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1998-99 Macedonian First Football League Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Sloga Jugomagnat

60 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sloga Jugomagnat

11.57 points above expected

60 points · 48.43 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Balkan

11.12 points below expected

16 points · 27.12 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sloga Jugomagnat 26 19 3 4 60 40 12 +28 48.43 +11.57
2 Sileks 26 17 6 3 57 62 21 +41 52.77 +4.23
3 Pobeda (1st) 26 17 2 7 53 52 18 +34 45.28 +7.72
4 Vardar 26 15 4 7 49 61 32 +29 47.49 +1.51
5 Cementarnica 55 26 14 2 10 44 47 37 +10 39.97 +4.03
6 Makedonija GP 26 10 7 9 37 44 40 +4 40.85 -3.85
7 Tikvesh 26 10 6 10 36 34 38 -4 31.56 +4.44
8 Borec 26 8 8 10 32 31 34 -3 33.22 -1.22
9 Rabotnicki 26 9 5 12 32 38 46 -8 36.16 -4.16
10 Pelister 26 7 8 11 29 30 50 -20 27.59 +1.41
11 Kamenica Sasa 26 7 5 14 26 28 38 -10 30.65 -4.65
12 Osogovo 26 7 4 15 25 27 48 -21 28.10 -3.10
13 Skopje 26 5 2 19 17 26 59 -33 23.21 -6.21
14 Balkan 26 4 4 18 16 13 60 -47 27.12 -11.12

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sloga Jugomagnat 60 48.43 +11.57
2 Pobeda (1st) 53 45.28 +7.72
3 Tikvesh 36 31.56 +4.44
4 Sileks 57 52.77 +4.23
5 Cementarnica 55 44 39.97 +4.03

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Balkan 16 27.12 -11.12
2 Skopje 17 23.21 -6.21
3 Kamenica Sasa 26 30.65 -4.65
4 Rabotnicki 32 36.16 -4.16
5 Makedonija GP 37 40.85 -3.85

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vardar 6 Apr 4 – May 7 1 in 23
2 Borec 2 Sep 1 – Sep 13 1 in 17
3 Sloga Jugomagnat 5 Sep 27 – Nov 1 1 in 15
4 Tikvesh 3 May 16 – May 29 1 in 10
5 Pobeda (1st) 5 Mar 14 – Apr 18 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cementarnica 55 4 Apr 18 – May 7 1 in 983
2 Makedonija GP 6 Apr 26 – May 23 1 in 77
3 Balkan 7 Nov 22 – Apr 18 1 in 59
4 Borec 6 Mar 20 – Apr 30 1 in 44
5 Rabotnicki 4 Sep 13 – Oct 3 1 in 35

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tikvesh 7 Nov 8 – Apr 11 1 in 124
2 Cementarnica 55 8 Nov 1 – Apr 11 1 in 80
3 Sileks 21 Sep 13 – May 23 1 in 53
4 Vardar 9 Mar 7 – May 7 1 in 19
5 Borec 6 Oct 25 – Mar 14 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cementarnica 55 4 Apr 18 – May 7 1 in 52
2 Pelister 9 Sep 27 – Mar 14 1 in 24
3 Balkan 9 Nov 1 – Apr 18 1 in 19
4 Borec 8 Mar 14 – May 7 1 in 18
5 Kamenica Sasa 8 Aug 9 – Oct 3 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Sloga Jugomagnat 1555 60 +64 11 9.1 +1.9
Sileks 1564 57 +2 12 11.0 +1.0
Pobeda (1st) 1531 53 +34 9 7.5 +1.5
Vardar 1462 49 -12 6 8.8 -2.8
Cementarnica 55 1370 44 +55 9 6.6 +2.4
Makedonija GP 1246 37 -126 3 6.2 -3.2
Tikvesh 1327 36 +82 10 6.5 +3.5
Rabotnicki 1275 32 +10 10 9.5 +0.5
Borec 1204 32 +33 8 7.2 +0.8
Pelister 1197 29 +52 10 4.8 +5.2
Kamenica Sasa 1235 26 +40 7 7.2 -0.2
Osogovo 1162 25 -31 3 4.6 -1.6
Skopje 1073 17 -41 3 5.3 -2.3
Balkan 960 16 -163 0 4.2 -4.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BAL BOR C5 KS MG OSO PEL P( RAB SIL SKO SJ TIK VAR
Balkan —
0-1-1
2.00
1-0-1
1.80
0-0-2
2.51
0-1-1
2.13
0-1-1
2.88
0-1-1
3.03
0-0-2
1.35
0-0-2
1.77
0-0-2
0.98
1-0-1
3.17
0-0-2
1.68
1-0-1
2.60
1-0-1
1.72
Borec
1-1-0
3.63
 —
1-0-1
1.98
0-1-1
3.35
1-1-0
2.11
1-1-0
2.96
1-0-1
3.14
0-0-2
2.10
1-1-0
2.74
0-1-1
1.33
1-0-1
3.73
0-1-1
1.88
0-1-1
2.88
1-0-1
1.80
Cementarnica 55
1-0-1
3.82
1-0-1
3.64
 —
2-0-0
3.44
1-0-1
2.49
2-0-0
3.86
1-0-1
3.58
1-0-1
1.81
1-0-1
3.11
0-1-1
1.98
2-0-0
4.07
1-0-1
2.26
0-0-2
3.55
1-1-0
1.74
Kamenica Sasa
2-0-0
3.11
1-1-0
2.27
0-0-2
2.20
 —
0-1-1
1.82
1-0-1
2.60
1-0-1
3.07
0-1-1
2.00
1-0-1
2.33
0-1-1
1.37
1-0-1
3.42
0-0-2
1.30
0-0-2
3.00
0-1-1
1.62
Makedonija GP
1-1-0
3.52
0-1-1
3.51
1-0-1
3.13
1-1-0
3.81
 —
1-0-1
4.19
1-0-1
3.78
1-0-1
2.28
1-1-0
3.28
0-1-1
1.71
2-0-0
4.24
0-0-2
1.75
1-1-0
3.62
0-1-1
2.27
Osogovo
1-1-0
2.74
0-1-1
2.65
0-0-2
1.77
1-0-1
3.03
1-0-1
1.44
 —
0-1-1
2.70
1-0-1
1.21
1-0-1
2.51
1-0-1
1.37
1-1-0
3.35
0-0-2
1.86
0-0-2
2.50
0-0-2
1.20
Pelister
1-1-0
2.59
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.04
1-0-1
2.55
1-0-1
1.86
1-1-0
2.92
 —
0-1-1
1.31
0-1-1
2.15
0-0-2
0.83
1-1-0
3.16
0-1-1
1.46
0-2-0
2.34
0-0-2
1.62
Pobeda (1st)
2-0-0
4.29
2-0-0
3.53
1-0-1
3.82
1-1-0
3.64
1-0-1
3.34
1-0-1
4.43
1-1-0
4.32
 —
1-0-1
3.45
1-0-1
2.24
1-0-1
4.33
1-0-1
2.41
2-0-0
3.78
2-0-0
2.64
Rabotnicki
2-0-0
3.85
0-1-1
2.89
1-0-1
2.53
1-0-1
3.30
0-1-1
2.34
1-0-1
3.11
1-1-0
3.47
1-0-1
2.19
 —
0-1-1
1.76
2-0-0
3.67
0-0-2
1.69
0-1-1
3.48
0-0-2
2.02
Sileks
2-0-0
4.66
1-1-0
4.31
1-1-0
3.65
1-1-0
4.29
1-1-0
3.94
1-0-1
4.28
2-0-0
4.83
1-0-1
3.38
1-1-0
3.89
 —
2-0-0
4.81
2-0-0
2.83
2-0-0
4.27
0-1-1
3.28
Skopje
1-0-1
2.46
1-0-1
1.90
0-0-2
1.56
1-0-1
2.20
0-0-2
1.39
0-1-1
2.27
0-1-1
2.46
1-0-1
1.30
0-0-2
1.96
0-0-2
0.85
 —
0-0-2
1.21
1-0-1
2.10
0-0-2
1.54
Sloga Jugomagnat
2-0-0
3.98
1-1-0
3.76
1-0-1
3.37
2-0-0
4.33
2-0-0
3.87
2-0-0
3.77
1-1-0
4.19
1-0-1
3.20
2-0-0
3.94
0-0-2
2.79
2-0-0
4.44
 —
1-1-0
4.20
2-0-0
3.13
Tikvesh
1-0-1
3.02
1-1-0
2.75
2-0-0
2.07
2-0-0
2.63
0-1-1
2.00
2-0-0
3.12
0-2-0
3.29
0-0-2
1.86
1-1-0
2.15
0-0-2
1.38
1-0-1
3.53
0-1-1
1.43
 —
0-0-2
1.56
Vardar
1-0-1
3.93
1-0-1
3.83
0-1-1
3.88
1-1-0
4.01
1-1-0
3.35
2-0-0
4.44
2-0-0
4.02
0-0-2
2.99
2-0-0
3.60
1-1-0
2.35
2-0-0
4.10
0-0-2
2.49
2-0-0
4.07
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.73 +8.7
Allowed 0.87 -9.2
Differential 0.94 +5.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.04%9.34%6.59%2.75%1.65%2.75%29.12%
19.34%8.24%7.97%3.57%0.82%1.10%31.04%
26.59%7.97%2.75%1.92%1.37%0.55%21.15%
32.75%3.57%1.92%0.55%—0.55%9.34%
41.65%0.82%1.37%—0.55%—4.40%
5+2.75%1.10%0.55%0.55%——4.95%
Total29.12%31.04%21.15%9.34%4.40%4.95%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.46 +0.00
SD 1.45 1.45 2.21
CV 0.99 0.99 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%15.38%19.23%7.69%3.85%11.54%65.38%
17.69%7.69%3.85%———19.23%
2—7.69%———7.69%15.38%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%30.77%23.08%7.69%3.85%19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.50 2.31 -1.81
SD 0.76 2.09 2.15
CV 1.52 0.91 —
Max 2 7 +1
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%—38.46%
1—15.38%3.85%7.69%——26.92%
211.54%7.69%3.85%———23.08%
33.85%—3.85%———7.69%
4———————
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total30.77%30.77%19.23%15.38%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.31 -0.12
