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2015-16 Football Superleague of Kosovo Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Feronikeli

69 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Feronikeli

9.91 points above expected

69 points · 59.09 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Vushtrria

13.03 points below expected

26 points · 39.03 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Feronikeli 33 21 6 6 69 53 27 +26 59.09 +9.91
2 Hajvalia 33 17 8 8 59 44 26 +18 54.33 +4.67
3 Trepca'89 33 16 8 9 56 53 30 +23 53.61 +2.39
4 Besa 33 16 5 12 53 37 27 +10 52.47 +0.53
5 Gjilani 33 14 7 12 49 29 27 +2 43.68 +5.32
6 Llapi 33 12 8 13 44 44 44 0 47.87 -3.87
7 Liria 33 12 8 13 44 34 45 -11 36.13 +7.87
8 FC Prishtina 33 12 7 14 43 29 34 -5 44.31 -1.31
9 Drenica 33 12 4 17 40 38 48 -10 44.56 -4.56
10 Drita Gjilan 33 9 9 15 36 33 43 -10 40.30 -4.30
11 Istogu 33 10 4 19 34 24 39 -15 37.76 -3.76
12 Vushtrria 33 6 8 19 26 24 52 -28 39.03 -13.03

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Feronikeli 69 59.09 +9.91
2 Liria 44 36.13 +7.87
3 Gjilani 49 43.68 +5.32
4 Hajvalia 59 54.33 +4.67
5 Trepca'89 56 53.61 +2.39

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vushtrria 26 39.03 -13.03
2 Drenica 40 44.56 -4.56
3 Drita Gjilan 36 40.30 -4.30
4 Llapi 44 47.87 -3.87
5 Istogu 34 37.76 -3.76

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gjilani 3 Aug 23 – Sep 4 1 in 64
2 Feronikeli 7 Mar 19 – Apr 23 1 in 51
3 Llapi 4 Oct 25 – Nov 8 1 in 34
4 Besa 4 Nov 4 – Nov 22 1 in 31
5 Liria 3 May 11 – May 22 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Trepca'89 5 Nov 3 – Nov 29 1 in 441
2 Gjilani 4 Mar 21 – Apr 7 1 in 91
3 Drenica 5 Apr 17 – May 8 1 in 75
4 Vushtrria 5 Oct 4 – Nov 4 1 in 59
5 Hajvalia 3 Aug 22 – Sep 6 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hajvalia 14 Oct 17 – Apr 3 1 in 166
2 Gjilani 7 Nov 7 – Mar 11 1 in 60
3 Liria 5 Sep 27 – Oct 25 1 in 38
4 Trepca'89 9 Aug 23 – Oct 4 1 in 29
5 Llapi 6 Oct 25 – Nov 22 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Trepca'89 5 Sep 27 – Oct 24 1 in 37
2 FC Prishtina 7 Sep 20 – Oct 31 1 in 31
3 Feronikeli 4 Nov 14 – Feb 27 1 in 23
4 Istogu 5 Aug 23 – Sep 16 1 in 14
5 Vushtrria 9 Apr 10 – May 22 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Feronikeli 927 69 +28 13 9.7 +3.3
Hajvalia 857 59 +30 10 8.2 +1.8
Trepca'89 884 56 +78 10 8.3 +1.7
Besa 815 53 +9 9 7.0 +2.0
Gjilani 705 49 +12 6 5.4 +0.6
Liria 693 44 -4 9 6.6 +2.4
Llapi 688 44 -60 3 7.1 -4.1
FC Prishtina 748 43 +13 9 7.0 +2.0
Drenica 641 40 +2 6 6.2 -0.2
Drita Gjilan 664 36 -71 4 7.4 -3.4
Istogu 686 34 +11 7 6.5 +0.5
Vushtrria 587 26 -48 1 4.4 -3.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BES DRE DG FP FER GJI HAJ IST LIR LLA TRE VUS
Besa —
2-0-1
5.26
2-0-1
5.80
3-0-0
4.09
1-0-2
3.09
0-2-1
4.42
2-0-1
4.67
1-0-2
5.09
1-0-2
5.23
1-1-1
4.95
1-1-1
4.56
2-1-0
5.54
Drenica
1-0-2
3.11
—
2-0-1
5.16
1-1-1
4.51
1-0-2
2.33
0-0-3
3.74
1-0-2
3.13
1-1-1
4.89
2-1-0
5.57
1-0-2
3.27
0-1-2
3.19
2-0-1
4.88
Drita Gjilan
1-0-2
2.59
1-0-2
3.22
—
1-1-1
3.52
0-1-2
3.09
1-0-2
4.73
1-1-1
2.49
1-1-1
3.76
1-1-1
4.87
0-3-0
2.85
0-1-2
3.73
2-0-1
4.81
FC Prishtina
0-0-3
4.27
1-1-1
3.85
1-1-1
4.85
—
0-0-3
2.81
2-1-0
3.31
0-1-2
4.03
2-1-0
5.15
1-1-1
4.09
2-0-1
4.40
1-0-2
2.93
2-1-0
4.00
Feronikeli
2-0-1
5.28
2-0-1
6.09
2-1-0
5.29
3-0-0
5.59
—
1-1-1
5.11
0-2-1
4.17
2-1-0
6.20
3-0-0
6.54
2-0-1
5.76
1-1-1
4.42
3-0-0
5.28
Gjilani
1-2-0
3.94
3-0-0
4.64
2-0-1
3.66
0-1-2
5.06
1-1-1
3.26
—
0-1-2
2.96
2-0-1
5.10
1-0-2
5.41
1-2-0
3.34
1-0-2
3.17
2-0-1
3.93
Hajvalia
1-0-2
3.70
2-0-1
5.25
1-1-1
5.92
2-1-0
4.34
1-2-0
4.18
2-1-0
5.42
—
2-0-1
5.16
1-1-1
5.40
2-1-0
4.33
2-0-1
4.77
1-1-1
5.61
Istogu
2-0-1
3.27
1-1-1
3.47
1-1-1
4.59
0-1-2
3.23
0-1-2
2.21
1-0-2
3.27
1-0-2
3.20
—
1-0-2
4.01
1-0-2
3.77
0-0-3
2.84
2-0-1
4.81
Liria
2-0-1
3.15
0-1-2
2.80
1-1-1
3.49
1-1-1
4.27
0-0-3
1.89
2-0-1
2.97
1-1-1
2.98
2-0-1
4.37
—
2-0-1
3.96
1-1-1
2.53
0-3-0
3.32
Llapi
1-1-1
3.41
2-0-1
5.10
0-3-0
5.54
1-0-2
3.97
1-0-2
2.63
0-2-1
5.04
0-1-2
4.02
2-0-1
4.60
1-0-2
4.42
—
1-1-1
4.33
3-0-0
5.16
Trepca'89
1-1-1
3.80
2-1-0
5.18
2-1-0
4.62
2-0-1
5.46
1-1-1
3.93
2-0-1
5.22
1-0-2
3.61
3-0-0
5.54
1-1-1
5.88
1-1-1
4.04
—
0-2-1
5.35
Vushtrria
0-1-2
2.85
1-0-2
3.49
1-0-2
3.58
0-1-2
4.36
0-0-3
3.10
1-0-2
4.42
1-1-1
2.81
1-0-2
3.56
0-3-0
5.04
0-0-3
3.23
1-2-0
3.04
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.66 +9.6
Allowed 0.68 -10.4
Differential 0.93 +6.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.59%15.66%6.06%2.53%1.01%0.51%34.34%
115.66%10.10%5.56%5.30%0.25%0.51%37.37%
26.06%5.56%1.52%1.77%—0.51%15.40%
32.53%5.30%1.77%0.51%——10.10%
41.01%0.25%————1.26%
5+0.51%0.51%0.51%———1.52%
Total34.34%37.37%15.40%10.10%1.26%1.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.12 +0.00
SD 1.14 1.14 1.67
CV 1.02 1.02 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%15.15%3.03%———33.33%
118.18%—9.09%9.09%——36.36%
29.09%6.06%————15.15%
39.09%3.03%3.03%———15.15%
4———————
5+———————
Total51.52%24.24%15.15%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 0.82 +0.30
SD 1.05 1.01 1.51
CV 0.94 1.24 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—12.12%6.06%3.03%3.03%—24.24%
112.12%12.12%15.15%12.12%——51.52%
26.06%12.12%————18.18%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4———————
5+——3.03%———3.03%
Total18.18%39.39%24.24%15.15%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.45 -0.30
SD 1.15 1.06 1.69
CV 1.00 0.73 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%18.18%12.12%3.03%3.03%—42.42%
115.15%15.15%3.03%——3.03%36.36%
23.03%—3.03%3.03%——9.09%
3—3.03%—3.03%——6.06%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total27.27%39.39%18.18%9.09%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.30 -0.30
SD 1.25 1.24 1.83
CV 1.25 0.95 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%24.24%6.06%3.03%——42.42%
118.18%12.12%6.06%3.03%——39.39%
23.03%3.03%————6.06%
3—3.03%9.09%———12.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.30%42.42%21.21%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.03 -0.15
SD 0.99 0.88 1.23
