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1950-51 Luxembourg National Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Jeunesse Esch

32 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Jeunesse Esch

7.98 points above expected

32 points · 24.02 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Young Boys Diekirch

10.21 points below expected

6 points · 16.21 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Jeunesse Esch 22 14 4 4 32 52 24 +28 24.02 +7.98
2 FC Schifflange 95 22 12 6 4 30 58 31 +27 29.03 +0.97
3 Differdange 03 22 10 6 6 26 38 27 +11 23.13 +2.87
4 Stade Dudelange 22 10 4 8 24 46 36 +10 26.89 -2.89
5 Spora Luxembourg 22 9 5 8 23 54 38 +16 25.21 -2.21
6 SC Tetange 22 8 7 7 23 43 40 +3 21.37 +1.63
7 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 22 8 7 7 23 47 47 0 21.89 +1.11
8 Progres Niedercorn 22 8 6 8 22 47 40 +7 22.74 -0.74
9 Racing Rodange 22 9 4 9 22 45 53 -8 18.14 +3.86
10 Chiers Rodange 22 6 9 7 21 37 46 -9 21.26 -0.26
11 US Dudelange 22 4 4 14 12 35 68 -33 14.11 -2.11
12 Young Boys Diekirch 22 2 2 18 6 30 82 -52 16.21 -10.21

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Jeunesse Esch 32 24.02 +7.98
2 Racing Rodange 22 18.14 +3.86
3 Differdange 03 26 23.13 +2.87
4 SC Tetange 23 21.37 +1.63
5 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 23 21.89 +1.11

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Young Boys Diekirch 6 16.21 -10.21
2 Stade Dudelange 24 26.89 -2.89
3 Spora Luxembourg 23 25.21 -2.21
4 US Dudelange 12 14.11 -2.11
5 Progres Niedercorn 22 22.74 -0.74

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Jeunesse Esch 10 Nov 19 – Mar 11 1 in 2,663
2 Spora Luxembourg 6 Jan 21 – Mar 11 1 in 116
3 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 4 Sep 17 – Oct 8 1 in 56
4 Chiers Rodange 3 Apr 1 – May 6 1 in 51
5 Progres Niedercorn 3 Sep 10 – Sep 24 1 in 45

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Spora Luxembourg 4 Apr 1 – May 10 1 in 1,932
2 US Dudelange 6 Aug 27 – Oct 1 1 in 54
3 Progres Niedercorn 3 Feb 11 – Mar 4 1 in 30
4 Young Boys Diekirch 7 Feb 25 – May 27 1 in 22
5 Racing Rodange 4 Jan 28 – Mar 4 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Racing Rodange 7 Sep 10 – Nov 19 1 in 75
2 Jeunesse Esch 11 Oct 22 – Mar 11 1 in 66
3 Chiers Rodange 7 Nov 19 – Feb 18 1 in 22
4 FC Schifflange 95 11 Aug 27 – Dec 10 1 in 22
5 Spora Luxembourg 6 Oct 1 – Dec 10 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Young Boys Diekirch 10 Aug 27 – Nov 26 1 in 43
2 Chiers Rodange 6 Sep 17 – Nov 19 1 in 19
3 Spora Luxembourg 5 Sep 10 – Oct 8 1 in 17
4 FC Schifflange 95 3 Nov 26 – Jan 14 1 in 13
5 US Dudelange 11 Aug 27 – Dec 10 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Jeunesse Esch 1255 32 -5 5 7.0 -2.0
FC Schifflange 95 1278 30 +45 10 6.9 +3.1
Differdange 03 1139 26 +37 7 4.7 +2.3
Stade Dudelange 1170 24 -8 5 5.9 -0.9
SC Tetange 1059 23 -41 3 4.4 -1.4
Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1072 23 -26 3 4.2 -1.2
Spora Luxembourg 1149 23 -77 2 6.9 -4.9
Racing Rodange 1004 22 +95 7 3.9 +3.1
Progres Niedercorn 1108 22 +22 6 5.0 +1.0
Chiers Rodange 1062 21 +39 7 4.3 +2.7
US Dudelange 903 12 -21 5 4.2 +0.8
Young Boys Diekirch 828 6 -58 0 2.3 -2.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team CR D0 FS9 JE PN RFUL RR ST SL SD UD YBD
Chiers Rodange —
0-2-0
2.60
0-1-1
1.56
0-1-1
2.43
1-1-0
2.53
0-1-1
2.92
0-1-1
3.24
0-0-2
2.70
1-1-0
2.06
1-0-1
1.78
1-1-0
3.66
2-0-0
3.46
Differdange 03
0-2-0
2.89
—
0-1-1
1.99
0-0-2
2.94
0-2-0
2.81
2-0-0
2.81
1-0-1
3.43
0-1-1
3.12
1-0-1
2.32
2-0-0
2.16
2-0-0
3.49
2-0-0
4.09
FC Schifflange 95
1-1-0
3.95
1-1-0
3.50
—
1-0-1
3.16
2-0-0
3.44
1-1-0
3.32
1-1-0
3.95
1-1-0
3.70
0-1-1
3.13
1-0-1
2.91
1-0-1
4.29
2-0-0
4.24
Jeunesse Esch
1-1-0
3.07
2-0-0
2.55
1-0-1
2.33
—
0-1-1
2.97
1-0-1
2.91
2-0-0
3.27
1-1-0
3.21
1-1-0
2.62
1-0-1
2.92
2-0-0
4.19
2-0-0
3.29
Progres Niedercorn
0-1-1
2.96
0-2-0
2.67
0-0-2
2.05
1-1-0
2.54
—
0-0-2
2.89
1-0-1
3.29
1-1-0
2.81
1-0-1
2.61
2-0-0
2.02
1-0-1
3.98
1-1-0
3.72
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1-1-0
2.56
0-0-2
2.68
0-1-1
2.17
1-0-1
2.60
2-0-0
2.60
—
0-1-1
3.39
0-1-1
3.00
1-1-0
2.44
0-1-1
2.15
1-1-0
3.56
2-0-0
2.86
Racing Rodange
1-1-0
2.25
1-0-1
2.07
0-1-1
1.55
0-0-2
2.25
1-0-1
2.21
1-1-0
2.10
—
1-0-1
2.08
1-0-1
2.03
0-1-1
1.58
2-0-0
3.10
1-0-1
2.96
SC Tetange
2-0-0
2.79
1-1-0
2.37
0-1-1
1.80
0-1-1
2.28
0-1-1
2.68
1-1-0
2.49
1-0-1
3.41
—
0-0-2
2.34
0-1-1
1.89
1-1-0
3.74
2-0-0
2.95
Spora Luxembourg
0-1-1
3.44
1-0-1
3.16
1-1-0
2.36
0-1-1
2.88
1-0-1
2.87
0-1-1
3.06
1-0-1
3.46
2-0-0
3.15
—
1-0-1
2.40
1-0-1
4.34
1-1-0
4.05
Stade Dudelange
1-0-1
3.72
0-0-2
3.33
1-0-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.56
0-0-2
3.48
1-1-0
3.35
1-1-0
3.92
1-1-0
3.61
1-0-1
3.09
—
1-1-0
4.36
2-0-0
4.05
US Dudelange
0-1-1
1.84
0-0-2
2.02
1-0-1
1.22
0-0-2
1.33
1-0-1
1.52
0-1-1
1.94
0-0-2
2.39
0-1-1
1.76
1-0-1
1.18
0-1-1
1.17
—
1-0-1
2.73
Young Boys Diekirch
0-0-2
2.05
0-0-2
1.42
0-0-2
1.30
0-0-2
2.20
0-1-1
1.79
0-0-2
2.65
1-0-1
2.52
0-0-2
2.54
0-1-1
1.46
0-0-2
1.46
1-0-1
2.76
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.63 +6.8
Allowed 0.92 -4.0
Differential 0.94 +2.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%3.79%1.89%0.76%1.89%17.42%
14.55%8.33%3.41%5.30%3.41%2.65%27.65%
23.79%3.41%6.06%4.92%1.52%1.89%21.59%
31.89%5.30%4.92%3.79%1.52%0.38%17.80%
40.76%3.41%1.52%1.52%1.52%—8.71%
5+1.89%2.65%1.89%0.38%——6.82%
Total17.42%27.65%21.59%17.80%8.71%6.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.02 2.02 +0.00
SD 1.69 1.69 2.51
CV 0.84 0.84 —
Max 10 10 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%———4.55%4.55%18.18%
14.55%18.18%4.55%4.55%—4.55%36.36%
2—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
3—4.55%—4.55%4.55%—13.64%
4—4.55%—9.09%——13.64%
5+———————
