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1946-47 Luxembourg National Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Stade Dudelange

38 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Stade Dudelange

5.79 points above expected

38 points · 32.21 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

CS Petange

5.27 points below expected

12 points · 17.27 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Stade Dudelange 22 19 0 3 38 73 21 +52 32.21 +5.79
2 US Dudelange 22 13 2 7 28 42 31 +11 27.55 +0.45
3 Fola Esch 22 11 3 8 25 48 50 -2 19.97 +5.03
4 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 22 11 2 9 24 40 38 +2 24.10 -0.10
5 FC Schifflange 95 22 10 3 9 23 52 47 +5 21.77 +1.23
6 Differdange 03 22 9 4 9 22 44 38 +6 23.83 -1.83
7 Spora Luxembourg 22 8 5 9 21 41 43 -2 21.22 -0.22
8 Progres Niedercorn 22 7 7 8 21 40 48 -8 22.27 -1.27
9 Jeunesse Esch 22 8 4 10 20 32 33 -1 17.70 +2.30
10 Racing Rodange 22 5 5 12 15 32 40 -8 15.92 -0.92
11 Chiers Rodange 22 6 3 13 15 30 45 -15 20.19 -5.19
12 CS Petange 22 5 2 15 12 26 66 -40 17.27 -5.27

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Stade Dudelange 38 32.21 +5.79
2 Fola Esch 25 19.97 +5.03
3 Jeunesse Esch 20 17.70 +2.30
4 FC Schifflange 95 23 21.77 +1.23
5 US Dudelange 28 27.55 +0.45

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 CS Petange 12 17.27 -5.27
2 Chiers Rodange 15 20.19 -5.19
3 Differdange 03 22 23.83 -1.83
4 Progres Niedercorn 21 22.27 -1.27
5 Racing Rodange 15 15.92 -0.92

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Jeunesse Esch 4 Dec 8 – Jan 19 1 in 237
2 Fola Esch 5 Nov 3 – Dec 15 1 in 70
3 Stade Dudelange 9 Dec 22 – Jun 8 1 in 40
4 US Dudelange 6 Aug 25 – Oct 13 1 in 13
5 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 3 Sep 8 – Sep 22 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Chiers Rodange 8 Dec 8 – Mar 30 1 in 1,133
2 CS Petange 5 Jan 19 – Apr 20 1 in 47
3 Stade Dudelange 2 Dec 8 – Dec 15 1 in 33
4 Progres Niedercorn 3 Jan 19 – Mar 16 1 in 19
5 Racing Rodange 5 Oct 27 – Dec 8 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Jeunesse Esch 5 Dec 8 – Jan 26 1 in 65
2 Fola Esch 6 Jan 19 – Apr 27 1 in 52
3 Progres Niedercorn 7 Oct 27 – Dec 22 1 in 27
4 Spora Luxembourg 5 Jan 19 – Apr 20 1 in 15
5 CS Petange 3 Sep 29 – Oct 20 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Chiers Rodange 8 Dec 8 – Mar 30 1 in 68
2 Jeunesse Esch 7 Jan 26 – Jun 8 1 in 18
3 Spora Luxembourg 4 Sep 22 – Oct 20 1 in 11
4 Progres Niedercorn 5 Aug 25 – Sep 29 1 in 9
5 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 3 Sep 29 – Oct 20 1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Stade Dudelange 1366 38 +21 10 7.3 +2.7
US Dudelange 1203 28 +1 5 6.0 -1.0
Fola Esch 1097 25 +3 5 4.3 +0.7
Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1153 24 -17 5 5.5 -0.5
FC Schifflange 95 1104 23 +0 6 5.9 +0.1
Differdange 03 1163 22 +2 5 6.1 -1.1
Progres Niedercorn 1123 21 +8 8 5.7 +2.3
Spora Luxembourg 1092 21 -10 4 5.1 -1.1
Jeunesse Esch 1024 20 -13 1 3.3 -2.3
Racing Rodange 1010 15 +36 6 3.6 +2.4
Chiers Rodange 1058 15 -15 3 5.2 -2.2
CS Petange 981 12 -12 4 3.3 +0.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team CP CR D0 FS9 FE JE PN RFUL RR SL SD UD
CS Petange —
1-0-1
2.32
1-0-1
2.00
0-0-2
2.31
0-1-1
2.42
2-0-0
2.70
0-0-2
2.03
0-1-1
1.81
1-0-1
3.12
0-0-2
2.42
0-0-2
1.11
0-0-2
1.78
Chiers Rodange
1-0-1
3.36
 —
0-1-1
2.40
1-0-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.93
1-0-1
3.54
0-1-1
2.55
0-0-2
2.35
1-1-0
3.43
0-0-2
2.93
1-0-1
1.40
0-0-2
2.09
Differdange 03
1-0-1
3.69
1-1-0
3.28
 —
1-0-1
3.14
0-0-2
3.29
0-1-1
3.78
0-2-0
2.84
1-0-1
2.83
2-0-0
3.92
1-0-1
3.13
1-0-1
1.88
1-0-1
2.40
FC Schifflange 95
2-0-0
3.38
1-0-1
3.07
1-0-1
2.54
 —
1-0-1
2.98
0-0-2
3.44
1-1-0
2.53
1-0-1
2.41
1-0-1
3.68
1-1-0
2.86
1-0-1
1.51
0-1-1
2.20
Fola Esch
1-1-0
3.26
1-0-1
2.75
2-0-0
2.40
1-0-1
2.70
 —
1-0-1
3.22
2-0-0
2.42
0-0-2
2.37
1-1-0
3.54
0-1-1
2.83
0-0-2
1.36
2-0-0
1.93
Jeunesse Esch
0-0-2
2.98
1-0-1
2.14
1-1-0
1.91
2-0-0
2.24
1-0-1
2.46
 —
0-1-1
2.05
0-0-2
1.91
0-2-0
3.15
2-0-0
2.13
0-0-2
1.06
1-0-1
1.63
Progres Niedercorn
2-0-0
3.66
1-1-0
3.13
0-2-0
2.84
0-1-1
3.16
0-0-2
3.26
1-1-0
3.64
 —
1-0-1
2.67
0-0-1
1.47
1-2-0
4.01
0-0-2
1.63
1-0-1
2.44
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1-1-0
3.88
2-0-0
3.33
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
3.27
2-0-0
3.31
2-0-0
3.78
1-0-1
3.01
 —
1-0-1
4.03
0-1-1
3.35
0-0-2
1.96
0-0-2
2.57
Racing Rodange
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
2.25
0-0-2
1.77
1-0-1
2.00
0-1-1
2.15
0-2-0
2.53
1-0-0
1.37
1-0-1
1.66
 —
1-0-1
2.14
0-0-2
1.02
0-1-2
1.82
Spora Luxembourg
2-0-0
3.26
2-0-0
2.75
1-0-1
2.55
0-1-1
2.82
1-1-0
2.85
0-0-2
3.55
0-2-1
4.51
1-1-0
2.34
1-0-1
3.54
 —
0-0-2
1.44
0-0-1
0.61
Stade Dudelange
2-0-0
4.60
1-0-1
4.30
1-0-1
3.81
1-0-1
4.19
2-0-0
4.33
2-0-0
4.65
2-0-0
4.06
2-0-0
3.73
2-0-0
4.69
2-0-0
4.26
 —
2-0-0
3.72
US Dudelange
2-0-0
3.91
2-0-0
3.60
1-0-1
3.28
1-1-0
3.48
0-0-2
3.75
1-0-1
4.07
1-0-1
3.24
2-0-0
3.11
2-1-0
6.74
1-0-0
2.23
0-0-2
1.96
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.84 +5.0
Allowed 0.54 -4.4
Differential 0.88 +3.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%7.20%4.55%3.03%1.52%1.14%20.45%
17.20%6.06%6.44%4.55%3.79%1.52%29.55%
24.55%6.44%3.03%2.65%1.14%2.27%20.08%
33.03%4.55%2.65%1.52%0.76%1.52%14.02%
41.52%3.79%1.14%0.76%1.52%0.38%9.09%
5+1.14%1.52%2.27%1.52%0.38%—6.82%
Total20.45%29.55%20.08%14.02%9.09%6.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.89 1.89 +0.00
SD 1.71 1.71 2.47
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 12 12 +12
Min 0 0 -12

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%13.64%——4.55%31.82%
19.09%4.55%—9.09%4.55%9.09%36.36%
