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1998 Kazakhstan Top Division Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Yelimay Semey

63 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Yelimay Semey

10.11 points above expected

63 points · 52.89 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Akzhayik

13.14 points below expected

3 points · 16.14 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Yelimay Semey 26 20 3 3 63 60 20 +40 52.89 +10.11
2 Batyr 26 18 5 3 59 50 17 +33 54.01 +4.99
3 Irtysh 26 17 6 3 57 44 15 +29 53.46 +3.54
4 Kaisar 26 16 5 5 53 39 17 +22 46.35 +6.65
5 Vostok 26 17 1 8 52 49 25 +24 45.79 +6.21
6 Astana 26 15 6 5 51 45 22 +23 44.68 +6.32
7 CSKA Almaty 26 13 4 9 43 42 32 +10 47.49 -4.49
8 Khimik 26 7 8 11 29 22 30 -8 22.97 +6.03
9 Shakter Karagandy 26 8 4 14 28 29 32 -3 36.29 -8.29
10 Taraz 26 7 6 13 27 33 35 -2 34.11 -7.11
11 Zhiger 26 6 4 16 22 31 49 -18 24.33 -2.33
12 Nasha Kampaniya 26 3 6 17 15 15 50 -35 21.50 -6.50
13 Bulat 26 3 3 20 12 10 66 -56 13.64 -1.64
14 Akzhayik 26 0 3 23 3 11 70 -59 16.14 -13.14

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Yelimay Semey 63 52.89 +10.11
2 Kaisar 53 46.35 +6.65
3 Astana 51 44.68 +6.32
4 Vostok 52 45.79 +6.21
5 Khimik 29 22.97 +6.03

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Akzhayik 3 16.14 -13.14
2 Shakter Karagandy 28 36.29 -8.29
3 Taraz 27 34.11 -7.11
4 Nasha Kampaniya 15 21.50 -6.50
5 CSKA Almaty 43 47.49 -4.49

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kaisar 9 Aug 15 – Oct 14 1 in 94
2 Yelimay Semey 8 Jul 20 – Aug 29 1 in 28
3 Irtysh 7 Apr 21 – Jun 2 1 in 19
4 Bulat 1 Jun 15 – Jun 15 1 in 15
5 Batyr 4 Jun 2 – Jun 26 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shakter Karagandy 7 Jun 29 – Aug 18 1 in 55
2 Akzhayik 12 Jun 29 – Oct 1 1 in 41
3 Nasha Kampaniya 8 May 2 – Jun 18 1 in 41
4 Zhiger 8 Apr 21 – Jun 5 1 in 37
5 Taraz 6 Sep 22 – Oct 17 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Astana 9 Apr 21 – Jun 15 1 in 30
2 Batyr 13 Apr 21 – Jul 23 1 in 28
3 Bulat 2 May 18 – Jun 2 1 in 23
4 Khimik 7 Sep 9 – Oct 17 1 in 20
5 Kaisar 11 Aug 15 – Oct 31 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Akzhayik 26 Apr 21 – Oct 31 1 in 168
2 Nasha Kampaniya 14 May 2 – Aug 7 1 in 35
3 Irtysh 4 Jun 5 – Jun 29 1 in 34
4 Taraz 9 Apr 21 – Jun 15 1 in 26
5 Shakter Karagandy 8 Jun 26 – Aug 18 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Yelimay Semey 783 63 -69 12 12.7 -0.7
Batyr 657 59 -32 12 11.8 +0.2
Irtysh 773 57 +41 13 11.8 +1.2
Vostok 596 52 +52 12 10.6 +1.4
Astana 673 51 +101 12 10.7 +1.3
Kaisar 806 50 +182 13 7.8 +5.2
CSKA Almaty 364 40 -260 4 8.5 -4.5
Khimik 481 29 +220 11 8.4 +2.6
Shakter Karagandy 178 28 -44 3 4.1 -1.1
Taraz 247 27 -144 0 2.1 -2.1
Zhiger 224 22 -63 1 2.4 -1.4
Nasha Kampaniya 144 15 +62 4 3.4 +0.6
Bulat -151 12 +8 1 1.0 -0.0
Akzhayik -250 3 +4 1 1.0 +0.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AKZ AST BAT BUL CA IRT KAI KHI NK SK TAR VOS YS ZHI
Akzhayik —
0-0-2
0.87
0-0-2
2.28
0-0-2
2.28
0-0-2
1.06
0-0-2
1.11
0-0-2
0.66
0-2-0
2.09
0-1-1
1.77
0-0-2
1.25
0-0-2
0.74
0-0-2
0.45
0-0-2
0.41
0-0-2
1.68
Astana
2-0-0
4.79
 —
0-1-1
1.28
1-1-0
5.08
1-1-0
2.85
0-1-1
2.11
1-0-1
3.14
1-1-0
4.76
2-0-0
4.82
2-0-0
3.40
1-1-0
4.30
2-0-0
2.30
0-0-2
1.69
2-0-0
4.74
Batyr
2-0-0
3.39
1-1-0
4.34
 —
1-1-0
5.21
1-0-1
4.60
1-1-0
3.10
0-1-1
3.44
2-0-0
5.11
2-0-0
4.62
2-0-0
4.52
2-0-0
4.66
1-0-1
4.33
1-1-0
2.19
2-0-0
4.89
Bulat
2-0-0
3.34
0-1-1
0.57
0-1-1
0.46
 —
1-0-1
0.57
0-0-2
0.43
0-0-2
0.56
0-0-2
1.37
0-1-1
1.13
0-0-2
0.76
0-0-2
1.30
0-0-2
0.47
0-0-2
0.41
0-0-2
1.98
CSKA Almaty
2-0-0
4.58
0-1-1
2.79
1-0-1
1.04
1-0-1
5.08
 —
1-1-0
2.46
0-0-2
3.37
1-0-1
4.69
2-0-0
4.57
1-0-1
4.27
1-1-0
3.99
0-1-1
3.34
1-0-1
1.67
2-0-0
4.68
Irtysh
2-0-0
4.57
1-1-0
3.52
0-1-1
2.53
2-0-0
5.25
0-1-1
3.16
 —
1-1-0
3.12
1-1-0
4.95
2-0-0
4.99
2-0-0
3.89
2-0-0
4.82
2-0-0
3.64
0-1-1
3.19
2-0-0
4.99
Kaisar
2-0-0
5.00
1-0-1
2.49
1-1-0
2.19
2-0-0
5.09
2-0-0
2.25
0-1-1
2.50
 —
1-1-0
4.58
2-0-0
4.92
1-1-0
3.51
2-0-0
4.00
1-0-1
1.77
0-0-2
2.19
1-1-0
4.76
Khimik
0-2-0
3.55
0-1-1
0.88
0-0-2
0.54
2-0-0
4.26
1-0-1
0.95
0-1-1
0.69
0-1-1
1.06
 —
1-1-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.76
1-1-0
1.64
0-0-2
1.15
0-0-2
0.77
1-1-0
2.88
Nasha Kampaniya
1-1-0
3.85
0-0-2
0.82
0-0-2
1.02
1-1-0
4.51
0-0-2
1.07
0-0-2
0.67
0-0-2
0.72
0-1-1
2.72
 —
0-1-1
0.99
0-1-1
1.06
1-0-1
0.88
0-0-2
0.91
0-1-1
2.52
Shakter Karagandy
2-0-0
4.39
0-0-2
2.23
0-0-2
1.12
2-0-0
4.88
1-0-1
1.36
0-0-2
1.74
0-1-1
2.12
1-0-1
2.88
1-1-0
4.64
 —
0-1-1
3.22
0-0-2
2.49
0-1-1
1.68
1-0-1
3.60
Taraz
2-0-0
4.90
0-1-1
1.33
0-0-2
0.98
2-0-0
4.34
0-1-1
1.64
0-0-2
0.82
0-0-2
1.63
0-1-1
3.98
1-1-0
4.57
1-1-0
2.41
 —
0-0-2
1.77
0-0-2
2.14
1-1-0
3.78
Vostok
2-0-0
5.21
0-0-2
3.32
1-0-1
1.30
2-0-0
5.19
1-1-0
2.28
0-0-2
1.98
1-0-1
3.86
2-0-0
4.48
1-0-1
4.76
2-0-0
3.14
2-0-0
3.85
 —
1-0-1
1.85
2-0-0
4.28
Yelimay Semey
2-0-0
5.26
2-0-0
3.94
0-1-1
3.43
2-0-0
5.26
1-0-1
3.96
1-1-0
2.43
2-0-0
3.44
2-0-0
4.87
2-0-0
4.74
1-1-0
3.95
2-0-0
3.50
1-0-1
3.77
 —
2-0-0
4.70
Zhiger
2-0-0
3.95
0-0-2
0.90
0-0-2
0.75
2-0-0
3.66
0-0-2
0.96
0-0-2
0.65
0-1-1
0.88
0-1-1
2.75
1-1-0
3.10
1-0-1
2.04
0-1-1
1.84
0-0-2
1.36
0-0-2
0.94
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.89 +12.0
Allowed 0.87 -10.2
Differential 0.95 +5.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%10.99%7.14%3.57%3.02%1.65%33.52%
110.99%6.04%6.04%3.30%1.37%1.10%28.85%
27.14%6.04%3.85%1.37%0.55%0.55%19.51%
33.57%3.30%1.37%0.55%——8.79%
43.02%1.37%0.55%———4.95%
5+1.65%1.10%0.55%——1.10%4.40%
Total33.52%28.85%19.51%8.79%4.95%4.40%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.31 +0.00
SD 1.39 1.39 2.16
CV 1.06 1.06 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min -1 -1 -7

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—15.38%15.38%7.69%19.23%3.85%61.54%
1—7.69%—7.69%7.69%3.85%26.92%
2——3.85%—3.85%—7.69%
3———————
4———————
5+—————3.85%3.85%
Total—23.08%19.23%15.38%30.77%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.38 2.65 -2.27
SD 0.70 1.52 1.48
CV 1.81 0.57 —
Max 2 5 +0
Min -1 -1 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%—3.85%——23.08%
17.69%11.54%—3.85%——23.08%
211.54%15.38%————26.92%
