2016 Tippeligaen Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Rosenborg

69 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Brann

16.57 points above expected

54 points · 37.43 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Start

10.15 points below expected

16 points · 26.15 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Rosenborg	30	21	6	3	69	65	25	+40	61.4	+7.61
2	Brann	30	16	6	8	54	42	27	+15	37.4	+16.57
3	Odds	30	15	6	9	51	44	35	+9	50.8	+0.21
4	Haugesund	30	12	10	8	46	47	43	+4	38.3	+7.68
5	Molde	30	13	6	11	45	48	42	+6	49.4	-4.37
6	Sarpsborg 08	30	12	9	9	45	35	37	-2	38.0	+7.03
7	Stromsgodset	30	12	8	10	44	44	40	+4	48.5	-4.50
8	Viking	30	12	7	11	43	33	35	-2	44.4	-1.36
9	Aalesund	30	12	6	12	42	46	51	-5	35.6	+6.44
10	Valerenga	30	10	8	12	38	41	39	+2	40.2	-2.17
11	Sogndal	30	8	12	10	36	33	37	-4	36.6	-0.58
12	Lillestrom	30	8	10	12	34	45	50	-5	40.8	-6.83
13	Tromso	30	9	7	14	34	36	46	-10	35.1	-1.11
14	Stabaek	30	8	7	15	31	35	42	-7	38.3	-7.30
15	Bodo Glimt	30	8	6	16	30	36	45	-9	36.6	-6.61
16	Start	30	2	10	18	16	23	59	-36	26.1	-10.15

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Rosenborg	1795	69	61.39	+7.61	88.8%	34	50	57	62	66	72	88
Molde	1661	45	49.37	-4.37	28.6%	25	38	45	49	54	61	74
Odds	1660	51	50.79	+0.21	54.3%	28	39	46	51	55	62	76
Stromsgodset	1648	44	48.50	-4.50	28.0%	23	37	44	48	53	60	72
Valerenga	1630	38	40.17	-2.17	41.2%	16	29	36	40	45	51	66
Brann	1616	54	37.43	+16.57	99.4%	11	26	33	37	42	49	63
Viking	1606	43	44.36	-1.36	45.0%	21	33	40	44	49	55	71
Haugesund	1583	46	38.32	+7.68	88.4%	10	27	34	38	43	50	65
Lillestrom	1582	34	40.83	-6.83	17.7%	17	30	36	41	45	52	66
Sarpsborg 08	1579	45	37.97	+7.03	86.2%	11	27	33	38	43	49	67
Aalesund	1575	42	35.56	+6.44	84.8%	12	25	31	35	40	47	62
Stabaek	1565	31	38.30	-7.30	15.3%	15	27	34	38	43	50	67
Sogndal	1554	36	36.58	-0.58	50.6%	13	26	32	36	41	48	65
Tromso	1541	34	35.11	-1.11	47.1%	10	24	31	35	39	46	63
Bodo Glimt	1527	30	36.61	-6.61	19.0%	14	26	32	37	41	48	62
Start	1407	16	26.15	-10.15	5.5%	6	16	22	26	30	37	55

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AAL	BG	BRA	HAU	LIL	MOL	ODD	ROS	S0	SOG	STA	STA	STR	TRO	VAL	VIK
Aalesund	—	2-0-0 2.69	0-0-2 2.82	0-1-1 2.75	1-1-0 2.15	0-0-2 1.97	1-0-1 1.81	0-1-1 1.40	0-1-1 2.30	1-0-1 2.85	1-0-1 2.50	1-1-0 3.37	1-0-1 1.84	2-0-0 2.59	1-1-0 2.35	1-0-1 2.19
Bodo Glimt	0-0-2 2.74	—	0-0-2 2.80	0-0-2 2.71	0-2-0 2.46	0-0-2 2.00	1-0-1 1.76	0-1-1 1.21	1-0-1 2.52	1-1-0 2.80	1-0-1 2.60	2-0-0 3.53	1-0-1 2.04	1-0-1 2.92	0-2-0 2.32	0-0-2 2.18
Brann	2-0-0 2.63	2-0-0 2.60	—	1-0-1 2.59	0-0-2 2.61	1-0-1 2.06	1-1-0 1.79	0-1-1 1.43	1-0-1 2.74	1-1-0 2.82	1-1-0 2.59	2-0-0 3.68	1-1-0 1.95	1-0-1 2.96	1-0-1 2.58	1-1-0 2.32
Haugesund	1-1-0 2.66	2-0-0 2.74	1-0-1 2.82	—	0-2-0 2.46	0-2-0 1.97	1-0-1 1.98	0-1-1 1.53	1-1-0 2.69	0-0-2 2.81	2-0-0 2.67	1-0-1 3.91	0-1-1 2.15	1-1-0 2.97	1-1-0 2.56	1-0-1 2.33
Lillestrom	0-1-1 3.30	0-2-0 2.96	2-0-0 2.88	0-2-0 2.95	—	1-0-1 2.07	1-0-1 2.12	0-0-2 1.59	1-0-1 3.01	0-1-1 2.99	1-0-1 2.85	0-2-0 3.64	1-0-1 2.17	0-0-2 3.09	1-1-0 2.72	0-1-1 2.65
Molde	2-0-0 3.52	2-0-0 3.48	1-0-1 3.44	0-2-0 3.50	1-0-1 3.40	—	1-0-1 2.65	0-0-2 1.89	0-0-2 3.63	0-1-1 3.50	2-0-0 3.42	0-2-0 4.20	2-0-0 2.73	1-1-0 3.55	1-0-1 3.43	0-0-2 3.12
Odds	1-0-1 3.71	1-0-1 3.76	0-1-1 3.71	1-0-1 3.48	1-0-1 3.33	1-0-1 2.76	—	2-0-0 2.00	0-2-0 3.55	2-0-0 3.63	1-0-1 3.55	2-0-0 4.26	1-1-0 2.80	0-1-1 3.71	1-0-1 3.39	1-1-0 3.08
Rosenborg	1-1-0 4.23	1-1-0 4.48	1-1-0 4.19	1-1-0 4.05	2-0-0 3.97	2-0-0 3.59	0-0-2 3.52	—	1-1-0 4.32	1-1-0 4.35	2-0-0 4.27	2-0-0 4.92	1-0-1 3.62	2-0-0 4.27	2-0-0 3.98	2-0-0 3.78
Sarpsborg 08	1-1-0 3.12	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-1 2.71	0-1-1 2.74	1-0-1 2.43	2-0-0 1.85	0-2-0 1.94	0-1-1 1.33	—	0-1-1 2.84	1-1-0 2.52	2-0-0 3.40	1-0-1 2.09	1-1-0 3.04	0-0-2 2.79	1-1-0 2.22
Sogndal	1-0-1 2.59	0-1-1 2.64	0-1-1 2.60	2-0-0 2.62	1-1-0 2.43	1-1-0 1.98	0-0-2 1.86	0-1-1 1.31	1-1-0 2.57	—	1-1-0 2.64	0-2-0 3.56	0-0-2 2.20	0-1-1 2.88	1-1-0 2.50	0-1-1 2.30
Stabaek	1-0-1 2.93	1-0-1 2.83	0-1-1 2.83	0-0-2 2.74	1-0-1 2.60	0-0-2 2.05	1-0-1 1.93	0-0-2 1.37	0-1-1 2.89	0-1-1 2.78	—	2-0-0 3.46	0-1-1 2.06	0-1-1 2.97	1-1-0 2.60	1-1-0 2.23
Start	0-1-1 2.09	0-0-2 1.96	0-0-2 1.82	1-0-1 1.63	0-2-0 1.89	0-2-0 1.42	0-0-2 1.37	0-0-2 0.88	0-0-2 2.13	0-2-0 1.91	0-0-2 2.05	—	0-2-0 1.37	1-1-0 2.01	0-0-2 1.92	0-0-2 1.68
Stromsgodset	1-0-1 3.66	1-0-1 3.43	0-1-1 3.56	1-1-0 3.32	1-0-1 3.27	0-0-2 2.70	0-1-1 2.61	1-0-1 1.86	1-0-1 3.37	2-0-0 3.27	1-1-0 3.43	0-2-0 4.27	—	1-0-1 3.67	1-1-0 3.20	1-1-0 2.92
Tromso	0-0-2 2.85	1-0-1 2.51	1-0-1 2.48	0-1-1 2.46	2-0-0 2.38	0-1-1 1.95	1-1-0 1.80	0-0-2 1.37	0-1-1 2.40	1-1-0 2.55	1-1-0 2.47	0-1-1 3.45	1-0-1 1.85	—	0-0-2 2.47	1-0-1 2.14
Valerenga	0-1-1 3.11	0-2-0 3.13	1-0-1 2.84	0-1-1 2.86	0-1-1 2.74	1-0-1 2.05	1-0-1 2.07	0-0-2 1.61	2-0-0 2.63	0-1-1 2.91	0-1-1 2.84	2-0-0 3.56	0-1-1 2.27	2-0-0 2.94	—	1-0-1 2.62
Viking	1-0-1 3.26	2-0-0 3.28	0-1-1 3.17	1-0-1 3.11	1-1-0 2.79	2-0-0 2.31	0-1-1 2.38	0-0-2 1.74	0-1-1 3.24	1-1-0 3.15	0-1-1 3.22	2-0-0 3.89	0-1-1 2.49	1-0-1 3.33	1-0-1 2.80	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	9.38%	6.46%	2.71%	1.25%	0.83%	26.88%
1	9.38%	11.67%	7.71%	3.12%	1.46%	—	33.33%
2	6.46%	7.71%	7.08%	1.25%	2.08%	0.21%	24.79%
3	2.71%	3.12%	1.25%	0.83%	0.62%	—	8.54%
4	1.25%	1.46%	2.08%	0.62%	—	—	5.42%
5+	0.83%	—	0.21%	—	—	—	1.04%
Total	26.88%	33.33%	24.79%	8.54%	5.42%	1.04%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.36
Mean allowed	1.36
StdDev scored	1.20
StdDev allowed	1.20
Mean total goals/game	2.72
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.035
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	23.33%
1	16.67%	10.00%	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	40.00%
2	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	16.67%
3	—	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	23.33%	26.67%	26.67%	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	100%

