Home / Leagues / Norway / Main League / 1951-52

1951-52 Main League Season

112 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Fredrikstad

26 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Fredrikstad

10.89 points above expected

26 points · 15.11 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Notodden

9.26 points below expected

4 points · 13.26 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Fredrikstad 14 12 2 0 26 41 16 +25 15.1 +10.89
2 Sarpsborg 14 8 1 5 17 22 15 +7 14.1 +2.95
3 Brann 14 8 1 5 17 27 21 +6 14.1 +2.86
4 Skeid 14 6 3 5 15 33 19 +14 14.2 +0.77
5 IF Odd 14 7 1 6 15 30 23 +7 14.3 +0.68
6 Viking 14 5 5 4 15 21 19 +2 14.2 +0.79
7 Asker 14 6 2 6 14 27 23 +4 14.3 -0.26
8 Sarpsborg 08 14 5 4 5 14 18 18 0 13.9 +0.12
9 Lyn Oslo 14 5 4 5 14 19 20 -1 14.0 -0.01
10 Arstad 14 5 4 5 14 22 35 -13 13.2 +0.82
11 Valerenga 14 5 3 6 13 25 22 +3 14.4 -1.41
12 Sandefjord 14 5 3 6 13 16 19 -3 13.8 -0.81
13 Strommen 14 5 2 7 12 25 23 +2 13.9 -1.95
14 Kvik Trondheim 14 5 2 7 12 23 25 -2 13.9 -1.94
15 Orn-Horten 14 2 5 7 9 21 44 -23 13.2 -4.25
16 Notodden 14 0 4 10 4 9 37 -28 13.3 -9.26

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Fredrikstad 3
Brann 1

Sim: 180.0%

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Fredrikstad 1389 26 15.11 +10.89 100.0% 3 10 13 15 17 20 26
Skeid 1360 15 14.23 +0.77 65.5% 3 9 12 14 16 19 25
IF Odd 1351 15 14.32 +0.68 63.9% 2 9 12 14 17 20 25
Sarpsborg 1350 17 14.05 +2.95 85.9% 3 9 12 14 16 19 25
Valerenga 1348 13 14.41 -1.41 38.4% 3 9 12 14 17 20 27
Asker 1346 14 14.26 -0.26 52.9% 3 9 12 14 16 19 25
Lyn Oslo 1344 14 14.01 -0.01 56.0% 2 9 12 14 16 19 25
Brann 1344 17 14.14 +2.86 85.2% 2 9 12 14 16 19 25
Viking 1343 15 14.21 +0.79 65.2% 3 9 12 14 16 19 26
Sarpsborg 08 1342 14 13.88 +0.12 57.8% 3 9 12 14 16 19 25
Strommen 1341 12 13.95 -1.95 32.0% 2 9 12 14 16 19 25
Kvik Trondheim 1336 12 13.94 -1.94 33.1% 2 9 12 14 16 19 25
Sandefjord 1335 13 13.81 -0.81 46.0% 3 8 12 14 16 19 25
Arstad 1323 14 13.18 +0.82 66.3% 2 8 11 13 15 18 25
Orn-Horten 1309 9 13.25 -4.25 12.1% 2 8 11 13 15 19 25
Notodden 1301 4 13.26 -9.26 0.3% 2 8 11 13 15 19 24

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARS ASK BRA FRE IO KT LO NOT ORN SAN SAR S0 SKE STR VAL VIK
Arstad
0-1-1
2.59
0-0-2
2.63
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.47
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
2.72
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.48
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.60
1-1-0
2.52
Asker
1-1-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.77
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.74
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.91
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.76
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.77
0-0-2
2.77
Brann
2-0-0
2.88
1-0-1
2.73
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.70
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.91
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.73
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.68
1-0-1
2.75
Fredrikstad
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.96
1-1-0
2.98
2-0-0
3.12
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
3.01
2-0-0
2.95
2-0-0
2.97
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.96
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
IF Odd
1-0-1
3.03
1-0-1
2.75
1-0-1
2.80
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.98
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.74
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.71
1-1-0
2.74
Kvik Trondheim
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.54
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.78
2-0-0
2.83
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.77
1-0-1
2.73
0-1-1
2.76
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.76
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Lyn Oslo
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.52
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.71
1-1-0
2.89
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.80
2-0-0
2.73
0-0-2
2.79
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.78
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Notodden
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.38
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.67
0-1-1
2.60
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.65
0-0-2
2.60
0-1-1
2.62
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.60
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Orn-Horten
0-2-0
2.77
0-0-2
2.59
0-1-1
2.60
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.52
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.57
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.50
0-1-1
2.60
Sandefjord
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.50
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.72
1-1-0
2.69
1-1-0
2.85
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.73
2-0-0
2.71
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.70
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Sarpsborg
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.55
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.76
0-0-2
2.77
2-0-0
2.90
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.77
1-1-0
2.77
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.75
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Sarpsborg 08
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.53
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.74
2-0-0
2.71
1-1-0
2.87
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.78
0-1-1
2.73
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.72
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Skeid
0-0-2
3.02
0-1-1
2.74
2-0-0
2.76
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.76
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.93
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.70
1-1-0
2.75
Strommen
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.55
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.71
1-1-0
2.90
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.80
0-0-2
2.74
0-1-1
2.78
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Valerenga
1-0-1
2.89
2-0-0
2.73
0-0-2
2.82
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.78
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
3.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.79
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.75
Viking
0-1-1
2.98
2-0-0
2.73
1-0-1
2.75
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.75
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.89
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.75
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.74

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.46%6.70%3.12%2.23%1.79%3.12%21.43%
16.70%10.71%8.93%4.02%2.23%1.34%33.93%
23.12%8.93%2.68%2.68%1.34%0.89%19.64%
32.23%4.02%2.68%2.68%0.89%0.45%12.95%
41.79%2.23%1.34%0.89%6.25%
5+3.12%1.34%0.89%0.45%5.80%
Total21.43%33.93%19.64%12.95%6.25%5.80%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.69
Mean allowed1.69
StdDev scored1.50
StdDev allowed1.50
Mean total goals/game3.38
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.171
Sample size (games)112
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%28.57%
114.29%7.14%7.14%7.14%35.71%
2
37.14%14.29%21.43%
47.14%7.14%14.29%
5+
Total21.43%28.57%21.43%7.14%21.43%100%

