‹ ›

2025-26 Football Superleague of Kosovo Season

179 games

Final

Champion

Drita Gjilan

63 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Drenica

11.93 points above expected

51 points · 39.07 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

FC Prishtina

8.62 points below expected

46 points · 54.62 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Drita Gjilan 35 19 6 10 63 48 34 +14 59.79 +3.21
2 Ballkani 36 17 7 12 58 61 41 +20 63.03 -5.03
3 Dukagjini 36 14 13 9 55 44 33 +11 49.40 +5.60
4 Malisheva 36 16 6 14 54 55 52 +3 47.85 +6.15
5 Drenica 36 15 6 15 51 46 52 -6 39.07 +11.93
6 Gjilani 36 14 9 13 51 47 48 -1 51.38 -0.38
7 Llapi 36 13 10 13 49 46 50 -4 51.71 -2.71
8 FC Prishtina 36 12 10 14 46 50 53 -3 54.62 -8.62
9 Ferizaj 35 9 9 17 36 39 53 -14 41.48 -5.48
10 Prishtina e Re 36 8 8 20 32 38 58 -20 37.16 -5.16

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Drenica 51 39.07 +11.93
2 Malisheva 54 47.85 +6.15
3 Dukagjini 55 49.40 +5.60
4 Drita Gjilan 63 59.79 +3.21
5 Gjilani 51 51.38 -0.38

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 FC Prishtina 46 54.62 -8.62
2 Ferizaj 36 41.48 -5.48
3 Prishtina e Re 32 37.16 -5.16
4 Ballkani 58 63.03 -5.03
5 Llapi 49 51.71 -2.71

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FC Prishtina 5 Sep 21 – Oct 19 1 in 64
2 Drenica 3 Apr 12 – Apr 25 1 in 52
3 Ferizaj 3 Mar 14 – Mar 21 1 in 25
4 Malisheva 3 Nov 22 – Dec 6 1 in 23
5 Dukagjini 3 Aug 24 – Sep 14 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ferizaj 5 Aug 31 – Sep 28 1 in 69
2 Drita Gjilan 3 May 17 – May 31 1 in 53
3 Malisheva 4 Oct 4 – Oct 28 1 in 34
4 Drenica 4 Sep 28 – Oct 26 1 in 22
5 Gjilani 3 Sep 25 – Oct 6 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Malisheva 8 Nov 22 – Feb 20 1 in 76
2 Gjilani 7 Nov 1 – Dec 21 1 in 32
3 Llapi 6 Apr 29 – May 31 1 in 19
4 Dukagjini 6 Nov 9 – Dec 21 1 in 17
5 Drita Gjilan 9 Dec 6 – Mar 7 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dukagjini 13 Dec 6 – Apr 13 1 in 734
2 FC Prishtina 8 Apr 5 – May 17 1 in 66
3 Llapi 8 Nov 30 – Mar 1 1 in 56
4 Ferizaj 9 Apr 4 – May 31 1 in 34
5 Gjilani 7 Apr 12 – May 17 1 in 32

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Drita Gjilan 1456 63 -14 6 8.8 -2.8
Ballkani 1448 58 -19 3 8.7 -5.7
Dukagjini 1383 55 +11 10 7.0 +3.0
Malisheva 1381 54 +11 10 6.9 +3.1
Drenica 1313 51 +10 12 5.7 +6.3
Gjilani 1372 51 +4 7 7.5 -0.5
Llapi 1374 49 +16 13 6.5 +6.5
FC Prishtina 1357 46 -8 4 7.5 -3.5
Ferizaj 1308 36 -5 3 5.9 -2.9
Prishtina e Re 1261 32 -4 3 4.5 -1.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BAL DRE DG DUK FP FER GJI LLA MAL PER
Ballkani —
3-0-1
7.98
3-0-1
5.48
2-1-1
6.95
1-0-3
6.84
2-1-1
7.60
1-3-0
6.92
0-1-3
7.00
1-1-2
7.19
4-0-0
8.21
Drenica
1-0-3
3.20
—
3-0-1
3.24
1-2-1
4.44
1-1-2
4.20
2-0-2
5.26
3-0-1
4.44
1-2-1
4.26
1-0-3
4.54
2-1-1
5.83
Drita Gjilan
1-0-3
5.54
1-0-3
7.93
—
2-1-1
6.88
2-2-0
6.70
2-0-1
5.50
2-1-1
6.91
3-1-0
6.82
2-1-1
6.93
4-0-0
8.15
Dukagjini
1-1-2
4.12
1-2-1
6.61
1-1-2
4.19
—
1-1-2
5.08
3-1-0
6.18
3-1-0
5.32
2-1-1
5.42
1-2-1
5.66
1-3-0
7.05
FC Prishtina
3-0-1
4.23
2-1-1
6.86
0-2-2
4.35
2-1-1
5.95
—
1-2-1
6.54
0-2-2
5.89
2-1-1
5.71
1-0-3
5.99
1-1-2
7.20
Ferizaj
1-1-2
3.54
2-0-2
5.76
1-0-2
2.83
0-1-3
4.84
1-2-1
4.50
—
0-2-2
4.75
1-1-2
4.62
1-1-2
4.83
2-1-1
6.18
Gjilani
0-3-1
4.15
1-0-3
6.61
1-1-2
4.16
0-1-3
5.69
2-2-0
5.14
2-2-0
6.28
—
2-0-2
5.41
2-0-2
5.73
4-0-0
7.00
Llapi
3-1-0
4.07
1-2-1
6.80
0-1-3
4.24
1-1-2
5.59
1-1-2
5.30
2-1-1
6.41
2-0-2
5.60
—
2-1-1
5.61
1-2-1
6.90
Malisheva
2-1-1
3.90
3-0-1
6.50
1-1-2
4.15
1-2-1
5.36
3-0-1
5.04
2-1-1
6.20
2-0-2
5.28
1-1-2
5.40
—
1-0-3
6.91
Prishtina e Re
0-0-4
3.01
1-1-2
5.19
0-0-4
3.05
0-3-1
4.02
2-1-1
3.89
1-1-2
4.85
0-0-4
4.08
1-2-1
4.17
3-0-1
4.16
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.48 +9.6
Allowed 0.61 -8.7
Differential 0.85 +7.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.59%9.78%6.42%3.35%0.56%0.56%26.26%
19.78%14.53%7.54%3.07%1.12%0.28%36.31%
26.42%7.54%2.79%3.91%0.84%—21.51%
33.35%3.07%3.91%0.56%0.84%—11.73%
40.56%1.12%0.84%0.84%——3.35%
5+0.56%0.28%————0.84%
Total26.26%36.31%21.51%11.73%3.35%0.84%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.32 +0.00
SD 1.14 1.14 1.64
CV 0.86 0.86 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 179

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%8.33%———22.22%
15.56%13.89%8.33%———27.78%
25.56%8.33%2.78%—5.56%—22.22%
311.11%5.56%5.56%———22.22%
4———————
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total27.78%41.67%25.00%—5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.14 +0.56
SD 1.43 1.02 1.89
CV 0.84 0.89 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%8.33%5.56%——30.56%
119.44%5.56%5.56%—2.78%—33.33%
22.78%8.33%5.56%———16.67%
3—2.78%5.56%—8.33%—16.67%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%27.78%27.78%5.56%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.44 -0.17
SD 1.16 1.27 1.42
CV 0.91 0.88 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.57%8.57%2.86%——20.00%
117.14%14.29%—2.86%——34.29%
214.29%11.43%2.86%5.71%——34.29%
35.71%5.71%————11.43%
4———————
5+———————
Total37.14%40.00%11.43%11.43%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 0.97 +0.40
SD 0.94 0.98 1.54
CV 0.69 1.01 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 35

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%5.56%2.78%———22.22%
111.11%19.44%11.11%2.78%——44.44%
213.89%2.78%2.78%2.78%——22.22%
32.78%2.78%5.56%———11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total41.67%30.56%22.22%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 0.92 +0.31
SD 0.93 0.94 1.21
CV 0.76 1.02 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%8.33%5.56%——27.78%
18.33%13.89%5.56%5.56%2.78%—36.11%
22.78%5.56%5.56%2.78%——16.67%
32.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
4—2.78%—2.78%——5.56%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total22.22%33.33%22.22%19.44%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.47 -0.08
SD 1.32 1.13 1.78
CV 0.95 0.77 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%5.71%2.86%—2.86%25.71%
18.57%20.00%8.57%8.57%——45.71%
22.86%8.57%2.86%5.71%——20.00%
35.71%——2.86%——8.57%
4———————
5+———————
Total17.14%42.86%17.14%20.00%—2.86%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.51 -0.40
SD 0.90 1.17 1.59
CV 0.81 0.77 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 35