Aalesund — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.53
Mean allowed	1.70
StdDev scored	1.48
StdDev allowed	1.49
Mean total goals/game	3.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.160
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	13.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
1	—	10.00%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
2	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	40.00%	33.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Bodo Glimt — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.20
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.21
StdDev allowed	0.97
Mean total goals/game	2.70
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.087
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
1	23.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	13.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	26.67%
3	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	40.00%	40.00%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Brann — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.40
Mean allowed	0.90
StdDev scored	1.35
StdDev allowed	0.96
Mean total goals/game	2.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.005
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	23.33%
1	10.00%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
2	—	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
4	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	50.00%	16.67%	13.33%	—	3.33%	100%

Haugesund — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.57
Mean allowed	1.43
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	1.25
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.124
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
1	6.67%	23.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	50.00%
2	6.67%	6.67%	10.00%	—	10.00%	—	33.33%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	6.67%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	33.33%	30.00%	6.67%	13.33%	—	100%

Lillestrom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	1.67
StdDev scored	0.86
StdDev allowed	1.24
Mean total goals/game	3.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.000
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	30.00%
1	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
2	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	—	10.00%	—	—	—	13.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	26.67%	23.33%	13.33%	6.67%	—	100%

Molde — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.60
Mean allowed	1.40
StdDev scored	1.40
StdDev allowed	1.25
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.035
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
1	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	33.33%
2	6.67%	20.00%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	33.33%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	36.67%	13.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Odds — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.47
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	1.11
StdDev allowed	1.15
Mean total goals/game	2.63
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.127
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
1	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
2	16.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
3	3.33%	20.00%	—	—	—	—	23.33%
4	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
5+	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	36.67%	46.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Rosenborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.17
Mean allowed	0.83
StdDev scored	1.42
StdDev allowed	0.79
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.056
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	33.33%
1	20.00%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	23.33%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	20.00%	20.00%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	100%

Sarpsborg 08 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	1.15
StdDev allowed	1.43
Mean total goals/game	2.40
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.151
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	13.33%	13.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	40.00%
2	—	3.33%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	16.67%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	26.67%	26.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Sogndal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.10
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	1.12
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	2.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.305
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	16.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	26.67%
1	10.00%	13.33%	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	46.67%
2	—	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	20.00%	36.67%	26.67%	16.67%	—	—	100%

Stabaek — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.40
StdDev scored	1.12
StdDev allowed	1.00
Mean total goals/game	2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.369
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	10.00%	16.67%	6.67%	—	3.33%	40.00%
1	3.33%	20.00%	10.00%	—	10.00%	—	43.33%
2	—	3.33%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.67%	33.33%	36.67%	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	100%

Start — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.77
Mean allowed	1.97
StdDev scored	0.73
StdDev allowed	1.25
Mean total goals/game	2.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.029
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	20.00%
1	13.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	10.00%	3.33%	10.00%	—	10.00%	—	33.33%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	33.33%	30.00%	—	10.00%	—	100%

Stromsgodset — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.47
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	1.11
StdDev allowed	1.18
Mean total goals/game	2.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.088
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	33.33%
1	3.33%	3.33%	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
2	6.67%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	20.00%	40.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Tromso — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.20
Mean allowed	1.53
StdDev scored	1.13
StdDev allowed	1.36
Mean total goals/game	2.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.275
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	13.33%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	30.00%
1	—	20.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	30.00%
2	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	36.67%	23.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	100%

Valerenga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.37
Mean allowed	1.30
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	1.15
Mean total goals/game	2.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.296
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	13.33%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	36.67%
1	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	20.00%
2	16.67%	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	40.00%
3	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	26.67%	26.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.10
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	0.96
StdDev allowed	1.18
Mean total goals/game	2.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.046
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Brann	54	37.4	+16.57
2	Haugesund	46	38.3	+7.68
3	Rosenborg	69	61.4	+7.61
4	Sarpsborg 08	45	38.0	+7.03
5	Aalesund	42	35.6	+6.44

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Start	16	26.1	-10.15
2	Stabaek	31	38.3	-7.30
3	Lillestrom	34	40.8	-6.83
4	Bodo Glimt	30	36.6	-6.61
5	Stromsgodset	44	48.5	-4.50

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Aalesund	6	Sep 9 – Oct 21	1 in 1,596
2	Valerenga	4	Jul 24 – Aug 13	1 in 61
3	Sarpsborg 08	3	Apr 21 – May 2	1 in 48
4	Molde	4	Aug 6 – Aug 27	1 in 40
5	Brann	3	Jul 22 – Aug 7	1 in 37

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Bodo Glimt	6	Apr 10 – May 8	1 in 284
2	Tromso	4	Sep 25 – Oct 23	1 in 58
3	Lillestrom	3	Jul 1 – Jul 17	1 in 55
4	Valerenga	4	Mar 14 – Apr 9	1 in 47
5	Aalesund	4	Mar 19 – Apr 17	1 in 41

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sogndal	11	May 1 – Jul 31	1 in 368
2	Rosenborg	26	Mar 19 – Oct 15	1 in 178
3	Aalesund	9	Aug 26 – Nov 6	1 in 117
4	Valerenga	9	Jul 15 – Sep 16	1 in 52
5	Haugesund	6	Aug 7 – Sep 16	1 in 18

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Stromsgodset	11	Jul 24 – Oct 14	1 in 1,208
2	Start	24	Mar 13 – Sep 18	1 in 445
3	Molde	6	May 28 – Aug 1	1 in 63
4	Lillestrom	8	Jul 31 – Sep 25	1 in 26
5	Valerenga	7	May 11 – Jul 15	1 in 18

