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2020-21 Football Superleague of Kosovo Season

180 games

Final

Champion

FC Prishtina

78 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

FC Prishtina

8.18 points above expected

78 points · 69.82 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Gjilani

16.53 points below expected

48 points · 64.53 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 FC Prishtina 36 24 6 6 78 65 27 +38 69.82 +8.18
2 Drita Gjilan 36 22 10 4 76 59 28 +31 68.48 +7.52
3 Ballkani 36 23 5 8 74 79 43 +36 69.21 +4.79
4 Gjilani 36 12 12 12 48 37 38 -1 64.53 -16.53
5 Llapi 36 13 4 19 43 49 56 -7 42.37 +0.63
6 Drenica 36 10 12 14 42 34 48 -14 44.64 -2.64
7 Feronikeli 36 10 12 14 42 44 36 +8 55.24 -13.24
8 Trepca'89 36 12 6 18 42 38 54 -16 45.86 -3.86
9 Arberia 36 11 7 18 40 42 58 -16 36.06 +3.94
10 Besa 36 3 6 27 15 27 86 -59 8.22 +6.78

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 FC Prishtina 78 69.82 +8.18
2 Drita Gjilan 76 68.48 +7.52
3 Besa 15 8.22 +6.78
4 Ballkani 74 69.21 +4.79
5 Arberia 40 36.06 +3.94

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Gjilani 48 64.53 -16.53
2 Feronikeli 42 55.24 -13.24
3 Trepca'89 42 45.86 -3.86
4 Drenica 42 44.64 -2.64
5 Llapi 43 42.37 +0.63

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FC Prishtina 9 Apr 4 – May 16 1 in 146
2 Besa 1 Oct 3 – Oct 3 1 in 17
3 Llapi 3 Dec 6 – Dec 13 1 in 11
4 Drenica 2 Oct 28 – Nov 1 1 in 10
5 Drita Gjilan 4 Oct 24 – Nov 4 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gjilani 4 Nov 24 – Dec 9 1 in 279
2 Drenica 5 Nov 21 – Dec 9 1 in 47
3 FC Prishtina 3 Oct 25 – Nov 1 1 in 26
4 Drita Gjilan 2 Feb 20 – Feb 24 1 in 17
5 Arberia 4 Oct 24 – Nov 4 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FC Prishtina 15 Nov 4 – Mar 10 1 in 50
2 Drita Gjilan 14 Oct 24 – Feb 13 1 in 40
3 Drenica 6 Apr 16 – May 9 1 in 22
4 Besa 2 Oct 20 – Oct 24 1 in 21
5 Gjilani 11 Sep 23 – Nov 21 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Feronikeli 7 Sep 23 – Oct 24 1 in 107
2 Drenica 8 Nov 21 – Feb 20 1 in 57
3 Gjilani 6 Feb 15 – Mar 11 1 in 56
4 FC Prishtina 3 Sep 22 – Oct 4 1 in 18
5 Trepca'89 5 Apr 18 – May 5 1 in 14

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
FC Prishtina 1509 78 -5 12 10.6 +1.4
Drita Gjilan 1499 76 +22 11 9.7 +1.3
Ballkani 1477 74 +2 7 8.5 -1.5
Gjilani 1356 48 -25 4 8.5 -4.5
Llapi 1260 43 -23 4 7.3 -3.3
Trepca'89 1246 42 -3 7 6.5 +0.5
Drenica 1271 42 -1 7 6.3 +0.7
Feronikeli 1335 42 +6 7 7.4 -0.4
Arberia 1197 40 +13 7 4.2 +2.8
Besa 852 15 +15 4 1.1 +2.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARB BAL BES DRE DG FP FER GJI LLA TRE
Arberia —
1-0-3
2.38
4-0-0
9.84
2-2-0
4.46
0-1-3
2.32
0-1-3
2.43
1-1-2
3.69
1-1-2
2.69
1-0-3
4.96
1-1-2
4.41
Ballkani
3-0-1
8.87
—
4-0-0
11.05
3-0-1
8.17
1-2-1
5.56
2-0-2
5.45
3-1-0
7.13
1-2-1
6.31
3-0-1
8.35
3-0-1
8.26
Besa
0-0-4
1.54
0-0-4
0.62
—
0-2-2
1.22
0-1-3
0.60
0-0-4
0.57
1-1-2
0.92
1-0-3
0.77
0-1-3
1.34
1-1-2
1.19
Drenica
0-2-2
6.62
1-0-3
2.99
2-2-0
10.25
—
0-1-3
2.93
1-0-3
3.02
2-2-0
4.40
0-3-1
3.45
2-1-1
5.90
2-1-1
5.44
Drita Gjilan
3-1-0
8.94
1-2-1
5.51
3-1-0
11.07
3-1-0
8.24
—
0-2-2
5.59
3-1-0
7.21
2-2-0
6.15
4-0-0
8.51
3-0-1
8.10
FC Prishtina
3-1-0
8.80
2-0-2
5.63
4-0-0
11.12
3-0-1
8.14
2-2-0
5.48
—
2-1-1
7.52
2-1-1
6.58
3-1-0
8.47
3-0-1
8.26
Feronikeli
2-1-1
7.43
0-1-3
3.97
2-1-1
10.64
0-2-2
6.69
0-1-3
3.90
1-1-2
3.61
—
1-2-1
4.06
2-1-1
6.87
2-2-0
6.58
Gjilani
2-1-1
8.50
1-2-1
4.78
3-0-1
10.85
1-3-0
7.68
0-2-2
4.93
1-1-2
4.50
1-2-1
7.03
—
2-0-2
8.20
1-1-2
7.82
Llapi
3-0-1
6.11
1-0-3
2.83
3-1-0
10.10
1-1-2
5.18
0-0-4
2.69
0-1-3
2.72
1-1-2
4.22
2-0-2
2.98
—
2-0-2
5.03
Trepca'89
2-1-1
6.68
1-0-3
2.92
2-1-1
10.28
1-1-2
5.63
1-0-3
3.06
1-0-3
2.92
0-2-2
4.50
2-1-1
3.31
2-0-2
6.04
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.79 +11.1
Allowed 0.71 -9.6
Differential 0.93 +6.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%9.72%5.56%3.33%1.39%0.56%30.56%
19.72%10.56%8.06%3.33%1.67%0.56%33.89%
25.56%8.06%1.11%1.39%1.67%0.56%18.33%
33.33%3.33%1.39%0.56%1.11%—9.72%
41.39%1.67%1.67%1.11%——5.83%
5+0.56%0.56%0.56%———1.67%
Total30.56%33.89%18.33%9.72%5.83%1.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.32 +0.00
SD 1.26 1.26 1.79
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%—27.78%
113.89%16.67%8.33%5.56%——44.44%
22.78%2.78%——2.78%2.78%11.11%
35.56%—5.56%—5.56%—16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%30.56%22.22%8.33%11.11%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.61 -0.44
SD 1.03 1.48 1.66
CV 0.88 0.92 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%——2.78%—13.89%
18.33%8.33%8.33%———25.00%
211.11%11.11%—2.78%——25.00%
32.78%2.78%2.78%—2.78%—11.11%
4—8.33%5.56%2.78%——16.67%
5+2.78%—5.56%———8.33%
Total30.56%36.11%22.22%5.56%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.19 1.19 +1.00
SD 1.60 1.12 1.77
CV 0.73 0.93 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%5.56%13.89%2.78%—36.11%
12.78%8.33%13.89%8.33%13.89%5.56%52.78%
2—5.56%2.78%—2.78%—11.11%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total8.33%22.22%22.22%22.22%19.44%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.75 2.39 -1.64
SD 0.65 1.40 1.48
CV 0.87 0.59 —
Max 2 5 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%13.89%—8.33%—2.78%41.67%
18.33%11.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%—33.33%
22.78%11.11%2.78%———16.67%
3—2.78%—2.78%——5.56%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%38.89%13.89%13.89%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.33 -0.39
SD 1.04 1.26 1.57
CV 1.10 0.95 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%—5.56%———13.89%
119.44%19.44%5.56%———44.44%
25.56%8.33%————13.89%
35.56%11.11%2.78%———19.44%
4—5.56%2.78%———8.33%
5+———————
Total38.89%44.44%16.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 0.78 +0.86
SD 1.20 0.72 1.29
CV 0.73 0.93 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%5.56%———22.22%
18.33%5.56%2.78%———16.67%
213.89%16.67%———2.78%33.33%
38.33%8.33%————16.67%
45.56%—2.78%———8.33%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total47.22%38.89%11.11%——2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 0.75 +1.06
SD 1.35 1.00 1.69
CV 0.75 1.33 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%13.89%2.78%———30.56%
15.56%16.67%11.11%5.56%——38.89%
25.56%—2.78%5.56%——13.89%
38.33%2.78%————11.11%
45.56%—————5.56%
5+———————
Total38.89%33.33%16.67%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.00 +0.22
SD 1.17 1.01 1.64
CV 0.96 1.01 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%8.33%5.56%5.56%2.78%—44.44%
111.11%11.11%5.56%2.78%——30.56%
25.56%5.56%—2.78%——13.89%
3—2.78%————2.78%
42.78%——2.78%——5.56%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total41.67%30.56%11.11%13.89%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.06 -0.03
SD 1.30 1.17 1.72
CV 1.26 1.11 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%22.22%8.33%—2.78%—36.11%
18.33%2.78%2.78%5.56%——19.44%
28.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%8.33%—27.78%
3—2.78%2.78%2.78%——8.33%
4—2.78%—2.78%——5.56%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total22.22%36.11%16.67%13.89%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.56 -0.19
SD 1.36 1.30 1.80
CV 1.00 0.83 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%13.89%2.78%—2.78%38.89%
111.11%5.56%13.89%2.78%——33.33%
2—13.89%——2.78%—16.67%
32.78%———2.78%—5.56%
4——2.78%2.78%——5.56%
5+———————
Total25.00%27.78%30.56%8.33%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.50 -0.44
SD 1.15 1.28 1.58
CV 1.08 0.85 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
FC Prishtina 1509 78 69.82 +8.18 88.0% 52 56 65 69 74 83 86
Drita Gjilan 1499 76 68.48 +7.52 86.0% 52 55 62 69 73 84 88
Ballkani 1477 74 69.21 +4.79 74.0% 53 55 65 69 75 80 87
Gjilani 1356 48 64.53 -16.53 4.0% 37 49 60 64 70 77 85
Feronikeli 1335 42 55.24 -13.24 2.0% 41 45 50 55 60 68 77
Drenica 1271 42 44.64 -2.64 46.0% 29 35 38 43 50 58 62
Llapi 1260 43 42.37 +0.63 59.0% 28 31 37 42 47 55 58
Trepca'89 1246 42 45.86 -3.86 34.0% 32 35 40 46 49 57 64
Arberia 1197 40 36.06 +3.94 74.0% 23 26 31 36 41 46 49
Besa 852 15 8.22 +6.78 96.0% 0 3 5 8 10 15 19