Total13.64%31.82%13.64%22.73%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 2.09 -0.41
SD 1.32 1.54 1.92
CV 0.79 0.74 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
113.64%18.18%4.55%4.55%——40.91%
213.64%4.55%—4.55%——22.73%
3—4.55%—9.09%——13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total27.27%45.45%4.55%22.73%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.23 +0.50
SD 1.42 1.11 1.77
CV 0.82 0.90 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
19.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
2—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
34.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
4—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
5+4.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
Total22.73%31.82%31.82%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.64 1.41 +1.23
SD 2.06 1.10 2.37
CV 0.78 0.78 —
Max 9 4 +9
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%————13.64%
14.55%4.55%——4.55%—13.64%
29.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%—4.55%36.36%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+13.64%—————13.64%
Total40.91%36.36%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.36 1.09 +1.27
SD 1.65 1.38 2.31
CV 0.70 1.26 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
19.09%9.09%4.55%9.09%—4.55%36.36%
2——4.55%———4.55%
34.55%—4.55%9.09%9.09%—27.27%
44.55%—9.09%———13.64%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%13.64%27.27%18.18%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 1.82 +0.32
SD 1.73 1.50 2.34
CV 0.81 0.83 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%——4.55%18.18%
1—9.09%—9.09%4.55%4.55%27.27%
24.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
3—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
Total13.64%27.27%22.73%22.73%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 2.14 +0.00
SD 1.83 1.67 2.67
CV 0.86 0.78 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%———9.09%22.73%
1—4.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%—22.73%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
34.55%4.55%9.09%——4.55%22.73%
4—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total13.64%27.27%22.73%13.64%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 2.41 -0.36
SD 1.79 2.17 3.06
CV 0.87 0.90 —
Max 7 9 +5
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%4.55%4.55%—13.64%
1—13.64%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
29.09%—13.64%4.55%——27.27%
34.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total13.64%27.27%27.27%27.27%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 1.82 +0.14
SD 1.43 1.14 1.98
CV 0.73 0.63 —
Max 6 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%————22.73%
14.55%——4.55%——9.09%
2—4.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%—27.27%
3—13.64%————13.64%
4—4.55%——9.09%—13.64%
5+—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
Total13.64%45.45%9.09%18.18%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.45 1.73 +0.73
SD 2.09 1.32 2.21
CV 0.85 0.76 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
14.55%13.64%—4.55%—4.55%27.27%
29.09%—————9.09%
3——18.18%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total18.18%36.36%22.73%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 1.64 +0.45
SD 2.22 1.33 2.69
CV 1.06 0.81 —
Max 10 5 +9
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%13.64%———18.18%
14.55%——9.09%4.55%4.55%22.73%
2——13.64%—13.64%13.64%40.91%
3—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total4.55%9.09%36.36%13.64%18.18%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 3.09 -1.50
SD 1.01 1.87 1.97
CV 0.63 0.61 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——13.64%9.09%—4.55%27.27%
1——9.09%—18.18%9.09%36.36%
2———13.64%—4.55%18.18%
3——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
4——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
5+———————
Total——31.82%27.27%22.73%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 3.73 -2.36
SD 1.26 2.07 2.54
CV 0.92 0.56 —
Max 4 10 +2
Min 0 2 -9

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
FC Schifflange 95 1278 30 29.03 +0.97 67.0% 20 23 27 29 31 34 36
Jeunesse Esch 1255 32 24.02 +7.98 100.0% 16 17 22 24 26 30 32
Stade Dudelange 1170 24 26.89 -2.89 24.0% 19 21 25 27 29 33 36
Spora Luxembourg 1149 23 25.21 -2.21 29.0% 14 16 23 25 28 31 35
Differdange 03 1139 26 23.13 +2.87 80.0% 11 16 21 23 26 29 32
Progres Niedercorn 1108 22 22.74 -0.74 48.0% 12 16 20 23 25 28 30
Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1072 23 21.89 +1.11 69.0% 13 16 20 22 24 27 30
Chiers Rodange 1062 21 21.26 -0.26 53.0% 10 15 19 21 24 27 30
SC Tetange 1059 23 21.37 +1.63 68.0% 12 14 19 21 24 27 34
Racing Rodange 1004 22 18.14 +3.86 91.0% 10 12 15 18 21 24 26
US Dudelange 903 12 14.11 -2.11 31.0% 8 8 11 14 16 20 22
Young Boys Diekirch 828 6 16.21 -10.21 1.0% 6 10 14 16 19 22 24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+18.18%
Strong Edge
46.97%24.24%28.79%
Elo Value
Home Edge
139 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
063.88400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.55 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.46+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.1
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
7%
Jeunesse Esch, 4th of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.92 * Some Luck: 2.92 to 4.38 * Lucky: 4.38 to 5.85 * Wild Swing: 5.85 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.51 * Close: 1.51 to 2.26 * Off: 2.26 to 3.01 * Way Off: 3.01 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.22 points
Some Luck
03.659
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Pinpoint
01.884
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Jeunesse Esch
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
Young Boys Diekirch
