1973-74 Primeira Divisão Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Sporting Clube de Portugal

49 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sporting Clube de Portugal

7.48 points above expected

49 points · 41.52 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Montijo

4.29 points below expected

20 points · 24.29 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	30	23	3	4	49	96	21	+75	41.5	+7.48
2	Benfica	30	21	5	4	47	68	23	+45	43.3	+3.68
3	Vitoria Setubal	30	19	7	4	45	69	21	+48	41.0	+4.02
4	Porto	30	18	7	5	43	43	22	+21	39.4	+3.60
5	Os Belenenses (1st)	30	17	6	7	40	56	34	+22	34.2	+5.80
6	Vitoria Guimaraes	30	10	11	9	31	36	34	+2	31.7	-0.69
7	Farense	30	9	8	13	26	35	38	-3	27.6	-1.55
8	Boavista	30	9	7	14	25	35	43	-8	27.6	-2.56
9	Fabril	30	8	9	13	25	33	44	-11	28.2	-3.24
10	Academica de Coimbra	30	8	7	15	23	29	45	-16	26.3	-3.33
11	Olhanense	30	8	6	16	22	35	69	-34	24.3	-2.28
12	Leixoes	30	9	3	18	21	36	56	-20	25.1	-4.06
13	Barreirense	30	6	9	15	21	19	42	-23	24.4	-3.35
14	Beira-Mar	30	7	7	16	21	34	59	-25	21.5	-0.52
15	Oriental de Lisboa	30	10	1	19	21	35	79	-44	19.7	+1.29
16	Montijo	30	7	6	17	20	32	61	-29	24.3	-4.29

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Benfica	2025	47	43.32	+3.68	89.0%	35	37	41	43	46	49	50
Sporting Clube de Portugal	2002	49	41.52	+7.48	98.0%	31	35	39	42	44	47	51
Vitoria Setubal	1978	45	40.98	+4.02	87.0%	32	35	38	41	43	47	52
Porto	1873	43	39.40	+3.60	85.0%	26	32	37	39	42	46	50
Os Belenenses (1st)	1834	40	34.20	+5.80	94.0%	23	27	31	34	38	41	44
Vitoria Guimaraes	1713	31	31.69	-0.69	47.0%	20	24	29	32	35	38	41
Boavista	1647	25	27.56	-2.56	31.0%	18	21	25	28	30	34	37
Academica de Coimbra	1643	23	26.33	-3.33	25.0%	16	20	23	26	30	33	35
Farense	1628	26	27.55	-1.55	37.0%	20	22	24	28	29	34	37
Leixoes	1608	21	25.06	-4.06	16.0%	16	19	22	24	28	32	36
Fabril	1604	25	28.24	-3.24	29.0%	13	20	25	28	32	35	37
Barreirense	1571	21	24.35	-3.35	23.0%	14	16	22	25	27	30	35
Olhanense	1563	22	24.28	-2.28	34.0%	15	17	21	24	27	31	35
Montijo	1560	20	24.29	-4.29	14.0%	14	19	22	24	26	29	34
Beira-Mar	1546	21	21.52	-0.52	47.0%	12	15	18	22	24	28	30
Oriental de Lisboa	1481	21	19.71	+1.29	67.0%	10	13	16	19	22	27	29

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	BAR	BEI	BEN	BOA	FAB	FAR	LEI	MON	OLH	ODL	OB(	POR	SCDP	VG	VS
Academica de Coimbra	—	1-0-1 2.95	0-2-0 3.34	1-0-1 1.01	1-0-1 2.58	0-1-1 2.71	1-0-1 2.76	1-0-1 2.97	0-0-2 3.09	0-2-0 3.15	2-0-0 3.53	0-1-1 2.02	0-1-1 1.62	0-0-2 1.26	1-0-1 2.34	0-0-2 1.80
Barreirense	1-0-1 2.68	—	1-0-1 3.08	0-1-1 1.05	1-0-1 2.47	0-1-1 2.44	1-1-0 2.51	1-0-1 2.90	0-1-1 2.91	0-1-1 2.89	0-0-2 3.58	1-0-1 1.81	0-0-2 1.59	0-0-2 0.97	0-2-0 2.07	0-2-0 1.45
Beira-Mar	0-2-0 2.30	1-0-1 2.55	—	0-1-1 0.77	0-1-1 2.15	1-0-1 2.07	1-1-0 2.23	1-0-1 2.53	1-0-1 2.60	1-0-1 2.57	1-0-1 2.94	0-0-2 1.55	0-0-2 1.16	0-1-1 0.78	0-0-2 1.79	0-1-1 1.21
Benfica	1-0-1 4.67	1-1-0 4.64	1-1-0 4.93	—	1-0-1 4.32	2-0-0 4.31	1-1-0 4.35	2-0-0 4.45	2-0-0 4.66	2-0-0 4.75	2-0-0 4.91	2-0-0 3.64	1-0-1 3.27	2-0-0 2.83	1-1-0 4.03	0-1-1 3.02
Boavista	1-0-1 3.05	1-0-1 3.16	1-1-0 3.49	1-0-1 1.34	—	0-1-1 2.66	1-0-1 2.87	0-1-1 3.22	1-1-0 3.17	1-0-1 3.24	1-0-1 3.80	0-1-1 2.13	0-0-2 1.77	0-1-1 1.61	1-1-0 2.42	0-0-2 1.58
Fabril	1-1-0 2.91	1-1-0 3.19	1-0-1 3.56	0-0-2 1.34	1-1-0 2.97	—	0-1-1 3.13	0-0-2 3.28	1-1-0 3.22	1-1-0 3.12	1-0-1 3.54	0-0-2 1.95	0-2-0 1.79	0-0-2 1.83	0-1-1 2.65	1-0-1 1.62
Farense	1-0-1 2.88	0-1-1 3.12	0-1-1 3.41	0-1-1 1.31	1-0-1 2.76	1-1-0 2.50	—	1-1-0 3.20	2-0-0 2.97	1-0-1 3.13	1-0-1 3.62	1-0-1 2.12	0-1-1 1.96	0-0-2 1.50	0-2-0 2.52	0-0-2 1.46
Leixoes	1-0-1 2.66	1-0-1 2.73	1-0-1 3.11	0-0-2 1.22	1-1-0 2.41	2-0-0 2.36	0-1-1 2.43	—	1-0-1 2.99	1-0-1 2.80	0-0-2 3.32	0-1-1 1.79	1-0-1 1.29	0-0-2 1.82	0-0-2 2.46	0-0-2 1.21
Montijo	2-0-0 2.55	1-1-0 2.72	1-0-1 3.03	0-0-2 1.03	0-1-1 2.47	0-1-1 2.42	0-0-2 2.67	1-0-1 2.64	—	1-0-1 2.78	1-1-0 3.21	0-1-1 1.67	0-0-2 1.70	0-0-2 0.99	0-1-1 2.04	0-0-2 1.11
Olhanense	0-2-0 2.48	1-1-0 2.74	1-0-1 3.06	0-0-2 0.93	1-0-1 2.39	0-1-1 2.52	1-0-1 2.50	1-0-1 2.82	1-0-1 2.85	—	1-0-1 3.49	0-1-1 1.96	1-0-1 1.29	0-0-2 1.05	0-0-2 2.16	0-1-1 1.18
Oriental de Lisboa	0-0-2 2.11	2-0-0 2.05	1-0-1 2.69	0-0-2 0.79	1-0-1 1.84	1-0-1 2.10	1-0-1 2.03	2-0-0 2.32	0-1-1 2.42	1-0-1 2.15	—	0-0-2 1.29	0-0-2 1.07	0-0-2 1.25	1-0-1 1.72	0-0-2 0.90
Os Belenenses (1st)	1-1-0 3.62	1-0-1 3.83	2-0-0 4.11	0-0-2 2.00	1-1-0 3.50	2-0-0 3.68	1-0-1 3.52	1-1-0 3.85	1-1-0 3.99	1-1-0 3.69	2-0-0 4.38	—	1-0-1 2.53	1-0-1 2.17	1-1-0 3.02	1-0-1 2.15
Porto	1-1-0 4.04	2-0-0 4.07	2-0-0 4.51	1-0-1 2.37	2-0-0 3.88	0-2-0 3.85	1-1-0 3.68	1-0-1 4.37	2-0-0 3.96	1-0-1 4.36	2-0-0 4.59	1-0-1 3.11	—	0-1-1 2.37	1-1-0 3.52	1-1-0 2.42
Sporting Clube de Portugal	2-0-0 4.41	2-0-0 4.71	1-1-0 4.91	0-0-2 2.80	1-1-0 4.03	2-0-0 3.83	2-0-0 4.16	2-0-0 3.84	2-0-0 4.69	2-0-0 4.64	2-0-0 4.44	1-0-1 3.46	1-1-0 3.26	—	2-0-0 4.02	1-0-1 2.75
Vitoria Guimaraes	1-0-1 3.30	0-2-0 3.57	2-0-0 3.85	0-1-1 1.62	0-1-1 3.22	1-1-0 2.99	0-2-0 3.12	2-0-0 3.18	1-1-0 3.60	2-0-0 3.47	1-0-1 3.93	0-1-1 2.61	0-1-1 2.11	0-0-2 1.62	—	0-1-1 1.76
Vitoria Setubal	2-0-0 3.86	0-2-0 4.22	1-1-0 4.47	1-1-0 2.62	2-0-0 4.07	1-0-1 4.04	2-0-0 4.20	2-0-0 4.46	2-0-0 4.57	1-1-0 4.49	2-0-0 4.80	1-0-1 3.49	0-1-1 3.21	1-0-1 2.88	1-1-0 3.88	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.92%	8.54%	7.50%	4.38%	1.04%	1.88%	31.25%
1	8.54%	10.00%	4.58%	3.54%	2.50%	1.67%	30.83%
2	7.50%	4.58%	3.33%	1.88%	1.04%	0.42%	18.75%
3	4.38%	3.54%	1.88%	—	0.21%	0.21%	10.21%
4	1.04%	2.50%	1.04%	0.21%	—	—	4.79%
5+	1.88%	1.67%	0.42%	0.21%	—	—	4.17%
Total	31.25%	30.83%	18.75%	10.21%	4.79%	4.17%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.44
Mean allowed	1.44
StdDev scored	1.53
StdDev allowed	1.53
Mean total goals/game	2.88
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.112
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	16.67%	3.33%	10.00%	—	6.67%	46.67%
1	3.33%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	30.00%
2	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
3	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	26.67%	40.00%	10.00%	13.33%	3.33%	6.67%	100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.97
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	1.55
Mean total goals/game	2.47
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.311
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	46.67%
1	13.33%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	6.67%	43.33%
2	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	40.00%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	100%

