1948-49 Luxembourg National Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Spora Luxembourg

38 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Spora Luxembourg

8.13 points above expected

38 points · 29.87 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

CS Petange

9.20 points below expected

4 points · 13.20 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Spora Luxembourg	22	18	2	2	38	65	26	+39	29.87	+8.13
2	Fola Esch	22	16	2	4	34	57	24	+33	28.18	+5.82
3	Stade Dudelange	22	12	5	5	29	45	25	+20	29.23	-0.23
4	FC Schifflange 95	22	11	2	9	24	46	35	+11	24.60	-0.60
5	Progres Niedercorn	22	7	8	7	22	35	34	+1	23.16	-1.16
6	Differdange 03	22	8	5	9	21	50	38	+12	23.62	-2.62
7	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	22	6	9	7	21	44	39	+5	19.97	+1.03
8	US Dudelange	22	8	5	9	21	40	46	-6	22.49	-1.49
9	SC Tetange	22	7	3	12	17	34	50	-16	16.68	+0.32
10	Oberkorn	22	7	3	12	17	32	63	-31	14.18	+2.82
11	Racing Rodange	22	7	2	13	16	36	46	-10	18.82	-2.82
12	CS Petange	22	1	2	19	4	23	81	-58	13.20	-9.20

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Spora Luxembourg	38	29.87	+8.13
2	Fola Esch	34	28.18	+5.82
3	Oberkorn	17	14.18	+2.82
4	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	21	19.97	+1.03
5	SC Tetange	17	16.68	+0.32

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	CS Petange	4	13.20	-9.20
2	Racing Rodange	16	18.82	-2.82
3	Differdange 03	21	23.62	-2.62
4	US Dudelange	21	22.49	-1.49
5	Progres Niedercorn	22	23.16	-1.16

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Spora Luxembourg	12	Dec 12 – May 1	1 in 205
2	Fola Esch	6	Aug 22 – Oct 10	1 in 174
3	FC Schifflange 95	6	Oct 31 – Dec 19	1 in 94
4	Oberkorn	2	Oct 31 – Nov 14	1 in 31
5	US Dudelange	3	Nov 14 – Dec 12	1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	CS Petange	14	Oct 31 – Apr 3	1 in 389
2	Stade Dudelange	4	Mar 6 – May 8	1 in 165
3	Progres Niedercorn	2	Oct 31 – Nov 14	1 in 32
4	FC Schifflange 95	3	Feb 6 – Feb 20	1 in 13
5	SC Tetange	4	Oct 10 – Nov 28	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	12	Dec 19 – May 8	1 in 1,306
2	Stade Dudelange	17	Sep 1 – Feb 20	1 in 58
3	Oberkorn	4	Mar 6 – May 8	1 in 35
4	US Dudelange	5	Oct 10 – Dec 12	1 in 19
5	Fola Esch	6	Aug 22 – Oct 10	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	CS Petange	20	Aug 30 – Apr 3	1 in 155
2	Stade Dudelange	4	Mar 6 – May 8	1 in 17
3	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	5	Aug 22 – Oct 3	1 in 12
4	Racing Rodange	6	Nov 14 – Jan 9	1 in 11
5	Fola Esch	3	Dec 5 – Dec 19	1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Spora Luxembourg	1228	38	+15	9	8.0	+1.0
Fola Esch	1096	34	-16	8	7.2	+0.8
Stade Dudelange	1069	29	-105	2	6.1	-4.1
FC Schifflange 95	978	24	-54	5	6.8	-1.8
Progres Niedercorn	914	22	-9	3	4.0	-1.0
Racing FC Union Luxembourg	1012	21	+45	7	5.0	+2.0
Differdange 03	1001	21	+15	5	6.4	-1.4
US Dudelange	877	21	-45	3	4.8	-1.8
Oberkorn	811	17	+31	6	3.2	+2.8
SC Tetange	845	17	+109	6	2.7	+3.3
Racing Rodange	908	16	+39	4	4.0	+0.0
CS Petange	627	4	-25	2	1.8	+0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	CP	D0	FS9	FE	OBE	PN	RFUL	RR	ST	SL	SD	UD
CS Petange	—	0-0-2 1.39	0-0-2 0.99	0-0-2 0.68	0-0-2 2.86	0-0-2 2.06	0-1-1 2.04	0-0-2 1.82	1-0-1 2.09	0-0-2 0.72	0-0-2 1.28	0-1-1 1.80
Differdange 03	2-0-0 4.24	—	1-0-1 2.79	0-0-2 2.20	2-0-0 3.62	0-1-1 3.43	0-1-1 3.58	1-0-1 3.79	1-1-0 3.55	0-1-1 1.79	1-0-1 1.76	0-1-1 2.99
FC Schifflange 95	2-0-0 4.64	1-0-1 2.83	—	1-0-1 1.90	1-1-0 4.14	1-1-0 2.65	0-0-2 3.57	2-0-0 3.28	1-0-1 4.22	0-0-2 1.95	1-0-1 1.99	1-0-1 2.98
Fola Esch	2-0-0 4.97	2-0-0 3.42	1-0-1 3.72	—	2-0-0 4.26	1-1-0 3.83	1-0-1 3.30	2-0-0 3.47	1-0-1 4.57	1-0-1 2.31	1-1-0 2.85	2-0-0 3.58
Oberkorn	2-0-0 2.75	0-0-2 2.00	0-1-1 1.48	0-0-2 1.37	—	1-0-1 1.44	1-1-0 1.66	1-1-0 2.12	1-0-1 2.25	0-0-2 1.53	0-0-2 0.86	1-0-1 1.72
Progres Niedercorn	2-0-0 3.56	1-1-0 2.19	0-1-1 2.96	0-1-1 1.79	1-0-1 4.18	—	1-1-0 3.18	1-1-0 3.31	1-1-0 3.62	0-0-2 1.46	0-2-0 1.98	0-0-2 3.40
Racing FC Union Luxembourg	1-1-0 3.58	1-1-0 2.03	2-0-0 2.05	1-0-1 2.32	0-1-1 3.96	0-1-1 2.43	—	1-0-1 3.08	0-1-1 3.40	0-1-1 1.25	0-1-1 1.53	0-2-0 3.02
Racing Rodange	2-0-0 3.80	1-0-1 1.83	0-0-2 2.33	0-0-2 2.15	0-1-1 3.49	0-1-1 2.30	1-0-1 2.53	—	2-0-0 2.97	0-0-2 2.09	0-0-2 1.48	1-0-1 2.29
SC Tetange	1-0-1 3.53	0-1-1 2.07	1-0-1 1.40	1-0-1 1.06	1-0-1 3.37	0-1-1 2.00	1-1-0 2.21	0-0-2 2.64	—	0-0-2 1.21	1-0-1 1.08	1-0-1 2.31
Spora Luxembourg	2-0-0 4.94	1-1-0 3.83	2-0-0 3.67	1-0-1 3.31	2-0-0 4.10	2-0-0 4.16	1-1-0 4.38	2-0-0 3.53	2-0-0 4.43	—	1-0-1 3.28	2-0-0 3.48
Stade Dudelange	2-0-0 4.35	1-0-1 3.86	1-0-1 3.62	0-1-1 2.77	2-0-0 4.77	0-2-0 3.64	1-1-0 4.09	2-0-0 4.14	1-0-1 4.55	1-0-1 2.34	—	1-1-0 4.39
US Dudelange	1-1-0 3.82	1-1-0 2.63	1-0-1 2.64	0-0-2 2.04	1-0-1 3.90	2-0-0 2.22	0-2-0 2.60	1-0-1 3.32	1-0-1 3.31	0-0-2 2.14	0-1-1 1.23	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.85	+7.1
Allowed	0.82	-4.8
Differential	0.91	+3.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.79%	5.68%	4.17%	2.27%	1.52%	1.89%	19.32%
1	5.68%	9.09%	6.06%	4.92%	1.89%	3.03%	30.68%
2	4.17%	6.06%	2.27%	4.17%	1.52%	1.52%	19.70%
3	2.27%	4.92%	4.17%	3.03%	1.52%	0.38%	16.29%
4	1.52%	1.89%	1.52%	1.52%	—	0.38%	6.82%
5+	1.89%	3.03%	1.52%	0.38%	0.38%	—	7.20%
Total	19.32%	30.68%	19.70%	16.29%	6.82%	7.20%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.92	1.92	+0.00
SD	1.76	1.76	2.62
CV	0.92	0.92	—
Max	10	10	+10
Min	0	0	-10

