2014 Virsliga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Ventspils

83 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Jelgava

9.42 points above expected

70 points · 60.58 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Jurmala

9.13 points below expected

7 points · 16.13 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Ventspils	36	26	5	5	83	75	20	+55	74.94	+8.06
2	Skonto*	36	25	1	10	71	77	34	+43	72.33	-1.33
3	Jelgava	36	20	10	6	70	57	27	+30	60.58	+9.42
4	Liepaja	36	21	3	12	66	72	45	+27	56.83	+9.17
5	Daugava	36	19	8	9	65	53	39	+14	65.58	-0.58
6	Spartaks Jurmala	36	14	9	13	51	38	32	+6	44.15	+6.85
7	Daugava Riga	36	13	4	19	43	48	64	-16	47.47	-4.47
8	Daugavpils	36	8	5	23	29	30	65	-35	37.33	-8.33
9	Metta	36	3	7	26	16	26	69	-43	24.82	-8.82
10	Jurmala*	36	2	6	28	7	29	110	-81	16.13	-9.13

* Point deductions: Jurmala (-5 pts), Skonto (-5 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Jelgava	70	60.58	+9.42
2	Liepaja	66	56.83	+9.17
3	Ventspils	83	74.94	+8.06
4	Spartaks Jurmala	51	44.15	+6.85
5	Daugava	65	65.58	-0.58

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Jurmala	7	16.13	-9.13
2	Metta	16	24.82	-8.82
3	Daugavpils	29	37.33	-8.33
4	Daugava Riga	43	47.47	-4.47
5	Skonto	71	72.33	-1.33

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Ventspils	12	Mar 22 – May 24	1 in 97
2	Spartaks Jurmala	3	Jun 10 – Jun 18	1 in 47
3	Liepaja	6	May 5 – Jun 11	1 in 39
4	Daugava	5	Apr 9 – Apr 30	1 in 15
5	Jelgava	4	Aug 2 – Aug 17	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Skonto	3	Sep 14 – Sep 29	1 in 104
2	Jurmala	11	May 1 – Jun 22	1 in 97
3	Liepaja	4	Jun 15 – Jun 29	1 in 88
4	Daugava Riga	6	Apr 13 – May 6	1 in 68
5	Ventspils	2	Jun 3 – Jun 10	1 in 46

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Spartaks Jurmala	9	Jun 10 – Jul 27	1 in 272
2	Jelgava	11	May 24 – Jul 13	1 in 255
3	Ventspils	13	Aug 13 – Nov 8	1 in 24
4	Liepaja	8	Sep 14 – Nov 8	1 in 24
5	Daugava	8	Aug 9 – Sep 28	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Ventspils	6	Jun 3 – Jun 25	1 in 320
2	Metta	20	Jun 11 – Oct 24	1 in 80
3	Jurmala	26	Apr 16 – Sep 19	1 in 42
4	Daugavpils	11	Jun 25 – Aug 28	1 in 34
5	Daugava Riga	8	Mar 22 – May 6	1 in 33

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Ventspils	1661	83	+116	15	10.5	+4.5
Skonto	1415	76	+10	9	8.8	+0.2
Jelgava	1539	70	-13	12	11.4	+0.6
Liepaja	1466	66	+53	13	10.6	+2.4
Daugava	1419	65	-69	6	9.0	-3.0
Spartaks Jurmala	1273	51	-21	7	8.1	-1.1
Daugava Riga	1186	43	-75	3	5.6	-2.6
Daugavpils	1116	29	+23	6	3.6	+2.4
Metta	958	16	+20	3	1.7	+1.3
Jurmala	865	12	-45	0	1.7	-1.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	DAU	DR	DAU	JEL	JUR	LIE	MET	SKO	SJ	VEN
Daugava	—	3-1-0 7.38	4-0-0 8.68	1-1-2 6.25	3-1-0 9.78	3-0-1 6.19	4-0-0 9.54	0-0-4 4.49	1-3-0 7.93	0-2-2 4.34
Daugava Riga	0-1-3 3.94	—	3-0-1 6.74	0-1-3 4.05	3-1-0 8.84	2-0-2 3.99	4-0-0 8.15	0-0-4 2.36	1-0-3 6.42	0-1-3 2.84
Daugavpils	0-0-4 2.67	1-0-3 4.59	—	0-0-4 2.89	2-2-0 8.08	0-1-3 3.46	1-2-1 7.26	1-0-3 1.67	2-0-2 4.54	1-0-3 1.57
Jelgava	2-1-1 5.07	3-1-0 7.27	4-0-0 8.46	—	4-0-0 9.34	3-0-1 5.87	1-3-0 9.78	1-1-2 3.85	1-3-0 7.59	1-1-2 3.85
Jurmala	0-1-3 1.59	0-1-3 2.51	0-2-2 3.25	0-0-4 2.06	—	0-0-4 1.56	2-1-1 4.62	0-0-4 1.04	0-1-3 2.60	0-0-4 1.14
Liepaja	1-0-3 5.13	2-0-2 7.33	3-1-0 7.88	1-0-3 5.45	4-0-0 9.83	—	4-0-0 8.95	3-0-1 2.66	2-1-1 6.66	1-1-2 3.43
Metta	0-0-4 1.82	0-0-4 3.19	1-2-1 4.07	0-3-1 1.60	1-1-2 6.70	0-0-4 2.40	—	0-0-4 1.11	1-1-2 2.46	0-0-4 1.42
Skonto	4-0-0 6.84	4-0-0 8.98	3-0-1 9.70	2-1-1 7.47	4-0-0 10.39	1-0-3 8.68	4-0-0 10.30	—	2-0-2 9.16	1-0-3 5.61
Spartaks Jurmala	0-3-1 3.40	3-0-1 4.90	2-0-2 6.79	0-3-1 3.73	3-1-0 8.76	1-1-2 4.66	2-1-1 8.89	2-0-2 2.19	—	1-0-3 2.28
Ventspils	2-2-0 6.99	3-1-0 8.49	3-0-1 9.81	2-1-1 7.48	4-0-0 10.26	2-1-1 7.89	4-0-0 9.98	3-0-1 5.71	3-0-1 9.07	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.81	+11.8
Allowed	0.84	-8.7
Differential	0.97	+5.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.89%	11.39%	6.94%	4.17%	1.39%	2.50%	30.28%
1	11.39%	10.56%	6.11%	2.50%	1.94%	1.11%	33.61%
2	6.94%	6.11%	1.11%	1.94%	1.39%	—	17.50%
3	4.17%	2.50%	1.94%	0.56%	0.28%	0.28%	9.72%
4	1.39%	1.94%	1.39%	0.28%	—	—	5.00%
5+	2.50%	1.11%	—	0.28%	—	—	3.89%
Total	30.28%	33.61%	17.50%	9.72%	5.00%	3.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.40	1.40	+0.00
SD	1.44	1.44	2.26
CV	1.03	1.03	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	—	2.78%	5.56%	—	22.22%
1	25.00%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	41.67%
2	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
3	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
Total	41.67%	30.56%	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.47	1.08	+0.39
SD	1.34	1.23	1.79
CV	0.91	1.13	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	13.89%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	30.56%
1	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	33.33%
2	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	22.22%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	25.00%	30.56%	13.89%	11.11%	13.89%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.33	1.78	-0.44
SD	1.37	1.64	2.40
CV	1.03	0.92	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	16.67%	19.44%	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	47.22%
1	11.11%	13.89%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	36.11%
2	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	8.33%
3	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	36.11%	30.56%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.83	1.81	-0.97
SD	1.08	1.28	1.76
CV	1.30	0.71	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
1	13.89%	19.44%	5.56%	—	—	—	38.89%
2	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
3	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	44.44%	38.89%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.58	0.75	+0.83
SD	1.27	0.81	1.61
CV	0.80	1.07	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	19.44%	41.67%
1	2.78%	16.67%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	44.44%
2	—	—	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	8.33%
3	—	—	—	—	2.78%	—	2.78%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	2.78%	27.78%	16.67%	19.44%	8.33%	25.00%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.81	3.06	-2.25
SD	0.92	2.07	2.39
CV	1.14	0.68	—
Max	4	7	+2
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	22.22%
1	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
2	11.11%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
3	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	2.78%	13.89%
4	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	38.89%	25.00%	16.67%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	1.25	+0.75
SD	1.74	1.34	2.49
CV	0.87	1.07	—
Max	7	5	+7
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.89%	19.44%	8.33%	—	—	41.67%
1	2.78%	16.67%	13.89%	5.56%	8.33%	—	47.22%
2	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	8.33%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.56%	33.33%	36.11%	13.89%	11.11%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.72	1.92	-1.19
SD	0.74	1.08	1.35
CV	1.03	0.56	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.89%	—	5.56%	—	—	19.44%
1	11.11%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	19.44%
2	13.89%	11.11%	—	—	2.78%	—	27.78%
3	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
5+	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	36.11%	47.22%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.14	0.94	+1.19
SD	1.78	1.01	2.16
CV	0.83	1.07	—
Max	7	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	38.89%
1	16.67%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	41.67%	33.33%	19.44%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	0.89	+0.17
SD	1.15	0.92	1.42
CV	1.08	1.03	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	19.44%
1	13.89%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	22.22%
2	13.89%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
3	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	55.56%	33.33%	11.11%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.08	0.56	+1.53
SD	1.78	0.69	2.02
CV	0.85	1.25	—
Max	7	2	+7
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Ventspils	1661	83	74.94	+8.06	84.0%	57	63	70	74	80	87	90
Jelgava	1539	70	60.58	+9.42	91.0%	43	48	56	61	65	73	78
Liepaja	1466	66	56.83	+9.17	91.0%	39	43	51	57	62	68	74
Daugava	1419	65	65.58	-0.58	45.0%	42	54	61	66	70	75	79
Skonto	1415	71	72.33	-1.33	44.0%	57	61	69	72	76	83	90
Spartaks Jurmala	1273	51	44.15	+6.85	87.0%	27	32	40	44	49	54	62
Daugava Riga	1186	43	47.47	-4.47	27.0%	32	37	43	47	52	57	65
Daugavpils	1116	29	37.33	-8.33	12.0%	21	27	33	37	42	47	62
Metta	958	16	24.82	-8.82	10.0%	12	15	20	25	29	34	39
Jurmala	865	7	16.13	-9.13	4.0%	3	8	12	16	20	26	31

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 2.5% * Slight Edge: 2.5% to 6% * Clear Edge: 6% to 11% * Strong Edge: 11% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+12.78%

Strong Edge

48.33%16.11%35.56%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 44.64 Elo pts.

