2026-27 Serie B Season
49 games played · 20 teams
Season Status
In Progress
Awaiting final results
Top Promotion Contender
Palermo
80% promotion probability
Biggest Overachiever
Palermo
4.12 points above expected
13 points · 8.88 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Carrarese
5.37 points below expected
1 points · 6.37 expected points
League Table
Each team's record through games played. SimPts is the model's expected points through the same games — the sum over completed games of pregame win-probability × 3 plus tie-probability × 1. vsSim shows actual points minus that expectation — positive means the team has overachieved against the model so far.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 8.88 | +4.12 |
| 2 | Mantova | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 7.37 | +3.63 |
| 3 | Sudtirol | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 6.99 | +3.01 |
| 4 | Ascoli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 7.60 | +2.40 |
| 5 | Modena | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 6.08 | +2.92 |
| 6 | Padova | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5.59 | +1.41 |
| 7 | Benevento | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 4.90 | +2.10 |
| 8 | Hellas Verona | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 7.76 | -0.76 |
| 9 | Avellino | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 6.03 | +0.97 |
| 10 | Cesena | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 6.68 | +0.32 |
| 11 | Pisa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7.52 | -0.52 |
| 12 | Arzzo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 5.94 | +0.06 |
| 13 | Empoli | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6.56 | -0.56 |
| 14 | Vicenza | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5.85 | -0.85 |
| 15 | Virtus Entella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 5.65 | -0.65 |
| 16 | Juve Stabia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 6.71 | -1.71 |
| 17 | Cremonese | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 7.90 | -2.90 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 5.63 | -1.63 |
| 19 | Catanzaro | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7.84 | -4.84 |
| 20 | Carrarese | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 6.37 | -5.37 |
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 13 | 8.88 | +4.12 |
| 2 | Mantova | 11 | 7.37 | +3.63 |
| 3 | Sudtirol | 10 | 6.99 | +3.01 |
| 4 | Modena | 9 | 6.08 | +2.92 |
| 5 | Ascoli | 10 | 7.60 | +2.40 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carrarese | 1 | 6.37 | -5.37 |
| 2 | Catanzaro | 3 | 7.84 | -4.84 |
| 3 | Cremonese | 5 | 7.90 | -2.90 |
| 4 | Juve Stabia | 5 | 6.71 | -1.71 |
| 5 | Sampdoria | 4 | 5.63 | -1.63 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.
Most Unlikely Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avellino | 2 | Aug 29 – Sep 6 | 1 in 11 |
| 2 | Benevento | 2 | Sep 11 – Sep 19 | 1 in 10 |
| 3 | Palermo | 3 | Aug 23 – Sep 7 | 1 in 8 |
| 4 | Pisa | 2 | Aug 30 – Sep 6 | 1 in 8 |
| 5 | Mantova | 2 | Aug 22 – Aug 30 | 1 in 8 |
Most Unlikely Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Catanzaro | 3 | Aug 21 – Sep 5 | 1 in 36 |
| 2 | Carrarese | 3 | Sep 5 – Sep 19 | 1 in 16 |
| 3 | Cremonese | 2 | Aug 22 – Aug 28 | 1 in 11 |
| 4 | Sampdoria | 3 | Aug 29 – Sep 13 | 1 in 10 |
| 5 | Empoli | 2 | Sep 11 – Sep 20 | 1 in 8 |
Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cesena | 5 | Aug 23 – Sep 18 | 1 in 10 |
| 2 | Mantova | 5 | Aug 22 – Sep 20 | 1 in 7 |
| 3 | Virtus Entella | 3 | Sep 6 – Sep 19 | 1 in 7 |
| 4 | Avellino | 3 | Aug 29 – Sep 13 | 1 in 6 |
| 5 | Palermo | 5 | Aug 23 – Sep 19 | 1 in 4 |
Most Unlikely Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carrarese | 5 | Aug 22 – Sep 19 | 1 in 8 |
| 2 | Catanzaro | 3 | Aug 21 – Sep 5 | 1 in 5 |
| 3 | Vicenza | 4 | Aug 29 – Sep 20 | 1 in 5 |
| 4 | Juve Stabia | 3 | Sep 6 – Sep 18 | 1 in 4 |
| 5 | Sampdoria | 4 | Aug 23 – Sep 13 | 1 in 4 |
Position Race
Each team’s league position across the whole season. The current top 3 and bottom 3 are highlighted; everyone else is gray as context.
Recent Elo Movers
Which teams are the hottest and coldest over the last 14 days according to their Elo ratings?
Biggest Elo Gainers
| # | Team | Δ Elo | Current Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arzzo | +0.00 | 1751 |
| 2 | Avellino | +0.00 | 1811 |
| 3 | Benevento | +0.00 | 1819 |
| 4 | Carrarese | +0.00 | 1768 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | +0.00 | 1826 |
Biggest Elo Losers
| # | Team | Δ Elo | Current Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ascoli | -0.01 | 1860 |
| 2 | Pisa | -0.01 | 1846 |
| 3 | Arzzo | +0.00 | 1751 |
| 4 | Avellino | +0.00 | 1811 |
| 5 | Benevento | +0.00 | 1819 |
Recent Form
Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.
| Team | Elo | Season Pts | Form | Elo Δ (5) | Points (5) | Expected (5) | Actual − Exp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo | 1938 | 13 | +36 | 13 | 8.9 | +4.1 | |
| Mantova | 1864 | 11 | +49 | 11 | 7.4 | +3.6 | |
| Sudtirol | 1852 | 10 | +50 | 10 | 7.0 | +3.0 | |
| Ascoli | 1860 | 10 | +26 | 10 | 7.6 | +2.4 | |
| Modena | 1894 | 9 | +43 | 9 | 6.1 | +2.9 | |
| Avellino | 1811 | 7 | +20 | 7 | 6.0 | +1.0 | |
| Cesena | 1808 | 7 | +12 | 7 | 6.7 | +0.3 | |
| Hellas Verona | 1858 | 7 | +22 | 7 | 7.8 | -0.8 | |
| Pisa | 1846 | 7 | -9 | 7 | 7.5 | -0.5 | |
| Padova | 1797 | 7 | +5 | 7 | 5.6 | +1.4 | |
| Benevento | 1819 | 7 | +27 | 7 | 4.9 | +2.1 | |
| Empoli | 1805 | 6 | -17 | 6 | 6.6 | -0.6 | |
| Arzzo | 1751 | 6 | -58 | 6 | 5.9 | +0.1 | |
| Vicenza | 1747 | 5 | -27 | 5 | 5.9 | -0.9 | |
| Cremonese | 1855 | 5 | -37 | 5 | 7.9 | -2.9 | |
| Virtus Entella | 1788 | 5 | +21 | 5 | 5.7 | -0.7 | |
| Juve Stabia | 1802 | 5 | -33 | 5 | 6.7 | -1.7 | |
| Sampdoria | 1774 | 4 | -28 | 4 | 5.6 | -1.6 | |
| Catanzaro | 1826 | 3 | -55 | 3 | 7.8 | -4.8 | |
| Carrarese | 1768 | 1 | -46 | 1 | 6.4 | -5.4 |
Upcoming Matches
The next slate of games with the model’s win / draw probabilities and an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo.
| Date | Favored By | Home | Win% – Draw% – Win% | Away | Favored By | Excitement | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | 0.08 | Benevento | 7 pts·1792 | 30% – 27% – 43% | Modena | 9 pts·1851 | 63.3 |
Recent Matches
The most recent results with an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo · Elo change.
| Date | Favored By | Home | Score | Away | Favored By | Excitement | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | 0.52 | Mantova | 11 pts·1865·-0.47 | 2 – 2 | Pisa | 7 pts·1846·+0.47 | 79.3 | |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.82 | Modena | 9 pts·1885·+8.84 | 2 – 1 | Empoli | 6 pts·1813·-8.84 | 63.2 | |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.95 | Hellas Verona | 7 pts·1850·+8.14 | 2 – 1 | Vicenza | 5 pts·1755·-8.14 | 62.3 | |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.14 | Arzzo | 6 pts·1776·-25.94 | 1 – 4 | Sudtirol | 10 pts·1826·+25.94 | 59.0 | |
| 2026-09-19 | 0.48 | Ascoli | 10 pts·1842·+18.75 | 3 – 1 | Avellino | 7 pts·1830·-18.75 | 62.0 | |
| 2026-09-19 | 0.27 | Carrarese | 1 pts·1780·-12.04 | 0 – 1 | Benevento | 7 pts·1807·+12.04 | 59.3 | |
| 2026-09-19 | 1.13 | Palermo | 13 pts·1931·+7.19 | 2 – 1 | Padova | 7 pts·1804·-7.18 | 61.3 | |
| 2026-09-19 | Sampdoria | 4 pts·1760·+13.89 | 2 – 1 | Catanzaro | 3 pts·1840·-13.88 | 0.03 | 69.2 | |
| 2026-09-19 | 0.81 | Cremonese | 5 pts·1856·-1.73 | 0 – 0 | Virtus Entella | 5 pts·1787·+1.73 | 67.1 | |
| 2026-09-18 | 0.39 | Juve Stabia | 5 pts·1802·-0.18 | 1 – 1 | Cesena | 7 pts·1808·+0.18 | 72.1 | |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.80 | Mantova | 11 pts·1847·+17.89 | 2 – 0 | Sampdoria | 4 pts·1778·-17.90 | 52.6 | |
| 2026-09-13 | Avellino | 7 pts·1829·+1.59 | 1 – 1 | Palermo | 13 pts·1932·-1.60 | 0.17 | 72.4 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | ARZ | ASC | AVE | BEN | CAR | CAT | CES | CRE | EMP | HV | JS | MAN | MOD | PAD | PAL | PIS | SAM | SUD | VIC | VE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arzzo | — |
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.37
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.04
|
0-0-1
1.25
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.06
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.22
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Ascoli |
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
1-0-0
1.48
|
1-0-0
1.65
|
0-1-0
1.61
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.29
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.57
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Avellino |
0-0-1
1.36
|
0-0-1
1.25
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.01
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.02
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.39
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Benevento |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.09
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
1-0-0
1.41
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.06
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.34
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Carrarese |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.12
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.32
|
— |
0-0-1
1.14
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.37
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.43
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Catanzaro |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.59
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.41
|
0-0-1
1.63
|
0-0-1
1.48
|
0-0-1
1.73
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Cesena |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-1-0
1.22
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.32
|
0-1-0
1.26
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.41
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.47
|
| Cremonese |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.51
|
— |
0-0-1
1.59
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.54
|
1-0-0
1.56
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.71
|
| Empoli |
0-0-1
1.70
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.36
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.14
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.34
|
0-0-1
1.02
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Hellas Verona |
1-0-0
1.48
|
0-0-1
1.44
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.68
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.37
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.79
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Juve Stabia |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.41
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.04
|
0-0-1
1.37
|
1-0-0
1.40
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.50
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Mantova |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.30
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.47
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.39
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.51
|
1-0-0
1.70
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Modena |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.73
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.19
|
1-0-0
1.71
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.45
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Padova |
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.16
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.17
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.36
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-1
0.85
|
1-0-0
1.05
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Palermo |
1-0-0
1.67
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.72
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.69
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.90
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.91
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Pisa |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.32
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.36
|
0-1-0
1.22
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.68
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.94
|
| Sampdoria |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.10
|
0-1-0
1.32
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.33
|
0-0-1
1.03
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.84
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Sudtirol |
1-0-0
1.51
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.39
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.25
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.28
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.57
|
| Vicenza |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.33
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.01
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.95
|
0-1-0
1.23
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-1-0
1.34
|
| Virtus Entella |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.26
|
0-1-0
1.03
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
0.81
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.16
|
0-1-0
1.39
|
— |
Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential
Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).
Fit Metrics
| R² | Slope | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.56 | +9.9 |
| Allowed | 0.26 | -5.6 |
| Differential | 0.68 | +6.5 |
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.04% | 12.24% | 2.04% | 3.06% | — | 1.02% | 20.41% |
| 1 | 12.24% | 16.33% | 10.20% | 5.10% | 2.04% | — | 45.92% |
| 2 | 2.04% | 10.20% | 6.12% | 2.04% | — | — | 20.41% |
| 3 | 3.06% | 5.10% | 2.04% | — | — | — | 10.20% |
| 4 | — | 2.04% | — | — | — | — | 2.04% |
| 5+ | 1.02% | — | — | — | — | — | 1.02% |
| Total | 20.41% | 45.92% | 20.41% | 10.20% | 2.04% | 1.02% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.31 | 1.31 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.04 | 1.04 | 1.59 |
| CV | 0.80 | 0.80 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 49
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | 20.00% | 20.00% |
| 1 | 20.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | — | 20.00% | — | 20.00% | — | — | 40.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | 20.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.20 | 2.60 | -1.40 |
| SD | 0.84 | 2.07 | 2.61 |
| CV | 0.70 | 0.80 | — |
| Max | 2 | 5 | +1 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.00% | 80.00% | — | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.40 | 0.80 | +0.60 |
| SD | 1.14 | 0.45 | 1.14 |
| CV | 0.81 | 0.56 | — |
| Max | 3 | 1 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | 20.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | 80.00% |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 40.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.40 | 1.20 | +0.20 |
| SD | 0.89 | 1.30 | 1.92 |
| CV | 0.64 | 1.09 | — |
| Max | 3 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 1 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 25.00% | — | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 1 | 25.00% | 25.00% | — | — | — | — | 50.00% |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | — | 25.00% | — | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 25.00% | 75.00% | — | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.25 | 0.75 | +0.50 |
| SD | 1.26 | 0.50 | 1.29 |
| CV | 1.01 | 0.67 | — |
| Max | 3 | 1 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 4
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 60.00% | — | — | — | — | 60.00% |
| 1 | — | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 80.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.40 | 1.20 | -0.80 |
| SD | 0.55 | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| CV | 1.37 | 0.37 | — |
| Max | 1 | 2 | +0 |
| Min | 0 | 1 | -1 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | 20.00% | — | 40.00% | — | — | — | 60.00% |
| 2 | — | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.00% | — | 60.00% | 20.00% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.00 | 1.80 | -0.80 |
| SD | 0.71 | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| CV | 0.71 | 0.61 | — |
| Max | 2 | 3 | +1 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | — | 60.00% | — | — | — | — | 60.00% |
| 2 | — | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 80.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.40 | 1.20 | +0.20 |
| SD | 0.55 | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| CV | 0.39 | 0.37 | — |
| Max | 2 | 2 | +1 |
| Min | 1 | 1 | +0 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | 20.00% | — | — | 60.00% |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.00% | 40.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.00 | 1.40 | -0.40 |
| SD | 1.41 | 1.14 | 1.82 |
| CV | 1.41 | 0.81 | — |
| Max | 3 | 3 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | 40.00% | — | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | 80.00% |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 40.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.80 | 1.20 | -0.40 |
| SD | 0.45 | 1.30 | 1.34 |
| CV | 0.56 | 1.09 | — |
| Max | 1 | 3 | +1 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | — | 20.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | 60.00% |
| 2 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| Total | 20.00% | 40.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.00 | 1.40 | +0.60 |
| SD | 1.73 | 1.14 | 2.70 |
| CV | 0.87 | 0.81 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +5 |
| Min | 1 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 20.00% | — | 20.00% | — | — | 40.00% |
| 1 | — | 40.00% | — | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 80.00% | — | 20.00% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.80 | 1.40 | -0.60 |
| SD | 0.84 | 0.89 | 1.52 |
| CV | 1.05 | 0.64 | — |
| Max | 2 | 3 | +1 |
| Min | 0 | 1 | -3 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 2 | 20.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 60.00% |
| 3 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.00% | 60.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.00 | 1.00 | +1.00 |
| SD | 0.71 | 0.71 | 1.00 |
| CV | 0.35 | 0.71 | — |
| Max | 3 | 2 | +2 |
| Min | 1 | 0 | +0 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 25.00% | — | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 1 | 25.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 2 | — | 25.00% | — | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 3 | 25.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 50.00% | 50.00% | — | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.50 | 0.50 | +1.00 |
| SD | 1.29 | 0.58 | 1.63 |
| CV | 0.86 | 1.15 | — |
| Max | 3 | 1 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 4
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | 40.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | 100.00% |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 40.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.00 | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| SD | 0.00 | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| CV | 0.00 | 1.09 | — |
| Max | 1 | 3 | +1 |
| Min | 1 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.00% | 60.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.00 | 1.00 | +1.00 |
| SD | 1.00 | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| CV | 0.50 | 0.71 | — |
| Max | 3 | 2 | +2 |
| Min | 1 | 0 | +0 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | 20.00% | — | 20.00% |
| 2 | — | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 3 | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.00% | 40.00% | 20.00% | — | 20.00% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.60 | 1.60 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.14 | 1.52 | 2.24 |
| CV | 0.71 | 0.95 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | — | 20.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | 60.00% |
| 2 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 40.00% | 40.00% | 20.00% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.00 | 1.80 | -0.80 |
| SD | 0.71 | 0.84 | 1.30 |
| CV | 0.71 | 0.46 | — |
| Max | 2 | 3 | +1 |
| Min | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 40.00% | 60.00% | — | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.60 | 0.60 | +1.00 |
| SD | 1.52 | 0.55 | 1.58 |
| CV | 0.95 | 0.91 | — |
| Max | 4 | 1 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | — | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 20.00% | 60.00% | 20.00% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.40 | 2.00 | -0.60 |
| SD | 1.14 | 0.71 | 1.52 |
| CV | 0.81 | 0.35 | — |
| Max | 3 | 3 | +1 |
| Min | 0 | 1 | -3 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 1 | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 2 | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.00% | 40.00% | 40.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.40 | 1.20 | +0.20 |
| SD | 1.67 | 0.84 | 1.64 |
| CV | 1.20 | 0.70 | — |
| Max | 4 | 2 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 5
Season Summary
Every team's season-to-date record alongside the projected end-of-season points totals from 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Exp. Pts. Rem. is the expected additional points the model thinks the team will accumulate over the rest of the season.
