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2017-18 Football Superleague of Kosovo Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Drita Gjilan

67 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Drita Gjilan

14.80 points above expected

67 points · 52.20 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Vllaznia

12.56 points below expected

14 points · 26.56 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Drita Gjilan 33 18 13 2 67 53 21 +32 52.20 +14.80
2 FC Prishtina 33 18 10 5 64 39 18 +21 57.85 +6.15
3 Llapi 33 16 6 11 54 51 41 +10 52.15 +1.85
4 Trepca'89 33 14 11 8 53 41 25 +16 52.17 +0.83
5 Feronikeli 33 10 18 5 48 32 18 +14 56.04 -8.04
6 Drenica 33 13 9 11 48 34 27 +7 45.75 +2.25
7 Liria 33 13 9 11 48 34 30 +4 45.47 +2.53
8 Gjilani 33 10 16 7 46 29 21 +8 47.91 -1.91
9 Vellaznimi 33 10 14 9 44 29 28 +1 41.57 +2.43
10 Flamurtari 33 6 7 20 25 28 53 -25 30.44 -5.44
11 Besa 33 6 4 23 22 28 64 -36 28.02 -6.02
12 Vllaznia 33 3 5 25 14 16 68 -52 26.56 -12.56

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Drita Gjilan 67 52.20 +14.80
2 FC Prishtina 64 57.85 +6.15
3 Liria 48 45.47 +2.53
4 Vellaznimi 44 41.57 +2.43
5 Drenica 48 45.75 +2.25

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vllaznia 14 26.56 -12.56
2 Feronikeli 48 56.04 -8.04
3 Besa 22 28.02 -6.02
4 Flamurtari 25 30.44 -5.44
5 Gjilani 46 47.91 -1.91

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Drita Gjilan 7 Mar 14 – Apr 29 1 in 58
2 Liria 2 Oct 14 – Oct 20 1 in 22
3 Trepca'89 2 Sep 22 – Sep 27 1 in 14
4 Feronikeli 3 Oct 26 – Nov 5 1 in 9
5 Vellaznimi 2 May 3 – May 6 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Llapi 4 Feb 18 – Mar 11 1 in 397
2 Vllaznia 7 Apr 15 – May 18 1 in 70
3 Besa 6 Oct 29 – Dec 3 1 in 45
4 FC Prishtina 2 Nov 4 – Nov 17 1 in 31
5 Flamurtari 5 Nov 22 – Feb 24 1 in 27

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Drita Gjilan 29 Sep 17 – May 20 1 in 6,356
2 Gjilani 12 Aug 20 – Oct 26 1 in 92
3 Drenica 9 Oct 29 – Mar 4 1 in 34
4 Flamurtari 4 Apr 22 – May 6 1 in 12
5 Liria 6 Sep 27 – Oct 24 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Feronikeli 9 Mar 18 – May 12 1 in 296
2 Liria 4 Mar 30 – Apr 21 1 in 25
3 Llapi 5 Dec 3 – Mar 11 1 in 25
4 Vllaznia 13 Sep 16 – Nov 26 1 in 12
5 Besa 13 Oct 21 – Mar 14 1 in 8

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Drita Gjilan 951 67 +44 11 9.0 +2.0
FC Prishtina 888 64 +30 11 8.3 +2.7
Llapi 737 54 -4 9 7.6 +1.4
Trepca'89 820 53 +29 10 9.2 +0.8
Drenica 743 48 -7 6 7.7 -1.7
Feronikeli 840 48 +12 6 7.3 -1.3
Liria 711 48 -60 4 6.0 -2.0
Gjilani 749 46 -18 3 5.5 -2.5
Vellaznimi 704 44 +53 9 7.6 +1.4
Flamurtari 555 25 +49 7 5.3 +1.7
Besa 427 22 -17 4 3.8 +0.2
Vllaznia 356 14 -113 0 4.1 -4.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BES DRE DG FP FER FLA GJI LIR LLA TRE VEL VLL
Besa —
0-1-2
2.96
1-0-2
2.70
0-0-3
1.29
0-0-3
1.88
1-0-2
4.13
1-1-1
2.57
1-1-1
2.41
0-0-3
2.28
0-0-3
1.43
0-1-2
2.52
2-0-1
3.64
Drenica
2-1-0
5.23
—
0-1-2
3.39
2-1-0
3.02
0-2-1
3.74
3-0-0
5.61
1-1-1
3.35
1-1-1
4.48
0-0-3
3.21
1-0-2
2.76
1-1-1
3.68
2-1-0
6.44
Drita Gjilan
2-0-1
5.45
2-1-0
4.67
—
1-2-0
3.20
2-1-0
4.26
1-2-0
5.98
0-3-0
4.38
2-0-1
4.93
3-0-0
3.73
1-2-0
4.89
1-2-0
5.03
3-0-0
6.04
FC Prishtina
3-0-0
7.02
0-1-2
5.05
0-2-1
4.87
—
0-3-0
3.74
3-0-0
5.64
2-1-0
5.04
2-0-1
5.05
2-0-1
4.71
2-1-0
4.66
1-2-0
5.77
3-0-0
6.37
Feronikeli
3-0-0
6.36
1-2-0
4.31
0-1-2
3.81
0-3-0
4.33
—
2-1-0
5.86
1-2-0
4.36
0-1-2
5.37
0-3-0
5.21
0-2-1
5.03
1-2-0
5.52
2-1-0
5.96
Flamurtari
2-0-1
3.91
0-0-3
2.51
0-2-1
2.20
0-0-3
2.54
0-1-2
2.31
—
0-1-2
1.89
0-1-2
2.90
1-0-2
1.90
0-2-1
2.03
1-0-2
3.08
2-0-1
5.34
Gjilani
1-1-1
5.52
1-1-1
4.71
0-3-0
3.66
0-1-2
3.03
0-2-1
3.67
2-1-0
6.29
—
1-1-1
3.97
1-1-1
3.40
2-1-0
3.91
0-3-0
4.04
2-1-0
6.52
Liria
1-1-1
5.85
1-1-1
3.57
1-0-2
3.19
1-0-2
3.01
2-1-0
2.71
2-1-0
5.21
1-1-1
4.07
—
2-0-1
4.13
1-0-2
3.73
0-2-1
4.89
1-2-0
5.84
Llapi
3-0-0
5.82
3-0-0
4.85
0-0-3
4.30
1-0-2
3.36
0-3-0
2.87
2-0-1
6.26
1-1-1
4.66
1-0-2
3.92
—
0-2-1
4.53
2-0-1
4.53
3-0-0
5.90
Trepca'89
3-0-0
6.87
2-0-1
5.32
0-2-1
3.18
0-1-2
3.42
1-2-0
3.02
1-2-0
6.13
0-1-2
4.14
2-0-1
4.32
1-2-0
3.53
—
2-1-0
5.49
2-0-1
6.64
Vellaznimi
2-1-0
5.59
1-1-1
4.37
0-2-1
3.05
0-2-1
2.34
0-2-1
2.58
2-0-1
5.00
0-3-0
4.01
1-2-0
3.19
1-0-2
3.53
0-1-2
2.61
—
3-0-0
5.16
Vllaznia
1-0-2
4.44
0-1-2
1.76
0-0-3
2.27
0-0-3
1.81
0-1-2
2.16
1-0-2
2.76
0-1-2
1.71
0-2-1
2.32
0-0-3
2.31
1-0-2
1.68
0-0-3
2.89
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.69 +13.1
Allowed 0.78 -8.0
Differential 0.96 +6.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
017.68%11.11%7.83%3.54%1.01%0.25%41.41%
111.11%9.09%4.80%3.28%1.01%0.51%29.80%
27.83%4.80%3.54%0.51%—0.25%16.92%
33.54%3.28%0.51%0.51%0.51%—8.33%
41.01%1.01%—0.51%——2.53%
5+0.25%0.51%0.25%———1.01%
Total41.41%29.80%16.92%8.33%2.53%1.01%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.05 +0.00
SD 1.17 1.17 1.68
CV 1.12 1.12 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%15.15%15.15%6.06%6.06%3.03%51.52%
13.03%—12.12%6.06%—3.03%24.24%
29.09%—6.06%———15.15%
3—3.03%——3.03%—6.06%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total18.18%21.21%33.33%12.12%9.09%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.94 -1.09
SD 1.09 1.50 1.97
CV 1.29 0.77 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%21.21%—3.03%——36.36%
121.21%12.12%6.06%3.03%——42.42%
29.09%3.03%3.03%———15.15%
3———————
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+——3.03%———3.03%
Total42.42%39.39%12.12%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 0.82 +0.21
SD 1.26 0.88 1.43
CV 1.22 1.08 —
Max 6 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%—6.06%———21.21%
112.12%24.24%————36.36%
29.09%—————9.09%
39.09%18.18%————27.27%
43.03%——3.03%——6.06%
5+———————
Total48.48%42.42%6.06%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 0.64 +0.97
SD 1.27 0.74 1.38
CV 0.79 1.17 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
024.24%9.09%3.03%3.03%——39.39%
115.15%3.03%————18.18%
218.18%9.09%3.03%———30.30%
3—6.06%3.03%———9.09%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total60.61%27.27%9.09%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 0.55 +0.64
