2021 A Lyga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Zalgiris

79 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Panevezys

8.54 points above expected

60 points · 51.46 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

FK Nevezis

15.13 points below expected

10 points · 25.13 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Zalgiris	36	23	10	3	79	76	28	+48	77.15	+1.85
2	Suduva	36	21	7	8	70	64	33	+31	67.43	+2.57
3	Kauno Zalgiris	36	18	9	9	63	55	39	+16	62.99	+0.01
4	Panevezys	36	16	12	8	60	55	40	+15	51.46	+8.54
5	Hegelmann Litauen	36	14	11	11	53	53	38	+15	50.55	+2.45
6	Riteriai	36	10	16	10	46	49	37	+12	46.67	-0.67
7	Dziugas	36	8	12	16	36	47	60	-13	42.86	-6.86
8	Banga Gargzdai	36	10	6	20	36	40	71	-31	30.56	+5.44
9	DFK Dainava*	36	9	11	16	35	39	56	-17	34.93	+0.07
10	FK Nevezis	36	2	4	30	10	15	91	-76	25.13	-15.13

* Point deductions: DFK Dainava (-3 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Panevezys	60	51.46	+8.54
2	Banga Gargzdai	36	30.56	+5.44
3	Suduva	70	67.43	+2.57
4	Hegelmann Litauen	53	50.55	+2.45
5	Zalgiris	79	77.15	+1.85

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	FK Nevezis	10	25.13	-15.13
2	Dziugas	36	42.86	-6.86
3	Riteriai	46	46.67	-0.67
4	Kauno Zalgiris	63	62.99	+0.01
5	DFK Dainava	35	34.93	+0.07

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Suduva	7	Mar 12 – Apr 20	1 in 270
2	Panevezys	4	Mar 7 – Apr 9	1 in 120
3	Banga Gargzdai	3	Apr 13 – Apr 21	1 in 39
4	Riteriai	3	Apr 12 – Apr 20	1 in 22
5	DFK Dainava	2	May 4 – May 8	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	FK Nevezis	12	Mar 14 – May 14	1 in 1,360
2	Suduva	3	May 20 – Jun 11	1 in 44
3	DFK Dainava	4	Apr 9 – Apr 20	1 in 32
4	Dziugas	3	May 8 – May 19	1 in 26
5	Banga Gargzdai	5	May 16 – Jun 15	1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Riteriai	8	Aug 21 – Oct 29	1 in 70
2	Banga Gargzdai	5	Oct 17 – Nov 28	1 in 43
3	Hegelmann Litauen	7	May 8 – Jun 26	1 in 34
4	Dziugas	5	Sep 18 – Oct 20	1 in 27
5	Suduva	12	Mar 12 – May 16	1 in 22

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kauno Zalgiris	6	Jun 20 – Aug 11	1 in 96
2	Dziugas	9	Apr 12 – May 19	1 in 52
3	Panevezys	7	Sep 15 – Oct 31	1 in 34
4	Suduva	5	May 20 – Jun 25	1 in 24
5	DFK Dainava	8	Mar 6 – Apr 20	1 in 21

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Zalgiris	1624	79	+12	11	10.5	+0.5
Suduva	1498	70	-20	7	9.8	-2.8
Kauno Zalgiris	1440	63	+19	8	8.3	-0.3
Panevezys	1389	60	+7	8	7.5	+0.5
Hegelmann Litauen	1419	53	-4	5	6.2	-1.2
Riteriai	1373	46	+7	6	7.5	-1.5
DFK Dainava	1281	38	+11	7	4.6	+2.4
Banga Gargzdai	1214	36	+48	11	5.0	+6.0
Dziugas	1272	36	-41	1	4.3	-3.3
FK Nevezis	1003	10	-37	0	2.1	-2.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BG	DD	DZI	FN	HL	KZ	PAN	RIT	SUD	ZAL
Banga Gargzdai	—	1-1-2 4.38	2-2-0 3.96	4-0-0 6.61	1-0-3 3.31	1-0-3 2.56	1-1-2 3.26	0-2-2 3.36	0-0-4 2.26	0-0-4 1.57
DFK Dainava	2-1-1 6.49	—	2-2-0 4.92	2-1-1 6.96	1-2-1 3.76	0-0-4 2.89	0-1-3 4.23	1-2-1 4.69	1-1-2 2.57	0-1-3 2.14
Dziugas	0-2-2 6.93	0-2-2 5.94	—	2-1-1 7.78	2-2-0 4.58	1-1-2 3.31	0-2-2 4.95	1-1-2 5.05	1-0-3 2.88	1-1-2 2.01
FK Nevezis	0-0-4 4.28	1-1-2 3.92	1-1-2 3.18	—	0-0-4 3.14	0-1-3 2.06	0-0-4 2.39	0-1-3 2.86	0-0-4 1.82	0-0-4 1.03
Hegelmann Litauen	3-0-1 7.62	1-2-1 7.15	0-2-2 6.30	4-0-0 7.84	—	0-1-3 4.18	1-3-0 5.51	2-2-0 5.97	2-0-2 3.66	1-1-2 2.61
Kauno Zalgiris	3-0-1 8.48	4-0-0 8.09	2-1-1 7.64	3-1-0 9.10	3-1-0 6.71	—	0-1-3 7.00	2-2-0 7.27	1-1-2 5.50	0-2-2 3.67
Panevezys	2-1-1 7.69	3-1-0 6.66	2-2-0 5.91	4-0-0 8.70	0-3-1 5.34	3-1-0 3.89	—	1-1-2 6.02	1-2-1 3.55	0-1-3 2.76
Riteriai	2-2-0 7.58	1-2-1 6.17	2-1-1 5.81	3-1-0 8.18	0-2-2 4.89	0-2-2 3.65	2-1-1 4.84	—	0-2-2 3.40	0-3-1 2.58
Suduva	4-0-0 8.84	2-1-1 8.47	3-0-1 8.12	4-0-0 9.42	2-0-2 7.24	2-1-1 5.34	1-2-1 7.37	2-2-0 7.52	—	1-1-2 4.07
Zalgiris	4-0-0 9.71	3-1-0 8.98	2-1-1 9.14	4-0-0 10.45	2-1-1 8.42	2-2-0 7.24	3-1-0 8.24	1-3-0 8.46	2-1-1 6.81	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.94	+12.2
Allowed	0.86	-9.5
Differential	0.93	+5.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	6.39%	8.33%	3.06%	1.39%	1.11%	25.83%
1	6.39%	15.00%	7.78%	3.33%	0.83%	0.83%	34.17%
2	8.33%	7.78%	6.11%	2.22%	0.83%	0.28%	25.56%
3	3.06%	3.33%	2.22%	0.56%	—	—	9.17%
4	1.39%	0.83%	0.83%	—	—	—	3.06%
5+	1.11%	0.83%	0.28%	—	—	—	2.22%
Total	25.83%	34.17%	25.56%	9.17%	3.06%	2.22%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.37	1.37	+0.00
SD	1.21	1.21	1.88
CV	0.88	0.88	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	2.78%	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	—	30.56%
1	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	41.67%
2	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	19.44%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	19.44%	22.22%	19.44%	22.22%	13.89%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.97	-0.86
SD	1.09	1.44	2.00
CV	0.98	0.73	—
Max	5	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
1	11.11%	22.22%	11.11%	5.56%	—	2.78%	52.78%
2	—	2.78%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	11.11%
3	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.89%	38.89%	33.33%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.56	-0.47
SD	0.91	1.11	1.38
CV	0.84	0.71	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
1	2.78%	25.00%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	44.44%
2	5.56%	11.11%	8.33%	13.89%	—	—	38.89%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	44.44%	19.44%	19.44%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.67	-0.36
SD	0.75	1.17	1.42
CV	0.57	0.70	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	13.89%	22.22%	13.89%	5.56%	11.11%	69.44%
1	—	8.33%	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	19.44%
2	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	2.78%	11.11%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.56%	25.00%	25.00%	22.22%	8.33%	13.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.42	2.53	-2.11
SD	0.69	1.63	1.83
CV	1.66	0.64	—
Max	2	6	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
1	5.56%	13.89%	13.89%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	11.11%	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	27.78%	41.67%	27.78%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.47	1.06	+0.42
SD	1.30	0.83	1.61
CV	0.88	0.78	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	22.22%
1	16.67%	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	—	36.11%
2	5.56%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	—	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	30.56%	38.89%	25.00%	2.78%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.53	1.08	+0.44
SD	1.38	0.97	1.70
CV	0.91	0.89	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	5.56%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
1	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	22.22%
2	2.78%	11.11%	13.89%	—	—	—	27.78%
3	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
4	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	36.11%	33.33%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.53	1.11	+0.42
SD	1.28	0.85	1.57
CV	0.84	0.77	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	—	11.11%	—	—	—	27.78%
1	—	25.00%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	41.67%
2	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	36.11%	30.56%	27.78%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.03	+0.33
SD	1.42	0.94	1.88
CV	1.04	0.92	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
1	5.56%	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	—	25.00%
2	16.67%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	36.11%
3	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.11%	41.67%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.78	0.92	+0.86
SD	1.10	0.87	1.50
CV	0.62	0.95	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
1	5.56%	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	—	25.00%
2	25.00%	2.78%	11.11%	—	—	—	38.89%
3	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	50.00%	22.22%	27.78%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.11	0.78	+1.33
SD	1.24	0.87	1.51
CV	0.59	1.11	—
Max	6	2	+6
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Zalgiris	1624	79	77.15	+1.85	65.0%	62	67	72	77	82	89	93
Suduva	1498	70	67.43	+2.57	63.0%	44	55	63	68	72	79	86
Kauno Zalgiris	1440	63	62.99	+0.01	52.0%	42	48	59	63	68	76	80
Hegelmann Litauen	1419	53	50.55	+2.45	67.0%	29	40	46	50	55	63	71
Panevezys	1389	60	51.46	+8.54	91.0%	29	39	48	52	55	62	68
Riteriai	1373	46	46.67	-0.67	48.0%	27	32	42	47	52	58	64
DFK Dainava	1281	35	34.93	+0.07	52.0%	18	25	30	35	40	45	55
Dziugas	1272	36	42.86	-6.86	19.0%	28	32	38	43	47	53	58
Banga Gargzdai	1214	36	30.56	+5.44	84.0%	13	19	26	30	35	42	47
FK Nevezis	1003	10	25.13	-15.13	1.0%	9	14	22	25	30	35	47

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 3% * Slight Edge: 3% to 8% * Clear Edge: 8% to 11.5% * Strong Edge: 11.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+8.33%

Clear Edge

40.56%27.22%32.22%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 29.02 Elo pts.

