Home / Leagues / NFL / 1947

1947 NFL Season

60 regular-season games · 3 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Chicago Cardinals

2nd Title

Runner-Up

Philadelphia Eagles

1st Appearance

Biggest Overachiever

Chicago Cardinals

2.24 wins above expected

9 wins · 6.76 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

New York Giants

2.28 wins below expected

2 wins · 5.28 expected wins

Final Standings

Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.

# Team W L T Pct GB PF PA PD SimW vsSim
1 Pittsburgh Steelers Division 8 4 0 .667 240 259 -19 6.26 +1.74
2 Philadelphia Eagles Playoffs 8 4 0 .667 308 242 +66 6.91 +1.09
3 Boston Yanks 4 7 1 .375 3.5 168 256 -88 4.84 -0.34
4 Washington Redskins 4 8 0 .333 4 295 367 -72 5.39 -1.39
5 New York Giants 2 8 2 .250 5 190 309 -119 5.28 -2.28
# Team W L T Pct GB PF PA PD SimW vsSim
1 Chicago Cardinals Division 9 3 0 .750 306 231 +75 6.76 +2.24
2 Chicago Bears 8 4 0 .667 1 363 241 +122 7.38 +0.62
3 Green Bay Packers 6 5 1 .542 2.5 274 210 +64 6.39 +0.11
4 Los Angeles Rams 6 6 0 .500 3 259 214 +45 6.50 -0.50
5 Detroit Lions 3 9 0 .250 6 231 305 -74 4.30 -1.30

Playoff Bracket

The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.

Division Playoff

Philadelphia Eagles 21
Pittsburgh Steelers 0

Dec 21

NFL Championship Game

Chicago Cardinals 28
Philadelphia Eagles 21

Dec 28

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Conference Division Elo Actual Avg. Wins Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Chicago Bears West 1627 8 7.38 +0.62 78.86% 1 4 6 7 8 10 12
Chicago Cardinals West 1609 9 6.76 +2.24 97.04% 1 4 5 7 8 9 12
Green Bay Packers West 1564 6.5 6.39 +0.11 57.12% 0 3 5 6 7 9 12
Philadelphia Eagles East 1559 8 6.91 +1.09 85.91% 1 4 6 7 8 9 12
Pittsburgh Steelers East 1520 8 6.26 +1.74 93.48% 0 3 5 6 7 9 11
Los Angeles Rams West 1517 6 6.50 -0.50 54.61% 0 4 5 6 7 9 12
Washington Redskins East 1423 4 5.39 -1.39 34.36% 0 3 4 5 6 8 11
Boston Yanks East 1410 4.5 4.84 -0.34 47.46% 0 2 4 5 6 7 11
New York Giants East 1398 3 5.28 -2.28 16.79% 0 2 4 5 6 8 11
Detroit Lions West 1373 3 4.30 -1.30 36.05% 0 2 3 4 5 7 10

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record (row vs column) and below it the expected number of wins the model predicted based on each individual game's win probability. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than half a win in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin. The first matrix for each division covers within-division games; the second (when shown) covers games against teams outside that division — aggregated by division when there are many opponents, broken out team-by-team when there are few.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within East

Team Yanks Giants Eagles Steelers Redskins
Boston Yanks
1-0-1
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
New York Giants
0-1-1
(1.2 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
Washington Redskins
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)

East vs. Outside Teams

Team Bears Cardinals Lions Packers Rams
Boston Yanks
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
0-1
(0.7 exp.)
1-0
(0.2 exp.)
New York Giants
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
0-0-1
(0.4 exp.)
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
0-1
(0.7 exp.)
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
1-0
(0.3 exp.)
0-1
(0.6 exp.)
Washington Redskins
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
1-0
(0.3 exp.)
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
0-1
(0.3 exp.)

Within West

Team Bears Cardinals Lions Packers Rams
Chicago Bears
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
Chicago Cardinals
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
Detroit Lions
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
Green Bay Packers
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
0-2
(1.0 exp.)

