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1955 I liga Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Legia Warsaw

28 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

4.99 points above expected

27 points · 22.01 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Polonia Bytom

5.83 points below expected

17 points · 22.83 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Legia Warsaw 22 12 4 6 28 48 21 +27 25.07 +2.93
2 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 22 10 7 5 27 30 16 +14 22.01 +4.99
3 Ruch Chorzow 22 7 11 4 25 34 25 +9 23.40 +1.60
4 Gwardia Warsaw 22 11 3 8 25 38 30 +8 23.47 +1.53
5 Garbarnia Krakow 22 9 5 8 23 25 21 +4 20.87 +2.13
6 Lechia Gdansk 22 8 7 7 23 19 15 +4 20.26 +2.74
7 Wisla Krakow 22 10 2 10 22 26 29 -3 21.84 +0.16
8 LKS Lodz 22 8 5 9 21 27 37 -10 20.96 +0.04
9 Lech Poznan 22 7 5 10 19 24 35 -11 22.31 -3.31
10 Polonia Bydgoszcz 22 6 6 10 18 18 26 -8 20.77 -2.77
11 Polonia Bytom 22 5 7 10 17 23 36 -13 22.83 -5.83
12 Gornik Radlin 22 5 6 11 16 20 41 -21 20.21 -4.21

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 27 22.01 +4.99
2 Legia Warsaw 28 25.07 +2.93
3 Lechia Gdansk 23 20.26 +2.74
4 Garbarnia Krakow 23 20.87 +2.13
5 Ruch Chorzow 25 23.40 +1.60

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Polonia Bytom 17 22.83 -5.83
2 Gornik Radlin 16 20.21 -4.21
3 Lech Poznan 19 22.31 -3.31
4 Polonia Bydgoszcz 18 20.77 -2.77
5 LKS Lodz 21 20.96 +0.04

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gwardia Warsaw 5 Jun 5 – Aug 17 1 in 443
2 LKS Lodz 4 May 14 – Jun 12 1 in 96
3 Garbarnia Krakow 3 May 2 – Jun 9 1 in 74
4 Ruch Chorzow 2 Nov 6 – Nov 9 1 in 21
5 Legia Warsaw 3 Oct 23 – Nov 13 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 LKS Lodz 5 Oct 9 – Nov 13 1 in 508
2 Polonia Bytom 3 Aug 28 – Oct 2 1 in 37
3 Lechia Gdansk 3 Aug 21 – Sep 4 1 in 30
4 Polonia Bydgoszcz 3 May 8 – Jun 5 1 in 22
5 Gornik Radlin 2 Jun 9 – Jun 12 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gwardia Warsaw 10 May 8 – Sep 4 1 in 121
2 LKS Lodz 10 Apr 24 – Aug 28 1 in 109
3 Lechia Gdansk 7 Sep 25 – Nov 13 1 in 49
4 Ruch Chorzow 7 Oct 2 – Nov 27 1 in 18
5 Polonia Bytom 3 Oct 9 – Oct 20 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gornik Radlin 10 Apr 3 – Aug 17 1 in 99
2 Ruch Chorzow 9 Apr 24 – Aug 21 1 in 93
3 LKS Lodz 5 Oct 9 – Nov 13 1 in 16
4 Wisla Krakow 4 Aug 21 – Sep 25 1 in 13
5 Polonia Bytom 5 Mar 27 – May 14 1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Legia Warsaw 1554 28 +29 8 5.5 +2.5
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1490 27 +23 7 5.5 +1.5
Ruch Chorzow 1514 25 +52 8 5.8 +2.2
Gwardia Warsaw 1462 25 -20 5 5.8 -0.8
Lechia Gdansk 1437 23 +15 7 4.5 +2.5
Garbarnia Krakow 1458 23 +17 4 5.3 -1.3
Wisla Krakow 1432 22 -12 4 4.7 -0.7
LKS Lodz 1409 21 -72 0 5.3 -5.3
Lech Poznan 1405 19 -33 5 5.1 -0.1
Polonia Bydgoszcz 1416 18 +6 5 5.6 -0.6
Polonia Bytom 1391 17 -16 3 3.5 -0.5
Gornik Radlin 1390 16 -26 1 3.7 -2.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team GK GR GW LL LP LG LW PB PB RC WK ZS
Garbarnia Krakow —
1-0-1
2.60
1-1-0
2.29
1-1-0
2.41
1-0-1
2.45
1-1-0
2.71
0-0-2
2.33
1-1-0
2.70
1-1-0
2.86
1-0-1
2.44
1-0-1
2.45
0-0-2
2.56
Gornik Radlin
1-0-1
2.85
—
0-0-2
2.46
1-1-0
2.42
1-0-1
2.54
0-1-1
2.70
0-1-1
2.25
1-1-0
2.61
0-1-1
2.67
0-1-1
2.52
0-0-2
2.55
1-0-1
2.56
Gwardia Warsaw
0-1-1
3.18
2-0-0
3.01
—
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
2.93
1-1-0
2.98
1-0-1
2.60
2-0-0
2.92
2-0-0
2.79
0-1-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.90
0-0-2
2.81
LKS Lodz
0-1-1
3.05
0-1-1
3.03
1-0-1
2.61
—
1-1-0
2.80
1-0-1
3.04
1-0-1
2.28
1-0-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.94
0-1-1
2.70
1-1-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.63
Lech Poznan
1-0-1
3.02
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
2.55
0-1-1
2.67
—
0-1-1
2.85
1-1-0
2.45
0-1-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.59
0-1-1
2.70
Lechia Gdansk
0-1-1
2.76
1-1-0
2.75
0-1-1
2.48
1-0-1
2.42
1-1-0
2.61
—
1-0-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.67
0-0-2
2.57
0-2-0
2.44
2-0-0
2.52
1-1-0
2.46
Legia Warsaw
2-0-0
3.15
1-1-0
3.22
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
3.18
0-1-1
3.01
1-0-1
3.25
—
1-0-1
3.40
1-1-0
3.21
1-0-1
2.99
2-0-0
2.87
1-1-0
3.05
Polonia Bydgoszcz
0-1-1
2.77
0-1-1
2.85
0-0-2
2.53
1-0-1
2.47
1-1-0
2.65
1-0-1
2.80
1-0-1
2.07
—
1-1-0
2.70
0-2-0
2.54
0-0-2
2.68
1-0-1
2.40
Polonia Bytom
0-1-1
2.59
1-1-0
2.79
0-0-2
2.66
1-0-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.64
2-0-0
2.91
0-1-1
2.27
0-1-1
2.76
—
0-2-0
2.47
0-0-2
2.76
0-1-1
2.53
Ruch Chorzow
1-0-1
3.04
1-1-0
2.94
1-1-0
2.85
1-1-0
2.77
1-0-1
2.93
0-2-0
3.03
1-0-1
2.47
0-2-0
2.92
0-2-0
2.99
—
1-0-1
3.05
0-2-0
2.73
Wisla Krakow
1-0-1
3.01
2-0-0
2.92
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.87
0-0-2
2.95
0-0-2
2.60
2-0-0
2.77
2-0-0
2.70
1-0-1
2.42
—
0-1-1
2.67
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2-0-0
2.90
1-0-1
2.90
2-0-0
2.66
1-0-1
2.84
1-1-0
2.76
0-1-1
3.00
0-1-1
2.41
1-0-1
3.07
1-1-0
2.94
0-2-0
2.73
1-1-0
2.80
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.61 +3.5
Allowed 0.53 -3.4
Differential 0.92 +2.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.88%10.61%6.06%5.68%1.14%1.14%37.50%
110.61%9.09%4.55%2.65%0.76%2.27%29.92%
26.06%4.55%3.79%1.14%—1.14%16.67%
35.68%2.65%1.14%———9.47%
41.14%0.76%————1.89%
5+1.14%2.27%1.14%———4.55%
Total37.50%29.92%16.67%9.47%1.89%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.26 +0.00
SD 1.47 1.47 2.20
CV 1.17 1.17 —
Max 9 9 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%—4.55%36.36%
113.64%9.09%9.09%———31.82%
213.64%—4.55%———18.18%