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.56%
Slight Edge
46.67%22.22%31.11%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 54.49 Elo pts.
284 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.24 goals
Neutral
-2+0.19+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.9
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
29%
FC Prishtina, 2nd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.06/gm
Photo Finish
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.66 * Some Luck: 5.66 to 8.49 * Lucky: 8.49 to 11.33 * Wild Swing: 11.33 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.76 * Close: 0.76 to 1.13 * Off: 1.13 to 1.51 * Way Off: 1.51 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.23 points
Some Luck
07.0818
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Close
00.952
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
96.00%
Besa
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
2.00%
Feronikeli
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 193.31
2.49
Wide Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
76%
Wide Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
63%
Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Occasional
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.522
Matchup Imbalance
0.50
Notable Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.40
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.83
Near-Lock
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
As Expected
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.62
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.85
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.069
Well Within Noise
00.1160.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
FC Prishtina29.00%31.00%25.00%8.00%5.00%2.00%————
Drita Gjilan24.00%28.00%20.00%22.00%6.00%—————
Ballkani30.00%24.00%28.00%11.00%6.00%1.00%————
Gjilani15.00%14.00%24.00%26.00%15.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%——
Llapi———3.00%7.00%20.00%25.00%26.00%19.00%—
Drenica——1.00%6.00%8.00%25.00%20.00%27.00%13.00%—
Feronikeli2.00%3.00%1.00%21.00%40.00%17.00%14.00%2.00%——
Trepca'89——1.00%3.00%13.00%27.00%30.00%14.00%12.00%—
Arberia—————5.00%9.00%30.00%56.00%—
Besa—————————100.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Ballkani 100% — —
Drita Gjilan 100% — —
FC Prishtina 100% — —
Feronikeli 98.00% 2.00% —
Gjilani 99.00% 1.00% —
Trepca'89 74.00% 14.00% 12.00%
Drenica 60.00% 27.00% 13.00%
Llapi 55.00% 26.00% 19.00%
Arberia 14.00% 30.00% 56.00%
Besa — — 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2020-09-18 Arberia L 0-243.8 1313 1212 58.13% 21.79% 20.08%+0.55 -21.3 0
2020-09-18 @ Trepca'89 W 2-043.8 1212 1313 20.08% 21.79% 58.13%-0.55 +21.3 3
2020-09-19 Ballkani L 1-425.6 829 1438 3.21% 9.78% 87.00%-1.95 -1.5 0
2020-09-19 @ Besa W 4-125.6 1438 829 87.00% 9.78% 3.21%+1.95 +1.5 3
2020-09-19 Drenica W 3-030.6 1449 1301 63.09% 20.63% 16.28%+0.71 +10.4 3
2020-09-19 @ FC Prishtina L 0-330.6 1301 1449 16.28% 20.63% 63.09%-0.71 -10.4 0
2020-09-20 Gjilani W 4-041.9 1325 1470 26.57% 22.94% 50.49%-0.32 +35.8 3
2020-09-20 @ Feronikeli L 0-441.9 1470 1325 50.49% 22.94% 26.57%+0.32 -35.8 0
2020-09-22 Besa W 2-132.9 1291 828 85.33% 10.82% 3.85%+1.82 +0.7 3
2020-09-22 @ Drenica L 1-232.9 828 1291 3.85% 10.82% 85.33%-1.82 -0.7 0
2020-09-22 FC Prishtina D 1-156.8 1233 1459 18.68% 21.41% 59.91%-0.60 +1.9 4
2020-09-22 @ Arberia D 1-156.8 1459 1233 59.91% 21.41% 18.68%+0.60 -1.9 4
2020-09-23 Feronikeli W 3-250.2 1439 1361 55.67% 22.24% 22.10%+0.47 +4.5 6
2020-09-23 @ Ballkani L 2-350.2 1361 1439 22.10% 22.24% 55.67%-0.47 -4.5 3
2020-09-23 Gjilani L 0-137.7 1236 1434 21.10% 22.03% 56.87%-0.51 -4.9 0
2020-09-23 @ Llapi W 1-037.7 1434 1236 56.87% 22.03% 21.10%+0.51 +4.9 3
2020-09-25 Arberia L 0-324.1 827 1235 8.28% 15.99% 75.73%-1.25 -5.1 0
2020-09-25 @ Besa W 3-024.1 1235 827 75.73% 15.99% 8.28%+1.25 +5.0 7
2020-09-26 Drenica D 2-261.4 1356 1291 54.07% 22.49% 23.45%+0.42 -1.0 4
2020-09-26 @ Feronikeli D 2-261.4 1291 1356 23.45% 22.49% 54.07%-0.42 +1.0 4
2020-09-26 Llapi W 1-037.7 1291 1231 53.53% 22.57% 23.91%+0.40 +5.4 3
2020-09-26 @ Trepca'89 L 0-137.7 1231 1291 23.91% 22.57% 53.53%-0.40 -5.4 0
2020-09-27 Ballkani D 0-055.7 1439 1444 45.13% 23.38% 31.50%+0.17 -0.7 4
2020-09-27 @ Gjilani D 0-055.7 1444 1439 31.50% 23.38% 45.13%-0.17 +0.7 7
2020-09-29 Feronikeli D 0-050.8 1240 1355 30.11% 23.28% 46.61%-0.21 +0.8 8
2020-09-29 @ Arberia D 0-050.8 1355 1240 46.61% 23.28% 30.11%+0.21 -0.8 5
2020-09-30 Ballkani L 1-338.4 1225 1445 19.25% 21.57% 59.18%-0.58 -7.3 0
2020-09-30 @ Llapi W 3-138.4 1445 1225 59.18% 21.57% 19.25%+0.58 +7.3 10
2020-09-30 Besa W 3-127.4 1430 822 91.02% 7.13% 1.86%+2.33 +0.6 3
2020-09-30 @ Drita Gjilan L 1-327.4 822 1430 1.86% 7.13% 91.02%-2.33 -0.6 0
2020-09-30 FC Prishtina W 1-048.5 1297 1458 24.80% 22.70% 52.49%-0.37 +10.3 6
2020-09-30 @ Trepca'89 L 0-148.5 1458 1297 52.49% 22.70% 24.80%+0.37 -10.3 4