206 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.15 goals

Neutral

-2+0.22+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.16 * Comfortable: 0.16 to 0.3 * Runaway: 0.3 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.5

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

48%

Ventspils, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.33/gm

Runaway

00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.39 * Some Luck: 5.39 to 8.08 * Lucky: 8.08 to 10.78 * Wild Swing: 10.78 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.52 * Close: 0.52 to 0.78 * Off: 0.78 to 1.03 * Way Off: 1.03 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.33 points

Some Luck

06.7417

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.60

00.651.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

91.00%

Jelgava

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

4.00%

Jurmala

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.24 * Even: 0.24 to 0.27 * Top-Heavy: 0.27 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.55 * Moderate Separation: 2.55 to 2.8 * Strong Separation: 2.8 to 2.95 * Wide Separation: 2.95 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 82% * Slight Edge: 82% to 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 91.5% * Wide Edge: 91.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 97% * Clear Edge: 97% to 98% * Strong Edge: 98% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 51% * Frequent: 51% to 57.5% * Very Frequent: 57.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 21% * Occasional: 21% to 27.5% * Frequent: 27.5% to 32% * Very Frequent: 32% and up.

Gini Index

0.27

Top-Heavy

00.240.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 257.25

3.08

Wide Separation

12.552.953.5

Interquartile Edge

86%

Slight Edge

50%82%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 99%

99%

Strong Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

56%

Frequent

0%49%100%

Blowouts

Expected

22%

Occasional

0%27%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.51 * Slight Separation: 0.51 to 0.55 * Notable Separation: 0.55 to 0.58 * Lopsided: 0.58 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.62 * Some Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Strong Carryover: 0.76 to 0.83 * Near-Lock: 0.83 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 13.5% * As Expected: 13.5% to 16.5% * Upset-Prone: 16.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14% * Shaky Favorites: 14% to 15% * Very Shaky: 15% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.47

Highly Predictable

00.492

Matchup Imbalance

0.54

Slight Separation

00.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.23

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.65

Some Carryover

00.620.761

Upset Rate

Expected

17%

Upset-Prone

0%19%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

14%

As Expected

0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.

