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1991 A Lyga Season

105 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Zalgiris Vilnius

24 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Banga Kaunas

5.02 points above expected

22 points · 16.98 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Suduva

5.40 points below expected

2 points · 7.40 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Zalgiris Vilnius 14 11 2 1 24 31 8 +23 23.74 +0.26
2 Banga Kaunas 14 9 4 1 22 24 10 +14 16.98 +5.02
3 Ekranas 14 10 1 3 21 24 10 +14 17.06 +3.94
4 Neris Vilnius 14 8 5 1 21 17 5 +12 16.77 +4.23
5 Sirijus Klaipeda 14 8 4 2 20 24 10 +14 16.85 +3.15
6 Panerys 14 6 2 6 14 20 13 +7 13.27 +0.73
7 Vilija Kaunas 14 5 4 5 14 23 21 +2 13.74 +0.26
8 Granitas Klaipeda 14 5 4 5 14 15 14 +1 13.81 +0.19
9 Sakalas Siauliai 14 5 3 6 13 13 16 -3 15.19 -2.19
10 Vienybe Ukmerge 14 3 4 7 10 9 16 -7 11.36 -1.36
11 Elektronas Taurage 14 4 2 8 10 15 23 -8 11.60 -1.60
12 Jovaras Mazeikiai 14 3 3 8 9 13 18 -5 10.75 -1.75
13 Inkaras Kaunas 14 2 4 8 8 7 15 -8 11.44 -3.44
14 Tauras Siauliai 14 3 2 9 8 9 26 -17 10.04 -2.04
15 Suduva 14 0 2 12 2 5 44 -39 7.40 -5.40

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Banga Kaunas 22 16.98 +5.02
2 Neris Vilnius 21 16.77 +4.23
3 Ekranas 21 17.06 +3.94
4 Sirijus Klaipeda 20 16.85 +3.15
5 Panerys 14 13.27 +0.73

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Suduva 2 7.40 -5.40
2 Inkaras Kaunas 8 11.44 -3.44
3 Sakalas Siauliai 13 15.19 -2.19
4 Tauras Siauliai 8 10.04 -2.04
5 Jovaras Mazeikiai 9 10.75 -1.75

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Neris Vilnius 4 May 21 – Jun 11 1 in 104
2 Ekranas 6 Apr 20 – May 21 1 in 37
3 Sakalas Siauliai 4 Mar 29 – Apr 20 1 in 20
4 Banga Kaunas 3 Mar 29 – Apr 13 1 in 19
5 Vilija Kaunas 3 Apr 13 – Apr 27 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Suduva 10 Apr 13 – Jun 10 1 in 108
2 Sakalas Siauliai 5 May 31 – Jun 21 1 in 50
3 Jovaras Mazeikiai 5 Mar 29 – Apr 27 1 in 40
4 Zalgiris Vilnius 1 Jun 11 – Jun 11 1 in 23
5 Elektronas Taurage 4 May 17 – Jun 10 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Neris Vilnius 12 Mar 30 – Jun 14 1 in 218
2 Banga Kaunas 10 May 3 – Jun 24 1 in 75
3 Ekranas 7 Apr 13 – May 21 1 in 12
4 Jovaras Mazeikiai 3 Jun 7 – Jun 14 1 in 8
5 Panerys 3 May 3 – May 18 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Suduva 14 Mar 29 – Jun 24 1 in 17
2 Zalgiris Vilnius 2 Jun 7 – Jun 11 1 in 11
3 Sirijus Klaipeda 3 Apr 13 – May 3 1 in 7
4 Sakalas Siauliai 5 May 31 – Jun 21 1 in 6
5 Jovaras Mazeikiai 5 Mar 29 – Apr 27 1 in 5

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Zalgiris Vilnius 1538 24 -215 6 8.1 -2.1
Banga Kaunas 1507 22 +63 8 6.5 +1.5
Ekranas 1431 21 +118 8 6.4 +1.6
Neris Vilnius 1530 21 +154 7 6.7 +0.3
Sirijus Klaipeda 1429 20 +73 7 6.0 +1.0
Granitas Klaipeda 1240 14 +136 6 4.5 +1.5
Panerys 1236 14 +90 6 4.8 +1.2
Vilija Kaunas 1199 14 -9 5 5.7 -0.7
Sakalas Siauliai 1050 13 -244 0 3.7 -3.7
Vienybe Ukmerge 1138 10 +44 5 4.9 +0.1
Elektronas Taurage 1060 10 -17 5 4.4 +0.6
Jovaras Mazeikiai 1132 9 +3 4 3.9 +0.1
Inkaras Kaunas 1052 8 -1 4 3.9 +0.1
Tauras Siauliai 959 8 -124 1 2.6 -1.6
Suduva 752 2 -110 1 2.0 -1.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BK EKR ET GK IK JM NV PAN SS SK SUD TS VU VK ZV
Banga Kaunas —
1-0-0
0.77
1-0-0
1.17
1-0-0
1.42
0-1-0
2.37
0-1-0
2.35
0-0-1
2.15
1-0-0
2.43
0-1-0
0.67
1-0-0
1.37
1-0-0
0.98
1-0-0
2.10
1-0-0
2.19
1-0-0
2.39
0-1-0
0.69
Ekranas
0-0-1
2.01
—
1-0-0
1.87
1-0-0
2.10
1-0-0
1.41
1-0-0
1.93
0-0-1
0.78
1-0-0
1.50
1-0-0
2.28
0-1-0
0.72
1-0-0
2.31
1-0-0
1.94
1-0-0
2.32
1-0-0
2.00
0-0-1
0.36
Elektronas Taurage
0-0-1
1.61
0-0-1
0.91
—
1-0-0
1.25
1-0-0
1.64
0-0-1
1.72
0-0-1
1.01
0-0-1
0.81
0-1-0
1.07
0-0-1
0.79
1-0-0
2.36
0-0-1
1.19
1-0-0
0.98
0-1-0
0.49
0-0-1
0.21
Granitas Klaipeda
0-0-1
1.36
0-0-1
0.69
0-0-1
1.54
—
0-1-0
1.52
0-1-0
2.17
0-0-1
0.46
1-0-0
1.41
1-0-0
1.05
0-1-0
0.98
1-0-0
1.56
1-0-0
1.63
1-0-0
2.17
0-0-1
2.02
0-1-0
0.67
Inkaras Kaunas
0-1-0
0.42
0-0-1
1.37
0-0-1
1.14
0-1-0
1.26
—
1-0-0
1.05
0-0-1
0.27
0-0-1
0.61
0-0-1
1.80
0-0-1
1.25
1-0-0
1.92
0-0-1
1.17
0-1-0
1.51
0-1-0
1.17
0-0-1
0.23
Jovaras Mazeikiai
0-1-0
0.43
0-0-1
0.85
1-0-0
1.06
0-1-0
0.61
0-0-1
1.73
—
0-0-1
0.95
0-0-1
0.57
1-0-0
0.82
0-0-1
1.81
1-0-0
2.03
0-1-0
2.11
0-0-1
0.83
0-0-1
0.50
0-0-1
0.25
Neris Vilnius
1-0-0
0.63
1-0-0
2.00
1-0-0
1.77
1-0-0
2.32
1-0-0
2.52
1-0-0
1.83
—
0-0-1
2.32
1-0-0
1.78
0-1-0
2.41
0-1-0
2.08
0-1-0
1.97
0-1-0
1.22
0-1-0
0.98
1-0-0
0.34
Panerys
0-0-1
0.36
0-0-1
1.28
1-0-0
1.97
0-0-1
1.37
1-0-0
2.18
1-0-0
2.21
1-0-0
0.46
—
0-1-0
0.69
0-1-0
0.76
1-0-0
2.40
1-0-0
1.80
0-0-1
1.44
0-0-1
1.31
0-0-1
0.36
Sakalas Siauliai
0-1-0
2.11
0-0-1
0.51
0-1-0
1.71
0-0-1
1.73
1-0-0
0.98
0-0-1
1.97
0-0-1
1.00
0-1-0
2.09
—
0-0-1
0.37
1-0-0
1.67
1-0-0
2.26
1-0-0
2.29
1-0-0
1.99
0-0-1
0.43
Sirijus Klaipeda
0-0-1
1.41
0-1-0
2.07
1-0-0
1.99
0-1-0
1.80
1-0-0
1.53
1-0-0
0.97
0-1-0
0.38
0-1-0
2.02
1-0-0
2.42
—
1-0-0
2.37
1-0-0
2.27
1-0-0
2.36
1-0-0
2.07
0-0-1
0.28
Suduva
0-0-1
1.80
0-0-1
0.47
0-0-1
0.43
0-0-1
1.22
0-0-1
0.86
0-0-1
0.75
0-1-0
0.70
0-0-1
0.39
0-0-1
1.11
0-0-1
0.42
—
0-0-1
0.94
0-1-0
0.52
0-0-1
0.29
0-0-1
0.19
Tauras Siauliai
0-0-1
0.69
0-0-1
0.84
1-0-0
1.59
0-0-1
1.15
1-0-0
1.61
0-1-0
0.67
0-1-0
0.82
0-0-1
0.98
0-0-1
0.52
0-0-1
0.51
1-0-0
1.85
—
0-0-1
1.19
0-0-1
0.91
0-0-1
0.25
Vienybe Ukmerge
0-0-1
0.60
0-0-1
0.47
0-0-1
1.80
0-0-1
0.61
0-1-0
1.27
1-0-0
1.95
0-1-0
1.56
1-0-0
1.34
0-0-1
0.49
0-0-1
0.43
0-1-0
2.26
1-0-0
1.59
—
0-1-0
1.55
0-0-1
0.28
Vilija Kaunas
0-0-1
0.40
0-0-1
0.78
0-1-0
2.30
1-0-0
0.77
0-1-0
1.61
1-0-0
2.28
0-1-0
1.80
1-0-0
1.47
0-0-1
0.79
0-0-1
0.71
1-0-0
2.50
1-0-0
1.87
0-1-0
1.23
—
0-0-1
0.37
Zalgiris Vilnius
0-1-0
2.10
1-0-0
2.43
1-0-0
2.59
0-1-0
2.11
1-0-0
2.58
1-0-0
2.55
0-0-1
2.45
1-0-0
2.43
1-0-0
2.35
1-0-0
2.52
1-0-0
2.64
1-0-0
2.55
1-0-0
2.51
1-0-0
2.42
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.80 +7.6
Allowed 0.70 -5.6
Differential 0.90 +3.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.62%15.24%7.14%3.33%0.95%0.95%35.24%
115.24%10.48%3.81%4.29%1.90%0.95%36.67%
27.14%3.81%2.86%——0.48%14.29%
33.33%4.29%—0.95%——8.57%
40.95%1.90%————2.86%
5+0.95%0.95%0.48%———2.38%
Total35.24%36.67%14.29%8.57%2.86%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.19 +0.00
SD 1.40 1.40 2.10
CV 1.18 1.18 —
Max 10 10 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 105

