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1992 Divizia Nationala Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Tiligul

35 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Tiligul

6.03 points above expected

35 points · 28.97 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Cristalul Fleti

6.05 points below expected

9 points · 15.05 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Tiligul 22 15 5 2 35 40 13 +27 28.97 +6.03
2 Zimbru 22 15 5 2 35 40 15 +25 29.73 +5.27
3 Bugeac Comrat 22 13 7 2 33 51 11 +40 27.10 +5.90
4 Tighina Bender 22 9 8 5 26 21 17 +4 24.43 +1.57
5 Amocom Chisinau 22 9 7 6 25 32 25 +7 23.62 +1.38
6 Agro Chisinau 22 8 7 7 23 46 32 +14 21.82 +1.18
7 Dinamo Chisinau 22 8 5 9 21 30 23 +7 23.00 -2.00
8 Speranta Nisporeni 22 6 5 11 17 20 32 -12 18.76 -1.76
9 FC Zarya Beltsy 22 5 7 10 17 19 24 -5 17.62 -0.62
10 Moldova Boroseni 22 7 2 13 16 22 42 -20 20.86 -4.86
11 Cristalul Fleti 22 3 3 16 9 25 60 -35 15.05 -6.05
12 Constructorul Leova 22 2 3 17 7 11 63 -52 13.04 -6.04

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Tiligul 35 28.97 +6.03
2 Bugeac Comrat 33 27.10 +5.90
3 Zimbru 35 29.73 +5.27
4 Tighina Bender 26 24.43 +1.57
5 Amocom Chisinau 25 23.62 +1.38

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cristalul Fleti 9 15.05 -6.05
2 Constructorul Leova 7 13.04 -6.04
3 Moldova Boroseni 16 20.86 -4.86
4 Dinamo Chisinau 21 23.00 -2.00
5 Speranta Nisporeni 17 18.76 -1.76

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tiligul 6 Mar 22 – Apr 22 1 in 395
2 Agro Chisinau 3 May 17 – May 23 1 in 20
3 Zimbru 6 May 10 – May 31 1 in 19
4 Cristalul Fleti 2 May 31 – Jun 3 1 in 17
5 Bugeac Comrat 5 Jun 7 – Jun 21 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dinamo Chisinau 3 May 24 – May 30 1 in 211
2 Cristalul Fleti 5 Mar 15 – Apr 12 1 in 57
3 Tighina Bender 2 May 13 – May 17 1 in 22
4 Moldova Boroseni 4 May 17 – May 27 1 in 22
5 Constructorul Leova 6 May 31 – Jun 17 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Zimbru 18 Mar 28 – Jun 17 1 in 45
2 Tiligul 10 Mar 22 – May 13 1 in 35
3 Bugeac Comrat 15 Apr 22 – Jun 21 1 in 34
4 Tighina Bender 8 Mar 15 – Apr 25 1 in 32
5 Constructorul Leova 2 Jun 21 – Jun 23 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dinamo Chisinau 6 May 24 – Jun 14 1 in 25
2 Moldova Boroseni 7 May 3 – May 27 1 in 22
3 FC Zarya Beltsy 7 Mar 15 – Apr 22 1 in 16
4 Constructorul Leova 8 Mar 15 – Apr 25 1 in 12
5 Amocom Chisinau 4 Mar 29 – Apr 18 1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Tiligul 1614 35 +41 8 7.5 +0.5
Zimbru 1617 35 +10 7 7.1 -0.1
Bugeac Comrat 1656 33 +96 10 7.4 +2.6
Amocom Chisinau 1443 25 +50 5 4.7 +0.3
Tighina Bender 1371 24 -21 5 5.3 -0.3
Agro Chisinau 1508 23 +127 7 5.6 +1.4
Dinamo Chisinau 1393 21 -11 5 5.3 -0.3
FC Zarya Beltsy 1329 17 +20 4 4.1 -0.1
Speranta Nisporeni 1247 17 -69 4 4.7 -0.7
Moldova Boroseni 1229 14 -11 4 3.4 +0.6
Cristalul Fleti 1087 9 -184 1 3.5 -2.5
Constructorul Leova 1004 7 -28 2 1.8 +0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AC AC BC CL CF DC FZB MB SN TB TIL ZIM
Agro Chisinau —
1-1-0
2.21
0-1-1
1.80
2-0-0
4.38
1-1-0
3.88
0-0-2
2.67
1-1-0
3.36
2-0-0
2.81
1-0-1
2.95
0-1-1
2.45
0-1-1
1.37
0-1-1
1.48
Amocom Chisinau
0-1-1
3.27
 —
0-0-2
2.38
2-0-0
3.25
2-0-0
3.52
0-2-0
2.54
2-0-0
3.55
2-0-0
3.23
1-1-0
3.28
0-2-0
2.84
0-1-1
1.88
0-0-2
1.79
Bugeac Comrat
1-1-0
3.68
2-0-0
3.10
 —
2-0-0
4.40
2-0-0
4.51
2-0-0
3.69
0-2-0
3.77
1-0-1
4.70
1-1-0
3.69
1-1-0
3.10
0-1-1
2.68
1-1-0
2.71
Constructorul Leova
0-0-2
1.12
0-0-2
2.24
0-0-2
1.13
 —
0-0-2
2.45
1-0-1
1.11
0-1-1
2.23
1-0-1
1.39
0-0-2
2.18
0-1-1
0.95
0-1-1
0.58
0-0-2
1.15
Cristalul Fleti
0-1-1
1.61
0-0-2
1.96
0-0-2
1.01
2-0-0
3.03
 —
0-0-2
2.03
0-1-1
2.62
0-1-1
2.16
0-0-2
2.27
1-0-1
1.37
0-0-2
1.95
0-0-2
0.95
Dinamo Chisinau
2-0-0
2.81
0-2-0
2.94
0-0-2
1.79
1-0-1
4.40
2-0-0
3.48
 —
0-1-1
3.63
0-1-1
3.54
2-0-0
3.33
0-0-2
2.76
1-0-1
2.59
0-1-1
2.31
FC Zarya Beltsy
0-1-1
2.12
0-0-2
1.93
0-2-0
1.72
1-1-0
3.25
1-1-0
2.86
1-1-0
1.86
 —
1-0-1
2.52
0-1-1
2.74
1-0-1
2.27
0-0-2
1.89
0-0-2
1.12
Moldova Boroseni
0-0-2
2.67
0-0-2
2.26
1-0-1
0.83
1-0-1
4.11
1-1-0
3.32
1-1-0
1.95
1-0-1
2.97
 —
2-0-0
2.54
0-0-2
2.31
0-0-2
1.27
0-0-2
1.12
Speranta Nisporeni
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
2.20
0-1-1
1.80
2-0-0
3.30
2-0-0
3.21
0-0-2
2.15
1-1-0
2.74
0-0-2
2.95
 —
0-1-1
2.07
0-1-1
1.32
0-0-2
1.43
Tighina Bender
1-1-0
3.03
0-2-0
2.64
0-1-1
2.39
1-1-0
4.56
1-0-1
4.13
2-0-0
2.72
1-0-1
3.23
2-0-0
3.18
1-1-0
3.41
 —
0-0-2
1.83
0-2-0
2.02
Tiligul
1-1-0
4.13
1-1-0
3.60
1-1-0
2.80
1-1-0
5.01
2-0-0
3.57
1-0-1
2.90
2-0-0
3.61
2-0-0
4.23
1-1-0
4.18
2-0-0
3.65
 —
1-0-1
2.13
Zimbru
1-1-0
4.01
2-0-0
3.70
0-1-1
2.77
2-0-0
4.38
2-0-0
4.56
1-1-0
3.17
2-0-0
4.38
2-0-0
4.38
2-0-0
4.07
0-2-0
3.47
1-0-1
3.35
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.60 +5.9
Allowed 0.82 -4.9
Differential 0.90 +3.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.61%9.47%5.68%1.52%3.03%1.89%32.20%
19.47%9.09%6.82%3.03%2.65%1.89%32.95%
25.68%6.82%3.79%—0.76%0.38%17.42%
31.52%3.03%————4.55%
43.03%2.65%0.76%—0.76%—7.20%
5+1.89%1.89%0.38%——1.52%5.68%
Total32.20%32.95%17.42%4.55%7.20%5.68%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.34 1.34 +0.00
SD 1.56 1.56 2.34
CV 1.17 1.17 —
Max 11 11 +10
Min -1 -1 -10

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
1—13.64%4.55%4.55%—4.55%27.27%
2—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%9.09%————13.64%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total13.64%50.00%22.73%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 1.45 +0.64
