Home / Leagues / Luxembourg / Luxembourg National Division / 1990-91
‹ ›

1990-91 Luxembourg National Division Season

120 games

Final

Champion

Union Luxembourg

30 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Swift Hesperange

5.43 points above expected

19 points · 13.57 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Aris Bonnevoie

8.01 points below expected

2 points · 10.01 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Union Luxembourg 18 14 2 2 30 49 14 +35 27.53 +2.47
2 Jeunesse Esch 18 9 6 3 24 32 22 +10 24.26 -0.26
3 Spora Luxembourg 18 11 1 6 23 31 30 +1 19.84 +3.16
4 Avenir Beggen 18 8 4 6 20 37 24 +13 26.10 -6.10
5 Grevenmacher 18 10 0 8 20 29 22 +7 16.09 +3.91
6 Swift Hesperange 18 7 5 6 19 36 29 +7 13.57 +5.43
7 Differdange 03 18 9 0 9 18 28 30 -2 18.22 -0.22
8 Progres Niedercorn 18 6 3 9 15 23 33 -10 10.17 +4.83
9 Fola Esch 18 4 1 13 9 10 40 -30 14.21 -5.21
10 Aris Bonnevoie 18 0 2 16 2 7 38 -31 10.01 -8.01
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Jeunesse Esch 10 5 3 2 13 16 9 +7 23.02 -10.02
2 Union Luxembourg 10 5 3 2 13 12 8 +4 29.53 -16.53
3 Avenir Beggen 10 6 0 4 12 19 14 +5 22.27 -10.27
4 Spora Luxembourg 10 4 3 3 11 17 11 +6 21.17 -10.17
5 Grevenmacher 10 2 2 6 6 13 24 -11 17.21 -11.21
6 Swift Hesperange 10 2 1 7 5 12 23 -11 15.79 -10.79

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Swift Hesperange 19 13.57 +5.43
2 Progres Niedercorn 15 10.17 +4.83
3 Grevenmacher 20 16.09 +3.91
4 Spora Luxembourg 23 19.84 +3.16
5 Union Luxembourg 30 27.53 +2.47

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Aris Bonnevoie 2 10.01 -8.01
2 Avenir Beggen 20 26.10 -6.10
3 Fola Esch 9 14.21 -5.21
4 Jeunesse Esch 24 24.26 -0.26
5 Differdange 03 18 18.22 -0.22

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Progres Niedercorn 5 Dec 1 – Feb 3 1 in 1,845
2 Grevenmacher 4 Aug 25 – Sep 8 1 in 115
3 Swift Hesperange 3 Jan 26 – Mar 3 1 in 88
4 Differdange 03 5 Oct 14 – Nov 24 1 in 60
5 Spora Luxembourg 4 Sep 16 – Oct 14 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Avenir Beggen 3 Jan 26 – Mar 3 1 in 82
2 Aris Bonnevoie 8 Sep 23 – Dec 1 1 in 58
3 Fola Esch 5 Aug 29 – Sep 23 1 in 48
4 Differdange 03 3 Dec 1 – Jan 19 1 in 18
5 Grevenmacher 3 Dec 1 – Jan 19 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Progres Niedercorn 5 Dec 1 – Feb 3 1 in 112
2 Swift Hesperange 3 Sep 23 – Oct 14 1 in 31
3 Grevenmacher 4 Aug 25 – Sep 8 1 in 21
4 Differdange 03 5 Oct 14 – Nov 24 1 in 12
5 Jeunesse Esch 8 Aug 25 – Oct 14 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Jeunesse Esch 4 Nov 11 – Dec 8 1 in 184
2 Aris Bonnevoie 18 Aug 25 – Mar 3 1 in 95
3 Avenir Beggen 3 Sep 23 – Oct 14 1 in 35
4 Fola Esch 8 Nov 11 – Mar 3 1 in 17
5 Differdange 03 3 Dec 1 – Jan 19 1 in 5

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Union Luxembourg 1367 43 -10 7 7.4 -0.4
Jeunesse Esch 1287 37 +12 6 5.9 +0.1
Spora Luxembourg 1212 34 +27 6 4.5 +1.5
Avenir Beggen 1280 32 -42 2 6.3 -4.3
Grevenmacher 1087 26 +5 5 3.4 +1.6
Swift Hesperange 1035 24 +9 4 2.6 +1.4
Differdange 03 1138 18 -10 4 6.0 -2.0
Progres Niedercorn 996 15 +78 8 2.5 +5.5
Fola Esch 979 9 -44 1 3.1 -2.1
Aris Bonnevoie 877 2 -16 1 2.4 -1.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AB AB D0 FE GRE JE PN SL SH UL
Aris Bonnevoie —
0-0-2
0.82
0-0-2
1.36
0-0-2
1.99
0-0-2
1.61
0-2-0
0.88
0-0-2
3.09
0-0-2
1.45
0-0-2
2.21
0-0-2
0.71
Avenir Beggen
2-0-0
4.89
 —
1-0-1
4.22
1-1-0
4.66
1-0-1
4.39
1-0-1
3.18
0-1-1
4.91
1-1-0
4.04
1-1-0
4.77
0-0-2
2.52
Differdange 03
2-0-0
4.33
1-0-1
1.46
 —
2-0-0
3.17
1-0-1
3.55
0-0-2
1.79
1-0-1
4.25
1-0-1
2.40
1-0-1
3.61
0-0-2
1.41
Fola Esch
2-0-0
3.70
0-1-1
1.04
0-0-2
2.52
 —
0-0-2
2.76
0-0-2
1.22
1-0-1
3.46
1-0-1
1.72
0-0-2
3.23
0-0-2
0.91
Grevenmacher
2-0-0
4.09
1-0-1
1.30
1-0-1
2.14
2-0-0
2.92
 —
1-0-1
1.55
1-0-1
4.00
0-0-2
2.35
2-0-0
3.43
0-0-2
1.20
Jeunesse Esch
0-2-0
4.82
1-0-1
2.51
2-0-0
3.89
2-0-0
4.47
1-0-1
4.14
 —
1-1-0
4.89
1-0-1
3.69
0-2-0
4.60
1-1-0
2.23
Progres Niedercorn
2-0-0
2.59
1-1-0
0.80
1-0-1
1.44
1-0-1
2.22
1-0-1
1.68
0-1-1
0.82
 —
0-0-2
1.30
0-1-1
2.31
0-0-2
0.68
Spora Luxembourg
2-0-0
4.24
0-1-1
1.65
1-0-1
3.29
1-0-1
3.97
2-0-0
3.34
1-0-1
1.99
2-0-0
4.39
 —
2-0-0
3.90
0-0-2
1.59
Swift Hesperange
2-0-0
3.47
0-1-1
0.93
1-0-1
2.07
2-0-0
2.46
0-0-2
2.26
0-2-0
1.09
1-1-0
3.37
0-0-2
1.78
 —
1-1-0
0.82
Union Luxembourg
2-0-0
5.01
2-0-0
3.16
2-0-0
4.28
2-0-0
4.79
2-0-0
4.50
0-1-1
3.46
2-0-0
5.03
2-0-0
4.10
0-1-1
4.89
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.88 +5.9
Allowed 0.78 -8.8
Differential 0.89 +3.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%9.17%6.67%4.17%1.25%2.92%27.50%
19.17%7.50%8.75%2.92%1.25%1.25%30.83%
26.67%8.75%2.50%0.83%1.67%1.25%21.67%
34.17%2.92%0.83%1.67%——9.58%
41.25%1.25%1.67%——0.42%4.58%
5+2.92%1.25%1.25%—0.42%—5.83%
Total27.50%30.83%21.67%9.58%4.58%5.83%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.55 +0.00
SD 1.54 1.54 2.39
CV 0.99 0.99 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 120