CV 1.13 0.86 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%————15.15%
121.21%9.09%3.03%3.03%——36.36%
26.06%9.09%3.03%3.03%——21.21%
36.06%18.18%3.03%———27.27%
4———————
5+———————
Total39.39%45.45%9.09%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 0.82 +0.79
SD 1.06 0.85 1.24
CV 0.66 1.03 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%21.21%9.09%———42.42%
121.21%9.09%—6.06%——36.36%
23.03%9.09%————12.12%
33.03%6.06%————9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total39.39%45.45%9.09%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 0.82 +0.06
SD 0.96 0.85 1.34
CV 1.09 1.03 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%12.12%3.03%3.03%——36.36%
115.15%3.03%3.03%———21.21%
26.06%6.06%3.03%3.03%——18.18%
36.06%12.12%3.03%———21.21%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total45.45%36.36%12.12%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 0.79 +0.55
SD 1.27 0.89 1.46
CV 0.95 1.13 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%30.30%3.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%51.52%
115.15%3.03%9.09%6.06%——33.33%
26.06%3.03%————9.09%
3—3.03%————3.03%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total33.33%39.39%12.12%9.09%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.18 -0.45
SD 0.98 1.26 1.79
CV 1.34 1.07 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%12.12%9.09%—3.03%39.39%
115.15%18.18%—3.03%——36.36%
23.03%6.06%—3.03%——12.12%
33.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
4———————
5+——3.03%———3.03%
Total27.27%36.36%18.18%15.15%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.36 -0.33
SD 1.19 1.32 1.91
CV 1.15 0.97 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%6.06%———15.15%
118.18%15.15%12.12%9.09%——54.55%
23.03%6.06%3.03%3.03%—3.03%18.18%
33.03%3.03%—3.03%——9.09%
4———————
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total30.30%30.30%21.21%15.15%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.33 +0.00
SD 1.05 1.24 1.64
CV 0.79 0.93 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%6.06%3.03%——24.24%
19.09%15.15%3.03%3.03%——30.30%
215.15%6.06%3.03%3.03%——27.27%
3—6.06%————6.06%
46.06%—————6.06%
5+3.03%3.03%————6.06%
Total39.39%39.39%12.12%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 0.91 +0.70
SD 1.50 0.95 1.99
CV 0.93 1.04 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%21.21%6.06%3.03%3.03%—45.45%
19.09%9.09%3.03%9.09%3.03%3.03%36.36%
29.09%—3.03%3.03%—3.03%18.18%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total30.30%30.30%12.12%15.15%6.06%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.58 -0.85
SD 0.76 1.60 1.64
CV 1.05 1.02 —
Max 2 6 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Feronikeli 927 69 59.09 +9.91 96.0% 40 49 55 59 63 69 72
Trepca'89 884 56 53.61 +2.39 67.0% 33 43 50 54 58 62 72
Hajvalia 857 59 54.33 +4.67 74.0% 39 44 49 53 60 66 74
Besa 815 53 52.47 +0.53 57.0% 36 42 49 52 57 62 71
FC Prishtina 748 43 44.31 -1.31 49.0% 30 32 39 44 49 57 62
Gjilani 705 49 43.68 +5.32 80.0% 30 32 39 44 48 55 60
Liria 693 44 36.13 +7.87 88.0% 20 24 32 35 40 48 54
Llapi 688 44 47.87 -3.87 28.0% 30 35 43 48 51 58 62
Istogu 686 34 37.76 -3.76 24.0% 16 23 35 38 41 48 57
Drita Gjilan 664 36 40.30 -4.30 24.0% 23 29 37 40 44 49 64
Drenica 641 40 44.56 -4.56 25.0% 26 33 40 45 49 55 63
Vushtrria 587 26 39.03 -13.03 4.0% 22 27 34 39 44 50 57

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+40.91%
Strong Edge
60.10%20.71%19.19%
Elo Value
Home Edge
224 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0150.97600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.73 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.67+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.6
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
45%
Feronikeli, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.30/gm
Runaway
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.4 * Some Luck: 5.4 to 8.1 * Lucky: 8.1 to 10.8 * Wild Swing: 10.8 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.55 * Close: 1.55 to 2.32 * Off: 2.32 to 3.1 * Way Off: 3.1 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.17 points
Some Luck
06.7517
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.33
Pinpoint
01.944
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
96.00%
Feronikeli
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
4.00%
Vushtrria
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Even
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 105.72
1.53
Moderate Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
70%
Clear Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Clear Edge
50%89%100%
Close Games
Expected
67%
Very Frequent
0%63%100%
Blowouts
Expected
11%
Rare
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.46
Notable Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.83
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.52
Some Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.2 * Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Probability calibration
0.82
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.87
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.034
Well Within Noise
00.1020.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Feronikeli45.00%28.00%12.00%5.00%7.00%1.00%1.00%——1.00%——
Hajvalia21.00%13.00%24.00%12.00%9.00%9.00%7.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%——
Trepca'8913.00%19.00%19.00%22.00%8.00%8.00%4.00%5.00%1.00%—1.00%—
Besa10.00%21.00%16.00%19.00%11.00%8.00%8.00%3.00%2.00%—2.00%—
Gjilani1.00%3.00%3.00%6.00%11.00%14.00%15.00%13.00%10.00%9.00%10.00%5.00%
Llapi5.00%7.00%7.00%10.00%18.00%18.00%12.00%10.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%
Liria——2.00%1.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%5.00%14.00%16.00%22.00%28.00%
FC Prishtina4.00%2.00%5.00%8.00%8.00%12.00%9.00%17.00%14.00%11.00%5.00%5.00%
Drenica1.00%5.00%5.00%8.00%13.00%10.00%14.00%15.00%9.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%
Drita Gjilan—1.00%2.00%2.00%4.00%9.00%12.00%13.00%14.00%20.00%11.00%12.00%
