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1958 I liga Season

132 games

Final

Champion

LKS Lodz

32 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Polonia Bytom

5.50 points above expected

31 points · 25.50 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

11.12 points below expected

6 points · 17.12 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 LKS Lodz 22 13 6 3 32 61 24 +37 27.22 +4.78
2 Polonia Bytom 22 12 7 3 31 49 21 +28 25.50 +5.50
3 Gornik Zabrze 22 10 7 5 27 57 31 +26 27.09 -0.09
4 Ruch Chorzow 22 11 5 6 27 38 28 +10 22.68 +4.32
5 Gwardia Warsaw 22 12 3 7 27 42 39 +3 24.15 +2.85
6 Legia Warsaw 22 9 2 11 20 40 40 0 26.32 -6.32
7 Wisla Krakow 22 8 4 10 20 39 50 -11 18.32 +1.68
8 Lechia Gdansk 22 8 3 11 19 33 44 -11 19.92 -0.92
9 Polonia Bydgoszcz 22 7 5 10 19 31 58 -27 18.23 +0.77
10 Cracovia 22 8 2 12 18 37 46 -9 19.12 -1.12
11 Odra Opole 22 7 4 11 18 23 36 -13 18.33 -0.33
12 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 22 1 4 17 6 22 55 -33 17.12 -11.12

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Polonia Bytom 31 25.50 +5.50
2 LKS Lodz 32 27.22 +4.78
3 Ruch Chorzow 27 22.68 +4.32
4 Gwardia Warsaw 27 24.15 +2.85
5 Wisla Krakow 20 18.32 +1.68

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 6 17.12 -11.12
2 Legia Warsaw 20 26.32 -6.32
3 Cracovia 18 19.12 -1.12
4 Lechia Gdansk 19 19.92 -0.92
5 Odra Opole 18 18.33 -0.33

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ruch Chorzow 6 Aug 2 – Sep 6 1 in 235
2 Wisla Krakow 2 Jun 4 – Jun 8 1 in 62
3 LKS Lodz 4 Apr 20 – May 4 1 in 24
4 Gwardia Warsaw 3 Mar 30 – Apr 20 1 in 23
5 Polonia Bydgoszcz 2 Oct 19 – Oct 26 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Legia Warsaw 4 Jul 27 – Aug 14 1 in 586
2 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 5 Aug 24 – Oct 26 1 in 98
3 Lechia Gdansk 5 Aug 9 – Sep 6 1 in 51
4 Ruch Chorzow 3 Oct 12 – Oct 26 1 in 41
5 Gornik Zabrze 2 Jun 8 – Jun 14 1 in 35

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ruch Chorzow 9 Jun 15 – Sep 6 1 in 32
2 LKS Lodz 8 Mar 30 – Jun 4 1 in 17
3 Wisla Krakow 3 May 18 – Jun 8 1 in 14
4 Gornik Zabrze 7 Aug 14 – Oct 26 1 in 12
5 Odra Opole 4 Aug 24 – Oct 19 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Legia Warsaw 7 Jul 27 – Sep 6 1 in 178
2 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 12 Mar 16 – Jul 22 1 in 143
3 Gornik Zabrze 5 May 4 – Jun 14 1 in 34
4 Lechia Gdansk 6 Aug 9 – Oct 12 1 in 10
5 Ruch Chorzow 4 May 4 – Jun 8 1 in 6