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%22.22%16.67%11.11%5.56%—61.11%
1—5.56%16.67%5.56%11.11%—38.89%
2———————
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total5.56%27.78%33.33%16.67%16.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.39 2.11 -1.72
SD 0.50 1.18 1.13
CV 1.29 0.56 —
Max 1 4 +0
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%10.71%————14.29%
17.14%7.14%10.71%7.14%3.57%—35.71%
2—21.43%3.57%3.57%——28.57%
33.57%3.57%————7.14%
4———————
5+7.14%3.57%——3.57%—14.29%
Total21.43%46.43%14.29%10.71%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.36 +0.64
SD 1.91 1.16 2.36
CV 0.95 0.86 —
Max 8 4 +8
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——16.67%5.56%—5.56%27.78%
122.22%—11.11%———33.33%
211.11%———5.56%—16.67%
3—5.56%————5.56%
45.56%————5.56%11.11%
5+——5.56%———5.56%
Total38.89%5.56%33.33%5.56%5.56%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.67 -0.11
SD 1.54 1.71 2.35
CV 0.99 1.03 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%27.78%5.56%—11.11%61.11%
15.56%—5.56%5.56%—5.56%22.22%
216.67%—————16.67%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total27.78%11.11%33.33%11.11%—16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.56 2.22 -1.67
SD 0.78 2.32 2.70
CV 1.41 1.04 —
Max 2 8 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—17.86%3.57%3.57%3.57%7.14%35.71%
110.71%—7.14%7.14%——25.00%
23.57%10.71%3.57%———17.86%
37.14%——3.57%——10.71%
4———————
5+3.57%3.57%3.57%———10.71%
Total25.00%32.14%17.86%14.29%3.57%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.64 -0.14
SD 1.69 1.57 2.66
CV 1.13 0.95 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%3.57%—7.14%——17.86%
110.71%14.29%3.57%——3.57%32.14%
27.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
310.71%7.14%—3.57%——21.43%
4——3.57%———3.57%
5+3.57%—————3.57%
Total39.29%32.14%14.29%10.71%—3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 1.11 +0.61
SD 1.30 1.26 1.95
CV 0.76 1.14 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.11%5.56%——5.56%22.22%
111.11%16.67%11.11%———38.89%
216.67%——5.56%5.56%5.56%33.33%
3———————
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+———————
Total27.78%33.33%16.67%5.56%5.56%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.83 -0.56
SD 1.02 2.20 2.55
CV 0.80 1.20 —
Max 4 8 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%7.14%—7.14%3.57%3.57%25.00%
17.14%3.57%—3.57%—3.57%17.86%
27.14%10.71%7.14%—3.57%—28.57%
314.29%—3.57%———17.86%
43.57%7.14%————10.71%
5+———————
Total35.71%28.57%10.71%10.71%7.14%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 1.46 +0.25
SD 1.33 1.60 2.49
CV 0.78 1.09 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%10.71%3.57%——21.43%
1—14.29%17.86%———32.14%
2—14.29%———7.14%21.43%
3—3.57%—7.14%——10.71%
43.57%—7.14%———10.71%
5+——3.57%———3.57%
Total3.57%39.29%39.29%10.71%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 1.86 -0.14
SD 1.51 1.15 1.86
CV 0.88 0.62 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%3.57%————10.71%
117.86%10.71%7.14%———35.71%
210.71%10.71%——3.57%—25.00%
3—7.14%3.57%———10.71%
4——3.57%———3.57%
5+10.71%3.57%————14.29%
Total46.43%35.71%14.29%—3.57%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 0.79 +1.39
SD 1.91 0.96 2.17
CV 0.87 1.22 —
Max 8 4 +8
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Union Luxembourg 1367 30 27.53 +2.47 81.0% 20 22 25 28 30 32 34
Jeunesse Esch 1287 24 24.26 -0.26 48.0% 16 18 23 25 26 30 34
Avenir Beggen 1280 20 26.10 -6.10 7.0% 16 19 24 27 29 31 34
Spora Luxembourg 1212 23 19.84 +3.16 81.0% 10 13 17 20 22 27 29
Differdange 03 1138 18 18.22 -0.22 59.0% 11 13 16 18 21 24 26
Grevenmacher 1087 20 16.09 +3.91 91.0% 7 12 14 16 18 21 23
Swift Hesperange 1035 19 13.57 +5.43 96.0% 6 8 11 13 16 19 21
Progres Niedercorn 996 15 10.17 +4.83 96.0% 2 5 8 10 12 15 17
Fola Esch 979 9 14.21 -5.21 8.0% 6 9 12 14 17 19 21
Aris Bonnevoie 877 2 10.01 -8.01 0.0% 3 6 8 10 12 14 18

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+10.00%
Slight Edge
47.50%15.00%37.50%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 34.86 Elo pts.
217 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.29 goals
Neutral
-2+0.16+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.2
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
57%
Union Luxembourg, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.33/gm
Runaway
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.68 * Some Luck: 2.68 to 4.01 * Lucky: 4.01 to 5.35 * Wild Swing: 5.35 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.83 * Close: 0.83 to 1.24 * Off: 1.24 to 1.66 * Way Off: 1.66 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.61 points
Lucky
03.348
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.20
Close
01.042.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
96.00%
Swift Hesperange
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
0.00%
Aris Bonnevoie
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Lopsided
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 155.18
2.02
Strong Separation
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
78%
Clear Edge
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
95%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
53%
Frequent
0%47%100%
Blowouts
Expected
24%
Occasional
0%30%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.53
Highly Predictable
00.522
Matchup Imbalance
0.47
Lopsided
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
2.06
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.73
Strong Carryover
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
As Expected
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.3 * Well Above Noise: 0.3 and up.
Probability calibration
0.47
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.94
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.092
Well Within Noise
00.1480.4

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Union Luxembourg57.00%23.00%18.00%2.00%——————
Jeunesse Esch9.00%26.00%44.00%15.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%———
Spora Luxembourg—8.00%14.00%35.00%18.00%8.00%12.00%3.00%2.00%—
Avenir Beggen34.00%36.00%15.00%13.00%1.00%—1.00%———
Grevenmacher——3.00%11.00%24.00%30.00%18.00%8.00%5.00%1.00%
Swift Hesperange——1.00%4.00%12.00%16.00%20.00%16.00%25.00%6.00%
Differdange 03—7.00%5.00%15.00%27.00%24.00%13.00%6.00%1.00%2.00%
Progres Niedercorn————2.00%3.00%9.00%20.00%28.00%38.00%
Fola Esch———4.00%13.00%17.00%18.00%26.00%14.00%8.00%
Aris Bonnevoie———1.00%——8.00%21.00%25.00%45.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff
Aris Bonnevoie 1.00% 99.00%
Avenir Beggen 99.00% 1.00%
Differdange 03 78.00% 22.00%
Fola Esch 34.00% 66.00%
Grevenmacher 68.00% 32.00%
Jeunesse Esch 99.00% 1.00%
Progres Niedercorn 5.00% 95.00%
Spora Luxembourg 83.00% 17.00%
Swift Hesperange 33.00% 67.00%
Union Luxembourg 100% —

