1971 NFL Season

182 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Dallas Cowboys

1st Super Bowl

Runner-Up

Miami Dolphins

1st SB App.

Biggest Overachiever

Philadelphia Eagles

2.37 wins above expected

6 wins · 4.13 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Cincinnati Bengals

3.50 wins below expected

4 wins · 7.50 expected wins

Final Standings

Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Cleveland Browns (1st) Division	9	5	0	.643	—	285	273	+12	7.46	+1.54
2	Pittsburgh Steelers	6	8	0	.429	3	246	292	-46	5.57	+0.43
3	Houston Oilers	4	9	1	.321	4.5	251	330	-79	4.93	-0.43
4	Cincinnati Bengals	4	10	0	.286	5	284	265	+19	7.50	-3.50

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Miami Dolphins Division	10	3	1	.750	—	315	174	+141	8.93	+1.57
2	Baltimore Colts Playoffs	10	4	0	.714	0.5	313	140	+173	9.73	+0.27
3	New York Jets	6	8	0	.429	4.5	212	299	-87	5.82	+0.18
4	New England Patriots	6	8	0	.429	4.5	238	325	-87	4.69	+1.31
5	Buffalo Bills	1	13	0	.071	9.5	184	394	-210	3.45	-2.45

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Kansas City Chiefs Division	10	3	1	.750	—	302	208	+94	8.77	+1.73
2	Oakland Raiders	8	4	2	.643	1.5	344	278	+66	9.01	-0.01
3	San Diego Chargers	6	8	0	.429	4.5	311	341	-30	7.25	-1.25
4	Denver Broncos	4	9	1	.321	6	203	275	-72	5.49	-0.99

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Minnesota Vikings Division	11	3	0	.786	—	245	139	+106	10.29	+0.71
2	Detroit Lions	7	6	1	.536	3.5	341	286	+55	9.23	-1.73
3	Chicago Bears	6	8	0	.429	5	185	276	-91	6.04	-0.04
4	Green Bay Packers	4	8	2	.357	6	274	298	-24	5.37	-0.37

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Dallas Cowboys Division	11	3	0	.786	—	406	222	+184	9.85	+1.15
2	Washington Redskins Playoffs	9	4	1	.679	1.5	276	190	+86	8.15	+1.35
3	Philadelphia Eagles	6	7	1	.464	4.5	221	302	-81	4.13	+2.37
4	St. Louis Cardinals	4	9	1	.321	6.5	231	279	-48	7.22	-2.72
5	New York Giants	4	10	0	.286	7	228	362	-134	6.00	-2.00

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	San Francisco 49ers Division	9	5	0	.643	—	300	216	+84	8.70	+0.30
2	Los Angeles Rams	8	5	1	.607	0.5	313	260	+53	8.76	-0.26
3	Atlanta Falcons	7	6	1	.536	1.5	274	277	-3	5.88	+1.62
4	New Orleans Saints	4	8	2	.357	4	266	347	-81	3.76	+1.24

Playoff Bracket

The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.

AFC

Divisional Round

Miami Dolphins 27

Kansas City Chiefs 24

Dec 25

Baltimore Colts 20

Cleveland Browns (1st) 3

Dec 26

Conference Championship

Miami Dolphins 21

Baltimore Colts 0

Jan 2

NFC

Divisional Round

Dallas Cowboys 20

Minnesota Vikings 12

Dec 25

San Francisco 49ers 24

Washington Redskins 20

Dec 26

Conference Championship

Dallas Cowboys 14

San Francisco 49ers 3

Jan 2

Super Bowl

Dallas Cowboys 24

Miami Dolphins 3

Jan 16

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC Central	1708	11	10.29	+0.71	82.88%	3	7	9	10	11	12	14
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1698	11	9.85	+1.15	88.77%	3	7	8	10	11	12	14
Baltimore Colts	AFC	AFC East	1696	10	9.73	+0.27	74.71%	3	7	8	9	11	12	14
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1637	10.5	8.77	+1.73	88.91%	1	6	7	8	10	11	14
Los Angeles Rams	NFC	NFC West	1626	8.5	8.76	-0.26	51.43%	2	6	7	8	10	11	14
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1616	9	8.70	+0.30	74.54%	2	5	7	8	10	11	14
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1610	10.5	8.93	+1.57	87.67%	2	6	7	9	10	11	14
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC Central	1610	7.5	9.23	-1.73	21.75%	2	6	8	9	10	12	14
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1593	9.5	8.15	+1.35	84.26%	2	5	7	8	9	11	13
Oakland Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1570	9	9.01	-0.01	68.44%	2	6	8	9	10	11	14
Cleveland Browns (1st)	AFC	AFC Central	1514	9	7.46	+1.54	91.36%	0	4	6	7	8	10	13
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC West	1496	7.5	5.88	+1.62	87.37%	0	3	4	5	7	8	12
San Diego Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1471	6	7.25	-1.25	41.66%	1	4	6	7	8	10	14
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1465	6.5	4.13	+2.37	94.89%	0	1	3	4	5	7	10
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1445	6	5.82	+0.18	72.95%	0	3	4	5	7	8	12
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC Central	1438	5	5.37	-0.37	62.11%	0	2	4	5	6	8	12
St. Louis Cardinals	NFC	NFC East	1435	4.5	7.22	-2.72	9.42%	1	4	6	7	8	10	13
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC Central	1431	4	7.50	-3.50	7.36%	0	4	6	7	8	10	13
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC Central	1416	6	6.04	-0.04	68.64%	0	3	5	6	7	9	11
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1403	4.5	5.49	-0.99	36.75%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1394	6	4.69	+1.31	90.76%	0	2	3	4	5	7	11
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC Central	1388	6	5.57	+0.43	78.29%	0	3	4	5	6	8	12
Houston Oilers	AFC	AFC Central	1387	4.5	4.93	-0.43	49.92%	0	2	3	5	6	7	11
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1366	4	6.00	-2.00	26.48%	0	3	4	6	7	9	12
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC West	1357	5	3.76	+1.24	90.71%	0	1	2	3	4	6	10
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1232	1	3.45	-2.45	14.12%	0	1	2	3	4	6	9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record (row vs column) and below it the expected number of wins the model predicted based on each individual game's win probability. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than half a win in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin. The first matrix for each division covers within-division games; the second (when shown) covers games against teams outside that division — aggregated by division when there are many opponents, broken out team-by-team when there are few.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC Central

Team	Bengals	(1st)	Oilers	Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.3 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Houston Oilers	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—

AFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Cincinnati Bengals	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	2-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-3 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Houston Oilers	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-0-1 (0.6 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	1-2 (1.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)

Within AFC East

Team	Colts	Bills	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Baltimore Colts	—	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
Buffalo Bills	0-2 (0.2 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
New England Patriots	1-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
New York Jets	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Baltimore Colts	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
Buffalo Bills	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	—
Miami Dolphins	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	0-0-1 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.3 exp.)
New England Patriots	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.1 exp.)
New York Jets	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers
Denver Broncos	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	—	1-0-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Denver Broncos	2-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-2 (1.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	—
Kansas City Chiefs	3-0 (2.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	3-0 (2.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-1-1 (1.3 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	0-3 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—

Within NFC Central

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings
Chicago Bears	—	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.4 exp.)
Detroit Lions	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	—	1-0-1 (1.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.4 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—

NFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC East	NFC West
Chicago Bears	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-2 (1.3 exp.)
Detroit Lions	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-2 (1.8 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-3 (1.3 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-1 (2.2 exp.)

Within NFC East

Team	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Cardinals	Redskins
Dallas Cowboys	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
New York Giants	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.5 exp.)
St. Louis Cardinals	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC West
Dallas Cowboys	—	3-0 (2.3 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
New York Giants	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)
St. Louis Cardinals	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Falcons	Rams	Saints	49ers
Atlanta Falcons	—	0-1-1 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	1-0-1 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.4 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East
Atlanta Falcons	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	3-0 (1.8 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	0-1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-0-1 (0.2 exp.)	1-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.3 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	—	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	3-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)

Scoring Distribution

Histograms of points scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.

Filter by team:

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	—
Mean allowed	—
StdDev scored	—
StdDev allowed	—
Correlation (home vs away score)	—
Sample size (games)	—

Actual vs. Point Differential

How points translated into wins. Teams above the cluster overperformed their points differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Philadelphia Eagles	6.5	4.13	+2.37
2	Kansas City Chiefs	10.5	8.77	+1.73
3	Atlanta Falcons	7.5	5.88	+1.62
4	Miami Dolphins	10.5	8.93	+1.57
5	Cleveland Browns (1st)	9	7.46	+1.54

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Cincinnati Bengals	4	7.50	-3.50
2	St. Louis Cardinals	4.5	7.22	-2.72
3	Buffalo Bills	1	3.45	-2.45
4	New York Giants	4	6.00	-2.00
5	Detroit Lions	7.5	9.23	-1.73

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/T/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Miami Dolphins	8	Oct 10 – Nov 29	1 in 68
2	Washington Redskins	5	Sep 19 – Oct 17	1 in 59
3	Cleveland Browns (1st)	5	Nov 21 – Dec 19	1 in 46
4	Philadelphia Eagles	3	Dec 5 – Dec 19	1 in 38
5	Dallas Cowboys	7	Nov 7 – Dec 18	1 in 22

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Cincinnati Bengals	7	Sep 26 – Nov 7	1 in 190
2	Cleveland Browns (1st)	4	Oct 24 – Nov 14	1 in 36
3	Detroit Lions	3	Dec 5 – Dec 19	1 in 28
4	San Diego Chargers	4	Sep 26 – Oct 17	1 in 25
5	Buffalo Bills	10	Sep 19 – Nov 21	1 in 24

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between divisions, leagues, and the overall NFL view. Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).

Team	1	2	3	4
Cincinnati Bengals	42.96%	32.86%	16.67%	7.51%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	42.12%	32.92%	17.09%	7.87%
Pittsburgh Steelers	9.41%	21.10%	37.26%	32.23%
Houston Oilers	5.51%	13.12%	28.98%	52.39%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Baltimore Colts	61.50%	32.47%	5.26%	0.66%	0.11%
Miami Dolphins	35.60%	51.01%	10.92%	2.18%	0.29%
New York Jets	2.48%	11.80%	48.89%	27.00%	9.83%
New England Patriots	0.35%	3.85%	25.89%	43.96%	25.95%
Buffalo Bills	0.07%	0.87%	9.04%	26.20%	63.82%

Team	1	2	3	4
Oakland Raiders	45.24%	33.41%	16.60%	4.75%
Kansas City Chiefs	39.35%	34.73%	19.97%	5.95%
San Diego Chargers	13.00%	24.30%	40.80%	21.90%
Denver Broncos	2.41%	7.56%	22.63%	67.40%

Team	1	2	3	4
Minnesota Vikings	64.57%	30.16%	4.57%	0.70%
Detroit Lions	32.70%	53.29%	11.31%	2.70%
Chicago Bears	1.90%	10.63%	49.70%	37.77%
Green Bay Packers	0.83%	5.92%	34.42%	58.83%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Dallas Cowboys	66.06%	23.16%	8.03%	2.46%	0.29%
Washington Redskins	20.19%	38.65%	26.32%	12.11%	2.73%
St. Louis Cardinals	9.90%	24.30%	33.84%	24.07%	7.89%
New York Giants	3.46%	11.92%	24.29%	39.63%	20.70%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.39%	1.97%	7.52%	21.73%	68.39%