SD 1.16 0.79 1.37
CV 0.98 1.46 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
036.36%12.12%————48.48%
19.09%12.12%—3.03%——24.24%
2—9.09%6.06%———15.15%
39.09%—————9.09%
4———————
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total57.58%33.33%6.06%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 0.55 +0.42
SD 1.24 0.75 1.37
CV 1.28 1.38 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%12.12%21.21%6.06%——51.52%
13.03%3.03%6.06%12.12%3.03%—27.27%
2—6.06%6.06%———12.12%
3—3.03%————3.03%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+———————
Total18.18%27.27%33.33%18.18%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.61 -0.76
SD 1.15 1.09 1.68
CV 1.35 0.68 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
030.30%9.09%————39.39%
112.12%18.18%9.09%———39.39%
26.06%9.09%—3.03%——18.18%
3———————
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total51.52%36.36%9.09%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 0.64 +0.24
SD 0.93 0.78 1.06
CV 1.06 1.23 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%15.15%9.09%3.03%——42.42%
115.15%6.06%3.03%———24.24%
29.09%6.06%6.06%———21.21%
36.06%—3.03%—3.03%—12.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total45.45%27.27%21.21%3.03%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 0.91 +0.12
SD 1.07 1.04 1.43
CV 1.04 1.15 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%12.12%3.03%——24.24%
115.15%6.06%3.03%9.09%——33.33%
29.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%——21.21%
36.06%3.03%—3.03%——12.12%
4—3.03%—3.03%——6.06%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total36.36%24.24%18.18%21.21%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.24 +0.30
SD 1.42 1.17 1.88
CV 0.92 0.94 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.21%6.06%9.09%———36.36%
115.15%6.06%6.06%3.03%——30.30%
212.12%—3.03%———15.15%
36.06%6.06%—3.03%——15.15%
4———————
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total54.55%21.21%18.18%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 0.76 +0.48
SD 1.37 0.97 1.62
CV 1.10 1.28 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%15.15%3.03%9.09%——45.45%
19.09%18.18%————27.27%
29.09%6.06%6.06%———21.21%
36.06%—————6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total42.42%39.39%9.09%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 0.85 +0.03
SD 0.96 0.94 1.49
CV 1.09 1.11 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%15.15%15.15%9.09%6.06%—60.61%
13.03%—12.12%3.03%9.09%3.03%30.30%
23.03%3.03%———3.03%9.09%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total21.21%18.18%27.27%12.12%15.15%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.48 2.06 -1.58
SD 0.67 1.68 1.62
CV 1.38 0.81 —
Max 2 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Drita Gjilan 951 67 52.20 +14.80 98.0% 35 41 47 52 57 63 69
FC Prishtina 888 64 57.85 +6.15 80.0% 40 45 53 58 62 70 75
Feronikeli 840 48 56.04 -8.04 17.0% 36 42 51 57 61 68 72
Trepca'89 820 53 52.17 +0.83 60.0% 38 40 47 52 56 63 68
Gjilani 749 46 47.91 -1.91 37.0% 33 37 44 48 52 58 68
Drenica 743 48 45.75 +2.25 64.0% 31 33 40 45 51 56 61
Llapi 737 54 52.15 +1.85 58.0% 33 37 47 52 58 62 69
Liria 711 48 45.47 +2.53 63.0% 28 33 41 45 50 58 61
Vellaznimi 704 44 41.57 +2.43 64.0% 26 28 36 41 47 53 58
Flamurtari 555 25 30.44 -5.44 26.0% 17 21 25 30 36 40 43
Besa 427 22 28.02 -6.02 16.0% 11 18 24 29 32 37 40
Vllaznia 356 14 26.56 -12.56 1.0% 14 17 22 27 30 35 38

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+28.79%
Strong Edge
48.99%30.81%20.20%
Elo Value
Home Edge
220 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0102.93600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.46 goals
Neutral
-2+0.47+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.3
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
11%
Drita Gjilan, 3rd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.46 * Some Luck: 5.46 to 8.2 * Lucky: 8.2 to 10.93 * Wild Swing: 10.93 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.29 * Close: 1.29 to 1.94 * Off: 1.94 to 2.59 * Way Off: 2.59 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.89 points
Some Luck
06.8317
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.624
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Drita Gjilan
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
Vllaznia
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Top-Heavy
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 178.65
2.23
Wide Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
71%
Clear Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
97%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Frequent
0%63%100%
Blowouts
Expected
13%
Rare
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.47
Notable Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.15
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.38
Some Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Chalky
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
11%
Solid Favorites
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.23
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.24
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.083
Well Within Noise
00.1180.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Drita Gjilan11.00%15.00%15.00%12.00%16.00%9.00%10.00%6.00%5.00%1.00%——
FC Prishtina34.00%24.00%14.00%12.00%4.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%————
Llapi10.00%14.00%13.00%12.00%10.00%20.00%11.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%——
Trepca'8910.00%14.00%15.00%16.00%15.00%9.00%10.00%8.00%3.00%———
Feronikeli29.00%17.00%20.00%11.00%5.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%5.00%———
Drenica1.00%3.00%7.00%12.00%9.00%16.00%12.00%22.00%13.00%5.00%——
Liria3.00%5.00%4.00%11.00%10.00%10.00%18.00%18.00%14.00%6.00%1.00%—
Gjilani2.00%6.00%9.00%9.00%23.00%12.00%17.00%13.00%6.00%3.00%——
Vellaznimi—2.00%3.00%5.00%8.00%11.00%12.00%16.00%31.00%8.00%3.00%1.00%
Flamurtari——————1.00%7.00%10.00%35.00%24.00%23.00%
Besa——————1.00%—6.00%27.00%32.00%34.00%
