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2020-21 Eredivisie Season

306 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Ajax

88 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ajax

14.08 points above expected

88 points · 73.92 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

ADO Den Haag

8.84 points below expected

22 points · 30.84 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Ajax 34 28 4 2 88 102 23 +79 73.92 +14.08
2 PSV Eindhoven 34 21 9 4 72 74 35 +39 66.61 +5.39
3 Alkmaar 34 21 8 5 71 75 41 +34 63.84 +7.16
4 Vitesse 34 18 7 9 61 52 38 +14 56.19 +4.81
5 Feyenoord 34 16 11 7 59 64 36 +28 61.51 -2.51
6 Utrecht 34 13 14 7 53 52 41 +11 52.14 +0.86
7 Groningen 34 14 8 12 50 40 37 +3 48.36 +1.64
8 Sparta Rotterdam 34 13 8 13 47 49 48 +1 42.43 +4.57
9 Heracles Almelo 34 12 8 14 44 42 53 -11 42.18 +1.82
10 Twente 34 10 11 13 41 48 50 -2 45.43 -4.43
11 Fortuna Sittard 34 12 5 17 41 50 58 -8 37.49 +3.51
12 Heerenveen 34 9 12 13 39 43 49 -6 46.93 -7.93
13 Zwolle 34 9 11 14 38 44 53 -9 40.59 -2.59
14 Willem II 34 8 7 19 31 40 68 -28 38.48 -7.48
15 RKC Waalwijk 34 7 9 18 30 33 55 -22 33.39 -3.39
16 Emmen 34 7 9 18 30 40 68 -28 31.80 -1.80
17 VVV-Venlo 34 6 5 23 23 43 91 -48 31.82 -8.82
18 ADO Den Haag 34 4 10 20 22 29 76 -47 30.84 -8.84

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

Utrecht 1
Groningen 0
Feyenoord 2
Sparta Rotterdam 0
Feyenoord 2
Utrecht 0

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Ajax 2079 88 73.92 +14.08 98.9% 43 62 69 74 79 85 96
Alkmaar 1955 71 63.84 +7.16 85.7% 32 52 59 64 69 75 90
PSV Eindhoven 1949 72 66.61 +5.39 80.0% 40 55 62 67 71 78 93
Feyenoord 1903 59 61.51 -2.51 38.6% 33 50 57 62 66 73 88
Utrecht 1822 53 52.14 +0.86 56.9% 27 40 47 52 57 64 81
Vitesse 1812 61 56.19 +4.81 77.0% 28 44 51 56 61 68 87
Sparta Rotterdam 1756 47 42.43 +4.57 76.3% 14 31 37 42 47 54 71
Groningen 1751 50 48.36 +1.64 62.2% 23 36 43 48 53 60 73
Heracles Almelo 1716 44 42.18 +1.82 63.5% 18 30 37 42 47 54 69
Heerenveen 1711 39 46.93 -7.93 15.6% 22 35 42 47 52 59 75
Zwolle 1708 38 40.59 -2.59 39.1% 17 29 36 41 45 52 68
Fortuna Sittard 1703 41 37.49 +3.51 72.2% 17 26 33 37 42 49 66
Twente 1700 41 45.43 -4.43 30.0% 17 34 40 45 50 58 74
Willem II 1661 31 38.48 -7.48 16.3% 13 27 34 38 43 50 65
Emmen 1652 30 31.80 -1.80 42.8% 10 21 27 32 36 43 61
RKC Waalwijk 1625 30 33.39 -3.39 34.5% 9 22 29 33 38 45 61
ADO Den Haag 1549 22 30.84 -8.84 10.6% 8 20 26 31 35 42 62
VVV-Venlo 1548 23 31.82 -8.82 10.8% 9 21 27 32 36 43 60

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ADH AJA ALK EMM FEY FS GRO HEE HA PE RW SR TWE UTR VVV VIT WI ZWO
ADO Den Haag —
0-0-2
0.68
0-1-1
1.27
0-2-0
2.73
1-0-1
1.19
0-0-2
1.92
0-0-2
1.98
0-1-1
1.65
0-0-2
2.10
0-1-1
1.08
1-1-0
2.40
0-1-1
2.12
0-0-2
1.84
0-1-1
1.41
1-0-1
2.73
0-1-1
1.47
0-1-1
2.29
1-0-1
1.95
Ajax
2-0-0
5.05
 —
2-0-0
3.50
2-0-0
4.91
2-0-0
3.74
2-0-0
4.70
1-0-1
4.18
2-0-0
4.22
2-0-0
4.53
0-2-0
3.36
2-0-0
4.77
2-0-0
4.34
1-0-1
4.31
1-1-0
4.14
2-0-0
4.80
2-0-0
4.02
1-1-0
4.75
2-0-0
4.68
Alkmaar
1-1-0
4.32
0-0-2
1.99
 —
2-0-0
4.51
2-0-0
2.91
1-1-0
4.20
0-1-1
3.88
2-0-0
3.47
2-0-0
4.11
2-0-0
2.52
2-0-0
4.44
1-1-0
4.13
2-0-0
3.71
0-1-1
3.74
1-1-0
4.20
1-0-1
3.32
2-0-0
4.35
0-2-0
4.04
Emmen
0-2-0
2.73
0-0-2
0.79
0-0-2
1.10
 —
0-1-1
1.24
1-1-0
2.55
0-1-1
1.72
1-0-1
1.97
1-0-1
2.03
0-0-2
1.12
1-0-1
2.35
0-1-1
2.05
0-1-1
2.07
1-0-1
1.51
1-0-1
3.07
0-0-2
1.30
0-1-1
2.14
1-1-0
2.03
Feyenoord
1-0-1
4.41
0-0-2
1.77
0-0-2
2.56
1-1-0
4.35
 —
2-0-0
4.21
1-1-0
3.54
1-0-1
3.76
0-2-0
3.93
1-1-0
2.25
1-1-0
4.29
1-1-0
3.93
0-2-0
3.70
1-1-0
3.43
2-0-0
4.34
0-1-1
3.15
2-0-0
3.76
2-0-0
3.89
Fortuna Sittard
2-0-0
3.57
0-0-2
0.95
0-1-1
1.36
0-1-1
2.93
0-0-2
1.35
 —
0-0-2
2.07
1-0-1
2.01
1-0-1
2.37
0-0-2
1.27
2-0-0
3.04
1-0-1
2.33
1-0-1
2.48
0-1-1
1.90
2-0-0
3.06
0-1-1
1.66
1-0-1
2.66
1-1-0
2.39
Groningen
2-0-0
3.53
1-0-1
1.38
1-1-0
1.64
1-1-0
3.80
0-1-1
1.95
2-0-0
3.41
 —
0-1-1
2.99
0-0-2
3.35
0-0-2
1.67
1-0-1
3.75
1-0-1
3.05
0-1-1
2.94
0-2-0
2.51
2-0-0
3.78
0-1-1
2.03
2-0-0
3.31
1-0-1
3.31
Heerenveen
1-1-0
3.86
0-0-2
1.34
0-0-2
2.03
1-0-1
3.51
1-0-1
1.74
1-0-1
3.47
1-1-0
2.48
 —
0-0-2
3.18
0-2-0
1.55
0-2-0
3.77
1-0-1
2.99
0-2-0
2.73
0-2-0
2.24
1-1-0
3.44
1-1-0
2.13
1-0-1
3.13
0-0-2
3.24
Heracles Almelo
2-0-0
3.38
0-0-2
1.08
0-0-2
1.43
1-0-1
3.45
0-2-0
1.60
1-0-1
3.10
2-0-0
2.13
2-0-0
2.30
 —
0-1-1
1.48
0-0-2
3.44
0-2-0
2.81
0-2-0
2.60
1-0-1
2.11
1-0-1
3.53
0-0-2
1.93
1-0-1
2.94
1-1-0
2.79
PSV Eindhoven
1-1-0
4.53
0-2-0
2.12
0-0-2
2.95
2-0-0
4.48
0-1-1
3.23
2-0-0
4.31
2-0-0
3.86
0-2-0
3.99
1-1-0
4.07
 —
2-0-0
4.58
2-0-0
4.08
1-1-0
3.86
1-1-0
3.74
2-0-0
4.73
1-0-1
3.47
2-0-0
4.38
2-0-0
4.16
RKC Waalwijk
0-1-1
3.07
0-0-2
0.89
0-0-2
1.15
1-0-1
3.12
0-1-1
1.28
0-0-2
2.42
1-0-1
1.75
0-2-0
1.74
2-0-0
2.04
0-0-2
1.04
 —
0-0-2
2.40
2-0-0
1.89
0-0-2
1.59
1-1-0
2.98
0-1-1
1.52
0-1-1
2.52
0-2-0
2.16
Sparta Rotterdam
1-1-0
3.36
0-0-2
1.25
0-1-1
1.42
1-1-0
3.43
0-1-1
1.60
1-0-1
3.14
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.48
0-2-0
2.65
0-0-2
1.46
2-0-0
3.08
 —
1-1-0
2.49
0-1-1
2.27
2-0-0
3.41
1-0-1
1.98
1-0-1
3.15
1-0-1
2.82
Twente
2-0-0
3.66
1-0-1
1.27
0-0-2
1.80
1-1-0
3.41
0-2-0
1.80
1-0-1
2.98
1-1-0
2.53
0-2-0
2.74
0-2-0
2.87
0-1-1
1.66
0-0-2
3.62
0-1-1
2.98
 —
0-0-2
2.21
1-0-1
3.72
1-0-1
2.03
1-1-0
3.09
1-0-1
3.12
Utrecht
1-1-0
4.13
0-1-1
1.41
1-1-0
1.76
1-0-1
4.04
0-1-1
2.05
1-1-0
3.59
0-2-0
2.95
0-2-0
3.23
1-0-1
3.37
0-1-1
1.76
2-0-0
3.93
1-1-0
3.21
2-0-0
3.26
 —
1-1-0
3.62
0-0-2
2.43
2-0-0
3.93
0-2-0
3.44
VVV-Venlo
1-0-1
2.74
0-0-2
0.88
0-1-1
1.36
1-0-1
2.40
0-0-2
1.24
0-0-2
2.41
0-0-2
1.73
0-1-1
2.04
1-0-1
1.96
0-0-2
0.92
0-1-1
2.49
0-0-2
2.08
1-0-1
1.78
0-1-1
1.87
 —
1-0-1
1.47
1-0-1
2.19
0-1-1
2.22
Vitesse
1-1-0
4.10
0-0-2
1.51
1-0-1
2.15
2-0-0
4.26
1-1-0
2.33
1-1-0
3.87
1-1-0
3.46
0-1-1
3.35
2-0-0
3.56
1-0-1
2.02
1-1-0
4.02
1-0-1
3.51
1-0-1
3.46
2-0-0
3.05
1-0-1
4.06
 —
1-1-0
3.78
1-0-1
3.81
Willem II
1-1-0
3.18
0-1-1
0.90
0-0-2
1.23
1-1-0
3.34
0-0-2
1.77
1-0-1
2.81
0-0-2
2.17
1-0-1
2.34
1-0-1
2.53
0-0-2
1.21
1-1-0
2.95
1-0-1
2.33
0-1-1
2.40
0-0-2
1.59
1-0-1
3.29
0-1-1
1.74
 —
0-1-1
2.75
Zwolle
1-0-1
3.55
0-0-2
0.96
0-2-0
1.50
0-1-1
3.45
0-0-2
1.64
0-1-1
3.08
1-0-1
2.17
2-0-0
2.24
0-1-1
2.67
0-0-2
1.40
0-2-0
3.32
1-0-1
2.64
1-0-1
2.36
0-2-0
2.04
1-1-0
3.26
1-0-1
1.70
1-1-0
2.72
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.84 +9.4
Allowed 0.78 -9.6
Differential 0.96 +5.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.23%6.54%5.88%3.59%1.80%1.47%24.51%
16.54%13.40%5.88%5.39%2.45%0.33%33.99%
25.88%5.88%5.23%2.29%0.98%0.16%20.42%
33.59%5.39%2.29%1.31%—0.49%13.07%
41.80%2.45%0.98%—0.33%—5.56%
5+1.47%0.33%0.16%0.49%——2.45%
Total24.51%33.99%20.42%13.07%5.56%2.45%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.50 +0.00
SD 1.37 1.37 2.11
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 13 13 +13
Min 0 0 -13

