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1947-48 Irish League Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Belfast Celtic

39 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Cliftonville

5.09 points above expected

18 points · 12.91 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Portadown

11.68 points below expected

9 points · 20.68 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Belfast Celtic 22 19 1 2 39 84 26 +58 34.72 +4.28
2 Linfield 22 15 5 2 35 55 19 +36 32.44 +2.56
3 Ballymena United 22 10 7 5 27 52 38 +14 23.08 +3.92
4 Glentoran 22 9 8 5 26 44 29 +15 29.68 -3.68
5 Lisburn Distillery 22 12 2 8 26 35 32 +3 23.45 +2.55
6 Coleraine 22 8 6 8 22 48 46 +2 21.65 +0.35
7 Glenavon 22 8 6 8 22 45 45 0 19.73 +2.27
8 Cliftonville 22 7 4 11 18 36 47 -11 12.91 +5.09
9 Ards 22 7 4 11 18 37 54 -17 17.13 +0.87
10 Bangor 22 6 4 12 16 36 55 -19 17.12 -1.12
11 Portadown 22 3 3 16 9 31 60 -29 20.68 -11.68
12 Derry City 22 2 2 18 6 18 70 -52 11.41 -5.41

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cliftonville 18 12.91 +5.09
2 Belfast Celtic 39 34.72 +4.28
3 Ballymena United 27 23.08 +3.92
4 Linfield 35 32.44 +2.56
5 Lisburn Distillery 26 23.45 +2.55

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Portadown 9 20.68 -11.68
2 Derry City 6 11.41 -5.41
3 Glentoran 26 29.68 -3.68
4 Bangor 16 17.12 -1.12
5 Coleraine 22 21.65 +0.35

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Belfast Celtic 18 Nov 8 – Mar 6 1 in 862
2 Ards 3 Feb 21 – Mar 6 1 in 225
3 Glenavon 3 Jan 17 – Feb 7 1 in 26
4 Cliftonville 2 Jan 17 – Jan 31 1 in 20
5 Lisburn Distillery 3 Dec 27 – Jan 10 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Derry City 8 Nov 8 – Dec 25 1 in 65
2 Portadown 7 Dec 27 – Feb 28 1 in 53
3 Glentoran 2 Dec 20 – Dec 25 1 in 32
4 Bangor 4 Feb 7 – Mar 6 1 in 18
5 Lisburn Distillery 2 Dec 6 – Dec 13 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cliftonville 5 Mar 13 – Apr 3 1 in 34
2 Glenavon 5 Jan 17 – Feb 28 1 in 20
3 Ards 3 Feb 21 – Mar 6 1 in 18
4 Belfast Celtic 19 Nov 8 – Mar 13 1 in 11
5 Ballymena United 5 Nov 29 – Dec 25 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Portadown 11 Dec 13 – Feb 28 1 in 114
2 Ballymena United 6 Jan 31 – Mar 13 1 in 52
3 Glentoran 4 Dec 13 – Dec 26 1 in 36
4 Linfield 3 Feb 21 – Mar 6 1 in 34
5 Derry City 9 Nov 8 – Dec 26 1 in 7

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Belfast Celtic 1826 39 -48 5 7.7 -2.7
Linfield 1799 35 +53 8 7.3 +0.7
Ballymena United 1542 27 +6 6 5.7 +0.3
Glentoran 1613 26 -16 6 6.1 -0.1
Lisburn Distillery 1553 26 +24 6 5.4 +0.6
Coleraine 1511 22 +3 5 4.7 +0.3
Glenavon 1506 22 -17 4 5.0 -1.0
Cliftonville 1397 18 +41 7 4.2 +2.8
Ards 1396 18 +8 5 4.4 +0.6
Bangor 1358 16 +10 5 3.6 +1.4
Portadown 1316 9 -53 1 4.0 -3.0
Derry City 1184 6 -31 2 2.7 -0.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BU BAN BC CLI COL DC GLE GLE LIN LD POR
Ards —
1-1-0
1.75
1-0-1
2.89
0-0-2
0.99
1-0-1
3.50
1-1-0
1.89
1-0-1
3.94
0-1-1
2.18
0-1-1
1.15
1-0-1
0.80
0-0-2
1.94
1-0-1
2.08
Ballymena United
0-1-1
3.84
—
2-0-0
3.34
1-0-1
0.93
1-1-0
4.10
1-0-1
3.06
1-1-0
4.41
2-0-0
3.11
0-2-0
1.89
0-0-2
1.39
1-1-0
2.96
1-1-0
3.64
Bangor
1-0-1
2.69
0-0-2
2.25
—
0-0-2
0.71
1-1-0
3.27
0-1-1
2.34
2-0-0
3.52
0-1-1
2.69
0-0-2
1.27
0-1-1
1.13
1-0-1
1.68
1-0-1
2.44
Belfast Celtic
2-0-0
4.63
1-0-1
4.67
2-0-0
4.92
—
2-0-0
5.05
2-0-0
4.59
2-0-0
5.12
2-0-0
4.77
1-1-0
3.89
1-0-1
3.34
2-0-0
4.32
2-0-0
4.45
Cliftonville
1-0-1
2.09
0-1-1
1.49
0-1-1
2.32
0-0-2
0.59
—
0-0-2
1.56
2-0-0
3.40
0-1-1
1.76
1-0-1
0.87
0-1-1
0.68
1-0-1
1.23
2-0-0
1.82
Coleraine
0-1-1
3.70
1-0-1
2.52
1-1-0
3.24
0-0-2
1.01
2-0-0
4.03
—
2-0-0
4.31
0-2-0
3.04
0-1-1
2.00
0-1-1
1.13
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.88
Derry City
1-0-1
1.65
0-1-1
1.19
0-0-2
2.07
0-0-2
0.53
0-0-2
2.18
0-0-2
1.29
—
0-0-2
2.19
0-0-2
0.96
0-0-2
0.71
0-0-2
1.15
1-1-0
1.57
Glenavon
1-1-0
3.41
0-0-2
2.48
1-1-0
2.89
0-0-2
0.85
1-1-0
3.83
0-2-0
2.55
2-0-0
3.40
—
1-0-1
1.35
0-1-1
1.07
0-0-2
2.70
2-0-0
2.84
Glentoran
1-1-0
4.45
0-2-0
3.70
2-0-0
4.33
0-1-1
1.70
1-0-1
4.74
1-1-0
3.59
2-0-0
4.64
1-0-1
4.24
—
0-1-1
2.37
0-1-1
3.93
1-1-0
4.27
Linfield
1-0-1
4.82
2-0-0
4.21
1-1-0
4.47
1-0-1
2.24
1-1-0
4.95
1-1-0
4.46
2-0-0
4.93
1-1-0
4.53
1-1-0
3.21
—
2-0-0
4.29
2-0-0
4.73
Lisburn Distillery
2-0-0
3.65
0-1-1
2.62
1-0-1
3.91
0-0-2
1.28
1-0-1
4.36
1-0-1
3.09
2-0-0
4.45
2-0-0
2.88
1-1-0
1.65
0-0-2
1.31
—
2-0-0
2.80
Portadown
1-0-1
3.51
0-1-1
1.95
1-0-1
3.15
0-0-2
1.15
0-0-2
3.77
1-0-1
2.71
0-1-1
4.03
0-0-2
2.75
0-1-1
1.32
0-0-2
0.89
0-0-2
2.79
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.79 +5.2
Allowed 0.90 -6.0
Differential 0.97 +3.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
01.52%1.52%5.68%3.79%2.65%1.89%17.05%
11.52%10.61%4.92%5.30%2.27%1.52%26.14%
25.68%4.92%6.82%3.41%1.89%4.17%26.89%
33.79%5.30%3.41%0.76%0.76%0.38%14.39%
42.65%2.27%1.89%0.76%——7.58%
5+1.89%1.52%4.17%0.38%——7.95%
Total17.05%26.14%26.89%14.39%7.58%7.95%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 1.97 +0.00
SD 1.56 1.56 2.49
CV 0.79 0.79 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
14.55%13.64%9.09%9.09%4.55%—40.91%
