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1960 I liga Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Ruch Chorzow

30 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ruch Chorzow

6.63 points above expected

30 points · 23.37 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Pogon Szczecin

5.71 points below expected

13 points · 18.71 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Ruch Chorzow 22 12 6 4 30 41 29 +12 23.37 +6.63
2 Legia Warsaw 22 12 5 5 29 40 26 +14 23.30 +5.70
3 Gornik Zabrze 22 12 4 6 28 52 32 +20 26.97 +1.03
4 Odra Opole 22 10 7 5 27 43 28 +15 23.86 +3.14
5 Polonia Bydgoszcz 22 9 4 9 22 30 43 -13 19.82 +2.18
6 Polonia Bytom 22 7 7 8 21 42 36 +6 25.15 -4.15
7 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 22 9 3 10 21 30 27 +3 20.31 +0.69
8 Wisla Krakow 22 7 6 9 20 29 38 -9 20.71 -0.71
9 Lechia Gdansk 22 7 4 11 18 29 35 -6 19.39 -1.39
10 LKS Lodz 22 5 8 9 18 28 36 -8 21.91 -3.91
11 Gwardia Warsaw 22 6 5 11 17 31 37 -6 20.50 -3.50
12 Pogon Szczecin 22 3 7 12 13 25 53 -28 18.71 -5.71

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ruch Chorzow 30 23.37 +6.63
2 Legia Warsaw 29 23.30 +5.70
3 Odra Opole 27 23.86 +3.14
4 Polonia Bydgoszcz 22 19.82 +2.18
5 Gornik Zabrze 28 26.97 +1.03

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Pogon Szczecin 13 18.71 -5.71
2 Polonia Bytom 21 25.15 -4.15
3 LKS Lodz 18 21.91 -3.91
4 Gwardia Warsaw 17 20.50 -3.50
5 Lechia Gdansk 18 19.39 -1.39

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 3 May 15 – May 29 1 in 143
2 Polonia Bydgoszcz 3 Jun 1 – Jun 12 1 in 32
3 Gornik Zabrze 4 Sep 17 – Oct 9 1 in 32
4 Ruch Chorzow 4 Jun 5 – Jun 19 1 in 20
5 Lechia Gdansk 2 May 22 – May 29 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pogon Szczecin 7 Jun 5 – Sep 18 1 in 313
2 Wisla Krakow 4 May 29 – Jun 12 1 in 112
3 Lechia Gdansk 4 Mar 27 – May 15 1 in 54
4 Legia Warsaw 3 Sep 25 – Oct 16 1 in 28
5 Gwardia Warsaw 3 May 22 – Jun 1 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Odra Opole 11 Jun 12 – Oct 23 1 in 79
2 Legia Warsaw 7 Mar 13 – May 22 1 in 41
3 Pogon Szczecin 6 Mar 13 – May 15 1 in 18
4 Polonia Bytom 6 Jun 19 – Sep 25 1 in 12
5 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 4 May 15 – Jun 1 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pogon Szczecin 11 May 15 – Sep 18 1 in 57
2 Polonia Bytom 6 Mar 20 – May 22 1 in 38
3 LKS Lodz 6 Mar 13 – May 15 1 in 32
4 Legia Warsaw 5 Aug 7 – Oct 16 1 in 31
5 Wisla Krakow 6 May 22 – Jun 19 1 in 21

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Ruch Chorzow 1538 30 +17 8 5.9 +2.1
Legia Warsaw 1544 29 +21 6 5.1 +0.9
Gornik Zabrze 1607 28 +47 8 5.8 +2.2
Odra Opole 1526 27 +19 7 6.1 +0.9
Polonia Bydgoszcz 1403 22 -7 4 3.8 +0.2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1408 21 -8 4 5.1 -1.1
Polonia Bytom 1518 21 -44 3 5.5 -2.5
Wisla Krakow 1402 20 -31 4 4.8 -0.8
Lechia Gdansk 1416 18 +25 6 4.3 +1.7
LKS Lodz 1412 18 -23 3 5.2 -2.2
Gwardia Warsaw 1445 17 +15 5 4.9 +0.1
Pogon Szczecin 1272 13 -31 2 3.5 -1.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team GZ GW LL LG LW OO PS PB PB RC WK ZS
Gornik Zabrze —
2-0-0
3.21
2-0-0
3.48
1-0-1
3.64
1-0-1
3.05
0-0-2
3.24
1-1-0
3.64
1-0-1
3.67
1-0-1
3.02
1-1-0
2.92
2-0-0
3.22
0-2-0
3.51
Gwardia Warsaw
0-0-2
2.28
 —
0-1-1
2.67
0-0-2
3.01
1-0-1
2.34
1-0-1
2.33
1-1-0
3.25
0-1-1
3.06
1-1-0
2.18
1-0-1
2.31
0-1-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.84
LKS Lodz
0-0-2
2.01
1-1-0
2.81
 —
0-2-0
3.05
0-2-0
2.53
1-1-0
2.55
0-0-2
3.21
1-0-1
2.99
1-1-0
2.20
0-1-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.87
0-0-2
3.03
Lechia Gdansk
1-0-1
1.86
2-0-0
2.48
0-2-0
2.43
 —
0-0-2
2.30
0-0-2
2.35
1-1-0
2.94
0-0-2
2.81
1-0-1
2.06
1-0-1
2.10
0-1-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.71
Legia Warsaw
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
3.14
0-2-0
2.96
2-0-0
3.19
 —
0-2-0
2.87
2-0-0
3.32
2-0-0
3.09
2-0-0
2.70
0-0-2
2.81
0-1-1
3.12
2-0-0
3.24
Odra Opole
2-0-0
2.24
1-0-1
3.15
0-1-1
2.94
2-0-0
3.14
0-2-0
2.61
 —
1-1-0
3.02
0-1-1
3.09
0-2-0
2.49
1-0-1
2.69
2-0-0
3.01
1-0-1
3.10
Pogon Szczecin
0-1-1
1.88
0-1-1
2.22
2-0-0
2.28
0-1-1
2.53
0-0-2
2.19
0-1-1
2.47
 —
1-0-1
2.37
0-1-1
2.14
0-1-1
2.19
0-1-1
2.42
0-0-2
2.35
Polonia Bydgoszcz
1-0-1
1.83
1-1-0
2.43
1-0-1
2.48
2-0-0
2.67
0-0-2
2.40
1-1-0
2.39
1-0-1
3.10
 —
1-0-1
2.03
0-1-1
2.16
0-1-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.84
Polonia Bytom
1-0-1
2.47
0-1-1
3.30
0-1-1
3.28
1-0-1
3.43
0-0-2
2.79
0-2-0
2.99
1-1-0
3.39
1-0-1
3.45
 —
0-1-1
2.92
1-1-0
2.86
2-0-0
3.20
Ruch Chorzow
0-1-1
2.56
1-0-1
3.17
1-1-0
2.88
1-0-1
3.39
2-0-0
2.67
1-0-1
2.79
1-1-0
3.32
1-1-0
3.33
1-1-0
2.56
 —
2-0-0
3.17
1-1-0
3.15
Wisla Krakow
0-0-2
2.26
1-1-0
2.66
1-0-1
2.61
1-1-0
3.04
1-1-0
2.35
0-0-2
2.47
1-1-0
3.06
1-1-0
2.96
0-1-1
2.62
0-0-2
2.32
 —
1-0-1
2.92
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0-2-0
1.99
1-0-1
2.64
2-0-0
2.45
1-0-1
2.77
0-0-2
2.25
1-0-1
2.39
2-0-0
3.13
1-0-1
2.64
0-0-2
2.30
0-1-1
2.35
1-0-1
2.56
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.66 +5.3
Allowed 0.56 -5.3
Differential 0.78 +3.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.82%5.68%5.68%1.14%2.27%1.14%22.73%
15.68%7.58%8.71%4.17%3.03%0.76%29.92%
25.68%8.71%9.09%1.52%1.52%1.89%28.41%
31.14%4.17%1.52%1.52%——8.33%
42.27%3.03%1.52%———6.82%
5+1.14%0.76%1.89%———3.79%
Total22.73%29.92%28.41%8.33%6.82%3.79%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.59 +0.00
SD 1.35 1.35 2.03
CV 0.85 0.85 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%——4.55%——13.64%
14.55%—4.55%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
29.09%4.55%9.09%—9.09%—31.82%
3—9.09%————9.09%