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Exp. Pts. Rem. | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo | 1938 | 13 | 72.43 | 59.43 | 44 | 60 | 68 | 72 | 77 | 84 | 98 |
| Modena | 1894 | 9 | 65.38 | 56.38 | 32 | 53 | 60 | 66 | 70 | 78 | 95 |
| Mantova | 1864 | 11 | 61.14 | 50.14 | 33 | 49 | 56 | 61 | 66 | 73 | 89 |
| Ascoli | 1860 | 10 | 60.02 | 50.02 | 32 | 48 | 55 | 60 | 65 | 72 | 90 |
| Hellas Verona | 1858 | 7 | 56.32 | 49.32 | 32 | 44 | 51 | 56 | 61 | 68 | 89 |
| Cremonese | 1855 | 5 | 54.30 | 49.30 | 27 | 42 | 49 | 54 | 59 | 67 | 81 |
| Sudtirol | 1852 | 10 | 58.80 | 48.80 | 30 | 47 | 54 | 59 | 64 | 71 | 87 |
| Pisa | 1846 | 7 | 55.17 | 48.17 | 29 | 43 | 50 | 55 | 60 | 67 | 83 |
| Catanzaro | 1826 | 3 | 48.20 | 45.20 | 21 | 36 | 43 | 48 | 53 | 61 | 79 |
| Benevento | 1819 | 7 | 53.04 | 46.04 | 28 | 41 | 48 | 53 | 58 | 65 | 82 |
| Avellino | 1811 | 7 | 50.73 | 43.73 | 24 | 39 | 46 | 51 | 56 | 63 | 82 |
| Cesena | 1808 | 7 | 49.95 | 42.95 | 23 | 38 | 45 | 50 | 55 | 62 | 77 |
| Empoli | 1805 | 6 | 48.67 | 42.67 | 16 | 37 | 44 | 49 | 54 | 61 | 74 |
| Juve Stabia | 1802 | 5 | 47.16 | 42.16 | 21 | 35 | 42 | 47 | 52 | 59 | 76 |
| Padova | 1797 | 7 | 49.45 | 42.45 | 24 | 38 | 44 | 49 | 54 | 62 | 79 |
| Virtus Entella | 1788 | 5 | 45.36 | 40.36 | 21 | 34 | 40 | 45 | 50 | 57 | 75 |
| Sampdoria | 1774 | 4 | 42.82 | 38.82 | 17 | 31 | 38 | 43 | 48 | 55 | 69 |
| Carrarese | 1768 | 1 | 38.69 | 37.69 | 15 | 27 | 34 | 39 | 43 | 50 | 67 |
| Arzzo | 1751 | 6 | 41.97 | 35.97 | 17 | 31 | 37 | 42 | 47 | 54 | 69 |
| Vicenza | 1747 | 5 | 39.93 | 34.93 | 16 | 29 | 35 | 40 | 45 | 52 | 67 |
Point Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.
Final Table Odds
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo | 59.90% | 19.87% | 8.79% | 4.99% | 2.73% | 1.58% | 0.91% | 0.52% | 0.36% | 0.18% | 0.08% | 0.05% | 0.02% | 0.01% | — | 0.01% | — | — | — | — |
| Mantova | 7.59% | 14.62% | 15.43% | 12.89% | 10.98% | 9.26% | 6.99% | 5.29% | 4.67% | 3.77% | 2.55% | 2.00% | 1.34% | 0.99% | 0.74% | 0.43% | 0.27% | 0.11% | 0.06% | 0.02% |
| Sudtirol | 4.27% | 9.03% | 11.85% | 12.26% | 11.48% | 10.27% | 8.22% | 6.84% | 5.87% | 4.93% | 4.11% | 3.33% | 2.48% | 2.01% | 1.20% | 0.89% | 0.55% | 0.17% | 0.21% | 0.03% |
| Ascoli | 5.13% | 11.25% | 13.60% | 12.94% | 11.30% | 9.73% | 8.38% | 6.60% | 5.26% | 4.29% | 3.15% | 2.76% | 1.87% | 1.36% | 0.98% | 0.60% | 0.33% | 0.31% | 0.10% | 0.06% |
| Modena | 17.06% | 25.07% | 17.26% | 12.22% | 8.32% | 5.53% | 4.21% | 3.10% | 2.33% | 1.70% | 1.03% | 0.77% | 0.51% | 0.34% | 0.27% | 0.16% | 0.04% | 0.04% | 0.02% | 0.02% |
| Padova | 0.28% | 0.90% | 1.65% | 2.29% | 3.68% | 4.60% | 4.85% | 6.05% | 6.86% | 7.12% | 8.00% | 8.15% | 7.47% | 8.17% | 7.44% | 6.67% | 5.66% | 4.35% | 3.85% | 1.96% |
| Benevento | 0.82% | 2.40% | 4.15% | 5.64% | 6.56% | 7.59% | 8.36% | 8.23% | 8.04% | 8.26% | 6.83% | 6.63% | 6.05% | 5.63% | 4.69% | 3.45% | 2.83% | 2.03% | 1.22% | 0.59% |
| Hellas Verona | 1.76% | 5.47% | 7.62% | 8.89% | 10.35% | 9.92% | 9.94% | 8.54% | 7.08% | 6.34% | 5.53% | 4.76% | 3.83% | 3.13% | 2.21% | 1.82% | 1.23% | 0.97% | 0.39% | 0.22% |
| Avellino | 0.26% | 1.10% | 2.22% | 3.56% | 4.60% | 5.71% | 6.73% | 7.19% | 7.39% | 8.12% | 8.09% | 7.83% | 7.42% | 6.47% | 6.20% | 5.26% | 4.61% | 3.35% | 2.58% | 1.31% |
| Cesena | 0.22% | 1.15% | 1.80% | 3.06% | 4.00% | 4.86% | 5.94% | 6.78% | 7.06% | 7.73% | 8.04% | 7.35% | 7.71% | 7.41% | 6.72% | 6.36% | 5.38% | 4.09% | 2.64% | 1.70% |
| Pisa | 1.26% | 3.98% | 6.19% | 7.80% | 8.01% | 8.86% | 8.92% | 8.59% | 8.56% | 7.40% | 6.38% | 5.39% | 4.86% | 4.08% | 3.16% | 2.35% | 1.84% | 1.39% | 0.65% | 0.33% |
| Arzzo | 0.03% | 0.04% | 0.09% | 0.17% | 0.46% | 0.71% | 0.96% | 1.51% | 2.18% | 2.34% | 3.46% | 4.52% | 5.20% | 6.26% | 7.88% | 9.37% | 11.03% | 13.24% | 14.76% | 15.79% |
| Empoli | 0.18% | 0.48% | 1.39% | 2.18% | 2.98% | 3.93% | 4.84% | 5.78% | 5.85% | 7.25% | 7.24% | 7.66% | 7.78% | 8.19% | 8.07% | 7.23% | 6.64% | 5.47% | 4.47% | 2.39% |
| Vicenza | 0.01% | — | 0.05% | 0.15% | 0.21% | 0.35% | 0.53% | 1.00% | 1.32% | 1.73% | 2.27% | 3.05% | 4.21% | 5.65% | 6.78% | 8.63% | 11.06% | 14.45% | 17.59% | 20.96% |
| Virtus Entella | 0.03% | 0.27% | 0.55% | 0.84% | 1.32% | 2.07% | 2.78% | 3.61% | 4.14% | 5.00% | 6.04% | 6.66% | 8.05% | 7.80% | 8.95% | 9.34% | 9.15% | 9.57% | 7.92% | 5.91% |
| Juve Stabia | 0.07% | 0.44% | 0.93% | 1.41% | 1.90% | 3.03% | 3.21% | 3.89% | 5.39% | 5.80% | 7.28% | 7.34% | 8.25% | 8.38% | 8.91% | 8.47% | 8.66% | 6.80% | 5.64% | 4.20% |
| Cremonese | 0.96% | 3.26% | 4.98% | 6.56% | 7.45% | 7.58% | 8.60% | 8.47% | 8.26% | 7.46% | 6.85% | 6.82% | 5.83% | 4.89% | 3.87% | 3.20% | 2.27% | 1.41% | 0.87% | 0.41% |
| Sampdoria | — | 0.07% | 0.22% | 0.34% | 0.66% | 1.04% | 1.39% | 1.98% | 2.65% | 3.23% | 3.95% | 4.69% | 5.97% | 7.21% | 7.74% | 9.97% | 11.08% | 12.59% | 13.25% | 11.97% |
| Catanzaro | 0.17% | 0.59% | 1.19% | 1.79% | 2.83% | 3.11% | 3.87% | 5.53% | 5.83% | 6.19% | 7.20% | 7.78% | 7.64% | 8.03% | 8.35% | 7.86% | 7.25% | 6.34% | 5.11% | 3.34% |
| Carrarese | — | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.02% | 0.18% | 0.27% | 0.37% | 0.50% | 0.90% | 1.16% | 1.92% | 2.46% | 3.51% | 3.99% | 5.84% | 7.93% | 10.12% | 13.32% | 18.67% | 28.79% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Direct promotion | Lost promotion playoff | Same level | Qualified for relegation playoff | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo | 79.77% | 19.52% | 0.70% | 0.01% | — |
| Modena | 42.13% | 50.64% | 6.95% | 0.20% | 0.08% |
| Mantova | 22.21% | 60.84% | 16.06% | 0.70% | 0.19% |
| Ascoli | 16.38% | 62.55% | 19.67% | 0.93% | 0.47% |
| Sudtirol | 13.30% | 60.92% | 23.93% | 1.44% | 0.41% |
| Hellas Verona | 7.23% | 55.26% | 32.88% | 3.05% | 1.58% |
| Pisa | 5.24% | 48.37% | 39.83% | 4.19% | 2.37% |
| Cremonese | 4.22% | 43.64% | 43.98% | 5.47% | 2.69% |
| Benevento | 3.22% | 40.53% | 46.13% | 6.28% | 3.84% |
| Avellino | 1.36% | 30.01% | 51.52% | 9.87% | 7.24% |
| Cesena | 1.37% | 26.44% | 52.02% | 11.74% | 8.43% |
| Padova | 1.18% | 23.12% | 53.21% | 12.33% | 10.16% |
| Empoli | 0.66% | 21.10% | 52.04% | 13.87% | 12.33% |
| Catanzaro | 0.76% | 18.32% | 51.02% | 15.11% | 14.79% |
| Juve Stabia | 0.51% | 14.37% | 51.35% | 17.13% | 16.64% |
| Virtus Entella | 0.30% | 11.17% | 46.64% | 18.49% | 23.40% |
| Sampdoria | 0.07% | 5.63% | 35.44% | 21.05% | 37.81% |
| Arzzo | 0.07% | 3.90% | 31.84% | 20.40% | 43.79% |
| Vicenza | 0.01% | 2.29% | 25.01% | 19.69% | 53.00% |
| Carrarese | 0.01% | 1.38% | 19.78% | 18.05% | 60.78% |
Overall Game Log
Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Excitement | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Proj. Margin | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Catanzaro | W 3-2 | 75.9 | 1774 | 1881 | 24.77% | 26.46% | 48.78% | -0.19 | +14.0 | 3 |
| 2026-08-21 | @ Vicenza | L 2-3 | 75.9 | 1881 | 1774 | 48.78% | 26.46% | 24.77% | +0.19 | -14.0 | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Mantova | L 1-2 | 67.3 | 1814 | 1815 | 38.52% | 27.07% | 34.42% | +0.41 | -12.2 | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Carrarese | W 2-1 | 67.3 | 1815 | 1814 | 34.42% | 27.07% | 38.52% | -0.41 | +12.2 | 3 |
| 2026-08-22 | Cremonese | W 1-0 | 62.1 | 1822 | 1892 | 29.14% | 26.86% | 44.00% | +0.02 | +14.4 | 3 |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Empoli | L 0-1 | 62.1 | 1892 | 1822 | 44.00% | 26.86% | 29.14% | -0.02 | -14.4 | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Virtus Entella | W 1-0 | 57.6 | 1802 | 1767 | 43.41% | 26.90% | 29.70% | +0.61 | +10.7 | 3 |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Sudtirol | L 0-1 | 57.6 | 1767 | 1802 | 29.70% | 26.90% | 43.41% | -0.61 | -10.7 | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Arzzo | L 1-2 | 66.5 | 1791 | 1809 | 36.19% | 27.08% | 36.72% | +0.32 | -11.7 | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Avellino | W 2-1 | 66.5 | 1809 | 1791 | 36.72% | 27.08% | 36.19% | -0.32 | +11.7 | 3 |
| 2026-08-23 | Sampdoria | D 1-1 | 72.1 | 1796 | 1802 | 37.93% | 27.08% | 34.99% | +0.39 | -0.2 | 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | @ Cesena | D 1-1 | 72.1 | 1802 | 1796 | 34.99% | 27.08% | 37.93% | -0.39 | +0.2 | 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | Ascoli | L 1-2 | 67.4 | 1836 | 1835 | 38.93% | 27.06% | 34.01% | +0.43 | -12.3 | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | @ Hellas Verona | W 2-1 | 67.4 | 1835 | 1836 | 34.01% | 27.06% | 38.93% | -0.43 | +12.3 | 3 |
| 2026-08-23 | Juve Stabia | W 1-0 | 56.6 | 1902 | 1835 | 47.63% | 26.58% | 25.80% | +0.79 | +9.6 | 3 |
| 2026-08-23 | @ Palermo | L 0-1 | 56.6 | 1835 | 1902 | 25.80% | 26.58% | 47.63% | -0.79 | -9.5 | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Padova | L 0-1 | 62.9 | 1855 | 1792 | 47.16% | 26.62% | 26.22% | +0.77 | -15.2 | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | @ Pisa | W 1-0 | 62.9 | 1792 | 1855 | 26.22% | 26.62% | 47.16% | -0.77 | +15.2 | 3 |
| 2026-08-28 | Modena | L 0-3 | 56.6 | 1877 | 1851 | 42.33% | 26.95% | 30.72% | +0.57 | -38.2 | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | @ Cremonese | W 3-0 | 56.6 | 1851 | 1877 | 30.72% | 26.95% | 42.33% | -0.57 | +38.2 | 3 |
| 2026-08-29 | Carrarese | D 1-1 | 72.3 | 1847 | 1802 | 44.85% | 26.81% | 28.34% | +0.67 | -1.1 | 4 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Ascoli | D 1-1 | 72.3 | 1802 | 1847 | 28.34% | 26.81% | 44.85% | -0.67 | +1.1 | 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | Hellas Verona | D 1-1 | 72.2 | 1808 | 1824 | 36.32% | 27.08% | 36.59% | +0.33 | +0.0 | 4 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Padova | D 1-1 | 72.2 | 1824 | 1808 | 36.59% | 27.08% | 36.32% | -0.33 | -0.0 | 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | Juve Stabia | L 1-2 | 66.3 | 1802 | 1826 | 35.31% | 27.08% | 37.61% | +0.28 | -11.5 | 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Sampdoria | W 2-1 | 66.3 | 1826 | 1802 | 37.61% | 27.08% | 35.31% | -0.28 | +11.5 | 3 |
| 2026-08-29 | Vicenza | W 3-0 | 54.4 | 1780 | 1788 | 37.46% | 27.08% | 35.46% | +0.37 | +33.4 | 3 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Avellino | L 0-3 | 54.4 | 1788 | 1780 | 35.46% | 27.08% | 37.46% | -0.37 | -33.4 | 3 |
| 2026-08-29 | Cesena | L 1-2 | 65.5 | 1757 | 1796 | 33.10% | 27.04% | 39.86% | +0.20 | -10.9 | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Virtus Entella | W 2-1 | 65.5 | 1796 | 1757 | 39.86% | 27.04% | 33.10% | -0.20 | +10.9 | 4 |
| 2026-08-30 | Empoli | W 3-1 | 62.8 | 1827 | 1836 | 37.39% | 27.08% | 35.53% | +0.37 | +19.9 | 6 |
| 2026-08-30 | @ Mantova | L 1-3 | 62.8 | 1836 | 1827 | 35.53% | 27.08% | 37.39% | -0.37 | -19.9 | 3 |
| 2026-08-30 | Palermo | L 2-3 | 69.3 | 1820 | 1911 | 26.58% | 26.66% | 46.77% | -0.09 | -8.7 | 3 |
| 2026-08-30 | @ Arzzo | W 3-2 | 69.3 | 1911 | 1820 | 46.77% | 26.66% | 26.58% | +0.09 | +8.8 | 6 |
| 2026-08-30 | Sudtirol | D 1-1 | 72.1 | 1792 | 1812 | 35.71% | 27.08% | 37.21% | +0.30 | +0.1 | 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | @ Benevento | D 1-1 | 72.1 | 1812 | 1792 | 37.21% | 27.08% | 35.71% | -0.30 | -0.1 | 4 |
| 2026-08-30 | Catanzaro | W 2-1 | 67.2 | 1840 | 1867 | 34.83% | 27.07% | 38.10% | +0.27 | +12.1 | 3 |
| 2026-08-30 | @ Pisa | L 1-2 | 67.2 | 1867 | 1840 | 38.10% | 27.07% | 34.83% | -0.27 | -12.1 | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Benevento | W 1-0 | 57.0 | 1846 | 1792 | 46.00% | 26.72% | 27.28% | +0.72 | +10.0 | 7 |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Ascoli | L 0-1 | 57.0 | 1792 | 1846 | 27.28% | 26.72% | 46.00% | -0.72 | -10.0 | 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | Empoli | L 0-1 | 59.9 | 1803 | 1816 | 36.74% | 27.08% | 36.17% | +0.34 | -12.5 | 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Carrarese | W 1-0 | 59.9 | 1816 | 1803 | 36.17% | 27.08% | 36.74% | -0.34 | +12.5 | 6 |
| 2026-09-05 | Catanzaro | W 2-0 | 57.2 | 1812 | 1855 | 32.66% | 27.03% | 40.32% | +0.18 | +25.3 | 7 |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Sudtirol | L 0-2 | 57.2 | 1855 | 1812 | 40.32% | 27.03% | 32.66% | -0.18 | -25.3 | 0 |
| 2026-09-06 | Mantova | D 1-1 | 72.2 | 1807 | 1847 | 33.04% | 27.04% | 39.92% | +0.19 | +0.5 | 5 |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Cesena | D 1-1 | 72.2 | 1847 | 1807 | 39.92% | 27.04% | 33.04% | -0.19 | -0.5 | 7 |
| 2026-09-06 | Avellino | L 0-1 | 63.4 | 1889 | 1813 | 48.80% | 26.45% | 24.74% | +0.85 | -15.7 | 3 |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Modena | W 1-0 | 63.4 | 1813 | 1889 | 24.74% | 26.45% | 48.80% | -0.85 | +15.7 | 6 |
| 2026-09-06 | Arzzo | W 5-0 | 55.6 | 1824 | 1812 | 40.42% | 27.02% | 32.55% | +0.49 | +50.5 | 4 |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Hellas Verona | L 0-5 | 55.6 | 1812 | 1824 | 32.55% | 27.02% | 40.42% | -0.49 | -50.5 | 3 |
| 2026-09-06 | Pisa | L 0-3 | 54.9 | 1837 | 1852 | 36.49% | 27.08% | 36.43% | +0.33 | -34.1 | 3 |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Juve Stabia | W 3-0 | 54.9 | 1852 | 1837 | 36.43% | 27.08% | 36.49% | -0.33 | +34.1 | 6 |