Barreirense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.63
Mean allowed	1.40
StdDev scored	0.67
StdDev allowed	1.61
Mean total goals/game	2.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.077
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	3.33%	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	36.67%
1	3.33%	16.67%	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	13.33%
3	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	26.67%	30.00%	13.33%	13.33%	3.33%	100%

Beira-Mar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.13
Mean allowed	1.97
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	1.35
Mean total goals/game	3.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.003
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	—	6.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
2	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
3	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	3.33%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
Total	50.00%	30.00%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.27
Mean allowed	0.77
StdDev scored	1.82
StdDev allowed	0.94
Mean total goals/game	3.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.139
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.00%	13.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
1	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	10.00%	—	33.33%
2	20.00%	—	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	30.00%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	23.33%	23.33%	6.67%	13.33%	—	100%

Boavista — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.43
StdDev scored	1.02
StdDev allowed	1.38
Mean total goals/game	2.60
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.200
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	10.00%	13.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	50.00%
1	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
2	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	23.33%	33.33%	26.67%	13.33%	—	3.33%	100%

Fabril — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.10
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	1.49
StdDev allowed	1.31
Mean total goals/game	2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.060
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	23.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	40.00%
1	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	23.33%
2	6.67%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	50.00%	23.33%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Farense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	1.23
StdDev allowed	0.87
Mean total goals/game	2.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.011
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	13.33%	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	43.33%
1	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	20.00%
2	6.67%	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	16.67%
3	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	23.33%	20.00%	20.00%	6.67%	6.67%	100%

Leixoes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.20
Mean allowed	1.87
StdDev scored	1.32
StdDev allowed	1.59
Mean total goals/game	3.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.216
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	36.67%
1	13.33%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	40.00%
2	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	20.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	23.33%	26.67%	16.67%	13.33%	10.00%	10.00%	100%

Montijo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.07
Mean allowed	2.03
StdDev scored	1.51
StdDev allowed	1.97
Mean total goals/game	3.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.070
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	3.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	6.67%	33.33%
1	6.67%	6.67%	—	13.33%	3.33%	6.67%	36.67%
2	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	20.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	16.67%	23.33%	16.67%	6.67%	13.33%	100%

Olhanense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	2.30
StdDev scored	1.21
StdDev allowed	2.22
Mean total goals/game	3.47
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.252
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	6.67%	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	30.00%
1	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	40.00%
2	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	13.33%
3	—	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	20.00%	16.67%	26.67%	13.33%	10.00%	100%

Oriental de Lisboa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	2.63
StdDev scored	1.05
StdDev allowed	2.13
Mean total goals/game	3.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.326
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
1	13.33%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	36.67%
2	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	33.33%	36.67%	16.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.87
Mean allowed	1.13
StdDev scored	1.43
StdDev allowed	1.11
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.032
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
1	16.67%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	13.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	46.67%	33.33%	20.00%	—	—	—	100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.43
Mean allowed	0.73
StdDev scored	1.04
StdDev allowed	0.78
Mean total goals/game	2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.020
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
1	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
2	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
3	23.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	3.33%	36.67%
4	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
Total	50.00%	40.00%	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.20
Mean allowed	0.70
StdDev scored	2.19
StdDev allowed	1.02
Mean total goals/game	3.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.219
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	30.00%
1	10.00%	23.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	43.33%
2	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	36.67%	36.67%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Vitoria Guimaraes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.20
Mean allowed	1.13
StdDev scored	1.24
StdDev allowed	1.28
Mean total goals/game	2.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.256
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	13.33%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	30.00%
2	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
3	16.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	—	23.33%
4	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
Total	56.67%	16.67%	26.67%	—	—	—	100%

Vitoria Setubal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.30
Mean allowed	0.70
StdDev scored	2.09
StdDev allowed	0.88
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.032
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	49	41.5	+7.48
2	Os Belenenses (1st)	40	34.2	+5.80
3	Vitoria Setubal	45	41.0	+4.02
4	Benfica	47	43.3	+3.68
5	Porto	43	39.4	+3.60

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Montijo	20	24.3	-4.29
2	Leixoes	21	25.1	-4.06
3	Barreirense	21	24.4	-3.35
4	Academica de Coimbra	23	26.3	-3.33
5	Fabril	25	28.2	-3.24

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	7	Sep 16 – Nov 4	1 in 51
2	Porto	8	Dec 2 – Jan 20	1 in 50
3	Oriental de Lisboa	2	Oct 28 – Nov 4	1 in 22
4	Leixoes	2	Dec 16 – Dec 23	1 in 21
5	Montijo	2	Mar 17 – Mar 24	1 in 17

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Oriental de Lisboa	8	Dec 30 – Mar 3	1 in 28
2	Leixoes	4	Sep 9 – Sep 30	1 in 24
3	Beira-Mar	4	Nov 25 – Dec 16	1 in 23
4	Olhanense	4	Dec 2 – Dec 23	1 in 9
5	Boavista	2	Dec 2 – Dec 9	1 in 8

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Porto	15	Nov 18 – Mar 10	1 in 71
2	Beira-Mar	4	Apr 21 – May 19	1 in 46
3	Farense	5	Sep 9 – Oct 7	1 in 44
4	Olhanense	4	Dec 30 – Jan 20	1 in 27
5	Sporting Clube de Portugal	9	Sep 16 – Nov 25	1 in 17

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Barreirense	11	Oct 28 – Jan 13	1 in 104
2	Vitoria Setubal	3	Jan 20 – Feb 17	1 in 86
3	Fabril	9	Jan 6 – Mar 17	1 in 49
4	Vitoria Guimaraes	4	Sep 16 – Oct 7	1 in 19
5	Leixoes	7	Oct 21 – Dec 9	1 in 11

