2021 Eliteserien Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Bodo Glimt

63 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Viking

13.40 points above expected

57 points · 43.60 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Mjondalen

11.22 points below expected

22 points · 33.22 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Bodo Glimt	30	18	9	3	63	59	25	+34	60.7	+2.28
2	Molde	30	18	6	6	60	70	40	+30	57.6	+2.38
3	Viking	30	17	6	7	57	60	47	+13	43.6	+13.40
4	Lillestrom	30	14	7	9	49	49	40	+9	37.7	+11.27
5	Rosenborg	30	13	9	8	48	58	42	+16	49.5	-1.48
6	Kristiansund	30	14	4	12	46	41	46	-5	42.7	+3.30
7	Valerenga	30	11	12	7	45	46	37	+9	47.2	-2.17
8	Sarpsborg 08	30	11	6	13	39	39	44	-5	36.6	+2.40
9	Stromsgodset	30	9	9	12	36	43	43	0	36.0	+0.02
10	Sandefjord	30	10	6	14	36	38	52	-14	33.5	+2.46
11	Haugesund	30	9	8	13	35	46	45	+1	38.8	-3.80
12	Tromso	30	8	11	11	35	33	44	-11	35.0	-0.03
13	Odds	30	8	9	13	33	44	58	-14	38.5	-5.52
14	Brann	30	5	11	14	26	38	55	-17	32.8	-6.81
15	Stabaek	30	6	7	17	25	35	62	-27	34.8	-9.77
16	Mjondalen	30	4	10	16	22	33	52	-19	33.2	-11.22

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Bodo Glimt	1811	63	60.72	+2.28	65.7%	36	50	56	61	65	72	86
Molde	1749	60	57.62	+2.38	66.1%	31	46	53	58	62	69	81
Rosenborg	1687	48	49.48	-1.48	44.4%	24	38	45	50	54	61	74
Viking	1677	57	43.60	+13.40	98.0%	18	32	39	44	48	55	73
Valerenga	1663	45	47.17	-2.17	40.7%	22	36	43	47	52	58	74
Lillestrom	1622	49	37.73	+11.27	95.5%	16	27	33	38	42	49	64
Kristiansund	1592	46	42.70	+3.30	71.4%	19	32	38	43	47	54	69
Stromsgodset	1591	36	35.98	+0.02	53.4%	13	25	31	36	40	47	67
Sarpsborg 08	1584	39	36.60	+2.40	67.4%	12	26	32	36	41	48	66
Haugesund	1584	35	38.80	-3.80	31.2%	15	28	34	39	43	50	64
Tromso	1566	35	35.03	-0.03	54.0%	13	24	30	35	40	46	60
Odds	1562	33	38.52	-5.52	23.1%	15	28	34	38	43	50	67
Sandefjord	1540	36	33.54	+2.46	67.1%	11	22	29	33	38	45	58
Brann	1530	26	32.81	-6.81	17.4%	11	22	28	33	37	44	60
Stabaek	1528	25	34.77	-9.77	8.4%	11	24	30	35	39	46	61
Mjondalen	1517	22	33.22	-11.22	5.2%	10	22	29	33	38	44	60

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BG	BRA	HAU	KRI	LIL	MJO	MOL	ODD	ROS	SAN	S0	STA	STR	TRO	VAL	VIK
Bodo Glimt	—	1-1-0 4.51	1-1-0 4.21	2-0-0 3.77	2-0-0 4.09	2-0-0 4.53	1-0-1 2.85	0-1-1 4.12	0-2-0 3.55	1-0-1 4.53	1-1-0 4.28	2-0-0 4.30	1-1-0 4.35	2-0-0 4.24	1-1-0 3.68	1-1-0 3.78
Brann	0-1-1 1.21	—	0-0-2 2.31	1-0-1 1.98	1-1-0 2.32	0-2-0 2.63	0-0-2 1.45	0-1-1 2.39	0-1-1 1.71	1-1-0 2.59	1-1-0 2.36	0-1-1 2.52	1-0-1 2.57	0-2-0 2.62	0-0-2 2.02	0-0-2 2.09
Haugesund	0-1-1 1.43	2-0-0 3.14	—	1-0-1 2.35	0-0-2 2.95	1-0-1 3.15	0-0-2 1.65	0-0-2 2.85	0-2-0 2.08	0-1-1 3.14	1-1-0 2.81	0-1-1 2.93	1-1-0 2.84	1-0-1 3.03	1-0-1 2.22	1-1-0 2.33
Kristiansund	0-0-2 1.76	1-0-1 3.50	1-0-1 3.08	—	1-1-0 3.17	0-1-1 3.47	1-0-1 1.84	2-0-0 2.92	1-0-1 2.31	1-0-1 3.13	1-0-1 3.21	1-0-1 3.31	2-0-0 3.19	0-2-0 3.11	2-0-0 2.19	0-0-2 2.50
Lillestrom	0-0-2 1.52	0-1-1 3.15	2-0-0 2.47	0-1-1 2.28	—	2-0-0 3.00	0-2-0 1.60	2-0-0 2.55	2-0-0 1.91	1-1-0 3.08	1-0-1 2.95	2-0-0 2.99	1-0-1 2.78	1-0-1 2.89	0-2-0 2.20	0-0-2 2.32
Mjondalen	0-0-2 1.19	0-2-0 2.77	1-0-1 2.29	1-1-0 1.99	0-0-2 2.41	—	0-1-1 1.45	0-1-1 2.33	0-0-2 1.75	1-1-0 2.60	0-1-1 2.48	0-1-1 2.78	1-1-0 2.53	0-0-2 2.63	0-1-1 1.92	0-0-2 2.03
Molde	1-0-1 2.58	2-0-0 4.18	2-0-0 3.93	1-0-1 3.67	0-2-0 3.98	1-1-0 4.18	—	2-0-0 3.92	2-0-0 3.10	2-0-0 4.19	1-0-1 4.07	2-0-0 4.20	1-0-1 4.24	1-1-0 4.11	0-1-1 3.49	0-1-1 3.82
Odds	1-1-0 1.50	1-1-0 3.04	2-0-0 2.58	0-0-2 2.50	0-0-2 2.85	1-1-0 3.10	0-0-2 1.64	—	0-1-1 2.30	0-1-1 3.06	0-2-0 2.73	1-1-0 2.80	0-0-2 3.00	1-0-1 2.95	0-1-1 2.12	1-0-1 2.37
Rosenborg	0-2-0 1.93	1-1-0 3.84	0-2-0 3.37	1-0-1 3.12	0-0-2 3.58	2-0-0 3.80	0-0-2 2.34	1-1-0 3.17	—	2-0-0 3.84	1-0-1 3.57	2-0-0 3.57	0-1-1 3.69	2-0-0 3.72	0-2-0 2.91	1-0-1 3.09
Sandefjord	1-0-1 1.19	0-1-1 2.82	1-1-0 2.30	1-0-1 2.32	0-1-1 2.38	0-1-1 2.81	0-0-2 1.44	1-1-0 2.37	0-0-2 1.72	—	1-0-1 2.59	1-0-1 2.70	1-0-1 2.54	1-1-0 2.61	1-0-1 1.83	1-0-1 2.02
Sarpsborg 08	0-1-1 1.38	0-1-1 3.07	0-1-1 2.62	1-0-1 2.26	1-0-1 2.46	1-1-0 2.93	1-0-1 1.53	0-2-0 2.72	1-0-1 1.92	1-0-1 2.82	—	1-0-1 2.93	1-0-1 2.65	1-0-1 2.84	1-0-1 2.04	1-0-1 2.32
Stabaek	0-0-2 1.36	1-1-0 2.93	1-1-0 2.47	1-0-1 2.14	0-0-2 2.45	1-1-0 2.65	0-0-2 1.43	0-1-1 2.63	0-0-2 1.91	1-0-1 2.75	1-0-1 2.52	—	0-1-1 2.56	0-1-1 2.80	0-0-2 2.05	0-1-1 2.18
Stromsgodset	0-1-1 1.32	1-0-1 2.85	0-1-1 2.60	0-0-2 2.26	1-0-1 2.64	0-1-1 2.95	1-0-1 1.41	2-0-0 2.42	1-1-0 1.82	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.77	1-1-0 2.85	—	0-2-0 2.80	0-1-1 2.03	0-1-1 2.27
Tromso	0-0-2 1.41	0-2-0 2.80	1-0-1 2.41	0-2-0 2.32	1-0-1 2.59	2-0-0 2.82	0-1-1 1.51	1-0-1 2.49	0-0-2 1.81	0-1-1 2.84	1-0-1 2.60	1-1-0 2.67	0-2-0 2.60	—	0-2-0 1.95	1-0-1 2.16
Valerenga	0-1-1 1.84	2-0-0 3.49	1-0-1 3.23	0-0-2 3.25	0-2-0 3.28	1-1-0 3.60	1-1-0 1.98	1-1-0 3.33	0-2-0 2.53	1-0-1 3.69	1-0-1 3.43	2-0-0 3.44	1-1-0 3.42	0-2-0 3.54	—	0-1-1 3.06
Viking	0-1-1 1.77	2-0-0 3.36	0-1-1 3.12	2-0-0 2.90	2-0-0 3.11	2-0-0 3.43	1-1-0 1.73	1-0-1 3.13	1-0-1 2.33	1-0-1 3.46	1-0-1 3.16	1-1-0 3.26	1-1-0 3.18	1-0-1 3.28	1-1-0 2.37	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.83%	4.79%	5.00%	4.79%	0.62%	1.67%	22.71%
1	4.79%	13.75%	6.88%	5.62%	1.67%	0.42%	33.13%
2	5.00%	6.88%	5.83%	3.75%	0.83%	0.21%	22.50%
3	4.79%	5.62%	3.75%	1.67%	—	—	15.83%
4	0.62%	1.67%	0.83%	—	—	0.21%	3.33%
5+	1.67%	0.42%	0.21%	—	0.21%	—	2.50%
Total	22.71%	33.13%	22.50%	15.83%	3.33%	2.50%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.52
Mean allowed	1.52
StdDev scored	1.27
StdDev allowed	1.27
Mean total goals/game	3.05
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.145
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
1	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
2	16.67%	6.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	40.00%
3	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	43.33%	30.00%	26.67%	—	—	—	100%