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team Same level
Avenir Beggen 100%
Grevenmacher 100%
Jeunesse Esch 100%
Spora Luxembourg 100%
Swift Hesperange 100%
Union Luxembourg 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1990-08-25 Spora Luxembourg W 3-030.7 1306 1174 64.64% 15.62% 19.74%+0.77 +11.4 2
1990-08-25 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-330.7 1174 1306 19.74% 15.62% 64.64%-0.77 -11.4 0
1990-08-25 Aris Bonnevoie W 2-033.7 1092 1006 59.96% 15.75% 24.28%+0.56 +9.5 2
1990-08-25 @ Fola Esch L 0-233.7 1006 1092 24.28% 15.75% 59.96%-0.56 -9.5 0
1990-08-25 Differdange 03 W 5-039.5 1018 1165 29.41% 15.78% 54.82%-0.51 +45.3 2
1990-08-25 @ Grevenmacher L 0-539.5 1165 1018 54.82% 15.78% 29.41%+0.51 -45.3 0
1990-08-25 Swift Hesperange D 1-155.3 940 985 43.03% 15.91% 41.06%-0.05 -0.1 1
1990-08-25 @ Progres Niedercorn D 1-155.3 985 940 41.06% 15.91% 43.03%+0.05 +0.1 1
1990-08-25 Jeunesse Esch D 1-156.1 1322 1249 58.35% 15.79% 25.86%+0.49 -1.4 1
1990-08-25 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-156.1 1249 1322 25.86% 15.79% 58.35%-0.49 +1.4 1
1990-08-29 Avenir Beggen L 1-237.3 996 1317 13.17% 15.08% 71.75%-1.32 -2.7 0
1990-08-29 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 2-137.3 1317 996 71.75% 15.08% 13.17%+1.32 +2.7 4
1990-08-29 Fola Esch W 2-036.2 1120 1102 51.75% 15.88% 32.37%+0.24 +12.2 2
1990-08-29 @ Differdange 03 L 0-236.2 1102 1120 32.37% 15.88% 51.75%-0.24 -12.2 2
1990-08-29 Progres Niedercorn W 4-237.6 1251 940 77.16% 14.72% 8.12%+1.59 +2.6 3
1990-08-29 @ Jeunesse Esch L 2-437.6 940 1251 8.12% 14.72% 77.16%-1.59 -2.6 1
1990-08-29 Union Luxembourg L 2-444.3 1163 1320 28.10% 15.75% 56.15%-0.56 -8.4 0
1990-08-29 @ Spora Luxembourg W 4-244.3 1320 1163 56.15% 15.75% 28.10%+0.56 +8.4 3
1990-08-29 Grevenmacher L 1-245.0 986 1064 38.40% 15.89% 45.72%-0.20 -7.1 1
1990-08-29 @ Swift Hesperange W 2-145.0 1064 986 45.72% 15.89% 38.40%+0.20 +7.1 4
1990-09-02 Differdange 03 W 5-447.5 1320 1132 69.49% 15.40% 15.11%+1.03 +2.8 6
1990-09-02 @ Avenir Beggen L 4-547.5 1132 1320 15.11% 15.40% 69.49%-1.03 -2.8 2
1990-09-02 Grevenmacher L 0-242.0 1089 1071 51.81% 15.88% 32.31%+0.25 -18.4 2
1990-09-02 @ Fola Esch W 2-042.0 1071 1089 32.31% 15.88% 51.81%-0.25 +18.4 6
1990-09-02 Spora Luxembourg L 2-344.7 937 1154 21.68% 15.57% 62.75%-0.84 -4.0 1
1990-09-02 @ Progres Niedercorn W 3-244.7 1154 937 62.75% 15.57% 21.68%+0.84 +4.1 2
1990-09-02 Jeunesse Esch D 3-364.6 978 1254 16.51% 15.32% 68.17%-1.11 +1.5 2
1990-09-02 @ Swift Hesperange D 3-364.6 1254 978 68.17% 15.32% 16.51%+1.11 -1.5 4
1990-09-05 Aris Bonnevoie W 1-030.7 1328 993 78.29% 14.56% 7.16%+1.70 +1.6 5
1990-09-05 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-130.7 993 1328 7.16% 14.56% 78.29%-1.70 -1.6 0
1990-09-08 Progres Niedercorn L 0-145.8 992 933 56.77% 15.82% 27.41%+0.43 -10.6 0
1990-09-08 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 1-045.8 933 992 27.41% 15.82% 56.77%-0.43 +10.6 3
1990-09-08 Union Luxembourg L 1-240.7 1129 1330 23.30% 15.62% 61.08%-0.76 -4.6 2
1990-09-08 @ Differdange 03 W 2-140.7 1330 1129 61.08% 15.62% 23.30%+0.76 +4.6 7
1990-09-08 Swift Hesperange L 1-349.5 1071 980 60.46% 15.74% 23.80%+0.58 -18.4 2
1990-09-08 @ Fola Esch W 3-149.5 980 1071 23.80% 15.74% 60.46%-0.58 +18.4 4
1990-09-08 Avenir Beggen W 2-152.9 1089 1323 20.06% 15.50% 64.44%-0.92 +11.3 8
1990-09-08 @ Grevenmacher L 1-252.9 1323 1089 64.44% 15.50% 20.06%+0.92 -11.3 6
1990-09-08 Jeunesse Esch L 0-534.2 1158 1252 36.23% 15.87% 47.90%-0.27 -31.5 2
1990-09-08 @ Spora Luxembourg W 5-034.2 1252 1158 47.90% 15.87% 36.23%+0.27 +31.5 6
1990-09-16 Fola Esch W 8-027.0 1312 1053 74.36% 15.04% 10.60%+1.35 +16.0 8
1990-09-16 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-827.0 1053 1312 10.60% 15.04% 74.36%-1.35 -16.0 2
1990-09-16 Aris Bonnevoie D 1-155.7 1284 981 76.74% 14.77% 8.49%+1.55 -3.2 7
1990-09-16 @ Jeunesse Esch D 1-155.7 981 1284 8.49% 14.77% 76.74%-1.55 +3.2 1
1990-09-16 Differdange 03 L 0-136.4 944 1125 25.45% 15.69% 58.86%-0.67 -5.2 3
1990-09-16 @ Progres Niedercorn W 1-036.4 1125 944 58.86% 15.69% 25.45%+0.67 +5.2 4
1990-09-16 Grevenmacher W 5-026.7 1335 1100 72.81% 15.17% 12.02%+1.24 +11.5 9
1990-09-16 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-526.7 1100 1335 12.02% 15.17% 72.81%-1.24 -11.5 8
1990-09-16 Spora Luxembourg L 1-242.9 998 1127 31.69% 15.82% 52.49%-0.43 -6.0 4
1990-09-16 @ Swift Hesperange W 2-142.9 1127 998 52.49% 15.82% 31.69%+0.43 +6.0 4
1990-09-23 Spora Luxembourg L 0-333.2 984 1133 29.22% 15.77% 55.00%-0.52 -16.2 1
1990-09-23 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 3-033.2 1133 984 55.00% 15.77% 29.22%+0.52 +16.2 6
1990-09-23 Swift Hesperange D 1-155.8 1328 992 78.29% 14.56% 7.16%+1.70 -3.4 9
1990-09-23 @ Avenir Beggen D 1-155.8 992 1328 7.16% 14.56% 78.29%-1.70 +3.4 5
1990-09-23 Jeunesse Esch L 0-333.4 1130 1280 28.96% 15.77% 55.27%-0.53 -16.1 4
1990-09-23 @ Differdange 03 W 3-033.4 1280 1130 55.27% 15.77% 28.96%+0.53 +16.1 9
1990-09-23 Union Luxembourg L 0-133.0 1037 1346 13.96% 15.14% 70.90%-1.26 -3.0 2
1990-09-23 @ Fola Esch W 1-033.0 1346 1037 70.90% 15.14% 13.96%+1.26 +3.0 11
1990-09-23 Progres Niedercorn W 1-034.1 1089 939 66.32% 15.55% 18.13%+0.85 +3.8 10
1990-09-23 @ Grevenmacher L 0-134.1 939 1089 18.13% 15.55% 66.32%-0.85 -3.9 3