2020-10-01 Gjilani D 0-052.3 1292 1438 26.45% 22.93% 50.62%-0.32 +1.2 5
2020-10-01 @ Drenica D 0-052.3 1438 1292 50.62% 22.93% 26.45%+0.32 -1.2 5
2020-10-03 Trepca'89 W 2-156.8 821 1307 5.80% 13.46% 80.74%-1.52 +13.9 3
2020-10-03 @ Besa L 1-256.8 1307 821 80.74% 13.46% 5.80%+1.52 -13.9 6
2020-10-04 Drenica W 5-030.3 1452 1293 64.08% 20.36% 15.56%+0.75 +16.0 13
2020-10-04 @ Ballkani L 0-530.3 1293 1452 15.56% 20.36% 64.08%-0.75 -16.0 5
2020-10-04 Drita Gjilan L 1-249.4 1354 1431 35.13% 23.53% 41.35%-0.08 -7.1 5
2020-10-04 @ Feronikeli W 2-149.4 1431 1354 41.35% 23.53% 35.13%+0.08 +7.1 6
2020-10-04 Llapi D 0-052.9 1447 1218 70.38% 18.26% 11.36%+1.00 -3.1 5
2020-10-04 @ FC Prishtina D 0-052.9 1218 1447 11.36% 18.26% 70.38%-1.00 +3.1 1
2020-10-05 Arberia W 3-136.0 1437 1241 67.53% 19.29% 13.18%+0.88 +5.0 8
2020-10-05 @ Gjilani L 1-336.0 1241 1437 13.18% 19.29% 67.53%-0.88 -5.0 8
2020-10-14 Trepca'89 W 1-036.7 1438 1293 62.75% 20.72% 16.52%+0.70 +3.8 9
2020-10-14 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-136.7 1293 1438 16.52% 20.72% 62.75%-0.70 -3.9 6
2020-10-16 Ballkani L 2-442.2 1236 1468 18.22% 21.28% 60.50%-0.62 -6.2 8
2020-10-16 @ Arberia W 4-242.2 1468 1236 60.50% 21.28% 18.22%+0.62 +6.2 16
2020-10-17 Besa W 4-019.1 1444 835 91.03% 7.12% 1.85%+2.34 +1.2 8
2020-10-17 @ FC Prishtina L 0-419.1 835 1444 1.85% 7.12% 91.03%-2.34 -1.2 3
2020-10-17 Drenica L 0-142.1 1221 1277 37.96% 23.56% 38.47%-0.01 -7.9 1
2020-10-17 @ Llapi W 1-042.1 1277 1221 38.47% 23.56% 37.96%+0.01 +7.9 8
2020-10-18 Feronikeli D 0-051.0 1289 1347 37.71% 23.56% 38.73%-0.01 +0.0 7
2020-10-18 @ Trepca'89 D 0-051.0 1347 1289 38.73% 23.56% 37.71%+0.01 -0.0 6
2020-10-18 Gjilani D 0-055.7 1442 1442 45.82% 23.34% 30.85%+0.19 -0.7 10
2020-10-18 @ Drita Gjilan D 0-055.7 1442 1442 30.85% 23.34% 45.82%-0.19 +0.7 9
2020-10-20 Arberia L 0-146.4 1285 1230 52.93% 22.65% 24.43%+0.39 -10.4 8
2020-10-20 @ Drenica W 1-046.4 1230 1285 24.43% 22.65% 52.93%-0.39 +10.4 11
2020-10-20 Llapi D 2-261.7 834 1213 9.44% 16.94% 73.61%-1.14 +2.2 4
2020-10-20 @ Besa D 2-261.7 1213 834 73.61% 16.94% 9.44%+1.14 -2.2 2
2020-10-21 Drita Gjilan W 2-041.1 1474 1441 50.13% 22.98% 26.89%+0.31 +11.3 19
2020-10-21 @ Ballkani L 0-241.1 1441 1474 26.89% 22.98% 50.13%-0.31 -11.3 10
2020-10-21 FC Prishtina L 1-248.7 1347 1445 32.24% 23.42% 44.34%-0.15 -6.6 6
2020-10-21 @ Feronikeli W 2-148.7 1445 1347 44.34% 23.42% 32.24%+0.15 +6.6 11
2020-10-21 Trepca'89 D 0-053.1 1443 1289 63.59% 20.50% 15.91%+0.73 -2.5 10
2020-10-21 @ Gjilani D 0-053.1 1289 1443 15.91% 20.50% 63.59%-0.73 +2.5 8
2020-10-24 Arberia W 2-037.0 1211 1240 41.79% 23.52% 34.70%+0.09 +14.0 5
2020-10-24 @ Llapi L 0-237.0 1240 1211 34.70% 23.52% 41.79%-0.09 -14.0 11
2020-10-24 Drenica W 4-134.5 1430 1275 63.73% 20.46% 15.81%+0.74 +8.5 13
2020-10-24 @ Drita Gjilan L 1-434.5 1275 1430 15.81% 20.46% 63.73%-0.74 -8.5 8
2020-10-24 Feronikeli D 1-157.6 836 1341 5.31% 12.86% 81.83%-1.58 +3.5 5
2020-10-24 @ Besa D 1-157.6 1341 836 81.83% 12.86% 5.31%+1.58 -3.5 7
2020-10-25 Ballkani W 4-362.6 1292 1485 21.54% 22.12% 56.34%-0.49 +9.6 11
2020-10-25 @ Trepca'89 L 3-462.6 1485 1292 56.34% 22.12% 21.54%+0.49 -9.6 19
2020-10-25 Gjilani L 0-246.6 1452 1440 47.40% 23.23% 29.37%+0.23 -17.9 11
2020-10-25 @ FC Prishtina W 2-046.6 1440 1452 29.37% 23.23% 47.40%-0.23 +17.9 13
2020-10-27 Drita Gjilan L 0-137.2 1226 1438 19.88% 21.74% 58.38%-0.55 -4.6 11
2020-10-27 @ Arberia W 1-037.2 1438 1226 58.38% 21.74% 19.88%+0.55 +4.6 16
2020-10-27 Llapi W 1-036.1 1337 1225 59.40% 21.53% 19.08%+0.59 +4.4 10
2020-10-27 @ Feronikeli L 0-136.1 1225 1337 19.08% 21.53% 59.40%-0.59 -4.4 5
2020-10-28 Besa W 1-025.9 1458 840 91.32% 6.92% 1.76%+2.37 +0.3 16
2020-10-28 @ Gjilani L 0-125.9 840 1458 1.76% 6.92% 91.32%-2.37 -0.3 5
2020-10-28 FC Prishtina W 2-149.9 1476 1434 51.23% 22.86% 25.91%+0.34 +5.5 22
2020-10-28 @ Ballkani L 1-249.9 1434 1476 25.91% 22.86% 51.23%-0.34 -5.5 11
2020-10-28 Trepca'89 W 2-146.9 1266 1301 41.01% 23.53% 35.46%+0.07 +7.1 11
2020-10-28 @ Drenica L 1-246.9 1301 1266 35.46% 23.53% 41.01%-0.07 -7.1 11
2020-10-31 Besa W 4-124.1 1481 840 92.00% 6.44% 1.56%+2.45 +0.7 25
2020-10-31 @ Ballkani L 1-424.1 840 1481 1.56% 6.44% 92.00%-2.45 -0.7 5
2020-10-31 Feronikeli D 0-054.1 1458 1342 59.88% 21.42% 18.70%+0.60 -2.1 17
2020-10-31 @ Gjilani D 0-054.1 1342 1458 18.70% 21.42% 59.88%-0.60 +2.1 11
2020-10-31 Trepca'89 L 1-246.8 1222 1294 35.68% 23.54% 40.78%-0.06 -7.1 11
2020-10-31 @ Arberia W 2-146.8 1294 1222 40.78% 23.54% 35.68%+0.06 +7.1 14
2020-11-01 Drita Gjilan L 1-242.1 1221 1443 18.99% 21.50% 59.51%-0.59 -4.1 5
2020-11-01 @ Llapi W 2-142.1 1443 1221 59.51% 21.50% 18.99%+0.59 +4.2 19
2020-11-01 FC Prishtina W 1-047.5 1274 1429 25.44% 22.80% 51.76%-0.35 +10.2 14
2020-11-01 @ Drenica L 0-147.5 1429 1274 51.76% 22.80% 25.44%+0.35 -10.2 11
2020-11-04 Arberia W 1-033.9 1418 1215 68.22% 19.05% 12.72%+0.91 +2.9 14
2020-11-04 @ FC Prishtina L 0-133.9 1215 1418 12.72% 19.05% 68.22%-0.91 -3.0 11
