2026 Eliteserien Season

89 games played · 16 teams · 100,000 simulations

Live

Season Status

In Progress

Awaiting final results

Title Favorite

Viking

68.10% chance to win the title

Biggest Overachiever

Viking

7.80 points above expected

27 points · 19.20 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Brann

5.43 points below expected

13 points · 18.43 expected points

League Table

Each team's record through games played. SimPts is the model's expected points through the same games — the sum over completed games of pregame win-probability × 3 plus tie-probability × 1. vsSim shows actual points minus that expectation — positive means the team has overachieved against the model so far.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Viking 10 9 0 1 27 29 10 +19 19.2 +7.80
2 Tromso 13 7 4 2 25 18 14 +4 22.9 +2.08
3 Bodo Glimt 11 7 2 2 23 28 11 +17 20.7 +2.31
4 Lillestrom 11 6 1 4 19 17 11 +6 15.7 +3.35
5 Molde 11 6 1 4 19 18 13 +5 17.8 +1.21
6 Hamarkameratene 10 5 2 3 17 17 16 +1 15.3 +1.71
7 Sarpsborg 08 11 4 2 5 14 13 16 -3 14.4 -0.43
8 Sandefjord 11 4 2 5 14 10 13 -3 15.6 -1.59
9 Valerenga 11 4 2 5 14 13 17 -4 16.3 -2.29
10 Fredrikstad 11 4 2 5 14 15 20 -5 14.6 -0.55
11 Brann 12 4 1 7 13 24 20 +4 18.4 -5.43
12 KFUM Oslo 11 3 3 5 12 12 17 -5 14.5 -2.53
13 Aalesund 11 2 5 4 11 15 20 -5 9.4 +1.58
14 Kristiansund 11 3 2 6 11 11 18 -7 11.9 -0.85
15 Rosenborg 11 2 3 6 9 9 18 -9 12.9 -3.88
16 Start 12 1 4 7 7 13 28 -15 9.0 -1.97

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's season-to-date record alongside the projected end-of-season points totals from 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Expected Add is the expected additional points the model thinks the team will accumulate over the rest of the season.

Team Elo Points Avg Expected Add Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Viking 1921 27 70.40 -43.40 53 62 67 70 74 79 83
Bodo Glimt 1884 23 62.06 -39.06 48 53 59 62 66 70 80
Brann 1777 13 44.37 -31.37 27 35 41 44 48 54 63
Molde 1755 19 49.83 -30.83 32 40 46 50 54 59 70
Stromsgodset 1726 65.20 46 56 61 65 69 73 81
Tromso 1716 25 49.07 -24.07 35 40 46 49 52 58 67
Hamarkameratene 1712 17 45.52 -28.52 28 36 42 45 49 55 64
Sandefjord 1691 14 39.62 -25.62 25 31 36 40 43 49 54
Sarpsborg 08 1679 14 39.85 -25.85 23 31 36 40 44 49 57
Fredrikstad 1668 14 38.26 -24.26 23 29 34 38 42 48 58
Haugesund 1659 59.88 41 50 56 60 64 69 75
Valerenga 1652 14 36.89 -22.89 21 29 33 37 40 46 54
KFUM Oslo 1647 12 34.26 -22.26 15 25 30 34 38 44 51
Rosenborg 1636 9 32.08 -23.08 15 23 28 32 36 41 49
Kristiansund 1619 11 34.10 -23.10 17 25 30 34 38 44 54
Bryne 1540 40.01 22 31 36 40 44 49 57

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BG BRA BRY FRE HAM HAU KO KRI MOL ROS SAN S0 STR TRO VAL VIK
Bodo Glimt
1-0-0
1.84
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.75
0-0-1
1.91
0-1-0
2.09
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.46
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.83
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.27
Brann
0-0-1
0.94
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.13
1-0-0
1.11
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.26
0-0-1
1.47
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.43
0-0-1
1.85
0-0-1
2.09
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.21
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.72
Bryne
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Fredrikstad
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.68
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.39
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.49
0-0-1
1.48
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
0.99
0-0-1
1.21
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.09
0-1-0
1.51
0-0-1
0.86
Hamarkameratene
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.67
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.39
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.50
0-1-0
1.31
0-0-1
0.99
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.73
1-0-0
1.26
Haugesund
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
KFUM Oslo
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.56
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.29
0-0-1
1.28
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.48
0-0-1
1.67
1-0-0
1.32
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.34
0-1-0
1.03
0-0-1
0.70
Kristiansund
0-0-1
1.04
1-0-0
1.31
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.30
0-1-0
1.47
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.76
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.96
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.65
0-0-1
1.18
0-0-1
0.67
Molde
1-0-0
0.88
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.80
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.04
1-0-0
1.71
1-0-0
1.80
0-0-1
1.64
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.32
1-0-0
1.73
0-0-1
1.07
Rosenborg
0-1-0
0.71
0-1-0
1.35
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.30
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.07
0-1-0
0.95
1-0-0
1.30
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.74
0-0-1
1.50
0-0-1
0.53
Sandefjord
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
0.94
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.80
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.12
1-0-0
1.83
0-0-1
0.99
0-1-0
1.83
0-0-1
1.70
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.79
0-0-1
1.21
0-0-0
0.00
Sarpsborg 08
0-1-0
1.32
1-0-0
0.71
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.57
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.46
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.15
0-0-1
1.48
1-0-0
1.09
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.23
0-0-1
1.14
0-0-0
0.00
Stromsgodset
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Tromso
0-0-1
0.96
1-0-1
3.37
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.69
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.44
1-0-0
2.15
1-0-0
1.46
1-0-0
2.06
1-0-0
2.01
1-0-0
1.55
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Valerenga
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.27
0-0-1
1.06
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.75
1-0-0
1.60
0-0-1
1.06
1-0-0
1.29
1-0-0
1.57
1-0-0
1.64
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.44
Viking
1-0-0
1.51
1-0-0
2.08
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.93
0-0-1
1.52
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.10
1-0-0
2.13
1-0-0
1.71
1-0-0
2.29
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.34

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.37%5.62%8.99%1.69%1.69%2.25%23.60%
15.62%12.36%8.99%4.49%1.69%1.12%34.27%
28.99%8.99%4.49%2.81%25.28%
31.69%4.49%2.81%0.56%9.55%
41.69%1.69%3.37%
5+2.25%1.12%0.56%3.93%
Total23.60%34.27%25.28%9.55%3.37%3.93%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.47
Mean allowed1.47
StdDev scored1.28
StdDev allowed1.28
Mean total goals/game2.94
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.226
Sample size (games)89
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%18.18%
127.27%9.09%36.36%
29.09%18.18%9.09%36.36%
39.09%9.09%
4
5+
Total45.45%27.27%27.27%100%

Aalesund — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.36
Mean allowed1.82
StdDev scored0.92
StdDev allowed0.87
Mean total goals/game3.18
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.090
Games played11
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%18.18%
19.09%9.09%
29.09%9.09%18.18%
318.18%9.09%27.27%
49.09%9.09%
5+18.18%18.18%
Total45.45%36.36%9.09%9.09%100%

Bodo Glimt — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.55
Mean allowed1.00
StdDev scored1.75
StdDev allowed1.48
Mean total goals/game3.55
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.615
Games played11
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%
18.33%25.00%8.33%41.67%
28.33%16.67%25.00%
38.33%8.33%
4
5+8.33%8.33%16.67%
Total8.33%41.67%25.00%25.00%100%

Brann — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.00
Mean allowed1.67
StdDev scored1.60
StdDev allowed0.98
Mean total goals/game3.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.463
Games played12
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%18.18%
118.18%18.18%9.09%45.45%
218.18%18.18%
39.09%9.09%18.18%
4
5+
Total45.45%36.36%9.09%9.09%100%

Fredrikstad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.36
Mean allowed1.82
StdDev scored1.03
StdDev allowed0.98
Mean total goals/game3.18
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.523
Games played11
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0
110.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%50.00%
210.00%20.00%10.00%40.00%
3
410.00%10.00%
5+
Total30.00%30.00%20.00%10.00%10.00%100%

Hamarkameratene — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.70
Mean allowed1.60
StdDev scored0.95
StdDev allowed1.71
Mean total goals/game3.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.492
Games played10
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%9.09%27.27%
19.09%18.18%9.09%36.36%
218.18%18.18%36.36%
3
4
5+
Total36.36%45.45%9.09%9.09%100%

KFUM Oslo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.09
Mean allowed1.55
StdDev scored0.83
StdDev allowed1.37
Mean total goals/game2.64
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.312
Games played11
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%18.18%9.09%36.36%
118.18%9.09%9.09%36.36%
29.09%9.09%18.18%
39.09%9.09%
4
5+
Total9.09%36.36%36.36%18.18%100%

