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2002 Kazakhstan Super League Season

189 games

Final

Champion

Irtysh

52 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Irtysh

11.05 points above expected

52 points · 40.95 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Yesil Bogatyr

9.02 points below expected

25 points · 34.02 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Irtysh 22 16 4 2 52 46 9 +37 40.95 +11.05
2 Atyrau 22 15 3 4 48 27 14 +13 40.24 +7.76
3 Astana-64 22 11 7 4 40 32 14 +18 42.98 -2.98
4 Tobol 22 11 4 7 37 33 27 +6 31.63 +5.37
5 Shakter Karagandy 22 10 6 6 36 32 21 +11 31.78 +4.22
6 Aktobe 22 10 4 8 34 24 26 -2 29.33 +4.67
7 Yelimay 22 9 6 7 33 26 28 -2 30.48 +2.52
8 Yesil Bogatyr 22 6 7 9 25 18 25 -7 34.02 -9.02
9 Kairat 22 6 6 10 24 24 29 -5 28.42 -4.42
10 Vostok 22 6 1 15 19 17 29 -12 21.47 -2.47
11 Kaisar 22 3 2 17 11 13 43 -30 18.81 -7.81
12 Esil Kokshetau 22 2 4 16 10 13 40 -27 17.76 -7.76
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Kairat 10 7 1 2 22 17 7 +10 — —
2 Kaisar 9 6 0 3 18 15 9 +6 — —
3 Atyrau 10 4 3 3 15 13 8 +5 — —
4 Tobol 9 4 3 2 15 12 13 -1 — —
5 Esil Kokshetau 10 4 2 4 14 12 16 -4 — —
6 Irtysh 8 3 4 1 13 11 5 +6 — —
7 Vostok 9 4 1 4 13 10 9 +1 — —
8 Yesil Bogatyr 10 4 0 6 12 13 10 +3 — —
9 Aktobe 9 3 3 3 12 10 11 -1 — —
10 Astana-64 10 3 3 4 12 8 9 -1 — —
11 Shakter Karagandy 10 1 4 5 7 10 18 -8 — —
12 Yelimay 10 2 0 8 6 7 23 -16 — —

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Irtysh 52 40.95 +11.05
2 Atyrau 48 40.24 +7.76
3 Tobol 37 31.63 +5.37
4 Aktobe 34 29.33 +4.67
5 Shakter Karagandy 36 31.78 +4.22

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Yesil Bogatyr 25 34.02 -9.02
2 Kaisar 11 18.81 -7.81
3 Esil Kokshetau 10 17.76 -7.76
4 Kairat 24 28.42 -4.42
5 Astana-64 40 42.98 -2.98

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vostok 4 May 7 – May 19 1 in 129
2 Esil Kokshetau 2 Aug 1 – Aug 7 1 in 32
3 Shakter Karagandy 5 Aug 7 – Sep 5 1 in 23
4 Irtysh 7 Jun 6 – Jul 22 1 in 19
5 Tobol 3 May 19 – May 28 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vostok 11 May 25 – Aug 1 1 in 640
2 Kaisar 11 Jul 3 – Sep 5 1 in 141
3 Yesil Bogatyr 3 May 16 – May 25 1 in 64
4 Esil Kokshetau 7 Jun 15 – Jul 22 1 in 46
5 Kairat 4 Aug 9 – Sep 3 1 in 30

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Irtysh 18 May 16 – Sep 3 1 in 86
2 Kairat 6 Jun 3 – Jul 3 1 in 24
3 Shakter Karagandy 6 Aug 1 – Sep 5 1 in 13
4 Vostok 4 May 7 – May 19 1 in 13
5 Yelimay 6 Jul 19 – Aug 20 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Esil Kokshetau 18 Apr 28 – Jul 29 1 in 95
2 Yesil Bogatyr 5 May 16 – Jun 3 1 in 19
3 Vostok 11 May 25 – Aug 1 1 in 17
4 Aktobe 5 Jun 3 – Jun 30 1 in 14
5 Shakter Karagandy 5 May 1 – May 19 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Irtysh 1099 65 -22 6 9.8 -3.8
Atyrau 994 60 +6 7 7.5 -0.5
Tobol 924 52 +60 12 6.4 +5.6
Astana-64 937 52 -57 4 7.1 -3.1
Kairat 815 46 +9 10 8.7 +1.3
Aktobe 832 43 +75 10 4.4 +5.6
Shakter Karagandy 857 40 -63 2 6.5 -4.5
Yelimay 585 39 -12 6 5.1 +0.9
Yesil Bogatyr 722 37 -75 3 7.9 -4.9
Vostok 632 32 -41 6 7.1 -1.1
Kaisar 718 29 +137 12 6.6 +5.4
Esil Kokshetau 608 24 -18 7 6.2 +0.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AKT AST ATY EK IRT KAI KAI SK TOB VOS YEL YB
Aktobe —
0-1-1
1.57
1-0-1
1.76
1-1-0
4.01
1-0-1
1.60
0-1-1
2.90
2-0-0
3.68
1-0-1
2.60
1-1-0
2.57
2-0-0
3.25
1-0-1
2.42
0-0-2
2.40
Astana-64
1-1-0
4.01
—
0-1-1
3.02
2-0-0
4.47
0-1-1
2.81
1-0-1
4.14
2-0-0
4.55
0-2-0
3.96
2-0-0
3.59
1-1-0
4.66
1-0-1
3.79
1-1-0
3.32
Atyrau
1-0-1
3.82
1-1-0
2.55
—
2-0-0
4.65
1-0-1
2.83
1-1-0
4.17
2-0-0
4.66
1-0-1
3.50
1-0-1
3.57
2-0-0
4.21
1-1-0
3.49
2-0-0
3.23
Esil Kokshetau
0-1-1
1.57
0-0-2
1.13
0-0-2
0.96
—
0-0-2
1.05
0-1-1
1.78
0-0-2
2.53
0-1-1
1.66
0-0-2
2.09
1-0-1
2.38
0-1-1
1.42
1-0-1
1.46
Irtysh
1-0-1
4.00
1-1-0
2.75
1-0-1
2.74
2-0-0
4.59
—
2-0-0
4.13
2-0-0
4.72
2-0-0
3.78
1-1-0
3.62
2-0-0
4.38
1-1-0
3.81
1-1-0
3.54
Kairat
1-1-0
2.66
1-0-1
1.44
0-1-1
1.41
1-1-0
3.80
0-0-2
1.44
—
1-0-1
3.39
0-1-1
2.32
1-0-1
2.25
0-0-2
3.79
1-0-1
2.57
0-2-0
2.25
Kaisar
0-0-2
1.89
0-0-2
1.06
0-0-2
0.94
2-0-0
3.03
0-0-2
0.89
1-0-1
2.18
—
0-0-2
0.85
0-1-1
1.90
0-0-2
2.78
0-1-1
1.85
0-0-2
1.67
Shakter Karagandy
1-0-1
2.96
0-2-0
1.62
1-0-1
2.07
1-1-0
3.94
0-0-2
1.80
1-1-0
3.24
2-0-0
4.78
—
0-0-2
2.83
2-0-0
3.44
1-1-0
2.72
1-1-0
2.50
Tobol
0-1-1
3.00
0-0-2
1.98
1-0-1
2.00
2-0-0
3.50
0-1-1
1.95
1-0-1
3.31
1-1-0
3.67
2-0-0
2.73
—
2-0-0
3.58
1-0-1
2.99
1-1-0
2.59
Vostok
0-0-2
2.33
0-1-1
0.95
0-0-2
1.40
1-0-1
3.18
0-0-2
1.22
2-0-0
1.78
2-0-0
2.78
0-0-2
2.12
0-0-2
1.98
—
0-0-2
2.19
1-0-1
1.73
Yelimay
1-0-1
3.14
1-0-1
1.79
0-1-1
2.08
1-1-0
4.16
0-1-1
1.77
1-0-1
2.99
1-1-0
3.74
0-1-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.57
2-0-0
3.38
—
1-1-0
2.04
Yesil Bogatyr
2-0-0
3.17
0-1-1
2.26
0-0-2
2.34
1-0-1
4.13
0-1-1
2.04
0-2-0
3.31
2-0-0
3.91
0-1-1
3.08
0-1-1
2.99
1-0-1
3.85
0-1-1
3.53
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.80 +12.5
Allowed 0.87 -12.4
Differential 0.91 +6.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.47%12.43%6.08%3.44%0.79%1.59%32.80%
112.43%10.58%6.61%3.17%2.12%0.26%35.19%
26.08%6.61%1.59%1.85%0.26%—16.40%
33.44%3.17%1.85%—0.26%—8.73%
40.79%2.12%0.26%0.26%——3.44%
5+1.59%0.26%———1.59%3.44%
Total32.80%35.19%16.40%8.73%3.44%3.44%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.16 1.16 +0.00
SD 1.22 1.22 1.82
CV 1.06 1.06 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min -1 -1 -5

Games Played: 189

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.90%6.45%————19.35%
119.35%6.45%16.13%3.23%6.45%—51.61%
2—12.90%3.23%3.23%——19.35%
3—3.23%3.23%———6.45%
4———————
5+—————3.23%3.23%
Total32.26%29.03%22.58%6.45%6.45%3.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.16 -0.10
SD 0.89 1.24 1.22
CV 0.84 1.07 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 31

