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1924-25 NHL Season

89 regular-season games · 2 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Montreal Canadiens

3rd Title

Last Title: 1923-24

Runner-Up

Toronto St. Patricks

4th Appearance

Last Appearance: 1921-22

Biggest Overachiever

Toronto St. Patricks

7.95 points above expected

36 points · 28.05 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Boston Bruins

13.73 points below expected

12 points · 25.73 expected points

Final Standings

Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual points minus the simulation's mean points — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.

# Team W L T Pts Pt% GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Hamilton Tigers 19 10 1 39 .650 90 60 +30 31.13 +7.87
2 Montreal Canadiens Playoffs 17 11 2 36 .600 93 56 +37 32.68 +3.32
3 Toronto St. Patricks Playoffs 18 11 0 36 .621 88 83 +5 28.05 +7.95
4 Ottawa Senators (1st) 17 12 1 35 .583 83 66 +17 32.17 +2.83
5 Montreal Maroons 9 18 2 20 .345 44 63 -19 28.24 -8.24
6 Boston Bruins 6 24 0 12 .200 49 119 -70 25.73 -13.73

Playoff Bracket

The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.

NHL Playoffs

NHL Final

Montreal Canadiens 2
Toronto St. Patricks 0

2 games · Mar 11–Mar 13

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Conference Division Elo Points Avg. Pts. Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Montreal Canadiens 1538 36 32.68 +3.32 76.11% 12 24 29 33 36 41 51
Ottawa Senators (1st) 1534 35 32.17 +2.83 73.10% 13 23 29 32 36 41 51
Hamilton Tigers 1518 39 31.13 +7.87 94.36% 11 22 28 31 35 40 51
Toronto St. Patricks 1505 36 28.05 +7.95 94.93% 10 20 25 28 32 37 47
Montreal Maroons 1475 20 28.24 -8.24 6.57% 10 20 25 28 32 37 47
Boston Bruins 1430 12 25.73 -13.73 0.48% 5 17 22 26 29 34 43

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's points earned in that matchup (row vs column) and below it the expected points the model predicted based on each individual game's win, OT/SO, and loss probabilities. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team Bruins Tigers Canadiens Maroons (1st) Patricks
Boston Bruins —
2
(5.0 exp.)
4
(4.9 exp.)
6
(5.4 exp.)
0
(4.9 exp.)
0
(5.6 exp.)
Hamilton Tigers
10
(7.0 exp.)
 —
6
(5.8 exp.)
8
(6.3 exp.)
7
(5.9 exp.)
8
(6.4 exp.)
Montreal Canadiens
8
(7.1 exp.)
6
(6.2 exp.)
 —
10
(6.6 exp.)
6
(6.1 exp.)
6
(6.6 exp.)
Montreal Maroons
6
(6.6 exp.)
4
(5.7 exp.)
2
(5.4 exp.)
 —
4
(5.6 exp.)
4
(4.8 exp.)
Ottawa Senators (1st)
12
(7.1 exp.)
5
(6.1 exp.)
6
(5.9 exp.)
8
(6.4 exp.)
 —
4
(6.5 exp.)
Toronto St. Patricks
12
(6.4 exp.)
4
(5.6 exp.)
6
(5.4 exp.)
6
(5.2 exp.)
8
(5.5 exp.)
 —

Scoring Distribution

Histograms of goals scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.

Summary Statistics

Mean scored—
Mean allowed—
StdDev scored—
StdDev allowed—
Correlation (home vs away score)—
Sample size (games)—

Points vs. Goal Differential

How goals translated into points. Teams above the cluster overperformed their goals differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Toronto St. Patricks 36 28.05 +7.95
2 Hamilton Tigers 39 31.13 +7.87
3 Montreal Canadiens 36 32.68 +3.32
4 Ottawa Senators (1st) 35 32.17 +2.83
5 Montreal Maroons 20 28.24 -8.24

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Boston Bruins 12 25.73 -13.73
2 Montreal Maroons 20 28.24 -8.24
3 Ottawa Senators (1st) 35 32.17 +2.83
4 Montreal Canadiens 36 32.68 +3.32
5 Hamilton Tigers 39 31.13 +7.87

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/T/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or T consecutively; Winless counts L or T consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Toronto St. Patricks 9 Jan 31 – Feb 28 1 in 910
2 Hamilton Tigers 7 Jan 12 – Feb 4 1 in 120
3 Montreal Canadiens 6 Dec 8 – Dec 25 1 in 42
4 Ottawa Senators (1st) 5 Dec 27 – Jan 10 1 in 29
5 Boston Bruins 2 Mar 3 – Mar 7 1 in 9

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Boston Bruins 11 Dec 3 – Jan 5 1 in 1,620
2 Montreal Maroons 10 Jan 24 – Feb 24 1 in 1,510
3 Montreal Canadiens 3 Feb 25 – Mar 3 1 in 13
4 Hamilton Tigers 3 Jan 3 – Jan 10 1 in 9
5 Toronto St. Patricks 3 Dec 25 – Jan 3 1 in 8

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Toronto St. Patricks 9 Jan 31 – Feb 28 1 in 438
2 Hamilton Tigers 7 Jan 12 – Feb 4 1 in 71
3 Montreal Canadiens 7 Dec 8 – Dec 27 1 in 56
4 Ottawa Senators (1st) 5 Dec 27 – Jan 10 1 in 20
5 Montreal Maroons 4 Dec 23 – Jan 7 1 in 16

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Boston Bruins 11 Dec 3 – Jan 5 1 in 714
2 Montreal Maroons 10 Jan 24 – Feb 24 1 in 684
3 Montreal Canadiens 5 Jan 7 – Jan 21 1 in 56
4 Ottawa Senators (1st) 3 Dec 17 – Dec 23 1 in 9
5 Hamilton Tigers 3 Jan 3 – Jan 10 1 in 7

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).