Games Played: 306

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.82%2.94%11.76%8.82%2.94%5.88%41.18%
15.88%14.71%5.88%—8.82%—35.29%
2—2.94%5.88%2.94%8.82%—20.59%
3——2.94%———2.94%
4———————
5+———————
Total14.71%20.59%26.47%11.76%20.59%5.88%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 2.24 -1.38
SD 0.86 1.58 1.76
CV 1.01 0.71 —
Max 3 6 +1
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—2.94%————2.94%
18.82%8.82%2.94%———20.59%
28.82%8.82%2.94%———20.59%
311.76%14.71%————26.47%
45.88%—5.88%———11.76%
5+11.76%2.94%2.94%———17.65%
Total47.06%38.24%14.71%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.00 0.68 +2.32
SD 2.26 0.73 2.47
CV 0.75 1.07 —
Max 13 2 +13
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%2.94%2.94%2.94%——11.76%
111.76%5.88%5.88%———23.53%
25.88%5.88%8.82%———20.59%
35.88%14.71%2.94%2.94%——26.47%
4—5.88%2.94%—2.94%—11.76%
5+2.94%——2.94%——5.88%
Total29.41%35.29%23.53%8.82%2.94%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.21 1.21 +1.00
SD 1.41 1.07 1.61
CV 0.64 0.88 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.88%8.82%5.88%—11.76%2.94%35.29%
12.94%17.65%5.88%2.94%5.88%—35.29%
2——2.94%5.88%——8.82%
3—11.76%2.94%——2.94%17.65%
42.94%—————2.94%
5+———————
Total11.76%38.24%17.65%8.82%17.65%5.88%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 2.00 -0.82
SD 1.19 1.50 2.07
CV 1.01 0.75 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.82%5.88%—5.88%——20.59%
12.94%17.65%————20.59%
211.76%2.94%5.88%5.88%2.94%—29.41%
38.82%5.88%2.94%———17.65%
4—2.94%2.94%———5.88%
5+5.88%—————5.88%
Total38.24%35.29%11.76%11.76%2.94%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 1.06 +0.82
SD 1.49 1.13 1.99
CV 0.79 1.06 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.71%11.76%———26.47%
1—2.94%5.88%14.71%——23.53%
25.88%11.76%5.88%——2.94%26.47%
35.88%5.88%5.88%5.88%——23.53%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.76%35.29%29.41%20.59%—2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.71 -0.24
SD 1.13 1.12 1.65
CV 0.77 0.65 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.82%14.71%5.88%———29.41%
117.65%8.82%2.94%11.76%——41.18%
22.94%5.88%5.88%———14.71%
32.94%2.94%5.88%———11.76%
42.94%—————2.94%
5+———————
Total35.29%32.35%20.59%11.76%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.09 +0.09
SD 1.09 1.03 1.48
CV 0.92 0.94 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.82%2.94%2.94%5.88%——20.59%
15.88%20.59%8.82%11.76%2.94%2.94%52.94%
25.88%—5.88%———11.76%
35.88%2.94%————8.82%
42.94%2.94%————5.88%
5+———————
Total29.41%29.41%17.65%17.65%2.94%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.44 -0.18
SD 1.08 1.33 1.93
CV 0.86 0.92 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%2.94%8.82%8.82%2.94%5.88%32.35%
111.76%14.71%5.88%2.94%——35.29%
22.94%8.82%5.88%2.94%——20.59%
3———————
48.82%2.94%————11.76%
5+———————
Total26.47%29.41%20.59%14.71%2.94%5.88%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.56 -0.32
SD 1.26 1.42 2.32
CV 1.02 0.91 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——2.94%———2.94%
15.88%14.71%2.94%5.88%——29.41%
214.71%5.88%11.76%———32.35%
311.76%8.82%————20.59%
42.94%5.88%2.94%———11.76%
5+———2.94%——2.94%
Total35.29%35.29%20.59%8.82%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 1.03 +1.15
SD 1.17 0.97 1.58
CV 0.54 0.94 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%11.76%11.76%8.82%——35.29%
15.88%17.65%8.82%8.82%2.94%—44.12%
22.94%2.94%2.94%———8.82%
32.94%2.94%2.94%2.94%——11.76%
4———————
5+———————
Total14.71%35.29%26.47%20.59%2.94%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.62 -0.65
SD 0.97 1.07 1.54
CV 1.00 0.66 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.88%8.82%11.76%—2.94%—29.41%
15.88%14.71%2.94%—2.94%—26.47%
211.76%8.82%—2.94%2.94%—26.47%
32.94%2.94%2.94%——2.94%11.76%
4————2.94%—2.94%
5+2.94%—————2.94%
Total29.41%35.29%17.65%2.94%11.76%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.41 +0.03
SD 1.37 1.42 1.95
CV 0.95 1.00 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.82%5.88%5.88%5.88%——26.47%
1—14.71%11.76%5.88%2.94%—35.29%
25.88%5.88%8.82%———20.59%
32.94%2.94%2.94%———8.82%
4—2.94%2.94%———5.88%
5+—2.94%————2.94%
Total17.65%35.29%32.35%11.76%2.94%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.47 -0.06
SD 1.31 1.02 1.76
CV 0.92 0.69 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.82%5.88%—2.94%——17.65%
18.82%23.53%5.88%2.94%2.94%—44.12%
22.94%8.82%5.88%———17.65%
3—5.88%5.88%2.94%——14.71%
4—2.94%————2.94%
5+2.94%—————2.94%
Total23.53%47.06%17.65%8.82%2.94%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.21 +0.32
SD 1.31 1.01 1.63
CV 0.86 0.84 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.82%5.88%2.94%5.88%5.88%29.41%
12.94%5.88%14.71%8.82%8.82%—41.18%
2—2.94%5.88%5.88%——14.71%
3——2.94%2.94%——5.88%
4—5.88%————5.88%
5+———2.94%——2.94%
Total2.94%23.53%29.41%23.53%14.71%5.88%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 2.68 -1.41
SD 1.29 2.21 2.81
CV 1.02 0.83 —
Max 5 13 +3
Min 0 0 -13

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.82%2.94%2.94%2.94%——17.65%
111.76%8.82%5.88%8.82%2.94%—38.24%
211.76%11.76%————23.53%
32.94%8.82%—2.94%——14.71%
4—5.88%————5.88%
5+———————
Total35.29%38.24%8.82%14.71%2.94%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.12 +0.41
SD 1.13 1.15 1.69
CV 0.74 1.03 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.88%5.88%5.88%5.88%2.94%5.88%32.35%
12.94%14.71%2.94%11.76%2.94%—35.29%
25.88%5.88%—8.82%——20.59%
3—2.94%———2.94%5.88%
42.94%2.94%————5.88%
5+———————
Total17.65%32.35%8.82%26.47%5.88%8.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 2.00 -0.82
SD 1.14 1.61 2.17
CV 0.97 0.81 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.88%8.82%8.82%2.94%2.94%—29.41%
15.88%14.71%5.88%——2.94%29.41%
25.88%5.88%8.82%5.88%2.94%—29.41%
3—2.94%—2.94%——5.88%
42.94%2.94%————5.88%
5+———————
Total20.59%35.29%23.53%11.76%5.88%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.56 -0.26
SD 1.14 1.28 1.76
CV 0.88 0.82 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ajax 88 73.92 +14.08
2 Alkmaar 71 63.84 +7.16
3 PSV Eindhoven 72 66.61 +5.39
4 Vitesse 61 56.19 +4.81
5 Sparta Rotterdam 47 42.43 +4.57

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 ADO Den Haag 22 30.84 -8.84
2 VVV-Venlo 23 31.82 -8.82
3 Heerenveen 39 46.93 -7.93
4 Willem II 31 38.48 -7.48
5 Twente 41 45.43 -4.43

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 ADO Den Haag 2 May 2 – May 9 1 in 65
2 Groningen 4 Nov 29 – Dec 19 1 in 52
3 Emmen 3 Apr 4 – Apr 25 1 in 47
4 Vitesse 5 Oct 3 – Nov 8 1 in 43
5 Utrecht 3 Jan 16 – Jan 27 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 VVV-Venlo 12 Jan 30 – May 1 1 in 1,578
2 Twente 4 Apr 3 – May 1 1 in 41
3 Heerenveen 3 Dec 20 – Jan 10 1 in 38
4 Willem II 4 Nov 29 – Dec 20 1 in 31
5 Vitesse 3 Feb 6 – Feb 21 1 in 29

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Emmen 8 Feb 20 – Apr 25 1 in 819
2 Willem II 5 Feb 24 – Mar 21 1 in 33
3 VVV-Venlo 5 Jan 10 – Jan 27 1 in 31
4 Ajax 23 Dec 12 – May 16 1 in 30
5 Fortuna Sittard 5 Dec 5 – Jan 10 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Emmen 22 Sep 13 – Feb 12 1 in 470
2 Heerenveen 11 Nov 8 – Jan 23 1 in 428
3 Twente 11 Feb 21 – May 13 1 in 133
4 Alkmaar 5 Sep 19 – Oct 25 1 in 83
5 Sparta Rotterdam 8 Jan 16 – Mar 5 1 in 45

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112131415161718
Ajax66.71%20.17%7.92%3.40%1.21%0.41%0.10%0.03%0.03%0.01%—0.01%——————
PSV Eindhoven16.55%34.31%23.20%14.56%6.30%2.96%1.24%0.52%0.22%0.09%0.02%0.02%0.01%—————
Alkmaar9.66%22.09%26.15%20.03%11.51%5.52%2.74%1.20%0.61%0.34%0.10%0.01%0.02%—0.02%———
Vitesse1.27%5.04%10.56%16.16%22.76%16.65%10.74%7.03%4.06%2.34%1.46%0.93%0.48%0.26%0.13%0.09%0.03%0.01%
Feyenoord5.30%14.93%22.42%24.01%15.84%8.53%4.38%2.25%1.08%0.68%0.27%0.16%0.11%0.03%—0.01%——
Utrecht0.38%1.92%4.80%9.76%15.37%18.46%15.26%10.60%8.20%5.60%4.01%2.05%1.50%0.99%0.51%0.36%0.18%0.05%
Groningen0.04%0.66%1.77%4.26%8.44%13.06%15.05%13.89%12.26%9.56%6.86%4.88%3.65%2.55%1.63%0.71%0.66%0.07%
Sparta Rotterdam—0.07%0.36%0.89%2.22%4.92%7.38%9.84%11.01%11.74%11.38%10.21%9.16%7.57%5.59%4.12%2.28%1.26%
Heracles Almelo—0.06%0.29%0.87%2.41%3.93%6.79%8.58%10.22%11.60%11.96%10.95%9.76%8.02%6.24%4.34%2.41%1.57%
Twente0.02%0.36%0.76%2.20%4.97%8.48%10.83%12.46%12.53%11.39%10.12%8.08%6.61%4.48%3.26%2.02%1.00%0.43%
Fortuna Sittard——0.05%0.09%0.56%1.33%2.39%4.45%5.36%7.58%9.36%11.36%11.52%12.03%10.58%10.25%8.06%5.03%
Heerenveen0.07%0.36%1.46%2.92%5.98%10.33%13.06%13.69%12.36%10.92%8.61%6.68%5.28%3.66%2.12%1.47%0.76%0.27%
Zwolle—0.03%0.18%0.52%1.42%3.07%4.99%7.37%8.95%10.13%10.92%11.78%11.21%9.48%7.57%5.93%4.29%2.16%
Willem II——0.06%0.27%0.69%1.61%3.13%4.40%6.70%8.30%9.46%11.17%11.92%11.36%11.14%9.04%6.68%4.07%
RKC Waalwijk———0.03%0.14%0.22%0.73%1.38%2.17%3.57%5.22%6.93%9.26%11.21%14.19%14.80%15.98%14.17%
Emmen——0.01%—0.07%0.12%0.40%0.93%1.42%2.22%3.69%5.37%7.30%10.00%13.29%15.88%18.20%21.10%
VVV-Venlo———0.03%0.07%0.24%0.42%0.87%1.64%2.40%3.55%4.97%6.60%9.61%12.21%15.71%19.06%22.62%
ADO Den Haag——0.01%—0.04%0.16%0.37%0.51%1.18%1.53%3.01%4.44%5.61%8.75%11.52%15.27%20.41%27.19%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+7.84%
Slight Edge
41.18%25.49%33.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 27.31 Elo pts.
148 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.21 goals
Neutral
-2+0.18+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 9th * Longshot: 10th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.1
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
67%
Ajax, 1st of 18
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.47/gm
Comfortable
00.200.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.65 * Some Luck: 5.65 to 8.48 * Lucky: 8.48 to 11.31 * Wild Swing: 11.31 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.64 * Close: 1.64 to 2.46 * Off: 2.46 to 3.29 * Way Off: 3.29 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 18 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 18 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 18 * As Expected: 18 to 28.8 * Several Outliers: 28.8 to 39.6 * Many Outliers: 39.6 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.07 points
Some Luck
07.0718
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
02.055
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.22%
98.86%
Ajax
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.78%
10.55%
ADO Den Haag
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 18
Minimal Outliers
01.89

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
2.06
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
71%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
95%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Very Frequent
0%52%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Frequent
0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.39
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.76
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.86
Near-Lock
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Chalky
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
As Expected
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.2 * Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Probability calibration
0.92
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.29
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.046
Well Within Noise
00.1010.25

