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1940-41 NHL Season

168 regular-season games · 6 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Boston Bruins

3rd Title

Last Title: 1938-39

Runner-Up

Detroit Red Wings

4th Appearance

Last Appearance: 1936-37

Biggest Overachiever

Detroit Red Wings

6.20 points above expected

53 points · 46.80 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Chicago Blackhawks

5.90 points below expected

39 points · 44.90 expected points

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual points minus the simulation's mean points - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

# Team W L T Pts Pt% GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Boston Bruins Division 27 8 13 67 .698 168 102 +66 62.56 +4.44
2 Toronto Maple Leafs Playoffs 28 14 6 62 .646 145 99 +46 60.56 +1.44
3 Detroit Red Wings Playoffs 21 16 11 53 .552 112 102 +10 46.80 +6.20
4 New York Rangers Playoffs 21 19 8 50 .521 143 125 +18 55.69 -5.69
5 Chicago Blackhawks Playoffs 16 25 7 39 .406 112 139 -27 44.90 -5.90
6 Montreal Canadiens Playoffs 16 26 6 38 .396 121 147 -26 33.58 +4.42
7 New York Americans 8 29 11 27 .281 99 186 -87 31.92 -4.92

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Detroit Red Wings 53 46.80 +6.20
2 Boston Bruins 67 62.56 +4.44
3 Montreal Canadiens 38 33.58 +4.42
4 Toronto Maple Leafs 62 60.56 +1.44
5 New York Americans 27 31.92 -4.92

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Chicago Blackhawks 39 44.90 -5.90
2 New York Rangers 50 55.69 -5.69
3 New York Americans 27 31.92 -4.92
4 Toronto Maple Leafs 62 60.56 +1.44
5 Montreal Canadiens 38 33.58 +4.42

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak. Unbeaten counts W or T consecutively; Winless counts L or T consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Toronto Maple Leafs 8 Nov 24 – Dec 15 1 in 217
2 Detroit Red Wings 5 Dec 25 – Jan 5 1 in 138
3 New York Rangers 5 Feb 18 – Mar 1 1 in 62
4 Montreal Canadiens 3 Dec 21 – Dec 28 1 in 24
5 Chicago Blackhawks 3 Jan 7 – Jan 12 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Chicago Blackhawks 4 Feb 6 – Feb 14 1 in 34
2 New York Rangers 4 Feb 11 – Feb 16 1 in 30
3 New York Americans 4 Nov 17 – Nov 23 1 in 24
4 Detroit Red Wings 2 Dec 15 – Dec 17 1 in 16
5 Boston Bruins 2 Nov 12 – Nov 17 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Boston Bruins 23 Dec 22 – Feb 23 1 in 935
2 Detroit Red Wings 7 Nov 10 – Nov 29 1 in 141
3 New York Americans 4 Dec 17 – Dec 22 1 in 49
4 Toronto Maple Leafs 8 Nov 24 – Dec 15 1 in 19
5 New York Rangers 5 Feb 18 – Mar 1 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Boston Bruins 4 Nov 3 – Nov 19 1 in 33
2 Toronto Maple Leafs 4 Dec 17 – Dec 25 1 in 30
3 Detroit Red Wings 6 Jan 7 – Jan 19 1 in 21
4 New York Americans 13 Feb 16 – Mar 16 1 in 21
5 Montreal Canadiens 7 Jan 23 – Feb 9 1 in 13

Playoff Bracket

NHL Playoffs

Quarterfinals

Chicago Blackhawks 2
Montreal Canadiens 1

3 games · Mar 20–Mar 25

Quarterfinals

Detroit Red Wings 2
New York Rangers 1

3 games · Mar 20–Mar 25

Round 3

Boston Bruins 4
Toronto Maple Leafs 3

7 games · Mar 20–Apr 3

Semifinals

Detroit Red Wings 2
Chicago Blackhawks 0

2 games · Mar 27–Mar 30

Stanley Cup Final

Boston Bruins 4
Detroit Red Wings 0

4 games · Apr 6–Apr 12

Head-to-Head

Cells show the number of points earned against each opponent with the expected points from the simulation below. Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than one point.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team Bruins Blackhawks Wings Canadiens Americans Rangers Leafs
Boston Bruins —
10
(10.5 exp.)
11
(10.3 exp.)
11
(12.0 exp.)
15
(12.2 exp.)
10
(9.1 exp.)
10
(8.4 exp.)
Chicago Blackhawks
6
(5.5 exp.)
 —
4
(7.5 exp.)
7
(9.9 exp.)
9
(10.0 exp.)
9
(6.5 exp.)
4
(5.5 exp.)
Detroit Red Wings
5
(5.7 exp.)
12
(8.5 exp.)
 —
9
(10.2 exp.)
12
(10.0 exp.)
9
(6.5 exp.)
6
(5.8 exp.)
Montreal Canadiens
5
(4.0 exp.)
9
(6.1 exp.)
7
(5.8 exp.)
 —
9
(8.4 exp.)
5
(5.0 exp.)
3
(4.4 exp.)
New York Americans
1
(3.8 exp.)
7
(6.0 exp.)
4
(6.0 exp.)
7
(7.6 exp.)
 —
3
(4.6 exp.)
5
(4.0 exp.)
New York Rangers
6
(6.9 exp.)
7
(9.5 exp.)
7
(9.5 exp.)
11
(11.0 exp.)
13
(11.4 exp.)
 —
6
(7.3 exp.)
Toronto Maple Leafs
6
(7.6 exp.)
12
(10.5 exp.)
10
(10.2 exp.)
13
(11.6 exp.)
11
(12.0 exp.)
10
(8.7 exp.)
 —

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's goals in the row and its opponent's goals in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range
↓ Scored | Allowed →01234567+Total
00.60%1.19%1.49%1.49%0.60%0.30%0.60%0.60%6.85%
11.19%2.38%5.95%4.17%3.27%0.60%1.49%0.60%19.64%
21.49%5.95%7.74%5.95%2.38%0.89%2.08%—26.49%
31.49%4.17%5.95%4.76%1.79%1.19%0.89%0.89%21.13%
40.60%3.27%2.38%1.79%2.98%0.89%——11.90%
50.30%0.60%0.89%1.19%0.89%—0.60%0.89%5.36%
60.60%1.49%2.08%0.89%—0.60%——5.65%
7+0.60%0.60%—0.89%—0.89%——2.98%
Total6.85%19.64%26.49%21.13%11.90%5.36%5.65%2.98%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.68 2.68 +0.00
SD 1.78 1.78 2.58
CV 0.66 0.66 —
Max 10 10 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 168

↓ Scored | Allowed →01234567+Total
02.08%—2.08%—————4.17%
12.08%6.25%—2.08%2.08%———12.50%
22.08%4.17%12.50%6.25%————25.00%
3—2.08%8.33%2.08%—2.08%——14.58%
42.08%4.17%—4.17%4.17%———14.58%
52.08%—2.08%6.25%——2.08%—12.50%
6—2.08%4.17%—————6.25%
7+2.08%2.08%—4.17%—2.08%——10.42%
Total12.50%20.83%29.17%25.00%6.25%4.17%2.08%—100%

Boston Bruins — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.50 2.12 +1.38
SD 2.26 1.39 2.44
CV 0.65 0.66 —
Max 10 6 +8
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 48

↓ Scored | Allowed →01234567+Total
0—2.08%2.08%2.08%————6.25%
14.17%—8.33%4.17%6.25%4.17%—2.08%29.17%
22.08%2.08%8.33%6.25%2.08%—2.08%—22.92%
3—8.33%4.17%2.08%2.08%——2.08%18.75%
4—6.25%2.08%—4.17%2.08%——14.58%
5————2.08%—2.08%2.08%6.25%
6—————2.08%——2.08%
7+—————————
Total6.25%18.75%25.00%14.58%16.67%8.33%4.17%6.25%100%

Chicago Blackhawks — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.33 2.90 -0.56
SD 1.46 1.87 2.11
CV 0.63 0.65 —
Max 6 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 48

↓ Scored | Allowed →01234567+Total
0—2.08%2.08%2.08%2.08%—2.08%—10.42%
1—6.25%10.42%2.08%2.08%———20.83%
22.08%8.33%6.25%4.17%——2.08%—22.92%
34.17%6.25%6.25%6.25%—2.08%——25.00%
42.08%2.08%6.25%—4.17%———14.58%
5—2.08%——2.08%———4.17%
6—2.08%——————2.08%
7+—————————
Total8.33%29.17%31.25%14.58%10.42%2.08%4.17%—100%

Detroit Red Wings — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.33 2.12 +0.21
SD 1.45 1.44 2.18
CV 0.62 0.68 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 48

↓ Scored | Allowed →01234567+Total
0——2.08%2.08%2.08%2.08%—2.08%10.42%
1—2.08%12.50%6.25%——2.08%—22.92%
2—6.25%2.08%4.17%4.17%2.08%2.08%—20.83%
32.08%4.17%6.25%4.17%4.17%2.08%2.08%—25.00%
4———2.08%4.17%———6.25%
5—2.08%—————2.08%4.17%
62.08%—2.08%——2.08%——6.25%
7+———2.08%—2.08%——4.17%
Total4.17%14.58%25.00%20.83%14.58%10.42%6.25%4.17%100%

Montreal Canadiens — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.52 3.06 -0.54
SD 1.83 1.80 2.58
CV 0.73 0.59 —
Max 7 8 +6
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 48

↓ Scored | Allowed →01234567+Total
0——2.08%2.08%——2.08%2.08%8.33%
12.08%2.08%2.08%8.33%2.08%—8.33%2.08%27.08%
2—6.25%10.42%4.17%6.25%2.08%4.17%—33.33%
3——2.08%8.33%——4.17%4.17%18.75%
4——2.08%—2.08%4.17%——8.33%
5————2.08%———2.08%
6———2.08%————2.08%
7+—————————
Total2.08%8.33%18.75%25.00%12.50%6.25%18.75%8.33%100%