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Sporting Clube de Portugal	33.00%	24.00%	19.00%	17.00%	7.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Benfica	37.00%	33.00%	19.00%	10.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Vitoria Setubal	18.00%	22.00%	30.00%	21.00%	5.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Porto	12.00%	16.00%	23.00%	29.00%	11.00%	5.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	—	5.00%	6.00%	12.00%	36.00%	17.00%	8.00%	10.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Vitoria Guimaraes	—	—	2.00%	7.00%	24.00%	25.00%	13.00%	7.00%	10.00%	4.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—
Farense	—	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	8.00%	13.00%	17.00%	13.00%	12.00%	10.00%	13.00%	5.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—
Boavista	—	—	—	—	6.00%	10.00%	11.00%	13.00%	15.00%	17.00%	5.00%	6.00%	8.00%	6.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Fabril	—	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	19.00%	18.00%	10.00%	13.00%	5.00%	9.00%	7.00%	3.00%	5.00%	3.00%	3.00%
Academica de Coimbra	—	—	—	—	2.00%	4.00%	15.00%	11.00%	13.00%	8.00%	12.00%	8.00%	9.00%	9.00%	7.00%	2.00%
Olhanense	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	8.00%	11.00%	7.00%	7.00%	8.00%	15.00%	12.00%	18.00%	8.00%
Leixoes	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	5.00%	5.00%	11.00%	4.00%	7.00%	14.00%	16.00%	12.00%	14.00%	5.00%	5.00%
Barreirense	—	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	6.00%	4.00%	10.00%	14.00%	11.00%	14.00%	11.00%	14.00%	7.00%	7.00%
Beira-Mar	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	2.00%	10.00%	10.00%	5.00%	8.00%	13.00%	21.00%	26.00%
Oriental de Lisboa	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	3.00%	5.00%	3.00%	8.00%	15.00%	19.00%	43.00%
Montijo	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	3.00%	4.00%	12.00%	14.00%	16.00%	18.00%	8.00%	15.00%	5.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Benfica	100%	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	100%	—
Porto	100%	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	100%	—
Vitoria Setubal	100%	—
Vitoria Guimaraes	98.0%	2.0%
Farense	95.0%	5.0%
Boavista	91.0%	9.0%
Fabril	89.0%	11.0%
Academica de Coimbra	82.0%	18.0%
Leixoes	76.0%	24.0%
Barreirense	72.0%	28.0%
Montijo	72.0%	28.0%
Olhanense	62.0%	38.0%
Beira-Mar	40.0%	60.0%
Oriental de Lisboa	23.0%	77.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1973-09-09	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1637	1669	62.5%	18.6%	18.9%	+5.7	3
1973-09-09	@ Barreirense	L 0-1	1669	1637	18.9%	18.6%	62.5%	-5.7	0
1973-09-09	Olhanense	W 4-2	1575	1628	60.4%	18.7%	20.9%	+9.0	3
1973-09-09	@ Beira-Mar	L 2-4	1628	1575	20.9%	18.7%	60.4%	-9.0	0
1973-09-09	Porto	W 1-0	1777	1819	61.6%	18.6%	19.8%	+5.9	3
1973-09-09	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1819	1777	19.8%	18.6%	61.6%	-5.9	0
1973-09-09	Benfica	W 2-0	1673	1975	28.9%	18.3%	52.8%	+25.5	3
1973-09-09	@ Boavista	L 0-2	1975	1673	52.8%	18.3%	28.9%	-25.5	0
1973-09-09	Fabril	D 2-2	1625	1713	56.7%	18.8%	24.5%	-1.4	1
1973-09-09	@ Farense	D 2-2	1713	1625	24.5%	18.8%	56.7%	+1.4	1
1973-09-09	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1658	1721	59.5%	18.7%	21.8%	-28.7	0
1973-09-09	@ Leixoes	W 2-0	1721	1658	21.8%	18.7%	59.5%	+28.7	3
1973-09-09	Montijo	D 1-1	1536	1634	55.7%	18.8%	25.5%	-1.8	1
1973-09-09	@ Oriental de Lisboa	D 1-1	1634	1536	25.5%	18.8%	55.7%	+1.8	1
1973-09-09	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1843	1793	69.2%	18.1%	12.7%	+3.9	3
1973-09-09	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1793	1843	12.7%	18.1%	69.2%	-3.9	0
1973-09-16	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-3	1663	1847	44.7%	18.8%	36.4%	-32.1	0
1973-09-16	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 3-0	1847	1663	36.4%	18.8%	44.7%	+32.2	6
1973-09-16	Leixoes	W 3-0	1950	1629	82.0%	14.8%	3.2%	+2.6	3
1973-09-16	@ Benfica	L 0-3	1629	1950	3.2%	14.8%	82.0%	-2.6	0
1973-09-16	Beira-Mar	W 4-1	1715	1584	74.2%	17.3%	8.4%	+6.1	4
1973-09-16	@ Fabril	L 1-4	1584	1715	8.4%	17.3%	74.2%	-6.1	3
1973-09-16	Farense	L 0-2	1635	1624	66.3%	18.4%	15.3%	-32.0	1
1973-09-16	@ Montijo	W 2-0	1624	1635	15.3%	18.4%	66.3%	+32.0	4
1973-09-16	Barreirense	W 1-0	1619	1642	63.3%	18.6%	18.1%	+5.4	3
1973-09-16	@ Olhanense	L 0-1	1642	1619	18.1%	18.6%	63.3%	-5.4	3
1973-09-16	Oriental de Lisboa	W 1-0	1813	1534	80.6%	15.4%	3.9%	+1.2	3
1973-09-16	@ Porto	L 0-1	1534	1813	3.9%	15.4%	80.6%	-1.2	1
1973-09-16	Boavista	W 3-1	1789	1699	71.9%	17.8%	10.4%	+5.2	3
1973-09-16	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1699	1789	10.4%	17.8%	71.9%	-5.2	3
1973-09-16	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1749	1783	62.3%	18.6%	19.1%	-2.6	4
1973-09-16	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1783	1749	19.1%	18.6%	62.3%	+2.7	4
1973-09-23	Barreirense	W 3-2	1578	1637	59.8%	18.7%	21.5%	+5.7	6
1973-09-23	@ Beira-Mar	L 2-3	1637	1578	21.5%	18.7%	59.8%	-5.7	3
1973-09-23	Benfica	L 1-2	1786	1952	47.1%	18.9%	34.0%	-11.6	4
1973-09-23	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1952	1786	34.0%	18.9%	47.1%	+11.6	6
1973-09-23	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1694	1631	70.1%	18.0%	11.9%	+6.9	6
1973-09-23	@ Boavista	L 0-2	1631	1694	11.9%	18.0%	70.1%	-6.9	0
1973-09-23	Porto	D 2-2	1656	1815	48.1%	18.9%	33.1%	-0.6	5
1973-09-23	@ Farense	D 2-2	1815	1656	33.1%	18.9%	48.1%	+0.7	4
1973-09-23	Montijo	W 2-1	1721	1603	73.5%	17.5%	9.0%	+2.7	7
1973-09-23	@ Fabril	L 1-2	1603	1721	9.0%	17.5%	73.5%	-2.7	1
1973-09-23	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1627	1794	46.9%	18.9%	34.3%	-33.5	0
1973-09-23	@ Leixoes	W 3-0	1794	1627	34.3%	18.9%	46.9%	+33.5	6
1973-09-23	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1533	1747	40.6%	18.8%	40.7%	+10.8	4
1973-09-23	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 0-1	1747	1533	40.7%	18.8%	40.6%	-10.8	4
1973-09-23	Olhanense	W 9-0	1879	1625	79.7%	15.8%	4.5%	+10.6	9
1973-09-23	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-9	1625	1879	4.5%	15.8%	79.7%	-10.6	3
1973-09-30	Leixoes	W 2-0	1624	1593	67.8%	18.2%	13.9%	+8.0	3
1973-09-30	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1593	1624	13.9%	18.2%	67.8%	-8.0	0
1973-09-30	Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1631	1890	34.4%	18.6%	47.0%	+0.8	4
1973-09-30	@ Barreirense	D 0-0	1890	1631	47.0%	18.6%	34.4%	-0.8	10
1973-09-30	Oriental de Lisboa	W 2-0	1964	1544	84.9%	13.2%	1.9%	+1.0	9
1973-09-30	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1544	1964	1.9%	13.2%	84.9%	-1.0	4
1973-09-30	Beira-Mar	W 2-0	1601	1583	66.8%	18.3%	14.9%	+8.6	4
1973-09-30	@ Montijo	L 0-2	1583	1601	14.9%	18.3%	66.8%	-8.6	6
1973-09-30	Boavista	W 2-0	1614	1701	56.9%	18.8%	24.3%	+13.3	6
1973-09-30	@ Olhanense	L 0-2	1701	1614	24.3%	18.8%	56.9%	-13.3	6
1973-09-30	Fabril	D 1-1	1815	1723	72.0%	17.7%	10.3%	-4.0	5
1973-09-30	@ Porto	D 1-1	1723	1815	10.3%	17.7%	72.0%	+3.9	8
1973-09-30	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 4-1	1828	1774	69.5%	18.1%	12.5%	+8.9	9
1973-09-30	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1774	1828	12.5%	18.1%	69.5%	-8.9	4
1973-09-30	Farense	D 1-1	1736	1655	71.3%	17.8%	10.9%	-3.8	5
1973-09-30	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1655	1736	10.9%	17.8%	71.3%	+3.8	6
1973-10-07	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-3	1575	1889	27.5%	18.2%	54.3%	-21.3	6
1973-10-07	@ Beira-Mar	W 3-0	1889	1575	54.3%	18.2%	27.5%	+21.3	13
1973-10-07	Academica de Coimbra	W 6-0	1766	1632	74.4%	17.3%	8.3%	+13.6	7
1973-10-07	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-6	1632	1766	8.3%	17.3%	74.4%	-13.6	3
1973-10-07	Barreirense	W 2-0	1687	1632	69.6%	18.1%	12.3%	+7.2	9
1973-10-07	@ Boavista	L 0-2	1632	1687	12.3%	18.1%	69.6%	-7.2	4
