1977-78 Primeira Divisão Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Porto

51 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Porto

8.47 points above expected

51 points · 42.53 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Feirense

11.25 points below expected

12 points · 23.25 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Porto 30 22 7 1 51 81 21 +60 42.5 +8.47
2 Benfica 30 21 9 0 51 56 11 +45 44.2 +6.84
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 30 19 4 7 42 63 30 +33 40.0 +1.97
4 Braga 30 16 6 8 38 42 27 +15 32.3 +5.72
5 Os Belenenses (1st) 30 14 8 8 36 25 21 +4 31.8 +4.17
6 Vitoria Guimaraes 30 12 7 11 31 33 28 +5 30.9 +0.06
7 Boavista 30 10 8 12 28 36 38 -2 30.8 -2.84
8 Academica de Coimbra 30 11 4 15 26 41 49 -8 27.0 -1.04
9 Vitoria Setubal 30 8 10 12 26 29 40 -11 28.4 -2.40
10 Estoril 30 8 9 13 25 25 36 -11 25.5 -0.53
11 Varzim 30 9 7 14 25 26 38 -12 26.4 -1.36
12 Portimonense 30 8 7 15 23 29 39 -10 24.1 -1.09
13 Maritimo 30 8 7 15 23 22 45 -23 25.2 -2.21
14 Espinho 30 8 6 16 22 30 52 -22 22.0 +0.03
15 Riopele 30 6 9 15 21 23 51 -28 25.5 -4.54
16 Feirense 30 5 2 23 12 24 59 -35 23.2 -11.25

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Benfica 1918 51 44.16 +6.84 97.0% 34 38 42 44 47 50 52
Porto 1916 51 42.53 +8.47 100.0% 30 36 40 43 46 49 50
Sporting Clube de Portugal 1814 42 40.03 +1.97 77.0% 30 33 38 40 42 46 50
Braga 1683 38 32.28 +5.72 91.0% 19 24 30 32 35 39 44
Os Belenenses (1st) 1646 36 31.83 +4.17 85.0% 24 25 28 32 35 40 41
Vitoria Guimaraes 1609 31 30.94 +0.06 54.0% 23 25 28 31 34 37 40
Boavista 1604 28 30.84 -2.84 27.0% 20 23 28 31 34 38 40
Academica de Coimbra 1574 26 27.04 -1.04 45.0% 16 20 24 27 30 34 37
Estoril 1546 25 25.53 -0.53 49.0% 15 18 23 26 28 31 36
Vitoria Setubal 1544 26 28.40 -2.40 29.0% 18 21 26 28 31 35 40
Varzim 1525 25 26.36 -1.36 44.0% 16 19 23 27 29 33 40
Portimonense 1523 23 24.09 -1.09 48.0% 13 17 21 24 28 32 38
Maritimo 1523 23 25.21 -2.21 37.0% 17 18 22 25 28 33 36
Riopele 1479 21 25.54 -4.54 17.0% 15 19 22 26 28 32 34
Espinho 1427 22 21.97 +0.03 53.0% 13 15 19 22 24 29 32
Feirense 1362 12 23.25 -11.25 1.0% 12 17 20 23 26 30 34

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ADC BEN BOA BRA ESP EST FEI MAR OB( POR POR RIO SCDP VAR VG VS
Academica de Coimbra
0-0-2
1.13
1-1-0
2.25
0-0-2
2.15
1-0-1
3.14
1-0-1
2.92
2-0-0
3.28
1-0-1
2.93
0-1-1
2.25
1-0-1
3.11
0-1-1
0.99
1-0-1
2.94
0-0-2
2.02
1-0-1
2.64
0-1-1
2.40
2-0-0
2.45
Benfica
2-0-0
4.50
1-1-0
3.83
0-2-0
4.00
2-0-0
4.75
2-0-0
4.56
2-0-0
4.73
2-0-0
4.60
1-1-0
3.87
1-1-0
4.56
0-2-0
2.88
2-0-0
4.79
1-1-0
3.27
1-1-0
4.39
2-0-0
3.87
2-0-0
4.42
Boavista
0-1-1
3.32
0-1-1
1.78
0-0-2
2.66
1-1-0
3.42
2-0-0
3.21
2-0-0
3.44
1-0-1
3.33
0-0-2
2.73
2-0-0
3.45
0-1-1
1.28
1-1-0
3.33
1-0-1
1.81
0-0-2
3.31
0-2-0
2.73
0-1-1
2.82
Braga
2-0-0
3.44
0-2-0
1.60
2-0-0
2.92
1-0-1
4.03
0-0-2
3.79
2-0-0
3.26
2-0-0
3.84
2-0-0
2.69
1-0-1
3.75
0-0-2
1.84
0-2-0
3.32
1-0-1
2.11
1-1-0
3.31
1-0-1
2.84
1-1-0
3.45
Espinho
1-0-1
2.45
0-0-2
0.89
0-1-1
2.16
1-0-1
1.56
0-0-2
2.67
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
1.84
1-0-1
2.71
0-1-1
1.04
1-1-0
2.50
0-0-2
1.02
1-0-1
2.28
1-0-1
1.94
0-2-0
2.13
Estoril
1-0-1
2.65
0-0-2
1.08
0-0-2
2.37
2-0-0
1.80
2-0-0
2.90
1-1-0
2.90
0-2-0
2.75
0-1-1
2.31
0-2-0
2.98
1-0-1
1.47
0-1-1
2.73
0-0-2
1.48
0-1-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.09
0-1-1
2.61
Feirense
0-0-2
2.29
0-0-2
0.95
0-0-2
2.14
0-0-2
2.33
1-0-1
2.84
0-1-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.67
0-1-1
2.11
0-0-2
2.70
0-0-2
1.11
1-0-1
2.53
0-0-2
1.44
1-0-1
2.47
0-0-2
2.00
1-0-1
2.33
Maritimo
1-0-1
2.64
0-0-2
1.02
1-0-1
2.24
0-0-2
1.75
1-0-1
3.04
0-2-0
2.82
1-0-1
2.91
0-0-2
2.16
1-1-0
2.97
0-0-2
1.69
1-1-0
2.83
0-0-2
1.58
1-0-1
2.61
1-1-0
1.93
0-2-0
2.32
Os Belenenses (1st)
1-1-0
3.32
0-1-1
1.73
2-0-0
2.84
0-0-2
2.88
1-1-0
3.76
1-1-0
3.28
1-1-0
3.48
2-0-0
3.42
2-0-0
3.42
0-1-1
1.74
1-0-1
3.56
0-0-2
2.00
1-1-0
3.38
1-0-1
2.76
1-1-0
3.02
Portimonense
1-0-1
2.46
0-1-1
1.09
0-0-2
2.13
1-0-1
1.84
1-0-1
2.86
0-2-0
2.59
2-0-0
2.86
0-1-1
2.60
0-0-2
2.15
0-1-1
0.87
1-1-0
2.78
1-0-1
1.27
1-0-1
2.41
0-0-2
2.27
0-1-1
2.29
Porto
1-1-0
4.64
0-2-0
2.70
1-1-0
4.33
2-0-0
3.76
1-1-0
4.63
1-0-1
4.16
2-0-0
4.51
2-0-0
3.93
1-1-0
3.86
1-1-0
4.78
2-0-0
3.92
2-0-0
3.22
2-0-0
4.20
2-0-0
4.11
2-0-0
3.95
Riopele
1-0-1
2.63
0-0-2
0.86
0-1-1
2.25
0-2-0
2.25
0-1-1
3.07
1-1-0
2.84
1-0-1
3.04
0-1-1
2.74
1-0-1
2.01
0-1-1
2.79
0-0-2
1.70
0-0-2
1.58
1-1-0
2.60
0-1-1
2.15
1-0-1
2.62
Sporting Clube de Portugal
2-0-0
3.58
0-1-1
2.31
1-0-1
3.78
1-0-1
3.48
2-0-0
4.61
2-0-0
4.11
2-0-0
4.16
2-0-0
4.02
2-0-0
3.59
1-0-1
4.35
0-0-2
2.35
2-0-0
4.02
1-1-0
4.14
0-2-0
3.66
1-0-1
3.70
Varzim
1-0-1
2.94
0-1-1
1.22
2-0-0
2.26
0-1-1
2.26
1-0-1
3.29
1-1-0
2.96
1-0-1
3.10
1-0-1
2.96
0-1-1
2.19
1-0-1
3.16
0-0-2
1.42
0-1-1
2.97
0-1-1
1.47
1-0-1
2.24
0-1-1
2.63
Vitoria Guimaraes
1-1-0
3.17
0-0-2
1.73
0-2-0
2.84
1-0-1
2.74
1-0-1
3.64
1-0-1
3.49
2-0-0
3.58
0-1-1
3.66
1-0-1
2.81
2-0-0
3.32
0-0-2
1.49
1-1-0
3.43
0-2-0
1.92
1-0-1
3.34
1-0-1
3.01
Vitoria Setubal
0-0-2
3.13
0-0-2
1.19
1-1-0
2.75
0-1-1
2.12
0-2-0
3.45
1-1-0
2.97
1-0-1
3.24
0-2-0
3.25
0-1-1
2.55
1-1-0
3.30
0-0-2
1.63
1-0-1
2.96
1-0-1
1.89
1-1-0
2.94
1-0-1
2.57