Team123456
Montreal Canadiens30.76%22.35%18.11%12.74%9.73%6.31%
Ottawa Senators (1st)26.73%22.87%17.87%14.89%11.05%6.59%
Hamilton Tigers20.68%20.59%19.63%16.87%13.19%9.04%
Montreal Maroons9.32%13.50%16.68%19.33%21.51%19.66%
Toronto St. Patricks8.40%13.00%16.26%19.89%21.38%21.07%
Boston Bruins4.11%7.69%11.45%16.28%23.14%37.33%

Win Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.

Team1 Seed2 Seed3 SeedMissed Playoffs
Montreal Canadiens30.76%22.35%18.11%28.78%
Ottawa Senators (1st)26.73%22.87%17.87%32.53%
Hamilton Tigers20.68%20.59%19.63%39.10%
Montreal Maroons9.32%13.50%16.68%60.50%
Toronto St. Patricks8.40%13.00%16.26%62.34%
Boston Bruins4.11%7.69%11.45%76.75%

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual points, simulated final points, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.

Team Made Playoffs Advanced to Stanley Cup Won Stanley Cup
Ottawa Senators (1st) 49.60% 49.08% 22.35%
Montreal Canadiens 53.11% 52.92% 22.16%
Hamilton Tigers 41.38% 41.38% 20.70%
Toronto St. Patricks 22.53% 22.53% 14.13%
Montreal Maroons 22.89% 22.89% 13.57%
Boston Bruins 11.80% 11.20% 7.09%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Boston BruinsHamilton TigersMontreal CanadiensMontreal MaroonsOttawa Senators (1st)Toronto St. Patricks
Boston Bruins0.80%1.06%0.52%1.17%0.56%
Hamilton Tigers1.85%6.61%2.86%6.69%2.67%
Montreal Canadiens2.62%8.23%4.97%10.19%4.75%
Montreal Maroons0.60%2.26%2.62%2.55%1.29%
Ottawa Senators (1st)2.16%7.27%9.69%3.88%3.73%
Toronto St. Patricks0.46%2.03%2.37%1.27%2.27%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Boston BruinsHamilton TigersMontreal CanadiensMontreal MaroonsOttawa Senators (1st)Toronto St. Patricks
Boston Bruins1.68%2.21%0.62%2.08%0.50%
Hamilton Tigers0.84%8.26%2.14%7.60%1.86%
Montreal Canadiens1.11%6.59%2.67%9.16%2.63%
Montreal Maroons0.44%2.92%5.20%3.81%1.20%
Ottawa Senators (1st)1.19%6.28%10.12%2.55%2.21%
Toronto St. Patricks0.53%3.21%4.97%1.34%4.08%

Actual Bracket Simulation

With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.

Team Advanced to Stanley Cup Won Stanley Cup
Montreal Canadiens 54.12% 54.12%
Toronto St. Patricks 45.88% 45.88%
Hamilton Tigers 100.00% —
Loser →
↓ Winner
Toronto St. Patricks
Hamilton Tigers100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Hamilton Tigers
Montreal Canadiens54.12%
Toronto St. Patricks45.88%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.