2020-11-04 Drenica D 0-052.4 839 1284 7.00% 14.78% 78.22%-1.37 +3.7 6
2020-11-04 @ Besa D 0-052.4 1284 839 78.22% 14.78% 7.00%+1.37 -3.7 15
2020-11-04 Drita Gjilan L 0-140.6 1301 1447 26.48% 22.93% 50.59%-0.32 -5.9 14
2020-11-04 @ Trepca'89 W 1-040.6 1447 1301 50.59% 22.93% 26.48%+0.32 +5.9 22
2020-11-05 Ballkani D 1-158.7 1344 1482 27.32% 23.03% 49.66%-0.29 +1.0 12
2020-11-05 @ Feronikeli D 1-158.7 1482 1344 49.66% 23.03% 27.32%+0.29 -1.0 26
2020-11-05 Llapi W 2-029.4 1456 1216 71.25% 17.93% 10.82%+1.04 +4.7 20
2020-11-05 @ Gjilani L 0-229.4 1216 1456 10.82% 17.93% 71.25%-1.04 -4.7 5
2020-11-10 FC Prishtina D 0-055.5 1453 1421 49.97% 23.00% 27.04%+0.30 -1.1 23
2020-11-10 @ Drita Gjilan D 0-055.5 1421 1453 27.04% 23.00% 49.97%-0.30 +1.1 15
2020-11-10 Feronikeli W 1-043.3 1280 1345 36.78% 23.56% 39.66%-0.04 +8.2 18
2020-11-10 @ Drenica L 0-143.3 1345 1280 39.66% 23.56% 36.78%+0.04 -8.2 12
2020-11-10 Trepca'89 W 5-037.2 1212 1296 34.13% 23.50% 42.37%-0.10 +38.2 8
2020-11-10 @ Llapi L 0-537.2 1296 1212 42.37% 23.50% 34.13%+0.10 -38.1 14
2020-11-11 Besa W 1-029.1 1212 843 80.30% 13.70% 6.01%+1.49 +1.3 14
2020-11-11 @ Arberia L 0-129.1 843 1212 6.01% 13.70% 80.30%-1.49 -1.3 6
2020-11-21 Arberia W 1-035.7 1336 1213 60.58% 21.26% 18.16%+0.63 +4.2 15
2020-11-21 @ Feronikeli L 0-135.7 1213 1336 18.16% 21.26% 60.58%-0.63 -4.2 14
2020-11-21 Drenica W 1-036.2 1461 1288 65.43% 19.96% 14.61%+0.80 +3.4 23
2020-11-21 @ Gjilani L 0-136.2 1288 1461 14.61% 19.96% 65.43%-0.80 -3.4 18
2020-11-21 Drita Gjilan L 1-425.6 841 1452 3.18% 9.74% 87.08%-1.96 -1.5 6
2020-11-21 @ Besa W 4-125.6 1452 841 87.08% 9.74% 3.18%+1.96 +1.4 26
2020-11-22 Llapi W 4-239.5 1481 1250 70.54% 18.20% 11.26%+1.01 +3.8 29
2020-11-22 @ Ballkani L 2-439.5 1250 1481 11.26% 18.20% 70.54%-1.01 -3.8 8
2020-11-22 Trepca'89 W 4-240.6 1422 1257 64.72% 20.18% 15.10%+0.77 +5.1 18
2020-11-22 @ FC Prishtina L 2-440.6 1257 1422 15.10% 20.18% 64.72%-0.77 -5.1 14
2020-11-24 Feronikeli D 1-158.4 1453 1341 59.43% 21.52% 19.05%+0.59 -1.8 27
2020-11-24 @ Drita Gjilan D 1-158.4 1341 1453 19.05% 21.52% 59.43%-0.59 +1.8 16
2020-11-24 Gjilani W 1-049.9 1209 1464 16.40% 20.68% 62.92%-0.71 +12.1 17
2020-11-24 @ Arberia L 0-149.9 1464 1209 62.92% 20.68% 16.40%+0.71 -12.1 23
2020-11-25 Besa W 4-233.6 1252 840 82.76% 12.33% 4.90%+1.64 +1.5 17
2020-11-25 @ Trepca'89 L 2-433.6 840 1252 4.90% 12.33% 82.76%-1.64 -1.5 6
2020-11-25 FC Prishtina L 0-234.3 1246 1427 22.70% 22.35% 54.95%-0.45 -9.8 8
2020-11-25 @ Llapi W 2-034.3 1427 1246 54.95% 22.35% 22.70%+0.45 +9.8 21
2020-11-26 Ballkani L 1-244.4 1285 1485 20.96% 21.99% 57.05%-0.51 -4.6 18
2020-11-26 @ Drenica W 2-144.4 1485 1285 57.05% 21.99% 20.96%+0.51 +4.6 32
2020-11-28 FC Prishtina L 0-223.3 838 1437 3.37% 10.05% 86.58%-1.92 -1.3 6
2020-11-28 @ Besa W 2-023.3 1437 838 86.58% 10.05% 3.37%+1.92 +1.3 24
2020-11-29 Drita Gjilan L 2-360.6 1452 1451 45.93% 23.33% 30.74%+0.19 -8.3 23
2020-11-29 @ Gjilani W 3-260.6 1451 1452 30.74% 23.33% 45.93%-0.19 +8.3 30
2020-11-29 Trepca'89 W 2-033.1 1342 1254 56.83% 22.03% 21.14%+0.50 +9.2 19
2020-11-29 @ Feronikeli L 0-233.1 1254 1342 21.14% 22.03% 56.83%-0.50 -9.2 17
2020-11-30 Arberia W 2-138.5 1489 1221 73.47% 17.01% 9.53%+1.14 +2.0 35
2020-11-30 @ Ballkani L 1-238.5 1221 1489 9.53% 17.01% 73.47%-1.14 -2.0 17
2020-11-30 Llapi L 0-146.0 1280 1236 51.53% 22.82% 25.65%+0.35 -10.2 18
2020-11-30 @ Drenica W 1-046.0 1236 1280 25.65% 22.82% 51.53%-0.35 +10.2 11
2020-12-03 Llapi W 1-034.5 1460 1247 69.04% 18.76% 12.19%+0.94 +2.8 33
2020-12-03 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-134.5 1247 1460 12.19% 18.76% 69.04%-0.94 -2.8 11
2020-12-04 Feronikeli D 0-053.7 1439 1352 56.61% 22.07% 21.32%+0.50 -1.8 25
2020-12-04 @ FC Prishtina D 0-053.7 1352 1439 21.32% 22.07% 56.61%-0.50 +1.8 20
2020-12-05 Drenica W 1-042.0 1219 1270 38.69% 23.56% 37.75%+0.01 +7.9 20
2020-12-05 @ Arberia L 0-142.0 1270 1219 37.75% 23.56% 38.69%-0.01 -7.9 18
2020-12-05 Gjilani W 3-042.3 1245 1444 21.00% 22.00% 57.00%-0.51 +30.5 20
2020-12-05 @ Trepca'89 L 0-342.3 1444 1245 57.00% 22.00% 21.00%+0.51 -30.5 23
2020-12-06 Ballkani W 2-154.2 1462 1491 41.87% 23.51% 34.61%+0.09 +7.0 36
2020-12-06 @ Drita Gjilan L 1-254.2 1491 1462 34.61% 23.51% 41.87%-0.09 -7.0 35
2020-12-06 Besa W 2-024.5 1244 837 82.45% 12.51% 5.04%+1.62 +2.0 14
2020-12-06 @ Llapi L 0-224.5 837 1244 5.04% 12.51% 82.45%-1.62 -2.0 6
2020-12-09 Besa W 3-020.5 1353 835 87.78% 9.29% 2.93%+2.02 +1.5 23
2020-12-09 @ Feronikeli L 0-320.5 835 1353 2.93% 9.29% 87.78%-2.02 -1.6 6
2020-12-09 Drita Gjilan L 0-331.8 1262 1469 20.29% 21.84% 57.87%-0.54 -12.8 18
2020-12-09 @ Drenica W 3-031.8 1469 1262 57.87% 21.84% 20.29%+0.54 +12.8 39
2020-12-09 FC Prishtina L 0-341.6 1413 1437 42.63% 23.49% 33.88%+0.11 -23.8 23
2020-12-09 @ Gjilani W 3-041.6 1437 1413 33.88% 23.49% 42.63%-0.11 +23.8 28
2020-12-10 Llapi L 1-248.9 1227 1246 43.26% 23.47% 33.28%+0.13 -8.3 20
2020-12-10 @ Arberia W 2-148.9 1246 1227 33.28% 23.47% 43.26%-0.13 +8.3 17
