1999 Tippeligaen Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Rosenborg

56 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Odd Grenland

20.68 points above expected

39 points · 18.32 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Kongsvinger

10.31 points below expected

20 points · 30.31 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Rosenborg	26	18	2	6	56	75	33	+42	57.4	-1.44
2	Molde	26	16	2	8	50	49	37	+12	47.2	+2.83
3	Brann	26	16	1	9	49	45	40	+5	42.0	+7.04
4	Lillestrom	26	15	3	8	48	60	41	+19	42.1	+5.90
5	Stabaek	26	14	4	8	46	58	49	+9	46.1	-0.11
6	Tromso	26	13	5	8	44	70	46	+24	38.9	+5.09
7	Odd Grenland	26	12	3	11	39	42	48	-6	18.3	+20.68
8	Viking	26	11	3	12	36	51	48	+3	44.0	-7.99
9	Bodo Glimt	26	10	4	12	34	52	54	-2	38.5	-4.53
10	Moss	26	9	2	15	29	39	46	-7	31.2	-2.17
11	Valerenga	26	8	4	14	28	40	53	-13	35.6	-7.64
12	Stromsgodset	26	7	3	16	24	46	68	-22	30.4	-6.42
13	Skeid	26	7	2	17	23	36	75	-39	22.0	+1.00
14	Kongsvinger	26	6	2	18	20	34	59	-25	30.3	-10.31

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Rosenborg	1923	56	57.44	-1.44	42.6%	33	47	53	58	62	67	76
Molde	1806	50	47.17	+2.83	68.4%	17	36	43	47	52	58	70
Stabaek	1790	46	46.11	-0.11	51.5%	18	35	42	46	51	57	73
Lillestrom	1779	48	42.10	+5.90	82.7%	18	31	37	42	47	53	65
Viking	1768	36	43.99	-7.99	13.9%	18	33	39	44	49	55	68
Tromso	1764	44	38.91	+5.09	79.4%	15	28	34	39	43	50	65
Brann	1762	49	41.96	+7.04	86.2%	17	31	37	42	47	53	67
Bodo Glimt	1728	34	38.53	-4.53	27.9%	15	27	34	38	43	50	63
Valerenga	1673	28	35.64	-7.64	14.8%	10	25	31	36	40	47	61
Moss	1663	29	31.17	-2.17	40.5%	8	20	27	31	36	42	61
Stromsgodset	1626	24	30.42	-6.42	19.1%	8	20	26	30	35	42	66
Kongsvinger	1614	20	30.31	-10.31	6.9%	3	19	26	30	35	41	59
Odd Grenland	1563	39	18.32	+20.68	100.0%	1	9	14	18	22	28	45
Skeid	1537	23	22.00	+1.00	60.4%	1	12	18	22	26	33	46

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BG	BRA	KON	LIL	MOL	MOS	OG	ROS	SKE	STA	STR	TRO	VAL	VIK
Bodo Glimt	—	1-0-1 2.75	1-0-1 3.52	0-0-2 2.66	1-0-1 2.18	1-0-1 3.48	1-0-1 4.44	0-0-2 1.55	2-0-0 4.04	1-0-1 2.36	2-0-0 3.28	0-0-2 2.82	0-2-0 2.98	0-2-0 2.43
Brann	1-0-1 3.00	—	2-0-0 3.64	0-0-2 3.15	1-0-1 2.35	2-0-0 3.65	1-0-1 4.54	2-0-0 1.59	1-0-1 4.42	1-0-1 2.60	1-1-0 3.70	1-0-1 3.30	2-0-0 3.21	1-0-1 2.70
Kongsvinger	1-0-1 2.23	0-0-2 2.11	—	0-1-1 1.84	0-0-2 1.70	1-0-1 2.74	1-0-1 3.89	0-0-2 1.17	1-0-1 3.58	0-1-1 1.74	0-0-2 2.83	1-0-1 2.11	1-0-1 2.39	0-0-2 1.92
Lillestrom	2-0-0 3.09	2-0-0 2.59	1-1-0 3.92	—	0-0-2 2.55	2-0-0 3.69	1-0-1 4.59	1-0-1 1.62	1-1-0 4.42	1-0-1 2.48	1-1-0 3.83	0-0-2 3.23	1-0-1 3.55	2-0-0 2.61
Molde	1-0-1 3.57	1-0-1 3.40	2-0-0 4.06	2-0-0 3.19	—	2-0-0 3.93	1-1-0 4.77	0-0-2 2.00	2-0-0 4.67	0-1-1 2.99	2-0-0 4.04	2-0-0 3.64	1-0-1 3.64	0-0-2 3.28
Moss	1-0-1 2.26	0-0-2 2.10	1-0-1 3.01	0-0-2 2.06	0-0-2 1.83	—	1-0-1 3.91	0-0-2 1.11	2-0-0 3.40	1-0-1 1.61	1-0-1 3.05	0-1-1 2.36	2-0-0 2.61	0-1-1 1.85
Odd Grenland	1-0-1 1.34	1-0-1 1.24	1-0-1 1.86	1-0-1 1.19	0-1-1 1.02	1-0-1 1.85	—	1-1-0 0.60	1-0-1 2.43	2-0-0 0.88	1-1-0 1.87	1-0-1 1.39	0-0-2 1.60	1-0-1 1.08
Rosenborg	2-0-0 4.21	0-0-2 4.17	2-0-0 4.61	1-0-1 4.15	2-0-0 3.75	2-0-0 4.67	0-1-1 5.23	—	2-0-0 5.14	1-0-1 4.01	2-0-0 4.76	0-1-1 4.28	2-0-0 4.32	2-0-0 4.04
Skeid	0-0-2 1.72	1-0-1 1.35	1-0-1 2.17	0-1-1 1.36	0-0-2 1.12	0-0-2 2.35	1-0-1 3.32	0-0-2 0.68	—	0-0-2 1.21	1-0-1 2.09	1-0-1 1.56	0-1-1 1.82	2-0-0 1.27
Stabaek	1-0-1 3.39	1-0-1 3.15	1-1-0 4.02	1-0-1 3.27	1-1-0 2.75	1-0-1 4.15	0-0-2 4.92	1-0-1 1.75	2-0-0 4.56	—	1-0-1 3.97	0-2-0 3.41	2-0-0 3.61	2-0-0 3.13
Stromsgodset	0-0-2 2.46	0-1-1 2.05	2-0-0 2.91	0-1-1 1.93	0-0-2 1.72	1-0-1 2.70	0-1-1 3.89	0-0-2 1.03	1-0-1 3.66	1-0-1 1.80	—	0-0-2 2.06	1-0-1 2.54	1-0-1 1.81
Tromso	2-0-0 2.93	1-0-1 2.44	1-0-1 3.64	2-0-0 2.51	0-0-2 2.11	1-1-0 3.39	1-0-1 4.38	1-1-0 1.49	1-0-1 4.21	0-2-0 2.34	2-0-0 3.70	—	1-1-0 3.29	0-0-2 2.54
Valerenga	0-2-0 2.76	0-0-2 2.54	1-0-1 3.36	1-0-1 2.20	1-0-1 2.12	0-0-2 3.14	2-0-0 4.16	0-0-2 1.46	1-1-0 3.94	0-0-2 2.14	1-0-1 3.21	0-1-1 2.46	—	1-0-1 2.16
Viking	0-2-0 3.32	1-0-1 3.04	2-0-0 3.84	0-0-2 3.14	2-0-0 2.46	1-1-0 3.90	1-0-1 4.71	0-0-2 1.72	0-0-2 4.51	0-0-2 2.62	1-0-1 3.95	2-0-0 3.20	1-0-1 3.59	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	1.65%	4.95%	4.67%	2.75%	1.92%	1.92%	17.86%
1	4.95%	4.40%	7.42%	7.42%	2.20%	1.10%	27.47%
2	4.67%	7.42%	2.75%	3.85%	2.75%	1.37%	22.80%
3	2.75%	7.42%	3.85%	1.65%	0.82%	1.10%	17.58%
4	1.92%	2.20%	2.75%	0.82%	0.55%	0.27%	8.52%
5+	1.92%	1.10%	1.37%	1.10%	0.27%	—	5.77%
Total	17.86%	27.47%	22.80%	17.58%	8.52%	5.77%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.91
Mean allowed	1.91
StdDev scored	1.50
StdDev allowed	1.50
Mean total goals/game	3.83
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.140
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
1	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	42.31%
2	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	19.23%
3	—	11.54%	—	7.69%	—	—	19.23%
4	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	19.23%	15.38%	23.08%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Bodo Glimt — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.00
Mean allowed	2.08
StdDev scored	1.20
StdDev allowed	1.70
Mean total goals/game	4.08
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.433
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	23.08%
1	7.69%	—	—	7.69%	—	—	15.38%
2	7.69%	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	34.62%
3	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	23.08%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%
Total	19.23%	38.46%	23.08%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Brann — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.73
Mean allowed	1.54
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	1.27
Mean total goals/game	3.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.055
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	19.23%
1	11.54%	7.69%	11.54%	11.54%	7.69%	—	50.00%
2	—	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	19.23%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	19.23%	19.23%	26.92%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Kongsvinger — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.31
Mean allowed	2.27
StdDev scored	1.09
StdDev allowed	1.59
Mean total goals/game	3.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.112
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
1	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	30.77%
2	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
3	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
5+	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	15.38%	38.46%	30.77%	3.85%	11.54%	—	100%