Probability calibration

0.48

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.01

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.061

Well Within Noise

00.1100.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Ventspils	48.00%	37.00%	11.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Skonto	39.00%	35.00%	19.00%	5.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Jelgava	4.00%	8.00%	22.00%	35.00%	20.00%	8.00%	3.00%	—	—	—
Liepaja	—	4.00%	14.00%	26.00%	31.00%	15.00%	9.00%	1.00%	—	—
Daugava	9.00%	16.00%	34.00%	23.00%	15.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	—	—
Spartaks Jurmala	—	—	—	4.00%	7.00%	32.00%	38.00%	18.00%	1.00%	—
Daugava Riga	—	—	—	5.00%	20.00%	37.00%	26.00%	12.00%	—	—
Daugavpils	—	—	—	—	3.00%	6.00%	22.00%	61.00%	7.00%	1.00%
Metta	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	6.00%	80.00%	12.00%
Jurmala	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	12.00%	87.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Daugava	100%	—	—
Daugava Riga	100%	—	—
Jelgava	100%	—	—
Liepaja	100%	—	—
Skonto	100%	—	—
Spartaks Jurmala	99.00%	1.00%	—
Ventspils	100%	—	—
Daugavpils	92.00%	7.00%	1.00%
Metta	8.00%	80.00%	12.00%
Jurmala	1.00%	12.00%	87.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2014-03-21	Metta	W 2-1	40.1	1316	1167	64.76%	16.73%	18.51%	+0.94	+11.4	3
2014-03-21	@ Liepaja	L 1-2	40.1	1167	1316	18.51%	16.73%	64.76%	-0.94	-11.4	0
2014-03-22	Daugava Riga	W 2-0	35.8	1427	1322	60.54%	16.87%	22.59%	+0.73	+27.2	3
2014-03-22	@ Ventspils	L 0-2	35.8	1322	1427	22.59%	16.87%	60.54%	-0.73	-27.2	0
2014-03-22	Jelgava	L 1-3	43.5	1158	1228	37.87%	17.08%	45.05%	-0.12	-36.9	0
2014-03-22	@ Jurmala	W 3-1	43.5	1228	1158	45.05%	17.08%	37.87%	+0.12	+36.9	3
2014-03-23	Daugavpils	L 0-1	36.7	1139	1316	24.56%	16.92%	58.52%	-0.64	-15.5	0
2014-03-23	@ Spartaks Jurmala	W 1-0	36.7	1316	1139	58.52%	16.92%	24.56%	+0.64	+15.5	3
2014-03-29	Daugava Riga	D 1-1	55.9	1121	1294	24.87%	16.92%	58.21%	-0.63	+4.5	1
2014-03-29	@ Jurmala	D 1-1	55.9	1294	1121	58.21%	16.92%	24.87%	+0.63	-4.5	1
2014-03-29	Liepaja	D 1-1	57.0	1331	1327	48.28%	17.06%	34.66%	+0.24	-1.8	4
2014-03-29	@ Daugavpils	D 1-1	57.0	1327	1331	34.66%	17.06%	48.28%	-0.24	+1.8	4
2014-03-30	Jelgava	L 1-2	53.3	1362	1265	59.66%	16.89%	23.45%	+0.69	-31.8	0
2014-03-30	@ Daugava	W 2-1	53.3	1265	1362	23.45%	16.89%	59.66%	-0.69	+31.8	6
2014-03-30	Spartaks Jurmala	W 2-1	36.8	1463	1124	77.20%	15.73%	7.07%	+1.87	+4.5	3
2014-03-30	@ Skonto	L 1-2	36.8	1124	1463	7.07%	15.73%	77.20%	-1.87	-4.5	0
2014-03-30	Ventspils	L 0-2	31.4	1156	1455	13.77%	16.47%	69.76%	-1.24	-17.2	0
2014-03-30	@ Metta	W 2-0	31.4	1455	1156	69.76%	16.47%	13.77%	+1.24	+17.3	6
2014-04-05	Daugavpils	W 1-0	47.4	1138	1329	23.00%	16.88%	60.12%	-0.71	+34.0	3
2014-04-05	@ Metta	L 0-1	47.4	1329	1138	60.12%	16.88%	23.00%	+0.71	-34.0	4
2014-04-09	Jurmala	W 2-0	30.8	1330	1125	69.41%	16.49%	14.10%	+1.21	+17.6	3
2014-04-09	@ Daugava	L 0-2	30.8	1125	1330	14.10%	16.49%	69.41%	-1.21	-17.6	1
2014-04-09	Skonto	W 1-0	48.9	1329	1468	28.82%	17.00%	54.18%	-0.46	+30.8	7
2014-04-09	@ Liepaja	L 0-1	48.9	1468	1329	54.18%	17.00%	28.82%	+0.46	-30.8	3
2014-04-09	Spartaks Jurmala	D 0-0	51.6	1296	1119	67.25%	16.62%	16.14%	+1.08	-7.9	7
2014-04-09	@ Jelgava	D 0-0	51.6	1119	1296	16.14%	16.62%	67.25%	-1.08	+7.9	1
2014-04-12	Jurmala	L 2-4	52.7	1172	1108	55.96%	16.97%	27.07%	+0.53	-46.4	3
2014-04-12	@ Metta	W 4-2	52.7	1108	1172	27.07%	16.97%	55.96%	-0.53	+46.4	4
2014-04-12	Liepaja	W 3-2	50.1	1472	1360	61.22%	16.85%	21.93%	+0.76	+12.6	9
2014-04-12	@ Ventspils	L 2-3	50.1	1360	1472	21.93%	16.85%	61.22%	-0.76	-12.5	7
2014-04-13	Daugava Riga	W 1-0	38.6	1348	1290	55.15%	16.98%	27.86%	+0.50	+17.4	6
2014-04-13	@ Daugava	L 0-1	38.6	1290	1348	27.86%	16.98%	55.15%	-0.50	-17.4	1
2014-04-13	Skonto	L 0-3	35.0	1289	1437	27.71%	16.98%	55.31%	-0.50	-47.3	7
2014-04-13	@ Jelgava	W 3-0	35.0	1437	1289	55.31%	16.98%	27.71%	+0.50	+47.3	6
2014-04-16	Daugava Riga	W 3-2	49.6	1295	1273	50.74%	17.04%	32.21%	+0.33	+17.6	7
2014-04-16	@ Daugavpils	L 2-3	49.6	1273	1295	32.21%	17.04%	50.74%	-0.33	-17.6	1
2014-04-16	Jelgava	L 2-3	58.2	1347	1241	60.55%	16.87%	22.59%	+0.73	-30.7	7
2014-04-16	@ Liepaja	W 3-2	58.2	1241	1347	22.59%	16.87%	60.55%	-0.73	+30.7	10
2014-04-16	Jurmala	W 3-1	35.0	1484	1154	76.78%	15.79%	7.43%	+1.82	+8.2	12
2014-04-16	@ Ventspils	L 1-3	35.0	1154	1484	7.43%	15.79%	76.78%	-1.82	-8.2	4
2014-04-16	Metta	W 3-1	34.4	1484	1126	77.99%	15.60%	6.41%	+1.96	+7.1	9
2014-04-16	@ Skonto	L 1-3	34.4	1126	1484	6.41%	15.60%	77.99%	-1.96	-7.1	3
2014-04-19	Jurmala	D 1-1	55.6	1127	1146	45.13%	17.08%	37.79%	+0.13	-0.9	2
2014-04-19	@ Spartaks Jurmala	D 1-1	55.6	1146	1127	37.79%	17.08%	45.13%	-0.13	+0.9	5
2014-04-19	Metta	W 1-0	32.7	1365	1119	72.26%	16.29%	11.45%	+1.41	+7.7	9
2014-04-19	@ Daugava	L 0-1	32.7	1119	1365	11.45%	16.29%	72.26%	-1.41	-7.7	3
2014-04-20	Daugava Riga	W 1-0	38.0	1316	1255	55.56%	16.98%	27.46%	+0.51	+17.1	10
2014-04-20	@ Liepaja	L 0-1	38.0	1255	1316	27.46%	16.98%	55.56%	-0.51	-17.1	1
2014-04-20	Daugavpils	W 3-1	40.3	1492	1313	67.35%	16.61%	16.04%	+1.08	+17.2	12
2014-04-20	@ Skonto	L 1-3	40.3	1313	1492	16.04%	16.61%	67.35%	-1.08	-17.2	7
2014-04-20	Ventspils	L 1-2	43.1	1272	1493	20.07%	16.79%	63.14%	-0.86	-12.2	10
2014-04-20	@ Jelgava	W 2-1	43.1	1493	1272	63.14%	16.79%	20.07%	+0.86	+12.2	15
2014-04-26	Daugava	L 0-1	41.6	1296	1373	36.87%	17.08%	46.06%	-0.16	-22.1	7
2014-04-26	@ Daugavpils	W 1-0	41.6	1373	1296	46.06%	17.08%	36.87%	+0.16	+22.1	12
2014-04-26	Liepaja	L 1-4	35.6	1111	1333	19.93%	16.78%	63.29%	-0.86	-29.8	3
2014-04-26	@ Metta	W 4-1	35.6	1333	1111	63.29%	16.78%	19.93%	+0.86	+29.8	13
2014-04-26	Spartaks Jurmala	L 0-2	44.9	1238	1126	61.16%	16.85%	21.99%	+0.76	-65.2	1
2014-04-26	@ Daugava Riga	W 2-0	44.9	1126	1238	21.99%	16.85%	61.16%	-0.76	+65.2	5
2014-04-27	Skonto	W 1-0	50.3	1505	1509	47.18%	17.07%	35.75%	+0.20	+21.5	18