West vs. Outside Teams

Team Yanks Giants Eagles Steelers Redskins
Chicago Bears
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
Chicago Cardinals
1-0
(0.8 exp.)
0-1
(0.6 exp.)
1-0
(0.3 exp.)
0-1
(0.6 exp.)
Detroit Lions
1-0
(0.3 exp.)
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
Green Bay Packers
0-0-1
(0.6 exp.)
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
0-1
(0.6 exp.)
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams
0-1
(0.8 exp.)
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
1-0
(0.4 exp.)

Scoring Distribution

Histograms of points scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.

Summary Statistics

Mean scored
Mean allowed
StdDev scored
StdDev allowed
Correlation (home vs away score)
Sample size (games)

Actual vs. Point Differential

How points translated into wins. Teams above the cluster overperformed their points differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Chicago Cardinals 9 6.76 +2.24
2 Pittsburgh Steelers 8 6.26 +1.74
3 Philadelphia Eagles 8 6.91 +1.09
4 Chicago Bears 8 7.38 +0.62
5 Green Bay Packers 6.5 6.39 +0.11

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 New York Giants 3 5.28 -2.28
2 Washington Redskins 4 5.39 -1.39
3 Detroit Lions 3 4.30 -1.30
4 Los Angeles Rams 6 6.50 -0.50
5 Boston Yanks 4.5 4.84 -0.34

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/T/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pittsburgh Steelers 6 Oct 12 – Nov 16 1 in 61
2 Chicago Bears 8 Oct 12 – Nov 27 1 in 57
3 Philadelphia Eagles 4 Oct 26 – Nov 16 1 in 12
4 Chicago Cardinals 4 Oct 26 – Nov 16 1 in 6
5 New York Giants 2 Nov 30 – Dec 7 1 in 5

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 New York Giants 7 Oct 5 – Nov 16 1 in 130
2 Los Angeles Rams 4 Oct 26 – Nov 16 1 in 46
3 Washington Redskins 5 Oct 19 – Nov 16 1 in 18
4 Boston Yanks 2 Oct 5 – Oct 12 1 in 9
5 Chicago Cardinals 2 Nov 23 – Nov 30 1 in 8

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between divisions, leagues, and the overall NFL view. Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).

Team12345
Philadelphia Eagles42.54%24.73%16.26%10.74%5.73%
Pittsburgh Steelers26.05%26.37%21.15%16.25%10.18%
Washington Redskins13.10%18.99%21.12%23.04%23.75%
New York Giants11.44%16.93%21.44%24.14%26.05%
Boston Yanks6.87%12.98%20.03%25.83%34.29%
Team12345
Chicago Bears37.33%25.45%18.83%13.46%4.93%
Chicago Cardinals23.70%24.82%23.41%18.93%9.14%
Los Angeles Rams18.81%23.36%24.72%21.76%11.35%
Green Bay Packers18.20%21.20%23.20%24.50%12.90%
Detroit Lions1.96%5.17%9.84%21.35%61.68%
Team12345678910
Chicago Bears25.97%17.65%13.92%11.43%9.07%7.44%6.47%4.06%2.68%1.31%
Philadelphia Eagles17.38%17.95%13.57%12.01%10.27%9.11%7.25%5.88%4.12%2.46%
Chicago Cardinals14.86%13.87%14.23%12.12%11.65%10.17%8.82%6.46%4.91%2.91%
Los Angeles Rams12.13%11.19%13.64%11.80%12.67%10.53%10.33%7.82%6.27%3.62%
Green Bay Packers11.78%11.04%11.86%10.98%12.21%10.70%11.01%8.90%7.15%4.37%
Pittsburgh Steelers8.64%11.75%11.11%14.12%11.29%12.15%9.97%9.14%6.92%4.91%
Washington Redskins3.77%5.88%7.96%9.12%10.19%11.09%11.43%14.24%12.40%13.92%
New York Giants3.11%5.68%6.49%8.52%9.17%11.53%11.97%14.39%13.94%15.20%
Boston Yanks1.56%3.37%4.30%6.45%7.89%10.74%12.21%15.85%18.10%19.53%
Detroit Lions0.80%1.62%2.92%3.45%5.59%6.54%10.54%13.26%23.51%31.77%

Win Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.