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
LKS Lodz 1734 32 -5 6 7.0 -1.0
Polonia Bytom 1636 31 +15 7 6.3 +0.7
Gornik Zabrze 1656 27 +25 8 6.6 +1.4
Gwardia Warsaw 1510 27 +4 7 7.0 -0.0
Ruch Chorzow 1519 27 -35 4 4.7 -0.7
Wisla Krakow 1447 20 +11 5 4.3 +0.7
Legia Warsaw 1545 20 -33 2 3.7 -1.7
Polonia Bydgoszcz 1381 19 -4 5 3.7 +1.3
Lechia Gdansk 1461 19 +37 5 3.8 +1.2
Odra Opole 1421 18 +34 7 4.3 +2.7
Cracovia 1439 18 +19 4 4.2 -0.2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1270 6 -67 0 4.4 -4.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team CRA GZ GW LL LG LW OO PB PB RC WK ZS
Cracovia —
0-0-2
1.96
1-0-1
1.77
1-0-1
2.02
1-0-1
2.64
1-0-1
1.75
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.89
0-0-2
1.90
0-0-2
2.44
1-1-0
2.84
1-1-0
3.29
Gornik Zabrze
2-0-0
3.64
—
0-0-2
3.32
0-1-1
2.57
1-1-0
3.88
1-0-1
3.02
1-1-0
3.85
1-1-0
3.94
1-1-0
2.97
1-1-0
3.31
0-1-1
4.00
2-0-0
3.67
Gwardia Warsaw
1-0-1
3.82
2-0-0
2.27
—
0-0-2
2.46
2-0-0
3.20
2-0-0
2.37
1-1-0
3.47
0-1-1
3.68
1-0-1
2.39
0-1-1
3.11
1-0-1
3.48
2-0-0
3.76
LKS Lodz
1-0-1
3.59
1-1-0
3.01
2-0-0
3.13
—
1-1-0
4.23
1-0-1
3.19
2-0-0
4.30
1-1-0
3.74
0-2-0
3.19
1-0-1
3.35
1-1-0
4.12
2-0-0
3.85
Lechia Gdansk
1-0-1
2.95
0-1-1
1.71
0-0-2
2.39
0-1-1
1.38
—
1-0-1
2.20
1-0-1
3.03
1-0-1
3.06
0-1-1
2.31
2-0-0
2.37
1-0-1
2.93
1-0-1
3.26
Legia Warsaw
1-0-1
3.85
1-0-1
2.57
0-0-2
3.22
1-0-1
2.41
1-0-1
3.40
—
1-1-0
3.85
1-0-1
3.94
0-0-2
2.93
1-0-1
2.95
1-0-1
3.85
1-1-0
3.96
Odra Opole
1-0-1
2.92
0-1-1
1.75
0-1-1
2.12
0-0-2
1.31
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
1.75
—
2-0-0
2.85
0-0-2
1.98
0-1-1
2.34
1-0-1
2.78
2-0-0
3.00
Polonia Bydgoszcz
1-0-1
2.71
0-1-1
1.66
1-1-0
1.92
0-1-1
1.87
1-0-1
2.53
1-0-1
1.65
0-0-2
2.74
—
0-1-1
1.70
0-1-1
2.27
1-0-1
2.71
2-0-0
2.87
Polonia Bytom
2-0-0
3.69
0-1-1
2.62
1-0-1
3.20
0-2-0
2.40
1-1-0
3.28
2-0-0
2.66
2-0-0
3.62
1-1-0
3.90
—
0-1-1
3.24
2-0-0
3.37
1-1-0
3.92
Ruch Chorzow
2-0-0
3.16
0-1-1
2.28
1-1-0
2.49
1-0-1
2.25
0-0-2
3.23
1-0-1
2.64
1-1-0
3.25
1-1-0
3.32
1-1-0
2.36
—
1-0-1
3.34
2-0-0
3.52
Wisla Krakow
0-1-1
2.75
1-1-0
1.61
1-0-1
2.13
0-1-1
1.49
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
1.74
1-0-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.88
0-0-2
2.23
1-0-1
2.25
—
1-1-0
2.87
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0-1-1
2.30
0-0-2
1.94
0-0-2
1.84
0-0-2
1.77
1-0-1
2.33
0-1-1
1.65
0-0-2
2.59
0-0-2
2.72
0-1-1
1.69
0-0-2
2.07
0-1-1
2.72
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.71 +5.1
Allowed 0.68 -5.0
Differential 0.82 +3.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%3.03%4.92%3.41%1.89%3.79%21.59%
13.03%8.33%9.85%2.27%2.27%3.03%28.79%
24.92%9.85%5.30%1.52%2.27%0.76%24.62%
33.41%2.27%1.52%1.52%1.14%—9.85%
41.89%2.27%2.27%1.14%——7.58%
5+3.79%3.03%0.76%———7.58%
Total21.59%28.79%24.62%9.85%7.58%7.58%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.79 1.79 +0.00
SD 1.56 1.56 2.54
CV 0.87 0.87 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%13.64%—4.55%27.27%
1—4.55%13.64%4.55%—9.09%31.82%
2—18.18%4.55%———22.73%
3———————
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+9.09%4.55%————13.64%
Total9.09%31.82%27.27%18.18%—13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 2.09 -0.41
SD 1.78 1.48 2.97
CV 1.06 0.71 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%—————13.64%
14.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
2—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
3—4.55%—4.55%9.09%—18.18%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+9.09%9.09%————18.18%
Total31.82%31.82%13.64%9.09%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.59 1.41 +1.18
SD 2.09 1.40 2.59
CV 0.80 1.00 —
Max 8 4 +8
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%—4.55%—9.09%27.27%
14.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
24.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4——9.09%4.55%——13.64%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total13.64%40.91%22.73%9.09%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 1.77 +0.14
SD 1.69 1.45 2.44
CV 0.88 0.82 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——4.55%——9.09%
14.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
2—9.09%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
39.09%——4.55%——13.64%
44.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
5+13.64%4.55%————18.18%
Total36.36%31.82%18.18%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.77 1.09 +1.68
SD 1.82 1.06 2.42
CV 0.66 0.98 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%—9.09%4.55%18.18%
14.55%4.55%18.18%—4.55%4.55%36.36%
213.64%4.55%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total22.73%18.18%31.82%4.55%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.00 -0.50
SD 1.19 1.72 2.58
CV 0.79 0.86 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
1—4.55%22.73%4.55%—4.55%36.36%
2—13.64%———4.55%18.18%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total22.73%18.18%36.36%9.09%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.82 +0.00
SD 1.56 1.50 2.60
CV 0.86 0.83 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%13.64%——4.55%36.36%
14.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%36.36%
29.09%9.09%————18.18%
3——4.55%———4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%27.27%27.27%4.55%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.64 -0.59
SD 1.09 1.65 2.20
CV 1.04 1.01 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%4.55%4.55%13.64%31.82%
14.55%9.09%———4.55%18.18%
2—13.64%4.55%—13.64%—31.82%
3—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%36.36%9.09%9.09%18.18%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 2.64 -1.23
SD 1.22 2.13 2.84
CV 0.87 0.81 —
Max 4 8 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
