | 2093 | 38.22% | 27.07% | 34.71% | +0.07 | 71.3 |
| 2027-02-14 | Venezia | 1976 | 1914 | 47.05% | 26.63% | 26.32% | +0.41 | 63.5 |
| 2027-02-14 | @ Udinese | 1914 | 1976 | 26.32% | 26.63% | 47.05% | -0.41 | 63.5 |
| 2027-02-21 | Inter Milan | 1952 | 2206 | 12.74% | 23.19% | 64.07% | -1.26 | 53.5 |
| 2027-02-21 | @ Fiorentina | 2206 | 1952 | 64.07% | 23.19% | 12.74% | +1.26 | 53.5 |
| 2027-02-21 | Genoa | 2091 | 1923 | 58.96% | 24.68% | 16.36% | +0.97 | 51.2 |
| 2027-02-21 | @ AC Milan | 1923 | 2091 | 16.36% | 24.68% | 58.96% | -0.97 | 51.2 |
| 2027-02-21 | Monza | 2055 | 1940 | 53.34% | 25.84% | 20.82% | +0.69 | 57.4 |
| 2027-02-21 | @ Atalanta | 1940 | 2055 | 20.82% | 25.84% | 53.34% | -0.69 | 57.4 |
| 2027-02-21 | Torino | 2098 | 1947 | 57.26% | 25.08% | 17.66% | +0.88 | 54.1 |
| 2027-02-21 | @ Como | 1947 | 2098 | 17.66% | 25.08% | 57.26% | -0.88 | 54.1 |
| 2027-02-21 | Cagliari | 1914 | 2005 | 26.62% | 26.66% | 46.73% | -0.40 | 57.5 |
| 2027-02-21 | @ Venezia | 2005 | 1914 | 46.73% | 26.66% | 26.62% | +0.40 | 57.5 |
| 2027-02-21 | Bologna | 2121 | 1992 | 54.90% | 25.56% | 19.53% | +0.77 | 53.6 |
| 2027-02-21 | @ Juventus | 1992 | 2121 | 19.53% | 25.56% | 54.90% | -0.77 | 53.6 |
| 2027-02-21 | Napoli | 2074 | 2093 | 35.99% | 27.08% | 36.93% | -0.02 | 72.2 |
| 2027-02-21 | @ Lazio Roma | 2093 | 2074 | 36.93% | 27.08% | 35.99% | +0.02 | 72.2 |
| 2027-02-21 | Roma | 1996 | 2180 | 17.53% | 25.04% | 57.43% | -0.89 | 59.5 |
| 2027-02-21 | @ Sassuolo | 2180 | 1996 | 57.43% | 25.04% | 17.53% | +0.89 | 59.5 |
| 2027-02-21 | Parma | 1976 | 1932 | 44.75% | 26.81% | 28.44% | +0.32 | 65.8 |
| 2027-02-21 | @ Udinese | 1932 | 1976 | 28.44% | 26.81% | 44.75% | -0.32 | 65.8 |
| 2027-02-21 | Frosinone | 1920 | 2049 | 22.42% | 26.12% | 51.46% | -0.60 | 57.3 |
| 2027-02-21 | @ Lecce | 2049 | 1920 | 51.46% | 26.12% | 22.42% | +0.60 | 57.3 |
| 2027-02-28 | Juventus | 1940 | 2121 | 17.75% | 25.11% | 57.14% | -0.88 | 54.0 |
| 2027-02-28 | @ Monza | 2121 | 1940 | 57.14% | 25.11% | 17.75% | +0.88 | 54.0 |
| 2027-02-28 | Venezia | 2180 | 1914 | 67.66% | 21.86% | 10.48% | +1.49 | 49.7 |
| 2027-02-28 | @ Roma | 1914 | 2180 | 10.48% | 21.86% | 67.66% | -1.49 | 49.7 |
| 2027-02-28 | Udinese | 2005 | 1976 | 42.63% | 26.94% | 30.44% | +0.23 | 68.8 |
| 2027-02-28 | @ Cagliari | 1976 | 2005 | 30.44% | 26.94% | 42.63% | -0.23 | 68.8 |
| 2027-02-28 | Lazio Roma | 1923 | 2074 | 20.37% | 25.74% | 53.89% | -0.72 | 51.7 |
| 2027-02-28 | @ Genoa | 2074 | 1923 | 53.89% | 25.74% | 20.37% | +0.72 | 51.7 |
| 2027-02-28 | AC Milan | 2098 | 2091 | 39.66% | 27.05% | 33.29% | +0.12 | 77.2 |
| 2027-02-28 | @ Como | 2091 | 2098 | 33.29% | 27.05% | 39.66% | -0.12 | 77.2 |
| 2027-02-28 | Lecce | 1992 | 1920 | 48.30% | 26.51% | 25.19% | +0.47 | 58.7 |
| 2027-02-28 | @ Bologna | 1920 | 1992 | 25.19% | 26.51% | 48.30% | -0.47 | 58.7 |
| 2027-02-28 | Fiorentina | 1947 | 1952 | 38.07% | 27.07% | 34.85% | +0.06 | 69.2 |
| 2027-02-28 | @ Torino | 1952 | 1947 | 34.85% | 27.07% | 38.07% | -0.06 | 69.2 |
| 2027-02-28 | Napoli | 2049 | 2093 | 32.53% | 27.02% | 40.45% | -0.15 | 70.6 |
| 2027-02-28 | @ Frosinone | 2093 | 2049 | 40.45% | 27.02% | 32.53% | +0.15 | 70.6 |
| 2027-02-28 | Atalanta | 2206 | 2055 | 57.25% | 25.09% | 17.67% | +0.88 | 60.1 |
| 2027-02-28 | @ Inter Milan | 2055 | 2206 | 17.67% | 25.09% | 57.25% | -0.88 | 60.1 |
| 2027-02-28 | Sassuolo | 1932 | 1996 | 29.82% | 26.90% | 43.28% | -0.26 | 64.7 |
| 2027-02-28 | @ Parma | 1996 | 1932 | 43.28% | 26.90% | 29.82% | +0.26 | 64.7 |
| 2027-03-07 | Venezia | 1952 | 1914 | 43.86% | 26.87% | 29.27% | +0.28 | 64.7 |
| 2027-03-07 | @ Fiorentina | 1914 | 1952 | 29.27% | 26.87% | 43.86% | -0.28 | 64.7 |
| 2027-03-07 | Cagliari | 2091 | 2005 | 50.08% | 26.31% | 23.62% | +0.54 | 63.5 |
| 2027-03-07 | @ AC Milan | 2005 | 2091 | 23.62% | 26.31% | 50.08% | -0.54 | 63.5 |
| 2027-03-07 | Genoa | 1940 | 1923 | 40.97% | 27.01% | 32.02% | +0.17 | 68.0 |
| 2027-03-07 | @ Monza | 1923 | 1940 | 32.02% | 27.01% | 40.97% | -0.17 | 68.0 |