SD 2.58 1.14 3.05
CV 1.23 0.79 —
Max 11 5 +10
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%—4.55%———18.18%
14.55%13.64%4.55%13.64%4.55%—40.91%
213.64%13.64%4.55%———31.82%
34.55%—————4.55%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total40.91%27.27%13.64%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.14 +0.32
SD 1.30 1.25 2.01
CV 0.89 1.10 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%4.55%————22.73%
19.09%4.55%————13.64%
24.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
44.55%9.09%————13.64%
5+13.64%4.55%———4.55%22.73%
Total54.55%31.82%9.09%——4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 0.45 +1.82
SD 2.14 0.74 2.15
CV 0.94 1.62 —
Max 7 2 +7
Min -1 -1 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%13.64%4.55%22.73%4.55%59.09%
19.09%—4.55%—13.64%4.55%31.82%
2——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%4.55%22.73%4.55%36.36%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.50 2.86 -2.36
SD 0.67 1.88 1.89
CV 1.35 0.66 —
Max 2 6 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—18.18%—4.55%—9.09%31.82%
1—4.55%18.18%4.55%9.09%4.55%40.91%
2—9.09%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
3———————
44.55%———4.55%—9.09%
5+———————
Total4.55%31.82%22.73%9.09%18.18%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 2.73 -1.59
SD 1.17 2.35 2.72
CV 1.03 0.86 —
Max 4 11 +4
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%9.09%———31.82%
1—13.64%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
29.09%9.09%————18.18%
34.55%—————4.55%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
Total22.73%45.45%22.73%4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.00 +0.32
SD 1.55 0.93 1.73
CV 1.18 0.93 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%18.18%4.55%—4.55%—45.45%
19.09%9.09%13.64%———31.82%
29.09%—4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
3———————
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total40.91%27.27%22.73%—9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.09 -0.23
SD 1.04 1.23 1.63
CV 1.20 1.13 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—18.18%4.55%—9.09%9.09%40.91%
19.09%4.55%18.18%———31.82%
24.55%4.55%————9.09%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%———4.55%—9.09%
5+—————4.55%4.55%
Total18.18%31.82%22.73%—13.64%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.86 -0.91
SD 1.33 2.01 2.56
CV 1.39 1.08 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min -1 -1 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%13.64%9.09%4.55%——40.91%
113.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%45.45%
24.55%—————4.55%
3———————
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+———————
Total36.36%27.27%13.64%9.09%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.45 -0.55
SD 1.15 1.63 2.09
CV 1.27 1.12 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%9.09%9.09%———36.36%
113.64%13.64%4.55%———31.82%
2—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4———————
5+—————4.55%4.55%
Total36.36%40.91%18.18%——4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 0.73 +0.18
SD 1.06 0.83 1.18
CV 1.17 1.14 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
122.73%9.09%————31.82%
29.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
3—13.64%————13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total50.00%40.91%9.09%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 0.59 +1.23
SD 1.50 0.67 1.63
CV 0.83 1.13 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%————13.64%
122.73%13.64%—4.55%——40.91%
213.64%9.09%————22.73%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total50.00%36.36%9.09%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 0.68 +1.14
SD 1.53 0.84 1.46
CV 0.84 1.23 —
Max 6 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Bugeac Comrat 1656 33 27.10 +5.90 97.0% 15 20 25 28 30 33 35
Zimbru 1617 35 29.73 +5.27 95.0% 20 24 27 30 32 35 38
Tiligul 1614 35 28.97 +6.03 97.0% 22 23 26 29 31 34 38
Agro Chisinau 1508 23 21.82 +1.18 68.0% 15 16 20 22 24 28 28
Amocom Chisinau 1443 25 23.62 +1.38 71.0% 15 17 21 24 26 30 33
Dinamo Chisinau 1393 21 23.00 -2.00 31.0% 13 17 21 23 26 28 30
Tighina Bender 1371 26 24.43 +1.57 75.0% 14 20 22 24 26 29 33
FC Zarya Beltsy 1329 17 17.62 -0.62 55.0% 8 12 15 17 20 24 26
Speranta Nisporeni 1247 17 18.76 -1.76 38.0% 11 12 16 18 21 25 28
Moldova Boroseni 1229 16 20.86 -4.86 7.0% 10 16 19 21 23 25 29
Cristalul Fleti 1087 9 15.05 -6.05 4.0% 7 10 13 14 17 21 23
Constructorul Leova 1004 7 13.04 -6.04 4.0% 5 8 11 13 15 18 22

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 10.5% * Clear Edge: 10.5% to 16% * Strong Edge: 16% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+22.73%
Strong Edge
49.24%24.24%26.52%
Elo Value
Home Edge
162 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
074.83500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.45 goals
Neutral
-2+0.46+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.37 * Comfortable: 0.37 to 0.52 * Runaway: 0.52 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.2
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
30%
Tiligul, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.76 * Some Luck: 2.76 to 4.14 * Lucky: 4.14 to 5.53 * Wild Swing: 5.53 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.19 * Close: 1.19 to 1.78 * Off: 1.78 to 2.37 * Way Off: 2.37 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.17 points
Lucky