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff Direct relegation
Ajax 100% — —
Alkmaar 100% — —
PSV Eindhoven 100% — —
Feyenoord 99.99% 0.01% —
Vitesse 99.87% 0.09% 0.04%
Utrecht 99.41% 0.36% 0.23%
Groningen 98.56% 0.71% 0.73%
Heerenveen 97.50% 1.47% 1.03%
Twente 96.55% 2.02% 1.43%
Sparta Rotterdam 92.34% 4.12% 3.54%
Heracles Almelo 91.68% 4.34% 3.98%
Zwolle 87.62% 5.93% 6.45%
Willem II 80.21% 9.04% 10.75%
Fortuna Sittard 76.66% 10.25% 13.09%
RKC Waalwijk 55.05% 14.80% 30.15%
VVV-Venlo 42.61% 15.71% 41.68%
ADO Den Haag 37.13% 15.27% 47.60%
Emmen — 100% —
Loser →
↓ Winner
ADO Den HaagAlmere CityCambuurDe GraafschapDen BoschEmmenExcelsiorFC EindhovenFortuna SittardGo Ahead EaglesGroningenHelmond SportHeracles AlmeloMVV MaastrichtNAC BredaNEC NijmegenRKC WaalwijkRoda JC KerkradeSC TelstarTOP OssVVV-VenloVolendamWillem IIZwolle
ADO Den Haag
Almere City
Cambuur
De Graafschap
Den Bosch
Emmen
Excelsior
FC Eindhoven
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Helmond Sport
Heracles Almelo
MVV Maastricht
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
RKC Waalwijk
Roda JC Kerkrade
SC Telstar
TOP Oss
VVV-Venlo
Volendam
Willem II
Zwolle
Loser →
↓ Winner
ADO Den HaagAlmere CityCambuurDe GraafschapEmmenExcelsiorFC EindhovenFortuna SittardGo Ahead EaglesGroningenHeracles AlmeloMVV MaastrichtNAC BredaNEC NijmegenRKC WaalwijkRoda JC KerkradeSC TelstarSparta RotterdamVVV-VenloVolendamWillem IIZwolle
ADO Den Haag100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%40.0%5.00%0.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%
Almere City0.0%1.00%25.0%4.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Cambuur100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
De Graafschap100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%
Emmen75.0%4.00%66.7%3.00%25.0%4.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%
Excelsior100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
FC Eindhoven
Fortuna Sittard50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%40.0%5.00%80.0%5.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%
Go Ahead Eagles60.0%5.00%75.0%4.00%60.0%5.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%
Groningen100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Heracles Almelo0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
MVV Maastricht
NAC Breda100.0%2.00%20.0%5.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
NEC Nijmegen50.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
RKC Waalwijk0.0%3.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%
Roda JC Kerkrade100.0%1.00%
SC Telstar100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Sparta Rotterdam0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
VVV-Venlo33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Volendam50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%
Willem II100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
Zwolle100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
ADO Den HaagAlmere CityCambuurDe GraafschapEmmenExcelsiorFC EindhovenFortuna SittardGo Ahead EaglesGroningenHeracles AlmeloMVV MaastrichtNAC BredaNEC NijmegenRKC WaalwijkRoda JC KerkradeSC TelstarVVV-VenloVolendamWillem IIZwolle
ADO Den Haag100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%1.00%
Almere City50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Cambuur0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
De Graafschap33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
Emmen50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Excelsior0.0%1.00%
FC Eindhoven
Fortuna Sittard50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
Go Ahead Eagles0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%
Groningen0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Heracles Almelo0.0%1.00%
MVV Maastricht0.0%1.00%
NAC Breda100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%
NEC Nijmegen100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
RKC Waalwijk0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
Roda JC Kerkrade
SC Telstar
VVV-Venlo0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Volendam50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Willem II100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%
Zwolle50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Quarterfinals Semifinals Finals
NAC Breda 61.68% 37.50% 22.10%
Emmen — 43.73% 21.42%
De Graafschap 72.31% 39.67% 20.20%
Almere City 50.05% 26.38% 12.51%
NEC Nijmegen 49.95% 25.23% 11.92%
Volendam 38.32% 18.77% 9.22%
Roda JC Kerkrade 27.69% 8.72% 2.63%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Almere CityDe GraafschapEmmenNAC BredaNEC NijmegenRoda JC KerkradeVolendam
Almere City
De Graafschap
Emmen
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
Roda JC Kerkrade
Volendam
Loser →
↓ Winner
Almere CityDe GraafschapEmmenNAC BredaNEC NijmegenRoda JC KerkradeVolendam
Almere City
De Graafschap
Emmen39.2%61.68%51.0%38.32%
NAC Breda60.8%61.68%
NEC Nijmegen
Roda JC Kerkrade
Volendam49.0%38.32%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Almere CityDe GraafschapEmmenNAC BredaNEC NijmegenRoda JC KerkradeVolendam
Almere City50.2%11.65%
De Graafschap55.1%17.29%
Emmen49.8%11.65%44.9%17.29%49.3%10.87%63.5%3.92%
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen50.7%10.87%
Roda JC Kerkrade36.5%3.92%
Volendam

