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1953 I liga Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Ruch Chorzow

38 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ruch Chorzow

10.04 points above expected

38 points · 27.96 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lechia Gdansk

5.83 points below expected

12 points · 17.83 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Ruch Chorzow 22 17 4 1 38 51 14 +37 27.96 +10.04
2 Wawel Krakow 22 11 6 5 28 39 25 +14 24.32 +3.68
3 Wisla Krakow 22 12 3 7 27 35 29 +6 25.59 +1.41
4 Gwardia Warsaw 22 11 4 7 26 27 27 0 22.23 +3.77
5 Legia Warsaw 22 8 7 7 23 37 31 +6 24.27 -1.27
6 Polonia Bytom 22 10 3 9 23 33 28 +5 21.26 +1.74
7 Lech Poznan 22 4 10 8 18 22 29 -7 20.70 -2.70
8 Gornik Radlin 22 6 6 10 18 27 38 -11 19.91 -1.91
9 Budowlani Chorzow 22 7 4 11 18 31 46 -15 20.72 -2.72
10 Cracovia 22 7 3 12 17 23 30 -7 19.89 -2.89
11 Odra Opole 22 4 8 10 16 25 38 -13 19.32 -3.32
12 Lechia Gdansk 22 2 8 12 12 20 35 -15 17.83 -5.83

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ruch Chorzow 38 27.96 +10.04
2 Gwardia Warsaw 26 22.23 +3.77
3 Wawel Krakow 28 24.32 +3.68
4 Polonia Bytom 23 21.26 +1.74
5 Wisla Krakow 27 25.59 +1.41

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lechia Gdansk 12 17.83 -5.83
2 Odra Opole 16 19.32 -3.32
3 Cracovia 17 19.89 -2.89
4 Budowlani Chorzow 18 20.72 -2.72
5 Lech Poznan 18 20.70 -2.70

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ruch Chorzow 6 Mar 15 – May 17 1 in 175
2 Odra Opole 2 Oct 18 – Nov 1 1 in 55
3 Budowlani Chorzow 3 Mar 22 – Apr 12 1 in 52
4 Polonia Bytom 2 May 24 – May 31 1 in 23
5 Wawel Krakow 4 Jul 26 – Aug 15 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cracovia 7 Apr 19 – Jun 21 1 in 780
2 Budowlani Chorzow 4 May 24 – Jun 14 1 in 81
3 Odra Opole 4 Mar 15 – Apr 12 1 in 72
4 Wisla Krakow 4 Aug 30 – Oct 4 1 in 65
5 Polonia Bytom 4 Jun 14 – Jul 26 1 in 34

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wawel Krakow 13 May 24 – Oct 15 1 in 105
2 Odra Opole 7 Aug 15 – Nov 1 1 in 91
3 Ruch Chorzow 15 Mar 15 – Aug 9 1 in 85
4 Lech Poznan 5 Aug 9 – Sep 27 1 in 19
5 Lechia Gdansk 3 Sep 27 – Oct 18 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Odra Opole 11 Jun 13 – Oct 11 1 in 40
2 Lechia Gdansk 9 Mar 15 – Jun 7 1 in 29
3 Cracovia 7 Apr 19 – Jun 21 1 in 19
4 Lech Poznan 6 Aug 23 – Nov 1 1 in 17
5 Polonia Bytom 5 Jun 7 – Jul 26 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Ruch Chorzow 1541 38 +29 8 6.5 +1.5
Wawel Krakow 1397 28 -34 3 5.9 -2.9
Wisla Krakow 1391 27 -31 4 5.8 -1.8
Gwardia Warsaw 1378 26 +24 7 4.8 +2.2
Polonia Bytom 1385 23 +51 8 5.6 +2.4
Legia Warsaw 1358 23 -57 4 6.5 -2.5
Budowlani Chorzow 1282 18 +4 4 4.7 -0.7
Lech Poznan 1301 18 -14 3 4.4 -1.4
Gornik Radlin 1304 18 -10 3 3.8 -0.8
Cracovia 1297 17 -7 5 4.1 +0.9
Odra Opole 1329 16 +55 7 4.0 +3.0
Lechia Gdansk 1222 12 -10 4 3.8 +0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BC CRA GR GW LP LG LW OO PB RC WK WK
Budowlani Chorzow —
1-0-1
2.78
1-1-0
2.59
2-0-0
2.33
2-0-0
2.62
0-1-1
3.12
0-1-1
2.29
1-1-0
2.92
0-0-2
2.68
0-0-2
2.15
0-0-2
2.43
0-0-2
2.19
Cracovia
1-0-1
2.69
 —
1-0-1
2.77
0-0-2
2.53
1-0-1
2.70
1-1-0
2.97
0-0-2
2.13
1-1-0
2.73
1-0-1
2.62
0-1-1
1.65
0-0-2
2.14
1-0-1
2.27
Gornik Radlin
0-1-1
2.89
1-0-1
2.70
 —
1-1-0
2.50
0-2-0
2.53
1-1-0
2.98
1-0-1
2.22
1-1-0
2.78
0-0-2
2.87
0-0-2
1.55
1-0-1
2.13
0-0-2
2.22
Gwardia Warsaw
0-0-2
3.15
2-0-0
2.95
0-1-1
2.97
 —
2-0-0
2.89
2-0-0
3.37
0-1-1
2.62
2-0-0
2.91
1-1-0
2.91
0-1-1
1.81
1-0-1
2.48
1-0-1
2.39
Lech Poznan
0-0-2
2.85
1-0-1
2.77
0-2-0
2.94
0-0-2
2.58
 —
1-1-0
3.12
0-2-0
2.36
1-1-0
2.84
1-1-0
2.64
0-0-2
1.67
0-2-0
2.41
0-1-1
2.09
Lechia Gdansk
1-1-0
2.35
0-1-1
2.50
0-1-1
2.49
0-0-2
2.11
0-1-1
2.36
 —
0-1-1
2.01
0-1-1
2.47
0-1-1
1.97
0-0-2
1.78
0-1-1
2.08
1-0-1
1.56
Legia Warsaw
1-1-0
3.18
2-0-0
3.35
1-0-1
3.26
1-1-0
2.85
0-2-0
3.11
1-1-0
3.48
 —
0-0-2
3.32
1-0-1
3.22
1-0-1
2.12
0-1-1
2.78
0-1-1
2.51
Odra Opole
0-1-1
2.55
0-1-1
2.75
0-1-1
2.70
0-0-2
2.57
0-1-1
2.64
1-1-0
3.00
2-0-0
2.16
 —
1-0-1
2.40
0-1-1
1.74
0-1-1
1.91
0-1-1
1.78
Polonia Bytom
2-0-0
2.81
1-0-1
2.86
2-0-0
2.61
0-1-1
2.57
0-1-1
2.84
1-1-0
3.52
1-0-1
2.25
1-0-1
3.08
 —
0-0-2
2.14
1-0-1
2.51
1-0-1
2.28
Ruch Chorzow
2-0-0
3.35
1-1-0
3.87
2-0-0
3.94
1-1-0
3.67
2-0-0
3.82
2-0-0
3.74
1-0-1
3.36
1-1-0
3.75
2-0-0
3.37
 —
1-1-0
3.32
2-0-0
3.01
Wawel Krakow
2-0-0
3.06
2-0-0
3.35
1-0-1
3.34
1-0-1
3.00
0-2-0
3.08
1-1-0
3.41
1-1-0
2.69
1-1-0
3.57
1-0-1
2.97
0-1-1
2.16
 —
1-0-1
2.58
Wisla Krakow
2-0-0
3.29
1-0-1
3.21
2-0-0
3.26
1-0-1
3.08
1-1-0
3.39
1-0-1
3.94
1-1-0
2.96
1-1-0
3.71
1-0-1
3.20
0-0-2
2.46
1-0-1
2.90
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.82 +7.2
Allowed 0.64 -7.1
Differential 0.91 +4.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%7.20%6.82%2.65%1.89%0.76%28.41%
17.20%10.61%7.58%3.41%1.14%0.76%30.68%
26.82%7.58%3.03%3.03%1.89%—22.35%
32.65%3.41%3.03%2.27%0.38%—11.74%
41.89%1.14%1.89%0.38%——5.30%
5+0.76%0.76%————1.52%
Total28.41%30.68%22.35%11.74%5.30%1.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 1.40 +0.00
SD 1.27 1.27 1.85
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%22.73%
19.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
218.18%—4.55%13.64%4.55%—40.91%
3———4.55%——4.55%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%9.09%18.18%31.82%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 2.09 -0.68