| 2027-03-07 | Torino | 2055 | 1947 | 52.50% | 25.97% | 21.53% | +0.65 | 55.5 |
| 2027-03-07 | @ Atalanta | 1947 | 2055 | 21.53% | 25.97% | 52.50% | -0.65 | 55.5 |
| 2027-03-07 | Roma | 2121 | 2180 | 30.51% | 26.94% | 42.55% | -0.23 | 73.9 |
| 2027-03-07 | @ Juventus | 2180 | 2121 | 42.55% | 26.94% | 30.51% | +0.23 | 73.9 |
| 2027-03-07 | Frosinone | 2074 | 2049 | 42.13% | 26.96% | 30.91% | +0.21 | 73.5 |
| 2027-03-07 | @ Lazio Roma | 2049 | 2074 | 30.91% | 26.96% | 42.13% | -0.21 | 73.5 |
| 2027-03-07 | Bologna | 1996 | 1992 | 39.25% | 27.05% | 33.70% | +0.10 | 70.2 |
| 2027-03-07 | @ Sassuolo | 1992 | 1996 | 33.70% | 27.05% | 39.25% | -0.10 | 70.2 |
| 2027-03-07 | Parma | 2093 | 1932 | 58.31% | 24.84% | 16.85% | +0.94 | 49.8 |
| 2027-03-07 | @ Napoli | 1932 | 2093 | 16.85% | 24.84% | 58.31% | -0.94 | 49.8 |
| 2027-03-07 | Inter Milan | 1976 | 2206 | 14.24% | 23.89% | 61.88% | -1.13 | 56.1 |
| 2027-03-07 | @ Udinese | 2206 | 1976 | 61.88% | 23.89% | 14.24% | +1.13 | 56.1 |
| 2027-03-07 | Como | 1920 | 2098 | 17.95% | 25.17% | 56.88% | -0.86 | 52.0 |
| 2027-03-07 | @ Lecce | 2098 | 1920 | 56.88% | 25.17% | 17.95% | +0.86 | 52.0 |
| 2027-03-14 | Sassuolo | 2091 | 1996 | 51.09% | 26.17% | 22.73% | +0.59 | 66.4 |
| 2027-03-14 | @ AC Milan | 1996 | 2091 | 22.73% | 26.17% | 51.09% | -0.59 | 66.4 |
| 2027-03-14 | Fiorentina | 2005 | 1952 | 45.87% | 26.73% | 27.40% | +0.36 | 63.8 |
| 2027-03-14 | @ Cagliari | 1952 | 2005 | 27.40% | 26.73% | 45.87% | -0.36 | 63.8 |
| 2027-03-14 | Roma | 1923 | 2180 | 12.60% | 23.12% | 64.29% | -1.28 | 49.9 |
| 2027-03-14 | @ Genoa | 2180 | 1923 | 64.29% | 23.12% | 12.60% | +1.28 | 49.9 |
| 2027-03-14 | Udinese | 2098 | 1976 | 54.18% | 25.69% | 20.13% | +0.73 | 60.8 |
| 2027-03-14 | @ Como | 1976 | 2098 | 20.13% | 25.69% | 54.18% | -0.73 | 60.8 |
| 2027-03-14 | Napoli | 1992 | 2093 | 25.45% | 26.54% | 48.01% | -0.45 | 56.9 |
| 2027-03-14 | @ Bologna | 2093 | 1992 | 48.01% | 26.54% | 25.45% | +0.45 | 56.9 |
| 2027-03-14 | Inter Milan | 1947 | 2206 | 12.49% | 23.06% | 64.44% | -1.29 | 52.6 |
| 2027-03-14 | @ Torino | 2206 | 1947 | 64.44% | 23.06% | 12.49% | +1.29 | 52.6 |
| 2027-03-14 | Atalanta | 1914 | 2055 | 21.30% | 25.93% | 52.77% | -0.66 | 51.1 |
| 2027-03-14 | @ Venezia | 2055 | 1914 | 52.77% | 25.93% | 21.30% | +0.66 | 51.1 |
| 2027-03-14 | Monza | 2049 | 1940 | 52.74% | 25.93% | 21.33% | +0.66 | 62.5 |
| 2027-03-14 | @ Frosinone | 1940 | 2049 | 21.33% | 25.93% | 52.74% | -0.66 | 62.5 |
| 2027-03-14 | Juventus | 2074 | 2121 | 32.13% | 27.01% | 40.86% | -0.17 | 70.3 |
| 2027-03-14 | @ Lazio Roma | 2121 | 2074 | 40.86% | 27.01% | 32.13% | +0.17 | 70.3 |
| 2027-03-14 | Lecce | 1932 | 1920 | 40.33% | 27.03% | 32.64% | +0.15 | 66.7 |
| 2027-03-14 | @ Parma | 1920 | 1932 | 32.64% | 27.03% | 40.33% | -0.15 | 66.7 |
| 2027-03-21 | Genoa | 1952 | 1923 | 42.57% | 26.94% | 30.49% | +0.23 | 65.0 |
| 2027-03-21 | @ Fiorentina | 1923 | 1952 | 30.49% | 26.94% | 42.57% | -0.23 | 65.0 |
| 2027-03-21 | Bologna | 1940 | 1992 | 31.41% | 26.98% | 41.61% | -0.19 | 64.2 |
| 2027-03-21 | @ Monza | 1992 | 1940 | 41.61% | 26.98% | 31.41% | +0.19 | 64.2 |
| 2027-03-21 | Lecce | 2180 | 1920 | 67.18% | 22.05% | 10.77% | +1.46 | 50.9 |
| 2027-03-21 | @ Roma | 1920 | 2180 | 10.77% | 22.05% | 67.18% | -1.46 | 50.9 |
| 2027-03-21 | AC Milan | 2055 | 2091 | 33.49% | 27.05% | 39.46% | -0.11 | 70.3 |
| 2027-03-21 | @ Atalanta | 2091 | 2055 | 39.46% | 27.05% | 33.49% | +0.11 | 70.3 |
| 2027-03-21 | Frosinone | 2206 | 2049 | 57.80% | 24.96% | 17.24% | +0.91 | 61.9 |
| 2027-03-21 | @ Inter Milan | 2049 | 2206 | 17.24% | 24.96% | 57.80% | -0.91 | 61.9 |
| 2027-03-21 | Como | 2121 | 2098 | 41.81% | 26.97% | 31.22% | +0.20 | 73.8 |
| 2027-03-21 | @ Juventus | 2098 | 2121 | 31.22% | 26.97% | 41.81% | -0.20 | 73.8 |
| 2027-03-21 | Lazio Roma | 1932 | 2074 | 21.14% | 25.90% | 52.97% | -0.67 | 53.6 |
| 2027-03-21 | @ Parma | 2074 | 1932 | 52.97% | 25.90% | 21.14% | +0.67 | 53.6 |