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—————7.14%
114.29%21.43%—7.14%——42.86%
214.29%7.14%————21.43%
37.14%21.43%————28.57%
4———————
5+———————
Total42.86%50.00%—7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 0.71 +1.00
SD 0.99 0.83 1.30
CV 0.58 1.16 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%————14.29%
114.29%——7.14%——21.43%
235.71%7.14%7.14%———50.00%
3—7.14%————7.14%
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+———————
Total50.00%35.71%7.14%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 0.71 +1.00
SD 1.07 0.91 1.47
CV 0.62 1.28 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%21.43%———42.86%
17.14%—7.14%7.14%—7.14%28.57%
27.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
3———————
4———————
5+—7.14%————7.14%
Total21.43%28.57%35.71%7.14%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.64 -0.57
SD 1.38 1.55 2.17
CV 1.29 0.94 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%14.29%———35.71%
121.43%14.29%—7.14%——42.86%
2——7.14%———7.14%
37.14%—————7.14%
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+———————
Total35.71%35.71%21.43%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.00 +0.07
SD 1.21 0.96 1.64
CV 1.13 0.96 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%42.86%—7.14%——64.29%
114.29%7.14%7.14%———28.57%
2———————
3———7.14%——7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%50.00%7.14%14.29%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.50 1.07 -0.57
SD 0.85 1.00 1.02
CV 1.71 0.93 —
Max 3 3 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—35.71%————35.71%
1—21.43%7.14%14.29%——42.86%
27.14%7.14%————14.29%
3—7.14%————7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total7.14%71.43%7.14%14.29%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.29 -0.36
SD 0.92 0.83 1.28
CV 0.99 0.64 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%————21.43%
135.71%21.43%————57.14%
2———————
314.29%7.14%————21.43%
4———————
5+———————
Total64.29%35.71%————100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 0.36 +0.86
SD 1.05 0.50 1.17
CV 0.87 1.39 —
Max 3 1 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%21.43%———35.71%
121.43%14.29%—7.14%——42.86%
27.14%—————7.14%
3———————
47.14%—————7.14%
5+7.14%—————7.14%
Total42.86%28.57%21.43%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 0.93 +0.50
SD 2.17 1.00 2.79
CV 1.52 1.07 —
Max 8 3 +8
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%14.29%—7.14%——35.71%
121.43%7.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%—50.00%
27.14%—————7.14%
3———————
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+———————
Total42.86%28.57%7.14%14.29%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.14 -0.21
SD 1.07 1.35 1.76
CV 1.15 1.18 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%————7.14%
121.43%21.43%7.14%———50.00%
27.14%—7.14%———14.29%
314.29%7.14%————21.43%
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+———————
Total42.86%42.86%14.29%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 0.71 +1.00
SD 1.14 0.73 1.41
CV 0.66 1.02 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%21.43%21.43%——14.29%71.43%
1———7.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
2—————7.14%7.14%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total14.29%21.43%21.43%7.14%7.14%28.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.36 3.14 -2.79
SD 0.63 2.98 2.61
CV 1.77 0.95 —
Max 2 10 +0
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%—14.29%14.29%—50.00%
17.14%7.14%14.29%—7.14%—35.71%
27.14%7.14%————14.29%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total21.43%28.57%14.29%14.29%21.43%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.64 1.86 -1.21
SD 0.74 1.51 1.93
CV 1.16 0.81 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.43%28.57%14.29%———64.29%
1—7.14%——7.14%—14.29%
2—14.29%————14.29%
3—7.14%————7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.43%57.14%14.29%—7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.64 1.14 -0.50
SD 1.01 1.03 1.34
CV 1.57 0.90 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—14.29%14.29%——35.71%
114.29%7.14%7.14%———28.57%
27.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
3———7.14%——7.14%
4———————
5+——7.14%———7.14%
Total28.57%14.29%35.71%21.43%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.50 +0.14
SD 2.59 1.16 2.74
CV 1.58 0.77 —
Max 10 3 +8
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———7.14%——7.14%
135.71%7.14%————42.86%
27.14%—7.14%———14.29%
37.14%7.14%————14.29%
47.14%—————7.14%
5+7.14%7.14%————14.29%
Total64.29%21.43%7.14%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.21 0.57 +1.64
SD 1.76 0.94 2.13
CV 0.80 1.64 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Zalgiris Vilnius 1614 24 23.74 +0.26 62.0% 19 20 23 24 25 26 28
Neris Vilnius 1543 21 16.77 +4.23 94.0% 10 12 15 16 19 22 24
Banga Kaunas 1482 22 16.98 +5.02 99.0% 10 13 15 17 19 21 23
Sirijus Klaipeda 1429 20 16.85 +3.15 93.0% 9 12 15 17 19 21 22
Ekranas 1367 21 17.06 +3.94 93.0% 11 12 15 17 19 22 23
Granitas Klaipeda 1240 14 13.81 +0.19 61.0% 7 10 11 14 16 19 21
Panerys 1236 14 13.27 +0.73 61.0% 5 9 10 13 16 19 21
Vilija Kaunas 1199 14 13.74 +0.26 58.0% 5 9 11 14 16 18 21
Vienybe Ukmerge 1138 10 11.36 -1.36 36.0% 4 7 9 12 13 16 18
Jovaras Mazeikiai 1132 9 10.75 -1.75 39.0% 4 7 9 10 13 15 16
Elektronas Taurage 1060 10 11.60 -1.60 31.0% 5 7 9 12 13 16 18
Inkaras Kaunas 1052 8 11.44 -3.44 15.0% 1 7 10 12 13 16 17
Sakalas Siauliai 1050 13 15.19 -2.19 24.0% 8 10 14 15 17 20 21
Tauras Siauliai 959 8 10.04 -2.04 30.0% 5 6 8 10 12 14 18
Suduva 752 2 7.40 -5.40 2.0% 0 3 6 7 9 11 14

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 3% * Slight Edge: 3% to 8% * Clear Edge: 8% to 11.5% * Strong Edge: 11.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+17.14%
Strong Edge
47.62%21.90%30.48%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 60.15 Elo pts.
219 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.54 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.27+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.23 * Comfortable: 0.23 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.1
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
94%
Zalgiris Vilnius, 1st of 15
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Tight Race
00.280.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.21 * Some Luck: 2.21 to 3.31 * Lucky: 3.31 to 4.41 * Wild Swing: 4.41 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.75 * Close: 1.75 to 2.62 * Off: 2.62 to 3.49 * Way Off: 3.49 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 15 * As Expected: 15 to 24 * Several Outliers: 24 to 33 * Many Outliers: 33 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.91 points
Some Luck
02.767
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.20
Pinpoint
02.185
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.67%
99.00%
Banga Kaunas
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.33%
2.00%
Suduva
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 15
Minimal Outliers
01.57