33.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
47.69%—————7.69%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total42.31%42.31%3.85%11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 0.85 +0.88
SD 1.40 0.97 1.84
CV 0.81 1.14 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%—3.85%———15.38%
115.38%3.85%7.69%———26.92%
211.54%15.38%3.85%———30.77%
33.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
47.69%3.85%————11.54%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total53.85%26.92%19.23%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 0.65 +1.27
SD 1.47 0.80 1.73
CV 0.76 1.22 —
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%15.38%19.23%15.38%11.54%73.08%
17.69%—3.85%3.85%——15.38%
23.85%—3.85%—3.85%—11.54%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total19.23%3.85%23.08%23.08%19.23%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.38 2.54 -2.15
SD 0.70 1.63 1.95
CV 1.81 0.64 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
115.38%7.69%7.69%—3.85%—34.62%
23.85%15.38%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
33.85%——3.85%——7.69%
4———————
5+3.85%—3.85%——3.85%11.54%
Total26.92%34.62%19.23%11.54%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.19 +0.38
SD 1.75 1.20 2.10
CV 1.11 1.01 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%—3.85%———15.38%
126.92%3.85%3.85%———34.62%
215.38%—7.69%3.85%——26.92%
33.85%7.69%————11.54%
47.69%3.85%————11.54%
5+———————
Total65.38%15.38%15.38%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 0.58 +1.12
SD 1.23 0.90 1.48
CV 0.72 1.56 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%3.85%3.85%———23.08%
115.38%3.85%7.69%———26.92%
211.54%15.38%—3.85%——30.77%
33.85%—————3.85%
43.85%—3.85%———7.69%
5+3.85%————3.85%7.69%
Total53.85%23.08%15.38%3.85%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 0.62 +0.85
SD 1.42 0.94 1.59
CV 0.97 1.53 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%7.69%7.69%3.85%——34.62%
115.38%11.54%11.54%—3.85%3.85%46.15%
23.85%—3.85%———7.69%
37.69%—————7.69%
4———————
5+—————3.85%3.85%
Total42.31%19.23%23.08%3.85%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 1.12 -0.31
SD 0.94 1.53 1.78
CV 1.16 1.37 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min -1 -1 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%26.92%7.69%3.85%—7.69%57.69%
13.85%3.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%26.92%
23.85%3.85%7.69%———15.38%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total19.23%34.62%19.23%11.54%3.85%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.58 1.92 -1.35
SD 0.76 1.85 2.02
CV 1.31 0.96 —
Max 2 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%23.08%3.85%3.85%3.85%—42.31%
13.85%3.85%15.38%3.85%——26.92%
215.38%—3.85%———19.23%
3—3.85%————3.85%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total30.77%30.77%26.92%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.23 -0.12
SD 1.34 1.11 1.88
CV 1.20 0.90 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%19.23%7.69%3.85%3.85%—42.31%
1—7.69%7.69%7.69%——23.08%
27.69%—7.69%———15.38%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
43.85%—3.85%———7.69%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total26.92%30.77%26.92%11.54%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.35 -0.08
SD 1.48 1.13 2.13
CV 1.17 0.84 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%7.69%———15.38%
119.23%3.85%11.54%3.85%——38.46%
23.85%11.54%————15.38%
37.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+—11.54%————11.54%
Total34.62%38.46%23.08%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 0.96 +0.92
SD 1.56 0.87 1.94
CV 0.83 0.91 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
119.23%3.85%————23.08%
23.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
33.85%15.38%7.69%———26.92%
43.85%11.54%————15.38%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total38.46%46.15%15.38%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.31 0.77 +1.54
SD 1.64 0.71 1.73
CV 0.71 0.92 —
Max 6 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—15.38%15.38%———30.77%
13.85%11.54%3.85%7.69%—3.85%30.77%
23.85%3.85%3.85%7.69%—7.69%26.92%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%34.62%23.08%15.38%—11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.88 -0.69
SD 1.02 1.58 1.87
CV 0.86 0.84 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Kaisar 806 53 46.35 +6.65 86.0% 33 35 43 46 50 55 64
Yelimay Semey 783 63 52.89 +10.11 97.0% 39 40 49 52 57 62 66
Irtysh 773 57 53.46 +3.54 78.0% 40 45 49 54 57 63 65
Astana 673 51 44.68 +6.32 87.0% 31 36 41 44 48 54 57
Batyr 657 59 54.01 +4.99 83.0% 39 43 50 54 58 63 67
Vostok 596 52 45.79 +6.21 89.0% 30 32 43 47 50 55 57
Khimik 481 29 22.97 +6.03 89.0% 13 15 19 23 26 31 35
CSKA Almaty 364 43 47.49 -4.49 18.0% 31 38 44 48 51 55 61
Taraz 247 27 34.11 -7.11 14.0% 22 24 30 34 39 44 50
Zhiger 224 22 24.33 -2.33 34.0% 12 15 21 24 28 34 39
Shakter Karagandy 178 28 36.29 -8.29 8.0% 25 27 33 36 40 44 49
Nasha Kampaniya 144 15 21.50 -6.50 8.0% 9 13 18 22 24 30 34
Bulat -151 12 13.64 -1.64 40.0% 3 6 10 13 16 21 28
Akzhayik -250 3 16.14 -13.14 0.0% 6 9 13 16 18 24 27

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 19% * Slight Edge: 19% to 25% * Clear Edge: 25% to 31% * Strong Edge: 31% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+21.98%
Slight Edge
52.20%17.58%30.22%
Elo Value
Home Edge
233 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
073.62600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.62 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.32+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.03 * Tight Race: 0.03 to 0.1 * Comfortable: 0.1 to 0.17 * Runaway: 0.17 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.5
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
29%
Yelimay Semey, 2nd of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.15/gm
Comfortable
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.29 * Some Luck: 4.29 to 6.43 * Lucky: 6.43 to 8.58 * Wild Swing: 8.58 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.98 * Close: 0.98 to 1.46 * Off: 1.46 to 1.95 * Way Off: 1.95 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.87 points
Lucky
05.3613
