1958 NFL Season
72 regular-season games · 3 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Baltimore Colts
1st Title
Runner-Up
New York Giants
10th Appearance
Last Appearance: 1956
Biggest Overachiever
New York Giants
2.31 wins above expected
9 wins · 6.69 expected wins
Biggest Disappointment
Green Bay Packers
2.60 wins below expected
1 wins · 4.10 expected wins
Final Standings
Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pct | GB | PF | PA | PD | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleveland Browns (1st) Division | 9 | 3 | 0 | .750 | — | 302 | 217 | +85 | 7.57 | +1.43 |
| 2 | New York Giants Playoffs | 9 | 3 | 0 | .750 | — | 246 | 183 | +63 | 6.69 | +2.31 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 7 | 4 | 1 | .625 | 1.5 | 261 | 230 | +31 | 6.02 | +1.48 |
| 4 | Washington Redskins | 4 | 7 | 1 | .375 | 4.5 | 214 | 268 | -54 | 5.76 | -1.26 |
| 5 | Philadelphia Eagles | 2 | 9 | 1 | .208 | 6.5 | 235 | 306 | -71 | 4.89 | -2.39 |
| 6 | Chicago Cardinals | 2 | 9 | 1 | .208 | 6.5 | 261 | 356 | -95 | 4.69 | -2.19 |
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pct | GB | PF | PA | PD | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baltimore Colts Division | 9 | 3 | 0 | .750 | — | 381 | 203 | +178 | 7.46 | +1.54 |
| 2 | Chicago Bears | 8 | 4 | 0 | .667 | 1 | 298 | 230 | +68 | 6.57 | +1.43 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Rams | 8 | 4 | 0 | .667 | 1 | 344 | 278 | +66 | 6.50 | +1.50 |
| 4 | San Francisco 49ers | 6 | 6 | 0 | .500 | 3 | 257 | 324 | -67 | 5.40 | +0.60 |
| 5 | Detroit Lions | 4 | 7 | 1 | .375 | 4.5 | 261 | 276 | -15 | 6.36 | -1.86 |
| 6 | Green Bay Packers | 1 | 10 | 1 | .125 | 7.5 | 193 | 382 | -189 | 4.10 | -2.60 |
Playoff Bracket
The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.
Division Playoff
NFL Championship Game
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Actual | Avg. Wins | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Colts | West | 1627 | 9 | 7.46 | +1.54 | 92.28% | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 12 | |
| Cleveland Browns (1st) | East | 1597 | 9 | 7.57 | +1.43 | 91.75% | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 12 | |
| New York Giants | East | 1576 | 9 | 6.69 | +2.31 | 96.98% | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 12 | |
| Los Angeles Rams | West | 1568 | 8 | 6.50 | +1.50 | 91.79% | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 12 | |
| Chicago Bears | West | 1560 | 8 | 6.57 | +1.43 | 90.86% | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 12 | |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | East | 1546 | 7.5 | 6.02 | +1.48 | 85.64% | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 11 | |
| Detroit Lions | West | 1518 | 4.5 | 6.36 | -1.86 | 16.86% | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 12 | |
| San Francisco 49ers | West | 1483 | 6 | 5.40 | +0.60 | 80.40% | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 11 | |
| Washington Redskins | East | 1458 | 4.5 | 5.76 | -1.26 | 27.38% | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 11 | |
| Philadelphia Eagles | East | 1379 | 2.5 | 4.89 | -2.39 | 9.13% | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 11 | |
| Chicago Cardinals | East | 1373 | 2.5 | 4.69 | -2.19 | 11.38% | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | |
| Green Bay Packers | West | 1316 | 1.5 | 4.10 | -2.60 | 5.91% | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record (row vs column) and below it the expected number of wins the model predicted based on each individual game's win probability. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than half a win in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin. The first matrix for each division covers within-division games; the second (when shown) covers games against teams outside that division — aggregated by division when there are many opponents, broken out team-by-team when there are few.
Within East
| Team | Cardinals | (1st) | Giants | Eagles | Steelers | Redskins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cardinals | — |
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
| Cleveland Browns (1st) |
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
— |
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
| New York Giants |
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
|
— |
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
| Philadelphia Eagles |