| 2027-03-21 | Cagliari | 1996 | 2005 | 37.46% | 27.08% | 35.46% | +0.04 | 72.0 |
| 2027-03-21 | @ Sassuolo | 2005 | 1996 | 35.46% | 27.08% | 37.46% | -0.04 | 72.0 |
| 2027-03-21 | Venezia | 2093 | 1914 | 60.06% | 24.40% | 15.54% | +1.03 | 48.1 |
| 2027-03-21 | @ Napoli | 1914 | 2093 | 15.54% | 24.40% | 60.06% | -1.03 | 48.1 |
| 2027-03-21 | Torino | 1976 | 1947 | 42.66% | 26.94% | 30.40% | +0.24 | 68.7 |
| 2027-03-21 | @ Udinese | 1947 | 1976 | 30.40% | 26.94% | 42.66% | -0.24 | 68.7 |
| 2027-04-04 | Monza | 2091 | 1940 | 57.30% | 25.07% | 17.63% | +0.89 | 58.3 |
| 2027-04-04 | @ AC Milan | 1940 | 2091 | 17.63% | 25.07% | 57.30% | -0.89 | 58.3 |
| 2027-04-04 | Bologna | 2180 | 1992 | 60.89% | 24.17% | 14.93% | +1.08 | 53.7 |
| 2027-04-04 | @ Roma | 1992 | 2180 | 14.93% | 24.17% | 60.89% | -1.08 | 53.7 |
| 2027-04-04 | Napoli | 2005 | 2093 | 26.90% | 26.69% | 46.42% | -0.39 | 60.5 |
| 2027-04-04 | @ Cagliari | 2093 | 2005 | 46.42% | 26.69% | 26.90% | +0.39 | 60.5 |
| 2027-04-04 | Inter Milan | 1923 | 2206 | 11.21% | 22.34% | 66.45% | -1.41 | 49.7 |
| 2027-04-04 | @ Genoa | 2206 | 1923 | 66.45% | 22.34% | 11.21% | +1.41 | 49.7 |
| 2027-04-04 | Fiorentina | 2098 | 1952 | 56.82% | 25.18% | 18.00% | +0.86 | 55.7 |
| 2027-04-04 | @ Como | 1952 | 2098 | 18.00% | 25.18% | 56.82% | -0.86 | 55.7 |
| 2027-04-04 | Juventus | 1947 | 2121 | 18.36% | 25.27% | 56.36% | -0.84 | 51.4 |
| 2027-04-04 | @ Torino | 2121 | 1947 | 56.36% | 25.27% | 18.36% | +0.84 | 51.4 |
| 2027-04-04 | Parma | 1914 | 1932 | 36.13% | 27.08% | 36.78% | -0.01 | 65.5 |
| 2027-04-04 | @ Venezia | 1932 | 1914 | 36.78% | 27.08% | 36.13% | +0.01 | 65.5 |
| 2027-04-04 | Udinese | 2049 | 1976 | 48.42% | 26.50% | 25.08% | +0.47 | 67.5 |
| 2027-04-04 | @ Frosinone | 1976 | 2049 | 25.08% | 26.50% | 48.42% | -0.47 | 67.5 |
| 2027-04-04 | Atalanta | 1996 | 2055 | 30.58% | 26.94% | 42.48% | -0.23 | 66.6 |
| 2027-04-04 | @ Sassuolo | 2055 | 1996 | 42.48% | 26.94% | 30.58% | +0.23 | 66.6 |
| 2027-04-04 | Lazio Roma | 1920 | 2074 | 20.04% | 25.67% | 54.29% | -0.74 | 53.3 |
| 2027-04-04 | @ Lecce | 2074 | 1920 | 54.29% | 25.67% | 20.04% | +0.74 | 53.3 |
| 2027-04-11 | AC Milan | 1952 | 2091 | 21.40% | 25.95% | 52.65% | -0.66 | 58.3 |
| 2027-04-11 | @ Fiorentina | 2091 | 1952 | 52.65% | 25.95% | 21.40% | +0.66 | 58.3 |
| 2027-04-11 | Atalanta | 2005 | 2055 | 31.69% | 26.99% | 41.31% | -0.18 | 63.6 |
| 2027-04-11 | @ Cagliari | 2055 | 2005 | 41.31% | 26.99% | 31.69% | +0.18 | 63.6 |
| 2027-04-11 | Venezia | 1992 | 1914 | 49.04% | 26.43% | 24.53% | +0.50 | 57.3 |
| 2027-04-11 | @ Bologna | 1914 | 1992 | 24.53% | 26.43% | 49.04% | -0.50 | 57.3 |
| 2027-04-11 | Genoa | 2049 | 1923 | 54.57% | 25.62% | 19.80% | +0.75 | 55.0 |
| 2027-04-11 | @ Frosinone | 1923 | 2049 | 19.80% | 25.62% | 54.57% | -0.75 | 55.0 |
| 2027-04-11 | Roma | 2206 | 2180 | 42.24% | 26.96% | 30.80% | +0.22 | 80.0 |
| 2027-04-11 | @ Inter Milan | 2180 | 2206 | 30.80% | 26.96% | 42.24% | -0.22 | 80.0 |
| 2027-04-11 | Lecce | 2121 | 1920 | 62.12% | 23.82% | 14.07% | +1.15 | 48.3 |
| 2027-04-11 | @ Juventus | 1920 | 2121 | 14.07% | 23.82% | 62.12% | -1.15 | 48.3 |
| 2027-04-11 | Torino | 2074 | 1947 | 54.69% | 25.60% | 19.71% | +0.76 | 55.9 |
| 2027-04-11 | @ Lazio Roma | 1947 | 2074 | 19.71% | 25.60% | 54.69% | -0.76 | 55.9 |
| 2027-04-11 | Como | 1932 | 2098 | 18.94% | 25.42% | 55.63% | -0.80 | 52.1 |
| 2027-04-11 | @ Parma | 2098 | 1932 | 55.63% | 25.42% | 18.94% | +0.80 | 52.1 |
| 2027-04-11 | Sassuolo | 2093 | 1996 | 51.29% | 26.15% | 22.56% | +0.60 | 63.2 |
| 2027-04-11 | @ Napoli | 1996 | 2093 | 22.56% | 26.15% | 51.29% | -0.60 | 63.2 |
| 2027-04-11 | Monza | 1976 | 1940 | 43.66% | 26.88% | 29.46% | +0.27 | 71.2 |
| 2027-04-11 | @ Udinese | 1940 | 1976 | 29.46% | 26.88% | 43.66% | -0.27 | 71.2 |
| 2027-04-18 | Parma | 1952 | 1932 | 41.45% | 26.99% | 31.56% | +0.19 | 66.7 |
| 2027-04-18 | @ Fiorentina | 1932 | 1952 | 31.56% | 26.99% | 41.45% | -0.19 | 66.7 |