49.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total36.36%18.18%22.73%9.09%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.36 1.45 +0.91
SD 1.76 1.44 2.52
CV 0.74 0.99 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%13.64%———31.82%
19.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
24.55%——9.09%—9.09%22.73%
34.55%——4.55%——9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total27.27%22.73%22.73%18.18%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.68 -0.27
SD 1.40 1.52 1.83
CV 1.00 0.91 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%13.64%4.55%——31.82%
1—13.64%9.09%9.09%——31.82%
2—13.64%13.64%———27.27%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total9.09%31.82%45.45%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.64 -0.36
SD 1.39 0.85 1.53
CV 1.09 0.52 —
Max 6 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%——4.55%—22.73%
14.55%4.55%18.18%13.64%——40.91%
29.09%—9.09%———18.18%
3—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%27.27%36.36%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.59 -0.27
SD 1.04 1.10 1.58
CV 0.79 0.69 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%———13.64%
118.18%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%—45.45%
2—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
44.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
5+———————
Total31.82%31.82%27.27%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.18 +0.64
SD 1.44 1.10 1.79
CV 0.79 0.93 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%———13.64%
19.09%13.64%13.64%—4.55%—40.91%
2—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
3—13.64%—4.55%——18.18%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total22.73%40.91%27.27%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 1.27 +0.68
SD 1.56 1.03 1.84
CV 0.80 0.81 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%—9.09%—4.55%4.55%31.82%
1—4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%31.82%
24.55%4.55%13.64%—4.55%4.55%31.82%
3———————
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%13.64%27.27%9.09%13.64%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 2.41 -1.27
SD 1.04 1.76 2.07
CV 0.91 0.73 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%—9.09%4.55%31.82%
19.09%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—27.27%
29.09%9.09%4.55%——4.55%27.27%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total22.73%27.27%27.27%—13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.95 -0.59
SD 1.36 1.94 2.56
CV 1.00 0.99 —
Max 5 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
14.55%9.09%9.09%—9.09%—31.82%
2—9.09%13.64%4.55%——27.27%
34.55%——9.09%——13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total18.18%31.82%27.27%13.64%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 1.64 +0.27
SD 1.44 1.22 2.12
CV 0.76 0.74 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
14.55%9.09%————13.64%
213.64%22.73%18.18%—4.55%4.55%63.64%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total22.73%45.45%22.73%—4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.32 +0.55
SD 0.89 1.25 1.57
CV 0.48 0.95 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%——9.09%4.55%27.27%
1—4.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
29.09%18.18%13.64%———40.91%
3———————
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total22.73%27.27%27.27%4.55%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.73 -0.41
SD 1.17 1.49 2.26
CV 0.89 0.86 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%18.18%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
14.55%4.55%13.64%———22.73%
29.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+———————
Total22.73%40.91%27.27%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.23 +0.14
SD 1.26 0.92 1.64
CV 0.92 0.75 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Gornik Zabrze 1607 28 26.97 +1.03 73.0% 20 21 25 27 29 33 36
Legia Warsaw 1544 29 23.30 +5.70 95.0% 15 18 21 23 25 28 33
Ruch Chorzow 1538 30 23.37 +6.63 97.0% 14 16 21 24 26 29 32
Odra Opole 1526 27 23.86 +3.14 85.0% 15 18 22 24 26 30 33
Polonia Bytom 1518 21 25.15 -4.15 13.0% 18 20 23 25 27 31 34
Gwardia Warsaw 1445 17 20.50 -3.50 21.0% 12 14 18 21 23 25 30
Lechia Gdansk 1416 18 19.39 -1.39 45.0% 10 14 17 19 21 26 29
LKS Lodz 1412 18 21.91 -3.91 15.0% 13 17 20 21 24 27 29
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1408 21 20.31 +0.69 65.0% 10 15 18 20 22 27 28
Polonia Bydgoszcz 1403 22 19.82 +2.18 78.0% 13 15 18 20 22 24 29
Wisla Krakow 1402 20 20.71 -0.71 43.0% 13 15 18 21 23 25 28
Pogon Szczecin 1272 13 18.71 -5.71 7.0% 10 12 17 19 21 24 31

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 20% * Slight Edge: 20% to 26% * Clear Edge: 26% to 31% * Strong Edge: 31% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+32.58%
Strong Edge
53.79%25.00%21.21%
Elo Value
Home Edge
171 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0117.46500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.73 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.69+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.2 * Runaway: 0.2 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.2
Open
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
10%
Ruch Chorzow, 3rd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.77 * Some Luck: 2.77 to 4.15 * Lucky: 4.15 to 5.54 * Wild Swing: 5.54 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.99 * Close: 1.99 to 2.98 * Off: 2.98 to 3.97 * Way Off: 3.97 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.79 points
Some Luck
03.469
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.50
Close
02.485
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.00%
Ruch Chorzow
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
7.00%
Pogon Szczecin