Team	1	2	3	4
Los Angeles Rams	49.09%	39.25%	10.58%	1.08%
San Francisco 49ers	45.97%	41.27%	11.43%	1.33%
Atlanta Falcons	4.57%	16.84%	59.05%	19.54%
New Orleans Saints	0.37%	2.64%	18.94%	78.05%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13
Baltimore Colts	34.21%	21.50%	14.71%	11.36%	8.15%	4.49%	2.78%	1.47%	0.66%	0.34%	0.21%	0.09%	0.03%
Oakland Raiders	19.28%	18.49%	16.44%	13.13%	11.26%	7.37%	6.11%	3.56%	2.18%	1.32%	0.57%	0.27%	0.02%
Miami Dolphins	17.17%	16.62%	16.26%	15.55%	12.75%	8.22%	5.59%	3.47%	2.06%	1.21%	0.71%	0.26%	0.13%
Kansas City Chiefs	15.15%	17.78%	14.70%	13.69%	12.25%	9.10%	6.76%	4.76%	2.89%	1.71%	0.85%	0.29%	0.07%
Cincinnati Bengals	4.53%	8.18%	11.62%	11.84%	11.92%	13.70%	10.36%	8.76%	7.51%	5.10%	3.34%	2.38%	0.76%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	4.48%	7.69%	10.72%	11.76%	12.17%	13.69%	11.58%	8.85%	7.35%	5.12%	3.57%	2.30%	0.72%
San Diego Chargers	3.47%	6.14%	7.52%	9.88%	11.91%	12.81%	13.18%	10.67%	9.03%	6.61%	4.91%	2.92%	0.95%
New York Jets	0.69%	1.08%	2.32%	3.81%	5.26%	7.56%	11.54%	13.93%	14.33%	12.81%	11.94%	8.41%	6.32%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.32%	0.86%	2.31%	3.46%	4.78%	7.95%	9.84%	12.40%	13.83%	14.42%	12.20%	12.52%	5.11%
Denver Broncos	0.52%	1.03%	1.76%	2.78%	4.27%	6.34%	8.67%	11.17%	12.89%	15.52%	15.37%	13.57%	6.11%
Houston Oilers	0.14%	0.44%	1.16%	1.76%	3.12%	4.76%	6.86%	9.05%	11.25%	13.99%	16.55%	19.03%	11.89%
New England Patriots	0.04%	0.18%	0.44%	0.86%	1.86%	3.30%	5.26%	8.88%	11.05%	13.88%	17.78%	17.89%	18.58%
Buffalo Bills	—	0.01%	0.04%	0.12%	0.30%	0.71%	1.47%	3.03%	4.97%	7.97%	12.00%	20.07%	49.31%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13
Minnesota Vikings	35.17%	22.44%	15.39%	10.42%	7.03%	4.69%	2.42%	1.24%	0.79%	0.23%	0.12%	0.03%	0.03%
Dallas Cowboys	23.32%	22.91%	17.58%	12.17%	9.46%	5.91%	4.03%	2.42%	1.16%	0.67%	0.26%	0.05%	0.06%
Detroit Lions	15.90%	13.88%	15.88%	16.04%	13.46%	9.65%	6.35%	4.14%	2.48%	1.37%	0.56%	0.22%	0.07%
Los Angeles Rams	9.00%	13.93%	14.86%	15.00%	13.55%	12.34%	8.48%	5.46%	3.86%	1.94%	1.09%	0.39%	0.10%
San Francisco 49ers	8.97%	12.42%	14.84%	14.48%	14.16%	13.12%	8.44%	5.58%	4.10%	2.28%	1.01%	0.47%	0.13%
Washington Redskins	4.31%	7.60%	9.87%	13.17%	14.72%	14.11%	12.36%	9.11%	6.42%	4.50%	2.22%	1.05%	0.56%
St. Louis Cardinals	1.86%	3.75%	5.32%	7.45%	10.23%	12.73%	14.04%	12.73%	10.60%	9.14%	6.24%	3.91%	2.00%
Chicago Bears	0.47%	0.83%	1.80%	3.09%	4.60%	6.84%	10.97%	15.55%	14.86%	14.32%	13.64%	8.73%	4.30%
Atlanta Falcons	0.38%	0.67%	1.86%	2.53%	4.39%	6.85%	10.26%	13.65%	16.51%	15.33%	12.29%	9.48%	5.80%
New York Giants	0.40%	1.06%	1.79%	3.37%	4.96%	6.92%	10.78%	11.92%	13.50%	14.65%	13.01%	10.37%	7.27%
Green Bay Packers	0.19%	0.42%	0.55%	1.67%	2.50%	4.73%	7.28%	11.08%	12.88%	16.04%	18.86%	14.93%	8.87%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.03%	0.06%	0.14%	0.38%	0.68%	1.30%	2.70%	3.98%	6.98%	10.57%	15.10%	23.89%	34.19%
New Orleans Saints	—	0.03%	0.12%	0.23%	0.26%	0.81%	1.89%	3.14%	5.86%	8.96%	15.60%	26.48%	36.62%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26
Minnesota Vikings	24.21%	16.19%	12.71%	9.52%	7.79%	6.06%	5.31%	4.35%	3.56%	2.72%	2.18%	1.48%	1.24%	0.88%	0.59%	0.45%	0.27%	0.21%	0.10%	0.06%	0.07%	0.02%	—	0.02%	0.01%	—
Dallas Cowboys	15.47%	13.02%	12.49%	10.50%	9.19%	6.95%	6.95%	5.10%	4.62%	3.37%	2.74%	2.52%	2.17%	1.27%	1.26%	0.83%	0.47%	0.34%	0.35%	0.16%	0.13%	0.02%	0.02%	—	0.06%	—
Baltimore Colts	14.39%	14.29%	10.86%	11.00%	8.54%	7.79%	6.29%	5.74%	4.92%	4.29%	2.84%	2.58%	1.75%	1.46%	0.97%	0.74%	0.47%	0.43%	0.20%	0.14%	0.14%	0.10%	0.02%	0.03%	0.02%	—
Detroit Lions	9.82%	8.45%	8.61%	8.01%	9.10%	7.72%	7.99%	6.51%	6.59%	5.38%	4.83%	3.77%	3.20%	2.51%	2.20%	1.42%	1.12%	0.97%	0.65%	0.45%	0.33%	0.15%	0.09%	0.08%	0.04%	0.01%
Oakland Raiders	6.89%	8.77%	8.38%	8.88%	7.95%	8.93%	7.27%	6.95%	5.93%	6.05%	4.59%	3.98%	3.26%	3.06%	2.29%	1.97%	1.33%	1.18%	0.83%	0.58%	0.38%	0.25%	0.18%	0.09%	0.02%	0.01%
Miami Dolphins	5.79%	8.12%	7.42%	8.81%	7.49%	8.49%	7.61%	8.03%	6.60%	6.40%	5.12%	4.62%	3.36%	3.01%	2.36%	1.99%	1.14%	1.07%	0.82%	0.61%	0.44%	0.35%	0.21%	0.09%	0.02%	0.03%
Kansas City Chiefs	5.59%	6.90%	7.18%	8.66%	7.65%	7.49%	7.17%	7.04%	6.30%	6.59%	5.21%	4.88%	3.94%	3.72%	2.91%	2.36%	1.99%	1.33%	0.97%	0.86%	0.62%	0.35%	0.12%	0.07%	0.09%	0.01%
Los Angeles Rams	5.42%	6.16%	8.28%	7.00%	8.38%	6.47%	7.59%	7.49%	6.76%	6.53%	5.66%	4.92%	4.19%	3.63%	3.13%	2.17%	1.77%	1.38%	0.96%	0.76%	0.52%	0.40%	0.22%	0.13%	0.07%	0.01%
San Francisco 49ers	5.45%	5.81%	7.31%	6.54%	7.87%	7.37%	7.67%	6.68%	7.42%	6.31%	6.19%	5.58%	4.15%	3.45%	2.80%	2.37%	2.10%	1.45%	1.18%	0.90%	0.57%	0.39%	0.24%	0.07%	0.08%	0.05%
Washington Redskins	2.29%	3.12%	4.68%	4.54%	5.76%	5.95%	6.95%	6.65%	7.19%	6.94%	7.18%	6.56%	6.43%	4.90%	4.75%	3.62%	3.17%	2.67%	2.05%	1.50%	1.24%	0.64%	0.64%	0.27%	0.22%	0.09%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.20%	2.21%	2.82%	3.75%	4.08%	5.89%	5.37%	6.38%	5.60%	6.51%	6.34%	7.16%	5.71%	5.72%	5.20%	4.65%	4.07%	4.14%	3.07%	2.84%	2.02%	1.94%	1.43%	1.14%	0.46%	0.30%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	1.05%	2.03%	2.69%	3.82%	4.01%	5.11%	5.19%	6.28%	5.76%	6.56%	6.37%	7.06%	6.17%	6.46%	5.03%	5.04%	4.26%	4.08%	3.03%	2.86%	2.25%	1.75%	1.19%	1.14%	0.50%	0.31%
San Diego Chargers	0.79%	1.65%	2.21%	2.98%	3.27%	4.23%	4.06%	5.09%	5.64%	6.16%	5.92%	6.68%	6.28%	6.89%	5.81%	5.72%	5.15%	4.71%	4.30%	3.35%	2.63%	2.39%	1.72%	1.34%	0.67%	0.36%
St. Louis Cardinals	0.92%	1.51%	1.74%	2.35%	2.98%	3.59%	4.24%	4.51%	5.45%	5.75%	6.41%	6.59%	6.97%	5.87%	6.64%	5.86%	5.27%	4.67%	4.38%	3.73%	2.96%	2.62%	1.90%	1.63%	0.90%	0.56%
Chicago Bears	0.13%	0.23%	0.53%	0.63%	1.02%	1.20%	1.65%	2.03%	2.40%	2.89%	4.08%	4.15%	5.63%	6.05%	7.35%	7.07%	7.42%	6.44%	6.96%	6.94%	6.43%	5.76%	5.05%	3.89%	2.51%	1.56%
New York Giants	0.14%	0.32%	0.61%	0.63%	1.04%	1.23%	1.63%	1.90%	2.78%	2.78%	4.18%	4.12%	5.78%	5.51%	5.99%	5.95%	6.78%	6.80%	6.98%	6.46%	6.61%	5.86%	5.63%	4.06%	4.10%	2.13%
Atlanta Falcons	0.15%	0.31%	0.32%	0.51%	0.95%	1.08%	1.48%	1.66%	2.39%	2.70%	3.79%	3.88%	5.47%	5.28%	6.82%	6.91%	7.68%	7.19%	7.54%	7.38%	6.24%	5.55%	4.96%	4.31%	3.22%	2.23%
New York Jets	0.08%	0.36%	0.33%	0.55%	0.69%	1.10%	1.40%	1.99%	2.36%	2.71%	3.33%	3.95%	4.78%	5.91%	6.14%	7.42%	7.33%	7.00%	6.82%	7.08%	6.83%	5.98%	5.07%	4.55%	3.53%	2.71%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.05%	0.16%	0.17%	0.39%	0.60%	1.13%	1.03%	1.65%	2.05%	2.43%	3.01%	3.92%	4.40%	5.08%	5.21%	6.49%	6.55%	7.60%	7.44%	7.78%	7.41%	6.42%	6.33%	6.00%	4.09%	2.61%
Denver Broncos	0.07%	0.21%	0.31%	0.41%	0.65%	0.78%	1.10%	1.41%	1.81%	2.19%	2.81%	3.32%	3.74%	4.74%	4.90%	6.28%	6.44%	6.90%	7.48%	7.62%	6.93%	7.80%	7.21%	6.82%	4.83%	3.24%
Green Bay Packers	0.07%	0.15%	0.18%	0.23%	0.39%	0.58%	0.83%	0.83%	1.59%	1.75%	2.59%	2.88%	3.70%	4.33%	5.50%	5.28%	6.95%	6.89%	7.64%	7.57%	8.42%	8.14%	7.42%	7.09%	5.08%	3.92%
Houston Oilers	0.02%	0.02%	0.10%	0.14%	0.34%	0.55%	0.59%	0.84%	1.09%	1.34%	1.94%	2.26%	2.88%	3.70%	4.13%	4.75%	5.07%	6.03%	6.73%	7.71%	8.37%	8.97%	9.45%	8.87%	7.30%	6.81%
New England Patriots	—	—	0.05%	0.06%	0.16%	0.10%	0.23%	0.43%	0.68%	0.95%	1.40%	1.61%	2.02%	3.08%	3.19%	4.44%	4.92%	6.15%	6.90%	7.81%	8.26%	9.82%	9.38%	9.34%	10.28%	8.74%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.01%	0.01%	0.01%	0.06%	0.04%	0.14%	0.22%	0.29%	0.26%	0.39%	0.64%	0.88%	1.27%	1.59%	2.12%	2.89%	3.57%	4.08%	4.86%	5.71%	7.56%	8.49%	11.08%	12.56%	15.10%	16.17%
New Orleans Saints	—	—	0.01%	0.03%	0.04%	0.07%	0.13%	0.14%	0.13%	0.20%	0.49%	0.47%	0.92%	1.05%	1.67%	1.86%	2.81%	3.40%	4.16%	5.15%	7.22%	8.39%	10.90%	13.71%	17.29%	19.76%
Buffalo Bills	—	—	—	—	0.02%	—	0.05%	0.03%	0.12%	0.11%	0.16%	0.18%	0.59%	0.85%	1.04%	1.47%	1.90%	2.89%	3.60%	3.99%	5.42%	7.45%	9.54%	12.70%	19.51%	28.38%

