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2011-12 Football Superleague of Kosovo Season

198 games

Final

Champion

FC Prishtina

65 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Trepca'89

9.95 points above expected

61 points · 51.05 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Hysi

9.51 points below expected

47 points · 56.51 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 FC Prishtina 33 19 8 6 65 63 31 +32 61.78 +3.22
2 Trepca'89 33 17 10 6 61 54 29 +25 51.05 +9.95
3 Vellaznimi 33 15 10 8 55 43 38 +5 49.76 +5.24
4 Besa 33 13 9 11 48 46 40 +6 44.38 +3.62
5 Hysi 33 14 5 14 47 50 41 +9 56.51 -9.51
6 Drita Gjilan 33 13 8 12 47 44 42 +2 44.91 +2.09
7 Drenica 33 13 7 13 46 42 32 +10 48.44 -2.44
8 Liria 33 13 5 15 44 44 50 -6 41.47 +2.53
9 KF Trepca 33 12 7 14 43 39 44 -5 39.65 +3.35
10 Lepenci 33 11 9 13 42 35 42 -7 42.83 -0.83
11 KEK 33 7 7 19 28 38 66 -28 37.25 -9.25
12 Gjilani 33 6 5 22 23 25 68 -43 32.46 -9.46

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Trepca'89 61 51.05 +9.95
2 Vellaznimi 55 49.76 +5.24
3 Besa 48 44.38 +3.62
4 KF Trepca 43 39.65 +3.35
5 FC Prishtina 65 61.78 +3.22

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hysi 47 56.51 -9.51
2 Gjilani 23 32.46 -9.46
3 KEK 28 37.25 -9.25
4 Drenica 46 48.44 -2.44
5 Lepenci 42 42.83 -0.83

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KF Trepca 5 May 13 – Jun 3 1 in 183
2 Liria 3 May 27 – Jun 3 1 in 32
3 Drenica 3 Mar 25 – Apr 4 1 in 26
4 Vellaznimi 4 Apr 1 – Apr 14 1 in 20
5 Besa 3 Nov 23 – Mar 17 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hysi 5 May 13 – Jun 3 1 in 502
2 KEK 5 Oct 16 – Nov 9 1 in 113
3 Gjilani 8 Apr 29 – Jun 3 1 in 92
4 Drenica 5 Oct 22 – Nov 16 1 in 39
5 Drita Gjilan 3 Nov 23 – Mar 17 1 in 30

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Drita Gjilan 10 Aug 21 – Oct 16 1 in 152
2 Trepca'89 11 Oct 2 – Mar 11 1 in 151
3 Vellaznimi 8 Aug 21 – Oct 2 1 in 42
4 Drenica 6 Mar 25 – Apr 21 1 in 39
5 Besa 8 Nov 23 – Apr 14 1 in 39

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hysi 5 May 13 – Jun 3 1 in 24
2 Lepenci 8 Mar 25 – May 6 1 in 13
3 KEK 6 Oct 16 – Nov 16 1 in 12
4 Besa 4 Nov 4 – Nov 19 1 in 10
5 FC Prishtina 2 Nov 23 – Mar 9 1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
FC Prishtina 987 65 +23 12 9.0 +3.0
Trepca'89 922 61 +8 10 8.4 +1.6
Vellaznimi 845 55 -12 5 7.0 -2.0
Besa 865 48 +44 9 7.0 +2.0
Drita Gjilan 760 47 -26 1 5.3 -4.3
Hysi 852 47 -80 0 7.9 -7.9
Drenica 872 46 +38 12 8.5 +3.5
Liria 802 44 +26 12 6.8 +5.2
KF Trepca 786 43 +83 15 7.3 +7.7
Lepenci 783 42 +15 9 6.2 +2.8
KEK 667 28 -52 3 6.0 -3.0
Gjilani 544 23 -68 0 4.2 -4.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BES DRE DG FP GJI HYS KEK KT LEP LIR TRE VEL
Besa —
2-1-0
4.34
1-1-1
4.70
0-0-3
2.33
2-0-1
5.52
0-2-1
2.87
1-2-0
4.47
1-0-2
3.93
2-1-0
4.94
2-0-1
4.80
0-1-2
3.26
2-1-0
4.11
Drenica
0-1-2
3.97
—
0-1-2
3.91
2-1-0
2.53
2-0-1
6.03
1-0-2
2.72
2-0-1
5.41
1-2-0
5.32
2-1-0
5.07
2-0-1
5.22
0-1-2
3.54
1-0-2
3.56
Drita Gjilan
1-1-1
3.63
2-1-0
4.42
—
0-0-3
2.59
2-0-1
5.69
3-0-0
3.54
1-1-1
4.24
0-1-2
3.86
1-1-1
5.04
2-0-1
4.72
1-1-1
3.28
0-2-1
4.29
FC Prishtina
3-0-0
6.04
0-1-2
5.83
3-0-0
5.79
—
1-2-0
6.30
2-0-1
3.86
2-1-0
6.47
1-2-0
6.20
2-1-0
5.00
2-0-1
5.28
1-0-2
4.61
2-1-0
5.69
Gjilani
1-0-2
2.82
1-0-2
2.38
1-0-2
2.67
0-2-1
2.08
—
0-1-2
2.72
0-0-3
4.15
1-1-1
4.01
1-0-2
2.70
1-0-2
2.82
0-1-2
3.22
0-0-3
2.28
Hysi
1-2-0
5.48
2-0-1
5.63
0-0-3
4.78
1-0-2
4.43
2-1-0
5.63
—
3-0-0
5.96
1-0-2
5.78
0-1-2
4.92
1-0-2
5.11
2-0-1
5.07
1-1-1
4.31
KEK
0-2-1
3.84
1-0-2
2.94
1-1-1
4.07
0-1-2
1.95
3-0-0
4.15
0-0-3
2.42
—
0-0-3
3.46
0-0-3
4.34
1-2-0
4.29
0-1-2
2.67
1-0-2
3.56
KF Trepca
2-0-1
4.37
0-2-1
3.04
2-1-0
4.47
0-2-1
2.20
1-1-1
4.31
2-0-1
2.58
3-0-0
4.85
—
1-0-2
3.52
1-0-2
4.61
0-0-3
3.14
0-1-2
3.99
Lepenci
0-1-2
3.38
0-1-2
3.26
1-1-1
3.27
0-1-2
3.33
2-0-1
5.67
2-1-0
3.40
3-0-0
3.97
2-0-1
4.80
—
1-1-1
3.68
0-2-1
3.96
0-1-2
3.12
Liria
1-0-2
3.53
1-0-2
3.10
1-0-2
3.57
1-0-2
3.06
2-0-1
5.54
2-0-1
3.21
0-2-1
4.02
2-0-1
3.69
1-1-1
4.64
—
2-1-0
3.71
0-1-2
3.25
Trepca'89
2-1-0
5.08
2-1-0
4.80
1-1-1
5.06
2-0-1
3.69
2-1-0
5.08
1-0-2
3.26
2-1-0
5.68
3-0-0
5.21
1-2-0
4.35
0-1-2
4.60
—
1-2-0
3.66
Vellaznimi
0-1-2
4.19
2-0-1
4.75
1-2-0
4.01
0-1-2
2.67
3-0-0
6.11
1-1-1
4.01
2-0-1
4.76
2-1-0
4.32
2-1-0
5.23
2-1-0
5.11
0-2-1
4.65
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.78 +11.0
Allowed 0.84 -8.8
Differential 0.94 +5.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%6.06%3.79%1.77%0.76%31.82%
18.33%9.60%8.33%3.03%1.52%1.01%31.82%
26.06%8.33%2.02%1.77%1.01%0.25%19.44%
33.79%3.03%1.77%—0.76%—9.34%
41.77%1.52%1.01%0.76%——5.05%
5+0.76%1.01%0.25%——0.51%2.53%
Total31.82%31.82%19.44%9.34%5.05%2.53%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.32 +0.00
SD 1.30 1.30 1.88
CV 0.98 0.98 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%9.09%3.03%3.03%—3.03%33.33%
16.06%12.12%6.06%——6.06%30.30%
29.09%3.03%——3.03%—15.15%
36.06%9.09%————15.15%
4———————
5+3.03%3.03%————6.06%
Total39.39%36.36%9.09%3.03%3.03%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.21 +0.18
SD 1.50 1.54 2.34
CV 1.08 1.27 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%6.06%———27.27%
19.09%9.09%18.18%3.03%——39.39%
26.06%9.09%3.03%———18.18%
39.09%—————9.09%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+———————
Total36.36%33.33%27.27%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 0.97 +0.30
SD 1.15 0.88 1.63
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%—3.03%6.06%——27.27%
19.09%6.06%15.15%3.03%——33.33%
29.09%12.12%—3.03%——24.24%
3—3.03%3.03%—6.06%—12.12%
4———————
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total36.36%24.24%21.21%12.12%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.27 +0.06
SD 1.19 1.26 1.52
CV 0.89 0.99 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%3.03%———24.24%
16.06%12.12%——3.03%—21.21%
29.09%9.09%3.03%———21.21%
36.06%6.06%3.03%———15.15%
4—6.06%3.03%———9.09%
5+—6.06%3.03%———9.09%
Total30.30%51.52%15.15%—3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 0.94 +0.97
SD 1.61 0.86 1.70
CV 0.84 0.92 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%15.15%9.09%6.06%9.09%—45.45%
16.06%9.09%3.03%6.06%6.06%3.03%33.33%
2—12.12%—3.03%6.06%—21.21%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total12.12%36.36%12.12%15.15%21.21%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.76 2.06 -1.30
SD 0.79 1.48 1.63
CV 1.05 0.72 —
Max 2 5 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%—6.06%3.03%—24.24%
112.12%9.09%12.12%3.03%——36.36%
23.03%3.03%—6.06%——12.12%
39.09%6.06%——3.03%—18.18%
46.06%3.03%————9.09%
5+———————
Total36.36%30.30%12.12%15.15%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.24 +0.27
SD 1.30 1.28 2.02
CV 0.86 1.03 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%9.09%3.03%9.09%—39.39%
1—15.15%12.12%—3.03%3.03%33.33%
26.06%————3.03%9.09%
3—6.06%6.06%———12.12%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+—————3.03%3.03%
Total12.12%33.33%30.30%3.03%12.12%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 2.00 -0.85
SD 1.33 1.56 1.86
CV 1.15 0.78 —
Max 5 6 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%3.03%9.09%6.06%——33.33%
16.06%6.06%15.15%6.06%3.03%—36.36%
29.09%9.09%————18.18%
33.03%—————3.03%
43.03%——6.06%——9.09%
5+———————
Total36.36%18.18%24.24%18.18%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.33 -0.15
SD 1.21 1.24 1.73
CV 1.02 0.93 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%12.12%12.12%6.06%—3.03%48.48%
16.06%9.09%3.03%3.03%——21.21%
29.09%9.09%3.03%———21.21%
3———————
46.06%—————6.06%
5+—————3.03%3.03%
Total36.36%30.30%18.18%9.09%—6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.27 -0.21
SD 1.43 1.46 2.00
CV 1.35 1.15 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%15.15%6.06%——30.30%
16.06%9.09%9.09%6.06%——30.30%
29.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%——21.21%
3—6.06%6.06%———12.12%
4—3.03%—3.03%——6.06%
5+———————
Total18.18%30.30%33.33%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.52 -0.18
SD 1.22 1.00 1.65
CV 0.91 0.66 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%3.03%3.03%———21.21%
118.18%9.09%6.06%3.03%——36.36%
2—12.12%6.06%3.03%——21.21%
33.03%—3.03%———6.06%
43.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
5+6.06%—————6.06%
Total45.45%27.27%21.21%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 0.88 +0.76
SD 1.45 0.96 1.70
CV 0.89 1.09 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%6.06%—3.03%—3.03%27.27%
115.15%9.09%—3.03%3.03%—30.30%
23.03%15.15%6.06%3.03%3.03%—30.30%
39.09%—————9.09%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total42.42%30.30%9.09%9.09%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.15 +0.15
SD 1.07 1.39 1.75
CV 0.82 1.21 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
FC Prishtina 987 65 61.78 +3.22 71.0% 47 49 57 62 67 73 77
Trepca'89 922 61 51.05 +9.95 93.0% 35 40 46 50 56 63 66
Drenica 872 46 48.44 -2.44 38.0% 33 37 45 48 53 58 61
Besa 865 48 44.38 +3.62 73.0% 24 31 39 44 49 56 60
Hysi 852 47 56.51 -9.51 10.0% 38 45 51 57 62 69 73
Vellaznimi 845 55 49.76 +5.24 85.0% 35 40 45 50 54 60 67
Liria 802 44 41.47 +2.53 62.0% 18 28 37 42 47 53 58
KF Trepca 786 43 39.65 +3.35 69.0% 25 28 35 40 44 49 52
Lepenci 783 42 42.83 -0.83 48.0% 25 32 38 43 47 54 59
Drita Gjilan 760 47 44.91 +2.09 65.0% 19 32 39 45 50 57 64
KEK 667 28 37.25 -9.25 7.0% 21 28 33 37 42 46 52
Gjilani 544 23 32.46 -9.46 8.0% 15 22 29 33 37 42 48