1—18.18%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
222.73%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—40.91%
39.09%—————9.09%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total40.91%36.36%13.64%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 0.95 +1.27
SD 1.45 1.09 1.98
CV 0.65 1.14 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%4.55%——18.18%
19.09%13.64%13.64%———36.36%
24.55%13.64%———4.55%22.73%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total31.82%27.27%31.82%4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.27 +0.45
SD 1.49 1.24 1.92
CV 0.86 0.98 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%—4.55%4.55%18.18%
1—9.09%13.64%—4.55%4.55%31.82%
2—9.09%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
39.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
4——4.55%9.09%——13.64%
5+———————
Total9.09%22.73%31.82%13.64%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 2.27 -0.50
SD 1.34 1.45 2.24
CV 0.76 0.64 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—18.18%9.09%4.55%—4.55%36.36%
1—4.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%31.82%
24.55%—13.64%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
3————4.55%—4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total4.55%22.73%31.82%18.18%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.50 -1.50
SD 0.93 1.60 1.77
CV 0.93 0.64 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
LKS Lodz 1734 32 27.22 +4.78 95.0% 18 21 24 27 30 32 35
Gornik Zabrze 1656 27 27.09 -0.09 54.0% 17 21 24 26 30 32 37
Polonia Bytom 1636 31 25.50 +5.50 94.0% 16 20 23 26 27 32 36
Legia Warsaw 1545 20 26.32 -6.32 5.0% 19 20 24 26 29 32 33
Ruch Chorzow 1519 27 22.68 +4.32 92.0% 13 17 20 23 25 28 31
Gwardia Warsaw 1510 27 24.15 +2.85 83.0% 14 19 22 24 27 30 34
Lechia Gdansk 1461 19 19.92 -0.92 48.0% 13 14 17 20 22 26 29
Wisla Krakow 1447 20 18.32 +1.68 77.0% 12 14 16 18 20 23 27
Cracovia 1439 18 19.12 -1.12 42.0% 11 14 17 19 21 25 28
Odra Opole 1421 18 18.33 -0.33 56.0% 10 13 16 18 21 25 27
Polonia Bydgoszcz 1381 19 18.23 +0.77 65.0% 10 11 16 18 21 25 27
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1270 6 17.12 -11.12 0.0% 11 12 15 17 19 22 24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 20% * Slight Edge: 20% to 26% * Clear Edge: 26% to 31% * Strong Edge: 31% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+37.88%
Strong Edge
59.09%19.70%21.21%
Elo Value
Home Edge
144 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0138.50400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+1.06 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.96+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.2 * Runaway: 0.2 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.2
Open
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
36%
LKS Lodz, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.81 * Some Luck: 2.81 to 4.21 * Lucky: 4.21 to 5.62 * Wild Swing: 5.62 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.57 * Close: 1.57 to 2.36 * Off: 2.36 to 3.15 * Way Off: 3.15 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.56 points
Lucky
03.519
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Pinpoint
01.974
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
95.00%
LKS Lodz
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.11 * Even: 0.11 to 0.13 * Top-Heavy: 0.13 to 0.16 * Lopsided: 0.16 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.2 * Moderate Separation: 1.2 to 1.45 * Strong Separation: 1.45 to 1.75 * Wide Separation: 1.75 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 62.5% * Clear Edge: 62.5% to 66.5% * Wide Edge: 66.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80% * Clear Edge: 80% to 84.5% * Strong Edge: 84.5% to 89% * Dominant: 89% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 61% * Some Drama: 61% to 65.5% * Frequent: 65.5% to 67.5% * Very Frequent: 67.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 12.5% * Occasional: 12.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17% * Very Frequent: 17% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Lopsided
00.110.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 128.31
1.71
Strong Separation
0.71.21.451.752.5
Interquartile Edge
68%
Wide Edge
50%60%66.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 93%
94%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
51%
Few
0%44%100%
Blowouts
Expected
30%
Very Frequent
0%33%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.52 * Lopsided: 0.52 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.5 * Strong Carryover: 0.5 to 0.62 * Near-Lock: 0.62 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 19.5% * Shaky Favorites: 19.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.53
Highly Predictable
00.522
Matchup Imbalance
0.54
Lopsided
00.340.5
Strangeness
Expected
2.05
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.55
Strong Carryover
00.380.50.621
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Upset-Prone
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.03
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.94
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.106
Well Within Noise
00.1170.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
LKS Lodz36.00%20.00%11.00%11.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%1.00%——1.00%—
Polonia Bytom12.00%23.00%19.00%10.00%14.00%11.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%——
Gornik Zabrze24.00%22.00%16.00%16.00%12.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%—1.00%—
Ruch Chorzow3.00%4.00%13.00%16.00%14.00%16.00%9.00%8.00%7.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%