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.11 * Even: 0.11 to 0.13 * Top-Heavy: 0.13 to 0.16 * Lopsided: 0.16 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.2 * Moderate Separation: 1.2 to 1.45 * Strong Separation: 1.45 to 1.75 * Wide Separation: 1.75 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 62.5% * Clear Edge: 62.5% to 66.5% * Wide Edge: 66.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80% * Clear Edge: 80% to 84.5% * Strong Edge: 84.5% to 89% * Dominant: 89% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 61% * Some Drama: 61% to 65.5% * Frequent: 65.5% to 67.5% * Very Frequent: 67.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 12.5% * Occasional: 12.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17% * Very Frequent: 17% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Top-Heavy
00.110.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 91.20
1.32
Moderate Separation
0.71.21.451.752.5
Interquartile Edge
67%
Wide Edge
50%60%66.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
87%
Strong Edge
50%86%100%
Close Games
Expected
57%
Few
0%54%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Very Frequent
0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.52 * Lopsided: 0.52 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.5 * Strong Carryover: 0.5 to 0.62 * Near-Lock: 0.62 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 19.5% * Shaky Favorites: 19.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.52
Notable Separation
00.340.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.15
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.12
Weak Carryover
00.380.50.621
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Shaky Favorites
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.07
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.72
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.083
Well Within Noise
00.1110.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Ruch Chorzow10.00%11.00%16.00%8.00%10.00%12.00%6.00%10.00%7.00%2.00%4.00%4.00%
Legia Warsaw8.00%12.00%17.00%12.00%14.00%12.00%4.00%6.00%4.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%
Gornik Zabrze42.00%24.00%8.00%12.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%——
Odra Opole10.00%18.00%12.00%16.00%10.00%8.00%8.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%
Polonia Bydgoszcz1.00%1.00%3.00%5.00%8.00%6.00%6.00%14.00%15.00%11.00%18.00%12.00%
Polonia Bytom18.00%17.00%17.00%8.00%14.00%13.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%3.00%—
Zaglebie Sosnowiec2.00%3.00%5.00%4.00%9.00%8.00%13.00%14.00%11.00%11.00%6.00%14.00%
Wisla Krakow—4.00%4.00%10.00%11.00%11.00%12.00%7.00%6.00%13.00%13.00%9.00%
Lechia Gdansk2.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%6.00%4.00%11.00%8.00%12.00%20.00%12.00%19.00%
LKS Lodz4.00%4.00%6.00%15.00%7.00%13.00%8.00%9.00%13.00%8.00%10.00%3.00%
Gwardia Warsaw1.00%4.00%7.00%7.00%6.00%6.00%15.00%13.00%8.00%10.00%14.00%9.00%
Pogon Szczecin2.00%—3.00%1.00%3.00%4.00%8.00%10.00%14.00%13.00%16.00%26.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Gornik Zabrze 100% —
Odra Opole 97.00% 3.00%
Polonia Bytom 97.00% 3.00%
Legia Warsaw 95.00% 5.00%
Ruch Chorzow 92.00% 8.00%
LKS Lodz 87.00% 13.00%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 80.00% 20.00%
Wisla Krakow 78.00% 22.00%
Gwardia Warsaw 77.00% 23.00%
Polonia Bydgoszcz 70.00% 30.00%
Lechia Gdansk 69.00% 31.00%
Pogon Szczecin 58.00% 42.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1960-03-13 Lechia Gdansk W 1-041.2 1564 1416 68.19% 23.95% 7.86%+1.55 +2.7 2
1960-03-13 @ Gornik Zabrze L 0-141.2 1416 1564 7.86% 23.95% 68.19%-1.55 -2.7 0
1960-03-13 Wisla Krakow L 0-252.5 1481 1457 59.72% 25.74% 14.55%+0.83 -29.0 0
1960-03-13 @ Gwardia Warsaw W 2-052.5 1457 1481 14.55% 25.74% 59.72%-0.83 +29.0 2
1960-03-13 Ruch Chorzow D 2-265.9 1484 1481 57.84% 25.95% 16.21%+0.70 -1.9 1
1960-03-13 @ LKS Lodz D 2-265.9 1481 1484 16.21% 25.95% 57.84%-0.70 +1.8 1
1960-03-13 Odra Opole D 0-052.9 1417 1443 55.10% 26.18% 18.71%+0.53 -2.4 1
1960-03-13 @ Pogon Szczecin D 0-052.9 1443 1417 18.71% 26.18% 55.10%-0.53 +2.4 1
1960-03-13 Legia Warsaw L 0-151.9 1415 1452 53.91% 26.26% 19.83%+0.46 -13.9 0
1960-03-13 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz W 1-051.9 1452 1415 19.83% 26.26% 53.91%-0.46 +13.9 2
1960-03-13 Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 1-037.6 1517 1363 68.54% 23.84% 7.62%+1.58 +2.6 2
1960-03-13 @ Polonia Bytom L 0-137.6 1363 1517 7.62% 23.84% 68.54%-1.58 -2.6 0
1960-03-20 LKS Lodz D 2-263.3 1414 1483 50.58% 26.42% 23.00%+0.28 -1.2 1
1960-03-20 @ Lechia Gdansk D 2-263.3 1483 1414 23.00% 26.42% 50.58%-0.28 +1.2 2
1960-03-20 Gornik Zabrze W 4-256.0 1466 1567 46.89% 26.50% 26.62%+0.10 +11.6 4
1960-03-20 @ Legia Warsaw L 2-456.0 1567 1466 26.62% 26.50% 46.89%-0.10 -11.6 2
1960-03-20 Polonia Bytom D 1-160.3 1445 1520 49.96% 26.44% 23.60%+0.25 -1.5 2
1960-03-20 @ Odra Opole D 1-160.3 1520 1445 23.60% 26.44% 49.96%-0.25 +1.5 3
1960-03-20 Pogon Szczecin D 2-263.8 1486 1415 63.28% 25.17% 11.54%+1.10 -2.4 3
1960-03-20 @ Wisla Krakow D 2-263.8 1415 1486 11.54% 25.17% 63.28%-1.10 +2.4 2
1960-03-20 Polonia Bydgoszcz W 4-033.1 1361 1401 53.68% 26.28% 20.05%+0.45 +22.7 2
1960-03-20 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec L 0-433.1 1401 1361 20.05% 26.28% 53.68%-0.45 -22.7 0
1960-03-27 Zaglebie Sosnowiec D 0-056.3 1555 1383 69.54% 23.50% 6.96%+1.69 -4.5 3
1960-03-27 @ Gornik Zabrze D 0-056.3 1383 1555 6.96% 23.50% 69.54%-1.69 +4.5 3
1960-03-27 LKS Lodz D 0-055.4 1452 1484 54.57% 26.22% 19.21%+0.50 -2.3 1
1960-03-27 @ Gwardia Warsaw D 0-055.4 1484 1452 19.21% 26.22% 54.57%-0.50 +2.3 3
1960-03-27 Legia Warsaw L 0-151.7 1413 1478 50.96% 26.40% 22.64%+0.30 -13.2 1