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%5.56%———16.67%
111.11%19.44%11.11%5.56%2.78%—50.00%
22.78%11.11%2.78%2.78%——19.44%
32.78%2.78%8.33%———13.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.44%41.67%27.78%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.33 -0.03
SD 0.92 0.99 1.32
CV 0.70 0.74 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%5.56%8.33%——36.11%
15.56%13.89%2.78%2.78%2.78%—27.78%
22.78%11.11%2.78%2.78%——19.44%
3——5.56%———5.56%
42.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
5+———————
Total22.22%38.89%19.44%16.67%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.39 -0.11
SD 1.32 1.10 1.65
CV 1.04 0.79 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%5.56%—2.78%2.78%22.22%
15.56%8.33%16.67%2.78%——33.33%
211.11%5.56%—2.78%2.78%—22.22%
32.78%8.33%2.78%———13.89%
4—2.78%2.78%2.78%——8.33%
5+———————
Total27.78%27.78%27.78%8.33%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.44 +0.08
SD 1.23 1.30 1.86
CV 0.81 0.90 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%5.56%8.33%2.78%—38.89%
15.56%16.67%5.56%——2.78%30.56%
25.56%2.78%—13.89%——22.22%
3——2.78%———2.78%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+———————
Total19.44%38.89%13.89%22.22%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.61 -0.56
SD 1.12 1.36 1.81
CV 1.06 0.84 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Drita Gjilan 1456 63 59.79 +3.21 69.0% 41 46 56 59 65 72 82
Ballkani 1448 58 63.03 -5.03 22.0% 46 50 59 63 68 75 81
Dukagjini 1383 55 49.40 +5.60 81.0% 28 38 45 49 54 61 72
Malisheva 1381 54 47.85 +6.15 82.0% 31 34 43 49 53 59 62
Llapi 1374 49 51.71 -2.71 35.0% 26 42 47 52 56 63 71
Gjilani 1372 51 51.38 -0.38 56.0% 31 35 44 50 58 66 72
FC Prishtina 1357 46 54.62 -8.62 16.0% 33 39 48 55 60 69 75
Drenica 1313 51 39.07 +11.93 95.0% 20 26 35 39 45 51 59
Ferizaj 1308 36 41.48 -5.48 21.0% 24 31 37 41 46 52 63
Prishtina e Re 1261 32 37.16 -5.16 30.0% 21 25 31 36 43 52 60