SD 1.05 1.77 2.30
CV 0.75 0.85 —
Max 4 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%18.18%9.09%——50.00%
14.55%—13.64%———18.18%
24.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+———————
Total27.27%22.73%36.36%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.36 -0.32
SD 1.33 1.05 1.81
CV 1.27 0.77 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
14.55%13.64%9.09%9.09%4.55%—40.91%
213.64%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—27.27%
3——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%22.73%27.27%13.64%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.73 -0.50
SD 0.92 1.35 1.65
CV 0.75 0.78 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%—4.55%4.55%31.82%
19.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
24.55%27.27%—4.55%——36.36%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%50.00%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.23 +0.00
SD 1.02 1.31 1.88
CV 0.83 1.06 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%9.09%———31.82%
19.09%22.73%9.09%9.09%——50.00%
2——9.09%———9.09%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total22.73%31.82%36.36%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.32 -0.32
SD 1.02 0.95 1.09
CV 1.02 0.72 —
Max 4 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%9.09%4.55%——36.36%
14.55%18.18%18.18%——4.55%45.45%
2——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
34.55%——4.55%——9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%31.82%31.82%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.59 -0.68
SD 0.92 1.22 1.39
CV 1.01 0.77 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
14.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
24.55%—4.55%9.09%——18.18%
34.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+———————
Total27.27%27.27%22.73%22.73%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.41 +0.27
SD 1.32 1.14 1.72
CV 0.79 0.81 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
14.55%22.73%9.09%4.55%—4.55%45.45%
2—4.55%——9.09%—13.64%
34.55%—4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%31.82%18.18%9.09%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.73 -0.59
SD 0.99 1.52 1.53
CV 0.87 0.88 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%18.18%4.55%———27.27%
14.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%—27.27%
213.64%9.09%4.55%———27.27%
3——4.55%———4.55%
49.09%——4.55%——13.64%
5+———————
Total31.82%31.82%18.18%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.27 +0.23
SD 1.34 1.20 1.88
CV 0.89 0.94 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%———13.64%
113.64%4.55%————18.18%
218.18%4.55%————22.73%
34.55%13.64%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+9.09%—————9.09%
Total59.09%22.73%13.64%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 0.64 +1.68
SD 1.67 0.90 1.89
CV 0.72 1.42 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%4.55%———22.73%
113.64%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—31.82%
24.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
3—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total31.82%36.36%22.73%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.14 +0.64
SD 1.60 1.08 1.76
CV 0.90 0.95 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%—9.09%—31.82%
14.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
2—22.73%——4.55%—27.27%
39.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+———————
Total22.73%50.00%13.64%—13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.32 +0.27
SD 1.37 1.25 2.05
CV 0.86 0.95 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Ruch Chorzow 1541 38 27.96 +10.04 100.0% 18 22 26 27 30 35 38
Wawel Krakow 1397 28 24.32 +3.68 88.0% 14 18 22 24 26 30 34
Wisla Krakow 1391 27 25.59 +1.41 72.0% 17 20 23 26 28 32 34
Polonia Bytom 1385 23 21.26 +1.74 73.0% 15 16 19 21 24 29 32
Gwardia Warsaw 1378 26 22.23 +3.77 91.0% 12 14 20 23 24 28 36
Legia Warsaw 1358 23 24.27 -1.27 43.0% 14 18 22 24 27 30 36
Odra Opole 1329 16 19.32 -3.32 27.0% 12 13 16 19 23 26 28
Gornik Radlin 1304 18 19.91 -1.91 35.0% 12 13 17 20 23 26 29
Lech Poznan 1301 18 20.70 -2.70 28.0% 10 14 18 20 23 28 31
Cracovia 1297 17 19.89 -2.89 30.0% 10 13 17 20 22 27 28
Budowlani Chorzow 1282 18 20.72 -2.72 28.0% 12 15 18 20 23 26 31
Lechia Gdansk 1222 12 17.83 -5.83 9.0% 9 12 15 18 20 24 26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 20% * Slight Edge: 20% to 26% * Clear Edge: 26% to 31% * Strong Edge: 31% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+21.97%
Slight Edge
48.48%25.00%26.52%
Elo Value
Home Edge
148 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
077.60400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.59 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.52+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.2 * Runaway: 0.2 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.4
Top-Heavy
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
50%
Ruch Chorzow, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.45/gm
Runaway
00.120.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.01 * Some Luck: 3.01 to 4.52 * Lucky: 4.52 to 6.02 * Wild Swing: 6.02 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.94 * Close: 1.94 to 2.91 * Off: 2.91 to 3.88 * Way Off: 3.88 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.15 points
Some Luck
03.779
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.67
Pinpoint
02.425