Win Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Baltimore Colts	34.21%	20.47%	6.82%	16.68%	21.82%
Oakland Raiders	19.28%	18.67%	7.29%	17.08%	37.68%
Miami Dolphins	17.17%	13.42%	5.01%	24.09%	40.31%
Kansas City Chiefs	15.15%	17.71%	6.49%	16.97%	43.68%
Cincinnati Bengals	4.53%	9.86%	28.57%	3.28%	53.76%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	4.48%	9.27%	28.37%	3.37%	54.51%
San Diego Chargers	3.47%	6.45%	3.08%	9.67%	77.33%
New York Jets	0.69%	0.98%	0.81%	3.71%	93.81%
Denver Broncos	0.52%	1.13%	0.76%	2.55%	95.04%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.32%	1.24%	7.85%	1.16%	89.43%
Houston Oilers	0.14%	0.62%	4.75%	0.54%	93.95%
New England Patriots	0.04%	0.17%	0.14%	0.82%	98.83%
Buffalo Bills	—	0.01%	0.06%	0.08%	99.85%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Minnesota Vikings	35.17%	19.84%	9.56%	17.70%	17.73%
Dallas Cowboys	23.32%	25.38%	17.36%	9.16%	24.78%
Detroit Lions	15.90%	10.53%	6.27%	26.52%	40.78%
Los Angeles Rams	9.00%	15.23%	24.86%	8.14%	42.77%
San Francisco 49ers	8.97%	13.40%	23.60%	9.18%	44.85%
Washington Redskins	4.31%	8.16%	7.72%	12.39%	67.42%
St. Louis Cardinals	1.86%	4.19%	3.85%	7.07%	83.03%
Chicago Bears	0.47%	0.74%	0.69%	3.48%	94.62%
New York Giants	0.40%	1.23%	1.83%	2.73%	93.81%
Atlanta Falcons	0.38%	0.85%	3.34%	1.64%	93.79%
Green Bay Packers	0.19%	0.32%	0.32%	1.62%	97.55%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.03%	0.05%	0.31%	0.26%	99.35%
New Orleans Saints	—	0.08%	0.29%	0.11%	99.52%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

Empirical cumulative distribution: for each seed in each conference, the probability that a team holding that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
Baltimore Colts	78.18%	53.96%	37.41%	19.45%
Minnesota Vikings	82.27%	50.17%	31.52%	19.15%
Dallas Cowboys	75.22%	41.10%	25.58%	15.67%
Kansas City Chiefs	56.32%	30.53%	17.21%	7.92%
Miami Dolphins	59.69%	35.49%	17.04%	7.37%
Los Angeles Rams	57.23%	31.27%	12.57%	6.62%
Detroit Lions	59.22%	26.93%	11.85%	5.86%
San Francisco 49ers	55.15%	29.18%	11.58%	5.78%
Oakland Raiders	62.32%	28.06%	13.50%	5.07%
Washington Redskins	32.58%	13.07%	5.15%	2.53%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	45.49%	19.81%	6.57%	2.06%
Cincinnati Bengals	46.24%	15.66%	3.61%	0.74%
San Diego Chargers	22.67%	7.74%	2.63%	0.62%
New York Jets	6.19%	2.25%	0.68%	0.22%
Atlanta Falcons	6.21%	2.27%	0.56%	0.22%
St. Louis Cardinals	16.97%	3.22%	0.64%	0.21%
Pittsburgh Steelers	10.57%	3.04%	0.63%	0.13%
Chicago Bears	5.38%	1.13%	0.30%	0.12%
Houston Oilers	6.05%	1.68%	0.33%	0.06%
Denver Broncos	4.96%	1.39%	0.25%	0.06%
New York Giants	6.19%	0.95%	0.15%	0.04%
New England Patriots	1.17%	0.37%	0.12%	0.03%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.65%	0.13%	0.04%	0.03%
Green Bay Packers	2.45%	0.44%	0.04%	0.02%
New Orleans Saints	0.48%	0.14%	0.02%	0.02%
Buffalo Bills	0.15%	0.02%	0.02%	—

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Colts	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers
Baltimore Colts			7.55%	6.75%	1.20%	0.97%	13.56%				16.71%	1.63%	5.59%
Buffalo Bills			0.01%								0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.88%	0.01%			0.73%		2.49%	3.57%	0.25%	1.02%	3.50%		2.21%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	2.82%	0.04%			0.81%		2.95%	4.74%	0.25%	1.09%	4.14%		2.97%
Denver Broncos	0.17%		0.44%	0.38%		0.08%		0.15%		0.03%		0.14%
Houston Oilers	0.19%	0.01%			0.11%		0.25%	0.45%	0.05%	0.10%	0.34%		0.18%
Kansas City Chiefs	9.01%	0.04%	6.16%	5.26%		1.01%		6.74%	0.09%	0.57%		1.65%
Miami Dolphins			7.98%	6.52%	0.47%	1.09%	5.86%				8.62%	1.69%	3.26%
New England Patriots			0.12%	0.08%		0.03%	0.06%				0.03%	0.03%	0.02%
New York Jets			0.64%	0.56%	0.05%	0.12%	0.19%				0.37%	0.21%	0.11%
Oakland Raiders	8.37%	0.02%	5.62%	4.39%		0.80%		6.58%	0.11%	0.72%		1.45%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.26%	0.01%			0.20%		0.43%	0.73%	0.04%	0.24%	0.54%		0.59%
San Diego Chargers	1.52%		2.06%	1.74%		0.27%		1.24%	0.01%	0.17%		0.73%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Cardinals	Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons		0.17%	0.23%	0.63%	0.06%		0.54%		0.09%			0.27%	0.28%
Chicago Bears	0.06%		0.18%			0.31%			0.02%		0.30%	0.13%	0.13%
Dallas Cowboys	0.83%	0.82%		10.92%	0.39%	6.26%	15.99%	0.04%			5.85%
Detroit Lions	0.96%		6.76%			6.65%		0.07%	0.68%	0.12%	6.31%	2.35%	3.03%
Green Bay Packers	0.02%		0.07%			0.08%		0.01%	0.03%		0.18%	0.03%	0.02%
Los Angeles Rams		1.54%	4.85%	9.08%	0.63%		5.68%		1.51%	0.18%		3.58%	4.22%
Minnesota Vikings	1.47%		17.78%			8.58%		0.17%	1.56%	0.13%	8.94%	4.22%	7.32%
New Orleans Saints		0.01%		0.05%	0.01%		0.01%					0.03%	0.03%
New York Giants	0.01%	0.04%		0.14%		0.25%	0.25%	0.01%			0.25%
Philadelphia Eagles				0.03%		0.03%	0.02%				0.05%
San Francisco 49ers		1.41%	4.25%	8.07%	0.81%		5.58%		1.35%	0.09%		3.14%	4.48%
St. Louis Cardinals	0.09%	0.07%		0.64%	0.03%	0.93%	0.83%	0.02%			0.61%
Washington Redskins	0.50%	0.19%		2.73%	0.08%	2.87%	3.20%	0.02%			3.48%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Colts	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers
Baltimore Colts		5.20%	6.06%	0.53%	0.58%	5.41%	10.75%	0.08%	0.62%	5.16%	1.04%	1.98%
Buffalo Bills	0.01%		0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.22%		0.19%	0.03%	0.03%	0.57%	0.69%	0.04%	0.02%	0.57%	0.03%	0.22%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	2.03%	0.29%		0.05%	0.02%	1.13%	1.26%		0.03%	1.34%	0.05%	0.37%
Denver Broncos	0.07%	0.04%	0.02%			0.02%	0.06%			0.04%
Houston Oilers	0.10%					0.05%	0.08%	0.01%	0.01%	0.07%		0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	3.33%	2.31%	2.45%	0.19%	0.27%		2.79%	0.07%	0.26%	4.22%	0.45%	0.87%
Miami Dolphins	6.38%	1.94%	2.27%	0.19%	0.19%	2.13%		0.02%	0.36%	2.38%	0.32%	0.86%
New England Patriots	0.03%					0.02%	0.02%			0.05%
New York Jets	0.16%	0.06%	0.09%	0.01%	0.02%	0.06%	0.13%			0.11%	0.02%	0.02%
Oakland Raiders	2.45%	1.90%	1.85%	0.13%	0.17%	3.34%	2.22%	0.03%	0.22%		0.44%	0.75%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.20%	0.01%				0.15%	0.07%		0.01%	0.16%		0.03%
San Diego Chargers	0.57%	0.30%	0.30%	0.01%	0.07%	0.44%	0.38%		0.04%	0.46%	0.06%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Cardinals	Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons			0.09%	0.13%		0.11%	0.12%				0.05%	0.02%	0.04%
Chicago Bears			0.03%	0.07%		0.07%	0.06%		0.01%		0.03%	0.01%	0.02%
Dallas Cowboys	0.59%	0.17%		3.65%	0.10%	6.12%	5.43%	0.02%	0.23%	0.01%	5.98%	0.73%	2.55%
Detroit Lions	0.19%	0.11%	1.93%		0.04%	2.10%	4.40%		0.14%		1.84%	0.34%	0.76%
Green Bay Packers			0.02%	0.01%			0.01%
Los Angeles Rams	0.07%	0.13%	3.38%	1.77%	0.09%		4.14%		0.08%	0.02%	1.48%	0.38%	1.03%
Minnesota Vikings	0.65%	0.28%	5.18%	6.86%	0.08%	7.83%		0.08%	0.22%	0.04%	7.19%	0.61%	2.50%
New Orleans Saints			0.02%
New York Giants			0.03%	0.01%		0.06%	0.01%				0.01%		0.03%
Philadelphia Eagles			0.01%	0.02%			0.01%
San Francisco 49ers	0.08%	0.10%	3.30%	1.87%	0.07%	1.38%	3.33%		0.09%	0.02%		0.39%	0.95%
St. Louis Cardinals			0.17%	0.09%		0.13%	0.09%		0.01%		0.11%		0.04%
Washington Redskins	0.13%	0.04%	1.36%	0.60%	0.02%	0.90%	1.05%	0.02%	0.02%		0.91%	0.10%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Baltimore Colts	Buffalo Bills	Chicago Bears	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Dallas Cowboys	Denver Broncos	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Houston Oilers	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Rams	Miami Dolphins	Minnesota Vikings	New England Patriots	New York Giants	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Cardinals	Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons		0.07%				0.03%						0.03%		0.03%					0.05%		0.01%
Baltimore Colts	0.11%			0.06%			4.51%		2.67%	0.01%			2.64%		5.63%		0.06%						2.45%	0.13%	1.18%
Chicago Bears		0.04%				0.01%						0.01%		0.03%					0.02%			0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.01%			0.01%			0.18%		0.08%	0.01%			0.07%		0.20%								0.12%	0.03%	0.03%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	0.03%			0.01%			0.46%		0.29%				0.22%		0.56%								0.32%	0.04%	0.13%
Dallas Cowboys		5.05%			0.78%	1.26%		0.07%			0.05%	2.64%		2.66%		0.01%		0.11%	2.38%		0.14%	0.52%
Denver Broncos									0.02%				0.01%		0.01%								0.02%
Detroit Lions		1.79%	0.01%		0.26%	0.40%		0.02%			0.03%	1.03%		1.08%				0.06%	0.87%		0.05%	0.26%
Green Bay Packers		0.01%																				0.01%
Houston Oilers									0.01%				0.01%		0.02%								0.01%		0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.07%			0.04%			1.83%		0.95%				1.06%		2.30%								1.16%	0.05%	0.46%
Los Angeles Rams		2.15%			0.38%	0.52%		0.01%			0.01%	1.05%		1.11%				0.03%	1.05%		0.03%	0.28%
Miami Dolphins	0.06%			0.04%			1.64%		1.02%				1.11%		2.08%		0.02%			0.01%			0.91%	0.09%	0.39%
Minnesota Vikings		6.09%			1.07%	1.49%		0.06%			0.13%	3.09%		3.31%		0.07%		0.12%	2.82%		0.20%	0.70%
New England Patriots							0.01%								0.01%								0.01%
New Orleans Saints		0.02%
New York Giants														0.02%					0.02%
New York Jets				0.01%			0.04%		0.05%				0.03%		0.04%								0.03%		0.02%
Oakland Raiders	0.05%			0.01%			1.03%		0.83%				0.73%		1.33%		0.01%						0.63%	0.07%	0.38%
Philadelphia Eagles		0.01%			0.01%	0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.01%						0.05%		0.01%						0.02%		0.01%						0.01%	0.01%	0.01%
San Diego Chargers							0.16%		0.06%				0.07%		0.17%		0.01%						0.13%	0.01%	0.01%
San Francisco 49ers		1.87%	0.01%		0.26%	0.53%		0.03%			0.04%	0.97%		1.02%		0.01%		0.09%	0.73%		0.05%	0.17%
St. Louis Cardinals		0.04%			0.02%	0.03%						0.06%		0.03%				0.01%	0.02%
Washington Redskins		0.82%			0.09%	0.23%					0.01%	0.41%		0.38%				0.04%	0.47%		0.02%	0.06%