2—4.55%4.55%—4.55%4.55%18.18%
3——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%22.73%22.73%13.64%9.09%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 3.00 -1.82
SD 1.14 2.69 2.87
CV 0.96 0.90 —
Max 4 12 +1
Min 0 0 -12

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
14.55%4.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%36.36%
29.09%4.55%9.09%9.09%—4.55%36.36%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%22.73%22.73%22.73%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 2.05 -0.68
SD 0.90 1.62 1.94
CV 0.66 0.79 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
14.55%4.55%13.64%—4.55%—27.27%
2—9.09%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
3—9.09%——4.55%—13.64%
44.55%9.09%——4.55%—18.18%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total13.64%40.91%22.73%4.55%18.18%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.73 +0.27
SD 1.54 1.32 1.96
CV 0.77 0.76 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
1—9.09%—9.09%9.09%—27.27%
24.55%9.09%—4.55%—9.09%27.27%
39.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+—4.55%—9.09%——13.64%
Total13.64%31.82%9.09%27.27%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.36 2.14 +0.23
SD 1.81 1.55 2.45
CV 0.77 0.73 —
Max 7 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%—4.55%4.55%18.18%
1—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
2—27.27%4.55%4.55%——36.36%
3——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
4—4.55%—4.55%—4.55%13.64%
5+——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
Total—40.91%22.73%22.73%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 2.27 -0.09
SD 1.65 1.55 2.31
CV 0.76 0.68 —
Max 6 7 +3
Min 0 1 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%——4.55%—27.27%
19.09%4.55%13.64%4.55%——31.82%
24.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total22.73%31.82%22.73%18.18%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.50 -0.05
SD 1.37 1.19 1.59
CV 0.94 0.79 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%——4.55%4.55%22.73%
14.55%9.09%9.09%—4.55%4.55%31.82%
29.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
3—————4.55%4.55%
4—9.09%——9.09%—18.18%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total22.73%27.27%18.18%—18.18%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 2.18 -0.36
SD 1.68 2.08 2.54
CV 0.92 0.96 —
Max 6 7 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
118.18%4.55%9.09%———31.82%
2—————9.09%9.09%
34.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total31.82%18.18%31.82%4.55%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.73 +0.09
SD 1.94 1.91 2.88
CV 1.07 1.10 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%4.55%13.64%——31.82%
14.55%18.18%9.09%———31.82%
2——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
34.55%4.55%——4.55%4.55%18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total13.64%40.91%18.18%13.64%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.82 -0.36
SD 1.47 1.50 2.13
CV 1.01 0.83 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%13.64%——27.27%
14.55%4.55%—4.55%9.09%—22.73%
2—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
39.09%4.55%—4.55%—4.55%22.73%
44.55%—4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total27.27%18.18%9.09%27.27%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.95 -0.09
SD 1.61 1.62 2.37
CV 0.87 0.83 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%————9.09%
113.64%—4.55%———18.18%
29.09%4.55%————13.64%
34.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
49.09%4.55%————13.64%
5+4.55%—13.64%—4.55%—22.73%
Total40.91%31.82%22.73%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.32 0.95 +2.36
SD 2.73 1.05 2.74
CV 0.82 1.10 —
Max 12 4 +12
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
113.64%4.55%9.09%9.09%9.09%—45.45%
218.18%4.55%————22.73%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total31.82%27.27%18.18%13.64%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 1.41 +0.50
SD 1.27 1.33 2.02
CV 0.66 0.95 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Stade Dudelange 1366 38 32.21 +5.79 98.0% 22 26 30 32 34 37 40
US Dudelange 1203 28 27.55 +0.45 62.0% 19 21 25 27 30 33 39
Differdange 03 1163 22 23.83 -1.83 39.0% 14 18 21 24 26 31 37
Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1153 24 24.10 -0.10 52.0% 14 18 21 24 27 30 33
Progres Niedercorn 1123 21 22.27 -1.27 44.0% 14 16 20 22 25 29 34
FC Schifflange 95 1104 23 21.77 +1.23 64.0% 12 15 19 22 24 29 32
Fola Esch 1097 25 19.97 +5.03 93.0% 11 13 17 20 22 26 31
Spora Luxembourg 1092 21 21.22 -0.22 51.0% 12 15 18 21 24 28 32
Chiers Rodange 1058 15 20.19 -5.19 13.0% 10 14 17 20 23 27 32
Jeunesse Esch 1024 20 17.70 +2.30 79.0% 7 12 15 18 20 24 26
Racing Rodange 1010 15 15.92 -0.92 49.0% 8 10 13 16 19 22 27
CS Petange 981 12 17.27 -5.27 8.0% 9 12 15 17 19 23 26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+25.76%
Strong Edge
55.30%15.15%29.55%
Elo Value
Home Edge
130 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
091.55400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.86 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.71+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.8
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
74%
Stade Dudelange, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.45/gm
Runaway
00.180.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.12 * Some Luck: 3.12 to 4.68 * Lucky: 4.68 to 6.24 * Wild Swing: 6.24 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.57 * Close: 1.57 to 2.36 * Off: 2.36 to 3.15 * Way Off: 3.15 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.25 points
Some Luck
03.9010
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.67
Close
01.974