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Balanced
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 130.76
1.72
Moderate Separation
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
65%
Even
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 93%
93%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
53%
Frequent
0%45%100%
Blowouts
Expected
26%
Occasional
0%32%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.41
Notable Separation
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.38
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.07
Weak Carryover
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Shaky Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.79
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.62
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.104
Well Within Noise
00.1420.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Jeunesse Esch7.00%8.00%17.00%25.00%11.00%9.00%4.00%8.00%5.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%
FC Schifflange 9550.00%27.00%7.00%3.00%4.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%—1.00%——
Differdange 032.00%9.00%16.00%11.00%12.00%8.00%14.00%9.00%9.00%5.00%1.00%4.00%
Stade Dudelange21.00%26.00%15.00%8.00%9.00%7.00%7.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%——
Spora Luxembourg13.00%18.00%14.00%16.00%10.00%12.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%
SC Tetange2.00%2.00%9.00%11.00%7.00%9.00%13.00%15.00%15.00%8.00%6.00%3.00%
Racing FC Union Luxembourg2.00%2.00%3.00%6.00%16.00%14.00%22.00%12.00%10.00%8.00%5.00%—
Progres Niedercorn2.00%6.00%12.00%10.00%12.00%15.00%13.00%14.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%1.00%
Racing Rodange———2.00%4.00%7.00%7.00%11.00%18.00%22.00%17.00%12.00%
Chiers Rodange1.00%2.00%7.00%7.00%15.00%10.00%8.00%11.00%19.00%11.00%6.00%3.00%
US Dudelange—————1.00%—5.00%4.00%12.00%32.00%46.00%
Young Boys Diekirch———1.00%—2.00%5.00%9.00%9.00%21.00%24.00%29.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
FC Schifflange 95 99.00% 1.00%
Stade Dudelange 99.00% 1.00%
Jeunesse Esch 94.00% 6.00%
Spora Luxembourg 94.00% 6.00%
Differdange 03 90.00% 10.00%
Progres Niedercorn 89.00% 11.00%
Racing FC Union Luxembourg 87.00% 13.00%
SC Tetange 83.00% 17.00%
Chiers Rodange 80.00% 20.00%
Racing Rodange 49.00% 51.00%
Young Boys Diekirch 26.00% 74.00%
US Dudelange 10.00% 90.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1950-08-27 Chiers Rodange D 1-150.2 1074 1110 46.01% 25.68% 28.31%+0.20 -1.2 1
1950-08-27 @ Differdange 03 D 1-150.2 1110 1074 28.31% 25.68% 46.01%-0.20 +1.2 1
1950-08-27 US Dudelange W 6-234.6 1163 1018 63.64% 24.48% 11.88%+1.50 +12.6 2
1950-08-27 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 2-634.6 1018 1163 11.88% 24.48% 63.64%-1.50 -12.6 0
1950-08-27 Progres Niedercorn L 0-143.4 1040 1090 44.19% 25.70% 30.11%+0.10 -14.6 0
1950-08-27 @ Racing Rodange W 1-043.4 1090 1040 30.11% 25.70% 44.19%-0.10 +14.6 2
1950-08-27 Jeunesse Esch D 0-047.4 1112 1019 59.66% 24.99% 15.35%+1.13 -3.7 1
1950-08-27 @ Spora Luxembourg D 0-047.4 1019 1112 15.35% 24.99% 59.66%-1.13 +3.7 1
1950-08-27 SC Tetange D 1-150.6 1209 1042 65.19% 24.22% 10.59%+1.66 -4.3 1
1950-08-27 @ Stade Dudelange D 1-150.6 1042 1209 10.59% 24.22% 65.19%-1.66 +4.2 1
1950-08-27 Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 2-649.4 1128 1023 60.62% 24.89% 14.49%+1.21 -49.3 0
1950-08-27 @ Young Boys Diekirch W 6-249.4 1023 1128 14.49% 24.89% 60.62%-1.21 +49.3 2
1950-09-03 Young Boys Diekirch W 4-139.2 1022 1079 43.28% 25.70% 31.02%+0.05 +25.7 3
1950-09-03 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-439.2 1079 1022 31.02% 25.70% 43.28%-0.05 -25.7 0
1950-09-03 Chiers Rodange D 1-150.2 1104 1111 49.54% 25.60% 24.86%+0.41 -1.7 3
1950-09-03 @ Progres Niedercorn D 1-150.2 1111 1104 24.86% 25.60% 49.54%-0.41 +1.7 2
1950-09-03 FC Schifflange 95 D 0-047.3 1072 1175 36.82% 25.67% 37.51%-0.28 +0.0 3
1950-09-03 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg D 0-047.3 1175 1072 37.51% 25.67% 36.82%+0.28 -0.1 3
1950-09-03 Stade Dudelange L 1-437.9 1026 1205 26.82% 25.35% 47.83%-0.83 -22.8 0
1950-09-03 @ Racing Rodange W 4-137.9 1205 1026 47.83% 25.35% 26.82%+0.83 +22.8 3
1950-09-03 Spora Luxembourg L 1-344.5 1046 1109 42.50% 25.70% 31.80%+0.01 -23.1 1
1950-09-03 @ SC Tetange W 3-144.5 1109 1046 31.80% 25.70% 42.50%-0.01 +23.1 3
1950-09-03 Differdange 03 L 0-142.7 1006 1073 41.81% 25.71% 32.48%-0.03 -13.9 0
1950-09-03 @ US Dudelange W 1-042.7 1073 1006 32.48% 25.71% 41.81%+0.03 +13.9 3
1950-09-10 US Dudelange W 3-135.5 1112 992 61.87% 24.73% 13.39%+1.33 +9.1 4
1950-09-10 @ Chiers Rodange L 1-335.5 992 1112 13.39% 24.73% 61.87%-1.33 -9.1 0
1950-09-10 Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 6-134.4 1087 1072 51.93% 25.52% 22.55%+0.56 +31.6 5
1950-09-10 @ Differdange 03 L 1-634.4 1072 1087 22.55% 25.52% 51.93%-0.56 -31.6 3
1950-09-10 Jeunesse Esch W 4-133.5 1175 1048 62.37% 24.67% 12.96%+1.37 +12.5 5
1950-09-10 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 1-433.5 1048 1175 12.96% 24.67% 62.37%-1.37 -12.5 3
1950-09-10 Young Boys Diekirch W 3-033.8 1023 1053 46.70% 25.67% 27.63%+0.24 +27.9 3
1950-09-10 @ SC Tetange L 0-333.8 1053 1023 27.63% 25.67% 46.70%-0.24 -27.8 0
1950-09-10 Racing Rodange L 2-356.6 1132 1003 62.49% 24.65% 12.86%+1.39 -18.0 3
1950-09-10 @ Spora Luxembourg W 3-256.6 1003 1132 12.86% 24.65% 62.49%-1.39 +18.0 2
1950-09-10 Progres Niedercorn L 0-148.7 1228 1102 62.22% 24.69% 13.09%+1.36 -20.0 3
1950-09-10 @ Stade Dudelange W 1-048.7 1102 1228 13.09% 24.69% 62.22%-1.36 +20.0 5
1950-09-17 Differdange 03 W 2-144.2 1036 1118 39.68% 25.70% 34.62%-0.14 +11.4 5
1950-09-17 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-244.2 1118 1036 34.62% 25.70% 39.68%+0.14 -11.4 5
1950-09-17 US Dudelange W 4-239.2 1123 983 63.31% 24.53% 12.16%+1.46 +7.4 7