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.92%9.58%7.71%2.50%1.25%1.25%35.21%
19.58%8.33%7.92%2.92%1.67%1.46%31.87%
27.71%7.92%1.25%1.46%0.62%0.21%19.17%
32.50%2.92%1.46%0.42%7.29%
41.25%1.67%0.62%3.54%
5+1.25%1.46%0.21%2.92%
Total35.21%31.87%19.17%7.29%3.54%2.92%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.22
Mean allowed1.22
StdDev scored1.29
StdDev allowed1.29
Mean total goals/game2.44
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.070
Sample size (games)240
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%16.67%3.33%36.67%
13.33%6.67%3.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%26.67%
23.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
313.33%3.33%16.67%
43.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
5+
Total16.67%36.67%26.67%10.00%6.67%3.33%100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.37
Mean allowed1.63
StdDev scored1.40
StdDev allowed1.27
Mean total goals/game3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.154
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%16.67%
116.67%13.33%30.00%
216.67%6.67%23.33%
313.33%3.33%3.33%20.00%
43.33%3.33%
5+3.33%3.33%6.67%
Total66.67%30.00%3.33%100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.87
Mean allowed0.37
StdDev scored1.48
StdDev allowed0.56
Mean total goals/game2.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.229
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%3.33%23.33%40.00%
16.67%10.00%6.67%3.33%26.67%
213.33%3.33%3.33%20.00%
33.33%3.33%
46.67%6.67%
5+3.33%3.33%
Total20.00%40.00%33.33%6.67%100%

Boavista — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.20
Mean allowed1.27
StdDev scored1.37
StdDev allowed0.87
Mean total goals/game2.47
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.046
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%23.33%
116.67%10.00%10.00%36.67%
220.00%10.00%3.33%33.33%
3
4
5+3.33%3.33%6.67%
Total50.00%30.00%10.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%100%

Braga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.40
Mean allowed0.90
StdDev scored1.35
StdDev allowed1.27
Mean total goals/game2.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.217
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%23.33%3.33%3.33%36.67%
110.00%13.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%40.00%
210.00%3.33%13.33%
33.33%3.33%6.67%
43.33%3.33%
5+
Total10.00%33.33%40.00%10.00%3.33%3.33%100%

Espinho — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.00
Mean allowed1.73
StdDev scored1.05
StdDev allowed1.11
Mean total goals/game2.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.148
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%13.33%3.33%3.33%40.00%
16.67%10.00%13.33%3.33%3.33%36.67%
213.33%6.67%3.33%23.33%
3
4
5+
Total40.00%30.00%16.67%3.33%3.33%6.67%100%

Estoril — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.83
Mean allowed1.20
StdDev scored0.79
StdDev allowed1.45
Mean total goals/game2.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.120
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%20.00%10.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%43.33%
13.33%3.33%16.67%10.00%3.33%6.67%43.33%
26.67%6.67%
33.33%3.33%
43.33%3.33%
5+
Total20.00%23.33%26.67%13.33%6.67%10.00%100%

Feirense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.80
Mean allowed1.97
StdDev scored0.96
StdDev allowed1.63
Mean total goals/game2.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.269
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%13.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%46.67%
113.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%36.67%
210.00%3.33%13.33%
33.33%3.33%
4
5+
Total43.33%20.00%6.67%16.67%6.67%6.67%100%

Maritimo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.73
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored0.83
StdDev allowed1.81
Mean total goals/game2.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.184
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%13.33%6.67%3.33%46.67%
120.00%3.33%3.33%26.67%
213.33%10.00%23.33%
33.33%3.33%
4
5+
Total60.00%26.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.83
Mean allowed0.70
StdDev scored0.91
StdDev allowed1.26
Mean total goals/game1.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.224
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%13.33%10.00%3.33%40.00%
110.00%10.00%13.33%6.67%40.00%
23.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
36.67%6.67%
4
5+3.33%3.33%
Total26.67%30.00%30.00%13.33%100%

Portimonense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.97
Mean allowed1.30
StdDev scored1.16
StdDev allowed1.02
Mean total goals/game2.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.125
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%3.33%20.00%
13.33%3.33%6.67%
26.67%6.67%3.33%16.67%
310.00%6.67%6.67%23.33%
46.67%6.67%3.33%16.67%
5+6.67%6.67%3.33%16.67%
Total50.00%30.00%20.00%100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.70
Mean allowed0.70
StdDev scored1.90
StdDev allowed0.79
Mean total goals/game3.40
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.167
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%46.67%
16.67%3.33%13.33%3.33%6.67%33.33%
23.33%10.00%3.33%16.67%
33.33%3.33%
4
5+
Total33.33%20.00%16.67%10.00%16.67%3.33%100%

Riopele — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.77
Mean allowed1.70
StdDev scored0.86
StdDev allowed1.68
Mean total goals/game2.47
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.093
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%13.33%
110.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%23.33%
213.33%10.00%3.33%6.67%33.33%
33.33%6.67%10.00%
43.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
5+6.67%3.33%10.00%
Total40.00%33.33%13.33%13.33%100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.10
Mean allowed1.00
StdDev scored1.49
StdDev allowed1.05
Mean total goals/game3.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.242
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%10.00%13.33%40.00%
110.00%6.67%13.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%40.00%
23.33%10.00%13.33%
36.67%6.67%
4
5+
Total30.00%33.33%26.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%100%

Varzim — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.87
Mean allowed1.27
StdDev scored0.90
StdDev allowed1.23
Mean total goals/game2.13
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.033
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%23.33%3.33%33.33%
110.00%10.00%10.00%30.00%
26.67%16.67%6.67%30.00%
33.33%3.33%6.67%
4
5+
Total26.67%53.33%20.00%100%

Vitoria Guimaraes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.10
Mean allowed0.93
StdDev scored0.96
StdDev allowed0.69
Mean total goals/game2.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.042
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%10.00%3.33%6.67%3.33%40.00%
16.67%16.67%6.67%3.33%33.33%
23.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%20.00%
33.33%3.33%
43.33%3.33%
5+
Total30.00%40.00%10.00%10.00%6.67%3.33%100%

Vitoria Setubal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.97
Mean allowed1.33
StdDev scored1.03
StdDev allowed1.37
Mean total goals/game2.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.065
Games played30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Porto 51 42.5 +8.47
2 Benfica 51 44.2 +6.84
3 Braga 38 32.3 +5.72
4 Os Belenenses (1st) 36 31.8 +4.17
5 Sporting Clube de Portugal 42 40.0 +1.97

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Feirense 12 23.2 -11.25
2 Riopele 21 25.5 -4.54
3 Boavista 28 30.8 -2.84
4 Vitoria Setubal 26 28.4 -2.40
5 Maritimo 23 25.2 -2.21

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Porto 13 Jan 22 – May 14 1 in 494
2 Estoril 2 May 28 – Jun 4 1 in 22
3 Varzim 3 Jan 29 – Feb 19 1 in 22
4 Braga 3 Oct 23 – Nov 20 1 in 16
5 Academica de Coimbra 2 Dec 18 – Jan 15 1 in 15

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Feirense 10 Apr 2 – Jun 11 1 in 1,332
2 Riopele 6 Oct 16 – Dec 4 1 in 100
3 Estoril 5 Oct 16 – Nov 27 1 in 66
4 Academica de Coimbra 5 Sep 4 – Oct 16 1 in 55
5 Portimonense 5 Sep 4 – Oct 16 1 in 49

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Porto 28 Sep 18 – Jun 11 1 in 903
2 Benfica 30 Sep 4 – Jun 11 1 in 559
3 Os Belenenses (1st) 8 Dec 11 – Feb 26 1 in 54
4 Portimonense 5 May 7 – Jun 4 1 in 26
5 Boavista 5 Nov 27 – Jan 15 1 in 17

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vitoria Setubal 12 Mar 12 – Jun 11 1 in 299
2 Feirense 10 Apr 2 – Jun 11 1 in 32
3 Os Belenenses (1st) 6 Feb 19 – Apr 9 1 in 32
4 Estoril 7 Sep 18 – Nov 27 1 in 23
5 Porto 3 May 21 – Jun 4 1 in 22

