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1998-99 Divizia Nationala Season

122 games

Final

Champion

Zimbru

45 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Tiligul

6.37 points above expected

31 points · 24.63 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Roma Balti

6.78 points below expected

16 points · 22.78 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Zimbru 18 14 3 1 45 31 4 +27 39.04 +5.96
2 Constructorul Chisinau 18 10 4 4 34 20 9 +11 29.04 +4.96
3 Tiligul 18 9 4 5 31 22 19 +3 24.63 +6.37
4 Sheriff Tiraspol 18 7 7 4 28 30 17 +13 25.31 +2.69
5 FC Olimpia Balti 18 7 6 5 27 13 10 +3 27.01 -0.01
6 Nistru Otaci* 18 5 4 9 18 17 18 -1 18.28 -0.28
7 Agro Chisinau 18 4 6 8 18 13 24 -11 17.09 +0.91
8 Moldova Gaz Chisinau 18 5 3 10 18 15 29 -14 23.18 -5.18
9 Roma Balti 18 5 1 12 16 11 25 -14 22.78 -6.78
10 Unisport Chisinau 18 3 4 11 13 12 29 -17 18.65 -5.65
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Constructorul Chisinau 8 5 2 1 17 10 4 +6 45.14 -28.14
2 Zimbru 8 4 4 0 16 12 5 +7 61.67 -45.67
3 Moldova Gaz Chisinau 6 4 1 1 13 9 4 +5 27.85 -14.85
4 Sheriff Tiraspol 8 2 3 3 9 9 7 +2 37.04 -28.04
5 Tiligul 8 2 2 4 8 4 8 -4 39.47 -31.47
6 Unisport Chisinau 6 2 2 2 8 4 8 -4 22.49 -14.49
7 Roma Balti 6 1 4 1 7 6 2 +4 27.33 -20.33
8 Agro Chisinau 6 0 3 3 3 2 7 -5 27.56 -24.56
9 FC Olimpia Balti 8 0 3 5 3 1 12 -11 36.19 -33.19

* Point deductions: Nistru Otaci (-1 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Tiligul 31 24.63 +6.37
2 Zimbru 45 39.04 +5.96
3 Constructorul Chisinau 34 29.04 +4.96
4 Sheriff Tiraspol 28 25.31 +2.69
5 Agro Chisinau 18 17.09 +0.91

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Roma Balti 16 22.78 -6.78
2 Unisport Chisinau 13 18.65 -5.65
3 Moldova Gaz Chisinau 18 23.18 -5.18
4 Nistru Otaci 18 18.28 -0.28
5 FC Olimpia Balti 27 27.01 -0.01

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 3 Jul 11 – Jul 25 1 in 27
2 FC Olimpia Balti 2 Aug 6 – Aug 29 1 in 13
3 Constructorul Chisinau 3 Jul 11 – Aug 2 1 in 13
4 Tiligul 3 Nov 1 – Nov 11 1 in 11
5 Nistru Otaci 2 Aug 2 – Aug 6 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Roma Balti 4 Sep 10 – Oct 2 1 in 30
2 FC Olimpia Balti 3 Jul 11 – Jul 25 1 in 29
3 Unisport Chisinau 4 Aug 2 – Sep 10 1 in 13
4 Agro Chisinau 3 Jul 25 – Aug 6 1 in 11
5 Nistru Otaci 3 Sep 27 – Oct 7 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Agro Chisinau 4 Aug 29 – Sep 27 1 in 24
2 FC Olimpia Balti 7 Aug 2 – Oct 3 1 in 14
3 Sheriff Tiraspol 5 Aug 6 – Sep 27 1 in 13
4 Zimbru 15 Aug 12 – Nov 11 1 in 8
5 Constructorul Chisinau 5 Sep 27 – Oct 21 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Constructorul Chisinau 5 Aug 6 – Sep 18 1 in 22
2 Sheriff Tiraspol 5 Sep 10 – Oct 7 1 in 12
3 Unisport Chisinau 8 Oct 7 – Nov 11 1 in 10
4 Roma Balti 6 Sep 10 – Oct 18 1 in 8
5 FC Olimpia Balti 4 Jul 11 – Aug 2 1 in 7

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Zimbru 1461 61 +3 9 10.4 -1.4
Constructorul Chisinau 1326 48 +28 10 7.9 +2.1
Sheriff Tiraspol 1244 37 +26 5 5.4 -0.4
Tiligul 1193 36 +12 7 5.0 +2.0
FC Olimpia Balti 1133 30 -69 2 5.5 -3.5
Moldova Gaz Chisinau 1105 28 +24 10 7.5 +2.5
Unisport Chisinau 1022 21 +20 8 5.4 +2.6
Agro Chisinau 1010 21 -47 2 6.2 -4.2
Roma Balti 1127 20 +30 6 8.1 -2.1
Nistru Otaci 1170 19 +2 6 6.9 -0.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AC CC FOB MGC NO RB ST TIL UC ZIM
Agro Chisinau —
0-2-0
1.35
0-2-0
1.55
1-0-1
2.22
1-1-0
1.77
0-0-2
2.31
0-0-2
1.95
0-1-1
1.83
2-0-0
2.23
0-0-2
0.96
Constructorul Chisinau
0-2-0
4.15
—
2-0-0
2.96
2-0-0
3.69
1-0-1
3.47
1-0-1
3.78
0-1-1
3.35
2-0-0
3.17
2-0-0
3.82
0-1-1
1.63
FC Olimpia Balti
0-2-0
3.91
0-0-2
2.45
—
1-1-0
3.33
1-0-1
3.10
1-0-1
3.65
1-1-0
2.88
0-1-1
2.97
2-0-0
3.67
1-1-0
1.43
Moldova Gaz Chisinau
1-0-1
3.19
0-0-2
1.76
0-1-1
2.10
—
1-1-0
2.29
2-0-0
2.57
1-0-1
2.46
0-0-2
2.46
0-1-1
3.02
0-0-2
1.13
Nistru Otaci
0-1-1
3.67
1-0-1
1.96
1-0-1
2.31
0-1-1
3.13
—
2-0-0
3.07
1-1-0
2.43
0-0-2
2.72
0-1-1
3.28
0-0-2
1.35
Roma Balti
2-0-0
3.10
1-0-1
1.67
1-0-1
1.80
0-0-2
2.84
0-0-2
2.34
—
0-1-1
2.66
0-0-2
2.24
1-0-1
3.07
0-0-2
1.01
Sheriff Tiraspol
2-0-0
3.49
1-1-0
2.07
0-1-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.96
0-1-1
2.98
1-1-0
2.76
—
1-1-0
2.86
1-1-0
3.64
0-1-1
1.38
Tiligul
1-1-0
3.61
0-0-2
2.24
1-1-0
2.44
2-0-0
2.95
2-0-0
2.69
2-0-0
3.17
0-1-1
2.55
—
1-1-0
3.32
0-0-2
1.36
Unisport Chisinau
0-0-2
3.18
0-0-2
1.64
0-0-2
1.77
1-1-0
2.40
1-1-0
2.14
1-0-1
2.34
0-1-1
1.80
0-1-1
2.10
—
0-0-2
0.93
Zimbru
2-0-0
4.62
1-1-0
3.82
0-1-1
4.05
2-0-0
4.41
2-0-0
4.14
2-0-0
4.56
1-1-0
4.11
2-0-0
4.13
2-0-0
4.65
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.65 +11.1
Allowed 0.78 -10.3
Differential 0.89 +6.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.03%11.48%7.38%1.64%0.82%1.23%40.57%
111.48%8.20%6.56%2.46%0.41%0.82%29.92%
27.38%6.56%0.82%1.23%0.41%—16.39%
31.64%2.46%1.23%—0.41%—5.74%
40.82%0.41%0.41%0.41%——2.05%
5+1.23%0.82%———3.28%5.33%
Total40.57%29.92%16.39%5.74%2.05%5.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 0.95 +0.00
SD 1.22 1.22 1.68
CV 1.28 1.28 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min -1 -1 -5