Team1 SeedMissed Playoffs
Philadelphia Eagles42.54%57.46%
Pittsburgh Steelers26.05%73.95%
Washington Redskins13.10%86.90%
New York Giants11.44%88.56%
Boston Yanks6.87%93.13%
Team1 SeedMissed Playoffs
Chicago Bears37.33%62.67%
Chicago Cardinals23.70%76.30%
Los Angeles Rams18.81%81.19%
Green Bay Packers18.20%81.80%
Detroit Lions1.96%98.04%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

Empirical cumulative distribution: for each seed in each conference, the probability that a team holding that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.

Team Made Playoffs Won Super Bowl
Chicago Bears 37.33% 29.05%
Chicago Cardinals 23.70% 17.63%
Philadelphia Eagles 42.54% 14.33%
Green Bay Packers 18.20% 12.61%
Los Angeles Rams 18.81% 11.86%
Pittsburgh Steelers 26.05% 7.75%
Washington Redskins 13.10% 2.72%
New York Giants 11.44% 1.89%
Boston Yanks 6.87% 1.16%
Detroit Lions 1.96% 1.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Boston YanksChicago BearsChicago CardinalsDetroit LionsGreen Bay PackersLos Angeles RamsNew York GiantsPhiladelphia EaglesPittsburgh SteelersWashington Redskins
Boston Yanks0.31%0.19%0.03%0.32%0.31%
Chicago Bears2.10%3.99%11.68%7.41%3.87%
Chicago Cardinals1.23%2.04%7.14%4.73%2.49%
Detroit Lions0.09%0.14%0.39%0.24%0.14%
Green Bay Packers1.20%1.78%4.74%2.99%1.90%
Los Angeles Rams1.09%1.60%4.26%2.93%1.98%
New York Giants0.55%0.39%0.08%0.39%0.48%
Philadelphia Eagles4.63%2.99%0.52%2.89%3.30%
Pittsburgh Steelers2.08%1.95%0.22%1.55%1.95%
Washington Redskins0.71%0.55%0.11%0.44%0.91%

Actual Bracket Simulation

With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.

Team Won Super Bowl
Chicago Cardinals 70.23%
Philadelphia Eagles 29.77%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Chicago CardinalsPhiladelphia Eagles
Chicago Cardinals70.23%
Philadelphia Eagles29.77%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.