175 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.17 goals

Neutral

-2+0.17+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.23 * Comfortable: 0.23 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.5

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

80%

Zalgiris, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.25/gm

Comfortable

00.260.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.62 * Some Luck: 5.62 to 8.43 * Lucky: 8.43 to 11.25 * Wild Swing: 11.25 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.64 * Close: 0.64 to 0.96 * Off: 0.96 to 1.28 * Way Off: 1.28 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.28 points

Some Luck

07.0318

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.20

Pinpoint

00.802

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

91.00%

Panevezys

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

1.00%

FK Nevezis

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.24 * Even: 0.24 to 0.25 * Top-Heavy: 0.25 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.5 * Moderate Separation: 2.5 to 2.65 * Strong Separation: 2.65 to 2.85 * Wide Separation: 2.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 77.5% * Slight Edge: 77.5% to 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 90% * Wide Edge: 90% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 96% * Clear Edge: 96% to 98% * Strong Edge: 98% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51% * Some Drama: 51% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 60% * Very Frequent: 60% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 19.5% * Occasional: 19.5% to 22.5% * Frequent: 22.5% to 27% * Very Frequent: 27% and up.

Gini Index

0.22

Balanced

00.240.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 170.72

2.61

Moderate Separation

12.52.853.5

Interquartile Edge

72%

Even

50%77.5%86.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 96%

97%

Clear Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

60%

Very Frequent

0%57%100%

Blowouts

Expected

15%

Rare

0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.53 * Notable Separation: 0.53 to 0.57 * Lopsided: 0.57 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.65 * Some Carryover: 0.65 to 0.72 * Strong Carryover: 0.72 to 0.81 * Near-Lock: 0.81 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14% * As Expected: 14% to 16.5% * Upset-Prone: 16.5% to 19% * Very Upset-Prone: 19% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16.5% * Very Shaky: 16.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.56