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Stade Dudelange
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
8.00%
CS Petange
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Balanced
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 102.80
1.58
Coin-Flip Parity
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
65%
Even
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
90%
Clear Edge
50%89%100%
Close Games
Expected
50%
Some Drama
0%46%100%
Blowouts
Expected
28%
Very Frequent
0%31%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.532
Matchup Imbalance
0.42
Notable Separation
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.78
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.73
Strong Carryover
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Shaky Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.60
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.97
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.087
Well Within Noise
00.1320.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Stade Dudelange74.00%19.00%5.00%1.00%———1.00%————
US Dudelange14.00%32.00%25.00%12.00%6.00%5.00%4.00%1.00%—1.00%——
Fola Esch1.00%1.00%6.00%5.00%7.00%12.00%14.00%11.00%15.00%4.00%17.00%7.00%
Racing FC Union Luxembourg2.00%14.00%16.00%19.00%12.00%10.00%9.00%5.00%4.00%7.00%1.00%1.00%
FC Schifflange 95—8.00%10.00%10.00%15.00%14.00%5.00%11.00%7.00%11.00%7.00%2.00%
Differdange 034.00%10.00%17.00%20.00%17.00%8.00%12.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%
Spora Luxembourg2.00%5.00%8.00%13.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%14.00%8.00%4.00%6.00%
Progres Niedercorn3.00%7.00%6.00%8.00%15.00%14.00%15.00%10.00%9.00%7.00%5.00%1.00%
Jeunesse Esch——2.00%1.00%4.00%8.00%11.00%14.00%16.00%9.00%21.00%14.00%
Racing Rodange—1.00%—1.00%1.00%5.00%2.00%14.00%8.00%14.00%21.00%33.00%
Chiers Rodange—3.00%5.00%7.00%9.00%12.00%12.00%12.00%9.00%15.00%7.00%9.00%
CS Petange———3.00%4.00%2.00%6.00%8.00%15.00%20.00%16.00%26.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Stade Dudelange 100% —
US Dudelange 99.00% 1.00%
Differdange 03 94.00% 6.00%
Racing FC Union Luxembourg 91.00% 9.00%
Progres Niedercorn 87.00% 13.00%
Spora Luxembourg 82.00% 18.00%
FC Schifflange 95 80.00% 20.00%
Fola Esch 72.00% 28.00%
Chiers Rodange 69.00% 31.00%
Jeunesse Esch 56.00% 44.00%
CS Petange 38.00% 62.00%
Racing Rodange 32.00% 68.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1946-08-25 Stade Dudelange L 1-440.5 1159 1290 42.88% 16.05% 41.07%-0.30 -12.2 0
1946-08-25 @ Differdange 03 W 4-140.5 1290 1159 41.07% 16.05% 42.88%+0.30 +12.2 2
1946-08-25 Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 2-142.6 1085 1172 49.01% 16.07% 34.91%+0.04 +4.2 2
1946-08-25 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 1-242.6 1172 1085 34.91% 16.07% 49.01%-0.04 -4.2 0
1946-08-25 Chiers Rodange L 1-245.9 990 1099 46.08% 16.07% 37.85%-0.13 -5.3 0
1946-08-25 @ Jeunesse Esch W 2-145.9 1099 990 37.85% 16.07% 46.08%+0.13 +5.3 2
1946-08-25 Fola Esch D 1-154.4 990 1092 47.01% 16.07% 36.92%-0.08 -0.3 1
1946-08-25 @ Racing Rodange D 1-154.4 1092 990 36.92% 16.07% 47.01%+0.08 +0.3 1
1946-08-25 CS Petange W 4-239.2 1103 1048 65.35% 15.71% 18.94%+1.13 +3.8 2
1946-08-25 @ Spora Luxembourg L 2-439.2 1048 1103 18.94% 15.71% 65.35%-1.13 -3.8 0
1946-08-25 Progres Niedercorn W 4-133.4 1194 1153 63.98% 15.78% 20.24%+1.02 +6.3 2
1946-08-25 @ US Dudelange L 1-433.4 1153 1194 20.24% 15.78% 63.98%-1.02 -6.3 0
1946-09-08 Fola Esch W 2-032.5 1104 1092 60.97% 15.89% 23.13%+0.80 +5.8 4
1946-09-08 @ Chiers Rodange L 0-232.5 1092 1104 23.13% 15.89% 60.97%-0.80 -5.8 1
1946-09-08 Spora Luxembourg W 4-139.2 985 1107 44.14% 16.06% 39.80%-0.24 +11.4 2
1946-09-08 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-439.2 1107 985 39.80% 16.06% 44.14%+0.24 -11.4 2
1946-09-08 Differdange 03 D 4-465.3 1147 1147 59.75% 15.93% 24.32%+0.71 -0.5 1
1946-09-08 @ Progres Niedercorn D 4-465.3 1147 1147 24.32% 15.93% 59.75%-0.71 +0.5 1
1946-09-08 Racing Rodange W 4-236.4 1168 990 74.65% 14.91% 10.44%+2.08 +2.1 2
1946-09-08 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 2-436.4 990 1168 10.44% 14.91% 74.65%-2.08 -2.1 1
1946-09-08 FC Schifflange 95 W 3-132.0 1302 1089 76.67% 14.60% 8.73%+2.35 +2.0 4
1946-09-08 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-332.0 1089 1302 8.73% 14.60% 76.67%-2.35 -2.0 2
1946-09-08 US Dudelange L 0-237.4 1044 1201 39.29% 16.00% 44.71%-0.50 -9.2 0
1946-09-08 @ CS Petange W 2-037.4 1201 1044 44.71% 16.00% 39.29%+0.50 +9.2 4
1946-09-15 CS Petange W 3-133.8 1147 1035 70.16% 15.39% 14.45%+1.57 +3.2 3
1946-09-15 @ Differdange 03 L 1-333.8 1035 1147 14.45% 15.39% 70.16%-1.57 -3.2 0
1946-09-15 Progres Niedercorn W 7-339.3 1087 1146 52.62% 16.06% 31.33%+0.25 +9.3 4
1946-09-15 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 3-739.3 1146 1087 31.33% 16.06% 52.62%-0.25 -9.3 1
1946-09-15 Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 0-143.3 1086 1170 49.49% 16.07% 34.44%+0.06 -6.0 1
1946-09-15 @ Fola Esch W 1-043.3 1170 1086 34.44% 16.07% 49.49%-0.06 +6.0 4
1946-09-15 Stade Dudelange L 0-134.4 988 1304 20.43% 15.25% 64.32%-1.73 -2.7 1
1946-09-15 @ Racing Rodange W 1-034.4 1304 988 64.32% 15.25% 20.43%+1.73 +2.7 6
1946-09-15 Chiers Rodange W 5-133.3 1096 1110 58.13% 15.97% 25.90%+0.60 +10.2 4
1946-09-15 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-533.3 1110 1096 25.90% 15.97% 58.13%-0.60 -10.2 4
1946-09-15 Jeunesse Esch W 2-134.3 1210 997 76.70% 14.60% 8.70%+2.35 +1.1 6
1946-09-15 @ US Dudelange L 1-234.3 997 1210 8.70% 14.60% 76.70%-2.35 -1.1 2
1946-09-22 Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 2-351.5 1100 1176 50.44% 16.07% 33.49%+0.12 -5.4 4
1946-09-22 @ Chiers Rodange W 3-251.5 1176 1100 33.49% 16.07% 50.44%-0.12 +5.4 6