Games Played: 122

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
029.17%16.67%4.17%4.17%4.17%—58.33%
1—8.33%4.17%4.17%4.17%—20.83%
24.17%12.50%——4.17%—20.83%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%37.50%8.33%8.33%12.50%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.62 1.29 -0.67
SD 0.82 1.37 1.43
CV 1.32 1.06 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%—3.85%——23.08%
123.08%11.54%3.85%———38.46%
215.38%7.69%————23.08%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4———————
5+3.85%————7.69%11.54%
Total53.85%30.77%3.85%3.85%—7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 0.42 +0.65
SD 1.26 0.86 1.47
CV 1.17 2.02 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.92%15.38%11.54%——3.85%57.69%
115.38%7.69%7.69%———30.77%
27.69%3.85%————11.54%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total50.00%26.92%19.23%——3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.54 0.85 -0.31
SD 0.71 1.16 1.46
CV 1.31 1.37 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%4.17%4.17%4.17%4.17%4.17%37.50%
18.33%—20.83%———29.17%
24.17%8.33%—4.17%——16.67%
34.17%4.17%4.17%———12.50%
4———————
5+—————4.17%4.17%
Total33.33%16.67%29.17%8.33%4.17%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.33 -0.38
SD 1.12 1.46 1.86
CV 1.17 1.10 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min -1 -1 -5

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%16.67%————27.78%
111.11%5.56%5.56%11.11%——33.33%
2—5.56%5.56%———11.11%
35.56%—————5.56%
4———5.56%——5.56%
5+—————16.67%16.67%
Total27.78%27.78%11.11%16.67%—16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.78 0.83 -0.06
SD 1.35 1.34 1.21
CV 1.74 1.61 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%25.00%8.33%———50.00%
112.50%4.17%8.33%4.17%—4.17%33.33%
24.17%——4.17%——8.33%
3———————
4———————
5+4.17%————4.17%8.33%
Total37.50%29.17%16.67%8.33%—8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 1.08 -0.42
SD 1.17 1.47 1.79
CV 1.75 1.36 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min -1 -1 -5

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%11.54%3.85%———34.62%
17.69%19.23%3.85%———30.77%
23.85%7.69%—3.85%——15.38%
3————3.85%—3.85%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+3.85%7.69%————11.54%
Total34.62%50.00%7.69%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 0.92 +0.58
SD 1.75 0.98 1.84
CV 1.17 1.06 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%3.85%23.08%———42.31%
115.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%——30.77%
2—3.85%————3.85%
33.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+—————3.85%3.85%
Total34.62%23.08%34.62%3.85%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.00 -0.04
SD 1.28 1.02 1.51
CV 1.33 1.02 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%12.50%16.67%4.17%—4.17%54.17%
18.33%4.17%8.33%4.17%—4.17%29.17%
2—8.33%4.17%———12.50%
3—4.17%————4.17%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%29.17%29.17%8.33%—8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 1.54 -0.88
SD 0.87 1.41 1.68
CV 1.30 0.92 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%3.85%————19.23%
111.54%11.54%————23.08%
230.77%7.69%————38.46%
33.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
47.69%—————7.69%
5+———————
Total69.23%26.92%3.85%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 0.35 +1.31
SD 1.16 0.56 1.26
CV 0.70 1.62 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Zimbru 1461 45 39.04 +5.96 89.0% 23 30 36 39 43 46 52
Constructorul Chisinau 1326 34 29.04 +4.96 86.0% 13 20 25 29 32 36 41
Sheriff Tiraspol 1244 28 25.31 +2.69 74.0% 15 17 21 26 29 34 40
Tiligul 1193 31 24.63 +6.37 89.0% 12 16 21 25 28 33 36
Nistru Otaci 1170 18 18.28 -0.28 55.0% 8 12 15 18 21 26 29
FC Olimpia Balti 1133 27 27.01 -0.01 56.0% 12 18 23 27 31 37 40
Roma Balti 1127 16 22.78 -6.78 14.0% 11 14 19 23 26 31 35
Moldova Gaz Chisinau 1105 18 23.18 -5.18 22.0% 9 15 19 22 27 31 37
Unisport Chisinau 1022 13 18.65 -5.65 8.0% 7 12 15 18 22 25 32
Agro Chisinau 1010 18 17.09 +0.91 58.0% 5 8 13 17 21 26 30

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 10.5% * Clear Edge: 10.5% to 16% * Strong Edge: 16% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+7.38%
No Edge
40.16%27.05%32.79%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 19.96 Elo pts.
182 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.22 goals
Neutral
-2+0.11+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.37 * Comfortable: 0.37 to 0.52 * Runaway: 0.52 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.4
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
84%
Zimbru, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.61/gm
Runaway
00.400.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.11 * Some Luck: 4.11 to 6.17 * Lucky: 6.17 to 8.23 * Wild Swing: 8.23 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.29 * Close: 1.29 to 1.93 * Off: 1.93 to 2.57 * Way Off: 2.57 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.61 points
Some Luck
05.1413
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.60
Close
01.614
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
89.00%
Zimbru
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
8.00%
Unisport Chisinau
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.23 * Even: 0.23 to 0.26 * Top-Heavy: 0.26 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.5 * Moderate Separation: 2.5 to 2.7 * Strong Separation: 2.7 to 2.95 * Wide Separation: 2.95 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 81% * Clear Edge: 81% to 85.5% * Wide Edge: 85.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 96% * Clear Edge: 96% to 98% * Strong Edge: 98% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17% * Occasional: 17% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Balanced
00.230.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 122.70
1.81
Coin-Flip Parity
12.52.953.75
Interquartile Edge
70%
Even
50%72.5%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
91%
Even
50%91%100%
Close Games
Expected
70%
Very Frequent
0%63%100%
Blowouts
Expected
10%
Rare
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.47 * Slight Separation: 0.47 to 0.52 * Notable Separation: 0.52 to 0.56 * Lopsided: 0.56 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.75 * Strong Carryover: 0.75 to 0.84 * Near-Lock: 0.84 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 16.5% * Upset-Prone: 16.5% to 20% * Very Upset-Prone: 20% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 11.5% * As Expected: 11.5% to 13.5% * Shaky Favorites: 13.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.34
Very Even
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.83
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.52
Weak Carryover
00.570.751
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Very Shaky
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.23 * Above Noise: 0.23 to 0.3 * Well Above Noise: 0.3 and up.
Probability calibration
0.85
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.20
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.046
Well Within Noise
00.1520.4