| 2026-09-06 | Vicenza | D 2-2 | 78.9 | 1746 | 1755 | 37.42% | 27.08% | 35.50% | +0.37 | -0.1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Virtus Entella | D 2-2 | 78.9 | 1755 | 1746 | 35.50% | 27.08% | 37.42% | -0.37 | +0.1 | 4 |
| 2026-09-06 | Padova | W 3-1 | 61.1 | 1839 | 1808 | 43.05% | 26.92% | 30.04% | +0.60 | +17.6 | 3 |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Cremonese | L 1-3 | 61.1 | 1808 | 1839 | 30.04% | 26.92% | 43.05% | -0.60 | -17.6 | 4 |
| 2026-09-07 | Sampdoria | W 3-1 | 57.6 | 1920 | 1790 | 55.00% | 25.54% | 19.46% | +1.15 | +12.3 | 9 |
| 2026-09-07 | @ Palermo | L 1-3 | 57.6 | 1790 | 1920 | 19.46% | 25.54% | 55.00% | -1.15 | -12.3 | 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | Hellas Verona | W 3-1 | 66.1 | 1782 | 1874 | 26.39% | 26.64% | 46.97% | -0.10 | +24.8 | 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | @ Benevento | L 1-3 | 66.1 | 1874 | 1782 | 46.97% | 26.64% | 26.39% | +0.10 | -24.8 | 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Virtus Entella | L 1-4 | 65.9 | 1886 | 1746 | 56.17% | 25.31% | 18.51% | +1.21 | -40.9 | 6 |
| 2026-09-11 | @ Pisa | W 4-1 | 65.9 | 1746 | 1886 | 18.51% | 25.31% | 56.17% | -1.21 | +40.8 | 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Arzzo | L 0-1 | 63.0 | 1829 | 1761 | 47.75% | 26.56% | 25.69% | +0.80 | -15.4 | 6 |
| 2026-09-11 | @ Empoli | W 1-0 | 63.0 | 1761 | 1829 | 25.69% | 26.56% | 47.75% | -0.80 | +15.4 | 6 |
| 2026-09-12 | Modena | L 0-1 | 59.0 | 1838 | 1874 | 33.60% | 27.05% | 39.35% | +0.22 | -11.7 | 7 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Sudtirol | W 1-0 | 59.0 | 1874 | 1838 | 39.35% | 27.05% | 33.60% | -0.22 | +11.7 | 6 |
| 2026-09-12 | Ascoli | W 1-0 | 61.9 | 1790 | 1856 | 29.65% | 26.89% | 43.45% | +0.05 | +14.2 | 7 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Padova | L 0-1 | 61.9 | 1856 | 1790 | 43.45% | 26.89% | 29.65% | -0.05 | -14.2 | 7 |
| 2026-09-12 | Cremonese | D 2-2 | 79.2 | 1808 | 1857 | 31.81% | 27.00% | 41.19% | +0.14 | +0.5 | 6 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Cesena | D 2-2 | 79.2 | 1857 | 1808 | 41.19% | 27.00% | 31.81% | -0.14 | -0.5 | 4 |
| 2026-09-12 | Juve Stabia | D 1-1 | 72.0 | 1755 | 1803 | 31.95% | 27.00% | 41.05% | +0.15 | +0.6 | 5 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Vicenza | D 1-1 | 72.0 | 1803 | 1755 | 41.05% | 27.00% | 31.95% | -0.15 | -0.6 | 4 |
| 2026-09-12 | Carrarese | W 1-0 | 57.5 | 1830 | 1790 | 44.11% | 26.85% | 29.04% | +0.64 | +10.5 | 3 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Catanzaro | L 0-1 | 57.5 | 1790 | 1830 | 29.04% | 26.85% | 44.11% | -0.64 | -10.5 | 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | Sampdoria | W 2-0 | 52.6 | 1847 | 1778 | 47.85% | 26.55% | 25.60% | +0.80 | +17.9 | 10 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ Mantova | L 0-2 | 52.6 | 1778 | 1847 | 25.60% | 26.55% | 47.85% | -0.80 | -17.9 | 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | Palermo | D 1-1 | 72.4 | 1829 | 1932 | 25.13% | 26.50% | 48.37% | -0.17 | +1.6 | 7 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ Avellino | D 1-1 | 72.4 | 1932 | 1829 | 48.37% | 26.50% | 25.13% | +0.17 | -1.6 | 10 |
| 2026-09-18 | Cesena | D 1-1 | 72.1 | 1802 | 1808 | 37.85% | 27.08% | 35.07% | +0.39 | -0.2 | 5 |
| 2026-09-18 | @ Juve Stabia | D 1-1 | 72.1 | 1808 | 1802 | 35.07% | 27.08% | 37.85% | -0.39 | +0.2 | 7 |
| 2026-09-19 | Avellino | W 3-1 | 62.0 | 1842 | 1830 | 40.26% | 27.03% | 32.71% | +0.48 | +18.8 | 10 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Ascoli | L 1-3 | 62.0 | 1830 | 1842 | 32.71% | 27.03% | 40.26% | -0.48 | -18.8 | 7 |
| 2026-09-19 | Benevento | L 0-1 | 59.3 | 1780 | 1807 | 34.86% | 27.07% | 38.06% | +0.27 | -12.0 | 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Carrarese | W 1-0 | 59.3 | 1807 | 1780 | 38.06% | 27.07% | 34.86% | -0.27 | +12.0 | 7 |
| 2026-09-19 | Padova | W 2-1 | 61.3 | 1931 | 1804 | 54.66% | 25.61% | 19.73% | +1.13 | +7.2 | 13 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Palermo | L 1-2 | 61.3 | 1804 | 1931 | 19.73% | 25.61% | 54.66% | -1.13 | -7.2 | 7 |
| 2026-09-19 | Catanzaro | W 2-1 | 69.2 | 1760 | 1840 | 27.89% | 26.77% | 45.34% | -0.03 | +13.9 | 4 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Sampdoria | L 1-2 | 69.2 | 1840 | 1760 | 45.34% | 26.77% | 27.89% | +0.03 | -13.9 | 3 |
| 2026-09-19 | Virtus Entella | D 0-0 | 67.1 | 1856 | 1787 | 47.99% | 26.54% | 25.47% | +0.81 | -1.7 | 5 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Cremonese | D 0-0 | 67.1 | 1787 | 1856 | 25.47% | 26.54% | 47.99% | -0.81 | +1.7 | 5 |
| 2026-09-20 | Pisa | D 2-2 | 79.3 | 1865 | 1846 | 41.33% | 26.99% | 31.68% | +0.52 | -0.5 | 11 |
| 2026-09-20 | @ Mantova | D 2-2 | 79.3 | 1846 | 1865 | 31.68% | 26.99% | 41.33% | -0.52 | +0.5 | 7 |
| 2026-09-20 | Empoli | W 2-1 | 63.2 | 1885 | 1813 | 48.25% | 26.51% | 25.24% | +0.82 | +8.8 | 9 |
| 2026-09-20 | @ Modena | L 1-2 | 63.2 | 1813 | 1885 | 25.24% | 26.51% | 48.25% | -0.82 | -8.8 | 6 |
| 2026-09-20 | Vicenza | W 2-1 | 62.3 | 1850 | 1755 | 50.98% | 26.19% | 22.83% | +0.95 | +8.1 | 7 |
| 2026-09-20 | @ Hellas Verona | L 1-2 | 62.3 | 1755 | 1850 | 22.83% | 26.19% | 50.98% | -0.95 | -8.1 | 5 |
| 2026-09-20 | Sudtirol | L 1-4 | 59.0 | 1776 | 1826 | 31.76% | 27.00% | 41.24% | +0.14 | -25.9 | 6 |
| 2026-09-20 | @ Arzzo | W 4-1 | 59.0 | 1826 | 1776 | 41.24% | 27.00% | 31.76% | -0.14 | +25.9 | 10 |
Upcoming Games
Remaining games on the team's schedule
| Date | Opponent | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Proj. Margin | Excitement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Modena | 1792 | 1851 | 30.47% | 26.94% | 42.59% | +0.08 | 63.3 |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Benevento | 1851 | 1792 | 42.59% | 26.94% | 30.47% | -0.08 | 63.3 |
| 2026-10-10 | Cesena | 1819 | 1808 | 40.12% | 27.03% | 32.85% | +0.48 | 72.1 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Benevento | 1808 | 1819 | 32.85% | 27.03% | 40.12% | -0.48 | 72.1 |
| 2026-10-10 | Carrarese | 1797 | 1768 | 42.73% | 26.93% | 30.34% | +0.58 | 60.4 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Padova | 1768 | 1797 | 30.34% | 26.93% | 42.73% | -0.58 | 60.4 |
| 2026-10-10 | Palermo | 1805 | 1938 | 22.02% | 26.06% | 51.92% | -0.33 | 52.5 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Empoli | 1938 | 1805 | 51.92% | 26.06% | 22.02% | +0.33 | 52.5 |
| 2026-10-10 | Hellas Verona | 1894 | 1858 | 43.66% | 26.88% | 29.45% | +0.62 | 73.3 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Modena | 1858 | 1894 | 29.45% | 26.88% | 43.66% | -0.62 | 73.3 |
| 2026-10-10 | Ascoli | 1852 | 1860 | 37.48% | 27.08% | 35.44% | +0.37 | 75.5 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Sudtirol | 1860 | 1852 | 35.44% | 27.08% | 37.48% | -0.37 | 75.5 |
| 2026-10-10 | Pisa | 1747 | 1846 | 25.70% | 26.56% | 47.74% | -0.14 | 57.9 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Vicenza | 1846 | 1747 | 47.74% | 26.56% | 25.70% | +0.14 | 57.9 |
| 2026-10-10 | Cremonese | 1751 | 1855 | 25.10% | 26.50% | 48.40% | -0.17 | 50.6 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Arzzo | 1855 | 1751 | 48.40% | 26.50% | 25.10% | +0.17 | 50.6 |
| 2026-10-10 | Sampdoria | 1811 | 1774 | 43.80% | 26.87% | 29.32% | +0.63 | 64.7 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Avellino | 1774 | 1811 | 29.32% | 26.87% | 43.80% | -0.63 | 64.7 |
| 2026-10-10 | Mantova | 1826 | 1864 | 33.35% | 27.05% | 39.60% | +0.21 | 70.0 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Catanzaro | 1864 | 1826 | 39.60% | 27.05% | 33.35% | -0.21 | 70.0 |
| 2026-10-10 | Juve Stabia | 1788 | 1802 | 36.72% | 27.08% | 36.20% | +0.34 | 67.9 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Virtus Entella | 1802 | 1788 | 36.20% | 27.08% | 36.72% | -0.34 | 67.9 |
| 2026-10-17 | Palermo | 1864 | 1938 | 28.64% | 26.83% | 44.53% | +0.00 | 67.5 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Mantova | 1938 | 1864 | 44.53% | 26.83% | 28.64% | +0.00 | 67.5 |
| 2026-10-17 | Empoli | 1860 | 1805 | 46.21% | 26.70% | 27.09% | +0.73 | 59.2 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Ascoli | 1805 | 1860 | 27.09% | 26.70% | 46.21% | -0.73 | 59.2 |
| 2026-10-17 | Vicenza | 1819 | 1747 | 48.19% | 26.52% | 25.29% | +0.82 | 59.4 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Benevento | 1747 | 1819 | 25.29% | 26.52% | 48.19% | -0.82 | 59.4 |
| 2026-10-17 | Virtus Entella | 1797 | 1788 | 39.90% | 27.04% | 33.07% | +0.47 | 70.2 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Padova | 1788 | 1797 | 33.07% | 27.04% | 39.90% | -0.47 | 70.2 |
| 2026-10-17 | Modena | 1768 | 1894 | 22.73% | 26.17% | 51.10% | -0.29 | 46.0 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Carrarese | 1894 | 1768 | 51.10% | 26.17% | 22.73% | +0.29 | 46.0 |
| 2026-10-17 | Avellino | 1808 | 1811 | 38.23% | 27.07% | 34.70% | +0.40 | 74.6 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Cesena | 1811 | 1808 | 34.70% | 27.07% | 38.23% | -0.40 | 74.6 |
| 2026-10-17 | Catanzaro | 1858 | 1826 | 43.02% | 26.92% | 30.07% | +0.59 | 71.1 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Hellas Verona | 1826 | 1858 | 30.07% | 26.92% | 43.02% | -0.59 | 71.1 |
| 2026-10-17 | Sudtirol | 1802 | 1852 | 31.73% | 27.00% | 41.28% | +0.14 | 62.4 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Juve Stabia | 1852 | 1802 | 41.28% | 27.00% | 31.73% | -0.14 | 62.4 |
| 2026-10-17 | Cremonese | 1846 | 1855 | 37.46% | 27.08% | 35.46% | +0.37 | 72.1 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Pisa | 1855 | 1846 | 35.46% | 27.08% | 37.46% | -0.37 | 72.1 |
| 2026-10-17 | Arzzo | 1774 | 1751 | 41.96% | 26.97% | 31.07% | +0.55 | 65.8 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Sampdoria | 1751 | 1774 | 31.07% | 26.97% | 41.96% | -0.55 | 65.8 |
| 2026-10-24 | Vicenza | 1805 | 1747 | 46.43% | 26.68% | 26.89% | +0.74 | 58.6 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Empoli | 1747 | 1805 | 26.89% | 26.68% | 46.43% | -0.74 | 58.6 |
| 2026-10-24 | Cesena | 1894 | 1808 | 49.97% | 26.32% | 23.71% | +0.90 | 58.8 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Modena | 1808 | 1894 | 23.71% | 26.32% | 49.97% | -0.90 | 58.8 |
| 2026-10-24 | Sampdoria | 1852 | 1774 | 48.98% | 26.43% | 24.58% | +0.86 | 57.7 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Sudtirol | 1774 | 1852 | 24.58% | 26.43% | 48.98% | -0.86 | 57.7 |
| 2026-10-24 | Pisa | 1858 | 1846 | 40.33% | 27.03% | 32.64% | +0.48 | 78.5 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Hellas Verona | 1846 | 1858 | 32.64% | 27.03% | 40.33% | -0.48 | 78.5 |
| 2026-10-24 | Carrarese | 1938 | 1768 | 59.20% | 24.62% | 16.18% | +1.38 | 45.9 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Palermo | 1768 | 1938 | 16.18% | 24.62% | 59.20% | -1.38 | 45.9 |
| 2026-10-24 | Benevento | 1751 | 1819 | 29.37% | 26.88% | 43.76% | +0.03 | 58.8 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Arzzo | 1819 | 1751 | 43.76% | 26.88% | 29.37% | -0.03 | 58.8 |
| 2026-10-24 | Padova | 1811 | 1797 | 40.70% | 27.02% | 32.29% | +0.50 | 69.3 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Avellino | 1797 | 1811 | 32.29% | 27.02% | 40.70% | -0.50 | 69.3 |
| 2026-10-24 | Ascoli | 1826 | 1860 | 33.88% | 27.06% | 39.06% | +0.23 | 65.8 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Catanzaro | 1860 | 1826 | 39.06% | 27.06% | 33.88% | -0.23 | 65.8 |
| 2026-10-24 | Juve Stabia | 1855 | 1802 | 45.80% | 26.74% | 27.46% | +0.71 | 57.3 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Cremonese | 1802 | 1855 | 27.46% | 26.74% | 45.80% | -0.71 | 57.3 |
| 2026-10-24 | Mantova | 1788 | 1864 | 28.41% | 26.81% | 44.78% | -0.01 | 64.6 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Virtus Entella | 1864 | 1788 | 44.78% | 26.81% | 28.41% | +0.01 | 64.6 |
| 2026-10-27 | Cremonese | 1864 | 1855 | 40.02% | 27.04% | 32.95% | +0.47 | 75.2 |
| 2026-10-27 | @ Mantova | 1855 | 1864 | 32.95% | 27.04% | 40.02% | -0.47 | 75.2 |
| 2026-10-27 | Sampdoria | 1860 | 1774 | 50.00% | 26.31% | 23.68% | +0.90 | 54.5 |
| 2026-10-27 | @ Ascoli | 1774 | 1860 | 23.68% | 26.31% | 50.00% | -0.90 | 54.5 |
| 2026-10-27 | Catanzaro | 1819 | 1826 | 37.56% | 27.08% | 35.36% | +0.37 | 69.3 |
| 2026-10-27 | @ Benevento | 1826 | 1819 | 35.36% | 27.08% | 37.56% | -0.37 | 69.3 |
| 2026-10-27 | Sudtirol | 1797 | 1852 | 31.06% | 26.97% | 41.98% | +0.11 | 63.0 |
| 2026-10-27 | @ Padova | 1852 | 1797 | 41.98% | 26.97% | 31.06% | -0.11 | 63.0 |
| 2026-10-27 | Arzzo | 1768 | 1751 | 41.08% | 27.00% | 31.92% | +0.51 | 63.4 |
| 2026-10-27 | @ Carrarese | 1751 | 1768 | 31.92% | 27.00% | 41.08% | -0.51 | 63.4 |
| 2026-10-27 | Empoli | 1808 | 1805 | 39.19% | 27.06% | 33.75% | +0.44 | 69.5 |
| 2026-10-27 | @ Cesena | 1805 | 1808 | 33.75% | 27.06% | 39.19% | -0.44 | 69.5 |
| 2026-10-27 | Hellas Verona | 1802 | 1858 | 30.94% | 26.96% | 42.10% | +0.10 | 64.5 |
| 2026-10-27 | @ Juve Stabia | 1858 | 1802 | 42.10% | 26.96% | 30.94% | -0.10 | 64.5 |