1-0-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
— |
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
| Pittsburgh Steelers |
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
— |
1-0-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
| Washington Redskins |
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
— |
East vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Colts | Bears | Lions | Packers | Rams | 49ers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cardinals |
—
|
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
—
|
| Cleveland Browns (1st) |
—
|
—
|
0-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
—
|
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
—
|
| New York Giants |
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
—
|
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
| Philadelphia Eagles |
—
|
—
|
—
|
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
—
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
| Pittsburgh Steelers |
—
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
| Washington Redskins |
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
Within West
| Team | Colts | Bears | Lions | Packers | Rams | 49ers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Colts | — |
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
| Chicago Bears |
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
— |
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
| Detroit Lions |
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
— |
1-0-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
| Green Bay Packers |
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-1-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
— |
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Rams |
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
— |
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
| San Francisco 49ers |
1-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
— |
West vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Cardinals | (1st) | Giants | Eagles | Steelers | Redskins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Colts |
—
|
—
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
|
| Chicago Bears |
1-0
(0.8 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
—
|
| Detroit Lions |
—
|
1-0
(0.3 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
| Green Bay Packers |
—
|
—
|
—
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
—
|
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Rams |
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
| San Francisco 49ers |
—
|
—
|
—
|
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
—
|
Scoring Distribution
Histograms of points scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | — |
| Mean allowed | — |
| StdDev scored | — |
| StdDev allowed | — |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | — |
| Sample size (games) | — |
Actual vs. Point Differential
How points translated into wins. Teams above the cluster overperformed their points differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Giants | 9 | 6.69 | +2.31 |
| 2 | Baltimore Colts | 9 | 7.46 | +1.54 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Rams | 8 | 6.50 | +1.50 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 7.5 | 6.02 | +1.48 |
| 5 | Cleveland Browns (1st) | 9 | 7.57 | +1.43 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Green Bay Packers | 1.5 | 4.10 | -2.60 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Eagles | 2.5 | 4.89 | -2.39 |
| 3 | Chicago Cardinals | 2.5 | 4.69 | -2.19 |
| 4 | Detroit Lions | 4.5 | 6.36 | -1.86 |
| 5 | Washington Redskins | 4.5 | 5.76 | -1.26 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/T/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 5 | Nov 2 – Nov 30 | 1 in 32 |
| 2 | Baltimore Colts | 6 | Sep 28 – Nov 2 | 1 in 22 |
| 3 | Cleveland Browns (1st) | 5 | Sep 28 – Oct 26 | 1 in 19 |
| 4 | New York Giants | 4 | Nov 23 – Dec 14 | 1 in 9 |
| 5 | Chicago Bears | 3 | Oct 12 – Oct 26 | 1 in 6 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Cardinals | 6 | Nov 9 – Dec 13 | 1 in 20 |
| 2 | Cleveland Browns (1st) | 2 | Nov 2 – Nov 9 | 1 in 14 |
| 3 | Green Bay Packers | 7 | Nov 2 – Dec 14 | 1 in 13 |
| 4 | Baltimore Colts | 2 | Dec 6 – Dec 14 | 1 in 7 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Rams | 2 | Oct 19 – Oct 26 | 1 in 6 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmaps
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between divisions, leagues, and the overall NFL view. Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Browns (1st) | 45.34% | 23.88% | 14.46% | 9.12% | 5.01% | 2.19% |
| New York Giants | 22.65% | 25.14% | 20.03% | 15.24% | 10.76% | 6.18% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 13.10% | 18.79% | 20.84% | 18.93% | 16.81% | 11.53% |
| Washington Redskins | 10.92% | 15.81% | 19.49% | 21.04% | 17.94% | 14.80% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 4.77% | 9.21% | 13.59% | 18.17% | 24.48% | 29.78% |
| Chicago Cardinals | 3.22% | 7.17% | 11.59% | 17.50% | 25.00% | 35.52% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Colts | 38.14% | 24.64% | 16.44% | 11.33% | 6.68% | 2.77% |
| Chicago Bears | 19.95% | 21.54% | 20.17% | 18.09% | 13.50% | 6.75% |
| Los Angeles Rams | 18.28% | 20.74% | 21.01% | 17.94% | 14.52% | 7.51% |
| Detroit Lions | 15.60% | 19.15% | 19.89% | 19.33% | 16.74% | 9.29% |
| San Francisco 49ers | 6.62% | 10.52% | 15.92% | 20.58% | 26.05% | 20.31% |
| Green Bay Packers | 1.41% | 3.41% | 6.57% | 12.73% | 22.51% | 53.37% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Browns (1st) | 24.13% | 19.81% | 13.08% | 10.94% | 8.12% | 6.86% | 5.03% | 4.47% | 3.32% | 2.19% | 1.41% | 0.64% |
| Baltimore Colts | 22.26% | 17.22% | 13.54% | 11.07% | 9.46% | 6.95% | 6.07% | 4.73% | 3.76% | 2.55% | 1.72% | 0.67% |
| New York Giants | 11.15% | 11.69% | 11.52% | 11.30% | 10.70% | 10.01% | 8.15% | 7.76% | 6.43% | 5.16% | 4.05% | 2.08% |
| Chicago Bears | 9.85% | 11.00% | 11.18% | 10.78% | 10.96% | 9.63% | 9.17% | 8.20% | 7.13% | 5.56% | 3.92% | 2.62% |
| Los Angeles Rams | 9.70% | 9.46% | 11.21% | 10.50% | 10.73% | 9.95% | 9.36% | 8.79% | 7.15% | 6.06% | 4.30% | 2.79% |
| Detroit Lions | 7.96% | 8.56% | 10.57% | 9.78% | 10.23% | 9.88% | 9.73% | 9.10% | 8.38% | 6.93% | 5.62% | 3.26% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 5.20% | 7.41% | 8.69% | 9.74% | 9.74% | 10.35% | 9.42% | 9.70% | 9.04% | 8.80% | 6.65% | 5.26% |
| Washington Redskins | 4.38% | 5.65% | 6.80% | 8.74% | 8.68% | 10.29% | 10.09% | 10.72% | 9.49% | 9.70% | 8.38% | 7.08% |
| San Francisco 49ers | 2.55% | 4.16% | 5.26% | 6.20% | 8.03% | 8.20% | 10.65% | 10.14% | 12.05% | 12.31% | 11.22% | 9.23% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 1.47% | 2.48% | 3.79% | 4.87% | 5.71% | 7.58% | 8.46% | 9.68% | 10.98% | 13.27% | 15.14% | 16.57% |
| Chicago Cardinals | 1.00% | 1.83% | 2.90% | 3.93% | 4.53% | 6.37% | 7.93% | 9.63% | 11.65% | 13.71% | 17.38% | 19.14% |
| Green Bay Packers | 0.35% | 0.73% | 1.46% | 2.15% | 3.11% | 3.93% | 5.94% | 7.08% | 10.62% | 13.76% | 20.21% | 30.66% |
Win Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Browns (1st) | 45.34% | 54.66% |
| New York Giants | 22.65% | 77.35% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 13.10% | 86.90% |
| Washington Redskins | 10.92% | 89.08% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 4.77% | 95.23% |
| Chicago Cardinals | 3.22% | 96.78% |
| Team | 1 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Colts | 38.14% | 61.86% |
| Chicago Bears | 19.95% | 80.05% |
| Los Angeles Rams | 18.28% | 81.72% |
| Detroit Lions | 15.60% | 84.40% |
| San Francisco 49ers | 6.62% | 93.38% |
| Green Bay Packers | 1.41% | 98.59% |
Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed
Empirical cumulative distribution: for each seed in each conference, the probability that a team holding that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Won Super Bowl |
|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Browns (1st) | 45.34% | 28.57% |
| Baltimore Colts | 38.14% | 19.49% |
| New York Giants | 22.65% | 13.82% |
| Chicago Bears | 19.95% | 8.22% |
| Los Angeles Rams | 18.28% | 7.43% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 13.10% | 7.41% |
| Detroit Lions | 15.60% | 5.57% |
| Washington Redskins | 10.92% | 4.73% |
| San Francisco 49ers | 6.62% | 2.13% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 4.77% | 1.45% |
| Chicago Cardinals | 3.22% | 1.01% |
| Green Bay Packers | 1.41% | 0.17% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Baltimore Colts | Chicago Bears | Chicago Cardinals | Cleveland Browns (1st) | Detroit Lions | Green Bay Packers | Los Angeles Rams | New York Giants | Philadelphia Eagles | Pittsburgh Steelers | San Francisco 49ers | Washington Redskins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Colts | 1.05% | 8.23% | 3.52% | 1.40% | 2.84% | 2.45% | ||||||