Kristiansund — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.00
Mean allowed1.64
StdDev scored1.00
StdDev allowed0.92
Mean total goals/game2.64
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.325
Games played11
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%27.27%36.36%
19.09%9.09%18.18%
29.09%9.09%
327.27%27.27%
49.09%9.09%
5+
Total36.36%27.27%36.36%100%

Lillestrom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.55
Mean allowed1.00
StdDev scored1.51
StdDev allowed0.89
Mean total goals/game2.55
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.445
Games played11
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%18.18%
118.18%9.09%9.09%9.09%45.45%
29.09%9.09%18.18%
3
49.09%9.09%
5+9.09%9.09%
Total27.27%45.45%18.18%9.09%100%

Molde — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.64
Mean allowed1.18
StdDev scored1.57
StdDev allowed1.17
Mean total goals/game2.82
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.179
Games played11
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%36.36%9.09%54.55%
19.09%9.09%
29.09%9.09%9.09%9.09%36.36%
3
4
5+
Total18.18%18.18%45.45%18.18%100%

Rosenborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.82
Mean allowed1.64
StdDev scored0.98
StdDev allowed1.03
Mean total goals/game2.45
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.171
Games played11
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%9.09%27.27%
118.18%9.09%9.09%18.18%54.55%
29.09%9.09%18.18%
3
4
5+
Total36.36%27.27%18.18%18.18%100%

Sandefjord — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.91
Mean allowed1.18
StdDev scored0.70
StdDev allowed1.17
Mean total goals/game2.09
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.100
Games played11
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%9.09%27.27%
118.18%9.09%27.27%
29.09%27.27%9.09%45.45%
3
4
5+
Total9.09%63.64%9.09%9.09%9.09%100%

Sarpsborg 08 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.18
Mean allowed1.45
StdDev scored0.87
StdDev allowed1.13
Mean total goals/game2.64
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.295
Games played11
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%16.67%
133.33%16.67%8.33%8.33%66.67%
28.33%8.33%
38.33%8.33%
4
5+
Total8.33%33.33%25.00%8.33%8.33%16.67%100%

Start — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.08
Mean allowed2.33
StdDev scored0.79
StdDev allowed1.83
Mean total goals/game3.42
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.167
Games played12
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%15.38%30.77%
17.69%15.38%23.08%
223.08%7.69%30.77%
37.69%7.69%
47.69%7.69%
5+
Total53.85%30.77%15.38%100%

Tromso — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.38
Mean allowed1.08
StdDev scored1.26
StdDev allowed1.80
Mean total goals/game2.46
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.454
Games played13
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%18.18%36.36%
19.09%9.09%9.09%27.27%
29.09%9.09%18.18%
39.09%9.09%18.18%
4
5+
Total18.18%36.36%36.36%9.09%100%

Valerenga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.18
Mean allowed1.55
StdDev scored1.17
StdDev allowed1.37
Mean total goals/game2.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.068
Games played11
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0
110.00%10.00%20.00%
210.00%20.00%30.00%
310.00%10.00%20.00%
410.00%10.00%
5+10.00%10.00%20.00%
Total40.00%30.00%20.00%10.00%100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.90
Mean allowed1.00
StdDev scored1.66
StdDev allowed1.05
Mean total goals/game3.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.317
Games played10

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Viking 27 19.2 +7.80
2 Lillestrom 19 15.7 +3.35
3 Bodo Glimt 23 20.7 +2.31
4 Tromso 25 22.9 +2.08
5 Hamarkameratene 17 15.3 +1.71

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Brann 13 18.4 -5.43
2 Rosenborg 9 12.9 -3.88
3 KFUM Oslo 12 14.5 -2.53
4 Valerenga 14 16.3 -2.29
5 Start 7 9.0 -1.97

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Viking 9 Mar 21 – May 24 1 in 147
2 Sarpsborg 08 2 May 25 – May 29 1 in 19
3 Sandefjord 2 Apr 7 – Apr 12 1 in 14
4 Tromso 4 Mar 15 – Apr 11 1 in 13
5 Brann 3 Apr 29 – May 16 1 in 11

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brann 3 May 20 – May 29 1 in 80
2 Fredrikstad 4 Apr 19 – May 9 1 in 17
3 Sarpsborg 08 3 Apr 19 – May 3 1 in 12
4 Rosenborg 3 Mar 14 – Apr 6 1 in 9
5 Molde 2 Mar 21 – Apr 6 1 in 9

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Viking 9 Mar 21 – May 24 1 in 10
2 Tromso 7 Mar 15 – Apr 26 1 in 8
3 Rosenborg 3 Apr 12 – Apr 25 1 in 6
4 Sandefjord 3 Apr 7 – Apr 18 1 in 6
5 Molde 4 Apr 12 – May 4 1 in 6

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sarpsborg 08 6 Apr 6 – May 3 1 in 30
2 Valerenga 6 Apr 6 – May 8 1 in 22
3 KFUM Oslo 4 Mar 22 – Apr 19 1 in 10
4 Fredrikstad 5 Apr 12 – May 9 1 in 7
5 Tromso 3 May 16 – May 29 1 in 7

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Viking68.10%21.10%8.30%2.30%0.20%
Tromso0.30%1.70%7.20%22.90%24.80%18.30%11.10%6.60%3.50%2.00%1.10%0.30%0.20%
Bodo Glimt8.50%24.50%35.20%23.40%6.10%1.90%0.30%0.10%
Lillestrom
Molde0.20%0.10%3.40%10.90%29.50%21.30%14.00%7.50%5.10%3.90%1.90%0.90%0.80%0.40%0.10%
Hamarkameratene0.60%2.10%11.50%14.70%15.30%16.90%12.90%8.20%5.80%5.50%2.80%1.80%1.50%0.40%
Sarpsborg 080.40%1.80%4.00%8.90%9.40%12.10%14.00%11.50%11.20%11.50%7.90%4.90%2.40%
Sandefjord0.10%1.10%4.40%6.80%8.80%11.80%11.70%16.00%12.50%9.10%8.20%5.60%3.90%
Valerenga0.40%1.90%3.00%5.50%7.50%10.00%13.20%11.80%14.20%12.80%13.00%6.70%
Fredrikstad0.30%1.20%3.00%4.10%5.90%9.30%10.30%13.30%14.50%12.60%10.80%8.30%6.40%
Brann0.10%0.40%3.20%8.00%13.90%16.40%15.80%13.10%10.10%6.60%4.90%3.90%2.30%1.00%0.30%
KFUM Oslo0.10%0.70%1.30%2.50%4.20%5.70%8.10%10.30%11.50%16.30%18.80%20.50%
Aalesund
Kristiansund0.30%1.30%2.30%4.70%5.00%6.20%9.50%12.80%16.70%20.80%20.40%
Rosenborg1.00%1.50%2.20%2.90%4.10%6.80%8.60%14.30%21.80%36.80%
Start