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	22.73%
1	—	9.09%	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	50.00%
2	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	18.18%	27.27%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	22.73%	18.18%	13.64%	18.18%	27.27%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.05	3.68	-2.64
SD	0.72	2.64	2.57
CV	0.69	0.72	—
Max	2	10	+1
Min	0	1	-10

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
1	—	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
2	—	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	18.18%
4	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	13.64%	40.91%	13.64%	27.27%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.27	1.73	+0.55
SD	2.23	1.28	2.86
CV	0.98	0.74	—
Max	10	5	+10
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	—	27.27%
1	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	22.73%
2	4.55%	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	18.18%	36.36%	27.27%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.09	1.59	+0.50
SD	2.39	1.30	2.91
CV	1.14	0.82	—
Max	10	5	+9
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
1	18.18%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
5+	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
Total	40.91%	27.27%	13.64%	18.18%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.59	1.09	+1.50
SD	1.84	1.15	2.24
CV	0.71	1.06	—
Max	6	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	4.55%	—	13.64%	—	18.18%
1	9.09%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	13.64%	50.00%
2	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
4	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	27.27%	18.18%	9.09%	22.73%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	2.86	-1.41
SD	1.22	2.44	2.92
CV	0.84	0.85	—
Max	4	10	+3
Min	0	0	-9

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	22.73%
1	4.55%	13.64%	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	36.36%
2	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	27.27%	27.27%	27.27%	9.09%	—	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.59	1.55	+0.05
SD	1.50	1.47	2.15
CV	0.94	0.95	—
Max	6	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
1	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
2	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
3	—	9.09%	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	27.27%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	13.64%	31.82%	22.73%	27.27%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	1.77	+0.23
SD	2.20	1.15	2.16
CV	1.10	0.65	—
Max	10	4	+8
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.64%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
1	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	31.82%
2	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	36.36%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	27.27%	9.09%	18.18%	13.64%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	2.09	-0.45
SD	1.05	1.90	1.71
CV	0.64	0.91	—
Max	4	7	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	22.73%
1	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	36.36%
2	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	18.18%
4	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	13.64%	22.73%	31.82%	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	2.27	-0.73
SD	1.30	1.70	2.45
CV	0.84	0.75	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
1	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
2	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
3	—	9.09%	18.18%	—	—	—	27.27%
4	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	9.09%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
Total	27.27%	36.36%	27.27%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.95	1.18	+1.77
SD	1.81	0.96	2.02
CV	0.61	0.81	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
1	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
2	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	27.27%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	22.73%	50.00%	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.05	1.14	+0.91
SD	1.73	0.89	1.93
CV	0.85	0.78	—
Max	7	3	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%	22.73%
1	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	31.82%
2	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
Total	18.18%	27.27%	18.18%	13.64%	13.64%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.82	2.09	-0.27
SD	1.84	1.72	2.37
CV	1.01	0.82	—
Max	7	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Spora Luxembourg	1228	38	29.87	+8.13	100.0%	21	24	27	30	32	35	37
Fola Esch	1096	34	28.18	+5.82	97.0%	20	21	25	28	31	34	36
Stade Dudelange	1069	29	29.23	-0.23	53.0%	17	23	27	29	32	35	38
Racing FC Union Luxembourg	1012	21	19.97	+1.03	67.0%	13	14	17	20	23	26	28
Differdange 03	1001	21	23.62	-2.62	31.0%	14	17	21	23	26	30	36
FC Schifflange 95	978	24	24.60	-0.60	50.0%	16	18	22	24	27	31	33
Progres Niedercorn	914	22	23.16	-1.16	37.0%	11	15	21	24	26	29	34
Racing Rodange	908	16	18.82	-2.82	26.0%	11	13	16	18	21	25	30
US Dudelange	877	21	22.49	-1.49	40.0%	15	16	20	22	25	28	32
SC Tetange	845	17	16.68	+0.32	56.0%	8	10	14	17	20	23	29
Oberkorn	811	17	14.18	+2.82	81.0%	5	8	12	14	16	20	25
CS Petange	627	4	13.20	-9.20	1.0%	4	7	10	13	15	20	23

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+1.52%

No Edge

41.67%18.18%40.15%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 5.26 Elo pts.

163 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.31 goals

Neutral

-2+0.03+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.4

Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

42%

Spora Luxembourg, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.18/gm

Comfortable

00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.08 * Some Luck: 3.08 to 4.61 * Lucky: 4.61 to 6.15 * Wild Swing: 6.15 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.25 * Close: 1.25 to 1.87 * Off: 1.87 to 2.49 * Way Off: 2.49 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

4.21 points

Some Luck

03.8410

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.83

Pinpoint

01.564

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

100.00%

Spora Luxembourg

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

1.00%

CS Petange

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.

Gini Index

0.21

Top-Heavy

00.170.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 154.68

2.09

Wide Separation

11.651.852.052.5

Interquartile Edge

71%

Slight Edge

50%68%78%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 96%

97%

Dominant

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

53%

Frequent

0%43%100%

Blowouts

Expected

25%

Occasional

0%34%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.56

Predictable

00.572

Matchup Imbalance

0.39

Notable Separation

00.350.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.31

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

-0.10

Weak Carryover

00.430.621

Upset Rate

Expected

26%

Upset-Prone

0%25%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

22%

Shaky Favorites

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.