| Chicago Bears | 0.41% | 3.35% | 1.88% | 0.67% | 0.64% | 1.27% | ||||||
| Chicago Cardinals | 0.37% | 0.17% | 0.30% | 0.02% | 0.08% | 0.07% | ||||||
| Cleveland Browns (1st) | 9.89% | 6.28% | 4.63% | 0.56% | 4.91% | 2.30% | ||||||
| Detroit Lions | 0.32% | 1.87% | 1.12% | 0.48% | 0.83% | 0.95% | ||||||
| Green Bay Packers | 0.02% | 0.04% | 0.07% | 0.02% | 0.02% | |||||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 0.31% | 2.46% | 1.78% | 0.62% | 1.11% | 1.15% | ||||||
| New York Giants | 3.94% | 2.93% | 2.32% | 0.32% | 3.02% | 1.29% | ||||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 0.51% | 0.29% | 0.27% | 0.01% | 0.30% | 0.07% | ||||||
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 2.62% | 1.10% | 1.46% | 0.21% | 1.57% | 0.45% | ||||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 0.10% | 0.82% | 0.46% | 0.15% | 0.25% | 0.35% | ||||||
| Washington Redskins | 1.32% | 0.96% | 1.05% | 0.12% | 0.97% | 0.31% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.
| Team | Won Super Bowl |
|---|---|
| New York Giants | 54.93% |
| Baltimore Colts | 45.07% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Baltimore Colts | New York Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Colts | 45.07% | |
| New York Giants | 54.93% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.
Regular Season Games
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1958-09-28 | Detroit Lions | W 28-15 | 1521.95 | 1558.28 | 53.03% | 42.43% | +16.89 | 1-0 |
| 1958-10-04 | Chicago Bears | W 51-38 | 1538.84 | 1518.89 | 60.71% | 34.76% | +13.93 | 2-0 |
| 1958-10-12 | @ Green Bay Packers | W 24-17 | 1552.77 | 1417.58 | 56.45% | 39.01% | +11.43 | 3-0 |
| 1958-10-19 | @ Detroit Lions | W 40-14 | 1564.20 | 1517.14 | 43.95% | 51.51% | +28.74 | 4-0 |
| 1958-10-26 | Washington Redskins | W 35-10 | 1592.94 | 1494.83 | 70.14% | 25.36% | +14.22 | 5-0 |
| 1958-11-02 | Green Bay Packers | W 56-0 | 1607.16 | 1401.48 | 80.08% | 15.46% | +13.10 | 6-0 |
| 1958-11-09 | @ New York Giants | L 21-24 | 1620.26 | 1548.42 | 47.50% | 47.96% | -9.03 | 6-1 |
| 1958-11-16 | @ Chicago Bears | W 17-0 | 1611.23 | 1559.03 | 44.68% | 50.78% | +22.92 | 7-1 |
| 1958-11-23 | Los Angeles Rams | W 34-7 | 1634.15 | 1559.99 | 67.43% | 28.05% | +16.31 | 8-1 |
| 1958-11-30 | San Francisco 49ers | W 35-27 | 1650.46 | 1453.38 | 79.42% | 16.12% | +5.16 | 9-1 |
| 1958-12-06 | @ Los Angeles Rams | L 28-30 | 1655.62 | 1554.00 | 51.76% | 43.70% | -8.01 | 9-2 |
| 1958-12-14 | @ San Francisco 49ers | L 12-21 | 1647.61 | 1462.12 | 63.10% | 32.37% | -20.62 | 9-3 |
| 1958-09-28 | @ Green Bay Packers | W 34-20 | 1498.59 | 1437.51 | 45.95% | 49.51% | +20.30 | 1-0 |
| 1958-10-04 | @ Baltimore Colts | L 38-51 | 1518.89 | 1538.84 | 34.76% | 60.71% | -13.93 | 1-1 |
| 1958-10-12 | San Francisco 49ers | W 28-6 | 1504.96 | 1475.27 | 61.97% | 33.50% | +17.49 | 2-1 |
| 1958-10-19 | Los Angeles Rams | W 31-10 | 1522.45 | 1561.43 | 52.65% | 42.81% | +21.63 | 3-1 |
| 1958-10-26 | @ San Francisco 49ers | W 27-14 | 1544.08 | 1472.35 | 47.48% | 47.98% | +18.99 | 4-1 |
| 1958-11-02 | @ Los Angeles Rams | L 35-41 | 1563.07 | 1510.74 | 44.70% | 50.76% | -12.05 | 4-2 |
| 1958-11-09 | Green Bay Packers | W 24-10 | 1551.02 | 1388.38 | 76.54% | 18.98% | +8.01 | 5-2 |
| 1958-11-16 | Baltimore Colts | L 0-17 | 1559.03 | 1611.23 | 50.78% | 44.68% | -22.93 | 5-3 |
| 1958-11-23 | @ Detroit Lions | W 20-7 | 1536.10 | 1552.74 | 35.20% | 60.27% | +23.69 | 6-3 |
| 1958-11-30 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | L 10-24 | 1559.79 | 1518.87 | 43.08% | 52.38% | -17.78 | 6-4 |
| 1958-12-07 | Chicago Cardinals | W 30-14 | 1542.01 | 1391.04 | 75.48% | 20.04% | +9.04 | 7-4 |
| 1958-12-14 | Detroit Lions | W 21-16 | 1551.05 | 1526.65 | 61.29% | 34.19% | +8.50 | 8-4 |
| 1958-09-28 | New York Giants | L 7-37 | 1444.88 | 1521.17 | 47.32% | 48.14% | -28.47 | 0-1 |
| 1958-10-04 | Washington Redskins | W 37-10 | 1416.41 | 1527.67 | 42.34% | 53.12% | +30.18 | 1-1 |
| 1958-10-12 | @ Cleveland Browns (1st) | L 28-35 | 1446.59 | 1579.09 | 21.79% | 73.71% | -6.49 | 1-2 |
| 1958-10-19 | @ New York Giants | W 23-6 | 1440.10 | 1554.73 | 23.60% | 71.90% | +32.28 | 2-2 |
| 1958-10-26 | Cleveland Browns (1st) | L 24-38 | 1472.38 | 1596.77 | 40.50% | 54.96% | -16.76 | 2-3 |
| 1958-11-02 | Philadelphia Eagles | T 21-21 | 1455.62 | 1409.19 | 64.09% | 31.39% | -0.87 | 2-3 |