| 2026-10-27 | Modena | 1747 | 1894 | 20.73% | 25.82% | 53.45% | -0.41 | 52.2 |
| 2026-10-27 | @ Vicenza | 1894 | 1747 | 53.45% | 25.82% | 20.73% | +0.41 | 52.2 |
| 2026-10-27 | Palermo | 1846 | 1938 | 26.48% | 26.65% | 46.88% | -0.10 | 62.8 |
| 2026-10-27 | @ Pisa | 1938 | 1846 | 46.88% | 26.65% | 26.48% | +0.10 | 62.8 |
| 2026-10-27 | Avellino | 1788 | 1811 | 35.38% | 27.08% | 37.54% | +0.29 | 71.2 |
| 2026-10-27 | @ Virtus Entella | 1811 | 1788 | 37.54% | 27.08% | 35.38% | -0.29 | 71.2 |
| 2026-10-31 | Juve Stabia | 1805 | 1802 | 39.03% | 27.06% | 33.91% | +0.43 | 66.0 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Empoli | 1802 | 1805 | 33.91% | 27.06% | 39.03% | -0.43 | 66.0 |
| 2026-10-31 | Mantova | 1894 | 1864 | 42.82% | 26.93% | 30.25% | +0.59 | 74.7 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Modena | 1864 | 1894 | 30.25% | 26.93% | 42.82% | -0.59 | 74.7 |
| 2026-10-31 | Cesena | 1852 | 1808 | 44.64% | 26.82% | 28.54% | +0.66 | 68.4 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Sudtirol | 1808 | 1852 | 28.54% | 26.82% | 44.64% | -0.66 | 68.4 |
| 2026-10-31 | Carrarese | 1858 | 1768 | 50.49% | 26.25% | 23.26% | +0.93 | 53.8 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Hellas Verona | 1768 | 1858 | 23.26% | 26.25% | 50.49% | -0.93 | 53.8 |
| 2026-10-31 | Vicenza | 1938 | 1747 | 61.17% | 24.10% | 14.74% | +1.49 | 52.7 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Palermo | 1747 | 1938 | 14.74% | 24.10% | 61.17% | -1.49 | 52.7 |
| 2026-10-31 | Virtus Entella | 1774 | 1788 | 36.65% | 27.08% | 36.26% | +0.34 | 69.4 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Sampdoria | 1788 | 1774 | 36.26% | 27.08% | 36.65% | -0.34 | 69.4 |
| 2026-10-31 | Ascoli | 1751 | 1860 | 24.48% | 26.42% | 49.10% | -0.20 | 53.1 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Arzzo | 1860 | 1751 | 49.10% | 26.42% | 24.48% | +0.20 | 53.1 |
| 2026-10-31 | Pisa | 1811 | 1846 | 33.77% | 27.06% | 39.17% | +0.22 | 70.6 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Avellino | 1846 | 1811 | 39.17% | 27.06% | 33.77% | -0.22 | 70.6 |
| 2026-10-31 | Padova | 1826 | 1797 | 42.75% | 26.93% | 30.32% | +0.58 | 63.4 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Catanzaro | 1797 | 1826 | 30.32% | 26.93% | 42.75% | -0.58 | 63.4 |
| 2026-10-31 | Benevento | 1855 | 1819 | 43.64% | 26.88% | 29.48% | +0.62 | 63.9 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Cremonese | 1819 | 1855 | 29.48% | 26.88% | 43.64% | -0.62 | 63.9 |
| 2026-11-07 | Hellas Verona | 1864 | 1858 | 39.56% | 27.05% | 33.39% | +0.45 | 80.9 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Mantova | 1858 | 1864 | 33.39% | 27.05% | 39.56% | -0.45 | 80.9 |
| 2026-11-07 | Palermo | 1860 | 1938 | 28.17% | 26.79% | 45.04% | -0.02 | 64.3 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Ascoli | 1938 | 1860 | 45.04% | 26.79% | 28.17% | +0.02 | 64.3 |
| 2026-11-07 | Avellino | 1819 | 1811 | 39.68% | 27.04% | 33.28% | +0.46 | 72.7 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Benevento | 1811 | 1819 | 33.28% | 27.04% | 39.68% | -0.46 | 72.7 |
| 2026-11-07 | Empoli | 1797 | 1805 | 37.60% | 27.08% | 35.32% | +0.38 | 66.3 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Padova | 1805 | 1797 | 35.32% | 27.08% | 37.60% | -0.38 | 66.3 |
| 2026-11-07 | Sampdoria | 1768 | 1774 | 37.76% | 27.08% | 35.16% | +0.38 | 64.6 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Carrarese | 1774 | 1768 | 35.16% | 27.08% | 37.76% | -0.38 | 64.6 |
| 2026-11-07 | Catanzaro | 1808 | 1826 | 36.09% | 27.08% | 36.83% | +0.32 | 68.8 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Cesena | 1826 | 1808 | 36.83% | 27.08% | 36.09% | -0.32 | 68.8 |
| 2026-11-07 | Arzzo | 1802 | 1751 | 45.68% | 26.74% | 27.57% | +0.71 | 58.5 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Juve Stabia | 1751 | 1802 | 27.57% | 26.74% | 45.68% | -0.71 | 58.5 |
| 2026-11-07 | Cremonese | 1747 | 1855 | 24.75% | 26.45% | 48.80% | -0.19 | 51.7 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Vicenza | 1855 | 1747 | 48.80% | 26.45% | 24.75% | +0.19 | 51.7 |
| 2026-11-07 | Sudtirol | 1846 | 1852 | 37.85% | 27.08% | 35.07% | +0.39 | 77.3 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Pisa | 1852 | 1846 | 35.07% | 27.08% | 37.85% | -0.39 | 77.3 |
| 2026-11-07 | Modena | 1788 | 1894 | 24.92% | 26.48% | 48.60% | -0.18 | 56.2 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Virtus Entella | 1894 | 1788 | 48.60% | 26.48% | 24.92% | +0.18 | 56.2 |
| 2026-11-21 | Vicenza | 1860 | 1747 | 53.14% | 25.87% | 20.99% | +1.05 | 53.8 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Ascoli | 1747 | 1860 | 20.99% | 25.87% | 53.14% | -1.05 | 53.8 |
| 2026-11-21 | Virtus Entella | 1768 | 1788 | 35.73% | 27.08% | 37.19% | +0.30 | 64.0 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Carrarese | 1788 | 1768 | 37.19% | 27.08% | 35.73% | -0.30 | 64.0 |
| 2026-11-21 | Pisa | 1805 | 1846 | 32.84% | 27.03% | 40.13% | +0.18 | 64.2 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Empoli | 1846 | 1805 | 40.13% | 27.03% | 32.84% | -0.18 | 64.2 |
| 2026-11-21 | Juve Stabia | 1894 | 1802 | 50.71% | 26.23% | 23.07% | +0.94 | 52.7 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Modena | 1802 | 1894 | 23.07% | 26.23% | 50.71% | -0.94 | 52.7 |
| 2026-11-21 | Cremonese | 1852 | 1855 | 38.29% | 27.07% | 34.64% | +0.40 | 73.0 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Sudtirol | 1855 | 1852 | 34.64% | 27.07% | 38.29% | -0.40 | 73.0 |
| 2026-11-21 | Cesena | 1858 | 1808 | 45.42% | 26.76% | 27.82% | +0.70 | 69.8 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Hellas Verona | 1808 | 1858 | 27.82% | 26.76% | 45.42% | -0.70 | 69.8 |
| 2026-11-21 | Benevento | 1774 | 1819 | 32.44% | 27.02% | 40.54% | +0.17 | 62.3 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Sampdoria | 1819 | 1774 | 40.54% | 27.02% | 32.44% | -0.17 | 62.3 |
| 2026-11-21 | Padova | 1751 | 1797 | 32.16% | 27.01% | 40.83% | +0.16 | 61.4 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Arzzo | 1797 | 1751 | 40.83% | 27.01% | 32.16% | -0.16 | 61.4 |
| 2026-11-21 | Mantova | 1811 | 1864 | 31.34% | 26.98% | 41.68% | +0.12 | 69.5 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Avellino | 1864 | 1811 | 41.68% | 26.98% | 31.34% | -0.12 | 69.5 |
| 2026-11-21 | Palermo | 1826 | 1938 | 24.28% | 26.40% | 49.32% | -0.21 | 56.3 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Catanzaro | 1938 | 1826 | 49.32% | 26.40% | 24.28% | +0.21 | 56.3 |
| 2026-11-24 | Arzzo | 1864 | 1751 | 53.21% | 25.86% | 20.93% | +1.06 | 56.8 |
| 2026-11-24 | @ Mantova | 1751 | 1864 | 20.93% | 25.86% | 53.21% | -1.06 | 56.8 |
| 2026-11-24 | Empoli | 1819 | 1805 | 40.63% | 27.02% | 32.36% | +0.50 | 66.7 |
| 2026-11-24 | @ Benevento | 1805 | 1819 | 32.36% | 27.02% | 40.63% | -0.50 | 66.7 |
| 2026-11-24 | Sampdoria | 1797 | 1774 | 41.86% | 26.97% | 31.17% | +0.55 | 64.7 |
| 2026-11-24 | @ Padova | 1774 | 1797 | 31.17% | 26.97% | 41.86% | -0.55 | 64.7 |
| 2026-11-24 | Ascoli | 1808 | 1860 | 31.43% | 26.98% | 41.58% | +0.13 | 65.3 |
| 2026-11-24 | @ Cesena | 1860 | 1808 | 41.58% | 26.98% | 31.43% | -0.13 | 65.3 |
| 2026-11-24 | Catanzaro | 1802 | 1826 | 35.21% | 27.08% | 37.72% | +0.28 | 63.5 |
| 2026-11-24 | @ Juve Stabia | 1826 | 1802 | 37.72% | 27.08% | 35.21% | -0.28 | 63.5 |
| 2026-11-24 | Carrarese | 1747 | 1768 | 35.76% | 27.08% | 37.16% | +0.30 | 63.9 |
| 2026-11-24 | @ Vicenza | 1768 | 1747 | 37.16% | 27.08% | 35.76% | -0.30 | 63.9 |
| 2026-11-24 | Sudtirol | 1938 | 1852 | 50.01% | 26.31% | 23.68% | +0.90 | 63.3 |
| 2026-11-24 | @ Palermo | 1852 | 1938 | 23.68% | 26.31% | 50.01% | -0.90 | 63.3 |
| 2026-11-24 | Modena | 1846 | 1894 | 31.95% | 27.00% | 41.04% | +0.15 | 68.6 |
| 2026-11-24 | @ Pisa | 1894 | 1846 | 41.04% | 27.00% | 31.95% | -0.15 | 68.6 |
| 2026-11-24 | Avellino | 1855 | 1811 | 44.58% | 26.82% | 28.60% | +0.66 | 63.5 |
| 2026-11-24 | @ Cremonese | 1811 | 1855 | 28.60% | 26.82% | 44.58% | -0.66 | 63.5 |
| 2026-11-24 | Hellas Verona | 1788 | 1858 | 29.18% | 26.86% | 43.95% | +0.03 | 65.9 |
| 2026-11-24 | @ Virtus Entella | 1858 | 1788 | 43.95% | 26.86% | 29.18% | -0.03 | 65.9 |
| 2026-11-28 | Virtus Entella | 1860 | 1788 | 48.27% | 26.51% | 25.22% | +0.82 | 60.6 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Ascoli | 1788 | 1860 | 25.22% | 26.51% | 48.27% | -0.82 | 60.6 |
| 2026-11-28 | Juve Stabia | 1768 | 1802 | 33.80% | 27.06% | 39.14% | +0.22 | 59.0 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Carrarese | 1802 | 1768 | 39.14% | 27.06% | 33.80% | -0.22 | 59.0 |
| 2026-11-28 | Hellas Verona | 1805 | 1858 | 31.27% | 26.98% | 41.75% | +0.12 | 65.1 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Empoli | 1858 | 1805 | 41.75% | 26.98% | 31.27% | -0.12 | 65.1 |
| 2026-11-28 | Padova | 1894 | 1797 | 51.31% | 26.14% | 22.55% | +0.96 | 53.6 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Modena | 1797 | 1894 | 22.55% | 26.14% | 51.31% | -0.96 | 53.6 |
| 2026-11-28 | Mantova | 1852 | 1864 | 36.93% | 27.08% | 35.99% | +0.35 | 78.6 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Sudtirol | 1864 | 1852 | 35.99% | 27.08% | 36.93% | -0.35 | 78.6 |
| 2026-11-28 | Cesena | 1747 | 1808 | 30.26% | 26.93% | 42.82% | +0.07 | 63.2 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Vicenza | 1808 | 1747 | 42.82% | 26.93% | 30.26% | -0.07 | 63.2 |
| 2026-11-28 | Benevento | 1938 | 1819 | 53.87% | 25.75% | 20.38% | +1.09 | 56.6 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Palermo | 1819 | 1938 | 20.38% | 25.75% | 53.87% | -1.09 | 56.6 |
| 2026-11-28 | Cremonese | 1774 | 1855 | 27.84% | 26.77% | 45.39% | -0.03 | 53.0 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Sampdoria | 1855 | 1774 | 45.39% | 26.77% | 27.84% | +0.03 | 53.0 |
| 2026-11-28 | Pisa | 1751 | 1846 | 26.07% | 26.60% | 47.33% | -0.12 | 56.8 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Arzzo | 1846 | 1751 | 47.33% | 26.60% | 26.07% | +0.12 | 56.8 |
| 2026-11-28 | Avellino | 1826 | 1811 | 40.77% | 27.01% | 32.21% | +0.50 | 69.2 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Catanzaro | 1811 | 1826 | 32.21% | 27.01% | 40.77% | -0.50 | 69.2 |
| 2026-12-05 | Ascoli | 1864 | 1860 | 39.22% | 27.06% | 33.72% | +0.44 | 78.8 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Mantova | 1860 | 1864 | 33.72% | 27.06% | 39.22% | -0.44 | 78.8 |
| 2026-12-05 | Vicenza | 1797 | 1747 | 45.45% | 26.76% | 27.79% | +0.70 | 61.9 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Padova | 1747 | 1797 | 27.79% | 26.76% | 45.45% | -0.70 | 61.9 |
| 2026-12-05 | Carrarese | 1808 | 1768 | 44.24% | 26.85% | 28.91% | +0.65 | 59.8 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Cesena | 1768 | 1808 | 28.91% | 26.85% | 44.24% | -0.65 | 59.8 |
| 2026-12-05 | Arzzo | 1894 | 1751 | 56.48% | 25.25% | 18.27% | +1.23 | 50.0 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Modena | 1751 | 1894 | 18.27% | 25.25% | 56.48% | -1.23 | 50.0 |
| 2026-12-05 | Palermo | 1858 | 1938 | 27.87% | 26.77% | 45.36% | -0.03 | 66.3 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Hellas Verona | 1938 | 1858 | 45.36% | 26.77% | 27.87% | +0.03 | 66.3 |
| 2026-12-05 | Benevento | 1802 | 1819 | 36.33% | 27.08% | 36.59% | +0.33 | 66.4 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Juve Stabia | 1819 | 1802 | 36.59% | 27.08% | 36.33% | -0.33 | 66.4 |
| 2026-12-05 | Sampdoria | 1846 | 1774 | 48.27% | 26.51% | 25.22% | +0.82 | 58.9 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Pisa | 1774 | 1846 | 25.22% | 26.51% | 48.27% | -0.82 | 58.9 |
| 2026-12-05 | Sudtirol | 1811 | 1852 | 32.98% | 27.04% | 39.98% | +0.19 | 69.4 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Avellino | 1852 | 1811 | 39.98% | 27.04% | 32.98% | -0.19 | 69.4 |
| 2026-12-05 | Catanzaro | 1855 | 1826 | 42.58% | 26.94% | 30.48% | +0.58 | 63.8 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Cremonese | 1826 | 1855 | 30.48% | 26.94% | 42.58% | -0.58 | 63.8 |
| 2026-12-05 | Empoli | 1788 | 1805 | 36.35% | 27.08% | 36.56% | +0.33 | 67.5 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Virtus Entella | 1805 | 1788 | 36.56% | 27.08% | 36.35% | -0.33 | 67.5 |
| 2026-12-08 | Juve Stabia | 1860 | 1802 | 46.53% | 26.68% | 26.79% | +0.75 | 58.6 |
| 2026-12-08 | @ Ascoli | 1802 | 1860 | 26.79% | 26.68% | 46.53% | -0.75 | 58.6 |
| 2026-12-08 | Padova | 1819 | 1797 | 41.67% | 26.98% | 31.35% | +0.54 | 66.8 |
| 2026-12-08 | @ Benevento | 1797 | 1819 | 31.35% | 26.98% | 41.67% | -0.54 | 66.8 |
| 2026-12-08 | Pisa | 1768 | 1846 | 28.09% | 26.79% | 45.12% | -0.02 | 53.4 |
| 2026-12-08 | @ Carrarese | 1846 | 1768 | 45.12% | 26.79% | 28.09% | +0.02 | 53.4 |
| 2026-12-08 | Sudtirol | 1805 | 1852 | 32.06% | 27.01% | 40.93% | +0.15 | 63.0 |
| 2026-12-08 | @ Empoli | 1852 | 1805 | 40.93% | 27.01% | 32.06% | -0.15 | 63.0 |
| 2026-12-08 | Avellino | 1858 | 1811 | 45.01% | 26.79% | 28.20% | +0.68 | 70.5 |
| 2026-12-08 | @ Hellas Verona | 1811 | 1858 | 28.20% | 26.79% | 45.01% | -0.68 | 70.5 |