Predictable

00.582

Matchup Imbalance

0.46

Very Even

00.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.88

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.70

Some Carryover

00.650.811

Upset Rate

Expected

20%

Very Upset-Prone

0%20%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

17%

Very Shaky

0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.36

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.03

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.111

Well Within Noise

00.1240.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Zalgiris	80.00%	17.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Suduva	13.00%	57.00%	21.00%	6.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—
Kauno Zalgiris	7.00%	21.00%	51.00%	13.00%	4.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	—
Panevezys	—	1.00%	10.00%	36.00%	28.00%	15.00%	6.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—
Hegelmann Litauen	—	3.00%	6.00%	29.00%	27.00%	21.00%	10.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Riteriai	—	1.00%	7.00%	14.00%	16.00%	26.00%	27.00%	6.00%	1.00%	2.00%
Dziugas	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	15.00%	28.00%	29.00%	15.00%	7.00%	2.00%
Banga Gargzdai	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	7.00%	31.00%	38.00%	22.00%
DFK Dainava	—	—	—	—	6.00%	5.00%	19.00%	35.00%	29.00%	6.00%
FK Nevezis	—	—	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	9.00%	22.00%	67.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Kauno Zalgiris	100%	—
Suduva	100%	—
Zalgiris	100%	—
Hegelmann Litauen	98.00%	2.00%
Panevezys	98.00%	2.00%
Riteriai	97.00%	3.00%
Dziugas	91.00%	9.00%
DFK Dainava	65.00%	35.00%
Banga Gargzdai	40.00%	60.00%
FK Nevezis	11.00%	89.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2021-03-05	Banga Gargzdai	W 1-0	34.5	1446	1233	64.07%	23.56%	12.38%	+1.38	+4.4	3
2021-03-05	@ Kauno Zalgiris	L 0-1	34.5	1233	1446	12.38%	23.56%	64.07%	-1.38	-4.4	0
2021-03-06	Hegelmann Litauen	W 2-1	47.8	1337	1337	39.68%	28.78%	31.54%	+0.17	+9.5	3
2021-03-06	@ Dziugas	L 1-2	47.8	1337	1337	31.54%	28.78%	39.68%	-0.17	-9.5	0
2021-03-06	FK Nevezis	L 0-2	42.8	1337	1275	47.85%	28.03%	24.12%	+0.52	-26.1	0
2021-03-06	@ DFK Dainava	W 2-0	42.8	1275	1337	24.12%	28.03%	47.85%	-0.52	+26.1	3
2021-03-07	Panevezys	L 0-1	49.2	1428	1277	58.03%	25.75%	16.22%	+1.03	-16.3	0
2021-03-07	@ Suduva	W 1-0	49.2	1277	1428	16.22%	25.75%	58.03%	-1.03	+16.3	3
2021-03-12	Hegelmann Litauen	W 2-0	36.3	1412	1328	50.63%	27.57%	21.80%	+0.65	+14.2	3
2021-03-12	@ Suduva	L 0-2	36.3	1328	1412	21.80%	27.57%	50.63%	-0.65	-14.2	0
2021-03-13	DFK Dainava	D 2-2	64.4	1538	1311	65.31%	23.03%	11.67%	+1.46	-2.7	1
2021-03-13	@ Zalgiris	D 2-2	64.4	1311	1538	11.67%	23.03%	65.31%	-1.46	+2.7	1
2021-03-14	Dziugas	W 1-0	43.6	1294	1347	32.21%	28.81%	38.98%	-0.14	+11.8	6
2021-03-14	@ Panevezys	L 0-1	43.6	1347	1294	38.98%	28.81%	32.21%	+0.14	-11.8	3
2021-03-14	FK Nevezis	W 5-0	33.4	1450	1302	57.79%	25.82%	16.39%	+1.02	+25.7	6
2021-03-14	@ Kauno Zalgiris	L 0-5	33.4	1302	1450	16.39%	25.82%	57.79%	-1.02	-25.7	3
2021-03-16	Riteriai	W 2-0	33.9	1535	1304	65.68%	22.86%	11.46%	+1.49	+7.6	4
2021-03-16	@ Zalgiris	L 0-2	33.9	1304	1535	11.46%	22.86%	65.68%	-1.49	-7.6	0
2021-03-19	FK Nevezis	W 1-0	36.6	1426	1276	57.98%	25.77%	16.26%	+1.03	+5.8	6
2021-03-19	@ Suduva	L 0-1	36.6	1276	1426	16.26%	25.77%	57.98%	-1.03	-5.8	3
2021-03-20	Banga Gargzdai	W 4-2	45.0	1305	1228	49.72%	27.73%	22.55%	+0.61	+11.3	9
2021-03-20	@ Panevezys	L 2-4	45.0	1228	1305	22.55%	27.73%	49.72%	-0.61	-11.3	0
2021-03-20	Hegelmann Litauen	W 2-0	34.4	1543	1313	65.54%	22.92%	11.54%	+1.48	+7.7	7
2021-03-20	@ Zalgiris	L 0-2	34.4	1313	1543	11.54%	22.92%	65.54%	-1.48	-7.7	0
2021-03-20	Riteriai	W 2-1	42.9	1476	1297	60.89%	24.79%	14.32%	+1.19	+4.8	9
2021-03-20	@ Kauno Zalgiris	L 1-2	42.9	1297	1476	14.32%	24.79%	60.89%	-1.19	-4.8	0
2021-03-21	Dziugas	D 1-1	52.7	1314	1335	36.69%	28.86%	34.45%	+0.04	-0.1	2
2021-03-21	@ DFK Dainava	D 1-1	52.7	1335	1314	34.45%	28.86%	36.69%	-0.04	+0.1	4
2021-04-02	DFK Dainava	D 2-2	58.7	1292	1314	36.60%	28.86%	34.54%	+0.04	-0.1	1
2021-04-02	@ Riteriai	D 2-2	58.7	1314	1292	34.54%	28.86%	36.60%	-0.04	+0.1	3
2021-04-02	FK Nevezis	W 2-0	36.5	1306	1270	44.51%	28.44%	27.05%	+0.37	+17.0	3
2021-04-02	@ Hegelmann Litauen	L 0-2	36.5	1270	1306	27.05%	28.44%	44.51%	-0.37	-17.0	3
2021-04-02	Suduva	L 1-2	41.9	1217	1432	15.80%	25.56%	58.64%	-1.06	-5.3	0
2021-04-02	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 2-1	41.9	1432	1217	58.64%	25.56%	15.80%	+1.06	+5.3	9
2021-04-03	Kauno Zalgiris	D 1-1	55.8	1335	1481	21.49%	27.50%	51.01%	-0.67	+1.9	5
2021-04-03	@ Dziugas	D 1-1	55.8	1481	1335	51.01%	27.50%	21.49%	+0.67	-1.9	10
2021-04-07	Banga Gargzdai	W 2-0	29.6	1550	1212	74.38%	18.41%	7.22%	+2.10	+4.5	10
2021-04-07	@ Zalgiris	L 0-2	29.6	1212	1550	7.22%	18.41%	74.38%	-2.10	-4.5	0
2021-04-07	Kauno Zalgiris	W 2-1	54.9	1438	1479	33.80%	28.85%	37.35%	-0.07	+10.8	12
2021-04-07	@ Suduva	L 1-2	54.9	1479	1438	37.35%	28.85%	33.80%	+0.07	-10.8	10
2021-04-08	FK Nevezis	W 3-0	33.1	1337	1253	50.54%	27.59%	21.87%	+0.65	+20.7	8
2021-04-08	@ Dziugas	L 0-3	33.1	1253	1337	21.87%	27.59%	50.54%	-0.65	-20.7	3
2021-04-08	Riteriai	W 2-0	36.9	1323	1292	43.89%	28.50%	27.61%	+0.34	+17.2	6
2021-04-08	@ Hegelmann Litauen	L 0-2	36.9	1292	1323	27.61%	28.50%	43.89%	-0.34	-17.2	1
2021-04-09	Panevezys	L 1-3	47.0	1314	1317	39.24%	28.80%	31.96%	+0.15	-19.4	3
2021-04-09	@ DFK Dainava	W 3-1	47.0	1317	1314	31.96%	28.80%	39.24%	-0.15	+19.4	12
2021-04-11	Zalgiris	L 0-1	49.8	1468	1555	27.90%	28.53%	43.57%	-0.33	-9.2	10
2021-04-11	@ Kauno Zalgiris	W 1-0	49.8	1555	1468	43.57%	28.53%	27.90%	+0.33	+9.2	13
2021-04-12	Dziugas	W 2-1	46.5	1448	1358	51.35%	27.43%	21.21%	+0.68	+7.0	15
2021-04-12	@ Suduva	L 1-2	46.5	1358	1448	21.21%	27.43%	51.35%	-0.68	-7.0	8
2021-04-12	FK Nevezis	W 4-0	34.2	1274	1232	45.34%	28.35%	26.31%	+0.41	+31.5	4
2021-04-12	@ Riteriai	L 0-4	34.2	1232	1274	26.31%	28.35%	45.34%	-0.41	-31.5	3
2021-04-13	DFK Dainava	W 2-0	41.1	1207	1294	27.87%	28.52%	43.61%	-0.33	+24.2	3
2021-04-13	@ Banga Gargzdai	L 0-2	41.1	1294	1207	43.61%	28.52%	27.87%	+0.33	-24.2	3
2021-04-13	Hegelmann Litauen	D 2-2	59.4	1336	1340	39.15%	28.80%	32.05%	+0.14	-0.3	13