Bodo Glimt — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.97
Mean allowed	0.83
StdDev scored	1.40
StdDev allowed	0.83
Mean total goals/game	2.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.143
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	26.67%
1	—	20.00%	3.33%	13.33%	—	—	36.67%
2	—	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.67%	36.67%	26.67%	26.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Brann — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	1.83
StdDev scored	1.05
StdDev allowed	1.02
Mean total goals/game	3.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.011
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	30.00%
1	3.33%	6.67%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
2	—	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	16.67%
3	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	6.67%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	30.00%	20.00%	30.00%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Haugesund — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.53
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.61
StdDev allowed	1.33
Mean total goals/game	3.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.032
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	10.00%	—	3.33%	30.00%
1	13.33%	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	26.67%
2	10.00%	10.00%	—	10.00%	—	—	30.00%
3	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	30.00%	23.33%	16.67%	26.67%	—	3.33%	100%

Kristiansund — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.37
Mean allowed	1.53
StdDev scored	1.27
StdDev allowed	1.36
Mean total goals/game	2.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.117
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	—	3.33%	30.00%
2	10.00%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
3	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	36.67%	20.00%	13.33%	—	3.33%	100%

Lillestrom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.63
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.21
Mean total goals/game	2.97
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.035
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	26.67%
1	—	26.67%	20.00%	6.67%	—	—	53.33%
2	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
3	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	13.33%	36.67%	30.00%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Mjondalen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.10
Mean allowed	1.73
StdDev scored	1.09
StdDev allowed	1.41
Mean total goals/game	2.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.428
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	16.67%
1	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
2	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	23.33%
3	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	30.00%
4	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%	—	6.67%
Total	33.33%	33.33%	13.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Molde — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.33
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	1.47
StdDev allowed	1.45
Mean total goals/game	3.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.168
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	6.67%	26.67%
1	3.33%	13.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	26.67%
2	—	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.00%	33.33%	26.67%	20.00%	3.33%	6.67%	100%

Odds — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.47
Mean allowed	1.93
StdDev scored	1.20
StdDev allowed	1.31
Mean total goals/game	3.40
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.155
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
1	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	20.00%
2	—	6.67%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
3	—	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
4	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	20.00%	33.33%	36.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Rosenborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.93
Mean allowed	1.40
StdDev scored	1.46
StdDev allowed	1.00
Mean total goals/game	3.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.075
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	26.67%
1	3.33%	13.33%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	36.67%
2	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	23.33%	23.33%	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	100%

Sandefjord — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	1.73
StdDev scored	1.05
StdDev allowed	1.39
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.423
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	23.33%
1	10.00%	10.00%	13.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	46.67%
2	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	23.33%	36.67%	23.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	100%

Sarpsborg 08 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.30
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	1.21
StdDev allowed	1.31
Mean total goals/game	2.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.267
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	—	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	30.00%
1	—	6.67%	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	36.67%
2	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	20.00%
3	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	16.67%	16.67%	33.33%	10.00%	3.33%	100%

Stabaek — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	2.07
StdDev scored	1.02
StdDev allowed	1.44
Mean total goals/game	3.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.173
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	30.00%
1	3.33%	20.00%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	36.67%
2	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	13.33%
3	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	23.33%	43.33%	16.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Stromsgodset — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.43
Mean allowed	1.43
StdDev scored	1.55
StdDev allowed	1.48
Mean total goals/game	2.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.266
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	—	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	26.67%
1	10.00%	26.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	46.67%
2	6.67%	3.33%	—	6.67%	—	—	16.67%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	30.00%	13.33%	30.00%	—	—	100%

Tromso — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.10
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	0.92
StdDev allowed	1.20
Mean total goals/game	2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.106
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
1	3.33%	30.00%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	50.00%
2	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	50.00%	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Valerenga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.53
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	1.01
StdDev allowed	0.97
Mean total goals/game	2.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.237
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	10.00%
1	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
2	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	33.33%
3	—	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	13.33%	46.67%	20.00%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.00
Mean allowed	1.57
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	3.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.197
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Viking	57	43.6	+13.40
2	Lillestrom	49	37.7	+11.27
3	Kristiansund	46	42.7	+3.30
4	Sandefjord	36	33.5	+2.46
5	Sarpsborg 08	39	36.6	+2.40

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Mjondalen	22	33.2	-11.22
2	Stabaek	25	34.8	-9.77
3	Brann	26	32.8	-6.81
4	Odds	33	38.5	-5.52
5	Haugesund	35	38.8	-3.80

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sarpsborg 08	4	Oct 24 – Nov 6	1 in 161
2	Kristiansund	5	May 16 – Jun 12	1 in 99
3	Sandefjord	3	Jun 30 – Jul 10	1 in 54
4	Lillestrom	3	Jun 13 – Jun 25	1 in 38
5	Viking	4	Oct 2 – Oct 28	1 in 24

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rosenborg	3	Jun 13 – Jun 25	1 in 76
2	Stabaek	5	May 30 – Jun 27	1 in 43
3	Brann	6	May 9 – May 27	1 in 38
4	Mjondalen	3	Jul 28 – Aug 15	1 in 36
5	Kristiansund	3	Nov 21 – Dec 5	1 in 25

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lillestrom	10	Jun 13 – Aug 8	1 in 219
2	Bodo Glimt	18	Jul 3 – Dec 12	1 in 56
3	Brann	6	Sep 11 – Oct 24	1 in 36
4	Tromso	7	Oct 24 – Dec 5	1 in 33
5	Sarpsborg 08	6	Oct 24 – Nov 28	1 in 25

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Mjondalen	13	Jul 18 – Oct 24	1 in 139
2	Odds	9	Oct 3 – Dec 5	1 in 43
3	Stabaek	9	May 30 – Jul 21	1 in 31
4	Rosenborg	5	Jun 13 – Jul 4	1 in 26
5	Valerenga	5	Jul 4 – Aug 22	1 in 24

