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2022-23 Football Superleague of Kosovo Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Ballkani

73 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ferizaj

16.11 points above expected

41 points · 24.89 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Drenica

18.56 points below expected

23 points · 41.56 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Ballkani 36 20 13 3 73 62 32 +30 67.68 +5.32
2 Drita Gjilan 36 20 10 6 70 63 31 +32 68.82 +1.18
3 Gjilani 36 13 15 8 54 34 34 0 51.57 +2.43
4 Dukagjini 36 14 8 14 50 41 37 +4 49.62 +0.38
5 FC Prishtina 36 12 12 12 48 46 36 +10 52.83 -4.83
6 Malisheva 36 12 10 14 46 52 52 0 46.66 -0.66
7 Llapi 36 11 10 15 43 44 50 -6 48.16 -5.16
8 Ferizaj 36 10 11 15 41 31 50 -19 24.89 +16.11
9 Trepca'89 36 10 10 16 40 46 62 -16 39.42 +0.58
10 Drenica 36 6 5 25 23 27 62 -35 41.56 -18.56

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ferizaj 41 24.89 +16.11
2 Ballkani 73 67.68 +5.32
3 Gjilani 54 51.57 +2.43
4 Drita Gjilan 70 68.82 +1.18
5 Trepca'89 40 39.42 +0.58

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Drenica 23 41.56 -18.56
2 Llapi 43 48.16 -5.16
3 FC Prishtina 48 52.83 -4.83
4 Malisheva 46 46.66 -0.66
5 Dukagjini 50 49.62 +0.38

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Drita Gjilan 4 Sep 3 – Sep 17 1 in 30
2 Ferizaj 2 Mar 8 – Mar 11 1 in 29
3 Llapi 3 Feb 11 – Feb 23 1 in 22
4 FC Prishtina 3 Oct 15 – Oct 22 1 in 20
5 Gjilani 3 Feb 22 – Mar 4 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Drenica 13 Mar 8 – May 28 1 in 11,817
2 FC Prishtina 3 Feb 12 – Feb 22 1 in 42
3 Llapi 3 Aug 28 – Sep 11 1 in 36
4 Gjilani 3 Sep 14 – Oct 2 1 in 18
5 Malisheva 3 Sep 14 – Sep 28 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ferizaj 5 Nov 26 – Feb 25 1 in 198
2 Gjilani 8 Apr 15 – May 28 1 in 40
3 Drita Gjilan 11 Aug 13 – Oct 15 1 in 16
4 FC Prishtina 6 Oct 15 – Nov 5 1 in 12
5 Ballkani 11 Mar 19 – May 28 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ballkani 5 Feb 26 – Mar 19 1 in 52
2 Drenica 13 Mar 8 – May 28 1 in 32
3 Llapi 8 Apr 15 – May 28 1 in 31
4 Dukagjini 8 Aug 13 – Sep 18 1 in 26
5 FC Prishtina 5 Oct 30 – Nov 12 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Ballkani 1536 73 +12 11 9.4 +1.6
Drita Gjilan 1516 70 -7 7 9.4 -2.4
Gjilani 1394 54 +16 7 5.9 +1.1
Dukagjini 1392 50 +2 9 8.5 +0.5
FC Prishtina 1401 48 -1 6 7.7 -1.7
Malisheva 1362 46 +17 10 6.3 +3.7
Llapi 1352 43 -22 2 6.2 -4.2
Ferizaj 1226 41 +32 10 4.4 +5.6
Trepca'89 1282 40 -2 6 5.9 +0.1
Drenica 1201 23 -48 0 4.5 -4.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BAL DRE DG DUK FP FER GJI LLA MAL TRE
Ballkani —
3-1-0
7.95
1-2-1
5.50
1-3-0
7.42
1-3-0
6.93
3-1-0
9.32
3-1-0
7.02
2-0-2
7.58
3-1-0
7.63
3-1-0
8.29
Drenica
0-1-3
3.03
—
0-0-4
2.78
1-0-3
4.32
2-0-2
3.94
1-2-1
7.51
1-1-2
4.35
0-0-4
4.86
1-1-2
4.91
0-0-4
5.81
Drita Gjilan
1-2-1
5.29
4-0-0
8.27
—
3-1-0
7.16
2-1-1
7.14
2-1-1
9.50
2-2-0
6.99
3-0-1
7.35
2-1-1
7.65
1-2-1
8.12
Dukagjini
0-3-1
3.48
3-0-1
6.51
0-1-3
3.71
—
3-0-1
4.97
2-1-1
8.12
0-0-4
5.10
1-2-1
5.39
3-1-0
5.44
2-0-2
6.67
FC Prishtina
0-3-1
3.92
2-0-2
6.94
1-1-2
3.74
1-0-3
5.83
—
2-1-1
8.47
0-4-0
5.48
3-1-0
5.69
1-1-2
6.26
2-1-1
7.12
Ferizaj
0-1-3
1.94
1-2-1
3.44
1-1-2
1.81
1-1-2
2.88
1-1-2
2.60
—
1-2-1
2.67
3-1-0
2.92
0-1-3
3.20
2-1-1
3.72
Gjilani
0-1-3
3.85
2-1-1
6.48
0-2-2
3.87
4-0-0
5.68
0-4-0
5.32
1-2-1
8.40
—
1-2-1
5.89
3-1-0
5.94
2-2-0
6.75
Llapi
2-0-2
3.35
4-0-0
5.95
1-0-3
3.54
1-2-1
5.39
0-1-3
5.11
0-1-3
8.09
1-2-1
4.91
—
1-2-1
5.60
1-2-1
6.55
Malisheva
0-1-3
3.31
2-1-1
5.88
1-1-2
3.29
0-1-3
5.34
2-1-1
4.54
3-1-0
7.76
0-1-3
4.86
1-2-1
5.18
—
3-1-0
6.28
Trepca'89
0-1-3
2.75
4-0-0
5.00
1-2-1
2.90
2-0-2
4.17
1-1-2
3.75
1-1-2
7.16
0-2-2
4.09
1-2-1
4.28
0-1-3
4.52
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.65 +9.7
Allowed 0.73 -10.3
Differential 0.92 +6.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%11.11%4.72%1.94%1.11%0.28%29.17%
111.11%12.78%8.06%2.78%1.94%0.28%36.94%
24.72%8.06%5.56%1.94%0.83%0.56%21.67%
31.94%2.78%1.94%0.56%——7.22%
41.11%1.94%0.83%———3.89%
5+0.28%0.28%0.56%———1.11%
Total29.17%36.94%21.67%7.22%3.89%1.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.24 +0.00
SD 1.16 1.16 1.62
CV 0.94 0.94 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%—2.78%———8.33%
116.67%22.22%——2.78%—41.67%
213.89%8.33%8.33%2.78%——33.33%
38.33%—2.78%———11.11%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total44.44%30.56%19.44%2.78%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 0.89 +0.83
SD 1.28 1.01 1.46
CV 0.74 1.13 —
Max 7 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%22.22%5.56%2.78%2.78%—41.67%
15.56%5.56%13.89%11.11%5.56%—41.67%
22.78%8.33%—2.78%—2.78%16.67%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%36.11%19.44%16.67%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.75 1.72 -0.97
SD 0.73 1.32 1.36
CV 0.98 0.77 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%————13.89%
113.89%13.89%8.33%—2.78%—38.89%
28.33%5.56%5.56%———19.44%
35.56%11.11%————16.67%
42.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total38.89%41.67%16.67%—2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 0.86 +0.89
SD 1.30 0.90 1.55
CV 0.74 1.04 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%19.44%2.78%2.78%——30.56%
116.67%16.67%11.11%——2.78%47.22%
22.78%5.56%————8.33%
3—5.56%————5.56%
42.78%5.56%————8.33%
5+———————
Total27.78%52.78%13.89%2.78%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.03 +0.11
SD 1.17 1.00 1.63
CV 1.03 0.97 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%16.67%————30.56%
12.78%11.11%16.67%———30.56%
28.33%11.11%8.33%———27.78%
32.78%—————2.78%
4—5.56%2.78%———8.33%
5+———————
Total27.78%44.44%27.78%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.00 +0.28
SD 1.19 0.76 1.28
CV 0.93 0.76 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%5.56%8.33%5.56%—2.78%38.89%
18.33%13.89%5.56%5.56%2.78%—36.11%
25.56%13.89%—5.56%——25.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total30.56%33.33%13.89%16.67%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.39 -0.53
SD 0.80 1.40 1.65
CV 0.93 1.01 —
Max 2 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%5.56%11.11%2.78%——36.11%
122.22%13.89%——2.78%—38.89%
25.56%2.78%11.11%———19.44%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total44.44%25.00%25.00%2.78%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 0.94 +0.00
SD 0.89 1.04 1.29
CV 0.95 1.10 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%11.11%2.78%2.78%—33.33%
113.89%8.33%13.89%———36.11%
2—2.78%8.33%2.78%——13.89%
3——5.56%2.78%——8.33%
42.78%5.56%————8.33%
5+———————
Total25.00%25.00%38.89%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.39 -0.17
SD 1.24 1.05 1.61
CV 1.02 0.76 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%2.78%—2.78%—27.78%
15.56%11.11%8.33%2.78%——27.78%
2—11.11%5.56%2.78%8.33%—27.78%
3—5.56%5.56%———11.11%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total22.22%38.89%22.22%5.56%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.44 +0.00
SD 1.34 1.23 1.79
CV 0.93 0.85 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%2.78%2.78%2.78%—30.56%
15.56%11.11%2.78%8.33%2.78%—30.56%
2—11.11%8.33%2.78%—2.78%25.00%
32.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
4———————
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total13.89%41.67%19.44%16.67%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.72 -0.44
SD 1.19 1.43 1.73
CV 0.93 0.83 —
Max 5 7 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Ballkani 1536 73 67.68 +5.32 77.0% 47 49 62 68 73 80 86
Drita Gjilan 1516 70 68.82 +1.18 55.0% 49 53 64 70 74 80 85
FC Prishtina 1401 48 52.83 -4.83 27.0% 30 41 48 53 57 64 75
Gjilani 1394 54 51.57 +2.43 61.0% 28 38 46 52 56 63 79
Dukagjini 1392 50 49.62 +0.38 58.0% 35 39 44 49 55 61 65
Malisheva 1362 46 46.66 -0.66 48.0% 28 35 41 47 51 58 69
Llapi 1352 43 48.16 -5.16 26.0% 31 37 43 48 52 62 67
Trepca'89 1282 40 39.42 +0.58 63.0% 24 26 34 39 45 54 62
Ferizaj 1226 41 24.89 +16.11 100.0% 11 15 21 25 28 35 41
Drenica 1201 23 41.56 -18.56 0.0% 26 31 37 42 45 51 59

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+11.11%
No Edge
41.11%28.89%30.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 38.76 Elo pts.