2021-04-13	@ Panevezys	D 2-2	59.4	1340	1336	32.05%	28.80%	39.15%	-0.14	+0.3	7
2021-04-16	Kauno Zalgiris	L 0-1	37.6	1270	1459	17.74%	26.37%	55.89%	-0.91	-6.3	3
2021-04-16	@ DFK Dainava	W 1-0	37.6	1459	1270	55.89%	26.37%	17.74%	+0.91	+6.3	13
2021-04-16	Riteriai	L 1-4	46.5	1351	1306	45.68%	28.31%	26.00%	+0.42	-30.8	8
2021-04-16	@ Dziugas	W 4-1	46.5	1306	1351	26.00%	28.31%	45.68%	-0.42	+30.8	7
2021-04-16	Suduva	L 1-2	63.0	1564	1455	53.45%	26.98%	19.56%	+0.79	-14.3	13
2021-04-16	@ Zalgiris	W 2-1	63.0	1455	1564	19.56%	26.98%	53.45%	-0.79	+14.3	18
2021-04-17	Banga Gargzdai	L 0-1	46.9	1340	1232	53.43%	26.99%	19.58%	+0.79	-15.2	7
2021-04-17	@ Hegelmann Litauen	W 1-0	46.9	1232	1340	19.58%	26.99%	53.43%	-0.79	+15.2	6
2021-04-17	FK Nevezis	W 4-2	43.1	1336	1201	56.33%	26.25%	17.42%	+0.94	+9.0	16
2021-04-17	@ Panevezys	L 2-4	43.1	1201	1336	17.42%	26.25%	56.33%	-0.94	-9.0	3
2021-04-20	DFK Dainava	W 3-1	38.8	1470	1264	63.39%	23.83%	12.77%	+1.34	+7.4	21
2021-04-20	@ Suduva	L 1-3	38.8	1264	1470	12.77%	23.83%	63.39%	-1.34	-7.4	3
2021-04-20	Dziugas	D 2-2	65.0	1550	1320	65.59%	22.90%	11.51%	+1.48	-2.7	14
2021-04-20	@ Zalgiris	D 2-2	65.0	1320	1550	11.51%	22.90%	65.59%	-1.48	+2.7	9
2021-04-20	Panevezys	W 2-0	39.1	1337	1345	38.54%	28.82%	32.64%	+0.12	+19.5	10
2021-04-20	@ Riteriai	L 0-2	39.1	1345	1337	32.64%	28.82%	38.54%	-0.12	-19.6	16
2021-04-21	Hegelmann Litauen	W 3-2	50.0	1465	1325	56.89%	26.09%	17.02%	+0.97	+5.4	16
2021-04-21	@ Kauno Zalgiris	L 2-3	50.0	1325	1465	17.02%	26.09%	56.89%	-0.97	-5.4	7
2021-04-21	FK Nevezis	W 5-2	41.6	1247	1192	47.00%	28.15%	24.86%	+0.48	+16.8	9
2021-04-21	@ Banga Gargzdai	L 2-5	41.6	1192	1247	24.86%	28.15%	47.00%	-0.48	-16.8	3
2021-04-23	Zalgiris	D 1-1	58.7	1356	1547	17.59%	26.32%	56.09%	-0.92	+2.5	11
2021-04-23	@ Riteriai	D 1-1	58.7	1547	1356	56.09%	26.32%	17.59%	+0.92	-2.5	15
2021-04-24	DFK Dainava	L 0-1	39.5	1175	1256	28.54%	28.58%	42.87%	-0.30	-9.4	3
2021-04-24	@ FK Nevezis	W 1-0	39.5	1256	1175	42.87%	28.58%	28.54%	+0.30	+9.4	6
2021-04-24	Dziugas	D 1-1	52.7	1320	1323	39.27%	28.80%	31.93%	+0.15	-0.4	8
2021-04-24	@ Hegelmann Litauen	D 1-1	52.7	1323	1320	31.93%	28.80%	39.27%	-0.15	+0.4	10
2021-04-25	Kauno Zalgiris	L 1-5	36.4	1264	1471	16.37%	25.82%	57.82%	-1.02	-17.4	9
2021-04-25	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 5-1	36.4	1471	1264	57.82%	25.82%	16.37%	+1.02	+17.4	19
2021-04-25	Suduva	D 0-0	50.7	1325	1477	20.94%	27.36%	51.70%	-0.70	+2.2	17
2021-04-25	@ Panevezys	D 0-0	50.7	1477	1325	51.70%	27.36%	20.94%	+0.70	-2.2	22
2021-04-29	Kauno Zalgiris	L 1-2	38.9	1166	1488	9.92%	21.51%	68.57%	-1.68	-3.2	3
2021-04-29	@ FK Nevezis	W 2-1	38.9	1488	1166	68.57%	21.51%	9.92%	+1.68	+3.2	22
2021-04-29	Panevezys	L 0-2	40.7	1323	1327	39.05%	28.80%	32.15%	+0.14	-22.3	10
2021-04-29	@ Dziugas	W 2-0	40.7	1327	1323	32.15%	28.80%	39.05%	-0.14	+22.3	20
2021-04-29	Riteriai	L 0-2	35.9	1246	1359	24.91%	28.16%	46.93%	-0.48	-15.9	9
2021-04-29	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 2-0	35.9	1359	1246	46.93%	28.16%	24.91%	+0.48	+15.9	14
2021-04-30	Suduva	L 0-1	39.9	1319	1475	20.57%	27.27%	52.16%	-0.72	-7.2	8
2021-04-30	@ Hegelmann Litauen	W 1-0	39.9	1475	1319	52.16%	27.27%	20.57%	+0.72	+7.2	25
2021-04-30	Zalgiris	L 1-5	35.8	1266	1545	11.97%	23.26%	64.77%	-1.43	-12.6	6
2021-04-30	@ DFK Dainava	W 5-1	35.8	1545	1266	64.77%	23.26%	11.97%	+1.43	+12.6	18
2021-05-03	Banga Gargzdai	D 1-1	52.3	1301	1230	48.91%	27.87%	23.22%	+0.57	-1.6	11
2021-05-03	@ Dziugas	D 1-1	52.3	1230	1301	23.22%	27.87%	48.91%	-0.57	+1.6	10
2021-05-03	Kauno Zalgiris	W 2-1	56.2	1350	1491	21.90%	27.59%	50.51%	-0.64	+13.7	23
2021-05-03	@ Panevezys	L 1-2	56.2	1491	1350	50.51%	27.59%	21.90%	+0.64	-13.7	22
2021-05-04	DFK Dainava	L 0-1	45.5	1312	1253	47.49%	28.08%	24.43%	+0.50	-13.8	8
2021-05-04	@ Hegelmann Litauen	W 1-0	45.5	1253	1312	24.43%	28.08%	47.49%	-0.50	+13.8	9
2021-05-04	Zalgiris	L 0-3	27.3	1162	1557	7.27%	18.48%	74.25%	-2.09	-6.5	3
2021-05-04	@ FK Nevezis	W 3-0	27.3	1557	1162	74.25%	18.48%	7.27%	+2.09	+6.6	21
2021-05-05	Riteriai	W 2-0	38.1	1482	1375	53.28%	27.02%	19.70%	+0.78	+13.0	28
2021-05-05	@ Suduva	L 0-2	38.1	1375	1482	19.70%	27.02%	53.28%	-0.78	-13.0	14
2021-05-07	Panevezys	D 2-2	59.0	1232	1363	22.91%	27.81%	49.29%	-0.59	+1.2	11
2021-05-07	@ Banga Gargzdai	D 2-2	59.0	1363	1232	49.29%	27.81%	22.91%	+0.59	-1.2	24
2021-05-08	DFK Dainava	L 2-3	56.1	1299	1267	44.05%	28.48%	27.47%	+0.35	-11.6	11
2021-05-08	@ Dziugas	W 3-2	56.1	1267	1299	27.47%	28.48%	44.05%	-0.35	+11.6	12
2021-05-08	Zalgiris	W 2-1	59.6	1298	1564	12.68%	23.77%	63.55%	-1.35	+16.6	11
2021-05-08	@ Hegelmann Litauen	L 1-2	59.6	1564	1298	63.55%	23.77%	12.68%	+1.35	-16.6	21
2021-05-09	Kauno Zalgiris	L 1-2	48.5	1362	1478	24.53%	28.10%	47.38%	-0.50	-7.9	14
2021-05-09	@ Riteriai	W 2-1	48.5	1478	1362	47.38%	28.10%	24.53%	+0.50	+7.8	25
2021-05-09	Suduva	L 0-2	29.4	1156	1495	9.24%	20.81%	69.95%	-1.77	-6.0	3
2021-05-09	@ FK Nevezis	W 2-0	29.4	1495	1156	69.95%	20.81%	9.24%	+1.77	+6.0	31
2021-05-11	Zalgiris	L 0-2	39.1	1362	1547	18.05%	26.49%	55.47%	-0.89	-12.0	24
2021-05-11	@ Panevezys	W 2-0	39.1	1547	1362	55.47%	26.49%	18.05%	+0.89	+12.0	24
2021-05-14	Hegelmann Litauen	L 0-1	36.4	1150	1315	19.73%	27.03%	53.24%	-0.78	-6.9	3
2021-05-14	@ FK Nevezis	W 1-0	36.4	1315	1150	53.24%	27.03%	19.73%	+0.78	+6.9	14
2021-05-14	Panevezys	W 1-0	39.7	1559	1350	63.70%	23.71%	12.59%	+1.36	+4.5	27
2021-05-14	@ Zalgiris	L 0-1	39.7	1350	1559	12.59%	23.71%	63.70%	-1.36	-4.5	24
2021-05-14	Riteriai	D 1-1	52.6	1279	1354	29.31%	28.65%	42.05%	-0.26	+0.8	13
2021-05-14	@ DFK Dainava	D 1-1	52.6	1354	1279	42.05%	28.65%	29.31%	+0.26	-0.8	15
2021-05-15	Dziugas	W 1-0	36.3	1486	1288	62.66%	24.12%	13.21%	+1.30	+4.7	28
2021-05-15	@ Kauno Zalgiris	L 0-1	36.3	1288	1486	13.21%	24.12%	62.66%	-1.30	-4.7	11
2021-05-16	Banga Gargzdai	W 4-0	29.1	1501	1233	68.85%	21.37%	9.78%	+1.70	+12.1	34
2021-05-16	@ Suduva	L 0-4	29.1	1233	1501	9.78%	21.37%	68.85%	-1.70	-12.1	11
2021-05-19	DFK Dainava	W 3-0	34.0	1346	1279	48.43%	27.94%	23.63%	+0.55	+22.1	27
2021-05-19	@ Panevezys	L 0-3	34.0	1279	1346	23.63%	27.94%	48.43%	-0.55	-22.1	13
2021-05-19	Dziugas	W 2-1	51.8	1143	1283	22.06%	27.63%	50.31%	-0.63	+13.6	6