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Porto36.00%37.00%21.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%
Benfica53.00%34.00%10.00%2.00%1.00%
Sporting Clube de Portugal9.00%23.00%46.00%11.00%5.00%2.00%4.00%
Braga2.00%9.00%23.00%20.00%13.00%9.00%8.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%
Os Belenenses (1st)2.00%2.00%7.00%20.00%13.00%9.00%12.00%11.00%9.00%5.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%
Vitoria Guimaraes1.00%2.00%14.00%21.00%13.00%9.00%12.00%7.00%7.00%10.00%3.00%1.00%
Boavista1.00%3.00%13.00%8.00%23.00%11.00%14.00%5.00%5.00%4.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%
Academica de Coimbra1.00%2.00%7.00%8.00%10.00%10.00%7.00%11.00%9.00%8.00%9.00%11.00%5.00%2.00%
Vitoria Setubal8.00%3.00%8.00%11.00%13.00%13.00%15.00%8.00%8.00%2.00%5.00%4.00%2.00%
Estoril1.00%1.00%4.00%6.00%7.00%13.00%12.00%9.00%10.00%13.00%7.00%9.00%8.00%
Varzim1.00%9.00%4.00%7.00%5.00%12.00%12.00%8.00%8.00%12.00%10.00%8.00%4.00%
Portimonense1.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%6.00%9.00%3.00%2.00%18.00%13.00%10.00%14.00%14.00%
Maritimo1.00%4.00%3.00%5.00%4.00%7.00%8.00%15.00%8.00%13.00%12.00%9.00%11.00%
Espinho1.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%7.00%13.00%12.00%9.00%18.00%28.00%
Riopele4.00%7.00%7.00%2.00%5.00%10.00%12.00%9.00%9.00%14.00%12.00%9.00%
Feirense2.00%2.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%8.00%6.00%10.00%19.00%17.00%21.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Benfica 100%
Porto 100%
Sporting Clube de Portugal 100%
Vitoria Guimaraes 99.0% 1.0%
Os Belenenses (1st) 98.0% 2.0%
Braga 96.0% 4.0%
Boavista 92.0% 8.0%
Vitoria Setubal 87.0% 13.0%
Academica de Coimbra 73.0% 27.0%
Varzim 66.0% 34.0%
Estoril 63.0% 37.0%
Riopele 56.0% 44.0%
Maritimo 55.0% 45.0%
Portimonense 49.0% 51.0%
Espinho 33.0% 67.0%
Feirense 33.0% 67.0%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1977-09-04 Portimonense W 2-0 1594 1543 64.5% 21.0% 14.4% +8.9 3
1977-09-04 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1543 1594 14.4% 21.0% 64.5% -8.9 0
1977-09-04 Braga L 0-1 1536 1583 55.2% 21.8% 23.0% -14.8 0
1977-09-04 @ Feirense W 1-0 1583 1536 23.0% 21.8% 55.2% +14.8 3
1977-09-04 Estoril D 1-1 1577 1536 63.7% 21.1% 15.2% -3.1 1
1977-09-04 @ Maritimo D 1-1 1536 1577 15.2% 21.1% 63.7% +3.1 1
1977-09-04 Vitoria Setubal W 3-0 1748 1605 71.0% 19.8% 9.2% +8.4 3
1977-09-04 @ Porto L 0-3 1605 1748 9.2% 19.8% 71.0% -8.4 0
1977-09-04 Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1577 1603 57.5% 21.6% 20.9% +12.4 3
1977-09-04 @ Riopele L 0-2 1603 1577 20.9% 21.6% 57.5% -12.4 0
1977-09-04 Benfica D 1-1 1707 1789 51.2% 21.9% 26.9% -1.5 1
1977-09-04 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1789 1707 26.9% 21.9% 51.2% +1.5 1
1977-09-04 Boavista W 3-1 1563 1652 50.3% 21.9% 27.8% +13.7 3
1977-09-04 @ Varzim L 1-3 1652 1563 27.8% 21.9% 50.3% -13.7 0
1977-09-04 Espinho W 2-0 1595 1483 69.0% 20.3% 10.7% +6.7 3
1977-09-04 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-2 1483 1595 10.7% 20.3% 69.0% -6.7 0
1977-09-11 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-5 1591 1705 47.1% 21.9% 31.0% -38.3 0
1977-09-11 @ Academica de Coimbra W 5-1 1705 1591 31.0% 21.9% 47.1% +38.3 4
1977-09-11 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1790 1603 73.5% 19.1% 7.4% +4.6 4
1977-09-11 @ Benfica L 0-2 1603 1790 7.4% 19.1% 73.5% -4.6 3
1977-09-11 Maritimo W 2-1 1639 1574 65.6% 20.9% 13.5% +4.2 3
1977-09-11 @ Boavista L 1-2 1574 1639 13.5% 20.9% 65.6% -4.2 1
1977-09-11 Riopele D 0-0 1598 1590 60.8% 21.4% 17.8% -3.0 4
1977-09-11 @ Braga D 0-0 1590 1598 17.8% 21.4% 60.8% +3.0 4
1977-09-11 Varzim W 1-0 1476 1577 48.8% 21.9% 29.3% +8.8 3
1977-09-11 @ Espinho L 0-1 1577 1476 29.3% 21.9% 48.8% -8.7 3
1977-09-11 Porto W 2-0 1540 1756 33.2% 21.6% 45.2% +23.3 4
1977-09-11 @ Estoril L 0-2 1756 1540 45.2% 21.6% 33.2% -23.3 3
1977-09-11 Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1534 1602 52.9% 21.8% 25.3% -13.4 0
1977-09-11 @ Portimonense W 2-1 1602 1534 25.3% 21.8% 52.9% +13.4 6
1977-09-11 Feirense W 3-1 1597 1521 66.4% 20.8% 12.8% +6.9 3
1977-09-11 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-3 1521 1597 12.8% 20.8% 66.4% -6.9 0
1977-09-18 Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1598 1553 64.1% 21.1% 14.8% +9.2 6
1977-09-18 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1553 1598 14.8% 21.1% 64.1% -9.2 0
1977-09-18 Espinho D 1-1 1643 1485 71.9% 19.6% 8.5% -4.2 4
1977-09-18 @ Boavista D 1-1 1485 1643 8.5% 19.6% 71.9% +4.2 4
1977-09-18 Estoril D 1-1 1514 1563 55.0% 21.8% 23.2% -2.0 1
1977-09-18 @ Feirense D 1-1 1563 1514 23.2% 21.8% 55.0% +1.9 5
1977-09-18 Porto L 1-3 1570 1733 40.6% 21.8% 37.6% -18.5 1
1977-09-18 @ Maritimo W 3-1 1733 1570 37.6% 21.8% 40.6% +18.5 6
1977-09-18 Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 1593 1604 59.0% 21.6% 19.4% +5.8 7
1977-09-18 @ Riopele L 1-2 1604 1593 19.4% 21.6% 59.0% -5.9 3
1977-09-18 Braga W 5-0 1744 1595 71.4% 19.7% 8.9% +13.1 7
1977-09-18 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-5 1595 1744 8.9% 19.7% 71.4% -13.1 4
1977-09-18 Portimonense W 3-1 1568 1520 64.3% 21.1% 14.7% +7.8 6
1977-09-18 @ Varzim L 1-3 1520 1568 14.7% 21.1% 64.3% -7.8 0
1977-09-18 Benfica L 0-1 1615 1795 38.2% 21.8% 40.0% -10.8 6
1977-09-18 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1795 1615 40.0% 21.8% 38.2% +10.8 7
1977-09-25 Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-3 1543 1604 53.7% 21.8% 24.5% -23.6 0
1977-09-25 @ Academica de Coimbra W 3-1 1604 1543 24.5% 21.8% 53.7% +23.6 9
1977-09-25 Varzim W 2-1 1806 1576 75.7% 18.3% 6.0% +1.9 10
1977-09-25 @ Benfica L 1-2 1576 1806 6.0% 18.3% 75.7% -1.9 6
1977-09-25 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1582 1607 57.5% 21.6% 20.9% +12.4 7
1977-09-25 @ Braga L 0-2 1607 1582 20.9% 21.6% 57.5% -12.4 6
1977-09-25 Maritimo W 3-2 1489 1552 53.5% 21.8% 24.7% +6.8 7
1977-09-25 @ Espinho L 2-3 1552 1489 24.7% 21.8% 53.5% -6.8 1
1977-09-25 Riopele D 0-0 1565 1599 56.6% 21.7% 21.7% -2.4 6
1977-09-25 @ Estoril D 0-0 1599 1565 21.7% 21.7% 56.6% +2.4 8
1977-09-25 Boavista L 1-2 1512 1639 45.6% 21.9% 32.5% -11.8 0
1977-09-25 @ Portimonense W 2-1 1639 1512 32.5% 21.9% 45.6% +11.8 7
1977-09-25 Feirense W 6-1 1751 1512 76.1% 18.2% 5.7% +6.9 9
1977-09-25 @ Porto L 1-6 1512 1751 5.7% 18.2% 76.1% -6.8 1
1977-09-25 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1598 1757 41.1% 21.9% 37.0% +10.0 6
1977-09-25 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-2 1757 1598 37.0% 21.9% 41.1% -9.9 7
1977-10-16 Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1595 1608 58.8% 21.6% 19.6% +6.2 9
1977-10-16 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1608 1595 19.6% 21.6% 58.8% -6.2 6
1977-10-16 Benfica D 1-1 1651 1807 41.4% 21.9% 36.7% -0.3 8
1977-10-16 @ Boavista D 1-1 1807 1651 36.7% 21.9% 41.4% +0.3 11
1977-10-16 Portimonense W 2-1 1496 1501 59.6% 21.5% 18.9% +5.7 10
1977-10-16 @ Espinho L 1-2 1501 1496 18.9% 21.5% 59.6% -5.7 0
1977-10-16 Feirense W 3-0 1545 1506 63.6% 21.1% 15.3% +13.7 4
1977-10-16 @ Maritimo L 0-3 1506 1545 15.3% 21.1% 63.6% -13.7 1
1977-10-16 Porto L 0-2 1601 1758 41.4% 21.9% 36.8% -21.7 8
1977-10-16 @ Riopele W 2-0 1758 1601 36.8% 21.9% 41.4% +21.7 12
1977-10-16 Estoril W 4-1 1747 1562 73.4% 19.1% 7.5% +5.7 10
1977-10-16 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-4 1562 1747 7.5% 19.1% 73.4% -5.7 6