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.24 * Even: 0.24 to 0.25 * Top-Heavy: 0.25 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.5 * Moderate Separation: 2.5 to 2.65 * Strong Separation: 2.65 to 2.85 * Wide Separation: 2.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 77.5% * Slight Edge: 77.5% to 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 90% * Wide Edge: 90% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 96% * Clear Edge: 96% to 98% * Strong Edge: 98% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51% * Some Drama: 51% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 60% * Very Frequent: 60% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 19.5% * Occasional: 19.5% to 22.5% * Frequent: 22.5% to 27% * Very Frequent: 27% and up.
Gini Index
0.25
Even
00.240.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 231.98
1.93
Coin-Flip Parity
12.52.853.5
Interquartile Edge
90%
Clear Edge
50%77.5%86.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
99%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Very Frequent
0%53%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Rare
0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.53 * Notable Separation: 0.53 to 0.57 * Lopsided: 0.57 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.65 * Some Carryover: 0.65 to 0.72 * Strong Carryover: 0.72 to 0.81 * Near-Lock: 0.81 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14% * As Expected: 14% to 16.5% * Upset-Prone: 16.5% to 19% * Very Upset-Prone: 19% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16.5% * Very Shaky: 16.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.52
Highly Predictable
00.532
Matchup Imbalance
0.53
Notable Separation
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.14
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.44
Weak Carryover
00.650.811
Upset Rate
Expected
16%
As Expected
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Shaky Favorites
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.23 * Above Noise: 0.23 to 0.3 * Well Above Noise: 0.3 and up.
Probability calibration
0.60
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.06
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.099
Well Within Noise
00.1510.4