1946-09-22 Differdange 03 W 2-145.4 995 1150 39.48% 16.01% 44.52%-0.49 +5.1 4
1946-09-22 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-245.4 1150 995 44.52% 16.01% 39.48%+0.49 -5.1 3
1946-09-22 Progres Niedercorn D 4-465.2 1106 1137 56.11% 16.01% 27.88%+0.47 -0.4 5
1946-09-22 @ Spora Luxembourg D 4-465.2 1137 1106 27.88% 16.01% 56.11%-0.47 +0.4 2
1946-09-22 Fola Esch W 2-134.2 1307 1080 77.37% 14.48% 8.15%+2.45 +1.1 8
1946-09-22 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-234.2 1080 1307 8.15% 14.48% 77.37%-2.45 -1.1 1
1946-09-22 FC Schifflange 95 L 3-551.9 1032 1096 51.95% 16.06% 31.99%+0.21 -8.6 0
1946-09-22 @ CS Petange W 5-351.9 1096 1032 31.99% 16.06% 51.95%-0.21 +8.6 6
1946-09-22 Racing Rodange W 1-030.4 1211 985 77.35% 14.48% 8.17%+2.45 +1.1 8
1946-09-22 @ US Dudelange L 0-130.4 985 1211 8.17% 14.48% 77.35%-2.45 -1.1 1
1946-09-29 Spora Luxembourg W 4-133.4 1145 1106 63.85% 15.78% 20.37%+1.01 +6.3 5
1946-09-29 @ Differdange 03 L 1-433.4 1106 1145 20.37% 15.78% 63.85%-1.01 -6.3 5
1946-09-29 Jeunesse Esch L 0-149.1 1105 1000 69.58% 15.44% 14.98%+1.51 -8.3 6
1946-09-29 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 1-049.1 1000 1105 14.98% 15.44% 69.58%-1.51 +8.3 6
1946-09-29 Progres Niedercorn W 2-141.5 1079 1138 52.77% 16.05% 31.18%+0.26 +3.8 3
1946-09-29 @ Fola Esch L 1-241.5 1138 1079 31.18% 16.05% 52.77%-0.26 -3.8 2
1946-09-29 Stade Dudelange L 2-641.8 1181 1308 43.51% 16.05% 40.44%-0.27 -13.5 6
1946-09-29 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 6-241.8 1308 1181 40.44% 16.05% 43.51%+0.27 +13.5 10
1946-09-29 CS Petange L 3-456.2 984 1023 55.15% 16.03% 28.83%+0.40 -5.8 1
1946-09-29 @ Racing Rodange W 4-356.2 1023 984 28.83% 16.03% 55.15%-0.40 +5.8 2
1946-09-29 Chiers Rodange W 3-133.7 1212 1094 70.62% 15.35% 14.02%+1.62 +3.2 10
1946-09-29 @ US Dudelange L 1-333.7 1094 1212 14.02% 15.35% 70.62%-1.62 -3.2 4
1946-10-13 Stade Dudelange W 1-045.0 1091 1321 29.60% 15.75% 54.65%-1.07 +6.5 6
1946-10-13 @ Chiers Rodange L 0-145.0 1321 1091 54.65% 15.75% 29.60%+1.07 -6.5 10
1946-10-13 Racing Rodange D 2-258.5 1009 978 62.92% 15.82% 21.25%+0.94 -0.9 7
1946-10-13 @ Jeunesse Esch D 2-258.5 978 1009 21.25% 15.82% 62.92%-0.94 +0.9 2
1946-10-13 Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 2-140.6 1134 1168 55.79% 16.02% 28.19%+0.45 +3.5 4
1946-10-13 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-240.6 1168 1134 28.19% 16.02% 55.79%-0.45 -3.5 6
1946-10-13 FC Schifflange 95 L 0-341.1 1099 1097 59.97% 15.92% 24.10%+0.73 -19.6 5
1946-10-13 @ Spora Luxembourg W 3-041.1 1097 1099 24.10% 15.92% 59.97%-0.73 +19.6 8
1946-10-13 Fola Esch D 2-258.5 1029 1083 53.28% 16.05% 30.67%+0.29 -0.5 3
1946-10-13 @ CS Petange D 2-258.5 1083 1029 30.67% 16.05% 53.28%-0.29 +0.5 4
1946-10-13 Differdange 03 W 1-033.9 1215 1152 66.12% 15.67% 18.21%+1.20 +2.5 12
1946-10-13 @ US Dudelange L 0-133.9 1152 1215 18.21% 15.67% 66.12%-1.20 -2.5 5
1946-10-20 Chiers Rodange D 2-258.6 1149 1097 64.99% 15.73% 19.28%+1.11 -1.0 6
1946-10-20 @ Differdange 03 D 2-258.6 1097 1149 19.28% 15.73% 64.99%-1.11 +1.0 7
1946-10-20 US Dudelange D 3-362.5 1116 1218 47.01% 16.07% 36.92%-0.08 -0.2 9
1946-10-20 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 3-362.5 1218 1116 36.92% 16.07% 47.01%+0.08 +0.2 13
1946-10-20 Jeunesse Esch L 2-356.3 1084 1008 67.19% 15.61% 17.21%+1.29 -7.2 4
1946-10-20 @ Fola Esch W 3-256.3 1008 1084 17.21% 15.61% 67.19%-1.29 +7.2 9
1946-10-20 CS Petange D 1-154.6 1164 1029 71.90% 15.23% 12.87%+1.75 -1.8 7
1946-10-20 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg D 1-154.6 1029 1164 12.87% 15.23% 71.90%-1.75 +1.8 4
1946-10-20 Spora Luxembourg W 3-034.1 979 1080 47.18% 16.07% 36.75%-0.07 +12.7 4
1946-10-20 @ Racing Rodange L 0-334.1 1080 979 36.75% 16.07% 47.18%+0.07 -12.7 5
1946-10-20 Progres Niedercorn W 1-031.5 1315 1137 74.65% 14.91% 10.44%+2.08 +1.4 12
1946-10-20 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-131.5 1137 1315 10.44% 14.91% 74.65%-2.08 -1.5 4
1946-10-27 Progres Niedercorn D 2-258.5 1098 1136 55.37% 16.02% 28.61%+0.42 -0.6 8
1946-10-27 @ Chiers Rodange D 2-258.5 1136 1098 28.61% 16.02% 55.37%-0.42 +0.6 5
1946-10-27 FC Schifflange 95 W 5-237.0 1148 1116 63.08% 15.82% 21.10%+0.95 +5.7 8
1946-10-27 @ Differdange 03 L 2-537.0 1116 1148 21.10% 15.82% 63.08%-0.95 -5.7 9
1946-10-27 Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 0-140.6 1015 1162 40.56% 16.02% 43.42%-0.43 -5.0 9
1946-10-27 @ Jeunesse Esch W 1-040.6 1162 1015 43.42% 16.02% 40.56%+0.43 +5.0 9
1946-10-27 Fola Esch W 4-029.2 1067 1076 58.63% 15.96% 25.41%+0.63 +12.0 7
1946-10-27 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-429.2 1076 1067 25.41% 15.96% 58.63%-0.63 -12.0 4
1946-10-27 Stade Dudelange L 0-135.4 1030 1316 23.37% 15.45% 61.18%-1.50 -3.1 4
1946-10-27 @ CS Petange W 1-035.4 1316 1030 61.18% 15.45% 23.37%+1.50 +3.1 14
1946-10-27 Racing Rodange W 1-030.4 1218 992 77.37% 14.48% 8.16%+2.45 +1.1 15
1946-10-27 @ US Dudelange L 0-130.4 992 1218 8.16% 14.48% 77.37%-2.45 -1.1 4
1946-11-03 Chiers Rodange W 2-032.5 1110 1098 61.06% 15.89% 23.04%+0.80 +5.8 11
1946-11-03 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 0-232.5 1098 1110 23.04% 15.89% 61.06%-0.80 -5.8 8
1946-11-03 US Dudelange W 2-145.5 1064 1219 39.52% 16.01% 44.47%-0.49 +5.1 6
1946-11-03 @ Fola Esch L 1-245.5 1219 1064 44.47% 16.01% 39.52%+0.49 -5.1 15
1946-11-03 CS Petange W 6-232.5 1136 1027 69.94% 15.41% 14.65%+1.55 +5.1 7
1946-11-03 @ Progres Niedercorn L 2-632.5 1027 1136 14.65% 15.41% 69.94%-1.55 -5.1 4
1946-11-03 Spora Luxembourg L 0-343.5 1167 1079 68.27% 15.54% 16.19%+1.39 -22.3 9
1946-11-03 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 3-043.5 1079 1167 16.19% 15.54% 68.27%-1.39 +22.3 9