2020-12-10 Trepca'89 W 2-031.4 1484 1275 68.71% 18.88% 12.41%+0.93 +5.4 38
2020-12-10 @ Ballkani L 0-231.4 1275 1484 12.41% 18.88% 68.71%-0.93 -5.4 20
2020-12-12 Gjilani L 1-233.2 834 1390 4.15% 11.28% 84.56%-1.77 -0.8 6
2020-12-12 @ Besa W 2-133.2 1390 834 84.56% 11.28% 4.15%+1.77 +0.8 26
2020-12-13 Ballkani W 2-154.1 1461 1490 41.83% 23.51% 34.66%+0.09 +7.0 31
2020-12-13 @ FC Prishtina L 1-254.1 1490 1461 34.66% 23.51% 41.83%-0.09 -7.0 38
2020-12-13 Feronikeli W 3-254.7 1254 1355 31.85% 23.40% 44.75%-0.16 +8.1 20
2020-12-13 @ Llapi L 2-354.7 1355 1254 44.75% 23.40% 31.85%+0.16 -8.1 23
2020-12-14 Arberia D 1-158.1 1482 1219 73.12% 17.15% 9.72%+1.12 -3.0 40
2020-12-14 @ Drita Gjilan D 1-158.1 1219 1482 9.72% 17.15% 73.12%-1.12 +3.0 21
2020-12-14 Drenica D 0-050.4 1270 1249 48.50% 23.14% 28.37%+0.26 -1.0 21
2020-12-14 @ Trepca'89 D 0-050.4 1249 1270 28.37% 23.14% 48.50%-0.26 +1.0 19
2020-12-19 Gjilani L 0-445.7 1483 1390 57.22% 21.96% 20.82%+0.52 -39.9 38
2020-12-19 @ Ballkani W 4-045.7 1390 1483 20.82% 21.96% 57.22%-0.52 +39.9 29
2020-12-20 Drita Gjilan D 1-162.4 1468 1479 44.24% 23.42% 32.34%+0.15 -0.5 32
2020-12-20 @ FC Prishtina D 1-162.4 1479 1468 32.34% 23.42% 44.24%-0.15 +0.5 41
2021-02-13 Ballkani L 0-320.8 833 1443 3.19% 9.75% 87.06%-1.96 -1.7 6
2021-02-13 @ Besa W 3-020.8 1443 833 87.06% 9.75% 3.19%+1.96 +1.7 41
2021-02-13 Drenica W 3-136.0 1467 1250 69.34% 18.65% 12.00%+0.95 +4.5 35
2021-02-13 @ FC Prishtina L 1-336.0 1250 1467 12.00% 18.65% 69.34%-0.95 -4.5 19
2021-02-13 Llapi W 1-034.9 1480 1262 69.43% 18.62% 11.95%+0.96 +2.8 44
2021-02-13 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-134.9 1262 1480 11.95% 18.62% 69.43%-0.96 -2.8 20
2021-02-15 Arberia D 1-155.0 1269 1222 51.91% 22.78% 25.32%+0.36 -1.2 22
2021-02-15 @ Trepca'89 D 1-155.0 1222 1269 25.32% 22.78% 51.91%-0.36 +1.2 22
2021-02-15 Gjilani D 1-157.5 1347 1430 34.18% 23.50% 42.32%-0.10 +0.3 24
2021-02-15 @ Feronikeli D 1-157.5 1430 1347 42.32% 23.50% 34.18%+0.10 -0.3 30
2021-02-19 FC Prishtina L 0-429.5 1223 1472 16.88% 20.85% 62.27%-0.68 -14.1 22
2021-02-19 @ Arberia W 4-029.5 1472 1223 62.27% 20.85% 16.88%+0.68 +14.1 38
2021-02-20 Besa D 0-053.2 1246 831 82.90% 12.26% 4.85%+1.65 -4.0 20
2021-02-20 @ Drenica D 0-053.2 831 1246 4.85% 12.26% 82.90%-1.65 +4.0 7
2021-02-20 Trepca'89 L 1-257.5 1482 1267 69.21% 18.70% 12.09%+0.95 -12.4 44
2021-02-20 @ Drita Gjilan W 2-157.5 1267 1482 12.09% 18.70% 69.21%-0.95 +12.4 25
2021-02-21 Feronikeli W 1-039.3 1444 1347 57.77% 21.86% 20.37%+0.53 +4.7 44
2021-02-21 @ Ballkani L 0-139.3 1347 1444 20.37% 21.86% 57.77%-0.53 -4.7 24
2021-02-21 Gjilani W 3-149.3 1259 1430 23.78% 22.54% 53.68%-0.41 +17.2 23
2021-02-21 @ Llapi L 1-349.3 1430 1259 53.68% 22.54% 23.78%+0.41 -17.2 30
2021-02-24 Ballkani D 1-159.5 1413 1449 40.80% 23.54% 35.66%+0.06 -0.2 31
2021-02-24 @ Gjilani D 1-159.5 1449 1413 35.66% 23.54% 40.80%-0.06 +0.2 45
2021-02-24 Drita Gjilan W 2-043.2 1486 1470 47.89% 23.19% 28.92%+0.25 +12.1 41
2021-02-24 @ FC Prishtina L 0-243.2 1470 1486 28.92% 23.19% 47.89%-0.25 -12.1 44
2021-02-24 Llapi W 1-040.0 1280 1277 46.28% 23.31% 30.42%+0.20 +6.7 28
2021-02-24 @ Trepca'89 L 0-140.0 1277 1280 30.42% 23.31% 46.28%-0.20 -6.7 23
2021-02-25 Arberia L 0-324.9 835 1209 9.69% 17.13% 73.19%-1.12 -6.0 7
2021-02-25 @ Besa W 3-024.9 1209 835 73.19% 17.13% 9.69%+1.12 +6.0 25
2021-02-25 Drenica L 1-349.5 1343 1242 58.15% 21.78% 20.06%+0.55 -18.5 24
2021-02-25 @ Feronikeli W 3-149.5 1242 1343 20.06% 21.78% 58.15%-0.55 +18.5 23
2021-02-27 FC Prishtina L 1-244.3 1287 1498 19.94% 21.75% 58.31%-0.55 -4.3 28
2021-02-27 @ Trepca'89 W 2-144.3 1498 1287 58.31% 21.75% 19.94%+0.55 +4.3 44
2021-02-28 Ballkani W 1-048.5 1270 1449 22.89% 22.39% 54.73%-0.44 +10.7 26
2021-02-28 @ Llapi L 0-148.5 1449 1270 54.73% 22.39% 22.89%+0.44 -10.7 45
2021-02-28 Besa W 3-127.2 1458 829 91.64% 6.69% 1.67%+2.41 +0.5 47
2021-02-28 @ Drita Gjilan L 1-327.2 829 1458 1.67% 6.69% 91.64%-2.41 -0.5 7
2021-03-01 Feronikeli L 0-333.7 1215 1324 30.78% 23.33% 45.89%-0.19 -18.4 25
2021-03-01 @ Arberia W 3-033.7 1324 1215 45.89% 23.33% 30.78%+0.19 +18.4 27
2021-03-01 Gjilani D 0-051.6 1260 1413 25.74% 22.84% 51.42%-0.34 +1.3 24
2021-03-01 @ Drenica D 0-051.6 1413 1260 51.42% 22.84% 25.74%+0.34 -1.3 32
2021-03-05 Drenica W 2-140.7 1439 1262 65.84% 19.84% 14.32%+0.82 +3.1 48
2021-03-05 @ Ballkani L 1-240.7 1262 1439 14.32% 19.84% 65.84%-0.82 -3.1 24
2021-03-05 Trepca'89 L 1-234.9 829 1282 6.73% 14.50% 78.77%-1.41 -1.4 7
2021-03-05 @ Besa W 2-134.9 1282 829 78.77% 14.50% 6.73%+1.41 +1.4 31
2021-03-06 Arberia D 1-156.8 1411 1196 69.21% 18.70% 12.09%+0.95 -2.7 33
2021-03-06 @ Gjilani D 1-156.8 1196 1411 12.09% 18.70% 69.21%-0.95 +2.7 26
2021-03-06 Llapi W 2-031.6 1502 1281 69.74% 18.50% 11.75%+0.97 +5.1 47
2021-03-06 @ FC Prishtina L 0-231.6 1281 1502 11.75% 18.50% 69.74%-0.97 -5.1 26
2021-03-07 Drita Gjilan L 0-142.8 1342 1459 29.96% 23.27% 46.77%-0.22 -6.6 27