Chicago Cardinals 70.23% chance to win
Super Bowl
vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
70.23%
Philadelphia Eagles 29.77% chance to win
Super Bowl
vs. Chicago Cardinals
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
29.77%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
1947-09-29 New York Giants T 7-7 1450.44 1530.48 50.45% 46.16% -0.13 0-0
1947-10-05 Detroit Lions L 7-21 1450.31 1398.70 67.96% 28.65% -31.55 0-1
1947-10-12 Pittsburgh Steelers L 14-30 1418.76 1447.47 57.66% 38.95% -28.66 0-2
1947-10-19 @ New York Giants W 14-0 1390.10 1495.17 22.79% 73.83% +34.28 1-2
1947-10-26 @ Chicago Cardinals L 7-27 1424.38 1554.02 20.40% 76.23% -11.62 1-3
1947-11-02 Chicago Bears L 24-28 1412.76 1589.58 36.83% 59.79% -9.27 1-4
1947-11-09 @ Los Angeles Rams W 27-16 1403.49 1568.77 17.27% 79.37% +32.69 2-4
1947-11-16 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 0-32 1436.18 1566.13 20.37% 76.26% -14.67 2-5
1947-11-23 Philadelphia Eagles W 21-14 1421.51 1580.80 39.21% 57.40% +18.88 3-5
1947-11-30 Washington Redskins W 27-24 1440.39 1428.60 63.05% 33.56% +7.33 4-5
1947-12-07 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 7-17 1447.72 1508.99 27.53% 69.09% -11.03 4-6
1947-12-14 @ Washington Redskins L 13-40 1436.69 1396.50 40.53% 56.08% -26.44 4-7
1947-09-28 @ Green Bay Packers L 20-29 1551.48 1507.47 41.06% 55.55% -15.45 0-1
1947-10-05 @ Chicago Cardinals L 7-31 1536.03 1537.55 34.89% 61.72% -21.55 0-2
1947-10-12 Philadelphia Eagles W 40-7 1514.48 1540.62 58.01% 38.60% +27.87 1-2
1947-10-19 Detroit Lions W 33-24 1542.35 1409.78 76.50% 20.13% +7.69 2-2
1947-10-26 @ Washington Redskins W 56-20 1550.04 1487.46 43.68% 52.93% +39.54 3-2
1947-11-02 @ Boston Yanks W 28-24 1589.58 1412.76 59.79% 36.83% +9.27 4-2
1947-11-09 Green Bay Packers W 20-17 1598.85 1537.41 69.11% 27.51% +6.04 5-2
1947-11-16 @ Los Angeles Rams W 41-21 1604.89 1536.08 44.56% 52.05% +28.99 6-2
1947-11-23 Pittsburgh Steelers W 49-7 1633.88 1547.05 71.93% 24.69% +20.31 7-2
1947-11-27 @ Detroit Lions W 34-14 1654.19 1411.03 68.16% 28.46% +16.12 8-2
1947-12-07 Los Angeles Rams L 14-17 1670.31 1484.10 81.03% 15.61% -17.44 8-3
1947-12-14 Chicago Cardinals L 21-30 1652.87 1583.39 70.02% 26.60% -26.06 8-4
1947-09-28 Detroit Lions W 45-21 1523.74 1412.51 74.45% 22.17% +13.81 1-0
1947-10-05 Chicago Bears W 31-7 1537.55 1536.03 61.72% 34.89% +21.55 2-0
1947-10-12 @ Green Bay Packers W 14-10 1559.10 1531.84 38.75% 57.86% +14.38 3-0
1947-10-19 @ Los Angeles Rams L 7-27 1573.48 1577.93 34.51% 62.10% -19.46 3-1
1947-10-26 Boston Yanks W 27-7 1554.02 1424.38 76.23% 20.40% +11.62 4-1
1947-11-02 Los Angeles Rams W 17-10 1565.64 1581.14 59.46% 37.15% +12.37 5-1
1947-11-09 @ Detroit Lions W 17-7 1578.01 1418.43 57.44% 39.17% +15.56 6-1
1947-11-16 Green Bay Packers W 21-20 1593.57 1531.38 69.19% 27.43% +3.47 7-1
1947-11-23 @ Washington Redskins L 21-45 1597.04 1389.83 63.76% 32.85% -38.77 7-2
1947-11-30 @ New York Giants L 31-35 1558.27 1373.94 60.79% 35.83% -15.09 7-3
1947-12-07 @ Philadelphia Eagles W 45-21 1543.18 1579.67 30.47% 66.15% +40.21 8-3
1947-12-14 @ Chicago Bears W 30-21 1583.39 1652.87 26.60% 70.02% +26.06 9-3
1947-09-21 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 10-17 1421.51 1488.95 26.83% 69.79% -9.00 0-1
1947-09-28 @ Chicago Cardinals L 21-45 1412.51 1523.74 22.17% 74.45% -13.81 0-2