Probability calibration

0.97

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.87

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.080

Well Within Noise

00.1440.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Spora Luxembourg	42.00%	27.00%	14.00%	8.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Fola Esch	23.00%	26.00%	19.00%	11.00%	8.00%	5.00%	5.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—
Stade Dudelange	25.00%	25.00%	20.00%	15.00%	9.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
FC Schifflange 95	4.00%	8.00%	13.00%	19.00%	21.00%	10.00%	12.00%	8.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—
Progres Niedercorn	1.00%	4.00%	11.00%	14.00%	18.00%	21.00%	9.00%	8.00%	4.00%	6.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Differdange 03	2.00%	7.00%	11.00%	13.00%	13.00%	21.00%	12.00%	11.00%	8.00%	2.00%	—	—
Racing FC Union Luxembourg	—	1.00%	2.00%	7.00%	9.00%	10.00%	21.00%	13.00%	14.00%	12.00%	6.00%	5.00%
US Dudelange	2.00%	1.00%	9.00%	10.00%	13.00%	15.00%	15.00%	16.00%	6.00%	12.00%	—	1.00%
SC Tetange	1.00%	—	—	—	2.00%	5.00%	5.00%	16.00%	18.00%	20.00%	20.00%	13.00%
Oberkorn	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	5.00%	8.00%	19.00%	31.00%	32.00%
Racing Rodange	—	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	6.00%	13.00%	15.00%	32.00%	14.00%	11.00%	3.00%
CS Petange	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	5.00%	5.00%	13.00%	29.00%	45.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Fola Esch	100%	—
Spora Luxembourg	100%	—
FC Schifflange 95	99.00%	1.00%
Stade Dudelange	99.00%	1.00%
Differdange 03	98.00%	2.00%
Progres Niedercorn	90.00%	10.00%
US Dudelange	87.00%	13.00%
Racing FC Union Luxembourg	77.00%	23.00%
Racing Rodange	72.00%	28.00%
SC Tetange	47.00%	53.00%
Oberkorn	18.00%	82.00%
CS Petange	13.00%	87.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1948-08-15	Differdange 03	L 0-4	34.9	939	957	38.88%	19.28%	41.84%	-0.08	-56.8	0
1948-08-15	@ Oberkorn	W 4-0	34.9	957	939	41.84%	19.28%	38.88%	+0.08	+56.8	2
1948-08-22	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	W 2-0	41.0	905	969	32.72%	19.25%	48.03%	-0.36	+35.7	2
1948-08-22	@ Fola Esch	L 0-2	41.0	969	905	48.03%	19.25%	32.72%	+0.36	-35.7	0
1948-08-22	Progres Niedercorn	D 3-3	60.7	883	948	32.51%	19.25%	48.24%	-0.36	+0.9	1
1948-08-22	@ SC Tetange	D 3-3	60.7	948	883	48.24%	19.25%	32.51%	+0.36	-0.8	1
1948-08-22	Racing Rodange	W 3-2	49.8	926	954	37.44%	19.28%	43.28%	-0.14	+15.5	2
1948-08-22	@ Spora Luxembourg	L 2-3	49.8	954	926	43.28%	19.28%	37.44%	+0.14	-15.5	0
1948-08-22	FC Schifflange 95	W 3-1	40.6	971	927	47.49%	19.26%	33.25%	+0.30	+22.8	2
1948-08-22	@ US Dudelange	L 1-3	40.6	927	971	33.25%	19.26%	47.49%	-0.30	-22.8	0
1948-08-30	Stade Dudelange	W 1-0	46.2	905	1047	23.33%	19.11%	57.56%	-0.84	+22.4	2
1948-08-30	@ FC Schifflange 95	L 0-1	46.2	1047	905	57.56%	19.11%	23.33%	+0.84	-22.4	0
1948-08-30	Spora Luxembourg	L 1-6	36.2	882	941	33.25%	19.26%	47.49%	-0.33	-50.9	0
1948-08-30	@ Oberkorn	W 6-1	36.2	941	882	47.49%	19.26%	33.25%	+0.33	+50.9	4
1948-08-30	CS Petange	W 4-0	34.8	947	942	42.19%	19.28%	38.53%	+0.06	+56.3	3
1948-08-30	@ Progres Niedercorn	L 0-4	34.8	942	947	38.53%	19.28%	42.19%	-0.06	-56.4	0
1948-08-30	SC Tetange	L 2-4	49.1	933	884	48.27%	19.25%	32.48%	+0.33	-27.8	0
1948-08-30	@ Racing FC Union Luxembourg	W 4-2	49.1	884	933	32.48%	19.25%	48.27%	-0.33	+27.8	3
1948-08-30	Fola Esch	L 2-3	49.2	939	941	41.17%	19.28%	39.54%	+0.02	-14.9	0
1948-08-30	@ Racing Rodange	W 3-2	49.2	941	939	39.54%	19.28%	41.17%	-0.02	+14.9	4
1948-08-30	Differdange 03	W 3-2	49.5	993	1014	38.57%	19.28%	42.15%	-0.09	+15.1	4
1948-08-30	@ US Dudelange	L 2-3	49.5	1014	993	42.15%	19.28%	38.57%	+0.09	-15.1	2
1948-09-01	CS Petange	W 3-0	31.1	1024	885	58.88%	19.09%	22.03%	+0.88	+26.9	2
1948-09-01	@ Stade Dudelange	L 0-3	31.1	885	1024	22.03%	19.09%	58.88%	-0.88	-26.9	0
1948-09-05	FC Schifflange 95	L 0-2	41.9	999	927	51.17%	19.23%	29.60%	+0.47	-37.8	2
1948-09-05	@ Differdange 03	W 2-0	41.9	927	999	29.60%	19.23%	51.17%	-0.47	+37.8	4
1948-09-05	Oberkorn	W 4-0	30.2	956	831	57.37%	19.13%	23.50%	+0.80	+37.2	6
1948-09-05	@ Fola Esch	L 0-4	30.2	831	956	23.50%	19.13%	57.37%	-0.80	-37.2	0
1948-09-05	Racing Rodange	L 0-2	38.5	911	924	39.69%	19.28%	41.03%	-0.04	-30.4	3
1948-09-05	@ SC Tetange	W 2-0	38.5	924	911	41.03%	19.28%	39.69%	+0.04	+30.4	2
1948-09-05	US Dudelange	W 6-0	35.4	992	1009	39.15%	19.28%	41.57%	-0.07	+87.7	6
1948-09-05	@ Spora Luxembourg	L 0-6	35.4	1009	992	41.57%	19.28%	39.15%	+0.07	-87.7	4
1948-09-05	Progres Niedercorn	D 1-1	52.7	1051	1003	48.13%	19.26%	32.62%	+0.33	-1.4	3
1948-09-05	@ Stade Dudelange	D 1-1	52.7	1003	1051	32.62%	19.26%	48.13%	-0.33	+1.4	4
1948-09-05	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	D 1-1	52.7	859	905	34.95%	19.27%	45.79%	-0.25	+0.9	1