2—9.09%4.55%—9.09%9.09%31.82%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
4—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
5+———————
Total9.09%27.27%22.73%13.64%13.64%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 2.45 -0.77
SD 1.09 1.77 2.20
CV 0.65 0.72 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
1—18.18%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
24.55%9.09%13.64%———27.27%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
5+4.55%—9.09%4.55%——18.18%
Total9.09%31.82%40.91%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.36 1.73 +0.64
SD 1.99 0.98 2.17
CV 0.84 0.57 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%4.55%4.55%—13.64%
1—13.64%4.55%9.09%4.55%—31.82%
24.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%—9.09%36.36%
3——9.09%——4.55%13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%22.73%22.73%22.73%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 2.50 -0.86
SD 1.05 1.74 2.08
CV 0.64 0.70 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
1———4.55%——4.55%
29.09%—————9.09%
39.09%13.64%4.55%—4.55%—31.82%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+9.09%13.64%18.18%———40.91%
Total31.82%31.82%27.27%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.82 1.18 +2.64
SD 1.82 1.10 2.06
CV 0.48 0.93 —
Max 8 4 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%—9.09%4.55%—22.73%
1—9.09%—9.09%——18.18%
24.55%9.09%—9.09%4.55%4.55%31.82%
34.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%31.82%4.55%31.82%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 2.14 -0.50
SD 1.14 1.49 1.92
CV 0.69 0.70 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
14.55%4.55%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
24.55%—22.73%9.09%—9.09%45.45%
39.09%—————9.09%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+——9.09%———9.09%
Total27.27%4.55%40.91%13.64%—13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 2.09 +0.09
SD 1.37 1.97 2.72
CV 0.63 0.94 —
Max 5 8 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——18.18%9.09%13.64%9.09%50.00%
14.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%36.36%
2———4.55%—4.55%9.09%
3———————
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total4.55%9.09%27.27%18.18%18.18%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 3.18 -2.36
SD 1.33 1.74 2.36
CV 1.63 0.55 —
Max 6 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%——4.55%13.64%
1—13.64%4.55%9.09%4.55%—31.82%
2—4.55%9.09%—4.55%—18.18%
3—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total4.55%31.82%36.36%13.64%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 2.05 +0.00
SD 1.53 1.21 2.29
CV 0.75 0.59 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%———13.64%
1—18.18%4.55%9.09%——31.82%
2—4.55%13.64%———18.18%
34.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
49.09%4.55%————13.64%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total22.73%31.82%36.36%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.32 +0.68
SD 1.45 0.95 2.06
CV 0.72 0.72 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——4.55%——9.09%
1—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
29.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
39.09%18.18%————27.27%
44.55%13.64%————18.18%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total31.82%54.55%9.09%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 0.86 +1.64
SD 1.60 0.77 2.04
CV 0.64 0.90 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——13.64%—4.55%4.55%22.73%
14.55%—4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
231.82%4.55%9.09%4.55%——50.00%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total40.91%9.09%31.82%4.55%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.45 +0.14
SD 1.10 1.53 2.29
CV 0.69 1.06 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%—13.64%——22.73%
1—13.64%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%40.91%
2———4.55%4.55%13.64%22.73%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total—27.27%22.73%22.73%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 2.73 -1.32
SD 1.30 1.55 1.94
CV 0.92 0.57 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 1 -4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Belfast Celtic 1826 39 34.72 +4.28 94.0% 26 29 32 35 37 40 41
Linfield 1799 35 32.44 +2.56 85.0% 24 27 30 33 35 37 39
Glentoran 1613 26 29.68 -3.68 23.0% 21 22 27 29 33 36 38
Lisburn Distillery 1553 26 23.45 +2.55 84.0% 14 17 21 23 26 29 33
Ballymena United 1542 27 23.08 +3.92 84.0% 14 17 20 23 26 28 31
Coleraine 1511 22 21.65 +0.35 61.0% 14 15 19 22 24 27 31
Glenavon 1506 22 19.73 +2.27 74.0% 9 13 17 19 23 27 29
Cliftonville 1397 18 12.91 +5.09 96.0% 6 8 10 13 15 18 20
Ards 1396 18 17.13 +0.87 71.0% 10 11 15 17 19 23 28
Bangor 1358 16 17.12 -1.12 41.0% 9 9 15 18 19 23 26
Portadown 1316 9 20.68 -11.68 1.0% 9 14 18 21 23 27 31
Derry City 1184 6 11.41 -5.41 7.0% 2 6 10 12 14 16 18

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+9.09%
Slight Edge
44.70%19.70%35.61%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 31.67 Elo pts.
168 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.39 goals
Neutral
-2+0.19+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.0