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Rosenborg	74.41%	15.61%	5.49%	2.36%	1.08%	0.40%	0.31%	0.15%	0.10%	0.03%	0.03%	0.02%	0.01%	—	—	—
Brann	0.23%	1.19%	2.38%	4.08%	5.44%	6.83%	7.79%	8.29%	8.67%	8.67%	8.60%	8.62%	8.94%	8.93%	7.25%	4.09%
Odds	9.68%	26.01%	20.20%	14.37%	9.34%	6.52%	4.16%	3.24%	2.40%	1.67%	1.10%	0.42%	0.45%	0.37%	0.07%	—
Haugesund	0.19%	1.49%	2.89%	4.89%	6.30%	7.45%	8.14%	8.74%	8.50%	8.62%	8.65%	8.83%	7.97%	7.72%	6.40%	3.22%
Molde	6.53%	20.38%	20.20%	15.25%	10.44%	7.70%	5.53%	4.42%	3.07%	2.19%	1.74%	1.15%	0.68%	0.47%	0.19%	0.06%
Sarpsborg 08	0.22%	1.18%	2.57%	4.21%	5.65%	6.75%	7.71%	8.43%	8.24%	8.76%	9.00%	9.22%	8.97%	8.49%	6.76%	3.84%
Stromsgodset	5.44%	17.14%	18.18%	15.86%	12.18%	8.61%	6.75%	4.56%	3.55%	2.74%	1.79%	1.44%	0.92%	0.59%	0.18%	0.07%
Viking	1.67%	7.29%	10.56%	11.42%	12.46%	11.63%	9.33%	7.64%	7.08%	5.74%	4.67%	3.50%	3.08%	2.09%	1.43%	0.41%
Aalesund	0.09%	0.58%	1.21%	2.14%	3.47%	4.22%	5.22%	6.82%	7.61%	8.04%	8.77%	10.15%	11.28%	12.19%	11.85%	6.36%
Valerenga	0.34%	2.78%	4.40%	6.56%	8.26%	9.09%	9.18%	8.80%	9.32%	8.71%	8.16%	6.95%	6.23%	5.36%	4.10%	1.76%
Sogndal	0.13%	0.69%	1.66%	2.85%	3.98%	5.49%	6.95%	7.29%	8.18%	8.30%	9.63%	9.59%	10.17%	10.38%	9.87%	4.84%
Lillestrom	0.62%	2.85%	5.02%	7.09%	8.49%	9.10%	9.71%	9.07%	8.87%	8.65%	7.88%	6.84%	5.95%	4.65%	3.62%	1.59%
Tromso	0.09%	0.40%	1.01%	1.85%	2.93%	4.33%	4.52%	5.77%	6.48%	7.99%	9.95%	10.34%	11.69%	11.62%	13.21%	7.82%
Stabaek	0.27%	1.55%	2.50%	4.34%	5.39%	6.42%	7.76%	8.77%	8.63%	9.37%	9.26%	9.70%	8.44%	7.83%	6.48%	3.29%
Bodo Glimt	0.09%	0.83%	1.70%	2.68%	4.42%	5.09%	6.48%	7.35%	8.14%	8.89%	8.39%	9.57%	9.76%	10.46%	10.56%	5.59%
Start	—	0.03%	0.03%	0.05%	0.17%	0.37%	0.46%	0.66%	1.16%	1.63%	2.38%	3.66%	5.46%	8.85%	18.03%	57.06%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Won relegation playoff	Lost relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Rosenborg	100%	—	—	—
Odds	99.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%
Molde	99.3%	0.4%	0.1%	0.2%
Stromsgodset	99.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.2%
Viking	96.1%	1.5%	0.6%	1.8%
Lillestrom	90.1%	3.2%	1.5%	5.2%
Valerenga	88.8%	4.1%	1.3%	5.9%
Haugesund	82.7%	5.4%	2.3%	9.6%
Stabaek	82.4%	5.2%	2.6%	9.8%
Sarpsborg 08	80.9%	5.8%	2.7%	10.6%
Brann	79.7%	6.5%	2.5%	11.3%
Sogndal	74.9%	6.9%	3.5%	14.7%
Bodo Glimt	73.4%	6.6%	3.9%	16.2%
Aalesund	69.6%	8.2%	4.0%	18.2%
Tromso	67.3%	7.1%	4.5%	21.0%
Start	16.1%	3.8%	5.1%	75.1%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2016-03-11	Stabaek	W 1-0	1570	1595	39.4%	29.6%	31.0%	+5.7	3
2016-03-11	@ Aalesund	L 0-1	1595	1570	31.0%	29.6%	39.4%	-5.7	0
2016-03-12	Rosenborg	W 1-0	1662	1720	34.6%	29.9%	35.5%	+6.2	3
2016-03-12	@ Odds	L 0-1	1720	1662	35.5%	29.9%	34.6%	-6.2	0
2016-03-13	Sogndal	W 2-0	1573	1549	46.7%	27.8%	25.5%	+9.0	3
2016-03-13	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-2	1549	1573	25.5%	27.8%	46.7%	-9.0	0
2016-03-13	Tromso	D 1-1	1680	1556	61.0%	20.9%	18.2%	-1.5	1
2016-03-13	@ Molde	D 1-1	1556	1680	18.2%	20.9%	61.0%	+1.5	1
2016-03-13	Haugesund	L 0-1	1553	1540	45.1%	28.3%	26.6%	-7.4	0
2016-03-13	@ Sarpsborg 08	W 1-0	1540	1553	26.6%	28.3%	45.1%	+7.4	3
2016-03-13	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1516	1604	30.8%	29.5%	39.7%	+0.3	1
2016-03-13	@ Start	D 1-1	1604	1516	39.7%	29.5%	30.8%	-0.3	1
2016-03-13	Brann	D 2-2	1661	1518	63.6%	19.3%	17.1%	-1.2	1
2016-03-13	@ Stromsgodset	D 2-2	1518	1661	17.1%	19.3%	63.6%	+1.2	1
2016-03-14	Viking	L 0-2	1606	1626	40.3%	29.4%	30.3%	-12.8	0
2016-03-14	@ Valerenga	W 2-0	1626	1606	30.3%	29.4%	40.3%	+12.8	3
2016-03-18	Start	D 0-0	1557	1516	49.0%	27.0%	24.0%	-1.0	2
2016-03-18	@ Tromso	D 0-0	1516	1557	24.0%	27.0%	49.0%	+1.0	2
2016-03-19	Aalesund	W 3-0	1547	1575	39.0%	29.6%	31.3%	+15.6	6
2016-03-19	@ Haugesund	L 0-3	1575	1547	31.3%	29.6%	39.0%	-15.6	3
2016-03-19	Stromsgodset	W 1-0	1714	1660	51.0%	26.2%	22.9%	+4.3	3
2016-03-19	@ Rosenborg	L 0-1	1660	1714	22.9%	26.2%	51.0%	-4.3	1
2016-03-20	Odds	D 0-0	1519	1668	24.3%	27.1%	48.6%	+0.9	2
2016-03-20	@ Brann	D 0-0	1668	1519	48.6%	27.1%	24.3%	-0.9	4
2016-03-20	Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1603	1582	46.2%	28.0%	25.8%	-0.7	2
2016-03-20	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1582	1603	25.8%	28.0%	46.2%	+0.7	4
2016-03-20	Valerenga	W 1-0	1540	1593	35.3%	29.9%	34.8%	+6.1	3
2016-03-20	@ Sogndal	L 0-1	1593	1540	34.8%	29.9%	35.3%	-6.1	0
2016-03-20	Molde	L 1-2	1590	1678	30.6%	29.5%	39.9%	-5.3	0
2016-03-20	@ Stabaek	W 2-1	1678	1590	39.9%	29.5%	30.6%	+5.3	4
2016-03-20	Sarpsborg 08	D 0-0	1638	1546	56.5%	23.4%	20.1%	-1.4	4
2016-03-20	@ Viking	D 0-0	1546	1638	20.1%	23.4%	56.5%	+1.4	1
2016-04-01	Lillestrom	W 4-2	1684	1603	54.8%	24.3%	20.9%	+5.7	7
2016-04-01	@ Molde	L 2-4	1603	1684	20.9%	24.3%	54.8%	-5.6	2
2016-04-02	Viking	L 0-1	1517	1637	27.1%	28.5%	44.4%	-5.0	2
2016-04-02	@ Start	W 1-0	1637	1517	44.4%	28.5%	27.1%	+5.0	7
2016-04-02	Rosenborg	L 0-2	1587	1718	25.9%	28.0%	46.1%	-9.1	0
2016-04-02	@ Valerenga	W 2-0	1718	1587	46.1%	28.0%	25.9%	+9.1	6
2016-04-03	Brann	L 1-2	1560	1520	48.8%	27.0%	24.1%	-7.4	3
2016-04-03	@ Aalesund	W 2-1	1520	1560	24.1%	27.0%	48.8%	+7.4	5
2016-04-03	Stabaek	W 3-1	1583	1584	42.9%	28.9%	28.2%	+8.5	7
2016-04-03	@ Bodo Glimt	L 1-3	1584	1583	28.2%	28.9%	42.9%	-8.5	0
2016-04-03	Tromso	D 0-0	1667	1556	59.1%	22.0%	18.9%	-1.6	5
2016-04-03	@ Odds	D 0-0	1556	1667	18.9%	22.0%	59.1%	+1.6	3
2016-04-03	Sogndal	D 0-0	1548	1546	43.4%	28.8%	27.8%	-0.6	2
2016-04-03	@ Sarpsborg 08	D 0-0	1546	1548	27.8%	28.8%	43.4%	+0.6	4
2016-04-03	Haugesund	W 2-0	1656	1563	56.5%	23.4%	20.1%	+7.0	4
2016-04-03	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-2	1563	1656	20.1%	23.4%	56.5%	-7.0	6
2016-04-08	Haugesund	W 1-0	1546	1556	41.7%	29.2%	29.1%	+5.4	7
2016-04-08	@ Sogndal	L 0-1	1556	1546	29.1%	29.2%	41.7%	-5.4	6
2016-04-09	Sarpsborg 08	W 4-0	1597	1547	50.4%	26.4%	23.2%	+15.6	5
2016-04-09	@ Lillestrom	L 0-4	1547	1597	23.2%	26.4%	50.4%	-15.6	2
2016-04-09	Valerenga	W 2-1	1576	1578	42.8%	28.9%	28.2%	+4.9	3
2016-04-09	@ Stabaek	L 1-2	1578	1576	28.2%	28.9%	42.8%	-4.9	0
2016-04-10	Bodo Glimt	W 1-0	1528	1591	33.9%	29.9%	36.2%	+6.3	8
2016-04-10	@ Brann	L 0-1	1591	1528	36.2%	29.9%	33.9%	-6.3	7
2016-04-10	Aalesund	W 1-0	1727	1552	68.0%	16.5%	15.5%	+2.6	9
2016-04-10	@ Rosenborg	L 0-1	1552	1727	15.5%	16.5%	68.0%	-2.6	3
2016-04-10	Molde	D 1-1	1512	1689	22.0%	25.4%	52.7%	+1.1	3
2016-04-10	@ Start	D 1-1	1689	1512	52.7%	25.4%	22.0%	-1.1	8
2016-04-10	Stromsgodset	W 2-0	1558	1663	28.7%	29.1%	42.2%	+13.3	6
2016-04-10	@ Tromso	L 0-2	1663	1558	42.2%	29.1%	28.7%	-13.3	4
2016-04-10	Odds	L 0-2	1642	1665	39.7%	29.5%	30.8%	-12.7	7
2016-04-10	@ Viking	W 2-0	1665	1642	30.8%	29.5%	39.7%	+12.7	8
2016-04-15	Lillestrom	D 2-2	1550	1613	34.1%	29.9%	36.0%	+0.1	7
2016-04-15	@ Haugesund	D 2-2	1613	1550	36.0%	29.9%	34.1%	-0.0	6
2016-04-16	Brann	W 3-0	1730	1534	70.7%	14.8%	14.5%	+6.4	12
2016-04-16	@ Rosenborg	L 0-3	1534	1730	14.5%	14.8%	70.7%	-6.4	8
2016-04-16	Sogndal	W 2-1	1649	1552	57.2%	23.0%	19.8%	+3.4	7
2016-04-16	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1552	1649	19.8%	23.0%	57.2%	-3.4	7
2016-04-17	Viking	L 1-2	1550	1629	31.8%	29.7%	38.6%	-5.4	3
2016-04-17	@ Aalesund	W 2-1	1629	1550	38.6%	29.7%	31.8%	+5.4	10
2016-04-17	Molde	L 1-2	1585	1688	28.9%	29.1%	41.9%	-5.0	7
2016-04-17	@ Bodo Glimt	W 2-1	1688	1585	41.9%	29.1%	28.9%	+5.0	11
2016-04-17	Start	W 3-0	1678	1513	66.6%	17.4%	16.0%	+7.4	11
2016-04-17	@ Odds	L 0-3	1513	1678	16.0%	17.4%	66.6%	-7.4	3
2016-04-17	Stabaek	D 1-1	1531	1581	35.9%	29.9%	34.2%	-0.1	3
2016-04-17	@ Sarpsborg 08	D 1-1	1581	1531	34.2%	29.9%	35.9%	+0.0	4
2016-04-17	Tromso	W 4-0	1573	1571	43.4%	28.8%	27.8%	+18.5	3
2016-04-17	@ Valerenga	L 0-4	1571	1573	27.8%	28.8%	43.4%	-18.5	6
2016-04-20	Haugesund	L 3-4	1580	1550	47.4%	27.6%	25.0%	-6.7	7
2016-04-20	@ Bodo Glimt	W 4-3	1550	1580	25.0%	27.6%	47.4%	+6.7	10
2016-04-20	Odds	L 0-1	1548	1685	25.3%	27.7%	46.9%	-4.8	7
2016-04-20	@ Sogndal	W 1-0	1685	1548	46.9%	27.7%	25.3%	+4.7	14
2016-04-20	Stromsgodset	L 0-1	1581	1653	32.8%	29.8%	37.4%	-5.9	4
2016-04-20	@ Stabaek	W 1-0	1653	1581	37.4%	29.8%	32.8%	+5.9	10
2016-04-20	Brann	L 0-1	1635	1528	58.6%	22.3%	19.2%	-8.9	10
2016-04-20	@ Viking	W 1-0	1528	1635	19.2%	22.3%	58.6%	+8.9	11
2016-04-21	Aalesund	D 1-1	1612	1544	53.0%	25.2%	21.8%	-1.1	7
2016-04-21	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1544	1612	21.8%	25.2%	53.0%	+1.1	4
2016-04-21	Valerenga	W 4-0	1693	1591	57.8%	22.7%	19.5%	+12.7	14
2016-04-21	@ Molde	L 0-4	1591	1693	19.5%	22.7%	57.8%	-12.7	3
2016-04-21	Sarpsborg 08	L 1-4	1506	1531	39.4%	29.6%	31.0%	-15.5	3
2016-04-21	@ Start	W 4-1	1531	1506	31.0%	29.6%	39.4%	+15.5	6