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+38.89%
Strong Edge
58.08%22.73%19.19%
Elo Value
Home Edge
181 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0142.62500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.76 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.79+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.1
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
65%
FC Prishtina, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.12/gm
Tight Race
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.46 * Some Luck: 5.46 to 8.19 * Lucky: 8.19 to 10.92 * Wild Swing: 10.92 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.47 * Close: 1.47 to 2.2 * Off: 2.2 to 2.93 * Way Off: 2.93 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.08 points
Some Luck
06.8317
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
01.834
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
93.00%
Trepca'89
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
7.00%
KEK
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Even
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 116.26
1.55
Moderate Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
63%
Even
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
93%
Strong Edge
50%91%100%
Close Games
Expected
62%
Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Occasional
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.45
Notable Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.86
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.43
Some Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Chalky
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Solid Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.
Probability calibration
0.54
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.15
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.059
Well Within Noise
00.1040.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
FC Prishtina65.00%16.00%10.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%——————
Trepca'897.00%18.00%17.00%13.00%13.00%11.00%9.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%—
Vellaznimi2.00%12.00%16.00%13.00%23.00%10.00%8.00%6.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%—
Besa1.00%5.00%5.00%11.00%11.00%13.00%14.00%11.00%11.00%5.00%11.00%2.00%
Hysi19.00%30.00%19.00%14.00%6.00%7.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%———
Drita Gjilan2.00%5.00%11.00%6.00%9.00%9.00%17.00%12.00%8.00%11.00%6.00%4.00%
Drenica3.00%10.00%13.00%20.00%14.00%13.00%9.00%5.00%6.00%3.00%4.00%—
Liria1.00%1.00%2.00%7.00%5.00%10.00%14.00%15.00%13.00%11.00%10.00%11.00%
KF Trepca——1.00%1.00%7.00%10.00%10.00%11.00%19.00%14.00%20.00%7.00%
Lepenci—2.00%6.00%8.00%6.00%12.00%11.00%13.00%15.00%15.00%7.00%5.00%
KEK—1.00%—2.00%2.00%4.00%6.00%17.00%9.00%22.00%20.00%17.00%
Gjilani———1.00%——1.00%3.00%9.00%13.00%19.00%54.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
FC Prishtina 100% —
Hysi 100% —
Trepca'89 96.00% 4.00%
Vellaznimi 95.00% 5.00%
Drenica 93.00% 7.00%
Besa 82.00% 18.00%
Drita Gjilan 79.00% 21.00%
Lepenci 73.00% 27.00%
Liria 68.00% 32.00%
KF Trepca 59.00% 41.00%
KEK 41.00% 59.00%
Gjilani 14.00% 86.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2011-08-20 Trepca'89 D 2-260.0 832 790 61.08% 21.95% 16.97%+1.02 -2.0 1
2011-08-20 @ Drenica D 2-260.0 790 832 16.97% 21.95% 61.08%-1.02 +2.0 1
2011-08-21 Besa W 1-037.1 766 787 54.26% 23.13% 22.61%+0.67 +6.8 3
2011-08-21 @ KF Trepca L 0-137.1 787 766 22.61% 23.13% 54.26%-0.67 -6.8 0
2011-08-21 FC Prishtina D 2-259.3 795 905 42.95% 24.02% 33.02%+0.18 -0.4 1
2011-08-21 @ Vellaznimi D 2-259.3 905 795 33.02% 24.02% 42.95%-0.18 +0.4 1
2011-08-21 Gjilani W 1-034.7 800 745 62.22% 21.69% 16.09%+1.09 +5.0 3
2011-08-21 @ Lepenci L 0-134.7 745 800 16.09% 21.69% 62.22%-1.09 -4.9 0
2011-08-21 KEK W 4-025.8 918 769 70.24% 19.28% 10.48%+1.61 +11.5 3
2011-08-21 @ Hysi L 0-425.8 769 918 10.48% 19.28% 70.24%-1.61 -11.5 0
2011-08-21 Liria W 2-035.0 757 820 49.20% 23.67% 27.13%+0.44 +14.9 3
2011-08-21 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-235.0 820 757 27.13% 23.67% 49.20%-0.44 -14.9 0
2011-08-27 Besa W 4-241.5 791 780 57.81% 22.59% 19.60%+0.85 +8.7 4
2011-08-27 @ Trepca'89 L 2-441.5 780 791 19.60% 22.59% 57.81%-0.85 -8.7 0
2011-08-27 Drita Gjilan D 1-154.7 831 772 62.55% 21.61% 15.83%+1.11 -2.8 2
2011-08-27 @ Drenica D 1-154.7 772 831 15.83% 21.61% 62.55%-1.11 +2.8 4
2011-08-27 Hysi W 1-037.2 905 929 53.87% 23.18% 22.95%+0.65 +6.8 4
2011-08-27 @ FC Prishtina L 0-137.2 929 905 22.95% 23.18% 53.87%-0.65 -6.9 3
2011-08-27 KF Trepca W 1-037.5 740 773 52.86% 23.30% 23.83%+0.60 +7.1 3
2011-08-27 @ Gjilani L 0-137.5 773 740 23.83% 23.30% 52.86%-0.60 -7.1 3
2011-08-27 Lepenci L 0-242.2 758 805 51.21% 23.49% 25.31%+0.53 -24.8 0
2011-08-27 @ KEK W 2-042.2 805 758 25.31% 23.49% 51.21%-0.53 +24.8 6
2011-08-27 Vellaznimi L 0-147.5 805 794 57.82% 22.59% 19.59%+0.85 -14.7 0
2011-08-27 @ Liria W 1-047.5 794 805 19.59% 22.59% 57.82%-0.85 +14.6 4
2011-09-07 Drenica W 2-033.4 809 828 54.51% 23.10% 22.40%+0.68 +12.6 7
2011-09-07 @ Vellaznimi L 0-233.4 828 809 22.40% 23.10% 54.51%-0.68 -12.6 2
2011-09-07 FC Prishtina L 0-240.9 829 912 46.66% 23.85% 29.49%+0.33 -22.9 6
2011-09-07 @ Lepenci W 2-040.9 912 829 29.49% 23.85% 46.66%-0.33 +22.9 7
2011-09-07 Gjilani W 3-137.4 772 747 59.23% 22.33% 18.44%+0.92 +9.2 3