Actual Bracket Simulation

With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.

Team	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
Minnesota Vikings	57.54%	40.46%	23.16%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Baltimore Colts	68.07%	35.35%	18.88%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Dallas Cowboys	42.46%	26.08%	15.33%	Won Super Bowl
Kansas City Chiefs	60.64%	34.21%	14.90%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
San Francisco 49ers	60.59%	21.62%	10.50%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Miami Dolphins	39.36%	19.77%	8.23%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
Washington Redskins	39.41%	11.84%	5.44%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Cleveland Browns (1st)	31.93%	10.67%	3.56%	Eliminated in Divisional Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Colts	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins
Baltimore Colts		68.07%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	31.93%
Kansas City Chiefs				60.64%
Miami Dolphins			39.36%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Dallas Cowboys	Minnesota Vikings	San Francisco 49ers	Washington Redskins
Dallas Cowboys		42.46%
Minnesota Vikings	57.54%
San Francisco 49ers				60.59%
Washington Redskins			39.41%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Colts	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins
Baltimore Colts			20.80%	14.55%
Cleveland Browns (1st)			5.63%	5.04%
Kansas City Chiefs	20.26%	13.95%
Miami Dolphins	12.46%	7.31%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Dallas Cowboys	Minnesota Vikings	San Francisco 49ers	Washington Redskins
Dallas Cowboys			14.74%	11.34%
Minnesota Vikings			24.23%	16.23%
San Francisco 49ers	11.37%	10.25%
Washington Redskins	5.01%	6.83%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Colts	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Dallas Cowboys	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	Minnesota Vikings	San Francisco 49ers	Washington Redskins
Baltimore Colts			4.43%			7.28%	4.36%	2.81%
Cleveland Browns (1st)			0.78%			1.30%	0.93%	0.55%
Dallas Cowboys	4.93%	1.93%		5.34%	3.13%
Kansas City Chiefs			3.65%			5.52%	3.85%	1.88%
Miami Dolphins			1.89%			3.20%	1.98%	1.16%
Minnesota Vikings	6.91%	2.89%		8.47%	4.89%
San Francisco 49ers	2.96%	1.50%		3.66%	2.38%
Washington Redskins	1.67%	0.79%		1.84%	1.14%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.

Minnesota Vikings 23.16% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

57.54%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

59.89%

Win Prob

70.27%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

36.57%

Win Prob

60.54%

Baltimore Colts 18.88% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Cleveland Browns (1st)

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

68.07%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

58.84%

Win Prob

50.66%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

38.56%

Win Prob

51.30%

Dallas Cowboys 15.33% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

42.46%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

56.52%

Win Prob

56.45%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

34.83%

Win Prob

59.40%

Kansas City Chiefs 14.90% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

60.64%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Baltimore Colts

Matchup

59.22%

Win Prob

49.34%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

37.05%

Win Prob

39.46%

San Francisco 49ers 10.50% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Washington Redskins

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

60.59%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

52.59%

Win Prob

43.55%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

34.86%

Win Prob

48.74%

Miami Dolphins 8.23% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

39.36%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Baltimore Colts

Matchup

63.02%

Win Prob

46.13%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

38.88%

Win Prob

39.56%

Washington Redskins 5.44% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

39.41%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

57.69%

Win Prob

29.62%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

33.82%

Win Prob

49.46%

Cleveland Browns (1st) 3.56% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Baltimore Colts