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Zimbru84.00%11.00%3.00%1.00%—1.00%————
Constructorul Chisinau2.00%39.00%18.00%17.00%12.00%8.00%1.00%—1.00%2.00%
Tiligul4.00%8.00%13.00%12.00%21.00%13.00%12.00%11.00%2.00%4.00%
Sheriff Tiraspol1.00%12.00%20.00%21.00%12.00%9.00%6.00%11.00%5.00%3.00%
FC Olimpia Balti7.00%19.00%17.00%13.00%19.00%6.00%11.00%4.00%—4.00%
Nistru Otaci——3.00%2.00%9.00%11.00%14.00%17.00%21.00%23.00%
Agro Chisinau——3.00%5.00%3.00%8.00%14.00%16.00%16.00%35.00%
Moldova Gaz Chisinau2.00%6.00%10.00%12.00%9.00%20.00%14.00%11.00%9.00%7.00%
Roma Balti—3.00%13.00%14.00%7.00%18.00%15.00%12.00%10.00%8.00%
Unisport Chisinau—2.00%—3.00%8.00%6.00%13.00%18.00%36.00%14.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff final Lost relegation playoff
Constructorul Chisinau 98.00% 2.00% —
FC Olimpia Balti 99.00% 1.00% —
Zimbru 100% — —
Sheriff Tiraspol 99.00% — 1.00%
Tiligul 91.00% 5.00% 4.00%
Roma Balti 87.00% 8.00% 5.00%
Moldova Gaz Chisinau 73.00% 14.00% 13.00%
Nistru Otaci 72.00% 15.00% 13.00%
Unisport Chisinau 49.00% 26.00% 25.00%
Agro Chisinau 32.00% 29.00% 39.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff final Lost relegation playoff
Constructorul Chisinau 100% — —
FC Olimpia Balti 100% — —
Sheriff Tiraspol 100% — —
Tiligul 100% — —
Zimbru 100% — —
Moldova Gaz Chisinau 66.39% 22.11% 11.50%
Agro Chisinau 65.15% 22.92% 11.93%
Roma Balti 59.81% 25.87% 14.32%
Unisport Chisinau 18.26% 21.67% 60.07%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1998-07-11 Zimbru L 0-133.9 1071 1368 10.50% 22.83% 66.68%-1.52 -4.0 0
1998-07-11 @ Agro Chisinau W 1-033.9 1368 1071 66.68% 22.83% 10.50%+1.52 +3.9 3
1998-07-11 Tiligul W 2-036.7 1215 1165 44.86% 29.14% 26.00%+0.38 +17.6 3
1998-07-11 @ Constructorul Chisinau L 0-236.7 1165 1215 26.00% 29.14% 44.86%-0.38 -17.6 0
1998-07-11 FC Olimpia Balti W 2-150.5 1164 1222 30.08% 29.52% 40.40%-0.21 +12.2 3
1998-07-11 @ Nistru Otaci L 1-250.5 1222 1164 40.40% 29.52% 30.08%+0.21 -12.2 0
1998-07-11 Moldova Gaz Chisinau W 2-149.5 1109 1146 32.90% 29.63% 37.47%-0.09 +11.5 3
1998-07-11 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-249.5 1146 1109 37.47% 29.63% 32.90%+0.09 -11.5 0
1998-07-11 Roma Balti L 0-141.6 1137 1196 29.94% 29.51% 40.55%-0.21 -10.4 0
1998-07-11 @ Unisport Chisinau W 1-041.6 1196 1137 40.55% 29.51% 29.94%+0.21 +10.4 3
1998-07-17 Constructorul Chisinau L 0-143.2 1209 1233 34.78% 29.66% 35.56%-0.02 -11.6 0
1998-07-17 @ FC Olimpia Balti W 1-043.2 1233 1209 35.56% 29.66% 34.78%+0.02 +11.6 6
1998-07-17 Tiligul L 2-353.6 1134 1148 36.20% 29.66% 34.14%+0.04 -10.7 0
1998-07-17 @ Moldova Gaz Chisinau W 3-253.6 1148 1134 34.14% 29.66% 36.20%-0.04 +10.7 3
1998-07-17 Roma Balti W 6-142.2 1120 1206 26.64% 29.22% 44.14%-0.36 +50.5 6
1998-07-17 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-642.2 1206 1120 44.14% 29.22% 26.64%+0.36 -50.5 3
1998-07-17 Agro Chisinau L 0-242.6 1126 1067 46.07% 28.99% 24.94%+0.44 -27.0 0
1998-07-17 @ Unisport Chisinau W 2-042.6 1067 1126 24.94% 28.99% 46.07%-0.44 +27.0 3
1998-07-25 Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-439.5 1094 1171 27.68% 29.33% 42.99%-0.31 -22.6 3
1998-07-25 @ Agro Chisinau W 4-139.5 1171 1094 42.99% 29.33% 27.68%+0.31 +22.6 9
1998-07-25 Unisport Chisinau L 0-146.7 1176 1099 48.23% 28.68% 23.09%+0.53 -14.9 3
1998-07-25 @ Nistru Otaci W 1-046.7 1099 1176 23.09% 28.68% 48.23%-0.53 +14.9 3
1998-07-25 Moldova Gaz Chisinau L 2-355.4 1155 1123 42.51% 29.37% 28.13%+0.29 -12.0 3
1998-07-25 @ Roma Balti W 3-255.4 1123 1155 28.13% 29.37% 42.51%-0.29 +12.0 3
1998-07-25 FC Olimpia Balti W 1-044.0 1158 1198 32.51% 29.62% 37.86%-0.11 +12.3 6
1998-07-25 @ Tiligul L 0-144.0 1198 1158 37.86% 29.62% 32.51%+0.11 -12.3 0
1998-08-02 FC Olimpia Balti D 0-048.3 1135 1185 31.11% 29.57% 39.32%-0.16 +0.6 4
1998-08-02 @ Moldova Gaz Chisinau D 0-048.3 1185 1135 39.32% 29.57% 31.11%+0.16 -0.6 1
1998-08-02 Agro Chisinau W 1-039.3 1143 1071 47.67% 28.77% 23.56%+0.51 +8.6 6
1998-08-02 @ Roma Balti L 0-139.3 1071 1143 23.56% 28.77% 47.67%-0.51 -8.6 3
1998-08-02 Nistru Otaci L 3-457.5 1194 1161 42.58% 29.36% 28.06%+0.29 -11.7 9
1998-08-02 @ Sheriff Tiraspol W 4-357.5 1161 1194 28.06% 29.36% 42.58%-0.29 +11.8 6
1998-08-02 Constructorul Chisinau L 0-235.2 1114 1244 21.86% 28.43% 49.71%-0.61 -15.3 3
1998-08-02 @ Unisport Chisinau W 2-035.2 1244 1114 49.71% 28.43% 21.86%+0.61 +15.3 9
1998-08-02 Tiligul W 2-032.1 1372 1171 61.76% 24.98% 13.26%+1.22 +9.6 6
1998-08-02 @ Zimbru L 0-232.1 1171 1372 13.26% 24.98% 61.76%-1.22 -9.6 6
1998-08-06 Moldova Gaz Chisinau L 0-335.2 1063 1136 28.13% 29.37% 42.50%-0.29 -27.2 3
1998-08-06 @ Agro Chisinau W 3-035.2 1136 1063 42.50% 29.37% 28.13%+0.29 +27.2 7
1998-08-06 Zimbru W 1-049.5 1185 1382 16.22% 26.60% 57.18%-0.97 +17.2 4
1998-08-06 @ FC Olimpia Balti L 0-149.5 1382 1185 57.18% 26.60% 16.22%+0.97 -17.2 6
1998-08-06 Sheriff Tiraspol D 1-153.9 1260 1182 48.37% 28.66% 22.97%+0.54 -1.7 10
1998-08-06 @ Constructorul Chisinau D 1-153.9 1182 1260 22.97% 28.66% 48.37%-0.54 +1.7 10
1998-08-06 Roma Balti W 1-041.4 1173 1152 40.97% 29.48% 29.55%+0.22 +10.3 9
1998-08-06 @ Nistru Otaci L 0-141.4 1152 1173 29.55% 29.48% 40.97%-0.22 -10.3 6
1998-08-06 Unisport Chisinau W 3-141.6 1161 1099 46.42% 28.95% 24.64%+0.45 +14.6 9
1998-08-06 @ Tiligul L 1-341.6 1099 1161 24.64% 28.95% 46.42%-0.45 -14.6 3
1998-08-12 Nistru Otaci W 3-138.1 1365 1183 59.80% 25.72% 14.48%+1.11 +9.1 9