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

Zalgiris Vilnius 4
Ekranas 2

Leg 1: Ekranas 1-0 Zalgiris Vilnius

Leg 2: Zalgiris Vilnius 4-1 Ekranas

Sim: 11.0%

Neris Vilnius 4
Banga Kaunas 2

Leg 1: Neris Vilnius 2-1 Banga Kaunas

Leg 2: Banga Kaunas 1-2 Neris Vilnius

Sim: 2.0%

Banga Kaunas 3
Ekranas 1

Sim: 4.0%

Finals

Zalgiris Vilnius 3
Neris Vilnius 1

Sim: 11.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112131415
Zalgiris Vilnius94.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%———————————
Banga Kaunas1.00%23.00%22.00%12.00%10.00%9.00%9.00%4.00%8.00%1.00%——1.00%——
Ekranas3.00%21.00%19.00%13.00%19.00%7.00%7.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%————
Neris Vilnius2.00%18.00%13.00%16.00%14.00%12.00%8.00%8.00%4.00%3.00%—2.00%———
Sirijus Klaipeda—22.00%20.00%16.00%8.00%12.00%9.00%5.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%——1.00%—
Panerys—3.00%5.00%8.00%12.00%7.00%7.00%8.00%10.00%8.00%6.00%8.00%9.00%7.00%2.00%
Vilija Kaunas—2.00%2.00%7.00%8.00%16.00%10.00%9.00%10.00%12.00%11.00%6.00%4.00%—3.00%
Granitas Klaipeda—3.00%5.00%14.00%8.00%3.00%15.00%6.00%9.00%14.00%9.00%10.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%
Sakalas Siauliai—4.00%12.00%9.00%13.00%17.00%11.00%9.00%6.00%5.00%5.00%6.00%1.00%—2.00%
Vienybe Ukmerge———1.00%3.00%3.00%6.00%9.00%11.00%12.00%11.00%13.00%14.00%12.00%5.00%
Elektronas Taurage——1.00%—2.00%4.00%7.00%14.00%10.00%15.00%9.00%14.00%9.00%11.00%4.00%
Jovaras Mazeikiai—————4.00%6.00%8.00%9.00%9.00%13.00%15.00%12.00%17.00%7.00%
Inkaras Kaunas———2.00%2.00%6.00%1.00%12.00%12.00%10.00%17.00%9.00%13.00%11.00%5.00%
Tauras Siauliai———1.00%1.00%—3.00%4.00%3.00%7.00%12.00%14.00%21.00%25.00%9.00%
Suduva——————1.00%—1.00%—4.00%3.00%14.00%15.00%62.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Banga Kaunas 42.00% —
Ekranas — —
Neris Vilnius — —
Sakalas Siauliai — —
Sirijus Klaipeda 42.00% —
Zalgiris Vilnius — —
Granitas Klaipeda 77.00% 1.00%
Panerys 82.00% 2.00%
Vilija Kaunas 86.00% 3.00%
Elektronas Taurage 95.00% 4.00%
Inkaras Kaunas 93.00% 5.00%
Vienybe Ukmerge 94.00% 5.00%
Jovaras Mazeikiai 93.00% 7.00%
Tauras Siauliai 90.00% 9.00%
Suduva 38.00% 62.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Banga KaunasEkranasElektronas TaurageGranitas KlaipedaInkaras KaunasJovaras MazeikiaiNeris VilniusPanerysSakalas SiauliaiSirijus KlaipedaTauras SiauliaiVienybe UkmergeVilija KaunasZalgiris Vilnius
Banga Kaunas44.4%9.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%6.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%75.0%12.00%66.7%3.00%71.4%14.00%
Ekranas55.6%9.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%28.6%14.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%40.0%5.00%100.0%2.00%35.3%17.00%
Elektronas Taurage0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%
Granitas Klaipeda0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%27.3%11.00%
Inkaras Kaunas0.0%2.00%
Jovaras Mazeikiai0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%
Neris Vilnius33.3%6.00%71.4%14.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%3.00%17.6%17.00%100.0%1.00%69.2%13.00%
Panerys100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%
Sakalas Siauliai0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%14.3%7.00%15.4%13.00%
Sirijus Klaipeda25.0%12.00%60.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%82.4%17.00%85.7%7.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%40.0%15.00%
Tauras Siauliai100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Vienybe Ukmerge0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%
Vilija Kaunas33.3%3.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%6.00%
Zalgiris Vilnius28.6%14.00%64.7%17.00%100.0%2.00%72.7%11.00%100.0%2.00%30.8%13.00%100.0%3.00%84.6%13.00%60.0%15.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%6.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Banga KaunasEkranasGranitas KlaipedaNeris VilniusPanerysSakalas SiauliaiSirijus KlaipedaTauras SiauliaiVilija KaunasZalgiris Vilnius
Banga Kaunas50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%40.0%5.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%57.1%7.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%14.00%
Ekranas50.0%2.00%0.0%3.00%0.0%1.00%42.9%7.00%10.0%10.00%
Granitas Klaipeda0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Neris Vilnius60.0%5.00%100.0%3.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%47.6%21.00%
Panerys0.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%
Sakalas Siauliai0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Sirijus Klaipeda42.9%7.00%57.1%7.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%43.8%16.00%
Tauras Siauliai0.0%1.00%
Vilija Kaunas0.0%1.00%
Zalgiris Vilnius50.0%14.00%90.0%10.00%52.4%21.00%100.0%2.00%56.2%16.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Semifinals Finals
Neris Vilnius 92.50% 42.70%
Zalgiris Vilnius 63.37% 37.20%
Ekranas 36.63% 18.94%
Sakalas Siauliai 7.50% 1.16%
Loser →
↓ Winner
EkranasNeris VilniusSakalas SiauliaiZalgiris Vilnius
Ekranas36.6%100.00%
Neris Vilnius92.5%100.00%
Sakalas Siauliai7.5%100.00%
Zalgiris Vilnius63.4%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
EkranasNeris VilniusSakalas SiauliaiZalgiris Vilnius
Ekranas49.0%33.70%82.9%2.93%
Neris Vilnius51.0%33.70%43.4%58.80%
Sakalas Siauliai17.1%2.93%14.4%4.57%
Zalgiris Vilnius56.6%58.80%85.6%4.57%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1991-03-29 Sakalas Siauliai L 0-146.7 1182 1182 52.71% 21.95% 25.34%+0.27 -53.9 0
1991-03-29 @ Inkaras Kaunas W 1-046.7 1182 1182 25.34% 21.95% 52.71%-0.27 +53.9 2