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
65%
Belfast Celtic, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.18/gm
Tight Race
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.87 * Some Luck: 2.87 to 4.31 * Lucky: 4.31 to 5.74 * Wild Swing: 5.74 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.99 * Close: 0.99 to 1.49 * Off: 1.49 to 1.98 * Way Off: 1.98 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.65 points
Lucky
03.599
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Close
01.242.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
96.00%
Cliftonville
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
Portadown
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.23
Top-Heavy
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 187.86
2.28
Wide Separation
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
74%
Slight Edge
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
41%
Few
0%45%100%
Blowouts
Expected
33%
Very Frequent
0%32%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.542
Matchup Imbalance
0.51
Lopsided
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.69
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.66
Strong Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.44
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.88
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.105
Well Within Noise
00.1360.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Belfast Celtic65.00%27.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%———————
Linfield24.00%49.00%20.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%——————
Ballymena United—1.00%13.00%25.00%20.00%12.00%12.00%9.00%6.00%2.00%——
Glentoran10.00%23.00%39.00%13.00%9.00%6.00%——————
Lisburn Distillery1.00%—11.00%17.00%21.00%29.00%7.00%12.00%1.00%—1.00%—
Coleraine——2.00%19.00%17.00%15.00%24.00%11.00%7.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%
Glenavon——4.00%7.00%13.00%12.00%12.00%17.00%21.00%9.00%3.00%2.00%
Cliftonville———————8.00%9.00%16.00%36.00%31.00%
Ards——1.00%4.00%2.00%5.00%10.00%10.00%22.00%27.00%16.00%3.00%
Bangor——1.00%2.00%3.00%7.00%10.00%16.00%24.00%16.00%13.00%8.00%
Portadown——4.00%7.00%12.00%13.00%25.00%16.00%8.00%9.00%5.00%1.00%
Derry City———————1.00%2.00%18.00%25.00%54.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena United 100%
Bangor 100%
Belfast Celtic 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Derry City 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1947-11-08 Belfast Celtic L 2-551.7 1431 1669 17.40% 20.36% 62.24%-1.23 -15.2 0
1947-11-08 @ Ards W 5-251.7 1669 1431 62.24% 20.36% 17.40%+1.23 +15.2 2
1947-11-08 Linfield L 1-448.3 1440 1679 17.32% 20.35% 62.33%-1.23 -17.5 0
1947-11-08 @ Bangor W 4-148.3 1679 1440 62.33% 20.35% 17.32%+1.23 +17.5 2
1947-11-08 Coleraine L 0-139.2 1293 1458 24.48% 20.66% 54.86%-0.79 -10.2 0
1947-11-08 @ Cliftonville W 1-039.2 1458 1293 54.86% 20.66% 24.48%+0.79 +10.2 2
1947-11-08 Ballymena United L 1-252.3 1433 1456 42.96% 20.89% 36.15%+0.05 -15.3 0
1947-11-08 @ Glenavon W 2-152.3 1456 1433 36.15% 20.89% 42.96%-0.05 +15.3 2
1947-11-08 Derry City W 4-038.3 1645 1421 68.30% 20.08% 11.61%+1.52 +18.9 2
1947-11-08 @ Glentoran L 0-438.3 1421 1645 11.61% 20.08% 68.30%-1.52 -18.9 0
1947-11-08 Lisburn Distillery L 2-466.1 1587 1488 57.91% 20.67% 21.41%+0.78 -31.0 0
1947-11-08 @ Portadown W 4-266.1 1488 1587 21.41% 20.67% 57.91%-0.78 +31.0 2
1947-11-15 Bangor W 2-040.6 1471 1423 52.34% 20.81% 26.85%+0.48 +20.9 4
1947-11-15 @ Ballymena United L 0-240.6 1423 1471 26.85% 20.81% 52.34%-0.48 -20.9 0
1947-11-15 Portadown W 6-253.1 1684 1556 60.76% 20.57% 18.67%+0.95 +20.5 4
1947-11-15 @ Belfast Celtic L 2-653.1 1556 1684 18.67% 20.57% 60.76%-0.95 -20.5 0
1947-11-15 Ards D 1-158.4 1468 1415 52.82% 20.80% 26.38%+0.50 -2.2 3
1947-11-15 @ Coleraine D 1-158.4 1415 1468 26.38% 20.80% 52.82%-0.50 +2.2 1
1947-11-15 Glenavon L 1-250.7 1402 1417 44.14% 20.88% 34.98%+0.10 -15.7 0
1947-11-15 @ Derry City W 2-150.7 1417 1402 34.98% 20.88% 44.14%-0.10 +15.6 2
1947-11-15 Glentoran D 1-171.2 1697 1664 50.44% 20.83% 28.73%+0.39 -1.8 3
1947-11-15 @ Linfield D 1-171.2 1664 1697 28.73% 20.83% 50.44%-0.39 +1.8 3
1947-11-15 Cliftonville W 3-030.6 1519 1283 69.15% 20.00% 10.85%+1.60 +13.6 4
1947-11-15 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-330.6 1283 1519 10.85% 20.00% 69.15%-1.60 -13.6 0
1947-11-22 Linfield L 1-255.5 1492 1695 20.61% 20.52% 58.87%-1.02 -8.3 4
1947-11-22 @ Ballymena United W 2-155.5 1695 1492 58.87% 20.52% 20.61%+1.02 +8.3 5
1947-11-22 Derry City W 4-035.4 1402 1387 48.15% 20.86% 30.99%+0.28 +44.6 2
1947-11-22 @ Bangor L 0-435.4 1387 1402 30.99% 20.86% 48.15%-0.28 -44.6 0
1947-11-22 Ards L 3-452.1 1269 1418 26.34% 20.72% 52.94%-0.70 -9.5 0
1947-11-22 @ Cliftonville W 4-352.1 1418 1269 52.94% 20.72% 26.34%+0.70 +9.5 3
1947-11-22 Glentoran L 0-541.4 1433 1665 17.88% 20.39% 61.73%-1.20 -34.4 2
1947-11-22 @ Glenavon W 5-041.4 1665 1433 61.73% 20.39% 17.88%+1.20 +34.4 5
1947-11-22 Belfast Celtic L 0-250.5 1533 1704 23.78% 20.64% 55.58%-0.83 -18.8 4
1947-11-22 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-050.5 1704 1533 55.58% 20.64% 23.78%+0.83 +18.8 6
1947-11-22 Coleraine W 5-250.4 1536 1466 54.77% 20.76% 24.47%+0.60 +20.5 2