Montreal Canadiens 54.12% chance to win
Stanley Cup
vs. Hamilton Tigers
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
100.00%
Toronto St. Patricks 45.88% chance to win
Stanley Cup
vs. Hamilton Tigers
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
100.00%
Hamilton Tigers — chance to win
Conference Finals
vs. Toronto St. Patricks
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
100.00%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1924-12-01 Montreal Maroons W 2-1 1500.00 1500.00 55.87% 3.90% 40.23% +1.32 2
1924-12-03 @ Toronto St. Patricks L 3-5 1501.32 1485.15 42.49% 3.90% 53.61% -2.04 2
1924-12-08 Montreal Canadiens L 3-4 1499.28 1511.79 54.12% 3.90% 41.98% -1.62 2
1924-12-10 @ Hamilton Tigers L 1-7 1497.66 1500.70 39.81% 3.90% 56.29% -5.98 2
1924-12-15 Ottawa Senators (1st) L 2-10 1491.68 1506.72 53.76% 3.90% 42.33% -8.55 2
1924-12-17 @ Montreal Maroons L 2-6 1483.13 1494.65 38.65% 3.90% 57.45% -3.40 2
1924-12-22 Toronto St. Patricks L 1-10 1479.73 1477.57 56.17% 3.90% 39.93% -12.21 2
1924-12-25 @ Montreal Canadiens L 0-5 1467.52 1527.29 32.30% 3.89% 63.81% -4.98 2
1924-12-29 Hamilton Tigers L 1-2 1462.54 1512.32 48.81% 3.90% 47.28% -1.59 2
1924-12-31 @ Ottawa Senators (1st) L 2-5 1460.95 1513.55 33.21% 3.89% 62.90% -2.32 2
1925-01-03 @ Montreal Maroons L 3-4 1458.63 1497.64 34.97% 3.89% 61.14% -1.07 2
1925-01-05 Toronto St. Patricks L 2-3 1457.56 1478.86 52.88% 3.90% 43.22% -1.63 2
1925-01-10 @ Montreal Canadiens W 3-2 1455.93 1529.17 30.63% 3.89% 65.49% +2.01 4
1925-01-12 Hamilton Tigers L 2-4 1457.94 1505.91 49.07% 3.90% 47.02% -2.47 4
1925-01-17 @ Ottawa Senators (1st) L 2-3 1455.47 1525.52 31.02% 3.89% 65.10% -0.97 4
1925-01-20 Montreal Maroons L 0-2 1454.50 1500.23 49.40% 3.90% 46.70% -3.22 4
1925-01-24 @ Toronto St. Patricks L 3-4 1451.28 1486.25 35.50% 3.89% 60.61% -1.08 4
1925-01-27 Montreal Canadiens L 0-4 1450.20 1523.71 45.41% 3.90% 50.69% -5.62 4
1925-01-31 @ Hamilton Tigers L 3-8 1444.58 1518.28 30.57% 3.89% 65.55% -2.96 4
1925-02-03 Ottawa Senators (1st) L 1-3 1441.62 1523.21 44.26% 3.90% 51.84% -2.50 4
1925-02-07 @ Montreal Maroons W 1-0 1439.12 1492.99 33.05% 3.89% 63.06% +2.16 6
1925-02-10 Toronto St. Patricks L 1-5 1441.28 1487.42 49.34% 3.90% 46.76% -5.07 6
1925-02-14 @ Montreal Canadiens L 1-5 1436.21 1533.17 27.80% 3.88% 68.32% -2.91 6
1925-02-17 Hamilton Tigers L 1-2 1433.30 1523.98 42.97% 3.90% 53.13% -1.41 6
1925-02-21 @ Ottawa Senators (1st) L 0-3 1431.89 1520.77 28.75% 3.88% 67.37% -2.76 6
1925-02-24 Montreal Maroons W 2-1 1429.13 1485.14 47.92% 3.90% 48.18% +1.57 8
1925-02-28 @ Toronto St. Patricks L 1-5 1430.70 1502.48 30.80% 3.89% 65.31% -3.22 8
1925-03-03 Montreal Canadiens W 3-2 1427.48 1534.63 40.66% 3.90% 55.44% +1.71 10
1925-03-07 @ Hamilton Tigers W 2-0 1429.19 1525.83 27.84% 3.88% 68.28% +4.41 12
1925-03-09 Ottawa Senators (1st) L 1-4 1433.60 1531.10 42.01% 3.90% 54.09% -3.37 12
1924-11-29 Ottawa Senators (1st) W 5-3 1488.01 1513.73 52.25% 3.90% 43.84% +2.09 2
1924-12-03 @ Montreal Maroons W 2-0 1490.10 1498.68 39.05% 3.90% 57.05% +3.70 4
1924-12-05 @ Toronto St. Patricks W 10-3 1493.80 1487.19 41.15% 3.90% 54.95% +6.90 6
1924-12-10 Boston Bruins W 7-1 1500.70 1497.66 56.29% 3.90% 39.81% +5.98 8
1924-12-13 @ Montreal Canadiens L 2-6 1506.68 1519.25 38.50% 3.90% 57.60% -3.39 8
1924-12-17 @ Ottawa Senators (1st) T 0-0 1503.29 1515.27 38.59% 3.90% 57.52% +0.18 9
1924-12-20 Montreal Maroons W 3-1 1503.47 1498.05 56.62% 3.90% 39.48% +2.24 11
1924-12-25 Toronto St. Patricks W 8-1 1505.71 1489.78 58.06% 3.90% 38.05% +6.61 13
1924-12-29 @ Boston Bruins W 2-1 1512.32 1462.54 47.28% 3.90% 48.81% +1.59 15
1925-01-01 Montreal Canadiens W 4-2 1513.91 1532.33 53.29% 3.90% 42.81% +2.17 17