1948-09-05	@ CS Petange	D 1-1	52.7	905	859	45.79%	19.27%	34.95%	+0.25	-0.9	1
1948-09-12	Spora Luxembourg	D 1-1	52.7	961	1080	25.86%	19.16%	54.97%	-0.70	+2.6	3
1948-09-12	@ Differdange 03	D 1-1	52.7	1080	961	54.97%	19.16%	25.86%	+0.70	-2.6	7
1948-09-12	Progres Niedercorn	D 0-0	49.7	965	1004	35.88%	19.27%	44.85%	-0.21	+0.9	5
1948-09-12	@ FC Schifflange 95	D 0-0	49.7	1004	965	44.85%	19.27%	35.88%	+0.21	-0.9	5
1948-09-12	Stade Dudelange	L 0-3	31.4	904	1050	22.95%	19.10%	57.95%	-0.86	-27.9	1
1948-09-12	@ Racing FC Union Luxembourg	W 3-0	31.4	1050	904	57.95%	19.10%	22.95%	+0.86	+27.9	5
1948-09-12	CS Petange	W 1-0	37.0	954	859	53.99%	19.19%	26.82%	+0.61	+11.6	4
1948-09-12	@ Racing Rodange	L 0-1	37.0	859	954	26.82%	19.19%	53.99%	-0.61	-11.7	1
1948-09-12	Oberkorn	W 4-0	31.5	881	794	53.04%	19.20%	27.76%	+0.57	+42.9	5
1948-09-12	@ SC Tetange	L 0-4	31.5	794	881	27.76%	19.20%	53.04%	-0.57	-42.9	0
1948-09-12	Fola Esch	L 0-1	38.5	921	993	31.56%	19.24%	49.20%	-0.41	-13.4	4
1948-09-12	@ US Dudelange	W 1-0	38.5	993	921	49.20%	19.24%	31.56%	+0.41	+13.4	8
1948-10-03	Differdange 03	W 3-0	34.5	1006	964	47.42%	19.26%	33.32%	+0.29	+38.3	10
1948-10-03	@ Fola Esch	L 0-3	34.5	964	1006	33.32%	19.26%	47.42%	-0.29	-38.3	3
1948-10-03	CS Petange	W 2-1	48.3	751	848	28.49%	19.20%	52.31%	-0.56	+19.3	2
1948-10-03	@ Oberkorn	L 1-2	48.3	848	751	52.31%	19.20%	28.49%	+0.56	-19.3	1
1948-10-03	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	W 2-1	39.5	1004	876	57.66%	19.12%	23.22%	+0.81	+9.7	7
1948-10-03	@ Progres Niedercorn	L 1-2	39.5	876	1004	23.22%	19.12%	57.66%	-0.81	-9.7	1
1948-10-03	US Dudelange	W 2-0	37.7	924	908	43.79%	19.28%	36.93%	+0.13	+28.7	7
1948-10-03	@ SC Tetange	L 0-2	37.7	908	924	36.93%	19.28%	43.79%	-0.13	-28.7	4
1948-10-03	FC Schifflange 95	W 1-0	36.4	1077	966	55.95%	19.16%	24.90%	+0.72	+10.9	9
1948-10-03	@ Spora Luxembourg	L 0-1	36.4	966	1077	24.90%	19.16%	55.95%	-0.72	-10.9	5
1948-10-03	Racing Rodange	W 3-1	38.1	1078	966	55.94%	19.16%	24.91%	+0.72	+17.9	7
1948-10-03	@ Stade Dudelange	L 1-3	38.1	966	1078	24.91%	19.16%	55.94%	-0.72	-17.9	4
1948-10-10	SC Tetange	W 3-1	43.6	925	953	37.61%	19.28%	43.12%	-0.13	+28.2	5
1948-10-10	@ Differdange 03	L 1-3	43.6	953	925	43.12%	19.28%	37.61%	+0.13	-28.2	7
1948-10-10	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	L 0-2	42.5	955	867	53.18%	19.20%	27.62%	+0.57	-39.1	5
1948-10-10	@ FC Schifflange 95	W 2-0	42.5	867	955	27.62%	19.20%	53.18%	-0.57	+39.1	3
1948-10-10	Stade Dudelange	L 1-2	35.2	770	1096	9.48%	18.36%	72.16%	-1.96	-4.3	2
1948-10-10	@ Oberkorn	W 2-1	35.2	1096	770	72.16%	18.36%	9.48%	+1.96	+4.3	9
1948-10-10	Progres Niedercorn	L 0-1	38.7	948	1013	32.47%	19.25%	48.28%	-0.37	-13.7	4
1948-10-10	@ Racing Rodange	W 1-0	38.7	1013	948	48.28%	19.25%	32.47%	+0.37	+13.7	9
1948-10-10	Fola Esch	L 1-3	44.9	1088	1045	47.52%	19.26%	33.22%	+0.30	-30.6	9
1948-10-10	@ Spora Luxembourg	W 3-1	44.9	1045	1088	33.22%	19.26%	47.52%	-0.30	+30.6	12
1948-10-10	CS Petange	D 1-1	52.7	879	829	48.41%	19.25%	32.34%	+0.34	-1.4	5
1948-10-10	@ US Dudelange	D 1-1	52.7	829	879	32.34%	19.25%	48.41%	-0.34	+1.4	2
1948-10-31	FC Schifflange 95	L 1-2	50.9	1075	915	60.99%	19.03%	19.97%	+1.01	-22.3	12
1948-10-31	@ Fola Esch	W 2-1	50.9	915	1075	19.97%	19.03%	60.99%	-1.01	+22.3	7
1948-10-31	Oberkorn	L 2-3	57.4	1027	766	69.20%	18.64%	12.16%	+1.63	-24.1	9
1948-10-31	@ Progres Niedercorn	W 3-2	57.4	766	1027	12.16%	18.64%	69.20%	-1.63	+24.1	4
1948-10-31	Racing Rodange	L 0-1	40.2	906	934	37.39%	19.28%	43.33%	-0.14	-15.4	3
1948-10-31	@ Racing FC Union Luxembourg	W 1-0	40.2	934	906	43.33%	19.28%	37.39%	+0.14	+15.4	6
1948-10-31	Spora Luxembourg	L 0-6	30.1	924	1058	24.27%	19.13%	56.60%	-0.78	-56.0	7
1948-10-31	@ SC Tetange	W 6-0	30.1	1058	924	56.60%	19.13%	24.27%	+0.78	+56.0	11
1948-10-31	US Dudelange	D 1-1	52.8	1100	877	66.44%	18.81%	14.75%	+1.40	-4.9	10
1948-10-31	@ Stade Dudelange	D 1-1	52.8	877	1100	14.75%	18.81%	66.44%	-1.40	+4.9	6
1948-10-31	Differdange 03	L 1-4	36.3	830	953	25.36%	19.15%	55.49%	-0.72	-25.6	2
1948-10-31	@ CS Petange	W 4-1	36.3	953	830	55.49%	19.15%	25.36%	+0.72	+25.6	7
1948-11-14	Stade Dudelange	L 2-3	44.7	979	1095	26.23%	19.17%	54.60%	-0.68	-10.2	7
1948-11-14	@ Differdange 03	W 3-2	44.7	1095	979	54.60%	19.17%	26.23%	+0.68	+10.2	12
1948-11-14	Racing Rodange	W 5-1	39.5	938	950	39.77%	19.28%	40.95%	-0.04	+49.3	9
1948-11-14	@ FC Schifflange 95	L 1-5	39.5	950	938	40.95%	19.28%	39.77%	+0.04	-49.3	6
1948-11-14	SC Tetange	W 6-1	31.4	1053	868	63.30%	18.95%	17.75%	+1.16	+29.6	14
1948-11-14	@ Fola Esch	L 1-6	31.4	868	1053	17.75%	18.95%	63.30%	-1.16	-29.6	7
1948-11-14	Oberkorn	L 0-1	45.3	890	790	54.60%	19.18%	26.22%	+0.65	-21.3	3
1948-11-14	@ Racing FC Union Luxembourg	W 1-0	45.3	790	890	26.22%	19.18%	54.60%	-0.65	+21.3	6