1947-11-22 @ Portadown L 2-550.4 1466 1536 24.47% 20.76% 54.77%-0.60 -20.5 3
1947-11-29 Lisburn Distillery L 1-251.4 1427 1514 34.06% 20.85% 45.09%-0.33 -12.7 3
1947-11-29 @ Ards W 2-151.4 1514 1427 45.09% 20.85% 34.06%+0.33 +12.7 6
1947-11-29 Portadown W 2-157.2 1260 1556 13.04% 20.02% 66.94%-1.58 +23.1 2
1947-11-29 @ Cliftonville L 1-257.2 1556 1260 66.94% 20.02% 13.04%+1.58 -23.1 2
1947-11-29 Belfast Celtic L 1-845.7 1446 1723 14.32% 20.14% 65.54%-1.47 -31.8 3
1947-11-29 @ Coleraine W 8-145.7 1723 1446 65.54% 20.14% 14.32%+1.47 +31.8 8
1947-11-29 Linfield L 0-738.1 1342 1703 9.38% 19.57% 71.05%-1.96 -26.0 0
1947-11-29 @ Derry City W 7-038.1 1703 1342 71.05% 19.57% 9.38%+1.96 +26.0 7
1947-11-29 Bangor D 1-157.2 1399 1447 39.51% 20.88% 39.60%-0.10 +0.0 3
1947-11-29 @ Glenavon D 1-157.2 1447 1399 39.60% 20.88% 39.51%+0.10 -0.0 3
1947-11-29 Ballymena United D 2-273.6 1700 1484 67.79% 20.13% 12.08%+1.47 -3.7 6
1947-11-29 @ Glentoran D 2-273.6 1484 1700 12.08% 20.13% 67.79%-1.47 +3.7 5
1947-12-06 Derry City W 6-031.3 1488 1316 64.56% 20.37% 15.07%+1.21 +35.1 7
1947-12-06 @ Ballymena United L 0-631.3 1316 1488 15.07% 20.37% 64.56%-1.21 -35.1 0
1947-12-06 Glentoran L 2-358.2 1446 1696 16.46% 20.30% 63.25%-1.30 -6.5 3
1947-12-06 @ Bangor W 3-258.2 1696 1446 63.25% 20.30% 16.46%+1.30 +6.5 8
1947-12-06 Cliftonville W 3-035.4 1755 1283 78.88% 17.97% 3.15%+3.00 +4.0 10
1947-12-06 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-335.4 1283 1755 3.15% 17.97% 78.88%-3.00 -4.0 2
1947-12-06 Glenavon W 4-145.1 1729 1399 74.03% 19.31% 6.66%+2.16 +7.1 9
1947-12-06 @ Linfield L 1-445.1 1399 1729 6.66% 19.31% 74.03%-2.16 -7.2 3
1947-12-06 Coleraine L 0-251.9 1527 1414 59.36% 20.62% 20.01%+0.86 -41.0 6
1947-12-06 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-051.9 1414 1527 20.01% 20.62% 59.36%-0.86 +41.0 5
1947-12-06 Ards W 4-249.9 1533 1414 59.89% 20.60% 19.51%+0.90 +12.3 4
1947-12-06 @ Portadown L 2-449.9 1414 1533 19.51% 20.60% 59.89%-0.90 -12.3 3
1947-12-13 Lisburn Distillery W 2-152.2 1523 1486 50.93% 20.83% 28.24%+0.41 +10.9 9
1947-12-13 @ Ballymena United L 1-252.2 1486 1523 28.24% 20.83% 50.93%-0.41 -10.9 6
1947-12-13 Coleraine D 2-263.6 1440 1455 44.18% 20.88% 34.94%+0.10 -0.5 4
1947-12-13 @ Bangor D 2-263.6 1455 1440 34.94% 20.88% 44.18%-0.10 +0.5 6
1947-12-13 Belfast Celtic L 1-539.8 1281 1759 5.09% 18.55% 76.35%-2.66 -7.0 0
1947-12-13 @ Derry City W 5-139.8 1759 1281 76.35% 18.55% 5.09%+2.66 +7.0 12
1947-12-13 Cliftonville W 3-246.1 1392 1279 59.32% 20.63% 20.05%+0.86 +7.7 5
1947-12-13 @ Glenavon L 2-346.1 1279 1392 20.05% 20.63% 59.32%-0.86 -7.7 2
1947-12-13 Portadown D 1-169.9 1702 1545 63.37% 20.44% 16.18%+1.13 -4.2 9
1947-12-13 @ Glentoran D 1-169.9 1545 1702 16.18% 20.44% 63.37%-1.13 +4.1 5
1947-12-13 Ards W 3-147.5 1736 1402 74.19% 19.28% 6.53%+2.18 +5.0 11
1947-12-13 @ Linfield L 1-347.5 1402 1736 6.53% 19.28% 74.19%-2.18 -5.0 3
1947-12-20 Ballymena United D 2-264.9 1397 1534 27.73% 20.75% 51.52%-0.63 +1.5 4
1947-12-20 @ Ards D 2-264.9 1534 1397 51.52% 20.75% 27.73%+0.63 -1.5 10
1947-12-20 Glenavon W 3-147.8 1766 1399 75.50% 19.00% 5.50%+2.37 +4.2 14
1947-12-20 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-347.8 1399 1766 5.50% 19.00% 75.50%-2.37 -4.2 5
1947-12-20 Glentoran W 2-164.0 1271 1698 6.65% 19.02% 74.33%-2.36 +25.7 4
1947-12-20 @ Cliftonville L 1-264.0 1698 1271 74.33% 19.02% 6.65%+2.36 -25.7 9
1947-12-20 Linfield L 1-253.5 1455 1741 13.73% 20.09% 66.18%-1.52 -5.8 6
1947-12-20 @ Coleraine W 2-153.5 1741 1455 66.18% 20.09% 13.73%+1.52 +5.8 13
1947-12-20 Derry City W 2-032.7 1475 1274 66.77% 20.22% 13.01%+1.39 +11.1 8
1947-12-20 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-232.7 1274 1475 13.01% 20.22% 66.77%-1.39 -11.1 0
1947-12-20 Bangor L 1-260.6 1549 1439 59.05% 20.63% 20.31%+0.84 -20.4 5
1947-12-20 @ Portadown W 2-160.6 1439 1549 20.31% 20.63% 59.05%-0.84 +20.4 6
1947-12-25 Cliftonville W 5-240.4 1532 1297 69.08% 20.01% 10.91%+1.59 +10.0 12
1947-12-25 @ Ballymena United L 2-540.4 1297 1532 10.91% 20.01% 69.08%-1.59 -10.0 4
1947-12-25 Ards L 1-254.6 1460 1399 53.81% 20.78% 25.41%+0.55 -18.6 6
1947-12-25 @ Bangor W 2-154.6 1399 1460 25.41% 20.78% 53.81%-0.55 +18.6 6
1947-12-25 Coleraine L 2-541.7 1263 1449 22.20% 20.59% 57.21%-0.92 -18.8 0
1947-12-25 @ Derry City W 5-241.7 1449 1263 57.21% 20.59% 22.20%+0.92 +18.8 8
1947-12-25 Portadown W 5-150.0 1395 1529 28.05% 20.75% 51.20%-0.61 +56.3 7
1947-12-25 @ Glenavon L 1-550.0 1529 1395 51.20% 20.75% 28.05%+0.61 -56.3 5
1947-12-25 Belfast Celtic L 1-360.3 1673 1770 32.64% 20.83% 46.53%-0.39 -21.2 9
1947-12-25 @ Glentoran W 3-160.3 1770 1673 46.53% 20.83% 32.64%+0.39 +21.2 16
1947-12-25 Lisburn Distillery W 4-148.7 1747 1486 70.60% 19.84% 9.56%+1.74 +10.2 15
1947-12-25 @ Linfield L 1-448.7 1486 1747 9.56% 19.84% 70.60%-1.74 -10.2 8
1947-12-26 Glenavon L 2-453.9 1417 1451 41.47% 20.89% 37.64%-0.01 -23.0 6
1947-12-26 @ Ards W 4-253.9 1451 1417 37.64% 20.89% 41.47%+0.01 +23.0 9
1947-12-26 Linfield W 3-052.1 1791 1757 50.57% 20.83% 28.60%+0.39 +32.0 18
1947-12-26 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-352.1 1757 1791 28.60% 20.83% 50.57%-0.39 -32.0 15