Vllaznia————————5.00%13.00%40.00%42.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Drenica 82.00% 18.00% —
Drita Gjilan 94.00% 6.00% —
FC Prishtina 100% — —
Feronikeli 95.00% 5.00% —
Gjilani 91.00% 9.00% —
Llapi 96.00% 4.00% —
Trepca'89 97.00% 3.00% —
Liria 79.00% 20.00% 1.00%
Vellaznimi 57.00% 39.00% 4.00%
Flamurtari 8.00% 45.00% 47.00%
Besa 1.00% 33.00% 66.00%
Vllaznia — 18.00% 82.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2017-08-18 Flamurtari W 3-138.7 792 714 55.59% 29.81% 14.60%+0.82 +15.2 3
2017-08-18 @ Trepca'89 L 1-338.7 714 792 14.60% 29.81% 55.59%-0.82 -15.2 0
2017-08-19 Drenica W 1-036.3 748 659 56.71% 29.46% 13.84%+0.87 +8.8 3
2017-08-19 @ Llapi L 0-136.3 659 748 13.84% 29.46% 56.71%-0.87 -8.8 0
2017-08-19 Vllaznia W 1-035.9 789 686 57.98% 29.02% 13.00%+0.93 +8.3 3
2017-08-19 @ Feronikeli L 0-135.9 686 789 13.00% 29.02% 57.98%-0.93 -8.3 0
2017-08-20 Besa W 2-143.0 708 646 54.06% 30.25% 15.69%+0.75 +9.4 3
2017-08-20 @ Gjilani L 1-243.0 646 708 15.69% 30.25% 54.06%-0.75 -9.3 0
2017-08-20 Drita Gjilan L 0-150.0 789 646 61.47% 27.66% 10.88%+1.11 -28.6 0
2017-08-20 @ FC Prishtina W 1-050.0 646 789 10.88% 27.66% 61.47%-1.11 +28.6 3
2017-08-20 Liria W 1-040.0 640 664 44.27% 32.11% 23.62%+0.36 +13.9 3
2017-08-20 @ Vellaznimi L 0-140.0 664 640 23.62% 32.11% 44.27%-0.36 -13.9 0
2017-08-25 Llapi L 0-144.2 677 757 36.95% 32.62% 30.43%+0.11 -19.0 0
2017-08-25 @ Vllaznia W 1-044.2 757 677 30.43% 32.62% 36.95%-0.11 +19.0 6
2017-08-26 FC Prishtina L 0-241.5 699 760 39.55% 32.51% 27.94%+0.19 -37.6 0
2017-08-26 @ Flamurtari W 2-041.5 760 699 27.94% 32.51% 39.55%-0.19 +37.6 3
2017-08-26 Trepca'89 W 1-045.3 651 807 26.48% 32.40% 41.12%-0.24 +20.6 3
2017-08-26 @ Liria L 0-145.3 807 651 41.12% 32.40% 26.48%+0.24 -20.6 3
2017-08-26 Vellaznimi W 1-039.3 650 654 46.74% 31.78% 21.48%+0.45 +12.9 3
2017-08-26 @ Drenica L 0-139.3 654 650 21.48% 31.78% 46.74%-0.45 -12.9 3
2017-08-27 Drita Gjilan W 2-037.1 636 675 42.49% 32.29% 25.22%+0.29 +27.4 3
2017-08-27 @ Besa L 0-237.1 675 636 25.22% 32.29% 42.49%-0.29 -27.4 3
2017-08-27 Feronikeli D 1-152.3 718 797 37.01% 32.62% 30.37%+0.11 -0.6 4
2017-08-27 @ Gjilani D 1-152.3 797 718 30.37% 32.62% 37.01%-0.11 +0.6 4
2017-09-08 Besa W 2-141.0 798 664 60.72% 27.97% 11.31%+1.07 +6.9 7
2017-09-08 @ Feronikeli L 1-241.0 664 798 11.31% 27.97% 60.72%-1.07 -6.9 3
2017-09-08 Gjilani D 1-153.0 776 717 53.70% 30.35% 15.95%+0.73 -4.0 7
2017-09-08 @ Llapi D 1-153.0 717 776 15.95% 30.35% 53.70%-0.73 +4.0 5
2017-09-09 Flamurtari D 0-047.1 647 662 45.53% 31.95% 22.52%+0.40 -2.6 4
2017-09-09 @ Drita Gjilan D 0-047.1 662 647 22.52% 31.95% 45.53%-0.40 +2.6 1
2017-09-09 Liria W 1-035.3 798 671 60.09% 28.23% 11.68%+1.04 +7.5 6
2017-09-09 @ FC Prishtina L 0-135.3 671 798 11.68% 28.23% 60.09%-1.04 -7.5 3
2017-09-10 Drenica W 1-035.3 787 663 59.89% 28.31% 11.80%+1.03 +7.6 6
2017-09-10 @ Trepca'89 L 0-135.3 663 787 11.80% 28.31% 59.89%-1.03 -7.6 3
2017-09-10 Vllaznia W 3-034.4 641 658 45.16% 32.00% 22.84%+0.39 +37.0 6
2017-09-10 @ Vellaznimi L 0-334.4 658 641 22.84% 32.00% 45.16%-0.39 -37.0 0
2017-09-12 Llapi D 0-047.4 804 772 50.90% 31.03% 18.07%+0.61 -3.8 8
2017-09-12 @ Feronikeli D 0-047.4 772 804 18.07% 31.03% 50.90%-0.61 +3.8 8
2017-09-13 Drita Gjilan W 2-035.1 664 645 49.39% 31.33% 19.28%+0.55 +22.3 6
2017-09-13 @ Liria L 0-235.1 645 664 19.28% 31.33% 49.39%-0.55 -22.3 4
2017-09-13 FC Prishtina D 1-152.4 655 805 27.32% 32.47% 40.21%-0.21 +1.2 4
2017-09-13 @ Drenica D 1-152.4 805 655 40.21% 32.47% 27.32%+0.21 -1.2 7
2017-09-13 Flamurtari W 2-036.0 657 664 46.38% 31.83% 21.79%+0.43 +24.5 6
2017-09-13 @ Besa L 0-236.0 664 657 21.79% 31.83% 46.38%-0.43 -24.5 1
2017-09-13 Trepca'89 W 2-151.9 621 794 24.55% 32.22% 43.23%-0.32 +20.1 3
2017-09-13 @ Vllaznia L 1-251.9 794 621 43.23% 32.22% 24.55%+0.32 -20.1 6
2017-09-14 Vellaznimi D 1-152.9 721 678 52.04% 30.77% 17.19%+0.66 -3.6 6
2017-09-14 @ Gjilani D 1-152.9 678 721 17.19% 30.77% 52.04%-0.66 +3.6 7
2017-09-16 Besa W 2-032.7 776 682 57.15% 29.31% 13.54%+0.89 +16.3 11
2017-09-16 @ Llapi L 0-232.7 682 776 13.54% 29.31% 57.15%-0.89 -16.3 6
2017-09-16 Liria D 0-047.0 640 686 41.47% 32.38% 26.15%+0.26 -1.7 2
2017-09-16 @ Flamurtari D 0-047.0 686 640 26.15% 32.38% 41.47%-0.26 +1.7 7
2017-09-16 Vllaznia W 2-140.3 804 641 63.15% 26.90% 9.95%+1.20 +6.0 10
2017-09-16 @ FC Prishtina L 1-240.3 641 804 9.95% 26.90% 63.15%-1.20 -6.0 3
2017-09-17 Drenica W 3-035.1 623 656 43.09% 32.23% 24.68%+0.31 +39.2 7
2017-09-17 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-335.1 656 623 24.68% 32.23% 43.09%-0.31 -39.2 4
2017-09-17 Feronikeli D 0-046.9 682 801 31.41% 32.65% 35.94%-0.07 +0.5 8
2017-09-17 @ Vellaznimi D 0-046.9 801 682 35.94% 32.65% 31.41%+0.07 -0.5 9
2017-09-17 Gjilani L 1-254.4 774 717 53.50% 30.40% 16.09%+0.73 -24.0 6
2017-09-17 @ Trepca'89 W 2-154.4 717 774 16.09% 30.40% 53.50%-0.73 +24.0 9
2017-09-22 Trepca'89 L 0-148.3 800 750 52.75% 30.60% 16.65%+0.69 -25.2 9
2017-09-22 @ Feronikeli W 1-048.3 750 800 16.65% 30.60% 52.75%-0.69 +25.2 9
2017-09-23 FC Prishtina D 0-047.0 741 810 38.49% 32.56% 28.94%+0.16 -1.0 10
2017-09-23 @ Gjilani D 0-047.0 810 741 28.94% 32.56% 38.49%-0.16 +1.0 11
2017-09-23 Flamurtari W 4-139.0 617 638 44.71% 32.05% 23.23%+0.37 +31.6 7
2017-09-23 @ Drenica L 1-439.0 638 617 23.23% 32.05% 44.71%-0.37 -31.6 2
2017-09-23 Liria W 2-036.5 665 688 44.52% 32.08% 23.40%+0.37 +25.9 9
2017-09-23 @ Besa L 0-236.5 688 665 23.40% 32.08% 44.52%-0.37 -25.9 7
2017-09-23 Vellaznimi W 2-032.3 792 682 58.61% 28.79% 12.59%+0.97 +15.2 14
2017-09-23 @ Llapi L 0-232.3 682 792 12.59% 28.79% 58.61%-0.97 -15.2 8
2017-09-24 Drita Gjilan L 0-440.6 635 662 44.02% 32.13% 23.85%+0.35 -77.5 3
2017-09-24 @ Vllaznia W 4-040.6 662 635 23.85% 32.13% 44.02%-0.35 +77.5 10
2017-09-27 Besa W 1-040.0 667 691 44.28% 32.10% 23.61%+0.36 +13.9 11
2017-09-27 @ Vellaznimi L 0-140.0 691 667 23.61% 32.10% 44.28%-0.36 -13.8 9
2017-09-27 Drenica W 1-038.7 662 649 48.72% 31.46% 19.82%+0.53 +12.1 10
2017-09-27 @ Liria L 0-138.7 649 662 19.82% 31.46% 48.72%-0.53 -12.1 7
2017-09-27 Feronikeli D 0-047.4 811 775 51.29% 30.94% 17.77%+0.63 -3.9 12