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%12.50%6.25%———31.25%
19.38%18.75%6.25%———34.38%
29.38%9.38%————18.75%
36.25%6.25%————12.50%
4———————
5+3.12%—————3.12%
Total40.62%46.88%12.50%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 0.72 +0.53
SD 1.22 0.68 1.54
CV 0.97 0.95 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%15.62%——3.12%—25.00%
125.00%9.38%————34.38%
215.62%6.25%3.12%———25.00%
33.12%3.12%——3.12%—9.38%
4—3.12%————3.12%
5+—————3.12%3.12%
Total50.00%37.50%3.12%—6.25%3.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 0.66 +0.56
SD 1.13 1.07 1.44
CV 0.93 1.62 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%15.62%9.38%9.38%3.12%3.12%46.88%
16.25%12.50%6.25%12.50%3.12%—40.62%
2—3.12%————3.12%
36.25%—————6.25%
4——3.12%———3.12%
5+———————
Total18.75%31.25%18.75%21.88%6.25%3.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.78 1.75 -0.97
SD 1.01 1.34 1.86
CV 1.29 0.77 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%3.33%————16.67%
120.00%10.00%6.67%———36.67%
23.33%6.67%3.33%———13.33%
313.33%3.33%————16.67%
46.67%—————6.67%
5+6.67%3.33%————10.00%
Total63.33%26.67%10.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.90 0.47 +1.43
SD 1.56 0.68 1.77
CV 0.82 1.46 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%15.62%6.25%3.12%3.12%—34.38%
115.62%12.50%9.38%———37.50%
2—6.25%3.12%———9.38%
3—3.12%6.25%———9.38%
4—3.12%————3.12%
5+6.25%—————6.25%
Total28.12%40.62%25.00%3.12%3.12%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.12 +0.16
SD 1.44 0.98 1.90
CV 1.13 0.87 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.23%19.35%9.68%3.23%—6.45%41.94%
1—3.23%6.45%9.68%6.45%—25.81%
212.90%9.68%————22.58%
33.23%—3.23%———6.45%
4———————
5+—————3.23%3.23%
Total19.35%32.26%19.35%12.90%6.45%9.68%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 1.65 -0.77
SD 1.02 1.52 2.00
CV 1.18 0.92 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min -1 -1 -5

Games Played: 31

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%6.25%9.38%3.12%——31.25%
16.25%15.62%9.38%—3.12%—34.38%
23.12%—3.12%3.12%——9.38%
3—9.38%————9.38%
43.12%6.25%—3.12%——12.50%
5+—————3.12%3.12%
Total25.00%37.50%21.88%9.38%3.12%3.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.19 +0.09
SD 1.42 1.12 1.69
CV 1.11 0.94 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.45%3.23%6.45%3.23%—6.45%25.81%
112.90%12.90%3.23%3.23%——32.26%
23.23%9.68%3.23%3.23%——19.35%
39.68%3.23%3.23%———16.13%
4—6.45%————6.45%
5+———————
Total32.26%35.48%16.13%9.68%—6.45%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.29 +0.16
SD 1.23 1.37 2.11
CV 0.85 1.06 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 31

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.23%25.81%6.45%9.68%——45.16%
112.90%3.23%3.23%3.23%——22.58%
23.23%6.45%—6.45%——16.13%
3—6.45%————6.45%
4—3.23%————3.23%
5+—————6.45%6.45%
Total19.35%45.16%9.68%19.35%—6.45%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 1.16 -0.35
SD 1.19 1.16 1.56
CV 1.48 1.00 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 31

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%6.25%12.50%3.12%—3.12%37.50%
115.62%6.25%—3.12%6.25%3.12%34.38%
29.38%——6.25%3.12%—18.75%
3——6.25%———6.25%
4—3.12%————3.12%
5+———————
Total37.50%15.62%18.75%12.50%9.38%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.59 -0.56
SD 1.06 1.62 1.92
CV 1.03 1.02 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%18.75%6.25%6.25%——37.50%
16.25%15.62%12.50%3.12%——37.50%
212.50%9.38%————21.88%
3———————
4———————
5+3.12%—————3.12%
Total28.12%43.75%18.75%9.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.09 -0.12
SD 1.06 0.93 1.66
CV 1.10 0.85 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 32

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Irtysh 1099 52 40.95 +11.05 100.0% 31 32 37 42 45 49 52
Atyrau 994 48 40.24 +7.76 96.0% 26 30 36 41 44 48 55
Astana-64 937 40 42.98 -2.98 30.0% 29 34 40 44 47 50 55
Tobol 924 37 31.63 +5.37 86.0% 18 21 28 32 35 41 46
Shakter Karagandy 857 36 31.78 +4.22 78.0% 20 23 28 31 36 42 44
Aktobe 832 34 29.33 +4.67 84.0% 14 20 25 30 33 38 42
Kairat 815 24 28.42 -4.42 24.0% 15 19 25 28 32 39 42
Yesil Bogatyr 722 25 34.02 -9.02 11.0% 21 24 30 34 37 43 50
Kaisar 718 11 18.81 -7.81 9.0% 8 10 15 19 22 27 32
Vostok 632 19 21.47 -2.47 37.0% 9 13 18 21 25 30 36
Esil Kokshetau 608 10 17.76 -7.76 8.0% 7 9 15 17 21 25 28
Yelimay 585 33 30.48 +2.52 66.0% 17 21 27 30 35 40 46