1947-12-26 Bangor L 2-348.5 1287 1441 25.67% 20.70% 53.64%-0.73 -9.5 4
1947-12-26 @ Cliftonville W 3-248.5 1441 1287 53.64% 20.70% 25.67%+0.73 +9.5 8
1947-12-26 Ballymena United W 4-046.1 1468 1542 35.82% 20.86% 43.31%-0.25 +58.5 10
1947-12-26 @ Coleraine L 0-446.1 1542 1468 43.31% 20.86% 35.82%+0.25 -58.4 12
1947-12-26 Glentoran D 2-271.9 1476 1651 23.34% 20.63% 56.03%-0.86 +2.1 9
1947-12-26 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-271.9 1651 1476 56.03% 20.63% 23.34%+0.86 -2.1 10
1947-12-26 Derry City D 1-154.9 1473 1244 68.65% 20.05% 11.30%+1.55 -5.2 6
1947-12-26 @ Portadown D 1-154.9 1244 1473 11.30% 20.05% 68.65%-1.55 +5.2 1
1947-12-27 Portadown W 5-250.5 1484 1468 48.30% 20.86% 30.84%+0.29 +24.9 14
1947-12-27 @ Ballymena United L 2-550.5 1468 1484 30.84% 20.86% 48.30%-0.29 -24.9 6
1947-12-27 Belfast Celtic L 2-553.0 1451 1823 8.83% 19.48% 71.69%-2.03 -8.1 8
1947-12-27 @ Bangor W 5-253.0 1823 1451 71.69% 19.48% 8.83%+2.03 +8.1 20
1947-12-27 Ards W 6-247.4 1249 1394 26.75% 20.73% 52.53%-0.67 +48.9 3
1947-12-27 @ Derry City L 2-647.4 1394 1249 52.53% 20.73% 26.75%+0.67 -48.9 6
1947-12-27 Lisburn Distillery L 0-248.3 1474 1478 45.70% 20.88% 33.42%+0.17 -32.2 9
1947-12-27 @ Glenavon W 2-048.3 1478 1474 33.42% 20.88% 45.70%-0.17 +32.2 11
1947-12-27 Coleraine W 3-045.3 1649 1527 60.27% 20.59% 19.14%+0.92 +22.7 12
1947-12-27 @ Glentoran L 0-345.3 1527 1649 19.14% 20.59% 60.27%-0.92 -22.7 10
1947-12-27 Cliftonville W 3-141.6 1725 1277 78.20% 18.22% 3.58%+2.86 +2.7 17
1947-12-27 @ Linfield L 1-341.6 1277 1725 3.58% 18.22% 78.20%-2.86 -2.7 4
1948-01-03 Glentoran D 1-163.4 1345 1672 11.19% 19.82% 68.99%-1.76 +5.2 7
1948-01-03 @ Ards D 1-163.4 1672 1345 68.99% 19.82% 11.19%+1.76 -5.2 13
1948-01-03 Ballymena United W 2-046.5 1831 1509 73.69% 19.37% 6.93%+2.11 +6.1 22
1948-01-03 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-246.5 1509 1831 6.93% 19.37% 73.69%-2.11 -6.1 14
1948-01-03 Derry City W 3-035.5 1275 1298 42.95% 20.89% 36.17%+0.05 +38.7 6
1948-01-03 @ Cliftonville L 0-335.5 1298 1275 36.17% 20.89% 42.95%-0.05 -38.7 3
1948-01-03 Glenavon D 2-265.4 1504 1442 53.88% 20.78% 25.34%+0.56 -1.8 11
1948-01-03 @ Coleraine D 2-265.4 1442 1504 25.34% 20.78% 53.88%-0.56 +1.8 10
1948-01-03 Bangor W 3-146.8 1510 1443 54.53% 20.76% 24.71%+0.59 +16.9 13
1948-01-03 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-346.8 1443 1510 24.71% 20.76% 54.53%-0.59 -16.9 8
1948-01-03 Linfield L 0-343.4 1443 1728 13.79% 20.09% 66.12%-1.51 -16.9 6
1948-01-03 @ Portadown W 3-043.4 1728 1443 66.12% 20.09% 13.79%+1.51 +16.9 19
1948-01-10 Glenavon W 4-251.8 1503 1444 53.51% 20.78% 25.70%+0.54 +15.6 16
1948-01-10 @ Ballymena United L 2-451.8 1444 1503 25.70% 20.78% 53.51%-0.54 -15.6 10
1948-01-10 Ards W 6-039.3 1838 1351 79.28% 17.82% 2.91%+3.09 +7.0 24
1948-01-10 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-639.3 1351 1838 2.91% 17.82% 79.28%-3.09 -7.0 7
1948-01-10 Cliftonville W 4-030.6 1502 1313 65.89% 20.28% 13.82%+1.31 +22.2 13
1948-01-10 @ Coleraine L 0-430.6 1313 1502 13.82% 20.28% 65.89%-1.31 -22.2 6
1948-01-10 Glentoran L 2-347.6 1260 1667 7.38% 19.20% 73.42%-2.24 -3.0 3
1948-01-10 @ Derry City W 3-247.6 1667 1260 73.42% 19.20% 7.38%+2.24 +3.0 15
1948-01-10 Bangor D 1-168.6 1745 1426 73.53% 19.40% 7.07%+2.09 -6.1 20
1948-01-10 @ Linfield D 1-168.6 1426 1745 7.07% 19.40% 73.53%-2.09 +6.1 9
1948-01-10 Portadown W 1-043.8 1527 1426 58.16% 20.67% 21.18%+0.79 +9.0 15
1948-01-10 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-143.8 1426 1527 21.18% 20.67% 58.16%-0.79 -9.0 6
1948-01-17 Coleraine W 3-260.9 1344 1524 22.78% 20.61% 56.61%-0.89 +18.6 9
1948-01-17 @ Ards L 2-360.9 1524 1344 56.61% 20.61% 22.78%+0.89 -18.5 13
1948-01-17 Ballymena United L 3-750.1 1432 1518 34.15% 20.85% 45.00%-0.33 -31.2 9
1948-01-17 @ Bangor W 7-350.1 1518 1432 45.00% 20.85% 34.15%+0.33 +31.2 18
1948-01-17 Lisburn Distillery W 2-049.3 1291 1536 16.83% 20.32% 62.85%-1.27 +43.3 8
1948-01-17 @ Cliftonville L 0-249.3 1536 1291 62.85% 20.32% 16.83%+1.27 -43.3 15
1948-01-17 Derry City W 4-028.7 1428 1256 64.58% 20.37% 15.05%+1.21 +24.0 12
1948-01-17 @ Glenavon L 0-428.7 1256 1428 15.05% 20.37% 64.58%-1.21 -24.0 3
1948-01-17 Linfield L 0-256.4 1670 1739 36.53% 20.87% 42.60%-0.22 -26.9 15
1948-01-17 @ Glentoran W 2-056.4 1739 1670 42.60% 20.87% 36.53%+0.22 +26.9 22
1948-01-17 Belfast Celtic L 1-448.0 1417 1845 6.63% 19.02% 74.35%-2.36 -7.1 6
1948-01-17 @ Portadown W 4-148.0 1845 1417 74.35% 19.02% 6.63%+2.36 +7.1 26
1948-01-31 Cliftonville L 1-348.0 1362 1335 49.75% 20.84% 29.41%+0.35 -30.1 9
1948-01-31 @ Ards W 3-148.0 1335 1362 29.41% 20.84% 49.75%-0.35 +30.1 10
1948-01-31 Lisburn Distillery W 5-042.4 1852 1493 75.20% 19.07% 5.73%+2.33 +11.8 28
1948-01-31 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-542.4 1493 1852 5.73% 19.07% 75.20%-2.33 -11.8 15
1948-01-31 Portadown W 5-246.4 1506 1410 57.64% 20.68% 21.68%+0.76 +18.5 15
1948-01-31 @ Coleraine L 2-546.4 1410 1506 21.68% 20.68% 57.64%-0.76 -18.5 6
1948-01-31 Bangor L 0-234.7 1233 1401 24.12% 20.65% 55.23%-0.81 -19.1 3
1948-01-31 @ Derry City W 2-034.7 1401 1233 55.23% 20.65% 24.12%+0.81 +19.1 11
1948-01-31 Glenavon L 1-364.3 1643 1452 66.02% 20.27% 13.70%+1.32 -39.5 15