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Ruch Chorzow
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
9.00%
Lechia Gdansk
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.11 * Even: 0.11 to 0.13 * Top-Heavy: 0.13 to 0.16 * Lopsided: 0.16 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.2 * Moderate Separation: 1.2 to 1.45 * Strong Separation: 1.45 to 1.75 * Wide Separation: 1.75 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 62.5% * Clear Edge: 62.5% to 66.5% * Wide Edge: 66.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80% * Clear Edge: 80% to 84.5% * Strong Edge: 84.5% to 89% * Dominant: 89% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 61% * Some Drama: 61% to 65.5% * Frequent: 65.5% to 67.5% * Very Frequent: 67.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 12.5% * Occasional: 12.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17% * Very Frequent: 17% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Lopsided
00.110.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 80.59
1.73
Strong Separation
0.71.21.451.752.5
Interquartile Edge
62%
Slight Edge
50%60%66.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
86%
Strong Edge
50%83%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Some Drama
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Frequent
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.52 * Lopsided: 0.52 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.5 * Strong Carryover: 0.5 to 0.62 * Near-Lock: 0.62 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 19.5% * Shaky Favorites: 19.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.39
Slight Separation
00.340.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.24
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.56
Strong Carryover
00.380.50.621
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Shaky
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.93
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.34
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.068
Well Within Noise
00.1380.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Ruch Chorzow50.00%19.00%13.00%8.00%3.00%4.00%—2.00%——1.00%—
Wawel Krakow11.00%17.00%14.00%12.00%15.00%9.00%10.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%
Wisla Krakow12.00%26.00%13.00%15.00%7.00%8.00%10.00%5.00%3.00%—1.00%—
Gwardia Warsaw6.00%5.00%10.00%14.00%15.00%11.00%5.00%13.00%6.00%7.00%2.00%6.00%
Legia Warsaw11.00%17.00%12.00%11.00%14.00%10.00%6.00%7.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%
Polonia Bytom3.00%4.00%10.00%6.00%10.00%6.00%14.00%7.00%15.00%10.00%9.00%6.00%
Lech Poznan4.00%1.00%5.00%5.00%8.00%7.00%18.00%15.00%11.00%8.00%12.00%6.00%
Gornik Radlin1.00%2.00%5.00%5.00%9.00%13.00%4.00%11.00%12.00%16.00%8.00%14.00%
Budowlani Chorzow1.00%4.00%6.00%7.00%7.00%12.00%8.00%9.00%8.00%13.00%17.00%8.00%
Cracovia1.00%4.00%8.00%4.00%3.00%10.00%12.00%6.00%14.00%10.00%16.00%12.00%
Odra Opole—1.00%3.00%9.00%8.00%5.00%9.00%8.00%6.00%15.00%17.00%19.00%
Lechia Gdansk——1.00%4.00%1.00%5.00%4.00%14.00%16.00%15.00%13.00%27.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Ruch Chorzow 99.00% 1.00%
Wisla Krakow 99.00% 1.00%
Legia Warsaw 95.00% 5.00%
Wawel Krakow 95.00% 5.00%
Gwardia Warsaw 91.00% 9.00%
Polonia Bytom 81.00% 19.00%
Lech Poznan 80.00% 20.00%
Gornik Radlin 76.00% 24.00%
Cracovia 74.00% 26.00%
Lechia Gdansk 72.00% 28.00%
Budowlani Chorzow 70.00% 30.00%
Odra Opole 68.00% 32.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1953-03-15 Wawel Krakow L 2-453.7 1347 1349 51.40% 26.27% 22.33%+0.51 -18.3 0
1953-03-15 @ Budowlani Chorzow W 4-253.7 1349 1347 22.33% 26.27% 51.40%-0.51 +18.3 2
1953-03-15 Cracovia D 0-049.1 1286 1343 44.84% 26.49% 28.67%+0.14 -0.9 1
1953-03-15 @ Lechia Gdansk D 0-049.1 1343 1286 28.67% 26.49% 44.84%-0.14 +0.9 1
1953-03-15 Lech Poznan D 1-154.2 1348 1339 52.60% 26.20% 21.20%+0.58 -1.7 1
1953-03-15 @ Legia Warsaw D 1-154.2 1339 1348 21.20% 26.20% 52.60%-0.58 +1.7 1
1953-03-15 Gwardia Warsaw L 1-253.6 1367 1367 51.65% 26.26% 22.09%+0.52 -11.8 0
1953-03-15 @ Odra Opole W 2-153.6 1367 1367 22.09% 26.26% 51.65%-0.52 +11.8 2
1953-03-15 Ruch Chorzow L 0-242.9 1331 1374 46.59% 26.46% 26.95%+0.23 -21.6 0
1953-03-15 @ Polonia Bytom W 2-042.9 1374 1331 26.95% 26.46% 46.59%-0.23 +21.6 2
1953-03-15 Gornik Radlin W 2-143.8 1383 1352 54.98% 26.02% 19.00%+0.74 +5.3 2
1953-03-15 @ Wisla Krakow L 1-243.8 1352 1383 19.00% 26.02% 54.98%-0.74 -5.4 0
1953-03-22 Odra Opole W 2-144.6 1344 1355 50.41% 26.33% 23.26%+0.45 +6.3 3
1953-03-22 @ Cracovia L 1-244.6 1355 1344 23.26% 26.33% 50.41%-0.45 -6.3 0
1953-03-22 Polonia Bytom L 0-244.9 1346 1310 55.50% 25.97% 18.52%+0.77 -25.3 0
1953-03-22 @ Gornik Radlin W 2-044.9 1310 1346 18.52% 25.97% 55.50%-0.77 +25.3 2
1953-03-22 Budowlani Chorzow L 0-149.3 1379 1329 56.77% 25.85% 17.39%+0.86 -13.7 2
1953-03-22 @ Gwardia Warsaw W 1-049.3 1329 1379 17.39% 25.85% 56.77%-0.86 +13.7 2
1953-03-22 Lechia Gdansk D 1-153.7 1341 1285 57.30% 25.79% 16.91%+0.90 -2.2 2
1953-03-22 @ Lech Poznan D 1-153.7 1285 1341 16.91% 25.79% 57.30%-0.90 +2.2 2
1953-03-22 Legia Warsaw W 3-248.4 1396 1346 56.78% 25.84% 17.37%+0.86 +4.7 4
1953-03-22 @ Ruch Chorzow L 2-348.4 1346 1396 17.37% 25.84% 56.78%-0.86 -4.7 1
1953-03-22 Wisla Krakow L 1-447.4 1368 1389 49.27% 26.38% 24.35%+0.38 -27.8 2
1953-03-22 @ Wawel Krakow W 4-147.4 1389 1368 24.35% 26.38% 49.27%-0.38 +27.8 4