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

31.93%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

52.76%

Win Prob

28.75%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

36.52%

Win Prob

31.03%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1971-09-19	San Francisco 49ers	W 20-17	1443.69	1577.69	35.70%	59.13%	+15.46	1-0
1971-09-26	@ Los Angeles Rams	T 20-20	1459.15	1589.29	24.19%	70.67%	+1.72	1-0
1971-10-03	@ Detroit Lions	L 38-41	1460.87	1638.19	19.56%	75.32%	-5.32	1-1
1971-10-10	St. Louis Cardinals	L 9-26	1455.55	1508.34	47.01%	47.81%	-29.50	1-2
1971-10-17	Los Angeles Rams	L 16-24	1426.05	1626.76	27.43%	67.42%	-12.07	1-3
1971-10-24	New Orleans Saints	W 28-6	1413.98	1369.16	60.54%	34.29%	+24.83	2-3
1971-10-31	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 31-14	1438.81	1489.51	33.52%	61.31%	+38.13	3-3
1971-11-07	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 9-6	1476.94	1430.47	46.90%	47.91%	+12.62	4-3
1971-11-14	New York Giants	L 17-21	1489.56	1456.43	59.01%	35.82%	-17.81	4-4
1971-11-22	Green Bay Packers	W 28-21	1471.75	1465.53	55.36%	39.46%	+16.02	5-4
1971-11-28	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 7-24	1487.77	1704.19	16.26%	78.64%	-10.55	5-5
1971-12-05	Oakland Raiders	W 24-13	1477.22	1595.47	37.81%	57.02%	+28.57	6-5
1971-12-12	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 3-24	1505.79	1580.99	30.45%	64.39%	-21.64	6-6
1971-12-19	@ New Orleans Saints	W 24-20	1484.15	1368.35	56.68%	38.14%	+11.73	7-6
1971-09-19	New York Jets	W 22-0	1602.82	1484.33	69.41%	25.44%	+18.61	1-0
1971-09-26	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 13-14	1621.43	1539.91	65.15%	29.69%	-9.83	1-1
1971-10-03	@ New England Patriots	W 23-3	1611.60	1363.61	72.52%	22.35%	+15.64	2-1
1971-10-10	@ Buffalo Bills	W 43-0	1627.24	1321.64	77.78%	17.12%	+17.67	3-1
1971-10-17	@ New York Giants	W 31-7	1644.91	1494.59	61.26%	33.57%	+25.41	4-1
1971-10-25	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 3-10	1670.32	1686.74	38.06%	56.76%	-15.48	4-2
1971-10-31	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 34-21	1654.84	1417.48	80.23%	14.69%	+8.35	5-2
1971-11-08	Los Angeles Rams	W 24-17	1663.19	1628.71	59.19%	35.64%	+14.54	6-2
1971-11-14	@ New York Jets	W 14-13	1677.73	1412.57	74.19%	20.68%	+3.24	7-2
1971-11-21	@ Miami Dolphins	L 14-17	1680.97	1630.58	47.47%	47.35%	-12.51	7-3
1971-11-28	@ Oakland Raiders	W 37-14	1668.46	1631.36	45.56%	49.26%	+35.88	8-3
1971-12-05	Buffalo Bills	W 24-0	1704.34	1256.03	90.24%	4.88%	+3.80	9-3
1971-12-11	Miami Dolphins	W 14-3	1708.14	1606.99	67.47%	27.38%	+14.13	10-3
1971-12-19	New England Patriots	L 17-21	1722.27	1367.47	86.95%	8.06%	-26.30	10-4
1971-09-19	Dallas Cowboys	L 37-49	1357.63	1606.48	22.26%	72.60%	-12.07	0-1
1971-09-26	Miami Dolphins	L 14-29	1345.56	1531.53	29.15%	65.69%	-17.53	0-2
1971-10-03	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 0-19	1328.03	1656.73	9.24%	85.75%	-6.39	0-3
1971-10-10	Baltimore Colts	L 0-43	1321.64	1627.24	17.12%	77.78%	-17.67	0-4
1971-10-17	@ New York Jets	L 17-28	1303.97	1432.53	24.36%	70.50%	-12.61	0-5
1971-10-23	@ San Diego Chargers	L 3-20	1291.36	1450.97	21.21%	73.66%	-13.70	0-6
1971-10-31	St. Louis Cardinals	L 23-28	1277.66	1491.59	25.94%	68.91%	-9.04	0-7
1971-11-07	@ Miami Dolphins	L 0-34	1268.62	1617.82	8.30%	86.71%	-7.68	0-8
1971-11-14	@ New England Patriots	L 33-38	1260.94	1364.61	27.09%	67.75%	-9.43	0-9
1971-11-21	New York Jets	L 7-20	1251.51	1409.33	32.61%	62.22%	-18.19	0-10
1971-11-28	New England Patriots	W 27-20	1233.32	1350.01	38.02%	56.80%	+22.71	1-10
1971-12-05	@ Baltimore Colts	L 0-24	1256.03	1704.34	4.88%	90.24%	-3.80	1-11
1971-12-12	Houston Oilers	L 14-20	1252.23	1333.19	42.98%	51.84%	-16.10	1-12
1971-12-19	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 9-22	1236.13	1632.88	6.45%	88.61%	-3.70	1-13
1971-09-19	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 17-15	1484.57	1393.71	66.27%	28.58%	+6.28	1-0
1971-09-26	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 20-17	1490.85	1676.61	18.81%	76.08%	+19.88	2-0
1971-10-03	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 3-17	1510.73	1587.57	30.25%	64.59%	-17.56	2-1
1971-10-10	New Orleans Saints	W 35-14	1493.17	1348.58	72.17%	22.70%	+16.27	3-1
1971-10-17	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 0-13	1509.44	1580.13	31.01%	63.83%	-17.33	3-2
1971-10-24	@ Detroit Lions	W 28-23	1492.11	1663.48	20.10%	74.77%	+25.22	4-2
1971-10-31	Dallas Cowboys	W 23-19	1517.33	1606.23	41.86%	52.96%	+16.04	5-2
1971-11-07	Green Bay Packers	L 14-17	1533.37	1452.89	65.03%	29.81%	-16.99	5-3
1971-11-14	Washington Redskins	W 16-15	1516.38	1594.55	43.38%	51.44%	+7.80	6-3
1971-11-21	Detroit Lions	L 3-28	1524.18	1620.83	40.78%	54.04%	-31.25	6-4
1971-11-29	@ Miami Dolphins	L 3-34	1492.93	1643.09	22.14%	72.73%	-19.29	6-5
1971-12-05	@ Denver Broncos	L 3-6	1473.64	1429.14	46.62%	48.20%	-12.30	6-6
1971-12-12	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-31	1461.34	1422.42	45.82%	49.00%	-32.02	6-7
1971-12-19	Minnesota Vikings	L 10-27	1429.32	1694.29	20.70%	74.18%	-13.37	6-8
1971-09-19	Philadelphia Eagles	W 37-14	1511.51	1405.27	68.05%	26.80%	+20.01	1-0
1971-09-26	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-21	1531.52	1387.43	60.46%	34.37%	-30.26	1-1
1971-10-03	@ Green Bay Packers	L 17-20	1501.26	1473.01	44.30%	50.52%	-11.71	1-2
1971-10-10	Miami Dolphins	L 13-23	1489.55	1528.85	48.94%	45.88%	-23.52	1-3
1971-10-17	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 24-27	1466.03	1534.11	44.81%	50.01%	-11.85	1-4
1971-10-24	@ Oakland Raiders	L 27-31	1454.18	1616.04	21.00%	73.87%	-6.58	1-5
1971-10-31	@ Houston Oilers	L 6-10	1447.60	1331.84	56.68%	38.15%	-17.13	1-6
1971-11-07	Atlanta Falcons	L 6-9	1430.47	1476.94	47.91%	46.90%	-12.62	1-7
1971-11-14	@ Denver Broncos	W 24-10	1417.85	1441.62	37.07%	57.76%	+32.64	2-7
1971-11-21	Houston Oilers	W 28-13	1450.49	1323.31	70.35%	24.50%	+14.82	3-7
1971-11-28	San Diego Chargers	W 31-0	1465.31	1469.05	53.98%	40.84%	+34.85	4-7
1971-12-05	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 27-31	1500.16	1458.90	46.16%	48.66%	-14.07	4-8
1971-12-12	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 13-21	1486.09	1370.40	69.11%	25.75%	-29.46	4-9
1971-12-19	@ New York Jets	L 21-35	1456.63	1419.30	45.59%	49.23%	-26.01	4-10
1971-09-19	Houston Oilers	W 31-0	1517.71	1400.45	69.28%	25.58%	+22.20	1-0
1971-09-26	@ Baltimore Colts	W 14-13	1539.91	1621.43	29.69%	65.15%	+9.83	2-0
1971-10-04	Oakland Raiders	L 20-34	1549.74	1561.84	52.81%	42.01%	-29.93	2-1
1971-10-10	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 27-17	1519.81	1433.63	65.71%	29.13%	+14.30	3-1
1971-10-17	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-24	1534.11	1466.03	50.01%	44.81%	+11.85	4-1
1971-10-24	Denver Broncos	L 0-27	1545.96	1402.43	72.06%	22.80%	-56.45	4-2
1971-10-31	Atlanta Falcons	L 14-31	1489.51	1438.81	61.31%	33.52%	-38.13	4-3
1971-11-07	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 9-26	1451.38	1409.12	46.30%	48.52%	-29.09	4-4
1971-11-14	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 7-13	1422.29	1599.67	19.55%	75.33%	-7.52	4-5
1971-11-21	New England Patriots	W 27-7	1414.77	1374.04	60.01%	34.82%	+24.03	5-5
1971-11-28	@ Houston Oilers	W 37-24	1438.80	1308.50	58.64%	36.19%	+20.10	6-5
1971-12-05	Cincinnati Bengals	W 31-27	1458.90	1500.16	48.66%	46.16%	+14.07	7-5
1971-12-12	@ New Orleans Saints	W 21-17	1472.97	1381.04	53.38%	41.44%	+12.70	8-5
1971-12-19	@ Washington Redskins	W 20-13	1485.67	1621.78	23.56%	71.30%	+28.43	9-5
1971-09-19	@ Buffalo Bills	W 49-37	1606.48	1357.63	72.60%	22.26%	+12.07	1-0
1971-09-26	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 42-7	1618.55	1385.26	71.01%	23.85%	+22.05	2-0
1971-10-03	Washington Redskins	L 16-20	1640.60	1555.13	65.63%	29.22%	-19.79	2-1
1971-10-11	New York Giants	W 20-13	1620.81	1505.21	69.09%	25.76%	+10.62	3-1
1971-10-17	@ New Orleans Saints	L 14-24	1631.43	1332.31	77.24%	17.66%	-36.85	3-2
1971-10-24	New England Patriots	W 44-21	1594.58	1367.00	79.51%	15.41%	+11.65	4-2
1971-10-31	@ Chicago Bears	L 19-23	1606.23	1517.33	52.96%	41.86%	-16.04	4-3
1971-11-07	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 16-13	1590.19	1500.63	53.05%	41.77%	+11.08	5-3
1971-11-14	Philadelphia Eagles	W 20-7	1601.27	1370.82	79.72%	15.19%	+8.64	6-3
1971-11-21	@ Washington Redskins	W 13-0	1609.91	1586.75	43.57%	51.25%	+28.01	7-3
1971-11-25	Los Angeles Rams	W 28-21	1637.92	1658.30	51.64%	43.18%	+17.47	8-3
1971-12-04	New York Jets	W 52-10	1655.39	1419.18	80.15%	14.77%	+15.10	9-3
1971-12-12	@ New York Giants	W 42-14	1670.49	1410.11	73.74%	21.14%	+17.52	10-3
1971-12-18	St. Louis Cardinals	W 31-12	1688.01	1444.49	80.68%	14.25%	+9.80	11-3
1971-09-19	Miami Dolphins	T 10-10	1451.01	1531.85	43.00%	51.82%	+0.32	0-0
1971-09-26	@ Green Bay Packers	L 13-34	1451.33	1443.98	41.34%	53.48%	-29.03	0-1
1971-10-03	Kansas City Chiefs	L 3-16	1422.30	1543.19	37.45%	57.37%	-20.78	0-2
1971-10-10	Oakland Raiders	L 16-27	1401.52	1591.77	28.64%	66.20%	-14.76	0-3
1971-10-17	San Diego Chargers	W 20-16	1386.76	1466.64	43.14%	51.68%	+15.67	1-3
1971-10-24	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 27-0	1402.43	1545.96	22.80%	72.06%	+56.45	2-3
1971-10-31	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 16-17	1458.88	1360.20	54.32%	40.50%	-8.22	2-4
1971-11-07	Detroit Lions	L 20-24	1450.66	1636.91	29.12%	65.73%	-9.04	2-5
1971-11-14	Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-24	1441.62	1417.85	57.76%	37.07%	-32.64	2-6
1971-11-21	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-28	1408.98	1607.19	17.74%	77.16%	-11.84	2-7
1971-11-28	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 22-10	1397.14	1447.19	33.61%	61.22%	+32.00	3-7
1971-12-05	Chicago Bears	W 6-3	1429.14	1473.64	48.20%	46.62%	+12.30	4-7
1971-12-12	@ San Diego Chargers	L 17-45	1441.44	1479.82	35.13%	59.70%	-28.68	4-8
1971-12-19	@ Oakland Raiders	L 13-21	1412.76	1559.79	22.45%	72.42%	-9.93	4-9
1971-09-20	Minnesota Vikings	L 13-16	1632.25	1663.44	50.10%	44.72%	-13.17	0-1
1971-09-26	@ New England Patriots	W 34-7	1619.08	1382.72	71.33%	23.53%	+19.11	1-1
1971-10-03	Atlanta Falcons	W 41-38	1638.19	1460.87	75.32%	19.56%	+5.32	2-1
1971-10-10	Green Bay Packers	W 31-28	1643.51	1484.72	73.58%	21.29%	+5.78	3-1
1971-10-17	@ Houston Oilers	W 31-7	1649.29	1359.32	76.45%	18.44%	+14.19	4-1
1971-10-24	Chicago Bears	L 23-28	1663.48	1492.11	74.77%	20.10%	-25.22	4-2
1971-11-01	@ Green Bay Packers	T 14-14	1638.26	1451.54	65.78%	29.06%	-1.35	4-2
1971-11-07	@ Denver Broncos	W 24-20	1636.91	1450.66	65.73%	29.12%	+9.05	5-2
1971-11-14	Los Angeles Rams	L 13-21	1645.96	1614.18	58.83%	36.00%	-25.13	5-3
1971-11-21	@ Chicago Bears	W 28-3	1620.83	1524.18	54.04%	40.78%	+31.26	6-3
1971-11-25	Kansas City Chiefs	W 32-21	1652.09	1619.03	59.00%	35.83%	+18.32	7-3
1971-12-05	Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-23	1670.41	1391.57	83.01%	11.94%	-21.72	7-4
1971-12-11	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 10-29	1648.69	1669.13	37.52%	57.31%	-25.16	7-5
1971-12-19	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 27-31	1623.53	1602.63	43.25%	51.57%	-13.23	7-6
1971-09-19	New York Giants	L 40-42	1453.29	1533.64	43.07%	51.75%	-9.31	0-1
1971-09-26	Denver Broncos	W 34-13	1443.98	1451.33	53.48%	41.34%	+29.03	1-1
1971-10-03	Cincinnati Bengals	W 20-17	1473.01	1501.26	50.52%	44.30%	+11.71	2-1
1971-10-10	@ Detroit Lions	L 28-31	1484.72	1643.51	21.29%	73.58%	-5.77	2-2
1971-10-17	Minnesota Vikings	L 13-24	1478.95	1672.16	28.30%	66.55%	-14.59	2-3
1971-10-24	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 13-30	1464.36	1638.83	19.82%	75.06%	-12.82	2-4
1971-11-01	Detroit Lions	T 14-14	1451.54	1638.26	29.06%	65.78%	+1.35	2-4
1971-11-07	@ Chicago Bears	W 17-14	1452.89	1533.37	29.81%	65.03%	+16.98	3-4
1971-11-14	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 0-3	1469.87	1690.97	15.90%	79.01%	-4.34	3-5
1971-11-22	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 21-28	1465.53	1471.75	39.46%	55.36%	-16.03	3-6
1971-11-28	New Orleans Saints	L 21-29	1449.50	1361.90	65.88%	28.96%	-28.09	3-7
1971-12-05	@ St. Louis Cardinals	T 16-16	1421.41	1470.97	33.67%	61.16%	+1.01	3-7
1971-12-12	Chicago Bears	W 31-10	1422.42	1461.34	49.00%	45.82%	+32.01	4-7
1971-12-19	@ Miami Dolphins	L 6-27	1454.43	1592.86	23.32%	71.54%	-16.71	4-8
1971-09-19	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 0-31	1400.45	1517.71	25.58%	69.28%	-22.20	0-1
1971-09-26	Kansas City Chiefs	L 16-20	1378.25	1532.98	33.00%	61.83%	-10.21	0-2
1971-10-03	New Orleans Saints	T 13-13	1368.04	1347.86	57.27%	37.55%	-0.72	0-2
1971-10-10	@ Washington Redskins	L 13-22	1367.32	1574.92	16.96%	77.94%	-8.00	0-3
1971-10-17	Detroit Lions	L 7-31	1359.32	1649.29	18.44%	76.45%	-14.20	0-4
1971-10-24	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 16-23	1345.12	1404.19	32.46%	62.38%	-13.28	0-5
1971-10-31	Cincinnati Bengals	W 10-6	1331.84	1447.60	38.15%	56.68%	+17.13	1-5
1971-11-07	@ New England Patriots	L 20-28	1348.97	1347.00	40.59%	54.23%	-17.61	1-6
1971-11-14	@ Oakland Raiders	L 21-41	1331.36	1619.93	11.37%	83.59%	-8.05	1-7
1971-11-21	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 13-28	1323.31	1450.49	24.50%	70.35%	-14.81	1-8
1971-11-28	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 24-37	1308.50	1438.80	36.19%	58.64%	-20.10	1-9
1971-12-05	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 29-3	1288.40	1415.19	36.66%	58.17%	+44.79	2-9
1971-12-12	@ Buffalo Bills	W 20-14	1333.19	1252.23	51.84%	42.98%	+16.10	3-9
1971-12-19	San Diego Chargers	W 49-33	1349.29	1508.49	32.44%	62.40%	+37.65	4-9
1971-09-19	@ San Diego Chargers	L 14-21	1549.81	1541.21	41.52%	53.30%	-16.83	0-1
1971-09-26	@ Houston Oilers	W 20-16	1532.98	1378.25	61.83%	33.00%	+10.21	1-1
1971-10-03	@ Denver Broncos	W 16-3	1543.19	1422.30	57.37%	37.45%	+20.78	2-1
1971-10-10	San Diego Chargers	W 31-10	1563.97	1488.23	64.45%	30.39%	+21.59	3-1
1971-10-18	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 38-16	1585.56	1419.32	74.29%	20.58%	+15.14	4-1
1971-10-24	Washington Redskins	W 27-20	1600.70	1606.58	53.68%	41.14%	+16.68	5-1
1971-10-31	@ Oakland Raiders	T 20-20	1617.38	1622.62	39.59%	55.23%	+0.57	5-1
1971-11-07	@ New York Jets	L 10-13	1617.95	1394.30	69.98%	24.88%	-18.28	5-2
1971-11-14	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 13-7	1599.67	1422.29	75.33%	19.55%	+7.52	6-2
1971-11-21	Denver Broncos	W 28-10	1607.19	1408.98	77.16%	17.74%	+11.84	7-2
1971-11-25	@ Detroit Lions	L 21-32	1619.03	1652.09	35.83%	59.00%	-18.32	7-3
1971-12-06	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 26-17	1600.71	1606.06	39.58%	55.24%	+25.06	8-3
1971-12-12	Oakland Raiders	W 16-14	1625.77	1566.90	62.35%	32.48%	+7.11	9-3
1971-12-19	Buffalo Bills	W 22-9	1632.88	1236.13	88.61%	6.45%	+3.69	10-3
1971-09-19	@ New Orleans Saints	L 20-24	1611.74	1343.87	74.45%	20.43%	-22.45	0-1
1971-09-26	Atlanta Falcons	T 20-20	1589.29	1459.15	70.67%	24.19%	-1.72	0-1
1971-10-03	Chicago Bears	W 17-3	1587.57	1510.73	64.59%	30.25%	+17.56	1-1
1971-10-10	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 20-13	1605.13	1601.76	40.79%	54.03%	+21.63	2-1
1971-10-17	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 24-16	1626.76	1426.05	67.42%	27.43%	+12.07	3-1
1971-10-24	Green Bay Packers	W 30-13	1638.83	1464.36	75.06%	19.82%	+12.82	4-1
1971-10-31	Miami Dolphins	L 14-20	1651.65	1594.88	62.08%	32.75%	-22.94	4-2
1971-11-08	@ Baltimore Colts	L 17-24	1628.71	1663.19	35.64%	59.19%	-14.53	4-3
1971-11-14	@ Detroit Lions	W 21-13	1614.18	1645.96	36.00%	58.83%	+25.12	5-3
1971-11-21	San Francisco 49ers	W 17-6	1639.30	1616.72	57.60%	37.23%	+19.00	6-3
1971-11-25	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 21-28	1658.30	1637.92	43.18%	51.64%	-17.46	6-4
1971-12-05	New Orleans Saints	W 45-28	1640.84	1389.99	81.19%	13.74%	+8.94	7-4