| 2027-04-18 | Napoli | 2091 | 2093 | 38.44% | 27.07% | 34.49% | +0.07 | 75.8 |
| 2027-04-18 | @ AC Milan | 2093 | 2091 | 34.49% | 27.07% | 38.44% | -0.07 | 75.8 |
| 2027-04-18 | Inter Milan | 1940 | 2206 | 12.08% | 22.84% | 65.08% | -1.33 | 54.1 |
| 2027-04-18 | @ Monza | 2206 | 1940 | 65.08% | 22.84% | 12.08% | +1.33 | 54.1 |
| 2027-04-18 | Lazio Roma | 2180 | 2074 | 52.32% | 26.00% | 21.69% | +0.64 | 67.1 |
| 2027-04-18 | @ Roma | 2074 | 2180 | 21.69% | 26.00% | 52.32% | -0.64 | 67.1 |
| 2027-04-18 | Udinese | 2055 | 1976 | 49.08% | 26.42% | 24.49% | +0.50 | 62.4 |
| 2027-04-18 | @ Atalanta | 1976 | 2055 | 24.49% | 26.42% | 49.08% | -0.50 | 62.4 |
| 2027-04-18 | Frosinone | 2098 | 2049 | 45.36% | 26.77% | 27.87% | +0.34 | 71.7 |
| 2027-04-18 | @ Como | 2049 | 2098 | 27.87% | 26.77% | 45.36% | -0.34 | 71.7 |
| 2027-04-18 | Cagliari | 1992 | 2005 | 36.88% | 27.08% | 36.03% | +0.02 | 66.0 |
| 2027-04-18 | @ Bologna | 2005 | 1992 | 36.03% | 27.08% | 36.88% | -0.02 | 66.0 |
| 2027-04-18 | Genoa | 1947 | 1923 | 41.99% | 26.97% | 31.04% | +0.21 | 64.8 |
| 2027-04-18 | @ Torino | 1923 | 1947 | 31.04% | 26.97% | 41.99% | -0.21 | 64.8 |
| 2027-04-18 | Juventus | 1914 | 2121 | 15.77% | 24.48% | 59.75% | -1.02 | 47.5 |
| 2027-04-18 | @ Venezia | 2121 | 1914 | 59.75% | 24.48% | 15.77% | +1.02 | 47.5 |
| 2027-04-18 | Lecce | 1996 | 1920 | 48.80% | 26.45% | 24.74% | +0.49 | 63.8 |
| 2027-04-18 | @ Sassuolo | 1920 | 1996 | 24.74% | 26.45% | 48.80% | -0.49 | 63.8 |
| 2027-04-25 | Monza | 2005 | 1940 | 47.37% | 26.60% | 26.03% | +0.43 | 64.3 |
| 2027-04-25 | @ Cagliari | 1940 | 2005 | 26.03% | 26.60% | 47.37% | -0.43 | 64.3 |
| 2027-04-25 | Sassuolo | 1923 | 1996 | 28.79% | 26.84% | 44.37% | -0.30 | 62.6 |
| 2027-04-25 | @ Genoa | 1996 | 1923 | 44.37% | 26.84% | 28.79% | +0.30 | 62.6 |
| 2027-04-25 | Torino | 1914 | 1947 | 33.93% | 27.06% | 39.01% | -0.09 | 64.7 |
| 2027-04-25 | @ Venezia | 1947 | 1914 | 39.01% | 27.06% | 33.93% | +0.09 | 64.7 |
| 2027-04-25 | Roma | 2049 | 2180 | 22.30% | 26.10% | 51.60% | -0.61 | 65.1 |
| 2027-04-25 | @ Frosinone | 2180 | 2049 | 51.60% | 26.10% | 22.30% | +0.61 | 65.1 |
| 2027-04-25 | Bologna | 2206 | 1992 | 63.25% | 23.46% | 13.29% | +1.21 | 52.7 |
| 2027-04-25 | @ Inter Milan | 1992 | 2206 | 13.29% | 23.46% | 63.25% | -1.21 | 52.7 |
| 2027-04-25 | Fiorentina | 2121 | 1952 | 59.10% | 24.65% | 16.25% | +0.98 | 52.2 |
| 2027-04-25 | @ Juventus | 1952 | 2121 | 16.25% | 24.65% | 59.10% | -0.98 | 52.2 |
| 2027-04-25 | Como | 2074 | 2098 | 35.23% | 27.08% | 37.70% | -0.05 | 73.8 |
| 2027-04-25 | @ Lazio Roma | 2098 | 2074 | 37.70% | 27.08% | 35.23% | +0.05 | 73.8 |
| 2027-04-25 | Atalanta | 1932 | 2055 | 23.08% | 26.23% | 50.70% | -0.57 | 53.2 |
| 2027-04-25 | @ Parma | 2055 | 1932 | 50.70% | 26.23% | 23.08% | +0.57 | 53.2 |
| 2027-04-25 | Udinese | 2093 | 1976 | 53.58% | 25.80% | 20.62% | +0.70 | 59.4 |
| 2027-04-25 | @ Napoli | 1976 | 2093 | 20.62% | 25.80% | 53.58% | -0.70 | 59.4 |
| 2027-04-25 | AC Milan | 1920 | 2091 | 18.54% | 25.32% | 56.14% | -0.83 | 53.8 |
| 2027-04-25 | @ Lecce | 2091 | 1920 | 56.14% | 25.32% | 18.54% | +0.83 | 53.8 |
| 2027-05-02 | Lazio Roma | 2091 | 2074 | 41.07% | 27.00% | 31.92% | +0.17 | 75.3 |
| 2027-05-02 | @ AC Milan | 2074 | 2091 | 31.92% | 27.00% | 41.07% | -0.17 | 75.3 |
| 2027-05-02 | Venezia | 1940 | 1914 | 42.29% | 26.95% | 30.76% | +0.22 | 68.0 |
| 2027-05-02 | @ Monza | 1914 | 1940 | 30.76% | 26.95% | 42.29% | -0.22 | 68.0 |
| 2027-05-02 | Napoli | 2180 | 2093 | 50.10% | 26.30% | 23.60% | +0.54 | 69.1 |
| 2027-05-02 | @ Roma | 2093 | 2180 | 23.60% | 26.30% | 50.10% | -0.54 | 69.1 |
| 2027-05-02 | Juventus | 2055 | 2121 | 29.59% | 26.89% | 43.52% | -0.27 | 64.5 |
| 2027-05-02 | @ Atalanta | 2121 | 2055 | 43.52% | 26.89% | 29.59% | +0.27 | 64.5 |
| 2027-05-02 | Inter Milan | 2098 | 2206 | 24.75% | 26.46% | 48.79% | -0.49 | 68.5 |
| 2027-05-02 | @ Como | 2206 | 2098 | 48.79% | 26.46% | 24.75% | +0.49 | 68.5 |
| 2027-05-02 | Fiorentina | 1992 | 1952 | 44.23% | 26.85% | 28.93% | +0.30 | 63.6 |
