1946-47 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Sporting Clube de Portugal

47 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sporting Clube de Portugal

5.13 points above expected

47 points · 41.87 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sanjoanense

8.59 points below expected

5 points · 13.59 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	26	23	1	2	47	123	40	+83	41.9	+5.13
2	Benfica	26	20	1	5	41	99	47	+52	39.5	+1.55
3	Estoril	26	16	1	9	33	96	55	+41	28.1	+4.91
4	Os Belenenses (1st)	26	14	5	7	33	66	31	+35	35.6	-2.63
5	Porto	26	15	3	8	33	73	45	+28	30.7	+2.26
6	Olhanense	26	11	4	11	26	69	73	-4	25.9	+0.13
7	Atletico Clube de Portugal	26	11	3	12	25	56	61	-5	23.3	+1.72
8	Vitoria Guimaraes	26	8	8	10	24	54	54	0	23.5	+0.54
9	Vitoria Setubal	26	8	4	14	20	45	50	-5	22.8	-2.75
10	Boavista	26	7	6	13	20	52	74	-22	18.2	+1.83
11	O Elvas	26	9	2	15	20	65	89	-24	20.9	-0.85
12	Academica de Coimbra	26	8	4	14	20	49	96	-47	20.7	-0.67
13	Famalicao	26	7	3	16	17	60	100	-40	19.6	-2.58
14	Sanjoanense	26	2	1	23	5	26	118	-92	13.6	-8.59

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1963	47	41.87	+5.13	98.0%	34	36	40	42	44	46	49
Benfica	1898	41	39.45	+1.55	65.0%	32	33	37	39	42	46	48
Os Belenenses (1st)	1760	33	35.63	-2.63	28.0%	28	30	33	35	38	41	45
Porto	1682	33	30.74	+2.26	73.0%	22	24	28	31	34	36	38
Estoril	1658	33	28.09	+4.91	93.0%	19	21	26	29	30	34	37
Olhanense	1579	26	25.87	+0.13	58.0%	18	20	23	26	28	32	35
Atletico Clube de Portugal	1499	25	23.28	+1.72	70.0%	11	16	21	23	26	29	31
Vitoria Guimaraes	1455	24	23.46	+0.54	65.0%	14	17	20	23	26	31	35
Vitoria Setubal	1416	20	22.75	-2.75	30.0%	14	16	19	23	26	28	33
Boavista	1398	20	18.17	+1.83	74.0%	8	12	15	18	21	25	26
O Elvas	1389	20	20.85	-0.85	47.0%	6	13	19	21	24	26	29
Academica de Coimbra	1307	20	20.67	-0.67	45.0%	13	14	17	21	23	27	30
Famalicao	1307	17	19.58	-2.58	30.0%	11	12	17	20	22	26	29
Sanjoanense	1125	5	13.59	-8.59	2.0%	5	8	11	13	16	20	24

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	ACDP	BEN	BOA	EST	FAM	OE	OLH	OB(	POR	SAN	SCDP	VG	VS
Academica de Coimbra	—	1-0-1 2.58	0-1-1 0.64	1-0-1 3.15	0-0-2 2.15	1-0-1 3.13	1-0-1 2.88	0-0-2 2.23	1-0-1 1.31	1-0-1 1.80	1-1-0 3.56	0-0-2 0.58	0-2-0 2.46	1-0-1 2.52
Atletico Clube de Portugal	1-0-1 3.20	—	1-0-1 1.24	1-0-1 3.51	0-0-2 2.14	2-0-0 3.49	1-0-1 3.14	0-1-1 2.81	0-2-0 1.41	0-0-2 2.32	2-0-0 4.52	0-0-2 0.92	1-0-1 2.97	2-0-0 2.82
Benfica	1-1-0 5.15	1-0-1 4.54	—	2-0-0 4.89	1-0-1 4.55	2-0-0 5.13	2-0-0 4.58	2-0-0 4.36	1-0-1 3.71	1-0-1 4.06	2-0-0 5.13	1-0-1 2.49	2-0-0 4.39	2-0-0 4.89
Boavista	1-0-1 2.62	1-0-1 2.27	0-0-2 0.90	—	1-1-0 1.78	1-1-0 2.50	1-0-1 2.59	0-1-1 1.85	0-1-1 1.09	0-1-1 1.50	1-0-1 3.23	0-0-2 0.75	0-0-2 2.47	1-1-0 2.10
Estoril	2-0-0 3.63	2-0-0 3.63	1-0-1 1.23	0-1-1 4.00	—	2-0-0 3.58	2-0-0 3.92	1-0-1 3.08	0-0-2 2.59	1-0-1 2.52	2-0-0 4.71	0-0-2 1.37	2-0-0 3.36	1-0-1 3.50
Famalicao	1-0-1 2.65	0-0-2 2.29	0-0-2 0.66	0-1-1 3.27	0-0-2 2.20	—	1-0-1 2.73	0-0-2 2.21	0-0-2 0.92	1-1-0 1.11	2-0-0 3.61	0-0-2 1.08	0-1-1 2.29	2-0-0 2.24
O Elvas	1-0-1 2.90	1-0-1 2.64	0-0-2 1.20	1-0-1 3.19	0-0-2 1.86	1-0-1 3.05	—	1-0-1 2.15	1-0-1 1.15	1-0-1 1.73	1-0-1 3.59	0-0-2 1.08	0-2-0 2.66	1-0-1 2.66
Olhanense	2-0-0 3.55	1-1-0 2.97	0-0-2 1.42	1-1-0 3.92	1-0-1 2.70	2-0-0 3.56	1-0-1 3.63	—	1-0-1 1.45	0-0-2 1.96	2-0-0 4.00	0-0-2 1.09	0-1-1 3.54	0-1-1 3.57
Os Belenenses (1st)	1-0-1 4.48	0-2-0 4.37	1-0-1 2.07	1-1-0 4.69	2-0-0 3.19	2-0-0 4.86	1-0-1 4.63	1-0-1 4.33	—	0-1-1 3.61	2-0-0 5.22	1-0-1 2.15	1-1-0 4.10	1-0-1 4.11
Porto	1-0-1 3.98	2-0-0 3.46	1-0-1 1.71	1-1-0 4.27	1-0-1 3.26	0-1-1 4.67	1-0-1 4.05	2-0-0 3.82	1-1-0 2.17	—	2-0-0 5.11	0-0-2 1.34	2-0-0 3.64	1-0-1 3.70
Sanjoanense	0-1-1 2.22	0-0-2 1.26	0-0-2 0.67	1-0-1 2.54	0-0-2 1.07	0-0-2 2.16	1-0-1 2.18	0-0-2 1.78	0-0-2 0.57	0-0-2 0.68	—	0-0-2 0.27	0-0-2 1.80	0-0-2 2.32
Sporting Clube de Portugal	2-0-0 5.20	2-0-0 4.86	1-0-1 3.29	2-0-0 5.04	2-0-0 4.41	2-0-0 4.71	2-0-0 4.71	2-0-0 4.70	1-0-1 3.63	2-0-0 4.44	2-0-0 5.53	—	2-0-0 5.10	1-1-0 5.05
Vitoria Guimaraes	0-2-0 3.31	1-0-1 2.81	0-0-2 1.39	2-0-0 3.31	0-0-2 2.42	1-1-0 3.49	0-2-0 3.12	1-1-0 2.23	0-1-1 1.68	0-0-2 2.14	2-0-0 3.98	0-0-2 0.69	—	1-1-0 2.77
Vitoria Setubal	1-0-1 3.26	0-0-2 2.96	0-0-2 0.89	0-1-1 3.67	1-0-1 2.28	0-0-2 3.54	1-0-1 3.12	1-1-0 2.21	1-0-1 1.67	1-0-1 2.08	2-0-0 3.46	0-1-1 0.74	0-1-1 3.01	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	1.10%	2.47%	1.37%	2.20%	1.92%	4.95%	14.01%
1	2.47%	6.04%	4.40%	3.85%	2.47%	6.59%	25.82%
2	1.37%	4.40%	2.75%	3.85%	2.75%	2.20%	17.31%
3	2.20%	3.85%	3.85%	2.75%	1.92%	2.47%	17.03%
4	1.92%	2.47%	2.75%	1.92%	—	—	9.07%
5+	4.95%	6.59%	2.20%	2.47%	—	0.55%	16.76%
Total	14.01%	25.82%	17.31%	17.03%	9.07%	16.76%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.56
Mean allowed	2.56
StdDev scored	2.22
StdDev allowed	2.22
Mean total goals/game	5.13
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.252
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%
1	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%	42.31%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	23.08%
3	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	11.54%
4	—	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	7.69%	11.54%	15.38%	23.08%	11.54%	30.77%	100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.88
Mean allowed	3.69
StdDev scored	1.31
StdDev allowed	2.74
Mean total goals/game	5.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.402
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	11.54%
1	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	26.92%
2	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%	23.08%
3	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	19.23%
4	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	19.23%	19.23%	26.92%	11.54%	11.54%	11.54%	100%