227 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.27 goals
Neutral
-2+0.17+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.4
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
40%
Ballkani, 2nd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.08/gm
Tight Race
00.220.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.82 * Some Luck: 5.82 to 8.73 * Lucky: 8.73 to 11.64 * Wild Swing: 11.64 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.97 * Close: 0.97 to 1.46 * Off: 1.46 to 1.95 * Way Off: 1.95 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.30 points
Some Luck
07.2818
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.20
Close
01.222.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
100.00%
Ferizaj
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
0.00%
Drenica
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Even
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 109.51
1.89
Strong Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
64%
Slight Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
87%
Clear Edge
50%89%100%
Close Games
Expected
71%
Very Frequent
0%64%100%
Blowouts
Expected
12%
Rare
0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.63
Hard to Predict
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.37
Slight Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.86
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.94
Near-Lock
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Shaky Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.04
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.80
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.134
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1310.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Ballkani40.00%43.00%10.00%1.00%4.00%—2.00%———
Drita Gjilan51.00%38.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%—————
Gjilani2.00%4.00%20.00%24.00%12.00%16.00%14.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%
Dukagjini1.00%3.00%15.00%17.00%16.00%20.00%15.00%9.00%4.00%—
FC Prishtina4.00%6.00%26.00%21.00%19.00%7.00%9.00%4.00%4.00%—
Malisheva2.00%3.00%6.00%15.00%14.00%18.00%16.00%13.00%12.00%1.00%
Llapi—3.00%13.00%9.00%21.00%22.00%11.00%12.00%9.00%—
Ferizaj———————1.00%11.00%88.00%
Trepca'89——3.00%5.00%7.00%5.00%7.00%29.00%36.00%8.00%
Drenica——1.00%6.00%4.00%12.00%26.00%26.00%23.00%2.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Ballkani 100% — —
Drita Gjilan 100% — —
Gjilani 92.00% 6.00% 2.00%
Dukagjini 87.00% 9.00% 4.00%
FC Prishtina 92.00% 4.00% 4.00%
Llapi 79.00% 12.00% 9.00%
Malisheva 74.00% 13.00% 13.00%
Drenica 49.00% 26.00% 25.00%
Trepca'89 27.00% 29.00% 44.00%
Ferizaj — 1.00% 99.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2022-08-13 Drita Gjilan D 2-260.6 1301 1448 22.05% 28.69% 49.26%-0.48 +0.9 1
2022-08-13 @ Trepca'89 D 2-260.6 1448 1301 49.26% 28.69% 22.05%+0.48 -0.9 1
2022-08-13 FC Prishtina L 1-252.1 1387 1387 40.52% 30.34% 29.14%+0.17 -8.0 0
2022-08-13 @ Dukagjini W 2-152.1 1387 1387 29.14% 30.34% 40.52%-0.17 +8.0 3
2022-08-13 Ferizaj W 3-243.0 1401 1172 67.87% 20.58% 11.55%+1.18 +2.4 3
2022-08-13 @ Gjilani L 2-343.0 1172 1401 11.55% 20.58% 67.87%-1.18 -2.4 0
2022-08-14 Llapi L 0-144.7 1355 1381 36.81% 30.60% 32.59%+0.06 -8.0 0
2022-08-14 @ Drenica W 1-044.7 1381 1355 32.59% 30.60% 36.81%-0.06 +7.9 3
2022-08-20 Dukagjini W 1-041.4 1448 1379 49.66% 28.58% 21.76%+0.47 +5.3 4
2022-08-20 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-141.4 1379 1448 21.76% 28.58% 49.66%-0.47 -5.3 0
2022-08-20 Trepca'89 D 2-260.0 1389 1302 51.92% 27.89% 20.19%+0.55 -1.0 4
2022-08-20 @ Llapi D 2-260.0 1302 1389 20.19% 27.89% 51.92%-0.55 +1.0 2
2022-08-21 Drenica W 1-039.2 1468 1347 56.11% 26.36% 17.53%+0.71 +4.3 3
2022-08-21 @ Ballkani L 0-139.2 1347 1468 17.53% 26.36% 56.11%-0.71 -4.3 0
2022-08-21 FC Prishtina D 0-049.1 1170 1395 16.10% 25.30% 58.60%-0.82 +2.1 1
2022-08-21 @ Ferizaj D 0-049.1 1395 1170 58.60% 25.30% 16.10%+0.82 -2.1 4
2022-08-21 Malisheva W 1-041.1 1403 1362 46.12% 29.45% 24.43%+0.35 +5.8 6
2022-08-21 @ Gjilani L 0-141.1 1362 1403 24.43% 29.45% 46.12%-0.35 -5.8 0
2022-08-24 Ferizaj W 3-135.6 1356 1172 63.19% 23.10% 13.71%+0.98 +5.3 3
2022-08-24 @ Malisheva L 1-335.6 1172 1356 13.71% 23.10% 63.19%-0.98 -5.3 1
2022-08-24 Gjilani D 0-049.5 1342 1409 31.11% 30.52% 38.37%-0.12 +0.3 1
2022-08-24 @ Drenica D 0-049.5 1409 1342 38.37% 30.52% 31.11%+0.12 -0.3 7
2022-08-25 Llapi D 1-154.6 1374 1388 38.52% 30.51% 30.97%+0.11 -0.3 1
2022-08-25 @ Dukagjini D 1-154.6 1388 1374 30.97% 30.51% 38.52%-0.11 +0.3 5
2022-08-27 Drenica L 1-251.6 1361 1343 43.06% 30.01% 26.93%+0.25 -8.4 3
2022-08-27 @ Malisheva W 2-151.6 1343 1361 26.93% 30.01% 43.06%-0.25 +8.4 4
2022-08-27 Trepca'89 W 3-139.8 1409 1303 54.27% 27.07% 18.66%+0.64 +7.5 10
2022-08-27 @ Gjilani L 1-339.8 1303 1409 18.66% 27.07% 54.27%-0.64 -7.5 2
2022-08-28 Drita Gjilan D 1-155.4 1167 1453 12.68% 21.96% 65.36%-1.09 +2.4 2
2022-08-28 @ Ferizaj D 1-155.4 1453 1167 65.36% 21.96% 12.68%+1.09 -2.4 5
2022-08-28 Dukagjini W 1-040.8 1472 1373 53.43% 27.38% 19.19%+0.61 +4.7 6
2022-08-28 @ Ballkani L 0-140.8 1373 1472 19.19% 27.38% 53.43%-0.61 -4.7 1
2022-08-28 FC Prishtina L 1-252.1 1388 1392 39.84% 30.41% 29.75%+0.15 -7.9 5
2022-08-28 @ Llapi W 2-152.1 1392 1388 29.75% 30.41% 39.84%-0.15 +7.9 7