39.09%—————9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total50.00%22.73%18.18%4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 0.95 +0.18
SD 1.17 1.29 2.08
CV 1.03 1.35 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%13.64%4.55%—4.55%4.55%45.45%
19.09%4.55%4.55%9.09%—9.09%36.36%
24.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
3———————
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total36.36%22.73%13.64%9.09%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.86 -0.95
SD 1.34 2.36 2.85
CV 1.48 1.26 —
Max 6 9 +6
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
113.64%4.55%4.55%——4.55%27.27%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
34.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total22.73%40.91%22.73%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.36 +0.36
SD 1.72 1.22 2.24
CV 1.00 0.89 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%—36.36%
14.55%13.64%———4.55%22.73%
24.55%9.09%———9.09%22.73%
39.09%—9.09%———18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%36.36%13.64%4.55%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.68 -0.45
SD 1.15 1.81 2.13
CV 0.94 1.08 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%—4.55%36.36%
1—9.09%4.55%9.09%—4.55%27.27%
213.64%9.09%4.55%———27.27%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%31.82%18.18%13.64%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.59 -0.50
SD 1.02 1.62 2.20
CV 0.93 1.02 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%27.27%—4.55%——50.00%
113.64%9.09%————22.73%
29.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total45.45%45.45%4.55%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 0.68 +0.18
SD 1.04 0.78 1.37
CV 1.20 1.14 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
113.64%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—31.82%
24.55%4.55%—9.09%——18.18%
313.64%—————13.64%
4———————
5+4.55%13.64%————18.18%
Total45.45%31.82%9.09%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 0.95 +1.23
SD 2.20 1.17 2.58
CV 1.01 1.23 —
Max 9 4 +8
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%13.64%9.09%9.09%——50.00%
113.64%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—31.82%
29.09%—4.55%———13.64%
3———————
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total40.91%18.18%27.27%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 1.18 -0.36
SD 1.18 1.22 1.65
CV 1.44 1.03 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%13.64%9.09%4.55%—40.91%
19.09%18.18%4.55%4.55%—4.55%40.91%
2——4.55%———4.55%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%27.27%22.73%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.64 -0.59
SD 1.43 1.68 2.50
CV 1.37 1.03 —
Max 6 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
027.27%—4.55%9.09%——40.91%
14.55%9.09%————13.64%
2——13.64%——4.55%18.18%
313.64%—————13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total45.45%22.73%18.18%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.14 +0.41
SD 1.68 1.49 2.22
CV 1.09 1.31 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%18.18%——36.36%
118.18%4.55%4.55%9.09%——36.36%
29.09%4.55%————13.64%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total36.36%22.73%13.64%27.27%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.32 -0.14
SD 1.44 1.25 2.10
CV 1.21 0.95 —
Max 6 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%9.09%4.55%———31.82%
113.64%13.64%9.09%———36.36%
24.55%13.64%————18.18%
3———————
49.09%—————9.09%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total45.45%36.36%18.18%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 0.73 +0.64
SD 1.56 0.77 1.65
CV 1.14 1.06 —
Max 6 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Legia Warsaw 1554 28 25.07 +2.93 81.0% 13 18 22 25 28 31 35
Ruch Chorzow 1514 25 23.40 +1.60 68.0% 13 17 21 23 26 30 34
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1490 27 22.01 +4.99 93.0% 12 16 19 22 24 29 30
Gwardia Warsaw 1462 25 23.47 +1.53 69.0% 15 18 21 23 26 30 35
Garbarnia Krakow 1458 23 20.87 +2.13 79.0% 13 15 18 21 23 25 33
Lechia Gdansk 1437 23 20.26 +2.74 80.0% 11 14 17 20 23 26 29
Wisla Krakow 1432 22 21.84 +0.16 59.0% 13 15 19 22 25 28 30
Polonia Bydgoszcz 1416 18 20.77 -2.77 24.0% 11 14 19 21 23 26 29
LKS Lodz 1409 21 20.96 +0.04 54.0% 10 15 18 21 23 28 30
Lech Poznan 1405 19 22.31 -3.31 21.0% 10 15 20 23 25 27 32
Polonia Bytom 1391 17 22.83 -5.83 3.0% 15 18 21 23 25 28 33
Gornik Radlin 1390 16 20.21 -4.21 20.0% 11 15 17 20 22 26 27

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 20% * Slight Edge: 20% to 26% * Clear Edge: 26% to 31% * Strong Edge: 31% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+24.24%
Slight Edge
49.24%25.76%25.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge
167 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
085.94500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.61 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.52+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.2 * Runaway: 0.2 and up.
Title-Race Openness
6.6
Wide Open
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
29%
Legia Warsaw, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.100.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.02 * Some Luck: 3.02 to 4.53 * Lucky: 4.53 to 6.04 * Wild Swing: 6.04 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.5 * Close: 2.5 to 3.74 * Off: 3.74 to 4.99 * Way Off: 4.99 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.17 points
Some Luck
03.779
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.17
Pinpoint
03.128
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
93.00%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
3.00%
Polonia Bytom