1990-09-30 Grevenmacher W 3-028.7 1296 1093 70.68% 15.33% 13.99%+1.10 +8.3 11
1990-09-30 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-328.7 1093 1296 13.99% 15.33% 70.68%-1.10 -8.3 10
1990-09-30 Fola Esch L 0-237.1 935 1034 35.56% 15.86% 48.58%-0.29 -13.3 3
1990-09-30 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-037.1 1034 935 48.58% 15.86% 35.56%+0.29 +13.3 4
1990-09-30 Avenir Beggen W 3-249.3 1349 1324 52.63% 15.87% 31.50%+0.28 +5.7 13
1990-09-30 @ Union Luxembourg L 2-349.3 1324 1349 31.50% 15.87% 52.63%-0.28 -5.7 9
1990-09-30 Differdange 03 W 2-035.6 1149 1114 53.91% 15.86% 30.24%+0.32 +11.5 8
1990-09-30 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-235.6 1114 1149 30.24% 15.86% 53.91%-0.32 -11.5 4
1990-09-30 Aris Bonnevoie W 4-032.7 996 968 52.95% 15.87% 31.18%+0.29 +22.5 7
1990-09-30 @ Swift Hesperange L 0-432.7 968 996 31.18% 15.87% 52.95%-0.29 -22.5 1
1990-10-14 Progres Niedercorn D 1-155.9 1318 922 80.73% 14.10% 5.17%+1.99 -3.6 10
1990-10-14 @ Avenir Beggen D 1-155.9 922 1318 5.17% 14.10% 80.73%-1.99 +3.6 4
1990-10-14 Aris Bonnevoie W 1-034.0 1102 946 66.88% 15.53% 17.59%+0.88 +3.8 6
1990-10-14 @ Differdange 03 L 0-134.0 946 1102 17.59% 15.53% 66.88%-0.88 -3.8 1
1990-10-14 Jeunesse Esch L 0-134.2 1047 1305 17.92% 15.40% 66.68%-1.03 -3.8 4
1990-10-14 @ Fola Esch W 1-034.2 1305 1047 66.68% 15.40% 17.92%+1.03 +3.8 13
1990-10-14 Spora Luxembourg L 0-140.5 1084 1160 38.69% 15.89% 45.42%-0.19 -7.6 10
1990-10-14 @ Grevenmacher W 1-040.5 1160 1084 45.42% 15.89% 38.69%+0.19 +7.6 10
1990-10-14 Swift Hesperange D 1-155.9 1355 1018 78.35% 14.54% 7.10%+1.71 -3.4 14
1990-10-14 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-155.9 1018 1355 7.10% 14.54% 78.35%-1.71 +3.4 8
1990-10-21 Grevenmacher L 0-333.7 942 1077 30.86% 15.80% 53.34%-0.46 -17.0 1
1990-10-21 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 3-033.7 1077 942 53.34% 15.80% 30.86%+0.46 +17.0 12
1990-10-21 Avenir Beggen L 1-543.1 1309 1315 48.49% 15.90% 35.62%+0.13 -27.4 13
1990-10-21 @ Jeunesse Esch W 5-143.1 1315 1309 35.62% 15.90% 48.49%-0.13 +27.4 12
1990-10-21 Union Luxembourg L 0-825.9 925 1351 7.72% 14.40% 77.88%-1.80 -11.6 4
1990-10-21 @ Progres Niedercorn W 8-025.9 1351 925 77.88% 14.40% 7.72%+1.80 +11.6 16
1990-10-21 Fola Esch L 0-148.0 1168 1043 63.95% 15.64% 20.41%+0.74 -11.9 10
1990-10-21 @ Spora Luxembourg W 1-048.0 1043 1168 20.41% 15.64% 63.95%-0.74 +11.9 6
1990-10-21 Differdange 03 L 2-543.7 1022 1106 37.52% 15.88% 46.60%-0.23 -14.7 8
1990-10-21 @ Swift Hesperange W 5-243.7 1106 1022 46.60% 15.88% 37.52%+0.23 +14.7 8
1990-11-04 Fola Esch L 0-235.9 925 1055 31.47% 15.81% 52.71%-0.44 -11.9 1
1990-11-04 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 2-035.9 1055 925 52.71% 15.81% 31.47%+0.44 +11.9 8
1990-11-04 Grevenmacher W 1-038.2 1121 1094 52.86% 15.87% 31.27%+0.28 +6.3 10
1990-11-04 @ Differdange 03 L 0-138.2 1094 1121 31.27% 15.87% 52.86%-0.28 -6.3 12
1990-11-04 Union Luxembourg W 1-044.0 1281 1363 37.86% 15.88% 46.26%-0.22 +8.8 15
1990-11-04 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-144.0 1363 1281 46.26% 15.88% 37.86%+0.22 -8.8 16
1990-11-04 Avenir Beggen D 2-260.8 1156 1342 24.86% 15.67% 59.47%-0.70 +1.2 11
1990-11-04 @ Spora Luxembourg D 2-260.8 1342 1156 59.47% 15.67% 24.86%+0.70 -1.2 13
1990-11-04 Progres Niedercorn W 6-236.7 1007 914 60.71% 15.74% 23.56%+0.59 +12.4 10
1990-11-04 @ Swift Hesperange L 2-636.7 914 1007 23.56% 15.74% 60.71%-0.59 -12.4 4
1990-11-11 Aris Bonnevoie W 2-134.2 1341 913 81.76% 13.86% 4.38%+2.13 +0.9 15
1990-11-11 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-234.2 913 1341 4.38% 13.86% 81.76%-2.13 -0.9 1
1990-11-11 Differdange 03 L 0-238.8 1067 1127 40.92% 15.90% 43.17%-0.12 -15.0 8
1990-11-11 @ Fola Esch W 2-038.8 1127 1067 43.17% 15.90% 40.92%+0.12 +15.0 12
1990-11-11 Swift Hesperange W 2-141.3 1088 1019 57.92% 15.80% 26.29%+0.48 +5.1 14
1990-11-11 @ Grevenmacher L 1-241.3 1019 1088 26.29% 15.80% 57.92%-0.48 -5.1 10
1990-11-11 Jeunesse Esch D 1-155.7 901 1290 9.37% 14.66% 75.97%-1.63 +3.1 5
1990-11-11 @ Progres Niedercorn D 1-155.7 1290 901 75.97% 14.66% 9.37%+1.63 -3.1 16
1990-11-11 Spora Luxembourg W 5-132.1 1354 1157 70.19% 15.36% 14.46%+1.07 +9.3 18
1990-11-11 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-532.1 1157 1354 14.46% 15.36% 70.19%-1.07 -9.3 11
1990-11-24 Union Luxembourg L 0-228.0 912 1364 6.77% 14.22% 79.01%-1.92 -2.8 1
1990-11-24 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 2-028.0 1364 912 79.01% 14.22% 6.77%+1.92 +2.8 20
1990-11-24 Avenir Beggen W 1-047.4 1142 1342 23.38% 15.62% 60.99%-0.76 +11.4 14
1990-11-24 @ Differdange 03 L 0-147.4 1342 1142 60.99% 15.62% 23.38%+0.76 -11.4 15
1990-11-24 Fola Esch W 6-135.1 1093 1052 54.61% 15.85% 29.54%+0.35 +21.9 16
1990-11-24 @ Grevenmacher L 1-635.1 1052 1093 29.54% 15.85% 54.61%-0.35 -21.9 8
1990-11-24 Swift Hesperange D 1-155.7 1287 1014 75.15% 14.96% 9.89%+1.42 -3.1 17
1990-11-24 @ Jeunesse Esch D 1-155.7 1014 1287 9.89% 14.96% 75.15%-1.42 +3.1 11
1990-11-24 Progres Niedercorn W 2-136.7 1148 904 73.42% 15.12% 11.46%+1.28 +2.3 13
1990-11-24 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-236.7 904 1148 11.46% 15.12% 73.42%-1.28 -2.4 5
1990-12-01 Grevenmacher W 2-137.5 1331 1115 71.57% 15.27% 13.16%+1.15 +2.7 17