Gwardia Warsaw7.00%12.00%12.00%16.00%15.00%13.00%9.00%11.00%3.00%—1.00%1.00%
Legia Warsaw17.00%13.00%22.00%12.00%14.00%10.00%7.00%2.00%3.00%———
Wisla Krakow——2.00%—3.00%7.00%15.00%10.00%17.00%15.00%18.00%13.00%
Lechia Gdansk—3.00%3.00%3.00%7.00%12.00%12.00%18.00%10.00%15.00%10.00%7.00%
Polonia Bydgoszcz—1.00%2.00%5.00%2.00%5.00%9.00%12.00%13.00%10.00%16.00%25.00%
Cracovia1.00%1.00%—4.00%4.00%10.00%17.00%12.00%19.00%14.00%8.00%10.00%
Odra Opole—1.00%—6.00%5.00%4.00%6.00%12.00%11.00%21.00%21.00%13.00%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec———1.00%—2.00%6.00%8.00%15.00%18.00%22.00%28.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Legia Warsaw 100% —
Polonia Bytom 100% —
Gornik Zabrze 99.00% 1.00%
LKS Lodz 99.00% 1.00%
Gwardia Warsaw 98.00% 2.00%
Ruch Chorzow 95.00% 5.00%
Lechia Gdansk 83.00% 17.00%
Cracovia 82.00% 18.00%
Wisla Krakow 69.00% 31.00%
Odra Opole 66.00% 34.00%
Polonia Bydgoszcz 59.00% 41.00%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 50.00% 50.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1958-03-16 LKS Lodz W 2-154.9 1461 1599 49.05% 20.89% 30.06%+0.00 +8.2 2
1958-03-16 @ Cracovia L 1-254.9 1599 1461 30.06% 20.89% 49.05%+0.00 -8.2 0
1958-03-16 Ruch Chorzow D 1-163.2 1566 1448 71.50% 19.77% 8.74%+1.78 -4.1 1
1958-03-16 @ Gwardia Warsaw D 1-163.2 1448 1566 8.74% 19.77% 71.50%-1.78 +4.1 1
1958-03-16 Legia Warsaw D 0-060.4 1418 1620 40.32% 20.81% 38.87%-0.44 -0.1 1
1958-03-16 @ Odra Opole D 0-060.4 1620 1418 38.87% 20.81% 40.32%+0.44 +0.1 1
1958-03-16 Wisla Krakow W 2-144.2 1439 1441 63.42% 20.56% 16.02%+0.95 +4.8 2
1958-03-16 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz L 1-244.2 1441 1439 16.02% 20.56% 63.42%-0.95 -4.8 0
1958-03-16 Lechia Gdansk W 6-037.8 1499 1479 65.18% 20.45% 14.37%+1.10 +24.2 2
1958-03-16 @ Polonia Bytom L 0-637.8 1479 1499 14.37% 20.45% 65.18%-1.10 -24.2 0
1958-03-16 Gornik Zabrze L 2-462.9 1452 1599 47.86% 20.89% 31.25%-0.06 -18.7 0
1958-03-16 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 4-262.9 1599 1452 31.25% 20.89% 47.86%+0.06 +18.7 2
1958-03-23 Odra Opole W 6-036.9 1618 1417 75.31% 18.99% 5.70%+2.35 +10.0 4
1958-03-23 @ Gornik Zabrze L 0-636.9 1417 1618 5.70% 18.99% 75.31%-2.35 -10.0 1
1958-03-23 Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 1-039.3 1454 1433 65.26% 20.44% 14.29%+1.11 +4.6 2
1958-03-23 @ Lechia Gdansk L 0-139.3 1433 1454 14.29% 20.44% 65.26%-1.11 -4.6 0
1958-03-23 Cracovia W 2-148.7 1620 1469 73.17% 19.47% 7.35%+2.01 +2.3 3
1958-03-23 @ Legia Warsaw L 1-248.7 1469 1620 7.35% 19.47% 73.17%-2.01 -2.3 2
1958-03-23 Polonia Bydgoszcz W 4-247.5 1452 1444 64.17% 20.52% 15.32%+1.01 +7.2 3
1958-03-23 @ Ruch Chorzow L 2-447.5 1444 1452 15.32% 20.52% 64.17%-1.01 -7.2 2
1958-03-23 Polonia Bytom L 1-455.3 1436 1523 55.15% 20.84% 24.01%+0.36 -33.6 0
1958-03-23 @ Wisla Krakow W 4-155.3 1523 1436 24.01% 20.84% 55.15%-0.36 +33.6 4
1958-03-30 Gornik Zabrze L 1-556.0 1467 1628 46.09% 20.88% 33.03%-0.15 -36.9 2
1958-03-30 @ Cracovia W 5-156.0 1628 1467 33.03% 20.88% 46.09%+0.15 +36.9 6
1958-03-30 Legia Warsaw W 5-151.1 1562 1623 57.89% 20.78% 21.33%+0.54 +19.5 3
1958-03-30 @ Gwardia Warsaw L 1-551.1 1623 1562 21.33% 20.78% 57.89%-0.54 -19.6 3
1958-03-30 Lechia Gdansk W 3-250.4 1407 1459 58.87% 20.75% 20.38%+0.60 +5.6 3
1958-03-30 @ Odra Opole L 2-350.4 1459 1407 20.38% 20.75% 58.87%-0.60 -5.6 2
1958-03-30 LKS Lodz D 3-373.4 1437 1591 47.06% 20.88% 32.06%-0.10 -0.5 3
1958-03-30 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz D 3-373.4 1591 1437 32.06% 20.88% 47.06%+0.10 +0.5 1
1958-03-30 Ruch Chorzow D 0-059.8 1557 1459 70.37% 19.93% 9.70%+1.64 -4.4 5
1958-03-30 @ Polonia Bytom D 0-059.8 1459 1557 9.70% 19.93% 70.37%-1.64 +4.4 4
1958-03-30 Wisla Krakow D 2-262.2 1428 1403 65.59% 20.42% 13.99%+1.14 -2.5 1
1958-03-30 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec D 2-262.2 1403 1428 13.99% 20.42% 65.59%-1.14 +2.5 1
1958-04-13 Gwardia Warsaw L 3-480.5 1664 1581 69.52% 20.04% 10.44%+1.54 -16.0 6
1958-04-13 @ Gornik Zabrze W 4-380.5 1581 1664 10.44% 20.04% 69.52%-1.54 +16.0 5
1958-04-13 Cracovia W 3-034.9 1453 1430 65.42% 20.43% 14.15%+1.12 +12.5 4
1958-04-13 @ Lechia Gdansk L 0-334.9 1430 1453 14.15% 20.43% 65.42%-1.12 -12.5 2
1958-04-13 Polonia Bydgoszcz W 5-037.1 1603 1437 73.88% 19.33% 6.79%+2.11 +10.0 5
1958-04-13 @ Legia Warsaw L 0-537.1 1437 1603 6.79% 19.33% 73.88%-2.11 -10.0 3
1958-04-13 Polonia Bytom D 2-272.7 1591 1552 66.57% 20.34% 13.09%+1.23 -2.6 2
1958-04-13 @ LKS Lodz D 2-272.7 1552 1591 13.09% 20.34% 66.57%-1.23 +2.6 6
1958-04-13 Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 3-034.8 1463 1426 66.47% 20.35% 13.18%+1.22 +11.7 6
1958-04-13 @ Ruch Chorzow L 0-334.8 1426 1463 13.18% 20.35% 66.47%-1.22 -11.7 1
1958-04-13 Odra Opole W 3-141.0 1405 1413 62.88% 20.59% 16.53%+0.90 +8.6 3
1958-04-13 @ Wisla Krakow L 1-341.0 1413 1405 16.53% 20.59% 62.88%-0.90 -8.6 3
1958-04-20 Lechia Gdansk W 5-143.1 1597 1466 72.19% 19.65% 8.15%+1.87 +8.1 7
1958-04-20 @ Gwardia Warsaw L 1-543.1 1466 1597 8.15% 19.65% 72.19%-1.87 -8.1 4
1958-04-20 Ruch Chorzow D 1-158.2 1405 1475 56.91% 20.81% 22.29%+0.47 -2.1 4
1958-04-20 @ Odra Opole D 1-158.2 1475 1405 22.29% 20.81% 56.91%-0.47 +2.1 7
1958-04-20 Gornik Zabrze D 0-061.7 1427 1648 37.61% 20.77% 41.62%-0.58 +0.3 4
1958-04-20 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz D 0-061.7 1648 1427 41.62% 20.77% 37.61%+0.58 -0.2 7
1958-04-20 Legia Warsaw W 2-048.6 1555 1613 58.18% 20.77% 21.04%+0.56 +12.2 8
1958-04-20 @ Polonia Bytom L 0-248.6 1613 1555 21.04% 20.77% 58.18%-0.56 -12.2 5
1958-04-20 Cracovia L 1-257.0 1414 1417 63.25% 20.57% 16.18%+0.93 -15.7 3
1958-04-20 @ Wisla Krakow W 2-157.0 1417 1414 16.18% 20.57% 63.25%-0.93 +15.7 4
1958-04-20 LKS Lodz L 1-552.1 1414 1589 44.26% 20.86% 34.88%-0.25 -35.6 1