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2020-09-12 Feyenoord L 0-2 1705 1833 24.5% 25.7% 49.9% -10.6 0
2020-09-12 @ Zwolle W 2-0 1833 1705 49.9% 25.7% 24.5% +10.6 3
2020-09-12 Fortuna Sittard W 2-0 1711 1684 44.5% 26.4% 29.0% +12.3 3
2020-09-12 @ Twente L 0-2 1684 1711 29.0% 26.4% 44.5% -12.3 0
2020-09-12 Willem II W 2-0 1748 1755 39.9% 26.7% 33.4% +13.7 3
2020-09-12 @ Heerenveen L 0-2 1755 1748 33.4% 26.7% 39.9% -13.6 0
2020-09-13 ADO Den Haag W 2-0 1737 1708 44.9% 26.4% 28.7% +12.2 3
2020-09-13 @ Heracles Almelo L 0-2 1708 1737 28.7% 26.4% 44.9% -12.1 0
2020-09-13 Ajax L 0-1 1719 1900 19.5% 24.3% 56.2% -4.6 0
2020-09-13 @ Sparta Rotterdam W 1-0 1900 1719 56.2% 24.3% 19.5% +4.6 3
2020-09-13 PSV Eindhoven L 1-3 1752 1876 24.9% 25.8% 49.3% -9.3 0
2020-09-13 @ Groningen W 3-1 1876 1752 49.3% 25.8% 24.9% +9.3 3
2020-09-13 Vitesse L 0-1 1654 1791 23.5% 25.5% 51.0% -5.4 0
2020-09-13 @ RKC Waalwijk W 1-0 1791 1654 51.0% 25.5% 23.5% +5.4 3
2020-09-13 VVV-Venlo L 3-5 1699 1677 44.0% 26.5% 29.5% -12.3 0
2020-09-13 @ Emmen W 5-3 1677 1699 29.5% 26.5% 44.0% +12.3 3
2020-09-18 Utrecht D 1-1 1689 1799 26.5% 26.1% 47.5% +0.9 4
2020-09-18 @ VVV-Venlo D 1-1 1799 1689 47.5% 26.1% 26.5% -0.9 1
2020-09-19 Emmen W 2-1 1885 1687 64.5% 21.5% 14.0% +3.1 6
2020-09-19 @ PSV Eindhoven L 1-2 1687 1885 14.0% 21.5% 64.5% -3.1 0
2020-09-19 Heerenveen L 1-3 1672 1762 28.7% 26.4% 44.9% -10.5 0
2020-09-19 @ Fortuna Sittard W 3-1 1762 1672 44.9% 26.4% 28.7% +10.5 6
2020-09-19 Sparta Rotterdam W 2-0 1797 1714 51.8% 25.3% 22.9% +10.0 6
2020-09-19 @ Vitesse L 0-2 1714 1797 22.9% 25.3% 51.8% -10.0 0
2020-09-19 Zwolle D 1-1 1859 1694 61.2% 22.7% 16.1% -2.0 1
2020-09-19 @ Alkmaar D 1-1 1694 1859 16.1% 22.7% 61.2% +2.0 1
2020-09-20 Groningen L 0-1 1695 1743 34.3% 26.7% 39.0% -7.4 0
2020-09-20 @ ADO Den Haag W 1-0 1743 1695 39.0% 26.7% 34.3% +7.4 3
2020-09-20 Heracles Almelo W 4-0 1742 1749 40.0% 26.7% 33.3% +25.9 3
2020-09-20 @ Willem II L 0-4 1749 1742 33.3% 26.7% 40.0% -25.9 3
2020-09-20 RKC Waalwijk W 3-0 1905 1648 70.0% 19.0% 11.0% +6.8 6
2020-09-20 @ Ajax L 0-3 1648 1905 11.0% 19.0% 70.0% -6.9 0
2020-09-20 Twente D 1-1 1843 1723 56.3% 24.3% 19.4% -1.6 4
2020-09-20 @ Feyenoord D 1-1 1723 1843 19.4% 24.3% 56.3% +1.6 4
2020-09-25 Groningen W 3-1 1724 1750 37.3% 26.8% 35.9% +12.5 7
2020-09-25 @ Twente L 1-3 1750 1724 35.9% 26.8% 37.3% -12.5 3
2020-09-26 Alkmaar D 3-3 1661 1857 18.3% 23.8% 57.9% +1.1 1
2020-09-26 @ Fortuna Sittard D 3-3 1857 1661 57.9% 23.8% 18.3% -1.1 2
2020-09-26 Sparta Rotterdam W 4-0 1696 1704 39.8% 26.7% 33.5% +26.0 4
2020-09-26 @ Zwolle L 0-4 1704 1696 33.5% 26.7% 39.8% -26.0 0
2020-09-26 Vitesse W 2-1 1912 1807 54.5% 24.7% 20.8% +4.6 9
2020-09-26 @ Ajax L 1-2 1807 1912 20.8% 24.7% 54.5% -4.6 6
2020-09-26 VVV-Venlo W 1-0 1772 1690 51.8% 25.3% 22.9% +5.3 9
2020-09-26 @ Heerenveen L 0-1 1690 1772 22.9% 25.3% 51.8% -5.3 4
2020-09-27 ADO Den Haag W 4-2 1842 1688 60.0% 23.2% 16.9% +5.8 7
2020-09-27 @ Feyenoord L 2-4 1688 1842 16.9% 23.2% 60.0% -5.8 0
2020-09-27 PSV Eindhoven D 1-1 1723 1888 20.8% 24.8% 54.4% +1.5 4
2020-09-27 @ Heracles Almelo D 1-1 1888 1723 54.4% 24.8% 20.8% -1.5 7
2020-09-27 RKC Waalwijk W 3-1 1798 1642 60.2% 23.1% 16.7% +6.5 4
2020-09-27 @ Utrecht L 1-3 1642 1798 16.7% 23.1% 60.2% -6.4 0
2020-09-27 Willem II D 1-1 1684 1768 29.5% 26.4% 44.1% +0.6 1
2020-09-27 @ Emmen D 1-1 1768 1684 44.1% 26.4% 29.5% -0.6 4
2020-10-02 Heerenveen D 1-1 1804 1778 44.6% 26.4% 29.0% -0.7 5
2020-10-02 @ Utrecht D 1-1 1778 1804 29.0% 26.4% 44.6% +0.7 10
2020-10-03 ADO Den Haag L 1-2 1685 1682 41.3% 26.7% 32.0% -8.0 4
2020-10-03 @ VVV-Venlo W 2-1 1682 1685 32.0% 26.7% 41.3% +8.0 3
2020-10-03 Emmen D 1-1 1737 1685 48.0% 26.0% 26.0% -0.9 8
2020-10-03 @ Twente D 1-1 1685 1737 26.0% 26.0% 48.0% +0.9 2
2020-10-03 Heracles Almelo W 3-0 1802 1724 51.2% 25.4% 23.3% +14.8 9
2020-10-03 @ Vitesse L 0-3 1724 1802 23.3% 25.4% 51.2% -14.8 4
2020-10-04 Ajax W 1-0 1737 1916 19.7% 24.3% 56.0% +10.9 6
2020-10-04 @ Groningen L 0-1 1916 1737 56.0% 24.3% 19.7% -10.9 9
2020-10-04 Alkmaar D 4-4 1678 1856 19.7% 24.4% 55.9% +0.9 1
2020-10-04 @ Sparta Rotterdam D 4-4 1856 1678 55.9% 24.4% 19.7% -0.9 3
2020-10-04 Feyenoord L 1-4 1767 1848 29.9% 26.5% 43.6% -15.3 4
2020-10-04 @ Willem II W 4-1 1848 1767 43.6% 26.5% 29.9% +15.4 10
2020-10-04 Fortuna Sittard W 2-0 1887 1663 67.0% 20.4% 12.6% +5.5 10
2020-10-04 @ PSV Eindhoven L 0-2 1663 1887 12.6% 20.4% 67.0% -5.5 1
2020-10-17 RKC Waalwijk L 0-1 1709 1635 50.8% 25.5% 23.7% -10.0 4
2020-10-17 @ Heracles Almelo W 1-0 1635 1709 23.7% 25.5% 50.8% +10.0 3
2020-10-17 Twente L 0-3 1752 1736 43.1% 26.5% 30.4% -24.1 4
2020-10-17 @ Willem II W 3-0 1736 1752 30.4% 26.5% 43.1% +24.0 11
2020-10-17 VVV-Venlo D 2-2 1855 1677 62.6% 22.2% 15.2% -1.6 4
2020-10-17 @ Alkmaar D 2-2 1677 1855 15.2% 22.2% 62.6% +1.6 5
2020-10-18 Fortuna Sittard D 2-2 1685 1657 44.8% 26.4% 28.8% -0.5 3
2020-10-18 @ Emmen D 2-2 1657 1685 28.8% 26.4% 44.8% +0.5 2
2020-10-18 Heerenveen W 5-1 1905 1778 57.0% 24.1% 18.9% +13.3 12
2020-10-18 @ Ajax L 1-5 1778 1905 18.9% 24.1% 57.0% -13.3 10
2020-10-18 PSV Eindhoven L 0-3 1722 1892 20.4% 24.6% 54.9% -13.1 4
2020-10-18 @ Zwolle W 3-0 1892 1722 54.9% 24.6% 20.4% +13.2 13
2020-10-18 Sparta Rotterdam D 1-1 1863 1679 63.1% 22.0% 14.9% -2.2 11
2020-10-18 @ Feyenoord D 1-1 1679 1863 14.9% 22.0% 63.1% +2.2 2
2020-10-18 Utrecht D 0-0 1748 1804 33.2% 26.7% 40.1% +0.3 7
2020-10-18 @ Groningen D 0-0 1804 1748 40.1% 26.7% 33.2% -0.3 6
2020-10-18 Vitesse L 0-2 1690 1817 24.6% 25.7% 49.7% -10.7 3
2020-10-18 @ ADO Den Haag W 2-0 1817 1690 49.7% 25.7% 24.6% +10.7 12
2020-10-21 Zwolle D 1-1 1645 1709 32.0% 26.6% 41.4% +0.4 4
2020-10-21 @ RKC Waalwijk D 1-1 1709 1645 41.4% 26.6% 32.0% -0.4 5
2020-10-24 Ajax L 0-13 1678 1919 15.2% 22.2% 62.6% -39.2 5
2020-10-24 @ VVV-Venlo W 13-0 1919 1678 62.6% 22.2% 15.2% +39.2 15
2020-10-24 Emmen W 4-0 1765 1685 51.5% 25.4% 23.1% +19.2 13
2020-10-24 @ Heerenveen L 0-4 1685 1765 23.1% 25.4% 51.5% -19.2 3
2020-10-24 Twente W 2-1 1803 1760 46.8% 26.2% 27.1% +5.8 9
2020-10-24 @ Utrecht L 1-2 1760 1803 27.1% 26.2% 46.8% -5.8 11
2020-10-24 Willem II D 0-0 1709 1728 38.3% 26.8% 35.0% -0.2 6
2020-10-24 @ Zwolle D 0-0 1728 1709 35.0% 26.8% 38.3% +0.2 5
2020-10-25 Alkmaar D 2-2 1680 1854 20.1% 24.5% 55.5% +1.2 4
2020-10-25 @ ADO Den Haag D 2-2 1854 1680 55.5% 24.5% 20.1% -1.2 5
2020-10-25 Feyenoord D 2-2 1646 1861 16.8% 23.1% 60.0% +1.5 5
2020-10-25 @ RKC Waalwijk D 2-2 1861 1646 60.0% 23.1% 16.8% -1.5 12
2020-10-25 Groningen L 1-3 1658 1749 28.6% 26.4% 45.1% -10.5 2
2020-10-25 @ Fortuna Sittard W 3-1 1749 1658 45.1% 26.4% 28.6% +10.5 10
2020-10-25 Heracles Almelo D 1-1 1682 1699 38.4% 26.8% 34.8% -0.1 3
2020-10-25 @ Sparta Rotterdam D 1-1 1699 1682 34.8% 26.8% 38.4% +0.1 5
2020-10-25 PSV Eindhoven W 2-1 1828 1905 30.2% 26.5% 43.2% +8.3 15
2020-10-25 @ Vitesse L 1-2 1905 1828 43.2% 26.5% 30.2% -8.3 13
2020-10-31 Fortuna Sittard W 5-2 1958 1647 74.6% 16.7% 8.7% +3.8 18
2020-10-31 @ Ajax L 2-5 1647 1958 8.7% 16.7% 74.6% -3.8 2
2020-10-31 Vitesse L 1-3 1728 1836 26.6% 26.1% 47.3% -9.9 5
2020-10-31 @ Willem II W 3-1 1836 1728 47.3% 26.1% 26.6% +9.9 18
2020-10-31 VVV-Venlo W 2-1 1759 1639 56.2% 24.3% 19.5% +4.3 13
2020-10-31 @ Groningen L 1-2 1639 1759 19.5% 24.3% 56.2% -4.3 5
2020-10-31 Zwolle W 5-1 1754 1709 47.1% 26.1% 26.8% +18.2 14
2020-10-31 @ Twente L 1-5 1709 1754 26.8% 26.1% 47.1% -18.1 6
2020-11-01 ADO Den Haag W 4-0 1897 1681 66.3% 20.7% 13.0% +10.8 16
2020-11-01 @ PSV Eindhoven L 0-4 1681 1897 13.0% 20.7% 66.3% -10.8 4
2020-11-01 Feyenoord L 2-3 1666 1859 18.5% 23.9% 57.7% -3.9 3
2020-11-01 @ Emmen W 3-2 1859 1666 57.7% 23.9% 18.5% +3.9 15
2020-11-01 Heerenveen L 1-4 1681 1784 27.2% 26.2% 46.7% -14.2 3
2020-11-01 @ Sparta Rotterdam W 4-1 1784 1681 46.7% 26.2% 27.2% +14.2 16
2020-11-01 RKC Waalwijk W 3-0 1853 1647 65.3% 21.2% 13.6% +8.7 8
2020-11-01 @ Alkmaar L 0-3 1647 1853 13.6% 21.2% 65.3% -8.7 5
2020-11-01 Utrecht W 4-1 1700 1809 26.5% 26.1% 47.5% +21.9 8
2020-11-01 @ Heracles Almelo L 1-4 1809 1700 47.5% 26.1% 26.5% -21.9 9
2020-11-06 Zwolle D 2-2 1643 1690 34.2% 26.7% 39.0% +0.1 3
2020-11-06 @ Fortuna Sittard D 2-2 1690 1643 39.0% 26.7% 34.2% -0.1 7
2020-11-07 Heracles Almelo W 3-2 1635 1721 29.1% 26.4% 44.5% +8.1 8
2020-11-07 @ VVV-Venlo L 2-3 1721 1635 44.5% 26.4% 29.1% -8.1 8
2020-11-07 Sparta Rotterdam L 0-2 1638 1667 36.9% 26.8% 36.4% -14.7 5
2020-11-07 @ RKC Waalwijk W 2-0 1667 1638 36.4% 26.8% 36.9% +14.7 6
2020-11-07 Twente L 2-4 1670 1772 27.2% 26.2% 46.6% -9.0 4
2020-11-07 @ ADO Den Haag W 4-2 1772 1670 46.6% 26.2% 27.2% +9.0 17
2020-11-08 Ajax L 0-3 1787 1962 20.0% 24.5% 55.5% -12.9 9
2020-11-08 @ Utrecht W 3-0 1962 1787 55.5% 24.5% 20.0% +12.9 21
2020-11-08 Alkmaar L 0-3 1799 1861 32.1% 26.7% 41.2% -19.3 16
2020-11-08 @ Heerenveen W 3-0 1861 1799 41.2% 26.7% 32.1% +19.3 11
2020-11-08 Emmen W 3-1 1846 1662 63.1% 22.0% 14.8% +5.7 21
2020-11-08 @ Vitesse L 1-3 1662 1846 14.8% 22.0% 63.1% -5.7 3
2020-11-08 Groningen W 2-0 1863 1763 53.9% 24.9% 21.3% +9.4 18
2020-11-08 @ Feyenoord L 0-2 1763 1863 21.3% 24.9% 53.9% -9.4 13
2020-11-08 Willem II W 3-0 1908 1718 63.7% 21.8% 14.5% +9.3 19
2020-11-08 @ PSV Eindhoven L 0-3 1718 1908 14.5% 21.8% 63.7% -9.3 5
2020-11-21 Utrecht D 1-1 1690 1774 29.5% 26.4% 44.1% +0.6 8
2020-11-21 @ Zwolle D 1-1 1774 1690 44.1% 26.4% 29.5% -0.6 10
2020-11-21 Vitesse D 1-1 1754 1852 27.8% 26.2% 45.9% +0.8 14
2020-11-21 @ Groningen D 1-1 1852 1754 45.9% 26.2% 27.8% -0.8 22
2020-11-21 VVV-Venlo W 2-1 1709 1643 49.7% 25.7% 24.6% +5.3 8
2020-11-21 @ Willem II L 1-2 1643 1709 24.6% 25.7% 49.7% -5.3 8
2020-11-22 ADO Den Haag W 6-0 1682 1661 43.8% 26.5% 29.7% +34.7 9
2020-11-22 @ Sparta Rotterdam L 0-6 1661 1682 29.7% 26.5% 43.8% -34.7 4
2020-11-22 Emmen W 1-0 1881 1656 67.1% 20.4% 12.5% +2.9 14
2020-11-22 @ Alkmaar L 0-1 1656 1881 12.5% 20.4% 67.1% -2.9 3
2020-11-22 Feyenoord L 1-3 1643 1873 15.9% 22.6% 61.5% -6.1 3