Arstad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.57
Mean allowed2.50
StdDev scored1.50
StdDev allowed2.31
Mean total goals/game4.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.177
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%21.43%7.14%35.71%
17.14%7.14%
27.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%28.57%
37.14%7.14%
47.14%7.14%
5+7.14%7.14%14.29%
Total28.57%35.71%14.29%7.14%14.29%100%

Asker — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.93
Mean allowed1.64
StdDev scored1.98
StdDev allowed1.86
Mean total goals/game3.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.195
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%35.71%
114.29%14.29%
27.14%7.14%14.29%
314.29%14.29%
47.14%7.14%
5+7.14%7.14%14.29%
Total21.43%35.71%28.57%7.14%7.14%100%

Brann — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.93
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored2.02
StdDev allowed1.34
Mean total goals/game3.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.439
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0
114.29%14.29%
27.14%7.14%
314.29%14.29%14.29%7.14%50.00%
421.43%7.14%28.57%
5+
Total28.57%35.71%28.57%7.14%100%

Fredrikstad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.93
Mean allowed1.14
StdDev scored1.00
StdDev allowed0.95
Mean total goals/game4.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.337
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
17.14%7.14%14.29%
214.29%14.29%14.29%42.86%
37.14%7.14%14.29%
47.14%7.14%
5+7.14%7.14%
Total14.29%42.86%14.29%21.43%7.14%100%

IF Odd — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.14
Mean allowed1.64
StdDev scored1.56
StdDev allowed1.22
Mean total goals/game3.79
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.069
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%
114.29%14.29%21.43%7.14%7.14%64.29%
27.14%7.14%14.29%
3
47.14%7.14%
5+7.14%7.14%
Total21.43%21.43%28.57%14.29%14.29%100%

Kvik Trondheim — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.64
Mean allowed1.79
StdDev scored1.55
StdDev allowed1.37
Mean total goals/game3.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.220
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%21.43%
114.29%21.43%35.71%
214.29%7.14%7.14%28.57%
37.14%7.14%14.29%
4
5+
Total14.29%57.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%100%

Lyn Oslo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.36
Mean allowed1.43
StdDev scored1.01
StdDev allowed1.28
Mean total goals/game2.79
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.467
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%14.29%7.14%42.86%
114.29%14.29%7.14%14.29%50.00%
27.14%7.14%
3
4
5+
Total14.29%21.43%14.29%7.14%28.57%14.29%100%

Notodden — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.64
Mean allowed2.64
StdDev scored0.63
StdDev allowed1.91
Mean total goals/game3.29
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.332
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%21.43%
114.29%7.14%7.14%7.14%35.71%
27.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
314.29%14.29%
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total21.43%14.29%28.57%14.29%21.43%100%

Orn-Horten — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.50
Mean allowed3.14
StdDev scored1.22
StdDev allowed1.70
Mean total goals/game4.64
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.332
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%14.29%35.71%
17.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
27.14%28.57%35.71%
37.14%7.14%
4
5+
Total14.29%50.00%21.43%14.29%100%

Sandefjord — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.14
Mean allowed1.36
StdDev scored1.03
StdDev allowed0.93
Mean total goals/game2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.104
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.43%7.14%28.57%
17.14%7.14%14.29%
27.14%28.57%35.71%
314.29%14.29%
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total14.29%71.43%7.14%7.14%100%

Sarpsborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.57
Mean allowed1.07
StdDev scored1.28
StdDev allowed0.73
Mean total goals/game2.64
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.539
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
114.29%21.43%21.43%7.14%64.29%
27.14%7.14%
37.14%7.14%
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total28.57%28.57%28.57%14.29%100%

Sarpsborg 08 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.29
Mean allowed1.29
StdDev scored1.07
StdDev allowed1.07
Mean total goals/game2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.212
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
114.29%7.14%7.14%28.57%
27.14%7.14%
321.43%7.14%28.57%
47.14%7.14%
5+7.14%7.14%14.29%
Total28.57%28.57%28.57%7.14%7.14%100%

Skeid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.36
Mean allowed1.36
StdDev scored1.82
StdDev allowed1.22
Mean total goals/game3.71
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.270
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%14.29%
128.57%7.14%35.71%
27.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%35.71%
3
4
5+7.14%7.14%14.29%
Total28.57%14.29%28.57%21.43%7.14%100%

Strommen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.79
Mean allowed1.64
StdDev scored1.53
StdDev allowed1.34
Mean total goals/game3.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.110
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
17.14%14.29%21.43%7.14%7.14%57.14%
27.14%7.14%
37.14%7.14%
4
5+14.29%14.29%
Total35.71%14.29%28.57%7.14%7.14%7.14%100%

Valerenga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.79
Mean allowed1.57
StdDev scored1.97
StdDev allowed1.60
Mean total goals/game3.36
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.397
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
17.14%28.57%7.14%7.14%50.00%
27.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
37.14%7.14%
4
5+7.14%7.14%
Total28.57%35.71%14.29%14.29%7.14%100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.50
Mean allowed1.36
StdDev scored1.29
StdDev allowed1.28
Mean total goals/game2.86
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.164
Games played14

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fredrikstad 26 15.1 +10.89
2 Sarpsborg 17 14.1 +2.95
3 Brann 17 14.1 +2.86
4 Arstad 14 13.2 +0.82
5 Viking 15 14.2 +0.79

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Notodden 4 13.3 -9.26
2 Orn-Horten 9 13.2 -4.25
3 Strommen 12 13.9 -1.95
4 Kvik Trondheim 12 13.9 -1.94
5 Valerenga 13 14.4 -1.41

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fredrikstad 10 Jul 29 – May 18 1 in 8,724
2 IF Odd 5 Aug 19 – Oct 7 1 in 101
3 Brann 4 Sep 2 – Oct 14 1 in 58
4 Asker 4 Jul 29 – Sep 2 1 in 50
5 Kvik Trondheim 3 Sep 2 – Sep 23 1 in 25