2022-09-03 Llapi W 4-035.9 1450 1380 49.89% 28.51% 21.60%+0.48 +18.8 8
2022-09-03 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-435.9 1380 1450 21.60% 28.51% 49.89%-0.48 -18.8 5
2022-09-03 Malisheva L 2-352.8 1295 1353 32.35% 30.59% 37.06%-0.08 -6.5 2
2022-09-03 @ Trepca'89 W 3-252.8 1353 1295 37.06% 30.59% 32.35%+0.08 +6.5 6
2022-09-04 Ballkani L 0-145.8 1400 1477 29.85% 30.41% 39.74%-0.17 -6.8 7
2022-09-04 @ FC Prishtina W 1-045.8 1477 1400 39.74% 30.41% 29.85%+0.17 +6.8 9
2022-09-04 Ferizaj D 0-049.5 1351 1169 62.97% 23.21% 13.82%+0.97 -2.5 5
2022-09-04 @ Drenica D 0-049.5 1169 1351 13.82% 23.21% 62.97%-0.97 +2.5 3
2022-09-04 Gjilani L 0-144.7 1369 1416 33.71% 30.63% 35.65%-0.04 -7.5 1
2022-09-04 @ Dukagjini W 1-044.7 1416 1369 35.65% 30.63% 33.71%+0.04 +7.5 13
2022-09-10 Dukagjini D 1-153.9 1359 1361 40.26% 30.37% 29.38%+0.16 -0.5 7
2022-09-10 @ Malisheva D 1-153.9 1361 1359 29.38% 30.37% 40.26%-0.16 +0.4 2
2022-09-10 Trepca'89 L 2-548.1 1349 1289 48.49% 28.89% 22.61%+0.43 -19.5 5
2022-09-10 @ Drenica W 5-248.1 1289 1349 22.61% 28.89% 48.49%-0.43 +19.5 5
2022-09-11 Drita Gjilan L 0-248.3 1484 1469 42.49% 30.10% 27.41%+0.23 -16.6 9
2022-09-11 @ Ballkani W 2-048.3 1469 1484 27.41% 30.10% 42.49%-0.23 +16.6 11
2022-09-11 FC Prishtina D 1-156.0 1424 1394 44.61% 29.75% 25.64%+0.30 -0.8 14
2022-09-11 @ Gjilani D 1-156.0 1394 1424 25.64% 29.75% 44.61%-0.30 +0.8 8
2022-09-11 Llapi W 2-152.8 1172 1361 18.53% 27.00% 54.47%-0.66 +10.1 6
2022-09-11 @ Ferizaj L 1-252.8 1361 1172 54.47% 27.00% 18.53%+0.66 -10.1 5
2022-09-14 Gjilani W 4-143.3 1486 1423 48.92% 28.78% 22.30%+0.45 +12.5 14
2022-09-14 @ Drita Gjilan L 1-443.3 1423 1486 22.30% 28.78% 48.92%-0.45 -12.5 14
2022-09-14 Malisheva W 4-246.7 1394 1359 45.31% 29.62% 25.07%+0.33 +8.7 11
2022-09-14 @ FC Prishtina L 2-446.7 1359 1394 25.07% 29.62% 45.31%-0.33 -8.7 7
2022-09-15 Drenica L 1-251.9 1361 1329 44.92% 29.69% 25.39%+0.31 -8.7 2
2022-09-15 @ Dukagjini W 2-151.9 1329 1361 25.39% 29.69% 44.92%-0.31 +8.7 8
2022-09-15 Ferizaj D 1-153.5 1308 1182 56.74% 26.10% 17.15%+0.73 -1.8 6
2022-09-15 @ Trepca'89 D 1-153.5 1182 1308 17.15% 26.10% 56.74%-0.73 +1.8 7
2022-09-17 Drita Gjilan L 2-447.6 1350 1498 21.99% 28.67% 49.34%-0.48 -7.8 7
2022-09-17 @ Malisheva W 4-247.6 1498 1350 49.34% 28.67% 21.99%+0.48 +7.8 17
2022-09-17 Llapi L 0-148.1 1410 1351 48.46% 28.90% 22.64%+0.43 -9.8 14
2022-09-17 @ Gjilani W 1-048.1 1351 1410 22.64% 28.90% 48.46%-0.43 +9.8 8
2022-09-18 Dukagjini W 3-037.7 1307 1353 33.93% 30.64% 35.43%-0.03 +21.2 9
2022-09-18 @ Trepca'89 L 0-337.7 1353 1307 35.43% 30.64% 33.93%+0.03 -21.2 2
2022-09-18 FC Prishtina W 2-150.9 1338 1403 31.30% 30.53% 38.17%-0.12 +7.7 11
2022-09-18 @ Drenica L 1-250.9 1403 1338 38.17% 30.53% 31.30%+0.12 -7.7 11
2022-09-19 Ballkani L 0-328.3 1183 1467 12.80% 22.10% 65.10%-1.08 -8.3 7
2022-09-19 @ Ferizaj W 3-028.3 1467 1183 65.10% 22.10% 12.80%+1.08 +8.3 12
2022-09-28 Ballkani L 2-352.4 1342 1475 23.45% 29.17% 47.38%-0.41 -5.1 7
2022-09-28 @ Malisheva W 3-252.4 1475 1342 47.38% 29.17% 23.45%+0.41 +5.0 15
2022-09-28 Drita Gjilan D 0-053.5 1395 1506 25.78% 29.78% 44.44%-0.32 +0.9 12
2022-09-28 @ FC Prishtina D 0-053.5 1506 1395 44.44% 29.78% 25.78%+0.32 -0.9 18
2022-10-01 Drenica W 2-144.5 1505 1345 60.55% 24.41% 15.05%+0.88 +3.4 21
2022-10-01 @ Drita Gjilan L 1-244.5 1345 1505 15.05% 24.41% 60.55%-0.88 -3.4 11
2022-10-01 Ferizaj W 4-133.7 1332 1175 60.16% 24.59% 15.25%+0.86 +8.5 5
2022-10-01 @ Dukagjini L 1-433.7 1175 1332 15.25% 24.59% 60.16%-0.86 -8.6 7
2022-10-01 Malisheva D 1-153.8 1361 1337 43.70% 29.91% 26.39%+0.27 -0.7 9
2022-10-01 @ Llapi D 1-153.8 1337 1361 26.39% 29.91% 43.70%-0.27 +0.7 8
2022-10-02 Gjilani W 2-038.8 1480 1401 51.05% 28.17% 20.78%+0.52 +9.6 18
2022-10-02 @ Ballkani L 0-238.8 1401 1480 20.78% 28.17% 51.05%-0.52 -9.6 14
2022-10-08 Dukagjini L 0-147.6 1396 1340 48.03% 29.01% 22.96%+0.42 -9.7 12
2022-10-08 @ FC Prishtina W 1-047.6 1340 1396 22.96% 29.01% 48.03%-0.42 +9.7 8
2022-10-08 Trepca'89 W 3-139.6 1509 1328 62.86% 23.27% 13.87%+0.97 +5.4 24
2022-10-08 @ Drita Gjilan L 1-339.6 1328 1509 13.87% 23.27% 62.86%-0.97 -5.4 9
2022-10-09 Drenica W 3-251.6 1360 1342 42.98% 30.02% 26.99%+0.25 +5.7 12
2022-10-09 @ Llapi L 2-351.6 1342 1360 26.99% 30.02% 42.98%-0.25 -5.7 11
2022-10-09 Gjilani D 1-154.0 1167 1391 16.11% 25.31% 58.58%-0.82 +1.9 8
2022-10-09 @ Ferizaj D 1-154.0 1391 1167 58.58% 25.31% 16.11%+0.82 -1.9 15
2022-10-09 Malisheva W 2-144.2 1490 1338 59.64% 24.83% 15.53%+0.84 +3.6 21
2022-10-09 @ Ballkani L 1-244.2 1338 1490 15.53% 24.83% 59.64%-0.84 -3.6 8
2022-10-15 Drita Gjilan L 0-141.9 1350 1514 20.56% 28.07% 51.38%-0.55 -5.0 8
2022-10-15 @ Dukagjini W 1-041.9 1514 1350 51.38% 28.07% 20.56%+0.55 +5.0 27
2022-10-15 Ferizaj W 2-138.4 1387 1169 66.80% 21.18% 12.02%+1.13 +2.6 15
2022-10-15 @ FC Prishtina L 1-238.4 1169 1387 12.02% 21.18% 66.80%-1.13 -2.6 8
2022-10-16 Ballkani D 1-156.7 1336 1494 21.16% 28.34% 50.50%-0.52 +1.3 12
2022-10-16 @ Drenica D 1-156.7 1494 1336 50.50% 28.34% 21.16%+0.52 -1.3 22
2022-10-16 Gjilani L 0-143.3 1335 1389 32.75% 30.61% 36.65%-0.07 -7.3 8
2022-10-16 @ Malisheva W 1-043.3 1389 1335 36.65% 30.61% 32.75%+0.07 +7.3 18
2022-10-16 Llapi D 3-362.7 1322 1366 34.34% 30.64% 35.02%-0.02 +0.0 10
2022-10-16 @ Trepca'89 D 3-362.7 1366 1322 35.02% 30.64% 34.34%+0.02 -0.0 13
2022-10-19 FC Prishtina L 1-259.4 1519 1389 57.12% 25.94% 16.93%+0.74 -10.5 27