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 19% * Slight Edge: 19% to 25% * Clear Edge: 25% to 31% * Strong Edge: 31% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+38.10%
Strong Edge
58.73%20.63%20.63%
Elo Value
Home Edge
203 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0132.98600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.83 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.66+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.03 * Tight Race: 0.03 to 0.1 * Comfortable: 0.1 to 0.17 * Runaway: 0.17 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.2
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
26%
Irtysh, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.18/gm
Runaway
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.41 * Some Luck: 4.41 to 6.61 * Lucky: 6.61 to 8.82 * Wild Swing: 8.82 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.25 * Close: 1.25 to 1.88 * Off: 1.88 to 2.51 * Way Off: 2.51 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.42 points
Some Luck
05.5114
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.574
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Irtysh
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
8.00%
Esil Kokshetau
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.23 * Lopsided: 0.23 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.75 * Moderate Separation: 1.75 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70.5% * Slight Edge: 70.5% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 79% * Wide Edge: 79% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 95% * Strong Edge: 95% to 98.5% * Dominant: 98.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 64% * Frequent: 64% to 67.5% * Very Frequent: 67.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 13.5% * Occasional: 13.5% to 15.5% * Frequent: 15.5% to 18.5% * Very Frequent: 18.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.24
Lopsided
00.170.230.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 170.60
2.10
Strong Separation
0.91.752.353
Interquartile Edge
80%
Wide Edge
50%70.5%79%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
96%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Frequent
0%59%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Frequent
0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.41 * Slight Separation: 0.41 to 0.45 * Notable Separation: 0.45 to 0.49 * Lopsided: 0.49 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.64 * Strong Carryover: 0.64 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 20.5% * Upset-Prone: 20.5% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 18% * Shaky Favorites: 18% to 19.5% * Very Shaky: 19.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.52
Highly Predictable
00.552
Matchup Imbalance
0.46
Notable Separation
00.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.41
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.70
Near-Lock
00.470.641
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
As Expected
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.60
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.95
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.087
Well Within Noise
00.1120.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Irtysh26.00%35.00%12.00%10.00%11.00%5.00%—1.00%————
Atyrau21.00%26.00%25.00%8.00%8.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%———
Astana-6445.00%20.00%21.00%8.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%—————
Tobol2.00%4.00%7.00%14.00%13.00%16.00%16.00%11.00%8.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%
Shakter Karagandy2.00%6.00%9.00%11.00%17.00%15.00%11.00%12.00%12.00%5.00%——
Aktobe——5.00%9.00%11.00%10.00%23.00%15.00%13.00%9.00%4.00%1.00%
Yelimay1.00%1.00%8.00%7.00%16.00%20.00%14.00%12.00%9.00%7.00%3.00%2.00%
Yesil Bogatyr3.00%6.00%10.00%26.00%12.00%12.00%11.00%7.00%9.00%3.00%1.00%—
Kairat—2.00%3.00%5.00%9.00%10.00%14.00%21.00%22.00%8.00%5.00%1.00%
Vostok———1.00%—3.00%6.00%9.00%12.00%32.00%26.00%11.00%
Kaisar———1.00%1.00%1.00%—5.00%7.00%15.00%32.00%38.00%
Esil Kokshetau——————1.00%4.00%7.00%17.00%25.00%46.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff final Lost relegation playoff
Aktobe 97.00% 3.00% —
Astana-64 100% — —
Atyrau 100% — —
Irtysh 100% — —
Shakter Karagandy 99.00% 1.00% —
Tobol 100% — —
Yesil Bogatyr 99.00% 1.00% —
Yelimay 97.00% 2.00% 1.00%
Kairat 93.00% 5.00% 2.00%
Vostok 57.00% 23.00% 20.00%
Esil Kokshetau 39.00% 34.00% 27.00%
Kaisar 19.00% 31.00% 50.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2002-04-28 Aktobe L 1-252.2 719 746 53.24% 21.94% 24.82%+0.53 -25.2 0
2002-04-28 @ Vostok W 2-152.2 746 719 24.82% 21.94% 53.24%-0.53 +25.2 3
2002-04-28 Atyrau D 1-155.2 784 899 41.74% 22.23% 36.03%+0.09 -0.6 1
2002-04-28 @ Yelimay D 1-155.2 899 784 36.03% 22.23% 41.74%-0.09 +0.6 1
2002-04-28 Kairat W 4-030.0 837 800 59.96% 21.49% 18.54%+0.84 +39.6 3
2002-04-28 @ Irtysh L 0-430.0 800 837 18.54% 21.49% 59.96%-0.84 -39.6 0
2002-04-28 Tobol L 1-251.3 738 792 49.85% 22.07% 28.08%+0.39 -23.7 0
2002-04-28 @ Esil Kokshetau W 2-151.3 792 738 28.08% 22.07% 49.85%-0.39 +23.8 3
2002-04-28 Astana-64 D 1-155.2 924 955 52.66% 21.96% 25.38%+0.50 -3.1 1
2002-04-28 @ Yesil Bogatyr D 1-155.2 955 924 25.38% 21.96% 52.66%-0.50 +3.1 1
2002-05-01 Aktobe W 4-136.1 783 771 57.45% 21.69% 20.86%+0.72 +28.4 4
2002-05-01 @ Yelimay L 1-436.1 771 783 20.86% 21.69% 57.45%-0.72 -28.4 3
2002-05-01 Atyrau L 0-139.0 694 899 29.47% 22.11% 48.41%-0.36 -16.4 0
2002-05-01 @ Vostok W 1-039.0 899 694 48.41% 22.11% 29.47%+0.36 +16.4 4
2002-05-01 Kairat D 2-261.4 804 760 60.64% 21.43% 17.93%+0.87 -3.8 1
2002-05-01 @ Shakter Karagandy D 2-261.4 760 804 17.93% 21.43% 60.64%-0.87 +3.8 1
2002-05-01 Kaisar W 5-027.7 876 727 68.97% 20.29% 10.74%+1.39 +29.4 6
2002-05-01 @ Irtysh L 0-527.7 727 876 10.74% 20.29% 68.97%-1.39 -29.4 0
2002-05-01 Esil Kokshetau W 3-026.1 958 714 74.36% 18.94% 6.69%+1.86 +11.4 4
2002-05-01 @ Astana-64 L 0-326.1 714 958 6.69% 18.94% 74.36%-1.86 -11.4 0