1950-09-17 @ Progres Niedercorn L 2-439.2 983 1123 12.16% 24.53% 63.31%-1.46 -7.4 0
1950-09-17 Chiers Rodange W 5-138.8 1041 1122 39.97% 25.70% 34.33%-0.12 +35.8 5
1950-09-17 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 1-538.8 1122 1041 34.33% 25.70% 39.97%+0.12 -35.8 4
1950-09-17 Young Boys Diekirch W 4-137.2 1021 1025 49.76% 25.60% 24.64%+0.43 +21.5 4
1950-09-17 @ Racing Rodange L 1-437.2 1025 1021 24.64% 25.60% 49.76%-0.43 -21.5 0
1950-09-17 FC Schifflange 95 D 2-254.4 1051 1188 32.19% 25.57% 42.24%-0.52 +0.5 4
1950-09-17 @ SC Tetange D 2-254.4 1188 1051 42.24% 25.57% 32.19%+0.52 -0.5 6
1950-09-17 Spora Luxembourg W 3-242.6 1208 1114 59.70% 24.99% 15.31%+1.14 +5.6 5
1950-09-17 @ Stade Dudelange L 2-342.6 1114 1208 15.31% 24.99% 59.70%-1.14 -5.6 3
1950-09-24 Jeunesse Esch D 2-254.4 1086 1047 54.52% 25.39% 20.09%+0.74 -1.9 5
1950-09-24 @ Chiers Rodange D 2-254.4 1047 1086 20.09% 25.39% 54.52%-0.74 +1.9 6
1950-09-24 SC Tetange D 3-358.6 1107 1052 56.18% 25.29% 18.53%+0.86 -1.7 6
1950-09-24 @ Differdange 03 D 3-358.6 1052 1107 18.53% 25.29% 56.18%-0.86 +1.7 5
1950-09-24 Racing Rodange D 2-254.7 1187 1042 63.68% 24.48% 11.85%+1.50 -3.0 7
1950-09-24 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 2-254.7 1042 1187 11.85% 24.48% 63.68%-1.50 +3.0 5
1950-09-24 Progres Niedercorn L 2-450.3 1108 1130 47.70% 25.65% 26.66%+0.30 -22.7 3
1950-09-24 @ Spora Luxembourg W 4-250.3 1130 1108 26.66% 25.65% 47.70%-0.30 +22.7 9
1950-09-24 Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 1-539.6 975 1077 37.06% 25.67% 37.27%-0.27 -37.9 0
1950-09-24 @ US Dudelange W 5-139.6 1077 975 37.27% 25.67% 37.06%+0.27 +37.9 7
1950-09-24 Stade Dudelange L 2-345.0 1004 1213 23.41% 25.14% 51.45%-1.05 -7.9 0
1950-09-24 @ Young Boys Diekirch W 3-245.0 1213 1004 51.45% 25.14% 23.41%+1.05 +7.9 7
1950-10-01 US Dudelange W 4-239.9 1049 937 61.15% 24.83% 14.03%+1.26 +8.5 8
1950-10-01 @ Jeunesse Esch L 2-439.9 937 1049 14.03% 24.83% 61.15%-1.26 -8.5 0
1950-10-01 Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 0-243.9 1153 1114 54.47% 25.39% 20.14%+0.73 -33.1 9
1950-10-01 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-043.9 1114 1153 20.14% 25.39% 54.47%-0.73 +33.1 9
1950-10-01 Differdange 03 W 3-247.6 1045 1105 42.78% 25.70% 31.52%+0.03 +10.1 7
1950-10-01 @ Racing Rodange L 2-347.6 1105 1045 31.52% 25.70% 42.78%-0.03 -10.1 6
1950-10-01 Chiers Rodange W 3-140.1 1053 1084 46.62% 25.67% 27.72%+0.24 +16.6 7
1950-10-01 @ SC Tetange L 1-340.1 1084 1053 27.72% 25.67% 46.62%-0.24 -16.6 5
1950-10-01 Young Boys Diekirch D 4-461.6 1085 996 59.30% 25.03% 15.67%+1.10 -1.8 4
1950-10-01 @ Spora Luxembourg D 4-461.6 996 1085 15.67% 25.03% 59.30%-1.10 +1.8 1
1950-10-01 FC Schifflange 95 L 0-146.6 1221 1184 54.34% 25.40% 20.26%+0.72 -17.5 7
1950-10-01 @ Stade Dudelange W 1-046.6 1184 1221 20.26% 25.40% 54.34%-0.72 +17.5 9
1950-10-08 Racing Rodange L 3-457.3 1067 1055 51.66% 25.53% 22.81%+0.55 -14.6 5
1950-10-08 @ Chiers Rodange W 4-357.3 1055 1067 22.81% 25.53% 51.66%-0.55 +14.6 9
1950-10-08 Stade Dudelange W 3-143.3 1095 1204 36.05% 25.66% 38.29%-0.32 +21.2 8
1950-10-08 @ Differdange 03 L 1-343.3 1204 1095 38.29% 25.66% 36.05%+0.32 -21.2 7
1950-10-08 Spora Luxembourg D 4-461.8 1202 1084 61.67% 24.76% 13.57%+1.31 -2.0 10
1950-10-08 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 4-461.8 1084 1202 13.57% 24.76% 61.67%-1.31 +2.0 5
1950-10-08 Jeunesse Esch W 5-238.0 1148 1057 59.37% 25.02% 15.61%+1.11 +12.7 11
1950-10-08 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 2-538.0 1057 1148 15.61% 25.02% 59.37%-1.11 -12.7 8
1950-10-08 SC Tetange D 2-254.3 929 1070 31.59% 25.55% 42.86%-0.56 +0.6 1
1950-10-08 @ US Dudelange D 2-254.3 1070 929 42.86% 25.55% 31.59%+0.56 -0.6 8
1950-10-08 Progres Niedercorn D 3-358.5 998 1120 34.19% 25.62% 40.19%-0.42 +0.2 2
1950-10-08 @ Young Boys Diekirch D 3-358.5 1120 998 40.19% 25.62% 34.19%+0.42 -0.2 10
1950-10-22 Jeunesse Esch D 0-047.4 1119 1045 58.00% 25.15% 16.86%+1.00 -3.4 11
1950-10-22 @ Progres Niedercorn D 0-047.4 1045 1119 16.86% 25.15% 58.00%-1.00 +3.4 9
1950-10-22 US Dudelange W 7-233.2 1070 929 63.34% 24.53% 12.13%+1.47 +15.5 11
1950-10-22 @ Racing Rodange L 2-733.2 929 1070 12.13% 24.53% 63.34%-1.47 -15.5 1
1950-10-22 Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 4-140.6 1069 1160 38.57% 25.69% 35.74%-0.19 +28.5 10
1950-10-22 @ SC Tetange L 1-440.6 1160 1069 35.74% 25.69% 38.57%+0.19 -28.5 11
1950-10-22 Differdange 03 W 1-038.5 1086 1117 46.57% 25.67% 27.76%+0.24 +10.2 7
1950-10-22 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-138.5 1117 1086 27.76% 25.67% 46.57%-0.24 -10.2 8
1950-10-22 Chiers Rodange W 4-027.9 1183 1053 62.57% 24.64% 12.79%+1.39 +19.1 9
1950-10-22 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-427.9 1053 1183 12.79% 24.64% 62.57%-1.39 -19.1 5
1950-10-22 FC Schifflange 95 L 2-345.3 998 1200 24.24% 25.20% 50.56%-0.99 -8.2 2
1950-10-22 @ Young Boys Diekirch W 3-245.3 1200 998 50.56% 25.20% 24.24%+0.99 +8.2 12
1950-11-19 Spora Luxembourg D 0-047.2 1034 1096 42.51% 25.70% 31.79%+0.01 -0.8 6
1950-11-19 @ Chiers Rodange D 0-047.2 1096 1034 31.79% 25.70% 42.51%-0.01 +0.8 8
1950-11-19 Young Boys Diekirch W 2-031.4 1106 990 61.54% 24.78% 13.68%+1.30 +10.7 10
1950-11-19 @ Differdange 03 L 0-231.4 990 1106 13.68% 24.78% 61.54%-1.30 -10.7 2
1950-11-19 Progres Niedercorn W 5-133.0 1208 1116 59.53% 25.00% 15.46%+1.12 +18.8 14
1950-11-19 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 1-533.0 1116 1208 15.46% 25.00% 59.53%-1.12 -18.8 11
1950-11-19 SC Tetange W 2-142.9 1048 1098 44.13% 25.70% 30.17%+0.10 +10.3 11
1950-11-19 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-242.9 1098 1048 30.17% 25.70% 44.13%-0.10 -10.3 10
1950-11-19 Racing Rodange D 0-047.4 1132 1085 55.28% 25.35% 19.37%+0.79 -2.9 12