Lillestrom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.31
Mean allowed	1.58
StdDev scored	1.72
StdDev allowed	1.17
Mean total goals/game	3.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.112
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
1	15.38%	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	30.77%
2	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
3	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	23.08%
4	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
Total	42.31%	11.54%	19.23%	15.38%	11.54%	—	100%

Molde — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.88
Mean allowed	1.42
StdDev scored	1.37
StdDev allowed	1.47
Mean total goals/game	3.31
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.164
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	19.23%	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	34.62%
1	7.69%	7.69%	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	30.77%
2	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	15.38%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	23.08%	34.62%	11.54%	11.54%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Moss — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	1.77
StdDev scored	1.75
StdDev allowed	1.61
Mean total goals/game	3.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.284
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	38.46%
1	3.85%	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	15.38%
2	—	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	11.54%
Total	11.54%	34.62%	23.08%	23.08%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Odd Grenland — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.62
Mean allowed	1.85
StdDev scored	1.72
StdDev allowed	1.26
Mean total goals/game	3.46
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.046
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
1	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
2	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
3	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
4	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
5+	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
Total	30.77%	30.77%	26.92%	7.69%	—	3.85%	100%

Rosenborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.88
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	1.73
StdDev allowed	1.22
Mean total goals/game	4.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.137
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	11.54%	26.92%
1	7.69%	—	11.54%	11.54%	—	3.85%	34.62%
2	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	19.23%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.54%	15.38%	23.08%	19.23%	7.69%	23.08%	100%

Skeid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.38
Mean allowed	2.88
StdDev scored	1.24
StdDev allowed	2.12
Mean total goals/game	4.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.150
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
1	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
2	3.85%	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	23.08%
3	3.85%	19.23%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	42.31%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	15.38%	34.62%	23.08%	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Stabaek — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.23
Mean allowed	1.88
StdDev scored	1.24
StdDev allowed	1.56
Mean total goals/game	4.12
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.234
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	19.23%
1	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	26.92%
2	—	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	26.92%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%	15.38%
4	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	3.85%	15.38%	30.77%	30.77%	7.69%	11.54%	100%

Stromsgodset — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.77
Mean allowed	2.62
StdDev scored	1.37
StdDev allowed	1.39
Mean total goals/game	4.38
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.120
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%
1	—	7.69%	15.38%	11.54%	—	—	34.62%
2	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
3	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
4	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
Total	7.69%	34.62%	34.62%	19.23%	3.85%	—	100%

Tromso — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.69
Mean allowed	1.77
StdDev scored	1.95
StdDev allowed	0.99
Mean total goals/game	4.46
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.347
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	19.23%
1	—	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	30.77%
2	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	30.77%
3	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	23.08%	26.92%	15.38%	15.38%	3.85%	100%

Valerenga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.54
Mean allowed	2.04
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.43
Mean total goals/game	3.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.369
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
1	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	15.38%
2	11.54%	3.85%	—	11.54%	7.69%	—	34.62%
3	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
4	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	34.62%	11.54%	26.92%	11.54%	—	100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.96
Mean allowed	1.85
StdDev scored	1.18
StdDev allowed	1.32
Mean total goals/game	3.81
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.022
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Odd Grenland	39	18.3	+20.68
2	Brann	49	42.0	+7.04
3	Lillestrom	48	42.1	+5.90
4	Tromso	44	38.9	+5.09
5	Molde	50	47.2	+2.83

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Kongsvinger	20	30.3	-10.31
2	Viking	36	44.0	-7.99
3	Valerenga	28	35.6	-7.64
4	Stromsgodset	24	30.4	-6.42
5	Bodo Glimt	34	38.5	-4.53

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Odd Grenland	3	Apr 11 – Apr 23	1 in 164
2	Brann	5	Jun 13 – Jul 7	1 in 135
3	Stabaek	4	Sep 18 – Oct 24	1 in 62
4	Lillestrom	3	Apr 11 – Apr 23	1 in 38
5	Rosenborg	8	May 2 – Jun 20	1 in 32

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Viking	5	May 24 – Jun 27	1 in 162
2	Stabaek	3	Jul 11 – Aug 1	1 in 141
3	Kongsvinger	7	Apr 11 – May 16	1 in 78
4	Rosenborg	2	Oct 16 – Oct 24	1 in 59
5	Stromsgodset	6	Apr 18 – May 16	1 in 43

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Odd Grenland	3	Apr 11 – Apr 23	1 in 36
2	Bodo Glimt	6	Jun 20 – Aug 1	1 in 28
3	Skeid	3	May 16 – Jun 9	1 in 24
4	Brann	6	Aug 8 – Sep 11	1 in 24
5	Stabaek	7	Apr 23 – Jun 12	1 in 16

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Valerenga	10	Jun 13 – Aug 15	1 in 344
2	Stabaek	6	Jul 11 – Aug 22	1 in 299
3	Viking	5	May 24 – Jun 27	1 in 34
4	Tromso	5	Aug 1 – Aug 25	1 in 30
5	Kongsvinger	7	Apr 11 – May 16	1 in 18