1925-01-03 @ Ottawa Senators (1st) L 0-2 1516.08 1515.87 40.26% 3.90% 55.84% -2.64 17
1925-01-07 Montreal Maroons L 2-6 1513.44 1498.71 57.89% 3.90% 38.21% -5.03 17
1925-01-10 @ Toronto St. Patricks L 1-3 1508.41 1480.48 44.16% 3.90% 51.94% -2.50 17
1925-01-12 @ Boston Bruins W 4-2 1505.91 1457.94 47.02% 3.90% 49.07% +2.48 19
1925-01-17 Montreal Canadiens W 4-2 1508.39 1527.23 53.23% 3.90% 42.87% +2.17 21
1925-01-21 Ottawa Senators (1st) W 5-4 1510.56 1526.49 53.64% 3.90% 42.46% +1.27 23
1925-01-24 @ Montreal Maroons W 1-0 1511.83 1503.45 41.40% 3.90% 54.70% +1.88 25
1925-01-28 Toronto St. Patricks W 4-0 1513.71 1487.33 59.47% 3.90% 36.64% +4.57 27
1925-01-31 Boston Bruins W 8-3 1518.28 1444.58 65.55% 3.89% 30.57% +2.95 29
1925-02-04 @ Montreal Canadiens W 3-0 1521.23 1534.90 38.35% 3.90% 57.75% +5.44 31
1925-02-07 @ Ottawa Senators (1st) L 2-3 1526.67 1525.72 40.37% 3.90% 55.73% -1.26 31
1925-02-11 Montreal Maroons W 3-2 1525.41 1490.83 60.56% 3.89% 35.55% +1.11 33
1925-02-14 @ Toronto St. Patricks L 1-3 1526.52 1492.50 45.02% 3.90% 51.07% -2.54 33
1925-02-17 @ Boston Bruins W 2-1 1523.98 1433.30 53.13% 3.90% 42.97% +1.40 35
1925-02-21 Montreal Canadiens L 1-2 1525.38 1537.78 54.14% 3.90% 41.96% -1.76 35
1925-02-25 Ottawa Senators (1st) W 2-0 1523.62 1523.53 55.88% 3.90% 40.22% +2.64 37
1925-02-28 @ Montreal Maroons L 0-1 1526.26 1483.57 46.26% 3.90% 49.83% -1.60 37
1925-03-04 Toronto St. Patricks W 3-2 1524.66 1505.70 58.47% 3.90% 37.64% +1.17 39
1925-03-07 Boston Bruins L 0-2 1525.83 1429.19 68.28% 3.88% 27.84% -4.41 39
1925-03-09 @ Montreal Canadiens L 1-4 1521.42 1534.82 38.39% 3.90% 57.71% -3.09 39
1924-11-29 Toronto St. Patricks W 7-1 1507.40 1490.87 58.14% 3.90% 37.97% +5.71 2
1924-12-03 @ Ottawa Senators (1st) L 1-2 1513.11 1511.63 40.44% 3.90% 55.66% -1.32 2
1924-12-08 @ Boston Bruins W 4-3 1511.79 1499.28 41.98% 3.90% 54.12% +1.62 4
1924-12-10 Montreal Maroons W 5-0 1513.41 1497.41 58.07% 3.90% 38.04% +5.84 6
1924-12-13 Hamilton Tigers W 6-2 1519.25 1506.68 57.60% 3.90% 38.50% +3.39 8
1924-12-17 @ Toronto St. Patricks W 5-2 1522.64 1481.02 46.11% 3.90% 49.99% +3.45 10
1924-12-20 Ottawa Senators (1st) W 3-2 1526.09 1515.09 57.38% 3.90% 38.72% +1.20 12
1924-12-25 Boston Bruins W 5-0 1527.29 1467.52 63.81% 3.89% 32.30% +4.99 14
1924-12-27 @ Montreal Maroons T 1-1 1532.28 1497.69 45.10% 3.90% 50.99% +0.05 15
1925-01-01 @ Hamilton Tigers L 2-4 1532.33 1513.91 42.81% 3.90% 53.29% -2.17 15
1925-01-03 @ Toronto St. Patricks W 3-1 1530.16 1481.62 47.10% 3.90% 48.99% +2.76 17
1925-01-07 Ottawa Senators (1st) L 0-2 1532.92 1518.51 57.85% 3.90% 38.25% -3.75 17
1925-01-10 Boston Bruins L 2-3 1529.17 1455.93 65.49% 3.89% 30.63% -2.01 17
1925-01-14 @ Montreal Maroons T 1-1 1527.16 1499.04 44.18% 3.90% 51.91% +0.07 18
1925-01-17 @ Hamilton Tigers L 2-4 1527.23 1508.39 42.87% 3.90% 53.23% -2.17 18
1925-01-21 Toronto St. Patricks L 2-4 1525.06 1483.16 61.52% 3.89% 34.59% -3.08 18
1925-01-24 @ Ottawa Senators (1st) W 3-2 1521.98 1525.22 39.78% 3.90% 56.32% +1.73 20
1925-01-27 @ Boston Bruins W 4-0 1523.71 1450.20 50.69% 3.90% 45.41% +5.62 22
1925-01-31 Montreal Maroons W 5-0 1529.33 1499.85 59.88% 3.90% 36.22% +5.57 24
1925-02-04 Hamilton Tigers L 0-3 1534.90 1521.23 57.75% 3.90% 38.35% -5.43 24
1925-02-07 @ Toronto St. Patricks L 4-5 1529.47 1486.04 46.37% 3.90% 49.73% -1.38 24
1925-02-11 Ottawa Senators (1st) W 10-3 1528.09 1526.97 56.02% 3.90% 40.08% +5.08 26
1925-02-14 Boston Bruins W 5-1 1533.17 1436.21 68.32% 3.88% 27.80% +2.92 28
1925-02-18 @ Montreal Maroons W 1-0 1536.09 1488.60 46.95% 3.90% 49.14% +1.69 30
1925-02-21 @ Hamilton Tigers W 2-1 1537.78 1525.38 41.96% 3.90% 54.14% +1.76 32
1925-02-25 Toronto St. Patricks L 1-3 1539.54 1499.04 61.33% 3.89% 34.77% -3.44 32