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Notodden 5 Sep 2 – May 4 1 in 124
2 Asker 3 Sep 9 – May 4 1 in 18
3 Valerenga 3 Sep 2 – Oct 14 1 in 18
4 Sandefjord 3 Sep 23 – May 11 1 in 16
5 Strommen 3 May 18 – May 25 1 in 16

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fredrikstad 14 Jul 29 – Jun 8 1 in 331
2 Lyn Oslo 7 Oct 7 – May 25 1 in 31
3 Viking 5 Oct 14 – May 22 1 in 10
4 IF Odd 5 Aug 19 – Oct 7 1 in 9
5 Brann 4 Sep 2 – Oct 14 1 in 7

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Notodden 14 Jul 29 – Jun 8 1 in 438
2 Orn-Horten 9 Jul 29 – May 11 1 in 65
3 Strommen 6 Oct 7 – May 25 1 in 18
4 Lyn Oslo 6 Jul 28 – Oct 7 1 in 17
5 Sarpsborg 08 6 Oct 15 – May 25 1 in 13

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Fredrikstad24.09%17.44%14.57%11.85%10.76%8.08%7.46%5.75%
Sarpsborg13.73%13.39%13.63%13.18%12.29%12.20%11.55%10.03%
Brann13.67%13.75%12.73%12.74%12.77%12.48%11.43%10.43%
Skeid16.38%14.21%13.92%12.28%11.95%11.54%10.80%8.92%
IF Odd15.24%14.43%13.55%12.68%11.68%11.43%11.36%9.63%
Viking12.56%13.43%13.44%13.31%12.36%12.25%12.16%10.49%
Asker13.99%13.24%13.25%12.92%12.56%12.52%11.30%10.22%
Sarpsborg 0810.94%12.77%12.28%12.47%13.02%12.83%12.90%12.79%
Lyn Oslo11.40%12.33%12.91%12.92%12.62%13.18%12.32%12.32%
Arstad6.78%8.39%9.59%12.05%13.07%14.05%16.25%19.82%
Valerenga14.46%14.19%13.77%13.03%12.61%12.06%10.25%9.63%
Sandefjord10.02%11.48%11.83%12.88%12.34%13.17%13.90%14.38%
Strommen12.23%12.52%12.71%12.91%13.05%12.58%12.40%11.60%
Kvik Trondheim10.85%11.75%12.11%13.21%12.77%13.68%13.13%12.50%
Orn-Horten6.92%8.36%9.75%10.99%13.00%13.67%16.45%20.86%
Notodden6.74%8.32%9.96%10.58%13.15%14.28%16.34%20.63%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Promotion Playoff Bracket

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. Two-leg ties show their aggregate score with each leg listed below the matchup card.