2016-04-21	Rosenborg	L 1-2	1553	1736	21.5%	24.9%	53.6%	-3.8	6
2016-04-21	@ Tromso	W 2-1	1736	1553	53.6%	24.9%	21.5%	+3.8	15
2016-04-23	Sogndal	W 2-0	1536	1543	42.1%	29.1%	28.8%	+10.0	14
2016-04-23	@ Brann	L 0-2	1543	1536	28.8%	29.1%	42.1%	-10.0	7
2016-04-23	Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	1659	1573	55.4%	24.0%	20.6%	+7.2	13
2016-04-23	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-2	1573	1659	20.6%	24.0%	55.4%	-7.2	7
2016-04-24	Tromso	W 6-0	1545	1549	42.6%	29.0%	28.4%	+27.5	7
2016-04-24	@ Aalesund	L 0-6	1549	1545	28.4%	29.0%	42.6%	-27.5	6
2016-04-24	Lillestrom	L 1-3	1690	1611	54.5%	24.4%	21.0%	-13.8	14
2016-04-24	@ Odds	W 3-1	1611	1690	21.0%	24.4%	54.5%	+13.8	10
2016-04-24	Viking	W 4-0	1740	1626	59.6%	21.7%	18.7%	+12.1	18
2016-04-24	@ Rosenborg	L 0-4	1626	1740	18.7%	21.7%	59.6%	-12.1	10
2016-04-24	Molde	W 4-0	1547	1706	23.4%	26.5%	50.1%	+28.5	9
2016-04-24	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 0-4	1706	1547	50.1%	26.5%	23.4%	-28.5	14
2016-04-24	Start	W 2-0	1579	1491	55.9%	23.8%	20.4%	+7.1	6
2016-04-24	@ Valerenga	L 0-2	1491	1579	20.4%	23.8%	55.9%	-7.1	3
2016-04-25	Stabaek	W 3-1	1557	1575	40.5%	29.4%	30.1%	+9.0	13
2016-04-25	@ Haugesund	L 1-3	1575	1557	30.1%	29.4%	40.5%	-9.0	4
2016-04-30	Valerenga	W 2-0	1625	1586	48.9%	27.0%	24.1%	+8.5	13
2016-04-30	@ Lillestrom	L 0-2	1586	1625	24.1%	27.0%	48.9%	-8.5	6
2016-04-30	Aalesund	W 1-0	1677	1573	58.2%	22.5%	19.3%	+3.5	17
2016-04-30	@ Molde	L 0-1	1573	1677	19.3%	22.5%	58.2%	-3.5	7
2016-05-01	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1533	1752	19.1%	22.2%	58.7%	+1.4	8
2016-05-01	@ Sogndal	D 1-1	1752	1533	58.7%	22.2%	19.1%	-1.4	19
2016-05-01	Odds	L 1-2	1566	1676	28.1%	28.9%	43.0%	-4.9	4
2016-05-01	@ Stabaek	W 2-1	1676	1566	43.0%	28.9%	28.1%	+4.9	17
2016-05-01	Stromsgodset	D 2-2	1483	1666	21.6%	25.0%	53.4%	+0.8	4
2016-05-01	@ Start	D 2-2	1666	1483	53.4%	25.0%	21.6%	-0.8	14
2016-05-01	Brann	W 1-0	1521	1547	39.5%	29.6%	31.0%	+5.6	9
2016-05-01	@ Tromso	L 0-1	1547	1521	31.0%	29.6%	39.5%	-5.6	14
2016-05-01	Haugesund	W 3-2	1614	1566	50.0%	26.6%	23.4%	+3.9	13
2016-05-01	@ Viking	L 2-3	1566	1614	23.4%	26.6%	50.0%	-3.9	13
2016-05-02	Sarpsborg 08	L 0-2	1566	1575	41.8%	29.2%	29.0%	-13.2	7
2016-05-02	@ Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	1575	1566	29.0%	29.2%	41.8%	+13.2	12
2016-05-07	Start	W 1-0	1541	1484	51.3%	26.0%	22.7%	+4.2	17
2016-05-07	@ Brann	L 0-1	1484	1541	22.7%	26.0%	51.3%	-4.2	4
2016-05-07	Lillestrom	W 3-1	1665	1634	47.6%	27.5%	24.9%	+7.6	17
2016-05-07	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-3	1634	1665	24.9%	27.5%	47.6%	-7.6	13
2016-05-07	Tromso	W 2-0	1618	1527	56.2%	23.6%	20.2%	+7.0	16
2016-05-07	@ Viking	L 0-2	1527	1618	20.2%	23.6%	56.2%	-7.0	9
2016-05-08	Sogndal	L 1-4	1569	1535	48.1%	27.3%	24.6%	-17.9	7
2016-05-08	@ Aalesund	W 4-1	1535	1569	24.6%	27.3%	48.1%	+17.9	11
2016-05-08	Molde	D 3-3	1562	1681	27.2%	28.6%	44.2%	+0.4	14
2016-05-08	@ Haugesund	D 3-3	1681	1562	44.2%	28.6%	27.2%	-0.4	18
2016-05-08	Bodo Glimt	W 2-1	1681	1553	61.6%	20.5%	17.9%	+3.0	20
2016-05-08	@ Odds	L 1-2	1553	1681	17.9%	20.5%	61.6%	-3.0	7
2016-05-08	Stabaek	W 3-1	1751	1561	69.9%	15.3%	14.8%	+4.0	22
2016-05-08	@ Rosenborg	L 1-3	1561	1751	14.8%	15.3%	69.9%	-4.0	4
2016-05-08	Sarpsborg 08	W 3-0	1577	1588	41.5%	29.2%	29.3%	+14.8	9
2016-05-08	@ Valerenga	L 0-3	1588	1577	29.3%	29.2%	41.5%	-14.8	12
2016-05-11	Valerenga	D 0-0	1550	1592	37.0%	29.8%	33.2%	-0.1	8
2016-05-11	@ Bodo Glimt	D 0-0	1592	1550	33.2%	29.8%	37.0%	+0.1	10
2016-05-11	Odds	W 3-1	1562	1684	26.8%	28.4%	44.7%	+12.0	17
2016-05-11	@ Haugesund	L 1-3	1684	1562	44.7%	28.4%	26.8%	-12.0	20
2016-05-11	Brann	W 1-0	1626	1545	54.9%	24.3%	20.9%	+3.9	16
2016-05-11	@ Lillestrom	L 0-1	1545	1626	20.9%	24.3%	54.9%	-3.9	17
2016-05-11	Stromsgodset	W 4-2	1681	1672	44.3%	28.6%	27.1%	+7.4	21
2016-05-11	@ Molde	L 2-4	1672	1681	27.1%	28.6%	44.3%	-7.4	17
2016-05-12	Aalesund	W 1-0	1574	1551	46.4%	27.9%	25.7%	+4.8	15
2016-05-12	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 0-1	1551	1574	25.7%	27.9%	46.4%	-4.8	7
2016-05-12	Tromso	D 0-0	1553	1520	47.9%	27.4%	24.7%	-0.9	12
2016-05-12	@ Sogndal	D 0-0	1520	1553	24.7%	27.4%	47.9%	+0.9	10
2016-05-12	Viking	W 1-0	1557	1625	33.4%	29.8%	36.8%	+6.4	7
2016-05-12	@ Stabaek	L 0-1	1625	1557	36.8%	29.8%	33.4%	-6.4	16
2016-05-12	Rosenborg	L 0-2	1480	1755	16.1%	17.5%	66.5%	-5.1	4
2016-05-12	@ Start	W 2-0	1755	1480	66.5%	17.5%	16.1%	+5.1	25
2016-05-16	Start	D 1-1	1547	1475	53.5%	24.9%	21.5%	-1.1	8
2016-05-16	@ Aalesund	D 1-1	1475	1547	21.5%	24.9%	53.5%	+1.1	5
2016-05-16	Stabaek	W 1-0	1541	1563	39.9%	29.5%	30.6%	+5.6	20
2016-05-16	@ Brann	L 0-1	1563	1541	30.6%	29.5%	39.9%	-5.6	7
2016-05-16	Molde	W 2-0	1672	1688	40.8%	29.4%	29.8%	+10.3	23
2016-05-16	@ Odds	L 0-2	1688	1672	29.8%	29.4%	40.8%	-10.3	21
2016-05-16	Lillestrom	W 2-1	1760	1630	61.8%	20.4%	17.8%	+3.0	28
2016-05-16	@ Rosenborg	L 1-2	1630	1760	17.8%	20.4%	61.8%	-3.0	16
2016-05-16	Sarpsborg 08	W 4-0	1665	1579	55.6%	23.9%	20.5%	+13.5	20
2016-05-16	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-4	1579	1665	20.5%	23.9%	55.6%	-13.5	15
2016-05-16	Bodo Glimt	L 1-2	1521	1550	38.9%	29.6%	31.5%	-6.3	10
2016-05-16	@ Tromso	W 2-1	1550	1521	31.5%	29.6%	38.9%	+6.3	11
2016-05-16	Haugesund	L 0-1	1592	1574	45.7%	28.1%	26.2%	-7.5	10
2016-05-16	@ Valerenga	W 1-0	1574	1592	26.2%	28.1%	45.7%	+7.5	20
2016-05-16	Sogndal	D 0-0	1618	1552	52.8%	25.3%	21.9%	-1.2	17
2016-05-16	@ Viking	D 0-0	1552	1618	21.9%	25.3%	52.8%	+1.2	13
2016-05-20	Odds	D 0-0	1565	1683	27.3%	28.6%	44.1%	+0.6	16
2016-05-20	@ Sarpsborg 08	D 0-0	1683	1565	44.1%	28.6%	27.3%	-0.6	24
2016-05-21	Brann	W 2-0	1678	1547	61.9%	20.3%	17.8%	+5.9	24
2016-05-21	@ Molde	L 0-2	1547	1678	17.8%	20.3%	61.9%	-5.9	20
2016-05-21	Tromso	L 0-3	1558	1515	49.4%	26.8%	23.8%	-21.6	7
2016-05-21	@ Stabaek	W 3-0	1515	1558	23.8%	26.8%	49.4%	+21.6	13
2016-05-22	Aalesund	L 0-1	1556	1546	44.7%	28.5%	26.9%	-7.3	11
2016-05-22	@ Bodo Glimt	W 1-0	1546	1556	26.9%	28.5%	44.7%	+7.3	11
2016-05-22	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1582	1763	21.6%	25.1%	53.3%	+1.1	21
2016-05-22	@ Haugesund	D 1-1	1763	1582	53.3%	25.1%	21.6%	-1.1	29
2016-05-22	Viking	L 1-2	1627	1617	44.6%	28.5%	26.9%	-6.9	16
2016-05-22	@ Lillestrom	W 2-1	1617	1627	26.9%	28.5%	44.6%	+6.9	20
2016-05-22	Start	D 2-2	1553	1476	54.3%	24.6%	21.1%	-0.9	14
2016-05-22	@ Sogndal	D 2-2	1476	1553	21.1%	24.6%	54.3%	+0.9	6
2016-05-22	Valerenga	W 3-2	1679	1585	56.7%	23.3%	20.0%	+3.3	23
2016-05-22	@ Stromsgodset	L 2-3	1585	1679	20.0%	23.3%	56.7%	-3.3	10
2016-05-28	Molde	W 3-1	1762	1684	54.4%	24.5%	21.1%	+6.4	32
2016-05-28	@ Rosenborg	L 1-3	1684	1762	21.1%	24.5%	54.4%	-6.4	24
2016-05-28	Sarpsborg 08	L 1-2	1536	1566	38.8%	29.7%	31.5%	-6.3	13
2016-05-28	@ Tromso	W 2-1	1566	1536	31.5%	29.7%	38.8%	+6.2	19
2016-05-29	Valerenga	D 2-2	1553	1581	39.0%	29.6%	31.4%	-0.2	12
2016-05-29	@ Aalesund	D 2-2	1581	1553	31.4%	29.6%	39.0%	+0.2	11
2016-05-29	Haugesund	W 1-0	1541	1583	37.0%	29.8%	33.2%	+5.9	23
2016-05-29	@ Brann	L 0-1	1583	1541	33.2%	29.8%	37.0%	-5.9	21
2016-05-29	Stromsgodset	W 2-1	1682	1682	43.1%	28.9%	28.0%	+4.9	27
2016-05-29	@ Odds	L 1-2	1682	1682	28.0%	28.9%	43.1%	-4.9	23
2016-05-29	Lillestrom	D 2-2	1552	1620	33.3%	29.8%	36.9%	+0.1	15
2016-05-29	@ Sogndal	D 2-2	1620	1552	36.9%	29.8%	33.3%	-0.1	17
2016-05-29	Stabaek	L 0-5	1477	1536	34.5%	29.9%	35.6%	-26.9	6
2016-05-29	@ Start	W 5-0	1536	1477	35.6%	29.9%	34.5%	+26.9	10
2016-05-29	Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	1624	1549	54.0%	24.7%	21.3%	+7.5	23
2016-05-29	@ Viking	L 0-2	1549	1624	21.3%	24.7%	54.0%	-7.5	11
2016-07-01	Tromso	L 2-4	1620	1530	56.1%	23.6%	20.2%	-12.6	17
2016-07-01	@ Lillestrom	W 4-2	1530	1620	20.2%	23.6%	56.1%	+12.6	16
2016-07-02	Rosenborg	D 0-0	1541	1768	18.6%	21.6%	59.8%	+1.6	12
2016-07-02	@ Bodo Glimt	D 0-0	1768	1541	59.8%	21.6%	18.6%	-1.6	33
2016-07-02	Start	W 2-1	1577	1450	61.4%	20.6%	18.0%	+3.0	24
2016-07-02	@ Haugesund	L 1-2	1450	1577	18.0%	20.6%	61.4%	-3.0	6
2016-07-03	Viking	L 0-1	1677	1631	49.8%	26.7%	23.6%	-7.9	24
2016-07-03	@ Molde	W 1-0	1631	1677	23.6%	26.7%	49.8%	+7.9	26
2016-07-03	Brann	W 1-0	1572	1547	46.8%	27.8%	25.4%	+4.8	22
2016-07-03	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 0-1	1547	1572	25.4%	27.8%	46.8%	-4.8	23
2016-07-03	Sogndal	L 0-1	1563	1552	44.7%	28.4%	26.8%	-7.3	10
2016-07-03	@ Stabaek	W 1-0	1552	1563	26.8%	28.4%	44.7%	+7.3	18
2016-07-03	Odds	L 0-1	1582	1687	28.6%	29.1%	42.3%	-5.3	11
2016-07-03	@ Valerenga	W 1-0	1687	1582	42.3%	29.1%	28.6%	+5.3	30
2016-07-04	Aalesund	W 4-2	1677	1553	61.0%	20.8%	18.1%	+4.7	26
