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2013-14 Football Superleague of Kosovo Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Vushtrria

64 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Drita Gjilan

6.24 points above expected

47 points · 40.76 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Fushe Kosova

9.14 points below expected

32 points · 41.14 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Vushtrria 33 19 7 7 64 39 22 +17 58.08 +5.92
2 FC Prishtina 33 17 6 10 57 36 23 +13 56.14 +0.86
3 Trepca'89 33 16 5 12 53 42 31 +11 52.94 +0.06
4 Ferizaj 33 15 6 12 51 40 35 +5 45.29 +5.71
5 Besa 33 15 4 14 49 31 36 -5 51.75 -2.75
6 Drita Gjilan 33 12 11 10 47 40 37 +3 40.76 +6.24
7 Hajvalia 33 13 8 12 47 34 32 +2 46.64 +0.36
8 Drenica 33 12 9 12 45 39 42 -3 47.60 -2.60
9 Feronikeli 33 10 11 12 41 25 33 -8 39.60 +1.40
10 KF Trepca 33 9 9 15 36 19 32 -13 42.76 -6.76
11 Fushe Kosova 33 8 8 17 32 26 49 -23 41.14 -9.14
12 Hysi 33 8 4 21 28 21 20 +1 23.59 +4.41

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Drita Gjilan 47 40.76 +6.24
2 Vushtrria 64 58.08 +5.92
3 Ferizaj 51 45.29 +5.71
4 Hysi 28 23.59 +4.41
5 Feronikeli 41 39.60 +1.40

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fushe Kosova 32 41.14 -9.14
2 KF Trepca 36 42.76 -6.76
3 Besa 49 51.75 -2.75
4 Drenica 45 47.60 -2.60
5 Trepca'89 53 52.94 +0.06

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Trepca'89 6 Mar 30 – Apr 26 1 in 359
2 Hysi 4 Sep 7 – Sep 26 1 in 141
3 Ferizaj 3 Sep 29 – Oct 13 1 in 89
4 Drita Gjilan 3 Oct 30 – Nov 10 1 in 19
5 Drenica 3 Sep 26 – Oct 5 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hysi 18 Nov 16 – Jun 1 1 in 7,227,429
2 KF Trepca 4 May 14 – May 31 1 in 66
3 Ferizaj 4 May 14 – Jun 1 1 in 34
4 Trepca'89 3 Mar 15 – Mar 25 1 in 33
5 Fushe Kosova 4 Apr 26 – May 14 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Drenica 13 Sep 21 – Mar 7 1 in 641
2 Drita Gjilan 6 May 3 – May 31 1 in 58
3 Feronikeli 6 Mar 15 – Apr 12 1 in 55
4 Hajvalia 7 Apr 27 – May 31 1 in 20
5 Hysi 6 Sep 1 – Sep 29 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hysi 18 Nov 16 – Jun 1 1 in 1,505
2 FC Prishtina 3 Mar 31 – Apr 13 1 in 23
3 Vushtrria 4 Apr 14 – Apr 27 1 in 19
4 Fushe Kosova 7 Sep 13 – Oct 20 1 in 18
5 Hajvalia 7 Oct 18 – Nov 23 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Vushtrria 863 55 +30 10 8.1 +1.9
FC Prishtina 923 54 +20 13 9.9 +3.1
Trepca'89 830 50 +24 11 8.8 +2.2
Ferizaj 752 48 -6 3 5.6 -2.6
Drita Gjilan 747 44 +22 9 5.8 +3.2
Besa 780 43 -2 7 6.0 +1.0
Hajvalia 785 41 +27 13 7.8 +5.2
Drenica 726 39 -55 0 5.5 -5.5
Feronikeli 701 38 -10 7 7.0 +0.0
KF Trepca 697 30 -21 3 7.0 -4.0
Fushe Kosova 674 29 -32 3 6.0 -3.0
Hysi 790 28 -7 7 6.8 +0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BES DRE DG FP FER FER FK HAJ HYS KT TRE VUS
Besa —
2-1-0
4.77
2-1-0
5.31
0-0-3
2.56
1-0-2
4.20
1-1-1
5.56
1-0-2
4.36
2-0-1
3.91
2-0-1
4.53
2-0-1
4.37
1-1-1
4.30
1-0-2
4.15
Drenica
0-1-2
3.51
—
2-1-0
5.14
2-0-1
2.28
1-1-1
4.92
2-0-1
5.37
1-1-1
4.09
1-0-2
3.56
2-1-0
4.37
1-2-0
4.14
0-1-2
4.39
0-1-2
3.85
Drita Gjilan
0-1-2
3.00
0-1-2
3.16
—
0-3-0
2.76
2-1-0
4.45
3-0-0
3.86
2-1-0
4.40
0-1-2
4.56
2-0-1
4.00
1-1-1
4.66
1-1-1
2.68
1-1-1
2.39
FC Prishtina
3-0-0
5.80
1-0-2
6.13
0-3-0
5.57
—
2-0-1
5.28
1-0-2
5.99
1-2-0
6.43
2-1-0
6.21
1-0-2
5.90
2-0-1
6.42
2-0-1
4.60
2-0-1
4.17
Ferizaj
2-0-1
4.08
1-1-1
3.38
0-1-2
3.86
1-0-2
3.07
—
0-2-1
4.23
3-0-0
4.84
2-0-1
4.44
2-0-1
4.13
2-1-0
4.77
2-0-1
3.16
0-1-2
2.63
Feronikeli
1-1-1
2.78
1-0-2
2.98
0-0-3
4.44
2-0-1
2.38
1-2-0
4.06
—
1-2-0
3.54
1-2-0
4.12
1-2-0
3.71
2-1-0
4.34
0-0-3
2.57
0-1-2
2.28
Fushe Kosova
2-0-1
3.91
1-1-1
4.22
0-1-2
3.90
0-2-1
2.01
0-0-3
3.50
0-2-1
4.74
—
0-2-1
3.41
2-0-1
3.89
2-0-1
3.64
1-0-2
3.50
0-0-3
3.48
Hajvalia
1-0-2
4.39
2-0-1
4.75
2-1-0
3.72
0-1-2
2.19
1-0-2
3.84
0-2-1
4.17
1-2-0
4.91
—
2-0-1
3.27
1-1-1
4.99
2-0-1
2.97
1-1-1
3.71
Hysi
1-0-2
3.75
0-1-2
3.92
1-0-2
4.28
2-0-1
2.49
1-0-2
4.15
0-2-1
4.56
1-0-2
4.36
1-0-2
5.06
—
0-1-2
4.34
1-0-2
3.30
0-0-3
3.10
KF Trepca
1-0-2
3.91
0-2-1
4.14
1-1-1
3.65
1-0-2
2.01
0-1-2
3.55
0-1-2
3.95
1-0-2
4.67
1-1-1
3.32
2-1-0
3.95
—
1-1-1
3.83
1-1-1
3.50
Trepca'89
1-1-1
3.98
2-1-0
3.93
1-1-1
5.65
1-0-2
3.68
1-0-2
5.18
3-0-0
5.79
2-0-1
4.78
1-0-2
5.36
2-0-1
4.98
1-1-1
4.44
—
1-1-1
3.54
Vushtrria
2-0-1
4.14
2-1-0
4.43
1-1-1
5.99
1-0-2
4.12
2-1-0
5.70
2-1-0
6.11
3-0-0
4.79
1-1-1
4.56
3-0-0
5.22
1-1-1
4.79
1-1-1
4.79
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.63 +10.2
Allowed 0.09 -3.8
Differential 0.62 +7.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.61%12.63%5.56%3.54%1.52%—33.84%
112.63%8.59%5.81%2.78%0.51%0.76%31.06%
25.56%5.81%3.03%1.01%0.25%0.25%15.91%
33.54%2.78%1.01%———7.32%
41.52%0.51%0.25%———2.27%
5+—0.76%0.25%——8.59%9.60%
Total33.84%31.06%15.91%7.32%2.27%9.60%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.90 0.90 +0.00
SD 1.22 1.22 1.61
CV 1.35 1.35 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%9.09%6.06%——27.27%
118.18%3.03%12.12%3.03%—3.03%39.39%
221.21%—6.06%———27.27%
3———————
4———————
5+—————6.06%6.06%
Total42.42%12.12%27.27%9.09%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.03 -0.15
SD 0.89 1.36 1.68
CV 1.02 1.32 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%6.06%—3.03%—24.24%
19.09%12.12%9.09%6.06%3.03%—39.39%
2—9.09%6.06%3.03%——18.18%
36.06%3.03%————9.09%
4———————
5+—3.03%———6.06%9.09%
Total24.24%33.33%21.21%9.09%6.06%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.21 -0.09
SD 1.24 1.27 1.68
CV 1.11 1.05 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%9.09%6.06%9.09%——39.39%
13.03%15.15%3.03%3.03%——24.24%
26.06%3.03%3.03%———12.12%
36.06%6.06%3.03%———15.15%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+——3.03%——3.03%6.06%
Total30.30%33.33%21.21%12.12%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.09 +0.09
SD 1.42 1.07 1.70
CV 1.21 0.98 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%6.06%———27.27%
124.24%9.09%6.06%3.03%——42.42%
26.06%3.03%————9.09%
36.06%3.03%3.03%———12.12%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+—————6.06%6.06%
Total45.45%30.30%15.15%3.03%—6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 0.64 +0.39