1946-11-03 Differdange 03 L 1-243.6 991 1154 38.36% 15.99% 45.65%-0.55 -4.5 4
1946-11-03 @ Racing Rodange W 2-143.6 1154 991 45.65% 15.99% 38.36%+0.55 +4.5 10
1946-11-03 Jeunesse Esch W 4-022.6 1319 1010 81.06% 13.63% 5.31%+3.09 +2.6 16
1946-11-03 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-422.6 1010 1319 5.31% 13.63% 81.06%-3.09 -2.6 9
1946-11-17 CS Petange W 2-030.8 1092 1022 66.68% 15.64% 17.68%+1.25 +4.5 10
1946-11-17 @ Chiers Rodange L 0-230.8 1022 1092 17.68% 15.64% 66.68%-1.25 -4.5 4
1946-11-17 Fola Esch L 3-460.1 1158 1070 68.29% 15.54% 16.17%+1.39 -7.1 10
1946-11-17 @ Differdange 03 W 4-360.1 1070 1158 16.17% 15.54% 68.29%-1.39 +7.1 8
1946-11-17 Racing Rodange W 3-026.9 1116 986 71.50% 15.27% 13.23%+1.71 +5.0 13
1946-11-17 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 0-326.9 986 1116 13.23% 15.27% 71.50%-1.71 -5.0 4
1946-11-17 Progres Niedercorn D 0-051.3 1007 1141 42.45% 16.04% 41.51%-0.33 -0.0 10
1946-11-17 @ Jeunesse Esch D 0-051.3 1141 1007 41.51% 16.04% 42.45%+0.33 +0.0 8
1946-11-17 Stade Dudelange L 0-332.5 1101 1322 30.77% 15.79% 53.43%-1.00 -10.8 9
1946-11-17 @ Spora Luxembourg W 3-032.5 1322 1101 53.43% 15.79% 30.77%+1.00 +10.8 18
1946-11-17 Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 2-030.9 1214 1145 66.58% 15.65% 17.77%+1.24 +4.6 17
1946-11-17 @ US Dudelange L 0-230.9 1145 1214 17.77% 15.65% 66.58%-1.24 -4.6 9
1946-11-24 FC Schifflange 95 W 5-239.6 1077 1121 54.48% 16.04% 29.49%+0.36 +7.6 10
1946-11-24 @ Fola Esch L 2-539.6 1121 1077 29.49% 16.04% 54.48%-0.36 -7.7 13
1946-11-24 Spora Luxembourg D 0-051.5 1141 1090 64.95% 15.73% 19.32%+1.10 -1.5 9
1946-11-24 @ Progres Niedercorn D 0-051.5 1090 1141 19.32% 15.73% 64.95%-1.10 +1.5 10
1946-11-24 Differdange 03 W 3-030.8 1141 1151 58.51% 15.96% 25.53%+0.62 +9.2 11
1946-11-24 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 0-330.8 1151 1141 25.53% 15.96% 58.51%-0.62 -9.2 10
1946-11-24 Chiers Rodange L 0-336.6 981 1097 45.09% 16.06% 38.85%-0.18 -15.1 4
1946-11-24 @ Racing Rodange W 3-036.6 1097 981 38.85% 16.06% 45.09%+0.18 +15.1 12
1946-11-24 US Dudelange W 2-030.3 1333 1219 70.32% 15.38% 14.30%+1.59 +3.7 20
1946-11-24 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-230.3 1219 1333 14.30% 15.38% 70.32%-1.59 -3.7 17
1946-11-24 Jeunesse Esch W 1-035.4 1018 1007 60.81% 15.90% 23.29%+0.79 +3.1 6
1946-11-24 @ CS Petange L 0-135.4 1007 1018 23.29% 15.90% 60.81%-0.79 -3.1 10
1946-12-08 Jeunesse Esch L 0-149.2 1112 1004 69.81% 15.42% 14.77%+1.54 -8.3 12
1946-12-08 @ Chiers Rodange W 1-049.2 1004 1112 14.77% 15.42% 69.81%-1.54 +8.3 12
1946-12-08 Racing Rodange W 6-336.8 1084 966 70.63% 15.35% 14.02%+1.62 +3.6 12
1946-12-08 @ Fola Esch L 3-636.8 966 1084 14.02% 15.35% 70.63%-1.62 -3.6 4
1946-12-08 US Dudelange W 4-137.4 1140 1215 50.60% 16.07% 33.33%+0.13 +9.8 11
1946-12-08 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-437.4 1215 1140 33.33% 16.07% 50.60%-0.13 -9.8 17
1946-12-08 FC Schifflange 95 W 3-242.5 1150 1114 63.50% 15.80% 20.70%+0.99 +2.5 13
1946-12-08 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 2-342.5 1114 1150 20.70% 15.80% 63.50%-0.99 -2.5 13
1946-12-08 Differdange 03 L 0-151.1 1336 1142 75.65% 14.76% 9.58%+2.21 -9.0 20
1946-12-08 @ Stade Dudelange W 1-051.1 1142 1336 9.58% 14.76% 75.65%-2.21 +9.0 12
1946-12-08 Spora Luxembourg L 0-143.8 1021 1092 51.09% 16.07% 32.84%+0.16 -6.1 6
1946-12-08 @ CS Petange W 1-043.8 1092 1021 32.84% 16.07% 51.09%-0.16 +6.2 12
1946-12-15 Progres Niedercorn D 1-154.5 1151 1150 59.83% 15.93% 24.24%+0.72 -1.0 13
1946-12-15 @ Differdange 03 D 1-154.5 1150 1151 24.24% 15.93% 59.83%-0.72 +1.0 12
1946-12-15 Stade Dudelange W 2-148.1 1111 1327 31.32% 15.81% 52.87%-0.96 +6.0 15
1946-12-15 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 1-248.1 1327 1111 52.87% 15.81% 31.32%+0.96 -6.0 20
1946-12-15 Chiers Rodange W 2-139.9 1088 1103 57.95% 15.98% 26.07%+0.59 +3.2 14
1946-12-15 @ Fola Esch L 1-239.9 1103 1088 26.07% 15.98% 57.95%-0.59 -3.2 12
1946-12-15 Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 1-043.2 963 1152 34.75% 15.91% 49.34%-0.76 +5.9 6
1946-12-15 @ Racing Rodange L 0-143.2 1152 963 49.34% 15.91% 34.75%+0.76 -6.0 13
1946-12-15 Jeunesse Esch L 3-556.6 1098 1013 68.01% 15.55% 16.43%+1.37 -11.2 12
1946-12-15 @ Spora Luxembourg W 5-356.6 1013 1098 16.43% 15.55% 68.01%-1.37 +11.2 14
1946-12-15 CS Petange W 5-128.1 1205 1014 75.43% 14.80% 9.77%+2.18 +4.1 19
1946-12-15 @ US Dudelange L 1-528.1 1014 1205 9.77% 14.80% 75.43%-2.18 -4.0 6
1946-12-22 Spora Luxembourg L 1-348.0 1100 1087 61.15% 15.89% 22.96%+0.81 -11.9 12
1946-12-22 @ Chiers Rodange W 3-148.0 1087 1100 22.96% 15.89% 61.15%-0.81 +11.9 14
1946-12-22 US Dudelange W 3-144.3 1024 1209 35.32% 15.93% 48.75%-0.72 +9.6 16
1946-12-22 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-344.3 1209 1024 48.75% 15.93% 35.32%+0.72 -9.6 19
1946-12-22 FC Schifflange 95 D 1-154.5 1151 1117 63.26% 15.81% 20.93%+0.97 -1.2 13
1946-12-22 @ Progres Niedercorn D 1-154.5 1117 1151 20.93% 15.81% 63.26%-0.97 +1.2 16
1946-12-22 Fola Esch W 7-027.6 1146 1091 65.33% 15.71% 18.96%+1.13 +15.6 15
1946-12-22 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 0-727.6 1091 1146 18.96% 15.71% 65.33%-1.13 -15.6 14
1946-12-22 Racing Rodange W 2-026.0 1321 969 82.63% 13.14% 4.22%+3.43 +1.1 22
1946-12-22 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-226.0 969 1321 4.22% 13.14% 82.63%-3.43 -1.1 6
1946-12-22 Differdange 03 W 1-041.1 1010 1150 41.67% 16.03% 42.30%-0.37 +5.2 8
1946-12-22 @ CS Petange L 0-141.1 1150 1010 42.30% 16.03% 41.67%+0.37 -5.2 13
1946-12-29 Chiers Rodange W 1-033.6 1162 1088 67.00% 15.62% 17.38%+1.27 +2.4 17
1946-12-29 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 0-133.6 1088 1162 17.38% 15.62% 67.00%-1.27 -2.4 12