SD 1.39 1.19 2.12
CV 1.16 0.91 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%7.69%———19.23%
13.85%3.85%11.54%—3.85%—23.08%
27.69%15.38%3.85%—3.85%—30.77%
33.85%11.54%————15.38%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+———3.85%——3.85%
Total15.38%46.15%26.92%3.85%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.42 +0.38
SD 1.36 1.06 1.72
CV 0.75 0.75 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%7.69%——3.85%34.62%
17.69%7.69%11.54%7.69%—3.85%38.46%
27.69%——7.69%——15.38%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total34.62%23.08%19.23%15.38%—7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.46 -0.38
SD 1.09 1.50 2.00
CV 1.01 1.03 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%—11.54%——19.23%
115.38%15.38%7.69%3.85%——42.31%
2——7.69%—3.85%—11.54%
3—7.69%———3.85%11.54%
4——7.69%———7.69%
5+7.69%—————7.69%
Total26.92%26.92%23.08%15.38%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.54 +0.15
SD 1.52 1.36 2.11
CV 0.90 0.89 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%15.38%7.69%—3.85%—34.62%
13.85%3.85%15.38%—3.85%7.69%34.62%
2—15.38%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.54%38.46%30.77%3.85%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.85 -0.81
SD 0.96 1.49 1.74
CV 0.92 0.81 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%—7.69%3.85%3.85%7.69%34.62%
111.54%11.54%7.69%7.69%——38.46%
2—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
3—3.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%15.38%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total23.08%19.23%26.92%15.38%3.85%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.92 -0.77
SD 1.19 1.60 1.95
CV 1.03 0.83 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—19.23%3.85%———23.08%
111.54%3.85%3.85%———19.23%
211.54%15.38%3.85%———30.77%
37.69%—————7.69%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+11.54%3.85%————15.38%
Total42.31%46.15%11.54%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 0.69 +1.31
SD 1.77 0.68 2.13
CV 0.88 0.98 —
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%11.54%3.85%——34.62%
13.85%7.69%3.85%——3.85%19.23%
23.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%7.69%—26.92%
3—3.85%7.69%———11.54%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total15.38%30.77%34.62%7.69%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.77 -0.31
SD 1.50 1.39 1.89
CV 1.03 0.79 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—3.85%———7.69%
111.54%15.38%7.69%———34.62%
215.38%—————15.38%
33.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
411.54%———3.85%—15.38%
5+7.69%——3.85%——11.54%
Total53.85%23.08%15.38%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.38 0.81 +1.58
SD 1.72 1.10 2.02
CV 0.72 1.36 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%7.69%26.92%
13.85%7.69%15.38%15.38%3.85%—46.15%
215.38%——7.69%3.85%—26.92%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total19.23%15.38%19.23%26.92%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.27 -1.27
SD 0.75 1.71 2.13
CV 0.75 0.75 —
Max 2 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%7.69%———15.38%
146.15%7.69%3.85%———57.69%
23.85%3.85%————7.69%
37.69%—————7.69%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total65.38%23.08%11.54%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 0.46 +1.08
SD 1.50 0.71 1.72
CV 0.98 1.53 —
Max 6 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%3.85%—3.85%7.69%34.62%
1—7.69%11.54%3.85%——23.08%
211.54%11.54%————23.08%
33.85%7.69%—3.85%——15.38%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total30.77%34.62%15.38%7.69%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.46 -0.15
SD 1.23 1.61 2.34
CV 0.94 1.10 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%————19.23%
13.85%—3.85%3.85%——11.54%
23.85%23.08%7.69%3.85%——38.46%
33.85%—3.85%———7.69%
43.85%———3.85%—7.69%
5+3.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
Total23.08%46.15%19.23%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.35 1.23 +1.12
SD 1.96 1.03 2.16
CV 0.83 0.84 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sileks 1564 57 52.77 +4.23 79.0% 35 43 49 53 56 62 66
Sloga Jugomagnat 1555 60 48.43 +11.57 98.0% 34 37 43 49 53 58 66
Pobeda (1st) 1531 53 45.28 +7.72 90.0% 31 34 40 45 50 55 64
Vardar 1462 49 47.49 +1.51 63.0% 33 38 44 47 52 58 64
Cementarnica 55 1370 44 39.97 +4.03 75.0% 28 30 35 40 44 49 55
Tikvesh 1327 36 31.56 +4.44 81.0% 17 20 28 31 35 41 47
Rabotnicki 1275 32 36.16 -4.16 33.0% 21 26 31 37 41 46 51
Makedonija GP 1246 37 40.85 -3.85 30.0% 24 30 37 41 45 52 58
Kamenica Sasa 1235 26 30.65 -4.65 22.0% 16 21 27 30 34 41 45
Borec 1204 32 33.22 -1.22 42.0% 21 23 30 34 36 41 45
Pelister 1197 29 27.59 +1.41 64.0% 13 18 24 28 32 36 45
Osogovo 1162 25 28.10 -3.10 35.0% 12 18 24 28 32 38 45
Skopje 1073 17 23.21 -6.21 13.0% 11 16 19 23 26 31 40
Balkan 960 16 27.12 -11.12 2.0% 10 19 23 26 31 37 52

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 23% * Slight Edge: 23% to 31% * Clear Edge: 31% to 38% * Strong Edge: 38% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+34.62%
Clear Edge
58.24%18.13%23.63%
Elo Value
Home Edge
161 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0125.45500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.81 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.78+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.12 * Tight Race: 0.12 to 0.25 * Comfortable: 0.25 to 0.36 * Runaway: 0.36 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.8
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
17%
Sloga Jugomagnat, 2nd of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.12/gm
Photo Finish
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.82 * Some Luck: 4.82 to 7.23 * Lucky: 7.23 to 9.64 * Wild Swing: 9.64 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.41 * Close: 1.41 to 2.12 * Off: 2.12 to 2.82 * Way Off: 2.82 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.85 points
Some Luck
06.0215
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.14
Pinpoint
01.764
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
98.00%
Sloga Jugomagnat
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
2.00%
Balkan