SD 1.19 0.93 1.39
CV 1.15 1.46 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%6.06%—3.03%—27.27%
115.15%6.06%12.12%3.03%3.03%—39.39%
26.06%9.09%3.03%———18.18%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+—3.03%———3.03%6.06%
Total36.36%30.30%21.21%3.03%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.03 +0.15
SD 1.26 1.19 1.80
CV 1.07 1.15 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%15.15%—6.06%3.03%—42.42%
112.12%15.15%6.06%3.03%——36.36%
26.06%6.06%—3.03%——15.15%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4———————
5+—————3.03%3.03%
Total36.36%39.39%6.06%12.12%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 0.97 -0.24
SD 0.88 1.16 1.39
CV 1.20 1.20 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%3.03%9.09%6.06%—42.42%
19.09%15.15%12.12%———36.36%
2—6.06%—3.03%—3.03%12.12%
33.03%—3.03%———6.06%
4———————
5+—————3.03%3.03%
Total21.21%36.36%18.18%12.12%6.06%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.76 1.45 -0.70
SD 0.94 1.37 1.59
CV 1.24 0.94 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%18.18%3.03%3.03%——36.36%
112.12%9.09%6.06%3.03%—3.03%33.33%
23.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
36.06%—3.03%———9.09%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+—————6.06%6.06%
Total36.36%33.33%15.15%6.06%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 0.91 +0.06
SD 1.29 1.23 1.71
CV 1.33 1.36 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—3.03%3.03%——15.15%
1—3.03%3.03%3.03%—3.03%12.12%
29.09%12.12%————21.21%
33.03%—————3.03%
4———————
5+—————48.48%48.48%
Total21.21%15.15%6.06%6.06%—51.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.15 0.12 +0.03
SD 1.33 1.49 1.36
CV 8.75 12.33 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%21.21%12.12%3.03%——54.55%
115.15%3.03%—6.06%——24.24%
23.03%—6.06%3.03%——12.12%
33.03%—————3.03%
4———————
5+—————6.06%6.06%
Total39.39%24.24%18.18%12.12%—6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.52 0.91 -0.39
SD 0.91 1.16 1.30
CV 1.76 1.27 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%21.21%9.09%—3.03%—39.39%
118.18%3.03%————21.21%
23.03%3.03%6.06%—3.03%—15.15%
33.03%9.09%————12.12%
46.06%—————6.06%
5+—3.03%———3.03%6.06%
Total36.36%39.39%15.15%—6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 0.91 +0.33
SD 1.48 1.10 1.90
CV 1.19 1.21 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%3.03%3.03%——30.30%
115.15%9.09%————24.24%
23.03%15.15%3.03%———21.21%
33.03%6.06%————9.09%
46.06%—————6.06%
5+—————9.09%9.09%
Total36.36%45.45%6.06%3.03%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 0.58 +0.52
SD 1.35 0.87 1.50
CV 1.24 1.51 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
FC Prishtina 923 57 56.14 +0.86 26.0% 44 46 51 56 61 66 69
Vushtrria 863 64 58.08 +5.92 86.0% 41 46 54 58 62 70 75
Trepca'89 830 53 52.94 +0.06 52.0% 34 41 49 53 58 65 73
Hysi 790 28 23.59 +4.41 83.0% 13 16 19 24 27 32 37
Hajvalia 785 47 46.64 +0.36 55.0% 29 35 41 47 52 57 64
Besa 780 49 51.75 -2.75 37.0% 36 37 48 52 56 63 67
Ferizaj 752 51 45.29 +5.71 79.0% 25 32 39 46 50 58 63
Drita Gjilan 747 47 40.76 +6.24 86.0% 23 29 36 41 45 51 59
Drenica 726 45 47.60 -2.60 40.0% 35 37 44 47 51 58 71
Feronikeli 701 41 39.60 +1.40 61.0% 19 27 34 40 45 52 55
KF Trepca 697 36 42.76 -6.76 18.0% 29 32 38 42 47 55 60
Fushe Kosova 674 32 41.14 -9.14 9.0% 27 29 36 41 46 51 59

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+38.38%
Strong Edge
58.08%22.22%19.70%
Elo Value
Home Edge
287 Elo
0.003 goals per Elo point
0122.39800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.53 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.43+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.0
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
39%
Vushtrria, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.21/gm
Comfortable
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.42 * Some Luck: 5.42 to 8.14 * Lucky: 8.14 to 10.85 * Wild Swing: 10.85 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.45 * Close: 1.45 to 2.18 * Off: 2.18 to 2.91 * Way Off: 2.91 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.98 points
As Expected
06.7817
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Close
01.824
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
86.00%
Vushtrria
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
9.00%
Fushe Kosova
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Balanced
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 72.87
1.34
Coin-Flip Parity
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
61%
Even
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
81%
Even
50%81%100%
Close Games
Expected
70%
Very Frequent
0%65%100%
Blowouts
Expected
13%
Rare
0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.42
Slight Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.58
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.48
Some Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Shaky Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.
Probability calibration
0.41
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.49
Overconfident
0.3358671.001.66413
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.066
Well Within Noise
00.1050.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Vushtrria39.00%24.00%16.00%9.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%———
FC Prishtina25.00%28.00%15.00%15.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%————
Trepca'8912.00%20.00%15.00%16.00%12.00%9.00%4.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%4.00%—
Ferizaj3.00%4.00%9.00%6.00%14.00%15.00%12.00%7.00%9.00%13.00%8.00%—
Besa14.00%6.00%16.00%17.00%20.00%12.00%3.00%1.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%—
Drita Gjilan—2.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%4.00%11.00%13.00%20.00%19.00%16.00%3.00%
Hajvalia3.00%6.00%10.00%14.00%8.00%15.00%10.00%12.00%11.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%
Drenica4.00%5.00%6.00%9.00%11.00%15.00%20.00%8.00%7.00%12.00%3.00%—
Feronikeli—1.00%3.00%3.00%5.00%5.00%10.00%14.00%17.00%18.00%19.00%5.00%
