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1999 Tippeligaen Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Rosenborg

56 points · 14th Title

Last Title: 1998

Relegated

Kongsvinger

20 pts

Skeid · 23 pts

Stromsgodset · via playoff

Biggest Overachiever

Odd Grenland

20.95 points above expected

39 points · 18.05 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Kongsvinger

10.50 points below expected

20 points · 30.50 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rosenborg Champion 26 18 2 6 56 75 33 +42 59.10 -3.10
2 Molde 26 16 2 8 50 49 37 +12 48.54 +1.46
3 Brann 26 16 1 9 49 45 40 +5 43.09 +5.91
4 Lillestrom 26 15 3 8 48 60 41 +19 41.51 +6.49
5 Stabaek 26 14 4 8 46 58 49 +9 46.65 -0.65
6 Tromso 26 13 5 8 44 70 46 +24 36.40 +7.60
7 Odd Grenland 26 12 3 11 39 42 48 -6 18.05 +20.95
8 Viking 26 11 3 12 36 51 48 +3 44.21 -8.21
9 Bodo Glimt 26 10 4 12 34 52 54 -2 38.37 -4.37
10 Moss 26 9 2 15 29 39 46 -7 30.95 -1.95
11 Valerenga 26 8 4 14 28 40 53 -13 36.28 -8.28
12 Stromsgodset Relegated 26 7 3 16 24 46 68 -22 30.85 -6.85
13 Skeid Relegated 26 7 2 17 23 36 75 -39 21.01 +1.99
14 Kongsvinger Relegated 26 6 2 18 20 34 59 -25 30.50 -10.50

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Odd Grenland 39 18.05 +20.95
2 Tromso 44 36.40 +7.60
3 Lillestrom 48 41.51 +6.49
4 Brann 49 43.09 +5.91
5 Skeid 23 21.01 +1.99

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kongsvinger 20 30.50 -10.50
2 Valerenga 28 36.28 -8.28
3 Viking 36 44.21 -8.21
4 Stromsgodset 24 30.85 -6.85
5 Bodo Glimt 34 38.37 -4.37

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Odd Grenland 3 Apr 11 – Apr 23 1 in 172
2 Brann 5 Jun 13 – Jul 7 1 in 129
3 Stabaek 4 Sep 18 – Oct 24 1 in 56
4 Lillestrom 3 Apr 11 – Apr 23 1 in 42
5 Rosenborg 8 May 2 – Jun 20 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Viking 5 May 24 – Jun 27 1 in 168
2 Stabaek 3 Jul 11 – Aug 1 1 in 155
3 Kongsvinger 7 Apr 11 – May 16 1 in 66
4 Rosenborg 2 Oct 16 – Oct 24 1 in 64
5 Stromsgodset 6 Apr 18 – May 16 1 in 44

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Odd Grenland 3 Apr 11 – Apr 23 1 in 38
2 Skeid 3 May 16 – Jun 9 1 in 29
3 Bodo Glimt 6 Jun 20 – Aug 1 1 in 28
4 Brann 6 Aug 8 – Sep 11 1 in 25
5 Tromso 6 Aug 29 – Oct 23 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valerenga 10 Jun 13 – Aug 15 1 in 456
2 Stabaek 6 Jul 11 – Aug 22 1 in 361
3 Viking 5 May 24 – Jun 27 1 in 37
4 Tromso 5 Aug 1 – Aug 25 1 in 28
5 Kongsvinger 7 Apr 11 – May 16 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Rosenborg 1939 56 -26 6 11.3 -5.3
Molde 1819 50 +0 9 9.2 -0.2
Brann 1772 49 -16 6 8.1 -2.1
Lillestrom 1782 48 -4 7 8.6 -1.6
Stabaek 1804 46 +25 12 6.7 +5.3
Tromso 1762 44 +30 13 9.2 +3.8
Odd Grenland 1561 39 +22 7 3.3 +3.7
Viking 1780 36 +0 6 7.2 -1.2
Bodo Glimt 1736 34 -11 6 8.8 -2.8
Moss 1670 29 -3 6 5.8 +0.2
Valerenga 1687 28 +12 10 7.4 +2.6
Stromsgodset 1637 24 -18 4 6.5 -2.5
Skeid 1532 23 +0 6 3.0 +3.0
Kongsvinger 1622 20 -10 4 6.1 -2.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BG BRA KON LIL MOL MOS OG ROS SKE STA STR TRO VAL VIK
Bodo Glimt —
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
3.56
0-0-2
2.72
1-0-1
2.15
1-0-1
3.51
1-0-1
4.49
0-0-2
1.50
2-0-0
4.17
1-0-1
2.32
2-0-0
3.30
0-0-2
2.92
0-2-0
2.96
0-2-0
2.43
Brann
1-0-1
3.04
—
2-0-0
3.71
0-0-2
3.23
1-0-1
2.35
2-0-0
3.68
1-0-1
4.59
2-0-0
1.57
1-0-1
4.53
1-0-1
2.58
1-1-0
3.73
1-0-1
3.42
2-0-0
3.22
1-0-1
2.71
Kongsvinger
1-0-1
2.21
0-0-2
2.06
—
0-1-1
1.88
0-0-2
1.64
1-0-1
2.74
1-0-1
3.94
0-0-2
1.11
1-0-1
3.70
0-1-1
1.69
0-0-2
2.80
1-0-1
2.18
1-0-1
2.35
0-0-2
1.88
Lillestrom
2-0-0
3.05
2-0-0
2.54
1-1-0
3.89
—
0-0-2
2.47
2-0-0
3.66
1-0-1
4.60
1-0-1
1.52
1-1-0
4.48
1-0-1
2.39
1-1-0
3.78
0-0-2
3.27
1-0-1
3.46
2-0-0
2.54
Molde
1-0-1
3.62
1-0-1
3.42
2-0-0
4.13
2-0-0
3.30
—
2-0-0
3.99
1-1-0
4.82
0-0-2
1.98
2-0-0
4.76
0-1-1
2.99
2-0-0
4.08
2-0-0
3.77
1-0-1
3.66
0-0-2
3.30
Moss
1-0-1
2.26
0-0-2
2.09
1-0-1
3.03
0-0-2
2.11
0-0-2
1.79
—
1-0-1
3.99
0-0-2
1.07
2-0-0
3.59
1-0-1
1.59
1-0-1
3.03
0-1-1
2.43
2-0-0
2.56
0-1-1
1.85
Odd Grenland
1-0-1
1.30
1-0-1
1.19
1-0-1
1.83
1-0-1
1.19
0-1-1
0.97
1-0-1
1.79
—
1-1-0
0.58
1-0-1
2.55
2-0-0
0.85
1-1-0
1.82
1-0-1
1.40
0-0-2
1.52
1-0-1
1.04
Rosenborg
2-0-0
4.28
0-0-2
4.21
2-0-0
4.68
1-0-1
4.26
2-0-0
3.79
2-0-0
4.72
0-1-1
5.24
—
2-0-0
5.19
1-0-1
4.03
2-0-0
4.78
0-1-1
4.40
2-0-0
4.36
2-0-0
4.08
Skeid
0-0-2
1.61
1-0-1
1.26
1-0-1
2.07
0-1-1
1.31
0-0-2
1.03
0-0-2
2.18
1-0-1
3.22
0-0-2
0.62
—
0-0-2
1.08
1-0-1
1.94
1-0-1
1.52
0-1-1
1.64
2-0-0
1.18
Stabaek
1-0-1
3.45
1-0-1
3.19
1-1-0
4.09
1-0-1
3.38
1-1-0
2.77
1-0-1
4.18
0-0-2
4.95
1-0-1
1.75
2-0-0
4.70
—
1-0-1
4.01
0-2-0
3.55
2-0-0
3.63
2-0-0
3.15
Stromsgodset
0-0-2
2.47
0-1-1
2.05
2-0-0
2.97
0-1-1
1.99
0-0-2
1.70
1-0-1
2.74
0-1-1
3.96
0-0-2
1.01
1-0-1
3.83
1-0-1
1.77
—
0-0-2
2.15
1-0-1
2.52
1-0-1
1.81
Tromso
2-0-0
2.85
1-0-1
2.35
1-0-1
3.59
2-0-0
2.50
0-0-2
2.01
1-1-0
3.33
1-0-1
4.38
1-1-0
1.38
1-0-1
4.26
0-2-0
2.22
2-0-0
3.61
—
1-1-0
3.19
0-0-2
2.43
Valerenga
0-2-0
2.81
0-0-2
2.55
1-0-1
3.42
1-0-1
2.31
1-0-1
2.11
0-0-2
3.20
2-0-0
4.26
0-0-2
1.43
1-1-0
4.13
0-0-2
2.14
1-0-1
3.25
0-1-1
2.58
—
1-0-1
2.20
Viking
0-2-0
3.34
1-0-1
3.05
2-0-0
3.89
0-0-2
3.23
2-0-0
2.47
1-1-0
3.93
1-0-1
4.75
0-0-2
1.70
0-0-2
4.61
0-0-2
2.62
1-0-1
3.96
2-0-0
3.33
1-0-1
3.57
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.57 +7.1
Allowed 0.74 -8.6
Differential 0.83 +4.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
01.65%4.95%4.67%2.75%1.92%1.92%17.86%
14.95%4.40%7.42%7.42%2.20%1.10%27.47%
24.67%7.42%2.75%3.85%2.75%1.37%22.80%
32.75%7.42%3.85%1.65%0.82%1.10%17.58%
41.92%2.20%2.75%0.82%0.55%0.27%8.52%
5+1.92%1.10%1.37%1.10%0.27%—5.77%
Total17.86%27.47%22.80%17.58%8.52%5.77%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 1.91 +0.00
SD 1.50 1.50 2.28