2022-10-19 @ Drita Gjilan W 2-159.4 1389 1519 16.93% 25.94% 57.12%-0.74 +10.5 18
2022-10-19 Malisheva L 0-633.4 1166 1327 20.81% 28.18% 51.01%-0.54 -26.6 8
2022-10-19 @ Ferizaj W 6-033.4 1327 1166 51.01% 28.18% 20.81%+0.54 +26.6 11
2022-10-20 Drenica L 0-243.9 1397 1338 48.41% 28.92% 22.68%+0.43 -18.4 18
2022-10-20 @ Gjilani W 2-043.9 1338 1397 22.68% 28.92% 48.41%-0.43 +18.4 15
2022-10-20 Trepca'89 W 2-033.8 1492 1322 61.66% 23.87% 14.47%+0.92 +6.6 25
2022-10-20 @ Ballkani L 0-233.8 1322 1492 14.47% 23.87% 61.66%-0.92 -6.6 10
2022-10-22 Ferizaj W 1-029.2 1509 1139 80.43% 13.01% 6.56%+1.80 +1.3 30
2022-10-22 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-129.2 1139 1509 6.56% 13.01% 80.43%-1.80 -1.3 8
2022-10-22 Llapi W 2-037.7 1400 1366 45.12% 29.66% 25.23%+0.32 +11.3 21
2022-10-22 @ FC Prishtina L 0-237.7 1366 1400 25.23% 29.66% 45.12%-0.32 -11.3 13
2022-10-23 Ballkani D 1-157.0 1345 1499 21.46% 28.46% 50.09%-0.51 +1.2 9
2022-10-23 @ Dukagjini D 1-157.0 1499 1345 50.09% 28.46% 21.46%+0.51 -1.2 26
2022-10-23 Gjilani D 1-153.5 1316 1378 31.71% 30.56% 37.73%-0.10 +0.2 11
2022-10-23 @ Trepca'89 D 1-153.5 1378 1316 37.73% 30.56% 31.71%+0.10 -0.2 19
2022-10-23 Malisheva D 0-048.9 1356 1354 40.78% 30.31% 28.91%+0.18 -0.5 16
2022-10-23 @ Drenica D 0-048.9 1354 1356 28.91% 30.31% 40.78%-0.18 +0.5 12
2022-10-26 Dukagjini L 0-145.5 1354 1346 41.64% 30.21% 28.15%+0.21 -8.7 13
2022-10-26 @ Llapi W 1-045.5 1346 1354 28.15% 30.21% 41.64%-0.21 +8.7 12
2022-10-29 Drenica D 1-153.6 1138 1355 16.56% 25.67% 57.77%-0.79 +1.8 9
2022-10-29 @ Ferizaj D 1-153.6 1355 1138 57.77% 25.67% 16.56%+0.79 -1.8 17
2022-10-29 Trepca'89 W 4-034.3 1354 1316 45.70% 29.54% 24.76%+0.34 +21.1 15
2022-10-29 @ Malisheva L 0-434.3 1316 1354 24.76% 29.54% 45.70%-0.34 -21.1 11
2022-10-30 Drita Gjilan W 4-150.2 1346 1510 20.55% 28.06% 51.38%-0.55 +23.6 16
2022-10-30 @ Llapi L 1-450.2 1510 1346 51.38% 28.06% 20.55%+0.55 -23.6 30
2022-10-30 Dukagjini W 1-041.3 1378 1355 43.66% 29.92% 26.42%+0.27 +6.2 22
2022-10-30 @ Gjilani L 0-141.3 1355 1378 26.42% 29.92% 43.66%-0.27 -6.2 12
2022-10-30 FC Prishtina D 1-159.2 1498 1411 51.91% 27.90% 20.20%+0.55 -1.4 27
2022-10-30 @ Ballkani D 1-159.2 1411 1498 20.20% 27.90% 51.91%-0.55 +1.4 22
2022-11-02 Trepca'89 D 2-260.6 1412 1295 55.65% 26.55% 17.81%+0.69 -1.2 23
2022-11-02 @ FC Prishtina D 2-260.6 1295 1412 17.81% 26.55% 55.65%-0.69 +1.2 12
2022-11-05 Drenica W 1-043.7 1296 1354 32.38% 30.59% 37.03%-0.08 +8.0 15
2022-11-05 @ Trepca'89 L 0-143.7 1354 1296 37.03% 30.59% 32.38%+0.08 -8.0 17
2022-11-05 Gjilani D 2-261.2 1411 1384 44.18% 29.83% 25.99%+0.29 -0.6 24
2022-11-05 @ FC Prishtina D 2-261.2 1384 1411 25.99% 29.83% 44.18%-0.29 +0.6 23
2022-11-05 Malisheva W 4-037.7 1349 1376 36.68% 30.61% 32.71%+0.05 +26.2 15
2022-11-05 @ Dukagjini L 0-437.7 1376 1349 32.71% 30.61% 36.68%-0.05 -26.2 15
2022-11-06 Ballkani D 2-266.8 1486 1496 39.11% 30.47% 30.42%+0.13 -0.3 31
2022-11-06 @ Drita Gjilan D 2-266.8 1496 1486 30.42% 30.47% 39.11%-0.13 +0.3 28
2022-11-06 Ferizaj L 1-254.8 1369 1140 67.97% 20.52% 11.51%+1.18 -11.9 16
2022-11-06 @ Llapi W 2-154.8 1140 1369 11.51% 20.52% 67.97%-1.18 +11.9 12
2022-11-09 Dukagjini L 0-144.3 1346 1375 36.37% 30.62% 33.01%+0.04 -7.9 17
2022-11-09 @ Drenica W 1-044.3 1375 1346 33.01% 30.62% 36.37%-0.04 +7.9 18
2022-11-09 FC Prishtina W 2-151.0 1349 1411 31.86% 30.57% 37.57%-0.10 +7.6 18
2022-11-09 @ Malisheva L 1-251.0 1411 1349 37.57% 30.57% 31.86%+0.10 -7.6 24
2022-11-09 Trepca'89 L 2-348.0 1152 1304 21.60% 28.51% 49.89%-0.50 -4.7 12
2022-11-09 @ Ferizaj W 3-248.0 1304 1152 49.89% 28.51% 21.60%+0.50 +4.7 18
2022-11-10 Drita Gjilan D 1-157.4 1385 1486 26.83% 29.99% 43.18%-0.28 +0.7 24
2022-11-10 @ Gjilani D 1-157.4 1486 1385 43.18% 29.99% 26.83%+0.28 -0.7 32
2022-11-10 Llapi L 1-451.4 1497 1357 58.18% 25.49% 16.33%+0.78 -26.0 28
2022-11-10 @ Ballkani W 4-151.4 1357 1497 16.33% 25.49% 58.18%-0.78 +26.0 19
2022-11-12 Drenica L 0-147.9 1403 1338 49.21% 28.70% 22.08%+0.46 -9.9 24
2022-11-12 @ FC Prishtina W 1-047.9 1338 1403 22.08% 28.70% 49.21%-0.46 +9.9 20
2022-11-12 Trepca'89 W 1-038.7 1383 1309 50.29% 28.40% 21.31%+0.50 +5.2 21
2022-11-12 @ Dukagjini L 0-138.7 1309 1383 21.31% 28.40% 50.29%-0.50 -5.2 18
2022-11-13 Ferizaj W 2-026.3 1471 1147 76.75% 15.31% 7.95%+1.60 +3.1 31
2022-11-13 @ Ballkani L 0-226.3 1147 1471 7.95% 15.31% 76.75%-1.60 -3.1 12
2022-11-13 Gjilani L 0-146.2 1383 1385 40.21% 30.37% 29.42%+0.16 -8.5 19
2022-11-13 @ Llapi W 1-046.2 1385 1383 29.42% 30.37% 40.21%-0.16 +8.5 27
2022-11-13 Malisheva W 3-141.6 1486 1357 56.95% 26.01% 17.03%+0.74 +6.8 35
2022-11-13 @ Drita Gjilan L 1-341.6 1357 1486 17.03% 26.01% 56.95%-0.74 -6.8 18
2022-11-26 Drita Gjilan L 1-343.9 1348 1492 22.31% 28.79% 48.90%-0.47 -8.8 20
2022-11-26 @ Drenica W 3-143.9 1492 1348 48.90% 28.79% 22.31%+0.47 +8.8 38
2022-11-26 Dukagjini D 0-049.3 1144 1388 14.92% 24.29% 60.78%-0.90 +2.3 13
2022-11-26 @ Ferizaj D 0-049.3 1388 1144 60.78% 24.29% 14.92%+0.90 -2.3 22
2022-11-27 Ballkani L 0-339.8 1394 1474 29.43% 30.37% 40.20%-0.18 -18.5 27
2022-11-27 @ Gjilani W 3-039.8 1474 1394 40.20% 30.37% 29.43%+0.18 +18.5 34
2022-11-27 FC Prishtina L 0-335.8 1304 1393 28.25% 30.22% 41.53%-0.22 -18.0 18
2022-11-27 @ Trepca'89 W 3-035.8 1393 1304 41.53% 30.22% 28.25%+0.22 +18.0 27
2022-11-27 Llapi D 0-049.0 1350 1375 36.99% 30.59% 32.41%+0.06 -0.2 19