1925-02-28 @ Ottawa Senators (1st) L 0-1 1536.10 1520.89 42.36% 3.90% 53.74% -1.47 32
1925-03-03 @ Boston Bruins L 2-3 1534.63 1427.48 55.44% 3.90% 40.66% -1.71 32
1925-03-07 Montreal Maroons W 3-1 1532.92 1479.97 62.95% 3.89% 33.16% +1.90 34
1925-03-09 Hamilton Tigers W 4-1 1534.82 1521.42 57.71% 3.90% 38.39% +3.08 36
1924-12-01 @ Boston Bruins L 1-2 1500.00 1500.00 40.23% 3.90% 55.87% -1.32 0
1924-12-03 Hamilton Tigers L 0-2 1498.68 1490.10 57.05% 3.90% 39.05% -3.70 0
1924-12-06 Ottawa Senators (1st) W 3-1 1494.98 1512.96 53.35% 3.90% 42.75% +2.43 2
1924-12-10 @ Montreal Canadiens L 0-5 1497.41 1513.41 38.04% 3.90% 58.07% -5.84 2
1924-12-13 @ Toronto St. Patricks W 3-1 1491.57 1484.10 41.27% 3.90% 54.83% +3.08 4
1924-12-17 Boston Bruins W 6-2 1494.65 1483.13 57.45% 3.90% 38.65% +3.40 6
1924-12-20 @ Hamilton Tigers L 1-3 1498.05 1503.47 39.48% 3.90% 56.62% -2.24 6
1924-12-23 @ Ottawa Senators (1st) W 2-1 1495.81 1513.88 37.76% 3.90% 58.35% +1.88 8
1924-12-27 Montreal Canadiens T 1-1 1497.69 1532.28 50.99% 3.90% 45.10% -0.05 9
1925-01-03 Boston Bruins W 4-3 1497.64 1458.63 61.14% 3.89% 34.97% +1.07 11
1925-01-07 @ Hamilton Tigers W 6-2 1498.71 1513.44 38.21% 3.90% 57.89% +5.03 13
1925-01-10 @ Ottawa Senators (1st) L 0-4 1503.74 1522.26 37.70% 3.90% 58.41% -4.70 13
1925-01-14 Montreal Canadiens T 1-1 1499.04 1527.16 51.91% 3.90% 44.18% -0.06 14
1925-01-17 Toronto St. Patricks W 2-1 1498.98 1484.42 57.87% 3.90% 38.23% +1.25 16
1925-01-20 @ Boston Bruins W 2-0 1500.23 1454.50 46.70% 3.90% 49.40% +3.22 18
1925-01-24 Hamilton Tigers L 0-1 1503.45 1511.83 54.70% 3.90% 41.40% -1.89 18
1925-01-28 Ottawa Senators (1st) L 1-2 1501.56 1523.49 52.79% 3.90% 43.31% -1.71 18
1925-01-31 @ Montreal Canadiens L 0-5 1499.85 1529.33 36.22% 3.90% 59.88% -5.57 18
1925-02-04 @ Toronto St. Patricks L 2-3 1494.28 1484.75 41.56% 3.90% 54.54% -1.29 18
1925-02-07 Boston Bruins L 0-1 1492.99 1439.12 63.06% 3.89% 33.05% -2.16 18
1925-02-11 @ Hamilton Tigers L 2-3 1490.83 1525.41 35.55% 3.89% 60.56% -1.11 18
1925-02-14 @ Ottawa Senators (1st) L 2-3 1489.72 1521.88 35.87% 3.89% 60.24% -1.12 18
1925-02-18 Montreal Canadiens L 0-1 1488.60 1536.09 49.14% 3.90% 46.95% -1.70 18
1925-02-21 Toronto St. Patricks L 1-2 1486.90 1497.28 54.42% 3.90% 41.68% -1.76 18
1925-02-24 @ Boston Bruins L 1-2 1485.14 1429.13 48.18% 3.90% 47.92% -1.57 18
1925-02-28 Hamilton Tigers W 1-0 1483.57 1526.26 49.83% 3.90% 46.26% +1.60 20
1925-03-04 Ottawa Senators (1st) L 1-5 1485.17 1522.36 50.62% 3.90% 45.48% -5.20 20
1925-03-07 @ Montreal Canadiens L 1-3 1479.97 1532.92 33.16% 3.89% 62.95% -1.90 20
1925-03-09 @ Toronto St. Patricks L 0-3 1478.07 1500.99 37.10% 3.90% 59.00% -3.54 20
1924-11-29 @ Hamilton Tigers L 3-5 1513.73 1488.01 43.84% 3.90% 52.25% -2.10 0
1924-12-03 Montreal Canadiens W 2-1 1511.63 1513.11 55.66% 3.90% 40.44% +1.33 2
1924-12-06 @ Montreal Maroons L 1-3 1512.96 1494.98 42.75% 3.90% 53.35% -2.42 2
1924-12-10 Toronto St. Patricks L 3-6 1510.54 1480.29 59.98% 3.90% 36.12% -3.82 2
1924-12-15 @ Boston Bruins W 10-2 1506.72 1491.68 42.33% 3.90% 53.76% +8.55 4
1924-12-17 Hamilton Tigers T 0-0 1515.27 1503.29 57.52% 3.90% 38.59% -0.18 5
1924-12-20 @ Montreal Canadiens L 2-3 1515.09 1526.09 38.72% 3.90% 57.38% -1.21 5
1924-12-23 Montreal Maroons L 1-2 1513.88 1495.81 58.35% 3.90% 37.76% -1.89 5
1924-12-27 @ Toronto St. Patricks W 4-3 1511.99 1483.17 44.28% 3.90% 51.81% +1.56 7
1924-12-31 Boston Bruins W 5-2 1513.55 1460.95 62.90% 3.89% 33.21% +2.32 9
1925-01-03 Hamilton Tigers W 2-0 1515.87 1516.08 55.84% 3.90% 40.26% +2.64 11
1925-01-07 @ Montreal Canadiens W 2-0 1518.51 1532.92 38.25% 3.90% 57.85% +3.75 13
1925-01-10 Montreal Maroons W 4-0 1522.26 1503.74 58.41% 3.90% 37.70% +4.70 15