1958-04-20 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 5-152.1 1589 1414 34.88% 20.86% 44.26%+0.25 +35.6 4
1958-04-23 Gwardia Warsaw W 2-154.9 1624 1605 65.08% 20.46% 14.46%+1.09 +4.4 6
1958-04-23 @ LKS Lodz L 1-254.9 1605 1624 14.46% 20.46% 65.08%-1.09 -4.4 7
1958-04-26 Ruch Chorzow L 0-548.6 1433 1477 59.59% 20.73% 19.68%+0.65 -69.2 4
1958-04-26 @ Cracovia W 5-048.6 1477 1433 19.68% 20.73% 59.59%-0.65 +69.2 9
1958-04-27 Polonia Bytom W 3-151.6 1648 1567 69.38% 20.06% 10.56%+1.52 +5.7 9
1958-04-27 @ Gornik Zabrze L 1-351.6 1567 1648 10.56% 20.06% 69.38%-1.52 -5.7 8
1958-04-27 Wisla Krakow W 4-247.7 1601 1398 75.42% 18.96% 5.62%+2.37 +2.7 9
1958-04-27 @ Gwardia Warsaw L 2-447.7 1398 1601 5.62% 18.96% 75.42%-2.37 -2.7 3
1958-04-27 Polonia Bydgoszcz W 5-138.6 1458 1427 65.98% 20.39% 13.63%+1.17 +13.1 6
1958-04-27 @ Lechia Gdansk L 1-538.6 1427 1458 13.63% 20.39% 65.98%-1.17 -13.1 4
1958-04-27 Odra Opole W 1-041.2 1629 1402 76.32% 18.71% 4.97%+2.53 +1.7 8
1958-04-27 @ LKS Lodz L 0-141.2 1402 1629 4.97% 18.71% 76.32%-2.53 -1.7 4
1958-04-27 Legia Warsaw L 1-254.1 1379 1601 37.54% 20.76% 41.69%-0.58 -9.8 1
1958-04-27 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 2-154.1 1601 1379 41.69% 20.76% 37.54%+0.58 +9.9 7
1958-05-03 Polonia Bydgoszcz W 3-035.9 1561 1414 73.00% 19.51% 7.49%+1.98 +6.8 10
1958-05-03 @ Polonia Bytom L 0-335.9 1414 1561 7.49% 19.51% 73.00%-1.98 -6.8 4
1958-05-04 Gwardia Warsaw W 5-046.0 1364 1604 35.16% 20.71% 44.14%-0.70 +52.5 6
1958-05-04 @ Cracovia L 0-546.0 1604 1364 44.14% 20.71% 35.16%+0.70 -52.5 9
1958-05-04 Wisla Krakow W 2-035.2 1471 1395 69.03% 20.10% 10.87%+1.48 +6.7 8
1958-05-04 @ Lechia Gdansk L 0-235.2 1395 1471 10.87% 20.10% 69.03%-1.48 -6.7 3
1958-05-04 Gornik Zabrze W 3-262.4 1611 1654 59.68% 20.73% 19.59%+0.66 +5.5 9
1958-05-04 @ Legia Warsaw L 2-362.4 1654 1611 19.59% 20.73% 59.68%-0.66 -5.5 9
1958-05-04 Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 2-140.6 1401 1369 66.07% 20.38% 13.55%+1.18 +4.1 6
1958-05-04 @ Odra Opole L 1-240.6 1369 1401 13.55% 20.38% 66.07%-1.18 -4.1 1
1958-05-04 LKS Lodz L 1-266.1 1546 1630 55.48% 20.83% 23.69%+0.38 -13.8 9
1958-05-04 @ Ruch Chorzow W 2-166.1 1630 1546 23.69% 20.83% 55.48%-0.38 +13.8 10
1958-05-18 Lechia Gdansk D 2-272.5 1648 1478 74.07% 19.29% 6.64%+2.14 -3.3 10
1958-05-18 @ Gornik Zabrze D 2-272.5 1478 1648 6.64% 19.29% 74.07%-2.14 +3.3 9
1958-05-18 Ruch Chorzow W 5-251.8 1616 1533 69.53% 20.04% 10.43%+1.54 +6.9 11
1958-05-18 @ Legia Warsaw L 2-551.8 1533 1616 10.43% 20.04% 69.53%-1.54 -6.9 9
1958-05-18 Gwardia Warsaw L 0-151.9 1405 1551 48.01% 20.89% 31.11%-0.05 -12.8 6
1958-05-18 @ Odra Opole W 1-051.9 1551 1405 31.11% 20.89% 48.01%+0.05 +12.8 11
1958-05-18 Cracovia W 2-142.8 1407 1416 62.75% 20.60% 16.65%+0.89 +5.0 6
1958-05-18 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz L 1-242.8 1416 1407 16.65% 20.60% 62.75%-0.89 -5.0 6
1958-05-18 LKS Lodz D 1-163.7 1389 1644 33.04% 20.65% 46.32%-0.81 +0.8 4
1958-05-18 @ Wisla Krakow D 1-163.7 1644 1389 46.32% 20.65% 33.04%+0.81 -0.8 11
1958-05-18 Polonia Bytom D 2-265.2 1365 1568 40.18% 20.81% 39.00%-0.45 -0.0 2
1958-05-18 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec D 2-265.2 1568 1365 39.00% 20.81% 40.18%+0.45 +0.0 11
1958-06-04 Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 2-035.3 1564 1365 75.28% 19.00% 5.72%+2.34 +3.6 13
1958-06-04 @ Gwardia Warsaw L 0-235.3 1365 1564 5.72% 19.00% 75.28%-2.34 -3.6 2
1958-06-04 Lechia Gdansk W 4-040.1 1643 1481 73.69% 19.37% 6.94%+2.09 +8.3 13
1958-06-04 @ LKS Lodz L 0-440.1 1481 1643 6.94% 19.37% 73.69%-2.09 -8.3 9
1958-06-04 Odra Opole L 0-447.2 1412 1392 65.14% 20.45% 14.41%+1.10 -61.5 6
1958-06-04 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz W 4-047.2 1392 1412 14.41% 20.45% 65.14%-1.10 +61.5 8
1958-06-04 Gornik Zabrze D 0-064.6 1526 1645 51.37% 20.88% 27.75%+0.13 -1.6 10
1958-06-04 @ Ruch Chorzow D 0-064.6 1645 1526 27.75% 20.88% 51.37%-0.13 +1.6 11
1958-06-04 Legia Warsaw W 2-157.1 1389 1623 35.96% 20.73% 43.31%-0.66 +11.0 6
1958-06-04 @ Wisla Krakow L 1-257.1 1623 1389 43.31% 20.73% 35.96%+0.66 -11.0 11
1958-06-05 Cracovia W 3-035.9 1568 1411 73.44% 19.42% 7.14%+2.05 +6.5 13
1958-06-05 @ Polonia Bytom L 0-335.9 1411 1568 7.14% 19.42% 73.44%-2.05 -6.5 6
1958-06-08 Wisla Krakow L 3-476.7 1647 1400 77.04% 18.48% 4.48%+2.67 -17.7 11
1958-06-08 @ Gornik Zabrze W 4-376.7 1400 1647 4.48% 18.48% 77.04%-2.67 +17.7 8
1958-06-08 Ruch Chorzow W 2-149.6 1473 1524 58.86% 20.75% 20.39%+0.60 +6.0 11
1958-06-08 @ Lechia Gdansk L 1-249.6 1524 1473 20.39% 20.75% 58.86%-0.60 -6.0 10
1958-06-08 LKS Lodz W 3-048.2 1612 1652 60.02% 20.72% 19.26%+0.69 +16.4 13
1958-06-08 @ Legia Warsaw L 0-348.2 1652 1612 19.26% 20.72% 60.02%-0.69 -16.4 13
1958-06-08 Gwardia Warsaw W 4-149.6 1575 1567 64.15% 20.52% 15.33%+1.01 +11.3 15
1958-06-08 @ Polonia Bytom L 1-449.6 1567 1575 15.33% 20.52% 64.15%-1.01 -11.3 13
1958-06-08 Polonia Bydgoszcz L 1-353.3 1361 1350 64.41% 20.50% 15.09%+1.03 -27.7 2
1958-06-08 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 3-153.3 1350 1361 15.09% 20.50% 64.41%-1.03 +27.7 8
1958-06-09 Odra Opole W 5-139.9 1405 1454 59.15% 20.75% 20.11%+0.62 +18.6 8
1958-06-09 @ Cracovia L 1-539.9 1454 1405 20.11% 20.75% 59.15%-0.62 -18.6 8
1958-06-12 Lechia Gdansk W 4-039.7 1628 1479 73.11% 19.49% 7.41%+2.00 +8.8 15
1958-06-12 @ Legia Warsaw L 0-439.7 1479 1628 7.41% 19.49% 73.11%-2.00 -8.8 11
1958-06-14 Gornik Zabrze W 4-152.3 1635 1629 64.07% 20.52% 15.41%+1.00 +11.4 15
1958-06-14 @ LKS Lodz L 1-452.3 1629 1635 15.41% 20.52% 64.07%-1.00 -11.4 11
1958-06-14 Gwardia Warsaw D 2-265.2 1378 1556 43.76% 20.86% 35.38%-0.27 -0.4 9
1958-06-14 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz D 2-265.2 1556 1378 35.38% 20.86% 43.76%+0.27 +0.4 14