Finals

Fredrikstad 3
Brann 1

Sim: 180.0%

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Fredrikstad 62.7% 13.2%
Skeid 63.9% 19.7%
Valerenga 65.7% 19.9%
IF Odd 63.8% 21.0%
Asker 64.5% 21.5%
Sarpsborg 64.7% 21.6%
Brann 64.5% 21.9%
Viking 64.8% 22.7%
Strommen 63.8% 24.0%
Lyn Oslo 64.0% 24.6%
Kvik Trondheim 63.5% 25.6%
Sarpsborg 08 63.4% 25.7%
Sandefjord 61.7% 28.3%
Arstad 57.1% 36.1%
Notodden 56.3% 37.0%
Orn-Horten 55.8% 37.3%
Loser →
↓ Winner
ArstadAskerBrannFredrikstadIF OddKvik TrondheimLyn OsloNotoddenOrn-HortenSandefjordSarpsborgSarpsborg 08SkeidStrommenValerengaViking
Arstad66.00%37.00%32.00%21.00%33.00%40.00%39.00%32.00%
Asker146.00%84.00%76.00%58.00%77.00%91.00%79.00%73.00%
Brann157.00%71.00%77.00%56.00%76.00%96.00%65.00%100.00%
Fredrikstad82.00%199.00%180.00%206.00%88.00%218.00%207.00%160.00%
IF Odd174.00%95.00%102.00%62.00%75.00%106.00%86.00%105.00%
Kvik Trondheim40.00%78.00%66.00%69.00%37.00%73.00%86.00%69.00%
Lyn Oslo48.00%74.00%67.00%85.00%58.00%83.00%82.00%64.00%
Notodden13.00%38.00%37.00%37.00%33.00%43.00%45.00%42.00%
Orn-Horten54.00%36.00%46.00%18.00%28.00%43.00%31.00%43.00%
Sandefjord35.00%69.00%57.00%69.00%42.00%84.00%79.00%50.00%
Sarpsborg63.00%108.00%89.00%97.00%44.00%117.00%107.00%80.00%
Sarpsborg 0838.00%77.00%88.00%76.00%40.00%84.00%77.00%67.00%
Skeid164.00%98.00%102.00%71.00%97.00%123.00%89.00%96.00%
Strommen59.00%72.00%85.00%80.00%51.00%96.00%79.00%79.00%
Valerenga163.00%74.00%74.00%45.00%69.00%89.00%83.00%87.00%
Viking145.00%72.00%70.00%55.00%62.00%80.00%75.00%86.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Finals
Fredrikstad 72.0%
Brann 28.0%
Loser →
↓ Winner
BrannFredrikstad
Brann28.00%
Fredrikstad72.00%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1951-07-28 Strommen L 3-5 1346 1337 45.8% 24.9% 29.3% -2.8 0
1951-07-28 @ Lyn Oslo W 5-3 1337 1346 29.3% 24.9% 45.8% +2.8 3
1951-07-29 IF Odd W 3-2 1340 1344 43.9% 25.3% 30.8% +1.3 3
1951-07-29 @ Asker L 2-3 1344 1340 30.8% 25.3% 43.9% -1.3 0
1951-07-29 Skeid L 0-3 1339 1341 44.1% 25.2% 30.6% -5.4 0
1951-07-29 @ Brann W 3-0 1341 1339 30.6% 25.2% 44.1% +5.4 3
1951-07-29 Sarpsborg 08 D 1-1 1340 1342 44.1% 25.2% 30.6% -0.1 1
1951-07-29 @ Kvik Trondheim D 1-1 1342 1340 30.6% 25.2% 44.1% +0.1 1
1951-07-29 Fredrikstad L 0-1 1339 1353 42.4% 25.4% 32.2% -1.9 0
1951-07-29 @ Sandefjord W 1-0 1353 1339 32.2% 25.4% 42.4% +1.9 3
1951-07-29 Notodden W 3-1 1340 1340 44.6% 25.2% 30.2% +2.4 3
1951-07-29 @ Sarpsborg L 1-3 1340 1340 30.2% 25.2% 44.6% -2.4 0
1951-07-29 Arstad W 7-0 1344 1340 45.0% 25.1% 29.9% +8.8 3
1951-07-29 @ Valerenga L 0-7 1340 1344 29.9% 25.1% 45.0% -8.8 0
1951-07-29 Orn-Horten W 5-0 1341 1339 44.8% 25.1% 30.1% +6.4 3
1951-07-29 @ Viking L 0-5 1339 1341 30.1% 25.1% 44.8% -6.4 0
1951-08-05 Asker L 1-5 1331 1341 43.0% 25.4% 31.6% -5.7 0
1951-08-05 @ Arstad W 5-1 1341 1331 31.6% 25.4% 43.0% +5.7 6
1951-08-05 Sarpsborg W 1-0 1355 1343 46.2% 24.9% 28.9% +1.4 6
1951-08-05 @ Fredrikstad L 0-1 1343 1355 28.9% 24.9% 46.2% -1.4 3
1951-08-05 Sandefjord D 0-0 1337 1337 44.5% 25.2% 30.3% -0.1 1
1951-08-05 @ Notodden D 0-0 1337 1337 30.3% 25.2% 44.5% +0.2 1
1951-08-05 Valerenga L 2-3 1342 1352 43.0% 25.4% 31.6% -1.7 0
1951-08-05 @ IF Odd W 3-2 1352 1342 31.6% 25.4% 43.0% +1.7 6
1951-08-05 Brann D 2-2 1332 1333 44.3% 25.2% 30.5% -0.1 1
1951-08-05 @ Orn-Horten D 2-2 1333 1332 30.5% 25.2% 44.3% +0.1 1
1951-08-05 Lyn Oslo W 1-0 1342 1343 44.3% 25.2% 30.5% +1.5 4
1951-08-05 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 0-1 1343 1342 30.5% 25.2% 44.3% -1.5 0
1951-08-05 Viking D 1-1 1346 1347 44.4% 25.2% 30.4% -0.1 4
1951-08-05 @ Skeid D 1-1 1347 1346 30.4% 25.2% 44.4% +0.1 4
1951-08-05 Kvik Trondheim W 2-1 1340 1340 44.5% 25.2% 30.3% +1.4 6
1951-08-05 @ Strommen L 1-2 1340 1340 30.3% 25.2% 44.5% -1.4 1
1951-08-19 Skeid W 2-1 1347 1346 44.5% 25.2% 30.3% +1.4 9
1951-08-19 @ Asker L 1-2 1346 1347 30.3% 25.2% 44.5% -1.4 4
1951-08-19 IF Odd L 0-2 1333 1341 43.5% 25.3% 31.2% -3.6 1
1951-08-19 @ Brann W 2-0 1341 1333 31.2% 25.3% 43.5% +3.6 3