KF Trepca—3.00%5.00%3.00%6.00%10.00%13.00%16.00%15.00%12.00%17.00%—
Fushe Kosova—1.00%2.00%4.00%4.00%8.00%14.00%20.00%15.00%13.00%16.00%3.00%
Hysi—————————1.00%11.00%88.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
FC Prishtina 100% — —
Vushtrria 99.00% 1.00% —
Besa 89.00% 9.00% 2.00%
Drenica 78.00% 19.00% 3.00%
Trepca'89 94.00% 2.00% 4.00%
Hajvalia 78.00% 17.00% 5.00%
Ferizaj 70.00% 22.00% 8.00%
KF Trepca 56.00% 27.00% 17.00%
Drita Gjilan 42.00% 39.00% 19.00%
Fushe Kosova 53.00% 28.00% 19.00%
Feronikeli 41.00% 35.00% 24.00%
Hysi — 1.00% 99.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2013-08-16 Trepca'89 L 0-437.0 700 826 38.32% 25.78% 35.90%-0.01 -23.1 0
2013-08-16 @ Feronikeli W 4-037.0 826 700 35.90% 25.78% 38.32%+0.01 +23.1 3
2013-08-17 Ferizaj W 1-029.5 935 689 78.97% 13.42% 7.61%+1.29 +1.3 3
2013-08-17 @ FC Prishtina L 0-129.5 689 935 7.61% 13.42% 78.97%-1.29 -1.3 0
2013-08-18 Besa D 0-049.1 708 806 42.41% 25.61% 31.98%+0.09 -0.4 1
2013-08-18 @ Drita Gjilan D 0-049.1 806 708 31.98% 25.61% 42.41%-0.09 +0.4 1
2013-08-18 Drenica W 4-136.3 758 768 53.89% 23.87% 22.24%+0.39 +9.5 3
2013-08-18 @ Hajvalia L 1-436.3 768 758 22.24% 23.87% 53.89%-0.39 -9.5 0
2013-08-18 Fushe Kosova W 2-143.2 765 765 55.01% 23.59% 21.39%+0.42 +3.8 3
2013-08-18 @ Hysi L 1-243.2 765 765 21.39% 23.59% 55.01%-0.42 -3.8 0
2013-08-18 Vushtrria D 0-049.1 724 824 42.16% 25.63% 32.22%+0.08 -0.4 1
2013-08-18 @ KF Trepca D 0-049.1 824 724 32.22% 25.63% 42.16%-0.08 +0.4 1
2013-08-23 FC Prishtina W 2-043.0 677 936 22.25% 23.88% 53.87%-0.48 +16.0 3
2013-08-23 @ Feronikeli L 0-243.0 936 677 53.87% 23.88% 22.25%+0.48 -16.0 3
2013-08-24 Drita Gjilan D 1-155.9 762 708 61.25% 21.69% 17.06%+0.61 -1.6 1
2013-08-24 @ Fushe Kosova D 1-155.9 708 762 17.06% 21.69% 61.25%-0.61 +1.6 2
2013-08-24 Hajvalia W 1-035.3 806 768 59.62% 22.25% 18.13%+0.56 +3.4 4
2013-08-24 @ Besa L 0-135.3 768 806 18.13% 22.25% 59.62%-0.56 -3.4 3
2013-08-24 KF Trepca W 1-035.5 759 724 59.16% 22.40% 18.44%+0.55 +3.5 3
2013-08-24 @ Drenica L 0-135.5 724 759 18.44% 22.40% 59.16%-0.55 -3.5 1
2013-08-25 Hysi W 3-142.3 688 768 44.78% 25.41% 29.81%+0.15 +8.7 3
2013-08-25 @ Ferizaj L 1-342.3 768 688 29.81% 25.41% 44.78%-0.15 -8.7 3
2013-08-25 Vushtrria D 0-049.9 849 824 58.11% 22.73% 19.17%+0.52 -1.6 4
2013-08-25 @ Trepca'89 D 0-049.9 824 849 19.17% 22.73% 58.11%-0.52 +1.6 2
2013-08-31 Besa W 2-036.6 720 810 43.54% 25.52% 30.94%+0.11 +10.3 4
2013-08-31 @ KF Trepca L 0-236.6 810 720 30.94% 25.52% 43.54%-0.11 -10.3 4
2013-09-01 Drenica W 2-141.0 825 762 62.33% 21.30% 16.37%+0.65 +2.9 5
2013-09-01 @ Vushtrria L 1-241.0 762 825 16.37% 21.30% 62.33%-0.65 -2.9 3
2013-09-01 Ferizaj D 0-049.8 710 697 56.66% 23.15% 20.19%+0.47 -1.5 3
2013-09-01 @ Drita Gjilan D 0-049.8 697 710 20.19% 23.15% 56.66%-0.47 +1.5 4
2013-09-01 Feronikeli D 0-050.4 760 693 62.71% 21.16% 16.13%+0.66 -1.9 4
2013-09-01 @ Hysi D 0-050.4 693 760 16.13% 21.16% 62.71%-0.66 +1.9 4
2013-09-01 Fushe Kosova D 1-155.4 764 760 55.61% 23.44% 20.95%+0.44 -1.2 4
2013-09-01 @ Hajvalia D 1-155.4 760 764 20.95% 23.44% 55.61%-0.44 +1.2 2
2013-09-01 Trepca'89 W 1-034.2 920 848 63.30% 20.93% 15.76%+0.68 +2.9 6
2013-09-01 @ FC Prishtina L 0-134.2 848 920 15.76% 20.93% 63.30%-0.68 -2.9 4
2013-09-07 Hysi L 1-256.5 923 758 72.37% 16.90% 10.72%+1.01 -10.1 6
2013-09-07 @ FC Prishtina W 2-156.5 758 923 10.72% 16.90% 72.37%-1.01 +10.1 7
2013-09-07 KF Trepca W 1-035.6 761 731 58.69% 22.55% 18.77%+0.53 +3.5 5
2013-09-07 @ Fushe Kosova L 0-135.6 731 761 18.77% 22.55% 58.69%-0.53 -3.5 4
2013-09-08 Drenica W 1-033.8 845 759 64.68% 20.39% 14.93%+0.73 +2.8 7
2013-09-08 @ Trepca'89 L 0-133.8 759 845 14.93% 20.39% 64.68%-0.73 -2.8 3
2013-09-08 Drita Gjilan L 2-357.6 694 708 53.45% 23.98% 22.58%+0.38 -7.5 4
2013-09-08 @ Feronikeli W 3-257.6 708 694 22.58% 23.98% 53.45%-0.38 +7.5 6
2013-09-08 Hajvalia W 2-145.6 698 763 46.88% 25.16% 27.95%+0.20 +4.8 7
2013-09-08 @ Ferizaj L 1-245.6 763 698 27.95% 25.16% 46.88%-0.20 -4.8 4
2013-09-08 Vushtrria L 1-252.5 799 828 51.55% 24.39% 24.06%+0.33 -7.7 4
2013-09-08 @ Besa W 2-152.5 828 799 24.06% 24.39% 51.55%-0.33 +7.7 8
2013-09-13 Besa L 0-242.2 756 792 50.73% 24.55% 24.73%+0.30 -15.2 3
2013-09-13 @ Drenica W 2-042.2 792 756 24.73% 24.55% 50.73%-0.30 +15.2 7
2013-09-13 FC Prishtina D 1-154.8 716 913 28.85% 25.29% 45.86%-0.26 +0.6 7
2013-09-13 @ Drita Gjilan D 1-154.8 913 716 45.86% 25.29% 28.85%+0.26 -0.6 7
2013-09-13 Ferizaj D 2-261.6 727 703 57.97% 22.77% 19.26%+0.51 -1.0 5
2013-09-13 @ KF Trepca D 2-261.6 703 727 19.26% 22.77% 57.97%-0.51 +1.0 8
2013-09-13 Feronikeli D 0-050.5 758 687 63.15% 20.99% 15.86%+0.68 -1.9 5
2013-09-13 @ Hajvalia D 0-050.5 687 758 15.86% 20.99% 63.15%-0.68 +1.9 5
2013-09-13 Fushe Kosova W 4-028.8 836 765 63.16% 20.99% 15.85%+0.68 +10.5 11
2013-09-13 @ Vushtrria L 0-428.8 765 836 15.85% 20.99% 63.16%-0.68 -10.6 5
2013-09-13 Trepca'89 W 2-036.2 768 848 44.86% 25.40% 29.74%+0.15 +10.0 10
2013-09-13 @ Hysi L 0-236.2 848 768 29.74% 25.40% 44.86%-0.15 -10.0 7
2013-09-21 Besa W 2-032.0 838 807 58.70% 22.54% 18.76%+0.53 +6.6 10
2013-09-21 @ Trepca'89 L 0-232.0 807 838 18.76% 22.54% 58.70%-0.53 -6.6 7
2013-09-21 Drenica D 1-155.5 754 741 56.66% 23.15% 20.19%+0.47 -1.3 6
2013-09-21 @ Fushe Kosova D 1-155.5 741 754 20.19% 23.15% 56.66%-0.47 +1.3 4
2013-09-21 Drita Gjilan W 2-141.0 778 716 62.12% 21.38% 16.50%+0.64 +2.9 13
2013-09-21 @ Hysi L 1-241.0 716 778 16.50% 21.38% 62.12%-0.64 -2.9 7
2013-09-21 Hajvalia W 1-031.8 913 756 71.54% 17.31% 11.14%+0.97 +2.0 10
2013-09-21 @ FC Prishtina L 0-131.8 756 913 11.14% 17.31% 71.54%-0.97 -2.0 5
2013-09-21 KF Trepca W 2-034.5 689 726 50.50% 24.59% 24.91%+0.30 +8.6 8
2013-09-21 @ Feronikeli L 0-234.5 726 689 24.91% 24.59% 50.50%-0.30 -8.6 5
2013-09-21 Vushtrria D 1-154.7 704 847 36.01% 25.78% 38.21%-0.07 +0.1 9
2013-09-21 @ Ferizaj D 1-154.7 847 704 38.21% 25.78% 36.01%+0.07 -0.1 12
2013-09-26 FC Prishtina W 1-044.5 717 915 28.89% 25.29% 45.82%-0.26 +7.4 8
2013-09-26 @ KF Trepca L 0-144.5 915 717 45.82% 25.29% 28.89%+0.26 -7.4 10
2013-09-26 Ferizaj W 3-137.8 742 704 59.58% 22.26% 18.16%+0.56 +5.6 7
2013-09-26 @ Drenica L 1-337.8 704 742 18.16% 22.26% 59.58%-0.56 -5.5 9