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability — day by day.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Won relegation playoff Lost relegation playoff Direct relegation
Bodo Glimt 100%
Haugesund 100%
Stromsgodset 100%
Viking 100%
Tromso 99.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Molde 99.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Brann 96.4% 1.5% 0.8% 1.3%
Hamarkameratene 96.3% 0.7% 1.1% 1.9%
Sarpsborg 08 84.8% 4.4% 3.5% 7.3%
Bryne 85.3% 3.2% 5.1% 6.4%
Sandefjord 82.3% 4.7% 3.5% 9.5%
Fredrikstad 74.5% 5.5% 5.3% 14.7%
Valerenga 67.5% 7.3% 5.5% 19.7%
KFUM Oslo 44.4% 8.3% 8.0% 39.3%
Kristiansund 42.1% 8.3% 8.4% 41.2%
Rosenborg 27.1% 7.9% 6.4% 58.6%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2026-03-14 Viking W 2-1 1698 1786 34.8% 21.9% 43.2% +14.8 3
2026-03-14 @ Hamarkameratene L 1-2 1786 1698 43.2% 21.9% 34.8% -14.8 0
2026-03-14 Rosenborg W 2-0 1730 1709 49.9% 21.6% 28.5% +21.1 3
2026-03-14 @ Molde L 0-2 1709 1730 28.5% 21.6% 49.9% -21.1 0
2026-03-15 Brann W 3-2 1653 1730 36.3% 21.9% 41.8% +13.6 3
2026-03-15 @ Kristiansund L 2-3 1730 1653 41.8% 21.9% 36.3% -13.6 0
2026-03-15 Lillestrom L 1-3 1553 1636 35.6% 21.9% 42.5% -21.9 0
2026-03-15 @ Aalesund W 3-1 1636 1553 42.5% 21.9% 35.6% +21.9 3
2026-03-15 Start W 2-0 1696 1554 63.5% 19.8% 16.7% +13.0 3
2026-03-15 @ KFUM Oslo L 0-2 1554 1696 16.7% 19.8% 63.5% -13.0 0
2026-03-15 Sandefjord W 1-0 1709 1724 45.1% 21.8% 33.0% +12.6 3
2026-03-15 @ Valerenga L 0-1 1724 1709 33.0% 21.8% 45.1% -12.6 0
2026-03-15 Fredrikstad W 4-0 1731 1715 49.2% 21.6% 29.2% +40.7 3
2026-03-15 @ Tromso L 0-4 1715 1731 29.2% 21.6% 49.2% -40.7 0
2026-03-21 Aalesund D 1-1 1541 1531 48.5% 21.7% 29.8% -1.5 1
2026-03-21 @ Start D 1-1 1531 1541 29.8% 21.7% 48.5% +1.4 1
2026-03-21 Molde W 4-1 1771 1751 49.8% 21.6% 28.6% +25.9 3
2026-03-21 @ Viking L 1-4 1751 1771 28.6% 21.6% 49.8% -25.9 3
2026-03-22 Valerenga L 0-2 1688 1722 42.5% 21.9% 35.5% -29.1 0
2026-03-22 @ Rosenborg W 2-0 1722 1688 35.5% 21.9% 42.5% +29.1 6
2026-03-22 Tromso L 1-2 1717 1771 39.6% 21.9% 38.5% -13.7 0
2026-03-22 @ Brann W 2-1 1771 1717 38.5% 21.9% 39.6% +13.7 6
2026-03-22 KFUM Oslo W 3-1 1674 1709 42.4% 21.9% 35.7% +21.9 3
2026-03-22 @ Fredrikstad L 1-3 1709 1674 35.7% 21.9% 42.4% -21.9 3
2026-03-22 Sarpsborg 08 L 0-2 1711 1695 49.3% 21.6% 29.1% -32.9 0
2026-03-22 @ Sandefjord W 2-0 1695 1711 29.1% 21.6% 49.3% +32.9 3
2026-04-06 Viking L 0-1 1751 1797 40.8% 21.9% 37.3% -14.9 6
2026-04-06 @ Valerenga W 1-0 1797 1751 37.3% 21.9% 40.8% +14.9 6
2026-04-06 Brann L 1-5 1713 1703 48.4% 21.7% 29.9% -51.3 3
2026-04-06 @ Hamarkameratene W 5-1 1703 1713 29.9% 21.7% 48.4% +51.3 3
2026-04-06 Bodo Glimt L 0-3 1666 1814 27.4% 21.5% 51.1% -29.6 3
2026-04-06 @ Kristiansund W 3-0 1814 1666 51.1% 21.5% 27.4% +29.6 3
2026-04-06 Lillestrom L 0-1 1725 1658 55.6% 21.1% 23.4% -19.4 3
2026-04-06 @ Molde W 1-0 1658 1725 23.4% 21.1% 55.6% +19.4 6
2026-04-06 Start D 1-1 1728 1540 67.7% 18.8% 13.6% -4.5 4
2026-04-06 @ Sarpsborg 08 D 1-1 1540 1728 13.6% 18.8% 67.7% +4.5 2
2026-04-06 Rosenborg W 2-0 1785 1659 61.9% 20.1% 18.0% +13.9 9
2026-04-06 @ Tromso L 0-2 1659 1785 18.0% 20.1% 61.9% -14.0 0
2026-04-07 Fredrikstad L 2-3 1532 1696 25.5% 21.3% 53.1% -9.1 1
2026-04-07 @ Aalesund W 3-2 1696 1532 53.1% 21.3% 25.5% +9.1 6
2026-04-07 Sandefjord L 1-2 1687 1679 48.3% 21.7% 30.0% -16.2 3
2026-04-07 @ KFUM Oslo W 2-1 1679 1687 30.0% 21.7% 48.3% +16.2 3
2026-04-11 Start W 3-1 1677 1544 62.6% 20.0% 17.4% +11.7 9
2026-04-11 @ Lillestrom L 1-3 1544 1677 17.4% 20.0% 62.6% -11.7 2
2026-04-11 Kristiansund W 2-0 1799 1637 65.3% 19.4% 15.3% +11.9 12
2026-04-11 @ Tromso L 0-2 1637 1799 15.3% 19.4% 65.3% -11.9 3
2026-04-11 Bodo Glimt W 5-0 1812 1843 42.9% 21.9% 35.2% +58.5 9
2026-04-11 @ Viking L 0-5 1843 1812 35.2% 21.9% 42.9% -58.5 3
2026-04-12 Sarpsborg 08 W 2-1 1645 1724 36.2% 21.9% 41.9% +14.4 3
2026-04-12 @ Rosenborg L 1-2 1724 1645 41.9% 21.9% 36.2% -14.4 4
2026-04-12 KFUM Oslo D 2-2 1523 1671 27.3% 21.5% 51.2% +1.4 2
2026-04-12 @ Aalesund D 2-2 1671 1523 51.2% 21.5% 27.3% -1.4 4
2026-04-12 Valerenga D 1-1 1705 1736 43.0% 21.9% 35.1% -0.6 7
2026-04-12 @ Fredrikstad D 1-1 1736 1705 35.1% 21.9% 43.0% +0.6 7
2026-04-12 Hamarkameratene W 4-1 1706 1661 52.8% 21.3% 25.8% +23.7 6
2026-04-12 @ Molde L 1-4 1661 1706 25.8% 21.3% 52.8% -23.7 3
2026-04-12 Sandefjord L 0-1 1754 1695 54.6% 21.2% 24.2% -19.1 3
2026-04-12 @ Brann W 1-0 1695 1754 24.2% 21.2% 54.6% +19.1 6
2026-04-15 Bodo Glimt D 1-1 1709 1785 36.6% 21.9% 41.5% +0.4 5
2026-04-15 @ Sarpsborg 08 D 1-1 1785 1709 41.5% 21.9% 36.6% -0.4 4
2026-04-15 Lillestrom D 0-0 1811 1689 61.5% 20.2% 18.3% -4.0 13
2026-04-15 @ Tromso D 0-0 1689 1811 18.3% 20.2% 61.5% +4.0 10
2026-04-18 Aalesund W 3-0 1784 1525 73.3% 16.9% 9.8% +10.9 7
2026-04-18 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-3 1525 1784 9.8% 16.9% 73.3% -10.9 2
2026-04-18 Rosenborg D 0-0 1714 1659 54.0% 21.2% 24.7% -2.6 7
2026-04-18 @ Sandefjord D 0-0 1659 1714 24.7% 21.2% 54.0% +2.6 4
2026-04-18 Brann W 3-2 1871 1735 62.8% 19.9% 17.3% +6.4 12
2026-04-18 @ Viking L 2-3 1735 1871 17.3% 19.9% 62.8% -6.4 3
2026-04-19 Lillestrom L 0-2 1736 1693 52.7% 21.4% 25.9% -34.9 7
2026-04-19 @ Valerenga W 2-0 1693 1736 25.9% 21.4% 52.7% +34.9 13
2026-04-19 KFUM Oslo W 4-0 1638 1670 42.8% 21.9% 35.4% +47.7 6
2026-04-19 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-4 1670 1638 35.4% 21.9% 42.8% -47.7 4
2026-04-19 Fredrikstad W 2-0 1625 1705 36.0% 21.9% 42.1% +28.9 6
2026-04-19 @ Kristiansund L 0-2 1705 1625 42.1% 21.9% 36.0% -28.8 7
2026-04-19 Tromso L 0-1 1710 1807 33.6% 21.9% 44.5% -12.8 5
2026-04-19 @ Sarpsborg 08 W 1-0 1807 1710 44.5% 21.9% 33.6% +12.8 16
2026-04-19 Molde D 1-1 1532 1729 22.1% 20.9% 57.0% +2.8 3
2026-04-19 @ Start D 1-1 1729 1532 57.0% 20.9% 22.1% -2.8 7
2026-04-25 Viking L 1-2 1676 1877 21.7% 20.8% 57.5% -8.3 7
2026-04-25 @ Fredrikstad W 2-1 1877 1676 57.5% 20.8% 21.7% +8.3 15
2026-04-25 Brann D 1-1 1662 1729 37.8% 21.9% 40.2% +0.2 5
2026-04-25 @ Rosenborg D 1-1 1729 1662 40.2% 21.9% 37.8% -0.2 4
2026-04-26 Valerenga W 5-1 1727 1702 50.4% 21.6% 28.0% +32.8 10
2026-04-26 @ Molde L 1-5 1702 1727 28.0% 21.6% 50.4% -32.8 7
2026-04-26 Kristiansund D 1-1 1514 1654 28.3% 21.6% 50.1% +1.7 3