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Rosenborg	72.62%	15.82%	6.27%	2.86%	1.45%	0.59%	0.24%	0.11%	0.04%	—	—	—	—	—
Molde	9.44%	23.75%	18.78%	14.00%	11.19%	8.18%	5.83%	4.35%	2.24%	1.31%	0.60%	0.22%	0.11%	—
Brann	2.36%	8.06%	11.38%	13.18%	13.68%	12.96%	11.83%	9.35%	7.14%	5.20%	3.02%	1.46%	0.35%	0.03%
Lillestrom	2.68%	9.45%	11.76%	13.69%	14.18%	12.20%	11.17%	8.82%	7.10%	4.68%	2.60%	1.17%	0.46%	0.04%
Stabaek	6.74%	20.12%	18.04%	15.26%	11.97%	9.82%	7.43%	4.63%	3.24%	1.54%	0.82%	0.31%	0.07%	0.01%
Tromso	1.01%	4.36%	7.28%	9.48%	10.96%	12.77%	12.92%	12.38%	10.79%	8.33%	5.46%	2.89%	1.16%	0.21%
Odd Grenland	—	—	0.01%	—	0.01%	0.04%	0.08%	0.33%	0.72%	1.68%	4.47%	10.30%	26.30%	56.06%
Viking	4.00%	12.52%	15.23%	14.89%	12.88%	11.67%	10.31%	7.55%	5.18%	3.05%	1.75%	0.70%	0.22%	0.05%
Bodo Glimt	0.78%	3.59%	6.01%	8.16%	10.32%	11.71%	12.66%	13.47%	12.21%	9.71%	6.15%	3.74%	1.16%	0.33%
Moss	0.03%	0.27%	0.75%	1.58%	2.76%	4.50%	6.09%	8.88%	12.55%	16.17%	18.13%	16.24%	8.91%	3.14%
Valerenga	0.29%	1.61%	3.24%	4.50%	6.41%	8.78%	10.78%	13.16%	14.56%	14.10%	11.42%	7.11%	3.11%	0.93%
Stromsgodset	0.02%	0.22%	0.64%	1.23%	1.90%	3.43%	5.44%	7.66%	11.10%	15.24%	18.32%	20.14%	10.68%	3.98%
Skeid	—	—	0.03%	0.03%	0.07%	0.14%	0.41%	0.95%	2.41%	4.15%	8.42%	16.40%	36.41%	30.58%
Kongsvinger	0.03%	0.23%	0.58%	1.14%	2.22%	3.21%	4.81%	8.36%	10.72%	14.84%	18.84%	19.32%	11.06%	4.64%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Rosenborg	100%	—	—
Stabaek	99.6%	0.3%	0.1%
Molde	99.7%	0.2%	0.1%
Viking	99.0%	0.7%	0.3%
Brann	98.2%	1.5%	0.4%
Lillestrom	98.3%	1.2%	0.5%
Tromso	95.7%	2.9%	1.4%
Bodo Glimt	94.8%	3.7%	1.5%
Valerenga	88.8%	7.1%	4.0%
Moss	71.7%	16.2%	12.0%
Stromsgodset	65.2%	20.1%	14.7%
Kongsvinger	65.0%	19.3%	15.7%
Skeid	16.6%	16.4%	67.0%
Odd Grenland	7.3%	10.3%	82.4%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1999-04-10	Tromso	W 4-0	1801	1697	64.2%	12.1%	23.7%	+11.2	3
1999-04-10	@ Molde	L 0-4	1697	1801	23.7%	12.1%	64.2%	-11.1	0
1999-04-10	Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1716	1739	48.0%	12.8%	39.3%	-0.2	1
1999-04-10	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1739	1716	39.3%	12.8%	48.0%	+0.2	1
1999-04-11	Lillestrom	L 1-3	1764	1717	57.4%	12.5%	30.1%	-11.4	0
1999-04-11	@ Brann	W 3-1	1717	1764	30.1%	12.5%	57.4%	+11.4	3
1999-04-11	Moss	W 5-0	1885	1653	76.1%	10.6%	13.3%	+7.8	3
1999-04-11	@ Rosenborg	L 0-5	1653	1885	13.3%	10.6%	76.1%	-7.8	0
1999-04-11	Skeid	W 5-0	1804	1584	75.2%	10.7%	14.1%	+8.2	3
1999-04-11	@ Stabaek	L 0-5	1584	1804	14.1%	10.7%	75.2%	-8.2	0
1999-04-11	Kongsvinger	W 2-1	1692	1677	53.2%	12.6%	34.1%	+4.1	3
1999-04-11	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1677	1692	34.1%	12.6%	53.2%	-4.1	0
1999-04-11	Odd Grenland	L 1-2	1782	1487	80.6%	9.6%	9.8%	-9.0	0
1999-04-11	@ Viking	W 2-1	1487	1782	9.8%	9.6%	80.6%	+9.1	3
1999-04-17	Rosenborg	W 3-2	1728	1892	29.0%	12.4%	58.6%	+6.4	6
1999-04-17	@ Lillestrom	L 2-3	1892	1728	58.6%	12.4%	29.0%	-6.4	3
1999-04-18	Stromsgodset	W 3-1	1739	1696	56.9%	12.5%	30.6%	+6.5	4
1999-04-18	@ Bodo Glimt	L 1-3	1696	1739	30.6%	12.5%	56.9%	-6.5	3
1999-04-18	Molde	L 2-3	1673	1812	32.0%	12.6%	55.5%	-3.7	0
1999-04-18	@ Kongsvinger	W 3-2	1812	1673	55.5%	12.6%	32.0%	+3.7	6
1999-04-18	Viking	L 0-2	1645	1773	33.4%	12.6%	54.0%	-8.1	0
1999-04-18	@ Moss	W 2-0	1773	1645	54.0%	12.6%	33.4%	+8.1	3
1999-04-18	Stabaek	W 3-2	1496	1812	14.8%	10.9%	74.3%	+8.0	6
1999-04-18	@ Odd Grenland	L 2-3	1812	1496	74.3%	10.9%	14.8%	-8.0	3
1999-04-18	Brann	W 5-0	1685	1752	41.8%	12.8%	45.5%	+24.9	3
1999-04-18	@ Tromso	L 0-5	1752	1685	45.5%	12.8%	41.8%	-24.9	0
1999-04-19	Valerenga	L 0-2	1576	1716	31.9%	12.6%	55.5%	-7.8	0
1999-04-19	@ Skeid	W 2-0	1716	1576	55.5%	12.6%	31.9%	+7.8	4
1999-04-23	Kongsvinger	W 5-4	1727	1669	58.8%	12.4%	28.8%	+3.2	3
1999-04-23	@ Brann	L 4-5	1669	1727	28.8%	12.4%	58.8%	-3.2	0
1999-04-23	Bodo Glimt	W 2-1	1816	1746	60.3%	12.3%	27.4%	+3.4	9
1999-04-23	@ Molde	L 1-2	1746	1816	27.4%	12.3%	60.3%	-3.4	4
1999-04-23	Skeid	W 2-1	1504	1568	42.1%	12.8%	45.1%	+5.3	9
1999-04-23	@ Odd Grenland	L 1-2	1568	1504	45.1%	12.8%	42.1%	-5.3	0
1999-04-23	Tromso	D 2-2	1886	1710	71.4%	11.3%	17.3%	-1.2	4
1999-04-23	@ Rosenborg	D 2-2	1710	1886	17.3%	11.3%	71.4%	+1.2	4
1999-04-23	Moss	W 3-1	1804	1637	70.7%	11.4%	17.9%	+3.9	6
1999-04-23	@ Stabaek	L 1-3	1637	1804	17.9%	11.4%	70.7%	-3.9	0
1999-04-23	Valerenga	L 0-3	1689	1723	46.4%	12.8%	40.8%	-15.8	3
1999-04-23	@ Stromsgodset	W 3-0	1723	1689	40.8%	12.8%	46.4%	+15.8	7
1999-04-23	Lillestrom	L 2-4	1781	1734	57.4%	12.5%	30.1%	-10.2	3
1999-04-23	@ Viking	W 4-2	1734	1781	30.1%	12.5%	57.4%	+10.2	9
1999-05-02	Brann	L 1-3	1742	1731	52.8%	12.7%	34.5%	-10.6	4
1999-05-02	@ Bodo Glimt	W 3-1	1731	1742	34.5%	12.7%	52.8%	+10.5	6
1999-05-02	Rosenborg	L 0-1	1666	1885	23.1%	12.0%	65.0%	-3.0	0
1999-05-02	@ Kongsvinger	W 1-0	1885	1666	65.0%	12.0%	23.1%	+3.0	7
1999-05-02	Stabaek	L 1-2	1745	1808	42.2%	12.8%	45.0%	-5.0	9
1999-05-02	@ Lillestrom	W 2-1	1808	1745	45.0%	12.8%	42.2%	+5.0	9
1999-05-02	Odd Grenland	W 1-0	1633	1509	66.3%	11.9%	21.8%	+2.9	3
1999-05-02	@ Moss	L 0-1	1509	1633	21.8%	11.9%	66.3%	-2.9	9