| 2026-12-08 | Mantova | 1747 | 1864 | 23.72% | 26.32% | 49.96% | -0.24 | 58.3 |
| 2026-12-08 | @ Vicenza | 1864 | 1747 | 49.96% | 26.32% | 23.72% | +0.24 | 58.3 |
| 2026-12-08 | Cremonese | 1938 | 1855 | 49.68% | 26.35% | 23.97% | +0.89 | 60.1 |
| 2026-12-08 | @ Palermo | 1855 | 1938 | 23.97% | 26.35% | 49.68% | -0.89 | 60.1 |
| 2026-12-08 | Modena | 1774 | 1894 | 23.39% | 26.27% | 50.33% | -0.26 | 51.1 |
| 2026-12-08 | @ Sampdoria | 1894 | 1774 | 50.33% | 26.27% | 23.39% | +0.26 | 51.1 |
| 2026-12-08 | Cesena | 1751 | 1808 | 30.68% | 26.95% | 42.38% | +0.09 | 62.2 |
| 2026-12-08 | @ Arzzo | 1808 | 1751 | 42.38% | 26.95% | 30.68% | -0.09 | 62.2 |
| 2026-12-08 | Virtus Entella | 1826 | 1788 | 43.91% | 26.87% | 29.22% | +0.63 | 64.6 |
| 2026-12-08 | @ Catanzaro | 1788 | 1826 | 29.22% | 26.87% | 43.91% | -0.63 | 64.6 |
| 2026-12-12 | Benevento | 1864 | 1819 | 44.90% | 26.80% | 28.30% | +0.67 | 69.8 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Mantova | 1819 | 1864 | 28.30% | 26.80% | 44.90% | -0.67 | 69.8 |
| 2026-12-12 | Palermo | 1808 | 1938 | 22.39% | 26.12% | 51.49% | -0.31 | 57.1 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Cesena | 1938 | 1808 | 51.49% | 26.12% | 22.39% | +0.31 | 57.1 |
| 2026-12-12 | Catanzaro | 1894 | 1826 | 47.73% | 26.57% | 25.70% | +0.80 | 59.0 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Modena | 1826 | 1894 | 25.70% | 26.57% | 47.73% | -0.80 | 59.0 |
| 2026-12-12 | Hellas Verona | 1852 | 1858 | 37.83% | 27.08% | 35.10% | +0.38 | 79.5 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Sudtirol | 1858 | 1852 | 35.10% | 27.08% | 37.83% | -0.38 | 79.5 |
| 2026-12-12 | Padova | 1802 | 1797 | 39.39% | 27.05% | 33.56% | +0.45 | 66.6 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Juve Stabia | 1797 | 1802 | 33.56% | 27.05% | 39.39% | -0.45 | 66.6 |
| 2026-12-12 | Ascoli | 1846 | 1860 | 36.65% | 27.08% | 36.26% | +0.34 | 74.5 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Pisa | 1860 | 1846 | 36.26% | 27.08% | 36.65% | -0.34 | 74.5 |
| 2026-12-12 | Vicenza | 1774 | 1747 | 42.40% | 26.95% | 30.65% | +0.57 | 66.8 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Sampdoria | 1747 | 1774 | 30.65% | 26.95% | 42.40% | -0.57 | 66.8 |
| 2026-12-12 | Empoli | 1811 | 1805 | 39.64% | 27.05% | 33.32% | +0.46 | 69.0 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Avellino | 1805 | 1811 | 33.32% | 27.05% | 39.64% | -0.46 | 69.0 |
| 2026-12-12 | Carrarese | 1855 | 1768 | 50.10% | 26.30% | 23.60% | +0.91 | 48.4 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Cremonese | 1768 | 1855 | 23.60% | 26.30% | 50.10% | -0.91 | 48.4 |
| 2026-12-12 | Arzzo | 1788 | 1751 | 43.88% | 26.87% | 29.26% | +0.63 | 66.2 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Virtus Entella | 1751 | 1788 | 29.26% | 26.87% | 43.88% | -0.63 | 66.2 |
| 2026-12-19 | Modena | 1860 | 1894 | 33.88% | 27.06% | 39.06% | +0.23 | 70.1 |
| 2026-12-19 | @ Ascoli | 1894 | 1860 | 39.06% | 27.06% | 33.88% | -0.23 | 70.1 |
| 2026-12-19 | Pisa | 1819 | 1846 | 34.76% | 27.07% | 38.17% | +0.26 | 70.9 |
| 2026-12-19 | @ Benevento | 1846 | 1819 | 38.17% | 27.07% | 34.76% | -0.26 | 70.9 |
| 2026-12-19 | Cesena | 1797 | 1808 | 37.07% | 27.08% | 35.84% | +0.35 | 69.9 |
| 2026-12-19 | @ Padova | 1808 | 1797 | 35.84% | 27.08% | 37.07% | -0.35 | 69.9 |
| 2026-12-19 | Avellino | 1768 | 1811 | 32.53% | 27.02% | 40.45% | +0.17 | 59.4 |
| 2026-12-19 | @ Carrarese | 1811 | 1768 | 40.45% | 27.02% | 32.53% | -0.17 | 59.4 |
| 2026-12-19 | Sampdoria | 1805 | 1774 | 42.89% | 26.92% | 30.19% | +0.59 | 61.9 |
| 2026-12-19 | @ Empoli | 1774 | 1805 | 30.19% | 26.92% | 42.89% | -0.59 | 61.9 |
| 2026-12-19 | Cremonese | 1858 | 1855 | 39.14% | 27.06% | 33.81% | +0.44 | 76.2 |
| 2026-12-19 | @ Hellas Verona | 1855 | 1858 | 33.81% | 27.06% | 39.14% | -0.44 | 76.2 |
| 2026-12-19 | Mantova | 1802 | 1864 | 30.13% | 26.92% | 42.95% | +0.07 | 63.2 |
| 2026-12-19 | @ Juve Stabia | 1864 | 1802 | 42.95% | 26.92% | 30.13% | -0.07 | 63.2 |
| 2026-12-19 | Sudtirol | 1747 | 1852 | 25.05% | 26.49% | 48.46% | -0.17 | 57.1 |
| 2026-12-19 | @ Vicenza | 1852 | 1747 | 48.46% | 26.49% | 25.05% | +0.17 | 57.1 |
| 2026-12-19 | Virtus Entella | 1938 | 1788 | 57.12% | 25.11% | 17.77% | +1.26 | 54.8 |
| 2026-12-19 | @ Palermo | 1788 | 1938 | 17.77% | 25.11% | 57.12% | -1.26 | 54.8 |
| 2026-12-19 | Arzzo | 1826 | 1751 | 48.76% | 26.46% | 24.78% | +0.85 | 54.7 |
| 2026-12-19 | @ Catanzaro | 1751 | 1826 | 24.78% | 26.46% | 48.76% | -0.85 | 54.7 |
| 2026-12-27 | Padova | 1864 | 1797 | 47.67% | 26.57% | 25.76% | +0.80 | 63.3 |
| 2026-12-27 | @ Mantova | 1797 | 1864 | 25.76% | 26.57% | 47.67% | -0.80 | 63.3 |
| 2026-12-27 | Pisa | 1808 | 1846 | 33.34% | 27.05% | 39.62% | +0.21 | 70.0 |
| 2026-12-27 | @ Cesena | 1846 | 1808 | 39.62% | 27.05% | 33.34% | -0.21 | 70.0 |
| 2026-12-27 | Palermo | 1894 | 1938 | 32.50% | 27.02% | 40.47% | +0.17 | 72.0 |
| 2026-12-27 | @ Modena | 1938 | 1894 | 40.47% | 27.02% | 32.50% | -0.17 | 72.0 |
| 2026-12-27 | Carrarese | 1852 | 1768 | 49.77% | 26.34% | 23.89% | +0.89 | 51.8 |
| 2026-12-27 | @ Sudtirol | 1768 | 1852 | 23.89% | 26.34% | 49.77% | -0.89 | 51.8 |
| 2026-12-27 | Hellas Verona | 1774 | 1858 | 27.45% | 26.73% | 45.81% | -0.05 | 60.4 |
| 2026-12-27 | @ Sampdoria | 1858 | 1774 | 45.81% | 26.73% | 27.45% | +0.05 | 60.4 |
| 2026-12-27 | Vicenza | 1751 | 1747 | 39.14% | 27.06% | 33.81% | +0.44 | 72.5 |
| 2026-12-27 | @ Arzzo | 1747 | 1751 | 33.81% | 27.06% | 39.14% | -0.44 | 72.5 |
| 2026-12-27 | Juve Stabia | 1811 | 1802 | 39.99% | 27.04% | 32.97% | +0.47 | 68.6 |
| 2026-12-27 | @ Avellino | 1802 | 1811 | 32.97% | 27.04% | 39.99% | -0.47 | 68.6 |
| 2026-12-27 | Empoli | 1826 | 1805 | 41.71% | 26.98% | 31.31% | +0.54 | 63.8 |
| 2026-12-27 | @ Catanzaro | 1805 | 1826 | 31.31% | 26.98% | 41.71% | -0.54 | 63.8 |
| 2026-12-27 | Ascoli | 1855 | 1860 | 37.87% | 27.08% | 35.05% | +0.39 | 70.9 |
| 2026-12-27 | @ Cremonese | 1860 | 1855 | 35.05% | 27.08% | 37.87% | -0.39 | 70.9 |
| 2026-12-27 | Benevento | 1788 | 1819 | 34.38% | 27.07% | 38.55% | +0.25 | 68.6 |
| 2026-12-27 | @ Virtus Entella | 1819 | 1788 | 38.55% | 27.07% | 34.38% | -0.25 | 68.6 |
| 2027-01-09 | Carrarese | 1864 | 1768 | 51.23% | 26.15% | 22.61% | +0.96 | 52.8 |
| 2027-01-09 | @ Mantova | 1768 | 1864 | 22.61% | 26.15% | 51.23% | -0.96 | 52.8 |
| 2027-01-09 | Catanzaro | 1860 | 1826 | 43.34% | 26.90% | 29.76% | +0.61 | 65.6 |
| 2027-01-09 | @ Ascoli | 1826 | 1860 | 29.76% | 26.90% | 43.34% | -0.61 | 65.6 |
| 2027-01-09 | Cremonese | 1797 | 1855 | 30.70% | 26.95% | 42.35% | +0.09 | 57.7 |
| 2027-01-09 | @ Padova | 1855 | 1797 | 42.35% | 26.95% | 30.70% | -0.09 | 57.7 |
| 2027-01-09 | Modena | 1808 | 1894 | 27.20% | 26.71% | 46.09% | -0.06 | 59.3 |
| 2027-01-09 | @ Cesena | 1894 | 1808 | 46.09% | 26.71% | 27.20% | +0.06 | 59.3 |
| 2027-01-09 | Benevento | 1852 | 1819 | 43.27% | 26.90% | 29.83% | +0.61 | 69.5 |
| 2027-01-09 | @ Sudtirol | 1819 | 1852 | 29.83% | 26.90% | 43.27% | -0.61 | 69.5 |
| 2027-01-09 | Sampdoria | 1802 | 1774 | 42.55% | 26.94% | 30.51% | +0.58 | 62.5 |
| 2027-01-09 | @ Juve Stabia | 1774 | 1802 | 30.51% | 26.94% | 42.55% | -0.58 | 62.5 |
| 2027-01-09 | Virtus Entella | 1747 | 1788 | 32.89% | 27.03% | 40.08% | +0.19 | 67.5 |
| 2027-01-09 | @ Vicenza | 1788 | 1747 | 40.08% | 27.03% | 32.89% | -0.19 | 67.5 |
| 2027-01-09 | Empoli | 1938 | 1805 | 55.40% | 25.47% | 19.13% | +1.17 | 51.8 |
| 2027-01-09 | @ Palermo | 1805 | 1938 | 19.13% | 25.47% | 55.40% | -1.17 | 51.8 |
| 2027-01-09 | Avellino | 1846 | 1811 | 43.45% | 26.89% | 29.66% | +0.61 | 70.4 |
| 2027-01-09 | @ Pisa | 1811 | 1846 | 29.66% | 26.89% | 43.45% | -0.61 | 70.4 |
| 2027-01-09 | Hellas Verona | 1751 | 1858 | 24.75% | 26.45% | 48.80% | -0.19 | 58.2 |
| 2027-01-09 | @ Arzzo | 1858 | 1751 | 48.80% | 26.45% | 24.75% | +0.19 | 58.2 |
| 2027-01-16 | Sudtirol | 1860 | 1852 | 39.86% | 27.04% | 33.10% | +0.47 | 75.4 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Ascoli | 1852 | 1860 | 33.10% | 27.04% | 39.86% | -0.47 | 75.4 |
| 2027-01-16 | Arzzo | 1819 | 1751 | 47.78% | 26.56% | 25.66% | +0.80 | 58.3 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Benevento | 1751 | 1819 | 25.66% | 26.56% | 47.78% | -0.80 | 58.3 |
| 2027-01-16 | Padova | 1768 | 1797 | 34.51% | 27.07% | 38.42% | +0.25 | 60.6 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Carrarese | 1797 | 1768 | 38.42% | 27.07% | 34.51% | -0.25 | 60.6 |
| 2027-01-16 | Modena | 1805 | 1894 | 26.77% | 26.67% | 46.56% | -0.09 | 53.7 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Empoli | 1894 | 1805 | 46.56% | 26.67% | 26.77% | +0.09 | 53.7 |
| 2027-01-16 | Juve Stabia | 1858 | 1802 | 46.22% | 26.70% | 27.08% | +0.73 | 64.1 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Hellas Verona | 1802 | 1858 | 27.08% | 26.70% | 46.22% | -0.73 | 64.1 |
| 2027-01-16 | Pisa | 1938 | 1846 | 50.70% | 26.23% | 23.07% | +0.94 | 62.3 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Palermo | 1846 | 1938 | 23.07% | 26.23% | 50.70% | -0.94 | 62.3 |
| 2027-01-16 | Mantova | 1774 | 1864 | 26.71% | 26.67% | 46.62% | -0.09 | 59.4 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Sampdoria | 1864 | 1774 | 46.62% | 26.67% | 26.71% | +0.09 | 59.4 |
| 2027-01-16 | Virtus Entella | 1811 | 1788 | 41.89% | 26.97% | 31.14% | +0.55 | 71.1 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Avellino | 1788 | 1811 | 31.14% | 26.97% | 41.89% | -0.55 | 71.1 |
| 2027-01-16 | Cesena | 1826 | 1808 | 41.21% | 27.00% | 31.79% | +0.52 | 68.7 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Catanzaro | 1808 | 1826 | 31.79% | 27.00% | 41.21% | -0.52 | 68.7 |
| 2027-01-16 | Vicenza | 1855 | 1747 | 52.50% | 25.97% | 21.53% | +1.02 | 51.1 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Cremonese | 1747 | 1855 | 21.53% | 25.97% | 52.50% | -1.02 | 51.1 |
| 2027-01-23 | Avellino | 1864 | 1811 | 45.82% | 26.73% | 27.44% | +0.71 | 69.1 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Mantova | 1811 | 1864 | 27.44% | 26.73% | 45.82% | -0.71 | 69.1 |
| 2027-01-23 | Catanzaro | 1797 | 1826 | 34.49% | 27.07% | 38.44% | +0.25 | 63.7 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Padova | 1826 | 1797 | 38.44% | 27.07% | 34.49% | -0.25 | 63.7 |
| 2027-01-23 | Benevento | 1808 | 1819 | 37.22% | 27.08% | 35.70% | +0.36 | 72.2 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Cesena | 1819 | 1808 | 35.70% | 27.08% | 37.22% | -0.36 | 72.2 |
| 2027-01-23 | Carrarese | 1894 | 1768 | 54.63% | 25.61% | 19.75% | +1.13 | 45.4 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Modena | 1768 | 1894 | 19.75% | 25.61% | 54.63% | -1.13 | 45.4 |
| 2027-01-23 | Palermo | 1852 | 1938 | 27.16% | 26.71% | 46.13% | -0.07 | 63.8 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Sudtirol | 1938 | 1852 | 46.13% | 26.71% | 27.16% | +0.07 | 63.8 |
| 2027-01-23 | Cremonese | 1802 | 1855 | 31.37% | 26.98% | 41.65% | +0.12 | 57.6 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Juve Stabia | 1855 | 1802 | 41.65% | 26.98% | 31.37% | -0.12 | 57.6 |
| 2027-01-23 | Ascoli | 1747 | 1860 | 24.13% | 26.38% | 49.49% | -0.22 | 54.4 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Vicenza | 1860 | 1747 | 49.49% | 26.38% | 24.13% | +0.22 | 54.4 |
| 2027-01-23 | Hellas Verona | 1846 | 1858 | 37.00% | 27.08% | 35.92% | +0.35 | 78.6 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Pisa | 1858 | 1846 | 35.92% | 27.08% | 37.00% | -0.35 | 78.6 |
| 2027-01-23 | Empoli | 1751 | 1805 | 31.15% | 26.97% | 41.88% | +0.11 | 58.3 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Arzzo | 1805 | 1751 | 41.88% | 26.97% | 31.15% | -0.11 | 58.3 |
| 2027-01-23 | Sampdoria | 1788 | 1774 | 40.66% | 27.02% | 32.32% | +0.50 | 69.3 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Virtus Entella | 1774 | 1788 | 32.32% | 27.02% | 40.66% | -0.50 | 69.3 |
| 2027-01-30 | Padova | 1860 | 1797 | 47.18% | 26.62% | 26.20% | +0.77 | 59.1 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Ascoli | 1797 | 1860 | 26.20% | 26.62% | 47.18% | -0.77 | 59.1 |
| 2027-01-30 | Sampdoria | 1819 | 1774 | 44.75% | 26.81% | 28.44% | +0.67 | 62.0 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Benevento | 1774 | 1819 | 28.44% | 26.81% | 44.75% | -0.67 | 62.0 |
| 2027-01-30 | Vicenza | 1768 | 1747 | 41.53% | 26.99% | 31.49% | +0.53 | 63.8 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Carrarese | 1747 | 1768 | 31.49% | 26.99% | 41.53% | -0.53 | 63.8 |
| 2027-01-30 | Mantova | 1805 | 1864 | 30.45% | 26.94% | 42.61% | +0.08 | 63.7 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Empoli | 1864 | 1805 | 42.61% | 26.94% | 30.45% | -0.08 | 63.7 |
| 2027-01-30 | Modena | 1858 | 1894 | 33.55% | 27.05% | 39.40% | +0.21 | 73.6 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Hellas Verona | 1894 | 1858 | 39.40% | 27.05% | 33.55% | -0.21 | 73.6 |
| 2027-01-30 | Arzzo | 1938 | 1751 | 60.86% | 24.18% | 14.96% | +1.47 | 51.6 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Palermo | 1751 | 1938 | 14.96% | 24.18% | 60.86% | -1.47 | 51.6 |