Istogu—1.00%1.00%2.00%4.00%4.00%5.00%4.00%14.00%20.00%29.00%16.00%
Vushtrria——4.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%9.00%13.00%14.00%8.00%13.00%28.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Feronikeli 99.00% 1.00% —
Hajvalia 97.00% 3.00% —
Trepca'89 98.00% 1.00% 1.00%
Besa 96.00% 2.00% 2.00%
Llapi 87.00% 10.00% 3.00%
Drenica 71.00% 19.00% 10.00%
FC Prishtina 65.00% 25.00% 10.00%
Gjilani 66.00% 19.00% 15.00%
Drita Gjilan 43.00% 34.00% 23.00%
Vushtrria 37.00% 22.00% 41.00%
Istogu 21.00% 34.00% 45.00%
Liria 20.00% 30.00% 50.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2015-08-22 Feronikeli L 0-145.6 766 813 52.81% 21.57% 25.62%+0.46 -17.3 0
2015-08-22 @ FC Prishtina W 1-045.6 813 766 25.62% 21.57% 52.81%-0.46 +17.3 3
2015-08-22 Hajvalia W 1-035.3 797 781 59.74% 20.96% 19.30%+0.74 +7.4 3
2015-08-22 @ Besa L 0-135.3 781 797 19.30% 20.96% 59.74%-0.74 -7.4 0
2015-08-23 Drenica D 1-155.8 614 750 41.06% 21.96% 36.98%+0.06 -0.3 1
2015-08-23 @ Liria D 1-155.8 750 614 36.98% 21.96% 41.06%-0.06 +0.3 1
2015-08-23 Gjilani L 0-343.0 720 647 65.06% 20.19% 14.75%+1.00 -57.7 0
2015-08-23 @ Drita Gjilan W 3-043.0 647 720 14.75% 20.19% 65.06%-1.00 +57.7 3
2015-08-23 Istogu W 4-029.1 770 744 60.77% 20.83% 18.40%+0.79 +25.5 3
2015-08-23 @ Trepca'89 L 0-429.1 744 770 18.40% 20.83% 60.77%-0.79 -25.5 0
2015-08-23 Llapi L 0-147.5 755 738 59.81% 20.95% 19.24%+0.75 -19.4 0
2015-08-23 @ Vushtrria W 1-047.5 738 755 19.24% 20.95% 59.81%-0.75 +19.4 3
2015-08-28 Drita Gjilan W 1-031.6 830 662 72.10% 18.55% 9.35%+1.42 +3.7 6
2015-08-28 @ Feronikeli L 0-131.6 662 830 9.35% 18.55% 72.10%-1.42 -3.7 0
2015-08-29 Drenica L 1-253.9 774 751 60.49% 20.87% 18.64%+0.78 -18.5 0
2015-08-29 @ Hajvalia W 2-153.9 751 774 18.64% 20.87% 60.49%-0.78 +18.5 4
2015-08-29 FC Prishtina D 0-050.6 719 749 54.86% 21.43% 23.72%+0.54 -2.6 1
2015-08-29 @ Istogu D 0-050.6 749 719 23.72% 21.43% 54.86%-0.54 +2.6 1
2015-08-29 Trepca'89 L 1-252.1 758 796 53.87% 21.50% 24.63%+0.50 -16.6 3
2015-08-29 @ Llapi W 2-152.1 796 758 24.63% 21.50% 53.87%-0.50 +16.6 6
2015-08-30 Liria W 3-135.4 705 613 66.54% 19.91% 13.55%+1.08 +8.7 6
2015-08-30 @ Gjilani L 1-335.4 613 705 13.55% 19.91% 66.54%-1.08 -8.7 1
2015-08-30 Vushtrria D 0-050.9 805 735 64.74% 20.24% 15.01%+0.98 -4.3 4
2015-08-30 @ Besa D 0-050.9 735 805 15.01% 20.24% 64.74%-0.98 +4.4 1
2015-09-04 Gjilani L 1-254.7 769 713 63.56% 20.44% 16.00%+0.92 -19.4 4
2015-09-04 @ Drenica W 2-154.7 713 769 16.00% 20.44% 63.56%-0.92 +19.4 9
2015-09-05 Feronikeli L 2-349.3 605 834 28.58% 21.74% 49.68%-0.35 -9.4 1
2015-09-05 @ Liria W 3-249.3 834 605 49.68% 21.74% 28.58%+0.35 +9.4 9
2015-09-06 Besa W 2-141.7 812 800 59.39% 21.00% 19.61%+0.73 +7.1 9
2015-09-06 @ Trepca'89 L 1-241.7 800 812 19.61% 21.00% 59.39%-0.73 -7.1 4
2015-09-06 Hajvalia W 1-036.3 739 755 56.41% 21.30% 22.30%+0.60 +8.5 4
2015-09-06 @ Vushtrria L 0-136.3 755 739 22.30% 21.30% 56.41%-0.60 -8.5 0
2015-09-06 Istogu W 1-037.8 659 716 51.55% 21.64% 26.80%+0.42 +9.9 3
2015-09-06 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-137.8 716 659 26.80% 21.64% 51.55%-0.42 -9.9 1
2015-09-09 Llapi W 2-141.8 751 741 59.17% 21.02% 19.80%+0.72 +7.2 4
2015-09-09 @ FC Prishtina L 1-241.8 741 751 19.80% 21.02% 59.17%-0.72 -7.2 3
2015-09-11 Gjilani W 2-031.5 747 733 59.59% 20.98% 19.43%+0.74 +14.1 3
2015-09-11 @ Hajvalia L 0-231.5 733 747 19.43% 20.98% 59.59%-0.74 -14.1 9
2015-09-12 Drenica W 2-139.5 843 750 66.75% 19.87% 13.38%+1.09 +5.0 12
2015-09-12 @ Feronikeli L 1-239.5 750 843 13.38% 19.87% 66.75%-1.09 -5.0 4
2015-09-12 Liria L 1-255.8 706 595 68.10% 19.58% 12.32%+1.17 -20.7 1
2015-09-12 @ Istogu W 2-155.8 595 706 12.32% 19.58% 68.10%-1.17 +20.7 4
2015-09-13 Drita Gjilan D 3-365.5 734 669 64.39% 20.30% 15.31%+0.96 -2.4 4
2015-09-13 @ Llapi D 3-365.5 669 734 15.31% 20.30% 64.39%-0.96 +2.4 4
2015-09-13 FC Prishtina W 3-028.9 793 758 61.61% 20.72% 17.67%+0.83 +18.8 7
2015-09-13 @ Besa L 0-328.9 758 793 17.67% 20.72% 61.61%-0.83 -18.8 4
2015-09-13 Trepca'89 D 0-050.5 748 820 49.81% 21.73% 28.46%+0.35 -1.7 5
2015-09-13 @ Vushtrria D 0-050.5 820 748 28.46% 21.73% 49.81%-0.35 +1.7 10
2015-09-15 Feronikeli W 1-040.7 719 848 42.02% 21.95% 36.02%+0.09 +12.6 12
2015-09-15 @ Gjilani L 0-140.7 848 719 36.02% 21.95% 42.02%-0.09 -12.6 12
2015-09-16 Hajvalia W 2-030.2 821 761 63.95% 20.38% 15.67%+0.94 +11.6 13
2015-09-16 @ Trepca'89 L 0-230.2 761 821 15.67% 20.38% 63.95%-0.94 -11.6 3
2015-09-16 Istogu D 1-156.3 745 686 63.86% 20.39% 15.75%+0.94 -3.8 5
2015-09-16 @ Drenica D 1-156.3 686 745 15.75% 20.39% 63.86%-0.94 +3.8 2
2015-09-16 Llapi W 5-240.9 616 731 44.04% 21.92% 34.04%+0.16 +24.1 7
2015-09-16 @ Liria L 2-540.9 731 616 34.04% 21.92% 44.04%-0.16 -24.1 4
2015-09-16 Vushtrria W 1-036.0 739 746 57.40% 21.21% 21.39%+0.64 +8.1 7
2015-09-16 @ FC Prishtina L 0-136.0 746 739 21.39% 21.21% 57.40%-0.64 -8.2 5
2015-09-17 Besa W 1-041.1 671 812 40.45% 21.96% 37.59%+0.04 +13.0 7
2015-09-17 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-141.1 812 671 37.59% 21.96% 40.45%-0.04 -13.0 7
2015-09-19 Gjilani W 1-037.2 689 731 53.45% 21.53% 25.02%+0.49 +9.3 5
2015-09-19 @ Istogu L 0-137.2 731 689 25.02% 21.53% 53.45%-0.49 -9.3 12
2015-09-20 Drenica W 2-143.2 707 741 54.39% 21.46% 24.15%+0.52 +8.5 7
2015-09-20 @ Llapi L 1-243.2 741 707 24.15% 21.46% 54.39%-0.52 -8.6 5
2015-09-20 Drita Gjilan W 2-030.4 738 684 63.40% 20.46% 16.14%+0.91 +11.9 8
2015-09-20 @ Vushtrria L 0-230.4 684 738 16.14% 20.46% 63.40%-0.91 -11.9 7
2015-09-20 FC Prishtina W 2-029.6 833 748 66.08% 20.00% 13.92%+1.05 +10.3 16
2015-09-20 @ Trepca'89 L 0-229.6 748 833 13.92% 20.00% 66.08%-1.05 -10.3 7
2015-09-20 Liria W 3-026.0 799 640 71.48% 18.73% 9.79%+1.38 +10.6 10
2015-09-20 @ Besa L 0-326.0 640 799 9.79% 18.73% 71.48%-1.38 -10.6 7
2015-09-21 Feronikeli W 3-249.8 749 836 47.93% 21.81% 30.26%+0.29 +9.8 6
2015-09-21 @ Hajvalia L 2-349.8 836 749 30.26% 21.81% 47.93%-0.29 -9.8 12
2015-09-25 Llapi D 1-156.1 722 716 58.74% 21.07% 20.19%+0.70 -2.9 13
2015-09-25 @ Gjilani D 1-156.1 716 722 20.19% 21.07% 58.74%-0.70 +2.9 8
2015-09-26 Besa W 3-140.6 733 809 49.14% 21.76% 29.10%+0.33 +17.3 8