2020-11-22 @ Fortuna Sittard W 3-1 1873 1643 61.5% 22.6% 15.9% +6.1 21
2020-11-22 Heerenveen D 1-1 1624 1779 21.7% 25.0% 53.3% +1.4 6
2020-11-22 @ RKC Waalwijk D 1-1 1779 1624 53.3% 25.0% 21.7% -1.4 17
2020-11-22 Heracles Almelo W 5-0 1975 1713 70.4% 18.8% 10.7% +10.8 24
2020-11-22 @ Ajax L 0-5 1713 1975 10.7% 18.8% 70.4% -10.8 8
2020-11-22 PSV Eindhoven D 1-1 1781 1917 23.6% 25.5% 50.8% +1.2 18
2020-11-22 @ Twente D 1-1 1917 1781 50.8% 25.5% 23.6% -1.2 20
2020-11-27 RKC Waalwijk L 0-2 1783 1625 60.4% 23.0% 16.6% -21.8 18
2020-11-27 @ Twente W 2-0 1625 1783 16.6% 23.0% 60.4% +21.9 9
2020-11-28 Ajax L 0-5 1653 1985 10.3% 18.4% 71.3% -10.2 3
2020-11-28 @ Emmen W 5-0 1985 1653 71.3% 18.4% 10.3% +10.2 27
2020-11-28 Heerenveen D 1-1 1626 1778 22.1% 25.1% 52.8% +1.3 5
2020-11-28 @ ADO Den Haag D 1-1 1778 1626 52.8% 25.1% 22.1% -1.3 18
2020-11-28 Zwolle D 2-2 1638 1691 33.4% 26.7% 39.9% +0.2 9
2020-11-28 @ VVV-Venlo D 2-2 1691 1638 39.9% 26.7% 33.4% -0.2 9
2020-11-29 Alkmaar L 1-2 1703 1884 19.5% 24.3% 56.2% -4.3 8
2020-11-29 @ Heracles Almelo W 2-1 1884 1703 56.2% 24.3% 19.5% +4.3 17
2020-11-29 Fortuna Sittard W 2-0 1851 1637 66.0% 20.8% 13.1% +5.8 25
2020-11-29 @ Vitesse L 0-2 1637 1851 13.1% 20.8% 66.0% -5.8 3
2020-11-29 Sparta Rotterdam W 1-0 1916 1717 64.7% 21.4% 13.9% +3.3 23
2020-11-29 @ PSV Eindhoven L 0-1 1717 1916 13.9% 21.4% 64.7% -3.3 9
2020-11-29 Utrecht D 1-1 1879 1774 54.5% 24.7% 20.8% -1.5 22
2020-11-29 @ Feyenoord D 1-1 1774 1879 20.8% 24.7% 54.5% +1.5 11
2020-11-29 Willem II W 1-0 1755 1714 46.5% 26.2% 27.3% +6.2 17
2020-11-29 @ Groningen L 0-1 1714 1755 27.3% 26.2% 46.5% -6.2 8
2020-12-04 Emmen W 2-1 1713 1643 50.3% 25.6% 24.1% +5.2 12
2020-12-04 @ Sparta Rotterdam L 1-2 1643 1713 24.1% 25.6% 50.3% -5.2 3
2020-12-05 Twente L 1-2 1996 1761 68.0% 20.0% 12.0% -12.0 27
2020-12-05 @ Ajax W 2-1 1761 1996 12.0% 20.0% 68.0% +12.0 21
2020-12-05 Vitesse W 2-1 1691 1857 20.8% 24.7% 54.5% +10.0 12
2020-12-05 @ Zwolle L 1-2 1857 1691 54.5% 24.7% 20.8% -10.0 25
2020-12-05 VVV-Venlo W 3-2 1647 1638 42.2% 26.6% 31.2% +6.1 12
2020-12-05 @ RKC Waalwijk L 2-3 1638 1647 31.2% 26.6% 42.2% -6.2 9
2020-12-05 Willem II W 3-2 1632 1708 30.4% 26.5% 43.0% +7.8 6
2020-12-05 @ Fortuna Sittard L 2-3 1708 1632 43.0% 26.5% 30.4% -7.8 8
2020-12-06 ADO Den Haag D 1-1 1775 1628 59.3% 23.4% 17.3% -1.9 12
2020-12-06 @ Utrecht D 1-1 1628 1775 17.3% 23.4% 59.3% +1.9 6
2020-12-06 Groningen L 1-2 1888 1761 57.0% 24.1% 18.9% -10.4 17
2020-12-06 @ Alkmaar W 2-1 1761 1888 18.9% 24.1% 57.0% +10.4 20
2020-12-06 Heracles Almelo D 0-0 1877 1698 62.6% 22.2% 15.2% -2.4 23
2020-12-06 @ Feyenoord D 0-0 1698 1877 15.2% 22.2% 62.6% +2.4 9
2020-12-06 PSV Eindhoven D 2-2 1777 1919 22.9% 25.4% 51.7% +0.9 19
2020-12-06 @ Heerenveen D 2-2 1919 1777 51.7% 25.4% 22.9% -0.9 24
2020-12-11 Fortuna Sittard L 1-2 1701 1639 49.1% 25.8% 25.0% -9.2 9
2020-12-11 @ Heracles Almelo W 2-1 1639 1701 25.0% 25.8% 49.1% +9.2 9
2020-12-12 ADO Den Haag D 1-1 1638 1629 42.1% 26.6% 31.3% -0.4 4
2020-12-12 @ Emmen D 1-1 1629 1638 31.3% 26.6% 42.1% +0.4 7
2020-12-12 RKC Waalwijk W 2-0 1771 1653 56.0% 24.3% 19.6% +8.7 23
2020-12-12 @ Groningen L 0-2 1653 1771 19.6% 24.3% 56.0% -8.7 12
2020-12-12 Zwolle W 4-0 1984 1701 72.3% 17.9% 9.8% +7.9 30
2020-12-12 @ Ajax L 0-4 1701 1984 9.8% 17.9% 72.3% -7.8 12
2020-12-13 Alkmaar L 1-3 1773 1877 27.0% 26.1% 46.9% -10.0 21
2020-12-13 @ Twente W 3-1 1877 1773 46.9% 26.1% 27.0% +10.0 20
2020-12-13 Feyenoord L 0-3 1632 1875 15.0% 22.1% 62.9% -9.7 9
2020-12-13 @ VVV-Venlo W 3-0 1875 1632 62.9% 22.1% 15.0% +9.7 26
2020-12-13 Heerenveen D 1-1 1847 1777 50.1% 25.6% 24.2% -1.1 26
2020-12-13 @ Vitesse D 1-1 1777 1847 24.2% 25.6% 50.1% +1.1 20
2020-12-13 Sparta Rotterdam L 1-3 1700 1718 38.3% 26.8% 34.9% -13.1 8
2020-12-13 @ Willem II W 3-1 1718 1700 34.9% 26.8% 38.3% +13.1 15
2020-12-13 Utrecht W 2-1 1918 1773 59.0% 23.5% 17.5% +3.9 27
2020-12-13 @ PSV Eindhoven L 1-2 1773 1918 17.5% 23.5% 59.0% -3.9 12
2020-12-18 Emmen D 0-0 1693 1637 48.4% 25.9% 25.7% -1.1 13
2020-12-18 @ Zwolle D 0-0 1637 1693 25.7% 25.9% 48.4% +1.1 5
2020-12-19 Fortuna Sittard D 1-1 1769 1649 56.3% 24.3% 19.4% -1.6 13
2020-12-19 @ Utrecht D 1-1 1649 1769 19.4% 24.3% 56.3% +1.6 10
2020-12-19 Groningen L 2-3 1732 1780 34.1% 26.7% 39.2% -6.6 15
2020-12-19 @ Sparta Rotterdam W 3-2 1780 1732 39.2% 26.7% 34.1% +6.6 26
2020-12-19 PSV Eindhoven L 1-4 1644 1922 12.9% 20.7% 66.4% -7.0 12
2020-12-19 @ RKC Waalwijk W 4-1 1922 1644 66.4% 20.7% 12.9% +7.0 30
2020-12-19 Twente L 1-2 1622 1763 23.1% 25.4% 51.5% -5.1 9
2020-12-19 @ VVV-Venlo W 2-1 1763 1622 51.5% 25.4% 23.1% +5.1 24
2020-12-20 Ajax L 2-4 1630 1991 9.1% 17.1% 73.8% -2.9 7
2020-12-20 @ ADO Den Haag W 4-2 1991 1630 73.8% 17.1% 9.1% +2.9 33
2020-12-20 Feyenoord W 1-0 1845 1884 35.4% 26.8% 37.8% +7.9 29
2020-12-20 @ Vitesse L 0-1 1884 1845 37.8% 26.8% 35.4% -8.0 26
2020-12-20 Heracles Almelo L 1-2 1779 1692 52.3% 25.2% 22.4% -9.7 20
2020-12-20 @ Heerenveen W 2-1 1692 1779 22.4% 25.2% 52.3% +9.7 12
2020-12-20 Willem II W 5-3 1887 1687 64.8% 21.4% 13.8% +4.5 23
2020-12-20 @ Alkmaar L 3-5 1687 1887 13.8% 21.4% 64.8% -4.5 8
2020-12-22 RKC Waalwijk W 2-1 1650 1637 42.7% 26.6% 30.7% +6.4 13
2020-12-22 @ Fortuna Sittard L 1-2 1637 1650 30.7% 26.6% 42.7% -6.4 12
2020-12-22 Sparta Rotterdam L 0-2 1768 1725 46.8% 26.2% 27.1% -17.7 24
2020-12-22 @ Twente W 2-0 1725 1768 27.1% 26.2% 46.8% +17.7 18
2020-12-22 Utrecht L 2-3 1638 1768 24.3% 25.7% 50.0% -5.0 5
2020-12-22 @ Emmen W 3-2 1768 1638 50.0% 25.7% 24.3% +5.0 16
2020-12-22 VVV-Venlo W 4-1 1929 1617 74.7% 16.6% 8.6% +4.4 33
2020-12-22 @ PSV Eindhoven L 1-4 1617 1929 8.6% 16.6% 74.7% -4.4 9
2020-12-23 Ajax D 1-1 1682 1994 11.2% 19.3% 69.5% +2.7 9
2020-12-23 @ Willem II D 1-1 1994 1682 69.5% 19.3% 11.2% -2.7 34
2020-12-23 Heerenveen W 3-0 1876 1769 54.8% 24.7% 20.5% +13.2 29
2020-12-23 @ Feyenoord L 0-3 1769 1876 20.5% 24.7% 54.8% -13.2 20
2020-12-23 Heracles Almelo L 0-1 1787 1701 52.2% 25.3% 22.6% -10.3 26
2020-12-23 @ Groningen W 1-0 1701 1787 22.6% 25.3% 52.2% +10.3 15
2020-12-23 Vitesse W 3-1 1892 1853 46.2% 26.2% 27.6% +10.2 26
2020-12-23 @ Alkmaar L 1-3 1853 1892 27.6% 26.2% 46.2% -10.2 29
2020-12-23 Zwolle L 0-2 1627 1692 31.9% 26.6% 41.5% -13.2 7
2020-12-23 @ ADO Den Haag W 2-0 1692 1627 41.5% 26.6% 31.9% +13.2 16
2020-12-27 Alkmaar D 2-2 1773 1902 24.3% 25.7% 50.1% +0.8 17
2020-12-27 @ Utrecht D 2-2 1902 1773 50.1% 25.7% 24.3% -0.8 27
2021-01-09 ADO Den Haag L 0-1 1631 1614 43.3% 26.5% 30.2% -8.8 12
2021-01-09 @ RKC Waalwijk W 1-0 1614 1631 30.2% 26.5% 43.3% +8.8 10
2021-01-09 Alkmaar D 1-1 1705 1901 18.2% 23.8% 58.0% +1.8 17
2021-01-09 @ Zwolle D 1-1 1901 1705 58.0% 23.8% 18.2% -1.8 28
2021-01-09 Groningen D 2-2 1773 1776 40.5% 26.7% 32.8% -0.2 18
2021-01-09 @ Utrecht D 2-2 1776 1773 32.8% 26.7% 40.5% +0.2 27
2021-01-09 Twente L 1-4 1633 1750 25.6% 25.9% 48.4% -13.6 5
2021-01-09 @ Emmen W 4-1 1750 1633 48.4% 25.9% 25.6% +13.5 27
2021-01-09 Vitesse L 0-2 1712 1843 24.1% 25.6% 50.3% -10.5 15
2021-01-09 @ Heracles Almelo W 2-0 1843 1712 50.3% 25.6% 24.1% +10.5 32
2021-01-10 Feyenoord L 0-2 1743 1890 22.5% 25.2% 52.2% -9.9 18
2021-01-10 @ Sparta Rotterdam W 2-0 1890 1743 52.2% 25.2% 22.5% +9.9 32
2021-01-10 Fortuna Sittard L 1-3 1756 1657 53.8% 24.9% 21.3% -17.2 20
2021-01-10 @ Heerenveen W 3-1 1657 1756 21.3% 24.9% 53.8% +17.2 16
2021-01-10 PSV Eindhoven D 2-2 1992 1933 48.7% 25.9% 25.4% -0.7 35
2021-01-10 @ Ajax D 2-2 1933 1992 25.4% 25.9% 48.7% +0.8 34
2021-01-10 Willem II W 2-1 1613 1685 30.9% 26.6% 42.5% +8.2 12
2021-01-10 @ VVV-Venlo L 1-2 1685 1613 42.5% 26.6% 30.9% -8.2 9
2021-01-12 Emmen W 4-0 1701 1620 51.6% 25.4% 23.0% +19.1 18
2021-01-12 @ Heracles Almelo L 0-4 1620 1701 23.0% 25.4% 51.6% -19.1 5
2021-01-12 Utrecht W 1-0 1854 1773 51.5% 25.4% 23.1% +5.4 35
2021-01-12 @ Vitesse L 0-1 1773 1854 23.1% 25.4% 51.5% -5.4 18
2021-01-13 Alkmaar L 1-3 1934 1900 45.7% 26.3% 28.0% -15.0 34
2021-01-13 @ PSV Eindhoven W 3-1 1900 1934 28.0% 26.3% 45.7% +15.0 31
2021-01-13 Sparta Rotterdam L 0-1 1674 1733 32.6% 26.7% 40.7% -7.1 16
2021-01-13 @ Fortuna Sittard W 1-0 1733 1674 40.7% 26.7% 32.6% +7.1 21
2021-01-13 VVV-Venlo L 1-4 1623 1621 41.2% 26.7% 32.1% -19.6 10
2021-01-13 @ ADO Den Haag W 4-1 1621 1623 32.1% 26.7% 41.2% +19.6 15
2021-01-13 Zwolle W 1-0 1900 1707 64.0% 21.7% 14.3% +3.4 35
2021-01-13 @ Feyenoord L 0-1 1707 1900 14.3% 21.7% 64.0% -3.4 17
2021-01-14 Ajax L 1-3 1764 1991 16.0% 22.7% 61.3% -6.2 27
2021-01-14 @ Twente W 3-1 1991 1764 61.3% 22.7% 16.0% +6.2 38
2021-01-14 Groningen L 2-3 1677 1777 27.5% 26.2% 46.3% -5.6 9
2021-01-14 @ Willem II W 3-2 1777 1677 46.3% 26.2% 27.5% +5.6 30
2021-01-14 RKC Waalwijk D 1-1 1738 1622 55.8% 24.4% 19.8% -1.6 21
2021-01-14 @ Heerenveen D 1-1 1622 1738 19.8% 24.4% 55.8% +1.6 13
2021-01-16 ADO Den Haag W 2-1 1915 1603 74.7% 16.7% 8.7% +1.8 34
2021-01-16 @ Alkmaar L 1-2 1603 1915 8.7% 16.7% 74.7% -1.8 10
2021-01-16 Fortuna Sittard L 0-2 1703 1667 46.0% 26.2% 27.8% -17.4 17
2021-01-16 @ Zwolle W 2-0 1667 1703 27.8% 26.2% 46.0% +17.4 19
2021-01-16 Heracles Almelo W 2-0 1768 1720 47.4% 26.1% 26.5% +11.4 21
2021-01-16 @ Utrecht L 0-2 1720 1768 26.5% 26.1% 47.4% -11.4 18
2021-01-16 PSV Eindhoven L 3-5 1740 1919 19.6% 24.3% 56.0% -6.4 21
2021-01-16 @ Sparta Rotterdam W 5-3 1919 1740 56.0% 24.3% 19.6% +6.4 37
2021-01-16 Vitesse L 1-4 1601 1859 14.0% 21.5% 64.5% -7.6 5
2021-01-16 @ Emmen W 4-1 1859 1601 64.5% 21.5% 14.0% +7.6 38
2021-01-17 Feyenoord W 1-0 1997 1903 53.2% 25.0% 21.8% +5.1 41
2021-01-17 @ Ajax L 0-1 1903 1997 21.8% 25.0% 53.2% -5.1 35
2021-01-17 Heerenveen D 1-1 1640 1737 27.9% 26.3% 45.8% +0.8 16
2021-01-17 @ VVV-Venlo D 1-1 1737 1640 45.8% 26.3% 27.9% -0.8 22
2021-01-17 Twente D 2-2 1782 1758 44.3% 26.4% 29.2% -0.5 31
2021-01-17 @ Groningen D 2-2 1758 1782 29.2% 26.4% 44.3% +0.5 28
2021-01-17 Willem II D 1-1 1624 1671 34.2% 26.7% 39.0% +0.2 14
2021-01-17 @ RKC Waalwijk D 1-1 1671 1624 39.0% 26.7% 34.2% -0.2 10
2021-01-22 Zwolle L 1-3 1671 1686 38.8% 26.8% 34.4% -13.2 10