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.9 * Moderate Separation: 1.9 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.3 * Wide Separation: 2.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 70.5% * Clear Edge: 70.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93% * Clear Edge: 93% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56.5% * Some Drama: 56.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Lopsided
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 182.64
2.02
Moderate Separation
11.92.12.32.75
Interquartile Edge
80%
Wide Edge
50%65%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
97%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
57%
Some Drama
0%50%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Frequent
0%26%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.43 * Slight Separation: 0.43 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.65 * Near-Lock: 0.65 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 18% * Upset-Prone: 18% to 21% * Very Upset-Prone: 21% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16.5% * Very Shaky: 16.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.49
Highly Predictable
00.542
Matchup Imbalance
0.46
Notable Separation
00.430.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.88
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.65
Near-Lock
00.410.571
Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
As Expected
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.81
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.24
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.080
Well Within Noise
00.1130.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Sloga Jugomagnat17.00%29.00%22.00%11.00%11.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%——————
Sileks54.00%21.00%16.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%————————
Pobeda (1st)10.00%17.00%15.00%25.00%13.00%10.00%4.00%5.00%—1.00%————
Vardar14.00%20.00%25.00%15.00%14.00%7.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%————
Cementarnica 55—4.00%10.00%11.00%22.00%19.00%13.00%5.00%8.00%6.00%——2.00%—
Makedonija GP4.00%6.00%7.00%17.00%13.00%20.00%13.00%11.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%—1.00%—
Tikvesh———1.00%2.00%9.00%14.00%12.00%13.00%16.00%14.00%7.00%6.00%6.00%
Borec——1.00%3.00%3.00%10.00%16.00%21.00%16.00%11.00%9.00%4.00%5.00%1.00%
Rabotnicki—3.00%2.00%7.00%12.00%13.00%13.00%14.00%14.00%8.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%
Pelister——1.00%1.00%1.00%—2.00%11.00%10.00%10.00%14.00%23.00%14.00%13.00%
Kamenica Sasa———3.00%3.00%3.00%8.00%5.00%16.00%21.00%19.00%9.00%8.00%5.00%
Osogovo——1.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%5.00%8.00%11.00%11.00%13.00%18.00%21.00%8.00%
Skopje—————1.00%3.00%——4.00%7.00%19.00%23.00%43.00%
Balkan1.00%———2.00%—4.00%5.00%7.00%9.00%15.00%16.00%18.00%23.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Pobeda (1st) 100% —
Sileks 100% —
Sloga Jugomagnat 100% —
Vardar 100% —
Makedonija GP 99.00% 1.00%
Cementarnica 55 98.00% 2.00%
Rabotnicki 97.00% 3.00%
Borec 94.00% 6.00%
Tikvesh 88.00% 12.00%
Kamenica Sasa 87.00% 13.00%
Pelister 73.00% 27.00%
Osogovo 71.00% 29.00%
Balkan 59.00% 41.00%
Skopje 34.00% 66.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1998-08-09 Osogovo D 0-051.2 1289 1247 61.45% 18.72% 19.83%+1.04 -4.9 1
1998-08-09 @ Balkan D 0-051.2 1247 1289 19.83% 18.72% 61.45%-1.04 +4.9 1
1998-08-09 Sloga Jugomagnat L 0-145.8 1288 1342 50.65% 19.13% 30.22%+0.45 -22.6 0
1998-08-09 @ Cementarnica 55 W 1-045.8 1342 1288 30.22% 19.13% 50.65%-0.45 +22.6 3
1998-08-09 Kamenica Sasa W 1-035.7 1327 1270 62.86% 18.63% 18.52%+1.13 +9.5 3
1998-08-09 @ Makedonija GP L 0-135.7 1270 1327 18.52% 18.63% 62.86%-1.13 -9.5 0
1998-08-09 Borec W 3-138.4 1271 1238 60.55% 18.77% 20.68%+0.98 +17.2 3
1998-08-09 @ Pelister L 1-338.4 1238 1271 20.68% 18.77% 60.55%-0.98 -17.2 0
1998-08-09 Skopje W 6-028.3 1316 1200 67.84% 18.20% 13.96%+1.50 +38.5 3
1998-08-09 @ Pobeda (1st) L 0-628.3 1200 1316 13.96% 18.20% 67.84%-1.50 -38.5 0
1998-08-09 Rabotnicki W 3-038.3 1272 1402 40.14% 19.24% 40.63%-0.03 +51.3 3
1998-08-09 @ Tikvesh L 0-338.3 1402 1272 40.63% 19.24% 40.14%+0.03 -51.3 0
1998-08-09 Sileks W 2-145.0 1326 1373 51.43% 19.12% 29.45%+0.49 +13.5 3
1998-08-09 @ Vardar L 1-245.0 1373 1326 29.45% 19.12% 51.43%-0.49 -13.5 0
1998-08-16 Tikvesh W 1-038.9 1284 1323 52.48% 19.09% 28.43%+0.54 +13.9 4
1998-08-16 @ Balkan L 0-138.9 1323 1284 28.43% 19.09% 52.48%-0.54 -13.9 3
1998-08-16 Makedonija GP W 2-146.6 1220 1337 42.13% 19.23% 38.64%+0.06 +17.0 3
1998-08-16 @ Borec L 1-246.6 1337 1220 38.64% 19.23% 42.13%-0.06 -17.0 3
1998-08-16 Pobeda (1st) D 1-155.6 1261 1354 45.31% 19.21% 35.48%+0.20 -1.0 1
1998-08-16 @ Kamenica Sasa D 1-155.6 1354 1261 35.48% 19.21% 45.31%-0.20 +1.0 4
1998-08-16 Sloga Jugomagnat L 1-443.2 1252 1364 42.70% 19.23% 38.07%+0.08 -45.0 1
1998-08-16 @ Osogovo W 4-143.2 1364 1252 38.07% 19.23% 42.70%-0.08 +45.0 6
1998-08-16 Pelister W 3-138.3 1351 1288 63.41% 18.59% 18.00%+1.17 +15.2 3
1998-08-16 @ Rabotnicki L 1-338.3 1288 1351 18.00% 18.59% 63.41%-1.17 -15.2 3
1998-08-16 Cementarnica 55 W 1-035.0 1360 1266 66.14% 18.36% 15.49%+1.36 +8.1 3
1998-08-16 @ Sileks L 0-135.0 1266 1360 15.49% 18.36% 66.14%-1.36 -8.1 0
1998-08-16 Vardar L 1-244.8 1162 1340 33.48% 19.19% 47.33%-0.33 -15.1 0
1998-08-16 @ Skopje W 2-144.8 1340 1162 47.33% 19.19% 33.48%+0.33 +15.1 6
1998-08-23 Skopje W 4-133.5 1258 1147 67.50% 18.23% 14.26%+1.47 +17.3 3
1998-08-23 @ Cementarnica 55 L 1-433.5 1147 1258 14.26% 18.23% 67.50%-1.47 -17.3 0
1998-08-23 Rabotnicki W 4-246.3 1320 1366 51.53% 19.11% 29.36%+0.49 +20.9 6
1998-08-23 @ Makedonija GP L 2-446.3 1366 1320 29.36% 19.11% 51.53%-0.49 -20.9 3
1998-08-23 Balkan D 0-051.3 1273 1298 54.06% 19.05% 26.90%+0.62 -3.1 4
1998-08-23 @ Pelister D 0-051.3 1298 1273 26.90% 19.05% 54.06%-0.62 +3.1 5
1998-08-23 Borec W 3-029.2 1355 1237 68.02% 18.18% 13.81%+1.51 +19.9 7
1998-08-23 @ Pobeda (1st) L 0-329.2 1237 1355 13.81% 18.18% 68.02%-1.51 -19.9 3
1998-08-23 Sileks L 0-150.8 1409 1368 61.36% 18.72% 19.92%+1.04 -27.1 6
1998-08-23 @ Sloga Jugomagnat W 1-050.8 1368 1409 19.92% 18.72% 61.36%-1.04 +27.1 6
1998-08-23 Osogovo W 2-031.3 1309 1207 66.80% 18.30% 14.90%+1.41 +14.7 6
1998-08-23 @ Tikvesh L 0-231.3 1207 1309 14.90% 18.30% 66.80%-1.41 -14.7 1
1998-08-23 Kamenica Sasa W 5-132.9 1355 1260 66.24% 18.36% 15.41%+1.37 +24.0 9
1998-08-23 @ Vardar L 1-532.9 1260 1355 15.41% 18.36% 66.24%-1.37 -24.0 1
1998-08-30 Makedonija GP D 1-155.9 1301 1340 52.44% 19.09% 28.47%+0.54 -2.4 6