Atletico Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.15
Mean allowed	2.35
StdDev scored	1.46
StdDev allowed	2.17
Mean total goals/game	4.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.207
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
2	—	—	—	7.69%	—	—	7.69%
3	3.85%	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	34.62%
4	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
5+	—	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
Total	11.54%	42.31%	23.08%	15.38%	—	7.69%	100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.81
Mean allowed	1.81
StdDev scored	2.33
StdDev allowed	1.52
Mean total goals/game	5.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.247
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%	19.23%
1	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	30.77%
2	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
3	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	7.69%	38.46%	11.54%	7.69%	11.54%	23.08%	100%

Boavista — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.00
Mean allowed	2.85
StdDev scored	1.88
StdDev allowed	2.46
Mean total goals/game	4.85
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.442
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%
1	—	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
2	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	15.38%
3	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
5+	11.54%	11.54%	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	42.31%
Total	11.54%	23.08%	26.92%	23.08%	11.54%	3.85%	100%

Estoril — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.69
Mean allowed	2.12
StdDev scored	2.75
StdDev allowed	1.34
Mean total goals/game	5.81
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.599
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%	7.69%
1	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	19.23%	30.77%
2	—	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	30.77%
3	—	—	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	11.54%
4	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	15.38%
Total	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	30.77%	7.69%	38.46%	100%

Famalicao — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.31
Mean allowed	3.85
StdDev scored	1.78
StdDev allowed	2.20
Mean total goals/game	6.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.140
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	7.69%
1	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	26.92%
2	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	19.23%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	15.38%	30.77%
4	—	—	—	7.69%	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	7.69%	15.38%	11.54%	23.08%	15.38%	26.92%	100%

O Elvas — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.50
Mean allowed	3.42
StdDev scored	1.96
StdDev allowed	2.37
Mean total goals/game	5.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.408
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%	11.54%
1	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	30.77%
2	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%
3	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	19.23%
4	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
Total	23.08%	19.23%	15.38%	3.85%	11.54%	26.92%	100%

Olhanense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.65
Mean allowed	2.81
StdDev scored	2.53
StdDev allowed	2.71
Mean total goals/game	5.46
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.430
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
1	—	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
2	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
3	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	7.69%	15.38%	—	—	—	—	23.08%
Total	23.08%	46.15%	19.23%	11.54%	—	—	100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.54
Mean allowed	1.19
StdDev scored	2.42
StdDev allowed	0.94
Mean total goals/game	3.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.487
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%	—	11.54%
1	3.85%	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	19.23%
2	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	15.38%
3	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
4	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
Total	26.92%	15.38%	26.92%	19.23%	11.54%	—	100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.81
Mean allowed	1.73
StdDev scored	2.23
StdDev allowed	1.37
Mean total goals/game	4.54
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.318
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	19.23%	38.46%
1	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	15.38%	34.62%
2	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	15.38%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	19.23%	15.38%	46.15%	100%

Sanjoanense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	4.54
StdDev scored	1.02
StdDev allowed	2.90
Mean total goals/game	5.54
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.108
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
1	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
2	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
3	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
4	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	19.23%
5+	7.69%	15.38%	7.69%	11.54%	—	3.85%	46.15%
Total	19.23%	34.62%	26.92%	15.38%	—	3.85%	100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	4.73
Mean allowed	1.54
StdDev scored	2.60
StdDev allowed	1.21
Mean total goals/game	6.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.163
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
1	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	—	38.46%
2	—	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	23.08%
3	—	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
5+	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	15.38%	26.92%	19.23%	19.23%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Vitoria Guimaraes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.08
Mean allowed	2.08
StdDev scored	1.90
StdDev allowed	1.52
Mean total goals/game	4.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.321
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	15.38%	—	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	30.77%
1	—	15.38%	7.69%	—	—	—	23.08%
2	—	7.69%	—	11.54%	—	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	11.54%	50.00%	7.69%	15.38%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Vitoria Setubal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.73
Mean allowed	1.92
StdDev scored	1.80
StdDev allowed	1.81
Mean total goals/game	3.65
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.399
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	47	41.9	+5.13
2	Estoril	33	28.1	+4.91
3	Porto	33	30.7	+2.26
4	Boavista	20	18.2	+1.83
5	Atletico Clube de Portugal	25	23.3	+1.72

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sanjoanense	5	13.6	-8.59
2	Vitoria Setubal	20	22.8	-2.75
3	Os Belenenses (1st)	33	35.6	-2.63
4	Famalicao	17	19.6	-2.58
5	O Elvas	20	20.9	-0.85

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	16	Dec 22 – May 11	1 in 90
2	Estoril	6	Apr 13 – Jun 1	1 in 28
3	Benfica	11	Feb 23 – May 18	1 in 19
4	Porto	6	Apr 27 – Jun 15	1 in 18
5	Atletico Clube de Portugal	3	Apr 20 – May 11	1 in 12

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sanjoanense	11	Dec 22 – Mar 30	1 in 45
2	Famalicao	4	Jan 12 – Feb 16	1 in 19
3	Os Belenenses (1st)	1	Dec 1 – Dec 1	1 in 12
4	Benfica	2	Nov 24 – Dec 1	1 in 9
5	Atletico Clube de Portugal	3	May 18 – Jun 8	1 in 5

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Vitoria Guimaraes	5	May 11 – Jun 11	1 in 87
2	Vitoria Setubal	3	Nov 24 – Dec 8	1 in 18
3	Olhanense	4	Jun 1 – Jun 25	1 in 14
4	Sporting Clube de Portugal	18	Dec 22 – Jun 1	1 in 12
5	Estoril	6	Apr 13 – Jun 1	1 in 9

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Olhanense	7	Mar 30 – May 18	1 in 101
2	Sanjoanense	14	Dec 1 – Mar 30	1 in 81
3	Famalicao	5	Dec 29 – Feb 16	1 in 32
4	Vitoria Setubal	5	Apr 20 – Jun 1	1 in 11
5	Os Belenenses (1st)	3	Mar 30 – Apr 13	1 in 10