1953-03-29 Cracovia W 2-035.6 1343 1350 50.79% 26.31% 22.90%+0.47 +12.5 4
1953-03-29 @ Budowlani Chorzow L 0-235.6 1350 1343 22.90% 26.31% 50.79%-0.47 -12.5 3
1953-03-29 Ruch Chorzow L 0-143.4 1287 1401 37.21% 26.45% 36.33%-0.24 -9.6 2
1953-03-29 @ Lechia Gdansk W 1-043.4 1401 1287 36.33% 26.45% 37.21%+0.24 +9.6 6
1953-03-29 Gornik Radlin W 4-243.9 1341 1321 53.82% 26.12% 20.07%+0.66 +8.7 3
1953-03-29 @ Legia Warsaw L 2-443.9 1321 1341 20.07% 26.12% 53.82%-0.66 -8.7 0
1953-03-29 Lech Poznan L 2-454.0 1349 1338 52.77% 26.19% 21.04%+0.59 -18.7 0
1953-03-29 @ Odra Opole W 4-254.0 1338 1349 21.04% 26.19% 52.77%-0.59 +18.7 4
1953-03-29 Wawel Krakow L 0-147.3 1335 1340 51.10% 26.29% 22.61%+0.49 -12.4 2
1953-03-29 @ Polonia Bytom W 1-047.3 1340 1335 22.61% 26.29% 51.10%-0.49 +12.4 4
1953-03-29 Gwardia Warsaw W 2-144.0 1416 1365 56.92% 25.83% 17.25%+0.87 +4.9 6
1953-03-29 @ Wisla Krakow L 1-244.0 1365 1416 17.25% 25.83% 56.92%-0.87 -4.9 2
1953-04-11 Legia Warsaw W 3-141.0 1352 1350 51.91% 26.24% 21.84%+0.54 +10.4 6
1953-04-11 @ Wawel Krakow L 1-341.0 1350 1352 21.84% 26.24% 51.91%-0.54 -10.4 3
1953-04-12 Wisla Krakow W 4-249.0 1338 1421 41.35% 26.51% 32.15%-0.04 +12.6 5
1953-04-12 @ Cracovia L 2-449.0 1421 1338 32.15% 26.51% 41.35%+0.04 -12.6 6
1953-04-12 Lechia Gdansk W 2-142.1 1312 1278 55.29% 25.99% 18.72%+0.76 +5.3 2
1953-04-12 @ Gornik Radlin L 1-242.1 1278 1312 18.72% 25.99% 55.29%-0.76 -5.3 2
1953-04-12 Polonia Bytom D 0-049.8 1360 1322 55.58% 25.97% 18.45%+0.78 -2.3 3
1953-04-12 @ Gwardia Warsaw D 0-049.8 1322 1360 18.45% 25.97% 55.58%-0.78 +2.3 3
1953-04-12 Budowlani Chorzow L 0-148.0 1357 1355 51.88% 26.25% 21.88%+0.54 -12.6 4
1953-04-12 @ Lech Poznan W 1-048.0 1355 1357 21.88% 26.25% 51.88%-0.54 +12.6 6
1953-04-12 Odra Opole W 2-033.7 1410 1330 59.52% 25.50% 14.98%+1.07 +8.7 8
1953-04-12 @ Ruch Chorzow L 0-233.7 1330 1410 14.98% 25.50% 59.52%-1.07 -8.7 0
1953-04-19 Ruch Chorzow L 2-357.9 1368 1419 45.57% 26.48% 27.95%+0.18 -10.1 6
1953-04-19 @ Budowlani Chorzow W 3-257.9 1419 1368 27.95% 26.48% 45.57%-0.18 +10.1 10
1953-04-19 Wawel Krakow D 2-259.2 1272 1363 40.43% 26.50% 33.07%-0.09 -0.3 3
1953-04-19 @ Lechia Gdansk D 2-259.2 1363 1272 33.07% 26.50% 40.43%+0.09 +0.3 7
1953-04-19 Gwardia Warsaw W 4-033.5 1340 1358 49.58% 26.36% 24.05%+0.40 +24.6 5
1953-04-19 @ Legia Warsaw L 0-433.5 1358 1340 24.05% 26.36% 49.58%-0.40 -24.6 3
1953-04-19 Gornik Radlin D 1-153.7 1321 1318 52.05% 26.24% 21.72%+0.55 -1.6 1
1953-04-19 @ Odra Opole D 1-153.7 1318 1321 21.72% 26.24% 52.05%-0.55 +1.6 3
1953-04-19 Cracovia W 2-036.0 1325 1350 48.72% 26.40% 24.89%+0.35 +13.3 5
1953-04-19 @ Polonia Bytom L 0-236.0 1350 1325 24.89% 26.40% 48.72%-0.35 -13.3 5
1953-04-19 Lech Poznan W 1-037.8 1409 1344 58.11% 25.69% 16.20%+0.96 +5.0 8
1953-04-19 @ Wisla Krakow L 0-137.8 1344 1409 16.20% 25.69% 58.11%-0.96 -5.0 4
1953-05-17 Wawel Krakow W 2-145.2 1333 1363 48.21% 26.41% 25.38%+0.32 +6.8 5
1953-05-17 @ Gwardia Warsaw L 1-245.2 1363 1333 25.38% 26.41% 48.21%-0.32 -6.8 7
1953-05-17 Cracovia W 1-038.6 1340 1337 51.93% 26.24% 21.83%+0.54 +6.4 6
1953-05-17 @ Lech Poznan L 0-138.6 1337 1340 21.83% 26.24% 51.93%-0.54 -6.4 5
1953-05-17 Legia Warsaw L 0-143.8 1272 1364 40.20% 26.50% 33.30%-0.10 -10.2 3
1953-05-17 @ Lechia Gdansk W 1-043.8 1364 1272 33.30% 26.50% 40.20%+0.10 +10.2 7
1953-05-17 Budowlani Chorzow L 2-452.3 1320 1358 47.23% 26.44% 26.33%+0.27 -16.9 1
1953-05-17 @ Odra Opole W 4-252.3 1358 1320 26.33% 26.44% 47.23%-0.27 +16.9 8
1953-05-17 Gornik Radlin W 3-138.7 1429 1319 61.95% 25.11% 12.95%+1.26 +6.6 12
1953-05-17 @ Ruch Chorzow L 1-338.7 1319 1429 12.95% 25.11% 61.95%-1.26 -6.6 3
1953-05-17 Polonia Bytom W 4-136.9 1414 1338 59.12% 25.56% 15.32%+1.03 +10.9 10
1953-05-17 @ Wisla Krakow L 1-436.9 1338 1414 15.32% 25.56% 59.12%-1.03 -10.9 5
1953-05-23 Gwardia Warsaw L 1-252.5 1331 1340 50.62% 26.32% 23.07%+0.46 -11.6 5
1953-05-23 @ Cracovia W 2-152.5 1340 1331 23.07% 26.32% 50.62%-0.46 +11.6 7
1953-05-23 Lech Poznan D 2-259.4 1313 1346 47.80% 26.43% 25.77%+0.30 -0.9 4
1953-05-23 @ Gornik Radlin D 2-259.4 1346 1313 25.77% 26.43% 47.80%-0.30 +0.8 7
1953-05-24 Polonia Bytom L 2-359.5 1375 1327 56.53% 25.87% 17.59%+0.84 -12.2 8
1953-05-24 @ Budowlani Chorzow W 3-259.5 1327 1375 17.59% 25.87% 56.53%-0.84 +12.2 7
1953-05-24 Odra Opole L 0-145.3 1262 1303 46.90% 26.45% 26.65%+0.25 -11.5 3
1953-05-24 @ Lechia Gdansk W 1-045.3 1303 1262 26.65% 26.45% 46.90%-0.25 +11.5 3
1953-05-24 Wisla Krakow D 0-051.6 1374 1425 45.69% 26.48% 27.83%+0.18 -1.0 8
1953-05-24 @ Legia Warsaw D 0-051.6 1425 1374 27.83% 26.48% 45.69%-0.18 +1.0 11
1953-05-24 Ruch Chorzow D 3-365.4 1356 1436 41.90% 26.51% 31.59%-0.01 -0.3 8
1953-05-24 @ Wawel Krakow D 3-365.4 1436 1356 31.59% 26.51% 41.90%+0.01 +0.3 13
1953-05-30 Wawel Krakow D 0-050.0 1347 1356 50.63% 26.31% 23.06%+0.46 -1.6 8
1953-05-30 @ Lech Poznan D 0-050.0 1356 1347 23.06% 26.31% 50.63%-0.46 +1.6 9
1953-05-30 Lechia Gdansk W 2-139.5 1426 1250 66.61% 24.03% 9.36%+1.71 +2.8 13
1953-05-30 @ Wisla Krakow L 1-239.5 1250 1426 9.36% 24.03% 66.61%-1.71 -2.8 3
1953-05-31 Cracovia W 2-035.0 1312 1319 50.84% 26.30% 22.85%+0.47 +12.5 6
1953-05-31 @ Gornik Radlin L 0-235.0 1319 1312 22.85% 26.30% 50.84%-0.47 -12.5 5
1953-05-31 Budowlani Chorzow W 3-141.2 1373 1362 52.84% 26.19% 20.97%+0.60 +10.1 10
1953-05-31 @ Legia Warsaw L 1-341.2 1362 1373 20.97% 26.19% 52.84%-0.60 -10.1 8
1953-05-31 Polonia Bytom L 3-459.6 1314 1339 48.77% 26.39% 24.84%+0.35 -10.4 3