2014-04-27	@ Ventspils	L 0-1	50.3	1509	1505	35.75%	17.07%	47.18%	-0.20	-21.5	12
2014-04-30	Liepaja	W 5-3	49.8	1395	1363	51.91%	17.03%	31.06%	+0.37	+26.3	15
2014-04-30	@ Daugava	L 3-5	49.8	1363	1395	31.06%	17.03%	51.91%	-0.37	-26.3	13
2014-05-01	Daugava Riga	W 4-1	37.0	1260	1173	58.53%	16.92%	24.56%	+0.64	+35.9	13
2014-05-01	@ Jelgava	L 1-4	37.0	1173	1260	24.56%	16.92%	58.53%	-0.64	-35.9	1
2014-05-01	Jurmala	W 1-0	32.0	1487	1147	77.24%	15.72%	7.04%	+1.87	+4.8	15
2014-05-01	@ Skonto	L 0-1	32.0	1147	1487	7.04%	15.72%	77.24%	-1.87	-4.8	5
2014-05-01	Metta	W 4-1	36.1	1192	1082	60.99%	16.85%	22.15%	+0.75	+32.7	8
2014-05-01	@ Spartaks Jurmala	L 1-4	36.1	1082	1192	22.15%	16.85%	60.99%	-0.75	-32.7	3
2014-05-01	Ventspils	L 0-3	33.2	1274	1526	17.26%	16.67%	66.07%	-1.01	-30.9	7
2014-05-01	@ Daugavpils	W 3-0	33.2	1526	1274	66.07%	16.67%	17.26%	+1.01	+30.9	21
2014-05-05	Daugavpils	L 1-2	44.6	1142	1243	33.70%	17.05%	49.25%	-0.27	-19.3	5
2014-05-05	@ Jurmala	W 2-1	44.6	1243	1142	49.25%	17.05%	33.70%	+0.27	+19.3	10
2014-05-05	Metta	D 1-1	55.9	1296	1049	72.29%	16.28%	11.42%	+1.42	-8.6	14
2014-05-05	@ Jelgava	D 1-1	55.9	1049	1296	11.42%	16.28%	72.29%	-1.42	+8.6	4
2014-05-05	Spartaks Jurmala	W 2-0	33.7	1337	1224	61.27%	16.85%	21.88%	+0.76	+26.4	16
2014-05-05	@ Liepaja	L 0-2	33.7	1224	1337	21.88%	16.85%	61.27%	-0.76	-26.4	8
2014-05-06	Daugava	W 3-0	39.5	1557	1421	63.57%	16.77%	19.65%	+0.88	+34.8	24
2014-05-06	@ Ventspils	L 0-3	39.5	1421	1557	19.65%	16.77%	63.57%	-0.88	-34.8	15
2014-05-06	Skonto	L 1-6	30.3	1137	1492	10.36%	16.18%	73.46%	-1.51	-25.5	1
2014-05-06	@ Daugava Riga	W 6-1	30.3	1492	1137	73.46%	16.18%	10.36%	+1.51	+25.5	18
2014-05-10	Daugava	W 2-1	46.8	1517	1386	63.10%	16.79%	20.11%	+0.85	+12.2	21
2014-05-10	@ Skonto	L 1-2	46.8	1386	1517	20.11%	16.79%	63.10%	-0.85	-12.2	15
2014-05-10	Daugava Riga	L 0-2	38.5	1057	1111	40.13%	17.08%	42.78%	-0.04	-44.7	4
2014-05-10	@ Metta	W 2-0	38.5	1111	1057	42.78%	17.08%	40.13%	+0.04	+44.7	4
2014-05-10	Jelgava	L 2-3	53.1	1262	1287	44.27%	17.08%	38.65%	+0.10	-23.0	10
2014-05-10	@ Daugavpils	W 3-2	53.1	1287	1262	38.65%	17.08%	44.27%	-0.10	+23.0	17
2014-05-10	Liepaja	L 2-3	45.0	1123	1363	18.28%	16.72%	65.00%	-0.95	-10.7	5
2014-05-10	@ Jurmala	W 3-2	45.0	1363	1123	65.00%	16.72%	18.28%	+0.95	+10.7	19
2014-05-10	Spartaks Jurmala	W 1-0	33.5	1592	1198	79.36%	15.34%	5.30%	+2.13	+3.6	27
2014-05-10	@ Ventspils	L 0-1	33.5	1198	1592	5.30%	15.34%	79.36%	-2.13	-3.6	8
2014-05-14	Daugavpils	W 1-0	43.3	1156	1239	36.06%	17.07%	46.87%	-0.19	+27.0	7
2014-05-14	@ Daugava Riga	L 0-1	43.3	1239	1156	46.87%	17.07%	36.06%	+0.19	-27.0	10
2014-05-14	Jelgava	W 2-1	44.1	1374	1310	55.88%	16.97%	27.15%	+0.53	+16.0	22
2014-05-14	@ Liepaja	L 1-2	44.1	1310	1374	27.15%	16.97%	55.88%	-0.53	-16.0	17
2014-05-14	Skonto	L 1-2	35.6	1013	1530	4.43%	15.09%	80.48%	-2.30	-2.8	4
2014-05-14	@ Metta	W 2-1	35.6	1530	1013	80.48%	15.09%	4.43%	+2.30	+2.8	24
2014-05-14	Spartaks Jurmala	D 3-3	65.8	1374	1194	67.48%	16.60%	15.92%	+1.09	-4.4	16
2014-05-14	@ Daugava	D 3-3	65.8	1194	1374	15.92%	16.60%	67.48%	-1.09	+4.4	9
2014-05-14	Ventspils	L 0-6	26.9	1112	1596	5.30%	15.34%	79.36%	-2.13	-18.9	5
2014-05-14	@ Jurmala	W 6-0	26.9	1596	1112	79.36%	15.34%	5.30%	+2.13	+18.9	30
2014-05-17	Jurmala	W 1-0	32.1	1370	1093	74.07%	16.12%	9.81%	+1.56	+6.6	19
2014-05-17	@ Daugava	L 0-1	32.1	1093	1370	9.81%	16.12%	74.07%	-1.56	-6.6	5
2014-05-17	Ventspils	L 0-4	28.8	1183	1615	6.97%	15.71%	77.32%	-1.88	-17.0	7
2014-05-17	@ Daugava Riga	W 4-0	28.8	1615	1183	77.32%	15.71%	6.97%	+1.88	+17.0	33
2014-05-18	Metta	D 1-1	55.8	1212	1010	69.21%	16.51%	14.29%	+1.20	-7.7	11
2014-05-18	@ Daugavpils	D 1-1	55.8	1010	1212	14.29%	16.51%	69.21%	-1.20	+7.7	5
2014-05-21	Spartaks Jurmala	W 1-0	34.5	1376	1199	67.29%	16.61%	16.09%	+1.08	+10.6	22
2014-05-21	@ Daugava	L 0-1	34.5	1199	1376	16.09%	16.61%	67.29%	-1.08	-10.6	9
2014-05-23	Jurmala	W 3-0	32.1	1166	1087	57.66%	16.94%	25.40%	+0.60	+43.8	10
2014-05-23	@ Daugava Riga	L 0-3	32.1	1087	1166	25.40%	16.94%	57.66%	-0.60	-43.8	5
2014-05-24	Daugava	D 1-1	57.2	1294	1387	34.71%	17.06%	48.23%	-0.24	+1.7	18
2014-05-24	@ Jelgava	D 1-1	57.2	1387	1294	48.23%	17.06%	34.71%	+0.24	-1.7	23
2014-05-24	Liepaja	L 0-4	31.5	1204	1390	23.56%	16.89%	59.55%	-0.69	-53.6	11
2014-05-24	@ Daugavpils	W 4-0	31.5	1390	1204	59.55%	16.89%	23.56%	+0.69	+53.6	25
2014-05-24	Metta	W 2-0	27.2	1631	1018	84.90%	13.47%	1.63%	+3.20	+2.0	36
2014-05-24	@ Ventspils	L 0-2	27.2	1018	1631	1.63%	13.47%	84.90%	-3.20	-2.0	5
2014-05-25	Skonto	L 0-2	31.7	1188	1533	10.94%	16.24%	72.82%	-1.46	-13.9	9
2014-05-25	@ Spartaks Jurmala	W 2-0	31.7	1533	1188	72.82%	16.24%	10.94%	+1.46	+13.9	27
2014-06-01	Daugava	L 0-1	37.3	1210	1385	24.66%	16.92%	58.42%	-0.64	-15.6	10
2014-06-01	@ Daugava Riga	W 1-0	37.3	1385	1210	58.42%	16.92%	24.66%	+0.64	+15.6	26
2014-06-01	Metta	L 0-3	39.9	1043	1016	51.33%	17.04%	31.63%	+0.35	-80.3	5
2014-06-01	@ Jurmala	W 3-0	39.9	1016	1043	31.63%	17.04%	51.33%	-0.35	+80.3	8
2014-06-01	Spartaks Jurmala	L 1-3	45.4	1151	1174	44.48%	17.08%	38.44%	+0.10	-42.2	11
2014-06-01	@ Daugavpils	W 3-1	45.4	1174	1151	38.44%	17.08%	44.48%	-0.10	+42.2	12
2014-06-03	Jelgava	D 1-1	60.5	1546	1296	72.54%	16.26%	11.19%	+1.44	-8.7	28
2014-06-03	@ Skonto	D 1-1	60.5	1296	1546	11.19%	16.26%	72.54%	-1.44	+8.7	19
2014-06-03	Ventspils	W 2-0	57.2	1444	1634	23.10%	16.88%	60.01%	-0.71	+64.0	28
2014-06-03	@ Liepaja	L 0-2	57.2	1634	1444	60.01%	16.88%	23.10%	+0.71	-64.1	36
2014-06-06	Jelgava	L 0-1	40.2	1216	1304	35.39%	17.07%	47.55%	-0.21	-21.3	12
2014-06-06	@ Spartaks Jurmala	W 1-0	40.2	1304	1216	47.55%	17.07%	35.39%	+0.21	+21.3	22
2014-06-10	Daugavpils	W 1-0	33.1	1326	1109	70.30%	16.44%	13.26%	+1.27	+8.8	25
2014-06-10	@ Jelgava	L 0-1	33.1	1109	1326	13.26%	16.44%	70.30%	-1.27	-8.8	11
2014-06-10	Skonto	L 0-4	40.0	1401	1538	29.10%	17.00%	53.90%	-0.45	-64.5	26
2014-06-10	@ Daugava	W 4-0	40.0	1538	1401	53.90%	17.00%	29.10%	+0.45	+64.5	31