2021-01-22 @ Willem II W 3-1 1686 1671 34.4% 26.8% 38.8% +13.2 20
2021-01-23 Emmen D 0-0 1601 1593 42.1% 26.6% 31.3% -0.5 11
2021-01-23 @ ADO Den Haag D 0-0 1593 1601 31.3% 26.6% 42.1% +0.5 6
2021-01-23 Groningen W 1-0 1867 1782 52.1% 25.3% 22.7% +5.3 41
2021-01-23 @ Vitesse L 0-1 1782 1867 22.7% 25.3% 52.1% -5.3 31
2021-01-23 Heerenveen W 1-0 1709 1736 37.0% 26.8% 36.2% +7.7 21
2021-01-23 @ Heracles Almelo L 0-1 1736 1709 36.2% 26.8% 37.0% -7.7 22
2021-01-23 RKC Waalwijk W 2-0 1926 1624 73.9% 17.1% 9.0% +3.8 40
2021-01-23 @ PSV Eindhoven L 0-2 1624 1926 9.0% 17.1% 73.9% -3.8 14
2021-01-24 Ajax L 1-2 1684 2002 10.9% 19.0% 70.1% -2.3 19
2021-01-24 @ Fortuna Sittard W 2-1 2002 1684 70.1% 19.0% 10.9% +2.3 44
2021-01-24 Alkmaar L 2-3 1898 1916 38.3% 26.8% 34.9% -7.2 35
2021-01-24 @ Feyenoord W 3-2 1916 1898 34.9% 26.8% 38.3% +7.2 37
2021-01-24 Sparta Rotterdam W 1-0 1779 1734 47.1% 26.1% 26.8% +6.1 24
2021-01-24 @ Utrecht L 0-1 1734 1779 26.8% 26.1% 47.1% -6.1 21
2021-01-24 VVV-Venlo L 0-1 1758 1641 55.9% 24.4% 19.7% -10.9 28
2021-01-24 @ Twente W 1-0 1641 1758 19.7% 24.4% 55.9% +10.9 19
2021-01-26 ADO Den Haag W 3-0 1777 1601 62.3% 22.3% 15.4% +9.9 34
2021-01-26 @ Groningen L 0-3 1601 1777 15.4% 22.3% 62.3% -9.9 11
2021-01-26 Heracles Almelo D 2-2 1699 1716 38.5% 26.8% 34.7% -0.1 21
2021-01-26 @ Zwolle D 2-2 1716 1699 34.7% 26.8% 38.5% +0.1 22
2021-01-26 PSV Eindhoven L 0-2 1594 1929 10.1% 18.2% 71.6% -4.3 6
2021-01-26 @ Emmen W 2-0 1929 1594 71.6% 18.2% 10.1% +4.3 43
2021-01-27 Feyenoord W 3-0 1728 1891 21.1% 24.8% 54.1% +29.0 25
2021-01-27 @ Heerenveen L 0-3 1891 1728 54.1% 24.8% 21.1% -29.0 35
2021-01-27 Fortuna Sittard L 1-2 1620 1682 32.3% 26.7% 41.0% -6.7 14
2021-01-27 @ RKC Waalwijk W 2-1 1682 1620 41.0% 26.7% 32.3% +6.7 22
2021-01-27 Utrecht L 0-1 1923 1785 58.3% 23.7% 18.0% -11.3 37
2021-01-27 @ Alkmaar W 1-0 1785 1923 18.0% 23.7% 58.3% +11.2 27
2021-01-27 Vitesse W 4-1 1652 1872 16.5% 23.0% 60.5% +26.8 22
2021-01-27 @ VVV-Venlo L 1-4 1872 1652 60.5% 23.0% 16.5% -26.8 41
2021-01-28 Twente D 0-0 1727 1747 38.1% 26.8% 35.1% -0.1 22
2021-01-28 @ Sparta Rotterdam D 0-0 1747 1727 35.1% 26.8% 38.1% +0.1 29
2021-01-28 Willem II W 3-1 2005 1658 77.4% 15.2% 7.4% +2.6 47
2021-01-28 @ Ajax L 1-3 1658 2005 7.4% 15.2% 77.4% -2.6 10
2021-01-30 Groningen W 1-0 1717 1786 31.2% 26.6% 42.2% +8.6 25
2021-01-30 @ Heracles Almelo L 0-1 1786 1717 42.2% 26.6% 31.2% -8.6 34
2021-01-30 RKC Waalwijk D 1-1 1845 1614 67.8% 20.1% 12.2% -2.5 42
2021-01-30 @ Vitesse D 1-1 1614 1845 12.2% 20.1% 67.8% +2.5 15
2021-01-30 VVV-Venlo W 3-2 1688 1679 42.3% 26.6% 31.1% +6.1 25
2021-01-30 @ Fortuna Sittard L 2-3 1679 1688 31.1% 26.6% 42.3% -6.1 22
2021-01-30 Zwolle D 3-3 1797 1699 53.6% 24.9% 21.5% -0.9 28
2021-01-30 @ Utrecht D 3-3 1699 1797 21.5% 24.9% 53.6% +0.9 22
2021-01-31 Ajax L 0-3 1912 2007 28.1% 26.3% 45.6% -17.3 37
2021-01-31 @ Alkmaar W 3-0 2007 1912 45.6% 26.3% 28.1% +17.4 50
2021-01-31 Emmen W 2-0 1655 1589 49.7% 25.7% 24.6% +10.7 13
2021-01-31 @ Willem II L 0-2 1589 1655 24.6% 25.7% 49.7% -10.7 6
2021-01-31 Heerenveen D 0-0 1747 1757 39.5% 26.7% 33.8% -0.3 30
2021-01-31 @ Twente D 0-0 1757 1747 33.8% 26.7% 39.5% +0.3 26
2021-01-31 PSV Eindhoven W 3-1 1862 1934 31.0% 26.6% 42.5% +14.2 38
2021-01-31 @ Feyenoord L 1-3 1934 1862 42.5% 26.6% 31.0% -14.2 43
2021-01-31 Sparta Rotterdam D 1-1 1591 1727 23.6% 25.5% 50.9% +1.2 12
2021-01-31 @ ADO Den Haag D 1-1 1727 1591 50.9% 25.5% 23.6% -1.2 23
2021-02-05 Heracles Almelo L 0-1 1695 1725 36.6% 26.8% 36.6% -7.8 25
2021-02-05 @ Fortuna Sittard W 1-0 1725 1695 36.6% 26.8% 36.6% +7.8 28
2021-02-06 Alkmaar L 0-1 1579 1895 11.0% 19.1% 69.9% -2.5 6
2021-02-06 @ Emmen W 1-0 1895 1579 69.9% 19.1% 11.0% +2.5 40
2021-02-06 RKC Waalwijk D 1-1 1700 1616 52.0% 25.3% 22.7% -1.3 23
2021-02-06 @ Zwolle D 1-1 1616 1700 22.7% 25.3% 52.0% +1.3 16
2021-02-06 Twente W 3-0 1919 1747 61.9% 22.5% 15.6% +10.1 46
2021-02-06 @ PSV Eindhoven L 0-3 1747 1919 15.6% 22.5% 61.9% -10.1 30
2021-02-06 Vitesse W 1-0 1758 1843 29.3% 26.4% 44.2% +9.0 29
2021-02-06 @ Heerenveen L 0-1 1843 1758 44.2% 26.4% 29.3% -9.0 42
2021-02-12 Emmen W 1-0 1617 1576 46.5% 26.2% 27.3% +6.2 19
2021-02-12 @ RKC Waalwijk L 0-1 1576 1617 27.3% 26.2% 46.5% -6.2 6
2021-02-13 Ajax L 0-2 1733 2024 12.2% 20.1% 67.7% -5.3 28
2021-02-13 @ Heracles Almelo W 2-0 2024 1733 67.7% 20.1% 12.2% +5.3 53
2021-02-13 Fortuna Sittard L 1-2 1726 1687 46.3% 26.2% 27.5% -8.8 23
2021-02-13 @ Sparta Rotterdam W 2-1 1687 1726 27.5% 26.2% 46.3% +8.8 28
2021-02-13 PSV Eindhoven D 2-2 1592 1930 10.1% 18.2% 71.8% +2.1 13
2021-02-13 @ ADO Den Haag D 2-2 1930 1592 71.8% 18.2% 10.1% -2.1 47
2021-02-13 Zwolle W 1-0 1778 1699 51.4% 25.4% 23.2% +5.4 37
2021-02-13 @ Groningen L 0-1 1699 1778 23.2% 25.4% 51.4% -5.4 23
2021-02-14 Heerenveen W 3-1 1897 1767 57.5% 23.9% 18.6% +7.2 43
2021-02-14 @ Alkmaar L 1-3 1767 1897 18.6% 23.9% 57.5% -7.2 29
2021-02-14 Twente L 0-2 1834 1737 53.5% 25.0% 21.5% -19.8 42
2021-02-14 @ Vitesse W 2-0 1737 1834 21.5% 25.0% 53.5% +19.8 33
2021-02-14 VVV-Venlo W 3-1 1796 1673 56.6% 24.2% 19.2% +7.4 31
2021-02-14 @ Utrecht L 1-3 1673 1796 19.2% 24.2% 56.6% -7.4 22
2021-02-14 Willem II W 5-0 1876 1666 65.7% 21.0% 13.3% +13.7 41
2021-02-14 @ Feyenoord L 0-5 1666 1876 13.3% 21.0% 65.7% -13.7 13
2021-02-19 Utrecht L 0-6 1652 1803 22.1% 25.1% 52.7% -27.1 13
2021-02-19 @ Willem II W 6-0 1803 1652 52.7% 25.1% 22.1% +27.1 34
2021-02-20 ADO Den Haag W 2-0 1696 1594 54.1% 24.8% 21.1% +9.3 31
2021-02-20 @ Fortuna Sittard L 0-2 1594 1696 21.1% 24.8% 54.1% -9.3 13
2021-02-20 Alkmaar L 1-4 1665 1905 15.2% 22.2% 62.6% -8.3 22
2021-02-20 @ VVV-Venlo W 4-1 1905 1665 62.6% 22.2% 15.2% +8.3 46
2021-02-20 Zwolle W 3-2 1570 1693 24.9% 25.8% 49.3% +8.8 9
2021-02-20 @ Emmen L 2-3 1693 1570 49.3% 25.8% 24.9% -8.8 23
2021-02-21 Feyenoord D 2-2 1757 1890 23.9% 25.6% 50.5% +0.9 34
2021-02-21 @ Twente D 2-2 1890 1757 50.5% 25.6% 23.9% -0.8 42
2021-02-21 Groningen D 1-1 1759 1783 37.6% 26.8% 35.7% -0.1 30
2021-02-21 @ Heerenveen D 1-1 1783 1759 35.7% 26.8% 37.6% +0.1 38
2021-02-21 Heracles Almelo W 3-0 1624 1728 27.1% 26.2% 46.8% +25.7 22
2021-02-21 @ RKC Waalwijk L 0-3 1728 1624 46.8% 26.2% 27.1% -25.7 28
2021-02-21 Sparta Rotterdam W 4-2 2030 1717 74.7% 16.6% 8.6% +2.8 56
2021-02-21 @ Ajax L 2-4 1717 2030 8.6% 16.6% 74.7% -2.8 23
2021-02-21 Vitesse W 3-1 1927 1814 55.5% 24.5% 20.0% +7.7 50
2021-02-21 @ PSV Eindhoven L 1-3 1814 1927 20.0% 24.5% 55.5% -7.7 42
2021-02-24 ADO Den Haag D 1-1 1625 1585 46.4% 26.2% 27.4% -0.8 14
2021-02-24 @ Willem II D 1-1 1585 1625 27.4% 26.2% 46.4% +0.8 14
2021-02-24 Feyenoord D 0-0 1783 1889 26.9% 26.1% 47.0% +1.0 39
2021-02-24 @ Groningen D 0-0 1889 1783 47.0% 26.1% 26.9% -1.0 43
2021-02-26 Heerenveen W 4-1 1685 1759 30.6% 26.5% 42.9% +20.2 26
2021-02-26 @ Zwolle L 1-4 1759 1685 42.9% 26.5% 30.6% -20.2 30
2021-02-27 Emmen L 0-1 1830 1579 69.6% 19.2% 11.2% -13.0 34
2021-02-27 @ Utrecht W 1-0 1579 1830 11.2% 19.2% 69.6% +13.0 12
2021-02-27 RKC Waalwijk D 0-0 1586 1649 32.0% 26.7% 41.3% +0.4 15
2021-02-27 @ ADO Den Haag D 0-0 1649 1586 41.3% 26.7% 32.0% -0.4 23
2021-02-27 Twente D 2-2 1702 1758 33.1% 26.7% 40.2% +0.2 29
2021-02-27 @ Heracles Almelo D 2-2 1758 1702 40.2% 26.7% 33.1% -0.2 35
2021-02-27 VVV-Venlo W 4-1 1806 1657 59.5% 23.3% 17.2% +9.4 45
2021-02-27 @ Vitesse L 1-4 1657 1806 17.2% 23.3% 59.5% -9.4 22
2021-02-28 Ajax D 1-1 1935 2033 27.8% 26.2% 45.9% +0.8 51
2021-02-28 @ PSV Eindhoven D 1-1 2033 1935 45.9% 26.2% 27.8% -0.8 57
2021-02-28 Feyenoord W 4-2 1913 1888 44.4% 26.4% 29.2% +9.5 49
2021-02-28 @ Alkmaar L 2-4 1888 1913 29.2% 26.4% 44.4% -9.5 43
2021-02-28 Fortuna Sittard W 1-0 1784 1705 51.4% 25.4% 23.2% +5.4 42
2021-02-28 @ Groningen L 0-1 1705 1784 23.2% 25.4% 51.4% -5.4 31
2021-02-28 Willem II L 0-2 1715 1624 52.7% 25.1% 22.1% -19.5 23
2021-02-28 @ Sparta Rotterdam W 2-0 1624 1715 22.1% 25.1% 52.7% +19.5 17
2021-03-05 Sparta Rotterdam D 1-1 1592 1695 27.1% 26.2% 46.7% +0.8 13
2021-03-05 @ Emmen D 1-1 1695 1592 46.7% 26.2% 27.1% -0.8 24
2021-03-06 ADO Den Haag W 3-0 1739 1586 59.9% 23.2% 16.9% +11.0 33
2021-03-06 @ Heerenveen L 0-3 1586 1739 16.9% 23.2% 59.9% -11.0 15
2021-03-06 Utrecht L 1-2 1649 1817 20.5% 24.6% 54.8% -4.6 23
2021-03-06 @ RKC Waalwijk W 2-1 1817 1649 54.8% 24.6% 20.5% +4.5 37
2021-03-06 VVV-Venlo W 6-0 1878 1648 67.7% 20.1% 12.2% +14.8 46
2021-03-06 @ Feyenoord L 0-6 1648 1878 12.2% 20.1% 67.7% -14.8 22
2021-03-06 Willem II D 1-1 1757 1644 55.5% 24.5% 20.0% -1.6 36
2021-03-06 @ Twente D 1-1 1644 1757 20.0% 24.5% 55.5% +1.6 18
2021-03-07 Alkmaar W 2-1 1816 1922 26.7% 26.1% 47.2% +8.9 48
2021-03-07 @ Vitesse L 1-2 1922 1816 47.2% 26.1% 26.7% -8.9 49
2021-03-07 Groningen W 3-1 2032 1790 68.7% 19.6% 11.6% +4.4 60
2021-03-07 @ Ajax L 1-3 1790 2032 11.6% 19.6% 68.7% -4.4 42
2021-03-07 PSV Eindhoven L 1-3 1700 1936 15.4% 22.4% 62.3% -5.9 31
2021-03-07 @ Fortuna Sittard W 3-1 1936 1700 62.3% 22.4% 15.4% +5.9 54
2021-03-07 Zwolle W 2-1 1702 1705 40.6% 26.7% 32.8% +6.7 32
2021-03-07 @ Heracles Almelo L 1-2 1705 1702 32.8% 26.7% 40.6% -6.7 26
2021-03-09 Sparta Rotterdam L 0-1 1633 1694 32.3% 26.7% 41.0% -7.1 22
2021-03-09 @ VVV-Venlo W 1-0 1694 1633 41.0% 26.7% 32.3% +7.1 27
2021-03-13 Emmen D 1-1 1785 1592 64.0% 21.7% 14.3% -2.3 43
2021-03-13 @ Groningen D 1-1 1592 1785 14.3% 21.7% 64.0% +2.3 14
2021-03-13 Heerenveen W 3-1 1645 1750 27.0% 26.1% 46.9% +15.3 21
2021-03-13 @ Willem II L 1-3 1750 1645 46.9% 26.1% 27.0% -15.3 33
2021-03-13 Heracles Almelo L 1-2 1575 1709 23.8% 25.6% 50.6% -5.2 15
2021-03-13 @ ADO Den Haag W 2-1 1709 1575 50.6% 25.6% 23.8% +5.2 35
2021-03-13 RKC Waalwijk W 2-0 1701 1644 48.6% 25.9% 25.5% +11.0 30
2021-03-13 @ Sparta Rotterdam L 0-2 1644 1701 25.5% 25.9% 48.6% -11.0 23
2021-03-13 Twente W 4-1 1913 1756 60.4% 23.0% 16.6% +9.1 52
2021-03-13 @ Alkmaar L 1-4 1756 1913 16.6% 23.0% 60.4% -9.1 36
2021-03-14 Ajax L 0-2 1698 2036 10.0% 18.1% 71.8% -4.3 26