2021-03-07 @ Feronikeli W 1-042.8 1459 1342 46.77% 23.27% 29.96%+0.22 +6.6 50
2021-03-10 Besa W 5-122.3 1507 827 93.01% 5.71% 1.28%+2.59 +0.7 50
2021-03-10 @ FC Prishtina L 1-522.3 827 1507 1.28% 5.71% 93.01%-2.59 -0.7 7
2021-03-10 Drenica D 3-364.1 1275 1258 48.09% 23.17% 28.74%+0.25 -0.5 27
2021-03-10 @ Llapi D 3-364.1 1258 1275 28.74% 23.17% 48.09%-0.25 +0.5 25
2021-03-10 Feronikeli D 0-050.9 1284 1336 38.53% 23.56% 37.91%+0.01 -0.0 32
2021-03-10 @ Trepca'89 D 0-050.9 1336 1284 37.91% 23.56% 38.53%-0.01 +0.0 28
2021-03-11 Ballkani L 2-634.5 1199 1442 17.34% 21.00% 61.66%-0.66 -10.2 26
2021-03-11 @ Arberia W 6-234.5 1442 1199 61.66% 21.00% 17.34%+0.66 +10.2 51
2021-03-11 Gjilani W 2-038.9 1465 1409 53.06% 22.63% 24.31%+0.39 +10.4 53
2021-03-11 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-238.9 1409 1465 24.31% 22.63% 53.06%-0.39 -10.4 33
2021-03-13 FC Prishtina W 2-046.9 1336 1508 23.66% 22.52% 53.82%-0.41 +19.9 31
2021-03-13 @ Feronikeli L 0-246.9 1508 1336 53.82% 22.52% 23.66%+0.41 -19.9 50
2021-03-13 Llapi L 1-428.1 827 1275 6.89% 14.67% 78.44%-1.39 -3.5 7
2021-03-13 @ Besa W 4-128.1 1275 827 78.44% 14.67% 6.89%+1.39 +3.5 30
2021-03-14 Arberia D 1-155.0 1259 1189 54.70% 22.39% 22.91%+0.44 -1.4 26
2021-03-14 @ Drenica D 1-155.0 1189 1259 22.91% 22.39% 54.70%-0.44 +1.4 27
2021-03-14 Drita Gjilan D 0-057.1 1452 1476 42.61% 23.49% 33.90%+0.11 -0.4 52
2021-03-14 @ Ballkani D 0-057.1 1476 1452 33.90% 23.49% 42.61%-0.11 +0.4 54
2021-03-14 Trepca'89 W 2-142.3 1398 1284 59.66% 21.47% 18.87%+0.60 +4.1 36
2021-03-14 @ Gjilani L 1-242.3 1284 1398 18.87% 21.47% 59.66%-0.60 -4.1 32
2021-03-20 Drenica D 1-158.2 1476 1258 69.49% 18.60% 11.91%+0.96 -2.7 55
2021-03-20 @ Drita Gjilan D 1-158.2 1258 1476 11.91% 18.60% 69.49%-0.96 +2.7 27
2021-03-20 Feronikeli W 2-157.1 823 1356 4.64% 11.98% 83.38%-1.68 +14.1 10
2021-03-20 @ Besa L 1-257.1 1356 823 83.38% 11.98% 4.64%+1.68 -14.1 31
2021-03-21 Arberia W 4-349.2 1278 1190 56.77% 22.04% 21.18%+0.50 +4.3 33
2021-03-21 @ Llapi L 3-449.2 1190 1278 21.18% 22.04% 56.77%-0.50 -4.2 27
2021-03-21 Ballkani L 0-235.4 1279 1452 23.63% 22.52% 53.86%-0.41 -10.1 32
2021-03-21 @ Trepca'89 W 2-035.4 1452 1279 53.86% 22.52% 23.63%+0.41 +10.1 55
2021-03-30 Gjilani D 0-056.3 1488 1402 56.46% 22.10% 21.44%+0.49 -1.8 51
2021-03-30 @ FC Prishtina D 0-056.3 1402 1488 21.44% 22.10% 56.46%-0.49 +1.8 37
2021-04-03 Drita Gjilan L 1-336.3 1186 1473 14.23% 19.80% 65.97%-0.82 -5.4 27
2021-04-03 @ Arberia W 3-136.3 1473 1186 65.97% 19.80% 14.23%+0.82 +5.4 58
2021-04-03 Trepca'89 W 2-036.4 1260 1269 44.61% 23.40% 31.99%+0.16 +13.1 30
2021-04-03 @ Drenica L 0-236.4 1269 1260 31.99% 23.40% 44.61%-0.16 -13.1 32
2021-04-04 FC Prishtina L 0-151.1 1462 1486 42.49% 23.49% 34.02%+0.11 -8.7 55
2021-04-04 @ Ballkani W 1-051.1 1486 1462 34.02% 23.49% 42.49%-0.11 +8.7 54
2021-04-04 Llapi W 4-031.5 1342 1283 53.36% 22.59% 24.05%+0.40 +19.5 34
2021-04-04 @ Feronikeli L 0-431.5 1283 1342 24.05% 22.59% 53.36%-0.40 -19.5 33
2021-04-05 Besa W 5-123.3 1404 837 89.64% 8.07% 2.29%+2.19 +1.3 40
2021-04-05 @ Gjilani L 1-523.3 837 1404 2.29% 8.07% 89.64%-2.19 -1.3 10
2021-04-09 Trepca'89 L 0-141.1 1180 1256 35.23% 23.53% 41.24%-0.07 -7.5 27
2021-04-09 @ Arberia W 1-041.1 1256 1180 41.24% 23.53% 35.23%+0.07 +7.5 35
2021-04-10 Besa W 4-124.3 1453 836 91.29% 6.94% 1.77%+2.36 +0.8 58
2021-04-10 @ Ballkani L 1-424.3 836 1453 1.77% 6.94% 91.29%-2.36 -0.8 10
2021-04-10 Feronikeli W 1-040.7 1405 1361 51.54% 22.82% 25.64%+0.35 +5.8 43
2021-04-10 @ Gjilani L 0-140.7 1361 1405 25.64% 22.82% 51.54%-0.35 -5.8 34
2021-04-11 Drita Gjilan L 2-443.2 1263 1479 19.56% 21.66% 58.78%-0.57 -6.6 33
2021-04-11 @ Llapi W 4-243.2 1479 1263 58.78% 21.66% 19.56%+0.57 +6.6 61
2021-04-11 FC Prishtina L 0-138.4 1273 1495 19.06% 21.52% 59.42%-0.59 -4.4 30
2021-04-11 @ Drenica W 1-038.4 1495 1273 59.42% 21.52% 19.06%+0.59 +4.4 57
2021-04-16 Drenica L 1-235.3 835 1269 7.37% 15.15% 77.48%-1.34 -1.5 10
2021-04-16 @ Besa W 2-135.3 1269 835 77.48% 15.15% 7.37%+1.34 +1.5 33
2021-04-17 Arberia W 2-027.5 1499 1173 77.58% 15.10% 7.32%+1.34 +3.0 60
2021-04-17 @ FC Prishtina L 0-227.5 1173 1499 7.32% 15.10% 77.58%-1.34 -3.0 27
2021-04-17 Llapi L 0-246.0 1411 1257 63.72% 20.46% 15.82%+0.74 -23.1 43
2021-04-17 @ Gjilani W 2-046.0 1257 1411 15.82% 20.46% 63.72%-0.74 +23.2 36
2021-04-18 Ballkani L 0-239.8 1356 1454 32.21% 23.42% 44.38%-0.15 -13.2 34
2021-04-18 @ Feronikeli W 2-039.8 1454 1356 44.38% 23.42% 32.21%+0.15 +13.2 61
2021-04-18 Drita Gjilan L 0-138.0 1264 1485 19.04% 21.52% 59.44%-0.59 -4.4 35
2021-04-18 @ Trepca'89 W 1-038.0 1485 1264 59.44% 21.52% 19.04%+0.59 +4.4 64
2021-04-24 Besa W 2-135.0 1170 834 78.24% 14.77% 6.99%+1.38 +1.4 30
2021-04-24 @ Arberia L 1-235.0 834 1170 6.99% 14.77% 78.24%-1.38 -1.4 10
2021-04-24 Feronikeli D 1-155.3 1270 1342 35.76% 23.54% 40.70%-0.06 +0.2 34
2021-04-24 @ Drenica D 1-155.3 1342 1270 40.70% 23.54% 35.76%+0.06 -0.2 35
2021-04-25 FC Prishtina L 1-258.5 1490 1502 44.12% 23.43% 32.45%+0.15 -8.4 64