1971-12-13	Washington Redskins	L 24-38	1649.78	1586.27	62.94%	31.90%	-35.51	7-5
1971-12-19	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 23-14	1614.27	1399.86	68.97%	25.88%	+12.10	8-5
1971-09-19	@ Denver Broncos	T 10-10	1531.85	1451.01	51.82%	43.00%	-0.32	0-0
1971-09-26	@ Buffalo Bills	W 29-14	1531.53	1345.56	65.69%	29.15%	+17.54	1-0
1971-10-03	New York Jets	L 10-14	1549.07	1451.31	67.07%	27.77%	-20.22	1-1
1971-10-10	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 23-13	1528.85	1489.55	45.88%	48.94%	+23.51	2-1
1971-10-17	New England Patriots	W 41-3	1552.36	1386.97	74.21%	20.66%	+19.97	3-1
1971-10-24	@ New York Jets	W 30-14	1572.33	1445.14	58.22%	36.61%	+22.55	4-1
1971-10-31	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 20-14	1594.88	1651.65	32.75%	62.08%	+22.94	5-1
1971-11-07	Buffalo Bills	W 34-0	1617.82	1268.62	86.71%	8.30%	+7.68	6-1
1971-11-14	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-21	1625.50	1438.21	76.21%	18.67%	+5.08	7-1
1971-11-21	Baltimore Colts	W 17-14	1630.58	1680.97	47.35%	47.47%	+12.51	8-1
1971-11-29	Chicago Bears	W 34-3	1643.09	1492.93	72.73%	22.14%	+19.29	9-1
1971-12-05	@ New England Patriots	L 13-34	1662.38	1327.30	80.07%	14.85%	-55.39	9-2
1971-12-11	@ Baltimore Colts	L 3-14	1606.99	1708.14	27.38%	67.47%	-14.13	9-3
1971-12-19	Green Bay Packers	W 27-6	1592.86	1454.43	71.54%	23.32%	+16.71	10-3
1971-09-20	@ Detroit Lions	W 16-13	1663.44	1632.25	44.72%	50.10%	+13.17	1-0
1971-09-26	Chicago Bears	L 17-20	1676.61	1490.85	76.08%	18.81%	-19.88	1-1
1971-10-03	Buffalo Bills	W 19-0	1656.73	1328.03	85.75%	9.24%	+6.39	2-1
1971-10-10	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 13-0	1663.12	1342.14	79.01%	15.90%	+9.04	3-1
1971-10-17	@ Green Bay Packers	W 24-13	1672.16	1478.95	66.55%	28.30%	+14.58	4-1
1971-10-25	Baltimore Colts	W 10-3	1686.74	1670.32	56.76%	38.06%	+15.49	5-1
1971-10-31	@ New York Giants	W 17-10	1702.23	1432.57	74.62%	20.26%	+8.41	6-1
1971-11-07	San Francisco 49ers	L 9-13	1710.64	1628.42	65.24%	29.60%	-19.67	6-2
1971-11-14	Green Bay Packers	W 3-0	1690.97	1469.87	79.01%	15.90%	+4.33	7-2
1971-11-21	@ New Orleans Saints	W 23-10	1695.30	1370.78	79.28%	15.63%	+8.89	8-2
1971-11-28	Atlanta Falcons	W 24-7	1704.19	1487.77	78.64%	16.26%	+10.56	9-2
1971-12-05	@ San Diego Chargers	L 14-30	1714.75	1434.19	75.62%	19.27%	-45.62	9-3
1971-12-11	Detroit Lions	W 29-10	1669.13	1648.69	57.31%	37.52%	+25.16	10-3
1971-12-19	@ Chicago Bears	W 27-10	1694.29	1429.32	74.18%	20.70%	+13.38	11-3
1971-09-19	Oakland Raiders	W 20-6	1344.65	1546.05	27.35%	67.50%	+38.07	1-0
1971-09-26	Detroit Lions	L 7-34	1382.72	1619.08	23.53%	71.33%	-19.11	1-1
1971-10-03	Baltimore Colts	L 3-23	1363.61	1611.60	22.35%	72.52%	-15.64	1-2
1971-10-10	New York Jets	W 20-0	1347.97	1471.53	37.09%	57.73%	+39.00	2-2
1971-10-17	@ Miami Dolphins	L 3-41	1386.97	1552.36	20.66%	74.21%	-19.97	2-3
1971-10-24	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 21-44	1367.00	1594.58	15.41%	79.51%	-11.64	2-4
1971-10-31	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 10-27	1355.36	1620.06	12.82%	82.11%	-8.36	2-5
1971-11-07	Houston Oilers	W 28-20	1347.00	1348.97	54.23%	40.59%	+17.61	3-5
1971-11-14	Buffalo Bills	W 38-33	1364.61	1260.94	67.75%	27.09%	+9.43	4-5
1971-11-21	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 7-27	1374.04	1414.77	34.82%	60.01%	-24.03	4-6
1971-11-28	@ Buffalo Bills	L 20-27	1350.01	1233.32	56.80%	38.02%	-22.71	4-7
1971-12-05	Miami Dolphins	W 34-13	1327.30	1662.38	14.85%	80.07%	+55.39	5-7
1971-12-12	@ New York Jets	L 6-13	1382.69	1404.08	37.39%	57.44%	-15.22	5-8
1971-12-19	@ Baltimore Colts	W 21-17	1367.47	1722.27	8.06%	86.95%	+26.30	6-8
1971-09-19	Los Angeles Rams	W 24-20	1343.87	1611.74	20.43%	74.45%	+22.45	1-0
1971-09-26	San Francisco 49ers	L 20-38	1366.32	1562.23	27.98%	66.86%	-18.46	1-1
1971-10-03	@ Houston Oilers	T 13-13	1347.86	1368.04	37.55%	57.27%	+0.72	1-1
1971-10-10	@ Chicago Bears	L 14-35	1348.58	1493.17	22.70%	72.17%	-16.27	1-2
1971-10-17	Dallas Cowboys	W 24-14	1332.31	1631.43	17.66%	77.24%	+36.85	2-2
1971-10-24	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 6-28	1369.16	1413.98	34.29%	60.54%	-24.83	2-3
1971-10-31	@ Washington Redskins	L 14-24	1344.33	1589.90	14.10%	80.82%	-7.04	2-4
1971-11-07	Oakland Raiders	T 21-21	1337.29	1622.05	18.89%	75.99%	+2.13	2-4
1971-11-14	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 26-20	1339.42	1648.09	10.25%	84.72%	+31.36	3-4
1971-11-21	Minnesota Vikings	L 10-23	1370.78	1695.30	15.63%	79.28%	-8.88	3-5
1971-11-28	@ Green Bay Packers	W 29-21	1361.90	1449.50	28.96%	65.88%	+28.09	4-5
1971-12-05	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 28-45	1389.99	1640.84	13.74%	81.19%	-8.95	4-6
1971-12-12	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 17-21	1381.04	1472.97	41.44%	53.38%	-12.69	4-7
1971-12-19	Atlanta Falcons	L 20-24	1368.35	1484.15	38.14%	56.68%	-11.73	4-8
1971-09-19	@ Green Bay Packers	W 42-40	1533.64	1453.29	51.75%	43.07%	+9.32	1-0
1971-09-26	Washington Redskins	L 3-30	1542.96	1508.73	59.15%	35.67%	-46.41	1-1
1971-10-03	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 21-20	1496.55	1517.00	37.52%	57.31%	+8.66	2-1
1971-10-11	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 13-20	1505.21	1620.81	25.76%	69.09%	-10.62	2-2
1971-10-17	Baltimore Colts	L 7-31	1494.59	1644.91	33.57%	61.26%	-25.41	2-3
1971-10-24	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-23	1469.18	1323.59	60.65%	34.18%	-36.61	2-4
1971-10-31	Minnesota Vikings	L 10-17	1432.57	1702.23	20.26%	74.62%	-8.41	2-5
1971-11-07	San Diego Chargers	W 35-17	1424.16	1492.96	44.71%	50.11%	+32.27	3-5
1971-11-14	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 21-17	1456.43	1489.56	35.82%	59.01%	+17.82	4-5
1971-11-21	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 13-17	1474.25	1433.13	46.14%	48.68%	-14.06	4-6
1971-11-28	St. Louis Cardinals	L 7-24	1460.19	1434.87	57.96%	36.86%	-36.10	4-7
1971-12-05	@ Washington Redskins	L 7-23	1424.09	1572.29	22.33%	72.53%	-13.98	4-8
1971-12-12	Dallas Cowboys	L 14-42	1410.11	1670.49	21.14%	73.74%	-17.52	4-9
1971-12-19	Philadelphia Eagles	L 28-41	1392.59	1438.76	47.96%	46.86%	-26.30	4-10
1971-09-19	@ Baltimore Colts	L 0-22	1484.33	1602.82	25.44%	69.41%	-18.61	0-1
1971-09-27	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 10-17	1465.72	1502.59	35.33%	59.50%	-14.41	0-2
1971-10-03	@ Miami Dolphins	W 14-10	1451.31	1549.07	27.77%	67.07%	+20.22	1-2
1971-10-10	@ New England Patriots	L 0-20	1471.53	1347.97	57.73%	37.09%	-39.00	1-3
1971-10-17	Buffalo Bills	W 28-17	1432.53	1303.97	70.50%	24.36%	+12.61	2-3
1971-10-24	Miami Dolphins	L 14-30	1445.14	1572.33	36.61%	58.22%	-22.55	2-4
1971-10-31	@ San Diego Chargers	L 21-49	1422.59	1464.67	34.64%	60.19%	-28.29	2-5
1971-11-07	Kansas City Chiefs	W 13-10	1394.30	1617.95	24.88%	69.98%	+18.27	3-5
1971-11-14	Baltimore Colts	L 13-14	1412.57	1677.73	20.68%	74.19%	-3.24	3-6
1971-11-21	@ Buffalo Bills	W 20-7	1409.33	1251.51	62.22%	32.61%	+18.19	4-6
1971-11-28	San Francisco 49ers	L 21-24	1427.52	1597.72	31.06%	63.77%	-8.34	4-7
1971-12-04	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 10-52	1419.18	1655.39	14.77%	80.15%	-15.10	4-8
1971-12-12	New England Patriots	W 13-6	1404.08	1382.69	57.44%	37.39%	+15.22	5-8
1971-12-19	Cincinnati Bengals	W 35-21	1419.30	1456.63	49.23%	45.59%	+26.02	6-8
1971-09-19	@ New England Patriots	L 6-20	1546.05	1344.65	67.50%	27.35%	-38.07	0-1
1971-09-26	@ San Diego Chargers	W 34-0	1507.98	1558.03	33.61%	61.22%	+53.86	1-1
1971-10-04	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 34-20	1561.84	1549.74	42.01%	52.81%	+29.93	2-1
1971-10-10	@ Denver Broncos	W 27-16	1591.77	1401.52	66.20%	28.64%	+14.76	3-1
1971-10-17	Philadelphia Eagles	W 34-10	1606.53	1333.10	82.67%	12.27%	+9.51	4-1
1971-10-24	Cincinnati Bengals	W 31-27	1616.04	1454.18	73.87%	21.00%	+6.58	5-1
1971-10-31	Kansas City Chiefs	T 20-20	1622.62	1617.38	55.23%	39.59%	-0.57	5-1
1971-11-07	@ New Orleans Saints	T 21-21	1622.05	1337.29	75.99%	18.89%	-2.12	5-1
1971-11-14	Houston Oilers	W 41-21	1619.93	1331.36	83.59%	11.37%	+8.04	6-1
1971-11-21	San Diego Chargers	W 34-33	1627.97	1472.43	73.26%	21.61%	+3.39	7-1
1971-11-28	Baltimore Colts	L 14-37	1631.36	1668.46	49.26%	45.56%	-35.89	7-2
1971-12-05	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 13-24	1595.47	1477.22	57.02%	37.81%	-28.57	7-3
1971-12-12	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 14-16	1566.90	1625.77	32.48%	62.35%	-7.11	7-4
1971-12-19	Denver Broncos	W 21-13	1559.79	1412.76	72.42%	22.45%	+9.94	8-4
1971-09-19	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 14-37	1405.27	1511.51	26.80%	68.05%	-20.01	0-1
1971-09-26	Dallas Cowboys	L 7-42	1385.26	1618.55	23.85%	71.01%	-22.05	0-2
1971-10-03	San Francisco 49ers	L 3-31	1363.21	1580.69	25.55%	69.31%	-21.07	0-3
1971-10-10	Minnesota Vikings	L 0-13	1342.14	1663.12	15.90%	79.01%	-9.04	0-4
1971-10-17	@ Oakland Raiders	L 10-34	1333.10	1606.53	12.27%	82.67%	-9.51	0-5
1971-10-24	New York Giants	W 23-7	1323.59	1469.18	34.18%	60.65%	+36.61	1-5
1971-10-31	Denver Broncos	W 17-16	1360.20	1458.88	40.50%	54.32%	+8.22	2-5
1971-11-07	@ Washington Redskins	T 7-7	1368.42	1596.94	15.33%	79.58%	+2.40	2-5
1971-11-14	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 7-20	1370.82	1601.27	15.19%	79.72%	-8.64	2-6
1971-11-21	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 37-20	1362.18	1477.81	25.75%	69.10%	+42.95	3-6
1971-11-28	Washington Redskins	L 13-20	1405.13	1558.73	33.15%	61.68%	-13.56	3-7
1971-12-05	@ Detroit Lions	W 23-20	1391.57	1670.41	11.94%	83.01%	+21.72	4-7
1971-12-12	St. Louis Cardinals	W 19-7	1413.29	1469.96	46.45%	48.37%	+25.47	5-7
1971-12-19	@ New York Giants	W 41-28	1438.76	1392.59	46.86%	47.96%	+26.30	6-7
1971-09-19	@ Chicago Bears	L 15-17	1393.71	1484.57	28.58%	66.27%	-6.28	0-1
1971-09-26	Cincinnati Bengals	W 21-10	1387.43	1531.52	34.37%	60.46%	+30.26	1-1
1971-10-03	San Diego Chargers	W 21-17	1417.69	1504.17	42.20%	52.62%	+15.94	2-1
1971-10-10	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 17-27	1433.63	1519.81	29.13%	65.71%	-14.31	2-2
1971-10-18	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 16-38	1419.32	1585.56	20.58%	74.29%	-15.13	2-3
1971-10-24	Houston Oilers	W 23-16	1404.19	1345.12	62.38%	32.46%	+13.29	3-3
1971-10-31	@ Baltimore Colts	L 21-34	1417.48	1654.84	14.69%	80.23%	-8.36	3-4
1971-11-07	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 26-9	1409.12	1451.38	48.52%	46.30%	+29.09	4-4
1971-11-14	@ Miami Dolphins	L 21-24	1438.21	1625.50	18.67%	76.21%	-5.08	4-5
1971-11-21	New York Giants	W 17-13	1433.13	1474.25	48.68%	46.14%	+14.06	5-5
1971-11-28	Denver Broncos	L 10-22	1447.19	1397.14	61.22%	33.61%	-32.00	5-6
1971-12-05	@ Houston Oilers	L 3-29	1415.19	1288.40	58.17%	36.66%	-44.79	5-7
1971-12-12	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 21-13	1370.40	1486.09	25.75%	69.11%	+29.46	6-7
1971-12-19	Los Angeles Rams	L 14-23	1399.86	1614.27	25.88%	68.97%	-12.10	6-8
1971-09-19	Kansas City Chiefs	W 21-14	1541.21	1549.81	53.30%	41.52%	+16.82	1-0
1971-09-26	Oakland Raiders	L 0-34	1558.03	1507.98	61.22%	33.61%	-53.86	1-1
1971-10-03	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-21	1504.17	1417.69	52.62%	42.20%	-15.94	1-2
1971-10-10	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-31	1488.23	1563.97	30.39%	64.45%	-21.59	1-3
1971-10-17	@ Denver Broncos	L 16-20	1466.64	1386.76	51.68%	43.14%	-15.67	1-4
1971-10-23	Buffalo Bills	W 20-3	1450.97	1291.36	73.66%	21.21%	+13.70	2-4
1971-10-31	New York Jets	W 49-21	1464.67	1422.59	60.19%	34.64%	+28.29	3-4
1971-11-07	@ New York Giants	L 17-35	1492.96	1424.16	50.11%	44.71%	-32.26	3-5
1971-11-15	St. Louis Cardinals	W 20-17	1460.70	1489.55	50.44%	44.38%	+11.73	4-5
1971-11-21	@ Oakland Raiders	L 33-34	1472.43	1627.97	21.61%	73.26%	-3.38	4-6
1971-11-28	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 0-31	1469.05	1465.31	40.84%	53.98%	-34.86	4-7
1971-12-05	Minnesota Vikings	W 30-14	1434.19	1714.75	19.27%	75.62%	+45.63	5-7
1971-12-12	Denver Broncos	W 45-17	1479.82	1441.44	59.70%	35.13%	+28.67	6-7
1971-12-19	@ Houston Oilers	L 33-49	1508.49	1349.29	62.40%	32.44%	-37.65	6-8
1971-09-19	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 17-20	1577.69	1443.69	59.13%	35.70%	-15.46	0-1
1971-09-26	@ New Orleans Saints	W 38-20	1562.23	1366.32	66.86%	27.98%	+18.46	1-1
1971-10-03	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 31-3	1580.69	1363.21	69.31%	25.55%	+21.07	2-1
1971-10-10	Los Angeles Rams	L 13-20	1601.76	1605.13	54.03%	40.79%	-21.63	2-2
1971-10-17	Chicago Bears	W 13-0	1580.13	1509.44	63.83%	31.01%	+17.32	3-2
1971-10-24	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 26-14	1597.45	1514.20	52.16%	42.66%	+22.61	4-2
1971-10-31	New England Patriots	W 27-10	1620.06	1355.36	82.11%	12.82%	+8.36	5-2
1971-11-07	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 13-9	1628.42	1710.64	29.60%	65.24%	+19.67	6-2
1971-11-14	New Orleans Saints	L 20-26	1648.09	1339.42	84.72%	10.25%	-31.37	6-3
1971-11-21	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 6-17	1616.72	1639.30	37.23%	57.60%	-19.00	6-4
1971-11-28	@ New York Jets	W 24-21	1597.72	1427.52	63.77%	31.06%	+8.34	7-4
1971-12-06	Kansas City Chiefs	L 17-26	1606.06	1600.71	55.24%	39.58%	-25.07	7-5
1971-12-12	Atlanta Falcons	W 24-3	1580.99	1505.79	64.39%	30.45%	+21.64	8-5
1971-12-19	Detroit Lions	W 31-27	1602.63	1623.53	51.57%	43.25%	+13.23	9-5
1971-09-19	Washington Redskins	L 17-24	1526.61	1484.71	60.17%	34.66%	-24.02	0-1
1971-09-27	New York Jets	W 17-10	1502.59	1465.72	59.50%	35.33%	+14.41	1-1
1971-10-03	New York Giants	L 20-21	1517.00	1496.55	57.31%	37.52%	-8.66	1-2
1971-10-10	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 26-9	1508.34	1455.55	47.81%	47.01%	+29.51	2-2
1971-10-17	@ Washington Redskins	L 0-20	1537.85	1582.93	34.25%	60.58%	-23.65	2-3
1971-10-24	San Francisco 49ers	L 14-26	1514.20	1597.45	42.66%	52.16%	-22.61	2-4
1971-10-31	@ Buffalo Bills	W 28-23	1491.59	1277.66	68.91%	25.94%	+9.04	3-4
1971-11-07	Dallas Cowboys	L 13-16	1500.63	1590.19	41.77%	53.05%	-11.08	3-5
1971-11-15	@ San Diego Chargers	L 17-20	1489.55	1460.70	44.38%	50.44%	-11.74	3-6
1971-11-21	Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-37	1477.81	1362.18	69.10%	25.75%	-42.94	3-7
1971-11-28	@ New York Giants	W 24-7	1434.87	1460.19	36.86%	57.96%	+36.10	4-7
1971-12-05	Green Bay Packers	T 16-16	1470.97	1421.41	61.16%	33.67%	-1.01	4-7
1971-12-12	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-19	1469.96	1413.29	48.37%	46.45%	-25.47	4-8
1971-12-18	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 12-31	1444.49	1688.01	14.25%	80.68%	-9.81	4-9
1971-09-19	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 24-17	1484.71	1526.61	34.66%	60.17%	+24.02	1-0
1971-09-26	@ New York Giants	W 30-3	1508.73	1542.96	35.67%	59.15%	+46.40	2-0
1971-10-03	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 20-16	1555.13	1640.60	29.22%	65.63%	+19.79	3-0
1971-10-10	Houston Oilers	W 22-13	1574.92	1367.32	77.94%	16.96%	+8.01	4-0
1971-10-17	St. Louis Cardinals	W 20-0	1582.93	1537.85	60.58%	34.25%	+23.65	5-0
1971-10-24	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-27	1606.58	1600.70	41.14%	53.68%	-16.68	5-1
1971-10-31	New Orleans Saints	W 24-14	1589.90	1344.33	80.82%	14.10%	+7.04	6-1
1971-11-07	Philadelphia Eagles	T 7-7	1596.94	1368.42	79.58%	15.33%	-2.39	6-1
1971-11-14	@ Chicago Bears	L 15-16	1594.55	1516.38	51.44%	43.38%	-7.80	6-2
1971-11-21	Dallas Cowboys	L 0-13	1586.75	1609.91	51.25%	43.57%	-28.02	6-3
1971-11-28	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 20-13	1558.73	1405.13	61.68%	33.15%	+13.56	7-3
1971-12-05	New York Giants	W 23-7	1572.29	1424.09	72.53%	22.33%	+13.98	8-3
1971-12-13	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 38-24	1586.27	1649.78	31.90%	62.94%	+35.51	9-3
1971-12-19	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 13-20	1621.78	1485.67	71.30%	23.56%	-28.44	9-4