1998-08-12 @ Zimbru L 1-338.1 1183 1365 14.48% 25.72% 59.80%-1.11 -9.1 9
1998-08-29 Nistru Otaci W 2-153.1 1036 1174 21.06% 28.24% 50.71%-0.65 +14.6 6
1998-08-29 @ Agro Chisinau L 1-253.1 1174 1036 50.71% 28.24% 21.06%+0.65 -14.6 9
1998-08-29 Tiligul W 2-038.4 1184 1176 39.22% 29.57% 31.21%+0.15 +20.2 13
1998-08-29 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-238.4 1176 1184 31.21% 29.57% 39.22%-0.15 -20.2 9
1998-08-29 FC Olimpia Balti L 1-244.9 1084 1202 23.10% 28.68% 48.22%-0.54 -8.0 3
1998-08-29 @ Unisport Chisinau W 2-144.9 1202 1084 48.22% 28.68% 23.10%+0.54 +8.0 7
1998-08-30 Zimbru L 1-242.3 1163 1374 15.28% 26.15% 58.57%-1.05 -5.5 7
1998-08-30 @ Moldova Gaz Chisinau W 2-142.3 1374 1163 58.57% 26.15% 15.28%+1.05 +5.5 12
1998-08-31 Constructorul Chisinau FW45.8 1142 1258 23.27% 28.71% 48.02%-0.53 +0.0 9
1998-08-31 @ Roma Balti FL45.8 1258 1142 48.02% 28.71% 23.27%+0.53 +0.0 10
1998-09-10 Sheriff Tiraspol D 1-153.6 1210 1204 38.98% 29.58% 31.43%+0.14 -0.5 8
1998-09-10 @ FC Olimpia Balti D 1-153.6 1204 1210 31.43% 29.58% 38.98%-0.14 +0.5 14
1998-09-10 Agro Chisinau D 0-049.7 1258 1050 62.34% 24.75% 12.91%+1.25 -3.9 11
1998-09-10 @ Constructorul Chisinau D 0-049.7 1050 1258 12.91% 24.75% 62.34%-1.25 +3.9 7
1998-09-10 Moldova Gaz Chisinau D 0-048.3 1159 1158 38.34% 29.61% 32.05%+0.12 -0.4 10
1998-09-10 @ Nistru Otaci D 0-048.3 1158 1159 32.05% 29.61% 38.34%-0.12 +0.4 8
1998-09-10 Roma Balti W 2-147.4 1155 1142 39.99% 29.54% 30.47%+0.18 +9.9 12
1998-09-10 @ Tiligul L 1-247.4 1142 1155 30.47% 29.54% 39.99%-0.18 -9.9 9
1998-09-10 Unisport Chisinau W 2-029.1 1379 1076 70.57% 20.84% 8.59%+1.78 +5.9 15
1998-09-10 @ Zimbru L 0-229.1 1076 1379 8.59% 20.84% 70.57%-1.78 -5.9 3
1998-09-14 Tiligul D 1-153.6 1054 1165 23.79% 28.81% 47.41%-0.50 +1.5 8
1998-09-14 @ Agro Chisinau D 1-153.6 1165 1054 47.41% 28.81% 23.79%+0.50 -1.5 13
1998-09-14 Unisport Chisinau L 1-252.8 1158 1070 49.59% 28.45% 21.96%+0.59 -14.3 8
1998-09-14 @ Moldova Gaz Chisinau W 2-152.8 1070 1158 21.96% 28.45% 49.59%-0.59 +14.4 6
1998-09-14 Constructorul Chisinau W 3-040.5 1159 1254 25.56% 29.08% 45.36%-0.41 +38.8 13
1998-09-14 @ Nistru Otaci L 0-340.5 1254 1159 45.36% 29.08% 25.56%+0.41 -38.8 11
1998-09-14 FC Olimpia Balti L 0-140.8 1132 1210 27.59% 29.32% 43.09%-0.32 -9.8 9
1998-09-14 @ Roma Balti W 1-040.8 1210 1132 43.09% 29.32% 27.59%+0.32 +9.8 11
1998-09-14 Zimbru D 0-049.8 1204 1385 17.42% 27.10% 55.49%-0.88 +2.9 15
1998-09-14 @ Sheriff Tiraspol D 0-049.8 1385 1204 55.49% 27.10% 17.42%+0.88 -2.9 16
1998-09-18 Zimbru L 1-244.1 1215 1382 18.54% 27.50% 53.96%-0.81 -6.6 11
1998-09-18 @ Constructorul Chisinau W 2-144.1 1382 1215 53.96% 27.50% 18.54%+0.81 +6.6 19
1998-09-27 Agro Chisinau D 0-049.2 1219 1056 58.02% 26.33% 15.65%+1.01 -3.3 12
1998-09-27 @ FC Olimpia Balti D 0-049.2 1056 1219 15.65% 26.33% 58.02%-1.01 +3.3 9
1998-09-27 Moldova Gaz Chisinau W 5-034.1 1209 1144 46.77% 28.90% 24.33%+0.47 +39.1 14
1998-09-27 @ Constructorul Chisinau L 0-534.1 1144 1209 24.33% 28.90% 46.77%-0.47 -39.1 8
1998-09-27 Nistru Otaci W 3-145.6 1164 1198 33.28% 29.64% 37.08%-0.08 +19.8 16
1998-09-27 @ Tiligul L 1-345.6 1198 1164 37.08% 29.64% 33.28%+0.08 -19.8 13
1998-09-27 Sheriff Tiraspol D 0-048.6 1085 1207 22.62% 28.59% 48.79%-0.56 +1.9 7
1998-09-27 @ Unisport Chisinau D 0-048.6 1207 1085 48.79% 28.59% 22.62%+0.56 -1.9 16
1998-09-27 Roma Balti W 2-030.2 1389 1122 67.60% 22.38% 10.02%+1.58 +7.1 22
1998-09-27 @ Zimbru L 0-230.2 1122 1389 10.02% 22.38% 67.60%-1.58 -7.1 9
1998-10-02 Unisport Chisinau L 1-346.9 1115 1087 42.02% 29.41% 28.57%+0.27 -21.8 9
1998-10-02 @ Roma Balti W 3-146.9 1087 1115 28.57% 29.41% 42.02%-0.27 +21.8 10
1998-10-03 Nistru Otaci W 1-040.8 1216 1178 43.32% 29.30% 27.38%+0.32 +9.7 15
1998-10-03 @ FC Olimpia Balti L 0-140.8 1178 1216 27.38% 29.30% 43.32%-0.32 -9.7 13
1998-10-03 Sheriff Tiraspol W 2-151.9 1105 1205 24.94% 28.99% 46.06%-0.44 +13.5 11
1998-10-03 @ Moldova Gaz Chisinau L 1-251.9 1205 1105 46.06% 28.99% 24.94%+0.44 -13.5 16
1998-10-03 Constructorul Chisinau L 1-343.3 1184 1248 29.26% 29.46% 41.28%-0.24 -16.7 16
1998-10-03 @ Tiligul W 3-143.3 1248 1184 41.28% 29.46% 29.26%+0.24 +16.7 17
1998-10-03 Agro Chisinau W 4-025.9 1396 1059 73.20% 19.37% 7.43%+1.96 +9.5 25
1998-10-03 @ Zimbru L 0-425.9 1059 1396 7.43% 19.37% 73.20%-1.96 -9.5 9
1998-10-07 Unisport Chisinau W 2-150.4 1049 1108 29.94% 29.51% 40.56%-0.21 +12.2 12
1998-10-07 @ Agro Chisinau L 1-250.4 1108 1049 40.56% 29.51% 29.94%+0.21 -12.2 10
1998-10-07 FC Olimpia Balti W 2-146.7 1264 1226 43.39% 29.29% 27.32%+0.32 +9.2 20
1998-10-07 @ Constructorul Chisinau L 1-246.7 1226 1264 27.32% 29.29% 43.39%-0.32 -9.2 15
1998-10-07 Zimbru L 0-136.0 1168 1405 13.59% 25.19% 61.22%-1.19 -5.2 13
1998-10-07 @ Nistru Otaci W 1-036.0 1405 1168 61.22% 25.19% 13.59%+1.19 +5.2 28
1998-10-07 Sheriff Tiraspol D 1-153.6 1093 1192 25.18% 29.03% 45.80%-0.43 +1.3 10
1998-10-07 @ Roma Balti D 1-153.6 1192 1093 45.80% 29.03% 25.18%+0.43 -1.3 17
1998-10-07 Moldova Gaz Chisinau W 3-034.6 1167 1118 44.70% 29.16% 26.14%+0.38 +25.7 19
1998-10-07 @ Tiligul L 0-334.6 1118 1167 26.14% 29.16% 44.70%-0.38 -25.7 11
1998-10-18 Tiligul D 0-048.4 1217 1193 41.43% 29.45% 29.12%+0.24 -0.9 16
1998-10-18 @ FC Olimpia Balti D 0-048.4 1193 1217 29.12% 29.45% 41.43%-0.24 +0.9 20
1998-10-18 Roma Balti W 1-042.3 1092 1095 37.81% 29.62% 32.57%+0.10 +11.1 14
1998-10-18 @ Moldova Gaz Chisinau L 0-142.3 1095 1092 32.57% 29.62% 37.81%-0.10 -11.1 10