2026-04-26 @ Aalesund D 1-1 1654 1514 50.1% 21.6% 28.3% -1.7 7
2026-04-26 Start W 2-1 1685 1535 64.2% 19.6% 16.2% +6.3 9
2026-04-26 @ Hamarkameratene L 1-2 1535 1685 16.2% 19.6% 64.2% -6.3 3
2026-04-26 Sarpsborg 08 W 1-0 1622 1697 36.7% 21.9% 41.3% +15.1 7
2026-04-26 @ KFUM Oslo L 0-1 1697 1622 41.3% 21.9% 36.7% -15.1 5
2026-04-26 Sandefjord W 3-1 1820 1711 60.1% 20.4% 19.5% +13.0 19
2026-04-26 @ Tromso L 1-3 1711 1820 19.5% 20.4% 60.1% -13.0 7
2026-04-26 Bodo Glimt L 0-2 1728 1795 37.8% 21.9% 40.3% -26.5 13
2026-04-26 @ Lillestrom W 2-0 1795 1728 40.3% 21.9% 37.8% +26.5 10
2026-04-29 Brann L 0-5 1833 1729 59.6% 20.5% 19.9% -91.3 19
2026-04-29 @ Tromso W 5-0 1729 1833 19.9% 20.5% 59.6% +91.3 7
2026-04-30 Start W 5-0 1822 1529 75.6% 16.0% 8.4% +14.9 13
2026-04-30 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-5 1529 1822 8.4% 16.0% 75.6% -14.9 3
2026-05-01 Rosenborg W 3-0 1885 1662 70.5% 17.9% 11.6% +13.0 18
2026-05-01 @ Viking L 0-3 1662 1885 11.6% 17.9% 70.5% -13.0 5
2026-05-02 Fredrikstad W 3-1 1820 1668 64.4% 19.6% 16.0% +10.8 10
2026-05-02 @ Brann L 1-3 1668 1820 16.0% 19.6% 64.4% -10.8 7
2026-05-03 Sarpsborg 08 W 4-0 1701 1682 49.7% 21.6% 28.7% +40.2 16
2026-05-03 @ Lillestrom L 0-4 1682 1701 28.7% 21.6% 49.7% -40.2 5
2026-05-03 Tromso D 1-1 1514 1742 19.3% 20.4% 60.3% +3.4 4
2026-05-03 @ Start D 1-1 1742 1514 60.3% 20.4% 19.3% -3.4 20
2026-05-03 Hamarkameratene D 1-1 1652 1692 41.7% 21.9% 36.4% -0.4 8
2026-05-03 @ Kristiansund D 1-1 1692 1652 36.4% 21.9% 41.7% +0.4 10
2026-05-03 Aalesund W 1-0 1698 1516 67.2% 18.9% 13.9% +5.8 10
2026-05-03 @ Sandefjord L 0-1 1516 1698 13.9% 18.9% 67.2% -5.8 3
2026-05-03 KFUM Oslo D 2-2 1669 1637 51.2% 21.5% 27.3% -1.4 8
2026-05-03 @ Valerenga D 2-2 1637 1669 27.3% 21.5% 51.2% +1.4 8
2026-05-04 Molde L 0-1 1836 1759 56.7% 20.9% 22.4% -19.8 13
2026-05-04 @ Bodo Glimt W 1-0 1759 1836 22.4% 20.9% 56.7% +19.8 13
2026-05-08 Valerenga W 1-0 1692 1667 50.4% 21.6% 28.1% +11.0 13
2026-05-08 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-1 1667 1692 28.1% 21.6% 50.4% -11.0 8
2026-05-09 Fredrikstad W 2-1 1641 1657 45.1% 21.8% 33.1% +11.9 8
2026-05-09 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 1-2 1657 1641 33.1% 21.8% 45.1% -11.9 7
2026-05-10 Lillestrom W 2-0 1649 1741 34.3% 21.9% 43.8% +29.8 8
2026-05-10 @ Rosenborg L 0-2 1741 1649 43.8% 21.9% 34.3% -29.8 16
2026-05-10 Viking L 0-2 1639 1898 16.7% 19.8% 63.5% -13.0 8
2026-05-10 @ KFUM Oslo W 2-0 1898 1639 63.5% 19.8% 16.7% +13.0 21
2026-05-10 Kristiansund W 2-0 1704 1652 53.8% 21.3% 24.9% +18.8 13
2026-05-10 @ Sandefjord L 0-2 1652 1704 24.9% 21.3% 53.8% -18.8 8
2026-05-10 Molde W 2-0 1738 1779 41.5% 21.9% 36.6% +25.8 23
2026-05-10 @ Tromso L 0-2 1779 1738 36.6% 21.9% 41.5% -25.8 13
2026-05-16 KFUM Oslo W 2-1 1831 1626 69.1% 18.4% 12.6% +4.9 13
2026-05-16 @ Brann L 1-2 1626 1831 12.6% 18.4% 69.1% -4.9 8
2026-05-16 Hamarkameratene W 2-1 1645 1703 39.1% 21.9% 39.0% +13.6 10
2026-05-16 @ Fredrikstad L 1-2 1703 1645 39.0% 21.9% 39.1% -13.6 13
2026-05-16 Sandefjord W 3-1 1712 1723 45.7% 21.8% 32.5% +20.3 19
2026-05-16 @ Lillestrom L 1-3 1723 1712 32.5% 21.8% 45.7% -20.3 13
2026-05-16 Kristiansund W 1-0 1753 1633 61.3% 20.2% 18.5% +7.6 16
2026-05-16 @ Molde L 0-1 1633 1753 18.5% 20.2% 61.3% -7.6 8
2026-05-16 Aalesund L 2-3 1679 1510 66.0% 19.2% 14.8% -20.3 8
2026-05-16 @ Rosenborg W 3-2 1510 1679 14.8% 19.2% 66.0% +20.3 6
2026-05-16 Start W 6-3 1911 1517 81.8% 13.0% 5.2% +3.7 24
2026-05-16 @ Viking L 3-6 1517 1911 5.2% 13.0% 81.8% -3.7 4
2026-05-16 Tromso W 5-0 1817 1764 53.8% 21.3% 24.9% +43.9 16
2026-05-16 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-5 1764 1817 24.9% 21.3% 53.8% -43.9 23
2026-05-16 Sarpsborg 08 W 3-2 1656 1653 47.5% 21.7% 30.7% +10.6 11
2026-05-16 @ Valerenga L 2-3 1653 1656 30.7% 21.7% 47.5% -10.6 8
2026-05-20 Bodo Glimt L 1-4 1514 1861 11.2% 17.7% 71.1% -10.6 4
2026-05-20 @ Start W 4-1 1861 1514 71.1% 17.7% 11.2% +10.6 19
2026-05-20 Brann W 2-1 1530 1836 13.6% 18.8% 67.7% +21.9 9
2026-05-20 @ Aalesund L 1-2 1836 1530 67.7% 18.8% 13.6% -21.9 13
2026-05-20 Kristiansund L 1-2 1732 1625 59.9% 20.5% 19.7% -19.6 19
2026-05-20 @ Lillestrom W 2-1 1625 1732 19.7% 20.5% 59.9% +19.6 11
2026-05-24 Brann W 3-1 1871 1814 54.4% 21.2% 24.4% +16.0 22
2026-05-24 @ Bodo Glimt L 1-3 1814 1871 24.4% 21.2% 54.4% -16.0 13
2026-05-24 Viking L 1-2 1645 1915 15.9% 19.6% 64.5% -6.2 11
2026-05-24 @ Kristiansund W 2-1 1915 1645 64.5% 19.6% 15.9% +6.2 27
2026-05-25 Lillestrom W 2-0 1689 1712 44.0% 21.9% 34.1% +24.4 16
2026-05-25 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-2 1712 1689 34.1% 21.9% 44.0% -24.4 19
2026-05-25 Valerenga W 2-0 1503 1667 25.5% 21.3% 53.1% +35.2 7
2026-05-25 @ Start L 0-2 1667 1503 53.1% 21.3% 25.5% -35.2 11
2026-05-25 Rosenborg W 2-0 1621 1659 42.0% 21.9% 36.1% +25.6 11
2026-05-25 @ KFUM Oslo L 0-2 1659 1621 36.1% 21.9% 42.0% -25.5 8
2026-05-25 Fredrikstad D 1-1 1702 1659 52.8% 21.4% 25.9% -2.1 14
2026-05-25 @ Sandefjord D 1-1 1659 1702 25.9% 21.4% 52.8% +2.1 11
2026-05-25 Molde W 2-1 1643 1761 30.9% 21.7% 47.3% +15.9 11
2026-05-25 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 1-2 1761 1643 47.3% 21.7% 30.9% -15.9 16
2026-05-25 Aalesund D 1-1 1720 1552 65.9% 19.2% 14.9% -4.3 24
2026-05-25 @ Tromso D 1-1 1552 1720 14.9% 19.2% 65.9% +4.3 10
2026-05-29 Hamarkameratene D 2-2 1556 1714 26.2% 21.4% 52.4% +1.5 11
2026-05-29 @ Aalesund D 2-2 1714 1556 52.4% 21.4% 26.2% -1.5 17
2026-05-29 Sarpsborg 08 L 1-2 1798 1659 63.2% 19.9% 17.0% -20.6 13
2026-05-29 @ Brann W 2-1 1659 1798 17.0% 19.9% 63.2% +20.6 14
2026-05-29 Start W 2-1 1661 1538 61.5% 20.2% 18.3% +7.1 14
2026-05-29 @ Fredrikstad L 1-2 1538 1661 18.3% 20.2% 61.5% -7.1 7
2026-05-29 Tromso D 0-0 1646 1716 37.5% 21.9% 40.6% +0.3 12
2026-05-29 @ KFUM Oslo D 0-0 1716 1646 40.6% 21.9% 37.5% -0.3 25
2026-05-29 Bodo Glimt D 2-2 1633 1887 17.1% 19.9% 63.0% +2.8 9
2026-05-29 @ Rosenborg D 2-2 1887 1633 63.0% 19.9% 17.1% -2.8 23
2026-05-29 Kristiansund W 3-1 1632 1639 46.2% 21.8% 32.0% +20.1 14
2026-05-29 @ Valerenga L 1-3 1639 1632 32.0% 21.8% 46.2% -20.1 11
2026-05-30 Sandefjord W 2-1 1745 1700 52.9% 21.3% 25.8% +9.7 19
2026-05-30 @ Molde L 1-2 1700 1745 25.8% 21.3% 52.9% -9.7 14