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1971-12-26	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 20-3	1695.97	1514.10	68.12%	31.88%	+18.97	1-0
1972-01-02	@ Miami Dolphins	L 0-21	1714.94	1624.79	55.76%	44.24%	-36.87	1-1
1971-12-26	Baltimore Colts	L 3-20	1514.10	1695.97	31.88%	68.12%	-18.96	0-1
1971-12-25	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 20-12	1697.81	1707.67	41.47%	58.53%	+23.89	1-0
1972-01-02	San Francisco 49ers	W 14-3	1721.70	1627.32	69.66%	30.34%	+14.52	2-0
1972-01-16	@ Miami Dolphins	W 24-3	1736.22	1661.66	60.57%	39.43%	+26.08	3-0
1971-12-25	Miami Dolphins	L 24-27	1636.57	1609.57	60.90%	39.10%	-15.22	0-1
1971-12-25	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 27-24	1609.57	1636.57	39.10%	60.90%	+15.22	1-0
1972-01-02	Baltimore Colts	W 21-0	1624.79	1714.94	44.24%	55.76%	+36.87	2-0
1972-01-16	Dallas Cowboys	L 3-24	1661.66	1736.22	39.43%	60.57%	-26.08	2-1
1971-12-25	Dallas Cowboys	L 12-20	1707.67	1697.81	58.53%	41.47%	-23.89	0-1
1971-12-26	Washington Redskins	W 24-20	1615.86	1593.34	60.28%	39.72%	+11.46	1-0
1972-01-02	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 3-14	1627.32	1721.70	30.34%	69.66%	-14.52	1-1
1971-12-26	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 20-24	1593.34	1615.86	39.72%	60.28%	-11.46	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1971-12-19	8.06%	New England Patriots	1367.47	21	@ Baltimore Colts	1722.27	17
2	1971-11-14	10.25%	New Orleans Saints	1339.42	26	@ San Francisco 49ers	1648.09	20
3	1971-12-05	11.94%	Philadelphia Eagles	1391.57	23	@ Detroit Lions	1670.41	20
4	1971-12-05	14.85%	@ New England Patriots	1327.30	34	Miami Dolphins	1662.38	13
5	1971-10-17	17.66%	@ New Orleans Saints	1332.31	24	Dallas Cowboys	1631.43	14
6	1971-09-26	18.81%	Chicago Bears	1490.85	20	@ Minnesota Vikings	1676.61	17
7	1971-12-05	19.27%	@ San Diego Chargers	1434.19	30	Minnesota Vikings	1714.75	14
8	1971-10-24	20.10%	Chicago Bears	1492.11	28	@ Detroit Lions	1663.48	23
9	1971-09-19	20.43%	@ New Orleans Saints	1343.87	24	Los Angeles Rams	1611.74	20
10	1971-10-24	22.80%	Denver Broncos	1402.43	27	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1545.96	0
11	1971-12-19	23.56%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1485.67	20	@ Washington Redskins	1621.78	13
12	1971-11-07	24.88%	@ New York Jets	1394.30	13	Kansas City Chiefs	1617.95	10
13	1971-11-21	25.75%	Philadelphia Eagles	1362.18	37	@ St. Louis Cardinals	1477.81	20
14	1971-12-12	25.75%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1370.40	21	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1486.09	13
15	1971-09-19	27.35%	@ New England Patriots	1344.65	20	Oakland Raiders	1546.05	6
16	1971-10-03	27.77%	New York Jets	1451.31	14	@ Miami Dolphins	1549.07	10
17	1971-11-28	28.96%	New Orleans Saints	1361.90	29	@ Green Bay Packers	1449.50	21
18	1971-10-03	29.22%	Washington Redskins	1555.13	20	@ Dallas Cowboys	1640.60	16
19	1971-11-07	29.60%	San Francisco 49ers	1628.42	13	@ Minnesota Vikings	1710.64	9
20	1971-09-26	29.69%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1539.91	14	@ Baltimore Colts	1621.43	13
21	1971-11-07	29.81%	Green Bay Packers	1452.89	17	@ Chicago Bears	1533.37	14
22	1971-12-13	31.90%	Washington Redskins	1586.27	38	@ Los Angeles Rams	1649.78	24
23	1971-12-19	32.44%	@ Houston Oilers	1349.29	49	San Diego Chargers	1508.49	33
24	1971-10-31	32.75%	Miami Dolphins	1594.88	20	@ Los Angeles Rams	1651.65	14
25	1971-10-31	33.52%	Atlanta Falcons	1438.81	31	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1489.51	14