1990-12-01 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-237.5 1115 1331 13.16% 15.27% 71.57%-1.15 -2.7 16
1990-12-01 Spora Luxembourg L 0-344.1 1284 1150 64.77% 15.61% 19.61%+0.77 -33.1 17
1990-12-01 @ Jeunesse Esch W 3-044.1 1150 1284 19.61% 15.61% 64.77%-0.77 +33.1 15
1990-12-01 Aris Bonnevoie W 4-140.0 902 909 48.34% 15.90% 35.76%+0.13 +16.3 7
1990-12-01 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-440.0 909 902 35.76% 15.90% 48.34%-0.13 -16.3 1
1990-12-01 Differdange 03 W 2-030.8 1366 1153 71.36% 15.28% 13.36%+1.14 +5.5 22
1990-12-01 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-230.8 1153 1366 13.36% 15.28% 71.36%-1.14 -5.5 14
1990-12-01 Fola Esch W 2-144.4 1017 1030 47.60% 15.90% 36.50%+0.10 +6.8 13
1990-12-01 @ Swift Hesperange L 1-244.4 1030 1017 36.50% 15.90% 47.60%-0.10 -6.8 8
1990-12-08 Jeunesse Esch D 0-051.8 893 1251 10.98% 14.86% 74.16%-1.49 +3.3 2
1990-12-08 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 0-051.8 1251 893 74.16% 14.86% 10.98%+1.49 -3.3 18
1990-12-08 Progres Niedercorn L 0-248.0 1148 918 72.51% 15.20% 12.30%+1.22 -25.5 14
1990-12-08 @ Differdange 03 W 2-048.0 918 1148 12.30% 15.20% 72.51%-1.22 +25.6 9
1990-12-08 Avenir Beggen D 0-051.8 1023 1333 13.93% 15.14% 70.93%-1.27 +2.9 9
1990-12-08 @ Fola Esch D 0-051.8 1333 1023 70.93% 15.14% 13.93%+1.27 -2.9 18
1990-12-08 Union Luxembourg L 1-337.0 1112 1372 17.74% 15.39% 66.87%-1.04 -6.2 16
1990-12-08 @ Grevenmacher W 3-137.0 1372 1112 66.87% 15.39% 17.74%+1.04 +6.2 24
1990-12-08 Swift Hesperange W 2-138.6 1183 1024 67.12% 15.52% 17.36%+0.89 +3.5 17
1990-12-08 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-238.6 1024 1183 17.36% 15.52% 67.12%-0.89 -3.5 13
1991-01-19 Differdange 03 W 2-139.7 1247 1122 63.96% 15.64% 20.40%+0.74 +4.1 20
1991-01-19 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-239.7 1122 1247 20.40% 15.64% 63.96%-0.74 -4.1 14
1991-01-19 Grevenmacher W 2-043.4 944 1106 27.59% 15.74% 56.67%-0.58 +20.0 11
1991-01-19 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-243.4 1106 944 56.67% 15.74% 27.59%+0.58 -20.0 16
1991-01-19 Fola Esch W 6-025.0 1378 1026 79.00% 14.44% 6.56%+1.78 +7.6 26
1991-01-19 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-625.0 1026 1378 6.56% 14.44% 79.00%-1.78 -7.6 9
1991-01-19 Aris Bonnevoie W 4-131.7 1187 896 76.13% 14.85% 9.02%+1.50 +4.6 19
1991-01-19 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-431.7 896 1187 9.02% 14.85% 76.13%-1.50 -4.6 2
1991-01-23 Avenir Beggen L 0-132.9 1021 1330 13.94% 15.14% 70.92%-1.27 -3.0 13
1991-01-23 @ Swift Hesperange W 1-032.9 1330 1021 70.92% 15.14% 13.94%+1.27 +3.0 20
1991-01-26 Swift Hesperange L 1-243.0 892 1018 32.01% 15.82% 52.17%-0.42 -6.1 2
1991-01-26 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 2-143.0 1018 892 52.17% 15.82% 32.01%+0.42 +6.1 15
1991-01-26 Union Luxembourg L 1-248.2 1333 1386 42.06% 15.90% 42.03%-0.08 -7.7 20
1991-01-26 @ Avenir Beggen W 2-148.2 1386 1333 42.03% 15.90% 42.06%+0.08 +7.7 28
1991-01-26 Spora Luxembourg W 4-037.0 1118 1191 39.09% 15.89% 45.02%-0.18 +30.8 16
1991-01-26 @ Differdange 03 L 0-437.0 1191 1118 45.02% 15.89% 39.09%+0.18 -30.8 19
1991-01-26 Progres Niedercorn L 0-243.3 1019 964 56.34% 15.82% 27.84%+0.41 -19.9 9
1991-01-26 @ Fola Esch W 2-043.3 964 1019 27.84% 15.82% 56.34%-0.41 +19.9 13
1991-01-26 Jeunesse Esch W 3-041.7 1086 1251 27.16% 15.73% 57.11%-0.60 +29.2 18
1991-01-26 @ Grevenmacher L 0-341.7 1251 1086 57.11% 15.73% 27.16%+0.60 -29.2 20
1991-02-03 Differdange 03 L 1-336.5 886 1149 17.45% 15.37% 67.17%-1.05 -6.1 2
1991-02-03 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 3-136.5 1149 886 67.17% 15.37% 17.45%+1.05 +6.1 18
1991-02-03 Fola Esch W 2-030.1 1222 999 72.08% 15.23% 12.69%+1.19 +5.2 22
1991-02-03 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-230.1 999 1222 12.69% 15.23% 72.08%-1.19 -5.2 9
1991-02-03 Avenir Beggen W 1-050.6 984 1326 11.87% 14.96% 73.17%-1.41 +13.7 15
1991-02-03 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-150.6 1326 984 73.17% 14.96% 11.87%+1.41 -13.7 20
1991-02-03 Grevenmacher W 1-037.5 1161 1115 55.22% 15.84% 28.94%+0.37 +5.9 21
1991-02-03 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-137.5 1115 1161 28.94% 15.84% 55.22%-0.37 -5.9 18
1991-02-03 Union Luxembourg W 2-155.8 1024 1393 10.33% 14.79% 74.88%-1.54 +13.2 17
1991-02-03 @ Swift Hesperange L 1-255.8 1393 1024 74.88% 14.79% 10.33%+1.54 -13.2 28
1991-03-03 Jeunesse Esch L 1-349.9 1312 1227 59.76% 15.76% 24.48%+0.55 -18.2 20
1991-03-03 @ Avenir Beggen W 3-149.9 1227 1312 24.48% 15.76% 59.76%-0.55 +18.2 24
1991-03-03 Swift Hesperange L 2-454.5 1155 1037 63.30% 15.66% 21.03%+0.71 -17.2 18
1991-03-03 @ Differdange 03 W 4-254.5 1037 1155 21.03% 15.66% 63.30%-0.71 +17.2 19
1991-03-03 Spora Luxembourg L 0-332.4 994 1167 26.33% 15.71% 57.96%-0.64 -14.8 9
1991-03-03 @ Fola Esch W 3-032.4 1167 994 57.96% 15.71% 26.33%+0.64 +14.8 23
1991-03-03 Aris Bonnevoie W 1-032.3 1109 880 72.50% 15.20% 12.31%+1.22 +2.7 20
1991-03-03 @ Grevenmacher L 0-132.3 880 1109 12.31% 15.20% 72.50%-1.22 -2.7 2
1991-03-03 Progres Niedercorn W 2-134.8 1380 997 80.22% 14.21% 5.57%+1.92 +1.2 30
1991-03-03 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-234.8 997 1380 5.57% 14.21% 80.22%-1.92 -1.2 15