New York Americans — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.06 3.88 -1.81
SD 1.29 2.22 2.59
CV 0.63 0.57 —
Max 6 10 +3
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 48

↓ Scored | Allowed →01234567+Total
0—————————
1——6.25%4.17%6.25%———16.67%
22.08%6.25%8.33%8.33%4.17%—4.17%—33.33%
3—4.17%6.25%8.33%4.17%2.08%——25.00%
4—4.17%——————4.17%
5——4.17%2.08%————6.25%
62.08%2.08%4.17%4.17%————12.50%
7+—————2.08%——2.08%
Total4.17%16.67%29.17%27.08%14.58%4.17%4.17%—100%

New York Rangers — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.98 2.60 +0.38
SD 1.73 1.38 2.35
CV 0.58 0.53 —
Max 8 6 +6
Min 1 0 -4

Games Played: 48

↓ Scored | Allowed →01234567+Total
02.08%4.17%—2.08%————8.33%
1——2.08%2.08%4.17%———8.33%
22.08%8.33%6.25%8.33%—2.08%——27.08%
34.17%4.17%8.33%2.08%2.08%———20.83%
4—6.25%6.25%6.25%2.08%———20.83%
5———————2.08%2.08%
6—4.17%4.17%—————8.33%
7+2.08%2.08%——————4.17%
Total10.42%29.17%27.08%20.83%8.33%2.08%—2.08%100%

Toronto Maple Leafs — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.02 2.06 +0.96
SD 1.88 1.49 2.49
CV 0.62 0.72 —
Max 9 8 +9
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 48

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.74 +5.0
Allowed 0.89 -4.2
Differential 0.97 +2.7

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team Conference Division Elo Points Avg. Pts. Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Boston Bruins 1687 67 62.56 +4.44 80.91% 39 53 59 63 66 72 85
Toronto Maple Leafs 1614 62 60.56 +1.44 62.86% 36 51 57 61 64 70 83
New York Rangers 1586 50 55.69 -5.69 18.55% 31 46 52 56 60 65 79
Detroit Red Wings 1530 53 46.80 +6.20 87.35% 20 37 43 47 51 56 72
Chicago Blackhawks 1413 39 44.90 -5.90 18.10% 18 35 41 45 49 55 71
Montreal Canadiens 1397 38 33.58 +4.42 80.70% 11 24 30 34 37 43 57
New York Americans 1273 27 31.92 -4.92 21.75% 9 23 28 32 36 41 57

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team1234567
Boston Bruins51.77%31.34%13.60%2.78%0.49%0.02%<0.01%
Toronto Maple Leafs35.03%38.31%20.70%4.88%1.02%0.06%<0.01%
New York Rangers11.93%24.58%43.02%15.29%4.71%0.42%0.04%
Detroit Red Wings0.83%3.62%13.43%41.45%32.55%6.72%1.39%
Chicago Blackhawks0.44%2.13%8.87%31.80%43.91%10.31%2.53%
Montreal Canadiens<0.01%0.02%0.25%2.35%10.36%46.45%40.57%
New York Americans-<0.01%0.12%1.44%6.94%36.02%55.46%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 Seed5 Seed6 SeedMissed Playoffs
Boston Bruins51.77%31.34%13.60%2.78%0.49%0.02%<0.01%
Toronto Maple Leafs35.03%38.31%20.70%4.88%1.02%0.06%<0.01%
New York Rangers11.93%24.58%43.02%15.29%4.71%0.42%0.04%
Detroit Red Wings0.83%3.62%13.43%41.45%32.55%6.72%1.39%
Chicago Blackhawks0.44%2.13%8.87%31.80%43.91%10.31%2.53%
Montreal Canadiens<0.01%0.02%0.25%2.35%10.36%46.45%40.57%
New York Americans-<0.01%0.12%1.44%6.94%36.02%55.46%

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points that 1 goal is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 goal at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals - average away goals per game. The gold line represents the expected home goals edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -0.8 · Lean Road: -0.8 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 0.8 · Home-Tilted: 0.8 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+22.02%
Fortress
51.79%18.45%29.76%
Elo Value
Home Edge
128 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
077.79400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.58 goals
Lean Home
-2+0.61+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd · Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 4th · Longshot: 5th or lower.
Title Run Odds
Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 12.5% · Tough Road: 12.5% to 25% · Favored: 25% to 50% · Heavy Favorite: 50% and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.7
Few Contenders
1247
Champion Preseason Odds
54%
Boston Bruins, 1st of 7
LongshotFavorite
Title Run Odds
Coin-flip
58.3%
Heavy Favorite
025.00%80%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual points total and their simulated average points total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 4.6 · As Expected: 4.6 to 6.32 · Elevated: 6.32 to 8.62 · High Variance: 8.62 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 0.53 · Close: 0.53 to 0.72 · Off Target: 0.72 to 0.93 · Well Off Target: 0.93 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 7 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 7 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.35 · As Expected: 0.35 to 0.84 · Several Outliers: 0.84 to 1.54 · Many Outliers: 1.54 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams
Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 0.38 · As Expected: 0.38 to 0.62 · More Than Expected: 0.62 to 1 · Far More Than Expected: 1 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.94 points
As Expected
05.7514
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.29
Pinpoint
00.621.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 92.86%
87.35%
Detroit Red Wings
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected
18.10%
Chicago Blackhawks
07.14%50
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 7
Minimal Outliers
00.77
Unexpected Playoff Teams
Expected 0.4
0 of 6
Fewer Than Expected
06

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
Measures how evenly points were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual point totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully
Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge
The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst
The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games
Actual percentage of games decided by 1 goal or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Actual percentage of games decided by 4 goals or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Top-Heavy
00.080.150.240.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
2.05
Stratified
01.003
Interquartile Edge
75%
Lopsided
50%58%65%73%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
92%
No Contest
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
51%
Nail-Biters
0%44%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Occasional
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 · Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 · Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 · Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness
How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.38
Lopsided
00.120.220.340.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.73
Tighter Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.54
Weak Alignment
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Chalk Held
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Favorites Held
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.06 · Within Noise: 0.06 to 0.12 · Above Noise: 0.12 to 0.24 · Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.75
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.11
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.99
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.059
Well Within Noise
00.1210.3