03.459
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.67
Pinpoint
01.483
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.00%
Tiligul
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
4.00%
Cristalul Fleti
050
Season Outliers
Expected
4 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.23 * Even: 0.23 to 0.26 * Top-Heavy: 0.26 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.5 * Moderate Separation: 2.5 to 2.7 * Strong Separation: 2.7 to 2.95 * Wide Separation: 2.95 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 81% * Clear Edge: 81% to 85.5% * Wide Edge: 85.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 96% * Clear Edge: 96% to 98% * Strong Edge: 98% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17% * Occasional: 17% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.23
Even
00.230.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 208.30
2.30
Coin-Flip Parity
12.52.953.75
Interquartile Edge
84%
Clear Edge
50%72.5%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
98%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
58%
Frequent
0%48%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Frequent
0%28%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.47 * Slight Separation: 0.47 to 0.52 * Notable Separation: 0.52 to 0.56 * Lopsided: 0.56 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.75 * Strong Carryover: 0.75 to 0.84 * Near-Lock: 0.84 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 16.5% * Upset-Prone: 16.5% to 20% * Very Upset-Prone: 20% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 11.5% * As Expected: 11.5% to 13.5% * Shaky Favorites: 13.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.50
Slight Separation
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.50
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.44
Weak Carryover
00.570.751
Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Upset-Prone
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Very Shaky
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.30
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.11
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.105
Well Within Noise
00.1370.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Tiligul30.00%29.00%21.00%10.00%8.00%1.00%1.00%—————
Zimbru42.00%29.00%13.00%12.00%2.00%1.00%—1.00%————
Bugeac Comrat21.00%22.00%18.00%13.00%5.00%9.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%——
Tighina Bender3.00%4.00%17.00%18.00%15.00%21.00%10.00%9.00%2.00%—1.00%—
Amocom Chisinau3.00%8.00%10.00%14.00%17.00%18.00%12.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%—
Agro Chisinau—4.00%7.00%9.00%12.00%15.00%16.00%12.00%12.00%10.00%3.00%—
Dinamo Chisinau1.00%2.00%10.00%17.00%18.00%15.00%13.00%9.00%11.00%1.00%3.00%—
Speranta Nisporeni—1.00%4.00%2.00%6.00%3.00%13.00%12.00%16.00%24.00%13.00%6.00%
FC Zarya Beltsy———1.00%3.00%6.00%9.00%9.00%22.00%25.00%16.00%9.00%
Moldova Boroseni—1.00%—4.00%13.00%9.00%20.00%26.00%16.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%
Cristalul Fleti————1.00%2.00%2.00%6.00%10.00%18.00%34.00%27.00%
Constructorul Leova———————2.00%4.00%13.00%24.00%57.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Agro Chisinau 100% —
Amocom Chisinau 100% —
Bugeac Comrat 100% —
Dinamo Chisinau 100% —
Tighina Bender 100% —
Tiligul 100% —
Zimbru 100% —
Moldova Boroseni 99.00% 1.00%
Speranta Nisporeni 94.00% 6.00%
FC Zarya Beltsy 91.00% 9.00%
Cristalul Fleti 73.00% 27.00%
Constructorul Leova 43.00% 57.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1992-03-14 Tiligul W 2-038.5 1365 1365 51.54% 26.01% 22.46%+0.46 +26.9 2
1992-03-14 @ Dinamo Chisinau L 0-238.5 1365 1365 22.46% 26.01% 51.54%-0.46 -26.9 0
1992-03-15 Tighina Bender L 0-149.5 1365 1365 51.54% 26.01% 22.46%+0.46 -27.5 0
1992-03-15 @ FC Zarya Beltsy W 1-049.5 1365 1365 22.46% 26.01% 51.54%-0.46 +27.5 2
1992-03-15 Agro Chisinau W 3-036.8 1365 1365 51.54% 26.01% 22.46%+0.46 +39.0 2
1992-03-15 @ Bugeac Comrat L 0-336.8 1365 1365 22.46% 26.01% 51.54%-0.46 -39.1 0
1992-03-15 Cristalul Fleti W 1-040.7 1365 1365 51.54% 26.01% 22.46%+0.46 +14.3 2
1992-03-15 @ Moldova Boroseni L 0-140.7 1365 1365 22.46% 26.01% 51.54%-0.46 -14.3 0
1992-03-15 Amocom Chisinau L 0-247.2 1365 1365 51.54% 26.01% 22.46%+0.46 -51.8 0
1992-03-15 @ Constructorul Leova W 2-047.2 1365 1365 22.46% 26.01% 51.54%-0.46 +51.8 2
1992-03-15 Speranta Nisporeni W 2-037.9 1488 1365 62.53% 25.40% 12.07%+1.23 +16.0 2
1992-03-15 @ Zimbru L 0-237.9 1365 1488 12.07% 25.40% 62.53%-1.23 -16.0 0
1992-03-21 FC Zarya Beltsy W 2-036.6 1416 1337 59.15% 25.68% 15.17%+0.95 +19.5 4
1992-03-21 @ Amocom Chisinau L 0-236.6 1337 1416 15.17% 25.68% 59.15%-0.95 -19.5 0
1992-03-22 Dinamo Chisinau L 2-454.6 1350 1391 46.74% 26.09% 27.18%+0.21 -36.8 0
1992-03-22 @ Cristalul Fleti W 4-254.6 1391 1350 27.18% 26.09% 46.74%-0.21 +36.8 4
1992-03-22 Constructorul Leova W 4-033.8 1349 1313 55.25% 25.88% 18.87%+0.68 +44.3 2
1992-03-22 @ Speranta Nisporeni L 0-433.8 1313 1349 18.87% 25.88% 55.25%-0.68 -44.3 0
1992-03-22 Bugeac Comrat D 2-260.7 1392 1404 50.25% 26.03% 23.72%+0.39 -2.3 3
1992-03-22 @ Tighina Bender D 2-260.7 1404 1392 23.72% 26.03% 50.25%-0.39 +2.3 3
1992-03-22 Zimbru W 1-049.6 1338 1504 29.80% 25.96% 44.24%-0.57 +24.0 2
1992-03-22 @ Tiligul L 0-149.6 1504 1338 44.24% 25.96% 29.80%+0.57 -24.0 2
1992-03-28 Zimbru D 1-159.0 1428 1480 45.37% 26.10% 28.53%+0.14 -1.9 5
1992-03-28 @ Dinamo Chisinau D 1-159.0 1480 1428 28.53% 26.10% 45.37%-0.14 +1.9 3