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.29
Close
01.222.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
97.00%
Yelimay Semey
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
0.00%
Akzhayik
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.23 * Lopsided: 0.23 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.75 * Moderate Separation: 1.75 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70.5% * Slight Edge: 70.5% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 79% * Wide Edge: 79% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 95% * Strong Edge: 95% to 98.5% * Dominant: 98.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 64% * Frequent: 64% to 67.5% * Very Frequent: 67.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 13.5% * Occasional: 13.5% to 15.5% * Frequent: 15.5% to 18.5% * Very Frequent: 18.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.29
Lopsided
00.170.230.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 343.44
2.80
Wide Separation
0.91.752.353
Interquartile Edge
94%
Wide Edge
50%70.5%79%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 100%
100%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Few
0%51%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Very Frequent
0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.41 * Slight Separation: 0.41 to 0.45 * Notable Separation: 0.45 to 0.49 * Lopsided: 0.49 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.64 * Strong Carryover: 0.64 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 20.5% * Upset-Prone: 20.5% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 18% * Shaky Favorites: 18% to 19.5% * Very Shaky: 19.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.43
Highly Predictable
00.472
Matchup Imbalance
0.63
Lopsided
00.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.82
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.15
Weak Carryover
00.470.641
Upset Rate
Expected
13%
Chalky
0%15%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
11%
Solid Favorites
0%13%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.2 * Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Probability calibration
0.07
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.10
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.082
Well Within Noise
00.1020.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Yelimay Semey29.00%20.00%19.00%17.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%—————
Batyr38.00%20.00%15.00%14.00%5.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%——————
Irtysh23.00%26.00%19.00%17.00%8.00%5.00%2.00%———————
Kaisar2.00%9.00%15.00%10.00%20.00%13.00%17.00%13.00%1.00%—————
Vostok2.00%9.00%10.00%18.00%17.00%17.00%16.00%7.00%3.00%1.00%————
Astana2.00%5.00%7.00%9.00%21.00%26.00%21.00%5.00%4.00%—————
CSKA Almaty3.00%11.00%14.00%14.00%18.00%24.00%11.00%4.00%1.00%—————
Khimik———————4.00%5.00%29.00%28.00%23.00%10.00%1.00%
Shakter Karagandy———1.00%5.00%2.00%16.00%38.00%32.00%5.00%1.00%———
Taraz1.00%—1.00%—1.00%5.00%10.00%21.00%43.00%8.00%8.00%2.00%——
Zhiger——————1.00%4.00%8.00%34.00%26.00%18.00%6.00%3.00%
Nasha Kampaniya———————1.00%2.00%21.00%24.00%33.00%13.00%6.00%
Bulat——————————3.00%9.00%29.00%59.00%
Akzhayik—————————2.00%10.00%15.00%42.00%31.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Astana 100% —
Batyr 100% —
CSKA Almaty 100% —
Irtysh 100% —
Kaisar 100% —
Shakter Karagandy 100% —
Vostok 100% —
Yelimay Semey 100% —
Taraz 98.00% 2.00%
Zhiger 73.00% 27.00%
Khimik 66.00% 34.00%
Nasha Kampaniya 48.00% 52.00%
Akzhayik 12.00% 88.00%
Bulat 3.00% 97.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1998-04-21 Batyr L 1-352.0 528 397 64.60% 18.62% 16.78%+0.88 -143.4 0
1998-04-21 @ Akzhayik W 3-152.0 397 528 16.78% 18.62% 64.60%-0.88 +143.4 3
1998-04-21 Astana D 3-365.2 574 387 68.88% 18.48% 12.64%+1.12 -11.7 1
1998-04-21 @ CSKA Almaty D 3-365.2 387 574 12.64% 18.48% 68.88%-1.12 +11.7 1
1998-04-21 Irtysh L 0-140.9 420 517 37.29% 18.85% 43.86%-0.10 -53.6 0
1998-04-21 @ Kaisar W 1-040.9 517 420 43.86% 18.85% 37.29%+0.10 +53.6 3
1998-04-21 Khimik W 2-028.5 446 121 75.89% 17.99% 6.11%+1.71 +19.7 3
1998-04-21 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-228.5 121 446 6.11% 17.99% 75.89%-1.71 -19.7 0
1998-04-21 Yelimay Semey L 0-146.9 476 421 57.27% 18.76% 23.97%+0.55 -77.9 0
1998-04-21 @ Taraz W 1-046.9 421 476 23.97% 18.76% 57.27%-0.55 +77.9 3
1998-04-21 Vostok L 0-137.5 264 450 26.00% 18.78% 55.21%-0.48 -39.6 0
1998-04-21 @ Zhiger W 1-037.5 450 264 55.21% 18.78% 26.00%+0.48 +39.6 3
1998-04-24 Irtysh L 0-137.5 385 571 25.96% 18.78% 55.25%-0.48 -39.5 0
1998-04-24 @ Akzhayik W 1-037.5 571 385 55.25% 18.78% 25.96%+0.48 +39.5 6
1998-04-24 Khimik W 2-135.7 562 101 79.73% 17.35% 2.93%+2.29 +4.7 4
1998-04-24 @ CSKA Almaty L 1-235.7 101 562 2.93% 17.35% 79.73%-2.29 -4.7 0
1998-04-24 Batyr D 0-050.9 366 541 27.33% 18.80% 53.87%-0.43 +9.3 1
1998-04-24 @ Kaisar D 0-050.9 541 366 53.87% 18.80% 27.33%+0.43 -9.3 4
1998-04-24 Nasha Kampaniya L 0-135.5 138 387 19.47% 18.69% 61.85%-0.75 -30.8 0
1998-04-24 @ Bulat W 1-035.5 387 138 61.85% 18.69% 19.47%+0.75 +30.8 3
1998-04-24 Astana L 1-252.8 466 398 58.62% 18.74% 22.64%+0.61 -75.1 3
1998-04-24 @ Shakter Karagandy W 2-152.8 398 466 22.64% 18.74% 58.62%-0.61 +75.1 4
1998-04-24 Vostok L 1-246.7 398 490 38.19% 18.85% 42.96%-0.08 -51.5 0
1998-04-24 @ Taraz W 2-146.7 490 398 42.96% 18.85% 38.19%+0.08 +51.5 6
1998-04-24 Yelimay Semey L 0-232.1 225 499 17.23% 18.63% 64.14%-0.86 -52.0 0
1998-04-24 @ Zhiger W 2-032.1 499 225 64.14% 18.63% 17.23%+0.86 +52.0 6
1998-05-02 Akzhayik W 2-032.0 473 345 64.38% 18.63% 16.99%+0.87 +51.4 7
1998-05-02 @ Astana L 0-232.0 345 473 16.99% 18.63% 64.38%-0.87 -51.4 0
1998-05-02 Zhiger W 1-030.9 531 173 77.04% 17.85% 5.11%+1.85 +8.8 7
1998-05-02 @ Batyr L 0-130.9 173 531 5.11% 17.85% 77.04%-1.85 -8.8 0
1998-05-02 Taraz W 3-027.3 610 347 73.25% 18.23% 8.51%+1.45 +39.3 9
1998-05-02 @ Irtysh L 0-327.3 347 610 8.51% 18.23% 73.25%-1.45 -39.3 0
1998-05-02 Kaisar D 0-051.0 96 375 16.84% 18.62% 64.53%-0.88 +17.5 1
1998-05-02 @ Khimik D 0-051.0 375 96 64.53% 18.62% 16.84%+0.88 -17.5 2
1998-05-02 Bulat W 4-024.7 541 107 79.12% 17.49% 3.39%+2.18 +20.8 9