1951-08-19 Fredrikstad L 1-4 1338 1357 41.9% 25.5% 32.6% -4.3 1
1951-08-19 @ Kvik Trondheim W 4-1 1357 1338 32.6% 25.5% 41.9% +4.3 9
1951-08-19 Notodden D 1-1 1342 1337 45.1% 25.1% 29.8% -0.2 1
1951-08-19 @ Lyn Oslo D 1-1 1337 1342 29.8% 25.1% 45.1% +0.1 2
1951-08-19 Sarpsborg 08 W 2-1 1337 1344 43.5% 25.3% 31.1% +1.4 4
1951-08-19 @ Sandefjord L 1-2 1344 1337 31.1% 25.3% 43.5% -1.4 4
1951-08-19 Strommen W 2-1 1341 1341 44.5% 25.2% 30.3% +1.4 6
1951-08-19 @ Sarpsborg L 1-2 1341 1341 30.3% 25.2% 44.5% -1.4 6
1951-08-19 Orn-Horten D 1-1 1354 1332 47.6% 24.5% 27.9% -0.2 7
1951-08-19 @ Valerenga D 1-1 1332 1354 27.9% 24.5% 47.6% +0.2 2
1951-08-19 Arstad D 1-1 1347 1325 47.6% 24.5% 27.9% -0.2 5
1951-08-19 @ Viking D 1-1 1325 1347 27.9% 24.5% 47.6% +0.2 1
1951-09-02 Brann L 0-6 1325 1330 43.8% 25.3% 30.9% -10.2 1
1951-09-02 @ Arstad W 6-0 1330 1325 30.9% 25.3% 43.8% +10.2 4
1951-09-02 Lyn Oslo W 3-2 1361 1342 47.2% 24.6% 28.1% +1.2 12
1951-09-02 @ Fredrikstad L 2-3 1342 1361 28.1% 24.6% 47.2% -1.2 1
1951-09-02 Kvik Trondheim L 2-6 1337 1334 45.0% 25.1% 29.9% -5.0 2
1951-09-02 @ Notodden W 6-2 1334 1337 29.9% 25.1% 45.0% +5.0 4
1951-09-02 Viking W 2-1 1344 1347 44.1% 25.2% 30.7% +1.4 6
1951-09-02 @ IF Odd L 1-2 1347 1344 30.7% 25.2% 44.1% -1.4 5
1951-09-02 Asker L 0-4 1332 1348 42.2% 25.5% 32.3% -6.8 2
1951-09-02 @ Orn-Horten W 4-0 1348 1332 32.3% 25.5% 42.2% +6.8 12
1951-09-02 Sarpsborg D 1-1 1342 1343 44.4% 25.2% 30.4% -0.1 5
1951-09-02 @ Sarpsborg 08 D 1-1 1343 1342 30.4% 25.2% 44.4% +0.1 7
1951-09-02 Valerenga W 3-0 1345 1354 43.2% 25.4% 31.4% +4.1 7
1951-09-02 @ Skeid L 0-3 1354 1345 31.4% 25.4% 43.2% -4.1 7
1951-09-02 Sandefjord W 2-0 1340 1338 44.6% 25.2% 30.2% +2.8 9
1951-09-02 @ Strommen L 0-2 1338 1340 30.2% 25.2% 44.6% -2.8 4
1951-09-09 Valerenga W 5-1 1340 1350 43.1% 25.4% 31.6% +4.5 7
1951-09-09 @ Brann L 1-5 1350 1340 31.6% 25.4% 43.1% -4.5 7
1951-09-09 Sarpsborg W 1-0 1339 1343 43.9% 25.3% 30.8% +1.5 7
1951-09-09 @ Kvik Trondheim L 0-1 1343 1339 30.8% 25.3% 43.9% -1.5 7
1951-09-09 Sandefjord L 0-2 1340 1336 45.2% 25.1% 29.8% -3.8 1
1951-09-09 @ Lyn Oslo W 2-0 1336 1340 29.8% 25.1% 45.2% +3.8 7
1951-09-09 IF Odd L 1-2 1326 1346 41.6% 25.5% 32.9% -1.8 2
1951-09-09 @ Orn-Horten W 2-1 1346 1326 32.9% 25.5% 41.6% +1.8 9
1951-09-09 Notodden W 2-1 1342 1332 45.9% 24.9% 29.2% +1.3 8
1951-09-09 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 1-2 1332 1342 29.2% 24.9% 45.9% -1.3 2
1951-09-09 Arstad L 3-4 1349 1315 49.3% 24.1% 26.6% -1.8 7
1951-09-09 @ Skeid W 4-3 1315 1349 26.6% 24.1% 49.3% +1.8 4
1951-09-09 Fredrikstad L 1-3 1342 1362 41.7% 25.5% 32.8% -3.1 9
1951-09-09 @ Strommen W 3-1 1362 1342 32.8% 25.5% 41.7% +3.1 15
1951-09-09 Asker W 3-2 1346 1355 43.2% 25.4% 31.5% +1.4 8
1951-09-09 @ Viking L 2-3 1355 1346 31.5% 25.4% 43.2% -1.3 12
1951-09-23 Orn-Horten D 3-3 1317 1324 43.5% 25.3% 31.2% -0.1 5
1951-09-23 @ Arstad D 3-3 1324 1317 31.2% 25.3% 43.5% +0.1 3
1951-09-23 Strommen L 0-5 1331 1339 43.3% 25.4% 31.4% -8.5 2
1951-09-23 @ Notodden W 5-0 1339 1331 31.4% 25.4% 43.3% +8.5 12
1951-09-23 Skeid W 3-1 1347 1347 44.5% 25.2% 30.3% +2.4 12
1951-09-23 @ IF Odd L 1-3 1347 1347 30.3% 25.2% 44.5% -2.4 7
1951-09-23 Kvik Trondheim L 0-1 1339 1340 44.3% 25.2% 30.5% -2.0 7
1951-09-23 @ Sandefjord W 1-0 1340 1339 30.5% 25.2% 44.3% +2.0 10
1951-10-07 Viking W 4-2 1344 1347 44.1% 25.2% 30.6% +2.2 10
1951-10-07 @ Brann L 2-4 1347 1344 30.6% 25.2% 44.1% -2.2 8
1951-10-07 Notodden W 4-1 1365 1322 50.6% 23.7% 25.8% +2.9 18
1951-10-07 @ Fredrikstad L 1-4 1322 1365 25.8% 23.7% 50.6% -2.9 2
1951-10-07 Lyn Oslo D 1-1 1342 1337 45.3% 25.1% 29.7% -0.1 11
1951-10-07 @ Kvik Trondheim D 1-1 1337 1342 29.7% 25.1% 45.3% +0.1 2
1951-10-07 Arstad W 4-1 1350 1317 49.1% 24.1% 26.7% +3.0 15
1951-10-07 @ IF Odd L 1-4 1317 1350 26.7% 24.1% 49.1% -3.0 5
1951-10-07 Strommen W 3-2 1343 1348 43.9% 25.3% 30.9% +1.3 11
1951-10-07 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 2-3 1348 1343 30.9% 25.3% 43.9% -1.3 12