| 2027-05-02 | @ Bologna | 1952 | 1992 | 28.93% | 26.85% | 44.23% | -0.30 | 63.6 |
| 2027-05-02 | Parma | 1947 | 1932 | 40.87% | 27.01% | 32.12% | +0.17 | 66.3 |
| 2027-05-02 | @ Torino | 1932 | 1947 | 32.12% | 27.01% | 40.87% | -0.17 | 66.3 |
| 2027-05-02 | Frosinone | 1996 | 2049 | 31.27% | 26.98% | 41.75% | -0.20 | 71.5 |
| 2027-05-02 | @ Sassuolo | 2049 | 1996 | 41.75% | 26.98% | 31.27% | +0.20 | 71.5 |
| 2027-05-02 | Genoa | 1976 | 1923 | 45.82% | 26.73% | 27.44% | +0.36 | 63.8 |
| 2027-05-02 | @ Udinese | 1923 | 1976 | 27.44% | 26.73% | 45.82% | -0.36 | 63.8 |
| 2027-05-02 | Cagliari | 1920 | 2005 | 27.32% | 26.72% | 45.96% | -0.37 | 59.1 |
| 2027-05-02 | @ Lecce | 2005 | 1920 | 45.96% | 26.72% | 27.32% | +0.37 | 59.1 |
| 2027-05-09 | Roma | 1952 | 2180 | 14.31% | 23.92% | 61.77% | -1.13 | 54.2 |
| 2027-05-09 | @ Fiorentina | 2180 | 1952 | 61.77% | 23.92% | 14.31% | +1.13 | 54.2 |
| 2027-05-09 | Cagliari | 1923 | 2005 | 27.75% | 26.76% | 45.49% | -0.35 | 58.0 |
| 2027-05-09 | @ Genoa | 2005 | 1923 | 45.49% | 26.76% | 27.75% | +0.35 | 58.0 |
| 2027-05-09 | Bologna | 1947 | 1992 | 32.39% | 27.02% | 40.59% | -0.15 | 62.7 |
| 2027-05-09 | @ Torino | 1992 | 1947 | 40.59% | 27.02% | 32.39% | +0.15 | 62.7 |
| 2027-05-09 | Como | 1914 | 2098 | 17.47% | 25.03% | 57.50% | -0.90 | 50.4 |
| 2027-05-09 | @ Venezia | 2098 | 1914 | 57.50% | 25.03% | 17.47% | +0.90 | 50.4 |
| 2027-05-09 | Atalanta | 2049 | 2055 | 37.92% | 27.08% | 35.01% | +0.05 | 72.3 |
| 2027-05-09 | @ Frosinone | 2055 | 2049 | 35.01% | 27.08% | 37.92% | -0.05 | 72.3 |
| 2027-05-09 | Lecce | 2206 | 1920 | 69.19% | 21.22% | 9.59% | +1.60 | 50.5 |
| 2027-05-09 | @ Inter Milan | 1920 | 2206 | 9.59% | 21.22% | 69.19% | -1.60 | 50.5 |
| 2027-05-09 | Sassuolo | 2074 | 1996 | 49.03% | 26.43% | 24.54% | +0.50 | 66.8 |
| 2027-05-09 | @ Lazio Roma | 1996 | 2074 | 24.54% | 26.43% | 49.03% | -0.50 | 66.8 |
| 2027-05-09 | AC Milan | 1932 | 2091 | 19.56% | 25.57% | 54.88% | -0.76 | 53.9 |
| 2027-05-09 | @ Parma | 2091 | 1932 | 54.88% | 25.57% | 19.56% | +0.76 | 53.9 |
| 2027-05-09 | Monza | 2093 | 1940 | 57.47% | 25.04% | 17.49% | +0.89 | 55.0 |
| 2027-05-09 | @ Napoli | 1940 | 2093 | 17.49% | 25.04% | 57.47% | -0.89 | 55.0 |
| 2027-05-09 | Juventus | 1976 | 2121 | 20.92% | 25.86% | 53.22% | -0.69 | 57.7 |
| 2027-05-09 | @ Udinese | 2121 | 1976 | 53.22% | 25.86% | 20.92% | +0.69 | 57.7 |
| 2027-05-16 | Roma | 2091 | 2180 | 26.87% | 26.68% | 46.44% | -0.39 | 71.0 |
| 2027-05-16 | @ AC Milan | 2180 | 2091 | 46.44% | 26.68% | 26.87% | +0.39 | 71.0 |
| 2027-05-16 | Parma | 1940 | 1932 | 39.83% | 27.04% | 33.13% | +0.13 | 69.8 |
| 2027-05-16 | @ Monza | 1932 | 1940 | 33.13% | 27.04% | 39.83% | -0.13 | 69.8 |
| 2027-05-16 | Torino | 2005 | 1947 | 46.42% | 26.68% | 26.89% | +0.39 | 62.3 |
| 2027-05-16 | @ Cagliari | 1947 | 2005 | 26.89% | 26.68% | 46.42% | -0.39 | 62.3 |
| 2027-05-16 | Atalanta | 2098 | 2055 | 44.66% | 26.82% | 28.53% | +0.31 | 68.1 |
| 2027-05-16 | @ Como | 2055 | 2098 | 28.53% | 26.82% | 44.66% | -0.31 | 68.1 |
| 2027-05-16 | Frosinone | 1992 | 2049 | 30.75% | 26.95% | 42.30% | -0.22 | 64.6 |
| 2027-05-16 | @ Bologna | 2049 | 1992 | 42.30% | 26.95% | 30.75% | +0.22 | 64.6 |
| 2027-05-16 | Inter Milan | 2121 | 2206 | 27.33% | 26.72% | 45.95% | -0.37 | 71.1 |
| 2027-05-16 | @ Juventus | 2206 | 2121 | 45.95% | 26.72% | 27.33% | +0.37 | 71.1 |
| 2027-05-16 | Udinese | 2074 | 1976 | 51.43% | 26.13% | 22.45% | +0.60 | 63.0 |
| 2027-05-16 | @ Lazio Roma | 1976 | 2074 | 22.45% | 26.13% | 51.43% | -0.60 | 63.0 |
| 2027-05-16 | Venezia | 1996 | 1914 | 49.54% | 26.37% | 24.09% | +0.52 | 61.9 |
| 2027-05-16 | @ Sassuolo | 1914 | 1996 | 24.09% | 26.37% | 49.54% | -0.52 | 61.9 |
| 2027-05-16 | Genoa | 2093 | 1923 | 59.13% | 24.64% | 16.23% | +0.98 | 48.1 |
| 2027-05-16 | @ Napoli | 1923 | 2093 | 16.23% | 24.64% | 59.13% | -0.98 | 48.1 |
| 2027-05-16 | Fiorentina | 1920 | 1952 | 34.17% | 27.06% | 38.76% | -0.09 | 66.6 |