1947-10-05 @ Boston Yanks W 21-7 1398.70 1450.31 28.65% 67.96% +31.55 1-2
1947-10-12 Los Angeles Rams L 13-27 1430.25 1557.45 43.69% 52.92% -20.47 1-3
1947-10-19 @ Chicago Bears L 24-33 1409.78 1542.35 20.13% 76.50% -7.69 1-4
1947-10-26 @ Green Bay Packers L 17-34 1402.09 1534.86 20.11% 76.52% -10.56 1-5
1947-11-02 New York Giants W 35-7 1391.53 1431.56 56.10% 40.51% +26.90 2-5
1947-11-09 Chicago Cardinals L 7-17 1418.43 1578.01 39.17% 57.44% -15.56 2-6
1947-11-16 Washington Redskins W 38-21 1402.87 1408.43 60.79% 35.83% +18.61 3-6
1947-11-23 @ Los Angeles Rams L 17-28 1421.48 1507.09 24.82% 71.80% -10.45 3-7
1947-11-27 Chicago Bears L 14-34 1411.03 1654.19 28.46% 68.16% -16.12 3-8
1947-12-07 Green Bay Packers L 14-35 1394.91 1560.83 38.30% 58.31% -22.06 3-9
1947-09-28 Chicago Bears W 29-20 1507.47 1551.48 55.55% 41.06% +15.46 1-0
1947-10-05 Los Angeles Rams W 17-14 1522.93 1566.36 55.63% 40.98% +8.91 2-0
1947-10-12 Chicago Cardinals L 10-14 1531.84 1559.10 57.86% 38.75% -14.38 2-1
1947-10-19 Washington Redskins W 27-10 1517.46 1504.86 63.15% 33.46% +17.40 3-1
1947-10-26 Detroit Lions W 34-17 1534.86 1402.09 76.52% 20.11% +10.56 4-1
1947-11-02 Pittsburgh Steelers L 17-18 1545.42 1522.13 64.51% 32.10% -8.01 4-2
1947-11-09 @ Chicago Bears L 17-20 1537.41 1598.85 27.51% 69.11% -6.03 4-3
1947-11-16 @ Chicago Cardinals L 20-21 1531.38 1593.57 27.43% 69.19% -3.48 4-4
1947-11-23 @ New York Giants T 24-24 1527.90 1373.43 56.74% 39.87% -0.51 4-4
1947-11-30 @ Los Angeles Rams W 30-10 1527.39 1517.54 36.40% 60.21% +33.44 5-4
1947-12-07 @ Detroit Lions W 35-14 1560.83 1394.91 58.31% 38.30% +22.07 6-4
1947-12-14 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 14-28 1582.90 1539.45 40.98% 55.63% -19.24 6-5
1947-09-29 @ Pittsburgh Steelers W 48-7 1519.74 1497.94 38.00% 58.61% +46.62 1-0
1947-10-05 @ Green Bay Packers L 14-17 1566.36 1522.93 40.98% 55.63% -8.91 1-1
1947-10-12 @ Detroit Lions W 27-13 1557.45 1430.25 52.92% 43.69% +20.48 2-1
1947-10-19 Chicago Cardinals W 27-7 1577.93 1573.48 62.10% 34.51% +19.45 3-1
1947-10-26 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 7-14 1597.38 1496.08 49.22% 47.39% -16.24 3-2
1947-11-02 @ Chicago Cardinals L 10-17 1581.14 1565.64 37.15% 59.46% -12.37 3-3
1947-11-09 Boston Yanks L 16-27 1568.77 1403.49 79.37% 17.27% -32.69 3-4
1947-11-16 Chicago Bears L 21-41 1536.08 1604.89 52.05% 44.56% -28.99 3-5
1947-11-23 Detroit Lions W 28-17 1507.09 1421.48 71.80% 24.82% +10.45 4-5
1947-11-30 Green Bay Packers L 10-30 1517.54 1527.39 60.21% 36.40% -33.44 4-6
1947-12-07 @ Chicago Bears W 17-14 1484.10 1670.31 15.61% 81.03% +17.43 5-6
1947-12-14 New York Giants W 34-10 1501.53 1413.80 72.03% 24.60% +15.30 6-6
1947-09-29 @ Boston Yanks T 7-7 1530.48 1450.44 46.16% 50.45% +0.13 0-0
1947-10-05 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 0-23 1530.61 1518.47 36.70% 59.91% -22.16 0-1
1947-10-12 @ Washington Redskins L 20-28 1508.45 1491.58 37.34% 59.27% -13.28 0-2
1947-10-19 Boston Yanks L 0-14 1495.17 1390.10 73.83% 22.79% -34.29 0-3
1947-10-26 Pittsburgh Steelers L 21-38 1460.88 1492.80 57.22% 39.39% -29.32 0-4
1947-11-02 @ Detroit Lions L 7-35 1431.56 1391.53 40.51% 56.10% -26.91 0-5
1947-11-09 Philadelphia Eagles L 24-41 1404.65 1544.46 41.91% 54.70% -21.67 0-6