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+10.61%
No Edge
43.58%23.46%32.96%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 37.02 Elo pts.
229 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.31 goals
Neutral
-2+0.16+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.2
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
23%
Drita Gjilan, 2nd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Comfortable
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.18 * Some Luck: 6.18 to 9.27 * Lucky: 9.27 to 12.36 * Wild Swing: 12.36 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.27 * Close: 1.27 to 1.9 * Off: 1.9 to 2.54 * Way Off: 2.54 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.21 points
Some Luck
07.7219
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.20
Off
01.594
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
95.00%
Drenica
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
16.00%
FC Prishtina
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.10
Balanced
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 60.36
1.19
Coin-Flip Parity
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
58%
Even
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
75%
Even
50%76%100%
Close Games
Expected
68%
Very Frequent
0%64%100%
Blowouts
Expected
12%
Rare
0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.26
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.66
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.60
Strong Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
32%
Very Upset-Prone
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
31%
Very Shaky
0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.28
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.58
Overconfident
0.4516181.001.54838
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.063
Well Within Noise
00.1240.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Drita Gjilan23.00%29.00%18.00%13.00%10.00%4.00%—2.00%1.00%—
Ballkani49.00%26.00%15.00%2.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%———
Dukagjini4.00%3.00%10.00%19.00%11.00%17.00%18.00%9.00%4.00%5.00%
Malisheva1.00%3.00%10.00%18.00%15.00%11.00%18.00%12.00%8.00%4.00%
Drenica—1.00%3.00%—5.00%4.00%16.00%24.00%20.00%27.00%
Gjilani6.00%18.00%7.00%9.00%16.00%14.00%12.00%11.00%3.00%4.00%
Llapi4.00%5.00%16.00%19.00%19.00%15.00%11.00%7.00%3.00%1.00%
FC Prishtina12.00%14.00%19.00%15.00%10.00%14.00%6.00%6.00%4.00%—
Ferizaj1.00%1.00%—3.00%3.00%16.00%13.00%13.00%35.00%15.00%
Prishtina e Re——2.00%2.00%6.00%3.00%5.00%16.00%22.00%44.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Ballkani 100% — —
Drita Gjilan 97.00% 2.00% 1.00%
FC Prishtina 90.00% 6.00% 4.00%
Llapi 89.00% 7.00% 4.00%
Gjilani 82.00% 11.00% 7.00%
Dukagjini 82.00% 9.00% 9.00%
Malisheva 76.00% 12.00% 12.00%
Drenica 29.00% 24.00% 47.00%
Ferizaj 37.00% 13.00% 50.00%
Prishtina e Re 18.00% 16.00% 66.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2025-08-17 Llapi D 0-050.6 1297 1387 30.68% 24.41% 44.91%-0.24 +0.3 1
2025-08-17 @ Drenica D 0-050.6 1387 1297 44.91% 24.41% 30.68%+0.24 -0.3 1
2025-08-17 FC Prishtina L 2-353.9 1339 1380 37.36% 24.89% 37.75%-0.02 -3.4 0
2025-08-17 @ Dukagjini W 3-253.9 1380 1339 37.75% 24.89% 37.36%+0.02 +3.4 3
2025-08-17 Drita Gjilan W 1-047.2 1336 1454 27.58% 23.80% 48.62%-0.35 +4.7 3
2025-08-17 @ Ferizaj L 0-147.2 1454 1336 48.62% 23.80% 27.58%+0.35 -4.7 0
2025-08-17 Prishtina e Re L 0-440.9 1373 1272 56.80% 21.61% 21.59%+0.60 -19.1 0
2025-08-17 @ Malisheva W 4-040.9 1272 1373 21.59% 21.61% 56.80%-0.60 +19.1 3
2025-08-18 Ballkani D 1-157.6 1375 1440 34.01% 24.77% 41.23%-0.12 +0.1 1
2025-08-18 @ Gjilani D 1-157.6 1440 1375 41.23% 24.77% 34.01%+0.12 -0.2 1
2025-08-24 Malisheva D 1-157.8 1440 1354 54.76% 22.26% 22.98%+0.53 -0.7 2
2025-08-24 @ Ballkani D 1-157.8 1354 1440 22.98% 22.26% 54.76%-0.53 +0.7 1
2025-08-24 Gjilani W 2-038.7 1336 1375 37.49% 24.89% 37.62%-0.01 +7.3 3
2025-08-24 @ Dukagjini L 0-238.7 1375 1336 37.62% 24.89% 37.49%+0.01 -7.3 1
2025-08-24 Llapi W 3-036.1 1383 1387 42.59% 24.66% 32.75%+0.14 +9.5 6
2025-08-24 @ FC Prishtina L 0-336.1 1387 1383 32.75% 24.66% 42.59%-0.14 -9.5 1
2025-08-24 Ferizaj L 0-141.5 1291 1341 36.09% 24.87% 39.04%-0.05 -3.7 3
2025-08-24 @ Prishtina e Re W 1-041.5 1341 1291 39.04% 24.87% 36.09%+0.05 +3.8 6
2025-08-31 Prishtina e Re W 1-039.5 1297 1287 44.50% 24.46% 31.04%+0.20 +3.3 4
2025-08-31 @ Drenica L 0-139.5 1287 1297 31.04% 24.46% 44.50%-0.20 -3.3 3
2025-08-31 Ballkani L 1-343.5 1344 1439 30.22% 24.34% 45.45%-0.25 -5.3 6
2025-08-31 @ Ferizaj W 3-143.5 1439 1344 45.45% 24.34% 30.22%+0.25 +5.3 5
2025-08-31 FC Prishtina W 3-144.8 1368 1393 39.66% 24.85% 35.49%+0.05 +6.0 4
2025-08-31 @ Gjilani L 1-344.8 1393 1368 35.49% 24.85% 39.66%-0.05 -6.0 6
2025-08-31 Dukagjini L 0-144.7 1355 1343 44.86% 24.41% 30.72%+0.21 -4.4 1
2025-08-31 @ Malisheva W 1-044.7 1343 1355 30.72% 24.41% 44.86%-0.21 +4.4 6
2025-09-01 Drita Gjilan D 1-157.9 1378 1449 33.14% 24.70% 42.16%-0.15 +0.2 2
2025-09-01 @ Llapi D 1-157.9 1449 1378 42.16% 24.70% 33.14%+0.15 -0.2 1
2025-09-14 Drenica W 3-029.8 1444 1300 62.06% 19.65% 18.29%+0.79 +5.4 8
2025-09-14 @ Ballkani L 0-329.8 1300 1444 18.29% 19.65% 62.06%-0.79 -5.5 4
2025-09-14 Ferizaj W 2-036.3 1347 1339 44.32% 24.48% 31.20%+0.20 +6.3 9
2025-09-14 @ Dukagjini L 0-236.3 1339 1347 31.20% 24.48% 44.32%-0.20 -6.3 6
2025-09-14 Malisheva L 1-347.3 1374 1351 46.44% 24.19% 29.37%+0.26 -7.4 4
2025-09-14 @ Gjilani W 3-147.3 1351 1374 29.37% 24.19% 46.44%-0.26 +7.4 4
2025-09-14 Drita Gjilan D 2-264.1 1387 1449 34.35% 24.79% 40.86%-0.11 +0.1 7
2025-09-14 @ FC Prishtina D 2-264.1 1449 1387 40.86% 24.79% 34.35%+0.11 -0.1 2
2025-09-14 Llapi W 1-044.4 1284 1378 30.34% 24.36% 45.30%-0.25 +4.5 6
2025-09-14 @ Prishtina e Re L 0-144.4 1378 1284 45.30% 24.36% 30.34%+0.25 -4.5 2
2025-09-17 Drenica L 0-149.3 1449 1295 63.21% 19.17% 17.62%+0.83 -5.8 2
2025-09-17 @ Drita Gjilan W 1-049.3 1295 1449 17.62% 19.17% 63.21%-0.83 +5.8 7
2025-09-21 Dukagjini D 1-154.9 1301 1354 35.60% 24.85% 39.55%-0.07 +0.1 8