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Bodo Glimt	56.65%	28.32%	9.07%	3.23%	1.35%	0.83%	0.29%	0.13%	0.05%	0.03%	0.03%	0.02%	—	—	—	—
Molde	32.90%	38.05%	15.69%	6.70%	3.13%	1.54%	0.98%	0.55%	0.16%	0.10%	0.12%	0.06%	0.01%	—	0.01%	—
Viking	0.97%	3.63%	10.38%	13.50%	13.75%	12.01%	10.49%	8.84%	6.89%	5.17%	4.04%	3.68%	2.58%	2.07%	1.24%	0.76%
Lillestrom	0.09%	0.53%	2.34%	4.94%	6.58%	7.85%	8.88%	9.41%	9.02%	8.69%	8.22%	7.85%	7.75%	6.86%	6.19%	4.80%
Rosenborg	5.39%	14.47%	24.61%	18.36%	12.21%	8.02%	5.68%	3.76%	2.52%	1.93%	1.18%	0.87%	0.53%	0.25%	0.17%	0.05%
Kristiansund	0.78%	2.94%	7.33%	11.04%	12.87%	12.15%	10.17%	9.47%	7.91%	6.68%	5.63%	4.29%	3.64%	2.31%	1.66%	1.13%
Valerenga	2.67%	8.53%	18.29%	18.54%	14.37%	11.13%	7.46%	5.88%	4.07%	3.18%	2.11%	1.64%	0.89%	0.67%	0.43%	0.14%
Sarpsborg 08	0.07%	0.57%	1.64%	3.04%	4.85%	6.13%	7.52%	8.26%	8.10%	9.59%	9.31%	9.32%	8.76%	9.05%	7.46%	6.33%
Stromsgodset	0.07%	0.37%	1.24%	2.64%	4.22%	5.74%	7.13%	7.58%	8.90%	8.92%	9.38%	9.35%	9.07%	9.20%	8.68%	7.51%
Sandefjord	0.01%	0.18%	0.60%	1.43%	2.37%	3.48%	4.28%	5.54%	6.53%	7.54%	8.13%	9.60%	9.99%	11.90%	13.23%	15.19%
Haugesund	0.16%	0.85%	3.22%	5.42%	7.74%	8.78%	9.39%	9.72%	9.48%	8.64%	8.84%	7.39%	6.55%	5.46%	5.00%	3.36%
Tromso	0.05%	0.27%	0.99%	1.96%	3.30%	4.70%	5.90%	6.30%	7.77%	8.09%	9.13%	10.03%	10.19%	10.46%	10.22%	10.64%
Odds	0.13%	0.87%	2.63%	4.92%	6.48%	8.15%	8.86%	8.91%	9.44%	9.68%	8.57%	7.59%	8.17%	6.63%	5.10%	3.87%
Brann	0.04%	0.14%	0.50%	1.15%	1.84%	2.58%	3.81%	4.65%	5.55%	6.80%	8.05%	8.80%	11.15%	12.25%	14.61%	18.08%
Stabaek	0.02%	0.16%	0.95%	1.84%	3.02%	4.12%	5.20%	6.20%	6.94%	7.96%	9.06%	9.98%	9.94%	10.89%	11.73%	11.99%
Mjondalen	—	0.12%	0.52%	1.29%	1.92%	2.79%	3.96%	4.80%	6.67%	7.00%	8.20%	9.53%	10.78%	12.00%	14.27%	16.15%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Won relegation playoff	Lost relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Bodo Glimt	100%	—	—	—
Molde	100%	—	—	<0.1%
Rosenborg	99.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.2%
Valerenga	98.8%	0.5%	0.1%	0.6%
Viking	95.9%	1.5%	0.6%	2.0%
Kristiansund	94.9%	1.5%	0.8%	2.8%
Haugesund	86.2%	3.8%	1.7%	8.4%
Odds	84.4%	4.3%	2.3%	9.0%
Lillestrom	82.2%	4.8%	2.0%	11.0%
Sarpsborg 08	77.2%	6.1%	3.0%	13.8%
Stromsgodset	74.6%	6.2%	3.0%	16.2%
Tromso	68.7%	6.7%	3.7%	20.9%
Stabaek	65.4%	6.8%	4.1%	23.7%
Sandefjord	59.7%	7.2%	4.7%	28.4%
Mjondalen	57.6%	7.2%	4.8%	30.4%
Brann	55.1%	7.4%	4.8%	32.7%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2021-05-09	Tromso	W 3-0	1758	1578	70.8%	13.8%	15.4%	+5.8	3
2021-05-09	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-3	1578	1758	15.4%	13.8%	70.8%	-5.8	0
2021-05-09	Kristiansund	W 2-0	1729	1625	59.8%	20.9%	19.2%	+5.5	3
2021-05-09	@ Molde	L 0-2	1625	1729	19.2%	20.9%	59.8%	-5.5	0
2021-05-09	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1653	1667	42.0%	29.6%	28.4%	-0.4	1
2021-05-09	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1667	1653	28.4%	29.6%	42.0%	+0.4	1
2021-05-09	Brann	W 3-1	1633	1579	52.1%	25.5%	22.5%	+5.9	3
2021-05-09	@ Viking	L 1-3	1579	1633	22.5%	25.5%	52.1%	-5.9	0
2021-05-12	Valerenga	L 0-3	1573	1653	32.5%	30.4%	37.1%	-13.9	0
2021-05-12	@ Brann	W 3-0	1653	1573	37.1%	30.4%	32.5%	+13.9	4
2021-05-12	Bodo Glimt	L 0-2	1619	1764	25.3%	27.9%	46.8%	-7.7	0
2021-05-12	@ Kristiansund	W 2-0	1764	1619	46.8%	27.9%	25.3%	+7.7	6
2021-05-13	Viking	W 5-0	1667	1638	48.3%	27.3%	24.4%	+17.4	4
2021-05-13	@ Rosenborg	L 0-5	1638	1667	24.4%	27.3%	48.3%	-17.4	3
2021-05-13	Molde	D 3-3	1572	1735	23.7%	26.7%	49.6%	+0.5	1
2021-05-13	@ Tromso	D 3-3	1735	1572	49.6%	26.7%	23.7%	-0.5	4
2021-05-16	Rosenborg	D 2-2	1771	1684	57.2%	22.6%	20.3%	-0.8	7
2021-05-16	@ Bodo Glimt	D 2-2	1684	1771	20.3%	22.6%	57.2%	+0.8	5
2021-05-16	Brann	W 4-0	1734	1560	70.1%	14.2%	15.7%	+7.7	7
2021-05-16	@ Molde	L 0-4	1560	1734	15.7%	14.2%	70.1%	-7.7	0
2021-05-16	Mjondalen	L 0-3	1555	1546	45.3%	28.5%	26.2%	-17.5	0
2021-05-16	@ Sandefjord	W 3-0	1546	1555	26.2%	28.5%	45.3%	+17.5	3
2021-05-16	Haugesund	D 0-0	1579	1589	42.6%	29.4%	28.0%	-0.5	1
2021-05-16	@ Sarpsborg 08	D 0-0	1589	1579	28.0%	29.4%	42.6%	+0.5	1
2021-05-16	Lillestrom	W 3-1	1550	1563	41.9%	29.6%	28.5%	+7.5	3
2021-05-16	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-3	1563	1550	28.5%	29.6%	41.9%	-7.5	0
2021-05-16	Kristiansund	L 1-2	1667	1612	52.3%	25.3%	22.3%	-6.7	4
2021-05-16	@ Valerenga	W 2-1	1612	1667	22.3%	25.3%	52.3%	+6.7	3
2021-05-16	Tromso	L 0-1	1621	1572	51.4%	25.8%	22.8%	-7.0	3
2021-05-16	@ Viking	W 1-0	1572	1621	22.8%	25.8%	51.4%	+7.0	4
2021-05-19	Odds	D 2-2	1601	1604	43.6%	29.1%	27.3%	-0.4	1
2021-05-19	@ Stabaek	D 2-2	1604	1601	27.3%	29.1%	43.6%	+0.4	1
2021-05-20	Brann	W 3-2	1685	1552	64.1%	18.1%	17.7%	+2.3	8
2021-05-20	@ Rosenborg	L 2-3	1552	1685	17.7%	18.1%	64.1%	-2.3	0
2021-05-24	Bodo Glimt	L 1-2	1550	1770	19.8%	21.8%	58.4%	-2.9	0
2021-05-24	@ Brann	W 2-1	1770	1550	58.4%	21.8%	19.8%	+2.9	10
2021-05-24	Stabaek	D 0-0	1589	1601	42.2%	29.5%	28.3%	-0.4	2
2021-05-24	@ Haugesund	D 0-0	1601	1589	28.3%	29.5%	42.2%	+0.5	2
2021-05-24	Stromsgodset	W 1-0	1618	1557	53.3%	24.8%	21.9%	+3.5	6
2021-05-24	@ Kristiansund	L 0-1	1557	1618	21.9%	24.8%	53.3%	-3.5	3
2021-05-24	Viking	L 1-3	1556	1614	35.4%	30.5%	34.0%	-8.8	0
2021-05-24	@ Lillestrom	W 3-1	1614	1556	34.0%	30.5%	35.4%	+8.8	6
2021-05-24	Valerenga	D 1-1	1563	1660	30.3%	30.1%	39.6%	+0.3	4
2021-05-24	@ Mjondalen	D 1-1	1660	1563	39.6%	30.1%	30.3%	-0.3	5
2021-05-24	Sarpsborg 08	D 1-1	1604	1579	47.9%	27.5%	24.7%	-0.7	2
2021-05-24	@ Odds	D 1-1	1579	1604	24.7%	27.5%	47.9%	+0.7	2
2021-05-24	Molde	L 2-3	1688	1742	35.9%	30.5%	33.5%	-4.9	8
2021-05-24	@ Rosenborg	W 3-2	1742	1688	33.5%	30.5%	35.9%	+4.9	10
2021-05-24	Sandefjord	L 1-3	1579	1537	50.4%	26.3%	23.3%	-11.2	4
2021-05-24	@ Tromso	W 3-1	1537	1579	23.3%	26.3%	50.4%	+11.2	3
2021-05-27	Haugesund	W 2-0	1773	1589	71.4%	13.4%	15.2%	+3.9	13
2021-05-27	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-2	1589	1773	15.2%	13.4%	71.4%	-3.9	2
2021-05-27	Odds	W 1-0	1547	1604	35.7%	30.5%	33.8%	+5.2	3
2021-05-27	@ Lillestrom	L 0-1	1604	1547	33.8%	30.5%	35.7%	-5.2	2
2021-05-27	Valerenga	L 2-3	1747	1660	57.2%	22.5%	20.2%	-6.7	10
2021-05-27	@ Molde	W 3-2	1660	1747	20.2%	22.5%	57.2%	+6.7	8
2021-05-27	Rosenborg	L 1-2	1548	1683	26.2%	28.5%	45.3%	-4.0	3
2021-05-27	@ Sandefjord	W 2-1	1683	1548	45.3%	28.5%	26.2%	+4.0	11
2021-05-27	Kristiansund	L 0-1	1579	1622	37.7%	30.4%	31.9%	-5.6	2
2021-05-27	@ Sarpsborg 08	W 1-0	1622	1579	31.9%	30.4%	37.7%	+5.6	9
2021-05-27	Brann	W 2-0	1602	1547	52.3%	25.3%	22.4%	+6.8	5
2021-05-27	@ Stabaek	L 0-2	1547	1602	22.4%	25.3%	52.3%	-6.8	0
2021-05-27	Tromso	D 1-1	1554	1568	41.9%	29.6%	28.5%	-0.4	4
2021-05-27	@ Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1568	1554	28.5%	29.6%	41.9%	+0.4	5
2021-05-27	Mjondalen	W 2-1	1623	1564	53.0%	25.0%	22.1%	+3.3	9
2021-05-27	@ Viking	L 1-2	1564	1623	22.1%	25.0%	53.0%	-3.3	4
2021-05-30	Stromsgodset	W 3-0	1540	1553	42.0%	29.5%	28.4%	+12.5	3