1991-03-29 Granitas Klaipeda D 1-154.8 1182 1182 52.71% 21.95% 25.34%+0.27 -6.3 1
1991-03-29 @ Sirijus Klaipeda D 1-154.8 1182 1182 25.34% 21.95% 52.71%-0.27 +6.3 1
1991-03-29 Banga Kaunas L 1-349.2 1182 1182 52.71% 21.95% 25.34%+0.27 -88.0 0
1991-03-29 @ Suduva W 3-149.2 1182 1182 25.34% 21.95% 52.71%-0.27 +88.0 2
1991-03-29 Elektronas Taurage L 0-146.7 1182 1182 52.71% 21.95% 25.34%+0.27 -53.9 0
1991-03-29 @ Vienybe Ukmerge W 1-046.7 1182 1182 25.34% 21.95% 52.71%-0.27 +53.9 2
1991-03-29 Jovaras Mazeikiai W 3-139.1 1700 1182 78.14% 20.22% 1.64%+2.64 +3.7 2
1991-03-29 @ Zalgiris Vilnius L 1-339.1 1182 1700 1.64% 20.22% 78.14%-2.64 -3.7 0
1991-03-30 Tauras Siauliai W 4-033.1 1182 1182 52.71% 21.95% 25.34%+0.27 +105.5 2
1991-03-30 @ Panerys L 0-433.1 1182 1182 25.34% 21.95% 52.71%-0.27 -105.5 0
1991-03-30 Neris Vilnius D 1-154.8 1182 1182 52.71% 21.95% 25.34%+0.27 -6.3 1
1991-03-30 @ Vilija Kaunas D 1-154.8 1182 1182 25.34% 21.95% 52.71%-0.27 +6.3 1
1991-04-06 Panerys W 1-042.5 1189 1288 39.79% 21.98% 38.23%-0.18 +41.1 3
1991-04-06 @ Granitas Klaipeda L 0-142.5 1288 1189 38.23% 21.98% 39.79%+0.18 -41.0 2
1991-04-06 Zalgiris Vilnius L 0-137.9 1182 1704 5.12% 20.92% 73.96%-2.11 -6.9 0
1991-04-06 @ Ekranas W 1-037.9 1704 1182 73.96% 20.92% 5.12%+2.11 +6.9 4
1991-04-06 Vienybe Ukmerge W 1-034.6 1270 1128 65.60% 21.74% 12.66%+0.92 +16.2 4
1991-04-06 @ Banga Kaunas L 0-134.6 1128 1270 12.66% 21.74% 65.60%-0.92 -16.2 0
1991-04-06 Vilija Kaunas W 2-034.0 1236 1176 59.01% 21.89% 19.10%+0.55 +43.9 4
1991-04-06 @ Sakalas Siauliai L 0-234.0 1176 1236 19.10% 21.89% 59.01%-0.55 -43.9 1
1991-04-06 Sirijus Klaipeda L 1-349.3 1179 1176 53.01% 21.95% 25.04%+0.29 -88.5 0
1991-04-06 @ Jovaras Mazeikiai W 3-149.3 1176 1179 25.04% 21.95% 53.01%-0.29 +88.5 3
1991-04-06 Suduva D 0-050.1 1189 1094 62.03% 21.84% 16.14%+0.71 -12.4 2
1991-04-06 @ Neris Vilnius D 0-050.1 1094 1189 16.14% 21.84% 62.03%-0.71 +12.5 1
1991-04-07 Inkaras Kaunas W 1-040.2 1077 1128 46.33% 21.98% 31.69%+0.04 +35.4 2
1991-04-07 @ Tauras Siauliai L 0-140.2 1128 1077 31.69% 21.98% 46.33%-0.04 -35.4 0
1991-04-13 Ekranas D 2-260.1 1264 1175 61.59% 21.85% 16.56%+0.68 -8.1 4
1991-04-13 @ Sirijus Klaipeda D 2-260.1 1175 1264 16.56% 21.85% 61.59%-0.68 +8.1 1
1991-04-13 Jovaras Mazeikiai W 1-034.3 1247 1090 66.57% 21.71% 11.72%+0.99 +15.2 4
1991-04-13 @ Panerys L 0-134.3 1090 1247 11.72% 21.71% 66.57%-0.99 -15.2 0
1991-04-13 Sakalas Siauliai L 0-139.8 1107 1280 29.70% 21.92% 48.38%-0.52 -33.6 1
1991-04-13 @ Suduva W 1-039.8 1280 1107 48.38% 21.92% 29.70%+0.52 +33.6 6
1991-04-13 Banga Kaunas L 0-145.2 1236 1287 46.50% 21.98% 31.52%+0.04 -48.2 2
1991-04-13 @ Elektronas Taurage W 1-045.2 1287 1236 31.52% 21.98% 46.50%-0.04 +48.2 6
1991-04-13 Neris Vilnius D 1-154.7 1112 1176 44.69% 21.98% 33.33%-0.02 -2.5 1
1991-04-13 @ Vienybe Ukmerge D 1-154.7 1176 1112 33.33% 21.98% 44.69%+0.02 +2.5 3
1991-04-13 Tauras Siauliai W 2-142.9 1132 1112 54.94% 21.94% 23.12%+0.37 +25.8 3
1991-04-13 @ Vilija Kaunas L 1-242.9 1112 1132 23.12% 21.94% 54.94%-0.37 -25.8 2
1991-04-14 Granitas Klaipeda D 0-050.1 1093 1230 34.53% 21.96% 43.51%-0.35 +2.2 1
1991-04-14 @ Inkaras Kaunas D 0-050.1 1230 1093 43.51% 21.96% 34.53%+0.35 -2.2 4
1991-04-20 Vilija Kaunas L 0-148.8 1227 1158 59.88% 21.88% 18.25%+0.59 -61.0 4
1991-04-20 @ Granitas Klaipeda W 1-048.8 1158 1227 18.25% 21.88% 59.88%-0.59 +61.0 5
1991-04-20 Panerys W 2-039.0 1183 1262 42.71% 21.98% 35.31%-0.08 +72.7 3
1991-04-20 @ Ekranas L 0-239.0 1262 1183 35.31% 21.98% 42.71%+0.08 -72.7 4
1991-04-20 Vienybe Ukmerge W 4-133.5 1314 1110 69.29% 21.58% 9.13%+1.21 +27.9 8
1991-04-20 @ Sakalas Siauliai L 1-433.5 1110 1314 9.13% 21.58% 69.29%-1.21 -27.9 1
1991-04-20 Inkaras Kaunas L 0-145.8 1075 1095 50.31% 21.97% 27.72%+0.18 -51.6 0
1991-04-20 @ Jovaras Mazeikiai W 1-045.8 1095 1075 27.72% 21.97% 50.31%-0.18 +51.6 3
1991-04-20 Elektronas Taurage W 1-038.8 1179 1188 51.61% 21.96% 26.43%+0.23 +30.5 5
1991-04-20 @ Neris Vilnius L 0-138.8 1188 1179 26.43% 21.96% 51.61%-0.23 -30.5 2
1991-04-20 Sirijus Klaipeda W 1-039.7 1711 1256 77.11% 20.57% 2.32%+2.35 +3.2 6
1991-04-20 @ Zalgiris Vilnius L 0-139.7 1256 1711 2.32% 20.57% 77.11%-2.35 -3.2 4
1991-04-21 Suduva W 2-035.3 1086 1073 54.19% 21.94% 23.86%+0.33 +52.9 4
1991-04-21 @ Tauras Siauliai L 0-235.3 1073 1086 23.86% 21.94% 54.19%-0.33 -52.9 1
1991-04-27 Neris Vilnius L 1-353.2 1335 1209 64.45% 21.78% 13.77%+0.85 -107.6 6
1991-04-27 @ Banga Kaunas W 3-153.2 1209 1335 13.77% 21.78% 64.45%-0.85 +107.6 7
1991-04-27 Ekranas L 0-142.4 1147 1256 38.35% 21.97% 39.68%-0.22 -41.1 3
1991-04-27 @ Inkaras Kaunas W 1-042.4 1256 1147 39.68% 21.97% 38.35%+0.22 +41.1 5
1991-04-27 Zalgiris Vilnius L 0-138.4 1189 1714 5.04% 20.90% 74.06%-2.12 -6.8 4
1991-04-27 @ Panerys W 1-038.4 1714 1189 74.06% 20.90% 5.04%+2.12 +6.8 8
1991-04-27 Granitas Klaipeda L 1-440.6 1020 1166 33.24% 21.95% 44.81%-0.39 -84.9 1
1991-04-27 @ Suduva W 4-140.6 1166 1020 44.81% 21.95% 33.24%+0.39 +84.8 6
1991-04-27 Sakalas Siauliai D 0-050.4 1157 1342 28.37% 21.91% 49.72%-0.57 +5.4 3
1991-04-27 @ Elektronas Taurage D 0-050.4 1342 1157 49.72% 21.91% 28.37%+0.57 -5.4 9
1991-04-27 Tauras Siauliai W 2-145.7 1082 1139 45.56% 21.98% 32.46%+0.01 +34.0 3
1991-04-27 @ Vienybe Ukmerge L 1-245.7 1139 1082 32.46% 21.98% 45.56%-0.01 -34.0 4
1991-04-27 Jovaras Mazeikiai W 1-033.5 1219 1023 68.85% 21.61% 9.55%+1.17 +12.6 7
1991-04-27 @ Vilija Kaunas L 0-133.5 1023 1219 9.55% 21.61% 68.85%-1.17 -12.6 0
1991-05-03 Vilija Kaunas W 2-142.0 1297 1231 59.54% 21.88% 18.58%+0.58 +21.4 7