1960-03-27 @ Lechia Gdansk W 1-051.7 1478 1413 22.64% 26.40% 50.96%-0.30 +13.2 6
1960-03-27 Ruch Chorzow D 2-263.4 1417 1483 50.89% 26.41% 22.70%+0.30 -1.2 3
1960-03-27 @ Pogon Szczecin D 2-263.4 1483 1417 22.70% 26.41% 50.89%-0.30 +1.2 2
1960-03-27 Odra Opole W 2-146.2 1378 1444 50.92% 26.40% 22.68%+0.30 +6.6 2
1960-03-27 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz L 1-246.2 1444 1378 22.68% 26.40% 50.92%-0.30 -6.6 2
1960-03-27 Wisla Krakow D 2-267.4 1521 1483 60.78% 25.59% 13.63%+0.91 -2.1 4
1960-03-27 @ Polonia Bytom D 2-267.4 1483 1521 13.63% 25.59% 60.78%-0.91 +2.1 4
1960-03-31 Polonia Bytom W 1-046.3 1484 1519 54.23% 26.24% 19.53%+0.48 +6.2 4
1960-03-31 @ Ruch Chorzow L 0-146.3 1519 1484 19.53% 26.24% 54.23%-0.48 -6.2 4
1960-04-03 Pogon Szczecin D 1-157.2 1450 1416 60.49% 25.63% 13.87%+0.89 -2.8 2
1960-04-03 @ Gwardia Warsaw D 1-157.2 1416 1450 13.87% 25.63% 60.49%-0.89 +2.8 4
1960-04-03 Legia Warsaw D 0-056.9 1486 1491 57.08% 26.02% 16.90%+0.66 -2.7 4
1960-04-03 @ LKS Lodz D 0-056.9 1491 1486 16.90% 26.02% 57.08%-0.66 +2.7 7
1960-04-03 Gornik Zabrze W 4-148.1 1437 1551 45.25% 26.51% 28.24%+0.02 +19.2 4
1960-04-03 @ Odra Opole L 1-448.1 1551 1437 28.24% 26.51% 45.25%-0.02 -19.2 3
1960-04-03 Polonia Bydgoszcz W 2-035.0 1485 1385 65.32% 24.74% 9.94%+1.27 +6.4 6
1960-04-03 @ Wisla Krakow L 0-235.0 1385 1485 9.94% 24.74% 65.32%-1.27 -6.4 2
1960-04-03 Lechia Gdansk W 2-143.8 1388 1399 56.48% 26.08% 17.44%+0.62 +5.3 5
1960-04-03 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec L 1-243.8 1399 1388 17.44% 26.08% 56.48%-0.62 -5.3 1
1960-05-07 Ruch Chorzow D 1-157.0 1378 1490 45.40% 26.51% 28.09%+0.03 -1.0 3
1960-05-07 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz D 1-157.0 1490 1378 28.09% 26.51% 45.40%-0.03 +1.0 5
1960-05-07 Gwardia Warsaw L 0-157.4 1513 1447 62.88% 25.25% 11.87%+1.07 -16.2 4
1960-05-07 @ Polonia Bytom W 1-057.4 1447 1513 11.87% 25.25% 62.88%-1.07 +16.2 4
1960-05-08 Wisla Krakow W 4-038.9 1532 1492 60.93% 25.57% 13.50%+0.92 +16.2 5
1960-05-08 @ Gornik Zabrze L 0-438.9 1492 1532 13.50% 25.57% 60.93%-0.92 -16.2 6
1960-05-08 LKS Lodz W 2-040.3 1419 1483 51.04% 26.40% 22.56%+0.31 +13.1 6
1960-05-08 @ Pogon Szczecin L 0-240.3 1483 1419 22.56% 26.40% 51.04%-0.31 -13.1 4
1960-05-09 Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 1-038.8 1494 1393 65.33% 24.74% 9.93%+1.27 +3.4 9
1960-05-09 @ Legia Warsaw L 0-138.8 1393 1494 9.93% 24.74% 65.33%-1.27 -3.4 5
1960-05-11 Odra Opole L 1-352.8 1394 1456 51.30% 26.39% 22.31%+0.32 -21.7 1
1960-05-11 @ Lechia Gdansk W 3-152.8 1456 1394 22.31% 26.39% 51.30%-0.32 +21.7 6
1960-05-14 Gornik Zabrze D 2-268.5 1491 1548 51.97% 26.36% 21.67%+0.36 -1.3 6
1960-05-14 @ Ruch Chorzow D 2-268.5 1548 1491 21.67% 26.36% 51.97%-0.36 +1.3 6
1960-05-15 Polonia Bydgoszcz D 1-156.7 1464 1377 64.36% 24.96% 10.69%+1.19 -3.3 5
1960-05-15 @ Gwardia Warsaw D 1-156.7 1377 1464 10.69% 24.96% 64.36%-1.19 +3.3 4
1960-05-15 Zaglebie Sosnowiec L 1-356.4 1470 1390 63.96% 25.04% 11.00%+1.16 -26.9 4
1960-05-15 @ LKS Lodz W 3-156.4 1390 1470 11.00% 25.04% 63.96%-1.16 +26.9 7
1960-05-15 Legia Warsaw D 0-056.8 1478 1497 55.76% 26.14% 18.10%+0.57 -2.5 7
1960-05-15 @ Odra Opole D 0-056.8 1497 1478 18.10% 26.14% 55.76%-0.57 +2.5 10
1960-05-15 Polonia Bytom D 2-264.4 1432 1497 51.03% 26.40% 22.57%+0.31 -1.2 7
1960-05-15 @ Pogon Szczecin D 2-264.4 1497 1432 22.57% 26.40% 51.03%-0.31 +1.2 5
1960-05-15 Lechia Gdansk W 2-142.5 1476 1372 65.49% 24.70% 9.81%+1.29 +3.2 8
1960-05-15 @ Wisla Krakow L 1-242.5 1372 1476 9.81% 24.70% 65.49%-1.29 -3.2 1
1960-05-22 Gwardia Warsaw W 5-246.3 1549 1460 64.53% 24.92% 10.55%+1.20 +7.2 8
1960-05-22 @ Gornik Zabrze L 2-546.3 1460 1549 10.55% 24.92% 64.53%-1.20 -7.2 5
1960-05-22 Ruch Chorzow W 2-041.0 1369 1490 44.29% 26.51% 29.20%-0.02 +16.1 3
1960-05-22 @ Lechia Gdansk L 0-241.0 1490 1369 29.20% 26.51% 44.29%+0.02 -16.1 6
1960-05-22 Wisla Krakow D 1-161.0 1500 1479 59.39% 25.78% 14.83%+0.81 -2.7 11
1960-05-22 @ Legia Warsaw D 1-161.0 1479 1500 14.83% 25.78% 59.39%-0.81 +2.7 9
1960-05-22 Pogon Szczecin W 2-037.2 1381 1431 52.64% 26.33% 21.03%+0.39 +12.4 6
1960-05-22 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz L 0-237.2 1431 1381 21.03% 26.33% 52.64%-0.39 -12.4 7
1960-05-22 LKS Lodz L 1-261.4 1498 1443 62.07% 25.39% 12.54%+1.00 -15.1 5
1960-05-22 @ Polonia Bytom W 2-161.4 1443 1498 12.54% 25.39% 62.07%-1.00 +15.1 6
1960-05-22 Odra Opole W 2-148.0 1417 1476 51.66% 26.38% 21.97%+0.34 +6.4 9
1960-05-22 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec L 1-248.0 1476 1417 21.97% 26.38% 51.66%-0.34 -6.4 7
1960-05-28 Gornik Zabrze D 0-056.7 1418 1556 42.06% 26.49% 31.45%-0.12 -0.6 8
1960-05-28 @ Pogon Szczecin D 0-056.7 1556 1418 31.45% 26.49% 42.06%+0.12 +0.6 9
1960-05-29 Lechia Gdansk L 0-153.5 1453 1385 63.05% 25.22% 11.73%+1.08 -16.2 5
1960-05-29 @ Gwardia Warsaw W 1-053.5 1385 1453 11.73% 25.22% 63.05%-1.08 +16.2 5
1960-05-29 Odra Opole W 2-147.7 1458 1469 56.56% 26.07% 17.37%+0.62 +5.3 8
1960-05-29 @ LKS Lodz L 1-247.7 1469 1458 17.37% 26.07% 56.56%-0.62 -5.3 7
1960-05-29 Polonia Bydgoszcz W 4-032.6 1483 1393 64.59% 24.91% 10.50%+1.21 +12.9 7
1960-05-29 @ Polonia Bytom L 0-432.6 1393 1483 10.50% 24.91% 64.59%-1.21 -12.9 6
1960-05-29 Legia Warsaw W 3-146.9 1474 1497 55.39% 26.16% 18.45%+0.55 +9.7 8
1960-05-29 @ Ruch Chorzow L 1-346.9 1497 1474 18.45% 26.16% 55.39%-0.55 -9.7 11
1960-05-29 Zaglebie Sosnowiec L 0-155.3 1481 1423 62.37% 25.34% 12.29%+1.03 -16.1 9
1960-05-29 @ Wisla Krakow W 1-055.3 1423 1481 12.29% 25.34% 62.37%-1.03 +16.1 11
1960-06-01 Polonia Bytom W 2-150.5 1557 1496 62.58% 25.30% 12.12%+1.04 +3.9 11
1960-06-01 @ Gornik Zabrze L 1-250.5 1496 1557 12.12% 25.30% 62.58%-1.04 -3.9 7