1992-03-29 Speranta Nisporeni W 5-140.3 1406 1393 52.93% 25.97% 21.10%+0.54 +40.4 5
1992-03-29 @ Bugeac Comrat L 1-540.3 1393 1406 21.10% 25.97% 52.93%-0.54 -40.4 2
1992-03-29 Tiligul L 1-349.7 1313 1362 45.86% 26.09% 28.05%+0.16 -40.5 0
1992-03-29 @ Cristalul Fleti W 3-149.7 1362 1313 28.05% 26.09% 45.86%-0.16 +40.5 4
1992-03-29 Tighina Bender L 1-254.5 1379 1390 50.32% 26.03% 23.65%+0.39 -25.4 2
1992-03-29 @ Moldova Boroseni W 2-154.5 1390 1379 23.65% 26.03% 50.32%-0.39 +25.4 5
1992-03-29 FC Zarya Beltsy D 2-258.0 1268 1318 45.73% 26.10% 28.17%+0.16 -1.5 1
1992-03-29 @ Constructorul Leova D 2-258.0 1318 1268 28.17% 26.10% 45.73%-0.16 +1.5 1
1992-03-29 Agro Chisinau D 2-260.2 1436 1325 61.57% 25.49% 12.93%+1.14 -4.6 5
1992-03-29 @ Amocom Chisinau D 2-260.2 1325 1436 12.93% 25.49% 61.57%-1.14 +4.6 1
1992-04-04 Cristalul Fleti W 4-136.8 1482 1273 67.59% 24.70% 7.71%+1.75 +13.0 5
1992-04-04 @ Zimbru L 1-436.8 1273 1482 7.71% 24.70% 67.59%-1.75 -13.0 0
1992-04-05 Bugeac Comrat D 0-051.1 1319 1446 35.08% 26.06% 38.86%-0.32 +0.5 2
1992-04-05 @ FC Zarya Beltsy D 0-051.1 1446 1319 38.86% 26.06% 35.08%+0.32 -0.5 6
1992-04-05 Amocom Chisinau D 0-051.5 1352 1431 41.86% 26.11% 32.03%-0.02 -1.2 3
1992-04-05 @ Speranta Nisporeni D 0-051.5 1431 1352 32.03% 26.11% 41.86%+0.02 +1.2 6
1992-04-05 Agro Chisinau W 3-141.2 1415 1330 59.62% 25.65% 14.74%+0.99 +16.5 7
1992-04-05 @ Tighina Bender L 1-341.2 1330 1415 14.74% 25.65% 59.62%-0.99 -16.4 1
1992-04-05 Constructorul Leova W 4-136.7 1426 1267 64.85% 25.14% 10.02%+1.45 +16.5 7
1992-04-05 @ Dinamo Chisinau L 1-436.7 1267 1426 10.02% 25.14% 64.85%-1.45 -16.6 1
1992-04-11 Bugeac Comrat L 0-250.2 1432 1446 50.04% 26.04% 23.92%+0.38 -50.5 6
1992-04-11 @ Amocom Chisinau W 2-050.2 1446 1432 23.92% 26.04% 50.04%-0.38 +50.5 8
1992-04-12 Speranta Nisporeni W 4-141.7 1314 1351 47.17% 26.08% 26.75%+0.23 +37.8 3
1992-04-12 @ Agro Chisinau L 1-441.7 1351 1314 26.75% 26.08% 47.17%-0.23 -37.8 3
1992-04-12 Tiligul L 0-441.4 1320 1402 41.35% 26.11% 32.54%-0.05 -81.4 2
1992-04-12 @ FC Zarya Beltsy W 4-041.4 1402 1320 32.54% 26.11% 41.35%+0.05 +81.4 6
1992-04-12 Dinamo Chisinau D 1-155.9 1353 1443 40.42% 26.11% 33.48%-0.09 -0.8 3
1992-04-12 @ Moldova Boroseni D 1-155.9 1443 1353 33.48% 26.11% 40.42%+0.09 +0.8 8
1992-04-12 Zimbru L 0-140.4 1250 1495 20.88% 25.60% 53.52%-1.05 -13.4 1
1992-04-12 @ Constructorul Leova W 1-040.4 1495 1250 53.52% 25.60% 20.88%+1.05 +13.4 7
1992-04-12 Cristalul Fleti W 2-140.8 1432 1260 65.56% 25.04% 9.40%+1.52 +6.4 9
1992-04-12 @ Tighina Bender L 1-240.8 1260 1432 9.40% 25.04% 65.56%-1.52 -6.4 0
1992-04-15 Moldova Boroseni W 2-144.2 1484 1353 63.02% 25.35% 11.63%+1.27 +7.7 8
1992-04-15 @ Tiligul L 1-244.2 1353 1484 11.63% 25.35% 63.02%-1.27 -7.7 3
1992-04-18 Amocom Chisinau D 1-156.7 1444 1382 57.63% 25.77% 16.60%+0.84 -5.0 9
1992-04-18 @ Dinamo Chisinau D 1-156.7 1382 1444 16.60% 25.77% 57.63%-0.84 +5.0 7
1992-04-19 Tiligul L 0-156.9 1496 1491 52.09% 25.99% 21.92%+0.49 -27.8 8
1992-04-19 @ Bugeac Comrat W 1-056.9 1491 1496 21.92% 25.99% 52.09%-0.49 +27.8 10
1992-04-19 Constructorul Leova W 2-143.1 1254 1237 53.32% 25.95% 20.73%+0.56 +12.6 2
1992-04-19 @ Cristalul Fleti L 1-243.1 1237 1254 20.73% 25.95% 53.32%-0.56 -12.6 1
1992-04-19 FC Zarya Beltsy W 2-141.1 1345 1238 61.31% 25.52% 13.17%+1.12 +8.6 5
1992-04-19 @ Moldova Boroseni L 1-241.1 1238 1345 13.17% 25.52% 61.31%-1.12 -8.6 2
1992-04-19 Tighina Bender D 0-050.9 1313 1438 35.48% 26.07% 38.45%-0.31 +0.4 4
1992-04-19 @ Speranta Nisporeni D 0-050.9 1438 1313 38.45% 26.07% 35.48%+0.31 -0.4 10
1992-04-19 Agro Chisinau W 2-037.4 1509 1351 64.71% 25.15% 10.14%+1.43 +13.7 9
1992-04-19 @ Zimbru L 0-237.4 1351 1509 10.14% 25.15% 64.71%-1.43 -13.7 3
1992-04-22 Agro Chisinau D 1-153.1 1229 1338 37.78% 26.09% 36.13%-0.21 -0.2 3
1992-04-22 @ FC Zarya Beltsy D 1-153.1 1338 1229 36.13% 26.09% 37.78%+0.21 +0.2 4
1992-04-22 Amocom Chisinau L 1-248.6 1266 1387 35.99% 26.07% 37.93%-0.28 -19.3 2
1992-04-22 @ Cristalul Fleti W 2-148.6 1387 1266 37.93% 26.07% 35.99%+0.28 +19.3 9
1992-04-22 Bugeac Comrat L 0-434.7 1224 1469 20.93% 25.61% 53.46%-1.05 -47.9 1
1992-04-22 @ Constructorul Leova W 4-034.7 1469 1224 53.46% 25.61% 20.93%+1.05 +48.0 10
1992-04-22 Speranta Nisporeni W 1-038.1 1519 1314 67.39% 24.74% 7.87%+1.73 +5.7 12
1992-04-22 @ Tiligul L 0-138.1 1314 1519 7.87% 24.74% 67.39%-1.73 -5.7 4
1992-04-22 Tighina Bender L 1-257.6 1439 1438 51.65% 26.00% 22.35%+0.47 -26.0 9
1992-04-22 @ Dinamo Chisinau W 2-157.6 1438 1439 22.35% 26.00% 51.65%-0.47 +26.0 12
1992-04-22 Moldova Boroseni W 1-039.9 1522 1354 65.39% 25.06% 9.54%+1.50 +6.9 11
1992-04-22 @ Zimbru L 0-139.9 1354 1522 9.54% 25.06% 65.39%-1.50 -6.9 5
1992-04-25 Constructorul Leova W 6-132.4 1338 1176 64.97% 25.12% 9.91%+1.46 +25.9 6
1992-04-25 @ Agro Chisinau L 1-632.4 1176 1338 9.91% 25.12% 64.97%-1.46 -25.9 1
1992-04-25 Cristalul Fleti W 1-039.4 1229 1247 49.55% 26.05% 24.41%+0.35 +15.2 5
1992-04-25 @ FC Zarya Beltsy L 0-139.4 1247 1229 24.41% 26.05% 49.55%-0.35 -15.2 2
1992-04-25 Dinamo Chisinau W 1-043.0 1517 1413 61.09% 25.53% 13.37%+1.10 +9.3 12
1992-04-25 @ Bugeac Comrat L 0-143.0 1413 1517 13.37% 25.53% 61.09%-1.10 -9.3 9
1992-04-25 Speranta Nisporeni W 3-141.3 1347 1308 55.51% 25.87% 18.61%+0.70 +20.0 7
1992-04-25 @ Moldova Boroseni L 1-341.3 1308 1347 18.61% 25.87% 55.51%-0.70 -20.0 4
1992-04-25 Zimbru D 1-162.0 1464 1529 43.63% 26.11% 30.26%+0.06 -1.5 13
1992-04-25 @ Tighina Bender D 1-162.0 1529 1464 30.26% 26.11% 43.63%-0.06 +1.5 12
1992-04-25 Tiligul D 1-159.8 1406 1525 36.33% 26.08% 37.59%-0.27 +0.1 10