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.11 * Even: 0.11 to 0.13 * Top-Heavy: 0.13 to 0.16 * Lopsided: 0.16 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.2 * Moderate Separation: 1.2 to 1.45 * Strong Separation: 1.45 to 1.75 * Wide Separation: 1.75 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 62.5% * Clear Edge: 62.5% to 66.5% * Wide Edge: 66.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80% * Clear Edge: 80% to 84.5% * Strong Edge: 84.5% to 89% * Dominant: 89% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 61% * Some Drama: 61% to 65.5% * Frequent: 65.5% to 67.5% * Very Frequent: 67.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 12.5% * Occasional: 12.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17% * Very Frequent: 17% and up.
Gini Index
0.10
Balanced
00.110.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 51.21
0.97
Coin-Flip Parity
0.71.21.451.752.5
Interquartile Edge
59%
Even
50%60%66.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
72%
Even
50%74%100%
Close Games
Expected
58%
Few
0%50%100%
Blowouts
Expected
24%
Very Frequent
0%26%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.52 * Lopsided: 0.52 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.5 * Strong Carryover: 0.5 to 0.62 * Near-Lock: 0.62 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 19.5% * Shaky Favorites: 19.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.45
Notable Separation
00.340.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.77
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
-0.15
Weak Carryover
00.380.50.621
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Upset-Prone
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Very Shaky
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.61
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.08
Overconfident
01.002.19652
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.090
Well Within Noise
00.1140.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Legia Warsaw29.00%23.00%10.00%6.00%6.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec8.00%6.00%10.00%7.00%18.00%12.00%8.00%5.00%6.00%7.00%9.00%4.00%
Ruch Chorzow7.00%21.00%12.00%10.00%5.00%15.00%8.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%7.00%3.00%
Gwardia Warsaw19.00%5.00%10.00%12.00%9.00%5.00%14.00%6.00%4.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%
Garbarnia Krakow2.00%5.00%10.00%7.00%11.00%5.00%8.00%10.00%12.00%14.00%7.00%9.00%
Lechia Gdansk4.00%2.00%6.00%7.00%10.00%7.00%7.00%8.00%12.00%10.00%16.00%11.00%
Wisla Krakow5.00%11.00%9.00%9.00%3.00%9.00%8.00%11.00%11.00%9.00%9.00%6.00%
LKS Lodz8.00%5.00%3.00%5.00%5.00%10.00%9.00%10.00%9.00%10.00%11.00%15.00%
Lech Poznan5.00%9.00%9.00%16.00%8.00%7.00%8.00%6.00%9.00%8.00%5.00%10.00%
Polonia Bydgoszcz3.00%2.00%6.00%5.00%9.00%10.00%11.00%9.00%12.00%11.00%9.00%13.00%
Polonia Bytom8.00%7.00%9.00%11.00%9.00%11.00%11.00%9.00%8.00%8.00%7.00%2.00%
Gornik Radlin2.00%4.00%6.00%5.00%7.00%4.00%4.00%17.00%8.00%11.00%10.00%22.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Legia Warsaw 94.00% 6.00%
Gwardia Warsaw 91.00% 9.00%
Polonia Bytom 91.00% 9.00%
Ruch Chorzow 90.00% 10.00%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 87.00% 13.00%
Lech Poznan 85.00% 15.00%
Wisla Krakow 85.00% 15.00%
Garbarnia Krakow 84.00% 16.00%
Polonia Bydgoszcz 78.00% 22.00%
LKS Lodz 74.00% 26.00%
Lechia Gdansk 73.00% 27.00%
Gornik Radlin 68.00% 32.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1955-03-20 Gwardia Warsaw W 2-043.0 1386 1458 44.70% 27.51% 27.79%+0.09 +9.8 2
1955-03-20 @ Garbarnia Krakow L 0-243.0 1458 1386 27.79% 27.51% 44.70%-0.09 -9.8 0
1955-03-20 Lech Poznan D 0-055.0 1455 1449 53.79% 26.90% 19.31%+0.56 -1.4 1
1955-03-20 @ Legia Warsaw D 0-055.0 1449 1455 19.31% 26.90% 53.79%-0.56 +1.4 1
1955-03-20 Wisla Krakow W 1-045.1 1450 1457 52.32% 27.07% 20.61%+0.47 +4.1 2
1955-03-20 @ LKS Lodz L 0-145.1 1457 1450 20.61% 27.07% 52.32%-0.47 -4.1 0
1955-03-20 Ruch Chorzow D 0-056.2 1459 1483 50.54% 27.23% 22.23%+0.38 -1.1 1
1955-03-20 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz D 0-056.2 1483 1459 22.23% 27.23% 50.54%-0.38 +1.1 1
1955-03-20 Lechia Gdansk W 1-041.6 1471 1398 60.07% 25.80% 14.13%+0.95 +3.0 2
1955-03-20 @ Polonia Bytom L 0-141.6 1398 1471 14.13% 25.80% 60.07%-0.95 -3.0 0
1955-03-20 Gornik Radlin W 4-039.3 1441 1451 52.10% 27.09% 20.82%+0.46 +14.9 2
1955-03-20 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec L 0-439.3 1451 1441 20.82% 27.09% 52.10%-0.46 -14.9 0
1955-03-27 Polonia Bydgoszcz W 2-042.7 1436 1458 50.60% 27.22% 22.17%+0.38 +8.2 2
1955-03-27 @ Gornik Radlin L 0-242.7 1458 1436 22.17% 27.22% 50.60%-0.38 -8.2 1
1955-03-27 Polonia Bytom W 7-142.5 1448 1474 50.25% 27.25% 22.50%+0.36 +19.1 2
1955-03-27 @ Gwardia Warsaw L 1-742.5 1474 1448 22.50% 27.25% 50.25%-0.36 -19.1 2
1955-03-27 Zaglebie Sosnowiec D 0-055.0 1450 1456 52.43% 27.06% 20.52%+0.48 -1.3 2
1955-03-27 @ Lech Poznan D 0-055.0 1456 1450 20.52% 27.06% 52.43%-0.48 +1.3 3
1955-03-27 LKS Lodz W 2-042.7 1395 1454 46.32% 27.47% 26.21%+0.16 +9.4 2
1955-03-27 @ Lechia Gdansk L 0-242.7 1454 1395 26.21% 27.47% 46.32%-0.16 -9.4 2
1955-03-27 Garbarnia Krakow W 3-037.1 1484 1396 61.44% 25.46% 13.10%+1.04 +7.6 3
1955-03-27 @ Ruch Chorzow L 0-337.1 1396 1484 13.10% 25.46% 61.44%-1.04 -7.6 2
1955-03-27 Legia Warsaw L 0-350.4 1453 1454 52.99% 26.99% 20.02%+0.51 -23.7 0
1955-03-27 @ Wisla Krakow W 3-050.4 1454 1453 20.02% 26.99% 52.99%-0.51 +23.7 3
1955-04-03 Gornik Radlin W 1-044.6 1388 1444 46.69% 27.45% 25.85%+0.18 +4.9 4
1955-04-03 @ Garbarnia Krakow L 0-144.6 1444 1388 25.85% 27.45% 46.69%-0.18 -4.9 2
1955-04-03 Lechia Gdansk L 0-155.8 1478 1405 60.14% 25.78% 14.08%+0.95 -9.7 3