2014-06-10	Ventspils	W 1-0	54.0	1195	1569	9.39%	16.07%	74.54%	-1.60	+42.3	15
2014-06-10	@ Spartaks Jurmala	L 0-1	54.0	1569	1195	74.54%	16.07%	9.39%	+1.60	-42.3	36
2014-06-11	Jurmala	W 7-0	24.4	1508	963	83.54%	14.10%	2.36%	+2.87	+9.6	31
2014-06-11	@ Liepaja	L 0-7	24.4	963	1508	2.36%	14.10%	83.54%	-2.87	-9.6	5
2014-06-11	Metta	W 1-0	36.1	1194	1096	59.78%	16.89%	23.34%	+0.70	+14.8	13
2014-06-11	@ Daugava Riga	L 0-1	36.1	1096	1194	23.34%	16.89%	59.78%	-0.70	-14.8	8
2014-06-14	Daugava	L 0-1	34.3	1081	1336	17.03%	16.66%	66.31%	-1.02	-11.2	8
2014-06-14	@ Metta	W 1-0	34.3	1336	1081	66.31%	16.66%	17.03%	+1.02	+11.2	29
2014-06-14	Jelgava	D 0-0	56.6	1527	1335	68.48%	16.55%	14.97%	+1.15	-8.3	37
2014-06-14	@ Ventspils	D 0-0	56.6	1335	1527	14.97%	16.55%	68.48%	-1.15	+8.3	26
2014-06-14	Skonto	L 0-2	29.3	1100	1602	4.79%	15.20%	80.01%	-2.23	-6.1	11
2014-06-14	@ Daugavpils	W 2-0	29.3	1602	1100	80.01%	15.20%	4.79%	+2.23	+6.1	34
2014-06-14	Spartaks Jurmala	L 0-1	33.4	953	1237	14.79%	16.54%	68.68%	-1.17	-9.8	5
2014-06-14	@ Jurmala	W 1-0	33.4	1237	953	68.68%	16.54%	14.79%	+1.17	+9.8	18
2014-06-15	Liepaja	W 4-0	46.8	1209	1517	13.15%	16.43%	70.42%	-1.28	+142.8	16
2014-06-15	@ Daugava Riga	L 0-4	46.8	1517	1209	70.42%	16.43%	13.15%	+1.28	-142.8	31
2014-06-18	Daugava Riga	W 1-0	44.9	1247	1352	33.16%	17.05%	49.79%	-0.29	+28.5	21
2014-06-18	@ Spartaks Jurmala	L 0-1	44.9	1352	1247	49.79%	17.05%	33.16%	+0.29	-28.5	16
2014-06-18	Daugavpils	W 2-1	37.6	1348	1094	72.74%	16.25%	11.02%	+1.45	+7.0	32
2014-06-18	@ Daugava	L 1-2	37.6	1094	1348	11.02%	16.25%	72.74%	-1.45	-7.0	11
2014-06-18	Jurmala	W 5-0	24.6	1343	943	79.55%	15.30%	5.15%	+2.16	+15.4	29
2014-06-18	@ Jelgava	L 0-5	24.6	943	1343	5.15%	15.30%	79.55%	-2.16	-15.4	5
2014-06-18	Ventspils	W 2-0	48.1	1608	1519	58.81%	16.91%	24.28%	+0.65	+29.0	37
2014-06-18	@ Skonto	L 0-2	48.1	1519	1608	24.28%	16.91%	58.81%	-0.65	-29.0	37
2014-06-21	Daugava	L 0-3	41.9	1374	1354	50.37%	17.04%	32.59%	+0.31	-78.9	31
2014-06-21	@ Liepaja	W 3-0	41.9	1354	1374	32.59%	17.04%	50.37%	-0.31	+78.9	35
2014-06-21	Daugava Riga	D 1-1	57.3	1358	1323	52.31%	17.02%	30.67%	+0.39	-2.8	30
2014-06-21	@ Jelgava	D 1-1	57.3	1323	1358	30.67%	17.02%	52.31%	-0.39	+2.8	17
2014-06-21	Spartaks Jurmala	D 2-2	61.2	1070	1276	21.49%	16.83%	61.67%	-0.78	+4.1	9
2014-06-21	@ Metta	D 2-2	61.2	1276	1070	61.67%	16.83%	21.49%	+0.78	-4.1	22
2014-06-22	Daugavpils	L 0-1	53.2	1490	1087	79.67%	15.27%	5.05%	+2.18	-45.2	37
2014-06-22	@ Ventspils	W 1-0	53.2	1087	1490	5.05%	15.27%	79.67%	-2.18	+45.2	14
2014-06-22	Skonto	L 0-5	23.6	928	1637	1.57%	13.41%	85.02%	-3.23	-4.6	5
2014-06-22	@ Jurmala	W 5-0	23.6	1637	928	85.02%	13.41%	1.57%	+3.23	+4.6	40
2014-06-25	Daugava Riga	W 5-1	38.3	1642	1326	76.11%	15.88%	8.01%	+1.75	+16.2	43
2014-06-25	@ Skonto	L 1-5	38.3	1326	1642	8.01%	15.88%	76.11%	-1.75	-16.2	17
2014-06-25	Jelgava	D 1-1	56.0	1074	1355	14.99%	16.55%	68.46%	-1.15	+7.5	10
2014-06-25	@ Metta	D 1-1	56.0	1355	1074	68.46%	16.55%	14.99%	+1.15	-7.5	31
2014-06-25	Jurmala	D 1-1	55.8	1132	923	69.70%	16.48%	13.83%	+1.23	-7.8	15
2014-06-25	@ Daugavpils	D 1-1	55.8	923	1132	13.83%	16.48%	69.70%	-1.23	+7.8	6
2014-06-25	Liepaja	W 2-0	38.8	1272	1295	44.42%	17.08%	38.50%	+0.10	+43.2	25
2014-06-25	@ Spartaks Jurmala	L 0-2	38.8	1295	1272	38.50%	17.08%	44.42%	-0.10	-43.2	31
2014-06-25	Ventspils	D 1-1	61.3	1433	1445	46.19%	17.07%	36.74%	+0.16	-1.2	36
2014-06-25	@ Daugava	D 1-1	61.3	1445	1433	36.74%	17.07%	46.19%	-0.16	+1.2	38
2014-06-28	Metta	W 3-1	34.0	1658	1081	84.20%	13.82%	1.99%	+3.02	+2.2	46
2014-06-28	@ Skonto	L 1-3	34.0	1081	1658	1.99%	13.82%	84.20%	-3.02	-2.2	10
2014-06-29	Daugava	D 0-0	53.8	1315	1432	31.52%	17.03%	51.44%	-0.35	+2.9	26
2014-06-29	@ Spartaks Jurmala	D 0-0	53.8	1432	1315	51.44%	17.03%	31.52%	+0.35	-2.9	37
2014-06-29	Daugava Riga	L 0-1	36.3	1124	1310	23.52%	16.89%	59.59%	-0.69	-15.0	15
2014-06-29	@ Daugavpils	W 1-0	36.3	1310	1124	59.59%	16.89%	23.52%	+0.69	+15.0	20
2014-06-29	Jurmala	W 6-1	26.5	1446	931	82.85%	14.37%	2.78%	+2.72	+6.8	41
2014-06-29	@ Ventspils	L 1-6	26.5	931	1446	2.78%	14.37%	82.85%	-2.72	-6.8	6
2014-06-29	Liepaja	W 3-0	32.5	1348	1252	59.48%	16.89%	23.63%	+0.68	+41.1	34
2014-06-29	@ Jelgava	L 0-3	32.5	1252	1348	23.63%	16.89%	59.48%	-0.68	-41.1	31
2014-07-06	Daugavpils	D 1-1	55.6	1079	1109	43.56%	17.08%	39.36%	+0.07	-0.5	11
2014-07-06	@ Metta	D 1-1	55.6	1109	1079	39.36%	17.08%	43.56%	-0.07	+0.5	16
2014-07-06	Jelgava	D 1-1	57.6	1318	1389	37.66%	17.08%	45.26%	-0.13	+1.0	27
2014-07-06	@ Spartaks Jurmala	D 1-1	57.6	1389	1318	45.26%	17.08%	37.66%	+0.13	-1.0	35
2014-07-06	Skonto	W 3-0	53.0	1211	1660	6.36%	15.59%	78.06%	-1.97	+121.5	34
2014-07-06	@ Liepaja	L 0-3	53.0	1660	1211	78.06%	15.59%	6.36%	+1.97	-121.5	46
2014-07-07	Daugava	L 2-3	40.2	924	1429	4.73%	15.18%	80.10%	-2.24	-2.9	6
2014-07-07	@ Jurmala	W 3-2	40.2	1429	924	80.10%	15.18%	4.73%	+2.24	+2.9	40
2014-07-11	Ventspils	L 0-3	27.6	1079	1453	9.41%	16.07%	74.52%	-1.60	-17.4	11
2014-07-11	@ Metta	W 3-0	27.6	1453	1079	74.52%	16.07%	9.41%	+1.60	+17.4	44
2014-07-12	Daugavpils	W 2-1	38.2	1333	1110	70.72%	16.41%	12.87%	+1.30	+8.1	37
2014-07-12	@ Liepaja	L 1-2	38.2	1110	1333	12.87%	16.41%	70.72%	-1.30	-8.1	16
2014-07-13	Daugava	W 1-0	45.6	1388	1432	41.55%	17.09%	41.36%	+0.00	+24.3	38
2014-07-13	@ Jelgava	L 0-1	45.6	1432	1388	41.36%	17.09%	41.55%	+0.00	-24.3	40
2014-07-13	Daugava Riga	L 0-6	25.9	921	1325	8.07%	15.89%	76.04%	-1.75	-28.6	6
2014-07-13	@ Jurmala	W 6-0	25.9	1325	921	76.04%	15.89%	8.07%	+1.75	+28.7	23
2014-07-13	Spartaks Jurmala	L 0-1	55.1	1539	1319	70.52%	16.42%	13.06%	+1.29	-40.0	46
2014-07-13	@ Skonto	W 1-0	55.1	1319	1539	13.06%	16.42%	70.52%	-1.29	+40.0	30
2014-07-23	Liepaja	W 2-0	36.3	1499	1341	65.61%	16.69%	17.70%	+0.99	+21.8	49
2014-07-23	@ Skonto	L 0-2	36.3	1341	1499	17.70%	16.69%	65.61%	-0.99	-21.8	37
2014-07-26	Jurmala	D 1-1	55.7	1061	893	66.52%	16.65%	16.83%	+1.04	-6.9	12
2014-07-26	@ Metta	D 1-1	55.7	893	1061	16.83%	16.65%	66.52%	-1.04	+6.9	7