2013-09-26 Feronikeli W 3-026.6 847 698 70.86% 17.65% 11.50%+0.95 +5.6 15
2013-09-26 @ Vushtrria L 0-326.6 698 847 11.50% 17.65% 70.86%-0.95 -5.6 8
2013-09-26 Fushe Kosova W 1-035.0 800 753 60.58% 21.92% 17.50%+0.59 +3.3 10
2013-09-26 @ Besa L 0-135.0 753 800 17.50% 21.92% 60.58%-0.59 -3.3 6
2013-09-26 Hysi L 0-340.7 754 781 51.85% 24.33% 23.82%+0.33 -22.5 5
2013-09-26 @ Hajvalia W 3-040.7 781 754 23.82% 24.33% 51.85%-0.33 +22.5 16
2013-09-26 Trepca'89 W 4-247.5 713 844 37.70% 25.79% 36.51%-0.03 +9.1 10
2013-09-26 @ Drita Gjilan L 2-447.5 844 713 36.51% 25.79% 37.70%+0.03 -9.1 10
2013-09-28 Drenica L 1-251.6 692 748 48.05% 25.00% 26.95%+0.23 -7.3 8
2013-09-28 @ Feronikeli W 2-151.6 748 692 26.95% 25.00% 48.05%-0.23 +7.3 10
2013-09-28 Hajvalia L 0-341.2 722 732 53.99% 23.85% 22.16%+0.39 -23.3 10
2013-09-28 @ Drita Gjilan W 3-041.2 732 722 22.16% 23.85% 53.99%-0.39 +23.3 8
2013-09-29 Besa W 5-138.4 698 804 41.35% 25.67% 32.98%+0.06 +17.2 12
2013-09-29 @ Ferizaj L 1-538.4 804 698 32.98% 25.67% 41.35%-0.06 -17.2 10
2013-09-29 Fushe Kosova W 2-140.3 835 750 64.66% 20.40% 14.94%+0.73 +2.6 13
2013-09-29 @ Trepca'89 L 1-240.3 750 835 14.94% 20.40% 64.66%-0.73 -2.6 6
2013-09-29 KF Trepca D 0-050.5 803 725 63.91% 20.70% 15.40%+0.70 -2.0 17
2013-09-29 @ Hysi D 0-050.5 725 803 15.40% 20.70% 63.91%-0.70 +2.0 9
2013-09-29 Vushtrria W 1-034.8 907 852 61.42% 21.63% 16.95%+0.62 +3.2 13
2013-09-29 @ FC Prishtina L 0-134.8 852 907 16.95% 21.63% 61.42%-0.62 -3.2 15
2013-10-04 Trepca'89 W 1-039.9 755 838 44.46% 25.44% 30.10%+0.14 +5.4 11
2013-10-04 @ Hajvalia L 0-139.9 838 755 30.10% 25.44% 44.46%-0.14 -5.4 13
2013-10-05 FC Prishtina W 1-042.9 755 910 34.28% 25.74% 39.99%-0.11 +6.7 13
2013-10-05 @ Drenica L 0-142.9 910 755 39.99% 25.74% 34.28%+0.11 -6.7 13
2013-10-05 Ferizaj L 0-342.2 747 716 58.78% 22.52% 18.70%+0.54 -25.0 6
2013-10-05 @ Fushe Kosova W 3-042.2 716 747 18.70% 22.52% 58.78%-0.54 +25.0 15
2013-10-06 Drita Gjilan W 1-035.7 727 699 58.35% 22.65% 19.00%+0.52 +3.5 12
2013-10-06 @ KF Trepca L 0-135.7 699 727 19.00% 22.65% 58.35%-0.52 -3.6 10
2013-10-06 Feronikeli W 1-033.3 786 685 66.31% 19.71% 13.98%+0.78 +2.6 13
2013-10-06 @ Besa L 0-133.3 685 786 13.98% 19.71% 66.31%-0.78 -2.6 8
2013-10-06 Hysi W 2-141.5 849 801 60.61% 21.91% 17.47%+0.59 +3.1 18
2013-10-06 @ Vushtrria L 1-241.5 801 849 17.47% 21.91% 60.61%-0.59 -3.1 17
2013-10-11 Vushtrria W 3-037.6 696 852 34.11% 25.73% 40.16%-0.12 +18.3 13
2013-10-11 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-337.6 852 696 40.16% 25.73% 34.11%+0.12 -18.3 18
2013-10-12 Besa W 3-027.6 904 789 67.60% 19.15% 13.25%+0.83 +6.6 16
2013-10-12 @ FC Prishtina L 0-327.6 789 904 13.25% 19.15% 67.60%-0.83 -6.6 13
2013-10-13 Drenica D 1-155.7 798 762 59.33% 22.34% 18.33%+0.55 -1.5 18
2013-10-13 @ Hysi D 1-155.7 762 798 18.33% 22.34% 59.33%-0.55 +1.5 14
2013-10-13 Ferizaj L 0-148.8 832 741 65.30% 20.14% 14.56%+0.75 -9.9 13
2013-10-13 @ Trepca'89 W 1-048.8 741 832 14.56% 20.14% 65.30%-0.75 +9.9 18
2013-10-13 Fushe Kosova D 1-155.0 682 722 50.14% 24.66% 25.20%+0.29 -0.9 9
2013-10-13 @ Feronikeli D 1-155.0 722 682 25.20% 24.66% 50.14%-0.29 +0.9 7
2013-10-13 KF Trepca W 1-035.6 760 730 58.61% 22.57% 18.82%+0.53 +3.5 14
2013-10-13 @ Hajvalia L 0-135.6 730 760 18.82% 22.57% 58.61%-0.53 -3.5 12
2013-10-18 Hajvalia W 1-034.3 834 764 63.01% 21.04% 15.95%+0.67 +3.0 21
2013-10-18 @ Vushtrria L 0-134.3 764 834 15.95% 21.04% 63.01%-0.67 -3.0 14
2013-10-19 Drita Gjilan W 3-029.6 763 714 60.80% 21.85% 17.35%+0.60 +8.9 17
2013-10-19 @ Drenica L 0-329.6 714 763 17.35% 21.85% 60.80%-0.60 -8.9 13
2013-10-19 Feronikeli D 0-050.4 750 681 62.95% 21.07% 15.98%+0.67 -1.9 19
2013-10-19 @ Ferizaj D 0-050.4 681 750 15.98% 21.07% 62.95%-0.67 +1.9 10
2013-10-20 FC Prishtina D 0-049.1 723 910 30.07% 25.44% 44.49%-0.23 +0.5 8
2013-10-20 @ Fushe Kosova D 0-049.1 910 723 44.49% 25.44% 30.07%+0.23 -0.5 17
2013-10-20 Hysi L 0-242.9 782 797 53.37% 23.99% 22.64%+0.38 -15.9 13
2013-10-20 @ Besa W 2-042.9 797 782 22.64% 23.99% 53.37%-0.38 +15.9 21
2013-10-20 Trepca'89 D 0-049.1 727 822 42.69% 25.59% 31.72%+0.09 -0.4 13
2013-10-20 @ KF Trepca D 0-049.1 822 727 31.72% 25.59% 42.69%-0.09 +0.4 14
2013-10-25 FC Prishtina W 1-043.2 749 910 33.45% 25.70% 40.85%-0.14 +6.8 22
2013-10-25 @ Ferizaj L 0-143.2 910 749 40.85% 25.70% 33.45%+0.14 -6.8 17
2013-10-26 Hajvalia W 5-133.9 772 761 56.46% 23.21% 20.33%+0.47 +11.3 20
2013-10-26 @ Drenica L 1-533.9 761 772 20.33% 23.21% 56.46%-0.47 -11.3 14
2013-10-26 Hysi W 3-034.8 723 813 43.59% 25.52% 30.89%+0.12 +15.0 11
2013-10-26 @ Fushe Kosova L 0-334.8 813 723 30.89% 25.52% 43.59%-0.12 -15.0 21
2013-10-26 KF Trepca W 1-033.1 837 726 67.15% 19.35% 13.50%+0.81 +2.5 24
2013-10-26 @ Vushtrria L 0-133.1 726 837 13.50% 19.35% 67.15%-0.81 -2.5 13
2013-10-27 Drita Gjilan W 2-031.0 766 705 62.10% 21.38% 16.52%+0.64 +5.8 16
2013-10-27 @ Besa L 0-231.0 705 766 16.52% 21.38% 62.10%-0.64 -5.8 13
2013-10-27 Feronikeli W 1-032.2 823 683 70.00% 18.05% 11.95%+0.91 +2.1 17
2013-10-27 @ Trepca'89 L 0-132.2 683 823 11.95% 18.05% 70.00%-0.91 -2.1 10
2013-10-29 Ferizaj W 2-141.7 798 755 60.00% 22.12% 17.88%+0.57 +3.2 24
2013-10-29 @ Hysi L 1-241.7 755 798 17.88% 22.12% 60.00%-0.57 -3.2 22
2013-10-30 Besa L 0-242.6 750 772 52.33% 24.23% 23.45%+0.35 -15.6 14
2013-10-30 @ Hajvalia W 2-042.6 772 750 23.45% 24.23% 52.33%-0.35 +15.6 19
2013-10-30 Drenica D 2-260.9 724 784 47.58% 25.07% 27.35%+0.22 -0.5 14
2013-10-30 @ KF Trepca D 2-260.9 784 724 27.35% 25.07% 47.58%-0.22 +0.5 21
2013-10-30 Fushe Kosova W 5-239.3 699 738 50.25% 24.64% 25.11%+0.29 +9.2 16
2013-10-30 @ Drita Gjilan L 2-539.3 738 699 25.11% 24.64% 50.25%-0.29 -9.2 11
2013-10-30 Trepca'89 W 1-036.2 839 825 56.79% 23.12% 20.10%+0.48 +3.8 27
2013-10-30 @ Vushtrria L 0-136.2 825 839 20.10% 23.12% 56.79%-0.48 -3.8 17
2013-10-31 Feronikeli W 1-030.1 903 681 77.12% 14.43% 8.44%+1.20 +1.4 20
2013-10-31 @ FC Prishtina L 0-130.1 681 903 8.44% 14.43% 77.12%-1.20 -1.4 10
2013-11-05 Vushtrria D 1-154.9 784 843 47.69% 25.05% 27.26%+0.22 -0.7 22
2013-11-05 @ Drenica D 1-154.9 843 784 27.26% 25.05% 47.69%-0.22 +0.7 28
2013-11-06 FC Prishtina L 0-240.6 821 904 44.40% 25.44% 30.15%+0.14 -13.7 17