1948-01-31 @ Glentoran W 3-164.3 1452 1643 13.70% 20.27% 66.02%-1.32 +39.5 14
1948-01-31 Ballymena United W 3-152.9 1766 1549 67.83% 20.13% 12.04%+1.48 +8.9 24
1948-01-31 @ Linfield L 1-352.9 1549 1766 12.04% 20.13% 67.83%-1.48 -8.9 18
1948-02-07 Glentoran D 1-167.4 1540 1603 37.37% 20.87% 41.76%-0.19 +0.3 19
1948-02-07 @ Ballymena United D 1-167.4 1603 1540 41.76% 20.87% 37.37%+0.19 -0.3 16
1948-02-07 Glenavon L 2-550.7 1420 1492 36.09% 20.87% 43.04%-0.24 -28.2 11
1948-02-07 @ Bangor W 5-250.7 1492 1420 43.04% 20.87% 36.09%+0.24 +28.2 16
1948-02-07 Coleraine W 5-253.4 1863 1524 74.40% 19.24% 6.37%+2.21 +5.9 30
1948-02-07 @ Belfast Celtic L 2-553.4 1524 1863 6.37% 19.24% 74.40%-2.21 -5.9 15
1948-02-07 Derry City W 2-035.3 1774 1213 81.04% 17.00% 1.96%+3.53 +1.7 26
1948-02-07 @ Linfield L 0-235.3 1213 1774 1.96% 17.00% 81.04%-3.53 -1.7 3
1948-02-07 Ards W 2-035.2 1481 1332 62.67% 20.48% 16.85%+1.08 +14.0 17
1948-02-07 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-235.2 1332 1481 16.85% 20.48% 62.67%-1.08 -14.0 9
1948-02-21 Portadown W 3-038.9 1318 1391 35.94% 20.87% 43.20%-0.25 +44.6 11
1948-02-21 @ Ards L 0-338.9 1391 1318 43.20% 20.87% 35.94%+0.25 -44.6 6
1948-02-21 Belfast Celtic L 2-453.6 1365 1869 4.42% 18.29% 77.29%-2.82 -3.0 10
1948-02-21 @ Cliftonville W 4-253.6 1869 1365 77.29% 18.29% 4.42%+2.82 +3.0 32
1948-02-21 Lisburn Distillery L 0-251.6 1518 1495 49.23% 20.85% 29.92%+0.33 -34.4 15
1948-02-21 @ Coleraine W 2-051.6 1495 1518 29.92% 20.85% 49.23%-0.33 +34.4 19
1948-02-21 Ballymena United D 1-155.5 1212 1541 11.05% 19.81% 69.14%-1.77 +5.2 4
1948-02-21 @ Derry City D 1-155.5 1541 1212 69.14% 19.81% 11.05%+1.77 -5.2 20
1948-02-21 Linfield D 1-170.7 1520 1776 15.93% 20.26% 63.81%-1.34 +4.2 17
1948-02-21 @ Glenavon D 1-170.7 1776 1520 63.81% 20.26% 15.93%+1.34 -4.2 27
1948-02-21 Bangor W 4-035.9 1603 1392 67.51% 20.16% 12.34%+1.45 +20.0 18
1948-02-21 @ Glentoran L 0-435.9 1392 1603 12.34% 20.16% 67.51%-1.45 -20.0 11
1948-02-28 Linfield W 2-169.6 1363 1772 7.31% 19.18% 73.51%-2.25 +25.5 13
1948-02-28 @ Ards L 1-269.6 1772 1363 73.51% 19.18% 7.31%+2.25 -25.5 27
1948-02-28 Derry City W 5-139.6 1872 1217 82.93% 15.89% 1.18%+4.09 +1.6 34
1948-02-28 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-539.6 1217 1872 1.18% 15.89% 82.93%-4.09 -1.6 4
1948-02-28 Glenavon D 3-368.2 1362 1524 24.73% 20.67% 54.60%-0.78 +1.6 11
1948-02-28 @ Cliftonville D 3-368.2 1524 1362 54.60% 20.67% 24.73%+0.78 -1.6 18
1948-02-28 Bangor W 3-034.9 1484 1372 59.29% 20.63% 20.08%+0.86 +23.7 17
1948-02-28 @ Coleraine L 0-334.9 1372 1484 20.08% 20.63% 59.29%-0.86 -23.7 11
1948-02-28 Ballymena United D 2-269.8 1529 1536 45.32% 20.88% 33.80%+0.15 -0.7 20
1948-02-28 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-269.8 1536 1529 33.80% 20.88% 45.32%-0.15 +0.7 21
1948-02-28 Glentoran L 1-246.3 1347 1623 14.41% 20.15% 65.44%-1.46 -6.0 6
1948-02-28 @ Portadown W 2-146.3 1623 1347 65.44% 20.15% 14.41%+1.46 +6.0 20
1948-03-06 Ards L 0-155.2 1536 1388 62.60% 20.48% 16.92%+1.07 -22.9 21
1948-03-06 @ Ballymena United W 1-055.2 1388 1536 16.92% 20.48% 62.60%-1.07 +22.9 15
1948-03-06 Portadown L 1-347.1 1348 1341 47.14% 20.87% 31.99%+0.23 -28.7 11
1948-03-06 @ Bangor W 3-147.1 1341 1348 31.99% 20.87% 47.14%-0.23 +28.7 8
1948-03-06 Lisburn Distillery L 0-232.2 1216 1529 11.98% 19.91% 68.10%-1.68 -10.2 4
1948-03-06 @ Derry City W 2-032.2 1529 1216 68.10% 19.91% 11.98%+1.68 +10.2 22
1948-03-06 Belfast Celtic L 1-352.8 1523 1874 9.87% 19.65% 70.48%-1.90 -7.3 18
1948-03-06 @ Glenavon W 3-152.8 1874 1523 70.48% 19.65% 9.87%+1.90 +7.4 36
1948-03-06 Cliftonville W 3-143.4 1629 1363 70.87% 19.80% 9.33%+1.77 +7.0 22
1948-03-06 @ Glentoran L 1-343.4 1363 1629 9.33% 19.80% 70.87%-1.77 -7.0 11
1948-03-06 Coleraine D 2-275.0 1746 1508 69.28% 19.99% 10.73%+1.61 -4.0 28
1948-03-06 @ Linfield D 2-275.0 1508 1746 10.73% 19.99% 69.28%-1.61 +4.0 18
1948-03-13 Bangor L 1-252.8 1411 1319 57.19% 20.69% 22.11%+0.74 -19.8 15
1948-03-13 @ Ards W 2-152.8 1319 1411 22.11% 20.69% 57.19%-0.74 +19.8 13
1948-03-13 Glentoran D 0-069.3 1881 1636 69.67% 19.95% 10.38%+1.65 -6.0 37
1948-03-13 @ Belfast Celtic D 0-069.3 1636 1881 10.38% 19.95% 69.67%-1.65 +6.0 23
1948-03-13 Ballymena United D 1-158.0 1356 1513 25.35% 20.69% 53.96%-0.75 +2.4 12
1948-03-13 @ Cliftonville D 1-158.0 1513 1356 53.96% 20.69% 25.35%+0.75 -2.4 22
1948-03-13 Derry City W 3-027.9 1512 1205 72.94% 19.50% 7.56%+2.01 +9.6 20
1948-03-13 @ Coleraine L 0-327.9 1205 1512 7.56% 19.50% 72.94%-2.01 -9.6 4
1948-03-13 Linfield L 0-446.5 1539 1742 20.49% 20.52% 58.99%-1.03 -31.4 22
1948-03-13 @ Lisburn Distillery W 4-046.5 1742 1539 58.99% 20.52% 20.49%+1.03 +31.4 30
1948-03-13 Glenavon L 1-345.1 1369 1515 26.61% 20.72% 52.67%-0.68 -17.9 8
1948-03-13 @ Portadown W 3-145.1 1515 1369 52.67% 20.72% 26.61%+0.68 +17.9 20
1948-03-20 Cliftonville L 2-354.2 1351 1359 45.19% 20.88% 33.93%+0.15 -15.1 8
1948-03-20 @ Portadown W 3-254.2 1359 1351 33.93% 20.88% 45.19%-0.15 +15.2 14
1948-03-27 Coleraine W 3-260.1 1511 1521 44.77% 20.88% 34.35%+0.13 +12.1 24
1948-03-27 @ Ballymena United L 2-360.1 1521 1511 34.35% 20.88% 44.77%-0.13 -12.1 20
1948-03-27 Cliftonville D 1-154.5 1339 1374 41.39% 20.89% 37.73%-0.02 -0.3 14