2014-07-27	Daugavpils	W 2-0	29.8	1359	1102	72.93%	16.23%	10.84%	+1.47	+13.7	33
2014-07-27	@ Spartaks Jurmala	L 0-2	29.8	1102	1359	10.84%	16.23%	72.93%	-1.47	-13.8	16
2014-07-28	Daugava Riga	D 2-2	63.9	1408	1354	54.71%	16.99%	28.30%	+0.48	-2.6	41
2014-07-28	@ Daugava	D 2-2	63.9	1354	1408	28.30%	16.99%	54.71%	-0.48	+2.6	24
2014-07-28	Liepaja	W 1-0	37.8	1470	1319	64.98%	16.72%	18.30%	+0.95	+11.9	47
2014-07-28	@ Ventspils	L 0-1	37.8	1319	1470	18.30%	16.72%	64.98%	-0.95	-11.9	37
2014-07-28	Skonto	L 0-1	46.4	1412	1521	32.71%	17.05%	50.24%	-0.31	-19.9	38
2014-07-28	@ Jelgava	W 1-0	46.4	1521	1412	50.24%	17.05%	32.71%	+0.31	+19.9	52
2014-08-01	Daugava	W 1-0	42.9	1541	1405	63.52%	16.77%	19.71%	+0.87	+12.8	55
2014-08-01	@ Skonto	L 0-1	42.9	1405	1541	19.71%	16.77%	63.52%	-0.87	-12.8	41
2014-08-01	Metta	W 2-0	28.9	1356	1054	75.42%	15.97%	8.61%	+1.68	+11.0	27
2014-08-01	@ Daugava Riga	L 0-2	28.9	1054	1356	8.61%	15.97%	75.42%	-1.68	-11.0	12
2014-08-02	Jelgava	L 0-2	30.7	1088	1393	13.37%	16.44%	70.19%	-1.26	-16.8	16
2014-08-02	@ Daugavpils	W 2-0	30.7	1393	1088	70.19%	16.44%	13.37%	+1.26	+16.8	41
2014-08-03	Liepaja	L 0-1	31.1	900	1307	7.91%	15.87%	76.23%	-1.76	-5.4	7
2014-08-03	@ Jurmala	W 1-0	31.1	1307	900	76.23%	15.87%	7.91%	+1.76	+5.4	40
2014-08-03	Spartaks Jurmala	W 1-0	40.7	1482	1372	60.95%	16.86%	22.20%	+0.75	+14.2	50
2014-08-03	@ Ventspils	L 0-1	40.7	1372	1482	22.20%	16.86%	60.95%	-0.75	-14.2	33
2014-08-08	Daugavpils	W 2-0	27.8	1553	1071	82.05%	14.64%	3.31%	+2.56	+4.2	58
2014-08-08	@ Skonto	L 0-2	27.8	1071	1553	3.31%	14.64%	82.05%	-2.56	-4.2	16
2014-08-08	Ventspils	W 1-0	49.9	1409	1496	35.55%	17.07%	47.38%	-0.20	+27.3	44
2014-08-08	@ Jelgava	L 0-1	49.9	1496	1409	47.38%	17.07%	35.55%	+0.20	-27.3	50
2014-08-09	Daugava Riga	L 1-2	47.9	1312	1367	40.00%	17.08%	42.91%	-0.05	-22.3	40
2014-08-09	@ Liepaja	W 2-1	47.9	1367	1312	42.91%	17.08%	40.00%	+0.05	+22.3	30
2014-08-09	Jurmala	W 4-1	29.9	1358	894	81.55%	14.80%	3.65%	+2.47	+5.7	36
2014-08-09	@ Spartaks Jurmala	L 1-4	29.9	894	1358	3.65%	14.80%	81.55%	-2.47	-5.7	7
2014-08-09	Metta	W 2-1	36.1	1393	1043	77.61%	15.66%	6.73%	+1.91	+4.3	44
2014-08-09	@ Daugava	L 1-2	36.1	1043	1393	6.73%	15.66%	77.61%	-1.91	-4.3	12
2014-08-13	Daugava	L 0-2	30.1	1067	1397	11.78%	16.32%	71.91%	-1.39	-14.9	16
2014-08-13	@ Daugavpils	W 2-0	30.1	1397	1067	71.91%	16.32%	11.78%	+1.39	+14.9	47
2014-08-13	Jelgava	L 0-2	27.0	888	1437	3.75%	14.84%	81.41%	-2.45	-4.8	7
2014-08-13	@ Jurmala	W 2-0	27.0	1437	888	81.41%	14.84%	3.75%	+2.45	+4.8	47
2014-08-13	Liepaja	L 0-2	31.7	1039	1290	17.38%	16.68%	65.94%	-1.00	-21.4	12
2014-08-13	@ Metta	W 2-0	31.7	1290	1039	65.94%	16.68%	17.38%	+1.00	+21.4	43
2014-08-13	Skonto	W 2-1	59.5	1469	1558	35.29%	17.07%	47.64%	-0.21	+25.9	53
2014-08-13	@ Ventspils	L 1-2	59.5	1558	1469	47.64%	17.07%	35.29%	+0.21	-25.8	58
2014-08-13	Spartaks Jurmala	W 2-1	46.5	1390	1364	51.12%	17.04%	31.84%	+0.34	+18.4	33
2014-08-13	@ Daugava Riga	L 1-2	46.5	1364	1390	31.84%	17.04%	51.12%	-0.34	-18.4	36
2014-08-16	Liepaja	W 3-1	41.0	1412	1312	59.95%	16.88%	23.16%	+0.70	+24.1	50
2014-08-16	@ Daugava	L 1-3	41.0	1312	1412	23.16%	16.88%	59.95%	-0.70	-24.1	43
2014-08-16	Metta	W 2-0	28.5	1346	1018	76.68%	15.80%	7.52%	+1.81	+9.6	39
2014-08-16	@ Spartaks Jurmala	L 0-2	28.5	1018	1346	7.52%	15.80%	76.68%	-1.81	-9.6	12
2014-08-17	Jelgava	L 0-3	42.3	1408	1441	43.05%	17.08%	39.86%	+0.05	-68.8	33
2014-08-17	@ Daugava Riga	W 3-0	42.3	1441	1408	39.86%	17.08%	43.05%	-0.05	+68.8	50
2014-08-17	Jurmala	W 4-3	41.5	1532	884	85.50%	13.15%	1.35%	+3.37	+0.8	61
2014-08-17	@ Skonto	L 3-4	41.5	884	1532	1.35%	13.15%	85.50%	-3.37	-0.8	7
2014-08-17	Ventspils	L 0-1	31.2	1052	1495	6.57%	15.63%	77.79%	-1.93	-4.5	16
2014-08-17	@ Daugavpils	W 1-0	31.2	1495	1052	77.79%	15.63%	6.57%	+1.93	+4.5	56
2014-08-21	Daugavpils	D 1-1	55.6	883	1047	25.86%	16.95%	57.20%	-0.58	+4.2	8
2014-08-21	@ Jurmala	D 1-1	55.6	1047	883	57.20%	16.95%	25.86%	+0.58	-4.2	17
2014-08-21	Spartaks Jurmala	W 3-0	39.2	1288	1355	38.19%	17.08%	44.73%	-0.11	+71.1	46
2014-08-21	@ Liepaja	L 0-3	39.2	1355	1288	44.73%	17.08%	38.19%	+0.11	-71.1	39
2014-08-22	Metta	D 1-1	56.9	1510	1008	82.55%	14.48%	2.97%	+2.66	-11.5	51
2014-08-22	@ Jelgava	D 1-1	56.9	1008	1510	2.97%	14.48%	82.55%	-2.66	+11.5	13
2014-08-22	Skonto	L 1-2	46.6	1339	1532	22.75%	16.87%	60.38%	-0.72	-13.7	33
2014-08-22	@ Daugava Riga	W 2-1	46.6	1532	1339	60.38%	16.87%	22.75%	+0.72	+13.7	64
2014-08-22	Ventspils	D 1-1	63.2	1436	1499	38.79%	17.08%	44.13%	-0.09	+0.7	51
2014-08-22	@ Daugava	D 1-1	63.2	1499	1436	44.13%	17.08%	38.79%	+0.09	-0.7	57
2014-08-26	Daugava	D 0-0	53.4	1284	1436	27.25%	16.97%	55.78%	-0.52	+4.2	40
2014-08-26	@ Spartaks Jurmala	D 0-0	53.4	1436	1284	55.78%	16.97%	27.25%	+0.52	-4.2	52
2014-08-27	Liepaja	W 1-0	39.8	1499	1359	63.97%	16.76%	19.27%	+0.90	+12.5	54
2014-08-27	@ Jelgava	L 0-1	39.8	1359	1499	19.27%	16.76%	63.97%	-0.90	-12.5	46
2014-08-27	Skonto	L 0-3	25.9	1020	1546	4.21%	15.01%	80.78%	-2.34	-7.8	13
2014-08-27	@ Metta	W 3-0	25.9	1546	1020	80.78%	15.01%	4.21%	+2.34	+7.8	67
2014-08-28	Daugavpils	W 4-2	38.6	1325	1043	74.38%	16.09%	9.53%	+1.59	+9.4	36
2014-08-28	@ Daugava Riga	L 2-4	38.6	1043	1325	9.53%	16.09%	74.38%	-1.59	-9.4	17
2014-08-28	Ventspils	L 0-7	24.3	887	1498	2.67%	14.30%	83.02%	-2.75	-10.9	8
2014-08-28	@ Jurmala	W 7-0	24.3	1498	887	83.02%	14.30%	2.67%	+2.75	+10.9	60
2014-09-12	Daugava	D 1-1	56.4	876	1432	3.60%	14.77%	81.63%	-2.49	+11.3	9
2014-09-12	@ Jurmala	D 1-1	56.4	1432	876	81.63%	14.77%	3.60%	+2.49	-11.3	53
2014-09-12	Spartaks Jurmala	D 0-0	55.0	1511	1288	70.71%	16.41%	12.89%	+1.30	-9.1	55
2014-09-12	@ Jelgava	D 0-0	55.0	1288	1511	12.89%	16.41%	70.71%	-1.30	+9.1	41
2014-09-13	Daugava Riga	D 0-0	56.1	1509	1335	67.02%	16.63%	16.35%	+1.07	-7.8	61
2014-09-13	@ Ventspils	D 0-0	56.1	1335	1509	16.35%	16.63%	67.02%	-1.07	+7.9	37
2014-09-13	Metta	W 4-1	39.1	1034	1012	50.67%	17.04%	32.29%	+0.32	+45.5	20