| 2027-01-30 | Cesena | 1811 | 1808 | 39.12% | 27.06% | 33.82% | +0.44 | 74.5 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Avellino | 1808 | 1811 | 33.82% | 27.06% | 39.12% | -0.44 | 74.5 |
| 2027-01-30 | Juve Stabia | 1826 | 1802 | 42.06% | 26.96% | 30.98% | +0.55 | 63.3 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Catanzaro | 1802 | 1826 | 30.98% | 26.96% | 42.06% | -0.55 | 63.3 |
| 2027-01-30 | Pisa | 1855 | 1846 | 39.88% | 27.04% | 33.09% | +0.47 | 72.1 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Cremonese | 1846 | 1855 | 33.09% | 27.04% | 39.88% | -0.47 | 72.1 |
| 2027-01-30 | Sudtirol | 1788 | 1852 | 29.94% | 26.91% | 43.15% | +0.06 | 64.4 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Virtus Entella | 1852 | 1788 | 43.15% | 26.91% | 29.94% | -0.06 | 64.4 |
| 2027-02-06 | Catanzaro | 1864 | 1826 | 43.86% | 26.87% | 29.27% | +0.63 | 69.8 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Mantova | 1826 | 1864 | 29.27% | 26.87% | 43.86% | -0.63 | 69.8 |
| 2027-02-06 | Cremonese | 1819 | 1855 | 33.58% | 27.05% | 39.37% | +0.22 | 64.2 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Benevento | 1855 | 1819 | 39.37% | 27.05% | 33.58% | -0.22 | 64.2 |
| 2027-02-06 | Arzzo | 1797 | 1751 | 45.02% | 26.79% | 28.19% | +0.68 | 61.0 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Padova | 1751 | 1797 | 28.19% | 26.79% | 45.02% | -0.68 | 61.0 |
| 2027-02-06 | Hellas Verona | 1808 | 1858 | 31.75% | 27.00% | 41.25% | +0.14 | 70.1 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Cesena | 1858 | 1808 | 41.25% | 27.00% | 31.75% | -0.14 | 70.1 |
| 2027-02-06 | Virtus Entella | 1894 | 1788 | 52.32% | 26.00% | 21.69% | +1.01 | 55.6 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Modena | 1788 | 1894 | 21.69% | 26.00% | 52.32% | -1.01 | 55.6 |
| 2027-02-06 | Avellino | 1852 | 1811 | 44.22% | 26.85% | 28.93% | +0.65 | 69.1 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Sudtirol | 1811 | 1852 | 28.93% | 26.85% | 44.22% | -0.65 | 69.1 |
| 2027-02-06 | Carrarese | 1802 | 1768 | 43.42% | 26.90% | 29.69% | +0.61 | 58.8 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Juve Stabia | 1768 | 1802 | 29.69% | 26.90% | 43.42% | -0.61 | 58.8 |
| 2027-02-06 | Palermo | 1747 | 1938 | 16.98% | 24.88% | 58.14% | -0.66 | 53.4 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Vicenza | 1938 | 1747 | 58.14% | 24.88% | 16.98% | +0.66 | 53.4 |
| 2027-02-06 | Empoli | 1846 | 1805 | 44.35% | 26.84% | 28.81% | +0.65 | 63.9 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Pisa | 1805 | 1846 | 28.81% | 26.84% | 44.35% | -0.65 | 63.9 |
| 2027-02-06 | Ascoli | 1774 | 1860 | 27.16% | 26.71% | 46.13% | -0.07 | 55.0 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Sampdoria | 1860 | 1774 | 46.13% | 26.71% | 27.16% | +0.07 | 55.0 |
| 2027-02-13 | Benevento | 1805 | 1819 | 36.69% | 27.08% | 36.23% | +0.34 | 66.8 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Empoli | 1819 | 1805 | 36.23% | 27.08% | 36.69% | -0.34 | 66.8 |
| 2027-02-13 | Sudtirol | 1894 | 1852 | 44.46% | 26.83% | 28.71% | +0.66 | 69.6 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Modena | 1852 | 1894 | 28.71% | 26.83% | 44.46% | -0.66 | 69.6 |
| 2027-02-13 | Padova | 1747 | 1797 | 31.73% | 27.00% | 41.28% | +0.14 | 62.2 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Vicenza | 1797 | 1747 | 41.28% | 27.00% | 31.73% | -0.14 | 62.2 |
| 2027-02-13 | Mantova | 1938 | 1864 | 48.51% | 26.49% | 25.00% | +0.83 | 67.1 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Palermo | 1864 | 1938 | 25.00% | 26.49% | 48.51% | -0.83 | 67.1 |
| 2027-02-13 | Juve Stabia | 1846 | 1802 | 44.69% | 26.82% | 28.50% | +0.67 | 63.4 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Pisa | 1802 | 1846 | 28.50% | 26.82% | 44.69% | -0.67 | 63.4 |
| 2027-02-13 | Sampdoria | 1751 | 1774 | 35.30% | 27.08% | 37.62% | +0.28 | 66.0 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Arzzo | 1774 | 1751 | 37.62% | 27.08% | 35.30% | -0.28 | 66.0 |
| 2027-02-13 | Ascoli | 1811 | 1860 | 31.85% | 27.00% | 41.15% | +0.14 | 66.0 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Avellino | 1860 | 1811 | 41.15% | 27.00% | 31.85% | -0.14 | 66.0 |
| 2027-02-13 | Hellas Verona | 1826 | 1858 | 34.21% | 27.06% | 38.72% | +0.24 | 71.3 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Catanzaro | 1858 | 1826 | 38.72% | 27.06% | 34.21% | -0.24 | 71.3 |
| 2027-02-13 | Cesena | 1855 | 1808 | 44.99% | 26.80% | 28.21% | +0.68 | 62.8 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Cremonese | 1808 | 1855 | 28.21% | 26.80% | 44.99% | -0.68 | 62.8 |
| 2027-02-13 | Carrarese | 1788 | 1768 | 41.55% | 26.98% | 31.46% | +0.53 | 63.9 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Virtus Entella | 1768 | 1788 | 31.46% | 26.98% | 41.55% | -0.53 | 63.9 |
| 2027-02-20 | Pisa | 1860 | 1846 | 40.66% | 27.02% | 32.32% | +0.50 | 74.4 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Ascoli | 1846 | 1860 | 32.32% | 27.02% | 40.66% | -0.50 | 74.4 |
| 2027-02-20 | Mantova | 1819 | 1864 | 32.28% | 27.02% | 40.70% | +0.16 | 70.1 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Benevento | 1864 | 1819 | 40.70% | 27.02% | 32.28% | -0.16 | 70.1 |
| 2027-02-20 | Modena | 1797 | 1894 | 25.89% | 26.59% | 47.52% | -0.13 | 54.1 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Padova | 1894 | 1797 | 47.52% | 26.59% | 25.89% | +0.13 | 54.1 |
| 2027-02-20 | Catanzaro | 1768 | 1826 | 30.55% | 26.94% | 42.50% | +0.09 | 54.4 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Carrarese | 1826 | 1768 | 42.50% | 26.94% | 30.55% | -0.09 | 54.4 |
| 2027-02-20 | Vicenza | 1808 | 1747 | 46.90% | 26.64% | 26.46% | +0.76 | 62.8 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Cesena | 1747 | 1808 | 26.46% | 26.64% | 46.90% | -0.76 | 62.8 |
| 2027-02-20 | Arzzo | 1852 | 1751 | 51.81% | 26.07% | 22.12% | +0.99 | 55.3 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Sudtirol | 1751 | 1852 | 22.12% | 26.07% | 51.81% | -0.99 | 55.3 |
| 2027-02-20 | Virtus Entella | 1858 | 1788 | 47.97% | 26.54% | 25.49% | +0.81 | 65.4 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Hellas Verona | 1788 | 1858 | 25.49% | 26.54% | 47.97% | -0.81 | 65.4 |
| 2027-02-20 | Empoli | 1802 | 1805 | 38.32% | 27.07% | 34.61% | +0.40 | 66.1 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Juve Stabia | 1805 | 1802 | 34.61% | 27.07% | 38.32% | -0.40 | 66.1 |
| 2027-02-20 | Avellino | 1774 | 1811 | 33.40% | 27.05% | 39.55% | +0.21 | 65.0 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Sampdoria | 1811 | 1774 | 39.55% | 27.05% | 33.40% | -0.21 | 65.0 |
| 2027-02-20 | Palermo | 1855 | 1938 | 27.48% | 26.74% | 45.78% | -0.05 | 60.6 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Cremonese | 1938 | 1855 | 45.78% | 26.74% | 27.48% | +0.05 | 60.6 |
| 2027-02-27 | Cesena | 1864 | 1808 | 46.23% | 26.70% | 27.07% | +0.73 | 68.4 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Mantova | 1808 | 1864 | 27.07% | 26.70% | 46.23% | -0.73 | 68.4 |
| 2027-02-27 | Ascoli | 1805 | 1860 | 30.95% | 26.96% | 42.08% | +0.10 | 59.6 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Empoli | 1860 | 1805 | 42.08% | 26.96% | 30.95% | -0.10 | 59.6 |
| 2027-02-27 | Modena | 1802 | 1894 | 26.48% | 26.65% | 46.88% | -0.10 | 53.3 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Juve Stabia | 1894 | 1802 | 46.88% | 26.65% | 26.48% | +0.10 | 53.3 |
| 2027-02-27 | Avellino | 1747 | 1811 | 29.85% | 26.91% | 43.24% | +0.06 | 62.5 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Vicenza | 1811 | 1747 | 43.24% | 26.91% | 29.85% | -0.06 | 62.5 |
| 2027-02-27 | Hellas Verona | 1938 | 1858 | 49.28% | 26.40% | 24.32% | +0.87 | 65.8 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Palermo | 1858 | 1938 | 24.32% | 26.40% | 49.28% | -0.87 | 65.8 |
| 2027-02-27 | Benevento | 1846 | 1819 | 42.49% | 26.94% | 30.57% | +0.57 | 70.7 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Pisa | 1819 | 1846 | 30.57% | 26.94% | 42.49% | -0.57 | 70.7 |
| 2027-02-27 | Padova | 1774 | 1797 | 35.41% | 27.08% | 37.51% | +0.29 | 64.8 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Sampdoria | 1797 | 1774 | 37.51% | 27.08% | 35.41% | -0.29 | 64.8 |
| 2027-02-27 | Carrarese | 1751 | 1768 | 36.22% | 27.08% | 36.69% | +0.32 | 63.5 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Arzzo | 1768 | 1751 | 36.69% | 27.08% | 36.22% | -0.32 | 63.5 |
| 2027-02-27 | Sudtirol | 1826 | 1852 | 35.05% | 27.08% | 37.87% | +0.27 | 69.2 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Catanzaro | 1852 | 1826 | 37.87% | 27.08% | 35.05% | -0.27 | 69.2 |
| 2027-02-27 | Cremonese | 1788 | 1855 | 29.59% | 26.89% | 43.52% | +0.05 | 58.9 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Virtus Entella | 1855 | 1788 | 43.52% | 26.89% | 29.59% | -0.05 | 58.9 |
| 2027-03-02 | Arzzo | 1860 | 1751 | 52.78% | 25.93% | 21.30% | +1.04 | 52.5 |
| 2027-03-02 | @ Ascoli | 1751 | 1860 | 21.30% | 25.93% | 52.78% | -1.04 | 52.5 |
| 2027-03-02 | Juve Stabia | 1819 | 1802 | 40.98% | 27.01% | 32.02% | +0.51 | 66.3 |
| 2027-03-02 | @ Benevento | 1802 | 1819 | 32.02% | 27.01% | 40.98% | -0.51 | 66.3 |
| 2027-03-02 | Mantova | 1797 | 1864 | 29.48% | 26.88% | 43.63% | +0.04 | 63.7 |
| 2027-03-02 | @ Padova | 1864 | 1797 | 43.63% | 26.88% | 29.48% | -0.04 | 63.7 |
| 2027-03-02 | Palermo | 1768 | 1938 | 18.64% | 25.35% | 56.02% | -0.54 | 46.7 |
| 2027-03-02 | @ Carrarese | 1938 | 1768 | 56.02% | 25.35% | 18.64% | +0.54 | 46.7 |
| 2027-03-02 | Virtus Entella | 1808 | 1788 | 41.46% | 26.99% | 31.56% | +0.53 | 71.7 |
| 2027-03-02 | @ Cesena | 1788 | 1808 | 31.56% | 26.99% | 41.46% | -0.53 | 71.7 |
| 2027-03-02 | Pisa | 1894 | 1846 | 45.22% | 26.78% | 28.00% | +0.69 | 68.3 |
| 2027-03-02 | @ Modena | 1846 | 1894 | 28.00% | 26.78% | 45.22% | -0.69 | 68.3 |
| 2027-03-02 | Vicenza | 1852 | 1747 | 52.18% | 26.02% | 21.80% | +1.01 | 56.5 |
| 2027-03-02 | @ Sudtirol | 1747 | 1852 | 21.80% | 26.02% | 52.18% | -1.01 | 56.5 |
| 2027-03-02 | Empoli | 1858 | 1805 | 45.89% | 26.73% | 27.38% | +0.72 | 64.7 |
| 2027-03-02 | @ Hellas Verona | 1805 | 1858 | 27.38% | 26.73% | 45.89% | -0.72 | 64.7 |
| 2027-03-02 | Catanzaro | 1811 | 1826 | 36.54% | 27.08% | 36.38% | +0.33 | 69.4 |
| 2027-03-02 | @ Avellino | 1826 | 1811 | 36.38% | 27.08% | 36.54% | -0.33 | 69.4 |
| 2027-03-02 | Sampdoria | 1855 | 1774 | 49.32% | 26.40% | 24.29% | +0.87 | 52.5 |
| 2027-03-02 | @ Cremonese | 1774 | 1855 | 24.29% | 26.40% | 49.32% | -0.87 | 52.5 |
| 2027-03-06 | Sudtirol | 1864 | 1852 | 40.40% | 27.03% | 32.58% | +0.49 | 78.5 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Mantova | 1852 | 1864 | 32.58% | 27.03% | 40.40% | -0.49 | 78.5 |
| 2027-03-06 | Benevento | 1797 | 1819 | 35.60% | 27.08% | 37.32% | +0.30 | 67.0 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Padova | 1819 | 1797 | 37.32% | 27.08% | 35.60% | -0.30 | 67.0 |
| 2027-03-06 | Carrarese | 1805 | 1768 | 43.75% | 26.88% | 29.37% | +0.63 | 58.2 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Empoli | 1768 | 1805 | 29.37% | 26.88% | 43.75% | -0.63 | 58.2 |
| 2027-03-06 | Modena | 1938 | 1894 | 44.68% | 26.82% | 28.50% | +0.67 | 71.7 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Palermo | 1894 | 1938 | 28.50% | 26.82% | 44.68% | -0.67 | 71.7 |
| 2027-03-06 | Vicenza | 1846 | 1747 | 51.51% | 26.12% | 22.37% | +0.97 | 57.3 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Pisa | 1747 | 1846 | 22.37% | 26.12% | 51.51% | -0.97 | 57.3 |
| 2027-03-06 | Cesena | 1774 | 1808 | 33.84% | 27.06% | 39.10% | +0.23 | 65.6 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Sampdoria | 1808 | 1774 | 39.10% | 27.06% | 33.84% | -0.23 | 65.6 |
| 2027-03-06 | Juve Stabia | 1751 | 1802 | 31.48% | 26.99% | 41.53% | +0.13 | 58.8 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Arzzo | 1802 | 1751 | 41.53% | 26.99% | 31.48% | -0.13 | 58.8 |
| 2027-03-06 | Hellas Verona | 1811 | 1858 | 32.17% | 27.01% | 40.82% | +0.16 | 70.8 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Avellino | 1858 | 1811 | 40.82% | 27.01% | 32.17% | -0.16 | 70.8 |
| 2027-03-06 | Cremonese | 1826 | 1855 | 34.67% | 27.07% | 38.26% | +0.26 | 64.0 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Catanzaro | 1855 | 1826 | 38.26% | 27.07% | 34.67% | -0.26 | 64.0 |
| 2027-03-06 | Ascoli | 1788 | 1860 | 28.88% | 26.84% | 44.27% | +0.01 | 61.1 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Virtus Entella | 1860 | 1788 | 44.27% | 26.84% | 28.88% | -0.01 | 61.1 |
| 2027-03-13 | Virtus Entella | 1819 | 1788 | 42.85% | 26.93% | 30.22% | +0.59 | 68.4 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Benevento | 1788 | 1819 | 30.22% | 26.93% | 42.85% | -0.59 | 68.4 |
| 2027-03-13 | Sudtirol | 1768 | 1852 | 27.40% | 26.73% | 45.87% | -0.06 | 52.3 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Carrarese | 1852 | 1768 | 45.87% | 26.73% | 27.40% | +0.06 | 52.3 |
| 2027-03-13 | Padova | 1808 | 1797 | 40.26% | 27.03% | 32.71% | +0.48 | 69.8 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Cesena | 1797 | 1808 | 32.71% | 27.03% | 40.26% | -0.48 | 69.8 |