2013-11-06 @ Trepca'89 W 2-040.6 904 821 30.15% 25.44% 44.40%-0.14 +13.6 23
2013-11-06 Hajvalia D 0-049.6 729 734 54.54% 23.71% 21.75%+0.41 -1.3 12
2013-11-06 @ Fushe Kosova D 0-049.6 734 729 21.75% 23.71% 54.54%-0.41 +1.3 15
2013-11-06 Hysi D 0-049.0 680 801 39.09% 25.76% 35.15%+0.00 -0.1 11
2013-11-06 @ Feronikeli D 0-049.0 801 680 35.15% 25.76% 39.09%+0.00 +0.1 25
2013-11-06 KF Trepca W 2-030.9 788 723 62.43% 21.26% 16.31%+0.65 +5.7 22
2013-11-06 @ Besa L 0-230.9 723 788 16.31% 21.26% 62.43%-0.65 -5.7 14
2013-11-07 Drita Gjilan L 0-147.9 752 709 60.16% 22.07% 17.77%+0.58 -9.3 22
2013-11-07 @ Ferizaj W 1-047.9 709 752 17.77% 22.07% 60.16%-0.58 +9.3 19
2013-11-09 Trepca'89 D 1-155.1 783 808 52.14% 24.27% 23.60%+0.34 -1.0 23
2013-11-09 @ Drenica D 1-155.1 808 783 23.60% 24.27% 52.14%-0.34 +1.0 18
2013-11-10 Besa W 2-141.4 844 794 60.86% 21.83% 17.31%+0.60 +3.0 31
2013-11-10 @ Vushtrria L 1-241.4 794 844 17.31% 21.83% 60.86%-0.60 -3.0 22
2013-11-10 FC Prishtina W 2-037.8 801 918 39.64% 25.75% 34.61%+0.02 +11.3 28
2013-11-10 @ Hysi L 0-237.8 918 801 34.61% 25.75% 39.64%-0.02 -11.3 23
2013-11-10 Ferizaj L 1-253.1 735 743 54.19% 23.80% 22.01%+0.40 -8.0 15
2013-11-10 @ Hajvalia W 2-153.1 743 735 22.01% 23.80% 54.19%-0.40 +8.0 25
2013-11-10 Feronikeli W 2-141.8 718 679 59.57% 22.26% 18.16%+0.56 +3.2 22
2013-11-10 @ Drita Gjilan L 1-241.8 679 718 18.16% 22.26% 59.57%-0.56 -3.2 11
2013-11-10 Fushe Kosova W 3-031.7 718 728 53.88% 23.87% 22.25%+0.39 +11.3 17
2013-11-10 @ KF Trepca L 0-331.7 728 718 22.25% 23.87% 53.88%-0.39 -11.3 12
2013-11-15 Vushtrria L 0-238.7 717 847 37.82% 25.78% 36.40%-0.03 -12.1 12
2013-11-15 @ Fushe Kosova W 2-038.7 847 717 36.40% 25.78% 37.82%+0.03 +12.1 34
2013-11-16 Drenica D 2-261.5 791 782 56.08% 23.31% 20.61%+0.46 -0.9 23
2013-11-16 @ Besa D 2-261.5 782 791 20.61% 23.31% 56.08%-0.46 +1.0 24
2013-11-16 Drita Gjilan D 0-051.9 907 721 74.13% 16.01% 9.85%+1.08 -2.6 24
2013-11-16 @ FC Prishtina D 0-051.9 721 907 9.85% 16.01% 74.13%-1.08 +2.6 23
2013-11-16 Hajvalia W 1-038.6 676 727 48.70% 24.90% 26.40%+0.25 +4.8 14
2013-11-16 @ Feronikeli L 0-138.6 727 676 26.40% 24.90% 48.70%-0.25 -4.8 15
2013-11-16 Hysi W 5-134.4 809 812 54.69% 23.68% 21.63%+0.41 +12.0 21
2013-11-16 @ Trepca'89 L 1-534.4 812 809 21.63% 23.68% 54.69%-0.41 -12.0 28
2013-11-16 KF Trepca W 2-032.3 751 729 57.68% 22.85% 19.46%+0.50 +6.9 28
2013-11-16 @ Ferizaj L 0-232.3 729 751 19.46% 22.85% 57.68%-0.50 -6.9 17
2013-11-22 Trepca'89 W 1-037.8 790 821 51.28% 24.44% 24.28%+0.32 +4.5 26
2013-11-22 @ Besa L 0-137.8 821 790 24.28% 24.44% 51.28%-0.32 -4.5 21
2013-11-23 FC Prishtina L 1-342.6 722 904 30.79% 25.51% 43.71%-0.21 -8.9 15
2013-11-23 @ Hajvalia W 3-142.6 904 722 43.71% 25.51% 30.79%+0.21 +8.9 27
2013-11-23 Fushe Kosova W 2-140.5 783 705 63.96% 20.68% 15.37%+0.70 +2.7 27
2013-11-23 @ Drenica L 1-240.5 705 783 15.37% 20.68% 63.96%-0.70 -2.7 12
2013-11-24 Ferizaj W 2-139.8 859 758 66.23% 19.75% 14.02%+0.78 +2.4 37
2013-11-24 @ Vushtrria L 1-239.8 758 859 14.02% 19.75% 66.23%-0.78 -2.4 28
2013-11-24 Feronikeli D 1-155.8 722 681 59.89% 22.16% 17.95%+0.57 -1.5 18
2013-11-24 @ KF Trepca D 1-155.8 681 722 17.95% 22.16% 59.89%-0.57 +1.5 15
2013-11-24 Hysi W 2-036.1 724 800 45.32% 25.35% 29.33%+0.16 +9.9 26
2013-11-24 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-236.1 800 724 29.33% 25.35% 45.32%-0.16 -9.9 28
2014-03-07 Drenica D 0-049.4 755 786 51.32% 24.43% 24.24%+0.32 -1.1 29
2014-03-07 @ Ferizaj D 0-049.4 786 755 24.24% 24.43% 51.32%-0.32 +1.1 28
2014-03-08 Besa W 1-040.3 702 794 43.16% 25.55% 31.29%+0.11 +5.5 15
2014-03-08 @ Fushe Kosova L 0-140.3 794 702 31.29% 25.55% 43.16%-0.11 -5.5 26
2014-03-08 KF Trepca W 2-027.2 913 721 74.69% 15.72% 9.58%+1.10 +3.1 30
2014-03-08 @ FC Prishtina L 0-227.2 721 913 9.58% 15.72% 74.69%-1.10 -3.1 18
2014-03-09 Hajvalia FL47.9 790 714 63.73% 20.77% 15.50%+0.69 +0.0 28
2014-03-09 @ Hysi FW47.9 714 790 15.50% 20.77% 63.73%-0.69 +0.0 18
2014-03-09 Drita Gjilan W 1-033.9 816 734 64.35% 20.52% 15.13%+0.72 +2.8 24
2014-03-09 @ Trepca'89 L 0-133.9 734 816 15.13% 20.52% 64.35%-0.72 -2.8 26
2014-03-09 Vushtrria L 0-140.2 683 861 31.18% 25.54% 43.28%-0.20 -5.5 15
2014-03-09 @ Feronikeli W 1-040.2 861 683 43.28% 25.54% 31.18%+0.20 +5.5 40
2014-03-15 Hysi FW46.5 718 790 45.84% 25.29% 28.87%+0.17 +0.0 21
2014-03-15 @ KF Trepca FL46.5 790 718 28.87% 25.29% 45.84%-0.17 +0.0 28
2014-03-15 Drita Gjilan W 1-037.3 714 731 53.00% 24.08% 22.92%+0.37 +4.2 21
2014-03-15 @ Hajvalia L 0-137.3 731 714 22.92% 24.08% 53.00%-0.37 -4.2 26
2014-03-15 Feronikeli L 0-149.2 787 677 67.14% 19.35% 13.50%+0.81 -10.1 28
2014-03-15 @ Drenica W 1-049.2 677 787 13.50% 19.35% 67.14%-0.81 +10.1 18
2014-03-15 Trepca'89 W 1-041.1 707 819 40.45% 25.72% 33.83%+0.04 +5.9 18
2014-03-15 @ Fushe Kosova L 0-141.1 819 707 33.83% 25.72% 40.45%-0.04 -5.9 24
2014-03-16 FC Prishtina L 0-145.3 867 916 48.90% 24.87% 26.23%+0.25 -7.8 40
2014-03-16 @ Vushtrria W 1-045.3 916 867 26.23% 24.87% 48.90%-0.25 +7.8 33
2014-03-16 Ferizaj W 2-031.9 789 754 59.10% 22.41% 18.48%+0.55 +6.5 29
2014-03-16 @ Besa L 0-231.9 754 789 18.48% 22.41% 59.10%-0.55 -6.5 29
2014-03-21 Hajvalia L 0-443.4 813 718 65.66% 19.99% 14.35%+0.76 -35.7 24
2014-03-21 @ Trepca'89 W 4-043.4 718 813 14.35% 19.99% 65.66%-0.76 +35.7 24
2014-03-22 Fushe Kosova W 1-035.5 748 713 59.13% 22.41% 18.46%+0.55 +3.5 32
2014-03-22 @ Ferizaj L 0-135.5 713 748 18.46% 22.41% 59.13%-0.55 -3.5 18
2014-03-23 Vushtrria FL46.5 790 859 46.37% 25.23% 28.40%+0.19 +0.0 28
2014-03-23 @ Hysi FW46.5 859 790 28.40% 25.23% 46.37%-0.19 +0.0 43
2014-03-23 Besa W 3-143.4 687 795 40.96% 25.69% 33.34%+0.05 +9.5 21
2014-03-23 @ Feronikeli L 1-343.4 795 687 33.34% 25.69% 40.96%-0.05 -9.5 29
2014-03-23 Drenica L 1-256.2 924 777 70.68% 17.73% 11.59%+0.94 -9.9 33
2014-03-23 @ FC Prishtina W 2-156.2 777 924 11.59% 17.73% 70.68%-0.94 +9.9 31
2014-03-23 KF Trepca D 0-049.8 727 718 56.18% 23.29% 20.54%+0.46 -1.4 27
2014-03-23 @ Drita Gjilan D 0-049.8 718 727 20.54% 23.29% 56.18%-0.46 +1.4 22
2014-03-25 Trepca'89 W 2-034.1 751 777 51.89% 24.32% 23.79%+0.34 +8.3 35
2014-03-25 @ Ferizaj L 0-234.1 777 751 23.79% 24.32% 51.89%-0.34 -8.3 24