2015-09-26 @ Drenica L 1-340.6 809 733 29.10% 21.76% 49.14%-0.33 -17.3 10
2015-09-26 Istogu W 3-134.6 826 699 69.31% 19.30% 11.38%+1.24 +7.4 15
2015-09-26 @ Feronikeli L 1-334.6 699 826 11.38% 19.30% 69.31%-1.24 -7.3 5
2015-09-27 Hajvalia L 1-252.6 737 759 55.73% 21.36% 22.91%+0.58 -17.2 7
2015-09-27 @ FC Prishtina W 2-152.6 759 737 22.91% 21.36% 55.73%-0.58 +17.2 9
2015-09-27 Trepca'89 D 1-155.8 672 843 36.15% 21.95% 41.90%-0.09 +0.4 8
2015-09-27 @ Drita Gjilan D 1-155.8 843 672 41.90% 21.95% 36.15%+0.09 -0.4 17
2015-09-27 Vushtrria D 1-155.8 630 750 43.35% 21.93% 34.72%+0.14 -0.6 8
2015-09-27 @ Liria D 1-155.8 750 630 34.72% 21.93% 43.35%-0.14 +0.6 9
2015-09-30 Drenica W 1-035.8 751 750 58.19% 21.13% 20.68%+0.68 +7.9 12
2015-09-30 @ Vushtrria L 0-135.8 750 751 20.68% 21.13% 58.19%-0.68 -7.9 8
2015-09-30 Drita Gjilan D 1-156.3 720 672 62.82% 20.55% 16.63%+0.89 -3.6 8
2015-09-30 @ FC Prishtina D 1-156.3 672 720 16.63% 20.55% 62.82%-0.89 +3.6 9
2015-09-30 Feronikeli W 1-040.0 719 833 44.14% 21.92% 33.94%+0.16 +12.0 11
2015-09-30 @ Llapi L 0-140.0 833 719 33.94% 21.92% 44.14%-0.16 -12.0 15
2015-09-30 Gjilani D 0-050.9 792 719 65.07% 20.19% 14.75%+1.00 -4.4 11
2015-09-30 @ Besa D 0-050.9 719 792 14.75% 20.19% 65.07%-1.00 +4.4 14
2015-09-30 Istogu W 1-033.4 776 691 66.06% 20.00% 13.93%+1.05 +5.5 12
2015-09-30 @ Hajvalia L 0-133.4 691 776 13.93% 20.00% 66.06%-1.05 -5.5 5
2015-10-01 Liria D 1-157.1 843 629 74.87% 17.65% 7.48%+1.63 -5.4 18
2015-10-01 @ Trepca'89 D 1-157.1 629 843 7.48% 17.65% 74.87%-1.63 +5.4 9
2015-10-03 Hajvalia W 1-039.7 676 782 45.32% 21.89% 32.79%+0.20 +11.7 12
2015-10-03 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-139.7 782 676 32.79% 21.89% 45.32%-0.20 -11.7 12
2015-10-03 Llapi L 0-145.7 686 731 53.08% 21.55% 25.37%+0.47 -17.4 5
2015-10-03 @ Istogu W 1-045.7 731 686 25.37% 21.55% 53.08%-0.47 +17.4 14
2015-10-04 FC Prishtina D 1-155.9 634 717 48.47% 21.79% 29.74%+0.31 -1.4 10
2015-10-04 @ Liria D 1-155.9 717 634 29.74% 21.79% 48.47%-0.31 +1.4 9
2015-10-04 Trepca'89 D 1-155.9 742 837 46.71% 21.85% 31.43%+0.25 -1.1 9
2015-10-04 @ Drenica D 1-155.9 837 742 31.43% 21.85% 46.71%-0.25 +1.1 19
2015-10-04 Vushtrria W 2-033.1 723 758 54.23% 21.47% 24.30%+0.52 +17.2 17
2015-10-04 @ Gjilani L 0-233.1 758 723 24.30% 21.47% 54.23%-0.52 -17.2 12
2015-10-05 Besa W 2-141.1 821 788 61.49% 20.74% 17.77%+0.82 +6.5 18
2015-10-05 @ Feronikeli L 1-241.1 788 821 17.77% 20.74% 61.49%-0.82 -6.5 11
2015-10-17 Feronikeli L 1-346.3 741 828 47.90% 21.81% 30.29%+0.29 -25.9 12
2015-10-17 @ Vushtrria W 3-146.3 828 741 30.29% 21.81% 47.90%-0.29 +26.0 21
2015-10-17 Llapi W 1-035.2 770 748 60.37% 20.88% 18.75%+0.77 +7.2 15
2015-10-17 @ Hajvalia L 0-135.2 748 770 18.75% 20.88% 60.37%-0.77 -7.2 14
2015-10-18 Drenica D 1-156.0 718 741 55.62% 21.36% 23.01%+0.57 -2.4 10
2015-10-18 @ FC Prishtina D 1-156.0 741 718 23.01% 21.36% 55.62%-0.57 +2.4 10
2015-10-18 Gjilani L 0-149.3 839 740 67.10% 19.80% 13.10%+1.11 -21.7 19
2015-10-18 @ Trepca'89 W 1-049.3 740 839 13.10% 19.80% 67.10%-1.11 +21.7 20
2015-10-18 Istogu W 1-032.8 781 668 68.24% 19.55% 12.21%+1.18 +4.8 14
2015-10-18 @ Besa L 0-132.8 668 781 12.21% 19.55% 68.24%-1.18 -4.8 5
2015-10-18 Liria D 1-156.3 688 633 63.44% 20.46% 16.10%+0.92 -3.7 13
2015-10-18 @ Drita Gjilan D 1-156.3 633 688 16.10% 20.46% 63.44%-0.92 +3.7 11
2015-10-24 Drita Gjilan W 1-034.1 743 684 63.86% 20.39% 15.75%+0.94 +6.2 13
2015-10-24 @ Drenica L 0-134.1 684 743 15.75% 20.39% 63.86%-0.94 -6.2 13
2015-10-24 Trepca'89 D 1-156.2 854 817 61.81% 20.70% 17.50%+0.84 -3.4 22
2015-10-24 @ Feronikeli D 1-156.2 817 854 17.50% 20.70% 61.81%-0.84 +3.4 20
2015-10-24 Vushtrria W 4-031.7 664 715 52.27% 21.60% 26.13%+0.44 +34.7 8
2015-10-24 @ Istogu L 0-431.7 715 664 26.13% 21.60% 52.27%-0.44 -34.7 12
2015-10-25 Besa W 1-037.3 741 786 53.07% 21.55% 25.38%+0.47 +9.5 17
2015-10-25 @ Llapi L 0-137.3 786 741 25.38% 21.55% 53.07%-0.47 -9.5 14
2015-10-25 FC Prishtina D 0-050.8 762 715 62.72% 20.57% 16.71%+0.88 -4.0 21
2015-10-25 @ Gjilani D 0-050.8 715 762 16.71% 20.57% 62.72%-0.88 +4.0 11
2015-10-25 Hajvalia D 0-050.4 637 777 40.49% 21.96% 37.55%+0.05 -0.2 12
2015-10-25 @ Liria D 0-050.4 777 637 37.55% 21.96% 40.49%-0.05 +0.2 16
2015-10-31 Besa W 2-031.9 778 777 58.24% 21.12% 20.64%+0.68 +14.9 19
2015-10-31 @ Hajvalia L 0-231.9 777 778 20.64% 21.12% 58.24%-0.68 -14.9 14
2015-10-31 FC Prishtina W 3-134.5 850 719 69.57% 19.24% 11.19%+1.26 +7.2 25
2015-10-31 @ Feronikeli L 1-334.5 719 850 11.19% 19.24% 69.57%-1.26 -7.2 11
2015-10-31 Liria W 2-028.9 749 637 68.25% 19.55% 12.20%+1.18 +9.1 16
2015-10-31 @ Drenica L 0-228.9 637 749 12.20% 19.55% 68.25%-1.18 -9.1 12
2015-10-31 Trepca'89 L 0-238.9 698 820 43.12% 21.94% 34.95%+0.13 -27.4 8
2015-10-31 @ Istogu W 2-038.9 820 698 34.95% 21.94% 43.12%-0.13 +27.4 23
2015-10-31 Vushtrria W 1-033.8 750 681 64.77% 20.24% 14.99%+0.98 +5.9 20
2015-10-31 @ Llapi L 0-133.8 681 750 14.99% 20.24% 64.77%-0.98 -5.9 12
2015-11-01 Drita Gjilan L 0-245.1 758 678 65.67% 20.08% 14.26%+1.03 -40.1 21
2015-11-01 @ Gjilani W 2-045.1 678 758 14.26% 20.08% 65.67%-1.03 +40.1 16
2015-11-03 Llapi L 1-255.5 848 756 66.57% 19.90% 13.52%+1.08 -20.3 23
2015-11-03 @ Trepca'89 W 2-155.5 756 848 13.52% 19.90% 66.57%-1.08 +20.3 23
2015-11-04 Besa L 0-144.2 675 762 47.85% 21.81% 30.34%+0.29 -15.9 12
2015-11-04 @ Vushtrria W 1-044.2 762 675 30.34% 21.81% 47.85%-0.29 +15.9 17
2015-11-04 Gjilani W 1-039.1 627 718 47.35% 21.83% 30.81%+0.27 +11.1 15
2015-11-04 @ Liria L 0-139.1 718 627 30.81% 21.83% 47.35%-0.27 -11.1 21
2015-11-04 Hajvalia L 1-348.1 759 793 54.36% 21.46% 24.18%+0.52 -29.0 16
2015-11-04 @ Drenica W 3-148.1 793 759 24.18% 21.46% 54.36%-0.52 +29.0 22
2015-11-04 Istogu W 1-034.6 712 671 62.23% 20.64% 17.13%+0.86 +6.7 14
2015-11-04 @ FC Prishtina L 0-134.6 671 712 17.13% 20.64% 62.23%-0.86 -6.7 8
2015-11-05 Feronikeli D 1-155.8 718 858 40.64% 21.96% 37.40%+0.05 -0.2 17
2015-11-05 @ Drita Gjilan D 1-155.8 858 718 37.40% 21.96% 40.64%-0.05 +0.2 26
2015-11-07 Drenica W 1-036.6 707 730 55.67% 21.36% 22.97%+0.57 +8.7 24
2015-11-07 @ Gjilani L 0-136.6 730 707 22.97% 21.36% 55.67%-0.57 -8.7 16