| 2027-05-16 | @ Lecce | 1952 | 1920 | 38.76% | 27.06% | 34.17% | +0.09 | 66.6 |
| 2027-05-23 | Monza | 1952 | 1940 | 40.31% | 27.03% | 32.66% | +0.14 | 71.6 |
| 2027-05-23 | @ Fiorentina | 1940 | 1952 | 32.66% | 27.03% | 40.31% | -0.14 | 71.6 |
| 2027-05-23 | Como | 2180 | 2098 | 49.45% | 26.38% | 24.17% | +0.51 | 71.0 |
| 2027-05-23 | @ Roma | 2098 | 2180 | 24.17% | 26.38% | 49.45% | -0.51 | 71.0 |
| 2027-05-23 | Lecce | 2055 | 1920 | 55.55% | 25.44% | 19.01% | +0.80 | 51.9 |
| 2027-05-23 | @ Atalanta | 1920 | 2055 | 19.01% | 25.44% | 55.55% | -0.80 | 51.9 |
| 2027-05-23 | Bologna | 1923 | 1992 | 29.30% | 26.87% | 43.83% | -0.28 | 58.5 |
| 2027-05-23 | @ Genoa | 1992 | 1923 | 43.83% | 26.87% | 29.30% | +0.28 | 58.5 |
| 2027-05-23 | Napoli | 1947 | 2093 | 20.84% | 25.84% | 53.33% | -0.69 | 53.2 |
| 2027-05-23 | @ Torino | 2093 | 1947 | 53.33% | 25.84% | 20.84% | +0.69 | 53.2 |
| 2027-05-23 | AC Milan | 1914 | 2091 | 18.04% | 25.19% | 56.78% | -0.86 | 52.1 |
| 2027-05-23 | @ Venezia | 2091 | 1914 | 56.78% | 25.19% | 18.04% | +0.86 | 52.1 |
| 2027-05-23 | Cagliari | 2049 | 2005 | 44.78% | 26.81% | 28.41% | +0.32 | 68.0 |
| 2027-05-23 | @ Frosinone | 2005 | 2049 | 28.41% | 26.81% | 44.78% | -0.32 | 68.0 |
| 2027-05-23 | Lazio Roma | 2206 | 2074 | 55.18% | 25.51% | 19.31% | +0.78 | 64.3 |
| 2027-05-23 | @ Inter Milan | 2074 | 2206 | 19.31% | 25.51% | 55.18% | -0.78 | 64.3 |
| 2027-05-23 | Juventus | 1932 | 2121 | 17.10% | 24.92% | 57.98% | -0.92 | 48.9 |
| 2027-05-23 | @ Parma | 2121 | 1932 | 57.98% | 24.92% | 17.10% | +0.92 | 48.9 |
| 2027-05-23 | Sassuolo | 1976 | 1996 | 35.82% | 27.08% | 37.10% | -0.02 | 74.2 |
| 2027-05-23 | @ Udinese | 1996 | 1976 | 37.10% | 27.08% | 35.82% | +0.02 | 74.2 |
| 2027-05-30 | Udinese | 2091 | 1976 | 53.40% | 25.83% | 20.78% | +0.69 | 62.7 |
| 2027-05-30 | @ AC Milan | 1976 | 2091 | 20.78% | 25.83% | 53.40% | -0.69 | 62.7 |
| 2027-05-30 | Torino | 1940 | 1947 | 37.62% | 27.08% | 35.30% | +0.04 | 71.0 |
| 2027-05-30 | @ Monza | 1947 | 1940 | 35.30% | 27.08% | 37.62% | -0.04 | 71.0 |
| 2027-05-30 | Roma | 2005 | 2180 | 18.22% | 25.24% | 56.54% | -0.85 | 57.5 |
| 2027-05-30 | @ Cagliari | 2180 | 2005 | 56.54% | 25.24% | 18.22% | +0.85 | 57.5 |
| 2027-05-30 | Genoa | 2098 | 1923 | 59.65% | 24.51% | 15.84% | +1.01 | 49.5 |
| 2027-05-30 | @ Como | 1923 | 2098 | 15.84% | 24.51% | 59.65% | -1.01 | 49.5 |
| 2027-05-30 | Parma | 1992 | 1932 | 46.82% | 26.65% | 26.53% | +0.40 | 59.7 |
| 2027-05-30 | @ Bologna | 1932 | 1992 | 26.53% | 26.65% | 46.82% | -0.40 | 59.7 |
| 2027-05-30 | Frosinone | 2121 | 2049 | 48.23% | 26.52% | 25.26% | +0.46 | 67.7 |
| 2027-05-30 | @ Juventus | 2049 | 2121 | 25.26% | 26.52% | 48.23% | -0.46 | 67.7 |
| 2027-05-30 | Fiorentina | 2074 | 1952 | 54.22% | 25.69% | 20.09% | +0.73 | 57.5 |
| 2027-05-30 | @ Lazio Roma | 1952 | 2074 | 20.09% | 25.69% | 54.22% | -0.73 | 57.5 |
| 2027-05-30 | Inter Milan | 1996 | 2206 | 15.59% | 24.42% | 59.99% | -1.03 | 57.9 |
| 2027-05-30 | @ Sassuolo | 2206 | 1996 | 59.99% | 24.42% | 15.59% | +1.03 | 57.9 |
| 2027-05-30 | Atalanta | 2093 | 2055 | 43.95% | 26.86% | 29.19% | +0.29 | 66.6 |
| 2027-05-30 | @ Napoli | 2055 | 2093 | 29.19% | 26.86% | 43.95% | -0.29 | 66.6 |
| 2027-05-30 | Venezia | 1920 | 1914 | 39.52% | 27.05% | 33.43% | +0.11 | 67.3 |
| 2027-05-30 | @ Lecce | 1914 | 1920 | 33.43% | 27.05% | 39.52% | -0.11 | 67.3 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2026-09-12 | 20.74% | Cagliari | 1976 | 2 | @ Atalanta | 2091 | 1 |
| 2 | 2026-09-13 | 23.53% | @ Sassuolo | 1996 | 3 | Juventus | 2114 | 2 |
| 3 | 2026-09-20 | 24.65% | @ Frosinone | 2020 | 2 | Como | 2128 | 0 |
| 4 | 2026-08-23 | 25.73% | Lecce | 1938 | 2 | @ Venezia | 2005 | 0 |
| 5 | 2026-09-18 | 27.38% | @ Monza | 1926 | 2 | Sassuolo | 2010 | 1 |
| 6 | 2026-09-11 | 31.44% | Fiorentina | 1929 | 4 | @ Venezia | 1950 | 2 |
| 7 | 2026-08-30 | 32.23% | Como | 2092 | 2 | @ Napoli | 2107 | 1 |
| 8 | 2026-08-29 | 34.18% | Frosinone | 1976 | 3 | @ Fiorentina | 1977 | 0 |