1998-08-30 @ Balkan D 1-155.9 1340 1301 28.47% 19.09% 52.44%-0.54 +2.4 7
1998-08-30 Cementarnica 55 L 1-348.0 1236 1275 52.40% 19.09% 28.51%+0.53 -38.0 1
1998-08-30 @ Kamenica Sasa W 3-148.0 1275 1236 28.51% 19.09% 52.40%-0.53 +38.1 6
1998-08-30 Sileks W 2-150.3 1192 1395 30.32% 19.14% 50.55%-0.48 +21.3 4
1998-08-30 @ Osogovo L 1-250.3 1395 1192 50.55% 19.14% 30.32%+0.48 -21.3 6
1998-08-30 Pobeda (1st) W 1-039.8 1345 1375 53.54% 19.06% 27.40%+0.59 +13.5 6
1998-08-30 @ Rabotnicki L 0-139.8 1375 1345 27.40% 19.06% 53.54%-0.59 -13.5 7
1998-08-30 Sloga Jugomagnat L 0-137.2 1129 1382 24.45% 18.96% 56.59%-0.79 -12.2 0
1998-08-30 @ Skopje W 1-037.2 1382 1129 56.59% 18.96% 24.45%+0.79 +12.2 9
1998-08-30 Pelister D 0-051.6 1324 1270 62.62% 18.64% 18.74%+1.12 -5.2 7
1998-08-30 @ Tikvesh D 0-051.6 1270 1324 18.74% 18.64% 62.62%-1.12 +5.2 5
1998-09-01 Vardar W 3-253.6 1217 1379 35.72% 19.22% 45.06%-0.22 +18.2 6
1998-09-01 @ Borec L 2-353.6 1379 1217 45.06% 19.22% 35.72%+0.22 -18.2 9
1998-09-13 Borec L 0-246.5 1313 1236 64.72% 18.49% 16.79%+1.26 -53.8 6
1998-09-13 @ Cementarnica 55 W 2-046.5 1236 1313 16.79% 18.49% 64.72%-1.26 +53.8 9
1998-09-13 Tikvesh W 5-031.3 1343 1319 59.63% 18.82% 21.55%+0.93 +48.2 10
1998-09-13 @ Makedonija GP L 0-531.3 1319 1343 21.55% 18.82% 59.63%-0.93 -48.2 7
1998-09-13 Osogovo W 1-035.1 1275 1214 63.27% 18.60% 18.13%+1.16 +9.4 8
1998-09-13 @ Pelister L 0-135.1 1214 1275 18.13% 18.60% 63.27%-1.16 -9.4 4
1998-09-13 Balkan W 2-033.3 1361 1299 63.38% 18.59% 18.03%+1.17 +17.6 10
1998-09-13 @ Pobeda (1st) L 0-233.3 1299 1361 18.03% 18.59% 63.38%-1.17 -17.6 6
1998-09-13 Skopje W 6-025.7 1374 1117 76.37% 16.78% 6.85%+2.37 +19.2 9
1998-09-13 @ Sileks L 0-625.7 1117 1374 6.85% 16.78% 76.37%-2.37 -19.2 0
1998-09-13 Kamenica Sasa W 1-032.6 1394 1198 73.26% 17.44% 9.30%+2.00 +5.0 12
1998-09-13 @ Sloga Jugomagnat L 0-132.6 1198 1394 9.30% 17.44% 73.26%-2.00 -5.0 1
1998-09-13 Rabotnicki W 6-135.7 1361 1358 57.27% 18.93% 23.80%+0.79 +43.6 12
1998-09-13 @ Vardar L 1-635.7 1358 1361 23.80% 18.93% 57.27%-0.79 -43.6 6
1998-09-20 Vardar W 1-043.0 1281 1404 41.18% 19.23% 39.58%+0.02 +18.3 9
1998-09-20 @ Balkan L 0-143.0 1404 1281 39.58% 19.23% 41.18%-0.02 -18.3 12
1998-09-20 Sloga Jugomagnat D 1-156.4 1289 1399 43.02% 19.23% 37.75%+0.10 -0.5 10
1998-09-20 @ Borec D 1-156.4 1399 1289 37.75% 19.23% 43.02%-0.10 +0.5 13
1998-09-20 Sileks D 1-155.5 1193 1393 30.62% 19.14% 50.24%-0.47 +2.0 2
1998-09-20 @ Kamenica Sasa D 1-155.5 1393 1193 50.24% 19.14% 30.62%+0.47 -2.0 10
1998-09-20 Skopje W 2-138.5 1204 1098 67.13% 18.27% 14.60%+1.44 +7.2 7
1998-09-20 @ Osogovo L 1-238.5 1098 1204 14.60% 18.27% 67.13%-1.44 -7.2 0
1998-09-20 Makedonija GP W 4-248.6 1284 1391 43.43% 19.23% 37.34%+0.11 +25.5 11
1998-09-20 @ Pelister L 2-448.6 1391 1284 37.34% 19.23% 43.43%-0.11 -25.5 10
1998-09-20 Cementarnica 55 L 2-455.2 1315 1259 62.75% 18.63% 18.62%+1.13 -40.4 6
1998-09-20 @ Rabotnicki W 4-255.2 1259 1315 18.62% 18.63% 62.75%-1.13 +40.4 9
1998-09-20 Pobeda (1st) L 0-143.7 1270 1379 43.21% 19.23% 37.56%+0.11 -19.7 7
1998-09-20 @ Tikvesh W 1-043.7 1379 1270 37.56% 19.23% 43.21%-0.11 +19.7 13
1998-09-27 Balkan W 2-034.7 1300 1300 57.01% 18.94% 24.05%+0.78 +22.7 12
1998-09-27 @ Cementarnica 55 L 0-234.7 1300 1300 24.05% 18.94% 57.01%-0.78 -22.7 9
1998-09-27 Osogovo W 1-033.3 1366 1211 70.62% 17.86% 11.53%+1.74 +6.1 13
1998-09-27 @ Makedonija GP L 0-133.3 1211 1366 11.53% 17.86% 70.62%-1.74 -6.1 7
1998-09-27 Pelister W 5-030.1 1399 1310 65.72% 18.40% 15.88%+1.33 +36.5 16
1998-09-27 @ Pobeda (1st) L 0-530.1 1310 1399 15.88% 18.40% 65.72%-1.33 -36.5 11
1998-09-27 Borec D 1-156.5 1391 1289 66.79% 18.30% 14.91%+1.41 -5.6 11
1998-09-27 @ Sileks D 1-156.5 1289 1391 14.91% 18.30% 66.79%-1.41 +5.6 11
1998-09-27 Kamenica Sasa W 2-037.8 1091 1195 43.85% 19.22% 36.92%+0.13 +32.7 3
1998-09-27 @ Skopje L 0-237.8 1195 1091 36.92% 19.22% 43.85%-0.13 -32.6 2
1998-09-27 Rabotnicki W 1-034.7 1400 1274 68.59% 18.11% 13.30%+1.56 +7.0 16
1998-09-27 @ Sloga Jugomagnat L 0-134.7 1274 1400 13.30% 18.11% 68.59%-1.56 -7.0 6
1998-09-27 Tikvesh W 6-028.6 1386 1251 69.30% 18.03% 12.67%+1.62 +35.1 15
1998-09-27 @ Vardar L 0-628.6 1251 1386 12.67% 18.03% 69.30%-1.62 -35.1 7
1998-10-03 Sloga Jugomagnat L 0-143.2 1277 1407 40.18% 19.24% 40.58%-0.03 -18.5 9
1998-10-03 @ Balkan W 1-043.2 1407 1277 40.58% 19.24% 40.18%+0.03 +18.6 19
1998-10-03 Skopje W 3-027.5 1294 1123 71.72% 17.69% 10.58%+1.84 +15.4 14
1998-10-03 @ Borec L 0-327.5 1123 1294 10.58% 17.69% 71.72%-1.84 -15.4 3
1998-10-03 Pobeda (1st) W 1-042.7 1372 1435 49.32% 19.16% 31.52%+0.38 +15.2 16
1998-10-03 @ Makedonija GP L 0-142.7 1435 1372 31.52% 19.16% 49.32%-0.38 -15.2 16
1998-10-03 Kamenica Sasa W 2-140.3 1205 1162 61.57% 18.71% 19.72%+1.05 +9.5 10
1998-10-03 @ Osogovo L 1-240.3 1162 1205 19.72% 18.71% 61.57%-1.05 -9.5 2
1998-10-03 Vardar L 1-247.5 1273 1421 37.61% 19.23% 43.16%-0.14 -16.6 11
1998-10-03 @ Pelister W 2-147.5 1421 1273 43.16% 19.23% 37.61%+0.14 +16.6 18
1998-10-03 Sileks L 0-240.6 1267 1385 41.88% 19.23% 38.89%+0.05 -36.2 6
1998-10-03 @ Rabotnicki W 2-040.6 1385 1267 38.89% 19.23% 41.88%-0.05 +36.2 14
1998-10-03 Cementarnica 55 W 2-038.4 1216 1322 43.48% 19.23% 37.30%+0.12 +32.9 10
1998-10-03 @ Tikvesh L 0-238.4 1322 1216 37.30% 19.23% 43.48%-0.12 -32.9 12
1998-10-18 Pelister W 5-344.5 1289 1257 60.52% 18.77% 20.71%+0.98 +14.6 15
1998-10-18 @ Cementarnica 55 L 3-544.5 1257 1289 20.71% 18.77% 60.52%-0.98 -14.6 11
1998-10-18 Borec W 1-043.1 1152 1310 36.27% 19.22% 44.51%-0.20 +20.2 5
1998-10-18 @ Kamenica Sasa L 0-143.1 1310 1152 44.51% 19.22% 36.27%+0.20 -20.2 14
1998-10-18 Osogovo W 5-130.8 1420 1215 73.74% 17.35% 8.91%+2.05 +14.2 19
1998-10-18 @ Pobeda (1st) L 1-530.8 1215 1420 8.91% 17.35% 73.74%-2.05 -14.2 10
1998-10-18 Balkan W 6-028.5 1422 1259 71.20% 17.77% 11.03%+1.79 +30.7 17
1998-10-18 @ Sileks L 0-628.5 1259 1422 11.03% 17.77% 71.20%-1.79 -30.7 9
1998-10-18 Rabotnicki L 1-246.8 1108 1231 41.10% 19.23% 39.67%+0.01 -17.8 3
1998-10-18 @ Skopje W 2-146.8 1231 1108 39.67% 19.23% 41.10%-0.01 +17.8 9
1998-10-18 Tikvesh W 2-138.5 1425 1249 72.07% 17.64% 10.29%+1.88 +5.2 22
1998-10-18 @ Sloga Jugomagnat L 1-238.5 1249 1425 10.29% 17.64% 72.07%-1.88 -5.2 10
1998-10-18 Makedonija GP D 2-264.2 1438 1387 62.28% 18.66% 19.05%+1.09 -3.4 19
1998-10-18 @ Vardar D 2-264.2 1387 1438 19.05% 18.66% 62.28%-1.09 +3.4 17
1998-10-25 Skopje W 2-137.8 1228 1090 69.49% 18.00% 12.51%+1.64 +6.2 12