2015-11-07 Vushtrria D 0-051.4 822 659 71.75% 18.65% 9.59%+1.40 -5.6 23
2015-11-07 @ Hajvalia D 0-051.4 659 822 9.59% 18.65% 71.75%-1.40 +5.6 13
2015-11-08 Drita Gjilan W 2-033.8 664 718 52.05% 21.62% 26.33%+0.43 +18.4 11
2015-11-08 @ Istogu L 0-233.8 718 664 26.33% 21.62% 52.05%-0.43 -18.4 17
2015-11-08 FC Prishtina W 2-030.3 777 719 63.72% 20.41% 15.87%+0.93 +11.7 26
2015-11-08 @ Llapi L 0-230.3 719 777 15.87% 20.41% 63.72%-0.93 -11.7 14
2015-11-08 Trepca'89 W 1-037.5 778 827 52.49% 21.59% 25.92%+0.45 +9.6 20
2015-11-08 @ Besa L 0-137.5 827 778 25.92% 21.59% 52.49%-0.45 -9.6 23
2015-11-09 Liria W 3-024.9 858 639 75.18% 17.54% 7.29%+1.65 +7.8 29
2015-11-09 @ Feronikeli L 0-324.9 639 858 7.29% 17.54% 75.18%-1.65 -7.8 15
2015-11-14 Feronikeli W 1-041.3 721 866 39.91% 21.97% 38.13%+0.03 +13.2 19
2015-11-14 @ Drenica L 0-141.3 866 721 38.13% 21.97% 39.91%-0.03 -13.2 29
2015-11-17 Hajvalia D 0-050.4 716 816 46.06% 21.87% 32.07%+0.23 -1.1 25
2015-11-17 @ Gjilani D 0-050.4 816 716 32.07% 21.87% 46.06%-0.23 +1.1 24
2015-11-18 Besa L 0-144.4 707 787 48.74% 21.78% 29.48%+0.32 -16.1 14
2015-11-18 @ FC Prishtina W 1-044.4 787 707 29.48% 21.78% 48.74%-0.32 +16.1 23
2015-11-18 Istogu W 1-037.6 631 683 52.26% 21.60% 26.14%+0.44 +9.7 18
2015-11-18 @ Liria L 0-137.6 683 631 26.14% 21.60% 52.26%-0.44 -9.7 11
2015-11-18 Llapi D 2-261.8 699 788 47.57% 21.82% 30.60%+0.28 -0.9 18
2015-11-18 @ Drita Gjilan D 2-261.8 788 699 30.60% 21.82% 47.57%-0.28 +0.9 27
2015-11-18 Vushtrria L 0-246.4 818 664 71.13% 18.83% 10.04%+1.36 -43.1 23
2015-11-18 @ Trepca'89 W 2-046.4 664 818 10.04% 18.83% 71.13%-1.36 +43.2 16
2015-11-21 Drenica W 2-144.2 673 734 51.12% 21.67% 27.21%+0.40 +9.5 14
2015-11-21 @ Istogu L 1-244.2 734 673 27.21% 21.67% 51.12%-0.40 -9.5 19
2015-11-21 Gjilani D 1-156.7 852 715 70.07% 19.11% 10.82%+1.29 -4.7 30
2015-11-21 @ Feronikeli D 1-156.7 715 852 10.82% 19.11% 70.07%-1.29 +4.7 26
2015-11-22 Drita Gjilan W 2-029.1 803 698 67.64% 19.68% 12.68%+1.14 +9.4 26
2015-11-22 @ Besa L 0-229.1 698 803 12.68% 19.68% 67.64%-1.14 -9.4 18
2015-11-22 FC Prishtina D 1-156.1 708 691 59.82% 20.95% 19.23%+0.75 -3.1 17
2015-11-22 @ Vushtrria D 1-156.1 691 708 19.23% 20.95% 59.82%-0.75 +3.1 15
2015-11-22 Liria W 1-032.0 789 640 70.82% 18.92% 10.26%+1.34 +4.1 30
2015-11-22 @ Llapi L 0-132.0 640 789 10.26% 18.92% 70.82%-1.34 -4.1 18
2015-11-25 Trepca'89 W 3-028.7 817 775 62.34% 20.62% 17.04%+0.86 +18.2 27
2015-11-25 @ Hajvalia L 0-328.7 775 817 17.04% 20.62% 62.34%-0.86 -18.2 23
2015-11-28 Llapi W 2-144.5 725 793 50.18% 21.72% 28.11%+0.37 +9.7 22
2015-11-28 @ Drenica L 1-244.5 793 725 28.11% 21.72% 50.18%-0.37 -9.7 30
2015-11-28 Vushtrria W 5-133.6 689 705 56.44% 21.29% 22.26%+0.60 +25.2 21
2015-11-28 @ Drita Gjilan L 1-533.6 705 689 22.26% 21.29% 56.44%-0.60 -25.2 17
2015-11-29 Besa W 3-144.7 636 813 35.44% 21.94% 42.61%-0.11 +23.5 21
2015-11-29 @ Liria L 1-344.7 813 636 42.61% 21.94% 35.44%+0.11 -23.5 26
2015-11-29 Istogu W 2-141.0 719 682 61.81% 20.70% 17.49%+0.84 +6.4 29
2015-11-29 @ Gjilani L 1-241.0 682 719 17.49% 20.70% 61.81%-0.84 -6.4 14
2015-11-29 Trepca'89 W 3-248.9 694 756 50.98% 21.68% 27.35%+0.40 +9.0 18
2015-11-29 @ FC Prishtina L 2-348.9 756 694 27.35% 21.68% 50.98%-0.40 -9.0 23
2015-12-02 Hajvalia D 0-050.7 848 835 59.39% 21.00% 19.61%+0.73 -3.4 31
2015-12-02 @ Feronikeli D 0-050.7 835 848 19.61% 21.00% 59.39%-0.73 +3.4 28
2016-02-27 Feronikeli D 0-050.4 676 844 36.55% 21.96% 41.49%-0.08 +0.4 15
2016-02-27 @ Istogu D 0-050.4 844 676 41.49% 21.96% 36.55%+0.08 -0.4 32
2016-02-28 Drenica W 3-136.3 789 734 63.47% 20.45% 16.08%+0.92 +10.3 29
2016-02-28 @ Besa L 1-336.3 734 789 16.08% 20.45% 63.47%-0.92 -10.3 22
2016-02-28 Drita Gjilan W 5-132.1 747 714 61.47% 20.74% 17.79%+0.82 +20.6 26
2016-02-28 @ Trepca'89 L 1-532.1 714 747 17.79% 20.74% 61.47%-0.82 -20.6 21
2016-02-28 FC Prishtina W 1-032.3 839 703 69.91% 19.16% 10.94%+1.28 +4.3 31
2016-02-28 @ Hajvalia L 0-132.3 703 839 10.94% 19.16% 69.91%-1.28 -4.3 18
2016-02-28 Gjilani D 1-156.3 784 726 63.73% 20.41% 15.85%+0.93 -3.7 31
2016-02-28 @ Llapi D 1-156.3 726 784 15.85% 20.41% 63.73%-0.93 +3.7 30
2016-02-28 Liria D 1-156.2 679 660 60.11% 20.91% 18.98%+0.76 -3.2 18
2016-02-28 @ Vushtrria D 1-156.2 660 679 18.98% 20.91% 60.11%-0.76 +3.1 22
2016-03-05 FC Prishtina W 1-036.0 694 699 57.56% 21.19% 21.25%+0.65 +8.1 24
2016-03-05 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-136.0 699 694 21.25% 21.19% 57.56%-0.65 -8.1 18
2016-03-05 Llapi W 1-034.0 844 780 64.28% 20.32% 15.40%+0.96 +6.0 35
2016-03-05 @ Feronikeli L 0-134.0 780 844 15.40% 20.32% 64.28%-0.96 -6.0 31
2016-03-05 Vushtrria W 2-140.7 724 676 62.83% 20.55% 16.62%+0.89 +6.1 25
2016-03-05 @ Drenica L 1-240.7 676 724 16.62% 20.55% 62.83%-0.89 -6.1 18
2016-03-06 Besa W 1-038.3 729 799 50.01% 21.72% 28.27%+0.36 +10.4 33
2016-03-06 @ Gjilani L 0-138.3 799 729 28.27% 21.72% 50.01%-0.36 -10.4 29
2016-03-06 Trepca'89 W 2-035.8 663 768 45.45% 21.89% 32.66%+0.21 +22.0 25
2016-03-06 @ Liria L 0-235.8 768 663 32.66% 21.89% 45.45%-0.21 -22.0 26
2016-03-07 Hajvalia L 1-343.0 676 843 36.77% 21.96% 41.27%-0.07 -20.9 15
2016-03-07 @ Istogu W 3-143.0 843 676 41.27% 21.96% 36.77%+0.07 +20.9 34
2016-03-11 Gjilani L 0-144.8 670 740 50.05% 21.72% 28.23%+0.36 -16.5 18
2016-03-11 @ Vushtrria W 1-044.8 740 670 28.23% 21.72% 50.05%-0.36 +16.5 36
2016-03-12 Drita Gjilan W 2-138.0 864 702 71.73% 18.66% 9.61%+1.40 +3.6 37
2016-03-12 @ Hajvalia L 1-238.0 702 864 9.61% 18.66% 71.73%-1.40 -3.6 24
2016-03-12 Istogu W 5-027.4 774 655 68.66% 19.46% 11.88%+1.20 +20.7 34
2016-03-12 @ Llapi L 0-527.4 655 774 11.88% 19.46% 68.66%-1.20 -20.7 15
2016-03-12 Liria W 2-031.8 691 685 58.71% 21.07% 20.22%+0.70 +14.6 21
2016-03-12 @ FC Prishtina L 0-231.8 685 691 20.22% 21.07% 58.71%-0.70 -14.6 25
2016-03-13 Drenica W 2-031.5 746 730 59.76% 20.96% 19.29%+0.74 +14.0 29
2016-03-13 @ Trepca'89 L 0-231.5 730 746 19.29% 20.96% 59.76%-0.74 -14.0 25
2016-03-13 Feronikeli W 2-144.2 789 850 51.16% 21.67% 27.17%+0.40 +9.5 32
2016-03-13 @ Besa L 1-244.2 850 789 27.17% 21.67% 51.16%-0.40 -9.4 35
2016-03-19 Besa W 1-042.1 635 799 37.17% 21.96% 40.87%-0.06 +13.9 18