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Sporting Clube de Portugal	67.00%	28.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Benfica	27.00%	50.00%	21.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Estoril	—	1.00%	5.00%	19.00%	34.00%	15.00%	5.00%	11.00%	6.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	6.00%	18.00%	52.00%	18.00%	5.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Porto	—	3.00%	16.00%	37.00%	22.00%	11.00%	5.00%	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Olhanense	—	—	—	11.00%	21.00%	19.00%	13.00%	14.00%	8.00%	5.00%	7.00%	2.00%	—	—
Atletico Clube de Portugal	—	—	—	5.00%	6.00%	11.00%	16.00%	16.00%	10.00%	14.00%	10.00%	8.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Vitoria Guimaraes	—	—	1.00%	5.00%	3.00%	14.00%	16.00%	17.00%	13.00%	11.00%	10.00%	7.00%	3.00%	—
Vitoria Setubal	—	—	—	1.00%	6.00%	11.00%	19.00%	9.00%	14.00%	10.00%	16.00%	7.00%	6.00%	1.00%
Boavista	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	9.00%	7.00%	11.00%	8.00%	25.00%	26.00%	10.00%
O Elvas	—	—	—	1.00%	—	7.00%	10.00%	9.00%	13.00%	19.00%	13.00%	13.00%	11.00%	4.00%
Academica de Coimbra	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	6.00%	8.00%	8.00%	15.00%	11.00%	14.00%	12.00%	15.00%	9.00%
Famalicao	—	—	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	6.00%	5.00%	11.00%	15.00%	14.00%	18.00%	22.00%	4.00%
Sanjoanense	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	5.00%	8.00%	15.00%	70.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Benfica	100%	—
Estoril	100%	—
Olhanense	100%	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	100%	—
Porto	100%	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	100%	—
Vitoria Guimaraes	97.0%	3.0%
Atletico Clube de Portugal	96.0%	4.0%
Vitoria Setubal	93.0%	7.0%
O Elvas	85.0%	15.0%
Academica de Coimbra	76.0%	24.0%
Famalicao	74.0%	26.0%
Boavista	64.0%	36.0%
Sanjoanense	15.0%	85.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1946-11-24	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1480	1759	35.2%	11.2%	53.7%	+1.7	1
1946-11-24	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1759	1480	53.7%	11.2%	35.2%	-1.7	1
1946-11-24	Boavista	L 1-2	1473	1346	79.0%	11.0%	10.0%	-29.0	0
1946-11-24	@ Estoril	W 2-1	1346	1473	10.0%	11.0%	79.0%	+29.0	3
1946-11-24	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 5-9	1454	1790	28.0%	11.1%	60.9%	-24.2	0
1946-11-24	@ Famalicao	W 9-5	1790	1454	60.9%	11.1%	28.0%	+24.2	3
1946-11-24	O Elvas	W 4-1	1585	1423	80.7%	11.0%	8.3%	+8.4	3
1946-11-24	@ Olhanense	L 1-4	1423	1585	8.3%	11.0%	80.7%	-8.4	0
1946-11-24	Benfica	W 3-2	1571	1805	41.4%	11.2%	47.3%	+16.7	3
1946-11-24	@ Porto	L 2-3	1805	1571	47.3%	11.2%	41.4%	-16.7	0
1946-11-24	Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1449	1406	73.6%	11.1%	15.3%	-5.7	1
1946-11-24	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1406	1449	15.3%	11.1%	73.6%	+5.7	1
1946-12-01	Famalicao	W 4-2	1441	1429	71.0%	11.2%	17.8%	+11.1	3
1946-12-01	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 2-4	1429	1441	17.8%	11.2%	71.0%	-11.1	0
1946-12-01	Porto	L 0-2	1757	1588	81.0%	11.0%	8.0%	-59.7	1
1946-12-01	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1588	1757	8.0%	11.0%	81.0%	+59.7	6
1946-12-01	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1376	1443	63.3%	11.2%	25.5%	-23.1	3
1946-12-01	@ Boavista	W 2-1	1443	1376	25.5%	11.2%	63.3%	+23.1	4
1946-12-01	Benfica	W 6-3	1444	1788	27.2%	11.1%	61.7%	+44.3	3
1946-12-01	@ Estoril	L 3-6	1788	1444	61.7%	11.1%	27.2%	-44.3	0
1946-12-01	Sanjoanense	W 8-0	1415	1454	66.3%	11.2%	22.4%	+65.0	3
1946-12-01	@ O Elvas	L 0-8	1454	1415	22.4%	11.2%	66.3%	-65.0	0
1946-12-01	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 9-2	1814	1482	86.1%	10.6%	3.3%	+6.0	6
1946-12-01	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-9	1482	1814	3.3%	10.6%	86.1%	-6.0	1
1946-12-01	Olhanense	W 3-1	1412	1594	48.7%	11.2%	40.1%	+26.2	4
1946-12-01	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-3	1594	1412	40.1%	11.2%	48.7%	-26.2	3
1946-12-08	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-0	1476	1452	72.1%	11.2%	16.8%	+25.7	4
1946-12-08	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1452	1476	16.8%	11.2%	72.1%	-25.7	3
1946-12-08	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1698	1820	56.7%	11.2%	32.0%	+24.7	4
1946-12-08	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1820	1698	32.0%	11.2%	56.7%	-24.7	6
1946-12-08	O Elvas	W 5-3	1418	1480	63.9%	11.2%	24.9%	+14.3	3
1946-12-08	@ Famalicao	L 3-5	1480	1418	24.9%	11.2%	63.9%	-14.3	3
1946-12-08	Boavista	W 1-0	1568	1352	82.8%	10.9%	6.3%	+2.8	6
1946-12-08	@ Olhanense	L 0-1	1352	1568	6.3%	10.9%	82.8%	-2.8	3
1946-12-08	Estoril	W 2-1	1648	1489	80.6%	11.0%	8.5%	+3.5	9
1946-12-08	@ Porto	L 1-2	1489	1648	8.5%	11.0%	80.6%	-3.5	3
1946-12-08	Vitoria Setubal	L 1-4	1389	1438	65.2%	11.2%	23.6%	-58.4	0
1946-12-08	@ Sanjoanense	W 4-1	1438	1389	23.6%	11.2%	65.2%	+58.4	7
1946-12-08	Benfica	L 2-5	1466	1744	35.4%	11.2%	53.4%	-28.7	4
1946-12-08	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 5-2	1744	1466	53.4%	11.2%	35.4%	+28.7	3
1946-12-15	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1330	1426	60.0%	11.2%	28.8%	-2.9	1
1946-12-15	@ Sanjoanense	D 1-1	1426	1330	28.8%	11.2%	60.0%	+2.9	4
1946-12-22	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1429	1722	33.3%	11.2%	55.5%	+40.7	7
1946-12-22	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1722	1429	55.5%	11.2%	33.3%	-40.7	4
1946-12-22	Olhanense	W 4-1	1772	1570	82.3%	10.9%	6.7%	+6.8	6
1946-12-22	@ Benfica	L 1-4	1570	1772	6.7%	10.9%	82.3%	-6.8	6
1946-12-22	Sanjoanense	W 6-1	1350	1327	72.0%	11.2%	16.9%	+26.4	6
1946-12-22	@ Boavista	L 1-6	1327	1350	16.9%	11.2%	72.0%	-26.4	1
1946-12-22	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 5-0	1485	1438	73.9%	11.1%	15.0%	+28.3	6
1946-12-22	@ Estoril	L 0-5	1438	1485	15.0%	11.1%	73.9%	-28.3	4
1946-12-22	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1466	1501	66.6%	11.2%	22.2%	+8.8	6
1946-12-22	@ O Elvas	L 1-2	1501	1466	22.2%	11.2%	66.6%	-8.8	4
1946-12-22	Porto	W 3-2	1795	1651	79.8%	11.0%	9.2%	+3.6	9