2011-09-07 @ Besa L 1-337.4 747 772 18.44% 22.33% 59.23%-0.92 -9.2 3
2011-09-07 KEK W 1-035.3 766 733 60.07% 22.16% 17.77%+0.97 +5.4 6
2011-09-07 @ KF Trepca L 0-135.3 733 766 17.77% 22.16% 60.07%-0.97 -5.4 0
2011-09-07 Liria W 3-026.8 923 791 68.94% 19.75% 11.31%+1.51 +9.5 6
2011-09-07 @ Hysi L 0-326.8 791 923 11.31% 19.75% 68.94%-1.51 -9.5 0
2011-09-07 Trepca'89 W 2-142.5 775 800 53.79% 23.19% 23.02%+0.65 +6.5 7
2011-09-07 @ Drita Gjilan L 1-242.5 800 775 23.02% 23.19% 53.79%-0.65 -6.5 4
2011-09-10 Besa D 1-154.1 728 781 50.40% 23.56% 26.03%+0.49 -1.4 1
2011-09-10 @ KEK D 1-154.1 781 728 26.03% 23.56% 50.40%-0.49 +1.4 4
2011-09-10 Hysi W 3-034.9 815 932 41.99% 24.05% 33.96%+0.14 +25.9 5
2011-09-10 @ Drenica L 0-334.9 932 815 33.96% 24.05% 41.99%-0.14 -25.9 6
2011-09-10 Lepenci W 2-033.6 781 807 53.76% 23.20% 23.05%+0.65 +13.0 3
2011-09-10 @ Liria L 0-233.6 807 781 23.05% 23.20% 53.76%-0.65 -13.0 6
2011-09-11 Gjilani W 1-034.7 794 738 62.32% 21.67% 16.01%+1.09 +4.9 7
2011-09-11 @ Trepca'89 L 0-134.7 738 794 16.01% 21.67% 62.32%-1.09 -4.9 3
2011-09-11 KF Trepca W 4-130.8 935 771 71.36% 18.85% 9.78%+1.69 +6.9 10
2011-09-11 @ FC Prishtina L 1-430.8 771 935 9.78% 18.85% 71.36%-1.69 -6.9 6
2011-09-11 Vellaznimi D 0-049.6 782 822 52.02% 23.40% 24.58%+0.57 -1.8 8
2011-09-11 @ Drita Gjilan D 0-049.6 822 782 24.58% 23.40% 52.02%-0.57 +1.8 8
2011-09-18 Drenica D 0-049.6 794 841 51.11% 23.49% 25.39%+0.52 -1.6 7
2011-09-18 @ Lepenci D 0-049.6 841 794 25.39% 23.49% 51.11%-0.52 +1.6 6
2011-09-18 Drita Gjilan L 1-255.1 906 780 68.50% 19.90% 11.60%+1.48 -16.1 6
2011-09-18 @ Hysi W 2-155.1 780 906 11.60% 19.90% 68.50%-1.48 +16.1 11
2011-09-18 FC Prishtina L 1-246.6 782 942 35.97% 24.09% 39.94%-0.09 -9.3 4
2011-09-18 @ Besa W 2-146.6 942 782 39.94% 24.09% 35.97%+0.09 +9.3 13
2011-09-18 KEK L 2-452.9 733 726 57.35% 22.67% 19.99%+0.82 -21.2 3
2011-09-18 @ Gjilani W 4-252.9 726 733 19.99% 22.67% 57.35%-0.82 +21.2 4
2011-09-18 Liria W 2-033.8 764 794 53.24% 23.26% 23.50%+0.62 +13.2 9
2011-09-18 @ KF Trepca L 0-233.8 794 764 23.50% 23.26% 53.24%-0.62 -13.2 3
2011-09-18 Trepca'89 D 1-154.5 823 799 59.24% 22.33% 18.43%+0.92 -2.4 9
2011-09-18 @ Vellaznimi D 1-154.5 799 823 18.43% 22.33% 59.24%-0.92 +2.4 8
2011-09-24 Besa W 1-036.1 781 773 57.49% 22.64% 19.87%+0.83 +6.0 6
2011-09-24 @ Liria L 0-136.1 773 781 19.87% 22.64% 57.49%-0.83 -6.0 4
2011-09-24 Gjilani D 1-156.2 951 712 76.50% 16.60% 6.90%+2.11 -4.3 14
2011-09-24 @ FC Prishtina D 1-156.2 712 951 6.90% 16.60% 76.50%-2.11 +4.3 4
2011-09-24 KF Trepca D 0-050.2 843 778 63.19% 21.46% 15.35%+1.14 -3.2 7
2011-09-24 @ Drenica D 0-050.2 778 843 15.35% 21.46% 63.19%-1.14 +3.2 10
2011-09-25 Hysi D 1-154.0 821 890 48.38% 23.73% 27.88%+0.40 -1.1 10
2011-09-25 @ Vellaznimi D 1-154.0 890 821 27.88% 23.73% 48.38%-0.40 +1.1 7
2011-09-25 KEK W 2-140.0 801 748 62.10% 21.72% 16.18%+1.08 +4.7 11
2011-09-25 @ Trepca'89 L 1-240.0 748 801 16.18% 21.72% 62.10%-1.08 -4.7 4
2011-09-25 Lepenci D 0-049.9 796 792 57.05% 22.72% 20.23%+0.81 -2.4 12
2011-09-25 @ Drita Gjilan D 0-049.9 792 796 20.23% 22.72% 57.05%-0.81 +2.4 8
2011-09-28 Drenica W 2-035.4 767 839 47.97% 23.76% 28.27%+0.39 +15.4 7
2011-09-28 @ Besa L 0-235.4 839 767 28.27% 23.76% 47.97%-0.39 -15.4 7
2011-09-28 Drita Gjilan D 1-154.3 781 793 55.21% 23.00% 21.79%+0.72 -1.9 11
2011-09-28 @ KF Trepca D 1-154.3 793 781 21.79% 23.00% 55.21%-0.72 +1.9 13
2011-09-28 FC Prishtina L 0-139.5 743 947 30.06% 23.89% 46.05%-0.34 -8.6 4
2011-09-28 @ KEK W 1-039.5 947 743 46.05% 23.89% 30.06%+0.34 +8.6 17
2011-09-28 Liria W 2-144.2 716 787 48.16% 23.75% 28.09%+0.40 +7.7 7
2011-09-28 @ Gjilani L 1-244.2 787 716 28.09% 23.75% 48.16%-0.40 -7.7 6
2011-09-28 Trepca'89 W 1-033.8 891 806 65.06% 20.96% 13.98%+1.26 +4.3 10
2011-09-28 @ Hysi L 0-133.8 806 891 13.98% 20.96% 65.06%-1.26 -4.3 11
2011-09-28 Vellaznimi L 0-146.4 794 820 53.75% 23.20% 23.06%+0.65 -13.7 8
2011-09-28 @ Lepenci W 1-046.4 820 794 23.06% 23.20% 53.75%-0.65 +13.7 13
2011-10-01 Besa W 5-133.1 795 782 58.03% 22.55% 19.42%+0.86 +17.6 16
2011-10-01 @ Drita Gjilan L 1-533.1 782 795 19.42% 22.55% 58.03%-0.86 -17.6 7
2011-10-01 Gjilani W 2-138.7 824 724 66.34% 20.59% 13.07%+1.34 +3.8 10
2011-10-01 @ Drenica L 1-238.7 724 824 13.07% 20.59% 66.34%-1.34 -3.8 7
2011-10-01 KEK L 0-244.7 779 734 61.29% 21.90% 16.81%+1.04 -29.1 6
2011-10-01 @ Liria W 2-044.7 734 779 16.81% 21.90% 61.29%-1.04 +29.1 7
2011-10-02 FC Prishtina W 1-042.3 801 955 36.74% 24.10% 39.16%-0.06 +10.6 14
2011-10-02 @ Trepca'89 L 0-142.3 955 801 39.16% 24.10% 36.74%+0.06 -10.6 17
2011-10-02 KF Trepca W 2-140.0 833 779 62.20% 21.69% 16.10%+1.09 +4.7 16
2011-10-02 @ Vellaznimi L 1-240.0 779 833 16.10% 21.69% 62.20%-1.09 -4.7 11
2011-10-02 Lepenci D 1-155.1 896 781 67.58% 20.20% 12.22%+1.42 -3.4 11
2011-10-02 @ Hysi D 1-155.1 781 896 12.22% 20.20% 67.58%-1.42 +3.4 9
2011-10-11 Liria W 2-027.7 945 750 73.57% 17.95% 8.48%+1.86 +4.8 20
2011-10-11 @ FC Prishtina L 0-227.7 750 945 8.48% 17.95% 73.57%-1.86 -4.8 6
2011-10-12 Drenica W 3-140.5 763 828 49.00% 23.69% 27.32%+0.43 +13.0 10
2011-10-12 @ KEK L 1-340.5 828 763 27.32% 23.69% 49.00%-0.43 -13.0 10
2011-10-12 Drita Gjilan L 0-144.1 720 813 45.25% 23.93% 30.82%+0.27 -11.8 7
2011-10-12 @ Gjilani W 1-044.1 813 720 30.82% 23.93% 45.25%-0.27 +11.8 19
2011-10-12 Hysi W 3-034.9 774 892 41.85% 24.06% 34.09%+0.14 +26.0 14