1960-06-01 Pogon Szczecin D 0-051.8 1401 1418 56.06% 26.11% 17.83%+0.59 -2.5 6
1960-06-01 @ Lechia Gdansk D 0-051.8 1418 1401 17.83% 26.11% 56.06%-0.59 +2.5 9
1960-06-01 Gwardia Warsaw W 3-251.2 1487 1437 61.78% 25.44% 12.78%+0.98 +3.8 13
1960-06-01 @ Legia Warsaw L 2-351.2 1437 1487 12.78% 25.44% 61.78%-0.98 -3.9 5
1960-06-01 Wisla Krakow W 4-036.5 1464 1465 57.42% 25.99% 16.59%+0.68 +19.4 9
1960-06-01 @ Odra Opole L 0-436.5 1465 1464 16.59% 25.99% 57.42%-0.68 -19.4 9
1960-06-01 LKS Lodz W 1-042.5 1380 1464 48.89% 26.46% 24.65%+0.20 +7.5 8
1960-06-01 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz L 0-142.5 1464 1380 24.65% 26.46% 48.89%-0.20 -7.5 8
1960-06-01 Ruch Chorzow D 1-158.8 1439 1484 53.20% 26.30% 20.50%+0.42 -1.9 12
1960-06-01 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec D 1-158.8 1484 1439 20.50% 26.30% 53.20%-0.42 +1.9 9
1960-06-04 Wisla Krakow W 2-146.3 1456 1446 58.46% 25.88% 15.65%+0.75 +4.9 10
1960-06-04 @ LKS Lodz L 1-246.3 1446 1456 15.65% 25.88% 58.46%-0.75 -4.9 9
1960-06-05 Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 3-035.3 1433 1437 57.16% 26.02% 16.82%+0.66 +15.0 7
1960-06-05 @ Gwardia Warsaw L 0-335.3 1437 1433 16.82% 26.02% 57.16%-0.66 -15.0 12
1960-06-05 Legia Warsaw L 1-451.9 1420 1491 50.31% 26.42% 23.27%+0.27 -30.2 9
1960-06-05 @ Pogon Szczecin W 4-151.9 1491 1420 23.27% 26.42% 50.31%-0.27 +30.2 15
1960-06-05 Gornik Zabrze W 4-255.8 1388 1561 37.24% 26.39% 36.37%-0.33 +14.6 10
1960-06-05 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz L 2-455.8 1561 1388 36.37% 26.39% 37.24%+0.33 -14.6 11
1960-06-05 Lechia Gdansk W 2-144.0 1492 1399 64.80% 24.86% 10.34%+1.23 +3.3 9
1960-06-05 @ Polonia Bytom L 1-244.0 1399 1492 10.34% 24.86% 64.80%-1.23 -3.3 6
1960-06-05 Odra Opole W 4-143.6 1486 1483 57.76% 25.96% 16.28%+0.70 +12.3 11
1960-06-05 @ Ruch Chorzow L 1-443.6 1483 1486 16.28% 25.96% 57.76%-0.70 -12.3 9
1960-06-11 LKS Lodz W 2-040.1 1546 1461 64.27% 24.97% 10.76%+1.18 +6.9 13
1960-06-11 @ Gornik Zabrze L 0-240.1 1461 1546 10.76% 24.97% 64.27%-1.18 -6.9 10
1960-06-11 Polonia Bytom W 4-144.8 1521 1495 59.84% 25.72% 14.44%+0.84 +11.1 17
1960-06-11 @ Legia Warsaw L 1-444.8 1495 1521 14.44% 25.72% 59.84%-0.84 -11.1 9
1960-06-12 Polonia Bydgoszcz L 0-150.9 1396 1402 56.94% 26.04% 17.02%+0.65 -14.7 6
1960-06-12 @ Lechia Gdansk W 1-050.9 1402 1396 17.02% 26.04% 56.94%-0.65 +14.7 12
1960-06-12 Gwardia Warsaw W 1-041.6 1471 1448 59.57% 25.75% 14.68%+0.82 +4.9 11
1960-06-12 @ Odra Opole L 0-141.6 1448 1471 14.68% 25.75% 59.57%-0.82 -4.9 7
1960-06-12 Ruch Chorzow L 1-258.6 1441 1498 51.91% 26.37% 21.72%+0.35 -12.7 9
1960-06-12 @ Wisla Krakow W 2-158.6 1498 1441 21.72% 26.37% 51.91%-0.35 +12.7 13
1960-06-12 Pogon Szczecin W 2-035.0 1422 1390 60.33% 25.65% 14.02%+0.87 +8.8 14
1960-06-12 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec L 0-235.0 1390 1422 14.02% 25.65% 60.33%-0.87 -8.8 9
1960-06-16 Gwardia Warsaw W 2-038.5 1511 1443 63.04% 25.22% 11.74%+1.08 +7.5 15
1960-06-16 @ Ruch Chorzow L 0-238.5 1443 1511 11.74% 25.22% 63.04%-1.08 -7.5 7
1960-06-18 Gornik Zabrze W 3-150.9 1381 1553 37.38% 26.39% 36.23%-0.32 +16.3 8
1960-06-18 @ Lechia Gdansk L 1-350.9 1553 1381 36.23% 26.39% 37.38%+0.32 -16.3 13
1960-06-18 Pogon Szczecin W 5-136.2 1476 1381 64.93% 24.83% 10.24%+1.24 +10.5 13
1960-06-18 @ Odra Opole L 1-536.2 1381 1476 10.24% 24.83% 64.93%-1.24 -10.5 9
1960-06-19 Polonia Bydgoszcz W 2-145.6 1533 1417 66.28% 24.50% 9.22%+1.36 +3.0 19
1960-06-19 @ Legia Warsaw L 1-245.6 1417 1533 9.22% 24.50% 66.28%-1.36 -3.0 12
1960-06-19 LKS Lodz W 3-037.1 1518 1454 62.78% 25.27% 11.96%+1.06 +11.1 17
1960-06-19 @ Ruch Chorzow L 0-337.1 1454 1518 11.96% 25.27% 62.78%-1.06 -11.1 10
1960-06-19 Gwardia Warsaw D 0-053.1 1428 1435 56.91% 26.04% 17.05%+0.64 -2.6 10
1960-06-19 @ Wisla Krakow D 0-053.1 1435 1428 17.05% 26.04% 56.91%-0.64 +2.6 8
1960-06-19 Polonia Bytom L 1-257.9 1431 1484 52.32% 26.35% 21.33%+0.38 -12.8 14
1960-06-19 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 2-157.9 1484 1431 21.33% 26.35% 52.32%-0.38 +12.8 11
1960-07-22 Legia Warsaw W 2-044.5 1537 1536 57.66% 25.97% 16.37%+0.69 +10.1 15
1960-07-22 @ Gornik Zabrze L 0-244.5 1536 1537 16.37% 25.97% 57.66%-0.69 -10.1 19
1960-07-23 Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 2-144.6 1414 1418 57.17% 26.02% 16.82%+0.66 +5.2 14
1960-07-23 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz L 1-244.6 1418 1414 16.82% 26.02% 57.17%-0.66 -5.2 14
1960-07-24 Ruch Chorzow W 1-046.8 1438 1529 48.00% 26.48% 25.52%+0.15 +7.7 10
1960-07-24 @ Gwardia Warsaw L 0-146.8 1529 1438 25.52% 26.48% 48.00%-0.15 -7.7 17
1960-07-24 Lechia Gdansk D 1-156.5 1443 1397 61.41% 25.50% 13.10%+0.95 -3.0 11
1960-07-24 @ LKS Lodz D 1-156.5 1397 1443 13.10% 25.50% 61.41%-0.95 +2.9 9
1960-07-24 Wisla Krakow L 0-543.8 1371 1426 52.07% 26.36% 21.57%+0.36 -59.5 9
1960-07-24 @ Pogon Szczecin W 5-043.8 1426 1371 21.57% 26.36% 52.07%-0.36 +59.5 12
1960-07-24 Odra Opole D 3-370.8 1497 1486 58.48% 25.88% 15.64%+0.75 -1.6 12
1960-07-24 @ Polonia Bytom D 3-370.8 1486 1497 15.64% 25.88% 58.48%-0.75 +1.6 14
1960-07-30 Lechia Gdansk W 4-033.5 1525 1400 66.88% 24.34% 8.78%+1.42 +10.8 21
1960-07-30 @ Legia Warsaw L 0-433.5 1400 1525 8.78% 24.34% 66.88%-1.42 -10.8 9
1960-07-30 Gwardia Warsaw W 3-251.4 1440 1446 57.03% 26.03% 16.94%+0.65 +4.9 13
1960-07-30 @ LKS Lodz L 2-351.4 1446 1440 16.94% 26.03% 57.03%-0.65 -4.9 10
1960-07-30 Pogon Szczecin W 2-140.3 1522 1311 71.53% 22.73% 5.75%+1.92 +1.9 19
1960-07-30 @ Ruch Chorzow L 1-240.3 1311 1522 5.75% 22.73% 71.53%-1.92 -1.9 9
1960-07-30 Polonia Bytom L 0-550.8 1485 1495 56.65% 26.06% 17.29%+0.63 -64.4 12
1960-07-30 @ Wisla Krakow W 5-050.8 1495 1485 17.29% 26.06% 56.65%-0.63 +64.4 14