1946-12-22	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1651	1795	9.2%	11.0%	79.8%	-3.6	9
1946-12-22	Famalicao	L 0-1	1496	1433	75.1%	11.1%	13.8%	-29.2	7
1946-12-22	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1433	1496	13.8%	11.1%	75.1%	+29.2	6
1946-12-29	Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1492	1467	72.2%	11.2%	16.7%	+7.1	7
1946-12-29	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1467	1492	16.7%	11.2%	72.2%	-7.1	7
1946-12-29	O Elvas	W 2-1	1682	1474	82.5%	10.9%	6.6%	+2.7	7
1946-12-29	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1474	1682	6.6%	10.9%	82.5%	-2.7	6
1946-12-29	Boavista	D 2-2	1462	1376	76.6%	11.1%	12.4%	-4.7	7
1946-12-29	@ Famalicao	D 2-2	1376	1462	12.4%	11.1%	76.6%	+4.7	7
1946-12-29	Estoril	W 4-2	1564	1513	74.1%	11.1%	14.8%	+9.3	9
1946-12-29	@ Olhanense	L 2-4	1513	1564	14.8%	11.1%	74.1%	-9.3	6
1946-12-29	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-2	1648	1409	83.6%	10.8%	5.5%	+2.2	12
1946-12-29	@ Porto	L 2-3	1409	1648	5.5%	10.8%	83.6%	-2.2	4
1946-12-29	Benfica	L 2-4	1301	1779	14.6%	10.9%	74.5%	-9.1	1
1946-12-29	@ Sanjoanense	W 4-2	1779	1301	74.5%	10.9%	14.6%	+9.1	9
1946-12-29	Academica de Coimbra	W 9-1	1799	1470	86.0%	10.6%	3.4%	+8.4	12
1946-12-29	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-9	1470	1799	3.4%	10.6%	86.0%	-8.4	7
1947-01-12	Porto	W 2-1	1461	1650	47.8%	11.2%	40.9%	+15.4	10
1947-01-12	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1650	1461	40.9%	11.2%	47.8%	-15.4	12
1947-01-12	Famalicao	W 5-1	1788	1457	86.0%	10.6%	3.3%	+4.4	12
1947-01-12	@ Benfica	L 1-5	1457	1788	3.3%	10.6%	86.0%	-4.4	7
1947-01-12	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1381	1500	57.2%	11.2%	31.6%	+12.2	10
1947-01-12	@ Boavista	L 1-2	1500	1381	31.6%	11.2%	57.2%	-12.2	7
1947-01-12	Sanjoanense	W 9-0	1504	1292	82.8%	10.9%	6.4%	+21.6	9
1947-01-12	@ Estoril	L 0-9	1292	1504	6.4%	10.9%	82.8%	-21.6	1
1947-01-12	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 3-5	1472	1807	28.1%	11.1%	60.8%	-16.0	6
1947-01-12	@ O Elvas	W 5-3	1807	1472	60.8%	11.1%	28.1%	+16.0	15
1947-01-12	Olhanense	W 5-0	1407	1573	51.0%	11.2%	37.8%	+67.2	7
1947-01-12	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-5	1573	1407	37.8%	11.2%	51.0%	-67.1	9
1947-01-12	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1460	1684	42.7%	11.2%	46.1%	+17.1	10
1947-01-12	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1684	1460	46.1%	11.2%	42.7%	-17.1	7
1947-01-19	Estoril	L 2-6	1453	1526	62.6%	11.2%	26.1%	-61.4	7
1947-01-19	@ Famalicao	W 6-2	1526	1453	26.1%	11.2%	62.6%	+61.4	12
1947-01-19	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1270	1474	45.6%	11.2%	43.2%	-18.0	1
1947-01-19	@ Sanjoanense	W 1-0	1474	1270	43.2%	11.2%	45.6%	+18.0	10
1947-01-31	Benfica	W 3-2	1487	1793	31.8%	11.2%	57.1%	+19.8	10
1947-01-31	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1793	1487	57.1%	11.2%	31.8%	-19.8	12
1947-01-31	Boavista	W 7-1	1667	1393	84.7%	10.8%	4.6%	+8.7	10
1947-01-31	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-7	1393	1667	4.6%	10.8%	84.7%	-8.7	10
1947-01-31	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-0	1823	1477	86.3%	10.6%	3.1%	+3.7	18
1947-01-31	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1477	1823	3.1%	10.6%	86.3%	-3.7	10
1947-02-02	O Elvas	W 4-3	1477	1456	71.8%	11.2%	17.0%	+6.3	13
1947-02-02	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 3-4	1456	1477	17.0%	11.2%	71.8%	-6.4	6
1947-02-02	Olhanense	W 10-2	1634	1506	79.0%	11.0%	9.9%	+20.0	15
1947-02-02	@ Porto	L 2-10	1506	1634	9.9%	11.0%	79.0%	-20.0	9
1947-02-09	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-1	1773	1676	77.3%	11.1%	11.7%	+8.3	15
1947-02-09	@ Benfica	L 1-3	1676	1773	11.7%	11.1%	77.3%	-8.3	10
1947-02-09	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-4	1384	1827	17.4%	11.0%	71.7%	-10.8	10
1947-02-09	@ Boavista	W 4-2	1827	1384	71.7%	11.0%	17.4%	+10.8	21
1947-02-09	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 6-2	1587	1507	76.2%	11.1%	12.7%	+13.9	15
1947-02-09	@ Estoril	L 2-6	1507	1587	12.7%	11.1%	76.2%	-13.9	10
1947-02-09	Porto	W 3-1	1449	1654	45.5%	11.2%	43.3%	+28.1	9
1947-02-09	@ O Elvas	L 1-3	1654	1449	43.3%	11.2%	45.5%	-28.1	15
1947-02-09	Sanjoanense	W 5-0	1486	1252	83.5%	10.8%	5.7%	+11.0	12
1947-02-09	@ Olhanense	L 0-5	1252	1486	5.7%	10.8%	83.5%	-11.0	1
1947-02-09	Famalicao	W 3-1	1492	1391	77.5%	11.1%	11.4%	+8.1	13
1947-02-09	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-3	1391	1492	11.4%	11.1%	77.5%	-8.1	7
1947-02-09	Academica de Coimbra	W 5-1	1473	1483	69.1%	11.2%	19.7%	+24.9	13
1947-02-09	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-5	1483	1473	19.7%	11.2%	69.1%	-24.9	13
1947-02-16	Boavista	W 4-3	1458	1373	76.5%	11.1%	12.4%	+4.7	16
1947-02-16	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 3-4	1373	1458	12.4%	11.1%	76.5%	-4.7	10
1947-02-16	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-0	1493	1500	69.4%	11.2%	19.4%	+15.5	13
1947-02-16	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1500	1493	19.4%	11.2%	69.4%	-15.5	13
1947-02-16	Estoril	W 4-0	1668	1601	75.3%	11.1%	13.6%	+21.0	13
1947-02-16	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-4	1601	1668	13.6%	11.1%	75.3%	-21.0	15
1947-02-16	Olhanense	L 2-3	1383	1497	57.8%	11.2%	30.9%	-20.1	7
1947-02-16	@ Famalicao	W 3-2	1497	1383	30.9%	11.2%	57.8%	+20.1	15
1947-02-16	Vitoria Setubal	W 4-3	1477	1498	68.1%	11.2%	20.7%	+7.6	12
1947-02-16	@ O Elvas	L 3-4	1498	1477	20.7%	11.2%	68.1%	-7.6	13
1947-02-16	Sanjoanense	W 6-0	1626	1241	87.0%	10.5%	2.5%	+5.7	18
1947-02-16	@ Porto	L 0-6	1241	1626	2.5%	10.5%	87.0%	-5.7	1
1947-02-16	Benfica	W 6-1	1838	1781	74.6%	11.1%	14.3%	+22.5	24
1947-02-16	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-6	1781	1838	14.3%	11.1%	74.6%	-22.5	15
1947-02-23	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-1	1759	1463	85.2%	10.7%	4.0%	+4.1	18
1947-02-23	@ Benfica	L 1-4	1463	1759	4.0%	10.7%	85.2%	-4.1	16
1947-02-23	O Elvas	W 4-1	1369	1485	57.5%	11.2%	31.3%	+29.6	13
1947-02-23	@ Boavista	L 1-4	1485	1369	31.3%	11.2%	57.5%	-29.6	12
1947-02-23	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-4	1580	1860	35.0%	11.2%	53.8%	-20.8	15