Upcoming Games

Scheduled but not-yet-played games for the team selected at the top of the tab — their remaining schedule and the model's win probability for each matchup.

Date Opponent Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %
2026-07-04 Valerenga 1884 1652 71.3% 17.6% 11.1%
2026-07-04 @ Bodo Glimt 1652 1884 11.1% 17.6% 71.3%
2026-07-04 Rosenborg 1712 1636 56.6% 20.9% 22.5%
2026-07-04 @ Hamarkameratene 1636 1712 22.5% 20.9% 56.6%
2026-07-04 Sandefjord 1531 1691 26.0% 21.4% 52.6%
2026-07-04 @ Start 1691 1531 52.6% 21.4% 26.0%
2026-07-04 KFUM Oslo 1619 1647 43.3% 21.9% 34.8%
2026-07-04 @ Kristiansund 1647 1619 34.8% 21.9% 43.3%
2026-07-04 Brann 1688 1777 34.7% 21.9% 43.4%
2026-07-04 @ Lillestrom 1777 1688 43.4% 21.9% 34.7%
2026-07-04 Fredrikstad 1755 1668 57.8% 20.8% 21.4%
2026-07-04 @ Molde 1668 1755 21.4% 20.8% 57.8%
2026-07-04 Aalesund 1679 1558 61.4% 20.2% 18.4%
2026-07-04 @ Sarpsborg 08 1558 1679 18.4% 20.2% 61.4%
2026-07-04 Tromso 1921 1716 69.1% 18.3% 12.6%
2026-07-04 @ Viking 1716 1921 12.6% 18.3% 69.1%
2026-07-12 Molde 1558 1755 22.1% 20.9% 57.0%
2026-07-12 @ Aalesund 1755 1558 57.0% 20.9% 22.1%
2026-07-12 Start 1777 1531 72.3% 17.3% 10.4%
2026-07-12 @ Brann 1531 1777 10.4% 17.3% 72.3%
2026-07-12 Lillestrom 1668 1688 44.4% 21.9% 33.7%
2026-07-12 @ Fredrikstad 1688 1668 33.7% 21.9% 44.4%
2026-07-12 Bodo Glimt 1647 1884 18.4% 20.2% 61.4%
2026-07-12 @ KFUM Oslo 1884 1647 61.4% 20.2% 18.4%
2026-07-12 Kristiansund 1636 1619 49.4% 21.6% 29.0%
2026-07-12 @ Rosenborg 1619 1636 29.0% 21.6% 49.4%
2026-07-12 Hamarkameratene 1691 1712 44.2% 21.9% 33.9%
2026-07-12 @ Sandefjord 1712 1691 33.9% 21.9% 44.2%
2026-07-12 Viking 1679 1921 18.1% 20.1% 61.8%
2026-07-12 @ Sarpsborg 08 1921 1679 61.8% 20.1% 18.1%
2026-07-12 Valerenga 1716 1652 55.1% 21.1% 23.8%
2026-07-12 @ Tromso 1652 1716 23.8% 21.1% 55.1%
2026-07-18 Fredrikstad 1884 1668 70.0% 18.1% 11.9%
2026-07-18 @ Bodo Glimt 1668 1884 11.9% 18.1% 70.0%
2026-07-18 Tromso 1712 1716 46.7% 21.8% 31.5%
2026-07-18 @ Hamarkameratene 1716 1712 31.5% 21.8% 46.7%
2026-07-18 Rosenborg 1531 1636 32.7% 21.8% 45.5%
2026-07-18 @ Start 1636 1531 45.5% 21.8% 32.7%
2026-07-18 Sarpsborg 08 1619 1679 38.7% 21.9% 39.4%
2026-07-18 @ Kristiansund 1679 1619 39.4% 21.9% 38.7%
2026-07-18 KFUM Oslo 1688 1647 52.4% 21.4% 26.2%
2026-07-18 @ Lillestrom 1647 1688 26.2% 21.4% 52.4%
2026-07-18 Brann 1755 1777 44.1% 21.9% 34.0%
2026-07-18 @ Molde 1777 1755 34.0% 21.9% 44.1%
2026-07-18 Aalesund 1652 1558 58.5% 20.7% 20.8%
2026-07-18 @ Valerenga 1558 1652 20.8% 20.7% 58.5%
2026-07-18 Sandefjord 1921 1691 71.1% 17.7% 11.2%
2026-07-18 @ Viking 1691 1921 11.2% 17.7% 71.1%
2026-07-22 Viking 1688 1921 18.8% 20.3% 60.9%
2026-07-22 @ Lillestrom 1921 1688 60.9% 20.3% 18.8%
2026-07-25 Viking 1558 1921 10.4% 17.3% 72.3%
2026-07-25 @ Aalesund 1921 1558 72.3% 17.3% 10.4%
2026-07-25 Valerenga 1777 1652 61.8% 20.1% 18.1%
2026-07-25 @ Brann 1652 1777 18.1% 20.1% 61.8%
2026-07-25 Molde 1647 1755 32.2% 21.8% 46.0%
2026-07-25 @ KFUM Oslo 1755 1647 46.0% 21.8% 32.2%
2026-07-25 Start 1619 1531 57.8% 20.8% 21.4%
2026-07-25 @ Kristiansund 1531 1619 21.4% 20.8% 57.8%
2026-07-25 Fredrikstad 1636 1668 42.8% 21.9% 35.3%
2026-07-25 @ Rosenborg 1668 1636 35.3% 21.9% 42.8%
2026-07-25 Bodo Glimt 1691 1884 22.4% 20.9% 56.6%
2026-07-25 @ Sandefjord 1884 1691 56.6% 20.9% 22.4%
2026-07-25 Hamarkameratene 1679 1712 42.6% 21.9% 35.4%
2026-07-25 @ Sarpsborg 08 1712 1679 35.4% 21.9% 42.6%
2026-08-01 Tromso 1558 1716 26.2% 21.4% 52.4%
2026-08-01 @ Aalesund 1716 1558 52.4% 21.4% 26.2%
2026-08-01 Rosenborg 1777 1636 63.4% 19.8% 16.8%
2026-08-01 @ Brann 1636 1777 16.8% 19.8% 63.4%
2026-08-01 Lillestrom 1884 1688 68.3% 18.6% 13.1%
2026-08-01 @ Bodo Glimt 1688 1884 13.1% 18.6% 68.3%
2026-08-01 Sandefjord 1668 1691 44.0% 21.9% 34.1%
2026-08-01 @ Fredrikstad 1691 1668 34.1% 21.9% 44.0%
2026-08-01 Viking 1531 1921 9.2% 16.5% 74.3%
2026-08-01 @ Start 1921 1531 74.3% 16.5% 9.2%
2026-08-01 Kristiansund 1647 1619 50.8% 21.5% 27.7%
2026-08-01 @ KFUM Oslo 1619 1647 27.7% 21.5% 50.8%
2026-08-01 Sarpsborg 08 1755 1679 56.5% 20.9% 22.6%
2026-08-01 @ Molde 1679 1755 22.6% 20.9% 56.5%
2026-08-01 Hamarkameratene 1652 1712 38.7% 21.9% 39.3%
2026-08-01 @ Valerenga 1712 1652 39.3% 21.9% 38.7%
2026-08-08 Aalesund 1712 1558 64.6% 19.5% 15.8%
2026-08-08 @ Hamarkameratene 1558 1712 15.8% 19.5% 64.6%
2026-08-08 Fredrikstad 1531 1668 28.7% 21.6% 49.7%
2026-08-08 @ Start 1668 1531 49.7% 21.6% 28.7%
2026-08-08 Molde 1619 1755 28.7% 21.6% 49.7%
2026-08-08 @ Kristiansund 1755 1619 49.7% 21.6% 28.7%
2026-08-08 Rosenborg 1688 1636 53.8% 21.3% 25.0%
2026-08-08 @ Lillestrom 1636 1688 25.0% 21.3% 53.8%
2026-08-08 KFUM Oslo 1691 1647 52.8% 21.4% 25.9%
2026-08-08 @ Sandefjord 1647 1691 25.9% 21.4% 52.8%
2026-08-08 Bodo Glimt 1652 1884 18.9% 20.3% 60.8%
2026-08-08 @ Valerenga 1884 1652 60.8% 20.3% 18.9%
2026-08-08 Sarpsborg 08 1921 1679 72.0% 17.4% 10.6%
2026-08-08 @ Viking 1679 1921 10.6% 17.4% 72.0%
2026-08-15 Valerenga 1558 1652 34.1% 21.9% 44.0%
2026-08-15 @ Aalesund 1652 1558 44.0% 21.9% 34.1%
2026-08-15 Hamarkameratene 1777 1712 55.3% 21.1% 23.6%