1948-03-27 @ Bangor D 1-154.5 1374 1339 37.73% 20.89% 41.39%+0.02 +0.3 15
1948-03-27 Portadown W 1-045.4 1196 1336 27.27% 20.74% 51.99%-0.65 +19.1 6
1948-03-27 @ Derry City L 0-145.4 1336 1196 51.99% 20.74% 27.27%+0.65 -19.2 8
1948-03-27 Ards D 1-159.8 1533 1391 62.06% 20.51% 17.43%+1.03 -3.9 21
1948-03-27 @ Glenavon D 1-159.8 1391 1533 17.43% 20.51% 62.06%-1.03 +3.9 16
1948-03-27 Lisburn Distillery L 0-259.7 1642 1507 61.41% 20.54% 18.05%+0.99 -42.4 23
1948-03-27 @ Glentoran W 2-059.7 1507 1642 18.05% 20.54% 61.41%-0.99 +42.4 24
1948-03-27 Belfast Celtic W 3-165.2 1774 1875 32.16% 20.83% 47.01%-0.41 +28.6 32
1948-03-27 @ Linfield L 1-365.2 1875 1774 47.01% 20.83% 32.16%+0.41 -28.6 37
1948-03-30 Derry City W 4-134.3 1395 1215 65.25% 20.33% 14.42%+1.26 +14.9 18
1948-03-30 @ Ards L 1-434.3 1215 1395 14.42% 20.33% 65.25%-1.26 -14.9 6
1948-03-30 Bangor W 3-254.4 1847 1339 79.81% 17.59% 2.60%+3.22 +1.1 39
1948-03-30 @ Belfast Celtic L 2-354.4 1339 1847 2.60% 17.59% 79.81%-3.22 -1.1 14
1948-03-30 Linfield D 0-065.8 1374 1803 6.60% 19.01% 74.39%-2.36 +7.0 16
1948-03-30 @ Cliftonville D 0-065.8 1803 1374 74.39% 19.01% 6.60%+2.36 -7.0 33
1948-03-30 Glentoran D 2-271.2 1509 1600 33.57% 20.84% 45.58%-0.35 +0.7 21
1948-03-30 @ Coleraine D 2-271.2 1600 1509 45.58% 20.84% 33.57%+0.35 -0.7 24
1948-03-30 Glenavon W 2-048.3 1550 1529 48.83% 20.85% 30.32%+0.31 +23.1 26
1948-03-30 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-248.3 1529 1550 30.32% 20.85% 48.83%-0.31 -23.1 21
1948-03-30 Ballymena United D 1-157.2 1317 1523 20.26% 20.51% 59.23%-1.04 +3.3 9
1948-03-30 @ Portadown D 1-157.2 1523 1317 59.23% 20.51% 20.26%+1.04 -3.3 25
1948-04-03 Belfast Celtic W 4-381.7 1520 1848 11.11% 19.81% 69.07%-1.77 +22.1 27
1948-04-03 @ Ballymena United L 3-481.7 1848 1520 69.07% 19.81% 11.11%+1.77 -22.1 39
1948-04-03 Lisburn Distillery W 3-263.8 1338 1573 17.63% 20.37% 62.00%-1.21 +20.3 16
1948-04-03 @ Bangor L 2-363.8 1573 1338 62.00% 20.37% 17.63%+1.21 -20.3 26
1948-04-03 Cliftonville L 1-338.8 1200 1381 22.76% 20.61% 56.64%-0.89 -15.7 6
1948-04-03 @ Derry City W 3-138.8 1381 1200 56.64% 20.61% 22.76%+0.89 +15.7 18
1948-04-03 Coleraine D 2-268.0 1506 1510 45.69% 20.88% 33.43%+0.17 -0.7 22
1948-04-03 @ Glenavon D 2-268.0 1510 1506 33.43% 20.88% 45.69%-0.17 +0.7 22
1948-04-03 Ards W 4-143.4 1599 1410 65.89% 20.28% 13.83%+1.31 +14.3 26
1948-04-03 @ Glentoran L 1-443.4 1410 1599 13.83% 20.28% 65.89%-1.31 -14.3 18
1948-04-03 Portadown W 3-038.0 1796 1320 78.96% 17.94% 3.10%+3.02 +3.9 35
1948-04-03 @ Linfield L 0-338.0 1320 1796 3.10% 17.94% 78.96%-3.02 -3.9 9

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1947-12-20 6.65% @ Cliftonville 1271 2 Glentoran 1698 1
2 1948-02-28 7.31% @ Ards 1363 2 Linfield 1772 1
3 1948-04-03 11.11% @ Ballymena United 1520 4 Belfast Celtic 1848 3
4 1947-11-29 13.04% @ Cliftonville 1260 2 Portadown 1556 1
5 1948-01-31 13.70% Glenavon 1452 3 @ Glentoran 1643 1
6 1948-01-17 16.83% @ Cliftonville 1291 2 Lisburn Distillery 1536 0
7 1948-03-06 16.92% Ards 1388 1 @ Ballymena United 1536 0
8 1948-04-03 17.63% @ Bangor 1338 3 Lisburn Distillery 1573 2
9 1948-03-27 18.05% Lisburn Distillery 1507 2 @ Glentoran 1642 0
10 1947-12-06 20.01% Coleraine 1414 2 @ Lisburn Distillery 1527 0
11 1947-12-20 20.31% Bangor 1439 2 @ Portadown 1549 1
12 1947-11-08 21.41% Lisburn Distillery 1488 4 @ Portadown 1587 2
13 1948-03-13 22.11% Bangor 1319 2 @ Ards 1411 1
14 1948-01-17 22.78% @ Ards 1344 3 Coleraine 1524 2
15 1947-12-25 25.41% Ards 1399 2 @ Bangor 1460 1
16 1947-12-27 26.75% @ Derry City 1249 6 Ards 1394 2
17 1948-03-27 27.27% @ Derry City 1196 1 Portadown 1336 0
18 1947-12-25 28.05% @ Glenavon 1395 5 Portadown 1529 1
19 1948-01-31 29.41% Cliftonville 1335 3 @ Ards 1362 1
20 1948-02-21 29.92% Lisburn Distillery 1495 2 @ Coleraine 1518 0
21 1948-03-06 31.99% Portadown 1341 3 @ Bangor 1348 1
22 1948-03-27 32.16% @ Linfield 1774 3 Belfast Celtic 1875 1
23 1947-12-27 33.42% Lisburn Distillery 1478 2 @ Glenavon 1474 0
24 1948-03-20 33.93% Cliftonville 1359 3 @ Portadown 1351 2
25 1947-11-15 34.98% Glenavon 1417 2 @ Derry City 1402 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1947-12-26 58.45 @ Coleraine 4 1468 35.82% Ballymena United 0 1542 43.31% 20.86%
2 1947-12-25 56.30 @ Glenavon 5 1395 28.05% Portadown 1 1529 51.20% 20.75%
3 1947-12-27 48.90 @ Derry City 6 1249 26.75% Ards 2 1394 52.53% 20.73%
4 1947-11-22 44.64 @ Bangor 4 1402 48.15% Derry City 0 1387 30.99% 20.86%
5 1948-02-21 44.64 @ Ards 3 1318 35.94% Portadown 0 1391 43.20% 20.87%
6 1948-01-17 43.33 @ Cliftonville 2 1291 16.83% Lisburn Distillery 0 1536 62.85% 20.32%
7 1948-03-27 42.39 Lisburn Distillery 2 1507 18.05% @ Glentoran 0 1642 61.41% 20.54%
8 1947-12-06 40.99 Coleraine 2 1414 20.01% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1527 59.36% 20.62%
9 1948-01-31 39.54 Glenavon 3 1452 13.70% @ Glentoran 1 1643 66.02% 20.27%
10 1948-01-03 38.72 @ Cliftonville 3 1275 42.95% Derry City 0 1298 36.17% 20.89%
11 1947-12-06 35.10 @ Ballymena United 6 1488 64.56% Derry City 0 1316 15.07% 20.37%
12 1948-02-21 34.40 Lisburn Distillery 2 1495 29.92% @ Coleraine 0 1518 49.23% 20.85%