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual points, simulated final points, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team Made Playoffs Advanced to Conference Finals Advanced to Stanley Cup Won Stanley Cup
Boston Bruins 97.23% 97.23% 71.96% 54.45%
Toronto Maple Leafs 93.08% 93.08% 44.36% 22.78%
New York Rangers 81.21% 81.21% 46.67% 15.77%
Detroit Red Wings 94.16% 56.56% 27.08% 6.10%
Chicago Blackhawks 94.90% 44.16% 6.95% 0.67%
Montreal Canadiens 59.41% 20.66% 2.71% 0.23%
New York Americans 44.53% 7.10% 0.26% 0.01%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Boston BruinsChicago BlackhawksDetroit Red WingsMontreal CanadiensNew York AmericansNew York RangersToronto Maple Leafs
Boston Bruins92.1%5.64%80.7%7.76%91.2%0.63%97.9%0.43%70.3%1.80%65.5%0.64%
Chicago Blackhawks7.9%5.64%28.7%7.36%56.7%29.45%78.4%21.85%17.9%21.60%14.6%9.00%
Detroit Red Wings19.3%7.76%71.3%7.36%77.4%21.07%91.2%15.53%36.9%30.24%30.7%12.21%
Montreal Canadiens8.8%0.63%43.3%29.45%22.6%21.07%73.8%3.11%16.2%4.03%11.9%1.13%
New York Americans2.1%0.43%21.6%21.85%8.8%15.53%26.2%3.11%5.3%2.85%4.0%0.76%
New York Rangers29.7%1.80%82.1%21.60%63.1%30.24%83.8%4.03%94.7%2.85%43.6%2.92%
Toronto Maple Leafs34.5%0.64%85.4%9.00%69.3%12.21%88.1%1.13%96.0%0.76%56.4%2.92%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Boston BruinsChicago BlackhawksDetroit Red WingsMontreal CanadiensNew York AmericansNew York RangersToronto Maple Leafs
Boston Bruins96.3%6.24%84.8%7.55%96.5%2.77%99.6%0.94%74.9%22.42%68.3%57.32%
Chicago Blackhawks3.7%6.24%22.7%14.79%55.8%1.01%81.8%0.30%12.8%14.55%9.6%7.28%
Detroit Red Wings15.2%7.55%77.3%14.79%82.3%4.85%95.2%1.67%34.8%18.81%26.7%8.90%
Montreal Canadiens3.5%2.77%44.2%1.01%17.7%4.85%76.2%0.02%11.7%8.21%8.9%3.79%
New York Americans0.4%0.94%18.2%0.30%4.8%1.67%23.8%0.02%3.4%2.81%1.8%1.36%
New York Rangers25.1%22.42%87.2%14.55%65.2%18.81%88.3%8.21%96.6%2.81%42.6%14.42%
Toronto Maple Leafs31.7%57.32%90.4%7.28%73.3%8.90%91.1%3.79%98.2%1.36%57.4%14.42%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Boston BruinsChicago BlackhawksDetroit Red WingsMontreal CanadiensNew York AmericansNew York RangersToronto Maple Leafs
Boston Bruins93.0%4.41%82.5%16.98%94.3%1.80%97.7%0.18%73.9%28.69%66.6%19.91%
Chicago Blackhawks7.0%4.41%22.7%0.07%0.0%<0.01%100.0%<0.01%14.5%0.61%13.7%1.86%
Detroit Red Wings17.5%16.98%77.3%0.07%70.6%0.02%100.0%<0.01%35.6%2.65%28.7%7.37%
Montreal Canadiens5.7%1.80%100.0%<0.01%29.4%0.02%16.7%0.21%12.1%0.68%
New York Americans2.3%0.18%0.0%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%13.0%0.02%4.8%0.06%
New York Rangers26.1%28.69%85.5%0.61%64.4%2.65%83.3%0.21%87.0%0.02%40.5%14.48%
Toronto Maple Leafs33.4%19.91%86.3%1.86%71.3%7.37%87.9%0.68%95.2%0.06%59.5%14.48%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team Advanced to Conference Finals Advanced to Stanley Cup Won Stanley Cup
Boston Bruins 100.00% 70.58% 56.56%
Toronto Maple Leafs 100.00% 29.42% 20.88%
New York Rangers 55.41% 48.90% 14.13%
Detroit Red Wings 44.59% 35.95% 7.13%
Chicago Blackhawks 58.30% 9.12% 0.77%
Montreal Canadiens 41.70% 6.02% 0.52%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Chicago BlackhawksDetroit Red WingsMontreal CanadiensNew York Rangers
Chicago Blackhawks58.3%100.00%
Detroit Red Wings44.6%100.00%
Montreal Canadiens41.7%100.00%
New York Rangers55.4%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Boston BruinsChicago BlackhawksDetroit Red WingsMontreal CanadiensNew York RangersToronto Maple Leafs
Boston Bruins70.6%100.00%
Chicago Blackhawks20.1%25.96%12.1%32.34%
Detroit Red Wings79.9%25.96%81.7%18.63%
Montreal Canadiens18.3%18.63%11.3%23.07%
New York Rangers87.9%32.34%88.7%23.07%
Toronto Maple Leafs29.4%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Boston BruinsChicago BlackhawksDetroit Red WingsMontreal CanadiensNew York RangersToronto Maple Leafs
Boston Bruins93.1%6.41%82.6%25.33%92.8%4.27%74.3%34.58%
Chicago Blackhawks6.9%6.41%12.2%2.72%
Detroit Red Wings17.4%25.33%25.8%10.62%
Montreal Canadiens7.2%4.27%12.1%1.75%
New York Rangers25.7%34.58%36.7%14.32%
Toronto Maple Leafs87.8%2.72%74.2%10.62%87.9%1.75%63.3%14.32%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Boston Bruins 56.56% chance to win
Conference Finals
vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
70.58%
→
Stanley Cup
vs. New York Rangers
Matchup
45.44%
Win Prob
74.32%
Toronto Maple Leafs 20.88% chance to win
Conference Finals
vs. Boston Bruins
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
29.42%
→
Stanley Cup
vs. New York Rangers
Matchup
43.42%
Win Prob
63.31%
New York Rangers 14.13% chance to win
Divisional Round
vs. Detroit Red Wings
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
55.41%
→
Conference Finals
vs. Chicago Blackhawks
Matchup
58.14%
Win Prob
87.93%
→
Stanley Cup
vs. Boston Bruins
Matchup
62.83%
Win Prob
25.68%
Detroit Red Wings 7.13% chance to win
Divisional Round
vs. New York Rangers
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
44.59%
→
Conference Finals
vs. Chicago Blackhawks
Matchup
57.69%
Win Prob
79.89%
→
Stanley Cup
vs. Boston Bruins
Matchup
61.63%
Win Prob
17.36%
Chicago Blackhawks 0.77% chance to win
Divisional Round
vs. Montreal Canadiens
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
58.30%
→
Conference Finals
vs. Detroit Red Wings
Matchup
57.22%
Win Prob
20.11%
→
Stanley Cup
vs. Boston Bruins
Matchup
57.07%
Win Prob
6.87%
Montreal Canadiens 0.52% chance to win
Divisional Round
vs. Chicago Blackhawks
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
41.70%
→
Conference Finals
vs. Detroit Red Wings
Matchup
56.76%
Win Prob
18.34%
→
Stanley Cup
vs. Boston Bruins
Matchup
59.07%
Win Prob
7.17%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1940-11-03 @ Montreal Canadiens T 1-1 1578.28 1381.27 56.45% 18.16% 25.40% -1.12 1
1940-11-12 Chicago Blackhawks L 5-6 1577.16 1507.06 60.02% 17.34% 22.65% -7.89 1
1940-11-17 Toronto Maple Leafs L 1-4 1569.27 1553.60 53.10% 18.77% 28.13% -19.25 1
1940-11-19 Detroit Red Wings T 4-4 1550.02 1458.91 62.53% 16.67% 20.81% -0.84 2
1940-11-21 @ Chicago Blackhawks W 2-0 1549.18 1513.96 34.25% 19.60% 46.15% +13.97 4
1940-11-23 @ New York Rangers W 2-1 1563.15 1612.96 24.56% 17.93% 57.51% +8.41 6
1940-11-24 @ Detroit Red Wings T 1-1 1571.56 1463.01 44.49% 19.70% 35.81% -0.30 7
1940-11-26 Montreal Canadiens L 2-3 1571.26 1361.25 75.00% 12.28% 12.72% -9.92 7
1940-12-01 @ New York Americans W 10-3 1561.34 1419.79 49.09% 19.32% 31.58% +19.73 9
1940-12-03 New York Americans W 6-2 1581.07 1400.06 72.24% 13.39% 14.38% +6.15 11
1940-12-07 @ Toronto Maple Leafs L 2-3 1587.22 1610.13 27.33% 18.61% 54.05% -4.24 11
1940-12-08 @ Chicago Blackhawks L 2-3 1582.98 1479.81 43.72% 19.74% 36.54% -6.34 11
1940-12-10 New York Rangers W 6-2 1576.64 1563.52 52.76% 18.83% 28.41% +12.43 13
1940-12-17 Toronto Maple Leafs W 5-2 1589.07 1631.52 45.13% 19.66% 35.20% +11.86 15
1940-12-19 @ New York Rangers L 3-5 1600.93 1550.78 36.23% 19.72% 44.04% -8.38 15
1940-12-21 @ Montreal Canadiens L 1-3 1592.55 1368.05 59.87% 17.37% 22.75% -15.08 15
1940-12-22 @ Detroit Red Wings W 5-3 1577.47 1486.66 41.96% 19.80% 38.24% +8.77 17
1940-12-25 New York Americans W 8-1 1586.24 1407.21 72.04% 13.46% 14.50% +12.23 19
1940-12-27 @ New York Americans T 3-3 1598.47 1394.98 57.27% 17.98% 24.75% -0.74 20
1940-12-31 New York Rangers T 2-2 1597.73 1549.35 57.33% 17.97% 24.70% -0.88 21
1941-01-05 Chicago Blackhawks T 2-2 1596.85 1456.79 68.02% 14.93% 17.04% -1.41 22
1941-01-07 Detroit Red Wings T 1-1 1595.44 1532.12 59.19% 17.54% 23.27% -1.32 23
1941-01-11 @ Montreal Canadiens W 2-1 1594.12 1389.20 57.45% 17.94% 24.61% +4.05 25
1941-01-12 Montreal Canadiens W 7-5 1598.17 1385.16 75.28% 12.17% 12.55% +2.71 27
1941-01-16 @ New York Rangers T 2-2 1600.88 1544.22 37.12% 19.76% 43.12% +0.16 28
1941-01-18 @ Toronto Maple Leafs W 1-0 1601.04 1608.65 29.03% 18.94% 52.03% +8.19 30
1941-01-19 @ Chicago Blackhawks T 4-4 1609.23 1458.40 50.36% 19.17% 30.47% -0.38 31
1941-01-21 New York Rangers W 4-3 1608.85 1551.26 58.48% 17.71% 23.81% +3.62 33
1941-01-26 @ New York Americans W 6-1 1612.47 1348.40 64.54% 16.07% 19.39% +12.29 35
1941-01-28 Chicago Blackhawks W 3-2 1624.76 1479.94 68.53% 14.76% 16.71% +2.57 37
1941-02-02 New York Americans W 4-1 1627.33 1342.81 81.26% 9.57% 9.17% +3.37 39
1941-02-04 Montreal Canadiens W 5-3 1630.70 1404.89 76.43% 11.69% 11.88% +2.70 41
1941-02-08 @ Toronto Maple Leafs W 3-2 1633.40 1603.31 33.59% 19.54% 46.87% +6.71 43
1941-02-09 @ Detroit Red Wings T 2-2 1640.11 1501.79 48.65% 19.37% 31.98% -0.44 44
1941-02-11 Detroit Red Wings W 4-0 1639.67 1502.23 67.74% 15.03% 17.23% +10.61 46
1941-02-13 @ New York Rangers W 5-3 1650.28 1530.81 46.03% 19.60% 34.37% +8.02 48
1941-02-15 @ Montreal Canadiens W 5-0 1658.30 1418.24 61.75% 16.88% 21.37% +16.43 50
1941-02-18 Toronto Maple Leafs T 2-2 1674.73 1615.12 58.73% 17.65% 23.62% -0.96 51
1941-02-23 New York Americans W 3-1 1673.77 1330.89 85.31% 7.68% 7.00% +1.76 53
1941-02-25 New York Rangers L 0-2 1675.53 1524.00 69.24% 14.51% 16.25% -19.65 53
1941-03-01 @ Toronto Maple Leafs T 0-0 1655.88 1604.17 36.44% 19.73% 43.82% +0.29 54
1941-03-02 @ Chicago Blackhawks W 4-3 1656.17 1449.03 57.73% 17.88% 24.39% +3.71 56
1941-03-04 Chicago Blackhawks W 3-2 1659.88 1445.32 75.42% 12.11% 12.47% +1.85 58
1941-03-09 Montreal Canadiens W 8-0 1661.73 1388.32 80.40% 9.96% 9.64% +10.63 60
1941-03-11 Toronto Maple Leafs W 3-2 1672.36 1591.63 61.30% 17.00% 21.70% +3.38 62
1941-03-13 @ New York Americans W 8-3 1675.74 1300.40 75.89% 11.92% 12.19% +5.57 64
1941-03-16 @ Detroit Red Wings T 2-2 1681.31 1535.98 49.61% 19.26% 31.12% -0.49 65
1941-03-18 Detroit Red Wings W 4-1 1680.82 1536.47 68.48% 14.77% 16.74% +6.64 67
1940-11-07 New York Americans L 0-1 1506.60 1442.06 59.34% 17.51% 23.16% -9.17 0
1940-11-10 @ Montreal Canadiens W 3-1 1497.43 1382.39 45.40% 19.65% 34.95% +9.63 2
1940-11-12 @ Boston Bruins W 6-5 1507.06 1577.16 22.65% 17.34% 60.02% +7.89 4
1940-11-14 @ New York Americans T 2-2 1514.95 1451.22 38.10% 19.79% 42.11% +0.10 5
1940-11-17 Montreal Canadiens T 4-4 1515.05 1356.76 69.94% 14.25% 15.81% -1.09 6
1940-11-21 Boston Bruins L 0-2 1513.96 1549.18 46.15% 19.60% 34.25% -13.96 6
1940-11-23 @ Toronto Maple Leafs W 1-0 1500.00 1577.98 21.94% 17.09% 60.97% +9.37 8
1940-11-24 Toronto Maple Leafs L 2-4 1509.37 1568.60 42.75% 19.78% 37.47% -10.15 8
1940-11-29 @ Detroit Red Wings L 1-3 1499.22 1463.31 34.34% 19.60% 46.06% -9.49 8
1940-12-01 New York Rangers W 4-1 1489.73 1591.88 36.68% 19.75% 43.58% +16.31 10
1940-12-05 Detroit Red Wings L 1-5 1506.04 1463.57 56.58% 18.13% 25.29% -26.23 10
1940-12-08 Boston Bruins W 3-2 1479.81 1582.98 36.54% 19.74% 43.72% +6.33 12
1940-12-12 @ New York Americans T 2-2 1486.14 1393.92 42.16% 19.79% 38.04% -0.10 13
1940-12-14 @ Toronto Maple Leafs L 1-2 1486.04 1615.90 17.77% 15.31% 66.92% -2.89 13
1940-12-15 Toronto Maple Leafs L 1-4 1483.15 1618.79 32.31% 19.41% 48.28% -12.73 13
1940-12-19 Montreal Canadiens W 2-0 1470.42 1374.75 63.06% 16.51% 20.43% +6.70 15
1940-12-22 New York Rangers W 3-1 1477.12 1559.16 39.48% 19.82% 40.70% +10.91 17