2002-05-01 Tobol D 1-155.6 921 816 65.78% 20.83% 13.39%+1.17 -6.3 2
2002-05-01 @ Yesil Bogatyr D 1-155.6 816 921 13.39% 20.83% 65.78%-1.17 +6.3 4
2002-05-07 Irtysh W 2-149.2 742 906 34.93% 22.22% 42.85%-0.15 +20.9 6
2002-05-07 @ Aktobe L 1-249.2 906 742 42.85% 22.22% 34.93%+0.15 -20.9 6
2002-05-07 Yesil Bogatyr L 0-235.6 703 914 28.70% 22.09% 49.21%-0.39 -30.3 0
2002-05-07 @ Esil Kokshetau W 2-035.6 914 703 49.21% 22.09% 28.70%+0.39 +30.3 5
2002-05-07 Shakter Karagandy W 1-033.6 916 801 66.57% 20.71% 12.71%+1.22 +7.8 7
2002-05-07 @ Atyrau L 0-133.6 801 916 12.71% 20.71% 66.57%-1.22 -7.8 1
2002-05-07 Vostok L 1-255.3 764 678 64.29% 21.03% 14.68%+1.08 -30.2 1
2002-05-07 @ Kairat W 2-155.3 678 764 14.68% 21.03% 64.29%-1.08 +30.2 3
2002-05-07 Yelimay D 0-049.9 698 811 41.98% 22.23% 35.79%+0.10 -0.7 1
2002-05-07 @ Kaisar D 0-049.9 811 698 35.79% 22.23% 41.98%-0.10 +0.7 5
2002-05-07 Astana-64 L 1-247.5 822 969 37.23% 22.23% 40.53%-0.07 -18.7 4
2002-05-07 @ Tobol W 2-147.5 969 822 40.53% 22.23% 37.23%+0.07 +18.7 7
2002-05-10 Irtysh W 1-035.5 924 885 60.09% 21.48% 18.42%+0.85 +11.0 10
2002-05-10 @ Atyrau L 0-135.5 885 924 18.42% 21.48% 60.09%-0.85 -11.0 6
2002-05-10 Shakter Karagandy W 2-143.8 763 793 52.84% 21.95% 25.20%+0.51 +13.6 9
2002-05-10 @ Aktobe L 1-243.8 793 763 25.20% 21.95% 52.84%-0.51 -13.6 1
2002-05-10 Vostok L 0-146.6 697 708 54.95% 21.85% 23.20%+0.60 -27.5 1
2002-05-10 @ Kaisar W 1-046.6 708 697 23.20% 21.85% 54.95%-0.60 +27.5 6
2002-05-10 Yelimay W 1-039.5 734 812 46.74% 22.16% 31.10%+0.27 +17.2 4
2002-05-10 @ Kairat L 0-139.5 812 734 31.10% 22.16% 46.74%-0.27 -17.2 5
2002-05-16 Kaisar W 1-033.7 777 670 65.99% 20.80% 13.21%+1.18 +8.1 12
2002-05-16 @ Aktobe L 0-133.7 670 777 13.21% 20.80% 65.99%-1.18 -8.1 1
2002-05-16 Yesil Bogatyr W 2-039.3 795 945 36.82% 22.23% 40.95%-0.08 +40.2 8
2002-05-16 @ Yelimay L 0-239.3 945 795 40.95% 22.23% 36.82%+0.08 -40.2 5
2002-05-16 Esil Kokshetau W 3-137.7 736 673 62.32% 21.27% 16.41%+0.97 +16.2 9
2002-05-16 @ Vostok L 1-337.7 673 736 16.41% 21.27% 62.32%-0.97 -16.2 0
2002-05-16 Tobol W 5-029.5 874 804 62.97% 21.19% 15.84%+1.00 +42.4 9
2002-05-16 @ Irtysh L 0-529.5 804 874 15.84% 21.19% 62.97%-1.00 -42.4 4
2002-05-16 Astana-64 D 1-155.2 779 988 29.01% 22.10% 48.89%-0.37 +2.2 2
2002-05-16 @ Shakter Karagandy D 1-155.2 988 779 48.89% 22.10% 29.01%+0.37 -2.2 8
2002-05-19 Yesil Bogatyr W 2-148.8 752 904 36.41% 22.23% 41.36%-0.10 +20.3 12
2002-05-19 @ Vostok L 1-248.8 904 752 41.36% 22.23% 36.41%+0.10 -20.3 5
2002-05-19 Esil Kokshetau W 1-032.3 835 657 70.82% 19.90% 9.28%+1.54 +5.8 11
2002-05-19 @ Yelimay L 0-132.3 657 835 9.28% 19.90% 70.82%-1.54 -5.8 0
2002-05-19 Tobol L 0-147.5 781 761 58.25% 21.63% 20.12%+0.75 -29.1 2
2002-05-19 @ Shakter Karagandy W 1-047.5 761 781 20.12% 21.63% 58.25%-0.75 +29.1 7
2002-05-19 Astana-64 W 1-039.2 916 986 47.92% 22.13% 29.96%+0.31 +16.6 12
2002-05-19 @ Irtysh L 0-139.2 986 916 29.96% 22.13% 47.92%-0.31 -16.6 8
2002-05-20 Aktobe D 1-155.2 751 785 52.28% 21.98% 25.74%+0.49 -3.0 5
2002-05-20 @ Kairat D 1-155.2 785 751 25.74% 21.98% 52.28%-0.49 +3.0 13
2002-05-20 Kaisar W 2-027.6 935 661 75.77% 18.47% 5.76%+2.00 +6.7 13
2002-05-20 @ Atyrau L 0-227.6 661 935 5.76% 18.47% 75.77%-2.00 -6.7 1
2002-05-25 Atyrau W 1-042.6 788 941 36.33% 22.23% 41.44%-0.10 +21.5 16
2002-05-25 @ Aktobe L 0-142.6 941 788 41.44% 22.23% 36.33%+0.10 -21.6 13
2002-05-25 Irtysh L 1-339.2 651 933 20.92% 21.70% 57.39%-0.74 -20.1 0
2002-05-25 @ Esil Kokshetau W 3-139.2 933 651 57.39% 21.70% 20.92%+0.74 +20.1 15
2002-05-25 Kairat W 2-146.2 655 748 44.80% 22.19% 33.01%+0.20 +17.0 4
2002-05-25 @ Kaisar L 1-246.2 748 655 33.01% 22.19% 44.80%-0.20 -17.0 5
2002-05-25 Shakter Karagandy L 0-150.0 884 752 67.78% 20.51% 11.71%+1.31 -33.7 5
2002-05-25 @ Yesil Bogatyr W 1-050.0 752 884 11.71% 20.51% 67.78%-1.31 +33.7 5
2002-05-25 Vostok W 3-031.0 790 772 58.10% 21.65% 20.26%+0.75 +32.8 10
2002-05-25 @ Tobol L 0-331.0 772 790 20.26% 21.65% 58.10%-0.75 -32.8 12
2002-05-25 Yelimay W 2-030.1 969 841 67.52% 20.56% 11.92%+1.29 +13.9 11
2002-05-25 @ Astana-64 L 0-230.1 841 969 11.92% 20.56% 67.52%-1.29 -13.9 11
2002-05-28 Irtysh D 1-155.2 850 953 43.49% 22.21% 34.30%+0.15 -1.0 6
2002-05-28 @ Yesil Bogatyr D 1-155.2 953 850 34.30% 22.21% 43.49%-0.15 +1.0 16
2002-05-28 Shakter Karagandy D 1-155.2 631 786 36.05% 22.23% 41.73%-0.11 +0.6 1
2002-05-28 @ Esil Kokshetau D 1-155.2 786 631 41.73% 22.23% 36.05%+0.11 -0.6 6
2002-05-28 Vostok W 3-026.1 983 739 74.37% 18.94% 6.68%+1.86 +11.4 14
2002-05-28 @ Astana-64 L 0-326.1 739 983 6.68% 18.94% 74.37%-1.86 -11.4 12
2002-05-28 Yelimay W 3-139.6 823 827 55.76% 21.80% 22.44%+0.64 +21.4 13
2002-05-28 @ Tobol L 1-339.6 827 823 22.44% 21.80% 55.76%-0.64 -21.4 11
2002-05-29 Kairat W 1-032.1 920 731 71.44% 19.76% 8.80%+1.59 +5.5 16
2002-05-29 @ Atyrau L 0-132.1 731 920 8.80% 19.76% 71.44%-1.59 -5.5 5
2002-06-03 Irtysh D 0-049.9 806 954 37.02% 22.23% 40.75%-0.08 +0.4 12
2002-06-03 @ Yelimay D 0-049.9 954 806 40.75% 22.23% 37.02%+0.08 -0.4 17
2002-06-03 Yesil Bogatyr W 1-034.5 925 849 63.45% 21.14% 15.42%+1.03 +9.4 19
2002-06-03 @ Atyrau L 0-134.5 849 925 15.42% 21.14% 63.45%-1.03 -9.4 6
2002-06-03 Esil Kokshetau D 0-050.6 810 631 70.80% 19.91% 9.29%+1.53 -8.5 17
2002-06-03 @ Aktobe D 0-050.6 631 810 9.29% 19.91% 70.80%-1.53 +8.5 2
2002-06-03 Tobol W 3-144.0 725 845 41.16% 22.23% 36.61%+0.07 +31.9 8
2002-06-03 @ Kairat L 1-344.0 845 725 36.61% 22.23% 41.16%-0.07 -31.9 13
2002-06-03 Vostok W 1-035.0 785 728 61.85% 21.32% 16.84%+0.94 +10.2 9
2002-06-03 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-135.0 728 785 16.84% 21.32% 61.85%-0.94 -10.1 12
2002-06-03 Astana-64 L 0-135.1 672 994 17.28% 21.37% 61.35%-0.94 -10.4 4
2002-06-03 @ Kaisar W 1-035.1 994 672 61.35% 21.37% 17.28%+0.94 +10.4 17
2002-06-06 Yesil Bogatyr L 1-251.8 801 840 51.71% 22.00% 26.29%+0.46 -24.5 17
2002-06-06 @ Aktobe W 2-151.8 840 801 26.29% 22.00% 51.71%-0.46 +24.5 9
2002-06-06 Esil Kokshetau W 2-027.4 935 640 76.73% 18.11% 5.16%+2.11 +6.0 22