1946-12-29 Spora Luxembourg W 3-240.8 1199 1099 69.28% 15.46% 15.26%+1.48 +1.9 21
1946-12-29 @ US Dudelange L 2-340.8 1099 1199 15.26% 15.46% 69.28%-1.48 -1.9 14
1947-01-19 US Dudelange L 0-239.2 1086 1201 45.08% 16.06% 38.86%-0.18 -10.4 12
1947-01-19 @ Chiers Rodange W 2-039.2 1201 1086 38.86% 16.06% 45.08%+0.18 +10.4 23
1947-01-19 FC Schifflange 95 W 2-036.0 1033 1118 49.27% 16.07% 34.66%+0.05 +8.3 18
1947-01-19 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-236.0 1118 1033 34.66% 16.07% 49.27%-0.05 -8.3 16
1947-01-19 Fola Esch L 1-252.1 1150 1076 67.04% 15.62% 17.35%+1.28 -7.5 13
1947-01-19 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-152.1 1076 1150 17.35% 15.62% 67.04%-1.28 +7.5 16
1947-01-19 Differdange 03 W 2-141.1 1097 1145 54.06% 16.04% 29.90%+0.34 +3.7 16
1947-01-19 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-241.1 1145 1097 29.90% 16.04% 54.06%-0.34 -3.7 13
1947-01-19 Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 7-230.2 1322 1164 73.44% 15.06% 11.50%+1.93 +4.9 24
1947-01-19 @ Stade Dudelange L 2-730.2 1164 1322 11.50% 15.06% 73.44%-1.93 -4.9 17
1947-01-19 Racing Rodange L 1-349.0 1016 967 64.67% 15.75% 19.58%+1.08 -12.6 8
1947-01-19 @ CS Petange W 3-149.0 967 1016 19.58% 15.75% 64.67%-1.08 +12.6 8
1947-01-26 US Dudelange W 4-137.3 1141 1212 51.16% 16.07% 32.77%+0.16 +9.7 15
1947-01-26 @ Differdange 03 L 1-437.3 1212 1141 32.77% 16.07% 51.16%-0.16 -9.7 23
1947-01-26 Spora Luxembourg D 1-154.5 1110 1100 60.74% 15.90% 23.36%+0.78 -1.1 17
1947-01-26 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 1-154.5 1100 1110 23.36% 15.90% 60.74%-0.78 +1.1 17
1947-01-26 CS Petange W 4-132.2 1083 1003 67.56% 15.58% 16.86%+1.32 +5.3 18
1947-01-26 @ Fola Esch L 1-432.2 1003 1083 16.86% 15.58% 67.56%-1.32 -5.3 8
1947-01-26 Progres Niedercorn W 6-131.3 1159 1142 61.57% 15.87% 22.56%+0.84 +11.0 19
1947-01-26 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 1-631.3 1142 1159 22.56% 15.87% 61.57%-0.84 -11.0 13
1947-01-26 Jeunesse Esch D 1-154.4 980 1042 52.33% 16.06% 31.62%+0.23 -0.6 9
1947-01-26 @ Racing Rodange D 1-154.4 1042 980 31.62% 16.06% 52.33%-0.23 +0.6 19
1947-01-26 Chiers Rodange W 6-230.1 1327 1076 78.62% 14.23% 7.14%+2.65 +2.5 26
1947-01-26 @ Stade Dudelange L 2-630.1 1076 1327 7.14% 14.23% 78.62%-2.65 -2.5 12
1947-03-16 Differdange 03 L 1-344.8 1073 1151 50.22% 16.07% 33.71%+0.11 -9.9 12
1947-03-16 @ Chiers Rodange W 3-144.8 1151 1073 33.71% 16.07% 50.22%-0.11 +9.9 17
1947-03-16 Fola Esch L 2-352.6 1042 1088 54.28% 16.04% 29.69%+0.35 -5.8 19
1947-03-16 @ Jeunesse Esch W 3-252.6 1088 1042 29.69% 16.04% 54.28%-0.35 +5.8 20
1947-03-16 Stade Dudelange L 0-431.9 1131 1330 33.55% 15.88% 50.57%-0.83 -15.3 13
1947-03-16 @ Progres Niedercorn W 4-031.9 1330 1131 50.57% 15.88% 33.55%+0.83 +15.3 28
1947-03-16 Racing Rodange W 3-027.0 1102 979 70.92% 15.32% 13.75%+1.65 +5.2 19
1947-03-16 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-327.0 979 1102 13.75% 15.32% 70.92%-1.65 -5.2 9
1947-03-16 Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 0-139.5 998 1170 37.04% 15.96% 47.00%-0.63 -4.6 8
1947-03-16 @ CS Petange W 1-039.5 1170 998 47.00% 15.96% 37.04%+0.63 +4.6 21
1947-03-16 FC Schifflange 95 W 4-132.0 1202 1109 68.66% 15.51% 15.83%+1.43 +5.0 25
1947-03-16 @ US Dudelange L 1-432.0 1109 1202 15.83% 15.51% 68.66%-1.43 -5.0 17
1947-03-30 Differdange 03 W 4-242.9 1104 1161 52.95% 16.05% 31.00%+0.27 +5.8 19
1947-03-30 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 2-442.9 1161 1104 31.00% 16.05% 52.95%-0.27 -5.8 17
1947-03-30 Spora Luxembourg D 3-362.4 1094 1107 58.30% 15.97% 25.73%+0.61 -0.6 21
1947-03-30 @ Fola Esch D 3-362.4 1107 1094 25.73% 15.97% 58.30%-0.61 +0.6 20
1947-03-30 Chiers Rodange W 4-133.0 1116 1063 65.09% 15.73% 19.18%+1.11 +6.0 15
1947-03-30 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-433.0 1063 1116 19.18% 15.73% 65.09%-1.11 -6.0 12
1947-03-30 Jeunesse Esch W 3-133.2 1175 1036 72.11% 15.21% 12.68%+1.78 +2.9 23
1947-03-30 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 1-333.2 1036 1175 12.68% 15.21% 72.11%-1.78 -2.9 19
1947-03-30 US Dudelange D 1-154.5 974 1207 29.29% 15.74% 54.97%-1.09 +0.7 10
1947-03-30 @ Racing Rodange D 1-154.5 1207 974 54.97% 15.74% 29.29%+1.09 -0.7 26
1947-03-30 CS Petange W 12-024.8 1345 993 82.61% 13.15% 4.24%+3.42 +5.9 30
1947-03-30 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-1224.8 993 1345 4.24% 13.15% 82.61%-3.42 -5.9 8
1947-04-20 FC Schifflange 95 W 3-138.8 1057 1110 53.47% 16.05% 30.48%+0.30 +6.4 14
1947-04-20 @ Chiers Rodange L 1-338.8 1110 1057 30.48% 16.05% 53.47%-0.30 -6.4 19
1947-04-20 Racing Rodange W 2-134.8 1155 975 74.80% 14.89% 10.32%+2.10 +1.4 19
1947-04-20 @ Differdange 03 L 1-234.8 975 1155 10.32% 14.89% 74.80%-2.10 -1.4 10
1947-04-20 Stade Dudelange L 2-342.3 1034 1351 20.28% 15.24% 64.48%-1.74 -2.4 19
1947-04-20 @ Jeunesse Esch W 3-242.3 1351 1034 64.48% 15.24% 20.28%+1.74 +2.4 32
1947-04-20 Racing FC Union Luxembourg D 0-051.4 1107 1178 51.16% 16.07% 32.77%+0.16 -0.6 21
1947-04-20 @ Spora Luxembourg D 0-051.4 1178 1107 32.77% 16.07% 51.16%-0.16 +0.6 24
1947-04-20 Progres Niedercorn L 0-238.3 987 1122 42.37% 16.04% 41.59%-0.33 -9.8 8
1947-04-20 @ CS Petange W 2-038.3 1122 987 41.59% 16.04% 42.37%+0.33 +9.8 17
1947-04-20 Fola Esch L 1-253.0 1206 1094 70.21% 15.39% 14.40%+1.58 -7.9 26
1947-04-20 @ US Dudelange W 2-153.0 1094 1206 14.40% 15.39% 70.21%-1.58 +7.9 23
1947-04-27 Differdange 03 W 2-141.4 1102 1156 53.22% 16.05% 30.73%+0.28 +3.7 25
1947-04-27 @ Fola Esch L 1-241.4 1156 1102 30.73% 16.05% 53.22%-0.28 -3.7 19
1947-04-27 Jeunesse Esch W 1-032.9 1132 1031 69.26% 15.46% 15.28%+1.48 +2.1 19
1947-04-27 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-132.9 1031 1132 15.28% 15.46% 69.26%-1.48 -2.1 19