1977-10-16 Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1574 1520 64.8% 21.0% 14.2% +4.7 9
1977-10-16 @ Varzim L 0-1 1520 1574 14.2% 21.0% 64.8% -4.7 0
1977-10-16 Braga W 2-1 1628 1594 63.1% 21.2% 15.7% +4.8 12
1977-10-16 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1594 1628 15.7% 21.2% 63.1% -4.8 7
1977-10-23 Boavista W 3-2 1515 1650 44.4% 21.9% 33.7% +8.8 3
1977-10-23 @ Academica de Coimbra L 2-3 1650 1515 33.7% 21.9% 44.4% -8.8 8
1977-10-23 Espinho W 2-0 1808 1501 79.1% 16.8% 4.1% +2.5 14
1977-10-23 @ Benfica L 0-2 1501 1808 4.1% 16.8% 79.1% -2.5 10
1977-10-23 Varzim W 2-0 1589 1579 61.0% 21.4% 17.6% +10.7 10
1977-10-23 @ Braga L 0-2 1579 1589 17.6% 21.4% 61.0% -10.7 9
1977-10-23 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1557 1601 55.5% 21.7% 22.8% -14.0 6
1977-10-23 @ Estoril W 2-1 1601 1557 22.8% 21.7% 55.5% +14.0 12
1977-10-23 Riopele W 4-0 1492 1579 50.5% 21.9% 27.6% +29.8 4
1977-10-23 @ Feirense L 0-4 1579 1492 27.6% 21.9% 50.5% -29.8 8
1977-10-23 Maritimo D 0-0 1495 1558 53.4% 21.8% 24.8% -1.9 1
1977-10-23 @ Portimonense D 0-0 1558 1495 24.8% 21.8% 53.4% +1.9 5
1977-10-23 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 3-0 1780 1753 62.5% 21.2% 16.2% +14.4 15
1977-10-23 @ Porto L 0-3 1753 1780 16.2% 21.2% 62.5% -14.4 10
1977-10-23 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1602 1633 56.9% 21.7% 21.4% +6.7 9
1977-10-23 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1633 1602 21.4% 21.7% 56.9% -6.7 12
1977-11-06 Porto D 0-0 1615 1794 38.3% 21.8% 39.9% +0.1 13
1977-11-06 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1794 1615 39.9% 21.8% 38.3% -0.1 16
1977-11-06 Braga L 0-2 1642 1600 63.8% 21.1% 15.1% -32.2 8
1977-11-06 @ Boavista W 2-0 1600 1642 15.1% 21.1% 63.8% +32.2 13
1977-11-06 Academica de Coimbra W 4-1 1499 1524 57.6% 21.6% 20.8% +15.2 13
1977-11-06 @ Espinho L 1-4 1524 1499 20.8% 21.6% 57.6% -15.2 3
1977-11-06 Riopele W 1-0 1560 1550 61.1% 21.4% 17.6% +5.7 8
1977-11-06 @ Maritimo L 0-1 1550 1560 17.6% 21.4% 61.1% -5.7 8
1977-11-06 Benfica L 0-3 1493 1810 21.7% 20.6% 57.7% -18.3 1
1977-11-06 @ Portimonense W 3-0 1810 1493 57.7% 20.6% 21.7% +18.3 17
1977-11-06 Feirense W 5-0 1738 1522 75.0% 18.6% 6.4% +9.3 13
1977-11-06 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-5 1522 1738 6.4% 18.6% 75.0% -9.3 4
1977-11-06 Vitoria Setubal L 1-2 1568 1608 56.0% 21.7% 22.3% -14.2 9
1977-11-06 @ Varzim W 2-1 1608 1568 22.3% 21.7% 56.0% +14.2 12
1977-11-06 Estoril W 2-0 1626 1543 67.0% 20.6% 12.3% +7.7 15
1977-11-06 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-2 1543 1626 12.3% 20.6% 67.0% -7.7 6
1977-11-20 Portimonense W 3-1 1509 1475 63.1% 21.2% 15.7% +8.4 6
1977-11-20 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-3 1475 1509 15.7% 21.2% 63.1% -8.4 1
1977-11-20 Maritimo W 6-0 1828 1566 77.2% 17.7% 5.1% +8.7 20
1977-11-20 @ Benfica L 0-6 1566 1828 5.1% 17.7% 77.2% -8.7 8
1977-11-20 Espinho W 2-1 1632 1514 69.4% 20.2% 10.4% +3.3 16
1977-11-20 @ Braga L 1-2 1514 1632 10.4% 20.2% 69.4% -3.3 13
1977-11-20 Varzim L 0-1 1535 1554 58.1% 21.6% 20.2% -15.6 6
1977-11-20 @ Estoril W 1-0 1554 1535 20.2% 21.6% 58.1% +15.6 12
1977-11-20 Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1512 1615 48.6% 21.9% 29.5% -1.3 5
1977-11-20 @ Feirense D 0-0 1615 1512 29.5% 21.9% 48.6% +1.3 14
1977-11-20 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1794 1634 72.0% 19.6% 8.4% +2.6 19
1977-11-20 @ Porto L 1-2 1634 1794 8.4% 19.6% 72.0% -2.7 15
1977-11-20 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-4 1544 1748 34.9% 21.7% 43.4% -14.7 8
1977-11-20 @ Riopele W 4-2 1748 1544 43.4% 21.7% 34.9% +14.7 16
1977-11-20 Boavista W 2-0 1622 1609 61.3% 21.4% 17.4% +10.6 15
1977-11-20 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-2 1609 1622 17.4% 21.4% 61.3% -10.6 8
1977-11-27 Riopele W 1-0 1617 1529 67.3% 20.6% 12.1% +4.0 17
1977-11-27 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1529 1617 12.1% 20.6% 67.3% -4.0 8
1977-11-27 Academica de Coimbra W 3-1 1837 1517 79.7% 16.5% 3.8% +2.0 23
1977-11-27 @ Benfica L 1-3 1517 1837 3.8% 16.5% 79.7% -2.0 6
1977-11-27 Estoril W 5-1 1599 1519 66.7% 20.7% 12.6% +12.4 11
1977-11-27 @ Boavista L 1-5 1519 1599 12.6% 20.7% 66.7% -12.4 6
1977-11-27 Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1511 1633 46.1% 21.9% 32.0% -0.8 14
1977-11-27 @ Espinho D 1-1 1633 1511 32.0% 21.9% 46.1% +0.8 16
1977-11-27 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-4 1557 1762 34.8% 21.6% 43.6% -35.8 8
1977-11-27 @ Maritimo W 4-0 1762 1557 43.6% 21.6% 34.8% +35.8 19
1977-11-27 Braga W 3-2 1466 1635 39.7% 21.8% 38.5% +9.7 4
1977-11-27 @ Portimonense L 2-3 1635 1466 38.5% 21.8% 39.7% -9.7 16
1977-11-27 Porto L 1-4 1570 1797 31.8% 21.5% 46.7% -21.5 12
1977-11-27 @ Varzim W 4-1 1797 1570 46.7% 21.5% 31.8% +21.5 22
1977-11-27 Feirense W 2-1 1631 1511 69.5% 20.2% 10.3% +3.2 18
1977-11-27 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1511 1631 10.3% 20.2% 69.5% -3.2 5
1977-12-04 Maritimo W 4-1 1515 1522 59.4% 21.5% 19.1% +14.1 9
1977-12-04 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-4 1522 1515 19.1% 21.5% 59.4% -14.0 8
1977-12-04 Benfica D 0-0 1626 1839 33.6% 21.6% 44.8% +0.7 17
1977-12-04 @ Braga D 0-0 1839 1626 44.8% 21.6% 33.6% -0.7 24
1977-12-04 Espinho W 2-0 1507 1510 59.7% 21.5% 18.8% +11.3 9
1977-12-04 @ Estoril L 0-2 1510 1507 18.8% 21.5% 59.7% -11.3 14
1977-12-04 Varzim W 2-0 1508 1548 56.0% 21.7% 22.3% +13.2 8
1977-12-04 @ Feirense L 0-2 1548 1508 22.3% 21.7% 56.0% -13.2 12
1977-12-04 Boavista D 0-0 1818 1611 74.6% 18.8% 6.7% -5.1 23
1977-12-04 @ Porto D 0-0 1611 1818 6.7% 18.8% 74.6% +5.1 12
1977-12-04 Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1525 1634 47.8% 21.9% 30.2% -12.3 8
1977-12-04 @ Riopele W 2-1 1634 1525 30.2% 21.9% 47.8% +12.3 21
1977-12-04 Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-1 1798 1621 73.0% 19.3% 7.7% +4.2 22
1977-12-04 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1621 1798 7.7% 19.3% 73.0% -4.2 17
1977-12-04 Portimonense W 1-0 1634 1476 71.9% 19.6% 8.5% +2.8 19
1977-12-04 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1476 1634 8.5% 19.6% 71.9% -2.8 4
1977-12-11 Braga L 0-1 1529 1626 49.4% 21.9% 28.8% -13.4 9
1977-12-11 @ Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1626 1529 28.8% 21.9% 49.4% +13.4 20
1977-12-11 Vitoria Setubal W 3-2 1838 1637 74.3% 18.9% 6.9% +2.0 27
1977-12-11 @ Benfica L 2-3 1637 1838 6.9% 18.9% 74.3% -2.0 19
1977-12-11 Feirense W 2-1 1616 1521 67.9% 20.5% 11.6% +3.6 15
1977-12-11 @ Boavista L 1-2 1521 1616 11.6% 20.5% 67.9% -3.6 8
1977-12-11 Porto D 2-2 1499 1813 21.9% 20.6% 57.4% +1.6 15
1977-12-11 @ Espinho D 2-2 1813 1499 57.4% 20.6% 21.9% -1.6 24
1977-12-11 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1508 1616 47.9% 21.9% 30.2% -13.0 8
1977-12-11 @ Maritimo W 1-0 1616 1508 30.2% 21.9% 47.9% +13.0 20
1977-12-11 Estoril D 1-1 1473 1518 55.4% 21.8% 22.8% -2.0 5
1977-12-11 @ Portimonense D 1-1 1518 1473 22.8% 21.8% 55.4% +2.0 10
1977-12-11 Riopele L 1-2 1535 1513 62.1% 21.3% 16.6% -15.7 12
1977-12-11 @ Varzim W 2-1 1513 1535 16.6% 21.3% 62.1% +15.7 11
1977-12-11 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1646 1802 41.6% 21.9% 36.6% -0.3 22
1977-12-11 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1802 1646 36.6% 21.9% 41.6% +0.3 23