1951-10-07 Orn-Horten W 4-2 1345 1324 47.4% 24.6% 28.0% +2.0 10
1951-10-07 @ Skeid L 2-4 1324 1345 28.0% 24.6% 47.4% -2.0 3
1951-10-14 Brann L 0-1 1353 1347 45.4% 25.0% 29.5% -2.0 12
1951-10-14 @ Asker W 1-0 1347 1353 29.5% 25.0% 45.4% +2.0 13
1951-10-14 Viking L 1-2 1345 1345 44.5% 25.2% 30.3% -1.8 7
1951-10-14 @ Valerenga W 2-1 1345 1345 30.3% 25.2% 44.5% +1.9 11
1951-10-15 Sarpsborg 08 W 3-1 1368 1345 47.8% 24.5% 27.7% +2.2 21
1951-10-15 @ Fredrikstad L 1-3 1345 1368 27.7% 24.5% 47.8% -2.2 11
1951-10-15 Lyn Oslo L 0-1 1341 1337 45.1% 25.1% 29.8% -2.0 7
1951-10-15 @ Sarpsborg W 1-0 1337 1341 29.8% 25.1% 45.1% +2.0 5
1952-05-04 IF Odd W 1-0 1314 1353 39.0% 25.6% 35.4% +1.7 8
1952-05-04 @ Arstad L 0-1 1353 1314 35.4% 25.6% 39.0% -1.6 15
1952-05-04 Kvik Trondheim W 3-1 1339 1342 44.0% 25.3% 30.8% +2.4 8
1952-05-04 @ Lyn Oslo L 1-3 1342 1339 30.8% 25.3% 44.0% -2.4 11
1952-05-04 Fredrikstad L 1-4 1320 1370 37.3% 25.5% 37.2% -4.0 2
1952-05-04 @ Notodden W 4-1 1370 1320 37.2% 25.5% 37.3% +4.0 24
1952-05-04 Skeid L 1-6 1322 1347 40.9% 25.5% 33.5% -6.7 3
1952-05-04 @ Orn-Horten W 6-1 1347 1322 33.5% 25.5% 40.9% +6.7 13
1952-05-04 Sandefjord W 2-0 1339 1337 44.8% 25.1% 30.1% +2.7 10
1952-05-04 @ Sarpsborg L 0-2 1337 1339 30.1% 25.1% 44.8% -2.7 7
1952-05-04 Sarpsborg 08 D 0-0 1346 1342 45.0% 25.1% 29.9% -0.2 13
1952-05-04 @ Strommen D 0-0 1342 1346 29.9% 25.1% 45.0% +0.1 12
1952-05-04 Asker W 5-0 1343 1351 43.3% 25.3% 31.3% +6.6 10
1952-05-04 @ Valerenga L 0-5 1351 1343 31.3% 25.3% 43.3% -6.6 12
1952-05-04 Brann W 2-0 1347 1349 44.2% 25.2% 30.6% +2.8 14
1952-05-04 @ Viking L 0-2 1349 1347 30.6% 25.2% 44.2% -2.8 13
1952-05-11 Asker L 0-1 1346 1345 44.6% 25.2% 30.2% -2.0 13
1952-05-11 @ Brann W 1-0 1345 1346 30.2% 25.2% 44.6% +2.0 15
1952-05-11 Sandefjord W 2-1 1340 1335 45.2% 25.1% 29.7% +1.4 14
1952-05-11 @ Kvik Trondheim L 1-2 1335 1340 29.7% 25.1% 45.2% -1.3 7
1952-05-11 Sarpsborg W 2-1 1341 1342 44.3% 25.2% 30.5% +1.4 11
1952-05-11 @ Lyn Oslo L 1-2 1342 1341 30.5% 25.2% 44.3% -1.4 10
1952-05-11 Arstad D 3-3 1315 1316 44.4% 25.2% 30.4% -0.1 4
1952-05-11 @ Orn-Horten D 3-3 1316 1315 30.4% 25.2% 44.4% +0.1 9
1952-05-11 Fredrikstad L 0-3 1343 1374 40.0% 25.6% 34.4% -5.0 12
1952-05-11 @ Sarpsborg 08 W 3-0 1374 1343 34.4% 25.6% 40.0% +5.0 27
1952-05-11 IF Odd L 0-2 1354 1351 44.8% 25.1% 30.1% -3.7 13
1952-05-11 @ Skeid W 2-0 1351 1354 30.1% 25.1% 44.8% +3.7 18
1952-05-11 Notodden D 0-0 1346 1316 48.8% 24.2% 27.0% -0.2 14
1952-05-11 @ Strommen D 0-0 1316 1346 27.0% 24.2% 48.8% +0.2 3
1952-05-11 Valerenga D 0-0 1349 1350 44.4% 25.2% 30.4% -0.2 15
1952-05-11 @ Viking D 0-0 1350 1349 30.4% 25.2% 44.4% +0.1 11
1952-05-14 Valerenga L 0-1 1347 1350 44.0% 25.3% 30.8% -1.9 15
1952-05-14 @ Asker W 1-0 1350 1347 30.8% 25.3% 44.0% +2.0 14
1952-05-18 Skeid W 1-0 1316 1350 39.6% 25.6% 34.8% +1.6 12
1952-05-18 @ Arstad L 0-1 1350 1316 34.8% 25.6% 39.6% -1.6 13
1952-05-18 Viking L 0-1 1345 1349 43.9% 25.3% 30.9% -2.0 15
1952-05-18 @ Asker W 1-0 1349 1345 30.9% 25.3% 43.9% +2.0 18
1952-05-18 Strommen W 4-2 1379 1346 49.2% 24.1% 26.7% +1.9 30
1952-05-18 @ Fredrikstad L 2-4 1346 1379 26.7% 24.1% 49.2% -1.9 14
1952-05-18 Sarpsborg 08 D 1-1 1316 1338 41.4% 25.5% 33.1% -0.1 4
1952-05-18 @ Notodden D 1-1 1338 1316 33.1% 25.5% 41.4% +0.1 13
1952-05-18 Orn-Horten L 3-4 1355 1315 50.1% 23.8% 26.1% -1.9 18
1952-05-18 @ IF Odd W 4-3 1315 1355 26.1% 23.8% 50.1% +1.9 7
1952-05-18 Lyn Oslo D 1-1 1333 1343 43.1% 25.4% 31.5% -0.1 8
1952-05-18 @ Sandefjord D 1-1 1343 1333 31.5% 25.4% 43.1% +0.1 12
1952-05-18 Kvik Trondheim W 2-1 1341 1341 44.4% 25.2% 30.4% +1.4 13
1952-05-18 @ Sarpsborg L 1-2 1341 1341 30.4% 25.2% 44.4% -1.4 14
1952-05-18 Brann L 1-2 1352 1344 45.6% 25.0% 29.4% -1.9 14
1952-05-18 @ Valerenga W 2-1 1344 1352 29.4% 25.0% 45.6% +1.9 16
1952-05-21 Skeid D 1-1 1350 1348 44.8% 25.1% 30.1% -0.1 15
1952-05-21 @ Valerenga D 1-1 1348 1350 30.1% 25.1% 44.8% +0.1 14
1952-05-22 Orn-Horten W 6-0 1343 1317 48.2% 24.4% 27.4% +7.0 18
1952-05-22 @ Asker L 0-6 1317 1343 27.4% 24.4% 48.2% -7.0 7