2016-07-04	@ Stromsgodset	L 2-4	1553	1677	18.1%	20.8%	61.0%	-4.7	12
2016-07-08	Bodo Glimt	L 1-4	1447	1543	29.7%	29.3%	40.9%	-12.6	6
2016-07-08	@ Start	W 4-1	1543	1447	40.9%	29.3%	29.7%	+12.6	15
2016-07-09	Valerenga	W 4-1	1542	1576	38.1%	29.7%	32.1%	+13.4	26
2016-07-09	@ Brann	L 1-4	1576	1542	32.1%	29.7%	38.1%	-13.4	11
2016-07-09	Sarpsborg 08	W 5-2	1767	1577	69.9%	15.3%	14.8%	+4.8	36
2016-07-09	@ Rosenborg	L 2-5	1577	1767	14.8%	15.3%	69.9%	-4.8	22
2016-07-09	Molde	W 4-3	1560	1669	28.1%	28.9%	42.9%	+6.2	21
2016-07-09	@ Sogndal	L 3-4	1669	1560	42.9%	28.9%	28.1%	-6.2	24
2016-07-09	Haugesund	D 2-2	1543	1580	37.6%	29.8%	32.6%	-0.1	17
2016-07-09	@ Tromso	D 2-2	1580	1543	32.6%	29.8%	37.6%	+0.1	25
2016-07-09	Stromsgodset	L 0-1	1639	1682	37.0%	29.8%	33.2%	-6.4	26
2016-07-09	@ Viking	W 1-0	1682	1639	33.2%	29.8%	37.0%	+6.4	29
2016-07-10	Stabaek	L 1-2	1607	1556	50.6%	26.3%	23.1%	-7.6	17
2016-07-10	@ Lillestrom	W 2-1	1556	1607	23.1%	26.3%	50.6%	+7.6	13
2016-07-10	Aalesund	W 4-1	1692	1548	63.8%	19.2%	17.1%	+6.9	33
2016-07-10	@ Odds	L 1-4	1548	1692	17.1%	19.2%	63.8%	-6.8	12
2016-07-15	Sogndal	D 1-1	1563	1566	42.7%	29.0%	28.3%	-0.5	12
2016-07-15	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1566	1563	28.3%	29.0%	42.7%	+0.5	22
2016-07-16	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1541	1771	18.4%	21.3%	60.3%	+1.5	13
2016-07-16	@ Aalesund	D 1-1	1771	1541	60.3%	21.3%	18.4%	-1.5	37
2016-07-16	Viking	W 4-1	1580	1633	35.5%	29.9%	34.7%	+14.1	28
2016-07-16	@ Haugesund	L 1-4	1633	1580	34.7%	29.9%	35.5%	-14.2	26
2016-07-17	Odds	W 2-1	1556	1699	24.7%	27.4%	47.9%	+7.3	18
2016-07-17	@ Bodo Glimt	L 1-2	1699	1556	47.9%	27.4%	24.7%	-7.3	33
2016-07-17	Start	D 2-2	1663	1434	74.9%	12.2%	13.0%	-1.6	25
2016-07-17	@ Molde	D 2-2	1434	1663	13.0%	12.2%	74.9%	+1.6	7
2016-07-17	Lillestrom	W 3-0	1572	1600	39.0%	29.6%	31.3%	+15.6	25
2016-07-17	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 0-3	1600	1572	31.3%	29.6%	39.0%	-15.6	17
2016-07-17	Brann	D 1-1	1563	1555	44.3%	28.6%	27.2%	-0.6	14
2016-07-17	@ Stabaek	D 1-1	1555	1563	27.2%	28.6%	44.3%	+0.6	27
2016-07-17	Tromso	W 1-0	1688	1542	64.0%	19.0%	17.0%	+2.9	32
2016-07-17	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-1	1542	1688	17.0%	19.0%	64.0%	-3.0	17
2016-07-22	Aalesund	W 6-0	1556	1543	45.1%	28.3%	26.6%	+26.0	30
2016-07-22	@ Brann	L 0-6	1543	1556	26.6%	28.3%	45.1%	-26.0	13
2016-07-23	Sarpsborg 08	L 0-1	1661	1587	53.8%	24.8%	21.4%	-8.4	25
2016-07-23	@ Molde	W 1-0	1587	1661	21.4%	24.8%	53.8%	+8.4	28
2016-07-23	Haugesund	W 6-0	1770	1594	68.0%	16.5%	15.5%	+13.5	40
2016-07-23	@ Rosenborg	L 0-6	1594	1770	15.5%	16.5%	68.0%	-13.5	28
2016-07-24	Stromsgodset	W 2-0	1584	1691	28.5%	29.0%	42.5%	+13.4	20
2016-07-24	@ Lillestrom	L 0-2	1691	1584	42.5%	29.0%	28.5%	-13.3	32
2016-07-24	Viking	D 2-2	1692	1619	53.7%	24.9%	21.4%	-0.8	34
2016-07-24	@ Odds	D 2-2	1619	1692	21.4%	24.9%	53.7%	+0.8	27
2016-07-24	Bodo Glimt	D 2-2	1566	1563	43.6%	28.7%	27.6%	-0.4	23
2016-07-24	@ Sogndal	D 2-2	1563	1566	27.6%	28.7%	43.6%	+0.4	19
2016-07-24	Valerenga	L 2-4	1436	1562	26.4%	28.2%	45.4%	-7.2	7
2016-07-24	@ Start	W 4-2	1562	1436	45.4%	28.2%	26.4%	+7.2	15
2016-07-24	Stabaek	D 2-2	1539	1563	39.7%	29.5%	30.7%	-0.2	18
2016-07-24	@ Tromso	D 2-2	1563	1539	30.7%	29.5%	39.7%	+0.2	15
2016-07-29	Start	W 1-0	1596	1429	66.9%	17.2%	15.9%	+2.7	31
2016-07-29	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 0-1	1429	1596	15.9%	17.2%	66.9%	-2.7	7
2016-07-31	Lillestrom	W 2-0	1517	1598	31.6%	29.7%	38.8%	+12.5	16
2016-07-31	@ Aalesund	L 0-2	1598	1517	38.8%	29.7%	31.6%	-12.5	20
2016-07-31	Tromso	L 0-3	1563	1539	46.6%	27.9%	25.5%	-20.7	19
2016-07-31	@ Bodo Glimt	W 3-0	1539	1563	25.5%	27.9%	46.6%	+20.7	21
2016-07-31	Sogndal	L 0-1	1581	1566	45.3%	28.3%	26.4%	-7.4	28
2016-07-31	@ Haugesund	W 1-0	1566	1581	26.4%	28.3%	45.3%	+7.4	26
2016-07-31	Brann	L 1-3	1691	1582	58.8%	22.1%	19.1%	-14.5	34
2016-07-31	@ Odds	W 3-1	1582	1691	19.1%	22.1%	58.8%	+14.5	33
2016-07-31	Stabaek	D 2-2	1678	1563	59.7%	21.6%	18.7%	-1.1	33
2016-07-31	@ Stromsgodset	D 2-2	1563	1678	18.7%	21.6%	59.7%	+1.1	16
2016-08-01	Molde	W 3-0	1570	1653	31.3%	29.6%	39.1%	+18.3	18
2016-08-01	@ Valerenga	L 0-3	1653	1570	39.1%	29.6%	31.3%	-18.3	25
2016-08-05	Aalesund	L 1-2	1560	1529	47.6%	27.5%	24.9%	-7.2	21
2016-08-05	@ Tromso	W 2-1	1529	1560	24.9%	27.5%	47.6%	+7.2	19
2016-08-06	Rosenborg	L 3-4	1585	1783	20.4%	23.8%	55.8%	-3.3	20
2016-08-06	@ Lillestrom	W 4-3	1783	1585	55.8%	23.8%	20.4%	+3.3	43
2016-08-06	Bodo Glimt	W 3-2	1635	1543	56.5%	23.4%	20.1%	+3.3	28
2016-08-06	@ Molde	L 2-3	1543	1635	20.1%	23.4%	56.5%	-3.3	19
2016-08-07	Stromsgodset	W 1-0	1597	1677	31.7%	29.7%	38.6%	+6.6	36
2016-08-07	@ Brann	L 0-1	1677	1597	38.6%	29.7%	31.7%	-6.6	33
2016-08-07	Valerenga	L 0-2	1598	1588	44.6%	28.5%	26.9%	-13.8	31
2016-08-07	@ Sarpsborg 08	W 2-0	1588	1598	26.9%	28.5%	44.6%	+13.8	21
2016-08-07	Viking	L 1-2	1573	1620	36.4%	29.9%	33.8%	-6.0	26
2016-08-07	@ Sogndal	W 2-1	1620	1573	33.8%	29.9%	36.4%	+6.0	30
2016-08-07	Haugesund	L 0-1	1564	1573	41.8%	29.2%	29.1%	-7.0	16
2016-08-07	@ Stabaek	W 1-0	1573	1564	29.1%	29.2%	41.8%	+7.0	31
2016-08-07	Odds	L 1-2	1426	1676	17.3%	19.6%	63.1%	-2.9	7
2016-08-07	@ Start	W 2-1	1676	1426	63.1%	19.6%	17.3%	+2.9	37
2016-08-11	Rosenborg	L 0-2	1626	1787	23.2%	26.4%	50.4%	-8.2	30
2016-08-11	@ Viking	W 2-0	1787	1626	50.4%	26.4%	23.2%	+8.2	46
2016-08-13	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1539	1582	36.9%	29.8%	33.2%	-0.1	20
2016-08-13	@ Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1582	1539	33.2%	29.8%	36.9%	+0.1	21
2016-08-13	Brann	W 3-2	1602	1603	42.9%	28.9%	28.2%	+4.7	24
2016-08-13	@ Valerenga	L 2-3	1603	1602	28.2%	28.9%	42.9%	-4.7	36
2016-08-14	Molde	L 0-2	1536	1638	29.0%	29.2%	41.8%	-10.1	19
2016-08-14	@ Aalesund	W 2-0	1638	1536	41.8%	29.2%	29.0%	+10.1	31
2016-08-14	Tromso	W 2-1	1580	1553	47.1%	27.7%	25.2%	+4.5	34
2016-08-14	@ Haugesund	L 1-2	1553	1580	25.2%	27.7%	47.1%	-4.5	21
2016-08-14	Sarpsborg 08	D 0-0	1679	1585	56.8%	23.2%	19.9%	-1.5	38
2016-08-14	@ Odds	D 0-0	1585	1679	19.9%	23.2%	56.8%	+1.5	32
2016-08-14	Sogndal	W 3-1	1795	1567	74.7%	12.2%	13.0%	+3.3	49
2016-08-14	@ Rosenborg	L 1-3	1567	1795	13.0%	12.2%	74.7%	-3.3	26
2016-08-14	Start	D 1-1	1670	1423	77.0%	10.8%	12.2%	-2.2	34
2016-08-14	@ Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1423	1670	12.2%	10.8%	77.0%	+2.2	8
2016-08-14	Stabaek	D 2-2	1617	1557	51.9%	25.7%	22.4%	-0.8	31
2016-08-14	@ Viking	D 2-2	1557	1617	22.4%	25.7%	51.9%	+0.8	17
2016-08-19	Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1606	1539	52.9%	25.3%	21.9%	-1.1	25
2016-08-19	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1539	1606	21.9%	25.3%	52.9%	+1.1	21
2016-08-20	Haugesund	D 1-1	1582	1585	42.7%	29.0%	28.3%	-0.5	22
2016-08-20	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1585	1582	28.3%	29.0%	42.7%	+0.5	35
2016-08-21	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1599	1798	20.3%	23.7%	56.0%	+1.2	37
2016-08-21	@ Brann	D 1-1	1798	1599	56.0%	23.7%	20.3%	-1.2	50
2016-08-21	Odds	W 4-2	1648	1678	38.8%	29.7%	31.5%	+8.3	34
2016-08-21	@ Molde	L 2-4	1678	1648	31.5%	29.7%	38.8%	-8.3	38
2016-08-21	Stromsgodset	W 1-0	1586	1668	31.5%	29.6%	38.9%	+6.6	35
2016-08-21	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 0-1	1668	1586	38.9%	29.6%	31.5%	-6.6	34
2016-08-21	Aalesund	W 3-0	1558	1526	47.7%	27.5%	24.8%	+12.8	20
2016-08-21	@ Stabaek	L 0-3	1526	1558	24.8%	27.5%	47.7%	-12.8	19
2016-08-21	Sogndal	D 1-1	1425	1564	25.2%	27.7%	47.1%	+0.8	9
2016-08-21	@ Start	D 1-1	1564	1425	47.1%	27.7%	25.2%	-0.8	27
2016-08-21	Viking	W 2-1	1548	1617	33.2%	29.8%	36.9%	+6.0	24
2016-08-21	@ Tromso	L 1-2	1617	1548	36.9%	29.8%	33.2%	-6.0	31
2016-08-26	Sarpsborg 08	D 2-2	1513	1593	31.8%	29.7%	38.5%	+0.2	20
2016-08-26	@ Aalesund	D 2-2	1593	1513	38.5%	29.7%	31.8%	-0.2	36
2016-08-27	Brann	W 3-2	1585	1600	41.0%	29.3%	29.6%	+4.9	38
2016-08-27	@ Haugesund	L 2-3	1600	1585	29.6%	29.3%	41.0%	-4.9	37
2016-08-27	Molde	L 0-2	1661	1657	43.8%	28.7%	27.5%	-13.6	34
2016-08-27	@ Stromsgodset	W 2-0	1657	1661	27.5%	28.7%	43.8%	+13.6	37
2016-08-28	Start	W 2-0	1540	1426	59.6%	21.7%	18.8%	+6.4	24
2016-08-28	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-2	1426	1540	18.8%	21.7%	59.6%	-6.4	9
2016-08-28	Valerenga	L 1-2	1670	1605	52.4%	25.5%	22.1%	-7.8	38
2016-08-28	@ Odds	W 2-1	1605	1670	22.1%	25.5%	52.4%	+7.8	28
2016-08-28	Tromso	W 3-1	1797	1554	76.5%	11.1%	12.4%	+3.1	53
2016-08-28	@ Rosenborg	L 1-3	1554	1797	12.4%	11.1%	76.5%	-3.1	24
2016-08-28	Stabaek	D 1-1	1563	1571	42.0%	29.1%	28.8%	-0.4	28
2016-08-28	@ Sogndal	D 1-1	1571	1563	28.8%	29.1%	42.0%	+0.4	21
2016-08-28	Lillestrom	D 2-2	1611	1582	47.4%	27.6%	25.1%	-0.6	32