2026-08-15 @ Brann 1712 1777 23.6% 21.1% 55.3%
2026-08-15 Kristiansund 1668 1619 53.4% 21.3% 25.3%
2026-08-15 @ Fredrikstad 1619 1668 25.3% 21.3% 53.4%
2026-08-15 Lillestrom 1647 1688 41.5% 21.9% 36.6%
2026-08-15 @ KFUM Oslo 1688 1647 36.6% 21.9% 41.5%
2026-08-15 Tromso 1755 1716 52.2% 21.4% 26.4%
2026-08-15 @ Molde 1716 1755 26.4% 21.4% 52.2%
2026-08-15 Viking 1636 1921 14.9% 19.2% 65.9%
2026-08-15 @ Rosenborg 1921 1636 65.9% 19.2% 14.9%
2026-08-15 Sandefjord 1679 1691 45.6% 21.8% 32.6%
2026-08-15 @ Sarpsborg 08 1691 1679 32.6% 21.8% 45.6%
2026-08-29 Rosenborg 1884 1636 72.5% 17.2% 10.3%
2026-08-29 @ Bodo Glimt 1636 1884 10.3% 17.2% 72.5%
2026-08-29 Kristiansund 1712 1619 58.5% 20.7% 20.8%
2026-08-29 @ Hamarkameratene 1619 1712 20.8% 20.7% 58.5%
2026-08-29 KFUM Oslo 1531 1647 31.3% 21.8% 47.0%
2026-08-29 @ Start 1647 1531 47.0% 21.8% 31.3%
2026-08-29 Fredrikstad 1688 1668 49.8% 21.6% 28.6%
2026-08-29 @ Lillestrom 1668 1688 28.6% 21.6% 49.8%
2026-08-29 Brann 1691 1777 35.1% 21.9% 43.0%
2026-08-29 @ Sandefjord 1777 1691 43.0% 21.9% 35.1%
2026-08-29 Sarpsborg 08 1716 1679 51.8% 21.4% 26.7%
2026-08-29 @ Tromso 1679 1716 26.7% 21.4% 51.8%
2026-08-29 Molde 1652 1755 32.9% 21.8% 45.3%
2026-08-29 @ Valerenga 1755 1652 45.3% 21.8% 32.9%
2026-08-29 Aalesund 1921 1558 80.1% 13.9% 6.0%
2026-08-29 @ Viking 1558 1921 6.0% 13.9% 80.1%
2026-09-02 Hamarkameratene 1884 1712 66.2% 19.1% 14.6%
2026-09-02 @ Bodo Glimt 1712 1884 14.6% 19.1% 66.2%
2026-09-05 Start 1558 1531 50.6% 21.5% 27.8%
2026-09-05 @ Aalesund 1531 1558 27.8% 21.5% 50.6%
2026-09-05 Lillestrom 1777 1688 58.0% 20.8% 21.2%
2026-09-05 @ Brann 1688 1777 21.2% 20.8% 58.0%
2026-09-05 Bodo Glimt 1668 1884 20.3% 20.6% 59.2%
2026-09-05 @ Fredrikstad 1884 1668 59.2% 20.6% 20.3%
2026-09-05 Tromso 1619 1716 33.7% 21.9% 44.5%
2026-09-05 @ Kristiansund 1716 1619 44.5% 21.9% 33.7%
2026-09-05 KFUM Oslo 1755 1647 60.0% 20.4% 19.5%
2026-09-05 @ Molde 1647 1755 19.5% 20.4% 60.0%
2026-09-05 Hamarkameratene 1636 1712 36.5% 21.9% 41.6%
2026-09-05 @ Rosenborg 1712 1636 41.6% 21.9% 36.5%
2026-09-05 Viking 1691 1921 19.1% 20.3% 60.6%
2026-09-05 @ Sandefjord 1921 1691 60.6% 20.3% 19.1%
2026-09-05 Valerenga 1679 1652 50.7% 21.5% 27.8%
2026-09-05 @ Sarpsborg 08 1652 1679 27.8% 21.5% 50.7%
2026-09-12 Sandefjord 1884 1691 68.1% 18.6% 13.2%
2026-09-12 @ Bodo Glimt 1691 1884 13.2% 18.6% 68.1%
2026-09-12 Sarpsborg 08 1668 1679 45.6% 21.8% 32.6%
2026-09-12 @ Fredrikstad 1679 1668 32.6% 21.8% 45.6%
2026-09-12 Molde 1712 1755 41.3% 21.9% 36.8%
2026-09-12 @ Hamarkameratene 1755 1712 36.8% 21.9% 41.3%
2026-09-12 Brann 1531 1777 17.8% 20.1% 62.2%
2026-09-12 @ Start 1777 1531 62.2% 20.1% 17.8%
2026-09-12 Aalesund 1647 1558 58.0% 20.8% 21.3%
2026-09-12 @ KFUM Oslo 1558 1647 21.3% 20.8% 58.0%
2026-09-12 Valerenga 1688 1652 51.8% 21.4% 26.8%
2026-09-12 @ Lillestrom 1652 1688 26.8% 21.4% 51.8%
2026-09-12 Tromso 1636 1716 36.0% 21.9% 42.1%
2026-09-12 @ Rosenborg 1716 1636 42.1% 21.9% 36.0%
2026-09-12 Kristiansund 1921 1619 76.3% 15.7% 8.0%
2026-09-12 @ Viking 1619 1921 8.0% 15.7% 76.3%
2026-09-19 Bodo Glimt 1777 1884 32.3% 21.8% 45.9%
2026-09-19 @ Brann 1884 1777 45.9% 21.8% 32.3%
2026-09-19 Rosenborg 1619 1636 44.8% 21.9% 33.3%
2026-09-19 @ Kristiansund 1636 1619 33.3% 21.9% 44.8%
2026-09-19 Aalesund 1755 1558 68.4% 18.6% 13.1%
2026-09-19 @ Molde 1558 1755 13.1% 18.6% 68.4%
2026-09-19 Start 1691 1531 65.1% 19.4% 15.5%
2026-09-19 @ Sandefjord 1531 1691 15.5% 19.4% 65.1%
2026-09-19 KFUM Oslo 1679 1647 51.4% 21.5% 27.2%
2026-09-19 @ Sarpsborg 08 1647 1679 27.2% 21.5% 51.4%
2026-09-19 Hamarkameratene 1716 1712 47.6% 21.7% 30.7%
2026-09-19 @ Tromso 1712 1716 30.7% 21.7% 47.6%
2026-09-19 Fredrikstad 1652 1668 45.0% 21.8% 33.1%
2026-09-19 @ Valerenga 1668 1652 33.1% 21.8% 45.0%
2026-09-19 Lillestrom 1921 1688 71.3% 17.6% 11.1%
2026-09-19 @ Viking 1688 1921 11.1% 17.6% 71.3%
2026-10-10 Sarpsborg 08 1558 1679 30.5% 21.7% 47.8%
2026-10-10 @ Aalesund 1679 1558 47.8% 21.7% 30.5%
2026-10-10 Viking 1777 1921 27.8% 21.5% 50.7%
2026-10-10 @ Brann 1921 1777 50.7% 21.5% 27.8%
2026-10-10 Kristiansund 1884 1619 73.7% 16.8% 9.5%
2026-10-10 @ Bodo Glimt 1619 1884 9.5% 16.8% 73.7%
2026-10-10 Tromso 1668 1716 40.6% 21.9% 37.5%
2026-10-10 @ Fredrikstad 1716 1668 37.5% 21.9% 40.6%
2026-10-10 Hamarkameratene 1531 1712 23.7% 21.1% 55.2%
2026-10-10 @ Start 1712 1531 55.2% 21.1% 23.7%
2026-10-10 Valerenga 1647 1652 46.5% 21.8% 31.8%
2026-10-10 @ KFUM Oslo 1652 1647 31.8% 21.8% 46.5%
2026-10-10 Molde 1688 1755 37.8% 21.9% 40.2%
2026-10-10 @ Lillestrom 1755 1688 40.2% 21.9% 37.8%
2026-10-10 Sandefjord 1636 1691 39.6% 21.9% 38.5%
2026-10-10 @ Rosenborg 1691 1636 38.5% 21.9% 39.6%
2026-10-17 Bodo Glimt 1712 1884 24.6% 21.2% 54.1%
2026-10-17 @ Hamarkameratene 1884 1712 54.1% 21.2% 24.6%
2026-10-17 Aalesund 1619 1558 54.8% 21.2% 24.1%
2026-10-17 @ Kristiansund 1558 1619 24.1% 21.2% 54.8%
2026-10-17 Start 1755 1531 70.6% 17.9% 11.6%
2026-10-17 @ Molde 1531 1755 11.6% 17.9% 70.6%
2026-10-17 Lillestrom 1691 1688 47.5% 21.7% 30.8%
2026-10-17 @ Sandefjord 1688 1691 30.8% 21.7% 47.5%
2026-10-17 Rosenborg 1679 1636 52.7% 21.4% 25.9%
2026-10-17 @ Sarpsborg 08 1636 1679 25.9% 21.4% 52.7%