1925-01-14 @ Toronto St. Patricks L 2-3 1526.96 1482.98 46.45% 3.90% 49.65% -1.44 15
1925-01-17 Boston Bruins W 3-2 1525.52 1455.47 65.10% 3.89% 31.02% +0.97 17
1925-01-21 @ Hamilton Tigers L 4-5 1526.49 1510.56 42.46% 3.90% 53.64% -1.27 17
1925-01-24 Montreal Canadiens L 2-3 1525.22 1521.98 56.32% 3.90% 39.78% -1.73 17
1925-01-28 @ Montreal Maroons W 2-1 1523.49 1501.56 43.31% 3.90% 52.79% +1.71 19
1925-01-31 Toronto St. Patricks L 1-2 1525.20 1482.76 61.59% 3.89% 34.52% -1.99 19
1925-02-03 @ Boston Bruins W 3-1 1523.21 1441.62 51.84% 3.90% 44.26% +2.51 21
1925-02-07 Hamilton Tigers W 3-2 1525.72 1526.67 55.73% 3.90% 40.37% +1.25 23
1925-02-11 @ Montreal Canadiens L 3-10 1526.97 1528.09 40.08% 3.90% 56.02% -5.09 23
1925-02-14 Montreal Maroons W 3-2 1521.88 1489.72 60.24% 3.89% 35.87% +1.12 25
1925-02-18 @ Toronto St. Patricks L 2-4 1523.00 1495.04 44.16% 3.90% 51.94% -2.23 25
1925-02-21 Boston Bruins W 3-0 1520.77 1431.89 67.37% 3.88% 28.75% +2.76 27
1925-02-25 @ Hamilton Tigers L 0-2 1523.53 1523.62 40.22% 3.90% 55.88% -2.64 27
1925-02-28 Montreal Canadiens W 1-0 1520.89 1536.10 53.74% 3.90% 42.36% +1.47 29
1925-03-04 @ Montreal Maroons W 5-1 1522.36 1485.17 45.48% 3.90% 50.62% +5.21 31
1925-03-07 Toronto St. Patricks W 3-0 1527.57 1504.53 59.02% 3.90% 37.09% +3.53 33
1925-03-09 @ Boston Bruins W 4-1 1531.10 1433.60 54.09% 3.90% 42.01% +3.37 35
1924-11-29 @ Montreal Canadiens L 1-7 1490.87 1507.40 37.97% 3.90% 58.14% -5.72 0
1924-12-03 Boston Bruins W 5-3 1485.15 1501.32 53.61% 3.90% 42.49% +2.04 2
1924-12-05 Hamilton Tigers L 3-10 1487.19 1493.80 54.95% 3.90% 41.15% -6.90 2
1924-12-10 @ Ottawa Senators (1st) W 6-3 1480.29 1510.54 36.12% 3.90% 59.98% +3.81 4
1924-12-13 Montreal Maroons L 1-3 1484.10 1491.57 54.83% 3.90% 41.27% -3.08 4
1924-12-17 Montreal Canadiens L 2-5 1481.02 1522.64 49.99% 3.90% 46.11% -3.45 4
1924-12-22 @ Boston Bruins W 10-1 1477.57 1479.73 39.93% 3.90% 56.17% +12.21 6
1924-12-25 @ Hamilton Tigers L 1-8 1489.78 1505.71 38.05% 3.90% 58.06% -6.61 6
1924-12-27 Ottawa Senators (1st) L 3-4 1483.17 1511.99 51.81% 3.90% 44.28% -1.55 6
1925-01-03 Montreal Canadiens L 1-3 1481.62 1530.16 48.99% 3.90% 47.10% -2.76 6
1925-01-05 @ Boston Bruins W 3-2 1478.86 1457.56 43.22% 3.90% 52.88% +1.62 8
1925-01-10 Hamilton Tigers W 3-1 1480.48 1508.41 51.94% 3.90% 44.16% +2.50 10
1925-01-14 Ottawa Senators (1st) W 3-2 1482.98 1526.96 49.65% 3.90% 46.45% +1.44 12
1925-01-17 @ Montreal Maroons L 1-2 1484.42 1498.98 38.23% 3.90% 57.87% -1.26 12
1925-01-21 @ Montreal Canadiens W 4-2 1483.16 1525.06 34.59% 3.89% 61.52% +3.09 14
1925-01-24 Boston Bruins W 4-3 1486.25 1451.28 60.61% 3.89% 35.50% +1.08 16
1925-01-28 @ Hamilton Tigers L 0-4 1487.33 1513.71 36.64% 3.90% 59.47% -4.57 16
1925-01-31 @ Ottawa Senators (1st) W 2-1 1482.76 1525.20 34.52% 3.89% 61.59% +1.99 18
1925-02-04 Montreal Maroons W 3-2 1484.75 1494.28 54.54% 3.90% 41.56% +1.29 20
1925-02-07 Montreal Canadiens W 5-4 1486.04 1529.47 49.73% 3.90% 46.37% +1.38 22
1925-02-10 @ Boston Bruins W 5-1 1487.42 1441.28 46.76% 3.90% 49.34% +5.08 24
1925-02-14 Hamilton Tigers W 3-1 1492.50 1526.52 51.07% 3.90% 45.02% +2.54 26
1925-02-18 Ottawa Senators (1st) W 4-2 1495.04 1523.00 51.94% 3.90% 44.16% +2.24 28
1925-02-21 @ Montreal Maroons W 2-1 1497.28 1486.90 41.68% 3.90% 54.42% +1.76 30
1925-02-25 @ Montreal Canadiens W 3-1 1499.04 1539.54 34.77% 3.89% 61.33% +3.44 32
1925-02-28 Boston Bruins W 5-1 1502.48 1430.70 65.31% 3.89% 30.80% +3.22 34
1925-03-04 @ Hamilton Tigers L 2-3 1505.70 1524.66 37.64% 3.90% 58.47% -1.17 34
1925-03-07 @ Ottawa Senators (1st) L 0-3 1504.53 1527.57 37.09% 3.90% 59.02% -3.54 34
1925-03-09 Montreal Maroons W 3-0 1500.99 1478.07 59.00% 3.90% 37.10% +3.54 36