CV 0.78 0.78 —
Max 8 8 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———3.85%——3.85%
13.85%7.69%11.54%7.69%3.85%7.69%42.31%
27.69%——3.85%7.69%—19.23%
3—11.54%—7.69%——19.23%
411.54%—3.85%———15.38%
5+———————
Total23.08%19.23%15.38%23.08%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 2.08 -0.08
SD 1.20 1.70 2.46
CV 0.60 0.82 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%11.54%——3.85%23.08%
17.69%——7.69%——15.38%
27.69%19.23%3.85%3.85%——34.62%
33.85%11.54%7.69%———23.08%
4———————
5+————3.85%—3.85%
Total19.23%38.46%23.08%11.54%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.54 +0.19
SD 1.28 1.27 1.86
CV 0.74 0.83 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%7.69%7.69%——19.23%
111.54%7.69%11.54%11.54%7.69%—50.00%
2—3.85%—7.69%3.85%3.85%19.23%
3—3.85%————3.85%
43.85%————3.85%7.69%
5+———————
Total15.38%19.23%19.23%26.92%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 2.27 -0.96
SD 1.09 1.59 1.82
CV 0.83 0.70 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%—3.85%—11.54%
13.85%7.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%—30.77%
27.69%7.69%————15.38%
33.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
4—7.69%7.69%—3.85%—19.23%
5+—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
Total15.38%38.46%30.77%3.85%11.54%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.31 1.58 +0.73
SD 1.72 1.17 2.18
CV 0.74 0.74 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—7.69%———15.38%
115.38%—3.85%7.69%3.85%—30.77%
27.69%7.69%——3.85%—19.23%
37.69%3.85%7.69%—3.85%—23.08%
43.85%——3.85%——7.69%
5+———3.85%——3.85%
Total42.31%11.54%19.23%15.38%11.54%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 1.42 +0.46
SD 1.37 1.47 1.84
CV 0.72 1.04 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—19.23%7.69%—3.85%3.85%34.62%
17.69%7.69%—11.54%3.85%—30.77%
23.85%3.85%——3.85%3.85%15.38%
33.85%—————3.85%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+7.69%—3.85%———11.54%
Total23.08%34.62%11.54%11.54%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.77 -0.27
SD 1.75 1.61 2.69
CV 1.17 0.91 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%38.46%
13.85%—3.85%7.69%——15.38%
2—15.38%3.85%———19.23%
3—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+——3.85%7.69%——11.54%
Total11.54%34.62%23.08%23.08%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.85 -0.23
SD 1.72 1.26 2.08
CV 1.07 0.68 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—3.85%———7.69%
13.85%—7.69%———11.54%
27.69%7.69%3.85%7.69%——26.92%
33.85%7.69%3.85%——3.85%19.23%
43.85%7.69%7.69%———19.23%
5+7.69%7.69%————15.38%
Total30.77%30.77%26.92%7.69%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.88 1.27 +1.62
SD 1.73 1.22 2.25
CV 0.60 0.96 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%7.69%—11.54%26.92%
17.69%—11.54%11.54%—3.85%34.62%
2—7.69%3.85%—3.85%3.85%19.23%
3—3.85%3.85%——3.85%11.54%
43.85%———3.85%—7.69%
5+———————
Total11.54%15.38%23.08%19.23%7.69%23.08%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 2.88 -1.50
SD 1.24 2.12 2.61
CV 0.89 0.74 —
Max 4 8 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—3.85%—3.85%—11.54%
1—7.69%3.85%——3.85%15.38%
23.85%7.69%—7.69%—3.85%23.08%
33.85%19.23%11.54%3.85%3.85%—42.31%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total15.38%34.62%23.08%11.54%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.88 +0.35
SD 1.24 1.56 2.21
CV 0.56 0.83 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%—19.23%
13.85%3.85%7.69%11.54%——26.92%
2—3.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%26.92%
3—3.85%3.85%——7.69%15.38%
4——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total3.85%15.38%30.77%30.77%7.69%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 2.62 -0.85
SD 1.37 1.39 1.83
CV 0.77 0.53 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0————3.85%—3.85%
1—7.69%15.38%11.54%——34.62%
2—7.69%7.69%———15.38%
3—7.69%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
4—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
5+7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
Total7.69%34.62%34.62%19.23%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.69 1.77 +0.92
SD 1.95 0.99 2.48
CV 0.73 0.56 —
Max 8 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%19.23%
1—7.69%11.54%7.69%3.85%—30.77%
27.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%—30.77%
37.69%3.85%——3.85%—15.38%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total15.38%23.08%26.92%15.38%15.38%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 2.04 -0.50
SD 1.10 1.43 2.10
CV 0.72 0.70 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%3.85%———15.38%
1—3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%—15.38%
211.54%3.85%—11.54%7.69%—34.62%
33.85%11.54%3.85%7.69%——26.92%
4—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
5+———————
Total15.38%34.62%11.54%26.92%11.54%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 1.85 +0.12
SD 1.18 1.32 1.75
CV 0.60 0.71 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Rosenborg 1939 56 59.10 -3.10 33.0% 45 49 55 59 63 69 78
Molde 1819 50 48.54 +1.46 63.0% 29 36 44 48 53 61 64
Stabaek 1804 46 46.65 -0.65 50.0% 27 37 42 46 51 56 60
Lillestrom 1782 48 41.51 +6.49 85.0% 28 30 36 42 46 54 58
Viking 1780 36 44.21 -8.21 9.0% 21 33 40 45 48 55 58
Brann 1772 49 43.09 +5.91 85.0% 28 32 38 44 47 53 56
Tromso 1762 44 36.40 +7.60 89.0% 17 24 32 36 41 46 56
Bodo Glimt 1736 34 38.37 -4.37 31.0% 21 27 34 38 44 49 54
Valerenga 1687 28 36.28 -8.28 10.0% 22 27 31 36 41 46 51
Moss 1670 29 30.95 -1.95 44.0% 19 22 27 31 35 40 43
Stromsgodset 1637 24 30.85 -6.85 19.0% 12 18 26 31 36 41 46
Kongsvinger 1622 20 30.50 -10.50 8.0% 17 19 26 31 35 39 46
Odd Grenland 1561 39 18.05 +20.95 100.0% 8 9 15 17 20 28 34
Skeid 1532 23 21.01 +1.99 64.0% 8 10 17 21 25 29 34

