National Football League
Elo Rating History
Season-by-season Elo and record vs. expectation · 1933–present
Franchise
Elo by Season
Navy line = season average · shaded band = floor-to-peak range (regular season). Hover or tap any season for its full detail; end-of-season Elo lives in the table below.
Record vs. Expectation
Actual minus expected (SimW / SimPts) over the games actually played, so short or strike seasons compare fairly — wins for win-based leagues, points for NHL, MLS, USL, and WHA. Bars in navy beat expectation; gold fell short. Hover or tap for values.
Season Detail
Click any column to sort. Expected and the difference are shown to two decimals.