2021-05-19	@ FK Nevezis	L 1-2	51.8	1283	1143	50.31%	27.63%	22.06%	+0.63	-13.6	11
2021-05-19	Hegelmann Litauen	L 1-3	48.7	1353	1322	43.92%	28.49%	27.58%	+0.34	-21.1	15
2021-05-19	@ Riteriai	W 3-1	48.7	1322	1353	27.58%	28.49%	43.92%	-0.34	+21.1	17
2021-05-20	Suduva	W 1-0	51.2	1490	1513	36.44%	28.86%	34.69%	+0.03	+10.8	31
2021-05-20	@ Kauno Zalgiris	L 0-1	51.2	1513	1490	34.69%	28.86%	36.44%	-0.03	-10.8	34
2021-05-20	Zalgiris	L 1-3	37.6	1221	1564	9.10%	20.67%	70.23%	-1.79	-5.1	11
2021-05-20	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 3-1	37.6	1564	1221	70.23%	20.67%	9.10%	+1.79	+5.1	30
2021-05-27	Riteriai	D 0-0	47.6	1156	1332	18.84%	26.76%	54.41%	-0.84	+2.5	7
2021-05-27	@ FK Nevezis	D 0-0	47.6	1332	1156	54.41%	26.76%	18.84%	+0.84	-2.5	16
2021-05-27	Suduva	W 2-1	56.8	1269	1502	14.60%	24.95%	60.45%	-1.17	+15.9	14
2021-05-27	@ Dziugas	L 1-2	56.8	1502	1269	60.45%	24.95%	14.60%	+1.17	-15.9	34
2021-05-28	Kauno Zalgiris	D 2-2	70.6	1569	1501	48.59%	27.92%	23.49%	+0.55	-1.2	31
2021-05-28	@ Zalgiris	D 2-2	70.6	1501	1569	23.49%	27.92%	48.59%	-0.55	+1.2	32
2021-05-28	Panevezys	D 0-0	48.6	1343	1368	36.16%	28.87%	34.98%	+0.02	-0.1	18
2021-05-28	@ Hegelmann Litauen	D 0-0	48.6	1368	1343	34.98%	28.87%	36.16%	-0.02	+0.1	28
2021-05-29	Banga Gargzdai	W 3-1	42.2	1257	1216	45.22%	28.36%	26.42%	+0.40	+14.4	16
2021-05-29	@ DFK Dainava	L 1-3	42.2	1216	1257	26.42%	28.36%	45.22%	-0.40	-14.4	11
2021-06-11	Hegelmann Litauen	L 0-2	34.5	1202	1343	21.93%	27.60%	50.47%	-0.64	-14.3	11
2021-06-11	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 2-0	34.5	1343	1202	50.47%	27.60%	21.93%	+0.64	+14.3	21
2021-06-11	Zalgiris	L 0-2	48.2	1486	1568	28.56%	28.59%	42.86%	-0.30	-17.7	34
2021-06-11	@ Suduva	W 2-0	48.2	1568	1486	42.86%	28.59%	28.56%	+0.30	+17.7	34
2021-06-12	DFK Dainava	W 1-0	35.4	1502	1272	65.65%	22.87%	11.47%	+1.48	+4.0	35
2021-06-12	@ Kauno Zalgiris	L 0-1	35.4	1272	1502	11.47%	22.87%	65.65%	-1.48	-4.0	16
2021-06-12	Dziugas	D 1-1	52.6	1329	1285	45.62%	28.32%	26.06%	+0.42	-1.2	17
2021-06-12	@ Riteriai	D 1-1	52.6	1285	1329	26.06%	28.32%	45.62%	-0.42	+1.2	15
2021-06-12	Panevezys	L 0-1	35.2	1159	1368	16.24%	25.76%	58.00%	-1.03	-5.8	7
2021-06-12	@ FK Nevezis	W 1-0	35.2	1368	1159	58.00%	25.76%	16.24%	+1.03	+5.8	31
2021-06-15	Banga Gargzdai	W 3-0	30.9	1328	1187	56.96%	26.07%	16.97%	+0.97	+16.5	20
2021-06-15	@ Riteriai	L 0-3	30.9	1187	1328	16.97%	26.07%	56.96%	-0.97	-16.5	11
2021-06-18	Banga Gargzdai	L 0-2	39.0	1153	1171	37.22%	28.85%	33.93%	+0.07	-21.5	7
2021-06-18	@ FK Nevezis	W 2-0	39.0	1171	1153	33.93%	28.85%	37.22%	-0.07	+21.5	14
2021-06-18	Zalgiris	L 0-3	33.0	1286	1585	10.97%	22.46%	66.57%	-1.54	-10.5	15
2021-06-18	@ Dziugas	W 3-0	33.0	1585	1286	66.57%	22.46%	10.97%	+1.54	+10.5	37
2021-06-19	Suduva	D 1-1	54.7	1268	1469	16.80%	26.00%	57.19%	-0.98	+2.6	17
2021-06-19	@ DFK Dainava	D 1-1	54.7	1469	1268	57.19%	26.00%	16.80%	+0.98	-2.6	35
2021-06-20	Kauno Zalgiris	D 2-2	63.5	1357	1506	21.17%	27.42%	51.40%	-0.69	+1.4	22
2021-06-20	@ Hegelmann Litauen	D 2-2	63.5	1506	1357	51.40%	27.42%	21.17%	+0.69	-1.4	36
2021-06-20	Riteriai	D 1-1	53.6	1374	1345	43.62%	28.52%	27.86%	+0.33	-0.9	32
2021-06-20	@ Panevezys	D 1-1	53.6	1345	1374	27.86%	28.52%	43.62%	-0.33	+0.9	21
2021-06-25	Suduva	D 1-1	55.6	1346	1466	24.06%	28.02%	47.92%	-0.52	+1.5	22
2021-06-25	@ Riteriai	D 1-1	55.6	1466	1346	47.92%	28.02%	24.06%	+0.52	-1.5	36
2021-06-26	Hegelmann Litauen	L 1-2	46.1	1270	1359	27.69%	28.50%	43.80%	-0.34	-8.6	17
2021-06-26	@ DFK Dainava	W 2-1	46.1	1359	1270	43.80%	28.50%	27.69%	+0.34	+8.6	25
2021-06-26	Panevezys	L 1-2	58.5	1505	1373	56.02%	26.34%	17.64%	+0.92	-14.9	36
2021-06-26	@ Kauno Zalgiris	W 2-1	58.5	1373	1505	17.64%	26.34%	56.02%	-0.92	+14.9	35
2021-06-27	Dziugas	W 1-0	43.9	1192	1276	28.28%	28.56%	43.15%	-0.31	+12.8	17
2021-06-27	@ Banga Gargzdai	L 0-1	43.9	1276	1192	43.15%	28.56%	28.28%	+0.31	-12.8	15
2021-06-27	FK Nevezis	W 2-0	26.6	1596	1132	82.50%	13.38%	4.13%	+2.82	+2.3	40
2021-06-27	@ Zalgiris	L 0-2	26.6	1132	1596	4.13%	13.38%	82.50%	-2.82	-2.3	7
2021-07-01	Panevezys	L 1-2	44.9	1262	1388	23.46%	27.91%	48.63%	-0.56	-7.6	17
2021-07-01	@ DFK Dainava	W 2-1	44.9	1388	1262	48.63%	27.91%	23.46%	+0.56	+7.6	38
2021-07-02	Kauno Zalgiris	D 1-1	55.2	1129	1490	8.43%	19.92%	71.64%	-1.89	+4.2	8
2021-07-02	@ FK Nevezis	D 1-1	55.2	1490	1129	71.64%	19.92%	8.43%	+1.89	-4.2	37
2021-07-02	Suduva	L 0-2	31.7	1205	1465	13.01%	23.99%	63.00%	-1.32	-8.7	17
2021-07-02	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 2-0	31.7	1465	1205	63.00%	23.99%	13.01%	+1.32	+8.7	39
2021-07-02	Zalgiris	D 0-0	55.9	1347	1598	13.50%	24.31%	62.20%	-1.27	+3.6	23
2021-07-02	@ Riteriai	D 0-0	55.9	1598	1347	62.20%	24.31%	13.50%	+1.27	-3.6	41
2021-07-03	Hegelmann Litauen	W 2-1	51.5	1263	1367	25.85%	28.29%	45.86%	-0.43	+12.6	18
2021-07-03	@ Dziugas	L 1-2	51.5	1367	1263	45.86%	28.29%	25.85%	+0.43	-12.6	25
2021-07-09	FK Nevezis	D 1-1	52.2	1254	1134	54.72%	26.68%	18.60%	+0.85	-2.3	18
2021-07-09	@ DFK Dainava	D 1-1	52.2	1134	1254	18.60%	26.68%	54.72%	-0.85	+2.3	9
2021-07-10	Riteriai	W 2-0	41.4	1276	1351	29.33%	28.65%	42.02%	-0.26	+23.6	21
2021-07-10	@ Dziugas	L 0-2	41.4	1351	1276	42.02%	28.65%	29.33%	+0.26	-23.5	23
2021-07-11	Banga Gargzdai	W 4-1	36.0	1355	1196	58.77%	25.52%	15.72%	+1.07	+12.9	28
2021-07-11	@ Hegelmann Litauen	L 1-4	36.0	1196	1355	15.72%	25.52%	58.77%	-1.07	-12.9	17
2021-07-16	Banga Gargzdai	D 1-1	52.4	1299	1183	54.24%	26.80%	18.97%	+0.83	-2.2	22
2021-07-16	@ Dziugas	D 1-1	52.4	1183	1299	18.97%	26.80%	54.24%	-0.83	+2.2	18
2021-07-17	FK Nevezis	W 2-0	29.8	1368	1136	65.73%	22.84%	11.43%	+1.49	+7.6	31
2021-07-17	@ Hegelmann Litauen	L 0-2	29.8	1136	1368	11.43%	22.84%	65.73%	-1.49	-7.6	9
2021-07-19	Riteriai	W 2-1	50.1	1252	1327	29.28%	28.64%	42.08%	-0.27	+11.8	21
2021-07-19	@ DFK Dainava	L 1-2	50.1	1327	1252	42.08%	28.64%	29.28%	+0.27	-11.8	23
2021-07-23	Dziugas	W 3-2	52.0	1315	1297	42.21%	28.63%	29.16%	+0.27	+8.5	26
2021-07-23	@ Riteriai	L 2-3	52.0	1297	1315	29.16%	28.63%	42.21%	-0.27	-8.5	22
2021-07-23	Hegelmann Litauen	L 1-4	36.8	1186	1375	17.69%	26.36%	55.95%	-0.92	-14.5	18
2021-07-23	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 4-1	36.8	1375	1186	55.95%	26.36%	17.69%	+0.92	+14.5	34