1955-04-03 @ Legia Warsaw W 1-055.8 1405 1478 14.08% 25.78% 60.14%-0.95 +9.7 4
1955-04-03 Gwardia Warsaw W 3-255.2 1445 1467 50.66% 27.22% 22.12%+0.38 +3.9 4
1955-04-03 @ LKS Lodz L 2-355.2 1467 1445 22.12% 27.22% 50.66%-0.38 -3.9 2
1955-04-03 Lech Poznan W 1-044.6 1450 1449 53.21% 26.97% 19.82%+0.52 +4.0 3
1955-04-03 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz L 0-144.6 1449 1450 19.82% 26.97% 53.21%-0.52 -4.0 2
1955-04-03 Ruch Chorzow D 2-265.7 1454 1491 48.96% 27.34% 23.70%+0.29 -0.7 3
1955-04-03 @ Polonia Bytom D 2-265.7 1491 1454 23.70% 27.34% 48.96%-0.29 +0.7 4
1955-04-03 Wisla Krakow W 1-043.4 1458 1429 55.98% 26.59% 17.43%+0.68 +3.6 5
1955-04-03 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec L 0-143.4 1429 1458 17.43% 26.59% 55.98%-0.68 -3.6 0
1955-04-17 Polonia Bytom D 0-054.5 1439 1454 51.48% 27.15% 21.37%+0.43 -1.2 3
1955-04-17 @ Gornik Radlin D 0-054.5 1454 1439 21.37% 27.15% 51.48%-0.43 +1.2 4
1955-04-17 Legia Warsaw L 1-553.6 1463 1468 52.55% 27.04% 20.41%+0.49 -25.6 2
1955-04-17 @ Gwardia Warsaw W 5-153.6 1468 1463 20.41% 27.04% 52.55%-0.49 +25.6 5
1955-04-17 Garbarnia Krakow W 2-038.8 1445 1393 58.24% 26.19% 15.57%+0.83 +6.1 4
1955-04-17 @ Lech Poznan L 0-238.8 1393 1445 15.57% 26.19% 58.24%-0.83 -6.1 4
1955-04-17 Zaglebie Sosnowiec D 0-053.9 1415 1461 47.81% 27.40% 24.78%+0.24 -0.9 5
1955-04-17 @ Lechia Gdansk D 0-053.9 1461 1415 24.78% 27.40% 47.81%-0.24 +0.9 6
1955-04-17 LKS Lodz W 1-044.7 1492 1449 57.43% 26.35% 16.23%+0.77 +3.4 6
1955-04-17 @ Ruch Chorzow L 0-144.7 1449 1492 16.23% 26.35% 57.43%-0.77 -3.4 4
1955-04-17 Polonia Bydgoszcz W 2-042.5 1426 1454 49.96% 27.27% 22.77%+0.35 +8.4 2
1955-04-17 @ Wisla Krakow L 0-242.5 1454 1426 22.77% 27.27% 49.96%-0.35 -8.4 3
1955-04-24 Wisla Krakow L 0-150.8 1387 1434 47.73% 27.41% 24.86%+0.23 -7.9 4
1955-04-24 @ Garbarnia Krakow W 1-050.8 1434 1387 24.86% 27.41% 47.73%-0.23 +7.9 4
1955-04-24 Ruch Chorzow W 3-043.5 1494 1495 52.91% 27.00% 20.09%+0.51 +11.1 7
1955-04-24 @ Legia Warsaw L 0-343.5 1495 1494 20.09% 27.00% 52.91%-0.51 -11.1 6
1955-04-24 Gornik Radlin D 0-054.3 1445 1438 53.89% 26.89% 19.23%+0.56 -1.4 5
1955-04-24 @ LKS Lodz D 0-054.3 1438 1445 19.23% 26.89% 53.89%-0.56 +1.4 4
1955-04-24 Lechia Gdansk W 1-042.4 1446 1414 56.34% 26.53% 17.12%+0.71 +3.5 5
1955-04-24 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz L 0-142.4 1414 1446 17.12% 26.53% 56.34%-0.71 -3.5 5
1955-04-24 Gwardia Warsaw W 1-043.9 1462 1437 55.63% 26.65% 17.72%+0.66 +3.6 8
1955-04-24 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec L 0-143.9 1437 1462 17.72% 26.65% 55.63%-0.66 -3.6 2
1955-05-02 Garbarnia Krakow L 0-152.4 1410 1379 56.26% 26.55% 17.19%+0.70 -9.2 5
1955-05-02 @ Lechia Gdansk W 1-052.4 1379 1410 17.19% 26.55% 56.26%-0.70 +9.2 6
1955-05-08 Legia Warsaw D 1-160.6 1439 1505 45.49% 27.49% 27.02%+0.12 -0.6 5
1955-05-08 @ Gornik Radlin D 1-160.6 1505 1439 27.02% 27.49% 45.49%-0.12 +0.6 8
1955-05-08 Polonia Bydgoszcz W 4-144.6 1434 1449 51.41% 27.15% 21.44%+0.42 +9.8 4
1955-05-08 @ Gwardia Warsaw L 1-444.6 1449 1434 21.44% 27.15% 51.41%-0.42 -9.8 5
1955-05-08 LKS Lodz D 1-159.1 1451 1444 53.82% 26.90% 19.28%+0.56 -1.3 5
1955-05-08 @ Lech Poznan D 1-159.1 1444 1451 19.28% 26.90% 53.82%-0.56 +1.3 6
1955-05-08 Zaglebie Sosnowiec D 0-056.6 1484 1466 55.01% 26.74% 18.25%+0.63 -1.5 7
1955-05-08 @ Ruch Chorzow D 0-056.6 1466 1484 18.25% 26.74% 55.01%-0.63 +1.5 9
1955-05-08 Polonia Bytom W 3-040.6 1442 1455 51.69% 27.13% 21.18%+0.44 +11.5 6
1955-05-08 @ Wisla Krakow L 0-340.6 1455 1442 21.18% 27.13% 51.69%-0.44 -11.5 4
1955-05-12 Gwardia Warsaw D 0-055.9 1483 1444 57.04% 26.41% 16.54%+0.75 -1.7 8
1955-05-12 @ Ruch Chorzow D 0-055.9 1444 1483 16.54% 26.41% 57.04%-0.75 +1.7 5
1955-05-14 Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 1-046.0 1505 1467 56.95% 26.43% 16.62%+0.74 +3.4 10
1955-05-14 @ Legia Warsaw L 0-146.0 1467 1505 16.62% 26.43% 56.95%-0.74 -3.4 9
1955-05-14 LKS Lodz L 1-259.1 1443 1445 52.89% 27.01% 20.11%+0.50 -8.2 4
1955-05-14 @ Polonia Bytom W 2-159.1 1445 1443 20.11% 27.01% 52.89%-0.50 +8.2 8
1955-05-15 Gornik Radlin W 2-041.4 1450 1439 54.25% 26.84% 18.90%+0.58 +7.2 7
1955-05-15 @ Lech Poznan L 0-241.4 1439 1450 18.90% 26.84% 54.25%-0.58 -7.2 5
1955-05-15 Garbarnia Krakow L 0-349.4 1439 1388 58.17% 26.21% 15.63%+0.82 -25.8 5
1955-05-15 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz W 3-049.4 1388 1439 15.63% 26.21% 58.17%-0.82 +25.8 8
1955-05-15 Lechia Gdansk L 1-357.0 1454 1401 58.31% 26.18% 15.51%+0.83 -15.5 6
1955-05-15 @ Wisla Krakow W 3-157.0 1401 1454 15.51% 26.18% 58.31%-0.83 +15.4 7
1955-06-01 Lech Poznan W 3-147.6 1435 1457 50.70% 27.22% 22.08%+0.39 +7.1 6
1955-06-01 @ Polonia Bytom L 1-347.6 1457 1435 22.08% 27.22% 50.70%-0.39 -7.1 7
1955-06-05 Gwardia Warsaw L 1-259.5 1450 1445 53.57% 26.93% 19.50%+0.54 -8.2 7
1955-06-05 @ Lech Poznan W 2-159.5 1445 1450 19.50% 26.93% 53.57%-0.54 +8.2 7
1955-06-05 Gornik Radlin D 0-053.2 1416 1431 51.47% 27.15% 21.38%+0.43 -1.2 8
1955-06-05 @ Lechia Gdansk D 0-053.2 1431 1416 21.38% 27.15% 51.47%-0.43 +1.2 6
1955-06-05 Polonia Bydgoszcz W 3-038.0 1453 1413 57.12% 26.40% 16.48%+0.75 +9.3 10
1955-06-05 @ LKS Lodz L 0-338.0 1413 1453 16.48% 26.40% 57.12%-0.75 -9.3 5
1955-06-05 Zaglebie Sosnowiec D 1-159.3 1442 1464 50.74% 27.21% 22.05%+0.39 -1.0 7
1955-06-05 @ Polonia Bytom D 1-159.3 1464 1442 22.05% 27.21% 50.74%-0.39 +1.0 10
1955-06-05 Ruch Chorzow W 6-246.6 1438 1481 48.26% 27.38% 24.36%+0.26 +11.9 8
1955-06-05 @ Wisla Krakow L 2-646.6 1481 1438 24.36% 27.38% 48.26%-0.26 -11.9 8
1955-06-09 Polonia Bytom W 1-044.2 1414 1441 50.07% 27.27% 22.66%+0.35 +4.5 10
1955-06-09 @ Garbarnia Krakow L 0-144.2 1441 1414 22.66% 27.27% 50.07%-0.35 -4.5 7