2025-09-21 @ Drenica D 1-154.9 1354 1301 39.55% 24.85% 35.60%+0.07 -0.1 10
2025-09-21 Prishtina e Re W 2-141.3 1443 1289 63.26% 19.15% 17.59%+0.84 +1.8 5
2025-09-21 @ Drita Gjilan L 1-241.3 1289 1443 17.59% 19.15% 63.26%-0.84 -1.8 6
2025-09-21 Gjilani L 0-142.9 1333 1367 38.33% 24.88% 36.79%+0.01 -3.9 6
2025-09-21 @ Ferizaj W 1-042.9 1367 1333 36.79% 24.88% 38.33%-0.01 +3.9 7
2025-09-21 Ballkani D 2-263.8 1373 1450 32.46% 24.63% 42.90%-0.17 +0.2 3
2025-09-21 @ Llapi D 2-263.8 1450 1373 42.90% 24.63% 32.46%+0.17 -0.2 9
2025-09-21 FC Prishtina L 1-345.6 1358 1387 39.08% 24.87% 36.05%+0.04 -6.5 4
2025-09-21 @ Malisheva W 3-145.6 1387 1358 36.05% 24.87% 39.08%-0.04 +6.5 10
2025-09-25 Drita Gjilan W 2-040.9 1450 1445 43.88% 24.53% 31.59%+0.18 +6.4 12
2025-09-25 @ Ballkani L 0-240.9 1445 1450 31.59% 24.53% 43.88%-0.18 -6.3 5
2025-09-25 Llapi W 3-144.1 1354 1373 40.33% 24.82% 34.85%+0.07 +6.0 13
2025-09-25 @ Dukagjini L 1-344.1 1373 1354 34.85% 24.82% 40.33%-0.07 -6.0 3
2025-09-25 Drenica L 0-146.3 1371 1301 52.73% 22.84% 24.43%+0.47 -5.0 7
2025-09-25 @ Gjilani W 1-046.3 1301 1371 24.43% 22.84% 52.73%-0.47 +5.0 11
2025-09-25 Ferizaj W 3-141.6 1352 1329 46.33% 24.20% 29.46%+0.26 +5.2 7
2025-09-25 @ Malisheva L 1-341.6 1329 1352 29.46% 24.20% 46.33%-0.26 -5.2 6
2025-09-25 Prishtina e Re W 2-032.3 1393 1287 57.43% 21.40% 21.17%+0.63 +4.4 13
2025-09-25 @ FC Prishtina L 0-232.3 1287 1393 21.17% 21.40% 57.43%-0.63 -4.4 6
2025-09-28 Malisheva L 3-455.3 1306 1357 35.87% 24.86% 39.26%-0.06 -3.2 11
2025-09-28 @ Drenica W 4-355.3 1357 1306 39.26% 24.86% 35.87%+0.06 +3.2 10
2025-09-28 Dukagjini W 3-141.3 1438 1359 53.89% 22.52% 23.59%+0.51 +4.2 8
2025-09-28 @ Drita Gjilan L 1-341.3 1359 1438 23.59% 22.52% 53.89%-0.51 -4.2 13
2025-09-28 FC Prishtina L 0-536.5 1324 1398 32.82% 24.67% 42.51%-0.16 -15.3 6
2025-09-28 @ Ferizaj W 5-036.5 1398 1324 42.51% 24.67% 32.82%+0.16 +15.3 16
2025-09-28 Gjilani W 4-140.4 1367 1366 43.44% 24.58% 31.98%+0.17 +7.9 6
2025-09-28 @ Llapi L 1-440.4 1366 1367 31.98% 24.58% 43.44%-0.17 -7.9 7
2025-09-28 Ballkani L 0-331.5 1282 1456 22.11% 21.87% 56.03%-0.60 -6.7 6
2025-09-28 @ Prishtina e Re W 3-031.5 1456 1282 56.03% 21.87% 22.11%+0.60 +6.7 15
2025-10-04 Llapi L 1-250.0 1360 1375 40.98% 24.78% 34.24%+0.09 -3.9 10
2025-10-04 @ Malisheva W 2-150.0 1375 1360 34.24% 24.78% 40.98%-0.09 +3.9 9
2025-10-04 Ballkani W 1-046.9 1413 1463 36.04% 24.87% 39.09%-0.06 +4.0 19
2025-10-04 @ FC Prishtina L 0-146.9 1463 1413 39.09% 24.87% 36.04%+0.06 -4.0 15
2025-10-05 Prishtina e Re D 1-155.4 1355 1276 54.00% 22.49% 23.52%+0.51 -0.7 14
2025-10-05 @ Dukagjini D 1-155.4 1276 1355 23.52% 22.49% 54.00%-0.51 +0.6 7
2025-10-05 Drenica W 2-035.7 1308 1302 44.00% 24.52% 31.48%+0.19 +6.3 9
2025-10-05 @ Ferizaj L 0-235.7 1302 1308 31.48% 24.52% 44.00%-0.19 -6.3 11
2025-10-06 Drita Gjilan L 1-248.3 1358 1442 31.42% 24.51% 44.07%-0.21 -3.2 7
2025-10-06 @ Gjilani W 2-148.3 1442 1358 44.07% 24.51% 31.42%+0.21 +3.2 11
2025-10-18 Malisheva W 2-145.0 1446 1356 55.29% 22.10% 22.61%+0.55 +2.3 14
2025-10-18 @ Drita Gjilan L 1-245.0 1356 1446 22.61% 22.10% 55.29%-0.55 -2.3 10
2025-10-18 Gjilani L 0-140.3 1276 1354 32.26% 24.61% 43.12%-0.18 -3.4 7
2025-10-18 @ Prishtina e Re W 1-040.3 1354 1276 43.12% 24.61% 32.26%+0.18 +3.4 10
2025-10-19 Dukagjini W 2-034.7 1459 1355 57.15% 21.50% 21.36%+0.62 +4.4 18
2025-10-19 @ Ballkani L 0-234.7 1355 1459 21.36% 21.50% 57.15%-0.62 -4.4 14
2025-10-19 FC Prishtina L 3-452.9 1296 1417 27.25% 23.72% 49.03%-0.37 -2.6 11
2025-10-19 @ Drenica W 4-352.9 1417 1296 49.03% 23.72% 27.25%+0.37 +2.6 22
2025-10-19 Ferizaj D 1-155.9 1379 1315 52.02% 23.03% 24.95%+0.44 -0.6 10
2025-10-19 @ Llapi D 1-155.9 1315 1379 24.95% 23.03% 52.02%-0.44 +0.6 10
2025-10-25 Gjilani D 1-158.7 1463 1358 57.29% 21.45% 21.27%+0.62 -0.8 19
2025-10-25 @ Ballkani D 1-158.7 1358 1463 21.27% 21.45% 57.29%-0.62 +0.8 11
2025-10-25 Dukagjini L 0-243.5 1419 1350 52.64% 22.87% 24.49%+0.46 -9.5 22
2025-10-25 @ FC Prishtina W 2-043.5 1350 1419 24.49% 22.87% 52.64%-0.46 +9.5 17
2025-10-25 Malisheva W 2-039.4 1273 1354 31.92% 24.57% 43.51%-0.19 +8.1 10
2025-10-25 @ Prishtina e Re L 0-239.4 1354 1273 43.51% 24.57% 31.92%+0.19 -8.1 10
2025-10-26 Ferizaj W 3-138.6 1448 1315 60.68% 20.20% 19.12%+0.74 +3.4 17
2025-10-26 @ Drita Gjilan L 1-338.6 1315 1448 19.12% 20.20% 60.68%-0.74 -3.4 10
2025-10-26 Drenica W 4-350.7 1379 1293 54.72% 22.27% 23.00%+0.53 +2.2 13
2025-10-26 @ Llapi L 3-450.7 1293 1379 23.00% 22.27% 54.72%-0.53 -2.2 11
2025-10-28 Dukagjini L 0-240.3 1359 1360 43.02% 24.62% 32.35%+0.16 -8.1 11
2025-10-28 @ Gjilani W 2-040.3 1360 1359 32.35% 24.62% 43.02%-0.16 +8.1 20
2025-10-28 Ballkani L 0-536.4 1346 1462 27.68% 23.82% 48.50%-0.35 -13.3 10
2025-10-28 @ Malisheva W 5-036.4 1462 1346 48.50% 23.82% 27.68%+0.35 +13.3 22
2025-10-29 Drita Gjilan W 3-149.4 1291 1451 23.32% 22.41% 54.28%-0.54 +8.4 14
2025-10-29 @ Drenica L 1-349.4 1451 1291 54.28% 22.41% 23.32%+0.54 -8.4 17
2025-10-29 Prishtina e Re W 3-032.5 1312 1281 47.46% 24.02% 28.52%+0.30 +8.5 13
2025-10-29 @ Ferizaj L 0-332.5 1281 1312 28.52% 24.02% 47.46%-0.30 -8.5 10
2025-10-29 FC Prishtina W 2-149.6 1381 1410 39.02% 24.87% 36.12%+0.03 +3.5 16
2025-10-29 @ Llapi L 1-249.6 1410 1381 36.12% 24.87% 39.02%-0.03 -3.5 22
2025-11-01 Ferizaj D 1-158.8 1476 1320 63.38% 19.10% 17.52%+0.84 -1.0 23
2025-11-01 @ Ballkani D 1-158.8 1320 1476 17.52% 19.10% 63.38%-0.84 +1.0 14
2025-11-01 Gjilani D 0-052.0 1406 1351 50.85% 23.32% 25.83%+0.41 -0.6 23
2025-11-01 @ FC Prishtina D 0-052.0 1351 1406 25.83% 23.32% 50.85%-0.41 +0.6 12
2025-11-02 Llapi W 1-041.0 1443 1384 51.23% 23.23% 25.54%+0.42 +2.8 20
2025-11-02 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-141.0 1384 1443 25.54% 23.23% 51.23%-0.42 -2.8 16
2025-11-02 Malisheva L 1-251.4 1368 1332 48.08% 23.90% 28.01%+0.32 -4.4 20
2025-11-02 @ Dukagjini W 2-151.4 1332 1368 28.01% 23.90% 48.08%-0.32 +4.4 13
2025-11-02 Drenica D 0-049.5 1273 1300 39.29% 24.86% 35.85%+0.04 -0.1 11
2025-11-02 @ Prishtina e Re D 0-049.5 1300 1273 35.85% 24.86% 39.29%-0.04 +0.1 15
2025-11-08 Ballkani W 2-044.4 1300 1475 22.01% 21.82% 56.18%-0.60 +10.0 18