2021-05-30	@ Brann	L 0-3	1553	1540	28.4%	29.5%	42.0%	-12.5	4
2021-05-30	Viking	W 4-2	1585	1626	37.9%	30.3%	31.8%	+7.3	5
2021-05-30	@ Haugesund	L 2-4	1626	1585	31.8%	30.3%	37.9%	-7.3	9
2021-05-30	Lillestrom	W 1-0	1627	1552	55.4%	23.6%	21.0%	+3.3	12
2021-05-30	@ Kristiansund	L 0-1	1552	1627	21.0%	23.6%	55.4%	-3.3	3
2021-05-30	Molde	D 0-0	1560	1740	22.4%	25.4%	52.2%	+1.0	5
2021-05-30	@ Mjondalen	D 0-0	1740	1560	52.2%	25.4%	22.4%	-1.0	11
2021-05-30	Bodo Glimt	W 1-0	1598	1777	22.5%	25.5%	52.0%	+7.0	5
2021-05-30	@ Odds	L 0-1	1777	1598	52.0%	25.5%	22.5%	-7.0	13
2021-05-30	Stabaek	W 4-2	1687	1608	55.9%	23.3%	20.8%	+4.8	14
2021-05-30	@ Rosenborg	L 2-4	1608	1687	20.8%	23.3%	55.9%	-4.8	5
2021-05-30	Sarpsborg 08	L 0-2	1568	1574	43.2%	29.2%	27.6%	-11.7	5
2021-05-30	@ Tromso	W 2-0	1574	1568	27.6%	29.2%	43.2%	+11.7	5
2021-05-30	Sandefjord	W 3-1	1666	1544	62.5%	19.2%	18.3%	+4.5	11
2021-05-30	@ Valerenga	L 1-3	1544	1666	18.3%	19.2%	62.5%	-4.5	3
2021-06-12	Odds	W 2-0	1631	1605	47.8%	27.5%	24.7%	+7.5	15
2021-06-12	@ Kristiansund	L 0-2	1605	1631	24.7%	27.5%	47.8%	-7.5	5
2021-06-12	Molde	L 1-3	1540	1739	21.1%	23.8%	55.1%	-5.4	3
2021-06-12	@ Sandefjord	W 3-1	1739	1540	55.1%	23.8%	21.1%	+5.4	14
2021-06-13	Mjondalen	W 2-0	1770	1561	74.7%	11.3%	14.1%	+3.5	16
2021-06-13	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-2	1561	1770	14.1%	11.3%	74.7%	-3.5	5
2021-06-13	Haugesund	W 2-1	1549	1592	37.6%	30.4%	32.0%	+4.7	6
2021-06-13	@ Lillestrom	L 1-2	1592	1549	32.0%	30.4%	37.6%	-4.7	5
2021-06-13	Brann	D 0-0	1586	1552	49.0%	27.0%	24.0%	-0.8	6
2021-06-13	@ Sarpsborg 08	D 0-0	1552	1586	24.0%	27.0%	49.0%	+0.8	4
2021-06-13	Rosenborg	W 2-1	1541	1692	24.7%	27.5%	47.8%	+6.3	7
2021-06-13	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1692	1541	47.8%	27.5%	24.7%	-6.3	14
2021-06-13	Valerenga	W 4-1	1619	1671	36.3%	30.5%	33.2%	+11.9	12
2021-06-13	@ Viking	L 1-4	1671	1619	33.2%	30.5%	36.3%	-11.9	11
2021-06-14	Tromso	L 0-3	1604	1557	51.1%	26.0%	22.9%	-19.0	5
2021-06-14	@ Stabaek	W 3-0	1557	1604	22.9%	26.0%	51.1%	+19.0	8
2021-06-16	Stromsgodset	W 7-2	1774	1547	76.9%	9.8%	13.2%	+5.2	19
2021-06-16	@ Bodo Glimt	L 2-7	1547	1774	13.2%	9.8%	76.9%	-5.2	7
2021-06-16	Odds	D 1-1	1659	1598	53.3%	24.8%	21.9%	-0.9	12
2021-06-16	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1598	1659	21.9%	24.8%	53.3%	+0.9	6
2021-06-16	Sarpsborg 08	W 4-1	1745	1585	68.0%	15.6%	16.4%	+5.3	17
2021-06-16	@ Molde	L 1-4	1585	1745	16.4%	15.6%	68.0%	-5.3	6
2021-06-19	Viking	W 3-0	1534	1631	30.3%	30.1%	39.6%	+16.0	6
2021-06-19	@ Sandefjord	L 0-3	1631	1534	39.6%	30.1%	30.3%	-16.0	12
2021-06-20	Odds	L 1-3	1553	1599	37.2%	30.4%	32.3%	-9.1	4
2021-06-20	@ Brann	W 3-1	1599	1553	32.3%	30.4%	37.2%	+9.1	9
2021-06-20	Kristiansund	W 3-0	1588	1638	36.5%	30.5%	33.0%	+14.1	8
2021-06-20	@ Haugesund	L 0-3	1638	1588	33.0%	30.5%	36.5%	-14.1	15
2021-06-20	Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1558	1542	46.4%	28.1%	25.5%	-0.6	6
2021-06-20	@ Mjondalen	D 1-1	1542	1558	25.5%	28.1%	46.4%	+0.6	8
2021-06-20	Stabaek	W 2-1	1750	1585	68.8%	15.1%	16.1%	+2.1	20
2021-06-20	@ Molde	L 1-2	1585	1750	16.1%	15.1%	68.8%	-2.1	5
2021-06-20	Sarpsborg 08	L 0-1	1685	1579	60.0%	20.8%	19.2%	-7.7	14
2021-06-20	@ Rosenborg	W 1-0	1579	1685	19.2%	20.8%	60.0%	+7.7	9
2021-06-20	Lillestrom	L 1-2	1576	1554	47.3%	27.7%	25.0%	-6.2	8
2021-06-20	@ Tromso	W 2-1	1554	1576	25.0%	27.7%	47.3%	+6.2	9
2021-06-20	Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1658	1779	27.6%	29.2%	43.2%	+0.5	13
2021-06-20	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1779	1658	43.2%	29.2%	27.6%	-0.5	20
2021-06-24	Molde	L 0-2	1778	1752	48.0%	27.4%	24.6%	-12.6	20
2021-06-24	@ Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	1752	1778	24.6%	27.4%	48.0%	+12.6	23
2021-06-24	Brann	W 1-0	1602	1544	52.7%	25.1%	22.2%	+3.6	11
2021-06-24	@ Haugesund	L 0-1	1544	1602	22.2%	25.1%	52.7%	-3.5	4
2021-06-24	Mjondalen	D 1-1	1624	1557	54.1%	24.3%	21.5%	-1.0	16
2021-06-24	@ Kristiansund	D 1-1	1557	1624	21.5%	24.3%	54.1%	+1.0	7
2021-06-24	Tromso	W 3-0	1608	1570	49.8%	26.6%	23.6%	+10.4	12
2021-06-24	@ Odds	L 0-3	1570	1608	23.6%	26.6%	49.8%	-10.4	8
2021-06-24	Valerenga	L 0-2	1582	1658	32.9%	30.5%	36.6%	-9.7	5
2021-06-24	@ Stabaek	W 2-0	1658	1582	36.6%	30.5%	32.9%	+9.7	16
2021-06-24	Sandefjord	W 4-0	1542	1550	42.8%	29.3%	27.9%	+16.0	11
2021-06-24	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-4	1550	1542	27.9%	29.3%	42.8%	-16.1	6
2021-06-25	Rosenborg	W 2-0	1560	1678	27.9%	29.3%	42.8%	+11.6	12
2021-06-25	@ Lillestrom	L 0-2	1678	1560	42.8%	29.3%	27.9%	-11.6	14
2021-06-25	Viking	L 1-2	1587	1615	39.9%	30.0%	30.1%	-5.5	9
2021-06-25	@ Sarpsborg 08	W 2-1	1615	1587	30.1%	30.0%	39.9%	+5.5	15
2021-06-27	Stabaek	W 4-1	1766	1573	72.6%	12.6%	14.8%	+4.6	23
2021-06-27	@ Bodo Glimt	L 1-4	1573	1766	14.8%	12.6%	72.6%	-4.6	5
2021-06-30	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1541	1572	39.4%	30.1%	30.5%	-0.2	5
2021-06-30	@ Brann	D 1-1	1572	1541	30.5%	30.1%	39.4%	+0.2	13
2021-06-30	Stromsgodset	W 3-0	1765	1559	74.3%	11.5%	14.2%	+5.1	26
2021-06-30	@ Molde	L 0-3	1559	1765	14.2%	11.5%	74.3%	-5.1	11
2021-06-30	Haugesund	D 0-0	1666	1605	53.2%	24.9%	21.9%	-1.0	15
2021-06-30	@ Rosenborg	D 0-0	1605	1666	21.9%	24.9%	53.2%	+1.0	12
2021-06-30	Bodo Glimt	W 1-0	1534	1770	18.9%	20.4%	60.7%	+7.8	9
2021-06-30	@ Sandefjord	L 0-1	1770	1534	60.7%	20.4%	18.9%	-7.8	23
2021-06-30	Kristiansund	D 0-0	1559	1623	34.6%	30.6%	34.9%	+0.0	9
2021-06-30	@ Tromso	D 0-0	1623	1559	34.9%	30.6%	34.6%	-0.0	17
2021-06-30	Stabaek	D 3-3	1620	1568	51.9%	25.5%	22.6%	-0.5	16
2021-06-30	@ Viking	D 3-3	1568	1620	22.6%	25.5%	51.9%	+0.5	6
2021-07-01	Odds	L 1-2	1558	1618	35.1%	30.5%	34.3%	-5.1	7
2021-07-01	@ Mjondalen	W 2-1	1618	1558	34.3%	30.5%	35.1%	+5.1	15
2021-07-01	Sarpsborg 08	W 4-1	1668	1582	57.1%	22.6%	20.3%	+7.3	19
2021-07-01	@ Valerenga	L 1-4	1582	1668	20.3%	22.6%	57.1%	-7.3	9
2021-07-03	Viking	D 2-2	1763	1620	65.5%	17.2%	17.2%	-1.1	24
2021-07-03	@ Bodo Glimt	D 2-2	1620	1763	17.2%	17.2%	65.5%	+1.1	17
2021-07-04	Tromso	W 3-0	1606	1559	51.1%	25.9%	22.9%	+10.1	15
2021-07-04	@ Haugesund	L 0-3	1559	1606	22.9%	25.9%	51.1%	-10.1	9
2021-07-04	Mjondalen	W 2-1	1572	1553	46.8%	27.9%	25.2%	+3.9	16
2021-07-04	@ Lillestrom	L 1-2	1553	1572	25.2%	27.9%	46.8%	-3.9	7
2021-07-04	Rosenborg	D 2-2	1623	1665	37.8%	30.4%	31.8%	-0.1	16
2021-07-04	@ Odds	D 2-2	1665	1623	31.8%	30.4%	37.8%	+0.1	16
2021-07-04	Molde	W 1-0	1574	1770	21.3%	24.1%	54.6%	+7.3	12
2021-07-04	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 0-1	1770	1574	54.6%	24.1%	21.3%	-7.3	26
2021-07-04	Sandefjord	L 0-2	1569	1542	48.0%	27.4%	24.6%	-12.6	6
2021-07-04	@ Stabaek	W 2-0	1542	1569	24.6%	27.4%	48.0%	+12.6	12
2021-07-04	Valerenga	D 1-1	1553	1675	27.4%	29.1%	43.4%	+0.5	12
2021-07-04	@ Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1675	1553	43.4%	29.1%	27.4%	-0.5	20
2021-07-05	Brann	W 3-2	1623	1540	56.6%	22.9%	20.5%	+2.9	20
2021-07-05	@ Kristiansund	L 2-3	1540	1623	20.5%	22.9%	56.6%	-2.9	5