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 17.5% * Clear Edge: 17.5% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.38%
Slight Edge
52.20%10.99%36.81%
Elo Value
Home Edge
199 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
053.88500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.43 goals
Neutral
-2+0.27+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.6
One-Team Race
134610
Champion Preseason Odds
77%
Rosenborg, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Comfortable
00.290.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.1 * Some Luck: 5.1 to 7.64 * Lucky: 7.64 to 10.19 * Wild Swing: 10.19 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.33 * Close: 1.33 to 1.99 * Off: 1.99 to 2.66 * Way Off: 2.66 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.32 * A Surprise: 1.32 to 2.11 * Several Surprises: 2.11 to 2.9 * Many Surprises: 2.9 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.04 points
Lucky
06.3716
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.86
Close
01.664
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
100.00%
Odd Grenland
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
8.00%
Kongsvinger
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 3
As Expected
01.33

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.75 * Wide Separation: 1.75 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61.5% * Slight Edge: 61.5% to 65% * Clear Edge: 65% to 69.5% * Wide Edge: 69.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82% * Clear Edge: 82% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53.5% * Some Drama: 53.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Top-Heavy
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 109.95
1.59
Strong Separation
0.91.351.551.752.5
Interquartile Edge
69%
Clear Edge
50%61.5%69.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
91%
Strong Edge
50%91%100%
Close Games
Expected
46%
Few
0%49%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Frequent
0%27%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.32 * Slight Separation: 0.32 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.38 * Lopsided: 0.38 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.28 * Some Carryover: 0.28 to 0.48 * Strong Carryover: 0.48 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23.5% * As Expected: 23.5% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 27.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 27.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Shaky Favorites: 22% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Highly Predictable
00.522
Matchup Imbalance
0.37
Notable Separation
00.320.380.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.87
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.65
Near-Lock
00.280.481
Upset Rate
Expected
31%
Very Upset-Prone
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
29%
Very Shaky
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.67
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.59
Overconfident
0.4608061.001.53919
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.100
Well Within Noise
00.1160.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Rosenborg77.00%9.00%11.00%1.00%2.00%—————————
Molde12.00%28.00%17.00%17.00%10.00%9.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%————
Brann1.00%8.00%18.00%13.00%16.00%14.00%8.00%7.00%6.00%7.00%2.00%———
Lillestrom2.00%8.00%16.00%8.00%14.00%13.00%12.00%11.00%4.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%—
Stabaek5.00%22.00%16.00%18.00%11.00%14.00%6.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%—1.00%——
Tromso—3.00%2.00%10.00%6.00%11.00%11.00%17.00%16.00%11.00%5.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%
Odd Grenland—————————2.00%5.00%9.00%24.00%60.00%
Viking3.00%17.00%9.00%22.00%10.00%12.00%10.00%8.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%—1.00%—
Bodo Glimt—3.00%5.00%8.00%14.00%10.00%15.00%10.00%14.00%9.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%—
Moss————4.00%3.00%8.00%4.00%14.00%23.00%15.00%19.00%9.00%1.00%
Valerenga—2.00%5.00%2.00%9.00%10.00%11.00%17.00%11.00%10.00%17.00%5.00%1.00%—
Stromsgodset——1.00%1.00%1.00%4.00%12.00%8.00%9.00%10.00%23.00%18.00%11.00%2.00%
Skeid————————1.00%4.00%7.00%19.00%36.00%33.00%
Kongsvinger————3.00%—5.00%11.00%17.00%14.00%15.00%20.00%12.00%3.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Brann 100% — —
Molde 100% — —
Rosenborg 100% — —
Stabaek 99.00% 1.00% —
Lillestrom 98.00% 1.00% 1.00%
Valerenga 94.00% 5.00% 1.00%
Viking 99.00% — 1.00%
Bodo Glimt 94.00% 4.00% 2.00%
Tromso 92.00% 4.00% 4.00%
Moss 71.00% 19.00% 10.00%
Stromsgodset 69.00% 18.00% 13.00%
Kongsvinger 65.00% 20.00% 15.00%
Skeid 12.00% 19.00% 69.00%
Odd Grenland 7.00% 9.00% 84.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1999-04-10 Tromso W 4-044.9 1817 1694 66.64% 11.20% 22.16%+0.89 +9.5 3
1999-04-10 @ Molde L 0-444.9 1694 1817 22.16% 11.20% 66.64%-0.89 -9.5 0
1999-04-10 Bodo Glimt D 1-175.6 1730 1748 49.26% 11.64% 39.10%+0.18 -0.3 1
1999-04-10 @ Valerenga D 1-175.6 1748 1730 39.10% 11.64% 49.26%-0.18 +0.3 1
1999-04-11 Lillestrom L 1-365.3 1776 1720 59.01% 11.48% 29.52%+0.55 -10.7 0
1999-04-11 @ Brann W 3-165.3 1720 1776 29.52% 11.48% 59.01%-0.55 +10.7 3
1999-04-11 Moss W 5-042.1 1908 1663 77.08% 10.41% 12.51%+1.50 +6.7 3
1999-04-11 @ Rosenborg L 0-542.1 1663 1908 12.51% 10.41% 77.08%-1.50 -6.7 0
1999-04-11 Skeid W 5-041.1 1821 1565 77.84% 10.32% 11.83%+1.56 +6.3 3
1999-04-11 @ Stabaek L 0-541.1 1565 1821 11.83% 10.32% 77.84%-1.56 -6.3 0
1999-04-11 Kongsvinger W 2-160.1 1699 1679 54.49% 11.57% 33.94%+0.37 +3.7 3
1999-04-11 @ Stromsgodset L 1-260.1 1679 1699 33.94% 11.57% 54.49%-0.37 -3.7 0
1999-04-11 Odd Grenland L 1-272.7 1795 1489 80.89% 9.91% 9.21%+1.81 -8.4 0
1999-04-11 @ Viking W 2-172.7 1489 1795 9.21% 9.91% 80.89%-1.81 +8.4 3
1999-04-17 Rosenborg W 3-274.3 1731 1914 27.21% 11.41% 61.38%-0.65 +6.1 6
1999-04-17 @ Lillestrom L 2-374.3 1914 1731 61.38% 11.41% 27.21%+0.65 -6.1 3
1999-04-18 Stromsgodset W 3-156.7 1748 1703 57.63% 11.51% 30.86%+0.50 +5.9 4
1999-04-18 @ Bodo Glimt L 1-356.7 1703 1748 30.86% 11.51% 57.63%-0.50 -5.9 3
1999-04-18 Molde L 2-364.9 1675 1827 30.97% 11.51% 57.51%-0.49 -3.2 0
1999-04-18 @ Kongsvinger W 3-264.9 1827 1675 57.51% 11.51% 30.97%+0.49 +3.2 6
1999-04-18 Viking L 0-252.6 1656 1786 33.67% 11.57% 54.77%-0.38 -7.4 0
1999-04-18 @ Moss W 2-052.6 1786 1656 54.77% 11.57% 33.67%+0.38 +7.4 3