2016-03-19 @ Istogu L 0-142.1 799 635 40.87% 21.96% 37.17%+0.06 -13.9 32
2016-03-19 FC Prishtina W 1-035.5 716 705 59.23% 21.02% 19.75%+0.72 +7.6 28
2016-03-19 @ Drenica L 0-135.5 705 716 19.75% 21.02% 59.23%-0.72 -7.6 21
2016-03-19 Vushtrria W 1-031.3 840 654 73.29% 18.19% 8.53%+1.51 +3.4 38
2016-03-19 @ Feronikeli L 0-131.3 654 840 8.53% 18.19% 73.29%-1.51 -3.4 18
2016-03-20 Drita Gjilan W 1-036.7 670 698 55.10% 21.41% 23.50%+0.55 +8.9 28
2016-03-20 @ Liria L 0-136.7 698 670 23.50% 21.41% 55.10%-0.55 -8.8 24
2016-03-20 Hajvalia D 1-155.9 795 868 49.62% 21.74% 28.63%+0.35 -1.5 35
2016-03-20 @ Llapi D 1-155.9 868 795 28.63% 21.74% 49.62%-0.35 +1.5 38
2016-03-21 Trepca'89 L 0-146.9 756 760 57.72% 21.18% 21.11%+0.66 -18.8 36
2016-03-21 @ Gjilani W 1-046.9 760 756 21.11% 21.18% 57.72%-0.66 +18.8 32
2016-03-26 Liria W 3-025.4 869 679 73.46% 18.13% 8.41%+1.52 +9.1 41
2016-03-26 @ Hajvalia L 0-325.4 679 869 8.41% 18.13% 73.46%-1.52 -9.1 28
2016-03-27 Drenica L 0-146.0 689 724 54.31% 21.47% 24.23%+0.52 -17.8 24
2016-03-27 @ Drita Gjilan W 1-046.0 724 689 24.23% 21.47% 54.31%-0.52 +17.8 31
2016-03-27 Feronikeli L 1-347.0 779 844 50.64% 21.69% 27.66%+0.38 -27.2 32
2016-03-27 @ Trepca'89 W 3-147.0 844 779 27.66% 21.69% 50.64%-0.38 +27.2 41
2016-03-27 Gjilani W 1-037.2 698 737 53.70% 21.51% 24.79%+0.50 +9.3 24
2016-03-27 @ FC Prishtina L 0-137.2 737 698 24.79% 21.51% 53.70%-0.50 -9.3 36
2016-03-27 Istogu W 1-035.8 650 649 58.29% 21.12% 20.60%+0.68 +7.9 21
2016-03-27 @ Vushtrria L 0-135.8 649 650 20.60% 21.12% 58.29%-0.68 -7.9 18
2016-03-27 Llapi D 0-050.6 785 793 57.23% 21.22% 21.55%+0.64 -3.0 33
2016-03-27 @ Besa D 0-050.6 793 785 21.55% 21.22% 57.23%-0.64 +3.0 36
2016-04-01 Drita Gjilan D 1-156.6 796 671 69.12% 19.35% 11.53%+1.23 -4.6 37
2016-04-01 @ Llapi D 1-156.6 671 796 11.53% 19.35% 69.12%-1.23 +4.6 25
2016-04-02 Liria W 2-027.2 871 670 74.12% 17.91% 7.97%+1.57 +5.9 44
2016-04-02 @ Feronikeli L 0-227.2 670 871 7.97% 17.91% 74.12%-1.57 -5.9 28
2016-04-03 Drenica W 1-032.3 878 741 69.99% 19.13% 10.88%+1.28 +4.3 44
2016-04-03 @ Hajvalia L 0-132.3 741 878 10.88% 19.13% 69.99%-1.28 -4.3 31
2016-04-03 FC Prishtina L 0-147.6 728 707 60.29% 20.89% 18.82%+0.77 -19.6 36
2016-04-03 @ Gjilani W 1-047.6 707 728 18.82% 20.89% 60.29%-0.77 +19.6 27
2016-04-03 Istogu W 1-032.8 752 641 68.10% 19.58% 12.32%+1.17 +4.9 35
2016-04-03 @ Trepca'89 L 0-132.8 641 752 12.32% 19.58% 68.10%-1.17 -4.9 18
2016-04-03 Vushtrria W 2-028.7 782 658 69.04% 19.37% 11.59%+1.22 +8.6 36
2016-04-03 @ Besa L 0-228.7 658 782 11.59% 19.37% 69.04%-1.22 -8.7 21
2016-04-06 Besa W 1-041.7 636 790 38.52% 21.97% 39.52%-0.02 +13.6 21
2016-04-06 @ Istogu L 0-141.7 790 636 39.52% 21.97% 38.52%+0.02 -13.6 36
2016-04-06 Drenica W 2-031.4 756 737 60.10% 20.92% 18.99%+0.76 +13.8 38
2016-04-06 @ Trepca'89 L 0-231.4 737 756 18.99% 20.92% 60.10%-0.76 -13.8 31
2016-04-06 Feronikeli L 0-235.6 676 877 32.14% 21.87% 45.99%-0.22 -21.7 25
2016-04-06 @ Drita Gjilan W 2-035.6 877 676 45.99% 21.87% 32.14%+0.22 +21.7 47
2016-04-06 Hajvalia W 3-038.4 664 883 29.95% 21.80% 48.25%-0.30 +43.8 31
2016-04-06 @ Liria L 0-338.4 883 664 48.25% 21.80% 29.95%+0.30 -43.8 44
2016-04-06 Llapi W 3-140.1 727 791 50.66% 21.69% 27.64%+0.38 +16.6 30
2016-04-06 @ FC Prishtina L 1-340.1 791 727 27.64% 21.69% 50.66%-0.38 -16.6 37
2016-04-07 Gjilani W 2-034.0 649 709 51.36% 21.66% 26.99%+0.41 +18.8 24
2016-04-07 @ Vushtrria L 0-234.0 709 649 26.99% 21.66% 51.36%-0.41 -18.8 36
2016-04-09 Drita Gjilan D 0-051.5 839 654 73.13% 18.24% 8.63%+1.50 -5.8 45
2016-04-09 @ Hajvalia D 0-051.5 654 839 8.63% 18.24% 73.13%-1.50 +5.8 26
2016-04-09 FC Prishtina W 1-031.9 899 743 71.27% 18.79% 9.93%+1.37 +3.9 50
2016-04-09 @ Feronikeli L 0-131.9 743 899 9.93% 18.79% 71.27%-1.37 -3.9 30
2016-04-09 Liria W 2-031.5 723 708 59.69% 20.96% 19.35%+0.74 +14.1 34
2016-04-09 @ Drenica L 0-231.5 708 723 19.35% 20.96% 59.69%-0.74 -14.1 31
2016-04-10 Istogu W 1-034.6 690 649 62.14% 20.65% 17.21%+0.85 +6.7 39
2016-04-10 @ Gjilani L 0-134.6 649 690 17.21% 20.65% 62.14%-0.85 -6.7 21
2016-04-10 Trepca'89 D 0-050.7 777 770 58.79% 21.06% 20.15%+0.70 -3.3 37
2016-04-10 @ Besa D 0-050.7 770 777 20.15% 21.06% 58.79%-0.70 +3.3 39
2016-04-10 Vushtrria W 3-027.1 775 668 67.77% 19.66% 12.57%+1.15 +13.6 40
2016-04-10 @ Llapi L 0-327.1 668 775 12.57% 19.66% 67.77%-1.15 -13.6 24
2016-04-15 Gjilani W 3-135.7 774 697 65.39% 20.13% 14.48%+1.02 +9.3 42
2016-04-15 @ Trepca'89 L 1-335.7 697 774 14.48% 20.13% 65.39%-1.02 -9.3 39
2016-04-16 Llapi W 2-037.5 643 788 39.77% 21.97% 38.27%+0.02 +24.9 24
2016-04-16 @ Istogu L 0-237.5 788 643 38.27% 21.97% 39.77%-0.02 -24.9 40
2016-04-17 Drenica W 3-028.9 773 737 61.73% 20.71% 17.57%+0.83 +18.7 40
2016-04-17 @ Besa L 0-328.9 737 773 17.57% 20.71% 61.73%-0.83 -18.7 34
2016-04-17 Feronikeli L 0-137.7 655 903 26.38% 21.62% 52.00%-0.43 -9.8 24
2016-04-17 @ Vushtrria W 1-037.7 903 655 52.00% 21.62% 26.38%+0.43 +9.8 53
2016-04-17 Hajvalia D 0-050.4 739 833 46.96% 21.85% 31.19%+0.26 -1.3 31
2016-04-17 @ FC Prishtina D 0-050.4 833 739 31.19% 21.85% 46.96%-0.26 +1.3 46
2016-04-17 Liria W 1-037.0 660 694 54.37% 21.46% 24.17%+0.52 +9.1 29
2016-04-17 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-137.0 694 660 24.17% 21.46% 54.37%-0.52 -9.1 31
2016-04-22 Trepca'89 D 1-156.0 764 783 56.02% 21.33% 22.65%+0.59 -2.5 41
2016-04-22 @ Llapi D 1-156.0 783 764 22.65% 21.33% 56.02%-0.59 +2.5 43
2016-04-23 Drita Gjilan L 0-442.4 719 669 62.98% 20.53% 16.49%+0.89 -73.1 34
2016-04-23 @ Drenica W 4-042.4 669 719 16.49% 20.53% 62.98%-0.89 +73.1 32
2016-04-23 Istogu W 3-024.4 912 668 76.57% 17.00% 6.43%+1.77 +6.8 56
2016-04-23 @ Feronikeli L 0-324.4 668 912 6.43% 17.00% 76.57%-1.77 -6.8 24
2016-04-24 Besa D 0-050.4 687 792 45.46% 21.89% 32.65%+0.21 -1.0 40
2016-04-24 @ Gjilani D 0-050.4 792 687 32.65% 21.89% 45.46%-0.21 +1.0 41
2016-04-24 FC Prishtina W 1-037.6 685 738 52.11% 21.61% 26.27%+0.44 +9.7 34
2016-04-24 @ Liria L 0-137.6 738 685 26.27% 21.61% 52.11%-0.44 -9.7 31
2016-04-24 Vushtrria W 4-130.1 834 645 73.43% 18.14% 8.43%+1.52 +7.7 49
2016-04-24 @ Hajvalia L 1-430.1 645 834 8.43% 18.14% 73.43%-1.52 -7.7 24