2021-07-10	Tromso	D 1-1	1537	1549	42.3%	29.5%	28.2%	-0.4	6
2021-07-10	@ Brann	D 1-1	1549	1537	28.2%	29.5%	42.3%	+0.4	10
2021-07-10	Haugesund	W 3-0	1549	1616	34.1%	30.5%	35.3%	+14.8	10
2021-07-10	@ Mjondalen	L 0-3	1616	1549	35.3%	30.5%	34.1%	-14.7	15
2021-07-10	Kristiansund	W 1-0	1665	1626	49.9%	26.6%	23.5%	+3.8	19
2021-07-10	@ Rosenborg	L 0-1	1626	1665	23.5%	26.6%	49.9%	-3.8	20
2021-07-10	Sarpsborg 08	W 2-0	1555	1582	40.0%	30.0%	30.0%	+9.0	15
2021-07-10	@ Sandefjord	L 0-2	1582	1555	30.0%	30.0%	40.0%	-9.0	12
2021-07-10	Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1621	1554	54.2%	24.3%	21.5%	-1.0	18
2021-07-10	@ Viking	D 1-1	1554	1621	21.5%	24.3%	54.2%	+1.0	13
2021-07-11	Odds	W 5-0	1763	1623	65.0%	17.6%	17.4%	+11.2	29
2021-07-11	@ Molde	L 0-5	1623	1763	17.4%	17.6%	65.0%	-11.2	16
2021-07-11	Lillestrom	D 2-2	1675	1576	59.0%	21.4%	19.5%	-0.9	21
2021-07-11	@ Valerenga	D 2-2	1576	1675	19.5%	21.4%	59.0%	+0.9	17
2021-07-17	Viking	W 3-2	1612	1620	42.8%	29.3%	27.8%	+4.0	19
2021-07-17	@ Odds	L 2-3	1620	1612	27.8%	29.3%	42.8%	-4.0	18
2021-07-17	Bodo Glimt	D 2-2	1573	1762	21.8%	24.6%	53.6%	+0.7	13
2021-07-17	@ Sarpsborg 08	D 2-2	1762	1573	53.6%	24.6%	21.8%	-0.7	25
2021-07-18	Mjondalen	D 1-1	1537	1564	40.0%	30.0%	30.0%	-0.3	7
2021-07-18	@ Brann	D 1-1	1564	1537	30.0%	30.0%	40.0%	+0.3	11
2021-07-18	Valerenga	W 3-1	1602	1674	33.4%	30.5%	36.1%	+8.9	18
2021-07-18	@ Haugesund	L 1-3	1674	1602	36.1%	30.5%	33.4%	-8.9	21
2021-07-18	Sandefjord	W 2-0	1622	1564	52.9%	25.0%	22.1%	+6.7	23
2021-07-18	@ Kristiansund	L 0-2	1564	1622	22.1%	25.0%	52.9%	-6.7	15
2021-07-18	Molde	D 1-1	1577	1774	21.2%	24.0%	54.8%	+1.0	18
2021-07-18	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1774	1577	54.8%	24.0%	21.2%	-1.0	30
2021-07-18	Stabaek	W 2-1	1555	1556	43.8%	29.0%	27.2%	+4.1	16
2021-07-18	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1556	1555	27.2%	29.0%	43.8%	-4.1	6
2021-07-18	Rosenborg	L 1-3	1549	1669	27.7%	29.3%	43.0%	-7.3	10
2021-07-18	@ Tromso	W 3-1	1669	1549	43.0%	29.3%	27.7%	+7.3	22
2021-07-21	Haugesund	D 1-1	1557	1610	36.1%	30.5%	33.4%	-0.1	16
2021-07-21	@ Sandefjord	D 1-1	1610	1557	33.4%	30.5%	36.1%	+0.1	19
2021-07-21	Mjondalen	D 1-1	1573	1564	45.4%	28.5%	26.2%	-0.6	14
2021-07-21	@ Sarpsborg 08	D 1-1	1564	1573	26.2%	28.5%	45.4%	+0.6	12
2021-07-21	Lillestrom	L 2-3	1552	1578	40.2%	30.0%	29.8%	-5.3	6
2021-07-21	@ Stabaek	W 3-2	1578	1552	29.8%	30.0%	40.2%	+5.3	21
2021-07-21	Odds	W 3-0	1559	1616	35.6%	30.5%	33.9%	+14.3	19
2021-07-21	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-3	1616	1559	33.9%	30.5%	35.6%	-14.3	19
2021-07-28	Stromsgodset	W 2-1	1611	1573	49.6%	26.7%	23.7%	+3.6	22
2021-07-28	@ Haugesund	L 1-2	1573	1611	23.7%	26.7%	49.6%	-3.6	19
2021-07-28	Sarpsborg 08	W 2-0	1583	1573	45.6%	28.4%	26.0%	+7.9	24
2021-07-28	@ Lillestrom	L 0-2	1573	1583	26.0%	28.4%	45.6%	-8.0	14
2021-07-28	Stabaek	L 1-2	1565	1547	46.8%	28.0%	25.3%	-6.2	12
2021-07-28	@ Mjondalen	W 2-1	1547	1565	25.3%	28.0%	46.8%	+6.2	9
2021-07-28	Sandefjord	L 2-3	1602	1557	50.8%	26.1%	23.1%	-6.2	19
2021-07-28	@ Odds	W 3-2	1557	1602	23.1%	26.1%	50.8%	+6.2	19
2021-08-08	Tromso	L 2-3	1559	1542	46.5%	28.1%	25.4%	-5.8	12
2021-08-08	@ Mjondalen	W 3-2	1542	1559	25.4%	28.1%	46.5%	+5.8	13
2021-08-08	Haugesund	W 5-4	1773	1614	67.8%	15.8%	16.5%	+2.0	33
2021-08-08	@ Molde	L 4-5	1614	1773	16.5%	15.8%	67.8%	-2.0	22
2021-08-08	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1563	1591	39.9%	30.0%	30.1%	-0.3	20
2021-08-08	@ Sandefjord	D 1-1	1591	1563	30.1%	30.0%	39.9%	+0.3	25
2021-08-08	Sarpsborg 08	W 3-1	1553	1565	42.2%	29.5%	28.3%	+7.4	12
2021-08-08	@ Stabaek	L 1-3	1565	1553	28.3%	29.5%	42.2%	-7.4	14
2021-08-08	Kristiansund	W 3-2	1616	1629	42.1%	29.5%	28.4%	+4.1	21
2021-08-08	@ Viking	L 2-3	1629	1616	28.4%	29.5%	42.1%	-4.1	23
2021-08-14	Stabaek	W 5-1	1625	1560	53.8%	24.5%	21.7%	+10.3	26
2021-08-14	@ Kristiansund	L 1-5	1560	1625	21.7%	24.5%	53.8%	-10.3	12
2021-08-14	Stromsgodset	W 1-0	1557	1570	42.1%	29.5%	28.3%	+4.6	17
2021-08-14	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 0-1	1570	1557	28.3%	29.5%	42.1%	-4.5	19
2021-08-15	Sandefjord	W 3-2	1537	1563	40.1%	30.0%	29.9%	+4.2	10
2021-08-15	@ Brann	L 2-3	1563	1537	29.9%	30.0%	40.1%	-4.3	20
2021-08-15	Bodo Glimt	L 0-1	1591	1761	23.2%	26.2%	50.6%	-3.7	25
2021-08-15	@ Lillestrom	W 1-0	1761	1591	50.6%	26.2%	23.2%	+3.7	28
2021-08-15	Rosenborg	L 1-2	1553	1676	27.3%	29.1%	43.6%	-4.2	12
2021-08-15	@ Mjondalen	W 2-1	1676	1553	43.6%	29.1%	27.3%	+4.2	25
2021-08-15	Haugesund	W 4-2	1596	1612	41.5%	29.7%	28.8%	+6.7	22
2021-08-15	@ Odds	L 2-4	1612	1596	28.8%	29.7%	41.5%	-6.7	22
2021-08-15	Valerenga	D 1-1	1548	1665	27.9%	29.3%	42.7%	+0.4	14
2021-08-15	@ Tromso	D 1-1	1665	1548	42.7%	29.3%	27.9%	-0.4	22
2021-08-15	Molde	W 3-2	1620	1775	24.4%	27.3%	48.4%	+6.0	24
2021-08-15	@ Viking	L 2-3	1775	1620	48.4%	27.3%	24.4%	-6.0	33
2021-08-21	Mjondalen	D 1-1	1550	1549	44.2%	28.9%	26.9%	-0.5	13
2021-08-21	@ Stabaek	D 1-1	1549	1550	26.9%	28.9%	44.2%	+0.5	13
2021-08-21	Brann	W 3-1	1565	1541	47.7%	27.6%	24.8%	+6.5	22
2021-08-21	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-3	1541	1565	24.8%	27.6%	47.7%	-6.5	10
2021-08-22	Kristiansund	W 3-0	1765	1635	63.5%	18.5%	17.9%	+7.2	31
2021-08-22	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-3	1635	1765	17.9%	18.5%	63.5%	-7.2	26
2021-08-22	Lillestrom	L 0-3	1605	1587	46.7%	28.0%	25.3%	-17.9	22
2021-08-22	@ Haugesund	W 3-0	1587	1605	25.3%	28.0%	46.7%	+17.9	28
2021-08-22	Odds	W 5-0	1680	1602	55.8%	23.4%	20.8%	+14.4	28
2021-08-22	@ Rosenborg	L 0-5	1602	1680	20.8%	23.4%	55.8%	-14.4	22
2021-08-22	Tromso	D 1-1	1559	1548	45.6%	28.4%	26.0%	-0.6	21
2021-08-22	@ Sandefjord	D 1-1	1548	1559	26.0%	28.4%	45.6%	+0.6	15
2021-08-22	Viking	D 1-1	1665	1626	49.9%	26.6%	23.6%	-0.8	23
2021-08-22	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1626	1665	23.6%	26.6%	49.9%	+0.8	25
2021-08-28	Haugesund	L 1-3	1534	1588	36.1%	30.5%	33.3%	-8.9	10
2021-08-28	@ Brann	W 3-1	1588	1534	33.3%	30.5%	36.1%	+8.9	25
2021-08-28	Lillestrom	L 1-2	1549	1605	35.7%	30.5%	33.8%	-5.1	13
2021-08-28	@ Mjondalen	W 2-1	1605	1549	33.8%	30.5%	35.7%	+5.1	31
2021-08-29	Molde	W 2-0	1628	1769	25.6%	28.1%	46.3%	+12.2	29
2021-08-29	@ Kristiansund	L 0-2	1769	1628	46.3%	28.1%	25.6%	-12.2	33
2021-08-29	Stromsgodset	L 0-1	1588	1572	46.5%	28.1%	25.5%	-6.5	22
2021-08-29	@ Odds	W 1-0	1572	1588	25.5%	28.1%	46.5%	+6.5	25
2021-08-29	Sandefjord	W 5-0	1562	1558	44.6%	28.8%	26.7%	+19.0	20
2021-08-29	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 0-5	1558	1562	26.7%	28.8%	44.6%	-19.0	21
2021-08-29	Bodo Glimt	L 2-3	1549	1772	19.7%	21.6%	58.7%	-2.7	15
2021-08-29	@ Tromso	W 3-2	1772	1549	58.7%	21.6%	19.7%	+2.7	34
2021-08-29	Stabaek	W 3-1	1664	1550	61.3%	20.0%	18.7%	+4.6	26
2021-08-29	@ Valerenga	L 1-3	1550	1664	18.7%	20.0%	61.3%	-4.6	13
2021-08-29	Rosenborg	W 2-1	1627	1695	34.0%	30.5%	35.4%	+5.1	28
2021-08-29	@ Viking	L 1-2	1695	1627	35.4%	30.5%	34.0%	-5.1	28