| 1958-11-09 | @ Washington Redskins | L 31-45 | 1454.75 | 1467.79 | 35.67% | 59.80% | -14.82 | 2-4 |
| 1958-11-16 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | L 21-49 | 1439.93 | 1395.54 | 43.57% | 51.89% | -25.41 | 2-5 |
| 1958-11-23 | Pittsburgh Steelers | L 20-27 | 1414.52 | 1505.72 | 45.19% | 50.28% | -13.16 | 2-6 |
| 1958-11-30 | Los Angeles Rams | L 14-20 | 1401.36 | 1543.68 | 38.04% | 57.43% | -10.32 | 2-7 |
| 1958-12-07 | @ Chicago Bears | L 14-30 | 1391.04 | 1542.01 | 20.04% | 75.48% | -9.04 | 2-8 |
| 1958-12-13 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | L 21-38 | 1382.00 | 1536.49 | 19.71% | 75.81% | -9.16 | 2-9 |
| 1958-09-28 | @ Los Angeles Rams | W 30-27 | 1537.33 | 1512.56 | 40.81% | 54.65% | +10.34 | 1-0 |
| 1958-10-05 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | W 45-12 | 1547.67 | 1489.46 | 45.54% | 49.92% | +31.42 | 2-0 |
| 1958-10-12 | Chicago Cardinals | W 35-28 | 1579.09 | 1446.59 | 73.71% | 21.79% | +6.49 | 3-0 |
| 1958-10-19 | Pittsburgh Steelers | W 27-10 | 1585.58 | 1476.52 | 71.32% | 24.18% | +11.19 | 4-0 |
| 1958-10-26 | @ Chicago Cardinals | W 38-24 | 1596.77 | 1472.38 | 54.96% | 40.50% | +16.76 | 5-0 |
| 1958-11-02 | New York Giants | L 17-21 | 1613.53 | 1533.59 | 68.10% | 27.39% | -14.83 | 5-1 |
| 1958-11-09 | Detroit Lions | L 10-30 | 1598.70 | 1508.62 | 69.25% | 26.24% | -33.72 | 5-2 |
| 1958-11-16 | @ Washington Redskins | W 20-10 | 1564.98 | 1482.61 | 49.01% | 46.45% | +16.15 | 6-2 |
| 1958-11-23 | Philadelphia Eagles | W 28-14 | 1581.13 | 1420.95 | 76.32% | 19.20% | +8.10 | 7-2 |
| 1958-11-30 | Washington Redskins | W 21-14 | 1589.23 | 1448.76 | 74.49% | 21.02% | +6.27 | 8-2 |
| 1958-12-07 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | W 21-14 | 1595.50 | 1403.89 | 63.87% | 31.61% | +9.32 | 9-2 |
| 1958-12-14 | @ New York Giants | L 10-13 | 1604.82 | 1568.36 | 42.45% | 53.01% | -8.11 | 9-3 |
| 1958-09-28 | @ Baltimore Colts | L 15-28 | 1558.28 | 1521.95 | 42.43% | 53.03% | -16.88 | 0-1 |
| 1958-10-05 | @ Green Bay Packers | T 13-13 | 1541.40 | 1417.20 | 54.93% | 40.53% | -0.38 | 0-1 |
| 1958-10-12 | Los Angeles Rams | L 28-42 | 1541.02 | 1537.56 | 58.52% | 36.95% | -23.88 | 0-2 |
| 1958-10-19 | Baltimore Colts | L 14-40 | 1517.14 | 1564.20 | 51.51% | 43.95% | -28.74 | 0-3 |
| 1958-10-26 | @ Los Angeles Rams | W 41-24 | 1488.40 | 1539.80 | 30.78% | 64.70% | +29.05 | 1-3 |
| 1958-11-02 | @ San Francisco 49ers | L 21-24 | 1517.45 | 1453.36 | 46.38% | 49.08% | -8.83 | 1-4 |
| 1958-11-09 | @ Cleveland Browns (1st) | W 30-10 | 1508.62 | 1598.70 | 26.24% | 69.25% | +33.71 | 2-4 |
| 1958-11-16 | San Francisco 49ers | W 35-21 | 1542.33 | 1439.01 | 70.70% | 24.79% | +10.41 | 3-4 |
| 1958-11-23 | Chicago Bears | L 7-20 | 1552.74 | 1536.10 | 60.27% | 35.20% | -23.68 | 3-5 |
| 1958-11-27 | Green Bay Packers | W 24-14 | 1529.06 | 1341.58 | 78.66% | 16.88% | +6.03 | 4-5 |
| 1958-12-07 | New York Giants | L 17-19 | 1535.09 | 1559.92 | 54.64% | 40.82% | -8.44 | 4-6 |
| 1958-12-14 | @ Chicago Bears | L 16-21 | 1526.65 | 1551.05 | 34.19% | 61.29% | -8.50 | 4-7 |
| 1958-09-28 | Chicago Bears | L 20-34 | 1437.51 | 1498.59 | 49.51% | 45.95% | -20.31 | 0-1 |
| 1958-10-05 | Detroit Lions | T 13-13 | 1417.20 | 1541.40 | 40.53% | 54.93% | +0.38 | 0-1 |
| 1958-10-12 | Baltimore Colts | L 17-24 | 1417.58 | 1552.77 | 39.01% | 56.45% | -11.42 | 0-2 |
| 1958-10-19 | @ Washington Redskins | L 21-37 | 1406.16 | 1482.38 | 27.81% | 67.67% | -12.45 | 0-3 |
| 1958-10-26 | Philadelphia Eagles | W 38-35 | 1393.71 | 1416.96 | 54.86% | 40.60% | +7.77 | 1-3 |
| 1958-11-02 | @ Baltimore Colts | L 0-56 | 1401.48 | 1607.16 | 15.46% | 80.08% | -13.10 | 1-4 |
| 1958-11-09 | @ Chicago Bears | L 10-24 | 1388.38 | 1551.02 | 18.98% | 76.54% | -8.01 | 1-5 |
| 1958-11-16 | Los Angeles Rams | L 7-20 | 1380.37 | 1545.99 | 34.93% | 60.54% | -14.00 | 1-6 |
| 1958-11-23 | San Francisco 49ers | L 12-33 | 1366.37 | 1428.60 | 49.35% | 46.12% | -24.79 | 1-7 |
| 1958-11-27 | @ Detroit Lions | L 14-24 | 1341.58 | 1529.06 | 16.88% | 78.66% | -6.03 | 1-8 |
| 1958-12-07 | @ San Francisco 49ers | L 21-48 | 1335.55 | 1448.23 | 23.80% | 71.70% | -13.90 | 1-9 |
| 1958-12-14 | @ Los Angeles Rams | L 20-34 | 1321.65 | 1562.01 | 13.03% | 82.54% | -5.53 | 1-10 |
| 1958-09-28 | Cleveland Browns (1st) | L 27-30 | 1512.56 | 1537.33 | 54.65% | 40.81% | -10.34 | 0-1 |
| 1958-10-05 | @ San Francisco 49ers | W 33-3 | 1502.22 | 1510.61 | 36.29% | 59.18% | +35.34 | 1-1 |