1947-11-16 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 7-24 1382.98 1537.49 18.17% 78.46% -9.55 0-7
1947-11-23 Green Bay Packers T 24-24 1373.43 1527.90 39.87% 56.74% +0.51 0-7
1947-11-30 Chicago Cardinals W 35-31 1373.94 1558.27 35.83% 60.79% +15.09 1-7
1947-12-07 Washington Redskins W 35-10 1389.03 1421.26 57.18% 39.43% +24.77 2-7
1947-12-14 @ Los Angeles Rams L 10-34 1413.80 1501.53 24.60% 72.03% -15.30 2-8
1947-09-28 Washington Redskins W 45-42 1511.26 1494.93 63.63% 32.98% +7.21 1-0
1947-10-05 New York Giants W 23-0 1518.47 1530.61 59.91% 36.70% +22.15 2-0
1947-10-12 @ Chicago Bears L 7-40 1540.62 1514.48 38.60% 58.01% -27.87 2-1
1947-10-19 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 24-35 1512.75 1476.13 40.04% 56.57% -16.67 2-2
1947-10-26 Los Angeles Rams W 14-7 1496.08 1597.38 47.39% 49.22% +16.25 3-2
1947-11-02 @ Washington Redskins W 38-14 1512.33 1447.92 43.93% 52.67% +32.13 4-2
1947-11-09 @ New York Giants W 41-24 1544.46 1404.65 54.70% 41.91% +21.67 5-2
1947-11-16 Boston Yanks W 32-0 1566.13 1436.18 76.26% 20.37% +14.67 6-2
1947-11-23 @ Boston Yanks L 14-21 1580.80 1421.51 57.40% 39.21% -18.88 6-3
1947-11-30 Pittsburgh Steelers W 21-0 1561.92 1526.73 65.99% 30.63% +17.75 7-3
1947-12-07 Chicago Cardinals L 21-45 1579.67 1543.18 66.15% 30.47% -40.22 7-4
1947-12-14 Green Bay Packers W 28-14 1539.45 1582.90 55.63% 40.98% +19.25 8-4
1947-09-21 Detroit Lions W 17-10 1488.95 1421.51 69.79% 26.83% +8.99 1-0
1947-09-29 Los Angeles Rams L 7-48 1497.94 1519.74 58.61% 38.00% -46.62 1-1
1947-10-05 @ Washington Redskins L 26-27 1451.32 1487.73 30.48% 66.14% -3.85 1-2
1947-10-12 @ Boston Yanks W 30-14 1447.47 1418.76 38.95% 57.66% +28.66 2-2
1947-10-19 Philadelphia Eagles W 35-24 1476.13 1512.75 56.57% 40.04% +16.67 3-2
1947-10-26 @ New York Giants W 38-21 1492.80 1460.88 39.39% 57.22% +29.33 4-2
1947-11-02 @ Green Bay Packers W 18-17 1522.13 1545.42 32.10% 64.51% +8.00 5-2
1947-11-09 Washington Redskins W 21-14 1530.13 1415.79 74.76% 21.87% +7.36 6-2
1947-11-16 New York Giants W 24-7 1537.49 1382.98 78.46% 18.17% +9.56 7-2
1947-11-23 @ Chicago Bears L 7-49 1547.05 1633.88 24.69% 71.93% -20.32 7-3
1947-11-30 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 0-21 1526.73 1561.92 30.63% 65.99% -17.74 7-4
1947-12-07 Boston Yanks W 17-7 1508.99 1447.72 69.09% 27.53% +11.03 8-4
1947-09-28 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 42-45 1494.93 1511.26 32.98% 63.63% -7.20 0-1
1947-10-05 Pittsburgh Steelers W 27-26 1487.73 1451.32 66.14% 30.48% +3.85 1-1
1947-10-12 New York Giants W 28-20 1491.58 1508.45 59.27% 37.34% +13.28 2-1
1947-10-19 @ Green Bay Packers L 10-27 1504.86 1517.46 33.46% 63.15% -17.40 2-2
1947-10-26 Chicago Bears L 20-56 1487.46 1550.04 52.93% 43.68% -39.54 2-3
1947-11-02 Philadelphia Eagles L 14-38 1447.92 1512.33 52.67% 43.93% -32.13 2-4
1947-11-09 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 14-21 1415.79 1530.13 21.87% 74.76% -7.36 2-5
1947-11-16 @ Detroit Lions L 21-38 1408.43 1402.87 35.83% 60.79% -18.60 2-6
1947-11-23 Chicago Cardinals W 45-21 1389.83 1597.04 32.85% 63.76% +38.77 3-6
1947-11-30 @ Boston Yanks L 24-27 1428.60 1440.39 33.56% 63.05% -7.34 3-7
1947-12-07 @ New York Giants L 10-35 1421.26 1389.03 39.43% 57.18% -24.76 3-8
1947-12-14 Boston Yanks W 40-13 1396.50 1436.69 56.08% 40.53% +26.43 4-8