1998-10-18 Agro Chisinau W 2-143.1 1190 1062 54.30% 27.42% 18.28%+0.82 +6.6 20
1998-10-18 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-243.1 1062 1190 18.28% 27.42% 54.30%-0.82 -6.6 12
1998-10-18 Nistru Otaci D 2-258.9 1096 1163 28.93% 29.44% 41.63%-0.26 +0.6 11
1998-10-18 @ Unisport Chisinau D 2-258.9 1163 1096 41.63% 29.44% 28.93%+0.26 -0.6 14
1998-10-18 Constructorul Chisinau D 0-050.6 1411 1274 55.20% 27.17% 17.62%+0.86 -2.9 29
1998-10-18 @ Zimbru D 0-050.6 1274 1411 17.62% 27.17% 55.20%-0.86 +2.9 21
1998-10-21 Roma Balti L 0-142.7 1055 1084 34.06% 29.65% 36.29%-0.05 -11.4 12
1998-10-21 @ Agro Chisinau W 1-042.7 1084 1055 36.29% 29.65% 34.06%+0.05 +11.4 13
1998-10-21 Moldova Gaz Chisinau W 2-034.4 1216 1104 52.45% 27.86% 19.68%+0.73 +14.0 19
1998-10-21 @ FC Olimpia Balti L 0-234.4 1104 1216 19.68% 27.86% 52.45%-0.73 -14.0 14
1998-10-21 Unisport Chisinau W 1-035.9 1276 1097 59.63% 25.78% 14.59%+1.10 +5.6 24
1998-10-21 @ Constructorul Chisinau L 0-135.9 1097 1276 14.59% 25.78% 59.63%-1.10 -5.6 11
1998-10-21 Sheriff Tiraspol D 1-153.5 1162 1197 33.20% 29.64% 37.16%-0.08 +0.2 15
1998-10-21 @ Nistru Otaci D 1-153.5 1197 1162 37.16% 29.64% 33.20%+0.08 -0.2 21
1998-10-21 Zimbru L 0-233.3 1193 1408 15.02% 26.01% 58.97%-1.07 -10.9 20
1998-10-21 @ Tiligul W 2-033.3 1408 1193 58.97% 26.01% 15.02%+1.07 +10.9 32
1998-10-24 Agro Chisinau L 1-251.4 1090 1044 44.33% 29.20% 26.47%+0.36 -13.1 14
1998-10-24 @ Moldova Gaz Chisinau W 2-151.4 1044 1090 26.47% 29.20% 44.33%-0.36 +13.1 15
1998-10-24 Nistru Otaci L 0-141.1 1095 1163 28.83% 29.43% 41.75%-0.26 -10.1 13
1998-10-24 @ Roma Balti W 1-041.1 1163 1095 41.75% 29.43% 28.83%+0.26 +10.1 18
1998-10-24 Constructorul Chisinau W 1-046.0 1197 1282 26.67% 29.22% 44.11%-0.36 +13.8 24
1998-10-24 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-146.0 1282 1197 44.11% 29.22% 26.67%+0.36 -13.8 24
1998-10-24 Tiligul D 0-048.4 1091 1183 25.97% 29.14% 44.89%-0.39 +1.4 12
1998-10-24 @ Unisport Chisinau D 0-048.4 1183 1091 44.89% 29.14% 25.97%+0.39 -1.4 21
1998-10-24 FC Olimpia Balti D 0-050.7 1419 1230 60.53% 25.45% 14.02%+1.15 -3.6 33
1998-10-24 @ Zimbru D 0-050.7 1230 1419 14.02% 25.45% 60.53%-1.15 +3.6 20
1998-10-28 Unisport Chisinau W 2-033.4 1233 1092 55.63% 27.06% 17.31%+0.88 +12.5 23
1998-10-28 @ FC Olimpia Balti L 0-233.4 1092 1233 17.31% 27.06% 55.63%-0.88 -12.5 12
1998-10-28 Roma Balti W 1-035.7 1268 1085 60.00% 25.65% 14.35%+1.12 +5.5 27
1998-10-28 @ Constructorul Chisinau L 0-135.7 1085 1268 14.35% 25.65% 60.00%-1.12 -5.5 13
1998-10-28 Agro Chisinau D 0-048.8 1173 1057 52.87% 27.77% 19.36%+0.75 -2.5 19
1998-10-28 @ Nistru Otaci D 0-048.8 1057 1173 19.36% 27.77% 52.87%-0.75 +2.5 16
1998-10-28 Sheriff Tiraspol D 0-048.4 1181 1211 33.93% 29.65% 36.42%-0.05 +0.2 22
1998-10-28 @ Tiligul D 0-048.4 1211 1181 36.42% 29.65% 33.93%+0.05 -0.2 25
1998-10-28 Moldova Gaz Chisinau W 4-026.0 1415 1076 73.32% 19.30% 7.38%+1.97 +9.4 36
1998-10-28 @ Zimbru L 0-426.0 1076 1415 7.38% 19.30% 73.32%-1.97 -9.4 14
1998-11-01 Nistru Otaci FW45.6 1067 1170 24.66% 28.95% 46.39%-0.46 +0.0 17
1998-11-01 @ Moldova Gaz Chisinau FL45.6 1170 1067 46.39% 28.95% 24.66%+0.46 +0.0 19
1998-11-01 Constructorul Chisinau D 0-049.4 1059 1274 15.01% 26.01% 58.98%-1.07 +3.4 17
1998-11-01 @ Agro Chisinau D 0-049.4 1274 1059 58.98% 26.01% 15.01%+1.07 -3.4 28
1998-11-01 Tiligul L 0-139.8 1079 1181 24.78% 28.97% 46.25%-0.45 -9.0 13
1998-11-01 @ Roma Balti W 1-039.8 1181 1079 46.25% 28.97% 24.78%+0.45 +9.0 25
1998-11-01 FC Olimpia Balti L 0-142.7 1210 1246 33.07% 29.64% 37.29%-0.09 -11.2 25
1998-11-01 @ Sheriff Tiraspol W 1-042.7 1246 1210 37.29% 29.64% 33.07%+0.09 +11.2 26
1998-11-01 Zimbru L 0-327.2 1080 1424 8.59% 20.83% 70.58%-1.78 -8.6 12
1998-11-01 @ Unisport Chisinau W 3-027.2 1424 1080 70.58% 20.83% 8.59%+1.78 +8.6 39
1998-11-07 Nistru Otaci FW46.1 1270 1170 51.06% 28.17% 20.78%+0.66 +0.0 31
1998-11-07 @ Constructorul Chisinau FL46.1 1170 1270 20.78% 28.17% 51.06%-0.66 +0.0 19
1998-11-07 Roma Balti L 0-245.9 1257 1070 60.32% 25.53% 14.15%+1.14 -33.8 26
1998-11-07 @ FC Olimpia Balti W 2-045.9 1070 1257 14.15% 25.53% 60.32%-1.14 +33.8 16
1998-11-07 Agro Chisinau W 4-242.4 1190 1063 54.18% 27.45% 18.37%+0.81 +10.2 28
1998-11-07 @ Tiligul L 2-442.4 1063 1190 18.37% 27.45% 54.18%-0.81 -10.2 17
1998-11-07 Moldova Gaz Chisinau D 0-048.2 1071 1067 38.71% 29.60% 31.69%+0.13 -0.5 13
1998-11-07 @ Unisport Chisinau D 0-048.2 1067 1071 31.69% 29.60% 38.71%-0.13 +0.5 18
1998-11-07 Sheriff Tiraspol W 1-035.4 1433 1199 64.73% 23.73% 11.54%+1.39 +4.4 42
1998-11-07 @ Zimbru L 0-135.4 1199 1433 11.54% 23.73% 64.73%-1.39 -4.4 25
1998-11-11 Tiligul FL45.5 1170 1201 33.79% 29.65% 36.56%-0.06 +0.0 19
1998-11-11 @ Nistru Otaci FW45.5 1201 1170 36.56% 29.65% 33.79%+0.06 +0.0 31
1998-11-11 FC Olimpia Balti D 0-048.9 1053 1223 18.22% 27.39% 54.38%-0.83 +2.8 18
1998-11-11 @ Agro Chisinau D 0-048.9 1223 1053 54.38% 27.39% 18.22%+0.83 -2.7 27
1998-11-11 Constructorul Chisinau L 0-136.4 1068 1270 15.80% 26.40% 57.79%-1.01 -6.1 18
1998-11-11 @ Moldova Gaz Chisinau W 1-036.4 1270 1068 57.79% 26.40% 15.80%+1.01 +6.1 34
1998-11-11 Zimbru L 0-229.7 1104 1437 9.00% 21.31% 69.69%-1.72 -6.2 16
1998-11-11 @ Roma Balti W 2-029.7 1437 1104 69.69% 21.31% 9.00%+1.72 +6.2 45
1998-11-11 Unisport Chisinau W 5-134.6 1195 1071 53.76% 27.55% 18.68%+0.79 +21.1 28
1998-11-11 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-534.6 1071 1195 18.68% 27.55% 53.76%-0.79 -21.1 13