2017-09-27 @ FC Prishtina D 0-047.4 775 811 17.77% 30.94% 51.29%-0.63 +3.9 10
2017-09-27 Llapi W 3-142.4 776 807 43.33% 32.21% 24.46%+0.32 +23.2 12
2017-09-27 @ Trepca'89 L 1-342.4 807 776 24.46% 32.21% 43.33%-0.32 -23.2 14
2017-09-27 Vllaznia W 2-143.4 606 558 52.62% 30.63% 16.75%+0.69 +9.9 5
2017-09-27 @ Flamurtari L 1-243.4 558 606 16.75% 30.63% 52.62%-0.69 -9.9 3
2017-09-28 Gjilani D 1-152.6 739 740 47.11% 31.73% 21.17%+0.46 -2.6 11
2017-09-28 @ Drita Gjilan D 1-152.6 740 739 21.17% 31.73% 47.11%-0.46 +2.6 11
2017-10-01 Drenica L 0-244.7 677 637 51.79% 30.83% 17.38%+0.65 -46.7 9
2017-10-01 @ Besa W 2-044.7 637 677 17.38% 30.83% 51.79%-0.65 +46.7 10
2017-10-01 FC Prishtina W 3-034.7 784 807 44.46% 32.08% 23.46%+0.36 +37.7 17
2017-10-01 @ Llapi L 0-334.7 807 784 23.46% 32.08% 44.46%-0.36 -37.7 12
2017-10-01 Liria D 0-046.9 548 674 30.48% 32.63% 36.90%-0.10 +0.7 4
2017-10-01 @ Vllaznia D 0-046.9 674 548 36.90% 32.63% 30.48%+0.10 -0.7 11
2017-10-01 Trepca'89 D 0-046.9 681 799 31.54% 32.65% 35.81%-0.07 +0.4 12
2017-10-01 @ Vellaznimi D 0-046.9 799 681 35.81% 32.65% 31.54%+0.07 -0.5 13
2017-10-02 Drita Gjilan D 1-152.9 779 737 51.95% 30.79% 17.26%+0.66 -3.6 11
2017-10-02 @ Feronikeli D 1-152.9 737 779 17.26% 30.79% 51.95%-0.66 +3.6 12
2017-10-02 Flamurtari W 1-035.3 743 616 60.11% 28.22% 11.67%+1.04 +7.5 14
2017-10-02 @ Gjilani L 0-135.3 616 743 11.67% 28.22% 60.11%-1.04 -7.5 5
2017-10-10 Feronikeli D 2-258.0 609 775 25.34% 32.30% 42.36%-0.29 +1.2 6
2017-10-10 @ Flamurtari D 2-258.0 775 609 42.36% 32.30% 25.34%+0.29 -1.2 12
2017-10-10 Gjilani D 0-046.9 673 750 37.27% 32.61% 30.12%+0.12 -0.8 12
2017-10-10 @ Liria D 0-046.9 750 673 30.12% 32.61% 37.27%-0.12 +0.8 15
2017-10-10 Llapi W 3-144.4 740 822 36.70% 32.63% 30.67%+0.10 +27.3 15
2017-10-10 @ Drita Gjilan L 1-344.4 822 740 30.67% 32.63% 36.70%-0.10 -27.3 17
2017-10-11 Besa W 3-028.9 798 631 63.57% 26.71% 9.72%+1.23 +17.0 16
2017-10-11 @ Trepca'89 L 0-328.9 631 798 9.72% 26.71% 63.57%-1.23 -17.0 9
2017-10-11 Vellaznimi W 1-036.3 769 681 56.58% 29.50% 13.92%+0.87 +8.9 15
2017-10-11 @ FC Prishtina L 0-136.3 681 769 13.92% 29.50% 56.58%-0.87 -8.9 12
2017-10-11 Vllaznia W 1-035.0 683 549 60.81% 27.93% 11.26%+1.08 +7.2 13
2017-10-11 @ Drenica L 0-135.0 549 683 11.26% 27.93% 60.81%-1.08 -7.2 4
2017-10-14 Flamurtari W 1-033.8 795 610 64.92% 26.05% 9.03%+1.30 +5.7 20
2017-10-14 @ Llapi L 0-133.8 610 795 9.03% 26.05% 64.92%-1.30 -5.7 6
2017-10-14 Liria L 0-149.4 774 672 57.85% 29.07% 13.08%+0.93 -27.2 12
2017-10-14 @ Feronikeli W 1-049.4 672 774 13.08% 29.07% 57.85%-0.93 +27.2 15
2017-10-15 Drenica W 2-143.1 751 691 53.87% 30.31% 15.82%+0.74 +9.4 18
2017-10-15 @ Gjilani L 1-243.1 691 751 15.82% 30.31% 53.87%-0.74 -9.4 13
2017-10-15 Drita Gjilan D 1-152.3 672 768 34.75% 32.67% 32.58%+0.03 -0.2 13
2017-10-15 @ Vellaznimi D 1-152.3 768 672 32.58% 32.67% 34.75%-0.03 +0.2 16
2017-10-15 FC Prishtina L 0-244.6 815 778 51.41% 30.92% 17.68%+0.64 -46.4 16
2017-10-15 @ Trepca'89 W 2-044.6 778 815 17.68% 30.92% 51.41%-0.64 +46.4 18
2017-10-15 Vllaznia W 3-138.9 614 541 55.03% 29.98% 14.99%+0.79 +15.5 12
2017-10-15 @ Besa L 1-338.9 541 614 14.99% 29.98% 55.03%-0.79 -15.5 4
2017-10-20 Feronikeli D 0-047.0 681 747 38.90% 32.54% 28.56%+0.17 -1.1 14
2017-10-20 @ Drenica D 0-047.0 747 681 28.56% 32.54% 38.90%-0.17 +1.1 13
2017-10-20 Llapi W 3-037.8 700 800 33.98% 32.67% 33.35%+0.01 +48.5 18
2017-10-20 @ Liria L 0-337.8 800 700 33.35% 32.67% 33.98%-0.01 -48.5 20
2017-10-20 Trepca'89 D 1-152.6 768 769 47.11% 31.73% 21.17%+0.46 -2.6 17
2017-10-20 @ Drita Gjilan D 1-152.6 769 768 21.17% 31.73% 47.11%-0.46 +2.6 17
2017-10-20 Vellaznimi L 0-339.3 604 672 38.60% 32.56% 28.84%+0.16 -53.7 6
2017-10-20 @ Flamurtari W 3-039.3 672 604 28.84% 32.56% 38.60%-0.16 +53.7 16
2017-10-21 Besa W 4-028.0 825 629 65.78% 25.61% 8.61%+1.35 +19.4 21
2017-10-21 @ FC Prishtina L 0-428.0 629 825 8.61% 25.61% 65.78%-1.35 -19.4 12
2017-10-21 Gjilani D 0-047.4 526 761 18.38% 31.11% 50.52%-0.60 +3.7 5
2017-10-21 @ Vllaznia D 0-047.4 761 526 50.52% 31.11% 18.38%+0.60 -3.7 19
2017-10-24 Vellaznimi D 2-258.3 748 726 49.78% 31.26% 18.96%+0.57 -2.4 19
2017-10-24 @ Liria D 2-258.3 726 748 18.96% 31.26% 49.78%-0.57 +2.4 17
2017-10-25 FC Prishtina D 0-046.9 765 844 37.08% 32.62% 30.30%+0.11 -0.7 18
2017-10-25 @ Drita Gjilan D 0-046.9 844 765 30.30% 32.62% 37.08%-0.11 +0.7 22
2017-10-25 Llapi L 1-250.4 680 752 38.05% 32.58% 29.36%+0.14 -18.3 14
2017-10-25 @ Drenica W 2-150.4 752 680 29.36% 32.58% 38.05%-0.14 +18.3 23
2017-10-25 Trepca'89 D 2-258.2 551 771 19.63% 31.41% 48.96%-0.53 +2.2 7
2017-10-25 @ Flamurtari D 2-258.2 771 551 48.96% 31.41% 19.63%+0.53 -2.2 18
2017-10-26 Feronikeli L 0-333.4 530 748 19.87% 31.47% 48.66%-0.52 -33.2 5
2017-10-26 @ Vllaznia W 3-033.4 748 530 48.66% 31.47% 19.87%+0.52 +33.2 16
2017-10-26 Gjilani D 0-047.0 610 757 27.69% 32.49% 39.82%-0.20 +1.3 13
2017-10-26 @ Besa D 0-047.0 757 610 39.82% 32.49% 27.69%+0.20 -1.3 20
2017-10-28 Flamurtari W 3-133.6 845 553 72.73% 21.59% 5.69%+1.79 +5.4 25
2017-10-28 @ FC Prishtina L 1-333.6 553 845 5.69% 21.59% 72.73%-1.79 -5.4 7
2017-10-29 Besa W 2-031.2 764 611 62.39% 27.25% 10.36%+1.16 +12.5 21
2017-10-29 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-231.2 611 764 10.36% 27.25% 62.39%-1.16 -12.5 13
2017-10-29 Drenica D 1-153.1 728 662 54.45% 30.15% 15.41%+0.77 -4.1 18
2017-10-29 @ Vellaznimi D 1-153.1 662 728 15.41% 30.15% 54.45%-0.77 +4.2 15
2017-10-29 Liria W 2-034.9 769 746 49.93% 31.23% 18.84%+0.57 +21.9 21
2017-10-29 @ Trepca'89 L 0-234.9 746 769 18.84% 31.23% 49.93%-0.57 -21.9 19
2017-10-29 Vllaznia W 4-131.0 770 496 71.49% 22.36% 6.15%+1.71 +8.4 26
2017-10-29 @ Llapi L 1-431.0 496 770 6.15% 22.36% 71.49%-1.71 -8.4 5
2017-10-30 Gjilani W 2-144.2 781 756 50.13% 31.19% 18.68%+0.58 +10.9 19
2017-10-30 @ Feronikeli L 1-244.2 756 781 18.68% 31.19% 50.13%-0.58 -10.9 20
2017-11-03 Trepca'89 W 1-044.1 666 791 30.56% 32.63% 36.81%-0.10 +18.9 18
2017-11-03 @ Drenica L 0-144.1 791 666 36.81% 32.63% 30.56%+0.10 -18.9 21
2017-11-04 Drita Gjilan D 1-152.7 547 777 18.83% 31.23% 49.94%-0.57 +3.2 8
2017-11-04 @ Flamurtari D 1-152.7 777 547 49.94% 31.23% 18.83%+0.57 -3.2 22