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
1947-12-28 Philadelphia Eagles W 28-21 1609.45 1590.77 65.79% 34.21% +10.92 1-0
1947-12-21 @ Pittsburgh Steelers W 21-0 1558.70 1520.02 41.97% 58.03% +32.07 1-0
1947-12-28 @ Chicago Cardinals L 21-28 1590.77 1609.45 34.21% 65.79% -10.92 1-1
1947-12-21 Philadelphia Eagles L 0-21 1520.02 1558.70 58.03% 41.97% -32.07 0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1947-12-07 15.61% Los Angeles Rams 1484.10 17 @ Chicago Bears 1670.31 14
2 1947-11-09 17.27% Boston Yanks 1403.49 27 @ Los Angeles Rams 1568.77 16
3 1947-10-19 22.79% Boston Yanks 1390.10 14 @ New York Giants 1495.17 0
4 1947-12-14 26.60% Chicago Cardinals 1583.39 30 @ Chicago Bears 1652.87 21
5 1947-10-05 28.65% Detroit Lions 1398.70 21 @ Boston Yanks 1450.31 7
6 1947-12-07 30.47% Chicago Cardinals 1543.18 45 @ Philadelphia Eagles 1579.67 21
7 1947-11-02 32.10% Pittsburgh Steelers 1522.13 18 @ Green Bay Packers 1545.42 17
8 1947-11-23 32.85% @ Washington Redskins 1389.83 45 Chicago Cardinals 1597.04 21
9 1947-11-30 35.83% @ New York Giants 1373.94 35 Chicago Cardinals 1558.27 31
10 1947-11-30 36.40% Green Bay Packers 1527.39 30 @ Los Angeles Rams 1517.54 10
11 1947-09-29 38.00% Los Angeles Rams 1519.74 48 @ Pittsburgh Steelers 1497.94 7
12 1947-10-12 38.75% Chicago Cardinals 1559.10 14 @ Green Bay Packers 1531.84 10
13 1947-10-12 38.95% Pittsburgh Steelers 1447.47 30 @ Boston Yanks 1418.76 14
14 1947-11-23 39.21% @ Boston Yanks 1421.51 21 Philadelphia Eagles 1580.80 14
15 1947-10-26 39.39% Pittsburgh Steelers 1492.80 38 @ New York Giants 1460.88 21
16 1947-12-21 * 41.97% Philadelphia Eagles 1558.70 21 @ Pittsburgh Steelers 1520.02 0
17 1947-10-26 43.68% Chicago Bears 1550.04 56 @ Washington Redskins 1487.46 20
18 1947-11-02 43.93% Philadelphia Eagles 1512.33 38 @ Washington Redskins 1447.92 14
19 1947-11-16 44.56% Chicago Bears 1604.89 41 @ Los Angeles Rams 1536.08 21
20 1947-10-26 47.39% @ Philadelphia Eagles 1496.08 14 Los Angeles Rams 1597.38 7