1950-11-19 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg D 0-047.4 1085 1132 19.37% 25.35% 55.28%-0.79 +2.9 12
1950-11-19 US Dudelange W 2-028.4 1202 914 71.81% 22.46% 5.73%+2.53 +4.6 11
1950-11-19 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-228.4 914 1202 5.73% 22.46% 71.81%-2.53 -4.6 1
1950-11-26 Differdange 03 D 1-150.5 1227 1117 61.00% 24.84% 14.16%+1.25 -3.6 15
1950-11-26 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 1-150.5 1117 1227 14.16% 24.84% 61.00%-1.25 +3.6 11
1950-11-26 SC Tetange W 4-031.2 1097 1088 51.36% 25.54% 23.10%+0.53 +31.6 13
1950-11-26 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-431.2 1088 1097 23.10% 25.54% 51.36%-0.53 -31.6 10
1950-11-26 Jeunesse Esch L 0-540.0 1088 1058 53.61% 25.44% 20.95%+0.67 -76.3 12
1950-11-26 @ Racing Rodange W 5-040.0 1058 1088 20.95% 25.44% 53.61%-0.67 +76.3 13
1950-11-26 US Dudelange W 7-232.2 1097 909 66.48% 23.96% 9.56%+1.81 +12.4 10
1950-11-26 @ Spora Luxembourg L 2-732.2 909 1097 9.56% 23.96% 66.48%-1.81 -12.4 1
1950-11-26 Racing FC Union Luxembourg D 1-150.4 1206 1129 58.25% 25.12% 16.62%+1.02 -3.1 12
1950-11-26 @ Stade Dudelange D 1-150.4 1129 1206 16.62% 25.12% 58.25%-1.02 +3.1 13
1950-11-26 Chiers Rodange L 1-246.9 979 1033 43.64% 25.70% 30.66%+0.07 -13.6 2
1950-11-26 @ Young Boys Diekirch W 2-146.9 1033 979 30.66% 25.70% 43.64%-0.07 +13.6 8
1950-12-10 FC Schifflange 95 D 1-150.3 1046 1223 27.11% 25.37% 47.52%-0.81 +1.4 9
1950-12-10 @ Chiers Rodange D 1-150.3 1223 1046 47.52% 25.37% 27.11%+0.81 -1.4 16
1950-12-10 Progres Niedercorn D 3-358.5 1121 1129 49.35% 25.61% 25.04%+0.40 -1.1 12
1950-12-10 @ Differdange 03 D 3-358.5 1129 1121 25.04% 25.61% 49.35%-0.40 +1.1 14
1950-12-10 Stade Dudelange W 2-037.5 1135 1203 41.64% 25.70% 32.66%-0.03 +21.8 15
1950-12-10 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-237.5 1203 1135 32.66% 25.70% 41.64%+0.03 -21.8 12
1950-12-10 Spora Luxembourg D 2-254.4 1132 1109 52.84% 25.48% 21.69%+0.62 -1.7 14
1950-12-10 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg D 2-254.4 1109 1132 21.69% 25.48% 52.84%-0.62 +1.7 11
1950-12-10 Racing Rodange W 6-341.5 1056 1012 55.06% 25.36% 19.58%+0.78 +14.3 12
1950-12-10 @ SC Tetange L 3-641.5 1012 1056 19.58% 25.36% 55.06%-0.78 -14.3 12
1950-12-10 US Dudelange W 4-241.0 965 897 57.45% 25.19% 17.36%+0.95 +10.2 4
1950-12-10 @ Young Boys Diekirch L 2-441.0 897 965 17.36% 25.19% 57.45%-0.95 -10.2 1
1951-01-14 Differdange 03 D 1-150.1 1048 1120 41.22% 25.70% 33.07%-0.06 -0.5 10
1951-01-14 @ Chiers Rodange D 1-150.1 1120 1048 33.07% 25.70% 41.22%+0.06 +0.5 13
1951-01-14 Spora Luxembourg W 1-036.0 1156 1111 55.21% 25.35% 19.44%+0.79 +7.7 17
1951-01-14 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-136.0 1111 1156 19.44% 25.35% 55.21%-0.79 -7.7 11
1951-01-14 Racing Rodange L 1-252.3 1130 998 62.72% 24.62% 12.66%+1.41 -19.0 14
1951-01-14 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-152.3 998 1130 12.66% 24.62% 62.72%-1.41 +19.0 14
1951-01-14 Young Boys Diekirch W 2-136.8 1130 976 64.33% 24.37% 11.30%+1.57 +4.5 16
1951-01-14 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 1-236.8 976 1130 11.30% 24.37% 64.33%-1.57 -4.5 4
1951-01-14 Stade Dudelange L 0-238.4 1070 1181 35.70% 25.65% 38.64%-0.34 -23.3 12
1951-01-14 @ SC Tetange W 2-038.4 1181 1070 38.64% 25.65% 35.70%+0.34 +23.3 14
1951-01-14 FC Schifflange 95 W 3-150.2 887 1222 12.81% 23.78% 63.41%-1.95 +33.0 3
1951-01-14 @ US Dudelange L 1-350.2 1222 887 63.41% 23.78% 12.81%+1.95 -33.0 16
1951-01-21 Progres Niedercorn W 4-351.4 1047 1111 42.34% 25.70% 31.95%+0.00 +9.9 12
1951-01-21 @ Chiers Rodange L 3-451.4 1111 1047 31.95% 25.70% 42.34%+0.00 -9.9 14
1951-01-21 US Dudelange W 2-029.7 1120 920 67.27% 23.79% 8.94%+1.90 +7.2 15
1951-01-21 @ Differdange 03 L 0-229.7 920 1120 8.94% 23.79% 67.27%-1.90 -7.2 3
1951-01-21 Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 3-137.3 1189 1135 56.06% 25.29% 18.64%+0.85 +12.1 18
1951-01-21 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 1-337.3 1135 1189 18.64% 25.29% 56.06%-0.85 -12.1 16
1951-01-21 SC Tetange W 3-137.2 1103 1047 56.23% 25.28% 18.49%+0.86 +12.0 13
1951-01-21 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-337.2 1047 1103 18.49% 25.28% 56.23%-0.86 -12.0 12
1951-01-21 Racing Rodange D 1-150.7 1205 1017 66.51% 23.96% 9.53%+1.81 -4.5 15
1951-01-21 @ Stade Dudelange D 1-150.7 1017 1205 9.53% 23.96% 66.51%-1.81 +4.5 15
1951-01-21 Jeunesse Esch L 0-235.1 971 1164 25.26% 25.27% 49.47%-0.93 -17.8 4
1951-01-21 @ Young Boys Diekirch W 2-035.1 1164 971 49.47% 25.27% 25.26%+0.93 +17.8 19
1951-01-28 FC Schifflange 95 W 2-141.9 1182 1201 48.02% 25.64% 26.34%+0.32 +9.2 21
1951-01-28 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-241.9 1201 1182 26.34% 25.64% 48.02%-0.32 -9.2 18
1951-01-28 Stade Dudelange W 3-036.7 1101 1200 37.34% 25.68% 36.98%-0.26 +34.7 16
1951-01-28 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-336.7 1200 1101 36.98% 25.68% 37.34%+0.26 -34.7 15
1951-01-28 Differdange 03 L 0-242.6 1123 1127 49.75% 25.60% 24.66%+0.43 -30.5 16
1951-01-28 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 2-042.6 1127 1123 24.66% 25.60% 49.75%-0.43 +30.5 17
1951-01-28 Spora Luxembourg L 1-441.3 1021 1115 38.14% 25.68% 36.18%-0.22 -30.0 15
1951-01-28 @ Racing Rodange W 4-141.3 1115 1021 36.18% 25.68% 38.14%+0.22 +30.0 15
1951-01-28 Chiers Rodange D 2-254.3 912 1057 31.12% 25.54% 43.34%-0.58 +0.6 4
1951-01-28 @ US Dudelange D 2-254.3 1057 912 43.34% 25.54% 31.12%+0.58 -0.6 13
1951-01-28 SC Tetange L 0-239.6 953 1035 39.84% 25.70% 34.46%-0.13 -25.3 4
1951-01-28 @ Young Boys Diekirch W 2-039.6 1035 953 34.46% 25.70% 39.84%+0.13 +25.3 14
1951-02-04 Racing Rodange W 3-247.7 928 991 42.38% 25.70% 31.91%+0.01 +10.2 6
1951-02-04 @ Young Boys Diekirch L 2-347.7 991 928 31.91% 25.70% 42.38%-0.01 -10.2 15
1951-02-11 Stade Dudelange W 5-136.5 1145 1165 47.86% 25.64% 26.49%+0.31 +29.3 17