1940-12-25 @ New York Rangers T 3-3 1488.03 1548.25 23.56% 17.63% 58.80% +0.80 18
1940-12-26 @ Montreal Canadiens L 5-7 1488.83 1383.13 44.08% 19.72% 36.19% -9.29 18
1940-12-29 @ Detroit Red Wings L 1-2 1479.54 1484.70 29.31% 18.99% 51.70% -4.76 18
1941-01-01 Detroit Red Wings L 1-4 1474.78 1489.46 49.00% 19.33% 31.66% -17.99 18
1941-01-05 @ Boston Bruins T 2-2 1456.79 1596.85 17.04% 14.93% 68.02% +1.41 19
1941-01-07 @ New York Rangers W 3-2 1458.20 1553.34 20.47% 16.53% 63.00% +8.63 21
1941-01-09 Montreal Canadiens W 3-1 1466.83 1395.62 60.15% 17.30% 22.54% +6.42 23
1941-01-12 Detroit Red Wings W 2-1 1473.25 1532.96 42.68% 19.78% 37.54% +5.90 25
1941-01-16 @ Montreal Canadiens L 1-5 1479.15 1382.44 42.80% 19.77% 37.42% -20.75 25
1941-01-19 Boston Bruins T 4-4 1458.40 1609.23 30.47% 19.17% 50.36% +0.38 26
1941-01-23 New York Americans W 3-1 1458.78 1357.97 63.66% 16.34% 20.00% +5.68 28
1941-01-26 New York Rangers W 4-1 1464.46 1547.63 39.32% 19.81% 40.87% +15.48 30
1941-01-28 @ Boston Bruins L 2-3 1479.94 1624.76 16.71% 14.76% 68.53% -2.57 30
1941-01-30 @ New York Americans L 4-5 1477.37 1336.11 49.06% 19.33% 31.62% -6.70 30
1941-02-01 @ Toronto Maple Leafs L 1-3 1470.67 1617.28 16.59% 14.69% 68.72% -4.65 30
1941-02-02 Toronto Maple Leafs W 4-1 1466.02 1621.93 29.87% 19.08% 51.05% +18.62 32
1941-02-06 @ New York Rangers L 2-6 1484.64 1534.28 24.58% 17.94% 57.49% -10.84 32
1941-02-09 New York Rangers L 1-2 1473.80 1545.12 41.02% 19.81% 39.17% -6.34 32
1941-02-13 Montreal Canadiens L 5-6 1467.46 1410.53 58.40% 17.73% 23.87% -7.71 32
1941-02-14 @ Detroit Red Wings L 1-2 1459.75 1491.62 26.38% 18.40% 55.22% -4.32 32
1941-02-16 New York Americans W 5-4 1455.43 1352.70 63.88% 16.27% 19.85% +2.97 34
1941-02-20 @ New York Americans W 4-2 1458.40 1339.39 45.96% 19.61% 34.43% +8.50 36
1941-02-22 @ Montreal Canadiens L 3-7 1466.90 1396.52 39.03% 19.81% 41.16% -14.92 36
1941-02-23 @ New York Rangers L 1-4 1451.98 1514.60 23.34% 17.56% 59.10% -9.40 36
1941-02-27 Detroit Red Wings W 1-0 1442.58 1512.19 41.27% 19.81% 38.92% +6.45 38
1941-03-02 Boston Bruins L 3-4 1449.03 1656.17 24.39% 17.88% 57.73% -3.71 38
1941-03-04 @ Boston Bruins L 2-3 1445.32 1659.88 12.47% 12.11% 75.42% -1.85 38
1941-03-09 New York Americans T 2-2 1443.47 1298.97 68.50% 14.77% 16.73% -1.44 39
1941-03-13 @ Detroit Red Wings L 2-3 1442.03 1532.74 20.84% 16.68% 62.48% -3.24 39
1941-03-15 @ Toronto Maple Leafs L 1-7 1438.79 1588.25 16.39% 14.58% 69.02% -12.14 39
1941-03-16 Toronto Maple Leafs L 0-3 1426.65 1600.38 27.85% 18.72% 53.43% -13.21 39
1940-11-03 New York Americans W 4-2 1444.46 1449.72 50.29% 19.18% 30.53% +7.65 2
1940-11-09 @ Toronto Maple Leafs L 0-3 1452.11 1526.99 22.21% 17.19% 60.60% -10.61 2
1940-11-10 New York Rangers T 2-2 1441.50 1612.69 28.13% 18.78% 53.09% +0.67 3
1940-11-16 @ New York Rangers T 3-3 1442.17 1612.02 15.06% 13.81% 71.12% +1.30 4
1940-11-17 @ New York Americans W 2-0 1443.47 1451.12 29.03% 18.94% 52.03% +15.44 6
1940-11-19 @ Boston Bruins T 4-4 1458.91 1550.02 20.81% 16.67% 62.53% +0.84 7
1940-11-21 Montreal Canadiens W 2-1 1459.75 1357.86 63.78% 16.30% 19.92% +3.26 9
1940-11-24 Boston Bruins T 1-1 1463.01 1571.56 35.81% 19.70% 44.49% +0.30 10
1940-11-29 Chicago Blackhawks W 3-1 1463.31 1499.22 46.06% 19.60% 34.34% +9.49 12
1940-12-01 Toronto Maple Leafs L 1-3 1472.80 1600.90 33.26% 19.51% 47.23% -9.23 12
1940-12-05 @ Chicago Blackhawks W 5-1 1463.57 1506.04 25.29% 18.13% 56.58% +26.24 14
1940-12-07 @ Montreal Canadiens L 2-3 1489.81 1359.83 47.50% 19.48% 33.02% -6.79 14
1940-12-08 @ New York Rangers W 3-1 1483.02 1579.29 20.38% 16.49% 63.13% +15.77 16
1940-12-13 New York Rangers W 3-2 1498.79 1551.10 43.74% 19.74% 36.52% +5.47 18
1940-12-15 Montreal Canadiens L 1-2 1504.26 1365.08 67.93% 14.97% 17.10% -9.67 18
1940-12-17 @ New York Americans L 2-3 1494.59 1388.87 44.09% 19.72% 36.19% -6.38 18
1940-12-19 New York Americans T 1-1 1488.21 1395.25 62.74% 16.60% 20.65% -1.55 19
1940-12-22 Boston Bruins L 3-5 1486.66 1577.47 38.24% 19.80% 41.96% -8.77 19
1940-12-25 Toronto Maple Leafs W 3-2 1477.89 1609.25 32.84% 19.47% 47.69% +6.81 21
1940-12-29 Chicago Blackhawks W 2-1 1484.70 1479.54 51.70% 18.99% 29.31% +4.76 23
1941-01-01 @ Chicago Blackhawks W 4-1 1489.46 1474.78 31.66% 19.33% 49.00% +17.99 25
1941-01-04 @ Toronto Maple Leafs W 3-1 1507.45 1600.55 20.64% 16.60% 62.76% +15.69 27
1941-01-05 Montreal Canadiens W 3-0 1523.14 1408.64 65.22% 15.86% 18.92% +8.98 29
1941-01-07 @ Boston Bruins T 1-1 1532.12 1595.44 23.27% 17.54% 59.19% +1.32 30
1941-01-09 @ New York Americans T 3-3 1533.44 1376.39 51.20% 19.06% 29.74% -0.48 31
1941-01-12 @ Chicago Blackhawks L 1-2 1532.96 1473.25 37.54% 19.78% 42.68% -5.90 31
1941-01-14 @ New York Rangers T 3-3 1527.06 1544.79 27.90% 18.73% 53.37% +0.57 32
1941-01-18 @ Montreal Canadiens L 1-2 1527.63 1403.19 46.72% 19.55% 33.73% -7.06 32
1941-01-19 New York Rangers L 1-2 1520.57 1544.07 47.79% 19.46% 32.75% -7.18 32
1941-01-24 New York Americans W 4-2 1513.39 1352.29 70.23% 14.14% 15.62% +3.89 34
1941-01-26 Toronto Maple Leafs L 0-2 1517.28 1601.91 39.11% 19.81% 41.08% -12.21 34
1941-01-30 @ Toronto Maple Leafs L 1-2 1505.07 1614.12 19.35% 16.05% 64.60% -3.16 34
1941-02-06 @ Montreal Canadiens T 4-4 1501.91 1402.18 43.23% 19.76% 37.01% -0.12 35
1941-02-09 Boston Bruins T 2-2 1501.79 1640.11 31.98% 19.37% 48.65% +0.44 36
1941-02-11 @ Boston Bruins L 0-4 1502.23 1639.67 17.23% 15.03% 67.74% -10.61 36
1941-02-14 Chicago Blackhawks W 2-1 1491.62 1459.75 55.22% 18.40% 26.38% +4.32 38
1941-02-16 Montreal Canadiens W 2-1 1495.94 1401.82 62.88% 16.57% 20.55% +3.38 40
1941-02-22 @ Toronto Maple Leafs L 2-6 1499.32 1618.00 18.60% 15.71% 65.69% -8.15 40
1941-02-23 Toronto Maple Leafs W 3-0 1491.17 1626.15 32.39% 19.42% 48.19% +21.02 42
1941-02-27 @ Chicago Blackhawks L 0-1 1512.19 1442.58 38.92% 19.81% 41.27% -6.44 42
1941-02-28 New York Americans W 5-4 1505.75 1330.09 71.71% 13.59% 14.70% +2.14 44
1941-03-02 New York Rangers W 4-2 1507.89 1558.46 43.99% 19.73% 36.29% +8.89 46
1941-03-04 @ New York Rangers L 0-6 1516.78 1549.57 26.29% 18.38% 55.34% -23.93 46
1941-03-06 @ New York Americans W 6-1 1492.85 1321.88 53.06% 18.78% 28.16% +17.79 48
1941-03-08 @ Montreal Canadiens W 4-0 1510.64 1410.42 43.31% 19.76% 36.94% +22.10 50
1941-03-13 Chicago Blackhawks W 3-2 1532.74 1442.03 62.48% 16.68% 20.84% +3.24 52
1941-03-16 Boston Bruins T 2-2 1535.98 1681.31 31.12% 19.26% 49.61% +0.49 53
1941-03-18 @ Boston Bruins L 1-4 1536.47 1680.82 16.74% 14.77% 68.48% -6.64 53
1940-11-03 Boston Bruins T 1-1 1381.27 1578.28 25.40% 18.16% 56.45% +1.12 1
1940-11-10 Chicago Blackhawks L 1-3 1382.39 1497.43 34.95% 19.65% 45.40% -9.63 1
1940-11-14 Toronto Maple Leafs L 2-6 1372.76 1537.60 28.84% 18.91% 52.25% -12.60 1
1940-11-16 @ Toronto Maple Leafs L 2-4 1360.16 1550.20 13.84% 13.04% 73.12% -3.40 1
1940-11-17 @ Chicago Blackhawks T 4-4 1356.76 1515.05 15.81% 14.25% 69.94% +1.10 2
1940-11-21 @ Detroit Red Wings L 1-2 1357.86 1459.75 19.92% 16.30% 63.78% -3.27 2
1940-11-23 New York Americans W 3-1 1354.59 1428.31 40.68% 19.82% 39.51% +10.66 4
1940-11-24 @ New York Americans L 1-2 1365.25 1417.65 24.31% 17.86% 57.83% -4.00 4
1940-11-26 @ Boston Bruins W 3-2 1361.25 1571.26 12.72% 12.28% 75.00% +9.92 6
1940-11-30 @ New York Rangers L 1-6 1371.17 1584.27 12.55% 12.17% 75.29% -7.61 6
1940-12-05 New York Rangers L 2-3 1363.56 1575.56 23.92% 17.74% 58.33% -3.73 6
1940-12-07 Detroit Red Wings W 3-2 1359.83 1489.81 33.02% 19.48% 47.50% +6.78 8
1940-12-12 @ Toronto Maple Leafs L 3-4 1366.61 1614.37 10.80% 10.88% 78.33% -1.53 8
1940-12-15 @ Detroit Red Wings W 2-1 1365.08 1504.26 17.10% 14.97% 67.93% +9.67 10
1940-12-19 @ Chicago Blackhawks L 0-2 1374.75 1470.42 20.43% 16.51% 63.06% -6.70 10
1940-12-21 Boston Bruins W 3-1 1368.05 1592.55 22.75% 17.37% 59.87% +15.08 12
1940-12-26 Chicago Blackhawks W 7-5 1383.13 1488.83 36.19% 19.72% 44.08% +9.29 14
1940-12-28 New York Americans W 3-0 1392.42 1395.71 50.56% 19.15% 30.29% +14.26 16
1940-12-31 @ New York Americans L 2-4 1406.68 1381.45 32.97% 19.48% 47.55% -8.20 16
1941-01-01 @ New York Rangers W 2-1 1398.48 1550.23 16.24% 14.50% 69.26% +9.83 18
1941-01-04 New York Rangers T 3-3 1408.31 1540.41 32.75% 19.46% 47.79% +0.33 19
1941-01-05 @ Detroit Red Wings L 0-3 1408.64 1523.14 18.92% 15.86% 65.22% -8.98 19
1941-01-07 Toronto Maple Leafs L 3-4 1399.66 1584.86 26.62% 18.46% 54.93% -4.04 19
1941-01-09 @ Chicago Blackhawks L 1-3 1395.62 1466.83 22.54% 17.30% 60.15% -6.42 19
1941-01-11 Boston Bruins L 1-2 1389.20 1594.12 24.61% 17.94% 57.45% -4.04 19
1941-01-12 @ Boston Bruins L 5-7 1385.16 1598.17 12.55% 12.17% 75.28% -2.72 19
1941-01-16 Chicago Blackhawks W 5-1 1382.44 1479.15 37.42% 19.77% 42.80% +20.75 21
1941-01-18 Detroit Red Wings W 2-1 1403.19 1527.63 33.73% 19.55% 46.72% +7.06 23
1941-01-23 Toronto Maple Leafs L 2-3 1410.25 1599.52 26.19% 18.36% 55.45% -4.08 23
1941-01-25 @ Toronto Maple Leafs T 2-2 1406.17 1603.59 13.42% 12.76% 73.82% +1.68 24
1941-02-02 @ New York Rangers L 1-2 1407.85 1532.15 18.18% 15.51% 66.31% -2.96 24
1941-02-04 @ Boston Bruins L 3-5 1404.89 1630.70 11.88% 11.69% 76.43% -2.71 24
1941-02-06 Detroit Red Wings T 4-4 1402.18 1501.91 37.01% 19.76% 43.23% +0.12 25
1941-02-08 New York Americans T 3-3 1402.30 1340.28 59.03% 17.58% 23.39% -0.81 26
1941-02-09 @ New York Americans L 3-6 1401.49 1341.08 37.64% 19.78% 42.58% -11.61 26
1941-02-11 New York Rangers W 6-2 1389.88 1551.46 29.21% 18.97% 51.81% +20.65 28
1941-02-13 @ Chicago Blackhawks W 6-5 1410.53 1467.46 23.87% 17.73% 58.40% +7.71 30
1941-02-15 Boston Bruins L 0-5 1418.24 1658.30 21.37% 16.88% 61.75% -16.42 30
1941-02-16 @ Detroit Red Wings L 1-2 1401.82 1495.94 20.55% 16.57% 62.88% -3.37 30
1941-02-20 @ Toronto Maple Leafs L 1-2 1398.45 1616.08 12.31% 12.00% 75.70% -1.93 30
1941-02-22 Chicago Blackhawks W 7-3 1396.52 1466.90 41.16% 19.81% 39.03% +14.92 32
1941-02-27 @ New York Rangers L 2-5 1411.44 1543.65 17.60% 15.22% 67.18% -6.07 32
1941-03-01 New York Rangers L 1-3 1405.37 1549.72 31.24% 19.28% 49.48% -8.74 32
1941-03-02 @ New York Americans W 3-2 1396.63 1327.94 38.79% 19.81% 41.40% +6.06 34
1941-03-06 Toronto Maple Leafs W 4-3 1402.69 1603.88 24.98% 18.05% 56.98% +7.73 36
1941-03-08 Detroit Red Wings L 0-4 1410.42 1510.64 36.94% 19.76% 43.31% -22.10 36
1941-03-09 @ Boston Bruins L 0-8 1388.32 1661.73 9.64% 9.96% 80.40% -10.63 36
1941-03-15 New York Americans W 6-0 1377.69 1294.83 61.55% 16.94% 21.51% +19.64 38
1940-11-03 @ Detroit Red Wings L 2-4 1449.72 1444.46 30.53% 19.18% 50.29% -7.66 0
1940-11-07 @ Chicago Blackhawks W 1-0 1442.06 1506.60 23.16% 17.51% 59.34% +9.16 2
1940-11-14 Chicago Blackhawks T 2-2 1451.22 1514.95 42.11% 19.79% 38.10% -0.10 3
1940-11-17 Detroit Red Wings L 0-2 1451.12 1443.47 52.03% 18.94% 29.03% -15.45 3
1940-11-19 @ New York Rangers L 2-3 1435.67 1610.73 14.74% 13.61% 71.65% -2.23 3
1940-11-21 Toronto Maple Leafs L 1-2 1433.44 1572.85 31.84% 19.36% 48.80% -5.13 3
1940-11-23 @ Montreal Canadiens L 1-3 1428.31 1354.59 39.51% 19.82% 40.68% -10.66 3
1940-11-24 Montreal Canadiens W 2-1 1417.65 1365.25 57.83% 17.86% 24.31% +4.00 5
1940-11-28 New York Rangers W 2-1 1421.65 1592.11 28.21% 18.79% 53.00% +7.85 7