2016-04-30 Hajvalia W 1-042.8 661 842 34.80% 21.93% 43.27%-0.13 +14.6 27
2016-04-30 @ Istogu L 0-142.8 842 661 43.27% 21.93% 34.80%+0.13 -14.6 49
2016-05-01 Drenica W 2-140.9 686 646 62.15% 20.65% 17.20%+0.85 +6.3 43
2016-05-01 @ Gjilani L 1-240.9 646 686 17.20% 20.65% 62.15%-0.85 -6.3 34
2016-05-01 Drita Gjilan W 3-247.2 728 742 56.62% 21.28% 22.10%+0.61 +7.5 34
2016-05-01 @ FC Prishtina L 2-347.2 742 728 22.10% 21.28% 56.62%-0.61 -7.5 32
2016-05-01 Feronikeli W 3-142.9 785 919 41.46% 21.96% 36.58%+0.08 +20.9 46
2016-05-01 @ Trepca'89 L 1-342.9 919 785 36.58% 21.96% 41.46%-0.08 -20.9 56
2016-05-01 Liria D 0-050.5 637 695 51.56% 21.64% 26.80%+0.42 -2.0 25
2016-05-01 @ Vushtrria D 0-050.5 695 637 26.80% 21.64% 51.56%-0.42 +2.0 35
2016-05-01 Llapi W 2-031.0 793 761 61.36% 20.76% 17.89%+0.82 +13.1 44
2016-05-01 @ Besa L 0-231.0 761 793 17.89% 20.76% 61.36%-0.82 -13.1 41
2016-05-04 Besa W 3-135.4 898 806 66.63% 19.89% 13.47%+1.08 +8.7 59
2016-05-04 @ Feronikeli L 1-335.4 806 898 13.47% 19.89% 66.63%-1.08 -8.7 44
2016-05-04 FC Prishtina L 0-143.8 639 736 46.59% 21.86% 31.55%+0.24 -15.5 34
2016-05-04 @ Drenica W 1-043.8 736 639 31.55% 21.86% 46.59%-0.24 +15.5 37
2016-05-04 Istogu L 0-147.6 697 675 60.31% 20.89% 18.80%+0.77 -19.6 35
2016-05-04 @ Liria W 1-047.6 675 697 18.80% 20.89% 60.31%-0.77 +19.6 30
2016-05-04 Trepca'89 W 1-035.2 827 806 60.27% 20.90% 18.84%+0.77 +7.3 52
2016-05-04 @ Hajvalia L 0-135.2 806 827 18.84% 20.90% 60.27%-0.77 -7.3 46
2016-05-04 Vushtrria W 3-135.2 735 635 67.22% 19.77% 13.00%+1.12 +8.4 35
2016-05-04 @ Drita Gjilan L 1-335.2 635 735 13.00% 19.77% 67.22%-1.12 -8.4 25
2016-05-05 Gjilani L 1-350.5 748 693 63.51% 20.45% 16.04%+0.92 -33.6 41
2016-05-05 @ Llapi W 3-150.5 693 748 16.04% 20.45% 63.51%-0.92 +33.6 46
2016-05-07 Drita Gjilan D 0-050.5 695 743 52.70% 21.58% 25.72%+0.46 -2.2 31
2016-05-07 @ Istogu D 0-050.5 743 695 25.72% 21.58% 52.70%-0.46 +2.2 36
2016-05-08 Drenica W 3-135.4 714 624 66.50% 19.92% 13.58%+1.08 +8.8 44
2016-05-08 @ Llapi L 1-335.4 624 714 13.58% 19.92% 66.50%-1.08 -8.8 34
2016-05-08 FC Prishtina L 2-353.6 627 751 42.76% 21.94% 35.30%+0.12 -12.9 25
2016-05-08 @ Vushtrria W 3-253.6 751 627 35.30% 21.94% 42.76%-0.12 +12.9 40
2016-05-08 Feronikeli L 0-140.3 726 907 34.81% 21.93% 43.25%-0.13 -12.3 46
2016-05-08 @ Gjilani W 1-040.3 907 726 43.25% 21.93% 34.81%+0.13 +12.3 62
2016-05-08 Hajvalia W 3-248.0 798 835 54.02% 21.49% 24.49%+0.51 +8.2 47
2016-05-08 @ Besa L 2-348.0 835 798 24.49% 21.49% 54.02%-0.51 -8.2 52
2016-05-08 Liria W 6-028.1 799 677 68.91% 19.40% 11.69%+1.22 +24.2 49
2016-05-08 @ Trepca'89 L 0-628.1 677 799 11.69% 19.40% 68.91%-1.22 -24.2 35
2016-05-11 Besa W 2-147.9 653 806 38.75% 21.97% 39.28%-0.01 +12.7 38
2016-05-11 @ Liria L 1-247.9 806 653 39.28% 21.97% 38.75%+0.01 -12.7 47
2016-05-11 Gjilani W 3-134.9 826 714 68.22% 19.56% 12.23%+1.18 +7.9 55
2016-05-11 @ Hajvalia L 1-334.9 714 826 12.23% 19.56% 68.22%-1.18 -7.9 46
2016-05-11 Istogu W 1-033.8 764 693 64.92% 20.21% 14.87%+0.99 +5.8 43
2016-05-11 @ FC Prishtina L 0-133.8 693 764 14.87% 20.21% 64.92%-0.99 -5.8 31
2016-05-11 Llapi W 2-137.4 919 723 73.85% 18.00% 8.15%+1.55 +3.0 65
2016-05-11 @ Feronikeli L 1-237.4 723 919 8.15% 18.00% 73.85%-1.55 -3.0 44
2016-05-11 Trepca'89 L 0-438.6 745 823 49.02% 21.77% 29.21%+0.33 -58.0 36
2016-05-11 @ Drita Gjilan W 4-038.6 823 745 29.21% 21.77% 49.02%-0.33 +58.0 52
2016-05-11 Vushtrria W 6-234.2 615 614 58.25% 21.12% 20.63%+0.68 +20.0 37
2016-05-11 @ Drenica L 2-634.2 614 615 20.63% 21.12% 58.25%-0.68 -20.0 25
2016-05-14 Drenica W 3-131.7 922 635 78.70% 16.09% 5.21%+1.96 +3.3 68
2016-05-14 @ Feronikeli L 1-331.7 635 922 5.21% 16.09% 78.70%-1.96 -3.3 37
2016-05-14 Drita Gjilan W 1-033.0 793 687 67.70% 19.67% 12.63%+1.15 +5.0 50
2016-05-14 @ Besa L 0-133.0 687 793 12.63% 19.67% 67.70%-1.15 -5.0 36
2016-05-14 FC Prishtina W 1-032.8 881 770 68.12% 19.58% 12.30%+1.17 +4.9 55
2016-05-14 @ Trepca'89 L 0-132.8 770 881 12.30% 19.58% 68.12%-1.17 -4.9 43
2016-05-14 Hajvalia L 1-345.2 720 834 44.19% 21.92% 33.89%+0.16 -24.2 44
2016-05-14 @ Llapi W 3-145.2 834 720 33.89% 21.92% 44.19%-0.16 +24.2 58
2016-05-14 Liria L 0-148.1 706 666 62.13% 20.65% 17.22%+0.85 -20.1 46
2016-05-14 @ Gjilani W 1-048.1 666 706 17.22% 20.65% 62.13%-0.85 +20.1 41
2016-05-14 Vushtrria W 3-135.3 687 594 66.71% 19.88% 13.42%+1.09 +8.6 34
2016-05-14 @ Istogu L 1-335.3 594 687 13.42% 19.88% 66.71%-1.09 -8.6 25
2016-05-22 Besa L 1-252.3 765 798 54.50% 21.45% 24.05%+0.53 -16.8 43
2016-05-22 @ FC Prishtina W 2-152.3 798 765 24.05% 21.45% 54.50%-0.53 +16.8 53
2016-05-22 Feronikeli D 2-261.9 858 926 50.37% 21.71% 27.92%+0.37 -1.2 59
2016-05-22 @ Hajvalia D 2-261.9 926 858 27.92% 21.71% 50.37%-0.37 +1.2 69
2016-05-22 Gjilani L 0-146.9 682 686 57.75% 21.17% 21.08%+0.66 -18.8 36
2016-05-22 @ Drita Gjilan W 1-046.9 686 682 21.08% 21.17% 57.75%-0.66 +18.8 49
2016-05-22 Istogu W 2-144.3 632 696 50.79% 21.69% 27.52%+0.39 +9.6 40
2016-05-22 @ Drenica L 1-244.3 696 632 27.52% 21.69% 50.79%-0.39 -9.5 34
2016-05-22 Llapi W 3-247.1 686 696 57.06% 21.24% 21.70%+0.63 +7.4 44
2016-05-22 @ Liria L 2-347.1 696 686 21.70% 21.24% 57.06%-0.63 -7.4 44
2016-05-22 Trepca'89 D 2-262.0 585 886 20.85% 21.15% 58.01%-0.67 +2.1 26
2016-05-22 @ Vushtrria D 2-262.0 886 585 58.01% 21.15% 20.85%+0.67 -2.1 56

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2015-11-18 10.04% Vushtrria 664 2 @ Trepca'89 818 0
2 2015-09-12 12.32% Liria 595 2 @ Istogu 706 1
3 2015-10-18 13.10% Gjilani 740 1 @ Trepca'89 839 0
4 2015-11-03 13.52% Llapi 756 2 @ Trepca'89 848 1
5 2015-11-01 14.26% Drita Gjilan 678 2 @ Gjilani 758 0
6 2015-08-23 14.75% Gjilani 647 3 @ Drita Gjilan 720 0
7 2015-09-04 16.00% Gjilani 713 2 @ Drenica 769 1
8 2016-05-05 16.04% Gjilani 693 3 @ Llapi 748 1
9 2016-04-23 16.49% Drita Gjilan 669 4 @ Drenica 719 0
10 2016-05-14 17.22% Liria 666 1 @ Gjilani 706 0
11 2015-08-29 18.64% Drenica 751 2 @ Hajvalia 774 1
12 2016-05-04 18.80% Istogu 675 1 @ Liria 697 0
13 2016-04-03 18.82% FC Prishtina 707 1 @ Gjilani 728 0
14 2015-08-23 19.24% Llapi 738 1 @ Vushtrria 755 0