1992-04-25 @ Amocom Chisinau D 1-159.8 1525 1406 37.59% 26.08% 36.33%+0.27 -0.1 13
1992-05-02 Dinamo Chisinau L 0-246.5 1364 1403 46.93% 26.08% 26.98%+0.22 -47.7 6
1992-05-02 @ Agro Chisinau W 2-046.5 1403 1364 26.98% 26.08% 46.93%-0.22 +47.7 11
1992-05-03 Cristalul Fleti W 5-030.0 1526 1232 71.28% 23.79% 4.93%+2.28 +16.0 14
1992-05-03 @ Bugeac Comrat L 0-530.0 1232 1526 4.93% 23.79% 71.28%-2.28 -16.0 2
1992-05-03 Moldova Boroseni W 1-047.2 1151 1367 23.88% 25.76% 50.36%-0.87 +26.8 3
1992-05-03 @ Constructorul Leova L 0-147.2 1367 1151 50.36% 25.76% 23.88%+0.87 -26.8 7
1992-05-03 FC Zarya Beltsy W 1-037.7 1288 1245 55.98% 25.85% 18.17%+0.73 +12.0 6
1992-05-03 @ Speranta Nisporeni L 0-137.7 1245 1288 18.17% 25.85% 55.98%-0.73 -12.0 5
1992-05-03 Tighina Bender W 2-043.9 1525 1462 57.72% 25.77% 16.51%+0.85 +20.9 15
1992-05-03 @ Tiligul L 0-243.9 1462 1525 16.51% 25.77% 57.72%-0.85 -20.9 13
1992-05-03 Zimbru L 1-254.8 1406 1531 35.54% 26.07% 38.39%-0.30 -19.1 10
1992-05-03 @ Amocom Chisinau W 2-154.8 1531 1406 38.39% 26.07% 35.54%+0.30 +19.1 14
1992-05-06 Speranta Nisporeni L 1-445.1 1216 1300 41.11% 26.11% 32.79%-0.06 -52.3 2
1992-05-06 @ Cristalul Fleti W 4-145.1 1300 1216 32.79% 26.11% 41.11%+0.06 +52.3 8
1992-05-06 Amocom Chisinau L 1-252.5 1340 1387 45.94% 26.09% 27.96%+0.17 -23.4 7
1992-05-06 @ Moldova Boroseni W 2-152.5 1387 1340 27.96% 26.09% 45.94%-0.17 +23.4 12
1992-05-06 Constructorul Leova W 3-030.0 1441 1177 70.08% 24.14% 5.78%+2.09 +11.7 15
1992-05-06 @ Tighina Bender L 0-330.0 1177 1441 5.78% 24.14% 70.08%-2.09 -11.7 3
1992-05-06 Agro Chisinau W 5-137.3 1546 1316 68.57% 24.50% 6.93%+1.88 +15.2 17
1992-05-06 @ Tiligul L 1-537.3 1316 1546 6.93% 24.50% 68.57%-1.88 -15.1 6
1992-05-06 FC Zarya Beltsy D 0-050.4 1451 1233 68.05% 24.61% 7.34%+1.81 -9.0 12
1992-05-06 @ Dinamo Chisinau D 0-050.4 1233 1451 7.34% 24.61% 68.05%-1.81 +9.0 6
1992-05-06 Bugeac Comrat D 0-061.5 1550 1542 52.38% 25.98% 21.63%+0.51 -4.1 15
1992-05-06 @ Zimbru D 0-061.5 1542 1550 21.63% 25.98% 52.38%-0.51 +4.1 15
1992-05-09 Tighina Bender D 1-157.6 1411 1453 46.63% 26.09% 27.28%+0.20 -2.2 13
1992-05-09 @ Amocom Chisinau D 1-157.6 1453 1411 27.28% 26.09% 46.63%-0.20 +2.2 16
1992-05-10 Cristalul Fleti D 2-257.8 1301 1163 63.47% 25.30% 11.23%+1.31 -5.0 7
1992-05-10 @ Agro Chisinau D 2-257.8 1163 1301 11.23% 25.30% 63.47%-1.31 +5.0 3
1992-05-10 Zimbru L 1-244.2 1241 1546 15.61% 25.19% 59.19%-1.41 -9.9 6
1992-05-10 @ FC Zarya Beltsy W 2-144.2 1546 1241 59.19% 25.19% 15.61%+1.41 +9.9 17
1992-05-10 Dinamo Chisinau L 1-546.1 1352 1442 40.38% 26.11% 33.51%-0.09 -66.6 8
1992-05-10 @ Speranta Nisporeni W 5-146.1 1442 1352 33.51% 26.11% 40.38%+0.09 +66.6 14
1992-05-13 Bugeac Comrat D 0-053.0 1296 1546 20.38% 25.57% 54.05%-1.08 +4.5 8
1992-05-13 @ Agro Chisinau D 0-053.0 1546 1296 54.05% 25.57% 20.38%+1.08 -4.5 16
1992-05-13 Moldova Boroseni D 4-463.2 1168 1316 32.23% 26.02% 41.76%-0.45 +0.6 4
1992-05-13 @ Cristalul Fleti D 4-463.2 1316 1168 41.76% 26.02% 32.23%+0.45 -0.6 8
1992-05-13 Zimbru L 0-141.7 1286 1555 18.51% 25.45% 56.04%-1.20 -12.1 8
1992-05-13 @ Speranta Nisporeni W 1-041.7 1555 1286 56.04% 25.45% 18.51%+1.20 +12.1 19
1992-05-13 FC Zarya Beltsy L 0-153.5 1455 1232 68.29% 24.56% 7.15%+1.84 -36.5 16
1992-05-13 @ Tighina Bender W 1-053.5 1232 1455 7.15% 24.56% 68.29%-1.84 +36.5 8
1992-05-13 Dinamo Chisinau W 3-152.0 1561 1509 56.77% 25.82% 17.41%+0.78 +18.9 19
1992-05-13 @ Tiligul L 1-352.0 1509 1561 17.41% 25.82% 56.77%-0.78 -18.9 14
1992-05-13 Constructorul Leova W 2-031.7 1409 1166 69.19% 24.36% 6.45%+1.96 +8.9 15
1992-05-13 @ Amocom Chisinau L 0-231.7 1166 1409 6.45% 24.36% 69.19%-1.96 -8.9 3
1992-05-17 Amocom Chisinau L 0-143.0 1268 1418 32.05% 26.01% 41.93%-0.46 -18.8 8
1992-05-17 @ FC Zarya Beltsy W 1-043.0 1418 1268 41.93% 26.01% 32.05%+0.46 +18.8 17
1992-05-17 Tighina Bender W 1-043.7 1541 1418 62.47% 25.41% 12.12%+1.22 +8.5 18
1992-05-17 @ Bugeac Comrat L 0-143.7 1418 1541 12.12% 25.41% 62.47%-1.22 -8.5 16
1992-05-17 Agro Chisinau L 1-253.4 1316 1300 53.18% 25.96% 20.86%+0.56 -26.7 8
1992-05-17 @ Moldova Boroseni W 2-153.4 1300 1316 20.86% 25.96% 53.18%-0.56 +26.7 10
1992-05-17 Speranta Nisporeni L 0-240.7 1157 1274 36.54% 26.08% 37.38%-0.26 -39.0 3
1992-05-17 @ Constructorul Leova W 2-040.7 1274 1157 37.38% 26.08% 36.54%+0.26 +39.0 10
1992-05-17 Cristalul Fleti W 2-138.4 1490 1169 72.25% 23.47% 4.28%+2.44 +3.0 16
1992-05-17 @ Dinamo Chisinau L 1-238.4 1169 1490 4.28% 23.47% 72.25%-2.44 -3.0 4
1992-05-17 Tiligul W 1-053.9 1568 1580 50.19% 26.04% 23.78%+0.39 +14.9 21
1992-05-17 @ Zimbru L 0-153.9 1580 1568 23.78% 26.04% 50.19%-0.39 -14.9 19
1992-05-22 Moldova Boroseni W 4-033.4 1327 1289 55.45% 25.88% 18.67%+0.70 +43.9 12
1992-05-22 @ Agro Chisinau L 0-433.4 1289 1327 18.67% 25.88% 55.45%-0.70 -44.0 8
1992-05-23 Amocom Chisinau W 3-147.2 1371 1436 43.68% 26.11% 30.21%+0.06 +29.3 14
1992-05-23 @ Agro Chisinau L 1-347.2 1436 1371 30.21% 26.11% 43.68%-0.06 -29.3 17
1992-05-24 Constructorul Leova W 4-030.2 1249 1118 63.07% 25.35% 11.58%+1.27 +29.2 10
1992-05-24 @ FC Zarya Beltsy L 0-430.2 1118 1249 11.58% 25.35% 63.07%-1.27 -29.2 3
1992-05-24 Bugeac Comrat D 1-157.7 1313 1550 21.65% 25.65% 52.71%-1.00 +3.7 11
1992-05-24 @ Speranta Nisporeni D 1-157.7 1550 1313 52.71% 25.65% 21.65%+1.00 -3.7 19
1992-05-24 Moldova Boroseni W 1-035.7 1410 1245 65.17% 25.09% 9.74%+1.48 +7.0 18
1992-05-24 @ Tighina Bender L 0-135.7 1245 1410 9.74% 25.09% 65.17%-1.48 -7.0 8
1992-05-24 Cristalul Fleti W 2-138.6 1565 1166 74.71% 22.44% 2.85%+2.92 +2.0 21