2021-07-25	DFK Dainava	L 0-1	37.3	1128	1263	22.55%	27.73%	49.72%	-0.61	-7.8	9
2021-07-25	@ FK Nevezis	W 1-0	37.3	1263	1128	49.72%	27.73%	22.55%	+0.61	+7.8	24
2021-07-30	Dziugas	W 2-1	51.1	1171	1288	24.39%	28.07%	47.53%	-0.50	+13.0	21
2021-07-30	@ Banga Gargzdai	L 1-2	51.1	1288	1171	47.53%	28.07%	24.39%	+0.50	-13.0	22
2021-07-31	Hegelmann Litauen	L 0-6	30.0	1121	1390	12.49%	23.64%	63.87%	-1.37	-23.2	9
2021-07-31	@ FK Nevezis	W 6-0	30.0	1390	1121	63.87%	23.64%	12.49%	+1.37	+23.2	37
2021-08-01	DFK Dainava	W 2-1	45.0	1324	1271	46.71%	28.19%	25.11%	+0.47	+8.0	29
2021-08-01	@ Riteriai	L 1-2	45.0	1271	1324	25.11%	28.19%	46.71%	-0.47	-8.0	24
2021-08-02	Suduva	D 3-3	70.3	1486	1473	41.38%	28.69%	29.93%	+0.24	-0.4	38
2021-08-02	@ Kauno Zalgiris	D 3-3	70.3	1473	1486	29.93%	28.69%	41.38%	-0.24	+0.4	40
2021-08-06	FK Nevezis	W 2-0	31.0	1275	1097	60.74%	24.85%	14.42%	+1.18	+9.7	25
2021-08-06	@ Dziugas	L 0-2	31.0	1097	1275	14.42%	24.85%	60.74%	-1.18	-9.7	9
2021-08-06	Riteriai	D 1-1	56.4	1485	1332	58.26%	25.68%	16.06%	+1.04	-2.8	39
2021-08-06	@ Kauno Zalgiris	D 1-1	56.4	1332	1485	16.06%	25.68%	58.26%	-1.04	+2.7	30
2021-08-07	DFK Dainava	D 1-1	53.9	1413	1263	57.87%	25.80%	16.33%	+1.02	-2.7	38
2021-08-07	@ Hegelmann Litauen	D 1-1	53.9	1263	1413	16.33%	25.80%	57.87%	-1.02	+2.7	25
2021-08-07	Panevezys	W 3-0	37.9	1474	1395	49.91%	27.70%	22.39%	+0.61	+21.2	43
2021-08-07	@ Suduva	L 0-3	37.9	1395	1474	22.39%	27.70%	49.91%	-0.61	-21.2	38
2021-08-09	Banga Gargzdai	W 3-0	26.8	1595	1184	79.29%	15.45%	5.26%	+2.51	+4.4	44
2021-08-09	@ Zalgiris	L 0-3	26.8	1184	1595	5.26%	15.45%	79.29%	-2.51	-4.5	21
2021-08-11	Kauno Zalgiris	W 2-0	45.8	1495	1483	41.38%	28.69%	29.93%	+0.24	+18.3	46
2021-08-11	@ Suduva	L 0-2	45.8	1483	1495	29.93%	28.69%	41.38%	-0.24	-18.3	39
2021-08-13	Banga Gargzdai	W 3-1	37.4	1374	1180	62.32%	24.26%	13.42%	+1.28	+7.8	41
2021-08-13	@ Panevezys	L 1-3	37.4	1180	1374	13.42%	24.26%	62.32%	-1.28	-7.8	21
2021-08-15	Hegelmann Litauen	W 2-1	49.7	1464	1410	46.89%	28.16%	24.95%	+0.48	+8.0	42
2021-08-15	@ Kauno Zalgiris	L 1-2	49.7	1410	1464	24.95%	28.16%	46.89%	-0.48	-8.0	38
2021-08-15	Suduva	L 1-3	43.8	1335	1513	18.57%	26.67%	54.76%	-0.86	-10.7	30
2021-08-15	@ Riteriai	W 3-1	43.8	1513	1335	54.76%	26.67%	18.57%	+0.86	+10.7	49
2021-08-20	Kauno Zalgiris	L 0-1	37.2	1266	1472	16.43%	25.84%	57.73%	-1.01	-5.8	25
2021-08-20	@ DFK Dainava	W 1-0	37.2	1472	1266	57.73%	25.84%	16.43%	+1.01	+5.8	45
2021-08-21	Panevezys	D 2-2	59.4	1285	1382	26.70%	28.40%	44.90%	-0.39	+0.8	26
2021-08-21	@ Dziugas	D 2-2	59.4	1382	1285	44.90%	28.40%	26.70%	+0.39	-0.8	42
2021-08-21	Riteriai	D 1-1	52.3	1172	1324	20.90%	27.35%	51.75%	-0.70	+1.9	22
2021-08-21	@ Banga Gargzdai	D 1-1	52.3	1324	1172	51.75%	27.35%	20.90%	+0.70	-1.9	31
2021-08-22	FK Nevezis	W 2-0	25.8	1524	1088	80.87%	14.44%	4.69%	+2.66	+2.7	52
2021-08-22	@ Suduva	L 0-2	25.8	1088	1524	4.69%	14.44%	80.87%	-2.66	-2.7	9
2021-08-22	Zalgiris	D 1-1	62.2	1402	1599	17.12%	26.13%	56.75%	-0.96	+2.6	39
2021-08-22	@ Hegelmann Litauen	D 1-1	62.2	1599	1402	56.75%	26.13%	17.12%	+0.96	-2.6	45
2021-08-25	Kauno Zalgiris	W 4-0	44.5	1381	1478	26.67%	28.39%	44.93%	-0.39	+47.1	45
2021-08-25	@ Panevezys	L 0-4	44.5	1478	1381	44.93%	28.39%	26.67%	+0.39	-47.1	45
2021-08-27	Hegelmann Litauen	L 1-2	60.1	1527	1405	54.91%	26.63%	18.46%	+0.86	-14.7	52
2021-08-27	@ Suduva	W 2-1	60.1	1405	1527	18.46%	26.63%	54.91%	-0.86	+14.7	42
2021-08-28	Banga Gargzdai	L 0-3	34.4	1085	1174	27.65%	28.50%	43.84%	-0.34	-25.1	9
2021-08-28	@ FK Nevezis	W 3-0	34.4	1174	1085	43.84%	28.50%	27.65%	+0.34	+25.1	25
2021-08-29	Riteriai	L 0-2	45.7	1428	1322	53.14%	27.05%	19.80%	+0.77	-28.5	45
2021-08-29	@ Panevezys	W 2-0	45.7	1322	1428	19.80%	27.05%	53.14%	-0.77	+28.5	34
2021-08-29	Zalgiris	L 2-4	43.5	1260	1597	9.35%	20.93%	69.72%	-1.76	-4.7	25
2021-08-29	@ DFK Dainava	W 4-2	43.5	1597	1260	69.72%	20.93%	9.35%	+1.76	+4.7	48
2021-09-10	Hegelmann Litauen	D 0-0	49.7	1351	1419	30.13%	28.70%	41.16%	-0.23	+0.7	35
2021-09-10	@ Riteriai	D 0-0	49.7	1419	1351	41.16%	28.70%	30.13%	+0.23	-0.7	43
2021-09-11	Panevezys	L 1-3	34.7	1060	1400	9.22%	20.80%	69.98%	-1.78	-5.2	9
2021-09-11	@ FK Nevezis	W 3-1	34.7	1400	1060	69.98%	20.80%	9.22%	+1.78	+5.2	48
2021-09-11	Suduva	L 2-3	49.3	1286	1512	15.06%	25.19%	59.75%	-1.13	-4.8	26
2021-09-11	@ Dziugas	W 3-2	49.3	1512	1286	59.75%	25.19%	15.06%	+1.13	+4.8	55
2021-09-12	Banga Gargzdai	W 3-1	41.6	1255	1199	47.19%	28.12%	24.69%	+0.49	+13.7	28
2021-09-12	@ DFK Dainava	L 1-3	41.6	1199	1255	24.69%	28.12%	47.19%	-0.49	-13.7	25
2021-09-12	Zalgiris	L 0-2	44.1	1431	1601	19.27%	26.89%	53.84%	-0.81	-12.8	45
2021-09-12	@ Kauno Zalgiris	W 2-0	44.1	1601	1431	53.84%	26.89%	19.27%	+0.81	+12.8	51
2021-09-15	Zalgiris	D 1-1	63.0	1405	1614	16.22%	25.75%	58.03%	-1.03	+2.7	49
2021-09-15	@ Panevezys	D 1-1	63.0	1614	1405	58.03%	25.75%	16.22%	+1.03	-2.7	52
2021-09-17	Suduva	L 1-2	42.9	1269	1517	13.70%	24.43%	61.88%	-1.25	-4.6	28
2021-09-17	@ DFK Dainava	W 2-1	42.9	1517	1269	61.88%	24.43%	13.70%	+1.25	+4.6	58
2021-09-18	Kauno Zalgiris	L 2-3	46.4	1185	1418	14.61%	24.95%	60.44%	-1.17	-4.7	25
2021-09-18	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 3-2	46.4	1418	1185	60.44%	24.95%	14.61%	+1.17	+4.7	48
2021-09-18	Zalgiris	W 2-1	61.4	1281	1611	9.60%	21.19%	69.21%	-1.72	+17.7	29
2021-09-18	@ Dziugas	L 1-2	61.4	1611	1281	69.21%	21.19%	9.60%	+1.72	-17.7	52
2021-09-19	FK Nevezis	W 4-0	26.2	1351	1055	71.17%	20.18%	8.66%	+1.86	+10.5	38
2021-09-19	@ Riteriai	L 0-4	26.2	1055	1351	8.66%	20.18%	71.17%	-1.86	-10.5	9
2021-09-19	Panevezys	W 1-0	43.9	1419	1408	41.21%	28.70%	30.09%	+0.23	+9.8	46
2021-09-19	@ Hegelmann Litauen	L 0-1	43.9	1408	1419	30.09%	28.70%	41.21%	-0.23	-9.8	49
2021-09-24	DFK Dainava	D 0-0	48.8	1398	1264	56.15%	26.30%	17.55%	+0.93	-2.8	50
2021-09-24	@ Panevezys	D 0-0	48.8	1264	1398	17.55%	26.30%	56.15%	-0.93	+2.8	29
2021-09-25	FK Nevezis	W 2-0	26.2	1423	1044	77.19%	16.74%	6.07%	+2.33	+3.6	51
2021-09-25	@ Kauno Zalgiris	L 0-2	26.2	1044	1423	6.07%	16.74%	77.19%	-2.33	-3.6	9
2021-09-25	Riteriai	D 1-1	61.5	1594	1362	65.76%	22.83%	11.41%	+1.49	-3.6	53
2021-09-25	@ Zalgiris	D 1-1	61.5	1362	1594	11.41%	22.83%	65.76%	-1.49	+3.6	39
2021-09-26	Banga Gargzdai	W 4-0	26.9	1521	1180	74.54%	18.31%	7.15%	+2.11	+8.4	61