1958-06-15 Zaglebie Sosnowiec D 2-260.7 1423 1333 69.93% 19.99% 10.08%+1.59 -2.9 9
1958-06-15 @ Cracovia D 2-260.7 1333 1423 10.08% 19.99% 69.93%-1.59 +2.9 3
1958-06-15 Polonia Bytom L 0-251.8 1435 1586 47.36% 20.88% 31.76%-0.09 -23.9 8
1958-06-15 @ Odra Opole W 2-051.8 1586 1435 31.76% 20.88% 47.36%+0.09 +23.9 17
1958-06-15 Wisla Krakow W 2-037.0 1518 1418 70.51% 19.91% 9.58%+1.65 +6.0 12
1958-06-15 @ Ruch Chorzow L 0-237.0 1418 1518 9.58% 19.91% 70.51%-1.65 -6.0 8
1958-07-19 Odra Opole W 2-146.3 1637 1411 76.32% 18.71% 4.97%+2.53 +1.6 17
1958-07-19 @ Legia Warsaw L 1-246.3 1411 1637 4.97% 18.71% 76.32%-2.53 -1.6 8
1958-07-19 Gwardia Warsaw W 1-047.6 1524 1557 60.71% 20.69% 18.60%+0.74 +5.8 14
1958-07-19 @ Ruch Chorzow L 0-147.6 1557 1524 18.60% 20.69% 60.71%-0.74 -5.8 14
1958-07-20 Polonia Bytom D 1-165.3 1470 1610 48.76% 20.89% 30.35%-0.01 -1.1 12
1958-07-20 @ Lechia Gdansk D 1-165.3 1610 1470 30.35% 20.89% 48.76%+0.01 +1.1 18
1958-07-20 Cracovia W 3-038.3 1646 1421 76.31% 18.71% 4.98%+2.53 +4.5 17
1958-07-20 @ LKS Lodz L 0-338.3 1421 1646 4.98% 18.71% 76.31%-2.53 -4.5 9
1958-07-20 Polonia Bydgoszcz W 4-244.0 1412 1378 66.24% 20.37% 13.39%+1.20 +6.3 10
1958-07-20 @ Wisla Krakow L 2-444.0 1378 1412 13.39% 20.37% 66.24%-1.20 -6.3 9
1958-07-22 Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 1-037.7 1617 1336 78.22% 18.06% 3.72%+2.91 +1.2 13
1958-07-22 @ Gornik Zabrze L 0-137.7 1336 1617 3.72% 18.06% 78.22%-2.91 -1.2 3
1958-07-26 LKS Lodz L 0-556.5 1551 1651 53.62% 20.86% 25.52%+0.26 -62.5 14
1958-07-26 @ Gwardia Warsaw W 5-056.5 1651 1551 25.52% 20.86% 53.62%-0.26 +62.5 19
1958-07-26 Ruch Chorzow D 1-158.9 1371 1530 46.38% 20.88% 32.74%-0.14 -0.8 10
1958-07-26 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz D 1-158.9 1530 1371 32.74% 20.88% 46.38%+0.14 +0.8 15
1958-07-27 Legia Warsaw W 2-158.2 1416 1639 37.47% 20.76% 41.76%-0.58 +10.7 11
1958-07-27 @ Cracovia L 1-258.2 1639 1416 41.76% 20.76% 37.47%+0.58 -10.7 17
1958-07-27 Gornik Zabrze D 1-163.5 1409 1619 39.39% 20.80% 39.81%-0.49 +0.0 9
1958-07-27 @ Odra Opole D 1-163.5 1619 1409 39.81% 20.80% 39.39%+0.49 -0.0 14
1958-07-27 Wisla Krakow W 5-141.1 1611 1418 75.01% 19.07% 5.93%+2.29 +5.9 20
1958-07-27 @ Polonia Bytom L 1-541.1 1418 1611 5.93% 19.07% 75.01%-2.29 -5.9 10
1958-07-27 Lechia Gdansk W 2-039.4 1335 1469 49.58% 20.89% 29.53%+0.03 +16.2 5
1958-07-27 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec L 0-239.4 1469 1335 29.53% 20.89% 49.58%-0.03 -16.2 12
1958-08-02 Polonia Bydgoszcz W 4-249.5 1714 1371 80.03% 17.28% 2.69%+3.34 +1.3 21
1958-08-02 @ LKS Lodz L 2-449.5 1371 1714 2.69% 17.28% 80.03%-3.34 -1.3 10
1958-08-02 Polonia Bytom W 2-155.9 1531 1617 55.22% 20.84% 23.94%+0.36 +6.8 17
1958-08-02 @ Ruch Chorzow L 1-255.9 1617 1531 23.94% 20.84% 55.22%-0.36 -6.8 20
1958-08-02 Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 4-348.8 1413 1351 68.12% 20.20% 11.68%+1.39 +3.3 12
1958-08-02 @ Wisla Krakow L 3-448.8 1351 1413 11.68% 20.20% 68.12%-1.39 -3.3 5
1958-08-03 Cracovia W 5-141.7 1619 1427 74.98% 19.07% 5.95%+2.29 +5.9 16
1958-08-03 @ Gornik Zabrze L 1-541.7 1427 1619 5.95% 19.07% 74.98%-2.29 -5.9 11
1958-08-03 Odra Opole W 2-035.7 1452 1410 66.85% 20.32% 12.83%+1.26 +7.9 14
1958-08-03 @ Lechia Gdansk L 0-235.7 1410 1452 12.83% 20.32% 66.85%-1.26 -7.9 9
1958-08-03 Gwardia Warsaw L 1-269.2 1628 1488 72.62% 19.58% 7.80%+1.93 -18.1 17
1958-08-03 @ Legia Warsaw W 2-169.2 1488 1628 7.80% 19.58% 72.62%-1.93 +18.1 16
1958-08-09 Lechia Gdansk W 2-145.2 1421 1460 60.04% 20.71% 19.25%+0.69 +5.7 13
1958-08-09 @ Cracovia L 1-245.2 1460 1421 19.25% 20.71% 60.04%-0.69 -5.7 14
1958-08-09 Legia Warsaw W 2-156.1 1369 1610 35.02% 20.70% 44.27%-0.71 +11.2 12
1958-08-09 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz L 1-256.1 1610 1369 44.27% 20.70% 35.02%+0.71 -11.3 17
1958-08-10 Gornik Zabrze W 2-156.5 1506 1625 51.49% 20.88% 27.63%+0.14 +7.7 18
1958-08-10 @ Gwardia Warsaw L 1-256.5 1625 1506 27.63% 20.88% 51.49%-0.14 -7.7 16
1958-08-10 Wisla Krakow W 2-142.8 1402 1416 62.34% 20.62% 17.04%+0.86 +5.1 11
1958-08-10 @ Odra Opole L 1-242.8 1416 1402 17.04% 20.62% 62.34%-0.86 -5.1 12
1958-08-10 LKS Lodz D 1-170.8 1610 1715 53.11% 20.87% 26.02%+0.23 -1.6 21
1958-08-10 @ Polonia Bytom D 1-170.8 1715 1610 26.02% 20.87% 53.11%-0.23 +1.6 22
1958-08-10 Ruch Chorzow L 0-147.7 1348 1538 42.13% 20.84% 37.03%-0.36 -11.5 5
1958-08-10 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 1-047.7 1538 1348 37.03% 20.84% 42.13%+0.36 +11.5 19
1958-08-14 Wisla Krakow D 1-157.1 1426 1411 64.82% 20.47% 14.70%+1.07 -3.2 14
1958-08-14 @ Cracovia D 1-157.1 1411 1426 14.70% 20.47% 64.82%-1.07 +3.2 13
1958-08-14 Polonia Bydgoszcz W 8-036.0 1617 1381 76.69% 18.59% 4.72%+2.60 +10.8 18
1958-08-14 @ Gornik Zabrze L 0-836.0 1381 1617 4.72% 18.59% 76.69%-2.60 -10.8 12
1958-08-14 Gwardia Warsaw L 1-259.9 1455 1514 58.07% 20.78% 21.16%+0.55 -14.4 14
1958-08-14 @ Lechia Gdansk W 2-159.9 1514 1455 21.16% 20.78% 58.07%-0.55 +14.4 20
1958-08-14 Polonia Bytom L 1-268.9 1599 1609 62.73% 20.60% 16.68%+0.89 -15.6 17
1958-08-14 @ Legia Warsaw W 2-168.9 1609 1599 16.68% 20.60% 62.73%-0.89 +15.6 23
1958-08-14 Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 7-036.4 1716 1336 81.01% 16.78% 2.22%+3.59 +4.3 24
1958-08-14 @ LKS Lodz L 0-736.4 1336 1716 2.22% 16.78% 81.01%-3.59 -4.3 5
1958-08-14 Odra Opole W 2-144.0 1549 1407 72.74% 19.56% 7.70%+1.95 +2.4 21
1958-08-14 @ Ruch Chorzow L 1-244.0 1407 1549 7.70% 19.56% 72.74%-1.95 -2.4 11
1958-08-16 Cracovia W 2-144.9 1552 1423 72.03% 19.68% 8.29%+1.85 +2.6 23
1958-08-16 @ Ruch Chorzow L 1-244.9 1423 1552 8.29% 19.68% 72.03%-1.85 -2.6 14
1958-08-17 Zaglebie Sosnowiec D 1-160.1 1583 1332 77.21% 18.42% 4.36%+2.70 -4.9 18