1955-06-09 Wisla Krakow L 1-258.5 1433 1450 51.17% 27.18% 21.66%+0.41 -7.9 6
1955-06-09 @ Gornik Radlin W 2-158.5 1450 1433 21.66% 27.18% 51.17%-0.41 +7.9 10
1955-06-09 Lechia Gdansk W 1-042.5 1453 1415 56.96% 26.43% 16.61%+0.74 +3.4 9
1955-06-09 @ Gwardia Warsaw L 0-142.5 1415 1453 16.61% 26.43% 56.96%-0.74 -3.4 8
1955-06-09 Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 2-150.6 1463 1465 52.86% 27.01% 20.13%+0.50 +3.8 12
1955-06-09 @ LKS Lodz L 1-250.6 1465 1463 20.13% 27.01% 52.86%-0.50 -3.8 10
1955-06-09 Legia Warsaw W 2-046.4 1404 1509 40.38% 27.52% 32.10%-0.11 +11.0 7
1955-06-09 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz L 0-246.4 1509 1404 32.10% 27.52% 40.38%+0.11 -11.0 10
1955-06-09 Lech Poznan L 0-351.3 1469 1442 55.91% 26.60% 17.49%+0.68 -24.9 8
1955-06-09 @ Ruch Chorzow W 3-051.3 1442 1469 17.49% 26.60% 55.91%-0.68 +24.9 9
1955-06-12 Gwardia Warsaw L 1-355.5 1425 1457 49.49% 27.31% 23.20%+0.32 -13.3 6
1955-06-12 @ Gornik Radlin W 3-155.5 1457 1425 23.20% 27.31% 49.49%-0.32 +13.3 11
1955-06-12 Ruch Chorzow D 2-262.7 1412 1444 49.49% 27.31% 23.21%+0.32 -0.7 9
1955-06-12 @ Lechia Gdansk D 2-262.7 1444 1412 23.21% 27.31% 49.49%-0.32 +0.7 9
1955-06-12 LKS Lodz L 2-367.1 1498 1467 56.28% 26.54% 17.18%+0.70 -8.2 10
1955-06-12 @ Legia Warsaw W 3-267.1 1467 1498 17.18% 26.54% 56.28%-0.70 +8.2 14
1955-06-12 Polonia Bydgoszcz D 1-157.8 1437 1415 55.34% 26.69% 17.97%+0.65 -1.4 8
1955-06-12 @ Polonia Bytom D 1-157.8 1415 1437 17.97% 26.69% 55.34%-0.65 +1.4 8
1955-06-12 Lech Poznan W 3-148.2 1458 1466 52.17% 27.08% 20.75%+0.46 +6.8 12
1955-06-12 @ Wisla Krakow L 1-348.2 1466 1458 20.75% 27.08% 52.17%-0.46 -6.8 9
1955-06-12 Garbarnia Krakow W 2-147.7 1461 1419 57.36% 26.36% 16.28%+0.77 +3.2 12
1955-06-12 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec L 1-247.7 1419 1461 16.28% 26.36% 57.36%-0.77 -3.2 10
1955-06-19 LKS Lodz D 1-158.7 1415 1475 46.25% 27.47% 26.28%+0.16 -0.7 11
1955-06-19 @ Garbarnia Krakow D 1-158.7 1475 1415 26.28% 27.47% 46.25%-0.16 +0.7 15
1955-06-19 Ruch Chorzow D 2-262.7 1411 1445 49.35% 27.32% 23.34%+0.31 -0.7 7
1955-06-19 @ Gornik Radlin D 2-262.7 1445 1411 23.34% 27.32% 49.35%-0.31 +0.7 10
1955-06-19 Wisla Krakow W 3-041.3 1470 1465 53.66% 26.92% 19.43%+0.55 +10.8 13
1955-06-19 @ Gwardia Warsaw L 0-341.3 1465 1470 19.43% 26.92% 53.66%-0.55 -10.8 12
1955-06-19 Lech Poznan W 3-041.0 1411 1460 47.57% 27.42% 25.02%+0.22 +13.2 11
1955-06-19 @ Lechia Gdansk L 0-341.0 1460 1411 25.02% 27.42% 47.57%-0.22 -13.2 9
1955-06-19 Legia Warsaw L 0-349.3 1435 1490 46.90% 27.45% 25.66%+0.19 -21.3 8
1955-06-19 @ Polonia Bytom W 3-049.3 1490 1435 25.66% 27.45% 46.90%-0.19 +21.3 12
1955-06-19 Polonia Bydgoszcz W 2-147.6 1464 1416 57.86% 26.27% 15.88%+0.80 +3.1 14
1955-06-19 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec L 1-247.6 1416 1464 15.88% 26.27% 57.86%-0.80 -3.1 8
1955-07-03 Garbarnia Krakow W 5-037.2 1511 1415 62.13% 25.27% 12.60%+1.09 +11.7 14
1955-07-03 @ Legia Warsaw L 0-537.2 1415 1511 12.60% 25.27% 62.13%-1.09 -11.7 11
1955-08-17 Lech Poznan W 2-042.1 1403 1447 48.16% 27.39% 24.45%+0.25 +8.9 13
1955-08-17 @ Garbarnia Krakow L 0-242.1 1447 1403 24.45% 27.39% 48.16%-0.25 -8.9 9
1955-08-17 Gwardia Warsaw L 2-368.8 1523 1481 57.29% 26.37% 16.34%+0.77 -8.3 14
1955-08-17 @ Legia Warsaw W 3-268.8 1481 1523 16.34% 26.37% 57.29%-0.77 +8.3 15
1955-08-17 Ruch Chorzow D 0-055.6 1475 1446 56.14% 26.57% 17.29%+0.69 -1.6 16
1955-08-17 @ LKS Lodz D 0-055.6 1446 1475 17.29% 26.57% 56.14%-0.69 +1.6 11
1955-08-17 Wisla Krakow L 0-152.3 1413 1454 48.51% 27.37% 24.13%+0.27 -8.0 8
1955-08-17 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz W 1-052.3 1454 1413 24.13% 27.37% 48.51%-0.27 +8.0 14
1955-08-17 Gornik Radlin W 6-036.9 1414 1411 53.46% 26.94% 19.60%+0.54 +20.7 10
1955-08-17 @ Polonia Bytom L 0-636.9 1411 1414 19.60% 26.94% 53.46%-0.54 -20.7 7
1955-08-17 Lechia Gdansk L 0-252.9 1467 1424 57.41% 26.35% 16.24%+0.77 -17.6 14
1955-08-17 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 2-052.9 1424 1467 16.24% 26.35% 57.41%-0.77 +17.6 13
1955-08-21 Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 2-149.9 1390 1450 46.20% 27.47% 26.33%+0.16 +4.7 9
1955-08-21 @ Gornik Radlin L 1-249.9 1450 1390 26.33% 27.47% 46.20%-0.16 -4.7 14
1955-08-21 Garbarnia Krakow D 2-264.6 1489 1412 60.54% 25.68% 13.78%+0.98 -1.3 16
1955-08-21 @ Gwardia Warsaw D 2-264.6 1412 1489 13.78% 25.68% 60.54%-0.98 +1.3 14
1955-08-21 Legia Warsaw W 2-154.1 1438 1514 44.07% 27.52% 28.41%+0.06 +5.0 11
1955-08-21 @ Lech Poznan L 1-254.1 1514 1438 28.41% 27.52% 44.07%-0.06 -5.0 14
1955-08-21 Polonia Bytom L 0-154.1 1442 1435 53.82% 26.90% 19.28%+0.56 -8.8 13
1955-08-21 @ Lechia Gdansk W 1-054.1 1435 1442 19.28% 26.90% 53.82%-0.56 +8.8 12
1955-08-21 Polonia Bydgoszcz D 0-053.6 1447 1405 57.30% 26.37% 16.33%+0.77 -1.7 12
1955-08-21 @ Ruch Chorzow D 0-053.6 1405 1447 16.33% 26.37% 57.30%-0.77 +1.7 9
1955-08-21 LKS Lodz D 1-160.4 1462 1474 51.81% 27.12% 21.07%+0.44 -1.1 15
1955-08-21 @ Wisla Krakow D 1-160.4 1474 1462 21.07% 27.12% 51.81%-0.44 +1.1 17
1955-08-28 Wisla Krakow W 2-043.2 1509 1461 57.92% 26.25% 15.83%+0.81 +6.2 16
1955-08-28 @ Legia Warsaw L 0-243.2 1461 1509 15.83% 26.25% 57.92%-0.81 -6.2 15
1955-08-28 Lechia Gdansk W 3-039.2 1475 1433 57.30% 26.37% 16.33%+0.77 +9.2 19
1955-08-28 @ LKS Lodz L 0-339.2 1433 1475 16.33% 26.37% 57.30%-0.77 -9.3 13
1955-08-28 Gwardia Warsaw L 1-356.8 1444 1488 48.08% 27.39% 24.53%+0.25 -13.0 12
1955-08-28 @ Polonia Bytom W 3-156.8 1488 1444 24.53% 27.39% 48.08%-0.25 +13.0 18
1955-08-28 Lech Poznan W 1-044.2 1445 1443 53.33% 26.96% 19.72%+0.53 +4.0 16
1955-08-28 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec L 0-144.2 1443 1445 19.72% 26.96% 53.33%-0.53 -4.0 11