1940-11-30 @ Toronto Maple Leafs L 1-6 1429.50 1591.20 15.58% 14.12% 70.30% -9.71 7
1940-12-01 Boston Bruins L 3-10 1419.79 1561.34 31.58% 19.32% 49.09% -19.73 7
1940-12-03 @ Boston Bruins L 2-6 1400.06 1581.07 14.38% 13.39% 72.24% -6.14 7
1940-12-12 Chicago Blackhawks T 2-2 1393.92 1486.14 38.04% 19.79% 42.16% +0.10 8
1940-12-15 @ New York Rangers L 3-6 1394.02 1545.62 16.25% 14.50% 69.25% -5.15 8
1940-12-17 Detroit Red Wings W 3-2 1388.87 1494.59 36.19% 19.72% 44.09% +6.38 10
1940-12-19 @ Detroit Red Wings T 1-1 1395.25 1488.21 20.65% 16.60% 62.74% +1.55 11
1940-12-21 @ Toronto Maple Leafs T 2-2 1396.80 1619.66 12.03% 11.80% 76.17% +1.78 12
1940-12-22 Toronto Maple Leafs W 2-1 1398.58 1617.88 23.23% 17.53% 59.24% +8.63 14
1940-12-25 @ Boston Bruins L 1-8 1407.21 1586.24 14.50% 13.46% 72.04% -12.23 14
1940-12-27 Boston Bruins T 3-3 1394.98 1598.47 24.75% 17.98% 57.27% +0.73 15
1940-12-28 @ Montreal Canadiens L 0-3 1395.71 1392.42 30.29% 19.15% 50.56% -14.26 15
1940-12-31 Montreal Canadiens W 4-2 1381.45 1406.68 47.55% 19.48% 32.97% +8.19 17
1941-01-05 New York Rangers L 2-6 1389.64 1540.08 30.51% 19.18% 50.31% -13.25 17
1941-01-09 Detroit Red Wings T 3-3 1376.39 1533.44 29.74% 19.06% 51.20% +0.47 18
1941-01-11 @ Toronto Maple Leafs L 0-9 1376.86 1592.81 12.40% 12.06% 75.54% -15.84 18
1941-01-12 @ New York Rangers L 1-3 1361.02 1540.80 14.45% 13.43% 72.12% -3.99 18
1941-01-19 Toronto Maple Leafs T 3-3 1357.03 1600.46 21.08% 16.77% 62.14% +0.94 19
1941-01-23 @ Chicago Blackhawks L 1-3 1357.97 1458.78 20.00% 16.34% 63.66% -5.68 19
1941-01-24 @ Detroit Red Wings L 2-4 1352.29 1513.39 15.62% 14.14% 70.23% -3.89 19
1941-01-26 Boston Bruins L 1-6 1348.40 1612.47 19.39% 16.07% 64.54% -12.29 19
1941-01-30 Chicago Blackhawks W 5-4 1336.11 1477.37 31.62% 19.33% 49.06% +6.70 21
1941-02-02 @ Boston Bruins L 1-4 1342.81 1627.33 9.17% 9.57% 81.26% -3.36 21
1941-02-04 New York Rangers T 2-2 1339.45 1535.11 25.53% 18.19% 56.27% +0.83 22
1941-02-08 @ Montreal Canadiens T 3-3 1340.28 1402.30 23.39% 17.58% 59.03% +0.80 23
1941-02-09 Montreal Canadiens W 6-3 1341.08 1401.49 42.58% 19.78% 37.64% +11.62 25
1941-02-16 @ Chicago Blackhawks L 4-5 1352.70 1455.43 19.85% 16.27% 63.88% -2.97 25
1941-02-18 New York Rangers L 2-5 1349.73 1504.27 30.03% 19.11% 50.86% -10.34 25
1941-02-20 Chicago Blackhawks L 2-4 1339.39 1458.40 34.43% 19.61% 45.96% -8.50 25
1941-02-23 @ Boston Bruins L 1-3 1330.89 1673.77 7.00% 7.68% 85.31% -1.76 25
1941-02-25 Toronto Maple Leafs T 4-4 1329.13 1605.12 18.47% 15.65% 65.88% +0.96 26
1941-02-28 @ Detroit Red Wings L 4-5 1330.09 1505.75 14.70% 13.59% 71.71% -2.15 26
1941-03-02 Montreal Canadiens L 2-3 1327.94 1396.63 41.40% 19.81% 38.79% -6.06 26
1941-03-06 Detroit Red Wings L 1-6 1321.88 1492.85 28.16% 18.78% 53.06% -17.79 26
1941-03-08 @ Toronto Maple Leafs L 1-6 1304.09 1596.15 8.86% 9.31% 81.83% -5.12 26
1941-03-09 @ Chicago Blackhawks T 2-2 1298.97 1443.47 16.73% 14.77% 68.50% +1.43 27
1941-03-13 Boston Bruins L 3-8 1300.40 1675.74 12.19% 11.92% 75.89% -5.57 27
1941-03-15 @ Montreal Canadiens L 0-6 1294.83 1377.69 21.51% 16.94% 61.55% -19.63 27
1941-03-16 @ New York Rangers L 3-6 1275.20 1583.15 8.24% 8.78% 82.98% -2.40 27
1940-11-02 @ Toronto Maple Leafs W 4-1 1596.36 1543.32 36.62% 19.74% 43.63% +16.33 2
1940-11-10 @ Detroit Red Wings T 2-2 1612.69 1441.50 53.09% 18.78% 28.13% -0.67 3
1940-11-16 Detroit Red Wings T 3-3 1612.02 1442.17 71.12% 13.81% 15.06% -1.29 4
1940-11-19 New York Americans W 3-2 1610.73 1435.67 71.65% 13.61% 14.74% +2.23 6
1940-11-23 Boston Bruins L 1-2 1612.96 1563.15 57.51% 17.93% 24.56% -8.41 6
1940-11-26 Toronto Maple Leafs L 2-4 1604.55 1578.76 54.43% 18.55% 27.02% -12.44 6
1940-11-28 @ New York Americans L 1-2 1592.11 1421.65 53.00% 18.79% 28.21% -7.84 6
1940-11-30 Montreal Canadiens W 6-1 1584.27 1371.17 75.29% 12.17% 12.55% +7.61 8
1940-12-01 @ Chicago Blackhawks L 1-4 1591.88 1489.73 43.58% 19.75% 36.68% -16.32 8
1940-12-05 @ Montreal Canadiens W 3-2 1575.56 1363.56 58.33% 17.74% 23.92% +3.73 10
1940-12-08 Detroit Red Wings L 1-3 1579.29 1483.02 63.13% 16.49% 20.38% -15.77 10
1940-12-10 @ Boston Bruins L 2-6 1563.52 1576.64 28.41% 18.83% 52.76% -12.42 10
1940-12-13 @ Detroit Red Wings L 2-3 1551.10 1498.79 36.52% 19.74% 43.74% -5.48 10
1940-12-15 New York Americans W 6-3 1545.62 1394.02 69.25% 14.50% 16.25% +5.16 12
1940-12-19 Boston Bruins W 5-3 1550.78 1600.93 44.04% 19.72% 36.23% +8.38 14
1940-12-22 @ Chicago Blackhawks L 1-3 1559.16 1477.12 40.70% 19.82% 39.48% -10.91 14
1940-12-25 Chicago Blackhawks T 3-3 1548.25 1488.03 58.80% 17.63% 23.56% -0.80 15
1940-12-28 @ Toronto Maple Leafs L 2-3 1547.45 1602.45 24.06% 17.79% 58.15% -3.75 15
1940-12-29 Toronto Maple Leafs W 3-2 1543.70 1606.20 42.29% 19.79% 37.92% +5.65 17
1940-12-31 @ Boston Bruins T 2-2 1549.35 1597.73 24.70% 17.97% 57.33% +0.88 18
1941-01-01 Montreal Canadiens L 1-2 1550.23 1398.48 69.26% 14.50% 16.24% -9.82 18
1941-01-04 @ Montreal Canadiens T 3-3 1540.41 1408.31 47.79% 19.46% 32.75% -0.33 19
1941-01-05 @ New York Americans W 6-2 1540.08 1389.64 50.31% 19.18% 30.51% +13.26 21
1941-01-07 Chicago Blackhawks L 2-3 1553.34 1458.20 63.00% 16.53% 20.47% -8.63 21
1941-01-09 @ Toronto Maple Leafs L 2-3 1544.71 1588.90 25.12% 18.08% 56.80% -3.91 21
1941-01-12 New York Americans W 3-1 1540.80 1361.02 72.12% 13.43% 14.45% +3.99 23
1941-01-14 Detroit Red Wings T 3-3 1544.79 1527.06 53.37% 18.73% 27.90% -0.57 24
1941-01-16 Boston Bruins T 2-2 1544.22 1600.88 43.12% 19.76% 37.12% -0.15 25
1941-01-19 @ Detroit Red Wings W 2-1 1544.07 1520.57 32.75% 19.46% 47.79% +7.19 27
1941-01-21 @ Boston Bruins L 3-4 1551.26 1608.85 23.81% 17.71% 58.48% -3.63 27
1941-01-26 @ Chicago Blackhawks L 1-4 1547.63 1464.46 40.87% 19.81% 39.32% -15.48 27
1941-02-02 Montreal Canadiens W 2-1 1532.15 1407.85 66.31% 15.51% 18.18% +2.96 29
1941-02-04 @ New York Americans T 2-2 1535.11 1339.45 56.27% 18.19% 25.53% -0.83 30
1941-02-06 Chicago Blackhawks W 6-2 1534.28 1484.64 57.49% 17.94% 24.58% +10.84 32
1941-02-09 @ Chicago Blackhawks W 2-1 1545.12 1473.80 39.17% 19.81% 41.02% +6.34 34
1941-02-11 @ Montreal Canadiens L 2-6 1551.46 1389.88 51.81% 18.97% 29.21% -20.65 34
1941-02-13 Boston Bruins L 3-5 1530.81 1650.28 34.37% 19.60% 46.03% -8.02 34
1941-02-15 @ Toronto Maple Leafs L 3-4 1522.79 1596.60 22.31% 17.22% 60.47% -3.40 34
1941-02-16 Toronto Maple Leafs L 1-4 1519.39 1600.00 39.69% 19.82% 40.50% -15.12 34
1941-02-18 @ New York Americans W 5-2 1504.27 1349.73 50.86% 19.11% 30.03% +10.33 36
1941-02-23 Chicago Blackhawks W 4-1 1514.60 1451.98 59.10% 17.56% 23.34% +9.40 38
1941-02-25 @ Boston Bruins W 2-0 1524.00 1675.53 16.25% 14.51% 69.24% +19.65 40
1941-02-27 Montreal Canadiens W 5-2 1543.65 1411.44 67.18% 15.22% 17.60% +6.07 42
1941-03-01 @ Montreal Canadiens W 3-1 1549.72 1405.37 49.48% 19.28% 31.24% +8.74 44
1941-03-02 @ Detroit Red Wings L 2-4 1558.46 1507.89 36.29% 19.73% 43.99% -8.89 44
1941-03-04 Detroit Red Wings W 6-0 1549.57 1516.78 55.34% 18.38% 26.29% +23.93 46
1941-03-09 Toronto Maple Leafs W 8-5 1573.50 1601.28 47.19% 19.51% 33.30% +9.65 48
1941-03-16 New York Americans W 6-3 1583.15 1275.20 82.98% 8.78% 8.24% +2.39 50
1940-11-02 New York Rangers L 1-4 1543.32 1596.36 43.63% 19.74% 36.62% -16.33 0
1940-11-09 Detroit Red Wings W 3-0 1526.99 1452.11 60.60% 17.19% 22.21% +10.61 2
1940-11-14 @ Montreal Canadiens W 6-2 1537.60 1372.76 52.25% 18.91% 28.84% +12.60 4
1940-11-16 Montreal Canadiens W 4-2 1550.20 1360.16 73.12% 13.04% 13.84% +3.40 6
1940-11-17 @ Boston Bruins W 4-1 1553.60 1569.27 28.13% 18.77% 53.10% +19.25 8
1940-11-21 @ New York Americans W 2-1 1572.85 1433.44 48.80% 19.36% 31.84% +5.13 10
1940-11-23 Chicago Blackhawks L 0-1 1577.98 1500.00 60.97% 17.09% 21.94% -9.38 10
1940-11-24 @ Chicago Blackhawks W 4-2 1568.60 1509.37 37.47% 19.78% 42.75% +10.16 12
1940-11-26 @ New York Rangers W 4-2 1578.76 1604.55 27.02% 18.55% 54.43% +12.44 14
1940-11-30 New York Americans W 6-1 1591.20 1429.50 70.30% 14.12% 15.58% +9.70 16
1940-12-01 @ Detroit Red Wings W 3-1 1600.90 1472.80 47.23% 19.51% 33.26% +9.23 18
1940-12-07 Boston Bruins W 3-2 1610.13 1587.22 54.05% 18.61% 27.33% +4.24 20
1940-12-12 Montreal Canadiens W 4-3 1614.37 1366.61 78.33% 10.88% 10.80% +1.53 22
1940-12-14 Chicago Blackhawks W 2-1 1615.90 1486.04 66.92% 15.31% 17.77% +2.89 24
1940-12-15 @ Chicago Blackhawks W 4-1 1618.79 1483.15 48.28% 19.41% 32.31% +12.73 26
1940-12-17 @ Boston Bruins L 2-5 1631.52 1589.07 35.20% 19.66% 45.13% -11.86 26
1940-12-21 New York Americans T 2-2 1619.66 1396.80 76.17% 11.80% 12.03% -1.78 27
1940-12-22 @ New York Americans L 1-2 1617.88 1398.58 59.24% 17.53% 23.23% -8.63 27
1940-12-25 @ Detroit Red Wings L 2-3 1609.25 1477.89 47.69% 19.47% 32.84% -6.80 27
1940-12-28 New York Rangers W 3-2 1602.45 1547.45 58.15% 17.79% 24.06% +3.75 29
1940-12-29 @ New York Rangers L 2-3 1606.20 1543.70 37.92% 19.79% 42.29% -5.65 29
1941-01-04 Detroit Red Wings L 1-3 1600.55 1507.45 62.76% 16.60% 20.64% -15.69 29
1941-01-07 @ Montreal Canadiens W 4-3 1584.86 1399.66 54.93% 18.46% 26.62% +4.04 31
1941-01-09 New York Rangers W 3-2 1588.90 1544.71 56.80% 18.08% 25.12% +3.91 33
1941-01-11 New York Americans W 9-0 1592.81 1376.86 75.54% 12.06% 12.40% +15.84 35
1941-01-18 Boston Bruins L 0-1 1608.65 1601.04 52.03% 18.94% 29.03% -8.19 35
1941-01-19 @ New York Americans T 3-3 1600.46 1357.03 62.14% 16.77% 21.08% -0.94 36
1941-01-23 @ Montreal Canadiens W 3-2 1599.52 1410.25 55.45% 18.36% 26.19% +4.07 38
1941-01-25 Montreal Canadiens T 2-2 1603.59 1406.17 73.82% 12.76% 13.42% -1.68 39
1941-01-26 @ Detroit Red Wings W 2-0 1601.91 1517.28 41.08% 19.81% 39.11% +12.21 41
1941-01-30 Detroit Red Wings W 2-1 1614.12 1505.07 64.60% 16.05% 19.35% +3.16 43
1941-02-01 Chicago Blackhawks W 3-1 1617.28 1470.67 68.72% 14.69% 16.59% +4.65 45
1941-02-02 @ Chicago Blackhawks L 1-4 1621.93 1466.02 51.05% 19.08% 29.87% -18.62 45
1941-02-08 Boston Bruins L 2-3 1603.31 1633.40 46.87% 19.54% 33.59% -6.71 45
1941-02-15 New York Rangers W 4-3 1596.60 1522.79 60.47% 17.22% 22.31% +3.40 47
1941-02-16 @ New York Rangers W 4-1 1600.00 1519.39 40.50% 19.82% 39.69% +15.12 49
1941-02-18 @ Boston Bruins T 2-2 1615.12 1674.73 23.62% 17.65% 58.73% +0.96 50
1941-02-20 Montreal Canadiens W 2-1 1616.08 1398.45 75.70% 12.00% 12.31% +1.92 52
1941-02-22 Detroit Red Wings W 6-2 1618.00 1499.32 65.69% 15.71% 18.60% +8.15 54
1941-02-23 @ Detroit Red Wings L 0-3 1626.15 1491.17 48.19% 19.42% 32.39% -21.03 54
1941-02-25 @ New York Americans T 4-4 1605.12 1329.13 65.88% 15.65% 18.47% -0.95 55
1941-03-01 Boston Bruins T 0-0 1604.17 1655.88 43.82% 19.73% 36.44% -0.29 56
1941-03-06 @ Montreal Canadiens L 3-4 1603.88 1402.69 56.98% 18.05% 24.98% -7.73 56
1941-03-08 New York Americans W 6-1 1596.15 1304.09 81.83% 9.31% 8.86% +5.13 58
1941-03-09 @ New York Rangers L 5-8 1601.28 1573.50 33.30% 19.51% 47.19% -9.65 58
1941-03-11 @ Boston Bruins L 2-3 1591.63 1672.36 21.70% 17.00% 61.30% -3.38 58
1941-03-15 Chicago Blackhawks W 7-1 1588.25 1438.79 69.02% 14.58% 16.39% +12.13 60
1941-03-16 @ Chicago Blackhawks W 3-0 1600.38 1426.65 53.43% 18.72% 27.85% +13.21 62