2014-09-13	@ Daugavpils	L 1-4	39.1	1012	1034	32.29%	17.04%	50.67%	-0.32	-45.5	13
2014-09-14	Liepaja	L 1-2	61.4	1554	1346	69.64%	16.48%	13.88%	+1.23	-37.2	67
2014-09-14	@ Skonto	W 2-1	61.4	1346	1554	13.88%	16.48%	69.64%	-1.23	+37.2	49
2014-09-19	Jurmala	W 3-1	32.5	1343	887	81.30%	14.87%	3.83%	+2.43	+4.2	40
2014-09-19	@ Daugava Riga	L 1-3	32.5	887	1343	3.83%	14.87%	81.30%	-2.43	-4.2	9
2014-09-20	Daugavpils	W 5-0	26.1	1383	1079	75.52%	15.96%	8.52%	+1.69	+25.5	52
2014-09-20	@ Liepaja	L 0-5	26.1	1079	1383	8.52%	15.96%	75.52%	-1.69	-25.5	20
2014-09-20	Jelgava	W 1-0	50.2	1421	1502	36.33%	17.07%	46.60%	-0.18	+26.9	56
2014-09-20	@ Daugava	L 0-1	50.2	1502	1421	46.60%	17.07%	36.33%	+0.18	-26.9	55
2014-09-21	Metta	W 2-1	34.5	1502	966	83.32%	14.19%	2.49%	+2.82	+1.6	64
2014-09-21	@ Ventspils	L 1-2	34.5	966	1502	2.49%	14.19%	83.32%	-2.82	-1.6	13
2014-09-21	Skonto	W 1-0	51.8	1297	1517	20.19%	16.79%	63.02%	-0.85	+35.6	44
2014-09-21	@ Spartaks Jurmala	L 0-1	51.8	1517	1297	63.02%	16.79%	20.19%	+0.85	-35.6	67
2014-09-24	Ventspils	L 0-3	37.4	1347	1503	26.81%	16.96%	56.22%	-0.54	-46.0	40
2014-09-24	@ Daugava Riga	W 3-0	37.4	1503	1347	56.22%	16.96%	26.81%	+0.54	+46.0	67
2014-09-27	Metta	W 1-0	43.0	883	965	36.30%	17.07%	46.63%	-0.18	+26.9	12
2014-09-27	@ Jurmala	L 0-1	43.0	965	883	46.63%	17.07%	36.30%	+0.18	-26.9	13
2014-09-27	Spartaks Jurmala	W 1-0	49.6	1054	1333	15.18%	16.56%	68.26%	-1.14	+38.7	23
2014-09-27	@ Daugavpils	L 0-1	49.6	1333	1054	68.26%	16.56%	15.18%	+1.14	-38.7	44
2014-09-28	Daugava	L 1-4	40.4	1301	1448	27.90%	16.98%	55.12%	-0.50	-40.1	40
2014-09-28	@ Daugava Riga	W 4-1	40.4	1448	1301	55.12%	16.98%	27.90%	+0.50	+40.1	59
2014-09-28	Ventspils	D 1-1	64.0	1409	1549	28.68%	17.00%	54.32%	-0.46	+3.4	53
2014-09-28	@ Liepaja	D 1-1	64.0	1549	1409	54.32%	17.00%	28.68%	+0.46	-3.4	68
2014-09-29	Jelgava	L 0-3	47.4	1481	1475	48.52%	17.06%	34.42%	+0.25	-76.3	67
2014-09-29	@ Skonto	W 3-0	47.4	1475	1481	34.42%	17.06%	48.52%	-0.25	+76.3	58
2014-10-03	Daugava Riga	L 1-2	37.8	938	1261	12.19%	16.35%	71.45%	-1.35	-7.7	13
2014-10-03	@ Metta	W 2-1	37.8	1261	938	71.45%	16.35%	12.19%	+1.35	+7.7	43
2014-10-04	Daugavpils	W 2-0	28.2	1551	1093	81.41%	14.84%	3.75%	+2.45	+4.8	61
2014-10-04	@ Jelgava	L 0-2	28.2	1093	1551	3.75%	14.84%	81.41%	-2.45	-4.8	23
2014-10-04	Jurmala	W 6-0	24.0	1412	910	82.54%	14.48%	2.98%	+2.66	+10.5	56
2014-10-04	@ Liepaja	L 0-6	24.0	910	1412	2.98%	14.48%	82.54%	-2.66	-10.5	12
2014-10-04	Skonto	L 0-1	52.6	1488	1405	58.09%	16.93%	24.99%	+0.62	-32.9	59
2014-10-04	@ Daugava	W 1-0	52.6	1405	1488	24.99%	16.93%	58.09%	-0.62	+32.9	70
2014-10-04	Ventspils	L 1-2	44.0	1294	1546	17.37%	16.68%	65.96%	-1.00	-10.7	44
2014-10-04	@ Spartaks Jurmala	W 2-1	44.0	1546	1294	65.96%	16.68%	17.37%	+1.00	+10.7	71
2014-10-17	Daugava	L 0-1	29.9	930	1455	4.25%	15.02%	80.73%	-2.33	-2.9	13
2014-10-17	@ Metta	W 1-0	29.9	1455	930	80.73%	15.02%	4.25%	+2.33	+2.9	62
2014-10-18	Jelgava	W 2-0	51.0	1556	1556	47.73%	17.07%	35.20%	+0.22	+40.0	74
2014-10-18	@ Ventspils	L 0-2	51.0	1556	1556	35.20%	17.07%	47.73%	-0.22	-40.0	61
2014-10-18	Spartaks Jurmala	L 1-2	36.7	900	1284	8.93%	16.01%	75.05%	-1.65	-5.7	12
2014-10-18	@ Jurmala	W 2-1	36.7	1284	900	75.05%	16.01%	8.93%	+1.65	+5.7	47
2014-10-19	Skonto	W 1-0	51.3	1088	1438	10.64%	16.21%	73.15%	-1.48	+41.5	26
2014-10-19	@ Daugavpils	L 0-1	51.3	1438	1088	73.15%	16.21%	10.64%	+1.48	-41.5	70
2014-10-20	Liepaja	L 2-4	45.7	1268	1423	27.05%	16.97%	55.98%	-0.53	-24.7	43
2014-10-20	@ Daugava Riga	W 4-2	45.7	1423	1268	55.98%	16.97%	27.05%	+0.53	+24.7	59
2014-10-24	Metta	W 2-0	26.6	1447	927	82.98%	14.32%	2.70%	+2.75	+3.4	62
2014-10-24	@ Liepaja	L 0-2	26.6	927	1447	2.70%	14.32%	82.98%	-2.75	-3.4	13
2014-10-25	Jurmala	W 2-1	33.9	1516	894	85.05%	13.39%	1.55%	+3.24	+1.0	64
2014-10-25	@ Jelgava	L 1-2	33.9	894	1516	1.55%	13.39%	85.05%	-3.24	-1.0	12
2014-10-25	Ventspils	L 2-4	52.1	1396	1596	22.06%	16.85%	61.09%	-0.76	-20.6	70
2014-10-25	@ Skonto	W 4-2	52.1	1596	1396	61.09%	16.85%	22.06%	+0.76	+20.6	77
2014-10-26	Daugava Riga	W 1-0	38.4	1289	1244	53.65%	17.01%	29.35%	+0.44	+18.2	50
2014-10-26	@ Spartaks Jurmala	L 0-1	38.4	1244	1289	29.35%	17.01%	53.65%	-0.44	-18.2	43
2014-10-26	Daugavpils	W 5-0	26.2	1458	1129	76.71%	15.80%	7.49%	+1.81	+22.4	65
2014-10-26	@ Daugava	L 0-5	26.2	1129	1458	7.49%	15.80%	76.71%	-1.81	-22.4	26
2014-11-01	Daugava	W 3-2	58.5	1451	1480	43.60%	17.08%	39.31%	+0.07	+20.8	65
2014-11-01	@ Liepaja	L 2-3	58.5	1480	1451	39.31%	17.08%	43.60%	-0.07	-20.8	65
2014-11-01	Daugavpils	W 2-0	28.8	1617	1107	82.74%	14.41%	2.85%	+2.70	+3.6	80
2014-11-01	@ Ventspils	L 0-2	28.8	1107	1617	2.85%	14.41%	82.74%	-2.70	-3.6	26
2014-11-01	Jelgava	L 1-3	38.6	1226	1517	14.27%	16.51%	69.22%	-1.20	-15.5	43
2014-11-01	@ Daugava Riga	W 3-1	38.6	1517	1226	69.22%	16.51%	14.27%	+1.20	+15.5	67
2014-11-01	Skonto	L 1-7	26.8	893	1376	5.33%	15.35%	79.33%	-2.13	-15.6	12
2014-11-01	@ Jurmala	W 7-1	26.8	1376	893	79.33%	15.35%	5.33%	+2.13	+15.6	73
2014-11-01	Spartaks Jurmala	W 2-1	56.5	924	1308	8.94%	16.01%	75.05%	-1.65	+40.2	16
2014-11-01	@ Metta	L 1-2	56.5	1308	924	75.05%	16.01%	8.94%	+1.65	-40.2	50
2014-11-08	Daugava	W 4-0	41.6	1621	1460	65.88%	16.68%	17.44%	+1.00	+40.8	83
2014-11-08	@ Ventspils	L 0-4	41.6	1460	1621	17.44%	16.68%	65.88%	-1.00	-40.8	65
2014-11-08	Daugava Riga	W 4-1	35.0	1391	1210	67.56%	16.60%	15.84%	+1.10	+24.1	76
2014-11-08	@ Skonto	L 1-4	35.0	1210	1391	15.84%	16.60%	67.56%	-1.10	-24.1	43
2014-11-08	Jelgava	L 0-3	25.2	964	1533	3.36%	14.67%	81.97%	-2.55	-6.2	16
2014-11-08	@ Metta	W 3-0	25.2	1533	964	81.97%	14.67%	3.36%	+2.55	+6.2	70
2014-11-08	Jurmala	W 4-2	39.4	1103	877	70.92%	16.39%	12.69%	+1.32	+12.4	29
2014-11-08	@ Daugavpils	L 2-4	39.4	877	1103	12.69%	16.39%	70.92%	-1.32	-12.4	12
2014-11-08	Liepaja	D 0-0	53.8	1267	1472	21.65%	16.84%	61.51%	-0.78	+6.0	51
2014-11-08	@ Spartaks Jurmala	D 0-0	53.8	1472	1267	61.51%	16.84%	21.65%	+0.78	-6.0	66