1955-09-04 Garbarnia Krakow W 1-042.7 1395 1413 51.06% 27.19% 21.75%+0.40 +4.3 11
1955-09-04 @ Gornik Radlin L 0-142.7 1413 1395 21.75% 27.19% 51.06%-0.40 -4.3 14
1955-09-04 LKS Lodz W 1-047.2 1501 1484 54.83% 26.76% 18.40%+0.62 +3.7 20
1955-09-04 @ Gwardia Warsaw L 0-147.2 1484 1501 18.40% 26.76% 54.83%-0.62 -3.8 19
1955-09-04 Polonia Bydgoszcz D 2-262.7 1439 1407 56.32% 26.54% 17.15%+0.71 -1.1 12
1955-09-04 @ Lech Poznan D 2-262.7 1407 1439 17.15% 26.54% 56.32%-0.71 +1.1 10
1955-09-04 Legia Warsaw L 0-152.8 1424 1516 42.12% 27.53% 30.35%-0.03 -7.1 13
1955-09-04 @ Lechia Gdansk W 1-052.8 1516 1424 30.35% 27.53% 42.12%+0.03 +7.1 18
1955-09-04 Zaglebie Sosnowiec D 0-055.0 1455 1449 53.70% 26.91% 19.39%+0.55 -1.4 16
1955-09-04 @ Wisla Krakow D 0-055.0 1449 1455 19.39% 26.91% 53.70%-0.55 +1.4 17
1955-09-25 LKS Lodz W 1-046.9 1399 1480 43.45% 27.53% 29.02%+0.03 +5.4 13
1955-09-25 @ Gornik Radlin L 0-146.9 1480 1399 29.02% 27.53% 43.45%-0.03 -5.4 19
1955-09-25 Zaglebie Sosnowiec L 0-255.4 1505 1450 58.48% 26.14% 15.38%+0.84 -17.9 20
1955-09-25 @ Gwardia Warsaw W 2-055.4 1450 1505 15.38% 26.14% 58.48%-0.84 +17.9 19
1955-09-25 Polonia Bytom W 2-041.0 1438 1431 53.81% 26.90% 19.29%+0.56 +7.4 14
1955-09-25 @ Lech Poznan L 0-241.0 1431 1438 19.29% 26.90% 53.81%-0.56 -7.4 12
1955-09-25 Polonia Bydgoszcz W 1-042.2 1417 1408 53.99% 26.88% 19.13%+0.57 +3.9 15
1955-09-25 @ Lechia Gdansk L 0-142.2 1408 1417 19.13% 26.88% 53.99%-0.57 -3.9 10
1955-09-25 Legia Warsaw W 4-149.8 1445 1523 44.00% 27.52% 28.48%+0.05 +12.3 14
1955-09-25 @ Ruch Chorzow L 1-449.8 1523 1445 28.48% 27.52% 44.00%-0.05 -12.3 18
1955-09-25 Garbarnia Krakow L 0-350.2 1453 1409 57.55% 26.32% 16.12%+0.78 -25.6 16
1955-09-25 @ Wisla Krakow W 3-050.2 1409 1453 16.12% 26.32% 57.55%-0.78 +25.6 16
1955-09-29 Ruch Chorzow W 2-042.7 1434 1458 50.53% 27.23% 22.24%+0.38 +8.3 18
1955-09-29 @ Garbarnia Krakow L 0-242.7 1458 1434 22.24% 27.23% 50.53%-0.38 -8.3 14
1955-10-02 Lechia Gdansk D 0-053.8 1443 1421 55.37% 26.69% 17.94%+0.65 -1.5 19
1955-10-02 @ Garbarnia Krakow D 0-053.8 1421 1443 17.94% 26.69% 55.37%-0.65 +1.6 16
1955-10-02 Gornik Radlin W 9-138.0 1510 1404 62.93% 25.04% 12.03%+1.15 +14.4 20
1955-10-02 @ Legia Warsaw L 1-938.0 1404 1510 12.03% 25.04% 62.93%-1.15 -14.4 13
1955-10-02 Lech Poznan W 2-041.9 1475 1445 56.17% 26.56% 17.27%+0.70 +6.7 21
1955-10-02 @ LKS Lodz L 0-241.9 1445 1475 17.27% 26.56% 56.17%-0.70 -6.7 14
1955-10-02 Wisla Krakow L 0-250.5 1423 1428 52.61% 27.04% 20.35%+0.49 -16.2 12
1955-10-02 @ Polonia Bytom W 2-050.5 1428 1423 20.35% 27.04% 52.61%-0.49 +16.2 18
1955-10-02 Ruch Chorzow D 1-159.9 1468 1449 55.03% 26.73% 18.23%+0.63 -1.4 20
1955-10-02 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec D 1-159.9 1449 1468 18.23% 26.73% 55.03%-0.63 +1.4 15
1955-10-09 Polonia Bytom FL51.6 1482 1407 60.29% 25.74% 13.96%+0.96 +0.0 21
1955-10-09 @ LKS Lodz FW51.6 1407 1482 13.96% 25.74% 60.29%-0.96 +0.0 14
1955-10-09 Polonia Bydgoszcz D 0-053.3 1441 1404 56.83% 26.45% 16.72%+0.74 -1.7 20
1955-10-09 @ Garbarnia Krakow D 0-053.3 1404 1441 16.72% 26.45% 56.83%-0.74 +1.7 11
1955-10-09 Lech Poznan W 6-038.8 1390 1438 47.60% 27.41% 24.98%+0.23 +25.2 15
1955-10-09 @ Gornik Radlin L 0-638.8 1438 1390 24.98% 27.41% 47.60%-0.23 -25.2 14
1955-10-09 Wisla Krakow W 2-149.3 1422 1444 50.69% 27.22% 22.10%+0.38 +4.1 18
1955-10-09 @ Lechia Gdansk L 1-249.3 1444 1422 22.10% 27.22% 50.69%-0.38 -4.1 18
1955-10-16 Lechia Gdansk D 1-157.4 1413 1426 51.65% 27.13% 21.22%+0.44 -1.1 15
1955-10-16 @ Lech Poznan D 1-157.4 1426 1413 21.22% 27.13% 51.65%-0.44 +1.1 19
1955-10-16 Polonia Bytom D 0-056.6 1525 1407 63.86% 24.76% 11.38%+1.22 -2.3 21
1955-10-16 @ Legia Warsaw D 0-056.6 1407 1525 11.38% 24.76% 63.86%-1.22 +2.3 15
1955-10-16 Garbarnia Krakow L 0-451.0 1482 1439 57.34% 26.36% 16.30%+0.77 -33.3 21
1955-10-16 @ LKS Lodz W 4-051.0 1439 1482 16.30% 26.36% 57.34%-0.77 +33.3 22
1955-10-16 Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 1-045.9 1406 1467 46.06% 27.48% 26.47%+0.15 +5.0 13
1955-10-16 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz L 0-145.9 1467 1406 26.47% 27.48% 46.06%-0.15 -5.0 20
1955-10-16 Gornik Radlin W 5-140.6 1451 1415 56.71% 26.47% 16.82%+0.73 +10.3 17
1955-10-16 @ Ruch Chorzow L 1-540.6 1415 1451 16.82% 26.47% 56.71%-0.73 -10.3 15
1955-10-16 Gwardia Warsaw W 1-047.2 1440 1487 47.76% 27.41% 24.83%+0.23 +4.8 20
1955-10-16 @ Wisla Krakow L 0-147.2 1487 1440 24.83% 27.41% 47.76%-0.23 -4.8 20
1955-10-20 Polonia Bytom D 1-158.5 1461 1409 58.23% 26.19% 15.57%+0.83 -1.6 18
1955-10-20 @ Ruch Chorzow D 1-158.5 1409 1461 15.57% 26.19% 58.23%-0.83 +1.6 16
1955-10-20 Gwardia Warsaw L 0-152.0 1411 1482 44.78% 27.51% 27.71%+0.09 -7.5 13
1955-10-20 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz W 1-052.0 1482 1411 27.71% 27.51% 44.78%-0.09 +7.5 22
1955-10-23 Legia Warsaw L 0-156.4 1473 1522 47.44% 27.42% 25.14%+0.22 -7.9 22
1955-10-23 @ Garbarnia Krakow W 1-056.4 1522 1473 25.14% 27.42% 47.44%-0.22 +7.9 23
1955-10-23 Lechia Gdansk L 0-151.9 1405 1427 50.60% 27.22% 22.17%+0.38 -8.3 15
1955-10-23 @ Gornik Radlin W 1-051.9 1427 1405 22.17% 27.22% 50.60%-0.38 +8.3 21
1955-10-23 Lech Poznan L 1-261.5 1490 1412 60.55% 25.68% 13.77%+0.98 -9.2 22
1955-10-23 @ Gwardia Warsaw W 2-161.5 1412 1490 13.77% 25.68% 60.55%-0.98 +9.2 17
1955-10-23 LKS Lodz W 5-247.3 1403 1448 48.00% 27.40% 24.60%+0.25 +9.5 15
1955-10-23 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz L 2-547.3 1448 1403 24.60% 27.40% 48.00%-0.25 -9.5 21
1955-10-23 Polonia Bytom W 4-036.9 1462 1411 58.15% 26.21% 15.64%+0.82 +11.6 22
1955-10-23 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec L 0-436.9 1411 1462 15.64% 26.21% 58.15%-0.82 -11.6 16