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Record
1941-03-20 Toronto Maple Leafs W 3-0 1687.46 1613.59 70.54% 0.00% 29.46% +10.66 1-0
1941-03-22 Toronto Maple Leafs L 3-5 1698.12 1602.94 73.02% 0.00% 26.98% -13.31 1-1
1941-03-25 @ Toronto Maple Leafs L 2-7 1684.81 1616.25 48.67% 0.00% 51.33% -19.63 1-2
1941-03-27 @ Toronto Maple Leafs W 2-1 1665.18 1635.88 43.07% 0.00% 56.93% +7.09 2-2
1941-03-29 Toronto Maple Leafs L 1-2 1672.27 1628.79 66.78% 0.00% 33.22% -8.32 2-3
1941-04-01 @ Toronto Maple Leafs W 2-1 1663.95 1637.10 42.72% 0.00% 57.28% +7.13 3-3
1941-04-03 Toronto Maple Leafs W 2-1 1671.08 1629.97 66.47% 0.00% 33.53% +4.18 4-3
1941-04-06 Detroit Red Wings W 3-2 1675.26 1544.74 76.84% 0.00% 23.16% +2.73 5-3
1941-04-08 Detroit Red Wings W 2-1 1677.99 1542.01 77.39% 0.00% 22.61% +2.82 6-3
1941-04-10 @ Detroit Red Wings W 4-2 1680.81 1539.19 59.08% 0.00% 40.92% +7.89 7-3
1941-04-12 @ Detroit Red Wings W 3-1 1688.70 1531.30 61.26% 0.00% 38.74% +8.35 8-3
1941-03-20 Montreal Canadiens W 2-1 1413.44 1397.33 63.19% 0.00% 36.81% +4.58 1-0
1941-03-22 @ Montreal Canadiens L 3-4 1418.02 1392.75 42.50% 0.00% 57.50% -4.90 1-1
1941-03-25 Montreal Canadiens W 3-2 1413.12 1397.65 63.11% 0.00% 36.89% +4.36 2-1
1941-03-27 @ Detroit Red Wings L 1-3 1417.48 1534.09 24.62% 0.00% 75.38% -5.31 2-2
1941-03-30 Detroit Red Wings L 1-2 1412.17 1539.40 42.93% 0.00% 57.07% -5.34 2-3
1941-03-20 New York Rangers W 2-1 1529.83 1585.54 53.17% 0.00% 46.83% +5.83 1-0
1941-03-23 @ New York Rangers L 1-3 1535.66 1579.71 33.15% 0.00% 66.85% -7.15 1-1
1941-03-25 New York Rangers W 3-2 1528.51 1586.86 52.80% 0.00% 47.20% +5.58 2-1
1941-03-27 Chicago Blackhawks W 3-1 1534.09 1417.48 75.38% 0.00% 24.62% +5.31 3-1
1941-03-30 @ Chicago Blackhawks W 2-1 1539.40 1412.17 57.07% 0.00% 42.93% +5.34 4-1
1941-04-06 @ Boston Bruins L 2-3 1544.74 1675.26 23.16% 0.00% 76.84% -2.73 4-2
1941-04-08 @ Boston Bruins L 1-2 1542.01 1677.99 22.61% 0.00% 77.39% -2.82 4-3
1941-04-10 Boston Bruins L 2-4 1539.19 1680.81 40.92% 0.00% 59.08% -7.89 4-4
1941-04-12 Boston Bruins L 1-3 1531.30 1688.70 38.74% 0.00% 61.26% -8.35 4-5
1941-03-20 @ Chicago Blackhawks L 1-2 1397.33 1413.44 36.81% 0.00% 63.19% -4.58 0-1
1941-03-22 Chicago Blackhawks W 4-3 1392.75 1418.02 57.50% 0.00% 42.50% +4.90 1-1
1941-03-25 @ Chicago Blackhawks L 2-3 1397.65 1413.12 36.89% 0.00% 63.11% -4.36 1-2
1941-03-20 @ Detroit Red Wings L 1-2 1585.54 1529.83 46.83% 0.00% 53.17% -5.83 0-1
1941-03-23 Detroit Red Wings W 3-1 1579.71 1535.66 66.85% 0.00% 33.15% +7.15 1-1
1941-03-25 @ Detroit Red Wings L 2-3 1586.86 1528.51 47.20% 0.00% 52.80% -5.58 1-2
1941-03-20 @ Boston Bruins L 0-3 1613.59 1687.46 29.46% 0.00% 70.54% -10.65 0-1
1941-03-22 @ Boston Bruins W 5-3 1602.94 1698.12 26.98% 0.00% 73.02% +13.31 1-1
1941-03-25 Boston Bruins W 7-2 1616.25 1684.81 51.33% 0.00% 48.67% +19.63 2-1
1941-03-27 Boston Bruins L 1-2 1635.88 1665.18 56.93% 0.00% 43.07% -7.09 2-2
1941-03-29 @ Boston Bruins W 2-1 1628.79 1672.27 33.22% 0.00% 66.78% +8.31 3-2
1941-04-01 Boston Bruins L 1-2 1637.10 1663.95 57.28% 0.00% 42.72% -7.13 3-3
1941-04-03 @ Boston Bruins L 1-2 1629.97 1671.08 33.53% 0.00% 66.47% -4.17 3-4