1973-10-07	Benfica	D 0-0	1659	1965	28.4%	18.3%	53.3%	+1.6	7
1973-10-07	@ Farense	D 0-0	1965	1659	53.3%	18.3%	28.4%	-1.6	10
1973-10-07	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1727	1732	65.0%	18.5%	16.6%	-3.0	9
1973-10-07	@ Fabril	D 1-1	1732	1727	16.6%	18.5%	65.0%	+3.0	6
1973-10-07	Olhanense	W 3-1	1585	1627	61.5%	18.6%	19.8%	+9.6	3
1973-10-07	@ Leixoes	L 1-3	1627	1585	19.8%	18.6%	61.5%	-9.6	6
1973-10-07	Porto	L 1-2	1609	1811	42.2%	18.8%	39.0%	-10.5	4
1973-10-07	@ Montijo	W 2-1	1811	1609	39.0%	18.8%	42.2%	+10.5	8
1973-10-07	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-7	1543	1837	29.9%	18.4%	51.7%	-50.6	4
1973-10-07	@ Oriental de Lisboa	W 7-0	1837	1543	51.7%	18.4%	29.9%	+50.6	12
1973-10-21	Oriental de Lisboa	W 3-0	1618	1492	74.0%	17.4%	8.6%	+7.4	6
1973-10-21	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-3	1492	1618	8.6%	17.4%	74.0%	-7.4	4
1973-10-21	Leixoes	W 1-0	1625	1595	67.8%	18.2%	14.0%	+4.3	7
1973-10-21	@ Barreirense	L 0-1	1595	1625	14.0%	18.2%	67.8%	-4.3	3
1973-10-21	Fabril	W 1-0	1963	1724	79.1%	16.0%	4.8%	+1.5	13
1973-10-21	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1724	1963	4.8%	16.0%	79.1%	-1.5	9
1973-10-21	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 2-2	1618	1779	47.8%	18.9%	33.4%	-0.6	7
1973-10-21	@ Olhanense	D 2-2	1779	1618	33.4%	18.9%	47.8%	+0.6	8
1973-10-21	Beira-Mar	W 3-0	1822	1553	80.2%	15.6%	4.2%	+3.5	11
1973-10-21	@ Porto	L 0-3	1553	1822	4.2%	15.6%	80.2%	-3.5	6
1973-10-21	Farense	W 3-0	1887	1660	78.7%	16.2%	5.1%	+4.4	15
1973-10-21	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1660	1887	5.1%	16.2%	78.7%	-4.4	7
1973-10-21	Montijo	W 1-0	1735	1599	74.5%	17.3%	8.2%	+2.6	9
1973-10-21	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1599	1735	8.2%	17.3%	74.5%	-2.6	4
1973-10-21	Boavista	W 4-1	1910	1694	78.2%	16.3%	5.5%	+3.9	16
1973-10-21	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-4	1694	1910	5.5%	16.3%	78.2%	-3.9	9
1973-10-28	Boavista	D 0-0	1550	1690	50.4%	18.9%	30.7%	-1.3	7
1973-10-28	@ Beira-Mar	D 0-0	1690	1550	30.7%	18.9%	50.4%	+1.3	10
1973-10-28	Barreirense	W 1-0	1780	1629	75.2%	17.1%	7.6%	+2.4	11
1973-10-28	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1629	1780	7.6%	17.1%	75.2%	-2.4	7
1973-10-28	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-1	1656	1626	67.8%	18.2%	14.0%	+9.9	10
1973-10-28	@ Farense	L 1-4	1626	1656	14.0%	18.2%	67.8%	-9.9	6
1973-10-28	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1723	1892	46.7%	18.9%	34.4%	-33.4	9
1973-10-28	@ Fabril	W 3-0	1892	1723	34.4%	18.9%	46.7%	+33.4	18
1973-10-28	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1590	1914	26.4%	18.2%	55.4%	-7.5	3
1973-10-28	@ Leixoes	W 1-0	1914	1590	55.4%	18.2%	26.4%	+7.5	19
1973-10-28	Benfica	L 0-1	1596	1965	21.7%	17.8%	60.5%	-6.3	4
1973-10-28	@ Montijo	W 1-0	1965	1596	60.5%	17.8%	21.7%	+6.3	16
1973-10-28	Olhanense	W 2-0	1485	1617	51.5%	18.9%	29.6%	+15.7	7
1973-10-28	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 0-2	1617	1485	29.6%	18.9%	51.5%	-15.7	7
1973-10-28	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-0	1825	1738	71.7%	17.8%	10.5%	+8.9	14
1973-10-28	@ Porto	L 0-3	1738	1825	10.5%	17.8%	71.7%	-8.9	9
1973-11-04	Fabril	L 1-2	1616	1689	58.3%	18.8%	22.9%	-14.1	6
1973-11-04	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1689	1616	22.9%	18.8%	58.3%	+14.1	12
1973-11-04	Oriental de Lisboa	L 0-1	1627	1501	74.0%	17.4%	8.6%	-19.0	7
1973-11-04	@ Barreirense	W 1-0	1501	1627	8.6%	17.4%	74.0%	+19.0	10
1973-11-04	Porto	W 2-1	1971	1834	74.5%	17.3%	8.2%	+2.4	19
1973-11-04	@ Benfica	L 1-2	1834	1971	8.2%	17.3%	74.5%	-2.4	14
1973-11-04	Leixoes	D 2-2	1692	1583	73.0%	17.6%	9.4%	-3.0	11
1973-11-04	@ Boavista	D 2-2	1583	1692	9.4%	17.6%	73.0%	+3.0	4
1973-11-04	Farense	W 1-0	1601	1666	59.3%	18.7%	22.0%	+6.5	10
1973-11-04	@ Olhanense	L 0-1	1666	1601	22.0%	18.7%	59.3%	-6.5	10
1973-11-04	Montijo	W 8-0	1925	1590	82.5%	14.6%	2.9%	+6.1	21
1973-11-04	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-8	1590	1925	2.9%	14.6%	82.5%	-6.1	4
1973-11-04	Beira-Mar	W 3-0	1729	1549	76.7%	16.8%	6.6%	+5.6	12
1973-11-04	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-3	1549	1729	6.6%	16.8%	76.7%	-5.6	7
1973-11-04	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-2	1921	1782	74.7%	17.3%	8.1%	+2.2	22
1973-11-04	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 2-3	1782	1921	8.1%	17.3%	74.7%	-2.2	11
1973-11-18	Leixoes	W 3-2	1543	1586	61.5%	18.7%	19.9%	+5.3	10
1973-11-18	@ Beira-Mar	L 2-3	1586	1543	19.9%	18.7%	61.5%	-5.3	4
1973-11-18	Boavista	W 4-1	1780	1689	71.9%	17.7%	10.3%	+7.4	14
1973-11-18	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-4	1689	1780	10.3%	17.7%	71.9%	-7.4	11
1973-11-18	Barreirense	D 1-1	1660	1608	69.3%	18.1%	12.6%	-3.6	11
1973-11-18	@ Farense	D 1-1	1608	1660	12.6%	18.1%	69.3%	+3.6	8
1973-11-18	Olhanense	W 6-1	1704	1608	72.2%	17.7%	10.1%	+11.4	15
1973-11-18	@ Fabril	L 1-6	1608	1704	10.1%	17.7%	72.2%	-11.4	10
1973-11-18	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1584	1602	63.8%	18.5%	17.7%	+5.3	7
1973-11-18	@ Montijo	L 0-1	1602	1584	17.7%	18.5%	63.8%	-5.3	6
1973-11-18	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-3	1520	1924	18.4%	17.5%	64.1%	-14.8	10
1973-11-18	@ Oriental de Lisboa	W 3-0	1924	1520	64.1%	17.5%	18.4%	+14.8	25
1973-11-18	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1832	1931	55.4%	18.8%	25.7%	-1.8	15
1973-11-18	@ Porto	D 1-1	1931	1832	25.7%	18.8%	55.4%	+1.8	22
1973-11-18	Benfica	D 0-0	1734	1973	37.0%	18.7%	44.4%	+0.5	13
1973-11-18	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1973	1734	44.4%	18.7%	37.0%	-0.5	20
1973-11-25	Porto	D 1-1	1597	1830	37.8%	18.7%	43.6%	+0.3	7
1973-11-25	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1830	1597	43.6%	18.7%	37.8%	-0.3	16
1973-11-25	Fabril	D 0-0	1611	1715	54.9%	18.8%	26.2%	-1.9	9
1973-11-25	@ Barreirense	D 0-0	1715	1611	26.2%	18.8%	54.9%	+1.9	16
1973-11-25	Beira-Mar	W 2-0	1973	1548	85.0%	13.2%	1.8%	+1.0	23
1973-11-25	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1548	1973	1.8%	13.2%	85.0%	-1.0	10
1973-11-25	Oriental de Lisboa	W 3-1	1681	1505	76.5%	16.8%	6.7%	+3.4	14
1973-11-25	@ Boavista	L 1-3	1505	1681	6.7%	16.8%	76.5%	-3.4	10
1973-11-25	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1581	1787	41.5%	18.8%	39.7%	-0.1	5
1973-11-25	@ Leixoes	D 1-1	1787	1581	39.7%	18.8%	41.5%	+0.1	15
1973-11-25	Montijo	W 2-0	1596	1589	66.0%	18.4%	15.7%	+9.0	13
1973-11-25	@ Olhanense	L 0-2	1589	1596	15.7%	18.4%	66.0%	-9.0	7
1973-11-25	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-0	1933	1735	77.5%	16.6%	6.0%	+5.1	25
1973-11-25	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1735	1933	6.0%	16.6%	77.5%	-5.1	13
1973-11-25	Farense	W 1-0	1938	1656	80.7%	15.4%	3.9%	+1.2	28
1973-11-25	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1656	1938	3.9%	15.4%	80.7%	-1.2	11
1973-12-02	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1547	1787	36.9%	18.7%	44.5%	-9.4	10
1973-12-02	@ Beira-Mar	W 2-1	1787	1547	44.5%	18.7%	36.9%	+9.4	18
1973-12-02	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1974	1938	68.2%	18.2%	13.6%	+7.9	26
1973-12-02	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1938	1974	13.6%	18.2%	68.2%	-7.9	25
1973-12-02	Boavista	W 4-1	1655	1685	62.7%	18.6%	18.7%	+12.9	14
1973-12-02	@ Farense	L 1-4	1685	1655	18.7%	18.6%	62.7%	-12.9	14
1973-12-02	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1717	1940	39.2%	18.7%	42.0%	+10.5	19
1973-12-02	@ Fabril	L 1-2	1940	1717	42.0%	18.7%	39.2%	-10.5	28
1973-12-02	Barreirense	W 1-0	1580	1609	62.8%	18.6%	18.6%	+5.6	10
1973-12-02	@ Montijo	L 0-1	1609	1580	18.6%	18.6%	62.8%	-5.6	9
1973-12-02	Leixoes	W 3-2	1501	1581	57.7%	18.8%	23.5%	+6.1	13
1973-12-02	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 2-3	1581	1501	23.5%	18.8%	57.7%	-6.1	5
1973-12-02	Olhanense	W 2-0	1830	1605	78.6%	16.2%	5.2%	+3.0	19