1999-05-02	Stromsgodset	W 4-0	1562	1674	35.7%	12.7%	51.7%	+22.7	3
1999-05-02	@ Skeid	L 0-4	1674	1562	51.7%	12.7%	35.7%	-22.7	3
1999-05-02	Viking	L 1-3	1712	1771	42.8%	12.8%	44.5%	-8.7	4
1999-05-02	@ Tromso	W 3-1	1771	1712	44.5%	12.8%	42.8%	+8.7	6
1999-05-03	Molde	W 2-0	1739	1820	39.9%	12.8%	47.4%	+11.0	10
1999-05-03	@ Valerenga	L 0-2	1820	1739	47.4%	12.8%	39.9%	-11.0	9
1999-05-08	Bodo Glimt	W 6-1	1888	1732	69.5%	11.5%	18.9%	+9.2	10
1999-05-08	@ Rosenborg	L 1-6	1732	1888	18.9%	11.5%	69.5%	-9.1	4
1999-05-09	Valerenga	W 2-1	1741	1750	49.9%	12.7%	37.3%	+4.5	9
1999-05-09	@ Brann	L 1-2	1750	1741	37.3%	12.7%	49.9%	-4.5	10
1999-05-09	Stromsgodset	W 3-0	1808	1651	69.7%	11.5%	18.8%	+6.8	12
1999-05-09	@ Molde	L 0-3	1651	1808	18.8%	11.5%	69.7%	-6.8	3
1999-05-09	Lillestrom	L 0-2	1506	1740	21.6%	11.9%	66.5%	-5.4	9
1999-05-09	@ Odd Grenland	W 2-0	1740	1506	66.5%	11.9%	21.6%	+5.4	12
1999-05-09	Moss	L 0-6	1585	1636	44.1%	12.8%	43.1%	-28.8	3
1999-05-09	@ Skeid	W 6-0	1636	1585	43.1%	12.8%	44.1%	+28.8	6
1999-05-09	Tromso	D 1-1	1813	1703	64.9%	12.0%	23.1%	-1.2	10
1999-05-09	@ Stabaek	D 1-1	1703	1813	23.1%	12.0%	64.9%	+1.2	5
1999-05-09	Kongsvinger	W 3-0	1780	1663	65.6%	11.9%	22.4%	+8.1	9
1999-05-09	@ Viking	L 0-3	1663	1780	22.4%	11.9%	65.6%	-8.1	0
1999-05-12	Rosenborg	L 0-5	1746	1897	30.6%	12.5%	56.9%	-17.5	10
1999-05-12	@ Valerenga	W 5-0	1897	1746	56.9%	12.5%	30.6%	+17.5	13
1999-05-13	Viking	D 3-3	1723	1788	42.0%	12.8%	45.3%	+0.1	5
1999-05-13	@ Bodo Glimt	D 3-3	1788	1723	45.3%	12.8%	42.0%	-0.1	10
1999-05-13	Stabaek	L 1-3	1655	1812	29.8%	12.5%	57.7%	-6.3	0
1999-05-13	@ Kongsvinger	W 3-1	1812	1655	57.7%	12.5%	29.8%	+6.3	13
1999-05-13	Moss	W 1-0	1745	1664	61.5%	12.3%	26.3%	+3.4	15
1999-05-13	@ Lillestrom	L 0-1	1664	1745	26.3%	12.3%	61.5%	-3.4	6
1999-05-13	Skeid	W 3-0	1815	1556	78.1%	10.2%	11.7%	+4.2	15
1999-05-13	@ Molde	L 0-3	1556	1815	11.7%	10.2%	78.1%	-4.2	3
1999-05-13	Brann	L 1-2	1644	1746	37.0%	12.7%	50.3%	-4.4	3
1999-05-13	@ Stromsgodset	W 2-1	1746	1644	50.3%	12.7%	37.0%	+4.4	12
1999-05-13	Odd Grenland	W 5-0	1704	1501	73.8%	11.0%	15.2%	+8.9	8
1999-05-13	@ Tromso	L 0-5	1501	1704	15.2%	11.0%	73.8%	-8.9	9
1999-05-16	Molde	L 0-1	1750	1820	41.4%	12.8%	45.8%	-5.2	12
1999-05-16	@ Brann	W 1-0	1820	1750	45.8%	12.8%	41.4%	+5.2	18
1999-05-16	Tromso	L 2-4	1661	1713	43.9%	12.8%	43.3%	-8.0	6
1999-05-16	@ Moss	W 4-2	1713	1661	43.3%	12.8%	43.9%	+8.0	11
1999-05-16	Kongsvinger	W 3-1	1492	1648	29.9%	12.5%	57.6%	+11.4	12
1999-05-16	@ Odd Grenland	L 1-3	1648	1492	57.6%	12.5%	29.9%	-11.4	0
1999-05-16	Stromsgodset	W 3-1	1914	1640	79.2%	10.0%	10.8%	+2.3	16
1999-05-16	@ Rosenborg	L 1-3	1640	1914	10.8%	10.0%	79.2%	-2.3	3
1999-05-16	Lillestrom	D 4-4	1552	1748	25.4%	12.2%	62.4%	+0.6	4
1999-05-16	@ Skeid	D 4-4	1748	1552	62.4%	12.2%	25.4%	-0.6	16
1999-05-16	Bodo Glimt	W 3-2	1818	1723	63.2%	12.1%	24.6%	+2.9	16
1999-05-16	@ Stabaek	L 2-3	1723	1818	24.6%	12.1%	63.2%	-2.9	5
1999-05-16	Valerenga	W 2-0	1788	1728	59.0%	12.4%	28.6%	+7.0	13
1999-05-16	@ Viking	L 0-2	1728	1788	28.6%	12.4%	59.0%	-7.0	10
1999-05-24	Odd Grenland	W 4-0	1720	1503	74.9%	10.8%	14.3%	+6.8	8
1999-05-24	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-4	1503	1720	14.3%	10.8%	74.9%	-6.8	12
1999-05-24	Skeid	L 0-1	1745	1553	72.9%	11.1%	16.0%	-8.8	12
1999-05-24	@ Brann	W 1-0	1553	1745	16.0%	11.1%	72.9%	+8.8	7
1999-05-24	Moss	W 1-0	1637	1653	49.0%	12.7%	38.3%	+4.9	3
1999-05-24	@ Kongsvinger	L 0-1	1653	1637	38.3%	12.7%	49.0%	-4.8	6
1999-05-24	Rosenborg	L 0-2	1825	1917	38.2%	12.7%	49.0%	-9.2	18
1999-05-24	@ Molde	W 2-0	1917	1825	49.0%	12.7%	38.2%	+9.1	19
1999-05-24	Viking	W 1-0	1637	1795	29.8%	12.5%	57.8%	+7.0	6
1999-05-24	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-1	1795	1637	57.8%	12.5%	29.8%	-7.0	13
1999-05-24	Lillestrom	W 4-1	1721	1748	47.4%	12.8%	39.8%	+11.6	14
1999-05-24	@ Tromso	L 1-4	1748	1721	39.8%	12.8%	47.4%	-11.6	16
1999-05-24	Stabaek	L 1-3	1721	1821	37.2%	12.7%	50.1%	-7.7	10
1999-05-24	@ Valerenga	W 3-1	1821	1721	50.1%	12.7%	37.2%	+7.7	19
1999-06-09	Bodo Glimt	W 4-1	1648	1727	40.1%	12.8%	47.1%	+13.5	9
1999-06-09	@ Moss	L 1-4	1727	1648	47.1%	12.8%	40.1%	-13.5	8
1999-06-09	Valerenga	L 0-3	1496	1714	23.2%	12.0%	64.8%	-8.4	12
1999-06-09	@ Odd Grenland	W 3-0	1714	1496	64.8%	12.0%	23.2%	+8.4	13
1999-06-09	Tromso	W 2-1	1561	1733	28.2%	12.4%	59.4%	+6.8	10
1999-06-09	@ Skeid	L 1-2	1733	1561	59.4%	12.4%	28.2%	-6.8	14
1999-06-12	Stabaek	D 0-0	1816	1829	49.3%	12.7%	37.9%	-0.4	19
1999-06-12	@ Molde	D 0-0	1829	1816	37.9%	12.7%	49.3%	+0.4	20
1999-06-13	Lillestrom	L 1-2	1713	1736	48.0%	12.8%	39.3%	-5.6	8
1999-06-13	@ Bodo Glimt	W 2-1	1736	1713	39.3%	12.8%	48.0%	+5.6	19
1999-06-13	Viking	W 1-0	1736	1788	43.9%	12.8%	43.3%	+5.4	15
1999-06-13	@ Brann	L 0-1	1788	1736	43.3%	12.8%	43.9%	-5.4	13
1999-06-13	Tromso	W 3-1	1642	1726	39.3%	12.8%	47.9%	+9.7	6
1999-06-13	@ Kongsvinger	L 1-3	1726	1642	47.9%	12.8%	39.3%	-9.7	14
1999-06-13	Skeid	W 3-0	1926	1568	84.2%	8.6%	7.2%	+2.6	22
1999-06-13	@ Rosenborg	L 0-3	1568	1926	7.2%	8.6%	84.2%	-2.5	10
1999-06-13	Odd Grenland	L 3-5	1644	1488	69.6%	11.5%	18.9%	-11.6	6