1998-05-02 @ Vostok L 0-424.7 107 541 3.39% 17.49% 79.12%-2.18 -20.8 0
1998-05-02 Nasha Kampaniya W 1-034.6 551 417 64.83% 18.62% 16.56%+0.89 +26.6 9
1998-05-02 @ Yelimay Semey L 0-134.6 417 551 16.56% 18.62% 64.83%-0.89 -26.6 3
1998-05-05 Kaisar W 2-139.4 525 358 67.43% 18.53% 14.03%+1.03 +21.6 10
1998-05-05 @ Astana L 1-239.4 358 525 14.03% 18.53% 67.43%-1.03 -21.6 2
1998-05-05 Taraz W 1-032.6 540 308 71.64% 18.34% 10.02%+1.31 +16.8 10
1998-05-05 @ Batyr L 0-132.6 308 540 10.02% 18.34% 71.64%-1.31 -16.8 0
1998-05-05 Zhiger W 2-027.2 650 164 80.23% 17.21% 2.55%+2.40 +8.3 12
1998-05-05 @ Irtysh L 0-227.2 164 650 2.55% 17.21% 80.23%-2.40 -8.3 0
1998-05-05 Akzhayik D 1-155.6 114 294 26.70% 18.79% 54.50%-0.46 +8.7 2
1998-05-05 @ Khimik D 1-155.6 294 114 54.50% 18.79% 26.70%+0.46 -8.7 1
1998-05-05 CSKA Almaty W 1-045.9 391 567 27.14% 18.80% 54.06%-0.44 +73.7 6
1998-05-05 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-145.9 567 391 54.06% 18.80% 27.14%+0.44 -73.7 4
1998-05-05 Nasha Kampaniya W 5-131.9 562 391 67.75% 18.52% 13.73%+1.05 +66.9 12
1998-05-05 @ Vostok L 1-531.9 391 562 13.73% 18.52% 67.75%-1.05 -66.9 3
1998-05-05 Bulat W 5-024.3 578 86 80.34% 17.18% 2.48%+2.42 +18.7 12
1998-05-05 @ Yelimay Semey L 0-524.3 86 578 2.48% 17.18% 80.34%-2.42 -18.7 0
1998-05-15 Shakter Karagandy L 0-235.0 285 465 26.72% 18.79% 54.49%-0.45 -76.4 1
1998-05-15 @ Akzhayik W 2-035.0 465 285 54.49% 18.79% 26.72%+0.45 +76.4 9
1998-05-15 CSKA Almaty W 2-150.8 336 493 29.44% 18.82% 51.75%-0.36 +66.7 5
1998-05-15 @ Kaisar L 1-250.8 493 336 51.75% 18.82% 29.44%+0.36 -66.7 4
1998-05-15 Batyr L 1-241.5 324 557 20.99% 18.71% 60.29%-0.68 -31.0 3
1998-05-15 @ Nasha Kampaniya W 2-141.5 557 324 60.29% 18.71% 20.99%+0.68 +31.0 13
1998-05-15 Irtysh L 0-424.6 67 658 3.25% 17.45% 79.30%-2.22 -20.0 0
1998-05-15 @ Bulat W 4-024.6 658 67 79.30% 17.45% 3.25%+2.22 +20.0 15
1998-05-15 Astana D 1-155.6 291 546 18.87% 18.67% 62.45%-0.78 +14.2 1
1998-05-15 @ Taraz D 1-155.6 546 291 62.45% 18.67% 18.87%+0.78 -14.2 11
1998-05-15 Khimik L 0-146.1 156 123 54.73% 18.79% 26.48%+0.46 -74.6 0
1998-05-15 @ Zhiger W 1-046.1 123 156 26.48% 18.79% 54.73%-0.46 +74.6 5
1998-05-18 CSKA Almaty L 0-136.4 209 427 22.51% 18.74% 58.76%-0.62 -34.9 1
1998-05-18 @ Akzhayik W 1-036.4 427 209 58.76% 18.74% 22.51%+0.62 +34.9 7
1998-05-18 Shakter Karagandy D 0-050.9 403 541 31.84% 18.83% 49.33%-0.28 +6.0 6
1998-05-18 @ Kaisar D 0-050.9 541 403 49.33% 18.83% 31.84%+0.28 -6.0 10
1998-05-18 Irtysh L 0-132.5 293 678 9.83% 18.33% 71.85%-1.34 -16.4 3
1998-05-18 @ Nasha Kampaniya W 1-032.5 678 293 71.85% 18.33% 9.83%+1.34 +16.4 18
1998-05-18 Batyr D 0-051.3 47 588 4.28% 17.70% 78.03%-2.00 +28.9 1
1998-05-18 @ Bulat D 0-051.3 588 47 78.03% 17.70% 4.28%+2.00 -28.9 14
1998-05-18 Khimik D 0-051.0 305 197 62.57% 18.67% 18.76%+0.78 -15.9 2
1998-05-18 @ Taraz D 0-051.0 197 305 18.76% 18.67% 62.57%-0.78 +15.9 6
1998-05-18 Vostok W 1-040.1 596 629 46.44% 18.84% 34.72%+0.18 +50.5 15
1998-05-18 @ Yelimay Semey L 0-140.1 629 596 34.72% 18.84% 46.44%-0.18 -50.5 12
1998-05-18 Astana L 2-342.1 81 532 6.93% 18.09% 74.99%-1.62 -10.5 0
1998-05-18 @ Zhiger W 3-242.1 532 81 74.99% 18.09% 6.93%+1.62 +10.5 14
1998-06-02 Bulat D 0-051.4 543 76 79.84% 17.32% 2.84%+2.32 -30.3 15
1998-06-02 @ Astana D 0-051.4 76 543 2.84% 17.32% 79.84%-2.32 +30.3 2
1998-06-02 Zhiger W 6-230.5 462 70 78.01% 17.70% 4.29%+1.99 +18.6 10
1998-06-02 @ CSKA Almaty L 2-630.5 70 462 4.29% 17.70% 78.01%-1.99 -18.6 0
1998-06-02 Yelimay Semey W 2-039.7 559 647 38.67% 18.85% 42.48%-0.06 +112.4 17
1998-06-02 @ Batyr L 0-239.7 647 559 42.48% 18.85% 38.67%+0.06 -112.4 15
1998-06-02 Vostok W 3-138.0 694 578 63.32% 18.65% 18.03%+0.81 +46.9 21
1998-06-02 @ Irtysh L 1-338.0 578 694 18.03% 18.65% 63.32%-0.81 -46.9 12
1998-06-02 Nasha Kampaniya W 1-041.4 213 276 42.18% 18.85% 38.96%+0.04 +55.5 9
1998-06-02 @ Khimik L 0-141.4 276 213 38.96% 18.85% 42.18%-0.04 -55.5 3
1998-06-02 Taraz D 2-261.4 535 289 72.37% 18.30% 9.33%+1.37 -16.1 11
1998-06-02 @ Shakter Karagandy D 2-261.4 289 535 9.33% 18.30% 72.37%-1.37 +16.1 3
1998-06-05 Nasha Kampaniya W 3-134.6 512 221 74.53% 18.13% 7.34%+1.57 +20.3 18
1998-06-05 @ Astana L 1-334.6 221 512 7.34% 18.13% 74.53%-1.57 -20.3 3
1998-06-05 Taraz W 1-033.7 480 305 68.02% 18.51% 13.46%+1.07 +22.0 13
1998-06-05 @ CSKA Almaty L 0-133.7 305 480 13.46% 18.51% 68.02%-1.07 -22.1 3
1998-06-05 Vostok W 1-034.5 671 531 65.35% 18.60% 16.05%+0.92 +25.9 20
1998-06-05 @ Batyr L 0-134.5 531 671 16.05% 18.60% 65.35%-0.92 -25.9 12
1998-06-05 Yelimay Semey D 0-051.1 741 534 70.14% 18.42% 11.44%+1.20 -22.2 22
1998-06-05 @ Irtysh D 0-051.1 534 741 11.44% 18.42% 70.14%-1.20 +22.2 16
1998-06-05 Akzhayik W 5-026.9 409 174 71.80% 18.33% 9.87%+1.32 +72.8 9
1998-06-05 @ Kaisar L 0-526.9 174 409 9.87% 18.33% 71.80%-1.32 -72.8 1
1998-06-05 Bulat W 3-029.2 269 106 67.09% 18.55% 14.36%+1.01 +64.1 12
1998-06-05 @ Khimik L 0-329.2 106 269 14.36% 18.55% 67.09%-1.01 -64.0 2
1998-06-05 Zhiger W 5-232.9 519 52 79.86% 17.31% 2.83%+2.32 +9.7 14
1998-06-05 @ Shakter Karagandy L 2-532.9 52 519 2.83% 17.31% 79.86%-2.32 -9.7 0
1998-06-15 Shakter Karagandy L 1-336.5 201 529 13.18% 18.50% 68.32%-1.09 -35.3 3
1998-06-15 @ Nasha Kampaniya W 3-136.5 529 201 68.32% 18.50% 13.18%+1.09 +35.3 17
1998-06-15 CSKA Almaty W 1-052.1 42 502 6.61% 18.05% 75.33%-1.66 +103.5 5
1998-06-15 @ Bulat L 0-152.1 502 42 75.33% 18.05% 6.61%+1.66 -103.5 13
1998-06-15 Kaisar L 0-137.1 283 482 24.56% 18.77% 56.67%-0.54 -37.7 3
1998-06-15 @ Taraz W 1-037.1 482 283 56.67% 18.77% 24.56%+0.54 +37.7 12
1998-06-15 Astana L 1-249.4 506 533 47.17% 18.84% 33.99%+0.20 -61.4 12
1998-06-15 @ Vostok W 2-149.4 533 506 33.99% 18.84% 47.17%-0.20 +61.4 21
1998-06-15 Khimik W 6-129.7 557 333 71.15% 18.37% 10.48%+1.28 +63.8 19
1998-06-15 @ Yelimay Semey L 1-629.7 333 557 10.48% 18.37% 71.15%-1.28 -63.8 12
1998-06-15 Akzhayik W 3-144.2 42 101 42.80% 18.85% 38.34%+0.06 +89.5 3
1998-06-15 @ Zhiger L 1-344.2 101 42 38.34% 18.85% 42.80%-0.06 -89.5 1
1998-06-18 Irtysh W 2-036.9 697 719 47.87% 18.84% 33.29%+0.22 +92.0 23
1998-06-18 @ Batyr L 0-236.9 719 697 33.29% 18.84% 47.87%-0.22 -92.0 22
1998-06-18 CSKA Almaty L 0-136.0 165 399 20.95% 18.71% 60.34%-0.69 -32.8 3
1998-06-18 @ Nasha Kampaniya W 1-036.0 399 165 60.34% 18.71% 20.95%+0.69 +32.8 16