1973-12-02	@ Porto	L 0-2	1605	1830	5.2%	16.2%	78.6%	-3.0	13
1973-12-02	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1730	1597	74.3%	17.3%	8.3%	+2.6	16
1973-12-02	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1597	1730	8.3%	17.3%	74.3%	-2.6	7
1973-12-09	Benfica	W 2-0	1594	1982	19.9%	17.6%	62.5%	+29.9	10
1973-12-09	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1982	1594	62.5%	17.6%	19.9%	-29.9	26
1973-12-09	Porto	L 1-2	1604	1833	38.4%	18.7%	42.9%	-9.7	9
1973-12-09	@ Barreirense	W 2-1	1833	1604	42.9%	18.7%	38.4%	+9.7	22
1973-12-09	Oriental de Lisboa	W 3-1	1797	1508	81.0%	15.3%	3.7%	+1.9	21
1973-12-09	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-3	1508	1797	3.7%	15.3%	81.0%	-1.8	13
1973-12-09	Fabril	L 0-1	1672	1727	60.2%	18.7%	21.1%	-15.4	14
1973-12-09	@ Boavista	W 1-0	1727	1672	21.1%	18.7%	60.2%	+15.4	22
1973-12-09	Farense	D 0-0	1574	1668	56.1%	18.8%	25.0%	-2.1	6
1973-12-09	@ Leixoes	D 0-0	1668	1574	25.0%	18.8%	56.1%	+2.1	15
1973-12-09	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1602	1732	51.8%	18.9%	29.3%	-25.2	13
1973-12-09	@ Olhanense	W 2-0	1732	1602	29.3%	18.9%	51.8%	+25.2	19
1973-12-09	Beira-Mar	W 5-2	1930	1538	84.1%	13.7%	2.2%	+1.3	28
1973-12-09	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-5	1538	1930	2.2%	13.7%	84.1%	-1.3	10
1973-12-09	Montijo	W 6-2	1929	1586	82.7%	14.5%	2.8%	+2.1	31
1973-12-09	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 2-6	1586	1929	2.8%	14.5%	82.7%	-2.1	10
1973-12-16	Oriental de Lisboa	L 2-3	1537	1506	67.8%	18.2%	13.9%	-15.5	10
1973-12-16	@ Beira-Mar	W 3-2	1506	1537	13.9%	18.2%	67.8%	+15.5	16
1973-12-16	Olhanense	W 4-1	1952	1577	83.6%	14.0%	2.4%	+1.6	29
1973-12-16	@ Benfica	L 1-4	1577	1952	2.4%	14.0%	83.6%	-1.6	13
1973-12-16	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1670	1799	51.9%	18.9%	29.2%	+7.8	18
1973-12-16	@ Farense	L 1-2	1799	1670	29.2%	18.9%	51.9%	-7.8	21
1973-12-16	Leixoes	L 0-3	1743	1572	76.2%	16.9%	6.9%	-53.4	22
1973-12-16	@ Fabril	W 3-0	1572	1743	6.9%	16.9%	76.2%	+53.4	9
1973-12-16	Boavista	D 2-2	1584	1656	58.4%	18.8%	22.8%	-1.6	11
1973-12-16	@ Montijo	D 2-2	1656	1584	22.8%	18.8%	58.4%	+1.6	15
1973-12-16	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-0	1843	1931	56.6%	18.8%	24.5%	+13.4	25
1973-12-16	@ Porto	L 0-2	1931	1843	24.5%	18.8%	56.6%	-13.4	31
1973-12-16	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-0	1932	1624	81.6%	15.0%	3.4%	+2.8	31
1973-12-16	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1624	1932	3.4%	15.0%	81.6%	-2.8	10
1973-12-16	Barreirense	D 0-0	1757	1594	75.9%	17.0%	7.1%	-5.0	20
1973-12-16	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1594	1757	7.1%	17.0%	75.9%	+5.0	10
1973-12-23	Benfica	D 0-0	1599	1954	23.1%	17.9%	59.0%	+2.4	11
1973-12-23	@ Barreirense	D 0-0	1954	1599	59.0%	17.9%	23.1%	-2.4	30
1973-12-23	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1521	1621	55.4%	18.8%	25.8%	-1.8	11
1973-12-23	@ Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1621	1521	25.8%	18.8%	55.4%	+1.8	11
1973-12-23	Fabril	W 2-1	1791	1689	72.6%	17.6%	9.8%	+2.9	24
1973-12-23	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1689	1791	9.8%	17.6%	72.6%	-2.9	22
1973-12-23	Porto	L 0-2	1658	1856	42.8%	18.8%	38.4%	-21.3	15
1973-12-23	@ Boavista	W 2-0	1856	1658	38.4%	18.8%	42.8%	+21.3	28
1973-12-23	Montijo	W 4-2	1626	1582	68.8%	18.1%	13.1%	+5.9	12
1973-12-23	@ Leixoes	L 2-4	1582	1626	13.1%	18.1%	68.8%	-5.9	11
1973-12-23	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1575	1934	22.6%	17.9%	59.5%	-10.7	13
1973-12-23	@ Olhanense	W 3-1	1934	1575	59.5%	17.9%	22.6%	+10.7	34
1973-12-23	Farense	W 1-0	1521	1678	48.4%	18.9%	32.7%	+9.1	19
1973-12-23	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 0-1	1678	1521	32.7%	18.9%	48.4%	-9.1	18
1973-12-23	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1918	1752	76.0%	17.0%	7.1%	-4.5	32
1973-12-23	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1752	1918	7.1%	17.0%	76.0%	+4.5	21
1973-12-30	Olhanense	D 1-1	1623	1565	69.8%	18.0%	12.2%	-3.7	12
1973-12-30	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1565	1623	12.2%	18.0%	69.8%	+3.7	14
1973-12-30	Vitoria Setubal	L 2-3	1951	1913	68.3%	18.2%	13.5%	-15.7	30
1973-12-30	@ Benfica	W 3-2	1913	1951	13.5%	18.2%	68.3%	+15.7	35
1973-12-30	Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1668	1519	75.2%	17.2%	7.7%	-4.4	19
1973-12-30	@ Farense	D 1-1	1519	1668	7.7%	17.2%	75.2%	+4.4	12
1973-12-30	Oriental de Lisboa	W 4-2	1687	1530	75.5%	17.1%	7.4%	+3.4	25
1973-12-30	@ Fabril	L 2-4	1530	1687	7.4%	17.1%	75.5%	-3.4	19
1973-12-30	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1576	1794	40.0%	18.7%	41.3%	+0.1	12
1973-12-30	@ Montijo	D 0-0	1794	1576	41.3%	18.7%	40.0%	-0.1	25
1973-12-30	Leixoes	W 2-1	1877	1632	79.4%	15.9%	4.7%	+1.4	31
1973-12-30	@ Porto	L 1-2	1632	1877	4.7%	15.9%	79.4%	-1.4	12
1973-12-30	Barreirense	W 6-1	1945	1601	82.7%	14.5%	2.8%	+3.1	37
1973-12-30	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-6	1601	1945	2.8%	14.5%	82.7%	-3.1	11
1973-12-30	Boavista	L 0-2	1757	1637	73.6%	17.5%	8.9%	-35.6	21
1973-12-30	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-0	1637	1757	8.9%	17.5%	73.6%	+35.6	18
1974-01-06	Barreirense	W 6-1	1619	1598	67.1%	18.3%	14.6%	+16.3	15
1974-01-06	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-6	1598	1619	14.6%	18.3%	67.1%	-16.3	11
1974-01-06	Boavista	W 2-0	1935	1672	80.0%	15.7%	4.3%	+2.5	33
1974-01-06	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1672	1935	4.3%	15.7%	80.0%	-2.5	18
1974-01-06	Farense	L 0-1	1690	1664	67.4%	18.3%	14.3%	-17.3	25
1974-01-06	@ Fabril	W 1-0	1664	1690	14.3%	18.3%	67.4%	+17.3	22
1974-01-06	Oriental de Lisboa	W 8-1	1576	1527	69.2%	18.1%	12.7%	+19.5	15
1974-01-06	@ Montijo	L 1-8	1527	1576	12.7%	18.1%	69.2%	-19.5	19
1974-01-06	Beira-Mar	W 4-2	1568	1524	68.8%	18.1%	13.0%	+5.8	17
1974-01-06	@ Olhanense	L 2-4	1524	1568	13.0%	18.1%	68.8%	-5.9	12
1974-01-06	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1879	1794	71.6%	17.8%	10.6%	+6.2	34
1974-01-06	@ Porto	L 0-2	1794	1879	10.6%	17.8%	71.6%	-6.2	25
1974-01-06	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1948	1929	66.9%	18.3%	14.8%	+4.2	40
1974-01-06	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1929	1948	14.8%	18.3%	66.9%	-4.2	35
1974-01-06	Leixoes	W 5-0	1721	1630	71.9%	17.8%	10.3%	+14.1	24
1974-01-06	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-5	1630	1721	10.3%	17.8%	71.9%	-14.1	12
1974-01-13	Olhanense	D 1-1	1582	1574	66.0%	18.4%	15.6%	-3.1	12
1974-01-13	@ Barreirense	D 1-1	1574	1582	15.6%	18.4%	66.0%	+3.1	18
1974-01-13	Fabril	W 2-0	1518	1673	48.6%	18.9%	32.5%	+17.0	15
1974-01-13	@ Beira-Mar	L 0-2	1673	1518	32.5%	18.9%	48.6%	-17.0	25
1974-01-13	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-0	1787	1735	69.4%	18.1%	12.6%	+7.3	28
1974-01-13	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1735	1787	12.6%	18.1%	69.4%	-7.3	24
1974-01-13	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1670	1952	31.3%	18.4%	50.3%	+1.1	19
1974-01-13	@ Boavista	D 1-1	1952	1670	50.3%	18.4%	31.3%	-1.1	41
1974-01-13	Montijo	W 3-2	1681	1596	71.6%	17.8%	10.6%	+2.9	25
1974-01-13	@ Farense	L 2-3	1596	1681	10.6%	17.8%	71.6%	-2.9	15
1974-01-13	Benfica	L 0-1	1616	1938	26.6%	18.2%	55.2%	-7.5	12
1974-01-13	@ Leixoes	W 1-0	1938	1616	55.2%	18.2%	26.6%	+7.5	36
1974-01-13	Porto	L 1-3	1507	1885	20.8%	17.7%	61.5%	-9.9	19
1974-01-13	@ Oriental de Lisboa	W 3-1	1885	1507	61.5%	17.7%	20.8%	+9.9	37
1974-01-13	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-0	1925	1636	81.0%	15.3%	3.7%	+3.1	38
1974-01-13	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-3	1636	1925	3.7%	15.3%	81.0%	-3.1	15
1974-01-20	Boavista	W 2-1	1633	1671	61.9%	18.6%	19.5%	+5.5	18
1974-01-20	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1671	1633	19.5%	18.6%	61.9%	-5.5	19
1974-01-20	Beira-Mar	W 2-0	1579	1535	68.8%	18.1%	13.1%	+7.6	15