1955-10-30 Gornik Radlin D 0-052.3 1413 1396 54.80% 26.77% 18.43%+0.61 -1.5 16
1955-10-30 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz D 0-052.3 1396 1413 18.43% 26.77% 54.80%-0.61 +1.5 16
1955-11-06 Ruch Chorzow L 1-550.9 1421 1460 48.79% 27.35% 23.86%+0.29 -24.0 17
1955-11-06 @ Lech Poznan W 5-150.9 1460 1421 23.86% 27.35% 48.79%-0.29 +24.0 20
1955-11-06 Gwardia Warsaw D 1-159.6 1436 1480 48.04% 27.39% 24.56%+0.25 -0.8 22
1955-11-06 @ Lechia Gdansk D 1-159.6 1480 1436 24.56% 27.39% 48.04%-0.25 +0.8 23
1955-11-06 Garbarnia Krakow D 1-158.0 1399 1465 45.47% 27.49% 27.04%+0.12 -0.6 17
1955-11-06 @ Polonia Bytom D 1-158.0 1465 1399 27.04% 27.49% 45.47%-0.12 +0.6 23
1955-11-06 Gornik Radlin W 1-041.5 1445 1398 57.76% 26.28% 15.95%+0.80 +3.3 22
1955-11-06 @ Wisla Krakow L 0-141.5 1398 1445 15.95% 26.28% 57.76%-0.80 -3.3 16
1955-11-06 LKS Lodz W 6-243.8 1473 1439 56.60% 26.49% 16.91%+0.72 +8.8 24
1955-11-06 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec L 2-643.8 1439 1473 16.91% 26.49% 56.60%-0.72 -8.8 21
1955-11-08 Polonia Bydgoszcz W 2-147.8 1530 1411 63.96% 24.72% 11.32%+1.23 +2.3 25
1955-11-08 @ Legia Warsaw L 1-247.8 1411 1530 11.32% 24.72% 63.96%-1.23 -2.3 16
1955-11-09 Ruch Chorzow L 0-352.4 1481 1484 52.82% 27.01% 20.16%+0.50 -23.7 23
1955-11-09 @ Gwardia Warsaw W 3-052.4 1484 1481 20.16% 27.01% 52.82%-0.50 +23.7 22
1955-11-13 Zaglebie Sosnowiec L 1-260.7 1466 1482 51.27% 27.17% 21.56%+0.42 -7.9 23
1955-11-13 @ Garbarnia Krakow W 2-160.7 1482 1466 21.56% 27.17% 51.27%-0.42 +7.9 26
1955-11-13 Gornik Radlin W 3-143.8 1457 1395 59.24% 25.98% 14.77%+0.89 +5.0 25
1955-11-13 @ Gwardia Warsaw L 1-343.8 1395 1457 14.77% 25.98% 59.24%-0.89 -5.0 16
1955-11-13 Wisla Krakow W 3-147.2 1397 1448 47.30% 27.43% 25.27%+0.21 +7.9 19
1955-11-13 @ Lech Poznan L 1-347.2 1448 1397 25.27% 27.43% 47.30%-0.21 -7.9 22
1955-11-13 Legia Warsaw L 1-551.3 1430 1533 40.67% 27.52% 31.81%-0.10 -20.6 21
1955-11-13 @ LKS Lodz W 5-151.3 1533 1430 31.81% 27.52% 40.67%+0.10 +20.6 27
1955-11-13 Polonia Bytom W 2-039.2 1409 1399 54.19% 26.85% 18.96%+0.58 +7.3 18
1955-11-13 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz L 0-239.2 1399 1409 18.96% 26.85% 54.19%-0.58 -7.2 17
1955-11-13 Lechia Gdansk D 0-056.6 1507 1435 60.09% 25.79% 14.11%+0.95 -2.0 23
1955-11-13 @ Ruch Chorzow D 0-056.6 1435 1507 14.11% 25.79% 60.09%-0.95 +2.0 23
1955-11-20 Legia Warsaw D 1-164.3 1490 1553 45.79% 27.48% 26.72%+0.14 -0.7 27
1955-11-20 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec D 1-164.3 1553 1490 26.72% 27.48% 45.79%-0.14 +0.7 28
1955-11-27 Wisla Krakow W 3-039.9 1505 1440 59.46% 25.94% 14.61%+0.91 +8.4 25
1955-11-27 @ Ruch Chorzow L 0-339.9 1440 1505 14.61% 25.94% 59.46%-0.91 -8.4 22

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1955-10-23 13.77% Lech Poznan 1412 2 @ Gwardia Warsaw 1490 1
2 1955-10-09 13.96% Polonia Bytom 1407 3 @ LKS Lodz 1482 0
3 1955-04-03 14.08% Lechia Gdansk 1405 1 @ Legia Warsaw 1478 0
4 1955-09-25 15.38% Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1450 2 @ Gwardia Warsaw 1505 0
5 1955-05-15 15.51% Lechia Gdansk 1401 3 @ Wisla Krakow 1454 1
6 1955-05-15 15.63% Garbarnia Krakow 1388 3 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz 1439 0
7 1955-09-25 16.12% Garbarnia Krakow 1409 3 @ Wisla Krakow 1453 0
8 1955-08-17 16.24% Lechia Gdansk 1424 2 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1467 0
9 1955-10-16 16.30% Garbarnia Krakow 1439 4 @ LKS Lodz 1482 0
10 1955-08-17 16.34% Gwardia Warsaw 1481 3 @ Legia Warsaw 1523 2
11 1955-06-12 17.18% LKS Lodz 1467 3 @ Legia Warsaw 1498 2
12 1955-05-02 17.19% Garbarnia Krakow 1379 1 @ Lechia Gdansk 1410 0
13 1955-06-09 17.49% Lech Poznan 1442 3 @ Ruch Chorzow 1469 0
14 1955-08-21 19.28% Polonia Bytom 1435 1 @ Lechia Gdansk 1442 0
15 1955-06-05 19.50% Gwardia Warsaw 1445 2 @ Lech Poznan 1450 1
16 1955-03-27 20.02% Legia Warsaw 1454 3 @ Wisla Krakow 1453 0
17 1955-05-14 20.11% LKS Lodz 1445 2 @ Polonia Bytom 1443 1
18 1955-11-09 20.16% Ruch Chorzow 1484 3 @ Gwardia Warsaw 1481 0
19 1955-10-02 20.35% Wisla Krakow 1428 2 @ Polonia Bytom 1423 0
20 1955-04-17 20.41% Legia Warsaw 1468 5 @ Gwardia Warsaw 1463 1
21 1955-11-13 21.56% Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1482 2 @ Garbarnia Krakow 1466 1
22 1955-06-09 21.66% Wisla Krakow 1450 2 @ Gornik Radlin 1433 1
23 1955-10-23 22.17% Lechia Gdansk 1427 1 @ Gornik Radlin 1405 0
24 1955-06-12 23.20% Gwardia Warsaw 1457 3 @ Gornik Radlin 1425 1
25 1955-11-06 23.86% Ruch Chorzow 1460 5 @ Lech Poznan 1421 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1955-10-16 33.33 Garbarnia Krakow 4 1439 16.30% @ LKS Lodz 0 1482 57.34% 26.36%
2 1955-05-15 25.85 Garbarnia Krakow 3 1388 15.63% @ Polonia Bydgoszcz 0 1439 58.17% 26.21%
3 1955-04-17 25.64 Legia Warsaw 5 1468 20.41% @ Gwardia Warsaw 1 1463 52.55% 27.04%
4 1955-09-25 25.60 Garbarnia Krakow 3 1409 16.12% @ Wisla Krakow 0 1453 57.55% 26.32%
5 1955-10-09 25.18 @ Gornik Radlin 6 1390 47.60% Lech Poznan 0 1438 24.98% 27.41%
6 1955-06-09 24.93 Lech Poznan 3 1442 17.49% @ Ruch Chorzow 0 1469 55.91% 26.60%
7 1955-11-06 24.01 Ruch Chorzow 5 1460 23.86% @ Lech Poznan 1 1421 48.79% 27.35%
8 1955-03-27 23.73 Legia Warsaw 3 1454 20.02% @ Wisla Krakow 0 1453 52.99% 26.99%
9 1955-11-09 23.66 Ruch Chorzow 3 1484 20.16% @ Gwardia Warsaw 0 1481 52.82% 27.01%
10 1955-06-19 21.31 Legia Warsaw 3 1490 25.66% @ Polonia Bytom 0 1435 46.90% 27.45%
11 1955-08-17 20.71 @ Polonia Bytom 6 1414 53.46% Gornik Radlin 0 1411 19.60% 26.94%
12 1955-11-13 20.63 Legia Warsaw 5 1533 31.81% @ LKS Lodz 1 1430 40.67% 27.52%
13 1955-03-27 19.12 @ Gwardia Warsaw 7 1448 50.25% Polonia Bytom 1 1474 22.50% 27.25%