2011-10-12 @ KF Trepca L 0-334.9 892 774 34.09% 24.06% 41.85%-0.14 -26.0 11
2011-10-12 Trepca'89 D 1-154.2 784 812 53.45% 23.23% 23.32%+0.63 -1.7 10
2011-10-12 @ Lepenci D 1-154.2 812 784 23.32% 23.23% 53.45%-0.63 +1.7 15
2011-10-12 Vellaznimi W 1-039.0 765 838 47.85% 23.77% 28.38%+0.38 +8.2 10
2011-10-12 @ Besa L 0-139.0 838 765 28.38% 23.77% 47.85%-0.38 -8.2 16
2011-10-16 Besa D 1-154.9 866 773 65.74% 20.77% 13.50%+1.30 -3.2 12
2011-10-16 @ Hysi D 1-154.9 773 866 13.50% 20.77% 65.74%-1.30 +3.2 11
2011-10-16 FC Prishtina W 1-041.5 815 950 39.49% 24.10% 36.42%+0.04 +10.0 13
2011-10-16 @ Drenica L 0-141.5 950 815 36.42% 24.10% 39.49%-0.04 -10.0 20
2011-10-16 Gjilani W 1-032.9 830 708 68.14% 20.02% 11.84%+1.46 +3.6 19
2011-10-16 @ Vellaznimi L 0-132.9 708 830 11.84% 20.02% 68.14%-1.46 -3.6 7
2011-10-16 KEK W 2-031.3 825 776 61.62% 21.83% 16.55%+1.05 +9.6 22
2011-10-16 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-231.3 776 825 16.55% 21.83% 61.62%-1.05 -9.6 10
2011-10-16 KF Trepca W 2-142.2 782 800 54.60% 23.08% 22.31%+0.69 +6.3 13
2011-10-16 @ Lepenci L 1-242.2 800 782 22.31% 23.08% 54.60%-0.69 -6.3 14
2011-10-16 Liria D 2-260.1 814 745 63.49% 21.38% 15.13%+1.16 -2.2 16
2011-10-16 @ Trepca'89 D 2-260.1 745 814 15.13% 21.38% 63.49%-1.16 +2.2 7
2011-10-21 Vellaznimi L 0-145.1 767 834 48.70% 23.71% 27.60%+0.42 -12.6 10
2011-10-21 @ KEK W 1-045.1 834 767 27.60% 23.71% 48.70%-0.42 +12.6 22
2011-10-22 Drenica W 2-144.4 748 825 47.35% 23.81% 28.84%+0.36 +7.8 10
2011-10-22 @ Liria L 1-244.4 825 748 28.84% 23.81% 47.35%-0.36 -7.8 13
2011-10-22 Drita Gjilan W 2-138.6 940 834 66.76% 20.46% 12.78%+1.37 +3.7 23
2011-10-22 @ FC Prishtina L 1-238.6 834 940 12.78% 20.46% 66.76%-1.37 -3.7 22
2011-10-23 Hysi L 0-335.5 704 863 36.08% 24.09% 39.82%-0.09 -27.1 7
2011-10-23 @ Gjilani W 3-035.5 863 704 39.82% 24.09% 36.08%+0.09 +27.2 15
2011-10-23 Lepenci W 2-033.2 776 789 55.23% 23.00% 21.77%+0.72 +12.3 14
2011-10-23 @ Besa L 0-233.2 789 776 21.77% 23.00% 55.23%-0.72 -12.3 13
2011-10-23 Trepca'89 L 1-251.9 794 812 54.65% 23.08% 22.27%+0.69 -13.1 14
2011-10-23 @ KF Trepca W 2-151.9 812 794 22.27% 23.08% 54.65%-0.69 +13.1 19
2011-10-29 Drita Gjilan L 2-354.8 755 831 47.60% 23.79% 28.61%+0.37 -11.0 10
2011-10-29 @ Liria W 3-254.8 831 755 28.61% 23.79% 47.60%-0.37 +11.0 25
2011-10-29 Hysi L 0-142.4 754 890 39.31% 24.10% 36.59%+0.04 -10.6 10
2011-10-29 @ KEK W 1-042.4 890 754 36.59% 24.10% 39.31%-0.04 +10.6 18
2011-10-30 Drenica W 1-036.1 825 817 57.45% 22.65% 19.90%+0.83 +6.0 22
2011-10-30 @ Trepca'89 L 0-136.1 817 825 19.90% 22.65% 57.45%-0.83 -6.0 13
2011-10-30 KF Trepca W 3-137.9 788 781 57.45% 22.65% 19.90%+0.83 +9.8 17
2011-10-30 @ Besa L 1-337.9 781 788 19.90% 22.65% 57.45%-0.83 -9.8 14
2011-10-30 Lepenci W 2-145.3 677 776 44.47% 23.97% 31.57%+0.24 +8.4 10
2011-10-30 @ Gjilani L 1-245.3 776 677 31.57% 23.97% 44.47%-0.24 -8.4 13
2011-10-30 Vellaznimi W 4-132.4 943 846 66.07% 20.67% 13.26%+1.32 +9.4 26
2011-10-30 @ FC Prishtina L 1-432.4 846 943 13.26% 20.67% 66.07%-1.32 -9.4 22
2011-11-04 Trepca'89 D 0-049.7 798 831 52.93% 23.30% 23.78%+0.61 -1.9 18
2011-11-04 @ Besa D 0-049.7 831 798 23.78% 23.30% 52.93%-0.61 +1.9 23
2011-11-05 Drenica W 2-140.7 842 811 59.87% 22.20% 17.93%+0.96 +5.2 28
2011-11-05 @ Drita Gjilan L 1-240.7 811 842 17.93% 22.20% 59.87%-0.96 -5.2 13
2011-11-05 FC Prishtina W 4-137.1 901 953 50.56% 23.55% 25.90%+0.50 +17.5 21
2011-11-05 @ Hysi L 1-437.1 953 901 25.90% 23.55% 50.56%-0.50 -17.5 26
2011-11-05 Gjilani D 1-154.9 771 686 65.03% 20.97% 14.00%+1.26 -3.1 15
2011-11-05 @ KF Trepca D 1-154.9 686 771 14.00% 20.97% 65.03%-1.26 +3.1 11
2011-11-05 KEK W 2-032.0 768 744 59.19% 22.34% 18.47%+0.92 +10.6 16
2011-11-05 @ Lepenci L 0-232.0 744 768 18.47% 22.34% 59.19%-0.92 -10.6 10
2011-11-05 Liria D 1-154.9 837 744 65.66% 20.79% 13.55%+1.30 -3.2 23
2011-11-05 @ Vellaznimi D 1-154.9 744 837 13.55% 20.79% 65.66%-1.30 +3.2 11
2011-11-08 Lepenci W 3-133.9 935 778 70.86% 19.05% 10.09%+1.65 +5.0 29
2011-11-08 @ FC Prishtina L 1-333.9 778 935 10.09% 19.05% 70.86%-1.65 -5.0 16
2011-11-09 Besa W 2-145.6 689 796 43.28% 24.01% 32.70%+0.19 +8.7 14
2011-11-09 @ Gjilani L 1-245.6 796 689 32.70% 24.01% 43.28%-0.19 -8.6 18
2011-11-09 Drita Gjilan D 0-049.8 833 847 55.01% 23.03% 21.96%+0.71 -2.1 24
2011-11-09 @ Trepca'89 D 0-049.8 847 833 21.96% 23.03% 55.01%-0.71 +2.1 29
2011-11-09 KF Trepca L 1-251.4 733 768 52.63% 23.33% 24.04%+0.59 -12.7 10
2011-11-09 @ KEK W 2-151.4 768 733 24.04% 23.33% 52.63%-0.59 +12.7 18
2011-11-09 Vellaznimi L 1-251.6 806 834 53.47% 23.23% 23.30%+0.63 -12.9 13
2011-11-09 @ Drenica W 2-151.6 834 806 23.30% 23.23% 53.47%-0.63 +12.9 26
2011-11-10 Hysi W 2-148.3 748 918 34.40% 24.06% 41.53%-0.16 +10.4 14
2011-11-10 @ Liria L 1-248.3 918 748 41.53% 24.06% 34.40%+0.16 -10.4 21
2011-11-13 Drita Gjilan W 2-141.7 846 849 56.33% 22.83% 20.84%+0.77 +5.9 29
2011-11-13 @ Vellaznimi L 1-241.7 849 846 20.84% 22.83% 56.33%-0.77 -5.9 29
2011-11-13 Liria W 2-141.1 773 758 58.28% 22.51% 19.22%+0.87 +5.5 19
2011-11-13 @ Lepenci L 1-241.1 758 773 19.22% 22.51% 58.28%-0.87 -5.5 14
2011-11-16 Drenica W 1-033.1 908 793 67.58% 20.20% 12.22%+1.42 +3.8 24
2011-11-16 @ Hysi L 0-133.1 793 908 12.22% 20.20% 67.58%-1.42 -3.8 13
2011-11-16 FC Prishtina D 0-049.4 781 940 35.93% 24.09% 39.97%-0.09 +0.2 19
2011-11-16 @ KF Trepca D 0-049.4 940 781 39.97% 24.09% 35.93%+0.09 -0.2 30
2011-11-16 KEK D 1-154.7 788 720 63.42% 21.40% 15.18%+1.16 -2.9 19