1951-02-11 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-536.5 1165 1145 26.49% 25.64% 47.86%-0.31 -29.3 15
1951-02-11 Progres Niedercorn W 1-045.8 913 1136 22.06% 25.04% 52.91%-1.14 +17.0 6
1951-02-11 @ US Dudelange L 0-145.8 1136 913 52.91% 25.04% 22.06%+1.14 -17.0 16
1951-02-18 Racing FC Union Luxembourg D 3-358.5 1057 1092 45.99% 25.68% 28.34%+0.20 -0.8 14
1951-02-18 @ Chiers Rodange D 3-358.5 1092 1057 28.34% 25.68% 45.99%-0.20 +0.8 17
1951-02-18 Jeunesse Esch L 0-339.5 1158 1191 46.27% 25.67% 28.05%+0.22 -41.5 17
1951-02-18 @ Differdange 03 W 3-039.5 1191 1158 28.05% 25.67% 46.27%-0.22 +41.5 23
1951-02-25 Chiers Rodange W 5-026.6 1233 1056 65.81% 24.10% 10.09%+1.73 +18.9 25
1951-02-25 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-526.6 1056 1233 10.09% 24.10% 65.81%-1.73 -18.9 14
1951-02-25 Spora Luxembourg L 1-344.8 1118 1174 43.35% 25.70% 30.94%+0.06 -23.4 16
1951-02-25 @ Progres Niedercorn W 3-144.8 1174 1118 30.94% 25.70% 43.35%-0.06 +23.4 19
1951-02-25 US Dudelange D 2-254.7 1093 930 64.90% 24.27% 10.83%+1.63 -3.1 18
1951-02-25 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg D 2-254.7 930 1093 10.83% 24.27% 64.90%-1.63 +3.1 7
1951-02-25 FC Schifflange 95 L 0-933.1 981 1192 23.30% 25.13% 51.57%-1.05 -68.0 15
1951-02-25 @ Racing Rodange W 9-033.1 1192 981 51.57% 25.13% 23.30%+1.05 +68.0 20
1951-02-25 Differdange 03 W 3-141.1 1060 1116 43.37% 25.70% 30.93%+0.06 +18.1 16
1951-02-25 @ SC Tetange L 1-341.1 1116 1060 30.93% 25.70% 43.37%-0.06 -18.1 17
1951-02-25 Young Boys Diekirch W 10-129.5 1136 938 67.12% 23.82% 9.06%+1.88 +24.5 17
1951-02-25 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-1029.5 938 1136 9.06% 23.82% 67.12%-1.88 -24.5 6
1951-03-04 SC Tetange L 2-351.7 1037 1079 45.21% 25.69% 29.10%+0.16 -13.3 14
1951-03-04 @ Chiers Rodange W 3-251.7 1079 1037 29.10% 25.69% 45.21%-0.16 +13.3 18
1951-03-04 Racing Rodange W 2-136.2 1098 913 66.33% 23.99% 9.67%+1.79 +3.9 19
1951-03-04 @ Differdange 03 L 1-236.2 913 1098 9.67% 23.99% 66.33%-1.79 -3.9 15
1951-03-04 Stade Dudelange L 2-356.2 1260 1161 60.12% 24.94% 14.93%+1.17 -17.3 20
1951-03-04 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 3-256.2 1161 1260 14.93% 24.94% 60.12%-1.17 +17.3 19
1951-03-04 Progres Niedercorn W 4-349.2 1090 1095 49.67% 25.60% 24.73%+0.42 +8.1 20
1951-03-04 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 3-449.2 1095 1090 24.73% 25.60% 49.67%-0.42 -8.1 16
1951-03-04 Jeunesse Esch L 1-335.5 933 1251 13.93% 24.01% 62.07%-1.83 -9.2 7
1951-03-04 @ US Dudelange W 3-135.5 1251 933 62.07% 24.01% 13.93%+1.83 +9.2 27
1951-03-04 Spora Luxembourg L 1-731.9 914 1198 16.47% 24.42% 59.11%-1.58 -28.4 6
1951-03-04 @ Young Boys Diekirch W 7-131.9 1198 914 59.11% 24.42% 16.47%+1.58 +28.4 21
1951-03-11 Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 6-027.3 1261 1098 64.90% 24.27% 10.83%+1.63 +24.0 29
1951-03-11 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-627.3 1098 1261 10.83% 24.27% 64.90%-1.63 -24.0 20
1951-03-11 Young Boys Diekirch W 7-027.0 1087 885 67.33% 23.77% 8.89%+1.91 +23.0 18
1951-03-11 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-727.0 885 1087 8.89% 23.77% 67.33%-1.91 -23.0 6
1951-03-11 Chiers Rodange D 0-047.2 909 1024 35.22% 25.64% 39.14%-0.36 +0.3 16
1951-03-11 @ Racing Rodange D 0-047.2 1024 909 39.14% 25.64% 35.22%+0.36 -0.3 15
1951-03-11 US Dudelange W 2-030.3 1092 924 65.24% 24.21% 10.55%+1.67 +8.4 20
1951-03-11 @ SC Tetange L 0-230.3 924 1092 10.55% 24.21% 65.24%-1.67 -8.4 7
1951-03-11 FC Schifflange 95 W 2-141.9 1226 1242 48.37% 25.63% 25.99%+0.34 +9.1 23
1951-03-11 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-241.9 1242 1226 25.99% 25.63% 48.37%-0.34 -9.1 20
1951-04-01 Stade Dudelange W 4-355.2 1023 1178 29.86% 25.49% 44.65%-0.65 +12.8 17
1951-04-01 @ Chiers Rodange L 3-455.2 1178 1023 44.65% 25.49% 29.86%+0.65 -12.8 19
1951-04-01 Spora Luxembourg W 1-042.8 1102 1235 32.63% 25.58% 41.78%-0.50 +13.9 21
1951-04-01 @ Differdange 03 L 0-142.8 1235 1102 41.78% 25.58% 32.63%+0.50 -13.9 23
1951-04-01 Young Boys Diekirch W 3-025.2 1233 862 75.26% 20.97% 3.77%+3.12 +4.3 22
1951-04-01 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 0-325.2 862 1233 3.77% 20.97% 75.26%-3.12 -4.3 6
1951-04-01 SC Tetange D 1-150.2 1074 1100 47.13% 25.66% 27.21%+0.27 -1.4 21
1951-04-01 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg D 1-150.2 1100 1074 27.21% 25.66% 47.13%-0.27 +1.4 21
1951-04-08 Differdange 03 L 0-146.8 1165 1116 55.57% 25.33% 19.10%+0.81 -17.9 19
1951-04-08 @ Stade Dudelange W 1-046.8 1116 1165 19.10% 25.33% 55.57%-0.81 +17.9 23
1951-04-08 Progres Niedercorn L 2-357.6 1285 1110 65.68% 24.13% 10.20%+1.71 -18.9 29
1951-04-08 @ Jeunesse Esch W 3-257.6 1110 1285 10.20% 24.13% 65.68%-1.71 +18.9 20
1951-04-08 Racing Rodange L 1-445.1 915 909 50.98% 25.55% 23.46%+0.50 -38.1 7
1951-04-08 @ US Dudelange W 4-145.1 909 915 23.46% 25.55% 50.98%-0.50 +38.1 18
1951-04-22 FC Schifflange 95 L 1-342.7 1129 1238 36.01% 25.66% 38.33%-0.32 -20.3 20
1951-04-22 @ Progres Niedercorn W 3-142.7 1238 1129 38.33% 25.66% 36.01%+0.32 +20.3 24
1951-04-22 Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 3-143.9 948 1072 33.78% 25.61% 40.61%-0.44 +22.2 20
1951-04-22 @ Racing Rodange L 1-343.9 1072 948 40.61% 25.61% 33.78%+0.44 -22.2 21
1951-04-22 Jeunesse Esch D 1-150.4 1102 1266 28.67% 25.44% 45.89%-0.72 +1.2 22
1951-04-22 @ SC Tetange D 1-150.4 1266 1102 45.89% 25.44% 28.67%+0.72 -1.2 30
1951-04-22 Chiers Rodange L 0-149.6 1221 1036 66.35% 23.99% 9.66%+1.79 -21.3 23
1951-04-22 @ Spora Luxembourg W 1-049.6 1036 1221 9.66% 23.99% 66.35%-1.79 +21.3 19
1951-04-22 Stade Dudelange D 3-358.8 877 1147 17.63% 24.58% 57.79%-1.48 +1.8 8
1951-04-22 @ US Dudelange D 3-358.8 1147 877 57.79% 24.58% 17.63%+1.48 -1.9 20
1951-04-22 Differdange 03 L 1-434.6 858 1134 17.14% 24.52% 58.35%-1.52 -15.7 6