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1999-04-03 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-143.5 1201 1216 35.92% 29.66% 34.42%+0.03 -11.9 0
1999-04-03 @ Tiligul W 1-043.5 1216 1201 34.42% 29.66% 35.92%-0.03 +11.9 3
1999-04-03 FC Olimpia Balti W 2-032.3 1444 1220 63.76% 24.16% 12.08%+1.34 +8.7 3
1999-04-03 @ Zimbru L 0-232.3 1220 1444 12.08% 24.16% 63.76%-1.34 -8.7 0
1999-04-10 Tiligul D 0-048.4 1212 1189 41.30% 29.46% 29.24%+0.24 -0.8 1
1999-04-10 @ FC Olimpia Balti D 0-048.4 1189 1212 29.24% 29.46% 41.30%-0.24 +0.8 1
1999-04-10 Constructorul Chisinau L 0-142.3 1228 1276 31.29% 29.58% 39.13%-0.16 -10.8 3
1999-04-10 @ Sheriff Tiraspol W 1-042.3 1276 1228 39.13% 29.58% 31.29%+0.16 +10.7 3
1999-04-17 Agro Chisinau D 0-048.3 1098 1055 43.91% 29.24% 26.85%+0.34 -1.2 1
1999-04-17 @ Roma Balti D 0-048.3 1055 1098 26.85% 29.24% 43.91%-0.34 +1.2 1
1999-04-20 FC Olimpia Balti W 1-039.6 1287 1211 48.18% 28.69% 23.13%+0.53 +8.5 6
1999-04-20 @ Constructorul Chisinau L 0-139.6 1211 1287 23.13% 28.69% 48.18%-0.53 -8.5 1
1999-04-20 Zimbru L 0-232.2 1190 1452 12.17% 24.22% 63.62%-1.33 -8.8 1
1999-04-20 @ Tiligul W 2-032.2 1452 1190 63.62% 24.22% 12.17%+1.33 +8.8 6
1999-04-23 Moldova Gaz Chisinau L 1-345.5 1056 1061 37.40% 29.64% 32.96%+0.08 -19.9 1
1999-04-23 @ Agro Chisinau W 3-145.5 1061 1056 32.96% 29.64% 37.40%-0.08 +19.9 3
1999-04-23 Roma Balti L 0-536.3 1050 1097 31.52% 29.59% 38.89%-0.15 -47.6 0
1999-04-23 @ Unisport Chisinau W 5-036.3 1097 1050 38.89% 29.59% 31.52%+0.15 +47.6 4
1999-04-24 Sheriff Tiraspol D 0-048.4 1202 1217 36.04% 29.66% 34.31%+0.03 -0.1 2
1999-04-24 @ FC Olimpia Balti D 0-048.4 1217 1202 34.31% 29.66% 36.04%-0.03 +0.1 4
1999-04-24 Constructorul Chisinau D 1-157.1 1461 1296 58.19% 26.27% 15.54%+1.02 -3.0 7
1999-04-24 @ Zimbru D 1-157.1 1296 1461 15.54% 26.27% 58.19%-1.02 +2.9 7
1999-05-02 Roma Balti W 2-150.6 1081 1144 29.43% 29.47% 41.10%-0.24 +12.3 6
1999-05-02 @ Moldova Gaz Chisinau L 1-250.6 1144 1081 41.10% 29.47% 29.43%+0.24 -12.3 4
1999-05-02 Agro Chisinau W 1-043.6 1002 1037 33.22% 29.64% 37.14%-0.08 +12.1 3
1999-05-02 @ Unisport Chisinau L 0-143.6 1037 1002 37.14% 29.64% 33.22%+0.08 -12.1 1
1999-05-02 Tiligul L 0-148.2 1299 1181 53.09% 27.72% 19.19%+0.76 -16.1 7
1999-05-02 @ Constructorul Chisinau W 1-048.2 1181 1299 19.19% 27.72% 53.09%-0.76 +16.1 4
1999-05-02 Zimbru D 0-051.1 1217 1458 13.37% 25.05% 61.58%-1.21 +3.8 5
1999-05-02 @ Sheriff Tiraspol D 0-051.1 1458 1217 61.58% 25.05% 13.37%+1.21 -3.8 8
1999-05-08 Roma Balti D 0-048.4 1024 1132 24.18% 28.87% 46.95%-0.48 +1.6 2
1999-05-08 @ Agro Chisinau D 0-048.4 1132 1024 46.95% 28.87% 24.18%+0.48 -1.7 5
1999-05-08 Moldova Gaz Chisinau L 0-140.6 1014 1094 27.38% 29.30% 43.33%-0.33 -9.7 3
1999-05-08 @ Unisport Chisinau W 1-040.6 1094 1014 43.33% 29.30% 27.38%+0.33 +9.7 9
1999-05-09 Zimbru D 1-156.3 1202 1454 12.75% 24.64% 62.62%-1.28 +3.5 3
1999-05-09 @ FC Olimpia Balti D 1-156.3 1454 1202 62.62% 24.64% 12.75%+1.28 -3.5 9
1999-05-09 Tiligul D 1-153.6 1221 1197 41.43% 29.45% 29.12%+0.24 -0.8 6
1999-05-09 @ Sheriff Tiraspol D 1-153.6 1197 1221 29.12% 29.45% 41.43%-0.24 +0.8 5
1999-05-16 Agro Chisinau W 2-035.5 1103 1026 48.33% 28.66% 23.00%+0.54 +16.0 12
1999-05-16 @ Moldova Gaz Chisinau L 0-235.5 1026 1103 23.00% 28.66% 48.33%-0.54 -16.0 2
1999-05-16 Unisport Chisinau D 0-048.8 1130 1005 53.97% 27.50% 18.53%+0.80 -2.7 6
1999-05-16 @ Roma Balti D 0-048.8 1005 1130 18.53% 27.50% 53.97%-0.80 +2.7 4
1999-05-16 Sheriff Tiraspol W 2-036.5 1282 1220 46.45% 28.94% 24.61%+0.45 +16.9 10
1999-05-16 @ Constructorul Chisinau L 0-236.5 1220 1282 24.61% 28.94% 46.45%-0.45 -16.9 6
1999-05-16 FC Olimpia Balti W 1-042.7 1198 1206 36.95% 29.64% 33.41%+0.06 +11.3 8
1999-05-16 @ Tiligul L 0-142.7 1206 1198 33.41% 29.64% 36.95%-0.06 -11.3 3
1999-05-19 Unisport Chisinau L 1-253.4 1119 1007 52.45% 27.87% 19.68%+0.73 -15.0 12
1999-05-19 @ Moldova Gaz Chisinau W 2-153.4 1007 1119 19.68% 27.87% 52.45%-0.73 +15.0 7
1999-05-19 Constructorul Chisinau L 0-236.4 1195 1299 24.48% 28.92% 46.60%-0.47 -16.8 3
1999-05-19 @ FC Olimpia Balti W 2-036.4 1299 1195 46.60% 28.92% 24.48%+0.47 +16.8 13
1999-05-19 Tiligul W 2-031.8 1451 1209 65.45% 23.40% 11.15%+1.44 +8.0 12
1999-05-19 @ Zimbru L 0-231.8 1209 1451 11.15% 23.40% 65.45%-1.44 -8.0 8
1999-05-22 Unisport Chisinau D 1-153.4 1010 1022 36.38% 29.65% 33.97%+0.04 -0.2 3
1999-05-22 @ Agro Chisinau D 1-153.4 1022 1010 33.97% 29.65% 36.38%-0.04 +0.1 8
1999-05-22 Moldova Gaz Chisinau D 0-048.3 1128 1104 41.31% 29.46% 29.23%+0.24 -0.8 7
1999-05-22 @ Roma Balti D 0-048.3 1104 1128 29.23% 29.46% 41.31%-0.24 +0.8 13
1999-05-22 Zimbru D 1-156.9 1316 1459 20.67% 28.14% 51.20%-0.67 +2.0 14
1999-05-22 @ Constructorul Chisinau D 1-156.9 1459 1316 51.20% 28.14% 20.67%+0.67 -2.0 13
1999-05-22 FC Olimpia Balti W 5-035.7 1203 1178 41.63% 29.44% 28.94%+0.25 +44.7 9
1999-05-22 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-535.7 1178 1203 28.94% 29.44% 41.63%-0.25 -44.7 3
1999-06-13 Constructorul Chisinau L 1-245.4 1201 1318 23.15% 28.69% 48.16%-0.53 -8.0 8
1999-06-13 @ Tiligul W 2-145.4 1318 1201 48.16% 28.69% 23.15%+0.53 +8.0 17
1999-06-13 Sheriff Tiraspol W 3-247.0 1457 1248 62.43% 24.71% 12.86%+1.26 +4.4 16
1999-06-13 @ Zimbru L 2-347.0 1248 1457 12.86% 24.71% 62.43%-1.26 -4.4 9