| 9 | 2026-08-24 | 34.32% | Lazio Roma | 2025 | 1 | @ Bologna | 2025 | 0 |
| 10 | 2026-09-19 | 34.64% | Cagliari | 1992 | 1 | @ Udinese | 1989 | 0 |
| 11 | 2026-09-05 | 34.85% | Torino | 1946 | 2 | @ Fiorentina | 1941 | 1 |
| 12 | 2026-08-22 | 35.35% | Cagliari | 1958 | 1 | @ Parma | 1950 | 0 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-08-29 | 35.66 | Frosinone | 3 | 1976 | 34.18% | @ Fiorentina | 0 | 1977 | 38.76% | 27.06% |
| 2 | 2026-08-24 | 30.97 | @ Roma | 4 | 2102 | 50.91% | Fiorentina | 0 | 2008 | 22.89% | 26.20% |
| 3 | 2026-09-20 | 29.58 | @ Frosinone | 2 | 2020 | 24.65% | Como | 0 | 2128 | 48.91% | 26.44% |
| 4 | 2026-08-23 | 28.96 | Lecce | 2 | 1938 | 25.73% | @ Venezia | 0 | 2005 | 47.70% | 26.57% |
| 5 | 2026-08-31 | 26.41 | Roma | 4 | 2133 | 55.52% | @ Lecce | 0 | 1967 | 19.04% | 25.45% |
| 6 | 2026-09-20 | 20.76 | @ Juventus | 2 | 2100 | 42.11% | Atalanta | 0 | 2075 | 30.93% | 26.96% |
| 7 | 2026-09-20 | 20.55 | @ AC Milan | 3 | 2071 | 55.07% | Lecce | 0 | 1940 | 19.40% | 25.53% |
| 8 | 2026-09-11 | 20.07 | Fiorentina | 4 | 1929 | 31.44% | @ Venezia | 2 | 1950 | 41.58% | 26.98% |
| 9 | 2026-09-04 | 17.94 | Como | 4 | 2105 | 54.13% | @ Genoa | 1 | 1952 | 20.17% | 25.70% |
| 10 | 2026-08-28 | 17.44 | @ AC Milan | 2 | 2052 | 48.74% | Venezia | 0 | 1976 | 24.80% | 26.46% |
| 11 | 2026-08-22 | 17.14 | Napoli | 2 | 2090 | 49.31% | @ Genoa | 0 | 1978 | 24.30% | 26.40% |
| 12 | 2026-09-19 | 16.12 | Lazio Roma | 2 | 2058 | 51.30% | @ Venezia | 0 | 1930 | 22.56% | 26.15% |
| 13 | 2026-09-12 | 15.96 | Cagliari | 2 | 1976 | 20.74% | @ Atalanta | 1 | 2091 | 53.44% | 25.82% |
| 14 | 2026-09-13 | 14.34 | @ Sassuolo | 3 | 1996 | 23.53% | Juventus | 2 | 2114 | 50.18% | 26.29% |
| 15 | 2026-09-18 | 14.02 | @ Monza | 2 | 1926 | 27.38% | Sassuolo | 1 | 2010 | 45.89% | 26.73% |
| 16 | 2026-08-24 | 12.99 | Lazio Roma | 1 | 2025 | 34.32% | @ Bologna | 0 | 2025 | 38.62% | 27.07% |
| 17 | 2026-09-19 | 12.91 | Cagliari | 1 | 1992 | 34.64% | @ Udinese | 0 | 1989 | 38.29% | 27.07% |
| 18 | 2026-08-30 | 12.75 | Como | 2 | 2092 | 32.23% | @ Napoli | 1 | 2107 | 40.75% | 27.01% |
| 19 | 2026-08-22 | 12.72 | Cagliari | 1 | 1958 | 35.35% | @ Parma | 0 | 1950 | 37.57% | 27.08% |
| 20 | 2026-08-29 | 12.22 | @ Juventus | 2 | 2103 | 58.76% | Parma | 0 | 1938 | 16.51% | 24.73% |
| 21 | 2026-08-22 | 12.13 | @ Inter Milan | 4 | 2172 | 63.24% | Monza | 1 | 1959 | 13.29% | 23.46% |
| 22 | 2026-09-05 | 12.11 | Torino | 2 | 1946 | 34.85% | @ Fiorentina | 1 | 1941 | 38.07% | 27.07% |
| 23 | 2026-09-20 | 11.72 | @ Parma | 2 | 1920 | 36.50% | Genoa | 1 | 1935 | 36.41% | 27.08% |
| 24 | 2026-09-14 | 11.52 | Roma | 2 | 2168 | 60.09% | @ Torino | 0 | 1958 | 15.52% | 24.39% |
| 25 | 2026-09-07 | 11.02 | @ Cagliari | 1 | 1965 | 42.04% | Lecce | 0 | 1941 | 31.00% | 26.96% |
Most & Least Exciting Games
The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Excitement | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-09-06 | 79.0 | @ Bologna | 2 | 2002 | 39.66% | Sassuolo | 2 | 1995 | 33.29% | 27.05% |
| 2 | 2026-09-12 | 79.0 | @ Lazio Roma | 2 | 2058 | 36.87% | AC Milan | 2 | 2071 | 36.04% | 27.08% |
| 3 | 2026-09-19 | 79.0 | @ Roma | 2 | 2180 | 34.97% | Inter Milan | 2 | 2206 | 37.95% | 27.08% |
| 4 | 2026-09-13 | 76.2 | @ Sassuolo | 3 | 1996 | 23.53% | Juventus | 2 | 2114 | 50.18% | 26.29% |
| 5 | 2026-09-20 | 73.1 | @ Fiorentina | 1 | 1949 | 20.80% | Napoli | 1 | 2095 | 53.37% | 25.83% |
| 6 | 2026-08-22 | 72.8 | @ Udinese | 1 | 1996 | 25.86% | Como | 1 | 2093 | 47.55% | 26.58% |
| 7 | 2026-09-06 | 72.8 | @ Juventus | 1 | 2116 | 44.95% | AC Milan | 1 | 2070 | 28.25% | 26.80% |
| 8 | 2026-09-12 | 72.8 | @ Genoa | 1 | 1934 | 27.04% | Frosinone | 1 | 2021 | 46.26% | 26.70% |
| 9 | 2026-09-19 | 72.8 | @ Bologna | 1 | 1993 | 45.09% | Torino | 1 | 1946 | 28.12% | 26.79% |
| 10 | 2026-09-06 | 72.7 | @ Parma | 1 | 1925 | 37.07% | Monza | 1 | 1937 | 35.85% | 27.08% |