1998-10-25 @ Balkan L 1-237.8 1090 1228 12.51% 18.00% 69.49%-1.64 -6.2 3
1998-10-25 Cementarnica 55 W 1-035.8 1390 1304 65.49% 18.42% 16.09%+1.32 +8.4 20
1998-10-25 @ Makedonija GP L 0-135.8 1304 1390 16.09% 18.42% 65.49%-1.32 -8.4 15
1998-10-25 Borec D 2-260.2 1201 1290 45.90% 19.21% 34.89%+0.23 -0.8 11
1998-10-25 @ Osogovo D 2-260.2 1290 1201 34.89% 19.21% 45.90%-0.23 +0.8 15
1998-10-25 Sloga Jugomagnat L 0-534.7 1242 1431 32.12% 19.17% 48.71%-0.39 -68.1 11
1998-10-25 @ Pelister W 5-034.7 1431 1242 48.71% 19.17% 32.12%+0.39 +68.1 25
1998-10-25 Vardar W 1-042.0 1434 1434 57.03% 18.94% 24.03%+0.78 +12.0 22
1998-10-25 @ Pobeda (1st) L 0-142.0 1434 1434 24.03% 18.94% 57.03%-0.78 -12.0 19
1998-10-25 Kamenica Sasa W 2-139.4 1249 1173 64.64% 18.49% 16.86%+1.25 +8.3 12
1998-10-25 @ Rabotnicki L 1-239.4 1173 1249 16.86% 18.49% 64.64%-1.25 -8.3 5
1998-10-25 Sileks L 0-434.2 1243 1452 29.56% 19.12% 51.32%-0.52 -51.5 10
1998-10-25 @ Tikvesh W 4-034.2 1452 1243 51.32% 19.12% 29.56%+0.52 +51.5 20
1998-11-01 Rabotnicki W 2-033.3 1291 1257 60.56% 18.77% 20.67%+0.99 +19.9 18
1998-11-01 @ Borec L 0-233.3 1257 1291 20.67% 18.77% 60.56%-0.99 -19.9 12
1998-11-01 Pobeda (1st) W 2-042.2 1296 1446 37.22% 19.23% 43.55%-0.16 +37.4 18
1998-11-01 @ Cementarnica 55 L 0-242.2 1446 1296 43.55% 19.23% 37.22%+0.16 -37.4 22
1998-11-01 Balkan W 2-036.5 1164 1234 48.51% 19.17% 32.32%+0.35 +29.2 8
1998-11-01 @ Kamenica Sasa L 0-236.5 1234 1164 32.32% 19.17% 48.51%-0.35 -29.3 12
1998-11-01 Pelister W 4-025.6 1504 1174 79.43% 15.88% 4.70%+2.83 +8.9 23
1998-11-01 @ Sileks L 0-425.6 1174 1504 4.70% 15.88% 79.43%-2.83 -8.9 11
1998-11-01 Tikvesh W 2-038.0 1084 1192 43.26% 19.23% 37.51%+0.11 +33.1 6
1998-11-01 @ Skopje L 0-238.0 1192 1084 37.51% 19.23% 43.26%-0.11 -33.1 10
1998-11-01 Makedonija GP W 1-040.0 1499 1399 66.62% 18.32% 15.06%+1.40 +7.9 28
1998-11-01 @ Sloga Jugomagnat L 0-140.0 1399 1499 15.06% 18.32% 66.62%-1.40 -7.9 20
1998-11-01 Osogovo W 2-137.3 1422 1200 74.67% 17.16% 8.17%+2.16 +4.1 22
1998-11-01 @ Vardar L 1-237.3 1200 1422 8.17% 17.16% 74.67%-2.16 -4.1 11
1998-11-08 Borec D 1-155.1 1205 1310 43.62% 19.23% 37.16%+0.12 -0.6 13
1998-11-08 @ Balkan D 1-155.1 1310 1205 37.16% 19.23% 43.62%-0.12 +0.6 19
1998-11-08 Sileks D 1-161.1 1391 1513 41.32% 19.23% 39.45%+0.02 -0.2 21
1998-11-08 @ Makedonija GP D 1-161.1 1513 1391 39.45% 19.23% 41.32%-0.02 +0.2 24
1998-11-08 Rabotnicki W 3-248.0 1196 1237 52.09% 19.10% 28.81%+0.52 +12.6 14
1998-11-08 @ Osogovo L 2-348.0 1237 1196 28.81% 19.10% 52.09%-0.52 -12.6 12
1998-11-08 Skopje D 1-154.8 1165 1117 62.04% 18.68% 19.28%+1.08 -4.5 12
1998-11-08 @ Pelister D 1-154.8 1117 1165 19.28% 18.68% 62.04%-1.08 +4.5 7
1998-11-08 Sloga Jugomagnat W 2-044.4 1409 1507 44.73% 19.22% 36.05%+0.17 +32.0 25
1998-11-08 @ Pobeda (1st) L 0-244.4 1507 1409 36.05% 19.22% 44.73%-0.17 -32.0 28
1998-11-08 Kamenica Sasa W 2-035.1 1159 1194 52.97% 19.08% 27.95%+0.56 +25.9 13
1998-11-08 @ Tikvesh L 0-235.1 1194 1159 27.95% 19.08% 52.97%-0.56 -25.9 8
1998-11-08 Cementarnica 55 D 2-262.9 1426 1333 66.08% 18.37% 15.55%+1.36 -4.0 23
1998-11-08 @ Vardar D 2-262.9 1333 1426 15.55% 18.37% 66.08%-1.36 +4.0 19
1998-11-22 Tikvesh D 0-051.3 1311 1185 68.66% 18.10% 13.24%+1.56 -6.7 20
1998-11-22 @ Borec D 0-051.3 1185 1311 13.24% 18.10% 68.66%-1.56 +6.7 14
1998-11-22 Osogovo W 1-033.6 1337 1208 68.84% 18.08% 13.08%+1.58 +6.9 22
1998-11-22 @ Cementarnica 55 L 0-133.6 1208 1337 13.08% 18.08% 68.84%-1.58 -6.9 14
1998-11-22 Pelister W 3-031.5 1168 1161 57.81% 18.91% 23.28%+0.82 +32.1 11
1998-11-22 @ Kamenica Sasa L 0-331.5 1161 1168 23.28% 18.91% 57.81%-0.82 -32.1 12
1998-11-22 Balkan W 2-033.3 1225 1204 59.27% 18.84% 21.89%+0.91 +20.9 15
1998-11-22 @ Rabotnicki L 0-233.3 1204 1225 21.89% 18.84% 59.27%-0.91 -20.9 13
1998-11-22 Pobeda (1st) W 1-042.7 1513 1441 64.24% 18.53% 17.24%+1.23 +8.9 27
1998-11-22 @ Sileks L 0-142.7 1441 1513 17.24% 18.53% 64.24%-1.23 -8.9 25
1998-11-22 Makedonija GP L 1-339.0 1121 1391 22.73% 18.88% 58.39%-0.89 -18.7 7
1998-11-22 @ Skopje W 3-139.0 1391 1121 58.39% 18.88% 22.73%+0.89 +18.7 24
1998-11-22 Vardar W 1-041.2 1474 1422 62.43% 18.66% 18.92%+1.10 +9.7 31
1998-11-22 @ Sloga Jugomagnat L 0-141.2 1422 1474 18.92% 18.66% 62.43%-1.10 -9.7 23
1999-03-07 Pelister W 2-029.5 1304 1128 72.01% 17.65% 10.34%+1.87 +10.4 23
1999-03-07 @ Borec L 0-229.5 1128 1304 10.34% 17.65% 72.01%-1.87 -10.4 12
1999-03-07 Makedonija GP D 0-051.5 1200 1409 29.47% 19.12% 51.42%-0.52 +2.5 12
1999-03-07 @ Kamenica Sasa D 0-051.5 1409 1200 51.42% 19.12% 29.47%+0.52 -2.5 25
1999-03-07 Balkan W 1-036.2 1201 1183 59.00% 18.85% 22.15%+0.89 +11.2 17
1999-03-07 @ Osogovo L 0-136.2 1183 1201 22.15% 18.85% 59.00%-0.89 -11.2 13
1999-03-07 Tikvesh D 1-155.1 1246 1191 62.62% 18.64% 18.74%+1.12 -4.6 16
1999-03-07 @ Rabotnicki D 1-155.1 1191 1246 18.74% 18.64% 62.62%-1.12 +4.6 15
1999-03-07 Vardar D 4-473.6 1522 1413 67.36% 18.25% 14.39%+1.46 -3.1 28
1999-03-07 @ Sileks D 4-473.6 1413 1522 14.39% 18.25% 67.36%-1.46 +3.1 24
1999-03-07 Pobeda (1st) W 1-049.1 1103 1432 17.18% 18.52% 64.30%-1.27 +28.3 10
1999-03-07 @ Skopje L 0-149.1 1432 1103 64.30% 18.52% 17.18%+1.27 -28.3 25
1999-03-07 Cementarnica 55 L 1-259.2 1484 1344 69.67% 17.98% 12.35%+1.65 -29.0 31
1999-03-07 @ Sloga Jugomagnat W 2-159.2 1344 1484 12.35% 17.98% 69.67%-1.65 +29.0 25
1999-03-14 Sileks D 1-160.7 1373 1519 37.91% 19.23% 42.86%-0.13 +0.5 26
1999-03-14 @ Cementarnica 55 D 1-160.7 1519 1373 42.86% 19.23% 37.91%+0.13 -0.5 29
1999-03-14 Borec D 1-157.0 1407 1315 65.98% 18.38% 15.64%+1.35 -5.4 26
1999-03-14 @ Makedonija GP D 1-157.0 1315 1407 15.64% 18.38% 65.98%-1.35 +5.4 24
1999-03-14 Rabotnicki D 1-154.7 1118 1241 41.15% 19.23% 39.62%+0.01 -0.1 13
1999-03-14 @ Pelister D 1-154.7 1241 1118 39.62% 19.23% 41.15%-0.01 +0.1 17
1999-03-14 Kamenica Sasa W 5-026.7 1404 1202 73.52% 17.39% 9.09%+2.03 +21.4 28
1999-03-14 @ Pobeda (1st) L 0-526.7 1202 1404 9.09% 17.39% 73.52%-2.03 -21.4 12
1999-03-14 Osogovo W 6-129.5 1455 1213 75.70% 16.94% 7.36%+2.29 +14.4 34
1999-03-14 @ Sloga Jugomagnat L 1-629.5 1213 1455 7.36% 16.94% 75.70%-2.29 -14.4 17
1999-03-14 Balkan W 2-140.9 1196 1172 59.62% 18.82% 21.56%+0.93 +10.3 18
1999-03-14 @ Tikvesh L 1-240.9 1172 1196 21.56% 18.82% 59.62%-0.93 -10.3 13
1999-03-14 Skopje W 3-240.8 1416 1131 77.62% 16.44% 5.94%+2.55 +2.8 27
1999-03-14 @ Vardar L 2-340.8 1131 1416 5.94% 16.44% 77.62%-2.55 -2.8 10