2025-11-08 @ Drenica L 0-244.4 1475 1300 56.18% 21.82% 22.01%+0.60 -10.0 23
2025-11-08 Prishtina e Re D 1-156.0 1382 1272 57.77% 21.28% 20.95%+0.64 -0.8 17
2025-11-08 @ Llapi D 1-156.0 1272 1382 20.95% 21.28% 57.77%-0.64 +0.8 12
2025-11-09 Dukagjini L 0-142.4 1321 1363 37.16% 24.89% 37.95%-0.02 -3.8 14
2025-11-09 @ Ferizaj W 1-042.4 1363 1321 37.95% 24.89% 37.16%+0.02 +3.8 23
2025-11-09 Gjilani L 1-249.4 1337 1351 41.10% 24.78% 34.12%+0.10 -3.9 13
2025-11-09 @ Malisheva W 2-149.4 1351 1337 34.12% 24.78% 41.10%-0.10 +3.9 15
2025-11-22 Malisheva L 0-243.1 1406 1333 53.13% 22.73% 24.14%+0.48 -9.5 23
2025-11-22 @ FC Prishtina W 2-043.1 1333 1406 24.14% 22.73% 53.13%-0.48 +9.5 16
2025-11-22 Drita Gjilan L 0-233.3 1273 1446 22.21% 21.92% 55.87%-0.59 -4.6 12
2025-11-22 @ Prishtina e Re W 2-033.3 1446 1273 55.87% 21.92% 22.21%+0.59 +4.6 23
2025-11-23 Llapi L 2-455.5 1465 1381 54.55% 22.32% 23.12%+0.53 -7.5 23
2025-11-23 @ Ballkani W 4-255.5 1381 1465 23.12% 22.32% 54.55%-0.53 +7.5 20
2025-11-23 Drenica W 3-032.2 1367 1310 51.07% 23.27% 25.67%+0.41 +7.7 26
2025-11-23 @ Dukagjini L 0-332.2 1310 1367 25.67% 23.27% 51.07%-0.41 -7.7 18
2025-11-23 Ferizaj D 2-261.4 1355 1318 48.39% 23.85% 27.77%+0.33 -0.3 16
2025-11-23 @ Gjilani D 2-261.4 1318 1355 27.77% 23.85% 48.39%-0.33 +0.3 15
2025-11-29 Gjilani L 0-141.6 1302 1355 35.64% 24.85% 39.50%-0.07 -3.7 18
2025-11-29 @ Drenica W 1-041.6 1355 1302 39.50% 24.85% 35.64%+0.07 +3.7 19
2025-11-29 FC Prishtina W 4-144.6 1269 1396 26.52% 23.52% 49.96%-0.40 +11.1 15
2025-11-29 @ Prishtina e Re L 1-444.6 1396 1269 49.96% 23.52% 26.52%+0.40 -11.1 23
2025-11-30 Ballkani L 2-359.8 1450 1457 42.21% 24.70% 33.10%+0.13 -3.8 23
2025-11-30 @ Drita Gjilan W 3-259.8 1457 1450 33.10% 24.70% 42.21%-0.13 +3.8 26
2025-11-30 Malisheva L 0-238.7 1318 1342 39.66% 24.85% 35.49%+0.05 -7.6 15
2025-11-30 @ Ferizaj W 2-038.7 1342 1318 35.49% 24.85% 39.66%-0.05 +7.6 19
2025-11-30 Dukagjini L 0-145.8 1388 1375 45.06% 24.39% 30.55%+0.22 -4.4 20
2025-11-30 @ Llapi W 1-045.8 1375 1388 30.55% 24.39% 45.06%-0.22 +4.4 29
2025-12-06 Prishtina e Re W 6-132.2 1461 1280 66.34% 17.80% 15.86%+0.95 +6.2 29
2025-12-06 @ Ballkani L 1-632.2 1280 1461 15.86% 17.80% 66.34%-0.95 -6.2 15
2025-12-06 Drita Gjilan D 1-157.8 1379 1447 33.66% 24.74% 41.59%-0.13 +0.2 30
2025-12-06 @ Dukagjini D 1-157.8 1447 1379 41.59% 24.74% 33.66%+0.13 -0.2 24
2025-12-06 Drenica W 2-034.1 1350 1298 50.30% 23.45% 26.26%+0.39 +5.4 22
2025-12-06 @ Malisheva L 0-234.1 1298 1350 26.26% 23.45% 50.30%-0.39 -5.4 18
2025-12-07 Llapi W 3-036.5 1358 1384 39.54% 24.85% 35.61%+0.05 +10.2 22
2025-12-07 @ Gjilani L 0-336.5 1384 1358 35.61% 24.85% 39.54%-0.05 -10.2 20
2025-12-07 Ferizaj D 1-156.1 1385 1310 53.38% 22.66% 23.96%+0.49 -0.6 24
2025-12-07 @ FC Prishtina D 1-156.1 1310 1385 23.96% 22.66% 53.38%-0.49 +0.6 16
2025-12-13 Ferizaj W 2-146.7 1293 1311 40.60% 24.81% 34.59%+0.08 +3.4 21
2025-12-13 @ Drenica L 1-246.7 1311 1293 34.59% 24.81% 40.60%-0.08 -3.4 16
2025-12-13 Dukagjini D 0-050.3 1274 1379 28.91% 24.10% 46.99%-0.30 +0.4 16
2025-12-13 @ Prishtina e Re D 0-050.3 1379 1274 46.99% 24.10% 28.91%+0.30 -0.4 31
2025-12-14 FC Prishtina W 3-142.5 1467 1384 54.39% 22.37% 23.24%+0.52 +4.2 32
2025-12-14 @ Ballkani L 1-342.5 1384 1467 23.24% 22.37% 54.39%-0.52 -4.2 24
2025-12-14 Gjilani D 1-158.2 1446 1369 53.77% 22.55% 23.68%+0.50 -0.6 25
2025-12-14 @ Drita Gjilan D 1-158.2 1369 1446 23.68% 22.55% 53.77%-0.50 +0.6 23
2025-12-14 Malisheva D 0-051.2 1374 1355 45.74% 24.29% 29.97%+0.24 -0.4 21
2025-12-14 @ Llapi D 0-051.2 1355 1374 29.97% 24.29% 45.74%-0.24 +0.4 23
2025-12-20 Llapi W 2-149.4 1307 1373 33.86% 24.76% 41.39%-0.13 +3.9 19
2025-12-20 @ Ferizaj L 1-249.4 1373 1307 41.39% 24.76% 33.86%+0.13 -3.9 21
2025-12-20 Drenica W 2-143.1 1380 1296 54.57% 22.32% 23.11%+0.53 +2.4 27
2025-12-20 @ FC Prishtina L 1-243.1 1296 1380 23.11% 22.32% 54.57%-0.53 -2.4 21
2025-12-21 Ballkani D 0-053.8 1379 1471 30.51% 24.38% 45.11%-0.24 +0.3 32
2025-12-21 @ Dukagjini D 0-053.8 1471 1379 45.11% 24.38% 30.51%+0.24 -0.3 33
2025-12-21 Prishtina e Re W 3-247.5 1369 1274 56.02% 21.87% 22.11%+0.58 +2.2 26
2025-12-21 @ Gjilani L 2-347.5 1274 1369 22.11% 21.87% 56.02%-0.58 -2.2 16
2025-12-21 Drita Gjilan D 1-157.4 1356 1446 30.78% 24.42% 44.80%-0.23 +0.3 24
2025-12-21 @ Malisheva D 1-157.4 1446 1356 44.80% 24.42% 30.78%+0.23 -0.3 26
2025-12-24 FC Prishtina W 2-036.7 1446 1383 51.79% 23.09% 25.12%+0.44 +5.2 29
2025-12-24 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-236.7 1383 1446 25.12% 23.09% 51.79%-0.44 -5.2 27
2026-02-07 FC Prishtina L 0-145.2 1379 1378 43.42% 24.58% 32.00%+0.17 -4.3 32
2026-02-07 @ Dukagjini W 1-045.2 1378 1379 32.00% 24.58% 43.42%-0.17 +4.3 30
2026-02-07 Drita Gjilan L 0-139.4 1311 1451 25.31% 23.15% 51.54%-0.45 -2.8 19
2026-02-07 @ Ferizaj W 1-039.4 1451 1311 51.54% 23.15% 25.31%+0.45 +2.8 32
2026-02-07 Llapi D 1-155.1 1294 1369 32.60% 24.65% 42.75%-0.17 +0.2 22
2026-02-07 @ Drenica D 1-155.1 1369 1294 42.75% 24.65% 32.60%+0.17 -0.2 22
2026-02-08 Ballkani L 1-248.7 1371 1471 29.65% 24.24% 46.11%-0.27 -3.0 26
2026-02-08 @ Gjilani W 2-148.7 1471 1371 46.11% 24.24% 29.65%+0.27 +3.0 36
2026-02-08 Prishtina e Re W 1-036.8 1356 1272 54.59% 22.31% 23.09%+0.53 +2.5 27
2026-02-08 @ Malisheva L 0-136.8 1272 1356 23.09% 22.31% 54.59%-0.53 -2.5 16
2026-02-14 Drenica W 1-035.5 1454 1294 63.86% 18.90% 17.24%+0.86 +1.9 35
2026-02-14 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-135.5 1294 1454 17.24% 18.90% 63.86%-0.86 -1.9 22
2026-02-15 Gjilani D 1-156.2 1375 1368 44.08% 24.51% 31.41%+0.19 -0.3 33
2026-02-15 @ Dukagjini D 1-156.2 1368 1375 31.41% 24.51% 44.08%-0.19 +0.3 27
2026-02-15 Ferizaj W 1-041.6 1269 1309 37.54% 24.89% 37.57%-0.01 +3.9 19
2026-02-15 @ Prishtina e Re L 0-141.6 1309 1269 37.57% 24.89% 37.54%+0.01 -3.9 19
2026-02-15 Llapi W 4-140.3 1382 1369 44.92% 24.41% 30.67%+0.22 +7.6 33
2026-02-15 @ FC Prishtina L 1-440.3 1369 1382 30.67% 24.41% 44.92%-0.22 -7.6 22
2026-02-16 Malisheva L 1-256.2 1474 1359 58.55% 21.00% 20.45%+0.67 -5.2 36
2026-02-16 @ Ballkani W 2-156.2 1359 1474 20.45% 21.00% 58.55%-0.67 +5.2 30