2017-11-04 FC Prishtina W 1-044.2 724 850 30.39% 32.62% 36.98%-0.11 +19.0 22
2017-11-04 @ Liria L 0-144.2 850 724 36.98% 32.62% 30.39%+0.11 -19.0 25
2017-11-04 Vellaznimi L 1-244.0 488 724 18.27% 31.08% 50.65%-0.60 -10.7 5
2017-11-04 @ Vllaznia W 2-144.0 724 488 50.65% 31.08% 18.27%+0.60 +10.6 21
2017-11-05 Feronikeli L 0-534.5 599 792 22.36% 31.93% 45.72%-0.41 -58.6 13
2017-11-05 @ Besa W 5-034.5 792 599 45.72% 31.93% 22.36%+0.41 +58.6 22
2017-11-05 Llapi W 2-036.9 745 779 43.08% 32.23% 24.68%+0.31 +27.0 23
2017-11-05 @ Gjilani L 0-236.9 779 745 24.68% 32.23% 43.08%-0.31 -27.0 26
2017-11-17 Besa W 3-140.9 551 540 48.46% 31.50% 20.04%+0.52 +19.9 11
2017-11-17 @ Flamurtari L 1-340.9 540 551 20.04% 31.50% 48.46%-0.52 -19.9 13
2017-11-17 Drenica L 0-246.7 831 685 61.79% 27.52% 10.69%+1.13 -54.2 25
2017-11-17 @ FC Prishtina W 2-046.7 685 831 10.69% 27.52% 61.79%-1.13 +54.2 21
2017-11-17 Gjilani D 0-047.0 735 772 42.66% 32.27% 25.07%+0.30 -1.9 22
2017-11-17 @ Vellaznimi D 0-047.0 772 735 25.07% 32.27% 42.66%-0.30 +1.9 24
2017-11-18 Feronikeli D 1-152.3 752 850 34.25% 32.67% 33.08%+0.02 -0.1 27
2017-11-18 @ Llapi D 1-152.3 850 752 33.08% 32.67% 34.25%-0.02 +0.1 23
2017-11-18 Liria W 4-350.4 774 743 50.75% 31.06% 18.19%+0.61 +9.8 25
2017-11-18 @ Drita Gjilan L 3-450.4 743 774 18.19% 31.06% 50.75%-0.61 -9.8 22
2017-11-18 Vllaznia W 2-028.0 772 477 72.92% 21.46% 5.61%+1.80 +6.2 24
2017-11-18 @ Trepca'89 L 0-228.0 477 772 5.61% 21.46% 72.92%-1.80 -6.2 5
2017-11-22 Drita Gjilan D 0-047.0 739 784 41.70% 32.36% 25.94%+0.27 -1.7 22
2017-11-22 @ Drenica D 0-047.0 784 739 25.94% 32.36% 41.70%-0.27 +1.7 26
2017-11-22 Flamurtari W 2-030.9 733 571 63.14% 26.91% 9.95%+1.20 +12.0 25
2017-11-22 @ Liria L 0-230.9 571 733 9.95% 26.91% 63.14%-1.20 -12.0 11
2017-11-22 Llapi L 1-635.1 520 751 18.68% 31.19% 50.14%-0.58 -42.0 13
2017-11-22 @ Besa W 6-135.1 751 520 50.14% 31.19% 18.68%+0.58 +42.0 30
2017-11-22 Trepca'89 D 0-047.2 774 778 46.68% 31.79% 21.53%+0.45 -2.8 25
2017-11-22 @ Gjilani D 0-047.2 778 774 21.53% 31.79% 46.68%-0.45 +2.8 25
2017-11-22 Vellaznimi W 3-030.2 850 733 59.32% 28.53% 12.15%+1.00 +21.4 26
2017-11-22 @ Feronikeli L 0-330.2 733 850 12.15% 28.53% 59.32%-1.00 -21.4 22
2017-11-23 FC Prishtina L 0-232.6 471 777 13.19% 29.13% 57.68%-0.92 -15.9 5
2017-11-23 @ Vllaznia W 2-032.6 777 471 57.68% 29.13% 13.19%+0.92 +15.9 28
2017-11-25 Besa W 3-026.7 745 478 71.02% 22.65% 6.33%+1.68 +10.4 28
2017-11-25 @ Liria L 0-326.7 478 745 6.33% 22.65% 71.02%-1.68 -10.4 13
2017-11-25 Llapi L 0-338.8 711 793 36.61% 32.63% 30.76%+0.09 -51.7 22
2017-11-25 @ Vellaznimi W 3-038.8 793 711 30.76% 32.63% 36.61%-0.09 +51.7 33
2017-11-26 Drenica L 1-246.1 559 737 23.92% 32.14% 43.94%-0.34 -13.2 11
2017-11-26 @ Flamurtari W 2-146.1 737 559 43.94% 32.14% 23.92%+0.34 +13.2 25
2017-11-26 Feronikeli D 0-046.9 781 872 35.40% 32.66% 31.94%+0.06 -0.4 26
2017-11-26 @ Trepca'89 D 0-046.9 872 781 31.94% 32.66% 35.40%-0.06 +0.4 27
2017-11-26 Vllaznia W 3-025.4 785 455 75.21% 19.97% 4.82%+1.96 +7.5 29
2017-11-26 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-325.4 455 785 4.82% 19.97% 75.21%-1.96 -7.5 5
2017-11-27 Gjilani W 2-144.3 793 771 49.75% 31.26% 18.99%+0.57 +11.0 31
2017-11-27 @ FC Prishtina L 1-244.3 771 793 18.99% 31.26% 49.75%-0.57 -11.0 25
2017-12-01 Flamurtari W 2-039.5 448 545 34.43% 32.67% 32.90%+0.02 +33.1 8
2017-12-01 @ Vllaznia L 0-239.5 545 448 32.90% 32.67% 34.43%-0.02 -33.1 11
2017-12-02 FC Prishtina D 0-047.7 872 804 54.66% 30.09% 15.26%+0.78 -4.7 28
2017-12-02 @ Feronikeli D 0-047.7 804 872 15.26% 30.09% 54.66%-0.78 +4.7 32
2017-12-02 Liria W 1-039.3 751 755 46.67% 31.79% 21.54%+0.45 +12.9 28
2017-12-02 @ Drenica L 0-139.3 755 751 21.54% 31.79% 46.67%-0.45 -12.9 28
2017-12-03 Drita Gjilan D 0-047.1 760 793 43.19% 32.22% 24.59%+0.32 -2.0 26
2017-12-03 @ Gjilani D 0-047.1 793 760 24.59% 32.22% 43.19%-0.32 +2.0 30
2017-12-03 Trepca'89 D 0-047.7 845 781 54.25% 30.20% 15.55%+0.76 -4.6 34
2017-12-03 @ Llapi D 0-047.7 781 845 15.55% 30.20% 54.25%-0.76 +4.6 27
2017-12-03 Vellaznimi L 1-245.6 468 660 22.50% 31.95% 45.56%-0.40 -12.6 13
2017-12-03 @ Besa W 2-145.6 660 468 45.56% 31.95% 22.50%+0.40 +12.6 25
2018-02-18 Besa D 2-261.4 763 455 73.82% 20.89% 5.30%+1.87 -5.7 29
2018-02-18 @ Drenica D 2-261.4 455 763 5.30% 20.89% 73.82%-1.87 +5.7 14
2018-02-18 Feronikeli W 1-041.9 795 868 37.92% 32.59% 29.49%+0.14 +16.3 33
2018-02-18 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-141.9 868 795 29.49% 32.59% 37.92%-0.14 -16.3 28
2018-02-18 Llapi W 2-036.9 809 841 43.30% 32.21% 24.49%+0.32 +26.8 35
2018-02-18 @ FC Prishtina L 0-236.9 841 809 24.49% 32.21% 43.30%-0.32 -26.8 34
2018-02-18 Vellaznimi W 1-035.6 785 672 58.90% 28.69% 12.41%+0.98 +8.0 30
2018-02-18 @ Trepca'89 L 0-135.6 672 785 12.41% 28.69% 58.90%-0.98 -8.0 25
2018-02-18 Vllaznia W 2-138.0 742 481 70.65% 22.87% 6.48%+1.65 +3.7 31
2018-02-18 @ Liria L 1-238.0 481 742 6.48% 22.87% 70.65%-1.65 -3.7 8
2018-02-19 Gjilani L 0-137.8 512 758 17.47% 30.85% 51.68%-0.65 -10.9 11
2018-02-19 @ Flamurtari W 1-037.8 758 512 51.68% 30.85% 17.47%+0.65 +10.9 29
2018-02-24 FC Prishtina D 0-047.0 664 835 24.80% 32.24% 42.96%-0.31 +2.0 26
2018-02-24 @ Vellaznimi D 0-047.0 835 664 42.96% 32.24% 24.80%+0.31 -2.0 36
2018-02-24 Flamurtari W 1-030.4 851 501 76.43% 19.14% 4.42%+2.05 +2.5 31
2018-02-24 @ Feronikeli L 0-130.4 501 851 4.42% 19.14% 76.43%-2.05 -2.4 11
2018-02-24 Trepca'89 L 0-135.3 461 793 11.67% 28.22% 60.11%-1.04 -7.5 14
2018-02-24 @ Besa W 1-035.3 793 461 60.11% 28.22% 11.67%+1.04 +7.5 33
2018-02-25 Drita Gjilan L 0-147.1 814 811 47.54% 31.66% 20.80%+0.48 -23.1 34
2018-02-25 @ Llapi W 1-047.1 811 814 20.80% 31.66% 47.54%-0.48 +23.1 36
2018-02-25 Liria W 1-038.3 769 746 49.82% 31.25% 18.93%+0.57 +11.6 32
2018-02-25 @ Gjilani L 0-138.3 746 769 18.93% 31.25% 49.82%-0.57 -11.6 31
2018-02-27 Drenica D 0-047.7 477 758 14.81% 29.90% 55.28%-0.81 +4.8 9
2018-02-27 @ Vllaznia D 0-047.7 758 477 55.28% 29.90% 14.81%+0.81 -4.8 30
2018-03-02 Feronikeli W 1-043.9 734 854 31.35% 32.65% 36.00%-0.07 +18.6 34
2018-03-02 @ Liria L 0-143.9 854 734 36.00% 32.65% 31.35%+0.07 -18.6 31