1953-05-31 @ Odra Opole W 4-359.6 1339 1314 24.84% 26.39% 48.77%-0.35 +10.4 9
1953-05-31 Gwardia Warsaw W 5-032.5 1436 1352 59.88% 25.45% 14.67%+1.09 +20.0 15
1953-05-31 @ Ruch Chorzow L 0-532.5 1352 1436 14.67% 25.45% 59.88%-1.09 -20.0 7
1953-06-06 Ruch Chorzow L 1-248.3 1307 1456 32.23% 26.30% 41.47%-0.48 -8.1 5
1953-06-06 @ Cracovia W 2-148.3 1456 1307 41.47% 26.30% 32.23%+0.48 +8.1 17
1953-06-07 Wisla Krakow L 0-340.8 1352 1428 42.33% 26.51% 31.16%+0.01 -29.0 8
1953-06-07 @ Budowlani Chorzow W 3-040.8 1428 1352 31.16% 26.51% 42.33%-0.01 +29.0 15
1953-06-07 Lech Poznan W 3-141.2 1331 1345 50.12% 26.34% 23.54%+0.43 +11.0 9
1953-06-07 @ Gwardia Warsaw L 1-341.2 1345 1331 23.54% 26.34% 50.12%-0.43 -11.0 8
1953-06-07 Legia Warsaw W 3-252.1 1304 1383 41.88% 26.51% 31.61%-0.01 +7.6 5
1953-06-07 @ Odra Opole L 2-352.1 1383 1304 31.61% 26.51% 41.88%+0.01 -7.6 10
1953-06-07 Lechia Gdansk D 1-153.7 1350 1248 61.34% 25.21% 13.44%+1.21 -2.7 10
1953-06-07 @ Polonia Bytom D 1-153.7 1248 1350 13.44% 25.21% 61.34%-1.21 +2.7 4
1953-06-07 Gornik Radlin W 4-137.1 1358 1324 55.16% 26.00% 18.84%+0.75 +13.0 11
1953-06-07 @ Wawel Krakow L 1-437.1 1324 1358 18.84% 26.00% 55.16%-0.75 -13.0 6
1953-06-13 Gwardia Warsaw D 1-153.8 1311 1343 48.04% 26.42% 25.55%+0.31 -1.2 7
1953-06-13 @ Gornik Radlin D 1-153.8 1343 1311 25.55% 26.42% 48.04%-0.31 +1.2 10
1953-06-13 Odra Opole W 3-138.2 1457 1311 64.65% 24.54% 10.81%+1.51 +5.6 17
1953-06-13 @ Wisla Krakow L 1-338.2 1311 1457 10.81% 24.54% 64.65%-1.51 -5.6 5
1953-06-14 Wawel Krakow L 0-144.9 1298 1371 42.88% 26.51% 30.62%+0.04 -10.7 5
1953-06-14 @ Cracovia W 1-044.9 1371 1298 30.62% 26.51% 42.88%-0.04 +10.7 13
1953-06-14 Budowlani Chorzow W 3-034.9 1250 1323 42.78% 26.51% 30.72%+0.03 +22.8 6
1953-06-14 @ Lechia Gdansk L 0-334.9 1323 1250 30.72% 26.51% 42.78%-0.03 -22.8 8
1953-06-14 Polonia Bytom W 3-140.4 1376 1347 54.69% 26.05% 19.26%+0.72 +9.4 12
1953-06-14 @ Legia Warsaw L 1-340.4 1347 1376 19.26% 26.05% 54.69%-0.72 -9.4 10
1953-06-14 Lech Poznan W 2-033.6 1464 1334 63.50% 24.80% 11.71%+1.40 +7.0 19
1953-06-14 @ Ruch Chorzow L 0-233.6 1334 1464 11.71% 24.80% 63.50%-1.40 -7.0 8
1953-06-21 Legia Warsaw L 0-338.3 1288 1385 39.46% 26.49% 34.05%-0.13 -27.4 5
1953-06-21 @ Cracovia W 3-038.3 1385 1288 34.05% 26.49% 39.46%+0.13 +27.4 14
1953-06-21 Budowlani Chorzow D 3-363.0 1310 1301 52.69% 26.20% 21.11%+0.59 -1.0 8
1953-06-21 @ Gornik Radlin D 3-363.0 1301 1310 21.11% 26.20% 52.69%-0.59 +1.1 9
1953-06-21 Lechia Gdansk W 2-141.3 1344 1273 58.67% 25.62% 15.71%+1.00 +4.5 12
1953-06-21 @ Gwardia Warsaw L 1-241.3 1273 1344 15.71% 25.62% 58.67%-1.00 -4.6 6
1953-06-21 Polonia Bytom W 1-038.9 1327 1338 50.46% 26.32% 23.22%+0.45 +6.7 10
1953-06-21 @ Lech Poznan L 0-138.9 1338 1327 23.22% 26.32% 50.46%-0.45 -6.7 10
1953-06-21 Wisla Krakow W 4-038.3 1471 1463 52.53% 26.21% 21.26%+0.58 +22.3 21
1953-06-21 @ Ruch Chorzow L 0-438.3 1463 1471 21.26% 26.21% 52.53%-0.58 -22.3 17
1953-06-21 Odra Opole W 5-134.5 1381 1306 59.11% 25.56% 15.33%+1.03 +14.1 15
1953-06-21 @ Wawel Krakow L 1-534.5 1306 1381 15.33% 25.56% 59.11%-1.03 -14.1 5
1953-06-28 Lech Poznan W 2-035.9 1302 1334 47.93% 26.42% 25.65%+0.31 +13.6 11
1953-06-28 @ Budowlani Chorzow L 0-235.9 1334 1302 25.65% 26.42% 47.93%-0.31 -13.6 10
1953-06-28 Wawel Krakow D 0-051.9 1413 1395 53.50% 26.14% 20.36%+0.64 -2.0 15
1953-06-28 @ Legia Warsaw D 0-051.9 1395 1413 20.36% 26.14% 53.50%-0.64 +2.0 16
1953-06-28 Ruch Chorzow D 1-155.9 1292 1493 25.78% 25.88% 48.34%-0.84 +1.2 6
1953-06-28 @ Odra Opole D 1-155.9 1493 1292 48.34% 25.88% 25.78%+0.84 -1.2 22
1953-06-28 Gwardia Warsaw L 0-147.0 1331 1348 49.70% 26.36% 23.95%+0.41 -12.1 10
1953-06-28 @ Polonia Bytom W 1-047.0 1348 1331 23.95% 26.36% 49.70%-0.41 +12.1 14
1953-07-05 Gornik Radlin D 0-048.8 1269 1309 46.93% 26.45% 26.62%+0.25 -1.2 7
1953-07-05 @ Lechia Gdansk D 0-048.8 1309 1269 26.62% 26.45% 46.93%-0.25 +1.2 9
1953-07-26 Polonia Bytom W 3-142.0 1260 1319 44.65% 26.49% 28.86%+0.13 +12.9 7
1953-07-26 @ Cracovia L 1-342.0 1319 1260 28.86% 26.49% 44.65%-0.13 -12.9 10
1953-07-26 Odra Opole W 1-037.4 1310 1293 53.52% 26.14% 20.35%+0.64 +6.0 11
1953-07-26 @ Gornik Radlin L 0-137.4 1293 1310 20.35% 26.14% 53.52%-0.64 -6.0 6
1953-07-26 Legia Warsaw D 1-155.4 1360 1411 45.71% 26.48% 27.81%+0.19 -0.9 15
1953-07-26 @ Gwardia Warsaw D 1-155.4 1411 1360 27.81% 26.48% 45.71%-0.19 +0.9 16
1953-07-26 Wisla Krakow D 0-050.9 1320 1441 36.18% 26.43% 37.39%-0.29 +0.1 11
1953-07-26 @ Lech Poznan D 0-050.9 1441 1320 37.39% 26.43% 36.18%+0.29 -0.1 18
1953-07-26 Budowlani Chorzow W 7-032.5 1492 1315 66.73% 23.99% 9.28%+1.72 +17.9 24
1953-07-26 @ Ruch Chorzow L 0-732.5 1315 1492 9.28% 23.99% 66.73%-1.72 -17.9 11
1953-07-26 Lechia Gdansk W 5-132.9 1397 1267 63.49% 24.80% 11.71%+1.40 +11.0 18
1953-07-26 @ Wawel Krakow L 1-532.9 1267 1397 11.71% 24.80% 63.49%-1.40 -11.0 7
1953-08-02 Lechia Gdansk D 1-153.2 1297 1256 55.90% 25.93% 18.16%+0.80 -2.1 12
1953-08-02 @ Budowlani Chorzow D 1-153.2 1256 1297 18.16% 25.93% 55.90%-0.80 +2.1 8
1953-08-02 Gornik Radlin L 2-359.1 1359 1316 56.14% 25.91% 17.95%+0.82 -12.1 15
1953-08-02 @ Gwardia Warsaw W 3-259.1 1316 1359 17.95% 25.91% 56.14%-0.82 +12.1 13
1953-08-02 Ruch Chorzow L 1-344.9 1320 1510 27.14% 25.99% 46.87%-0.76 -12.3 11
1953-08-02 @ Lech Poznan W 3-144.9 1510 1320 46.87% 25.99% 27.14%+0.76 +12.3 26
1953-08-02 Wisla Krakow D 1-154.7 1287 1441 31.65% 26.27% 42.08%-0.51 +0.5 7