2022-11-27 @ Malisheva D 0-049.0 1375 1350 32.41% 30.59% 36.99%-0.06 +0.2 20
2022-11-30 Ballkani D 1-156.2 1286 1492 17.30% 26.20% 56.50%-0.74 +1.8 19
2022-11-30 @ Trepca'89 D 1-156.2 1492 1286 56.50% 26.20% 17.30%+0.74 -1.7 35
2022-12-04 Ballkani L 0-338.3 1375 1490 25.28% 29.67% 45.05%-0.34 -16.5 20
2022-12-04 @ Llapi W 3-038.3 1490 1375 45.05% 29.67% 25.28%+0.34 +16.5 38
2023-02-11 Ballkani L 2-447.5 1350 1507 21.19% 28.35% 50.46%-0.52 -7.5 19
2023-02-11 @ Malisheva W 4-247.5 1507 1350 50.46% 28.35% 21.19%+0.52 +7.5 41
2023-02-11 Ferizaj D 0-050.3 1375 1146 67.93% 20.54% 11.52%+1.18 -2.9 28
2023-02-11 @ Gjilani D 0-050.3 1146 1375 11.52% 20.54% 67.93%-1.18 +2.9 14
2023-02-11 Llapi L 0-144.4 1339 1359 37.68% 30.56% 31.76%+0.08 -8.1 20
2023-02-11 @ Drenica W 1-044.4 1359 1339 31.76% 30.56% 37.68%-0.08 +8.1 23
2023-02-12 Drita Gjilan W 1-050.4 1287 1501 16.81% 25.85% 57.34%-0.77 +11.1 22
2023-02-12 @ Trepca'89 L 0-150.4 1501 1287 57.34% 25.85% 16.81%+0.77 -11.1 38
2023-02-12 FC Prishtina W 1-044.5 1385 1411 36.88% 30.60% 32.52%+0.06 +7.3 25
2023-02-12 @ Dukagjini L 0-144.5 1411 1385 32.52% 30.60% 36.88%-0.06 -7.3 27
2023-02-18 Dukagjini W 5-139.9 1490 1393 53.22% 27.45% 19.33%+0.60 +14.1 41
2023-02-18 @ Drita Gjilan L 1-539.9 1393 1490 19.33% 27.45% 53.22%-0.60 -14.1 25
2023-02-18 FC Prishtina W 1-048.4 1149 1404 14.31% 23.71% 61.98%-0.95 +11.8 17
2023-02-18 @ Ferizaj L 0-148.4 1404 1149 61.98% 23.71% 14.31%+0.95 -11.8 27
2023-02-18 Trepca'89 W 2-144.4 1367 1299 49.59% 28.60% 21.81%+0.47 +5.0 26
2023-02-18 @ Llapi L 1-244.4 1299 1367 21.81% 28.60% 49.59%-0.47 -5.0 22
2023-02-19 Drenica W 2-143.6 1514 1331 63.18% 23.11% 13.71%+0.98 +3.1 44
2023-02-19 @ Ballkani L 1-243.6 1331 1514 13.71% 23.11% 63.18%-0.98 -3.1 20
2023-02-19 Malisheva D 2-259.7 1372 1342 44.60% 29.75% 25.65%+0.30 -0.6 29
2023-02-19 @ Gjilani D 2-259.7 1342 1372 25.65% 29.75% 44.60%-0.30 +0.6 20
2023-02-22 Drita Gjilan L 1-250.7 1392 1504 25.62% 29.75% 44.63%-0.32 -5.7 27
2023-02-22 @ FC Prishtina W 2-150.7 1504 1392 44.63% 29.75% 25.62%+0.32 +5.7 44
2023-02-22 Ferizaj D 1-154.4 1343 1161 63.00% 23.20% 13.80%+0.97 -2.2 21
2023-02-22 @ Malisheva D 1-154.4 1161 1343 13.80% 23.20% 63.00%-0.97 +2.2 18
2023-02-22 Gjilani L 1-249.1 1328 1372 34.20% 30.64% 35.16%-0.02 -7.1 20
2023-02-22 @ Drenica W 2-149.1 1372 1328 35.16% 30.64% 34.20%+0.02 +7.1 32
2023-02-23 Ballkani L 0-138.4 1294 1518 16.14% 25.34% 58.53%-0.82 -3.9 22
2023-02-23 @ Trepca'89 W 1-038.4 1518 1294 58.53% 25.34% 16.14%+0.82 +3.9 47
2023-02-23 Llapi L 0-146.2 1379 1372 41.44% 30.23% 28.33%+0.20 -8.7 25
2023-02-23 @ Dukagjini W 1-046.2 1372 1379 28.33% 30.23% 41.44%-0.20 +8.7 29
2023-02-25 Drenica W 3-142.4 1341 1320 43.28% 29.98% 26.74%+0.26 +10.3 24
2023-02-25 @ Malisheva L 1-342.4 1320 1341 26.74% 29.98% 43.28%-0.26 -10.3 20
2023-02-25 Drita Gjilan W 2-156.3 1163 1510 10.03% 18.51% 71.46%-1.36 +12.3 21
2023-02-25 @ Ferizaj L 1-256.3 1510 1163 71.46% 18.51% 10.03%+1.36 -12.2 44
2023-02-26 Dukagjini D 1-159.5 1522 1370 59.60% 24.85% 15.55%+0.84 -2.0 48
2023-02-26 @ Ballkani D 1-159.5 1370 1522 15.55% 24.85% 59.60%-0.84 +2.0 26
2023-02-26 FC Prishtina L 0-242.3 1380 1386 39.67% 30.42% 29.91%+0.15 -15.8 29
2023-02-26 @ Llapi W 2-042.3 1386 1380 29.91% 30.42% 39.67%-0.15 +15.8 30
2023-02-26 Trepca'89 W 1-037.9 1379 1290 52.24% 27.79% 19.97%+0.56 +4.9 35
2023-02-26 @ Gjilani L 0-137.9 1290 1379 19.97% 27.79% 52.24%-0.56 -4.9 22
2023-03-04 Ferizaj W 1-035.1 1310 1175 57.69% 25.70% 16.61%+0.76 +4.1 23
2023-03-04 @ Drenica L 0-135.1 1175 1310 16.61% 25.70% 57.69%-0.76 -4.1 21
2023-03-04 Gjilani L 0-145.6 1372 1384 38.82% 30.49% 30.69%+0.12 -8.3 26
2023-03-04 @ Dukagjini W 1-045.6 1384 1372 30.69% 30.49% 38.82%-0.12 +8.2 38
2023-03-04 Llapi W 2-036.3 1498 1365 57.48% 25.79% 16.73%+0.76 +7.7 47
2023-03-04 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-236.3 1365 1498 16.73% 25.79% 57.48%-0.76 -7.7 29
2023-03-05 Ballkani D 2-264.8 1402 1520 25.05% 29.61% 45.34%-0.35 +0.6 31
2023-03-05 @ FC Prishtina D 2-264.8 1520 1402 45.34% 29.61% 25.05%+0.35 -0.6 49
2023-03-05 Malisheva D 0-048.0 1285 1351 31.18% 30.53% 38.30%-0.12 +0.3 23
2023-03-05 @ Trepca'89 D 0-048.0 1351 1285 38.30% 30.53% 31.18%+0.12 -0.3 25
2023-03-08 Dukagjini L 1-250.6 1351 1364 38.67% 30.50% 30.83%+0.11 -7.8 25
2023-03-08 @ Malisheva W 2-150.6 1364 1351 30.83% 30.50% 38.67%-0.11 +7.8 29
2023-03-08 Llapi W 2-152.7 1171 1357 18.82% 27.17% 54.00%-0.65 +10.0 24
2023-03-08 @ Ferizaj L 1-252.7 1357 1171 54.00% 27.17% 18.82%+0.65 -10.0 29
2023-03-08 Trepca'89 L 1-251.0 1314 1285 44.48% 29.77% 25.74%+0.30 -8.6 23
2023-03-08 @ Drenica W 2-151.0 1285 1314 25.74% 29.77% 44.48%-0.30 +8.6 26
2023-03-09 Drita Gjilan D 1-162.7 1519 1505 42.36% 30.11% 27.53%+0.23 -0.6 50
2023-03-09 @ Ballkani D 1-162.7 1505 1519 27.53% 30.11% 42.36%-0.23 +0.6 48
2023-03-09 FC Prishtina D 0-050.4 1392 1403 39.01% 30.48% 30.52%+0.12 -0.4 39
2023-03-09 @ Gjilani D 0-050.4 1403 1392 30.52% 30.48% 39.01%-0.12 +0.4 32
2023-03-11 Drenica W 2-035.1 1371 1306 49.28% 28.68% 22.03%+0.46 +10.1 32
2023-03-11 @ Dukagjini L 0-235.1 1306 1371 22.03% 28.68% 49.28%-0.46 -10.1 23
2023-03-11 Ferizaj L 0-147.0 1294 1181 55.05% 26.78% 18.17%+0.67 -10.8 26
2023-03-11 @ Trepca'89 W 1-047.0 1181 1294 18.17% 26.78% 55.05%-0.67 +10.8 27
2023-03-12 Ballkani W 3-261.9 1347 1518 19.96% 27.78% 52.26%-0.58 +9.3 32