2018-03-02 Vellaznimi D 1-154.1 834 666 63.59% 26.70% 9.71%+1.23 -6.0 37
2018-03-02 @ Drita Gjilan D 1-154.1 666 834 9.71% 26.70% 63.59%-1.23 +6.0 27
2018-03-03 Llapi W 2-155.0 499 791 14.07% 29.57% 56.36%-0.86 +25.1 14
2018-03-03 @ Flamurtari L 1-255.0 791 499 56.36% 29.57% 14.07%+0.86 -25.1 34
2018-03-03 Trepca'89 W 2-034.6 833 801 50.91% 31.02% 18.07%+0.61 +21.1 39
2018-03-03 @ FC Prishtina L 0-234.6 801 833 18.07% 31.02% 50.91%-0.61 -21.1 33
2018-03-04 Gjilani W 1-040.1 753 780 43.90% 32.15% 23.96%+0.34 +14.0 33
2018-03-04 @ Drenica L 0-140.1 780 753 23.96% 32.15% 43.90%-0.34 -14.0 32
2018-03-05 Besa W 1-038.1 482 453 50.49% 31.11% 18.39%+0.60 +11.4 12
2018-03-05 @ Vllaznia L 0-138.1 453 482 18.39% 31.11% 50.49%-0.60 -11.4 14
2018-03-10 Drenica W 1-036.9 835 767 54.63% 30.10% 15.28%+0.78 +9.7 34
2018-03-10 @ Feronikeli L 0-136.9 767 835 15.28% 30.10% 54.63%-0.78 -9.7 33
2018-03-11 Drita Gjilan D 1-152.4 780 828 41.19% 32.40% 26.41%+0.25 -1.4 34
2018-03-11 @ Trepca'89 D 1-152.4 828 780 26.41% 32.40% 41.19%-0.25 +1.4 38
2018-03-11 FC Prishtina L 1-335.4 442 854 8.20% 25.16% 66.64%-1.40 -8.4 14
2018-03-11 @ Besa W 3-135.4 854 442 66.64% 25.16% 8.20%+1.40 +8.4 42
2018-03-11 Flamurtari W 2-031.3 672 524 61.96% 27.44% 10.60%+1.14 +12.8 30
2018-03-11 @ Vellaznimi L 0-231.3 524 672 10.60% 27.44% 61.96%-1.14 -12.8 14
2018-03-11 Liria L 0-243.9 766 753 48.68% 31.46% 19.86%+0.52 -44.4 34
2018-03-11 @ Llapi W 2-043.9 753 766 19.86% 31.46% 48.68%-0.52 +44.3 37
2018-03-11 Vllaznia W 1-031.9 766 493 71.44% 22.39% 6.17%+1.70 +3.7 35
2018-03-11 @ Gjilani L 0-131.9 493 766 6.17% 22.39% 71.44%-1.70 -3.7 12
2018-03-14 Besa W 2-135.2 845 434 79.98% 16.66% 3.37%+2.33 +1.7 37
2018-03-14 @ Feronikeli L 1-235.2 434 845 3.37% 16.66% 79.98%-2.33 -1.7 14
2018-03-14 Drenica W 3-138.9 830 757 55.04% 29.98% 14.98%+0.79 +15.5 41
2018-03-14 @ Drita Gjilan L 1-338.9 757 830 14.98% 29.98% 55.04%-0.79 -15.5 33
2018-03-14 Trepca'89 D 0-047.8 863 778 56.24% 29.61% 14.15%+0.85 -5.1 43
2018-03-14 @ FC Prishtina D 0-047.8 778 863 14.15% 29.61% 56.24%-0.85 +5.1 35
2018-03-14 Vellaznimi D 1-153.5 797 685 58.83% 28.71% 12.46%+0.98 -5.1 38
2018-03-14 @ Liria D 1-153.5 685 797 12.46% 28.71% 58.83%-0.98 +5.1 31
2018-03-14 Vllaznia W 2-029.3 721 490 68.50% 24.13% 7.37%+1.52 +8.5 37
2018-03-14 @ Llapi L 0-229.3 490 721 7.37% 24.13% 68.50%-1.52 -8.6 12
2018-03-15 Flamurtari D 0-049.8 770 511 70.45% 22.99% 6.55%+1.64 -8.0 36
2018-03-15 @ Gjilani D 0-049.8 511 770 6.55% 22.99% 70.45%-1.64 +8.0 15
2018-03-17 FC Prishtina W 1-043.7 742 858 31.81% 32.66% 35.54%-0.06 +18.5 36
2018-03-17 @ Drenica L 0-143.7 858 742 35.54% 32.66% 31.81%+0.06 -18.5 43
2018-03-17 Trepca'89 D 3-361.0 730 783 40.51% 32.45% 27.05%+0.22 -0.8 38
2018-03-17 @ Llapi D 3-361.0 783 730 27.05% 32.45% 40.51%-0.22 +0.8 36
2018-03-18 Drita Gjilan L 0-141.0 690 845 26.71% 32.42% 40.87%-0.24 -15.2 31
2018-03-18 @ Vellaznimi W 1-041.0 845 690 40.87% 32.42% 26.71%+0.24 +15.2 44
2018-03-18 Feronikeli D 0-048.6 481 846 10.08% 27.02% 62.89%-1.19 +6.6 13
2018-03-18 @ Vllaznia D 0-048.6 846 481 62.89% 27.02% 10.08%+1.19 -6.6 38
2018-03-18 Gjilani W 1-049.8 432 762 11.80% 28.31% 59.89%-1.03 +28.0 17
2018-03-18 @ Besa L 0-149.8 762 432 59.89% 28.31% 11.80%+1.03 -28.0 36
2018-03-18 Liria L 1-242.9 519 792 15.35% 30.12% 54.53%-0.77 -9.2 15
2018-03-18 @ Flamurtari W 2-142.9 792 519 54.53% 30.12% 15.35%+0.77 +9.2 41
2018-03-30 Besa D 2-261.8 801 460 75.92% 19.49% 4.59%+2.02 -5.9 42
2018-03-30 @ Liria D 2-261.8 460 801 4.59% 19.49% 75.92%-2.02 +5.9 18
2018-03-31 Flamurtari W 3-132.5 860 510 76.45% 19.13% 4.42%+2.06 +4.0 47
2018-03-31 @ Drita Gjilan L 1-332.5 510 860 4.42% 19.13% 76.45%-2.06 -4.0 15
2018-03-31 Vellaznimi D 2-259.6 839 675 63.30% 26.83% 9.87%+1.21 -4.4 44
2018-03-31 @ FC Prishtina D 2-259.6 675 839 9.87% 26.83% 63.30%-1.21 +4.4 32
2018-04-01 Drenica W 1-038.3 784 760 49.97% 31.22% 18.81%+0.58 +11.6 39
2018-04-01 @ Trepca'89 L 0-138.3 760 784 18.81% 31.22% 49.97%-0.58 -11.6 36
2018-04-01 Llapi D 2-259.0 840 729 58.70% 28.76% 12.54%+0.97 -3.8 39
2018-04-01 @ Feronikeli D 2-259.0 729 840 12.54% 28.76% 58.70%-0.97 +3.8 39
2018-04-01 Vllaznia W 4-026.8 734 488 69.57% 23.52% 6.92%+1.58 +15.1 39
2018-04-01 @ Gjilani L 0-426.8 488 734 6.92% 23.52% 69.57%-1.58 -15.0 13
2018-04-06 Liria D 0-048.2 473 796 12.19% 28.55% 59.26%-1.00 +5.8 14
2018-04-06 @ Vllaznia D 0-048.2 796 473 59.26% 28.55% 12.19%+1.00 -5.8 43
2018-04-07 Drita Gjilan L 0-230.2 466 864 8.72% 25.73% 65.55%-1.34 -10.4 18
2018-04-07 @ Besa W 2-030.2 864 466 65.55% 25.73% 8.72%+1.34 +10.4 50
2018-04-07 Trepca'89 D 0-047.5 836 796 51.76% 30.84% 17.41%+0.65 -4.0 40
2018-04-07 @ Feronikeli D 0-047.5 796 836 17.41% 30.84% 51.76%-0.65 +4.0 40
2018-04-08 Drenica W 1-041.8 679 749 38.40% 32.57% 29.03%+0.15 +16.1 35
2018-04-08 @ Vellaznimi L 0-141.8 749 679 29.03% 32.57% 38.40%-0.15 -16.1 36
2018-04-08 Gjilani W 1-039.7 733 749 45.27% 31.98% 22.74%+0.39 +13.5 42
2018-04-08 @ Llapi L 0-139.7 749 733 22.74% 31.98% 45.27%-0.39 -13.5 39
2018-04-09 FC Prishtina L 0-231.9 506 835 11.87% 28.35% 59.77%-1.02 -14.4 15
2018-04-09 @ Flamurtari W 2-031.9 835 506 59.77% 28.35% 11.87%+1.02 +14.4 47
2018-04-13 Feronikeli D 0-046.9 736 832 34.58% 32.67% 32.75%+0.03 -0.2 40
2018-04-13 @ Gjilani D 0-046.9 832 736 32.75% 32.67% 34.58%-0.03 +0.2 41
2018-04-14 Besa W 1-029.6 849 455 79.01% 17.35% 3.64%+2.25 +1.9 50
2018-04-14 @ FC Prishtina L 0-129.6 455 849 3.64% 17.35% 79.01%-2.25 -1.9 18
2018-04-14 Flamurtari W 2-029.1 733 492 69.18% 23.75% 7.08%+1.56 +8.2 39
2018-04-14 @ Drenica L 0-229.1 492 733 7.08% 23.75% 69.18%-1.56 -8.2 15
2018-04-14 Llapi L 1-254.1 790 746 52.11% 30.75% 17.14%+0.67 -23.5 43
2018-04-14 @ Liria W 2-154.1 746 790 17.14% 30.75% 52.11%-0.67 +23.5 45
2018-04-15 Vellaznimi W 3-030.6 800 695 58.09% 28.98% 12.92%+0.94 +22.7 43
2018-04-15 @ Trepca'89 L 0-330.6 695 800 12.92% 28.98% 58.09%-0.94 -22.7 35
2018-04-15 Vllaznia W 2-026.1 875 478 79.15% 17.25% 3.60%+2.26 +3.6 53
2018-04-15 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-226.1 478 875 3.60% 17.25% 79.15%-2.26 -3.6 14
2018-04-21 Liria D 0-047.7 832 766 54.40% 30.16% 15.44%+0.77 -4.6 42