1952-05-22 Arstad W 1-0 1346 1317 48.5% 24.3% 27.2% +1.3 19
1952-05-22 @ Brann L 0-1 1317 1346 27.2% 24.3% 48.5% -1.3 12
1952-05-22 Notodden W 4-0 1340 1316 47.9% 24.5% 27.7% +4.8 17
1952-05-22 @ Kvik Trondheim L 0-4 1316 1340 27.7% 24.5% 47.9% -4.8 4
1952-05-22 Fredrikstad D 2-2 1343 1381 39.0% 25.6% 35.4% -0.0 13
1952-05-22 @ Lyn Oslo D 2-2 1381 1343 35.4% 25.6% 39.0% +0.0 31
1952-05-22 Strommen W 2-1 1333 1344 42.9% 25.4% 31.7% +1.4 11
1952-05-22 @ Sandefjord L 1-2 1344 1333 31.7% 25.4% 42.9% -1.4 14
1952-05-22 Sarpsborg 08 W 2-1 1342 1338 45.1% 25.1% 29.8% +1.4 16
1952-05-22 @ Sarpsborg L 1-2 1338 1342 29.8% 25.1% 45.1% -1.4 13
1952-05-22 IF Odd D 1-1 1351 1353 44.2% 25.2% 30.6% -0.1 19
1952-05-22 @ Viking D 1-1 1353 1351 30.6% 25.2% 44.2% +0.1 19
1952-05-25 Viking W 3-1 1316 1351 39.5% 25.6% 34.9% +2.7 15
1952-05-25 @ Arstad L 1-3 1351 1316 34.9% 25.6% 39.5% -2.7 19
1952-05-25 Kvik Trondheim W 3-2 1381 1345 49.7% 23.9% 26.4% +1.2 34
1952-05-25 @ Fredrikstad L 2-3 1345 1381 26.4% 23.9% 49.7% -1.2 17
1952-05-25 Lyn Oslo L 0-1 1311 1343 40.0% 25.6% 34.4% -1.8 4
1952-05-25 @ Notodden W 1-0 1343 1311 34.4% 25.6% 40.0% +1.8 16
1952-05-25 Brann L 1-3 1353 1347 45.3% 25.0% 29.6% -3.2 19
1952-05-25 @ IF Odd W 3-1 1347 1353 29.6% 25.0% 45.3% +3.3 22
1952-05-25 Valerenga W 2-1 1310 1350 38.8% 25.6% 35.6% +1.6 10
1952-05-25 @ Orn-Horten L 1-2 1350 1310 35.6% 25.6% 38.8% -1.6 15
1952-05-25 Sandefjord L 1-2 1336 1335 44.7% 25.1% 30.1% -1.9 13
1952-05-25 @ Sarpsborg 08 W 2-1 1335 1336 30.1% 25.1% 44.7% +1.9 14
1952-05-25 Asker D 2-2 1348 1350 44.2% 25.2% 30.5% -0.1 15
1952-05-25 @ Skeid D 2-2 1350 1348 30.5% 25.2% 44.2% +0.1 19
1952-05-25 Sarpsborg L 1-2 1343 1344 44.4% 25.2% 30.4% -1.8 14
1952-05-25 @ Strommen W 2-1 1344 1343 30.4% 25.2% 44.4% +1.9 19
1952-06-01 Arstad D 0-0 1350 1319 48.9% 24.2% 26.9% -0.2 20
1952-06-01 @ Asker D 0-0 1319 1350 26.9% 24.2% 48.9% +0.2 16
1952-06-01 Orn-Horten W 3-1 1350 1312 50.0% 23.8% 26.1% +2.1 25
1952-06-01 @ Brann L 1-3 1312 1350 26.1% 23.8% 50.0% -2.1 10
1952-06-01 Strommen L 1-2 1343 1341 44.8% 25.1% 30.0% -1.9 17
1952-06-01 @ Kvik Trondheim W 2-1 1341 1343 30.0% 25.1% 44.8% +1.9 17
1952-06-01 Sarpsborg 08 L 0-1 1344 1335 45.9% 24.9% 29.2% -2.0 16
1952-06-01 @ Lyn Oslo W 1-0 1335 1344 29.2% 24.9% 45.9% +2.0 16
1952-06-01 Notodden W 2-1 1336 1309 48.4% 24.3% 27.3% +1.3 17
1952-06-01 @ Sandefjord L 1-2 1309 1336 27.3% 24.3% 48.4% -1.3 4
1952-06-01 Fredrikstad L 0-3 1345 1382 39.3% 25.6% 35.2% -4.9 19
1952-06-01 @ Sarpsborg W 3-0 1382 1345 35.2% 25.6% 39.3% +4.9 37
1952-06-01 IF Odd W 2-0 1349 1350 44.3% 25.2% 30.5% +2.8 18
1952-06-01 @ Valerenga L 0-2 1350 1349 30.5% 25.2% 44.3% -2.8 19
1952-06-01 Skeid L 0-3 1348 1348 44.5% 25.2% 30.3% -5.4 19
1952-06-01 @ Viking W 3-0 1348 1348 30.3% 25.2% 44.5% +5.4 18
1952-06-05 Sarpsborg L 1-3 1338 1341 44.1% 25.2% 30.7% -3.2 17
1952-06-05 @ Sandefjord W 3-1 1341 1338 30.7% 25.2% 44.1% +3.2 22
1952-06-08 Valerenga W 4-1 1319 1351 39.9% 25.6% 34.5% +3.8 19
1952-06-08 @ Arstad L 1-4 1351 1319 34.5% 25.6% 39.9% -3.7 18
1952-06-08 Sandefjord D 3-3 1387 1334 52.0% 23.2% 24.9% -0.2 38
1952-06-08 @ Fredrikstad D 3-3 1334 1387 24.9% 23.2% 52.0% +0.2 18
1952-06-08 Sarpsborg L 0-4 1308 1344 39.4% 25.6% 35.0% -6.4 4
1952-06-08 @ Notodden W 4-0 1344 1308 35.0% 25.6% 39.4% +6.4 25
1952-06-08 Asker W 6-2 1347 1350 44.1% 25.2% 30.7% +3.7 22
1952-06-08 @ IF Odd L 2-6 1350 1347 30.7% 25.2% 44.1% -3.7 20
1952-06-08 Viking D 1-1 1309 1343 39.7% 25.6% 34.7% -0.1 11
1952-06-08 @ Orn-Horten D 1-1 1343 1309 34.7% 25.6% 39.7% +0.0 20
1952-06-08 Kvik Trondheim W 4-0 1337 1342 43.8% 25.3% 30.9% +5.3 19
1952-06-08 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 0-4 1342 1337 30.9% 25.3% 43.8% -5.3 17
1952-06-08 Brann W 5-0 1354 1352 44.6% 25.2% 30.2% +6.4 21
1952-06-08 @ Skeid L 0-5 1352 1354 30.2% 25.2% 44.6% -6.4 25
1952-06-08 Lyn Oslo L 1-2 1343 1342 44.5% 25.2% 30.3% -1.9 17
1952-06-08 @ Strommen W 2-1 1342 1343 30.3% 25.2% 44.5% +1.8 19