2002-06-06 @ Atyrau L 0-227.4 640 935 5.16% 18.11% 76.73%-2.11 -6.0 2
2002-06-06 Shakter Karagandy W 2-029.5 954 796 69.54% 20.18% 10.28%+1.43 +12.0 20
2002-06-06 @ Irtysh L 0-229.5 796 954 10.28% 20.18% 69.54%-1.43 -12.0 9
2002-06-06 Tobol D 1-155.2 661 813 36.59% 22.23% 41.18%-0.09 +0.5 5
2002-06-06 @ Kaisar D 1-155.2 813 661 41.18% 22.23% 36.59%+0.09 -0.5 14
2002-06-06 Astana-64 W 2-152.3 757 1005 24.49% 21.92% 53.59%-0.57 +25.4 11
2002-06-06 @ Kairat L 1-252.3 1005 757 53.59% 21.92% 24.49%+0.57 -25.3 17
2002-06-07 Yelimay L 2-354.9 718 806 45.43% 22.18% 32.39%+0.22 -20.8 12
2002-06-07 @ Vostok W 3-254.9 806 718 32.39% 22.18% 45.43%-0.22 +20.8 15
2002-06-12 Aktobe D 0-050.1 812 777 59.81% 21.51% 18.68%+0.83 -5.4 15
2002-06-12 @ Tobol D 0-050.1 777 812 18.68% 21.51% 59.81%-0.83 +5.4 18
2002-06-12 Atyrau D 1-155.4 979 941 60.11% 21.48% 18.41%+0.85 -4.9 18
2002-06-12 @ Astana-64 D 1-155.4 941 979 18.41% 21.48% 60.11%-0.85 +4.9 23
2002-06-12 Irtysh L 0-136.8 697 966 22.26% 21.79% 55.95%-0.67 -13.0 12
2002-06-12 @ Vostok W 1-036.8 966 697 55.95% 21.79% 22.26%+0.67 +13.0 23
2002-06-12 Kairat D 1-155.2 634 783 36.97% 22.23% 40.80%-0.08 +0.4 3
2002-06-12 @ Esil Kokshetau D 1-155.2 783 634 40.80% 22.23% 36.97%+0.08 -0.4 12
2002-06-12 Kaisar W 2-028.7 865 662 72.23% 19.56% 8.21%+1.66 +9.6 12
2002-06-12 @ Yesil Bogatyr L 0-228.7 662 865 8.21% 19.56% 72.23%-1.66 -9.6 5
2002-06-12 Yelimay W 4-138.0 783 827 51.19% 22.02% 26.79%+0.44 +35.1 12
2002-06-12 @ Shakter Karagandy L 1-438.0 827 783 26.79% 22.02% 51.19%-0.44 -35.1 15
2002-06-15 Aktobe W 2-138.2 975 782 71.65% 19.71% 8.65%+1.61 +5.1 21
2002-06-15 @ Astana-64 L 1-238.2 782 975 8.65% 19.71% 71.65%-1.61 -5.1 18
2002-06-15 Atyrau W 1-042.0 807 946 38.40% 22.24% 39.37%-0.03 +20.7 18
2002-06-15 @ Tobol L 0-142.0 946 807 39.37% 22.24% 38.40%+0.03 -20.7 23
2002-06-15 Kairat D 1-155.5 874 782 64.80% 20.97% 14.24%+1.11 -6.1 13
2002-06-15 @ Yesil Bogatyr D 1-155.5 782 874 14.24% 20.97% 64.80%-1.11 +6.1 13
2002-06-15 Kaisar L 1-252.5 634 652 54.18% 21.89% 23.93%+0.57 -25.6 3
2002-06-15 @ Esil Kokshetau W 2-152.5 652 634 23.93% 21.89% 54.18%-0.57 +25.6 8
2002-06-30 Yesil Bogatyr D 1-155.2 788 868 46.54% 22.16% 31.30%+0.26 -1.7 14
2002-06-30 @ Kairat D 1-155.2 868 788 31.30% 22.16% 46.54%-0.26 +1.7 14
2002-06-30 Esil Kokshetau W 2-031.5 678 609 62.87% 21.20% 15.92%+1.00 +18.2 11
2002-06-30 @ Kaisar L 0-231.5 609 678 15.92% 21.20% 62.87%-1.00 -18.2 3
2002-06-30 Tobol W 2-030.8 925 827 65.21% 20.91% 13.88%+1.14 +16.0 26
2002-06-30 @ Atyrau L 0-230.8 827 925 13.88% 20.91% 65.21%-1.14 -16.0 18
2002-06-30 Astana-64 D 0-049.9 777 980 29.76% 22.12% 48.12%-0.34 +2.3 19
2002-06-30 @ Aktobe D 0-049.9 980 777 48.12% 22.12% 29.76%+0.34 -2.3 22
2002-07-03 Yesil Bogatyr L 0-140.3 696 870 33.50% 22.20% 44.30%-0.20 -18.2 11
2002-07-03 @ Kaisar W 1-040.3 870 696 44.30% 22.20% 33.50%+0.20 +18.2 17
2002-07-03 Esil Kokshetau W 1-032.0 787 590 71.85% 19.65% 8.50%+1.62 +5.3 17
2002-07-03 @ Kairat L 0-132.0 590 787 8.50% 19.65% 71.85%-1.62 -5.3 3
2002-07-03 Shakter Karagandy D 0-050.0 792 819 53.16% 21.94% 24.90%+0.52 -3.6 16
2002-07-03 @ Yelimay D 0-050.0 819 792 24.90% 21.94% 53.16%-0.52 +3.6 13
2002-07-03 Tobol W 1-037.8 779 811 52.51% 21.97% 25.53%+0.50 +14.6 22
2002-07-03 @ Aktobe L 0-137.8 811 779 25.53% 21.97% 52.51%-0.50 -14.6 18
2002-07-03 Vostok W 1-030.5 979 684 76.72% 18.12% 5.17%+2.11 +3.2 26
2002-07-03 @ Irtysh L 0-130.5 684 979 5.17% 18.12% 76.72%-2.11 -3.2 12
2002-07-03 Astana-64 W 1-037.9 941 977 52.02% 21.99% 25.99%+0.48 +14.8 29
2002-07-03 @ Atyrau L 0-137.9 977 941 25.99% 21.99% 52.02%-0.48 -14.8 22
2002-07-10 Aktobe W 2-140.2 888 794 64.97% 20.94% 14.08%+1.12 +8.1 20
2002-07-10 @ Yesil Bogatyr L 1-240.2 794 888 14.08% 20.94% 64.97%-1.12 -8.1 22
2002-07-10 Atyrau L 0-133.9 585 956 13.70% 20.88% 65.41%-1.17 -8.4 3
2002-07-10 @ Esil Kokshetau W 1-033.9 956 585 65.41% 20.88% 13.70%+1.17 +8.4 32
2002-07-10 Irtysh L 1-247.0 822 982 35.45% 22.22% 42.33%-0.13 -18.0 13
2002-07-10 @ Shakter Karagandy W 2-147.0 982 822 42.33% 22.22% 35.45%+0.13 +18.0 29
2002-07-10 Kairat W 1-032.4 963 792 70.34% 20.01% 9.65%+1.50 +6.0 25
2002-07-10 @ Astana-64 L 0-132.4 792 963 9.65% 20.01% 70.34%-1.50 -6.0 17
2002-07-10 Kaisar W 4-133.3 797 678 66.87% 20.66% 12.47%+1.24 +17.8 21
2002-07-10 @ Tobol L 1-433.3 678 797 12.47% 20.66% 66.87%-1.24 -17.8 11
2002-07-10 Vostok W 1-033.7 788 681 65.99% 20.80% 13.21%+1.18 +8.1 19
2002-07-10 @ Yelimay L 0-133.7 681 788 13.21% 20.80% 65.99%-1.18 -8.1 12
2002-07-13 Aktobe L 0-138.9 577 786 29.00% 22.10% 48.90%-0.37 -16.2 3
2002-07-13 @ Esil Kokshetau W 1-038.9 786 577 48.90% 22.10% 29.00%+0.37 +16.2 25
2002-07-13 Atyrau L 1-347.4 896 964 48.12% 22.12% 29.76%+0.32 -39.9 20
2002-07-13 @ Yesil Bogatyr W 3-147.4 964 896 29.76% 22.12% 48.12%-0.32 +39.9 35
2002-07-13 Kairat W 3-030.7 815 786 59.14% 21.56% 19.30%+0.80 +31.4 24
2002-07-13 @ Tobol L 0-330.7 786 815 19.30% 21.56% 59.14%-0.80 -31.4 17
2002-07-13 Kaisar W 3-133.2 969 660 77.30% 17.88% 4.81%+2.18 +4.8 28
2002-07-13 @ Astana-64 L 1-333.2 660 969 4.81% 17.88% 77.30%-2.18 -4.8 11
2002-07-13 Yelimay W 5-129.8 1000 796 72.26% 19.55% 8.19%+1.66 +15.2 32
2002-07-13 @ Irtysh L 1-529.8 796 1000 8.19% 19.55% 72.26%-1.66 -15.2 19
2002-07-14 Shakter Karagandy L 1-344.9 673 804 39.43% 22.24% 38.33%+0.01 -33.8 12
2002-07-14 @ Vostok W 3-144.9 804 673 38.33% 22.24% 39.43%-0.01 +33.8 16
2002-07-19 Atyrau D 0-050.0 754 1004 24.28% 21.91% 53.81%-0.57 +3.8 18
2002-07-19 @ Kairat D 0-050.0 1004 754 53.81% 21.91% 24.28%+0.57 -3.8 36
2002-07-19 Yesil Bogatyr W 3-027.6 1015 856 69.58% 20.17% 10.25%+1.44 +17.4 35
2002-07-19 @ Irtysh L 0-327.6 856 1015 10.25% 20.17% 69.58%-1.44 -17.4 20
2002-07-19 Esil Kokshetau W 4-025.2 838 560 75.96% 18.40% 5.64%+2.02 +12.5 19
2002-07-19 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-425.2 560 838 5.64% 18.40% 75.96%-2.02 -12.5 3
2002-07-19 Tobol W 3-250.0 781 846 48.50% 22.11% 29.39%+0.34 +14.7 22
2002-07-19 @ Yelimay L 2-350.0 846 781 29.39% 22.11% 48.50%-0.34 -14.6 24