1991-05-03 @ Ekranas L 1-242.0 1231 1297 18.58% 21.88% 59.54%-0.58 -21.4 7
1991-05-03 Elektronas Taurage W 2-145.7 1105 1163 45.54% 21.98% 32.48%+0.01 +34.0 6
1991-05-03 @ Tauras Siauliai L 1-245.7 1163 1105 32.48% 21.98% 45.54%-0.01 -34.0 3
1991-05-03 Panerys D 1-154.9 1253 1182 59.98% 21.87% 18.14%+0.60 -10.0 5
1991-05-03 @ Sirijus Klaipeda D 1-154.9 1182 1253 18.14% 21.87% 59.98%-0.60 +10.0 5
1991-05-03 Banga Kaunas D 0-050.7 1336 1227 63.21% 21.81% 14.99%+0.77 -13.2 10
1991-05-03 @ Sakalas Siauliai D 0-050.7 1227 1336 14.99% 21.81% 63.21%-0.77 +13.2 7
1991-05-03 Suduva W 2-033.4 1011 935 60.40% 21.87% 17.73%+0.62 +41.2 2
1991-05-03 @ Jovaras Mazeikiai L 0-233.4 935 1011 17.73% 21.87% 60.40%-0.62 -41.2 1
1991-05-03 Inkaras Kaunas W 1-034.5 1721 1106 79.40% 19.64% 0.96%+3.09 +1.3 10
1991-05-03 @ Zalgiris Vilnius L 0-134.5 1106 1721 0.96% 19.64% 79.40%-3.09 -1.3 3
1991-05-04 Vienybe Ukmerge W 1-034.7 1251 1116 65.16% 21.76% 13.08%+0.89 +16.7 8
1991-05-04 @ Granitas Klaipeda L 0-134.7 1116 1251 13.08% 21.76% 65.16%-0.89 -16.7 3
1991-05-11 Tauras Siauliai W 3-031.0 1240 1139 62.57% 21.82% 15.60%+0.74 +53.5 9
1991-05-11 @ Banga Kaunas L 0-331.0 1139 1240 15.60% 21.82% 62.57%-0.74 -53.5 6
1991-05-11 Sirijus Klaipeda L 0-141.1 1104 1243 34.25% 21.95% 43.80%-0.36 -37.6 3
1991-05-11 @ Inkaras Kaunas W 1-041.1 1243 1104 43.80% 21.95% 34.25%+0.36 +37.6 7
1991-05-11 Sakalas Siauliai W 1-039.7 1317 1323 51.99% 21.96% 26.05%+0.25 +30.2 9
1991-05-11 @ Neris Vilnius L 0-139.7 1323 1317 26.05% 21.96% 51.99%-0.25 -30.2 10
1991-05-11 Ekranas L 0-230.6 894 1319 8.65% 21.32% 70.03%-1.66 -21.5 1
1991-05-11 @ Suduva W 2-030.6 1319 894 70.03% 21.32% 8.65%+1.66 +21.5 9
1991-05-11 Granitas Klaipeda W 2-041.5 1129 1268 34.19% 21.95% 43.86%-0.36 +86.4 5
1991-05-11 @ Elektronas Taurage L 0-241.5 1268 1129 43.86% 21.95% 34.19%+0.36 -86.4 8
1991-05-11 Jovaras Mazeikiai W 2-142.0 1099 1052 57.75% 21.91% 20.35%+0.49 +23.2 5
1991-05-11 @ Vienybe Ukmerge L 1-242.0 1052 1099 20.35% 21.91% 57.75%-0.49 -23.2 2
1991-05-12 Zalgiris Vilnius L 0-335.0 1210 1722 5.40% 20.96% 73.64%-2.06 -20.0 7
1991-05-12 @ Vilija Kaunas W 3-035.0 1722 1210 73.64% 20.96% 5.40%+2.06 +20.0 12
1991-05-15 Panerys D 1-155.1 1293 1192 62.51% 21.83% 15.66%+0.73 -11.4 11
1991-05-15 @ Sakalas Siauliai D 1-155.1 1192 1293 15.66% 21.83% 62.51%-0.73 +11.4 6
1991-05-17 Banga Kaunas L 1-345.0 1182 1294 37.93% 21.97% 40.10%-0.24 -66.6 8
1991-05-17 @ Granitas Klaipeda W 3-145.0 1294 1182 40.10% 21.97% 37.93%+0.24 +66.6 11
1991-05-17 Vienybe Ukmerge W 2-030.9 1340 1122 69.99% 21.54% 8.47%+1.27 +21.2 11
1991-05-17 @ Ekranas L 0-230.9 1122 1340 8.47% 21.54% 69.99%-1.27 -21.2 5
1991-05-17 Neris Vilnius D 0-050.3 1086 1347 19.94% 21.78% 58.28%-0.92 +10.2 7
1991-05-17 @ Tauras Siauliai D 0-050.3 1347 1086 58.28% 21.78% 19.94%+0.92 -10.2 10
1991-05-17 Elektronas Taurage W 3-148.3 1029 1215 28.07% 21.91% 50.02%-0.58 +83.8 4
1991-05-17 @ Jovaras Mazeikiai L 1-348.3 1215 1029 50.02% 21.91% 28.07%+0.58 -83.8 5
1991-05-17 Suduva W 5-025.1 1742 873 81.92% 17.84% 0.24%+4.25 +1.3 14
1991-05-17 @ Zalgiris Vilnius L 0-525.1 873 1742 0.24% 17.84% 81.92%-4.25 -1.3 1
1991-05-18 Vilija Kaunas W 3-031.5 1281 1190 61.72% 21.84% 16.44%+0.69 +56.0 9
1991-05-18 @ Sirijus Klaipeda L 0-331.5 1190 1281 16.44% 21.84% 61.72%-0.69 -56.0 7
1991-05-18 Inkaras Kaunas W 1-034.6 1204 1067 65.27% 21.75% 12.98%+0.90 +16.6 8
1991-05-18 @ Panerys L 0-134.6 1067 1204 12.98% 21.75% 65.27%-0.90 -16.6 3
1991-05-21 Tauras Siauliai W 1-033.8 1281 1096 68.29% 21.63% 10.08%+1.12 +13.2 13
1991-05-21 @ Sakalas Siauliai L 0-133.8 1096 1281 10.08% 21.63% 68.29%-1.12 -13.2 7
1991-05-21 Granitas Klaipeda W 1-033.4 1337 1115 70.17% 21.53% 8.30%+1.29 +11.0 12
1991-05-21 @ Neris Vilnius L 0-133.4 1115 1337 8.30% 21.53% 70.17%-1.29 -11.0 8
1991-05-21 Sirijus Klaipeda L 0-132.6 871 1337 6.95% 21.16% 71.89%-1.85 -9.3 1
1991-05-21 @ Suduva W 1-032.6 1337 871 71.89% 21.16% 6.95%+1.85 +9.3 11
1991-05-21 Ekranas L 0-235.4 1131 1362 23.08% 21.84% 55.07%-0.78 -51.4 5
1991-05-21 @ Elektronas Taurage W 2-035.4 1362 1131 55.07% 21.84% 23.08%+0.78 +51.4 13
1991-05-21 Zalgiris Vilnius L 0-233.1 1101 1744 2.65% 20.31% 77.05%-2.66 -6.8 5
1991-05-21 @ Vienybe Ukmerge W 2-033.1 1744 1101 77.05% 20.31% 2.65%+2.66 +6.8 16
1991-05-21 Panerys W 2-039.2 1134 1220 41.61% 21.98% 36.41%-0.12 +74.5 9
1991-05-21 @ Vilija Kaunas L 0-239.2 1220 1134 36.41% 21.98% 41.61%+0.12 -74.5 8
1991-05-22 Jovaras Mazeikiai D 1-155.1 1360 1113 71.34% 21.45% 7.21%+1.41 -16.5 12
1991-05-22 @ Banga Kaunas D 1-155.1 1113 1360 7.21% 21.45% 71.34%-1.41 +16.5 5
1991-05-31 Sakalas Siauliai W 3-041.5 1104 1295 27.57% 21.90% 50.53%-0.60 +141.9 10
1991-05-31 @ Granitas Klaipeda L 0-341.5 1295 1104 50.53% 21.90% 27.57%+0.60 -141.9 13
1991-05-31 Banga Kaunas L 1-353.9 1413 1344 59.83% 21.88% 18.29%+0.59 -99.5 13
1991-05-31 @ Ekranas W 3-153.9 1344 1413 18.29% 21.88% 59.83%-0.59 +99.6 14
1991-05-31 Vilija Kaunas D 3-363.2 1050 1209 31.62% 21.94% 46.44%-0.45 +2.0 4
1991-05-31 @ Inkaras Kaunas D 3-363.2 1209 1050 46.44% 21.94% 31.62%+0.45 -2.0 10
1991-05-31 Neris Vilnius L 0-138.3 1129 1348 24.32% 21.86% 53.81%-0.72 -28.5 5
1991-05-31 @ Jovaras Mazeikiai W 1-038.3 1348 1129 53.81% 21.86% 24.32%+0.72 +28.5 14
1991-05-31 Elektronas Taurage W 6-131.3 1750 1080 80.01% 19.28% 0.71%+3.34 +3.5 18
1991-05-31 @ Zalgiris Vilnius L 1-631.3 1080 1750 0.71% 19.28% 80.01%-3.34 -3.5 5
1991-06-01 Vienybe Ukmerge W 1-032.9 1346 1094 71.51% 21.43% 7.06%+1.43 +9.5 13
1991-06-01 @ Sirijus Klaipeda L 0-132.9 1094 1346 7.06% 21.43% 71.51%-1.43 -9.5 5
1991-06-01 Suduva W 8-027.6 1146 862 72.75% 21.32% 5.93%+1.57 +55.4 10