2018-04-21 @ Feronikeli D 0-047.7 766 832 15.44% 30.16% 54.40%-0.77 +4.6 44
2018-04-21 Trepca'89 W 2-039.1 735 822 35.92% 32.65% 31.43%+0.07 +32.0 43
2018-04-21 @ Gjilani L 0-239.1 822 735 31.43% 32.65% 35.92%-0.07 -32.1 43
2018-04-22 Drenica L 0-136.5 454 741 14.37% 29.71% 55.92%-0.84 -9.2 18
2018-04-22 @ Besa W 1-036.5 741 454 55.92% 29.71% 14.37%+0.84 +9.2 42
2018-04-22 Drita Gjilan L 1-345.1 770 878 32.86% 32.67% 34.47%-0.03 -28.6 45
2018-04-22 @ Llapi W 3-145.1 878 770 34.47% 32.67% 32.86%+0.03 +28.6 56
2018-04-22 FC Prishtina L 0-134.2 475 851 9.60% 26.60% 63.80%-1.24 -6.1 14
2018-04-22 @ Vllaznia W 1-034.2 851 475 63.80% 26.60% 9.60%+1.24 +6.1 53
2018-04-22 Vellaznimi W 1-046.5 484 673 22.79% 31.99% 45.22%-0.39 +22.1 18
2018-04-22 @ Flamurtari L 0-146.5 673 484 45.22% 31.99% 22.79%+0.39 -22.1 35
2018-04-28 Gjilani W 3-249.3 771 767 47.65% 31.64% 20.71%+0.48 +11.2 47
2018-04-28 @ Liria L 2-349.3 767 771 20.71% 31.64% 47.65%-0.48 -11.2 43
2018-04-28 Vllaznia W 6-230.3 750 469 72.00% 22.04% 5.95%+1.74 +8.9 45
2018-04-28 @ Drenica L 2-630.3 469 750 5.95% 22.04% 72.00%-1.74 -8.9 14
2018-04-29 Besa D 0-049.2 651 444 66.61% 25.17% 8.21%+1.40 -7.3 36
2018-04-29 @ Vellaznimi D 0-049.2 444 651 8.21% 25.17% 66.61%-1.40 +7.3 19
2018-04-29 Feronikeli W 3-138.7 907 828 55.72% 29.77% 14.51%+0.83 +15.1 59
2018-04-29 @ Drita Gjilan L 1-338.7 828 907 14.51% 29.77% 55.72%-0.83 -15.1 42
2018-04-29 Flamurtari D 0-050.2 790 506 72.24% 21.89% 5.86%+1.76 -8.3 44
2018-04-29 @ Trepca'89 D 0-050.2 506 790 5.86% 21.89% 72.24%-1.76 +8.3 19
2018-04-29 Llapi W 3-245.9 857 741 59.18% 28.58% 12.24%+0.99 +7.0 56
2018-04-29 @ FC Prishtina L 2-345.9 741 857 12.24% 28.58% 59.18%-0.99 -7.0 45
2018-05-02 Drenica W 1-040.0 734 759 44.23% 32.11% 23.66%+0.35 +13.9 48
2018-05-02 @ Llapi L 0-140.0 759 734 23.66% 32.11% 44.23%-0.35 -13.9 45
2018-05-02 Drita Gjilan D 1-152.4 756 922 25.43% 32.31% 42.26%-0.28 +1.6 44
2018-05-02 @ Gjilani D 1-152.4 922 756 42.26% 32.31% 25.43%+0.28 -1.6 60
2018-05-02 FC Prishtina D 0-047.0 813 864 40.75% 32.43% 26.82%+0.23 -1.5 43
2018-05-02 @ Feronikeli D 0-047.0 864 813 26.82% 32.43% 40.75%-0.23 +1.5 57
2018-05-02 Trepca'89 L 0-243.6 782 782 47.24% 31.71% 21.06%+0.47 -43.2 47
2018-05-02 @ Liria W 2-043.6 782 782 21.06% 31.71% 47.24%-0.47 +43.2 47
2018-05-03 Flamurtari L 0-439.3 452 514 39.34% 32.52% 28.14%+0.18 -71.1 19
2018-05-03 @ Besa W 4-039.3 514 452 28.14% 32.52% 39.34%-0.18 +71.1 22
2018-05-03 Vellaznimi L 0-236.5 460 643 23.40% 32.08% 44.52%-0.37 -25.9 14
2018-05-03 @ Vllaznia W 2-036.5 643 460 44.52% 32.08% 23.40%+0.37 +25.9 39
2018-05-05 Feronikeli D 0-047.0 745 811 38.82% 32.55% 28.63%+0.17 -1.1 46
2018-05-05 @ Drenica D 0-047.0 811 745 28.63% 32.55% 38.82%-0.17 +1.1 44
2018-05-06 Besa W 2-025.3 825 381 81.75% 15.36% 2.89%+2.48 +2.8 50
2018-05-06 @ Trepca'89 L 0-225.3 381 825 2.89% 15.36% 81.75%-2.48 -2.8 19
2018-05-06 Gjilani W 2-141.7 866 758 58.43% 28.86% 12.71%+0.96 +7.7 60
2018-05-06 @ FC Prishtina L 1-241.7 758 866 12.71% 28.86% 58.43%-0.96 -7.7 44
2018-05-06 Liria W 3-028.6 920 739 64.67% 26.18% 9.16%+1.29 +15.9 63
2018-05-06 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-328.6 739 920 9.16% 26.18% 64.67%-1.29 -15.9 47
2018-05-06 Llapi W 2-038.7 669 748 37.10% 32.62% 30.28%+0.11 +31.2 42
2018-05-06 @ Vellaznimi L 0-238.7 748 669 30.28% 32.62% 37.10%-0.11 -31.2 48
2018-05-06 Vllaznia W 4-133.7 585 434 62.22% 27.33% 10.46%+1.15 +15.5 25
2018-05-06 @ Flamurtari L 1-433.7 434 585 10.46% 27.33% 62.22%-1.15 -15.5 14
2018-05-11 FC Prishtina L 0-141.2 723 874 27.27% 32.46% 40.26%-0.22 -15.4 47
2018-05-11 @ Liria W 1-041.2 874 723 40.26% 32.46% 27.27%+0.22 +15.4 63
2018-05-11 Flamurtari W 3-137.7 717 601 59.16% 28.59% 12.25%+0.99 +12.9 51
2018-05-11 @ Llapi L 1-337.7 601 717 12.25% 28.59% 59.16%-0.99 -12.9 25
2018-05-11 Trepca'89 W 3-137.9 936 828 58.44% 28.86% 12.70%+0.96 +13.3 66
2018-05-11 @ Drita Gjilan L 1-337.9 828 936 12.70% 28.86% 58.44%-0.96 -13.3 50
2018-05-12 Drenica D 1-152.6 750 744 47.97% 31.59% 20.44%+0.50 -2.8 45
2018-05-12 @ Gjilani D 1-152.6 744 750 20.44% 31.59% 47.97%-0.50 +2.8 47
2018-05-12 Vellaznimi D 1-153.5 812 700 58.77% 28.74% 12.50%+0.97 -5.0 45
2018-05-12 @ Feronikeli D 1-153.5 700 812 12.50% 28.74% 58.77%-0.97 +5.0 43
2018-05-13 Besa L 1-447.2 418 378 51.79% 30.83% 17.39%+0.65 -57.2 14
2018-05-13 @ Vllaznia W 4-147.2 378 418 17.39% 30.83% 51.79%-0.65 +57.2 22
2018-05-18 Feronikeli L 0-333.4 588 807 19.77% 31.44% 48.79%-0.53 -33.0 25
2018-05-18 @ Flamurtari W 3-033.4 807 588 48.79% 31.44% 19.77%+0.53 +33.0 48
2018-05-18 Llapi L 3-448.6 435 730 13.89% 29.48% 56.63%-0.87 -7.8 22
2018-05-18 @ Besa W 4-348.6 730 435 56.63% 29.48% 13.89%+0.87 +7.7 54
2018-05-18 Vllaznia W 6-125.5 815 361 82.19% 15.03% 2.78%+2.52 +5.1 53
2018-05-18 @ Trepca'89 L 1-625.5 361 815 2.78% 15.03% 82.19%-2.52 -5.1 14
2018-05-19 Gjilani D 0-047.0 706 747 42.05% 32.33% 25.62%+0.28 -1.8 44
2018-05-19 @ Vellaznimi D 0-047.0 747 706 25.62% 32.33% 42.05%-0.28 +1.8 46
2018-05-19 Liria D 1-152.8 747 708 51.60% 30.87% 17.53%+0.64 -3.6 48
2018-05-19 @ Drenica D 1-152.8 708 747 17.53% 30.87% 51.60%-0.64 +3.6 48
2018-05-20 Drita Gjilan D 0-047.0 889 949 39.57% 32.51% 27.92%+0.19 -1.2 64
2018-05-20 @ FC Prishtina D 0-047.0 949 889 27.92% 32.51% 39.57%-0.19 +1.2 67

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2017-11-17 10.69% Drenica 685 2 @ FC Prishtina 831 0
2 2017-08-20 10.88% Drita Gjilan 646 1 @ FC Prishtina 789 0
3 2018-03-18 11.80% @ Besa 432 1 Gjilani 762 0
4 2017-10-14 13.08% Liria 672 1 @ Feronikeli 774 0
5 2018-03-03 14.07% @ Flamurtari 499 2 Llapi 791 1
6 2017-09-17 16.09% Gjilani 717 2 @ Trepca'89 774 1
7 2017-09-22 16.65% Trepca'89 750 1 @ Feronikeli 800 0
8 2018-04-14 17.14% Llapi 746 2 @ Liria 790 1
9 2017-10-01 17.38% Drenica 637 2 @ Besa 677 0
10 2018-05-13 17.39% Besa 378 4 @ Vllaznia 418 1
11 2017-10-15 17.68% FC Prishtina 778 2 @ Trepca'89 815 0
12 2018-03-11 19.86% Liria 753 2 @ Llapi 766 0
13 2018-02-25 20.80% Drita Gjilan 811 1 @ Llapi 814 0
14 2018-05-02 21.06% Trepca'89 782 2 @ Liria 782 0
15 2018-04-22 22.79% @ Flamurtari 484 1 Vellaznimi 673 0