1977-12-18 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1629 1646 58.4% 21.6% 20.0% +6.3 23
1977-12-18 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1646 1629 20.0% 21.6% 58.4% -6.4 22
1977-12-18 Maritimo W 6-1 1640 1495 71.1% 19.8% 9.1% +11.1 23
1977-12-18 @ Braga L 1-6 1495 1640 9.1% 19.8% 71.1% -11.1 8
1977-12-18 Benfica L 0-3 1520 1840 21.4% 20.6% 58.0% -18.1 10
1977-12-18 @ Estoril W 3-0 1840 1520 58.0% 20.6% 21.4% +18.1 30
1977-12-18 Espinho W 3-0 1517 1500 61.6% 21.3% 17.0% +15.1 11
1977-12-18 @ Feirense L 0-3 1500 1517 17.0% 21.3% 61.6% -15.1 15
1977-12-18 Portimonense W 3-2 1812 1471 80.5% 16.1% 3.4% +1.0 27
1977-12-18 @ Porto L 2-3 1471 1812 3.4% 16.1% 80.5% -1.0 5
1977-12-18 Boavista D 0-0 1529 1620 50.1% 21.9% 28.1% -1.5 12
1977-12-18 @ Riopele D 0-0 1620 1529 28.1% 21.9% 50.1% +1.5 16
1977-12-18 Varzim D 0-0 1802 1519 78.1% 17.3% 4.6% -5.5 24
1977-12-18 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1519 1802 4.6% 17.3% 78.1% +5.5 13
1977-12-18 Academica de Coimbra L 1-2 1635 1516 69.5% 20.2% 10.3% -17.5 19
1977-12-18 @ Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 1516 1635 10.3% 20.2% 69.5% +17.5 12
1978-01-15 Estoril W 1-0 1533 1502 62.9% 21.2% 15.9% +5.2 15
1978-01-15 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-1 1502 1533 15.9% 21.2% 62.9% -5.2 10
1978-01-15 Porto D 0-0 1859 1813 64.1% 21.1% 14.8% -3.5 31
1978-01-15 @ Benfica D 0-0 1813 1859 14.8% 21.1% 64.1% +3.6 28
1978-01-15 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 3-1 1621 1797 38.8% 21.8% 39.4% +18.1 19
1978-01-15 @ Boavista L 1-3 1797 1621 39.4% 21.8% 38.8% -18.1 24
1978-01-15 Vitoria Setubal W 5-0 1651 1617 63.1% 21.2% 15.7% +22.6 26
1978-01-15 @ Braga L 0-5 1617 1651 15.7% 21.2% 63.1% -22.6 19
1978-01-15 Riopele W 2-1 1485 1527 55.8% 21.7% 22.5% +6.6 18
1978-01-15 @ Espinho L 1-2 1527 1485 22.5% 21.7% 55.8% -6.6 12
1978-01-15 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1483 1640 41.5% 21.9% 36.7% -0.3 9
1978-01-15 @ Maritimo D 1-1 1640 1483 36.7% 21.9% 41.5% +0.3 23
1978-01-15 Feirense W 5-1 1470 1532 53.5% 21.8% 24.7% +22.7 8
1978-01-15 @ Portimonense L 1-5 1532 1470 24.7% 21.8% 53.5% -22.7 11
1978-01-15 Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1525 1636 47.6% 21.9% 30.5% -1.1 14
1978-01-15 @ Varzim D 0-0 1636 1525 30.5% 21.9% 47.6% +1.1 24
1978-01-22 Boavista W 1-0 1637 1639 59.8% 21.5% 18.7% +6.0 27
1978-01-22 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1639 1637 18.7% 21.5% 59.8% -6.0 19
1978-01-22 Braga W 1-0 1497 1673 38.7% 21.8% 39.5% +11.1 13
1978-01-22 @ Estoril L 0-1 1673 1497 39.5% 21.8% 38.7% -11.1 26
1978-01-22 Benfica L 0-1 1510 1855 19.1% 20.2% 60.6% -6.0 11
1978-01-22 @ Feirense W 1-0 1855 1510 60.6% 20.2% 19.1% +6.0 34
1978-01-22 Vitoria Setubal D 0-0 1483 1595 47.5% 21.9% 30.6% -1.1 10
1978-01-22 @ Maritimo D 0-0 1595 1483 30.6% 21.9% 47.5% +1.1 20
1978-01-22 Academica de Coimbra W 4-2 1816 1539 77.9% 17.4% 4.7% +2.2 31
1978-01-22 @ Porto L 2-4 1539 1816 4.7% 17.4% 77.9% -2.2 15
1978-01-22 Portimonense D 0-0 1521 1493 62.6% 21.2% 16.2% -3.3 13
1978-01-22 @ Riopele D 0-0 1493 1521 16.2% 21.2% 62.6% +3.3 9
1978-01-22 Espinho W 3-1 1779 1492 78.3% 17.2% 4.5% +2.4 27
1978-01-22 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1492 1779 4.5% 17.2% 78.3% -2.4 18
1978-01-22 Varzim W 2-1 1640 1524 69.3% 20.2% 10.5% +3.3 26
1978-01-22 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1524 1640 10.5% 20.2% 69.3% -3.3 14
1978-01-29 Feirense W 3-1 1536 1504 63.0% 21.2% 15.8% +8.4 18
1978-01-29 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-3 1504 1536 15.8% 21.2% 63.0% -8.4 11
1978-01-29 Riopele W 3-0 1861 1517 80.6% 16.0% 3.4% +2.9 37
1978-01-29 @ Benfica L 0-3 1517 1861 3.4% 16.0% 80.6% -2.9 13
1978-01-29 Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-0 1633 1643 59.1% 21.6% 19.4% -2.8 20
1978-01-29 @ Boavista D 0-0 1643 1633 19.4% 21.6% 59.1% +2.8 27
1978-01-29 Porto L 1-2 1662 1818 41.5% 21.9% 36.6% -10.9 26
1978-01-29 @ Braga W 2-1 1818 1662 36.6% 21.9% 41.5% +10.9 34
1978-01-29 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1489 1643 41.9% 21.9% 36.2% -11.0 18
1978-01-29 @ Espinho W 2-1 1643 1489 36.2% 21.9% 41.9% +11.0 30
1978-01-29 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 3-2 1496 1781 25.0% 21.0% 54.0% +12.9 12
1978-01-29 @ Portimonense L 2-3 1781 1496 54.0% 21.0% 25.0% -12.9 27
1978-01-29 Maritimo W 2-1 1520 1482 63.5% 21.1% 15.4% +4.7 17
1978-01-29 @ Varzim L 1-2 1482 1520 15.4% 21.1% 63.5% -4.7 10
1978-01-29 Estoril W 2-1 1596 1508 67.3% 20.6% 12.1% +3.8 23
1978-01-29 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-2 1508 1596 12.1% 20.6% 67.3% -3.8 13
1978-02-12 Riopele W 3-1 1545 1514 62.8% 21.2% 16.0% +8.5 21
1978-02-12 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-3 1514 1545 16.0% 21.2% 62.8% -8.5 13
1978-02-12 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1864 1768 67.9% 20.5% 11.6% +3.9 40
1978-02-12 @ Benfica L 0-1 1768 1864 11.6% 20.5% 67.9% -3.9 27
1978-02-12 Varzim L 0-2 1631 1525 68.6% 20.4% 11.1% -34.5 20
1978-02-12 @ Boavista W 2-0 1525 1631 11.1% 20.4% 68.6% +34.5 20
1978-02-12 Feirense W 2-1 1651 1495 71.8% 19.6% 8.6% +2.7 29
1978-02-12 @ Braga L 1-2 1495 1651 8.6% 19.6% 71.8% -2.7 11
1978-02-12 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1479 1646 39.9% 21.8% 38.3% +10.2 21
1978-02-12 @ Espinho L 1-2 1646 1479 38.3% 21.8% 39.9% -10.2 27
1978-02-12 Maritimo D 0-0 1504 1477 62.5% 21.2% 16.2% -3.3 14
1978-02-12 @ Estoril D 0-0 1477 1504 16.2% 21.2% 62.5% +3.3 11
1978-02-12 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1509 1654 43.1% 21.9% 35.0% -22.4 12
1978-02-12 @ Portimonense W 2-0 1654 1509 35.0% 21.9% 43.1% +22.4 33
1978-02-12 Porto L 1-4 1599 1829 31.5% 21.5% 47.0% -21.3 23
1978-02-12 @ Vitoria Setubal W 4-1 1829 1599 47.0% 21.5% 31.5% +21.3 37
1978-02-19 Benfica D 0-0 1676 1868 36.6% 21.7% 41.7% +0.3 34
1978-02-19 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1868 1676 41.7% 21.7% 36.6% -0.3 41
1978-02-19 Vitoria Setubal W 2-0 1493 1578 50.8% 21.9% 27.3% +15.6 14
1978-02-19 @ Feirense L 0-2 1578 1493 27.3% 21.9% 50.8% -15.6 23
1978-02-19 Boavista W 2-0 1481 1596 47.0% 21.9% 31.1% +17.3 14
1978-02-19 @ Maritimo L 0-2 1596 1481 31.1% 21.9% 47.0% -17.3 20
1978-02-19 Estoril W 5-2 1851 1501 80.9% 15.9% 3.3% +2.1 40
1978-02-19 @ Porto L 2-5 1501 1851 3.3% 15.9% 80.9% -2.1 14
1978-02-19 Braga D 1-1 1506 1654 42.6% 21.9% 35.5% -0.4 14
1978-02-19 @ Riopele D 1-1 1654 1506 35.5% 21.9% 42.6% +0.4 30
1978-02-19 Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1765 1553 74.8% 18.7% 6.5% +2.0 30
1978-02-19 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1553 1765 6.5% 18.7% 74.8% -2.0 21
1978-02-19 Espinho W 2-1 1560 1489 66.1% 20.8% 13.1% +4.1 23
1978-02-19 @ Varzim L 1-2 1489 1560 13.1% 20.8% 66.1% -4.1 21
1978-02-19 Portimonense W 1-0 1636 1487 71.4% 19.7% 8.9% +3.0 30
1978-02-19 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-1 1487 1636 8.9% 19.7% 71.4% -3.0 12
1978-02-26 Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1551 1677 45.7% 21.9% 32.4% -0.9 22
1978-02-26 @ Academica de Coimbra D 0-0 1677 1551 32.4% 21.9% 45.7% +0.9 35
1978-02-26 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-0 1867 1639 75.6% 18.4% 6.0% +3.7 44
1978-02-26 @ Benfica L 0-2 1639 1867 6.0% 18.4% 75.6% -3.7 30