1948-11-14	Spora Luxembourg	L 1-4	31.6	804	1114	10.29%	18.45%	71.26%	-1.86	-11.3	2
1948-11-14	@ CS Petange	W 4-1	31.6	1114	804	71.26%	18.45%	10.29%	+1.86	+11.3	13
1948-11-14	Progres Niedercorn	W 2-0	43.1	882	1003	25.71%	19.16%	55.13%	-0.71	+40.5	8
1948-11-14	@ US Dudelange	L 0-2	43.1	1003	882	55.13%	19.16%	25.71%	+0.71	-40.5	9
1948-11-28	Racing Rodange	D 1-1	52.7	811	900	29.43%	19.22%	51.36%	-0.51	+1.9	7
1948-11-28	@ Oberkorn	D 1-1	52.7	900	811	51.36%	19.22%	29.43%	+0.51	-1.9	7
1948-11-28	Differdange 03	W 2-1	44.7	962	969	40.55%	19.28%	40.17%	-0.01	+15.4	11
1948-11-28	@ Progres Niedercorn	L 1-2	44.7	969	962	40.17%	19.28%	40.55%	+0.01	-15.4	7
1948-11-28	FC Schifflange 95	L 2-3	43.6	839	987	22.67%	19.09%	58.24%	-0.88	-9.0	7
1948-11-28	@ SC Tetange	W 3-2	43.6	987	839	58.24%	19.09%	22.67%	+0.88	+9.0	11
1948-11-28	Spora Luxembourg	W 2-1	45.3	1105	1125	38.66%	19.28%	42.06%	-0.09	+15.9	14
1948-11-28	@ Stade Dudelange	L 1-2	45.3	1125	1105	42.06%	19.28%	38.66%	+0.09	-16.0	13
1948-12-05	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	D 3-3	60.7	954	869	52.74%	19.21%	28.05%	+0.55	-1.4	8
1948-12-05	@ Differdange 03	D 3-3	60.7	869	954	28.05%	19.21%	52.74%	-0.55	+1.4	4
1948-12-05	Oberkorn	W 10-1	30.7	996	813	63.13%	18.96%	17.91%	+1.15	+51.8	13
1948-12-05	@ FC Schifflange 95	L 1-10	30.7	813	996	17.91%	18.96%	63.13%	-1.15	-51.8	7
1948-12-05	Stade Dudelange	D 2-2	56.8	1083	1121	36.04%	19.27%	44.68%	-0.20	+0.6	15
1948-12-05	@ Fola Esch	D 2-2	56.8	1121	1083	44.68%	19.27%	36.04%	+0.20	-0.6	15
1948-12-05	CS Petange	W 2-1	42.9	830	793	46.60%	19.27%	34.14%	+0.26	+13.4	9
1948-12-05	@ SC Tetange	L 1-2	42.9	793	830	34.14%	19.27%	46.60%	-0.26	-13.4	2
1948-12-05	Racing Rodange	W 7-4	46.1	923	899	44.90%	19.27%	35.83%	+0.18	+26.2	10
1948-12-05	@ US Dudelange	L 4-7	46.1	899	923	35.83%	19.27%	44.90%	-0.18	-26.2	7
1948-12-12	US Dudelange	L 0-2	32.2	762	949	18.90%	18.98%	62.12%	-1.12	-16.2	7
1948-12-12	@ Oberkorn	W 2-0	32.2	949	762	62.12%	18.98%	18.90%	+1.12	+16.2	12
1948-12-12	Fola Esch	D 0-0	49.7	978	1083	27.43%	19.19%	53.38%	-0.61	+2.6	12
1948-12-12	@ Progres Niedercorn	D 0-0	49.7	1083	978	53.38%	19.19%	27.43%	+0.61	-2.6	16
1948-12-12	Spora Luxembourg	L 2-3	41.1	870	1109	14.72%	18.79%	66.49%	-1.43	-6.1	4
1948-12-12	@ Racing FC Union Luxembourg	W 3-2	41.1	1109	870	66.49%	18.79%	14.72%	+1.43	+6.1	15
1948-12-12	Differdange 03	L 3-4	49.4	872	952	30.58%	19.23%	50.18%	-0.46	-11.4	7
1948-12-12	@ Racing Rodange	W 4-3	49.4	952	872	50.18%	19.23%	30.58%	+0.46	+11.4	10
1948-12-12	SC Tetange	W 3-1	33.8	1121	843	70.27%	18.56%	11.17%	+1.73	+8.7	17
1948-12-12	@ Stade Dudelange	L 1-3	33.8	843	1121	11.17%	18.56%	70.27%	-1.73	-8.7	9
1948-12-12	FC Schifflange 95	L 1-2	36.2	780	1048	12.68%	18.65%	68.66%	-1.61	-5.6	2
1948-12-12	@ CS Petange	W 2-1	36.2	1048	780	68.66%	18.65%	12.68%	+1.61	+5.6	15
1948-12-19	Oberkorn	W 2-1	37.0	964	745	66.10%	18.83%	15.07%	+1.37	+6.6	12
1948-12-19	@ Differdange 03	L 1-2	37.0	745	964	15.07%	18.83%	66.10%	-1.37	-6.6	7
1948-12-19	US Dudelange	W 4-2	42.9	1054	965	53.20%	19.20%	27.60%	+0.57	+17.4	17
1948-12-19	@ FC Schifflange 95	L 2-4	42.9	965	1054	27.60%	19.20%	53.20%	-0.57	-17.4	12
1948-12-19	SC Tetange	W 3-0	30.9	980	834	59.59%	19.07%	21.34%	+0.93	+26.2	14
1948-12-19	@ Progres Niedercorn	L 0-3	30.9	834	980	21.34%	19.07%	59.59%	-0.93	-26.2	9
1948-12-19	Fola Esch	W 3-1	49.9	864	1081	16.43%	18.88%	64.69%	-1.29	+41.0	6
1948-12-19	@ Racing FC Union Luxembourg	L 1-3	49.9	1081	864	64.69%	18.88%	16.43%	+1.29	-41.0	16
1948-12-19	Spora Luxembourg	L 2-3	40.7	861	1115	13.63%	18.72%	67.65%	-1.53	-5.7	7
1948-12-19	@ Racing Rodange	W 3-2	40.7	1115	861	67.65%	18.72%	13.63%	+1.53	+5.7	17
1948-12-19	Stade Dudelange	L 2-5	34.3	774	1129	8.10%	18.19%	73.71%	-2.15	-7.8	2
1948-12-19	@ CS Petange	W 5-2	34.3	1129	774	73.71%	18.19%	8.10%	+2.15	+7.8	19
1949-01-02	Spora Luxembourg	L 1-5	35.1	1006	1121	26.39%	19.17%	54.44%	-0.67	-34.2	14
1949-01-02	@ Progres Niedercorn	W 5-1	35.1	1121	1006	54.44%	19.17%	26.39%	+0.67	+34.2	19
1949-01-09	US Dudelange	D 1-1	52.7	970	948	44.63%	19.27%	36.09%	+0.17	-0.7	13
1949-01-09	@ Differdange 03	D 1-1	52.7	948	970	36.09%	19.27%	44.63%	-0.17	+0.7	13
1949-01-09	Racing Rodange	W 4-1	34.0	1040	855	63.27%	18.95%	17.78%	+1.16	+18.8	18
1949-01-09	@ Fola Esch	L 1-4	34.0	855	1040	17.78%	18.95%	63.27%	-1.16	-18.8	7
1949-01-09	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	D 3-3	60.7	808	905	28.46%	19.20%	52.34%	-0.56	+1.3	10
1949-01-09	@ SC Tetange	D 3-3	60.7	905	808	52.34%	19.20%	28.46%	+0.56	-1.3	7
1949-01-09	Oberkorn	W 4-2	35.8	1155	739	76.88%	17.73%	5.39%	+2.58	+3.8	21
1949-01-09	@ Spora Luxembourg	L 2-4	35.8	739	1155	5.39%	17.73%	76.88%	-2.58	-3.8	7
1949-01-09	FC Schifflange 95	W 2-0	35.7	1137	1071	50.45%	19.23%	30.32%	+0.44	+24.4	21
1949-01-09	@ Stade Dudelange	L 0-2	35.7	1071	1137	30.32%	19.23%	50.45%	-0.44	-24.4	17