1951-04-22 @ Young Boys Diekirch W 4-134.6 1134 858 58.35% 24.52% 17.14%+1.52 +15.7 25
1951-05-02 SC Tetange W 3-241.3 1258 1103 64.38% 24.36% 11.26%+1.57 +4.2 26
1951-05-02 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 2-341.3 1103 1258 11.26% 24.36% 64.38%-1.57 -4.2 22
1951-05-06 Young Boys Diekirch W 4-131.7 1057 842 68.12% 23.58% 8.30%+2.00 +8.2 21
1951-05-06 @ Chiers Rodange L 1-431.7 842 1057 8.30% 23.58% 68.12%-2.00 -8.2 6
1951-05-06 FC Schifflange 95 L 0-141.0 1150 1262 35.47% 25.65% 38.89%-0.35 -12.3 25
1951-05-06 @ Differdange 03 W 1-041.0 1262 1150 38.89% 25.65% 35.47%+0.35 +12.3 28
1951-05-06 Racing Rodange W 3-132.5 1265 970 72.12% 22.34% 5.54%+2.58 +3.9 32
1951-05-06 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-332.5 970 1265 5.54% 22.34% 72.12%-2.58 -3.9 20
1951-05-06 Stade Dudelange L 2-349.6 1050 1145 37.96% 25.68% 36.36%-0.22 -11.6 21
1951-05-06 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 3-249.6 1145 1050 36.36% 25.68% 37.96%+0.22 +11.6 22
1951-05-06 Progres Niedercorn D 2-254.3 1099 1109 49.13% 25.61% 25.26%+0.39 -1.2 23
1951-05-06 @ SC Tetange D 2-254.3 1109 1099 25.26% 25.61% 49.13%-0.39 +1.3 21
1951-05-06 Spora Luxembourg W 3-256.3 879 1200 13.75% 23.97% 62.28%-1.85 +17.8 10
1951-05-06 @ US Dudelange L 2-356.3 1200 879 62.28% 23.97% 13.75%+1.85 -17.8 23
1951-05-10 Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 1-350.5 1182 1039 63.57% 24.49% 11.94%+1.49 -33.4 23
1951-05-10 @ Spora Luxembourg W 3-150.5 1039 1182 11.94% 24.49% 63.57%-1.49 +33.4 23
1951-05-22 Jeunesse Esch W 1-042.0 1157 1268 35.63% 25.65% 38.72%-0.34 +13.1 24
1951-05-22 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-142.0 1268 1157 38.72% 25.65% 35.63%+0.34 -13.1 32
1951-05-27 Chiers Rodange W 2-135.9 1274 1066 67.76% 23.67% 8.57%+1.96 +3.5 30
1951-05-27 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 1-235.9 1066 1274 8.57% 23.67% 67.76%-1.96 -3.5 21
1951-05-27 Differdange 03 D 1-150.2 1110 1137 47.01% 25.66% 27.33%+0.26 -1.4 22
1951-05-27 @ Progres Niedercorn D 1-150.2 1137 1110 27.33% 25.66% 47.01%-0.26 +1.4 26
1951-05-27 SC Tetange W 3-037.9 966 1097 32.90% 25.59% 41.51%-0.49 +37.9 22
1951-05-27 @ Racing Rodange L 0-337.9 1097 966 41.51% 25.59% 32.90%+0.49 -37.9 23
1951-05-27 Young Boys Diekirch W 3-243.4 897 834 56.89% 25.23% 17.87%+0.91 +6.4 12
1951-05-27 @ US Dudelange L 2-343.4 834 897 17.87% 25.23% 56.89%-0.91 -6.4 6

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1951-04-22 9.66% Chiers Rodange 1036 1 @ Spora Luxembourg 1221 0
2 1951-04-08 10.20% Progres Niedercorn 1110 3 @ Jeunesse Esch 1285 2
3 1951-05-10 11.94% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1039 3 @ Spora Luxembourg 1182 1
4 1951-01-14 12.66% Racing Rodange 998 2 @ Progres Niedercorn 1130 1
5 1951-01-14 12.81% @ US Dudelange 887 3 FC Schifflange 95 1222 1
6 1950-09-10 12.86% Racing Rodange 1003 3 @ Spora Luxembourg 1132 2
7 1950-09-10 13.09% Progres Niedercorn 1102 1 @ Stade Dudelange 1228 0
8 1951-05-06 13.75% @ US Dudelange 879 3 Spora Luxembourg 1200 2
9 1950-08-27 14.49% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1023 6 @ Young Boys Diekirch 1128 2
10 1951-03-04 14.93% Stade Dudelange 1161 3 @ FC Schifflange 95 1260 2
11 1951-04-08 19.10% Differdange 03 1116 1 @ Stade Dudelange 1165 0
12 1950-10-01 20.14% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1114 2 @ Progres Niedercorn 1153 0
13 1950-10-01 20.26% FC Schifflange 95 1184 1 @ Stade Dudelange 1221 0
14 1950-11-26 20.95% Jeunesse Esch 1058 5 @ Racing Rodange 1088 0
15 1951-02-11 22.06% @ US Dudelange 913 1 Progres Niedercorn 1136 0
16 1950-10-08 22.81% Racing Rodange 1055 4 @ Chiers Rodange 1067 3
17 1951-04-08 23.46% Racing Rodange 909 4 @ US Dudelange 915 1
18 1951-01-28 24.66% Differdange 03 1127 2 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1123 0
19 1950-09-24 26.66% Progres Niedercorn 1130 4 @ Spora Luxembourg 1108 2
20 1951-02-18 28.05% Jeunesse Esch 1191 3 @ Differdange 03 1158 0
21 1951-03-04 29.10% SC Tetange 1079 3 @ Chiers Rodange 1037 2
22 1951-04-01 29.86% @ Chiers Rodange 1023 4 Stade Dudelange 1178 3
23 1950-08-27 30.11% Progres Niedercorn 1090 1 @ Racing Rodange 1040 0
24 1950-11-26 30.66% Chiers Rodange 1033 2 @ Young Boys Diekirch 979 1
25 1951-02-25 30.94% Spora Luxembourg 1174 3 @ Progres Niedercorn 1118 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1950-11-26 76.28 Jeunesse Esch 5 1058 20.95% @ Racing Rodange 0 1088 53.61% 25.44%
2 1951-02-25 68.04 FC Schifflange 95 9 1192 51.57% @ Racing Rodange 0 981 23.30% 25.13%
3 1950-08-27 49.30 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 6 1023 14.49% @ Young Boys Diekirch 2 1128 60.62% 24.89%
4 1951-02-18 41.53 Jeunesse Esch 3 1191 28.05% @ Differdange 03 0 1158 46.27% 25.67%
5 1951-04-08 38.14 Racing Rodange 4 909 23.46% @ US Dudelange 1 915 50.98% 25.55%
6 1951-05-27 37.92 @ Racing Rodange 3 966 32.90% SC Tetange 0 1097 41.51% 25.59%
7 1950-09-24 37.86 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 5 1077 37.27% @ US Dudelange 1 975 37.06% 25.67%
8 1950-09-17 35.77 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 5 1041 39.97% Chiers Rodange 1 1122 34.33% 25.70%
9 1951-01-28 34.73 @ Progres Niedercorn 3 1101 37.34% Stade Dudelange 0 1200 36.98% 25.68%
10 1951-05-10 33.38 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 3 1039 11.94% @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1182 63.57% 24.49%
11 1950-10-01 33.11 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 2 1114 20.14% @ Progres Niedercorn 0 1153 54.47% 25.39%
12 1951-01-14 33.01 @ US Dudelange 3 887 12.81% FC Schifflange 95 1 1222 63.41% 23.78%
13 1950-09-10 31.60 @ Differdange 03 6 1087 51.93% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1 1072 22.55% 25.52%