1999-03-20 Pelister L 0-147.8 1162 1118 61.61% 18.71% 19.68%+1.05 -27.2 13
1999-03-20 @ Balkan W 1-047.8 1118 1162 19.68% 18.71% 61.61%-1.05 +27.2 16
1999-03-20 Pobeda (1st) L 0-340.2 1320 1425 43.71% 19.23% 37.06%+0.13 -54.5 24
1999-03-20 @ Borec W 3-040.2 1425 1320 37.06% 19.23% 43.71%-0.13 +54.5 31
1999-03-20 Vardar D 0-051.5 1181 1418 26.15% 19.02% 54.83%-0.70 +3.3 13
1999-03-20 @ Kamenica Sasa D 0-051.5 1418 1181 54.83% 19.02% 26.15%+0.70 -3.3 28
1999-03-20 Tikvesh L 1-251.3 1198 1206 56.10% 18.98% 24.93%+0.73 -23.4 17
1999-03-20 @ Osogovo W 2-151.3 1206 1198 24.93% 18.98% 56.10%-0.73 +23.4 21
1999-03-20 Makedonija GP D 2-261.1 1241 1401 35.91% 19.22% 44.87%-0.22 +0.7 18
1999-03-20 @ Rabotnicki D 2-261.1 1401 1241 44.87% 19.22% 35.91%+0.22 -0.7 27
1999-03-20 Sloga Jugomagnat W 2-041.8 1518 1470 62.07% 18.68% 19.25%+1.08 +18.6 32
1999-03-20 @ Sileks L 0-241.8 1470 1518 19.25% 18.68% 62.07%-1.08 -18.6 34
1999-03-20 Cementarnica 55 L 1-339.8 1128 1373 25.30% 18.99% 55.71%-0.74 -20.6 10
1999-03-20 @ Skopje W 3-139.8 1373 1128 55.71% 18.99% 25.30%+0.74 +20.6 29
1999-04-04 Kamenica Sasa W 2-137.2 1394 1184 73.99% 17.30% 8.71%+2.08 +4.4 32
1999-04-04 @ Cementarnica 55 L 1-237.2 1184 1394 8.71% 17.30% 73.99%-2.08 -4.4 13
1999-04-04 Balkan W 5-025.3 1401 1135 76.81% 16.66% 6.52%+2.43 +15.4 30
1999-04-04 @ Makedonija GP L 0-525.3 1135 1401 6.52% 16.66% 76.81%-2.43 -15.4 13
1999-04-04 Tikvesh D 3-363.9 1145 1230 46.50% 19.20% 34.30%+0.25 -0.8 17
1999-04-04 @ Pelister D 3-363.9 1230 1145 34.30% 19.20% 46.50%-0.25 +0.7 22
1999-04-04 Rabotnicki W 2-138.1 1480 1242 75.45% 17.00% 7.56%+2.26 +3.8 34
1999-04-04 @ Pobeda (1st) L 1-238.1 1242 1480 7.56% 17.00% 75.45%-2.26 -3.8 18
1999-04-04 Osogovo W 4-025.7 1537 1175 80.57% 15.45% 3.97%+3.03 +7.5 35
1999-04-04 @ Sileks L 0-425.7 1175 1537 3.97% 15.45% 80.57%-3.03 -7.5 17
1999-04-04 Skopje W 2-027.6 1451 1108 79.92% 15.70% 4.38%+2.91 +4.4 37
1999-04-04 @ Sloga Jugomagnat L 0-227.6 1108 1451 4.38% 15.70% 79.92%-2.91 -4.4 10
1999-04-04 Borec W 4-028.4 1415 1266 70.30% 17.90% 11.80%+1.71 +22.4 31
1999-04-04 @ Vardar L 0-428.4 1266 1415 11.80% 17.90% 70.30%-1.71 -22.4 24
1999-04-11 Pobeda (1st) L 0-134.5 1119 1483 14.53% 18.26% 67.21%-1.48 -7.6 13
1999-04-11 @ Balkan W 1-034.5 1483 1119 67.21% 18.26% 14.53%+1.48 +7.6 37
1999-04-11 Cementarnica 55 L 1-246.6 1243 1398 36.62% 19.22% 44.16%-0.18 -16.2 24
1999-04-11 @ Borec W 2-146.6 1398 1243 44.16% 19.22% 36.62%+0.18 +16.2 35
1999-04-11 Sloga Jugomagnat L 0-137.1 1180 1455 22.08% 18.85% 59.08%-0.93 -11.2 13
1999-04-11 @ Kamenica Sasa W 1-037.1 1455 1180 59.08% 18.85% 22.08%+0.93 +11.2 40
1999-04-11 Pelister D 0-050.7 1167 1144 59.50% 18.83% 21.67%+0.92 -4.4 18
1999-04-11 @ Osogovo D 0-050.7 1144 1167 21.67% 18.83% 59.50%-0.92 +4.4 18
1999-04-11 Vardar L 0-140.2 1238 1438 30.73% 19.14% 50.12%-0.46 -14.9 18
1999-04-11 @ Rabotnicki W 1-040.2 1438 1238 50.12% 19.14% 30.73%+0.46 +14.9 34
1999-04-11 Sileks L 1-335.6 1103 1544 9.91% 17.56% 72.53%-1.96 -8.6 10
1999-04-11 @ Skopje W 3-135.6 1544 1103 72.53% 17.56% 9.91%+1.96 +8.6 38
1999-04-11 Makedonija GP D 1-155.9 1231 1416 32.51% 19.18% 48.31%-0.37 +1.6 23
1999-04-11 @ Tikvesh D 1-155.9 1416 1231 48.31% 19.18% 32.51%+0.37 -1.6 31
1999-04-18 Rabotnicki L 2-458.4 1415 1223 72.94% 17.49% 9.57%+1.97 -47.0 35
1999-04-18 @ Cementarnica 55 W 4-258.4 1223 1415 9.57% 17.49% 72.94%-1.97 +47.0 21
1999-04-18 Pelister W 3-133.7 1415 1149 76.79% 16.67% 6.54%+2.43 +5.7 34
1999-04-18 @ Makedonija GP L 1-333.7 1149 1415 6.54% 16.67% 76.79%-2.43 -5.7 18
1999-04-18 Tikvesh W 2-137.9 1491 1232 76.47% 16.75% 6.78%+2.39 +3.4 40
1999-04-18 @ Pobeda (1st) L 1-237.9 1232 1491 6.78% 16.75% 76.47%-2.39 -3.4 23
1999-04-18 Kamenica Sasa W 3-241.2 1553 1169 81.31% 15.15% 3.53%+3.17 +1.6 41
1999-04-18 @ Sileks L 2-341.2 1169 1553 3.53% 15.15% 81.31%-3.17 -1.7 13
1999-04-18 Osogovo D 1-154.7 1095 1163 48.70% 19.17% 32.13%+0.36 -1.6 11
1999-04-18 @ Skopje D 1-154.7 1163 1095 32.13% 19.17% 48.70%-0.36 +1.6 19
1999-04-18 Borec W 1-032.8 1467 1227 75.54% 16.97% 7.49%+2.27 +4.0 43
1999-04-18 @ Sloga Jugomagnat L 0-132.8 1227 1467 7.49% 16.97% 75.54%-2.27 -4.0 24
1999-04-18 Balkan W 7-228.8 1452 1112 79.83% 15.73% 4.43%+2.90 +7.2 37
1999-04-18 @ Vardar L 2-728.8 1112 1452 4.43% 15.73% 79.83%-2.90 -7.2 13
1999-04-26 Cementarnica 55 W 2-151.9 1104 1368 23.36% 18.91% 57.73%-0.86 +24.1 16
1999-04-26 @ Balkan L 1-251.9 1368 1104 57.73% 18.91% 23.36%+0.86 -24.0 35
1999-04-26 Sileks L 0-234.7 1223 1555 17.00% 18.51% 64.49%-1.28 -16.6 24
1999-04-26 @ Borec W 2-034.7 1555 1223 64.49% 18.51% 17.00%+1.28 +16.7 44
1999-04-26 Skopje W 3-136.8 1167 1093 64.41% 18.51% 17.07%+1.24 +14.5 16
1999-04-26 @ Kamenica Sasa L 1-336.8 1093 1167 17.07% 18.51% 64.41%-1.24 -14.5 11
1999-04-26 Makedonija GP W 3-149.7 1165 1420 24.15% 18.94% 56.91%-0.81 +41.1 22
1999-04-26 @ Osogovo L 1-349.7 1420 1165 56.91% 18.94% 24.15%+0.81 -41.1 34
1999-04-26 Pobeda (1st) D 2-261.3 1143 1494 15.46% 18.36% 66.18%-1.40 +4.1 19
1999-04-26 @ Pelister D 2-261.3 1494 1143 66.18% 18.36% 15.46%+1.40 -4.1 41
1999-04-26 Sloga Jugomagnat L 0-141.1 1270 1471 30.62% 19.14% 50.24%-0.47 -14.8 21
1999-04-26 @ Rabotnicki W 1-041.1 1471 1270 50.24% 19.14% 30.62%+0.47 +14.8 46
1999-04-26 Vardar L 1-244.1 1229 1460 26.93% 19.05% 54.03%-0.65 -12.5 23
1999-04-26 @ Tikvesh W 2-144.1 1460 1229 54.03% 19.05% 26.93%+0.65 +12.5 40
1999-04-30 Tikvesh L 1-255.3 1344 1216 68.73% 18.10% 13.17%+1.57 -28.6 35
1999-04-30 @ Cementarnica 55 W 2-155.3 1216 1344 13.17% 18.10% 68.73%-1.57 +28.6 26
1999-04-30 Osogovo W 1-037.6 1181 1206 54.22% 19.04% 26.74%+0.63 +13.2 19
1999-04-30 @ Kamenica Sasa L 0-137.6 1206 1181 26.74% 19.04% 54.22%-0.63 -13.2 22
1999-04-30 Makedonija GP W 2-143.8 1490 1379 67.51% 18.23% 14.26%+1.47 +7.1 44
1999-04-30 @ Pobeda (1st) L 1-243.8 1379 1490 14.26% 18.23% 67.51%-1.47 -7.1 34
1999-04-30 Rabotnicki D 0-055.7 1571 1255 78.89% 16.06% 5.05%+2.74 -9.2 45
1999-04-30 @ Sileks D 0-055.7 1255 1571 5.05% 16.06% 78.89%-2.74 +9.2 22
1999-04-30 Borec W 2-038.8 1078 1206 40.45% 19.24% 40.31%-0.02 +35.1 14
1999-04-30 @ Skopje L 0-238.8 1206 1078 40.31% 19.24% 40.45%+0.02 -35.1 24
1999-04-30 Balkan W 3-025.7 1485 1128 80.40% 15.52% 4.08%+3.00 +5.9 49
1999-04-30 @ Sloga Jugomagnat L 0-325.7 1128 1485 4.08% 15.52% 80.40%-3.00 -5.9 16
1999-04-30 Pelister W 2-135.9 1472 1147 79.24% 15.94% 4.82%+2.80 +2.4 43
1999-04-30 @ Vardar L 1-235.9 1147 1472 4.82% 15.94% 79.24%-2.80 -2.4 19