1998-06-18 Shakter Karagandy L 0-229.3 146 564 8.26% 18.21% 73.53%-1.48 -26.3 5
1998-06-18 @ Bulat W 2-029.3 564 146 73.53% 18.21% 8.26%+1.48 +26.3 20
1998-06-18 Akzhayik W 4-239.3 245 11 71.72% 18.34% 9.94%+1.32 +24.3 6
1998-06-18 @ Taraz L 2-439.3 11 245 9.94% 18.34% 71.72%-1.32 -24.3 1
1998-06-18 Khimik W 3-028.9 444 269 68.03% 18.51% 13.46%+1.07 +60.4 15
1998-06-18 @ Vostok L 0-328.9 269 444 13.46% 18.51% 68.03%-1.07 -60.4 12
1998-06-18 Astana W 3-140.8 620 594 53.95% 18.80% 27.25%+0.43 +67.3 22
1998-06-18 @ Yelimay Semey L 1-340.8 594 620 27.25% 18.80% 53.95%-0.43 -67.3 21
1998-06-18 Kaisar D 1-155.7 132 520 9.68% 18.32% 72.00%-1.35 +21.3 4
1998-06-18 @ Zhiger D 1-155.7 520 132 72.00% 18.32% 9.68%+1.35 -21.3 13
1998-06-26 Nasha Kampaniya D 2-261.3 -13 132 30.91% 18.83% 50.26%-0.31 +4.4 2
1998-06-26 @ Akzhayik D 2-261.3 132 -13 50.26% 18.83% 30.91%+0.31 -4.4 4
1998-06-26 Irtysh D 1-155.6 527 627 36.91% 18.85% 44.24%-0.11 +2.2 22
1998-06-26 @ Astana D 1-155.6 627 527 44.24% 18.85% 36.91%+0.11 -2.2 23
1998-06-26 Vostok D 1-155.6 432 504 40.80% 18.85% 40.35%+0.00 -0.1 17
1998-06-26 @ CSKA Almaty D 1-155.6 504 432 40.35% 18.85% 40.80%+0.00 +0.1 16
1998-06-26 Bulat W 3-026.0 498 120 77.65% 17.76% 4.59%+1.94 +21.6 16
1998-06-26 @ Kaisar L 0-326.0 120 498 4.59% 17.76% 77.65%-1.94 -21.5 5
1998-06-26 Batyr L 1-235.9 209 789 3.44% 17.50% 79.06%-2.17 -5.6 12
1998-06-26 @ Khimik W 2-135.9 789 209 79.06% 17.50% 3.44%+2.17 +5.6 26
1998-06-26 Yelimay Semey D 1-155.6 590 688 37.33% 18.85% 43.82%-0.10 +2.0 21
1998-06-26 @ Shakter Karagandy D 1-155.6 688 590 43.82% 18.85% 37.33%+0.10 -2.0 23
1998-06-29 Bulat L 0-140.5 -8 98 36.06% 18.85% 45.09%-0.14 -52.1 2
1998-06-29 @ Akzhayik W 1-040.5 98 -8 45.09% 18.85% 36.06%+0.14 +52.1 8
1998-06-29 Batyr D 1-155.6 529 795 17.97% 18.65% 63.37%-0.82 +14.8 23
1998-06-29 @ Astana D 1-155.6 795 529 63.37% 18.65% 17.97%+0.82 -14.8 27
1998-06-29 Yelimay Semey W 1-048.4 431 686 18.98% 18.68% 62.34%-0.77 +84.7 20
1998-06-29 @ CSKA Almaty L 0-148.4 686 431 62.34% 18.68% 18.98%+0.77 -84.7 23
1998-06-29 Nasha Kampaniya W 2-027.9 520 128 78.03% 17.70% 4.27%+2.00 +13.8 19
1998-06-29 @ Kaisar L 0-227.9 128 520 4.27% 17.70% 78.03%-2.00 -13.8 4
1998-06-29 Irtysh D 2-261.4 203 625 8.10% 18.20% 73.70%-1.49 +16.8 13
1998-06-29 @ Khimik D 2-261.4 625 203 73.70% 18.20% 8.10%+1.49 -16.8 24
1998-06-29 Vostok L 0-147.9 592 505 60.65% 18.71% 20.64%+0.69 -82.4 21
1998-06-29 @ Shakter Karagandy W 1-047.9 505 592 20.64% 18.71% 60.65%-0.69 +82.4 19
1998-06-29 Zhiger W 2-032.3 270 153 63.39% 18.65% 17.96%+0.82 +54.0 9
1998-06-29 @ Taraz L 0-232.3 153 270 17.96% 18.65% 63.39%-0.82 -54.0 4
1998-07-20 CSKA Almaty W 1-032.1 780 516 73.27% 18.23% 8.50%+1.45 +14.3 30
1998-07-20 @ Batyr L 0-132.1 516 780 8.50% 18.23% 73.27%-1.45 -14.3 20
1998-07-20 Shakter Karagandy W 1-035.6 608 510 61.67% 18.69% 19.64%+0.74 +31.0 27
1998-07-20 @ Irtysh L 0-135.6 510 608 19.64% 18.69% 61.67%-0.74 -31.0 21
1998-07-20 Zhiger D 1-155.6 114 99 52.64% 18.81% 28.55%+0.38 -7.5 5
1998-07-20 @ Nasha Kampaniya D 1-155.6 99 114 28.55% 18.81% 52.64%-0.38 +7.5 5
1998-07-20 Taraz L 1-340.9 150 324 27.44% 18.80% 53.76%-0.43 -67.7 8
1998-07-20 @ Bulat W 3-140.9 324 150 53.76% 18.80% 27.44%+0.43 +67.7 12
1998-07-20 Kaisar W 2-034.2 587 534 57.06% 18.76% 24.18%+0.54 +70.1 22
1998-07-20 @ Vostok L 0-234.2 534 587 24.18% 18.76% 57.06%-0.54 -70.1 19
1998-07-20 Akzhayik W 3-024.4 601 -61 82.89% 16.14% 0.97%+3.15 +4.5 26
1998-07-20 @ Yelimay Semey L 0-324.4 -61 601 0.97% 16.14% 82.89%-3.15 -4.5 2
1998-07-23 Khimik W 2-028.6 544 220 75.84% 18.00% 6.17%+1.70 +19.8 26
1998-07-23 @ Astana L 0-228.6 220 544 6.17% 18.00% 75.84%-1.70 -19.8 13
1998-07-23 Shakter Karagandy W 4-025.8 794 479 75.50% 18.04% 6.46%+1.67 +39.4 33
1998-07-23 @ Batyr L 0-425.8 479 794 6.46% 18.04% 75.50%-1.67 -39.4 21
1998-07-23 CSKA Almaty D 2-261.3 639 502 65.14% 18.61% 16.25%+0.90 -12.0 28
1998-07-23 @ Irtysh D 2-261.3 502 639 16.25% 18.61% 65.14%-0.90 +12.0 21
1998-07-23 Taraz D 0-051.0 107 391 16.38% 18.61% 65.01%-0.90 +17.9 6
1998-07-23 @ Nasha Kampaniya D 0-051.0 391 107 65.01% 18.61% 16.38%+0.90 -17.9 13
1998-07-23 Zhiger L 0-241.2 82 106 47.62% 18.84% 33.54%+0.21 -123.9 8
1998-07-23 @ Bulat W 2-041.2 106 82 33.54% 18.84% 47.62%-0.21 +123.9 8
1998-07-23 Akzhayik W 5-127.2 657 -65 83.58% 15.73% 0.70%+3.41 +3.5 25
1998-07-23 @ Vostok L 1-527.2 -65 657 0.70% 15.73% 83.58%-3.41 -3.5 2
1998-07-23 Kaisar W 2-139.9 606 464 65.51% 18.60% 15.89%+0.92 +24.2 29
1998-07-23 @ Yelimay Semey L 1-239.9 464 606 15.89% 18.60% 65.51%-0.92 -24.2 19
1998-08-04 Yelimay Semey L 1-429.9 -68 630 1.80% 16.85% 81.35%-2.68 -7.1 2
1998-08-04 @ Akzhayik W 4-129.9 630 -68 81.35% 16.85% 1.80%+2.68 +7.1 32
1998-08-04 Batyr W 2-047.2 514 834 13.75% 18.52% 67.72%-1.06 +174.0 24
1998-08-04 @ CSKA Almaty L 0-247.2 834 514 67.72% 18.52% 13.75%+1.06 -174.0 33
1998-08-04 Vostok W 2-044.7 439 661 22.18% 18.73% 59.08%-0.63 +151.4 22
1998-08-04 @ Kaisar L 0-244.7 661 439 59.08% 18.73% 22.18%+0.63 -151.4 25
1998-08-04 Irtysh L 0-137.4 440 627 25.81% 18.78% 55.41%-0.49 -39.3 21
1998-08-04 @ Shakter Karagandy W 1-037.4 627 440 55.41% 18.78% 25.81%+0.49 +39.3 31
1998-08-04 Bulat W 5-024.8 373 -41 78.64% 17.59% 3.77%+2.09 +28.6 16
1998-08-04 @ Taraz L 0-524.8 -41 373 3.77% 17.59% 78.64%-2.09 -28.5 8
1998-08-04 Nasha Kampaniya W 1-035.4 230 125 62.36% 18.67% 18.96%+0.77 +30.1 11
1998-08-04 @ Zhiger L 0-135.4 125 230 18.96% 18.67% 62.36%-0.77 -30.0 6
1998-08-07 Vostok L 0-130.3 -76 509 3.36% 17.48% 79.16%-2.19 -5.8 2
1998-08-07 @ Akzhayik W 1-030.3 509 -76 79.16% 17.48% 3.36%+2.19 +5.8 28
1998-08-07 Irtysh W 2-143.6 688 666 53.37% 18.80% 27.83%+0.41 +39.6 27
1998-08-07 @ CSKA Almaty L 1-243.6 666 688 27.83% 18.80% 53.37%-0.41 -39.5 31
1998-08-07 Yelimay Semey L 2-353.6 591 637 44.59% 18.85% 36.56%+0.12 -55.5 22
1998-08-07 @ Kaisar W 3-253.6 637 591 36.56% 18.85% 44.59%-0.12 +55.5 35
1998-08-07 Astana D 0-051.1 200 564 10.99% 18.40% 70.62%-1.24 +22.6 14
1998-08-07 @ Khimik D 0-051.1 564 200 70.62% 18.40% 10.99%+1.24 -22.6 27
1998-08-07 Batyr L 1-240.8 400 660 18.53% 18.67% 62.81%-0.80 -27.8 21
1998-08-07 @ Shakter Karagandy W 2-140.8 660 400 62.81% 18.67% 18.53%+0.80 +27.8 36