2023-03-12 @ Llapi L 2-361.9 1518 1347 52.26% 27.78% 19.96%+0.58 -9.2 50
2023-03-12 Gjilani W 1-041.8 1506 1392 55.26% 26.70% 18.04%+0.67 +4.4 51
2023-03-12 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-141.8 1392 1506 18.04% 26.70% 55.26%-0.67 -4.4 39
2023-03-12 Malisheva L 1-253.6 1403 1343 48.55% 28.88% 22.57%+0.44 -9.2 32
2023-03-12 @ FC Prishtina W 2-153.6 1343 1403 22.57% 28.88% 48.55%-0.44 +9.2 28
2023-03-18 Drita Gjilan D 0-052.7 1352 1510 21.08% 28.30% 50.61%-0.53 +1.4 29
2023-03-18 @ Malisheva D 0-052.7 1510 1352 50.61% 28.30% 21.08%+0.53 -1.4 52
2023-03-18 FC Prishtina L 0-141.0 1296 1394 27.19% 30.06% 42.75%-0.26 -6.4 23
2023-03-18 @ Drenica W 1-041.0 1394 1296 42.75% 30.06% 27.19%+0.26 +6.4 35
2023-03-19 Ballkani D 0-051.8 1192 1509 11.26% 20.20% 68.53%-1.23 +2.9 28
2023-03-19 @ Ferizaj D 0-051.8 1509 1192 68.53% 20.20% 11.26%+1.23 -2.9 51
2023-03-19 Dukagjini W 2-151.1 1283 1382 27.15% 30.05% 42.79%-0.26 +8.4 29
2023-03-19 @ Trepca'89 L 1-251.1 1382 1283 42.79% 30.05% 27.15%+0.26 -8.4 32
2023-03-19 Llapi D 2-260.2 1387 1356 44.75% 29.73% 25.53%+0.31 -0.6 40
2023-03-19 @ Gjilani D 2-260.2 1356 1387 25.53% 29.73% 44.75%-0.31 +0.6 33
2023-04-01 Gjilani W 2-037.7 1506 1387 55.88% 26.45% 17.67%+0.70 +8.2 54
2023-04-01 @ Ballkani L 0-237.7 1387 1506 17.67% 26.45% 55.88%-0.70 -8.2 40
2023-04-01 Malisheva W 1-041.8 1357 1354 40.92% 30.29% 28.78%+0.18 +6.7 36
2023-04-01 @ Llapi L 0-141.8 1354 1357 28.78% 30.29% 40.92%-0.18 -6.6 29
2023-04-01 Trepca'89 W 4-136.7 1400 1291 54.63% 26.94% 18.43%+0.65 +10.4 38
2023-04-01 @ FC Prishtina L 1-436.7 1291 1400 18.43% 26.94% 54.63%-0.65 -10.4 29
2023-04-02 Drenica W 3-029.9 1509 1289 66.98% 21.08% 11.95%+1.14 +7.6 55
2023-04-02 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-329.9 1289 1509 11.95% 21.08% 66.98%-1.14 -7.6 23
2023-04-02 Ferizaj W 3-136.0 1373 1195 62.57% 23.41% 14.01%+0.96 +5.5 35
2023-04-02 @ Dukagjini L 1-336.0 1195 1373 14.01% 23.41% 62.57%-0.96 -5.5 28
2023-04-08 Malisheva D 2-264.6 1514 1347 61.37% 24.01% 14.62%+0.91 -1.6 55
2023-04-08 @ Ballkani D 2-264.6 1347 1514 14.62% 24.01% 61.37%-0.91 +1.6 30
2023-04-08 Trepca'89 D 1-158.4 1517 1281 68.60% 20.17% 11.23%+1.21 -2.6 56
2023-04-08 @ Drita Gjilan D 1-158.4 1281 1517 11.23% 20.17% 68.60%-1.21 +2.6 30
2023-04-09 Drenica W 4-032.4 1363 1282 51.31% 28.09% 20.61%+0.53 +18.0 39
2023-04-09 @ Llapi L 0-432.4 1282 1363 20.61% 28.09% 51.31%-0.53 -18.0 23
2023-04-09 Dukagjini L 1-253.5 1411 1379 44.86% 29.71% 25.44%+0.31 -8.7 38
2023-04-09 @ FC Prishtina W 2-153.5 1379 1411 25.44% 29.71% 44.86%-0.31 +8.7 38
2023-04-09 Gjilani W 2-043.5 1189 1379 18.56% 27.02% 54.42%-0.66 +20.1 31
2023-04-09 @ Ferizaj L 0-243.5 1379 1189 54.42% 27.02% 18.56%+0.66 -20.1 40
2023-04-15 Ferizaj W 2-030.1 1402 1210 64.10% 22.63% 13.27%+1.02 +6.0 41
2023-04-15 @ FC Prishtina L 0-230.1 1210 1402 13.27% 22.63% 64.10%-1.02 -5.9 31
2023-04-15 Gjilani L 0-241.1 1349 1358 39.11% 30.47% 30.43%+0.13 -15.7 30
2023-04-15 @ Malisheva W 2-041.1 1358 1349 30.43% 30.47% 39.11%-0.13 +15.6 43
2023-04-15 Llapi W 2-151.1 1283 1381 27.23% 30.06% 42.70%-0.26 +8.3 33
2023-04-15 @ Trepca'89 L 1-251.1 1381 1283 42.70% 30.06% 27.23%+0.26 -8.4 39
2023-04-16 Ballkani L 0-136.8 1264 1513 14.62% 24.01% 61.36%-0.93 -3.5 23
2023-04-16 @ Drenica W 1-036.8 1513 1264 61.36% 24.01% 14.62%+0.93 +3.5 58
2023-04-16 Drita Gjilan D 0-053.6 1387 1514 24.09% 29.36% 46.55%-0.39 +1.1 39
2023-04-16 @ Dukagjini D 0-053.6 1514 1387 46.55% 29.36% 24.09%+0.39 -1.1 57
2023-04-22 FC Prishtina W 1-042.9 1513 1408 54.15% 27.12% 18.73%+0.63 +4.6 60
2023-04-22 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-142.9 1408 1513 18.73% 27.12% 54.15%-0.63 -4.6 41
2023-04-22 Malisheva L 1-244.3 1204 1333 23.83% 29.28% 46.89%-0.40 -5.4 31
2023-04-22 @ Ferizaj W 2-144.3 1333 1204 46.89% 29.28% 23.83%+0.40 +5.4 33
2023-04-23 Drenica W 1-036.7 1374 1260 55.24% 26.71% 18.06%+0.67 +4.4 46
2023-04-23 @ Gjilani L 0-136.7 1260 1374 18.06% 26.71% 55.24%-0.67 -4.4 23
2023-04-23 Dukagjini D 1-154.6 1373 1388 38.33% 30.52% 31.14%+0.10 -0.3 40
2023-04-23 @ Llapi D 1-154.6 1388 1373 31.14% 30.52% 38.33%-0.10 +0.3 40
2023-04-23 Trepca'89 W 7-234.1 1516 1292 67.46% 20.81% 11.73%+1.16 +8.3 61
2023-04-23 @ Ballkani L 2-734.1 1292 1516 11.73% 20.81% 67.46%-1.16 -8.3 33
2023-04-29 Ferizaj W 3-025.6 1517 1198 76.38% 15.53% 8.09%+1.58 +4.7 63
2023-04-29 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-325.6 1198 1517 8.09% 15.53% 76.38%-1.58 -4.7 31
2023-04-29 Malisheva L 1-246.5 1256 1338 29.08% 30.33% 40.59%-0.19 -6.3 23
2023-04-29 @ Drenica W 2-146.5 1338 1256 40.59% 30.33% 29.08%+0.19 +6.3 36
2023-04-30 Ballkani D 1-159.0 1389 1525 23.16% 29.08% 47.76%-0.43 +1.0 41
2023-04-30 @ Dukagjini D 1-159.0 1525 1389 47.76% 29.08% 23.16%+0.43 -1.0 62
2023-04-30 Gjilani D 0-048.4 1283 1378 27.58% 30.12% 42.30%-0.25 +0.7 34
2023-04-30 @ Trepca'89 D 0-048.4 1378 1283 42.30% 30.12% 27.58%+0.25 -0.7 47
2023-04-30 Llapi D 0-050.2 1403 1373 44.67% 29.74% 25.59%+0.31 -0.9 42
2023-04-30 @ FC Prishtina D 0-050.2 1373 1403 25.59% 29.74% 44.67%-0.31 +0.9 41
2023-05-03 Drenica W 2-038.8 1194 1249 32.60% 30.60% 36.79%-0.07 +15.0 34
2023-05-03 @ Ferizaj L 0-238.8 1249 1194 36.79% 30.60% 32.60%+0.07 -15.0 23
2023-05-03 Dukagjini W 2-039.6 1378 1390 38.81% 30.49% 30.70%+0.12 +13.2 50
2023-05-03 @ Gjilani L 0-239.6 1390 1378 30.70% 30.49% 38.81%-0.12 -13.2 41