15 2016-05-22 21.08% Gjilani 686 1 @ Drita Gjilan 682 0
16 2016-03-21 21.11% Trepca'89 760 1 @ Gjilani 756 0
17 2015-09-27 22.91% Hajvalia 759 2 @ FC Prishtina 737 1
18 2016-05-22 24.05% Besa 798 2 @ FC Prishtina 765 1
19 2015-11-04 24.18% Hajvalia 793 3 @ Drenica 759 1
20 2016-03-27 24.23% Drenica 724 1 @ Drita Gjilan 689 0
21 2015-08-29 24.63% Trepca'89 796 2 @ Llapi 758 1
22 2015-10-03 25.37% Llapi 731 1 @ Istogu 686 0
23 2015-08-22 25.62% Feronikeli 813 1 @ FC Prishtina 766 0
24 2016-03-27 27.66% Feronikeli 844 3 @ Trepca'89 779 1
25 2016-03-11 28.23% Gjilani 740 1 @ Vushtrria 670 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-04-23 73.06 Drita Gjilan 4 669 16.49% @ Drenica 0 719 62.98% 20.53%
2 2016-05-11 58.02 Trepca'89 4 823 29.21% @ Drita Gjilan 0 745 49.02% 21.77%
3 2015-08-23 57.68 Gjilani 3 647 14.75% @ Drita Gjilan 0 720 65.06% 20.19%
4 2016-04-06 43.81 @ Liria 3 664 29.95% Hajvalia 0 883 48.25% 21.80%
5 2015-11-18 43.16 Vushtrria 2 664 10.04% @ Trepca'89 0 818 71.13% 18.83%
6 2015-11-01 40.07 Drita Gjilan 2 678 14.26% @ Gjilani 0 758 65.67% 20.08%
7 2015-10-24 34.69 @ Istogu 4 664 52.27% Vushtrria 0 715 26.13% 21.60%
8 2016-05-05 33.61 Gjilani 3 693 16.04% @ Llapi 1 748 63.51% 20.45%
9 2015-11-04 29.04 Hajvalia 3 793 24.18% @ Drenica 1 759 54.36% 21.46%
10 2015-10-31 27.43 Trepca'89 2 820 34.95% @ Istogu 0 698 43.12% 21.94%
11 2016-03-27 27.25 Feronikeli 3 844 27.66% @ Trepca'89 1 779 50.64% 21.69%
12 2015-10-17 25.96 Feronikeli 3 828 30.29% @ Vushtrria 1 741 47.90% 21.81%
13 2015-08-23 25.48 @ Trepca'89 4 770 60.77% Istogu 0 744 18.40% 20.83%
14 2015-11-28 25.18 @ Drita Gjilan 5 689 56.44% Vushtrria 1 705 22.26% 21.29%
15 2016-04-16 24.94 @ Istogu 2 643 39.77% Llapi 0 788 38.27% 21.97%
16 2016-05-14 24.24 Hajvalia 3 834 33.89% @ Llapi 1 720 44.19% 21.92%
17 2016-05-08 24.22 @ Trepca'89 6 799 68.91% Liria 0 677 11.69% 19.40%
18 2015-09-16 24.11 @ Liria 5 616 44.04% Llapi 2 731 34.04% 21.92%
19 2015-11-29 23.53 @ Liria 3 636 35.44% Besa 1 813 42.61% 21.94%
20 2016-03-06 21.99 @ Liria 2 663 45.45% Trepca'89 0 768 32.66% 21.89%
21 2016-04-06 21.71 Feronikeli 2 877 45.99% @ Drita Gjilan 0 676 32.14% 21.87%
22 2015-10-18 21.69 Gjilani 1 740 13.10% @ Trepca'89 0 839 67.10% 19.80%
23 2016-03-07 20.94 Hajvalia 3 843 41.27% @ Istogu 1 676 36.77% 21.96%
24 2016-05-01 20.85 @ Trepca'89 3 785 41.46% Feronikeli 1 919 36.58% 21.96%
25 2015-09-12 20.73 Liria 2 595 12.32% @ Istogu 1 706 68.10% 19.58%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2015-09-13 65.5 @ Llapi 3 734 64.39% Drita Gjilan 3 669 15.31% 20.30%
2 2016-05-22 62.0 @ Vushtrria 2 585 20.85% Trepca'89 2 886 58.01% 21.15%
3 2016-05-22 61.9 @ Hajvalia 2 858 50.37% Feronikeli 2 926 27.92% 21.71%
4 2015-11-18 61.8 @ Drita Gjilan 2 699 47.57% Llapi 2 788 30.60% 21.82%
5 2015-10-01 57.1 @ Trepca'89 1 843 74.87% Liria 1 629 7.48% 17.65%
6 2015-11-21 56.7 @ Feronikeli 1 852 70.07% Gjilani 1 715 10.82% 19.11%
7 2016-04-01 56.6 @ Llapi 1 796 69.12% Drita Gjilan 1 671 11.53% 19.35%
8 2015-09-16 56.3 @ Drenica 1 745 63.86% Istogu 1 686 15.75% 20.39%
9 2015-09-30 56.3 @ FC Prishtina 1 720 62.82% Drita Gjilan 1 672 16.63% 20.55%
10 2015-10-18 56.3 @ Drita Gjilan 1 688 63.44% Liria 1 633 16.10% 20.46%
11 2016-02-28 56.3 @ Llapi 1 784 63.73% Gjilani 1 726 15.85% 20.41%
12 2015-10-24 56.2 @ Feronikeli 1 854 61.81% Trepca'89 1 817 17.50% 20.70%
13 2016-02-28 56.2 @ Vushtrria 1 679 60.11% Liria 1 660 18.98% 20.91%
14 2015-09-25 56.1 @ Gjilani 1 722 58.74% Llapi 1 716 20.19% 21.07%
15 2015-11-22 56.1 @ Vushtrria 1 708 59.82% FC Prishtina 1 691 19.23% 20.95%
16 2015-10-18 56.0 @ FC Prishtina 1 718 55.62% Drenica 1 741 23.01% 21.36%
17 2016-04-22 56.0 @ Llapi 1 764 56.02% Trepca'89 1 783 22.65% 21.33%
18 2015-10-04 55.9 @ Liria 1 634 48.47% FC Prishtina 1 717 29.74% 21.79%
19 2015-10-04 55.9 @ Drenica 1 742 46.71% Trepca'89 1 837 31.43% 21.85%
20 2016-03-20 55.9 @ Llapi 1 795 49.62% Hajvalia 1 868 28.63% 21.74%
21 2015-08-23 55.8 @ Liria 1 614 41.06% Drenica 1 750 36.98% 21.96%
22 2015-09-12 55.8 Liria 2 595 12.32% @ Istogu 1 706 68.10% 19.58%
23 2015-09-27 55.8 @ Drita Gjilan 1 672 36.15% Trepca'89 1 843 41.90% 21.95%
24 2015-09-27 55.8 @ Liria 1 630 43.35% Vushtrria 1 750 34.72% 21.93%
25 2015-11-05 55.8 @ Drita Gjilan 1 718 40.64% Feronikeli 1 858 37.40% 21.96%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-04-23 24.4 @ Feronikeli 3 912 76.57% Istogu 0 668 6.43% 17.00%
2 2015-11-09 24.9 @ Feronikeli 3 858 75.18% Liria 0 639 7.29% 17.54%
3 2016-03-26 25.4 @ Hajvalia 3 869 73.46% Liria 0 679 8.41% 18.13%
4 2015-09-20 26.0 @ Besa 3 799 71.48% Liria 0 640 9.79% 18.73%
5 2016-04-10 27.1 @ Llapi 3 775 67.77% Vushtrria 0 668 12.57% 19.66%
6 2016-04-02 27.2 @ Feronikeli 2 871 74.12% Liria 0 670 7.97% 17.91%
7 2016-03-12 27.4 @ Llapi 5 774 68.66% Istogu 0 655 11.88% 19.46%
8 2016-05-08 28.1 @ Trepca'89 6 799 68.91% Liria 0 677 11.69% 19.40%
9 2015-11-25 28.7 @ Hajvalia 3 817 62.34% Trepca'89 0 775 17.04% 20.62%
10 2016-04-03 28.7 @ Besa 2 782 69.04% Vushtrria 0 658 11.59% 19.37%
11 2015-09-13 28.9 @ Besa 3 793 61.61% FC Prishtina 0 758 17.67% 20.72%
12 2015-10-31 28.9 @ Drenica 2 749 68.25% Liria 0 637 12.20% 19.55%
13 2016-04-17 28.9 @ Besa 3 773 61.73% Drenica 0 737 17.57% 20.71%
14 2015-08-23 29.1 @ Trepca'89 4 770 60.77% Istogu 0 744 18.40% 20.83%
15 2015-11-22 29.1 @ Besa 2 803 67.64% Drita Gjilan 0 698 12.68% 19.68%
16 2015-09-20 29.6 @ Trepca'89 2 833 66.08% FC Prishtina 0 748 13.92% 20.00%
17 2016-04-24 30.1 @ Hajvalia 4 834 73.43% Vushtrria 1 645 8.43% 18.14%
18 2015-09-16 30.2 @ Trepca'89 2 821 63.95% Hajvalia 0 761 15.67% 20.38%
19 2015-11-08 30.3 @ Llapi 2 777 63.72% FC Prishtina 0 719 15.87% 20.41%
20 2015-09-20 30.4 @ Vushtrria 2 738 63.40% Drita Gjilan 0 684 16.14% 20.46%
21 2016-05-01 31.0 @ Besa 2 793 61.36% Llapi 0 761 17.89% 20.76%
22 2016-03-19 31.3 @ Feronikeli 1 840 73.29% Vushtrria 0 654 8.53% 18.19%
23 2016-04-06 31.4 @ Trepca'89 2 756 60.10% Drenica 0 737 18.99% 20.92%
24 2015-09-11 31.5 @ Hajvalia 2 747 59.59% Gjilani 0 733 19.43% 20.98%
25 2016-03-13 31.5 @ Trepca'89 2 746 59.76% Drenica 0 730 19.29% 20.96%