| 1958-10-12 | @ Detroit Lions | W 42-28 | 1537.56 | 1541.02 | 36.95% | 58.52% | +23.87 | 2-1 |
| 1958-10-19 | @ Chicago Bears | L 10-31 | 1561.43 | 1522.45 | 42.81% | 52.65% | -21.63 | 2-2 |
| 1958-10-26 | Detroit Lions | L 24-41 | 1539.80 | 1488.40 | 64.70% | 30.78% | -29.06 | 2-3 |
| 1958-11-02 | Chicago Bears | W 41-35 | 1510.74 | 1563.07 | 50.76% | 44.70% | +12.06 | 3-3 |
| 1958-11-09 | San Francisco 49ers | W 56-7 | 1522.80 | 1462.20 | 65.83% | 29.66% | +23.19 | 4-3 |
| 1958-11-16 | @ Green Bay Packers | W 20-7 | 1545.99 | 1380.37 | 60.54% | 34.93% | +14.00 | 5-3 |
| 1958-11-23 | @ Baltimore Colts | L 7-34 | 1559.99 | 1634.15 | 28.05% | 67.43% | -16.31 | 5-4 |
| 1958-11-30 | @ Chicago Cardinals | W 20-14 | 1543.68 | 1401.36 | 57.43% | 38.04% | +10.32 | 6-4 |
| 1958-12-06 | Baltimore Colts | W 30-28 | 1554.00 | 1655.62 | 43.70% | 51.76% | +8.01 | 7-4 |
| 1958-12-14 | Green Bay Packers | W 34-20 | 1562.01 | 1321.65 | 82.54% | 13.03% | +5.53 | 8-4 |
| 1958-09-28 | @ Chicago Cardinals | W 37-7 | 1521.17 | 1444.88 | 48.14% | 47.32% | +28.46 | 1-0 |
| 1958-10-05 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | L 24-27 | 1549.63 | 1440.00 | 52.89% | 42.57% | -10.01 | 1-1 |
| 1958-10-12 | @ Washington Redskins | W 21-14 | 1539.62 | 1497.50 | 43.25% | 52.21% | +15.11 | 2-1 |
| 1958-10-19 | Chicago Cardinals | L 6-23 | 1554.73 | 1440.10 | 71.90% | 23.60% | -32.28 | 2-2 |
| 1958-10-26 | Pittsburgh Steelers | W 17-6 | 1522.45 | 1465.32 | 65.40% | 30.08% | +11.14 | 3-2 |
| 1958-11-02 | @ Cleveland Browns (1st) | W 21-17 | 1533.59 | 1613.53 | 27.39% | 68.10% | +14.83 | 4-2 |
| 1958-11-09 | Baltimore Colts | W 24-21 | 1548.42 | 1620.26 | 47.96% | 47.50% | +9.03 | 5-2 |
| 1958-11-16 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | L 10-31 | 1557.45 | 1481.54 | 48.08% | 47.38% | -24.18 | 5-3 |
| 1958-11-23 | Washington Redskins | W 30-0 | 1533.27 | 1466.47 | 66.57% | 28.92% | +17.70 | 6-3 |
| 1958-11-30 | Philadelphia Eagles | W 24-10 | 1550.97 | 1412.85 | 74.26% | 21.25% | +8.95 | 7-3 |
| 1958-12-07 | @ Detroit Lions | W 19-17 | 1559.92 | 1535.09 | 40.82% | 54.64% | +8.44 | 8-3 |
| 1958-12-14 | Cleveland Browns (1st) | W 13-10 | 1568.36 | 1604.82 | 53.01% | 42.45% | +8.12 | 9-3 |
| 1958-09-28 | Washington Redskins | L 14-24 | 1457.56 | 1510.11 | 50.73% | 44.73% | -17.56 | 0-1 |
| 1958-10-05 | New York Giants | W 27-24 | 1440.00 | 1549.63 | 42.57% | 52.89% | +10.01 | 1-1 |
| 1958-10-12 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | L 3-24 | 1450.01 | 1458.04 | 36.34% | 59.13% | -18.48 | 1-2 |
| 1958-10-19 | San Francisco 49ers | L 24-30 | 1431.53 | 1457.78 | 54.44% | 41.02% | -14.57 | 1-3 |
| 1958-10-26 | @ Green Bay Packers | L 35-38 | 1416.96 | 1393.71 | 40.60% | 54.86% | -7.77 | 1-4 |
| 1958-11-02 | @ Chicago Cardinals | T 21-21 | 1409.19 | 1455.62 | 31.39% | 64.09% | +0.87 | 1-4 |
| 1958-11-09 | Pittsburgh Steelers | L 24-31 | 1410.06 | 1467.01 | 50.10% | 45.36% | -14.52 | 1-5 |
| 1958-11-16 | Chicago Cardinals | W 49-21 | 1395.54 | 1439.93 | 51.89% | 43.57% | +25.41 | 2-5 |
| 1958-11-23 | @ Cleveland Browns (1st) | L 14-28 | 1420.95 | 1581.13 | 19.20% | 76.32% | -8.10 | 2-6 |
| 1958-11-30 | @ New York Giants | L 10-24 | 1412.85 | 1550.97 | 21.25% | 74.26% | -8.96 | 2-7 |
| 1958-12-07 | Cleveland Browns (1st) | L 14-21 | 1403.89 | 1595.50 | 31.61% | 63.87% | -9.32 | 2-8 |
| 1958-12-14 | @ Washington Redskins | L 0-20 | 1394.57 | 1442.65 | 31.18% | 64.29% | -15.55 | 2-9 |
| 1958-09-28 | @ San Francisco 49ers | L 20-23 | 1496.47 | 1503.60 | 36.46% | 59.01% | -7.01 | 0-1 |
| 1958-10-05 | Cleveland Browns (1st) | L 12-45 | 1489.46 | 1547.67 | 49.92% | 45.54% | -31.42 | 0-2 |
| 1958-10-12 | Philadelphia Eagles | W 24-3 | 1458.04 | 1450.01 | 59.13% | 36.34% | +18.48 | 1-2 |
| 1958-10-19 | @ Cleveland Browns (1st) | L 10-27 | 1476.52 | 1585.58 | 24.18% | 71.32% | -11.20 | 1-3 |
| 1958-10-26 | @ New York Giants | L 6-17 | 1465.32 | 1522.45 | 30.08% | 65.40% | -11.13 | 1-4 |
| 1958-11-02 | Washington Redskins | W 24-16 | 1454.19 | 1480.61 | 54.42% | 41.05% | +12.82 | 2-4 |
| 1958-11-09 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | W 31-24 | 1467.01 | 1410.06 | 45.36% | 50.10% | +14.53 | 3-4 |
| 1958-11-16 | New York Giants | W 31-10 | 1481.54 | 1557.45 | 47.38% | 48.08% | +24.18 | 4-4 |
| 1958-11-23 | @ Chicago Cardinals | W 27-20 | 1505.72 | 1414.52 | 50.28% | 45.19% | +13.15 | 5-4 |
| 1958-11-30 | Chicago Bears | W 24-10 | 1518.87 | 1559.79 | 52.38% | 43.08% | +17.78 | 6-4 |