2023-05-03 Trepca'89 W 1-038.6 1345 1284 48.59% 28.87% 22.54%+0.44 +5.5 39
2023-05-03 @ Malisheva L 0-138.6 1284 1345 22.54% 28.87% 48.59%-0.44 -5.5 34
2023-05-04 Drita Gjilan L 0-239.7 1374 1522 21.96% 28.66% 49.38%-0.48 -10.1 41
2023-05-04 @ Llapi W 2-039.7 1522 1374 49.38% 28.66% 21.96%+0.48 +10.0 66
2023-05-04 FC Prishtina D 1-160.2 1523 1402 56.07% 26.38% 17.55%+0.70 -1.7 63
2023-05-04 @ Ballkani D 1-160.2 1402 1523 17.55% 26.38% 56.07%-0.70 +1.7 43
2023-05-06 Drenica W 3-140.5 1279 1234 46.50% 29.37% 24.13%+0.37 +9.4 37
2023-05-06 @ Trepca'89 L 1-340.5 1234 1279 24.13% 29.37% 46.50%-0.37 -9.4 23
2023-05-06 Malisheva W 1-041.1 1377 1350 44.12% 29.84% 26.04%+0.29 +6.2 44
2023-05-06 @ Dukagjini L 0-141.1 1350 1377 26.04% 29.84% 44.12%-0.29 -6.2 39
2023-05-07 Ballkani L 1-261.4 1532 1522 41.93% 30.17% 27.90%+0.22 -8.2 66
2023-05-07 @ Drita Gjilan W 2-161.4 1522 1532 27.90% 30.17% 41.93%-0.22 +8.2 66
2023-05-07 Ferizaj D 0-049.3 1364 1209 60.00% 24.67% 15.34%+0.85 -2.2 42
2023-05-07 @ Llapi D 0-049.3 1209 1364 15.34% 24.67% 60.00%-0.85 +2.2 35
2023-05-07 Gjilani D 0-050.5 1404 1391 42.31% 30.12% 27.57%+0.23 -0.7 44
2023-05-07 @ FC Prishtina D 0-050.5 1391 1404 27.57% 30.12% 42.31%-0.23 +0.7 51
2023-05-14 Drita Gjilan D 1-159.0 1392 1524 23.51% 29.19% 47.30%-0.41 +1.0 52
2023-05-14 @ Gjilani D 1-159.0 1524 1392 47.30% 29.19% 23.51%+0.41 -1.0 67
2023-05-14 Dukagjini L 1-437.1 1225 1383 21.12% 28.31% 50.57%-0.52 -11.9 23
2023-05-14 @ Drenica W 4-137.1 1383 1225 50.57% 28.31% 21.12%+0.52 +11.9 47
2023-05-14 FC Prishtina D 1-154.3 1344 1403 32.07% 30.58% 37.35%-0.09 +0.2 40
2023-05-14 @ Malisheva D 1-154.3 1403 1344 37.35% 30.58% 32.07%+0.09 -0.2 45
2023-05-14 Llapi W 1-039.7 1530 1361 61.52% 23.94% 14.54%+0.91 +3.5 69
2023-05-14 @ Ballkani L 0-139.7 1361 1530 14.54% 23.94% 61.52%-0.91 -3.5 42
2023-05-14 Trepca'89 W 1-043.6 1211 1288 29.75% 30.40% 39.85%-0.17 +8.4 38
2023-05-14 @ Ferizaj L 0-143.6 1288 1211 39.85% 30.40% 29.75%+0.17 -8.4 37
2023-05-20 Drenica W 4-133.2 1403 1213 63.88% 22.75% 13.38%+1.01 +7.3 48
2023-05-20 @ FC Prishtina L 1-433.2 1213 1403 13.38% 22.75% 63.88%-1.01 -7.4 23
2023-05-20 Ferizaj W 2-028.2 1534 1219 75.95% 15.80% 8.25%+1.56 +3.3 72
2023-05-20 @ Ballkani L 0-228.2 1219 1534 8.25% 15.80% 75.95%-1.56 -3.3 38
2023-05-20 Gjilani D 2-260.0 1358 1393 35.56% 30.63% 33.80%+0.02 -0.0 43
2023-05-20 @ Llapi D 2-260.0 1393 1358 33.80% 30.63% 35.56%-0.02 +0.0 53
2023-05-20 Malisheva L 0-153.2 1523 1344 62.64% 23.38% 13.98%+0.96 -11.9 67
2023-05-20 @ Drita Gjilan W 1-053.2 1344 1523 13.98% 23.38% 62.64%-0.96 +11.9 43
2023-05-20 Trepca'89 W 3-139.0 1395 1280 55.34% 26.67% 17.99%+0.68 +7.2 50
2023-05-20 @ Dukagjini L 1-339.0 1280 1395 17.99% 26.67% 55.34%-0.68 -7.2 37
2023-05-28 Ballkani D 0-054.7 1393 1537 22.37% 28.81% 48.82%-0.46 +1.3 54
2023-05-28 @ Gjilani D 0-054.7 1537 1393 48.82% 28.81% 22.37%+0.46 -1.3 73
2023-05-28 Drita Gjilan L 1-335.9 1206 1511 11.77% 20.86% 67.36%-1.17 -4.5 23
2023-05-28 @ Drenica W 3-135.9 1511 1206 67.36% 20.86% 11.77%+1.17 +4.5 70
2023-05-28 Dukagjini W 2-153.2 1216 1402 18.81% 27.16% 54.03%-0.65 +10.0 41
2023-05-28 @ Ferizaj L 1-253.2 1402 1216 54.03% 27.16% 18.81%+0.65 -10.0 50
2023-05-28 FC Prishtina W 2-152.6 1273 1411 22.94% 29.01% 48.05%-0.44 +9.1 40
2023-05-28 @ Trepca'89 L 1-252.6 1411 1273 48.05% 29.01% 22.94%+0.44 -9.1 48
2023-05-28 Llapi W 3-252.6 1356 1358 40.23% 30.37% 29.40%+0.16 +6.0 46
2023-05-28 @ Malisheva L 2-352.6 1358 1356 29.40% 30.37% 40.23%-0.16 -6.0 43

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2023-02-25 10.03% @ Ferizaj 1163 2 Drita Gjilan 1510 1
2 2022-11-06 11.51% Ferizaj 1140 2 @ Llapi 1369 1
3 2023-05-20 13.98% Malisheva 1344 1 @ Drita Gjilan 1523 0
4 2023-02-18 14.31% @ Ferizaj 1149 1 FC Prishtina 1404 0
5 2022-11-10 16.33% Llapi 1357 4 @ Ballkani 1497 1
6 2023-02-12 16.81% @ Trepca'89 1287 1 Drita Gjilan 1501 0
7 2022-10-19 16.93% FC Prishtina 1389 2 @ Drita Gjilan 1519 1
8 2023-03-11 18.17% Ferizaj 1181 1 @ Trepca'89 1294 0
9 2022-09-11 18.53% @ Ferizaj 1172 2 Llapi 1361 1
10 2023-04-09 18.56% @ Ferizaj 1189 2 Gjilani 1379 0
11 2023-05-28 18.81% @ Ferizaj 1216 2 Dukagjini 1402 1
12 2023-03-08 18.82% @ Ferizaj 1171 2 Llapi 1357 1
13 2023-03-12 19.96% @ Llapi 1347 3 Ballkani 1518 2
14 2022-10-30 20.55% @ Llapi 1346 4 Drita Gjilan 1510 1
15 2022-11-12 22.08% Drenica 1338 1 @ FC Prishtina 1403 0
16 2023-03-12 22.57% Malisheva 1343 2 @ FC Prishtina 1403 1
17 2022-09-10 22.61% Trepca'89 1289 5 @ Drenica 1349 2
18 2022-09-17 22.64% Llapi 1351 1 @ Gjilani 1410 0
19 2022-10-20 22.68% Drenica 1338 2 @ Gjilani 1397 0
20 2023-05-28 22.94% @ Trepca'89 1273 2 FC Prishtina 1411 1
21 2022-10-08 22.96% Dukagjini 1340 1 @ FC Prishtina 1396 0
22 2022-09-15 25.39% Drenica 1329 2 @ Dukagjini 1361 1
23 2023-04-09 25.44% Dukagjini 1379 2 @ FC Prishtina 1411 1
24 2023-03-08 25.74% Trepca'89 1285 2 @ Drenica 1314 1
25 2022-08-27 26.93% Drenica 1343 2 @ Malisheva 1361 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-10-19 26.60 Malisheva 6 1327 51.01% @ Ferizaj 0 1166 20.81% 28.18%
2 2022-11-05 26.16 @ Dukagjini 4 1349 36.68% Malisheva 0 1376 32.71% 30.61%
3 2022-11-10 25.97 Llapi 4 1357 16.33% @ Ballkani 1 1497 58.18% 25.49%
4 2022-10-30 23.59 @ Llapi 4 1346 20.55% Drita Gjilan 1 1510 51.38% 28.06%
5 2022-09-18 21.18 @ Trepca'89 3 1307 33.93% Dukagjini 0 1353 35.43% 30.64%