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Record
1925-03-11 Toronto St. Patricks W 3-2 1537.90 1504.53 62.47% 0.00% 37.53% +1.12 1-0
1925-03-13 @ Toronto St. Patricks W 2-0 1539.02 1503.41 47.20% 0.00% 52.80% +3.30 2-0
1925-03-11 @ Montreal Canadiens L 2-3 1504.53 1537.90 37.53% 0.00% 62.47% -1.12 0-1
1925-03-13 Montreal Canadiens L 0-2 1503.41 1539.02 52.80% 0.00% 47.20% -3.30 0-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1925-03-07 27.84% Boston Bruins 1429.19 2 @ Hamilton Tigers 1525.83 0
2 1925-01-10 30.63% Boston Bruins 1455.93 3 @ Montreal Canadiens 1529.17 2
3 1925-02-07 33.05% Boston Bruins 1439.12 1 @ Montreal Maroons 1492.99 0
4 1925-01-31 34.52% Toronto St. Patricks 1482.76 2 @ Ottawa Senators (1st) 1525.20 1
5 1925-01-21 34.59% Toronto St. Patricks 1483.16 4 @ Montreal Canadiens 1525.06 2
6 1925-02-25 34.77% Toronto St. Patricks 1499.04 3 @ Montreal Canadiens 1539.54 1
7 1924-12-10 36.12% Toronto St. Patricks 1480.29 6 @ Ottawa Senators (1st) 1510.54 3
8 1924-12-23 37.76% Montreal Maroons 1495.81 2 @ Ottawa Senators (1st) 1513.88 1
9 1925-01-07 38.21% Montreal Maroons 1498.71 6 @ Hamilton Tigers 1513.44 2
10 1925-01-07 38.25% Ottawa Senators (1st) 1518.51 2 @ Montreal Canadiens 1532.92 0
11 1925-02-04 38.35% Hamilton Tigers 1521.23 3 @ Montreal Canadiens 1534.90 0
12 1924-12-03 39.05% Hamilton Tigers 1490.10 2 @ Montreal Maroons 1498.68 0
13 1925-01-24 39.78% Montreal Canadiens 1521.98 3 @ Ottawa Senators (1st) 1525.22 2
14 1924-12-22 39.93% Toronto St. Patricks 1477.57 10 @ Boston Bruins 1479.73 1
15 1925-03-03 40.66% @ Boston Bruins 1427.48 3 Montreal Canadiens 1534.63 2
16 1924-12-05 41.15% Hamilton Tigers 1493.80 10 @ Toronto St. Patricks 1487.19 3
17 1924-12-13 41.27% Montreal Maroons 1491.57 3 @ Toronto St. Patricks 1484.10 1
18 1925-01-24 41.40% Hamilton Tigers 1511.83 1 @ Montreal Maroons 1503.45 0
19 1925-02-21 41.68% Toronto St. Patricks 1497.28 2 @ Montreal Maroons 1486.90 1
20 1925-02-21 41.96% Montreal Canadiens 1537.78 2 @ Hamilton Tigers 1525.38 1
21 1924-12-08 41.98% Montreal Canadiens 1511.79 4 @ Boston Bruins 1499.28 3
22 1924-12-15 42.33% Ottawa Senators (1st) 1506.72 10 @ Boston Bruins 1491.68 2
23 1925-01-05 43.22% Toronto St. Patricks 1478.86 3 @ Boston Bruins 1457.56 2
24 1925-01-28 43.31% Ottawa Senators (1st) 1523.49 2 @ Montreal Maroons 1501.56 1
25 1924-12-27 44.28% Ottawa Senators (1st) 1511.99 4 @ Toronto St. Patricks 1483.17 3