1998-08-07 Nasha Kampaniya W 3-026.7 402 95 75.19% 18.07% 6.74%+1.63 +31.4 19
1998-08-07 @ Taraz L 0-326.7 95 402 6.74% 18.07% 75.19%-1.63 -31.4 6
1998-08-07 Bulat W 3-026.5 260 -70 76.06% 17.97% 5.97%+1.73 +27.9 14
1998-08-07 @ Zhiger L 0-326.5 -70 260 5.97% 17.97% 76.06%-1.73 -27.9 8
1998-08-15 Khimik W 4-130.3 687 223 79.80% 17.33% 2.87%+2.31 +11.4 39
1998-08-15 @ Batyr L 1-430.3 223 687 2.87% 17.33% 79.80%-2.31 -11.4 14
1998-08-15 Astana W 1-035.9 627 541 60.46% 18.71% 20.83%+0.68 +32.6 34
1998-08-15 @ Irtysh L 0-135.9 541 627 20.83% 18.71% 60.46%-0.68 -32.6 27
1998-08-15 Akzhayik W 2-031.6 63 -81 65.72% 18.59% 15.69%+0.94 +47.8 9
1998-08-15 @ Nasha Kampaniya L 0-231.6 -81 63 15.69% 18.59% 65.72%-0.94 -47.8 2
1998-08-15 Kaisar L 2-436.7 -98 535 2.58% 17.22% 80.20%-2.40 -6.5 8
1998-08-15 @ Bulat W 4-236.7 535 -98 80.20% 17.22% 2.58%+2.40 +6.5 25
1998-08-15 CSKA Almaty W 3-257.7 515 727 23.09% 18.75% 58.16%-0.59 +70.7 31
1998-08-15 @ Vostok L 2-357.7 727 515 58.16% 18.75% 23.09%+0.59 -70.7 27
1998-08-15 Shakter Karagandy W 3-134.3 692 372 75.68% 18.02% 6.31%+1.69 +17.5 38
1998-08-15 @ Yelimay Semey L 1-334.3 372 692 6.31% 18.02% 75.68%-1.69 -17.6 21
1998-08-18 Astana W 3-028.6 699 509 69.07% 18.47% 12.46%+1.13 +56.2 42
1998-08-18 @ Batyr L 0-328.6 509 699 12.46% 18.47% 69.07%-1.13 -56.2 27
1998-08-18 Khimik W 1-030.2 660 211 79.45% 17.42% 3.14%+2.24 +5.4 37
1998-08-18 @ Irtysh L 0-130.2 211 660 3.14% 17.42% 79.45%-2.24 -5.4 14
1998-08-18 Kaisar L 0-131.8 111 542 7.73% 18.17% 74.11%-1.53 -13.1 9
1998-08-18 @ Nasha Kampaniya W 1-031.8 542 111 74.11% 18.17% 7.73%+1.53 +13.1 28
1998-08-18 Akzhayik W 2-035.2 -104 -129 53.79% 18.80% 27.41%+0.42 +78.1 11
1998-08-18 @ Bulat L 0-235.2 -129 -104 27.41% 18.80% 53.79%-0.42 -78.1 2
1998-08-18 Shakter Karagandy W 1-032.6 586 355 71.54% 18.35% 10.11%+1.30 +16.9 34
1998-08-18 @ Vostok L 0-132.6 355 586 10.11% 18.35% 71.54%-1.30 -16.9 21
1998-08-18 CSKA Almaty W 4-137.2 710 657 57.04% 18.76% 24.19%+0.54 +85.9 41
1998-08-18 @ Yelimay Semey L 1-437.2 657 710 24.19% 18.76% 57.04%-0.54 -85.9 27
1998-08-18 Taraz D 2-261.3 288 433 30.91% 18.83% 50.26%-0.31 +4.4 15
1998-08-18 @ Zhiger D 2-261.3 433 288 50.26% 18.83% 30.91%+0.31 -4.4 20
1998-08-26 Zhiger L 0-326.3 -207 293 5.34% 17.88% 76.78%-1.83 -25.0 2
1998-08-26 @ Akzhayik W 3-026.3 293 -207 76.78% 17.88% 5.34%+1.83 +25.0 18
1998-08-26 Vostok W 2-150.5 452 603 30.28% 18.82% 50.90%-0.33 +65.7 30
1998-08-26 @ Astana L 1-250.5 603 452 50.90% 18.82% 30.28%+0.33 -65.7 34
1998-08-26 Nasha Kampaniya W 7-025.2 571 98 79.97% 17.28% 2.74%+2.34 +28.6 30
1998-08-26 @ CSKA Almaty L 0-725.2 98 571 2.74% 17.28% 79.97%-2.34 -28.6 9
1998-08-26 Taraz W 2-032.1 555 429 64.17% 18.63% 17.20%+0.85 +51.9 31
1998-08-26 @ Kaisar L 0-232.1 429 555 17.20% 18.63% 64.17%-0.85 -51.9 20
1998-08-26 Yelimay Semey L 0-130.3 206 796 3.27% 17.45% 79.28%-2.21 -5.6 14
1998-08-26 @ Khimik W 1-030.3 796 206 79.28% 17.45% 3.27%+2.21 +5.6 44
1998-08-26 Bulat W 2-028.1 338 -26 77.21% 17.82% 4.96%+1.88 +16.0 24
1998-08-26 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-228.1 -26 338 4.96% 17.82% 77.21%-1.88 -16.0 11
1998-08-29 Taraz L 0-424.5 -232 377 2.94% 17.35% 79.71%-2.30 -18.1 2
1998-08-29 @ Akzhayik W 4-024.5 377 -232 79.71% 17.35% 2.94%+2.30 +18.1 23
1998-08-29 Yelimay Semey L 0-134.6 518 801 16.49% 18.61% 64.90%-0.90 -26.5 30
1998-08-29 @ Astana W 1-034.6 801 518 64.90% 18.61% 16.49%+0.90 +26.5 47
1998-08-29 Bulat W 2-134.8 599 -42 82.64% 16.27% 1.08%+3.07 +1.7 33
1998-08-29 @ CSKA Almaty L 1-234.8 -42 599 1.08% 16.27% 82.64%-3.07 -1.7 11
1998-08-29 Batyr D 0-050.9 665 755 38.36% 18.85% 42.79%-0.07 +1.5 38
1998-08-29 @ Irtysh D 0-050.9 755 665 42.79% 18.85% 38.36%+0.07 -1.5 43
1998-08-29 Zhiger W 1-031.7 607 318 74.43% 18.14% 7.43%+1.56 +12.6 34
1998-08-29 @ Kaisar L 0-131.7 318 607 7.43% 18.14% 74.43%-1.56 -12.6 18
1998-08-29 Vostok L 1-238.9 200 537 12.63% 18.48% 68.89%-1.13 -19.6 14
1998-08-29 @ Khimik W 2-138.9 537 200 68.89% 18.48% 12.63%+1.13 +19.6 37
1998-08-29 Nasha Kampaniya D 0-051.1 354 69 74.24% 18.16% 7.61%+1.54 -25.7 25
1998-08-29 @ Shakter Karagandy D 0-051.1 69 354 7.61% 18.16% 74.24%-1.54 +25.7 10
1998-09-09 Khimik D 0-050.9 95 181 38.98% 18.85% 42.17%-0.05 +1.1 11
1998-09-09 @ Nasha Kampaniya D 0-050.9 181 95 42.17% 18.85% 38.98%+0.05 -1.1 15
1998-09-09 Astana L 0-525.1 -44 492 4.40% 17.72% 77.88%-1.98 -33.3 11
1998-09-09 @ Bulat W 5-025.1 492 -44 77.88% 17.72% 4.40%+1.98 +33.3 33
1998-09-09 Shakter Karagandy W 2-033.8 395 328 58.51% 18.74% 22.75%+0.60 +66.5 26
1998-09-09 @ Taraz L 0-233.8 328 395 22.75% 18.74% 58.51%-0.60 -66.5 25
1998-09-09 Irtysh L 0-237.6 556 666 35.58% 18.85% 45.58%-0.16 -97.2 37
1998-09-09 @ Vostok W 2-037.6 666 556 45.58% 18.85% 35.58%+0.16 +97.2 41
1998-09-09 Batyr D 2-261.3 828 754 59.31% 18.73% 21.96%+0.63 -8.9 48
1998-09-09 @ Yelimay Semey D 2-261.3 754 828 21.96% 18.73% 59.31%-0.63 +8.9 44
1998-09-09 CSKA Almaty L 1-239.8 305 601 15.48% 18.58% 65.93%-0.95 -23.6 18
1998-09-09 @ Zhiger W 2-139.8 601 305 65.93% 18.58% 15.48%+0.95 +23.6 36
1998-09-12 Kaisar L 0-423.4 -250 619 0.70% 15.74% 83.56%-3.41 -4.2 2
1998-09-12 @ Akzhayik W 4-023.4 619 -250 83.56% 15.74% 0.70%+3.41 +4.2 37
1998-09-12 Astana L 0-131.9 96 525 7.81% 18.17% 74.01%-1.52 -13.2 11
1998-09-12 @ Nasha Kampaniya W 1-031.9 525 96 74.01% 18.17% 7.81%+1.52 +13.2 36
1998-09-12 Khimik L 0-330.5 -77 180 18.76% 18.67% 62.57%-0.79 -81.5 11
1998-09-12 @ Bulat W 3-030.5 180 -77 62.57% 18.67% 18.76%+0.79 +81.5 18
1998-09-12 CSKA Almaty D 1-155.6 462 625 28.70% 18.81% 52.49%-0.38 +7.4 27
1998-09-12 @ Taraz D 1-155.6 625 462 52.49% 18.81% 28.70%+0.38 -7.4 37
1998-09-12 Batyr W 2-155.1 459 762 14.95% 18.57% 66.48%-0.98 +85.3 40
1998-09-12 @ Vostok L 1-255.1 762 459 66.48% 18.57% 14.95%+0.98 -85.3 44
1998-09-12 Irtysh W 3-247.4 819 764 57.28% 18.76% 23.96%+0.55 +33.0 51
1998-09-12 @ Yelimay Semey L 2-347.4 764 819 23.96% 18.76% 57.28%-0.55 -33.0 41
1998-09-12 Shakter Karagandy W 2-143.7 281 262 53.14% 18.80% 28.05%+0.40 +39.8 21
1998-09-12 @ Zhiger L 1-243.7 262 281 28.05% 18.80% 53.14%-0.40 -39.8 25
1998-09-22 Zhiger W 2-030.1 538 321 70.74% 18.39% 10.87%+1.25 +34.1 39
1998-09-22 @ Astana L 0-230.1 321 538 10.87% 18.39% 70.74%-1.25 -34.1 21