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1991-03-17 Swift Hesperange W 1-032.2 1294 1054 73.17% 15.14% 11.68%+1.26 +2.5 2
1991-03-17 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-132.2 1054 1294 11.68% 15.14% 73.17%-1.26 -2.5 0
1991-03-17 Union Luxembourg D 0-052.6 1246 1381 30.77% 15.80% 53.43%-0.46 +1.1 1
1991-03-17 @ Jeunesse Esch D 0-052.6 1381 1246 53.43% 15.80% 30.77%+0.46 -1.1 1
1991-03-17 Grevenmacher W 4-031.3 1181 1112 58.06% 15.79% 26.15%+0.48 +19.2 2
1991-03-17 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-431.3 1112 1181 26.15% 15.79% 58.06%-0.48 -19.2 0
1991-03-24 Grevenmacher W 2-137.7 1296 1093 70.69% 15.32% 13.98%+1.10 +2.8 4
1991-03-24 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-237.7 1093 1296 13.98% 15.32% 70.69%-1.10 -2.8 0
1991-03-24 Spora Luxembourg D 0-052.4 1380 1201 68.81% 15.44% 15.75%+0.99 -2.7 2
1991-03-24 @ Union Luxembourg D 0-052.4 1201 1380 15.75% 15.44% 68.81%-0.99 +2.7 3
1991-03-24 Jeunesse Esch L 0-233.6 1051 1247 23.88% 15.64% 60.48%-0.74 -9.3 0
1991-03-24 @ Swift Hesperange W 2-033.6 1247 1051 60.48% 15.64% 23.88%+0.74 +9.3 3
1991-04-07 Union Luxembourg W 2-148.8 1299 1377 38.39% 15.89% 45.72%-0.20 +8.2 6
1991-04-07 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-248.8 1377 1299 45.72% 15.89% 38.39%+0.20 -8.2 2
1991-04-07 Jeunesse Esch L 0-337.4 1203 1256 41.99% 15.90% 42.11%-0.08 -22.2 3
1991-04-07 @ Spora Luxembourg W 3-037.4 1256 1203 42.11% 15.90% 41.99%+0.08 +22.2 5
1991-04-07 Grevenmacher D 3-364.4 1042 1090 42.73% 15.91% 41.37%-0.06 -0.0 1
1991-04-07 @ Swift Hesperange D 3-364.4 1090 1042 41.37% 15.91% 42.73%+0.06 +0.0 1
1991-04-14 Avenir Beggen L 1-247.9 1278 1307 45.33% 15.91% 38.77%+0.03 -8.2 5
1991-04-14 @ Jeunesse Esch W 2-147.9 1307 1278 38.77% 15.91% 45.33%-0.03 +8.2 8
1991-04-14 Grevenmacher W 3-134.4 1369 1090 75.53% 14.92% 9.55%+1.45 +3.4 4
1991-04-14 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-334.4 1090 1369 9.55% 14.92% 75.53%-1.45 -3.4 1
1991-04-14 Swift Hesperange W 3-030.2 1181 1042 65.30% 15.59% 19.11%+0.80 +11.1 5
1991-04-14 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-330.2 1042 1181 19.11% 15.59% 65.30%-0.80 -11.1 1
1991-04-21 Spora Luxembourg W 3-138.0 1316 1192 63.80% 15.65% 20.55%+0.73 +7.1 10
1991-04-21 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-338.0 1192 1316 20.55% 15.65% 63.80%-0.73 -7.1 5
1991-04-21 Jeunesse Esch L 0-136.4 1086 1270 25.12% 15.68% 59.20%-0.69 -5.2 1
1991-04-21 @ Grevenmacher W 1-036.4 1270 1086 59.20% 15.68% 25.12%+0.69 +5.2 7
1991-04-21 Union Luxembourg L 0-229.9 1031 1373 11.91% 14.96% 73.13%-1.41 -4.9 1
1991-04-21 @ Swift Hesperange W 2-029.9 1373 1031 73.13% 14.96% 11.91%+1.41 +4.9 6
1991-04-28 Spora Luxembourg W 1-043.7 1081 1185 34.86% 15.86% 49.29%-0.32 +9.3 3
1991-04-28 @ Grevenmacher L 0-143.7 1185 1081 49.29% 15.86% 34.86%+0.32 -9.3 5
1991-04-28 Jeunesse Esch W 1-036.9 1377 1275 61.65% 15.71% 22.64%+0.63 +4.7 8
1991-04-28 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-136.9 1275 1377 22.64% 15.71% 61.65%-0.63 -4.7 7
1991-04-28 Avenir Beggen W 2-154.4 1026 1323 14.88% 15.21% 69.91%-1.20 +12.3 3
1991-04-28 @ Swift Hesperange L 1-254.4 1323 1026 69.91% 15.21% 14.88%+1.20 -12.3 10
1991-05-05 Grevenmacher W 6-027.1 1310 1090 71.85% 15.25% 12.91%+1.17 +14.7 12
1991-05-05 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-627.1 1090 1310 12.91% 15.25% 71.85%-1.17 -14.7 3
1991-05-05 Swift Hesperange W 2-137.0 1271 1038 72.67% 15.18% 12.15%+1.23 +2.5 9
1991-05-05 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-237.0 1038 1271 12.15% 15.18% 72.67%-1.23 -2.5 3
1991-05-05 Union Luxembourg D 1-156.1 1176 1382 22.73% 15.60% 61.67%-0.79 +1.7 6
1991-05-05 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-156.1 1382 1176 61.67% 15.60% 22.73%+0.79 -1.8 9
1991-05-12 Swift Hesperange W 5-241.3 1076 1036 54.50% 15.85% 29.65%+0.34 +12.0 5
1991-05-12 @ Grevenmacher L 2-541.3 1036 1076 29.65% 15.85% 54.50%-0.34 -12.0 3
1991-05-12 Spora Luxembourg D 2-260.6 1273 1178 60.93% 15.73% 23.34%+0.60 -1.3 10
1991-05-12 @ Jeunesse Esch D 2-260.6 1178 1273 23.34% 15.73% 60.93%-0.60 +1.2 7
1991-05-12 Avenir Beggen W 1-039.1 1380 1325 56.39% 15.82% 27.79%+0.42 +5.7 11
1991-05-12 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-139.1 1325 1380 27.79% 15.82% 56.39%-0.42 -5.7 12
1991-05-19 Jeunesse Esch L 1-348.9 1319 1272 55.46% 15.84% 28.71%+0.38 -17.0 12
1991-05-19 @ Avenir Beggen W 3-148.9 1272 1319 28.71% 15.84% 55.46%-0.38 +17.0 12
1991-05-19 Union Luxembourg L 0-133.4 1088 1386 14.75% 15.20% 70.05%-1.21 -3.2 5
1991-05-19 @ Grevenmacher W 1-033.4 1386 1088 70.05% 15.20% 14.75%+1.21 +3.2 13
1991-05-19 Spora Luxembourg L 0-235.0 1024 1179 28.42% 15.76% 55.83%-0.55 -10.9 3
1991-05-19 @ Swift Hesperange W 2-035.0 1179 1024 55.83% 15.76% 28.42%+0.55 +10.9 9
1991-05-26 Grevenmacher D 2-260.6 1289 1085 70.71% 15.32% 13.96%+1.10 -2.0 13
1991-05-26 @ Jeunesse Esch D 2-260.6 1085 1289 13.96% 15.32% 70.71%-1.10 +2.0 6
1991-05-26 Swift Hesperange L 2-459.2 1389 1013 79.97% 14.26% 5.77%+1.89 -21.8 13
1991-05-26 @ Union Luxembourg W 4-259.2 1013 1389 5.77% 14.26% 79.97%-1.89 +21.8 5
1991-05-26 Avenir Beggen W 4-144.8 1190 1302 33.71% 15.84% 50.45%-0.36 +22.0 11
1991-05-26 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-444.8 1302 1190 50.45% 15.84% 33.71%+0.36 -22.0 12