2016-08-28	@ Viking	D 2-2	1582	1611	25.1%	27.6%	47.4%	+0.6	23
2016-09-09	Aalesund	L 1-4	1420	1514	30.0%	29.4%	40.6%	-12.7	9
2016-09-09	@ Start	W 4-1	1514	1420	40.6%	29.4%	30.0%	+12.7	23
2016-09-10	Viking	D 0-0	1595	1610	40.9%	29.3%	29.8%	-0.4	38
2016-09-10	@ Brann	D 0-0	1610	1595	29.8%	29.3%	40.9%	+0.4	33
2016-09-10	Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1613	1648	38.1%	29.7%	32.2%	-0.2	29
2016-09-10	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1648	1613	32.2%	29.7%	38.1%	+0.2	35
2016-09-11	Odds	L 2-4	1582	1662	31.8%	29.7%	38.6%	-8.4	23
2016-09-11	@ Lillestrom	W 4-2	1662	1582	38.6%	29.7%	31.8%	+8.4	41
2016-09-11	Haugesund	D 0-0	1670	1590	54.7%	24.4%	20.9%	-1.3	38
2016-09-11	@ Molde	D 0-0	1590	1670	20.9%	24.4%	54.7%	+1.3	39
2016-09-11	Bodo Glimt	L 1-2	1593	1547	49.8%	26.7%	23.5%	-7.5	36
2016-09-11	@ Sarpsborg 08	W 2-1	1547	1593	23.5%	26.7%	49.8%	+7.5	27
2016-09-11	Rosenborg	L 0-2	1571	1800	18.5%	21.4%	60.1%	-6.3	21
2016-09-11	@ Stabaek	W 2-0	1800	1571	60.1%	21.4%	18.5%	+6.3	56
2016-09-11	Sogndal	W 2-0	1551	1563	41.4%	29.2%	29.3%	+10.2	27
2016-09-11	@ Tromso	L 0-2	1563	1551	29.3%	29.2%	41.4%	-10.2	28
2016-09-16	Valerenga	D 1-1	1592	1613	40.0%	29.5%	30.5%	-0.3	40
2016-09-16	@ Haugesund	D 1-1	1613	1592	30.5%	29.5%	40.0%	+0.3	30
2016-09-17	Lillestrom	W 2-1	1561	1574	41.3%	29.3%	29.4%	+5.1	30
2016-09-17	@ Tromso	L 1-2	1574	1561	29.4%	29.3%	41.3%	-5.1	23
2016-09-17	Molde	W 1-0	1610	1669	34.6%	29.9%	35.5%	+6.2	36
2016-09-17	@ Viking	L 0-1	1669	1610	35.5%	29.9%	34.6%	-6.2	38
2016-09-18	Stromsgodset	W 4-2	1526	1648	26.9%	28.5%	44.6%	+10.7	26
2016-09-18	@ Aalesund	L 2-4	1648	1526	44.6%	28.5%	26.9%	-10.7	35
2016-09-18	Brann	L 1-3	1554	1594	37.2%	29.8%	33.0%	-10.5	27
2016-09-18	@ Bodo Glimt	W 3-1	1594	1554	33.0%	29.8%	37.2%	+10.5	41
2016-09-18	Stabaek	L 0-1	1670	1565	58.3%	22.4%	19.3%	-8.8	41
2016-09-18	@ Odds	W 1-0	1565	1670	19.3%	22.4%	58.3%	+8.8	24
2016-09-18	Start	W 2-0	1806	1407	90.6%	3.0%	6.4%	+1.6	59
2016-09-18	@ Rosenborg	L 0-2	1407	1806	6.4%	3.0%	90.6%	-1.6	9
2016-09-18	Sarpsborg 08	W 3-0	1553	1585	38.4%	29.7%	31.9%	+15.8	31
2016-09-18	@ Sogndal	L 0-3	1585	1553	31.9%	29.7%	38.4%	-15.8	36
2016-09-24	Rosenborg	L 1-3	1663	1808	24.6%	27.3%	48.1%	-7.5	38
2016-09-24	@ Molde	W 3-1	1808	1663	48.1%	27.3%	24.6%	+7.5	62
2016-09-24	Viking	W 1-0	1569	1617	36.2%	29.9%	33.9%	+6.0	39
2016-09-24	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 0-1	1617	1569	33.9%	29.9%	36.2%	-6.0	36
2016-09-25	Tromso	W 1-0	1605	1567	48.7%	27.1%	24.2%	+4.5	44
2016-09-25	@ Brann	L 0-1	1567	1605	24.2%	27.1%	48.7%	-4.5	30
2016-09-25	Sogndal	L 1-2	1569	1568	43.1%	28.9%	28.0%	-6.7	23
2016-09-25	@ Lillestrom	W 2-1	1568	1569	28.0%	28.9%	43.1%	+6.7	34
2016-09-25	Haugesund	W 1-0	1406	1591	21.3%	24.7%	53.9%	+8.4	12
2016-09-25	@ Start	L 0-1	1591	1406	53.9%	24.7%	21.3%	-8.4	40
2016-09-25	Odds	D 1-1	1637	1661	39.6%	29.6%	30.9%	-0.3	36
2016-09-25	@ Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1661	1637	30.9%	29.6%	39.6%	+0.3	42
2016-09-25	Aalesund	L 0-1	1613	1537	54.1%	24.6%	21.2%	-8.4	30
2016-09-25	@ Valerenga	W 1-0	1537	1613	21.2%	24.6%	54.1%	+8.4	29
2016-09-26	Bodo Glimt	W 1-0	1574	1544	47.5%	27.5%	25.0%	+4.7	27
2016-09-26	@ Stabaek	L 0-1	1544	1574	25.0%	27.5%	47.5%	-4.7	27
2016-09-30	Stromsgodset	W 4-2	1539	1637	29.5%	29.3%	41.2%	+10.1	30
2016-09-30	@ Bodo Glimt	L 2-4	1637	1539	41.2%	29.3%	29.5%	-10.1	36
2016-10-01	Brann	D 0-0	1575	1610	38.1%	29.7%	32.1%	-0.2	35
2016-10-01	@ Sogndal	D 0-0	1610	1575	32.1%	29.7%	38.1%	+0.2	45
2016-10-01	Lillestrom	L 1-2	1578	1562	45.5%	28.2%	26.3%	-7.0	27
2016-10-01	@ Stabaek	W 2-1	1562	1578	26.3%	28.2%	45.5%	+7.0	26
2016-10-02	Odds	W 1-0	1545	1662	27.4%	28.7%	43.9%	+7.2	32
2016-10-02	@ Aalesund	L 0-1	1662	1545	43.9%	28.7%	27.4%	-7.2	42
2016-10-02	Sarpsborg 08	D 1-1	1583	1575	44.2%	28.6%	27.2%	-0.6	41
2016-10-02	@ Haugesund	D 1-1	1575	1583	27.2%	28.6%	44.2%	+0.6	40
2016-10-02	Valerenga	W 3-1	1815	1605	72.6%	13.6%	13.8%	+3.6	65
2016-10-02	@ Rosenborg	L 1-3	1605	1815	13.8%	13.6%	72.6%	-3.6	30
2016-10-02	Molde	L 0-2	1562	1655	30.1%	29.4%	40.5%	-10.4	30
2016-10-02	@ Tromso	W 2-0	1655	1562	40.5%	29.4%	30.1%	+10.4	41
2016-10-02	Start	W 2-0	1611	1414	70.8%	14.7%	14.4%	+4.4	39
2016-10-02	@ Viking	L 0-2	1414	1611	14.4%	14.7%	70.8%	-4.4	12
2016-10-14	Viking	D 1-1	1627	1615	44.8%	28.4%	26.8%	-0.6	37
2016-10-14	@ Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1615	1627	26.8%	28.4%	44.8%	+0.6	40
2016-10-15	Bodo Glimt	W 1-0	1553	1549	43.7%	28.7%	27.6%	+5.1	35
2016-10-15	@ Aalesund	L 0-1	1549	1553	27.6%	28.7%	43.7%	-5.1	30
2016-10-15	Rosenborg	D 2-2	1576	1819	17.7%	20.2%	62.1%	+1.2	41
2016-10-15	@ Sarpsborg 08	D 2-2	1819	1576	62.1%	20.2%	17.7%	-1.2	66
2016-10-16	Lillestrom	L 1-2	1610	1569	49.1%	27.0%	24.0%	-7.4	45
2016-10-16	@ Brann	W 2-1	1569	1610	24.0%	27.0%	49.1%	+7.4	29
2016-10-16	Sogndal	D 0-0	1665	1575	56.2%	23.6%	20.2%	-1.4	42
2016-10-16	@ Molde	D 0-0	1575	1665	20.2%	23.6%	56.2%	+1.4	36
2016-10-16	Haugesund	W 2-1	1654	1582	53.6%	24.9%	21.5%	+3.8	45
2016-10-16	@ Odds	L 1-2	1582	1654	21.5%	24.9%	53.6%	-3.8	41
2016-10-16	Tromso	W 2-1	1410	1552	24.9%	27.5%	47.6%	+7.2	15
2016-10-16	@ Start	L 1-2	1552	1410	47.6%	27.5%	24.9%	-7.2	30
2016-10-16	Stabaek	D 1-1	1601	1571	47.5%	27.6%	25.0%	-0.8	31
2016-10-16	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1571	1601	25.0%	27.6%	47.5%	+0.8	28
2016-10-21	Aalesund	L 2-3	1616	1558	51.5%	25.9%	22.6%	-7.3	40
2016-10-21	@ Viking	W 3-2	1558	1616	22.6%	25.9%	51.5%	+7.3	38
2016-10-22	Molde	W 2-1	1602	1664	34.2%	29.9%	35.9%	+5.9	48
2016-10-22	@ Brann	L 1-2	1664	1602	35.9%	29.9%	34.2%	-5.9	42
2016-10-22	Sarpsborg 08	L 1-2	1572	1577	42.4%	29.0%	28.6%	-6.7	28
2016-10-22	@ Stabaek	W 2-1	1577	1572	28.6%	29.0%	42.4%	+6.7	44
2016-10-23	Bodo Glimt	W 2-1	1579	1544	48.2%	27.3%	24.5%	+4.3	44
2016-10-23	@ Haugesund	L 1-2	1544	1579	24.5%	27.3%	48.2%	-4.3	30
2016-10-23	Start	D 1-1	1576	1417	65.9%	17.9%	16.3%	-1.8	30
2016-10-23	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1417	1576	16.3%	17.9%	65.9%	+1.8	16
2016-10-23	Odds	L 1-2	1818	1658	65.9%	17.8%	16.2%	-9.0	66
2016-10-23	@ Rosenborg	W 2-1	1658	1818	16.2%	17.8%	65.9%	+9.0	48
2016-10-23	Stromsgodset	L 0-1	1576	1626	35.9%	29.9%	34.2%	-6.3	36
2016-10-23	@ Sogndal	W 1-0	1626	1576	34.2%	29.9%	35.9%	+6.3	40
2016-10-23	Valerenga	L 0-3	1544	1600	35.0%	29.9%	35.1%	-16.9	30
2016-10-23	@ Tromso	W 3-0	1600	1544	35.1%	29.9%	35.0%	+16.9	34
2016-10-30	Haugesund	D 3-3	1565	1583	40.5%	29.4%	30.1%	-0.2	39
2016-10-30	@ Aalesund	D 3-3	1583	1565	30.1%	29.4%	40.5%	+0.2	45
2016-10-30	Viking	L 0-2	1540	1608	33.2%	29.8%	37.0%	-11.2	30
2016-10-30	@ Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	1608	1540	37.0%	29.8%	33.2%	+11.2	43
2016-10-30	Stabaek	W 3-0	1658	1565	56.5%	23.4%	20.1%	+10.1	45
2016-10-30	@ Molde	L 0-3	1565	1658	20.1%	23.4%	56.5%	-10.1	28
2016-10-30	Sogndal	W 3-1	1667	1570	57.1%	23.1%	19.8%	+5.9	51
2016-10-30	@ Odds	L 1-3	1570	1667	19.8%	23.1%	57.1%	-5.9	36
2016-10-30	Tromso	D 2-2	1584	1527	51.3%	26.0%	22.7%	-0.7	45
2016-10-30	@ Sarpsborg 08	D 2-2	1527	1584	22.7%	26.0%	51.3%	+0.7	31
2016-10-30	Brann	L 1-2	1419	1608	21.0%	24.4%	54.5%	-3.7	16
2016-10-30	@ Start	W 2-1	1608	1419	54.5%	24.4%	21.0%	+3.7	51
2016-10-30	Rosenborg	W 2-0	1632	1809	22.0%	25.4%	52.6%	+15.5	43
2016-10-30	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-2	1809	1632	52.6%	25.4%	22.0%	-15.5	66
2016-10-30	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1617	1574	49.4%	26.8%	23.8%	-0.9	35
2016-10-30	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1574	1617	23.8%	26.8%	49.4%	+0.9	31
2016-11-06	Sarpsborg 08	W 2-1	1612	1583	47.3%	27.6%	25.1%	+4.4	54
2016-11-06	@ Brann	L 1-2	1583	1612	25.1%	27.6%	47.3%	-4.4	45
2016-11-06	Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1583	1648	33.7%	29.8%	36.4%	+0.1	46
2016-11-06	@ Haugesund	D 1-1	1648	1583	36.4%	29.8%	33.7%	-0.1	44
2016-11-06	Molde	W 1-0	1575	1668	30.1%	29.4%	40.5%	+6.8	34
2016-11-06	@ Lillestrom	L 0-1	1668	1575	40.5%	29.4%	30.1%	-6.8	45
2016-11-06	Bodo Glimt	W 2-1	1793	1528	79.1%	9.5%	11.4%	+1.6	69
2016-11-06	@ Rosenborg	L 1-2	1528	1793	11.4%	9.5%	79.1%	-1.6	30
2016-11-06	Aalesund	L 2-4	1564	1565	43.0%	28.9%	28.1%	-10.4	36
2016-11-06	@ Sogndal	W 4-2	1565	1564	28.1%	28.9%	43.0%	+10.4	42
2016-11-06	Start	W 3-0	1555	1415	63.3%	19.5%	17.2%	+8.3	31
2016-11-06	@ Stabaek	L 0-3	1415	1555	17.2%	19.5%	63.3%	-8.3	16
2016-11-06	Odds	W 3-1	1528	1673	24.6%	27.3%	48.0%	+12.6	34
2016-11-06	@ Tromso	L 1-3	1673	1528	48.0%	27.3%	24.6%	-12.6	51
2016-11-06	Valerenga	L 0-2	1620	1616	43.6%	28.8%	27.7%	-13.6	43
2016-11-06	@ Viking	W 2-0	1616	1620	27.7%	28.8%	43.6%	+13.6	38