1960-07-30 Gornik Zabrze D 2-265.5 1413 1547 42.63% 26.50% 30.88%-0.10 -0.5 15
1960-07-30 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec D 2-265.5 1547 1413 30.88% 26.50% 42.63%+0.10 +0.5 16
1960-07-31 Polonia Bydgoszcz D 2-264.0 1488 1419 63.13% 25.20% 11.67%+1.09 -2.4 15
1960-07-31 @ Odra Opole D 2-264.0 1419 1488 11.67% 25.20% 63.13%-1.09 +2.4 15
1960-08-06 Odra Opole L 1-264.9 1547 1486 62.61% 25.30% 12.09%+1.05 -15.2 16
1960-08-06 @ Gornik Zabrze W 2-164.9 1486 1547 12.09% 25.30% 62.61%-1.05 +15.2 17
1960-08-06 Ruch Chorzow D 2-270.3 1560 1523 60.64% 25.61% 13.75%+0.90 -2.1 15
1960-08-06 @ Polonia Bytom D 2-270.3 1523 1560 13.75% 25.61% 60.64%-0.90 +2.1 20
1960-08-07 Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 3-249.6 1389 1413 55.36% 26.17% 18.47%+0.55 +5.3 11
1960-08-07 @ Lechia Gdansk L 2-349.6 1413 1389 18.47% 26.17% 55.36%-0.55 -5.3 15
1960-08-07 LKS Lodz D 2-266.8 1536 1445 64.69% 24.88% 10.42%+1.22 -2.5 22
1960-08-07 @ Legia Warsaw D 2-266.8 1445 1536 10.42% 24.88% 64.69%-1.22 +2.5 14
1960-08-07 Gwardia Warsaw L 2-548.8 1309 1441 42.90% 26.50% 30.60%-0.08 -22.8 9
1960-08-07 @ Pogon Szczecin W 5-248.8 1441 1309 30.60% 26.50% 42.90%+0.08 +22.8 12
1960-08-07 Wisla Krakow D 0-052.5 1421 1421 57.61% 25.97% 16.42%+0.69 -2.7 16
1960-08-07 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz D 0-052.5 1421 1421 16.42% 25.97% 57.61%-0.69 +2.7 13
1960-09-17 Ruch Chorzow W 4-253.6 1532 1526 58.14% 25.92% 15.94%+0.72 +7.6 18
1960-09-17 @ Gornik Zabrze L 2-453.6 1526 1532 15.94% 25.92% 58.14%-0.72 -7.6 20
1960-09-17 Odra Opole D 1-163.1 1534 1501 60.39% 25.65% 13.97%+0.88 -2.8 23
1960-09-17 @ Legia Warsaw D 1-163.1 1501 1534 13.97% 25.65% 60.39%-0.88 +2.8 18
1960-09-18 Wisla Krakow D 2-261.1 1395 1424 54.80% 26.21% 19.00%+0.52 -1.6 12
1960-09-18 @ Lechia Gdansk D 2-261.1 1424 1395 19.00% 26.21% 54.80%-0.52 +1.6 14
1960-09-18 Gwardia Warsaw W 5-245.2 1419 1464 53.17% 26.30% 20.52%+0.42 +12.9 18
1960-09-18 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz L 2-545.2 1464 1419 20.52% 26.30% 53.17%-0.42 -12.9 12
1960-09-18 Pogon Szczecin W 5-133.1 1557 1286 74.33% 21.41% 4.26%+2.27 +4.3 17
1960-09-18 @ Polonia Bytom L 1-533.1 1286 1557 4.26% 21.41% 74.33%-2.27 -4.3 9
1960-09-18 LKS Lodz W 2-038.1 1407 1448 53.66% 26.28% 20.07%+0.45 +12.0 17
1960-09-18 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec L 0-238.1 1448 1407 20.07% 26.28% 53.66%-0.45 -12.0 14
1960-09-25 Gornik Zabrze L 1-356.6 1451 1540 48.25% 26.48% 25.27%+0.17 -20.6 12
1960-09-25 @ Gwardia Warsaw W 3-156.6 1540 1451 25.27% 26.48% 48.25%-0.17 +20.6 20
1960-09-25 Polonia Bytom D 1-161.4 1436 1562 43.63% 26.50% 29.87%-0.05 -0.7 15
1960-09-25 @ LKS Lodz D 1-161.4 1562 1436 29.87% 26.50% 43.63%+0.05 +0.7 18
1960-09-25 Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 1-040.3 1504 1419 64.22% 24.98% 10.79%+1.18 +3.7 20
1960-09-25 @ Odra Opole L 0-140.3 1419 1504 10.79% 24.98% 64.22%-1.18 -3.7 17
1960-09-25 Polonia Bydgoszcz W 4-142.1 1282 1432 40.52% 26.47% 33.01%-0.19 +21.6 11
1960-09-25 @ Pogon Szczecin L 1-442.1 1432 1282 33.01% 26.47% 40.52%+0.19 -21.6 18
1960-09-25 Lechia Gdansk W 2-144.1 1518 1393 66.85% 24.35% 8.80%+1.42 +2.9 22
1960-09-25 @ Ruch Chorzow L 1-244.1 1393 1518 8.80% 24.35% 66.85%-1.42 -2.9 12
1960-09-25 Legia Warsaw W 2-151.8 1425 1531 46.21% 26.50% 27.28%+0.07 +7.6 16
1960-09-25 @ Wisla Krakow L 1-251.8 1531 1425 27.28% 26.50% 46.21%-0.07 -7.6 23
1960-10-02 Pogon Szczecin W 4-029.5 1560 1304 73.69% 21.73% 4.58%+2.18 +5.5 22
1960-10-02 @ Gornik Zabrze L 0-429.5 1304 1560 4.58% 21.73% 73.69%-2.18 -5.5 11
1960-10-02 Gwardia Warsaw W 2-037.1 1390 1430 53.69% 26.28% 20.04%+0.45 +11.9 14
1960-10-02 @ Lechia Gdansk L 0-237.1 1430 1390 20.04% 26.28% 53.69%-0.45 -12.0 12
1960-10-02 Ruch Chorzow L 1-264.1 1523 1521 57.79% 25.96% 16.26%+0.70 -14.0 23
1960-10-02 @ Legia Warsaw W 2-164.1 1521 1523 16.26% 25.96% 57.79%-0.70 +14.0 24
1960-10-02 LKS Lodz D 1-159.8 1507 1435 63.39% 25.15% 11.46%+1.11 -3.2 21
1960-10-02 @ Odra Opole D 1-159.8 1435 1507 11.46% 25.15% 63.39%-1.11 +3.2 16
1960-10-02 Polonia Bytom W 2-046.1 1410 1562 40.13% 26.46% 33.41%-0.20 +17.8 20
1960-10-02 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz L 0-246.1 1562 1410 33.41% 26.46% 40.13%+0.20 -17.8 18
1960-10-02 Wisla Krakow L 1-256.8 1416 1433 55.94% 26.12% 17.93%+0.58 -13.6 17
1960-10-02 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 2-156.8 1433 1416 17.93% 26.12% 55.94%-0.58 +13.6 18
1960-10-09 Polonia Bytom D 3-369.9 1418 1545 43.58% 26.50% 29.91%-0.05 -0.5 13
1960-10-09 @ Gwardia Warsaw D 3-369.9 1545 1418 29.91% 26.50% 43.58%+0.05 +0.5 19
1960-10-09 Pogon Szczecin L 1-257.3 1438 1298 67.74% 24.09% 8.17%+1.50 -16.4 16
1960-10-09 @ LKS Lodz W 2-157.3 1298 1438 8.17% 24.09% 67.74%-1.50 +16.4 13
1960-10-09 Lechia Gdansk W 3-141.6 1504 1402 65.40% 24.72% 9.88%+1.28 +5.5 23
1960-10-09 @ Odra Opole L 1-341.6 1402 1504 9.88% 24.72% 65.40%-1.28 -5.5 14
1960-10-09 Polonia Bydgoszcz W 2-038.0 1535 1428 65.73% 24.64% 9.63%+1.31 +6.2 26
1960-10-09 @ Ruch Chorzow L 0-238.0 1428 1535 9.63% 24.64% 65.73%-1.31 -6.2 20
1960-10-09 Gornik Zabrze L 1-453.9 1446 1566 44.50% 26.51% 29.00%-0.01 -27.1 18
1960-10-09 @ Wisla Krakow W 4-153.9 1566 1446 29.00% 26.51% 44.50%+0.01 +27.1 24
1960-10-16 Legia Warsaw W 4-145.1 1418 1509 47.95% 26.48% 25.57%+0.15 +17.8 15
1960-10-16 @ Gwardia Warsaw L 1-445.1 1509 1418 25.57% 26.48% 47.95%-0.15 -17.8 23
1960-10-16 Polonia Bydgoszcz W 6-240.2 1422 1422 57.56% 25.98% 16.46%+0.69 +13.6 18
1960-10-16 @ LKS Lodz L 2-640.2 1422 1422 16.46% 25.98% 57.56%-0.69 -13.6 20
1960-10-16 Lechia Gdansk L 1-349.3 1315 1397 49.07% 26.46% 24.47%+0.21 -20.9 13
1960-10-16 @ Pogon Szczecin W 3-149.3 1397 1315 24.47% 26.46% 49.07%-0.21 +20.9 16