2021-04-25 @ Drita Gjilan W 2-158.5 1502 1490 32.45% 23.43% 44.12%-0.15 +8.4 63
2021-04-25 Gjilani W 1-041.5 1467 1388 55.71% 22.23% 22.06%+0.47 +5.0 64
2021-04-25 @ Ballkani L 0-141.5 1388 1467 22.06% 22.23% 55.71%-0.47 -5.1 43
2021-04-25 Trepca'89 W 2-144.5 1280 1259 48.53% 23.13% 28.34%+0.26 +5.9 39
2021-04-25 @ Llapi L 1-244.5 1259 1280 28.34% 23.13% 48.53%-0.26 -5.9 35
2021-04-27 Arberia L 0-149.3 1342 1171 65.26% 20.02% 14.72%+0.79 -12.5 35
2021-04-27 @ Feronikeli W 1-049.3 1171 1342 14.72% 20.02% 65.26%-0.79 +12.5 33
2021-04-28 Drenica D 0-051.8 1383 1271 59.41% 21.52% 19.07%+0.59 -2.1 44
2021-04-28 @ Gjilani D 0-051.8 1271 1383 19.07% 21.52% 59.41%-0.59 +2.1 35
2021-04-28 Drita Gjilan D 1-158.9 832 1481 2.63% 8.73% 88.65%-2.09 +3.9 11
2021-04-28 @ Besa D 1-158.9 1481 832 88.65% 8.73% 2.63%+2.09 -3.9 65
2021-04-28 Llapi W 1-036.0 1472 1286 66.70% 19.57% 13.73%+0.85 +3.2 67
2021-04-28 @ Ballkani L 0-136.0 1286 1472 13.73% 19.57% 66.70%-0.85 -3.2 39
2021-04-28 Trepca'89 W 3-135.8 1511 1253 72.63% 17.36% 10.01%+1.10 +3.7 66
2021-04-28 @ FC Prishtina L 1-335.8 1253 1511 10.01% 17.36% 72.63%-1.10 -3.7 35
2021-05-01 Besa D 1-157.7 1250 836 82.83% 12.30% 4.87%+1.65 -3.6 36
2021-05-01 @ Trepca'89 D 1-157.7 836 1250 4.87% 12.30% 82.83%-1.65 +3.6 12
2021-05-01 Feronikeli W 3-139.5 1477 1330 63.05% 20.64% 16.30%+0.71 +6.2 68
2021-05-01 @ Drita Gjilan L 1-339.5 1330 1477 16.30% 20.64% 63.05%-0.71 -6.2 35
2021-05-01 Gjilani L 3-449.6 1184 1381 21.21% 22.05% 56.74%-0.50 -4.3 33
2021-05-01 @ Arberia W 4-349.6 1381 1184 56.74% 22.05% 21.21%+0.50 +4.3 47
2021-05-02 Ballkani W 2-154.9 1273 1475 20.71% 21.94% 57.35%-0.52 +10.5 38
2021-05-02 @ Drenica L 1-254.9 1475 1273 57.35% 21.94% 20.71%+0.52 -10.5 67
2021-05-02 FC Prishtina L 1-340.1 1282 1514 18.19% 21.27% 60.53%-0.62 -6.9 39
2021-05-02 @ Llapi W 3-140.1 1514 1282 60.53% 21.27% 18.19%+0.62 +6.9 69
2021-05-05 Drita Gjilan D 1-159.8 1385 1484 32.19% 23.41% 44.39%-0.15 +0.5 48
2021-05-05 @ Gjilani D 1-159.8 1484 1385 44.39% 23.41% 32.19%+0.15 -0.5 69
2021-05-05 FC Prishtina L 0-320.0 840 1521 2.23% 7.93% 89.84%-2.21 -1.1 12
2021-05-05 @ Besa W 3-020.0 1521 840 89.84% 7.93% 2.23%+2.21 +1.2 72
2021-05-05 Trepca'89 W 3-030.9 1323 1246 55.52% 22.26% 22.22%+0.46 +13.9 38
2021-05-05 @ Feronikeli L 0-330.9 1246 1323 22.22% 22.26% 55.52%-0.46 -13.9 36
2021-05-06 Arberia L 2-361.9 1465 1180 74.71% 16.46% 8.83%+1.20 -12.5 67
2021-05-06 @ Ballkani W 3-261.9 1180 1465 8.83% 16.46% 74.71%-1.20 +12.5 36
2021-05-06 Llapi W 4-245.0 1283 1276 46.87% 23.26% 29.87%+0.22 +9.6 41
2021-05-06 @ Drenica L 2-445.0 1276 1283 29.87% 23.26% 46.87%-0.22 -9.6 39
2021-05-09 Ballkani D 1-162.1 1483 1452 49.87% 23.01% 27.12%+0.30 -1.0 70
2021-05-09 @ Drita Gjilan D 1-162.1 1452 1483 27.12% 23.01% 49.87%-0.30 +1.0 68
2021-05-09 Besa W 1-028.1 1266 839 83.57% 11.87% 4.56%+1.70 +0.9 42
2021-05-09 @ Llapi L 0-128.1 839 1266 4.56% 11.87% 83.57%-1.70 -0.9 12
2021-05-09 Drenica D 1-154.8 1192 1293 31.89% 23.40% 44.71%-0.16 +0.5 37
2021-05-09 @ Arberia D 1-154.8 1293 1192 44.71% 23.40% 31.89%+0.16 -0.5 42
2021-05-09 Feronikeli W 2-143.7 1522 1337 66.58% 19.60% 13.82%+0.84 +3.0 75
2021-05-09 @ FC Prishtina L 1-243.7 1337 1522 13.82% 19.60% 66.58%-0.84 -3.0 38
2021-05-09 Gjilani W 2-151.9 1232 1386 25.59% 22.82% 51.60%-0.35 +9.6 39
2021-05-09 @ Trepca'89 L 1-251.9 1386 1232 51.60% 22.82% 25.59%+0.35 -9.6 48
2021-05-16 Besa W 3-128.6 1334 838 86.88% 9.86% 3.26%+1.94 +1.0 41
2021-05-16 @ Feronikeli L 1-328.6 838 1334 3.26% 9.86% 86.88%-1.94 -1.0 12
2021-05-16 Drita Gjilan L 0-333.2 1292 1482 21.89% 22.20% 55.91%-0.48 -13.8 42
2021-05-16 @ Drenica W 3-033.2 1482 1292 55.91% 22.20% 21.89%+0.48 +13.8 73
2021-05-16 FC Prishtina L 1-249.6 1376 1525 26.05% 22.88% 51.07%-0.33 -5.5 48
2021-05-16 @ Gjilani W 2-149.6 1525 1376 51.07% 22.88% 26.05%+0.33 +5.5 78
2021-05-16 Llapi W 3-253.0 1193 1267 35.44% 23.53% 41.02%-0.07 +7.5 40
2021-05-16 @ Arberia L 2-353.0 1267 1193 41.02% 23.53% 35.44%+0.07 -7.5 42
2021-05-16 Trepca'89 W 4-347.0 1453 1242 68.90% 18.81% 12.29%+0.94 +2.5 71
2021-05-16 @ Ballkani L 3-447.0 1242 1453 12.29% 18.81% 68.90%-0.94 -2.5 39
2021-05-23 Arberia W 2-028.5 1496 1200 75.47% 16.11% 8.42%+1.23 +3.5 76
2021-05-23 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-228.5 1200 1496 8.42% 16.11% 75.47%-1.23 -3.5 40
2021-05-23 Ballkani L 2-557.0 1531 1456 55.29% 22.30% 22.42%+0.46 -21.7 78
2021-05-23 @ FC Prishtina W 5-257.0 1456 1531 22.42% 22.30% 55.29%-0.46 +21.7 74
2021-05-23 Drenica W 2-146.9 1239 1279 40.38% 23.55% 36.07%+0.05 +7.2 42
2021-05-23 @ Trepca'89 L 1-246.9 1279 1239 36.07% 23.55% 40.38%-0.05 -7.2 42
2021-05-23 Feronikeli D 1-155.2 1259 1335 35.18% 23.53% 41.29%-0.08 +0.2 43
2021-05-23 @ Llapi D 1-155.2 1335 1259 41.29% 23.53% 35.18%+0.08 -0.2 42
2021-05-23 Gjilani W 1-051.9 837 1371 4.62% 11.94% 83.44%-1.69 +15.0 15
2021-05-23 @ Besa L 0-151.9 1371 837 83.44% 11.94% 4.62%+1.69 -15.0 48