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2016-10-23	16.25%	Odds	1658	2	@ Rosenborg	1818	1
2	2016-07-31	19.05%	Brann	1582	3	@ Odds	1691	1
3	2016-04-20	19.17%	Brann	1528	1	@ Viking	1635	0
4	2016-09-18	19.27%	Stabaek	1565	1	@ Odds	1670	0
5	2016-07-01	20.25%	Tromso	1530	4	@ Lillestrom	1620	2
6	2016-04-24	21.02%	Lillestrom	1611	3	@ Odds	1690	1
7	2016-09-25	21.21%	Aalesund	1537	1	@ Valerenga	1613	0
8	2016-09-25	21.31%	@ Start	1406	1	Haugesund	1591	0
9	2016-07-23	21.36%	Sarpsborg 08	1587	1	@ Molde	1661	0
10	2016-10-30	21.99%	@ Stromsgodset	1632	2	Rosenborg	1809	0
11	2016-08-28	22.09%	Valerenga	1605	2	@ Odds	1670	1
12	2016-10-21	22.58%	Aalesund	1558	3	@ Viking	1616	2
13	2016-07-10	23.08%	Stabaek	1556	2	@ Lillestrom	1607	1
14	2016-04-24	23.37%	@ Sarpsborg 08	1547	4	Molde	1706	0
15	2016-09-11	23.55%	Bodo Glimt	1547	2	@ Sarpsborg 08	1593	1
16	2016-07-03	23.57%	Viking	1631	1	@ Molde	1677	0
17	2016-05-21	23.79%	Tromso	1515	3	@ Stabaek	1558	0
18	2016-10-16	23.99%	Lillestrom	1569	2	@ Brann	1610	1
19	2016-04-03	24.13%	Brann	1520	2	@ Aalesund	1560	1
20	2016-05-08	24.55%	Sogndal	1535	4	@ Aalesund	1569	1
21	2016-11-06	24.61%	@ Tromso	1528	3	Odds	1673	1
22	2016-07-17	24.74%	@ Bodo Glimt	1556	2	Odds	1699	1
23	2016-10-16	24.87%	@ Start	1410	2	Tromso	1552	1
24	2016-08-05	24.89%	Aalesund	1529	2	@ Tromso	1560	1
25	2016-04-20	25.00%	Haugesund	1550	4	@ Bodo Glimt	1580	3