1978-02-26 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-0 1654 1767 47.4% 21.9% 30.7% +17.1 33
1978-02-26 @ Braga L 0-2 1767 1654 30.7% 21.9% 47.4% -17.1 30
1978-02-26 Boavista L 0-1 1485 1579 49.7% 21.9% 28.4% -13.5 21
1978-02-26 @ Espinho W 1-0 1579 1485 28.4% 21.9% 49.7% +13.5 23
1978-02-26 Feirense W 2-1 1499 1508 59.1% 21.5% 19.3% +5.8 17
1978-02-26 @ Estoril L 1-2 1508 1499 19.3% 21.5% 59.1% -5.8 14
1978-02-26 Varzim W 1-0 1484 1564 51.4% 21.9% 26.7% +8.1 15
1978-02-26 @ Portimonense L 0-1 1564 1484 26.7% 21.9% 51.4% -8.1 23
1978-02-26 Maritimo W 3-0 1853 1498 81.1% 15.8% 3.2% +2.8 43
1978-02-26 @ Porto L 0-3 1498 1853 3.2% 15.8% 81.1% -2.8 14
1978-02-26 Riopele W 4-0 1563 1505 65.0% 20.9% 14.0% +16.5 26
1978-02-26 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-4 1505 1563 14.0% 20.9% 65.0% -16.5 14
1978-03-12 Braga L 0-1 1678 1672 60.6% 21.4% 18.0% -16.2 35
1978-03-12 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1672 1678 18.0% 21.4% 60.6% +16.2 36
1978-03-12 Portimonense W 2-1 1592 1492 68.2% 20.4% 11.3% +3.6 26
1978-03-12 @ Boavista L 1-2 1492 1592 11.3% 20.4% 68.2% -3.5 15
1978-03-12 Porto L 1-3 1503 1855 18.4% 20.1% 61.4% -9.4 14
1978-03-12 @ Feirense W 3-1 1855 1503 61.4% 20.1% 18.4% +9.4 46
1978-03-12 Espinho W 1-0 1495 1471 62.3% 21.3% 16.5% +5.3 17
1978-03-12 @ Maritimo L 0-1 1471 1495 16.5% 21.3% 62.3% -5.4 21
1978-03-12 Estoril W 1-0 1489 1505 58.5% 21.6% 19.9% +6.3 17
1978-03-12 @ Riopele L 0-1 1505 1489 19.9% 21.6% 58.5% -6.3 17
1978-03-12 Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1749 1579 72.6% 19.4% 8.0% +2.7 33
1978-03-12 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1579 1749 8.0% 19.4% 72.6% -2.7 26
1978-03-12 Benfica D 0-0 1556 1871 21.9% 20.6% 57.5% +2.5 24
1978-03-12 @ Varzim D 0-0 1871 1556 57.5% 20.6% 21.9% -2.5 45
1978-03-12 Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1635 1550 67.1% 20.6% 12.2% -3.6 31
1978-03-12 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1550 1635 12.2% 20.6% 67.1% +3.6 23
1978-03-19 Varzim W 3-1 1554 1558 59.6% 21.5% 18.9% +9.8 26
1978-03-19 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-3 1558 1554 18.9% 21.5% 59.6% -9.9 24
1978-03-19 Boavista W 2-0 1869 1596 77.7% 17.5% 4.8% +3.0 48
1978-03-19 @ Benfica L 0-2 1596 1869 4.8% 17.5% 77.7% -3.0 26
1978-03-19 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1688 1632 64.9% 21.0% 14.1% +4.6 39
1978-03-19 @ Braga L 0-1 1632 1688 14.1% 21.0% 64.9% -4.6 31
1978-03-19 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1498 1752 28.5% 21.3% 50.2% -8.0 17
1978-03-19 @ Estoril W 2-1 1752 1498 50.2% 21.3% 28.5% +8.0 36
1978-03-19 Maritimo W 1-0 1493 1501 59.3% 21.5% 19.1% +6.1 17
1978-03-19 @ Feirense L 0-1 1501 1493 19.1% 21.5% 59.3% -6.1 17
1978-03-19 Espinho W 2-0 1488 1466 62.1% 21.3% 16.6% +10.2 18
1978-03-19 @ Portimonense L 0-2 1466 1488 16.6% 21.3% 62.1% -10.1 21
1978-03-19 Riopele W 6-0 1865 1495 81.6% 15.4% 3.0% +4.9 49
1978-03-19 @ Porto L 0-6 1495 1865 3.0% 15.4% 81.6% -4.8 17
1978-03-19 Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1576 1661 50.8% 21.9% 27.3% -1.6 27
1978-03-19 @ Vitoria Setubal D 0-0 1661 1576 27.3% 21.9% 50.8% +1.6 36
1978-04-02 Estoril D 0-0 1663 1490 72.7% 19.4% 7.9% -4.8 37
1978-04-02 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1490 1663 7.9% 19.4% 72.7% +4.8 18
1978-04-02 Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1593 1564 62.7% 21.2% 16.1% -3.0 27
1978-04-02 @ Boavista D 1-1 1564 1593 16.1% 21.2% 62.7% +3.0 27
1978-04-02 Benfica L 1-5 1456 1872 13.8% 19.1% 67.1% -13.0 21
1978-04-02 @ Espinho W 5-1 1872 1456 67.1% 19.1% 13.8% +13.0 51
1978-04-02 Portimonense W 1-0 1494 1498 59.7% 21.5% 18.8% +6.0 20
1978-04-02 @ Maritimo L 0-1 1498 1494 18.8% 21.5% 59.7% -6.0 18
1978-04-02 Feirense W 2-1 1490 1499 59.2% 21.5% 19.3% +5.8 20
1978-04-02 @ Riopele L 1-2 1499 1490 19.3% 21.5% 59.2% -5.8 17
1978-04-02 Porto L 2-3 1760 1870 47.8% 21.9% 30.3% -11.6 36
1978-04-02 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal W 3-2 1870 1760 30.3% 21.9% 47.8% +11.6 52
1978-04-02 Braga D 1-1 1548 1692 43.2% 21.9% 34.9% -0.5 25
1978-04-02 @ Varzim D 1-1 1692 1548 34.9% 21.9% 43.2% +0.5 40
1978-04-02 Vitoria Setubal W 3-0 1627 1575 64.6% 21.0% 14.4% +12.9 34
1978-04-02 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-3 1575 1627 14.4% 21.0% 64.6% -12.9 27
1978-04-09 Espinho W 2-0 1567 1443 69.8% 20.1% 10.1% +6.3 30
1978-04-09 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-2 1443 1567 10.1% 20.1% 69.8% -6.4 21
1978-04-09 Portimonense D 1-1 1885 1492 82.4% 14.9% 2.6% -5.3 52
1978-04-09 @ Benfica D 1-1 1492 1885 2.6% 14.9% 82.4% +5.2 19
1978-04-09 Boavista W 2-1 1693 1590 68.4% 20.4% 11.2% +3.5 43
1978-04-09 @ Braga L 1-2 1590 1693 11.2% 20.4% 68.4% -3.5 27
1978-04-09 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1495 1640 43.1% 21.9% 35.0% +10.1 21
1978-04-09 @ Estoril L 0-1 1640 1495 35.0% 21.9% 43.1% -10.1 34
1978-04-09 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1493 1749 28.4% 21.3% 50.3% -16.0 17
1978-04-09 @ Feirense W 2-0 1749 1493 50.3% 21.3% 28.4% +15.9 39
1978-04-09 Os Belenenses (1st) W 6-0 1881 1658 75.4% 18.5% 6.2% +10.7 55
1978-04-09 @ Porto L 0-6 1658 1881 6.2% 18.5% 75.4% -10.7 37
1978-04-09 Maritimo D 0-0 1496 1500 59.6% 21.5% 18.9% -2.9 21
1978-04-09 @ Riopele D 0-0 1500 1496 18.9% 21.5% 59.6% +2.9 21
1978-04-09 Varzim D 1-1 1562 1548 61.4% 21.4% 17.3% -2.8 28
1978-04-09 @ Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1548 1562 17.3% 21.4% 61.4% +2.8 26
1978-04-16 Feirense W 2-0 1647 1477 72.6% 19.4% 8.0% +5.0 40
1978-04-16 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1477 1647 8.0% 19.4% 72.6% -5.0 17
1978-04-16 Vitoria Setubal D 0-0 1586 1559 62.5% 21.2% 16.2% -3.3 28
1978-04-16 @ Boavista D 0-0 1559 1586 16.2% 21.2% 62.5% +3.3 29
1978-04-16 Braga W 1-0 1436 1696 27.8% 21.2% 51.0% +13.7 24
1978-04-16 @ Espinho L 0-1 1696 1436 51.0% 21.2% 27.8% -13.7 43
1978-04-16 Benfica L 0-1 1503 1879 16.6% 19.8% 63.6% -5.2 21
1978-04-16 @ Maritimo W 1-0 1879 1503 63.6% 19.8% 16.6% +5.2 55
1978-04-16 Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1498 1573 52.0% 21.9% 26.2% +8.0 22
1978-04-16 @ Portimonense L 0-1 1573 1498 26.2% 21.9% 52.0% -8.0 30
1978-04-16 Riopele W 2-1 1764 1493 77.6% 17.5% 4.9% +1.5 42
1978-04-16 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1493 1764 4.9% 17.5% 77.6% -1.5 21
1978-04-16 Estoril D 0-0 1551 1505 64.1% 21.1% 14.9% -3.5 27
1978-04-16 @ Varzim D 0-0 1505 1551 14.9% 21.1% 64.1% +3.5 22
1978-04-16 Porto L 0-1 1630 1892 27.6% 21.2% 51.2% -8.2 34
1978-04-16 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1892 1630 51.2% 21.2% 27.6% +8.2 58
1978-04-30 Benfica L 0-3 1565 1885 21.4% 20.6% 58.0% -18.1 30
1978-04-30 @ Academica de Coimbra W 3-0 1885 1565 58.0% 20.6% 21.4% +18.1 58
1978-04-30 Portimonense W 2-0 1683 1506 73.0% 19.3% 7.7% +4.9 46
1978-04-30 @ Braga L 0-2 1506 1683 7.7% 19.3% 73.0% -4.9 22
1978-04-30 Boavista L 0-1 1509 1583 52.1% 21.9% 26.0% -14.1 22
1978-04-30 @ Estoril W 1-0 1583 1509 26.0% 21.9% 52.1% +14.1 31
1978-04-30 Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-1 1472 1622 42.5% 21.9% 35.6% -11.8 17
1978-04-30 @ Feirense W 1-0 1622 1472 35.6% 21.9% 42.5% +11.8 37
1978-04-30 Varzim W 5-1 1900 1547 81.0% 15.8% 3.2% +3.0 61
1978-04-30 @ Porto L 1-5 1547 1900 3.2% 15.8% 81.0% -3.0 27
1978-04-30 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1492 1652 40.9% 21.8% 37.3% +10.6 24