1998-09-22 Nasha Kampaniya W 6-024.2 677 83 82.02% 16.58% 1.41%+2.86 +12.5 47
1998-09-22 @ Batyr L 0-624.2 83 677 1.41% 16.58% 82.02%-2.86 -12.5 11
1998-09-22 Bulat W 4-022.9 731 -159 85.21% 14.51% 0.28%+4.13 +1.6 44
1998-09-22 @ Irtysh L 0-422.9 -159 731 0.28% 14.51% 85.21%-4.13 -1.6 11
1998-09-22 Taraz W 1-047.0 261 469 23.57% 18.76% 57.68%-0.58 +78.4 21
1998-09-22 @ Khimik L 0-147.0 469 261 57.68% 18.76% 23.57%+0.58 -78.4 27
1998-09-22 Kaisar L 1-237.8 222 624 9.02% 18.27% 72.70%-1.41 -14.3 25
1998-09-22 @ Shakter Karagandy W 2-137.8 624 222 72.70% 18.27% 9.02%+1.41 +14.3 40
1998-09-25 Taraz W 4-027.9 572 391 68.47% 18.49% 13.03%+1.09 +76.6 42
1998-09-25 @ Astana L 0-427.9 391 572 13.03% 18.49% 68.47%-1.09 -76.6 27
1998-09-25 Kaisar L 1-249.7 617 638 48.06% 18.84% 33.10%+0.23 -62.4 37
1998-09-25 @ CSKA Almaty W 2-149.7 638 617 33.10% 18.84% 48.06%-0.23 +62.4 43
1998-09-25 Bulat W 2-025.9 690 -160 84.85% 14.81% 0.34%+3.96 +1.0 50
1998-09-25 @ Batyr L 0-225.9 -160 690 0.34% 14.81% 84.85%-3.96 -1.1 11
1998-09-25 Nasha Kampaniya W 2-026.4 732 70 82.89% 16.14% 0.97%+3.15 +3.1 47
1998-09-25 @ Irtysh L 0-226.4 70 732 0.97% 16.14% 82.89%-3.15 -3.1 11
1998-09-25 Zhiger D 1-155.6 339 287 56.96% 18.76% 24.28%+0.54 -10.4 22
1998-09-25 @ Khimik D 1-155.6 287 339 24.28% 18.76% 56.96%-0.54 +10.4 22
1998-09-25 Akzhayik W 4-024.5 208 -254 79.75% 17.34% 2.91%+2.30 +17.9 28
1998-09-25 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-424.5 -254 208 2.91% 17.34% 79.75%-2.30 -17.9 2
1998-09-25 Yelimay Semey W 1-049.7 545 852 14.64% 18.56% 66.81%-1.00 +91.0 43
1998-09-25 @ Vostok L 0-149.7 852 545 66.81% 18.56% 14.64%+1.00 -91.0 51
1998-10-01 Astana L 0-423.2 -272 649 0.53% 15.38% 84.10%-3.63 -3.1 2
1998-10-01 @ Akzhayik W 4-023.2 649 -272 84.10% 15.38% 0.53%+3.63 +3.1 45
1998-10-01 Yelimay Semey L 1-429.9 67 761 1.85% 16.88% 81.28%-2.66 -7.3 11
1998-10-01 @ Nasha Kampaniya W 4-129.9 761 67 81.28% 16.88% 1.85%+2.66 +7.3 54
1998-10-01 Vostok L 0-324.5 -161 636 1.05% 16.23% 82.72%-3.10 -4.8 11
1998-10-01 @ Bulat W 3-024.5 636 -161 82.72% 16.23% 1.05%+3.10 +4.8 46
1998-10-01 Batyr L 1-238.2 314 691 10.27% 18.36% 71.37%-1.30 -16.2 27
1998-10-01 @ Taraz W 2-138.2 691 314 71.37% 18.36% 10.27%+1.30 +16.2 53
1998-10-01 Irtysh L 1-334.7 297 735 7.44% 18.14% 74.42%-1.56 -20.6 22
1998-10-01 @ Zhiger W 3-134.7 735 297 74.42% 18.14% 7.44%+1.56 +20.6 50
1998-10-04 Khimik D 1-156.0 -275 329 3.02% 17.38% 79.61%-2.28 +27.0 3
1998-10-04 @ Akzhayik D 1-156.0 329 -275 79.61% 17.38% 3.02%+2.28 -27.0 23
1998-10-04 Shakter Karagandy W 3-026.5 555 226 76.03% 17.98% 6.00%+1.73 +28.0 40
1998-10-04 @ CSKA Almaty L 0-326.5 226 555 6.00% 17.98% 76.03%-1.73 -28.0 28
1998-10-04 Astana W 1-037.1 700 652 56.52% 18.77% 24.71%+0.52 +37.9 46
1998-10-04 @ Kaisar L 0-137.1 652 700 24.71% 18.77% 56.52%-0.52 -37.9 45
1998-10-04 Vostok W 2-158.6 60 640 3.44% 17.50% 79.06%-2.17 +102.6 14
1998-10-04 @ Nasha Kampaniya L 1-258.6 640 60 79.06% 17.50% 3.44%+2.17 -102.6 46
1998-10-04 Yelimay Semey L 0-423.2 -166 768 0.49% 15.28% 84.23%-3.69 -2.9 11
1998-10-04 @ Bulat W 4-023.2 768 -166 84.23% 15.28% 0.49%+3.69 +2.9 57
1998-10-04 Irtysh L 0-228.7 298 756 6.68% 18.06% 75.26%-1.65 -21.4 27
1998-10-04 @ Taraz W 2-028.7 756 298 75.26% 18.06% 6.68%+1.65 +21.4 53
1998-10-04 Batyr L 2-342.4 277 707 7.76% 18.17% 74.07%-1.53 -11.8 22
1998-10-04 @ Zhiger W 3-242.4 707 277 74.07% 18.17% 7.76%+1.53 +11.7 56
1998-10-14 Shakter Karagandy W 1-030.5 614 198 78.68% 17.58% 3.74%+2.10 +6.4 48
1998-10-14 @ Astana L 0-130.5 198 614 3.74% 17.58% 78.68%-2.10 -6.4 28
1998-10-14 Kaisar L 1-249.7 719 738 48.19% 18.84% 32.97%+0.23 -62.6 56
1998-10-14 @ Batyr W 2-149.7 738 719 32.97% 18.84% 48.19%-0.23 +62.6 49
1998-10-14 Akzhayik W 4-128.4 777 -249 86.41% 13.46% 0.13%+4.71 +0.5 56
1998-10-14 @ Irtysh L 1-428.4 -249 777 0.13% 13.46% 86.41%-4.71 -0.5 3
1998-10-14 Bulat D 2-261.5 163 -169 76.12% 17.97% 5.92%+1.74 -18.2 15
1998-10-14 @ Nasha Kampaniya D 2-261.5 -169 163 5.92% 17.97% 76.12%-1.74 +18.2 12
1998-10-14 CSKA Almaty W 2-046.3 302 583 16.70% 18.62% 64.68%-0.89 +165.8 26
1998-10-14 @ Khimik L 0-246.3 583 302 64.68% 18.62% 16.70%+0.89 -165.8 40
1998-10-14 Taraz W 3-135.1 538 276 73.15% 18.24% 8.61%+1.44 +23.7 49
1998-10-14 @ Vostok L 1-335.1 276 538 8.61% 18.24% 73.15%-1.44 -23.7 27
1998-10-14 Zhiger W 3-132.8 771 265 80.61% 17.10% 2.29%+2.49 +6.4 60
1998-10-14 @ Yelimay Semey L 1-332.8 265 771 2.29% 17.10% 80.61%-2.49 -6.4 22
1998-10-17 CSKA Almaty W 3-028.3 620 417 69.91% 18.43% 11.66%+1.19 +52.9 51
1998-10-17 @ Astana L 0-328.3 417 620 11.66% 18.43% 69.91%-1.19 -52.9 40
1998-10-17 Akzhayik W 4-022.8 656 -249 85.35% 14.39% 0.25%+4.20 +1.5 59
1998-10-17 @ Batyr L 0-422.8 -249 656 0.25% 14.39% 85.35%-4.20 -1.5 3
1998-10-17 Kaisar D 0-050.9 778 801 47.74% 18.84% 33.42%+0.22 -4.9 57
1998-10-17 @ Irtysh D 0-050.9 801 778 33.42% 18.84% 47.74%-0.22 +4.9 50
1998-10-17 Shakter Karagandy W 1-031.9 468 191 73.88% 18.19% 7.94%+1.50 +13.4 29
1998-10-17 @ Khimik L 0-131.9 191 468 7.94% 18.19% 73.88%-1.50 -13.4 28
1998-10-17 Zhiger W 5-129.7 561 259 75.00% 18.09% 6.91%+1.61 +35.0 52
1998-10-17 @ Vostok L 1-529.7 259 561 6.91% 18.09% 75.00%-1.61 -35.0 22
1998-10-17 Taraz W 3-132.7 778 253 80.94% 16.99% 2.06%+2.57 +5.8 63
1998-10-17 @ Yelimay Semey L 1-332.7 253 778 2.06% 16.99% 80.94%-2.57 -5.8 27
1998-10-31 Akzhayik FW49.4 364 -250 82.30% 16.45% 1.26%+2.95 +0.0 43
1998-10-31 @ CSKA Almaty FL49.4 -250 364 1.26% 16.45% 82.30%-2.95 +0.0 3
1998-10-31 Khimik FW48.9 806 481 75.84% 18.00% 6.16%+1.71 +0.0 53
1998-10-31 @ Kaisar FL48.9 481 806 6.16% 18.00% 75.84%-1.71 +0.0 29

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1998-10-04 3.44% @ Nasha Kampaniya 60 2 Vostok 640 1
2 1998-06-15 6.61% @ Bulat 42 1 CSKA Almaty 502 0
3 1998-08-04 13.75% @ CSKA Almaty 514 2 Batyr 834 0
4 1998-09-25 14.64% @ Vostok 545 1 Yelimay Semey 852 0
5 1998-09-12 14.95% @ Vostok 459 2 Batyr 762 1
6 1998-10-14 16.70% @ Khimik 302 2 CSKA Almaty 583 0
7 1998-04-21 16.78% Batyr 397 3 @ Akzhayik 528 1
8 1998-06-29 18.98% @ CSKA Almaty 431 1 Yelimay Semey 686 0
9 1998-06-29 20.64% Vostok 505 1 @ Shakter Karagandy 592 0
10 1998-08-04 22.18% @ Kaisar 439 2 Vostok 661 0
11 1998-04-24 22.64% Astana 398 2 @ Shakter Karagandy 466 1