2021-09-26	@ Suduva	L 0-4	26.9	1180	1521	7.15%	18.31%	74.54%	-2.11	-8.4	25
2021-09-26	Dziugas	D 1-1	54.4	1428	1299	55.75%	26.41%	17.84%	+0.91	-2.4	47
2021-09-26	@ Hegelmann Litauen	D 1-1	54.4	1299	1428	17.84%	26.41%	55.75%	-0.91	+2.4	30
2021-10-01	Kauno Zalgiris	D 0-0	50.1	1365	1426	31.14%	28.76%	40.10%	-0.18	+0.6	40
2021-10-01	@ Riteriai	D 0-0	50.1	1426	1365	40.10%	28.76%	31.14%	+0.18	-0.6	52
2021-10-02	Dziugas	D 1-1	53.0	1041	1301	12.96%	23.96%	63.09%	-1.32	+3.3	10
2021-10-02	@ FK Nevezis	D 1-1	53.0	1301	1041	63.09%	23.96%	12.96%	+1.32	-3.3	31
2021-10-02	Hegelmann Litauen	D 1-1	53.7	1267	1426	20.29%	27.19%	52.52%	-0.74	+2.0	30
2021-10-02	@ DFK Dainava	D 1-1	53.7	1426	1267	52.52%	27.19%	20.29%	+0.74	-2.0	48
2021-10-03	Suduva	D 1-1	59.0	1395	1530	22.57%	27.74%	49.69%	-0.60	+1.7	51
2021-10-03	@ Panevezys	D 1-1	59.0	1530	1395	49.69%	27.74%	22.57%	+0.60	-1.7	62
2021-10-03	Zalgiris	L 0-3	27.5	1172	1590	6.58%	17.52%	75.90%	-2.22	-5.8	25
2021-10-03	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 3-0	27.5	1590	1172	75.90%	17.52%	6.58%	+2.22	+5.8	56
2021-10-14	FK Nevezis	W 6-0	23.9	1596	1044	86.91%	10.37%	2.73%	+3.32	+3.9	59
2021-10-14	@ Zalgiris	L 0-6	23.9	1044	1596	2.73%	10.37%	86.91%	-3.32	-3.9	10
2021-10-15	Riteriai	D 1-1	58.6	1528	1366	59.15%	25.39%	15.45%	+1.09	-2.8	63
2021-10-15	@ Suduva	D 1-1	58.6	1366	1528	15.45%	25.39%	59.15%	-1.09	+2.8	41
2021-10-16	DFK Dainava	D 1-1	52.2	1298	1269	43.58%	28.52%	27.89%	+0.33	-0.9	32
2021-10-16	@ Dziugas	D 1-1	52.2	1269	1298	27.89%	28.52%	43.58%	-0.33	+0.9	31
2021-10-16	Kauno Zalgiris	L 1-2	53.5	1424	1426	39.41%	28.79%	31.80%	+0.15	-11.2	48
2021-10-16	@ Hegelmann Litauen	W 2-1	53.5	1426	1424	31.80%	28.79%	39.41%	-0.15	+11.2	55
2021-10-17	Panevezys	W 2-1	54.4	1166	1397	14.78%	25.04%	60.18%	-1.15	+15.8	28
2021-10-17	@ Banga Gargzdai	L 1-2	54.4	1397	1166	60.18%	25.04%	14.78%	+1.15	-15.8	51
2021-10-18	FK Nevezis	W 3-1	30.5	1600	1040	87.26%	10.12%	2.62%	+3.37	+1.2	62
2021-10-18	@ Zalgiris	L 1-3	30.5	1040	1600	2.62%	10.12%	87.26%	-3.37	-1.2	10
2021-10-20	Dziugas	L 0-1	49.3	1437	1297	56.87%	26.10%	17.03%	+0.97	-16.0	55
2021-10-20	@ Kauno Zalgiris	W 1-0	49.3	1297	1437	17.03%	26.10%	56.87%	-0.97	+16.0	35
2021-10-24	Dziugas	W 3-2	54.4	1270	1313	33.61%	28.85%	37.54%	-0.08	+10.3	34
2021-10-24	@ DFK Dainava	L 2-3	54.4	1313	1270	37.54%	28.85%	33.61%	+0.08	-10.3	35
2021-10-27	Panevezys	D 1-1	55.2	1421	1381	45.10%	28.38%	26.52%	+0.40	-1.1	56
2021-10-27	@ Kauno Zalgiris	D 1-1	55.2	1381	1421	26.52%	28.38%	45.10%	-0.40	+1.1	52
2021-10-27	Suduva	W 3-2	63.1	1601	1525	49.56%	27.76%	22.68%	+0.60	+7.0	65
2021-10-27	@ Zalgiris	L 2-3	63.1	1525	1601	22.68%	27.76%	49.56%	-0.60	-7.0	63
2021-10-29	Banga Gargzdai	D 0-0	48.5	1369	1182	61.58%	24.54%	13.88%	+1.23	-3.5	42
2021-10-29	@ Riteriai	D 0-0	48.5	1182	1369	13.88%	24.54%	61.58%	-1.23	+3.5	29
2021-10-30	Hegelmann Litauen	W 2-1	50.2	1608	1413	62.40%	24.23%	13.37%	+1.28	+4.5	68
2021-10-30	@ Zalgiris	L 1-2	50.2	1413	1608	13.37%	24.23%	62.40%	-1.28	-4.5	48
2021-10-30	Suduva	L 0-3	24.1	1039	1518	5.02%	15.02%	79.97%	-2.57	-4.2	10
2021-10-30	@ FK Nevezis	W 3-0	24.1	1518	1039	79.97%	15.02%	5.02%	+2.57	+4.2	66
2021-10-31	DFK Dainava	W 2-0	33.9	1420	1280	56.81%	26.11%	17.08%	+0.96	+11.4	59
2021-10-31	@ Kauno Zalgiris	L 0-2	33.9	1280	1420	17.08%	26.11%	56.81%	-0.96	-11.4	34
2021-10-31	Dziugas	D 2-2	59.8	1382	1303	49.99%	27.69%	22.33%	+0.62	-1.3	53
2021-10-31	@ Panevezys	D 2-2	59.8	1303	1382	22.33%	27.69%	49.99%	-0.62	+1.3	36
2021-11-03	Zalgiris	D 2-2	72.5	1522	1612	27.51%	28.49%	44.01%	-0.35	+0.7	67
2021-11-03	@ Suduva	D 2-2	72.5	1612	1522	44.01%	28.49%	27.51%	+0.35	-0.7	69
2021-11-05	Panevezys	L 1-2	50.6	1365	1381	37.52%	28.85%	33.63%	+0.08	-10.8	42
2021-11-05	@ Riteriai	W 2-1	50.6	1381	1365	33.63%	28.85%	37.52%	-0.08	+10.8	56
2021-11-06	Kauno Zalgiris	L 1-5	39.1	1304	1431	23.33%	27.89%	48.78%	-0.56	-23.8	36
2021-11-06	@ Dziugas	W 5-1	39.1	1431	1304	48.78%	27.89%	23.33%	+0.56	+23.8	62
2021-11-07	Suduva	W 2-1	58.2	1408	1523	24.64%	28.11%	47.24%	-0.49	+12.9	51
2021-11-07	@ Hegelmann Litauen	L 1-2	58.2	1523	1408	47.24%	28.11%	24.64%	+0.49	-12.9	67
2021-11-07	Zalgiris	L 0-2	33.8	1269	1612	9.10%	20.67%	70.22%	-1.79	-5.9	34
2021-11-07	@ DFK Dainava	W 2-0	33.8	1612	1269	70.22%	20.67%	9.10%	+1.79	+5.9	72
2021-11-19	DFK Dainava	D 1-1	51.8	1186	1263	29.03%	28.63%	42.34%	-0.28	+0.8	30
2021-11-19	@ Banga Gargzdai	D 1-1	51.8	1263	1186	42.34%	28.63%	29.03%	+0.28	-0.8	35
2021-11-19	Kauno Zalgiris	D 0-0	60.3	1618	1455	59.18%	25.38%	15.44%	+1.09	-3.2	73
2021-11-19	@ Zalgiris	D 0-0	60.3	1455	1618	15.44%	25.38%	59.18%	-1.09	+3.2	63
2021-11-20	Dziugas	W 3-1	39.1	1510	1280	65.60%	22.90%	11.50%	+1.48	+6.6	70
2021-11-20	@ Suduva	L 1-3	39.1	1280	1510	11.50%	22.90%	65.60%	-1.48	-6.6	36
2021-11-20	Riteriai	D 0-0	50.0	1421	1354	48.45%	27.94%	23.61%	+0.55	-1.7	52
2021-11-20	@ Hegelmann Litauen	D 0-0	50.0	1354	1421	23.61%	27.94%	48.45%	-0.55	+1.7	43
2021-11-21	FK Nevezis	W 3-0	25.0	1391	1035	75.69%	17.64%	6.67%	+2.21	+5.9	59
2021-11-21	@ Panevezys	L 0-3	25.0	1035	1391	6.67%	17.64%	75.69%	-2.21	-5.9	10
2021-11-24	FK Nevezis	W 3-1	37.8	1186	1029	58.70%	25.54%	15.76%	+1.07	+9.2	33
2021-11-24	@ Banga Gargzdai	L 1-3	37.8	1029	1186	15.76%	25.54%	58.70%	-1.07	-9.2	10
2021-11-24	Panevezys	W 2-0	40.1	1614	1397	64.42%	23.41%	12.17%	+1.41	+8.1	76
2021-11-24	@ Zalgiris	L 0-2	40.1	1397	1614	12.17%	23.41%	64.42%	-1.41	-8.1	59
2021-11-28	Banga Gargzdai	L 0-1	50.4	1458	1196	68.43%	21.58%	10.00%	+1.67	-18.6	63
2021-11-28	@ Kauno Zalgiris	W 1-0	50.4	1196	1458	10.00%	21.58%	68.43%	-1.67	+18.6	36
2021-11-28	DFK Dainava	L 0-1	52.1	1517	1262	67.73%	21.91%	10.35%	+1.62	-18.5	70
2021-11-28	@ Suduva	W 1-0	52.1	1262	1517	10.35%	21.91%	67.73%	-1.62	+18.5	38
2021-11-28	Dziugas	W 3-2	47.4	1622	1274	75.12%	17.97%	6.90%	+2.16	+2.0	79
2021-11-28	@ Zalgiris	L 2-3	47.4	1274	1622	6.90%	17.97%	75.12%	-2.16	-2.0	36
2021-11-28	Hegelmann Litauen	D 2-2	61.6	1389	1419	35.40%	28.87%	35.73%	-0.01	+0.0	60
2021-11-28	@ Panevezys	D 2-2	61.6	1419	1389	35.73%	28.87%	35.40%	+0.01	-0.0	53
2021-11-28	Riteriai	L 0-6	28.0	1020	1356	9.34%	20.92%	69.73%	-1.76	-16.8	10
2021-11-28	@ FK Nevezis	W 6-0	28.0	1356	1020	69.73%	20.92%	9.34%	+1.76	+16.8	46