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2021-05-23 4.62% @ Besa 837 1 Gjilani 1371 0
2 2021-03-20 4.64% @ Besa 823 2 Feronikeli 1356 1
3 2020-10-03 5.80% @ Besa 821 2 Trepca'89 1307 1
4 2021-05-06 8.83% Arberia 1180 3 @ Ballkani 1465 2
5 2021-02-20 12.09% Trepca'89 1267 2 @ Drita Gjilan 1482 1
6 2021-04-27 14.72% Arberia 1171 1 @ Feronikeli 1342 0
7 2021-04-17 15.82% Llapi 1257 2 @ Gjilani 1411 0
8 2020-11-24 16.40% @ Arberia 1209 1 Gjilani 1464 0
9 2021-02-25 20.06% Drenica 1242 3 @ Feronikeli 1343 1
10 2020-09-18 20.08% Arberia 1212 2 @ Trepca'89 1313 0
11 2021-05-02 20.71% @ Drenica 1273 2 Ballkani 1475 1
12 2020-12-19 20.82% Gjilani 1390 4 @ Ballkani 1483 0
13 2020-12-05 21.00% @ Trepca'89 1245 3 Gjilani 1444 0
14 2020-10-25 21.54% @ Trepca'89 1292 4 Ballkani 1485 3
15 2021-05-23 22.42% Ballkani 1456 5 @ FC Prishtina 1531 2
16 2021-02-28 22.89% @ Llapi 1270 1 Ballkani 1449 0
17 2021-03-13 23.66% @ Feronikeli 1336 2 FC Prishtina 1508 0
18 2021-02-21 23.78% @ Llapi 1259 3 Gjilani 1430 1
19 2020-10-20 24.43% Arberia 1230 1 @ Drenica 1285 0
20 2020-09-30 24.80% @ Trepca'89 1297 1 FC Prishtina 1458 0
21 2020-11-01 25.44% @ Drenica 1274 1 FC Prishtina 1429 0
22 2021-05-09 25.59% @ Trepca'89 1232 2 Gjilani 1386 1
23 2020-11-30 25.65% Llapi 1236 1 @ Drenica 1280 0
24 2020-09-20 26.57% @ Feronikeli 1325 4 Gjilani 1470 0
25 2020-10-25 29.37% Gjilani 1440 2 @ FC Prishtina 1452 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2020-12-19 39.94 Gjilani 4 1390 20.82% @ Ballkani 0 1483 57.22% 21.96%
2 2020-11-10 38.15 @ Llapi 5 1212 34.13% Trepca'89 0 1296 42.37% 23.50%
3 2020-09-20 35.80 @ Feronikeli 4 1325 26.57% Gjilani 0 1470 50.49% 22.94%
4 2020-12-05 30.47 @ Trepca'89 3 1245 21.00% Gjilani 0 1444 57.00% 22.00%
5 2020-12-09 23.81 FC Prishtina 3 1437 33.88% @ Gjilani 0 1413 42.63% 23.49%
6 2021-04-17 23.15 Llapi 2 1257 15.82% @ Gjilani 0 1411 63.72% 20.46%
7 2021-05-23 21.65 Ballkani 5 1456 22.42% @ FC Prishtina 2 1531 55.29% 22.30%
8 2020-09-18 21.35 Arberia 2 1212 20.08% @ Trepca'89 0 1313 58.13% 21.79%
9 2021-03-13 19.94 @ Feronikeli 2 1336 23.66% FC Prishtina 0 1508 53.82% 22.52%
10 2021-04-04 19.54 @ Feronikeli 4 1342 53.36% Llapi 0 1283 24.05% 22.59%
11 2021-02-25 18.49 Drenica 3 1242 20.06% @ Feronikeli 1 1343 58.15% 21.78%
12 2021-03-01 18.43 Feronikeli 3 1324 45.89% @ Arberia 0 1215 30.78% 23.33%
13 2020-10-25 17.89 Gjilani 2 1440 29.37% @ FC Prishtina 0 1452 47.40% 23.23%
14 2021-02-21 17.23 @ Llapi 3 1259 23.78% Gjilani 1 1430 53.68% 22.54%
15 2020-10-04 15.98 @ Ballkani 5 1452 64.08% Drenica 0 1293 15.56% 20.36%
16 2021-05-23 15.01 @ Besa 1 837 4.62% Gjilani 0 1371 83.44% 11.94%
17 2021-03-20 14.14 @ Besa 2 823 4.64% Feronikeli 1 1356 83.38% 11.98%
18 2021-02-19 14.06 FC Prishtina 4 1472 62.27% @ Arberia 0 1223 16.88% 20.85%
19 2020-10-24 13.96 @ Llapi 2 1211 41.79% Arberia 0 1240 34.70% 23.52%
20 2021-05-05 13.94 @ Feronikeli 3 1323 55.52% Trepca'89 0 1246 22.22% 22.26%
21 2020-10-03 13.89 @ Besa 2 821 5.80% Trepca'89 1 1307 80.74% 13.46%
22 2021-05-16 13.75 Drita Gjilan 3 1482 55.91% @ Drenica 0 1292 21.89% 22.20%
23 2021-04-18 13.16 Ballkani 2 1454 44.38% @ Feronikeli 0 1356 32.21% 23.42%
24 2021-04-03 13.09 @ Drenica 2 1260 44.61% Trepca'89 0 1269 31.99% 23.40%
25 2020-12-09 12.83 Drita Gjilan 3 1469 57.87% @ Drenica 0 1262 20.29% 21.84%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-03-10 64.1 @ Llapi 3 1275 48.09% Drenica 3 1258 28.74% 23.17%
2 2020-10-25 62.6 @ Trepca'89 4 1292 21.54% Ballkani 3 1485 56.34% 22.12%
3 2020-12-20 62.4 @ FC Prishtina 1 1468 44.24% Drita Gjilan 1 1479 32.34% 23.42%
4 2021-05-09 62.1 @ Drita Gjilan 1 1483 49.87% Ballkani 1 1452 27.12% 23.01%
5 2021-05-06 61.9 Arberia 3 1180 8.83% @ Ballkani 2 1465 74.71% 16.46%
6 2020-10-20 61.7 @ Besa 2 834 9.44% Llapi 2 1213 73.61% 16.94%
7 2020-09-26 61.4 @ Feronikeli 2 1356 54.07% Drenica 2 1291 23.45% 22.49%
8 2020-11-29 60.6 Drita Gjilan 3 1451 30.74% @ Gjilani 2 1452 45.93% 23.33%
9 2021-05-05 59.8 @ Gjilani 1 1385 32.19% Drita Gjilan 1 1484 44.39% 23.41%
10 2021-02-24 59.5 @ Gjilani 1 1413 40.80% Ballkani 1 1449 35.66% 23.54%
11 2021-04-28 58.9 @ Besa 1 832 2.63% Drita Gjilan 1 1481 88.65% 8.73%
12 2020-11-05 58.7 @ Feronikeli 1 1344 27.32% Ballkani 1 1482 49.66% 23.03%
13 2021-04-25 58.5 FC Prishtina 2 1502 32.45% @ Drita Gjilan 1 1490 44.12% 23.43%
14 2020-11-24 58.4 @ Drita Gjilan 1 1453 59.43% Feronikeli 1 1341 19.05% 21.52%
15 2021-03-20 58.2 @ Drita Gjilan 1 1476 69.49% Drenica 1 1258 11.91% 18.60%
16 2020-12-14 58.1 @ Drita Gjilan 1 1482 73.12% Arberia 1 1219 9.72% 17.15%
17 2021-05-01 57.7 @ Trepca'89 1 1250 82.83% Besa 1 836 4.87% 12.30%
18 2020-10-24 57.6 @ Besa 1 836 5.31% Feronikeli 1 1341 81.83% 12.86%
19 2021-02-15 57.5 @ Feronikeli 1 1347 34.18% Gjilani 1 1430 42.32% 23.50%
20 2021-02-20 57.5 Trepca'89 2 1267 12.09% @ Drita Gjilan 1 1482 69.21% 18.70%
21 2021-03-14 57.1 @ Ballkani 0 1452 42.61% Drita Gjilan 0 1476 33.90% 23.49%
22 2021-03-20 57.1 @ Besa 2 823 4.64% Feronikeli 1 1356 83.38% 11.98%
23 2021-05-23 57.0 Ballkani 5 1456 22.42% @ FC Prishtina 2 1531 55.29% 22.30%
24 2020-09-22 56.8 @ Arberia 1 1233 18.68% FC Prishtina 1 1459 59.91% 21.41%
25 2020-10-03 56.8 @ Besa 2 821 5.80% Trepca'89 1 1307 80.74% 13.46%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2020-10-17 19.1 @ FC Prishtina 4 1444 91.03% Besa 0 835 1.85% 7.12%
2 2021-05-05 20.0 FC Prishtina 3 1521 89.84% @ Besa 0 840 2.23% 7.93%
3 2020-12-09 20.5 @ Feronikeli 3 1353 87.78% Besa 0 835 2.93% 9.29%
4 2021-02-13 20.8 Ballkani 3 1443 87.06% @ Besa 0 833 3.19% 9.75%
5 2021-03-10 22.3 @ FC Prishtina 5 1507 93.01% Besa 1 827 1.28% 5.71%
6 2020-11-28 23.3 FC Prishtina 2 1437 86.58% @ Besa 0 838 3.37% 10.05%
7 2021-04-05 23.3 @ Gjilani 5 1404 89.64% Besa 1 837 2.29% 8.07%
8 2020-09-25 24.1 Arberia 3 1235 75.73% @ Besa 0 827 8.28% 15.99%
9 2020-10-31 24.1 @ Ballkani 4 1481 92.00% Besa 1 840 1.56% 6.44%
10 2021-04-10 24.3 @ Ballkani 4 1453 91.29% Besa 1 836 1.77% 6.94%
11 2020-12-06 24.5 @ Llapi 2 1244 82.45% Besa 0 837 5.04% 12.51%
12 2021-02-25 24.9 Arberia 3 1209 73.19% @ Besa 0 835 9.69% 17.13%
13 2020-09-19 25.6 Ballkani 4 1438 87.00% @ Besa 1 829 3.21% 9.78%
14 2020-11-21 25.6 Drita Gjilan 4 1452 87.08% @ Besa 1 841 3.18% 9.74%
15 2020-10-28 25.9 @ Gjilani 1 1458 91.32% Besa 0 840 1.76% 6.92%
16 2021-02-28 27.2 @ Drita Gjilan 3 1458 91.64% Besa 1 829 1.67% 6.69%
17 2020-09-30 27.4 @ Drita Gjilan 3 1430 91.02% Besa 1 822 1.86% 7.13%
18 2021-04-17 27.5 @ FC Prishtina 2 1499 77.58% Arberia 0 1173 7.32% 15.10%
19 2021-03-13 28.1 Llapi 4 1275 78.44% @ Besa 1 827 6.89% 14.67%
20 2021-05-09 28.1 @ Llapi 1 1266 83.57% Besa 0 839 4.56% 11.87%
21 2021-05-23 28.5 @ Drita Gjilan 2 1496 75.47% Arberia 0 1200 8.42% 16.11%
22 2021-05-16 28.6 @ Feronikeli 3 1334 86.88% Besa 1 838 3.26% 9.86%
23 2020-11-11 29.1 @ Arberia 1 1212 80.30% Besa 0 843 6.01% 13.70%
24 2020-11-05 29.4 @ Gjilani 2 1456 71.25% Llapi 0 1216 10.82% 17.93%
25 2021-02-19 29.5 FC Prishtina 4 1472 62.27% @ Arberia 0 1223 16.88% 20.85%