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1991-05-26 5.77% Swift Hesperange 1013 4 @ Union Luxembourg 1389 2
2 1991-02-03 10.33% @ Swift Hesperange 1024 2 Union Luxembourg 1393 1
3 1991-02-03 11.87% @ Progres Niedercorn 984 1 Avenir Beggen 1326 0
4 1990-12-08 12.30% Progres Niedercorn 918 2 @ Differdange 03 1148 0
5 1991-04-28 14.88% @ Swift Hesperange 1026 2 Avenir Beggen 1323 1
6 1990-12-01 19.61% Spora Luxembourg 1150 3 @ Jeunesse Esch 1284 0
7 1990-09-08 20.06% @ Grevenmacher 1089 2 Avenir Beggen 1323 1
8 1990-10-21 20.41% Fola Esch 1043 1 @ Spora Luxembourg 1168 0
9 1991-03-03 21.03% Swift Hesperange 1037 4 @ Differdange 03 1155 2
10 1990-11-24 23.38% @ Differdange 03 1142 1 Avenir Beggen 1342 0
11 1990-09-08 23.80% Swift Hesperange 980 3 @ Fola Esch 1071 1
12 1991-03-03 24.48% Jeunesse Esch 1227 3 @ Avenir Beggen 1312 1
13 1991-01-26 27.16% @ Grevenmacher 1086 3 Jeunesse Esch 1251 0
14 1990-09-08 27.41% Progres Niedercorn 933 1 @ Aris Bonnevoie 992 0
15 1991-01-19 27.59% @ Progres Niedercorn 944 2 Grevenmacher 1106 0
16 1991-01-26 27.84% Progres Niedercorn 964 2 @ Fola Esch 1019 0
17 1991-05-19 28.71% Jeunesse Esch 1272 3 @ Avenir Beggen 1319 1
18 1990-08-25 29.41% @ Grevenmacher 1018 5 Differdange 03 1165 0
19 1990-09-02 32.31% Grevenmacher 1071 2 @ Fola Esch 1089 0
20 1991-05-26 33.71% @ Spora Luxembourg 1190 4 Avenir Beggen 1302 1
21 1991-04-28 34.86% @ Grevenmacher 1081 1 Spora Luxembourg 1185 0
22 1990-10-21 35.62% Avenir Beggen 1315 5 @ Jeunesse Esch 1309 1
23 1990-11-04 37.86% @ Jeunesse Esch 1281 1 Union Luxembourg 1363 0
24 1991-04-07 38.39% @ Avenir Beggen 1299 2 Union Luxembourg 1377 1
25 1991-04-14 38.77% Avenir Beggen 1307 2 @ Jeunesse Esch 1278 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1990-08-25 45.27 @ Grevenmacher 5 1018 29.41% Differdange 03 0 1165 54.82% 15.78%
2 1990-12-01 33.09 Spora Luxembourg 3 1150 19.61% @ Jeunesse Esch 0 1284 64.77% 15.61%
3 1990-09-08 31.52 Jeunesse Esch 5 1252 47.90% @ Spora Luxembourg 0 1158 36.23% 15.87%
4 1991-01-26 30.77 @ Differdange 03 4 1118 39.09% Spora Luxembourg 0 1191 45.02% 15.89%
5 1991-01-26 29.22 @ Grevenmacher 3 1086 27.16% Jeunesse Esch 0 1251 57.11% 15.73%
6 1990-10-21 27.37 Avenir Beggen 5 1315 35.62% @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1309 48.49% 15.90%
7 1990-12-08 25.56 Progres Niedercorn 2 918 12.30% @ Differdange 03 0 1148 72.51% 15.20%
8 1990-09-30 22.48 @ Swift Hesperange 4 996 52.95% Aris Bonnevoie 0 968 31.18% 15.87%
9 1991-04-07 22.20 Jeunesse Esch 3 1256 42.11% @ Spora Luxembourg 0 1203 41.99% 15.90%
10 1991-05-26 21.96 @ Spora Luxembourg 4 1190 33.71% Avenir Beggen 1 1302 50.45% 15.84%
11 1990-11-24 21.88 @ Grevenmacher 6 1093 54.61% Fola Esch 1 1052 29.54% 15.85%
12 1991-05-26 21.85 Swift Hesperange 4 1013 5.77% @ Union Luxembourg 2 1389 79.97% 14.26%
13 1991-01-19 19.98 @ Progres Niedercorn 2 944 27.59% Grevenmacher 0 1106 56.67% 15.74%
14 1991-01-26 19.87 Progres Niedercorn 2 964 27.84% @ Fola Esch 0 1019 56.34% 15.82%
15 1991-03-17 19.25 @ Spora Luxembourg 4 1181 58.06% Grevenmacher 0 1112 26.15% 15.79%
16 1990-09-08 18.43 Swift Hesperange 3 980 23.80% @ Fola Esch 1 1071 60.46% 15.74%
17 1990-09-02 18.39 Grevenmacher 2 1071 32.31% @ Fola Esch 0 1089 51.81% 15.88%
18 1991-03-03 18.22 Jeunesse Esch 3 1227 24.48% @ Avenir Beggen 1 1312 59.76% 15.76%
19 1991-03-03 17.25 Swift Hesperange 4 1037 21.03% @ Differdange 03 2 1155 63.30% 15.66%
20 1990-10-21 17.04 Grevenmacher 3 1077 53.34% @ Aris Bonnevoie 0 942 30.86% 15.80%
21 1991-05-19 16.96 Jeunesse Esch 3 1272 28.71% @ Avenir Beggen 1 1319 55.46% 15.84%
22 1990-12-01 16.33 @ Progres Niedercorn 4 902 48.34% Aris Bonnevoie 1 909 35.76% 15.90%
23 1990-09-23 16.24 Spora Luxembourg 3 1133 55.00% @ Aris Bonnevoie 0 984 29.22% 15.77%
24 1990-09-23 16.11 Jeunesse Esch 3 1280 55.27% @ Differdange 03 0 1130 28.96% 15.77%
25 1990-09-16 15.96 @ Avenir Beggen 8 1312 74.36% Fola Esch 0 1053 10.60% 15.04%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1990-09-02 64.6 @ Swift Hesperange 3 978 16.51% Jeunesse Esch 3 1254 68.17% 15.32%
2 1991-04-07 64.4 @ Swift Hesperange 3 1042 42.73% Grevenmacher 3 1090 41.37% 15.91%
3 1990-11-04 60.8 @ Spora Luxembourg 2 1156 24.86% Avenir Beggen 2 1342 59.47% 15.67%