2014-03-26 Hysi FW47.0 787 790 54.71% 23.67% 21.62%+0.42 +0.0 34
2014-03-26 @ Drenica FL47.0 790 787 21.62% 23.67% 54.71%-0.42 +0.0 28
2014-03-26 Drita Gjilan W 3-134.9 859 725 69.43% 18.32% 12.25%+0.89 +3.6 46
2014-03-26 @ Vushtrria L 1-334.9 725 859 12.25% 18.32% 69.43%-0.89 -3.6 27
2014-03-26 FC Prishtina L 0-142.4 786 914 38.03% 25.78% 36.19%-0.02 -6.4 29
2014-03-26 @ Besa W 1-042.4 914 786 36.19% 25.78% 38.03%+0.02 +6.4 36
2014-03-26 Feronikeli D 1-155.5 710 697 56.67% 23.15% 20.18%+0.47 -1.3 19
2014-03-26 @ Fushe Kosova D 1-155.5 697 710 20.18% 23.15% 56.67%-0.47 +1.3 22
2014-03-26 Hajvalia W 1-038.0 719 753 50.85% 24.52% 24.63%+0.31 +4.5 25
2014-03-26 @ KF Trepca L 0-138.0 753 719 24.63% 24.52% 50.85%-0.31 -4.5 24
2014-03-29 Vushtrria W 2-037.6 749 862 40.17% 25.73% 34.10%+0.03 +11.2 27
2014-03-29 @ Hajvalia L 0-237.6 862 749 34.10% 25.73% 40.17%-0.03 -11.2 46
2014-03-30 Besa FL47.1 790 779 56.42% 23.22% 20.36%+0.47 +0.0 28
2014-03-30 @ Hysi FW47.1 779 790 20.36% 23.22% 56.42%-0.47 +0.0 32
2014-03-30 Drenica D 0-049.2 721 787 46.81% 25.17% 28.02%+0.20 -0.7 28
2014-03-30 @ Drita Gjilan D 0-049.2 787 721 28.02% 25.17% 46.81%-0.20 +0.7 35
2014-03-30 Ferizaj W 2-145.5 698 760 47.32% 25.10% 27.58%+0.21 +4.7 25
2014-03-30 @ Feronikeli L 1-245.5 760 698 27.58% 25.10% 47.32%-0.21 -4.7 35
2014-03-30 KF Trepca W 3-137.6 769 724 60.38% 21.99% 17.63%+0.59 +5.4 27
2014-03-30 @ Trepca'89 L 1-337.6 724 769 17.63% 21.99% 60.38%-0.59 -5.4 25
2014-03-31 Fushe Kosova D 0-052.3 921 708 76.32% 14.86% 8.81%+1.17 -2.8 37
2014-03-31 @ FC Prishtina D 0-052.3 708 921 8.81% 14.86% 76.32%-1.17 +2.8 20
2014-04-04 KF Trepca W 1-035.4 755 718 59.38% 22.33% 18.30%+0.55 +3.4 38
2014-04-04 @ Ferizaj L 0-135.4 718 755 18.30% 22.33% 59.38%-0.55 -3.4 25
2014-04-05 Trepca'89 L 1-349.6 788 775 56.66% 23.15% 20.19%+0.47 -14.4 35
2014-04-05 @ Drenica W 3-149.6 775 788 20.19% 23.15% 56.66%-0.47 +14.5 30
2014-04-06 Hysi FW47.7 851 790 62.07% 21.39% 16.53%+0.64 +0.0 49
2014-04-06 @ Vushtrria FL47.7 790 851 16.53% 21.39% 62.07%-0.64 +0.0 28
2014-04-06 Feronikeli D 1-156.2 779 703 63.71% 20.77% 15.51%+0.69 -1.8 33
2014-04-06 @ Besa D 1-156.2 703 779 15.51% 20.77% 63.71%-0.69 +1.8 26
2014-04-06 Fushe Kosova W 3-031.0 721 711 56.24% 23.27% 20.49%+0.46 +10.5 31
2014-04-06 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-331.0 711 721 20.49% 23.27% 56.24%-0.46 -10.5 20
2014-04-06 Hajvalia D 1-157.2 918 760 71.66% 17.26% 11.09%+0.98 -2.2 38
2014-04-06 @ FC Prishtina D 1-157.2 760 918 11.09% 17.26% 71.66%-0.98 +2.2 28
2014-04-12 Hysi FW46.6 731 790 47.66% 25.06% 27.28%+0.22 +0.0 34
2014-04-12 @ Drita Gjilan FL46.6 790 731 27.28% 25.06% 47.66%-0.22 +0.0 28
2014-04-12 Besa W 2-146.1 701 777 45.30% 25.35% 29.35%+0.16 +5.0 23
2014-04-12 @ Fushe Kosova L 1-246.1 777 701 29.35% 25.35% 45.30%-0.16 -5.0 33
2014-04-12 Drenica D 0-049.2 715 773 47.73% 25.05% 27.22%+0.22 -0.8 26
2014-04-12 @ KF Trepca D 0-049.2 773 715 27.22% 25.05% 47.73%-0.22 +0.8 36
2014-04-12 Ferizaj D 1-154.9 704 758 48.34% 24.95% 26.70%+0.24 -0.7 27
2014-04-12 @ Feronikeli D 1-154.9 758 704 26.70% 24.95% 48.34%-0.24 +0.8 39
2014-04-13 FC Prishtina W 3-144.2 789 916 38.31% 25.78% 35.91%-0.01 +10.0 33
2014-04-13 @ Trepca'89 L 1-344.2 916 789 35.91% 25.78% 38.31%+0.01 -10.1 38
2014-04-14 Vushtrria D 2-260.8 762 851 43.60% 25.52% 30.88%+0.12 -0.3 29
2014-04-14 @ Hajvalia D 2-260.8 851 762 30.88% 25.52% 43.60%-0.12 +0.3 50
2014-04-18 Feronikeli W 1-034.3 774 704 63.06% 21.03% 15.92%+0.67 +3.0 39
2014-04-18 @ Drenica L 0-134.3 704 774 15.92% 21.03% 63.06%-0.67 -3.0 27
2014-04-18 KF Trepca W 3-025.4 906 714 74.62% 15.76% 9.62%+1.10 +4.6 41
2014-04-18 @ FC Prishtina L 0-325.4 714 906 9.62% 15.76% 74.62%-1.10 -4.6 26
2014-04-19 Drita Gjilan W 2-031.7 772 731 59.88% 22.16% 17.96%+0.57 +6.3 36
2014-04-19 @ Besa L 0-231.7 731 772 17.96% 22.16% 59.88%-0.57 -6.3 34
2014-04-20 Hajvalia FL47.3 790 762 58.42% 22.63% 18.95%+0.53 +0.0 28
2014-04-20 @ Hysi FW47.3 762 790 18.95% 22.63% 58.42%-0.53 +0.0 32
2014-04-20 Fushe Kosova W 1-034.8 759 706 61.21% 21.70% 17.08%+0.61 +3.2 42
2014-04-20 @ Ferizaj L 0-134.8 706 759 17.08% 21.70% 61.21%-0.61 -3.2 23
2014-04-20 Trepca'89 L 0-148.1 852 799 61.15% 21.73% 17.13%+0.61 -9.4 50
2014-04-20 @ Vushtrria W 1-048.1 799 852 17.13% 21.73% 61.15%-0.61 +9.4 36
2014-04-22 Hysi FW46.9 779 790 53.72% 23.91% 22.37%+0.39 +0.0 39
2014-04-22 @ Besa FL46.9 790 779 22.37% 23.91% 53.72%-0.39 +0.0 28
2014-04-22 FC Prishtina W 1-045.0 701 910 27.47% 25.09% 47.44%-0.30 +7.6 30
2014-04-22 @ Feronikeli L 0-145.0 910 701 47.44% 25.09% 27.47%+0.30 -7.6 41
2014-04-23 Drenica W 2-146.0 703 777 45.60% 25.32% 29.08%+0.17 +4.9 26
2014-04-23 @ Fushe Kosova L 1-246.0 777 703 29.08% 25.32% 45.60%-0.17 -4.9 39
2014-04-23 Ferizaj W 2-034.5 725 762 50.49% 24.59% 24.92%+0.30 +8.6 37
2014-04-23 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-234.5 762 725 24.92% 24.59% 50.49%-0.30 -8.6 42
2014-04-23 Hajvalia W 1-035.1 808 762 60.47% 21.96% 17.57%+0.59 +3.3 39
2014-04-23 @ Trepca'89 L 0-135.1 762 808 17.57% 21.96% 60.47%-0.59 -3.3 32
2014-04-24 Vushtrria W 1-042.0 709 842 37.42% 25.79% 36.80%-0.04 +6.3 29
2014-04-24 @ KF Trepca L 0-142.0 842 709 36.80% 25.79% 37.42%+0.04 -6.3 50
2014-04-26 Hysi FW47.2 812 790 57.65% 22.87% 19.49%+0.50 +0.0 42
2014-04-26 @ Trepca'89 FL47.2 790 812 19.49% 22.87% 57.65%-0.50 +0.0 28
2014-04-26 Drita Gjilan W 3-030.0 772 734 59.58% 22.26% 18.16%+0.56 +9.3 42
2014-04-26 @ Drenica L 0-330.0 734 772 18.16% 22.26% 59.58%-0.56 -9.3 37
2014-04-26 Fushe Kosova W 3-241.9 902 707 74.91% 15.61% 9.48%+1.11 +1.5 44
2014-04-26 @ FC Prishtina L 2-341.9 707 902 9.48% 15.61% 74.91%-1.11 -1.5 26
2014-04-27 Besa W 2-144.1 754 779 52.01% 24.29% 23.70%+0.34 +4.1 45
2014-04-27 @ Ferizaj L 1-244.1 779 754 23.70% 24.29% 52.01%-0.34 -4.1 39
2014-04-27 Feronikeli D 0-051.2 836 708 68.84% 18.59% 12.56%+0.87 -2.3 51
2014-04-27 @ Vushtrria D 0-051.2 708 836 12.56% 18.59% 68.84%-0.87 +2.3 31
2014-04-27 KF Trepca D 0-050.1 759 716 60.09% 22.09% 17.82%+0.58 -1.7 33
2014-04-27 @ Hajvalia D 0-050.1 716 759 17.82% 22.09% 60.09%-0.58 +1.7 30
2014-05-03 FC Prishtina D 1-154.7 724 904 31.05% 25.53% 43.42%-0.20 +0.4 38