1992-05-24 @ Tiligul L 1-238.6 1166 1565 2.85% 22.44% 74.71%-2.92 -2.0 4
1992-05-24 Dinamo Chisinau W 2-046.4 1582 1493 60.00% 25.62% 14.38%+1.02 +18.6 23
1992-05-24 @ Zimbru L 0-246.4 1493 1582 14.38% 25.62% 60.00%-1.02 -18.6 16
1992-05-27 Tighina Bender D 1-156.4 1400 1417 49.68% 26.05% 24.27%+0.36 -3.0 15
1992-05-27 @ Agro Chisinau D 1-156.4 1417 1400 24.27% 26.05% 49.68%-0.36 +3.0 19
1992-05-27 FC Zarya Beltsy D 0-053.0 1546 1279 70.24% 24.09% 5.66%+2.11 -9.6 20
1992-05-27 @ Bugeac Comrat D 0-053.0 1279 1546 5.66% 24.09% 70.24%-2.11 +9.6 11
1992-05-27 Zimbru L 0-136.4 1164 1601 7.90% 23.90% 68.20%-2.24 -5.6 4
1992-05-27 @ Cristalul Fleti W 1-036.4 1601 1164 68.20% 23.90% 7.90%+2.24 +5.6 25
1992-05-27 Tiligul L 0-139.3 1238 1567 13.82% 25.00% 61.19%-1.56 -9.4 8
1992-05-27 @ Moldova Boroseni W 1-039.3 1567 1238 61.19% 25.00% 13.82%+1.56 +9.4 23
1992-05-27 Dinamo Chisinau W 1-051.5 1088 1474 10.31% 24.46% 65.23%-1.92 +34.5 5
1992-05-27 @ Constructorul Leova L 0-151.5 1474 1088 65.23% 24.46% 10.31%+1.92 -34.5 16
1992-05-27 Speranta Nisporeni W 2-142.8 1407 1316 60.06% 25.62% 14.32%+1.02 +9.3 19
1992-05-27 @ Amocom Chisinau L 1-242.8 1316 1407 14.32% 25.62% 60.06%-1.02 -9.3 11
1992-05-30 Moldova Boroseni L 0-153.1 1440 1229 67.67% 24.68% 7.65%+1.76 -36.2 16
1992-05-30 @ Dinamo Chisinau W 1-053.1 1229 1440 7.65% 24.68% 67.67%-1.76 +36.2 10
1992-05-31 Amocom Chisinau W 4-143.9 1537 1416 62.29% 25.43% 12.28%+1.20 +19.9 22
1992-05-31 @ Bugeac Comrat L 1-443.9 1416 1537 12.28% 25.43% 62.29%-1.20 -19.9 19
1992-05-31 Tighina Bender W 2-153.7 1158 1420 19.26% 25.50% 55.24%-1.15 +27.6 6
1992-05-31 @ Cristalul Fleti L 1-253.7 1420 1158 55.24% 25.50% 19.26%+1.15 -27.6 19
1992-05-31 Agro Chisinau W 1-043.8 1307 1398 40.28% 26.11% 33.61%-0.10 +19.5 13
1992-05-31 @ Speranta Nisporeni L 0-143.8 1398 1307 33.61% 26.11% 40.28%+0.10 -19.5 15
1992-05-31 FC Zarya Beltsy W 1-037.9 1576 1288 71.04% 23.86% 5.09%+2.24 +3.8 25
1992-05-31 @ Tiligul L 0-137.9 1288 1576 5.09% 23.86% 71.04%-2.24 -3.8 11
1992-05-31 Constructorul Leova W 6-233.8 1607 1123 76.98% 21.19% 1.83%+3.45 +3.3 27
1992-05-31 @ Zimbru L 2-633.8 1123 1607 1.83% 21.19% 76.98%-3.45 -3.3 5
1992-06-03 Zimbru D 1-162.0 1378 1610 22.19% 25.68% 52.13%-0.97 +3.5 16
1992-06-03 @ Agro Chisinau D 1-162.0 1610 1378 52.13% 25.68% 22.19%+0.97 -3.5 28
1992-06-03 Moldova Boroseni W 2-036.2 1284 1265 53.60% 25.95% 20.45%+0.58 +25.0 13
1992-06-03 @ FC Zarya Beltsy L 0-236.2 1265 1284 20.45% 25.95% 53.60%-0.58 -24.9 10
1992-06-03 Cristalul Fleti L 0-439.9 1120 1186 43.54% 26.11% 30.35%+0.05 -84.9 5
1992-06-03 @ Constructorul Leova W 4-039.9 1186 1120 30.35% 26.11% 43.54%-0.05 +84.9 8
1992-06-03 Speranta Nisporeni W 1-038.7 1392 1327 58.00% 25.75% 16.25%+0.87 +11.0 21
1992-06-03 @ Tighina Bender L 0-138.7 1327 1392 16.25% 25.75% 58.00%-0.87 -10.9 13
1992-06-03 Bugeac Comrat D 2-271.9 1580 1556 54.01% 25.93% 20.06%+0.61 -3.0 26
1992-06-03 @ Tiligul D 2-271.9 1556 1580 20.06% 25.93% 54.01%-0.61 +3.0 23
1992-06-03 Dinamo Chisinau D 0-051.9 1396 1403 50.75% 26.02% 23.22%+0.42 -3.6 20
1992-06-03 @ Amocom Chisinau D 0-051.9 1403 1396 23.22% 26.02% 50.75%-0.42 +3.6 17
1992-06-07 Dinamo Chisinau FW49.8 1403 1407 51.12% 26.01% 22.86%+0.44 +0.0 23
1992-06-07 @ Tighina Bender FL49.8 1407 1403 22.86% 26.01% 51.12%-0.44 +0.0 17
1992-06-07 FC Zarya Beltsy W 2-142.8 1382 1309 58.55% 25.72% 15.73%+0.91 +10.0 18
1992-06-07 @ Agro Chisinau L 1-242.8 1309 1382 15.73% 25.72% 58.55%-0.91 -10.0 13
1992-06-07 Constructorul Leova W 4-131.9 1559 1035 77.96% 20.56% 1.48%+3.70 +2.4 25
1992-06-07 @ Bugeac Comrat L 1-431.9 1035 1559 1.48% 20.56% 77.96%-3.70 -2.4 5
1992-06-07 Zimbru L 0-434.5 1240 1606 11.39% 24.65% 63.97%-1.80 -28.3 10
1992-06-07 @ Moldova Boroseni W 4-034.5 1606 1240 63.97% 24.65% 11.39%+1.80 +28.3 30
1992-06-07 Tiligul D 1-158.7 1316 1577 19.29% 25.50% 55.20%-1.15 +4.3 14
1992-06-07 @ Speranta Nisporeni D 1-158.7 1577 1316 55.20% 25.50% 19.29%+1.15 -4.3 27
1992-06-07 Cristalul Fleti W 3-032.7 1393 1271 62.40% 25.42% 12.18%+1.21 +23.4 22
1992-06-07 @ Amocom Chisinau L 0-332.7 1271 1393 12.18% 25.42% 62.40%-1.21 -23.4 8
1992-06-10 Moldova Boroseni W 7-030.1 1562 1212 73.23% 23.10% 3.67%+2.62 +16.4 27
1992-06-10 @ Bugeac Comrat L 0-730.1 1212 1562 3.67% 23.10% 73.23%-2.62 -16.4 10
1992-06-10 Tiligul L 0-527.8 1032 1572 4.63% 22.59% 72.78%-2.87 -14.6 5
1992-06-10 @ Constructorul Leova W 5-027.8 1572 1032 72.78% 22.59% 4.63%+2.87 +14.6 29
1992-06-13 Tighina Bender D 0-060.1 1635 1403 68.67% 24.48% 6.85%+1.89 -9.1 31
1992-06-13 @ Zimbru D 0-060.1 1403 1635 6.85% 24.48% 68.67%-1.89 +9.2 24
1992-06-14 FC Zarya Beltsy D 1-153.0 1247 1299 45.39% 26.10% 28.51%+0.14 -1.9 9
1992-06-14 @ Cristalul Fleti D 1-153.0 1299 1247 28.51% 26.10% 45.39%-0.14 +1.9 14
1992-06-14 Agro Chisinau L 1-435.3 1018 1392 10.96% 24.58% 64.46%-1.84 -17.7 5
1992-06-14 @ Constructorul Leova W 4-135.3 1392 1018 64.46% 24.58% 10.96%+1.84 +17.7 20
1992-06-14 Moldova Boroseni L 0-248.6 1320 1195 62.59% 25.40% 12.02%+1.23 -62.8 14
1992-06-14 @ Speranta Nisporeni W 2-048.6 1195 1320 12.02% 25.40% 62.59%-1.23 +62.8 12
1992-06-14 Amocom Chisinau W 3-147.0 1587 1416 65.53% 25.04% 9.43%+1.52 +11.1 31
1992-06-14 @ Tiligul L 1-347.0 1416 1587 9.43% 25.04% 65.53%-1.52 -11.1 22
1992-06-14 Bugeac Comrat L 1-254.6 1407 1578 29.22% 25.95% 44.84%-0.59 -16.5 17
1992-06-14 @ Dinamo Chisinau W 2-154.6 1578 1407 44.84% 25.95% 29.22%+0.59 +16.5 29
1992-06-17 Speranta Nisporeni D 0-049.0 1301 1257 56.04% 25.85% 18.11%+0.73 -5.1 15