1958-08-17 @ Legia Warsaw D 1-160.1 1332 1583 4.36% 18.42% 77.21%-2.70 +4.9 6
1958-08-17 LKS Lodz L 1-452.1 1404 1721 25.61% 20.34% 54.05%-1.23 -17.5 11
1958-08-17 @ Odra Opole W 4-152.1 1721 1404 54.05% 20.34% 25.61%+1.23 +17.5 26
1958-08-17 Lechia Gdansk W 4-140.8 1370 1440 56.93% 20.81% 22.27%+0.47 +15.7 14
1958-08-17 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz L 1-440.8 1440 1370 22.27% 20.81% 56.93%-0.47 -15.7 14
1958-08-17 Gornik Zabrze D 1-169.9 1624 1628 63.25% 20.57% 16.18%+0.93 -3.0 24
1958-08-17 @ Polonia Bytom D 1-169.9 1628 1624 16.18% 20.57% 63.25%-0.93 +3.0 19
1958-08-17 Gwardia Warsaw W 3-041.0 1414 1528 51.96% 20.88% 27.16%+0.17 +22.0 15
1958-08-17 @ Wisla Krakow L 0-341.0 1528 1414 27.16% 20.88% 51.96%-0.17 -22.0 20
1958-08-23 Ruch Chorzow L 2-378.9 1738 1554 74.65% 19.15% 6.19%+2.24 -17.7 26
1958-08-23 @ LKS Lodz W 3-278.9 1554 1738 6.19% 19.15% 74.65%-2.24 +17.7 25
1958-08-23 Polonia Bytom D 1-162.7 1386 1621 35.70% 20.72% 43.58%-0.67 +0.5 15
1958-08-23 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz D 1-162.7 1621 1386 43.58% 20.72% 35.70%+0.67 -0.5 25
1958-08-24 Legia Warsaw W 4-044.1 1631 1578 67.52% 20.26% 12.22%+1.32 +14.3 21
1958-08-24 @ Gornik Zabrze L 0-444.1 1578 1631 12.22% 20.26% 67.52%-1.32 -14.3 18
1958-08-24 Cracovia W 3-142.2 1506 1421 69.66% 20.02% 10.32%+1.55 +5.6 22
1958-08-24 @ Gwardia Warsaw L 1-342.2 1421 1506 10.32% 20.02% 69.66%-1.55 -5.5 14
1958-08-24 Lechia Gdansk W 2-143.3 1436 1424 64.50% 20.49% 15.01%+1.04 +4.5 17
1958-08-24 @ Wisla Krakow L 1-243.3 1424 1436 15.01% 20.49% 64.50%-1.04 -4.5 14
1958-08-24 Odra Opole L 0-149.1 1337 1387 59.02% 20.75% 20.23%+0.61 -15.5 6
1958-08-24 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 1-049.1 1387 1337 20.23% 20.75% 59.02%-0.61 +15.5 13
1958-09-06 Gornik Zabrze L 1-257.2 1420 1645 37.16% 20.76% 42.08%-0.60 -9.8 14
1958-09-06 @ Lechia Gdansk W 2-157.2 1645 1420 42.08% 20.76% 37.16%+0.60 +9.8 23
1958-09-06 Legia Warsaw W 5-253.1 1572 1564 64.19% 20.51% 15.29%+1.01 +9.8 27
1958-09-06 @ Ruch Chorzow L 2-553.1 1564 1572 15.29% 20.51% 64.19%-1.01 -9.8 18
1958-09-07 Polonia Bydgoszcz W 6-032.1 1415 1386 65.86% 20.40% 13.75%+1.16 +23.3 16
1958-09-07 @ Cracovia L 0-632.1 1386 1415 13.75% 20.40% 65.86%-1.16 -23.3 15
1958-09-07 Odra Opole D 0-056.2 1512 1402 71.04% 19.84% 9.12%+1.72 -4.6 23
1958-09-07 @ Gwardia Warsaw D 0-056.2 1402 1512 9.12% 19.84% 71.04%-1.72 +4.5 14
1958-09-07 Wisla Krakow W 5-039.7 1721 1441 78.18% 18.08% 3.75%+2.90 +5.5 28
1958-09-07 @ LKS Lodz L 0-539.7 1441 1721 3.75% 18.08% 78.18%-2.90 -5.5 17
1958-09-07 Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 2-034.7 1621 1321 78.77% 17.84% 3.39%+3.03 +2.1 27
1958-09-07 @ Polonia Bytom L 0-234.7 1321 1621 3.39% 17.84% 78.77%-3.03 -2.1 6
1958-10-12 Polonia Bytom L 0-251.9 1438 1623 42.89% 20.85% 36.26%-0.32 -22.0 16
1958-10-12 @ Cracovia W 2-051.9 1623 1438 36.26% 20.85% 42.89%+0.32 +22.0 29
1958-10-12 Ruch Chorzow W 2-153.9 1655 1582 68.88% 20.12% 11.00%+1.47 +3.4 25
1958-10-12 @ Gornik Zabrze L 1-253.9 1582 1655 11.00% 20.12% 68.88%-1.47 -3.4 27
1958-10-12 LKS Lodz D 2-272.5 1410 1726 25.66% 20.34% 53.99%-1.23 +1.3 15
1958-10-12 @ Lechia Gdansk D 2-272.5 1726 1410 53.99% 20.34% 25.66%+1.23 -1.3 29
1958-10-12 Wisla Krakow W 4-036.0 1554 1435 71.55% 19.76% 8.69%+1.79 +10.3 20
1958-10-12 @ Legia Warsaw L 0-436.0 1435 1554 8.69% 19.76% 71.55%-1.79 -10.3 17
1958-10-12 Polonia Bydgoszcz W 2-033.4 1407 1363 66.94% 20.31% 12.75%+1.27 +7.8 16
1958-10-12 @ Odra Opole L 0-233.4 1363 1407 12.75% 20.31% 66.94%-1.27 -7.8 15
1958-10-12 Gwardia Warsaw L 2-356.0 1319 1507 42.36% 20.84% 36.80%-0.34 -10.3 6
1958-10-12 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 3-256.0 1507 1319 36.80% 20.84% 42.36%+0.34 +10.3 25
1958-10-19 Polonia Bytom W 4-260.7 1518 1645 50.42% 20.88% 28.69%+0.08 +12.3 27
1958-10-19 @ Gwardia Warsaw L 2-460.7 1645 1518 28.69% 20.88% 50.42%-0.08 -12.3 29
1958-10-19 Legia Warsaw W 3-044.6 1725 1565 73.60% 19.39% 7.01%+2.07 +6.4 31
1958-10-19 @ LKS Lodz L 0-344.6 1565 1725 7.01% 19.39% 73.60%-2.07 -6.4 20
1958-10-19 Cracovia W 2-035.9 1415 1416 63.41% 20.56% 16.03%+0.95 +9.6 18
1958-10-19 @ Odra Opole L 0-235.9 1416 1415 16.03% 20.56% 63.41%-0.95 -9.6 16
1958-10-19 Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 3-137.1 1355 1309 67.07% 20.30% 12.63%+1.28 +6.7 17
1958-10-19 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz L 1-337.1 1309 1355 12.63% 20.30% 67.07%-1.28 -6.7 6
1958-10-19 Lechia Gdansk L 0-258.1 1578 1411 73.89% 19.33% 6.78%+2.12 -36.9 27
1958-10-19 @ Ruch Chorzow W 2-058.1 1411 1578 6.78% 19.33% 73.89%-2.12 +36.9 17
1958-10-19 Gornik Zabrze D 3-375.4 1425 1658 36.01% 20.73% 43.26%-0.66 +0.3 18
1958-10-19 @ Wisla Krakow D 3-375.4 1658 1425 43.26% 20.73% 36.01%+0.66 -0.2 26
1958-10-26 LKS Lodz D 0-067.9 1658 1731 56.61% 20.81% 22.58%+0.45 -2.3 27
1958-10-26 @ Gornik Zabrze D 0-067.9 1731 1658 22.58% 20.81% 56.61%-0.45 +2.3 32
1958-10-26 Polonia Bydgoszcz L 0-157.0 1530 1362 73.96% 19.31% 6.73%+2.13 -19.6 27
1958-10-26 @ Gwardia Warsaw W 1-057.0 1362 1530 6.73% 19.31% 73.96%-2.13 +19.6 19
1958-10-26 Legia Warsaw W 3-150.2 1448 1558 52.51% 20.87% 26.62%+0.20 +12.9 19
1958-10-26 @ Lechia Gdansk L 1-350.2 1558 1448 26.62% 20.87% 52.51%-0.20 -12.9 20
1958-10-26 Odra Opole W 2-039.9 1632 1424 75.63% 18.90% 5.47%+2.40 +3.4 31
1958-10-26 @ Polonia Bytom L 0-239.9 1424 1632 5.47% 18.90% 75.63%-2.40 -3.4 18
1958-10-26 Ruch Chorzow W 3-041.9 1425 1541 51.74% 20.88% 27.38%+0.15 +22.2 20
1958-10-26 @ Wisla Krakow L 0-341.9 1541 1425 27.38% 20.88% 51.74%-0.15 -22.2 27
1958-10-26 Cracovia L 1-448.2 1302 1407 53.12% 20.87% 26.02%+0.23 -32.5 6
1958-10-26 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 4-148.2 1407 1302 26.02% 20.87% 53.12%-0.23 +32.5 18