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1940-11-26 12.72% Montreal Canadiens 1361.25 3 @ Boston Bruins 1571.26 2
2 1941-01-01 16.24% Montreal Canadiens 1398.48 2 @ New York Rangers 1550.23 1
3 1941-02-25 16.25% New York Rangers 1524.00 2 @ Boston Bruins 1675.53 0
4 1940-12-15 17.10% Montreal Canadiens 1365.08 2 @ Detroit Red Wings 1504.26 1
5 1940-12-08 20.38% Detroit Red Wings 1483.02 3 @ New York Rangers 1579.29 1
6 1941-01-07 20.47% Chicago Blackhawks 1458.20 3 @ New York Rangers 1553.34 2
7 1941-01-04 20.64% Detroit Red Wings 1507.45 3 @ Toronto Maple Leafs 1600.55 1
8 1940-11-23 21.94% Chicago Blackhawks 1500.00 1 @ Toronto Maple Leafs 1577.98 0
9 1940-11-12 22.65% Chicago Blackhawks 1507.06 6 @ Boston Bruins 1577.16 5
10 1940-12-21 22.75% @ Montreal Canadiens 1368.05 3 Boston Bruins 1592.55 1
11 1940-11-07 23.16% New York Americans 1442.06 1 @ Chicago Blackhawks 1506.60 0
12 1940-12-22 23.23% @ New York Americans 1398.58 2 Toronto Maple Leafs 1617.88 1
13 1941-02-13 23.87% Montreal Canadiens 1410.53 6 @ Chicago Blackhawks 1467.46 5
14 1940-11-23 24.56% Boston Bruins 1563.15 2 @ New York Rangers 1612.96 1
15 1941-03-06 24.98% @ Montreal Canadiens 1402.69 4 Toronto Maple Leafs 1603.88 3
16 1940-12-05 25.29% Detroit Red Wings 1463.57 5 @ Chicago Blackhawks 1506.04 1
17 1941-03-22 * 26.98% Toronto Maple Leafs 1602.94 5 @ Boston Bruins 1698.12 3
18 1940-11-26 27.02% Toronto Maple Leafs 1578.76 4 @ New York Rangers 1604.55 2
19 1940-11-17 28.13% Toronto Maple Leafs 1553.60 4 @ Boston Bruins 1569.27 1
20 1940-11-28 28.21% @ New York Americans 1421.65 2 New York Rangers 1592.11 1
21 1940-11-17 29.03% Detroit Red Wings 1443.47 2 @ New York Americans 1451.12 0
22 1941-01-18 29.03% Boston Bruins 1601.04 1 @ Toronto Maple Leafs 1608.65 0
23 1941-02-11 29.21% @ Montreal Canadiens 1389.88 6 New York Rangers 1551.46 2
24 1941-02-02 29.87% @ Chicago Blackhawks 1466.02 4 Toronto Maple Leafs 1621.93 1
25 1941-01-30 31.62% @ New York Americans 1336.11 5 Chicago Blackhawks 1477.37 4