1949-01-09	Progres Niedercorn	L 2-6	35.1	766	972	17.27%	18.91%	63.81%	-1.23	-20.0	2
1949-01-09	@ CS Petange	W 6-2	35.1	972	766	63.81%	18.91%	17.27%	+1.23	+20.0	16
1949-01-16	Fola Esch	L 3-4	42.9	735	1058	9.57%	18.38%	72.05%	-1.95	-4.0	7
1949-01-16	@ Oberkorn	W 4-3	42.9	1058	735	72.05%	18.38%	9.57%	+1.95	+4.0	20
1949-01-16	Stade Dudelange	D 0-0	49.8	992	1161	20.59%	19.04%	60.37%	-1.00	+4.1	17
1949-01-16	@ Progres Niedercorn	D 0-0	49.8	1161	992	60.37%	19.04%	20.59%	+1.00	-4.1	22
1949-01-16	CS Petange	W 10-2	32.1	904	746	60.80%	19.04%	20.16%	+1.00	+42.0	9
1949-01-16	@ Racing FC Union Luxembourg	L 2-10	32.1	746	904	20.16%	19.04%	60.80%	-1.00	-42.0	2
1949-01-16	SC Tetange	W 2-0	37.2	837	810	45.26%	19.27%	35.47%	+0.20	+27.8	9
1949-01-16	@ Racing Rodange	L 0-2	37.2	810	837	35.47%	19.27%	45.26%	-0.20	-27.8	10
1949-01-16	Spora Luxembourg	L 1-2	37.6	948	1159	16.91%	18.90%	64.19%	-1.26	-7.3	13
1949-01-16	@ US Dudelange	W 2-1	37.6	1159	948	64.19%	18.90%	16.91%	+1.26	+7.3	23
1949-01-23	US Dudelange	D 3-3	60.7	946	941	42.17%	19.28%	38.55%	+0.06	-0.2	10
1949-01-23	@ Racing FC Union Luxembourg	D 3-3	60.7	941	946	38.55%	19.28%	42.17%	-0.06	+0.2	14
1949-01-23	Fola Esch	L 0-1	31.1	704	1062	7.98%	18.17%	73.85%	-2.16	-3.8	2
1949-01-23	@ CS Petange	W 1-0	31.1	1062	704	73.85%	18.17%	7.98%	+2.16	+3.8	22
1949-01-23	Differdange 03	L 1-4	44.3	1047	969	51.84%	19.22%	28.94%	+0.51	-46.8	17
1949-01-23	@ FC Schifflange 95	W 4-1	44.3	969	1047	28.94%	19.22%	51.84%	-0.51	+46.8	15
1949-01-30	US Dudelange	W 5-0	29.8	1066	941	57.39%	19.13%	23.49%	+0.80	+45.8	24
1949-01-30	@ Fola Esch	L 0-5	29.8	941	1066	23.49%	19.13%	57.39%	-0.80	-45.8	14
1949-01-30	SC Tetange	W 4-1	42.6	731	782	34.36%	19.26%	46.37%	-0.28	+42.4	9
1949-01-30	@ Oberkorn	L 1-4	42.6	782	731	46.37%	19.26%	34.36%	+0.28	-42.4	10
1949-01-30	FC Schifflange 95	L 0-5	35.1	996	1000	40.99%	19.28%	39.72%	+0.01	-73.0	17
1949-01-30	@ Progres Niedercorn	W 5-0	35.1	1000	996	39.72%	19.28%	40.99%	-0.01	+73.0	19
1949-01-30	Differdange 03	W 5-3	43.6	1166	1016	60.03%	19.06%	20.91%	+0.95	+13.0	25
1949-01-30	@ Spora Luxembourg	L 3-5	43.6	1016	1166	20.91%	19.06%	60.03%	-0.95	-13.0	15
1949-01-30	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	D 2-2	56.9	1157	946	65.58%	18.85%	15.56%	+1.33	-3.5	23
1949-01-30	@ Stade Dudelange	D 2-2	56.9	946	1157	15.56%	18.85%	65.58%	-1.33	+3.5	11
1949-01-30	Racing Rodange	L 1-2	38.9	700	864	21.09%	19.05%	59.86%	-0.97	-8.9	2
1949-01-30	@ CS Petange	W 2-1	38.9	864	700	59.86%	19.05%	21.09%	+0.97	+8.9	11
1949-02-06	Fola Esch	L 0-1	37.1	1003	1112	27.05%	19.18%	53.76%	-0.63	-11.7	15
1949-02-06	@ Differdange 03	W 1-0	37.1	1112	1003	53.76%	19.18%	27.05%	+0.63	+11.7	26
1949-02-06	Spora Luxembourg	L 0-2	34.8	1073	1179	27.32%	19.19%	53.49%	-0.62	-22.3	19
1949-02-06	@ FC Schifflange 95	W 2-0	34.8	1179	1073	53.49%	19.19%	27.32%	+0.62	+22.3	27
1949-02-06	Progres Niedercorn	D 1-1	52.7	949	923	45.14%	19.27%	35.59%	+0.19	-0.8	12
1949-02-06	@ Racing FC Union Luxembourg	D 1-1	52.7	923	949	35.59%	19.27%	45.14%	-0.19	+0.8	18
1949-02-06	Stade Dudelange	L 0-1	32.4	873	1154	11.92%	18.60%	69.48%	-1.69	-5.6	11
1949-02-06	@ Racing Rodange	W 1-0	32.4	1154	873	69.48%	18.60%	11.92%	+1.69	+5.6	25
1949-02-06	Oberkorn	L 1-3	39.7	691	773	30.29%	19.23%	50.48%	-0.47	-21.1	2
1949-02-06	@ CS Petange	W 3-1	39.7	773	691	50.48%	19.23%	30.29%	+0.47	+21.1	11
1949-02-06	SC Tetange	W 1-0	35.0	896	739	60.62%	19.04%	20.33%	+0.99	+9.2	16
1949-02-06	@ US Dudelange	L 0-1	35.0	739	896	20.33%	19.04%	60.62%	-0.99	-9.2	10
1949-02-13	Spora Luxembourg	L 2-3	46.2	1124	1202	30.83%	19.23%	49.93%	-0.44	-11.7	26
1949-02-13	@ Fola Esch	W 3-2	46.2	1202	1124	49.93%	19.23%	30.83%	+0.44	+11.7	29
1949-02-13	Racing Rodange	D 2-2	56.8	924	868	49.22%	19.25%	31.53%	+0.38	-1.2	19
1949-02-13	@ Progres Niedercorn	D 2-2	56.8	868	924	31.53%	19.25%	49.22%	-0.38	+1.1	12
1949-02-13	FC Schifflange 95	W 3-2	52.7	948	1050	27.85%	19.20%	52.95%	-0.59	+18.5	14
1949-02-13	@ Racing FC Union Luxembourg	L 2-3	52.7	1050	948	52.95%	19.20%	27.85%	+0.59	-18.5	19
1949-02-13	Differdange 03	D 1-1	52.9	730	992	13.15%	18.69%	68.16%	-1.57	+5.3	11
1949-02-13	@ SC Tetange	D 1-1	52.9	992	730	68.16%	18.69%	13.15%	+1.57	-5.3	16
1949-02-13	Oberkorn	W 7-1	27.4	1159	795	74.85%	18.07%	7.08%	+2.27	+14.8	27
1949-02-13	@ Stade Dudelange	L 1-7	27.4	795	1159	7.08%	18.07%	74.85%	-2.27	-14.8	11
1949-02-13	US Dudelange	L 2-6	34.3	670	905	15.03%	18.80%	66.17%	-1.40	-17.7	2
1949-02-13	@ CS Petange	W 6-2	34.3	905	670	66.17%	18.80%	15.03%	+1.40	+17.7	18
1949-02-20	CS Petange	W 10-0	27.0	986	653	73.40%	18.26%	8.35%	+2.08	+34.2	18
1949-02-20	@ Differdange 03	L 0-10	27.0	653	986	8.35%	18.26%	73.40%	-2.08	-34.2	2
1949-02-20	Fola Esch	L 1-5	36.4	1032	1112	30.55%	19.23%	50.22%	-0.46	-38.8	19
1949-02-20	@ FC Schifflange 95	W 5-1	36.4	1112	1032	50.22%	19.23%	30.55%	+0.46	+38.8	28