2026-02-20 Dukagjini D 0-051.2 1364 1375 41.59% 24.74% 33.66%+0.11 -0.2 31
2026-02-20 @ Malisheva D 0-051.2 1375 1364 33.66% 24.74% 41.59%-0.11 +0.2 34
2026-02-22 Ballkani W 2-154.1 1305 1469 22.96% 22.26% 54.78%-0.55 +4.9 22
2026-02-22 @ Ferizaj L 1-254.1 1469 1305 54.78% 22.26% 22.96%+0.55 -4.9 36
2026-02-22 FC Prishtina W 1-042.8 1369 1389 40.21% 24.83% 34.96%+0.07 +3.7 30
2026-02-22 @ Gjilani L 0-142.8 1389 1369 34.96% 24.83% 40.21%-0.07 -3.7 33
2026-02-22 Drita Gjilan L 0-238.3 1362 1455 30.34% 24.35% 45.31%-0.25 -6.1 22
2026-02-22 @ Llapi W 2-038.3 1455 1362 45.31% 24.35% 30.34%+0.25 +6.1 38
2026-02-23 Prishtina e Re L 0-239.6 1292 1273 45.84% 24.28% 29.88%+0.25 -8.5 22
2026-02-23 @ Drenica W 2-039.6 1273 1292 29.88% 24.28% 45.84%-0.25 +8.5 22
2026-02-28 Ferizaj D 1-155.8 1375 1310 52.12% 23.00% 24.88%+0.45 -0.6 35
2026-02-28 @ Dukagjini D 1-155.8 1310 1375 24.88% 23.00% 52.12%-0.45 +0.6 23
2026-02-28 Malisheva W 2-147.0 1372 1364 44.40% 24.47% 31.13%+0.20 +3.1 33
2026-02-28 @ Gjilani L 1-247.0 1364 1372 31.13% 24.47% 44.40%-0.20 -3.1 31
2026-02-28 Drita Gjilan D 1-158.4 1386 1462 32.57% 24.65% 42.79%-0.17 +0.2 34
2026-02-28 @ FC Prishtina D 1-158.4 1462 1386 42.79% 24.65% 32.57%+0.17 -0.2 39
2026-03-01 Drenica W 1-034.8 1464 1284 66.23% 17.85% 15.92%+0.95 +1.7 39
2026-03-01 @ Ballkani L 0-134.8 1284 1464 15.92% 17.85% 66.23%-0.95 -1.7 22
2026-03-01 Llapi D 1-154.8 1282 1356 32.81% 24.67% 42.52%-0.16 +0.2 23
2026-03-01 @ Prishtina e Re D 1-154.8 1356 1282 42.52% 24.67% 32.81%+0.16 -0.2 23
2026-03-07 Prishtina e Re W 3-028.6 1461 1282 66.16% 17.88% 15.96%+0.95 +4.7 42
2026-03-07 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-328.6 1282 1461 15.96% 17.88% 66.16%-0.95 -4.7 23
2026-03-08 Dukagjini D 2-261.1 1282 1374 30.51% 24.38% 45.11%-0.24 +0.2 23
2026-03-08 @ Drenica D 2-261.1 1374 1282 45.11% 24.38% 30.51%+0.24 -0.2 36
2026-03-09 FC Prishtina W 3-036.6 1360 1386 39.52% 24.85% 35.63%+0.05 +10.1 34
2026-03-09 @ Malisheva L 0-336.6 1386 1360 35.63% 24.85% 39.52%-0.05 -10.2 34
2026-03-09 Ballkani W 2-043.5 1355 1466 28.41% 23.99% 47.60%-0.32 +8.7 26
2026-03-09 @ Llapi L 0-243.5 1466 1355 47.60% 23.99% 28.41%+0.32 -8.7 39
2026-03-09 Gjilani L 1-247.2 1310 1376 33.94% 24.76% 41.29%-0.12 -3.4 23
2026-03-09 @ Ferizaj W 2-147.2 1376 1310 41.29% 24.76% 33.94%+0.12 +3.4 36
2026-03-14 Drenica L 0-146.9 1379 1282 56.18% 21.82% 22.00%+0.58 -5.3 36
2026-03-14 @ Gjilani W 1-046.9 1282 1379 22.00% 21.82% 56.18%-0.58 +5.3 26
2026-03-14 Ferizaj L 1-252.0 1371 1307 51.91% 23.06% 25.03%+0.44 -4.7 34
2026-03-14 @ Malisheva W 2-152.0 1307 1371 25.03% 23.06% 51.91%-0.44 +4.7 26
2026-03-14 Prishtina e Re D 1-155.9 1376 1277 56.45% 21.73% 21.82%+0.59 -0.8 35
2026-03-14 @ FC Prishtina D 1-155.9 1277 1376 21.82% 21.73% 56.45%-0.59 +0.8 24
2026-03-15 Drita Gjilan W 3-040.5 1457 1466 41.86% 24.72% 33.42%+0.12 +9.7 42
2026-03-15 @ Ballkani L 0-340.5 1466 1457 33.42% 24.72% 41.86%-0.12 -9.7 42
2026-03-15 Llapi L 1-251.1 1374 1364 44.57% 24.45% 30.97%+0.21 -4.1 36
2026-03-15 @ Dukagjini W 2-151.1 1364 1374 30.97% 24.45% 44.57%-0.21 +4.2 29
2026-03-17 Malisheva W 4-249.4 1288 1366 32.25% 24.61% 43.14%-0.18 +6.3 29
2026-03-17 @ Drenica L 2-449.4 1366 1288 43.14% 24.61% 32.25%+0.18 -6.3 34
2026-03-17 FC Prishtina W 3-037.4 1312 1375 34.18% 24.78% 41.04%-0.12 +11.3 29
2026-03-17 @ Ferizaj L 0-337.4 1375 1312 41.04% 24.78% 34.18%+0.12 -11.3 35
2026-03-18 Dukagjini W 2-145.7 1456 1370 54.87% 22.23% 22.90%+0.54 +2.4 45
2026-03-18 @ Drita Gjilan L 1-245.7 1370 1456 22.90% 22.23% 54.87%-0.54 -2.4 36
2026-03-18 Gjilani L 2-355.7 1368 1374 42.40% 24.68% 32.92%+0.14 -3.8 29
2026-03-18 @ Llapi W 3-255.7 1374 1368 32.92% 24.68% 42.40%-0.14 +3.8 39
2026-03-18 Ballkani L 0-137.2 1278 1467 20.86% 21.23% 57.90%-0.66 -2.3 24
2026-03-18 @ Prishtina e Re W 1-037.2 1467 1278 57.90% 21.23% 20.86%+0.66 +2.3 45
2026-03-21 Drenica W 1-038.9 1323 1294 47.21% 24.06% 28.73%+0.29 +3.1 32
2026-03-21 @ Ferizaj L 0-138.9 1294 1323 28.73% 24.06% 47.21%-0.29 -3.1 29
2026-03-21 Ballkani W 1-047.8 1364 1469 29.00% 24.12% 46.88%-0.30 +4.6 38
2026-03-21 @ FC Prishtina L 0-147.8 1469 1364 46.88% 24.12% 29.00%+0.30 -4.6 45
2026-03-22 Prishtina e Re D 1-155.7 1368 1276 55.60% 22.00% 22.40%+0.56 -0.7 37
2026-03-22 @ Dukagjini D 1-155.7 1276 1368 22.40% 22.00% 55.60%-0.56 +0.7 25
2026-03-22 Drita Gjilan L 0-143.5 1377 1459 31.86% 24.57% 43.58%-0.19 -3.4 39
2026-03-22 @ Gjilani W 1-043.5 1459 1377 43.58% 24.57% 31.86%+0.19 +3.4 48
2026-03-22 Llapi W 2-037.4 1360 1364 42.47% 24.67% 32.85%+0.14 +6.6 37
2026-03-22 @ Malisheva L 0-237.4 1364 1360 32.85% 24.67% 42.47%-0.14 -6.5 29
2026-04-04 Dukagjini W 2-145.4 1464 1367 56.28% 21.78% 21.94%+0.59 +2.3 48
2026-04-04 @ Ballkani L 1-245.4 1367 1464 21.94% 21.78% 56.28%-0.59 -2.3 37
2026-04-04 Ferizaj W 1-039.5 1358 1326 47.61% 23.99% 28.40%+0.30 +3.1 32
2026-04-04 @ Llapi L 0-139.5 1326 1358 28.40% 23.99% 47.61%-0.30 -3.1 32
2026-04-04 Gjilani L 1-245.5 1276 1374 29.87% 24.28% 45.85%-0.26 -3.0 25
2026-04-04 @ Prishtina e Re W 2-145.5 1374 1276 45.85% 24.28% 29.87%+0.26 +3.0 42
2026-04-05 Malisheva W 2-035.4 1462 1366 56.10% 21.84% 22.06%+0.58 +4.6 51
2026-04-05 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-235.4 1366 1462 22.06% 21.84% 56.10%-0.58 -4.6 37
2026-04-05 FC Prishtina D 2-261.1 1291 1368 32.34% 24.62% 43.04%-0.18 +0.2 30
2026-04-05 @ Drenica D 2-261.1 1368 1291 43.04% 24.62% 32.34%+0.18 -0.2 39
2026-04-11 Malisheva W 2-149.8 1273 1362 31.00% 24.45% 44.55%-0.22 +4.2 28
2026-04-11 @ Prishtina e Re L 1-249.8 1362 1273 44.55% 24.45% 31.00%+0.22 -4.1 37
2026-04-12 Gjilani D 1-159.1 1466 1377 55.28% 22.10% 22.62%+0.55 -0.7 49
2026-04-12 @ Ballkani D 1-159.1 1377 1466 22.62% 22.10% 55.28%-0.55 +0.7 43
2026-04-12 Drenica L 0-146.1 1361 1291 52.75% 22.84% 24.42%+0.47 -5.0 32
2026-04-12 @ Llapi W 1-046.1 1291 1361 24.42% 22.84% 52.75%-0.47 +5.0 33
2026-04-13 Dukagjini D 1-156.0 1368 1365 43.66% 24.56% 31.78%+0.18 -0.2 40
2026-04-13 @ FC Prishtina D 1-156.0 1365 1368 31.78% 24.56% 43.66%-0.18 +0.2 38
2026-04-18 Prishtina e Re D 1-154.9 1323 1277 49.45% 23.63% 26.92%+0.36 -0.5 33