1947-02-23	@ Estoril	W 4-2	1860	1580	53.8%	11.2%	35.0%	+20.8	27
1947-02-23	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-0	1517	1509	70.7%	11.2%	18.1%	+27.6	18
1947-02-23	@ Olhanense	L 0-4	1509	1517	18.1%	11.2%	70.7%	-27.6	13
1947-02-23	Famalicao	L 3-4	1235	1363	56.0%	11.2%	32.7%	-19.0	1
1947-02-23	@ Sanjoanense	W 4-3	1363	1235	32.7%	11.2%	56.0%	+19.0	10
1947-02-23	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-4	1485	1689	45.6%	11.2%	43.1%	-41.6	13
1947-02-23	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-1	1689	1485	43.1%	11.2%	45.6%	+41.6	16
1947-02-23	Porto	W 4-0	1490	1632	54.3%	11.2%	34.5%	+50.2	16
1947-02-23	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-4	1632	1490	34.5%	11.2%	54.3%	-50.2	18
1947-03-02	Estoril	L 3-5	1459	1559	59.4%	11.2%	29.3%	-31.8	16
1947-03-02	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 5-3	1559	1459	29.3%	11.2%	59.4%	+31.8	18
1947-03-02	Sanjoanense	W 2-0	1481	1216	84.4%	10.8%	4.8%	+4.0	16
1947-03-02	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1216	1481	4.8%	10.8%	84.4%	-4.0	1
1947-03-02	Olhanense	W 5-1	1730	1544	81.7%	10.9%	7.3%	+9.6	19
1947-03-02	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-5	1544	1730	7.3%	10.9%	81.7%	-9.6	18
1947-03-02	Benfica	L 3-5	1455	1763	31.5%	11.2%	57.3%	-17.8	12
1947-03-02	@ O Elvas	W 5-3	1763	1455	57.3%	11.2%	31.5%	+17.8	21
1947-03-02	Famalicao	D 3-3	1582	1382	82.3%	10.9%	6.8%	-4.7	19
1947-03-02	@ Porto	D 3-3	1382	1582	6.8%	10.9%	82.3%	+4.7	11
1947-03-02	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-1	1881	1443	87.8%	10.3%	1.8%	+1.3	30
1947-03-02	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1443	1881	1.8%	10.3%	87.8%	-1.3	13
1947-03-02	Boavista	D 1-1	1541	1398	79.8%	11.0%	9.2%	-7.0	17
1947-03-02	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1398	1541	9.2%	11.0%	79.8%	+7.0	14
1947-03-09	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-2	1781	1534	83.9%	10.8%	5.3%	+2.1	24
1947-03-09	@ Benfica	L 2-3	1534	1781	5.3%	10.8%	83.9%	-2.1	17
1947-03-09	O Elvas	W 9-1	1591	1438	80.3%	11.0%	8.7%	+21.5	21
1947-03-09	@ Estoril	L 1-9	1438	1591	8.7%	11.0%	80.3%	-21.6	12
1947-03-09	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 2-4	1387	1485	59.7%	11.2%	29.1%	-33.8	11
1947-03-09	@ Famalicao	W 4-2	1485	1387	29.1%	11.2%	59.7%	+33.8	19
1947-03-09	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 3-5	1535	1882	26.7%	11.1%	62.2%	-15.3	18
1947-03-09	@ Olhanense	W 5-3	1882	1535	62.2%	11.1%	26.7%	+15.3	33
1947-03-09	Boavista	W 6-0	1577	1405	81.1%	11.0%	7.9%	+18.2	22
1947-03-09	@ Porto	L 0-6	1405	1577	7.9%	11.0%	81.1%	-18.2	14
1947-03-09	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-3	1212	1740	11.4%	10.8%	77.8%	-4.4	1
1947-03-09	@ Sanjoanense	W 3-2	1740	1212	77.8%	10.8%	11.4%	+4.4	22
1947-03-09	Academica de Coimbra	D 2-2	1442	1427	71.3%	11.2%	17.5%	-3.9	14
1947-03-09	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 2-2	1427	1442	17.5%	11.2%	71.3%	+3.9	17
1947-03-16	Olhanense	L 2-3	1431	1520	60.8%	11.2%	27.9%	-21.1	17
1947-03-16	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 3-2	1520	1431	27.9%	11.2%	60.8%	+21.1	21
1947-03-16	Porto	L 1-3	1519	1595	62.3%	11.2%	26.5%	-39.4	19
1947-03-16	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1595	1519	26.5%	11.2%	62.3%	+39.4	25
1947-03-16	Famalicao	W 8-0	1744	1353	87.1%	10.5%	2.4%	+7.3	25
1947-03-16	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-8	1353	1744	2.4%	10.5%	87.1%	-7.3	11
1947-03-16	Benfica	L 1-3	1387	1783	21.6%	11.1%	67.3%	-14.9	14
1947-03-16	@ Boavista	W 3-1	1783	1387	67.3%	11.1%	21.6%	+14.8	27
1947-03-16	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 2-2	1416	1438	68.0%	11.2%	20.8%	-3.4	13
1947-03-16	@ O Elvas	D 2-2	1438	1416	20.8%	11.2%	68.0%	+3.4	15
1947-03-16	Sanjoanense	W 4-0	1898	1208	90.1%	9.5%	0.4%	+0.7	36
1947-03-16	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1208	1898	0.4%	9.5%	90.1%	-0.7	1
1947-03-16	Estoril	W 2-1	1532	1613	61.7%	11.2%	27.1%	+10.6	20
1947-03-16	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1613	1532	27.1%	11.2%	61.7%	-10.6	21
1947-03-30	Sanjoanense	W 5-2	1410	1207	82.4%	10.9%	6.7%	+5.9	20
1947-03-30	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 2-5	1207	1410	6.7%	10.9%	82.4%	-5.9	1
1947-03-30	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1752	1480	84.6%	10.8%	4.6%	-8.0	26
1947-03-30	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1480	1752	4.6%	10.8%	84.6%	+8.0	20
1947-03-30	Porto	W 4-0	1798	1635	80.7%	11.0%	8.3%	+13.0	30
1947-03-30	@ Benfica	L 0-4	1635	1798	8.3%	11.0%	80.7%	-13.0	25
1947-03-30	Estoril	D 2-2	1372	1602	41.9%	11.2%	46.9%	+0.3	15
1947-03-30	@ Boavista	D 2-2	1602	1372	46.9%	11.2%	41.9%	-0.3	22
1947-03-30	Olhanense	W 4-3	1413	1541	56.0%	11.2%	32.8%	+11.7	16
1947-03-30	@ O Elvas	L 3-4	1541	1413	32.8%	11.2%	56.0%	-11.7	21
1947-03-30	Famalicao	W 7-3	1898	1346	89.1%	10.0%	1.0%	+1.0	39
1947-03-30	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 3-7	1346	1898	1.0%	10.0%	89.1%	-1.0	11
1947-03-30	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1542	1441	77.5%	11.1%	11.4%	-28.5	20
1947-03-30	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1441	1542	11.4%	11.1%	77.5%	+28.5	18
1947-04-06	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-6	1488	1899	20.1%	11.0%	68.9%	-31.0	20
1947-04-06	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 6-1	1899	1488	68.9%	11.0%	20.1%	+31.0	42
1947-04-06	Estoril	W 3-1	1811	1602	82.6%	10.9%	6.5%	+4.7	33
1947-04-06	@ Benfica	L 1-3	1602	1811	6.5%	10.9%	82.6%	-4.7	22
1947-04-06	Academica de Coimbra	W 6-1	1345	1416	62.9%	11.2%	25.9%	+39.4	14
1947-04-06	@ Famalicao	L 1-6	1416	1345	25.9%	11.2%	62.9%	-39.4	20
1947-04-06	Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1529	1514	71.4%	11.2%	17.5%	-5.2	22
1947-04-06	@ Olhanense	D 1-1	1514	1529	17.5%	11.2%	71.4%	+5.2	21
1947-04-06	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1622	1743	56.8%	11.2%	32.0%	-2.6	26
1947-04-06	@ Porto	D 0-0	1743	1622	32.0%	11.2%	56.8%	+2.6	27
1947-04-06	O Elvas	W 3-0	1201	1424	42.9%	11.2%	45.9%	+49.6	4
1947-04-06	@ Sanjoanense	L 0-3	1424	1201	45.9%	11.2%	42.9%	-49.6	16