2002-07-22 Kaisar W 5-028.7 758 655 65.65% 20.85% 13.50%+1.16 +36.5 21
2002-07-22 @ Kairat L 0-528.7 655 758 13.50% 20.85% 65.65%-1.16 -36.5 11
2002-07-22 Yesil Bogatyr D 0-050.1 850 839 57.39% 21.70% 20.92%+0.71 -4.7 20
2002-07-22 @ Shakter Karagandy D 0-050.1 839 850 20.92% 21.70% 57.39%-0.71 +4.7 21
2002-07-22 Esil Kokshetau W 3-023.5 1032 548 83.31% 14.74% 1.96%+3.04 +3.1 38
2002-07-22 @ Irtysh L 0-323.5 548 1032 1.96% 14.74% 83.31%-3.04 -3.1 3
2002-07-22 Tobol L 0-139.5 639 831 31.06% 22.15% 46.78%-0.29 -17.1 12
2002-07-22 @ Vostok W 1-039.5 831 639 46.78% 22.15% 31.06%+0.29 +17.1 27
2002-07-23 Aktobe W 1-032.0 1000 802 71.98% 19.62% 8.40%+1.63 +5.2 39
2002-07-23 @ Atyrau L 0-132.0 802 1000 8.40% 19.62% 71.98%-1.63 -5.2 25
2002-07-29 Atyrau L 1-239.7 619 1005 12.65% 20.70% 66.65%-1.25 -7.3 11
2002-07-29 @ Kaisar W 2-139.7 1005 619 66.65% 20.70% 12.65%+1.25 +7.4 42
2002-07-29 Irtysh D 1-155.2 973 1036 48.85% 22.10% 29.04%+0.35 -2.2 29
2002-07-29 @ Astana-64 D 1-155.2 1036 973 29.04% 22.10% 48.85%-0.35 +2.2 39
2002-07-29 Kairat L 2-358.0 797 795 56.36% 21.76% 21.88%+0.66 -25.2 25
2002-07-29 @ Aktobe W 3-258.0 795 797 21.88% 21.76% 56.36%-0.66 +25.2 24
2002-07-29 Shakter Karagandy W 2-033.4 849 846 56.46% 21.76% 21.78%+0.67 +24.0 30
2002-07-29 @ Tobol L 0-233.4 846 849 21.78% 21.76% 56.46%-0.67 -24.0 20
2002-07-29 Vostok W 2-028.4 844 622 73.26% 19.28% 7.46%+1.75 +8.8 24
2002-07-29 @ Yesil Bogatyr L 0-228.4 622 844 7.46% 19.28% 73.26%-1.75 -8.8 12
2002-07-29 Yelimay D 1-155.3 545 796 24.14% 21.90% 53.96%-0.58 +3.4 4
2002-07-29 @ Esil Kokshetau D 1-155.3 796 545 53.96% 21.90% 24.14%+0.58 -3.4 23
2002-08-01 Aktobe L 1-343.7 611 771 35.39% 22.22% 42.39%-0.13 -31.1 11
2002-08-01 @ Kaisar W 3-143.7 771 611 42.39% 22.22% 35.39%+0.13 +31.1 28
2002-08-01 Irtysh D 0-049.9 873 1038 34.69% 22.21% 43.09%-0.16 +1.0 31
2002-08-01 @ Tobol D 0-049.9 1038 873 43.09% 22.21% 34.69%+0.16 -1.0 40
2002-08-01 Shakter Karagandy D 0-050.5 971 822 68.98% 20.29% 10.73%+1.39 -8.0 30
2002-08-01 @ Astana-64 D 0-050.5 822 971 10.73% 20.29% 68.98%-1.39 +8.0 21
2002-08-01 Vostok W 3-033.9 548 613 48.54% 22.11% 29.35%+0.34 +44.8 7
2002-08-01 @ Esil Kokshetau L 0-333.9 613 548 29.35% 22.11% 48.54%-0.34 -44.8 12
2002-08-01 Yelimay D 0-050.2 852 792 62.07% 21.29% 16.64%+0.95 -6.0 25
2002-08-01 @ Yesil Bogatyr D 0-050.2 792 852 16.64% 21.29% 62.07%-0.95 +6.0 24
2002-08-07 Aktobe W 4-135.6 830 802 58.99% 21.58% 19.44%+0.79 +26.7 24
2002-08-07 @ Shakter Karagandy L 1-435.6 802 830 19.44% 21.58% 58.99%-0.79 -26.6 28
2002-08-07 Atyrau W 4-030.4 1037 1013 58.65% 21.60% 19.75%+0.77 +41.9 43
2002-08-07 @ Irtysh L 0-430.4 1013 1037 19.75% 21.60% 58.65%-0.77 -41.9 42
2002-08-07 Esil Kokshetau L 0-151.6 846 593 74.83% 18.79% 6.37%+1.90 -37.0 25
2002-08-07 @ Yesil Bogatyr W 1-051.6 593 846 6.37% 18.79% 74.83%-1.90 +37.0 10
2002-08-09 Kairat W 1-037.4 798 820 53.77% 21.91% 24.32%+0.55 +14.0 27
2002-08-09 @ Yelimay L 0-137.4 820 798 24.32% 21.91% 53.77%-0.55 -14.0 24
2002-08-09 Kaisar W 4-136.9 568 580 54.84% 21.85% 23.31%+0.60 +31.2 15
2002-08-09 @ Vostok L 1-436.9 580 568 23.31% 21.85% 54.84%-0.60 -31.2 11
2002-08-10 Aktobe W 1-030.4 1079 776 77.06% 17.98% 4.96%+2.15 +3.0 46
2002-08-10 @ Irtysh L 0-130.4 776 1079 4.96% 17.98% 77.06%-2.15 -3.0 28
2002-08-10 Atyrau W 4-354.2 856 971 41.83% 22.23% 35.94%+0.09 +16.8 27
2002-08-10 @ Shakter Karagandy L 3-454.2 971 856 35.94% 22.23% 41.83%-0.09 -16.8 42
2002-08-12 Kaisar W 2-027.8 812 549 75.32% 18.63% 6.05%+1.95 +7.1 30
2002-08-12 @ Yelimay L 0-227.8 549 812 6.05% 18.63% 75.32%-1.95 -7.1 11
2002-08-12 Tobol W 5-029.0 963 874 64.59% 21.00% 14.41%+1.10 +38.8 33
2002-08-12 @ Astana-64 L 0-529.0 874 963 14.41% 21.00% 64.59%-1.10 -38.8 31
2002-08-17 Astana-64 D 0-050.4 599 1002 11.70% 20.51% 67.79%-1.33 +7.7 16
2002-08-17 @ Vostok D 0-050.4 1002 599 67.79% 20.51% 11.70%+1.33 -7.6 34
2002-08-20 Kairat W 1-044.5 607 806 30.24% 22.13% 47.62%-0.33 +24.2 19
2002-08-20 @ Vostok L 0-144.5 806 607 47.62% 22.13% 30.24%+0.33 -24.2 24
2002-08-20 Astana-64 W 2-040.4 819 994 33.37% 22.20% 44.43%-0.21 +43.0 33
2002-08-20 @ Yelimay L 0-240.4 994 819 44.43% 22.20% 33.37%+0.21 -43.0 34
2002-08-24 Shakter Karagandy L 0-240.5 782 873 45.01% 22.19% 32.80%+0.20 -43.5 24
2002-08-24 @ Kairat W 2-040.5 873 782 32.80% 22.19% 45.01%-0.20 +43.5 30
2002-08-31 Irtysh L 0-130.9 542 1082 5.88% 18.54% 75.58%-2.00 -3.6 11
2002-08-31 @ Kaisar W 1-030.9 1082 542 75.58% 18.54% 5.88%+2.00 +3.6 49
2002-08-31 Yesil Bogatyr W 3-030.8 835 809 58.80% 21.59% 19.61%+0.78 +31.9 34
2002-08-31 @ Tobol L 0-330.8 809 835 19.61% 21.59% 58.80%-0.78 -31.9 25
2002-08-31 Yelimay W 3-251.0 773 862 45.24% 22.18% 32.58%+0.21 +15.9 31
2002-08-31 @ Aktobe L 2-351.0 862 773 32.58% 22.18% 45.24%-0.21 -15.9 33
2002-08-31 Astana-64 L 1-338.0 630 951 17.41% 21.38% 61.21%-0.93 -17.1 10
2002-08-31 @ Esil Kokshetau W 3-138.0 951 630 61.21% 21.38% 17.41%+0.93 +17.1 37
2002-09-03 Irtysh L 1-240.6 738 1085 15.38% 21.13% 63.49%-1.06 -8.8 24
2002-09-03 @ Kairat W 2-140.6 1085 738 63.49% 21.13% 15.38%+1.06 +8.8 52
2002-09-03 Yesil Bogatyr W 2-028.9 968 777 71.55% 19.73% 8.72%+1.60 +10.2 40
2002-09-03 @ Astana-64 L 0-228.9 777 968 8.72% 19.73% 71.55%-1.60 -10.2 25
2002-09-03 Esil Kokshetau W 4-130.9 867 613 74.85% 18.79% 6.36%+1.91 +9.1 37
2002-09-03 @ Tobol L 1-430.9 613 867 6.36% 18.79% 74.85%-1.91 -9.1 10
2002-09-03 Shakter Karagandy L 1-336.6 538 917 13.19% 20.80% 66.01%-1.21 -13.2 11
2002-09-03 @ Kaisar W 3-136.6 917 538 66.01% 20.80% 13.19%+1.21 +13.2 33
2002-09-03 Yelimay W 3-028.7 954 847 66.00% 20.80% 13.20%+1.19 +22.2 45
2002-09-03 @ Atyrau L 0-328.7 847 954 13.20% 20.80% 66.00%-1.19 -22.2 33
2002-09-05 Kaisar FW49.3 930 525 80.86% 16.19% 2.95%+2.65 +0.0 36
2002-09-05 @ Shakter Karagandy FL49.3 525 930 2.95% 16.19% 80.86%-2.65 +0.0 11
2002-09-05 Vostok FW48.1 789 631 69.50% 20.19% 10.31%+1.43 +0.0 34
2002-09-05 @ Aktobe FL48.1 631 789 10.31% 20.19% 69.50%-1.43 +0.0 19
2002-09-05 Vostok FW49.0 976 631 78.75% 17.25% 4.00%+2.36 +0.0 48
2002-09-05 @ Atyrau FL49.0 631 976 4.00% 17.25% 78.75%-2.36 +0.0 19