1999-04-18 Stabaek W 3-276.8 1497 1827 13.96% 10.58% 75.46%-1.39 +7.4 6
1999-04-18 @ Odd Grenland L 2-376.8 1827 1497 75.46% 10.58% 13.96%+1.39 -7.5 3
1999-04-18 Brann W 5-052.7 1685 1766 40.32% 11.64% 48.03%-0.14 +23.8 3
1999-04-18 @ Tromso L 0-552.7 1766 1685 48.03% 11.64% 40.32%+0.14 -23.8 0
1999-04-19 Valerenga L 0-249.7 1558 1729 28.62% 11.45% 59.93%-0.59 -6.4 0
1999-04-19 @ Skeid W 2-049.7 1729 1558 59.93% 11.45% 28.62%+0.59 +6.4 4
1999-04-23 Kongsvinger W 5-469.3 1742 1672 60.71% 11.43% 27.86%+0.62 +2.8 3
1999-04-23 @ Brann L 4-569.3 1672 1742 27.86% 11.43% 60.71%-0.62 -2.8 0
1999-04-23 Bodo Glimt W 2-158.9 1830 1754 61.47% 11.40% 27.13%+0.66 +3.0 9
1999-04-23 @ Molde L 1-258.9 1754 1830 27.13% 11.40% 61.47%-0.66 -3.0 4
1999-04-23 Skeid W 2-156.1 1504 1552 45.10% 11.65% 43.24%+0.03 +4.6 9
1999-04-23 @ Odd Grenland L 1-256.1 1552 1504 43.24% 11.65% 45.10%-0.03 -4.6 0
1999-04-23 Tromso D 2-281.1 1908 1708 73.71% 10.74% 15.55%+1.28 -1.2 4
1999-04-23 @ Rosenborg D 2-281.1 1708 1908 15.55% 10.74% 73.71%-1.28 +1.2 4
1999-04-23 Moss W 3-152.6 1820 1649 71.24% 10.93% 17.83%+1.13 +3.5 6
1999-04-23 @ Stabaek L 1-352.6 1649 1820 17.83% 10.93% 71.24%-1.13 -3.5 0
1999-04-23 Valerenga L 0-353.4 1697 1736 46.37% 11.65% 41.98%+0.08 -14.3 3
1999-04-23 @ Stromsgodset W 3-053.4 1736 1697 41.98% 11.65% 46.37%-0.08 +14.3 7
1999-04-23 Lillestrom L 2-470.0 1794 1737 59.10% 11.47% 29.43%+0.56 -9.6 3
1999-04-23 @ Viking W 4-270.0 1737 1794 29.43% 11.47% 59.10%-0.56 +9.6 9
1999-05-02 Brann L 1-363.4 1751 1745 52.57% 11.60% 35.83%+0.30 -9.6 4
1999-05-02 @ Bodo Glimt W 3-163.4 1745 1751 35.83% 11.60% 52.57%-0.30 +9.6 6
1999-05-02 Rosenborg L 0-153.0 1669 1907 21.46% 11.16% 67.38%-0.93 -2.6 0
1999-05-02 @ Kongsvinger W 1-053.0 1907 1669 67.38% 11.16% 21.46%+0.93 +2.6 7
1999-05-02 Stabaek L 1-263.1 1747 1823 40.98% 11.65% 47.37%-0.11 -4.4 9
1999-05-02 @ Lillestrom W 2-163.1 1823 1747 47.37% 11.65% 40.98%+0.11 +4.4 9
1999-05-02 Odd Grenland W 1-048.3 1645 1509 67.97% 11.13% 20.90%+0.96 +2.5 3
1999-05-02 @ Moss L 0-148.3 1509 1645 20.90% 11.13% 67.97%-0.96 -2.5 9
1999-05-02 Stromsgodset W 4-052.4 1547 1683 32.98% 11.55% 55.47%-0.41 +22.1 3
1999-05-02 @ Skeid L 0-452.4 1683 1547 55.47% 11.55% 32.98%+0.41 -22.1 3
1999-05-02 Viking L 1-360.0 1710 1784 41.22% 11.65% 47.13%-0.10 -7.7 4
1999-05-02 @ Tromso W 3-160.0 1784 1710 47.13% 11.65% 41.22%+0.10 +7.7 6
1999-05-03 Molde W 2-057.5 1750 1833 40.03% 11.64% 48.33%-0.15 +10.2 10
1999-05-03 @ Valerenga L 0-257.5 1833 1750 48.33% 11.64% 40.03%+0.15 -10.2 9
1999-05-08 Bodo Glimt W 6-147.8 1910 1741 71.04% 10.94% 18.02%+1.12 +8.0 10
1999-05-08 @ Rosenborg L 1-647.8 1741 1910 18.02% 10.94% 71.04%-1.12 -8.0 4
1999-05-09 Valerenga W 2-161.9 1754 1760 50.93% 11.62% 37.45%+0.24 +4.1 9
1999-05-09 @ Brann L 1-261.9 1760 1754 37.45% 11.62% 50.93%-0.24 -4.1 10
1999-05-09 Stromsgodset W 3-045.1 1823 1661 70.45% 10.98% 18.57%+1.09 +6.1 12
1999-05-09 @ Molde L 0-345.1 1661 1823 18.57% 10.98% 70.45%-1.09 -6.1 3
1999-05-09 Lillestrom L 0-246.9 1507 1742 21.67% 11.17% 67.16%-0.92 -4.9 9
1999-05-09 @ Odd Grenland W 2-046.9 1742 1507 67.16% 11.17% 21.67%+0.92 +4.9 12
1999-05-09 Moss L 0-648.7 1569 1648 40.67% 11.65% 47.68%-0.12 -24.4 3
1999-05-09 @ Skeid W 6-048.7 1648 1569 47.68% 11.65% 40.67%+0.12 +24.4 6
1999-05-09 Tromso D 1-176.0 1828 1702 66.89% 11.18% 21.92%+0.90 -1.2 10
1999-05-09 @ Stabaek D 1-176.0 1702 1828 21.92% 11.18% 66.89%-0.90 +1.2 5
1999-05-09 Kongsvinger W 3-046.1 1792 1667 66.88% 11.19% 21.94%+0.90 +7.2 9
1999-05-09 @ Viking L 0-346.1 1667 1792 21.94% 11.19% 66.88%-0.90 -7.2 0
1999-05-12 Rosenborg L 0-547.7 1756 1918 29.76% 11.48% 58.76%-0.54 -15.5 10
1999-05-12 @ Valerenga W 5-047.7 1918 1756 58.76% 11.48% 29.76%+0.54 +15.5 13
1999-05-13 Viking D 3-385.3 1733 1799 42.44% 11.65% 45.90%-0.06 +0.0 5
1999-05-13 @ Bodo Glimt D 3-385.3 1799 1733 45.90% 11.65% 42.44%+0.06 -0.1 10
1999-05-13 Stabaek L 1-356.3 1659 1826 29.11% 11.46% 59.42%-0.57 -5.6 0
1999-05-13 @ Kongsvinger W 3-156.3 1826 1659 59.42% 11.46% 29.11%+0.57 +5.6 13
1999-05-13 Moss W 1-054.2 1747 1672 61.34% 11.41% 27.25%+0.65 +3.2 15
1999-05-13 @ Lillestrom L 0-154.2 1672 1747 27.25% 11.41% 61.34%-0.65 -3.2 6
1999-05-13 Skeid W 3-041.7 1829 1545 79.61% 10.09% 10.29%+1.70 +3.4 15
1999-05-13 @ Molde L 0-341.7 1545 1829 10.29% 10.09% 79.61%-1.70 -3.4 3
1999-05-13 Brann L 1-261.3 1655 1758 37.19% 11.62% 51.20%-0.25 -4.0 3
1999-05-13 @ Stromsgodset W 2-161.3 1758 1655 51.20% 11.62% 37.19%+0.25 +4.0 12
1999-05-13 Odd Grenland W 5-039.8 1703 1502 73.85% 10.73% 15.43%+1.29 +8.2 8
1999-05-13 @ Tromso L 0-539.8 1502 1703 15.43% 10.73% 73.85%-1.29 -8.3 9
1999-05-16 Molde L 0-159.3 1762 1832 41.86% 11.65% 46.49%-0.08 -4.8 12
1999-05-16 @ Brann W 1-059.3 1832 1762 46.49% 11.65% 41.86%+0.08 +4.8 18
1999-05-16 Tromso L 2-465.4 1669 1711 45.79% 11.65% 42.55%+0.06 -7.6 6
1999-05-16 @ Moss W 4-265.4 1711 1669 42.55% 11.65% 45.79%-0.06 +7.6 11
1999-05-16 Kongsvinger W 3-160.6 1493 1654 29.90% 11.49% 58.61%-0.54 +10.6 12
1999-05-16 @ Odd Grenland L 1-360.6 1654 1493 58.61% 11.49% 29.90%+0.54 -10.6 0
1999-05-16 Stromsgodset W 3-150.5 1933 1651 79.52% 10.11% 10.37%+1.69 +2.1 16
1999-05-16 @ Rosenborg L 1-350.5 1651 1933 10.37% 10.11% 79.52%-1.69 -2.1 3
1999-05-16 Lillestrom D 4-486.6 1541 1751 24.38% 11.30% 64.32%-0.78 +0.6 4
1999-05-16 @ Skeid D 4-486.6 1751 1541 64.32% 11.30% 24.38%+0.78 -0.6 16
1999-05-16 Bodo Glimt W 3-263.1 1832 1733 64.02% 11.31% 24.67%+0.77 +2.6 16
1999-05-16 @ Stabaek L 2-363.1 1733 1832 24.67% 11.31% 64.02%-0.77 -2.6 5
1999-05-16 Valerenga W 2-051.6 1799 1741 59.32% 11.47% 29.21%+0.57 +6.5 13
1999-05-16 @ Viking L 0-251.6 1741 1799 29.21% 11.47% 59.32%-0.57 -6.5 10
1999-05-24 Odd Grenland W 4-039.7 1731 1504 75.78% 10.55% 13.67%+1.41 +6.0 8
1999-05-24 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-439.7 1504 1731 13.67% 10.55% 75.78%-1.41 -6.0 12
1999-05-24 Skeid L 0-167.2 1758 1542 74.95% 10.63% 14.42%+1.36 -8.3 12
1999-05-24 @ Brann W 1-067.2 1542 1758 14.42% 10.63% 74.95%-1.36 +8.3 7
1999-05-24 Moss W 1-056.8 1643 1661 49.24% 11.64% 39.13%+0.18 +4.5 3
1999-05-24 @ Kongsvinger L 0-156.8 1661 1643 39.13% 11.64% 49.24%-0.18 -4.5 6
1999-05-24 Rosenborg L 0-254.6 1837 1935 37.96% 11.63% 50.42%-0.22 -8.2 18
1999-05-24 @ Molde W 2-054.6 1935 1837 50.42% 11.63% 37.96%+0.22 +8.2 19
1999-05-24 Viking W 1-063.7 1648 1806 30.30% 11.50% 58.20%-0.52 +6.5 6
1999-05-24 @ Stromsgodset L 0-163.7 1806 1648 58.20% 11.50% 30.30%+0.52 -6.5 13