1960-10-16 Gornik Zabrze W 3-045.8 1545 1593 52.87% 26.32% 20.81%+0.41 +17.9 21
1960-10-16 @ Polonia Bytom L 0-345.8 1593 1545 20.81% 26.32% 52.87%-0.41 -17.9 24
1960-10-16 Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 2-036.7 1541 1402 67.70% 24.10% 8.20%+1.50 +5.3 28
1960-10-16 @ Ruch Chorzow L 0-236.7 1402 1541 8.20% 24.10% 67.70%-1.50 -5.3 17
1960-10-16 Odra Opole L 1-354.3 1419 1510 48.10% 26.48% 25.42%+0.16 -20.5 18
1960-10-16 @ Wisla Krakow W 3-154.3 1510 1419 25.42% 26.48% 48.10%-0.16 +20.5 25
1960-10-23 Polonia Bydgoszcz W 7-037.0 1575 1408 69.28% 23.59% 7.13%+1.66 +14.9 26
1960-10-23 @ Gornik Zabrze L 0-737.0 1408 1575 7.13% 23.59% 69.28%-1.66 -14.9 20
1960-10-23 Polonia Bytom W 3-259.5 1417 1563 41.05% 26.48% 32.48%-0.16 +8.2 18
1960-10-23 @ Lechia Gdansk L 2-359.5 1563 1417 32.48% 26.48% 41.05%+0.16 -8.2 21
1960-10-23 Pogon Szczecin W 3-136.6 1492 1294 70.89% 22.99% 6.12%+1.84 +3.4 25
1960-10-23 @ Legia Warsaw L 1-336.6 1294 1492 6.12% 22.99% 70.89%-1.84 -3.4 13
1960-10-23 Ruch Chorzow W 5-251.3 1530 1546 56.04% 26.11% 17.85%+0.59 +11.5 27
1960-10-23 @ Odra Opole L 2-551.3 1546 1530 17.85% 26.11% 56.04%-0.59 -11.5 28
1960-10-23 LKS Lodz W 2-145.6 1399 1435 54.05% 26.25% 19.70%+0.47 +5.9 20
1960-10-23 @ Wisla Krakow L 1-245.6 1435 1399 19.70% 26.25% 54.05%-0.47 -5.9 18
1960-10-23 Gwardia Warsaw W 2-145.6 1397 1436 53.79% 26.27% 19.94%+0.46 +6.0 19
1960-10-23 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec L 1-245.6 1436 1397 19.94% 26.27% 53.79%-0.46 -6.0 15
1960-10-26 Legia Warsaw L 0-151.0 1403 1495 47.84% 26.48% 25.67%+0.15 -12.5 19
1960-10-26 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec W 1-051.0 1495 1403 25.67% 26.48% 47.84%-0.15 +12.5 27
1960-10-30 Odra Opole W 2-044.4 1430 1542 45.43% 26.51% 28.06%+0.03 +15.6 17
1960-10-30 @ Gwardia Warsaw L 0-244.4 1542 1430 28.06% 26.51% 45.43%-0.03 -15.6 27
1960-10-30 Gornik Zabrze L 1-354.9 1429 1590 38.99% 26.44% 34.57%-0.25 -17.2 18
1960-10-30 @ LKS Lodz W 3-154.9 1590 1429 34.57% 26.44% 38.99%+0.25 +17.2 28
1960-10-30 Zaglebie Sosnowiec L 2-452.6 1290 1390 46.95% 26.50% 26.55%+0.10 -18.0 13
1960-10-30 @ Pogon Szczecin W 4-252.6 1390 1290 26.55% 26.50% 46.95%-0.10 +18.0 21
1960-10-30 Lechia Gdansk W 3-142.3 1393 1426 54.44% 26.23% 19.33%+0.50 +10.0 22
1960-10-30 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz L 1-342.3 1426 1393 19.33% 26.23% 54.44%-0.50 -10.0 18
1960-10-30 Legia Warsaw L 1-460.5 1555 1507 61.52% 25.48% 13.00%+0.96 -36.6 21
1960-10-30 @ Polonia Bytom W 4-160.5 1507 1555 13.00% 25.48% 61.52%-0.96 +36.6 29
1960-10-30 Wisla Krakow W 2-145.0 1535 1405 67.17% 24.26% 8.57%+1.45 +2.8 30
1960-10-30 @ Ruch Chorzow L 1-245.0 1405 1535 8.57% 24.26% 67.17%-1.45 -2.8 20

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1960-10-09 8.17% Pogon Szczecin 1298 2 @ LKS Lodz 1438 1
2 1960-05-15 11.00% Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1390 3 @ LKS Lodz 1470 1
3 1960-05-29 11.73% Lechia Gdansk 1385 1 @ Gwardia Warsaw 1453 0
4 1960-05-07 11.87% Gwardia Warsaw 1447 1 @ Polonia Bytom 1513 0
5 1960-08-06 12.09% Odra Opole 1486 2 @ Gornik Zabrze 1547 1
6 1960-05-29 12.29% Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1423 1 @ Wisla Krakow 1481 0
7 1960-05-22 12.54% LKS Lodz 1443 2 @ Polonia Bytom 1498 1
8 1960-10-30 13.00% Legia Warsaw 1507 4 @ Polonia Bytom 1555 1
9 1960-03-13 14.55% Wisla Krakow 1457 2 @ Gwardia Warsaw 1481 0
10 1960-10-02 16.26% Ruch Chorzow 1521 2 @ Legia Warsaw 1523 1
11 1960-06-12 17.02% Polonia Bydgoszcz 1402 1 @ Lechia Gdansk 1396 0
12 1960-07-30 17.29% Polonia Bytom 1495 5 @ Wisla Krakow 1485 0
13 1960-10-02 17.93% Wisla Krakow 1433 2 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1416 1
14 1960-03-13 19.83% Legia Warsaw 1452 1 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz 1415 0
15 1960-06-19 21.33% Polonia Bytom 1484 2 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1431 1
16 1960-07-24 21.57% Wisla Krakow 1426 5 @ Pogon Szczecin 1371 0
17 1960-06-12 21.72% Ruch Chorzow 1498 2 @ Wisla Krakow 1441 1
18 1960-05-11 22.31% Odra Opole 1456 3 @ Lechia Gdansk 1394 1
19 1960-03-27 22.64% Legia Warsaw 1478 1 @ Lechia Gdansk 1413 0
20 1960-06-05 23.27% Legia Warsaw 1491 4 @ Pogon Szczecin 1420 1
21 1960-10-16 24.47% Lechia Gdansk 1397 3 @ Pogon Szczecin 1315 1
22 1960-09-25 25.27% Gornik Zabrze 1540 3 @ Gwardia Warsaw 1451 1
23 1960-10-16 25.42% Odra Opole 1510 3 @ Wisla Krakow 1419 1
24 1960-10-26 25.67% Legia Warsaw 1495 1 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1403 0
25 1960-10-30 26.55% Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1390 4 @ Pogon Szczecin 1290 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1960-07-30 64.44 Polonia Bytom 5 1495 17.29% @ Wisla Krakow 0 1485 56.65% 26.06%
2 1960-07-24 59.50 Wisla Krakow 5 1426 21.57% @ Pogon Szczecin 0 1371 52.07% 26.36%
3 1960-10-30 36.59 Legia Warsaw 4 1507 13.00% @ Polonia Bytom 1 1555 61.52% 25.48%
4 1960-06-05 30.20 Legia Warsaw 4 1491 23.27% @ Pogon Szczecin 1 1420 50.31% 26.42%
5 1960-03-13 29.02 Wisla Krakow 2 1457 14.55% @ Gwardia Warsaw 0 1481 59.72% 25.74%
6 1960-10-09 27.13 Gornik Zabrze 4 1566 29.00% @ Wisla Krakow 1 1446 44.50% 26.51%
7 1960-05-15 26.89 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 3 1390 11.00% @ LKS Lodz 1 1470 63.96% 25.04%
8 1960-08-07 22.80 Gwardia Warsaw 5 1441 30.60% @ Pogon Szczecin 2 1309 42.90% 26.50%
9 1960-03-20 22.69 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec 4 1361 53.68% Polonia Bydgoszcz 0 1401 20.05% 26.28%
10 1960-05-11 21.74 Odra Opole 3 1456 22.31% @ Lechia Gdansk 1 1394 51.30% 26.39%
11 1960-09-25 21.56 @ Pogon Szczecin 4 1282 40.52% Polonia Bydgoszcz 1 1432 33.01% 26.47%
12 1960-10-16 20.88 Lechia Gdansk 3 1397 24.47% @ Pogon Szczecin 1 1315 49.07% 26.46%