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2002-09-09 Atyrau D 1-155.2 930 976 50.81% 22.04% 27.15%+0.43 -2.6 1
2002-09-09 @ Shakter Karagandy D 1-155.2 976 930 27.15% 22.04% 50.81%-0.43 +2.6 1
2002-09-09 Kairat W 1-040.3 631 729 44.09% 22.20% 33.71%+0.17 +18.3 3
2002-09-09 @ Vostok L 0-140.3 729 631 33.71% 22.20% 44.09%-0.17 -18.3 0
2002-09-09 Yesil Bogatyr W 2-152.2 525 767 25.09% 21.95% 52.97%-0.54 +25.1 3
2002-09-09 @ Kaisar L 1-252.2 767 525 52.97% 21.95% 25.09%+0.54 -25.1 0
2002-09-09 Esil Kokshetau L 0-151.3 824 604 73.18% 19.30% 7.52%+1.74 -36.3 0
2002-09-09 @ Yelimay W 1-051.3 604 824 7.52% 19.30% 73.18%-1.74 +36.3 3
2002-09-09 Astana-64 D 1-155.2 876 979 43.44% 22.21% 34.35%+0.15 -1.0 1
2002-09-09 @ Tobol D 1-155.2 979 876 34.35% 22.21% 43.44%-0.15 +1.0 1
2002-09-14 Irtysh D 0-049.9 979 1094 41.76% 22.23% 36.01%+0.09 -0.7 2
2002-09-14 @ Atyrau D 0-049.9 1094 979 36.01% 22.23% 41.76%-0.09 +0.7 1
2002-09-14 Kaisar W 1-032.6 711 550 69.73% 20.14% 10.13%+1.45 +6.3 3
2002-09-14 @ Kairat L 0-132.6 550 711 10.13% 20.14% 69.73%-1.45 -6.3 3
2002-09-14 Shakter Karagandy W 2-032.0 980 927 61.39% 21.36% 17.25%+0.91 +19.6 4
2002-09-14 @ Astana-64 L 0-232.0 927 980 17.25% 21.36% 61.39%-0.91 -19.6 1
2002-09-14 Tobol D 2-261.2 789 875 45.74% 22.18% 32.09%+0.23 -1.1 1
2002-09-14 @ Aktobe D 2-261.2 875 789 32.09% 22.18% 45.74%-0.23 +1.1 2
2002-09-14 Vostok D 1-155.3 640 649 55.16% 21.84% 23.01%+0.61 -3.7 4
2002-09-14 @ Esil Kokshetau D 1-155.3 649 640 23.01% 21.84% 55.16%-0.61 +3.7 4
2002-09-14 Yelimay W 2-035.1 742 788 50.88% 22.03% 27.08%+0.43 +28.9 3
2002-09-14 @ Yesil Bogatyr L 0-235.1 788 742 27.08% 22.03% 50.88%-0.43 -28.9 0
2002-09-19 Aktobe W 2-138.2 978 788 71.54% 19.73% 8.73%+1.60 +5.1 5
2002-09-19 @ Atyrau L 1-238.2 788 978 8.73% 19.73% 71.54%-1.60 -5.1 1
2002-09-19 Kairat L 1-447.9 759 717 60.39% 21.46% 18.15%+0.86 -69.5 0
2002-09-19 @ Yelimay W 4-147.9 717 759 18.15% 21.46% 60.39%-0.86 +69.5 6
2002-09-19 Esil Kokshetau W 5-028.0 771 637 67.96% 20.48% 11.56%+1.32 +31.5 6
2002-09-19 @ Yesil Bogatyr L 0-528.0 637 771 11.56% 20.48% 67.96%-1.32 -31.5 4
2002-09-19 Tobol D 1-155.4 908 876 59.44% 21.54% 19.02%+0.81 -4.7 2
2002-09-19 @ Shakter Karagandy D 1-155.4 876 908 19.02% 21.54% 59.44%-0.81 +4.7 3
2002-09-19 Astana-64 W 1-034.0 1095 999 65.06% 20.93% 14.01%+1.13 +8.6 4
2002-09-19 @ Irtysh L 0-134.0 999 1095 14.01% 20.93% 65.06%-1.13 -8.6 4
2002-09-24 Atyrau W 1-036.5 991 983 56.94% 21.73% 21.34%+0.69 +12.5 7
2002-09-24 @ Astana-64 L 0-136.5 983 991 21.34% 21.73% 56.94%-0.69 -12.5 5
2002-09-24 Kaisar W 3-029.8 605 544 62.18% 21.28% 16.54%+0.96 +27.4 7
2002-09-24 @ Esil Kokshetau L 0-329.8 544 605 16.54% 21.28% 62.18%-0.96 -27.4 3
2002-09-24 Yesil Bogatyr W 2-143.4 787 803 54.43% 21.88% 23.69%+0.58 +12.9 9
2002-09-24 @ Kairat L 1-243.4 803 787 23.69% 21.88% 54.43%-0.58 -12.9 6
2002-09-24 Shakter Karagandy L 1-345.3 782 903 40.99% 22.23% 36.77%+0.06 -34.9 1
2002-09-24 @ Aktobe W 3-145.3 903 782 36.77% 22.23% 40.99%-0.06 +34.9 5
2002-09-24 Yelimay W 2-034.8 653 690 52.01% 21.99% 26.00%+0.48 +27.9 7
2002-09-24 @ Vostok L 0-234.8 690 653 26.00% 21.99% 52.01%-0.48 -27.9 0
2002-09-29 Aktobe D 0-051.0 1003 748 74.95% 18.75% 6.29%+1.92 -9.6 8
2002-09-29 @ Astana-64 D 0-051.0 748 1003 6.29% 18.75% 74.95%-1.92 +9.6 2
2002-09-29 Kaisar L 0-247.1 662 516 68.70% 20.34% 10.96%+1.37 -64.4 0
2002-09-29 @ Yelimay W 2-047.1 516 662 10.96% 20.34% 68.70%-1.37 +64.4 6
2002-09-29 Esil Kokshetau W 1-032.5 800 632 70.14% 20.05% 9.81%+1.48 +6.1 12
2002-09-29 @ Kairat L 0-132.5 632 800 9.81% 20.05% 70.14%-1.48 -6.1 7
2002-09-29 Shakter Karagandy W 3-027.5 1103 938 70.02% 20.08% 9.90%+1.47 +16.9 7
2002-09-29 @ Irtysh L 0-327.5 938 1103 9.90% 20.08% 70.02%-1.47 -16.9 5
2002-09-29 Tobol W 2-031.0 971 881 64.65% 20.99% 14.36%+1.10 +16.6 8
2002-09-29 @ Atyrau L 0-231.0 881 971 14.36% 20.99% 64.65%-1.10 -16.5 3
2002-09-29 Vostok W 1-033.7 790 681 66.08% 20.79% 13.13%+1.19 +8.1 9
2002-09-29 @ Yesil Bogatyr L 0-133.7 681 790 13.13% 20.79% 66.08%-1.19 -8.1 7
2002-10-04 Atyrau W 1-041.4 864 987 40.58% 22.23% 37.19%+0.05 +19.8 6
2002-10-04 @ Tobol L 0-141.4 987 864 37.19% 22.23% 40.58%-0.05 -19.8 8
2002-10-04 Irtysh D 0-050.0 921 1120 30.20% 22.13% 47.66%-0.33 +2.2 6
2002-10-04 @ Shakter Karagandy D 0-050.0 1120 921 47.66% 22.13% 30.20%+0.33 -2.2 8
2002-10-04 Kairat D 0-049.9 626 806 32.74% 22.19% 45.07%-0.23 +1.5 8
2002-10-04 @ Esil Kokshetau D 0-049.9 806 626 45.07% 22.19% 32.74%+0.23 -1.5 13
2002-10-04 Yesil Bogatyr W 1-041.4 673 798 40.39% 22.23% 37.38%+0.04 +19.9 10
2002-10-04 @ Vostok L 0-141.4 798 673 37.38% 22.23% 40.39%-0.04 -19.9 9
2002-10-04 Yelimay W 3-248.3 581 597 54.35% 21.88% 23.77%+0.57 +12.3 9
2002-10-04 @ Kaisar L 2-348.3 597 581 23.77% 21.88% 54.35%-0.57 -12.3 0
2002-10-04 Astana-64 W 1-045.8 757 994 25.73% 21.98% 52.29%-0.51 +26.3 5
2002-10-04 @ Aktobe L 0-145.8 994 757 52.29% 21.98% 25.73%+0.51 -26.3 8
2002-10-09 Aktobe L 1-256.3 923 783 68.32% 20.41% 11.26%+1.34 -32.1 6
2002-10-09 @ Shakter Karagandy W 2-156.3 783 923 11.26% 20.41% 68.32%-1.34 +32.0 8
2002-10-09 Kairat L 0-146.1 778 804 53.19% 21.94% 24.87%+0.52 -26.7 9
2002-10-09 @ Yesil Bogatyr W 1-046.1 804 778 24.87% 21.94% 53.19%-0.52 +26.7 16
2002-10-09 Esil Kokshetau W 3-032.8 593 628 52.24% 21.98% 25.78%+0.48 +40.3 12
2002-10-09 @ Kaisar L 0-332.8 628 593 25.78% 21.98% 52.24%-0.48 -40.3 8
2002-10-09 Tobol W 3-026.3 1118 884 73.90% 19.09% 7.01%+1.81 +11.9 11
2002-10-09 @ Irtysh L 0-326.3 884 1118 7.01% 19.09% 73.90%-1.81 -11.9 6
2002-10-09 Vostok W 1-040.7 585 693 42.77% 22.22% 35.01%+0.12 +18.9 3
2002-10-09 @ Yelimay L 0-140.7 693 585 35.01% 22.22% 42.77%-0.12 -18.9 10
2002-10-09 Astana-64 W 2-033.5 968 967 56.20% 21.77% 22.03%+0.66 +24.3 11
2002-10-09 @ Atyrau L 0-233.5 967 968 22.03% 21.77% 56.20%-0.66 -24.3 8
2002-10-14 Atyrau W 1-043.6 815 992 33.16% 22.19% 44.65%-0.21 +22.9 11
2002-10-14 @ Aktobe L 0-143.6 992 815 44.65% 22.19% 33.16%+0.21 -22.9 11
2002-10-14 Irtysh W 2-150.2 943 1130 31.79% 22.17% 46.04%-0.27 +22.2 11
2002-10-14 @ Astana-64 L 1-250.2 1130 943 46.04% 22.17% 31.79%+0.27 -22.2 11
2002-10-14 Kaisar L 0-244.9 674 633 60.28% 21.47% 18.26%+0.86 -56.7 10
2002-10-14 @ Vostok W 2-044.9 633 674 18.26% 21.47% 60.28%-0.86 +56.7 15
2002-10-14 Yesil Bogatyr W 2-149.2 588 751 34.89% 22.22% 42.89%-0.15 +20.9 11
2002-10-14 @ Esil Kokshetau L 1-249.2 751 588 42.89% 22.22% 34.89%+0.15 -20.9 9
2002-10-14 Shakter Karagandy W 3-248.4 872 891 54.03% 21.90% 24.07%+0.56 +12.4 9
2002-10-14 @ Tobol L 2-348.4 891 872 24.07% 21.90% 54.03%-0.56 -12.4 6
2002-10-14 Yelimay W 5-026.3 831 604 73.54% 19.19% 7.26%+1.78 +19.9 19
2002-10-14 @ Kairat L 0-526.3 604 831 7.26% 19.19% 73.54%-1.78 -19.9 3
2002-10-19 Aktobe W 2-141.5 884 838 60.78% 21.42% 17.80%+0.88 +10.1 12
2002-10-19 @ Tobol L 1-241.5 838 884 17.80% 21.42% 60.78%-0.88 -10.1 11
2002-10-19 Atyrau D 2-261.7 1108 969 68.26% 20.43% 11.31%+1.34 -5.2 12
2002-10-19 @ Irtysh D 2-261.7 969 1108 11.31% 20.43% 68.26%-1.34 +5.2 12
2002-10-19 Kairat W 2-039.8 690 851 35.27% 22.22% 42.51%-0.14 +41.5 18
2002-10-19 @ Kaisar L 0-239.8 851 690 42.51% 22.22% 35.27%+0.14 -41.5 19
2002-10-19 Yesil Bogatyr W 1-042.4 584 730 37.30% 22.23% 40.46%-0.07 +21.1 6
2002-10-19 @ Yelimay L 0-142.4 730 584 40.46% 22.23% 37.30%+0.07 -21.1 9
2002-10-19 Esil Kokshetau W 3-139.2 617 608 57.11% 21.72% 21.17%+0.70 +20.3 13
2002-10-19 @ Vostok L 1-339.2 608 617 21.17% 21.72% 57.11%-0.70 -20.3 11
2002-10-19 Astana-64 D 1-155.2 879 965 45.66% 22.18% 32.16%+0.23 -1.5 7
2002-10-19 @ Shakter Karagandy D 1-155.2 965 879 32.16% 22.18% 45.66%-0.23 +1.5 12
2002-10-24 Irtysh D 1-155.3 828 1103 21.69% 21.75% 56.56%-0.70 +4.0 12
2002-10-24 @ Aktobe D 1-155.3 1103 828 56.56% 21.75% 21.69%+0.70 -4.0 13
2002-10-24 Kaisar W 2-143.6 709 732 53.67% 21.92% 24.42%+0.55 +13.2 12
2002-10-24 @ Yesil Bogatyr L 1-243.6 732 709 24.42% 21.92% 53.67%-0.55 -13.2 18
2002-10-24 Shakter Karagandy W 4-133.8 974 877 65.19% 20.92% 13.90%+1.13 +19.7 15
2002-10-24 @ Atyrau L 1-433.8 877 974 13.90% 20.92% 65.19%-1.13 -19.7 7
2002-10-24 Tobol L 1-255.0 967 894 63.16% 21.17% 15.67%+1.01 -29.7 12
2002-10-24 @ Astana-64 W 2-155.0 894 967 15.67% 21.17% 63.16%-1.01 +29.7 15
2002-10-24 Vostok W 3-243.4 810 638 70.42% 19.99% 9.59%+1.50 +5.3 22
2002-10-24 @ Kairat L 2-343.4 638 810 9.59% 19.99% 70.42%-1.50 -5.3 13
2002-10-24 Yelimay W 4-243.5 588 605 54.28% 21.88% 23.83%+0.57 +20.1 14
2002-10-24 @ Esil Kokshetau L 2-443.5 605 588 23.83% 21.88% 54.28%-0.57 -20.1 6