12 1998-08-15 23.09% @ Vostok 515 3 CSKA Almaty 727 2
13 1998-09-22 23.57% @ Khimik 261 1 Taraz 469 0
14 1998-04-21 23.97% Yelimay Semey 421 1 @ Taraz 476 0
15 1998-05-15 26.48% Khimik 123 1 @ Zhiger 156 0
16 1998-05-05 27.14% @ Shakter Karagandy 391 1 CSKA Almaty 567 0
17 1998-05-15 29.44% @ Kaisar 336 2 CSKA Almaty 493 1
18 1998-08-26 30.28% @ Astana 452 2 Vostok 603 1
19 1998-10-14 32.97% Kaisar 738 2 @ Batyr 719 1
20 1998-09-25 33.10% Kaisar 638 2 @ CSKA Almaty 617 1
21 1998-07-23 33.54% Zhiger 106 2 @ Bulat 82 0
22 1998-06-15 33.99% Astana 533 2 @ Vostok 506 1
23 1998-08-07 36.56% Yelimay Semey 637 3 @ Kaisar 591 2
24 1998-06-02 38.67% @ Batyr 559 2 Yelimay Semey 647 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1998-08-04 174.02 @ CSKA Almaty 2 514 13.75% Batyr 0 834 67.72% 18.52%
2 1998-10-14 165.83 @ Khimik 2 302 16.70% CSKA Almaty 0 583 64.68% 18.62%
3 1998-08-04 151.37 @ Kaisar 2 439 22.18% Vostok 0 661 59.08% 18.73%
4 1998-04-21 143.44 Batyr 3 397 16.78% @ Akzhayik 1 528 64.60% 18.62%
5 1998-07-23 123.86 Zhiger 2 106 33.54% @ Bulat 0 82 47.62% 18.84%
6 1998-06-02 112.36 @ Batyr 2 559 38.67% Yelimay Semey 0 647 42.48% 18.85%
7 1998-06-15 103.51 @ Bulat 1 42 6.61% CSKA Almaty 0 502 75.33% 18.05%
8 1998-10-04 102.63 @ Nasha Kampaniya 2 60 3.44% Vostok 1 640 79.06% 17.50%
9 1998-09-09 97.18 Irtysh 2 666 45.58% @ Vostok 0 556 35.58% 18.85%
10 1998-06-18 91.98 @ Batyr 2 697 47.87% Irtysh 0 719 33.29% 18.84%
11 1998-09-25 90.97 @ Vostok 1 545 14.64% Yelimay Semey 0 852 66.81% 18.56%
12 1998-06-15 89.50 @ Zhiger 3 42 42.80% Akzhayik 1 101 38.34% 18.85%
13 1998-08-18 85.91 @ Yelimay Semey 4 710 57.04% CSKA Almaty 1 657 24.19% 18.76%
14 1998-09-12 85.33 @ Vostok 2 459 14.95% Batyr 1 762 66.48% 18.57%
15 1998-06-29 84.69 @ CSKA Almaty 1 431 18.98% Yelimay Semey 0 686 62.34% 18.68%
16 1998-06-29 82.38 Vostok 1 505 20.64% @ Shakter Karagandy 0 592 60.65% 18.71%
17 1998-09-12 81.49 Khimik 3 180 62.57% @ Bulat 0 -77 18.76% 18.67%
18 1998-09-22 78.41 @ Khimik 1 261 23.57% Taraz 0 469 57.68% 18.76%
19 1998-08-18 78.09 @ Bulat 2 -104 53.79% Akzhayik 0 -129 27.41% 18.80%
20 1998-04-21 77.86 Yelimay Semey 1 421 23.97% @ Taraz 0 476 57.27% 18.76%
21 1998-09-25 76.56 @ Astana 4 572 68.47% Taraz 0 391 13.03% 18.49%
22 1998-05-15 76.41 Shakter Karagandy 2 465 54.49% @ Akzhayik 0 285 26.72% 18.79%
23 1998-04-24 75.10 Astana 2 398 22.64% @ Shakter Karagandy 1 466 58.62% 18.74%
24 1998-05-15 74.57 Khimik 1 123 26.48% @ Zhiger 0 156 54.73% 18.79%
25 1998-05-05 73.71 @ Shakter Karagandy 1 391 27.14% CSKA Almaty 0 567 54.06% 18.80%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1998-04-21 65.2 @ CSKA Almaty 3 574 68.88% Astana 3 387 12.64% 18.48%
2 1998-10-14 61.5 @ Nasha Kampaniya 2 163 76.12% Bulat 2 -169 5.92% 17.97%
3 1998-06-02 61.4 @ Shakter Karagandy 2 535 72.37% Taraz 2 289 9.33% 18.30%
4 1998-06-29 61.4 @ Khimik 2 203 8.10% Irtysh 2 625 73.70% 18.20%
5 1998-06-26 61.3 @ Akzhayik 2 -13 30.91% Nasha Kampaniya 2 132 50.26% 18.83%
6 1998-07-23 61.3 @ Irtysh 2 639 65.14% CSKA Almaty 2 502 16.25% 18.61%
7 1998-08-18 61.3 @ Zhiger 2 288 30.91% Taraz 2 433 50.26% 18.83%
8 1998-09-09 61.3 @ Yelimay Semey 2 828 59.31% Batyr 2 754 21.96% 18.73%
9 1998-10-04 58.6 @ Nasha Kampaniya 2 60 3.44% Vostok 1 640 79.06% 17.50%
10 1998-08-15 57.7 @ Vostok 3 515 23.09% CSKA Almaty 2 727 58.16% 18.75%
11 1998-10-04 56.0 @ Akzhayik 1 -275 3.02% Khimik 1 329 79.61% 17.38%
12 1998-06-18 55.7 @ Zhiger 1 132 9.68% Kaisar 1 520 72.00% 18.32%
13 1998-05-05 55.6 @ Khimik 1 114 26.70% Akzhayik 1 294 54.50% 18.79%
14 1998-05-15 55.6 @ Taraz 1 291 18.87% Astana 1 546 62.45% 18.67%
15 1998-06-26 55.6 @ Astana 1 527 36.91% Irtysh 1 627 44.24% 18.85%
16 1998-06-26 55.6 @ CSKA Almaty 1 432 40.80% Vostok 1 504 40.35% 18.85%
17 1998-06-26 55.6 @ Shakter Karagandy 1 590 37.33% Yelimay Semey 1 688 43.82% 18.85%
18 1998-06-29 55.6 @ Astana 1 529 17.97% Batyr 1 795 63.37% 18.65%
19 1998-07-20 55.6 @ Nasha Kampaniya 1 114 52.64% Zhiger 1 99 28.55% 18.81%
20 1998-09-12 55.6 @ Taraz 1 462 28.70% CSKA Almaty 1 625 52.49% 18.81%
21 1998-09-25 55.6 @ Khimik 1 339 56.96% Zhiger 1 287 24.28% 18.76%
22 1998-09-12 55.1 @ Vostok 2 459 14.95% Batyr 1 762 66.48% 18.57%
23 1998-08-07 53.6 Yelimay Semey 3 637 36.56% @ Kaisar 2 591 44.59% 18.85%
24 1998-04-24 52.8 Astana 2 398 22.64% @ Shakter Karagandy 1 466 58.62% 18.74%
25 1998-06-15 52.1 @ Bulat 1 42 6.61% CSKA Almaty 0 502 75.33% 18.05%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1998-10-17 22.8 @ Batyr 4 656 85.35% Akzhayik 0 -249 0.25% 14.39%
2 1998-09-22 22.9 @ Irtysh 4 731 85.21% Bulat 0 -159 0.28% 14.51%
3 1998-10-01 23.2 Astana 4 649 84.10% @ Akzhayik 0 -272 0.53% 15.38%
4 1998-10-04 23.2 Yelimay Semey 4 768 84.23% @ Bulat 0 -166 0.49% 15.28%
5 1998-09-12 23.4 Kaisar 4 619 83.56% @ Akzhayik 0 -250 0.70% 15.74%
6 1998-09-22 24.2 @ Batyr 6 677 82.02% Nasha Kampaniya 0 83 1.41% 16.58%
7 1998-05-05 24.3 @ Yelimay Semey 5 578 80.34% Bulat 0 86 2.48% 17.18%
8 1998-07-20 24.4 @ Yelimay Semey 3 601 82.89% Akzhayik 0 -61 0.97% 16.14%
9 1998-08-29 24.5 Taraz 4 377 79.71% @ Akzhayik 0 -232 2.94% 17.35%
10 1998-09-25 24.5 @ Shakter Karagandy 4 208 79.75% Akzhayik 0 -254 2.91% 17.34%
11 1998-10-01 24.5 Vostok 3 636 82.72% @ Bulat 0 -161 1.05% 16.23%
12 1998-05-15 24.6 Irtysh 4 658 79.30% @ Bulat 0 67 3.25% 17.45%
13 1998-05-02 24.7 @ Vostok 4 541 79.12% Bulat 0 107 3.39% 17.49%
14 1998-08-04 24.8 @ Taraz 5 373 78.64% Bulat 0 -41 3.77% 17.59%
15 1998-09-09 25.1 Astana 5 492 77.88% @ Bulat 0 -44 4.40% 17.72%
16 1998-08-26 25.2 @ CSKA Almaty 7 571 79.97% Nasha Kampaniya 0 98 2.74% 17.28%
17 1998-07-23 25.8 @ Batyr 4 794 75.50% Shakter Karagandy 0 479 6.46% 18.04%
18 1998-09-25 25.9 @ Batyr 2 690 84.85% Bulat 0 -160 0.34% 14.81%
19 1998-06-26 26.0 @ Kaisar 3 498 77.65% Bulat 0 120 4.59% 17.76%
20 1998-08-26 26.3 Zhiger 3 293 76.78% @ Akzhayik 0 -207 5.34% 17.88%
21 1998-09-25 26.4 @ Irtysh 2 732 82.89% Nasha Kampaniya 0 70 0.97% 16.14%
22 1998-08-07 26.5 @ Zhiger 3 260 76.06% Bulat 0 -70 5.97% 17.97%
23 1998-10-04 26.5 @ CSKA Almaty 3 555 76.03% Shakter Karagandy 0 226 6.00% 17.98%
24 1998-08-07 26.7 @ Taraz 3 402 75.19% Nasha Kampaniya 0 95 6.74% 18.07%
25 1998-06-05 26.9 @ Kaisar 5 409 71.80% Akzhayik 0 174 9.87% 18.33%