| 1958-12-07 | @ Washington Redskins | T 14-14 | 1536.65 | 1442.50 | 50.70% | 44.76% | -0.16 | 6-4 |
| 1958-12-13 | Chicago Cardinals | W 38-21 | 1536.49 | 1382.00 | 75.81% | 19.71% | +9.17 | 7-4 |
| 1958-09-28 | Pittsburgh Steelers | W 23-20 | 1503.60 | 1496.47 | 59.01% | 36.46% | +7.01 | 1-0 |
| 1958-10-05 | Los Angeles Rams | L 3-33 | 1510.61 | 1502.22 | 59.18% | 36.29% | -35.34 | 1-1 |
| 1958-10-12 | @ Chicago Bears | L 6-28 | 1475.27 | 1504.96 | 33.50% | 61.97% | -17.49 | 1-2 |
| 1958-10-19 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | W 30-24 | 1457.78 | 1431.53 | 41.02% | 54.44% | +14.57 | 2-2 |
| 1958-10-26 | Chicago Bears | L 14-27 | 1472.35 | 1544.08 | 47.98% | 47.48% | -18.99 | 2-3 |
| 1958-11-02 | Detroit Lions | W 24-21 | 1453.36 | 1517.45 | 49.08% | 46.38% | +8.84 | 3-3 |
| 1958-11-09 | @ Los Angeles Rams | L 7-56 | 1462.20 | 1522.80 | 29.66% | 65.83% | -23.19 | 3-4 |
| 1958-11-16 | @ Detroit Lions | L 21-35 | 1439.01 | 1542.33 | 24.79% | 70.70% | -10.41 | 3-5 |
| 1958-11-23 | @ Green Bay Packers | W 33-12 | 1428.60 | 1366.37 | 46.12% | 49.35% | +24.78 | 4-5 |
| 1958-11-30 | @ Baltimore Colts | L 27-35 | 1453.38 | 1650.46 | 16.12% | 79.42% | -5.15 | 4-6 |
| 1958-12-07 | Green Bay Packers | W 48-21 | 1448.23 | 1335.55 | 71.70% | 23.80% | +13.89 | 5-6 |
| 1958-12-14 | Baltimore Colts | W 21-12 | 1462.12 | 1647.61 | 32.37% | 63.10% | +20.62 | 6-6 |
| 1958-09-28 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | W 24-14 | 1510.11 | 1457.56 | 44.73% | 50.73% | +17.56 | 1-0 |
| 1958-10-04 | @ Chicago Cardinals | L 10-37 | 1527.67 | 1416.41 | 53.12% | 42.34% | -30.17 | 1-1 |
| 1958-10-12 | New York Giants | L 14-21 | 1497.50 | 1539.62 | 52.21% | 43.25% | -15.12 | 1-2 |
| 1958-10-19 | Green Bay Packers | W 37-21 | 1482.38 | 1406.16 | 67.67% | 27.81% | +12.45 | 2-2 |
| 1958-10-26 | @ Baltimore Colts | L 10-35 | 1494.83 | 1592.94 | 25.36% | 70.14% | -14.22 | 2-3 |
| 1958-11-02 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | L 16-24 | 1480.61 | 1454.19 | 41.05% | 54.42% | -12.82 | 2-4 |
| 1958-11-09 | Chicago Cardinals | W 45-31 | 1467.79 | 1454.75 | 59.80% | 35.67% | +14.82 | 3-4 |
| 1958-11-16 | Cleveland Browns (1st) | L 10-20 | 1482.61 | 1564.98 | 46.45% | 49.01% | -16.14 | 3-5 |
| 1958-11-23 | @ New York Giants | L 0-30 | 1466.47 | 1533.27 | 28.92% | 66.57% | -17.71 | 3-6 |
| 1958-11-30 | @ Cleveland Browns (1st) | L 14-21 | 1448.76 | 1589.23 | 21.02% | 74.49% | -6.26 | 3-7 |
| 1958-12-07 | Pittsburgh Steelers | T 14-14 | 1442.50 | 1536.65 | 44.76% | 50.70% | +0.15 | 3-7 |
| 1958-12-14 | Philadelphia Eagles | W 20-0 | 1442.65 | 1394.57 | 64.29% | 31.18% | +15.56 | 4-7 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1958-12-28 | @ New York Giants | W 23-17 | 1626.99 | 1590.53 | 44.70% | 55.30% | +14.20 | 1-0 |
| 1958-12-21 | @ New York Giants | L 0-10 | 1596.71 | 1576.48 | 42.40% | 57.60% | -14.05 | 0-1 |
| 1958-12-21 | Cleveland Browns (1st) | W 10-0 | 1576.48 | 1596.71 | 57.60% | 42.40% | +14.05 | 1-0 |
| 1958-12-28 | Baltimore Colts | L 17-23 | 1590.53 | 1626.99 | 55.30% | 44.70% | -14.20 | 1-1 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 1958-10-19 | 23.60% | Chicago Cardinals | 1440.10 | 23 | @ New York Giants | 1554.73 | 6 |
| 2 | 1958-11-09 | 26.24% | Detroit Lions | 1508.62 | 30 | @ Cleveland Browns (1st) | 1598.70 | 10 |
| 3 | 1958-11-02 | 27.39% | New York Giants | 1533.59 | 21 | @ Cleveland Browns (1st) | 1613.53 | 17 |
| 4 | 1958-10-26 | 30.78% | Detroit Lions | 1488.40 | 41 | @ Los Angeles Rams | 1539.80 | 24 |
| 5 | 1958-12-14 | 32.37% | @ San Francisco 49ers | 1462.12 | 21 | Baltimore Colts | 1647.61 | 12 |
| 6 | 1958-11-23 | 35.20% | Chicago Bears | 1536.10 | 20 | @ Detroit Lions | 1552.74 | 7 |
| 7 | 1958-10-05 | 36.29% | Los Angeles Rams | 1502.22 | 33 | @ San Francisco 49ers | 1510.61 | 3 |
| 8 | 1958-10-12 | 36.95% | Los Angeles Rams | 1537.56 | 42 | @ Detroit Lions | 1541.02 | 28 |
| 9 | 1958-09-28 | 40.81% | Cleveland Browns (1st) | 1537.33 | 30 | @ Los Angeles Rams | 1512.56 | 27 |
| 10 | 1958-12-07 | 40.82% | New York Giants | 1559.92 | 19 | @ Detroit Lions | 1535.09 | 17 |
| 11 | 1958-10-19 | 41.02% | San Francisco 49ers | 1457.78 | 30 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | 1431.53 | 24 |
| 12 | 1958-10-04 | 42.34% | @ Chicago Cardinals | 1416.41 | 37 | Washington Redskins | 1527.67 | 10 |
| 13 | 1958-10-05 | 42.57% | @ Philadelphia Eagles | 1440.00 | 27 | New York Giants | 1549.63 | 24 |