1949-02-20	Progres Niedercorn	L 1-3	37.6	780	923	23.21%	19.11%	57.68%	-0.85	-16.8	11
1949-02-20	@ Oberkorn	W 3-1	37.6	923	780	57.68%	19.11%	23.21%	+0.85	+16.8	21
1949-02-20	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	L 3-4	48.7	869	967	28.30%	19.20%	52.49%	-0.57	-10.6	12
1949-02-20	@ Racing Rodange	W 4-3	48.7	967	869	52.49%	19.20%	28.30%	+0.57	+10.6	16
1949-02-20	SC Tetange	W 3-1	31.2	1213	736	78.84%	17.27%	3.88%	+2.96	+3.1	31
1949-02-20	@ Spora Luxembourg	L 1-3	31.2	736	1213	3.88%	17.27%	78.84%	-2.96	-3.1	11
1949-02-20	Stade Dudelange	L 1-3	34.6	922	1174	13.78%	18.73%	67.49%	-1.51	-10.5	18
1949-02-20	@ US Dudelange	W 3-1	34.6	1174	922	67.49%	18.73%	13.78%	+1.51	+10.5	29
1949-03-06	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	D 1-1	52.8	763	978	16.57%	18.88%	64.55%	-1.28	+4.5	12
1949-03-06	@ Oberkorn	D 1-1	52.8	978	763	64.55%	18.88%	16.57%	+1.28	-4.5	17
1949-03-06	US Dudelange	L 1-2	46.2	940	912	45.40%	19.27%	35.33%	+0.20	-17.0	21
1949-03-06	@ Progres Niedercorn	W 2-1	46.2	912	940	35.33%	19.27%	45.40%	-0.20	+17.0	20
1949-03-06	FC Schifflange 95	L 1-2	39.8	858	993	24.08%	19.13%	56.79%	-0.80	-10.0	12
1949-03-06	@ Racing Rodange	W 2-1	39.8	993	858	56.79%	19.13%	24.08%	+0.80	+10.0	21
1949-03-06	CS Petange	W 3-1	30.4	1216	618	81.70%	16.27%	2.03%	+3.70	+1.6	33
1949-03-06	@ Spora Luxembourg	L 1-3	30.4	618	1216	2.03%	16.27%	81.70%	-3.70	-1.6	2
1949-03-06	Differdange 03	L 0-3	42.9	1185	1021	61.42%	19.02%	19.56%	+1.04	-65.3	29
1949-03-06	@ Stade Dudelange	W 3-0	42.9	1021	1185	19.56%	19.02%	61.42%	-1.04	+65.3	20
1949-04-03	Progres Niedercorn	D 1-1	52.8	1086	923	61.30%	19.02%	19.67%	+1.03	-3.8	21
1949-04-03	@ Differdange 03	D 1-1	52.8	923	1086	19.67%	19.02%	61.30%	-1.03	+3.9	22
1949-04-03	SC Tetange	L 0-1	49.7	1003	732	69.85%	18.59%	11.56%	+1.69	-27.2	21
1949-04-03	@ FC Schifflange 95	W 1-0	49.7	732	1003	11.56%	18.59%	69.85%	-1.69	+27.2	13
1949-04-03	CS Petange	W 6-1	26.3	1151	617	80.31%	16.82%	2.87%	+3.30	+5.0	30
1949-04-03	@ Fola Esch	L 1-6	26.3	617	1151	2.87%	16.82%	80.31%	-3.30	-5.1	2
1949-04-03	Oberkorn	L 0-1	44.7	848	767	52.27%	19.21%	28.52%	+0.53	-20.4	12
1949-04-03	@ Racing Rodange	W 1-0	44.7	767	848	28.52%	19.21%	52.27%	-0.53	+20.4	14
1949-04-03	Stade Dudelange	W 1-0	37.0	1218	1119	54.41%	19.18%	26.41%	+0.64	+11.5	35
1949-04-03	@ Spora Luxembourg	L 0-1	37.0	1119	1218	26.41%	19.18%	54.41%	-0.64	-11.5	29
1949-04-03	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	D 0-0	49.7	929	973	35.25%	19.27%	45.48%	-0.24	+1.0	21
1949-04-03	@ US Dudelange	D 0-0	49.7	973	929	45.48%	19.27%	35.25%	+0.24	-1.0	18
1949-04-24	FC Schifflange 95	D 1-1	52.8	788	976	18.83%	18.98%	62.19%	-1.12	+4.0	15
1949-04-24	@ Oberkorn	D 1-1	52.8	976	788	62.19%	18.98%	18.83%	+1.12	-4.0	22
1949-04-24	US Dudelange	W 3-1	46.5	828	930	27.83%	19.20%	52.97%	-0.59	+33.8	14
1949-04-24	@ Racing Rodange	L 1-3	46.5	930	828	52.97%	19.20%	27.83%	+0.59	-33.8	21
1949-04-24	Fola Esch	L 0-1	39.5	1108	1156	34.76%	19.27%	45.97%	-0.26	-14.5	29
1949-04-24	@ Stade Dudelange	W 1-0	39.5	1156	1108	45.97%	19.27%	34.76%	+0.26	+14.5	32
1949-04-24	SC Tetange	W 2-1	50.0	612	760	22.71%	19.09%	58.19%	-0.87	+21.3	4
1949-04-24	@ CS Petange	L 1-2	50.0	760	612	58.19%	19.09%	22.71%	+0.87	-21.3	13
1949-05-01	Fola Esch	W 3-0	47.1	738	1170	5.40%	17.69%	76.91%	-2.61	+82.4	15
1949-05-01	@ SC Tetange	L 0-3	47.1	1170	738	76.91%	17.69%	5.40%	+2.61	-82.4	32
1949-05-01	Differdange 03	W 3-1	46.8	972	1082	26.92%	19.18%	53.89%	-0.64	+34.3	20
1949-05-01	@ Racing FC Union Luxembourg	L 1-3	46.8	1082	972	53.89%	19.18%	26.92%	+0.64	-34.3	21
1949-05-01	Progres Niedercorn	W 2-1	35.3	1229	927	71.77%	18.43%	9.80%	+1.89	+4.4	37
1949-05-01	@ Spora Luxembourg	L 1-2	35.3	927	1229	9.80%	18.43%	71.77%	-1.89	-4.4	22
1949-05-01	CS Petange	W 4-2	36.7	972	633	73.66%	18.23%	8.12%	+2.11	+5.7	24
1949-05-01	@ FC Schifflange 95	L 2-4	36.7	633	972	8.12%	18.23%	73.66%	-2.11	-5.7	4
1949-05-08	Racing Rodange	L 0-2	45.5	1048	861	63.44%	18.95%	17.61%	+1.17	-46.5	21
1949-05-08	@ Differdange 03	W 2-0	45.5	861	1048	17.61%	18.95%	63.44%	-1.17	+46.5	16
1949-05-08	Progres Niedercorn	W 2-1	38.4	1088	922	61.56%	19.01%	19.42%	+1.05	+8.3	34
1949-05-08	@ Fola Esch	L 1-2	38.4	922	1088	19.42%	19.01%	61.56%	-1.05	-8.3	22
1949-05-08	Stade Dudelange	W 3-2	57.3	821	1093	12.41%	18.63%	68.95%	-1.64	+24.0	17
1949-05-08	@ SC Tetange	L 2-3	57.3	1093	821	68.95%	18.63%	12.41%	+1.64	-24.0	29
1949-05-08	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	D 0-0	49.9	1234	1006	66.82%	18.79%	14.39%	+1.43	-5.6	38
1949-05-08	@ Spora Luxembourg	D 0-0	49.9	1006	1234	14.39%	18.79%	66.82%	-1.43	+5.6	21
1949-05-08	Oberkorn	L 3-4	56.7	896	792	55.07%	19.17%	25.76%	+0.67	-18.7	21
1949-05-08	@ US Dudelange	W 4-3	56.7	792	896	25.76%	19.17%	55.07%	-0.67	+18.7	17