2026-10-17 KFUM Oslo 1716 1647 55.7% 21.1% 23.2%
2026-10-17 @ Tromso 1647 1716 23.2% 21.1% 55.7%
2026-10-17 Brann 1652 1777 30.0% 21.7% 48.3%
2026-10-17 @ Valerenga 1777 1652 48.3% 21.7% 30.0%
2026-10-17 Fredrikstad 1921 1668 72.8% 17.1% 10.1%
2026-10-17 @ Viking 1668 1921 10.1% 17.1% 72.8%
2026-10-24 Sandefjord 1558 1691 29.1% 21.6% 49.2%
2026-10-24 @ Aalesund 1691 1558 49.2% 21.6% 29.1%
2026-10-24 Molde 1777 1755 50.1% 21.6% 28.3%
2026-10-24 @ Brann 1755 1777 28.3% 21.6% 50.1%
2026-10-24 Viking 1884 1921 42.1% 21.9% 36.0%
2026-10-24 @ Bodo Glimt 1921 1884 36.0% 21.9% 42.1%
2026-10-24 Rosenborg 1668 1636 51.3% 21.5% 27.2%
2026-10-24 @ Fredrikstad 1636 1668 27.2% 21.5% 51.3%
2026-10-24 Lillestrom 1531 1688 26.3% 21.4% 52.3%
2026-10-24 @ Start 1688 1531 52.3% 21.4% 26.3%
2026-10-24 Hamarkameratene 1647 1712 38.0% 21.9% 40.1%
2026-10-24 @ KFUM Oslo 1712 1647 40.1% 21.9% 38.0%
2026-10-24 Kristiansund 1679 1619 54.8% 21.2% 24.1%
2026-10-24 @ Sarpsborg 08 1619 1679 24.1% 21.2% 54.8%
2026-10-24 Tromso 1652 1716 38.3% 21.9% 39.8%
2026-10-24 @ Valerenga 1716 1652 39.8% 21.9% 38.3%
2026-10-31 Brann 1668 1777 32.0% 21.8% 46.2%
2026-10-31 @ Fredrikstad 1777 1668 46.2% 21.8% 32.0%
2026-10-31 Sarpsborg 08 1712 1679 51.4% 21.5% 27.1%
2026-10-31 @ Hamarkameratene 1679 1712 27.1% 21.5% 51.4%
2026-10-31 Valerenga 1619 1652 42.6% 21.9% 35.5%
2026-10-31 @ Kristiansund 1652 1619 35.5% 21.9% 42.6%
2026-10-31 Aalesund 1688 1558 62.3% 20.0% 17.7%
2026-10-31 @ Lillestrom 1558 1688 17.7% 20.0% 62.3%
2026-10-31 Start 1636 1531 59.7% 20.5% 19.8%
2026-10-31 @ Rosenborg 1531 1636 19.8% 20.5% 59.7%
2026-10-31 Molde 1691 1755 38.2% 21.9% 39.8%
2026-10-31 @ Sandefjord 1755 1691 39.8% 21.9% 38.2%
2026-10-31 Bodo Glimt 1716 1884 25.0% 21.3% 53.7%
2026-10-31 @ Tromso 1884 1716 53.7% 21.3% 25.0%
2026-10-31 KFUM Oslo 1921 1647 74.4% 16.5% 9.1%
2026-10-31 @ Viking 1647 1921 9.1% 16.5% 74.4%
2026-11-07 Rosenborg 1558 1636 36.2% 21.9% 41.8%
2026-11-07 @ Aalesund 1636 1558 41.8% 21.9% 36.2%
2026-11-07 Fredrikstad 1712 1668 52.8% 21.3% 25.8%
2026-11-07 @ Hamarkameratene 1668 1712 25.8% 21.3% 52.8%
2026-11-07 Brann 1647 1777 29.4% 21.6% 48.9%
2026-11-07 @ KFUM Oslo 1777 1647 48.9% 21.6% 29.4%
2026-11-07 Sandefjord 1619 1691 37.1% 21.9% 41.0%
2026-11-07 @ Kristiansund 1691 1619 41.0% 21.9% 37.1%
2026-11-07 Bodo Glimt 1755 1884 29.5% 21.7% 48.8%
2026-11-07 @ Molde 1884 1755 48.8% 21.7% 29.5%
2026-11-07 Lillestrom 1679 1688 46.0% 21.8% 32.2%
2026-11-07 @ Sarpsborg 08 1688 1679 32.2% 21.8% 46.0%
2026-11-07 Viking 1716 1921 21.3% 20.8% 58.0%
2026-11-07 @ Tromso 1921 1716 58.0% 20.8% 21.3%
2026-11-07 Start 1652 1531 61.3% 20.2% 18.5%
2026-11-07 @ Valerenga 1531 1652 18.5% 20.2% 61.3%
2026-11-21 Kristiansund 1777 1619 65.0% 19.4% 15.6%
2026-11-21 @ Brann 1619 1777 15.6% 19.4% 65.0%
2026-11-21 KFUM Oslo 1884 1647 71.7% 17.5% 10.8%
2026-11-21 @ Bodo Glimt 1647 1884 10.8% 17.5% 71.7%
2026-11-21 Aalesund 1668 1558 60.2% 20.4% 19.4%
2026-11-21 @ Fredrikstad 1558 1668 19.4% 20.4% 60.2%
2026-11-21 Sarpsborg 08 1531 1679 27.3% 21.5% 51.2%
2026-11-21 @ Start 1679 1531 51.2% 21.5% 27.3%
2026-11-21 Hamarkameratene 1688 1712 43.9% 21.9% 34.3%
2026-11-21 @ Lillestrom 1712 1688 34.3% 21.9% 43.9%
2026-11-21 Molde 1636 1755 30.9% 21.7% 47.4%
2026-11-21 @ Rosenborg 1755 1636 47.4% 21.7% 30.9%
2026-11-21 Tromso 1691 1716 43.8% 21.9% 34.4%
2026-11-21 @ Sandefjord 1716 1691 34.4% 21.9% 43.8%
2026-11-21 Valerenga 1921 1652 74.0% 16.7% 9.3%
2026-11-21 @ Viking 1652 1921 9.3% 16.7% 74.0%
2026-11-28 Bodo Glimt 1558 1884 12.3% 18.2% 69.5%
2026-11-28 @ Aalesund 1884 1558 69.5% 18.2% 12.3%
2026-11-28 Sandefjord 1712 1691 50.0% 21.6% 28.4%
2026-11-28 @ Hamarkameratene 1691 1712 28.4% 21.6% 50.0%
2026-11-28 Fredrikstad 1647 1668 44.3% 21.9% 33.8%
2026-11-28 @ KFUM Oslo 1668 1647 33.8% 21.9% 44.3%
2026-11-28 Lillestrom 1619 1688 37.5% 21.9% 40.6%
2026-11-28 @ Kristiansund 1688 1619 40.6% 21.9% 37.5%
2026-11-28 Viking 1755 1921 25.3% 21.3% 53.4%
2026-11-28 @ Molde 1921 1755 53.4% 21.3% 25.3%
2026-11-28 Brann 1679 1777 33.6% 21.9% 44.6%
2026-11-28 @ Sarpsborg 08 1777 1679 44.6% 21.9% 33.6%
2026-11-28 Start 1716 1531 67.3% 18.9% 13.8%
2026-11-28 @ Tromso 1531 1716 13.8% 18.9% 67.3%
2026-11-28 Rosenborg 1652 1636 49.2% 21.6% 29.1%
2026-11-28 @ Valerenga 1636 1652 29.1% 21.6% 49.2%
2026-12-06 Aalesund 1777 1558 70.2% 18.0% 11.8%
2026-12-06 @ Brann 1558 1777 11.8% 18.0% 70.2%
2026-12-06 Sarpsborg 08 1884 1679 69.1% 18.4% 12.6%
2026-12-06 @ Bodo Glimt 1679 1884 12.6% 18.4% 69.1%
2026-12-06 Molde 1668 1755 35.0% 21.9% 43.1%
2026-12-06 @ Fredrikstad 1755 1668 43.1% 21.9% 35.0%
2026-12-06 Kristiansund 1531 1619 35.0% 21.9% 43.1%
2026-12-06 @ Start 1619 1531 43.1% 21.9% 35.0%
2026-12-06 Tromso 1688 1716 43.4% 21.9% 34.7%
2026-12-06 @ Lillestrom 1716 1688 34.7% 21.9% 43.4%
2026-12-06 KFUM Oslo 1636 1647 45.7% 21.8% 32.5%
2026-12-06 @ Rosenborg 1647 1636 32.5% 21.8% 45.7%
2026-12-06 Valerenga 1691 1652 52.1% 21.4% 26.5%
2026-12-06 @ Sandefjord 1652 1691 26.5% 21.4% 52.1%
2026-12-06 Hamarkameratene 1921 1712 69.4% 18.3% 12.4%
2026-12-06 @ Viking 1712 1921 12.4% 18.3% 69.4%