1953-08-02 @ Odra Opole D 1-154.7 1441 1287 42.08% 26.27% 31.65%+0.51 -0.5 19
1953-08-02 Legia Warsaw W 1-043.2 1306 1411 38.31% 26.48% 35.21%-0.19 +9.2 12
1953-08-02 @ Polonia Bytom L 0-143.2 1411 1306 35.21% 26.48% 38.31%+0.19 -9.2 16
1953-08-02 Cracovia W 2-140.4 1408 1273 63.86% 24.72% 11.42%+1.44 +3.4 20
1953-08-02 @ Wawel Krakow L 1-240.4 1273 1408 11.42% 24.72% 63.86%-1.44 -3.4 7
1953-08-08 Wisla Krakow L 1-250.0 1328 1440 37.42% 26.46% 36.12%-0.23 -9.1 13
1953-08-08 @ Gornik Radlin W 2-150.0 1440 1328 36.12% 26.46% 37.42%+0.23 +9.1 21
1953-08-08 Budowlani Chorzow W 2-032.3 1412 1295 62.48% 25.00% 12.51%+1.31 +7.4 22
1953-08-08 @ Wawel Krakow L 0-232.3 1295 1412 12.51% 25.00% 62.48%-1.31 -7.4 12
1953-08-09 Lechia Gdansk W 2-033.7 1270 1258 52.89% 26.18% 20.93%+0.60 +11.6 9
1953-08-09 @ Cracovia L 0-233.7 1258 1270 20.93% 26.18% 52.89%-0.60 -11.6 8
1953-08-09 Odra Opole W 3-030.8 1347 1287 57.71% 25.74% 16.55%+0.93 +13.8 17
1953-08-09 @ Gwardia Warsaw L 0-330.8 1287 1347 16.55% 25.74% 57.71%-0.93 -13.8 7
1953-08-09 Legia Warsaw D 1-154.4 1308 1402 39.87% 26.50% 33.63%-0.11 -0.3 12
1953-08-09 @ Lech Poznan D 1-154.4 1402 1308 33.63% 26.50% 39.87%+0.11 +0.3 17
1953-08-09 Polonia Bytom W 1-036.5 1522 1315 68.60% 23.41% 7.99%+1.92 +2.5 28
1953-08-09 @ Ruch Chorzow L 0-136.5 1315 1522 7.99% 23.41% 68.60%-1.92 -2.5 12
1953-08-15 Gwardia Warsaw W 2-037.6 1288 1361 42.70% 26.51% 30.79%+0.03 +15.7 14
1953-08-15 @ Budowlani Chorzow L 0-237.6 1361 1288 30.79% 26.51% 42.70%-0.03 -15.7 17
1953-08-15 Lech Poznan L 2-354.8 1247 1308 44.36% 26.50% 29.14%+0.11 -9.8 8
1953-08-15 @ Lechia Gdansk W 3-254.8 1308 1247 29.14% 26.50% 44.36%-0.11 +9.8 14
1953-08-15 Ruch Chorzow W 2-045.6 1403 1525 35.93% 26.42% 37.65%-0.30 +18.2 19
1953-08-15 @ Legia Warsaw L 0-245.6 1525 1403 37.65% 26.42% 35.93%+0.30 -18.2 28
1953-08-15 Cracovia D 0-048.7 1274 1281 50.77% 26.31% 22.93%+0.47 -1.7 8
1953-08-15 @ Odra Opole D 0-048.7 1281 1274 22.93% 26.31% 50.77%-0.47 +1.7 10
1953-08-15 Gornik Radlin W 4-032.4 1313 1319 50.91% 26.30% 22.79%+0.48 +23.6 14
1953-08-15 @ Polonia Bytom L 0-432.4 1319 1313 22.79% 26.30% 50.91%-0.48 -23.6 13
1953-08-15 Wawel Krakow L 1-257.5 1449 1419 54.83% 26.03% 19.14%+0.73 -12.5 21
1953-08-15 @ Wisla Krakow W 2-157.5 1419 1449 19.14% 26.03% 54.83%-0.73 +12.5 24
1953-08-19 Legia Warsaw W 2-147.0 1437 1421 53.37% 26.15% 20.48%+0.63 +5.7 23
1953-08-19 @ Wisla Krakow L 1-247.0 1421 1437 20.48% 26.15% 53.37%-0.63 -5.7 19
1953-08-23 Budowlani Chorzow W 4-032.6 1283 1303 49.34% 26.37% 24.29%+0.39 +24.8 12
1953-08-23 @ Cracovia L 0-432.6 1303 1283 24.29% 26.37% 49.34%-0.39 -24.8 14
1953-08-23 Legia Warsaw W 2-040.2 1296 1415 36.35% 26.44% 37.21%-0.28 +18.0 15
1953-08-23 @ Gornik Radlin L 0-240.2 1415 1296 37.21% 26.44% 36.35%+0.28 -18.1 19
1953-08-23 Odra Opole D 0-049.0 1317 1272 56.36% 25.89% 17.75%+0.83 -2.4 15
1953-08-23 @ Lech Poznan D 0-049.0 1272 1317 17.75% 25.89% 56.36%-0.83 +2.4 9
1953-08-23 Lechia Gdansk W 3-027.9 1507 1237 72.04% 22.08% 5.88%+2.34 +5.1 30
1953-08-23 @ Ruch Chorzow L 0-327.9 1237 1507 5.88% 22.08% 72.04%-2.34 -5.1 8
1953-08-30 Gornik Radlin W 2-035.7 1279 1314 47.58% 26.43% 25.99%+0.29 +13.8 16
1953-08-30 @ Budowlani Chorzow L 0-235.7 1314 1279 25.99% 26.43% 47.58%-0.29 -13.8 15
1953-08-30 Cracovia W 3-246.8 1397 1308 60.27% 25.39% 14.34%+1.12 +4.0 21
1953-08-30 @ Legia Warsaw L 2-346.8 1308 1397 14.34% 25.39% 60.27%-1.12 -4.0 12
1953-08-30 Wawel Krakow D 0-050.0 1274 1432 31.18% 26.25% 42.57%-0.54 +0.7 10
1953-08-30 @ Odra Opole D 0-050.0 1432 1274 42.57% 26.25% 31.18%+0.54 -0.6 25
1953-08-30 Lech Poznan D 2-259.4 1336 1315 53.91% 26.11% 19.98%+0.67 -1.4 15
1953-08-30 @ Polonia Bytom D 2-259.4 1315 1336 19.98% 26.11% 53.91%-0.67 +1.4 16
1953-08-30 Ruch Chorzow L 0-248.3 1442 1512 43.23% 26.51% 30.27%+0.06 -20.3 23
1953-08-30 @ Wisla Krakow W 2-048.3 1512 1442 30.27% 26.51% 43.23%-0.06 +20.3 32
1953-09-02 Gwardia Warsaw L 1-247.7 1232 1345 37.19% 26.45% 36.36%-0.24 -9.0 8
1953-09-02 @ Lechia Gdansk W 2-147.7 1345 1232 36.36% 26.45% 37.19%+0.24 +9.0 19
1953-09-27 Legia Warsaw D 2-259.8 1292 1401 37.89% 26.47% 35.64%-0.21 -0.1 17
1953-09-27 @ Budowlani Chorzow D 2-259.8 1401 1292 35.64% 26.47% 37.89%+0.21 +0.1 22
1953-09-27 Gornik Radlin W 1-037.9 1304 1300 52.09% 26.23% 21.67%+0.55 +6.3 14
1953-09-27 @ Cracovia L 0-137.9 1300 1304 21.67% 26.23% 52.09%-0.55 -6.3 15
1953-09-27 Ruch Chorzow D 0-054.1 1354 1532 28.62% 26.10% 45.28%-0.68 +1.0 20
1953-09-27 @ Gwardia Warsaw D 0-054.1 1532 1354 45.28% 26.10% 28.62%+0.68 -1.0 33
1953-09-27 Wisla Krakow W 1-046.0 1223 1422 26.07% 25.90% 48.03%-0.82 +11.7 10
1953-09-27 @ Lechia Gdansk L 0-146.0 1422 1223 48.03% 25.90% 26.07%+0.82 -11.7 23
1953-09-27 Lech Poznan D 1-155.4 1431 1316 62.33% 25.03% 12.63%+1.30 -2.9 26
1953-09-27 @ Wawel Krakow D 1-155.4 1316 1431 12.63% 25.03% 62.33%-1.30 +2.8 17
1953-10-01 Wisla Krakow W 1-041.9 1355 1410 45.10% 26.49% 28.41%+0.15 +7.8 22
1953-10-01 @ Gwardia Warsaw L 0-141.9 1410 1355 28.41% 26.49% 45.10%-0.15 -7.8 23
1953-10-04 Odra Opole D 1-153.2 1292 1275 53.53% 26.14% 20.33%+0.64 -1.8 18
1953-10-04 @ Budowlani Chorzow D 1-153.2 1275 1292 20.33% 26.14% 53.53%-0.64 +1.8 11
1953-10-04 Lech Poznan W 2-143.8 1310 1319 50.64% 26.31% 23.04%+0.46 +6.3 16
1953-10-04 @ Cracovia L 1-243.8 1319 1310 23.04% 26.31% 50.64%-0.46 -6.3 17
1953-10-04 Ruch Chorzow L 1-343.1 1294 1531 21.93% 25.48% 52.59%-1.08 -10.3 15