14 1955-09-25 17.89 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2 1450 15.38% @ Gwardia Warsaw 0 1505 58.48% 26.14%
15 1955-08-17 17.58 Lechia Gdansk 2 1424 16.24% @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0 1467 57.41% 26.35%
16 1955-10-02 16.23 Wisla Krakow 2 1428 20.35% @ Polonia Bytom 0 1423 52.61% 27.04%
17 1955-05-15 15.45 Lechia Gdansk 3 1401 15.51% @ Wisla Krakow 1 1454 58.31% 26.18%
18 1955-03-20 14.87 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec 4 1441 52.10% Gornik Radlin 0 1451 20.82% 27.09%
19 1955-10-02 14.40 @ Legia Warsaw 9 1510 62.93% Gornik Radlin 1 1404 12.03% 25.04%
20 1955-06-12 13.32 Gwardia Warsaw 3 1457 23.20% @ Gornik Radlin 1 1425 49.49% 27.31%
21 1955-06-19 13.18 @ Lechia Gdansk 3 1411 47.57% Lech Poznan 0 1460 25.02% 27.42%
22 1955-08-28 12.99 Gwardia Warsaw 3 1488 24.53% @ Polonia Bytom 1 1444 48.08% 27.39%
23 1955-09-25 12.27 @ Ruch Chorzow 4 1445 44.00% Legia Warsaw 1 1523 28.48% 27.52%
24 1955-06-05 11.92 @ Wisla Krakow 6 1438 48.26% Ruch Chorzow 2 1481 24.36% 27.38%
25 1955-07-03 11.74 @ Legia Warsaw 5 1511 62.13% Garbarnia Krakow 0 1415 12.60% 25.27%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1955-08-17 68.8 Gwardia Warsaw 3 1481 16.34% @ Legia Warsaw 2 1523 57.29% 26.37%
2 1955-06-12 67.1 LKS Lodz 3 1467 17.18% @ Legia Warsaw 2 1498 56.28% 26.54%
3 1955-04-03 65.7 @ Polonia Bytom 2 1454 48.96% Ruch Chorzow 2 1491 23.70% 27.34%
4 1955-08-21 64.6 @ Gwardia Warsaw 2 1489 60.54% Garbarnia Krakow 2 1412 13.78% 25.68%
5 1955-11-20 64.3 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 1490 45.79% Legia Warsaw 1 1553 26.72% 27.48%
6 1955-06-12 62.7 @ Lechia Gdansk 2 1412 49.49% Ruch Chorzow 2 1444 23.21% 27.31%
7 1955-06-19 62.7 @ Gornik Radlin 2 1411 49.35% Ruch Chorzow 2 1445 23.34% 27.32%
8 1955-09-04 62.7 @ Lech Poznan 2 1439 56.32% Polonia Bydgoszcz 2 1407 17.15% 26.54%
9 1955-10-23 61.5 Lech Poznan 2 1412 13.77% @ Gwardia Warsaw 1 1490 60.55% 25.68%
10 1955-11-13 60.7 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2 1482 21.56% @ Garbarnia Krakow 1 1466 51.27% 27.17%
11 1955-05-08 60.6 @ Gornik Radlin 1 1439 45.49% Legia Warsaw 1 1505 27.02% 27.49%
12 1955-08-21 60.4 @ Wisla Krakow 1 1462 51.81% LKS Lodz 1 1474 21.07% 27.12%
13 1955-10-02 59.9 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 1468 55.03% Ruch Chorzow 1 1449 18.23% 26.73%
14 1955-11-06 59.6 @ Lechia Gdansk 1 1436 48.04% Gwardia Warsaw 1 1480 24.56% 27.39%
15 1955-06-05 59.5 Gwardia Warsaw 2 1445 19.50% @ Lech Poznan 1 1450 53.57% 26.93%
16 1955-06-05 59.3 @ Polonia Bytom 1 1442 50.74% Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 1464 22.05% 27.21%
17 1955-05-08 59.1 @ Lech Poznan 1 1451 53.82% LKS Lodz 1 1444 19.28% 26.90%
18 1955-05-14 59.1 LKS Lodz 2 1445 20.11% @ Polonia Bytom 1 1443 52.89% 27.01%
19 1955-06-19 58.7 @ Garbarnia Krakow 1 1415 46.25% LKS Lodz 1 1475 26.28% 27.47%
20 1955-06-09 58.5 Wisla Krakow 2 1450 21.66% @ Gornik Radlin 1 1433 51.17% 27.18%
21 1955-10-20 58.5 @ Ruch Chorzow 1 1461 58.23% Polonia Bytom 1 1409 15.57% 26.19%
22 1955-11-06 58.0 @ Polonia Bytom 1 1399 45.47% Garbarnia Krakow 1 1465 27.04% 27.49%
23 1955-06-12 57.8 @ Polonia Bytom 1 1437 55.34% Polonia Bydgoszcz 1 1415 17.97% 26.69%
24 1955-10-16 57.4 @ Lech Poznan 1 1413 51.65% Lechia Gdansk 1 1426 21.22% 27.13%
25 1955-05-15 57.0 Lechia Gdansk 3 1401 15.51% @ Wisla Krakow 1 1454 58.31% 26.18%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1955-08-17 36.9 @ Polonia Bytom 6 1414 53.46% Gornik Radlin 0 1411 19.60% 26.94%
2 1955-10-23 36.9 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec 4 1462 58.15% Polonia Bytom 0 1411 15.64% 26.21%
3 1955-03-27 37.1 @ Ruch Chorzow 3 1484 61.44% Garbarnia Krakow 0 1396 13.10% 25.46%
4 1955-07-03 37.2 @ Legia Warsaw 5 1511 62.13% Garbarnia Krakow 0 1415 12.60% 25.27%
5 1955-06-05 38.0 @ LKS Lodz 3 1453 57.12% Polonia Bydgoszcz 0 1413 16.48% 26.40%
6 1955-10-02 38.0 @ Legia Warsaw 9 1510 62.93% Gornik Radlin 1 1404 12.03% 25.04%
7 1955-04-17 38.8 @ Lech Poznan 2 1445 58.24% Garbarnia Krakow 0 1393 15.57% 26.19%
8 1955-10-09 38.8 @ Gornik Radlin 6 1390 47.60% Lech Poznan 0 1438 24.98% 27.41%
9 1955-08-28 39.2 @ LKS Lodz 3 1475 57.30% Lechia Gdansk 0 1433 16.33% 26.37%
10 1955-11-13 39.2 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz 2 1409 54.19% Polonia Bytom 0 1399 18.96% 26.85%
11 1955-03-20 39.3 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec 4 1441 52.10% Gornik Radlin 0 1451 20.82% 27.09%
12 1955-11-27 39.9 @ Ruch Chorzow 3 1505 59.46% Wisla Krakow 0 1440 14.61% 25.94%
13 1955-05-08 40.6 @ Wisla Krakow 3 1442 51.69% Polonia Bytom 0 1455 21.18% 27.13%
14 1955-10-16 40.6 @ Ruch Chorzow 5 1451 56.71% Gornik Radlin 1 1415 16.82% 26.47%
15 1955-06-19 41.0 @ Lechia Gdansk 3 1411 47.57% Lech Poznan 0 1460 25.02% 27.42%
16 1955-09-25 41.0 @ Lech Poznan 2 1438 53.81% Polonia Bytom 0 1431 19.29% 26.90%
17 1955-06-19 41.3 @ Gwardia Warsaw 3 1470 53.66% Wisla Krakow 0 1465 19.43% 26.92%
18 1955-05-15 41.4 @ Lech Poznan 2 1450 54.25% Gornik Radlin 0 1439 18.90% 26.84%
19 1955-11-06 41.5 @ Wisla Krakow 1 1445 57.76% Gornik Radlin 0 1398 15.95% 26.28%
20 1955-03-20 41.6 @ Polonia Bytom 1 1471 60.07% Lechia Gdansk 0 1398 14.13% 25.80%
21 1955-10-02 41.9 @ LKS Lodz 2 1475 56.17% Lech Poznan 0 1445 17.27% 26.56%
22 1955-08-17 42.1 @ Garbarnia Krakow 2 1403 48.16% Lech Poznan 0 1447 24.45% 27.39%
23 1955-09-25 42.2 @ Lechia Gdansk 1 1417 53.99% Polonia Bydgoszcz 0 1408 19.13% 26.88%
24 1955-04-24 42.4 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz 1 1446 56.34% Lechia Gdansk 0 1414 17.12% 26.53%
25 1955-03-27 42.5 @ Gwardia Warsaw 7 1448 50.25% Polonia Bytom 1 1474 22.50% 27.25%