2021-09-11	Brann	L 2-3	1610	1525	56.9%	22.7%	20.4%	-6.7	31
2021-09-11	@ Lillestrom	W 3-2	1525	1610	20.4%	22.7%	56.9%	+6.7	13
2021-09-11	Viking	L 1-3	1545	1632	31.5%	30.3%	38.2%	-8.1	13
2021-09-11	@ Stabaek	W 3-1	1632	1545	38.2%	30.3%	31.5%	+8.1	31
2021-09-12	Odds	D 1-1	1775	1581	72.6%	12.6%	14.8%	-1.7	35
2021-09-12	@ Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1581	1775	14.8%	12.6%	72.6%	+1.7	23
2021-09-12	Sarpsborg 08	W 2-1	1596	1581	46.4%	28.1%	25.5%	+3.9	28
2021-09-12	@ Haugesund	L 1-2	1581	1596	25.5%	28.1%	46.4%	-3.9	20
2021-09-12	Mjondalen	W 4-0	1756	1544	75.1%	11.0%	13.9%	+6.5	36
2021-09-12	@ Molde	L 0-4	1544	1756	13.9%	11.0%	75.1%	-6.5	13
2021-09-12	Tromso	W 3-2	1690	1546	65.6%	17.2%	17.2%	+2.2	31
2021-09-12	@ Rosenborg	L 2-3	1546	1690	17.2%	17.2%	65.6%	-2.2	15
2021-09-12	Valerenga	W 3-0	1539	1669	26.7%	28.8%	44.6%	+17.3	24
2021-09-12	@ Sandefjord	L 0-3	1669	1539	44.6%	28.8%	26.7%	-17.3	26
2021-09-12	Kristiansund	L 1-2	1578	1640	34.9%	30.6%	34.6%	-5.0	25
2021-09-12	@ Stromsgodset	W 2-1	1640	1578	34.6%	30.6%	34.9%	+5.0	32
2021-09-18	Haugesund	W 3-2	1645	1600	50.8%	26.1%	23.1%	+3.3	35
2021-09-18	@ Kristiansund	L 2-3	1600	1645	23.1%	26.1%	50.8%	-3.3	28
2021-09-18	Lillestrom	L 2-3	1583	1604	40.9%	29.8%	29.2%	-5.3	23
2021-09-18	@ Odds	W 3-2	1604	1583	29.2%	29.8%	40.9%	+5.3	34
2021-09-19	Sandefjord	D 1-1	1538	1556	41.2%	29.8%	29.0%	-0.4	14
2021-09-19	@ Mjondalen	D 1-1	1556	1538	29.0%	29.8%	41.2%	+0.4	25
2021-09-19	Rosenborg	L 1-3	1577	1692	28.2%	29.4%	42.4%	-7.4	20
2021-09-19	@ Sarpsborg 08	W 3-1	1692	1577	42.4%	29.4%	28.2%	+7.4	34
2021-09-19	Brann	D 1-1	1544	1532	45.8%	28.3%	25.9%	-0.6	16
2021-09-19	@ Tromso	D 1-1	1532	1544	25.9%	28.3%	45.8%	+0.6	14
2021-09-19	Molde	D 1-1	1651	1763	28.5%	29.6%	41.9%	+0.4	27
2021-09-19	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1763	1651	41.9%	29.6%	28.5%	-0.4	37
2021-09-19	Bodo Glimt	L 1-3	1640	1773	26.3%	28.6%	45.1%	-7.0	31
2021-09-19	@ Viking	W 3-1	1773	1640	45.1%	28.6%	26.3%	+7.0	38
2021-09-25	Tromso	L 1-2	1609	1543	54.0%	24.4%	21.6%	-6.8	34
2021-09-25	@ Lillestrom	W 2-1	1543	1609	21.6%	24.4%	54.0%	+6.8	19
2021-09-25	Sarpsborg 08	W 5-0	1573	1570	44.6%	28.8%	26.7%	+19.0	28
2021-09-25	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-5	1570	1573	26.7%	28.8%	44.6%	-19.0	20
2021-09-26	Valerenga	W 1-0	1780	1652	63.3%	18.7%	18.0%	+2.7	41
2021-09-26	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-1	1652	1780	18.0%	18.7%	63.3%	-2.7	27
2021-09-26	Kristiansund	W 3-1	1533	1648	28.1%	29.4%	42.5%	+10.0	17
2021-09-26	@ Brann	L 1-3	1648	1533	42.5%	29.4%	28.1%	-10.0	35
2021-09-26	Odds	L 1-3	1597	1578	46.9%	27.9%	25.2%	-10.7	28
2021-09-26	@ Haugesund	W 3-1	1578	1597	25.2%	27.9%	46.9%	+10.7	26
2021-09-26	Viking	D 2-2	1763	1633	63.6%	18.5%	17.9%	-1.0	38
2021-09-26	@ Molde	D 2-2	1633	1763	17.9%	18.5%	63.6%	+1.0	32
2021-09-26	Mjondalen	W 3-1	1699	1537	68.3%	15.4%	16.3%	+3.7	37
2021-09-26	@ Rosenborg	L 1-3	1537	1699	16.3%	15.4%	68.3%	-3.7	14
2021-09-26	Stabaek	L 0-3	1557	1537	47.0%	27.9%	25.1%	-18.0	25
2021-09-26	@ Sandefjord	W 3-0	1537	1557	25.1%	27.9%	47.0%	+18.0	16
2021-09-29	Stromsgodset	D 0-0	1555	1592	38.4%	30.3%	31.3%	-0.2	17
2021-09-29	@ Stabaek	D 0-0	1592	1555	31.3%	30.3%	38.4%	+0.2	29
2021-10-02	Lillestrom	W 2-1	1551	1602	36.3%	30.5%	33.2%	+4.9	23
2021-10-02	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 1-2	1602	1551	33.2%	30.5%	36.3%	-4.9	34
2021-10-02	Sandefjord	W 2-1	1634	1539	58.4%	21.8%	19.8%	+2.9	35
2021-10-02	@ Viking	L 1-2	1539	1634	19.8%	21.8%	58.4%	-2.9	25
2021-10-03	Rosenborg	W 1-0	1638	1703	34.5%	30.6%	34.9%	+5.3	38
2021-10-03	@ Kristiansund	L 0-1	1703	1638	34.9%	30.6%	34.5%	-5.3	37
2021-10-03	Brann	D 1-1	1534	1543	42.6%	29.4%	28.0%	-0.4	15
2021-10-03	@ Mjondalen	D 1-1	1543	1534	28.0%	29.4%	42.6%	+0.4	18
2021-10-03	Molde	L 1-3	1588	1762	22.9%	25.9%	51.1%	-6.0	26
2021-10-03	@ Odds	W 3-1	1762	1588	51.1%	25.9%	22.9%	+6.0	41
2021-10-03	Bodo Glimt	L 0-3	1555	1782	19.4%	21.2%	59.5%	-8.1	17
2021-10-03	@ Stabaek	W 3-0	1782	1555	59.5%	21.2%	19.4%	+8.1	44
2021-10-03	Haugesund	W 2-0	1550	1586	38.6%	30.2%	31.1%	+9.3	22
2021-10-03	@ Tromso	L 0-2	1586	1550	31.1%	30.2%	38.6%	-9.3	28
2021-10-03	Stromsgodset	W 3-0	1649	1592	52.6%	25.2%	22.2%	+9.8	30
2021-10-03	@ Valerenga	L 0-3	1592	1649	22.2%	25.2%	52.6%	-9.8	29
2021-10-16	Kristiansund	D 0-0	1597	1644	37.1%	30.4%	32.4%	-0.1	35
2021-10-16	@ Lillestrom	D 0-0	1644	1597	32.4%	30.4%	37.1%	+0.1	39
2021-10-16	Tromso	W 3-0	1768	1559	74.6%	11.3%	14.1%	+5.1	44
2021-10-16	@ Molde	L 0-3	1559	1768	14.1%	11.3%	74.6%	-5.1	22
2021-10-17	Sarpsborg 08	W 2-1	1791	1555	77.9%	9.2%	12.9%	+1.5	47
2021-10-17	@ Bodo Glimt	L 1-2	1555	1791	12.9%	9.2%	77.9%	-1.5	23
2021-10-17	Stabaek	D 1-1	1543	1546	43.5%	29.1%	27.4%	-0.5	19
2021-10-17	@ Brann	D 1-1	1546	1543	27.4%	29.1%	43.5%	+0.5	18
2021-10-17	Mjondalen	W 7-0	1577	1533	50.7%	26.2%	23.2%	+22.6	31
2021-10-17	@ Haugesund	L 0-7	1533	1577	23.2%	26.2%	50.7%	-22.6	15
2021-10-17	Valerenga	D 2-2	1698	1659	49.9%	26.6%	23.5%	-0.6	38
2021-10-17	@ Rosenborg	D 2-2	1659	1698	23.5%	26.6%	49.9%	+0.6	31
2021-10-17	Odds	D 0-0	1536	1582	37.1%	30.4%	32.5%	-0.1	26
2021-10-17	@ Sandefjord	D 0-0	1582	1536	32.5%	30.4%	37.1%	+0.1	27
2021-10-17	Viking	L 0-1	1583	1637	36.0%	30.5%	33.5%	-5.5	29
2021-10-17	@ Stromsgodset	W 1-0	1637	1583	33.5%	30.5%	36.0%	+5.4	38
2021-10-23	Molde	L 0-3	1547	1773	19.5%	21.4%	59.1%	-8.2	18
2021-10-23	@ Stabaek	W 3-0	1773	1547	59.1%	21.4%	19.5%	+8.2	47
2021-10-23	Lillestrom	W 5-1	1642	1597	50.8%	26.1%	23.1%	+11.1	41
2021-10-23	@ Viking	L 1-5	1597	1642	23.1%	26.1%	50.8%	-11.1	35
2021-10-24	Sarpsborg 08	L 1-3	1644	1554	57.7%	22.3%	20.1%	-12.3	39
2021-10-24	@ Kristiansund	W 3-1	1554	1644	20.1%	22.3%	57.7%	+12.3	26
2021-10-24	Brann	D 3-3	1583	1543	50.0%	26.5%	23.5%	-0.5	28
2021-10-24	@ Odds	D 3-3	1543	1583	23.5%	26.5%	50.0%	+0.5	20
2021-10-24	Sandefjord	W 4-1	1697	1536	68.2%	15.5%	16.3%	+5.3	41
2021-10-24	@ Rosenborg	L 1-4	1536	1697	16.3%	15.5%	68.2%	-5.3	26
2021-10-24	Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1577	1792	20.1%	22.4%	57.5%	+1.1	30
2021-10-24	@ Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1792	1577	57.5%	22.4%	20.1%	-1.1	48
2021-10-24	Mjondalen	W 1-0	1554	1510	50.6%	26.2%	23.2%	+3.7	25
2021-10-24	@ Tromso	L 0-1	1510	1554	23.2%	26.2%	50.6%	-3.7	15
2021-10-24	Haugesund	W 2-1	1659	1600	53.0%	24.9%	22.0%	+3.3	34
2021-10-24	@ Valerenga	L 1-2	1600	1659	22.0%	24.9%	53.0%	-3.3	31
2021-10-27	Rosenborg	D 0-0	1596	1702	29.2%	29.8%	41.0%	+0.4	32
2021-10-27	@ Haugesund	D 0-0	1702	1596	41.0%	29.8%	29.2%	-0.4	42
2021-10-27	Stabaek	W 3-0	1586	1539	51.2%	25.9%	22.9%	+10.1	38
2021-10-27	@ Lillestrom	L 0-3	1539	1586	22.9%	25.9%	51.2%	-10.1	18
2021-10-27	Kristiansund	W 5-0	1507	1632	27.1%	29.0%	43.9%	+27.6	18
2021-10-27	@ Mjondalen	L 0-5	1632	1507	43.9%	29.0%	27.1%	-27.6	39
2021-10-27	Bodo Glimt	L 0-2	1781	1791	42.5%	29.4%	28.1%	-11.5	47
2021-10-27	@ Molde	W 2-0	1791	1781	28.1%	29.4%	42.5%	+11.5	51