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1947-09-29 46.62 Los Angeles Rams 48 1519.74 38.00% @ Pittsburgh Steelers 7 1497.94 58.61%
2 1947-12-07 40.22 Chicago Cardinals 45 1543.18 30.47% @ Philadelphia Eagles 21 1579.67 66.15%
3 1947-10-26 39.54 Chicago Bears 56 1550.04 43.68% @ Washington Redskins 20 1487.46 52.93%
4 1947-11-23 38.77 @ Washington Redskins 45 1389.83 32.85% Chicago Cardinals 21 1597.04 63.76%
5 1947-10-19 34.29 Boston Yanks 14 1390.10 22.79% @ New York Giants 0 1495.17 73.83%
6 1947-11-30 33.44 Green Bay Packers 30 1527.39 36.40% @ Los Angeles Rams 10 1517.54 60.21%
7 1947-11-09 32.69 Boston Yanks 27 1403.49 17.27% @ Los Angeles Rams 16 1568.77 79.37%
8 1947-11-02 32.13 Philadelphia Eagles 38 1512.33 43.93% @ Washington Redskins 14 1447.92 52.67%
9 1947-12-21 * 32.07 Philadelphia Eagles 21 1558.70 41.97% @ Pittsburgh Steelers 0 1520.02 58.03%
10 1947-10-05 31.55 Detroit Lions 21 1398.70 28.65% @ Boston Yanks 7 1450.31 67.96%
11 1947-10-26 29.33 Pittsburgh Steelers 38 1492.80 39.39% @ New York Giants 21 1460.88 57.22%
12 1947-11-16 28.99 Chicago Bears 41 1604.89 44.56% @ Los Angeles Rams 21 1536.08 52.05%
13 1947-10-12 28.66 Pittsburgh Steelers 30 1447.47 38.95% @ Boston Yanks 14 1418.76 57.66%
14 1947-10-12 27.87 @ Chicago Bears 40 1514.48 58.01% Philadelphia Eagles 7 1540.62 38.60%
15 1947-11-02 26.91 @ Detroit Lions 35 1391.53 56.10% New York Giants 7 1431.56 40.51%
16 1947-12-14 26.44 @ Washington Redskins 40 1396.50 56.08% Boston Yanks 13 1436.69 40.53%
17 1947-12-14 26.06 Chicago Cardinals 30 1583.39 26.60% @ Chicago Bears 21 1652.87 70.02%
18 1947-12-07 24.77 @ New York Giants 35 1389.03 57.18% Washington Redskins 10 1421.26 39.43%
19 1947-10-05 22.16 @ Philadelphia Eagles 23 1518.47 59.91% New York Giants 0 1530.61 36.70%
20 1947-12-07 22.07 Green Bay Packers 35 1560.83 58.31% @ Detroit Lions 14 1394.91 38.30%
21 1947-11-09 21.67 Philadelphia Eagles 41 1544.46 54.70% @ New York Giants 24 1404.65 41.91%
22 1947-10-05 21.55 @ Chicago Cardinals 31 1537.55 61.72% Chicago Bears 7 1536.03 34.89%
23 1947-10-12 20.48 Los Angeles Rams 27 1557.45 52.92% @ Detroit Lions 13 1430.25 43.69%
24 1947-11-23 20.32 @ Chicago Bears 49 1633.88 71.93% Pittsburgh Steelers 7 1547.05 24.69%
25 1947-10-19 19.46 @ Los Angeles Rams 27 1577.93 62.10% Chicago Cardinals 7 1573.48 34.51%