2021-03-14 @ Zwolle W 2-0 2036 1698 71.8% 18.1% 10.0% +4.3 63
2021-03-14 Feyenoord D 1-1 1942 1893 47.5% 26.1% 26.4% -0.9 55
2021-03-14 @ PSV Eindhoven D 1-1 1893 1942 26.4% 26.1% 47.5% +0.9 47
2021-03-14 Fortuna Sittard L 1-3 1626 1694 31.5% 26.6% 41.9% -11.3 22
2021-03-14 @ VVV-Venlo W 3-1 1694 1626 41.9% 26.6% 31.5% +11.3 34
2021-03-14 Vitesse L 1-3 1822 1824 40.6% 26.7% 32.8% -13.7 37
2021-03-14 @ Utrecht W 3-1 1824 1822 32.8% 26.7% 40.6% +13.7 51
2021-03-19 Twente D 0-0 1735 1747 39.3% 26.7% 34.0% -0.2 34
2021-03-19 @ Heerenveen D 0-0 1747 1735 34.0% 26.7% 39.3% +0.2 37
2021-03-20 Emmen D 1-1 1894 1595 73.7% 17.2% 9.1% -3.0 48
2021-03-20 @ Feyenoord D 1-1 1595 1894 9.1% 17.2% 73.7% +3.0 15
2021-03-20 Groningen W 3-1 1633 1783 22.3% 25.2% 52.6% +16.9 26
2021-03-20 @ RKC Waalwijk L 1-3 1783 1633 52.6% 25.2% 22.3% -16.9 43
2021-03-20 Utrecht L 0-1 1705 1808 27.2% 26.2% 46.7% -6.2 34
2021-03-20 @ Fortuna Sittard W 1-0 1808 1705 46.7% 26.2% 27.2% +6.2 40
2021-03-21 ADO Den Haag W 5-0 2040 1570 85.3% 10.4% 4.2% +3.6 66
2021-03-21 @ Ajax L 0-5 1570 2040 4.2% 10.4% 85.3% -3.6 15
2021-03-21 PSV Eindhoven W 2-0 1923 1941 38.3% 26.8% 34.9% +14.1 55
2021-03-21 @ Alkmaar L 0-2 1941 1923 34.9% 26.8% 38.3% -14.1 55
2021-03-21 Sparta Rotterdam D 1-1 1714 1712 41.2% 26.7% 32.2% -0.4 36
2021-03-21 @ Heracles Almelo D 1-1 1712 1714 32.2% 26.7% 41.2% +0.4 31
2021-03-21 VVV-Venlo W 2-1 1694 1614 51.4% 25.4% 23.2% +5.1 29
2021-03-21 @ Zwolle L 1-2 1614 1694 23.2% 25.4% 51.4% -5.1 22
2021-03-21 Willem II D 0-0 1838 1661 62.5% 22.3% 15.3% -2.4 52
2021-03-21 @ Vitesse D 0-0 1661 1838 15.3% 22.3% 62.5% +2.4 22
2021-04-03 Alkmaar L 0-1 1663 1937 13.2% 20.9% 66.0% -3.1 22
2021-04-03 @ Willem II W 1-0 1937 1663 66.0% 20.9% 13.2% +3.1 58
2021-04-03 Groningen L 0-1 1609 1766 21.6% 25.0% 53.4% -5.0 22
2021-04-03 @ VVV-Venlo W 1-0 1766 1609 53.4% 25.0% 21.6% +5.0 46
2021-04-03 Vitesse L 1-2 1747 1836 28.9% 26.4% 44.8% -6.1 37
2021-04-03 @ Twente W 2-1 1836 1747 44.8% 26.4% 28.9% +6.1 55
2021-04-03 Zwolle W 3-2 1713 1699 42.9% 26.6% 30.6% +6.1 34
2021-04-03 @ Sparta Rotterdam L 2-3 1699 1713 30.6% 26.6% 42.9% -6.1 29
2021-04-04 Ajax L 1-2 1735 2044 11.3% 19.4% 69.3% -2.5 34
2021-04-04 @ Heerenveen W 2-1 2044 1735 69.3% 19.4% 11.3% +2.4 69
2021-04-04 Fortuna Sittard W 2-0 1891 1699 64.0% 21.7% 14.3% +6.4 51
2021-04-04 @ Feyenoord L 0-2 1699 1891 14.3% 21.7% 64.0% -6.4 34
2021-04-04 Heracles Almelo W 3-0 1927 1714 66.0% 20.9% 13.1% +8.4 58
2021-04-04 @ PSV Eindhoven L 0-3 1714 1927 13.1% 20.9% 66.0% -8.4 36
2021-04-04 RKC Waalwijk W 3-1 1598 1650 33.5% 26.7% 39.7% +13.5 18
2021-04-04 @ Emmen L 1-3 1650 1598 39.7% 26.7% 33.5% -13.5 26
2021-04-04 Utrecht L 1-4 1566 1814 14.6% 21.9% 63.4% -8.0 15
2021-04-04 @ ADO Den Haag W 4-1 1814 1566 63.4% 21.9% 14.6% +8.0 43
2021-04-09 ADO Den Haag D 0-0 1842 1558 72.4% 17.9% 9.8% -3.2 56
2021-04-09 @ Vitesse D 0-0 1558 1842 9.8% 17.9% 72.4% +3.2 16
2021-04-10 Emmen L 1-3 1692 1611 51.6% 25.4% 23.0% -16.6 34
2021-04-10 @ Fortuna Sittard W 3-1 1611 1692 23.0% 25.4% 51.6% +16.6 21
2021-04-10 Sparta Rotterdam W 2-0 1940 1719 66.8% 20.5% 12.7% +5.6 61
2021-04-10 @ Alkmaar L 0-2 1719 1940 12.7% 20.5% 66.8% -5.6 34
2021-04-10 Twente W 1-0 1693 1741 34.1% 26.7% 39.1% +8.2 32
2021-04-10 @ Zwolle L 0-1 1741 1693 39.1% 26.7% 34.1% -8.2 37
2021-04-10 Willem II W 4-0 1705 1660 47.1% 26.1% 26.8% +21.8 39
2021-04-10 @ Heracles Almelo L 0-4 1660 1705 26.8% 26.1% 47.1% -21.8 22
2021-04-11 Ajax L 0-1 1637 2046 7.4% 15.1% 77.5% -1.6 26
2021-04-11 @ RKC Waalwijk W 1-0 2046 1637 77.5% 15.1% 7.4% +1.6 72
2021-04-11 Feyenoord L 1-2 1822 1897 30.6% 26.5% 42.9% -6.4 43
2021-04-11 @ Utrecht W 2-1 1897 1822 42.9% 26.5% 30.6% +6.4 54
2021-04-11 Heerenveen L 0-2 1771 1732 46.3% 26.2% 27.5% -17.5 46
2021-04-11 @ Groningen W 2-0 1732 1771 27.5% 26.2% 46.3% +17.5 37
2021-04-11 PSV Eindhoven L 0-2 1604 1935 10.3% 18.4% 71.2% -4.4 22
2021-04-11 @ VVV-Venlo W 2-0 1935 1604 71.2% 18.4% 10.3% +4.4 61
2021-04-22 Utrecht D 1-1 2048 1816 67.8% 20.1% 12.1% -2.6 73
2021-04-22 @ Ajax D 1-1 1816 2048 12.1% 20.1% 67.8% +2.6 44
2021-04-23 RKC Waalwijk W 1-0 1638 1635 41.4% 26.6% 32.0% +7.0 25
2021-04-23 @ Willem II L 0-1 1635 1638 32.0% 26.6% 41.4% -7.0 26
2021-04-24 Groningen W 1-0 1940 1754 63.3% 21.9% 14.7% +3.5 64
2021-04-24 @ PSV Eindhoven L 0-1 1754 1940 14.7% 21.9% 63.3% -3.5 46
2021-04-24 VVV-Venlo W 2-0 1713 1600 55.5% 24.5% 20.1% +8.9 37
2021-04-24 @ Sparta Rotterdam L 0-2 1600 1713 20.1% 24.5% 55.5% -8.9 22
2021-04-24 Zwolle L 0-2 1750 1701 47.5% 26.1% 26.4% -17.9 37
2021-04-24 @ Heerenveen W 2-0 1701 1750 26.4% 26.1% 47.5% +17.9 35
2021-04-25 Alkmaar W 2-0 2045 1945 53.9% 24.9% 21.2% +9.4 76
2021-04-25 @ Ajax L 0-2 1945 2045 21.2% 24.9% 53.9% -9.4 61
2021-04-25 Fortuna Sittard L 0-3 1561 1676 25.9% 26.0% 48.1% -16.2 16
2021-04-25 @ ADO Den Haag W 3-0 1676 1561 48.1% 26.0% 25.9% +16.2 37
2021-04-25 Heracles Almelo W 3-1 1628 1727 27.6% 26.2% 46.2% +15.2 24
2021-04-25 @ Emmen L 1-3 1727 1628 46.2% 26.2% 27.6% -15.1 39
2021-04-25 Utrecht L 1-2 1733 1818 29.2% 26.4% 44.4% -6.2 37
2021-04-25 @ Twente W 2-1 1818 1733 44.4% 26.4% 29.2% +6.2 47
2021-04-25 Vitesse D 0-0 1904 1839 49.6% 25.7% 24.6% -1.2 55
2021-04-25 @ Feyenoord D 0-0 1839 1904 24.6% 25.7% 49.6% +1.2 57
2021-05-01 Alkmaar L 1-3 1628 1936 11.4% 19.4% 69.2% -4.3 26
2021-05-01 @ RKC Waalwijk W 3-1 1936 1628 69.2% 19.4% 11.4% +4.3 64
2021-05-01 Twente W 3-0 1692 1727 36.0% 26.8% 37.2% +21.5 40
2021-05-01 @ Fortuna Sittard L 0-3 1727 1692 37.2% 26.8% 36.0% -21.5 37
2021-05-01 VVV-Venlo W 4-0 1712 1591 56.4% 24.2% 19.4% +16.4 42
2021-05-01 @ Heracles Almelo L 0-4 1591 1712 19.4% 24.2% 56.4% -16.4 22
2021-05-01 Willem II W 3-2 1825 1645 62.6% 22.2% 15.1% +3.2 50
2021-05-01 @ Utrecht L 2-3 1645 1825 15.1% 22.2% 62.6% -3.2 25
2021-05-01 Zwolle W 2-1 1840 1719 56.3% 24.2% 19.4% +4.3 60
2021-05-01 @ Vitesse L 1-2 1719 1840 19.4% 24.2% 56.3% -4.3 35
2021-05-02 Emmen W 4-0 2055 1643 81.9% 12.5% 5.6% +4.0 79
2021-05-02 @ Ajax L 0-4 1643 2055 5.6% 12.5% 81.9% -4.0 24
2021-05-02 Feyenoord W 3-2 1545 1903 9.2% 17.3% 73.4% +12.0 19
2021-05-02 @ ADO Den Haag L 2-3 1903 1545 73.4% 17.3% 9.2% -12.0 55
2021-05-02 Heerenveen D 2-2 1943 1732 65.8% 20.9% 13.2% -1.8 65
2021-05-02 @ PSV Eindhoven D 2-2 1732 1943 13.2% 20.9% 65.8% +1.8 38
2021-05-02 Sparta Rotterdam L 1-2 1750 1722 44.8% 26.4% 28.8% -8.5 46
2021-05-02 @ Groningen W 2-1 1722 1750 28.8% 26.4% 44.8% +8.5 40
2021-05-07 Vitesse W 3-0 1731 1844 26.0% 26.0% 48.0% +26.2 43
2021-05-07 @ Sparta Rotterdam L 0-3 1844 1731 48.0% 26.0% 26.0% -26.2 60
2021-05-08 Fortuna Sittard W 1-0 1940 1713 67.3% 20.3% 12.4% +2.9 67
2021-05-08 @ Alkmaar L 0-1 1713 1940 12.4% 20.3% 67.3% -2.9 40
2021-05-08 Heracles Almelo D 1-1 1705 1728 37.6% 26.8% 35.6% -0.1 38
2021-05-08 @ Twente D 1-1 1728 1705 35.6% 26.8% 37.6% +0.1 43
2021-05-08 RKC Waalwijk D 3-3 1575 1624 34.0% 26.7% 39.3% +0.1 23
2021-05-08 @ VVV-Venlo D 3-3 1624 1575 39.3% 26.7% 34.0% -0.1 27
2021-05-08 Utrecht D 0-0 1734 1828 28.2% 26.3% 45.5% +0.8 39
2021-05-08 @ Heerenveen D 0-0 1828 1734 45.5% 26.3% 28.2% -0.8 51
2021-05-09 ADO Den Haag L 0-1 1715 1557 60.3% 23.0% 16.6% -11.6 35
2021-05-09 @ Zwolle W 1-0 1557 1715 16.6% 23.0% 60.3% +11.6 22
2021-05-09 Ajax L 0-3 1890 2059 20.5% 24.7% 54.8% -13.2 55
2021-05-09 @ Feyenoord W 3-0 2059 1890 54.8% 24.7% 20.5% +13.2 82
2021-05-09 Groningen L 0-4 1639 1742 27.2% 26.2% 46.6% -22.1 24
2021-05-09 @ Emmen W 4-0 1742 1639 46.6% 26.2% 27.2% +22.1 49
2021-05-09 PSV Eindhoven L 0-2 1642 1941 11.8% 19.8% 68.4% -5.1 25
2021-05-09 @ Willem II W 2-0 1941 1642 68.4% 19.8% 11.8% +5.1 68
2021-05-13 Alkmaar D 0-0 1764 1943 19.6% 24.3% 56.1% +1.8 50
2021-05-13 @ Groningen D 0-0 1943 1764 56.1% 24.3% 19.6% -1.8 68
2021-05-13 Feyenoord D 1-1 1728 1877 22.4% 25.2% 52.4% +1.3 44
2021-05-13 @ Heracles Almelo D 1-1 1877 1728 52.4% 25.2% 22.4% -1.3 56
2021-05-13 Heerenveen W 3-1 1617 1734 25.6% 25.9% 48.5% +15.8 27
2021-05-13 @ Emmen L 1-3 1734 1617 48.5% 25.9% 25.6% -15.8 39
2021-05-13 Twente W 2-1 1624 1705 29.8% 26.5% 43.8% +8.4 30
2021-05-13 @ RKC Waalwijk L 1-2 1705 1624 43.8% 26.5% 29.8% -8.4 38
2021-05-13 Utrecht D 0-0 1757 1827 31.2% 26.6% 42.2% +0.5 44
2021-05-13 @ Sparta Rotterdam D 0-0 1827 1757 42.2% 26.6% 31.2% -0.5 52
2021-05-13 Vitesse D 3-3 1711 1818 26.7% 26.1% 47.2% +0.5 41
2021-05-13 @ Fortuna Sittard D 3-3 1818 1711 47.2% 26.1% 26.7% -0.5 61
2021-05-13 VVV-Venlo W 3-1 2072 1575 86.7% 9.5% 3.7% +1.2 85
2021-05-13 @ Ajax L 1-3 1575 2072 3.7% 9.5% 86.7% -1.2 23
2021-05-13 Willem II L 1-4 1569 1637 31.5% 26.6% 41.9% -16.0 22
2021-05-13 @ ADO Den Haag W 4-1 1637 1569 41.9% 26.6% 31.5% +16.0 28
2021-05-13 Zwolle W 4-2 1946 1703 68.8% 19.6% 11.6% +3.9 71
2021-05-13 @ PSV Eindhoven L 2-4 1703 1946 11.6% 19.6% 68.8% -3.9 35
2021-05-16 ADO Den Haag W 3-2 1697 1553 58.9% 23.5% 17.6% +3.7 41
2021-05-16 @ Twente L 2-3 1553 1697 17.6% 23.5% 58.9% -3.7 22
2021-05-16 Ajax L 1-3 1817 2073 14.2% 21.6% 64.2% -5.4 61
2021-05-16 @ Vitesse W 3-1 2073 1817 64.2% 21.6% 14.2% +5.4 88
2021-05-16 Emmen L 0-4 1574 1633 32.6% 26.7% 40.7% -25.5 23
2021-05-16 @ VVV-Venlo W 4-0 1633 1574 40.7% 26.7% 32.6% +25.5 30
2021-05-16 Fortuna Sittard W 2-1 1653 1711 32.8% 26.7% 40.6% +7.9 31
2021-05-16 @ Willem II L 1-2 1711 1653 40.6% 26.7% 32.8% -7.9 41
2021-05-16 Groningen W 1-0 1699 1766 31.7% 26.6% 41.7% +8.6 38
2021-05-16 @ Zwolle L 0-1 1766 1699 41.7% 26.6% 31.7% -8.6 50
2021-05-16 Heracles Almelo W 5-0 1941 1730 65.8% 20.9% 13.2% +13.6 71
2021-05-16 @ Alkmaar L 0-5 1730 1941 13.2% 20.9% 65.8% -13.6 44
2021-05-16 PSV Eindhoven D 1-1 1826 1950 24.9% 25.8% 49.4% +1.0 53
2021-05-16 @ Utrecht D 1-1 1950 1826 49.4% 25.8% 24.9% -1.0 72
2021-05-16 RKC Waalwijk W 3-0 1876 1632 68.9% 19.6% 11.5% +7.3 59
2021-05-16 @ Feyenoord L 0-3 1632 1876 11.5% 19.6% 68.9% -7.3 30
2021-05-16 Sparta Rotterdam L 1-2 1719 1757 35.4% 26.8% 37.8% -7.1 39
2021-05-16 @ Heerenveen W 2-1 1757 1719 37.8% 26.8% 35.4% +7.1 47