1999-06-13	@ Stromsgodset	W 5-3	1488	1644	18.9%	11.5%	69.6%	+11.6	15
1999-06-13	Moss	L 1-2	1722	1662	59.0%	12.4%	28.6%	-6.8	13
1999-06-13	@ Valerenga	W 2-1	1662	1722	28.6%	12.4%	59.0%	+6.8	12
1999-06-16	Valerenga	W 4-1	1742	1715	54.8%	12.6%	32.6%	+9.7	22
1999-06-16	@ Lillestrom	L 1-4	1715	1742	32.6%	12.6%	54.8%	-9.7	13
1999-06-16	Stromsgodset	L 2-5	1668	1633	55.9%	12.5%	31.5%	-13.6	12
1999-06-16	@ Moss	W 5-2	1633	1668	31.5%	12.5%	55.9%	+13.6	9
1999-06-16	Molde	D 0-0	1500	1815	14.9%	10.9%	74.2%	+2.0	16
1999-06-16	@ Odd Grenland	D 0-0	1815	1500	74.2%	10.9%	14.9%	-2.0	20
1999-06-16	Kongsvinger	L 0-1	1566	1651	39.1%	12.8%	48.1%	-5.0	10
1999-06-16	@ Skeid	W 1-0	1651	1566	48.1%	12.8%	39.1%	+5.0	9
1999-06-16	Bodo Glimt	W 5-1	1716	1708	52.3%	12.7%	35.0%	+13.4	17
1999-06-16	@ Tromso	L 1-5	1708	1716	35.0%	12.7%	52.3%	-13.3	8
1999-06-16	Rosenborg	L 0-2	1783	1928	31.2%	12.5%	56.2%	-7.6	13
1999-06-16	@ Viking	W 2-0	1928	1783	56.2%	12.5%	31.2%	+7.6	25
1999-06-17	Brann	L 2-3	1829	1741	62.3%	12.2%	25.5%	-6.8	20
1999-06-17	@ Stabaek	W 3-2	1741	1829	25.5%	12.2%	62.3%	+6.8	18
1999-06-19	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1646	1752	36.5%	12.7%	50.8%	+0.4	10
1999-06-19	@ Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1752	1646	50.8%	12.7%	36.5%	-0.4	23
1999-06-20	Kongsvinger	W 2-0	1694	1656	56.2%	12.5%	31.2%	+7.6	11
1999-06-20	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-2	1656	1694	31.2%	12.5%	56.2%	-7.6	9
1999-06-20	Odd Grenland	W 3-0	1748	1502	77.2%	10.4%	12.4%	+4.5	21
1999-06-20	@ Brann	L 0-3	1502	1748	12.4%	10.4%	77.2%	-4.5	16
1999-06-20	Moss	W 3-1	1813	1655	69.8%	11.5%	18.7%	+4.0	23
1999-06-20	@ Molde	L 1-3	1655	1813	18.7%	11.5%	69.8%	-4.0	12
1999-06-20	Stabaek	W 2-1	1936	1823	65.2%	12.0%	22.8%	+2.8	28
1999-06-20	@ Rosenborg	L 1-2	1823	1936	22.8%	12.0%	65.2%	-2.8	20
1999-06-20	Skeid	L 0-1	1775	1561	74.7%	10.8%	14.5%	-9.0	13
1999-06-20	@ Viking	W 1-0	1561	1775	14.5%	10.8%	74.7%	+9.0	13
1999-06-26	Rosenborg	D 0-0	1497	1939	8.1%	9.0%	82.9%	+2.5	17
1999-06-26	@ Odd Grenland	D 0-0	1939	1497	82.9%	9.0%	8.1%	-2.5	29
1999-06-27	Molde	L 0-1	1751	1817	41.9%	12.8%	45.4%	-5.2	23
1999-06-27	@ Lillestrom	W 1-0	1817	1751	45.4%	12.8%	41.9%	+5.3	26
1999-06-27	Brann	L 0-2	1651	1753	36.9%	12.7%	50.4%	-8.9	12
1999-06-27	@ Moss	W 2-0	1753	1651	50.4%	12.7%	36.9%	+8.9	24
1999-06-27	Bodo Glimt	L 1-3	1570	1702	32.9%	12.6%	54.5%	-6.9	13
1999-06-27	@ Skeid	W 3-1	1702	1570	54.5%	12.6%	32.9%	+6.9	14
1999-06-27	Viking	W 3-1	1820	1766	58.2%	12.4%	29.3%	+6.2	23
1999-06-27	@ Stabaek	L 1-3	1766	1820	29.3%	12.4%	58.2%	-6.2	13
1999-06-27	Stromsgodset	W 3-2	1729	1647	61.7%	12.2%	26.1%	+3.0	20
1999-06-27	@ Tromso	L 2-3	1647	1729	26.1%	12.2%	61.7%	-3.0	10
1999-07-03	Molde	L 1-2	1732	1822	38.5%	12.7%	48.7%	-4.6	20
1999-07-03	@ Tromso	W 2-1	1822	1732	48.7%	12.7%	38.5%	+4.6	29
1999-07-04	Valerenga	D 1-1	1709	1705	51.6%	12.7%	35.7%	-0.5	15
1999-07-04	@ Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1705	1709	35.7%	12.7%	51.6%	+0.5	14
1999-07-04	Stromsgodset	L 2-4	1649	1644	51.9%	12.7%	35.5%	-9.3	9
1999-07-04	@ Kongsvinger	W 4-2	1644	1649	35.5%	12.7%	51.9%	+9.3	13
1999-07-04	Rosenborg	L 1-4	1642	1936	16.4%	11.2%	72.4%	-5.0	12
1999-07-04	@ Moss	W 4-1	1936	1642	72.4%	11.2%	16.4%	+5.0	32
1999-07-04	Viking	L 1-3	1500	1760	19.2%	11.6%	69.2%	-4.2	17
1999-07-04	@ Odd Grenland	W 3-1	1760	1500	69.2%	11.6%	19.2%	+4.2	16
1999-07-04	Stabaek	L 1-3	1563	1826	19.0%	11.6%	69.5%	-4.1	13
1999-07-04	@ Skeid	W 3-1	1826	1563	69.5%	11.6%	19.0%	+4.1	26
1999-07-07	Kongsvinger	W 6-2	1746	1639	64.4%	12.0%	23.5%	+7.8	26
1999-07-07	@ Lillestrom	L 2-6	1639	1746	23.5%	12.0%	64.4%	-7.8	9
1999-07-07	Brann	L 2-3	1941	1762	71.8%	11.3%	17.0%	-7.7	32
1999-07-07	@ Rosenborg	W 3-2	1762	1941	17.0%	11.3%	71.8%	+7.7	27
1999-07-07	Stromsgodset	W 2-1	1830	1653	71.5%	11.3%	17.2%	+2.2	29
1999-07-07	@ Stabaek	L 1-2	1653	1830	17.2%	11.3%	71.5%	-2.1	13
1999-07-07	Molde	W 4-1	1764	1827	42.3%	12.8%	44.9%	+12.9	19
1999-07-07	@ Viking	L 1-4	1827	1764	44.9%	12.8%	42.3%	-12.9	29
1999-07-07	Tromso	L 1-3	1706	1728	48.2%	12.8%	39.1%	-9.7	14
1999-07-07	@ Valerenga	W 3-1	1728	1706	39.1%	12.8%	48.2%	+9.7	23
1999-07-11	Kongsvinger	W 3-2	1814	1632	72.0%	11.2%	16.8%	+2.0	32
1999-07-11	@ Molde	L 2-3	1632	1814	16.8%	11.2%	72.0%	-2.0	9
1999-07-11	Lillestrom	W 4-0	1934	1754	71.8%	11.3%	17.0%	+8.0	35
1999-07-11	@ Rosenborg	L 0-4	1754	1934	17.0%	11.3%	71.8%	-8.0	26
1999-07-11	Odd Grenland	L 2-5	1832	1495	83.0%	9.0%	8.0%	-19.7	29
1999-07-11	@ Stabaek	W 5-2	1495	1832	8.0%	9.0%	83.0%	+19.7	20
1999-07-11	Bodo Glimt	L 0-1	1651	1708	43.1%	12.8%	44.1%	-5.4	13
1999-07-11	@ Stromsgodset	W 1-0	1708	1651	44.1%	12.8%	43.1%	+5.4	18
1999-07-11	Skeid	D 2-2	1696	1559	67.7%	11.7%	20.5%	-1.0	15
1999-07-11	@ Valerenga	D 2-2	1559	1696	20.5%	11.7%	67.7%	+1.0	14
1999-07-11	Moss	D 1-1	1777	1637	68.0%	11.7%	20.3%	-1.4	20
1999-07-11	@ Viking	D 1-1	1637	1777	20.3%	11.7%	68.0%	+1.4	13
1999-07-22	Brann	W 2-0	1746	1769	47.9%	12.8%	39.3%	+9.4	29
1999-07-22	@ Lillestrom	L 0-2	1769	1746	39.3%	12.8%	47.9%	-9.4	27
1999-07-25	Molde	W 3-1	1714	1816	36.8%	12.7%	50.5%	+10.1	21