| 11 | 2026-09-13 | 71.9 | @ Lecce | 3 | 1930 | 37.66% | Monza | 2 | 1937 | 35.27% | 27.08% |
| 12 | 2026-09-12 | 71.4 | Cagliari | 2 | 1976 | 20.74% | @ Atalanta | 1 | 2091 | 53.44% | 25.82% |
| 13 | 2026-08-29 | 70.8 | Udinese | 3 | 1998 | 41.44% | @ Monza | 2 | 1947 | 31.57% | 26.99% |
| 14 | 2026-09-06 | 69.5 | @ Frosinone | 3 | 2012 | 45.87% | Venezia | 2 | 1959 | 27.40% | 26.73% |
| 15 | 2026-09-18 | 69.4 | @ Monza | 2 | 1926 | 27.38% | Sassuolo | 1 | 2010 | 45.89% | 26.73% |
| 16 | 2026-09-11 | 68.1 | Fiorentina | 4 | 1929 | 31.44% | @ Venezia | 2 | 1950 | 41.58% | 26.98% |
| 17 | 2026-08-30 | 67.9 | Como | 2 | 2092 | 32.23% | @ Napoli | 1 | 2107 | 40.75% | 27.01% |
| 18 | 2026-09-05 | 67.9 | @ Inter Milan | 3 | 2190 | 51.23% | Napoli | 2 | 2094 | 22.61% | 26.15% |
| 19 | 2026-09-05 | 67.1 | Torino | 2 | 1946 | 34.85% | @ Fiorentina | 1 | 1941 | 38.07% | 27.07% |
| 20 | 2026-09-20 | 66.6 | @ Parma | 2 | 1920 | 36.50% | Genoa | 1 | 1935 | 36.41% | 27.08% |
| 21 | 2026-09-07 | 65.6 | Lazio Roma | 2 | 2047 | 39.87% | @ Udinese | 1 | 2008 | 33.09% | 27.04% |
| 22 | 2026-08-29 | 64.8 | @ Sassuolo | 2 | 1985 | 42.75% | Torino | 1 | 1956 | 30.32% | 26.93% |
| 23 | 2026-08-23 | 64.1 | AC Milan | 2 | 2042 | 44.95% | @ Torino | 1 | 1965 | 28.25% | 26.80% |
| 24 | 2026-09-05 | 63.6 | @ Roma | 2 | 2159 | 46.55% | Atalanta | 1 | 2101 | 26.77% | 26.67% |
| 25 | 2026-08-23 | 62.5 | @ Atalanta | 2 | 2083 | 50.44% | Sassuolo | 1 | 1994 | 23.30% | 26.26% |
| # | Date | Excitement | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-09-20 | 48.3 | @ AC Milan | 3 | 2071 | 55.07% | Lecce | 0 | 1940 | 19.40% | 25.53% |
| 2 | 2026-08-31 | 48.6 | Roma | 4 | 2133 | 55.52% | @ Lecce | 0 | 1967 | 19.04% | 25.45% |
| 3 | 2026-09-14 | 49.0 | Roma | 2 | 2168 | 60.09% | @ Torino | 0 | 1958 | 15.52% | 24.39% |
| 4 | 2026-08-29 | 49.4 | @ Juventus | 2 | 2103 | 58.76% | Parma | 0 | 1938 | 16.51% | 24.73% |
| 5 | 2026-08-24 | 50.0 | @ Roma | 4 | 2102 | 50.91% | Fiorentina | 0 | 2008 | 22.89% | 26.20% |
| 6 | 2026-08-22 | 51.5 | @ Inter Milan | 4 | 2172 | 63.24% | Monza | 1 | 1959 | 13.29% | 23.46% |
| 7 | 2026-09-19 | 51.6 | Lazio Roma | 2 | 2058 | 51.30% | @ Venezia | 0 | 1930 | 22.56% | 26.15% |
| 8 | 2026-08-22 | 52.2 | Napoli | 2 | 2090 | 49.31% | @ Genoa | 0 | 1978 | 24.30% | 26.40% |
| 9 | 2026-08-28 | 52.4 | @ AC Milan | 2 | 2052 | 48.74% | Venezia | 0 | 1976 | 24.80% | 26.46% |
| 10 | 2026-08-30 | 53.6 | Inter Milan | 1 | 2184 | 60.39% | @ Cagliari | 0 | 1971 | 15.30% | 24.31% |
| 11 | 2026-09-04 | 54.3 | Como | 4 | 2105 | 54.13% | @ Genoa | 1 | 1952 | 20.17% | 25.70% |
| 12 | 2026-09-20 | 54.4 | @ Juventus | 2 | 2100 | 42.11% | Atalanta | 0 | 2075 | 30.93% | 26.96% |
| 13 | 2026-08-29 | 54.6 | Frosinone | 3 | 1976 | 34.18% | @ Fiorentina | 0 | 1977 | 38.76% | 27.06% |
| 14 | 2026-09-13 | 56.8 | @ Napoli | 1 | 2086 | 49.77% | Bologna | 0 | 2002 | 23.88% | 26.34% |
| 15 | 2026-08-23 | 57.0 | Juventus | 1 | 2094 | 48.96% | @ Frosinone | 0 | 1986 | 24.60% | 26.44% |
| 16 | 2026-08-31 | 57.0 | @ Atalanta | 1 | 2092 | 49.26% | Bologna | 0 | 2012 | 24.34% | 26.40% |
| 17 | 2026-08-30 | 57.1 | @ Lazio Roma | 1 | 2038 | 48.89% | Genoa | 0 | 1961 | 24.66% | 26.44% |
| 18 | 2026-09-07 | 59.1 | @ Cagliari | 1 | 1965 | 42.04% | Lecce | 0 | 1941 | 31.00% | 26.96% |
| 19 | 2026-09-14 | 59.1 | @ Como | 2 | 2123 | 61.78% | Parma | 1 | 1925 | 14.30% | 23.92% |
| 20 | 2026-08-23 | 59.3 | Lecce | 2 | 1938 | 25.73% | @ Venezia | 0 | 2005 | 47.70% | 26.57% |
| 21 | 2026-09-20 | 59.6 | @ Frosinone | 2 | 2020 | 24.65% | Como | 0 | 2128 | 48.91% | 26.44% |
| 22 | 2026-09-14 | 60.6 | @ Inter Milan | 5 | 2198 | 62.15% | Udinese | 3 | 1997 | 14.04% | 23.80% |
| 23 | 2026-08-22 | 61.1 | Cagliari | 1 | 1958 | 35.35% | @ Parma | 0 | 1950 | 37.57% | 27.08% |
| 24 | 2026-09-19 | 61.3 | Cagliari | 1 | 1992 | 34.64% | @ Udinese | 0 | 1989 | 38.29% | 27.07% |
| 25 | 2026-08-24 | 61.4 | Lazio Roma | 1 | 2025 | 34.32% | @ Bologna | 0 | 2025 | 38.62% | 27.07% |