2021-10-27	Stromsgodset	W 2-0	1530	1578	36.9%	30.4%	32.6%	+9.6	29
2021-10-27	@ Sandefjord	L 0-2	1578	1530	32.6%	30.4%	36.9%	-9.6	30
2021-10-27	Odds	W 2-0	1558	1582	40.4%	29.9%	29.6%	+8.9	28
2021-10-27	@ Tromso	L 0-2	1582	1558	29.6%	29.9%	40.4%	-8.9	28
2021-10-28	Viking	L 0-2	1543	1653	28.7%	29.6%	41.7%	-8.7	20
2021-10-28	@ Brann	W 2-0	1653	1543	41.7%	29.6%	28.7%	+8.7	44
2021-10-28	Valerenga	W 2-1	1566	1663	30.3%	30.1%	39.6%	+5.5	29
2021-10-28	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 1-2	1663	1566	39.6%	30.1%	30.3%	-5.5	34
2021-10-30	Tromso	D 1-1	1604	1567	49.6%	26.7%	23.7%	-0.8	40
2021-10-30	@ Kristiansund	D 1-1	1567	1604	23.7%	26.7%	49.6%	+0.8	29
2021-10-30	Lillestrom	L 1-3	1702	1596	60.0%	20.8%	19.2%	-12.6	42
2021-10-30	@ Rosenborg	W 3-1	1596	1702	19.2%	20.8%	60.0%	+12.6	41
2021-10-31	Sandefjord	W 1-0	1802	1540	81.1%	7.3%	11.6%	+1.4	54
2021-10-31	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-1	1540	1802	11.6%	7.3%	81.1%	-1.4	29
2021-10-31	Mjondalen	D 2-2	1573	1534	49.9%	26.6%	23.6%	-0.6	29
2021-10-31	@ Odds	D 2-2	1534	1573	23.6%	26.6%	49.9%	+0.6	19
2021-10-31	Haugesund	W 2-1	1529	1597	34.0%	30.5%	35.5%	+5.1	21
2021-10-31	@ Stabaek	L 1-2	1597	1529	35.5%	30.5%	34.0%	-5.1	32
2021-10-31	Molde	W 6-0	1569	1769	21.0%	23.7%	55.3%	+38.4	33
2021-10-31	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-6	1769	1569	55.3%	23.7%	21.0%	-38.4	47
2021-10-31	Brann	W 1-0	1657	1535	62.5%	19.2%	18.3%	+2.7	37
2021-10-31	@ Valerenga	L 0-1	1535	1657	18.3%	19.2%	62.5%	-2.7	20
2021-10-31	Sarpsborg 08	L 1-2	1662	1572	57.7%	22.2%	20.1%	-7.1	44
2021-10-31	@ Viking	W 2-1	1572	1662	20.1%	22.2%	57.7%	+7.1	32
2021-11-06	Rosenborg	D 2-2	1532	1689	24.1%	27.1%	48.8%	+0.5	21
2021-11-06	@ Brann	D 2-2	1689	1532	48.8%	27.1%	24.1%	-0.5	43
2021-11-06	Stabaek	W 4-1	1579	1534	50.8%	26.1%	23.1%	+8.6	35
2021-11-06	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 1-4	1534	1579	23.1%	26.1%	50.8%	-8.6	21
2021-11-07	Bodo Glimt	D 2-2	1592	1804	20.3%	22.6%	57.1%	+0.8	33
2021-11-07	@ Haugesund	D 2-2	1804	1592	57.1%	22.6%	20.3%	-0.8	55
2021-11-07	Valerenga	D 0-0	1609	1660	36.5%	30.5%	33.1%	-0.1	42
2021-11-07	@ Lillestrom	D 0-0	1660	1609	33.1%	30.5%	36.5%	+0.1	38
2021-11-07	Viking	L 0-1	1535	1655	27.6%	29.2%	43.1%	-4.5	19
2021-11-07	@ Mjondalen	W 1-0	1655	1535	43.1%	29.2%	27.6%	+4.5	47
2021-11-07	Sandefjord	W 3-1	1731	1539	72.5%	12.7%	14.8%	+3.2	50
2021-11-07	@ Molde	L 1-3	1539	1731	14.8%	12.7%	72.5%	-3.2	29
2021-11-07	Kristiansund	L 2-4	1573	1603	39.4%	30.1%	30.4%	-8.5	29
2021-11-07	@ Odds	W 4-2	1603	1573	30.4%	30.1%	39.4%	+8.5	43
2021-11-07	Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1568	1607	38.2%	30.3%	31.5%	-0.2	30
2021-11-07	@ Tromso	D 1-1	1607	1568	31.5%	30.3%	38.2%	+0.2	34
2021-11-20	Mjondalen	L 1-2	1607	1530	55.6%	23.5%	20.9%	-6.9	34
2021-11-20	@ Stromsgodset	W 2-1	1530	1607	20.9%	23.5%	55.6%	+6.9	22
2021-11-20	Haugesund	D 1-1	1659	1593	54.1%	24.3%	21.5%	-1.0	48
2021-11-20	@ Viking	D 1-1	1593	1659	21.5%	24.3%	54.1%	+1.0	34
2021-11-21	Lillestrom	W 2-0	1803	1609	72.7%	12.5%	14.8%	+3.7	58
2021-11-21	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-2	1609	1803	14.8%	12.5%	72.7%	-3.7	42
2021-11-21	Rosenborg	W 4-1	1734	1689	50.9%	26.1%	23.1%	+8.6	53
2021-11-21	@ Molde	L 1-4	1689	1734	23.1%	26.1%	50.9%	-8.6	43
2021-11-21	Brann	D 2-2	1535	1532	44.5%	28.8%	26.7%	-0.4	30
2021-11-21	@ Sandefjord	D 2-2	1532	1535	26.7%	28.8%	44.5%	+0.4	22
2021-11-21	Odds	D 1-1	1587	1564	47.5%	27.6%	24.9%	-0.7	36
2021-11-21	@ Sarpsborg 08	D 1-1	1564	1587	24.9%	27.6%	47.5%	+0.7	30
2021-11-21	Kristiansund	W 3-0	1525	1612	31.5%	30.3%	38.2%	+15.6	24
2021-11-21	@ Stabaek	L 0-3	1612	1525	38.2%	30.3%	31.5%	-15.6	43
2021-11-21	Tromso	D 1-1	1660	1568	58.0%	22.1%	19.9%	-1.2	39
2021-11-21	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1568	1660	19.9%	22.1%	58.0%	+1.1	31
2021-11-27	Stromsgodset	W 4-1	1605	1600	44.7%	28.7%	26.6%	+9.9	45
2021-11-27	@ Lillestrom	L 1-4	1600	1605	26.6%	28.7%	44.7%	-9.9	34
2021-11-27	Valerenga	L 1-2	1565	1659	30.6%	30.1%	39.3%	-4.6	30
2021-11-27	@ Odds	W 2-1	1659	1565	39.3%	30.1%	30.6%	+4.6	42
2021-11-28	Molde	L 0-1	1533	1743	20.4%	22.8%	56.8%	-3.2	22
2021-11-28	@ Brann	W 1-0	1743	1533	56.8%	22.8%	20.4%	+3.2	56
2021-11-28	Sandefjord	L 1-2	1593	1535	52.9%	25.0%	22.1%	-6.7	34
2021-11-28	@ Haugesund	W 2-1	1535	1593	22.1%	25.0%	52.9%	+6.7	33
2021-11-28	Viking	L 2-3	1596	1658	34.8%	30.6%	34.6%	-4.8	43
2021-11-28	@ Kristiansund	W 3-2	1658	1596	34.6%	30.6%	34.8%	+4.8	51
2021-11-28	Sarpsborg 08	L 1-3	1537	1587	36.7%	30.5%	32.8%	-9.0	22
2021-11-28	@ Mjondalen	W 3-1	1587	1537	32.8%	30.5%	36.7%	+9.0	39
2021-11-28	Bodo Glimt	D 0-0	1680	1807	27.0%	28.9%	44.1%	+0.6	44
2021-11-28	@ Rosenborg	D 0-0	1807	1680	44.1%	28.9%	27.0%	-0.6	59
2021-11-28	Stabaek	D 0-0	1569	1541	48.2%	27.3%	24.4%	-0.8	32
2021-11-28	@ Tromso	D 0-0	1541	1569	24.4%	27.3%	48.2%	+0.8	25
2021-12-05	Brann	D 2-2	1806	1530	82.6%	6.4%	11.0%	-1.5	60
2021-12-05	@ Bodo Glimt	D 2-2	1530	1806	11.0%	6.4%	82.6%	+1.5	23
2021-12-05	Lillestrom	D 3-3	1746	1615	63.8%	18.4%	17.8%	-0.9	57
2021-12-05	@ Molde	D 3-3	1615	1746	17.8%	18.4%	63.8%	+0.9	46
2021-12-05	Kristiansund	W 3-2	1542	1591	36.6%	30.5%	32.9%	+4.6	36
2021-12-05	@ Sandefjord	L 2-3	1591	1542	32.9%	30.5%	36.6%	-4.6	43
2021-12-05	Tromso	L 0-1	1596	1568	48.2%	27.3%	24.5%	-6.7	39
2021-12-05	@ Sarpsborg 08	W 1-0	1568	1596	24.5%	27.3%	48.2%	+6.7	35
2021-12-05	Rosenborg	L 1-3	1541	1681	25.7%	28.2%	46.0%	-6.8	25
2021-12-05	@ Stabaek	W 3-1	1681	1541	46.0%	28.2%	25.7%	+6.8	47
2021-12-05	Haugesund	D 0-0	1590	1587	44.6%	28.8%	26.7%	-0.6	35
2021-12-05	@ Stromsgodset	D 0-0	1587	1590	26.7%	28.8%	44.6%	+0.6	35
2021-12-05	Mjondalen	W 2-0	1663	1528	64.4%	18.0%	17.6%	+4.9	45
2021-12-05	@ Valerenga	L 0-2	1528	1663	17.6%	18.0%	64.4%	-4.9	22
2021-12-05	Odds	W 3-1	1663	1560	59.6%	21.1%	19.3%	+4.8	54
2021-12-05	@ Viking	L 1-3	1560	1663	19.3%	21.1%	59.6%	-4.8	30
2021-12-12	Sarpsborg 08	W 2-1	1531	1589	35.4%	30.5%	34.0%	+4.9	26
2021-12-12	@ Brann	L 1-2	1589	1531	34.0%	30.5%	35.4%	-5.0	39
2021-12-12	Molde	L 1-2	1587	1745	24.1%	27.1%	48.8%	-3.7	35
2021-12-12	@ Haugesund	W 2-1	1745	1587	48.8%	27.1%	24.1%	+3.7	60
2021-12-12	Valerenga	W 2-1	1587	1668	32.2%	30.4%	37.4%	+5.3	46
2021-12-12	@ Kristiansund	L 1-2	1668	1587	37.4%	30.4%	32.2%	-5.3	45
2021-12-12	Sandefjord	W 2-0	1616	1546	54.6%	24.1%	21.3%	+6.4	49
2021-12-12	@ Lillestrom	L 0-2	1546	1616	21.3%	24.1%	54.6%	-6.4	36
2021-12-12	Bodo Glimt	L 0-3	1524	1805	16.6%	16.1%	67.3%	-6.5	22
2021-12-12	@ Mjondalen	W 3-0	1805	1524	67.3%	16.1%	16.6%	+6.5	63
2021-12-12	Stabaek	W 3-1	1555	1535	47.1%	27.8%	25.1%	+6.6	33
2021-12-12	@ Odds	L 1-3	1535	1555	25.1%	27.8%	47.1%	-6.6	25
2021-12-12	Stromsgodset	D 2-2	1688	1590	58.8%	21.6%	19.6%	-0.9	48
2021-12-12	@ Rosenborg	D 2-2	1590	1688	19.6%	21.6%	58.8%	+0.9	36
2021-12-12	Viking	L 0-2	1575	1668	30.7%	30.2%	39.2%	-9.2	35
2021-12-12	@ Tromso	W 2-0	1668	1575	39.2%	30.2%	30.7%	+9.2	57