2014-05-03 @ Drita Gjilan D 1-154.7 904 724 43.42% 25.53% 31.05%+0.20 -0.4 45
2014-05-03 Hajvalia D 0-049.3 711 757 49.33% 24.80% 25.88%+0.27 -0.9 32
2014-05-03 @ Feronikeli D 0-049.3 757 711 25.88% 24.80% 49.33%-0.27 +0.9 34
2014-05-03 Vushtrria L 0-436.9 706 834 38.17% 25.78% 36.05%-0.02 -23.0 26
2014-05-03 @ Fushe Kosova W 4-036.9 834 706 36.05% 25.78% 38.17%+0.02 +23.0 54
2014-05-04 Hysi FW46.8 758 790 51.09% 24.48% 24.43%+0.31 +0.0 48
2014-05-04 @ Ferizaj FL46.8 790 758 24.43% 24.48% 51.09%-0.31 +0.0 28
2014-05-04 Drenica W 2-033.4 775 781 54.30% 23.77% 21.93%+0.40 +7.7 42
2014-05-04 @ Besa L 0-233.4 781 775 21.93% 23.77% 54.30%-0.40 -7.7 42
2014-05-04 Trepca'89 W 1-040.4 717 812 42.86% 25.58% 31.56%+0.10 +5.6 33
2014-05-04 @ KF Trepca L 0-140.4 812 717 31.56% 25.58% 42.86%-0.10 -5.6 42
2014-05-10 Besa W 1-032.7 904 782 68.23% 18.87% 12.90%+0.85 +2.4 48
2014-05-10 @ FC Prishtina L 0-132.7 782 904 12.90% 18.87% 68.23%-0.85 -2.3 42
2014-05-10 Ferizaj L 0-441.8 774 758 57.00% 23.05% 19.95%+0.48 -31.8 42
2014-05-10 @ Drenica W 4-041.8 758 774 19.95% 23.05% 57.00%-0.48 +31.8 51
2014-05-11 Hysi FW46.6 723 790 46.56% 25.20% 28.24%+0.19 +0.0 36
2014-05-11 @ KF Trepca FL46.6 790 723 28.24% 25.20% 46.56%-0.19 +0.0 28
2014-05-11 Drita Gjilan D 1-156.9 857 725 69.27% 18.40% 12.34%+0.89 -2.1 55
2014-05-11 @ Vushtrria D 1-156.9 725 857 12.34% 18.40% 69.27%-0.89 +2.1 39
2014-05-11 Feronikeli W 3-028.1 806 710 65.76% 19.94% 14.29%+0.76 +7.2 45
2014-05-11 @ Trepca'89 L 0-328.1 710 806 14.29% 19.94% 65.76%-0.76 -7.2 32
2014-05-11 Fushe Kosova W 1-034.1 758 683 63.54% 20.84% 15.62%+0.69 +2.9 37
2014-05-11 @ Hajvalia L 0-134.1 683 758 15.62% 20.84% 63.54%-0.69 -2.9 26
2014-05-14 Hysi FW46.7 742 790 49.05% 24.84% 26.10%+0.26 +0.0 45
2014-05-14 @ Drenica FL46.7 790 742 26.10% 24.84% 49.05%-0.26 +0.0 28
2014-05-14 FC Prishtina L 1-442.2 789 906 39.77% 25.74% 34.49%+0.02 -15.4 51
2014-05-14 @ Ferizaj W 4-142.2 906 789 34.49% 25.74% 39.77%-0.02 +15.3 51
2014-05-14 Hajvalia D 1-155.1 727 761 50.90% 24.51% 24.58%+0.31 -0.9 40
2014-05-14 @ Drita Gjilan D 1-155.1 761 727 24.58% 24.51% 50.90%-0.31 +0.9 38
2014-05-14 KF Trepca W 1-037.4 703 723 52.62% 24.16% 23.22%+0.36 +4.3 35
2014-05-14 @ Feronikeli L 0-137.4 723 703 23.22% 24.16% 52.62%-0.36 -4.3 36
2014-05-14 Trepca'89 L 0-142.2 680 813 37.35% 25.79% 36.86%-0.04 -6.3 26
2014-05-14 @ Fushe Kosova W 1-042.2 813 680 36.86% 25.79% 37.35%+0.04 +6.3 48
2014-05-15 Vushtrria W 1-039.5 780 855 45.57% 25.32% 29.10%+0.17 +5.2 45
2014-05-15 @ Besa L 0-139.5 855 780 29.10% 25.32% 45.57%-0.17 -5.2 55
2014-05-17 Fushe Kosova L 2-359.0 719 674 60.30% 22.02% 17.68%+0.58 -8.3 36
2014-05-17 @ KF Trepca W 3-259.0 674 719 17.68% 22.02% 60.30%-0.58 +8.3 29
2014-05-18 Hysi FW46.5 707 790 44.38% 25.45% 30.17%+0.14 +0.0 38
2014-05-18 @ Feronikeli FL46.5 790 707 30.17% 25.45% 44.38%-0.14 +0.0 28
2014-05-18 Besa W 3-032.2 762 785 52.23% 24.25% 23.53%+0.35 +11.9 41
2014-05-18 @ Hajvalia L 0-332.2 785 762 23.53% 24.25% 52.23%-0.35 -11.9 45
2014-05-18 Drenica W 2-137.6 921 742 73.58% 16.30% 10.13%+1.05 +1.7 54
2014-05-18 @ FC Prishtina L 1-237.6 742 921 10.13% 16.30% 73.58%-1.05 -1.7 45
2014-05-18 Drita Gjilan D 2-262.4 820 726 65.51% 20.05% 14.44%+0.75 -1.4 49
2014-05-18 @ Trepca'89 D 2-262.4 726 820 14.44% 20.05% 65.51%-0.75 +1.4 41
2014-05-18 Ferizaj W 1-034.1 849 774 63.58% 20.83% 15.60%+0.69 +2.9 58
2014-05-18 @ Vushtrria L 0-134.1 774 849 15.60% 20.83% 63.58%-0.69 -2.9 51
2014-05-24 Hysi FW48.6 923 790 69.33% 18.37% 12.30%+0.89 +0.0 57
2014-05-24 @ FC Prishtina FL48.6 790 923 12.30% 18.37% 69.33%-0.89 +0.0 28
2014-05-24 Feronikeli L 1-252.6 682 707 52.07% 24.28% 23.65%+0.34 -7.8 29
2014-05-24 @ Fushe Kosova W 2-152.6 707 682 23.65% 24.28% 52.07%-0.34 +7.8 41
2014-05-24 KF Trepca W 3-138.6 727 710 57.12% 23.02% 19.86%+0.49 +6.1 44
2014-05-24 @ Drita Gjilan L 1-338.6 710 727 19.86% 23.02% 57.12%-0.49 -6.1 36
2014-05-24 Trepca'89 D 2-261.0 773 818 49.49% 24.77% 25.74%+0.27 -0.6 46
2014-05-24 @ Besa D 2-261.0 818 773 25.74% 24.77% 49.49%-0.27 +0.6 50
2014-05-24 Vushtrria L 1-345.5 740 852 40.38% 25.72% 33.90%+0.04 -11.0 45
2014-05-24 @ Drenica W 3-145.5 852 740 33.90% 25.72% 40.38%-0.04 +11.0 61
2014-05-25 Hajvalia L 1-253.2 771 774 54.82% 23.64% 21.54%+0.42 -8.1 51
2014-05-25 @ Ferizaj W 2-153.2 774 771 21.54% 23.64% 54.82%-0.42 +8.1 44
2014-05-31 Besa L 0-144.7 704 773 46.40% 25.22% 28.37%+0.19 -7.5 36
2014-05-31 @ KF Trepca W 1-044.7 773 704 28.37% 25.22% 46.40%-0.19 +7.5 49
2014-05-31 Drenica W 3-246.0 782 729 61.14% 21.73% 17.13%+0.61 +2.9 47
2014-05-31 @ Hajvalia L 2-346.0 729 782 17.13% 21.73% 61.14%-0.61 -2.9 45
2014-05-31 Drita Gjilan L 1-348.8 715 733 52.83% 24.12% 23.06%+0.36 -13.6 41
2014-05-31 @ Feronikeli W 3-148.8 733 715 23.06% 24.12% 52.83%-0.36 +13.6 47
2014-06-01 FC Prishtina FW46.6 863 923 47.57% 25.07% 27.36%+0.22 +0.0 64
2014-06-01 @ Vushtrria FL46.6 923 863 27.36% 25.07% 47.57%-0.22 +0.0 57
2014-06-01 Hysi FW46.4 674 790 39.84% 25.74% 34.42%+0.02 +0.0 32
2014-06-01 @ Fushe Kosova FL46.4 790 674 34.42% 25.74% 39.84%-0.02 +0.0 28
2014-06-01 Ferizaj W 4-029.3 819 763 61.50% 21.60% 16.90%+0.62 +11.3 53
2014-06-01 @ Trepca'89 L 0-429.3 763 819 16.90% 21.60% 61.50%-0.62 -11.3 51

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2013-09-07 10.72% Hysi 758 2 @ FC Prishtina 923 1
2 2014-03-23 11.59% Drenica 777 2 @ FC Prishtina 924 1
3 2014-03-15 13.50% Feronikeli 677 1 @ Drenica 787 0
4 2014-03-21 14.35% Hajvalia 718 4 @ Trepca'89 813 0
5 2013-10-13 14.56% Ferizaj 741 1 @ Trepca'89 832 0
6 2014-04-20 17.13% Trepca'89 799 1 @ Vushtrria 852 0
7 2014-05-17 17.68% Fushe Kosova 674 3 @ KF Trepca 719 2
8 2013-11-07 17.77% Drita Gjilan 709 1 @ Ferizaj 752 0
9 2013-10-05 18.70% Ferizaj 716 3 @ Fushe Kosova 747 0
10 2014-05-10 19.95% Ferizaj 758 4 @ Drenica 774 0
11 2014-04-05 20.19% Trepca'89 775 3 @ Drenica 788 1
12 2014-05-25 21.54% Hajvalia 774 2 @ Ferizaj 771 1
13 2013-11-10 22.01% Ferizaj 743 2 @ Hajvalia 735 1
14 2013-09-28 22.16% Hajvalia 732 3 @ Drita Gjilan 722 0
15 2013-08-23 22.25% @ Feronikeli 677 2 FC Prishtina 936 0
16 2013-09-08 22.58% Drita Gjilan 708 3 @ Feronikeli 694 2