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1971-10-24	56.45	Denver Broncos	27	1402.43	22.80%	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	0	1545.96	72.06%
2	1971-12-05	55.39	@ New England Patriots	34	1327.30	14.85%	Miami Dolphins	13	1662.38	80.07%
3	1971-09-26	53.86	Oakland Raiders	34	1507.98	33.61%	@ San Diego Chargers	0	1558.03	61.22%
4	1971-09-26	46.41	Washington Redskins	30	1508.73	35.67%	@ New York Giants	3	1542.96	59.15%
5	1971-12-05	45.63	@ San Diego Chargers	30	1434.19	19.27%	Minnesota Vikings	14	1714.75	75.62%
6	1971-12-05	44.79	@ Houston Oilers	29	1288.40	36.66%	Pittsburgh Steelers	3	1415.19	58.17%
7	1971-11-21	42.95	Philadelphia Eagles	37	1362.18	25.75%	@ St. Louis Cardinals	20	1477.81	69.10%
8	1971-10-10	39.00	@ New England Patriots	20	1347.97	37.09%	New York Jets	0	1471.53	57.73%
9	1971-10-31	38.13	Atlanta Falcons	31	1438.81	33.52%	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	14	1489.51	61.31%
10	1971-09-19	38.07	@ New England Patriots	20	1344.65	27.35%	Oakland Raiders	6	1546.05	67.50%
11	1971-12-19	37.65	@ Houston Oilers	49	1349.29	32.44%	San Diego Chargers	33	1508.49	62.40%
12	1972-01-02 *	36.87	@ Miami Dolphins	21	1624.79	44.24%	Baltimore Colts	0	1714.94	55.76%
13	1971-10-17	36.85	@ New Orleans Saints	24	1332.31	17.66%	Dallas Cowboys	14	1631.43	77.24%
14	1971-10-24	36.61	@ Philadelphia Eagles	23	1323.59	34.18%	New York Giants	7	1469.18	60.65%
15	1971-11-28	36.10	St. Louis Cardinals	24	1434.87	36.86%	@ New York Giants	7	1460.19	57.96%
16	1971-11-28	35.89	Baltimore Colts	37	1668.46	45.56%	@ Oakland Raiders	14	1631.36	49.26%
17	1971-12-13	35.51	Washington Redskins	38	1586.27	31.90%	@ Los Angeles Rams	24	1649.78	62.94%
18	1971-11-28	34.86	@ Cincinnati Bengals	31	1465.31	53.98%	San Diego Chargers	0	1469.05	40.84%
19	1971-11-14	32.64	Cincinnati Bengals	24	1417.85	37.07%	@ Denver Broncos	10	1441.62	57.76%
20	1971-11-07	32.27	@ New York Giants	35	1424.16	44.71%	San Diego Chargers	17	1492.96	50.11%
21	1971-12-12	32.02	@ Green Bay Packers	31	1422.42	49.00%	Chicago Bears	10	1461.34	45.82%
22	1971-11-28	32.00	Denver Broncos	22	1397.14	33.61%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	10	1447.19	61.22%
23	1971-11-14	31.37	New Orleans Saints	26	1339.42	10.25%	@ San Francisco 49ers	20	1648.09	84.72%
24	1971-11-21	31.26	Detroit Lions	28	1620.83	54.04%	@ Chicago Bears	3	1524.18	40.78%
25	1971-09-26	30.26	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	21	1387.43	34.37%	Cincinnati Bengals	10	1531.52	60.46%