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2021-06-30	18.93%	@ Sandefjord	1534	1	Bodo Glimt	1770	0
2	2021-06-20	19.17%	Sarpsborg 08	1579	1	@ Rosenborg	1685	0
3	2021-10-30	19.18%	Lillestrom	1596	3	@ Rosenborg	1702	1
4	2021-10-31	20.05%	Sarpsborg 08	1572	2	@ Viking	1662	1
5	2021-10-24	20.07%	Sarpsborg 08	1554	3	@ Kristiansund	1644	1
6	2021-05-27	20.24%	Valerenga	1660	3	@ Molde	1747	2
7	2021-09-11	20.38%	Brann	1525	3	@ Lillestrom	1610	2
8	2021-11-20	20.88%	Mjondalen	1530	2	@ Stromsgodset	1607	1
9	2021-10-31	21.02%	@ Stromsgodset	1569	6	Molde	1769	0
10	2021-07-04	21.34%	@ Sarpsborg 08	1574	1	Molde	1770	0
11	2021-09-25	21.61%	Tromso	1543	2	@ Lillestrom	1609	1
12	2021-11-28	22.10%	Sandefjord	1535	2	@ Haugesund	1593	1
13	2021-05-16	22.34%	Kristiansund	1612	2	@ Valerenga	1667	1
14	2021-05-30	22.49%	@ Odds	1598	1	Bodo Glimt	1777	0
15	2021-05-16	22.80%	Tromso	1572	1	@ Viking	1621	0
16	2021-06-14	22.94%	Tromso	1557	3	@ Stabaek	1604	0
17	2021-07-28	23.09%	Sandefjord	1557	3	@ Odds	1602	2
18	2021-05-24	23.30%	Sandefjord	1537	3	@ Tromso	1579	1
19	2021-08-15	24.36%	@ Viking	1620	3	Molde	1775	2
20	2021-12-05	24.46%	Tromso	1568	1	@ Sarpsborg 08	1596	0
21	2021-07-04	24.56%	Sandefjord	1542	2	@ Stabaek	1569	0
22	2021-06-24	24.59%	Molde	1752	2	@ Bodo Glimt	1778	0
23	2021-06-13	24.70%	@ Stromsgodset	1541	2	Rosenborg	1692	1
24	2021-06-20	24.96%	Lillestrom	1554	2	@ Tromso	1576	1
25	2021-09-26	25.14%	Stabaek	1537	3	@ Sandefjord	1557	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-10-31	38.37	@ Stromsgodset	6	1569	21.02%	Molde	0	1769	55.32%
2	2021-10-27	27.61	@ Mjondalen	5	1507	27.12%	Kristiansund	0	1632	43.88%
3	2021-10-17	22.64	@ Haugesund	7	1577	50.66%	Mjondalen	0	1533	23.16%
4	2021-06-14	19.03	Tromso	3	1557	22.94%	@ Stabaek	0	1604	51.09%
5	2021-09-25	19.03	@ Stromsgodset	5	1573	44.56%	Sarpsborg 08	0	1570	26.66%
6	2021-08-29	19.01	@ Sarpsborg 08	5	1562	44.59%	Sandefjord	0	1558	26.65%
7	2021-09-26	17.99	Stabaek	3	1537	25.14%	@ Sandefjord	0	1557	47.01%
8	2021-08-22	17.91	Lillestrom	3	1587	25.31%	@ Haugesund	0	1605	46.73%
9	2021-05-16	17.54	Mjondalen	3	1546	26.16%	@ Sandefjord	0	1555	45.34%
10	2021-05-13	17.42	@ Rosenborg	5	1667	48.33%	Viking	0	1638	24.39%
11	2021-09-12	17.34	@ Sandefjord	3	1539	26.66%	Valerenga	0	1669	44.57%
12	2021-06-24	16.05	@ Stromsgodset	4	1542	42.82%	Sandefjord	0	1550	27.85%
13	2021-06-19	15.98	@ Sandefjord	3	1534	30.30%	Viking	0	1631	39.61%
14	2021-11-21	15.57	@ Stabaek	3	1525	31.50%	Kristiansund	0	1612	38.18%
15	2021-07-10	14.75	@ Mjondalen	3	1549	34.14%	Haugesund	0	1616	35.32%
16	2021-08-22	14.44	@ Rosenborg	5	1680	55.82%	Odds	0	1602	20.81%
17	2021-07-21	14.33	@ Stromsgodset	3	1559	35.57%	Odds	0	1616	33.90%
18	2021-06-20	14.06	@ Haugesund	3	1588	36.50%	Kristiansund	0	1638	33.01%
19	2021-05-12	13.88	Valerenga	3	1653	37.11%	@ Brann	0	1573	32.46%
20	2021-10-30	12.61	Lillestrom	3	1596	19.18%	@ Rosenborg	1	1702	60.00%
21	2021-06-24	12.56	Molde	2	1752	24.59%	@ Bodo Glimt	0	1778	47.97%
22	2021-07-04	12.56	Sandefjord	2	1542	24.56%	@ Stabaek	0	1569	48.02%
23	2021-05-30	12.51	@ Brann	3	1540	42.01%	Stromsgodset	0	1553	28.44%
24	2021-10-24	12.29	Sarpsborg 08	3	1554	20.07%	@ Kristiansund	1	1644	57.66%
25	2021-08-29	12.25	@ Kristiansund	2	1628	25.58%	Molde	0	1769	46.27%