1999-05-24 Lillestrom W 4-157.0 1719 1750 47.45% 11.65% 40.91%+0.12 +10.8 14
1999-05-24 @ Tromso L 1-457.0 1750 1719 40.91% 11.65% 47.45%-0.12 -10.8 16
1999-05-24 Stabaek L 1-359.1 1734 1835 37.65% 11.62% 50.73%-0.23 -7.1 10
1999-05-24 @ Valerenga W 3-159.1 1835 1734 50.73% 11.62% 37.65%+0.23 +7.1 19
1999-06-09 Bodo Glimt W 4-158.6 1657 1737 40.49% 11.64% 47.86%-0.13 +12.4 9
1999-06-09 @ Moss L 1-458.6 1737 1657 47.86% 11.64% 40.49%+0.13 -12.4 8
1999-06-09 Valerenga L 0-343.7 1498 1727 22.34% 11.21% 66.46%-0.88 -7.3 12
1999-06-09 @ Odd Grenland W 3-043.7 1727 1498 66.46% 11.21% 22.34%+0.88 +7.3 13
1999-06-09 Tromso W 2-167.1 1550 1730 27.64% 11.42% 60.94%-0.63 +6.4 10
1999-06-09 @ Skeid L 1-267.1 1730 1550 60.94% 11.42% 27.64%+0.63 -6.4 14
1999-06-12 Stabaek D 0-072.9 1829 1842 50.01% 11.63% 38.36%+0.21 -0.3 19
1999-06-12 @ Molde D 0-072.9 1842 1829 38.36% 11.63% 50.01%-0.21 +0.3 20
1999-06-13 Lillestrom L 1-265.4 1724 1739 49.68% 11.63% 38.68%+0.20 -5.2 8
1999-06-13 @ Bodo Glimt W 2-165.4 1739 1724 38.68% 11.63% 49.68%-0.20 +5.2 19
1999-06-13 Viking W 1-059.7 1749 1799 44.76% 11.65% 43.59%+0.02 +5.0 15
1999-06-13 @ Brann L 0-159.7 1799 1749 43.59% 11.65% 44.76%-0.02 -5.0 13
1999-06-13 Tromso W 3-161.1 1648 1723 41.04% 11.65% 47.31%-0.11 +8.7 6
1999-06-13 @ Kongsvinger L 1-361.1 1723 1648 47.31% 11.65% 41.04%+0.11 -8.7 14
1999-06-13 Skeid W 3-040.9 1943 1557 84.75% 9.16% 6.09%+2.22 +2.0 22
1999-06-13 @ Rosenborg L 0-340.9 1557 1943 6.09% 9.16% 84.75%-2.22 -2.0 10
1999-06-13 Odd Grenland L 3-571.5 1655 1491 70.65% 10.97% 18.39%+1.10 -10.8 6
1999-06-13 @ Stromsgodset W 5-371.5 1491 1655 18.39% 10.97% 70.65%-1.10 +10.8 15
1999-06-13 Moss L 1-268.1 1734 1669 60.15% 11.44% 28.41%+0.60 -6.3 13
1999-06-13 @ Valerenga W 2-168.1 1669 1734 28.41% 11.44% 60.15%-0.60 +6.3 12
1999-06-16 Valerenga W 4-155.0 1744 1728 53.93% 11.58% 34.48%+0.35 +9.3 22
1999-06-16 @ Lillestrom L 1-455.0 1728 1744 34.48% 11.58% 53.93%-0.35 -9.3 13
1999-06-16 Stromsgodset L 2-564.2 1676 1644 55.92% 11.55% 32.54%+0.43 -12.4 12
1999-06-16 @ Moss W 5-264.2 1644 1676 32.54% 11.55% 55.92%-0.43 +12.4 9
1999-06-16 Molde D 0-071.8 1501 1829 14.16% 10.60% 75.24%-1.38 +1.9 16
1999-06-16 @ Odd Grenland D 0-071.8 1829 1501 75.24% 10.60% 14.16%+1.38 -1.9 20
1999-06-16 Kongsvinger L 0-154.8 1555 1656 37.46% 11.62% 50.91%-0.24 -4.3 10
1999-06-16 @ Skeid W 1-054.8 1656 1555 50.91% 11.62% 37.46%+0.24 +4.3 9
1999-06-16 Bodo Glimt W 5-153.9 1715 1719 51.18% 11.62% 37.20%+0.25 +12.8 17
1999-06-16 @ Tromso L 1-553.9 1719 1715 37.20% 11.62% 51.18%-0.25 -12.8 8
1999-06-16 Rosenborg L 0-252.4 1794 1945 31.01% 11.51% 57.48%-0.49 -6.9 13
1999-06-16 @ Viking W 2-052.4 1945 1794 57.48% 11.51% 31.01%+0.49 +6.9 25
1999-06-17 Brann L 2-374.6 1842 1754 62.79% 11.36% 25.85%+0.71 -6.2 20
1999-06-17 @ Stabaek W 3-274.6 1754 1842 25.85% 11.36% 62.79%-0.71 +6.2 18
1999-06-19 Lillestrom D 1-175.3 1657 1754 38.10% 11.63% 50.28%-0.22 +0.3 10
1999-06-19 @ Stromsgodset D 1-175.3 1754 1657 50.28% 11.63% 38.10%+0.22 -0.3 23
1999-06-20 Kongsvinger W 2-051.2 1706 1661 57.72% 11.51% 30.77%+0.50 +6.8 11
1999-06-20 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-251.2 1661 1706 30.77% 11.51% 57.72%-0.50 -6.8 9
1999-06-20 Odd Grenland W 3-040.9 1760 1503 77.91% 10.32% 11.77%+1.57 +3.9 21
1999-06-20 @ Brann L 0-340.9 1503 1760 11.77% 10.32% 77.91%-1.57 -3.9 16
1999-06-20 Moss W 3-152.9 1827 1663 70.58% 10.97% 18.44%+1.10 +3.6 23
1999-06-20 @ Molde L 1-352.9 1663 1827 18.44% 10.97% 70.58%-1.10 -3.6 12
1999-06-20 Stabaek W 2-157.7 1952 1836 65.96% 11.23% 22.81%+0.86 +2.6 28
1999-06-20 @ Rosenborg L 1-257.7 1836 1952 22.81% 11.23% 65.96%-0.86 -2.6 20
1999-06-20 Skeid L 0-168.1 1787 1550 76.53% 10.47% 13.00%+1.46 -8.4 13
1999-06-20 @ Viking W 1-068.1 1550 1787 13.00% 10.47% 76.53%-1.46 +8.4 13
1999-06-26 Rosenborg D 0-073.0 1499 1955 7.45% 9.53% 83.02%-2.02 +2.4 17
1999-06-26 @ Odd Grenland D 0-073.0 1955 1499 83.02% 9.53% 7.45%+2.02 -2.4 29
1999-06-27 Molde L 0-159.0 1753 1830 40.88% 11.65% 47.47%-0.12 -4.7 23
1999-06-27 @ Lillestrom W 1-059.0 1830 1753 47.47% 11.65% 40.88%+0.12 +4.7 26
1999-06-27 Brann L 0-253.6 1659 1764 37.02% 11.62% 51.36%-0.26 -8.1 12
1999-06-27 @ Moss W 2-053.6 1764 1659 51.36% 11.62% 37.02%+0.26 +8.1 24
1999-06-27 Bodo Glimt L 1-354.9 1559 1713 30.66% 11.51% 57.84%-0.50 -5.9 13
1999-06-27 @ Skeid W 3-154.9 1713 1559 57.84% 11.51% 30.66%+0.50 +5.9 14
1999-06-27 Viking W 3-156.7 1833 1779 58.82% 11.48% 29.70%+0.54 +5.7 23
1999-06-27 @ Stabaek L 1-356.7 1779 1833 29.70% 11.48% 58.82%-0.54 -5.7 13
1999-06-27 Stromsgodset W 3-263.3 1728 1657 60.80% 11.43% 27.77%+0.63 +2.9 20
1999-06-27 @ Tromso L 2-363.3 1657 1728 27.77% 11.43% 60.80%-0.63 -2.9 10
1999-07-03 Molde L 1-261.9 1731 1835 37.08% 11.62% 51.30%-0.25 -4.0 20
1999-07-03 @ Tromso W 2-161.9 1835 1731 51.30% 11.62% 37.08%+0.25 +4.0 29
1999-07-04 Valerenga D 1-175.5 1719 1719 51.73% 11.61% 36.66%+0.27 -0.4 15
1999-07-04 @ Bodo Glimt D 1-175.5 1719 1719 36.66% 11.61% 51.73%-0.27 +0.4 14
1999-07-04 Stromsgodset L 2-466.4 1654 1654 51.72% 11.61% 36.67%+0.27 -8.4 9
1999-07-04 @ Kongsvinger W 4-266.4 1654 1654 36.67% 11.61% 51.72%-0.27 +8.4 13
1999-07-04 Rosenborg L 1-449.6 1651 1953 16.04% 10.78% 73.18%-1.25 -4.5 12
1999-07-04 @ Moss W 4-149.6 1953 1651 73.18% 10.78% 16.04%+1.25 +4.5 32
1999-07-04 Viking L 1-351.2 1502 1773 18.44% 10.97% 70.59%-1.10 -3.6 17
1999-07-04 @ Odd Grenland W 3-151.2 1773 1502 70.59% 10.97% 18.44%+1.10 +3.6 16
1999-07-04 Stabaek L 1-352.0 1553 1839 17.23% 10.88% 71.89%-1.17 -3.4 13
1999-07-04 @ Skeid W 3-152.0 1839 1553 71.89% 10.88% 17.23%+1.17 +3.4 26
1999-07-07 Kongsvinger W 6-252.5 1749 1645 64.53% 11.29% 24.18%+0.79 +7.3 26
1999-07-07 @ Lillestrom L 2-652.5 1645 1749 24.18% 11.29% 64.53%-0.79 -7.3 9
1999-07-07 Brann L 2-377.5 1957 1772 72.44% 10.84% 16.72%+1.20 -7.1 32
1999-07-07 @ Rosenborg W 3-277.5 1772 1957 16.72% 10.84% 72.44%-1.20 +7.2 27
1999-07-07 Stromsgodset W 2-155.5 1842 1662 72.03% 10.87% 17.10%+1.18 +2.0 29
1999-07-07 @ Stabaek L 1-255.5 1662 1842 17.10% 10.87% 72.03%-1.18 -2.0 13
1999-07-07 Molde W 4-158.7 1777 1839 42.97% 11.65% 45.37%-0.04 +11.8 19
1999-07-07 @ Viking L 1-458.7 1839 1777 45.37% 11.65% 42.97%+0.04 -11.8 29
1999-07-07 Tromso L 1-362.6 1719 1726 50.77% 11.62% 37.61%+0.24 -9.3 14
1999-07-07 @ Valerenga W 3-162.6 1726 1719 37.61% 11.62% 50.77%-0.24 +9.3 23
1999-07-11 Kongsvinger W 3-260.2 1827 1638 72.82% 10.81% 16.37%+1.22 +1.8 32