4 1991-05-12 60.6 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1273 60.93% Spora Luxembourg 2 1178 23.34% 15.73%
5 1991-05-26 60.6 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1289 70.71% Grevenmacher 2 1085 13.96% 15.32%
6 1991-05-26 59.2 Swift Hesperange 4 1013 5.77% @ Union Luxembourg 2 1389 79.97% 14.26%
7 1990-08-25 56.1 @ Union Luxembourg 1 1322 58.35% Jeunesse Esch 1 1249 25.86% 15.79%
8 1991-05-05 56.1 @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1176 22.73% Union Luxembourg 1 1382 61.67% 15.60%
9 1990-10-14 55.9 @ Avenir Beggen 1 1318 80.73% Progres Niedercorn 1 922 5.17% 14.10%
10 1990-10-14 55.9 @ Union Luxembourg 1 1355 78.35% Swift Hesperange 1 1018 7.10% 14.54%
11 1990-09-23 55.8 @ Avenir Beggen 1 1328 78.29% Swift Hesperange 1 992 7.16% 14.56%
12 1991-02-03 55.8 @ Swift Hesperange 2 1024 10.33% Union Luxembourg 1 1393 74.88% 14.79%
13 1990-09-16 55.7 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1284 76.74% Aris Bonnevoie 1 981 8.49% 14.77%
14 1990-11-11 55.7 @ Progres Niedercorn 1 901 9.37% Jeunesse Esch 1 1290 75.97% 14.66%
15 1990-11-24 55.7 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1287 75.15% Swift Hesperange 1 1014 9.89% 14.96%
16 1990-08-25 55.3 @ Progres Niedercorn 1 940 43.03% Swift Hesperange 1 985 41.06% 15.91%
17 1991-03-03 54.5 Swift Hesperange 4 1037 21.03% @ Differdange 03 2 1155 63.30% 15.66%
18 1991-04-28 54.4 @ Swift Hesperange 2 1026 14.88% Avenir Beggen 1 1323 69.91% 15.21%
19 1990-09-08 52.9 @ Grevenmacher 2 1089 20.06% Avenir Beggen 1 1323 64.44% 15.50%
20 1991-03-17 52.6 @ Jeunesse Esch 0 1246 30.77% Union Luxembourg 0 1381 53.43% 15.80%
21 1991-03-24 52.4 @ Union Luxembourg 0 1380 68.81% Spora Luxembourg 0 1201 15.75% 15.44%
22 1990-12-08 51.8 @ Aris Bonnevoie 0 893 10.98% Jeunesse Esch 0 1251 74.16% 14.86%
23 1990-12-08 51.8 @ Fola Esch 0 1023 13.93% Avenir Beggen 0 1333 70.93% 15.14%
24 1991-02-03 50.6 @ Progres Niedercorn 1 984 11.87% Avenir Beggen 0 1326 73.17% 14.96%
25 1991-03-03 49.9 Jeunesse Esch 3 1227 24.48% @ Avenir Beggen 1 1312 59.76% 15.76%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1991-01-19 25.0 @ Union Luxembourg 6 1378 79.00% Fola Esch 0 1026 6.56% 14.44%
2 1990-10-21 25.9 Union Luxembourg 8 1351 77.88% @ Progres Niedercorn 0 925 7.72% 14.40%
3 1990-09-16 26.7 @ Union Luxembourg 5 1335 72.81% Grevenmacher 0 1100 12.02% 15.17%
4 1990-09-16 27.0 @ Avenir Beggen 8 1312 74.36% Fola Esch 0 1053 10.60% 15.04%
5 1991-05-05 27.1 @ Avenir Beggen 6 1310 71.85% Grevenmacher 0 1090 12.91% 15.25%
6 1990-11-24 28.0 Union Luxembourg 2 1364 79.01% @ Aris Bonnevoie 0 912 6.77% 14.22%
7 1990-09-30 28.7 @ Jeunesse Esch 3 1296 70.68% Grevenmacher 0 1093 13.99% 15.33%
8 1991-04-21 29.9 Union Luxembourg 2 1373 73.13% @ Swift Hesperange 0 1031 11.91% 14.96%
9 1991-02-03 30.1 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1222 72.08% Fola Esch 0 999 12.69% 15.23%
10 1991-04-14 30.2 @ Spora Luxembourg 3 1181 65.30% Swift Hesperange 0 1042 19.11% 15.59%
11 1990-08-25 30.7 @ Avenir Beggen 3 1306 64.64% Spora Luxembourg 0 1174 19.74% 15.62%
12 1990-09-05 30.7 @ Union Luxembourg 1 1328 78.29% Aris Bonnevoie 0 993 7.16% 14.56%
13 1990-12-01 30.8 @ Union Luxembourg 2 1366 71.36% Differdange 03 0 1153 13.36% 15.28%
14 1991-03-17 31.3 @ Spora Luxembourg 4 1181 58.06% Grevenmacher 0 1112 26.15% 15.79%
15 1991-01-19 31.7 @ Spora Luxembourg 4 1187 76.13% Aris Bonnevoie 1 896 9.02% 14.85%
16 1990-11-11 32.1 @ Union Luxembourg 5 1354 70.19% Spora Luxembourg 1 1157 14.46% 15.36%
17 1991-03-17 32.2 @ Avenir Beggen 1 1294 73.17% Swift Hesperange 0 1054 11.68% 15.14%
18 1991-03-03 32.3 @ Grevenmacher 1 1109 72.50% Aris Bonnevoie 0 880 12.31% 15.20%
19 1991-03-03 32.4 Spora Luxembourg 3 1167 57.96% @ Fola Esch 0 994 26.33% 15.71%
20 1990-09-30 32.7 @ Swift Hesperange 4 996 52.95% Aris Bonnevoie 0 968 31.18% 15.87%
21 1991-01-23 32.9 Avenir Beggen 1 1330 70.92% @ Swift Hesperange 0 1021 13.94% 15.14%
22 1990-09-23 33.0 Union Luxembourg 1 1346 70.90% @ Fola Esch 0 1037 13.96% 15.14%
23 1990-09-23 33.2 Spora Luxembourg 3 1133 55.00% @ Aris Bonnevoie 0 984 29.22% 15.77%
24 1990-09-23 33.4 Jeunesse Esch 3 1280 55.27% @ Differdange 03 0 1130 28.96% 15.77%
25 1991-05-19 33.4 Union Luxembourg 1 1386 70.05% @ Grevenmacher 0 1088 14.75% 15.20%