2011-11-16 @ Besa D 1-154.7 720 788 15.18% 21.40% 63.42%-1.16 +2.9 11
2011-11-16 Trepca'89 D 0-049.4 697 830 39.74% 24.10% 36.16%+0.05 -0.2 15
2011-11-16 @ Gjilani D 0-049.4 830 697 36.16% 24.10% 39.74%-0.05 +0.2 25
2011-11-19 Besa W 3-026.2 940 785 70.74% 19.09% 10.17%+1.64 +8.5 33
2011-11-19 @ FC Prishtina L 0-326.2 785 940 10.17% 19.09% 70.74%-1.64 -8.5 19
2011-11-19 Gjilani W 2-032.0 723 697 59.37% 22.30% 18.33%+0.93 +10.6 14
2011-11-19 @ KEK L 0-232.0 697 723 18.33% 22.30% 59.37%-0.93 -10.5 15
2011-11-19 KF Trepca W 2-033.8 752 781 53.40% 23.24% 23.36%+0.63 +13.1 17
2011-11-19 @ Liria L 0-233.8 781 752 23.36% 23.24% 53.40%-0.63 -13.1 19
2011-11-19 Lepenci W 1-036.0 789 779 57.72% 22.60% 19.67%+0.84 +6.0 16
2011-11-19 @ Drenica L 0-136.0 779 789 19.67% 22.60% 57.72%-0.84 -6.0 19
2011-11-20 Hysi W 3-140.6 843 912 48.48% 23.73% 27.80%+0.41 +13.1 32
2011-11-20 @ Drita Gjilan L 1-340.6 912 843 27.80% 23.73% 48.48%-0.41 -13.2 24
2011-11-20 Vellaznimi W 5-031.0 831 852 54.17% 23.14% 22.69%+0.67 +29.9 28
2011-11-20 @ Trepca'89 L 0-531.0 852 831 22.69% 23.14% 54.17%-0.67 -29.9 29
2011-11-23 Drenica L 1-251.6 768 795 53.51% 23.23% 23.26%+0.64 -12.9 19
2011-11-23 @ KF Trepca W 2-151.6 795 768 23.26% 23.23% 53.51%-0.64 +12.9 19
2011-11-23 Drita Gjilan W 2-144.7 773 856 46.55% 23.86% 29.60%+0.33 +8.0 22
2011-11-23 @ Lepenci L 1-244.7 856 773 29.60% 23.86% 46.55%-0.33 -8.0 32
2011-11-23 FC Prishtina D 1-154.2 687 949 23.45% 23.25% 53.30%-0.66 +1.7 16
2011-11-23 @ Gjilani D 1-154.2 949 687 53.30% 23.25% 23.45%+0.66 -1.7 34
2011-11-23 Liria W 1-036.0 776 766 57.78% 22.59% 19.62%+0.85 +6.0 22
2011-11-23 @ Besa L 0-136.0 766 776 19.62% 22.59% 57.78%-0.85 -5.9 17
2011-11-23 Vellaznimi W 3-135.9 899 822 64.20% 21.19% 14.60%+1.21 +7.4 27
2011-11-23 @ Hysi L 1-335.9 822 899 14.60% 21.19% 64.20%-1.21 -7.3 29
2011-11-24 Trepca'89 D 1-153.9 734 861 40.62% 24.08% 35.30%+0.09 -0.3 15
2011-11-24 @ KEK D 1-153.9 861 734 35.30% 24.08% 40.62%-0.09 +0.3 29
2012-03-09 KEK D 0-051.5 947 733 74.84% 17.38% 7.78%+1.96 -4.6 35
2012-03-09 @ FC Prishtina D 0-051.5 733 947 7.78% 17.38% 74.84%-1.96 +4.6 16
2012-03-10 Besa L 1-253.1 808 782 59.34% 22.31% 18.35%+0.93 -14.1 19
2012-03-10 @ Drenica W 2-153.1 782 808 18.35% 22.31% 59.34%-0.93 +14.1 25
2012-03-10 Gjilani W 4-133.1 760 688 63.76% 21.31% 14.93%+1.18 +10.6 20
2012-03-10 @ Liria L 1-433.1 688 760 14.93% 21.31% 63.76%-1.18 -10.6 16
2012-03-10 KF Trepca L 1-254.6 848 755 65.76% 20.76% 13.48%+1.30 -15.5 32
2012-03-10 @ Drita Gjilan W 2-154.6 755 848 13.48% 20.76% 65.76%-1.30 +15.5 22
2012-03-11 Hysi W 1-037.9 861 906 51.41% 23.46% 25.13%+0.54 +7.4 32
2012-03-11 @ Trepca'89 L 0-137.9 906 861 25.13% 23.46% 51.41%-0.54 -7.4 27
2012-03-11 Lepenci W 3-029.4 815 781 60.21% 22.13% 17.66%+0.98 +14.8 32
2012-03-11 @ Vellaznimi L 0-329.4 781 815 17.66% 22.13% 60.21%-0.98 -14.8 22
2012-03-17 Drita Gjilan W 3-031.7 796 833 52.46% 23.35% 24.19%+0.59 +19.6 28
2012-03-17 @ Besa L 0-331.7 833 796 24.19% 23.35% 52.46%-0.59 -19.6 32
2012-03-18 Drenica W 1-040.7 678 794 42.11% 24.05% 33.84%+0.15 +9.4 19
2012-03-18 @ Gjilani L 0-140.7 794 678 33.84% 24.05% 42.11%-0.15 -9.4 19
2012-03-18 Hysi W 1-041.4 766 898 39.83% 24.09% 36.07%+0.06 +9.9 25
2012-03-18 @ Lepenci L 0-141.4 898 766 36.07% 24.09% 39.83%-0.06 -9.9 27
2012-03-18 Liria D 1-154.2 738 770 52.95% 23.29% 23.75%+0.61 -1.7 17
2012-03-18 @ KEK D 1-154.2 770 738 23.75% 23.29% 52.95%-0.61 +1.7 21
2012-03-18 Trepca'89 W 2-139.4 942 868 64.02% 21.24% 14.74%+1.19 +4.3 38
2012-03-18 @ FC Prishtina L 1-239.4 868 942 14.74% 21.24% 64.02%-1.19 -4.3 32
2012-03-18 Vellaznimi D 0-049.6 770 830 49.60% 23.64% 26.76%+0.46 -1.4 23
2012-03-18 @ KF Trepca D 0-049.6 830 770 26.76% 23.64% 49.60%-0.46 +1.4 33
2012-03-24 Gjilani W 2-029.2 813 687 68.47% 19.91% 11.62%+1.48 +6.7 35
2012-03-24 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-229.2 687 813 11.62% 19.91% 68.47%-1.48 -6.7 19
2012-03-25 Besa D 0-049.9 831 816 58.26% 22.51% 19.23%+0.87 -2.6 34
2012-03-25 @ Vellaznimi D 0-049.9 816 831 19.23% 22.51% 58.26%-0.87 +2.6 29
2012-03-25 FC Prishtina W 1-043.2 772 946 33.89% 24.05% 42.06%-0.18 +11.2 24
2012-03-25 @ Liria L 0-143.2 946 772 42.06% 24.05% 33.89%+0.18 -11.2 38
2012-03-25 KEK W 2-140.1 784 736 61.58% 21.84% 16.58%+1.05 +4.8 22
2012-03-25 @ Drenica L 1-240.1 736 784 16.58% 21.84% 61.58%-1.05 -4.8 17
2012-03-25 KF Trepca W 2-029.4 889 769 67.96% 20.08% 11.96%+1.45 +6.9 30
2012-03-25 @ Hysi L 0-229.4 769 889 11.96% 20.08% 67.96%-1.45 -6.9 23
2012-03-25 Lepenci W 1-033.8 864 776 65.26% 20.90% 13.83%+1.27 +4.3 35
2012-03-25 @ Trepca'89 L 0-133.8 776 864 13.83% 20.90% 65.26%-1.27 -4.3 25
2012-03-31 Drita Gjilan W 3-141.4 732 820 45.89% 23.90% 30.22%+0.30 +14.1 20
2012-03-31 @ KEK L 1-341.4 820 732 30.22% 23.90% 45.89%-0.30 -14.1 35
2012-04-01 Drenica L 0-246.6 935 789 70.05% 19.35% 10.60%+1.59 -32.7 38
2012-04-01 @ FC Prishtina W 2-046.6 789 935 10.60% 19.35% 70.05%-1.59 +32.7 25
2012-04-01 Hysi D 0-049.5 819 895 47.40% 23.80% 28.79%+0.36 -1.2 30
2012-04-01 @ Besa D 0-049.5 895 819 28.79% 23.80% 47.40%-0.36 +1.2 31
2012-04-01 Lepenci W 2-033.1 762 772 55.52% 22.95% 21.52%+0.73 +12.2 26
2012-04-01 @ KF Trepca L 0-233.1 772 762 21.52% 22.95% 55.52%-0.73 -12.2 25
2012-04-01 Trepca'89 W 2-035.9 783 868 46.31% 23.87% 29.82%+0.32 +16.1 27
2012-04-01 @ Liria L 0-235.9 868 783 29.82% 23.87% 46.31%-0.32 -16.1 35