1947-04-06	Boavista	W 8-0	1470	1373	77.3%	11.1%	11.7%	+34.9	21
1947-04-06	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-8	1373	1470	11.7%	11.1%	77.3%	-34.9	15
1947-04-13	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-2	1376	1457	61.8%	11.2%	27.0%	+10.0	23
1947-04-13	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 2-3	1457	1376	27.0%	11.2%	61.8%	-10.0	20
1947-04-13	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-1	1815	1505	85.6%	10.7%	3.7%	+3.8	36
1947-04-13	@ Benfica	L 1-4	1505	1815	3.7%	10.7%	85.6%	-3.8	21
1947-04-13	Olhanense	D 1-1	1338	1524	48.2%	11.2%	40.6%	-0.7	16
1947-04-13	@ Boavista	D 1-1	1524	1338	40.6%	11.2%	48.2%	+0.7	23
1947-04-13	Porto	W 3-1	1597	1619	68.0%	11.2%	20.8%	+14.4	25
1947-04-13	@ Estoril	L 1-3	1619	1597	20.8%	11.2%	68.0%	-14.4	26
1947-04-13	Famalicao	W 2-1	1375	1384	69.2%	11.2%	19.6%	+7.9	19
1947-04-13	@ O Elvas	L 1-2	1384	1375	19.6%	11.2%	69.2%	-7.8	14
1947-04-13	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-0	1930	1746	81.7%	10.9%	7.4%	+8.9	45
1947-04-13	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1746	1930	7.4%	10.9%	81.7%	-8.9	27
1947-04-13	Sanjoanense	W 3-0	1519	1251	84.5%	10.8%	4.7%	+5.7	24
1947-04-13	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-3	1251	1519	4.7%	10.8%	84.5%	-5.7	4
1947-04-20	O Elvas	W 4-2	1447	1383	75.1%	11.1%	13.8%	+8.7	23
1947-04-20	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 2-4	1383	1447	13.8%	11.1%	75.1%	-8.7	19
1947-04-20	Academica de Coimbra	W 5-1	1737	1386	86.4%	10.6%	3.0%	+3.9	30
1947-04-20	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-5	1386	1737	3.0%	10.6%	86.4%	-3.9	23
1947-04-20	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1376	1525	53.3%	11.2%	35.4%	+13.5	17
1947-04-20	@ Famalicao	L 1-2	1525	1376	35.4%	11.2%	53.3%	-13.6	24
1947-04-20	Benfica	L 1-6	1524	1819	33.1%	11.2%	55.7%	-49.3	23
1947-04-20	@ Olhanense	W 6-1	1819	1524	55.7%	11.2%	33.1%	+49.3	39
1947-04-20	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-4	1605	1939	28.2%	11.1%	60.7%	-17.0	26
1947-04-20	@ Porto	W 4-2	1939	1605	60.7%	11.1%	28.2%	+17.0	48
1947-04-20	Boavista	W 1-0	1245	1337	60.5%	11.2%	28.3%	+11.7	7
1947-04-20	@ Sanjoanense	L 0-1	1337	1245	28.3%	11.2%	60.5%	-11.7	16
1947-04-20	Estoril	L 1-2	1501	1612	58.2%	11.2%	30.6%	-21.3	21
1947-04-20	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1612	1501	30.6%	11.2%	58.2%	+21.3	28
1947-04-27	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1382	1956	9.0%	10.7%	80.3%	-6.4	23
1947-04-27	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1956	1382	80.3%	10.7%	9.0%	+6.4	51
1947-04-27	Sanjoanense	W 13-1	1868	1257	89.5%	9.8%	0.7%	+2.5	42
1947-04-27	@ Benfica	L 1-13	1257	1868	0.7%	9.8%	89.5%	-2.5	7
1947-04-27	Famalicao	W 5-0	1325	1390	63.6%	11.2%	25.2%	+46.3	19
1947-04-27	@ Boavista	L 0-5	1390	1325	25.2%	11.2%	63.6%	-46.3	17
1947-04-27	Olhanense	W 6-1	1633	1475	80.5%	11.0%	8.5%	+13.6	31
1947-04-27	@ Estoril	L 1-6	1475	1633	8.5%	11.0%	80.5%	-13.6	23
1947-04-27	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1374	1741	24.5%	11.1%	64.4%	+24.9	22
1947-04-27	@ O Elvas	L 0-1	1741	1374	64.4%	11.1%	24.5%	-24.9	30
1947-04-27	Porto	L 1-4	1480	1588	58.5%	11.2%	30.3%	-52.5	21
1947-04-27	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-1	1588	1480	30.3%	11.2%	58.5%	+52.5	29
1947-04-27	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1511	1455	74.5%	11.1%	14.4%	-25.9	24
1947-04-27	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 3-2	1455	1511	14.4%	11.1%	74.5%	+25.9	26
1947-05-11	Boavista	W 5-0	1481	1372	78.0%	11.1%	10.9%	+21.0	29
1947-05-11	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-5	1372	1481	10.9%	11.1%	78.0%	-21.0	19
1947-05-11	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-2	1716	1485	83.4%	10.8%	5.8%	+2.3	33
1947-05-11	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-3	1485	1716	5.8%	10.8%	83.4%	-2.3	24
1947-05-11	Benfica	L 1-5	1343	1871	11.4%	10.8%	77.8%	-14.7	17
1947-05-11	@ Famalicao	W 5-1	1871	1343	77.8%	10.8%	11.4%	+14.7	45
1947-05-11	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1461	1427	72.9%	11.1%	16.0%	-6.2	24
1947-05-11	@ Olhanense	D 0-0	1427	1461	16.0%	11.1%	72.9%	+6.2	22
1947-05-11	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-2	1640	1376	84.4%	10.8%	4.8%	+3.1	32
1947-05-11	@ Porto	L 2-4	1376	1640	4.8%	10.8%	84.4%	-3.1	23
1947-05-11	Estoril	L 1-3	1254	1646	22.0%	11.1%	67.0%	-15.1	7
1947-05-11	@ Sanjoanense	W 3-1	1646	1254	67.0%	11.1%	22.0%	+15.1	34
1947-05-11	O Elvas	W 9-1	1963	1399	89.1%	9.9%	0.9%	+2.2	54
1947-05-11	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-9	1399	1963	0.9%	9.9%	89.1%	-2.2	22
1947-05-18	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1886	1502	87.0%	10.5%	2.5%	+3.0	48
1947-05-18	@ Benfica	L 0-3	1502	1886	2.5%	10.5%	87.0%	-3.0	29
1947-05-18	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1351	1718	24.5%	11.1%	64.4%	+3.8	20
1947-05-18	@ Boavista	D 1-1	1718	1351	64.4%	11.1%	24.5%	-3.8	34
1947-05-18	Famalicao	W 3-2	1662	1329	86.1%	10.6%	3.3%	+1.3	37
1947-05-18	@ Estoril	L 2-3	1329	1662	3.3%	10.6%	86.1%	-1.3	17
1947-05-18	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-2	1397	1373	72.1%	11.2%	16.8%	+6.4	25
1947-05-18	@ O Elvas	L 2-3	1373	1397	16.8%	11.2%	72.1%	-6.4	23
1947-05-18	Porto	L 2-4	1455	1643	47.9%	11.2%	40.9%	-27.5	24
1947-05-18	@ Olhanense	W 4-2	1643	1455	40.9%	11.2%	47.9%	+27.5	35
1947-05-18	Sanjoanense	W 6-1	1433	1239	82.0%	10.9%	7.0%	+11.3	25
1947-05-18	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-6	1239	1433	7.0%	10.9%	82.0%	-11.3	7
1947-05-18	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1483	1965	14.4%	10.9%	74.7%	+5.9	25
1947-05-18	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1965	1483	74.7%	10.9%	14.4%	-5.9	55
1947-06-01	Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1366	1489	56.7%	11.2%	32.0%	+13.1	26
1947-06-01	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1489	1366	32.0%	11.2%	56.7%	-13.1	25
1947-06-01	Estoril	L 3-4	1499	1663	51.3%	11.2%	37.5%	-17.5	29
1947-06-01	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-3	1663	1499	37.5%	11.2%	51.3%	+17.5	40
1947-06-01	Benfica	W 2-1	1715	1889	49.9%	11.2%	38.9%	+14.7	37