1974-01-20	@ Barreirense	L 0-2	1535	1579	13.1%	18.1%	68.8%	-7.6	15
1974-01-20	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-1	1945	1795	75.2%	17.1%	7.6%	+3.9	39
1974-01-20	@ Benfica	L 1-3	1795	1945	7.6%	17.1%	75.2%	-3.9	28
1974-01-20	Fabril	D 0-0	1593	1656	59.5%	18.7%	21.8%	-2.5	16
1974-01-20	@ Montijo	D 0-0	1656	1593	21.8%	18.7%	59.5%	+2.6	26
1974-01-20	Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1577	1928	23.5%	18.0%	58.6%	+2.3	19
1974-01-20	@ Olhanense	D 0-0	1928	1577	58.6%	18.0%	23.5%	-2.3	39
1974-01-20	Farense	W 1-0	1895	1684	78.0%	16.4%	5.6%	+1.7	40
1974-01-20	@ Porto	L 0-1	1684	1895	5.6%	16.4%	78.0%	-1.7	25
1974-01-20	Leixoes	W 3-0	1951	1609	82.7%	14.5%	2.8%	+2.3	44
1974-01-20	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1609	1951	2.8%	14.5%	82.7%	-2.3	12
1974-01-20	Oriental de Lisboa	W 4-1	1728	1498	78.8%	16.1%	5.1%	+3.6	27
1974-01-20	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-4	1498	1728	5.1%	16.1%	78.8%	-3.6	19
1974-01-27	Montijo	W 3-1	1527	1590	59.4%	18.7%	21.8%	+10.5	18
1974-01-27	@ Beira-Mar	L 1-3	1590	1527	21.8%	18.7%	59.4%	-10.5	16
1974-01-27	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1791	1954	47.6%	18.9%	33.6%	+9.3	31
1974-01-27	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1954	1791	33.6%	18.9%	47.6%	-9.3	44
1974-01-27	Olhanense	W 2-0	1665	1580	71.6%	17.8%	10.6%	+6.2	22
1974-01-27	@ Boavista	L 0-2	1580	1665	10.6%	17.8%	71.6%	-6.2	19
1974-01-27	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 2-2	1683	1732	60.8%	18.7%	20.5%	-1.8	26
1974-01-27	@ Farense	D 2-2	1732	1683	20.5%	18.7%	60.8%	+1.8	28
1974-01-27	Porto	D 0-0	1658	1896	37.1%	18.7%	44.2%	+0.4	27
1974-01-27	@ Fabril	D 0-0	1896	1658	44.2%	18.7%	37.1%	-0.5	41
1974-01-27	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1606	1638	62.5%	18.6%	18.9%	+5.6	15
1974-01-27	@ Leixoes	L 0-1	1638	1606	18.9%	18.6%	62.5%	-5.6	18
1974-01-27	Benfica	L 1-3	1494	1949	14.5%	16.9%	68.6%	-7.0	19
1974-01-27	@ Oriental de Lisboa	W 3-1	1949	1494	68.6%	16.9%	14.5%	+7.0	42
1974-01-27	Barreirense	D 1-1	1926	1586	82.6%	14.5%	2.9%	-5.2	40
1974-01-27	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1586	1926	2.9%	14.5%	82.6%	+5.1	16
1974-02-17	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1632	1800	46.9%	18.9%	34.2%	-0.8	19
1974-02-17	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1800	1632	34.2%	18.9%	46.9%	+0.8	32
1974-02-17	Boavista	W 1-0	1592	1672	57.6%	18.8%	23.6%	+6.9	19
1974-02-17	@ Barreirense	L 0-1	1672	1592	23.6%	18.8%	57.6%	-6.9	22
1974-02-17	Farense	W 1-0	1956	1681	80.5%	15.5%	4.0%	+1.2	45
1974-02-17	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1681	1956	4.0%	15.5%	80.5%	-1.2	26
1974-02-17	Leixoes	W 4-0	1574	1612	61.9%	18.6%	19.5%	+20.8	22
1974-02-17	@ Olhanense	L 0-4	1612	1574	19.5%	18.6%	61.9%	-20.7	15
1974-02-17	Montijo	W 1-0	1896	1580	81.9%	14.9%	3.2%	+1.0	44
1974-02-17	@ Porto	L 0-1	1580	1896	3.2%	14.9%	81.9%	-1.0	16
1974-02-17	Oriental de Lisboa	W 8-0	1944	1487	85.9%	12.6%	1.6%	+3.1	47
1974-02-17	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-8	1487	1944	1.6%	12.6%	85.9%	-3.1	19
1974-02-17	Fabril	W 2-0	1734	1659	70.9%	17.9%	11.2%	+6.5	31
1974-02-17	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1659	1734	11.2%	17.9%	70.9%	-6.5	27
1974-02-17	Beira-Mar	D 0-0	1920	1538	83.9%	13.8%	2.3%	-5.9	41
1974-02-17	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1538	1920	2.3%	13.8%	83.9%	+5.9	19
1974-02-24	Porto	L 1-2	1544	1897	23.2%	17.9%	58.9%	-6.3	19
1974-02-24	@ Beira-Mar	W 2-1	1897	1544	58.9%	17.9%	23.2%	+6.3	47
1974-02-24	Olhanense	W 3-0	1801	1594	77.8%	16.4%	5.7%	+4.9	35
1974-02-24	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-3	1594	1801	5.7%	16.4%	77.8%	-4.9	22
1974-02-24	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1665	1915	35.5%	18.6%	45.9%	-9.7	22
1974-02-24	@ Boavista	W 1-0	1915	1665	45.9%	18.6%	35.5%	+9.7	44
1974-02-24	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1680	1947	33.1%	18.5%	48.3%	-17.2	26
1974-02-24	@ Farense	W 2-0	1947	1680	48.3%	18.5%	33.1%	+17.2	50
1974-02-24	Benfica	L 0-2	1652	1958	28.5%	18.3%	53.2%	-15.1	27
1974-02-24	@ Fabril	W 2-0	1958	1652	53.2%	18.3%	28.5%	+15.1	48
1974-02-24	Barreirense	W 1-0	1591	1598	64.7%	18.5%	16.8%	+5.1	18
1974-02-24	@ Leixoes	L 0-1	1598	1591	16.8%	18.5%	64.7%	-5.1	19
1974-02-24	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1579	1740	47.8%	18.9%	33.4%	-0.8	17
1974-02-24	@ Montijo	D 1-1	1740	1579	33.4%	18.9%	47.8%	+0.8	32
1974-02-24	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-3	1484	1632	49.5%	18.9%	31.6%	-35.2	19
1974-02-24	@ Oriental de Lisboa	W 3-0	1632	1484	31.6%	18.9%	49.5%	+35.2	22
1974-03-03	Farense	W 1-0	1667	1662	65.7%	18.4%	15.9%	+4.8	25
1974-03-03	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1662	1667	15.9%	18.4%	65.7%	-4.8	26
1974-03-03	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1593	1806	40.7%	18.8%	40.5%	+10.8	22
1974-03-03	@ Barreirense	L 0-1	1806	1593	40.5%	18.8%	40.7%	-10.8	35
1974-03-03	Montijo	W 5-1	1973	1578	84.2%	13.6%	2.2%	+1.9	51
1974-03-03	@ Benfica	L 1-5	1578	1973	2.2%	13.6%	84.2%	-1.9	17
1974-03-03	Beira-Mar	W 2-0	1655	1537	73.5%	17.5%	9.0%	+5.3	25
1974-03-03	@ Boavista	L 0-2	1537	1655	9.0%	17.5%	73.5%	-5.3	19
1974-03-03	Oriental de Lisboa	W 4-1	1589	1449	74.7%	17.2%	8.0%	+5.8	25
1974-03-03	@ Olhanense	L 1-4	1449	1589	8.0%	17.2%	74.7%	-5.8	19
1974-03-03	Fabril	W 6-0	1965	1637	82.2%	14.7%	3.1%	+4.8	53
1974-03-03	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-6	1637	1965	3.1%	14.7%	82.2%	-4.8	27
1974-03-03	Porto	D 0-0	1741	1903	47.6%	18.9%	33.5%	-0.9	33
1974-03-03	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1903	1741	33.5%	18.9%	47.6%	+0.9	48
1974-03-03	Leixoes	W 6-1	1924	1596	82.2%	14.7%	3.0%	+3.4	47
1974-03-03	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-6	1596	1924	3.0%	14.7%	82.2%	-3.4	18
1974-03-10	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1532	1740	41.3%	18.8%	39.9%	-11.0	19
1974-03-10	@ Beira-Mar	W 1-0	1740	1532	39.9%	18.8%	41.3%	+11.0	36
1974-03-10	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1795	1928	51.4%	18.9%	29.7%	+7.9	38
1974-03-10	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1928	1795	29.7%	18.9%	51.4%	-7.9	47
1974-03-10	Olhanense	W 3-1	1657	1595	70.1%	18.0%	11.9%	+6.0	29
1974-03-10	@ Farense	L 1-3	1595	1657	11.9%	18.0%	70.1%	-6.0	25
1974-03-10	Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1632	1672	61.8%	18.6%	19.6%	-2.9	28
1974-03-10	@ Fabril	D 0-0	1672	1632	19.6%	18.6%	61.8%	+2.9	26
1974-03-10	Boavista	W 2-0	1593	1660	59.0%	18.8%	22.3%	+12.3	21
1974-03-10	@ Leixoes	L 0-2	1660	1593	22.3%	18.8%	59.0%	-12.3	25
1974-03-10	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1576	1969	19.4%	17.6%	63.1%	-13.1	17
1974-03-10	@ Montijo	W 4-1	1969	1576	63.1%	17.6%	19.4%	+13.1	56
1974-03-10	Barreirense	W 2-1	1443	1604	47.8%	18.9%	33.4%	+8.7	22
1974-03-10	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 1-2	1604	1443	33.4%	18.9%	47.8%	-8.7	22
1974-03-10	Benfica	W 2-1	1904	1975	58.7%	18.8%	22.6%	+6.2	51
1974-03-10	@ Porto	L 1-2	1975	1904	22.6%	18.8%	58.7%	-6.2	51
1974-03-17	Montijo	L 1-2	1674	1563	73.1%	17.5%	9.3%	-17.7	26
1974-03-17	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1563	1674	9.3%	17.5%	73.1%	+17.7	20
1974-03-17	Farense	W 2-1	1596	1664	58.9%	18.8%	22.3%	+6.2	25
1974-03-17	@ Barreirense	L 1-2	1664	1596	22.3%	18.8%	58.9%	-6.2	29
1974-03-17	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 5-1	1968	1751	78.3%	16.3%	5.4%	+5.0	54
1974-03-17	@ Benfica	L 1-5	1751	1968	5.4%	16.3%	78.3%	-5.0	36
1974-03-17	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1648	1803	48.6%	18.9%	32.5%	-0.9	26
1974-03-17	@ Boavista	D 1-1	1803	1648	32.5%	18.9%	48.6%	+0.9	39
1974-03-17	Beira-Mar	W 4-0	1605	1521	71.5%	17.8%	10.7%	+11.8	24
1974-03-17	@ Leixoes	L 0-4	1521	1605	10.7%	17.8%	71.5%	-11.8	19