6 2022-10-29 21.14 @ Malisheva 4 1354 45.70% Trepca'89 0 1316 24.76% 29.54%
7 2023-04-09 20.15 @ Ferizaj 2 1189 18.56% Gjilani 0 1379 54.42% 27.02%
8 2022-09-10 19.53 Trepca'89 5 1289 22.61% @ Drenica 2 1349 48.49% 28.89%
9 2022-09-03 18.79 @ Drita Gjilan 4 1450 49.89% Llapi 0 1380 21.60% 28.51%
10 2022-11-27 18.54 Ballkani 3 1474 40.20% @ Gjilani 0 1394 29.43% 30.37%
11 2022-10-20 18.39 Drenica 2 1338 22.68% @ Gjilani 0 1397 48.41% 28.92%
12 2023-04-09 18.01 @ Llapi 4 1363 51.31% Drenica 0 1282 20.61% 28.09%
13 2022-11-27 17.98 FC Prishtina 3 1393 41.53% @ Trepca'89 0 1304 28.25% 30.22%
14 2022-09-11 16.64 Drita Gjilan 2 1469 27.41% @ Ballkani 0 1484 42.49% 30.10%
15 2022-12-04 16.46 Ballkani 3 1490 45.05% @ Llapi 0 1375 25.28% 29.67%
16 2023-02-26 15.81 FC Prishtina 2 1386 29.91% @ Llapi 0 1380 39.67% 30.42%
17 2023-04-15 15.65 Gjilani 2 1358 30.43% @ Malisheva 0 1349 39.11% 30.47%
18 2023-05-03 14.98 @ Ferizaj 2 1194 32.60% Drenica 0 1249 36.79% 30.60%
19 2023-02-18 14.12 @ Drita Gjilan 5 1490 53.22% Dukagjini 1 1393 19.33% 27.45%
20 2023-05-03 13.17 @ Gjilani 2 1378 38.81% Dukagjini 0 1390 30.70% 30.49%
21 2022-09-14 12.48 @ Drita Gjilan 4 1486 48.92% Gjilani 1 1423 22.30% 28.78%
22 2023-02-25 12.26 @ Ferizaj 2 1163 10.03% Drita Gjilan 1 1510 71.46% 18.51%
23 2023-05-20 11.89 Malisheva 1 1344 13.98% @ Drita Gjilan 0 1523 62.64% 23.38%
24 2023-05-14 11.89 Dukagjini 4 1383 50.57% @ Drenica 1 1225 21.12% 28.31%
25 2022-11-06 11.87 Ferizaj 2 1140 11.51% @ Llapi 1 1369 67.97% 20.52%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-11-06 66.8 @ Drita Gjilan 2 1486 39.11% Ballkani 2 1496 30.42% 30.47%
2 2023-03-05 64.8 @ FC Prishtina 2 1402 25.05% Ballkani 2 1520 45.34% 29.61%
3 2023-04-08 64.6 @ Ballkani 2 1514 61.37% Malisheva 2 1347 14.62% 24.01%
4 2022-10-16 62.7 @ Trepca'89 3 1322 34.34% Llapi 3 1366 35.02% 30.64%
5 2023-03-09 62.7 @ Ballkani 1 1519 42.36% Drita Gjilan 1 1505 27.53% 30.11%
6 2023-03-12 61.9 @ Llapi 3 1347 19.96% Ballkani 2 1518 52.26% 27.78%
7 2023-05-07 61.4 Ballkani 2 1522 27.90% @ Drita Gjilan 1 1532 41.93% 30.17%
8 2022-11-05 61.2 @ FC Prishtina 2 1411 44.18% Gjilani 2 1384 25.99% 29.83%
9 2022-08-13 60.6 @ Trepca'89 2 1301 22.05% Drita Gjilan 2 1448 49.26% 28.69%
10 2022-11-02 60.6 @ FC Prishtina 2 1412 55.65% Trepca'89 2 1295 17.81% 26.55%
11 2023-03-19 60.2 @ Gjilani 2 1387 44.75% Llapi 2 1356 25.53% 29.73%
12 2023-05-04 60.2 @ Ballkani 1 1523 56.07% FC Prishtina 1 1402 17.55% 26.38%
13 2022-08-20 60.0 @ Llapi 2 1389 51.92% Trepca'89 2 1302 20.19% 27.89%
14 2023-05-20 60.0 @ Llapi 2 1358 35.56% Gjilani 2 1393 33.80% 30.63%
15 2023-02-19 59.7 @ Gjilani 2 1372 44.60% Malisheva 2 1342 25.65% 29.75%
16 2023-02-26 59.5 @ Ballkani 1 1522 59.60% Dukagjini 1 1370 15.55% 24.85%
17 2022-10-19 59.4 FC Prishtina 2 1389 16.93% @ Drita Gjilan 1 1519 57.12% 25.94%
18 2022-10-30 59.2 @ Ballkani 1 1498 51.91% FC Prishtina 1 1411 20.20% 27.90%
19 2023-04-30 59.0 @ Dukagjini 1 1389 23.16% Ballkani 1 1525 47.76% 29.08%
20 2023-05-14 59.0 @ Gjilani 1 1392 23.51% Drita Gjilan 1 1524 47.30% 29.19%
21 2023-04-08 58.4 @ Drita Gjilan 1 1517 68.60% Trepca'89 1 1281 11.23% 20.17%
22 2022-11-10 57.4 @ Gjilani 1 1385 26.83% Drita Gjilan 1 1486 43.18% 29.99%
23 2022-10-23 57.0 @ Dukagjini 1 1345 21.46% Ballkani 1 1499 50.09% 28.46%
24 2022-10-16 56.7 @ Drenica 1 1336 21.16% Ballkani 1 1494 50.50% 28.34%
25 2023-02-25 56.3 @ Ferizaj 2 1163 10.03% Drita Gjilan 1 1510 71.46% 18.51%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-04-29 25.6 @ Drita Gjilan 3 1517 76.38% Ferizaj 0 1198 8.09% 15.53%
2 2022-11-13 26.3 @ Ballkani 2 1471 76.75% Ferizaj 0 1147 7.95% 15.31%
3 2023-05-20 28.2 @ Ballkani 2 1534 75.95% Ferizaj 0 1219 8.25% 15.80%
4 2022-09-19 28.3 Ballkani 3 1467 65.10% @ Ferizaj 0 1183 12.80% 22.10%
5 2022-10-22 29.2 @ Drita Gjilan 1 1509 80.43% Ferizaj 0 1139 6.56% 13.01%
6 2023-04-02 29.9 @ Drita Gjilan 3 1509 66.98% Drenica 0 1289 11.95% 21.08%
7 2023-04-15 30.1 @ FC Prishtina 2 1402 64.10% Ferizaj 0 1210 13.27% 22.63%
8 2023-04-09 32.4 @ Llapi 4 1363 51.31% Drenica 0 1282 20.61% 28.09%
9 2023-05-20 33.2 @ FC Prishtina 4 1403 63.88% Drenica 1 1213 13.38% 22.75%
10 2022-10-19 33.4 Malisheva 6 1327 51.01% @ Ferizaj 0 1166 20.81% 28.18%
11 2022-10-01 33.7 @ Dukagjini 4 1332 60.16% Ferizaj 1 1175 15.25% 24.59%
12 2022-10-20 33.8 @ Ballkani 2 1492 61.66% Trepca'89 0 1322 14.47% 23.87%
13 2023-04-23 34.1 @ Ballkani 7 1516 67.46% Trepca'89 2 1292 11.73% 20.81%
14 2022-10-29 34.3 @ Malisheva 4 1354 45.70% Trepca'89 0 1316 24.76% 29.54%
15 2023-03-04 35.1 @ Drenica 1 1310 57.69% Ferizaj 0 1175 16.61% 25.70%
16 2023-03-11 35.1 @ Dukagjini 2 1371 49.28% Drenica 0 1306 22.03% 28.68%
17 2022-08-24 35.6 @ Malisheva 3 1356 63.19% Ferizaj 1 1172 13.71% 23.10%
18 2022-11-27 35.8 FC Prishtina 3 1393 41.53% @ Trepca'89 0 1304 28.25% 30.22%
19 2022-09-03 35.9 @ Drita Gjilan 4 1450 49.89% Llapi 0 1380 21.60% 28.51%
20 2023-05-28 35.9 Drita Gjilan 3 1511 67.36% @ Drenica 1 1206 11.77% 20.86%
21 2023-04-02 36.0 @ Dukagjini 3 1373 62.57% Ferizaj 1 1195 14.01% 23.41%
22 2023-03-04 36.3 @ Drita Gjilan 2 1498 57.48% Llapi 0 1365 16.73% 25.79%
23 2023-04-01 36.7 @ FC Prishtina 4 1400 54.63% Trepca'89 1 1291 18.43% 26.94%
24 2023-04-23 36.7 @ Gjilani 1 1374 55.24% Drenica 0 1260 18.06% 26.71%
25 2023-04-16 36.8 Ballkani 1 1513 61.36% @ Drenica 0 1264 14.62% 24.01%