2012-04-01 Vellaznimi L 2-447.4 680 829 37.54% 24.10% 38.35%-0.03 -14.9 19
2012-04-01 @ Gjilani W 4-247.4 829 680 38.35% 24.10% 37.54%+0.03 +14.9 37
2012-04-04 Besa D 0-049.6 760 818 49.82% 23.62% 26.57%+0.47 -1.5 26
2012-04-04 @ Lepenci D 0-049.6 818 760 26.57% 23.62% 49.82%-0.47 +1.5 31
2012-04-04 FC Prishtina L 0-338.1 806 903 44.77% 23.95% 31.28%+0.25 -32.1 35
2012-04-04 @ Drita Gjilan W 3-038.1 903 806 31.28% 23.95% 44.77%-0.25 +32.1 41
2012-04-04 Gjilani D 0-051.6 897 666 75.99% 16.85% 7.16%+2.06 -4.7 32
2012-04-04 @ Hysi D 0-051.6 666 897 7.16% 16.85% 75.99%-2.06 +4.7 20
2012-04-04 KEK W 3-027.6 844 746 66.15% 20.65% 13.20%+1.33 +11.1 40
2012-04-04 @ Vellaznimi L 0-327.6 746 844 13.20% 20.65% 66.15%-1.33 -11.1 20
2012-04-04 KF Trepca W 2-139.3 852 774 64.38% 21.15% 14.47%+1.22 +4.2 38
2012-04-04 @ Trepca'89 L 1-239.3 774 852 14.47% 21.15% 64.38%-1.22 -4.2 26
2012-04-04 Liria W 2-032.1 822 799 59.05% 22.36% 18.59%+0.91 +10.7 28
2012-04-04 @ Drenica L 0-232.1 799 822 18.59% 22.36% 59.05%-0.91 -10.7 27
2012-04-07 Drenica D 1-155.0 935 833 66.49% 20.54% 12.97%+1.35 -3.2 42
2012-04-07 @ FC Prishtina D 1-155.0 833 935 12.97% 20.54% 66.49%-1.35 +3.3 29
2012-04-07 Gjilani W 2-028.7 819 670 70.25% 19.28% 10.47%+1.61 +6.0 34
2012-04-07 @ Besa L 0-228.7 670 819 10.47% 19.28% 70.25%-1.61 -6.0 20
2012-04-07 KEK W 4-025.6 892 735 70.91% 19.03% 10.06%+1.65 +11.0 35
2012-04-07 @ Hysi L 0-425.6 735 892 10.06% 19.03% 70.91%-1.65 -11.0 20
2012-04-07 KF Trepca W 3-027.9 856 770 65.13% 20.94% 13.93%+1.26 +11.8 41
2012-04-07 @ Trepca'89 L 0-327.9 770 856 13.93% 20.94% 65.13%-1.26 -11.8 26
2012-04-07 Lepenci W 1-035.9 774 758 58.29% 22.50% 19.21%+0.87 +5.8 38
2012-04-07 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-135.9 758 774 19.21% 22.50% 58.29%-0.87 -5.8 26
2012-04-07 Liria W 2-139.6 855 788 63.32% 21.42% 15.25%+1.15 +4.4 43
2012-04-07 @ Vellaznimi L 1-239.6 788 855 15.25% 21.42% 63.32%-1.15 -4.4 27
2012-04-14 Drenica D 1-154.3 825 836 55.41% 22.97% 21.62%+0.73 -2.0 35
2012-04-14 @ Besa D 1-154.3 836 825 21.62% 22.97% 55.41%-0.73 +2.0 30
2012-04-14 Drita Gjilan D 0-049.6 724 780 50.06% 23.59% 26.35%+0.48 -1.5 21
2012-04-14 @ KEK D 0-049.6 780 724 26.35% 23.59% 50.06%-0.48 +1.5 39
2012-04-14 FC Prishtina L 1-343.7 784 931 37.67% 24.11% 38.22%-0.03 -16.7 27
2012-04-14 @ Liria W 3-143.7 931 784 38.22% 24.11% 37.67%+0.03 +16.7 45
2012-04-14 Hysi L 0-332.3 664 903 25.94% 23.55% 50.50%-0.53 -20.8 20
2012-04-14 @ Gjilani W 3-032.3 903 664 50.50% 23.55% 25.94%+0.53 +20.8 38
2012-04-14 Trepca'89 D 0-049.5 752 868 42.16% 24.05% 33.80%+0.15 -0.5 27
2012-04-14 @ Lepenci D 0-049.5 868 752 33.80% 24.05% 42.16%-0.15 +0.5 42
2012-04-14 Vellaznimi L 0-337.9 758 859 44.17% 23.98% 31.85%+0.23 -31.8 26
2012-04-14 @ KF Trepca W 3-037.9 859 758 31.85% 23.98% 44.17%-0.23 +31.8 46
2012-04-21 Besa W 1-033.4 924 823 66.37% 20.58% 13.05%+1.34 +4.0 41
2012-04-21 @ Hysi L 0-133.4 823 924 13.05% 20.58% 66.37%-1.34 -4.0 35
2012-04-21 Liria W 3-028.3 838 767 63.71% 21.32% 14.97%+1.18 +12.6 33
2012-04-21 @ Drenica L 0-328.3 767 838 14.97% 21.32% 63.71%-1.18 -12.6 27
2012-04-22 Gjilani L 1-255.3 781 643 69.39% 19.59% 11.02%+1.55 -16.2 39
2012-04-22 @ Drita Gjilan W 2-155.3 643 781 11.02% 19.59% 69.39%-1.55 +16.2 23
2012-04-22 KEK W 4-131.2 869 722 70.08% 19.34% 10.58%+1.59 +7.5 45
2012-04-22 @ Trepca'89 L 1-431.2 722 869 10.58% 19.34% 70.08%-1.59 -7.5 21
2012-04-22 KF Trepca D 0-051.5 948 726 75.39% 17.13% 7.48%+2.01 -4.7 46
2012-04-22 @ FC Prishtina D 0-051.5 726 948 7.48% 17.13% 75.39%-2.01 +4.7 27
2012-04-22 Lepenci D 2-260.7 891 752 69.53% 19.54% 10.93%+1.55 -2.7 47
2012-04-22 @ Vellaznimi D 2-260.7 752 891 10.93% 19.54% 69.53%-1.55 +2.7 28
2012-04-29 Drenica W 2-139.3 928 851 64.31% 21.16% 14.52%+1.21 +4.2 44
2012-04-29 @ Hysi L 1-239.3 851 928 14.52% 21.16% 64.31%-1.21 -4.2 33
2012-04-29 Drita Gjilan D 0-050.2 819 765 62.17% 21.70% 16.12%+1.09 -3.1 36
2012-04-29 @ Besa D 0-050.2 765 819 16.12% 21.70% 62.17%-1.09 +3.1 40
2012-04-29 FC Prishtina D 1-154.0 754 944 31.96% 23.98% 44.06%-0.26 +0.7 29
2012-04-29 @ Lepenci D 1-154.0 944 754 44.06% 23.98% 31.96%+0.26 -0.7 47
2012-04-29 Liria L 1-348.3 731 755 53.95% 23.17% 22.88%+0.66 -22.5 27
2012-04-29 @ KF Trepca W 3-148.3 755 731 22.88% 23.17% 53.95%-0.66 +22.5 30
2012-04-29 Trepca'89 L 0-432.5 660 876 28.53% 23.78% 47.68%-0.41 -29.4 23
2012-04-29 @ Gjilani W 4-032.5 876 660 47.68% 23.78% 28.53%+0.41 +29.4 48
2012-04-29 Vellaznimi W 3-253.2 715 888 33.99% 24.05% 41.96%-0.17 +10.0 24
2012-04-29 @ KEK L 2-353.2 888 715 41.96% 24.05% 33.99%+0.17 -10.0 47
2012-05-06 Besa W 5-027.6 905 816 65.41% 20.86% 13.73%+1.28 +18.7 51
2012-05-06 @ Trepca'89 L 0-527.6 816 905 13.73% 20.86% 65.41%-1.28 -18.7 36
2012-05-06 Gjilani W 1-030.2 878 630 77.06% 16.33% 6.61%+2.16 +1.9 50
2012-05-06 @ Vellaznimi L 0-130.2 630 878 6.61% 16.33% 77.06%-2.16 -1.9 23
2012-05-06 Hysi W 2-148.0 768 932 35.33% 24.08% 40.59%-0.12 +10.2 43
2012-05-06 @ Drita Gjilan L 1-248.0 932 768 40.59% 24.08% 35.33%+0.12 -10.2 44
2012-05-06 KEK W 5-232.3 943 725 75.17% 17.23% 7.60%+1.99 +4.5 50
2012-05-06 @ FC Prishtina L 2-532.3 725 943 7.60% 17.23% 75.17%-1.99 -4.5 24
2012-05-06 KF Trepca D 0-050.8 846 709 69.40% 19.58% 11.01%+1.55 -4.0 34
2012-05-06 @ Drenica D 0-050.8 709 846 11.01% 19.58% 69.40%-1.55 +4.0 28
2012-05-06 Lepenci D 0-050.0 777 755 58.97% 22.38% 18.65%+0.91 -2.7 31