1947-04-27 US Dudelange L 0-243.0 1178 1198 57.43% 15.99% 26.58%+0.55 -12.9 24
1947-04-27 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 2-043.0 1198 1178 26.58% 15.99% 57.43%-0.55 +12.9 28
1947-04-27 FC Schifflange 95 W 4-139.6 974 1103 43.07% 16.05% 40.88%-0.29 +11.7 12
1947-04-27 @ Racing Rodange L 1-439.6 1103 974 40.88% 16.05% 43.07%+0.29 -11.7 19
1947-04-27 Spora Luxembourg W 3-131.6 1354 1107 78.39% 14.28% 7.33%+2.61 +1.7 34
1947-04-27 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-331.6 1107 1354 7.33% 14.28% 78.39%-2.61 -1.7 21
1947-04-27 Chiers Rodange W 3-246.7 977 1064 49.09% 16.07% 34.83%+0.04 +3.9 10
1947-04-27 @ CS Petange L 2-346.7 1064 977 34.83% 16.07% 49.09%-0.04 -4.0 14
1947-05-11 Jeunesse Esch D 0-051.6 1152 1029 71.02% 15.32% 13.66%+1.66 -1.9 20
1947-05-11 @ Differdange 03 D 0-051.6 1029 1152 13.66% 15.32% 71.02%-1.66 +1.9 20
1947-05-11 CS Petange W 6-128.7 1092 981 70.03% 15.40% 14.56%+1.56 +7.3 21
1947-05-11 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 1-628.7 981 1092 14.56% 15.40% 70.03%-1.56 -7.3 10
1947-05-11 Stade Dudelange L 4-550.2 1105 1355 27.28% 15.66% 57.06%-1.22 -3.1 25
1947-05-11 @ Fola Esch W 5-450.2 1355 1105 57.06% 15.66% 27.28%+1.22 +3.1 36
1947-05-11 Progres Niedercorn W 5-034.2 985 1134 40.40% 16.02% 43.58%-0.44 +23.6 14
1947-05-11 @ Racing Rodange L 0-534.2 1134 985 43.58% 16.02% 40.40%+0.44 -23.5 19
1947-06-08 Racing Rodange D 1-154.5 1060 1009 64.91% 15.74% 19.35%+1.10 -1.3 15
1947-06-08 @ Chiers Rodange D 1-154.5 1009 1060 19.35% 15.74% 64.91%-1.10 +1.3 15
1947-06-08 Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 4-029.5 1151 1166 58.01% 15.97% 26.01%+0.59 +12.2 22
1947-06-08 @ Differdange 03 L 0-429.5 1166 1151 26.01% 15.97% 58.01%-0.59 -12.2 24
1947-06-08 Fola Esch W 3-137.1 1099 1102 59.34% 15.94% 24.72%+0.68 +5.3 23
1947-06-08 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 1-337.1 1102 1099 24.72% 15.94% 59.34%-0.68 -5.3 25
1947-06-08 CS Petange L 1-251.6 1031 974 65.50% 15.71% 18.80%+1.15 -7.4 20
1947-06-08 @ Jeunesse Esch W 2-151.6 974 1031 18.80% 15.71% 65.50%-1.15 +7.4 12
1947-06-08 Progres Niedercorn L 0-243.3 1105 1110 59.13% 15.95% 24.92%+0.67 -13.3 21
1947-06-08 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-043.3 1110 1105 24.92% 15.95% 59.13%-0.67 +13.3 21
1947-06-08 Stade Dudelange L 1-342.6 1211 1358 40.62% 16.02% 43.36%-0.43 -8.2 28
1947-06-08 @ US Dudelange W 3-142.6 1358 1211 43.36% 16.02% 40.62%+0.43 +8.2 38

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1946-12-08 9.58% Differdange 03 1142 1 @ Stade Dudelange 1336 0
2 1947-04-20 14.40% Fola Esch 1094 2 @ US Dudelange 1206 1
3 1946-12-08 14.77% Jeunesse Esch 1004 1 @ Chiers Rodange 1112 0
4 1946-09-29 14.98% Jeunesse Esch 1000 1 @ FC Schifflange 95 1105 0
5 1946-11-17 16.17% Fola Esch 1070 4 @ Differdange 03 1158 3
6 1946-11-03 16.19% Spora Luxembourg 1079 3 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1167 0
7 1946-12-15 16.43% Jeunesse Esch 1013 5 @ Spora Luxembourg 1098 3
8 1946-10-20 17.21% Jeunesse Esch 1008 3 @ Fola Esch 1084 2
9 1947-01-19 17.35% Fola Esch 1076 2 @ Progres Niedercorn 1150 1
10 1947-06-08 18.80% CS Petange 974 2 @ Jeunesse Esch 1031 1
11 1947-01-19 19.58% Racing Rodange 967 3 @ CS Petange 1016 1
12 1946-12-22 22.96% Spora Luxembourg 1087 3 @ Chiers Rodange 1100 1
13 1946-10-13 24.10% FC Schifflange 95 1097 3 @ Spora Luxembourg 1099 0
14 1947-06-08 24.92% Progres Niedercorn 1110 2 @ Spora Luxembourg 1105 0
15 1947-04-27 26.58% US Dudelange 1198 2 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1178 0
16 1946-09-29 28.83% CS Petange 1023 4 @ Racing Rodange 984 3
17 1946-10-13 29.60% @ Chiers Rodange 1091 1 Stade Dudelange 1321 0
18 1947-03-16 29.69% Fola Esch 1088 3 @ Jeunesse Esch 1042 2
19 1946-12-15 31.32% @ FC Schifflange 95 1111 2 Stade Dudelange 1327 1
20 1946-09-22 31.99% FC Schifflange 95 1096 5 @ CS Petange 1032 3
21 1946-12-08 32.84% Spora Luxembourg 1092 1 @ CS Petange 1021 0
22 1946-09-22 33.49% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1176 3 @ Chiers Rodange 1100 2
23 1947-03-16 33.71% Differdange 03 1151 3 @ Chiers Rodange 1073 1
24 1946-09-15 34.44% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1170 1 @ Fola Esch 1086 0
25 1946-12-15 34.75% @ Racing Rodange 963 1 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1152 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1947-05-11 23.55 @ Racing Rodange 5 985 40.40% Progres Niedercorn 0 1134 43.58% 16.02%
2 1946-11-03 22.28 Spora Luxembourg 3 1079 16.19% @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 0 1167 68.27% 15.54%
3 1946-10-13 19.59 FC Schifflange 95 3 1097 24.10% @ Spora Luxembourg 0 1099 59.97% 15.92%
4 1946-12-22 15.57 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 7 1146 65.33% Fola Esch 0 1091 18.96% 15.71%
5 1947-03-16 15.28 Stade Dudelange 4 1330 50.57% @ Progres Niedercorn 0 1131 33.55% 15.88%
6 1946-11-24 15.07 Chiers Rodange 3 1097 38.85% @ Racing Rodange 0 981 45.09% 16.06%
7 1946-09-29 13.50 Stade Dudelange 6 1308 40.44% @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 2 1181 43.51% 16.05%
8 1947-06-08 13.30 Progres Niedercorn 2 1110 24.92% @ Spora Luxembourg 0 1105 59.13% 15.95%
9 1947-04-27 12.94 US Dudelange 2 1198 26.58% @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 0 1178 57.43% 15.99%
10 1946-10-20 12.67 @ Racing Rodange 3 979 47.18% Spora Luxembourg 0 1080 36.75% 16.07%
11 1947-01-19 12.58 Racing Rodange 3 967 19.58% @ CS Petange 1 1016 64.67% 15.75%
12 1947-06-08 12.25 @ Differdange 03 4 1151 58.01% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 0 1166 26.01% 15.97%
13 1946-08-25 12.17 Stade Dudelange 4 1290 41.07% @ Differdange 03 1 1159 42.88% 16.05%
14 1946-10-27 12.00 @ Spora Luxembourg 4 1067 58.63% Fola Esch 0 1076 25.41% 15.96%