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2021-05-19 Groningen W 1-0 1828 1757 50.3% 25.6% 24.1% +5.6 1-0
2021-05-19 @ Utrecht L 0-1 1757 1828 24.1% 25.6% 50.3% -5.6 0-1
2021-05-19 Sparta Rotterdam W 2-0 1883 1764 56.1% 24.3% 19.6% +8.7 1-0
2021-05-19 @ Feyenoord L 0-2 1764 1883 19.6% 24.3% 56.1% -8.7 0-1
2021-05-20 NAC Breda L 3-4 1658 1727 31.3% 26.6% 42.1% -6.0 0-1
2021-05-20 @ Emmen W 4-3 1727 1658 42.1% 26.6% 31.3% +6.0 1-0
2021-05-23 Utrecht W 2-0 1892 1833 48.8% 25.9% 25.3% +10.9 2-0
2021-05-23 @ Feyenoord L 0-2 1833 1892 25.3% 25.9% 48.8% -11.0 1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2021-05-02 9.25% @ ADO Den Haag 1545 3 Feyenoord 1903 2
2 2021-02-27 11.18% Emmen 1579 1 @ Utrecht 1830 0
3 2020-12-05 11.99% Twente 1761 2 @ Ajax 1996 1
4 2021-01-27 16.50% @ VVV-Venlo 1652 4 Vitesse 1872 1
5 2020-11-27 16.61% RKC Waalwijk 1625 2 @ Twente 1783 0
6 2021-05-09 16.63% ADO Den Haag 1557 1 @ Zwolle 1715 0
7 2021-01-27 18.04% Utrecht 1785 1 @ Alkmaar 1923 0
8 2020-12-06 18.93% Groningen 1761 2 @ Alkmaar 1888 1
9 2020-10-04 19.67% @ Groningen 1737 1 Ajax 1916 0
10 2021-01-24 19.74% VVV-Venlo 1641 1 @ Twente 1758 0
11 2020-12-05 20.78% @ Zwolle 1691 2 Vitesse 1857 1
12 2021-01-27 21.10% @ Heerenveen 1728 3 Feyenoord 1891 0
13 2021-01-10 21.31% Fortuna Sittard 1657 3 @ Heerenveen 1756 1
14 2021-02-14 21.54% Twente 1737 2 @ Vitesse 1834 0
15 2021-02-28 22.12% Willem II 1624 2 @ Sparta Rotterdam 1715 0
16 2021-03-20 22.26% @ RKC Waalwijk 1633 3 Groningen 1783 1
17 2020-12-20 22.44% Heracles Almelo 1692 2 @ Heerenveen 1779 1
18 2020-12-23 22.59% Heracles Almelo 1701 1 @ Groningen 1787 0
19 2021-04-10 23.00% Emmen 1611 3 @ Fortuna Sittard 1692 1
20 2020-10-17 23.70% RKC Waalwijk 1635 1 @ Heracles Almelo 1709 0
21 2021-02-20 24.92% @ Emmen 1570 3 Zwolle 1693 2
22 2020-12-11 25.04% Fortuna Sittard 1639 2 @ Heracles Almelo 1701 1
23 2021-05-13 25.55% @ Emmen 1617 3 Heerenveen 1734 1
24 2021-05-07 26.00% @ Sparta Rotterdam 1731 3 Vitesse 1844 0
25 2021-04-24 26.43% Zwolle 1701 2 @ Heerenveen 1750 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2020-10-24 39.25 Ajax 13 1919 62.64% @ VVV-Venlo 0 1678 15.15% 22.21%
2 2020-11-22 34.67 @ Sparta Rotterdam 6 1682 43.82% ADO Den Haag 0 1661 29.71% 26.47%
3 2021-01-27 28.95 @ Heerenveen 3 1728 21.10% Feyenoord 0 1891 54.06% 24.83%
4 2021-02-19 27.08 Utrecht 6 1803 52.72% @ Willem II 0 1652 22.15% 25.14%
5 2021-01-27 26.83 @ VVV-Venlo 4 1652 16.50% Vitesse 1 1872 60.54% 22.96%
6 2021-05-07 26.24 @ Sparta Rotterdam 3 1731 26.00% Vitesse 0 1844 48.02% 25.98%
7 2020-09-26 25.98 @ Zwolle 4 1696 39.79% Sparta Rotterdam 0 1704 33.49% 26.72%
8 2020-09-20 25.88 @ Willem II 4 1742 39.96% Heracles Almelo 0 1749 33.33% 26.71%
9 2021-02-21 25.68 @ RKC Waalwijk 3 1624 27.05% Heracles Almelo 0 1728 46.80% 26.15%
10 2021-05-16 25.48 Emmen 4 1633 40.68% @ VVV-Venlo 0 1574 32.64% 26.68%
11 2020-10-17 24.05 Twente 3 1736 30.37% @ Willem II 0 1752 43.10% 26.53%
12 2021-05-09 22.06 Groningen 4 1742 46.63% @ Emmen 0 1639 27.20% 26.17%
13 2020-11-01 21.93 @ Heracles Almelo 4 1700 26.45% Utrecht 1 1809 47.50% 26.05%
14 2020-11-27 21.86 RKC Waalwijk 2 1625 16.61% @ Twente 0 1783 60.38% 23.02%
15 2021-04-10 21.80 @ Heracles Almelo 4 1705 47.07% Willem II 0 1660 26.81% 26.11%
16 2021-05-01 21.50 @ Fortuna Sittard 3 1692 36.02% Twente 0 1727 37.20% 26.77%
17 2021-02-26 20.20 @ Zwolle 4 1685 30.59% Heerenveen 1 1759 42.86% 26.54%
18 2021-02-14 19.75 Twente 2 1737 21.54% @ Vitesse 0 1834 53.50% 24.96%
19 2021-01-13 19.58 VVV-Venlo 4 1621 32.15% @ ADO Den Haag 1 1623 41.20% 26.65%
20 2021-02-28 19.52 Willem II 2 1624 22.12% @ Sparta Rotterdam 0 1715 52.74% 25.13%
21 2020-11-08 19.28 Alkmaar 3 1861 41.20% @ Heerenveen 0 1799 32.15% 26.65%
22 2020-10-24 19.21 @ Heerenveen 4 1765 51.50% Emmen 0 1685 23.11% 25.39%
23 2021-01-12 19.13 @ Heracles Almelo 4 1701 51.63% Emmen 0 1620 23.01% 25.36%
24 2020-10-31 18.15 @ Twente 5 1754 47.12% Zwolle 1 1709 26.77% 26.11%
25 2021-04-24 17.91 Zwolle 2 1701 26.43% @ Heerenveen 0 1750 47.51% 26.05%