1947-06-01	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1889	1715	38.9%	11.2%	49.9%	-14.7	48
1947-06-01	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 3-3	1327	1445	57.4%	11.2%	31.4%	-1.5	18
1947-06-01	@ Famalicao	D 3-3	1445	1327	31.4%	11.2%	57.4%	+1.5	26
1947-06-01	O Elvas	W 3-1	1671	1403	84.5%	10.8%	4.7%	+3.4	38
1947-06-01	@ Porto	L 1-3	1403	1671	4.7%	10.8%	84.5%	-3.4	25
1947-06-01	Olhanense	L 1-5	1228	1428	46.2%	11.2%	42.5%	-54.3	7
1947-06-01	@ Sanjoanense	W 5-1	1428	1228	42.5%	11.2%	46.2%	+54.4	27
1947-06-01	Boavista	W 4-1	1959	1355	89.5%	9.8%	0.7%	+0.7	58
1947-06-01	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1355	1959	0.7%	9.8%	89.5%	-0.7	20
1947-06-08	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1874	1960	61.2%	11.2%	27.6%	+18.7	51
1947-06-08	@ Benfica	L 1-3	1960	1874	27.6%	11.2%	61.2%	-18.7	58
1947-06-08	Academica de Coimbra	W 7-1	1354	1380	67.6%	11.2%	21.2%	+38.6	23
1947-06-08	@ Boavista	L 1-7	1380	1354	21.2%	11.2%	67.6%	-38.6	26
1947-06-08	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-3	1680	1729	65.3%	11.2%	23.5%	-69.3	40
1947-06-08	@ Estoril	W 3-0	1729	1680	23.5%	11.2%	65.3%	+69.3	40
1947-06-08	Famalicao	W 6-1	1482	1326	80.4%	11.0%	8.6%	+13.7	30
1947-06-08	@ Olhanense	L 1-6	1326	1482	8.6%	11.0%	80.4%	-13.7	18
1947-06-08	Porto	L 0-3	1174	1674	13.1%	10.9%	76.0%	-15.4	7
1947-06-08	@ Sanjoanense	W 3-0	1674	1174	76.0%	10.9%	13.1%	+15.4	41
1947-06-08	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-3	1446	1482	66.6%	11.2%	22.2%	+8.1	29
1947-06-08	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 3-4	1482	1446	22.2%	11.2%	66.6%	-8.1	29
1947-06-08	O Elvas	W 7-0	1476	1400	75.9%	11.1%	13.0%	+34.0	28
1947-06-08	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-7	1400	1476	13.0%	11.1%	75.9%	-34.0	25
1947-06-11	Benfica	D 3-3	1341	1893	10.1%	10.8%	79.1%	+4.2	27
1947-06-11	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 3-3	1893	1341	79.1%	10.8%	10.1%	-4.2	52
1947-06-11	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1799	1454	86.3%	10.6%	3.1%	-8.4	41
1947-06-11	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1454	1799	3.1%	10.6%	86.3%	+8.4	30
1947-06-11	Sanjoanense	W 7-3	1312	1158	80.3%	11.0%	8.7%	+8.8	21
1947-06-11	@ Famalicao	L 3-7	1158	1312	8.7%	11.0%	80.3%	-8.8	7
1947-06-11	Boavista	W 8-1	1366	1392	67.5%	11.2%	21.3%	+44.8	28
1947-06-11	@ O Elvas	L 1-8	1392	1366	21.3%	11.2%	67.5%	-44.8	23
1947-06-11	Estoril	W 5-0	1941	1611	86.0%	10.6%	3.4%	+6.5	61
1947-06-11	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-5	1611	1941	3.4%	10.6%	86.0%	-6.5	40
1947-06-12	Olhanense	D 2-2	1474	1496	68.0%	11.2%	20.8%	-3.4	30
1947-06-12	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1496	1474	20.8%	11.2%	68.0%	+3.4	31
1947-06-15	Vitoria Setubal	W 5-0	1690	1510	81.5%	10.9%	7.6%	+14.7	44
1947-06-15	@ Porto	L 0-5	1510	1690	7.6%	10.9%	81.5%	-14.7	28
1947-06-21	Academica de Coimbra	W 6-1	1604	1345	84.3%	10.8%	4.9%	+8.0	43
1947-06-21	@ Estoril	L 1-6	1345	1604	4.9%	10.8%	84.3%	-7.9	27
1947-06-22	Vitoria Setubal	W 4-0	1348	1495	53.5%	11.2%	35.3%	+51.2	26
1947-06-22	@ Boavista	L 0-4	1495	1348	35.3%	11.2%	53.5%	-51.2	28
1947-06-22	Porto	W 2-1	1321	1704	22.9%	11.1%	66.1%	+24.1	24
1947-06-22	@ Famalicao	L 1-2	1704	1321	66.1%	11.1%	22.9%	-24.1	44
1947-06-22	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1149	1470	29.9%	11.1%	59.0%	-20.1	7
1947-06-22	@ Sanjoanense	W 3-1	1470	1149	59.0%	11.1%	29.9%	+20.1	33
1947-06-25	O Elvas	W 3-2	1888	1410	88.3%	10.2%	1.5%	+0.6	55
1947-06-25	@ Benfica	L 2-3	1410	1888	1.5%	10.2%	88.3%	-0.6	28
1947-06-25	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-0	1499	1790	33.6%	11.2%	55.2%	+58.8	34
1947-06-25	@ Olhanense	L 0-3	1790	1499	55.2%	11.2%	33.6%	-58.8	41
1947-06-25	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1463	1947	14.1%	10.9%	75.0%	-5.7	30
1947-06-25	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1947	1463	75.0%	10.9%	14.1%	+5.7	64
1947-06-29	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1337	1457	57.1%	11.2%	31.7%	-2.4	28
1947-06-29	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1457	1337	31.7%	11.2%	57.1%	+2.4	31
1947-06-29	Famalicao	W 5-1	1490	1345	79.9%	11.0%	9.1%	+11.8	36
1947-06-29	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-5	1345	1490	9.1%	11.0%	79.9%	-11.9	24
1947-06-29	Sanjoanense	W 7-0	1731	1129	89.5%	9.8%	0.7%	+1.9	44
1947-06-29	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-7	1129	1731	0.7%	9.8%	89.5%	-1.9	7
1947-06-29	Porto	D 3-3	1399	1680	34.9%	11.2%	53.9%	+1.1	27
1947-06-29	@ Boavista	D 3-3	1680	1399	53.9%	11.2%	34.9%	-1.1	45
1947-06-29	Estoril	L 3-5	1410	1612	45.8%	11.2%	43.0%	-25.0	28
1947-06-29	@ O Elvas	W 5-3	1612	1410	43.0%	11.2%	45.8%	+25.0	46
1947-06-29	Olhanense	W 8-0	1953	1558	87.2%	10.5%	2.3%	+7.1	67
1947-06-29	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-8	1558	1953	2.3%	10.5%	87.2%	-7.1	34
1947-06-29	Benfica	L 0-1	1444	1889	17.2%	11.0%	71.9%	-7.3	28
1947-06-29	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1889	1444	71.9%	11.0%	17.2%	+7.3	58
1947-07-02	Boavista	W 6-2	1896	1400	88.5%	10.2%	1.3%	+1.5	61
1947-07-02	@ Benfica	L 2-6	1400	1896	1.3%	10.2%	88.5%	-1.5	27
1947-07-02	Vitoria Setubal	W 8-0	1637	1436	82.3%	10.9%	6.8%	+20.5	49
1947-07-02	@ Estoril	L 0-8	1436	1637	6.8%	10.9%	82.3%	-20.5	28
1947-07-02	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-5	1333	1733	21.2%	11.0%	67.8%	-26.6	24
1947-07-02	@ Famalicao	W 5-1	1733	1333	67.8%	11.0%	21.2%	+26.6	47
1947-07-02	Academica de Coimbra	W 12-0	1551	1335	82.9%	10.9%	6.2%	+27.9	37
1947-07-02	@ Olhanense	L 0-12	1335	1551	6.2%	10.9%	82.9%	-27.9	28
1947-07-02	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1679	1502	81.3%	10.9%	7.7%	+3.4	48
1947-07-02	@ Porto	L 0-1	1502	1679	7.7%	10.9%	81.3%	-3.4	36
1947-07-02	O Elvas	D 3-3	1459	1385	75.8%	11.1%	13.1%	-3.8	32
1947-07-02	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 3-3	1385	1459	13.1%	11.1%	75.8%	+3.8	29
1947-07-06	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-6	1127	1960	2.2%	10.0%	87.8%	-2.4	7
1947-07-06	@ Sanjoanense	W 6-2	1960	1127	87.8%	10.0%	2.2%	+2.4	70