1992-06-17 @ FC Zarya Beltsy D 0-049.0 1257 1301 18.11% 25.85% 56.04%-0.73 +5.1 15
1992-06-17 Bugeac Comrat L 0-534.4 1246 1595 12.43% 24.81% 62.75%-1.69 -37.8 9
1992-06-17 @ Cristalul Fleti W 5-034.4 1595 1246 62.75% 24.81% 12.43%+1.69 +37.8 31
1992-06-17 Constructorul Leova W 4-028.1 1258 1000 69.84% 24.20% 5.96%+2.05 +15.7 14
1992-06-17 @ Moldova Boroseni L 0-428.1 1000 1258 5.96% 24.20% 69.84%-2.05 -15.7 5
1992-06-17 Tiligul L 0-248.1 1412 1598 27.41% 25.89% 46.69%-0.68 -31.4 24
1992-06-17 @ Tighina Bender W 2-048.1 1598 1412 46.69% 25.89% 27.41%+0.68 +31.3 33
1992-06-17 Agro Chisinau W 2-147.4 1391 1409 49.42% 26.05% 24.53%+0.35 +14.4 19
1992-06-17 @ Dinamo Chisinau L 1-247.4 1409 1391 24.53% 26.05% 49.42%-0.35 -14.4 20
1992-06-17 Amocom Chisinau W 3-147.2 1626 1405 68.15% 24.59% 7.26%+1.82 +8.7 33
1992-06-17 @ Zimbru L 1-347.2 1405 1626 7.26% 24.59% 68.15%-1.82 -8.7 22
1992-06-20 Tiligul D 0-059.2 1395 1630 21.91% 25.66% 52.43%-0.99 +4.0 21
1992-06-20 @ Agro Chisinau D 0-059.2 1630 1395 52.43% 25.66% 21.91%+0.99 -4.0 34
1992-06-21 Dinamo Chisinau W 2-042.3 1296 1405 37.70% 26.09% 36.21%-0.21 +38.8 17
1992-06-21 @ FC Zarya Beltsy L 0-242.3 1405 1296 36.21% 26.09% 37.70%+0.21 -38.8 19
1992-06-21 Zimbru W 3-158.8 1632 1634 51.34% 26.01% 22.65%+0.45 +23.5 33
1992-06-21 @ Bugeac Comrat L 1-358.8 1634 1632 22.65% 26.01% 51.34%-0.45 -23.4 33
1992-06-21 Tighina Bender D 0-048.9 984 1381 9.75% 24.34% 65.91%-1.99 +8.1 6
1992-06-21 @ Constructorul Leova D 0-048.9 1381 984 65.91% 24.34% 9.75%+1.99 -8.1 25
1992-06-21 Cristalul Fleti W 1-037.2 1262 1208 57.00% 25.80% 17.20%+0.80 +11.5 17
1992-06-21 @ Speranta Nisporeni L 0-137.2 1208 1262 17.20% 25.80% 57.00%-0.80 -11.5 9
1992-06-21 Moldova Boroseni W 6-031.6 1396 1274 62.44% 25.41% 12.15%+1.22 +44.6 24
1992-06-21 @ Amocom Chisinau L 0-631.6 1274 1396 12.15% 25.41% 62.44%-1.22 -44.6 14
1992-06-23 Bugeac Comrat FW52.4 1229 1656 8.34% 24.02% 67.64%-2.17 +0.0 16
1992-06-23 @ Moldova Boroseni FL52.4 1656 1229 67.64% 24.02% 8.34%+2.17 +0.0 33
1992-06-23 Agro Chisinau L 1-1136.3 1196 1399 25.41% 25.82% 48.76%-0.79 -109.5 9
1992-06-23 @ Cristalul Fleti W 11-136.3 1399 1196 48.76% 25.82% 25.41%+0.79 +109.5 23
1992-06-23 Amocom Chisinau D 0-052.2 1373 1441 43.30% 26.11% 30.59%+0.04 -1.6 26
1992-06-23 @ Tighina Bender D 0-052.2 1441 1373 30.59% 26.11% 43.30%-0.04 +1.6 25
1992-06-23 Constructorul Leova D 0-051.5 1626 993 80.35% 18.81% 0.84%+4.37 -11.7 35
1992-06-23 @ Tiligul D 0-051.5 993 1626 0.84% 18.81% 80.35%-4.37 +11.7 7
1992-06-23 Speranta Nisporeni W 3-033.1 1366 1274 60.21% 25.60% 14.19%+1.03 +26.7 21
1992-06-23 @ Dinamo Chisinau L 0-333.1 1274 1366 14.19% 25.60% 60.21%-1.03 -26.7 17
1992-06-23 FC Zarya Beltsy W 4-247.0 1611 1335 70.58% 24.00% 5.42%+2.16 +5.8 35
1992-06-23 @ Zimbru L 2-447.0 1335 1611 5.42% 24.00% 70.58%-2.16 -5.8 17

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1992-05-13 7.15% FC Zarya Beltsy 1232 1 @ Tighina Bender 1455 0
2 1992-05-30 7.65% Moldova Boroseni 1229 1 @ Dinamo Chisinau 1440 0
3 1992-05-27 10.31% @ Constructorul Leova 1088 1 Dinamo Chisinau 1474 0
4 1992-06-14 12.02% Moldova Boroseni 1195 2 @ Speranta Nisporeni 1320 0
5 1992-05-31 19.26% @ Cristalul Fleti 1158 2 Tighina Bender 1420 1
6 1992-05-17 20.86% Agro Chisinau 1300 2 @ Moldova Boroseni 1316 1
7 1992-04-19 21.92% Tiligul 1491 1 @ Bugeac Comrat 1496 0
8 1992-04-22 22.35% Tighina Bender 1438 2 @ Dinamo Chisinau 1439 1
9 1992-03-15 22.46% Tighina Bender 1365 1 @ FC Zarya Beltsy 1365 0
10 1992-03-15 22.46% Amocom Chisinau 1365 2 @ Constructorul Leova 1365 0
11 1992-03-29 23.65% Tighina Bender 1390 2 @ Moldova Boroseni 1379 1
12 1992-05-03 23.88% @ Constructorul Leova 1151 1 Moldova Boroseni 1367 0
13 1992-04-11 23.92% Bugeac Comrat 1446 2 @ Amocom Chisinau 1432 0
14 1992-05-02 26.98% Dinamo Chisinau 1403 2 @ Agro Chisinau 1364 0
15 1992-03-22 27.18% Dinamo Chisinau 1391 4 @ Cristalul Fleti 1350 2
16 1992-05-06 27.96% Amocom Chisinau 1387 2 @ Moldova Boroseni 1340 1
17 1992-03-29 28.05% Tiligul 1362 3 @ Cristalul Fleti 1313 1
18 1992-03-22 29.80% @ Tiligul 1338 1 Zimbru 1504 0
19 1992-06-03 30.35% Cristalul Fleti 1186 4 @ Constructorul Leova 1120 0
20 1992-04-12 32.54% Tiligul 1402 4 @ FC Zarya Beltsy 1320 0
21 1992-05-06 32.79% Speranta Nisporeni 1300 4 @ Cristalul Fleti 1216 1
22 1992-05-10 33.51% Dinamo Chisinau 1442 5 @ Speranta Nisporeni 1352 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1992-06-23 109.54 Agro Chisinau 11 1399 48.76% @ Cristalul Fleti 1 1196 25.41% 25.82%
2 1992-06-03 84.90 Cristalul Fleti 4 1186 30.35% @ Constructorul Leova 0 1120 43.54% 26.11%
3 1992-04-12 81.43 Tiligul 4 1402 32.54% @ FC Zarya Beltsy 0 1320 41.35% 26.11%
4 1992-05-10 66.60 Dinamo Chisinau 5 1442 33.51% @ Speranta Nisporeni 1 1352 40.38% 26.11%
5 1992-06-14 62.82 Moldova Boroseni 2 1195 12.02% @ Speranta Nisporeni 0 1320 62.59% 25.40%
6 1992-05-06 52.32 Speranta Nisporeni 4 1300 32.79% @ Cristalul Fleti 1 1216 41.11% 26.11%
7 1992-03-15 51.84 Amocom Chisinau 2 1365 22.46% @ Constructorul Leova 0 1365 51.54% 26.01%
8 1992-04-11 50.46 Bugeac Comrat 2 1446 23.92% @ Amocom Chisinau 0 1432 50.04% 26.04%
9 1992-04-22 47.95 Bugeac Comrat 4 1469 53.46% @ Constructorul Leova 0 1224 20.93% 25.61%
10 1992-05-02 47.68 Dinamo Chisinau 2 1403 26.98% @ Agro Chisinau 0 1364 46.93% 26.08%
11 1992-06-21 44.61 @ Amocom Chisinau 6 1396 62.44% Moldova Boroseni 0 1274 12.15% 25.41%
12 1992-03-22 44.33 @ Speranta Nisporeni 4 1349 55.25% Constructorul Leova 0 1313 18.87% 25.88%