1953-10-04 @ Gornik Radlin W 3-143.1 1531 1294 52.59% 25.48% 21.93%+1.08 +10.3 35
1953-10-04 Wisla Krakow W 4-035.9 1335 1403 43.44% 26.50% 30.06%+0.07 +29.2 17
1953-10-04 @ Polonia Bytom L 0-435.9 1403 1335 30.06% 26.50% 43.44%-0.07 -29.2 23
1953-10-08 Cracovia W 3-031.5 1373 1317 57.42% 25.77% 16.81%+0.91 +14.0 25
1953-10-08 @ Wisla Krakow L 0-331.5 1317 1373 16.81% 25.77% 57.42%-0.91 -14.0 16
1953-10-11 Cracovia W 2-033.2 1363 1303 57.78% 25.73% 16.48%+0.93 +9.5 24
1953-10-11 @ Gwardia Warsaw L 0-233.2 1303 1363 16.48% 25.73% 57.78%-0.93 -9.5 16
1953-10-11 Gornik Radlin D 1-153.4 1313 1283 54.80% 26.04% 19.17%+0.72 -2.0 18
1953-10-11 @ Lech Poznan D 1-153.4 1283 1313 19.17% 26.04% 54.80%-0.72 +2.0 16
1953-10-11 Lechia Gdansk D 1-153.1 1277 1235 56.02% 25.92% 18.05%+0.81 -2.1 12
1953-10-11 @ Odra Opole D 1-153.1 1235 1277 18.05% 25.92% 56.02%-0.81 +2.1 11
1953-10-11 Budowlani Chorzow W 2-141.6 1364 1291 58.93% 25.58% 15.49%+1.02 +4.5 19
1953-10-11 @ Polonia Bytom L 1-241.6 1291 1364 15.49% 25.58% 58.93%-1.02 -4.5 18
1953-10-15 Gwardia Warsaw W 1-039.0 1428 1373 57.30% 25.79% 16.91%+0.90 +5.1 28
1953-10-15 @ Wawel Krakow L 0-139.0 1373 1428 16.91% 25.79% 57.30%-0.90 -5.2 24
1953-10-18 Odra Opole L 1-254.9 1368 1275 60.67% 25.33% 14.00%+1.16 -13.8 19
1953-10-18 @ Polonia Bytom W 2-154.9 1275 1368 14.00% 25.33% 60.67%-1.16 +13.8 14
1953-10-18 Lechia Gdansk D 3-363.8 1401 1237 65.90% 24.22% 9.88%+1.63 -2.0 23
1953-10-18 @ Legia Warsaw D 3-363.8 1237 1401 9.88% 24.22% 65.90%-1.63 +2.0 12
1953-10-18 Wawel Krakow W 1-043.0 1541 1433 61.82% 25.13% 13.05%+1.25 +4.1 37
1953-10-18 @ Ruch Chorzow L 0-143.0 1433 1541 13.05% 25.13% 61.82%-1.25 -4.1 28
1953-10-21 Polonia Bytom L 1-256.5 1429 1355 59.03% 25.57% 15.40%+1.03 -13.4 28
1953-10-21 @ Wawel Krakow W 2-156.5 1355 1429 15.40% 25.57% 59.03%-1.03 +13.4 21
1953-10-31 Cracovia D 0-053.8 1546 1293 71.14% 22.46% 6.40%+2.23 -4.3 38
1953-10-31 @ Ruch Chorzow D 0-053.8 1293 1546 6.40% 22.46% 71.14%-2.23 +4.3 17
1953-11-01 Wawel Krakow W 2-040.5 1285 1416 34.78% 26.39% 38.82%-0.36 +18.6 18
1953-11-01 @ Gornik Radlin L 0-240.5 1416 1285 38.82% 26.39% 34.78%+0.36 -18.6 28
1953-11-01 Gwardia Warsaw L 1-250.9 1311 1368 44.90% 26.49% 28.61%+0.14 -10.5 18
1953-11-01 @ Lech Poznan W 2-150.9 1368 1311 28.61% 26.49% 44.90%-0.14 +10.5 26
1953-11-01 Odra Opole L 0-344.8 1399 1288 62.02% 25.09% 12.89%+1.27 -40.9 23
1953-11-01 @ Legia Warsaw W 3-044.8 1288 1399 12.89% 25.09% 62.02%-1.27 +40.9 16
1953-11-08 Polonia Bytom L 0-238.4 1239 1368 34.96% 26.40% 38.65%-0.35 -17.2 12
1953-11-08 @ Lechia Gdansk W 2-038.4 1368 1239 38.65% 26.40% 34.96%+0.35 +17.2 23
1953-11-08 Budowlani Chorzow W 3-246.1 1387 1286 61.28% 25.23% 13.50%+1.21 +3.8 27
1953-11-08 @ Wisla Krakow L 2-346.1 1286 1387 13.50% 25.23% 61.28%-1.21 -3.8 18

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1953-11-01 12.89% Odra Opole 1288 3 @ Legia Warsaw 1399 0
2 1953-10-18 14.00% Odra Opole 1275 2 @ Polonia Bytom 1368 1
3 1953-10-21 15.40% Polonia Bytom 1355 2 @ Wawel Krakow 1429 1
4 1953-03-22 17.39% Budowlani Chorzow 1329 1 @ Gwardia Warsaw 1379 0
5 1953-05-24 17.59% Polonia Bytom 1327 3 @ Budowlani Chorzow 1375 2
6 1953-08-02 17.95% Gornik Radlin 1316 3 @ Gwardia Warsaw 1359 2
7 1953-03-22 18.52% Polonia Bytom 1310 2 @ Gornik Radlin 1346 0
8 1953-08-15 19.14% Wawel Krakow 1419 2 @ Wisla Krakow 1449 1
9 1953-03-29 21.04% Lech Poznan 1338 4 @ Odra Opole 1349 2
10 1953-04-12 21.88% Budowlani Chorzow 1355 1 @ Lech Poznan 1357 0
11 1953-03-15 22.09% Gwardia Warsaw 1367 2 @ Odra Opole 1367 1
12 1953-03-15 22.33% Wawel Krakow 1349 4 @ Budowlani Chorzow 1347 2
13 1953-03-29 22.61% Wawel Krakow 1340 1 @ Polonia Bytom 1335 0
14 1953-05-23 23.07% Gwardia Warsaw 1340 2 @ Cracovia 1331 1
15 1953-06-28 23.95% Gwardia Warsaw 1348 1 @ Polonia Bytom 1331 0
16 1953-03-22 24.35% Wisla Krakow 1389 4 @ Wawel Krakow 1368 1
17 1953-05-31 24.84% Polonia Bytom 1339 4 @ Odra Opole 1314 3
18 1953-09-27 26.07% @ Lechia Gdansk 1223 1 Wisla Krakow 1422 0
19 1953-05-17 26.33% Budowlani Chorzow 1358 4 @ Odra Opole 1320 2
20 1953-05-24 26.65% Odra Opole 1303 1 @ Lechia Gdansk 1262 0
21 1953-03-15 26.95% Ruch Chorzow 1374 2 @ Polonia Bytom 1331 0
22 1953-04-19 27.95% Ruch Chorzow 1419 3 @ Budowlani Chorzow 1368 2
23 1953-11-01 28.61% Gwardia Warsaw 1368 2 @ Lech Poznan 1311 1
24 1953-08-15 29.14% Lech Poznan 1308 3 @ Lechia Gdansk 1247 2
25 1953-08-30 30.27% Ruch Chorzow 1512 2 @ Wisla Krakow 1442 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1953-11-01 40.92 Odra Opole 3 1288 12.89% @ Legia Warsaw 0 1399 62.02% 25.09%
2 1953-10-04 29.24 @ Polonia Bytom 4 1335 43.44% Wisla Krakow 0 1403 30.06% 26.50%
3 1953-06-07 28.99 Wisla Krakow 3 1428 31.16% @ Budowlani Chorzow 0 1352 42.33% 26.51%
4 1953-03-22 27.80 Wisla Krakow 4 1389 24.35% @ Wawel Krakow 1 1368 49.27% 26.38%
5 1953-06-21 27.42 Legia Warsaw 3 1385 34.05% @ Cracovia 0 1288 39.46% 26.49%
6 1953-03-22 25.32 Polonia Bytom 2 1310 18.52% @ Gornik Radlin 0 1346 55.50% 25.97%
7 1953-08-23 24.80 @ Cracovia 4 1283 49.34% Budowlani Chorzow 0 1303 24.29% 26.37%
8 1953-04-19 24.61 @ Legia Warsaw 4 1340 49.58% Gwardia Warsaw 0 1358 24.05% 26.36%
9 1953-08-15 23.58 @ Polonia Bytom 4 1313 50.91% Gornik Radlin 0 1319 22.79% 26.30%
10 1953-06-14 22.75 @ Lechia Gdansk 3 1250 42.78% Budowlani Chorzow 0 1323 30.72% 26.51%
11 1953-06-21 22.29 @ Ruch Chorzow 4 1471 52.53% Wisla Krakow 0 1463 21.26% 26.21%