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2021-09-18	9.60%	@ Dziugas	1281	2	Zalgiris	1611	1
2	2021-11-28	10.00%	Banga Gargzdai	1196	1	@ Kauno Zalgiris	1458	0
3	2021-11-28	10.35%	DFK Dainava	1262	1	@ Suduva	1517	0
4	2021-05-08	12.68%	@ Hegelmann Litauen	1298	2	Zalgiris	1564	1
5	2021-05-27	14.60%	@ Dziugas	1269	2	Suduva	1502	1
6	2021-10-17	14.78%	@ Banga Gargzdai	1166	2	Panevezys	1397	1
7	2021-03-07	16.22%	Panevezys	1277	1	@ Suduva	1428	0
8	2021-10-20	17.03%	Dziugas	1297	1	@ Kauno Zalgiris	1437	0
9	2021-06-26	17.64%	Panevezys	1373	2	@ Kauno Zalgiris	1505	1
10	2021-08-27	18.46%	Hegelmann Litauen	1405	2	@ Suduva	1527	1
11	2021-04-16	19.56%	Suduva	1455	2	@ Zalgiris	1564	1
12	2021-04-17	19.58%	Banga Gargzdai	1232	1	@ Hegelmann Litauen	1340	0
13	2021-08-29	19.80%	Riteriai	1322	2	@ Panevezys	1428	0
14	2021-05-03	21.90%	@ Panevezys	1350	2	Kauno Zalgiris	1491	1
15	2021-05-19	22.06%	@ FK Nevezis	1143	2	Dziugas	1283	1
16	2021-03-06	24.12%	FK Nevezis	1275	2	@ DFK Dainava	1337	0
17	2021-07-30	24.39%	@ Banga Gargzdai	1171	2	Dziugas	1288	1
18	2021-05-04	24.43%	DFK Dainava	1253	1	@ Hegelmann Litauen	1312	0
19	2021-11-07	24.64%	@ Hegelmann Litauen	1408	2	Suduva	1523	1
20	2021-07-03	25.85%	@ Dziugas	1263	2	Hegelmann Litauen	1367	1
21	2021-04-16	26.00%	Riteriai	1306	4	@ Dziugas	1351	1
22	2021-08-25	26.67%	@ Panevezys	1381	4	Kauno Zalgiris	1478	0
23	2021-05-08	27.47%	DFK Dainava	1267	3	@ Dziugas	1299	2
24	2021-05-19	27.58%	Hegelmann Litauen	1322	3	@ Riteriai	1353	1
25	2021-04-13	27.87%	@ Banga Gargzdai	1207	2	DFK Dainava	1294	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-08-25	47.11	@ Panevezys	4	1381	26.67%	Kauno Zalgiris	0	1478	44.93%	28.39%
2	2021-04-12	31.51	@ Riteriai	4	1274	45.34%	FK Nevezis	0	1232	26.31%	28.35%
3	2021-04-16	30.82	Riteriai	4	1306	26.00%	@ Dziugas	1	1351	45.68%	28.31%
4	2021-08-29	28.52	Riteriai	2	1322	19.80%	@ Panevezys	0	1428	53.14%	27.05%
5	2021-03-06	26.13	FK Nevezis	2	1275	24.12%	@ DFK Dainava	0	1337	47.85%	28.03%
6	2021-03-14	25.72	@ Kauno Zalgiris	5	1450	57.79%	FK Nevezis	0	1302	16.39%	25.82%
7	2021-08-28	25.08	Banga Gargzdai	3	1174	43.84%	@ FK Nevezis	0	1085	27.65%	28.50%
8	2021-04-13	24.25	@ Banga Gargzdai	2	1207	27.87%	DFK Dainava	0	1294	43.61%	28.52%
9	2021-11-06	23.83	Kauno Zalgiris	5	1431	48.78%	@ Dziugas	1	1304	23.33%	27.89%
10	2021-07-10	23.55	@ Dziugas	2	1276	29.33%	Riteriai	0	1351	42.02%	28.65%
11	2021-07-31	23.22	Hegelmann Litauen	6	1390	63.87%	@ FK Nevezis	0	1121	12.49%	23.64%
12	2021-04-29	22.28	Panevezys	2	1327	32.15%	@ Dziugas	0	1323	39.05%	28.80%
13	2021-05-19	22.12	@ Panevezys	3	1346	48.43%	DFK Dainava	0	1279	23.63%	27.94%
14	2021-06-18	21.50	Banga Gargzdai	2	1171	33.93%	@ FK Nevezis	0	1153	37.22%	28.85%
15	2021-08-07	21.15	@ Suduva	3	1474	49.91%	Panevezys	0	1395	22.39%	27.70%
16	2021-05-19	21.12	Hegelmann Litauen	3	1322	27.58%	@ Riteriai	1	1353	43.92%	28.49%
17	2021-04-08	20.74	@ Dziugas	3	1337	50.54%	FK Nevezis	0	1253	21.87%	27.59%
18	2021-04-20	19.56	@ Riteriai	2	1337	38.54%	Panevezys	0	1345	32.64%	28.82%
19	2021-04-09	19.36	Panevezys	3	1317	31.96%	@ DFK Dainava	1	1314	39.24%	28.80%
20	2021-11-28	18.60	Banga Gargzdai	1	1196	10.00%	@ Kauno Zalgiris	0	1458	68.43%	21.58%
21	2021-11-28	18.46	DFK Dainava	1	1262	10.35%	@ Suduva	0	1517	67.73%	21.91%
22	2021-08-11	18.34	@ Suduva	2	1495	41.38%	Kauno Zalgiris	0	1483	29.93%	28.69%
23	2021-06-11	17.70	Zalgiris	2	1568	42.86%	@ Suduva	0	1486	28.56%	28.59%
24	2021-09-18	17.68	@ Dziugas	2	1281	9.60%	Zalgiris	1	1611	69.21%	21.19%
25	2021-04-25	17.37	Kauno Zalgiris	5	1471	57.82%	@ Banga Gargzdai	1	1264	16.37%	25.82%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-11-03	72.5	@ Suduva	2	1522	27.51%	Zalgiris	2	1612	44.01%	28.49%
2	2021-05-28	70.6	@ Zalgiris	2	1569	48.59%	Kauno Zalgiris	2	1501	23.49%	27.92%
3	2021-08-02	70.3	@ Kauno Zalgiris	3	1486	41.38%	Suduva	3	1473	29.93%	28.69%
4	2021-04-20	65.0	@ Zalgiris	2	1550	65.59%	Dziugas	2	1320	11.51%	22.90%
5	2021-03-13	64.4	@ Zalgiris	2	1538	65.31%	DFK Dainava	2	1311	11.67%	23.03%
6	2021-06-20	63.5	@ Hegelmann Litauen	2	1357	21.17%	Kauno Zalgiris	2	1506	51.40%	27.42%
7	2021-10-27	63.1	@ Zalgiris	3	1601	49.56%	Suduva	2	1525	22.68%	27.76%
8	2021-04-16	63.0	Suduva	2	1455	19.56%	@ Zalgiris	1	1564	53.45%	26.98%
9	2021-09-15	63.0	@ Panevezys	1	1405	16.22%	Zalgiris	1	1614	58.03%	25.75%
10	2021-08-22	62.2	@ Hegelmann Litauen	1	1402	17.12%	Zalgiris	1	1599	56.75%	26.13%
11	2021-11-28	61.6	@ Panevezys	2	1389	35.40%	Hegelmann Litauen	2	1419	35.73%	28.87%
12	2021-09-25	61.5	@ Zalgiris	1	1594	65.76%	Riteriai	1	1362	11.41%	22.83%
13	2021-09-18	61.4	@ Dziugas	2	1281	9.60%	Zalgiris	1	1611	69.21%	21.19%
14	2021-11-19	60.3	@ Zalgiris	0	1618	59.18%	Kauno Zalgiris	0	1455	15.44%	25.38%
15	2021-08-27	60.1	Hegelmann Litauen	2	1405	18.46%	@ Suduva	1	1527	54.91%	26.63%
16	2021-10-31	59.8	@ Panevezys	2	1382	49.99%	Dziugas	2	1303	22.33%	27.69%
17	2021-05-08	59.6	@ Hegelmann Litauen	2	1298	12.68%	Zalgiris	1	1564	63.55%	23.77%
18	2021-04-13	59.4	@ Panevezys	2	1336	39.15%	Hegelmann Litauen	2	1340	32.05%	28.80%
19	2021-08-21	59.4	@ Dziugas	2	1285	26.70%	Panevezys	2	1382	44.90%	28.40%
20	2021-05-07	59.0	@ Banga Gargzdai	2	1232	22.91%	Panevezys	2	1363	49.29%	27.81%
21	2021-10-03	59.0	@ Panevezys	1	1395	22.57%	Suduva	1	1530	49.69%	27.74%
22	2021-04-02	58.7	@ Riteriai	2	1292	36.60%	DFK Dainava	2	1314	34.54%	28.86%
23	2021-04-23	58.7	@ Riteriai	1	1356	17.59%	Zalgiris	1	1547	56.09%	26.32%
24	2021-10-15	58.6	@ Suduva	1	1528	59.15%	Riteriai	1	1366	15.45%	25.39%
25	2021-06-26	58.5	Panevezys	2	1373	17.64%	@ Kauno Zalgiris	1	1505	56.02%	26.34%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-10-14	23.9	@ Zalgiris	6	1596	86.91%	FK Nevezis	0	1044	2.73%	10.37%
2	2021-10-30	24.1	Suduva	3	1518	79.97%	@ FK Nevezis	0	1039	5.02%	15.02%
3	2021-11-21	25.0	@ Panevezys	3	1391	75.69%	FK Nevezis	0	1035	6.67%	17.64%
4	2021-08-22	25.8	@ Suduva	2	1524	80.87%	FK Nevezis	0	1088	4.69%	14.44%
5	2021-09-19	26.2	@ Riteriai	4	1351	71.17%	FK Nevezis	0	1055	8.66%	20.18%
6	2021-09-25	26.2	@ Kauno Zalgiris	2	1423	77.19%	FK Nevezis	0	1044	6.07%	16.74%
7	2021-06-27	26.6	@ Zalgiris	2	1596	82.50%	FK Nevezis	0	1132	4.13%	13.38%
8	2021-08-09	26.8	@ Zalgiris	3	1595	79.29%	Banga Gargzdai	0	1184	5.26%	15.45%
9	2021-09-26	26.9	@ Suduva	4	1521	74.54%	Banga Gargzdai	0	1180	7.15%	18.31%
10	2021-05-04	27.3	Zalgiris	3	1557	74.25%	@ FK Nevezis	0	1162	7.27%	18.48%
11	2021-10-03	27.5	Zalgiris	3	1590	75.90%	@ Banga Gargzdai	0	1172	6.58%	17.52%
12	2021-11-28	28.0	Riteriai	6	1356	69.73%	@ FK Nevezis	0	1020	9.34%	20.92%
13	2021-05-16	29.1	@ Suduva	4	1501	68.85%	Banga Gargzdai	0	1233	9.78%	21.37%
14	2021-05-09	29.4	Suduva	2	1495	69.95%	@ FK Nevezis	0	1156	9.24%	20.81%
15	2021-04-07	29.6	@ Zalgiris	2	1550	74.38%	Banga Gargzdai	0	1212	7.22%	18.41%
16	2021-07-17	29.8	@ Hegelmann Litauen	2	1368	65.73%	FK Nevezis	0	1136	11.43%	22.84%
17	2021-07-31	30.0	Hegelmann Litauen	6	1390	63.87%	@ FK Nevezis	0	1121	12.49%	23.64%
18	2021-10-18	30.5	@ Zalgiris	3	1600	87.26%	FK Nevezis	1	1040	2.62%	10.12%
19	2021-06-15	30.9	@ Riteriai	3	1328	56.96%	Banga Gargzdai	0	1187	16.97%	26.07%
20	2021-08-06	31.0	@ Dziugas	2	1275	60.74%	FK Nevezis	0	1097	14.42%	24.85%
21	2021-07-02	31.7	Suduva	2	1465	63.00%	@ Banga Gargzdai	0	1205	13.01%	23.99%
22	2021-06-18	33.0	Zalgiris	3	1585	66.57%	@ Dziugas	0	1286	10.97%	22.46%
23	2021-04-08	33.1	@ Dziugas	3	1337	50.54%	FK Nevezis	0	1253	21.87%	27.59%
24	2021-03-14	33.4	@ Kauno Zalgiris	5	1450	57.79%	FK Nevezis	0	1302	16.39%	25.82%
25	2021-11-07	33.8	Zalgiris	2	1612	70.22%	@ DFK Dainava	0	1269	9.10%	20.67%