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1949-05-01	5.40%	@ SC Tetange	738	3	Fola Esch	1170	0
2	1949-04-03	11.56%	SC Tetange	732	1	@ FC Schifflange 95	1003	0
3	1948-10-31	12.16%	Oberkorn	766	3	@ Progres Niedercorn	1027	2
4	1949-05-08	12.41%	@ SC Tetange	821	3	Stade Dudelange	1093	2
5	1948-12-19	16.43%	@ Racing FC Union Luxembourg	864	3	Fola Esch	1081	1
6	1949-05-08	17.61%	Racing Rodange	861	2	@ Differdange 03	1048	0
7	1949-03-06	19.56%	Differdange 03	1021	3	@ Stade Dudelange	1185	0
8	1948-10-31	19.97%	FC Schifflange 95	915	2	@ Fola Esch	1075	1
9	1949-04-24	22.71%	@ CS Petange	612	2	SC Tetange	760	1
10	1948-08-30	23.33%	@ FC Schifflange 95	905	1	Stade Dudelange	1047	0
11	1948-11-14	25.71%	@ US Dudelange	882	2	Progres Niedercorn	1003	0
12	1949-05-08	25.76%	Oberkorn	792	4	@ US Dudelange	896	3
13	1948-11-14	26.22%	Oberkorn	790	1	@ Racing FC Union Luxembourg	890	0
14	1949-05-01	26.92%	@ Racing FC Union Luxembourg	972	3	Differdange 03	1082	1
15	1948-10-10	27.62%	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	867	2	@ FC Schifflange 95	955	0
16	1949-04-24	27.83%	@ Racing Rodange	828	3	US Dudelange	930	1
17	1949-02-13	27.85%	@ Racing FC Union Luxembourg	948	3	FC Schifflange 95	1050	2
18	1948-10-03	28.49%	@ Oberkorn	751	2	CS Petange	848	1
19	1949-04-03	28.52%	Oberkorn	767	1	@ Racing Rodange	848	0
20	1949-01-23	28.94%	Differdange 03	969	4	@ FC Schifflange 95	1047	1
21	1948-09-05	29.60%	FC Schifflange 95	927	2	@ Differdange 03	999	0
22	1948-08-30	32.48%	SC Tetange	884	4	@ Racing FC Union Luxembourg	933	2
23	1948-08-22	32.72%	@ Fola Esch	905	2	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	969	0
24	1948-10-10	33.22%	Fola Esch	1045	3	@ Spora Luxembourg	1088	1
25	1949-01-30	34.36%	@ Oberkorn	731	4	SC Tetange	782	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1948-09-05	87.72	@ Spora Luxembourg	6	992	39.15%	US Dudelange	0	1009	41.57%	19.28%
2	1949-05-01	82.38	@ SC Tetange	3	738	5.40%	Fola Esch	0	1170	76.91%	17.69%
3	1949-01-30	73.02	FC Schifflange 95	5	1000	39.72%	@ Progres Niedercorn	0	996	40.99%	19.28%
4	1949-03-06	65.31	Differdange 03	3	1021	19.56%	@ Stade Dudelange	0	1185	61.42%	19.02%
5	1948-08-15	56.76	Differdange 03	4	957	41.84%	@ Oberkorn	0	939	38.88%	19.28%
6	1948-08-30	56.35	@ Progres Niedercorn	4	947	42.19%	CS Petange	0	942	38.53%	19.28%
7	1948-10-31	55.99	Spora Luxembourg	6	1058	56.60%	@ SC Tetange	0	924	24.27%	19.13%
8	1948-12-05	51.75	@ FC Schifflange 95	10	996	63.13%	Oberkorn	1	813	17.91%	18.96%
9	1948-08-30	50.95	Spora Luxembourg	6	941	47.49%	@ Oberkorn	1	882	33.25%	19.26%
10	1948-11-14	49.33	@ FC Schifflange 95	5	938	39.77%	Racing Rodange	1	950	40.95%	19.28%
11	1949-01-23	46.83	Differdange 03	4	969	28.94%	@ FC Schifflange 95	1	1047	51.84%	19.22%
12	1949-05-08	46.46	Racing Rodange	2	861	17.61%	@ Differdange 03	0	1048	63.44%	18.95%
13	1949-01-30	45.83	@ Fola Esch	5	1066	57.39%	US Dudelange	0	941	23.49%	19.13%
14	1948-09-12	42.92	@ SC Tetange	4	881	53.04%	Oberkorn	0	794	27.76%	19.20%
15	1949-01-30	42.41	@ Oberkorn	4	731	34.36%	SC Tetange	1	782	46.37%	19.26%
16	1949-01-16	41.99	@ Racing FC Union Luxembourg	10	904	60.80%	CS Petange	2	746	20.16%	19.04%
17	1948-12-19	41.04	@ Racing FC Union Luxembourg	3	864	16.43%	Fola Esch	1	1081	64.69%	18.88%
18	1948-11-14	40.48	@ US Dudelange	2	882	25.71%	Progres Niedercorn	0	1003	55.13%	19.16%
19	1948-10-10	39.14	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	2	867	27.62%	@ FC Schifflange 95	0	955	53.18%	19.20%
20	1949-02-20	38.77	Fola Esch	5	1112	50.22%	@ FC Schifflange 95	1	1032	30.55%	19.23%
21	1948-10-03	38.28	@ Fola Esch	3	1006	47.42%	Differdange 03	0	964	33.32%	19.26%
22	1948-09-05	37.78	FC Schifflange 95	2	927	29.60%	@ Differdange 03	0	999	51.17%	19.23%
23	1948-09-05	37.21	@ Fola Esch	4	956	57.37%	Oberkorn	0	831	23.50%	19.13%
24	1948-08-22	35.70	@ Fola Esch	2	905	32.72%	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	0	969	48.03%	19.25%
25	1949-05-01	34.32	@ Racing FC Union Luxembourg	3	972	26.92%	Differdange 03	1	1082	53.89%	19.18%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1948-08-22	60.7	@ SC Tetange	3	883	32.51%	Progres Niedercorn	3	948	48.24%	19.25%
2	1948-12-05	60.7	@ Differdange 03	3	954	52.74%	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	3	869	28.05%	19.21%
3	1949-01-09	60.7	@ SC Tetange	3	808	28.46%	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	3	905	52.34%	19.20%
4	1949-01-23	60.7	@ Racing FC Union Luxembourg	3	946	42.17%	US Dudelange	3	941	38.55%	19.28%
5	1948-10-31	57.4	Oberkorn	3	766	12.16%	@ Progres Niedercorn	2	1027	69.20%	18.64%
6	1949-05-08	57.3	@ SC Tetange	3	821	12.41%	Stade Dudelange	2	1093	68.95%	18.63%
7	1949-01-30	56.9	@ Stade Dudelange	2	1157	65.58%	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	2	946	15.56%	18.85%
8	1948-12-05	56.8	@ Fola Esch	2	1083	36.04%	Stade Dudelange	2	1121	44.68%	19.27%
9	1949-02-13	56.8	@ Progres Niedercorn	2	924	49.22%	Racing Rodange	2	868	31.53%	19.25%
10	1949-05-08	56.7	Oberkorn	4	792	25.76%	@ US Dudelange	3	896	55.07%	19.17%
11	1949-02-13	52.9	@ SC Tetange	1	730	13.15%	Differdange 03	1	992	68.16%	18.69%
12	1948-10-31	52.8	@ Stade Dudelange	1	1100	66.44%	US Dudelange	1	877	14.75%	18.81%
13	1949-03-06	52.8	@ Oberkorn	1	763	16.57%	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	1	978	64.55%	18.88%
14	1949-04-03	52.8	@ Differdange 03	1	1086	61.30%	Progres Niedercorn	1	923	19.67%	19.02%
15	1949-04-24	52.8	@ Oberkorn	1	788	18.83%	FC Schifflange 95	1	976	62.19%	18.98%
16	1948-09-05	52.7	@ Stade Dudelange	1	1051	48.13%	Progres Niedercorn	1	1003	32.62%	19.26%
17	1948-09-05	52.7	@ CS Petange	1	859	34.95%	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	1	905	45.79%	19.27%
18	1948-09-12	52.7	@ Differdange 03	1	961	25.86%	Spora Luxembourg	1	1080	54.97%	19.16%
19	1948-10-10	52.7	@ US Dudelange	1	879	48.41%	CS Petange	1	829	32.34%	19.25%
20	1948-11-28	52.7	@ Oberkorn	1	811	29.43%	Racing Rodange	1	900	51.36%	19.22%
21	1949-01-09	52.7	@ Differdange 03	1	970	44.63%	US Dudelange	1	948	36.09%	19.27%
22	1949-02-06	52.7	@ Racing FC Union Luxembourg	1	949	45.14%	Progres Niedercorn	1	923	35.59%	19.27%
23	1949-02-13	52.7	@ Racing FC Union Luxembourg	3	948	27.85%	FC Schifflange 95	2	1050	52.95%	19.20%
24	1948-10-31	50.9	FC Schifflange 95	2	915	19.97%	@ Fola Esch	1	1075	60.99%	19.03%
25	1949-04-24	50.0	@ CS Petange	2	612	22.71%	SC Tetange	1	760	58.19%	19.09%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1949-04-03	26.3	@ Fola Esch	6	1151	80.31%	CS Petange	1	617	2.87%	16.82%
2	1949-02-20	27.0	@ Differdange 03	10	986	73.40%	CS Petange	0	653	8.35%	18.26%
3	1949-02-13	27.4	@ Stade Dudelange	7	1159	74.85%	Oberkorn	1	795	7.08%	18.07%
4	1949-01-30	29.8	@ Fola Esch	5	1066	57.39%	US Dudelange	0	941	23.49%	19.13%
5	1948-10-31	30.1	Spora Luxembourg	6	1058	56.60%	@ SC Tetange	0	924	24.27%	19.13%
6	1948-09-05	30.2	@ Fola Esch	4	956	57.37%	Oberkorn	0	831	23.50%	19.13%
7	1949-03-06	30.4	@ Spora Luxembourg	3	1216	81.70%	CS Petange	1	618	2.03%	16.27%
8	1948-12-05	30.7	@ FC Schifflange 95	10	996	63.13%	Oberkorn	1	813	17.91%	18.96%
9	1948-12-19	30.9	@ Progres Niedercorn	3	980	59.59%	SC Tetange	0	834	21.34%	19.07%
10	1948-09-01	31.1	@ Stade Dudelange	3	1024	58.88%	CS Petange	0	885	22.03%	19.09%
11	1949-01-23	31.1	Fola Esch	1	1062	73.85%	@ CS Petange	0	704	7.98%	18.17%
12	1949-02-20	31.2	@ Spora Luxembourg	3	1213	78.84%	SC Tetange	1	736	3.88%	17.27%
13	1948-09-12	31.4	Stade Dudelange	3	1050	57.95%	@ Racing FC Union Luxembourg	0	904	22.95%	19.10%
14	1948-11-14	31.4	@ Fola Esch	6	1053	63.30%	SC Tetange	1	868	17.75%	18.95%
15	1948-09-12	31.5	@ SC Tetange	4	881	53.04%	Oberkorn	0	794	27.76%	19.20%
16	1948-11-14	31.6	Spora Luxembourg	4	1114	71.26%	@ CS Petange	1	804	10.29%	18.45%
17	1949-01-16	32.1	@ Racing FC Union Luxembourg	10	904	60.80%	CS Petange	2	746	20.16%	19.04%
18	1948-12-12	32.2	US Dudelange	2	949	62.12%	@ Oberkorn	0	762	18.90%	18.98%
19	1949-02-06	32.4	Stade Dudelange	1	1154	69.48%	@ Racing Rodange	0	873	11.92%	18.60%
20	1948-12-12	33.8	@ Stade Dudelange	3	1121	70.27%	SC Tetange	1	843	11.17%	18.56%
21	1949-01-09	34.0	@ Fola Esch	4	1040	63.27%	Racing Rodange	1	855	17.78%	18.95%
22	1948-12-19	34.3	Stade Dudelange	5	1129	73.71%	@ CS Petange	2	774	8.10%	18.19%
23	1949-02-13	34.3	US Dudelange	6	905	66.17%	@ CS Petange	2	670	15.03%	18.80%
24	1948-10-03	34.5	@ Fola Esch	3	1006	47.42%	Differdange 03	0	964	33.32%	19.26%
25	1949-02-20	34.6	Stade Dudelange	3	1174	67.49%	@ US Dudelange	1	922	13.78%	18.73%