13 1947-11-22 34.36 Glentoran 5 1665 61.73% @ Glenavon 0 1433 17.88% 20.39%
14 1947-12-27 32.24 Lisburn Distillery 2 1478 33.42% @ Glenavon 0 1474 45.70% 20.88%
15 1947-12-26 31.98 @ Belfast Celtic 3 1791 50.57% Linfield 0 1757 28.60% 20.83%
16 1947-11-29 31.81 Belfast Celtic 8 1723 65.54% @ Coleraine 1 1446 14.32% 20.14%
17 1948-03-13 31.42 Linfield 4 1742 58.99% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1539 20.49% 20.52%
18 1948-01-17 31.16 Ballymena United 7 1518 45.00% @ Bangor 3 1432 34.15% 20.85%
19 1947-11-08 30.99 Lisburn Distillery 4 1488 21.41% @ Portadown 2 1587 57.91% 20.67%
20 1948-01-31 30.07 Cliftonville 3 1335 29.41% @ Ards 1 1362 49.75% 20.84%
21 1948-03-06 28.67 Portadown 3 1341 31.99% @ Bangor 1 1348 47.14% 20.87%
22 1948-03-27 28.59 @ Linfield 3 1774 32.16% Belfast Celtic 1 1875 47.01% 20.83%
23 1948-02-07 28.22 Glenavon 5 1492 43.04% @ Bangor 2 1420 36.09% 20.87%
24 1948-01-17 26.87 Linfield 2 1739 42.60% @ Glentoran 0 1670 36.53% 20.87%
25 1947-11-29 26.00 Linfield 7 1703 71.05% @ Derry City 0 1342 9.38% 19.57%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1948-04-03 81.7 @ Ballymena United 4 1520 11.11% Belfast Celtic 3 1848 69.07% 19.81%
2 1948-03-06 75.0 @ Linfield 2 1746 69.28% Coleraine 2 1508 10.73% 19.99%
3 1947-11-29 73.6 @ Glentoran 2 1700 67.79% Ballymena United 2 1484 12.08% 20.13%
4 1947-12-26 71.9 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1476 23.34% Glentoran 2 1651 56.03% 20.63%
5 1947-11-15 71.2 @ Linfield 1 1697 50.44% Glentoran 1 1664 28.73% 20.83%
6 1948-03-30 71.2 @ Coleraine 2 1509 33.57% Glentoran 2 1600 45.58% 20.84%
7 1948-02-21 70.7 @ Glenavon 1 1520 15.93% Linfield 1 1776 63.81% 20.26%
8 1947-12-13 69.9 @ Glentoran 1 1702 63.37% Portadown 1 1545 16.18% 20.44%
9 1948-02-28 69.8 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1529 45.32% Ballymena United 2 1536 33.80% 20.88%
10 1948-02-28 69.6 @ Ards 2 1363 7.31% Linfield 1 1772 73.51% 19.18%
11 1948-03-13 69.3 @ Belfast Celtic 0 1881 69.67% Glentoran 0 1636 10.38% 19.95%
12 1948-01-10 68.6 @ Linfield 1 1745 73.53% Bangor 1 1426 7.07% 19.40%
13 1948-02-28 68.2 @ Cliftonville 3 1362 24.73% Glenavon 3 1524 54.60% 20.67%
14 1948-04-03 68.0 @ Glenavon 2 1506 45.69% Coleraine 2 1510 33.43% 20.88%
15 1948-02-07 67.4 @ Ballymena United 1 1540 37.37% Glentoran 1 1603 41.76% 20.87%
16 1947-11-08 66.1 Lisburn Distillery 4 1488 21.41% @ Portadown 2 1587 57.91% 20.67%
17 1948-03-30 65.8 @ Cliftonville 0 1374 6.60% Linfield 0 1803 74.39% 19.01%
18 1948-01-03 65.4 @ Coleraine 2 1504 53.88% Glenavon 2 1442 25.34% 20.78%
19 1948-03-27 65.2 @ Linfield 3 1774 32.16% Belfast Celtic 1 1875 47.01% 20.83%
20 1947-12-20 64.9 @ Ards 2 1397 27.73% Ballymena United 2 1534 51.52% 20.75%
21 1948-01-31 64.3 Glenavon 3 1452 13.70% @ Glentoran 1 1643 66.02% 20.27%
22 1947-12-20 64.0 @ Cliftonville 2 1271 6.65% Glentoran 1 1698 74.33% 19.02%
23 1948-04-03 63.8 @ Bangor 3 1338 17.63% Lisburn Distillery 2 1573 62.00% 20.37%
24 1947-12-13 63.6 @ Bangor 2 1440 44.18% Coleraine 2 1455 34.94% 20.88%
25 1948-01-03 63.4 @ Ards 1 1345 11.19% Glentoran 1 1672 68.99% 19.82%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1948-03-13 27.9 @ Coleraine 3 1512 72.94% Derry City 0 1205 7.56% 19.50%
2 1948-01-17 28.7 @ Glenavon 4 1428 64.58% Derry City 0 1256 15.05% 20.37%
3 1947-11-15 30.6 @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1519 69.15% Cliftonville 0 1283 10.85% 20.00%
4 1948-01-10 30.6 @ Coleraine 4 1502 65.89% Cliftonville 0 1313 13.82% 20.28%
5 1947-12-06 31.3 @ Ballymena United 6 1488 64.56% Derry City 0 1316 15.07% 20.37%
6 1948-03-06 32.2 Lisburn Distillery 2 1529 68.10% @ Derry City 0 1216 11.98% 19.91%
7 1947-12-20 32.7 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1475 66.77% Derry City 0 1274 13.01% 20.22%
8 1948-03-30 34.3 @ Ards 4 1395 65.25% Derry City 1 1215 14.42% 20.33%
9 1948-01-31 34.7 Bangor 2 1401 55.23% @ Derry City 0 1233 24.12% 20.65%
10 1948-02-28 34.9 @ Coleraine 3 1484 59.29% Bangor 0 1372 20.08% 20.63%
11 1948-02-07 35.2 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1481 62.67% Ards 0 1332 16.85% 20.48%
12 1948-02-07 35.3 @ Linfield 2 1774 81.04% Derry City 0 1213 1.96% 17.00%
13 1947-11-22 35.4 @ Bangor 4 1402 48.15% Derry City 0 1387 30.99% 20.86%
14 1947-12-06 35.4 @ Belfast Celtic 3 1755 78.88% Cliftonville 0 1283 3.15% 17.97%
15 1948-01-03 35.5 @ Cliftonville 3 1275 42.95% Derry City 0 1298 36.17% 20.89%
16 1948-02-21 35.9 @ Glentoran 4 1603 67.51% Bangor 0 1392 12.34% 20.16%
17 1948-04-03 38.0 @ Linfield 3 1796 78.96% Portadown 0 1320 3.10% 17.94%
18 1947-11-29 38.1 Linfield 7 1703 71.05% @ Derry City 0 1342 9.38% 19.57%
19 1947-11-08 38.3 @ Glentoran 4 1645 68.30% Derry City 0 1421 11.61% 20.08%
20 1948-04-03 38.8 Cliftonville 3 1381 56.64% @ Derry City 1 1200 22.76% 20.61%
21 1948-02-21 38.9 @ Ards 3 1318 35.94% Portadown 0 1391 43.20% 20.87%
22 1947-11-08 39.2 Coleraine 1 1458 54.86% @ Cliftonville 0 1293 24.48% 20.66%
23 1948-01-10 39.3 @ Belfast Celtic 6 1838 79.28% Ards 0 1351 2.91% 17.82%
24 1948-02-28 39.6 @ Belfast Celtic 5 1872 82.93% Derry City 1 1217 1.18% 15.89%
25 1947-12-13 39.8 Belfast Celtic 5 1759 76.35% @ Derry City 1 1281 5.09% 18.55%