12 1953-03-15 21.62 Ruch Chorzow 2 1374 26.95% @ Polonia Bytom 0 1331 46.59% 26.46%
13 1953-08-30 20.30 Ruch Chorzow 2 1512 30.27% @ Wisla Krakow 0 1442 43.23% 26.51%
14 1953-05-31 20.04 @ Ruch Chorzow 5 1436 59.88% Gwardia Warsaw 0 1352 14.67% 25.45%
15 1953-03-29 18.71 Lech Poznan 4 1338 21.04% @ Odra Opole 2 1349 52.77% 26.19%
16 1953-11-01 18.63 @ Gornik Radlin 2 1285 34.78% Wawel Krakow 0 1416 38.82% 26.39%
17 1953-03-15 18.26 Wawel Krakow 4 1349 22.33% @ Budowlani Chorzow 2 1347 51.40% 26.27%
18 1953-08-15 18.21 @ Legia Warsaw 2 1403 35.93% Ruch Chorzow 0 1525 37.65% 26.42%
19 1953-08-23 18.06 @ Gornik Radlin 2 1296 36.35% Legia Warsaw 0 1415 37.21% 26.44%
20 1953-07-26 17.94 @ Ruch Chorzow 7 1492 66.73% Budowlani Chorzow 0 1315 9.28% 23.99%
21 1953-11-08 17.23 Polonia Bytom 2 1368 38.65% @ Lechia Gdansk 0 1239 34.96% 26.40%
22 1953-05-17 16.94 Budowlani Chorzow 4 1358 26.33% @ Odra Opole 2 1320 47.23% 26.44%
23 1953-08-15 15.69 @ Budowlani Chorzow 2 1288 42.70% Gwardia Warsaw 0 1361 30.79% 26.51%
24 1953-06-21 14.09 @ Wawel Krakow 5 1381 59.11% Odra Opole 1 1306 15.33% 25.56%
25 1953-10-08 14.02 @ Wisla Krakow 3 1373 57.42% Cracovia 0 1317 16.81% 25.77%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1953-05-24 65.4 @ Wawel Krakow 3 1356 41.90% Ruch Chorzow 3 1436 31.59% 26.51%
2 1953-10-18 63.8 @ Legia Warsaw 3 1401 65.90% Lechia Gdansk 3 1237 9.88% 24.22%
3 1953-06-21 63.0 @ Gornik Radlin 3 1310 52.69% Budowlani Chorzow 3 1301 21.11% 26.20%
4 1953-09-27 59.8 @ Budowlani Chorzow 2 1292 37.89% Legia Warsaw 2 1401 35.64% 26.47%
5 1953-05-31 59.6 Polonia Bytom 4 1339 24.84% @ Odra Opole 3 1314 48.77% 26.39%
6 1953-05-24 59.5 Polonia Bytom 3 1327 17.59% @ Budowlani Chorzow 2 1375 56.53% 25.87%
7 1953-05-23 59.4 @ Gornik Radlin 2 1313 47.80% Lech Poznan 2 1346 25.77% 26.43%
8 1953-08-30 59.4 @ Polonia Bytom 2 1336 53.91% Lech Poznan 2 1315 19.98% 26.11%
9 1953-04-19 59.2 @ Lechia Gdansk 2 1272 40.43% Wawel Krakow 2 1363 33.07% 26.50%
10 1953-08-02 59.1 Gornik Radlin 3 1316 17.95% @ Gwardia Warsaw 2 1359 56.14% 25.91%
11 1953-04-19 57.9 Ruch Chorzow 3 1419 27.95% @ Budowlani Chorzow 2 1368 45.57% 26.48%
12 1953-08-15 57.5 Wawel Krakow 2 1419 19.14% @ Wisla Krakow 1 1449 54.83% 26.03%
13 1953-10-21 56.5 Polonia Bytom 2 1355 15.40% @ Wawel Krakow 1 1429 59.03% 25.57%
14 1953-06-28 55.9 @ Odra Opole 1 1292 25.78% Ruch Chorzow 1 1493 48.34% 25.88%
15 1953-07-26 55.4 @ Gwardia Warsaw 1 1360 45.71% Legia Warsaw 1 1411 27.81% 26.48%
16 1953-09-27 55.4 @ Wawel Krakow 1 1431 62.33% Lech Poznan 1 1316 12.63% 25.03%
17 1953-10-18 54.9 Odra Opole 2 1275 14.00% @ Polonia Bytom 1 1368 60.67% 25.33%
18 1953-08-15 54.8 Lech Poznan 3 1308 29.14% @ Lechia Gdansk 2 1247 44.36% 26.50%
19 1953-08-02 54.7 @ Odra Opole 1 1287 31.65% Wisla Krakow 1 1441 42.08% 26.27%
20 1953-08-09 54.4 @ Lech Poznan 1 1308 39.87% Legia Warsaw 1 1402 33.63% 26.50%
21 1953-03-15 54.2 @ Legia Warsaw 1 1348 52.60% Lech Poznan 1 1339 21.20% 26.20%
22 1953-09-27 54.1 @ Gwardia Warsaw 0 1354 28.62% Ruch Chorzow 0 1532 45.28% 26.10%
23 1953-03-29 54.0 Lech Poznan 4 1338 21.04% @ Odra Opole 2 1349 52.77% 26.19%
24 1953-06-13 53.8 @ Gornik Radlin 1 1311 48.04% Gwardia Warsaw 1 1343 25.55% 26.42%
25 1953-10-31 53.8 @ Ruch Chorzow 0 1546 71.14% Cracovia 0 1293 6.40% 22.46%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1953-08-23 27.9 @ Ruch Chorzow 3 1507 72.04% Lechia Gdansk 0 1237 5.88% 22.08%
2 1953-08-09 30.8 @ Gwardia Warsaw 3 1347 57.71% Odra Opole 0 1287 16.55% 25.74%
3 1953-10-08 31.5 @ Wisla Krakow 3 1373 57.42% Cracovia 0 1317 16.81% 25.77%
4 1953-08-08 32.3 @ Wawel Krakow 2 1412 62.48% Budowlani Chorzow 0 1295 12.51% 25.00%
5 1953-08-15 32.4 @ Polonia Bytom 4 1313 50.91% Gornik Radlin 0 1319 22.79% 26.30%
6 1953-05-31 32.5 @ Ruch Chorzow 5 1436 59.88% Gwardia Warsaw 0 1352 14.67% 25.45%
7 1953-07-26 32.5 @ Ruch Chorzow 7 1492 66.73% Budowlani Chorzow 0 1315 9.28% 23.99%
8 1953-08-23 32.6 @ Cracovia 4 1283 49.34% Budowlani Chorzow 0 1303 24.29% 26.37%
9 1953-07-26 32.9 @ Wawel Krakow 5 1397 63.49% Lechia Gdansk 1 1267 11.71% 24.80%
10 1953-10-11 33.2 @ Gwardia Warsaw 2 1363 57.78% Cracovia 0 1303 16.48% 25.73%
11 1953-04-19 33.5 @ Legia Warsaw 4 1340 49.58% Gwardia Warsaw 0 1358 24.05% 26.36%
12 1953-06-14 33.6 @ Ruch Chorzow 2 1464 63.50% Lech Poznan 0 1334 11.71% 24.80%
13 1953-04-12 33.7 @ Ruch Chorzow 2 1410 59.52% Odra Opole 0 1330 14.98% 25.50%
14 1953-08-09 33.7 @ Cracovia 2 1270 52.89% Lechia Gdansk 0 1258 20.93% 26.18%
15 1953-06-21 34.5 @ Wawel Krakow 5 1381 59.11% Odra Opole 1 1306 15.33% 25.56%
16 1953-06-14 34.9 @ Lechia Gdansk 3 1250 42.78% Budowlani Chorzow 0 1323 30.72% 26.51%
17 1953-05-31 35.0 @ Gornik Radlin 2 1312 50.84% Cracovia 0 1319 22.85% 26.30%
18 1953-03-29 35.6 @ Budowlani Chorzow 2 1343 50.79% Cracovia 0 1350 22.90% 26.31%
19 1953-08-30 35.7 @ Budowlani Chorzow 2 1279 47.58% Gornik Radlin 0 1314 25.99% 26.43%
20 1953-06-28 35.9 @ Budowlani Chorzow 2 1302 47.93% Lech Poznan 0 1334 25.65% 26.42%
21 1953-10-04 35.9 @ Polonia Bytom 4 1335 43.44% Wisla Krakow 0 1403 30.06% 26.50%
22 1953-04-19 36.0 @ Polonia Bytom 2 1325 48.72% Cracovia 0 1350 24.89% 26.40%
23 1953-08-09 36.5 @ Ruch Chorzow 1 1522 68.60% Polonia Bytom 0 1315 7.99% 23.41%
24 1953-05-17 36.9 @ Wisla Krakow 4 1414 59.12% Polonia Bytom 1 1338 15.32% 25.56%
25 1953-06-07 37.1 @ Wawel Krakow 4 1358 55.16% Gornik Radlin 1 1324 18.84% 26.00%