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2026-05-20 13.56% @ Aalesund 1530 2 Brann 1836 1
2 2026-05-16 14.82% Aalesund 1510 3 @ Rosenborg 1679 2
3 2026-05-29 16.99% Sarpsborg 08 1659 2 @ Brann 1798 1
4 2026-05-20 19.65% Kristiansund 1625 2 @ Lillestrom 1732 1
5 2026-04-29 19.87% Brann 1729 5 @ Tromso 1833 0
6 2026-05-04 22.41% Molde 1759 1 @ Bodo Glimt 1836 0
7 2026-04-06 23.38% Lillestrom 1658 1 @ Molde 1725 0
8 2026-04-12 24.19% Sandefjord 1695 1 @ Brann 1754 0
9 2026-05-25 25.54% @ Start 1503 2 Valerenga 1667 0
10 2026-04-19 25.91% Lillestrom 1693 2 @ Valerenga 1736 0
11 2026-03-22 29.07% Sarpsborg 08 1695 2 @ Sandefjord 1711 0
12 2026-04-06 29.90% Brann 1703 5 @ Hamarkameratene 1713 1
13 2026-04-07 29.98% Sandefjord 1679 2 @ KFUM Oslo 1687 1
14 2026-05-25 30.93% @ Sarpsborg 08 1643 2 Molde 1761 1
15 2026-05-10 34.30% @ Rosenborg 1649 2 Lillestrom 1741 0
16 2026-03-14 34.85% @ Hamarkameratene 1698 2 Viking 1786 1
17 2026-03-22 35.54% Valerenga 1722 2 @ Rosenborg 1688 0
18 2026-04-19 36.00% @ Kristiansund 1625 2 Fredrikstad 1705 0
19 2026-04-12 36.18% @ Rosenborg 1645 2 Sarpsborg 08 1724 1
20 2026-03-15 36.32% @ Kristiansund 1653 3 Brann 1730 2
21 2026-04-26 36.74% @ KFUM Oslo 1622 1 Sarpsborg 08 1697 0
22 2026-04-06 37.31% Viking 1797 1 @ Valerenga 1751 0
23 2026-03-22 38.48% Tromso 1771 2 @ Brann 1717 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-04-29 91.29 Brann 5 1729 19.87% @ Tromso 0 1833 59.63%
2 2026-04-11 58.55 @ Viking 5 1812 42.91% Bodo Glimt 0 1843 35.19%
3 2026-04-06 51.26 Brann 5 1703 29.90% @ Hamarkameratene 1 1713 48.41%
4 2026-04-19 47.68 @ Hamarkameratene 4 1638 42.75% KFUM Oslo 0 1670 35.35%
5 2026-05-16 43.87 @ Bodo Glimt 5 1817 53.83% Tromso 0 1764 24.91%
6 2026-03-15 40.73 @ Tromso 4 1731 49.20% Fredrikstad 0 1715 29.16%
7 2026-05-03 40.16 @ Lillestrom 4 1701 49.72% Sarpsborg 08 0 1682 28.67%
8 2026-05-25 35.17 @ Start 2 1503 25.54% Valerenga 0 1667 53.13%
9 2026-04-19 34.94 Lillestrom 2 1693 25.91% @ Valerenga 0 1736 52.73%
10 2026-03-22 32.93 Sarpsborg 08 2 1695 29.07% @ Sandefjord 0 1711 49.30%
11 2026-04-26 32.83 @ Molde 5 1727 50.41% Valerenga 1 1702 28.03%
12 2026-05-10 29.81 @ Rosenborg 2 1649 34.30% Lillestrom 0 1741 43.82%
13 2026-04-06 29.60 Bodo Glimt 3 1814 51.08% @ Kristiansund 0 1666 27.42%
14 2026-03-22 29.10 Valerenga 2 1722 35.54% @ Rosenborg 0 1688 42.55%
15 2026-04-19 28.85 @ Kristiansund 2 1625 36.00% Fredrikstad 0 1705 42.09%
16 2026-04-26 26.47 Bodo Glimt 2 1795 40.31% @ Lillestrom 0 1728 37.75%
17 2026-03-21 25.86 @ Viking 4 1771 49.81% Molde 1 1751 28.59%
18 2026-05-10 25.81 @ Tromso 2 1738 41.52% Molde 0 1779 36.56%
19 2026-05-25 25.56 @ KFUM Oslo 2 1621 41.97% Rosenborg 0 1659 36.11%
20 2026-05-25 24.41 @ Hamarkameratene 2 1689 44.04% Lillestrom 0 1712 34.09%
21 2026-04-12 23.70 @ Molde 4 1706 52.83% Hamarkameratene 1 1661 25.82%
22 2026-03-22 21.94 @ Fredrikstad 3 1674 42.36% KFUM Oslo 1 1709 35.72%
23 2026-05-20 21.89 @ Aalesund 2 1530 13.56% Brann 1 1836 67.68%
24 2026-03-15 21.87 Lillestrom 3 1636 42.51% @ Aalesund 1 1553 35.58%
25 2026-03-14 21.08 @ Molde 2 1730 49.88% Rosenborg 0 1709 28.53%