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1946-12-01	8.02%	Porto	1588	2	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1757	0
2	1946-11-24	10.01%	Boavista	1346	2	@ Estoril	1473	1
3	1947-03-30	11.44%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1441	2	@ Vitoria Setubal	1542	1
4	1946-12-22	13.81%	Famalicao	1433	1	@ Vitoria Setubal	1496	0
5	1947-04-27	14.36%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1455	3	@ Vitoria Setubal	1511	2
6	1947-06-22	22.86%	@ Famalicao	1321	2	Porto	1704	1
7	1947-06-08	23.54%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1729	3	@ Estoril	1680	0
8	1946-12-08	23.56%	Vitoria Setubal	1438	4	@ Sanjoanense	1389	1
9	1947-04-27	24.54%	@ O Elvas	1374	1	Os Belenenses (1st)	1741	0
10	1946-12-01	25.53%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1443	2	@ Boavista	1376	1
11	1947-01-19	26.14%	Estoril	1526	6	@ Famalicao	1453	2
12	1947-03-16	26.49%	Porto	1595	3	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1519	1
13	1946-12-01	27.15%	@ Estoril	1444	6	Benfica	1788	3
14	1947-03-16	27.94%	Olhanense	1520	3	@ Academica de Coimbra	1431	2
15	1947-03-09	29.10%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1485	4	@ Famalicao	1387	2
16	1947-03-02	29.35%	Estoril	1559	5	@ Academica de Coimbra	1459	3
17	1947-04-27	30.28%	Porto	1588	4	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1480	1
18	1947-04-20	30.58%	Estoril	1612	2	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1501	1
19	1947-02-16	30.95%	Olhanense	1497	3	@ Famalicao	1383	2
20	1947-01-31	31.77%	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1487	3	Benfica	1793	2
21	1947-02-23	32.73%	Famalicao	1363	4	@ Sanjoanense	1235	3
22	1946-12-22	33.29%	@ Academica de Coimbra	1429	2	Os Belenenses (1st)	1722	0
23	1947-06-25	33.59%	@ Olhanense	1499	3	Os Belenenses (1st)	1790	0
24	1947-06-01	37.49%	Estoril	1663	4	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1499	3
25	1947-05-18	40.88%	Porto	1643	4	@ Olhanense	1455	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1947-06-08	69.27	Os Belenenses (1st)	3	1729	23.54%	@ Estoril	0	1680	65.26%
2	1947-01-12	67.15	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	5	1407	50.98%	Olhanense	0	1573	37.80%
3	1946-12-01	65.01	@ O Elvas	8	1415	66.35%	Sanjoanense	0	1454	22.45%
4	1947-01-19	61.44	Estoril	6	1526	26.14%	@ Famalicao	2	1453	62.65%
5	1946-12-01	59.68	Porto	2	1588	8.02%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1757	81.02%
6	1947-06-25	58.84	@ Olhanense	3	1499	33.59%	Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1790	55.24%
7	1946-12-08	58.40	Vitoria Setubal	4	1438	23.56%	@ Sanjoanense	1	1389	65.24%
8	1947-06-01	54.35	Olhanense	5	1428	42.55%	@ Sanjoanense	1	1228	46.23%
9	1947-04-27	52.45	Porto	4	1588	30.28%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1	1480	58.50%
10	1947-06-22	51.24	@ Boavista	4	1348	53.47%	Vitoria Setubal	0	1495	35.31%
11	1947-02-23	50.19	@ Vitoria Setubal	4	1490	54.26%	Porto	0	1632	34.52%
12	1947-04-06	49.60	@ Sanjoanense	3	1201	42.89%	O Elvas	0	1424	45.90%
13	1947-04-20	49.33	Benfica	6	1819	55.70%	@ Olhanense	1	1524	33.14%
14	1947-04-27	46.31	@ Boavista	5	1325	63.62%	Famalicao	0	1390	25.17%
15	1947-06-11	44.82	@ O Elvas	8	1366	67.52%	Boavista	1	1392	21.29%
16	1946-12-01	44.28	@ Estoril	6	1444	27.15%	Benfica	3	1788	61.73%
17	1947-02-23	41.63	Os Belenenses (1st)	4	1689	43.14%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1	1485	45.65%
18	1946-12-22	40.73	@ Academica de Coimbra	2	1429	33.29%	Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1722	55.54%
19	1947-03-16	39.44	Porto	3	1595	26.49%	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1	1519	62.29%
20	1947-04-06	39.37	@ Famalicao	6	1345	62.89%	Academica de Coimbra	1	1416	25.90%
21	1947-06-08	38.63	@ Boavista	7	1354	67.63%	Academica de Coimbra	1	1380	21.18%
22	1947-04-06	34.86	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	8	1470	77.26%	Boavista	0	1373	11.67%
23	1947-06-08	34.01	@ Vitoria Setubal	7	1476	75.93%	O Elvas	0	1400	12.98%
24	1947-03-09	33.82	Atletico Clube de Portugal	4	1485	29.10%	@ Famalicao	2	1387	59.68%
25	1947-03-02	31.83	Estoril	5	1559	29.35%	@ Academica de Coimbra	3	1459	59.43%