1999-05-07 Sileks L 0-328.7 1123 1562 9.99% 17.58% 72.43%-1.95 -14.6 16
1999-05-07 @ Balkan W 3-028.7 1562 1123 72.43% 17.58% 9.99%+1.95 +14.6 48
1999-05-07 Kamenica Sasa D 0-050.7 1171 1195 54.35% 19.04% 26.62%+0.64 -3.2 25
1999-05-07 @ Borec D 0-050.7 1195 1171 26.62% 19.04% 54.35%-0.64 +3.2 20
1999-05-07 Vardar L 0-342.5 1372 1475 44.07% 19.22% 36.71%+0.14 -54.8 34
1999-05-07 @ Makedonija GP W 3-042.5 1475 1372 36.71% 19.22% 44.07%-0.14 +54.8 46
1999-05-07 Pobeda (1st) W 2-154.6 1192 1497 19.29% 18.68% 62.03%-1.12 +25.8 25
1999-05-07 @ Osogovo L 1-254.6 1497 1192 62.03% 18.68% 19.29%+1.12 -25.8 44
1999-05-07 Cementarnica 55 W 2-148.5 1145 1315 34.55% 19.20% 46.25%-0.28 +19.7 22
1999-05-07 @ Pelister L 1-248.5 1315 1145 46.25% 19.20% 34.55%+0.28 -19.7 35
1999-05-07 Skopje W 3-242.5 1265 1114 70.41% 17.89% 11.71%+1.72 +5.6 25
1999-05-07 @ Rabotnicki L 2-342.5 1114 1265 11.71% 17.89% 70.41%-1.72 -5.5 14
1999-05-07 Sloga Jugomagnat D 0-053.0 1245 1491 25.16% 18.98% 55.86%-0.75 +3.5 27
1999-05-07 @ Tikvesh D 0-053.0 1491 1245 55.86% 18.98% 25.16%+0.75 -3.5 50
1999-05-13 Osogovo W 2-143.5 1168 1218 51.05% 19.12% 29.82%+0.47 +13.7 28
1999-05-13 @ Borec L 1-243.5 1218 1168 29.82% 19.12% 51.05%-0.47 -13.7 25
1999-05-13 Makedonija GP W 3-033.4 1295 1317 54.49% 19.03% 26.48%+0.64 +35.9 38
1999-05-13 @ Cementarnica 55 L 0-333.4 1317 1295 26.48% 19.03% 54.49%-0.64 -35.9 34
1999-05-13 Rabotnicki W 2-036.8 1198 1270 48.15% 19.18% 32.67%+0.33 +29.5 23
1999-05-13 @ Kamenica Sasa L 0-236.8 1270 1198 32.67% 19.18% 48.15%-0.33 -29.5 25
1999-05-13 Tikvesh W 3-136.5 1577 1248 79.37% 15.90% 4.73%+2.82 +4.1 51
1999-05-13 @ Sileks L 1-336.5 1248 1577 4.73% 15.90% 79.37%-2.82 -4.1 27
1999-05-13 Balkan W 2-033.8 1108 1108 57.03% 18.94% 24.03%+0.78 +22.7 17
1999-05-13 @ Skopje L 0-233.8 1108 1108 24.03% 18.94% 57.03%-0.78 -22.7 16
1999-05-13 Pelister D 1-156.9 1488 1164 79.18% 15.96% 4.86%+2.79 -8.3 51
1999-05-13 @ Sloga Jugomagnat D 1-156.9 1164 1488 4.86% 15.96% 79.18%-2.79 +8.3 23
1999-05-13 Pobeda (1st) L 1-263.1 1529 1472 62.95% 18.62% 18.43%+1.14 -26.2 46
1999-05-13 @ Vardar W 2-163.1 1472 1529 18.43% 18.62% 62.95%-1.14 +26.2 47
1999-05-16 Kamenica Sasa L 0-435.2 1085 1227 38.45% 19.23% 42.32%-0.10 -64.0 16
1999-05-16 @ Balkan W 4-035.2 1227 1085 42.32% 19.23% 38.45%+0.10 +64.0 26
1999-05-16 Sloga Jugomagnat L 0-336.6 1281 1479 30.92% 19.15% 49.94%-0.45 -40.9 34
1999-05-16 @ Makedonija GP W 3-036.6 1479 1281 49.94% 19.15% 30.92%+0.45 +40.9 54
1999-05-16 Vardar L 0-234.4 1205 1503 19.86% 18.72% 61.42%-1.08 -19.2 25
1999-05-16 @ Osogovo W 2-034.4 1503 1205 61.42% 18.72% 19.86%+1.08 +19.2 49
1999-05-16 Sileks L 0-232.4 1173 1581 11.70% 17.88% 70.42%-1.76 -11.7 23
1999-05-16 @ Pelister W 2-032.4 1581 1173 70.42% 17.88% 11.70%+1.76 +11.7 54
1999-05-16 Cementarnica 55 W 4-136.5 1498 1331 71.43% 17.74% 10.83%+1.81 +13.3 50
1999-05-16 @ Pobeda (1st) L 1-436.5 1331 1498 10.83% 17.74% 71.43%-1.81 -13.3 38
1999-05-16 Borec D 0-050.9 1241 1182 63.04% 18.61% 18.34%+1.14 -5.3 26
1999-05-16 @ Rabotnicki D 0-050.9 1182 1241 18.34% 18.61% 63.04%-1.14 +5.3 29
1999-05-16 Skopje W 4-027.6 1244 1131 67.69% 18.21% 14.10%+1.48 +26.5 30
1999-05-16 @ Tikvesh L 0-427.6 1131 1244 14.10% 18.21% 67.69%-1.48 -26.5 17
1999-05-23 Balkan W 6-026.8 1187 1021 71.38% 17.75% 10.87%+1.81 +30.3 32
1999-05-23 @ Borec L 0-626.8 1021 1187 10.87% 17.75% 71.38%-1.81 -30.3 16
1999-05-23 Vardar W 3-151.7 1318 1522 30.09% 19.13% 50.78%-0.49 +37.0 41
1999-05-23 @ Cementarnica 55 L 1-351.7 1522 1318 50.78% 19.13% 30.09%+0.49 -37.0 49
1999-05-23 Tikvesh L 1-350.2 1291 1271 59.25% 18.84% 21.91%+0.91 -42.7 26
1999-05-23 @ Kamenica Sasa W 3-150.2 1271 1291 21.91% 18.84% 59.25%-0.91 +42.7 33
1999-05-23 Osogovo W 3-245.0 1235 1185 62.21% 18.67% 19.12%+1.09 +8.8 29
1999-05-23 @ Rabotnicki L 2-345.0 1185 1235 19.12% 18.67% 62.21%-1.09 -8.8 25
1999-05-23 Makedonija GP W 5-342.4 1592 1241 80.22% 15.59% 4.19%+2.97 +3.0 57
1999-05-23 @ Sileks L 3-542.4 1241 1592 4.19% 15.59% 80.22%-2.97 -3.0 34
1999-05-23 Pelister L 0-144.5 1104 1161 50.19% 19.14% 30.66%+0.43 -22.4 17
1999-05-23 @ Skopje W 1-044.5 1161 1104 30.66% 19.14% 50.19%-0.43 +22.4 26
1999-05-23 Pobeda (1st) W 1-047.4 1520 1511 58.05% 18.90% 23.05%+0.84 +11.6 57
1999-05-23 @ Sloga Jugomagnat L 0-147.4 1511 1520 23.05% 18.90% 58.05%-0.84 -11.6 50
1999-05-29 Rabotnicki L 2-636.8 991 1244 24.42% 18.96% 56.62%-0.79 -30.9 16
1999-05-29 @ Balkan W 6-236.8 1244 991 56.62% 18.96% 24.42%+0.79 +30.9 32
1999-05-29 Skopje W 4-238.9 1237 1082 70.72% 17.84% 11.44%+1.75 +8.9 37
1999-05-29 @ Makedonija GP L 2-438.9 1082 1237 11.44% 17.84% 70.72%-1.75 -8.9 17
1999-05-29 Cementarnica 55 L 1-244.9 1177 1355 33.48% 19.19% 47.33%-0.33 -15.1 25
1999-05-29 @ Osogovo W 2-144.9 1355 1177 47.33% 19.19% 33.48%+0.33 +15.1 44
1999-05-29 Kamenica Sasa W 3-248.9 1183 1249 49.11% 19.16% 31.73%+0.37 +13.7 29
1999-05-29 @ Pelister L 2-348.9 1249 1183 31.73% 19.16% 49.11%-0.37 -13.7 26
1999-05-29 Sileks W 2-050.8 1499 1595 44.95% 19.22% 35.83%+0.18 +31.9 53
1999-05-29 @ Pobeda (1st) L 0-250.8 1595 1499 35.83% 19.22% 44.95%-0.18 -31.9 57
1999-05-29 Borec W 3-136.7 1313 1217 66.30% 18.35% 15.35%+1.38 +13.1 36
1999-05-29 @ Tikvesh L 1-336.7 1217 1313 15.35% 18.35% 66.30%-1.38 -13.1 32
1999-05-29 Sloga Jugomagnat L 0-155.5 1485 1532 51.49% 19.11% 29.39%+0.49 -22.9 49
1999-05-29 @ Vardar W 1-055.5 1532 1485 29.39% 19.11% 51.49%-0.49 +22.9 60

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1999-04-18 9.57% Rabotnicki 1223 4 @ Cementarnica 55 1415 2
2 1999-03-07 12.35% Cementarnica 55 1344 2 @ Sloga Jugomagnat 1484 1
3 1999-04-30 13.17% Tikvesh 1216 2 @ Cementarnica 55 1344 1
4 1998-09-13 16.79% Borec 1236 2 @ Cementarnica 55 1313 0
5 1999-03-07 17.18% @ Skopje 1103 1 Pobeda (1st) 1432 0
6 1999-05-13 18.43% Pobeda (1st) 1472 2 @ Vardar 1529 1
7 1998-09-20 18.62% Cementarnica 55 1259 4 @ Rabotnicki 1315 2
8 1999-05-07 19.29% @ Osogovo 1192 2 Pobeda (1st) 1497 1
9 1999-03-20 19.68% Pelister 1118 1 @ Balkan 1162 0
10 1998-08-23 19.92% Sileks 1368 1 @ Sloga Jugomagnat 1409 0
11 1999-05-23 21.91% Tikvesh 1271 3 @ Kamenica Sasa 1291 1
12 1999-04-26 23.36% @ Balkan 1104 2 Cementarnica 55 1368 1
13 1999-04-26 24.15% @ Osogovo 1165 3 Makedonija GP 1420 1
14 1999-03-20 24.93% Tikvesh 1206 2 @ Osogovo 1198 1
15 1998-08-30 28.51% Cementarnica 55 1275 3 @ Kamenica Sasa 1236 1
16 1999-05-29 29.39% Sloga Jugomagnat 1532 1 @ Vardar 1485 0