2026-04-18 @ Ferizaj D 1-154.9 1277 1323 26.92% 23.63% 49.45%-0.36 +0.5 29
2026-04-18 FC Prishtina D 0-051.0 1356 1368 41.45% 24.75% 33.79%+0.11 -0.2 33
2026-04-18 @ Llapi D 0-051.0 1368 1356 33.79% 24.75% 41.45%-0.11 +0.2 41
2026-04-19 Drita Gjilan W 1-048.2 1296 1467 22.37% 21.99% 55.64%-0.58 +5.3 36
2026-04-19 @ Drenica L 0-148.2 1467 1296 55.64% 21.99% 22.37%+0.58 -5.3 51
2026-04-19 Dukagjini L 2-356.4 1378 1365 44.96% 24.40% 30.64%+0.22 -4.0 43
2026-04-19 @ Gjilani W 3-256.4 1365 1378 30.64% 24.40% 44.96%-0.22 +4.0 41
2026-04-19 Ballkani W 4-253.3 1357 1466 28.62% 24.04% 47.34%-0.31 +6.8 40
2026-04-19 @ Malisheva L 2-453.3 1466 1357 47.34% 24.04% 28.62%+0.31 -6.7 49
2026-04-25 Drenica L 2-353.3 1278 1301 39.85% 24.84% 35.31%+0.06 -3.6 29
2026-04-25 @ Prishtina e Re W 3-253.3 1301 1278 35.31% 24.84% 39.85%-0.06 +3.6 39
2026-04-25 Gjilani D 1-156.1 1368 1374 42.36% 24.68% 32.96%+0.14 -0.2 42
2026-04-25 @ FC Prishtina D 1-156.1 1374 1368 32.96% 24.68% 42.36%-0.14 +0.2 44
2026-04-26 Ferizaj W 3-030.8 1459 1322 61.16% 20.02% 18.83%+0.76 +5.6 52
2026-04-26 @ Ballkani L 0-330.8 1322 1459 18.83% 20.02% 61.16%-0.76 -5.6 33
2026-04-26 Malisheva D 0-051.2 1369 1364 43.81% 24.54% 31.65%+0.18 -0.3 42
2026-04-26 @ Dukagjini D 0-051.2 1364 1369 31.65% 24.54% 43.81%-0.18 +0.3 41
2026-04-26 Llapi W 3-032.7 1461 1356 57.34% 21.43% 21.23%+0.62 +6.4 54
2026-04-26 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-332.7 1356 1461 21.23% 21.43% 57.34%-0.62 -6.4 33
2026-04-29 FC Prishtina W 1-039.6 1468 1368 56.61% 21.68% 21.71%+0.60 +2.4 57
2026-04-29 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-139.6 1368 1468 21.71% 21.68% 56.61%-0.60 -2.4 42
2026-04-29 Prishtina e Re W 4-031.2 1349 1274 53.40% 22.66% 23.94%+0.49 +9.4 36
2026-04-29 @ Llapi L 0-431.2 1274 1349 23.94% 22.66% 53.40%-0.49 -9.4 29
2026-04-29 Gjilani W 3-143.8 1364 1374 41.82% 24.73% 33.46%+0.12 +5.8 44
2026-04-29 @ Malisheva L 1-343.8 1374 1364 33.46% 24.73% 41.82%-0.12 -5.8 44
2026-04-30 Ballkani L 1-244.6 1305 1465 23.34% 22.42% 54.24%-0.54 -2.4 39
2026-04-30 @ Drenica W 2-144.6 1465 1305 54.24% 22.42% 23.34%+0.54 +2.4 55
2026-04-30 Dukagjini L 1-247.8 1317 1369 35.78% 24.86% 39.36%-0.06 -3.5 33
2026-04-30 @ Ferizaj W 2-147.8 1369 1317 39.36% 24.86% 35.78%+0.06 +3.5 45
2026-05-02 Malisheva L 0-144.6 1366 1370 42.49% 24.67% 32.84%+0.14 -4.2 42
2026-05-02 @ FC Prishtina W 1-044.6 1370 1366 32.84% 24.67% 42.49%-0.14 +4.2 47
2026-05-02 Drita Gjilan L 0-136.5 1265 1470 19.55% 20.48% 59.97%-0.74 -2.1 29
2026-05-02 @ Prishtina e Re W 1-036.5 1470 1265 59.97% 20.48% 19.55%+0.74 +2.2 60
2026-05-03 Llapi L 0-150.0 1467 1359 57.67% 21.32% 21.01%+0.63 -5.4 55
2026-05-03 @ Ballkani W 1-050.0 1359 1467 21.01% 21.32% 57.67%-0.63 +5.4 39
2026-05-03 Drenica L 0-146.3 1372 1302 52.70% 22.85% 24.45%+0.47 -5.0 45
2026-05-03 @ Dukagjini W 1-046.3 1302 1372 24.45% 22.85% 52.70%-0.47 +5.0 42
2026-05-03 Ferizaj D 1-155.7 1368 1313 50.73% 23.34% 25.92%+0.40 -0.5 45
2026-05-03 @ Gjilani D 1-155.7 1313 1368 25.92% 23.34% 50.73%-0.40 +0.5 34
2026-05-06 FC Prishtina W 3-255.3 1263 1361 29.76% 24.26% 45.98%-0.27 +4.0 32
2026-05-06 @ Prishtina e Re L 2-355.3 1361 1263 45.98% 24.26% 29.76%+0.27 -4.0 42
2026-05-09 Ballkani W 2-042.0 1472 1462 44.66% 24.44% 30.90%+0.21 +6.2 63
2026-05-09 @ Drita Gjilan L 0-242.0 1462 1472 30.90% 24.44% 44.66%-0.21 -6.2 55
2026-05-09 Gjilani W 2-149.1 1307 1368 34.62% 24.81% 40.57%-0.10 +3.9 45
2026-05-09 @ Drenica L 1-249.1 1368 1307 40.57% 24.81% 34.62%+0.10 -3.9 45
2026-05-10 Malisheva D 1-155.3 1314 1374 34.56% 24.80% 40.64%-0.10 +0.1 35
2026-05-10 @ Ferizaj D 1-155.3 1374 1314 40.64% 24.80% 34.56%+0.10 -0.1 48
2026-05-10 Dukagjini D 0-051.2 1364 1367 42.76% 24.65% 32.60%+0.15 -0.2 40
2026-05-10 @ Llapi D 0-051.2 1367 1364 32.60% 24.65% 42.76%-0.15 +0.2 46
2026-05-17 Prishtina e Re W 3-245.1 1455 1267 67.19% 17.41% 15.40%+0.99 +1.5 58
2026-05-17 @ Ballkani L 2-345.1 1267 1455 15.40% 17.41% 67.19%-0.99 -1.5 32
2026-05-17 Drita Gjilan W 2-044.2 1367 1479 28.28% 23.96% 47.75%-0.32 +8.8 49
2026-05-17 @ Dukagjini L 0-244.2 1479 1367 47.75% 23.96% 28.28%+0.32 -8.8 63
2026-05-17 Llapi L 1-250.5 1364 1364 43.13% 24.61% 32.25%+0.16 -4.0 45
2026-05-17 @ Gjilani W 2-150.5 1364 1364 32.25% 24.61% 43.13%-0.16 +4.0 43
2026-05-17 Ferizaj D 3-365.3 1357 1314 49.17% 23.69% 27.14%+0.35 -0.3 43
2026-05-17 @ FC Prishtina D 3-365.3 1314 1357 27.14% 23.69% 49.17%-0.35 +0.3 36
2026-05-17 Drenica W 4-137.2 1374 1311 51.82% 23.08% 25.10%+0.44 +6.4 51
2026-05-17 @ Malisheva L 1-437.2 1311 1374 25.10% 23.08% 51.82%-0.44 -6.4 45
2026-05-24 FC Prishtina L 1-255.3 1457 1357 56.61% 21.67% 21.71%+0.60 -5.0 58
2026-05-24 @ Ballkani W 2-155.3 1357 1457 21.71% 21.67% 56.61%-0.60 +5.0 46
2026-05-24 Gjilani L 0-246.0 1470 1360 57.89% 21.24% 20.87%+0.64 -10.2 63
2026-05-24 @ Drita Gjilan W 2-046.0 1360 1470 20.87% 21.24% 57.89%-0.64 +10.2 48
2026-05-24 Ferizaj W 3-251.6 1305 1314 41.84% 24.73% 33.43%+0.12 +3.1 48
2026-05-24 @ Drenica L 2-351.6 1314 1305 33.43% 24.73% 41.84%-0.12 -3.2 36
2026-05-24 Malisheva W 3-253.3 1368 1381 41.35% 24.76% 33.89%+0.11 +3.2 46
2026-05-24 @ Llapi L 2-353.3 1381 1368 33.89% 24.76% 41.35%-0.11 -3.2 51
2026-05-24 Dukagjini L 2-350.0 1265 1376 28.36% 23.98% 47.66%-0.32 -2.8 32
2026-05-24 @ Prishtina e Re W 3-250.0 1376 1265 47.66% 23.98% 28.36%+0.32 +2.8 52
2026-05-31 Ballkani W 1-046.5 1379 1452 32.91% 24.68% 42.41%-0.16 +4.2 55
2026-05-31 @ Dukagjini L 0-146.5 1452 1379 42.41% 24.68% 32.91%+0.16 -4.2 58
2026-05-31 Prishtina e Re W 3-247.0 1370 1263 57.55% 21.36% 21.09%+0.63 +2.1 51
2026-05-31 @ Gjilani L 2-347.0 1263 1370 21.09% 21.36% 57.55%-0.63 -2.1 32
2026-05-31 Llapi L 2-352.6 1311 1371 34.63% 24.81% 40.56%-0.10 -3.2 36
2026-05-31 @ Ferizaj W 3-252.6 1371 1311 40.56% 24.81% 34.63%+0.10 +3.2 49
2026-05-31 Drenica L 1-251.6 1362 1308 50.60% 23.38% 26.02%+0.40 -4.6 46
2026-05-31 @ FC Prishtina W 2-151.6 1308 1362 26.02% 23.38% 50.60%-0.40 +4.6 51
2026-05-31 Drita Gjilan W 3-258.1 1378 1460 31.76% 24.56% 43.68%-0.20 +3.9 54
2026-05-31 @ Malisheva L 2-358.1 1460 1378 43.68% 24.56% 31.76%+0.20 -3.9 63