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2002-08-07 6.37% Esil Kokshetau 593 1 @ Yesil Bogatyr 846 0
2 2002-09-09 7.52% Esil Kokshetau 604 1 @ Yelimay 824 0
3 2002-09-29 10.96% Kaisar 516 2 @ Yelimay 662 0
4 2002-10-09 11.26% Aktobe 783 2 @ Shakter Karagandy 923 1
5 2002-05-25 11.71% Shakter Karagandy 752 1 @ Yesil Bogatyr 884 0
6 2002-05-07 14.68% Vostok 678 2 @ Kairat 764 1
7 2002-10-24 15.67% Tobol 894 2 @ Astana-64 967 1
8 2002-09-19 18.15% Kairat 717 4 @ Yelimay 759 1
9 2002-10-14 18.26% Kaisar 633 2 @ Vostok 674 0
10 2002-05-19 20.12% Tobol 761 1 @ Shakter Karagandy 781 0
11 2002-07-29 21.88% Kairat 795 3 @ Aktobe 797 2
12 2002-05-10 23.20% Vostok 708 1 @ Kaisar 697 0
13 2002-06-15 23.93% Kaisar 652 2 @ Esil Kokshetau 634 1
14 2002-06-06 24.49% @ Kairat 757 2 Astana-64 1005 1
15 2002-04-28 24.82% Aktobe 746 2 @ Vostok 719 1
16 2002-10-09 24.87% Kairat 804 1 @ Yesil Bogatyr 778 0
17 2002-09-09 25.09% @ Kaisar 525 2 Yesil Bogatyr 767 1
18 2002-10-04 25.73% @ Aktobe 757 1 Astana-64 994 0
19 2002-06-06 26.29% Yesil Bogatyr 840 2 @ Aktobe 801 1
20 2002-04-28 28.08% Tobol 792 2 @ Esil Kokshetau 738 1
21 2002-07-13 29.76% Atyrau 964 3 @ Yesil Bogatyr 896 1
22 2002-08-20 30.24% @ Vostok 607 1 Kairat 806 0
23 2002-10-14 31.79% @ Astana-64 943 2 Irtysh 1130 1
24 2002-06-07 32.39% Yelimay 806 3 @ Vostok 718 2
25 2002-08-24 32.80% Shakter Karagandy 873 2 @ Kairat 782 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-09-19 69.53 Kairat 4 717 18.15% @ Yelimay 1 759 60.39% 21.46%
2 2002-09-29 64.44 Kaisar 2 516 10.96% @ Yelimay 0 662 68.70% 20.34%
3 2002-10-14 56.66 Kaisar 2 633 18.26% @ Vostok 0 674 60.28% 21.47%
4 2002-08-01 44.84 @ Esil Kokshetau 3 548 48.54% Vostok 0 613 29.35% 22.11%
5 2002-08-24 43.48 Shakter Karagandy 2 873 32.80% @ Kairat 0 782 45.01% 22.19%
6 2002-08-20 43.01 @ Yelimay 2 819 33.37% Astana-64 0 994 44.43% 22.20%
7 2002-05-16 42.36 @ Irtysh 5 874 62.97% Tobol 0 804 15.84% 21.19%
8 2002-08-07 41.87 @ Irtysh 4 1037 58.65% Atyrau 0 1013 19.75% 21.60%
9 2002-10-19 41.47 @ Kaisar 2 690 35.27% Kairat 0 851 42.51% 22.22%
10 2002-10-09 40.28 @ Kaisar 3 593 52.24% Esil Kokshetau 0 628 25.78% 21.98%
11 2002-05-16 40.24 @ Yelimay 2 795 36.82% Yesil Bogatyr 0 945 40.95% 22.23%
12 2002-07-13 39.86 Atyrau 3 964 29.76% @ Yesil Bogatyr 1 896 48.12% 22.12%
13 2002-04-28 39.60 @ Irtysh 4 837 59.96% Kairat 0 800 18.54% 21.49%
14 2002-08-12 38.84 @ Astana-64 5 963 64.59% Tobol 0 874 14.41% 21.00%
15 2002-08-07 37.02 Esil Kokshetau 1 593 6.37% @ Yesil Bogatyr 0 846 74.83% 18.79%
16 2002-07-22 36.54 @ Kairat 5 758 65.65% Kaisar 0 655 13.50% 20.85%
17 2002-09-09 36.29 Esil Kokshetau 1 604 7.52% @ Yelimay 0 824 73.18% 19.30%
18 2002-06-12 35.07 @ Shakter Karagandy 4 783 51.19% Yelimay 1 827 26.79% 22.02%
19 2002-09-24 34.88 Shakter Karagandy 3 903 36.77% @ Aktobe 1 782 40.99% 22.23%
20 2002-07-14 33.82 Shakter Karagandy 3 804 38.33% @ Vostok 1 673 39.43% 22.24%
21 2002-05-25 33.72 Shakter Karagandy 1 752 11.71% @ Yesil Bogatyr 0 884 67.78% 20.51%
22 2002-05-25 32.77 @ Tobol 3 790 58.10% Vostok 0 772 20.26% 21.65%
23 2002-10-09 32.05 Aktobe 2 783 11.26% @ Shakter Karagandy 1 923 68.32% 20.41%
24 2002-06-03 31.91 @ Kairat 3 725 41.16% Tobol 1 845 36.61% 22.23%
25 2002-08-31 31.86 @ Tobol 3 835 58.80% Yesil Bogatyr 0 809 19.61% 21.59%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-10-19 61.7 @ Irtysh 2 1108 68.26% Atyrau 2 969 11.31% 20.43%
2 2002-05-01 61.4 @ Shakter Karagandy 2 804 60.64% Kairat 2 760 17.93% 21.43%
3 2002-09-14 61.2 @ Aktobe 2 789 45.74% Tobol 2 875 32.09% 22.18%
4 2002-07-29 58.0 Kairat 3 795 21.88% @ Aktobe 2 797 56.36% 21.76%
5 2002-10-09 56.3 Aktobe 2 783 11.26% @ Shakter Karagandy 1 923 68.32% 20.41%
6 2002-05-01 55.6 @ Yesil Bogatyr 1 921 65.78% Tobol 1 816 13.39% 20.83%
7 2002-06-15 55.5 @ Yesil Bogatyr 1 874 64.80% Kairat 1 782 14.24% 20.97%
8 2002-06-12 55.4 @ Astana-64 1 979 60.11% Atyrau 1 941 18.41% 21.48%
9 2002-09-19 55.4 @ Shakter Karagandy 1 908 59.44% Tobol 1 876 19.02% 21.54%
10 2002-05-07 55.3 Vostok 2 678 14.68% @ Kairat 1 764 64.29% 21.03%
11 2002-07-29 55.3 @ Esil Kokshetau 1 545 24.14% Yelimay 1 796 53.96% 21.90%
12 2002-09-14 55.3 @ Esil Kokshetau 1 640 55.16% Vostok 1 649 23.01% 21.84%
13 2002-10-24 55.3 @ Aktobe 1 828 21.69% Irtysh 1 1103 56.56% 21.75%
14 2002-04-28 55.2 @ Yelimay 1 784 41.74% Atyrau 1 899 36.03% 22.23%
15 2002-04-28 55.2 @ Yesil Bogatyr 1 924 52.66% Astana-64 1 955 25.38% 21.96%
16 2002-05-16 55.2 @ Shakter Karagandy 1 779 29.01% Astana-64 1 988 48.89% 22.10%
17 2002-05-20 55.2 @ Kairat 1 751 52.28% Aktobe 1 785 25.74% 21.98%
18 2002-05-28 55.2 @ Yesil Bogatyr 1 850 43.49% Irtysh 1 953 34.30% 22.21%
19 2002-05-28 55.2 @ Esil Kokshetau 1 631 36.05% Shakter Karagandy 1 786 41.73% 22.23%
20 2002-06-06 55.2 @ Kaisar 1 661 36.59% Tobol 1 813 41.18% 22.23%
21 2002-06-12 55.2 @ Esil Kokshetau 1 634 36.97% Kairat 1 783 40.80% 22.23%
22 2002-06-30 55.2 @ Kairat 1 788 46.54% Yesil Bogatyr 1 868 31.30% 22.16%
23 2002-07-29 55.2 @ Astana-64 1 973 48.85% Irtysh 1 1036 29.04% 22.10%
24 2002-09-09 55.2 @ Shakter Karagandy 1 930 50.81% Atyrau 1 976 27.15% 22.04%
25 2002-09-09 55.2 @ Tobol 1 876 43.44% Astana-64 1 979 34.35% 22.21%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-07-22 23.5 @ Irtysh 3 1032 83.31% Esil Kokshetau 0 548 1.96% 14.74%
2 2002-07-19 25.2 @ Shakter Karagandy 4 838 75.96% Esil Kokshetau 0 560 5.64% 18.40%
3 2002-05-01 26.1 @ Astana-64 3 958 74.36% Esil Kokshetau 0 714 6.69% 18.94%
4 2002-05-28 26.1 @ Astana-64 3 983 74.37% Vostok 0 739 6.68% 18.94%
5 2002-10-09 26.3 @ Irtysh 3 1118 73.90% Tobol 0 884 7.01% 19.09%
6 2002-10-14 26.3 @ Kairat 5 831 73.54% Yelimay 0 604 7.26% 19.19%
7 2002-06-06 27.4 @ Atyrau 2 935 76.73% Esil Kokshetau 0 640 5.16% 18.11%
8 2002-09-29 27.5 @ Irtysh 3 1103 70.02% Shakter Karagandy 0 938 9.90% 20.08%
9 2002-05-20 27.6 @ Atyrau 2 935 75.77% Kaisar 0 661 5.76% 18.47%
10 2002-07-19 27.6 @ Irtysh 3 1015 69.58% Yesil Bogatyr 0 856 10.25% 20.17%
11 2002-05-01 27.7 @ Irtysh 5 876 68.97% Kaisar 0 727 10.74% 20.29%
12 2002-08-12 27.8 @ Yelimay 2 812 75.32% Kaisar 0 549 6.05% 18.63%
13 2002-09-19 28.0 @ Yesil Bogatyr 5 771 67.96% Esil Kokshetau 0 637 11.56% 20.48%
14 2002-07-29 28.4 @ Yesil Bogatyr 2 844 73.26% Vostok 0 622 7.46% 19.28%
15 2002-06-12 28.7 @ Yesil Bogatyr 2 865 72.23% Kaisar 0 662 8.21% 19.56%
16 2002-07-22 28.7 @ Kairat 5 758 65.65% Kaisar 0 655 13.50% 20.85%
17 2002-09-03 28.7 @ Atyrau 3 954 66.00% Yelimay 0 847 13.20% 20.80%
18 2002-09-03 28.9 @ Astana-64 2 968 71.55% Yesil Bogatyr 0 777 8.72% 19.73%
19 2002-08-12 29.0 @ Astana-64 5 963 64.59% Tobol 0 874 14.41% 21.00%
20 2002-05-16 29.5 @ Irtysh 5 874 62.97% Tobol 0 804 15.84% 21.19%
21 2002-06-06 29.5 @ Irtysh 2 954 69.54% Shakter Karagandy 0 796 10.28% 20.18%
22 2002-07-13 29.8 @ Irtysh 5 1000 72.26% Yelimay 1 796 8.19% 19.55%
23 2002-09-24 29.8 @ Esil Kokshetau 3 605 62.18% Kaisar 0 544 16.54% 21.28%
24 2002-04-28 30.0 @ Irtysh 4 837 59.96% Kairat 0 800 18.54% 21.49%
25 2002-05-25 30.1 @ Astana-64 2 969 67.52% Yelimay 0 841 11.92% 20.56%