1999-07-25	@ Bodo Glimt	L 1-3	1816	1714	50.5%	12.7%	36.8%	-10.1	32
1999-07-25	Brann	L 0-2	1630	1760	33.2%	12.6%	54.2%	-8.0	9
1999-07-25	@ Kongsvinger	W 2-0	1760	1630	54.2%	12.6%	33.2%	+8.0	30
1999-07-25	Viking	W 4-1	1755	1775	48.4%	12.8%	38.9%	+11.4	32
1999-07-25	@ Lillestrom	L 1-4	1775	1755	38.9%	12.8%	48.4%	-11.4	20
1999-07-25	Stabaek	W 2-0	1638	1813	27.8%	12.4%	59.8%	+13.7	16
1999-07-25	@ Moss	L 0-2	1813	1638	59.8%	12.4%	27.8%	-13.7	29
1999-07-25	Odd Grenland	W 3-1	1560	1515	57.1%	12.5%	30.4%	+6.4	17
1999-07-25	@ Skeid	L 1-3	1515	1560	30.4%	12.5%	57.1%	-6.4	20
1999-07-25	Rosenborg	W 2-1	1738	1942	24.6%	12.1%	63.3%	+7.2	26
1999-07-25	@ Tromso	L 1-2	1942	1738	63.3%	12.1%	24.6%	-7.2	35
1999-07-25	Stromsgodset	L 2-3	1695	1646	57.7%	12.5%	29.8%	-6.3	15
1999-07-25	@ Valerenga	W 3-2	1646	1695	29.8%	12.5%	57.7%	+6.3	16
1999-07-30	Kongsvinger	W 4-1	1934	1622	81.6%	9.4%	9.0%	+2.7	38
1999-07-30	@ Rosenborg	L 1-4	1622	1934	9.0%	9.4%	81.6%	-2.7	9
1999-08-01	Bodo Glimt	L 0-2	1768	1724	57.0%	12.5%	30.5%	-13.1	30
1999-08-01	@ Brann	W 2-0	1724	1768	30.5%	12.5%	57.0%	+13.1	24
1999-08-01	Valerenga	W 4-3	1806	1689	65.6%	11.9%	22.5%	+2.6	35
1999-08-01	@ Molde	L 3-4	1689	1806	22.5%	11.9%	65.6%	-2.6	15
1999-08-01	Moss	W 1-0	1509	1652	31.6%	12.6%	55.9%	+6.8	23
1999-08-01	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-1	1652	1509	55.9%	12.6%	31.6%	-6.8	16
1999-08-01	Lillestrom	L 1-6	1799	1766	55.5%	12.6%	31.9%	-24.7	29
1999-08-01	@ Stabaek	W 6-1	1766	1799	31.9%	12.6%	55.5%	+24.7	35
1999-08-01	Skeid	W 3-1	1652	1566	62.1%	12.2%	25.7%	+5.5	19
1999-08-01	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-3	1566	1652	25.7%	12.2%	62.1%	-5.5	17
1999-08-01	Tromso	W 2-1	1764	1745	53.8%	12.6%	33.6%	+4.1	23
1999-08-01	@ Viking	L 1-2	1745	1764	33.6%	12.6%	53.8%	-4.1	26
1999-08-04	Valerenga	W 4-0	1619	1686	41.7%	12.8%	45.6%	+20.2	12
1999-08-04	@ Kongsvinger	L 0-4	1686	1619	45.6%	12.8%	41.7%	-20.2	15
1999-08-08	Rosenborg	L 2-4	1737	1937	25.0%	12.2%	62.9%	-4.8	24
1999-08-08	@ Bodo Glimt	W 4-2	1937	1737	62.9%	12.2%	25.0%	+4.8	41
1999-08-08	Viking	L 1-3	1639	1768	33.3%	12.6%	54.1%	-7.0	12
1999-08-08	@ Kongsvinger	W 3-1	1768	1639	54.1%	12.6%	33.3%	+7.0	26
1999-08-08	Odd Grenland	L 1-2	1791	1516	79.3%	10.0%	10.8%	-8.9	35
1999-08-08	@ Lillestrom	W 2-1	1516	1791	10.8%	10.0%	79.3%	+8.9	26
1999-08-08	Skeid	W 5-0	1645	1561	61.9%	12.2%	25.9%	+14.9	19
1999-08-08	@ Moss	L 0-5	1561	1645	25.9%	12.2%	61.9%	-14.9	17
1999-08-08	Molde	L 0-2	1657	1809	30.6%	12.5%	56.9%	-7.5	19
1999-08-08	@ Stromsgodset	W 2-0	1809	1657	56.9%	12.5%	30.6%	+7.5	38
1999-08-08	Stabaek	D 3-3	1741	1774	46.5%	12.8%	40.7%	-0.1	27
1999-08-08	@ Tromso	D 3-3	1774	1741	40.7%	12.8%	46.5%	+0.1	30
1999-08-08	Brann	L 1-2	1666	1755	38.7%	12.7%	48.6%	-4.6	15
1999-08-08	@ Valerenga	W 2-1	1755	1666	48.6%	12.7%	38.7%	+4.6	33
1999-08-15	Stromsgodset	D 2-2	1760	1650	64.8%	12.0%	23.2%	-0.9	34
1999-08-15	@ Brann	D 2-2	1650	1760	23.2%	12.0%	64.8%	+0.9	20
1999-08-15	Lillestrom	L 1-3	1660	1782	34.2%	12.6%	53.1%	-7.2	19
1999-08-15	@ Moss	W 3-1	1782	1660	53.1%	12.6%	34.2%	+7.2	38
1999-08-15	Tromso	W 2-1	1524	1741	23.3%	12.0%	64.6%	+7.4	29
1999-08-15	@ Odd Grenland	L 1-2	1741	1524	64.6%	12.0%	23.3%	-7.4	27
1999-08-15	Valerenga	W 4-2	1942	1661	79.6%	9.9%	10.5%	+2.0	44
1999-08-15	@ Rosenborg	L 2-4	1661	1942	10.5%	9.9%	79.6%	-2.0	15
1999-08-15	Molde	L 3-5	1546	1816	18.4%	11.5%	70.2%	-3.4	17
1999-08-15	@ Skeid	W 5-3	1816	1546	70.2%	11.5%	18.4%	+3.4	41
1999-08-15	Kongsvinger	D 1-1	1774	1632	68.2%	11.7%	20.1%	-1.4	31
1999-08-15	@ Stabaek	D 1-1	1632	1774	20.1%	11.7%	68.2%	+1.4	13
1999-08-15	Bodo Glimt	D 3-3	1775	1732	56.9%	12.5%	30.6%	-0.5	27
1999-08-15	@ Viking	D 3-3	1732	1775	30.6%	12.5%	56.9%	+0.5	25
1999-08-22	Stabaek	W 4-0	1733	1773	45.6%	12.8%	41.6%	+18.7	28
1999-08-22	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-4	1773	1733	41.6%	12.8%	45.6%	-18.7	31
1999-08-22	Odd Grenland	W 1-0	1634	1532	63.9%	12.1%	24.0%	+3.2	16
1999-08-22	@ Kongsvinger	L 0-1	1532	1634	24.0%	12.1%	63.9%	-3.2	29
1999-08-22	Skeid	W 2-1	1789	1542	77.2%	10.4%	12.4%	+1.5	41
1999-08-22	@ Lillestrom	L 1-2	1542	1789	12.4%	10.4%	77.2%	-1.5	17
1999-08-22	Brann	L 1-3	1819	1759	59.1%	12.4%	28.5%	-11.7	41
1999-08-22	@ Molde	W 3-1	1759	1819	28.5%	12.4%	59.1%	+11.7	37
1999-08-22	Rosenborg	L 1-3	1651	1944	16.5%	11.2%	72.3%	-3.6	20
1999-08-22	@ Stromsgodset	W 3-1	1944	1651	72.3%	11.2%	16.5%	+3.6	47
1999-08-22	Moss	D 1-1	1733	1653	61.5%	12.3%	26.3%	-1.0	28
1999-08-22	@ Tromso	D 1-1	1653	1733	26.3%	12.3%	61.5%	+1.0	20
1999-08-22	Viking	W 4-2	1659	1775	35.1%	12.7%	52.2%	+9.3	18
1999-08-22	@ Valerenga	L 2-4	1775	1659	52.2%	12.7%	35.1%	-9.3	27
1999-08-25	Tromso	W 3-1	1770	1732	56.2%	12.5%	31.2%	+6.6	40
1999-08-25	@ Brann	L 1-3	1732	1770	31.2%	12.5%	56.2%	-6.6	28
1999-08-29	Tromso	L 1-2	1791	1726	59.7%	12.4%	28.0%	-6.8	41
1999-08-29	@ Lillestrom	W 2-1	1726	1791	28.0%	12.4%	59.7%	+6.8	31
1999-08-29	Kongsvinger	W 3-0	1654	1637	53.5%	12.6%	33.8%	+11.9	23
1999-08-29	@ Moss	L 0-3	1637	1654	33.8%	12.6%	53.5%	-11.9	16
1999-08-29	Bodo Glimt	W 4-2	1529	1751	22.7%	12.0%	65.3%	+11.5	32