1991-06-01 @ Panerys L 0-827.6 862 1146 5.93% 21.32% 72.75%-1.57 -55.4 1
1991-06-06 Granitas Klaipeda L 0-140.1 1083 1246 31.01% 21.93% 47.06%-0.47 -34.8 7
1991-06-06 @ Tauras Siauliai W 1-040.1 1246 1083 47.06% 21.93% 31.01%+0.47 +34.8 12
1991-06-07 Zalgiris Vilnius D 1-171.0 1443 1754 15.66% 21.67% 62.67%-1.14 +11.4 15
1991-06-07 @ Banga Kaunas D 1-171.0 1754 1443 62.67% 21.67% 15.66%+1.14 -11.4 19
1991-06-07 Jovaras Mazeikiai L 1-253.4 1153 1101 58.23% 21.90% 19.87%+0.51 -55.9 13
1991-06-07 @ Sakalas Siauliai W 2-153.4 1101 1153 19.87% 21.90% 58.23%-0.51 +55.9 7
1991-06-07 Ekranas W 1-038.1 1376 1313 59.27% 21.89% 18.85%+0.56 +23.0 16
1991-06-07 @ Neris Vilnius L 0-138.1 1313 1376 18.85% 21.89% 59.27%-0.56 -23.0 13
1991-06-07 Inkaras Kaunas L 0-137.1 807 1052 21.47% 21.81% 56.71%-0.85 -25.7 1
1991-06-07 @ Suduva W 1-037.1 1052 807 56.71% 21.81% 21.47%+0.85 +25.7 6
1991-06-07 Panerys W 3-145.6 1085 1201 37.30% 21.97% 40.73%-0.26 +70.4 7
1991-06-07 @ Vienybe Ukmerge L 1-345.6 1201 1085 40.73% 21.97% 37.30%+0.26 -70.5 10
1991-06-10 Elektronas Taurage W 2-034.0 1131 1077 58.46% 21.90% 19.64%+0.52 +45.0 12
1991-06-10 @ Panerys L 0-234.0 1077 1131 19.64% 21.90% 58.46%-0.52 -44.9 5
1991-06-10 Suduva W 10-227.3 1207 781 76.56% 20.71% 2.73%+2.22 +17.4 12
1991-06-10 @ Vilija Kaunas L 2-1027.3 781 1207 2.73% 20.71% 76.56%-2.22 -17.4 1
1991-06-11 Sakalas Siauliai W 3-136.2 1290 1097 68.74% 21.61% 9.65%+1.16 +20.7 15
1991-06-11 @ Ekranas L 1-336.2 1097 1290 9.65% 21.61% 68.74%-1.16 -20.7 13
1991-06-11 Vienybe Ukmerge D 0-050.0 1078 1155 42.88% 21.98% 35.14%-0.08 -1.9 7
1991-06-11 @ Inkaras Kaunas D 0-050.0 1155 1078 35.14% 21.98% 42.88%+0.08 +1.9 8
1991-06-11 Banga Kaunas L 1-251.7 1356 1455 39.77% 21.98% 38.25%-0.18 -39.9 13
1991-06-11 @ Sirijus Klaipeda W 2-151.7 1455 1356 38.25% 21.98% 39.77%+0.18 +39.9 17
1991-06-11 Tauras Siauliai D 1-154.7 1157 1048 63.18% 21.81% 15.01%+0.77 -11.8 8
1991-06-11 @ Jovaras Mazeikiai D 1-154.7 1048 1157 15.01% 21.81% 63.18%-0.77 +11.8 8
1991-06-11 Neris Vilnius L 0-363.2 1742 1399 74.62% 21.09% 4.29%+1.84 -212.3 19
1991-06-11 @ Zalgiris Vilnius W 3-063.2 1399 1742 4.29% 21.09% 74.62%-1.84 +212.2 18
1991-06-14 Jovaras Mazeikiai D 1-154.9 1281 1145 65.18% 21.75% 13.07%+0.89 -12.9 13
1991-06-14 @ Granitas Klaipeda D 1-154.9 1145 1281 13.07% 21.75% 65.18%-0.89 +12.9 9
1991-06-14 Panerys W 2-030.9 1495 1176 73.91% 21.19% 4.90%+1.73 +12.6 19
1991-06-14 @ Banga Kaunas L 0-230.9 1176 1495 4.90% 21.19% 73.91%-1.73 -12.6 12
1991-06-14 Zalgiris Vilnius L 0-133.7 1076 1530 7.39% 21.20% 71.41%-1.80 -9.8 13
1991-06-14 @ Sakalas Siauliai W 1-033.7 1530 1076 71.41% 21.20% 7.39%+1.80 +9.8 21
1991-06-14 Sirijus Klaipeda D 1-162.1 1612 1316 73.17% 21.28% 5.55%+1.63 -17.6 19
1991-06-14 @ Neris Vilnius D 1-162.1 1316 1612 5.55% 21.28% 73.17%-1.63 +17.6 14
1991-06-14 Inkaras Kaunas W 2-145.2 1032 1076 47.27% 21.98% 30.75%+0.07 +32.6 7
1991-06-14 @ Elektronas Taurage L 1-245.2 1076 1032 30.75% 21.98% 47.27%-0.07 -32.6 7
1991-06-14 Vilija Kaunas D 0-050.1 1157 1224 44.30% 21.98% 33.72%-0.03 -2.6 9
1991-06-14 @ Vienybe Ukmerge D 0-050.1 1224 1157 33.72% 21.98% 44.30%+0.03 +2.6 13
1991-06-15 Ekranas L 1-437.0 1060 1311 20.89% 21.80% 57.30%-0.87 -57.9 8
1991-06-15 @ Tauras Siauliai W 4-137.0 1311 1060 57.30% 21.80% 20.89%+0.87 +57.9 17
1991-06-18 Sirijus Klaipeda L 0-234.0 1064 1333 19.19% 21.77% 59.04%-0.95 -44.0 7
1991-06-18 @ Elektronas Taurage W 2-034.0 1333 1064 59.04% 21.77% 19.19%+0.95 +44.0 16
1991-06-20 Banga Kaunas D 1-155.5 1043 1507 7.00% 21.17% 71.83%-1.84 +16.7 8
1991-06-20 @ Inkaras Kaunas D 1-155.5 1507 1043 71.83% 21.17% 7.00%+1.84 -16.7 20
1991-06-20 Neris Vilnius W 1-054.4 1163 1594 8.37% 21.29% 70.33%-1.69 +72.3 14
1991-06-20 @ Panerys L 0-154.4 1594 1163 70.33% 21.29% 8.37%+1.69 -72.3 19
1991-06-21 Granitas Klaipeda W 2-034.0 1369 1268 62.60% 21.82% 15.58%+0.74 +36.8 19
1991-06-21 @ Ekranas L 0-234.0 1268 1369 15.58% 21.82% 62.60%-0.74 -36.8 13
1991-06-21 Sakalas Siauliai W 4-132.2 1377 1066 73.67% 21.22% 5.12%+1.70 +16.1 18
1991-06-21 @ Sirijus Klaipeda L 1-432.2 1066 1377 5.12% 21.22% 73.67%-1.70 -16.1 13
1991-06-21 Vienybe Ukmerge D 0-050.1 764 1154 10.34% 21.44% 68.22%-1.51 +16.3 2
1991-06-21 @ Suduva D 0-050.1 1154 764 68.22% 21.44% 10.34%+1.51 -16.3 10
1991-06-21 Elektronas Taurage D 2-259.9 1227 1020 69.41% 21.58% 9.01%+1.22 -11.5 14
1991-06-21 @ Vilija Kaunas D 2-259.9 1020 1227 9.01% 21.58% 69.41%-1.22 +11.5 8
1991-06-21 Tauras Siauliai W 4-025.8 1540 1002 78.43% 20.11% 1.47%+2.73 +7.2 23
1991-06-21 @ Zalgiris Vilnius L 0-425.8 1002 1540 1.47% 20.11% 78.43%-2.73 -7.2 8
1991-06-24 Zalgiris Vilnius D 2-263.0 1231 1547 15.20% 21.66% 63.15%-1.17 +8.7 14
1991-06-24 @ Granitas Klaipeda D 2-263.0 1547 1231 63.15% 21.66% 15.20%+1.17 -8.7 24
1991-06-24 Vilija Kaunas W 2-031.8 1491 1215 72.45% 21.35% 6.20%+1.53 +15.8 22
1991-06-24 @ Banga Kaunas L 0-231.8 1215 1491 6.20% 21.35% 72.45%-1.53 -15.8 14
1991-06-24 Ekranas L 0-137.7 1158 1406 21.22% 21.81% 56.97%-0.86 -25.4 9
1991-06-24 @ Jovaras Mazeikiai W 1-037.7 1406 1158 56.97% 21.81% 21.22%+0.86 +25.4 21
1991-06-24 Inkaras Kaunas W 3-027.3 1522 1060 77.23% 20.53% 2.24%+2.38 +8.4 21
1991-06-24 @ Neris Vilnius L 0-327.3 1060 1522 2.24% 20.53% 77.23%-2.38 -8.5 8
1991-06-24 Suduva W 5-130.7 1032 780 71.50% 21.43% 7.06%+1.42 +28.3 10
1991-06-24 @ Elektronas Taurage L 1-530.7 780 1032 7.06% 21.43% 71.50%-1.42 -28.3 2
1991-06-25 Sirijus Klaipeda L 0-329.2 995 1393 9.92% 21.41% 68.67%-1.55 -35.5 8
1991-06-25 @ Tauras Siauliai W 3-029.2 1393 995 68.67% 21.41% 9.92%+1.55 +35.5 20