2012-05-06 @ Liria D 0-050.0 755 777 18.65% 22.38% 58.97%-0.91 +2.7 30
2012-05-09 FC Prishtina L 1-532.7 628 947 18.16% 22.26% 59.58%-0.97 -16.5 23
2012-05-09 @ Gjilani W 5-132.7 947 628 59.58% 22.26% 18.16%+0.97 +16.5 53
2012-05-09 KF Trepca W 2-031.4 758 713 61.30% 21.90% 16.80%+1.04 +9.7 33
2012-05-09 @ Lepenci L 0-231.4 713 758 16.80% 21.90% 61.30%-1.04 -9.7 28
2012-05-09 Liria D 1-154.1 720 774 50.25% 23.58% 26.18%+0.49 -1.4 25
2012-05-09 @ KEK D 1-154.1 774 720 26.18% 23.58% 50.25%-0.49 +1.4 32
2012-05-09 Trepca'89 W 3-138.2 922 924 56.35% 22.83% 20.82%+0.77 +10.3 47
2012-05-09 @ Hysi L 1-338.2 924 922 20.82% 22.83% 56.35%-0.77 -10.3 51
2012-05-09 Vellaznimi W 3-033.5 797 880 46.58% 23.86% 29.56%+0.33 +23.2 39
2012-05-09 @ Besa L 0-333.5 880 797 29.56% 23.86% 46.58%-0.33 -23.2 50
2012-05-10 Drenica W 1-038.6 778 842 49.03% 23.68% 27.29%+0.43 +7.9 46
2012-05-10 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-138.6 842 778 27.29% 23.68% 49.03%-0.43 -7.9 34
2012-05-13 Besa W 5-129.6 964 820 69.85% 19.43% 10.73%+1.58 +9.8 56
2012-05-13 @ FC Prishtina L 1-529.6 820 964 10.73% 19.43% 69.85%-1.58 -9.8 39
2012-05-13 Drita Gjilan W 3-242.8 914 786 68.62% 19.86% 11.52%+1.49 +3.2 54
2012-05-13 @ Trepca'89 L 2-342.8 786 914 11.52% 19.86% 68.62%-1.49 -3.2 46
2012-05-13 Gjilani W 3-133.7 776 612 71.40% 18.84% 9.76%+1.69 +4.8 35
2012-05-13 @ Liria L 1-333.7 612 776 9.76% 18.84% 71.40%-1.69 -4.9 23
2012-05-13 Hysi W 2-144.3 857 932 47.67% 23.79% 28.55%+0.37 +7.8 53
2012-05-13 @ Vellaznimi L 1-244.3 932 857 28.55% 23.79% 47.67%-0.37 -7.8 47
2012-05-13 KEK W 2-142.2 703 719 54.85% 23.05% 22.10%+0.70 +6.2 31
2012-05-13 @ KF Trepca L 1-242.2 719 703 22.10% 23.05% 54.85%-0.70 -6.2 25
2012-05-13 Lepenci W 3-028.5 834 767 63.36% 21.41% 15.22%+1.16 +12.8 37
2012-05-13 @ Drenica L 0-328.5 767 834 15.22% 21.41% 63.36%-1.16 -12.8 33
2012-05-19 FC Prishtina L 2-355.7 924 974 50.87% 23.52% 25.62%+0.51 -11.7 47
2012-05-19 @ Hysi W 3-255.7 974 924 25.62% 23.52% 50.87%-0.51 +11.7 59
2012-05-19 KF Trepca L 0-437.2 607 709 44.03% 23.98% 31.99%+0.22 -41.4 23
2012-05-19 @ Gjilani W 4-037.2 709 607 31.99% 23.98% 44.03%-0.22 +41.4 34
2012-05-19 Lepenci L 5-660.0 712 755 51.75% 23.43% 24.82%+0.55 -11.3 25
2012-05-19 @ KEK W 6-560.0 755 712 24.82% 23.43% 51.75%-0.55 +11.3 36
2012-05-20 Drenica W 2-139.5 917 847 63.64% 21.34% 15.02%+1.17 +4.4 57
2012-05-20 @ Trepca'89 L 1-239.5 847 917 15.02% 21.34% 63.64%-1.17 -4.4 37
2012-05-20 Liria W 3-137.2 811 781 59.78% 22.22% 18.00%+0.95 +9.0 42
2012-05-20 @ Besa L 1-337.2 781 811 18.00% 22.22% 59.78%-0.95 -9.0 35
2012-05-20 Vellaznimi D 0-049.5 783 865 46.72% 23.85% 29.44%+0.33 -1.1 47
2012-05-20 @ Drita Gjilan D 0-049.5 865 783 29.44% 23.85% 46.72%-0.33 +1.1 54
2012-05-27 Besa W 2-035.3 751 820 48.39% 23.73% 27.87%+0.41 +15.2 37
2012-05-27 @ KF Trepca L 0-235.3 820 751 27.87% 23.73% 48.39%-0.41 -15.2 42
2012-05-27 Drita Gjilan W 2-027.5 985 782 74.19% 17.68% 8.14%+1.91 +4.6 62
2012-05-27 @ FC Prishtina L 0-227.5 782 985 8.14% 17.68% 74.19%-1.91 -4.6 47
2012-05-27 Gjilani W 4-024.6 766 566 73.98% 17.77% 8.25%+1.89 +8.9 39
2012-05-27 @ Lepenci L 0-424.6 566 766 8.25% 17.77% 73.98%-1.89 -8.9 23
2012-05-27 Hysi W 3-251.8 772 913 38.62% 24.10% 37.27%+0.01 +9.1 38
2012-05-27 @ Liria L 2-351.8 913 772 37.27% 24.10% 38.62%-0.01 -9.1 47
2012-05-27 KEK W 4-025.9 843 701 69.71% 19.47% 10.81%+1.57 +11.8 40
2012-05-27 @ Drenica L 0-425.9 701 843 10.81% 19.47% 69.71%-1.57 -11.8 25
2012-05-27 Trepca'89 D 0-049.6 866 921 50.13% 23.59% 26.28%+0.48 -1.5 55
2012-05-27 @ Vellaznimi D 0-049.6 921 866 26.28% 23.59% 50.13%-0.48 +1.5 58
2012-05-30 Drenica L 0-147.4 865 855 57.68% 22.61% 19.71%+0.84 -14.6 55
2012-05-30 @ Vellaznimi W 1-047.4 855 865 19.71% 22.61% 57.68%-0.84 +14.6 43
2012-05-30 FC Prishtina W 1-038.8 923 990 48.66% 23.71% 27.63%+0.42 +8.0 61
2012-05-30 @ Trepca'89 L 0-138.8 990 923 27.63% 23.71% 48.66%-0.42 -8.0 62
2012-05-30 KEK L 2-352.5 557 689 39.79% 24.09% 36.11%+0.06 -9.6 23
2012-05-30 @ Gjilani W 3-252.5 689 557 36.11% 24.09% 39.79%-0.06 +9.5 28
2012-05-30 KF Trepca L 3-462.7 903 766 69.40% 19.59% 11.01%+1.55 -15.0 47
2012-05-30 @ Hysi W 4-362.7 766 903 11.01% 19.59% 69.40%-1.55 +15.0 40
2012-05-30 Lepenci W 6-030.1 804 775 59.75% 22.23% 18.03%+0.95 +28.8 45
2012-05-30 @ Besa L 0-630.1 775 804 18.03% 22.23% 59.75%-0.95 -28.8 39
2012-05-30 Liria L 3-459.7 777 781 56.22% 22.85% 20.93%+0.77 -12.5 47
2012-05-30 @ Drita Gjilan W 4-359.7 781 777 20.93% 22.85% 56.22%-0.77 +12.5 41
2012-06-03 Besa L 1-539.6 699 833 39.53% 24.10% 36.38%+0.04 -31.7 28
2012-06-03 @ KEK W 5-139.6 833 699 36.38% 24.10% 39.53%-0.04 +31.7 48
2012-06-03 Drita Gjilan W 4-348.5 781 765 58.34% 22.50% 19.17%+0.87 +5.1 43
2012-06-03 @ KF Trepca L 3-448.5 765 781 19.17% 22.50% 58.34%-0.87 -5.1 47
2012-06-03 Gjilani W 4-127.9 869 547 81.24% 14.10% 4.67%+2.56 +3.0 46
2012-06-03 @ Drenica L 1-427.9 547 869 4.67% 14.10% 81.24%-2.56 -3.0 23
2012-06-03 Hysi W 4-035.3 746 888 38.39% 24.10% 37.50%+0.00 +36.5 42
2012-06-03 @ Lepenci L 0-435.3 888 746 37.50% 24.10% 38.39%+0.00 -36.5 47
2012-06-03 Trepca'89 W 3-251.7 793 931 39.08% 24.10% 36.82%+0.03 +9.0 44
2012-06-03 @ Liria L 2-351.7 931 793 36.82% 24.10% 39.08%-0.03 -9.0 61
2012-06-03 Vellaznimi W 4-238.2 982 850 68.96% 19.74% 11.30%+1.51 +5.1 65
2012-06-03 @ FC Prishtina L 2-438.2 850 982 11.30% 19.74% 68.96%-1.51 -5.1 55