1978-04-30 @ Riopele L 0-1 1652 1492 37.3% 21.8% 40.9% -10.6 40
1978-04-30 Maritimo W 3-0 1766 1498 77.5% 17.6% 4.9% +4.4 45
1978-04-30 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1498 1766 4.9% 17.6% 77.5% -4.4 21
1978-04-30 Espinho D 1-1 1562 1450 69.0% 20.3% 10.7% -3.8 30
1978-04-30 @ Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1450 1562 10.7% 20.3% 69.0% +3.8 25
1978-05-07 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1642 1770 45.3% 21.9% 32.8% -12.4 40
1978-05-07 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1770 1642 32.8% 21.9% 45.3% +12.4 48
1978-05-07 Braga D 0-0 1903 1688 75.0% 18.6% 6.4% -5.1 59
1978-05-07 @ Benfica D 0-0 1688 1903 6.4% 18.6% 75.0% +5.1 47
1978-05-07 Porto L 0-2 1597 1903 22.8% 20.8% 56.5% -13.2 31
1978-05-07 @ Boavista W 2-0 1903 1597 56.5% 20.8% 22.8% +13.2 64
1978-05-07 Estoril L 0-2 1454 1495 55.9% 21.7% 22.4% -28.3 25
1978-05-07 @ Espinho W 2-0 1495 1454 22.4% 21.7% 55.9% +28.3 25
1978-05-07 Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1494 1547 54.5% 21.8% 23.7% +13.8 24
1978-05-07 @ Maritimo L 0-2 1547 1494 23.7% 21.8% 54.5% -13.8 30
1978-05-07 Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1501 1559 54.0% 21.8% 24.2% -1.8 23
1978-05-07 @ Portimonense D 1-1 1559 1501 24.2% 21.8% 54.0% +1.8 31
1978-05-07 Feirense W 1-0 1544 1461 67.0% 20.6% 12.3% +4.1 30
1978-05-07 @ Varzim L 0-1 1461 1544 12.3% 20.6% 67.0% -4.1 17
1978-05-07 Riopele D 0-0 1633 1502 70.2% 20.0% 9.8% -4.5 38
1978-05-07 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-0 1502 1633 9.8% 20.0% 70.2% +4.5 25
1978-05-14 Maritimo W 3-0 1629 1508 69.7% 20.1% 10.2% +9.3 43
1978-05-14 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-3 1508 1629 10.2% 20.1% 69.7% -9.3 24
1978-05-14 Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1693 1533 72.0% 19.6% 8.5% +5.3 50
1978-05-14 @ Braga L 0-2 1533 1693 8.5% 19.6% 72.0% -5.3 30
1978-05-14 Portimonense D 0-0 1523 1499 62.3% 21.3% 16.5% -3.3 26
1978-05-14 @ Estoril D 0-0 1499 1523 16.5% 21.3% 62.3% +3.3 24
1978-05-14 Boavista L 1-4 1457 1584 45.4% 21.9% 32.7% -28.7 17
1978-05-14 @ Feirense W 4-1 1584 1457 32.7% 21.9% 45.4% +28.7 34
1978-05-14 Espinho W 4-0 1916 1426 85.7% 12.7% 1.6% +1.7 67
1978-05-14 @ Porto L 0-4 1426 1916 1.6% 12.7% 85.7% -1.7 25
1978-05-14 Varzim D 0-0 1507 1548 55.9% 21.7% 22.4% -2.3 26
1978-05-14 @ Riopele D 0-0 1548 1507 22.4% 21.7% 55.9% +2.3 31
1978-05-14 Vitoria Guimaraes D 2-2 1783 1629 71.7% 19.7% 8.7% -3.1 49
1978-05-14 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 2-2 1629 1783 8.7% 19.7% 71.7% +3.1 39
1978-05-14 Benfica L 0-1 1560 1898 19.8% 20.4% 59.8% -6.2 31
1978-05-14 @ Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1898 1560 59.8% 20.4% 19.8% +6.2 62
1978-05-21 Vitoria Setubal W 4-2 1528 1554 57.4% 21.6% 20.9% +9.7 33
1978-05-21 @ Academica de Coimbra L 2-4 1554 1528 20.9% 21.6% 57.4% -9.7 31
1978-05-21 Estoril W 2-1 1904 1520 82.2% 15.1% 2.8% +0.8 65
1978-05-21 @ Benfica L 1-2 1520 1904 2.8% 15.1% 82.2% -0.8 26
1978-05-21 Riopele W 4-1 1613 1505 68.8% 20.3% 10.9% +8.4 37
1978-05-21 @ Boavista L 1-4 1505 1613 10.9% 20.3% 68.8% -8.4 26
1978-05-21 Feirense W 1-0 1424 1428 59.7% 21.5% 18.8% +6.0 28
1978-05-21 @ Espinho L 0-1 1428 1424 18.8% 21.5% 59.7% -6.0 17
1978-05-21 Braga L 0-1 1498 1698 35.4% 21.7% 42.9% -10.2 24
1978-05-21 @ Maritimo W 1-0 1698 1498 42.9% 21.7% 35.4% +10.2 53
1978-05-21 Porto D 0-0 1502 1918 13.8% 19.1% 67.1% +3.8 25
1978-05-21 @ Portimonense D 0-0 1918 1502 67.1% 19.1% 13.8% -3.8 68
1978-05-21 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1550 1780 31.6% 21.5% 46.9% -17.4 31
1978-05-21 @ Varzim W 2-0 1780 1550 46.9% 21.5% 31.6% +17.4 52
1978-05-21 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1632 1639 59.4% 21.5% 19.1% +6.1 42
1978-05-21 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-1 1639 1632 19.1% 21.5% 59.4% -6.1 43
1978-05-28 Varzim W 1-0 1633 1533 68.2% 20.4% 11.4% +3.8 46
1978-05-28 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1533 1633 11.4% 20.4% 68.2% -3.8 31
1978-05-28 Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1519 1537 58.2% 21.6% 20.2% +12.1 29
1978-05-28 @ Estoril L 0-2 1537 1519 20.2% 21.6% 58.2% -12.1 33
1978-05-28 Portimonense L 0-1 1422 1506 50.9% 21.9% 27.2% -13.8 17
1978-05-28 @ Feirense W 1-0 1506 1422 27.2% 21.9% 50.9% +13.8 28
1978-05-28 Benfica D 1-1 1914 1905 61.0% 21.4% 17.6% -2.7 69
1978-05-28 @ Porto D 1-1 1905 1914 17.6% 21.4% 61.0% +2.7 66
1978-05-28 Espinho D 3-3 1496 1430 65.7% 20.8% 13.4% -2.1 27
1978-05-28 @ Riopele D 3-3 1430 1496 13.4% 20.8% 65.7% +2.1 29
1978-05-28 Boavista W 2-0 1797 1621 72.9% 19.3% 7.8% +4.9 55
1978-05-28 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1621 1797 7.8% 19.3% 72.9% -4.9 37
1978-05-28 Maritimo L 0-1 1638 1488 71.4% 19.7% 8.9% -19.0 42
1978-05-28 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1488 1638 8.9% 19.7% 71.4% +19.0 27
1978-05-28 Braga D 1-1 1545 1708 40.5% 21.8% 37.7% -0.2 32
1978-05-28 @ Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1708 1545 37.7% 21.8% 40.5% +0.2 54
1978-06-04 Porto D 0-0 1525 1912 15.8% 19.6% 64.5% +3.5 34
1978-06-04 @ Academica de Coimbra D 0-0 1912 1525 64.5% 19.6% 15.8% -3.5 70
1978-06-04 Feirense W 2-0 1907 1408 86.0% 12.5% 1.5% +0.9 69
1978-06-04 @ Benfica L 0-2 1408 1907 1.5% 12.5% 86.0% -0.8 17
1978-06-04 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1616 1636 58.1% 21.6% 20.3% -14.7 37
1978-06-04 @ Boavista W 2-1 1636 1616 20.3% 21.6% 58.1% +14.7 49
1978-06-04 Estoril L 1-2 1708 1531 73.0% 19.3% 7.7% -18.3 54
1978-06-04 @ Braga W 2-1 1531 1708 7.7% 19.3% 73.0% +18.3 32
1978-06-04 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1432 1802 17.1% 19.9% 63.1% -10.1 29
1978-06-04 @ Espinho W 2-0 1802 1432 63.1% 19.9% 17.1% +10.1 58
1978-06-04 Riopele W 2-1 1520 1494 62.4% 21.3% 16.3% +5.0 31
1978-06-04 @ Portimonense L 1-2 1494 1520 16.3% 21.3% 62.4% -5.0 27
1978-06-04 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1529 1619 50.2% 21.9% 27.9% +7.9 34
1978-06-04 @ Varzim L 1-2 1619 1529 27.9% 21.9% 50.2% -7.9 42
1978-06-04 Maritimo D 0-0 1544 1507 63.4% 21.2% 15.4% -3.4 33
1978-06-04 @ Vitoria Setubal D 0-0 1507 1544 15.4% 21.2% 63.4% +3.4 28
1978-06-11 Espinho D 1-1 1651 1422 75.7% 18.4% 6.0% -4.7 50
1978-06-11 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1422 1651 6.0% 18.4% 75.7% +4.7 30
1978-06-11 Vitoria Setubal D 0-0 1549 1541 60.8% 21.4% 17.8% -3.1 33
1978-06-11 @ Estoril D 0-0 1541 1549 17.8% 21.4% 60.8% +3.0 34
1978-06-11 Academica de Coimbra L 0-4 1407 1529 46.2% 21.9% 31.9% -45.2 17
1978-06-11 @ Feirense W 4-0 1529 1407 31.9% 21.9% 46.2% +45.2 37
1978-06-11 Varzim W 2-0 1511 1537 57.4% 21.6% 21.0% +12.5 31
1978-06-11 @ Maritimo L 0-2 1537 1511 21.0% 21.6% 57.4% -12.5 34
1978-06-11 Braga W 4-0 1908 1690 75.1% 18.6% 6.3% +7.5 73
1978-06-11 @ Porto L 0-4 1690 1908 6.3% 18.6% 75.1% -7.5 54
1978-06-11 Benfica L 1-4 1489 1908 13.5% 19.1% 67.4% -9.9 27
1978-06-11 @ Riopele W 4-1 1908 1489 67.4% 19.1% 13.5% +9.9 72
1978-06-11 Portimonense W 1-0 1812 1525 78.3% 17.2% 4.5% +1.5 61
1978-06-11 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1525 1812 4.5% 17.2% 78.3% -1.5 31
1978-06-11 Boavista D 2-2 1611 1602 60.9% 21.4% 17.7% -2.0 43
1978-06-11 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 2-2 1602 1611 17.7% 21.4% 60.9% +2.0 38