| 14 | 1958-10-12 | 43.25% | New York Giants | 1539.62 | 21 | @ Washington Redskins | 1497.50 | 14 |
| 15 | 1958-12-06 | 43.70% | @ Los Angeles Rams | 1554.00 | 30 | Baltimore Colts | 1655.62 | 28 |
| 16 | 1958-10-19 | 43.95% | Baltimore Colts | 1564.20 | 40 | @ Detroit Lions | 1517.14 | 14 |
| 17 | 1958-11-16 | 44.68% | Baltimore Colts | 1611.23 | 17 | @ Chicago Bears | 1559.03 | 0 |
| 18 | 1958-12-28 * | 44.70% | Baltimore Colts | 1626.99 | 23 | @ New York Giants | 1590.53 | 17 |
| 19 | 1958-09-28 | 44.73% | Washington Redskins | 1510.11 | 24 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | 1457.56 | 14 |
| 20 | 1958-11-09 | 45.36% | Pittsburgh Steelers | 1467.01 | 31 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | 1410.06 | 24 |
| 21 | 1958-10-05 | 45.54% | Cleveland Browns (1st) | 1547.67 | 45 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | 1489.46 | 12 |
| 22 | 1958-09-28 | 45.95% | Chicago Bears | 1498.59 | 34 | @ Green Bay Packers | 1437.51 | 20 |
| 23 | 1958-11-23 | 46.12% | San Francisco 49ers | 1428.60 | 33 | @ Green Bay Packers | 1366.37 | 12 |
| 24 | 1958-11-16 | 47.38% | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | 1481.54 | 31 | New York Giants | 1557.45 | 10 |
| 25 | 1958-10-26 | 47.48% | Chicago Bears | 1544.08 | 27 | @ San Francisco 49ers | 1472.35 | 14 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | |||
| 1 | 1958-10-05 | 35.34 | Los Angeles Rams | 33 | 1502.22 | 36.29% | @ San Francisco 49ers | 3 | 1510.61 | 59.18% |
| 2 | 1958-11-09 | 33.72 | Detroit Lions | 30 | 1508.62 | 26.24% | @ Cleveland Browns (1st) | 10 | 1598.70 | 69.25% |
| 3 | 1958-10-19 | 32.28 | Chicago Cardinals | 23 | 1440.10 | 23.60% | @ New York Giants | 6 | 1554.73 | 71.90% |
| 4 | 1958-10-05 | 31.42 | Cleveland Browns (1st) | 45 | 1547.67 | 45.54% | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | 12 | 1489.46 | 49.92% |
| 5 | 1958-10-04 | 30.18 | @ Chicago Cardinals | 37 | 1416.41 | 42.34% | Washington Redskins | 10 | 1527.67 | 53.12% |
| 6 | 1958-10-26 | 29.06 | Detroit Lions | 41 | 1488.40 | 30.78% | @ Los Angeles Rams | 24 | 1539.80 | 64.70% |
| 7 | 1958-10-19 | 28.74 | Baltimore Colts | 40 | 1564.20 | 43.95% | @ Detroit Lions | 14 | 1517.14 | 51.51% |
| 8 | 1958-09-28 | 28.47 | New York Giants | 37 | 1521.17 | 48.14% | @ Chicago Cardinals | 7 | 1444.88 | 47.32% |
| 9 | 1958-11-16 | 25.41 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | 49 | 1395.54 | 51.89% | Chicago Cardinals | 21 | 1439.93 | 43.57% |
| 10 | 1958-11-23 | 24.79 | San Francisco 49ers | 33 | 1428.60 | 46.12% | @ Green Bay Packers | 12 | 1366.37 | 49.35% |
| 11 | 1958-11-16 | 24.18 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | 31 | 1481.54 | 47.38% | New York Giants | 10 | 1557.45 | 48.08% |
| 12 | 1958-10-12 | 23.88 | Los Angeles Rams | 42 | 1537.56 | 36.95% | @ Detroit Lions | 28 | 1541.02 | 58.52% |
| 13 | 1958-11-23 | 23.69 | Chicago Bears | 20 | 1536.10 | 35.20% | @ Detroit Lions | 7 | 1552.74 | 60.27% |
| 14 | 1958-11-09 | 23.19 | @ Los Angeles Rams | 56 | 1522.80 | 65.83% | San Francisco 49ers | 7 | 1462.20 | 29.66% |
| 15 | 1958-11-16 | 22.93 | Baltimore Colts | 17 | 1611.23 | 44.68% | @ Chicago Bears | 0 | 1559.03 | 50.78% |
| 16 | 1958-10-19 | 21.63 | @ Chicago Bears | 31 | 1522.45 | 52.65% | Los Angeles Rams | 10 | 1561.43 | 42.81% |
| 17 | 1958-12-14 | 20.62 | @ San Francisco 49ers | 21 | 1462.12 | 32.37% | Baltimore Colts | 12 | 1647.61 | 63.10% |
| 18 | 1958-09-28 | 20.31 | Chicago Bears | 34 | 1498.59 | 45.95% | @ Green Bay Packers | 20 | 1437.51 | 49.51% |
| 19 | 1958-10-26 | 18.99 | Chicago Bears | 27 | 1544.08 | 47.48% | @ San Francisco 49ers | 14 | 1472.35 | 47.98% |
| 20 | 1958-10-12 | 18.48 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | 24 | 1458.04 | 59.13% | Philadelphia Eagles | 3 | 1450.01 | 36.34% |
| 21 | 1958-11-30 | 17.78 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | 24 | 1518.87 | 52.38% | Chicago Bears | 10 | 1559.79 | 43.08% |
| 22 | 1958-11-23 | 17.71 | @ New York Giants | 30 | 1533.27 | 66.57% | Washington Redskins | 0 | 1466.47 | 28.92% |
| 23 | 1958-09-28 | 17.56 | Washington Redskins | 24 | 1510.11 | 44.73% | @ Philadelphia Eagles | 14 | 1457.56 | 50.73% |
| 24 | 1958-10-12 | 17.49 | @ Chicago Bears | 28 | 1504.96 | 61.97% | San Francisco 49ers | 6 | 1475.27 | 33.50% |
| 25 | 1958-09-28 | 16.89 | @ Baltimore Colts | 28 | 1521.95 | 53.03% | Detroit Lions | 15 | 1558.28 | 42.43% |