14 1950-11-26 31.57 @ Progres Niedercorn 4 1097 51.36% SC Tetange 0 1088 23.10% 25.54%
15 1951-01-28 30.46 Differdange 03 2 1127 24.66% @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 0 1123 49.75% 25.60%
16 1951-01-28 29.97 Spora Luxembourg 4 1115 36.18% @ Racing Rodange 1 1021 38.14% 25.68%
17 1951-02-11 29.33 @ Spora Luxembourg 5 1145 47.86% Stade Dudelange 1 1165 26.49% 25.64%
18 1950-10-22 28.55 @ SC Tetange 4 1069 38.57% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1 1160 35.74% 25.69%
19 1951-03-04 28.40 Spora Luxembourg 7 1198 59.11% @ Young Boys Diekirch 1 914 16.47% 24.42%
20 1950-09-10 27.85 @ SC Tetange 3 1023 46.70% Young Boys Diekirch 0 1053 27.63% 25.67%
21 1950-09-03 25.67 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1022 43.28% Young Boys Diekirch 1 1079 31.02% 25.70%
22 1951-01-28 25.31 SC Tetange 2 1035 34.46% @ Young Boys Diekirch 0 953 39.84% 25.70%
23 1951-02-25 24.47 @ Stade Dudelange 10 1136 67.12% Young Boys Diekirch 1 938 9.06% 23.82%
24 1951-03-11 23.98 @ Jeunesse Esch 6 1261 64.90% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 0 1098 10.83% 24.27%
25 1951-02-25 23.44 Spora Luxembourg 3 1174 30.94% @ Progres Niedercorn 1 1118 43.35% 25.70%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1950-10-08 61.8 @ FC Schifflange 95 4 1202 61.67% Spora Luxembourg 4 1084 13.57% 24.76%
2 1950-10-01 61.6 @ Spora Luxembourg 4 1085 59.30% Young Boys Diekirch 4 996 15.67% 25.03%
3 1951-04-22 58.8 @ US Dudelange 3 877 17.63% Stade Dudelange 3 1147 57.79% 24.58%
4 1950-09-24 58.6 @ Differdange 03 3 1107 56.18% SC Tetange 3 1052 18.53% 25.29%
5 1950-10-08 58.5 @ Young Boys Diekirch 3 998 34.19% Progres Niedercorn 3 1120 40.19% 25.62%
6 1950-12-10 58.5 @ Differdange 03 3 1121 49.35% Progres Niedercorn 3 1129 25.04% 25.61%
7 1951-02-18 58.5 @ Chiers Rodange 3 1057 45.99% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 3 1092 28.34% 25.68%
8 1951-04-08 57.6 Progres Niedercorn 3 1110 10.20% @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1285 65.68% 24.13%
9 1950-10-08 57.3 Racing Rodange 4 1055 22.81% @ Chiers Rodange 3 1067 51.66% 25.53%
10 1950-09-10 56.6 Racing Rodange 3 1003 12.86% @ Spora Luxembourg 2 1132 62.49% 24.65%
11 1951-05-06 56.3 @ US Dudelange 3 879 13.75% Spora Luxembourg 2 1200 62.28% 23.97%
12 1951-03-04 56.2 Stade Dudelange 3 1161 14.93% @ FC Schifflange 95 2 1260 60.12% 24.94%
13 1951-04-01 55.2 @ Chiers Rodange 4 1023 29.86% Stade Dudelange 3 1178 44.65% 25.49%
14 1950-09-24 54.7 @ FC Schifflange 95 2 1187 63.68% Racing Rodange 2 1042 11.85% 24.48%
15 1951-02-25 54.7 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 2 1093 64.90% US Dudelange 2 930 10.83% 24.27%
16 1950-09-17 54.4 @ SC Tetange 2 1051 32.19% FC Schifflange 95 2 1188 42.24% 25.57%
17 1950-09-24 54.4 @ Chiers Rodange 2 1086 54.52% Jeunesse Esch 2 1047 20.09% 25.39%
18 1950-12-10 54.4 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 2 1132 52.84% Spora Luxembourg 2 1109 21.69% 25.48%
19 1950-10-08 54.3 @ US Dudelange 2 929 31.59% SC Tetange 2 1070 42.86% 25.55%
20 1951-01-28 54.3 @ US Dudelange 2 912 31.12% Chiers Rodange 2 1057 43.34% 25.54%
21 1951-05-06 54.3 @ SC Tetange 2 1099 49.13% Progres Niedercorn 2 1109 25.26% 25.61%
22 1951-01-14 52.3 Racing Rodange 2 998 12.66% @ Progres Niedercorn 1 1130 62.72% 24.62%
23 1951-03-04 51.7 SC Tetange 3 1079 29.10% @ Chiers Rodange 2 1037 45.21% 25.69%
24 1951-01-21 51.4 @ Chiers Rodange 4 1047 42.34% Progres Niedercorn 3 1111 31.95% 25.70%
25 1951-01-21 50.7 @ Stade Dudelange 1 1205 66.51% Racing Rodange 1 1017 9.53% 23.96%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1951-04-01 25.2 @ FC Schifflange 95 3 1233 75.26% Young Boys Diekirch 0 862 3.77% 20.97%
2 1951-02-25 26.6 @ Jeunesse Esch 5 1233 65.81% Chiers Rodange 0 1056 10.09% 24.10%
3 1951-03-11 27.0 @ Progres Niedercorn 7 1087 67.33% Young Boys Diekirch 0 885 8.89% 23.77%
4 1951-03-11 27.3 @ Jeunesse Esch 6 1261 64.90% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 0 1098 10.83% 24.27%
5 1950-10-22 27.9 @ Stade Dudelange 4 1183 62.57% Chiers Rodange 0 1053 12.79% 24.64%
6 1950-11-19 28.4 @ Stade Dudelange 2 1202 71.81% US Dudelange 0 914 5.73% 22.46%
7 1951-02-25 29.5 @ Stade Dudelange 10 1136 67.12% Young Boys Diekirch 1 938 9.06% 23.82%
8 1951-01-21 29.7 @ Differdange 03 2 1120 67.27% US Dudelange 0 920 8.94% 23.79%
9 1951-03-11 30.3 @ SC Tetange 2 1092 65.24% US Dudelange 0 924 10.55% 24.21%
10 1950-11-26 31.2 @ Progres Niedercorn 4 1097 51.36% SC Tetange 0 1088 23.10% 25.54%
11 1950-11-19 31.4 @ Differdange 03 2 1106 61.54% Young Boys Diekirch 0 990 13.68% 24.78%
12 1951-05-06 31.7 @ Chiers Rodange 4 1057 68.12% Young Boys Diekirch 1 842 8.30% 23.58%
13 1951-03-04 31.9 Spora Luxembourg 7 1198 59.11% @ Young Boys Diekirch 1 914 16.47% 24.42%
14 1950-11-26 32.2 @ Spora Luxembourg 7 1097 66.48% US Dudelange 2 909 9.56% 23.96%
15 1951-05-06 32.5 @ Jeunesse Esch 3 1265 72.12% Racing Rodange 1 970 5.54% 22.34%
16 1950-11-19 33.0 @ FC Schifflange 95 5 1208 59.53% Progres Niedercorn 1 1116 15.46% 25.00%
17 1951-02-25 33.1 FC Schifflange 95 9 1192 51.57% @ Racing Rodange 0 981 23.30% 25.13%
18 1950-10-22 33.2 @ Racing Rodange 7 1070 63.34% US Dudelange 2 929 12.13% 24.53%
19 1950-09-10 33.5 @ FC Schifflange 95 4 1175 62.37% Jeunesse Esch 1 1048 12.96% 24.67%
20 1950-09-10 33.8 @ SC Tetange 3 1023 46.70% Young Boys Diekirch 0 1053 27.63% 25.67%
21 1950-09-10 34.4 @ Differdange 03 6 1087 51.93% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1 1072 22.55% 25.52%
22 1950-08-27 34.6 @ FC Schifflange 95 6 1163 63.64% US Dudelange 2 1018 11.88% 24.48%
23 1951-04-22 34.6 Differdange 03 4 1134 58.35% @ Young Boys Diekirch 1 858 17.14% 24.52%
24 1951-01-21 35.1 Jeunesse Esch 2 1164 49.47% @ Young Boys Diekirch 0 971 25.26% 25.27%
25 1950-09-10 35.5 @ Chiers Rodange 3 1112 61.87% US Dudelange 1 992 13.39% 24.73%