| 2027-03-13 | Avellino | 1805 | 1811 | 37.71% | 27.08% | 35.21% | +0.38 | 69.0 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Empoli | 1811 | 1805 | 35.21% | 27.08% | 37.71% | -0.38 | 69.0 |
| 2027-03-13 | Ascoli | 1894 | 1860 | 43.34% | 26.90% | 29.76% | +0.61 | 69.8 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Modena | 1860 | 1894 | 29.76% | 26.90% | 43.34% | -0.61 | 69.8 |
| 2027-03-13 | Sampdoria | 1858 | 1774 | 49.71% | 26.35% | 23.94% | +0.89 | 59.9 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Hellas Verona | 1774 | 1858 | 23.94% | 26.35% | 49.71% | -0.89 | 59.9 |
| 2027-03-13 | Palermo | 1802 | 1938 | 21.78% | 26.01% | 52.21% | -0.35 | 52.3 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Juve Stabia | 1938 | 1802 | 52.21% | 26.01% | 21.78% | +0.35 | 52.3 |
| 2027-03-13 | Arzzo | 1747 | 1751 | 38.22% | 27.07% | 34.71% | +0.40 | 72.6 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Vicenza | 1751 | 1747 | 34.71% | 27.07% | 38.22% | -0.40 | 72.6 |
| 2027-03-13 | Pisa | 1826 | 1846 | 35.87% | 27.08% | 37.04% | +0.31 | 70.3 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Catanzaro | 1846 | 1826 | 37.04% | 27.08% | 35.87% | -0.31 | 70.3 |
| 2027-03-13 | Mantova | 1855 | 1864 | 37.32% | 27.08% | 35.60% | +0.36 | 75.3 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Cremonese | 1864 | 1855 | 35.60% | 27.08% | 37.32% | -0.36 | 75.3 |
| 2027-03-20 | Juve Stabia | 1864 | 1802 | 47.02% | 26.63% | 26.34% | +0.77 | 62.7 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Mantova | 1802 | 1864 | 26.34% | 26.63% | 47.02% | -0.77 | 62.7 |
| 2027-03-20 | Cremonese | 1860 | 1855 | 39.48% | 27.05% | 33.47% | +0.45 | 70.9 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Ascoli | 1855 | 1860 | 33.47% | 27.05% | 39.48% | -0.45 | 70.9 |
| 2027-03-20 | Palermo | 1797 | 1938 | 21.28% | 25.92% | 52.79% | -0.38 | 53.5 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Padova | 1938 | 1797 | 52.79% | 25.92% | 21.28% | +0.38 | 53.5 |
| 2027-03-20 | Cesena | 1768 | 1808 | 32.96% | 27.04% | 40.01% | +0.19 | 60.1 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Carrarese | 1808 | 1768 | 40.01% | 27.04% | 32.96% | -0.19 | 60.1 |
| 2027-03-20 | Pisa | 1852 | 1846 | 39.49% | 27.05% | 33.46% | +0.45 | 77.3 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Sudtirol | 1846 | 1852 | 33.46% | 27.05% | 39.49% | -0.45 | 77.3 |
| 2027-03-20 | Hellas Verona | 1747 | 1858 | 24.39% | 26.41% | 49.20% | -0.20 | 59.0 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Vicenza | 1858 | 1747 | 49.20% | 26.41% | 24.39% | +0.20 | 59.0 |
| 2027-03-20 | Empoli | 1774 | 1805 | 34.35% | 27.07% | 38.59% | +0.25 | 62.2 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Sampdoria | 1805 | 1774 | 38.59% | 27.07% | 34.35% | -0.25 | 62.2 |
| 2027-03-20 | Modena | 1751 | 1894 | 21.04% | 25.88% | 53.09% | -0.39 | 50.7 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Arzzo | 1894 | 1751 | 53.09% | 25.88% | 21.04% | +0.39 | 50.7 |
| 2027-03-20 | Benevento | 1811 | 1819 | 37.67% | 27.08% | 35.25% | +0.38 | 72.7 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Avellino | 1819 | 1811 | 35.25% | 27.08% | 37.67% | -0.38 | 72.7 |
| 2027-03-20 | Catanzaro | 1788 | 1826 | 33.30% | 27.05% | 39.66% | +0.20 | 64.9 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Virtus Entella | 1826 | 1788 | 39.66% | 27.05% | 33.30% | -0.20 | 64.9 |
| 2027-04-03 | Ascoli | 1819 | 1860 | 32.80% | 27.03% | 40.17% | +0.18 | 66.3 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Benevento | 1860 | 1819 | 40.17% | 27.03% | 32.80% | -0.18 | 66.3 |
| 2027-04-03 | Sudtirol | 1808 | 1852 | 32.55% | 27.02% | 40.42% | +0.17 | 68.8 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Cesena | 1852 | 1808 | 40.42% | 27.02% | 32.55% | -0.17 | 68.8 |
| 2027-04-03 | Padova | 1805 | 1797 | 39.75% | 27.04% | 33.21% | +0.46 | 66.2 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Empoli | 1797 | 1805 | 33.21% | 27.04% | 39.75% | -0.46 | 66.2 |
| 2027-04-03 | Sampdoria | 1894 | 1774 | 53.92% | 25.74% | 20.34% | +1.09 | 50.5 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Modena | 1774 | 1894 | 20.34% | 25.74% | 53.92% | -1.09 | 50.5 |
| 2027-04-03 | Mantova | 1858 | 1864 | 37.79% | 27.08% | 35.14% | +0.38 | 80.9 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Hellas Verona | 1864 | 1858 | 35.14% | 27.08% | 37.79% | -0.38 | 80.9 |
| 2027-04-03 | Virtus Entella | 1802 | 1788 | 40.60% | 27.02% | 32.38% | +0.50 | 67.8 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Juve Stabia | 1788 | 1802 | 32.38% | 27.02% | 40.60% | -0.50 | 67.8 |
| 2027-04-03 | Avellino | 1938 | 1811 | 54.66% | 25.61% | 19.74% | +1.13 | 56.7 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Palermo | 1811 | 1938 | 19.74% | 25.61% | 54.66% | -1.13 | 56.7 |
| 2027-04-03 | Carrarese | 1846 | 1768 | 49.06% | 26.43% | 24.51% | +0.86 | 52.9 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Pisa | 1768 | 1846 | 24.51% | 26.43% | 49.06% | -0.86 | 52.9 |
| 2027-04-03 | Vicenza | 1826 | 1747 | 49.16% | 26.41% | 24.42% | +0.86 | 55.7 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Catanzaro | 1747 | 1826 | 24.42% | 26.41% | 49.16% | -0.86 | 55.7 |
| 2027-04-03 | Arzzo | 1855 | 1751 | 52.12% | 26.03% | 21.85% | +1.00 | 50.0 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Cremonese | 1751 | 1855 | 21.85% | 26.03% | 52.12% | -1.00 | 50.0 |
| 2027-04-10 | Modena | 1864 | 1894 | 34.42% | 27.07% | 38.52% | +0.25 | 74.9 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Mantova | 1894 | 1864 | 38.52% | 27.07% | 34.42% | -0.25 | 74.9 |
| 2027-04-10 | Cesena | 1860 | 1808 | 45.73% | 26.74% | 27.52% | +0.71 | 65.0 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Ascoli | 1808 | 1860 | 27.52% | 26.74% | 45.73% | -0.71 | 65.0 |
| 2027-04-10 | Juve Stabia | 1797 | 1802 | 37.96% | 27.08% | 34.97% | +0.39 | 66.7 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Padova | 1802 | 1797 | 34.97% | 27.08% | 37.96% | -0.39 | 66.7 |
| 2027-04-10 | Hellas Verona | 1768 | 1858 | 26.69% | 26.67% | 46.64% | -0.09 | 54.3 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Carrarese | 1858 | 1768 | 46.64% | 26.67% | 26.69% | +0.09 | 54.3 |
| 2027-04-10 | Empoli | 1852 | 1805 | 45.12% | 26.79% | 28.10% | +0.68 | 62.6 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Sudtirol | 1805 | 1852 | 28.10% | 26.79% | 45.12% | -0.68 | 62.6 |
| 2027-04-10 | Benevento | 1747 | 1819 | 28.96% | 26.85% | 44.19% | +0.02 | 59.8 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Vicenza | 1819 | 1747 | 44.19% | 26.85% | 28.96% | -0.02 | 59.8 |
| 2027-04-10 | Palermo | 1774 | 1938 | 19.19% | 25.48% | 55.33% | -0.50 | 52.0 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Sampdoria | 1938 | 1774 | 55.33% | 25.48% | 19.19% | +0.50 | 52.0 |
| 2027-04-10 | Catanzaro | 1751 | 1826 | 28.39% | 26.81% | 44.80% | -0.01 | 55.2 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Arzzo | 1826 | 1751 | 44.80% | 26.81% | 28.39% | +0.01 | 55.2 |
| 2027-04-10 | Cremonese | 1811 | 1855 | 32.61% | 27.03% | 40.36% | +0.18 | 63.9 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Avellino | 1855 | 1811 | 40.36% | 27.03% | 32.61% | -0.18 | 63.9 |
| 2027-04-10 | Pisa | 1788 | 1846 | 30.68% | 26.95% | 42.37% | +0.09 | 65.7 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Virtus Entella | 1846 | 1788 | 42.37% | 26.95% | 30.68% | -0.09 | 65.7 |
| 2027-04-17 | Virtus Entella | 1805 | 1788 | 40.95% | 27.01% | 32.04% | +0.51 | 67.4 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Empoli | 1788 | 1805 | 32.04% | 27.01% | 40.95% | -0.51 | 67.4 |
| 2027-04-17 | Vicenza | 1894 | 1747 | 56.82% | 25.18% | 18.00% | +1.24 | 51.5 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Modena | 1747 | 1894 | 18.00% | 25.18% | 56.82% | -1.24 | 51.5 |
| 2027-04-17 | Padova | 1858 | 1797 | 46.87% | 26.65% | 26.48% | +0.76 | 64.6 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Hellas Verona | 1797 | 1858 | 26.48% | 26.65% | 46.87% | -0.76 | 64.6 |
| 2027-04-17 | Avellino | 1802 | 1811 | 37.35% | 27.08% | 35.57% | +0.37 | 68.7 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Juve Stabia | 1811 | 1802 | 35.57% | 27.08% | 37.35% | -0.37 | 68.7 |
| 2027-04-17 | Ascoli | 1938 | 1860 | 48.99% | 26.43% | 24.58% | +0.86 | 63.9 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Palermo | 1860 | 1938 | 24.58% | 26.43% | 48.99% | -0.86 | 63.9 |
| 2027-04-17 | Cesena | 1846 | 1808 | 43.87% | 26.87% | 29.26% | +0.63 | 69.7 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Pisa | 1808 | 1846 | 29.26% | 26.87% | 43.87% | -0.63 | 69.7 |
| 2027-04-17 | Carrarese | 1774 | 1768 | 39.58% | 27.05% | 33.37% | +0.45 | 64.5 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Sampdoria | 1768 | 1774 | 33.37% | 27.05% | 39.58% | -0.45 | 64.5 |
| 2027-04-17 | Mantova | 1751 | 1864 | 24.06% | 26.37% | 49.57% | -0.22 | 57.4 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Arzzo | 1864 | 1751 | 49.57% | 26.37% | 24.06% | +0.22 | 57.4 |
| 2027-04-17 | Benevento | 1826 | 1819 | 39.78% | 27.04% | 33.17% | +0.46 | 69.2 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Catanzaro | 1819 | 1826 | 33.17% | 27.04% | 39.78% | -0.46 | 69.2 |
| 2027-04-17 | Sudtirol | 1855 | 1852 | 39.06% | 27.06% | 33.88% | +0.43 | 73.0 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Cremonese | 1852 | 1855 | 33.88% | 27.06% | 39.06% | -0.43 | 73.0 |
| 2027-04-24 | Mantova | 1860 | 1864 | 38.13% | 27.07% | 34.80% | +0.40 | 78.8 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Ascoli | 1864 | 1860 | 34.80% | 27.07% | 38.13% | -0.40 | 78.8 |
| 2027-04-24 | Carrarese | 1819 | 1768 | 45.59% | 26.75% | 27.66% | +0.70 | 56.8 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Benevento | 1768 | 1819 | 27.66% | 26.75% | 45.59% | -0.70 | 56.8 |
| 2027-04-24 | Juve Stabia | 1808 | 1802 | 39.55% | 27.05% | 33.41% | +0.45 | 69.1 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Cesena | 1802 | 1808 | 33.41% | 27.05% | 39.55% | -0.45 | 69.1 |
| 2027-04-24 | Padova | 1852 | 1797 | 46.10% | 26.71% | 27.18% | +0.73 | 62.6 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Sudtirol | 1797 | 1852 | 27.18% | 26.71% | 46.10% | -0.73 | 62.6 |
| 2027-04-24 | Empoli | 1747 | 1805 | 30.73% | 26.95% | 42.32% | +0.10 | 59.0 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Vicenza | 1805 | 1747 | 42.32% | 26.95% | 30.73% | -0.10 | 59.0 |
| 2027-04-24 | Arzzo | 1846 | 1751 | 51.13% | 26.17% | 22.70% | +0.96 | 56.2 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Pisa | 1751 | 1846 | 22.70% | 26.17% | 51.13% | -0.96 | 56.2 |
| 2027-04-24 | Modena | 1811 | 1894 | 27.58% | 26.75% | 45.68% | -0.05 | 59.9 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Avellino | 1894 | 1811 | 45.68% | 26.75% | 27.58% | +0.05 | 59.9 |
| 2027-04-24 | Sampdoria | 1826 | 1774 | 45.77% | 26.74% | 27.49% | +0.71 | 58.4 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Catanzaro | 1774 | 1826 | 27.49% | 26.74% | 45.77% | -0.71 | 58.4 |
| 2027-04-24 | Hellas Verona | 1855 | 1858 | 38.22% | 27.07% | 34.71% | +0.40 | 76.2 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Cremonese | 1858 | 1855 | 34.71% | 27.07% | 38.22% | -0.40 | 76.2 |
| 2027-04-24 | Palermo | 1788 | 1938 | 20.46% | 25.76% | 53.77% | -0.42 | 55.5 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Virtus Entella | 1938 | 1788 | 53.77% | 25.76% | 20.46% | +0.42 | 55.5 |
| 2027-05-01 | Virtus Entella | 1864 | 1788 | 48.74% | 26.46% | 24.79% | +0.84 | 64.1 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Mantova | 1788 | 1864 | 24.79% | 26.46% | 48.74% | -0.84 | 64.1 |
| 2027-05-01 | Pisa | 1797 | 1846 | 31.82% | 27.00% | 41.18% | +0.14 | 64.2 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Padova | 1846 | 1797 | 41.18% | 27.00% | 31.82% | -0.14 | 64.2 |
| 2027-05-01 | Ascoli | 1768 | 1860 | 26.41% | 26.64% | 46.95% | -0.10 | 49.7 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Carrarese | 1860 | 1768 | 46.95% | 26.64% | 26.41% | +0.10 | 49.7 |
| 2027-05-01 | Cesena | 1805 | 1808 | 38.16% | 27.07% | 34.77% | +0.40 | 69.5 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Empoli | 1808 | 1805 | 34.77% | 27.07% | 38.16% | -0.40 | 69.5 |
| 2027-05-01 | Cremonese | 1894 | 1855 | 44.10% | 26.86% | 29.05% | +0.64 | 65.2 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Modena | 1855 | 1894 | 29.05% | 26.86% | 44.10% | -0.64 | 65.2 |
| 2027-05-01 | Benevento | 1858 | 1819 | 44.07% | 26.86% | 29.07% | +0.64 | 71.2 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Hellas Verona | 1819 | 1858 | 29.07% | 26.86% | 44.07% | -0.64 | 71.2 |
| 2027-05-01 | Vicenza | 1802 | 1747 | 46.10% | 26.71% | 27.18% | +0.73 | 59.2 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Juve Stabia | 1747 | 1802 | 27.18% | 26.71% | 46.10% | -0.73 | 59.2 |
| 2027-05-01 | Catanzaro | 1938 | 1826 | 52.98% | 25.89% | 21.12% | +1.05 | 55.7 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Palermo | 1826 | 1938 | 21.12% | 25.89% | 52.98% | -1.05 | 55.7 |