13 1960-09-25 20.57 Gornik Zabrze 3 1540 25.27% @ Gwardia Warsaw 1 1451 48.25% 26.48%
14 1960-10-16 20.51 Odra Opole 3 1510 25.42% @ Wisla Krakow 1 1419 48.10% 26.48%
15 1960-06-01 19.38 @ Odra Opole 4 1464 57.42% Wisla Krakow 0 1465 16.59% 25.99%
16 1960-04-03 19.18 @ Odra Opole 4 1437 45.25% Gornik Zabrze 1 1551 28.24% 26.51%
17 1960-10-30 17.96 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 4 1390 26.55% @ Pogon Szczecin 2 1290 46.95% 26.50%
18 1960-10-16 17.90 @ Polonia Bytom 3 1545 52.87% Gornik Zabrze 0 1593 20.81% 26.32%
19 1960-10-16 17.77 @ Gwardia Warsaw 4 1418 47.95% Legia Warsaw 1 1509 25.57% 26.48%
20 1960-10-02 17.76 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz 2 1410 40.13% Polonia Bytom 0 1562 33.41% 26.46%
21 1960-10-30 17.25 Gornik Zabrze 3 1590 34.57% @ LKS Lodz 1 1429 38.99% 26.44%
22 1960-10-09 16.40 Pogon Szczecin 2 1298 8.17% @ LKS Lodz 1 1438 67.74% 24.09%
23 1960-06-18 16.32 @ Lechia Gdansk 3 1381 37.38% Gornik Zabrze 1 1553 36.23% 26.39%
24 1960-05-29 16.23 Lechia Gdansk 1 1385 11.73% @ Gwardia Warsaw 0 1453 63.05% 25.22%
25 1960-05-08 16.20 @ Gornik Zabrze 4 1532 60.93% Wisla Krakow 0 1492 13.50% 25.57%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1960-07-24 70.8 @ Polonia Bytom 3 1497 58.48% Odra Opole 3 1486 15.64% 25.88%
2 1960-08-06 70.3 @ Polonia Bytom 2 1560 60.64% Ruch Chorzow 2 1523 13.75% 25.61%
3 1960-10-09 69.9 @ Gwardia Warsaw 3 1418 43.58% Polonia Bytom 3 1545 29.91% 26.50%
4 1960-05-14 68.5 @ Ruch Chorzow 2 1491 51.97% Gornik Zabrze 2 1548 21.67% 26.36%
5 1960-03-27 67.4 @ Polonia Bytom 2 1521 60.78% Wisla Krakow 2 1483 13.63% 25.59%
6 1960-08-07 66.8 @ Legia Warsaw 2 1536 64.69% LKS Lodz 2 1445 10.42% 24.88%
7 1960-03-13 65.9 @ LKS Lodz 2 1484 57.84% Ruch Chorzow 2 1481 16.21% 25.95%
8 1960-07-30 65.5 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2 1413 42.63% Gornik Zabrze 2 1547 30.88% 26.50%
9 1960-08-06 64.9 Odra Opole 2 1486 12.09% @ Gornik Zabrze 1 1547 62.61% 25.30%
10 1960-05-15 64.4 @ Pogon Szczecin 2 1432 51.03% Polonia Bytom 2 1497 22.57% 26.40%
11 1960-10-02 64.1 Ruch Chorzow 2 1521 16.26% @ Legia Warsaw 1 1523 57.79% 25.96%
12 1960-07-31 64.0 @ Odra Opole 2 1488 63.13% Polonia Bydgoszcz 2 1419 11.67% 25.20%
13 1960-03-20 63.8 @ Wisla Krakow 2 1486 63.28% Pogon Szczecin 2 1415 11.54% 25.17%
14 1960-03-27 63.4 @ Pogon Szczecin 2 1417 50.89% Ruch Chorzow 2 1483 22.70% 26.41%
15 1960-03-20 63.3 @ Lechia Gdansk 2 1414 50.58% LKS Lodz 2 1483 23.00% 26.42%
16 1960-09-17 63.1 @ Legia Warsaw 1 1534 60.39% Odra Opole 1 1501 13.97% 25.65%
17 1960-05-22 61.4 LKS Lodz 2 1443 12.54% @ Polonia Bytom 1 1498 62.07% 25.39%
18 1960-09-25 61.4 @ LKS Lodz 1 1436 43.63% Polonia Bytom 1 1562 29.87% 26.50%
19 1960-09-18 61.1 @ Lechia Gdansk 2 1395 54.80% Wisla Krakow 2 1424 19.00% 26.21%
20 1960-05-22 61.0 @ Legia Warsaw 1 1500 59.39% Wisla Krakow 1 1479 14.83% 25.78%
21 1960-10-30 60.5 Legia Warsaw 4 1507 13.00% @ Polonia Bytom 1 1555 61.52% 25.48%
22 1960-03-20 60.3 @ Odra Opole 1 1445 49.96% Polonia Bytom 1 1520 23.60% 26.44%
23 1960-10-02 59.8 @ Odra Opole 1 1507 63.39% LKS Lodz 1 1435 11.46% 25.15%
24 1960-10-23 59.5 @ Lechia Gdansk 3 1417 41.05% Polonia Bytom 2 1563 32.48% 26.48%
25 1960-06-01 58.8 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 1439 53.20% Ruch Chorzow 1 1484 20.50% 26.30%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1960-10-02 29.5 @ Gornik Zabrze 4 1560 73.69% Pogon Szczecin 0 1304 4.58% 21.73%
2 1960-05-29 32.6 @ Polonia Bytom 4 1483 64.59% Polonia Bydgoszcz 0 1393 10.50% 24.91%
3 1960-03-20 33.1 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec 4 1361 53.68% Polonia Bydgoszcz 0 1401 20.05% 26.28%
4 1960-09-18 33.1 @ Polonia Bytom 5 1557 74.33% Pogon Szczecin 1 1286 4.26% 21.41%
5 1960-07-30 33.5 @ Legia Warsaw 4 1525 66.88% Lechia Gdansk 0 1400 8.78% 24.34%
6 1960-04-03 35.0 @ Wisla Krakow 2 1485 65.32% Polonia Bydgoszcz 0 1385 9.94% 24.74%
7 1960-06-12 35.0 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2 1422 60.33% Pogon Szczecin 0 1390 14.02% 25.65%
8 1960-06-05 35.3 @ Gwardia Warsaw 3 1433 57.16% Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0 1437 16.82% 26.02%
9 1960-06-18 36.2 @ Odra Opole 5 1476 64.93% Pogon Szczecin 1 1381 10.24% 24.83%
10 1960-06-01 36.5 @ Odra Opole 4 1464 57.42% Wisla Krakow 0 1465 16.59% 25.99%
11 1960-10-23 36.6 @ Legia Warsaw 3 1492 70.89% Pogon Szczecin 1 1294 6.12% 22.99%
12 1960-10-16 36.7 @ Ruch Chorzow 2 1541 67.70% Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0 1402 8.20% 24.10%
13 1960-10-23 37.0 @ Gornik Zabrze 7 1575 69.28% Polonia Bydgoszcz 0 1408 7.13% 23.59%
14 1960-06-19 37.1 @ Ruch Chorzow 3 1518 62.78% LKS Lodz 0 1454 11.96% 25.27%
15 1960-10-02 37.1 @ Lechia Gdansk 2 1390 53.69% Gwardia Warsaw 0 1430 20.04% 26.28%
16 1960-05-22 37.2 @ Polonia Bydgoszcz 2 1381 52.64% Pogon Szczecin 0 1431 21.03% 26.33%
17 1960-03-13 37.6 @ Polonia Bytom 1 1517 68.54% Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0 1363 7.62% 23.84%
18 1960-10-09 38.0 @ Ruch Chorzow 2 1535 65.73% Polonia Bydgoszcz 0 1428 9.63% 24.64%
19 1960-09-18 38.1 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2 1407 53.66% LKS Lodz 0 1448 20.07% 26.28%
20 1960-06-16 38.5 @ Ruch Chorzow 2 1511 63.04% Gwardia Warsaw 0 1443 11.74% 25.22%
21 1960-05-09 38.8 @ Legia Warsaw 1 1494 65.33% Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0 1393 9.93% 24.74%
22 1960-05-08 38.9 @ Gornik Zabrze 4 1532 60.93% Wisla Krakow 0 1492 13.50% 25.57%
23 1960-06-11 40.1 @ Gornik Zabrze 2 1546 64.27% LKS Lodz 0 1461 10.76% 24.97%
24 1960-10-16 40.2 @ LKS Lodz 6 1422 57.56% Polonia Bydgoszcz 2 1422 16.46% 25.98%
25 1960-05-08 40.3 @ Pogon Szczecin 2 1419 51.04% LKS Lodz 0 1483 22.56% 26.40%