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1998-11-07 14.15% Roma Balti 1070 2 @ FC Olimpia Balti 1257 0
2 1998-08-06 16.22% @ FC Olimpia Balti 1185 1 Zimbru 1382 0
3 1999-05-02 19.19% Tiligul 1181 1 @ Constructorul Chisinau 1299 0
4 1999-05-19 19.68% Unisport Chisinau 1007 2 @ Moldova Gaz Chisinau 1119 1
5 1998-08-29 21.06% @ Agro Chisinau 1036 2 Nistru Otaci 1174 1
6 1998-09-14 21.96% Unisport Chisinau 1070 2 @ Moldova Gaz Chisinau 1158 1
7 1998-07-25 23.09% Unisport Chisinau 1099 1 @ Nistru Otaci 1176 0
8 1998-07-17 24.94% Agro Chisinau 1067 2 @ Unisport Chisinau 1126 0
9 1998-10-03 24.94% @ Moldova Gaz Chisinau 1105 2 Sheriff Tiraspol 1205 1
10 1998-09-14 25.56% @ Nistru Otaci 1159 3 Constructorul Chisinau 1254 0
11 1998-10-24 26.47% Agro Chisinau 1044 2 @ Moldova Gaz Chisinau 1090 1
12 1998-07-17 26.64% @ Sheriff Tiraspol 1120 6 Roma Balti 1206 1
13 1998-10-24 26.67% @ Sheriff Tiraspol 1197 1 Constructorul Chisinau 1282 0
14 1998-08-02 28.06% Nistru Otaci 1161 4 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 1194 3
15 1998-07-25 28.13% Moldova Gaz Chisinau 1123 3 @ Roma Balti 1155 2
16 1998-10-02 28.57% Unisport Chisinau 1087 3 @ Roma Balti 1115 1
17 1999-05-02 29.43% @ Moldova Gaz Chisinau 1081 2 Roma Balti 1144 1
18 1998-10-07 29.94% @ Agro Chisinau 1049 2 Unisport Chisinau 1108 1
19 1998-07-11 30.08% @ Nistru Otaci 1164 2 FC Olimpia Balti 1222 1
20 1998-07-25 32.51% @ Tiligul 1158 1 FC Olimpia Balti 1198 0
21 1998-07-11 32.90% @ Sheriff Tiraspol 1109 2 Moldova Gaz Chisinau 1146 1
22 1999-04-23 32.96% Moldova Gaz Chisinau 1061 3 @ Agro Chisinau 1056 1
23 1999-05-02 33.22% @ Unisport Chisinau 1002 1 Agro Chisinau 1037 0
24 1998-09-27 33.28% @ Tiligul 1164 3 Nistru Otaci 1198 1
25 1998-07-17 34.14% Tiligul 1148 3 @ Moldova Gaz Chisinau 1134 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1998-07-17 50.55 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 6 1120 26.64% Roma Balti 1 1206 44.14% 29.22%
2 1999-04-23 47.63 Roma Balti 5 1097 38.89% @ Unisport Chisinau 0 1050 31.52% 29.59%
3 1999-05-22 44.72 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 5 1203 41.63% FC Olimpia Balti 0 1178 28.94% 29.44%
4 1998-09-27 39.10 @ Constructorul Chisinau 5 1209 46.77% Moldova Gaz Chisinau 0 1144 24.33% 28.90%
5 1998-09-14 38.75 @ Nistru Otaci 3 1159 25.56% Constructorul Chisinau 0 1254 45.36% 29.08%
6 1998-11-07 33.82 Roma Balti 2 1070 14.15% @ FC Olimpia Balti 0 1257 60.32% 25.53%
7 1998-08-06 27.18 Moldova Gaz Chisinau 3 1136 42.50% @ Agro Chisinau 0 1063 28.13% 29.37%
8 1998-07-17 27.01 Agro Chisinau 2 1067 24.94% @ Unisport Chisinau 0 1126 46.07% 28.99%
9 1998-10-07 25.70 @ Tiligul 3 1167 44.70% Moldova Gaz Chisinau 0 1118 26.14% 29.16%
10 1998-07-25 22.65 Sheriff Tiraspol 4 1171 42.99% @ Agro Chisinau 1 1094 27.68% 29.33%
11 1998-10-02 21.76 Unisport Chisinau 3 1087 28.57% @ Roma Balti 1 1115 42.02% 29.41%
12 1998-11-11 21.13 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 5 1195 53.76% Unisport Chisinau 1 1071 18.68% 27.55%
13 1998-08-29 20.23 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 2 1184 39.22% Tiligul 0 1176 31.21% 29.57%
14 1999-04-23 19.94 Moldova Gaz Chisinau 3 1061 32.96% @ Agro Chisinau 1 1056 37.40% 29.64%
15 1998-09-27 19.82 @ Tiligul 3 1164 33.28% Nistru Otaci 1 1198 37.08% 29.64%
16 1998-07-11 17.62 @ Constructorul Chisinau 2 1215 44.86% Tiligul 0 1165 26.00% 29.14%
17 1998-08-06 17.15 @ FC Olimpia Balti 1 1185 16.22% Zimbru 0 1382 57.18% 26.60%
18 1999-05-16 16.87 @ Constructorul Chisinau 2 1282 46.45% Sheriff Tiraspol 0 1220 24.61% 28.94%
19 1999-05-19 16.80 Constructorul Chisinau 2 1299 46.60% @ FC Olimpia Balti 0 1195 24.48% 28.92%
20 1998-10-03 16.71 Constructorul Chisinau 3 1248 41.28% @ Tiligul 1 1184 29.26% 29.46%
21 1999-05-02 16.10 Tiligul 1 1181 19.19% @ Constructorul Chisinau 0 1299 53.09% 27.72%
22 1999-05-16 15.98 @ Moldova Gaz Chisinau 2 1103 48.33% Agro Chisinau 0 1026 23.00% 28.66%
23 1998-08-02 15.32 Constructorul Chisinau 2 1244 49.71% @ Unisport Chisinau 0 1114 21.86% 28.43%
24 1999-05-19 15.04 Unisport Chisinau 2 1007 19.68% @ Moldova Gaz Chisinau 1 1119 52.45% 27.87%
25 1998-07-25 14.87 Unisport Chisinau 1 1099 23.09% @ Nistru Otaci 0 1176 48.23% 28.68%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1998-10-18 58.9 @ Unisport Chisinau 2 1096 28.93% Nistru Otaci 2 1163 41.63% 29.44%