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1940-12-05 26.24 Detroit Red Wings 5 1463.57 25.29% @ Chicago Blackhawks 1 1506.04 56.58% 18.13%
2 1941-03-04 23.93 @ New York Rangers 6 1549.57 55.34% Detroit Red Wings 0 1516.78 26.29% 18.38%
3 1941-03-08 22.10 Detroit Red Wings 4 1510.64 43.31% @ Montreal Canadiens 0 1410.42 36.94% 19.76%
4 1941-02-23 21.03 @ Detroit Red Wings 3 1491.17 32.39% Toronto Maple Leafs 0 1626.15 48.19% 19.42%
5 1941-01-16 20.75 @ Montreal Canadiens 5 1382.44 37.42% Chicago Blackhawks 1 1479.15 42.80% 19.77%
6 1941-02-11 20.65 @ Montreal Canadiens 6 1389.88 29.21% New York Rangers 2 1551.46 51.81% 18.97%
7 1940-12-01 19.73 Boston Bruins 10 1561.34 49.09% @ New York Americans 3 1419.79 31.58% 19.32%
8 1941-02-25 19.65 New York Rangers 2 1524.00 16.25% @ Boston Bruins 0 1675.53 69.24% 14.51%
9 1941-03-15 19.64 @ Montreal Canadiens 6 1377.69 61.55% New York Americans 0 1294.83 21.51% 16.94%
10 1941-03-25 * 19.63 @ Toronto Maple Leafs 7 1616.25 51.33% Boston Bruins 2 1684.81 48.67% 0.00%
11 1940-11-17 19.25 Toronto Maple Leafs 4 1553.60 28.13% @ Boston Bruins 1 1569.27 53.10% 18.77%
12 1941-02-02 18.62 @ Chicago Blackhawks 4 1466.02 29.87% Toronto Maple Leafs 1 1621.93 51.05% 19.08%
13 1941-01-01 17.99 Detroit Red Wings 4 1489.46 31.66% @ Chicago Blackhawks 1 1474.78 49.00% 19.33%
14 1941-03-06 17.79 Detroit Red Wings 6 1492.85 53.06% @ New York Americans 1 1321.88 28.16% 18.78%
15 1941-02-15 16.43 Boston Bruins 5 1658.30 61.75% @ Montreal Canadiens 0 1418.24 21.37% 16.88%
16 1940-11-02 16.33 New York Rangers 4 1596.36 36.62% @ Toronto Maple Leafs 1 1543.32 43.63% 19.74%
17 1940-12-01 16.32 @ Chicago Blackhawks 4 1489.73 36.68% New York Rangers 1 1591.88 43.58% 19.75%
18 1941-01-11 15.84 @ Toronto Maple Leafs 9 1592.81 75.54% New York Americans 0 1376.86 12.40% 12.06%
19 1940-12-08 15.77 Detroit Red Wings 3 1483.02 20.38% @ New York Rangers 1 1579.29 63.13% 16.49%
20 1941-01-04 15.69 Detroit Red Wings 3 1507.45 20.64% @ Toronto Maple Leafs 1 1600.55 62.76% 16.60%
21 1941-01-26 15.48 @ Chicago Blackhawks 4 1464.46 39.32% New York Rangers 1 1547.63 40.87% 19.81%
22 1940-11-17 15.45 Detroit Red Wings 2 1443.47 29.03% @ New York Americans 0 1451.12 52.03% 18.94%
23 1941-02-16 15.12 Toronto Maple Leafs 4 1600.00 40.50% @ New York Rangers 1 1519.39 39.69% 19.82%
24 1940-12-21 15.08 @ Montreal Canadiens 3 1368.05 22.75% Boston Bruins 1 1592.55 59.87% 17.37%
25 1941-02-22 14.92 @ Montreal Canadiens 7 1396.52 41.16% Chicago Blackhawks 3 1466.90 39.03% 19.81%