1999-08-29	@ Odd Grenland	L 2-4	1751	1529	65.3%	12.0%	22.7%	-11.5	28
1999-08-29	Molde	W 2-1	1948	1808	68.0%	11.7%	20.3%	+2.5	50
1999-08-29	@ Rosenborg	L 1-2	1808	1948	20.3%	11.7%	68.0%	-2.5	41
1999-08-29	Brann	L 1-2	1541	1777	21.4%	11.8%	66.8%	-2.7	17
1999-08-29	@ Skeid	W 2-1	1777	1541	66.8%	11.8%	21.4%	+2.7	43
1999-08-29	Valerenga	W 3-0	1754	1669	62.0%	12.2%	25.8%	+9.2	34
1999-08-29	@ Stabaek	L 0-3	1669	1754	25.8%	12.2%	62.0%	-9.2	18
1999-08-29	Stromsgodset	W 3-2	1765	1647	65.7%	11.9%	22.4%	+2.6	30
1999-08-29	@ Viking	L 2-3	1647	1765	22.4%	11.9%	65.7%	-2.6	20
1999-09-11	Rosenborg	W 2-1	1780	1950	28.3%	12.4%	59.4%	+6.8	46
1999-09-11	@ Brann	L 1-2	1950	1780	59.4%	12.4%	28.3%	-6.8	50
1999-09-11	Stabaek	W 4-3	1645	1763	34.7%	12.7%	52.7%	+5.6	23
1999-09-11	@ Stromsgodset	L 3-4	1763	1645	52.7%	12.7%	34.7%	-5.6	34
1999-09-12	Moss	W 4-0	1740	1666	60.7%	12.3%	27.0%	+12.6	31
1999-09-12	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-4	1666	1740	27.0%	12.3%	60.7%	-12.6	23
1999-09-12	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1625	1784	29.6%	12.4%	58.0%	+0.8	17
1999-09-12	@ Kongsvinger	D 1-1	1784	1625	58.0%	12.4%	29.6%	-0.8	42
1999-09-12	Viking	L 3-4	1805	1768	56.1%	12.5%	31.3%	-6.0	41
1999-09-12	@ Molde	W 4-3	1768	1805	31.3%	12.5%	56.1%	+6.0	33
1999-09-12	Skeid	W 8-2	1732	1538	73.0%	11.1%	15.9%	+7.5	34
1999-09-12	@ Tromso	L 2-8	1538	1732	15.9%	11.1%	73.0%	-7.5	17
1999-09-12	Odd Grenland	W 2-1	1660	1540	65.8%	11.9%	22.3%	+2.8	21
1999-09-12	@ Valerenga	L 1-2	1540	1660	22.3%	11.9%	65.8%	-2.8	32
1999-09-18	Molde	W 4-2	1758	1799	45.4%	12.8%	41.8%	+7.7	37
1999-09-18	@ Stabaek	L 2-4	1799	1758	41.8%	12.8%	45.4%	-7.7	41
1999-09-18	Brann	W 2-0	1774	1786	49.5%	12.7%	37.8%	+9.0	36
1999-09-18	@ Viking	L 0-2	1786	1774	37.8%	12.7%	49.5%	-9.0	46
1999-09-19	Bodo Glimt	W 3-0	1783	1752	55.3%	12.6%	32.1%	+11.3	45
1999-09-19	@ Lillestrom	L 0-3	1752	1783	32.1%	12.6%	55.3%	-11.3	31
1999-09-19	Valerenga	W 1-0	1653	1662	49.9%	12.7%	37.3%	+4.7	26
1999-09-19	@ Moss	L 0-1	1662	1653	37.3%	12.7%	49.9%	-4.7	21
1999-09-19	Stromsgodset	D 2-2	1537	1650	35.4%	12.7%	51.9%	+0.3	33
1999-09-19	@ Odd Grenland	D 2-2	1650	1537	51.9%	12.7%	35.4%	-0.4	24
1999-09-19	Rosenborg	L 1-7	1531	1943	9.4%	9.5%	81.2%	-5.3	17
1999-09-19	@ Skeid	W 7-1	1943	1531	81.2%	9.5%	9.4%	+5.3	53
1999-09-19	Kongsvinger	W 4-1	1740	1626	65.3%	12.0%	22.7%	+6.9	37
1999-09-19	@ Tromso	L 1-4	1626	1740	22.7%	12.0%	65.3%	-6.9	17
1999-10-03	Tromso	L 1-3	1741	1747	50.4%	12.7%	36.9%	-10.1	31
1999-10-03	@ Bodo Glimt	W 3-1	1747	1741	36.9%	12.7%	50.4%	+10.1	40
1999-10-03	Skeid	L 1-2	1619	1525	62.9%	12.2%	24.9%	-7.2	17
1999-10-03	@ Kongsvinger	W 2-1	1525	1619	24.9%	12.2%	62.9%	+7.2	20
1999-10-03	Viking	W 3-2	1949	1783	70.5%	11.4%	18.1%	+2.1	56
1999-10-03	@ Rosenborg	L 2-3	1783	1949	18.1%	11.4%	70.5%	-2.2	36
1999-10-03	Moss	L 2-5	1650	1658	50.1%	12.7%	37.2%	-12.3	24
1999-10-03	@ Stromsgodset	W 5-2	1658	1650	37.2%	12.7%	50.1%	+12.3	29
1999-10-03	Lillestrom	W 3-1	1658	1795	32.3%	12.6%	55.1%	+11.0	24
1999-10-03	@ Valerenga	L 1-3	1795	1658	55.1%	12.6%	32.3%	-11.0	45
1999-10-13	Stabaek	L 2-3	1777	1765	52.8%	12.7%	34.5%	-5.8	46
1999-10-13	@ Brann	W 3-2	1765	1777	34.5%	12.7%	52.8%	+5.8	40
1999-10-13	Odd Grenland	W 1-0	1792	1538	77.7%	10.3%	12.0%	+1.6	44
1999-10-13	@ Molde	L 0-1	1538	1792	12.0%	10.3%	77.7%	-1.6	33
1999-10-16	Rosenborg	W 2-0	1771	1951	27.2%	12.3%	60.4%	+13.8	43
1999-10-16	@ Stabaek	L 0-2	1951	1771	60.4%	12.3%	27.2%	-13.8	56
1999-10-17	Bodo Glimt	W 2-1	1611	1731	34.6%	12.7%	52.8%	+6.1	20
1999-10-17	@ Kongsvinger	L 1-2	1731	1611	52.8%	12.7%	34.6%	-6.1	31
1999-10-17	Stromsgodset	W 4-2	1784	1638	68.6%	11.7%	19.8%	+3.8	48
1999-10-17	@ Lillestrom	L 2-4	1638	1784	19.8%	11.7%	68.6%	-3.8	24
1999-10-17	Molde	L 0-1	1670	1793	34.1%	12.6%	53.2%	-4.4	29
1999-10-17	@ Moss	W 1-0	1793	1670	53.2%	12.6%	34.1%	+4.4	47
1999-10-17	Brann	W 3-1	1536	1772	21.5%	11.8%	66.7%	+13.2	36
1999-10-17	@ Odd Grenland	L 1-3	1772	1536	66.7%	11.8%	21.5%	-13.1	46
1999-10-17	Viking	W 3-2	1533	1781	20.3%	11.7%	68.0%	+7.4	23
1999-10-17	@ Skeid	L 2-3	1781	1533	68.0%	11.7%	20.3%	-7.3	36
1999-10-17	Valerenga	D 2-2	1757	1669	62.4%	12.2%	25.4%	-0.8	41
1999-10-17	@ Tromso	D 2-2	1669	1757	25.4%	12.2%	62.4%	+0.8	25
1999-10-23	Skeid	W 4-2	1725	1540	72.2%	11.2%	16.6%	+3.2	34
1999-10-23	@ Bodo Glimt	L 2-4	1540	1725	16.6%	11.2%	72.2%	-3.2	23
1999-10-23	Moss	W 1-0	1758	1666	62.9%	12.2%	25.0%	+3.3	49
1999-10-23	@ Brann	L 0-1	1666	1758	25.0%	12.2%	62.9%	-3.3	29
1999-10-23	Lillestrom	W 2-0	1798	1787	52.6%	12.7%	34.8%	+8.4	50
1999-10-23	@ Molde	L 0-2	1787	1798	34.8%	12.7%	52.6%	-8.4	48
1999-10-23	Tromso	L 3-6	1634	1756	34.2%	12.6%	53.2%	-8.1	24
1999-10-23	@ Stromsgodset	W 6-3	1756	1634	53.2%	12.6%	34.2%	+8.1	44
1999-10-23	Kongsvinger	W 2-1	1669	1618	58.0%	12.4%	29.6%	+3.6	28
1999-10-23	@ Valerenga	L 1-2	1618	1669	29.6%	12.4%	58.0%	-3.6	20
1999-10-24	Odd Grenland	L 3-5	1937	1549	85.7%	8.2%	6.2%	-13.9	56
1999-10-24	@ Rosenborg	W 5-3	1549	1937	6.2%	8.2%	85.7%	+13.9	39
1999-10-24	Stabaek	L 2-3	1774	1785	49.6%	12.7%	37.6%	-5.5	36
1999-10-24	@ Viking	W 3-2	1785	1774	37.6%	12.7%	49.6%	+5.5	46