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1978-06-04 7.74% Estoril 1531 2 @ Braga 1708 1
2 1978-05-28 8.86% Maritimo 1488 1 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1638 0
3 1977-12-18 10.35% Academica de Coimbra 1516 2 @ Vitoria Setubal 1635 1
4 1978-02-12 11.05% Varzim 1525 2 @ Boavista 1631 0
5 1977-11-06 15.12% Braga 1600 2 @ Boavista 1642 0
6 1977-12-11 16.63% Riopele 1513 2 @ Varzim 1535 1
7 1978-03-12 17.97% Braga 1672 1 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1678 0
8 1977-11-20 20.24% Varzim 1554 1 @ Estoril 1535 0
9 1978-06-04 20.34% Os Belenenses (1st) 1636 2 @ Boavista 1616 1
10 1977-11-06 22.29% Vitoria Setubal 1608 2 @ Varzim 1568 1
11 1978-05-07 22.39% Estoril 1495 2 @ Espinho 1454 0
12 1977-10-23 22.77% Os Belenenses (1st) 1601 2 @ Estoril 1557 1
13 1977-09-04 22.99% Braga 1583 1 @ Feirense 1536 0
14 1977-09-25 24.51% Vitoria Guimaraes 1604 3 @ Academica de Coimbra 1543 1
15 1978-01-29 24.97% @ Portimonense 1496 3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 1781 2
16 1977-09-11 25.31% Vitoria Guimaraes 1602 2 @ Portimonense 1534 1
17 1978-04-30 26.03% Boavista 1583 1 @ Estoril 1509 0
18 1978-05-28 27.20% Portimonense 1506 1 @ Feirense 1422 0
19 1978-04-16 27.78% @ Espinho 1436 1 Braga 1696 0
20 1978-02-26 28.41% Boavista 1579 1 @ Espinho 1485 0
21 1977-12-11 28.76% Braga 1626 1 @ Academica de Coimbra 1529 0
22 1977-12-04 30.25% Vitoria Guimaraes 1634 2 @ Riopele 1525 1
23 1977-12-11 30.25% Os Belenenses (1st) 1616 1 @ Maritimo 1508 0
24 1978-04-02 30.33% Porto 1870 3 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 1760 2
25 1977-09-11 30.97% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1705 5 @ Academica de Coimbra 1591 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1978-06-11 45.17 Academica de Coimbra 4 1529 31.90% @ Feirense 0 1407 46.20%
2 1977-09-11 38.29 Sporting Clube de Portugal 5 1705 30.97% @ Academica de Coimbra 1 1591 47.12%
3 1977-11-27 35.80 Sporting Clube de Portugal 4 1762 43.60% @ Maritimo 0 1557 34.75%
4 1978-02-12 34.54 Varzim 2 1525 11.05% @ Boavista 0 1631 68.58%
5 1977-11-06 32.15 Braga 2 1600 15.12% @ Boavista 0 1642 63.76%
6 1977-10-23 29.84 @ Feirense 4 1492 50.51% Riopele 0 1579 27.61%
7 1978-05-14 28.74 Boavista 4 1584 32.66% @ Feirense 1 1457 45.43%
8 1978-05-07 28.28 Estoril 2 1495 22.39% @ Espinho 0 1454 55.88%
9 1977-09-25 23.59 Vitoria Guimaraes 3 1604 24.51% @ Academica de Coimbra 1 1543 53.68%
10 1977-09-11 23.31 @ Estoril 2 1540 33.19% Porto 0 1756 45.23%
11 1978-01-15 22.65 @ Portimonense 5 1470 53.51% Feirense 1 1532 24.67%
12 1978-01-15 22.61 @ Braga 5 1651 63.08% Vitoria Setubal 0 1617 15.73%
13 1978-02-12 22.44 Os Belenenses (1st) 2 1654 35.03% @ Portimonense 0 1509 43.09%
14 1977-10-16 21.71 Porto 2 1758 36.75% @ Riopele 0 1601 41.40%
15 1977-11-27 21.50 Porto 4 1797 46.67% @ Varzim 1 1570 31.82%
16 1978-02-12 21.31 Porto 4 1829 47.04% @ Vitoria Setubal 1 1599 31.48%
17 1978-05-28 19.03 Maritimo 1 1488 8.86% @ Vitoria Guimaraes 0 1638 71.42%
18 1977-09-18 18.51 Porto 3 1733 37.56% @ Maritimo 1 1570 40.61%
19 1977-11-06 18.32 Benfica 3 1810 57.70% @ Portimonense 0 1493 21.68%
20 1978-06-04 18.31 Estoril 2 1531 7.74% @ Braga 1 1708 72.99%
21 1978-04-30 18.15 Benfica 3 1885 57.96% @ Academica de Coimbra 0 1565 21.45%
22 1977-12-18 18.09 Benfica 3 1840 58.03% @ Estoril 0 1520 21.39%
23 1978-01-15 18.08 @ Boavista 3 1621 38.78% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1 1797 39.43%
24 1977-12-18 17.49 Academica de Coimbra 2 1516 10.35% @ Vitoria Setubal 1 1635 69.46%
25 1978-05-21 17.44 Sporting Clube de Portugal 2 1780 46.95% @ Varzim 0 1550 31.56%