| 2027-05-01 | Sudtirol | 1774 | 1852 | 28.17% | 26.79% | 45.03% | -0.02 | 58.2 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Sampdoria | 1852 | 1774 | 45.03% | 26.79% | 28.17% | +0.02 | 58.2 |
| 2027-05-01 | Avellino | 1751 | 1811 | 30.27% | 26.93% | 42.80% | +0.07 | 61.5 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Arzzo | 1811 | 1751 | 42.80% | 26.93% | 30.27% | -0.07 | 61.5 |
| 2027-05-08 | Hellas Verona | 1860 | 1858 | 39.02% | 27.06% | 33.92% | +0.43 | 79.0 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Ascoli | 1858 | 1860 | 33.92% | 27.06% | 39.02% | -0.43 | 79.0 |
| 2027-05-08 | Palermo | 1819 | 1938 | 23.44% | 26.28% | 50.27% | -0.25 | 57.2 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Benevento | 1938 | 1819 | 50.27% | 26.28% | 23.44% | +0.25 | 57.2 |
| 2027-05-08 | Arzzo | 1808 | 1751 | 46.48% | 26.68% | 26.84% | +0.74 | 61.8 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Cesena | 1751 | 1808 | 26.84% | 26.68% | 46.48% | -0.74 | 61.8 |
| 2027-05-08 | Juve Stabia | 1852 | 1802 | 45.45% | 26.76% | 27.79% | +0.70 | 62.1 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Sudtirol | 1802 | 1852 | 27.79% | 26.76% | 45.45% | -0.70 | 62.1 |
| 2027-05-08 | Sampdoria | 1747 | 1774 | 34.85% | 27.07% | 38.08% | +0.27 | 66.9 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Vicenza | 1774 | 1747 | 38.08% | 27.07% | 34.85% | -0.27 | 66.9 |
| 2027-05-08 | Mantova | 1846 | 1864 | 36.10% | 27.08% | 36.82% | +0.32 | 77.6 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Pisa | 1864 | 1846 | 36.82% | 27.08% | 36.10% | -0.32 | 77.6 |
| 2027-05-08 | Carrarese | 1811 | 1768 | 44.66% | 26.82% | 28.52% | +0.66 | 59.1 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Avellino | 1768 | 1811 | 28.52% | 26.82% | 44.66% | -0.66 | 59.1 |
| 2027-05-08 | Modena | 1826 | 1894 | 29.42% | 26.88% | 43.71% | +0.04 | 59.5 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Catanzaro | 1894 | 1826 | 43.71% | 26.88% | 29.42% | -0.04 | 59.5 |
| 2027-05-08 | Empoli | 1855 | 1805 | 45.47% | 26.76% | 27.77% | +0.70 | 57.8 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Cremonese | 1805 | 1855 | 27.77% | 26.76% | 45.47% | -0.70 | 57.8 |
| 2027-05-08 | Padova | 1788 | 1797 | 37.44% | 27.08% | 35.48% | +0.37 | 70.3 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Virtus Entella | 1797 | 1788 | 35.48% | 27.08% | 37.44% | -0.37 | 70.3 |
| 2027-05-14 | Vicenza | 1864 | 1747 | 53.58% | 25.80% | 20.62% | +1.08 | 57.6 |
| 2027-05-14 | @ Mantova | 1747 | 1864 | 20.62% | 25.80% | 53.58% | -1.08 | 57.6 |
| 2027-05-14 | Avellino | 1797 | 1811 | 36.62% | 27.08% | 36.30% | +0.34 | 69.4 |
| 2027-05-14 | @ Padova | 1811 | 1797 | 36.30% | 27.08% | 36.62% | -0.34 | 69.4 |
| 2027-05-14 | Cremonese | 1768 | 1855 | 27.07% | 26.70% | 46.23% | -0.07 | 48.9 |
| 2027-05-14 | @ Carrarese | 1855 | 1768 | 46.23% | 26.70% | 27.07% | +0.07 | 48.9 |
| 2027-05-14 | Catanzaro | 1805 | 1826 | 35.56% | 27.08% | 37.36% | +0.30 | 63.9 |
| 2027-05-14 | @ Empoli | 1826 | 1805 | 37.36% | 27.08% | 35.56% | -0.30 | 63.9 |
| 2027-05-14 | Benevento | 1894 | 1819 | 48.71% | 26.46% | 24.82% | +0.84 | 59.5 |
| 2027-05-14 | @ Modena | 1819 | 1894 | 24.82% | 26.46% | 48.71% | -0.84 | 59.5 |
| 2027-05-14 | Sudtirol | 1858 | 1852 | 39.52% | 27.05% | 33.43% | +0.45 | 79.5 |
| 2027-05-14 | @ Hellas Verona | 1852 | 1858 | 33.43% | 27.05% | 39.52% | -0.45 | 79.5 |
| 2027-05-14 | Ascoli | 1802 | 1860 | 30.63% | 26.95% | 42.43% | +0.09 | 59.0 |
| 2027-05-14 | @ Juve Stabia | 1860 | 1802 | 42.43% | 26.95% | 30.63% | -0.09 | 59.0 |
| 2027-05-14 | Cesena | 1938 | 1808 | 55.00% | 25.54% | 19.46% | +1.15 | 56.4 |
| 2027-05-14 | @ Palermo | 1808 | 1938 | 19.46% | 25.54% | 55.00% | -1.15 | 56.4 |
| 2027-05-14 | Pisa | 1774 | 1846 | 28.88% | 26.84% | 44.27% | +0.01 | 59.4 |
| 2027-05-14 | @ Sampdoria | 1846 | 1774 | 44.27% | 26.84% | 28.88% | -0.01 | 59.4 |
| 2027-05-14 | Virtus Entella | 1751 | 1788 | 33.33% | 27.05% | 39.62% | +0.20 | 66.5 |
| 2027-05-14 | @ Arzzo | 1788 | 1751 | 39.62% | 27.05% | 33.33% | -0.20 | 66.5 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2026-09-11 | 18.51% | Virtus Entella | 1746 | 4 | @ Pisa | 1886 | 1 |
| 2 | 2026-09-06 | 24.74% | Avellino | 1813 | 1 | @ Modena | 1889 | 0 |
| 3 | 2026-08-21 | 24.77% | @ Vicenza | 1774 | 3 | Catanzaro | 1881 | 2 |
| 4 | 2026-09-11 | 25.69% | Arzzo | 1761 | 1 | @ Empoli | 1829 | 0 |
| 5 | 2026-08-23 | 26.22% | Padova | 1792 | 1 | @ Pisa | 1855 | 0 |
| 6 | 2026-09-11 | 26.39% | @ Benevento | 1782 | 3 | Hellas Verona | 1874 | 1 |
| 7 | 2026-09-19 | 27.89% | @ Sampdoria | 1760 | 2 | Catanzaro | 1840 | 1 |
| 8 | 2026-08-22 | 29.14% | @ Empoli | 1822 | 1 | Cremonese | 1892 | 0 |
| 9 | 2026-09-12 | 29.65% | @ Padova | 1790 | 1 | Ascoli | 1856 | 0 |
| 10 | 2026-08-28 | 30.72% | Modena | 1851 | 3 | @ Cremonese | 1877 | 0 |
| 11 | 2026-09-05 | 32.66% | @ Sudtirol | 1812 | 2 | Catanzaro | 1855 | 0 |
| 12 | 2026-08-23 | 34.01% | Ascoli | 1835 | 2 | @ Hellas Verona | 1836 | 1 |
| 13 | 2026-08-22 | 34.42% | Mantova | 1815 | 2 | @ Carrarese | 1814 | 1 |
| 14 | 2026-08-30 | 34.83% | @ Pisa | 1840 | 2 | Catanzaro | 1867 | 1 |
| 15 | 2026-09-05 | 36.17% | Empoli | 1816 | 1 | @ Carrarese | 1803 | 0 |
| 16 | 2026-09-06 | 36.43% | Pisa | 1852 | 3 | @ Juve Stabia | 1837 | 0 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-09-06 | 50.46 | @ Hellas Verona | 5 | 1824 | 40.42% | Arzzo | 0 | 1812 | 32.55% | 27.02% |
| 2 | 2026-09-11 | 40.85 | Virtus Entella | 4 | 1746 | 18.51% | @ Pisa | 1 | 1886 | 56.17% | 25.31% |
| 3 | 2026-08-28 | 38.17 | Modena | 3 | 1851 | 30.72% | @ Cremonese | 0 | 1877 | 42.33% | 26.95% |
| 4 | 2026-09-06 | 34.09 | Pisa | 3 | 1852 | 36.43% | @ Juve Stabia | 0 | 1837 | 36.49% | 27.08% |
| 5 | 2026-08-29 | 33.39 | @ Avellino | 3 | 1780 | 37.46% | Vicenza | 0 | 1788 | 35.46% | 27.08% |
| 6 | 2026-09-20 | 25.94 | Sudtirol | 4 | 1826 | 41.24% | @ Arzzo | 1 | 1776 | 31.76% | 27.00% |
| 7 | 2026-09-05 | 25.30 | @ Sudtirol | 2 | 1812 | 32.66% | Catanzaro | 0 | 1855 | 40.32% | 27.03% |
| 8 | 2026-09-11 | 24.76 | @ Benevento | 3 | 1782 | 26.39% | Hellas Verona | 1 | 1874 | 46.97% | 26.64% |
| 9 | 2026-08-30 | 19.94 | @ Mantova | 3 | 1827 | 37.39% | Empoli | 1 | 1836 | 35.53% | 27.08% |
| 10 | 2026-09-19 | 18.75 | @ Ascoli | 3 | 1842 | 40.26% | Avellino | 1 | 1830 | 32.71% | 27.03% |
| 11 | 2026-09-13 | 17.90 | @ Mantova | 2 | 1847 | 47.85% | Sampdoria | 0 | 1778 | 25.60% | 26.55% |
| 12 | 2026-09-06 | 17.58 | @ Cremonese | 3 | 1839 | 43.05% | Padova | 1 | 1808 | 30.04% | 26.92% |
| 13 | 2026-09-06 | 15.66 | Avellino | 1 | 1813 | 24.74% | @ Modena | 0 | 1889 | 48.80% | 26.45% |
| 14 | 2026-09-11 | 15.38 | Arzzo | 1 | 1761 | 25.69% | @ Empoli | 0 | 1829 | 47.75% | 26.56% |
| 15 | 2026-08-23 | 15.21 | Padova | 1 | 1792 | 26.22% | @ Pisa | 0 | 1855 | 47.16% | 26.62% |
| 16 | 2026-08-22 | 14.37 | @ Empoli | 1 | 1822 | 29.14% | Cremonese | 0 | 1892 | 44.00% | 26.86% |
| 17 | 2026-09-12 | 14.23 | @ Padova | 1 | 1790 | 29.65% | Ascoli | 0 | 1856 | 43.45% | 26.89% |
| 18 | 2026-08-21 | 14.00 | @ Vicenza | 3 | 1774 | 24.77% | Catanzaro | 2 | 1881 | 48.78% | 26.46% |
| 19 | 2026-09-19 | 13.89 | @ Sampdoria | 2 | 1760 | 27.89% | Catanzaro | 1 | 1840 | 45.34% | 26.77% |
| 20 | 2026-09-05 | 12.52 | Empoli | 1 | 1816 | 36.17% | @ Carrarese | 0 | 1803 | 36.74% | 27.08% |
| 21 | 2026-08-23 | 12.32 | Ascoli | 2 | 1835 | 34.01% | @ Hellas Verona | 1 | 1836 | 38.93% | 27.06% |
| 22 | 2026-09-07 | 12.28 | @ Palermo | 3 | 1920 | 55.00% | Sampdoria | 1 | 1790 | 19.46% | 25.54% |
| 23 | 2026-08-22 | 12.22 | Mantova | 2 | 1815 | 34.42% | @ Carrarese | 1 | 1814 | 38.52% | 27.07% |
| 24 | 2026-08-30 | 12.12 | @ Pisa | 2 | 1840 | 34.83% | Catanzaro | 1 | 1867 | 38.10% | 27.07% |
| 25 | 2026-09-19 | 12.04 | Benevento | 1 | 1807 | 38.06% | @ Carrarese | 0 | 1780 | 34.86% | 27.07% |
Most & Least Exciting Games
The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Excitement | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-09-20 | 79.3 | @ Mantova | 2 | 1865 | 41.33% | Pisa | 2 | 1846 | 31.68% | 26.99% |
| 2 | 2026-09-12 | 79.2 | @ Cesena | 2 | 1808 | 31.81% | Cremonese | 2 | 1857 | 41.19% | 27.00% |
| 3 | 2026-09-06 | 78.9 | @ Virtus Entella | 2 | 1746 | 37.42% | Vicenza | 2 | 1755 | 35.50% | 27.08% |
| 4 | 2026-08-21 | 75.9 | @ Vicenza | 3 | 1774 | 24.77% | Catanzaro | 2 | 1881 | 48.78% | 26.46% |
| 5 | 2026-09-13 | 72.4 | @ Avellino | 1 | 1829 | 25.13% | Palermo | 1 | 1932 | 48.37% | 26.50% |
| 6 | 2026-08-29 | 72.3 | @ Ascoli | 1 | 1847 | 44.85% | Carrarese | 1 | 1802 | 28.34% | 26.81% |
| 7 | 2026-08-29 | 72.2 | @ Padova | 1 | 1808 | 36.32% | Hellas Verona | 1 | 1824 | 36.59% | 27.08% |
| 8 | 2026-09-06 | 72.2 | @ Cesena | 1 | 1807 | 33.04% | Mantova | 1 | 1847 | 39.92% | 27.04% |
| 9 | 2026-08-23 | 72.1 | @ Cesena | 1 | 1796 | 37.93% | Sampdoria | 1 | 1802 | 34.99% | 27.08% |
| 10 | 2026-08-30 | 72.1 | @ Benevento | 1 | 1792 | 35.71% | Sudtirol | 1 | 1812 | 37.21% | 27.08% |
| 11 | 2026-09-18 | 72.1 | @ Juve Stabia | 1 | 1802 | 37.85% | Cesena | 1 | 1808 | 35.07% | 27.08% |
| 12 | 2026-09-12 | 72.0 | @ Vicenza | 1 | 1755 | 31.95% | Juve Stabia | 1 | 1803 | 41.05% | 27.00% |
| 13 | 2026-08-30 | 69.3 | Palermo | 3 | 1911 | 46.77% | @ Arzzo | 2 | 1820 | 26.58% | 26.66% |
| 14 | 2026-09-19 | 69.2 | @ Sampdoria | 2 | 1760 | 27.89% | Catanzaro | 1 | 1840 | 45.34% | 26.77% |
| 15 | 2026-08-23 | 67.4 | Ascoli | 2 | 1835 | 34.01% | @ Hellas Verona | 1 | 1836 | 38.93% | 27.06% |
| 16 | 2026-08-22 | 67.3 | Mantova | 2 | 1815 | 34.42% | @ Carrarese | 1 | 1814 | 38.52% | 27.07% |
| 17 | 2026-08-30 | 67.2 | @ Pisa | 2 | 1840 | 34.83% | Catanzaro | 1 | 1867 | 38.10% | 27.07% |
| 18 | 2026-09-19 | 67.1 | @ Cremonese | 0 | 1856 | 47.99% | Virtus Entella | 0 | 1787 | 25.47% | 26.54% |
| 19 | 2026-08-22 | 66.5 | Arzzo | 2 | 1809 | 36.72% | @ Avellino | 1 | 1791 | 36.19% | 27.08% |
| 20 | 2026-08-29 | 66.3 | Juve Stabia | 2 | 1826 | 37.61% | @ Sampdoria | 1 | 1802 | 35.31% | 27.08% |
| 21 | 2026-09-11 | 66.1 | @ Benevento | 3 | 1782 | 26.39% | Hellas Verona | 1 | 1874 | 46.97% | 26.64% |
| 22 | 2026-09-11 | 65.9 | Virtus Entella | 4 | 1746 | 18.51% | @ Pisa | 1 | 1886 | 56.17% | 25.31% |
| 23 | 2026-08-29 | 65.5 | Cesena | 2 | 1796 | 39.86% | @ Virtus Entella | 1 | 1757 | 33.10% | 27.04% |
| 24 | 2026-09-06 | 63.4 | Avellino | 1 | 1813 | 24.74% | @ Modena | 0 | 1889 | 48.80% | 26.45% |
| 25 | 2026-09-20 | 63.2 | @ Modena | 2 | 1885 | 48.25% | Empoli | 1 | 1813 | 25.24% | 26.51% |
| # | Date | Excitement | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-09-13 | 52.6 | @ Mantova | 2 | 1847 | 47.85% | Sampdoria | 0 | 1778 | 25.60% | 26.55% |
| 2 | 2026-08-29 | 54.4 | @ Avellino | 3 | 1780 | 37.46% | Vicenza | 0 | 1788 | 35.46% | 27.08% |
| 3 | 2026-09-06 | 54.9 | Pisa | 3 | 1852 | 36.43% | @ Juve Stabia | 0 | 1837 | 36.49% | 27.08% |
| 4 | 2026-09-06 | 55.6 | @ Hellas Verona | 5 | 1824 | 40.42% | Arzzo | 0 | 1812 | 32.55% | 27.02% |
| 5 | 2026-08-23 | 56.6 | @ Palermo | 1 | 1902 | 47.63% | Juve Stabia | 0 | 1835 | 25.80% | 26.58% |
| 6 | 2026-08-28 | 56.6 | Modena | 3 | 1851 | 30.72% | @ Cremonese | 0 | 1877 | 42.33% | 26.95% |
| 7 | 2026-09-05 | 57.0 | @ Ascoli | 1 | 1846 | 46.00% | Benevento | 0 | 1792 | 27.28% | 26.72% |
| 8 | 2026-09-05 | 57.2 | @ Sudtirol | 2 | 1812 | 32.66% | Catanzaro | 0 | 1855 | 40.32% | 27.03% |
| 9 | 2026-09-12 | 57.5 | @ Catanzaro | 1 | 1830 | 44.11% | Carrarese | 0 | 1790 | 29.04% | 26.85% |
| 10 | 2026-08-22 | 57.6 | @ Sudtirol | 1 | 1802 | 43.41% | Virtus Entella | 0 | 1767 | 29.70% | 26.90% |
| 11 | 2026-09-07 | 57.6 | @ Palermo | 3 | 1920 | 55.00% | Sampdoria | 1 | 1790 | 19.46% | 25.54% |
| 12 | 2026-09-12 | 59.0 | Modena | 1 | 1874 | 39.35% | @ Sudtirol | 0 | 1838 | 33.60% | 27.05% |
| 13 | 2026-09-20 | 59.0 | Sudtirol | 4 | 1826 | 41.24% | @ Arzzo | 1 | 1776 | 31.76% | 27.00% |
| 14 | 2026-09-19 | 59.3 | Benevento | 1 | 1807 | 38.06% | @ Carrarese | 0 | 1780 | 34.86% | 27.07% |
| 15 | 2026-09-05 | 59.9 | Empoli | 1 | 1816 | 36.17% | @ Carrarese | 0 | 1803 | 36.74% | 27.08% |
| 16 | 2026-09-06 | 61.1 | @ Cremonese | 3 | 1839 | 43.05% | Padova | 1 | 1808 | 30.04% | 26.92% |
| 17 | 2026-09-19 | 61.3 | @ Palermo | 2 | 1931 | 54.66% | Padova | 1 | 1804 | 19.73% | 25.61% |
| 18 | 2026-09-12 | 61.9 | @ Padova | 1 | 1790 | 29.65% | Ascoli | 0 | 1856 | 43.45% | 26.89% |
| 19 | 2026-09-19 | 62.0 | @ Ascoli | 3 | 1842 | 40.26% | Avellino | 1 | 1830 | 32.71% | 27.03% |
| 20 | 2026-08-22 | 62.1 | @ Empoli | 1 | 1822 | 29.14% | Cremonese | 0 | 1892 | 44.00% | 26.86% |
| 21 | 2026-09-20 | 62.3 | @ Hellas Verona | 2 | 1850 | 50.98% | Vicenza | 1 | 1755 | 22.83% | 26.19% |
| 22 | 2026-08-30 | 62.8 | @ Mantova | 3 | 1827 | 37.39% | Empoli | 1 | 1836 | 35.53% | 27.08% |
| 23 | 2026-08-23 | 62.9 | Padova | 1 | 1792 | 26.22% | @ Pisa | 0 | 1855 | 47.16% | 26.62% |
| 24 | 2026-09-11 | 63.0 | Arzzo | 1 | 1761 | 25.69% | @ Empoli | 0 | 1829 | 47.75% | 26.56% |
| 25 | 2026-09-20 | 63.2 | @ Modena | 2 | 1885 | 48.25% | Empoli | 1 | 1813 | 25.24% | 26.51% |