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2012-04-01 10.60% Drenica 789 2 @ FC Prishtina 935 0
2 2012-05-30 11.01% KF Trepca 766 4 @ Hysi 903 3
3 2012-04-22 11.02% Gjilani 643 2 @ Drita Gjilan 781 1
4 2011-09-18 11.60% Drita Gjilan 780 2 @ Hysi 906 1
5 2012-03-10 13.48% KF Trepca 755 2 @ Drita Gjilan 848 1
6 2011-10-01 16.81% KEK 734 2 @ Liria 779 0
7 2012-03-10 18.35% Besa 782 2 @ Drenica 808 1
8 2011-08-27 19.59% Vellaznimi 794 1 @ Liria 805 0
9 2012-05-30 19.71% Drenica 855 1 @ Vellaznimi 865 0
10 2011-09-18 19.99% KEK 726 4 @ Gjilani 733 2
11 2012-05-30 20.93% Liria 781 4 @ Drita Gjilan 777 3
12 2011-10-23 22.27% Trepca'89 812 2 @ KF Trepca 794 1
13 2012-04-29 22.88% Liria 755 3 @ KF Trepca 731 1
14 2011-09-28 23.06% Vellaznimi 820 1 @ Lepenci 794 0
15 2011-11-23 23.26% Drenica 795 2 @ KF Trepca 768 1
16 2011-11-09 23.30% Vellaznimi 834 2 @ Drenica 806 1
17 2011-11-09 24.04% KF Trepca 768 2 @ KEK 733 1
18 2012-05-19 24.82% Lepenci 755 6 @ KEK 712 5
19 2011-08-27 25.31% Lepenci 805 2 @ KEK 758 0
20 2012-05-19 25.62% FC Prishtina 974 3 @ Hysi 924 2
21 2011-10-21 27.60% Vellaznimi 834 1 @ KEK 767 0
22 2011-10-29 28.61% Drita Gjilan 831 3 @ Liria 755 2
23 2011-09-07 29.49% FC Prishtina 912 2 @ Lepenci 829 0
24 2011-10-12 30.82% Drita Gjilan 813 1 @ Gjilani 720 0
25 2012-04-04 31.28% FC Prishtina 903 3 @ Drita Gjilan 806 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-05-19 41.42 KF Trepca 4 709 31.99% @ Gjilani 0 607 44.03% 23.98%
2 2012-06-03 36.52 @ Lepenci 4 746 38.39% Hysi 0 888 37.50% 24.10%
3 2012-04-01 32.73 Drenica 2 789 10.60% @ FC Prishtina 0 935 70.05% 19.35%
4 2012-04-04 32.14 FC Prishtina 3 903 31.28% @ Drita Gjilan 0 806 44.77% 23.95%
5 2012-04-14 31.79 Vellaznimi 3 859 31.85% @ KF Trepca 0 758 44.17% 23.98%
6 2012-06-03 31.69 Besa 5 833 36.38% @ KEK 1 699 39.53% 24.10%
7 2011-11-20 29.89 @ Trepca'89 5 831 54.17% Vellaznimi 0 852 22.69% 23.14%
8 2012-04-29 29.44 Trepca'89 4 876 47.68% @ Gjilani 0 660 28.53% 23.78%
9 2011-10-01 29.13 KEK 2 734 16.81% @ Liria 0 779 61.29% 21.90%
10 2012-05-30 28.84 @ Besa 6 804 59.75% Lepenci 0 775 18.03% 22.23%
11 2011-10-23 27.15 Hysi 3 863 39.82% @ Gjilani 0 704 36.08% 24.09%
12 2011-10-12 25.98 @ KF Trepca 3 774 41.85% Hysi 0 892 34.09% 24.06%
13 2011-09-10 25.89 @ Drenica 3 815 41.99% Hysi 0 932 33.96% 24.05%
14 2011-08-27 24.80 Lepenci 2 805 25.31% @ KEK 0 758 51.21% 23.49%
15 2012-05-09 23.20 @ Besa 3 797 46.58% Vellaznimi 0 880 29.56% 23.86%
16 2011-09-07 22.91 FC Prishtina 2 912 29.49% @ Lepenci 0 829 46.66% 23.85%
17 2012-04-29 22.49 Liria 3 755 22.88% @ KF Trepca 1 731 53.95% 23.17%
18 2011-09-18 21.25 KEK 4 726 19.99% @ Gjilani 2 733 57.35% 22.67%
19 2012-04-14 20.82 Hysi 3 903 50.50% @ Gjilani 0 664 25.94% 23.55%
20 2012-03-17 19.63 @ Besa 3 796 52.46% Drita Gjilan 0 833 24.19% 23.35%
21 2012-05-06 18.66 @ Trepca'89 5 905 65.41% Besa 0 816 13.73% 20.86%
22 2011-10-01 17.59 @ Drita Gjilan 5 795 58.03% Besa 1 782 19.42% 22.55%
23 2011-11-05 17.53 @ Hysi 4 901 50.56% FC Prishtina 1 953 25.90% 23.55%
24 2012-04-14 16.73 FC Prishtina 3 931 38.22% @ Liria 1 784 37.67% 24.11%
25 2012-05-09 16.53 FC Prishtina 5 947 59.58% @ Gjilani 1 628 18.16% 22.26%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-05-30 62.7 KF Trepca 4 766 11.01% @ Hysi 3 903 69.40% 19.59%
2 2012-04-22 60.7 @ Vellaznimi 2 891 69.53% Lepenci 2 752 10.93% 19.54%
3 2011-10-16 60.1 @ Trepca'89 2 814 63.49% Liria 2 745 15.13% 21.38%
4 2011-08-20 60.0 @ Drenica 2 832 61.08% Trepca'89 2 790 16.97% 21.95%
5 2012-05-19 60.0 Lepenci 6 755 24.82% @ KEK 5 712 51.75% 23.43%
6 2012-05-30 59.7 Liria 4 781 20.93% @ Drita Gjilan 3 777 56.22% 22.85%
7 2011-08-21 59.3 @ Vellaznimi 2 795 42.95% FC Prishtina 2 905 33.02% 24.02%
8 2011-09-24 56.2 @ FC Prishtina 1 951 76.50% Gjilani 1 712 6.90% 16.60%
9 2012-05-19 55.7 FC Prishtina 3 974 25.62% @ Hysi 2 924 50.87% 23.52%
10 2012-04-22 55.3 Gjilani 2 643 11.02% @ Drita Gjilan 1 781 69.39% 19.59%
11 2011-09-18 55.1 Drita Gjilan 2 780 11.60% @ Hysi 1 906 68.50% 19.90%
12 2011-10-02 55.1 @ Hysi 1 896 67.58% Lepenci 1 781 12.22% 20.20%
13 2012-04-07 55.0 @ FC Prishtina 1 935 66.49% Drenica 1 833 12.97% 20.54%
14 2011-10-16 54.9 @ Hysi 1 866 65.74% Besa 1 773 13.50% 20.77%
15 2011-11-05 54.9 @ KF Trepca 1 771 65.03% Gjilani 1 686 14.00% 20.97%
16 2011-11-05 54.9 @ Vellaznimi 1 837 65.66% Liria 1 744 13.55% 20.79%
17 2011-10-29 54.8 Drita Gjilan 3 831 28.61% @ Liria 2 755 47.60% 23.79%
18 2011-08-27 54.7 @ Drenica 1 831 62.55% Drita Gjilan 1 772 15.83% 21.61%
19 2011-11-16 54.7 @ Besa 1 788 63.42% KEK 1 720 15.18% 21.40%
20 2012-03-10 54.6 KF Trepca 2 755 13.48% @ Drita Gjilan 1 848 65.76% 20.76%
21 2011-09-18 54.5 @ Vellaznimi 1 823 59.24% Trepca'89 1 799 18.43% 22.33%
22 2011-09-28 54.3 @ KF Trepca 1 781 55.21% Drita Gjilan 1 793 21.79% 23.00%
23 2012-04-14 54.3 @ Besa 1 825 55.41% Drenica 1 836 21.62% 22.97%
24 2011-10-12 54.2 @ Lepenci 1 784 53.45% Trepca'89 1 812 23.32% 23.23%
25 2011-11-23 54.2 @ Gjilani 1 687 23.45% FC Prishtina 1 949 53.30% 23.25%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-05-27 24.6 @ Lepenci 4 766 73.98% Gjilani 0 566 8.25% 17.77%
2 2012-04-07 25.6 @ Hysi 4 892 70.91% KEK 0 735 10.06% 19.03%
3 2011-08-21 25.8 @ Hysi 4 918 70.24% KEK 0 769 10.48% 19.28%
4 2012-05-27 25.9 @ Drenica 4 843 69.71% KEK 0 701 10.81% 19.47%
5 2011-11-19 26.2 @ FC Prishtina 3 940 70.74% Besa 0 785 10.17% 19.09%
6 2011-09-07 26.8 @ Hysi 3 923 68.94% Liria 0 791 11.31% 19.75%
7 2012-05-27 27.5 @ FC Prishtina 2 985 74.19% Drita Gjilan 0 782 8.14% 17.68%
8 2012-04-04 27.6 @ Vellaznimi 3 844 66.15% KEK 0 746 13.20% 20.65%
9 2012-05-06 27.6 @ Trepca'89 5 905 65.41% Besa 0 816 13.73% 20.86%
10 2011-10-11 27.7 @ FC Prishtina 2 945 73.57% Liria 0 750 8.48% 17.95%
11 2012-04-07 27.9 @ Trepca'89 3 856 65.13% KF Trepca 0 770 13.93% 20.94%
12 2012-06-03 27.9 @ Drenica 4 869 81.24% Gjilani 1 547 4.67% 14.10%
13 2012-04-21 28.3 @ Drenica 3 838 63.71% Liria 0 767 14.97% 21.32%
14 2012-05-13 28.5 @ Drenica 3 834 63.36% Lepenci 0 767 15.22% 21.41%
15 2012-04-07 28.7 @ Besa 2 819 70.25% Gjilani 0 670 10.47% 19.28%
16 2012-03-24 29.2 @ Drita Gjilan 2 813 68.47% Gjilani 0 687 11.62% 19.91%
17 2012-03-11 29.4 @ Vellaznimi 3 815 60.21% Lepenci 0 781 17.66% 22.13%
18 2012-03-25 29.4 @ Hysi 2 889 67.96% KF Trepca 0 769 11.96% 20.08%
19 2012-05-13 29.6 @ FC Prishtina 5 964 69.85% Besa 1 820 10.73% 19.43%
20 2012-05-30 30.1 @ Besa 6 804 59.75% Lepenci 0 775 18.03% 22.23%
21 2012-05-06 30.2 @ Vellaznimi 1 878 77.06% Gjilani 0 630 6.61% 16.33%
22 2011-09-11 30.8 @ FC Prishtina 4 935 71.36% KF Trepca 1 771 9.78% 18.85%
23 2011-11-20 31.0 @ Trepca'89 5 831 54.17% Vellaznimi 0 852 22.69% 23.14%
24 2012-04-22 31.2 @ Trepca'89 4 869 70.08% KEK 1 722 10.58% 19.34%
25 2011-10-16 31.3 @ Drita Gjilan 2 825 61.62% KEK 0 776 16.55% 21.83%