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2016-04-24	28.48	@ Sarpsborg 08	4	1547	23.37%	Molde	0	1706	50.10%
2	2016-04-24	27.54	@ Aalesund	6	1545	42.59%	Tromso	0	1549	28.41%
3	2016-05-29	26.91	Stabaek	5	1536	35.62%	@ Start	0	1477	34.50%
4	2016-07-22	26.00	@ Brann	6	1556	45.08%	Aalesund	0	1543	26.58%
5	2016-05-21	21.59	Tromso	3	1515	23.79%	@ Stabaek	0	1558	49.40%
6	2016-07-31	20.71	Tromso	3	1539	25.53%	@ Bodo Glimt	0	1563	46.61%
7	2016-04-17	18.48	@ Valerenga	4	1573	43.38%	Tromso	0	1571	27.81%
8	2016-08-01	18.26	@ Valerenga	3	1570	31.28%	Molde	0	1653	39.10%
9	2016-05-08	17.87	Sogndal	4	1535	24.55%	@ Aalesund	1	1569	48.14%
10	2016-10-23	16.88	Valerenga	3	1600	35.14%	@ Tromso	0	1544	34.97%
11	2016-09-18	15.79	@ Sogndal	3	1553	38.39%	Sarpsborg 08	0	1585	31.90%
12	2016-03-19	15.58	@ Haugesund	3	1547	39.02%	Aalesund	0	1575	31.34%
13	2016-04-09	15.58	@ Lillestrom	4	1597	50.39%	Sarpsborg 08	0	1547	23.21%
14	2016-07-17	15.57	@ Sarpsborg 08	3	1572	39.03%	Lillestrom	0	1600	31.34%
15	2016-10-30	15.54	@ Stromsgodset	2	1632	21.99%	Rosenborg	0	1809	52.62%
16	2016-04-21	15.50	Sarpsborg 08	4	1531	30.98%	@ Start	1	1506	39.44%
17	2016-05-08	14.76	@ Valerenga	3	1577	41.48%	Sarpsborg 08	0	1588	29.28%
18	2016-07-31	14.53	Brann	3	1582	19.05%	@ Odds	1	1691	58.83%
19	2016-07-16	14.15	@ Haugesund	4	1580	35.46%	Viking	1	1633	34.66%
20	2016-08-07	13.83	Valerenga	2	1588	26.88%	@ Sarpsborg 08	0	1598	44.65%
21	2016-04-24	13.80	Lillestrom	3	1611	21.02%	@ Odds	1	1690	54.54%
22	2016-08-27	13.64	Molde	2	1657	27.50%	@ Stromsgodset	0	1661	43.80%
23	2016-11-06	13.59	Valerenga	2	1616	27.66%	@ Viking	0	1620	43.58%
24	2016-05-16	13.53	@ Stromsgodset	4	1665	55.65%	Sarpsborg 08	0	1579	20.48%
25	2016-07-23	13.53	@ Rosenborg	6	1770	68.04%	Haugesund	0	1594	15.46%