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2014-06-22	5.05%	Daugavpils	1087	1	@ Ventspils	1490	0
2	2014-07-06	6.36%	@ Liepaja	1211	3	Skonto	1660	0
3	2014-11-01	8.94%	@ Metta	924	2	Spartaks Jurmala	1308	1
4	2014-06-10	9.39%	@ Spartaks Jurmala	1195	1	Ventspils	1569	0
5	2014-10-19	10.64%	@ Daugavpils	1088	1	Skonto	1438	0
6	2014-07-13	13.06%	Spartaks Jurmala	1319	1	@ Skonto	1539	0
7	2014-06-15	13.15%	@ Daugava Riga	1209	4	Liepaja	1517	0
8	2014-09-14	13.88%	Liepaja	1346	2	@ Skonto	1554	1
9	2014-09-27	15.18%	@ Daugavpils	1054	1	Spartaks Jurmala	1333	0
10	2014-09-21	20.19%	@ Spartaks Jurmala	1297	1	Skonto	1517	0
11	2014-04-26	21.99%	Spartaks Jurmala	1126	2	@ Daugava Riga	1238	0
12	2014-04-16	22.59%	Jelgava	1241	3	@ Liepaja	1347	2
13	2014-04-05	23.00%	@ Metta	1138	1	Daugavpils	1329	0
14	2014-06-03	23.10%	@ Liepaja	1444	2	Ventspils	1634	0
15	2014-03-30	23.45%	Jelgava	1265	2	@ Daugava	1362	1
16	2014-10-04	24.99%	Skonto	1405	1	@ Daugava	1488	0
17	2014-04-12	27.07%	Jurmala	1108	4	@ Metta	1172	2
18	2014-04-09	28.82%	@ Liepaja	1329	1	Skonto	1468	0
19	2014-06-01	31.63%	Metta	1016	3	@ Jurmala	1043	0
20	2014-06-21	32.59%	Daugava	1354	3	@ Liepaja	1374	0
21	2014-06-18	33.16%	@ Spartaks Jurmala	1247	1	Daugava Riga	1352	0
22	2014-09-29	34.42%	Jelgava	1475	3	@ Skonto	1481	0
23	2014-08-13	35.29%	@ Ventspils	1469	2	Skonto	1558	1
24	2014-08-08	35.55%	@ Jelgava	1409	1	Ventspils	1496	0
25	2014-05-14	36.06%	@ Daugava Riga	1156	1	Daugavpils	1239	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2014-06-15	142.82	@ Daugava Riga	4	1209	13.15%	Liepaja	0	1517	70.42%	16.43%
2	2014-07-06	121.49	@ Liepaja	3	1211	6.36%	Skonto	0	1660	78.06%	15.59%
3	2014-06-01	80.28	Metta	3	1016	31.63%	@ Jurmala	0	1043	51.33%	17.04%
4	2014-06-21	78.90	Daugava	3	1354	32.59%	@ Liepaja	0	1374	50.37%	17.04%
5	2014-09-29	76.31	Jelgava	3	1475	34.42%	@ Skonto	0	1481	48.52%	17.06%
6	2014-08-21	71.07	@ Liepaja	3	1288	38.19%	Spartaks Jurmala	0	1355	44.73%	17.08%
7	2014-08-17	68.81	Jelgava	3	1441	39.86%	@ Daugava Riga	0	1408	43.05%	17.08%
8	2014-04-26	65.25	Spartaks Jurmala	2	1126	21.99%	@ Daugava Riga	0	1238	61.16%	16.85%
9	2014-06-10	64.50	Skonto	4	1538	53.90%	@ Daugava	0	1401	29.10%	17.00%
10	2014-06-03	64.06	@ Liepaja	2	1444	23.10%	Ventspils	0	1634	60.01%	16.88%
11	2014-05-24	53.57	Liepaja	4	1390	59.55%	@ Daugavpils	0	1204	23.56%	16.89%
12	2014-04-13	47.31	Skonto	3	1437	55.31%	@ Jelgava	0	1289	27.71%	16.98%
13	2014-04-12	46.38	Jurmala	4	1108	27.07%	@ Metta	2	1172	55.96%	16.97%
14	2014-09-24	45.97	Ventspils	3	1503	56.22%	@ Daugava Riga	0	1347	26.81%	16.96%
15	2014-09-13	45.54	@ Daugavpils	4	1034	50.67%	Metta	1	1012	32.29%	17.04%
16	2014-06-22	45.25	Daugavpils	1	1087	5.05%	@ Ventspils	0	1490	79.67%	15.27%
17	2014-05-10	44.68	Daugava Riga	2	1111	42.78%	@ Metta	0	1057	40.13%	17.08%
18	2014-05-23	43.83	@ Daugava Riga	3	1166	57.66%	Jurmala	0	1087	25.40%	16.94%
19	2014-06-25	43.15	@ Spartaks Jurmala	2	1272	44.42%	Liepaja	0	1295	38.50%	17.08%
20	2014-06-10	42.34	@ Spartaks Jurmala	1	1195	9.39%	Ventspils	0	1569	74.54%	16.07%
21	2014-06-01	42.18	Spartaks Jurmala	3	1174	38.44%	@ Daugavpils	1	1151	44.48%	17.08%
22	2014-10-19	41.52	@ Daugavpils	1	1088	10.64%	Skonto	0	1438	73.15%	16.21%
23	2014-06-29	41.11	@ Jelgava	3	1348	59.48%	Liepaja	0	1252	23.63%	16.89%
24	2014-11-08	40.81	@ Ventspils	4	1621	65.88%	Daugava	0	1460	17.44%	16.68%
25	2014-11-01	40.20	@ Metta	2	924	8.94%	Spartaks Jurmala	1	1308	75.05%	16.01%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2014-05-14	65.8	@ Daugava	3	1374	67.48%	Spartaks Jurmala	3	1194	15.92%	16.60%
2	2014-09-28	64.0	@ Liepaja	1	1409	28.68%	Ventspils	1	1549	54.32%	17.00%
3	2014-07-28	63.9	@ Daugava	2	1408	54.71%	Daugava Riga	2	1354	28.30%	16.99%
4	2014-08-22	63.2	@ Daugava	1	1436	38.79%	Ventspils	1	1499	44.13%	17.08%
5	2014-09-14	61.4	Liepaja	2	1346	13.88%	@ Skonto	1	1554	69.64%	16.48%
6	2014-06-25	61.3	@ Daugava	1	1433	46.19%	Ventspils	1	1445	36.74%	17.07%
7	2014-06-21	61.2	@ Metta	2	1070	21.49%	Spartaks Jurmala	2	1276	61.67%	16.83%
8	2014-06-03	60.5	@ Skonto	1	1546	72.54%	Jelgava	1	1296	11.19%	16.26%
9	2014-08-13	59.5	@ Ventspils	2	1469	35.29%	Skonto	1	1558	47.64%	17.07%
10	2014-11-01	58.5	@ Liepaja	3	1451	43.60%	Daugava	2	1480	39.31%	17.08%
11	2014-04-16	58.2	Jelgava	3	1241	22.59%	@ Liepaja	2	1347	60.55%	16.87%
12	2014-07-06	57.6	@ Spartaks Jurmala	1	1318	37.66%	Jelgava	1	1389	45.26%	17.08%
13	2014-06-21	57.3	@ Jelgava	1	1358	52.31%	Daugava Riga	1	1323	30.67%	17.02%
14	2014-05-24	57.2	@ Jelgava	1	1294	34.71%	Daugava	1	1387	48.23%	17.06%
15	2014-06-03	57.2	@ Liepaja	2	1444	23.10%	Ventspils	0	1634	60.01%	16.88%
16	2014-03-29	57.0	@ Daugavpils	1	1331	48.28%	Liepaja	1	1327	34.66%	17.06%
17	2014-08-22	56.9	@ Jelgava	1	1510	82.55%	Metta	1	1008	2.97%	14.48%
18	2014-06-14	56.6	@ Ventspils	0	1527	68.48%	Jelgava	0	1335	14.97%	16.55%
19	2014-11-01	56.5	@ Metta	2	924	8.94%	Spartaks Jurmala	1	1308	75.05%	16.01%
20	2014-09-12	56.4	@ Jurmala	1	876	3.60%	Daugava	1	1432	81.63%	14.77%
21	2014-09-13	56.1	@ Ventspils	0	1509	67.02%	Daugava Riga	0	1335	16.35%	16.63%
22	2014-06-25	56.0	@ Metta	1	1074	14.99%	Jelgava	1	1355	68.46%	16.55%
23	2014-03-29	55.9	@ Jurmala	1	1121	24.87%	Daugava Riga	1	1294	58.21%	16.92%
24	2014-05-05	55.9	@ Jelgava	1	1296	72.29%	Metta	1	1049	11.42%	16.28%
25	2014-05-18	55.8	@ Daugavpils	1	1212	69.21%	Metta	1	1010	14.29%	16.51%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2014-06-22	23.6	Skonto	5	1637	85.02%	@ Jurmala	0	928	1.57%	13.41%
2	2014-10-04	24.0	@ Liepaja	6	1412	82.54%	Jurmala	0	910	2.98%	14.48%
3	2014-08-28	24.3	Ventspils	7	1498	83.02%	@ Jurmala	0	887	2.67%	14.30%
4	2014-06-11	24.4	@ Liepaja	7	1508	83.54%	Jurmala	0	963	2.36%	14.10%
5	2014-06-18	24.6	@ Jelgava	5	1343	79.55%	Jurmala	0	943	5.15%	15.30%
6	2014-11-08	25.2	Jelgava	3	1533	81.97%	@ Metta	0	964	3.36%	14.67%
7	2014-07-13	25.9	Daugava Riga	6	1325	76.04%	@ Jurmala	0	921	8.07%	15.89%
8	2014-08-27	25.9	Skonto	3	1546	80.78%	@ Metta	0	1020	4.21%	15.01%
9	2014-09-20	26.1	@ Liepaja	5	1383	75.52%	Daugavpils	0	1079	8.52%	15.96%
10	2014-10-26	26.2	@ Daugava	5	1458	76.71%	Daugavpils	0	1129	7.49%	15.80%
11	2014-06-29	26.5	@ Ventspils	6	1446	82.85%	Jurmala	1	931	2.78%	14.37%
12	2014-10-24	26.6	@ Liepaja	2	1447	82.98%	Metta	0	927	2.70%	14.32%
13	2014-11-01	26.8	Skonto	7	1376	79.33%	@ Jurmala	1	893	5.33%	15.35%
14	2014-05-14	26.9	Ventspils	6	1596	79.36%	@ Jurmala	0	1112	5.30%	15.34%
15	2014-08-13	27.0	Jelgava	2	1437	81.41%	@ Jurmala	0	888	3.75%	14.84%
16	2014-05-24	27.2	@ Ventspils	2	1631	84.90%	Metta	0	1018	1.63%	13.47%
17	2014-07-11	27.6	Ventspils	3	1453	74.52%	@ Metta	0	1079	9.41%	16.07%
18	2014-08-08	27.8	@ Skonto	2	1553	82.05%	Daugavpils	0	1071	3.31%	14.64%
19	2014-10-04	28.2	@ Jelgava	2	1551	81.41%	Daugavpils	0	1093	3.75%	14.84%
20	2014-08-16	28.5	@ Spartaks Jurmala	2	1346	76.68%	Metta	0	1018	7.52%	15.80%
21	2014-05-17	28.8	Ventspils	4	1615	77.32%	@ Daugava Riga	0	1183	6.97%	15.71%
22	2014-11-01	28.8	@ Ventspils	2	1617	82.74%	Daugavpils	0	1107	2.85%	14.41%
23	2014-08-01	28.9	@ Daugava Riga	2	1356	75.42%	Metta	0	1054	8.61%	15.97%
24	2014-06-14	29.3	Skonto	2	1602	80.01%	@ Daugavpils	0	1100	4.79%	15.20%
25	2014-07-27	29.8	@ Spartaks Jurmala	2	1359	72.93%	Daugavpils	0	1102	10.84%	16.23%