17 1999-05-23 30.09% @ Cementarnica 55 1318 3 Vardar 1522 1
18 1998-08-09 30.22% Sloga Jugomagnat 1342 1 @ Cementarnica 55 1288 0
19 1998-08-30 30.32% @ Osogovo 1192 2 Sileks 1395 1
20 1999-05-23 30.66% Pelister 1161 1 @ Skopje 1104 0
21 1999-05-07 34.55% @ Pelister 1145 2 Cementarnica 55 1315 1
22 1998-09-01 35.72% @ Borec 1217 3 Vardar 1379 2
23 1998-10-18 36.27% @ Kamenica Sasa 1152 1 Borec 1310 0
24 1999-05-07 36.71% Vardar 1475 3 @ Makedonija GP 1372 0
25 1999-03-20 37.06% Pobeda (1st) 1425 3 @ Borec 1320 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1998-10-25 68.06 Sloga Jugomagnat 5 1431 48.71% @ Pelister 0 1242 32.12% 19.17%
2 1999-05-16 64.05 Kamenica Sasa 4 1227 42.32% @ Balkan 0 1085 38.45% 19.23%
3 1999-05-07 54.83 Vardar 3 1475 36.71% @ Makedonija GP 0 1372 44.07% 19.22%
4 1999-03-20 54.46 Pobeda (1st) 3 1425 37.06% @ Borec 0 1320 43.71% 19.23%
5 1998-09-13 53.80 Borec 2 1236 16.79% @ Cementarnica 55 0 1313 64.72% 18.49%
6 1998-10-25 51.49 Sileks 4 1452 51.32% @ Tikvesh 0 1243 29.56% 19.12%
7 1998-08-09 51.26 @ Tikvesh 3 1272 40.14% Rabotnicki 0 1402 40.63% 19.24%
8 1998-09-13 48.23 @ Makedonija GP 5 1343 59.63% Tikvesh 0 1319 21.55% 18.82%
9 1999-04-18 46.96 Rabotnicki 4 1223 9.57% @ Cementarnica 55 2 1415 72.94% 17.49%
10 1998-08-16 45.03 Sloga Jugomagnat 4 1364 38.07% @ Osogovo 1 1252 42.70% 19.23%
11 1998-09-13 43.59 @ Vardar 6 1361 57.27% Rabotnicki 1 1358 23.80% 18.93%
12 1999-05-23 42.72 Tikvesh 3 1271 21.91% @ Kamenica Sasa 1 1291 59.25% 18.84%
13 1999-04-26 41.10 @ Osogovo 3 1165 24.15% Makedonija GP 1 1420 56.91% 18.94%
14 1999-05-16 40.93 Sloga Jugomagnat 3 1479 49.94% @ Makedonija GP 0 1281 30.92% 19.15%
15 1998-09-20 40.41 Cementarnica 55 4 1259 18.62% @ Rabotnicki 2 1315 62.75% 18.63%
16 1998-08-09 38.48 @ Pobeda (1st) 6 1316 67.84% Skopje 0 1200 13.96% 18.20%
17 1998-08-30 38.06 Cementarnica 55 3 1275 28.51% @ Kamenica Sasa 1 1236 52.40% 19.09%
18 1998-11-01 37.38 @ Cementarnica 55 2 1296 37.22% Pobeda (1st) 0 1446 43.55% 19.23%
19 1999-05-23 36.98 @ Cementarnica 55 3 1318 30.09% Vardar 1 1522 50.78% 19.13%
20 1998-09-27 36.55 @ Pobeda (1st) 5 1399 65.72% Pelister 0 1310 15.88% 18.40%
21 1998-10-03 36.19 Sileks 2 1385 38.89% @ Rabotnicki 0 1267 41.88% 19.23%
22 1999-05-13 35.87 @ Cementarnica 55 3 1295 54.49% Makedonija GP 0 1317 26.48% 19.03%
23 1998-09-27 35.10 @ Vardar 6 1386 69.30% Tikvesh 0 1251 12.67% 18.03%
24 1999-04-30 35.08 @ Skopje 2 1078 40.45% Borec 0 1206 40.31% 19.24%
25 1998-11-01 33.09 @ Skopje 2 1084 43.26% Tikvesh 0 1192 37.51% 19.23%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1999-03-07 73.6 @ Sileks 4 1522 67.36% Vardar 4 1413 14.39% 18.25%
2 1998-10-18 64.2 @ Vardar 2 1438 62.28% Makedonija GP 2 1387 19.05% 18.66%
3 1999-04-04 63.9 @ Pelister 3 1145 46.50% Tikvesh 3 1230 34.30% 19.20%
4 1999-05-13 63.1 Pobeda (1st) 2 1472 18.43% @ Vardar 1 1529 62.95% 18.62%
5 1998-11-08 62.9 @ Vardar 2 1426 66.08% Cementarnica 55 2 1333 15.55% 18.37%
6 1999-04-26 61.3 @ Pelister 2 1143 15.46% Pobeda (1st) 2 1494 66.18% 18.36%
7 1998-11-08 61.1 @ Makedonija GP 1 1391 41.32% Sileks 1 1513 39.45% 19.23%
8 1999-03-20 61.1 @ Rabotnicki 2 1241 35.91% Makedonija GP 2 1401 44.87% 19.22%
9 1999-03-14 60.7 @ Cementarnica 55 1 1373 37.91% Sileks 1 1519 42.86% 19.23%
10 1998-10-25 60.2 @ Osogovo 2 1201 45.90% Borec 2 1290 34.89% 19.21%
11 1999-03-07 59.2 Cementarnica 55 2 1344 12.35% @ Sloga Jugomagnat 1 1484 69.67% 17.98%
12 1999-04-18 58.4 Rabotnicki 4 1223 9.57% @ Cementarnica 55 2 1415 72.94% 17.49%
13 1999-03-14 57.0 @ Makedonija GP 1 1407 65.98% Borec 1 1315 15.64% 18.38%
14 1999-05-13 56.9 @ Sloga Jugomagnat 1 1488 79.18% Pelister 1 1164 4.86% 15.96%
15 1998-09-27 56.5 @ Sileks 1 1391 66.79% Borec 1 1289 14.91% 18.30%
16 1998-09-20 56.4 @ Borec 1 1289 43.02% Sloga Jugomagnat 1 1399 37.75% 19.23%
17 1998-08-30 55.9 @ Balkan 1 1301 52.44% Makedonija GP 1 1340 28.47% 19.09%
18 1999-04-11 55.9 @ Tikvesh 1 1231 32.51% Makedonija GP 1 1416 48.31% 19.18%
19 1999-04-30 55.7 @ Sileks 0 1571 78.89% Rabotnicki 0 1255 5.05% 16.06%
20 1998-08-16 55.6 @ Kamenica Sasa 1 1261 45.31% Pobeda (1st) 1 1354 35.48% 19.21%
21 1998-09-20 55.5 @ Kamenica Sasa 1 1193 30.62% Sileks 1 1393 50.24% 19.14%
22 1999-05-29 55.5 Sloga Jugomagnat 1 1532 29.39% @ Vardar 0 1485 51.49% 19.11%
23 1999-04-30 55.3 Tikvesh 2 1216 13.17% @ Cementarnica 55 1 1344 68.73% 18.10%
24 1998-09-20 55.2 Cementarnica 55 4 1259 18.62% @ Rabotnicki 2 1315 62.75% 18.63%
25 1998-11-08 55.1 @ Balkan 1 1205 43.62% Borec 1 1310 37.16% 19.23%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1999-04-04 25.3 @ Makedonija GP 5 1401 76.81% Balkan 0 1135 6.52% 16.66%
2 1998-11-01 25.6 @ Sileks 4 1504 79.43% Pelister 0 1174 4.70% 15.88%
3 1998-09-13 25.7 @ Sileks 6 1374 76.37% Skopje 0 1117 6.85% 16.78%
4 1999-04-04 25.7 @ Sileks 4 1537 80.57% Osogovo 0 1175 3.97% 15.45%
5 1999-04-30 25.7 @ Sloga Jugomagnat 3 1485 80.40% Balkan 0 1128 4.08% 15.52%
6 1999-03-14 26.7 @ Pobeda (1st) 5 1404 73.52% Kamenica Sasa 0 1202 9.09% 17.39%
7 1999-05-23 26.8 @ Borec 6 1187 71.38% Balkan 0 1021 10.87% 17.75%
8 1998-10-03 27.5 @ Borec 3 1294 71.72% Skopje 0 1123 10.58% 17.69%
9 1999-04-04 27.6 @ Sloga Jugomagnat 2 1451 79.92% Skopje 0 1108 4.38% 15.70%
10 1999-05-16 27.6 @ Tikvesh 4 1244 67.69% Skopje 0 1131 14.10% 18.21%
11 1998-08-09 28.3 @ Pobeda (1st) 6 1316 67.84% Skopje 0 1200 13.96% 18.20%
12 1999-04-04 28.4 @ Vardar 4 1415 70.30% Borec 0 1266 11.80% 17.90%
13 1998-10-18 28.5 @ Sileks 6 1422 71.20% Balkan 0 1259 11.03% 17.77%
14 1998-09-27 28.6 @ Vardar 6 1386 69.30% Tikvesh 0 1251 12.67% 18.03%
15 1999-05-07 28.7 Sileks 3 1562 72.43% @ Balkan 0 1123 9.99% 17.58%
16 1999-04-18 28.8 @ Vardar 7 1452 79.83% Balkan 2 1112 4.43% 15.73%
17 1998-08-23 29.2 @ Pobeda (1st) 3 1355 68.02% Borec 0 1237 13.81% 18.18%
18 1999-03-07 29.5 @ Borec 2 1304 72.01% Pelister 0 1128 10.34% 17.65%
19 1999-03-14 29.5 @ Sloga Jugomagnat 6 1455 75.70% Osogovo 1 1213 7.36% 16.94%
20 1998-09-27 30.1 @ Pobeda (1st) 5 1399 65.72% Pelister 0 1310 15.88% 18.40%
21 1998-10-18 30.8 @ Pobeda (1st) 5 1420 73.74% Osogovo 1 1215 8.91% 17.35%
22 1998-08-23 31.3 @ Tikvesh 2 1309 66.80% Osogovo 0 1207 14.90% 18.30%
23 1998-09-13 31.3 @ Makedonija GP 5 1343 59.63% Tikvesh 0 1319 21.55% 18.82%
24 1998-11-22 31.5 @ Kamenica Sasa 3 1168 57.81% Pelister 0 1161 23.28% 18.91%
25 1999-05-16 32.4 Sileks 2 1581 70.42% @ Pelister 0 1173 11.70% 17.88%