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1958-06-08 4.48% Wisla Krakow 1400 4 @ Gornik Zabrze 1647 3
2 1958-08-23 6.19% Ruch Chorzow 1554 3 @ LKS Lodz 1738 2
3 1958-10-26 6.73% Polonia Bydgoszcz 1362 1 @ Gwardia Warsaw 1530 0
4 1958-10-19 6.78% Lechia Gdansk 1411 2 @ Ruch Chorzow 1578 0
5 1958-08-03 7.80% Gwardia Warsaw 1488 2 @ Legia Warsaw 1628 1
6 1958-04-13 10.44% Gwardia Warsaw 1581 4 @ Gornik Zabrze 1664 3
7 1958-06-04 14.41% Odra Opole 1392 4 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz 1412 0
8 1958-06-08 15.09% Polonia Bydgoszcz 1350 3 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1361 1
9 1958-04-20 16.18% Cracovia 1417 2 @ Wisla Krakow 1414 1
10 1958-08-14 16.68% Polonia Bytom 1609 2 @ Legia Warsaw 1599 1
11 1958-04-26 19.68% Ruch Chorzow 1477 5 @ Cracovia 1433 0
12 1958-08-24 20.23% Odra Opole 1387 1 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1337 0
13 1958-08-14 21.16% Gwardia Warsaw 1514 2 @ Lechia Gdansk 1455 1
14 1958-05-04 23.69% LKS Lodz 1630 2 @ Ruch Chorzow 1546 1
15 1958-03-23 24.01% Polonia Bytom 1523 4 @ Wisla Krakow 1436 1
16 1958-07-26 25.52% LKS Lodz 1651 5 @ Gwardia Warsaw 1551 0
17 1958-10-26 26.02% Cracovia 1407 4 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1302 1
18 1958-05-18 31.11% Gwardia Warsaw 1551 1 @ Odra Opole 1405 0
19 1958-03-16 31.25% Gornik Zabrze 1599 4 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1452 2
20 1958-06-15 31.76% Polonia Bytom 1586 2 @ Odra Opole 1435 0
21 1958-03-30 33.03% Gornik Zabrze 1628 5 @ Cracovia 1467 1
22 1958-04-20 34.88% LKS Lodz 1589 5 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1414 1
23 1958-08-09 35.02% @ Polonia Bydgoszcz 1369 2 Legia Warsaw 1610 1
24 1958-05-04 35.16% @ Cracovia 1364 5 Gwardia Warsaw 1604 0
25 1958-06-04 35.96% @ Wisla Krakow 1389 2 Legia Warsaw 1623 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1958-04-26 69.21 Ruch Chorzow 5 1477 19.68% @ Cracovia 0 1433 59.59% 20.73%
2 1958-07-26 62.51 LKS Lodz 5 1651 25.52% @ Gwardia Warsaw 0 1551 53.62% 20.86%
3 1958-06-04 61.46 Odra Opole 4 1392 14.41% @ Polonia Bydgoszcz 0 1412 65.14% 20.45%
4 1958-05-04 52.50 @ Cracovia 5 1364 35.16% Gwardia Warsaw 0 1604 44.14% 20.71%
5 1958-03-30 36.89 Gornik Zabrze 5 1628 33.03% @ Cracovia 1 1467 46.09% 20.88%
6 1958-10-19 36.86 Lechia Gdansk 2 1411 6.78% @ Ruch Chorzow 0 1578 73.89% 19.33%
7 1958-04-20 35.63 LKS Lodz 5 1589 34.88% @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 1414 44.26% 20.86%
8 1958-03-23 33.62 Polonia Bytom 4 1523 24.01% @ Wisla Krakow 1 1436 55.15% 20.84%
9 1958-10-26 32.46 Cracovia 4 1407 26.02% @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 1302 53.12% 20.87%
10 1958-06-08 27.73 Polonia Bydgoszcz 3 1350 15.09% @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 1361 64.41% 20.50%
11 1958-03-16 24.22 @ Polonia Bytom 6 1499 65.18% Lechia Gdansk 0 1479 14.37% 20.45%
12 1958-06-15 23.89 Polonia Bytom 2 1586 31.76% @ Odra Opole 0 1435 47.36% 20.88%
13 1958-09-07 23.26 @ Cracovia 6 1415 65.86% Polonia Bydgoszcz 0 1386 13.75% 20.40%
14 1958-10-26 22.18 @ Wisla Krakow 3 1425 51.74% Ruch Chorzow 0 1541 27.38% 20.88%
15 1958-08-17 22.04 @ Wisla Krakow 3 1414 51.96% Gwardia Warsaw 0 1528 27.16% 20.88%
16 1958-10-12 21.95 Polonia Bytom 2 1623 36.26% @ Cracovia 0 1438 42.89% 20.85%
17 1958-10-26 19.57 Polonia Bydgoszcz 1 1362 6.73% @ Gwardia Warsaw 0 1530 73.96% 19.31%
18 1958-03-30 19.56 @ Gwardia Warsaw 5 1562 57.89% Legia Warsaw 1 1623 21.33% 20.78%
19 1958-03-16 18.68 Gornik Zabrze 4 1599 31.25% @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2 1452 47.86% 20.89%
20 1958-06-09 18.59 @ Cracovia 5 1405 59.15% Odra Opole 1 1454 20.11% 20.75%
21 1958-08-03 18.12 Gwardia Warsaw 2 1488 7.80% @ Legia Warsaw 1 1628 72.62% 19.58%
22 1958-06-08 17.74 Wisla Krakow 4 1400 4.48% @ Gornik Zabrze 3 1647 77.04% 18.48%
23 1958-08-23 17.66 Ruch Chorzow 3 1554 6.19% @ LKS Lodz 2 1738 74.65% 19.15%
24 1958-08-17 17.55 LKS Lodz 4 1721 54.05% @ Odra Opole 1 1404 25.61% 20.34%
25 1958-06-08 16.44 @ Legia Warsaw 3 1612 60.02% LKS Lodz 0 1652 19.26% 20.72%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1958-04-13 80.5 Gwardia Warsaw 4 1581 10.44% @ Gornik Zabrze 3 1664 69.52% 20.04%
2 1958-08-23 78.9 Ruch Chorzow 3 1554 6.19% @ LKS Lodz 2 1738 74.65% 19.15%
3 1958-06-08 76.7 Wisla Krakow 4 1400 4.48% @ Gornik Zabrze 3 1647 77.04% 18.48%
4 1958-10-19 75.4 @ Wisla Krakow 3 1425 36.01% Gornik Zabrze 3 1658 43.26% 20.73%
5 1958-03-30 73.4 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz 3 1437 47.06% LKS Lodz 3 1591 32.06% 20.88%
6 1958-04-13 72.7 @ LKS Lodz 2 1591 66.57% Polonia Bytom 2 1552 13.09% 20.34%
7 1958-05-18 72.5 @ Gornik Zabrze 2 1648 74.07% Lechia Gdansk 2 1478 6.64% 19.29%
8 1958-10-12 72.5 @ Lechia Gdansk 2 1410 25.66% LKS Lodz 2 1726 53.99% 20.34%
9 1958-08-10 70.8 @ Polonia Bytom 1 1610 53.11% LKS Lodz 1 1715 26.02% 20.87%
10 1958-08-17 69.9 @ Polonia Bytom 1 1624 63.25% Gornik Zabrze 1 1628 16.18% 20.57%
11 1958-08-03 69.2 Gwardia Warsaw 2 1488 7.80% @ Legia Warsaw 1 1628 72.62% 19.58%
12 1958-08-14 68.9 Polonia Bytom 2 1609 16.68% @ Legia Warsaw 1 1599 62.73% 20.60%
13 1958-10-26 67.9 @ Gornik Zabrze 0 1658 56.61% LKS Lodz 0 1731 22.58% 20.81%
14 1958-05-04 66.1 LKS Lodz 2 1630 23.69% @ Ruch Chorzow 1 1546 55.48% 20.83%
15 1958-07-20 65.3 @ Lechia Gdansk 1 1470 48.76% Polonia Bytom 1 1610 30.35% 20.89%
16 1958-05-18 65.2 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2 1365 40.18% Polonia Bytom 2 1568 39.00% 20.81%
17 1958-06-14 65.2 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz 2 1378 43.76% Gwardia Warsaw 2 1556 35.38% 20.86%
18 1958-06-04 64.6 @ Ruch Chorzow 0 1526 51.37% Gornik Zabrze 0 1645 27.75% 20.88%
19 1958-05-18 63.7 @ Wisla Krakow 1 1389 33.04% LKS Lodz 1 1644 46.32% 20.65%
20 1958-07-27 63.5 @ Odra Opole 1 1409 39.39% Gornik Zabrze 1 1619 39.81% 20.80%
21 1958-03-16 63.2 @ Gwardia Warsaw 1 1566 71.50% Ruch Chorzow 1 1448 8.74% 19.77%
22 1958-03-16 62.9 Gornik Zabrze 4 1599 31.25% @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2 1452 47.86% 20.89%
23 1958-08-23 62.7 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz 1 1386 35.70% Polonia Bytom 1 1621 43.58% 20.72%
24 1958-05-04 62.4 @ Legia Warsaw 3 1611 59.68% Gornik Zabrze 2 1654 19.59% 20.73%
25 1958-03-30 62.2 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2 1428 65.59% Wisla Krakow 2 1403 13.99% 20.42%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1958-09-07 32.1 @ Cracovia 6 1415 65.86% Polonia Bydgoszcz 0 1386 13.75% 20.40%
2 1958-10-12 33.4 @ Odra Opole 2 1407 66.94% Polonia Bydgoszcz 0 1363 12.75% 20.31%
3 1958-09-07 34.7 @ Polonia Bytom 2 1621 78.77% Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0 1321 3.39% 17.84%
4 1958-04-13 34.8 @ Ruch Chorzow 3 1463 66.47% Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0 1426 13.18% 20.35%
5 1958-04-13 34.9 @ Lechia Gdansk 3 1453 65.42% Cracovia 0 1430 14.15% 20.43%
6 1958-05-04 35.2 @ Lechia Gdansk 2 1471 69.03% Wisla Krakow 0 1395 10.87% 20.10%
7 1958-06-04 35.3 @ Gwardia Warsaw 2 1564 75.28% Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0 1365 5.72% 19.00%
8 1958-08-03 35.7 @ Lechia Gdansk 2 1452 66.85% Odra Opole 0 1410 12.83% 20.32%
9 1958-05-03 35.9 @ Polonia Bytom 3 1561 73.00% Polonia Bydgoszcz 0 1414 7.49% 19.51%
10 1958-06-05 35.9 @ Polonia Bytom 3 1568 73.44% Cracovia 0 1411 7.14% 19.42%
11 1958-10-19 35.9 @ Odra Opole 2 1415 63.41% Cracovia 0 1416 16.03% 20.56%
12 1958-08-14 36.0 @ Gornik Zabrze 8 1617 76.69% Polonia Bydgoszcz 0 1381 4.72% 18.59%
13 1958-10-12 36.0 @ Legia Warsaw 4 1554 71.55% Wisla Krakow 0 1435 8.69% 19.76%
14 1958-08-14 36.4 @ LKS Lodz 7 1716 81.01% Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0 1336 2.22% 16.78%
15 1958-03-23 36.9 @ Gornik Zabrze 6 1618 75.31% Odra Opole 0 1417 5.70% 18.99%
16 1958-06-15 37.0 @ Ruch Chorzow 2 1518 70.51% Wisla Krakow 0 1418 9.58% 19.91%
17 1958-04-13 37.1 @ Legia Warsaw 5 1603 73.88% Polonia Bydgoszcz 0 1437 6.79% 19.33%
18 1958-10-19 37.1 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz 3 1355 67.07% Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 1309 12.63% 20.30%
19 1958-07-22 37.7 @ Gornik Zabrze 1 1617 78.22% Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0 1336 3.72% 18.06%
20 1958-03-16 37.8 @ Polonia Bytom 6 1499 65.18% Lechia Gdansk 0 1479 14.37% 20.45%
21 1958-07-20 38.3 @ LKS Lodz 3 1646 76.31% Cracovia 0 1421 4.98% 18.71%
22 1958-04-27 38.6 @ Lechia Gdansk 5 1458 65.98% Polonia Bydgoszcz 1 1427 13.63% 20.39%
23 1958-03-23 39.3 @ Lechia Gdansk 1 1454 65.26% Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0 1433 14.29% 20.44%
24 1958-07-27 39.4 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2 1335 49.58% Lechia Gdansk 0 1469 29.53% 20.89%
25 1958-06-12 39.7 @ Legia Warsaw 4 1628 73.11% Lechia Gdansk 0 1479 7.41% 19.49%