1999-07-11 @ Molde L 2-360.2 1638 1827 16.37% 10.81% 72.82%-1.22 -1.8 9
1999-07-11 Lillestrom W 4-043.3 1950 1756 73.22% 10.78% 16.00%+1.25 +6.9 35
1999-07-11 @ Rosenborg L 0-443.3 1756 1950 16.00% 10.78% 73.22%-1.25 -6.9 26
1999-07-11 Odd Grenland L 2-571.9 1844 1498 82.94% 9.55% 7.51%+2.01 -18.2 29
1999-07-11 @ Stabaek W 5-271.9 1498 1844 7.51% 9.55% 82.94%-2.01 +18.2 20
1999-07-11 Bodo Glimt L 0-158.9 1660 1718 43.60% 11.65% 44.75%-0.02 -5.0 13
1999-07-11 @ Stromsgodset W 1-058.9 1718 1660 44.75% 11.65% 43.60%+0.02 +4.9 18
1999-07-11 Skeid D 2-278.7 1710 1549 70.31% 10.99% 18.70%+1.08 -1.1 15
1999-07-11 @ Valerenga D 2-278.7 1549 1710 18.70% 10.99% 70.31%-1.08 +1.1 14
1999-07-11 Moss D 1-175.6 1789 1647 68.52% 11.10% 20.38%+0.99 -1.3 20
1999-07-11 @ Viking D 1-175.6 1647 1789 20.38% 11.10% 68.52%-0.99 +1.3 13
1999-07-22 Brann W 2-055.1 1749 1780 47.50% 11.65% 40.86%+0.12 +8.8 29
1999-07-22 @ Lillestrom L 0-255.1 1780 1749 40.86% 11.65% 47.50%-0.12 -8.8 27
1999-07-25 Molde W 3-163.2 1723 1829 36.92% 11.61% 51.46%-0.26 +9.4 21
1999-07-25 @ Bodo Glimt L 1-363.2 1829 1723 51.46% 11.61% 36.92%+0.26 -9.4 32
1999-07-25 Brann L 0-252.3 1636 1771 33.12% 11.56% 55.32%-0.41 -7.3 9
1999-07-25 @ Kongsvinger W 2-052.3 1771 1636 55.32% 11.56% 33.12%+0.41 +7.3 30
1999-07-25 Viking W 4-157.2 1758 1787 47.65% 11.65% 40.70%+0.12 +10.8 32
1999-07-25 @ Lillestrom L 1-457.2 1787 1758 40.70% 11.65% 47.65%-0.12 -10.8 20
1999-07-25 Stabaek W 2-060.9 1648 1826 27.84% 11.43% 60.73%-0.62 +12.7 16
1999-07-25 @ Moss L 0-260.9 1826 1648 60.73% 11.43% 27.84%+0.62 -12.7 29
1999-07-25 Odd Grenland W 3-150.2 1551 1516 56.28% 11.54% 32.18%+0.44 +6.2 17
1999-07-25 @ Skeid L 1-350.2 1516 1551 32.18% 11.54% 56.28%-0.44 -6.2 20
1999-07-25 Rosenborg W 2-170.5 1736 1957 23.14% 11.24% 65.62%-0.84 +6.8 26
1999-07-25 @ Tromso L 1-270.5 1957 1736 65.62% 11.24% 23.14%+0.84 -6.8 35
1999-07-25 Stromsgodset L 2-372.4 1709 1656 58.71% 11.48% 29.80%+0.54 -5.8 15
1999-07-25 @ Valerenga W 3-272.4 1656 1709 29.80% 11.48% 58.71%-0.54 +5.8 16
1999-07-30 Kongsvinger W 4-147.0 1950 1629 81.68% 9.78% 8.54%+1.89 +2.4 38
1999-07-30 @ Rosenborg L 1-447.0 1629 1950 8.54% 9.78% 81.68%-1.89 -2.4 9
1999-08-01 Bodo Glimt L 0-260.1 1778 1733 57.71% 11.51% 30.78%+0.50 -12.1 30
1999-08-01 @ Brann W 2-060.1 1733 1778 30.78% 11.51% 57.71%-0.50 +12.1 24
1999-08-01 Valerenga W 4-366.2 1820 1703 65.95% 11.23% 22.82%+0.86 +2.4 35
1999-08-01 @ Molde L 3-466.2 1703 1820 22.82% 11.23% 65.95%-0.86 -2.4 15
1999-08-01 Moss W 1-059.8 1510 1661 31.09% 11.52% 57.40%-0.49 +6.4 23
1999-08-01 @ Odd Grenland L 0-159.8 1661 1510 57.40% 11.52% 31.09%+0.49 -6.4 16
1999-08-01 Lillestrom L 1-659.8 1813 1769 57.63% 11.51% 30.86%+0.50 -23.3 29
1999-08-01 @ Stabaek W 6-159.8 1769 1813 30.86% 11.51% 57.63%-0.50 +23.3 35
1999-08-01 Skeid W 3-151.9 1661 1557 64.69% 11.29% 24.03%+0.80 +4.7 19
1999-08-01 @ Stromsgodset L 1-351.9 1557 1661 24.03% 11.29% 64.69%-0.80 -4.7 17
1999-08-01 Tromso W 2-160.3 1777 1743 56.26% 11.54% 32.20%+0.44 +3.6 23
1999-08-01 @ Viking L 1-260.3 1743 1777 32.20% 11.54% 56.26%-0.44 -3.6 26
1999-08-04 Valerenga W 4-051.4 1627 1701 41.28% 11.65% 47.07%-0.10 +19.0 12
1999-08-04 @ Kongsvinger L 0-451.4 1701 1627 47.07% 11.65% 41.28%+0.10 -19.0 15
1999-08-08 Rosenborg L 2-459.9 1745 1952 24.54% 11.31% 64.15%-0.77 -4.3 24
1999-08-08 @ Bodo Glimt W 4-259.9 1952 1745 64.15% 11.31% 24.54%+0.77 +4.3 41
1999-08-08 Viking L 1-357.2 1646 1780 33.12% 11.56% 55.33%-0.41 -6.3 12
1999-08-08 @ Kongsvinger W 3-157.2 1780 1646 55.33% 11.56% 33.12%+0.41 +6.3 26
1999-08-08 Odd Grenland L 1-272.5 1792 1517 79.08% 10.17% 10.76%+1.66 -8.2 35
1999-08-08 @ Lillestrom W 2-172.5 1517 1792 10.76% 10.17% 79.08%-1.66 +8.2 26
1999-08-08 Skeid W 5-042.6 1655 1552 64.45% 11.29% 24.25%+0.79 +12.8 19
1999-08-08 @ Moss L 0-542.6 1552 1655 24.25% 11.29% 64.45%-0.79 -12.8 17
1999-08-08 Molde L 0-251.8 1666 1822 30.44% 11.50% 58.06%-0.51 -6.7 19
1999-08-08 @ Stromsgodset W 2-051.8 1822 1666 58.06% 11.50% 30.44%+0.51 +6.8 38
1999-08-08 Stabaek D 3-385.3 1739 1790 44.59% 11.65% 43.75%+0.01 -0.0 27
1999-08-08 @ Tromso D 3-385.3 1790 1739 43.75% 11.65% 44.59%-0.01 +0.0 30
1999-08-08 Brann L 1-262.4 1682 1766 39.87% 11.64% 48.49%-0.15 -4.3 15
1999-08-08 @ Valerenga W 2-162.4 1766 1682 48.49% 11.64% 39.87%+0.15 +4.3 33
1999-08-15 Stromsgodset D 2-280.4 1770 1659 65.37% 11.26% 23.37%+0.83 -0.8 34
1999-08-15 @ Brann D 2-280.4 1659 1770 23.37% 11.26% 65.37%-0.83 +0.9 20
1999-08-15 Lillestrom L 1-358.1 1667 1784 35.48% 11.60% 52.92%-0.31 -6.7 19
1999-08-15 @ Moss W 3-158.1 1784 1667 52.92% 11.60% 35.48%+0.31 +6.7 38
1999-08-15 Tromso W 2-168.0 1525 1739 23.85% 11.28% 64.88%-0.81 +6.8 29
1999-08-15 @ Odd Grenland L 1-268.0 1739 1525 64.88% 11.28% 23.85%+0.81 -6.8 27
1999-08-15 Valerenga W 4-255.3 1957 1677 79.31% 10.14% 10.55%+1.68 +1.9 44
1999-08-15 @ Rosenborg L 2-455.3 1677 1957 10.55% 10.14% 79.31%-1.68 -1.9 15
1999-08-15 Molde L 3-559.2 1539 1829 16.95% 10.86% 72.19%-1.19 -2.8 17
1999-08-15 @ Skeid W 5-359.2 1829 1539 72.19% 10.86% 16.95%+1.19 +2.8 41
1999-08-15 Kongsvinger D 1-175.6 1790 1639 69.39% 11.05% 19.57%+1.03 -1.4 31
1999-08-15 @ Stabaek D 1-175.6 1639 1790 19.57% 11.05% 69.39%-1.03 +1.4 13
1999-08-15 Bodo Glimt D 3-385.3 1786 1741 57.78% 11.51% 30.72%+0.50 -0.5 27
1999-08-15 @ Viking D 3-385.3 1741 1786 30.72% 11.51% 57.78%-0.50 +0.5 25
1999-08-22 Stabaek W 4-051.5 1741 1789 45.07% 11.65% 43.28%+0.03 +17.6 28
1999-08-22 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-451.5 1789 1741 43.28% 11.65% 45.07%-0.03 -17.6 31
1999-08-22 Odd Grenland W 1-049.6 1641 1532 65.16% 11.27% 23.58%+0.82 +2.8 16
1999-08-22 @ Kongsvinger L 0-149.6 1532 1641 23.58% 11.27% 65.16%-0.82 -2.8 29
1999-08-22 Skeid W 2-152.7 1790 1536 77.71% 10.34% 11.95%+1.55 +1.4 41
1999-08-22 @ Lillestrom L 1-252.7 1536 1790 11.95% 10.34% 77.71%-1.55 -1.4 17
1999-08-22 Brann L 1-365.7 1832 1769 59.77% 11.46% 28.77%+0.58 -10.8 41
1999-08-22 @ Molde W 3-165.7 1769 1832 28.77% 11.46% 59.77%-0.58 +10.8 37
1999-08-22 Rosenborg L 1-352.5 1660 1959 16.25% 10.80% 72.95%-1.23 -3.2 20
1999-08-22 @ Stromsgodset W 3-152.5 1959 1660 72.95% 10.80% 16.25%+1.23 +3.2 47
1999-08-22 Moss D 1-175.3 1732 1661 60.92% 11.42% 27.65%+0.63 -0.9 28
1999-08-22 @ Tromso D 1-175.3 1661 1732 27.65% 11.42% 60.92%-0.63 +0.9 20
1999-08-22 Viking W 4-267.7 1676 1786 36.29% 11.61% 52.11%-0.28 +8.5 18
1999-08-22 @ Valerenga L 2-467.7 1786 1676 52.11% 11.61% 36.29%+0.28 -8.5 27
1999-08-25 Tromso W 3-156.7 1780 1731 58.16% 11.50% 30.35%+0.52 +5.8 40