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Record
1952-06-22 Brann W 3-1 1387 1346 50.3% 23.8% 25.9% +2.1 1-0
1952-06-22 @ Fredrikstad L 1-3 1346 1387 25.9% 23.8% 50.3% -2.1 0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1952-05-18 26.05% Orn-Horten 1315 4 @ IF Odd 1355 3
2 1951-09-09 26.63% Arstad 1315 4 @ Skeid 1349 3
3 1952-06-01 29.19% Sarpsborg 08 1335 1 @ Lyn Oslo 1344 0
4 1951-07-28 29.27% Strommen 1337 5 @ Lyn Oslo 1346 3
5 1952-05-18 29.37% Brann 1344 2 @ Valerenga 1352 1
6 1951-10-14 29.54% Brann 1347 1 @ Asker 1353 0
7 1952-05-25 29.63% Brann 1347 3 @ IF Odd 1353 1
8 1951-09-09 29.77% Sandefjord 1336 2 @ Lyn Oslo 1340 0
9 1951-10-15 29.79% Lyn Oslo 1337 1 @ Sarpsborg 1341 0
10 1951-09-02 29.93% Kvik Trondheim 1334 6 @ Notodden 1337 2
11 1952-06-01 30.04% Strommen 1341 2 @ Kvik Trondheim 1343 1
12 1952-05-11 30.06% IF Odd 1351 2 @ Skeid 1354 0
13 1952-05-25 30.13% Sandefjord 1335 2 @ Sarpsborg 08 1336 1
14 1952-05-11 30.22% Asker 1345 1 @ Brann 1346 0
15 1951-10-14 30.27% Viking 1345 2 @ Valerenga 1345 1
16 1952-06-08 30.31% Lyn Oslo 1342 2 @ Strommen 1343 1
17 1952-06-01 30.32% Skeid 1348 3 @ Viking 1348 0
18 1952-05-25 30.44% Sarpsborg 1344 2 @ Strommen 1343 1
19 1951-09-23 30.47% Kvik Trondheim 1340 1 @ Sandefjord 1339 0
20 1951-07-29 30.63% Skeid 1341 3 @ Brann 1339 0
21 1952-06-05 30.68% Sarpsborg 1341 3 @ Sandefjord 1338 1
22 1952-05-14 30.75% Valerenga 1350 1 @ Asker 1347 0
23 1952-05-18 30.87% Viking 1349 1 @ Asker 1345 0
24 1951-09-02 30.88% Brann 1330 6 @ Arstad 1325 0
25 1951-08-19 31.22% IF Odd 1341 2 @ Brann 1333 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1951-09-02 10.19 Brann 6 1330 30.88% @ Arstad 0 1325 43.84%
2 1951-07-29 8.76 @ Valerenga 7 1344 45.04% Arstad 0 1340 29.87%
3 1951-09-23 8.50 Strommen 5 1339 31.36% @ Notodden 0 1331 43.29%
4 1952-05-22 7.02 @ Asker 6 1343 48.17% Orn-Horten 0 1317 27.44%
5 1951-09-02 6.77 Asker 4 1348 32.30% @ Orn-Horten 0 1332 42.24%
6 1952-05-04 6.73 Skeid 6 1347 33.51% @ Orn-Horten 1 1322 40.95%
7 1952-05-04 6.62 @ Valerenga 5 1343 43.34% Asker 0 1351 31.32%
8 1952-06-08 6.43 @ Skeid 5 1354 44.64% Brann 0 1352 30.20%
9 1951-07-29 6.41 @ Viking 5 1341 44.75% Orn-Horten 0 1339 30.11%
10 1952-06-08 6.41 Sarpsborg 4 1344 35.02% @ Notodden 0 1308 39.41%
11 1951-08-05 5.72 Asker 5 1341 31.58% @ Arstad 1 1331 43.04%
12 1952-06-01 5.39 Skeid 3 1348 30.32% @ Viking 0 1348 44.49%
13 1951-07-29 5.35 Skeid 3 1341 30.63% @ Brann 0 1339 44.13%
14 1952-06-08 5.32 @ Sarpsborg 08 4 1337 43.77% Kvik Trondheim 0 1342 30.94%
15 1951-09-02 5.02 Kvik Trondheim 6 1334 29.93% @ Notodden 2 1337 44.96%
16 1952-05-11 4.96 Fredrikstad 3 1374 34.43% @ Sarpsborg 08 0 1343 40.00%
17 1952-06-01 4.89 Fredrikstad 3 1382 35.17% @ Sarpsborg 0 1345 39.26%
18 1952-05-22 4.82 @ Kvik Trondheim 4 1340 47.88% Notodden 0 1316 27.65%
19 1951-09-09 4.51 @ Brann 5 1340 43.08% Valerenga 1 1350 31.55%
20 1951-08-19 4.33 Fredrikstad 4 1357 32.65% @ Kvik Trondheim 1 1338 41.86%
21 1951-09-02 4.12 @ Skeid 3 1345 43.20% Valerenga 0 1354 31.44%
22 1952-05-04 3.96 Fredrikstad 4 1370 37.19% @ Notodden 1 1320 37.33%
23 1951-09-09 3.75 Sandefjord 2 1336 29.77% @ Lyn Oslo 0 1340 45.16%
24 1952-06-08 3.75 @ Arstad 4 1319 39.89% Valerenga 1 1351 34.54%
25 1952-06-08 3.74 @ IF Odd 6 1347 44.09% Asker 2 1350 30.66%