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2025-09-17 17.62% Drenica 1295 1 @ Drita Gjilan 1449 0
2 2026-02-16 20.45% Malisheva 1359 2 @ Ballkani 1474 1
3 2026-05-24 20.87% Gjilani 1360 2 @ Drita Gjilan 1470 0
4 2026-05-03 21.01% Llapi 1359 1 @ Ballkani 1467 0
5 2025-08-17 21.59% Prishtina e Re 1272 4 @ Malisheva 1373 0
6 2026-05-24 21.71% FC Prishtina 1357 2 @ Ballkani 1457 1
7 2026-03-14 22.00% Drenica 1282 1 @ Gjilani 1379 0
8 2025-11-08 22.01% @ Drenica 1300 2 Ballkani 1475 0
9 2026-04-19 22.37% @ Drenica 1296 1 Drita Gjilan 1467 0
10 2026-02-22 22.96% @ Ferizaj 1305 2 Ballkani 1469 1
11 2025-11-23 23.12% Llapi 1381 4 @ Ballkani 1465 2
12 2025-10-29 23.32% @ Drenica 1291 3 Drita Gjilan 1451 1
13 2025-11-22 24.14% Malisheva 1333 2 @ FC Prishtina 1406 0
14 2026-04-12 24.42% Drenica 1291 1 @ Llapi 1361 0
15 2025-09-25 24.43% Drenica 1301 1 @ Gjilani 1371 0
16 2026-05-03 24.45% Drenica 1302 1 @ Dukagjini 1372 0
17 2025-10-25 24.49% Dukagjini 1350 2 @ FC Prishtina 1419 0
18 2026-03-14 25.03% Ferizaj 1307 2 @ Malisheva 1371 1
19 2026-05-31 26.02% Drenica 1308 2 @ FC Prishtina 1362 1
20 2025-11-29 26.52% @ Prishtina e Re 1269 4 FC Prishtina 1396 1
21 2025-08-17 27.58% @ Ferizaj 1336 1 Drita Gjilan 1454 0
22 2025-11-02 28.01% Malisheva 1332 2 @ Dukagjini 1368 1
23 2026-05-17 28.28% @ Dukagjini 1367 2 Drita Gjilan 1479 0
24 2026-03-09 28.41% @ Llapi 1355 2 Ballkani 1466 0
25 2026-04-19 28.62% @ Malisheva 1357 4 Ballkani 1466 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-08-17 19.11 Prishtina e Re 4 1272 21.59% @ Malisheva 0 1373 56.80% 21.61%
2 2025-09-28 15.32 FC Prishtina 5 1398 42.51% @ Ferizaj 0 1324 32.82% 24.67%
3 2025-10-28 13.27 Ballkani 5 1462 48.50% @ Malisheva 0 1346 27.68% 23.82%
4 2026-03-17 11.31 @ Ferizaj 3 1312 34.18% FC Prishtina 0 1375 41.04% 24.78%
5 2025-11-29 11.13 @ Prishtina e Re 4 1269 26.52% FC Prishtina 1 1396 49.96% 23.52%
6 2026-05-24 10.22 Gjilani 2 1360 20.87% @ Drita Gjilan 0 1470 57.89% 21.24%
7 2025-12-07 10.15 @ Gjilani 3 1358 39.54% Llapi 0 1384 35.61% 24.85%
8 2026-03-09 10.15 @ Malisheva 3 1360 39.52% FC Prishtina 0 1386 35.63% 24.85%
9 2025-11-08 9.98 @ Drenica 2 1300 22.01% Ballkani 0 1475 56.18% 21.82%
10 2026-03-15 9.66 @ Ballkani 3 1457 41.86% Drita Gjilan 0 1466 33.42% 24.72%
11 2025-11-22 9.54 Malisheva 2 1333 24.14% @ FC Prishtina 0 1406 53.13% 22.73%
12 2025-08-24 9.50 @ FC Prishtina 3 1383 42.59% Llapi 0 1387 32.75% 24.66%
13 2025-10-25 9.47 Dukagjini 2 1350 24.49% @ FC Prishtina 0 1419 52.64% 22.87%
14 2026-04-29 9.42 @ Llapi 4 1349 53.40% Prishtina e Re 0 1274 23.94% 22.66%
15 2026-05-17 8.76 @ Dukagjini 2 1367 28.28% Drita Gjilan 0 1479 47.75% 23.96%
16 2026-03-09 8.74 @ Llapi 2 1355 28.41% Ballkani 0 1466 47.60% 23.99%
17 2026-02-23 8.48 Prishtina e Re 2 1273 29.88% @ Drenica 0 1292 45.84% 24.28%
18 2025-10-29 8.47 @ Ferizaj 3 1312 47.46% Prishtina e Re 0 1281 28.52% 24.02%
19 2025-10-29 8.41 @ Drenica 3 1291 23.32% Drita Gjilan 1 1451 54.28% 22.41%
20 2025-10-25 8.15 @ Prishtina e Re 2 1273 31.92% Malisheva 0 1354 43.51% 24.57%
21 2025-10-28 8.08 Dukagjini 2 1360 32.35% @ Gjilani 0 1359 43.02% 24.62%
22 2025-09-28 7.86 @ Llapi 4 1367 43.44% Gjilani 1 1366 31.98% 24.58%
23 2025-11-23 7.70 @ Dukagjini 3 1367 51.07% Drenica 0 1310 25.67% 23.27%
24 2026-02-15 7.60 @ FC Prishtina 4 1382 44.92% Llapi 1 1369 30.67% 24.41%
25 2025-11-30 7.59 Malisheva 2 1342 35.49% @ Ferizaj 0 1318 39.66% 24.85%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-05-17 65.3 @ FC Prishtina 3 1357 49.17% Ferizaj 3 1314 27.14% 23.69%
2 2025-09-14 64.1 @ FC Prishtina 2 1387 34.35% Drita Gjilan 2 1449 40.86% 24.79%
3 2025-09-21 63.8 @ Llapi 2 1373 32.46% Ballkani 2 1450 42.90% 24.63%
4 2025-11-23 61.4 @ Gjilani 2 1355 48.39% Ferizaj 2 1318 27.77% 23.85%
5 2026-03-08 61.1 @ Drenica 2 1282 30.51% Dukagjini 2 1374 45.11% 24.38%
6 2026-04-05 61.1 @ Drenica 2 1291 32.34% FC Prishtina 2 1368 43.04% 24.62%
7 2025-11-30 59.8 Ballkani 3 1457 33.10% @ Drita Gjilan 2 1450 42.21% 24.70%
8 2026-04-12 59.1 @ Ballkani 1 1466 55.28% Gjilani 1 1377 22.62% 22.10%
9 2025-11-01 58.8 @ Ballkani 1 1476 63.38% Ferizaj 1 1320 17.52% 19.10%
10 2025-10-25 58.7 @ Ballkani 1 1463 57.29% Gjilani 1 1358 21.27% 21.45%
11 2026-02-28 58.4 @ FC Prishtina 1 1386 32.57% Drita Gjilan 1 1462 42.79% 24.65%
12 2025-12-14 58.2 @ Drita Gjilan 1 1446 53.77% Gjilani 1 1369 23.68% 22.55%
13 2026-05-31 58.1 @ Malisheva 3 1378 31.76% Drita Gjilan 2 1460 43.68% 24.56%
14 2025-09-01 57.9 @ Llapi 1 1378 33.14% Drita Gjilan 1 1449 42.16% 24.70%
15 2025-08-24 57.8 @ Ballkani 1 1440 54.76% Malisheva 1 1354 22.98% 22.26%
16 2025-12-06 57.8 @ Dukagjini 1 1379 33.66% Drita Gjilan 1 1447 41.59% 24.74%
17 2025-08-18 57.6 @ Gjilani 1 1375 34.01% Ballkani 1 1440 41.23% 24.77%
18 2025-12-21 57.4 @ Malisheva 1 1356 30.78% Drita Gjilan 1 1446 44.80% 24.42%
19 2026-04-19 56.4 Dukagjini 3 1365 30.64% @ Gjilani 2 1378 44.96% 24.40%
20 2026-02-15 56.2 @ Dukagjini 1 1375 44.08% Gjilani 1 1368 31.41% 24.51%
21 2026-02-16 56.2 Malisheva 2 1359 20.45% @ Ballkani 1 1474 58.55% 21.00%
22 2025-12-07 56.1 @ FC Prishtina 1 1385 53.38% Ferizaj 1 1310 23.96% 22.66%
23 2026-04-25 56.1 @ FC Prishtina 1 1368 42.36% Gjilani 1 1374 32.96% 24.68%
24 2025-11-08 56.0 @ Llapi 1 1382 57.77% Prishtina e Re 1 1272 20.95% 21.28%
25 2026-04-13 56.0 @ FC Prishtina 1 1368 43.66% Dukagjini 1 1365 31.78% 24.56%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-03-07 28.6 @ Drita Gjilan 3 1461 66.16% Prishtina e Re 0 1282 15.96% 17.88%
2 2025-09-14 29.8 @ Ballkani 3 1444 62.06% Drenica 0 1300 18.29% 19.65%
3 2026-04-26 30.8 @ Ballkani 3 1459 61.16% Ferizaj 0 1322 18.83% 20.02%
4 2026-04-29 31.2 @ Llapi 4 1349 53.40% Prishtina e Re 0 1274 23.94% 22.66%
5 2025-09-28 31.5 Ballkani 3 1456 56.03% @ Prishtina e Re 0 1282 22.11% 21.87%
6 2025-11-23 32.2 @ Dukagjini 3 1367 51.07% Drenica 0 1310 25.67% 23.27%
7 2025-12-06 32.2 @ Ballkani 6 1461 66.34% Prishtina e Re 1 1280 15.86% 17.80%
8 2025-09-25 32.3 @ FC Prishtina 2 1393 57.43% Prishtina e Re 0 1287 21.17% 21.40%
9 2025-10-29 32.5 @ Ferizaj 3 1312 47.46% Prishtina e Re 0 1281 28.52% 24.02%
10 2026-04-26 32.7 @ Drita Gjilan 3 1461 57.34% Llapi 0 1356 21.23% 21.43%
11 2025-11-22 33.3 Drita Gjilan 2 1446 55.87% @ Prishtina e Re 0 1273 22.21% 21.92%
12 2025-12-06 34.1 @ Malisheva 2 1350 50.30% Drenica 0 1298 26.26% 23.45%
13 2025-10-19 34.7 @ Ballkani 2 1459 57.15% Dukagjini 0 1355 21.36% 21.50%
14 2026-03-01 34.8 @ Ballkani 1 1464 66.23% Drenica 0 1284 15.92% 17.85%
15 2026-04-05 35.4 @ Drita Gjilan 2 1462 56.10% Malisheva 0 1366 22.06% 21.84%
16 2026-02-14 35.5 @ Drita Gjilan 1 1454 63.86% Drenica 0 1294 17.24% 18.90%
17 2025-10-05 35.7 @ Ferizaj 2 1308 44.00% Drenica 0 1302 31.48% 24.52%
18 2025-08-24 36.1 @ FC Prishtina 3 1383 42.59% Llapi 0 1387 32.75% 24.66%
19 2025-09-14 36.3 @ Dukagjini 2 1347 44.32% Ferizaj 0 1339 31.20% 24.48%
20 2025-10-28 36.4 Ballkani 5 1462 48.50% @ Malisheva 0 1346 27.68% 23.82%
21 2025-09-28 36.5 FC Prishtina 5 1398 42.51% @ Ferizaj 0 1324 32.82% 24.67%
22 2025-12-07 36.5 @ Gjilani 3 1358 39.54% Llapi 0 1384 35.61% 24.85%
23 2026-05-02 36.5 Drita Gjilan 1 1470 59.97% @ Prishtina e Re 0 1265 19.55% 20.48%
24 2026-03-09 36.6 @ Malisheva 3 1360 39.52% FC Prishtina 0 1386 35.63% 24.85%
25 2025-12-24 36.7 @ Drita Gjilan 2 1446 51.79% FC Prishtina 0 1383 25.12% 23.09%