2 1998-08-02 57.5 Nistru Otaci 4 1161 28.06% @ Sheriff Tiraspol 3 1194 42.58% 29.36%
3 1999-04-24 57.1 @ Zimbru 1 1461 58.19% Constructorul Chisinau 1 1296 15.54% 26.27%
4 1999-05-22 56.9 @ Constructorul Chisinau 1 1316 20.67% Zimbru 1 1459 51.20% 28.14%
5 1999-05-09 56.3 @ FC Olimpia Balti 1 1202 12.75% Zimbru 1 1454 62.62% 24.64%
6 1998-07-25 55.4 Moldova Gaz Chisinau 3 1123 28.13% @ Roma Balti 2 1155 42.51% 29.37%
7 1998-08-06 53.9 @ Constructorul Chisinau 1 1260 48.37% Sheriff Tiraspol 1 1182 22.97% 28.66%
8 1998-07-17 53.6 Tiligul 3 1148 34.14% @ Moldova Gaz Chisinau 2 1134 36.20% 29.66%
9 1998-09-10 53.6 @ FC Olimpia Balti 1 1210 38.98% Sheriff Tiraspol 1 1204 31.43% 29.58%
10 1998-09-14 53.6 @ Agro Chisinau 1 1054 23.79% Tiligul 1 1165 47.41% 28.81%
11 1998-10-07 53.6 @ Roma Balti 1 1093 25.18% Sheriff Tiraspol 1 1192 45.80% 29.03%
12 1999-05-09 53.6 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 1 1221 41.43% Tiligul 1 1197 29.12% 29.45%
13 1998-10-21 53.5 @ Nistru Otaci 1 1162 33.20% Sheriff Tiraspol 1 1197 37.16% 29.64%
14 1999-05-19 53.4 Unisport Chisinau 2 1007 19.68% @ Moldova Gaz Chisinau 1 1119 52.45% 27.87%
15 1999-05-22 53.4 @ Agro Chisinau 1 1010 36.38% Unisport Chisinau 1 1022 33.97% 29.65%
16 1998-08-29 53.1 @ Agro Chisinau 2 1036 21.06% Nistru Otaci 1 1174 50.71% 28.24%
17 1998-09-14 52.8 Unisport Chisinau 2 1070 21.96% @ Moldova Gaz Chisinau 1 1158 49.59% 28.45%
18 1998-10-03 51.9 @ Moldova Gaz Chisinau 2 1105 24.94% Sheriff Tiraspol 1 1205 46.06% 28.99%
19 1998-10-24 51.4 Agro Chisinau 2 1044 26.47% @ Moldova Gaz Chisinau 1 1090 44.33% 29.20%
20 1999-05-02 51.1 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 0 1217 13.37% Zimbru 0 1458 61.58% 25.05%
21 1998-10-24 50.7 @ Zimbru 0 1419 60.53% FC Olimpia Balti 0 1230 14.02% 25.45%
22 1998-10-18 50.6 @ Zimbru 0 1411 55.20% Constructorul Chisinau 0 1274 17.62% 27.17%
23 1999-05-02 50.6 @ Moldova Gaz Chisinau 2 1081 29.43% Roma Balti 1 1144 41.10% 29.47%
24 1998-07-11 50.5 @ Nistru Otaci 2 1164 30.08% FC Olimpia Balti 1 1222 40.40% 29.52%
25 1998-10-07 50.4 @ Agro Chisinau 2 1049 29.94% Unisport Chisinau 1 1108 40.56% 29.51%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1998-10-03 25.9 @ Zimbru 4 1396 73.20% Agro Chisinau 0 1059 7.43% 19.37%
2 1998-10-28 26.0 @ Zimbru 4 1415 73.32% Moldova Gaz Chisinau 0 1076 7.38% 19.30%
3 1998-11-01 27.2 Zimbru 3 1424 70.58% @ Unisport Chisinau 0 1080 8.59% 20.83%
4 1998-09-10 29.1 @ Zimbru 2 1379 70.57% Unisport Chisinau 0 1076 8.59% 20.84%
5 1998-11-11 29.7 Zimbru 2 1437 69.69% @ Roma Balti 0 1104 9.00% 21.31%
6 1998-09-27 30.2 @ Zimbru 2 1389 67.60% Roma Balti 0 1122 10.02% 22.38%
7 1999-05-19 31.8 @ Zimbru 2 1451 65.45% Tiligul 0 1209 11.15% 23.40%
8 1998-08-02 32.1 @ Zimbru 2 1372 61.76% Tiligul 0 1171 13.26% 24.98%
9 1999-04-20 32.2 Zimbru 2 1452 63.62% @ Tiligul 0 1190 12.17% 24.22%
10 1999-04-03 32.3 @ Zimbru 2 1444 63.76% FC Olimpia Balti 0 1220 12.08% 24.16%
11 1998-10-21 33.3 Zimbru 2 1408 58.97% @ Tiligul 0 1193 15.02% 26.01%
12 1998-10-28 33.4 @ FC Olimpia Balti 2 1233 55.63% Unisport Chisinau 0 1092 17.31% 27.06%
13 1998-07-11 33.9 Zimbru 1 1368 66.68% @ Agro Chisinau 0 1071 10.50% 22.83%
14 1998-09-27 34.1 @ Constructorul Chisinau 5 1209 46.77% Moldova Gaz Chisinau 0 1144 24.33% 28.90%
15 1998-10-21 34.4 @ FC Olimpia Balti 2 1216 52.45% Moldova Gaz Chisinau 0 1104 19.68% 27.86%
16 1998-10-07 34.6 @ Tiligul 3 1167 44.70% Moldova Gaz Chisinau 0 1118 26.14% 29.16%
17 1998-11-11 34.6 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 5 1195 53.76% Unisport Chisinau 1 1071 18.68% 27.55%
18 1998-08-02 35.2 Constructorul Chisinau 2 1244 49.71% @ Unisport Chisinau 0 1114 21.86% 28.43%
19 1998-08-06 35.2 Moldova Gaz Chisinau 3 1136 42.50% @ Agro Chisinau 0 1063 28.13% 29.37%
20 1998-11-07 35.4 @ Zimbru 1 1433 64.73% Sheriff Tiraspol 0 1199 11.54% 23.73%
21 1999-05-16 35.5 @ Moldova Gaz Chisinau 2 1103 48.33% Agro Chisinau 0 1026 23.00% 28.66%
22 1998-10-28 35.7 @ Constructorul Chisinau 1 1268 60.00% Roma Balti 0 1085 14.35% 25.65%
23 1999-05-22 35.7 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 5 1203 41.63% FC Olimpia Balti 0 1178 28.94% 29.44%
24 1998-10-21 35.9 @ Constructorul Chisinau 1 1276 59.63% Unisport Chisinau 0 1097 14.59% 25.78%
25 1998-10-07 36.0 Zimbru 1 1405 61.22% @ Nistru Otaci 0 1168 13.59% 25.19%