17 2013-10-20 22.64% Hysi 797 2 @ Besa 782 0
18 2014-05-31 23.06% Drita Gjilan 733 3 @ Feronikeli 715 1
19 2013-10-30 23.45% Besa 772 2 @ Hajvalia 750 0
20 2014-05-24 23.65% Feronikeli 707 2 @ Fushe Kosova 682 1
21 2013-09-26 23.82% Hysi 781 3 @ Hajvalia 754 0
22 2013-09-08 24.06% Vushtrria 828 2 @ Besa 799 1
23 2013-09-13 24.73% Besa 792 2 @ Drenica 756 0
24 2014-03-16 26.23% FC Prishtina 916 1 @ Vushtrria 867 0
25 2013-09-28 26.95% Drenica 748 2 @ Feronikeli 692 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-03-21 35.67 Hajvalia 4 718 14.35% @ Trepca'89 0 813 65.66% 19.99%
2 2014-05-10 31.80 Ferizaj 4 758 19.95% @ Drenica 0 774 57.00% 23.05%
3 2013-10-05 24.97 Ferizaj 3 716 18.70% @ Fushe Kosova 0 747 58.78% 22.52%
4 2013-09-28 23.27 Hajvalia 3 732 22.16% @ Drita Gjilan 0 722 53.99% 23.85%
5 2013-08-16 23.12 Trepca'89 4 826 35.90% @ Feronikeli 0 700 38.32% 25.78%
6 2014-05-03 23.05 Vushtrria 4 834 36.05% @ Fushe Kosova 0 706 38.17% 25.78%
7 2013-09-26 22.50 Hysi 3 781 23.82% @ Hajvalia 0 754 51.85% 24.33%
8 2013-10-11 18.34 @ Drita Gjilan 3 696 34.11% Vushtrria 0 852 40.16% 25.73%
9 2013-09-29 17.20 @ Ferizaj 5 698 41.35% Besa 1 804 32.98% 25.67%
10 2013-08-23 15.99 @ Feronikeli 2 677 22.25% FC Prishtina 0 936 53.87% 23.88%
11 2013-10-20 15.87 Hysi 2 797 22.64% @ Besa 0 782 53.37% 23.99%
12 2013-10-30 15.61 Besa 2 772 23.45% @ Hajvalia 0 750 52.33% 24.23%
13 2014-05-14 15.35 FC Prishtina 4 906 34.49% @ Ferizaj 1 789 39.77% 25.74%
14 2013-09-13 15.22 Besa 2 792 24.73% @ Drenica 0 756 50.73% 24.55%
15 2013-10-26 15.01 @ Fushe Kosova 3 723 43.59% Hysi 0 813 30.89% 25.52%
16 2014-04-05 14.45 Trepca'89 3 775 20.19% @ Drenica 1 788 56.66% 23.15%
17 2013-11-06 13.66 FC Prishtina 2 904 30.15% @ Trepca'89 0 821 44.40% 25.44%
18 2014-05-31 13.62 Drita Gjilan 3 733 23.06% @ Feronikeli 1 715 52.83% 24.12%
19 2013-11-15 12.06 Vushtrria 2 847 36.40% @ Fushe Kosova 0 717 37.82% 25.78%
20 2013-11-16 12.01 @ Trepca'89 5 809 54.69% Hysi 1 812 21.63% 23.68%
21 2014-05-18 11.91 @ Hajvalia 3 762 52.23% Besa 0 785 23.53% 24.25%
22 2013-10-26 11.32 @ Drenica 5 772 56.46% Hajvalia 1 761 20.33% 23.21%
23 2013-11-10 11.32 @ KF Trepca 3 718 53.88% Fushe Kosova 0 728 22.25% 23.87%
24 2013-11-10 11.29 @ Hysi 2 801 39.64% FC Prishtina 0 918 34.61% 25.75%
25 2014-06-01 11.28 @ Trepca'89 4 819 61.50% Ferizaj 0 763 16.90% 21.60%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-05-18 62.4 @ Trepca'89 2 820 65.51% Drita Gjilan 2 726 14.44% 20.05%
2 2013-09-13 61.6 @ KF Trepca 2 727 57.97% Ferizaj 2 703 19.26% 22.77%
3 2013-11-16 61.5 @ Besa 2 791 56.08% Drenica 2 782 20.61% 23.31%
4 2014-05-24 61.0 @ Besa 2 773 49.49% Trepca'89 2 818 25.74% 24.77%
5 2013-10-30 60.9 @ KF Trepca 2 724 47.58% Drenica 2 784 27.35% 25.07%
6 2014-04-14 60.8 @ Hajvalia 2 762 43.60% Vushtrria 2 851 30.88% 25.52%
7 2014-05-17 59.0 Fushe Kosova 3 674 17.68% @ KF Trepca 2 719 60.30% 22.02%
8 2013-09-08 57.6 Drita Gjilan 3 708 22.58% @ Feronikeli 2 694 53.45% 23.98%
9 2014-04-06 57.2 @ FC Prishtina 1 918 71.66% Hajvalia 1 760 11.09% 17.26%
10 2014-05-11 56.9 @ Vushtrria 1 857 69.27% Drita Gjilan 1 725 12.34% 18.40%
11 2013-09-07 56.5 Hysi 2 758 10.72% @ FC Prishtina 1 923 72.37% 16.90%
12 2014-03-23 56.2 Drenica 2 777 11.59% @ FC Prishtina 1 924 70.68% 17.73%
13 2014-04-06 56.2 @ Besa 1 779 63.71% Feronikeli 1 703 15.51% 20.77%
14 2013-08-24 55.9 @ Fushe Kosova 1 762 61.25% Drita Gjilan 1 708 17.06% 21.69%
15 2013-11-24 55.8 @ KF Trepca 1 722 59.89% Feronikeli 1 681 17.95% 22.16%
16 2013-10-13 55.7 @ Hysi 1 798 59.33% Drenica 1 762 18.33% 22.34%
17 2013-09-21 55.5 @ Fushe Kosova 1 754 56.66% Drenica 1 741 20.19% 23.15%
18 2014-03-26 55.5 @ Fushe Kosova 1 710 56.67% Feronikeli 1 697 20.18% 23.15%
19 2013-09-01 55.4 @ Hajvalia 1 764 55.61% Fushe Kosova 1 760 20.95% 23.44%
20 2013-11-09 55.1 @ Drenica 1 783 52.14% Trepca'89 1 808 23.60% 24.27%
21 2014-05-14 55.1 @ Drita Gjilan 1 727 50.90% Hajvalia 1 761 24.58% 24.51%
22 2013-10-13 55.0 @ Feronikeli 1 682 50.14% Fushe Kosova 1 722 25.20% 24.66%
23 2013-11-05 54.9 @ Drenica 1 784 47.69% Vushtrria 1 843 27.26% 25.05%
24 2014-04-12 54.9 @ Feronikeli 1 704 48.34% Ferizaj 1 758 26.70% 24.95%
25 2013-09-13 54.8 @ Drita Gjilan 1 716 28.85% FC Prishtina 1 913 45.86% 25.29%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-04-18 25.4 @ FC Prishtina 3 906 74.62% KF Trepca 0 714 9.62% 15.76%
2 2013-09-26 26.6 @ Vushtrria 3 847 70.86% Feronikeli 0 698 11.50% 17.65%
3 2014-03-08 27.2 @ FC Prishtina 2 913 74.69% KF Trepca 0 721 9.58% 15.72%
4 2013-10-12 27.6 @ FC Prishtina 3 904 67.60% Besa 0 789 13.25% 19.15%
5 2014-05-11 28.1 @ Trepca'89 3 806 65.76% Feronikeli 0 710 14.29% 19.94%
6 2013-09-13 28.8 @ Vushtrria 4 836 63.16% Fushe Kosova 0 765 15.85% 20.99%
7 2014-06-01 29.3 @ Trepca'89 4 819 61.50% Ferizaj 0 763 16.90% 21.60%
8 2013-08-17 29.5 @ FC Prishtina 1 935 78.97% Ferizaj 0 689 7.61% 13.42%
9 2013-10-19 29.6 @ Drenica 3 763 60.80% Drita Gjilan 0 714 17.35% 21.85%
10 2014-04-26 30.0 @ Drenica 3 772 59.58% Drita Gjilan 0 734 18.16% 22.26%
11 2013-10-31 30.1 @ FC Prishtina 1 903 77.12% Feronikeli 0 681 8.44% 14.43%
12 2013-11-06 30.9 @ Besa 2 788 62.43% KF Trepca 0 723 16.31% 21.26%
13 2013-10-27 31.0 @ Besa 2 766 62.10% Drita Gjilan 0 705 16.52% 21.38%
14 2014-04-06 31.0 @ Drita Gjilan 3 721 56.24% Fushe Kosova 0 711 20.49% 23.27%
15 2013-11-10 31.7 @ KF Trepca 3 718 53.88% Fushe Kosova 0 728 22.25% 23.87%
16 2014-04-19 31.7 @ Besa 2 772 59.88% Drita Gjilan 0 731 17.96% 22.16%
17 2013-09-21 31.8 @ FC Prishtina 1 913 71.54% Hajvalia 0 756 11.14% 17.31%
18 2014-03-16 31.9 @ Besa 2 789 59.10% Ferizaj 0 754 18.48% 22.41%
19 2013-09-21 32.0 @ Trepca'89 2 838 58.70% Besa 0 807 18.76% 22.54%
20 2013-10-27 32.2 @ Trepca'89 1 823 70.00% Feronikeli 0 683 11.95% 18.05%
21 2014-05-18 32.2 @ Hajvalia 3 762 52.23% Besa 0 785 23.53% 24.25%
22 2013-11-16 32.3 @ Ferizaj 2 751 57.68% KF Trepca 0 729 19.46% 22.85%
23 2014-05-10 32.7 @ FC Prishtina 1 904 68.23% Besa 0 782 12.90% 18.87%
24 2013-10-26 33.1 @ Vushtrria 1 837 67.15% KF Trepca 0 726 13.50% 19.35%
25 2013-10-06 33.3 @ Besa 1 786 66.31% Feronikeli 0 685 13.98% 19.71%