1974-03-17	Fabril	D 2-2	1589	1629	61.7%	18.6%	19.6%	-1.9	26
1974-03-17	@ Olhanense	D 2-2	1629	1589	19.6%	18.6%	61.7%	+1.9	29
1974-03-17	Porto	W 2-0	1983	1910	70.7%	17.9%	11.3%	+6.6	59
1974-03-17	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1910	1983	11.3%	17.9%	70.7%	-6.6	51
1974-03-17	Oriental de Lisboa	W 4-0	1920	1452	86.1%	12.4%	1.5%	+1.5	50
1974-03-17	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-4	1452	1920	1.5%	12.4%	86.1%	-1.5	22
1974-03-24	Benfica	D 1-1	1509	1973	13.9%	16.8%	69.3%	+3.5	20
1974-03-24	@ Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1973	1509	69.3%	16.8%	13.9%	-3.5	55
1974-03-24	Leixoes	W 4-3	1804	1617	77.0%	16.7%	6.3%	+1.7	42
1974-03-24	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 3-4	1617	1804	6.3%	16.7%	77.0%	-1.7	24
1974-03-24	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1657	1921	33.7%	18.6%	47.8%	-17.5	29
1974-03-24	@ Farense	W 2-0	1921	1657	47.8%	18.6%	33.7%	+17.4	53
1974-03-24	Barreirense	W 2-0	1631	1602	67.7%	18.2%	14.0%	+8.1	32
1974-03-24	@ Fabril	L 0-2	1602	1631	14.0%	18.2%	67.7%	-8.1	25
1974-03-24	Olhanense	W 1-0	1581	1587	64.8%	18.5%	16.7%	+5.1	23
1974-03-24	@ Montijo	L 0-1	1587	1581	16.7%	18.5%	64.8%	-5.1	26
1974-03-24	Boavista	W 3-1	1450	1647	42.9%	18.8%	38.3%	+16.9	25
1974-03-24	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 1-3	1647	1450	38.3%	18.8%	42.9%	-16.9	26
1974-03-24	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1904	1657	79.4%	15.9%	4.6%	+1.4	54
1974-03-24	@ Porto	L 0-1	1657	1904	4.6%	15.9%	79.4%	-1.4	26
1974-03-24	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1746	1989	36.4%	18.6%	44.9%	-9.9	36
1974-03-24	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1989	1746	44.9%	18.6%	36.4%	+9.9	62
1974-03-31	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1655	1736	57.5%	18.8%	23.7%	+6.5	29
1974-03-31	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1736	1655	23.7%	18.8%	57.5%	-6.5	36
1974-03-31	Montijo	D 1-1	1594	1586	66.0%	18.4%	15.6%	-3.1	26
1974-03-31	@ Barreirense	D 1-1	1586	1594	15.6%	18.4%	66.0%	+3.1	24
1974-03-31	Beira-Mar	W 4-1	1806	1513	81.1%	15.2%	3.7%	+2.6	45
1974-03-31	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-4	1513	1806	3.7%	15.2%	81.1%	-2.6	20
1974-03-31	Farense	W 1-0	1630	1640	64.5%	18.5%	17.0%	+5.1	29
1974-03-31	@ Boavista	L 0-1	1640	1630	17.0%	18.5%	64.5%	-5.1	29
1974-03-31	Oriental de Lisboa	L 1-3	1615	1467	75.1%	17.2%	7.7%	-31.4	24
1974-03-31	@ Leixoes	W 3-1	1467	1615	7.7%	17.2%	75.1%	+31.4	28
1974-03-31	Porto	W 2-1	1582	1905	26.5%	18.2%	55.4%	+13.3	29
1974-03-31	@ Olhanense	L 1-2	1905	1582	55.4%	18.2%	26.5%	-13.3	54
1974-03-31	Benfica	L 3-5	1999	1970	67.7%	18.2%	14.1%	-23.9	62
1974-03-31	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 5-3	1970	1999	14.1%	18.2%	67.7%	+23.9	58
1974-03-31	Fabril	W 2-0	1939	1639	81.3%	15.2%	3.5%	+2.0	56
1974-03-31	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1639	1939	3.5%	15.2%	81.3%	-2.0	32
1974-04-21	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1510	1975	13.8%	16.8%	69.4%	+3.5	21
1974-04-21	@ Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1975	1510	69.4%	16.8%	13.8%	-3.5	63
1974-04-21	Academica de Coimbra	W 5-0	1994	1662	82.4%	14.6%	3.0%	+4.0	61
1974-04-21	@ Benfica	L 0-5	1662	1994	3.0%	14.6%	82.4%	-4.0	29
1974-04-21	Leixoes	W 2-0	1635	1584	69.3%	18.1%	12.6%	+7.3	32
1974-04-21	@ Farense	L 0-2	1584	1635	12.6%	18.1%	69.3%	-7.3	24
1974-04-21	Boavista	D 0-0	1637	1635	65.5%	18.4%	16.1%	-3.4	33
1974-04-21	@ Fabril	D 0-0	1635	1637	16.1%	18.4%	65.5%	+3.4	30
1974-04-21	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-3	1589	1941	23.3%	17.9%	58.7%	-18.4	24
1974-04-21	@ Montijo	W 3-0	1941	1589	58.7%	17.9%	23.3%	+18.4	59
1974-04-21	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-3	1498	1808	28.0%	18.3%	53.7%	-7.1	28
1974-04-21	@ Oriental de Lisboa	W 3-2	1808	1498	53.7%	18.3%	28.0%	+7.1	48
1974-04-21	Barreirense	W 1-0	1892	1590	81.4%	15.1%	3.5%	+1.1	57
1974-04-21	@ Porto	L 0-1	1590	1892	3.5%	15.1%	81.4%	-1.1	26
1974-04-21	Olhanense	W 3-1	1730	1596	74.4%	17.3%	8.3%	+4.2	39
1974-04-21	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-3	1596	1730	8.3%	17.3%	74.4%	-4.2	29
1974-05-05	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1658	1972	27.5%	18.2%	54.2%	-12.7	29
1974-05-05	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1972	1658	54.2%	18.2%	27.5%	+12.7	66
1974-05-05	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1589	1734	50.0%	18.9%	31.2%	-1.1	27
1974-05-05	@ Barreirense	D 1-1	1734	1589	31.2%	18.9%	50.0%	+1.1	40
1974-05-05	Farense	W 3-1	1815	1642	76.3%	16.9%	6.8%	+3.5	51
1974-05-05	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-3	1642	1815	6.8%	16.9%	76.3%	-3.4	32
1974-05-05	Montijo	W 4-0	1639	1571	70.5%	17.9%	11.6%	+12.8	33
1974-05-05	@ Boavista	L 0-4	1571	1639	11.6%	17.9%	70.5%	-12.8	24
1974-05-05	Fabril	W 3-1	1577	1634	60.0%	18.7%	21.3%	+10.2	27
1974-05-05	@ Leixoes	L 1-3	1634	1577	21.3%	18.7%	60.0%	-10.2	33
1974-05-05	Benfica	L 1-7	1591	1998	18.2%	17.4%	64.3%	-23.1	29
1974-05-05	@ Olhanense	W 7-1	1998	1591	64.3%	17.4%	18.2%	+23.1	64
1974-05-05	Beira-Mar	L 0-1	1491	1514	63.4%	18.6%	18.0%	-16.2	28
1974-05-05	@ Oriental de Lisboa	W 1-0	1514	1491	18.0%	18.6%	63.4%	+16.2	24
1974-05-05	Porto	D 0-0	1959	1893	70.3%	18.0%	11.7%	-4.2	60
1974-05-05	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1893	1959	11.7%	18.0%	70.3%	+4.2	58
1974-05-12	Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1645	1530	73.4%	17.5%	9.1%	-4.1	30
1974-05-12	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1530	1645	9.1%	17.5%	73.4%	+4.1	25
1974-05-12	Barreirense	W 4-0	2021	1588	85.2%	13.0%	1.8%	+1.8	67
1974-05-12	@ Benfica	L 0-4	1588	2021	1.8%	13.0%	85.2%	-1.8	27
1974-05-12	Oriental de Lisboa	W 2-1	1639	1475	75.9%	17.0%	7.1%	+2.1	35
1974-05-12	@ Farense	L 1-2	1475	1639	7.1%	17.0%	75.9%	-2.1	28
1974-05-12	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1624	1819	43.2%	18.8%	38.0%	-11.4	33
1974-05-12	@ Fabril	W 1-0	1819	1624	38.0%	18.8%	43.2%	+11.4	54
1974-05-12	Leixoes	W 1-0	1558	1587	62.8%	18.6%	18.6%	+5.6	27
1974-05-12	@ Montijo	L 0-1	1587	1558	18.6%	18.6%	62.8%	-5.6	27
1974-05-12	Boavista	W 4-2	1897	1652	79.4%	15.9%	4.7%	+2.1	61
1974-05-12	@ Porto	L 2-4	1652	1897	4.7%	15.9%	79.4%	-2.1	33
1974-05-12	Olhanense	W 5-0	1984	1568	84.8%	13.3%	1.9%	+2.5	69
1974-05-12	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-5	1568	1984	1.9%	13.3%	84.8%	-2.5	29
1974-05-12	Vitoria Setubal	L 1-4	1735	1955	39.6%	18.7%	41.6%	-24.5	40
1974-05-12	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-1	1955	1735	41.6%	18.7%	39.6%	+24.5	63
1974-05-19	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1586	1987	18.8%	17.5%	63.7%	-15.1	27
1974-05-19	@ Barreirense	W 3-0	1987	1586	63.7%	17.5%	18.8%	+15.1	72
1974-05-19	Farense	W 3-1	1534	1641	54.6%	18.8%	26.6%	+12.4	28
1974-05-19	@ Beira-Mar	L 1-3	1641	1534	26.6%	18.8%	54.6%	-12.4	35
1974-05-19	Montijo	W 3-0	1830	1563	80.2%	15.6%	4.2%	+3.5	57
1974-05-19	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-3	1563	1830	4.2%	15.6%	80.2%	-3.5	27
1974-05-19	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1650	1710	59.7%	18.7%	21.6%	-2.3	34
1974-05-19	@ Boavista	D 1-1	1710	1650	21.6%	18.7%	59.7%	+2.3	41
1974-05-19	Porto	W 2-0	1581	1899	27.0%	18.2%	54.8%	+26.4	30
1974-05-19	@ Leixoes	L 0-2	1899	1581	54.8%	18.2%	27.0%	-26.4	61
1974-05-19	Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1566	1641	58.1%	18.8%	23.1%	-2.4	30
1974-05-19	@ Olhanense	D 0-0	1641	1566	23.1%	18.8%	58.1%	+2.4	31
1974-05-19	Fabril	W 3-2	1473	1612	50.6%	18.9%	30.5%	+7.7	31
1974-05-19	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 2-3	1612	1473	30.5%	18.9%	50.6%	-7.7	33
1974-05-19	Benfica	D 2-2	1980	2023	61.4%	18.7%	19.9%	-1.9	64
1974-05-19	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 2-2	2023	1980	19.9%	18.7%	61.4%	+1.9	68