13 1992-05-22 43.95 @ Agro Chisinau 4 1327 55.45% Moldova Boroseni 0 1289 18.67% 25.88%
14 1992-03-29 40.47 Tiligul 3 1362 28.05% @ Cristalul Fleti 1 1313 45.86% 26.09%
15 1992-03-29 40.45 @ Bugeac Comrat 5 1406 52.93% Speranta Nisporeni 1 1393 21.10% 25.97%
16 1992-03-15 39.06 @ Bugeac Comrat 3 1365 51.54% Agro Chisinau 0 1365 22.46% 26.01%
17 1992-05-17 39.04 Speranta Nisporeni 2 1274 37.38% @ Constructorul Leova 0 1157 36.54% 26.08%
18 1992-06-21 38.78 @ FC Zarya Beltsy 2 1296 37.70% Dinamo Chisinau 0 1405 36.21% 26.09%
19 1992-06-17 37.80 Bugeac Comrat 5 1595 62.75% @ Cristalul Fleti 0 1246 12.43% 24.81%
20 1992-04-12 37.77 @ Agro Chisinau 4 1314 47.17% Speranta Nisporeni 1 1351 26.75% 26.08%
21 1992-03-22 36.80 Dinamo Chisinau 4 1391 27.18% @ Cristalul Fleti 2 1350 46.74% 26.09%
22 1992-05-13 36.52 FC Zarya Beltsy 1 1232 7.15% @ Tighina Bender 0 1455 68.29% 24.56%
23 1992-05-30 36.17 Moldova Boroseni 1 1229 7.65% @ Dinamo Chisinau 0 1440 67.67% 24.68%
24 1992-05-27 34.52 @ Constructorul Leova 1 1088 10.31% Dinamo Chisinau 0 1474 65.23% 24.46%
25 1992-06-17 31.35 Tiligul 2 1598 46.69% @ Tighina Bender 0 1412 27.41% 25.89%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1992-06-03 71.9 @ Tiligul 2 1580 54.01% Bugeac Comrat 2 1556 20.06% 25.93%
2 1992-05-13 63.2 @ Cristalul Fleti 4 1168 32.23% Moldova Boroseni 4 1316 41.76% 26.02%
3 1992-04-25 62.0 @ Tighina Bender 1 1464 43.63% Zimbru 1 1529 30.26% 26.11%
4 1992-06-03 62.0 @ Agro Chisinau 1 1378 22.19% Zimbru 1 1610 52.13% 25.68%
5 1992-05-06 61.5 @ Zimbru 0 1550 52.38% Bugeac Comrat 0 1542 21.63% 25.98%
6 1992-03-22 60.7 @ Tighina Bender 2 1392 50.25% Bugeac Comrat 2 1404 23.72% 26.03%
7 1992-03-29 60.2 @ Amocom Chisinau 2 1436 61.57% Agro Chisinau 2 1325 12.93% 25.49%
8 1992-06-13 60.1 @ Zimbru 0 1635 68.67% Tighina Bender 0 1403 6.85% 24.48%
9 1992-04-25 59.8 @ Amocom Chisinau 1 1406 36.33% Tiligul 1 1525 37.59% 26.08%
10 1992-06-20 59.2 @ Agro Chisinau 0 1395 21.91% Tiligul 0 1630 52.43% 25.66%
11 1992-03-28 59.0 @ Dinamo Chisinau 1 1428 45.37% Zimbru 1 1480 28.53% 26.10%
12 1992-06-21 58.8 @ Bugeac Comrat 3 1632 51.34% Zimbru 1 1634 22.65% 26.01%
13 1992-06-07 58.7 @ Speranta Nisporeni 1 1316 19.29% Tiligul 1 1577 55.20% 25.50%
14 1992-03-29 58.0 @ Constructorul Leova 2 1268 45.73% FC Zarya Beltsy 2 1318 28.17% 26.10%
15 1992-05-10 57.8 @ Agro Chisinau 2 1301 63.47% Cristalul Fleti 2 1163 11.23% 25.30%
16 1992-05-24 57.7 @ Speranta Nisporeni 1 1313 21.65% Bugeac Comrat 1 1550 52.71% 25.65%
17 1992-04-22 57.6 Tighina Bender 2 1438 22.35% @ Dinamo Chisinau 1 1439 51.65% 26.00%
18 1992-05-09 57.6 @ Amocom Chisinau 1 1411 46.63% Tighina Bender 1 1453 27.28% 26.09%
19 1992-04-19 56.9 Tiligul 1 1491 21.92% @ Bugeac Comrat 0 1496 52.09% 25.99%
20 1992-04-18 56.7 @ Dinamo Chisinau 1 1444 57.63% Amocom Chisinau 1 1382 16.60% 25.77%
21 1992-05-27 56.4 @ Agro Chisinau 1 1400 49.68% Tighina Bender 1 1417 24.27% 26.05%
22 1992-04-12 55.9 @ Moldova Boroseni 1 1353 40.42% Dinamo Chisinau 1 1443 33.48% 26.11%
23 1992-05-03 54.8 Zimbru 2 1531 38.39% @ Amocom Chisinau 1 1406 35.54% 26.07%
24 1992-03-22 54.6 Dinamo Chisinau 4 1391 27.18% @ Cristalul Fleti 2 1350 46.74% 26.09%
25 1992-06-14 54.6 Bugeac Comrat 2 1578 44.84% @ Dinamo Chisinau 1 1407 29.22% 25.95%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1992-06-10 27.8 Tiligul 5 1572 72.78% @ Constructorul Leova 0 1032 4.63% 22.59%
2 1992-06-17 28.1 @ Moldova Boroseni 4 1258 69.84% Constructorul Leova 0 1000 5.96% 24.20%
3 1992-05-03 30.0 @ Bugeac Comrat 5 1526 71.28% Cristalul Fleti 0 1232 4.93% 23.79%
4 1992-05-06 30.0 @ Tighina Bender 3 1441 70.08% Constructorul Leova 0 1177 5.78% 24.14%
5 1992-06-10 30.1 @ Bugeac Comrat 7 1562 73.23% Moldova Boroseni 0 1212 3.67% 23.10%
6 1992-05-24 30.2 @ FC Zarya Beltsy 4 1249 63.07% Constructorul Leova 0 1118 11.58% 25.35%
7 1992-06-21 31.6 @ Amocom Chisinau 6 1396 62.44% Moldova Boroseni 0 1274 12.15% 25.41%
8 1992-05-13 31.7 @ Amocom Chisinau 2 1409 69.19% Constructorul Leova 0 1166 6.45% 24.36%
9 1992-06-07 31.9 @ Bugeac Comrat 4 1559 77.96% Constructorul Leova 1 1035 1.48% 20.56%
10 1992-04-25 32.4 @ Agro Chisinau 6 1338 64.97% Constructorul Leova 1 1176 9.91% 25.12%
11 1992-06-07 32.7 @ Amocom Chisinau 3 1393 62.40% Cristalul Fleti 0 1271 12.18% 25.42%
12 1992-06-23 33.1 @ Dinamo Chisinau 3 1366 60.21% Speranta Nisporeni 0 1274 14.19% 25.60%
13 1992-05-22 33.4 @ Agro Chisinau 4 1327 55.45% Moldova Boroseni 0 1289 18.67% 25.88%
14 1992-03-22 33.8 @ Speranta Nisporeni 4 1349 55.25% Constructorul Leova 0 1313 18.87% 25.88%
15 1992-05-31 33.8 @ Zimbru 6 1607 76.98% Constructorul Leova 2 1123 1.83% 21.19%
16 1992-06-17 34.4 Bugeac Comrat 5 1595 62.75% @ Cristalul Fleti 0 1246 12.43% 24.81%
17 1992-06-07 34.5 Zimbru 4 1606 63.97% @ Moldova Boroseni 0 1240 11.39% 24.65%
18 1992-04-22 34.7 Bugeac Comrat 4 1469 53.46% @ Constructorul Leova 0 1224 20.93% 25.61%
19 1992-06-14 35.3 Agro Chisinau 4 1392 64.46% @ Constructorul Leova 1 1018 10.96% 24.58%
20 1992-05-24 35.7 @ Tighina Bender 1 1410 65.17% Moldova Boroseni 0 1245 9.74% 25.09%
21 1992-06-03 36.2 @ FC Zarya Beltsy 2 1284 53.60% Moldova Boroseni 0 1265 20.45% 25.95%
22 1992-06-23 36.3 Agro Chisinau 11 1399 48.76% @ Cristalul Fleti 1 1196 25.41% 25.82%
23 1992-05-27 36.4 Zimbru 1 1601 68.20% @ Cristalul Fleti 0 1164 7.90% 23.90%
24 1992-03-21 36.6 @ Amocom Chisinau 2 1416 59.15% FC Zarya Beltsy 0 1337 15.17% 25.68%
25 1992-04-05 36.7 @ Dinamo Chisinau 4 1426 64.85% Constructorul Leova 1 1267 10.02% 25.14%