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1924-12-22 12.21 Toronto St. Patricks 10 1477.57 39.93% @ Boston Bruins 1 1479.73 56.17% 3.90%
2 1924-12-15 8.55 Ottawa Senators (1st) 10 1506.72 42.33% @ Boston Bruins 2 1491.68 53.76% 3.90%
3 1924-12-05 6.90 Hamilton Tigers 10 1493.80 41.15% @ Toronto St. Patricks 3 1487.19 54.95% 3.90%
4 1924-12-25 6.61 @ Hamilton Tigers 8 1505.71 58.06% Toronto St. Patricks 1 1489.78 38.05% 3.90%
5 1924-12-10 5.98 @ Hamilton Tigers 7 1500.70 56.29% Boston Bruins 1 1497.66 39.81% 3.90%
6 1924-12-10 5.84 @ Montreal Canadiens 5 1513.41 58.07% Montreal Maroons 0 1497.41 38.04% 3.90%
7 1924-11-29 5.72 @ Montreal Canadiens 7 1507.40 58.14% Toronto St. Patricks 1 1490.87 37.97% 3.90%
8 1925-01-27 5.62 Montreal Canadiens 4 1523.71 50.69% @ Boston Bruins 0 1450.20 45.41% 3.90%
9 1925-01-31 5.57 @ Montreal Canadiens 5 1529.33 59.88% Montreal Maroons 0 1499.85 36.22% 3.90%
10 1925-02-04 5.44 Hamilton Tigers 3 1521.23 38.35% @ Montreal Canadiens 0 1534.90 57.75% 3.90%
11 1925-03-04 5.21 Ottawa Senators (1st) 5 1522.36 45.48% @ Montreal Maroons 1 1485.17 50.62% 3.90%
12 1925-02-11 5.09 @ Montreal Canadiens 10 1528.09 56.02% Ottawa Senators (1st) 3 1526.97 40.08% 3.90%
13 1925-02-10 5.08 Toronto St. Patricks 5 1487.42 46.76% @ Boston Bruins 1 1441.28 49.34% 3.90%
14 1925-01-07 5.03 Montreal Maroons 6 1498.71 38.21% @ Hamilton Tigers 2 1513.44 57.89% 3.90%
15 1924-12-25 4.99 @ Montreal Canadiens 5 1527.29 63.81% Boston Bruins 0 1467.52 32.30% 3.89%
16 1925-01-10 4.70 @ Ottawa Senators (1st) 4 1522.26 58.41% Montreal Maroons 0 1503.74 37.70% 3.90%
17 1925-01-28 4.57 @ Hamilton Tigers 4 1513.71 59.47% Toronto St. Patricks 0 1487.33 36.64% 3.90%
18 1925-03-07 4.41 Boston Bruins 2 1429.19 27.84% @ Hamilton Tigers 0 1525.83 68.28% 3.88%
19 1924-12-10 3.82 Toronto St. Patricks 6 1480.29 36.12% @ Ottawa Senators (1st) 3 1510.54 59.98% 3.90%
20 1925-01-07 3.75 Ottawa Senators (1st) 2 1518.51 38.25% @ Montreal Canadiens 0 1532.92 57.85% 3.90%
21 1924-12-03 3.70 Hamilton Tigers 2 1490.10 39.05% @ Montreal Maroons 0 1498.68 57.05% 3.90%
22 1925-03-07 3.54 @ Ottawa Senators (1st) 3 1527.57 59.02% Toronto St. Patricks 0 1504.53 37.09% 3.90%
23 1925-03-09 3.54 @ Toronto St. Patricks 3 1500.99 59.00% Montreal Maroons 0 1478.07 37.10% 3.90%
24 1924-12-17 3.45 Montreal Canadiens 5 1522.64 46.11% @ Toronto St. Patricks 2 1481.02 49.99% 3.90%
25 1925-02-25 3.44 Toronto St. Patricks 3 1499.04 34.77% @ Montreal Canadiens 1 1539.54 61.33% 3.89%