15 1946-12-22 11.90 Spora Luxembourg 3 1087 22.96% @ Chiers Rodange 1 1100 61.15% 15.89%
16 1947-04-27 11.69 @ Racing Rodange 4 974 43.07% FC Schifflange 95 1 1103 40.88% 16.05%
17 1946-09-08 11.43 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 985 44.14% Spora Luxembourg 1 1107 39.80% 16.06%
18 1946-12-15 11.18 Jeunesse Esch 5 1013 16.43% @ Spora Luxembourg 3 1098 68.01% 15.55%
19 1947-01-26 11.00 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 6 1159 61.57% Progres Niedercorn 1 1142 22.56% 15.87%
20 1946-11-17 10.84 Stade Dudelange 3 1322 53.43% @ Spora Luxembourg 0 1101 30.77% 15.79%
21 1947-01-19 10.37 US Dudelange 2 1201 38.86% @ Chiers Rodange 0 1086 45.08% 16.06%
22 1946-09-15 10.17 @ Spora Luxembourg 5 1096 58.13% Chiers Rodange 1 1110 25.90% 15.97%
23 1947-03-16 9.88 Differdange 03 3 1151 33.71% @ Chiers Rodange 1 1073 50.22% 16.07%
24 1947-04-20 9.83 Progres Niedercorn 2 1122 41.59% @ CS Petange 0 987 42.37% 16.04%
25 1946-12-08 9.83 @ Progres Niedercorn 4 1140 50.60% US Dudelange 1 1215 33.33% 16.07%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1946-09-08 65.3 @ Progres Niedercorn 4 1147 59.75% Differdange 03 4 1147 24.32% 15.93%
2 1946-09-22 65.2 @ Spora Luxembourg 4 1106 56.11% Progres Niedercorn 4 1137 27.88% 16.01%
3 1946-10-20 62.5 @ FC Schifflange 95 3 1116 47.01% US Dudelange 3 1218 36.92% 16.07%
4 1947-03-30 62.4 @ Fola Esch 3 1094 58.30% Spora Luxembourg 3 1107 25.73% 15.97%
5 1946-11-17 60.1 Fola Esch 4 1070 16.17% @ Differdange 03 3 1158 68.29% 15.54%
6 1946-10-20 58.6 @ Differdange 03 2 1149 64.99% Chiers Rodange 2 1097 19.28% 15.73%
7 1946-10-13 58.5 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1009 62.92% Racing Rodange 2 978 21.25% 15.82%
8 1946-10-13 58.5 @ CS Petange 2 1029 53.28% Fola Esch 2 1083 30.67% 16.05%
9 1946-10-27 58.5 @ Chiers Rodange 2 1098 55.37% Progres Niedercorn 2 1136 28.61% 16.02%
10 1946-12-15 56.6 Jeunesse Esch 5 1013 16.43% @ Spora Luxembourg 3 1098 68.01% 15.55%
11 1946-10-20 56.3 Jeunesse Esch 3 1008 17.21% @ Fola Esch 2 1084 67.19% 15.61%
12 1946-09-29 56.2 CS Petange 4 1023 28.83% @ Racing Rodange 3 984 55.15% 16.03%
13 1946-10-20 54.6 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1 1164 71.90% CS Petange 1 1029 12.87% 15.23%
14 1946-12-15 54.5 @ Differdange 03 1 1151 59.83% Progres Niedercorn 1 1150 24.24% 15.93%
15 1946-12-22 54.5 @ Progres Niedercorn 1 1151 63.26% FC Schifflange 95 1 1117 20.93% 15.81%
16 1947-01-26 54.5 @ FC Schifflange 95 1 1110 60.74% Spora Luxembourg 1 1100 23.36% 15.90%
17 1947-03-30 54.5 @ Racing Rodange 1 974 29.29% US Dudelange 1 1207 54.97% 15.74%
18 1947-06-08 54.5 @ Chiers Rodange 1 1060 64.91% Racing Rodange 1 1009 19.35% 15.74%
19 1946-08-25 54.4 @ Racing Rodange 1 990 47.01% Fola Esch 1 1092 36.92% 16.07%
20 1947-01-26 54.4 @ Racing Rodange 1 980 52.33% Jeunesse Esch 1 1042 31.62% 16.06%
21 1947-04-20 53.0 Fola Esch 2 1094 14.40% @ US Dudelange 1 1206 70.21% 15.39%
22 1947-03-16 52.6 Fola Esch 3 1088 29.69% @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1042 54.28% 16.04%
23 1947-01-19 52.1 Fola Esch 2 1076 17.35% @ Progres Niedercorn 1 1150 67.04% 15.62%
24 1946-09-22 51.9 FC Schifflange 95 5 1096 31.99% @ CS Petange 3 1032 51.95% 16.06%
25 1947-05-11 51.6 @ Differdange 03 0 1152 71.02% Jeunesse Esch 0 1029 13.66% 15.32%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1946-11-03 22.6 @ Stade Dudelange 4 1319 81.06% Jeunesse Esch 0 1010 5.31% 13.63%
2 1947-03-30 24.8 @ Stade Dudelange 12 1345 82.61% CS Petange 0 993 4.24% 13.15%
3 1946-12-22 26.0 @ Stade Dudelange 2 1321 82.63% Racing Rodange 0 969 4.22% 13.14%
4 1946-11-17 26.9 @ FC Schifflange 95 3 1116 71.50% Racing Rodange 0 986 13.23% 15.27%
5 1947-03-16 27.0 @ Spora Luxembourg 3 1102 70.92% Racing Rodange 0 979 13.75% 15.32%
6 1946-12-22 27.6 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 7 1146 65.33% Fola Esch 0 1091 18.96% 15.71%
7 1946-12-15 28.1 @ US Dudelange 5 1205 75.43% CS Petange 1 1014 9.77% 14.80%
8 1947-05-11 28.7 @ FC Schifflange 95 6 1092 70.03% CS Petange 1 981 14.56% 15.40%
9 1946-10-27 29.2 @ Spora Luxembourg 4 1067 58.63% Fola Esch 0 1076 25.41% 15.96%
10 1947-06-08 29.5 @ Differdange 03 4 1151 58.01% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 0 1166 26.01% 15.97%
11 1947-01-26 30.1 @ Stade Dudelange 6 1327 78.62% Chiers Rodange 2 1076 7.14% 14.23%
12 1947-01-19 30.2 @ Stade Dudelange 7 1322 73.44% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 2 1164 11.50% 15.06%
13 1946-11-24 30.3 @ Stade Dudelange 2 1333 70.32% US Dudelange 0 1219 14.30% 15.38%
14 1946-09-22 30.4 @ US Dudelange 1 1211 77.35% Racing Rodange 0 985 8.17% 14.48%
15 1946-10-27 30.4 @ US Dudelange 1 1218 77.37% Racing Rodange 0 992 8.16% 14.48%
16 1946-11-17 30.8 @ Chiers Rodange 2 1092 66.68% CS Petange 0 1022 17.68% 15.64%
17 1946-11-24 30.8 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 3 1141 58.51% Differdange 03 0 1151 25.53% 15.96%
18 1946-11-17 30.9 @ US Dudelange 2 1214 66.58% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 0 1145 17.77% 15.65%
19 1947-01-26 31.3 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 6 1159 61.57% Progres Niedercorn 1 1142 22.56% 15.87%
20 1946-10-20 31.5 @ Stade Dudelange 1 1315 74.65% Progres Niedercorn 0 1137 10.44% 14.91%
21 1947-04-27 31.6 @ Stade Dudelange 3 1354 78.39% Spora Luxembourg 1 1107 7.33% 14.28%
22 1947-03-16 31.9 Stade Dudelange 4 1330 50.57% @ Progres Niedercorn 0 1131 33.55% 15.88%
23 1946-09-08 32.0 @ Stade Dudelange 3 1302 76.67% FC Schifflange 95 1 1089 8.73% 14.60%
24 1947-03-16 32.0 @ US Dudelange 4 1202 68.66% FC Schifflange 95 1 1109 15.83% 15.51%
25 1947-01-26 32.2 @ Fola Esch 4 1083 67.56% CS Petange 1 1003 16.86% 15.58%