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1999-10-24	6.20%	Odd Grenland	1549	5	@ Rosenborg	1937	3
2	1999-07-11	7.99%	Odd Grenland	1495	5	@ Stabaek	1832	2
3	1999-04-11	9.78%	Odd Grenland	1487	2	@ Viking	1782	1
4	1999-08-08	10.79%	Odd Grenland	1516	2	@ Lillestrom	1791	1
5	1999-06-20	14.46%	Skeid	1561	1	@ Viking	1775	0
6	1999-04-18	14.82%	@ Odd Grenland	1496	3	Stabaek	1812	2
7	1999-05-24	16.04%	Skeid	1553	1	@ Brann	1745	0
8	1999-07-07	16.97%	Brann	1762	3	@ Rosenborg	1941	2
9	1999-06-13	18.88%	Odd Grenland	1488	5	@ Stromsgodset	1644	3
10	1999-10-17	20.27%	@ Skeid	1533	3	Viking	1781	2
11	1999-10-17	21.47%	@ Odd Grenland	1536	3	Brann	1772	1
12	1999-08-29	22.69%	@ Odd Grenland	1529	4	Bodo Glimt	1751	2
13	1999-08-15	23.34%	@ Odd Grenland	1524	2	Tromso	1741	1
14	1999-07-25	24.57%	@ Tromso	1738	2	Rosenborg	1942	1
15	1999-10-03	24.90%	Skeid	1525	2	@ Kongsvinger	1619	1
16	1999-06-17	25.47%	Brann	1741	3	@ Stabaek	1829	2
17	1999-10-16	27.24%	@ Stabaek	1771	2	Rosenborg	1951	0
18	1999-07-25	27.84%	@ Moss	1638	2	Stabaek	1813	0
19	1999-08-29	27.98%	Tromso	1726	2	@ Lillestrom	1791	1
20	1999-06-09	28.21%	@ Skeid	1561	2	Tromso	1733	1
21	1999-09-11	28.27%	@ Brann	1780	2	Rosenborg	1950	1
22	1999-08-22	28.49%	Brann	1759	3	@ Molde	1819	1
23	1999-06-13	28.56%	Moss	1662	2	@ Valerenga	1722	1
24	1999-04-17	29.01%	@ Lillestrom	1728	3	Rosenborg	1892	2
25	1999-05-24	29.78%	@ Stromsgodset	1637	1	Viking	1795	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1999-05-09	28.79	Moss	6	1636	43.13%	@ Skeid	0	1585	44.09%
2	1999-04-18	24.90	@ Tromso	5	1685	41.76%	Brann	0	1752	45.47%
3	1999-08-01	24.72	Lillestrom	6	1766	31.92%	@ Stabaek	1	1799	55.52%
4	1999-05-02	22.66	@ Skeid	4	1562	35.66%	Stromsgodset	0	1674	51.66%
5	1999-08-04	20.24	@ Kongsvinger	4	1619	41.66%	Valerenga	0	1686	45.56%
6	1999-07-11	19.70	Odd Grenland	5	1495	7.99%	@ Stabaek	2	1832	83.02%
7	1999-08-22	18.71	@ Bodo Glimt	4	1733	45.57%	Stabaek	0	1773	41.65%
8	1999-05-12	17.46	Rosenborg	5	1897	56.93%	@ Valerenga	0	1746	30.57%
9	1999-04-23	15.76	Valerenga	3	1723	40.79%	@ Stromsgodset	0	1689	46.44%
10	1999-08-08	14.93	@ Moss	5	1645	61.93%	Skeid	0	1561	25.85%
11	1999-10-24	13.93	Odd Grenland	5	1549	6.20%	@ Rosenborg	3	1937	85.65%
12	1999-10-16	13.82	@ Stabaek	2	1771	27.24%	Rosenborg	0	1951	60.44%
13	1999-07-25	13.69	@ Moss	2	1638	27.84%	Stabaek	0	1813	59.80%
14	1999-06-16	13.63	Stromsgodset	5	1633	31.53%	@ Moss	2	1668	55.92%
15	1999-06-09	13.46	@ Moss	4	1648	40.12%	Bodo Glimt	1	1727	47.12%
16	1999-06-16	13.35	@ Tromso	5	1716	52.35%	Bodo Glimt	1	1708	34.99%
17	1999-10-17	13.15	@ Odd Grenland	3	1536	21.47%	Brann	1	1772	66.69%
18	1999-08-01	13.09	Bodo Glimt	2	1724	30.48%	@ Brann	0	1768	57.02%
19	1999-07-07	12.91	@ Viking	4	1764	42.29%	Molde	1	1827	44.93%
20	1999-09-12	12.62	@ Bodo Glimt	4	1740	60.69%	Moss	0	1666	27.00%
21	1999-10-03	12.32	Moss	5	1658	37.20%	@ Stromsgodset	2	1650	50.08%
22	1999-08-29	11.90	@ Moss	3	1654	53.53%	Kongsvinger	0	1637	33.84%
23	1999-08-22	11.73	Brann	3	1759	28.49%	@ Molde	1	1819	59.11%
24	1999-05-24	11.60	@ Tromso	4	1721	47.45%	Lillestrom	1	1748	39.79%
25	1999-06-13	11.58	Odd Grenland	5	1488	18.88%	@ Stromsgodset	3	1644	69.58%