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1973-12-16	6.89%	Leixoes	1572	3	@ Fabril	1743	0
2	1974-03-31	7.71%	Oriental de Lisboa	1467	3	@ Leixoes	1615	1
3	1973-11-04	8.65%	Oriental de Lisboa	1501	1	@ Barreirense	1627	0
4	1973-12-30	8.90%	Boavista	1637	2	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1757	0
5	1974-03-17	9.31%	Montijo	1563	2	@ Academica de Coimbra	1674	1
6	1973-12-30	13.48%	Vitoria Setubal	1913	3	@ Benfica	1951	2
7	1973-12-16	13.94%	Oriental de Lisboa	1506	3	@ Beira-Mar	1537	2
8	1974-03-31	14.06%	Benfica	1970	5	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1999	3
9	1974-01-06	14.29%	Farense	1664	1	@ Fabril	1690	0
10	1973-09-16	15.30%	Farense	1624	2	@ Montijo	1635	0
11	1974-05-05	18.03%	Beira-Mar	1514	1	@ Oriental de Lisboa	1491	0
12	1973-12-09	19.89%	@ Academica de Coimbra	1594	2	Benfica	1982	0
13	1973-12-09	21.10%	Fabril	1727	1	@ Boavista	1672	0
14	1973-09-09	21.80%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1721	2	@ Leixoes	1658	0
15	1973-11-04	22.91%	Fabril	1689	2	@ Academica de Coimbra	1616	1
16	1974-03-31	26.45%	@ Olhanense	1582	2	Porto	1905	1
17	1974-05-19	27.02%	@ Leixoes	1581	2	Porto	1899	0
18	1973-09-09	28.91%	@ Boavista	1673	2	Benfica	1975	0
19	1973-12-09	29.35%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1732	2	@ Olhanense	1602	0
20	1974-02-24	31.61%	Academica de Coimbra	1632	3	@ Oriental de Lisboa	1484	0
21	1973-09-23	34.04%	Benfica	1952	2	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1786	1
22	1973-09-23	34.27%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1794	3	@ Leixoes	1627	0
23	1973-10-28	34.42%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1892	3	@ Fabril	1723	0
24	1973-09-16	36.44%	Vitoria Setubal	1847	3	@ Academica de Coimbra	1663	0
25	1974-05-12	38.03%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1819	1	@ Fabril	1624	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1973-12-16	53.43	Leixoes	3	1572	6.89%	@ Fabril	0	1743	76.21%
2	1973-10-07	50.64	Sporting Clube de Portugal	7	1837	51.75%	@ Oriental de Lisboa	0	1543	29.87%
3	1973-12-30	35.60	Boavista	2	1637	8.90%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	0	1757	73.64%
4	1974-02-24	35.16	Academica de Coimbra	3	1632	31.61%	@ Oriental de Lisboa	0	1484	49.53%
5	1973-09-23	33.48	Sporting Clube de Portugal	3	1794	34.27%	@ Leixoes	0	1627	46.88%
6	1973-10-28	33.39	Sporting Clube de Portugal	3	1892	34.42%	@ Fabril	0	1723	46.73%
7	1973-09-16	32.15	Vitoria Setubal	3	1847	36.44%	@ Academica de Coimbra	0	1663	44.73%
8	1973-09-16	32.05	Farense	2	1624	15.30%	@ Montijo	0	1635	66.34%
9	1974-03-31	31.43	Oriental de Lisboa	3	1467	7.71%	@ Leixoes	1	1615	75.13%
10	1973-12-09	29.89	@ Academica de Coimbra	2	1594	19.89%	Benfica	0	1982	62.48%
11	1973-09-09	28.74	Vitoria Guimaraes	2	1721	21.80%	@ Leixoes	0	1658	59.47%
12	1974-05-19	26.40	@ Leixoes	2	1581	27.02%	Porto	0	1899	54.76%
13	1973-09-09	25.52	@ Boavista	2	1673	28.91%	Benfica	0	1975	52.76%
14	1973-12-09	25.21	Vitoria Guimaraes	2	1732	29.35%	@ Olhanense	0	1602	51.79%
15	1974-05-12	24.50	Vitoria Setubal	4	1955	41.63%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1	1735	39.63%
16	1974-03-31	23.95	Benfica	5	1970	14.06%	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	3	1999	67.69%
17	1974-05-05	23.14	Benfica	7	1998	64.33%	@ Olhanense	1	1591	18.24%
18	1973-12-23	21.30	Porto	2	1856	38.44%	@ Boavista	0	1658	42.76%
19	1973-10-07	21.26	Vitoria Setubal	3	1889	54.29%	@ Beira-Mar	0	1575	27.46%
20	1974-02-17	20.75	@ Olhanense	4	1574	61.89%	Leixoes	0	1612	19.47%
21	1974-01-06	19.54	@ Montijo	8	1576	69.17%	Oriental de Lisboa	1	1527	12.73%
22	1973-11-04	18.96	Oriental de Lisboa	1	1501	8.65%	@ Barreirense	0	1627	73.95%
23	1974-04-21	18.40	Vitoria Setubal	3	1941	58.70%	@ Montijo	0	1589	23.34%
24	1974-03-17	17.68	Montijo	2	1563	9.31%	@ Academica de Coimbra	1	1674	73.14%
25	1974-03-24	17.45	Vitoria Setubal	2	1921	47.80%	@ Farense	0	1657	33.65%