1999-08-25 @ Brann L 1-356.7 1731 1780 30.35% 11.50% 58.16%-0.52 -5.8 28
1999-08-29 Tromso L 1-268.7 1792 1726 60.28% 11.44% 28.28%+0.61 -6.3 41
1999-08-29 @ Lillestrom W 2-168.7 1726 1792 28.28% 11.44% 60.28%-0.61 +6.3 31
1999-08-29 Kongsvinger W 3-048.7 1661 1643 54.17% 11.58% 34.25%+0.36 +10.9 23
1999-08-29 @ Moss L 0-348.7 1643 1661 34.25% 11.58% 54.17%-0.36 -10.9 16
1999-08-29 Bodo Glimt W 4-270.5 1529 1759 22.26% 11.20% 66.53%-0.89 +10.7 32
1999-08-29 @ Odd Grenland L 2-470.5 1759 1529 66.53% 11.20% 22.26%+0.89 -10.7 28
1999-08-29 Molde W 2-157.0 1962 1821 68.45% 11.10% 20.45%+0.98 +2.3 50
1999-08-29 @ Rosenborg L 1-257.0 1821 1962 20.45% 11.10% 68.45%-0.98 -2.3 41
1999-08-29 Brann L 1-255.3 1535 1786 20.24% 11.09% 68.68%-0.99 -2.3 17
1999-08-29 @ Skeid W 2-155.3 1786 1535 68.68% 11.09% 20.24%+0.99 +2.3 43
1999-08-29 Valerenga W 3-047.3 1771 1684 62.70% 11.36% 25.94%+0.71 +8.4 34
1999-08-29 @ Stabaek L 0-347.3 1684 1771 25.94% 11.36% 62.70%-0.71 -8.4 18
1999-08-29 Stromsgodset W 3-262.0 1778 1657 66.38% 11.21% 22.41%+0.88 +2.4 30
1999-08-29 @ Viking L 2-362.0 1657 1778 22.41% 11.21% 66.38%-0.88 -2.4 20
1999-09-11 Rosenborg W 2-169.1 1788 1964 28.09% 11.43% 60.48%-0.61 +6.3 46
1999-09-11 @ Brann L 1-269.1 1964 1788 60.48% 11.43% 28.09%+0.61 -6.3 50
1999-09-11 Stabaek W 4-375.4 1655 1779 34.36% 11.58% 54.06%-0.36 +5.2 23
1999-09-11 @ Stromsgodset L 3-475.4 1779 1655 54.06% 11.58% 34.36%+0.36 -5.2 34
1999-09-12 Moss W 4-046.1 1748 1672 61.37% 11.41% 27.22%+0.65 +11.5 31
1999-09-12 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-446.1 1672 1748 27.22% 11.41% 61.37%-0.65 -11.6 23
1999-09-12 Lillestrom D 1-175.4 1633 1786 30.80% 11.51% 57.69%-0.50 +0.7 17
1999-09-12 @ Kongsvinger D 1-175.4 1786 1633 57.69% 11.51% 30.80%+0.50 -0.7 42
1999-09-12 Viking L 3-476.7 1818 1780 56.84% 11.53% 31.63%+0.47 -5.5 41
1999-09-12 @ Molde W 4-376.7 1780 1818 31.63% 11.53% 56.84%-0.47 +5.5 33
1999-09-12 Skeid W 8-245.9 1732 1533 73.65% 10.74% 15.61%+1.27 +6.8 34
1999-09-12 @ Tromso L 2-845.9 1533 1732 15.61% 10.74% 73.65%-1.27 -6.8 17
1999-09-12 Odd Grenland W 2-153.9 1676 1539 67.97% 11.13% 20.90%+0.96 +2.4 21
1999-09-12 @ Valerenga L 1-253.9 1539 1676 20.90% 11.13% 67.97%-0.96 -2.4 32
1999-09-18 Molde W 4-265.1 1774 1813 46.35% 11.65% 42.00%+0.08 +7.0 37
1999-09-18 @ Stabaek L 2-465.1 1813 1774 42.00% 11.65% 46.35%-0.08 -7.0 41
1999-09-18 Brann W 2-054.4 1785 1795 50.47% 11.63% 37.91%+0.22 +8.2 36
1999-09-18 @ Viking L 0-254.4 1795 1785 37.91% 11.63% 50.47%-0.22 -8.2 46
1999-09-19 Bodo Glimt W 3-049.9 1785 1759 55.15% 11.56% 33.29%+0.40 +10.6 45
1999-09-19 @ Lillestrom L 0-349.9 1759 1785 33.29% 11.56% 55.15%-0.40 -10.6 31
1999-09-19 Valerenga W 1-057.2 1661 1678 49.38% 11.63% 38.98%+0.18 +4.5 26
1999-09-19 @ Moss L 0-157.2 1678 1661 38.98% 11.63% 49.38%-0.18 -4.5 21
1999-09-19 Stromsgodset D 2-277.3 1537 1660 34.66% 11.58% 53.76%-0.35 +0.4 33
1999-09-19 @ Odd Grenland D 2-277.3 1660 1537 53.76% 11.58% 34.66%+0.35 -0.4 24
1999-09-19 Rosenborg L 1-744.1 1526 1958 8.41% 9.75% 81.84%-1.90 -4.4 17
1999-09-19 @ Skeid W 7-144.1 1958 1526 81.84% 9.75% 8.41%+1.90 +4.4 53
1999-09-19 Kongsvinger W 4-151.2 1739 1633 64.76% 11.28% 23.96%+0.80 +6.6 37
1999-09-19 @ Tromso L 1-451.2 1633 1739 23.96% 11.28% 64.76%-0.80 -6.6 17
1999-10-03 Tromso L 1-363.3 1749 1745 52.23% 11.61% 36.16%+0.29 -9.5 31
1999-10-03 @ Bodo Glimt W 3-163.3 1745 1749 36.16% 11.61% 52.23%-0.29 +9.5 40
1999-10-03 Skeid L 1-265.4 1627 1522 64.73% 11.28% 23.99%+0.80 -6.8 17
1999-10-03 @ Kongsvinger W 2-165.4 1522 1627 23.99% 11.28% 64.73%-0.80 +6.7 20
1999-10-03 Viking W 3-261.2 1962 1794 71.03% 10.94% 18.02%+1.12 +2.0 56
1999-10-03 @ Rosenborg L 2-361.2 1794 1962 18.02% 10.94% 71.03%-1.12 -2.0 36
1999-10-03 Moss L 2-562.8 1659 1665 50.94% 11.62% 37.44%+0.24 -11.4 24
1999-10-03 @ Stromsgodset W 5-262.8 1665 1659 37.44% 11.62% 50.94%-0.24 +11.4 29
1999-10-03 Lillestrom W 3-163.6 1674 1795 34.76% 11.59% 53.66%-0.34 +9.8 24
1999-10-03 @ Valerenga L 1-363.6 1795 1674 53.66% 11.59% 34.76%+0.34 -9.8 45
1999-10-13 Stabaek L 2-371.6 1786 1781 52.47% 11.60% 35.93%+0.30 -5.2 46
1999-10-13 @ Brann W 3-271.6 1781 1786 35.93% 11.60% 52.47%-0.30 +5.2 40
1999-10-13 Odd Grenland W 1-048.4 1806 1537 78.64% 10.22% 11.13%+1.62 +1.3 44
1999-10-13 @ Molde L 0-148.4 1537 1806 11.13% 10.22% 78.64%-1.62 -1.4 33
1999-10-16 Rosenborg W 2-061.3 1786 1964 27.86% 11.43% 60.72%-0.62 +12.7 43
1999-10-16 @ Stabaek L 0-261.3 1964 1786 60.72% 11.43% 27.86%+0.62 -12.7 56
1999-10-17 Bodo Glimt W 2-165.8 1620 1739 35.10% 11.59% 53.31%-0.33 +5.6 20
1999-10-17 @ Kongsvinger L 1-265.8 1739 1620 53.31% 11.59% 35.10%+0.33 -5.6 31
1999-10-17 Stromsgodset W 4-258.1 1786 1648 68.12% 11.12% 20.76%+0.96 +3.6 48
1999-10-17 @ Lillestrom L 2-458.1 1648 1786 20.76% 11.12% 68.12%-0.96 -3.6 24
1999-10-17 Molde L 0-156.5 1677 1807 33.63% 11.57% 54.80%-0.39 -3.9 29
1999-10-17 @ Moss W 1-056.5 1807 1677 54.80% 11.57% 33.63%+0.39 +3.9 47
1999-10-17 Brann W 3-166.7 1536 1781 20.79% 11.12% 68.09%-0.96 +12.3 36
1999-10-17 @ Odd Grenland L 1-366.7 1781 1536 68.09% 11.12% 20.79%+0.96 -12.3 46
1999-10-17 Viking W 3-275.2 1528 1792 19.13% 11.02% 69.85%-1.06 +6.9 23
1999-10-17 @ Skeid L 2-375.2 1792 1528 69.85% 11.02% 19.13%+1.06 -6.9 36
1999-10-17 Valerenga D 2-280.4 1755 1683 60.90% 11.42% 27.68%+0.63 -0.7 41
1999-10-17 @ Tromso D 2-280.4 1683 1755 27.68% 11.42% 60.90%-0.63 +0.7 25
1999-10-23 Skeid W 4-254.8 1734 1535 73.59% 10.75% 15.66%+1.27 +2.8 34
1999-10-23 @ Bodo Glimt L 2-454.8 1535 1734 15.66% 10.75% 73.59%-1.27 -2.8 23
1999-10-23 Moss W 1-053.6 1769 1673 63.75% 11.32% 24.93%+0.76 +3.0 49
1999-10-23 @ Brann L 0-153.6 1673 1769 24.93% 11.32% 63.75%-0.76 -3.0 29
1999-10-23 Lillestrom W 2-053.1 1811 1789 54.68% 11.57% 33.75%+0.38 +7.4 50
1999-10-23 @ Molde L 0-253.1 1789 1811 33.75% 11.57% 54.68%-0.38 -7.4 48
1999-10-23 Tromso L 3-661.0 1644 1754 36.38% 11.61% 52.01%-0.28 -7.8 24
1999-10-23 @ Stromsgodset W 6-361.0 1754 1644 52.01% 11.61% 36.38%+0.28 +7.8 44
1999-10-23 Kongsvinger W 2-158.0 1684 1625 59.33% 11.47% 29.20%+0.57 +3.2 28
1999-10-23 @ Valerenga L 1-258.0 1625 1684 29.20% 11.47% 59.33%-0.57 -3.2 20
1999-10-24 Odd Grenland L 3-579.9 1951 1548 85.40% 9.01% 5.59%+2.30 -12.9 56
1999-10-24 @ Rosenborg W 5-379.9 1548 1951 5.59% 9.01% 85.40%-2.30 +12.9 39
1999-10-24 Stabaek L 2-370.8 1785 1799 49.78% 11.63% 38.59%+0.20 -5.0 36
1999-10-24 @ Viking W 3-270.8 1799 1785 38.59% 11.63% 49.78%-0.20 +5.0 46