16 2017-09-24 23.85% Drita Gjilan 662 4 @ Vllaznia 635 0
17 2017-09-13 24.55% @ Vllaznia 621 2 Trepca'89 794 1
18 2017-08-26 26.48% @ Liria 651 1 Trepca'89 807 0
19 2017-08-26 27.94% FC Prishtina 760 2 @ Flamurtari 699 0
20 2018-05-03 28.14% Flamurtari 514 4 @ Besa 452 0
21 2017-10-20 28.84% Vellaznimi 672 3 @ Flamurtari 604 0
22 2017-10-25 29.36% Llapi 752 2 @ Drenica 680 1
23 2017-11-04 30.39% @ Liria 724 1 FC Prishtina 850 0
24 2017-08-25 30.43% Llapi 757 1 @ Vllaznia 677 0
25 2017-11-03 30.56% @ Drenica 666 1 Trepca'89 791 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-09-24 77.53 Drita Gjilan 4 662 23.85% @ Vllaznia 0 635 44.02% 32.13%
2 2018-05-03 71.13 Flamurtari 4 514 28.14% @ Besa 0 452 39.34% 32.52%
3 2017-11-05 58.56 Feronikeli 5 792 45.72% @ Besa 0 599 22.36% 31.93%
4 2018-05-13 57.21 Besa 4 378 17.39% @ Vllaznia 1 418 51.79% 30.83%
5 2017-11-17 54.23 Drenica 2 685 10.69% @ FC Prishtina 0 831 61.79% 27.52%
6 2017-10-20 53.69 Vellaznimi 3 672 28.84% @ Flamurtari 0 604 38.60% 32.56%
7 2017-11-25 51.68 Llapi 3 793 30.76% @ Vellaznimi 0 711 36.61% 32.63%
8 2017-10-20 48.46 @ Liria 3 700 33.98% Llapi 0 800 33.35% 32.67%
9 2017-10-01 46.72 Drenica 2 637 17.38% @ Besa 0 677 51.79% 30.83%
10 2017-10-15 46.42 FC Prishtina 2 778 17.68% @ Trepca'89 0 815 51.41% 30.92%
11 2018-03-11 44.35 Liria 2 753 19.86% @ Llapi 0 766 48.68% 31.46%
12 2018-05-02 43.25 Trepca'89 2 782 21.06% @ Liria 0 782 47.24% 31.71%
13 2017-11-22 42.03 Llapi 6 751 50.14% @ Besa 1 520 18.68% 31.19%
14 2017-09-17 39.19 @ Drita Gjilan 3 623 43.09% Drenica 0 656 24.68% 32.23%
15 2017-10-01 37.73 @ Llapi 3 784 44.46% FC Prishtina 0 807 23.46% 32.08%
16 2017-08-26 37.64 FC Prishtina 2 760 27.94% @ Flamurtari 0 699 39.55% 32.51%
17 2017-09-10 36.97 @ Vellaznimi 3 641 45.16% Vllaznia 0 658 22.84% 32.00%
18 2017-10-26 33.16 Feronikeli 3 748 48.66% @ Vllaznia 0 530 19.87% 31.47%
19 2017-12-01 33.06 @ Vllaznia 2 448 34.43% Flamurtari 0 545 32.90% 32.67%
20 2018-05-18 33.01 Feronikeli 3 807 48.79% @ Flamurtari 0 588 19.77% 31.44%
21 2018-04-21 32.05 @ Gjilani 2 735 35.92% Trepca'89 0 822 31.43% 32.65%
22 2017-09-23 31.59 @ Drenica 4 617 44.71% Flamurtari 1 638 23.23% 32.05%
23 2018-05-06 31.24 @ Vellaznimi 2 669 37.10% Llapi 0 748 30.28% 32.62%
24 2017-08-20 28.64 Drita Gjilan 1 646 10.88% @ FC Prishtina 0 789 61.47% 27.66%
25 2018-04-22 28.61 Drita Gjilan 3 878 34.47% @ Llapi 1 770 32.86% 32.67%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-03-30 61.8 @ Liria 2 801 75.92% Besa 2 460 4.59% 19.49%
2 2018-02-18 61.4 @ Drenica 2 763 73.82% Besa 2 455 5.30% 20.89%
3 2018-03-17 61.0 @ Llapi 3 730 40.51% Trepca'89 3 783 27.05% 32.45%
4 2018-03-31 59.6 @ FC Prishtina 2 839 63.30% Vellaznimi 2 675 9.87% 26.83%
5 2018-04-01 59.0 @ Feronikeli 2 840 58.70% Llapi 2 729 12.54% 28.76%
6 2017-10-24 58.3 @ Liria 2 748 49.78% Vellaznimi 2 726 18.96% 31.26%
7 2017-10-25 58.2 @ Flamurtari 2 551 19.63% Trepca'89 2 771 48.96% 31.41%
8 2017-10-10 58.0 @ Flamurtari 2 609 25.34% Feronikeli 2 775 42.36% 32.30%
9 2018-03-03 55.0 @ Flamurtari 2 499 14.07% Llapi 1 791 56.36% 29.57%
10 2017-09-17 54.4 Gjilani 2 717 16.09% @ Trepca'89 1 774 53.50% 30.40%
11 2018-03-02 54.1 @ Drita Gjilan 1 834 63.59% Vellaznimi 1 666 9.71% 26.70%
12 2018-04-14 54.1 Llapi 2 746 17.14% @ Liria 1 790 52.11% 30.75%
13 2018-03-14 53.5 @ Liria 1 797 58.83% Vellaznimi 1 685 12.46% 28.71%
14 2018-05-12 53.5 @ Feronikeli 1 812 58.77% Vellaznimi 1 700 12.50% 28.74%
15 2017-10-29 53.1 @ Vellaznimi 1 728 54.45% Drenica 1 662 15.41% 30.15%
16 2017-09-08 53.0 @ Llapi 1 776 53.70% Gjilani 1 717 15.95% 30.35%
17 2017-09-14 52.9 @ Gjilani 1 721 52.04% Vellaznimi 1 678 17.19% 30.77%
18 2017-10-02 52.9 @ Feronikeli 1 779 51.95% Drita Gjilan 1 737 17.26% 30.79%
19 2018-05-19 52.8 @ Drenica 1 747 51.60% Liria 1 708 17.53% 30.87%
20 2017-11-04 52.7 @ Flamurtari 1 547 18.83% Drita Gjilan 1 777 49.94% 31.23%
21 2017-09-28 52.6 @ Drita Gjilan 1 739 47.11% Gjilani 1 740 21.17% 31.73%
22 2017-10-20 52.6 @ Drita Gjilan 1 768 47.11% Trepca'89 1 769 21.17% 31.73%
23 2018-05-12 52.6 @ Gjilani 1 750 47.97% Drenica 1 744 20.44% 31.59%
24 2017-09-13 52.4 @ Drenica 1 655 27.32% FC Prishtina 1 805 40.21% 32.47%
25 2018-03-11 52.4 @ Trepca'89 1 780 41.19% Drita Gjilan 1 828 26.41% 32.40%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-05-06 25.3 @ Trepca'89 2 825 81.75% Besa 0 381 2.89% 15.36%
2 2017-11-26 25.4 @ Drita Gjilan 3 785 75.21% Vllaznia 0 455 4.82% 19.97%
3 2018-05-18 25.5 @ Trepca'89 6 815 82.19% Vllaznia 1 361 2.78% 15.03%
4 2018-04-15 26.1 @ Drita Gjilan 2 875 79.15% Vllaznia 0 478 3.60% 17.25%
5 2017-11-25 26.7 @ Liria 3 745 71.02% Besa 0 478 6.33% 22.65%
6 2018-04-01 26.8 @ Gjilani 4 734 69.57% Vllaznia 0 488 6.92% 23.52%
7 2017-10-21 28.0 @ FC Prishtina 4 825 65.78% Besa 0 629 8.61% 25.61%
8 2017-11-18 28.0 @ Trepca'89 2 772 72.92% Vllaznia 0 477 5.61% 21.46%
9 2018-05-06 28.6 @ Drita Gjilan 3 920 64.67% Liria 0 739 9.16% 26.18%
10 2017-10-11 28.9 @ Trepca'89 3 798 63.57% Besa 0 631 9.72% 26.71%
11 2018-04-14 29.1 @ Drenica 2 733 69.18% Flamurtari 0 492 7.08% 23.75%
12 2018-03-14 29.3 @ Llapi 2 721 68.50% Vllaznia 0 490 7.37% 24.13%
13 2018-04-14 29.6 @ FC Prishtina 1 849 79.01% Besa 0 455 3.64% 17.35%
14 2017-11-22 30.2 @ Feronikeli 3 850 59.32% Vellaznimi 0 733 12.15% 28.53%
15 2018-04-07 30.2 Drita Gjilan 2 864 65.55% @ Besa 0 466 8.72% 25.73%
16 2018-04-28 30.3 @ Drenica 6 750 72.00% Vllaznia 2 469 5.95% 22.04%
17 2018-02-24 30.4 @ Feronikeli 1 851 76.43% Flamurtari 0 501 4.42% 19.14%
18 2018-04-15 30.6 @ Trepca'89 3 800 58.09% Vellaznimi 0 695 12.92% 28.98%
19 2017-11-22 30.9 @ Liria 2 733 63.14% Flamurtari 0 571 9.95% 26.91%
20 2017-10-29 31.0 @ Llapi 4 770 71.49% Vllaznia 1 496 6.15% 22.36%
21 2017-10-29 31.2 @ Drita Gjilan 2 764 62.39% Besa 0 611 10.36% 27.25%
22 2018-03-11 31.3 @ Vellaznimi 2 672 61.96% Flamurtari 0 524 10.60% 27.44%
23 2018-03-11 31.9 @ Gjilani 1 766 71.44% Vllaznia 0 493 6.17% 22.39%
24 2018-04-09 31.9 FC Prishtina 2 835 59.77% @ Flamurtari 0 506 11.87% 28.35%
25 2017-09-23 32.3 @ Llapi 2 792 58.61% Vellaznimi 0 682 12.59% 28.79%