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
1991-06-28 Zalgiris Vilnius W 1-051.4 1431 1538 38.64% 21.97% 39.38%-0.22 +42.0 1-0
1991-06-28 @ Ekranas L 0-151.4 1538 1431 39.38% 21.97% 38.64%+0.22 -42.0 0-1
1991-06-28 Banga Kaunas W 2-154.1 1530 1507 55.32% 21.93% 22.75%+0.38 +25.4 1-0
1991-06-28 @ Neris Vilnius L 1-254.1 1507 1530 22.75% 21.93% 55.32%-0.38 -25.4 0-1
1991-07-02 Neris Vilnius L 1-260.3 1481 1556 43.28% 21.98% 34.74%-0.06 -42.7 0-2
1991-07-02 @ Banga Kaunas W 2-160.3 1556 1481 34.74% 21.98% 43.28%+0.06 +42.7 2-0
1991-07-02 Ekranas W 4-146.3 1496 1473 55.29% 21.93% 22.78%+0.38 +62.4 1-1
1991-07-02 @ Zalgiris Vilnius L 1-446.3 1473 1496 22.78% 21.93% 55.29%-0.38 -62.4 1-1
1991-07-06 Ekranas W 3-144.8 1438 1411 55.75% 21.93% 22.32%+0.40 +43.3 1-2
1991-07-06 @ Banga Kaunas L 1-344.8 1411 1438 22.32% 21.93% 55.75%-0.40 -43.4 1-2
1991-07-07 Neris Vilnius W 3-157.6 1559 1598 47.91% 21.98% 30.11%+0.09 +55.5 2-1
1991-07-07 @ Zalgiris Vilnius L 1-357.6 1598 1559 30.11% 21.98% 47.91%-0.09 -55.5 2-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1991-06-11 4.29% Neris Vilnius 1399 3 @ Zalgiris Vilnius 1742 0
2 1991-06-20 8.37% @ Panerys 1163 1 Neris Vilnius 1594 0
3 1991-04-27 13.77% Neris Vilnius 1209 3 @ Banga Kaunas 1335 1
4 1991-04-20 18.25% Vilija Kaunas 1158 1 @ Granitas Klaipeda 1227 0
5 1991-05-31 18.29% Banga Kaunas 1344 3 @ Ekranas 1413 1
6 1991-06-07 19.87% Jovaras Mazeikiai 1101 2 @ Sakalas Siauliai 1153 1
7 1991-04-06 25.04% Sirijus Klaipeda 1176 3 @ Jovaras Mazeikiai 1179 1
8 1991-03-29 25.34% Sakalas Siauliai 1182 1 @ Inkaras Kaunas 1182 0
9 1991-03-29 25.34% Banga Kaunas 1182 3 @ Suduva 1182 1
10 1991-03-29 25.34% Elektronas Taurage 1182 1 @ Vienybe Ukmerge 1182 0
11 1991-05-31 27.57% @ Granitas Klaipeda 1104 3 Sakalas Siauliai 1295 0
12 1991-04-20 27.72% Inkaras Kaunas 1095 1 @ Jovaras Mazeikiai 1075 0
13 1991-05-17 28.07% @ Jovaras Mazeikiai 1029 3 Elektronas Taurage 1215 1
14 1991-04-13 31.52% Banga Kaunas 1287 1 @ Elektronas Taurage 1236 0
15 1991-05-11 34.19% @ Elektronas Taurage 1129 2 Granitas Klaipeda 1268 0
16 1991-07-02 * 34.74% Neris Vilnius 1556 2 @ Banga Kaunas 1481 1
17 1991-06-07 37.30% @ Vienybe Ukmerge 1085 3 Panerys 1201 1
18 1991-06-11 38.25% Banga Kaunas 1455 2 @ Sirijus Klaipeda 1356 1
19 1991-06-28 * 38.64% @ Ekranas 1431 1 Zalgiris Vilnius 1538 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1991-06-11 212.26 Neris Vilnius 3 1399 4.29% @ Zalgiris Vilnius 0 1742 74.62% 21.09%
2 1991-05-31 141.88 @ Granitas Klaipeda 3 1104 27.57% Sakalas Siauliai 0 1295 50.53% 21.90%
3 1991-04-27 107.59 Neris Vilnius 3 1209 13.77% @ Banga Kaunas 1 1335 64.45% 21.78%
4 1991-03-30 105.55 @ Panerys 4 1182 52.71% Tauras Siauliai 0 1182 25.34% 21.95%
5 1991-05-31 99.56 Banga Kaunas 3 1344 18.29% @ Ekranas 1 1413 59.83% 21.88%
6 1991-04-06 88.47 Sirijus Klaipeda 3 1176 25.04% @ Jovaras Mazeikiai 1 1179 53.01% 21.95%
7 1991-03-29 88.01 Banga Kaunas 3 1182 25.34% @ Suduva 1 1182 52.71% 21.95%
8 1991-05-11 86.40 @ Elektronas Taurage 2 1129 34.19% Granitas Klaipeda 0 1268 43.86% 21.95%
9 1991-04-27 84.85 Granitas Klaipeda 4 1166 44.81% @ Suduva 1 1020 33.24% 21.95%
10 1991-05-17 83.83 @ Jovaras Mazeikiai 3 1029 28.07% Elektronas Taurage 1 1215 50.02% 21.91%
11 1991-05-21 74.49 @ Vilija Kaunas 2 1134 41.61% Panerys 0 1220 36.41% 21.98%
12 1991-04-20 72.71 @ Ekranas 2 1183 42.71% Panerys 0 1262 35.31% 21.98%
13 1991-06-20 72.32 @ Panerys 1 1163 8.37% Neris Vilnius 0 1594 70.33% 21.29%
14 1991-06-07 70.45 @ Vienybe Ukmerge 3 1085 37.30% Panerys 1 1201 40.73% 21.97%
15 1991-05-17 66.61 Banga Kaunas 3 1294 40.10% @ Granitas Klaipeda 1 1182 37.93% 21.97%
16 1991-07-02 * 62.37 @ Zalgiris Vilnius 4 1496 55.29% Ekranas 1 1473 22.78% 21.93%
17 1991-04-20 61.01 Vilija Kaunas 1 1158 18.25% @ Granitas Klaipeda 0 1227 59.88% 21.88%
18 1991-06-15 57.90 Ekranas 4 1311 57.30% @ Tauras Siauliai 1 1060 20.89% 21.80%
19 1991-05-18 56.00 @ Sirijus Klaipeda 3 1281 61.72% Vilija Kaunas 0 1190 16.44% 21.84%
20 1991-06-07 55.93 Jovaras Mazeikiai 2 1101 19.87% @ Sakalas Siauliai 1 1153 58.23% 21.90%
21 1991-07-07 * 55.45 @ Zalgiris Vilnius 3 1559 47.91% Neris Vilnius 1 1598 30.11% 21.98%
22 1991-06-01 55.40 @ Panerys 8 1146 72.75% Suduva 0 862 5.93% 21.32%
23 1991-03-29 53.89 Sakalas Siauliai 1 1182 25.34% @ Inkaras Kaunas 0 1182 52.71% 21.95%
24 1991-03-29 53.89 Elektronas Taurage 1 1182 25.34% @ Vienybe Ukmerge 0 1182 52.71% 21.95%
25 1991-05-11 53.52 @ Banga Kaunas 3 1240 62.57% Tauras Siauliai 0 1139 15.60% 21.82%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1991-06-07 71.0 @ Banga Kaunas 1 1443 15.66% Zalgiris Vilnius 1 1754 62.67% 21.67%
2 1991-05-31 63.2 @ Inkaras Kaunas 3 1050 31.62% Vilija Kaunas 3 1209 46.44% 21.94%
3 1991-06-11 63.2 Neris Vilnius 3 1399 4.29% @ Zalgiris Vilnius 0 1742 74.62% 21.09%
4 1991-06-24 63.0 @ Granitas Klaipeda 2 1231 15.20% Zalgiris Vilnius 2 1547 63.15% 21.66%
5 1991-06-14 62.1 @ Neris Vilnius 1 1612 73.17% Sirijus Klaipeda 1 1316 5.55% 21.28%
6 1991-07-02 * 60.3 Neris Vilnius 2 1556 34.74% @ Banga Kaunas 1 1481 43.28% 21.98%
7 1991-04-13 60.1 @ Sirijus Klaipeda 2 1264 61.59% Ekranas 2 1175 16.56% 21.85%
8 1991-06-21 59.9 @ Vilija Kaunas 2 1227 69.41% Elektronas Taurage 2 1020 9.01% 21.58%
9 1991-07-07 * 57.6 @ Zalgiris Vilnius 3 1559 47.91% Neris Vilnius 1 1598 30.11% 21.98%
10 1991-06-20 55.5 @ Inkaras Kaunas 1 1043 7.00% Banga Kaunas 1 1507 71.83% 21.17%
11 1991-05-15 55.1 @ Sakalas Siauliai 1 1293 62.51% Panerys 1 1192 15.66% 21.83%
12 1991-05-22 55.1 @ Banga Kaunas 1 1360 71.34% Jovaras Mazeikiai 1 1113 7.21% 21.45%
13 1991-05-03 54.9 @ Sirijus Klaipeda 1 1253 59.98% Panerys 1 1182 18.14% 21.87%
14 1991-06-14 54.9 @ Granitas Klaipeda 1 1281 65.18% Jovaras Mazeikiai 1 1145 13.07% 21.75%
15 1991-03-29 54.8 @ Sirijus Klaipeda 1 1182 52.71% Granitas Klaipeda 1 1182 25.34% 21.95%
16 1991-03-30 54.8 @ Vilija Kaunas 1 1182 52.71% Neris Vilnius 1 1182 25.34% 21.95%
17 1991-04-13 54.7 @ Vienybe Ukmerge 1 1112 44.69% Neris Vilnius 1 1176 33.33% 21.98%
18 1991-06-11 54.7 @ Jovaras Mazeikiai 1 1157 63.18% Tauras Siauliai 1 1048 15.01% 21.81%
19 1991-06-20 54.4 @ Panerys 1 1163 8.37% Neris Vilnius 0 1594 70.33% 21.29%
20 1991-06-28 * 54.1 @ Neris Vilnius 2 1530 55.32% Banga Kaunas 1 1507 22.75% 21.93%
21 1991-05-31 53.9 Banga Kaunas 3 1344 18.29% @ Ekranas 1 1413 59.83% 21.88%
22 1991-06-07 53.4 Jovaras Mazeikiai 2 1101 19.87% @ Sakalas Siauliai 1 1153 58.23% 21.90%
23 1991-04-27 53.2 Neris Vilnius 3 1209 13.77% @ Banga Kaunas 1 1335 64.45% 21.78%
24 1991-06-11 51.7 Banga Kaunas 2 1455 38.25% @ Sirijus Klaipeda 1 1356 39.77% 21.98%
25 1991-06-28 * 51.4 @ Ekranas 1 1431 38.64% Zalgiris Vilnius 0 1538 39.38% 21.97%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1991-05-17 25.1 @ Zalgiris Vilnius 5 1742 81.92% Suduva 0 873 0.24% 17.84%
2 1991-06-21 25.8 @ Zalgiris Vilnius 4 1540 78.43% Tauras Siauliai 0 1002 1.47% 20.11%
3 1991-06-10 27.3 @ Vilija Kaunas 10 1207 76.56% Suduva 2 781 2.73% 20.71%
4 1991-06-24 27.3 @ Neris Vilnius 3 1522 77.23% Inkaras Kaunas 0 1060 2.24% 20.53%
5 1991-06-01 27.6 @ Panerys 8 1146 72.75% Suduva 0 862 5.93% 21.32%
6 1991-06-25 29.2 Sirijus Klaipeda 3 1393 68.67% @ Tauras Siauliai 0 995 9.92% 21.41%
7 1991-05-11 30.6 Ekranas 2 1319 70.03% @ Suduva 0 894 8.65% 21.32%
8 1991-06-24 30.7 @ Elektronas Taurage 5 1032 71.50% Suduva 1 780 7.06% 21.43%
9 1991-05-17 30.9 @ Ekranas 2 1340 69.99% Vienybe Ukmerge 0 1122 8.47% 21.54%
10 1991-06-14 30.9 @ Banga Kaunas 2 1495 73.91% Panerys 0 1176 4.90% 21.19%
11 1991-05-11 31.0 @ Banga Kaunas 3 1240 62.57% Tauras Siauliai 0 1139 15.60% 21.82%
12 1991-05-31 31.3 @ Zalgiris Vilnius 6 1750 80.01% Elektronas Taurage 1 1080 0.71% 19.28%
13 1991-05-18 31.5 @ Sirijus Klaipeda 3 1281 61.72% Vilija Kaunas 0 1190 16.44% 21.84%
14 1991-06-24 31.8 @ Banga Kaunas 2 1491 72.45% Vilija Kaunas 0 1215 6.20% 21.35%
15 1991-06-21 32.2 @ Sirijus Klaipeda 4 1377 73.67% Sakalas Siauliai 1 1066 5.12% 21.22%
16 1991-05-21 32.6 Sirijus Klaipeda 1 1337 71.89% @ Suduva 0 871 6.95% 21.16%
17 1991-06-01 32.9 @ Sirijus Klaipeda 1 1346 71.51% Vienybe Ukmerge 0 1094 7.06% 21.43%
18 1991-03-30 33.1 @ Panerys 4 1182 52.71% Tauras Siauliai 0 1182 25.34% 21.95%
19 1991-05-21 33.1 Zalgiris Vilnius 2 1744 77.05% @ Vienybe Ukmerge 0 1101 2.65% 20.31%
20 1991-05-03 33.4 @ Jovaras Mazeikiai 2 1011 60.40% Suduva 0 935 17.73% 21.87%
21 1991-05-21 33.4 @ Neris Vilnius 1 1337 70.17% Granitas Klaipeda 0 1115 8.30% 21.53%
22 1991-04-20 33.5 @ Sakalas Siauliai 4 1314 69.29% Vienybe Ukmerge 1 1110 9.13% 21.58%
23 1991-04-27 33.5 @ Vilija Kaunas 1 1219 68.85% Jovaras Mazeikiai 0 1023 9.55% 21.61%
24 1991-06-14 33.7 Zalgiris Vilnius 1 1530 71.41% @ Sakalas Siauliai 0 1076 7.39% 21.20%
25 1991-05-21 33.8 @ Sakalas Siauliai 1 1281 68.29% Tauras Siauliai 0 1096 10.08% 21.63%