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1999-10-24 5.59% Odd Grenland 1548 5 @ Rosenborg 1951 3
2 1999-07-11 7.51% Odd Grenland 1498 5 @ Stabaek 1844 2
3 1999-04-11 9.21% Odd Grenland 1489 2 @ Viking 1795 1
4 1999-08-08 10.76% Odd Grenland 1517 2 @ Lillestrom 1792 1
5 1999-06-20 13.00% Skeid 1550 1 @ Viking 1787 0
6 1999-04-18 13.96% @ Odd Grenland 1497 3 Stabaek 1827 2
7 1999-05-24 14.42% Skeid 1542 1 @ Brann 1758 0
8 1999-07-07 16.72% Brann 1772 3 @ Rosenborg 1957 2
9 1999-06-13 18.39% Odd Grenland 1491 5 @ Stromsgodset 1655 3
10 1999-10-17 19.13% @ Skeid 1528 3 Viking 1792 2
11 1999-10-17 20.79% @ Odd Grenland 1536 3 Brann 1781 1
12 1999-08-29 22.26% @ Odd Grenland 1529 4 Bodo Glimt 1759 2
13 1999-07-25 23.14% @ Tromso 1736 2 Rosenborg 1957 1
14 1999-08-15 23.85% @ Odd Grenland 1525 2 Tromso 1739 1
15 1999-10-03 23.99% Skeid 1522 2 @ Kongsvinger 1627 1
16 1999-06-17 25.85% Brann 1754 3 @ Stabaek 1842 2
17 1999-04-17 27.21% @ Lillestrom 1731 3 Rosenborg 1914 2
18 1999-06-09 27.64% @ Skeid 1550 2 Tromso 1730 1
19 1999-07-25 27.84% @ Moss 1648 2 Stabaek 1826 0
20 1999-10-16 27.86% @ Stabaek 1786 2 Rosenborg 1964 0
21 1999-09-11 28.09% @ Brann 1788 2 Rosenborg 1964 1
22 1999-08-29 28.28% Tromso 1726 2 @ Lillestrom 1792 1
23 1999-06-13 28.41% Moss 1669 2 @ Valerenga 1734 1
24 1999-08-22 28.77% Brann 1769 3 @ Molde 1832 1
25 1999-04-23 29.43% Lillestrom 1737 4 @ Viking 1794 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1999-05-09 24.38 Moss 6 1648 47.68% @ Skeid 0 1569 40.67% 11.65%
2 1999-04-18 23.81 @ Tromso 5 1685 40.32% Brann 0 1766 48.03% 11.64%
3 1999-08-01 23.35 Lillestrom 6 1769 30.86% @ Stabaek 1 1813 57.63% 11.51%
4 1999-05-02 22.07 @ Skeid 4 1547 32.98% Stromsgodset 0 1683 55.47% 11.55%
5 1999-08-04 18.97 @ Kongsvinger 4 1627 41.28% Valerenga 0 1701 47.07% 11.65%
6 1999-07-11 18.22 Odd Grenland 5 1498 7.51% @ Stabaek 2 1844 82.94% 9.55%
7 1999-08-22 17.60 @ Bodo Glimt 4 1741 45.07% Stabaek 0 1789 43.28% 11.65%
8 1999-05-12 15.45 Rosenborg 5 1918 58.76% @ Valerenga 0 1756 29.76% 11.48%
9 1999-04-23 14.32 Valerenga 3 1736 41.98% @ Stromsgodset 0 1697 46.37% 11.65%
10 1999-10-24 12.90 Odd Grenland 5 1548 5.59% @ Rosenborg 3 1951 85.40% 9.01%
11 1999-06-16 12.81 @ Tromso 5 1715 51.18% Bodo Glimt 1 1719 37.20% 11.62%
12 1999-08-08 12.76 @ Moss 5 1655 64.45% Skeid 0 1552 24.25% 11.29%
13 1999-07-25 12.68 @ Moss 2 1648 27.84% Stabaek 0 1826 60.73% 11.43%
14 1999-10-16 12.67 @ Stabaek 2 1786 27.86% Rosenborg 0 1964 60.72% 11.43%
15 1999-06-09 12.43 @ Moss 4 1657 40.49% Bodo Glimt 1 1737 47.86% 11.64%
16 1999-06-16 12.43 Stromsgodset 5 1644 32.54% @ Moss 2 1676 55.92% 11.55%
17 1999-10-17 12.28 @ Odd Grenland 3 1536 20.79% Brann 1 1781 68.09% 11.12%
18 1999-08-01 12.08 Bodo Glimt 2 1733 30.78% @ Brann 0 1778 57.71% 11.51%
19 1999-07-07 11.85 @ Viking 4 1777 42.97% Molde 1 1839 45.37% 11.65%
20 1999-09-12 11.55 @ Bodo Glimt 4 1748 61.37% Moss 0 1672 27.22% 11.41%
21 1999-10-03 11.40 Moss 5 1665 37.44% @ Stromsgodset 2 1659 50.94% 11.62%
22 1999-08-29 10.92 @ Moss 3 1661 54.17% Kongsvinger 0 1643 34.25% 11.58%
23 1999-08-22 10.81 Brann 3 1769 28.77% @ Molde 1 1832 59.77% 11.46%
24 1999-05-24 10.80 @ Tromso 4 1719 47.45% Lillestrom 1 1750 40.91% 11.65%
25 1999-06-13 10.76 Odd Grenland 5 1491 18.39% @ Stromsgodset 3 1655 70.65% 10.97%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1999-05-16 86.6 @ Skeid 4 1541 24.38% Lillestrom 4 1751 64.32% 11.30%
2 1999-05-13 85.3 @ Bodo Glimt 3 1733 42.44% Viking 3 1799 45.90% 11.65%
3 1999-08-08 85.3 @ Tromso 3 1739 44.59% Stabaek 3 1790 43.75% 11.65%
4 1999-08-15 85.3 @ Viking 3 1786 57.78% Bodo Glimt 3 1741 30.72% 11.51%
5 1999-04-23 81.1 @ Rosenborg 2 1908 73.71% Tromso 2 1708 15.55% 10.74%
6 1999-08-15 80.4 @ Brann 2 1770 65.37% Stromsgodset 2 1659 23.37% 11.26%
7 1999-10-17 80.4 @ Tromso 2 1755 60.90% Valerenga 2 1683 27.68% 11.42%
8 1999-10-24 79.9 Odd Grenland 5 1548 5.59% @ Rosenborg 3 1951 85.40% 9.01%
9 1999-07-11 78.7 @ Valerenga 2 1710 70.31% Skeid 2 1549 18.70% 10.99%
10 1999-07-07 77.5 Brann 3 1772 16.72% @ Rosenborg 2 1957 72.44% 10.84%
11 1999-09-19 77.3 @ Odd Grenland 2 1537 34.66% Stromsgodset 2 1660 53.76% 11.58%
12 1999-04-18 76.8 @ Odd Grenland 3 1497 13.96% Stabaek 2 1827 75.46% 10.58%
13 1999-09-12 76.7 Viking 4 1780 31.63% @ Molde 3 1818 56.84% 11.53%
14 1999-05-09 76.0 @ Stabaek 1 1828 66.89% Tromso 1 1702 21.92% 11.18%
15 1999-04-10 75.6 @ Valerenga 1 1730 49.26% Bodo Glimt 1 1748 39.10% 11.64%
16 1999-07-11 75.6 @ Viking 1 1789 68.52% Moss 1 1647 20.38% 11.10%
17 1999-08-15 75.6 @ Stabaek 1 1790 69.39% Kongsvinger 1 1639 19.57% 11.05%
18 1999-07-04 75.5 @ Bodo Glimt 1 1719 51.73% Valerenga 1 1719 36.66% 11.61%
19 1999-09-11 75.4 @ Stromsgodset 4 1655 34.36% Stabaek 3 1779 54.06% 11.58%
20 1999-09-12 75.4 @ Kongsvinger 1 1633 30.80% Lillestrom 1 1786 57.69% 11.51%
21 1999-06-19 75.3 @ Stromsgodset 1 1657 38.10% Lillestrom 1 1754 50.28% 11.63%
22 1999-08-22 75.3 @ Tromso 1 1732 60.92% Moss 1 1661 27.65% 11.42%
23 1999-10-17 75.2 @ Skeid 3 1528 19.13% Viking 2 1792 69.85% 11.02%
24 1999-06-17 74.6 Brann 3 1754 25.85% @ Stabaek 2 1842 62.79% 11.36%
25 1999-04-17 74.3 @ Lillestrom 3 1731 27.21% Rosenborg 2 1914 61.38% 11.41%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1999-05-24 39.7 @ Bodo Glimt 4 1731 75.78% Odd Grenland 0 1504 13.67% 10.55%
2 1999-05-13 39.8 @ Tromso 5 1703 73.85% Odd Grenland 0 1502 15.43% 10.73%
3 1999-06-13 40.9 @ Rosenborg 3 1943 84.75% Skeid 0 1557 6.09% 9.16%
4 1999-06-20 40.9 @ Brann 3 1760 77.91% Odd Grenland 0 1503 11.77% 10.32%
5 1999-04-11 41.1 @ Stabaek 5 1821 77.84% Skeid 0 1565 11.83% 10.32%
6 1999-05-13 41.7 @ Molde 3 1829 79.61% Skeid 0 1545 10.29% 10.09%
7 1999-04-11 42.1 @ Rosenborg 5 1908 77.08% Moss 0 1663 12.51% 10.41%
8 1999-08-08 42.6 @ Moss 5 1655 64.45% Skeid 0 1552 24.25% 11.29%
9 1999-07-11 43.3 @ Rosenborg 4 1950 73.22% Lillestrom 0 1756 16.00% 10.78%
10 1999-06-09 43.7 Valerenga 3 1727 66.46% @ Odd Grenland 0 1498 22.34% 11.21%
11 1999-09-19 44.1 Rosenborg 7 1958 81.84% @ Skeid 1 1526 8.41% 9.75%
12 1999-04-10 44.9 @ Molde 4 1817 66.64% Tromso 0 1694 22.16% 11.20%
13 1999-05-09 45.1 @ Molde 3 1823 70.45% Stromsgodset 0 1661 18.57% 10.98%
14 1999-09-12 45.9 @ Tromso 8 1732 73.65% Skeid 2 1533 15.61% 10.74%
15 1999-05-09 46.1 @ Viking 3 1792 66.88% Kongsvinger 0 1667 21.94% 11.19%
16 1999-09-12 46.1 @ Bodo Glimt 4 1748 61.37% Moss 0 1672 27.22% 11.41%
17 1999-05-09 46.9 Lillestrom 2 1742 67.16% @ Odd Grenland 0 1507 21.67% 11.17%
18 1999-07-30 47.0 @ Rosenborg 4 1950 81.68% Kongsvinger 1 1629 8.54% 9.78%
19 1999-08-29 47.3 @ Stabaek 3 1771 62.70% Valerenga 0 1684 25.94% 11.36%
20 1999-05-12 47.7 Rosenborg 5 1918 58.76% @ Valerenga 0 1756 29.76% 11.48%
21 1999-05-08 47.8 @ Rosenborg 6 1910 71.04% Bodo Glimt 1 1741 18.02% 10.94%
22 1999-05-02 48.3 @ Moss 1 1645 67.97% Odd Grenland 0 1509 20.90% 11.13%
23 1999-10-13 48.4 @ Molde 1 1806 78.64% Odd Grenland 0 1537 11.13% 10.22%
24 1999-05-09 48.7 Moss 6 1648 47.68% @ Skeid 0 1569 40.67% 11.65%
25 1999-08-29 48.7 @ Moss 3 1661 54.17% Kongsvinger 0 1643 34.25% 11.58%